My Investing Muse (21Apr25) Layoffs & Closure news The popular Canadian retailer Frank and Oak is closing up stores amid the tariff chaos. Frank and Oak announced it will shut down its U.S.-based stores by the end of April 2025. - The Street After San Francisco biotech company Third Harmonic Bio slashed its staff by half in February, it’s now taking a more drastic step. The inflammatory disease research company’s directors have decided to shut it down, liquidate its assets and distribute its remaining cash to stockholders. - SF Gate At Home Group may soon file for bankruptcy as it grapples with financial difficulties and debt issues. The Coppell, Tex.-based furniture and home decor store has a large amount of debt and relies heavily on imported goods from abroad. - The Street This poor

News and my thoughts from last week (21Apr25) Should we be surprised if there are breakups and shake-ups within Trump's team? It is a strong team with strong individuals. $6 trillion debt is due in months, $9 trillion in a year. These are likely to be refinanced. Changes should come sooner. As a non-US citizen, American prosperity is key to my country and many others who trade with the USA. Having the right policy and posturing can help all to create value and prosper together. There are things that need alignment from all sides. Yet isn't this more about cultural differences than Tariffs? We can still grow and prosper together despite our differences, circumstances and cultures. The part that puzzled me was that the majority of the Tariffs can be passed on to American buyers, manufacturer

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 21Apr25 Observations: The MACD indicator has completed the bottom cross-over that suggests an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish trend in the long term. A death cross has surfaced when the MA50 line cuts the MA200 line from above. A death cross can be seen as a bearish indicator. Death Cross Definition: How and When It Happens Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outlook for the medium and long term. The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (CMF) is in the “uptrend zone” (above the 0 line). This implies more buying than selling. L

Public Holidays Hong Kong is closed on Monday, 21April25, as they celebrate Easter. Economic Calendar (21Apr25) Notable Highlights S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Apr): Forecast 49.3 is suggesting a contraction in manufacturing activity (below 50 signals contraction). S&P Global Services PMI (Apr): Forecast 52.9 is showing slower growth in the services sector (above 50 signals expansion). New Home Sales (Mar) Forecast 680K, slightly above the last update of 676K, suggesting a modest uptick in housing market activity. Durable Goods Orders (Mar) at 20:30: Actual 1.5%, above the forecast of 1.0%, reflecting stronger-than-expected demand for long-lasting goods. Existing Home Sales (Mar) Forecast 4.14M, below the last reported 4.26M, indicating weaker-than-expected home sales. Initial job

follow the money. the rest can be distracting.

is this a fad or part of necessities?

News and my thoughts from last week (14 Apr 25) Delinquent C&I loans rose by approximately 6.4% from the previous quarter and 19.8% year over year, reaching $31.04 billion – with a delinquency ratio of 1.31%. - DalyHodl Tim Cook explains why Apple manufactures products in China. The true reason is because of the skill, the quantity of skill in one location, and the type of skill it is. Not because of labor cost since China stopped being a low-labour-cost country many years ago. The Apple CEO elaborated on the advanced tooling and precision required to produce the products and highlighted China's vocational expertise in these areas. - X user by Shen Shiwei At the moment, Apple makes more than 80% of its products in China. Those products now receive a 145% tax when they’re imported into

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 14Apr25 Observations: The MACD indicator has yet to complete the bottom cross-over, which suggests a potential reversal. It is possible to range or go lower before the actual reversal. I prefer for MACD’s bottom crossover to be completed before acknowledging a reversal (as it forms a part of considerations). Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish in the long term. We are seeing the setup of a Death Cross (when the MA50 line cuts the MA200 line from above). A death cross can be seen as a bearish indicator. Death Cross Definition: How and When It Happens Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outloo

Earnings Calendar (14 Apr 2025) I am interested in the earnings of Goldman Sachs, Citi, Bank of America, United, ASML, TSMC and Netflix. Let us look at TSMC. The Technical Analysis has a “Strong Sell” rating, in contrast to the “Strong Buy” recommendation from Analysts Sentiments. The target price of 241.69 suggests a (potential) upside of over 53%. Below is the financial performance review using GROK: Revenue Growth Trend: TSMC's revenue has shown strong growth, increasing from $25.724 billion in 2015 to $88.552 billion in 2024. The 10-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for revenue is 13.8%, reflecting robust expansion. Key Milestones: Revenue growth was particularly strong in 2020 (34.3%) and 2021 (20.5%), driven by global demand for semiconductors. There was a slight decline of 6.3

Public Holidays The USA, Hong Kong & Singapore have no public holidays in the coming week. America, Hong Kong and Singapore celebrate Good Friday on 18 Apr 2025. I wish you all a great weekend as Christians celebrate the love, sacrifice, and victory of Jesus. Economic Calendar (14Apr25) Notable Highlights China's GDP (Q1) is expected at 5.2% YoY (vs. 5.4% prior). This can be a good indicator of both Chinese production and global consumption. The Core Retail Sales (Mar) are forecasted at 0.4% MoM (vs. 0.3%), and Retail Sales at 1.4% MoM (vs. 0.2%). The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr) is forecasted at 3.1 (vs. 12.5). From investing dot com A level above zero on the index indicates improving conditions; below indicates worsening conditions. The data is compiled from a survey of

What happens between America and China is not a clash of Tariffs. It is about a clash of culture. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

I have a 25% gain YTD from heavy hedging. may we find success eventually.

Latest > Japan HALTS trading Circuit breakers have been triggered in Japan's Nikkei 225 and TOPIX stock market indices. Down -8.00% We are seeing the market's first circuit breakers since March 2020. - X user Steve Burns. Buying the dip? This could be a falling knife. $Nikkei 225 Index(N225.JP)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

News and my thoughts from last week (07 Apr 2025)The China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has discovered an oilfield in the South China Sea with proven reserves exceeding 100 million tonnes, Xinhua news agency reported on Monday. - ReutersPolyMarket’s bet on US recession in 2025Is the US Big Tech BUBBLE popping? Magnificent 7 stocks have DROPPED 15% year-to-date. By comparison, the remaining 493 stocks have been flat. The Magnificent 7 has declined 20% since its December peak and has erased over $3 TRILLION in market value. - X user Global Markets InvestorUS consumers say a RECESSION has arrived: The Consumer Confidence Index fell to the lowest in 4 YEARS. Expectations plunged to the lowest in 12 years. A reading below 80 signals a recession. Future employment prospects TUMBLED

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 07Apr25 FinViz Market Heat Map (05Apr2025) S&P 500 chart as of 07Apr25 Observations: The MACD indicator has experienced a bottom crossover in a few days. This should form a “double bottom”. Typically, a “recovery” can happen after a double bottom. Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish in the long term. We are seeing the setup of a Death Cross (when the MA50 line cuts the MA200 line from above). A death cross can be seen as a bearish indicator. Death Cross Definition: How and When It Happens Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outlook for the medium and long term. The three Exponential Movi

Earnings Calendar (07Apr25) Earnings for the week starting 07Apr25 I am interested in BlackRock, Delta, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, BNY and CarMax. Let us look at BlackRock in detail. BlackRock’s stock price has shown a downtrend in the last few months. The stock price grew 5.5% from a year ago. Technical Analysis has a “Strong Sell” rating. Analysts Sentiment has a price target of $1153.20. This implies a price upside of 40.19%. Here is an analysis of BlackRock’s recent performance. Revenue Growth Trend: BlackRock's revenue has shown consistent growth, increasing from $11.401 billion in 2015 to $20.407 billion in 2024. The 10-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for revenue is 6.3%, reflecting steady expansion. Key Milestones: Revenue growth was strong in early years (e.g.,

Public Holidays The USA, China, Hong Kong & Singapore have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (07Apr25) Economic Calendar for the week starting 07Apr25 Notable Highlights Consumer Price Index (CPI) should be the most watched macro data of the coming week. The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures month-over-month inflation (excluding volatile food and energy prices). It’s a key indicator of underlying inflation trends. This represents the cost of living and will influence the Fed’s monetary policy decisions. The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures month-over-month changes in prices at the producer level, often a precursor to consumer inflation trends. The inflation that hits the producers would be passed onto the consumers. This can also be seen as one of the p