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Timkang
2021-03-16
Hi
Hedge Funds Kicked Off 2021 With $49 Billion Sale of Treasuries
Timkang
2021-05-13
[Cry]
Coinbase earnings: The crypto platform's stock could see 65% skid as competition picks up, says one analyst
Timkang
2021-05-17
[Smile]
Delta Mandates All New Employees Must Have COVID-19 Vaccinations
Timkang
2021-06-01
[Smile]
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Timkang
2021-05-25
??
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Timkang
2021-05-20
[Shy]
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Timkang
2021-05-17
[Grin]
Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday
Timkang
2021-05-28
[Smile]
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Timkang
2021-05-20
[Smile]
China stocks end mixed, resources losses offset gains in financials
Timkang
2021-05-20
[Smile]
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Timkang
2021-06-27
[What]
Don't Miss What 3 Nasdaq Stocks Do Next Week
Timkang
2021-06-22
[What]
Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next
Timkang
2021-06-17
[Shy]
AMC: Take Profits
Timkang
2021-06-01
Hi
Alibaba: One Of The Really Cheap Bargains In This Market
Timkang
2021-05-25
[Anger]
GSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market
Timkang
2021-05-25
Wow
GSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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","listText":"[What] ","text":"[What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/124979176","repostId":"1152075524","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152075524","pubTimestamp":1624666599,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152075524?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-26 08:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don't Miss What 3 Nasdaq Stocks Do Next Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152075524","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The stock market has done well recently, and the favorable sentiment has sent the Nasdaq Composite(N","content":"<p>The stock market has done well recently, and the favorable sentiment has sent the <b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) to record levels. On Friday, the Nasdaq closed a strong week on a quiet note.</p>\n<p>We're almost halfway through 2021, and investors are trying to get a read on how the second half of the year will go. Despite the current lull in corporate earnings releases, market participants will get three key readings from major companies next week.Nasdaqinvestors should treat these reports as must-read news that could move markets as we pass the six-month mark in the current year.</p>\n<p><b>Bed Bath & Beyond</b></p>\n<p><b>Bed Bath & Beyond</b> (NASDAQ:BBBY) will report its fiscal first-quarter results on Wednesday morning, June 30. Thehome furnishings stock has gotten a lot of attention both because of its turnaround efforts and because of its relatively new status as a meme stock followed by individual investors.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/417e33a9c1d841f220a2b37d2e368a64\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p>\n<p>Bed Bath & Beyond has struggled over the past several years as it fought to come up with a digital strategy to fend off competition from e-commerce giants. Many saw the business as ultimately doomed, and the stock got substantial short interest among investors as a result. Yet activist investors stepped in and aimed to concentrate on the company's most lucrative business opportunities, and now, some shareholders are optimistic about Bed Bath & Beyond's ability to cash in on the reopening economy.</p>\n<p>Investors have high hopes for the coming report, expecting Bed Bath & Beyond to return to profitability and produce impressive revenue growth of around 35%. After the gains the share price has seen in the past week, anything short of those lofty aspirations could cause an abrupt reversal for the meme stock's prospects.</p>\n<p><b>Micron Technology</b></p>\n<p>Chipmaker <b>Micron Technology</b>(NASDAQ:MU) weighs in with its fiscal third-quarter report on Wednesday afternoon. The company has taken full advantage of huge rises in demand for memory chips and other products, but investors have seemed increasingly nervous abouthow long Micron's demand will lastgiven the notoriously cyclical nature of the semiconductor chip industry.</p>\n<p>To be clear, few investors have any doubts about the strength of the just-ended quarter. Most of those following the stock expect earnings to double year over year, with revenue climbing at a faster than 35% pace. Many see that growth continuing well into next year. The consensus forecast for fiscal 2022 earnings puts a forward multiple of just 8 on Micron's share price.</p>\n<p>The key question is how quickly Micron and its competitors will ramp up production capacity in order to meet higher demand. In the past, upward cycles in the chip market ended because companies like Micron boost production too far, creating gluts of chips and sending prices plunging. That in turn crushes profits, making low price-to-earnings ratios into value traps for the unwary. All eyes will be on Micron's report to see not only how things have gone, but also what the future holds for it and its rivals.</p>\n<p><b>Walgreens Boots Alliance</b></p>\n<p>Lastly,<b>Walgreen Boots Alliance</b>(NASDAQ:WBA) will offer its latest look at earnings on Thursday, July 1. Investors are expecting a mixed picture from the giant drugstore chain, with revenue likely slipping a bit from year-ago levels but profits jumping by nearly 65%.</p>\n<p>Investors will watch how Walgreens has done in administering COVID-19 vaccines, which has been a one-time boon for the industry generally. However, of greater long-term concern will be any comments on whether the possibility of e-commerce giant <b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN) challenging Walgreens' business more directly could cause problems.</p>\n<p>Walgreens will have to have a strategy for how to build on momentum from COVID-related impacts. If the drugstore chain can't deliver, then the relatively stagnant performance of its stock could continue further into 2021 and potentially beyond.</p>\n<p><b>Watch out for surprises</b></p>\n<p>News that's close to what investors expect likely won't make a big difference for any of these three stocks or the stock market more broadly. But if any of these companies has a big surprise, it could turn out to be what moves the Nasdaq heading into the July 4 holiday weekend.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don't Miss What 3 Nasdaq Stocks Do Next Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon't Miss What 3 Nasdaq Stocks Do Next Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-26 08:16 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/25/dont-miss-what-3-nasdaq-stocks-do-next-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has done well recently, and the favorable sentiment has sent the Nasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) to record levels. On Friday, the Nasdaq closed a strong week on a quiet note.\nWe'...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/25/dont-miss-what-3-nasdaq-stocks-do-next-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"3B家居","WBA":"沃尔格林联合博姿","MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/25/dont-miss-what-3-nasdaq-stocks-do-next-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152075524","content_text":"The stock market has done well recently, and the favorable sentiment has sent the Nasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) to record levels. On Friday, the Nasdaq closed a strong week on a quiet note.\nWe're almost halfway through 2021, and investors are trying to get a read on how the second half of the year will go. Despite the current lull in corporate earnings releases, market participants will get three key readings from major companies next week.Nasdaqinvestors should treat these reports as must-read news that could move markets as we pass the six-month mark in the current year.\nBed Bath & Beyond\nBed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ:BBBY) will report its fiscal first-quarter results on Wednesday morning, June 30. Thehome furnishings stock has gotten a lot of attention both because of its turnaround efforts and because of its relatively new status as a meme stock followed by individual investors.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nBed Bath & Beyond has struggled over the past several years as it fought to come up with a digital strategy to fend off competition from e-commerce giants. Many saw the business as ultimately doomed, and the stock got substantial short interest among investors as a result. Yet activist investors stepped in and aimed to concentrate on the company's most lucrative business opportunities, and now, some shareholders are optimistic about Bed Bath & Beyond's ability to cash in on the reopening economy.\nInvestors have high hopes for the coming report, expecting Bed Bath & Beyond to return to profitability and produce impressive revenue growth of around 35%. After the gains the share price has seen in the past week, anything short of those lofty aspirations could cause an abrupt reversal for the meme stock's prospects.\nMicron Technology\nChipmaker Micron Technology(NASDAQ:MU) weighs in with its fiscal third-quarter report on Wednesday afternoon. The company has taken full advantage of huge rises in demand for memory chips and other products, but investors have seemed increasingly nervous abouthow long Micron's demand will lastgiven the notoriously cyclical nature of the semiconductor chip industry.\nTo be clear, few investors have any doubts about the strength of the just-ended quarter. Most of those following the stock expect earnings to double year over year, with revenue climbing at a faster than 35% pace. Many see that growth continuing well into next year. The consensus forecast for fiscal 2022 earnings puts a forward multiple of just 8 on Micron's share price.\nThe key question is how quickly Micron and its competitors will ramp up production capacity in order to meet higher demand. In the past, upward cycles in the chip market ended because companies like Micron boost production too far, creating gluts of chips and sending prices plunging. That in turn crushes profits, making low price-to-earnings ratios into value traps for the unwary. All eyes will be on Micron's report to see not only how things have gone, but also what the future holds for it and its rivals.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance\nLastly,Walgreen Boots Alliance(NASDAQ:WBA) will offer its latest look at earnings on Thursday, July 1. Investors are expecting a mixed picture from the giant drugstore chain, with revenue likely slipping a bit from year-ago levels but profits jumping by nearly 65%.\nInvestors will watch how Walgreens has done in administering COVID-19 vaccines, which has been a one-time boon for the industry generally. However, of greater long-term concern will be any comments on whether the possibility of e-commerce giant Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) challenging Walgreens' business more directly could cause problems.\nWalgreens will have to have a strategy for how to build on momentum from COVID-related impacts. If the drugstore chain can't deliver, then the relatively stagnant performance of its stock could continue further into 2021 and potentially beyond.\nWatch out for surprises\nNews that's close to what investors expect likely won't make a big difference for any of these three stocks or the stock market more broadly. But if any of these companies has a big surprise, it could turn out to be what moves the Nasdaq heading into the July 4 holiday weekend.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129194270,"gmtCreate":1624363808290,"gmtModify":1703834413361,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[What] ","listText":"[What] ","text":"[What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129194270","repostId":"1177499959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177499959","pubTimestamp":1624344919,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177499959?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177499959","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" spa","content":"<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.</p>\n<p>Fast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"Tapering<i><b>is</b></i>Tightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.</p>\n<p>Elaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)- writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"<b>fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"</b></p>\n<p>Or to paraphrase Lester Burnham,<b>\"it's all downhill from here\"...</b>and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"<b><i>the transition is incomplete.\"</i></b></p>\n<p>Highlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:<b>\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.</b>\"</p>\n<p>Furthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d95f296e4d1300cd3c95485a2333d270\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"</p>\n<blockquote>\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Nevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.</p>\n<p>While real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"<b>this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670f9e23e34953726583276c32a7b3f9\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"445\"></p>\n<p>That said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.<b>This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.</b>Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.</p>\n<p>Wilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantially<b>before</b>Bernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"<i>perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"</i></p>\n<blockquote>\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.</p>\n<p>Wrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,<b>monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - is</b><b><u>money supply growth</u></b><b>:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>In a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,</i>\n <i><b>the primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Realizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\" He explains:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>When money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>And visually:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392b34be32740b00458d59adb2bb80a6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"486\"></p>\n<p>But wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).</p>\n<p>Taking Wilson's argument a step further,<b>M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economy</b><b><i>and</i></b><b>markets.</b>On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of February<b>but has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a more \"normal\" level of annual growth</b>— i.e., 7-8%</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd5f46571e7e27f9c00fed0a2d310a3c\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>More ominously, this also suggests<b>liquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.</b></p>\n<p>Finally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c77fa806a6775bc562b18346590d26c9\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>Wilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.</p>\n<p>This to Wilson<b>\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"</b>and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).</p>\n<p>Putting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is that<b>the market already knows it.</b>The bad news is that<b>a majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.</b>This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"</p>\n<p>And while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.</p>\n<p>We expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 14:55 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177499959","content_text":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.\nFast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"TaperingisTightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.\nElaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)- writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"\nOr to paraphrase Lester Burnham,\"it's all downhill from here\"...and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"the transition is incomplete.\"\nHighlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.\"\nFurthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...\n... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"\n\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n\nNevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.\nWhile real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"\n\nThat said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.\nWilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantiallybeforeBernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"\n\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n\nThe underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.\nWrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - ismoney supply growth:\n\nIn a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,\nthe primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.\n\nRealizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\" He explains:\n\nWhen money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).\n\nAnd visually:\n\nBut wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).\nTaking Wilson's argument a step further,M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economyandmarkets.On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of Februarybut has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a more \"normal\" level of annual growth— i.e., 7-8%\n\nMore ominously, this also suggestsliquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.\nFinally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.\n\nWilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.\nThis to Wilson\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).\nPutting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is thatthe market already knows it.The bad news is thata majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"\nAnd while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.\nWe expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161035413,"gmtCreate":1623895999332,"gmtModify":1703822868331,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Shy] ","listText":"[Shy] ","text":"[Shy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/161035413","repostId":"1157739738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157739738","pubTimestamp":1623891796,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157739738?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 09:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: Take Profits","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157739738","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.Important short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.Given the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.When I look at AMC’s cha","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>After emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.</li>\n <li>Important short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.</li>\n <li>Given the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd621cec481d173c0f0d3b9be49ed335\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1241\"><span>BCFC/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>Over the past two weeks or so, AMC(NYSE:AMC)has undergone a historic rise in its stock price. Due in part to elevated levels of short interest, the use of options, and actions taken by AMC, the equities price has risen ~485% in the last month. For the year, AMC has risen by ~763.5% to a price of ~$55 a share and a market cap of $28.4B, despite a fundamentally destructive year to the company and its long-term business prospects. After rising earlier this year amongst the short and gamma squeeze of GameStop(NYSE:GMEand other “reddit” fueled equities, AMC has gained momentum again and has separated itself from the group with its performance. This piece will compare GME’s leadership in the February fiasco with AMC’s current leadership and will evaluate the catalysts driving the moves and their lifespans. Given the nature of this equities price action, it is important to consistently reconsider your investment thesis and re-evaluate what is driving price action. In my opinion, technical analysis takes over in these scenarios, and I will point to many factors that indicate this might be the time to take profit or initiate a position in anticipation of a sell-off.</p>\n<p><b>Technical Analysis</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d813be28f7a34550ff50814b55a68e45\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"308\"><span>Source: CNBC(GameStop)</span></p>\n<p>Consider the run-up in GME earlier this year when it had leadership amongst the pack of momentum or “meme” stocks. The top red band on the chart indicates the 7-day moving average, while the blue indicates the 50-day moving average and the green the 200-day moving average. As you can see from the chart, breakthroughs of the 7-day moving average are consistently followed by large moves in both directions. It seems, with these drastically volatile moves, the 7-day moving average is the most useful indicator for price action. As you can see in the chart, in February, March, and June, when GME’s price broke through the 7-day moving average, stark downside followed.</p>\n<p>Interestingly enough, the 50-day moving average (blue line) has seemed to provide some level of consistent support in this upward trend, providing a level of support for a couple bounces along the move. And as this upward trend has continued, the gap between the 50-day and the 7-day has contracted, thus providing less volatility and greater predictability in terms of levels of resistance and support.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30a18cedd2df4fa0530b6c94859b3021\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"252\"><span>Source: CNBC [AMC]</span></p>\n<p>When I look at AMC’s chart, it reminds me of GME’s in February of 2021. The upward move has been quick and stark (~350% in ~23 days) similar to GME’s move in February (~1,525% in ~21 days). Both led to a large dispersion between the 7-day and 50-day moving averages in the short term and, thus, offered elevated potential for volatility both in terms of the upside and downside. As you can see from GME’s chart, it eventually tested the 50-day moving average around ~$45-50 after touching ~$350 the week prior.</p>\n<p>Similarly to GME, AMC has also now consolidated around its 7-day average after this run-up and allowed it to catch up to the price action. If AMC is unable to break through $62.55 and present new momentum, it is at risk of double topping, breaking through its 7-day average on the downside and retesting the 50-day around $20.<i>This scenario offers ~60% downside.</i>Although I don’t usual look at time periods in an effort to evaluate potential future price action, I think it is important to note the similarity in terms of the time period of both moves and stay wary about what followed on the back end of GME’s move.</p>\n<p><b>Google Search Interest: The Momentum Story</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dda9563f56dc1df868212408e969418\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"181\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends (GameStop)</span></p>\n<p>As these moves are very much based upon momentum, Google search interest may be of value to consider. As you can see from the chart, GME’s search interest rose and fell quickly in late Jan. early Feb., pretty much in line with its equities performance. Its peak in interest pretty much aligned exactly with its peak in price, and its fall in interest aligned exactly with its fall in price. Similarly, its rebound in interest followed its rebound in price after testing the 50-day moving average around ~$45.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fba476b389598252d5156f43d0962f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"190\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends [AMC]</span></p>\n<p>When you look at AMC’s Google Search Interest, you can also see its dramatic spike in a short period of time and then a subsequent stark decline. As search interest and volume were leading indicators for GME's move downward back in February, this chart might indicate a potential sell-off if it is not able to rebound.</p>\n<p><b>Cross-Analysis</b></p>\n<p>When you chart stock price, search interest, and volume over each other, the relationship between them all becomes clearer, despite the imperfections in measuring a large number like volume to interest.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71c144385e0530f21df9f305b4eef2f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"392\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p>\n<p>When considering GME, the chart demonstrates that the variables have a correlation, especially in the stark and volatile moves upward and downward. While they may stray during times of relative muted volatility, they retain a relationship when things are moving in a volatile nature. Search interest and volume seemingly led or fell directly in line with the stock price following the move upward.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c1aab35454d89a6f58f78341bf918b\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"375\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p>\n<p>AMC’s chart actually demonstrates the relationship and correlation between these variables more clearly. Consider how search interest and volume actually preceded price in GME’s move down and how AMC’s search interest recently broke through its price in a similar manner.</p>\n<p>While this method of analysis is not perfect, it is important to remember what the catalysts for your positions are and constantly analyze the duration of their impact and lifespan in the marketplace. As with all short-term volatile moves, fundamentals rarely provide too much of an indication or near term price action. Often, technicals, volume, and momentum provide the most accurate forecasts of future price action and, thus, are the most useful to analyze.</p>\n<p>Many have offered catalysts for what has driven this move, ranging from the re-opening narrative, a gamma or short squeeze, or the influx of new capital from shares issuances. The bottom line is all these catalysts depend upon momentum for their effective lifespan. Even if they are catalysts that will take place over time, dramatic price appreciation like this shortens the lifespan of the catalysts' daily momentum until they retest the longer term averages and establishes stability with heightened volume.</p>\n<p>I think it would be prudent to take profit here or at least take more than 50% off the table for the time being, and for those interested, a position in anticipation of a stark downside seems sensible.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>The risks to the bearish thesis on AMC involve renewed momentum and continued strength above the 7-day moving average. As I elaborated on earlier, that seems to be the most critical indicator of short-term price movement in these scenarios and consistently has been an indicator of a dramatic move to come both on the upside and downside. If AMC holds above this average and tightens the gap between the 7-day and the 20 and 50-day moving averages, it could potentially hold this heightened volume and price level and consolidate before making a move to new highs. I fundamentally believe that, while there are catalysts here at play, when a move is this dramatic in this short of a time frame momentum and technicals take over in determining future price action. And, thus, if the technicals break down, there should be stark downside. However, if the technicals continue to stay bullish, there may be more upside ahead. AMC looks to similar, however, to GME’s February move, and the bearish double top pattern seems to be forming.</p>\n<p>Conclusion</p>\n<p>After writing a bullish article on AMC in January, we are now bearish on the equity, recognizing the deterioration of key momentum indicators and the technical similarity to the GME’s rise and fall back in February. In events like this, the catalysts get choppy, and it’s important to evaluate the lifespan of the main points to in your investment thesis. When things rise dramatically, there is often a time off profit taken in which the market re-prices just how valuable catalysts are. If it’s just momentum as a catalyst, the re-pricing is often stark and volatile. If it is a more long-term catalyst, the profit taking can be more muted. While there may be many catalysts driving AMC’s rise, there is without doubt one that takes precedent over them all, and that is the momentum story. Given our examination of GME, it seems the 7-day moving average is the price level to look at before dramatic downside, given the gap between the 20 and 50 day moving average. As Google search trends, volume, and price (double top pattern) seem to indicate things are breaking down and are similar at least to GME in February. One should consider taking profits here, and if inclined to take the other side, consider initiating a position accordingly now. While option premiums are high, I think there is still an ability to initiate a small position or a hedge with some short-term options (2 weeks-4 weeks). If price action were to head to the downside, the move would be drastic as the next level of support is $40 lower than the current price. While I think shorting could make sense here, and the cost to borrow doesn’t seem that high as the percentage of shares short is not GME’s level, there is inherently more risk there.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: Take Profits</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: Take Profits\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 09:03 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435124-amc-stock-take-profits><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAfter emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.\nImportant short-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435124-amc-stock-take-profits\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435124-amc-stock-take-profits","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157739738","content_text":"Summary\n\nAfter emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.\nImportant short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.\nGiven the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.\n\nBCFC/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nOver the past two weeks or so, AMC(NYSE:AMC)has undergone a historic rise in its stock price. Due in part to elevated levels of short interest, the use of options, and actions taken by AMC, the equities price has risen ~485% in the last month. For the year, AMC has risen by ~763.5% to a price of ~$55 a share and a market cap of $28.4B, despite a fundamentally destructive year to the company and its long-term business prospects. After rising earlier this year amongst the short and gamma squeeze of GameStop(NYSE:GMEand other “reddit” fueled equities, AMC has gained momentum again and has separated itself from the group with its performance. This piece will compare GME’s leadership in the February fiasco with AMC’s current leadership and will evaluate the catalysts driving the moves and their lifespans. Given the nature of this equities price action, it is important to consistently reconsider your investment thesis and re-evaluate what is driving price action. In my opinion, technical analysis takes over in these scenarios, and I will point to many factors that indicate this might be the time to take profit or initiate a position in anticipation of a sell-off.\nTechnical Analysis\nSource: CNBC(GameStop)\nConsider the run-up in GME earlier this year when it had leadership amongst the pack of momentum or “meme” stocks. The top red band on the chart indicates the 7-day moving average, while the blue indicates the 50-day moving average and the green the 200-day moving average. As you can see from the chart, breakthroughs of the 7-day moving average are consistently followed by large moves in both directions. It seems, with these drastically volatile moves, the 7-day moving average is the most useful indicator for price action. As you can see in the chart, in February, March, and June, when GME’s price broke through the 7-day moving average, stark downside followed.\nInterestingly enough, the 50-day moving average (blue line) has seemed to provide some level of consistent support in this upward trend, providing a level of support for a couple bounces along the move. And as this upward trend has continued, the gap between the 50-day and the 7-day has contracted, thus providing less volatility and greater predictability in terms of levels of resistance and support.\nSource: CNBC [AMC]\nWhen I look at AMC’s chart, it reminds me of GME’s in February of 2021. The upward move has been quick and stark (~350% in ~23 days) similar to GME’s move in February (~1,525% in ~21 days). Both led to a large dispersion between the 7-day and 50-day moving averages in the short term and, thus, offered elevated potential for volatility both in terms of the upside and downside. As you can see from GME’s chart, it eventually tested the 50-day moving average around ~$45-50 after touching ~$350 the week prior.\nSimilarly to GME, AMC has also now consolidated around its 7-day average after this run-up and allowed it to catch up to the price action. If AMC is unable to break through $62.55 and present new momentum, it is at risk of double topping, breaking through its 7-day average on the downside and retesting the 50-day around $20.This scenario offers ~60% downside.Although I don’t usual look at time periods in an effort to evaluate potential future price action, I think it is important to note the similarity in terms of the time period of both moves and stay wary about what followed on the back end of GME’s move.\nGoogle Search Interest: The Momentum Story\nSource: Google Search Trends (GameStop)\nAs these moves are very much based upon momentum, Google search interest may be of value to consider. As you can see from the chart, GME’s search interest rose and fell quickly in late Jan. early Feb., pretty much in line with its equities performance. Its peak in interest pretty much aligned exactly with its peak in price, and its fall in interest aligned exactly with its fall in price. Similarly, its rebound in interest followed its rebound in price after testing the 50-day moving average around ~$45.\nSource: Google Search Trends [AMC]\nWhen you look at AMC’s Google Search Interest, you can also see its dramatic spike in a short period of time and then a subsequent stark decline. As search interest and volume were leading indicators for GME's move downward back in February, this chart might indicate a potential sell-off if it is not able to rebound.\nCross-Analysis\nWhen you chart stock price, search interest, and volume over each other, the relationship between them all becomes clearer, despite the imperfections in measuring a large number like volume to interest.\nSource: ValueMan\nWhen considering GME, the chart demonstrates that the variables have a correlation, especially in the stark and volatile moves upward and downward. While they may stray during times of relative muted volatility, they retain a relationship when things are moving in a volatile nature. Search interest and volume seemingly led or fell directly in line with the stock price following the move upward.\nSource: ValueMan\nAMC’s chart actually demonstrates the relationship and correlation between these variables more clearly. Consider how search interest and volume actually preceded price in GME’s move down and how AMC’s search interest recently broke through its price in a similar manner.\nWhile this method of analysis is not perfect, it is important to remember what the catalysts for your positions are and constantly analyze the duration of their impact and lifespan in the marketplace. As with all short-term volatile moves, fundamentals rarely provide too much of an indication or near term price action. Often, technicals, volume, and momentum provide the most accurate forecasts of future price action and, thus, are the most useful to analyze.\nMany have offered catalysts for what has driven this move, ranging from the re-opening narrative, a gamma or short squeeze, or the influx of new capital from shares issuances. The bottom line is all these catalysts depend upon momentum for their effective lifespan. Even if they are catalysts that will take place over time, dramatic price appreciation like this shortens the lifespan of the catalysts' daily momentum until they retest the longer term averages and establishes stability with heightened volume.\nI think it would be prudent to take profit here or at least take more than 50% off the table for the time being, and for those interested, a position in anticipation of a stark downside seems sensible.\nRisks\nThe risks to the bearish thesis on AMC involve renewed momentum and continued strength above the 7-day moving average. As I elaborated on earlier, that seems to be the most critical indicator of short-term price movement in these scenarios and consistently has been an indicator of a dramatic move to come both on the upside and downside. If AMC holds above this average and tightens the gap between the 7-day and the 20 and 50-day moving averages, it could potentially hold this heightened volume and price level and consolidate before making a move to new highs. I fundamentally believe that, while there are catalysts here at play, when a move is this dramatic in this short of a time frame momentum and technicals take over in determining future price action. And, thus, if the technicals break down, there should be stark downside. However, if the technicals continue to stay bullish, there may be more upside ahead. AMC looks to similar, however, to GME’s February move, and the bearish double top pattern seems to be forming.\nConclusion\nAfter writing a bullish article on AMC in January, we are now bearish on the equity, recognizing the deterioration of key momentum indicators and the technical similarity to the GME’s rise and fall back in February. In events like this, the catalysts get choppy, and it’s important to evaluate the lifespan of the main points to in your investment thesis. When things rise dramatically, there is often a time off profit taken in which the market re-prices just how valuable catalysts are. If it’s just momentum as a catalyst, the re-pricing is often stark and volatile. If it is a more long-term catalyst, the profit taking can be more muted. While there may be many catalysts driving AMC’s rise, there is without doubt one that takes precedent over them all, and that is the momentum story. Given our examination of GME, it seems the 7-day moving average is the price level to look at before dramatic downside, given the gap between the 20 and 50 day moving average. As Google search trends, volume, and price (double top pattern) seem to indicate things are breaking down and are similar at least to GME in February. One should consider taking profits here, and if inclined to take the other side, consider initiating a position accordingly now. While option premiums are high, I think there is still an ability to initiate a small position or a hedge with some short-term options (2 weeks-4 weeks). If price action were to head to the downside, the move would be drastic as the next level of support is $40 lower than the current price. While I think shorting could make sense here, and the cost to borrow doesn’t seem that high as the percentage of shares short is not GME’s level, there is inherently more risk there.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161036776,"gmtCreate":1623895941395,"gmtModify":1703822865251,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[What] ","listText":"[What] ","text":"[What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/161036776","repostId":"2144130887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119573363,"gmtCreate":1622556777652,"gmtModify":1704186289862,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/119573363","repostId":"1138216687","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138216687","pubTimestamp":1622552095,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138216687?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-01 20:54","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: One Of The Really Cheap Bargains In This Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138216687","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is one of the largest corporations in the world and focusing on retail, cloud and payment services.The company is clearly facing risks due to the tension between Jack Ma and the Chinese government, but I consider these risks to be only temporary.Alibaba is growing with a high pace, has a very stable balance sheet and outperforming many of its peers.So far, I have published over 300 articles on this site and the focus has been clearly on companies having the headquarters in the United Sta","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Alibaba is one of the largest corporations in the world and focusing on retail, cloud and payment services.</li>\n <li>The company is clearly facing risks due to the tension between Jack Ma and the Chinese government, but I consider these risks to be only temporary.</li>\n <li>Alibaba is growing with a high pace, has a very stable balance sheet and outperforming many of its peers.</li>\n <li>In my opinion, the stock is severely undervalued.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15ac5f97c66688f6d16ce98819ebce4a\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by maybefalse/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>So far, I have published over 300 articles on this site and the focus has been clearly on companies having the headquarters in the United States and stocks listed on an US-based stock exchange. And while I am covering also companies from Germany, France, Great Britain, Sweden or Denmark, I have avoided one country almost completely although it has many interesting investment opportunities: Mainland China.The only company I covered so far is Tencent Holdings Limited (OTCPK:TCEHY).</p>\n<p>And although China has hundreds or thousands of successful companies, most of them are almost unknown in the Western Hemisphere (especially when moving outside of the investing world). And while most investors are familiar with Tencent, there is at least one other company almost every investor has heard of: Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA). In the following article, I will analyze Alibaba in my usual way. I will try to determine if Alibaba is a solid business with a wide economic moat and try to answer the question if Alibaba is a solid investment right now.</p>\n<p><b>Business Description</b></p>\n<p>Alibaba Group was founded in 1999 by 18 individuals. Nevertheless, one of these 18 stands out – the former English teacher from Hangzhou, Jack Ma. Over the years, Alibaba evolved in a multinational technology company and with a market capitalization of $570 billion, Alibaba is on the 10thspot on the list of most valuable companies in the world (by market cap). And behind Tencent, which is on the 7thspot on that list, Alibaba is the second most valuable company in China.</p>\n<p>While Alibaba is mostly focused on e-commerce and retail operations, the Alibaba Group is actually a holding company with many different sales services. This includes C2C services, B2C services and B2B services. Aside from retail, the Alibaba Group also offers electronic payment services, shipping search engines and could computing services. The group owns and operates a diverse portfolio of companies around the world in numerous business sectors.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b315044f4644568e7df5d95cc6720995\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"479\"><span>(Source:Alibaba Q4/20 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>Alibaba is reporting in four different segments:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Core Commerce Revenue</b>: This segment is comprised of platforms operating in retail and wholesale commerce in China as well as logistics services and local consumer services. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 621.1 billion in revenue and RMB 159 billion in income from operations.</li>\n <li><b>Cloud Computing Revenue</b>: This segment is comprised of Alibaba Cloud, which offers different cloud services to customers worldwide like database, storage, big data analytics, a machine learning platform and large-scale computing security. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 60.1 billion, but the segment was not profitable so far (a loss of RMB 9 billion).</li>\n <li><b>Digital Media and Entertainment Revenue</b>: This segment uses the deep data insights to serve the broader interests of consumers through key distribution platforms Youku and Alibaba Pictures as well as other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, literature and music. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 31.2 billion, but was also not profitable.</li>\n <li><b>Innovation Initiatives and Others Revenue</b>: This segment includes businesses like Amap, DingTalk, Tmall Genie and others. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 4.8 billion in revenue, but also an operating loss.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0529c547e87a4c0b023289ecb1822cbc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"478\"><span>(Source: Alibaba Q4/20 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When looking at the last annual results (fiscal 2021), Alibaba generated RMB 717.3 billion in revenue. Compared to fiscal 2020 (RMB 509.7 billion) this is reflecting an increase of 41%. Adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2021 was RMB 196.8 billion – an increase of 25% compared to fiscal 2020 (adjusted EBITA of RMB 157.7 billion). Diluted earnings per share actually decreased from RMB 6.99 in fiscal 2020 to RMB 6.84 in fiscal 2021 – reflecting a decrease of 2.1%. But we should not pay too much attention to the earnings per share. Instead, it makes much more sense to look at the free cash flow Alibaba is generating. In fiscal 2021, Alibaba generated RMB 172.7 billion in free cash flow compared to RMB 130.9 billion in free cash flow one year earlier.</p>\n<p><b>Strong Business Among Strong Competitors</b></p>\n<p>What is striking when looking at Alibaba – and what has been discussed several times – is the low multiple for which Alibaba is currently trading. When using the trailing twelve-month GAAP numbers, Alibaba is trading for 25 times earnings, when using the non-GAAP forward numbers, it is trading for a P/E ratio of 20.</p>\n<p>We can compare Alibaba to its peers – companies like Amazon (AMZN), Tencent, Facebook (FB), Microsoft (MSFT) or Alphabet (GOOG). And Alibaba actually belongs in that list as it is not only operating in similar business segments, but it is also growing with similarly high rates. And Alibaba is not only growing with a similar pace; it is actually outperforming most of its peers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b576dcef2e37a02a6eba5677fded8ef8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"299\"><span>(Source:Alibaba 2020 Investor Presentations)</span></p>\n<p>While Alibaba is growing with a similar pace like these companies, it is trading for a completely different multiple. Right now, Alibaba is trading for a price-cash-flow ratio of 17, while competitors like Tencent, Facebook or Microsoft are trading for a P/FCF ratio between 35 and 40. It is striking, that the market is assigning these competitors a multiple twice as high and Amazon is actually trading for a multiple more than 4 times higher (price-free-cash-flow ratio of 76).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d2f58771a8062c7bb980622b93073e5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Right now, readers might point out, that the comparison to Amazon is misleading as Amazon is still spending a lot of money to achieve future growth and therefore has a lower profit than other companies. And it certainly is true, that Amazon is still focusing on top line growth – sometimes at the expense of bottom-line growth – but so does Alibaba.</p>\n<p>While Amazon spent 10.4% of its revenue as capital expenditures in the last fiscal year, Alibaba spent almost the same amount – 8.9% of revenue. And when looking at the expenses for research and development, we once again see similar numbers. In the last five years, Amazon spent 12.16% of revenue on R&D on average while Alibaba spent 10.38% of its revenue on R&D.</p>\n<p>But while these numbers are quite similar for both companies – Amazon is spending a bit more on R&D than Alibaba – the free cash flow these two companies can generate is completely different. While Amazon only generated 6.7% of revenue as free cash flow in the last fiscal year, Alibaba generated 26.5% of revenue as free cash flow in the last fiscal year – almost four times higher.</p>\n<p>And Alibaba is not only extremely profitable – it was growing with an extremely high pace in the past. During the past ten years, Alibaba could not only grow revenue every single year, it also grew revenue with a CAGR of 62.6%. Earnings per share fluctuated a little bit during these ten years but grew with an even higher pace – a CAGR of 76.29% during the last decade. And finally, free cash flow increased with a CAGR of 59.62% during the last decade.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3ccaf170c0d86cd8022a68bc3657c30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>(Source: Author’s work based on numbers from Morningstar)</span></p>\n<p>When looking at Alibaba’s growth rates in the last few years compared to its competitors, Alibaba is also outperforming. When looking at the revenue CAGR of the last 5 years, we get the following numbers:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Amazon: 29.26%</li>\n <li>Facebook: 36.82%</li>\n <li>Tencent: 36.20%</li>\n <li>Alphabet: 19.47%</li>\n <li>Microsoft: 8.85%</li>\n <li>Alibaba: 46.24%</li>\n</ul>\n<p>We can spin it how we want: Alibaba is an extremely profitable company growing with extremely high rates but is trading at an extremely low multiple compared to its competitors. It is growing with a higher pace than Microsoft and Facebook, but trading for half the multiple. It is much more profitable than Amazon and also growing at a higher pace, but trading for a quarter of the valuation multiple. At this point, profitability and growth of Alibaba on the one side and the valuation multiple on the other side does not add up. And we have to ask the question, why Alibaba is trading for such a low multiple although it is outperforming many of its peers that trade for much higher multiples.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>When looking at the past performance of Alibaba, we can see, that steep selloffs are quite common as a similar sell-off happened already three times since the IPO in 2014 with the steepest sell-off being more than 50% off the previous high.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4da83a08f0dcfc73534c206e43cb09d3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>\n<p>While this might help us a bit, we are still facing high levels of uncertainty and investors usually don’t like uncertainty. Basically, this uncertainty can be summed up in one short sentence: The tense relationship between Alibaba’s founder Jack Ma and the Chinese government is worrying for investors. And this tense relationship is exemplified by several events. It started last year, when the IPO of the company’s fintech affiliate Ant Financial was cancelled. </p>\n<p>This was followed by theinitiation of an antitrust investigation, in which it is investigated if Alibaba had engaged in monopolistic practices (like preventing vendors from selling on other platforms). Additionally, new supervision for Ant Group was also discussed. And finally, at the end of 2020, Jack Ma went missing and it took about three months before the public would hear from him again – another worrying aspect for investors.</p>\n<p>As long as we are talking about risks, there are other aspect I like to mention. I compared Alibaba to Amazon above – and I still think that comparison is appropriate. But we also have to acknowledge, that Alibaba growth potential is limited as the company is mostly focused on China and might have more difficulties to expand globally – compared to Amazon. But considering the growing middle class in China and the high pace with which the economy is still growing we should not worry too much about Alibaba’s growth potential.</p>\n<p>There is a final risk Imentioned in my last article about Tencentand that risk is also applying to Alibaba:</p>\n<blockquote>\n And a final risk is the fact that Tencent is a Chinese company. It is especially difficult to understand different trends before they are happening and predict the future, but while I am familiar with the German culture and the people (habits, preferences, etc.) and can deal with similar countries like France, the United Kingdom, Sweden or the United States, it is rather difficult for me to understand and analyze the consumer behavior and preferences of the Chinese population. This makes it difficult to assess the potential and development of the products and services Tencent offers.\n</blockquote>\n<p>But despite all these issues, there is a comparison I like very much. Very recently,one of my fellow contributorscompared Alibaba’s situation right now to Facebook a few years ago, when it was facing the Cambridge Analytics scandal and also trading for extremely low multiples due to the uncertainties. And it is also interesting, that Wall Street analysts as well as Seeking Alpha contributors are extremely bullish about Alibaba right now.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d2ece5c1460e539c9fd4fb4ba63bf7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"195\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p><b>Balance Sheet</b></p>\n<p>When facing challenges, it is especially reassuring if we are dealing with a solid balance sheet enabling the company to withstand challenges and stormy market conditions. And similar to many companies mentioned above – like Facebook or Alphabet – Alibaba also has a great balance sheet. We don’t have to worry about high debt levels although Alibaba has current bank borrowings of RMB 3.6 billion and non-current bank borrowings of RMB 38.3 billion on its balance sheet. But compared to a total equity of RMB 1,075 billion, we get a D/E ratio of 0.04, which is negligible. Aside from the debt, the biggest problem is probably the company’s goodwill. On March 31, 2021, Alibaba had RMB 292.8 billion in goodwill. This means, that 17.3% of total assets (RMB 1,690 billion) is goodwill.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/532919e61e3feb83d46cbce44e3f3c42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\"><span>(Source:Alibaba Q4/21 Earnings Release)</span></p>\n<p>But aside from goodwill, Alibaba also has RMB 321.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents as well as RMB 152.4 billion in short-term investments on its balance sheet. Aside from these rather liquid assets, Alibaba also has RMB 237.2 billion in equity securities and other investments, that are also worth mentioning. I included a screenshot of the latest balance sheet, which is also including the numbers in US$. Especially $72 billion in very liquid assets give Alibaba a lot of “financial power” and the ability to negative troubles.</p>\n<p><b>Intrinsic Value Calculation</b></p>\n<p>I already mentioned above that Alibaba is trading at rather low multiples – at least when compared to its peers and especially for a company growing with a high pace. And compared to the company’s history, the stock is right now trading almost for its lowest P/FCF ratio since the IPO. A few times – in 2016, 2018 and 2020 – the stock was trading at a similar low P/FCF ratio. From that point of view, Alibaba has to be considered extremely cheap.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1da4ac18557b21c43feb2a338de9a3b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha Charting)</span></p>\n<p>When you are familiar with my past articles, you know that I don’t just use valuation multiples but also a discount cash flow analysis, which is considered to be much more precise (although we have to make a lot more assumptions). When taking the free cash flow of fiscal 2021 (RMB 172.7 billion) as basis, Alibaba has to grow about 5.5% annually from now till perpetuity for the stock to be fairly valued (the intrinsic value is RMB 1,367; discount rate 10%).</p>\n<p>Instead, we can also calculate with more realistic growth rates. If we assume, that Alibaba won’t go under, we have to assume at least 20% growth for the next year. Let’s be rather pessimistic and assume, that growth will slowly decline over the next decade and in 10 years from now, the growth rate will only be 6% till perpetuity. When using these numbers, we get an intrinsic value of <b>RMB 2,596</b>. And we have to assume, that these growth assumptions are rather cautious for a company like Alibaba.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>So far, we talked about risks, about past growth rates, compared Alibaba to its peers and provided an intrinsic value calculation. I also wanted to write about the growth potential as well as the wide economic moat, that Alibaba has without any doubt – similar toAmazon,FacebookorTencent. But the article would probably be too long then. Instead, I included links to three articles in which I described the economic moat of these businesses.</p>\n<p>When summing up, it is quite simple. When we assume, that Alibaba is in serious trouble and might be brought down in some way or is facing troubles, that will seriously mess with the company’s ability to grow, we should not invest in Alibaba. These risks are present, and we actually don’t know what could happen in the coming quarters (or years). However, I consider it extremely unlikely, that China will destroy its second most-valuable company. If we assume on the other side, that this is just a small hick-up and troubles Alibaba can work through in the coming quarters and Alibaba will continue to perform in a similar way as in the past (even with growth rates slowing down), Alibaba is probably one of the most undervalued stocks out there and an extreme bargain.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: One Of The Really Cheap Bargains In This Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: One Of The Really Cheap Bargains In This Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-01 20:54 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432358-alibaba-one-of-the-really-cheap-bargains-in-market><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAlibaba is one of the largest corporations in the world and focusing on retail, cloud and payment services.\nThe company is clearly facing risks due to the tension between Jack Ma and the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432358-alibaba-one-of-the-really-cheap-bargains-in-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432358-alibaba-one-of-the-really-cheap-bargains-in-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1138216687","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is one of the largest corporations in the world and focusing on retail, cloud and payment services.\nThe company is clearly facing risks due to the tension between Jack Ma and the Chinese government, but I consider these risks to be only temporary.\nAlibaba is growing with a high pace, has a very stable balance sheet and outperforming many of its peers.\nIn my opinion, the stock is severely undervalued.\n\nPhoto by maybefalse/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nSo far, I have published over 300 articles on this site and the focus has been clearly on companies having the headquarters in the United States and stocks listed on an US-based stock exchange. And while I am covering also companies from Germany, France, Great Britain, Sweden or Denmark, I have avoided one country almost completely although it has many interesting investment opportunities: Mainland China.The only company I covered so far is Tencent Holdings Limited (OTCPK:TCEHY).\nAnd although China has hundreds or thousands of successful companies, most of them are almost unknown in the Western Hemisphere (especially when moving outside of the investing world). And while most investors are familiar with Tencent, there is at least one other company almost every investor has heard of: Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA). In the following article, I will analyze Alibaba in my usual way. I will try to determine if Alibaba is a solid business with a wide economic moat and try to answer the question if Alibaba is a solid investment right now.\nBusiness Description\nAlibaba Group was founded in 1999 by 18 individuals. Nevertheless, one of these 18 stands out – the former English teacher from Hangzhou, Jack Ma. Over the years, Alibaba evolved in a multinational technology company and with a market capitalization of $570 billion, Alibaba is on the 10thspot on the list of most valuable companies in the world (by market cap). And behind Tencent, which is on the 7thspot on that list, Alibaba is the second most valuable company in China.\nWhile Alibaba is mostly focused on e-commerce and retail operations, the Alibaba Group is actually a holding company with many different sales services. This includes C2C services, B2C services and B2B services. Aside from retail, the Alibaba Group also offers electronic payment services, shipping search engines and could computing services. The group owns and operates a diverse portfolio of companies around the world in numerous business sectors.\n(Source:Alibaba Q4/20 Presentation)\nAlibaba is reporting in four different segments:\n\nCore Commerce Revenue: This segment is comprised of platforms operating in retail and wholesale commerce in China as well as logistics services and local consumer services. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 621.1 billion in revenue and RMB 159 billion in income from operations.\nCloud Computing Revenue: This segment is comprised of Alibaba Cloud, which offers different cloud services to customers worldwide like database, storage, big data analytics, a machine learning platform and large-scale computing security. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 60.1 billion, but the segment was not profitable so far (a loss of RMB 9 billion).\nDigital Media and Entertainment Revenue: This segment uses the deep data insights to serve the broader interests of consumers through key distribution platforms Youku and Alibaba Pictures as well as other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, literature and music. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 31.2 billion, but was also not profitable.\nInnovation Initiatives and Others Revenue: This segment includes businesses like Amap, DingTalk, Tmall Genie and others. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 4.8 billion in revenue, but also an operating loss.\n\n(Source: Alibaba Q4/20 Presentation)\nWhen looking at the last annual results (fiscal 2021), Alibaba generated RMB 717.3 billion in revenue. Compared to fiscal 2020 (RMB 509.7 billion) this is reflecting an increase of 41%. Adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2021 was RMB 196.8 billion – an increase of 25% compared to fiscal 2020 (adjusted EBITA of RMB 157.7 billion). Diluted earnings per share actually decreased from RMB 6.99 in fiscal 2020 to RMB 6.84 in fiscal 2021 – reflecting a decrease of 2.1%. But we should not pay too much attention to the earnings per share. Instead, it makes much more sense to look at the free cash flow Alibaba is generating. In fiscal 2021, Alibaba generated RMB 172.7 billion in free cash flow compared to RMB 130.9 billion in free cash flow one year earlier.\nStrong Business Among Strong Competitors\nWhat is striking when looking at Alibaba – and what has been discussed several times – is the low multiple for which Alibaba is currently trading. When using the trailing twelve-month GAAP numbers, Alibaba is trading for 25 times earnings, when using the non-GAAP forward numbers, it is trading for a P/E ratio of 20.\nWe can compare Alibaba to its peers – companies like Amazon (AMZN), Tencent, Facebook (FB), Microsoft (MSFT) or Alphabet (GOOG). And Alibaba actually belongs in that list as it is not only operating in similar business segments, but it is also growing with similarly high rates. And Alibaba is not only growing with a similar pace; it is actually outperforming most of its peers.\n(Source:Alibaba 2020 Investor Presentations)\nWhile Alibaba is growing with a similar pace like these companies, it is trading for a completely different multiple. Right now, Alibaba is trading for a price-cash-flow ratio of 17, while competitors like Tencent, Facebook or Microsoft are trading for a P/FCF ratio between 35 and 40. It is striking, that the market is assigning these competitors a multiple twice as high and Amazon is actually trading for a multiple more than 4 times higher (price-free-cash-flow ratio of 76).\nData by YCharts\nRight now, readers might point out, that the comparison to Amazon is misleading as Amazon is still spending a lot of money to achieve future growth and therefore has a lower profit than other companies. And it certainly is true, that Amazon is still focusing on top line growth – sometimes at the expense of bottom-line growth – but so does Alibaba.\nWhile Amazon spent 10.4% of its revenue as capital expenditures in the last fiscal year, Alibaba spent almost the same amount – 8.9% of revenue. And when looking at the expenses for research and development, we once again see similar numbers. In the last five years, Amazon spent 12.16% of revenue on R&D on average while Alibaba spent 10.38% of its revenue on R&D.\nBut while these numbers are quite similar for both companies – Amazon is spending a bit more on R&D than Alibaba – the free cash flow these two companies can generate is completely different. While Amazon only generated 6.7% of revenue as free cash flow in the last fiscal year, Alibaba generated 26.5% of revenue as free cash flow in the last fiscal year – almost four times higher.\nAnd Alibaba is not only extremely profitable – it was growing with an extremely high pace in the past. During the past ten years, Alibaba could not only grow revenue every single year, it also grew revenue with a CAGR of 62.6%. Earnings per share fluctuated a little bit during these ten years but grew with an even higher pace – a CAGR of 76.29% during the last decade. And finally, free cash flow increased with a CAGR of 59.62% during the last decade.\n(Source: Author’s work based on numbers from Morningstar)\nWhen looking at Alibaba’s growth rates in the last few years compared to its competitors, Alibaba is also outperforming. When looking at the revenue CAGR of the last 5 years, we get the following numbers:\n\nAmazon: 29.26%\nFacebook: 36.82%\nTencent: 36.20%\nAlphabet: 19.47%\nMicrosoft: 8.85%\nAlibaba: 46.24%\n\nWe can spin it how we want: Alibaba is an extremely profitable company growing with extremely high rates but is trading at an extremely low multiple compared to its competitors. It is growing with a higher pace than Microsoft and Facebook, but trading for half the multiple. It is much more profitable than Amazon and also growing at a higher pace, but trading for a quarter of the valuation multiple. At this point, profitability and growth of Alibaba on the one side and the valuation multiple on the other side does not add up. And we have to ask the question, why Alibaba is trading for such a low multiple although it is outperforming many of its peers that trade for much higher multiples.\nRisks\nWhen looking at the past performance of Alibaba, we can see, that steep selloffs are quite common as a similar sell-off happened already three times since the IPO in 2014 with the steepest sell-off being more than 50% off the previous high.\nData byYCharts\nWhile this might help us a bit, we are still facing high levels of uncertainty and investors usually don’t like uncertainty. Basically, this uncertainty can be summed up in one short sentence: The tense relationship between Alibaba’s founder Jack Ma and the Chinese government is worrying for investors. And this tense relationship is exemplified by several events. It started last year, when the IPO of the company’s fintech affiliate Ant Financial was cancelled. \nThis was followed by theinitiation of an antitrust investigation, in which it is investigated if Alibaba had engaged in monopolistic practices (like preventing vendors from selling on other platforms). Additionally, new supervision for Ant Group was also discussed. And finally, at the end of 2020, Jack Ma went missing and it took about three months before the public would hear from him again – another worrying aspect for investors.\nAs long as we are talking about risks, there are other aspect I like to mention. I compared Alibaba to Amazon above – and I still think that comparison is appropriate. But we also have to acknowledge, that Alibaba growth potential is limited as the company is mostly focused on China and might have more difficulties to expand globally – compared to Amazon. But considering the growing middle class in China and the high pace with which the economy is still growing we should not worry too much about Alibaba’s growth potential.\nThere is a final risk Imentioned in my last article about Tencentand that risk is also applying to Alibaba:\n\n And a final risk is the fact that Tencent is a Chinese company. It is especially difficult to understand different trends before they are happening and predict the future, but while I am familiar with the German culture and the people (habits, preferences, etc.) and can deal with similar countries like France, the United Kingdom, Sweden or the United States, it is rather difficult for me to understand and analyze the consumer behavior and preferences of the Chinese population. This makes it difficult to assess the potential and development of the products and services Tencent offers.\n\nBut despite all these issues, there is a comparison I like very much. Very recently,one of my fellow contributorscompared Alibaba’s situation right now to Facebook a few years ago, when it was facing the Cambridge Analytics scandal and also trading for extremely low multiples due to the uncertainties. And it is also interesting, that Wall Street analysts as well as Seeking Alpha contributors are extremely bullish about Alibaba right now.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nBalance Sheet\nWhen facing challenges, it is especially reassuring if we are dealing with a solid balance sheet enabling the company to withstand challenges and stormy market conditions. And similar to many companies mentioned above – like Facebook or Alphabet – Alibaba also has a great balance sheet. We don’t have to worry about high debt levels although Alibaba has current bank borrowings of RMB 3.6 billion and non-current bank borrowings of RMB 38.3 billion on its balance sheet. But compared to a total equity of RMB 1,075 billion, we get a D/E ratio of 0.04, which is negligible. Aside from the debt, the biggest problem is probably the company’s goodwill. On March 31, 2021, Alibaba had RMB 292.8 billion in goodwill. This means, that 17.3% of total assets (RMB 1,690 billion) is goodwill.\n(Source:Alibaba Q4/21 Earnings Release)\nBut aside from goodwill, Alibaba also has RMB 321.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents as well as RMB 152.4 billion in short-term investments on its balance sheet. Aside from these rather liquid assets, Alibaba also has RMB 237.2 billion in equity securities and other investments, that are also worth mentioning. I included a screenshot of the latest balance sheet, which is also including the numbers in US$. Especially $72 billion in very liquid assets give Alibaba a lot of “financial power” and the ability to negative troubles.\nIntrinsic Value Calculation\nI already mentioned above that Alibaba is trading at rather low multiples – at least when compared to its peers and especially for a company growing with a high pace. And compared to the company’s history, the stock is right now trading almost for its lowest P/FCF ratio since the IPO. A few times – in 2016, 2018 and 2020 – the stock was trading at a similar low P/FCF ratio. From that point of view, Alibaba has to be considered extremely cheap.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha Charting)\nWhen you are familiar with my past articles, you know that I don’t just use valuation multiples but also a discount cash flow analysis, which is considered to be much more precise (although we have to make a lot more assumptions). When taking the free cash flow of fiscal 2021 (RMB 172.7 billion) as basis, Alibaba has to grow about 5.5% annually from now till perpetuity for the stock to be fairly valued (the intrinsic value is RMB 1,367; discount rate 10%).\nInstead, we can also calculate with more realistic growth rates. If we assume, that Alibaba won’t go under, we have to assume at least 20% growth for the next year. Let’s be rather pessimistic and assume, that growth will slowly decline over the next decade and in 10 years from now, the growth rate will only be 6% till perpetuity. When using these numbers, we get an intrinsic value of RMB 2,596. And we have to assume, that these growth assumptions are rather cautious for a company like Alibaba.\nConclusion\nSo far, we talked about risks, about past growth rates, compared Alibaba to its peers and provided an intrinsic value calculation. I also wanted to write about the growth potential as well as the wide economic moat, that Alibaba has without any doubt – similar toAmazon,FacebookorTencent. But the article would probably be too long then. Instead, I included links to three articles in which I described the economic moat of these businesses.\nWhen summing up, it is quite simple. When we assume, that Alibaba is in serious trouble and might be brought down in some way or is facing troubles, that will seriously mess with the company’s ability to grow, we should not invest in Alibaba. These risks are present, and we actually don’t know what could happen in the coming quarters (or years). However, I consider it extremely unlikely, that China will destroy its second most-valuable company. If we assume on the other side, that this is just a small hick-up and troubles Alibaba can work through in the coming quarters and Alibaba will continue to perform in a similar way as in the past (even with growth rates slowing down), Alibaba is probably one of the most undervalued stocks out there and an extreme bargain.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":172,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119547252,"gmtCreate":1622556691176,"gmtModify":1704186285809,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] 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1 (Reuters) - Coinbase Global Inc launched a tie-up with Apple and Alphabet Inc's Google on Tuesday that will allow users to add cards from their accounts to the payment apps run by the two tech giants.</p>\n<p>The Coinbase card added to the wallets can be used to spend digital currencies, the biggest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange said in a blog post.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coinbase to allow users to use card via Apple, Google wallets</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoinbase to allow users to use card via Apple, Google wallets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-01 22:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>June 1 (Reuters) - Coinbase Global Inc launched a tie-up with Apple and Alphabet Inc's Google on Tuesday that will allow users to add cards from their accounts to the payment apps run by the two tech giants.</p>\n<p>The Coinbase card added to the wallets can be used to spend digital currencies, the biggest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange said in a blog post.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","AAPL":"苹果","09086":"华夏纳指-U","GOOGL":"谷歌A","03086":"华夏纳指","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2140460046","content_text":"June 1 (Reuters) - Coinbase Global Inc launched a tie-up with Apple and Alphabet Inc's Google on Tuesday that will allow users to add cards from their accounts to the payment apps run by the two tech giants.\nThe Coinbase card added to the wallets can be used to spend digital currencies, the biggest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange said in a blog post.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135772014,"gmtCreate":1622189358138,"gmtModify":1704181144398,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/135772014","repostId":"1115507002","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138654242,"gmtCreate":1621937468986,"gmtModify":1704364746665,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"??","listText":"??","text":"??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138654242","repostId":"1145709715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145709715","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621933657,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145709715?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-25 17:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145709715","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"GSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market.Beijing Haidian District Education Com","content":"<p>GSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/195328cd14fcca22e92c6b15ee92640e\" tg-width=\"1282\" tg-height=\"624\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Beijing Haidian District Education Commission issued a statement: Recently, the news that \"educational institutions will not be allowed to start classes in summer\", this news is not true.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 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solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-25 17:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>GSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/195328cd14fcca22e92c6b15ee92640e\" tg-width=\"1282\" tg-height=\"624\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Beijing Haidian District Education Commission issued a statement: Recently, the news that \"educational institutions will not be allowed to start classes in summer\", this news is not true.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOTU":"高途","TAL":"好未来","EDU":"新东方"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145709715","content_text":"GSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market.Beijing Haidian District Education Commission issued a statement: Recently, the news that \"educational institutions will not be allowed to start classes in summer\", this news is not true.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138655503,"gmtCreate":1621937426102,"gmtModify":1704364745049,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Anger] ","listText":"[Anger] 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","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192618592","repostId":"1174509827","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192611979,"gmtCreate":1621205648991,"gmtModify":1704353760661,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Grin] ","listText":"[Grin] ","text":"[Grin]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192611979","repostId":"1163454382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163454382","pubTimestamp":1621004581,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163454382?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-14 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163454382","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million. First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinat","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p>\n<p>A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p>\n<p><b>So what</b></p>\n<p>Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p>\n<p>First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p>\n<p>This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p>\n<p><b>Now what</b></p>\n<p>Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p>\n<p>Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-14 23:03 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163454382","content_text":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million\nFirst, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.\nThis should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.\nNow what\nLower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.\nVaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191556272,"gmtCreate":1620893071796,"gmtModify":1704350005570,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cry] ","listText":"[Cry] ","text":"[Cry]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/191556272","repostId":"2135617928","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325371857,"gmtCreate":1615869688679,"gmtModify":1704787721723,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325371857","repostId":"1159089513","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":325371857,"gmtCreate":1615869688679,"gmtModify":1704787721723,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325371857","repostId":"1159089513","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159089513","pubTimestamp":1615867068,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1159089513?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-16 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hedge Funds Kicked Off 2021 With $49 Billion Sale of Treasuries","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159089513","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Funds were the biggest net seller of U.S. bonds in January\nSelling came on the back of Democratic sw","content":"<ul>\n <li>Funds were the biggest net seller of U.S. bonds in January</li>\n <li>Selling came on the back of Democratic sweep in Georgia race</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Hedge funds offloaded the most Treasuries in nine months in January, foreshadowing a selloff in U.S. bonds that occurred just weeks later.</p>\n<p>The Cayman Islands, seen as a proxy for hedge funds and other leveraged accounts, dumped $49 billion of U.S. sovereign bonds, making it the largest net seller of the debt that month, according to the latest data from the Treasury Department.</p>\n<p>The selling came on the back of the Democratic victories in the January 5 Georgia run-off race which paved the way for bumper stimulus spending to revive the U.S. economy. Bets for growth and inflation to quicken have since gained traction, fueling a jump in Treasury yields to the highest in over a year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64f0495aebab8cfc18c7e27d8681c4c\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. yields rose 15 basis points in January to break the 1% level for the first time in over nine months. The data, released on Monday, suggest hedge funds were well positioned for what was to follow, as yields surged another 34 basis points in February.</p>\n<p>Hedge Fund Research Inc.’s Macro Total Index, which tracks discretionary macro managers among others, climbed 0.2% in January, before clocking up a 2.8% gain in February.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hedge Funds Kicked Off 2021 With $49 Billion Sale of Treasuries</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHedge Funds Kicked Off 2021 With $49 Billion Sale of Treasuries\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-16 11:57 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-16/hedge-funds-kicked-off-2021-with-49-billion-sale-of-treasuries><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Funds were the biggest net seller of U.S. bonds in January\nSelling came on the back of Democratic sweep in Georgia race\n\nHedge funds offloaded the most Treasuries in nine months in January, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-16/hedge-funds-kicked-off-2021-with-49-billion-sale-of-treasuries\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-16/hedge-funds-kicked-off-2021-with-49-billion-sale-of-treasuries","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159089513","content_text":"Funds were the biggest net seller of U.S. bonds in January\nSelling came on the back of Democratic sweep in Georgia race\n\nHedge funds offloaded the most Treasuries in nine months in January, foreshadowing a selloff in U.S. bonds that occurred just weeks later.\nThe Cayman Islands, seen as a proxy for hedge funds and other leveraged accounts, dumped $49 billion of U.S. sovereign bonds, making it the largest net seller of the debt that month, according to the latest data from the Treasury Department.\nThe selling came on the back of the Democratic victories in the January 5 Georgia run-off race which paved the way for bumper stimulus spending to revive the U.S. economy. Bets for growth and inflation to quicken have since gained traction, fueling a jump in Treasury yields to the highest in over a year.\n\nBenchmark U.S. yields rose 15 basis points in January to break the 1% level for the first time in over nine months. The data, released on Monday, suggest hedge funds were well positioned for what was to follow, as yields surged another 34 basis points in February.\nHedge Fund Research Inc.’s Macro Total Index, which tracks discretionary macro managers among others, climbed 0.2% in January, before clocking up a 2.8% gain in February.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191556272,"gmtCreate":1620893071796,"gmtModify":1704350005570,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cry] ","listText":"[Cry] ","text":"[Cry]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/191556272","repostId":"2135617928","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2135617928","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1620889920,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2135617928?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-13 15:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coinbase earnings: The crypto platform's stock could see 65% skid as competition picks up, says one analyst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2135617928","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Shares of Coinbase were nearly 5% lower Wednesday afternoon.Crypto platform Coinbase Global $(COIN)$","content":"<blockquote>Shares of Coinbase were nearly 5% lower Wednesday afternoon.</blockquote><p>Crypto platform Coinbase Global <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$(COIN)$</a> is set to issue highly anticipated quarterly results Thursday after the close of regular trading.</p><p>Although, there aren't expected to be a ton of surprises from the digital-asset company--it offered an early glimpse of its results --strategists are looking for more insights on how it manages fees and grows as competition increases in the nascent crypto space that seems in the midst of a boom.</p><p>\"While Coinbase has been able to rely on its first mover advantage and brand familiarity so far, margins will continue to compress from competition with both 'CeFi' brokerages like BlockFi and 'DeFi' alternatives like Uniswap,\" wrote Matthew Wheeler, global head of market research at Forex.com, referring to traditional centralized financial, or CeFi, and decentralized financial, DeFi, platforms.</p><p>Back in early April, Coinbase estimated that its first-quarter profit surged, exceeding its entire performance for 2020, on the back of rabid appetite for the No. 1 and 2 crypto in the world, bitcoin and Ether .</p><p>\"Bulls are hopeful that these halcyon, high profit margin days can continue for a bit longer, so any signs that profit margins are already falling could lead to a selloff in the stock,\" Wheeler wrote.</p><p>Investors expect Coinbase to report earnings per share of $3.07 on revenue of $1.814 billion, according to a consensus of analysts estimates polled by FactSet, as of May 12.</p><p>Coinbase shares are down over 30% from its intraday peak of $429.54 on its debut on April 14. The company's stock is down by about 16% from its closing price on its first day of trading on the Nasdaq, bringing its market value to $57.3 billion.</p><p>Part of Coinbase's recent slump has been blamed on the threat of increased competition from the likes of traditional banks and other crypto exchanges offering similar services.</p><p>CNBC reported has said that it intends to offer crypto services to its wealthy clients, and other firms appear ready to follow suit.</p><p>David Trainer, CEO of New Constructs, an investment research firm, speculated that Coinbase could see its shares fall by 65% from current levels due to new entrants.</p><p>\"Coinbase is not likely to fulfill the profit expectations baked into the stock's current valuation of $58 billion due to rising competition in the cryptocurrency trading space, which should reduce the company's market share and pricing power,\" the analysts wrote in a reported dated Tuesday.</p><p>MoffettNathanson analyst Lisa Ellis, who maintains a price target for Coinbase at $600, told MarketWatch that Coinbase bears will be looking for any signs that so-called price compression will eat into the exchange and trading platform's revenues.</p><p>\"It's extremely easy to be negative on Coinbase,\" she said. However, she said it was likely too early to think that competition would hurt the company's business soon.</p><p>She said lackluster user growth, however, could deliver a bigger hit to sentiment in the company's stock, at least in the near term.</p><p>Last month, Coinbase said it had 56 million verified users on its platform, including 6.1 \"monthly transacting users,\" or MTUs. Ellis said that the 6.1 million figure relates more to Coinbase's professional clientele but the MTUs could be damped by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> and other venues also offering basic crypto-trading services to average folk.</p><p>Oppenheimer's Owen Lau initiated coverage of Coinbase on Tuesday at outperform, the equivalent of a buy recommendation, and set a price target at $434, based on his view that the company is an \"enabler of crypto innovation.\"</p><p>BTIG analysts Mark Palmer and Andrew Harte, reaffirmed their \"buy\" rating for Coinbase and held their price target at $500. The BTIG analysts say that Coinbase pessimists have been too narrowly focused on the \"company's retail trading commissions\" and not focused enough on the potential for Coinbase to serve institutional investors and hedge funds.</p><p>Indeed, back in February, Coinbase's institutional trading wing handled electric vehicle-maker Tesla's<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> $1.5 billion bitcoin investment, according to a report by The Block . The Block also noted that Coinbase has a number of corporate clients that use its platform for crypto purchases, a growing phenomenon as bitcoin prices strengthen.</p><p>However, bitcoin values have stalled after hitting a recent record at $64,829.14, with the No. 1 crypto down by about $10,000 since that peak.</p><p>Meanwhile, Ether prices were trading above $4,100 and had recently touched a record at $4,382.73, as the crypto known for its smart-contract protocols, gains more traction on the back of growing DeFi platforms and nonfungible tokens, or NFTs, which use Ethereum's blockchain as a platform.</p><p>Growing appetite for dogecoin has reportedly fueled transaction volume in crypto brokerages but Coinbase doesn't offer doge on its platform.</p><p>Still, investors might looked to see how the company has performed in the face of increased volatility in alternatives to bitcoin, known also as altcoins.</p><p>Dogecoin prices have been unwinding steadily since hitting a peak on Saturday near 75 cents, but are still up over 9,500% so far in 2021. Dogecoin was trading hands, at last check, at 44 cents. Bitcoin prices are up 88% so far this year, but down 4% over the past 24 hours. Ether has gained 462% in the year to date.</p><p>By comparison, traditional assets are seeing far more muted returns this year. Gold prices were down nearly 4% in 2021 thus far. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 10.5%, the S&P 500 index was up 8.8% so far this year and the Nasdaq Composite Index has gained 1.7% over the same period.</p><p>Shares of Coinbase were nearly 5% lower on Wednesday afternoon.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coinbase earnings: The crypto platform's stock could see 65% skid as competition picks up, says one analyst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoinbase earnings: The crypto platform's stock could see 65% skid as competition picks up, says one analyst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-13 15:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>Shares of Coinbase were nearly 5% lower Wednesday afternoon.</blockquote><p>Crypto platform Coinbase Global <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$(COIN)$</a> is set to issue highly anticipated quarterly results Thursday after the close of regular trading.</p><p>Although, there aren't expected to be a ton of surprises from the digital-asset company--it offered an early glimpse of its results --strategists are looking for more insights on how it manages fees and grows as competition increases in the nascent crypto space that seems in the midst of a boom.</p><p>\"While Coinbase has been able to rely on its first mover advantage and brand familiarity so far, margins will continue to compress from competition with both 'CeFi' brokerages like BlockFi and 'DeFi' alternatives like Uniswap,\" wrote Matthew Wheeler, global head of market research at Forex.com, referring to traditional centralized financial, or CeFi, and decentralized financial, DeFi, platforms.</p><p>Back in early April, Coinbase estimated that its first-quarter profit surged, exceeding its entire performance for 2020, on the back of rabid appetite for the No. 1 and 2 crypto in the world, bitcoin and Ether .</p><p>\"Bulls are hopeful that these halcyon, high profit margin days can continue for a bit longer, so any signs that profit margins are already falling could lead to a selloff in the stock,\" Wheeler wrote.</p><p>Investors expect Coinbase to report earnings per share of $3.07 on revenue of $1.814 billion, according to a consensus of analysts estimates polled by FactSet, as of May 12.</p><p>Coinbase shares are down over 30% from its intraday peak of $429.54 on its debut on April 14. The company's stock is down by about 16% from its closing price on its first day of trading on the Nasdaq, bringing its market value to $57.3 billion.</p><p>Part of Coinbase's recent slump has been blamed on the threat of increased competition from the likes of traditional banks and other crypto exchanges offering similar services.</p><p>CNBC reported has said that it intends to offer crypto services to its wealthy clients, and other firms appear ready to follow suit.</p><p>David Trainer, CEO of New Constructs, an investment research firm, speculated that Coinbase could see its shares fall by 65% from current levels due to new entrants.</p><p>\"Coinbase is not likely to fulfill the profit expectations baked into the stock's current valuation of $58 billion due to rising competition in the cryptocurrency trading space, which should reduce the company's market share and pricing power,\" the analysts wrote in a reported dated Tuesday.</p><p>MoffettNathanson analyst Lisa Ellis, who maintains a price target for Coinbase at $600, told MarketWatch that Coinbase bears will be looking for any signs that so-called price compression will eat into the exchange and trading platform's revenues.</p><p>\"It's extremely easy to be negative on Coinbase,\" she said. However, she said it was likely too early to think that competition would hurt the company's business soon.</p><p>She said lackluster user growth, however, could deliver a bigger hit to sentiment in the company's stock, at least in the near term.</p><p>Last month, Coinbase said it had 56 million verified users on its platform, including 6.1 \"monthly transacting users,\" or MTUs. Ellis said that the 6.1 million figure relates more to Coinbase's professional clientele but the MTUs could be damped by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> and other venues also offering basic crypto-trading services to average folk.</p><p>Oppenheimer's Owen Lau initiated coverage of Coinbase on Tuesday at outperform, the equivalent of a buy recommendation, and set a price target at $434, based on his view that the company is an \"enabler of crypto innovation.\"</p><p>BTIG analysts Mark Palmer and Andrew Harte, reaffirmed their \"buy\" rating for Coinbase and held their price target at $500. The BTIG analysts say that Coinbase pessimists have been too narrowly focused on the \"company's retail trading commissions\" and not focused enough on the potential for Coinbase to serve institutional investors and hedge funds.</p><p>Indeed, back in February, Coinbase's institutional trading wing handled electric vehicle-maker Tesla's<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> $1.5 billion bitcoin investment, according to a report by The Block . The Block also noted that Coinbase has a number of corporate clients that use its platform for crypto purchases, a growing phenomenon as bitcoin prices strengthen.</p><p>However, bitcoin values have stalled after hitting a recent record at $64,829.14, with the No. 1 crypto down by about $10,000 since that peak.</p><p>Meanwhile, Ether prices were trading above $4,100 and had recently touched a record at $4,382.73, as the crypto known for its smart-contract protocols, gains more traction on the back of growing DeFi platforms and nonfungible tokens, or NFTs, which use Ethereum's blockchain as a platform.</p><p>Growing appetite for dogecoin has reportedly fueled transaction volume in crypto brokerages but Coinbase doesn't offer doge on its platform.</p><p>Still, investors might looked to see how the company has performed in the face of increased volatility in alternatives to bitcoin, known also as altcoins.</p><p>Dogecoin prices have been unwinding steadily since hitting a peak on Saturday near 75 cents, but are still up over 9,500% so far in 2021. Dogecoin was trading hands, at last check, at 44 cents. Bitcoin prices are up 88% so far this year, but down 4% over the past 24 hours. Ether has gained 462% in the year to date.</p><p>By comparison, traditional assets are seeing far more muted returns this year. Gold prices were down nearly 4% in 2021 thus far. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 10.5%, the S&P 500 index was up 8.8% so far this year and the Nasdaq Composite Index has gained 1.7% over the same period.</p><p>Shares of Coinbase were nearly 5% lower on Wednesday afternoon.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","MS":"摩根士丹利","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GS":"高盛"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2135617928","content_text":"Shares of Coinbase were nearly 5% lower Wednesday afternoon.Crypto platform Coinbase Global $(COIN)$ is set to issue highly anticipated quarterly results Thursday after the close of regular trading.Although, there aren't expected to be a ton of surprises from the digital-asset company--it offered an early glimpse of its results --strategists are looking for more insights on how it manages fees and grows as competition increases in the nascent crypto space that seems in the midst of a boom.\"While Coinbase has been able to rely on its first mover advantage and brand familiarity so far, margins will continue to compress from competition with both 'CeFi' brokerages like BlockFi and 'DeFi' alternatives like Uniswap,\" wrote Matthew Wheeler, global head of market research at Forex.com, referring to traditional centralized financial, or CeFi, and decentralized financial, DeFi, platforms.Back in early April, Coinbase estimated that its first-quarter profit surged, exceeding its entire performance for 2020, on the back of rabid appetite for the No. 1 and 2 crypto in the world, bitcoin and Ether .\"Bulls are hopeful that these halcyon, high profit margin days can continue for a bit longer, so any signs that profit margins are already falling could lead to a selloff in the stock,\" Wheeler wrote.Investors expect Coinbase to report earnings per share of $3.07 on revenue of $1.814 billion, according to a consensus of analysts estimates polled by FactSet, as of May 12.Coinbase shares are down over 30% from its intraday peak of $429.54 on its debut on April 14. The company's stock is down by about 16% from its closing price on its first day of trading on the Nasdaq, bringing its market value to $57.3 billion.Part of Coinbase's recent slump has been blamed on the threat of increased competition from the likes of traditional banks and other crypto exchanges offering similar services.CNBC reported has said that it intends to offer crypto services to its wealthy clients, and other firms appear ready to follow suit.David Trainer, CEO of New Constructs, an investment research firm, speculated that Coinbase could see its shares fall by 65% from current levels due to new entrants.\"Coinbase is not likely to fulfill the profit expectations baked into the stock's current valuation of $58 billion due to rising competition in the cryptocurrency trading space, which should reduce the company's market share and pricing power,\" the analysts wrote in a reported dated Tuesday.MoffettNathanson analyst Lisa Ellis, who maintains a price target for Coinbase at $600, told MarketWatch that Coinbase bears will be looking for any signs that so-called price compression will eat into the exchange and trading platform's revenues.\"It's extremely easy to be negative on Coinbase,\" she said. However, she said it was likely too early to think that competition would hurt the company's business soon.She said lackluster user growth, however, could deliver a bigger hit to sentiment in the company's stock, at least in the near term.Last month, Coinbase said it had 56 million verified users on its platform, including 6.1 \"monthly transacting users,\" or MTUs. Ellis said that the 6.1 million figure relates more to Coinbase's professional clientele but the MTUs could be damped by PayPal and other venues also offering basic crypto-trading services to average folk.Oppenheimer's Owen Lau initiated coverage of Coinbase on Tuesday at outperform, the equivalent of a buy recommendation, and set a price target at $434, based on his view that the company is an \"enabler of crypto innovation.\"BTIG analysts Mark Palmer and Andrew Harte, reaffirmed their \"buy\" rating for Coinbase and held their price target at $500. The BTIG analysts say that Coinbase pessimists have been too narrowly focused on the \"company's retail trading commissions\" and not focused enough on the potential for Coinbase to serve institutional investors and hedge funds.Indeed, back in February, Coinbase's institutional trading wing handled electric vehicle-maker Tesla's$(TSLA)$ $1.5 billion bitcoin investment, according to a report by The Block . The Block also noted that Coinbase has a number of corporate clients that use its platform for crypto purchases, a growing phenomenon as bitcoin prices strengthen.However, bitcoin values have stalled after hitting a recent record at $64,829.14, with the No. 1 crypto down by about $10,000 since that peak.Meanwhile, Ether prices were trading above $4,100 and had recently touched a record at $4,382.73, as the crypto known for its smart-contract protocols, gains more traction on the back of growing DeFi platforms and nonfungible tokens, or NFTs, which use Ethereum's blockchain as a platform.Growing appetite for dogecoin has reportedly fueled transaction volume in crypto brokerages but Coinbase doesn't offer doge on its platform.Still, investors might looked to see how the company has performed in the face of increased volatility in alternatives to bitcoin, known also as altcoins.Dogecoin prices have been unwinding steadily since hitting a peak on Saturday near 75 cents, but are still up over 9,500% so far in 2021. Dogecoin was trading hands, at last check, at 44 cents. Bitcoin prices are up 88% so far this year, but down 4% over the past 24 hours. Ether has gained 462% in the year to date.By comparison, traditional assets are seeing far more muted returns this year. Gold prices were down nearly 4% in 2021 thus far. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 10.5%, the S&P 500 index was up 8.8% so far this year and the Nasdaq Composite Index has gained 1.7% over the same period.Shares of Coinbase were nearly 5% lower on Wednesday afternoon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192618592,"gmtCreate":1621205754816,"gmtModify":1704353762957,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192618592","repostId":"1174509827","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174509827","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1621004388,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1174509827?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-14 22:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Delta Mandates All New Employees Must Have COVID-19 Vaccinations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174509827","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Delta Air Lines, Inc. DAL 4.24% has announced a new corporate mandate requiring all future employees to be vaccinated against COVID-19 before joining the company.What Happened: The Atlanta-headquartered carrier issued a statement praising the vaccines for protecting individuals and speeding the end of the pandemic, adding that the new mandate will ensure its employees will not face a reprise of the health crisis.“Delta people have made great progress to achieve herd immunity within our workforce","content":"<p><b>Delta Air Lines, Inc.</b> DAL 4.24% has announced a new corporate mandate requiring all future employees to be vaccinated against COVID-19 before joining the company.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b> The Atlanta-headquartered carrier issued a statement praising the vaccines for protecting individuals and speeding the end of the pandemic, adding that the new mandate will ensure its employees will not face a reprise of the health crisis.</p>\n<p>“Delta people have made great progress to achieve herd immunity within our workforce, so to help us maintain that trajectory, we will be requiring all new hires in the U.S. to be vaccinated against COVID-19 unless they qualify for an accommodation,” said Elizabeth Ninomiya, manager of strategic communications. “This is an important move to protect our workforce and our customers as our business recovers and demand for air travel continues to rise.”</p>\n<p>Speaking on CNN, Delta CEO Ed Bastian clarified this mandate won't apply to current employees.</p>\n<p>“I am not going to mandate and force people if they have some specific reason why they don’t want to get vaccinated,” he said. “I am going to strongly encourage them that they understand the risks of not getting vaccinated.”</p>\n<p>However, he noted employees who are not vaccinated may be excluded from certain assignments, including international flights. He added that 60% of Delta’s workforce has at least one vaccine shot.</p>\n<p><i>Related Link:CDC Says Fully Vaccinated People Can Mostly Stop Wearing Masks</i></p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters:</b> Delta is the first U.S. carrier to announce it will only hire vaccinated individuals.The New York Timesreported <b>United Airlines Holdings Inc.</b>UAL 4.73%CEO Scott Kirby voiced his support for the idea in a video forum in January, but decided not to go forward because the carrier could not “realistically be the only company” to take this action.</p>\n<p>Although most schools in the U.S. require children to have certain vaccinations, there is no precedent for companies refusing to hire people based on their vaccination status.</p>\n<p>Current federal policy on employer-mandated vaccinations is focused on the rights of current employees, not potential hires.</p>\n<p>The Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) issued guidancelast December stating companies “may encourage or possibly require COVID-19 vaccinations” of its workforce, provided their policies are in compliance with workplace laws including the Americans with Disabilities Act and Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 (Title VII).</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Delta Mandates All New Employees Must Have COVID-19 Vaccinations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDelta Mandates All New Employees Must Have COVID-19 Vaccinations\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-14 22:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Delta Air Lines, Inc.</b> DAL 4.24% has announced a new corporate mandate requiring all future employees to be vaccinated against COVID-19 before joining the company.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b> The Atlanta-headquartered carrier issued a statement praising the vaccines for protecting individuals and speeding the end of the pandemic, adding that the new mandate will ensure its employees will not face a reprise of the health crisis.</p>\n<p>“Delta people have made great progress to achieve herd immunity within our workforce, so to help us maintain that trajectory, we will be requiring all new hires in the U.S. to be vaccinated against COVID-19 unless they qualify for an accommodation,” said Elizabeth Ninomiya, manager of strategic communications. “This is an important move to protect our workforce and our customers as our business recovers and demand for air travel continues to rise.”</p>\n<p>Speaking on CNN, Delta CEO Ed Bastian clarified this mandate won't apply to current employees.</p>\n<p>“I am not going to mandate and force people if they have some specific reason why they don’t want to get vaccinated,” he said. “I am going to strongly encourage them that they understand the risks of not getting vaccinated.”</p>\n<p>However, he noted employees who are not vaccinated may be excluded from certain assignments, including international flights. He added that 60% of Delta’s workforce has at least one vaccine shot.</p>\n<p><i>Related Link:CDC Says Fully Vaccinated People Can Mostly Stop Wearing Masks</i></p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters:</b> Delta is the first U.S. carrier to announce it will only hire vaccinated individuals.The New York Timesreported <b>United Airlines Holdings Inc.</b>UAL 4.73%CEO Scott Kirby voiced his support for the idea in a video forum in January, but decided not to go forward because the carrier could not “realistically be the only company” to take this action.</p>\n<p>Although most schools in the U.S. require children to have certain vaccinations, there is no precedent for companies refusing to hire people based on their vaccination status.</p>\n<p>Current federal policy on employer-mandated vaccinations is focused on the rights of current employees, not potential hires.</p>\n<p>The Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) issued guidancelast December stating companies “may encourage or possibly require COVID-19 vaccinations” of its workforce, provided their policies are in compliance with workplace laws including the Americans with Disabilities Act and Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 (Title VII).</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DAL":"达美航空"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174509827","content_text":"Delta Air Lines, Inc. DAL 4.24% has announced a new corporate mandate requiring all future employees to be vaccinated against COVID-19 before joining the company.\nWhat Happened: The Atlanta-headquartered carrier issued a statement praising the vaccines for protecting individuals and speeding the end of the pandemic, adding that the new mandate will ensure its employees will not face a reprise of the health crisis.\n“Delta people have made great progress to achieve herd immunity within our workforce, so to help us maintain that trajectory, we will be requiring all new hires in the U.S. to be vaccinated against COVID-19 unless they qualify for an accommodation,” said Elizabeth Ninomiya, manager of strategic communications. “This is an important move to protect our workforce and our customers as our business recovers and demand for air travel continues to rise.”\nSpeaking on CNN, Delta CEO Ed Bastian clarified this mandate won't apply to current employees.\n“I am not going to mandate and force people if they have some specific reason why they don’t want to get vaccinated,” he said. “I am going to strongly encourage them that they understand the risks of not getting vaccinated.”\nHowever, he noted employees who are not vaccinated may be excluded from certain assignments, including international flights. He added that 60% of Delta’s workforce has at least one vaccine shot.\nRelated Link:CDC Says Fully Vaccinated People Can Mostly Stop Wearing Masks\nWhy It Matters: Delta is the first U.S. carrier to announce it will only hire vaccinated individuals.The New York Timesreported United Airlines Holdings Inc.UAL 4.73%CEO Scott Kirby voiced his support for the idea in a video forum in January, but decided not to go forward because the carrier could not “realistically be the only company” to take this action.\nAlthough most schools in the U.S. require children to have certain vaccinations, there is no precedent for companies refusing to hire people based on their vaccination status.\nCurrent federal policy on employer-mandated vaccinations is focused on the rights of current employees, not potential hires.\nThe Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) issued guidancelast December stating companies “may encourage or possibly require COVID-19 vaccinations” of its workforce, provided their policies are in compliance with workplace laws including the Americans with Disabilities Act and Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 (Title VII).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119547252,"gmtCreate":1622556691176,"gmtModify":1704186285809,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/119547252","repostId":"2140460046","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138654242,"gmtCreate":1621937468986,"gmtModify":1704364746665,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"??","listText":"??","text":"??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138654242","repostId":"1145709715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130056924,"gmtCreate":1621498413068,"gmtModify":1704358600232,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Shy] ","listText":"[Shy] ","text":"[Shy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/130056924","repostId":"1183669951","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192611979,"gmtCreate":1621205648991,"gmtModify":1704353760661,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Grin] ","listText":"[Grin] ","text":"[Grin]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192611979","repostId":"1163454382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163454382","pubTimestamp":1621004581,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163454382?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-14 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163454382","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million. First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinat","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p>\n<p>A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p>\n<p><b>So what</b></p>\n<p>Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p>\n<p>First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p>\n<p>This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p>\n<p><b>Now what</b></p>\n<p>Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p>\n<p>Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-14 23:03 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163454382","content_text":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million\nFirst, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.\nThis should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.\nNow what\nLower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.\nVaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135772014,"gmtCreate":1622189358138,"gmtModify":1704181144398,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/135772014","repostId":"1115507002","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130058244,"gmtCreate":1621498391988,"gmtModify":1704358598600,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/130058244","repostId":"2136458928","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2136458928","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1621495614,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2136458928?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-20 15:26","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"China stocks end mixed, resources losses offset gains in financials","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2136458928","media":"Reuters","summary":"SHANGHAI, May 20 (Reuters) - China stocks ended mixed on Thursday, as gains in financial firms offse","content":"<p>SHANGHAI, May 20 (Reuters) - China stocks ended mixed on Thursday, as gains in financial firms offset losses in resources companies after Beijing vowed to stabilize commodities prices.</p><p>** The blue-chip CSI300 index rose 0.3%, to 5,186.41, while the Shanghai Composite Index dipped 0.1% to 3,506.94.</p><p>** The CSI300 energy index and the CSI A-share resource industries index were among the worst performing sectors, closing down 3.2% and 3.3%, respectively.</p><p>** Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd, Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd and Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd shed between 4.3% and 8.1%.</p><p>** China will strengthen its management from both supply and demand sides to curb \"unreasonable\" increases in commodity prices, and prevent the pass-through to the consumer, the cabinet said on Wednesday.</p><p>** The comments drove prices of commodities including steel and iron ore to extend recent losses after surging this year on the back of post-lockdown recoveries in demand and easing global liquidity.</p><p>** Digital currency and blockchain-related stocks also pulled back after a cryptocurrency slump.</p><p>** However, analysts saw a very limited impact on the broader market from the cryptocurrency fallout.</p><p>** Chinese investors' participation in cryptocurrencies is very limited due to Beijing's continued clampdown, said Yan Kaiwen, an analyst with China Fortune Securities.</p><p>** Yan said Bitcoin mining has consumed too much of China's resources, including coal, at a time when Beijing seeks carbon neutrality.</p><p>** The CSI300 financials index added 1%, helped by gains for banking and securities firms.</p><p>** Around the region, MSCI's Asia ex-Japan stock index was barely changed , while Japan's Nikkei index closed up 0.19%.</p><p>** At 07:08 GMT, the yuan was quoted at 6.4405 per U.S. dollar, 0.1% weaker than the previous close of 6.4338.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China stocks end mixed, resources losses offset gains in financials</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina stocks end mixed, resources losses offset gains in financials\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-20 15:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SHANGHAI, May 20 (Reuters) - China stocks ended mixed on Thursday, as gains in financial firms offset losses in resources companies after Beijing vowed to stabilize commodities prices.</p><p>** The blue-chip CSI300 index rose 0.3%, to 5,186.41, while the Shanghai Composite Index dipped 0.1% to 3,506.94.</p><p>** The CSI300 energy index and the CSI A-share resource industries index were among the worst performing sectors, closing down 3.2% and 3.3%, respectively.</p><p>** Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd, Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd and Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd shed between 4.3% and 8.1%.</p><p>** China will strengthen its management from both supply and demand sides to curb \"unreasonable\" increases in commodity prices, and prevent the pass-through to the consumer, the cabinet said on Wednesday.</p><p>** The comments drove prices of commodities including steel and iron ore to extend recent losses after surging this year on the back of post-lockdown recoveries in demand and easing global liquidity.</p><p>** Digital currency and blockchain-related stocks also pulled back after a cryptocurrency slump.</p><p>** However, analysts saw a very limited impact on the broader market from the cryptocurrency fallout.</p><p>** Chinese investors' participation in cryptocurrencies is very limited due to Beijing's continued clampdown, said Yan Kaiwen, an analyst with China Fortune Securities.</p><p>** Yan said Bitcoin mining has consumed too much of China's resources, including coal, at a time when Beijing seeks carbon neutrality.</p><p>** The CSI300 financials index added 1%, helped by gains for banking and securities firms.</p><p>** Around the region, MSCI's Asia ex-Japan stock index was barely changed , while Japan's Nikkei index closed up 0.19%.</p><p>** At 07:08 GMT, the yuan was quoted at 6.4405 per U.S. dollar, 0.1% weaker than the previous close of 6.4338.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2136458928","content_text":"SHANGHAI, May 20 (Reuters) - China stocks ended mixed on Thursday, as gains in financial firms offset losses in resources companies after Beijing vowed to stabilize commodities prices.** The blue-chip CSI300 index rose 0.3%, to 5,186.41, while the Shanghai Composite Index dipped 0.1% to 3,506.94.** The CSI300 energy index and the CSI A-share resource industries index were among the worst performing sectors, closing down 3.2% and 3.3%, respectively.** Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd, Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd and Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd shed between 4.3% and 8.1%.** China will strengthen its management from both supply and demand sides to curb \"unreasonable\" increases in commodity prices, and prevent the pass-through to the consumer, the cabinet said on Wednesday.** The comments drove prices of commodities including steel and iron ore to extend recent losses after surging this year on the back of post-lockdown recoveries in demand and easing global liquidity.** Digital currency and blockchain-related stocks also pulled back after a cryptocurrency slump.** However, analysts saw a very limited impact on the broader market from the cryptocurrency fallout.** Chinese investors' participation in cryptocurrencies is very limited due to Beijing's continued clampdown, said Yan Kaiwen, an analyst with China Fortune Securities.** Yan said Bitcoin mining has consumed too much of China's resources, including coal, at a time when Beijing seeks carbon neutrality.** The CSI300 financials index added 1%, helped by gains for banking and securities firms.** Around the region, MSCI's Asia ex-Japan stock index was barely changed , while Japan's Nikkei index closed up 0.19%.** At 07:08 GMT, the yuan was quoted at 6.4405 per U.S. dollar, 0.1% weaker than the previous close of 6.4338.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130051529,"gmtCreate":1621498295661,"gmtModify":1704358597465,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/130051529","repostId":"2136411409","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124979176,"gmtCreate":1624724372395,"gmtModify":1703844154142,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[What] ","listText":"[What] ","text":"[What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/124979176","repostId":"1152075524","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152075524","pubTimestamp":1624666599,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152075524?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-26 08:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don't Miss What 3 Nasdaq Stocks Do Next Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152075524","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The stock market has done well recently, and the favorable sentiment has sent the Nasdaq Composite(N","content":"<p>The stock market has done well recently, and the favorable sentiment has sent the <b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) to record levels. On Friday, the Nasdaq closed a strong week on a quiet note.</p>\n<p>We're almost halfway through 2021, and investors are trying to get a read on how the second half of the year will go. Despite the current lull in corporate earnings releases, market participants will get three key readings from major companies next week.Nasdaqinvestors should treat these reports as must-read news that could move markets as we pass the six-month mark in the current year.</p>\n<p><b>Bed Bath & Beyond</b></p>\n<p><b>Bed Bath & Beyond</b> (NASDAQ:BBBY) will report its fiscal first-quarter results on Wednesday morning, June 30. Thehome furnishings stock has gotten a lot of attention both because of its turnaround efforts and because of its relatively new status as a meme stock followed by individual investors.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/417e33a9c1d841f220a2b37d2e368a64\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p>\n<p>Bed Bath & Beyond has struggled over the past several years as it fought to come up with a digital strategy to fend off competition from e-commerce giants. Many saw the business as ultimately doomed, and the stock got substantial short interest among investors as a result. Yet activist investors stepped in and aimed to concentrate on the company's most lucrative business opportunities, and now, some shareholders are optimistic about Bed Bath & Beyond's ability to cash in on the reopening economy.</p>\n<p>Investors have high hopes for the coming report, expecting Bed Bath & Beyond to return to profitability and produce impressive revenue growth of around 35%. After the gains the share price has seen in the past week, anything short of those lofty aspirations could cause an abrupt reversal for the meme stock's prospects.</p>\n<p><b>Micron Technology</b></p>\n<p>Chipmaker <b>Micron Technology</b>(NASDAQ:MU) weighs in with its fiscal third-quarter report on Wednesday afternoon. The company has taken full advantage of huge rises in demand for memory chips and other products, but investors have seemed increasingly nervous abouthow long Micron's demand will lastgiven the notoriously cyclical nature of the semiconductor chip industry.</p>\n<p>To be clear, few investors have any doubts about the strength of the just-ended quarter. Most of those following the stock expect earnings to double year over year, with revenue climbing at a faster than 35% pace. Many see that growth continuing well into next year. The consensus forecast for fiscal 2022 earnings puts a forward multiple of just 8 on Micron's share price.</p>\n<p>The key question is how quickly Micron and its competitors will ramp up production capacity in order to meet higher demand. In the past, upward cycles in the chip market ended because companies like Micron boost production too far, creating gluts of chips and sending prices plunging. That in turn crushes profits, making low price-to-earnings ratios into value traps for the unwary. All eyes will be on Micron's report to see not only how things have gone, but also what the future holds for it and its rivals.</p>\n<p><b>Walgreens Boots Alliance</b></p>\n<p>Lastly,<b>Walgreen Boots Alliance</b>(NASDAQ:WBA) will offer its latest look at earnings on Thursday, July 1. Investors are expecting a mixed picture from the giant drugstore chain, with revenue likely slipping a bit from year-ago levels but profits jumping by nearly 65%.</p>\n<p>Investors will watch how Walgreens has done in administering COVID-19 vaccines, which has been a one-time boon for the industry generally. However, of greater long-term concern will be any comments on whether the possibility of e-commerce giant <b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN) challenging Walgreens' business more directly could cause problems.</p>\n<p>Walgreens will have to have a strategy for how to build on momentum from COVID-related impacts. If the drugstore chain can't deliver, then the relatively stagnant performance of its stock could continue further into 2021 and potentially beyond.</p>\n<p><b>Watch out for surprises</b></p>\n<p>News that's close to what investors expect likely won't make a big difference for any of these three stocks or the stock market more broadly. But if any of these companies has a big surprise, it could turn out to be what moves the Nasdaq heading into the July 4 holiday weekend.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don't Miss What 3 Nasdaq Stocks Do Next Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon't Miss What 3 Nasdaq Stocks Do Next Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-26 08:16 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/25/dont-miss-what-3-nasdaq-stocks-do-next-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has done well recently, and the favorable sentiment has sent the Nasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) to record levels. On Friday, the Nasdaq closed a strong week on a quiet note.\nWe'...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/25/dont-miss-what-3-nasdaq-stocks-do-next-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"3B家居","WBA":"沃尔格林联合博姿","MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/25/dont-miss-what-3-nasdaq-stocks-do-next-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152075524","content_text":"The stock market has done well recently, and the favorable sentiment has sent the Nasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) to record levels. On Friday, the Nasdaq closed a strong week on a quiet note.\nWe're almost halfway through 2021, and investors are trying to get a read on how the second half of the year will go. Despite the current lull in corporate earnings releases, market participants will get three key readings from major companies next week.Nasdaqinvestors should treat these reports as must-read news that could move markets as we pass the six-month mark in the current year.\nBed Bath & Beyond\nBed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ:BBBY) will report its fiscal first-quarter results on Wednesday morning, June 30. Thehome furnishings stock has gotten a lot of attention both because of its turnaround efforts and because of its relatively new status as a meme stock followed by individual investors.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nBed Bath & Beyond has struggled over the past several years as it fought to come up with a digital strategy to fend off competition from e-commerce giants. Many saw the business as ultimately doomed, and the stock got substantial short interest among investors as a result. Yet activist investors stepped in and aimed to concentrate on the company's most lucrative business opportunities, and now, some shareholders are optimistic about Bed Bath & Beyond's ability to cash in on the reopening economy.\nInvestors have high hopes for the coming report, expecting Bed Bath & Beyond to return to profitability and produce impressive revenue growth of around 35%. After the gains the share price has seen in the past week, anything short of those lofty aspirations could cause an abrupt reversal for the meme stock's prospects.\nMicron Technology\nChipmaker Micron Technology(NASDAQ:MU) weighs in with its fiscal third-quarter report on Wednesday afternoon. The company has taken full advantage of huge rises in demand for memory chips and other products, but investors have seemed increasingly nervous abouthow long Micron's demand will lastgiven the notoriously cyclical nature of the semiconductor chip industry.\nTo be clear, few investors have any doubts about the strength of the just-ended quarter. Most of those following the stock expect earnings to double year over year, with revenue climbing at a faster than 35% pace. Many see that growth continuing well into next year. The consensus forecast for fiscal 2022 earnings puts a forward multiple of just 8 on Micron's share price.\nThe key question is how quickly Micron and its competitors will ramp up production capacity in order to meet higher demand. In the past, upward cycles in the chip market ended because companies like Micron boost production too far, creating gluts of chips and sending prices plunging. That in turn crushes profits, making low price-to-earnings ratios into value traps for the unwary. All eyes will be on Micron's report to see not only how things have gone, but also what the future holds for it and its rivals.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance\nLastly,Walgreen Boots Alliance(NASDAQ:WBA) will offer its latest look at earnings on Thursday, July 1. Investors are expecting a mixed picture from the giant drugstore chain, with revenue likely slipping a bit from year-ago levels but profits jumping by nearly 65%.\nInvestors will watch how Walgreens has done in administering COVID-19 vaccines, which has been a one-time boon for the industry generally. However, of greater long-term concern will be any comments on whether the possibility of e-commerce giant Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) challenging Walgreens' business more directly could cause problems.\nWalgreens will have to have a strategy for how to build on momentum from COVID-related impacts. If the drugstore chain can't deliver, then the relatively stagnant performance of its stock could continue further into 2021 and potentially beyond.\nWatch out for surprises\nNews that's close to what investors expect likely won't make a big difference for any of these three stocks or the stock market more broadly. But if any of these companies has a big surprise, it could turn out to be what moves the Nasdaq heading into the July 4 holiday weekend.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129194270,"gmtCreate":1624363808290,"gmtModify":1703834413361,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[What] ","listText":"[What] ","text":"[What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129194270","repostId":"1177499959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177499959","pubTimestamp":1624344919,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177499959?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177499959","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" spa","content":"<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.</p>\n<p>Fast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"Tapering<i><b>is</b></i>Tightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.</p>\n<p>Elaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)- writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"<b>fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"</b></p>\n<p>Or to paraphrase Lester Burnham,<b>\"it's all downhill from here\"...</b>and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"<b><i>the transition is incomplete.\"</i></b></p>\n<p>Highlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:<b>\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.</b>\"</p>\n<p>Furthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d95f296e4d1300cd3c95485a2333d270\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"</p>\n<blockquote>\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Nevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.</p>\n<p>While real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"<b>this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670f9e23e34953726583276c32a7b3f9\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"445\"></p>\n<p>That said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.<b>This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.</b>Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.</p>\n<p>Wilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantially<b>before</b>Bernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"<i>perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"</i></p>\n<blockquote>\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.</p>\n<p>Wrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,<b>monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - is</b><b><u>money supply growth</u></b><b>:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>In a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,</i>\n <i><b>the primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Realizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\" He explains:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>When money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>And visually:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392b34be32740b00458d59adb2bb80a6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"486\"></p>\n<p>But wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).</p>\n<p>Taking Wilson's argument a step further,<b>M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economy</b><b><i>and</i></b><b>markets.</b>On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of February<b>but has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a more \"normal\" level of annual growth</b>— i.e., 7-8%</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd5f46571e7e27f9c00fed0a2d310a3c\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>More ominously, this also suggests<b>liquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.</b></p>\n<p>Finally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c77fa806a6775bc562b18346590d26c9\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>Wilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.</p>\n<p>This to Wilson<b>\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"</b>and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).</p>\n<p>Putting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is that<b>the market already knows it.</b>The bad news is that<b>a majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.</b>This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"</p>\n<p>And while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.</p>\n<p>We expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 14:55 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177499959","content_text":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.\nFast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"TaperingisTightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.\nElaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)- writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"\nOr to paraphrase Lester Burnham,\"it's all downhill from here\"...and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"the transition is incomplete.\"\nHighlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.\"\nFurthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...\n... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"\n\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n\nNevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.\nWhile real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"\n\nThat said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.\nWilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantiallybeforeBernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"\n\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n\nThe underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.\nWrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - ismoney supply growth:\n\nIn a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,\nthe primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.\n\nRealizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\" He explains:\n\nWhen money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).\n\nAnd visually:\n\nBut wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).\nTaking Wilson's argument a step further,M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economyandmarkets.On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of Februarybut has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a more \"normal\" level of annual growth— i.e., 7-8%\n\nMore ominously, this also suggestsliquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.\nFinally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.\n\nWilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.\nThis to Wilson\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).\nPutting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is thatthe market already knows it.The bad news is thata majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"\nAnd while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.\nWe expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161035413,"gmtCreate":1623895999332,"gmtModify":1703822868331,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Shy] ","listText":"[Shy] ","text":"[Shy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/161035413","repostId":"1157739738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157739738","pubTimestamp":1623891796,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157739738?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 09:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: Take Profits","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157739738","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.Important short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.Given the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.When I look at AMC’s cha","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>After emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.</li>\n <li>Important short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.</li>\n <li>Given the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd621cec481d173c0f0d3b9be49ed335\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1241\"><span>BCFC/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>Over the past two weeks or so, AMC(NYSE:AMC)has undergone a historic rise in its stock price. Due in part to elevated levels of short interest, the use of options, and actions taken by AMC, the equities price has risen ~485% in the last month. For the year, AMC has risen by ~763.5% to a price of ~$55 a share and a market cap of $28.4B, despite a fundamentally destructive year to the company and its long-term business prospects. After rising earlier this year amongst the short and gamma squeeze of GameStop(NYSE:GMEand other “reddit” fueled equities, AMC has gained momentum again and has separated itself from the group with its performance. This piece will compare GME’s leadership in the February fiasco with AMC’s current leadership and will evaluate the catalysts driving the moves and their lifespans. Given the nature of this equities price action, it is important to consistently reconsider your investment thesis and re-evaluate what is driving price action. In my opinion, technical analysis takes over in these scenarios, and I will point to many factors that indicate this might be the time to take profit or initiate a position in anticipation of a sell-off.</p>\n<p><b>Technical Analysis</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d813be28f7a34550ff50814b55a68e45\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"308\"><span>Source: CNBC(GameStop)</span></p>\n<p>Consider the run-up in GME earlier this year when it had leadership amongst the pack of momentum or “meme” stocks. The top red band on the chart indicates the 7-day moving average, while the blue indicates the 50-day moving average and the green the 200-day moving average. As you can see from the chart, breakthroughs of the 7-day moving average are consistently followed by large moves in both directions. It seems, with these drastically volatile moves, the 7-day moving average is the most useful indicator for price action. As you can see in the chart, in February, March, and June, when GME’s price broke through the 7-day moving average, stark downside followed.</p>\n<p>Interestingly enough, the 50-day moving average (blue line) has seemed to provide some level of consistent support in this upward trend, providing a level of support for a couple bounces along the move. And as this upward trend has continued, the gap between the 50-day and the 7-day has contracted, thus providing less volatility and greater predictability in terms of levels of resistance and support.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30a18cedd2df4fa0530b6c94859b3021\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"252\"><span>Source: CNBC [AMC]</span></p>\n<p>When I look at AMC’s chart, it reminds me of GME’s in February of 2021. The upward move has been quick and stark (~350% in ~23 days) similar to GME’s move in February (~1,525% in ~21 days). Both led to a large dispersion between the 7-day and 50-day moving averages in the short term and, thus, offered elevated potential for volatility both in terms of the upside and downside. As you can see from GME’s chart, it eventually tested the 50-day moving average around ~$45-50 after touching ~$350 the week prior.</p>\n<p>Similarly to GME, AMC has also now consolidated around its 7-day average after this run-up and allowed it to catch up to the price action. If AMC is unable to break through $62.55 and present new momentum, it is at risk of double topping, breaking through its 7-day average on the downside and retesting the 50-day around $20.<i>This scenario offers ~60% downside.</i>Although I don’t usual look at time periods in an effort to evaluate potential future price action, I think it is important to note the similarity in terms of the time period of both moves and stay wary about what followed on the back end of GME’s move.</p>\n<p><b>Google Search Interest: The Momentum Story</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dda9563f56dc1df868212408e969418\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"181\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends (GameStop)</span></p>\n<p>As these moves are very much based upon momentum, Google search interest may be of value to consider. As you can see from the chart, GME’s search interest rose and fell quickly in late Jan. early Feb., pretty much in line with its equities performance. Its peak in interest pretty much aligned exactly with its peak in price, and its fall in interest aligned exactly with its fall in price. Similarly, its rebound in interest followed its rebound in price after testing the 50-day moving average around ~$45.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fba476b389598252d5156f43d0962f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"190\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends [AMC]</span></p>\n<p>When you look at AMC’s Google Search Interest, you can also see its dramatic spike in a short period of time and then a subsequent stark decline. As search interest and volume were leading indicators for GME's move downward back in February, this chart might indicate a potential sell-off if it is not able to rebound.</p>\n<p><b>Cross-Analysis</b></p>\n<p>When you chart stock price, search interest, and volume over each other, the relationship between them all becomes clearer, despite the imperfections in measuring a large number like volume to interest.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71c144385e0530f21df9f305b4eef2f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"392\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p>\n<p>When considering GME, the chart demonstrates that the variables have a correlation, especially in the stark and volatile moves upward and downward. While they may stray during times of relative muted volatility, they retain a relationship when things are moving in a volatile nature. Search interest and volume seemingly led or fell directly in line with the stock price following the move upward.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c1aab35454d89a6f58f78341bf918b\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"375\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p>\n<p>AMC’s chart actually demonstrates the relationship and correlation between these variables more clearly. Consider how search interest and volume actually preceded price in GME’s move down and how AMC’s search interest recently broke through its price in a similar manner.</p>\n<p>While this method of analysis is not perfect, it is important to remember what the catalysts for your positions are and constantly analyze the duration of their impact and lifespan in the marketplace. As with all short-term volatile moves, fundamentals rarely provide too much of an indication or near term price action. Often, technicals, volume, and momentum provide the most accurate forecasts of future price action and, thus, are the most useful to analyze.</p>\n<p>Many have offered catalysts for what has driven this move, ranging from the re-opening narrative, a gamma or short squeeze, or the influx of new capital from shares issuances. The bottom line is all these catalysts depend upon momentum for their effective lifespan. Even if they are catalysts that will take place over time, dramatic price appreciation like this shortens the lifespan of the catalysts' daily momentum until they retest the longer term averages and establishes stability with heightened volume.</p>\n<p>I think it would be prudent to take profit here or at least take more than 50% off the table for the time being, and for those interested, a position in anticipation of a stark downside seems sensible.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>The risks to the bearish thesis on AMC involve renewed momentum and continued strength above the 7-day moving average. As I elaborated on earlier, that seems to be the most critical indicator of short-term price movement in these scenarios and consistently has been an indicator of a dramatic move to come both on the upside and downside. If AMC holds above this average and tightens the gap between the 7-day and the 20 and 50-day moving averages, it could potentially hold this heightened volume and price level and consolidate before making a move to new highs. I fundamentally believe that, while there are catalysts here at play, when a move is this dramatic in this short of a time frame momentum and technicals take over in determining future price action. And, thus, if the technicals break down, there should be stark downside. However, if the technicals continue to stay bullish, there may be more upside ahead. AMC looks to similar, however, to GME’s February move, and the bearish double top pattern seems to be forming.</p>\n<p>Conclusion</p>\n<p>After writing a bullish article on AMC in January, we are now bearish on the equity, recognizing the deterioration of key momentum indicators and the technical similarity to the GME’s rise and fall back in February. In events like this, the catalysts get choppy, and it’s important to evaluate the lifespan of the main points to in your investment thesis. When things rise dramatically, there is often a time off profit taken in which the market re-prices just how valuable catalysts are. If it’s just momentum as a catalyst, the re-pricing is often stark and volatile. If it is a more long-term catalyst, the profit taking can be more muted. While there may be many catalysts driving AMC’s rise, there is without doubt one that takes precedent over them all, and that is the momentum story. Given our examination of GME, it seems the 7-day moving average is the price level to look at before dramatic downside, given the gap between the 20 and 50 day moving average. As Google search trends, volume, and price (double top pattern) seem to indicate things are breaking down and are similar at least to GME in February. One should consider taking profits here, and if inclined to take the other side, consider initiating a position accordingly now. While option premiums are high, I think there is still an ability to initiate a small position or a hedge with some short-term options (2 weeks-4 weeks). If price action were to head to the downside, the move would be drastic as the next level of support is $40 lower than the current price. While I think shorting could make sense here, and the cost to borrow doesn’t seem that high as the percentage of shares short is not GME’s level, there is inherently more risk there.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: Take Profits</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: Take Profits\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 09:03 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435124-amc-stock-take-profits><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAfter emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.\nImportant short-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435124-amc-stock-take-profits\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435124-amc-stock-take-profits","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157739738","content_text":"Summary\n\nAfter emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.\nImportant short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.\nGiven the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.\n\nBCFC/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nOver the past two weeks or so, AMC(NYSE:AMC)has undergone a historic rise in its stock price. Due in part to elevated levels of short interest, the use of options, and actions taken by AMC, the equities price has risen ~485% in the last month. For the year, AMC has risen by ~763.5% to a price of ~$55 a share and a market cap of $28.4B, despite a fundamentally destructive year to the company and its long-term business prospects. After rising earlier this year amongst the short and gamma squeeze of GameStop(NYSE:GMEand other “reddit” fueled equities, AMC has gained momentum again and has separated itself from the group with its performance. This piece will compare GME’s leadership in the February fiasco with AMC’s current leadership and will evaluate the catalysts driving the moves and their lifespans. Given the nature of this equities price action, it is important to consistently reconsider your investment thesis and re-evaluate what is driving price action. In my opinion, technical analysis takes over in these scenarios, and I will point to many factors that indicate this might be the time to take profit or initiate a position in anticipation of a sell-off.\nTechnical Analysis\nSource: CNBC(GameStop)\nConsider the run-up in GME earlier this year when it had leadership amongst the pack of momentum or “meme” stocks. The top red band on the chart indicates the 7-day moving average, while the blue indicates the 50-day moving average and the green the 200-day moving average. As you can see from the chart, breakthroughs of the 7-day moving average are consistently followed by large moves in both directions. It seems, with these drastically volatile moves, the 7-day moving average is the most useful indicator for price action. As you can see in the chart, in February, March, and June, when GME’s price broke through the 7-day moving average, stark downside followed.\nInterestingly enough, the 50-day moving average (blue line) has seemed to provide some level of consistent support in this upward trend, providing a level of support for a couple bounces along the move. And as this upward trend has continued, the gap between the 50-day and the 7-day has contracted, thus providing less volatility and greater predictability in terms of levels of resistance and support.\nSource: CNBC [AMC]\nWhen I look at AMC’s chart, it reminds me of GME’s in February of 2021. The upward move has been quick and stark (~350% in ~23 days) similar to GME’s move in February (~1,525% in ~21 days). Both led to a large dispersion between the 7-day and 50-day moving averages in the short term and, thus, offered elevated potential for volatility both in terms of the upside and downside. As you can see from GME’s chart, it eventually tested the 50-day moving average around ~$45-50 after touching ~$350 the week prior.\nSimilarly to GME, AMC has also now consolidated around its 7-day average after this run-up and allowed it to catch up to the price action. If AMC is unable to break through $62.55 and present new momentum, it is at risk of double topping, breaking through its 7-day average on the downside and retesting the 50-day around $20.This scenario offers ~60% downside.Although I don’t usual look at time periods in an effort to evaluate potential future price action, I think it is important to note the similarity in terms of the time period of both moves and stay wary about what followed on the back end of GME’s move.\nGoogle Search Interest: The Momentum Story\nSource: Google Search Trends (GameStop)\nAs these moves are very much based upon momentum, Google search interest may be of value to consider. As you can see from the chart, GME’s search interest rose and fell quickly in late Jan. early Feb., pretty much in line with its equities performance. Its peak in interest pretty much aligned exactly with its peak in price, and its fall in interest aligned exactly with its fall in price. Similarly, its rebound in interest followed its rebound in price after testing the 50-day moving average around ~$45.\nSource: Google Search Trends [AMC]\nWhen you look at AMC’s Google Search Interest, you can also see its dramatic spike in a short period of time and then a subsequent stark decline. As search interest and volume were leading indicators for GME's move downward back in February, this chart might indicate a potential sell-off if it is not able to rebound.\nCross-Analysis\nWhen you chart stock price, search interest, and volume over each other, the relationship between them all becomes clearer, despite the imperfections in measuring a large number like volume to interest.\nSource: ValueMan\nWhen considering GME, the chart demonstrates that the variables have a correlation, especially in the stark and volatile moves upward and downward. While they may stray during times of relative muted volatility, they retain a relationship when things are moving in a volatile nature. Search interest and volume seemingly led or fell directly in line with the stock price following the move upward.\nSource: ValueMan\nAMC’s chart actually demonstrates the relationship and correlation between these variables more clearly. Consider how search interest and volume actually preceded price in GME’s move down and how AMC’s search interest recently broke through its price in a similar manner.\nWhile this method of analysis is not perfect, it is important to remember what the catalysts for your positions are and constantly analyze the duration of their impact and lifespan in the marketplace. As with all short-term volatile moves, fundamentals rarely provide too much of an indication or near term price action. Often, technicals, volume, and momentum provide the most accurate forecasts of future price action and, thus, are the most useful to analyze.\nMany have offered catalysts for what has driven this move, ranging from the re-opening narrative, a gamma or short squeeze, or the influx of new capital from shares issuances. The bottom line is all these catalysts depend upon momentum for their effective lifespan. Even if they are catalysts that will take place over time, dramatic price appreciation like this shortens the lifespan of the catalysts' daily momentum until they retest the longer term averages and establishes stability with heightened volume.\nI think it would be prudent to take profit here or at least take more than 50% off the table for the time being, and for those interested, a position in anticipation of a stark downside seems sensible.\nRisks\nThe risks to the bearish thesis on AMC involve renewed momentum and continued strength above the 7-day moving average. As I elaborated on earlier, that seems to be the most critical indicator of short-term price movement in these scenarios and consistently has been an indicator of a dramatic move to come both on the upside and downside. If AMC holds above this average and tightens the gap between the 7-day and the 20 and 50-day moving averages, it could potentially hold this heightened volume and price level and consolidate before making a move to new highs. I fundamentally believe that, while there are catalysts here at play, when a move is this dramatic in this short of a time frame momentum and technicals take over in determining future price action. And, thus, if the technicals break down, there should be stark downside. However, if the technicals continue to stay bullish, there may be more upside ahead. AMC looks to similar, however, to GME’s February move, and the bearish double top pattern seems to be forming.\nConclusion\nAfter writing a bullish article on AMC in January, we are now bearish on the equity, recognizing the deterioration of key momentum indicators and the technical similarity to the GME’s rise and fall back in February. In events like this, the catalysts get choppy, and it’s important to evaluate the lifespan of the main points to in your investment thesis. When things rise dramatically, there is often a time off profit taken in which the market re-prices just how valuable catalysts are. If it’s just momentum as a catalyst, the re-pricing is often stark and volatile. If it is a more long-term catalyst, the profit taking can be more muted. While there may be many catalysts driving AMC’s rise, there is without doubt one that takes precedent over them all, and that is the momentum story. Given our examination of GME, it seems the 7-day moving average is the price level to look at before dramatic downside, given the gap between the 20 and 50 day moving average. As Google search trends, volume, and price (double top pattern) seem to indicate things are breaking down and are similar at least to GME in February. One should consider taking profits here, and if inclined to take the other side, consider initiating a position accordingly now. While option premiums are high, I think there is still an ability to initiate a small position or a hedge with some short-term options (2 weeks-4 weeks). If price action were to head to the downside, the move would be drastic as the next level of support is $40 lower than the current price. While I think shorting could make sense here, and the cost to borrow doesn’t seem that high as the percentage of shares short is not GME’s level, there is inherently more risk there.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119573363,"gmtCreate":1622556777652,"gmtModify":1704186289862,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/119573363","repostId":"1138216687","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138216687","pubTimestamp":1622552095,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138216687?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-01 20:54","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: One Of The Really Cheap Bargains In This Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138216687","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is one of the largest corporations in the world and focusing on retail, cloud and payment services.The company is clearly facing risks due to the tension between Jack Ma and the Chinese government, but I consider these risks to be only temporary.Alibaba is growing with a high pace, has a very stable balance sheet and outperforming many of its peers.So far, I have published over 300 articles on this site and the focus has been clearly on companies having the headquarters in the United Sta","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Alibaba is one of the largest corporations in the world and focusing on retail, cloud and payment services.</li>\n <li>The company is clearly facing risks due to the tension between Jack Ma and the Chinese government, but I consider these risks to be only temporary.</li>\n <li>Alibaba is growing with a high pace, has a very stable balance sheet and outperforming many of its peers.</li>\n <li>In my opinion, the stock is severely undervalued.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15ac5f97c66688f6d16ce98819ebce4a\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by maybefalse/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>So far, I have published over 300 articles on this site and the focus has been clearly on companies having the headquarters in the United States and stocks listed on an US-based stock exchange. And while I am covering also companies from Germany, France, Great Britain, Sweden or Denmark, I have avoided one country almost completely although it has many interesting investment opportunities: Mainland China.The only company I covered so far is Tencent Holdings Limited (OTCPK:TCEHY).</p>\n<p>And although China has hundreds or thousands of successful companies, most of them are almost unknown in the Western Hemisphere (especially when moving outside of the investing world). And while most investors are familiar with Tencent, there is at least one other company almost every investor has heard of: Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA). In the following article, I will analyze Alibaba in my usual way. I will try to determine if Alibaba is a solid business with a wide economic moat and try to answer the question if Alibaba is a solid investment right now.</p>\n<p><b>Business Description</b></p>\n<p>Alibaba Group was founded in 1999 by 18 individuals. Nevertheless, one of these 18 stands out – the former English teacher from Hangzhou, Jack Ma. Over the years, Alibaba evolved in a multinational technology company and with a market capitalization of $570 billion, Alibaba is on the 10thspot on the list of most valuable companies in the world (by market cap). And behind Tencent, which is on the 7thspot on that list, Alibaba is the second most valuable company in China.</p>\n<p>While Alibaba is mostly focused on e-commerce and retail operations, the Alibaba Group is actually a holding company with many different sales services. This includes C2C services, B2C services and B2B services. Aside from retail, the Alibaba Group also offers electronic payment services, shipping search engines and could computing services. The group owns and operates a diverse portfolio of companies around the world in numerous business sectors.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b315044f4644568e7df5d95cc6720995\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"479\"><span>(Source:Alibaba Q4/20 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>Alibaba is reporting in four different segments:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Core Commerce Revenue</b>: This segment is comprised of platforms operating in retail and wholesale commerce in China as well as logistics services and local consumer services. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 621.1 billion in revenue and RMB 159 billion in income from operations.</li>\n <li><b>Cloud Computing Revenue</b>: This segment is comprised of Alibaba Cloud, which offers different cloud services to customers worldwide like database, storage, big data analytics, a machine learning platform and large-scale computing security. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 60.1 billion, but the segment was not profitable so far (a loss of RMB 9 billion).</li>\n <li><b>Digital Media and Entertainment Revenue</b>: This segment uses the deep data insights to serve the broader interests of consumers through key distribution platforms Youku and Alibaba Pictures as well as other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, literature and music. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 31.2 billion, but was also not profitable.</li>\n <li><b>Innovation Initiatives and Others Revenue</b>: This segment includes businesses like Amap, DingTalk, Tmall Genie and others. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 4.8 billion in revenue, but also an operating loss.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0529c547e87a4c0b023289ecb1822cbc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"478\"><span>(Source: Alibaba Q4/20 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When looking at the last annual results (fiscal 2021), Alibaba generated RMB 717.3 billion in revenue. Compared to fiscal 2020 (RMB 509.7 billion) this is reflecting an increase of 41%. Adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2021 was RMB 196.8 billion – an increase of 25% compared to fiscal 2020 (adjusted EBITA of RMB 157.7 billion). Diluted earnings per share actually decreased from RMB 6.99 in fiscal 2020 to RMB 6.84 in fiscal 2021 – reflecting a decrease of 2.1%. But we should not pay too much attention to the earnings per share. Instead, it makes much more sense to look at the free cash flow Alibaba is generating. In fiscal 2021, Alibaba generated RMB 172.7 billion in free cash flow compared to RMB 130.9 billion in free cash flow one year earlier.</p>\n<p><b>Strong Business Among Strong Competitors</b></p>\n<p>What is striking when looking at Alibaba – and what has been discussed several times – is the low multiple for which Alibaba is currently trading. When using the trailing twelve-month GAAP numbers, Alibaba is trading for 25 times earnings, when using the non-GAAP forward numbers, it is trading for a P/E ratio of 20.</p>\n<p>We can compare Alibaba to its peers – companies like Amazon (AMZN), Tencent, Facebook (FB), Microsoft (MSFT) or Alphabet (GOOG). And Alibaba actually belongs in that list as it is not only operating in similar business segments, but it is also growing with similarly high rates. And Alibaba is not only growing with a similar pace; it is actually outperforming most of its peers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b576dcef2e37a02a6eba5677fded8ef8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"299\"><span>(Source:Alibaba 2020 Investor Presentations)</span></p>\n<p>While Alibaba is growing with a similar pace like these companies, it is trading for a completely different multiple. Right now, Alibaba is trading for a price-cash-flow ratio of 17, while competitors like Tencent, Facebook or Microsoft are trading for a P/FCF ratio between 35 and 40. It is striking, that the market is assigning these competitors a multiple twice as high and Amazon is actually trading for a multiple more than 4 times higher (price-free-cash-flow ratio of 76).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d2f58771a8062c7bb980622b93073e5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Right now, readers might point out, that the comparison to Amazon is misleading as Amazon is still spending a lot of money to achieve future growth and therefore has a lower profit than other companies. And it certainly is true, that Amazon is still focusing on top line growth – sometimes at the expense of bottom-line growth – but so does Alibaba.</p>\n<p>While Amazon spent 10.4% of its revenue as capital expenditures in the last fiscal year, Alibaba spent almost the same amount – 8.9% of revenue. And when looking at the expenses for research and development, we once again see similar numbers. In the last five years, Amazon spent 12.16% of revenue on R&D on average while Alibaba spent 10.38% of its revenue on R&D.</p>\n<p>But while these numbers are quite similar for both companies – Amazon is spending a bit more on R&D than Alibaba – the free cash flow these two companies can generate is completely different. While Amazon only generated 6.7% of revenue as free cash flow in the last fiscal year, Alibaba generated 26.5% of revenue as free cash flow in the last fiscal year – almost four times higher.</p>\n<p>And Alibaba is not only extremely profitable – it was growing with an extremely high pace in the past. During the past ten years, Alibaba could not only grow revenue every single year, it also grew revenue with a CAGR of 62.6%. Earnings per share fluctuated a little bit during these ten years but grew with an even higher pace – a CAGR of 76.29% during the last decade. And finally, free cash flow increased with a CAGR of 59.62% during the last decade.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3ccaf170c0d86cd8022a68bc3657c30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>(Source: Author’s work based on numbers from Morningstar)</span></p>\n<p>When looking at Alibaba’s growth rates in the last few years compared to its competitors, Alibaba is also outperforming. When looking at the revenue CAGR of the last 5 years, we get the following numbers:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Amazon: 29.26%</li>\n <li>Facebook: 36.82%</li>\n <li>Tencent: 36.20%</li>\n <li>Alphabet: 19.47%</li>\n <li>Microsoft: 8.85%</li>\n <li>Alibaba: 46.24%</li>\n</ul>\n<p>We can spin it how we want: Alibaba is an extremely profitable company growing with extremely high rates but is trading at an extremely low multiple compared to its competitors. It is growing with a higher pace than Microsoft and Facebook, but trading for half the multiple. It is much more profitable than Amazon and also growing at a higher pace, but trading for a quarter of the valuation multiple. At this point, profitability and growth of Alibaba on the one side and the valuation multiple on the other side does not add up. And we have to ask the question, why Alibaba is trading for such a low multiple although it is outperforming many of its peers that trade for much higher multiples.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>When looking at the past performance of Alibaba, we can see, that steep selloffs are quite common as a similar sell-off happened already three times since the IPO in 2014 with the steepest sell-off being more than 50% off the previous high.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4da83a08f0dcfc73534c206e43cb09d3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>\n<p>While this might help us a bit, we are still facing high levels of uncertainty and investors usually don’t like uncertainty. Basically, this uncertainty can be summed up in one short sentence: The tense relationship between Alibaba’s founder Jack Ma and the Chinese government is worrying for investors. And this tense relationship is exemplified by several events. It started last year, when the IPO of the company’s fintech affiliate Ant Financial was cancelled. </p>\n<p>This was followed by theinitiation of an antitrust investigation, in which it is investigated if Alibaba had engaged in monopolistic practices (like preventing vendors from selling on other platforms). Additionally, new supervision for Ant Group was also discussed. And finally, at the end of 2020, Jack Ma went missing and it took about three months before the public would hear from him again – another worrying aspect for investors.</p>\n<p>As long as we are talking about risks, there are other aspect I like to mention. I compared Alibaba to Amazon above – and I still think that comparison is appropriate. But we also have to acknowledge, that Alibaba growth potential is limited as the company is mostly focused on China and might have more difficulties to expand globally – compared to Amazon. But considering the growing middle class in China and the high pace with which the economy is still growing we should not worry too much about Alibaba’s growth potential.</p>\n<p>There is a final risk Imentioned in my last article about Tencentand that risk is also applying to Alibaba:</p>\n<blockquote>\n And a final risk is the fact that Tencent is a Chinese company. It is especially difficult to understand different trends before they are happening and predict the future, but while I am familiar with the German culture and the people (habits, preferences, etc.) and can deal with similar countries like France, the United Kingdom, Sweden or the United States, it is rather difficult for me to understand and analyze the consumer behavior and preferences of the Chinese population. This makes it difficult to assess the potential and development of the products and services Tencent offers.\n</blockquote>\n<p>But despite all these issues, there is a comparison I like very much. Very recently,one of my fellow contributorscompared Alibaba’s situation right now to Facebook a few years ago, when it was facing the Cambridge Analytics scandal and also trading for extremely low multiples due to the uncertainties. And it is also interesting, that Wall Street analysts as well as Seeking Alpha contributors are extremely bullish about Alibaba right now.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44d2ece5c1460e539c9fd4fb4ba63bf7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"195\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p><b>Balance Sheet</b></p>\n<p>When facing challenges, it is especially reassuring if we are dealing with a solid balance sheet enabling the company to withstand challenges and stormy market conditions. And similar to many companies mentioned above – like Facebook or Alphabet – Alibaba also has a great balance sheet. We don’t have to worry about high debt levels although Alibaba has current bank borrowings of RMB 3.6 billion and non-current bank borrowings of RMB 38.3 billion on its balance sheet. But compared to a total equity of RMB 1,075 billion, we get a D/E ratio of 0.04, which is negligible. Aside from the debt, the biggest problem is probably the company’s goodwill. On March 31, 2021, Alibaba had RMB 292.8 billion in goodwill. This means, that 17.3% of total assets (RMB 1,690 billion) is goodwill.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/532919e61e3feb83d46cbce44e3f3c42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\"><span>(Source:Alibaba Q4/21 Earnings Release)</span></p>\n<p>But aside from goodwill, Alibaba also has RMB 321.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents as well as RMB 152.4 billion in short-term investments on its balance sheet. Aside from these rather liquid assets, Alibaba also has RMB 237.2 billion in equity securities and other investments, that are also worth mentioning. I included a screenshot of the latest balance sheet, which is also including the numbers in US$. Especially $72 billion in very liquid assets give Alibaba a lot of “financial power” and the ability to negative troubles.</p>\n<p><b>Intrinsic Value Calculation</b></p>\n<p>I already mentioned above that Alibaba is trading at rather low multiples – at least when compared to its peers and especially for a company growing with a high pace. And compared to the company’s history, the stock is right now trading almost for its lowest P/FCF ratio since the IPO. A few times – in 2016, 2018 and 2020 – the stock was trading at a similar low P/FCF ratio. From that point of view, Alibaba has to be considered extremely cheap.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1da4ac18557b21c43feb2a338de9a3b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha Charting)</span></p>\n<p>When you are familiar with my past articles, you know that I don’t just use valuation multiples but also a discount cash flow analysis, which is considered to be much more precise (although we have to make a lot more assumptions). When taking the free cash flow of fiscal 2021 (RMB 172.7 billion) as basis, Alibaba has to grow about 5.5% annually from now till perpetuity for the stock to be fairly valued (the intrinsic value is RMB 1,367; discount rate 10%).</p>\n<p>Instead, we can also calculate with more realistic growth rates. If we assume, that Alibaba won’t go under, we have to assume at least 20% growth for the next year. Let’s be rather pessimistic and assume, that growth will slowly decline over the next decade and in 10 years from now, the growth rate will only be 6% till perpetuity. When using these numbers, we get an intrinsic value of <b>RMB 2,596</b>. And we have to assume, that these growth assumptions are rather cautious for a company like Alibaba.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>So far, we talked about risks, about past growth rates, compared Alibaba to its peers and provided an intrinsic value calculation. I also wanted to write about the growth potential as well as the wide economic moat, that Alibaba has without any doubt – similar toAmazon,FacebookorTencent. But the article would probably be too long then. Instead, I included links to three articles in which I described the economic moat of these businesses.</p>\n<p>When summing up, it is quite simple. When we assume, that Alibaba is in serious trouble and might be brought down in some way or is facing troubles, that will seriously mess with the company’s ability to grow, we should not invest in Alibaba. These risks are present, and we actually don’t know what could happen in the coming quarters (or years). However, I consider it extremely unlikely, that China will destroy its second most-valuable company. If we assume on the other side, that this is just a small hick-up and troubles Alibaba can work through in the coming quarters and Alibaba will continue to perform in a similar way as in the past (even with growth rates slowing down), Alibaba is probably one of the most undervalued stocks out there and an extreme bargain.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: One Of The Really Cheap Bargains In This Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: One Of The Really Cheap Bargains In This Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-01 20:54 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432358-alibaba-one-of-the-really-cheap-bargains-in-market><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAlibaba is one of the largest corporations in the world and focusing on retail, cloud and payment services.\nThe company is clearly facing risks due to the tension between Jack Ma and the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432358-alibaba-one-of-the-really-cheap-bargains-in-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432358-alibaba-one-of-the-really-cheap-bargains-in-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1138216687","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is one of the largest corporations in the world and focusing on retail, cloud and payment services.\nThe company is clearly facing risks due to the tension between Jack Ma and the Chinese government, but I consider these risks to be only temporary.\nAlibaba is growing with a high pace, has a very stable balance sheet and outperforming many of its peers.\nIn my opinion, the stock is severely undervalued.\n\nPhoto by maybefalse/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nSo far, I have published over 300 articles on this site and the focus has been clearly on companies having the headquarters in the United States and stocks listed on an US-based stock exchange. And while I am covering also companies from Germany, France, Great Britain, Sweden or Denmark, I have avoided one country almost completely although it has many interesting investment opportunities: Mainland China.The only company I covered so far is Tencent Holdings Limited (OTCPK:TCEHY).\nAnd although China has hundreds or thousands of successful companies, most of them are almost unknown in the Western Hemisphere (especially when moving outside of the investing world). And while most investors are familiar with Tencent, there is at least one other company almost every investor has heard of: Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA). In the following article, I will analyze Alibaba in my usual way. I will try to determine if Alibaba is a solid business with a wide economic moat and try to answer the question if Alibaba is a solid investment right now.\nBusiness Description\nAlibaba Group was founded in 1999 by 18 individuals. Nevertheless, one of these 18 stands out – the former English teacher from Hangzhou, Jack Ma. Over the years, Alibaba evolved in a multinational technology company and with a market capitalization of $570 billion, Alibaba is on the 10thspot on the list of most valuable companies in the world (by market cap). And behind Tencent, which is on the 7thspot on that list, Alibaba is the second most valuable company in China.\nWhile Alibaba is mostly focused on e-commerce and retail operations, the Alibaba Group is actually a holding company with many different sales services. This includes C2C services, B2C services and B2B services. Aside from retail, the Alibaba Group also offers electronic payment services, shipping search engines and could computing services. The group owns and operates a diverse portfolio of companies around the world in numerous business sectors.\n(Source:Alibaba Q4/20 Presentation)\nAlibaba is reporting in four different segments:\n\nCore Commerce Revenue: This segment is comprised of platforms operating in retail and wholesale commerce in China as well as logistics services and local consumer services. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 621.1 billion in revenue and RMB 159 billion in income from operations.\nCloud Computing Revenue: This segment is comprised of Alibaba Cloud, which offers different cloud services to customers worldwide like database, storage, big data analytics, a machine learning platform and large-scale computing security. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 60.1 billion, but the segment was not profitable so far (a loss of RMB 9 billion).\nDigital Media and Entertainment Revenue: This segment uses the deep data insights to serve the broader interests of consumers through key distribution platforms Youku and Alibaba Pictures as well as other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, literature and music. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 31.2 billion, but was also not profitable.\nInnovation Initiatives and Others Revenue: This segment includes businesses like Amap, DingTalk, Tmall Genie and others. In fiscal 2021, this segment generated RMB 4.8 billion in revenue, but also an operating loss.\n\n(Source: Alibaba Q4/20 Presentation)\nWhen looking at the last annual results (fiscal 2021), Alibaba generated RMB 717.3 billion in revenue. Compared to fiscal 2020 (RMB 509.7 billion) this is reflecting an increase of 41%. Adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2021 was RMB 196.8 billion – an increase of 25% compared to fiscal 2020 (adjusted EBITA of RMB 157.7 billion). Diluted earnings per share actually decreased from RMB 6.99 in fiscal 2020 to RMB 6.84 in fiscal 2021 – reflecting a decrease of 2.1%. But we should not pay too much attention to the earnings per share. Instead, it makes much more sense to look at the free cash flow Alibaba is generating. In fiscal 2021, Alibaba generated RMB 172.7 billion in free cash flow compared to RMB 130.9 billion in free cash flow one year earlier.\nStrong Business Among Strong Competitors\nWhat is striking when looking at Alibaba – and what has been discussed several times – is the low multiple for which Alibaba is currently trading. When using the trailing twelve-month GAAP numbers, Alibaba is trading for 25 times earnings, when using the non-GAAP forward numbers, it is trading for a P/E ratio of 20.\nWe can compare Alibaba to its peers – companies like Amazon (AMZN), Tencent, Facebook (FB), Microsoft (MSFT) or Alphabet (GOOG). And Alibaba actually belongs in that list as it is not only operating in similar business segments, but it is also growing with similarly high rates. And Alibaba is not only growing with a similar pace; it is actually outperforming most of its peers.\n(Source:Alibaba 2020 Investor Presentations)\nWhile Alibaba is growing with a similar pace like these companies, it is trading for a completely different multiple. Right now, Alibaba is trading for a price-cash-flow ratio of 17, while competitors like Tencent, Facebook or Microsoft are trading for a P/FCF ratio between 35 and 40. It is striking, that the market is assigning these competitors a multiple twice as high and Amazon is actually trading for a multiple more than 4 times higher (price-free-cash-flow ratio of 76).\nData by YCharts\nRight now, readers might point out, that the comparison to Amazon is misleading as Amazon is still spending a lot of money to achieve future growth and therefore has a lower profit than other companies. And it certainly is true, that Amazon is still focusing on top line growth – sometimes at the expense of bottom-line growth – but so does Alibaba.\nWhile Amazon spent 10.4% of its revenue as capital expenditures in the last fiscal year, Alibaba spent almost the same amount – 8.9% of revenue. And when looking at the expenses for research and development, we once again see similar numbers. In the last five years, Amazon spent 12.16% of revenue on R&D on average while Alibaba spent 10.38% of its revenue on R&D.\nBut while these numbers are quite similar for both companies – Amazon is spending a bit more on R&D than Alibaba – the free cash flow these two companies can generate is completely different. While Amazon only generated 6.7% of revenue as free cash flow in the last fiscal year, Alibaba generated 26.5% of revenue as free cash flow in the last fiscal year – almost four times higher.\nAnd Alibaba is not only extremely profitable – it was growing with an extremely high pace in the past. During the past ten years, Alibaba could not only grow revenue every single year, it also grew revenue with a CAGR of 62.6%. Earnings per share fluctuated a little bit during these ten years but grew with an even higher pace – a CAGR of 76.29% during the last decade. And finally, free cash flow increased with a CAGR of 59.62% during the last decade.\n(Source: Author’s work based on numbers from Morningstar)\nWhen looking at Alibaba’s growth rates in the last few years compared to its competitors, Alibaba is also outperforming. When looking at the revenue CAGR of the last 5 years, we get the following numbers:\n\nAmazon: 29.26%\nFacebook: 36.82%\nTencent: 36.20%\nAlphabet: 19.47%\nMicrosoft: 8.85%\nAlibaba: 46.24%\n\nWe can spin it how we want: Alibaba is an extremely profitable company growing with extremely high rates but is trading at an extremely low multiple compared to its competitors. It is growing with a higher pace than Microsoft and Facebook, but trading for half the multiple. It is much more profitable than Amazon and also growing at a higher pace, but trading for a quarter of the valuation multiple. At this point, profitability and growth of Alibaba on the one side and the valuation multiple on the other side does not add up. And we have to ask the question, why Alibaba is trading for such a low multiple although it is outperforming many of its peers that trade for much higher multiples.\nRisks\nWhen looking at the past performance of Alibaba, we can see, that steep selloffs are quite common as a similar sell-off happened already three times since the IPO in 2014 with the steepest sell-off being more than 50% off the previous high.\nData byYCharts\nWhile this might help us a bit, we are still facing high levels of uncertainty and investors usually don’t like uncertainty. Basically, this uncertainty can be summed up in one short sentence: The tense relationship between Alibaba’s founder Jack Ma and the Chinese government is worrying for investors. And this tense relationship is exemplified by several events. It started last year, when the IPO of the company’s fintech affiliate Ant Financial was cancelled. \nThis was followed by theinitiation of an antitrust investigation, in which it is investigated if Alibaba had engaged in monopolistic practices (like preventing vendors from selling on other platforms). Additionally, new supervision for Ant Group was also discussed. And finally, at the end of 2020, Jack Ma went missing and it took about three months before the public would hear from him again – another worrying aspect for investors.\nAs long as we are talking about risks, there are other aspect I like to mention. I compared Alibaba to Amazon above – and I still think that comparison is appropriate. But we also have to acknowledge, that Alibaba growth potential is limited as the company is mostly focused on China and might have more difficulties to expand globally – compared to Amazon. But considering the growing middle class in China and the high pace with which the economy is still growing we should not worry too much about Alibaba’s growth potential.\nThere is a final risk Imentioned in my last article about Tencentand that risk is also applying to Alibaba:\n\n And a final risk is the fact that Tencent is a Chinese company. It is especially difficult to understand different trends before they are happening and predict the future, but while I am familiar with the German culture and the people (habits, preferences, etc.) and can deal with similar countries like France, the United Kingdom, Sweden or the United States, it is rather difficult for me to understand and analyze the consumer behavior and preferences of the Chinese population. This makes it difficult to assess the potential and development of the products and services Tencent offers.\n\nBut despite all these issues, there is a comparison I like very much. Very recently,one of my fellow contributorscompared Alibaba’s situation right now to Facebook a few years ago, when it was facing the Cambridge Analytics scandal and also trading for extremely low multiples due to the uncertainties. And it is also interesting, that Wall Street analysts as well as Seeking Alpha contributors are extremely bullish about Alibaba right now.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nBalance Sheet\nWhen facing challenges, it is especially reassuring if we are dealing with a solid balance sheet enabling the company to withstand challenges and stormy market conditions. And similar to many companies mentioned above – like Facebook or Alphabet – Alibaba also has a great balance sheet. We don’t have to worry about high debt levels although Alibaba has current bank borrowings of RMB 3.6 billion and non-current bank borrowings of RMB 38.3 billion on its balance sheet. But compared to a total equity of RMB 1,075 billion, we get a D/E ratio of 0.04, which is negligible. Aside from the debt, the biggest problem is probably the company’s goodwill. On March 31, 2021, Alibaba had RMB 292.8 billion in goodwill. This means, that 17.3% of total assets (RMB 1,690 billion) is goodwill.\n(Source:Alibaba Q4/21 Earnings Release)\nBut aside from goodwill, Alibaba also has RMB 321.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents as well as RMB 152.4 billion in short-term investments on its balance sheet. Aside from these rather liquid assets, Alibaba also has RMB 237.2 billion in equity securities and other investments, that are also worth mentioning. I included a screenshot of the latest balance sheet, which is also including the numbers in US$. Especially $72 billion in very liquid assets give Alibaba a lot of “financial power” and the ability to negative troubles.\nIntrinsic Value Calculation\nI already mentioned above that Alibaba is trading at rather low multiples – at least when compared to its peers and especially for a company growing with a high pace. And compared to the company’s history, the stock is right now trading almost for its lowest P/FCF ratio since the IPO. A few times – in 2016, 2018 and 2020 – the stock was trading at a similar low P/FCF ratio. From that point of view, Alibaba has to be considered extremely cheap.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha Charting)\nWhen you are familiar with my past articles, you know that I don’t just use valuation multiples but also a discount cash flow analysis, which is considered to be much more precise (although we have to make a lot more assumptions). When taking the free cash flow of fiscal 2021 (RMB 172.7 billion) as basis, Alibaba has to grow about 5.5% annually from now till perpetuity for the stock to be fairly valued (the intrinsic value is RMB 1,367; discount rate 10%).\nInstead, we can also calculate with more realistic growth rates. If we assume, that Alibaba won’t go under, we have to assume at least 20% growth for the next year. Let’s be rather pessimistic and assume, that growth will slowly decline over the next decade and in 10 years from now, the growth rate will only be 6% till perpetuity. When using these numbers, we get an intrinsic value of RMB 2,596. And we have to assume, that these growth assumptions are rather cautious for a company like Alibaba.\nConclusion\nSo far, we talked about risks, about past growth rates, compared Alibaba to its peers and provided an intrinsic value calculation. I also wanted to write about the growth potential as well as the wide economic moat, that Alibaba has without any doubt – similar toAmazon,FacebookorTencent. But the article would probably be too long then. Instead, I included links to three articles in which I described the economic moat of these businesses.\nWhen summing up, it is quite simple. When we assume, that Alibaba is in serious trouble and might be brought down in some way or is facing troubles, that will seriously mess with the company’s ability to grow, we should not invest in Alibaba. These risks are present, and we actually don’t know what could happen in the coming quarters (or years). However, I consider it extremely unlikely, that China will destroy its second most-valuable company. If we assume on the other side, that this is just a small hick-up and troubles Alibaba can work through in the coming quarters and Alibaba will continue to perform in a similar way as in the past (even with growth rates slowing down), Alibaba is probably one of the most undervalued stocks out there and an extreme bargain.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":172,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138655503,"gmtCreate":1621937426102,"gmtModify":1704364745049,"author":{"id":"3574838754220707","authorId":"3574838754220707","name":"Timkang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2876885cb3200debd8720c66ae38b84a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574838754220707","authorIdStr":"3574838754220707"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Anger] ","listText":"[Anger] ","text":"[Anger]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138655503","repostId":"1145709715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145709715","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621933657,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145709715?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-25 17:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145709715","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"GSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market.Beijing Haidian District Education Com","content":"<p>GSX Techedu, Tal Education, New Oriental surged in pre-market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/195328cd14fcca22e92c6b15ee92640e\" tg-width=\"1282\" tg-height=\"624\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Beijing Haidian District Education Commission issued a statement: Recently, the news that \"educational institutions will not be allowed to start classes in summer\", this news is not true.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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