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2023-01-07

Soft landing or hard landing?

3 Dow Stocks Down 30% to 55% That Are Screaming Buys for 2023

2022-09-09

Nice

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-09-05

Nice

3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too

2022-07-20

Agree

Apple: Music Needs To Be Louder

2022-07-01

Let see

Singapore Shares Close 0.21% Lower on Global Recession Blues

2022-07-01

Wondering when the winter will be over

SenseTime Group Slumps After Expiration of Lockup Period

2022-06-17

Wait and see

U.S. Stocks Extended Their Losses in Morning Trading; Dow Jones Sunk Below 30,000 Since 2021 While Nasdaq Tumbled Nearly 4%

2022-06-15

See how

3 Technology Stocks That Can Prosper During a Tech Downturn

2021-08-20

Nice

Morgan Stanley：China's Regulatory Reset

2021-07-19

Hmm

Wall Street Crime And Punishment: Thomas F. Quinn's Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World

2021-07-16

Hmmm

It's Game Over for AMC, but These Stocks Can Still Go to the Moon

2021-07-14

Nice

Apple at Fresh Record High on iPhone Production Boost Report, JPMorgan Upgrade

2021-07-12

Nice

Apple: New Highs, But Now What?

2021-07-09

On hold, waiting for rainbow

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-07-08

Good

S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes

2021-07-07

Ok

Amazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside

2021-07-05

Aws

Jeff Bezos Steps Down as CEO on Monday. Here’s What It Means for Amazon’s Stock.

2021-07-05

Well

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-07-05

Nice

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-07-04

Hmmm

When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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It delivered a worse negative return only six times over the past 50 years.</p><p>Several members of the blue chip index experienced especially sharp sell-offs. But that doesn&#39;t mean that better days aren&#39;t on the way. Here are three Dow stocks down 30% to 55% that are screaming buys for 2023.</p><h2>1. Apple</h2><p><b>Apple</b> held up better than most tech stocks throughout much of 2022. However, gravity kicked in during the latter part of the year. Apple&#39;s shares are now down around 30% below the peak level from late 2021.</p><p>The biggest problems for Apple relate to macroeconomic issues. High inflation, rising interest rates, and supply chain constraints (all aftereffects of the COVID-19 pandemic) are key factors behind the company&#39;s slowing growth rate.</p><p>But it would be a huge mistake to write off Apple&#39;s prospects. Wall Street certainly hasn&#39;t. The consensus 12-month price target for the stock is nearly 40% higher than the current share price.</p><p>Analysts no doubt like Apple&#39;s valuation after its steep decline. They almost certainly love the stickiness of the company&#39;s iPhone ecosystem. What really makes Apple stock a screaming buy, though, are the growth opportunities that the company could have in new areas, including augmented reality and digital advertising. The latter appears to be on track to become a $10 billion business for Apple even sooner than expected.</p><h2>2. Microsoft</h2><p><b>Microsoft</b> stock is currently 33% below the high set in late 2021. The tech giant started off last year with its shares declining. The downward trajectory continued throughout most of 2022.</p><p>This dismal performance last year stemmed in large part from a slump in worldwide PC shipments. Microsoft generates a significant portion of its total revenue from selling Windows operating systems and other PC software.</p><p>However, many analysts think that Microsoft could make a major comeback in the new year. The consensus Wall Street price target for the stock reflects an upside potential in the ballpark of 30%.</p><p>This bullish view appears to be justified. Microsoft&#39;s cloud hosting business continues to gain momentum. Sales for its cloud-based productivity software are growing. The company is making an important move into the advertising technology market. It shouldn&#39;t take much good news for Microsoft stock to return to its winning ways in 2023.</p><h2>3. Disney</h2><p>It wouldn&#39;t be surprising if Mickey Mouse isn&#39;t as cheerful as he&#39;s been in the past. Shares of <b>Walt</b> <b>Disney</b> plunged in 2022, marking the second consecutive year of declines. The stock is now down 55% below its previous high.</p><p>Disney&#39;s troubles are due in part to the overall economy. Investors also lost enthusiasm for the company&#39;s streaming business as it continues to rack up big losses.</p><p>There&#39;s some disagreement on Wall Street about how Disney will perform in 2023. Half of the analysts surveyed by Refinitiv in January recommend buying Disney, with most of the others recommending holding the stock. However, the average price target still reflects an upside potential of nearly 40%.</p><p>Disney&#39;s new ad-supported model for Disney+ could jump-start its biggest growth engine in 2023 and beyond. The company also has several likely blockbuster movies on the way this year, including <i>Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3</i> and a live-action version of <i>The Little Mermaid</i>. Look for Disney&#39;s stock performance to avoid a third year of disappointment.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Dow Stocks Down 30% to 55% That Are Screaming Buys for 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Dow Stocks Down 30% to 55% That Are Screaming Buys for 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-06 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/05/3-dow-stocks-down-screaming-buys-for-2023/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 2022 down nearly 9%. It delivered a worse negative return only six times over the past 50 years.Several members of the blue chip index experienced especially ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/05/3-dow-stocks-down-screaming-buys-for-2023/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","AAPL":"苹果","DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/05/3-dow-stocks-down-screaming-buys-for-2023/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2301300462","content_text":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 2022 down nearly 9%. It delivered a worse negative return only six times over the past 50 years.Several members of the blue chip index experienced especially sharp sell-offs. But that doesn't mean that better days aren't on the way. Here are three Dow stocks down 30% to 55% that are screaming buys for 2023.1. AppleApple held up better than most tech stocks throughout much of 2022. However, gravity kicked in during the latter part of the year. Apple's shares are now down around 30% below the peak level from late 2021.The biggest problems for Apple relate to macroeconomic issues. High inflation, rising interest rates, and supply chain constraints (all aftereffects of the COVID-19 pandemic) are key factors behind the company's slowing growth rate.But it would be a huge mistake to write off Apple's prospects. Wall Street certainly hasn't. The consensus 12-month price target for the stock is nearly 40% higher than the current share price.Analysts no doubt like Apple's valuation after its steep decline. They almost certainly love the stickiness of the company's iPhone ecosystem. What really makes Apple stock a screaming buy, though, are the growth opportunities that the company could have in new areas, including augmented reality and digital advertising. The latter appears to be on track to become a $10 billion business for Apple even sooner than expected.2. MicrosoftMicrosoft stock is currently 33% below the high set in late 2021. The tech giant started off last year with its shares declining. The downward trajectory continued throughout most of 2022.This dismal performance last year stemmed in large part from a slump in worldwide PC shipments. Microsoft generates a significant portion of its total revenue from selling Windows operating systems and other PC software.However, many analysts think that Microsoft could make a major comeback in the new year. The consensus Wall Street price target for the stock reflects an upside potential in the ballpark of 30%.This bullish view appears to be justified. Microsoft's cloud hosting business continues to gain momentum. Sales for its cloud-based productivity software are growing. The company is making an important move into the advertising technology market. It shouldn't take much good news for Microsoft stock to return to its winning ways in 2023.3. DisneyIt wouldn't be surprising if Mickey Mouse isn't as cheerful as he's been in the past. Shares of Walt Disney plunged in 2022, marking the second consecutive year of declines. The stock is now down 55% below its previous high.Disney's troubles are due in part to the overall economy. Investors also lost enthusiasm for the company's streaming business as it continues to rack up big losses.There's some disagreement on Wall Street about how Disney will perform in 2023. Half of the analysts surveyed by Refinitiv in January recommend buying Disney, with most of the others recommending holding the stock. However, the average price target still reflects an upside potential of nearly 40%.Disney's new ad-supported model for Disney+ could jump-start its biggest growth engine in 2023 and beyond. The company also has several likely blockbuster movies on the way this year, including Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 and a live-action version of The Little Mermaid. Look for Disney's stock performance to avoid a third year of disappointment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936370805,"gmtCreate":1662715962607,"gmtModify":1676537125823,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936370805","repostId":"1196430944","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931915491,"gmtCreate":1662381390513,"gmtModify":1676537048930,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931915491","repostId":"2264274049","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264274049","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662364924,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264274049?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 16:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264274049","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The ARK ETFs have clicked the buy button on these growth stocks recently, and they still look ripe for the plucking.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people&#39;s shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up shares of growth stocks for her various ARK exchange-traded funds (ETFs).</p><p>While I can&#39;t say that I agree with all of Wood&#39;s stock purchases over the past few months, there are some stocks that her funds have snatched up that would seem to fit well in other growth investors&#39; portfolios. They include <b>Ginkgo Bioworks</b>, <b>Monday.com</b>, and <b>Trimble</b>. Let&#39;s find out a bit more about these three Cathie Wood stocks that are worth more consideration.</p><h2>1. Ginkgo Bioworks</h2><p>A leader in the field of synthetic biology, or synbio, Ginkgo Bioworks specializes in providing its customers with improved molecules. Essentially, the company acts like an architect. Customers -- from a variety of industries, including food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics -- inform Ginkgo of their needs, and Ginkgo designs the blueprints for new and improved microbes. Often, Ginkgo will earn royalties or equity interests as a result of these partnerships, providing the company with good foresight into future cash flows.</p><p>Like many growth stocks this year, shares of Ginkgo have fallen steeply -- about 68.7% -- as investors shy away from investments that represent higher degrees of risk. However, the stock&#39;s plunge is not reflective of something inherently wrong with the company. This is something with which Wood seems to be familiar. Throughout August, the <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a></b> has purchased more than 7.34 million shares of Ginkgo Bioworks.</p><p>The company doesn&#39;t project profitability on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) basis until 2025. In the meantime, though, investors can monitor the company&#39;s ability to launch new programs -- 60 are forecasted in 2022 -- as a positive sign that the company&#39;s offerings are in consistently high demand.</p><h2>2. Monday.com</h2><p>Also appearing on Wood&#39;s shopping list is the open platform stock Monday.com. The <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKW\">ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</a></b> has been steadily increasing its position in Monday.com throughout 2022, adding 164,500 shares in February through May and 30,075 shares, most recently, in June.</p><p>The advantage of Monday.com&#39;s platform is that it allows customers to develop a customizable workflow experience -- selecting from the different apps available on its platform -- without the need for complex coding or adherence to a nonflexible infrastructure. Simply put, Monday.com&#39;s platform makes it easier for customers to work online. And with our lives becoming increasingly dependent on our ability to manage things online, Monday.com&#39;s ability to provide an easier solution is something that is highly attractive.</p><p>Monday.com has excelled at growing revenue over the past three years: Sales have soared at a compound annual growth rate of 99% from 2019 to 2021. The company recently announced a strong second-quarter 2022 performance, and management is bullish on the coming year regarding free cash flow generation.</p><p>On the company&#39;s Q2 2022 conference call, Eliran Glazer, the company&#39;s CFO, said that management expects &#34;to see a shift toward breakeven or some free cash flow positive&#34; in the second half of 2023.</p><h2>3. Trimble</h2><p>Occupying an increasingly larger position in two ETFs this summer, Trimble is a stock that first made an appearance in an ARK ETF in September 2020. Wood most recently picked up shares of Trimble in July, when the <b>ARK Space Exploration &amp; Innovation ETF</b> picked up 25,073 shares, and the <b>ARK</b> <b>Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b> added 93,392 shares.</p><p>Trimble is a leader in positioning systems. On both local and global scales, Trimble helps a diverse range of customers from industries including agriculture, construction, and transportation. With the data it collects from its positioning solutions, Trimble is also able to offer customers sophisticated modeling, analysis, and autonomous technology solutions.</p><p>Customers need to have accurate positioning data that are subsequently converted into modeling solutions and analytics, which is hardly something that will wane in the coming years. Instead, Trimble&#39;s offerings will likely grow in demand as customers&#39; positioning and data needs become more sophisticated. The high interest in Trimble&#39;s offerings, in fact, is already recognizable in the company&#39;s substantial backlog of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of Q2 2022.</p><h2>A last look at Cathie Wood&#39;s shopping list</h2><p>On balance, growth investors are more comfortable taking on risk in their investments, but that&#39;s not to say that all growth stocks represent the same risk. Trimble, for example, has a long runway of growth ahead of it, yet the company already generates positive free cash flow, mitigating the amount of risk. For investors looking to take on more risk in pursuit of greater rewards, conversely, Ginkgo Bioworks and Monday.com are better options.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 16:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people's shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TRMB":"天宝导航","DNA":"Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc.","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264274049","content_text":"Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people's shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up shares of growth stocks for her various ARK exchange-traded funds (ETFs).While I can't say that I agree with all of Wood's stock purchases over the past few months, there are some stocks that her funds have snatched up that would seem to fit well in other growth investors' portfolios. They include Ginkgo Bioworks, Monday.com, and Trimble. Let's find out a bit more about these three Cathie Wood stocks that are worth more consideration.1. Ginkgo BioworksA leader in the field of synthetic biology, or synbio, Ginkgo Bioworks specializes in providing its customers with improved molecules. Essentially, the company acts like an architect. Customers -- from a variety of industries, including food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics -- inform Ginkgo of their needs, and Ginkgo designs the blueprints for new and improved microbes. Often, Ginkgo will earn royalties or equity interests as a result of these partnerships, providing the company with good foresight into future cash flows.Like many growth stocks this year, shares of Ginkgo have fallen steeply -- about 68.7% -- as investors shy away from investments that represent higher degrees of risk. However, the stock's plunge is not reflective of something inherently wrong with the company. This is something with which Wood seems to be familiar. Throughout August, the ARK Innovation ETF has purchased more than 7.34 million shares of Ginkgo Bioworks.The company doesn't project profitability on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) basis until 2025. In the meantime, though, investors can monitor the company's ability to launch new programs -- 60 are forecasted in 2022 -- as a positive sign that the company's offerings are in consistently high demand.2. Monday.comAlso appearing on Wood's shopping list is the open platform stock Monday.com. The ARK Next Generation Internet ETF has been steadily increasing its position in Monday.com throughout 2022, adding 164,500 shares in February through May and 30,075 shares, most recently, in June.The advantage of Monday.com's platform is that it allows customers to develop a customizable workflow experience -- selecting from the different apps available on its platform -- without the need for complex coding or adherence to a nonflexible infrastructure. Simply put, Monday.com's platform makes it easier for customers to work online. And with our lives becoming increasingly dependent on our ability to manage things online, Monday.com's ability to provide an easier solution is something that is highly attractive.Monday.com has excelled at growing revenue over the past three years: Sales have soared at a compound annual growth rate of 99% from 2019 to 2021. The company recently announced a strong second-quarter 2022 performance, and management is bullish on the coming year regarding free cash flow generation.On the company's Q2 2022 conference call, Eliran Glazer, the company's CFO, said that management expects \"to see a shift toward breakeven or some free cash flow positive\" in the second half of 2023.3. TrimbleOccupying an increasingly larger position in two ETFs this summer, Trimble is a stock that first made an appearance in an ARK ETF in September 2020. Wood most recently picked up shares of Trimble in July, when the ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF picked up 25,073 shares, and the ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF added 93,392 shares.Trimble is a leader in positioning systems. On both local and global scales, Trimble helps a diverse range of customers from industries including agriculture, construction, and transportation. With the data it collects from its positioning solutions, Trimble is also able to offer customers sophisticated modeling, analysis, and autonomous technology solutions.Customers need to have accurate positioning data that are subsequently converted into modeling solutions and analytics, which is hardly something that will wane in the coming years. Instead, Trimble's offerings will likely grow in demand as customers' positioning and data needs become more sophisticated. The high interest in Trimble's offerings, in fact, is already recognizable in the company's substantial backlog of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of Q2 2022.A last look at Cathie Wood's shopping listOn balance, growth investors are more comfortable taking on risk in their investments, but that's not to say that all growth stocks represent the same risk. Trimble, for example, has a long runway of growth ahead of it, yet the company already generates positive free cash flow, mitigating the amount of risk. For investors looking to take on more risk in pursuit of greater rewards, conversely, Ginkgo Bioworks and Monday.com are better options.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9074998212,"gmtCreate":1658279778136,"gmtModify":1676536133677,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree","listText":"Agree","text":"Agree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9074998212","repostId":"1110268821","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110268821","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658278927,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1110268821?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-20 09:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Music Needs To Be Louder","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110268821","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe last report by MIDiA research estimated that Apple Music has a market share of 15% in the","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The last report by MIDiA research estimated that Apple Music has a market share of 15% in the subscription-based music streaming industry.</li><li>Amazon is quickly catching up with Apple and has a market share of 13%.</li><li>Google is also showing strong progress with a very high growth rate and has over 8% market share in this segment.</li><li>Apple needs a strong music streaming service that it can use as a must-have anchor service to sell other subscriptions.</li><li>The big chunk of future service segment growth will depend on how much growth and market share Apple is able to maintain within this segment.</li></ul><p>Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is facing challenges from Amazon (AMZN) and Google (GOOG) within the music streaming industry. The company has not reported subscriber numbers within this service for over 2 years. One of the reasons could be that there has been a growth slowdown in net subscriber additions. Third-party estimates by MIDiA Research have shown that Apple Music has a 15% market share which is followed by Amazon Music at 13% and YouTube Music at 8%. Both Amazon and Google have a very strong presence in the smart speaker and smart display market which are providing good tailwinds to their music streaming business.</p><p>The contribution of music streaming business to Apple&#39;s top line and bottom line is very less which reduces the impact on key financial metrics in the quarterly reports. However, it can have a big impact on the service segment growth in the long run. Hence, any dip in market share for the music streaming business can be a big challenge for the management. It may lead to lower growth estimates for the Services segment which can be a major headwind for Apple stock.</p><p><b>Short-term impact on Services segment and stock sentiment</b></p><p>Apple reported Services revenue of $19.8 billion in the latest quarter. The total net sales for the quarter was $97.2 billion. The revenue share of Services segment was only 20% but it plays a much bigger role in the valuation thesis of Apple stock. Apple&#39;s valuation multiple has expanded in the last few years based on the growth potential of Services segment, while the growth in Products like iPhone, Mac and others has been modest.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a54ffd05d2c9812f22ae941e455e609\" tg-width=\"565\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Apple Filings</p><p>Figure 1: Services segment contributes close to 20% of the total revenue base. Source: Apple Filings</p><p>Third-party reports estimate that Apple Music&#39;spaid membership is close to 75 million. If we take the average selling price of $100 for this service, it contributes $7.5 billion to Services revenue base on an annualized basis or close to $2 billion on a quarterly basis. Hence, Apple Music contributes close to 10% of Services segment revenue base.</p><p>Apple reported 9% YoY revenue growth in the latest quarter while the Services segment grew by 17%. Wall Street expects the Services segment to continue to deliver a better growth rate than the overall revenue growth. A slowdown in the growth rate of Apple Music will impact the growth trajectory of Services segment.</p><p>Apple does not have a strong anchor service within its subscription services similar to Amazon&#39;s Prime membership which has over 200 million members. The management is trying to build TV+ service and hopes to have a loyal base for its streaming video and music content. A slowdown or a decline in paid membership within Apple Music can have a big impact on the entire subscription ecosystem of the company. This can cause slower growth in Services revenue growth which can pull down the valuation multiple for Apple stock in the near term.</p><p><b>Slowdown in growth</b></p><p>Music streaming industry has been growing rapidly in the past few quarters. However, Apple’s market share in the streaming music subscription market has declined due to slower growth compared to other peers. In the latest estimates by MIDiA research, the market share was 15%.In the previous report, MIDiA Research estimated that Apple Music’s market share was 16%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07b464b152d43d717c13ed4ace39b059\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>MIDiA Research</p><p>Figure 1: Apple is closely followed by Amazon Music and YouTube Music. Source:MIDiA Research</p><p>YouTube Music has particularly shown very high growth rates as Google launched attractive subscription options. The last announcement by the company mentioned that it had over 50 million paid subscribers for YouTube Premium and Music business. Google could increase the demand of its Premium and Music subscription by adding further restrictions for non-subscribers on YouTube. Amazon also has a discounted rate for its music streaming platform and gains a lot from its Prime membership which acts as an anchor service for the subscription business.</p><p><b>Apple’s disadvantages</b></p><p>Apple does not have another anchor service which can be combined with music streaming business to increase its attractiveness. It is increasing investment in TV+ but it would take a lot of time and resources to build a very attractive original library. Apple is also lagging in the smart speaker business. It had discontinued HomePod because the cost was quite prohibitive to customers who already had an option of Amazon and Google devices. The new HomePod mini is showing better reception due to lower price. However, Apple needs to cover a lot of ground in order to reach the market penetration of Amazon and Google devices.</p><p>The music streaming business on its own has very low margins. Spotify (SPOT) is barely making any profits despite being the industry leader. The main benefit of a strong music streaming business is that it can provide a flywheel effect to other services. If Apple does not have a host of services that it can tag onto the music subscription, it will not move the needle for Apple. Amazon already has a well built Prime business and Google is rapidly expanding its subscription business. Hence, Apple would need to show progress in this segment to gain better growth runway in other services.</p><p><b>Can Amazon and Google overtake Apple Music?</b></p><p>The current growth and market share trends should allow Google and Amazon to overtake Apple Music by end of 2023. This would be a very important milestone in the battle between big tech companies. Apple had touted its music streaming business for a number of years. If Amazon and Google can overtake Apple despite being late comers in this industry, it can reduce Apple’s ability to maintain market share in other important products and services.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73b922d92c0d0a045012f0d3d704401b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"66\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Amazon Filings</p><p>Figure 2: Amazon’s subscription business growth in the last few quarters. Source: Company Filings</p><p>While Apple’s Service revenue was $68 billion in the last fiscal year, Amazon also reported a robust $31 billion subscription revenue. Amazon last reported Music Unlimited subscriber number at 55 million in early 2020.</p><p>Google has been the biggest surprise within the streaming music industry. It reported over 50 million paid subscribers in Premium and Music subscription which is slightly behind Apple Music&#39;s last announcement of paid subscriber numbers. YouTube has a massive user base and it is trying to promote the Premium services in almost every region. There are several levers available with the company which can help it increase the paid subscriber base. It has already announced another big price increase. This is a sign that the management is confident in customer retention and attracting new customers. At the current subscriber base and growth rates, the Premium and Music subscriber base could reach over 100 million by 2025.</p><p>It is very likely that we could see a change in market share ranking in the rapidly changing music streaming industry. Apple Music at the second spot could be a big loser as Amazon and Google ramp up their efforts to gain more subscribers by leveraging their ecosystem.</p><p><b>Impact on Apple stock</b></p><p>It needs to be noted that the contribution of music subscription business to Apple&#39;s top line and bottom line is very low. If we take the annual average selling price of $100 for Apple Music and a subscriber base of 75 million, it will lead to revenue base of $7.5 billion. This is a mere 2% of its fiscal revenue base. The margins in this business are wafer-thin or negative. Hence, the contribution to bottom line would be even more insignificant.</p><p>However, there is a big impact of the music streaming subscriber base on future subscription services launched by Apple. The management has not released any subscriber numbers in this service for over two years. If other third-party estimates show a decline in Apple Music&#39;s market share, it will send a negative signal to Wall Street on the ability of the company to enter new services and deliver good growth. We could also see a bearish sentiment towards the overall moat of the company and its long term growth projections.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e1c7ca6b376fab93728d94ca42d49e7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p>Figure 3: Apple&#39;s PE ratio over the last few years. Source: Ycharts</p><p>Despite the recent correction, Apple&#39;s PE ratio is significantly above the long-term average PE ratio. A poor performance in music streaming business can have a negative impact on the overall subscription business which will pull down the growth trend for Services segment.</p><p>Apple&#39;s higher PE ratio has been due to the growth potential of Service segment. If there is a major headwind within the Service segment it can lead to a strong bearish sentiment toward the stock. Investors should closely look at the evolving music streaming space to gauge Apple’s next move and its impact on the stock.</p><p><b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p>Apple has been losing market share in the music streaming business as Amazon and Google increase their presence. Both Amazon and Google have a strong ecosystem of services and are leading in smart speaker market share. Amazon has over 50 million paid subscribers in its music streaming platform and Google also has over 50 million subscribers for its Premium and Music service. At this base, these services are moving the needle for these tech majors and we should see a massive increase in their effort to gain more subscribers.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Music Needs To Be Louder</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Music Needs To Be Louder\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-20 09:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524217-apple-aapl-sell-music-needs-to-be-louder?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A26><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe last report by MIDiA research estimated that Apple Music has a market share of 15% in the subscription-based music streaming industry.Amazon is quickly catching up with Apple and has a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524217-apple-aapl-sell-music-needs-to-be-louder?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A26\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4524217-apple-aapl-sell-music-needs-to-be-louder?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A26","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110268821","content_text":"SummaryThe last report by MIDiA research estimated that Apple Music has a market share of 15% in the subscription-based music streaming industry.Amazon is quickly catching up with Apple and has a market share of 13%.Google is also showing strong progress with a very high growth rate and has over 8% market share in this segment.Apple needs a strong music streaming service that it can use as a must-have anchor service to sell other subscriptions.The big chunk of future service segment growth will depend on how much growth and market share Apple is able to maintain within this segment.Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is facing challenges from Amazon (AMZN) and Google (GOOG) within the music streaming industry. The company has not reported subscriber numbers within this service for over 2 years. One of the reasons could be that there has been a growth slowdown in net subscriber additions. Third-party estimates by MIDiA Research have shown that Apple Music has a 15% market share which is followed by Amazon Music at 13% and YouTube Music at 8%. Both Amazon and Google have a very strong presence in the smart speaker and smart display market which are providing good tailwinds to their music streaming business.The contribution of music streaming business to Apple's top line and bottom line is very less which reduces the impact on key financial metrics in the quarterly reports. However, it can have a big impact on the service segment growth in the long run. Hence, any dip in market share for the music streaming business can be a big challenge for the management. It may lead to lower growth estimates for the Services segment which can be a major headwind for Apple stock.Short-term impact on Services segment and stock sentimentApple reported Services revenue of $19.8 billion in the latest quarter. The total net sales for the quarter was $97.2 billion. The revenue share of Services segment was only 20% but it plays a much bigger role in the valuation thesis of Apple stock. Apple's valuation multiple has expanded in the last few years based on the growth potential of Services segment, while the growth in Products like iPhone, Mac and others has been modest.Apple FilingsFigure 1: Services segment contributes close to 20% of the total revenue base. Source: Apple FilingsThird-party reports estimate that Apple Music'spaid membership is close to 75 million. If we take the average selling price of $100 for this service, it contributes $7.5 billion to Services revenue base on an annualized basis or close to $2 billion on a quarterly basis. Hence, Apple Music contributes close to 10% of Services segment revenue base.Apple reported 9% YoY revenue growth in the latest quarter while the Services segment grew by 17%. Wall Street expects the Services segment to continue to deliver a better growth rate than the overall revenue growth. A slowdown in the growth rate of Apple Music will impact the growth trajectory of Services segment.Apple does not have a strong anchor service within its subscription services similar to Amazon's Prime membership which has over 200 million members. The management is trying to build TV+ service and hopes to have a loyal base for its streaming video and music content. A slowdown or a decline in paid membership within Apple Music can have a big impact on the entire subscription ecosystem of the company. This can cause slower growth in Services revenue growth which can pull down the valuation multiple for Apple stock in the near term.Slowdown in growthMusic streaming industry has been growing rapidly in the past few quarters. However, Apple’s market share in the streaming music subscription market has declined due to slower growth compared to other peers. In the latest estimates by MIDiA research, the market share was 15%.In the previous report, MIDiA Research estimated that Apple Music’s market share was 16%.MIDiA ResearchFigure 1: Apple is closely followed by Amazon Music and YouTube Music. Source:MIDiA ResearchYouTube Music has particularly shown very high growth rates as Google launched attractive subscription options. The last announcement by the company mentioned that it had over 50 million paid subscribers for YouTube Premium and Music business. Google could increase the demand of its Premium and Music subscription by adding further restrictions for non-subscribers on YouTube. Amazon also has a discounted rate for its music streaming platform and gains a lot from its Prime membership which acts as an anchor service for the subscription business.Apple’s disadvantagesApple does not have another anchor service which can be combined with music streaming business to increase its attractiveness. It is increasing investment in TV+ but it would take a lot of time and resources to build a very attractive original library. Apple is also lagging in the smart speaker business. It had discontinued HomePod because the cost was quite prohibitive to customers who already had an option of Amazon and Google devices. The new HomePod mini is showing better reception due to lower price. However, Apple needs to cover a lot of ground in order to reach the market penetration of Amazon and Google devices.The music streaming business on its own has very low margins. Spotify (SPOT) is barely making any profits despite being the industry leader. The main benefit of a strong music streaming business is that it can provide a flywheel effect to other services. If Apple does not have a host of services that it can tag onto the music subscription, it will not move the needle for Apple. Amazon already has a well built Prime business and Google is rapidly expanding its subscription business. Hence, Apple would need to show progress in this segment to gain better growth runway in other services.Can Amazon and Google overtake Apple Music?The current growth and market share trends should allow Google and Amazon to overtake Apple Music by end of 2023. This would be a very important milestone in the battle between big tech companies. Apple had touted its music streaming business for a number of years. If Amazon and Google can overtake Apple despite being late comers in this industry, it can reduce Apple’s ability to maintain market share in other important products and services.Amazon FilingsFigure 2: Amazon’s subscription business growth in the last few quarters. Source: Company FilingsWhile Apple’s Service revenue was $68 billion in the last fiscal year, Amazon also reported a robust $31 billion subscription revenue. Amazon last reported Music Unlimited subscriber number at 55 million in early 2020.Google has been the biggest surprise within the streaming music industry. It reported over 50 million paid subscribers in Premium and Music subscription which is slightly behind Apple Music's last announcement of paid subscriber numbers. YouTube has a massive user base and it is trying to promote the Premium services in almost every region. There are several levers available with the company which can help it increase the paid subscriber base. It has already announced another big price increase. This is a sign that the management is confident in customer retention and attracting new customers. At the current subscriber base and growth rates, the Premium and Music subscriber base could reach over 100 million by 2025.It is very likely that we could see a change in market share ranking in the rapidly changing music streaming industry. Apple Music at the second spot could be a big loser as Amazon and Google ramp up their efforts to gain more subscribers by leveraging their ecosystem.Impact on Apple stockIt needs to be noted that the contribution of music subscription business to Apple's top line and bottom line is very low. If we take the annual average selling price of $100 for Apple Music and a subscriber base of 75 million, it will lead to revenue base of $7.5 billion. This is a mere 2% of its fiscal revenue base. The margins in this business are wafer-thin or negative. Hence, the contribution to bottom line would be even more insignificant.However, there is a big impact of the music streaming subscriber base on future subscription services launched by Apple. The management has not released any subscriber numbers in this service for over two years. If other third-party estimates show a decline in Apple Music's market share, it will send a negative signal to Wall Street on the ability of the company to enter new services and deliver good growth. We could also see a bearish sentiment towards the overall moat of the company and its long term growth projections.YchartsFigure 3: Apple's PE ratio over the last few years. Source: YchartsDespite the recent correction, Apple's PE ratio is significantly above the long-term average PE ratio. A poor performance in music streaming business can have a negative impact on the overall subscription business which will pull down the growth trend for Services segment.Apple's higher PE ratio has been due to the growth potential of Service segment. If there is a major headwind within the Service segment it can lead to a strong bearish sentiment toward the stock. Investors should closely look at the evolving music streaming space to gauge Apple’s next move and its impact on the stock.Investor TakeawayApple has been losing market share in the music streaming business as Amazon and Google increase their presence. Both Amazon and Google have a strong ecosystem of services and are leading in smart speaker market share. Amazon has over 50 million paid subscribers in its music streaming platform and Google also has over 50 million subscribers for its Premium and Music service. At this base, these services are moving the needle for these tech majors and we should see a massive increase in their effort to gain more subscribers.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9044904806,"gmtCreate":1656685913105,"gmtModify":1676535877003,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let see","listText":"Let see","text":"Let see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044904806","repostId":"1106807652","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106807652","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656669972,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106807652?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-01 18:06","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Shares Close 0.21% Lower on Global Recession Blues","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106807652","media":"The Business Times","summary":"SINGAPORE shares closed a rather bumpy week by extending its third straight day of losses after pani","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>SINGAPORE shares closed a rather bumpy week by extending its third straight day of losses after panic set in as the probability of a recession heightened amid a tightening trajectory by central banks. Weak global macro data on the back of rising cost pressures and supply chain disruptions further hurt trading sentiments.</p><p>The key Straits Times Index (STI) slipped 6.62 points or 0.21 per cent to 3,095.59 after Wall Street capped its worst half-yearly trading in more than half a century overnight. “Despite a rebound mid-month, momentum remained weak ... To add fuel to the fire, the STI dipped below the 252 long-term EMA (exponential moving average), officially putting the index on a bearish trend. The rejection of the 22-EMA accelerated downside pressure on Jun 30. The next major support to watch in the midterm is at 3,024.66 points,” said CIMB-CGS Research in a strategy note issued on Friday (Jul 1).</p><p>Key gauges across the Asia-Pacific tumbled from Japan and China to South Korea and Australia, with Malaysia bucking the trend with marginal gains. The Hong Kong market was closed for Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Establishment Day.</p><p>“With central banks shifting towards accepting that monetary tightening is impossible without some economic damage, the market narrative has swung 180 degrees this week — and indeed, that wind direction change has taken place in real time,” remarked Stephen Innes, managing partner of SPI Asset Management. He added that the market was panicking over slumping growth even more so now than stubborn inflation.</p><p>He further cautioned: “With central banks willing to hike into the perfect financial storm, cracks in consumer demand will surely widen and cut deeper worldwide, which could exert significant disinflationary forces if the central banks act too aggressively for too long.”</p><p>On the home front, some 707.02 million securities worth S$832.61 million were traded. Losers outpaced gainers, with 196 counters down and 130 up. The day’s losses were led by DBS, Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage and City Developments.</p><p>Golden Agri-Resources was the day’s second most actively traded with 33 million shares done. The plantations giant could be a potential beneficiary if Indonesia raises its biodiesel mandate, which it is currently mulling, said CIMB-CGS Research in a recent note. This will allow biodiesel producers such as Golden Agri-Resources, First Resources and Wilmar International to expand their revenue and earnings base. The counter retreated S$0.005 or 2 percent to S$0.245.</p><p>Keppel Corp said a subsidiary of its wholly-owned Keppel Land unit has ended a joint venture announced 2 years ago with Emerald Haven Realty to develop a residential project in Chennai in south-eastern India. Shares of Keppel inched up S$0.030 or 0.46 percent to close at S$6.52.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Shares Close 0.21% Lower on Global Recession Blues</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Shares Close 0.21% Lower on Global Recession Blues\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-01 18:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/singapore-shares-close-021-lower-on-global-recession-blues><strong>The Business Times</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SINGAPORE shares closed a rather bumpy week by extending its third straight day of losses after panic set in as the probability of a recession heightened amid a tightening trajectory by central banks....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/singapore-shares-close-021-lower-on-global-recession-blues\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/singapore-shares-close-021-lower-on-global-recession-blues","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106807652","content_text":"SINGAPORE shares closed a rather bumpy week by extending its third straight day of losses after panic set in as the probability of a recession heightened amid a tightening trajectory by central banks. Weak global macro data on the back of rising cost pressures and supply chain disruptions further hurt trading sentiments.The key Straits Times Index (STI) slipped 6.62 points or 0.21 per cent to 3,095.59 after Wall Street capped its worst half-yearly trading in more than half a century overnight. “Despite a rebound mid-month, momentum remained weak ... To add fuel to the fire, the STI dipped below the 252 long-term EMA (exponential moving average), officially putting the index on a bearish trend. The rejection of the 22-EMA accelerated downside pressure on Jun 30. The next major support to watch in the midterm is at 3,024.66 points,” said CIMB-CGS Research in a strategy note issued on Friday (Jul 1).Key gauges across the Asia-Pacific tumbled from Japan and China to South Korea and Australia, with Malaysia bucking the trend with marginal gains. The Hong Kong market was closed for Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Establishment Day.“With central banks shifting towards accepting that monetary tightening is impossible without some economic damage, the market narrative has swung 180 degrees this week — and indeed, that wind direction change has taken place in real time,” remarked Stephen Innes, managing partner of SPI Asset Management. He added that the market was panicking over slumping growth even more so now than stubborn inflation.He further cautioned: “With central banks willing to hike into the perfect financial storm, cracks in consumer demand will surely widen and cut deeper worldwide, which could exert significant disinflationary forces if the central banks act too aggressively for too long.”On the home front, some 707.02 million securities worth S$832.61 million were traded. Losers outpaced gainers, with 196 counters down and 130 up. The day’s losses were led by DBS, Jardine Cycle & Carriage and City Developments.Golden Agri-Resources was the day’s second most actively traded with 33 million shares done. The plantations giant could be a potential beneficiary if Indonesia raises its biodiesel mandate, which it is currently mulling, said CIMB-CGS Research in a recent note. This will allow biodiesel producers such as Golden Agri-Resources, First Resources and Wilmar International to expand their revenue and earnings base. The counter retreated S$0.005 or 2 percent to S$0.245.Keppel Corp said a subsidiary of its wholly-owned Keppel Land unit has ended a joint venture announced 2 years ago with Emerald Haven Realty to develop a residential project in Chennai in south-eastern India. Shares of Keppel inched up S$0.030 or 0.46 percent to close at S$6.52.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045424474,"gmtCreate":1656644952098,"gmtModify":1676535870529,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wondering when the winter will be over","listText":"Wondering when the winter will be over","text":"Wondering when the winter will be over","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045424474","repostId":"2247778300","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2247778300","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1656559500,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2247778300?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-30 11:25","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"SenseTime Group Slumps After Expiration of Lockup Period","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2247778300","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"By Clarence Leong \n\n\n \n\n\n  SenseTime Group Inc.'s stock posted its biggest intraday loss since its d","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  By Clarence Leong \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  SenseTime Group Inc.'s stock posted its biggest intraday loss since its debut, after a six-month lockup requirement ended, with the share price falling below its initial-public-offering price. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Shares fell 45% to HK$3.32 in Thursday morning trade, compared with the IPO price of HK$3.85. The trading volume was more than one billion shares, versus a three-month average daily volume of fewer than 20 million shares, according to FactSet. \n</p>\n<p>\n  The decline came despite some in the company's management agreeing to voluntarily extend the lockup period of their shares for six more months, in a show of confidence in SenseTime's long-term value and prospect, according to a filing Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Cornerstone investors subscribed to 69% of the offering, or 1.03 billion Class B shares, before the overallotment option was exercised. The lockup period ended Wednesday. \n</p>\n<p>\n  SenseTime had raised 5.55 billion Hong Kong dollars (US$707.3 million) in net proceeds from its IPO. \n</p>\n<p>\n  The benchmark Hang Seng Index was up 0.2% at 22047.11. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Write to Clarence Leong at clarence.leong@wsj.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 29, 2022 23:25 ET (03:25 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SenseTime Group Slumps After Expiration of Lockup Period</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSenseTime Group Slumps After Expiration of Lockup Period\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-30 11:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  By Clarence Leong \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  SenseTime Group Inc.'s stock posted its biggest intraday loss since its debut, after a six-month lockup requirement ended, with the share price falling below its initial-public-offering price. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Shares fell 45% to HK$3.32 in Thursday morning trade, compared with the IPO price of HK$3.85. The trading volume was more than one billion shares, versus a three-month average daily volume of fewer than 20 million shares, according to FactSet. \n</p>\n<p>\n  The decline came despite some in the company's management agreeing to voluntarily extend the lockup period of their shares for six more months, in a show of confidence in SenseTime's long-term value and prospect, according to a filing Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Cornerstone investors subscribed to 69% of the offering, or 1.03 billion Class B shares, before the overallotment option was exercised. The lockup period ended Wednesday. \n</p>\n<p>\n  SenseTime had raised 5.55 billion Hong Kong dollars (US$707.3 million) in net proceeds from its IPO. \n</p>\n<p>\n  The benchmark Hang Seng Index was up 0.2% at 22047.11. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  Write to Clarence Leong at clarence.leong@wsj.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 29, 2022 23:25 ET (03:25 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00020":"商汤-W"},"source_url":"http://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2247778300","content_text":"By Clarence Leong \n\n\n \n\n\n  SenseTime Group Inc.'s stock posted its biggest intraday loss since its debut, after a six-month lockup requirement ended, with the share price falling below its initial-public-offering price. \n\n\n  Shares fell 45% to HK$3.32 in Thursday morning trade, compared with the IPO price of HK$3.85. The trading volume was more than one billion shares, versus a three-month average daily volume of fewer than 20 million shares, according to FactSet. \n\n\n  The decline came despite some in the company's management agreeing to voluntarily extend the lockup period of their shares for six more months, in a show of confidence in SenseTime's long-term value and prospect, according to a filing Thursday. \n\n\n  Cornerstone investors subscribed to 69% of the offering, or 1.03 billion Class B shares, before the overallotment option was exercised. The lockup period ended Wednesday. \n\n\n  SenseTime had raised 5.55 billion Hong Kong dollars (US$707.3 million) in net proceeds from its IPO. \n\n\n  The benchmark Hang Seng Index was up 0.2% at 22047.11. \n\n\n \n\n\n  Write to Clarence Leong at clarence.leong@wsj.com \n\n\n \n\n\n$(END)$ Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  June 29, 2022 23:25 ET (03:25 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054224659,"gmtCreate":1655395689371,"gmtModify":1676535630184,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wait and see","listText":"Wait and see","text":"Wait and see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054224659","repostId":"1180346675","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180346675","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1655393017,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1180346675?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-16 23:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Extended Their Losses in Morning Trading; Dow Jones Sunk Below 30,000 Since 2021 While Nasdaq Tumbled Nearly 4%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180346675","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks extended their losses in morning trading. Dow Jones sunk below 30,000 since 2021, Nasdaq","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks extended their losses in morning trading. Dow Jones sunk below 30,000 since 2021, Nasdaq tumbled 3.69% while S&amp;P 500 crashed 3%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95e67b0b86d23e920733457915a349ea\" tg-width=\"514\" tg-height=\"119\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Extended Their Losses in Morning Trading; Dow Jones Sunk Below 30,000 Since 2021 While Nasdaq Tumbled Nearly 4%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Extended Their Losses in Morning Trading; Dow Jones Sunk Below 30,000 Since 2021 While Nasdaq Tumbled Nearly 4%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-16 23:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks extended their losses in morning trading. Dow Jones sunk below 30,000 since 2021, Nasdaq tumbled 3.69% while S&amp;P 500 crashed 3%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95e67b0b86d23e920733457915a349ea\" tg-width=\"514\" tg-height=\"119\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180346675","content_text":"U.S. stocks extended their losses in morning trading. Dow Jones sunk below 30,000 since 2021, Nasdaq tumbled 3.69% while S&P 500 crashed 3%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055935194,"gmtCreate":1655223291619,"gmtModify":1676535589021,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"See how","listText":"See how","text":"See how","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055935194","repostId":"2243608219","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243608219","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655218920,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243608219?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-14 23:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Technology Stocks That Can Prosper During a Tech Downturn","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243608219","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Amid massive declines, these stocks offer relative stability and reasonable valuations.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The tech sector might look like a losing investment given the recent performance of many of its stocks. The <b>Nasdaq</b> is deep into bear territory, and the growth-oriented <b>ARK Innovation <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a> </b>has lost about three-fourths of its value.</p><p>Nonetheless, other tech stocks have held up well, and technology investors seeking stability can still look to <b>Alphabet</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></b>, and <b>Qualcomm</b> to drive long-term returns.</p><h2>1. Alphabet</h2><p>Alphabet has not escaped the effects of the slowdown. The Google parent encompasses dozens of tech-related businesses, and its cash cow remains advertising. Amid economic contraction and rising inflation, the company has seen a slowing in digital ad growth, the segment that still makes up an overwhelming majority of the company&#39;s revenue.</p><p>Despite this challenge, Alphabet continues to generate robust revenue growth. In the first quarter of 2022, the top line came in at $68 billion, 23% higher than the year-ago quarter. It also led to a net income decline of 8% during the period to $16.4 billion, due primarily to losses in equity securities. And revenue had grown by 41% in 2021, an indication of the aforementioned slowing.</p><p>Nonetheless, it seems to have found its next major revenue stream in Google Cloud. That cloud-computing services segment produced $5.8 billion in revenue, up 44% year over year. According to Synergy Research Group, it lags only Amazon and Microsoft in terms of cloud market share.</p><p><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F684836%2Famzn-cloud-market-share-4.jpeg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Image source: Synergy Research Group.</p><p>Alphabet&#39;s stock has lost about 30% since achieving its 52-week high last fall, but its $140 billion in liquidity makes it <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most stable companies in America. Also, for all of its profit growth, its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has fallen to 20, a valuation low that&#39;s lower than it has seen in nearly 10 years. This earnings multiple makes Alphabet a value stock, and it could become an even better buy as its headwinds abate over time.</p><h2>2. IBM</h2><p>Legacy IT businesses have long bogged down IBM. Over the last 10 years, as Big Blue freed itself from the outdated and less-profitable business operations, its stock has fallen by more than 25%.</p><p>But a long-awaited turnaround has likely begun. Arvind Krishna, the former head of the cloud and cognitive software segment, became CEO in 2020. Krishna played a key role in the 2019 acquisition of Red Hat and followed that up with over 25 additional acquisitions since becoming CEO. He also spun off <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KD\">Kyndryl</a></b>, its former managed infrastructure business, to focus more heavily on the cloud. These moves have helped IBM achieve the fifth-largest cloud market share.</p><p>That transformation has helped improve its financials as it generated $14.2 billion in revenue in the first quarter, an 8% year-over-year increase. This included a 14% surge in hybrid cloud revenue, an offering that helps private and public clouds interact seamlessly.</p><p>In April, it also increased its annual dividend to $6.60 per share, the 27th straight increase. At a cash yield of 4.9%, this could make IBM the dividend stock of choice for cloud investors.</p><p>Moreover, when including that payout, IBM logged a negative 1% total return over the last year compared with a negative 7% for the <b>S&amp;P 500</b>. Also, at a P/E of 22, it remains a relative bargain compared to Microsoft at 25 times earnings and Amazon at a 50 P/E. That lower valuation and its dividend could help IBM become a more prominent cloud stock.</p><h2>3. Qualcomm</h2><p>Qualcomm also prospers from a secular tech trend, 5G in this case. Data Bridge Market Research forecasts a 49% compound annual growth rate for the 5G chipset market through 2029. Since it leads the industry in developing 5G chips, this trend naturally benefits the company.</p><p>Qualcomm is not limiting its future to handsets. It also continues to innovate in the radio-frequency front end, automotive, and Internet of Things markets. Hence, if some functionality shifts away from smartphones, Qualcomm has prepared itself to evolve with the market.</p><p>In the first six months of fiscal 2022 (which ended March 27), it generated almost $21.9 billion in revenue, 35% more than in the same period of fiscal 2021. Since the company limited its expense growth, the net income of $6.3 billion during the first half of fiscal 2022 surged 50% higher compared with the same time frame in fiscal 2021.</p><p>Qualcomm has largely escaped the tech sell-off, gaining a 1% total return over the last 12 months. Still, the company&#39;s most significant danger could be geopolitical, as it derived around two-thirds of its revenue from China in fiscal 2021. That could help explain why its P/E ratio is 13, far below the valuations of communication-chip designers such as <b>NXP Semiconductors </b>or <b>Nvidia</b>.</p><p>Nonetheless, the 5G upgrade cycle will continue despite economic headwinds. Moreover, with its diversification into new areas, Qualcomm stock looks like a buy now.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Technology Stocks That Can Prosper During a Tech Downturn</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Technology Stocks That Can Prosper During a Tech Downturn\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-14 23:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/14/3-technology-stocks-that-can-prosper-during-a-tech/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The tech sector might look like a losing investment given the recent performance of many of its stocks. The Nasdaq is deep into bear territory, and the growth-oriented ARK Innovation Pacer Swan SOS ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/14/3-technology-stocks-that-can-prosper-during-a-tech/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","QCOM":"高通","IBM":"IBM","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/14/3-technology-stocks-that-can-prosper-during-a-tech/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243608219","content_text":"The tech sector might look like a losing investment given the recent performance of many of its stocks. The Nasdaq is deep into bear territory, and the growth-oriented ARK Innovation Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF has lost about three-fourths of its value.Nonetheless, other tech stocks have held up well, and technology investors seeking stability can still look to Alphabet, IBM, and Qualcomm to drive long-term returns.1. AlphabetAlphabet has not escaped the effects of the slowdown. The Google parent encompasses dozens of tech-related businesses, and its cash cow remains advertising. Amid economic contraction and rising inflation, the company has seen a slowing in digital ad growth, the segment that still makes up an overwhelming majority of the company's revenue.Despite this challenge, Alphabet continues to generate robust revenue growth. In the first quarter of 2022, the top line came in at $68 billion, 23% higher than the year-ago quarter. It also led to a net income decline of 8% during the period to $16.4 billion, due primarily to losses in equity securities. And revenue had grown by 41% in 2021, an indication of the aforementioned slowing.Nonetheless, it seems to have found its next major revenue stream in Google Cloud. That cloud-computing services segment produced $5.8 billion in revenue, up 44% year over year. According to Synergy Research Group, it lags only Amazon and Microsoft in terms of cloud market share.Image source: Synergy Research Group.Alphabet's stock has lost about 30% since achieving its 52-week high last fall, but its $140 billion in liquidity makes it one of the most stable companies in America. Also, for all of its profit growth, its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has fallen to 20, a valuation low that's lower than it has seen in nearly 10 years. This earnings multiple makes Alphabet a value stock, and it could become an even better buy as its headwinds abate over time.2. IBMLegacy IT businesses have long bogged down IBM. Over the last 10 years, as Big Blue freed itself from the outdated and less-profitable business operations, its stock has fallen by more than 25%.But a long-awaited turnaround has likely begun. Arvind Krishna, the former head of the cloud and cognitive software segment, became CEO in 2020. Krishna played a key role in the 2019 acquisition of Red Hat and followed that up with over 25 additional acquisitions since becoming CEO. He also spun off Kyndryl, its former managed infrastructure business, to focus more heavily on the cloud. These moves have helped IBM achieve the fifth-largest cloud market share.That transformation has helped improve its financials as it generated $14.2 billion in revenue in the first quarter, an 8% year-over-year increase. This included a 14% surge in hybrid cloud revenue, an offering that helps private and public clouds interact seamlessly.In April, it also increased its annual dividend to $6.60 per share, the 27th straight increase. At a cash yield of 4.9%, this could make IBM the dividend stock of choice for cloud investors.Moreover, when including that payout, IBM logged a negative 1% total return over the last year compared with a negative 7% for the S&P 500. Also, at a P/E of 22, it remains a relative bargain compared to Microsoft at 25 times earnings and Amazon at a 50 P/E. That lower valuation and its dividend could help IBM become a more prominent cloud stock.3. QualcommQualcomm also prospers from a secular tech trend, 5G in this case. Data Bridge Market Research forecasts a 49% compound annual growth rate for the 5G chipset market through 2029. Since it leads the industry in developing 5G chips, this trend naturally benefits the company.Qualcomm is not limiting its future to handsets. It also continues to innovate in the radio-frequency front end, automotive, and Internet of Things markets. Hence, if some functionality shifts away from smartphones, Qualcomm has prepared itself to evolve with the market.In the first six months of fiscal 2022 (which ended March 27), it generated almost $21.9 billion in revenue, 35% more than in the same period of fiscal 2021. Since the company limited its expense growth, the net income of $6.3 billion during the first half of fiscal 2022 surged 50% higher compared with the same time frame in fiscal 2021.Qualcomm has largely escaped the tech sell-off, gaining a 1% total return over the last 12 months. Still, the company's most significant danger could be geopolitical, as it derived around two-thirds of its revenue from China in fiscal 2021. That could help explain why its P/E ratio is 13, far below the valuations of communication-chip designers such as NXP Semiconductors or Nvidia.Nonetheless, the 5G upgrade cycle will continue despite economic headwinds. Moreover, with its diversification into new areas, Qualcomm stock looks like a buy now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836913802,"gmtCreate":1629446370306,"gmtModify":1676530043811,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/836913802","repostId":"1113659023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113659023","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629430265,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1113659023?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-20 11:31","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley：China's Regulatory Reset","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113659023","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Beijing is shifting its governance priorities to balancing growth and sustainability, tackling social equality and security with a major regulatory reset. It could rebalance the share of economy toward labor, lowering corporate profit share. We see a longer and more profound market impact.New objective triggering major regulatory reset: We are at a signifi- cant moment in the history of China’s economy and capital markets: after a decade-long journey to eliminate absolute poverty, Beijing is shi","content":"<blockquote>\n Beijing is shifting its governance priorities to balancing growth and sustainability, tackling&nbsp;social equality and security with a major regulatory reset. It could rebalance the share of&nbsp;economy toward labor, lowering corporate profit share. We see a longer and more&nbsp;profound market impact.\n</blockquote>\n<p><i><b>New objective triggering major regulatory reset: </b></i>We are at a signifi- cant moment in the history of China’s economy and capital markets: after a decade-long journey to eliminate absolute poverty, Beijing is shifting governance priorities from growth to balancing growth and sustainability: social equality, data security, and self-sufficiency. China's new regulations on fintech, big tech, after-school tutoring, cryptocurrency, and carbon emissions over the past nine months underpin this major regulatory reset.</p>\n<p><i><b>Economic implications:</b></i> Under the new governance paradigm, China appears to be attempting to check the rise in corporate power and rebalance the share of the economy in favor of labor, which could result in decline in corporate profit share. We see regulatory head- winds for sectors associated with rising tensions of social inequality, environmental sustainability, and data security risks, while the new framework provides policy support to advanced manufacturing, tech localization, and renewable energy. We remain watchful of the risk of over-regulation, or, in contrast, resumption of offshore (Hong Kong) IPOs for tech companies, clarity over employment benefits and other issues concerning platform companies, progress on audit access dis- pute resolution, and clearer guidance from top policymakers to curb spillover effects of regulation changes.</p>\n<p><b><i>Investment implications:</i></b> We expect a longer and more profound impact from the current regulatory cycle on China's equity market valuations and Equity Risk Premium (ERP) than has occurred in sim- ilar past cycles, as it is affecting a more substantial proportion of the market than previously and, in particular, the Internet sector, which accounts for ~40% of MSCI China by index weight. There is a substan- tial degree of uncertainty over what this means both for future net income margins and revenue growth for the affected sectors and stocks.</p>\n<p>Our current base case forward P/E target for MSCI China of 13.0x implies MSCI China would trade on a mid-single-digit percentage val- uation discount to MSCI EM ex China for a sustained period of time. Over time we expect the MSCI China universe to gradually have a more balanced sector allocation with a reduced weight for Internet and a higher weight for sectors like Industrials and IT.</p>\n<p><i><b>Challenges and opportunities by segment/theme</b></i>: Data-heavy tech and platform companies and property could remain under pressure amid the regulatory reset, while semi localization, cybersecurity, domestic brands catering to the mass market, innovative drugs, bio- tech, and green economy may enjoy support.</p>\n<p><b>5&nbsp;Key Charts at a Glance</b></p>\n<p>A shift from \"growth first\" to balancing growth and sustainability...<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2da734c8c3853c4f5e3ef9f420b44128\" tg-width=\"1384\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45ef8f29c3d6672ff460eb2c2f53e4bd\" tg-width=\"1372\" tg-height=\"736\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0f6b44f17975c68e81956d1f48f1a1f\" tg-width=\"1420\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28739534c43a8f4ad6130734def1060e\" tg-width=\"1396\" tg-height=\"998\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/081b21f4492f2e201aa01ce3bf0cc0cf\" tg-width=\"1442\" tg-height=\"708\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9e0b9b6480a2b1c9c338ece5db0f691\" tg-width=\"1378\" tg-height=\"938\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Challenges and opportunities by segment/theme</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee2a916e7de802073a0628962cc2cfe6\" tg-width=\"1114\" tg-height=\"1170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ab4ef36aba8f43d66471c352d81a93f\" tg-width=\"1118\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Understanding China's Regulatory Reset</b></p>\n<p>New era, new objective...</p>\n<p>We believe the recent regulatory tightening reflects a shift in China's governance priorities from \"growth first\" to balancing growth and sustainability – i.e., security, self-sufficiency, and social equality. In the last decade Beijing said its key goal was to double per capita income and eliminate absolute poverty (President Xi’s inaugural speech in Nov. 2012), i.e., giving highest priority to growth. However, this \"pro-growth\" strategy also led to higher inequality and social problems due to lack of regulations on emerging sectors, pointing to the importance of \"pro-poor\" measures as a complement (see World Bank (2004): Pro-growth, pro-poor: Is there a tradeoff?). Now, the government is emphasizing “getting rich together” (common prosperity) as the new objective for the next stage of development in the midst of the CCP's 100-year anniversary, and aims to \"prevent the unbridled expansion of capital\" by intro- ducing a range of KPIs besides economic growth, which covers social equality, supply chain self-sufficiency and data security in the face of rising secular risks – income inequality, US-China tensions, and aging demographics.</p>\n<p>Reflecting this reorientation, policymakers have intensified regu- lations in the past 9 months over fintech, big tech (anti-trust, data regulation and employee protection), after-school tutoring, crypto- currency, carbon emissions and overseas IPO rules. The anti-trust campaign has mainly targeted the prevention of tech giants from an over-concentration of market power and eroding welfare of smaller businesses and outsourced employees; the fintech regulation serves&nbsp;the purpose of curbing regulatory arbitrage and financial stability risks; and the increased scrutiny over Chinese ADRs and cross-border data flow in July 2021 mainly focuses on reducing risks of security amid lingering geopolitical tensions. Similarly, the recent regulatory changes to after-school tutoring are part of policy efforts to reduce child-raising costs.</p>\n<p>In short, China is trying to rebalance the rise in corporate power and the share of labor compensation, and this may lead to some systematic de-rating in valuations for some sectors. Having said that, policymakers will have to strike a balance, as China's ambition to thrive as an economic super power will require it to ensure con- tinued private sector vitality to spur innovation and further RMB internationalization to attract capital inflows, so as to sustain long- term productivity growth. While the new regulations introduce more requirements on social responsibility and data usage, and might lead to some increase in margin pressures for related enterprises, we think they will not disrupt business models for most sectors (except for after-school tutoring). For instance, the anti-trust law mainly focuses on banning tech-giants from requiring merchants to sign exclusive cooperation pacts, while the government's guidance on enhancing flexible workers' social benefits mainly requires food delivery platforms to pay healthcare and pension coverage for out- sourced employees. Online goods sales have also held up quite well recently despite the tech regulation campaign starting from late last year. Meanwhile, some regulatory changes are supportive for advanced manufacturing, hardware localization, and clean energy supply chain.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aed81f65a92f4b2731263273025f4a53\" tg-width=\"1108\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb0dce11e47f8023f88a4ab2622f89e6\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">...but history rhymes</p>\n<p>While many of the regulations appear long-overdue and make sense (for example on fintech, anti-trust and outsourced labour protec- tion), the pace of changes in last 9 months has caught the market off-guard as a seemingly arbitrary shift in direction.</p>\n<p>Why has it occurred in such fashion? We have indeed seen this movie many times: China’s regulatory environments have tended to oscillate between relaxed and tight enforcement, especially in emerging sectors. But this has tended to result in an abrupt regula- tory reset. Before the current reversal in regulating big tech, China had a regulation campaign on mining (2006-2009), dairy (2008- 2010), high-end dining and liquor (2013-2014), irrational capital out-&nbsp;flows (2016-17), gaming (2018), and drugs (2018-2019) – most lasting for one to two years. The sharp shifts in regulatory changes have been largely due to the fact that regulations have tended to lag a period of exponential growth in the sector:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Relaxed stage: Local government support, pro-growth men- tality and business interests together contributed to a lag in regulating emerging sectors.</li>\n <li>Tight regulation stage: When a problem is looming as evi- denced by public opinion and/or financial stability indicators, the top leadership shifts gears, quickly mobilizes all administra- tive resources to reorientate its policy control and bolster its regulatory capacity.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cb4228c860070dfebe954a1a937a1e\" tg-width=\"1102\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">However, the abrupt shifts in policy tend to hurt market confi- dence and would benefit from more clarity: In past regulatory cycles, capital markets usually underperformed at the start, reflecting weaker market sentiment in the face of policy uncertainty, suggesting the need for greater policy communication. Historical patterns suggest that as an initial step to restore private sector confi- dence, minister-level officials attempt to clarify policy goals publicly. But if this communication is insufficient to temper concern and even- tually weakness in private confidence hurts the job market, top-level policymakers tend to step in.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Here we can take 2H18 as an example, when the triple headwinds of deleveraging, regulatory tightening, and US-China trade tensions triggered market concerns about \"state advances, private sector retreats\". By then, while policymakers already shifted to an easing stance in July 2018 with PBoC's targeted RRR cut, followed by the Ministry of Finance's urge to accelerate local govt. bond issuance in August 2018, it did not stop the deterioration in broad credit growth&nbsp;and private sector confidence. In response, China's President con- vened a forum with entrepreneurs in November 2018 to send a clear signal on supporting private firms.</p>\n<p>We also see a similar pattern emerging from the government in trying to provide clarity in this cycle. For instance, China's Vice Premier spoke at a business forum on July 27, saying that the nation would \"strike a balance between growth and safety, to ensure social fairness and competition, and promote healthy development of the capital market\". According to Bloomberg, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) also told major investment banks on July 28 that the education policies were targeted and not intended to hurt com- panies in other industries. Separately, the government of Zhejiang province (one of China's richest provinces) clarified in mid-July that the “common prosperity initiative” does not mean \"absolute equal\". We will be watchful on the potential impact of intensified regulations on private sector confidence, and see if the existing government clari- fications are sufficient to restore market sentiment.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a679cb541385fed3b741397ff984c65\" tg-width=\"1134\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>What is next?</b></p>\n<p>The salient shift of governance priorities from “growth first” to bal- anced growth and sustainability means that sectoral regulations will likely continue to be realigned with the broader goals of social equality and national security. We thus see potential new regulation and/or detailed implementation plans in the coming years for sectors associated with the rising tensions of income and wealth inequality, rapid fertility decline, environment, and national security risks amid post-Covid de-globalization.</p>\n<p>That said, as aforementioned, we think these regulations are more about rebalancing the rise in corporate power and the share of labor compensation, and would not necessarily view them through the lens of “state vs. private”. Therefore, while we expect regulatory tightening on data-rich tech firms, platform companies, property developers to continue, sectors in-line with China's new economic agenda should continue to get support, such as semiconductor local- ization, cybersecurity software, innovative biotech and pharmaceu- tical companies with well-differentiated drugs, mass consumption/ domestic brands, vocational training, and green economy-related investment. For more equity investment analysis, please refer to</p>\n<p>China Equity Strategy: Implications for Long-Term Valuation and ROE; Opportunities amid Headwinds &amp; Tailwinds . Understanding China's Regulatory Reset&nbsp;Are there signposts to help us navigate the outlook based on past regulatory changes?</p>\n<p>While China’s regulatory changes appear less transparent than western counterparts, we do observe similar cycles marked succes- sively by early warning signs, the formal process of drafting and releasing the regulatory documents, and official remarks signaling the end of the campaigns.</p>\n<p>1. Early warning signs: These include increased social aware- ness/anxiety, public discussions, and meaningful deterioration in major macro level indicators, usually lasting 1-2 years (or possibly longer). For example, the latest crackdown on after- school tutoring followed top leaders’ negative assessment of the sector’s impact on children back in Sep-2018, but rapid growth continued, imposing a significant financial burden on middle income households. The antitrust campaign on tech giants was preceded by years of discussion over the contro- versy from \"pick one from two\" – a practice that came under the spotlight in 2015, which means platforms force merchants to have exclusive partnerships or distribution channels. Meanwhile, prominent macro-level regulatory campaigns include the financial cleanup since 2017 (following the five- year rapid rise in debt-to-GDP ratios) and capacity cuts in 2016-18 (following multiyear PPI deflation that further deep- ened in 2015).<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5352ef9df13a439c37493e9a8ca53c\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"628\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">2. The start of the formal regulatory cycle: This is usually marked either by approval of draft regulations at high-level government meetings or the release of a publicly accessible version for comment. The final document usually publishes 9-12 months later. For example, the latest regulatory docu- ment on capital market irregularities had been drafted and approved last November. In addition, the government will often release detailed plans for implementation, accompa- nying the original (and usually high-level) guidelines.</p>\n<p>3. Signs of reaching the final stages: For regulatory campaigns that have progressed relatively more smoothly, policymakers usually declare good results in high-level meetings – such as&nbsp;\"decisive progress in the three critical battles against poverty, pollution and financial risk\" at the 2021 NPC. On the other hand, for campaigns that brought about meaningful side effects, policymakers tended to soften their stance by, for example, calling for more market- or law-based implementa- tions (e.g., the latter stage of the supply side reforms). In rare cases when private sentiment was severely undermined on a broad scale, China's top leadership has reaffirmed its policy support with measures such as VAT cuts, lower social insur- ance payment ratio, better funding support, and further reforms and opening up.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc249af2f4c828e1675a81878fef5910\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"966\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Emergence of new norm following the regulatory shocks:</b> Past experiences suggest that each regulatory wave tends to last for 1-2 years, during the start of which capital markets usually underper- formed amid rising risk premiums, but eventually the real economy and capital market adjusted to the new policy framework. As we argued above, most of the ongoing regulation (except for after- school tutoring) mainly focuses on striking a balance between the rise in corporate power and the share of labor compensation rather than aiming to revamp or terminate prevailing business models. In this sense, we believe the key signposts for an end to the current tech regulatory cycle could include:</p>\n<p>1. A resumption of offshore IPOs by Chinese firms within less data-sensitive sub-sectors,</p>\n<p>2. A systematic improvement in key digital platforms’ social ben- efit packages for flexible workers, and</p>\n<p>3. Major fintech companies getting the greenlight for IPOs after fully complying with regulatory requirements.</p>\n<p><b>Key policy risks to watch</b></p>\n<p>We think the key risks lie mainly in China's endogenous growth momentum and external funding. First, while our base case assumes that policymakers can strike a balance between regulation and pri- vate sector vitality under the new policy framework, an inherent tendency to over-regulate could stifle private sector confidence and innovation. Second, a lack of sufficient communication and coordina- tion would not only disrupt business operations, but could also dis- courage foreign investment amid additional informational and cultural barriers. These could slow the pace of capital formation and undermine overall productivity growth in the economy.</p>\n<p>Although some short-term pain arising from overdue regulation that follows a prolonged period of unregulated growth is inevitable, we see ways of mitigating the policy overhang.</p>\n<p>1. A more anticipatory regulation framework and forward guid- ance for emerging industries could offer greater visibility and transparency, giving businesses sufficient time to adjust.</p>\n<p>2. On policy coordination, regulatory policies would benefit from being pursued in an integrated manner in order to reduce trade-offs and maximize synergies. For example, it might be true that technology in the data era could boost growth, but it could also worsen income inequality, given its effect of favouring capital over labour and favouring skilled over unskilled labour. However, policymakers could narrow income disparities and help to defuse potential negative social impact by accelerating the urbanization 2.0 strategy and increasing fiscal transfers to optimize the social protection network.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30308333dcaae51b19d9d6df98163daa\" tg-width=\"1100\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley：China's Regulatory Reset</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley：China's Regulatory Reset\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-20 11:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n Beijing is shifting its governance priorities to balancing growth and sustainability, tackling&nbsp;social equality and security with a major regulatory reset. It could rebalance the share of&nbsp;economy toward labor, lowering corporate profit share. We see a longer and more&nbsp;profound market impact.\n</blockquote>\n<p><i><b>New objective triggering major regulatory reset: </b></i>We are at a signifi- cant moment in the history of China’s economy and capital markets: after a decade-long journey to eliminate absolute poverty, Beijing is shifting governance priorities from growth to balancing growth and sustainability: social equality, data security, and self-sufficiency. China's new regulations on fintech, big tech, after-school tutoring, cryptocurrency, and carbon emissions over the past nine months underpin this major regulatory reset.</p>\n<p><i><b>Economic implications:</b></i> Under the new governance paradigm, China appears to be attempting to check the rise in corporate power and rebalance the share of the economy in favor of labor, which could result in decline in corporate profit share. We see regulatory head- winds for sectors associated with rising tensions of social inequality, environmental sustainability, and data security risks, while the new framework provides policy support to advanced manufacturing, tech localization, and renewable energy. We remain watchful of the risk of over-regulation, or, in contrast, resumption of offshore (Hong Kong) IPOs for tech companies, clarity over employment benefits and other issues concerning platform companies, progress on audit access dis- pute resolution, and clearer guidance from top policymakers to curb spillover effects of regulation changes.</p>\n<p><b><i>Investment implications:</i></b> We expect a longer and more profound impact from the current regulatory cycle on China's equity market valuations and Equity Risk Premium (ERP) than has occurred in sim- ilar past cycles, as it is affecting a more substantial proportion of the market than previously and, in particular, the Internet sector, which accounts for ~40% of MSCI China by index weight. There is a substan- tial degree of uncertainty over what this means both for future net income margins and revenue growth for the affected sectors and stocks.</p>\n<p>Our current base case forward P/E target for MSCI China of 13.0x implies MSCI China would trade on a mid-single-digit percentage val- uation discount to MSCI EM ex China for a sustained period of time. Over time we expect the MSCI China universe to gradually have a more balanced sector allocation with a reduced weight for Internet and a higher weight for sectors like Industrials and IT.</p>\n<p><i><b>Challenges and opportunities by segment/theme</b></i>: Data-heavy tech and platform companies and property could remain under pressure amid the regulatory reset, while semi localization, cybersecurity, domestic brands catering to the mass market, innovative drugs, bio- tech, and green economy may enjoy support.</p>\n<p><b>5&nbsp;Key Charts at a Glance</b></p>\n<p>A shift from \"growth first\" to balancing growth and sustainability...<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2da734c8c3853c4f5e3ef9f420b44128\" tg-width=\"1384\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45ef8f29c3d6672ff460eb2c2f53e4bd\" tg-width=\"1372\" tg-height=\"736\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0f6b44f17975c68e81956d1f48f1a1f\" tg-width=\"1420\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28739534c43a8f4ad6130734def1060e\" tg-width=\"1396\" tg-height=\"998\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/081b21f4492f2e201aa01ce3bf0cc0cf\" tg-width=\"1442\" tg-height=\"708\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9e0b9b6480a2b1c9c338ece5db0f691\" tg-width=\"1378\" tg-height=\"938\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Challenges and opportunities by segment/theme</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee2a916e7de802073a0628962cc2cfe6\" tg-width=\"1114\" tg-height=\"1170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ab4ef36aba8f43d66471c352d81a93f\" tg-width=\"1118\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Understanding China's Regulatory Reset</b></p>\n<p>New era, new objective...</p>\n<p>We believe the recent regulatory tightening reflects a shift in China's governance priorities from \"growth first\" to balancing growth and sustainability – i.e., security, self-sufficiency, and social equality. In the last decade Beijing said its key goal was to double per capita income and eliminate absolute poverty (President Xi’s inaugural speech in Nov. 2012), i.e., giving highest priority to growth. However, this \"pro-growth\" strategy also led to higher inequality and social problems due to lack of regulations on emerging sectors, pointing to the importance of \"pro-poor\" measures as a complement (see World Bank (2004): Pro-growth, pro-poor: Is there a tradeoff?). Now, the government is emphasizing “getting rich together” (common prosperity) as the new objective for the next stage of development in the midst of the CCP's 100-year anniversary, and aims to \"prevent the unbridled expansion of capital\" by intro- ducing a range of KPIs besides economic growth, which covers social equality, supply chain self-sufficiency and data security in the face of rising secular risks – income inequality, US-China tensions, and aging demographics.</p>\n<p>Reflecting this reorientation, policymakers have intensified regu- lations in the past 9 months over fintech, big tech (anti-trust, data regulation and employee protection), after-school tutoring, crypto- currency, carbon emissions and overseas IPO rules. The anti-trust campaign has mainly targeted the prevention of tech giants from an over-concentration of market power and eroding welfare of smaller businesses and outsourced employees; the fintech regulation serves&nbsp;the purpose of curbing regulatory arbitrage and financial stability risks; and the increased scrutiny over Chinese ADRs and cross-border data flow in July 2021 mainly focuses on reducing risks of security amid lingering geopolitical tensions. Similarly, the recent regulatory changes to after-school tutoring are part of policy efforts to reduce child-raising costs.</p>\n<p>In short, China is trying to rebalance the rise in corporate power and the share of labor compensation, and this may lead to some systematic de-rating in valuations for some sectors. Having said that, policymakers will have to strike a balance, as China's ambition to thrive as an economic super power will require it to ensure con- tinued private sector vitality to spur innovation and further RMB internationalization to attract capital inflows, so as to sustain long- term productivity growth. While the new regulations introduce more requirements on social responsibility and data usage, and might lead to some increase in margin pressures for related enterprises, we think they will not disrupt business models for most sectors (except for after-school tutoring). For instance, the anti-trust law mainly focuses on banning tech-giants from requiring merchants to sign exclusive cooperation pacts, while the government's guidance on enhancing flexible workers' social benefits mainly requires food delivery platforms to pay healthcare and pension coverage for out- sourced employees. Online goods sales have also held up quite well recently despite the tech regulation campaign starting from late last year. Meanwhile, some regulatory changes are supportive for advanced manufacturing, hardware localization, and clean energy supply chain.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aed81f65a92f4b2731263273025f4a53\" tg-width=\"1108\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb0dce11e47f8023f88a4ab2622f89e6\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">...but history rhymes</p>\n<p>While many of the regulations appear long-overdue and make sense (for example on fintech, anti-trust and outsourced labour protec- tion), the pace of changes in last 9 months has caught the market off-guard as a seemingly arbitrary shift in direction.</p>\n<p>Why has it occurred in such fashion? We have indeed seen this movie many times: China’s regulatory environments have tended to oscillate between relaxed and tight enforcement, especially in emerging sectors. But this has tended to result in an abrupt regula- tory reset. Before the current reversal in regulating big tech, China had a regulation campaign on mining (2006-2009), dairy (2008- 2010), high-end dining and liquor (2013-2014), irrational capital out-&nbsp;flows (2016-17), gaming (2018), and drugs (2018-2019) – most lasting for one to two years. The sharp shifts in regulatory changes have been largely due to the fact that regulations have tended to lag a period of exponential growth in the sector:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Relaxed stage: Local government support, pro-growth men- tality and business interests together contributed to a lag in regulating emerging sectors.</li>\n <li>Tight regulation stage: When a problem is looming as evi- denced by public opinion and/or financial stability indicators, the top leadership shifts gears, quickly mobilizes all administra- tive resources to reorientate its policy control and bolster its regulatory capacity.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cb4228c860070dfebe954a1a937a1e\" tg-width=\"1102\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">However, the abrupt shifts in policy tend to hurt market confi- dence and would benefit from more clarity: In past regulatory cycles, capital markets usually underperformed at the start, reflecting weaker market sentiment in the face of policy uncertainty, suggesting the need for greater policy communication. Historical patterns suggest that as an initial step to restore private sector confi- dence, minister-level officials attempt to clarify policy goals publicly. But if this communication is insufficient to temper concern and even- tually weakness in private confidence hurts the job market, top-level policymakers tend to step in.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Here we can take 2H18 as an example, when the triple headwinds of deleveraging, regulatory tightening, and US-China trade tensions triggered market concerns about \"state advances, private sector retreats\". By then, while policymakers already shifted to an easing stance in July 2018 with PBoC's targeted RRR cut, followed by the Ministry of Finance's urge to accelerate local govt. bond issuance in August 2018, it did not stop the deterioration in broad credit growth&nbsp;and private sector confidence. In response, China's President con- vened a forum with entrepreneurs in November 2018 to send a clear signal on supporting private firms.</p>\n<p>We also see a similar pattern emerging from the government in trying to provide clarity in this cycle. For instance, China's Vice Premier spoke at a business forum on July 27, saying that the nation would \"strike a balance between growth and safety, to ensure social fairness and competition, and promote healthy development of the capital market\". According to Bloomberg, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) also told major investment banks on July 28 that the education policies were targeted and not intended to hurt com- panies in other industries. Separately, the government of Zhejiang province (one of China's richest provinces) clarified in mid-July that the “common prosperity initiative” does not mean \"absolute equal\". We will be watchful on the potential impact of intensified regulations on private sector confidence, and see if the existing government clari- fications are sufficient to restore market sentiment.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a679cb541385fed3b741397ff984c65\" tg-width=\"1134\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>What is next?</b></p>\n<p>The salient shift of governance priorities from “growth first” to bal- anced growth and sustainability means that sectoral regulations will likely continue to be realigned with the broader goals of social equality and national security. We thus see potential new regulation and/or detailed implementation plans in the coming years for sectors associated with the rising tensions of income and wealth inequality, rapid fertility decline, environment, and national security risks amid post-Covid de-globalization.</p>\n<p>That said, as aforementioned, we think these regulations are more about rebalancing the rise in corporate power and the share of labor compensation, and would not necessarily view them through the lens of “state vs. private”. Therefore, while we expect regulatory tightening on data-rich tech firms, platform companies, property developers to continue, sectors in-line with China's new economic agenda should continue to get support, such as semiconductor local- ization, cybersecurity software, innovative biotech and pharmaceu- tical companies with well-differentiated drugs, mass consumption/ domestic brands, vocational training, and green economy-related investment. For more equity investment analysis, please refer to</p>\n<p>China Equity Strategy: Implications for Long-Term Valuation and ROE; Opportunities amid Headwinds &amp; Tailwinds . Understanding China's Regulatory Reset&nbsp;Are there signposts to help us navigate the outlook based on past regulatory changes?</p>\n<p>While China’s regulatory changes appear less transparent than western counterparts, we do observe similar cycles marked succes- sively by early warning signs, the formal process of drafting and releasing the regulatory documents, and official remarks signaling the end of the campaigns.</p>\n<p>1. Early warning signs: These include increased social aware- ness/anxiety, public discussions, and meaningful deterioration in major macro level indicators, usually lasting 1-2 years (or possibly longer). For example, the latest crackdown on after- school tutoring followed top leaders’ negative assessment of the sector’s impact on children back in Sep-2018, but rapid growth continued, imposing a significant financial burden on middle income households. The antitrust campaign on tech giants was preceded by years of discussion over the contro- versy from \"pick one from two\" – a practice that came under the spotlight in 2015, which means platforms force merchants to have exclusive partnerships or distribution channels. Meanwhile, prominent macro-level regulatory campaigns include the financial cleanup since 2017 (following the five- year rapid rise in debt-to-GDP ratios) and capacity cuts in 2016-18 (following multiyear PPI deflation that further deep- ened in 2015).<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5352ef9df13a439c37493e9a8ca53c\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"628\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">2. The start of the formal regulatory cycle: This is usually marked either by approval of draft regulations at high-level government meetings or the release of a publicly accessible version for comment. The final document usually publishes 9-12 months later. For example, the latest regulatory docu- ment on capital market irregularities had been drafted and approved last November. In addition, the government will often release detailed plans for implementation, accompa- nying the original (and usually high-level) guidelines.</p>\n<p>3. Signs of reaching the final stages: For regulatory campaigns that have progressed relatively more smoothly, policymakers usually declare good results in high-level meetings – such as&nbsp;\"decisive progress in the three critical battles against poverty, pollution and financial risk\" at the 2021 NPC. On the other hand, for campaigns that brought about meaningful side effects, policymakers tended to soften their stance by, for example, calling for more market- or law-based implementa- tions (e.g., the latter stage of the supply side reforms). In rare cases when private sentiment was severely undermined on a broad scale, China's top leadership has reaffirmed its policy support with measures such as VAT cuts, lower social insur- ance payment ratio, better funding support, and further reforms and opening up.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc249af2f4c828e1675a81878fef5910\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"966\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Emergence of new norm following the regulatory shocks:</b> Past experiences suggest that each regulatory wave tends to last for 1-2 years, during the start of which capital markets usually underper- formed amid rising risk premiums, but eventually the real economy and capital market adjusted to the new policy framework. As we argued above, most of the ongoing regulation (except for after- school tutoring) mainly focuses on striking a balance between the rise in corporate power and the share of labor compensation rather than aiming to revamp or terminate prevailing business models. In this sense, we believe the key signposts for an end to the current tech regulatory cycle could include:</p>\n<p>1. A resumption of offshore IPOs by Chinese firms within less data-sensitive sub-sectors,</p>\n<p>2. A systematic improvement in key digital platforms’ social ben- efit packages for flexible workers, and</p>\n<p>3. Major fintech companies getting the greenlight for IPOs after fully complying with regulatory requirements.</p>\n<p><b>Key policy risks to watch</b></p>\n<p>We think the key risks lie mainly in China's endogenous growth momentum and external funding. First, while our base case assumes that policymakers can strike a balance between regulation and pri- vate sector vitality under the new policy framework, an inherent tendency to over-regulate could stifle private sector confidence and innovation. Second, a lack of sufficient communication and coordina- tion would not only disrupt business operations, but could also dis- courage foreign investment amid additional informational and cultural barriers. These could slow the pace of capital formation and undermine overall productivity growth in the economy.</p>\n<p>Although some short-term pain arising from overdue regulation that follows a prolonged period of unregulated growth is inevitable, we see ways of mitigating the policy overhang.</p>\n<p>1. A more anticipatory regulation framework and forward guid- ance for emerging industries could offer greater visibility and transparency, giving businesses sufficient time to adjust.</p>\n<p>2. On policy coordination, regulatory policies would benefit from being pursued in an integrated manner in order to reduce trade-offs and maximize synergies. For example, it might be true that technology in the data era could boost growth, but it could also worsen income inequality, given its effect of favouring capital over labour and favouring skilled over unskilled labour. However, policymakers could narrow income disparities and help to defuse potential negative social impact by accelerating the urbanization 2.0 strategy and increasing fiscal transfers to optimize the social protection network.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30308333dcaae51b19d9d6df98163daa\" tg-width=\"1100\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113659023","content_text":"Beijing is shifting its governance priorities to balancing growth and sustainability, tackling social equality and security with a major regulatory reset. It could rebalance the share of economy toward labor, lowering corporate profit share. We see a longer and more profound market impact.\n\nNew objective triggering major regulatory reset: We are at a signifi- cant moment in the history of China’s economy and capital markets: after a decade-long journey to eliminate absolute poverty, Beijing is shifting governance priorities from growth to balancing growth and sustainability: social equality, data security, and self-sufficiency. China's new regulations on fintech, big tech, after-school tutoring, cryptocurrency, and carbon emissions over the past nine months underpin this major regulatory reset.\nEconomic implications: Under the new governance paradigm, China appears to be attempting to check the rise in corporate power and rebalance the share of the economy in favor of labor, which could result in decline in corporate profit share. We see regulatory head- winds for sectors associated with rising tensions of social inequality, environmental sustainability, and data security risks, while the new framework provides policy support to advanced manufacturing, tech localization, and renewable energy. We remain watchful of the risk of over-regulation, or, in contrast, resumption of offshore (Hong Kong) IPOs for tech companies, clarity over employment benefits and other issues concerning platform companies, progress on audit access dis- pute resolution, and clearer guidance from top policymakers to curb spillover effects of regulation changes.\nInvestment implications: We expect a longer and more profound impact from the current regulatory cycle on China's equity market valuations and Equity Risk Premium (ERP) than has occurred in sim- ilar past cycles, as it is affecting a more substantial proportion of the market than previously and, in particular, the Internet sector, which accounts for ~40% of MSCI China by index weight. There is a substan- tial degree of uncertainty over what this means both for future net income margins and revenue growth for the affected sectors and stocks.\nOur current base case forward P/E target for MSCI China of 13.0x implies MSCI China would trade on a mid-single-digit percentage val- uation discount to MSCI EM ex China for a sustained period of time. Over time we expect the MSCI China universe to gradually have a more balanced sector allocation with a reduced weight for Internet and a higher weight for sectors like Industrials and IT.\nChallenges and opportunities by segment/theme: Data-heavy tech and platform companies and property could remain under pressure amid the regulatory reset, while semi localization, cybersecurity, domestic brands catering to the mass market, innovative drugs, bio- tech, and green economy may enjoy support.\n5 Key Charts at a Glance\nA shift from \"growth first\" to balancing growth and sustainability...Challenges and opportunities by segment/themeUnderstanding China's Regulatory Reset\nNew era, new objective...\nWe believe the recent regulatory tightening reflects a shift in China's governance priorities from \"growth first\" to balancing growth and sustainability – i.e., security, self-sufficiency, and social equality. In the last decade Beijing said its key goal was to double per capita income and eliminate absolute poverty (President Xi’s inaugural speech in Nov. 2012), i.e., giving highest priority to growth. However, this \"pro-growth\" strategy also led to higher inequality and social problems due to lack of regulations on emerging sectors, pointing to the importance of \"pro-poor\" measures as a complement (see World Bank (2004): Pro-growth, pro-poor: Is there a tradeoff?). Now, the government is emphasizing “getting rich together” (common prosperity) as the new objective for the next stage of development in the midst of the CCP's 100-year anniversary, and aims to \"prevent the unbridled expansion of capital\" by intro- ducing a range of KPIs besides economic growth, which covers social equality, supply chain self-sufficiency and data security in the face of rising secular risks – income inequality, US-China tensions, and aging demographics.\nReflecting this reorientation, policymakers have intensified regu- lations in the past 9 months over fintech, big tech (anti-trust, data regulation and employee protection), after-school tutoring, crypto- currency, carbon emissions and overseas IPO rules. The anti-trust campaign has mainly targeted the prevention of tech giants from an over-concentration of market power and eroding welfare of smaller businesses and outsourced employees; the fintech regulation serves the purpose of curbing regulatory arbitrage and financial stability risks; and the increased scrutiny over Chinese ADRs and cross-border data flow in July 2021 mainly focuses on reducing risks of security amid lingering geopolitical tensions. Similarly, the recent regulatory changes to after-school tutoring are part of policy efforts to reduce child-raising costs.\nIn short, China is trying to rebalance the rise in corporate power and the share of labor compensation, and this may lead to some systematic de-rating in valuations for some sectors. Having said that, policymakers will have to strike a balance, as China's ambition to thrive as an economic super power will require it to ensure con- tinued private sector vitality to spur innovation and further RMB internationalization to attract capital inflows, so as to sustain long- term productivity growth. While the new regulations introduce more requirements on social responsibility and data usage, and might lead to some increase in margin pressures for related enterprises, we think they will not disrupt business models for most sectors (except for after-school tutoring). For instance, the anti-trust law mainly focuses on banning tech-giants from requiring merchants to sign exclusive cooperation pacts, while the government's guidance on enhancing flexible workers' social benefits mainly requires food delivery platforms to pay healthcare and pension coverage for out- sourced employees. Online goods sales have also held up quite well recently despite the tech regulation campaign starting from late last year. Meanwhile, some regulatory changes are supportive for advanced manufacturing, hardware localization, and clean energy supply chain....but history rhymes\nWhile many of the regulations appear long-overdue and make sense (for example on fintech, anti-trust and outsourced labour protec- tion), the pace of changes in last 9 months has caught the market off-guard as a seemingly arbitrary shift in direction.\nWhy has it occurred in such fashion? We have indeed seen this movie many times: China’s regulatory environments have tended to oscillate between relaxed and tight enforcement, especially in emerging sectors. But this has tended to result in an abrupt regula- tory reset. Before the current reversal in regulating big tech, China had a regulation campaign on mining (2006-2009), dairy (2008- 2010), high-end dining and liquor (2013-2014), irrational capital out- flows (2016-17), gaming (2018), and drugs (2018-2019) – most lasting for one to two years. The sharp shifts in regulatory changes have been largely due to the fact that regulations have tended to lag a period of exponential growth in the sector:\n\nRelaxed stage: Local government support, pro-growth men- tality and business interests together contributed to a lag in regulating emerging sectors.\nTight regulation stage: When a problem is looming as evi- denced by public opinion and/or financial stability indicators, the top leadership shifts gears, quickly mobilizes all administra- tive resources to reorientate its policy control and bolster its regulatory capacity.However, the abrupt shifts in policy tend to hurt market confi- dence and would benefit from more clarity: In past regulatory cycles, capital markets usually underperformed at the start, reflecting weaker market sentiment in the face of policy uncertainty, suggesting the need for greater policy communication. Historical patterns suggest that as an initial step to restore private sector confi- dence, minister-level officials attempt to clarify policy goals publicly. But if this communication is insufficient to temper concern and even- tually weakness in private confidence hurts the job market, top-level policymakers tend to step in.\n\nHere we can take 2H18 as an example, when the triple headwinds of deleveraging, regulatory tightening, and US-China trade tensions triggered market concerns about \"state advances, private sector retreats\". By then, while policymakers already shifted to an easing stance in July 2018 with PBoC's targeted RRR cut, followed by the Ministry of Finance's urge to accelerate local govt. bond issuance in August 2018, it did not stop the deterioration in broad credit growth and private sector confidence. In response, China's President con- vened a forum with entrepreneurs in November 2018 to send a clear signal on supporting private firms.\nWe also see a similar pattern emerging from the government in trying to provide clarity in this cycle. For instance, China's Vice Premier spoke at a business forum on July 27, saying that the nation would \"strike a balance between growth and safety, to ensure social fairness and competition, and promote healthy development of the capital market\". According to Bloomberg, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) also told major investment banks on July 28 that the education policies were targeted and not intended to hurt com- panies in other industries. Separately, the government of Zhejiang province (one of China's richest provinces) clarified in mid-July that the “common prosperity initiative” does not mean \"absolute equal\". We will be watchful on the potential impact of intensified regulations on private sector confidence, and see if the existing government clari- fications are sufficient to restore market sentiment.What is next?\nThe salient shift of governance priorities from “growth first” to bal- anced growth and sustainability means that sectoral regulations will likely continue to be realigned with the broader goals of social equality and national security. We thus see potential new regulation and/or detailed implementation plans in the coming years for sectors associated with the rising tensions of income and wealth inequality, rapid fertility decline, environment, and national security risks amid post-Covid de-globalization.\nThat said, as aforementioned, we think these regulations are more about rebalancing the rise in corporate power and the share of labor compensation, and would not necessarily view them through the lens of “state vs. private”. Therefore, while we expect regulatory tightening on data-rich tech firms, platform companies, property developers to continue, sectors in-line with China's new economic agenda should continue to get support, such as semiconductor local- ization, cybersecurity software, innovative biotech and pharmaceu- tical companies with well-differentiated drugs, mass consumption/ domestic brands, vocational training, and green economy-related investment. For more equity investment analysis, please refer to\nChina Equity Strategy: Implications for Long-Term Valuation and ROE; Opportunities amid Headwinds & Tailwinds . Understanding China's Regulatory Reset Are there signposts to help us navigate the outlook based on past regulatory changes?\nWhile China’s regulatory changes appear less transparent than western counterparts, we do observe similar cycles marked succes- sively by early warning signs, the formal process of drafting and releasing the regulatory documents, and official remarks signaling the end of the campaigns.\n1. Early warning signs: These include increased social aware- ness/anxiety, public discussions, and meaningful deterioration in major macro level indicators, usually lasting 1-2 years (or possibly longer). For example, the latest crackdown on after- school tutoring followed top leaders’ negative assessment of the sector’s impact on children back in Sep-2018, but rapid growth continued, imposing a significant financial burden on middle income households. The antitrust campaign on tech giants was preceded by years of discussion over the contro- versy from \"pick one from two\" – a practice that came under the spotlight in 2015, which means platforms force merchants to have exclusive partnerships or distribution channels. Meanwhile, prominent macro-level regulatory campaigns include the financial cleanup since 2017 (following the five- year rapid rise in debt-to-GDP ratios) and capacity cuts in 2016-18 (following multiyear PPI deflation that further deep- ened in 2015).2. The start of the formal regulatory cycle: This is usually marked either by approval of draft regulations at high-level government meetings or the release of a publicly accessible version for comment. The final document usually publishes 9-12 months later. For example, the latest regulatory docu- ment on capital market irregularities had been drafted and approved last November. In addition, the government will often release detailed plans for implementation, accompa- nying the original (and usually high-level) guidelines.\n3. Signs of reaching the final stages: For regulatory campaigns that have progressed relatively more smoothly, policymakers usually declare good results in high-level meetings – such as \"decisive progress in the three critical battles against poverty, pollution and financial risk\" at the 2021 NPC. On the other hand, for campaigns that brought about meaningful side effects, policymakers tended to soften their stance by, for example, calling for more market- or law-based implementa- tions (e.g., the latter stage of the supply side reforms). In rare cases when private sentiment was severely undermined on a broad scale, China's top leadership has reaffirmed its policy support with measures such as VAT cuts, lower social insur- ance payment ratio, better funding support, and further reforms and opening up.\nEmergence of new norm following the regulatory shocks: Past experiences suggest that each regulatory wave tends to last for 1-2 years, during the start of which capital markets usually underper- formed amid rising risk premiums, but eventually the real economy and capital market adjusted to the new policy framework. As we argued above, most of the ongoing regulation (except for after- school tutoring) mainly focuses on striking a balance between the rise in corporate power and the share of labor compensation rather than aiming to revamp or terminate prevailing business models. In this sense, we believe the key signposts for an end to the current tech regulatory cycle could include:\n1. A resumption of offshore IPOs by Chinese firms within less data-sensitive sub-sectors,\n2. A systematic improvement in key digital platforms’ social ben- efit packages for flexible workers, and\n3. Major fintech companies getting the greenlight for IPOs after fully complying with regulatory requirements.\nKey policy risks to watch\nWe think the key risks lie mainly in China's endogenous growth momentum and external funding. First, while our base case assumes that policymakers can strike a balance between regulation and pri- vate sector vitality under the new policy framework, an inherent tendency to over-regulate could stifle private sector confidence and innovation. Second, a lack of sufficient communication and coordina- tion would not only disrupt business operations, but could also dis- courage foreign investment amid additional informational and cultural barriers. These could slow the pace of capital formation and undermine overall productivity growth in the economy.\nAlthough some short-term pain arising from overdue regulation that follows a prolonged period of unregulated growth is inevitable, we see ways of mitigating the policy overhang.\n1. A more anticipatory regulation framework and forward guid- ance for emerging industries could offer greater visibility and transparency, giving businesses sufficient time to adjust.\n2. On policy coordination, regulatory policies would benefit from being pursued in an integrated manner in order to reduce trade-offs and maximize synergies. For example, it might be true that technology in the data era could boost growth, but it could also worsen income inequality, given its effect of favouring capital over labour and favouring skilled over unskilled labour. However, policymakers could narrow income disparities and help to defuse potential negative social impact by accelerating the urbanization 2.0 strategy and increasing fiscal transfers to optimize the social protection network.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173596974,"gmtCreate":1626667816398,"gmtModify":1703763023147,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/173596974","repostId":"1139907709","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139907709","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626568617,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139907709?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-18 08:36","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Crime And Punishment: Thomas F. Quinn's Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139907709","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Does crime pay?\nIn August 1988, French authorities arrested an American expatriate named Thomas F. Q","content":"<p><i>Does crime pay?</i></p>\n<p>In August 1988, French authorities arrested an American expatriate named&nbsp;<b>Thomas F. Quinn</b>&nbsp;for orchestrating a global securities scheme that defrauded investors out of $500 million.</p>\n<p>As an unapologetic financial miscreant with a lifelong penchant for fraud, the French escapade represented something of a career peak for Quinn, whose flair of swindling took on an astonishing level of organizing that left no corner of the world untouched.</p>\n<p><b>Illusory Assets For Sale:</b>Thomas Francis Quinn was born in Brooklyn in 1932; his father drove a cement truck and his mother was a housewife who made extra money selling clothing and jewelry from the family’s garage.</p>\n<p>Quinn was an altar boy in his childhood and was the first member of his family to pursue higher education, graduating from St. John’s University Law School and passing the bar in 1962.</p>\n<p>Quinn opted to go into business for himself, starting a brokerage firm in New York called&nbsp;<b>Thomas, Williams &amp; Lee.</b>The main focus of this firm became the promotion of&nbsp;<b>Kent Industries,</b>a company that claimed to own Florida property valued at $2 million.</p>\n<p>There was a slight problem —&nbsp;Kent Industries didn’t own anything in the Sunshine State, and this inconvenient fact helped to introduce Quinn to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).</p>\n<p>Long story short: Quinn received a lifetime banishment from the SEC in 1966 from doing business with brokers and dealers thanks to what the agency defined as his “flagrant fraudulent practices” related to the Kent Industries assets, which the regulator considered to be “almost completely illusory.”</p>\n<p>The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) was a bit slower in dealing with Quinn, but by 1970 he was sent to jail for six months and was later permanently disbarred from practicing law.</p>\n<p><b>A Job With The Mob:</b>Prior to losing his law license, Quinn gained a partnership in a New York-based securities law firm that set off several alarms among federal law enforcement agencies. Indeed, an FBI report from 1983 recalled this firm’s chief focus was being responsible for the “funds of hoodlum-controlled companies.”</p>\n<p>Quinn was on both the FBI’s and SEC’s respective radars in the early 1980s for his role with two companies,<b>Sundance Gold Mining</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Aquarius Gold Exploration</b>, that claimed to have discovered gold in Suriname. The companies created a flurry of excitement among investors, but an investigation into their operations found a hitherto undeclared connection with the&nbsp;<b>Genovese crime family.</b></p>\n<p>The SEC filed a civil complaint against Quinn in 1983, charging him with fraudulently manipulating and promoting the companies’ stocks.</p>\n<p>Three years later, he reached a settlement with the regulator by agreeing to permanently stay away from anything related to securities.</p>\n<p>The FBI, despite finding Mafia fingerprints in Quinn’s business affairs, declined to press charges against him.</p>\n<p>Realizing that he wore out his welcome in his home country, Quinn and his common-law wife&nbsp;<b>Rochelle Rothfleisch</b>&nbsp;decided to relocate to France and to up his game to an unprecedented operation.</p>\n<p><b>Boiler Room Follies:</b>The circumstances and details of how Quinn built his swindling masterpiece are a bit fuzzy, but it is believed that the scheme was first hatched in 1984 and was coordinated out of his $6 million villa in the south of France.</p>\n<p>Quinn set up an archipelago of offices in several European countries and in Dubai, Jamaica and the tiny South Pacific island nation of Vanuatu, and he gave them phony names that sounded similar to respectable brokerages.</p>\n<p>Each office was staffed with salesmen who were tasked to sell stocks for 20 U.S. corporations to individual investors around the world. The stocks in question were mostly shell companies trading on the over-the-counter exchanges that Quinn picked up for pennies, but they were resold by Quinn’s salesmen at inflated amounts.</p>\n<p>The investors were culled from mailing lists sold by publishing companies and professional organizations, as well as from respondents to advertisements placed in newsletters focused on the over-the-counter markets.</p>\n<p>Quinn’s henchmen would telephone the investors —&nbsp;nearly all of whom were novices to investing —&nbsp;and do a high-pressure sales spiel that, more often than not, resulted in the separation of the gullible targets from their money.</p>\n<p>Quinn’s team aimed at European, Australian, Middle Eastern and Hong Kong neophyte investors. The only country off-limits from this scheme was the U.S. Quinn was already on the FBI’s radar and the last thing he wanted was to give them cause to pursue him anew.</p>\n<p><b>A Temporary Setback:</b>&nbsp;In 1988, Quinn’s arrest in France&nbsp;saw him charged with securities fraud, forgery of administrative documents and the possession of two fake Greek passports. His detention and the subsequent arrest of 20 of his salesmen created a fascinating dilemma for banking and law enforcement agencies in multiple countries.</p>\n<p>For starters, no one could easily figure out where the majority of Quinn’s $500 million in ill-gotten gains wound up.&nbsp;Transfers were traced through banks in Switzerland, Luxembourg and Gibraltar, as well as the beleaguered&nbsp;<b>Bank of Credit and Commerce International</b>&nbsp;in Tampa, Florida, which gained national attention as a favored depository for those involved in drug money laundering. But where the money eventually landed was anyone’s guess, and Quinn’s talent for adopting aliases to cover his business tracks confounded investigators.</p>\n<p>Also, it was unclear regarding how many people were swindled. A pair of class-action lawsuits brought out a total of 500 people trying to regain their money, but some observers of this case speculated the number could have been higher — some investors might have seen Quinn’s scam as a means of evading local taxes and foreign currency exchanges and would then have to answer to their authorities if this chicanery came to light.</p>\n<p>The SEC got into the picture because the stocks being sold in the scheme were all U.S. companies. The agency hosted a meeting in Washington D.C.&nbsp;with law enforcement officers and prosecutors from eight European countries and Australia, with the hopes of sorting out the mess. But since no Americans were defrauded in this elaborate charade, Quinn did not face criminal charges in his own country, although the SEC temporarily froze his U.S. assets.</p>\n<p>In France, Quinn was initially released after agreeing to reimburse his French victims but was arrested again when the Swiss government demanded his extradition.</p>\n<p>He came to trial in 1991 and was only sentenced to four years in prison,&nbsp;but his sentence was reduced to include time served and he was extradited to Switzerland.</p>\n<p>His Alpine detention was brief and by the mid-1990s he returned to the U.S. and rented a luxury home in Greenwich, Connecticut, a swanky suburb of New York City.</p>\n<p><b>An Eventual Stumble:</b>One of Quinn’s neighbors in Greenwich was<b>Martin Frankel,</b>a financier with his own addiction to swindling.</p>\n<p>In 1999, the Wall Street Journal used anonymous “people familiar with the matter” to claim Quinn assisted Frankel in his efforts to raise money for a controlled investment fund designed to buy insurance companies —&nbsp;but this turned out to be an embezzlement scam that resulted in Frankel fleeing the U.S. to Germany on a phony passport.</p>\n<p>Frankel was eventually extradited and spent nearly two decades in prison, but Quinn was never charged for being a partner in Frankel’s shenanigans.</p>\n<p>For most of the 1990s and the 2000s, Quinn kept a very low public profile, although law enforcement tracked his travels to such far-flung places as the Maldives and the United Arab Emirates.</p>\n<p>In 2004, he made a rare appearance at the Irish Derby as the co-owner of the winning thoroughbred Grey Swallow. Photographs of Quinn with the winning racehorse marked the only time that he was ever photographed in a public gathering. (Copyright restrictions prevent us from reprinting the photograph here, butthis linkon the RTE website shows Quinn, standing second from right, at the conclusion of the championship race.)</p>\n<p>In November 2009, Quinn’s luck finally ran out. On a trip back from Ireland to New York’s JFK International Airport, he was arrested for his role within a ring of embezzlers that sought to defraud a pair of British telecommunications companies out of more than $60 million. The scheme had the global hallmarks of Quinn’s earlier criminal triumph, with funds being disbursed to seven countries across four continents.</p>\n<p>Quinn was immediately jailed upon his arrest and was denied bail because it was feared he would attempt to flee the country. He eventually pleaded guilty to a single count of wire fraud and, despite exhortations to avoid prison due to health problems, he was sentenced in March 2013 to 84 months in prison. He was released in May 2016.</p>\n<p>What became of Quinn since his release is unknown. No obituary for him has been published, and he would be 89 years old if he is still alive.</p>\n<p>One information-tracking website listed him residing at a Brooklyn address, but the website also listed an accompanying telephone number that is not in service. Any readers who may have information on Quinn’s whereabouts should contact us and we will offer an update on his story.</p>\n<p>Quinn rarely spoke to anyone about his criminal activities.&nbsp;During an investigative session after his final arrest, he reportedly would only answer questions through a series of eyelid blinks. When a reporter sought to interview him in 1995, he demanded his privacy.</p>\n<p>\"Just forget me,\" Quinn said. \"I've got a lot of trouble and a lot of personal grief. I'm just trying to get on with my life. I'm not in the securities business and never will be again.\"</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Crime And Punishment: Thomas F. Quinn's Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Crime And Punishment: Thomas F. Quinn's Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-18 08:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21990476/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-thomas-f-quinns-mad-mad-mad-mad-world><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Does crime pay?\nIn August 1988, French authorities arrested an American expatriate named Thomas F. Quinn for orchestrating a global securities scheme that defrauded investors out of $500 million.\nAs ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21990476/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-thomas-f-quinns-mad-mad-mad-mad-world\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21990476/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-thomas-f-quinns-mad-mad-mad-mad-world","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139907709","content_text":"Does crime pay?\nIn August 1988, French authorities arrested an American expatriate named Thomas F. Quinn for orchestrating a global securities scheme that defrauded investors out of $500 million.\nAs an unapologetic financial miscreant with a lifelong penchant for fraud, the French escapade represented something of a career peak for Quinn, whose flair of swindling took on an astonishing level of organizing that left no corner of the world untouched.\nIllusory Assets For Sale:Thomas Francis Quinn was born in Brooklyn in 1932; his father drove a cement truck and his mother was a housewife who made extra money selling clothing and jewelry from the family’s garage.\nQuinn was an altar boy in his childhood and was the first member of his family to pursue higher education, graduating from St. John’s University Law School and passing the bar in 1962.\nQuinn opted to go into business for himself, starting a brokerage firm in New York called Thomas, Williams & Lee.The main focus of this firm became the promotion of Kent Industries,a company that claimed to own Florida property valued at $2 million.\nThere was a slight problem — Kent Industries didn’t own anything in the Sunshine State, and this inconvenient fact helped to introduce Quinn to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).\nLong story short: Quinn received a lifetime banishment from the SEC in 1966 from doing business with brokers and dealers thanks to what the agency defined as his “flagrant fraudulent practices” related to the Kent Industries assets, which the regulator considered to be “almost completely illusory.”\nThe U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) was a bit slower in dealing with Quinn, but by 1970 he was sent to jail for six months and was later permanently disbarred from practicing law.\nA Job With The Mob:Prior to losing his law license, Quinn gained a partnership in a New York-based securities law firm that set off several alarms among federal law enforcement agencies. Indeed, an FBI report from 1983 recalled this firm’s chief focus was being responsible for the “funds of hoodlum-controlled companies.”\nQuinn was on both the FBI’s and SEC’s respective radars in the early 1980s for his role with two companies,Sundance Gold Mining and Aquarius Gold Exploration, that claimed to have discovered gold in Suriname. The companies created a flurry of excitement among investors, but an investigation into their operations found a hitherto undeclared connection with the Genovese crime family.\nThe SEC filed a civil complaint against Quinn in 1983, charging him with fraudulently manipulating and promoting the companies’ stocks.\nThree years later, he reached a settlement with the regulator by agreeing to permanently stay away from anything related to securities.\nThe FBI, despite finding Mafia fingerprints in Quinn’s business affairs, declined to press charges against him.\nRealizing that he wore out his welcome in his home country, Quinn and his common-law wife Rochelle Rothfleisch decided to relocate to France and to up his game to an unprecedented operation.\nBoiler Room Follies:The circumstances and details of how Quinn built his swindling masterpiece are a bit fuzzy, but it is believed that the scheme was first hatched in 1984 and was coordinated out of his $6 million villa in the south of France.\nQuinn set up an archipelago of offices in several European countries and in Dubai, Jamaica and the tiny South Pacific island nation of Vanuatu, and he gave them phony names that sounded similar to respectable brokerages.\nEach office was staffed with salesmen who were tasked to sell stocks for 20 U.S. corporations to individual investors around the world. The stocks in question were mostly shell companies trading on the over-the-counter exchanges that Quinn picked up for pennies, but they were resold by Quinn’s salesmen at inflated amounts.\nThe investors were culled from mailing lists sold by publishing companies and professional organizations, as well as from respondents to advertisements placed in newsletters focused on the over-the-counter markets.\nQuinn’s henchmen would telephone the investors — nearly all of whom were novices to investing — and do a high-pressure sales spiel that, more often than not, resulted in the separation of the gullible targets from their money.\nQuinn’s team aimed at European, Australian, Middle Eastern and Hong Kong neophyte investors. The only country off-limits from this scheme was the U.S. Quinn was already on the FBI’s radar and the last thing he wanted was to give them cause to pursue him anew.\nA Temporary Setback: In 1988, Quinn’s arrest in France saw him charged with securities fraud, forgery of administrative documents and the possession of two fake Greek passports. His detention and the subsequent arrest of 20 of his salesmen created a fascinating dilemma for banking and law enforcement agencies in multiple countries.\nFor starters, no one could easily figure out where the majority of Quinn’s $500 million in ill-gotten gains wound up. Transfers were traced through banks in Switzerland, Luxembourg and Gibraltar, as well as the beleaguered Bank of Credit and Commerce International in Tampa, Florida, which gained national attention as a favored depository for those involved in drug money laundering. But where the money eventually landed was anyone’s guess, and Quinn’s talent for adopting aliases to cover his business tracks confounded investigators.\nAlso, it was unclear regarding how many people were swindled. A pair of class-action lawsuits brought out a total of 500 people trying to regain their money, but some observers of this case speculated the number could have been higher — some investors might have seen Quinn’s scam as a means of evading local taxes and foreign currency exchanges and would then have to answer to their authorities if this chicanery came to light.\nThe SEC got into the picture because the stocks being sold in the scheme were all U.S. companies. The agency hosted a meeting in Washington D.C. with law enforcement officers and prosecutors from eight European countries and Australia, with the hopes of sorting out the mess. But since no Americans were defrauded in this elaborate charade, Quinn did not face criminal charges in his own country, although the SEC temporarily froze his U.S. assets.\nIn France, Quinn was initially released after agreeing to reimburse his French victims but was arrested again when the Swiss government demanded his extradition.\nHe came to trial in 1991 and was only sentenced to four years in prison, but his sentence was reduced to include time served and he was extradited to Switzerland.\nHis Alpine detention was brief and by the mid-1990s he returned to the U.S. and rented a luxury home in Greenwich, Connecticut, a swanky suburb of New York City.\nAn Eventual Stumble:One of Quinn’s neighbors in Greenwich wasMartin Frankel,a financier with his own addiction to swindling.\nIn 1999, the Wall Street Journal used anonymous “people familiar with the matter” to claim Quinn assisted Frankel in his efforts to raise money for a controlled investment fund designed to buy insurance companies — but this turned out to be an embezzlement scam that resulted in Frankel fleeing the U.S. to Germany on a phony passport.\nFrankel was eventually extradited and spent nearly two decades in prison, but Quinn was never charged for being a partner in Frankel’s shenanigans.\nFor most of the 1990s and the 2000s, Quinn kept a very low public profile, although law enforcement tracked his travels to such far-flung places as the Maldives and the United Arab Emirates.\nIn 2004, he made a rare appearance at the Irish Derby as the co-owner of the winning thoroughbred Grey Swallow. Photographs of Quinn with the winning racehorse marked the only time that he was ever photographed in a public gathering. (Copyright restrictions prevent us from reprinting the photograph here, butthis linkon the RTE website shows Quinn, standing second from right, at the conclusion of the championship race.)\nIn November 2009, Quinn’s luck finally ran out. On a trip back from Ireland to New York’s JFK International Airport, he was arrested for his role within a ring of embezzlers that sought to defraud a pair of British telecommunications companies out of more than $60 million. The scheme had the global hallmarks of Quinn’s earlier criminal triumph, with funds being disbursed to seven countries across four continents.\nQuinn was immediately jailed upon his arrest and was denied bail because it was feared he would attempt to flee the country. He eventually pleaded guilty to a single count of wire fraud and, despite exhortations to avoid prison due to health problems, he was sentenced in March 2013 to 84 months in prison. He was released in May 2016.\nWhat became of Quinn since his release is unknown. No obituary for him has been published, and he would be 89 years old if he is still alive.\nOne information-tracking website listed him residing at a Brooklyn address, but the website also listed an accompanying telephone number that is not in service. Any readers who may have information on Quinn’s whereabouts should contact us and we will offer an update on his story.\nQuinn rarely spoke to anyone about his criminal activities. During an investigative session after his final arrest, he reportedly would only answer questions through a series of eyelid blinks. When a reporter sought to interview him in 1995, he demanded his privacy.\n\"Just forget me,\" Quinn said. \"I've got a lot of trouble and a lot of personal grief. I'm just trying to get on with my life. I'm not in the securities business and never will be again.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170439099,"gmtCreate":1626444961211,"gmtModify":1703760361310,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmm&nbsp;","listText":"Hmmm&nbsp;","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170439099","repostId":"2151450981","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2151450981","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1626442140,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2151450981?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 21:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It's Game Over for AMC, but These Stocks Can Still Go to the Moon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151450981","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Retail investors looking for businesses with tangible growth prospects should consider buying this trio of companies.","content":"<p>When 2021 comes to a close, it'll undoubtedly be remembered for the way retail investors made their presence known on Wall Street. Despite putting their money to work in equities for more than a century, retail investors moved stock prices like never before.</p>\n<p>The handful of companies these retail folks have piled into have come to be known as the \"meme stocks\" -- essentially, companies valued more for the hype they create on social media than their operating performance. At the top of the list for most meme investors is movie theater chain <b>AMC Entertainment</b> (NYSE:AMC), which until this past week was the top-performing stock on a year-to-date basis.</p>\n<h2>Wall Street and investors are wising up to the AMC pump-and-dump scheme</h2>\n<p>Unfortunately, AMC doesn't look as if it'll ever be \"going to the moon.\"</p>\n<p>The bull thesis for AMC, which disregards virtually all concrete fundamental data, relies on social media hype, constant misinformation, and outright lies to fuel an artificially higher share price. The problem is that Wall Street and investors are wising up to the misinformation and deceptive tactics being employed by AMC's emotionally driven retail investors, known as apes, which has resulted in AMC's shares losing 42% since June 28, with a lot more downside to go.</p>\n<p>Prior to the pandemic, AMC was never worth more than $3.8 billion. Today, with vaccination rates on the rise, AMC is worth $17 billion and it's:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Nowhere near the peak sales produced before the pandemic.</li>\n <li>Losing money hand over fist, compared to being profitable prior to the pandemic.</li>\n <li>Contending with billions of dollars in additional debt.</li>\n <li>Carrying around $473 million in deferred rental obligations, as of the end of March.</li>\n <li>Clearly losing revenue to streaming competitors (e.g., <b>Walt Disney</b>'s Disney+ garnering $60 million in debut weekend revenue for <i>Black Widow</i>).</li>\n</ul>\n<p>To boot, virtually all claims made by apes to ignite a rally in AMC's share price can be easily proved as false or misleading. Consider the following as two good examples of ongoing mistruths designed to artificially inflate AMC's share price:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shares sold short have declined from around 102 million at the end of May to about 75.5 million as of the end of June, according to official (not estimated) data. Apes claiming short interest is climbing or \"shorts haven't covered\" are flat out wrong. This also severely dents the idea that \"a short squeeze is coming,\" which you'll hear echoed daily on social media without any proof or basis.</li>\n <li>Buying and short-selling stock has no impact whatsoever on the performance of an underlying business. This disproves the idea that short-selling bankrupts companies (a core and blatantly incorrect thesis of apes), and it also demonstrates that apes didn't save AMC. The capital that saved AMC from immediate bankruptcy came from share sales and debt issuances in 2020 and early January. Operating performance, not buying and selling activity from investors, determines if a company is successful or fails.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>It may be a choppy road lower, but make no mistake about it, the jig is up and we've entered the dump phase of the cycle.</p>\n<h2>This trio of stocks can go to the moon</h2>\n<p>The good news is that there <i>are</i> companies out there with tangible growth potential that really could go to the moon. If you allow your investment thesis to play out, all three of the following stocks can blast off.</p>\n<h2>Sea Limited</h2>\n<p>Don't let anyone tell you large-cap stocks can't go to the moon. Despite its seemingly lofty $144 billion market cap, Singapore-based <b>Sea Limited</b> (NYSE:SE) has three rapidly growing operating segments that could make investors rich.</p>\n<p>For the moment, Sea is generating all of its positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) from its gaming division. The popularity of Sea's mobile games, coupled with the pandemic keeping more people in their homes, pushed the company's quarterly active users higher by 61% in the first quarter to 649 million. More importantly, 12.3% of these users were paying to play, which is considerably higher than the industry average.</p>\n<p>Over the long run, e-commerce platform Shopee is what'll generate the most buzz. For example, the $12.6 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) that was purchased on Shopee in Q1 2021 handily surpasses total GMV from all of 2018. Shopee is the most downloaded shopping app in Southeast Asia, and it's quickly gaining traction in Brazil.</p>\n<p>Thirdly, Sea has a relatively nascent but fast-growing digital financial services segment. When the first quarter came to a close, it had more than 26 million paying mobile wallet customers. Since many of the emerging markets Sea operates in are somewhat underbanked, this digital financial services division could be a sneaky long-term growth driver.</p>\n<h2>Skillz</h2>\n<p>Another high-growth stock that could eventually go to the moon is esports and gaming company <b>Skillz</b> (NYSE:SKLZ).</p>\n<p>Admittedly, gaming is a highly competitive industry. Developing new games is a time-consuming and costly process, and there's no guarantee that a new game will be well-received. It's for all of these reasons that Skillz didn't go the traditional development route. Rather, it operates a gaming platform that allows players to compete against each other for cash prizes. Maintaining this platform doesn't cost an arm and a leg (gross margin has consistently been 95%), and both Skillz and gaming developers get to keep a cut of the cash prizes.</p>\n<p>When the first quarter came to a close, Skillz had approximately 467,000 monthly active users (MAUs) that were paying to pay on its platform. That's 17% of its MAU base. According to Wappier Gaming Apps, the conversion rate for paying gamers ranged from 1.6% to 2% in 2020. In other words, Skillz is converting casual gamers to paying members at a considerably higher rate than other gaming companies.</p>\n<p>Skillz also has an incredibly lucrative partnership in its back pocket. In February, it signed a multiyear agreement with the National Football League (NFL). Football is the most popular sport by a long shot in the U.S. The expectation is that we'll see NFL-themed games and competitions hitting the platform by no later than 2022.</p>\n<p>Though Skillz is likely to lose money through 2022 as it beefs up marketing, its insane growth potential and potentially lucrative margins can't be overlooked.</p>\n<h2>Trulieve Cannabis</h2>\n<p>A final stock that can go to the moon is U.S. marijuana stock <b>Trulieve Cannabis</b> (OTC:TCNNF). According to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFC.U\">New Frontier</a> Data, the U.S. pot industry could be generating north of $41 billion in annual sales by 2025.</p>\n<p>Whereas most U.S. multistate operators are angling to have a presence in as many legalized markets as possible, Trulieve has taken on a strategy that looked odd at first, but has paid off incredibly well. Of the 91 dispensaries it had open in early July, 85 of them were located in medical marijuana-legal Florida. By absolutely saturating the Sunshine State, Trulieve has effectively gobbled up around half of all dried cannabis flower and oils market share. At the same time, its marketing costs have been kept low, pushing the company to 13 consecutive quarters of profitability.</p>\n<p>But make no mistake about it, Trulieve does have aspirations of moving beyond Florida. For instance, it recently announced the largest U.S. cannabis acquisition in history -- a $2.1 billion all-stock deal to acquire multistate operator <b>Harvest Health &amp; Recreation</b> (OTC:HRVSF). Harvest has a focus on five states, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of which is Florida. This means Trulieve's presence in the Sunshine State will soon get even bigger.</p>\n<p>However, the real lure of this deal is the 15 dispensaries Harvest Health operates in its home market of Arizona, a state that legalized recreational weed in November. Trulieve shouldn't have any problem taking its Florida blueprint and applying it in other key markets. This gives it a good chance to go to the moon in the future.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It's Game Over for AMC, but These Stocks Can Still Go to the Moon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt's Game Over for AMC, but These Stocks Can Still Go to the Moon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 21:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/16/its-game-over-for-amc-these-stocks-can-go-to-moon/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When 2021 comes to a close, it'll undoubtedly be remembered for the way retail investors made their presence known on Wall Street. Despite putting their money to work in equities for more than a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/16/its-game-over-for-amc-these-stocks-can-go-to-moon/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd","SKLZ":"Skillz Inc","TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/16/its-game-over-for-amc-these-stocks-can-go-to-moon/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151450981","content_text":"When 2021 comes to a close, it'll undoubtedly be remembered for the way retail investors made their presence known on Wall Street. Despite putting their money to work in equities for more than a century, retail investors moved stock prices like never before.\nThe handful of companies these retail folks have piled into have come to be known as the \"meme stocks\" -- essentially, companies valued more for the hype they create on social media than their operating performance. At the top of the list for most meme investors is movie theater chain AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC), which until this past week was the top-performing stock on a year-to-date basis.\nWall Street and investors are wising up to the AMC pump-and-dump scheme\nUnfortunately, AMC doesn't look as if it'll ever be \"going to the moon.\"\nThe bull thesis for AMC, which disregards virtually all concrete fundamental data, relies on social media hype, constant misinformation, and outright lies to fuel an artificially higher share price. The problem is that Wall Street and investors are wising up to the misinformation and deceptive tactics being employed by AMC's emotionally driven retail investors, known as apes, which has resulted in AMC's shares losing 42% since June 28, with a lot more downside to go.\nPrior to the pandemic, AMC was never worth more than $3.8 billion. Today, with vaccination rates on the rise, AMC is worth $17 billion and it's:\n\nNowhere near the peak sales produced before the pandemic.\nLosing money hand over fist, compared to being profitable prior to the pandemic.\nContending with billions of dollars in additional debt.\nCarrying around $473 million in deferred rental obligations, as of the end of March.\nClearly losing revenue to streaming competitors (e.g., Walt Disney's Disney+ garnering $60 million in debut weekend revenue for Black Widow).\n\nTo boot, virtually all claims made by apes to ignite a rally in AMC's share price can be easily proved as false or misleading. Consider the following as two good examples of ongoing mistruths designed to artificially inflate AMC's share price:\n\nShares sold short have declined from around 102 million at the end of May to about 75.5 million as of the end of June, according to official (not estimated) data. Apes claiming short interest is climbing or \"shorts haven't covered\" are flat out wrong. This also severely dents the idea that \"a short squeeze is coming,\" which you'll hear echoed daily on social media without any proof or basis.\nBuying and short-selling stock has no impact whatsoever on the performance of an underlying business. This disproves the idea that short-selling bankrupts companies (a core and blatantly incorrect thesis of apes), and it also demonstrates that apes didn't save AMC. The capital that saved AMC from immediate bankruptcy came from share sales and debt issuances in 2020 and early January. Operating performance, not buying and selling activity from investors, determines if a company is successful or fails.\n\nIt may be a choppy road lower, but make no mistake about it, the jig is up and we've entered the dump phase of the cycle.\nThis trio of stocks can go to the moon\nThe good news is that there are companies out there with tangible growth potential that really could go to the moon. If you allow your investment thesis to play out, all three of the following stocks can blast off.\nSea Limited\nDon't let anyone tell you large-cap stocks can't go to the moon. Despite its seemingly lofty $144 billion market cap, Singapore-based Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) has three rapidly growing operating segments that could make investors rich.\nFor the moment, Sea is generating all of its positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) from its gaming division. The popularity of Sea's mobile games, coupled with the pandemic keeping more people in their homes, pushed the company's quarterly active users higher by 61% in the first quarter to 649 million. More importantly, 12.3% of these users were paying to play, which is considerably higher than the industry average.\nOver the long run, e-commerce platform Shopee is what'll generate the most buzz. For example, the $12.6 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) that was purchased on Shopee in Q1 2021 handily surpasses total GMV from all of 2018. Shopee is the most downloaded shopping app in Southeast Asia, and it's quickly gaining traction in Brazil.\nThirdly, Sea has a relatively nascent but fast-growing digital financial services segment. When the first quarter came to a close, it had more than 26 million paying mobile wallet customers. Since many of the emerging markets Sea operates in are somewhat underbanked, this digital financial services division could be a sneaky long-term growth driver.\nSkillz\nAnother high-growth stock that could eventually go to the moon is esports and gaming company Skillz (NYSE:SKLZ).\nAdmittedly, gaming is a highly competitive industry. Developing new games is a time-consuming and costly process, and there's no guarantee that a new game will be well-received. It's for all of these reasons that Skillz didn't go the traditional development route. Rather, it operates a gaming platform that allows players to compete against each other for cash prizes. Maintaining this platform doesn't cost an arm and a leg (gross margin has consistently been 95%), and both Skillz and gaming developers get to keep a cut of the cash prizes.\nWhen the first quarter came to a close, Skillz had approximately 467,000 monthly active users (MAUs) that were paying to pay on its platform. That's 17% of its MAU base. According to Wappier Gaming Apps, the conversion rate for paying gamers ranged from 1.6% to 2% in 2020. In other words, Skillz is converting casual gamers to paying members at a considerably higher rate than other gaming companies.\nSkillz also has an incredibly lucrative partnership in its back pocket. In February, it signed a multiyear agreement with the National Football League (NFL). Football is the most popular sport by a long shot in the U.S. The expectation is that we'll see NFL-themed games and competitions hitting the platform by no later than 2022.\nThough Skillz is likely to lose money through 2022 as it beefs up marketing, its insane growth potential and potentially lucrative margins can't be overlooked.\nTrulieve Cannabis\nA final stock that can go to the moon is U.S. marijuana stock Trulieve Cannabis (OTC:TCNNF). According to New Frontier Data, the U.S. pot industry could be generating north of $41 billion in annual sales by 2025.\nWhereas most U.S. multistate operators are angling to have a presence in as many legalized markets as possible, Trulieve has taken on a strategy that looked odd at first, but has paid off incredibly well. Of the 91 dispensaries it had open in early July, 85 of them were located in medical marijuana-legal Florida. By absolutely saturating the Sunshine State, Trulieve has effectively gobbled up around half of all dried cannabis flower and oils market share. At the same time, its marketing costs have been kept low, pushing the company to 13 consecutive quarters of profitability.\nBut make no mistake about it, Trulieve does have aspirations of moving beyond Florida. For instance, it recently announced the largest U.S. cannabis acquisition in history -- a $2.1 billion all-stock deal to acquire multistate operator Harvest Health & Recreation (OTC:HRVSF). Harvest has a focus on five states, one of which is Florida. This means Trulieve's presence in the Sunshine State will soon get even bigger.\nHowever, the real lure of this deal is the 15 dispensaries Harvest Health operates in its home market of Arizona, a state that legalized recreational weed in November. Trulieve shouldn't have any problem taking its Florida blueprint and applying it in other key markets. This gives it a good chance to go to the moon in the future.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144113600,"gmtCreate":1626271377800,"gmtModify":1703756809519,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/144113600","repostId":"1109822941","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109822941","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626271170,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109822941?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-14 21:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple at Fresh Record High on iPhone Production Boost Report, JPMorgan Upgrade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109822941","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Apple shares jumped to a fresh record high Wednesday following a report that the iPhone maker has asked suppliers to boost production by as much as 20% this year as it looks to meet improving customer demand.Bloomberg reported Wednesday that Apple is looking to build 90 million next-generation iPhones this year, with the world's biggest tech company expected to get a boost from the launch of new 5G handsets later this year. Earlier this month, Apple's main rival, Samsung Electronics, saidJune qu","content":"<p>Apple&nbsp;shares jumped to a fresh record high Wednesday following a report that the iPhone maker has asked suppliers to boost production by as much as 20% this year as it looks to meet improving customer demand.</p>\n<p>Bloomberg reported Wednesday that Apple is looking to build 90 million next-generation iPhones this year, with the world's biggest tech company expected to get a boost from the launch of new 5G handsets later this year. Earlier this month, Apple's main rival, Samsung Electronics,&nbsp;saidJune quarter profits are likely to rise by 53% from last yearto 12.5 trillion won ($11 billion).</p>\n<p>Shares were also buoyed by an upgrade at JPMorgan, which added the stock to its 'analyst focus list' as&nbsp;Samik Chatterjee&nbsp;boosted his price target by $5 to $175 each.</p>\n<p>\"We are adding Apple shares to the Analyst Focus List as a Growth idea as data points supporting our recently highlighted favorable view on the shares continue to trickle in, including upside revision to iPhone 12 build estimates by Apple Supply Chain analyst, William Yang, as well as continued strength in sales of Mac devices,\" Chatterjee wrote. \"While the above drivers lead to an increase in our near-term forecasts, the recent momentum led by better market share, drives us to also estimate higher sustainable volumes in future quarters, leading us to see a path to Apple outperforming investor expectations over a longer time horizon rather than just the upcoming earnings print.\"</p>\n<p>Apple shares were marked 2.1% higher in early trading Wednesday to change hands at $148.71 each, just shy of the intra-day record high of $148.96 it hit at the opening bell.</p>\n<p>Apple is set to report its third quarter earnings on July 27, with CFO Luca Maestri cautioning investors in late April that the group is likely to experience a \"steeper than usual\" sequential revenue decline thanks in part to supply constraints linked to the global semiconductor shortage following Street-blasting sales of nearly $90 billion for the three months ending in March.</p>\n<p>Apple said iPhone revenues rose 65% from last year to $47.94 billion, well ahead of the $41.7 billion Street forecast, thanks to what CEO Tim Cook called \"strong demand for the iPhone 12 family\".</p>\n<p>Greater China revenues, Apple said, rose 88% from last year's pandemic trough to $17.728 billion, while overall services revenues rose 26.6% to $16.9 billion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple at Fresh Record High on iPhone Production Boost Report, JPMorgan Upgrade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple at Fresh Record High on iPhone Production Boost Report, JPMorgan Upgrade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-14 21:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/apple-jumps-on-iphone-production-boost-report-jpmorgan-upgrade><strong>Thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple shares jumped to a fresh record high Wednesday following a report that the iPhone maker has asked suppliers to boost production by as much as 20% this year as it looks to meet improving customer...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/apple-jumps-on-iphone-production-boost-report-jpmorgan-upgrade\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/apple-jumps-on-iphone-production-boost-report-jpmorgan-upgrade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109822941","content_text":"Apple shares jumped to a fresh record high Wednesday following a report that the iPhone maker has asked suppliers to boost production by as much as 20% this year as it looks to meet improving customer demand.\nBloomberg reported Wednesday that Apple is looking to build 90 million next-generation iPhones this year, with the world's biggest tech company expected to get a boost from the launch of new 5G handsets later this year. Earlier this month, Apple's main rival, Samsung Electronics, saidJune quarter profits are likely to rise by 53% from last yearto 12.5 trillion won ($11 billion).\nShares were also buoyed by an upgrade at JPMorgan, which added the stock to its 'analyst focus list' as Samik Chatterjee boosted his price target by $5 to $175 each.\n\"We are adding Apple shares to the Analyst Focus List as a Growth idea as data points supporting our recently highlighted favorable view on the shares continue to trickle in, including upside revision to iPhone 12 build estimates by Apple Supply Chain analyst, William Yang, as well as continued strength in sales of Mac devices,\" Chatterjee wrote. \"While the above drivers lead to an increase in our near-term forecasts, the recent momentum led by better market share, drives us to also estimate higher sustainable volumes in future quarters, leading us to see a path to Apple outperforming investor expectations over a longer time horizon rather than just the upcoming earnings print.\"\nApple shares were marked 2.1% higher in early trading Wednesday to change hands at $148.71 each, just shy of the intra-day record high of $148.96 it hit at the opening bell.\nApple is set to report its third quarter earnings on July 27, with CFO Luca Maestri cautioning investors in late April that the group is likely to experience a \"steeper than usual\" sequential revenue decline thanks in part to supply constraints linked to the global semiconductor shortage following Street-blasting sales of nearly $90 billion for the three months ending in March.\nApple said iPhone revenues rose 65% from last year to $47.94 billion, well ahead of the $41.7 billion Street forecast, thanks to what CEO Tim Cook called \"strong demand for the iPhone 12 family\".\nGreater China revenues, Apple said, rose 88% from last year's pandemic trough to $17.728 billion, while overall services revenues rose 26.6% to $16.9 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146634143,"gmtCreate":1626074771682,"gmtModify":1703752807975,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146634143","repostId":"1155038838","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155038838","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626057810,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155038838?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-12 10:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: New Highs, But Now What?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155038838","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple hit an all-time new high last Friday, but where do we go from here?There is one chart in particular that every investor should be watching as it could dictate the stock's next move!AAPL has the potential to produce 12%+ annualized income with a decent margin of safety using the Triple Income Wheel strategy.Looking for more investing ideas like this one?Get them exclusively at Option Income Advisor.Learn More. So Apple Inc.  is at a new high... again. But this time feels a little different.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Apple hit an all-time new high last Friday, but where do we go from here?</li>\n <li>There is one chart in particular that every investor should be watching as it could dictate the stock's next move!</li>\n <li>AAPL has the potential to produce 12%+ annualized income with a decent margin of safety using the Triple Income Wheel strategy.</li>\n <li>Looking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at Option Income Advisor.Learn More »</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24b65798f03c6f9376257bba2741e588\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</p>\n<p>So Apple Inc. (AAPL) is at a new high... again. But this time feels a little different.</p>\n<p>Market valuations, in general, are stretched, as stocks just notched the 2nd best first half of the year performance in history (up ~14%).</p>\n<p>Interest rates don't seem to know where they are going.</p>\n<p>Inflation is spiking (although many think this is \"transitory\").</p>\n<p>Unemployment is still stubbornly high.</p>\n<p>You get the picture... there's uncertainty.</p>\n<p>All that said, I could make a case for Apple to go either higher or lower over the short term... and there is one chart, in particular, that could dictate that!</p>\n<p><b>The Most Important Chart For Apple</b></p>\n<p>As much as we all like to talk about 5G rollouts and the growth of Apple's wearables segment, nothing will be more important to the stock over the next 12 months than what is in the chart below.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8b9e7dd9a7a29241bc334872748b52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Yes, this is a chart of Apple's stock price vs. the 10 Year Treasury rate. We are at that point in the cycle, folks. Growth stocks are already starting to react to movements in rates... and even Apple has not been able to hide from it.</p>\n<p>The good and the bad of this is that if interest rates stay low (the good), Apple will likely continue to trend higher... but if rates spike (the bad), Apple will get crushed along with the rest of the growth stocks. Unfortunately, the consensus is that rates will certainly increase over the next 12-24 months. That said, the short-term is up in the air. So keep this chart on your radar.</p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>We primarily trade an income strategy that we call the Triple Income Wheel, which starts with writing cash-secured puts on high-quality stocks that you would like to own at a lower price. We won't go into full detail here, but the diagram below is a good summary of the strategy.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfdd16ba25690201bcb1771ec8a557b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Since cash-secured puts are short-term trades in nature (typically less than 60 days until maturity), our analysis certainly depends more on short-term catalysts and technical support levels, but we also like to be long-term neutral or bullish on the stock as well.</p>\n<p>Here is our typical framework for analysis (which is a good outline for the article):</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Long-Term Thesis (Dividend, Safety, Value)</li>\n <li>Short-Term Thesis (Strike Zone, EPS Risk, Technical Support)</li>\n <li>Cash-Secured Put Analysis (Premium Yield, Margin-of-Safety, Delta)</li>\n <li>Downside Considerations</li>\n <li>Conclusion</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Apple designs a wide variety of consumer electronic devices, including smartphones (iPhone), tablets (iPad), PCs (MAC), smartwatches (Apple Watch), and TV boxes (Apple TV), among others. The iPhone makes up the majority of Apple’s total revenue. In addition, Apple offers its customers a variety of services such as Apple Music, iCloud, Apple Care, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple Card, and Apple Pay, among others. Apple's products run internally developed software and semiconductors, and the firm is well known for its integration of hardware, software, and services. Apple's products are distributed online as well as through company-owned stores and third-party retailers. The company generates roughly 40% of its revenue from the Americas, with the remainder earned internationally.</p>\n<p><i>(Source: YCharts)</i></p>\n<p>Long-Term Thesis (Dividend, Safety, Value)</p>\n<p>In general, our high-level long-term investment thesis on a stock is more quantitative in nature than qualitative.</p>\n<p>That said, here is how Apple currently ranks across our key long-term ranking measures: Dividend (4), Safety (9), Value (3).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30644bfee0b070e2d9015bff11598f30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Note that our rankings are from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).</i></p>\n<p><b>Dividend</b></p>\n<p>We all know that Apple has the potential to be the greatest dividend stock of all time...it just isn't ready yet! That said, the company has raised its dividend in each of the past 8 years and currently yields 0.61% with a really low payout ratio of 17.0%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ee1e06934335af3e4f5201e9e7957e3\" tg-width=\"564\" tg-height=\"349\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>In addition, the company has steadily been growing its annual payout, with 1-year and 5-year compound annual growth rates of 6.0% and 9.9%, respectively. Basically, everything looks pretty good except for the yield!</p>\n<p><b>Safety</b></p>\n<p>Apple's historical sales and EPS growth charts have always been a thing of beauty (hence the Safety Rating of 9)! Although some sales were certainly pulled forward during the pandemic, the company is expected to earn $5.17 per share in 2021 (a 58% increase over 2020). However, EPS is expected to stabilize in 2022 with projected EPS of $5.30.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9bfeb0d3855a566e05ec26e7af849a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"246\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">That said, the company's balance sheet is also extremely strong with $69.8 billion of cash/short-term investments and management is producing an amazing return on invested capital of 141.5%!</p>\n<p>Apple's reasonable historical stock volatility, with a 5-year standard deviation of 29.4% and beta of 1.2, is also helping to maintain its high Safety Ranking.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Apple currently carries a low rating of 3 for valuation. As shown in the table below, the company is trading at a premium (even on a forward basis) compared to its historical averages for price/sales, price/earnings, and EV/EBITDA. That said, the market has \"repriced\" Apple over the past few years as the company has transitioned from a hardware business to more of a services business. As such, historical valuations are not a good proxy or comparison for future valuations.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a83b3d7c6ac8daaf28bd3b7266725a04\" tg-width=\"564\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Despite having a really low dividend yield, Apple actually has a decent shareholder yield of 3.8%.<i>Note that shareholder yield is the combination of buyback yield and dividend yield.</i></p>\n<p><b>Long-term View</b></p>\n<p>Based on the data above and our various rankings, we have a Neutral long-term perspective on Apple. As sales and earnings growth stabilize and slow post-pandemic, the catalyst for earnings surprises may be limited. In addition, the company's valuation feels full at current levels.</p>\n<p><b>Short-Term Thesis (Strike Zone, EPS Risk, Technical Support)</b></p>\n<p>From a short-term perspective (especially as it is related to selling cash-secured puts), estimating a good \"strike zone\" is key to our analysis. Our strike zone takes into account (1) the stock's volatility, (2) recent performance (i.e., how much has it already pulled back from its recent highs), (3) near-term EPS risk, and (4) the overall volatility of the market (i.e., VIX level).</p>\n<p>As shown in the table below, our strike zone for Apple is currently $119.00-$133.00, representing a required minimum margin of safety of 8.5%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ac7007040b92ed0d32a8eb27c8620c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"164\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>As discussed in the safety ranking analysis above, Apple ranks positively on a relative basis for Volatility/Risk (rating of 8). However, the stock just made a new 52-week high last Friday (so its Pullback Indicator of 2 has a negative effect on minimum required margin of safety, which is currently at 8.5%).</p>\n<p>That said, AAPL also reports earnings within the next 30 days, so that will need to be on our radar for the option analysis.</p>\n<p>As shown in the chart below, the stock is still in a very strong uptrend with its 50-day moving average (blue line) trading above its 200-day moving average (red line). We now have three good levels of support to watch:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>50-day MA (~$130.00)</li>\n <li>200-day MA (~$126.00)</li>\n <li>Recent low in March 2021 (~$120.00)</li>\n</ol>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b4071baef483a8e8478deb78e45bb73\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Short-Term View</b></p>\n<p>There appears to be some decent technical support around our strike zone of $119.00-$133.00, which obviously makes us feel relatively good about selling a cash-secured put in the strike zone if we can.</p>\n<p>Cash-Secured Put Analysis (Premium Yield, Margin-of-Safety, Delta)</p>\n<p>Ideally, when we sell a cash-secured put and start the Triple Income Wheel process, our put is in our \"Strike Zone\" for that stock. In our opinion, that puts the odds of long-term success in our favor.</p>\n<p>The three main data points we look at when analyzing a cash-secured put trade are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Premium Yield% (or Average Monthly Yield%):</b>Measure of expected return on capital assuming that the option expires worthless (out-of-the-money).<i>Assumes that the option is fully cash-secured.</i></li>\n <li><b>Margin-of-Safety %:</b>Measure of downside protection or the percentage that the underlying stock could decline and would still allow you to break even on the option trade.</li>\n <li><b>Delta:</b>A good proxy for the probability that the put option will finish in-the-money.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><i>Note that there is always a negative correlation between Premium Yield and Margin of Safety: The higher the Premium Yield for a given strike month, the lower the Margin of Safety.</i></p>\n<p><i>An investor should always be honest with themselves about their risk tolerance! The Triple Income Wheel can be adapted to suit your needs.</i></p>\n<p>Now let's look at the cash-secured put analysis for Apple. We are focused on the August monthly contract that expires on 8/20/21.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b192ce564ff2fe4aaaf8abf9f4c7542\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>We have highlighted 3 levels of trades based on various risk profiles: Aggressive (-A-), Base (-B-), and Conservative (-C-).</p>\n<p>Ideally, we like to stick with our target levels for our Base portfolio:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Average Monthly Yield % (AMY%): 1.0%-1.5%</li>\n <li>Strike price that is in the strike zone (i.e., margin of safety above the required minimum)</li>\n <li>Delta &lt; 30</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>The AAPL Aug 20th $135.00 put option @ ~$1.92 meets all of our criteria with an AMY% of 1.0%, a Margin-of-Safety of 7.0%, and a Delta of 22</b>.</p>\n<p><i>Again, based on your risk tolerance, you could choose a strike price that is more aggressive ($140.00 strike) or more conservative ($130.00 strike) than the base trade.</i></p>\n<p><b>Downside Considerations</b></p>\n<p>Assuming we sold the AAPL Aug20th $135.00 strike put option @ $1.92, we would collect $192.00 of premium for each option contract sold. In return for this premium, we agree (and are obligated) to buy 100 shares of AAPL stock for each contract sold at the strike price of $135.00.</p>\n<p>If the stock stays above $135.00 between now and expiration (8/20/21), the option expires worthless and we keep the premium of $1.92.</p>\n<p>However,<i>the downside of this trade comes into play if the stock closes below $135.00 on expiration (8/20/21). Since we are obligated to buy the stock at $135.00, we would have a potential unrealized capital loss on our hands (depending on how low the stock closed on expiration)</i>. We do get to keep the premium either way though, so our breakeven cost basis would be $133.08 ($135.00 - $1.92).</p>\n<p>All that said, when managing the Triple Income Wheel, you should expect to take assignment (buy the stock) on 5-10% of your cash-secured put trades.</p>\n<p>But when this happens, we get to move to step 3 in the diagram above and sell some covered calls on our stock position to start the income flowing again and start mitigating our risk right away.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Based on our long-term and short-term views on Apple, we believe that a cash-secured put strategy makes a lot of sense right now for investors interested in a new position in the stock. The AAPL Aug 20th $135.00 put option would generate an average monthly yield of 1.0% (or 1.4% over the next 42 days) with a margin-of-safety of 7.0%.</p>\n<p>Assuming you could continue to roll this position every 45-60 days with similar risk/reward parameters, you could build 12%+ annualized income from Apple over the next 12 months (no bad for a stock that currently has a dividend yield under 1.0%).</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: New Highs, But Now What?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: New Highs, But Now What?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-12 10:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438692-apple-new-highs-but-now-what><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nApple hit an all-time new high last Friday, but where do we go from here?\nThere is one chart in particular that every investor should be watching as it could dictate the stock's next move!\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438692-apple-new-highs-but-now-what\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438692-apple-new-highs-but-now-what","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1155038838","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple hit an all-time new high last Friday, but where do we go from here?\nThere is one chart in particular that every investor should be watching as it could dictate the stock's next move!\nAAPL has the potential to produce 12%+ annualized income with a decent margin of safety using the Triple Income Wheel strategy.\nLooking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at Option Income Advisor.Learn More »\n\nJustin Sullivan/Getty Images News\nSo Apple Inc. (AAPL) is at a new high... again. But this time feels a little different.\nMarket valuations, in general, are stretched, as stocks just notched the 2nd best first half of the year performance in history (up ~14%).\nInterest rates don't seem to know where they are going.\nInflation is spiking (although many think this is \"transitory\").\nUnemployment is still stubbornly high.\nYou get the picture... there's uncertainty.\nAll that said, I could make a case for Apple to go either higher or lower over the short term... and there is one chart, in particular, that could dictate that!\nThe Most Important Chart For Apple\nAs much as we all like to talk about 5G rollouts and the growth of Apple's wearables segment, nothing will be more important to the stock over the next 12 months than what is in the chart below.\nYes, this is a chart of Apple's stock price vs. the 10 Year Treasury rate. We are at that point in the cycle, folks. Growth stocks are already starting to react to movements in rates... and even Apple has not been able to hide from it.\nThe good and the bad of this is that if interest rates stay low (the good), Apple will likely continue to trend higher... but if rates spike (the bad), Apple will get crushed along with the rest of the growth stocks. Unfortunately, the consensus is that rates will certainly increase over the next 12-24 months. That said, the short-term is up in the air. So keep this chart on your radar.\nIntroduction\nWe primarily trade an income strategy that we call the Triple Income Wheel, which starts with writing cash-secured puts on high-quality stocks that you would like to own at a lower price. We won't go into full detail here, but the diagram below is a good summary of the strategy.\n\nSince cash-secured puts are short-term trades in nature (typically less than 60 days until maturity), our analysis certainly depends more on short-term catalysts and technical support levels, but we also like to be long-term neutral or bullish on the stock as well.\nHere is our typical framework for analysis (which is a good outline for the article):\n\nLong-Term Thesis (Dividend, Safety, Value)\nShort-Term Thesis (Strike Zone, EPS Risk, Technical Support)\nCash-Secured Put Analysis (Premium Yield, Margin-of-Safety, Delta)\nDownside Considerations\nConclusion\n\nApple designs a wide variety of consumer electronic devices, including smartphones (iPhone), tablets (iPad), PCs (MAC), smartwatches (Apple Watch), and TV boxes (Apple TV), among others. The iPhone makes up the majority of Apple’s total revenue. In addition, Apple offers its customers a variety of services such as Apple Music, iCloud, Apple Care, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple Card, and Apple Pay, among others. Apple's products run internally developed software and semiconductors, and the firm is well known for its integration of hardware, software, and services. Apple's products are distributed online as well as through company-owned stores and third-party retailers. The company generates roughly 40% of its revenue from the Americas, with the remainder earned internationally.\n(Source: YCharts)\nLong-Term Thesis (Dividend, Safety, Value)\nIn general, our high-level long-term investment thesis on a stock is more quantitative in nature than qualitative.\nThat said, here is how Apple currently ranks across our key long-term ranking measures: Dividend (4), Safety (9), Value (3).\n\nNote that our rankings are from 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest).\nDividend\nWe all know that Apple has the potential to be the greatest dividend stock of all time...it just isn't ready yet! That said, the company has raised its dividend in each of the past 8 years and currently yields 0.61% with a really low payout ratio of 17.0%.\n\nIn addition, the company has steadily been growing its annual payout, with 1-year and 5-year compound annual growth rates of 6.0% and 9.9%, respectively. Basically, everything looks pretty good except for the yield!\nSafety\nApple's historical sales and EPS growth charts have always been a thing of beauty (hence the Safety Rating of 9)! Although some sales were certainly pulled forward during the pandemic, the company is expected to earn $5.17 per share in 2021 (a 58% increase over 2020). However, EPS is expected to stabilize in 2022 with projected EPS of $5.30.\nThat said, the company's balance sheet is also extremely strong with $69.8 billion of cash/short-term investments and management is producing an amazing return on invested capital of 141.5%!\nApple's reasonable historical stock volatility, with a 5-year standard deviation of 29.4% and beta of 1.2, is also helping to maintain its high Safety Ranking.\nValuation\nApple currently carries a low rating of 3 for valuation. As shown in the table below, the company is trading at a premium (even on a forward basis) compared to its historical averages for price/sales, price/earnings, and EV/EBITDA. That said, the market has \"repriced\" Apple over the past few years as the company has transitioned from a hardware business to more of a services business. As such, historical valuations are not a good proxy or comparison for future valuations.\n\nDespite having a really low dividend yield, Apple actually has a decent shareholder yield of 3.8%.Note that shareholder yield is the combination of buyback yield and dividend yield.\nLong-term View\nBased on the data above and our various rankings, we have a Neutral long-term perspective on Apple. As sales and earnings growth stabilize and slow post-pandemic, the catalyst for earnings surprises may be limited. In addition, the company's valuation feels full at current levels.\nShort-Term Thesis (Strike Zone, EPS Risk, Technical Support)\nFrom a short-term perspective (especially as it is related to selling cash-secured puts), estimating a good \"strike zone\" is key to our analysis. Our strike zone takes into account (1) the stock's volatility, (2) recent performance (i.e., how much has it already pulled back from its recent highs), (3) near-term EPS risk, and (4) the overall volatility of the market (i.e., VIX level).\nAs shown in the table below, our strike zone for Apple is currently $119.00-$133.00, representing a required minimum margin of safety of 8.5%.\n\nAs discussed in the safety ranking analysis above, Apple ranks positively on a relative basis for Volatility/Risk (rating of 8). However, the stock just made a new 52-week high last Friday (so its Pullback Indicator of 2 has a negative effect on minimum required margin of safety, which is currently at 8.5%).\nThat said, AAPL also reports earnings within the next 30 days, so that will need to be on our radar for the option analysis.\nAs shown in the chart below, the stock is still in a very strong uptrend with its 50-day moving average (blue line) trading above its 200-day moving average (red line). We now have three good levels of support to watch:\n\n50-day MA (~$130.00)\n200-day MA (~$126.00)\nRecent low in March 2021 (~$120.00)\n\n\nShort-Term View\nThere appears to be some decent technical support around our strike zone of $119.00-$133.00, which obviously makes us feel relatively good about selling a cash-secured put in the strike zone if we can.\nCash-Secured Put Analysis (Premium Yield, Margin-of-Safety, Delta)\nIdeally, when we sell a cash-secured put and start the Triple Income Wheel process, our put is in our \"Strike Zone\" for that stock. In our opinion, that puts the odds of long-term success in our favor.\nThe three main data points we look at when analyzing a cash-secured put trade are:\n\nPremium Yield% (or Average Monthly Yield%):Measure of expected return on capital assuming that the option expires worthless (out-of-the-money).Assumes that the option is fully cash-secured.\nMargin-of-Safety %:Measure of downside protection or the percentage that the underlying stock could decline and would still allow you to break even on the option trade.\nDelta:A good proxy for the probability that the put option will finish in-the-money.\n\nNote that there is always a negative correlation between Premium Yield and Margin of Safety: The higher the Premium Yield for a given strike month, the lower the Margin of Safety.\nAn investor should always be honest with themselves about their risk tolerance! The Triple Income Wheel can be adapted to suit your needs.\nNow let's look at the cash-secured put analysis for Apple. We are focused on the August monthly contract that expires on 8/20/21.\n\nWe have highlighted 3 levels of trades based on various risk profiles: Aggressive (-A-), Base (-B-), and Conservative (-C-).\nIdeally, we like to stick with our target levels for our Base portfolio:\n\nAverage Monthly Yield % (AMY%): 1.0%-1.5%\nStrike price that is in the strike zone (i.e., margin of safety above the required minimum)\nDelta < 30\n\nThe AAPL Aug 20th $135.00 put option @ ~$1.92 meets all of our criteria with an AMY% of 1.0%, a Margin-of-Safety of 7.0%, and a Delta of 22.\nAgain, based on your risk tolerance, you could choose a strike price that is more aggressive ($140.00 strike) or more conservative ($130.00 strike) than the base trade.\nDownside Considerations\nAssuming we sold the AAPL Aug20th $135.00 strike put option @ $1.92, we would collect $192.00 of premium for each option contract sold. In return for this premium, we agree (and are obligated) to buy 100 shares of AAPL stock for each contract sold at the strike price of $135.00.\nIf the stock stays above $135.00 between now and expiration (8/20/21), the option expires worthless and we keep the premium of $1.92.\nHowever,the downside of this trade comes into play if the stock closes below $135.00 on expiration (8/20/21). Since we are obligated to buy the stock at $135.00, we would have a potential unrealized capital loss on our hands (depending on how low the stock closed on expiration). We do get to keep the premium either way though, so our breakeven cost basis would be $133.08 ($135.00 - $1.92).\nAll that said, when managing the Triple Income Wheel, you should expect to take assignment (buy the stock) on 5-10% of your cash-secured put trades.\nBut when this happens, we get to move to step 3 in the diagram above and sell some covered calls on our stock position to start the income flowing again and start mitigating our risk right away.\nConclusion\nBased on our long-term and short-term views on Apple, we believe that a cash-secured put strategy makes a lot of sense right now for investors interested in a new position in the stock. The AAPL Aug 20th $135.00 put option would generate an average monthly yield of 1.0% (or 1.4% over the next 42 days) with a margin-of-safety of 7.0%.\nAssuming you could continue to roll this position every 45-60 days with similar risk/reward parameters, you could build 12%+ annualized income from Apple over the next 12 months (no bad for a stock that currently has a dividend yield under 1.0%).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143402788,"gmtCreate":1625806415844,"gmtModify":1703748954555,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"On hold, waiting for rainbow&nbsp;","listText":"On hold, waiting for rainbow&nbsp;","text":"On hold, waiting for rainbow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143402788","repostId":"2150326565","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149603626,"gmtCreate":1625718971665,"gmtModify":1703747069446,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/149603626","repostId":"1193960545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193960545","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625699849,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193960545?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-08 07:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193960545","media":"Reuters","summary":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq ","content":"<ul>\n <li>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes</li>\n <li>Dow up 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%</li>\n</ul>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.</p>\n<p>According to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.</p>\n<p>\"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.</p>\n<p>Treasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.</p>\n<p>The minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.</p>\n<p>After its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.</p>\n<p>Wall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.</p>\n<p>Both growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&amp;P 500 sector gains.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b82724f48859f601746f387b53e8bf71\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more</p>\n<p>U.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-08 07:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%\n\nNEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&P 500 and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193960545","content_text":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%\n\nNEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.\nAccording to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.\n\"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.\nTreasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.\nThe minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.\nAfter its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.\nWall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.\nBoth growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&P 500 sector gains.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more\nU.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140734742,"gmtCreate":1625672594886,"gmtModify":1703746243839,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140734742","repostId":"1140589344","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1140589344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625643438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140589344?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 15:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140589344","media":"seeking alpha","summary":"Amazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.An opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.As a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.Over the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 year","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Amazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&amp;P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.</li>\n <li>An opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.</li>\n <li>I am not worried about either Amazon or Apple being broken up as neither fit the premise of a monopoly.</li>\n <li>As a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Who would have thought that out of the big tech conglomerates, Amazon (AMZN) and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)would be the worst investments for the first half of 2021? AMZN has appreciated 7.35%, while AAPL is up 5.55% since the beginning of the year. Compared to the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) (16.22%), Microsoft (MSFT) (25.71%), Facebook (FB) (31.10%), and Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL) (41.33%), shares of AMZN and AAPL are being left behind. AMZN and AAPL have barely contributed to the major indexes reaching all-time highs in 2021, and nothing they seem to do impresses the investment community. With the story of growth spilling over into 2021 and the latest short squeeze, sticking it to the hedge fund craze, I believe AMZN and AAPL's accomplishments are being overlooked.</p>\n<p>Sometimes opportunities hide in plain sight. Access to information in 2021 is a 24/7 business as the headlines never stop. With so much focus on GameStop (GME), AMC Entertainment (AMC), and SPACs, it's not surprising that investors overlook what is occurring with AMZN and AAPL. These companies are tech royalty and unleashed huge earnings beats in Q1 of 2021 while delivering record-breaking year-end results for 2020, yet the market shrugged it off. Over the years, big tech has delivered lucrative returns for shareholders, and I believe these investments still offer significant upside in the future. The music isn't stopping, AMZN and AAPL won't be left without a chair, and they will still be dominant forces for years to come. Going into Q2 earnings at the end of July, I believe picking up shares of AMZN or AAPL is an excellent play as we turn the quarter to the second half of 2021 and approach the holiday season.</p>\n<p>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</p>\n<p><b>Amazon continues to deliver even if its share price has traded sideways in 2021</b></p>\n<p>Over the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 years, AMZN has increased by 1,582.31% while generating 389.72% in gains for the past five years. Compared to the rest of big tech and the S&amp;P 500 Index, AMZN has underperformed, generating single-digit gains in 2021 while the S&amp;P has exceeded 16% in appreciation. The market hasn't gotten the memo that AMZN's runway for growth isn't decreasing, and AMZN has become a true profit center adding to the bottom line and shareholder equity. On2/2/21, we learned that AMZN crossed the $100 billion revenue mark in Q4 2020 for the first time as they delivered $125.55 billion in revenue, an increase of 43.6% YoY, beating estimates by $5.82 billion. In Q4 2020, AMZN obliterated EPS estimates by $6.96 as they generated $14.09 in EPS. AMZN alsogenerated$6.87 billion in operating income and $31 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for 2020, increasing 20% YoY. AMZNfollowed upwith an explosive Q1 to start 2021, keeping their revenue above the $100 billion mark at $108.52 billion, increasing 43.7% YoY while beating estimates by $3.89 billion. Just like a great music album, the hits kept coming as AMZN generated $15.79 of EPS, operating cash flow increased to $67.2 billion, up 69% in the trailing twelve months (TTM). Its FCF increased to $26.4 billion in the TTM compared to $24.3 billion for the TTM that ended on 3/31/20.</p>\n<p>When I read throughAMZN's previous two quarters, I am baffled how their shares are trailing the S&amp;P, at the very least. How the market isn't getting excited about this growth is ridiculous. Going back to Q1 2017, AMZN has increased its overall Q1 revenue by $72.80 billion, or 203.85%. Q1 sets the stage for the year, and AMZN is already starting off exceeding the $100 billion revenue mark. If AMZN was to see zero growth in Q2, Q3, and Q4, which is extremely unlikely, they would finish 2021 with $434.07 billion in revenue, an increase of 12.44% or $48.01 billion. Looking at AMZN's previous history, its average quarterly growth rate YoY in Q2, Q3, and Q4 exceeded 28%. If AMZN delivers revenue in the next three quarters 50% less than their average growth rates, it will finish 2021 with $465.96 billion in revenue. If their averages hold up, AMZN will come dangerously close to breaching $500 billion with $498.30 billion in revenue for 2021. AMZN generated $88.9 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2020, and it expects to deliver $110-$116 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2021. If AMZN comes in at $110 billion, that will increase by $21.1 billion (23.73%) YoY. AMZN will likely generate over $450 billion revenue for 2021 as on the low-end, it will have generated $208.52 billion for the first half of 2021 once Q2 earnings are released.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0238d2575d6cb248ff8e803ab0d6a49\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Amazon)</p>\n<p>AMZN isn't just spending money for the sake of generating increased amounts of revenue; it's flowing to the bottom line. Since 2017, including the TTM for 2021, AMZN has increased its net income by $24.53 billion or 1,034.67%. The net income generated in Q1 2021 ($8.11 billion) is where things get interesting. For the entire year of 2020, AMZN generated $26.90 billion in net income. In Q1 of 2021, AMZN's net income didn't decrease from Q4 2020, and they generated $8.11 billion in net income, which was 30.13% of the total net income generated in 2020. AMZN is generating profits hand over fist and they are increasing QoQ. AMZN's growth engine is alive and well, as it is on track to generate almost all of 2020's net income in the first nine months of 2021, setting the stage for another record along with revenue generated. The market is overlooking these growth metrics, which is creating an opportunity for investors.</p>\n<p>(Source: Amazon)</p>\n<p>As AMZN crushes earnings estimates and generates increased revenue and profits, I am not sure if people realize what's happening to AMZN's balance sheet. In the past three fiscal years of 2018, 2019, and 2020, AMZN's total equity has increased by $65.7 billion (237.09%) from $27.71 billion to $93.40 billion. In Q1 2021, total equity increased by $9.92 billion (10.62%) as it exceeded $103 billion. AMZN is firing on all cylinders, and its newfound revenue is paving the way for increased profits and total equity in AMZN. Why the market isn't celebrating this is perplexing, but eventually, the tide will turn, and I think Amazon will be right up there with Google and Facebook in 2021 returns.</p>\n<p><b>Apple continues to establish new records and push the envelope of what companies can achieve</b></p>\n<p>Love them or hate them, Apple is an iconic American company with a cult-like following. AAPL users are some of the most loyal customers and often purchase several items throughout its ecosystem. It's hard to determine which is America's best company, but if we're going by market cap, AAPL wears the crown. Apple may not generate the most revenue as Amazon and Walmart(NYSE:WMT)exceed the revenue AAPL produces annually. AAPL may not have the best net income conversion ratio as MSFT and FB both have better ratios. AAPL builds products and develops services that engage their following and become integral to their everyday lives. This has allowed AAPL to generate the largest amount of profits of any company I know of. In 2020, AAPL generated $57.41 billion in net income, which was $43.9 billion more than WMT, yet WMT produced $559.15 billion in revenue from its operations. AAPL's $57.41 billion in net income was also $28.26 billion larger than FB, while FB converted the largest amount of net income from its revenue at a rate of 33.9% from the big tech conglomerates.</p>\n<p>The only thing different about 2021 is AAPL's share price isn't appreciating. Since I thought AMZN was bad, I guess AAPL's price action is horrible. Over the past ten years,AAPLhas appreciated by 1,042.46% and 473.05% over the past five years. AAPL has made their shareholders very happy, from stock splits to buybacks, dividends, and price appreciation, but many have asked is the magic gone? I have written several articles on AAPL, and the number of negative comments about AAPL and its management team is mind-blowing. So who's correct, the bears or the bulls? Are AAPL's best days behind them, or are they just getting started? Only time will tell, but the way I interpret the data indicates AAPL's best days could be ahead of them.</p>\n<p>I believe investors have been given a gift as shares of AAPL have been unable to break out and form its next leg upward. Is AAPL too expensive, under $140? I don't believe so. The facts are AAPL's growth isn't stopping, and the 2021 fiscal year has been a home run even if the market is treating it like it just hit singles in Q1 and Q2. In the fiscal year 2020, which ends in September for AAPL, they generated $274.52 billion in revenue, $57.41 billion in net income, and delivered $3.31 in EPS. 2020 was a record year for AAPL in revenue and EPS while a close second in net income.</p>\n<p>So what's going wrong in 2021, and why is AAPL treading water? Nothing is wrong as AAPL is firing on all cylinders, and it's unexplainable why shares have been left of 2021's market rally.In Q1 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL posted record-breaking revenue with $111.4 billion, which increased 21% YoY, EPS of $1.68, up 36% YoY, and net income of $28.76 billion. InQ2 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL generated $89.6 billion in revenue, EPS of $1.40, and net income of $23.63 billion. For the first six months of 2021, AAPL has delivered an increase of $44.29 billion (35.7%) in total revenue, $18.9 billion (56.44%) in net income, and $1.2 (62.83%) in EPS from its first six months of 2020. Putting that in perspective, AAPL has already delivered 61.33% of the total revenue, 91.25% of the total net income, and 93.96% of EPS in the first six months of operations compared to what was generated throughout the entire 2020 fiscal year. How hasn't this been in the headlines, and why are people consumed with GME, AMC, and straight-up speculation? What's Mr. Market going to do when AAPL delivers Q3 earnings on 7/29/21 (estimated), and they overwhelmingly exceed the amount of net income and EPS generated in 2020 in just nine months? If people want growth, look at AAPL's numbers. They're not producing these increases off of $1 billion revenue and $100 million net income. It's shocking but fine with me as I add shares before AAPL's next leg up.</p>\n<p>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</p>\n<p><b>As a shareholder of Amazon and Apple, this is what I wish they would do</b></p>\n<p>I am interested to see if the Seeking Alpha community agrees with me. I haven't been very vocal about this, but there are two things I wish AMZN and AAPL would do. I want AMZN to do a stock split. Yes, I understand that ten shares of a $1,000 stock and 100 shares of a $100 stock is the same amount of equity in a company. I also understand that if the $1,000 stock goes to $1,500 and the $100 stock goes to $150, both are a 50% increase, and an investor would generate the same return as both investments would be worth $15,000. I want AMZN to do a significant stock split so more people could afford to own shares of AMZN. If AMZN does a 40 for 1 split, the company still has the same valuation but shares now become affordable for many investors. A stock split doesn't matter for some shareholders, and they would reference what the price of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)shares have done, and Warren Buffett has never paid a dividend or split the shares. As AMZN has become one of the most iconic companies in America, I think it would be great if more investors could invest directly into AMZN without buying either fractional shares or an ETF where AMZN is one of the largest holdings. If AMZN did a large split, what would that do for the volume and price action of the stock? AAPL hasn't been shy about making its shares affordable for most investors, and I think AMZN should follow suit.</p>\n<p>I am moving on to AAPL, enough with the vast capital allocation to buybacks. AAPL's return of capital is second to none, and not a single company is as shareholder-friendly as AAPL. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has returned $550 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. I read many earnings reports, and there isn't a single company I know of that comes relatively close to these numbers. In Q2, the Board of Directors at AAPL authorized an increase of $90 billion to the existingshare repurchase program. I get it; AAPL wants to maintain a net-zero cash position and reward shareholders. AAPL generates so much free cash flow, operating income, and net income that it can fund their growth and any business endeavors they would like to embark on while still rewarding shareholders.</p>\n<p>So what would I love to see AAPL do? I think it would be more beneficial to redirect a significant portion of capital allocated to buybacks to its dividend. In Q1 and Q2 of 2021, AAPL allocated $43 billion to buybacks and $7 billion to its dividend.AAPL's dividendis a whopping $0.88 per share, which is a 0.64% yield. AAPL's payout ratio is 17.06%, and can certainly afford to increase the dividend. In 2021's fiscal year, AAPL has paid $0.44 per share of its annual dividend, costing them $7 billion. AAPL has given back $50 billion of capital in 2021 to shareholders, $43 billion in buybacks, and $7 billion in dividends. As a shareholder, I would be so much happier if $28 billion was allocated to the dividend and $22 billion to buybacks over the first six months of the fiscal year 2021. Think about it; that would mean AAPL would have paid its shareholders $1.76 per share instead of $0.44. This would make the annual dividend $3.52 instead of $0.88. A dividend of $3.52 per share would put AAPL at a forward yield of roughly 2.57%.</p>\n<p>AAPL has more than enough firepower to make this happen. AAPL could even go to 3% without blinking. How much more enticing of an investment would AAPL be with a 3% dividend? I think putting a greater focus on the dividend would benefit existing shareholders more than focusing on buybacks. I am not saying buybacks are bad by any means, but I think it's time for AAPL to allocate more capital to its dividend. I am interested to know if you agree, so please comment below and let me know.</p>\n<p><b>I believe classifying Amazon or Apple as a monopoly is incorrect, and as a shareholder, I am not worried about either company being broken up</b></p>\n<p>I am not a lawyer, and I didn't go to law school, so this isn't legal advice. It's strictly my opinion.</p>\n<p>First, what is a monopoly? A company will be considered a monopoly if there is an absence of competition in the marketplace, leading to increased costs for the consumer for inferior products and services. For a company to be classified as a monopoly, it would need to have total or near-total control of a market while its product offerings dominate a sector or industry. When a company has become a monopoly, it can use its position to create unfair business advantages by fixing prices, creating artificial scarcities causing inflated prices, and stifle competition by eliminating new competitors and creating a market where consumers don't have a choice of products. When a company becomes a monopoly, the market it operates in becomes inefficient, unfair, and unequal to the consumers and other businesses. Now by that description of a monopoly, does AMZN or AAPL fit that description?</p>\n<p>How is AMZN a monopoly? In the fiscal year of2020, AMZNgenerated $386.06 billion in revenue. $236.28 billion or 61% came from North America, excluding revenue from AWS. AMZN's success in 2020 didn't stop the following companies from generating large amounts of revenue as well:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Walmart(WMT) $559.15 billion</li>\n <li>Costco(COST) $166.76 billion</li>\n <li>Walgreens(WBA) $139.54 billion</li>\n <li>The Kroger Co.(KR) $132.5 billion</li>\n <li>The Home Depot(HD) $132.11 billion</li>\n <li>Target(TGT) $92.4 billion</li>\n <li>Lowe's Companies(LOW) $89.6 billion</li>\n <li>Dollar General(DG) $33.75 billion</li>\n <li>Dollar Tree(DLTR) $25.51 billion</li>\n <li>Macy's(M) $17.35 billion</li>\n <li>Etc.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The National Retail Foundation publishes a list of the top100 retailersin the U.S. on an annual basis. The 2020 list equaled $3.3 trillion in combined revenue. WMT came in at the top spot with $523.96 billion, equivalent to 16.39% of the top 100's combined revenue. AMZN was the runner-up in second place with $250.5 billion of revenue, accounting for 7.8% of the entire top 100. Going strictly by the numbers, I am not seeing how AMZN could be considered a monopoly as there are many competitors, and AMZN does not have a controlling interest in the sector.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6ae96a0668d39c1279e165b229bbc33\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source:AMZN)</p>\n<p>Could you consider AMZN a monopoly in shipping? I would say no, considering the United States Post Office, FedEx (FDX), UPS (UPS), and XPO Logistics (XPO) are all independent organizations that have not been put out of business by AMZN. In addition, companies such as WMT and TGT have enhanced their internal logistics to move products around the country quicker.</p>\n<p>How about thecloud? Is AMZN a monopoly there? Going by the classification of a monopoly, I would have to say no; AMZN does not have a monopoly on cloud services. While they have the largest position with almost 1/3rd of the revenue, cloud infrastructure spending has increased QoQ sequentially since Q1 2018, and AMZN's market share has trended sideways. While AMZN's AWS revenue increases, their market share isn't, which means new business is also finding its way to companies such as MSFT, GOOGL, and Alibaba (BABA). Competition, provider options, and competitive pricing all occur in the cloud space as AMZN faces extensive competition from other tech giants with deep financial resources.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bc355a07746c16ba3197b19a1a6b6c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: Synergy Research Group)</p>\n<p>(Source: Canalys)</p>\n<p>What about AAPL? Could they be classified as a monopoly? This is a crazier theory than AMZN. There are three main hardware categories which include desktop, mobile, and tablets, where AAPL operates. AAPL has a 15.57% market share behind MSFT's 72.97% on a global stage fordesktop operating systems. Looking at theU.S.alone, AAPL has a 27.82% market share vs. 61.48% from MSFT. This stat will shock people as AAPL has 26.35% of theglobal mobile operating system market sharewith iOS through its phones while Android has more than 2/3rds with 72.83%. In theU.S.alone, AAPL does have 57.68% of the market share in mobile operating systems, followed by 42% from Android. Intablets, AAPL has 56.39% of the market compared to Androids 43.52% on a global scale, and the metrics are similar in theU.Sas AAPL has 57.74% of the market while Android has 42.17%.</p>\n<p>Apple, Google, and Microsoft are global companies, and on a combined scale, 41.5% of theglobal operating systemsfall under Android, 30.57% with Microsoft, and 22.61% with Apple. In theU.S.alone, as its own segment, AAPL has 43.3% of the market while MSFT has 29.44% and GOOGL has 21.84%. Is this a monopoly? I wouldn't classify it as one. AAPL isn't price-fixing, and they certainly don't have an unfair advantage. Consumers have choices in the product offerings available to them, and there is healthy competition among AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL. The consumer market is speaking loudly that their preference is AAPL in some categories and not others. If AAPL was to hike up their prices by 25% or 50%, consumers would still have other options and could choose to leave the AAPL environment. AAPL has stayed competitive in its pricing methodology over the years, and I can't see how they could be considered a monopoly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4100457cfb03a212a0a0e0750003d052\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: StatCounter)</p>\n<p>I am sick and tired of hearing the words antitrust, monopoly, monopolistic, Amazon, and Apple used in the same sentences. Newsflash, Amazon and Apple are not lawmaking bodies and didn't write a single law in the United States. The United States government defined, created, and established the rules. Amazon and Apple hired specialists in the respective fields of accounting and law to navigate and operate within the established rules. If Amazon or Apple committed any wrongdoing, there are countermeasures as the IRS and SEC would investigate and bring charges forward. I am not a lawyer, but I can't see how anyone could prove AMZN or AAPL is a monopoly. As a shareholder, I am not worried about AAPL or AMZN being broken up.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>The first six months are over for 2021, and earnings season is a couple of weeks away. I believe AMZN and AAPL present golden opportunities as they are underperforming the S&amp;P index and the other tech conglomerates, including GOOGL, FB, and MSFT. AMZN and AAPL are on track to deliver record years across many financial metrics, yet Mr. Market hasn't been excited. I believe too much emphasis has been placed on MEME stocks, while many headlines are written to generate clicks. AMZN is on track to generate more than $450 billion in revenue for 2021, increasing $63.94 billion (16.56%) while significantly enlarging its net income and shareholder equity. Without a shadow of a doubt, AAPL will exceed 2020's total net income and EPS once its Q3 numbers are posted, and Q4's results will leave people astonished. I think the narrative will change in the upcoming weeks, and shares of AAPL and AMZN will act like a coiled spring and break out to the upside.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-07 15:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside><strong>seeking alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAmazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.\nAn opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","09086":"华夏纳指-U","03086":"华夏纳指","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140589344","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.\nAn opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.\nI am not worried about either Amazon or Apple being broken up as neither fit the premise of a monopoly.\nAs a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.\n\nWho would have thought that out of the big tech conglomerates, Amazon (AMZN) and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)would be the worst investments for the first half of 2021? AMZN has appreciated 7.35%, while AAPL is up 5.55% since the beginning of the year. Compared to the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) (16.22%), Microsoft (MSFT) (25.71%), Facebook (FB) (31.10%), and Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL) (41.33%), shares of AMZN and AAPL are being left behind. AMZN and AAPL have barely contributed to the major indexes reaching all-time highs in 2021, and nothing they seem to do impresses the investment community. With the story of growth spilling over into 2021 and the latest short squeeze, sticking it to the hedge fund craze, I believe AMZN and AAPL's accomplishments are being overlooked.\nSometimes opportunities hide in plain sight. Access to information in 2021 is a 24/7 business as the headlines never stop. With so much focus on GameStop (GME), AMC Entertainment (AMC), and SPACs, it's not surprising that investors overlook what is occurring with AMZN and AAPL. These companies are tech royalty and unleashed huge earnings beats in Q1 of 2021 while delivering record-breaking year-end results for 2020, yet the market shrugged it off. Over the years, big tech has delivered lucrative returns for shareholders, and I believe these investments still offer significant upside in the future. The music isn't stopping, AMZN and AAPL won't be left without a chair, and they will still be dominant forces for years to come. Going into Q2 earnings at the end of July, I believe picking up shares of AMZN or AAPL is an excellent play as we turn the quarter to the second half of 2021 and approach the holiday season.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nAmazon continues to deliver even if its share price has traded sideways in 2021\nOver the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 years, AMZN has increased by 1,582.31% while generating 389.72% in gains for the past five years. Compared to the rest of big tech and the S&P 500 Index, AMZN has underperformed, generating single-digit gains in 2021 while the S&P has exceeded 16% in appreciation. The market hasn't gotten the memo that AMZN's runway for growth isn't decreasing, and AMZN has become a true profit center adding to the bottom line and shareholder equity. On2/2/21, we learned that AMZN crossed the $100 billion revenue mark in Q4 2020 for the first time as they delivered $125.55 billion in revenue, an increase of 43.6% YoY, beating estimates by $5.82 billion. In Q4 2020, AMZN obliterated EPS estimates by $6.96 as they generated $14.09 in EPS. AMZN alsogenerated$6.87 billion in operating income and $31 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for 2020, increasing 20% YoY. AMZNfollowed upwith an explosive Q1 to start 2021, keeping their revenue above the $100 billion mark at $108.52 billion, increasing 43.7% YoY while beating estimates by $3.89 billion. Just like a great music album, the hits kept coming as AMZN generated $15.79 of EPS, operating cash flow increased to $67.2 billion, up 69% in the trailing twelve months (TTM). Its FCF increased to $26.4 billion in the TTM compared to $24.3 billion for the TTM that ended on 3/31/20.\nWhen I read throughAMZN's previous two quarters, I am baffled how their shares are trailing the S&P, at the very least. How the market isn't getting excited about this growth is ridiculous. Going back to Q1 2017, AMZN has increased its overall Q1 revenue by $72.80 billion, or 203.85%. Q1 sets the stage for the year, and AMZN is already starting off exceeding the $100 billion revenue mark. If AMZN was to see zero growth in Q2, Q3, and Q4, which is extremely unlikely, they would finish 2021 with $434.07 billion in revenue, an increase of 12.44% or $48.01 billion. Looking at AMZN's previous history, its average quarterly growth rate YoY in Q2, Q3, and Q4 exceeded 28%. If AMZN delivers revenue in the next three quarters 50% less than their average growth rates, it will finish 2021 with $465.96 billion in revenue. If their averages hold up, AMZN will come dangerously close to breaching $500 billion with $498.30 billion in revenue for 2021. AMZN generated $88.9 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2020, and it expects to deliver $110-$116 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2021. If AMZN comes in at $110 billion, that will increase by $21.1 billion (23.73%) YoY. AMZN will likely generate over $450 billion revenue for 2021 as on the low-end, it will have generated $208.52 billion for the first half of 2021 once Q2 earnings are released.\n\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Amazon)\nAMZN isn't just spending money for the sake of generating increased amounts of revenue; it's flowing to the bottom line. Since 2017, including the TTM for 2021, AMZN has increased its net income by $24.53 billion or 1,034.67%. The net income generated in Q1 2021 ($8.11 billion) is where things get interesting. For the entire year of 2020, AMZN generated $26.90 billion in net income. In Q1 of 2021, AMZN's net income didn't decrease from Q4 2020, and they generated $8.11 billion in net income, which was 30.13% of the total net income generated in 2020. AMZN is generating profits hand over fist and they are increasing QoQ. AMZN's growth engine is alive and well, as it is on track to generate almost all of 2020's net income in the first nine months of 2021, setting the stage for another record along with revenue generated. The market is overlooking these growth metrics, which is creating an opportunity for investors.\n(Source: Amazon)\nAs AMZN crushes earnings estimates and generates increased revenue and profits, I am not sure if people realize what's happening to AMZN's balance sheet. In the past three fiscal years of 2018, 2019, and 2020, AMZN's total equity has increased by $65.7 billion (237.09%) from $27.71 billion to $93.40 billion. In Q1 2021, total equity increased by $9.92 billion (10.62%) as it exceeded $103 billion. AMZN is firing on all cylinders, and its newfound revenue is paving the way for increased profits and total equity in AMZN. Why the market isn't celebrating this is perplexing, but eventually, the tide will turn, and I think Amazon will be right up there with Google and Facebook in 2021 returns.\nApple continues to establish new records and push the envelope of what companies can achieve\nLove them or hate them, Apple is an iconic American company with a cult-like following. AAPL users are some of the most loyal customers and often purchase several items throughout its ecosystem. It's hard to determine which is America's best company, but if we're going by market cap, AAPL wears the crown. Apple may not generate the most revenue as Amazon and Walmart(NYSE:WMT)exceed the revenue AAPL produces annually. AAPL may not have the best net income conversion ratio as MSFT and FB both have better ratios. AAPL builds products and develops services that engage their following and become integral to their everyday lives. This has allowed AAPL to generate the largest amount of profits of any company I know of. In 2020, AAPL generated $57.41 billion in net income, which was $43.9 billion more than WMT, yet WMT produced $559.15 billion in revenue from its operations. AAPL's $57.41 billion in net income was also $28.26 billion larger than FB, while FB converted the largest amount of net income from its revenue at a rate of 33.9% from the big tech conglomerates.\nThe only thing different about 2021 is AAPL's share price isn't appreciating. Since I thought AMZN was bad, I guess AAPL's price action is horrible. Over the past ten years,AAPLhas appreciated by 1,042.46% and 473.05% over the past five years. AAPL has made their shareholders very happy, from stock splits to buybacks, dividends, and price appreciation, but many have asked is the magic gone? I have written several articles on AAPL, and the number of negative comments about AAPL and its management team is mind-blowing. So who's correct, the bears or the bulls? Are AAPL's best days behind them, or are they just getting started? Only time will tell, but the way I interpret the data indicates AAPL's best days could be ahead of them.\nI believe investors have been given a gift as shares of AAPL have been unable to break out and form its next leg upward. Is AAPL too expensive, under $140? I don't believe so. The facts are AAPL's growth isn't stopping, and the 2021 fiscal year has been a home run even if the market is treating it like it just hit singles in Q1 and Q2. In the fiscal year 2020, which ends in September for AAPL, they generated $274.52 billion in revenue, $57.41 billion in net income, and delivered $3.31 in EPS. 2020 was a record year for AAPL in revenue and EPS while a close second in net income.\nSo what's going wrong in 2021, and why is AAPL treading water? Nothing is wrong as AAPL is firing on all cylinders, and it's unexplainable why shares have been left of 2021's market rally.In Q1 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL posted record-breaking revenue with $111.4 billion, which increased 21% YoY, EPS of $1.68, up 36% YoY, and net income of $28.76 billion. InQ2 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL generated $89.6 billion in revenue, EPS of $1.40, and net income of $23.63 billion. For the first six months of 2021, AAPL has delivered an increase of $44.29 billion (35.7%) in total revenue, $18.9 billion (56.44%) in net income, and $1.2 (62.83%) in EPS from its first six months of 2020. Putting that in perspective, AAPL has already delivered 61.33% of the total revenue, 91.25% of the total net income, and 93.96% of EPS in the first six months of operations compared to what was generated throughout the entire 2020 fiscal year. How hasn't this been in the headlines, and why are people consumed with GME, AMC, and straight-up speculation? What's Mr. Market going to do when AAPL delivers Q3 earnings on 7/29/21 (estimated), and they overwhelmingly exceed the amount of net income and EPS generated in 2020 in just nine months? If people want growth, look at AAPL's numbers. They're not producing these increases off of $1 billion revenue and $100 million net income. It's shocking but fine with me as I add shares before AAPL's next leg up.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nAs a shareholder of Amazon and Apple, this is what I wish they would do\nI am interested to see if the Seeking Alpha community agrees with me. I haven't been very vocal about this, but there are two things I wish AMZN and AAPL would do. I want AMZN to do a stock split. Yes, I understand that ten shares of a $1,000 stock and 100 shares of a $100 stock is the same amount of equity in a company. I also understand that if the $1,000 stock goes to $1,500 and the $100 stock goes to $150, both are a 50% increase, and an investor would generate the same return as both investments would be worth $15,000. I want AMZN to do a significant stock split so more people could afford to own shares of AMZN. If AMZN does a 40 for 1 split, the company still has the same valuation but shares now become affordable for many investors. A stock split doesn't matter for some shareholders, and they would reference what the price of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)shares have done, and Warren Buffett has never paid a dividend or split the shares. As AMZN has become one of the most iconic companies in America, I think it would be great if more investors could invest directly into AMZN without buying either fractional shares or an ETF where AMZN is one of the largest holdings. If AMZN did a large split, what would that do for the volume and price action of the stock? AAPL hasn't been shy about making its shares affordable for most investors, and I think AMZN should follow suit.\nI am moving on to AAPL, enough with the vast capital allocation to buybacks. AAPL's return of capital is second to none, and not a single company is as shareholder-friendly as AAPL. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has returned $550 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. I read many earnings reports, and there isn't a single company I know of that comes relatively close to these numbers. In Q2, the Board of Directors at AAPL authorized an increase of $90 billion to the existingshare repurchase program. I get it; AAPL wants to maintain a net-zero cash position and reward shareholders. AAPL generates so much free cash flow, operating income, and net income that it can fund their growth and any business endeavors they would like to embark on while still rewarding shareholders.\nSo what would I love to see AAPL do? I think it would be more beneficial to redirect a significant portion of capital allocated to buybacks to its dividend. In Q1 and Q2 of 2021, AAPL allocated $43 billion to buybacks and $7 billion to its dividend.AAPL's dividendis a whopping $0.88 per share, which is a 0.64% yield. AAPL's payout ratio is 17.06%, and can certainly afford to increase the dividend. In 2021's fiscal year, AAPL has paid $0.44 per share of its annual dividend, costing them $7 billion. AAPL has given back $50 billion of capital in 2021 to shareholders, $43 billion in buybacks, and $7 billion in dividends. As a shareholder, I would be so much happier if $28 billion was allocated to the dividend and $22 billion to buybacks over the first six months of the fiscal year 2021. Think about it; that would mean AAPL would have paid its shareholders $1.76 per share instead of $0.44. This would make the annual dividend $3.52 instead of $0.88. A dividend of $3.52 per share would put AAPL at a forward yield of roughly 2.57%.\nAAPL has more than enough firepower to make this happen. AAPL could even go to 3% without blinking. How much more enticing of an investment would AAPL be with a 3% dividend? I think putting a greater focus on the dividend would benefit existing shareholders more than focusing on buybacks. I am not saying buybacks are bad by any means, but I think it's time for AAPL to allocate more capital to its dividend. I am interested to know if you agree, so please comment below and let me know.\nI believe classifying Amazon or Apple as a monopoly is incorrect, and as a shareholder, I am not worried about either company being broken up\nI am not a lawyer, and I didn't go to law school, so this isn't legal advice. It's strictly my opinion.\nFirst, what is a monopoly? A company will be considered a monopoly if there is an absence of competition in the marketplace, leading to increased costs for the consumer for inferior products and services. For a company to be classified as a monopoly, it would need to have total or near-total control of a market while its product offerings dominate a sector or industry. When a company has become a monopoly, it can use its position to create unfair business advantages by fixing prices, creating artificial scarcities causing inflated prices, and stifle competition by eliminating new competitors and creating a market where consumers don't have a choice of products. When a company becomes a monopoly, the market it operates in becomes inefficient, unfair, and unequal to the consumers and other businesses. Now by that description of a monopoly, does AMZN or AAPL fit that description?\nHow is AMZN a monopoly? In the fiscal year of2020, AMZNgenerated $386.06 billion in revenue. $236.28 billion or 61% came from North America, excluding revenue from AWS. AMZN's success in 2020 didn't stop the following companies from generating large amounts of revenue as well:\n\nWalmart(WMT) $559.15 billion\nCostco(COST) $166.76 billion\nWalgreens(WBA) $139.54 billion\nThe Kroger Co.(KR) $132.5 billion\nThe Home Depot(HD) $132.11 billion\nTarget(TGT) $92.4 billion\nLowe's Companies(LOW) $89.6 billion\nDollar General(DG) $33.75 billion\nDollar Tree(DLTR) $25.51 billion\nMacy's(M) $17.35 billion\nEtc.\n\nThe National Retail Foundation publishes a list of the top100 retailersin the U.S. on an annual basis. The 2020 list equaled $3.3 trillion in combined revenue. WMT came in at the top spot with $523.96 billion, equivalent to 16.39% of the top 100's combined revenue. AMZN was the runner-up in second place with $250.5 billion of revenue, accounting for 7.8% of the entire top 100. Going strictly by the numbers, I am not seeing how AMZN could be considered a monopoly as there are many competitors, and AMZN does not have a controlling interest in the sector.\n\n(Source:AMZN)\nCould you consider AMZN a monopoly in shipping? I would say no, considering the United States Post Office, FedEx (FDX), UPS (UPS), and XPO Logistics (XPO) are all independent organizations that have not been put out of business by AMZN. In addition, companies such as WMT and TGT have enhanced their internal logistics to move products around the country quicker.\nHow about thecloud? Is AMZN a monopoly there? Going by the classification of a monopoly, I would have to say no; AMZN does not have a monopoly on cloud services. While they have the largest position with almost 1/3rd of the revenue, cloud infrastructure spending has increased QoQ sequentially since Q1 2018, and AMZN's market share has trended sideways. While AMZN's AWS revenue increases, their market share isn't, which means new business is also finding its way to companies such as MSFT, GOOGL, and Alibaba (BABA). Competition, provider options, and competitive pricing all occur in the cloud space as AMZN faces extensive competition from other tech giants with deep financial resources.\n\n(Source: Synergy Research Group)\n(Source: Canalys)\nWhat about AAPL? Could they be classified as a monopoly? This is a crazier theory than AMZN. There are three main hardware categories which include desktop, mobile, and tablets, where AAPL operates. AAPL has a 15.57% market share behind MSFT's 72.97% on a global stage fordesktop operating systems. Looking at theU.S.alone, AAPL has a 27.82% market share vs. 61.48% from MSFT. This stat will shock people as AAPL has 26.35% of theglobal mobile operating system market sharewith iOS through its phones while Android has more than 2/3rds with 72.83%. In theU.S.alone, AAPL does have 57.68% of the market share in mobile operating systems, followed by 42% from Android. Intablets, AAPL has 56.39% of the market compared to Androids 43.52% on a global scale, and the metrics are similar in theU.Sas AAPL has 57.74% of the market while Android has 42.17%.\nApple, Google, and Microsoft are global companies, and on a combined scale, 41.5% of theglobal operating systemsfall under Android, 30.57% with Microsoft, and 22.61% with Apple. In theU.S.alone, as its own segment, AAPL has 43.3% of the market while MSFT has 29.44% and GOOGL has 21.84%. Is this a monopoly? I wouldn't classify it as one. AAPL isn't price-fixing, and they certainly don't have an unfair advantage. Consumers have choices in the product offerings available to them, and there is healthy competition among AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL. The consumer market is speaking loudly that their preference is AAPL in some categories and not others. If AAPL was to hike up their prices by 25% or 50%, consumers would still have other options and could choose to leave the AAPL environment. AAPL has stayed competitive in its pricing methodology over the years, and I can't see how they could be considered a monopoly.\n\n(Source: StatCounter)\nI am sick and tired of hearing the words antitrust, monopoly, monopolistic, Amazon, and Apple used in the same sentences. Newsflash, Amazon and Apple are not lawmaking bodies and didn't write a single law in the United States. The United States government defined, created, and established the rules. Amazon and Apple hired specialists in the respective fields of accounting and law to navigate and operate within the established rules. If Amazon or Apple committed any wrongdoing, there are countermeasures as the IRS and SEC would investigate and bring charges forward. I am not a lawyer, but I can't see how anyone could prove AMZN or AAPL is a monopoly. As a shareholder, I am not worried about AAPL or AMZN being broken up.\nConclusion\nThe first six months are over for 2021, and earnings season is a couple of weeks away. I believe AMZN and AAPL present golden opportunities as they are underperforming the S&P index and the other tech conglomerates, including GOOGL, FB, and MSFT. AMZN and AAPL are on track to deliver record years across many financial metrics, yet Mr. Market hasn't been excited. I believe too much emphasis has been placed on MEME stocks, while many headlines are written to generate clicks. AMZN is on track to generate more than $450 billion in revenue for 2021, increasing $63.94 billion (16.56%) while significantly enlarging its net income and shareholder equity. Without a shadow of a doubt, AAPL will exceed 2020's total net income and EPS once its Q3 numbers are posted, and Q4's results will leave people astonished. I think the narrative will change in the upcoming weeks, and shares of AAPL and AMZN will act like a coiled spring and break out to the upside.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154825574,"gmtCreate":1625500245098,"gmtModify":1703742763474,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Aws","listText":"Aws","text":"Aws","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154825574","repostId":"1157317474","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157317474","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625483857,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157317474?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-05 19:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jeff Bezos Steps Down as CEO on Monday. Here’s What It Means for Amazon’s Stock.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157317474","media":"Barrons","summary":"Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos is stepping down as the company’s CEO on Monday, the company’s 27th birthday. He’s handing over the baton to Andy Jassy, a 24-year Amazon veteran who built and ran Amazon Web Services , the company’s dominant cloud-computing business.As Wall Street analysts like to say, Jassy faces a “tough compare.” Bezos was always going to be a tough act to follow, and he’s leaving the job on top. . Meanwhile, regulatory scrutiny remains a headwind. Amazon is getting considerable","content":"<p>Amazon.com&nbsp;founder Jeff Bezos is stepping down as the company’s CEO on Monday, the company’s 27th birthday. He’s handing over the baton to Andy Jassy, a 24-year Amazon veteran who built and ran Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company’s dominant cloud-computing business.</p>\n<p>As Wall Street analysts like to say, Jassy faces a “tough compare.” Bezos was always going to be a tough act to follow, and he’s leaving the job on top. (He’ll still be executive chairman and the online retailer’s largest shareholder, assuming all goes well with histrip to space later this month.)</p>\n<p>Amazon’s (ticker: AMZN) business sparkled during the pandemic. In the first quarter,sales spiked 44%from a year earlier—the company’s best quarterly growth rate since 2011—and net income was $8.1 billion, its largest quarterly profit ever. With demand surging, Amazon hired more than 500,000 people in 2020, boosting its total staff to more than 1.3 million.</p>\n<p>AWS sales grew 32% in the first quarter, to $13.5 billion, an annualized run rate of well over $50 billion. That makes Amazon one of the world’s largest enterprise computing companies—bigger thanOracle(ORCL),SAP(SAP), orSalesforce.com(CRM). Amazon’s online retail business had revenue of $52.9 billion, up 41%. Third-party seller services like fulfillment and delivery were up 60%, to $23.7 billion (roughly the size ofFedEx). Subscription services, mostly Amazon Prime, had revenue of $7.6 billion, up 36%, for a run rate north of $30 billion (slightly bigger thanNetflix). “Other” revenue—mostly advertising—reached $6.9 billion, up 77%.</p>\n<p>Amazon’s market value is now $1.7 trillion, which trails justApple(AAPL) andMicrosoft(MSFT) among U.S. listed companies.</p>\n<p>Despite the huge numbers, Amazon’s stock has actually looked pedestrian for almost a year now. It’s up just 6% year to date versus 15% for the S&amp;P 500 index. There are several reasons for investor caution, including the CEO turnover. Large tech companies have a mixed record when it comes to replacing founder CEOs.</p>\n<p>The success story is Apple CEO Tim Cook, who took over the top job from Steve Jobs in 2011. Apple shares are up 1,000% since he took over.</p>\n<p>The cautionary tale is Microsoft, where Steve Ballmer succeeded Bill Gates as CEO in January 2000, and stayed in the role for 14 years. Microsoft’s sales tripled with Ballmer at the helm, but the stock went nowhere.</p>\n<p>There are also worries that Amazon’s e-commerce growth could slow as the economy reopens. The challenge for Jassy is to engineer a soft landing—and to drive growth in other areas to offset any e-tail slowdown.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, regulatory scrutiny remains a headwind. Amazon is getting considerable attention from regulators and legislators for itspending $8.5 billion bid for film studio MGM. Newly appointed Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan has built her career in part byfocusing on Amazon’s market dominance. In 2017, she wrote a now famous Yale Law Review article called “Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox.”</p>\n<p>Last week, Amazon&nbsp;formally asked Khan to recuse herselffrom any involvement in antitrust matters involving the company. Amazon could get its way, but having to ask highlights the risk that regulators now pose.</p>\n<p>The worst case scenario—one reflected in a package of bills under consideration in the U.S. House of Representatives—could force Amazon to shed operations that directly compete with customers, meaning its third-party retailers. That could put an end to Amazon’s ability to sell its own branded products.</p>\n<p>The more subtle risk is that the increased regulatory focus is likely to crimp Amazon’s ability to grow through acquisition. The outcome of the MGM transaction will serve as an important test case.</p>\n<p>Amazon also faces ongoing labor issues even after employees in the company’s Bessemer, Ala., facilityrejected a unionization vote. The company ismaking a big pushto be known as “Earth’s Best Employer” and “Earth’s Safest Place to Work.” Still, Amazon is likely to remain a target for Big Labor. At its annual convention late last month, the Teamsters approved a measure thatsupports a broad unionization push for Amazon’s workforce.</p>\n<p>As for the stock, I’ve noted before that Amazon could be Earth’s Best Stock, especially over the long term. Inmy April 19 column, I pointed to a sum-of-the-parts analysis by Jefferies analyst Brent Thill, which spelled out a $3 trillion market value for Amazon within three years. That estimate includes a projected $1.2 trillion value for AWS, $1 trillion for Amazon’s core retail business, and $600 billion for its ad business. And there are other intriguing bits, like the fast-growing logistics arm and the company’s still-nascent healthcare services unit.</p>\n<p>Even the bearish case on Amazon—a forced breakup—looks bullish when you do the math. If AWS was a stand-alone business and awarded the same sales multiple as red-hot cloud-software companySnowflake(SNOW), AWS would be worth more than $4 trillion. That is certainly ridiculous, but it gives you a sense of the size and power of Amazon’s underlying assets. For long-term investors, Jassy’s Amazon remains an obvious buy.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jeff Bezos Steps Down as CEO on Monday. Here’s What It Means for Amazon’s Stock.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJeff Bezos Steps Down as CEO on Monday. Here’s What It Means for Amazon’s Stock.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-05 19:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-ceo-jeff-bezos-andy-jassy-51625253171?siteid=yhoof2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos is stepping down as the company’s CEO on Monday, the company’s 27th birthday. He’s handing over the baton to Andy Jassy, a 24-year Amazon veteran who built and ran Amazon...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-ceo-jeff-bezos-andy-jassy-51625253171?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-ceo-jeff-bezos-andy-jassy-51625253171?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157317474","content_text":"Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos is stepping down as the company’s CEO on Monday, the company’s 27th birthday. He’s handing over the baton to Andy Jassy, a 24-year Amazon veteran who built and ran Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company’s dominant cloud-computing business.\nAs Wall Street analysts like to say, Jassy faces a “tough compare.” Bezos was always going to be a tough act to follow, and he’s leaving the job on top. (He’ll still be executive chairman and the online retailer’s largest shareholder, assuming all goes well with histrip to space later this month.)\nAmazon’s (ticker: AMZN) business sparkled during the pandemic. In the first quarter,sales spiked 44%from a year earlier—the company’s best quarterly growth rate since 2011—and net income was $8.1 billion, its largest quarterly profit ever. With demand surging, Amazon hired more than 500,000 people in 2020, boosting its total staff to more than 1.3 million.\nAWS sales grew 32% in the first quarter, to $13.5 billion, an annualized run rate of well over $50 billion. That makes Amazon one of the world’s largest enterprise computing companies—bigger thanOracle(ORCL),SAP(SAP), orSalesforce.com(CRM). Amazon’s online retail business had revenue of $52.9 billion, up 41%. Third-party seller services like fulfillment and delivery were up 60%, to $23.7 billion (roughly the size ofFedEx). Subscription services, mostly Amazon Prime, had revenue of $7.6 billion, up 36%, for a run rate north of $30 billion (slightly bigger thanNetflix). “Other” revenue—mostly advertising—reached $6.9 billion, up 77%.\nAmazon’s market value is now $1.7 trillion, which trails justApple(AAPL) andMicrosoft(MSFT) among U.S. listed companies.\nDespite the huge numbers, Amazon’s stock has actually looked pedestrian for almost a year now. It’s up just 6% year to date versus 15% for the S&P 500 index. There are several reasons for investor caution, including the CEO turnover. Large tech companies have a mixed record when it comes to replacing founder CEOs.\nThe success story is Apple CEO Tim Cook, who took over the top job from Steve Jobs in 2011. Apple shares are up 1,000% since he took over.\nThe cautionary tale is Microsoft, where Steve Ballmer succeeded Bill Gates as CEO in January 2000, and stayed in the role for 14 years. Microsoft’s sales tripled with Ballmer at the helm, but the stock went nowhere.\nThere are also worries that Amazon’s e-commerce growth could slow as the economy reopens. The challenge for Jassy is to engineer a soft landing—and to drive growth in other areas to offset any e-tail slowdown.\nMeanwhile, regulatory scrutiny remains a headwind. Amazon is getting considerable attention from regulators and legislators for itspending $8.5 billion bid for film studio MGM. Newly appointed Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan has built her career in part byfocusing on Amazon’s market dominance. In 2017, she wrote a now famous Yale Law Review article called “Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox.”\nLast week, Amazon formally asked Khan to recuse herselffrom any involvement in antitrust matters involving the company. Amazon could get its way, but having to ask highlights the risk that regulators now pose.\nThe worst case scenario—one reflected in a package of bills under consideration in the U.S. House of Representatives—could force Amazon to shed operations that directly compete with customers, meaning its third-party retailers. That could put an end to Amazon’s ability to sell its own branded products.\nThe more subtle risk is that the increased regulatory focus is likely to crimp Amazon’s ability to grow through acquisition. The outcome of the MGM transaction will serve as an important test case.\nAmazon also faces ongoing labor issues even after employees in the company’s Bessemer, Ala., facilityrejected a unionization vote. The company ismaking a big pushto be known as “Earth’s Best Employer” and “Earth’s Safest Place to Work.” Still, Amazon is likely to remain a target for Big Labor. At its annual convention late last month, the Teamsters approved a measure thatsupports a broad unionization push for Amazon’s workforce.\nAs for the stock, I’ve noted before that Amazon could be Earth’s Best Stock, especially over the long term. Inmy April 19 column, I pointed to a sum-of-the-parts analysis by Jefferies analyst Brent Thill, which spelled out a $3 trillion market value for Amazon within three years. That estimate includes a projected $1.2 trillion value for AWS, $1 trillion for Amazon’s core retail business, and $600 billion for its ad business. And there are other intriguing bits, like the fast-growing logistics arm and the company’s still-nascent healthcare services unit.\nEven the bearish case on Amazon—a forced breakup—looks bullish when you do the math. If AWS was a stand-alone business and awarded the same sales multiple as red-hot cloud-software companySnowflake(SNOW), AWS would be worth more than $4 trillion. That is certainly ridiculous, but it gives you a sense of the size and power of Amazon’s underlying assets. For long-term investors, Jassy’s Amazon remains an obvious buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154822599,"gmtCreate":1625500157111,"gmtModify":1703742762481,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well","listText":"Well","text":"Well","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154822599","repostId":"1166963826","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154023806,"gmtCreate":1625461810405,"gmtModify":1703742188946,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154023806","repostId":"1170100655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155024956,"gmtCreate":1625364857875,"gmtModify":1703740778477,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155024956","repostId":"1189605893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189605893","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625363433,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189605893?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-04 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189605893","media":"Barron's","summary":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.Investors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500—m","content":"<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.</p>\n<p>Owning the Big Five—Apple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabet’sGoogle (GOOGL)—has been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managers—including those who don’t typically own growth companies.</p>\n<p>Together, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&amp;P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&amp;T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than today’s biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Five’s impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&amp;P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBM’s in its heyday.</p>\n<p>There are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire market—including all index investors—will feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&amp;P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.</p>\n<p><b>When Less May Be More</b></p>\n<p>These funds are more diversified than the S&amp;P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d308adf067ef3205da5f7c1bddb75e77\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Investors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&amp;P 500—more than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasn’t hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the company’s e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panel’s approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.</p>\n<p>A global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. “The story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,” says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. “But for those who think the economy has room to run, you don’t have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.” For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.</p>\n<p>With the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.</p>\n<p>It isn’t easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesn’t look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own any—or even just less—of these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.</p>\n<p>High active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. That’s a good place to start, but different doesn’t always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managers’ portfolios and the thinking behind the picks—as well as when they buy or sell the stocks.</p>\n<p><i>Barron’s</i>looked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that don’t usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didn’t own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.</p>\n<p><b>A Concentrated Approach</b></p>\n<p>The Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.</p>\n<p>The past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasn’t owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. “They are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but it’s an important question,” says Neff. “We’ve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.”</p>\n<p>The tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of “network effect” that makes Google and Amazon attractive—the business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.</p>\n<p>Many of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerO’Reilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they aren’t finding that many bargains today—and they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. “We frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,” Cerrone says. “We’re not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.”</p>\n<p><b>Underappreciated Growth</b></p>\n<p>The $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.</p>\n<p>That underweight has been painful; the fund’s 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managers’ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.</p>\n<p>The fund’s managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Five—like e-commerce and cloud computing—but doing it differently, says Morningstar’s Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for China’s version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.</p>\n<p>About 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isn’t concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).</p>\n<p><b>Lean Profit Machines</b></p>\n<p>The $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive years—a metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook don’t make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companies’ backs.</p>\n<p>Schoenstein’s caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fund’s 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fund’s risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.</p>\n<p>Lately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)—a stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. “What better business is there to be in than branded addiction?” Schoenstein asks.</p>\n<p>While offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day café experience.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81aeb359e30f7394a363f00feb8ce0cf\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"477\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Insurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh &amp; McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businesses—insurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.</p>\n<p>Another recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: “Some recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, it’s a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.”</p>\n<p><b>Multiple Managers</b></p>\n<p>Unlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.</p>\n<p>But the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap option—charging an expense ratio of 0.68%—that isn’t beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.</p>\n<p>Managers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.</p>\n<p>“It’s very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,” says Russel Kinnel, Morningstar’s director of manager research. “You want a fund to have some good technology exposure because it’s a dynamic sector.”</p>\n<p><b>Growth on the Cheap</b></p>\n<p>The $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fund’s 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.</p>\n<p>The fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasn’t giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. That’s in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflows—$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.com—which contributes to the market concentration.</p>\n<p>Instead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasn’t the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.</p>\n<p>Also attractive are companies that haven’t yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Sysco’s shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.</p>\n<p>Another recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isn’t just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. “In the past, it was hard to outperform when you weren’t involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.”</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-04 09:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189605893","content_text":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.\nOwning the Big Five—Apple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabet’sGoogle (GOOGL)—has been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managers—including those who don’t typically own growth companies.\nTogether, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than today’s biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Five’s impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBM’s in its heyday.\nThere are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire market—including all index investors—will feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.\nWhen Less May Be More\nThese funds are more diversified than the S&P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.\n\nInvestors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500—more than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasn’t hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the company’s e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panel’s approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.\nA global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. “The story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,” says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. “But for those who think the economy has room to run, you don’t have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.” For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.\nWith the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.\nIt isn’t easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesn’t look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own any—or even just less—of these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.\nHigh active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. That’s a good place to start, but different doesn’t always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managers’ portfolios and the thinking behind the picks—as well as when they buy or sell the stocks.\nBarron’slooked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that don’t usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didn’t own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.\nA Concentrated Approach\nThe Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.\nThe past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasn’t owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. “They are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but it’s an important question,” says Neff. “We’ve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.”\nThe tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of “network effect” that makes Google and Amazon attractive—the business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.\nMany of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerO’Reilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they aren’t finding that many bargains today—and they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. “We frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,” Cerrone says. “We’re not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.”\nUnderappreciated Growth\nThe $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.\nThat underweight has been painful; the fund’s 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managers’ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.\nThe fund’s managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Five—like e-commerce and cloud computing—but doing it differently, says Morningstar’s Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for China’s version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.\nAbout 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isn’t concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).\nLean Profit Machines\nThe $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive years—a metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook don’t make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companies’ backs.\nSchoenstein’s caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fund’s 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fund’s risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.\nLately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)—a stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. “What better business is there to be in than branded addiction?” Schoenstein asks.\nWhile offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day café experience.\n\nInsurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh & McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businesses—insurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.\nAnother recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: “Some recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, it’s a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.”\nMultiple Managers\nUnlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.\nBut the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap option—charging an expense ratio of 0.68%—that isn’t beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.\nManagers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.\n“It’s very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,” says Russel Kinnel, Morningstar’s director of manager research. “You want a fund to have some good technology exposure because it’s a dynamic sector.”\nGrowth on the Cheap\nThe $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fund’s 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.\nThe fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasn’t giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. That’s in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflows—$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.com—which contributes to the market concentration.\nInstead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasn’t the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.\nAlso attractive are companies that haven’t yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Sysco’s shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.\nAnother recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isn’t just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. “In the past, it was hard to outperform when you weren’t involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9959525170,"gmtCreate":1673023752391,"gmtModify":1676538771883,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Soft landing or hard landing?","listText":"Soft landing or hard landing?","text":"Soft landing or hard landing?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9959525170","repostId":"2301300462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2301300462","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1673019010,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2301300462?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-06 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Dow Stocks Down 30% to 55% That Are Screaming Buys for 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2301300462","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The new year could be a happier one for shareholders of these three Dow stocks.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b> finished 2022 down nearly 9%. It delivered a worse negative return only six times over the past 50 years.</p><p>Several members of the blue chip index experienced especially sharp sell-offs. But that doesn&#39;t mean that better days aren&#39;t on the way. Here are three Dow stocks down 30% to 55% that are screaming buys for 2023.</p><h2>1. Apple</h2><p><b>Apple</b> held up better than most tech stocks throughout much of 2022. However, gravity kicked in during the latter part of the year. Apple&#39;s shares are now down around 30% below the peak level from late 2021.</p><p>The biggest problems for Apple relate to macroeconomic issues. High inflation, rising interest rates, and supply chain constraints (all aftereffects of the COVID-19 pandemic) are key factors behind the company&#39;s slowing growth rate.</p><p>But it would be a huge mistake to write off Apple&#39;s prospects. Wall Street certainly hasn&#39;t. The consensus 12-month price target for the stock is nearly 40% higher than the current share price.</p><p>Analysts no doubt like Apple&#39;s valuation after its steep decline. They almost certainly love the stickiness of the company&#39;s iPhone ecosystem. What really makes Apple stock a screaming buy, though, are the growth opportunities that the company could have in new areas, including augmented reality and digital advertising. The latter appears to be on track to become a $10 billion business for Apple even sooner than expected.</p><h2>2. Microsoft</h2><p><b>Microsoft</b> stock is currently 33% below the high set in late 2021. The tech giant started off last year with its shares declining. The downward trajectory continued throughout most of 2022.</p><p>This dismal performance last year stemmed in large part from a slump in worldwide PC shipments. Microsoft generates a significant portion of its total revenue from selling Windows operating systems and other PC software.</p><p>However, many analysts think that Microsoft could make a major comeback in the new year. The consensus Wall Street price target for the stock reflects an upside potential in the ballpark of 30%.</p><p>This bullish view appears to be justified. Microsoft&#39;s cloud hosting business continues to gain momentum. Sales for its cloud-based productivity software are growing. The company is making an important move into the advertising technology market. It shouldn&#39;t take much good news for Microsoft stock to return to its winning ways in 2023.</p><h2>3. Disney</h2><p>It wouldn&#39;t be surprising if Mickey Mouse isn&#39;t as cheerful as he&#39;s been in the past. Shares of <b>Walt</b> <b>Disney</b> plunged in 2022, marking the second consecutive year of declines. The stock is now down 55% below its previous high.</p><p>Disney&#39;s troubles are due in part to the overall economy. Investors also lost enthusiasm for the company&#39;s streaming business as it continues to rack up big losses.</p><p>There&#39;s some disagreement on Wall Street about how Disney will perform in 2023. Half of the analysts surveyed by Refinitiv in January recommend buying Disney, with most of the others recommending holding the stock. However, the average price target still reflects an upside potential of nearly 40%.</p><p>Disney&#39;s new ad-supported model for Disney+ could jump-start its biggest growth engine in 2023 and beyond. The company also has several likely blockbuster movies on the way this year, including <i>Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3</i> and a live-action version of <i>The Little Mermaid</i>. Look for Disney&#39;s stock performance to avoid a third year of disappointment.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Dow Stocks Down 30% to 55% That Are Screaming Buys for 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Dow Stocks Down 30% to 55% That Are Screaming Buys for 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-06 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/05/3-dow-stocks-down-screaming-buys-for-2023/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 2022 down nearly 9%. It delivered a worse negative return only six times over the past 50 years.Several members of the blue chip index experienced especially ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/05/3-dow-stocks-down-screaming-buys-for-2023/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","AAPL":"苹果","DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/05/3-dow-stocks-down-screaming-buys-for-2023/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2301300462","content_text":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 2022 down nearly 9%. It delivered a worse negative return only six times over the past 50 years.Several members of the blue chip index experienced especially sharp sell-offs. But that doesn't mean that better days aren't on the way. Here are three Dow stocks down 30% to 55% that are screaming buys for 2023.1. AppleApple held up better than most tech stocks throughout much of 2022. However, gravity kicked in during the latter part of the year. Apple's shares are now down around 30% below the peak level from late 2021.The biggest problems for Apple relate to macroeconomic issues. High inflation, rising interest rates, and supply chain constraints (all aftereffects of the COVID-19 pandemic) are key factors behind the company's slowing growth rate.But it would be a huge mistake to write off Apple's prospects. Wall Street certainly hasn't. The consensus 12-month price target for the stock is nearly 40% higher than the current share price.Analysts no doubt like Apple's valuation after its steep decline. They almost certainly love the stickiness of the company's iPhone ecosystem. What really makes Apple stock a screaming buy, though, are the growth opportunities that the company could have in new areas, including augmented reality and digital advertising. The latter appears to be on track to become a $10 billion business for Apple even sooner than expected.2. MicrosoftMicrosoft stock is currently 33% below the high set in late 2021. The tech giant started off last year with its shares declining. The downward trajectory continued throughout most of 2022.This dismal performance last year stemmed in large part from a slump in worldwide PC shipments. Microsoft generates a significant portion of its total revenue from selling Windows operating systems and other PC software.However, many analysts think that Microsoft could make a major comeback in the new year. The consensus Wall Street price target for the stock reflects an upside potential in the ballpark of 30%.This bullish view appears to be justified. Microsoft's cloud hosting business continues to gain momentum. Sales for its cloud-based productivity software are growing. The company is making an important move into the advertising technology market. It shouldn't take much good news for Microsoft stock to return to its winning ways in 2023.3. DisneyIt wouldn't be surprising if Mickey Mouse isn't as cheerful as he's been in the past. Shares of Walt Disney plunged in 2022, marking the second consecutive year of declines. The stock is now down 55% below its previous high.Disney's troubles are due in part to the overall economy. Investors also lost enthusiasm for the company's streaming business as it continues to rack up big losses.There's some disagreement on Wall Street about how Disney will perform in 2023. Half of the analysts surveyed by Refinitiv in January recommend buying Disney, with most of the others recommending holding the stock. However, the average price target still reflects an upside potential of nearly 40%.Disney's new ad-supported model for Disney+ could jump-start its biggest growth engine in 2023 and beyond. The company also has several likely blockbuster movies on the way this year, including Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 and a live-action version of The Little Mermaid. Look for Disney's stock performance to avoid a third year of disappointment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936370805,"gmtCreate":1662715962607,"gmtModify":1676537125823,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936370805","repostId":"1196430944","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196430944","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1662711141,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196430944?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-09 16:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese ADRs Jumped in Premarket Trading, With JD.com and NIO Rising Over 3%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196430944","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese ADRs jumped in premarket trading, with JD.com and NIO Inc. rising over 3%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hot Chinese ADRs jumped in premarket trading, with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> rising over 3%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4d521f8d1e264b91f88a51ca57ccc55\" tg-width=\"263\" tg-height=\"408\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese ADRs Jumped in Premarket Trading, With JD.com and NIO Rising Over 3%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese ADRs Jumped in Premarket Trading, With JD.com and NIO Rising Over 3%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-09 16:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Hot Chinese ADRs jumped in premarket trading, with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> rising over 3%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4d521f8d1e264b91f88a51ca57ccc55\" tg-width=\"263\" tg-height=\"408\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JD":"京东","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196430944","content_text":"Hot Chinese ADRs jumped in premarket trading, with JD.com and NIO Inc. rising over 3%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154822599,"gmtCreate":1625500157111,"gmtModify":1703742762481,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well","listText":"Well","text":"Well","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154822599","repostId":"1166963826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166963826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625486061,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1166963826?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-05 19:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO This Week: Just 2 IPOs scheduled for the shortened holiday week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166963826","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"Following its busiest week in over a decade, the US IPO market is taking a breather after the holida","content":"<p>Following its busiest week in over a decade, the US IPO market is taking a breather after the holiday with just two IPOs scheduled for the shortened week ahead.</p>\n<p>While the calendar is quiet at the moment, several companies are primed to launch, including luxury social club&nbsp;<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG), Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise&nbsp;<b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV), database provider&nbsp;<b>Couchbase</b>(BASE), and consumer banking platform<b>BlendLabs</b>(BLND).</p>\n<p>Chinese healthcare data company&nbsp;<b>LinkDoc Technology</b>(LDOC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. This AI-driven healthcare technology company provides a data platform for patient care and clinical research, specifically within oncology. Unprofitable with strong growth, LinkDoc's platform has cumulatively cared for over 3.5 million patients and provided longitudinal care for over 2.5 million patients since 2015.</p>\n<p>OTC-list&nbsp;<b>Minim</b>(MINM), which provides intelligent networking products and a WiFi as a Service platform, has not set terms but plans to begin trading in the week ahead.&nbsp;Minim has developed intelligent networking products and a WiFi as a Service platform that powers applications for businesses, service providers, and home users. The company's products can be found in retailers across the US and in over 100 Internet Service Providers broadband offerings.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/003a0748043153c660ff267811776609\" tg-width=\"1421\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO This Week: Just 2 IPOs scheduled for the shortened holiday week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO This Week: Just 2 IPOs scheduled for the shortened holiday week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-05 19:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83625/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Just-2-IPOs-scheduled-for-the-shortened-holiday-week><strong>renaissancecap...</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Following its busiest week in over a decade, the US IPO market is taking a breather after the holiday with just two IPOs scheduled for the shortened week ahead.\nWhile the calendar is quiet at the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83625/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Just-2-IPOs-scheduled-for-the-shortened-holiday-week\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MINM":"Minim Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83625/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Just-2-IPOs-scheduled-for-the-shortened-holiday-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166963826","content_text":"Following its busiest week in over a decade, the US IPO market is taking a breather after the holiday with just two IPOs scheduled for the shortened week ahead.\nWhile the calendar is quiet at the moment, several companies are primed to launch, including luxury social club Membership Collective Group(MCG), Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise F45 Training(FXLV), database provider Couchbase(BASE), and consumer banking platformBlendLabs(BLND).\nChinese healthcare data company LinkDoc Technology(LDOC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. This AI-driven healthcare technology company provides a data platform for patient care and clinical research, specifically within oncology. Unprofitable with strong growth, LinkDoc's platform has cumulatively cared for over 3.5 million patients and provided longitudinal care for over 2.5 million patients since 2015.\nOTC-list Minim(MINM), which provides intelligent networking products and a WiFi as a Service platform, has not set terms but plans to begin trading in the week ahead. Minim has developed intelligent networking products and a WiFi as a Service platform that powers applications for businesses, service providers, and home users. The company's products can be found in retailers across the US and in over 100 Internet Service Providers broadband offerings.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931915491,"gmtCreate":1662381390513,"gmtModify":1676537048930,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931915491","repostId":"2264274049","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264274049","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662364924,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264274049?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 16:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264274049","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The ARK ETFs have clicked the buy button on these growth stocks recently, and they still look ripe for the plucking.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people&#39;s shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up shares of growth stocks for her various ARK exchange-traded funds (ETFs).</p><p>While I can&#39;t say that I agree with all of Wood&#39;s stock purchases over the past few months, there are some stocks that her funds have snatched up that would seem to fit well in other growth investors&#39; portfolios. They include <b>Ginkgo Bioworks</b>, <b>Monday.com</b>, and <b>Trimble</b>. Let&#39;s find out a bit more about these three Cathie Wood stocks that are worth more consideration.</p><h2>1. Ginkgo Bioworks</h2><p>A leader in the field of synthetic biology, or synbio, Ginkgo Bioworks specializes in providing its customers with improved molecules. Essentially, the company acts like an architect. Customers -- from a variety of industries, including food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics -- inform Ginkgo of their needs, and Ginkgo designs the blueprints for new and improved microbes. Often, Ginkgo will earn royalties or equity interests as a result of these partnerships, providing the company with good foresight into future cash flows.</p><p>Like many growth stocks this year, shares of Ginkgo have fallen steeply -- about 68.7% -- as investors shy away from investments that represent higher degrees of risk. However, the stock&#39;s plunge is not reflective of something inherently wrong with the company. This is something with which Wood seems to be familiar. Throughout August, the <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a></b> has purchased more than 7.34 million shares of Ginkgo Bioworks.</p><p>The company doesn&#39;t project profitability on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) basis until 2025. In the meantime, though, investors can monitor the company&#39;s ability to launch new programs -- 60 are forecasted in 2022 -- as a positive sign that the company&#39;s offerings are in consistently high demand.</p><h2>2. Monday.com</h2><p>Also appearing on Wood&#39;s shopping list is the open platform stock Monday.com. The <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKW\">ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</a></b> has been steadily increasing its position in Monday.com throughout 2022, adding 164,500 shares in February through May and 30,075 shares, most recently, in June.</p><p>The advantage of Monday.com&#39;s platform is that it allows customers to develop a customizable workflow experience -- selecting from the different apps available on its platform -- without the need for complex coding or adherence to a nonflexible infrastructure. Simply put, Monday.com&#39;s platform makes it easier for customers to work online. And with our lives becoming increasingly dependent on our ability to manage things online, Monday.com&#39;s ability to provide an easier solution is something that is highly attractive.</p><p>Monday.com has excelled at growing revenue over the past three years: Sales have soared at a compound annual growth rate of 99% from 2019 to 2021. The company recently announced a strong second-quarter 2022 performance, and management is bullish on the coming year regarding free cash flow generation.</p><p>On the company&#39;s Q2 2022 conference call, Eliran Glazer, the company&#39;s CFO, said that management expects &#34;to see a shift toward breakeven or some free cash flow positive&#34; in the second half of 2023.</p><h2>3. Trimble</h2><p>Occupying an increasingly larger position in two ETFs this summer, Trimble is a stock that first made an appearance in an ARK ETF in September 2020. Wood most recently picked up shares of Trimble in July, when the <b>ARK Space Exploration &amp; Innovation ETF</b> picked up 25,073 shares, and the <b>ARK</b> <b>Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b> added 93,392 shares.</p><p>Trimble is a leader in positioning systems. On both local and global scales, Trimble helps a diverse range of customers from industries including agriculture, construction, and transportation. With the data it collects from its positioning solutions, Trimble is also able to offer customers sophisticated modeling, analysis, and autonomous technology solutions.</p><p>Customers need to have accurate positioning data that are subsequently converted into modeling solutions and analytics, which is hardly something that will wane in the coming years. Instead, Trimble&#39;s offerings will likely grow in demand as customers&#39; positioning and data needs become more sophisticated. The high interest in Trimble&#39;s offerings, in fact, is already recognizable in the company&#39;s substantial backlog of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of Q2 2022.</p><h2>A last look at Cathie Wood&#39;s shopping list</h2><p>On balance, growth investors are more comfortable taking on risk in their investments, but that&#39;s not to say that all growth stocks represent the same risk. Trimble, for example, has a long runway of growth ahead of it, yet the company already generates positive free cash flow, mitigating the amount of risk. For investors looking to take on more risk in pursuit of greater rewards, conversely, Ginkgo Bioworks and Monday.com are better options.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 16:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people's shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TRMB":"天宝导航","DNA":"Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc.","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264274049","content_text":"Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people's shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up shares of growth stocks for her various ARK exchange-traded funds (ETFs).While I can't say that I agree with all of Wood's stock purchases over the past few months, there are some stocks that her funds have snatched up that would seem to fit well in other growth investors' portfolios. They include Ginkgo Bioworks, Monday.com, and Trimble. Let's find out a bit more about these three Cathie Wood stocks that are worth more consideration.1. Ginkgo BioworksA leader in the field of synthetic biology, or synbio, Ginkgo Bioworks specializes in providing its customers with improved molecules. Essentially, the company acts like an architect. Customers -- from a variety of industries, including food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics -- inform Ginkgo of their needs, and Ginkgo designs the blueprints for new and improved microbes. Often, Ginkgo will earn royalties or equity interests as a result of these partnerships, providing the company with good foresight into future cash flows.Like many growth stocks this year, shares of Ginkgo have fallen steeply -- about 68.7% -- as investors shy away from investments that represent higher degrees of risk. However, the stock's plunge is not reflective of something inherently wrong with the company. This is something with which Wood seems to be familiar. Throughout August, the ARK Innovation ETF has purchased more than 7.34 million shares of Ginkgo Bioworks.The company doesn't project profitability on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) basis until 2025. In the meantime, though, investors can monitor the company's ability to launch new programs -- 60 are forecasted in 2022 -- as a positive sign that the company's offerings are in consistently high demand.2. Monday.comAlso appearing on Wood's shopping list is the open platform stock Monday.com. The ARK Next Generation Internet ETF has been steadily increasing its position in Monday.com throughout 2022, adding 164,500 shares in February through May and 30,075 shares, most recently, in June.The advantage of Monday.com's platform is that it allows customers to develop a customizable workflow experience -- selecting from the different apps available on its platform -- without the need for complex coding or adherence to a nonflexible infrastructure. Simply put, Monday.com's platform makes it easier for customers to work online. And with our lives becoming increasingly dependent on our ability to manage things online, Monday.com's ability to provide an easier solution is something that is highly attractive.Monday.com has excelled at growing revenue over the past three years: Sales have soared at a compound annual growth rate of 99% from 2019 to 2021. The company recently announced a strong second-quarter 2022 performance, and management is bullish on the coming year regarding free cash flow generation.On the company's Q2 2022 conference call, Eliran Glazer, the company's CFO, said that management expects \"to see a shift toward breakeven or some free cash flow positive\" in the second half of 2023.3. TrimbleOccupying an increasingly larger position in two ETFs this summer, Trimble is a stock that first made an appearance in an ARK ETF in September 2020. Wood most recently picked up shares of Trimble in July, when the ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF picked up 25,073 shares, and the ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF added 93,392 shares.Trimble is a leader in positioning systems. On both local and global scales, Trimble helps a diverse range of customers from industries including agriculture, construction, and transportation. With the data it collects from its positioning solutions, Trimble is also able to offer customers sophisticated modeling, analysis, and autonomous technology solutions.Customers need to have accurate positioning data that are subsequently converted into modeling solutions and analytics, which is hardly something that will wane in the coming years. Instead, Trimble's offerings will likely grow in demand as customers' positioning and data needs become more sophisticated. The high interest in Trimble's offerings, in fact, is already recognizable in the company's substantial backlog of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of Q2 2022.A last look at Cathie Wood's shopping listOn balance, growth investors are more comfortable taking on risk in their investments, but that's not to say that all growth stocks represent the same risk. Trimble, for example, has a long runway of growth ahead of it, yet the company already generates positive free cash flow, mitigating the amount of risk. For investors looking to take on more risk in pursuit of greater rewards, conversely, Ginkgo Bioworks and Monday.com are better options.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144113600,"gmtCreate":1626271377800,"gmtModify":1703756809519,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/144113600","repostId":"1109822941","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109822941","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626271170,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109822941?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-14 21:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple at Fresh Record High on iPhone Production Boost Report, JPMorgan Upgrade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109822941","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Apple shares jumped to a fresh record high Wednesday following a report that the iPhone maker has asked suppliers to boost production by as much as 20% this year as it looks to meet improving customer demand.Bloomberg reported Wednesday that Apple is looking to build 90 million next-generation iPhones this year, with the world's biggest tech company expected to get a boost from the launch of new 5G handsets later this year. Earlier this month, Apple's main rival, Samsung Electronics, saidJune qu","content":"<p>Apple&nbsp;shares jumped to a fresh record high Wednesday following a report that the iPhone maker has asked suppliers to boost production by as much as 20% this year as it looks to meet improving customer demand.</p>\n<p>Bloomberg reported Wednesday that Apple is looking to build 90 million next-generation iPhones this year, with the world's biggest tech company expected to get a boost from the launch of new 5G handsets later this year. Earlier this month, Apple's main rival, Samsung Electronics,&nbsp;saidJune quarter profits are likely to rise by 53% from last yearto 12.5 trillion won ($11 billion).</p>\n<p>Shares were also buoyed by an upgrade at JPMorgan, which added the stock to its 'analyst focus list' as&nbsp;Samik Chatterjee&nbsp;boosted his price target by $5 to $175 each.</p>\n<p>\"We are adding Apple shares to the Analyst Focus List as a Growth idea as data points supporting our recently highlighted favorable view on the shares continue to trickle in, including upside revision to iPhone 12 build estimates by Apple Supply Chain analyst, William Yang, as well as continued strength in sales of Mac devices,\" Chatterjee wrote. \"While the above drivers lead to an increase in our near-term forecasts, the recent momentum led by better market share, drives us to also estimate higher sustainable volumes in future quarters, leading us to see a path to Apple outperforming investor expectations over a longer time horizon rather than just the upcoming earnings print.\"</p>\n<p>Apple shares were marked 2.1% higher in early trading Wednesday to change hands at $148.71 each, just shy of the intra-day record high of $148.96 it hit at the opening bell.</p>\n<p>Apple is set to report its third quarter earnings on July 27, with CFO Luca Maestri cautioning investors in late April that the group is likely to experience a \"steeper than usual\" sequential revenue decline thanks in part to supply constraints linked to the global semiconductor shortage following Street-blasting sales of nearly $90 billion for the three months ending in March.</p>\n<p>Apple said iPhone revenues rose 65% from last year to $47.94 billion, well ahead of the $41.7 billion Street forecast, thanks to what CEO Tim Cook called \"strong demand for the iPhone 12 family\".</p>\n<p>Greater China revenues, Apple said, rose 88% from last year's pandemic trough to $17.728 billion, while overall services revenues rose 26.6% to $16.9 billion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple at Fresh Record High on iPhone Production Boost Report, JPMorgan Upgrade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple at Fresh Record High on iPhone Production Boost Report, JPMorgan Upgrade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-14 21:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/apple-jumps-on-iphone-production-boost-report-jpmorgan-upgrade><strong>Thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple shares jumped to a fresh record high Wednesday following a report that the iPhone maker has asked suppliers to boost production by as much as 20% this year as it looks to meet improving customer...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/apple-jumps-on-iphone-production-boost-report-jpmorgan-upgrade\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/apple-jumps-on-iphone-production-boost-report-jpmorgan-upgrade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109822941","content_text":"Apple shares jumped to a fresh record high Wednesday following a report that the iPhone maker has asked suppliers to boost production by as much as 20% this year as it looks to meet improving customer demand.\nBloomberg reported Wednesday that Apple is looking to build 90 million next-generation iPhones this year, with the world's biggest tech company expected to get a boost from the launch of new 5G handsets later this year. Earlier this month, Apple's main rival, Samsung Electronics, saidJune quarter profits are likely to rise by 53% from last yearto 12.5 trillion won ($11 billion).\nShares were also buoyed by an upgrade at JPMorgan, which added the stock to its 'analyst focus list' as Samik Chatterjee boosted his price target by $5 to $175 each.\n\"We are adding Apple shares to the Analyst Focus List as a Growth idea as data points supporting our recently highlighted favorable view on the shares continue to trickle in, including upside revision to iPhone 12 build estimates by Apple Supply Chain analyst, William Yang, as well as continued strength in sales of Mac devices,\" Chatterjee wrote. \"While the above drivers lead to an increase in our near-term forecasts, the recent momentum led by better market share, drives us to also estimate higher sustainable volumes in future quarters, leading us to see a path to Apple outperforming investor expectations over a longer time horizon rather than just the upcoming earnings print.\"\nApple shares were marked 2.1% higher in early trading Wednesday to change hands at $148.71 each, just shy of the intra-day record high of $148.96 it hit at the opening bell.\nApple is set to report its third quarter earnings on July 27, with CFO Luca Maestri cautioning investors in late April that the group is likely to experience a \"steeper than usual\" sequential revenue decline thanks in part to supply constraints linked to the global semiconductor shortage following Street-blasting sales of nearly $90 billion for the three months ending in March.\nApple said iPhone revenues rose 65% from last year to $47.94 billion, well ahead of the $41.7 billion Street forecast, thanks to what CEO Tim Cook called \"strong demand for the iPhone 12 family\".\nGreater China revenues, Apple said, rose 88% from last year's pandemic trough to $17.728 billion, while overall services revenues rose 26.6% to $16.9 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143402788,"gmtCreate":1625806415844,"gmtModify":1703748954555,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"On hold, waiting for rainbow&nbsp;","listText":"On hold, waiting for rainbow&nbsp;","text":"On hold, waiting for rainbow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143402788","repostId":"2150326565","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156587882,"gmtCreate":1625230730446,"gmtModify":1703738906455,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/156587882","repostId":"1142786875","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9044904806,"gmtCreate":1656685913105,"gmtModify":1676535877003,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let see","listText":"Let see","text":"Let see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044904806","repostId":"1106807652","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146634143,"gmtCreate":1626074771682,"gmtModify":1703752807975,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146634143","repostId":"1155038838","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140734742,"gmtCreate":1625672594886,"gmtModify":1703746243839,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140734742","repostId":"1140589344","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1140589344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625643438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140589344?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 15:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140589344","media":"seeking alpha","summary":"Amazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.An opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.As a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.Over the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 year","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Amazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&amp;P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.</li>\n <li>An opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.</li>\n <li>I am not worried about either Amazon or Apple being broken up as neither fit the premise of a monopoly.</li>\n <li>As a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Who would have thought that out of the big tech conglomerates, Amazon (AMZN) and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)would be the worst investments for the first half of 2021? AMZN has appreciated 7.35%, while AAPL is up 5.55% since the beginning of the year. Compared to the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) (16.22%), Microsoft (MSFT) (25.71%), Facebook (FB) (31.10%), and Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL) (41.33%), shares of AMZN and AAPL are being left behind. AMZN and AAPL have barely contributed to the major indexes reaching all-time highs in 2021, and nothing they seem to do impresses the investment community. With the story of growth spilling over into 2021 and the latest short squeeze, sticking it to the hedge fund craze, I believe AMZN and AAPL's accomplishments are being overlooked.</p>\n<p>Sometimes opportunities hide in plain sight. Access to information in 2021 is a 24/7 business as the headlines never stop. With so much focus on GameStop (GME), AMC Entertainment (AMC), and SPACs, it's not surprising that investors overlook what is occurring with AMZN and AAPL. These companies are tech royalty and unleashed huge earnings beats in Q1 of 2021 while delivering record-breaking year-end results for 2020, yet the market shrugged it off. Over the years, big tech has delivered lucrative returns for shareholders, and I believe these investments still offer significant upside in the future. The music isn't stopping, AMZN and AAPL won't be left without a chair, and they will still be dominant forces for years to come. Going into Q2 earnings at the end of July, I believe picking up shares of AMZN or AAPL is an excellent play as we turn the quarter to the second half of 2021 and approach the holiday season.</p>\n<p>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</p>\n<p><b>Amazon continues to deliver even if its share price has traded sideways in 2021</b></p>\n<p>Over the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 years, AMZN has increased by 1,582.31% while generating 389.72% in gains for the past five years. Compared to the rest of big tech and the S&amp;P 500 Index, AMZN has underperformed, generating single-digit gains in 2021 while the S&amp;P has exceeded 16% in appreciation. The market hasn't gotten the memo that AMZN's runway for growth isn't decreasing, and AMZN has become a true profit center adding to the bottom line and shareholder equity. On2/2/21, we learned that AMZN crossed the $100 billion revenue mark in Q4 2020 for the first time as they delivered $125.55 billion in revenue, an increase of 43.6% YoY, beating estimates by $5.82 billion. In Q4 2020, AMZN obliterated EPS estimates by $6.96 as they generated $14.09 in EPS. AMZN alsogenerated$6.87 billion in operating income and $31 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for 2020, increasing 20% YoY. AMZNfollowed upwith an explosive Q1 to start 2021, keeping their revenue above the $100 billion mark at $108.52 billion, increasing 43.7% YoY while beating estimates by $3.89 billion. Just like a great music album, the hits kept coming as AMZN generated $15.79 of EPS, operating cash flow increased to $67.2 billion, up 69% in the trailing twelve months (TTM). Its FCF increased to $26.4 billion in the TTM compared to $24.3 billion for the TTM that ended on 3/31/20.</p>\n<p>When I read throughAMZN's previous two quarters, I am baffled how their shares are trailing the S&amp;P, at the very least. How the market isn't getting excited about this growth is ridiculous. Going back to Q1 2017, AMZN has increased its overall Q1 revenue by $72.80 billion, or 203.85%. Q1 sets the stage for the year, and AMZN is already starting off exceeding the $100 billion revenue mark. If AMZN was to see zero growth in Q2, Q3, and Q4, which is extremely unlikely, they would finish 2021 with $434.07 billion in revenue, an increase of 12.44% or $48.01 billion. Looking at AMZN's previous history, its average quarterly growth rate YoY in Q2, Q3, and Q4 exceeded 28%. If AMZN delivers revenue in the next three quarters 50% less than their average growth rates, it will finish 2021 with $465.96 billion in revenue. If their averages hold up, AMZN will come dangerously close to breaching $500 billion with $498.30 billion in revenue for 2021. AMZN generated $88.9 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2020, and it expects to deliver $110-$116 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2021. If AMZN comes in at $110 billion, that will increase by $21.1 billion (23.73%) YoY. AMZN will likely generate over $450 billion revenue for 2021 as on the low-end, it will have generated $208.52 billion for the first half of 2021 once Q2 earnings are released.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0238d2575d6cb248ff8e803ab0d6a49\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Amazon)</p>\n<p>AMZN isn't just spending money for the sake of generating increased amounts of revenue; it's flowing to the bottom line. Since 2017, including the TTM for 2021, AMZN has increased its net income by $24.53 billion or 1,034.67%. The net income generated in Q1 2021 ($8.11 billion) is where things get interesting. For the entire year of 2020, AMZN generated $26.90 billion in net income. In Q1 of 2021, AMZN's net income didn't decrease from Q4 2020, and they generated $8.11 billion in net income, which was 30.13% of the total net income generated in 2020. AMZN is generating profits hand over fist and they are increasing QoQ. AMZN's growth engine is alive and well, as it is on track to generate almost all of 2020's net income in the first nine months of 2021, setting the stage for another record along with revenue generated. The market is overlooking these growth metrics, which is creating an opportunity for investors.</p>\n<p>(Source: Amazon)</p>\n<p>As AMZN crushes earnings estimates and generates increased revenue and profits, I am not sure if people realize what's happening to AMZN's balance sheet. In the past three fiscal years of 2018, 2019, and 2020, AMZN's total equity has increased by $65.7 billion (237.09%) from $27.71 billion to $93.40 billion. In Q1 2021, total equity increased by $9.92 billion (10.62%) as it exceeded $103 billion. AMZN is firing on all cylinders, and its newfound revenue is paving the way for increased profits and total equity in AMZN. Why the market isn't celebrating this is perplexing, but eventually, the tide will turn, and I think Amazon will be right up there with Google and Facebook in 2021 returns.</p>\n<p><b>Apple continues to establish new records and push the envelope of what companies can achieve</b></p>\n<p>Love them or hate them, Apple is an iconic American company with a cult-like following. AAPL users are some of the most loyal customers and often purchase several items throughout its ecosystem. It's hard to determine which is America's best company, but if we're going by market cap, AAPL wears the crown. Apple may not generate the most revenue as Amazon and Walmart(NYSE:WMT)exceed the revenue AAPL produces annually. AAPL may not have the best net income conversion ratio as MSFT and FB both have better ratios. AAPL builds products and develops services that engage their following and become integral to their everyday lives. This has allowed AAPL to generate the largest amount of profits of any company I know of. In 2020, AAPL generated $57.41 billion in net income, which was $43.9 billion more than WMT, yet WMT produced $559.15 billion in revenue from its operations. AAPL's $57.41 billion in net income was also $28.26 billion larger than FB, while FB converted the largest amount of net income from its revenue at a rate of 33.9% from the big tech conglomerates.</p>\n<p>The only thing different about 2021 is AAPL's share price isn't appreciating. Since I thought AMZN was bad, I guess AAPL's price action is horrible. Over the past ten years,AAPLhas appreciated by 1,042.46% and 473.05% over the past five years. AAPL has made their shareholders very happy, from stock splits to buybacks, dividends, and price appreciation, but many have asked is the magic gone? I have written several articles on AAPL, and the number of negative comments about AAPL and its management team is mind-blowing. So who's correct, the bears or the bulls? Are AAPL's best days behind them, or are they just getting started? Only time will tell, but the way I interpret the data indicates AAPL's best days could be ahead of them.</p>\n<p>I believe investors have been given a gift as shares of AAPL have been unable to break out and form its next leg upward. Is AAPL too expensive, under $140? I don't believe so. The facts are AAPL's growth isn't stopping, and the 2021 fiscal year has been a home run even if the market is treating it like it just hit singles in Q1 and Q2. In the fiscal year 2020, which ends in September for AAPL, they generated $274.52 billion in revenue, $57.41 billion in net income, and delivered $3.31 in EPS. 2020 was a record year for AAPL in revenue and EPS while a close second in net income.</p>\n<p>So what's going wrong in 2021, and why is AAPL treading water? Nothing is wrong as AAPL is firing on all cylinders, and it's unexplainable why shares have been left of 2021's market rally.In Q1 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL posted record-breaking revenue with $111.4 billion, which increased 21% YoY, EPS of $1.68, up 36% YoY, and net income of $28.76 billion. InQ2 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL generated $89.6 billion in revenue, EPS of $1.40, and net income of $23.63 billion. For the first six months of 2021, AAPL has delivered an increase of $44.29 billion (35.7%) in total revenue, $18.9 billion (56.44%) in net income, and $1.2 (62.83%) in EPS from its first six months of 2020. Putting that in perspective, AAPL has already delivered 61.33% of the total revenue, 91.25% of the total net income, and 93.96% of EPS in the first six months of operations compared to what was generated throughout the entire 2020 fiscal year. How hasn't this been in the headlines, and why are people consumed with GME, AMC, and straight-up speculation? What's Mr. Market going to do when AAPL delivers Q3 earnings on 7/29/21 (estimated), and they overwhelmingly exceed the amount of net income and EPS generated in 2020 in just nine months? If people want growth, look at AAPL's numbers. They're not producing these increases off of $1 billion revenue and $100 million net income. It's shocking but fine with me as I add shares before AAPL's next leg up.</p>\n<p>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)</p>\n<p><b>As a shareholder of Amazon and Apple, this is what I wish they would do</b></p>\n<p>I am interested to see if the Seeking Alpha community agrees with me. I haven't been very vocal about this, but there are two things I wish AMZN and AAPL would do. I want AMZN to do a stock split. Yes, I understand that ten shares of a $1,000 stock and 100 shares of a $100 stock is the same amount of equity in a company. I also understand that if the $1,000 stock goes to $1,500 and the $100 stock goes to $150, both are a 50% increase, and an investor would generate the same return as both investments would be worth $15,000. I want AMZN to do a significant stock split so more people could afford to own shares of AMZN. If AMZN does a 40 for 1 split, the company still has the same valuation but shares now become affordable for many investors. A stock split doesn't matter for some shareholders, and they would reference what the price of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)shares have done, and Warren Buffett has never paid a dividend or split the shares. As AMZN has become one of the most iconic companies in America, I think it would be great if more investors could invest directly into AMZN without buying either fractional shares or an ETF where AMZN is one of the largest holdings. If AMZN did a large split, what would that do for the volume and price action of the stock? AAPL hasn't been shy about making its shares affordable for most investors, and I think AMZN should follow suit.</p>\n<p>I am moving on to AAPL, enough with the vast capital allocation to buybacks. AAPL's return of capital is second to none, and not a single company is as shareholder-friendly as AAPL. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has returned $550 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. I read many earnings reports, and there isn't a single company I know of that comes relatively close to these numbers. In Q2, the Board of Directors at AAPL authorized an increase of $90 billion to the existingshare repurchase program. I get it; AAPL wants to maintain a net-zero cash position and reward shareholders. AAPL generates so much free cash flow, operating income, and net income that it can fund their growth and any business endeavors they would like to embark on while still rewarding shareholders.</p>\n<p>So what would I love to see AAPL do? I think it would be more beneficial to redirect a significant portion of capital allocated to buybacks to its dividend. In Q1 and Q2 of 2021, AAPL allocated $43 billion to buybacks and $7 billion to its dividend.AAPL's dividendis a whopping $0.88 per share, which is a 0.64% yield. AAPL's payout ratio is 17.06%, and can certainly afford to increase the dividend. In 2021's fiscal year, AAPL has paid $0.44 per share of its annual dividend, costing them $7 billion. AAPL has given back $50 billion of capital in 2021 to shareholders, $43 billion in buybacks, and $7 billion in dividends. As a shareholder, I would be so much happier if $28 billion was allocated to the dividend and $22 billion to buybacks over the first six months of the fiscal year 2021. Think about it; that would mean AAPL would have paid its shareholders $1.76 per share instead of $0.44. This would make the annual dividend $3.52 instead of $0.88. A dividend of $3.52 per share would put AAPL at a forward yield of roughly 2.57%.</p>\n<p>AAPL has more than enough firepower to make this happen. AAPL could even go to 3% without blinking. How much more enticing of an investment would AAPL be with a 3% dividend? I think putting a greater focus on the dividend would benefit existing shareholders more than focusing on buybacks. I am not saying buybacks are bad by any means, but I think it's time for AAPL to allocate more capital to its dividend. I am interested to know if you agree, so please comment below and let me know.</p>\n<p><b>I believe classifying Amazon or Apple as a monopoly is incorrect, and as a shareholder, I am not worried about either company being broken up</b></p>\n<p>I am not a lawyer, and I didn't go to law school, so this isn't legal advice. It's strictly my opinion.</p>\n<p>First, what is a monopoly? A company will be considered a monopoly if there is an absence of competition in the marketplace, leading to increased costs for the consumer for inferior products and services. For a company to be classified as a monopoly, it would need to have total or near-total control of a market while its product offerings dominate a sector or industry. When a company has become a monopoly, it can use its position to create unfair business advantages by fixing prices, creating artificial scarcities causing inflated prices, and stifle competition by eliminating new competitors and creating a market where consumers don't have a choice of products. When a company becomes a monopoly, the market it operates in becomes inefficient, unfair, and unequal to the consumers and other businesses. Now by that description of a monopoly, does AMZN or AAPL fit that description?</p>\n<p>How is AMZN a monopoly? In the fiscal year of2020, AMZNgenerated $386.06 billion in revenue. $236.28 billion or 61% came from North America, excluding revenue from AWS. AMZN's success in 2020 didn't stop the following companies from generating large amounts of revenue as well:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Walmart(WMT) $559.15 billion</li>\n <li>Costco(COST) $166.76 billion</li>\n <li>Walgreens(WBA) $139.54 billion</li>\n <li>The Kroger Co.(KR) $132.5 billion</li>\n <li>The Home Depot(HD) $132.11 billion</li>\n <li>Target(TGT) $92.4 billion</li>\n <li>Lowe's Companies(LOW) $89.6 billion</li>\n <li>Dollar General(DG) $33.75 billion</li>\n <li>Dollar Tree(DLTR) $25.51 billion</li>\n <li>Macy's(M) $17.35 billion</li>\n <li>Etc.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The National Retail Foundation publishes a list of the top100 retailersin the U.S. on an annual basis. The 2020 list equaled $3.3 trillion in combined revenue. WMT came in at the top spot with $523.96 billion, equivalent to 16.39% of the top 100's combined revenue. AMZN was the runner-up in second place with $250.5 billion of revenue, accounting for 7.8% of the entire top 100. Going strictly by the numbers, I am not seeing how AMZN could be considered a monopoly as there are many competitors, and AMZN does not have a controlling interest in the sector.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6ae96a0668d39c1279e165b229bbc33\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source:AMZN)</p>\n<p>Could you consider AMZN a monopoly in shipping? I would say no, considering the United States Post Office, FedEx (FDX), UPS (UPS), and XPO Logistics (XPO) are all independent organizations that have not been put out of business by AMZN. In addition, companies such as WMT and TGT have enhanced their internal logistics to move products around the country quicker.</p>\n<p>How about thecloud? Is AMZN a monopoly there? Going by the classification of a monopoly, I would have to say no; AMZN does not have a monopoly on cloud services. While they have the largest position with almost 1/3rd of the revenue, cloud infrastructure spending has increased QoQ sequentially since Q1 2018, and AMZN's market share has trended sideways. While AMZN's AWS revenue increases, their market share isn't, which means new business is also finding its way to companies such as MSFT, GOOGL, and Alibaba (BABA). Competition, provider options, and competitive pricing all occur in the cloud space as AMZN faces extensive competition from other tech giants with deep financial resources.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bc355a07746c16ba3197b19a1a6b6c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: Synergy Research Group)</p>\n<p>(Source: Canalys)</p>\n<p>What about AAPL? Could they be classified as a monopoly? This is a crazier theory than AMZN. There are three main hardware categories which include desktop, mobile, and tablets, where AAPL operates. AAPL has a 15.57% market share behind MSFT's 72.97% on a global stage fordesktop operating systems. Looking at theU.S.alone, AAPL has a 27.82% market share vs. 61.48% from MSFT. This stat will shock people as AAPL has 26.35% of theglobal mobile operating system market sharewith iOS through its phones while Android has more than 2/3rds with 72.83%. In theU.S.alone, AAPL does have 57.68% of the market share in mobile operating systems, followed by 42% from Android. Intablets, AAPL has 56.39% of the market compared to Androids 43.52% on a global scale, and the metrics are similar in theU.Sas AAPL has 57.74% of the market while Android has 42.17%.</p>\n<p>Apple, Google, and Microsoft are global companies, and on a combined scale, 41.5% of theglobal operating systemsfall under Android, 30.57% with Microsoft, and 22.61% with Apple. In theU.S.alone, as its own segment, AAPL has 43.3% of the market while MSFT has 29.44% and GOOGL has 21.84%. Is this a monopoly? I wouldn't classify it as one. AAPL isn't price-fixing, and they certainly don't have an unfair advantage. Consumers have choices in the product offerings available to them, and there is healthy competition among AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL. The consumer market is speaking loudly that their preference is AAPL in some categories and not others. If AAPL was to hike up their prices by 25% or 50%, consumers would still have other options and could choose to leave the AAPL environment. AAPL has stayed competitive in its pricing methodology over the years, and I can't see how they could be considered a monopoly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4100457cfb03a212a0a0e0750003d052\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(Source: StatCounter)</p>\n<p>I am sick and tired of hearing the words antitrust, monopoly, monopolistic, Amazon, and Apple used in the same sentences. Newsflash, Amazon and Apple are not lawmaking bodies and didn't write a single law in the United States. The United States government defined, created, and established the rules. Amazon and Apple hired specialists in the respective fields of accounting and law to navigate and operate within the established rules. If Amazon or Apple committed any wrongdoing, there are countermeasures as the IRS and SEC would investigate and bring charges forward. I am not a lawyer, but I can't see how anyone could prove AMZN or AAPL is a monopoly. As a shareholder, I am not worried about AAPL or AMZN being broken up.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>The first six months are over for 2021, and earnings season is a couple of weeks away. I believe AMZN and AAPL present golden opportunities as they are underperforming the S&amp;P index and the other tech conglomerates, including GOOGL, FB, and MSFT. AMZN and AAPL are on track to deliver record years across many financial metrics, yet Mr. Market hasn't been excited. I believe too much emphasis has been placed on MEME stocks, while many headlines are written to generate clicks. AMZN is on track to generate more than $450 billion in revenue for 2021, increasing $63.94 billion (16.56%) while significantly enlarging its net income and shareholder equity. Without a shadow of a doubt, AAPL will exceed 2020's total net income and EPS once its Q3 numbers are posted, and Q4's results will leave people astonished. I think the narrative will change in the upcoming weeks, and shares of AAPL and AMZN will act like a coiled spring and break out to the upside.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon And Apple Are Coiled Springs About To Explode To The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-07 15:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside><strong>seeking alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAmazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.\nAn opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","09086":"华夏纳指-U","03086":"华夏纳指","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437594-amazon-apple-coiled-springs-about-to-explode-to-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140589344","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon and Apple have been left out of 2021's market rally underperforming the S&P index and their other tech conglomerate peers.\nAn opportunity is being presented to investors as both Amazon and Apple are in the midst of record-breaking years from a financial standpoint.\nI am not worried about either Amazon or Apple being broken up as neither fit the premise of a monopoly.\nAs a shareholder, I would love to see Amazon do a stock split and Apple allocate more to its dividend than buybacks.\n\nWho would have thought that out of the big tech conglomerates, Amazon (AMZN) and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)would be the worst investments for the first half of 2021? AMZN has appreciated 7.35%, while AAPL is up 5.55% since the beginning of the year. Compared to the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) (16.22%), Microsoft (MSFT) (25.71%), Facebook (FB) (31.10%), and Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL) (41.33%), shares of AMZN and AAPL are being left behind. AMZN and AAPL have barely contributed to the major indexes reaching all-time highs in 2021, and nothing they seem to do impresses the investment community. With the story of growth spilling over into 2021 and the latest short squeeze, sticking it to the hedge fund craze, I believe AMZN and AAPL's accomplishments are being overlooked.\nSometimes opportunities hide in plain sight. Access to information in 2021 is a 24/7 business as the headlines never stop. With so much focus on GameStop (GME), AMC Entertainment (AMC), and SPACs, it's not surprising that investors overlook what is occurring with AMZN and AAPL. These companies are tech royalty and unleashed huge earnings beats in Q1 of 2021 while delivering record-breaking year-end results for 2020, yet the market shrugged it off. Over the years, big tech has delivered lucrative returns for shareholders, and I believe these investments still offer significant upside in the future. The music isn't stopping, AMZN and AAPL won't be left without a chair, and they will still be dominant forces for years to come. Going into Q2 earnings at the end of July, I believe picking up shares of AMZN or AAPL is an excellent play as we turn the quarter to the second half of 2021 and approach the holiday season.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nAmazon continues to deliver even if its share price has traded sideways in 2021\nOver the years, AMZN's runway of growth has correlated to gigantic returns for shareholders. Over the past10 years, AMZN has increased by 1,582.31% while generating 389.72% in gains for the past five years. Compared to the rest of big tech and the S&P 500 Index, AMZN has underperformed, generating single-digit gains in 2021 while the S&P has exceeded 16% in appreciation. The market hasn't gotten the memo that AMZN's runway for growth isn't decreasing, and AMZN has become a true profit center adding to the bottom line and shareholder equity. On2/2/21, we learned that AMZN crossed the $100 billion revenue mark in Q4 2020 for the first time as they delivered $125.55 billion in revenue, an increase of 43.6% YoY, beating estimates by $5.82 billion. In Q4 2020, AMZN obliterated EPS estimates by $6.96 as they generated $14.09 in EPS. AMZN alsogenerated$6.87 billion in operating income and $31 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for 2020, increasing 20% YoY. AMZNfollowed upwith an explosive Q1 to start 2021, keeping their revenue above the $100 billion mark at $108.52 billion, increasing 43.7% YoY while beating estimates by $3.89 billion. Just like a great music album, the hits kept coming as AMZN generated $15.79 of EPS, operating cash flow increased to $67.2 billion, up 69% in the trailing twelve months (TTM). Its FCF increased to $26.4 billion in the TTM compared to $24.3 billion for the TTM that ended on 3/31/20.\nWhen I read throughAMZN's previous two quarters, I am baffled how their shares are trailing the S&P, at the very least. How the market isn't getting excited about this growth is ridiculous. Going back to Q1 2017, AMZN has increased its overall Q1 revenue by $72.80 billion, or 203.85%. Q1 sets the stage for the year, and AMZN is already starting off exceeding the $100 billion revenue mark. If AMZN was to see zero growth in Q2, Q3, and Q4, which is extremely unlikely, they would finish 2021 with $434.07 billion in revenue, an increase of 12.44% or $48.01 billion. Looking at AMZN's previous history, its average quarterly growth rate YoY in Q2, Q3, and Q4 exceeded 28%. If AMZN delivers revenue in the next three quarters 50% less than their average growth rates, it will finish 2021 with $465.96 billion in revenue. If their averages hold up, AMZN will come dangerously close to breaching $500 billion with $498.30 billion in revenue for 2021. AMZN generated $88.9 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2020, and it expects to deliver $110-$116 billion in revenue for Q2 of 2021. If AMZN comes in at $110 billion, that will increase by $21.1 billion (23.73%) YoY. AMZN will likely generate over $450 billion revenue for 2021 as on the low-end, it will have generated $208.52 billion for the first half of 2021 once Q2 earnings are released.\n\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Amazon)\nAMZN isn't just spending money for the sake of generating increased amounts of revenue; it's flowing to the bottom line. Since 2017, including the TTM for 2021, AMZN has increased its net income by $24.53 billion or 1,034.67%. The net income generated in Q1 2021 ($8.11 billion) is where things get interesting. For the entire year of 2020, AMZN generated $26.90 billion in net income. In Q1 of 2021, AMZN's net income didn't decrease from Q4 2020, and they generated $8.11 billion in net income, which was 30.13% of the total net income generated in 2020. AMZN is generating profits hand over fist and they are increasing QoQ. AMZN's growth engine is alive and well, as it is on track to generate almost all of 2020's net income in the first nine months of 2021, setting the stage for another record along with revenue generated. The market is overlooking these growth metrics, which is creating an opportunity for investors.\n(Source: Amazon)\nAs AMZN crushes earnings estimates and generates increased revenue and profits, I am not sure if people realize what's happening to AMZN's balance sheet. In the past three fiscal years of 2018, 2019, and 2020, AMZN's total equity has increased by $65.7 billion (237.09%) from $27.71 billion to $93.40 billion. In Q1 2021, total equity increased by $9.92 billion (10.62%) as it exceeded $103 billion. AMZN is firing on all cylinders, and its newfound revenue is paving the way for increased profits and total equity in AMZN. Why the market isn't celebrating this is perplexing, but eventually, the tide will turn, and I think Amazon will be right up there with Google and Facebook in 2021 returns.\nApple continues to establish new records and push the envelope of what companies can achieve\nLove them or hate them, Apple is an iconic American company with a cult-like following. AAPL users are some of the most loyal customers and often purchase several items throughout its ecosystem. It's hard to determine which is America's best company, but if we're going by market cap, AAPL wears the crown. Apple may not generate the most revenue as Amazon and Walmart(NYSE:WMT)exceed the revenue AAPL produces annually. AAPL may not have the best net income conversion ratio as MSFT and FB both have better ratios. AAPL builds products and develops services that engage their following and become integral to their everyday lives. This has allowed AAPL to generate the largest amount of profits of any company I know of. In 2020, AAPL generated $57.41 billion in net income, which was $43.9 billion more than WMT, yet WMT produced $559.15 billion in revenue from its operations. AAPL's $57.41 billion in net income was also $28.26 billion larger than FB, while FB converted the largest amount of net income from its revenue at a rate of 33.9% from the big tech conglomerates.\nThe only thing different about 2021 is AAPL's share price isn't appreciating. Since I thought AMZN was bad, I guess AAPL's price action is horrible. Over the past ten years,AAPLhas appreciated by 1,042.46% and 473.05% over the past five years. AAPL has made their shareholders very happy, from stock splits to buybacks, dividends, and price appreciation, but many have asked is the magic gone? I have written several articles on AAPL, and the number of negative comments about AAPL and its management team is mind-blowing. So who's correct, the bears or the bulls? Are AAPL's best days behind them, or are they just getting started? Only time will tell, but the way I interpret the data indicates AAPL's best days could be ahead of them.\nI believe investors have been given a gift as shares of AAPL have been unable to break out and form its next leg upward. Is AAPL too expensive, under $140? I don't believe so. The facts are AAPL's growth isn't stopping, and the 2021 fiscal year has been a home run even if the market is treating it like it just hit singles in Q1 and Q2. In the fiscal year 2020, which ends in September for AAPL, they generated $274.52 billion in revenue, $57.41 billion in net income, and delivered $3.31 in EPS. 2020 was a record year for AAPL in revenue and EPS while a close second in net income.\nSo what's going wrong in 2021, and why is AAPL treading water? Nothing is wrong as AAPL is firing on all cylinders, and it's unexplainable why shares have been left of 2021's market rally.In Q1 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL posted record-breaking revenue with $111.4 billion, which increased 21% YoY, EPS of $1.68, up 36% YoY, and net income of $28.76 billion. InQ2 of the fiscal year 2021, AAPL generated $89.6 billion in revenue, EPS of $1.40, and net income of $23.63 billion. For the first six months of 2021, AAPL has delivered an increase of $44.29 billion (35.7%) in total revenue, $18.9 billion (56.44%) in net income, and $1.2 (62.83%) in EPS from its first six months of 2020. Putting that in perspective, AAPL has already delivered 61.33% of the total revenue, 91.25% of the total net income, and 93.96% of EPS in the first six months of operations compared to what was generated throughout the entire 2020 fiscal year. How hasn't this been in the headlines, and why are people consumed with GME, AMC, and straight-up speculation? What's Mr. Market going to do when AAPL delivers Q3 earnings on 7/29/21 (estimated), and they overwhelmingly exceed the amount of net income and EPS generated in 2020 in just nine months? If people want growth, look at AAPL's numbers. They're not producing these increases off of $1 billion revenue and $100 million net income. It's shocking but fine with me as I add shares before AAPL's next leg up.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Apple)\nAs a shareholder of Amazon and Apple, this is what I wish they would do\nI am interested to see if the Seeking Alpha community agrees with me. I haven't been very vocal about this, but there are two things I wish AMZN and AAPL would do. I want AMZN to do a stock split. Yes, I understand that ten shares of a $1,000 stock and 100 shares of a $100 stock is the same amount of equity in a company. I also understand that if the $1,000 stock goes to $1,500 and the $100 stock goes to $150, both are a 50% increase, and an investor would generate the same return as both investments would be worth $15,000. I want AMZN to do a significant stock split so more people could afford to own shares of AMZN. If AMZN does a 40 for 1 split, the company still has the same valuation but shares now become affordable for many investors. A stock split doesn't matter for some shareholders, and they would reference what the price of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)shares have done, and Warren Buffett has never paid a dividend or split the shares. As AMZN has become one of the most iconic companies in America, I think it would be great if more investors could invest directly into AMZN without buying either fractional shares or an ETF where AMZN is one of the largest holdings. If AMZN did a large split, what would that do for the volume and price action of the stock? AAPL hasn't been shy about making its shares affordable for most investors, and I think AMZN should follow suit.\nI am moving on to AAPL, enough with the vast capital allocation to buybacks. AAPL's return of capital is second to none, and not a single company is as shareholder-friendly as AAPL. Since the fiscal year 2012, AAPL has returned $550 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. I read many earnings reports, and there isn't a single company I know of that comes relatively close to these numbers. In Q2, the Board of Directors at AAPL authorized an increase of $90 billion to the existingshare repurchase program. I get it; AAPL wants to maintain a net-zero cash position and reward shareholders. AAPL generates so much free cash flow, operating income, and net income that it can fund their growth and any business endeavors they would like to embark on while still rewarding shareholders.\nSo what would I love to see AAPL do? I think it would be more beneficial to redirect a significant portion of capital allocated to buybacks to its dividend. In Q1 and Q2 of 2021, AAPL allocated $43 billion to buybacks and $7 billion to its dividend.AAPL's dividendis a whopping $0.88 per share, which is a 0.64% yield. AAPL's payout ratio is 17.06%, and can certainly afford to increase the dividend. In 2021's fiscal year, AAPL has paid $0.44 per share of its annual dividend, costing them $7 billion. AAPL has given back $50 billion of capital in 2021 to shareholders, $43 billion in buybacks, and $7 billion in dividends. As a shareholder, I would be so much happier if $28 billion was allocated to the dividend and $22 billion to buybacks over the first six months of the fiscal year 2021. Think about it; that would mean AAPL would have paid its shareholders $1.76 per share instead of $0.44. This would make the annual dividend $3.52 instead of $0.88. A dividend of $3.52 per share would put AAPL at a forward yield of roughly 2.57%.\nAAPL has more than enough firepower to make this happen. AAPL could even go to 3% without blinking. How much more enticing of an investment would AAPL be with a 3% dividend? I think putting a greater focus on the dividend would benefit existing shareholders more than focusing on buybacks. I am not saying buybacks are bad by any means, but I think it's time for AAPL to allocate more capital to its dividend. I am interested to know if you agree, so please comment below and let me know.\nI believe classifying Amazon or Apple as a monopoly is incorrect, and as a shareholder, I am not worried about either company being broken up\nI am not a lawyer, and I didn't go to law school, so this isn't legal advice. It's strictly my opinion.\nFirst, what is a monopoly? A company will be considered a monopoly if there is an absence of competition in the marketplace, leading to increased costs for the consumer for inferior products and services. For a company to be classified as a monopoly, it would need to have total or near-total control of a market while its product offerings dominate a sector or industry. When a company has become a monopoly, it can use its position to create unfair business advantages by fixing prices, creating artificial scarcities causing inflated prices, and stifle competition by eliminating new competitors and creating a market where consumers don't have a choice of products. When a company becomes a monopoly, the market it operates in becomes inefficient, unfair, and unequal to the consumers and other businesses. Now by that description of a monopoly, does AMZN or AAPL fit that description?\nHow is AMZN a monopoly? In the fiscal year of2020, AMZNgenerated $386.06 billion in revenue. $236.28 billion or 61% came from North America, excluding revenue from AWS. AMZN's success in 2020 didn't stop the following companies from generating large amounts of revenue as well:\n\nWalmart(WMT) $559.15 billion\nCostco(COST) $166.76 billion\nWalgreens(WBA) $139.54 billion\nThe Kroger Co.(KR) $132.5 billion\nThe Home Depot(HD) $132.11 billion\nTarget(TGT) $92.4 billion\nLowe's Companies(LOW) $89.6 billion\nDollar General(DG) $33.75 billion\nDollar Tree(DLTR) $25.51 billion\nMacy's(M) $17.35 billion\nEtc.\n\nThe National Retail Foundation publishes a list of the top100 retailersin the U.S. on an annual basis. The 2020 list equaled $3.3 trillion in combined revenue. WMT came in at the top spot with $523.96 billion, equivalent to 16.39% of the top 100's combined revenue. AMZN was the runner-up in second place with $250.5 billion of revenue, accounting for 7.8% of the entire top 100. Going strictly by the numbers, I am not seeing how AMZN could be considered a monopoly as there are many competitors, and AMZN does not have a controlling interest in the sector.\n\n(Source:AMZN)\nCould you consider AMZN a monopoly in shipping? I would say no, considering the United States Post Office, FedEx (FDX), UPS (UPS), and XPO Logistics (XPO) are all independent organizations that have not been put out of business by AMZN. In addition, companies such as WMT and TGT have enhanced their internal logistics to move products around the country quicker.\nHow about thecloud? Is AMZN a monopoly there? Going by the classification of a monopoly, I would have to say no; AMZN does not have a monopoly on cloud services. While they have the largest position with almost 1/3rd of the revenue, cloud infrastructure spending has increased QoQ sequentially since Q1 2018, and AMZN's market share has trended sideways. While AMZN's AWS revenue increases, their market share isn't, which means new business is also finding its way to companies such as MSFT, GOOGL, and Alibaba (BABA). Competition, provider options, and competitive pricing all occur in the cloud space as AMZN faces extensive competition from other tech giants with deep financial resources.\n\n(Source: Synergy Research Group)\n(Source: Canalys)\nWhat about AAPL? Could they be classified as a monopoly? This is a crazier theory than AMZN. There are three main hardware categories which include desktop, mobile, and tablets, where AAPL operates. AAPL has a 15.57% market share behind MSFT's 72.97% on a global stage fordesktop operating systems. Looking at theU.S.alone, AAPL has a 27.82% market share vs. 61.48% from MSFT. This stat will shock people as AAPL has 26.35% of theglobal mobile operating system market sharewith iOS through its phones while Android has more than 2/3rds with 72.83%. In theU.S.alone, AAPL does have 57.68% of the market share in mobile operating systems, followed by 42% from Android. Intablets, AAPL has 56.39% of the market compared to Androids 43.52% on a global scale, and the metrics are similar in theU.Sas AAPL has 57.74% of the market while Android has 42.17%.\nApple, Google, and Microsoft are global companies, and on a combined scale, 41.5% of theglobal operating systemsfall under Android, 30.57% with Microsoft, and 22.61% with Apple. In theU.S.alone, as its own segment, AAPL has 43.3% of the market while MSFT has 29.44% and GOOGL has 21.84%. Is this a monopoly? I wouldn't classify it as one. AAPL isn't price-fixing, and they certainly don't have an unfair advantage. Consumers have choices in the product offerings available to them, and there is healthy competition among AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL. The consumer market is speaking loudly that their preference is AAPL in some categories and not others. If AAPL was to hike up their prices by 25% or 50%, consumers would still have other options and could choose to leave the AAPL environment. AAPL has stayed competitive in its pricing methodology over the years, and I can't see how they could be considered a monopoly.\n\n(Source: StatCounter)\nI am sick and tired of hearing the words antitrust, monopoly, monopolistic, Amazon, and Apple used in the same sentences. Newsflash, Amazon and Apple are not lawmaking bodies and didn't write a single law in the United States. The United States government defined, created, and established the rules. Amazon and Apple hired specialists in the respective fields of accounting and law to navigate and operate within the established rules. If Amazon or Apple committed any wrongdoing, there are countermeasures as the IRS and SEC would investigate and bring charges forward. I am not a lawyer, but I can't see how anyone could prove AMZN or AAPL is a monopoly. As a shareholder, I am not worried about AAPL or AMZN being broken up.\nConclusion\nThe first six months are over for 2021, and earnings season is a couple of weeks away. I believe AMZN and AAPL present golden opportunities as they are underperforming the S&P index and the other tech conglomerates, including GOOGL, FB, and MSFT. AMZN and AAPL are on track to deliver record years across many financial metrics, yet Mr. Market hasn't been excited. I believe too much emphasis has been placed on MEME stocks, while many headlines are written to generate clicks. AMZN is on track to generate more than $450 billion in revenue for 2021, increasing $63.94 billion (16.56%) while significantly enlarging its net income and shareholder equity. Without a shadow of a doubt, AAPL will exceed 2020's total net income and EPS once its Q3 numbers are posted, and Q4's results will leave people astonished. I think the narrative will change in the upcoming weeks, and shares of AAPL and AMZN will act like a coiled spring and break out to the upside.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155024956,"gmtCreate":1625364857875,"gmtModify":1703740778477,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155024956","repostId":"1189605893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189605893","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625363433,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189605893?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-04 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189605893","media":"Barron's","summary":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.Investors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500—m","content":"<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.</p>\n<p>Owning the Big Five—Apple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabet’sGoogle (GOOGL)—has been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managers—including those who don’t typically own growth companies.</p>\n<p>Together, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&amp;P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&amp;T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than today’s biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Five’s impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&amp;P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBM’s in its heyday.</p>\n<p>There are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire market—including all index investors—will feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&amp;P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.</p>\n<p><b>When Less May Be More</b></p>\n<p>These funds are more diversified than the S&amp;P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d308adf067ef3205da5f7c1bddb75e77\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Investors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&amp;P 500—more than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasn’t hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the company’s e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panel’s approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.</p>\n<p>A global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. “The story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,” says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. “But for those who think the economy has room to run, you don’t have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.” For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.</p>\n<p>With the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.</p>\n<p>It isn’t easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesn’t look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own any—or even just less—of these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.</p>\n<p>High active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. That’s a good place to start, but different doesn’t always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managers’ portfolios and the thinking behind the picks—as well as when they buy or sell the stocks.</p>\n<p><i>Barron’s</i>looked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that don’t usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didn’t own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.</p>\n<p><b>A Concentrated Approach</b></p>\n<p>The Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.</p>\n<p>The past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasn’t owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. “They are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but it’s an important question,” says Neff. “We’ve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.”</p>\n<p>The tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of “network effect” that makes Google and Amazon attractive—the business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.</p>\n<p>Many of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerO’Reilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they aren’t finding that many bargains today—and they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. “We frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,” Cerrone says. “We’re not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.”</p>\n<p><b>Underappreciated Growth</b></p>\n<p>The $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.</p>\n<p>That underweight has been painful; the fund’s 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managers’ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.</p>\n<p>The fund’s managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Five—like e-commerce and cloud computing—but doing it differently, says Morningstar’s Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for China’s version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.</p>\n<p>About 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isn’t concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).</p>\n<p><b>Lean Profit Machines</b></p>\n<p>The $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive years—a metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook don’t make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companies’ backs.</p>\n<p>Schoenstein’s caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fund’s 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fund’s risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.</p>\n<p>Lately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)—a stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. “What better business is there to be in than branded addiction?” Schoenstein asks.</p>\n<p>While offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day café experience.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81aeb359e30f7394a363f00feb8ce0cf\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"477\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Insurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh &amp; McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businesses—insurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.</p>\n<p>Another recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: “Some recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, it’s a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.”</p>\n<p><b>Multiple Managers</b></p>\n<p>Unlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.</p>\n<p>But the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap option—charging an expense ratio of 0.68%—that isn’t beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.</p>\n<p>Managers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.</p>\n<p>“It’s very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,” says Russel Kinnel, Morningstar’s director of manager research. “You want a fund to have some good technology exposure because it’s a dynamic sector.”</p>\n<p><b>Growth on the Cheap</b></p>\n<p>The $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fund’s 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.</p>\n<p>The fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasn’t giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. That’s in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflows—$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.com—which contributes to the market concentration.</p>\n<p>Instead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasn’t the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.</p>\n<p>Also attractive are companies that haven’t yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Sysco’s shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.</p>\n<p>Another recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isn’t just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. “In the past, it was hard to outperform when you weren’t involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.”</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-04 09:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189605893","content_text":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investors’ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.\nOwning the Big Five—Apple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabet’sGoogle (GOOGL)—has been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managers—including those who don’t typically own growth companies.\nTogether, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than today’s biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Five’s impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBM’s in its heyday.\nThere are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire market—including all index investors—will feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.\nWhen Less May Be More\nThese funds are more diversified than the S&P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.\n\nInvestors’ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500—more than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasn’t hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the company’s e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panel’s approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.\nA global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. “The story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,” says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. “But for those who think the economy has room to run, you don’t have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.” For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.\nWith the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.\nIt isn’t easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesn’t look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own any—or even just less—of these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.\nHigh active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. That’s a good place to start, but different doesn’t always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managers’ portfolios and the thinking behind the picks—as well as when they buy or sell the stocks.\nBarron’slooked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that don’t usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didn’t own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.\nA Concentrated Approach\nThe Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.\nThe past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasn’t owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. “They are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but it’s an important question,” says Neff. “We’ve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.”\nThe tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of “network effect” that makes Google and Amazon attractive—the business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.\nMany of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerO’Reilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they aren’t finding that many bargains today—and they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. “We frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,” Cerrone says. “We’re not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.”\nUnderappreciated Growth\nThe $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.\nThat underweight has been painful; the fund’s 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managers’ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.\nThe fund’s managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Five—like e-commerce and cloud computing—but doing it differently, says Morningstar’s Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for China’s version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.\nAbout 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isn’t concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).\nLean Profit Machines\nThe $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive years—a metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook don’t make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companies’ backs.\nSchoenstein’s caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fund’s 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fund’s risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.\nLately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)—a stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. “What better business is there to be in than branded addiction?” Schoenstein asks.\nWhile offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day café experience.\n\nInsurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh & McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businesses—insurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.\nAnother recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: “Some recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, it’s a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.”\nMultiple Managers\nUnlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.\nBut the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap option—charging an expense ratio of 0.68%—that isn’t beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.\nManagers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.\n“It’s very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,” says Russel Kinnel, Morningstar’s director of manager research. “You want a fund to have some good technology exposure because it’s a dynamic sector.”\nGrowth on the Cheap\nThe $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fund’s 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.\nThe fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasn’t giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. That’s in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflows—$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.com—which contributes to the market concentration.\nInstead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasn’t the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.\nAlso attractive are companies that haven’t yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Sysco’s shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.\nAnother recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isn’t just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. “In the past, it was hard to outperform when you weren’t involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155025377,"gmtCreate":1625364824299,"gmtModify":1703740777021,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155025377","repostId":"1192425829","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192425829","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625362308,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1192425829?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-04 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Second-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192425829","media":"The Street","summary":"The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some war","content":"<blockquote>\n The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The stock market, commodity markets and fixed-income markets have been on some wild rides the past 18 months. We penned 2021 forecast pieces back in January (read<b>here</b>and<b>here</b>), but a fresh look at things for the balance of the year seems like a good idea with commodity plays on the rise, oil prices coming on strong while other areas of the market are cooling.</p>\n<p>Let's start our analysis with some monthly candlestick charts.</p>\n<p><b>Candlestick AnalysisDow Jones Industrials</b></p>\n<p>In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), below, we can see that prices have made a huge rise over the past decade and a very sharp advance since March of 2020. Taking a little liberty in our methodology we can see an 8 to 10 record high advance since the 2020 pandemic low. Notice the slowing pace of the 12-month price momentum study in the lower panel.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c0c65a961cdf2a9b6bdba9757ca8c5d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p>\n<p>In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPX) below, we can see another big advance over the past 10 years. The index made a sideways consolidation pattern in 2015-2016 around 2,000 to 2,200 and we have for most part doubled from there. I would not be surprised to see some significant profit-taking as the SPX approached 4,400. Momentum has been slowing here too.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72a594dc06dc6364a1f4432334018a95\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p>\n<p>In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their consolidation pattern in 2018 and 2019 in the 7,000 area. Prices have nearly tripled from their consolidation around 5,000 in 2015-2016. Yes, the momentum study is slowing.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32c8a3b8cbd6d84dc3c316188d0714c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Russell 2000</b></p>\n<p>In this monthly candlestick chart of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) we can see that prices have more than doubled from their March 2020 low. This could take your breath away. With the string of white candles and weakening momentum we want to be more cautious as we move forward in the third quarter.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00e2eb68915aa7fe3a35df2b5cca4c7c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">All these charts (above) show the 8 to 10 record high pattern so we should be on our guard for a top reversal pattern.</p>\n<p><b>Advance-Decline Analysis</b></p>\n<p>Now, let's turn our attention to the Advance-Decline line.</p>\n<p><b>Dow Jones Industrials</b></p>\n<p>In this daily candlestick chart of the DJIA, below, we show the Advance-Decline line which has been moving sideways since early May. This difference between the price action is a bearish divergence but the DJIA is a narrow average with only 30 stocks.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5af49f53b61d7234c47302a43ef8fc54\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p>\n<p>In this chart of the S&amp;P 500 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we can see that prices and the Advance-Decline line are pointed up so a bearish divergence has not started.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f76b13060f5ac582155923264b7fb2f\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p>\n<p>In this chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see a significant bearish divergence. The Nasdaq has been making new highs but the Advance-Decline line has been moving sideways to lower from February.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c202ca833085d8ae21f804e01da1d20e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq 100</b></p>\n<p>In this chart of Nasdaq 100 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we see prices and the indicator going up together. No bearish divergence here.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02f49df814666506de6bd3a8f8cff358\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Sectors</b></p>\n<p>The marketplace can be broken down into 11 sectors but I want to cover just part of the list today.<b>Energy</b>In this weekly candlestick chart of the (XLE) , the S&amp;P Energy sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their pandemic low. Trading volume has been very heavy and the weekly On-Balance-Volume has been stalled the past four months. The 12-week price momentum study has been weakening for a bearish divergence.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c7c0cb796bbdd57de9aba933c615ce\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Two energy names that could rally further in the third quarter are EOG Resources (EOG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) . Here are the charts.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d2fc7721f85cac4b418a821156c714f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/874820e1c1c54a567c399f5129e88676\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc072387bc975d38d92af5b6b3de16ac\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d2822d20c835ce4f4860d5eb45212cb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>In this daily bar chart of the (XLF) ,&nbsp; the Financial sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have begun a topping phase. Prices have broken below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened from early June and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has fallen below the zero line for an outright sell signal.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddfbb55fad602b4a29ff4ef1ba47e0f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Technology</b></p>\n<p>In this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of the (XLK) , the Technology sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have more than doubled from their pandemic low. The trading volume has diminished since March 2020 and the weekly On-Balance-Volume line has been stuck in a sideways trend for the past 12 months. The 12-week price momentum study in the bottom panel shows lower highs being made the past year. This is a significant bearish divergence.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9d9a652c4c72b421556bfbd90dd8d44\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Industrials</b></p>\n<p>In this daily bar chart of the (XLI) &nbsp;, the Industrial sector ETF, below, we can see a weakening picture. Prices have slipped below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened the past two months and the MACD oscillator is below the zero line in sell territory.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47838029e80d6b87a83abb9f1352bdaf\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Bonds</b></p>\n<p>In this daily Point and Figure chart of the (TLT) , the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF, below, we can see a potential upside price target in the $165 area.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/587f7bae63415985c849540d27b7ffaa\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"992\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>U.S. Dollar</b></p>\n<p>In this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) we can see that prices have stopped short of a test of its late March/early April highs. DXY could make a slow drift downward to retest its May lows.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c086d11fb1d31f2710dc3752d158a2e7\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Mark Your Calendars</b></p>\n<p>A technical service that I have been using since the mid-1990s (www.pfr.com) is anticipating a large-scale \"trend change\" on or about Aug. 2 and this bears watching. This could mark the start of perhaps a 10% correction in the major averages. The next trend change is anticipated for late October, which could be the start of a year-end rally. We want to pay closer attention to the advance-decline numbers and price action as we approach Aug. 2.</p>\n<p><b>Sentiment</b></p>\n<p>No discussion about the stock market would be complete without some discussion of sentiment. There are plenty of \"signs\" of the stock market being out over its skis.</p>\n<p>I see a number of market letters and commentary from fellow technical analysts and they are all bullish. I get emails from Real Money subscribers asking about this stock or that stock and I have two observations:</p>\n<p>1. The names they are asking about seem to be more speculative in nature. I cannot remember the last time someone emailed me about a boring utility stock.</p>\n<p>2. The second thing that has struck me about the emails is the failure to recognize risk. Everyone wants to know the next highest price target but they never ask about where to move a stop up.</p>\n<p>Sentiment is not a precise indicator and much of it is anecdotal in nature and hard to quantify. The anticipated Robinhood IPO could mark a turning point.</p>\n<p><b>Bottom-Line Strategy</b></p>\n<p>The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing and traders need to start leaning in the other direction.</p>\n<p>Consider adding to commodity plays as they could be the outperformers of the third quarter.</p>\n<p>Consider becoming a scale-up profit taker. Continue to raise your stop protection to lock in more gains. Pay closer attention to where in the range prices are closing. Highs are typically made when prices close near the high of the day.Is the On-Balance-Volume line weakening as volume increases on days when the market or your favorite stock declines?</p>\n<p>Pay closer attention to the news and watch for stocks and the market to decline on bullish news -- this tells us that the news has been discounted.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Second-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSecond-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-04 09:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/second-half-2021-market-forecasts-thoughts-and-observations-15702152?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.\n\nThe stock market, commodity markets ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/second-half-2021-market-forecasts-thoughts-and-observations-15702152?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/second-half-2021-market-forecasts-thoughts-and-observations-15702152?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192425829","content_text":"The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.\n\nThe stock market, commodity markets and fixed-income markets have been on some wild rides the past 18 months. We penned 2021 forecast pieces back in January (readhereandhere), but a fresh look at things for the balance of the year seems like a good idea with commodity plays on the rise, oil prices coming on strong while other areas of the market are cooling.\nLet's start our analysis with some monthly candlestick charts.\nCandlestick AnalysisDow Jones Industrials\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), below, we can see that prices have made a huge rise over the past decade and a very sharp advance since March of 2020. Taking a little liberty in our methodology we can see an 8 to 10 record high advance since the 2020 pandemic low. Notice the slowing pace of the 12-month price momentum study in the lower panel.\nS&P 500\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) below, we can see another big advance over the past 10 years. The index made a sideways consolidation pattern in 2015-2016 around 2,000 to 2,200 and we have for most part doubled from there. I would not be surprised to see some significant profit-taking as the SPX approached 4,400. Momentum has been slowing here too.\nNasdaq\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their consolidation pattern in 2018 and 2019 in the 7,000 area. Prices have nearly tripled from their consolidation around 5,000 in 2015-2016. Yes, the momentum study is slowing.\nRussell 2000\nIn this monthly candlestick chart of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) we can see that prices have more than doubled from their March 2020 low. This could take your breath away. With the string of white candles and weakening momentum we want to be more cautious as we move forward in the third quarter.\nAll these charts (above) show the 8 to 10 record high pattern so we should be on our guard for a top reversal pattern.\nAdvance-Decline Analysis\nNow, let's turn our attention to the Advance-Decline line.\nDow Jones Industrials\nIn this daily candlestick chart of the DJIA, below, we show the Advance-Decline line which has been moving sideways since early May. This difference between the price action is a bearish divergence but the DJIA is a narrow average with only 30 stocks.\nS&P 500\nIn this chart of the S&P 500 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we can see that prices and the Advance-Decline line are pointed up so a bearish divergence has not started.\nNasdaq\nIn this chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see a significant bearish divergence. The Nasdaq has been making new highs but the Advance-Decline line has been moving sideways to lower from February.\nNasdaq 100\nIn this chart of Nasdaq 100 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we see prices and the indicator going up together. No bearish divergence here.Sectors\nThe marketplace can be broken down into 11 sectors but I want to cover just part of the list today.EnergyIn this weekly candlestick chart of the (XLE) , the S&P Energy sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their pandemic low. Trading volume has been very heavy and the weekly On-Balance-Volume has been stalled the past four months. The 12-week price momentum study has been weakening for a bearish divergence.\n\nTwo energy names that could rally further in the third quarter are EOG Resources (EOG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) . Here are the charts.\nFinancials\nIn this daily bar chart of the (XLF) ,  the Financial sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have begun a topping phase. Prices have broken below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened from early June and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has fallen below the zero line for an outright sell signal.\nTechnology\nIn this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of the (XLK) , the Technology sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have more than doubled from their pandemic low. The trading volume has diminished since March 2020 and the weekly On-Balance-Volume line has been stuck in a sideways trend for the past 12 months. The 12-week price momentum study in the bottom panel shows lower highs being made the past year. This is a significant bearish divergence.\nIndustrials\nIn this daily bar chart of the (XLI)  , the Industrial sector ETF, below, we can see a weakening picture. Prices have slipped below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened the past two months and the MACD oscillator is below the zero line in sell territory.\nBonds\nIn this daily Point and Figure chart of the (TLT) , the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF, below, we can see a potential upside price target in the $165 area.\nU.S. Dollar\nIn this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) we can see that prices have stopped short of a test of its late March/early April highs. DXY could make a slow drift downward to retest its May lows.\nMark Your Calendars\nA technical service that I have been using since the mid-1990s (www.pfr.com) is anticipating a large-scale \"trend change\" on or about Aug. 2 and this bears watching. This could mark the start of perhaps a 10% correction in the major averages. The next trend change is anticipated for late October, which could be the start of a year-end rally. We want to pay closer attention to the advance-decline numbers and price action as we approach Aug. 2.\nSentiment\nNo discussion about the stock market would be complete without some discussion of sentiment. There are plenty of \"signs\" of the stock market being out over its skis.\nI see a number of market letters and commentary from fellow technical analysts and they are all bullish. I get emails from Real Money subscribers asking about this stock or that stock and I have two observations:\n1. The names they are asking about seem to be more speculative in nature. I cannot remember the last time someone emailed me about a boring utility stock.\n2. The second thing that has struck me about the emails is the failure to recognize risk. Everyone wants to know the next highest price target but they never ask about where to move a stop up.\nSentiment is not a precise indicator and much of it is anecdotal in nature and hard to quantify. The anticipated Robinhood IPO could mark a turning point.\nBottom-Line Strategy\nThe stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing and traders need to start leaning in the other direction.\nConsider adding to commodity plays as they could be the outperformers of the third quarter.\nConsider becoming a scale-up profit taker. Continue to raise your stop protection to lock in more gains. Pay closer attention to where in the range prices are closing. Highs are typically made when prices close near the high of the day.Is the On-Balance-Volume line weakening as volume increases on days when the market or your favorite stock declines?\nPay closer attention to the news and watch for stocks and the market to decline on bullish news -- this tells us that the news has been discounted.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9074998212,"gmtCreate":1658279778136,"gmtModify":1676536133677,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree","listText":"Agree","text":"Agree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9074998212","repostId":"1110268821","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149603626,"gmtCreate":1625718971665,"gmtModify":1703747069446,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/149603626","repostId":"1193960545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193960545","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625699849,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193960545?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-08 07:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193960545","media":"Reuters","summary":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq ","content":"<ul>\n <li>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes</li>\n <li>Dow up 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%</li>\n</ul>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.</p>\n<p>According to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.</p>\n<p>\"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.</p>\n<p>Treasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.</p>\n<p>The minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.</p>\n<p>After its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.</p>\n<p>Wall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.</p>\n<p>Both growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&amp;P 500 sector gains.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b82724f48859f601746f387b53e8bf71\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more</p>\n<p>U.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-08 07:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%\n\nNEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&P 500 and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193960545","content_text":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%\n\nNEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.\nAccording to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.\n\"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.\nTreasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.\nThe minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.\nAfter its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.\nWall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.\nBoth growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&P 500 sector gains.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more\nU.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154825574,"gmtCreate":1625500245098,"gmtModify":1703742763474,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Aws","listText":"Aws","text":"Aws","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154825574","repostId":"1157317474","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157317474","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625483857,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157317474?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-05 19:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jeff Bezos Steps Down as CEO on Monday. Here’s What It Means for Amazon’s Stock.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157317474","media":"Barrons","summary":"Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos is stepping down as the company’s CEO on Monday, the company’s 27th birthday. He’s handing over the baton to Andy Jassy, a 24-year Amazon veteran who built and ran Amazon Web Services , the company’s dominant cloud-computing business.As Wall Street analysts like to say, Jassy faces a “tough compare.” Bezos was always going to be a tough act to follow, and he’s leaving the job on top. . Meanwhile, regulatory scrutiny remains a headwind. Amazon is getting considerable","content":"<p>Amazon.com&nbsp;founder Jeff Bezos is stepping down as the company’s CEO on Monday, the company’s 27th birthday. He’s handing over the baton to Andy Jassy, a 24-year Amazon veteran who built and ran Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company’s dominant cloud-computing business.</p>\n<p>As Wall Street analysts like to say, Jassy faces a “tough compare.” Bezos was always going to be a tough act to follow, and he’s leaving the job on top. (He’ll still be executive chairman and the online retailer’s largest shareholder, assuming all goes well with histrip to space later this month.)</p>\n<p>Amazon’s (ticker: AMZN) business sparkled during the pandemic. In the first quarter,sales spiked 44%from a year earlier—the company’s best quarterly growth rate since 2011—and net income was $8.1 billion, its largest quarterly profit ever. With demand surging, Amazon hired more than 500,000 people in 2020, boosting its total staff to more than 1.3 million.</p>\n<p>AWS sales grew 32% in the first quarter, to $13.5 billion, an annualized run rate of well over $50 billion. That makes Amazon one of the world’s largest enterprise computing companies—bigger thanOracle(ORCL),SAP(SAP), orSalesforce.com(CRM). Amazon’s online retail business had revenue of $52.9 billion, up 41%. Third-party seller services like fulfillment and delivery were up 60%, to $23.7 billion (roughly the size ofFedEx). Subscription services, mostly Amazon Prime, had revenue of $7.6 billion, up 36%, for a run rate north of $30 billion (slightly bigger thanNetflix). “Other” revenue—mostly advertising—reached $6.9 billion, up 77%.</p>\n<p>Amazon’s market value is now $1.7 trillion, which trails justApple(AAPL) andMicrosoft(MSFT) among U.S. listed companies.</p>\n<p>Despite the huge numbers, Amazon’s stock has actually looked pedestrian for almost a year now. It’s up just 6% year to date versus 15% for the S&amp;P 500 index. There are several reasons for investor caution, including the CEO turnover. Large tech companies have a mixed record when it comes to replacing founder CEOs.</p>\n<p>The success story is Apple CEO Tim Cook, who took over the top job from Steve Jobs in 2011. Apple shares are up 1,000% since he took over.</p>\n<p>The cautionary tale is Microsoft, where Steve Ballmer succeeded Bill Gates as CEO in January 2000, and stayed in the role for 14 years. Microsoft’s sales tripled with Ballmer at the helm, but the stock went nowhere.</p>\n<p>There are also worries that Amazon’s e-commerce growth could slow as the economy reopens. The challenge for Jassy is to engineer a soft landing—and to drive growth in other areas to offset any e-tail slowdown.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, regulatory scrutiny remains a headwind. Amazon is getting considerable attention from regulators and legislators for itspending $8.5 billion bid for film studio MGM. Newly appointed Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan has built her career in part byfocusing on Amazon’s market dominance. In 2017, she wrote a now famous Yale Law Review article called “Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox.”</p>\n<p>Last week, Amazon&nbsp;formally asked Khan to recuse herselffrom any involvement in antitrust matters involving the company. Amazon could get its way, but having to ask highlights the risk that regulators now pose.</p>\n<p>The worst case scenario—one reflected in a package of bills under consideration in the U.S. House of Representatives—could force Amazon to shed operations that directly compete with customers, meaning its third-party retailers. That could put an end to Amazon’s ability to sell its own branded products.</p>\n<p>The more subtle risk is that the increased regulatory focus is likely to crimp Amazon’s ability to grow through acquisition. The outcome of the MGM transaction will serve as an important test case.</p>\n<p>Amazon also faces ongoing labor issues even after employees in the company’s Bessemer, Ala., facilityrejected a unionization vote. The company ismaking a big pushto be known as “Earth’s Best Employer” and “Earth’s Safest Place to Work.” Still, Amazon is likely to remain a target for Big Labor. At its annual convention late last month, the Teamsters approved a measure thatsupports a broad unionization push for Amazon’s workforce.</p>\n<p>As for the stock, I’ve noted before that Amazon could be Earth’s Best Stock, especially over the long term. Inmy April 19 column, I pointed to a sum-of-the-parts analysis by Jefferies analyst Brent Thill, which spelled out a $3 trillion market value for Amazon within three years. That estimate includes a projected $1.2 trillion value for AWS, $1 trillion for Amazon’s core retail business, and $600 billion for its ad business. And there are other intriguing bits, like the fast-growing logistics arm and the company’s still-nascent healthcare services unit.</p>\n<p>Even the bearish case on Amazon—a forced breakup—looks bullish when you do the math. If AWS was a stand-alone business and awarded the same sales multiple as red-hot cloud-software companySnowflake(SNOW), AWS would be worth more than $4 trillion. That is certainly ridiculous, but it gives you a sense of the size and power of Amazon’s underlying assets. For long-term investors, Jassy’s Amazon remains an obvious buy.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jeff Bezos Steps Down as CEO on Monday. Here’s What It Means for Amazon’s Stock.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJeff Bezos Steps Down as CEO on Monday. Here’s What It Means for Amazon’s Stock.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-05 19:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-ceo-jeff-bezos-andy-jassy-51625253171?siteid=yhoof2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos is stepping down as the company’s CEO on Monday, the company’s 27th birthday. He’s handing over the baton to Andy Jassy, a 24-year Amazon veteran who built and ran Amazon...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-ceo-jeff-bezos-andy-jassy-51625253171?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-ceo-jeff-bezos-andy-jassy-51625253171?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157317474","content_text":"Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos is stepping down as the company’s CEO on Monday, the company’s 27th birthday. He’s handing over the baton to Andy Jassy, a 24-year Amazon veteran who built and ran Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company’s dominant cloud-computing business.\nAs Wall Street analysts like to say, Jassy faces a “tough compare.” Bezos was always going to be a tough act to follow, and he’s leaving the job on top. (He’ll still be executive chairman and the online retailer’s largest shareholder, assuming all goes well with histrip to space later this month.)\nAmazon’s (ticker: AMZN) business sparkled during the pandemic. In the first quarter,sales spiked 44%from a year earlier—the company’s best quarterly growth rate since 2011—and net income was $8.1 billion, its largest quarterly profit ever. With demand surging, Amazon hired more than 500,000 people in 2020, boosting its total staff to more than 1.3 million.\nAWS sales grew 32% in the first quarter, to $13.5 billion, an annualized run rate of well over $50 billion. That makes Amazon one of the world’s largest enterprise computing companies—bigger thanOracle(ORCL),SAP(SAP), orSalesforce.com(CRM). Amazon’s online retail business had revenue of $52.9 billion, up 41%. Third-party seller services like fulfillment and delivery were up 60%, to $23.7 billion (roughly the size ofFedEx). Subscription services, mostly Amazon Prime, had revenue of $7.6 billion, up 36%, for a run rate north of $30 billion (slightly bigger thanNetflix). “Other” revenue—mostly advertising—reached $6.9 billion, up 77%.\nAmazon’s market value is now $1.7 trillion, which trails justApple(AAPL) andMicrosoft(MSFT) among U.S. listed companies.\nDespite the huge numbers, Amazon’s stock has actually looked pedestrian for almost a year now. It’s up just 6% year to date versus 15% for the S&P 500 index. There are several reasons for investor caution, including the CEO turnover. Large tech companies have a mixed record when it comes to replacing founder CEOs.\nThe success story is Apple CEO Tim Cook, who took over the top job from Steve Jobs in 2011. Apple shares are up 1,000% since he took over.\nThe cautionary tale is Microsoft, where Steve Ballmer succeeded Bill Gates as CEO in January 2000, and stayed in the role for 14 years. Microsoft’s sales tripled with Ballmer at the helm, but the stock went nowhere.\nThere are also worries that Amazon’s e-commerce growth could slow as the economy reopens. The challenge for Jassy is to engineer a soft landing—and to drive growth in other areas to offset any e-tail slowdown.\nMeanwhile, regulatory scrutiny remains a headwind. Amazon is getting considerable attention from regulators and legislators for itspending $8.5 billion bid for film studio MGM. Newly appointed Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan has built her career in part byfocusing on Amazon’s market dominance. In 2017, she wrote a now famous Yale Law Review article called “Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox.”\nLast week, Amazon formally asked Khan to recuse herselffrom any involvement in antitrust matters involving the company. Amazon could get its way, but having to ask highlights the risk that regulators now pose.\nThe worst case scenario—one reflected in a package of bills under consideration in the U.S. House of Representatives—could force Amazon to shed operations that directly compete with customers, meaning its third-party retailers. That could put an end to Amazon’s ability to sell its own branded products.\nThe more subtle risk is that the increased regulatory focus is likely to crimp Amazon’s ability to grow through acquisition. The outcome of the MGM transaction will serve as an important test case.\nAmazon also faces ongoing labor issues even after employees in the company’s Bessemer, Ala., facilityrejected a unionization vote. The company ismaking a big pushto be known as “Earth’s Best Employer” and “Earth’s Safest Place to Work.” Still, Amazon is likely to remain a target for Big Labor. At its annual convention late last month, the Teamsters approved a measure thatsupports a broad unionization push for Amazon’s workforce.\nAs for the stock, I’ve noted before that Amazon could be Earth’s Best Stock, especially over the long term. Inmy April 19 column, I pointed to a sum-of-the-parts analysis by Jefferies analyst Brent Thill, which spelled out a $3 trillion market value for Amazon within three years. That estimate includes a projected $1.2 trillion value for AWS, $1 trillion for Amazon’s core retail business, and $600 billion for its ad business. And there are other intriguing bits, like the fast-growing logistics arm and the company’s still-nascent healthcare services unit.\nEven the bearish case on Amazon—a forced breakup—looks bullish when you do the math. If AWS was a stand-alone business and awarded the same sales multiple as red-hot cloud-software companySnowflake(SNOW), AWS would be worth more than $4 trillion. That is certainly ridiculous, but it gives you a sense of the size and power of Amazon’s underlying assets. For long-term investors, Jassy’s Amazon remains an obvious buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153147154,"gmtCreate":1625015288778,"gmtModify":1703850104342,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153147154","repostId":"1100563900","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1100563900","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624956396,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100563900?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-29 16:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Facebook: Simply Unstoppable","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100563900","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"The #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.Despite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.The strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets , cumulatively make for a compel","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.</li>\n <li>Despite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.</li>\n <li>The strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets (DIEM), cumulatively make for a compelling growth story.</li>\n <li>Although the company is highly controversial and rightfully so, this article focuses more on the quantitative analysis and less on the morals and ethics behind this investment. That, we shall leave to you.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b3414073b72a391e760025594ec111f\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"528\"><span>nemke/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Facebook (FB) has had a volatile trading period the past few years with a general uptrend, delivering shareholders nice returns whilst subjecting them to a few major dips which presented investors an opportunity for a steal. Despite the controversy and headline risks every now and then, the company has been able to battle through them and emerge ever so stronger. The company’s financials have been holding up and shows no sign of stoppage anytime soon. In a time as such, with significant uncertainty in the macro environment and inflation fears creeping up, we believe that shifting some of your assets to high cashflow generating companies is a wise strategy that will pay off. Growth and value are 2 different things, and there still exists growth companies that are undervalued and can still generate substantial cashflow, and we believe Facebook is one of them. The company also remains to be one of the more attractive blue-chip stocks compared to the others in the FAANG. We employ a 3–5-year outlook and have been bullish since USD$200/share. Let’s Begin!</p>\n<p><b>What is Facebook</b></p>\n<p>Known to all, Facebook is a social media giant with a family of products including the likes of Facebook, Instagram,WhatsApp, Messenger, and now Oculus. The firm essentially has a stronghold in the social media industry and has an impressive DAP of2.72 BN as of Q1’21and MAP of 3.45 BN.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3d08f4df186c4705a5300f40d6b8a5e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"429\"><span>(Source:FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>The world has7.874 BNpeople as of the time of this writing and that would mean that 43.8% of all the people in the world use some form of product from Facebook’s portfolio in the past 30 days. On a daily basis, 34.5% of the people in the world use it. If that isn’t a sticky service, nothing really is. If we were to focus on the usage of the Facebook app solely, 23.8% of the world logs into the app daily based on DAUs.</p>\n<p>The firm was founded in 2004 and generates the majority of their revenue from advertisements. If you have watched the social dilemma on Netflix, you would realize that Facebook’s real customer isn’t everyday users. Instead, users are the product, and they are being sold to advertisers. The company has created such an engaging and sticky service that users are more than happy to be using their apps, despite knowing that their data is being sold from one company to another. As appalling as it is, they’re indifferent to it all and still find the value in using the company’s products on a daily basis – keeping in touch with distant relatives, chatting with friends, staying up to date with the latest fashion trends and news… (According to the&nbsp;Pew Research Center, more than a 1/3 of US adults say they get their news regularly from Facebook)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb9d05bb00f3038cec301c72ef56827\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"378\"><span>(Source:Pew Research Center)</span></p>\n<p>To Facebook, this is equally as good as the more users, the wider the ‘product’ base that they have to offer their customers - advertisers. Advertisers are also indifferent to how Facebook attains its data, so long as Facebook’s targeting metrics and trackers are working well, the more likely it is that they are able to generate conversions. The more conversions, the more sales for them, the more ads they continue to pay for, the more revenue Facebook generates. Win-Win-Win, their apps are the bait, and the product (users), customers (advertisers), and supplier (Facebook), all walk away winners. It’s a remarkable business model that has stood the test of time and no matter the amount of controversy around the business, founders, and its practices, it isn’t going anywhere anytime soon and for one simple reason: Users likely can’t do without Facebook’s products whether they are willing to admit it or not.</p>\n<p>When we look back in the past to reflect on how the #StopHateForProfit Campaign turned out for the company, it is apparent that the impact it had on the top and bottom line were both minimal. The boycott was one that arose due to Facebook’s bad hate speech regulations and policing, and because of the laissez-faire attitude toward posts from then President, Donald Trump. More than&nbsp;1000 companies publicly committed&nbsp;to boycotting the social media giant in June/July (coinciding with end Q2 and start Q3) and many of the top 100 advertisers based on ad spend such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, Coca-Cola, all revised their budgets downwards.</p>\n<p>Despite this, Facebook&nbsp;beat on Q2 earnings&nbsp;and saw an increase of&nbsp;10.7% YOY. In its forward guidance, the company also announced that for July, they were anticipating a slowdown in YoY growth of 17% but was still due to see a 10% increase. They alsoanticipatedthe slowdown in growth to last through till October. However, the company did not attribute this slowdown to the boycott specifically but to 3 other major headwinds. With the benefit of hindsight, we can now see that even for Q3’20, the firm saw an impressive 21.6% rise in its top line, with the bottom line still registering a 12.2% improvement in NPM for Q2’20 YoY and a 200 bps NPM improvement in Q3.</p>\n<p>The results are clear and indicative of a few things. The boycott by the largest companies did little to Facebook’s financial story as they still managed to register growth and did not see significant pullbacks that were material. This can be tied to the fact that most of Facebook’s advertisers are SMBs. Although certain few SMBs did join the boycott, most didn’t, and the firm still had their impressive 9 million + customer base to rely on. If anything, this also suggests that despite what any SMB stands for and whether they agree with a social cause or not, it is hard for them to find alternatives that they can shift to on a similar pricing scale. Big brands can easily pivot to other advertisements such as TV and radio commercials but SMBs simply can’t because of smaller budgets. Lastly, it is now clear that the campaign affected Facebook’s reputation more so than it did its cashflow.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>Other risks that the company may face would be future antitrust lawsuits. As it is, the company is already facing allegations of being a monopoly based on their aggressive acquisitive history having acquired more than90 other companiessince inception. They were alsofined US$5 BNby the FTC in 2019 and were required to adopt their policies and employ new protections for the users and their data that has been shared.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f694ca79d59162e95f05335ebefbca3d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Though representative of a historic penalty and the largest ever imposed on a company for violating user’s privacy rights, the US$5BN was a drop in the bucket for the giant that went on to generate US$70+ BN dollars for the year.</p>\n<p>The current issues that they have with Apple’s new iOS changes and the IDFA implications are also likely not going to have a substantial impact on the firm. The Identifier for Advertisers [IDFA] is a random device identifier assigned by Apple to a user's device. Advertisers use this to track data so they can deliver customized advertising on mobile. With the new iOS changes, Apple essentially programmed it such that each app that wants to use these identifiers will have to ask users to opt in for tracking when the app is first launched. If users opt out, the app can’t track certain data and Facebook will have a smaller database of points to rely upon. As consumer preferences change, so will Facebook’s targeting that relies on IDFAs get worse and less effective due to outdated data points.</p>\n<p>According to aCNBC article:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Most critically at stake for Facebook is what’s known as view-through conversions. This metric is used by ad-tech companies to measure how many users saw an ad, did not immediately click on it, but later made a purchase related to that ad.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>When the conversion is made later on, the data IDFA for that particular user is then shared by the retailer to Facebook which is then used by the company to see if it matches the IDFA of the user who saw the ad. If they pair, it indicates that the ad was useful in generating a conversion. This data performance is then relayed to advertisers so that they can tweak their ad strategies accordingly. Withas much as 96% of usersanticipated to opt out of tracking on all apps, this would mean that mobile ads on 3rdparty apps may no longer be as useful if Facebook cannot really judge its effectiveness anymore. The more ineffective the ads become, the less conversions for retailers, and the more they pivot to other advertising platforms, which will impact the revenues for the firm.</p>\n<p>However, Facebook has disclosed that this will particularly only affect one form of advertisement which relies heavily on the IDFA, known as Audience Networks. Fortunately, the audience network segment only represents less than 10% of the firm’s total revenues. With the impact estimating to cost a drop in50% of all ads deliveredand hence sales from this segment, this would atbest represent a 5% drop in their total revenues. With that said, we do not anticipate that this will be present significant impact moving forward and the firm can easily recoup the 5% loss at worse by focusing on increasing ARPUs and user engagement to save their core business.</p>\n<p>Though Facebook started by disclosing that they anticipated the impact on their revenues to be large at first, this no longer seems to be the case. If anything, history has shown us that Mark is not one to back down and if he doesn’t get his way, he damn well will find another way to minimise loss and increase revenue generation in other segments to make up for it. If you aren’t too involved in the technicalities, we think it’s safe to bet on the jockey in this case. Besides, AR / VR growth,WhatsApp monetization, Reels monetization, further user growth in less developed countries away from the legacy North America and Europe region can very well pick up the lost (US$5BN) in sales.</p>\n<p><b>Moat</b></p>\n<p>As mentioned above, the DAUs and MAUs for Facebook are very impressive with a large portion of the world using at least 1 of their products. The moat for the business relies on the wide user base that Facebook has meticulously built over the course of 17 years. With any new product that they have, the firm can easily roll it out to their database of users and expect demand to pick up in a matter of weeks, maybe even days. That is the power of the network of Facebook that really can’t be valued.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2057a83640201edd89430e754f3f8525\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>Despite the controversy, endless allegations, and negative headlines one after the other, the numbers don’t lie. DAUs have been increasing every single quarter, with the fastest growth observed in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world. US &amp; Canada growth has slowed as it nears saturation levels, and this is perfectly normal and to be expected. The way we anticipate Facebook to grow their core cash cow business moving forward is clean. 1) Focus on growing ARPUs in their saturated legacy areas (US &amp; Canada and Europe) as well as 2) Increase User Growth by Geography in their growth areas (Asia-Pacific and the Rest of the World). Unsurprisingly, Facebook has been focused on doing just that.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce3456321584d2eea288f7e410215571\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to the infamous metric for judging social media companies and their performance – ARPUs, we can see that in the legacy areas, ARPUs have been increasing at a faster pace than compared to growth areas. This falls in line with point number 1 as mentioned above. The legacy areas have already reached saturation levels and user growth is unable to grow at astounding rates anymore. However, since this represent areas that are more developed and generally have higher disposable incomes on the average, focusing on increasing ARPUs and monetizing advertisers is the right strategy and a very feasible one. Though the growth areas are also seeing ARPUs grow YoY as they should, they are not at the same pace as in the US &amp; Canada and Europe. When we look to revenue generated by geography below, this confirms the thesis that revenue is growing faster than user base in those areas, and since ARPU equal to (Total Revenue from that Geography / Number of Users in that area), so long revenue is growing at a faster pace than the user base, they should increase meaningfully.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84eaec3de9bafd595bf4ecf9ffdae16a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to the slide below, it is also apparent that user numbers are growing much faster in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world, away from the legacy areas. Across 2 years, MAUs which is the broadest business performance metric employed by Facebook, grew 22.4% and 25.4% in the growth areas while they only grew a mere 6.6% in US &amp; Canada and 10.2% in Europe.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d72be6c3ca7eb809567503ffc1d4ed9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\"><span>(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>If Facebook can continue to grow their user engagement numbers in the growth areas whilst maximizing ARPUs in legacy areas, the company can easily ensure that the core advertising model will remain the cash cow of the business, funding growth for their other product developments.</p>\n<p><b>Growth Tactics</b></p>\n<p>When we look to potential growth Facebook has, the company isn’t short of any. Facebook has moved to monetizeWhatsApp, where they plan to generate fees from payments made within the app itself as well as through in-app status advertisements. The company is essentially trying to integrate the growth and TAM of the E-commerce market more seamlessly into their family of products including the likes ofWhatsApp. ThroughFacebook Pay, users can now engage in peer-to-peer payments withinWhatsApp itself at no cost. However, when businesses receive a fee from customers through the app itself, they will then have to pay a small ‘processing fee’ to Facebook and this is where it profits. This is the same method that is being employed by Shopify and all the other payment processing channels just that it is now being done locally inWhatsApp itself.WhatsApp payments has launched in Brazil, the 2nd largest market by users and the fee stands at 3.99%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d1d27ff399e3e6fdfbc44a3ff1fb6e6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"557\"><span>(Source:Facebook Newsroom)</span></p>\n<p>The firm has also been trying to grow their presence in the E-commerce market and reduce the friction customers experience when clicking through ads on its platforms. Both Instagram checkout and Facebook shops are aimed at doing just that. Their shops solutions are also expanding toWhatsApp, and the marketplace as observed above. The company sees a major shift to online shopping even after the grand reopening of the economies. As part of its effort over the years, they now have 1.2M active shops across their platforms and more than 300M monthly shop visitors. Thelatest releasestates that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Soon, we’ll give businesses in select countries the option to showcase their Shop inWhatsApp. In the US, we’ll enable them to bring Shops products into Marketplace, helping them reach the more than 1 billion people globally who visit each month.\n</blockquote>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38d87012cd9e376a0bed27a095b01828\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"418\"><span>(Source:Facebook Newsroom)</span></p>\n<p>What’s even more fascinating is the fact that Facebook now plans to integrate new technologies such as AR Dynamic Ads to power the future of shopping. New visual discovery tools on their platforms like Instagram will help customers find new products that they resonate with faster than ever before and help them to visualize their products with AR experiences that they have been working on for a long time now.</p>\n<p>Their continued expansion in the AR/VR market along with the rollout of DIEM, their native digital currency functioning as a stablecoin that was once under the “Libra Project” also presents good growth opportunity in the near future. Facebook is also looking to introducepodcasts and live audio streamsas part of the beginning of their audio journey. In short, Facebook still has a lot of room to grow moving forward apart from looking to squeeze out more cash from their legacy advertising business model. However, as always, product development is one thing, but the financials do need to shape up as well and with Facebook it does.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>Of the FAANG stock group, Facebook enjoys one of the highest margins. The company saw 80.55% in GM in Q1’21 and even in the past, it has enjoyed such high margins, trading between 80.5% to as high as 86.6% in FY17. The chart below also clearly indicates that the remarkable margins trickle down to the bottom line and aren’t wiped out due to operating expenses, registering a NPM of 35.7%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1367468f26c73bde43f494b2b7fb49d6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>FB also routinely spends a large portion of their revenues on R&amp;D, reinvesting into the business YoY to further improve their products and innovate on new ones. In 2020 the R&amp;D expense represented 21.5% of total sales.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b923685aa0489833ae8f50fcddf3601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>A large chunk of the firms’ revenues is also retained on the balance sheet which is then used over the years to funnel money to continue their acquisitive culture. Despite this, the strong cashflow that the firm enjoys allows it to stay at the top of their industry in terms of innovation whilst ensuring that their treasure trove of cash is growing should there be a need to deploy it. When we look to liquid cash that the firm holds (Cash &amp; Equivalents, and STI), Facebook has grown it at a tremendous CAGR of 26.2%. Net Debt has also just been becoming less of a concern over the years. To date, even after the pandemic, Facebook has no debt.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13b40cadc31458233d0ea83ce4917c33\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Given the data above, it is evident that the firm has one of the most pristine balance sheets in the industry and in the whole stock market. The US$62 BN that they hold as cash presents itself as a massive buffer to cushion the impact of whatever comes their way, be it another acquisitive opportunity, or yet another fine. Either way, the company can weather any financial storm and near balance sheet issues aren’t a problem. Shareholders aren’t too pleased with the cash pile just sitting there and would instead rather the firm start paying a dividend or pick up the pace in share buybacks to maximize investor returns. Facebook has never paid a dividend in its entirety and although they may consider that moving forward, we anticipate that it is not a move that they will commit to. In any case, we ourselves hope that they commit to more share buybacks instead of moving to issue a dividend.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5b82506a0385a1265c494b21462678\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"43\"><span>(Source:Q1 10-K Filing SEC)</span></p>\n<p>In their 10-K filing, the company expanded their SRP program to include an additional US$25 BN which will be added atop the US$8.6 BN remaining from a 2017 authorization. That amounts to a current authorized SRP valued at around US$33.6 BN and we anticipate that this may further increase substantially moving forward. Despite outstanding shares reducing overtime, a large part is offset by additional equity issued as part of SBC to employees. It is disappointing that the firm isn’t making more of a definitive move to put that cash pile to use but this is nonetheless not a major red flag.</p>\n<p><b>Valuations</b></p>\n<p>Being a blue-chip company with strong FCF, we would normally value the social media giant with a DCF model. Today, however, we will be looking at EV/Sales and P/E Ratios to try and justify its future valuation, looking 3 years out as always to end 2023.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0878b205b837634b7d2528f57ebe84fc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>Looking 3 years out to end 23, Facebook is projected to grow revenues at an average of 23.4%, with growth in the 30s for this fiscal year. That would mean that Facebook is anticipated to grow revenues to US$160.8 BN by end 2023, up 87% from what they delivered in FY20 in 3 years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1707f8cfee45ce9ebb0e3ac961e78f48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Since 2018, the firm has traded at an average EV/Sales of 8.85, and last exchanged hands at a multiple of 9.76. Although the firm is trading at a multiple above its mean and higher than any of the other stocks as part of the FAANG group, Facebook does have higher estimates than all the other companies in the near future as observed below. The data does not reflect estimates for 2023.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/444e1473e814530e2332cea02637af53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>Moreover, when we look further into the past all the way back to 2013, the company has historically traded at an average of 12.82 and even registered a high close to 22 in 2014. However, since we want to be conservative, but believe that the market has yet to really price Facebook for what it’s worth given all the headline risks in the media that have induced immediate selloffs without any fundamental reason, we will employ a multiple of 9.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8494d3084eed106a9cb0bff0f27cfe7a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>(Source: TIKR.com)</span></p>\n<p>At an EV/Sales multiple of 9, that would put Facebook at a US$1.447 TRN dollar valuation by the end of 2023 and a share price of US$539, an upside of 58%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55014da5e82d1a67caaeb34766b35940\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"294\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>When we look to revenue surprise and analyst estimate beat / miss trends, Facebook has quite the historical track record of surpassing estimates, having done so 10/12 times in the past 3 years. The average upside surprise stands at 3.59%. Assuming Facebook will continue to deliver the same upside surprise moving forward, a 3.59% beat to the top line estimate of 2023 would warrant revenues of US$166.57 BN. At the same EV/Sales ratio of 9, that would render a higher valuation of US$558.77 USD. Given that Facebook is very close to crossing the US$1 TRN dollar valuation mark, we anticipate this to be a very realistic price target.</p>\n<p>Now shifting on to another valuation method by P/E multiples, the valuation also paints a similar picture.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d67f3c257657bc10ee6be38c16d2a1f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"207\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>Turning to earnings estimates, the company is also projected to do high-teens digit growth for 2022 and 2023 and a close to 30% growth in the bottom line for this fiscal year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe26a8eabec7045dc5a904497737623\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Despite trading at the highest EV / Sales ratio of the FAANG stocks, Facebook is trading at the lowest TTM normalized PE Ratio amongst its peers, with the inclusion of Microsoft (FANGMA). This is likely due to the market failing to internalize and appreciate the company’s high NPM and profitability. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 29.14, this is also below its historical means of as high as 60+ in 2016.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247661f12f62820f6266763f49531355\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>However, given that earnings have improved dramatically since and likely won’t be revisiting those levels as seen from the forward estimates, we will stick with what we believe to be a fair multiple for the stickiest company in the world, 30. At a P/E ratio of 30, that would put the end 2023 share price somewhere near levels of US$531.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce908799f1bf9091b49b94e03db7e476\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\"><span>(Source:Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>However, because of a surprisingly good earnings-beat track record once again, this has to be factored in moving forward. Of the last 3 years, Facebook has beat earnings 11/12 times. The average beat comes in at 15.72%. If we were to stick to a similar but more conservative beat of say 7%, that would put 2023 normalized earnings at 18.93. The exact same P/E ratio would now warrant a realistic share price of US$567.8, an upside of 66.3%.</p>\n<p>With all 4 estimates using different methods and assumptions with different levels of conservatism employed delivering a potential share price anywhere between US$531 and US$568, it would be fair to conclude that this is a realistic price target for the cashflow king 3 years out into the future. At the low end of estimates of US$531, this is still indicative of a 55% upside.</p>\n<p><b>Investor Takeaways</b></p>\n<p>To conclude, we believe Facebook has a very strong future ahead and the projected numbers for both the Topline and Bottom line are indicative of potential upside. We place significant emphasis on forward estimates as markets are future discounting mechanisms that react accordingly. The company enjoys unbelievably high margins, has a pristine balance sheet with absolutely no debt, and is anticipated to keep raking in high revenues with strong cashflow numbers.</p>\n<p>With so many growth opportunities such as the monetization ofWhatsApp, AR/VR, shops, marketplace growth, DIEM, and the continued growth in its legacy advertisement business both in terms of MAP and ARPUs, Facebook is here to stay and is nowhere near exhausting its full potential. The sizeable TAMs in each of the different business segments combined with other opportunities such as Facebook Reels which we did not cover, and the fact that it has yet to have been monetized, all point to a bright future.</p>\n<p>That being said, it is a given that the company will face many other bumps along moving forward. Facebook will continue to be subjected to what we call ‘headline risks’ whereby the stock will be overly sold off to the downside based upon nothing fundamental but one-sided exaggerated narratives. This we believe presents the best time to pick up shares and accumulate for the long run. Facebook has been perceived to have engaged in a lot of dubious unethical behaviour surrounding user data but like we said, that is separate from the investment opportunity the company presents and we will leave that to you to decide. Granted that there are many reasons surrounding the company's beat-down reputation, the return on invested capital is a different story and the main one to be focused on when considering if a company is a good investment or not.</p>\n<p>End day, when it comes to blue-chip stocks that have a firm hold in the industry, good sticky products, and solid financials, it is hard for the stock not to trend up overtime so long as estimates paint a bright picture and most importantly, the markets continue to value them in the same rational way. This has not always been the case and can be easily seen from Microsoft’s outperformance hiatus when the Dot Com bubble crashed, and the stock took 17 years to put in a new high. Still, we believe blue chip stocks are a good bet as of now and should be a part of everyone’s portfolio, and Facebook presents the best buy of the FAANG from our perspective. Till next time!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Facebook: Simply Unstoppable</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFacebook: Simply Unstoppable\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-29 16:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.\nDespite an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437000-facebook-simply-unstoppable","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100563900","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe #StopHateforProfit Campaign, antitrust allegations, Apple IDFA issue, and a host of other historical issues have not stopped the social media giant and will not stop it.\nDespite an impressive rally delivering 65% since the start of CY20 and 26% YTD, Facebook remains undervalued relative to its peers and the FAANG stocks with the best forward estimates.\nThe strong moat originating from their sheer user base, and sizeable TAMs in E-commerce, VR/AR, digital assets (DIEM), cumulatively make for a compelling growth story.\nAlthough the company is highly controversial and rightfully so, this article focuses more on the quantitative analysis and less on the morals and ethics behind this investment. That, we shall leave to you.\n\nnemke/E+ via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nFacebook (FB) has had a volatile trading period the past few years with a general uptrend, delivering shareholders nice returns whilst subjecting them to a few major dips which presented investors an opportunity for a steal. Despite the controversy and headline risks every now and then, the company has been able to battle through them and emerge ever so stronger. The company’s financials have been holding up and shows no sign of stoppage anytime soon. In a time as such, with significant uncertainty in the macro environment and inflation fears creeping up, we believe that shifting some of your assets to high cashflow generating companies is a wise strategy that will pay off. Growth and value are 2 different things, and there still exists growth companies that are undervalued and can still generate substantial cashflow, and we believe Facebook is one of them. The company also remains to be one of the more attractive blue-chip stocks compared to the others in the FAANG. We employ a 3–5-year outlook and have been bullish since USD$200/share. Let’s Begin!\nWhat is Facebook\nKnown to all, Facebook is a social media giant with a family of products including the likes of Facebook, Instagram,WhatsApp, Messenger, and now Oculus. The firm essentially has a stronghold in the social media industry and has an impressive DAP of2.72 BN as of Q1’21and MAP of 3.45 BN.\n(Source:FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nThe world has7.874 BNpeople as of the time of this writing and that would mean that 43.8% of all the people in the world use some form of product from Facebook’s portfolio in the past 30 days. On a daily basis, 34.5% of the people in the world use it. If that isn’t a sticky service, nothing really is. If we were to focus on the usage of the Facebook app solely, 23.8% of the world logs into the app daily based on DAUs.\nThe firm was founded in 2004 and generates the majority of their revenue from advertisements. If you have watched the social dilemma on Netflix, you would realize that Facebook’s real customer isn’t everyday users. Instead, users are the product, and they are being sold to advertisers. The company has created such an engaging and sticky service that users are more than happy to be using their apps, despite knowing that their data is being sold from one company to another. As appalling as it is, they’re indifferent to it all and still find the value in using the company’s products on a daily basis – keeping in touch with distant relatives, chatting with friends, staying up to date with the latest fashion trends and news… (According to the Pew Research Center, more than a 1/3 of US adults say they get their news regularly from Facebook)\n(Source:Pew Research Center)\nTo Facebook, this is equally as good as the more users, the wider the ‘product’ base that they have to offer their customers - advertisers. Advertisers are also indifferent to how Facebook attains its data, so long as Facebook’s targeting metrics and trackers are working well, the more likely it is that they are able to generate conversions. The more conversions, the more sales for them, the more ads they continue to pay for, the more revenue Facebook generates. Win-Win-Win, their apps are the bait, and the product (users), customers (advertisers), and supplier (Facebook), all walk away winners. It’s a remarkable business model that has stood the test of time and no matter the amount of controversy around the business, founders, and its practices, it isn’t going anywhere anytime soon and for one simple reason: Users likely can’t do without Facebook’s products whether they are willing to admit it or not.\nWhen we look back in the past to reflect on how the #StopHateForProfit Campaign turned out for the company, it is apparent that the impact it had on the top and bottom line were both minimal. The boycott was one that arose due to Facebook’s bad hate speech regulations and policing, and because of the laissez-faire attitude toward posts from then President, Donald Trump. More than 1000 companies publicly committed to boycotting the social media giant in June/July (coinciding with end Q2 and start Q3) and many of the top 100 advertisers based on ad spend such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, Coca-Cola, all revised their budgets downwards.\nDespite this, Facebook beat on Q2 earnings and saw an increase of 10.7% YOY. In its forward guidance, the company also announced that for July, they were anticipating a slowdown in YoY growth of 17% but was still due to see a 10% increase. They alsoanticipatedthe slowdown in growth to last through till October. However, the company did not attribute this slowdown to the boycott specifically but to 3 other major headwinds. With the benefit of hindsight, we can now see that even for Q3’20, the firm saw an impressive 21.6% rise in its top line, with the bottom line still registering a 12.2% improvement in NPM for Q2’20 YoY and a 200 bps NPM improvement in Q3.\nThe results are clear and indicative of a few things. The boycott by the largest companies did little to Facebook’s financial story as they still managed to register growth and did not see significant pullbacks that were material. This can be tied to the fact that most of Facebook’s advertisers are SMBs. Although certain few SMBs did join the boycott, most didn’t, and the firm still had their impressive 9 million + customer base to rely on. If anything, this also suggests that despite what any SMB stands for and whether they agree with a social cause or not, it is hard for them to find alternatives that they can shift to on a similar pricing scale. Big brands can easily pivot to other advertisements such as TV and radio commercials but SMBs simply can’t because of smaller budgets. Lastly, it is now clear that the campaign affected Facebook’s reputation more so than it did its cashflow.\nRisks\nOther risks that the company may face would be future antitrust lawsuits. As it is, the company is already facing allegations of being a monopoly based on their aggressive acquisitive history having acquired more than90 other companiessince inception. They were alsofined US$5 BNby the FTC in 2019 and were required to adopt their policies and employ new protections for the users and their data that has been shared.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nThough representative of a historic penalty and the largest ever imposed on a company for violating user’s privacy rights, the US$5BN was a drop in the bucket for the giant that went on to generate US$70+ BN dollars for the year.\nThe current issues that they have with Apple’s new iOS changes and the IDFA implications are also likely not going to have a substantial impact on the firm. The Identifier for Advertisers [IDFA] is a random device identifier assigned by Apple to a user's device. Advertisers use this to track data so they can deliver customized advertising on mobile. With the new iOS changes, Apple essentially programmed it such that each app that wants to use these identifiers will have to ask users to opt in for tracking when the app is first launched. If users opt out, the app can’t track certain data and Facebook will have a smaller database of points to rely upon. As consumer preferences change, so will Facebook’s targeting that relies on IDFAs get worse and less effective due to outdated data points.\nAccording to aCNBC article:\n\n Most critically at stake for Facebook is what’s known as view-through conversions. This metric is used by ad-tech companies to measure how many users saw an ad, did not immediately click on it, but later made a purchase related to that ad.”\n\nWhen the conversion is made later on, the data IDFA for that particular user is then shared by the retailer to Facebook which is then used by the company to see if it matches the IDFA of the user who saw the ad. If they pair, it indicates that the ad was useful in generating a conversion. This data performance is then relayed to advertisers so that they can tweak their ad strategies accordingly. Withas much as 96% of usersanticipated to opt out of tracking on all apps, this would mean that mobile ads on 3rdparty apps may no longer be as useful if Facebook cannot really judge its effectiveness anymore. The more ineffective the ads become, the less conversions for retailers, and the more they pivot to other advertising platforms, which will impact the revenues for the firm.\nHowever, Facebook has disclosed that this will particularly only affect one form of advertisement which relies heavily on the IDFA, known as Audience Networks. Fortunately, the audience network segment only represents less than 10% of the firm’s total revenues. With the impact estimating to cost a drop in50% of all ads deliveredand hence sales from this segment, this would atbest represent a 5% drop in their total revenues. With that said, we do not anticipate that this will be present significant impact moving forward and the firm can easily recoup the 5% loss at worse by focusing on increasing ARPUs and user engagement to save their core business.\nThough Facebook started by disclosing that they anticipated the impact on their revenues to be large at first, this no longer seems to be the case. If anything, history has shown us that Mark is not one to back down and if he doesn’t get his way, he damn well will find another way to minimise loss and increase revenue generation in other segments to make up for it. If you aren’t too involved in the technicalities, we think it’s safe to bet on the jockey in this case. Besides, AR / VR growth,WhatsApp monetization, Reels monetization, further user growth in less developed countries away from the legacy North America and Europe region can very well pick up the lost (US$5BN) in sales.\nMoat\nAs mentioned above, the DAUs and MAUs for Facebook are very impressive with a large portion of the world using at least 1 of their products. The moat for the business relies on the wide user base that Facebook has meticulously built over the course of 17 years. With any new product that they have, the firm can easily roll it out to their database of users and expect demand to pick up in a matter of weeks, maybe even days. That is the power of the network of Facebook that really can’t be valued.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nDespite the controversy, endless allegations, and negative headlines one after the other, the numbers don’t lie. DAUs have been increasing every single quarter, with the fastest growth observed in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world. US & Canada growth has slowed as it nears saturation levels, and this is perfectly normal and to be expected. The way we anticipate Facebook to grow their core cash cow business moving forward is clean. 1) Focus on growing ARPUs in their saturated legacy areas (US & Canada and Europe) as well as 2) Increase User Growth by Geography in their growth areas (Asia-Pacific and the Rest of the World). Unsurprisingly, Facebook has been focused on doing just that.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nWhen we look to the infamous metric for judging social media companies and their performance – ARPUs, we can see that in the legacy areas, ARPUs have been increasing at a faster pace than compared to growth areas. This falls in line with point number 1 as mentioned above. The legacy areas have already reached saturation levels and user growth is unable to grow at astounding rates anymore. However, since this represent areas that are more developed and generally have higher disposable incomes on the average, focusing on increasing ARPUs and monetizing advertisers is the right strategy and a very feasible one. Though the growth areas are also seeing ARPUs grow YoY as they should, they are not at the same pace as in the US & Canada and Europe. When we look to revenue generated by geography below, this confirms the thesis that revenue is growing faster than user base in those areas, and since ARPU equal to (Total Revenue from that Geography / Number of Users in that area), so long revenue is growing at a faster pace than the user base, they should increase meaningfully.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nWhen we look to the slide below, it is also apparent that user numbers are growing much faster in Asia-Pacific and the rest of the world, away from the legacy areas. Across 2 years, MAUs which is the broadest business performance metric employed by Facebook, grew 22.4% and 25.4% in the growth areas while they only grew a mere 6.6% in US & Canada and 10.2% in Europe.\n(Source: FB Q1’21 Presentation)\nIf Facebook can continue to grow their user engagement numbers in the growth areas whilst maximizing ARPUs in legacy areas, the company can easily ensure that the core advertising model will remain the cash cow of the business, funding growth for their other product developments.\nGrowth Tactics\nWhen we look to potential growth Facebook has, the company isn’t short of any. Facebook has moved to monetizeWhatsApp, where they plan to generate fees from payments made within the app itself as well as through in-app status advertisements. The company is essentially trying to integrate the growth and TAM of the E-commerce market more seamlessly into their family of products including the likes ofWhatsApp. ThroughFacebook Pay, users can now engage in peer-to-peer payments withinWhatsApp itself at no cost. However, when businesses receive a fee from customers through the app itself, they will then have to pay a small ‘processing fee’ to Facebook and this is where it profits. This is the same method that is being employed by Shopify and all the other payment processing channels just that it is now being done locally inWhatsApp itself.WhatsApp payments has launched in Brazil, the 2nd largest market by users and the fee stands at 3.99%.\n(Source:Facebook Newsroom)\nThe firm has also been trying to grow their presence in the E-commerce market and reduce the friction customers experience when clicking through ads on its platforms. Both Instagram checkout and Facebook shops are aimed at doing just that. Their shops solutions are also expanding toWhatsApp, and the marketplace as observed above. The company sees a major shift to online shopping even after the grand reopening of the economies. As part of its effort over the years, they now have 1.2M active shops across their platforms and more than 300M monthly shop visitors. Thelatest releasestates that:\n\n Soon, we’ll give businesses in select countries the option to showcase their Shop inWhatsApp. In the US, we’ll enable them to bring Shops products into Marketplace, helping them reach the more than 1 billion people globally who visit each month.\n\n(Source:Facebook Newsroom)\nWhat’s even more fascinating is the fact that Facebook now plans to integrate new technologies such as AR Dynamic Ads to power the future of shopping. New visual discovery tools on their platforms like Instagram will help customers find new products that they resonate with faster than ever before and help them to visualize their products with AR experiences that they have been working on for a long time now.\nTheir continued expansion in the AR/VR market along with the rollout of DIEM, their native digital currency functioning as a stablecoin that was once under the “Libra Project” also presents good growth opportunity in the near future. Facebook is also looking to introducepodcasts and live audio streamsas part of the beginning of their audio journey. In short, Facebook still has a lot of room to grow moving forward apart from looking to squeeze out more cash from their legacy advertising business model. However, as always, product development is one thing, but the financials do need to shape up as well and with Facebook it does.\nFinancials\nOf the FAANG stock group, Facebook enjoys one of the highest margins. The company saw 80.55% in GM in Q1’21 and even in the past, it has enjoyed such high margins, trading between 80.5% to as high as 86.6% in FY17. The chart below also clearly indicates that the remarkable margins trickle down to the bottom line and aren’t wiped out due to operating expenses, registering a NPM of 35.7%.\nData by YCharts\nFB also routinely spends a large portion of their revenues on R&D, reinvesting into the business YoY to further improve their products and innovate on new ones. In 2020 the R&D expense represented 21.5% of total sales.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nA large chunk of the firms’ revenues is also retained on the balance sheet which is then used over the years to funnel money to continue their acquisitive culture. Despite this, the strong cashflow that the firm enjoys allows it to stay at the top of their industry in terms of innovation whilst ensuring that their treasure trove of cash is growing should there be a need to deploy it. When we look to liquid cash that the firm holds (Cash & Equivalents, and STI), Facebook has grown it at a tremendous CAGR of 26.2%. Net Debt has also just been becoming less of a concern over the years. To date, even after the pandemic, Facebook has no debt.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nGiven the data above, it is evident that the firm has one of the most pristine balance sheets in the industry and in the whole stock market. The US$62 BN that they hold as cash presents itself as a massive buffer to cushion the impact of whatever comes their way, be it another acquisitive opportunity, or yet another fine. Either way, the company can weather any financial storm and near balance sheet issues aren’t a problem. Shareholders aren’t too pleased with the cash pile just sitting there and would instead rather the firm start paying a dividend or pick up the pace in share buybacks to maximize investor returns. Facebook has never paid a dividend in its entirety and although they may consider that moving forward, we anticipate that it is not a move that they will commit to. In any case, we ourselves hope that they commit to more share buybacks instead of moving to issue a dividend.\n(Source:Q1 10-K Filing SEC)\nIn their 10-K filing, the company expanded their SRP program to include an additional US$25 BN which will be added atop the US$8.6 BN remaining from a 2017 authorization. That amounts to a current authorized SRP valued at around US$33.6 BN and we anticipate that this may further increase substantially moving forward. Despite outstanding shares reducing overtime, a large part is offset by additional equity issued as part of SBC to employees. It is disappointing that the firm isn’t making more of a definitive move to put that cash pile to use but this is nonetheless not a major red flag.\nValuations\nBeing a blue-chip company with strong FCF, we would normally value the social media giant with a DCF model. Today, however, we will be looking at EV/Sales and P/E Ratios to try and justify its future valuation, looking 3 years out as always to end 2023.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nLooking 3 years out to end 23, Facebook is projected to grow revenues at an average of 23.4%, with growth in the 30s for this fiscal year. That would mean that Facebook is anticipated to grow revenues to US$160.8 BN by end 2023, up 87% from what they delivered in FY20 in 3 years.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nSince 2018, the firm has traded at an average EV/Sales of 8.85, and last exchanged hands at a multiple of 9.76. Although the firm is trading at a multiple above its mean and higher than any of the other stocks as part of the FAANG group, Facebook does have higher estimates than all the other companies in the near future as observed below. The data does not reflect estimates for 2023.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nMoreover, when we look further into the past all the way back to 2013, the company has historically traded at an average of 12.82 and even registered a high close to 22 in 2014. However, since we want to be conservative, but believe that the market has yet to really price Facebook for what it’s worth given all the headline risks in the media that have induced immediate selloffs without any fundamental reason, we will employ a multiple of 9.\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nAt an EV/Sales multiple of 9, that would put Facebook at a US$1.447 TRN dollar valuation by the end of 2023 and a share price of US$539, an upside of 58%.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nWhen we look to revenue surprise and analyst estimate beat / miss trends, Facebook has quite the historical track record of surpassing estimates, having done so 10/12 times in the past 3 years. The average upside surprise stands at 3.59%. Assuming Facebook will continue to deliver the same upside surprise moving forward, a 3.59% beat to the top line estimate of 2023 would warrant revenues of US$166.57 BN. At the same EV/Sales ratio of 9, that would render a higher valuation of US$558.77 USD. Given that Facebook is very close to crossing the US$1 TRN dollar valuation mark, we anticipate this to be a very realistic price target.\nNow shifting on to another valuation method by P/E multiples, the valuation also paints a similar picture.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nTurning to earnings estimates, the company is also projected to do high-teens digit growth for 2022 and 2023 and a close to 30% growth in the bottom line for this fiscal year.\nData by YCharts\nDespite trading at the highest EV / Sales ratio of the FAANG stocks, Facebook is trading at the lowest TTM normalized PE Ratio amongst its peers, with the inclusion of Microsoft (FANGMA). This is likely due to the market failing to internalize and appreciate the company’s high NPM and profitability. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 29.14, this is also below its historical means of as high as 60+ in 2016.\nData by YCharts\nHowever, given that earnings have improved dramatically since and likely won’t be revisiting those levels as seen from the forward estimates, we will stick with what we believe to be a fair multiple for the stickiest company in the world, 30. At a P/E ratio of 30, that would put the end 2023 share price somewhere near levels of US$531.\n(Source:Seeking Alpha)\nHowever, because of a surprisingly good earnings-beat track record once again, this has to be factored in moving forward. Of the last 3 years, Facebook has beat earnings 11/12 times. The average beat comes in at 15.72%. If we were to stick to a similar but more conservative beat of say 7%, that would put 2023 normalized earnings at 18.93. The exact same P/E ratio would now warrant a realistic share price of US$567.8, an upside of 66.3%.\nWith all 4 estimates using different methods and assumptions with different levels of conservatism employed delivering a potential share price anywhere between US$531 and US$568, it would be fair to conclude that this is a realistic price target for the cashflow king 3 years out into the future. At the low end of estimates of US$531, this is still indicative of a 55% upside.\nInvestor Takeaways\nTo conclude, we believe Facebook has a very strong future ahead and the projected numbers for both the Topline and Bottom line are indicative of potential upside. We place significant emphasis on forward estimates as markets are future discounting mechanisms that react accordingly. The company enjoys unbelievably high margins, has a pristine balance sheet with absolutely no debt, and is anticipated to keep raking in high revenues with strong cashflow numbers.\nWith so many growth opportunities such as the monetization ofWhatsApp, AR/VR, shops, marketplace growth, DIEM, and the continued growth in its legacy advertisement business both in terms of MAP and ARPUs, Facebook is here to stay and is nowhere near exhausting its full potential. The sizeable TAMs in each of the different business segments combined with other opportunities such as Facebook Reels which we did not cover, and the fact that it has yet to have been monetized, all point to a bright future.\nThat being said, it is a given that the company will face many other bumps along moving forward. Facebook will continue to be subjected to what we call ‘headline risks’ whereby the stock will be overly sold off to the downside based upon nothing fundamental but one-sided exaggerated narratives. This we believe presents the best time to pick up shares and accumulate for the long run. Facebook has been perceived to have engaged in a lot of dubious unethical behaviour surrounding user data but like we said, that is separate from the investment opportunity the company presents and we will leave that to you to decide. Granted that there are many reasons surrounding the company's beat-down reputation, the return on invested capital is a different story and the main one to be focused on when considering if a company is a good investment or not.\nEnd day, when it comes to blue-chip stocks that have a firm hold in the industry, good sticky products, and solid financials, it is hard for the stock not to trend up overtime so long as estimates paint a bright picture and most importantly, the markets continue to value them in the same rational way. This has not always been the case and can be easily seen from Microsoft’s outperformance hiatus when the Dot Com bubble crashed, and the stock took 17 years to put in a new high. Still, we believe blue chip stocks are a good bet as of now and should be a part of everyone’s portfolio, and Facebook presents the best buy of the FAANG from our perspective. Till next time!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054224659,"gmtCreate":1655395689371,"gmtModify":1676535630184,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wait and see","listText":"Wait and see","text":"Wait and see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054224659","repostId":"1180346675","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055935194,"gmtCreate":1655223291619,"gmtModify":1676535589021,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"See how","listText":"See how","text":"See how","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055935194","repostId":"2243608219","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170439099,"gmtCreate":1626444961211,"gmtModify":1703760361310,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmm&nbsp;","listText":"Hmmm&nbsp;","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170439099","repostId":"2151450981","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2151450981","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1626442140,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2151450981?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 21:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It's Game Over for AMC, but These Stocks Can Still Go to the Moon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151450981","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Retail investors looking for businesses with tangible growth prospects should consider buying this trio of companies.","content":"<p>When 2021 comes to a close, it'll undoubtedly be remembered for the way retail investors made their presence known on Wall Street. Despite putting their money to work in equities for more than a century, retail investors moved stock prices like never before.</p>\n<p>The handful of companies these retail folks have piled into have come to be known as the \"meme stocks\" -- essentially, companies valued more for the hype they create on social media than their operating performance. At the top of the list for most meme investors is movie theater chain <b>AMC Entertainment</b> (NYSE:AMC), which until this past week was the top-performing stock on a year-to-date basis.</p>\n<h2>Wall Street and investors are wising up to the AMC pump-and-dump scheme</h2>\n<p>Unfortunately, AMC doesn't look as if it'll ever be \"going to the moon.\"</p>\n<p>The bull thesis for AMC, which disregards virtually all concrete fundamental data, relies on social media hype, constant misinformation, and outright lies to fuel an artificially higher share price. The problem is that Wall Street and investors are wising up to the misinformation and deceptive tactics being employed by AMC's emotionally driven retail investors, known as apes, which has resulted in AMC's shares losing 42% since June 28, with a lot more downside to go.</p>\n<p>Prior to the pandemic, AMC was never worth more than $3.8 billion. Today, with vaccination rates on the rise, AMC is worth $17 billion and it's:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Nowhere near the peak sales produced before the pandemic.</li>\n <li>Losing money hand over fist, compared to being profitable prior to the pandemic.</li>\n <li>Contending with billions of dollars in additional debt.</li>\n <li>Carrying around $473 million in deferred rental obligations, as of the end of March.</li>\n <li>Clearly losing revenue to streaming competitors (e.g., <b>Walt Disney</b>'s Disney+ garnering $60 million in debut weekend revenue for <i>Black Widow</i>).</li>\n</ul>\n<p>To boot, virtually all claims made by apes to ignite a rally in AMC's share price can be easily proved as false or misleading. Consider the following as two good examples of ongoing mistruths designed to artificially inflate AMC's share price:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shares sold short have declined from around 102 million at the end of May to about 75.5 million as of the end of June, according to official (not estimated) data. Apes claiming short interest is climbing or \"shorts haven't covered\" are flat out wrong. This also severely dents the idea that \"a short squeeze is coming,\" which you'll hear echoed daily on social media without any proof or basis.</li>\n <li>Buying and short-selling stock has no impact whatsoever on the performance of an underlying business. This disproves the idea that short-selling bankrupts companies (a core and blatantly incorrect thesis of apes), and it also demonstrates that apes didn't save AMC. The capital that saved AMC from immediate bankruptcy came from share sales and debt issuances in 2020 and early January. Operating performance, not buying and selling activity from investors, determines if a company is successful or fails.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>It may be a choppy road lower, but make no mistake about it, the jig is up and we've entered the dump phase of the cycle.</p>\n<h2>This trio of stocks can go to the moon</h2>\n<p>The good news is that there <i>are</i> companies out there with tangible growth potential that really could go to the moon. If you allow your investment thesis to play out, all three of the following stocks can blast off.</p>\n<h2>Sea Limited</h2>\n<p>Don't let anyone tell you large-cap stocks can't go to the moon. Despite its seemingly lofty $144 billion market cap, Singapore-based <b>Sea Limited</b> (NYSE:SE) has three rapidly growing operating segments that could make investors rich.</p>\n<p>For the moment, Sea is generating all of its positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) from its gaming division. The popularity of Sea's mobile games, coupled with the pandemic keeping more people in their homes, pushed the company's quarterly active users higher by 61% in the first quarter to 649 million. More importantly, 12.3% of these users were paying to play, which is considerably higher than the industry average.</p>\n<p>Over the long run, e-commerce platform Shopee is what'll generate the most buzz. For example, the $12.6 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) that was purchased on Shopee in Q1 2021 handily surpasses total GMV from all of 2018. Shopee is the most downloaded shopping app in Southeast Asia, and it's quickly gaining traction in Brazil.</p>\n<p>Thirdly, Sea has a relatively nascent but fast-growing digital financial services segment. When the first quarter came to a close, it had more than 26 million paying mobile wallet customers. Since many of the emerging markets Sea operates in are somewhat underbanked, this digital financial services division could be a sneaky long-term growth driver.</p>\n<h2>Skillz</h2>\n<p>Another high-growth stock that could eventually go to the moon is esports and gaming company <b>Skillz</b> (NYSE:SKLZ).</p>\n<p>Admittedly, gaming is a highly competitive industry. Developing new games is a time-consuming and costly process, and there's no guarantee that a new game will be well-received. It's for all of these reasons that Skillz didn't go the traditional development route. Rather, it operates a gaming platform that allows players to compete against each other for cash prizes. Maintaining this platform doesn't cost an arm and a leg (gross margin has consistently been 95%), and both Skillz and gaming developers get to keep a cut of the cash prizes.</p>\n<p>When the first quarter came to a close, Skillz had approximately 467,000 monthly active users (MAUs) that were paying to pay on its platform. That's 17% of its MAU base. According to Wappier Gaming Apps, the conversion rate for paying gamers ranged from 1.6% to 2% in 2020. In other words, Skillz is converting casual gamers to paying members at a considerably higher rate than other gaming companies.</p>\n<p>Skillz also has an incredibly lucrative partnership in its back pocket. In February, it signed a multiyear agreement with the National Football League (NFL). Football is the most popular sport by a long shot in the U.S. The expectation is that we'll see NFL-themed games and competitions hitting the platform by no later than 2022.</p>\n<p>Though Skillz is likely to lose money through 2022 as it beefs up marketing, its insane growth potential and potentially lucrative margins can't be overlooked.</p>\n<h2>Trulieve Cannabis</h2>\n<p>A final stock that can go to the moon is U.S. marijuana stock <b>Trulieve Cannabis</b> (OTC:TCNNF). According to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFC.U\">New Frontier</a> Data, the U.S. pot industry could be generating north of $41 billion in annual sales by 2025.</p>\n<p>Whereas most U.S. multistate operators are angling to have a presence in as many legalized markets as possible, Trulieve has taken on a strategy that looked odd at first, but has paid off incredibly well. Of the 91 dispensaries it had open in early July, 85 of them were located in medical marijuana-legal Florida. By absolutely saturating the Sunshine State, Trulieve has effectively gobbled up around half of all dried cannabis flower and oils market share. At the same time, its marketing costs have been kept low, pushing the company to 13 consecutive quarters of profitability.</p>\n<p>But make no mistake about it, Trulieve does have aspirations of moving beyond Florida. For instance, it recently announced the largest U.S. cannabis acquisition in history -- a $2.1 billion all-stock deal to acquire multistate operator <b>Harvest Health &amp; Recreation</b> (OTC:HRVSF). Harvest has a focus on five states, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of which is Florida. This means Trulieve's presence in the Sunshine State will soon get even bigger.</p>\n<p>However, the real lure of this deal is the 15 dispensaries Harvest Health operates in its home market of Arizona, a state that legalized recreational weed in November. Trulieve shouldn't have any problem taking its Florida blueprint and applying it in other key markets. This gives it a good chance to go to the moon in the future.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It's Game Over for AMC, but These Stocks Can Still Go to the Moon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt's Game Over for AMC, but These Stocks Can Still Go to the Moon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 21:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/16/its-game-over-for-amc-these-stocks-can-go-to-moon/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When 2021 comes to a close, it'll undoubtedly be remembered for the way retail investors made their presence known on Wall Street. Despite putting their money to work in equities for more than a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/16/its-game-over-for-amc-these-stocks-can-go-to-moon/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd","SKLZ":"Skillz Inc","TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/16/its-game-over-for-amc-these-stocks-can-go-to-moon/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151450981","content_text":"When 2021 comes to a close, it'll undoubtedly be remembered for the way retail investors made their presence known on Wall Street. Despite putting their money to work in equities for more than a century, retail investors moved stock prices like never before.\nThe handful of companies these retail folks have piled into have come to be known as the \"meme stocks\" -- essentially, companies valued more for the hype they create on social media than their operating performance. At the top of the list for most meme investors is movie theater chain AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC), which until this past week was the top-performing stock on a year-to-date basis.\nWall Street and investors are wising up to the AMC pump-and-dump scheme\nUnfortunately, AMC doesn't look as if it'll ever be \"going to the moon.\"\nThe bull thesis for AMC, which disregards virtually all concrete fundamental data, relies on social media hype, constant misinformation, and outright lies to fuel an artificially higher share price. The problem is that Wall Street and investors are wising up to the misinformation and deceptive tactics being employed by AMC's emotionally driven retail investors, known as apes, which has resulted in AMC's shares losing 42% since June 28, with a lot more downside to go.\nPrior to the pandemic, AMC was never worth more than $3.8 billion. Today, with vaccination rates on the rise, AMC is worth $17 billion and it's:\n\nNowhere near the peak sales produced before the pandemic.\nLosing money hand over fist, compared to being profitable prior to the pandemic.\nContending with billions of dollars in additional debt.\nCarrying around $473 million in deferred rental obligations, as of the end of March.\nClearly losing revenue to streaming competitors (e.g., Walt Disney's Disney+ garnering $60 million in debut weekend revenue for Black Widow).\n\nTo boot, virtually all claims made by apes to ignite a rally in AMC's share price can be easily proved as false or misleading. Consider the following as two good examples of ongoing mistruths designed to artificially inflate AMC's share price:\n\nShares sold short have declined from around 102 million at the end of May to about 75.5 million as of the end of June, according to official (not estimated) data. Apes claiming short interest is climbing or \"shorts haven't covered\" are flat out wrong. This also severely dents the idea that \"a short squeeze is coming,\" which you'll hear echoed daily on social media without any proof or basis.\nBuying and short-selling stock has no impact whatsoever on the performance of an underlying business. This disproves the idea that short-selling bankrupts companies (a core and blatantly incorrect thesis of apes), and it also demonstrates that apes didn't save AMC. The capital that saved AMC from immediate bankruptcy came from share sales and debt issuances in 2020 and early January. Operating performance, not buying and selling activity from investors, determines if a company is successful or fails.\n\nIt may be a choppy road lower, but make no mistake about it, the jig is up and we've entered the dump phase of the cycle.\nThis trio of stocks can go to the moon\nThe good news is that there are companies out there with tangible growth potential that really could go to the moon. If you allow your investment thesis to play out, all three of the following stocks can blast off.\nSea Limited\nDon't let anyone tell you large-cap stocks can't go to the moon. Despite its seemingly lofty $144 billion market cap, Singapore-based Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) has three rapidly growing operating segments that could make investors rich.\nFor the moment, Sea is generating all of its positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) from its gaming division. The popularity of Sea's mobile games, coupled with the pandemic keeping more people in their homes, pushed the company's quarterly active users higher by 61% in the first quarter to 649 million. More importantly, 12.3% of these users were paying to play, which is considerably higher than the industry average.\nOver the long run, e-commerce platform Shopee is what'll generate the most buzz. For example, the $12.6 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) that was purchased on Shopee in Q1 2021 handily surpasses total GMV from all of 2018. Shopee is the most downloaded shopping app in Southeast Asia, and it's quickly gaining traction in Brazil.\nThirdly, Sea has a relatively nascent but fast-growing digital financial services segment. When the first quarter came to a close, it had more than 26 million paying mobile wallet customers. Since many of the emerging markets Sea operates in are somewhat underbanked, this digital financial services division could be a sneaky long-term growth driver.\nSkillz\nAnother high-growth stock that could eventually go to the moon is esports and gaming company Skillz (NYSE:SKLZ).\nAdmittedly, gaming is a highly competitive industry. Developing new games is a time-consuming and costly process, and there's no guarantee that a new game will be well-received. It's for all of these reasons that Skillz didn't go the traditional development route. Rather, it operates a gaming platform that allows players to compete against each other for cash prizes. Maintaining this platform doesn't cost an arm and a leg (gross margin has consistently been 95%), and both Skillz and gaming developers get to keep a cut of the cash prizes.\nWhen the first quarter came to a close, Skillz had approximately 467,000 monthly active users (MAUs) that were paying to pay on its platform. That's 17% of its MAU base. According to Wappier Gaming Apps, the conversion rate for paying gamers ranged from 1.6% to 2% in 2020. In other words, Skillz is converting casual gamers to paying members at a considerably higher rate than other gaming companies.\nSkillz also has an incredibly lucrative partnership in its back pocket. In February, it signed a multiyear agreement with the National Football League (NFL). Football is the most popular sport by a long shot in the U.S. The expectation is that we'll see NFL-themed games and competitions hitting the platform by no later than 2022.\nThough Skillz is likely to lose money through 2022 as it beefs up marketing, its insane growth potential and potentially lucrative margins can't be overlooked.\nTrulieve Cannabis\nA final stock that can go to the moon is U.S. marijuana stock Trulieve Cannabis (OTC:TCNNF). According to New Frontier Data, the U.S. pot industry could be generating north of $41 billion in annual sales by 2025.\nWhereas most U.S. multistate operators are angling to have a presence in as many legalized markets as possible, Trulieve has taken on a strategy that looked odd at first, but has paid off incredibly well. Of the 91 dispensaries it had open in early July, 85 of them were located in medical marijuana-legal Florida. By absolutely saturating the Sunshine State, Trulieve has effectively gobbled up around half of all dried cannabis flower and oils market share. At the same time, its marketing costs have been kept low, pushing the company to 13 consecutive quarters of profitability.\nBut make no mistake about it, Trulieve does have aspirations of moving beyond Florida. For instance, it recently announced the largest U.S. cannabis acquisition in history -- a $2.1 billion all-stock deal to acquire multistate operator Harvest Health & Recreation (OTC:HRVSF). Harvest has a focus on five states, one of which is Florida. This means Trulieve's presence in the Sunshine State will soon get even bigger.\nHowever, the real lure of this deal is the 15 dispensaries Harvest Health operates in its home market of Arizona, a state that legalized recreational weed in November. Trulieve shouldn't have any problem taking its Florida blueprint and applying it in other key markets. This gives it a good chance to go to the moon in the future.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154023806,"gmtCreate":1625461810405,"gmtModify":1703742188946,"author":{"id":"3574891778837790","authorId":"3574891778837790","name":"DerekC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02824f1a06daf256b2ea13cc9eba6e85","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574891778837790","authorIdStr":"3574891778837790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154023806","repostId":"1170100655","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170100655","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625452503,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170100655?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-05 10:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Best E-Commerce Stocks To Buy In July 2021? 4 Names In Focus","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170100655","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"Could These Be The Top E-Commerce Stocks To Watch Right Now?E-commerce stocks had a historic year in thestock marketlast year. Well, it shouldn’t come as a surprise since many countries around the world were sent into lockdown. At that point, most shopping activities were conducted online. So, even those who were skeptical of online shopping initially must have been exposed to e-commerce platforms. This is of course due to the advancement of technology as well. Some company’s platforms such as P","content":"<p>Could These Be The Top E-Commerce Stocks To Watch Right Now?</p>\n<p>E-commerce stocks had a historic year in thestock marketlast year. Well, it shouldn’t come as a surprise since many countries around the world were sent into lockdown. At that point, most shopping activities were conducted online. So, even those who were skeptical of online shopping initially must have been exposed to e-commerce platforms. This is of course due to the advancement of technology as well. Some company’s platforms such as Pinterest Inc (NYSE: PINS) even have augmented reality features that would allow you to have a rough idea of what you’re getting.</p>\n<p>The shift to online shopping has resulted in many emerging e-commerce companies. For example, we have Jumia Technologies (NYSE: JMIA) that aims to be the top online marketplace in the whole of Africa. Perhaps, this should not be overlooked as e-commerce is still a growing sector in Africa. Moreover, JMIA stock has already soared by more than 400% just within the past year. Now, if you are optimistic about the future of e-commerce, here’s a list of fourtop e-commerce stocks to watchin thestock market today.</p>\n<p>Best E-Commerce Stocks To Watch</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ETSY\">Etsy</a> Inc</b>(NASDAQ: ETSY)</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAYL\">eBay</a> Inc</b>(NASDAQ: EBAY)</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a> Group Holding Ltd</b>(NYSE: BABA)</li>\n <li><b>Chewy Inc</b>(NYSE: CHWY)</li>\n</ul>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ETSY\">Etsy</a> Inc</p>\n<p>Let us start the list with Etsy. The company operates a marketplace where people globally connect, both online and offline to sell and buy goods. It also offers a range of seller services and tools that help entrepreneurs manage their businesses. As of now, the company’s seller services include Direct Checkout, Promoted Listings, Shipping Labels, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PEGI\">Pattern</a> by Etsy. ETSY stock has risen by over 80% over the past year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4998810533317bc7562c92dbf9801556\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>On Monday, Etsy signed a definitive agreement to acquire Elo7, a privately held marketplace for unique, handmade items, ranked as a top 10 e-commerce site in Brazil. The Elo7 marketplace connects approximately 1.9 million active buyers with approximately 56,000 active sellers and currently has approximately 8 million items for sale. Hence, this deal would establish Etsy’s presence in Latin America, an underpenetrated e-commerce region.</p>\n<p>Etsy is not resting on its laurels. It also signed a definitive agreement to acquire Depop, a purpose-driven marketplace for unique fashion for $1.625 billion earlier in June. Depop is a community-powered marketplace to buy and sell unique fashion, with a mission to build the world’s most diverse and progressive home of fashion. It appears that 90% of Depop’s active users are under the age of 26. So, this could serve as a resale home for Gen Z consumers to the Etsy family. Given all these exciting developments, would you consider investing in ETSY stock?</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> Inc</p>\n<p>Next, we have <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the industry leaders of e-commerce, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAYL\">eBay</a>. Essentially, the company operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers globally. This includes its online marketplace at ebay.com and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> suite of mobile apps. So, you could buy, sell, and pay for items through various online and offline channels. eBay stock has been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the better-performing stocks within the e-commerce space this year. It has climbed by over 35% year-to-date.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3225891cc70ad7e916ca99aa07101ba2\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> last week, the company announced the completion of the transfer of its Classifieds business to Adevinta in exchange for $2.5 billion cash and a 44% equity stake in Adevinta. This combination will hopefully create a leading global online classifieds business. In the long run, both companies will be primed to benefit from its combined portfolio that may offer additional value for its customers and shareholders.</p>\n<p>eBay also had an impressive first quarter to start the year with the highest revenue growth since 2005. Its revenue was $3.0 billion, up 42% on an as-reported basis. There was also increased activity on its platform. Annual active buyers grew by 7%, now at a total of 187 million. Meanwhile, its annual active sellers grew by 8%, for a total of 20 million. We can see that the company is firing on all cylinders as we recover from the global pandemic. With that in mind, would you add EBAY stock to your watchlist?</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">Alibaba</a> Group Holding Ltd</p>\n<p>Coming up next, we have <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the largest e-commerce companies in the world, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>. The company’s technology infrastructure and marketing reach help merchants and brands to leverage the power of technology to engage its users, and customers to operate. As of today, its three main sites, Taobao, Tmall, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">Alibaba</a>.com boast hundreds of millions of users and host millions of merchants and businesses.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd0bf902b6908baca1ebc71478c54967\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Fundamentally, the company is as strong as ever. For its fourth-quarter fiscal 2021 earnings report, its revenue climbed to $28.6 billion, representing a 64% increase. Alibaba also reported 811 million annual active consumers in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> which represents an 11% growth year-over-year. This is important because retaining and attracting active consumers would support the company’s business model.</p>\n<p>That said, it has not been a fantastic year for Alibaba this year. The company’s struggle this year was affected by the Chinese government. Alibaba was hit with a record fine of $2.75 billion earlier in April. However, the worst could be over for the company as the Chinese government is slowly shifting its focus to the company’s competitors. So, if you have missed the boat on BABA stock prior to this, could this be the classic buy-on-dip opportunity?</p>\n<p>Chewy Inc</p>\n<p>Last on this list, we have an e-commerce company that specializes in pet products, Chewy. In essence, it provides pet food and treats, pet supplies and pet medications, and other pet-health products, as well as pet services. Pet lovers out there could access all these products through its chewy.com retail website, and its mobile applications. The company stock may have been trading sideways since the start of the year. But, it has still climbed by over 70% over the past year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15d6c920416f733d0edf62d1148a8061\" tg-width=\"250\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>In June, the company posted its first-quarter financial report that beat analysts’ expectations. Its net sales were $2.14 billion, growing 31.7% year-over-year. Meanwhile, its adjusted EBITDA came in at $77.4 million and its net income was $38.7 million. More importantly, Chewy added 600,000 active customers during the quarter which brings the number of active customers to 19.2 million. All in all, the company is growing in the right direction.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, Chewy also continues to innovate on their popular telehealth service, Connect with a Vet. May’s expansion includes the highly anticipated video consultation feature which allows pre-scheduling virtual vet consultation and extended hours of operation including weekends. With this, customers gain more accessibility to the company’s services and a better experience overall. With that in mind, would CHWY stock make your watchlist?</p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Best E-Commerce Stocks To Buy In July 2021? 4 Names In Focus</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBest E-Commerce Stocks To Buy In July 2021? 4 Names In Focus\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-05 10:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/best-e-commerce-stocks-to-buy-in-july-2021-4-names-in-focus-2021-07-02><strong>Nasdaq</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Could These Be The Top E-Commerce Stocks To Watch Right Now?\nE-commerce stocks had a historic year in thestock marketlast year. Well, it shouldn’t come as a surprise since many countries around the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/best-e-commerce-stocks-to-buy-in-july-2021-4-names-in-focus-2021-07-02\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EBAY":"eBay","CHWY":"Chewy, Inc.","ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/best-e-commerce-stocks-to-buy-in-july-2021-4-names-in-focus-2021-07-02","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170100655","content_text":"Could These Be The Top E-Commerce Stocks To Watch Right Now?\nE-commerce stocks had a historic year in thestock marketlast year. Well, it shouldn’t come as a surprise since many countries around the world were sent into lockdown. At that point, most shopping activities were conducted online. So, even those who were skeptical of online shopping initially must have been exposed to e-commerce platforms. This is of course due to the advancement of technology as well. Some company’s platforms such as Pinterest Inc (NYSE: PINS) even have augmented reality features that would allow you to have a rough idea of what you’re getting.\nThe shift to online shopping has resulted in many emerging e-commerce companies. For example, we have Jumia Technologies (NYSE: JMIA) that aims to be the top online marketplace in the whole of Africa. Perhaps, this should not be overlooked as e-commerce is still a growing sector in Africa. Moreover, JMIA stock has already soared by more than 400% just within the past year. Now, if you are optimistic about the future of e-commerce, here’s a list of fourtop e-commerce stocks to watchin thestock market today.\nBest E-Commerce Stocks To Watch\n\nEtsy Inc(NASDAQ: ETSY)\neBay Inc(NASDAQ: EBAY)\nAlibaba Group Holding Ltd(NYSE: BABA)\nChewy Inc(NYSE: CHWY)\n\nEtsy Inc\nLet us start the list with Etsy. The company operates a marketplace where people globally connect, both online and offline to sell and buy goods. It also offers a range of seller services and tools that help entrepreneurs manage their businesses. As of now, the company’s seller services include Direct Checkout, Promoted Listings, Shipping Labels, and Pattern by Etsy. ETSY stock has risen by over 80% over the past year.\n\nOn Monday, Etsy signed a definitive agreement to acquire Elo7, a privately held marketplace for unique, handmade items, ranked as a top 10 e-commerce site in Brazil. The Elo7 marketplace connects approximately 1.9 million active buyers with approximately 56,000 active sellers and currently has approximately 8 million items for sale. Hence, this deal would establish Etsy’s presence in Latin America, an underpenetrated e-commerce region.\nEtsy is not resting on its laurels. It also signed a definitive agreement to acquire Depop, a purpose-driven marketplace for unique fashion for $1.625 billion earlier in June. Depop is a community-powered marketplace to buy and sell unique fashion, with a mission to build the world’s most diverse and progressive home of fashion. It appears that 90% of Depop’s active users are under the age of 26. So, this could serve as a resale home for Gen Z consumers to the Etsy family. Given all these exciting developments, would you consider investing in ETSY stock?\neBay Inc\nNext, we have one of the industry leaders of e-commerce, eBay. Essentially, the company operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers globally. This includes its online marketplace at ebay.com and the eBay suite of mobile apps. So, you could buy, sell, and pay for items through various online and offline channels. eBay stock has been one of the better-performing stocks within the e-commerce space this year. It has climbed by over 35% year-to-date.\n\nJust last week, the company announced the completion of the transfer of its Classifieds business to Adevinta in exchange for $2.5 billion cash and a 44% equity stake in Adevinta. This combination will hopefully create a leading global online classifieds business. In the long run, both companies will be primed to benefit from its combined portfolio that may offer additional value for its customers and shareholders.\neBay also had an impressive first quarter to start the year with the highest revenue growth since 2005. Its revenue was $3.0 billion, up 42% on an as-reported basis. There was also increased activity on its platform. Annual active buyers grew by 7%, now at a total of 187 million. Meanwhile, its annual active sellers grew by 8%, for a total of 20 million. We can see that the company is firing on all cylinders as we recover from the global pandemic. With that in mind, would you add EBAY stock to your watchlist?\nAlibaba Group Holding Ltd\nComing up next, we have one of the largest e-commerce companies in the world, Alibaba. The company’s technology infrastructure and marketing reach help merchants and brands to leverage the power of technology to engage its users, and customers to operate. As of today, its three main sites, Taobao, Tmall, and Alibaba.com boast hundreds of millions of users and host millions of merchants and businesses.\n\nFundamentally, the company is as strong as ever. For its fourth-quarter fiscal 2021 earnings report, its revenue climbed to $28.6 billion, representing a 64% increase. Alibaba also reported 811 million annual active consumers in China which represents an 11% growth year-over-year. This is important because retaining and attracting active consumers would support the company’s business model.\nThat said, it has not been a fantastic year for Alibaba this year. The company’s struggle this year was affected by the Chinese government. Alibaba was hit with a record fine of $2.75 billion earlier in April. However, the worst could be over for the company as the Chinese government is slowly shifting its focus to the company’s competitors. So, if you have missed the boat on BABA stock prior to this, could this be the classic buy-on-dip opportunity?\nChewy Inc\nLast on this list, we have an e-commerce company that specializes in pet products, Chewy. In essence, it provides pet food and treats, pet supplies and pet medications, and other pet-health products, as well as pet services. Pet lovers out there could access all these products through its chewy.com retail website, and its mobile applications. The company stock may have been trading sideways since the start of the year. But, it has still climbed by over 70% over the past year.\n\nIn June, the company posted its first-quarter financial report that beat analysts’ expectations. Its net sales were $2.14 billion, growing 31.7% year-over-year. Meanwhile, its adjusted EBITDA came in at $77.4 million and its net income was $38.7 million. More importantly, Chewy added 600,000 active customers during the quarter which brings the number of active customers to 19.2 million. All in all, the company is growing in the right direction.\nFurthermore, Chewy also continues to innovate on their popular telehealth service, Connect with a Vet. May’s expansion includes the highly anticipated video consultation feature which allows pre-scheduling virtual vet consultation and extended hours of operation including weekends. With this, customers gain more accessibility to the company’s services and a better experience overall. With that in mind, would CHWY stock make your watchlist?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}