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Aerokris46

Aerokris46

Profile：The Best is Yet to Be

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04-11

I doubt there's any rate cuts till after US election on 5 Nov unless the next FOMC meetings shows CPI is improving below 3.5% and Core inflation below 3.8%! May 1, June 12, July 31 and Sept 18 may be flat. Best scenario not to raise or cut to buy time for a bigger phenomenon to happen later. 6 Nov has all the reason to cut rate and depending on how much too to see what's to come after 🙏

2022-12-02

Good strategy

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-20

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$

2022-10-12

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

2022-09-09

Agree. At lease these 4months volatilty will swing wildly with way

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-07-01

It will drop the current quarter and recover in the last quarter!

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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doubt there's any rate cuts till after US election on 5 Nov unless the next FOMC meetings shows CPI is improving below 3.5% and Core inflation below 3.8%! May 1, June 12, July 31 and Sept 18 may be flat. Best scenario not to raise or cut to buy time for a bigger phenomenon to happen later. 6 Nov has all the reason to cut rate and depending on how much too to see what's to come after 🙏","listText":"I doubt there's any rate cuts till after US election on 5 Nov unless the next FOMC meetings shows CPI is improving below 3.5% and Core inflation below 3.8%! May 1, June 12, July 31 and Sept 18 may be flat. Best scenario not to raise or cut to buy time for a bigger phenomenon to happen later. 6 Nov has all the reason to cut rate and depending on how much too to see what's to come after 🙏","text":"I doubt there's any rate cuts till after US election on 5 Nov unless the next FOMC meetings shows CPI is improving below 3.5% and Core inflation below 3.8%! May 1, June 12, July 31 and Sept 18 may be flat. Best scenario not to raise or cut to buy time for a bigger phenomenon to happen later. 6 Nov has all the reason to cut rate and depending on how much too to see what's to come after 🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/294181172207872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965292593,"gmtCreate":1669954303213,"gmtModify":1676538277740,"author":{"id":"3574822281385989","authorId":"3574822281385989","name":"Aerokris46","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978f8d0745599f2498f129139db721f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good strategy","listText":"Good strategy","text":"Good strategy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965292593","repostId":"1196935334","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983583098,"gmtCreate":1666275188415,"gmtModify":1676537734101,"author":{"id":"3574822281385989","authorId":"3574822281385989","name":"Aerokris46","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978f8d0745599f2498f129139db721f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983583098","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917707613,"gmtCreate":1665581593732,"gmtModify":1676537630862,"author":{"id":"3574822281385989","authorId":"3574822281385989","name":"Aerokris46","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978f8d0745599f2498f129139db721f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>","text":"$S&P 500(.SPX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917707613","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936149794,"gmtCreate":1662733102218,"gmtModify":1676537129458,"author":{"id":"3574822281385989","authorId":"3574822281385989","name":"Aerokris46","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978f8d0745599f2498f129139db721f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree. At lease these 4months volatilty will swing wildly with way","listText":"Agree. At lease these 4months volatilty will swing wildly with way","text":"Agree. At lease these 4months volatilty will swing wildly with way","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936149794","repostId":"1102080267","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9044027634,"gmtCreate":1656680713128,"gmtModify":1676535875949,"author":{"id":"3574822281385989","authorId":"3574822281385989","name":"Aerokris46","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978f8d0745599f2498f129139db721f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It will drop the current quarter and recover in the last quarter!&nbsp;","listText":"It will drop the current quarter and recover in the last quarter!&nbsp;","text":"It will drop the current quarter and recover in the last quarter!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/74499557e3c6a2de8e1fc5e9ed4dfe2a","width":"1080","height":"2728"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044027634","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274787705598","authorId":"3479274787705598","name":"longlive100","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture130","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"Exactly, things will gonna to be better in next year. If Fed can achieve the goal of inflation and not push economy into recession.","text":"Exactly, things will gonna to be better in next year. If Fed can achieve the goal of inflation and not push economy into recession.","html":"Exactly, things will gonna to be better in next year. If Fed can achieve the goal of inflation and not push economy into recession."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9044027634,"gmtCreate":1656680713128,"gmtModify":1676535875949,"author":{"id":"3574822281385989","authorId":"3574822281385989","name":"Aerokris46","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978f8d0745599f2498f129139db721f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It will drop the current quarter and recover in the last quarter!&nbsp;","listText":"It will drop the current quarter and recover in the last quarter!&nbsp;","text":"It will drop the current quarter and recover in the last quarter!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/74499557e3c6a2de8e1fc5e9ed4dfe2a","width":"1080","height":"2728"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044027634","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274787705598","authorId":"3479274787705598","name":"longlive100","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture130","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"Exactly, things will gonna to be better in next year. If Fed can achieve the goal of inflation and not push economy into recession.","text":"Exactly, things will gonna to be better in next year. If Fed can achieve the goal of inflation and not push economy into recession.","html":"Exactly, things will gonna to be better in next year. If Fed can achieve the goal of inflation and not push economy into recession."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965292593,"gmtCreate":1669954303213,"gmtModify":1676538277740,"author":{"id":"3574822281385989","authorId":"3574822281385989","name":"Aerokris46","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978f8d0745599f2498f129139db721f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good strategy","listText":"Good strategy","text":"Good strategy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965292593","repostId":"1196935334","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1196935334","pubTimestamp":1669942364,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196935334?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-02 08:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Is on the Cusp of Breaking Through a Level That Might Spell the End of the Bear Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196935334","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The stock market has sputtered at times over the past three weeks, but Federal Reserve Chairman Jero","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98282d20aeb872dfcad0ec3f6bc381f7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"436\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The stock market has sputtered at times over the past three weeks, but Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s <a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-key-word-for-investors-to-decipher-the-feds-next-move-is-moderation-strategist-ed-yardeni-says-11669917141?mod=search_headline&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">statements</a> Wednesday prompted the S&amp;P 500  to jump above a technical resistance level at 4030 points.</p><p>The benchmark index is now challenging the declining 200-day moving average (MA) and the trend line that defines the bear market. A strong move above 4100 would break that downtrend line for the first time this year, potentially ending the bear market.</p><p>Note that I am not saying an increase above 4100 would absolutely be the end of the bear market but it <i>could</i> lead to that possibility. This current rally has closed the gaps on the so-called island reversal of early September. So the next resistance area is the August highs, just above 4300. The first support area is in 3900-3950, so a move below 3900 would be negative in that it would reverse most of the positive action of the past few weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee4dcc0a28f1d871cfe49e09eae7ee3f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) buy signal that took place in early October is still in place. Its target is the +4σ “modified Bollinger Band,” which is now at 4200 and racing higher.</p><p>Equity-only put-call ratios are technically still on buy signals. By “technically,” I mean that the computer programs that we use to analyze those charts are still rating them as “buy.”</p><p>However, a close examination of the two accompanying charts will show they have <i>not</i> made new lows in the past few days. That is a bit worrisome, for these ratios should be trending lower while the S&amp;P 500 is trending higher. For now, it is only a concern, not a sell signal, but we would like to see these ratios move to new relative lows (below their November lows) in order to re-confirm their buy signals.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7aa0ecffc09de1296c9400ecf7a3d4f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57daba7a63a9648661551db7aaa63219\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Breadth indicators have swung back and forth quickly as the market has bounced around for nearly a month now. That has produced some whipsaw signals from breadth oscillators. For the record, they are now back on buy signals, but we are reluctant to put too much importance on them at this time. Yesterday (November 30th) was a 90% “up” day.</p><p>New 52-week highs on the New York Stock Exchange have still not reached 100 on any day — our minimum requirement for the setup of a potential buy signal. As a result, this indicator remains negative for now. There is still much work to be done here before a buy signal can take place.</p><p>VIX has continued to decline, for the most part, since early October. Thus, the <i>trend</i>of VIX is downward and that is bullish for stocks. Specifically, we had a “trend of VIX” buy signal in early November, when the 20-day MA of VIX crossed below the 200-day MA of VIX, and that is still in place. The only worry from VIX would be if it were to re-enter “spiking” mode by closing at least 3.00 points higher over any three-day or shorter period. That doesn’t appear to be a factor now, but it is worth watching for.</p><p><a href=\"/investing/index/VIX?mod=MW_story_quote\" target=\"_blank\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a00a87d410ad517c1637691476528bef\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></a></p><p>The <i>construct</i> of volatility derivatives remains a positive force for the stock market, too. The term structures of both the VIX futures and of the CBOE Volatility Indices are sloping upwards. Furthermore, the VIX futures are trading at healthy premiums to VIX. Those are bullish signs for stocks.</p><p>Finally, there is a bullish seasonal pattern in place from Thanksgiving through the second trading day of the new year. Normally, small-caps outperform big-caps during that time.</p><p>In summary, the bulls have made an impressive run since early October, and a break through the downtrend line of this bear market would need to be respected. It would not necessarily mean that the bear market is over, but we would no longer recommend carrying a “core” bearish position if that happens.</p><h2>New recommendation: Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings</h2><p>The option volume in Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings rose sharply yesterday (November 30th) on M&amp;A speculation. The stock is trading at an all-time high. Stock volume patterns are strong and improving. There is support at 51.</p><p><b>Buy 2 AJRD Jan (20th) 50 calls</b></p><p><b>At a price of 4.10 or less.</b></p><p>AJRD: 52.00               Jan (20th) 50 calls: 3.30 bid, offered at 4.60.</p><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a526d855e9ae30f360e314edc7b8f83a\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>New recommendation: Horizon Therapeutics</h2><p>Option volume in Horizon Therapeutics  exploded following news that the company has fielded takeover interest from multiple Big Pharma companies (Amgen, Johnson &amp; Johnson and Sanofi) but that discussions were at a “highly” preliminary stage. Put option activity was relatively strong. Analysts are projecting an eventual deal price as high as $140 per share. Stock volume patterns are very strong and improving rapidly. There is support at 95-96, potentially.</p><p><b>Buy 1 HZNP Jan (20th) 100 call</b></p><p><b>At a price of 11.00 or less.</b></p><p>HZNP: 100.29             Jan (20th) 100 call: 10.40 bid, offered at 11.20</p><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00ee4a12d8cd33134825d8b40e854722\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Follow-up action</h2><p><b><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></b></p><p>We are using a “standard” rolling procedure for our SPY spreads: in any vertical bull or bear spread, if the underlying hits the short strike, then roll the entire spread. That would be roll <i>up</i> in the case of a call bull spread, or roll <i>down</i> in the case of a bear put spread. Stay in the same expiration, and keep the distance between the strikes the same unless otherwise instructed.</p><p><b>Long 2 Dec (16th) 375 puts and Short 2 Dec (16th) 355 puts:</b> This is our “core” bearish position. |As long as SPX remains in a downtrend, we want to maintain a position here. The spread is worth so little that placing a stop isn’t useful.</p><p><b>Long 1 SPY Dec (23rd) 392 call and short 1 SPY Dec (23rd) 408 call:</b>This trade is based on the MVB buy signal, which was established on October 4th. We want to roll this spread up and out, since SPY has nearly reached the upper strike. Roll to the <b>Jan (6th) 408-423 call bull spread (i.e., Buy the 408 calls, sell the 423 calls).</b>This trade’s target is for SPX to trade at the upper, +4σ Band. The stop for this position would be if SPX were to close back below the -4σ Band. We will keep you informed if either Band has been touched.</p><p><b>Long 300 KLXE:</b> The stop remains at 14.50.</p><p><b>Long 2 WRK Jan (20th) 32.5 calls:</b> We will hold as long as the <i>weighted</i> put-call ratio remains on a buy signal.</p><p><b>Long 1 SPY Dec (9th) 390 call and short 1 SPY Dec (9th) 410 call:</b> The spread is based on the rare CBOE Equity-only put-call ratio buy signal. This spread can be rolled up and out now, as well:  <b>roll to the Jan (6th) 410-425 call bull spread.</b>As a stop, we will close it out if SPX closes below 3900 (note the change in stop price).</p><p><b>Long 2 KMB Jan (20th) 135 calls:</b> We rolled this position up last week<b><i>.</i></b>We will hold these calls as long as the <i>weighted</i> put-call ratio of KMB remains on its buy signal.</p><p><b>Long 2 IWM Jan (20th) 185 at-the-money calls and Short 2 IWM Jan (20th) 205 calls:</b>This is our position based on the bullish seasonality between Thanksgiving and the second trading day of the new year. We will adjust this position if IWM rallies during the holding period, but initially there is no stop for the position, so the entire debit is at risk.</p><p><b>Long 2 PSX Jan (20th) 105 puts:</b> We will hold these puts as long as the <i>weighted</i> put-call ratio remains on a sell signal. That is, as long as the put-call ratio is rising.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Is on the Cusp of Breaking Through a Level That Might Spell the End of the Bear Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Is on the Cusp of Breaking Through a Level That Might Spell the End of the Bear Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-02 08:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-is-on-the-cusp-of-breaking-through-a-level-that-might-spell-the-end-of-the-bear-market-11669924124?mod=options><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has sputtered at times over the past three weeks, but Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s statements Wednesday prompted the S&P 500  to jump above a technical resistance level at...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-is-on-the-cusp-of-breaking-through-a-level-that-might-spell-the-end-of-the-bear-market-11669924124?mod=options\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HZNP":"Horizon Pharma","AJRD":"Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-is-on-the-cusp-of-breaking-through-a-level-that-might-spell-the-end-of-the-bear-market-11669924124?mod=options","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196935334","content_text":"The stock market has sputtered at times over the past three weeks, but Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s statements Wednesday prompted the S&P 500  to jump above a technical resistance level at 4030 points.The benchmark index is now challenging the declining 200-day moving average (MA) and the trend line that defines the bear market. A strong move above 4100 would break that downtrend line for the first time this year, potentially ending the bear market.Note that I am not saying an increase above 4100 would absolutely be the end of the bear market but it could lead to that possibility. This current rally has closed the gaps on the so-called island reversal of early September. So the next resistance area is the August highs, just above 4300. The first support area is in 3900-3950, so a move below 3900 would be negative in that it would reverse most of the positive action of the past few weeks.The McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) buy signal that took place in early October is still in place. Its target is the +4σ “modified Bollinger Band,” which is now at 4200 and racing higher.Equity-only put-call ratios are technically still on buy signals. By “technically,” I mean that the computer programs that we use to analyze those charts are still rating them as “buy.”However, a close examination of the two accompanying charts will show they have not made new lows in the past few days. That is a bit worrisome, for these ratios should be trending lower while the S&P 500 is trending higher. For now, it is only a concern, not a sell signal, but we would like to see these ratios move to new relative lows (below their November lows) in order to re-confirm their buy signals.Breadth indicators have swung back and forth quickly as the market has bounced around for nearly a month now. That has produced some whipsaw signals from breadth oscillators. For the record, they are now back on buy signals, but we are reluctant to put too much importance on them at this time. Yesterday (November 30th) was a 90% “up” day.New 52-week highs on the New York Stock Exchange have still not reached 100 on any day — our minimum requirement for the setup of a potential buy signal. As a result, this indicator remains negative for now. There is still much work to be done here before a buy signal can take place.VIX has continued to decline, for the most part, since early October. Thus, the trendof VIX is downward and that is bullish for stocks. Specifically, we had a “trend of VIX” buy signal in early November, when the 20-day MA of VIX crossed below the 200-day MA of VIX, and that is still in place. The only worry from VIX would be if it were to re-enter “spiking” mode by closing at least 3.00 points higher over any three-day or shorter period. That doesn’t appear to be a factor now, but it is worth watching for.The construct of volatility derivatives remains a positive force for the stock market, too. The term structures of both the VIX futures and of the CBOE Volatility Indices are sloping upwards. Furthermore, the VIX futures are trading at healthy premiums to VIX. Those are bullish signs for stocks.Finally, there is a bullish seasonal pattern in place from Thanksgiving through the second trading day of the new year. Normally, small-caps outperform big-caps during that time.In summary, the bulls have made an impressive run since early October, and a break through the downtrend line of this bear market would need to be respected. It would not necessarily mean that the bear market is over, but we would no longer recommend carrying a “core” bearish position if that happens.New recommendation: Aerojet Rocketdyne HoldingsThe option volume in Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings rose sharply yesterday (November 30th) on M&A speculation. The stock is trading at an all-time high. Stock volume patterns are strong and improving. There is support at 51.Buy 2 AJRD Jan (20th) 50 callsAt a price of 4.10 or less.AJRD: 52.00               Jan (20th) 50 calls: 3.30 bid, offered at 4.60.New recommendation: Horizon TherapeuticsOption volume in Horizon Therapeutics  exploded following news that the company has fielded takeover interest from multiple Big Pharma companies (Amgen, Johnson & Johnson and Sanofi) but that discussions were at a “highly” preliminary stage. Put option activity was relatively strong. Analysts are projecting an eventual deal price as high as $140 per share. Stock volume patterns are very strong and improving rapidly. There is support at 95-96, potentially.Buy 1 HZNP Jan (20th) 100 callAt a price of 11.00 or less.HZNP: 100.29             Jan (20th) 100 call: 10.40 bid, offered at 11.20Follow-up actionAll stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.We are using a “standard” rolling procedure for our SPY spreads: in any vertical bull or bear spread, if the underlying hits the short strike, then roll the entire spread. That would be roll up in the case of a call bull spread, or roll down in the case of a bear put spread. Stay in the same expiration, and keep the distance between the strikes the same unless otherwise instructed.Long 2 Dec (16th) 375 puts and Short 2 Dec (16th) 355 puts: This is our “core” bearish position. |As long as SPX remains in a downtrend, we want to maintain a position here. The spread is worth so little that placing a stop isn’t useful.Long 1 SPY Dec (23rd) 392 call and short 1 SPY Dec (23rd) 408 call:This trade is based on the MVB buy signal, which was established on October 4th. We want to roll this spread up and out, since SPY has nearly reached the upper strike. Roll to the Jan (6th) 408-423 call bull spread (i.e., Buy the 408 calls, sell the 423 calls).This trade’s target is for SPX to trade at the upper, +4σ Band. The stop for this position would be if SPX were to close back below the -4σ Band. We will keep you informed if either Band has been touched.Long 300 KLXE: The stop remains at 14.50.Long 2 WRK Jan (20th) 32.5 calls: We will hold as long as the weighted put-call ratio remains on a buy signal.Long 1 SPY Dec (9th) 390 call and short 1 SPY Dec (9th) 410 call: The spread is based on the rare CBOE Equity-only put-call ratio buy signal. This spread can be rolled up and out now, as well:  roll to the Jan (6th) 410-425 call bull spread.As a stop, we will close it out if SPX closes below 3900 (note the change in stop price).Long 2 KMB Jan (20th) 135 calls: We rolled this position up last week.We will hold these calls as long as the weighted put-call ratio of KMB remains on its buy signal.Long 2 IWM Jan (20th) 185 at-the-money calls and Short 2 IWM Jan (20th) 205 calls:This is our position based on the bullish seasonality between Thanksgiving and the second trading day of the new year. We will adjust this position if IWM rallies during the holding period, but initially there is no stop for the position, so the entire debit is at risk.Long 2 PSX Jan (20th) 105 puts: We will hold these puts as long as the weighted put-call ratio remains on a sell signal. That is, as long as the put-call ratio is rising.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936149794,"gmtCreate":1662733102218,"gmtModify":1676537129458,"author":{"id":"3574822281385989","authorId":"3574822281385989","name":"Aerokris46","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978f8d0745599f2498f129139db721f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree. At lease these 4months volatilty will swing wildly with way","listText":"Agree. At lease these 4months volatilty will swing wildly with way","text":"Agree. At lease these 4months volatilty will swing wildly with way","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936149794","repostId":"1102080267","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102080267","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1662730336,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102080267?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-09 21:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Jumps 100 Points As Wall Street Looks to Break 3-Week Slump","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102080267","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks rose Friday following a choppy trading session as traders considered Federal Reserve Cha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks rose Friday following a choppy trading session as traders considered Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest comments on inflation.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 221 points, or 0.69%. S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.8% and 1.02%, respectively.</p><p>Shares of DocuSign surged more than 17% in extended trading after the electronic agreements company reported an earnings beat. The company also issued a third-quarter revenue forecast that was above expectations.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 193 points, or 0.61%, during the regular session on Thursday — closing higher after alternating between gains and losses throughout the day. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.66%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.60%.</p><p>Those gains put all three major averages on pace to snap a three-week losing streak. Through Thursday, the Dow is up 1.45%. Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 500 is up 2.09%, and the Nasdaq Composite is 1.99% higher.</p><p>Stocks have been volatile recently as expectations of a 0.75 percentage point rate hike this month grew on Wall Street, after the Fed chair said again that he is “strongly committed” to bringing down inflation.</p><p>“I think that people are grossly underestimating what the Fed is going to have to do to fight inflation,” Richard Bernstein Advisors CEO Richard Bernstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime.”</p><p>“It’s incredibly ironic that investors are even considering a Fed pivot when the real fed funds rate remains about as most negative as it has historically been. So the Fed isn’t even really heartily fighting inflation yet. We don’t have a positive real fed funds rate. It’s hard to argue that we should turn wildly bullish anytime soon,” he added.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Jumps 100 Points As Wall Street Looks to Break 3-Week Slump</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Jumps 100 Points As Wall Street Looks to Break 3-Week Slump\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-09 21:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks rose Friday following a choppy trading session as traders considered Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest comments on inflation.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 221 points, or 0.69%. S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.8% and 1.02%, respectively.</p><p>Shares of DocuSign surged more than 17% in extended trading after the electronic agreements company reported an earnings beat. The company also issued a third-quarter revenue forecast that was above expectations.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 193 points, or 0.61%, during the regular session on Thursday — closing higher after alternating between gains and losses throughout the day. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.66%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.60%.</p><p>Those gains put all three major averages on pace to snap a three-week losing streak. Through Thursday, the Dow is up 1.45%. Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 500 is up 2.09%, and the Nasdaq Composite is 1.99% higher.</p><p>Stocks have been volatile recently as expectations of a 0.75 percentage point rate hike this month grew on Wall Street, after the Fed chair said again that he is “strongly committed” to bringing down inflation.</p><p>“I think that people are grossly underestimating what the Fed is going to have to do to fight inflation,” Richard Bernstein Advisors CEO Richard Bernstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime.”</p><p>“It’s incredibly ironic that investors are even considering a Fed pivot when the real fed funds rate remains about as most negative as it has historically been. So the Fed isn’t even really heartily fighting inflation yet. We don’t have a positive real fed funds rate. It’s hard to argue that we should turn wildly bullish anytime soon,” he added.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102080267","content_text":"U.S. stocks rose Friday following a choppy trading session as traders considered Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest comments on inflation.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 221 points, or 0.69%. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.8% and 1.02%, respectively.Shares of DocuSign surged more than 17% in extended trading after the electronic agreements company reported an earnings beat. The company also issued a third-quarter revenue forecast that was above expectations.The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 193 points, or 0.61%, during the regular session on Thursday — closing higher after alternating between gains and losses throughout the day. The S&P 500 rose 0.66%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.60%.Those gains put all three major averages on pace to snap a three-week losing streak. Through Thursday, the Dow is up 1.45%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is up 2.09%, and the Nasdaq Composite is 1.99% higher.Stocks have been volatile recently as expectations of a 0.75 percentage point rate hike this month grew on Wall Street, after the Fed chair said again that he is “strongly committed” to bringing down inflation.“I think that people are grossly underestimating what the Fed is going to have to do to fight inflation,” Richard Bernstein Advisors CEO Richard Bernstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime.”“It’s incredibly ironic that investors are even considering a Fed pivot when the real fed funds rate remains about as most negative as it has historically been. So the Fed isn’t even really heartily fighting inflation yet. We don’t have a positive real fed funds rate. It’s hard to argue that we should turn wildly bullish anytime soon,” he added.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":294181172207872,"gmtCreate":1712844583845,"gmtModify":1712844878480,"author":{"id":"3574822281385989","authorId":"3574822281385989","name":"Aerokris46","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978f8d0745599f2498f129139db721f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I doubt there's any rate cuts till after US election on 5 Nov unless the next FOMC meetings shows CPI is improving below 3.5% and Core inflation below 3.8%! May 1, June 12, July 31 and Sept 18 may be flat. Best scenario not to raise or cut to buy time for a bigger phenomenon to happen later. 6 Nov has all the reason to cut rate and depending on how much too to see what's to come after 🙏","listText":"I doubt there's any rate cuts till after US election on 5 Nov unless the next FOMC meetings shows CPI is improving below 3.5% and Core inflation below 3.8%! May 1, June 12, July 31 and Sept 18 may be flat. Best scenario not to raise or cut to buy time for a bigger phenomenon to happen later. 6 Nov has all the reason to cut rate and depending on how much too to see what's to come after 🙏","text":"I doubt there's any rate cuts till after US election on 5 Nov unless the next FOMC meetings shows CPI is improving below 3.5% and Core inflation below 3.8%! May 1, June 12, July 31 and Sept 18 may be flat. Best scenario not to raise or cut to buy time for a bigger phenomenon to happen later. 6 Nov has all the reason to cut rate and depending on how much too to see what's to come after 🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/294181172207872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983583098,"gmtCreate":1666275188415,"gmtModify":1676537734101,"author":{"id":"3574822281385989","authorId":"3574822281385989","name":"Aerokris46","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978f8d0745599f2498f129139db721f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983583098","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917707613,"gmtCreate":1665581593732,"gmtModify":1676537630862,"author":{"id":"3574822281385989","authorId":"3574822281385989","name":"Aerokris46","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978f8d0745599f2498f129139db721f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>","text":"$S&P 500(.SPX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917707613","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}