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02-24 16:15
India's unemployment tsunami will hit in a matter of years when AI can replace of the entry level white collar work. When the jobs are "relocated" from the West to India, it is not a permanent but a temporal case. Workers will need to create value, fighting innovations and AI to create value in the market. There will be a major reset but there will also be new roles created. It is time to learn and pivot. $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$  
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02-24 11:20

The 2025 State of Private Markets: Navigating Volatility, Leverage Risks, and the Credit Rebalancing

The 2025 State of Private Markets: Navigating Volatility, Leverage Risks, and the Credit Rebalancing Summary The report analyses the transformation of private markets in 2025, focusing on the impact of higher interest rates, the rise of private credit, the risks associated with Payment-in-Kind (PIK) provisions, and the evolving strategies for risk management and due diligence. It highlights how the sector is adapting to a new era of tighter liquidity, increased defaults, and a shift from growth-at-all-costs to capital preservation and transparency. Key Findings done with NoteBookLM 1. Macro Environment Shift The move from near-zero rates to a higher-rate paradigm has fundamentally changed private market valuations and liquidity needs. Public markets corrected sharply due to a lag in invest
The 2025 State of Private Markets: Navigating Volatility, Leverage Risks, and the Credit Rebalancing
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02-22

(Part 5 of 5) My investing muse (23Feb2026) - Iran adds to the volatility

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies NEW GRADUATES NOW ACCOUNT FOR JUST 7% OF NEW HIRES AT BIG TECH COMPANIES, DOWN FROM 25% IN 2023 AND OVER 50% PRE-PANDEMIC, PER FORBES. CREDIT CARD DEBT IS BECOMING A GROWING FINANCIAL RISK. MORE THAN 12% OF BALANCES ARE 90+ DAYS DELINQUENT — THE HIGHEST LEVEL IN 15 YEARS — WHILE AVERAGE INTEREST RATES ARE AROUND 21%. - First Squawk Walgreens to lay off hundreds of employees nationwide - MacroEdge America’s biggest wine maker shuts down production in Napa Valley in huge blow to wine heartland - California Post United Parcel Service (UPS) is planning to close dozens of packaging facilities this year, the shipping giant revealed in a court filing this week. - MacroEdge The 60+ day delinquency rate on US subprime auto loans is up to a recor
(Part 5 of 5) My investing muse (23Feb2026) - Iran adds to the volatility
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02-22

(Part 4 of 5) - News and my thoughts (23Feb2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (23Feb2026) The Cass Freight Index fell -7.1% YoY in January, to 0.89 points, now down to its lowest level since April 2009. This index tracks freight volumes across North America and is viewed as a gauge of US economic momentum. This also marks the 36th consecutive monthly decline, the longest streak on record. Over this period, shipments have fallen -20.9%, a similar decline seen during the 2008 Financial Crisis. According to Cass Information Systems, normal seasonal trends suggest February could see an -11.0% YoY decline. The US freight recession is accelerating. - X user The Kobeissi Letter Following Iran’s brief closure of part of the waterway, tanker freight rates surged, with transaction levels climbing to their highest point in seven months.
(Part 4 of 5) - News and my thoughts (23Feb2026)
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02-22

(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 outlook (23Feb2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (23Feb2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is on a downtrend, implying a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above the 200-day moving average (MA) lines. The last candle is sitting on the 50-day moving average (MA) line. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in the long-term outlook and a potential change in trend in the short-term. Both the 50 MA and the 200 MA lines are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bearish outlook. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) currently r
(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 outlook (23Feb2026)
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02-22

(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar - Salesforce for our portfolio? (23Feb2026)

Earnings Calendar (23Feb2026) - Salesforce Several notable companies are expected to release their earnings reports in the coming week. Among the companies of interest are AMC, Home Depot, NVIDIA, Salesforce, Baidu, and Dell. These earnings announcements are closely watched by investors and analysts, as they offer insight into each company’s financial performance and market outlook. Salesforce: AI and Market Disruption Focusing on Salesforce, the ongoing AI revolution is anticipated to generate substantial value within the business sector. This technological advancement is expected to cause significant disruptions for companies such as Salesforce, SAP, and Monday, reshaping how they operate and compete in the marketplace. Over the past year, the company’s stock price has experienced a sign
(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar - Salesforce for our portfolio? (23Feb2026)
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02-22

(Part 1 of 5) Economic Calendar starting 23Feb2026

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 23Feb2026) China Market Holiday China will be closed on Monday, February 23, as the country continues its celebrations for the Chinese New Year. This closure may affect global market activity due to reduced participation from one of the world’s largest economies. CB Consumer Confidence The Consumer Board (CB) consumer confidence data for February will be released this week. The forecast stands at 86.0, which is an increase from the previous reading of 84.5. This index is significant because it reflects consumer confidence and provides insight into the overall outlook for the broader economy. Initial Jobless Claims Data on initial jobless claims will also be released, with the previous figure reported at 206,000. This indicator is closely monitor
(Part 1 of 5) Economic Calendar starting 23Feb2026
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02-22

(Full Article) Preview of the week starting 23Feb2026 - Salesforce a good addition?

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 23Feb2026) China Market Holiday China will be closed on Monday, February 23, as the country continues its celebrations for the Chinese New Year. This closure may affect global market activity due to reduced participation from one of the world’s largest economies. CB Consumer Confidence The Consumer Board (CB) consumer confidence data for February will be released this week. The forecast stands at 86.0, which is an increase from the previous reading of 84.5. This index is significant because it reflects consumer confidence and provides insight into the overall outlook for the broader economy. Initial Jobless Claims Data on initial jobless claims will also be released, with the previous figure reported at 206,000. This indicator is closely monitor
(Full Article) Preview of the week starting 23Feb2026 - Salesforce a good addition?
avatarKYHBKO
02-20
Walmart Q4 FY26 (January quarter): • Revenue +6% Y/Y to $190.7B ($2.4B beat). • Non-GAAP EPS $0.74 ($0.01 beat). • Walmart US comp sales +4.6%. • E-commerce +24% Y/Y. • Advertising +37% Y/Y. FY27 Net sales guide: +3.5% to 4.5% Y/Y. Source: X user App economy What does this tell us about the company and broader economy?  $Wal-Mart(WMT)$  
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02-15

(Part 5 of 5) My investing muse for week starting 16Jan2026

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies 26% of the 7.5 million unemployed in the US actively searching for work have been looking for more than six months, per FT. The U.S. labour market faced a significant setback in January 2026, with employers announcing 108,435 job cuts—the highest January total since the Great Recession in 2009. - X user unusual whales FedEx plans to close over 475 stations due to Network 2.0 Plan - X user MacroEdge Salesforce lays off nearly 1,000 employees in early 2026 ahead of Q4 earnings report - X user MacroEdge Are the jobs in India permanent? Will the jobs be replaced by AI over the years? Image 9 large companies filed for bankruptcy in the US last week. This brings the 3-week average to 6, the highest rate since the 2020 pandemic. This means at
(Part 5 of 5) My investing muse for week starting 16Jan2026
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02-15

(Part 4 of 5) News & my thoughts for the week starting 16Feb2026

News and my thoughts from the past week (16Feb2026) US serious delinquencies are at CRISIS levels: Transition into serious delinquency (90+ days) for student loans spiked to a record 16.19% in Q4 2025. This is nearly DOUBLE the levels seen after the Great Financial Crisis. At the same time, credit card delinquencies are at 7.13%, the highest in 14 years and near the post-Financial Crisis peak. Similarly, auto loan delinquencies stand at 2.95%, almost matching all-time highs. Americans are defaulting on their debt at an alarming pace. - X user Global Markets Investor. The CEO of Microsoft AI says: “Most, if not all, office jobs—like lawyers, accountants, project managers, and marketing officers—will be fully automated by AI within 12–18 months.” Former $GOOGL CEO Eric Schmidt: “We’re
(Part 4 of 5) News & my thoughts for the week starting 16Feb2026
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02-15

(Part 3 of 5) outlook of S&P500 for week starting 16Feb2026

Market Outlook of S&P500 (16Feb2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is on a downtrend, implying a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above the 200-day moving average (MA) lines. The last candle is sitting below the 50-day moving average (MA) line. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in the long-term outlook and a bearish trend in the short-term. Both the 50 MA and the 200 MA lines are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bearish outlook. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) currently regis
(Part 3 of 5) outlook of S&P500 for week starting 16Feb2026
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02-15

(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar - Klarna (BNPL)?

Earnings Calendar (16Feb2026) - Klarna (BNPL) I am interested in the recent earnings reports and performance of Moody’s, Klarna, DoorDash, John Deere, and Walmart. Klarna: Leading Buy Now Pay Later Platform Let us look at Klarna, the leading buy now, pay later (BNPL) platform. Over the past year, Klarna’s stock price has experienced a significant decline, falling by 60.5%. According to technical analysis, Klarna currently holds a strong sell rating. However, analyst sentiment remains positive, with a buy recommendation. The price target is set at $42.59, which suggests a potential upside of 135.16%. Revenue Growth Klarna demonstrated robust revenue growth, increasing from $2.2 billion in 2023 to $3 billion on a trailing twelve-month (TTM) basis. This positive trajectory highlights the comp
(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar - Klarna (BNPL)?
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02-15

(Part 1 of 5) Economic Calendar (16Feb2026) - Happy Lunar New Year

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 16Feb2026) Asian Market Closures for Chinese New Year Here is wishing all Chinese friends a blessed Chinese New Year. In observance of this festival, several major Asian markets will be closed during the upcoming week. China will be closed for the entire week, from Monday to Friday. Hong Kong will observe closures from Tuesday through Thursday, while Singapore will be closed from Tuesday to Wednesday for the Chinese New Year festivities. U.S. Public Holiday America will have a public holiday on Monday in celebration of Washington’s Birthday. Key Upcoming Economic Data Releases Durable Goods Orders: This important indicator serves as a key barometer for consumer activity within the United States. Core PCE Price Index: T
(Part 1 of 5) Economic Calendar (16Feb2026) - Happy Lunar New Year
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02-15

(Full Article) Preview of the week starting 16Feb2026 - PCE this week

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 16Feb2026) Asian Market Closures for Chinese New Year Here is wishing all Chinese friends a blessed Chinese New Year. In observance of this festival, several major Asian markets will be closed during the upcoming week. China will be closed for the entire week, from Monday to Friday. Hong Kong will observe closures from Tuesday through Thursday, while Singapore will be closed from Tuesday to Wednesday for the Chinese New Year festivities. U.S. Public Holiday America will have a public holiday on Monday in celebration of Washington’s Birthday. Key Upcoming Economic Data Releases Durable Goods Orders: This important indicator serves as a key barometer for consumer activity within the United States. Core PCE Price Index: The release
(Full Article) Preview of the week starting 16Feb2026 - PCE this week
avatarKYHBKO
02-14
Former $GOOGL CEO Eric Schmidt: “We’re running out of electricity. I testified in congress we need 92 gigawatts more power, the average nuclear power plant is 1.5 gigawatts, you see the problem” The problem is the investing opportunity.
avatarKYHBKO
02-13
From the following insider trades, most of them are selling.  We buy for one reason and sell for a thousand. Most sales that include insiders from key banks suggest a cautionary tale. Let us take note and be aware. #insider #sales #caution #sales #buy 
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02-08

(Part 5 of 5) - My investing muse (09Feb2026) - much contemplations

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Yes, recent reports from sources like The Guardian and KWCH confirm the Washington Post is laying off about one-third of its staff across departments as of February 4, 2026. It has been owned by Jeff Bezos since 2013 - Grok Amazon cuts nearly 2,200 Washington jobs - MacroEdge Spoke to an exec at a Fortune 500 company that is undergoing significant layoffs, but hasn’t yet announced to that effect. It’s getting very rough out there for workers. - X user Andrew Yang Canada’s economy lost 24,800 jobs in January. - X user Watcher Guru JUST IN: In a bombshell announcement, UN Secretary-General António Guterres has issued a dire warning: “the United Nations is on the brink of total collapse” if the United States, which contributes approximatel
(Part 5 of 5) - My investing muse (09Feb2026) - much contemplations
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02-08

(Part 4 of 5) News and my thoughts from the past week (09Feb2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (09Feb2026) If Bitcoin hit $8K, Microstrategy will be completely liquidated - X user Zee US M2 money supply is SKYROCKETING: The US money supply hit a record $26.7 TRILLION at the end of 2025. In 2.5 years, M2 has surged a massive $4 TRILLION. The value of the US Dollar is eroding at a record pace. - X user Global Markets Investor A former World Bank president has sounded the alarm, revealing that the Federal Reserve has lost over a trillion dollars—and counting—turning it into nothing more than a massive hedge fund for the rich and powerful. He claims the Fed is borrowing money from banks at 5.4% interest, then pouring it into government bonds, creating the illusion that the government’s financial situation is better than it actually is. He warns th
(Part 4 of 5) News and my thoughts from the past week (09Feb2026)
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02-08

(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 outlook (09Feb2026) - most indicators are bullish?

Market Outlook of S&P500 (09Feb2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has completed a top crossover, which implies a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above the 200-day moving average (MA) lines. The last candle is sitting right on the 50-day moving average (MA) line. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in the long-term outlook and probable changes to the short-term trend. Both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines have completed a converging pattern and are now showing a bearish outlook. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The
(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 outlook (09Feb2026) - most indicators are bullish?

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