My Investing Muse (28Apr25) Layoffs, Delinquency & Closure news High-end apparel chain Ted Baker Canada, which operated 31 Ted Baker stores in the U.S. and 25 in Canada, along with eight Brooks Brothers Canada shops, and seven Lucky Brand Canada stores, a year later in April 2024 filed to restructure under Canada's Companies' Creditors Arrangement Act and for Chapter 15 bankruptcy to liquidate and close all of the North American stores. Luxury fashion retailer McMullen on Aug. 21, 2024, filed for Chapter 11 protection in the Northern District of California, reportedly facing a lawsuit filed by online competitor Moda Operandi over alleged copyright infringement. - The Street And sometimes, unfortunately, times just get too tough for some businesses to survive. Such is the case in Oxford

News and my thoughts from last week (28Apr25) Image This is stunning: 44% of Americans now believe they will be WORSE OFF financially in a year (mainly due to tariffs). We've never seen anything like this before. Not even during the Great Recession or the stagflation era (31% thought they would be worse off in a year in April 1980). (Source: Data from the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers) - X user Heather Long Elon Musk: "The biggest mistake I made is to put too much of a weighting on somebody's talent and not much on their personality; it actually matters whether somebody has a good heart." Interesting study on whether vaccines cause autism. Looking forward to is findings. Image The cumulative inflation from 2020 is 23.6%. Has income growth caught up? Image Import volumes will s

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 28Apr25 Observations: The MACD indicator has completed the bottom cross-over that suggests an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. The MA200 line may tilt into a downtrend soon. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish trend in the long term. A death cross has surfaced when the MA50 line cuts the MA200 line from above. A death cross can be seen as a bearish indicator. Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outlook for the medium and long term. The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend. However, the lines are starting to converge, and a reversal should be confirmed soon. Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (

Earnings Calendar (28Apr25) Some interesting earnings include Apple, Amazon, Airbnb, Microsoft, ExxonMobil, Chevron, DuPont, PayPal, Coca-Cola, Visa, Meta, UPS, and Baxter. Let us look at UPS The UPS stock price has been falling for over 1 year. Technical Analysis recommends a “Neutral” rating. The analysts’ sentiment recommends a “Buy” rating. The target price of $123.69 implies an upside of over 26%. Revenue Growth Trend: UPS's revenue has grown from $58.363 billion in 2015 to $91.070 billion in 2024. The 10-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for revenue is 4.6%, indicating steady growth. Key Milestones: Revenue growth was strong in 2020 (14.2%) and 2021 (15.0%), driven by e-commerce demand during the pandemic. However, there was a decline of -9.3% in 2023, followed by a modest 0.1%

Public Holidays Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on 1st May to celebrate Labour Day. China is closed on 1st & 2nd May as they celebrate Labour Day. America does not have any public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (28Apr25) Notable Highlights Core PCE Price Index (Mar) forecast shows inflation cooling, with YoY at 2.9% (down from 3.4%) and MoM at 0.19% (down from 0.44%), suggesting easing inflationary pressures. This should be the most watched economic data that has implications for the interest rate. CB Consumer Confidence (Apr) forecast at 88.5 (below the last reading of 92.9) indicates weaker consumer sentiment, which could signal reduced spending and economic slowdown. GDP (QoQ, Q1) forecast at 0.4% (well below the previous 2.4%) signals a significant slowdown in U.

My Investing Muse (21Apr25) Layoffs & Closure news The popular Canadian retailer Frank and Oak is closing up stores amid the tariff chaos. Frank and Oak announced it will shut down its U.S.-based stores by the end of April 2025. - The Street After San Francisco biotech company Third Harmonic Bio slashed its staff by half in February, it’s now taking a more drastic step. The inflammatory disease research company’s directors have decided to shut it down, liquidate its assets and distribute its remaining cash to stockholders. - SF Gate At Home Group may soon file for bankruptcy as it grapples with financial difficulties and debt issues. The Coppell, Tex.-based furniture and home decor store has a large amount of debt and relies heavily on imported goods from abroad. - The Street This poor

News and my thoughts from last week (21Apr25) Should we be surprised if there are breakups and shake-ups within Trump's team? It is a strong team with strong individuals. $6 trillion debt is due in months, $9 trillion in a year. These are likely to be refinanced. Changes should come sooner. As a non-US citizen, American prosperity is key to my country and many others who trade with the USA. Having the right policy and posturing can help all to create value and prosper together. There are things that need alignment from all sides. Yet isn't this more about cultural differences than Tariffs? We can still grow and prosper together despite our differences, circumstances and cultures. The part that puzzled me was that the majority of the Tariffs can be passed on to American buyers, manufacturer

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 21Apr25 Observations: The MACD indicator has completed the bottom cross-over that suggests an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish trend in the long term. A death cross has surfaced when the MA50 line cuts the MA200 line from above. A death cross can be seen as a bearish indicator. Death Cross Definition: How and When It Happens Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outlook for the medium and long term. The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (CMF) is in the “uptrend zone” (above the 0 line). This implies more buying than selling. L

Public Holidays Hong Kong is closed on Monday, 21April25, as they celebrate Easter. Economic Calendar (21Apr25) Notable Highlights S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Apr): Forecast 49.3 is suggesting a contraction in manufacturing activity (below 50 signals contraction). S&P Global Services PMI (Apr): Forecast 52.9 is showing slower growth in the services sector (above 50 signals expansion). New Home Sales (Mar) Forecast 680K, slightly above the last update of 676K, suggesting a modest uptick in housing market activity. Durable Goods Orders (Mar) at 20:30: Actual 1.5%, above the forecast of 1.0%, reflecting stronger-than-expected demand for long-lasting goods. Existing Home Sales (Mar) Forecast 4.14M, below the last reported 4.26M, indicating weaker-than-expected home sales. Initial job

follow the money. the rest can be distracting.

is this a fad or part of necessities?

News and my thoughts from last week (14 Apr 25) Delinquent C&I loans rose by approximately 6.4% from the previous quarter and 19.8% year over year, reaching $31.04 billion – with a delinquency ratio of 1.31%. - DalyHodl Tim Cook explains why Apple manufactures products in China. The true reason is because of the skill, the quantity of skill in one location, and the type of skill it is. Not because of labor cost since China stopped being a low-labour-cost country many years ago. The Apple CEO elaborated on the advanced tooling and precision required to produce the products and highlighted China's vocational expertise in these areas. - X user by Shen Shiwei At the moment, Apple makes more than 80% of its products in China. Those products now receive a 145% tax when they’re imported into

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 14Apr25 Observations: The MACD indicator has yet to complete the bottom cross-over, which suggests a potential reversal. It is possible to range or go lower before the actual reversal. I prefer for MACD’s bottom crossover to be completed before acknowledging a reversal (as it forms a part of considerations). Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish in the long term. We are seeing the setup of a Death Cross (when the MA50 line cuts the MA200 line from above). A death cross can be seen as a bearish indicator. Death Cross Definition: How and When It Happens Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outloo

Earnings Calendar (14 Apr 2025) I am interested in the earnings of Goldman Sachs, Citi, Bank of America, United, ASML, TSMC and Netflix. Let us look at TSMC. The Technical Analysis has a “Strong Sell” rating, in contrast to the “Strong Buy” recommendation from Analysts Sentiments. The target price of 241.69 suggests a (potential) upside of over 53%. Below is the financial performance review using GROK: Revenue Growth Trend: TSMC's revenue has shown strong growth, increasing from $25.724 billion in 2015 to $88.552 billion in 2024. The 10-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for revenue is 13.8%, reflecting robust expansion. Key Milestones: Revenue growth was particularly strong in 2020 (34.3%) and 2021 (20.5%), driven by global demand for semiconductors. There was a slight decline of 6.3

Public Holidays The USA, Hong Kong & Singapore have no public holidays in the coming week. America, Hong Kong and Singapore celebrate Good Friday on 18 Apr 2025. I wish you all a great weekend as Christians celebrate the love, sacrifice, and victory of Jesus. Economic Calendar (14Apr25) Notable Highlights China's GDP (Q1) is expected at 5.2% YoY (vs. 5.4% prior). This can be a good indicator of both Chinese production and global consumption. The Core Retail Sales (Mar) are forecasted at 0.4% MoM (vs. 0.3%), and Retail Sales at 1.4% MoM (vs. 0.2%). The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr) is forecasted at 3.1 (vs. 12.5). From investing dot com A level above zero on the index indicates improving conditions; below indicates worsening conditions. The data is compiled from a survey of

What happens between America and China is not a clash of Tariffs. It is about a clash of culture. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

I have a 25% gain YTD from heavy hedging. may we find success eventually.