My Investing Muse (17Nov25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news CITADEL EMPLOYEES HAVE BEEN QUITTING ALL WEEK. PEOPLE FAMILIAR WITH THE MATTER ARE REPORTING INSOLVENCY. - The PP Show Amazon lays off almost 700 NYC-based corporate employees - USA Today Paramount plans another 1,600 layoffs as David Ellison team digs in - LAT Entertainment Ford’s CEO Jim Farley just dropped a stat that should make every politician sweat: 5,000 open mechanic jobs. 6-figure salaries. 0 takers. - Mario Nawfal 655 US large companies have gone bankrupt year-to-date, the highest number in 15 years. This has already surpassed all previous full-year totals since 2011, except for 2024. Since 2022, bankruptcies have risen nearly +100%. This comes as 68 companies filed in October, 66 in September, and 76 in August,

News and my thoughts from the past week (17Nov25) QUANTUM BEVERAGE $QUBT RISES 8% AFTER REPORTING $300K OF REVENUE AND $10M OPERATING LOSS - Consensus Media Per data from FeedingAmerica⁩, the average monthly price of groceries in the U.S. for a family of four has gone up to $1,030 - DataArbor Peter Thiel has said: Capitalism isn’t working for young people. Oracle’s risk of default is surging Serious credit card delinquencies (unpaid balances for at least 90 days) are at their highest level in 14 years, per Bloomberg. Hardship withdrawals from 401(k)s are at the highest point they have recorded, per Bank of America KC Fed President Schmid, the most hawkish FOMC voter, says that rate cuts could push inflation higher while not doing much to help the labor market. - Liz Thomas “…Morgan Stanley

Market Outlook of S&P500 (17Nov25) Technical Indicators Overview MACD Trend Analysis The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently signaling a downtrend. This downward momentum suggests a potential weakening in the stock’s price movement and may indicate caution for traders monitoring short-term price action. Moving Averages The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are both trending upward, which is typically considered bullish for both short- and long-term perspectives. This uptrend points to a positive sentiment in the market. However, it is noteworthy that the most recent weekly candlestick has closed precisely on the 50-day moving average line. If the subsequent candlesticks in the coming week fall below this key level, it could introduce increased volatilit

Earnings Calendar (17Nov25) I am monitoring the coming earnings for ZIM, Baidu, PDD, Target, Nvidia, and Walmart. Let us look at Nvidia’s performance. Over the past year, the company’s stock price has increased by 34%. Despite this strong performance, there is a notable divergence in market sentiment: technical analysis currently suggests a “sell” rating, while analysts maintain a strong buy recommendation. The consensus price target stands at $230.78, indicating a potential upside of 21.35% from current levels. Revenue and Profit Growth The company has demonstrated remarkable financial growth over the past decade. Revenue has surged from $5 billion in 2016 to $134 billion in 2025. This growth is reflected in the gross profit, which expanded from $2.8 billion to $97 billion over the same p

New York Fed has met with concerns about short term funding pressures.

When sentiments take over, data becomed irrelevant. The absence of reliable data makes room for conspiracies. 

News: Verizon lays off 15,000 The average annual salary at Verizon in the USA is around $37,666, or about $18 per hour, according to ZipRecruiter. This means $565 million in purchasing power is affected. How will the families and the economy be affected? $Verizon(VZ)$

thank you so much and congrats to the fellow contributors

thank you for this. congrats to all

My Investing Muse (10Nov25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news CNBC: “Announced corporate job cuts surging past 1 million so far this year, with 153,000 new layoffs just in October, according to Challenger. That is the worst October since 2003.” The FAA officially began cutting 700 flights PER DAY across 40 airports. Airports are now facing a shortage of 3,500 air traffic controllers, with 4+ MILLION passengers impacted. - X user The Kobeissi Letter Co-pilot is part of the transition. Transition to more automation (replacing humans) is one of the goals. What’s going to be the story now, CEOs? From mid-2022 to now, the Bay Area has shed 80,000 tech jobs while supposedly being at the centre of the AI revolution. San Francisco alone dropped 39,600 positions in two years, an 11% collapse.

News and my thoughts from the past week (10Nov25) Real-estate giant Blackstone is liquidating a major investment gone wrong: a $1.8 billion wager on senior housing that has saddled the firm with more than $600 million in losses. - WSJ The 50-year mortgage is the triumph of debt over affordability. When the median age of home ownership is 40 years old, there is no retirement till 90. Oracle’s 5-year Credit Default Swap spiked to 81 basis pts, the highest in 2 YEARS. Credit traders are buying protection against Oracle defaulting on its debt at the fastest pace since 2023. Can Oracle sustain its aggressive AI buildout? - X user Global Markets Investor The Strippers have confirmed it. We are in a recession? - Yahoo News “Leverage among hedge funds is the highest it has been since regulators st

Market Outlook of S&P500 (10Nov25) Momentum and Trend Indicators MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD is on a downtrend, which signals a bearish outlook. EMA (Exponential Moving Averages) Convergence: The EMA lines are converging. This suggests that the current uptrend may be losing steam and indicates a potential change in the existing trend. Moving Averages (MA) and Support Overall Trend (MA 50 & 200): Both the 50-day and 200-day Moving Average lines remain on an uptrend. This sustains a bullish outlook across both the short and long term. Key Short-Term Support: The $\text{MA 50}$ line is identified as a key short-term support level. Monitoring Focus: It is necessary to monitor the candlestic

Earnings Calendar (10Nov25) EARNINGS We are monitoring the upcoming earnings reports for a portfolio of key companies, including Monday, Occidental, Cisco, Disney and Sea Limited. Let us look at Sea Limited in detail. Market Performance and Outlook Year-over-Year Stock Performance: The stock price has experienced a significant increase, rising 60.3% from a year ago. Analyst Consensus and Price Target: The consensus analyst sentiment is a Strong Buy rating. The established price target of $196.56 implies a substantial 31.16% potential upside from the current share price. Technical Analysis: Current technical indicators are recommending a Strong Sell rating, which presents a divergence from fundame

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 10Nov25) Public Holidays There are no public holidays scheduled this week for the United States, Hong Kong, China, or Singapore. Key Economic Data & Events Inflation & Monetary Indicators Consumer Price Index (CPI): The CPI data is a key event. The previous year-over-year (YoY) CPI stood at 3.0%. Bond Market Sentiment Bond Auctions: Important datasets will be derived from the 10-Year Note Auction and the 30-Year Bond Auction. The results of the bond auctions reflect market sentiment. A continued increase in bond interest rates (yields) suggests the market is demanding a higher return on investment for these bonds. This demand for higher returns can occur regardless of the current Federal Reserve interest rate policy. Labo

Watch out for Oracle’s debts. Oracle’s 5-year Credit Default Swap spiked to 81 basis pts, the highest in 2 YEARS. Credit traders are buying protection against Oracle defaulting on its debt at the fastest pace since 2023. Can Oracle sustain its aggressive AI buildout? - X user Global Markets Investor $Oracle(ORCL)$

US delinquency update (from X user Global markets investor): US consumers are DEFAULTING at a CRISIS pace: Student loan SERIOUS (90+ days) delinquencies EXPLODED to 14.3% in Q3 2025, the highest on record. Auto loan delinquencies rose to 3.0%, the highest since 2010. Credit card delinquencies hit 7.1%, near the highest in 14 YEARS. What are the delinquencies telling us?  Are we prepared? Have we hedged? $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   $Dow Jones Stoxx(DJXMF)$  

Freightwaves CEO Craig Fuller (CNBC interview): "Well, we should be worried. The goods economy, certain portions of the goods economy are collapsing right now. So, year over year trucking volumes, this is really predominance of freight that moves across the United States, is down 17%". "But when you look at the industrial sectors, or the the freight that moves over the long haul, this is energy, automotive, housing and manufacturing, we're down 30% year over year, which is very great financial crisis, levels of concern." $PROSHARES SUPPLY CHAIN LOGISTICS ETF(SUPL)$   $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  

Refinancing pressures compound the problem of fiscal management. By the end of 2025, about a third of marketable debt, worth US$9.2 trillion, would have matured, with a further US$9 trillion maturing in 2026. - Deloitte This propels the government's intend to lower the interest rates. We should see more money printing in the coming weeks. It will be interesting to see how inflation will behave. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$   $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$