yeelyn18 personal page - To The Moon

yeelyn18

yeelyn18

No personal profile

382Follow

17Followers

0Topic

0Badge

2023-06-21

This is my first post. This is my first post.

2022-12-08

Cool game

2022-12-08

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@TigerEvents:Join Tiger's Football Season, share the prizes worth up to US$200,000

2022-12-07

Ok

NIO And BYD Are Converging

2022-12-02

Ye

@NgKenny:Qatar, the HOST country has organized a fantastic and a great atmosphere and environment to provide many supreme upper class stadiums for the World Cup 2022.The whole world will be very exciting football to enjoy watching all the good players playing their best skill of football. Surprisingly there were many upset matches that the underdogs went through thelast 16 teams 2nd round. Senegal maybe the underdog to win the World Cup 2022 championship. As for me my favorite country to win the World Cup is Netherlands. In recent World Cups they have lost once in the final and once in the semi-finaland they have never won a World Cup before. I give my full support for Netherlands to be the CHAMPION. Hooray to them. Japan was also playing and performed very well and cannot be underes

2022-11-30

I

"It Was Not Sustainable Or Real": Tech Layoffs Approach Great Recession Levels

2022-11-29

K

Apple Stock: The Market Is Right - The Current Price Is Fair

2022-11-27

K

Is Sea Stock a Buy After Promising to Slash Expenses?

2022-11-25

M

Is Starbucks’ Growth Strategy Worth Buying Into?

2022-11-24

Y

2 Growth Stocks With 124% and 192% Upside From Their 52-Week Lows, According to Wall Street

2022-11-21

K

Alibaba Q3: Munger Remains Unfazed, Plus 3 Things Not To Overlook

2022-11-21

Ok

Qualcomm Vs. Nvidia: The Better Buy Might Shock You

2022-11-18

Ok

Bullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On

2022-11-14

Ok

Germany's BioNTech Says to Set up MRNA Vaccine Facility in Singapore

2022-11-13

Ok

Alibaba: Refinement Of Zero COVID Policy Lifts Market Sentiments

2022-11-02

K

The Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near

2022-11-01

K

Apple and Microsoft Market Caps Reached Their Largest Spread on Record — at Roughly Tesla’s Entire Valuation

2022-10-31

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$

2022-10-31

K

Jittery Stock Traders Eye Four Days That Will Sow Market’s Fate

2022-10-29

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Trick or treat!

Go to Tiger App to see more news

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3574914526090483","uuid":"3574914526090483","gmtCreate":1612179842090,"gmtModify":1626153038650,"name":"yeelyn18","pinyin":"yeelyn18","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":17,"headSize":382,"tweetSize":294,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-2","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Senior Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 1000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.10.30","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-1","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Elite Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 30","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.03.25","exceedPercentage":"60.89%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.01.24","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":189605642227960,"gmtCreate":1687316165703,"gmtModify":1687316169351,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is my first post. This is my first post. &nbsp;","listText":"This is my first post. This is my first post. &nbsp;","text":"This is my first post. This is my first post.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189605642227960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920381770,"gmtCreate":1670431465490,"gmtModify":1676538367202,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool game&nbsp;","listText":"Cool game&nbsp;","text":"Cool game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920381770","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920381139,"gmtCreate":1670431425522,"gmtModify":1676538367186,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920381139","repostId":"9963969638","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9963969638,"gmtCreate":1668567458425,"gmtModify":1677745765888,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667667103859","authorIdStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"Join Tiger's Football Season, share the prizes worth up to US$200,000","htmlText":"This year is the year of football, the Qatar World Cup, AFF championship, make the following days a big carnival for football fans all around the world!&nbsp;While you enjoy your football carnival, don't forget to join in Tiger's Football Season on Tiger Trade App, and share the prizes worth up to USD 200,000!Play the \"Perfect Goals\" game with us, and feel the score moment by only pressing the button.Keep completing the daily tasks and play the game, win more points to redeem stock vouchers worth up to USD 2,000 or AFF tickets, and the top prize - the free journey of watching the AFF finals!You can also predict a football match of the World Cup or AFF Championship, and cheer for your home team.Besides, you may obtain the Tiger Football Card by participating in the campaign every day.Goalke","listText":"This year is the year of football, the Qatar World Cup, AFF championship, make the following days a big carnival for football fans all around the world!&nbsp;While you enjoy your football carnival, don't forget to join in Tiger's Football Season on Tiger Trade App, and share the prizes worth up to USD 200,000!Play the \"Perfect Goals\" game with us, and feel the score moment by only pressing the button.Keep completing the daily tasks and play the game, win more points to redeem stock vouchers worth up to USD 2,000 or AFF tickets, and the top prize - the free journey of watching the AFF finals!You can also predict a football match of the World Cup or AFF Championship, and cheer for your home team.Besides, you may obtain the Tiger Football Card by participating in the campaign every day.Goalke","text":"This year is the year of football, the Qatar World Cup, AFF championship, make the following days a big carnival for football fans all around the world! While you enjoy your football carnival, don't forget to join in Tiger's Football Season on Tiger Trade App, and share the prizes worth up to USD 200,000!Play the \"Perfect Goals\" game with us, and feel the score moment by only pressing the button.Keep completing the daily tasks and play the game, win more points to redeem stock vouchers worth up to USD 2,000 or AFF tickets, and the top prize - the free journey of watching the AFF finals!You can also predict a football match of the World Cup or AFF Championship, and cheer for your home team.Besides, you may obtain the Tiger Football Card by participating in the campaign every day.Goalke","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8c9b6ab16214df413c77708cf5957bf","width":"404","height":"707"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6f0ddb54cc9e55b9b9b59a0c9908bfb5","width":"358","height":"471"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d9cc4adf57a9972e62e94d321ecc6734","width":"402","height":"712"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963969638","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920095202,"gmtCreate":1670388568307,"gmtModify":1676538358584,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920095202","repostId":"1122736605","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122736605","pubTimestamp":1670383031,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122736605?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-07 11:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO And BYD Are Converging","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122736605","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNIO Inc. and BYD Company Limited are essentially tales of their own, with one being an EV-pur","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>NIO Inc. and BYD Company Limited are essentially tales of their own, with one being an EV-pureplay upstart, and the other a legacy ICE-turned-electric automaker with dibs across the auto supply chain.</li><li>Yet, their paths may be converging as China&#39;s EV market opportunities grow.</li><li>The following analysis will provide an overview of how NIO and BYD&#39;s longer-term growth strategies are converging, discuss the risks and opportunities facing each, and gauge their respective valuation implications.</li></ul><p>While <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and BYD Company Limited both started off on a different path when it comes to auto manufacturing, with one being an electric vehicle (“EV”) pureplay start-up and the other being a vertically integrated ICE-turned-electric legacy automaker, they now appear to be converging into each other’s turf as competition ramps up. Not long after NIO announced its intentions to break into the tier 3+ market across China to better serve mass market needs, BYD followed suit with two planned sub-brands to penetrate the premium electric passenger vehicle market.</p><p>Admittedly, BYD’s market share is substantially larger than NIO’s today – both at home and overseas – while also boasting better fundamentals, which would be supportive of its foray in the premium vehicle segment. Yet, NIO’s penetration into mass-market opportunities could also benefit by driving the volume of scale needed to support its breakeven timeline, which consensus projects to occur by or around mid-decade, while management expects to occur as soon as the third quarter of 2023.</p><p>The following analysis will go over both Chinese automakers’ respective market share expansion strategies via their planned sub-brands, and gauge the opportunity that exists for both as well as their implications on both stocks’ prospects.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO</a></h2><h3>Overview Of Sub-Brand Strategy</h3><p>NIO first announced plans for a mass market sub-brand in August 2021, which aligned with its longer-term strategy of building a greater presence in China’s smaller tier 3+ cities and further expand its share of the country’s fast-expanding EV market.</p><blockquote>As management had discussed during the second quarter, the sub-brand will aim to offer more affordably priced vehicles to drive higher mass-market appeal. The strategic move is expected to help NIO compete for higher market share, especially in the price segment of Tesla’s (TSLA) Model Y/3, while providing “much better service.” <i>Source: “Can NIO Stock Recover in 2022?”</i></blockquote><p>The sub-brand, currently expected to launch in 2024, is also expected to be more competitively priced, with vehicle MSRPs in the range of RMB 200,000 ($30,000) to RMB 300,000 ($44,000), taking on a broader cohort of mass market rivals including BYD. The sub-brand’s launch timeline also coincides with the start of production schedule for NIO’s first in-house 800-V battery packs, which would “enable longer ranges and faster charging” compared to general mass market offerings that are currently fitted with 400-V battery packs. NIO also boasts a competitive digital portfolio today that includes in-vehicle AI “NOMI,” “NAD” ADAS, and battery swapping technology that will likely be leveraged by its sub-brands either as an embedded or add-on feature to bolster profit margins. Paired with NIO’s recently launched NT 2.0 vehicle platform, which boasts higher profit margins than its predecessor, the company’s sub-brand products are likely well-positioned for attractive manufacturing economics, while also posing a technological appeal to the burgeoning EV market in China.</p><p>NIO likely has another sub-brand under the wraps as well that is speculated to involve offerings starting at RMB 100,000 ($15,000). This would put it in direct competition against SAIC-GM-Wuling, the current EV market leader in China that has captured the likes of budget-sensitive consumers in the tier 3+ markets with its “Hongguang Mini” priced at an impressive $5,000, and its newest “Baojun KiWi” priced at $11,000.</p><h3>The Opportunity</h3><p>China currently houses the largest share of the global EV market, accounting for more than half of global EV sales. EV sales in the country has already reached a penetration rate of more than 20% (or more than a quarter counting hybrid plug-ins), with adoption being most prominent in more affluent tier 1 and tier 2 cities like Shanghai and Beijing. The trends have favored NIO in recent years, as its share of premium EV sales across the tier 1 and tier 2 cities like Shanghai have steadily grown – as of last year, the company’s portfolio of electric premium SUVs grabbed a 23% share of the passenger vehicle market priced above RMB 350,000 ($50,000+) in China’s financial hub. With an expectation that consistent growth trends would spill into tier 3 and tier 4 cities over the longer-term, NIO management has made mass market penetration a key initiative in its growth plan, hence the planned sub-brands.</p><p>Thanks to favorable policy support from the central government, as well as improving range and increasing availability of public charging infrastructure across China, EV sales in the country are starting to gain momentum &#34;beyond the biggest cities.” Over the past two years, tier 2 and tier 3 cities saw the fastest growth in EV sales, from about 4.5% penetration in 2020 to more than 25% in the current year. Meanwhile, demand from tier 4+ cities with a population ranging from 500,000 to under 1 million have also started to pick-up, with EV sales penetration expanding from under 3.5% in 2020 to nearly 20% in the current year.</p><p>The remaining growth headroom observed pertaining to EV demand in tier 3+ cities are expected to bode favorably for NIO by the time its sub-brand rolls out in 2024. Between now and then, public charging infrastructure availability is expected to become more prominent in “smaller cities and towns” while “city-level policies that restrict the number of new license plates issues” start to ease in accordance to the nationwide mandate to support EV adoption and decarbonization, which would make strong tailwinds for NIO’s planned mass market offerings.</p><h3>Risks To Consider</h3><p>Yet, the Chinese EV landscape is also becoming increasingly competitive. And NIO is not the only EV pureplay looking to better capture global market share by expanding into mass market offerings. In addition to BYD and SAIC-GM-Wuling as mentioned in the earlier section, EV pureplay rivals like XPeng (XPEV) have also introduced models in the sub-$30,000 price range, while Tesla’s Model 3 remains a favorite with increasingly attractive pricing.</p><p>As discussed in a previous coverage on NIO, the company risks facing a pricing war in the near-term as competition ramps up, especially as consumer sentiment in the country wanes ahead of mounting macroeconomic uncertainties:</p><blockquote>Despite NIO’s in line 3Q22 sales, the drumbeat is growing louder on concerns over consumer weakness heading into the fourth quarter. COVID-induced mobility restrictions and production disruptions are hampering both supply and demand functions of the company’s profit and growth prospects, souring investors’ confidence in the stock. EV industry leader Tesla’s recent decision to pull the “pricing lever” in the region is also dialing up risks of a pricing war in China’s increasingly competitive EV market. <i>Source: “Is NIO Stock A Buy After Q3’22 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On COVID Zero.”</i></blockquote><p>But the delayed roll-out of NIO’s mass market offering until 2024 could offer a time cushion for the company to better weather through the near-term industry-specific and macroeconomic headwinds. For one, supply chain constraints stemming from the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war – particularly on auto semiconductors – are already showing structural signs of easing. Meanwhile, China’s record-setting household savings of $1.8 trillion YTD, or household savings rate of 30%, accumulated as a pre-emptive measure against looming macroeconomic uncertainties today could also imply a better demand environment in 2024 when cyclical challenges ease. As such, the launch of NIO’s sub-brands scheduled for 2024 could come at an opportune time when the global macroeconomic outlook is expected to improve while the transition to electric continues to gain momentum, offsetting some of the demand risks stemming from increasing competition.</p><h2>Fundamental And Valuation Implications</h2><p>The anticipated growth prospects stemming from NIO’s penetration in mass market opportunities with its planned sub-brands are not going to come at a cheap price. Auto manufacturing is one of the most capital-intensive endeavors out there – especially for those that are vertically integrated.</p><p>Yet, NIO’s “semi-vertically integrated” manufacturing strategy, which involves in-house designed platforms (and ultimately, battery packs) and internal productions at its joint venture facility with Jianghuai Automobile Group (“JAC”) and partly municipal-owned facility at NeoPark, is expected to absorb some of the high ramp-up costs. The anticipated increase in demand for its mass market products is also expected to drive improved volumes to enable better economies of scale, especially if the company adopts a cross-brand platform-sharing strategy, which will likely fast-track its margin expansion trajectory towards and beyond breakeven by mid-decade.</p><p>However, given materialization of said anticipated profits bolstered by NIO’s mass market penetration strategy is still further out into the future, related upside potential may take more time to come into fruition, which inadvertently, means a higher investment risk. This is a particularly critical consideration in today’s market climate for Chinese equities, especially those that are not yet profitable like NIO, given uncertainties spanning regulatory, macroeconomic, and geopolitical challenges.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">BYD</a></h2><h3>Overview Of Sub-Brand Strategy</h3><p>Differing from NIO, BYD is already an established automaker with a sprawling presence across China’s passenger vehicle market (and to a smaller extent, the global commercial vehicle market). Having just transitioned completely from the sale of ICE models to only new energy vehicles including hybrid plug-ins earlier this year, BYD has already taken China’s EV market by storm, with monthly sales by unit consistently exceeding six figures and setting new records. It is also one of the few legacy automakers that have managed to penetrate the burgeoning EV market at a profitable rate within a short period.</p><p>Known for its prowess in the mass market vehicle segment, the legacy Chinese automaker is now planning its debut in the premium EV segment in early 2023 via its first sub-brand, “Yangwang” – a contrast to NIO’s longer-term growth strategy. The automaker is slated to debut a premium off-road electric SUV, dubbed the “R1,” as its first product under the Yangwang sub-brand, which will be priced in the RMB 800,000 to RMB 1.5 million range ($110,300 to $200,000+). Similar to BYD’s current new energy offerings, the Yangwang R1 will be offered in a battery-electric (“BEV”) powertrain and plug-in hybrid (“PHEV”) power-train capable of up to 650 hp, with a five- and seven-seater option, and be the “most expensive BYD ever.”</p><p>The company has also recently announced intentions of another new brand that “specializes in professional and personalized identifies” as it looks to “build up its brand matrix” and better penetrate overseas opportunities across Asia, Europe, Latin America and other markets. Although details on the second sub-brand remain limited, it will likely complement Yangwang and help usher BYD into China’s “luxury SUV and sports car markets…[which] are the two most profitable vehicle segments [that it] does not have exposure to” yet. Given BYD is already profitable, the higher-priced premium offerings will likely further reinforce its margin expansion trajectory into the longer-term, and bolster its competitive advantage against premium rivals in the market.</p><h3>The Opportunity</h3><p>While EV penetration in the more affluent tier 1 and tier 2 cities across China is substantially higher than in smaller cities where lower-priced mass market offerings take a precedent appeal, there is still significant growth headroom remaining in the premium EV segment for BYD. As mentioned in the earlier section, EV penetration in Shanghai already exceeds 50%, while in the broader tier 1 and tier 2 cities it averages more than 36%. Plug-in hybrid SUVs are also of greater appeal, accounting for close to a quarter of China’s new passenger vehicle sales today, while remaining the fastest-growing EV segment, which makes strong tailwinds for BYD’s upcoming Yangwang R1 debut (recall that the R1 comes in both the BEV and PHEV powertrain).</p><p>Market participants also anticipate BYD’s upcoming sub-brands to produce “the kind of EVs fit for the U.S., a market BYD has yet to enter.” This fits with BYD’s overseas aspirations for its passenger EV business over the longer-term, and would be a favorable complement to its existing presence in North America via its commercial EV sales. The U.S. EV market is expected to see a meaningful increase in adoption rates over coming years, thanks to favorable policy support like the latest “Inflation Reduction Act” (“IRA”), as well as broader improvements to EV battery technologies and range capabilities. Specifically, U.S. EV demand is expected to expand at a five-year CAGR of 28% through 2026, with further acceleration into the second half of the decade. Paired with a similar growth outlook in Canada (though at a comparatively nominal volume on a unit basis), Yangwang and other sub-brand offerings could potentially become an overseas share gainer for BYD.</p><h3>Risks To Consider</h3><p>While competition comes to mind as a top risk for automakers, BYD’s reputation as a quality mass market vehicle manufacturer could alleviate some of the said challenges. This is further corroborated by BYD’s pricing power with continued market share gains despite a recent decision to increase its vehicle MSRPs, as opposed to price cuts implemented by Tesla in an attempt to shore up demand.</p><p>Instead, a key concern is BYD’s lack of presence in cutting-edge technological competencies, which premium EVs offered by NIO and Tesla tend to use as key selling points:</p><blockquote>What BYD lacks that others have is more of a digital DNA…BYD is still a hardware company. As good as it is assembling an EV profitably at scale, it hasn’t proven itself to be a tech-driven software-defined technology company. Source: Bloomberg</blockquote><p>While BYD intends for Yangwang to “build a high-end brand with disruptive technologies and products,” there has yet to be any details pertaining to the R1 that would differentiate the premium electric SUV from a digital aspect. Aside from potential ADAS features (which are pretty much standard across premium offerings at this point) speculated from BYD-released images that show the vehicle’s integration of LiDAR sensors, the company has yet to release much information about the vehicle’s performance, range capability, nor technological features. While BYD’s robust balance sheet could fund the development of software capabilities required for differentiation against competing premium offerings, relate innovations would take time to materialize, risking a costly catch-up game in the concentrated premium EV market.</p><h2>Fundamental And Valuation Implications</h2><p>In contrast to NIO, BYD is already a profitable company, with margins set for continued expansion as production ramps up on both its existing and upcoming vehicle models. And as mentioned in the earlier section, BYD’s upcoming foray in China’s premium electric SUV market would be beneficial to its bottom-line given said products would be priced higher to offset near-term ramp-up costs, with greater demand in the lucrative vehicle segment expected to support longer-term margin expansion through scale. With related operating cash flow generation realizable in the immediate term, BYD is also less vulnerable to the investment risks facing NIO as discussed in the earlier section.</p><p>The stock is currently trading at a significant discount of 1.4x forward EV/sales compared to an average of about 4.1x among U.S. counterparts and 1.7x among Chinese EV start-ups. Given its profitable growth prospects both within the immediate- and over the longer-term, BYD makes a reasonable investment at current levels. But like all Chinese equities, BYD faces a slew of risks specific to the cohort, including China’s macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., property slump, COVID Zero impacts, etc.) and regulatory challenges. Although BYD’s robust balance sheet has made its valuation relatively less vulnerable to the years-long selloff in Chinese equities, existing and potential investors in the stock should remain aware and not overlook said risks.</p><h2>Final Thoughts</h2><p>Based on the foregoing analysis on NIO and BYD’s longer-term market share expansion strategies, both legacy and start-up Chinese EV makers alike show favorable growth prospects as the global transition to electric continues. While converging strategies will likely introduce further competition within the already highly concentrated EV landscape in China, significant opportunities remain across all vehicle and pricing segments, underscoring the still-nascent nature of the EV industry.</p><p>With NIO being an EV upstart that has already established a reputation for making quality and innovative EVs, and BYD being a legacy automaker that has proven a profitable transition to electric is possible, both companies are well-positioned for further market share gains within and beyond the Chinese EV market. This would accordingly support favorable long-term upside potential for both stocks from current levels, especially BYD which boasts better immediate and future fundamental prospects, though macroeconomic, geopolitical, and regulatory risks will remain an overhang on their performance.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO And BYD Are Converging</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO And BYD Are Converging\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-07 11:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562669-nio-and-byd-are-converging><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNIO Inc. and BYD Company Limited are essentially tales of their own, with one being an EV-pureplay upstart, and the other a legacy ICE-turned-electric automaker with dibs across the auto supply...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562669-nio-and-byd-are-converging\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"002594":"比亚迪","NIO":"蔚来","BYDDY":"比亚迪ADR"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562669-nio-and-byd-are-converging","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122736605","content_text":"SummaryNIO Inc. and BYD Company Limited are essentially tales of their own, with one being an EV-pureplay upstart, and the other a legacy ICE-turned-electric automaker with dibs across the auto supply chain.Yet, their paths may be converging as China's EV market opportunities grow.The following analysis will provide an overview of how NIO and BYD's longer-term growth strategies are converging, discuss the risks and opportunities facing each, and gauge their respective valuation implications.While NIO Inc. and BYD Company Limited both started off on a different path when it comes to auto manufacturing, with one being an electric vehicle (“EV”) pureplay start-up and the other being a vertically integrated ICE-turned-electric legacy automaker, they now appear to be converging into each other’s turf as competition ramps up. Not long after NIO announced its intentions to break into the tier 3+ market across China to better serve mass market needs, BYD followed suit with two planned sub-brands to penetrate the premium electric passenger vehicle market.Admittedly, BYD’s market share is substantially larger than NIO’s today – both at home and overseas – while also boasting better fundamentals, which would be supportive of its foray in the premium vehicle segment. Yet, NIO’s penetration into mass-market opportunities could also benefit by driving the volume of scale needed to support its breakeven timeline, which consensus projects to occur by or around mid-decade, while management expects to occur as soon as the third quarter of 2023.The following analysis will go over both Chinese automakers’ respective market share expansion strategies via their planned sub-brands, and gauge the opportunity that exists for both as well as their implications on both stocks’ prospects.NIOOverview Of Sub-Brand StrategyNIO first announced plans for a mass market sub-brand in August 2021, which aligned with its longer-term strategy of building a greater presence in China’s smaller tier 3+ cities and further expand its share of the country’s fast-expanding EV market.As management had discussed during the second quarter, the sub-brand will aim to offer more affordably priced vehicles to drive higher mass-market appeal. The strategic move is expected to help NIO compete for higher market share, especially in the price segment of Tesla’s (TSLA) Model Y/3, while providing “much better service.” Source: “Can NIO Stock Recover in 2022?”The sub-brand, currently expected to launch in 2024, is also expected to be more competitively priced, with vehicle MSRPs in the range of RMB 200,000 ($30,000) to RMB 300,000 ($44,000), taking on a broader cohort of mass market rivals including BYD. The sub-brand’s launch timeline also coincides with the start of production schedule for NIO’s first in-house 800-V battery packs, which would “enable longer ranges and faster charging” compared to general mass market offerings that are currently fitted with 400-V battery packs. NIO also boasts a competitive digital portfolio today that includes in-vehicle AI “NOMI,” “NAD” ADAS, and battery swapping technology that will likely be leveraged by its sub-brands either as an embedded or add-on feature to bolster profit margins. Paired with NIO’s recently launched NT 2.0 vehicle platform, which boasts higher profit margins than its predecessor, the company’s sub-brand products are likely well-positioned for attractive manufacturing economics, while also posing a technological appeal to the burgeoning EV market in China.NIO likely has another sub-brand under the wraps as well that is speculated to involve offerings starting at RMB 100,000 ($15,000). This would put it in direct competition against SAIC-GM-Wuling, the current EV market leader in China that has captured the likes of budget-sensitive consumers in the tier 3+ markets with its “Hongguang Mini” priced at an impressive $5,000, and its newest “Baojun KiWi” priced at $11,000.The OpportunityChina currently houses the largest share of the global EV market, accounting for more than half of global EV sales. EV sales in the country has already reached a penetration rate of more than 20% (or more than a quarter counting hybrid plug-ins), with adoption being most prominent in more affluent tier 1 and tier 2 cities like Shanghai and Beijing. The trends have favored NIO in recent years, as its share of premium EV sales across the tier 1 and tier 2 cities like Shanghai have steadily grown – as of last year, the company’s portfolio of electric premium SUVs grabbed a 23% share of the passenger vehicle market priced above RMB 350,000 ($50,000+) in China’s financial hub. With an expectation that consistent growth trends would spill into tier 3 and tier 4 cities over the longer-term, NIO management has made mass market penetration a key initiative in its growth plan, hence the planned sub-brands.Thanks to favorable policy support from the central government, as well as improving range and increasing availability of public charging infrastructure across China, EV sales in the country are starting to gain momentum \"beyond the biggest cities.” Over the past two years, tier 2 and tier 3 cities saw the fastest growth in EV sales, from about 4.5% penetration in 2020 to more than 25% in the current year. Meanwhile, demand from tier 4+ cities with a population ranging from 500,000 to under 1 million have also started to pick-up, with EV sales penetration expanding from under 3.5% in 2020 to nearly 20% in the current year.The remaining growth headroom observed pertaining to EV demand in tier 3+ cities are expected to bode favorably for NIO by the time its sub-brand rolls out in 2024. Between now and then, public charging infrastructure availability is expected to become more prominent in “smaller cities and towns” while “city-level policies that restrict the number of new license plates issues” start to ease in accordance to the nationwide mandate to support EV adoption and decarbonization, which would make strong tailwinds for NIO’s planned mass market offerings.Risks To ConsiderYet, the Chinese EV landscape is also becoming increasingly competitive. And NIO is not the only EV pureplay looking to better capture global market share by expanding into mass market offerings. In addition to BYD and SAIC-GM-Wuling as mentioned in the earlier section, EV pureplay rivals like XPeng (XPEV) have also introduced models in the sub-$30,000 price range, while Tesla’s Model 3 remains a favorite with increasingly attractive pricing.As discussed in a previous coverage on NIO, the company risks facing a pricing war in the near-term as competition ramps up, especially as consumer sentiment in the country wanes ahead of mounting macroeconomic uncertainties:Despite NIO’s in line 3Q22 sales, the drumbeat is growing louder on concerns over consumer weakness heading into the fourth quarter. COVID-induced mobility restrictions and production disruptions are hampering both supply and demand functions of the company’s profit and growth prospects, souring investors’ confidence in the stock. EV industry leader Tesla’s recent decision to pull the “pricing lever” in the region is also dialing up risks of a pricing war in China’s increasingly competitive EV market. Source: “Is NIO Stock A Buy After Q3’22 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On COVID Zero.”But the delayed roll-out of NIO’s mass market offering until 2024 could offer a time cushion for the company to better weather through the near-term industry-specific and macroeconomic headwinds. For one, supply chain constraints stemming from the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war – particularly on auto semiconductors – are already showing structural signs of easing. Meanwhile, China’s record-setting household savings of $1.8 trillion YTD, or household savings rate of 30%, accumulated as a pre-emptive measure against looming macroeconomic uncertainties today could also imply a better demand environment in 2024 when cyclical challenges ease. As such, the launch of NIO’s sub-brands scheduled for 2024 could come at an opportune time when the global macroeconomic outlook is expected to improve while the transition to electric continues to gain momentum, offsetting some of the demand risks stemming from increasing competition.Fundamental And Valuation ImplicationsThe anticipated growth prospects stemming from NIO’s penetration in mass market opportunities with its planned sub-brands are not going to come at a cheap price. Auto manufacturing is one of the most capital-intensive endeavors out there – especially for those that are vertically integrated.Yet, NIO’s “semi-vertically integrated” manufacturing strategy, which involves in-house designed platforms (and ultimately, battery packs) and internal productions at its joint venture facility with Jianghuai Automobile Group (“JAC”) and partly municipal-owned facility at NeoPark, is expected to absorb some of the high ramp-up costs. The anticipated increase in demand for its mass market products is also expected to drive improved volumes to enable better economies of scale, especially if the company adopts a cross-brand platform-sharing strategy, which will likely fast-track its margin expansion trajectory towards and beyond breakeven by mid-decade.However, given materialization of said anticipated profits bolstered by NIO’s mass market penetration strategy is still further out into the future, related upside potential may take more time to come into fruition, which inadvertently, means a higher investment risk. This is a particularly critical consideration in today’s market climate for Chinese equities, especially those that are not yet profitable like NIO, given uncertainties spanning regulatory, macroeconomic, and geopolitical challenges.BYDOverview Of Sub-Brand StrategyDiffering from NIO, BYD is already an established automaker with a sprawling presence across China’s passenger vehicle market (and to a smaller extent, the global commercial vehicle market). Having just transitioned completely from the sale of ICE models to only new energy vehicles including hybrid plug-ins earlier this year, BYD has already taken China’s EV market by storm, with monthly sales by unit consistently exceeding six figures and setting new records. It is also one of the few legacy automakers that have managed to penetrate the burgeoning EV market at a profitable rate within a short period.Known for its prowess in the mass market vehicle segment, the legacy Chinese automaker is now planning its debut in the premium EV segment in early 2023 via its first sub-brand, “Yangwang” – a contrast to NIO’s longer-term growth strategy. The automaker is slated to debut a premium off-road electric SUV, dubbed the “R1,” as its first product under the Yangwang sub-brand, which will be priced in the RMB 800,000 to RMB 1.5 million range ($110,300 to $200,000+). Similar to BYD’s current new energy offerings, the Yangwang R1 will be offered in a battery-electric (“BEV”) powertrain and plug-in hybrid (“PHEV”) power-train capable of up to 650 hp, with a five- and seven-seater option, and be the “most expensive BYD ever.”The company has also recently announced intentions of another new brand that “specializes in professional and personalized identifies” as it looks to “build up its brand matrix” and better penetrate overseas opportunities across Asia, Europe, Latin America and other markets. Although details on the second sub-brand remain limited, it will likely complement Yangwang and help usher BYD into China’s “luxury SUV and sports car markets…[which] are the two most profitable vehicle segments [that it] does not have exposure to” yet. Given BYD is already profitable, the higher-priced premium offerings will likely further reinforce its margin expansion trajectory into the longer-term, and bolster its competitive advantage against premium rivals in the market.The OpportunityWhile EV penetration in the more affluent tier 1 and tier 2 cities across China is substantially higher than in smaller cities where lower-priced mass market offerings take a precedent appeal, there is still significant growth headroom remaining in the premium EV segment for BYD. As mentioned in the earlier section, EV penetration in Shanghai already exceeds 50%, while in the broader tier 1 and tier 2 cities it averages more than 36%. Plug-in hybrid SUVs are also of greater appeal, accounting for close to a quarter of China’s new passenger vehicle sales today, while remaining the fastest-growing EV segment, which makes strong tailwinds for BYD’s upcoming Yangwang R1 debut (recall that the R1 comes in both the BEV and PHEV powertrain).Market participants also anticipate BYD’s upcoming sub-brands to produce “the kind of EVs fit for the U.S., a market BYD has yet to enter.” This fits with BYD’s overseas aspirations for its passenger EV business over the longer-term, and would be a favorable complement to its existing presence in North America via its commercial EV sales. The U.S. EV market is expected to see a meaningful increase in adoption rates over coming years, thanks to favorable policy support like the latest “Inflation Reduction Act” (“IRA”), as well as broader improvements to EV battery technologies and range capabilities. Specifically, U.S. EV demand is expected to expand at a five-year CAGR of 28% through 2026, with further acceleration into the second half of the decade. Paired with a similar growth outlook in Canada (though at a comparatively nominal volume on a unit basis), Yangwang and other sub-brand offerings could potentially become an overseas share gainer for BYD.Risks To ConsiderWhile competition comes to mind as a top risk for automakers, BYD’s reputation as a quality mass market vehicle manufacturer could alleviate some of the said challenges. This is further corroborated by BYD’s pricing power with continued market share gains despite a recent decision to increase its vehicle MSRPs, as opposed to price cuts implemented by Tesla in an attempt to shore up demand.Instead, a key concern is BYD’s lack of presence in cutting-edge technological competencies, which premium EVs offered by NIO and Tesla tend to use as key selling points:What BYD lacks that others have is more of a digital DNA…BYD is still a hardware company. As good as it is assembling an EV profitably at scale, it hasn’t proven itself to be a tech-driven software-defined technology company. Source: BloombergWhile BYD intends for Yangwang to “build a high-end brand with disruptive technologies and products,” there has yet to be any details pertaining to the R1 that would differentiate the premium electric SUV from a digital aspect. Aside from potential ADAS features (which are pretty much standard across premium offerings at this point) speculated from BYD-released images that show the vehicle’s integration of LiDAR sensors, the company has yet to release much information about the vehicle’s performance, range capability, nor technological features. While BYD’s robust balance sheet could fund the development of software capabilities required for differentiation against competing premium offerings, relate innovations would take time to materialize, risking a costly catch-up game in the concentrated premium EV market.Fundamental And Valuation ImplicationsIn contrast to NIO, BYD is already a profitable company, with margins set for continued expansion as production ramps up on both its existing and upcoming vehicle models. And as mentioned in the earlier section, BYD’s upcoming foray in China’s premium electric SUV market would be beneficial to its bottom-line given said products would be priced higher to offset near-term ramp-up costs, with greater demand in the lucrative vehicle segment expected to support longer-term margin expansion through scale. With related operating cash flow generation realizable in the immediate term, BYD is also less vulnerable to the investment risks facing NIO as discussed in the earlier section.The stock is currently trading at a significant discount of 1.4x forward EV/sales compared to an average of about 4.1x among U.S. counterparts and 1.7x among Chinese EV start-ups. Given its profitable growth prospects both within the immediate- and over the longer-term, BYD makes a reasonable investment at current levels. But like all Chinese equities, BYD faces a slew of risks specific to the cohort, including China’s macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., property slump, COVID Zero impacts, etc.) and regulatory challenges. Although BYD’s robust balance sheet has made its valuation relatively less vulnerable to the years-long selloff in Chinese equities, existing and potential investors in the stock should remain aware and not overlook said risks.Final ThoughtsBased on the foregoing analysis on NIO and BYD’s longer-term market share expansion strategies, both legacy and start-up Chinese EV makers alike show favorable growth prospects as the global transition to electric continues. While converging strategies will likely introduce further competition within the already highly concentrated EV landscape in China, significant opportunities remain across all vehicle and pricing segments, underscoring the still-nascent nature of the EV industry.With NIO being an EV upstart that has already established a reputation for making quality and innovative EVs, and BYD being a legacy automaker that has proven a profitable transition to electric is possible, both companies are well-positioned for further market share gains within and beyond the Chinese EV market. This would accordingly support favorable long-term upside potential for both stocks from current levels, especially BYD which boasts better immediate and future fundamental prospects, though macroeconomic, geopolitical, and regulatory risks will remain an overhang on their performance.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965293309,"gmtCreate":1669953644702,"gmtModify":1676538277610,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ye","listText":"Ye","text":"Ye","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965293309","repostId":"9965299369","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9965299369,"gmtCreate":1669953365552,"gmtModify":1676538277579,"author":{"id":"3582778356971864","authorId":"3582778356971864","name":"NgKenny","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fdae3e0bdca8d3a33e7f9d619f0dc88","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582778356971864","authorIdStr":"3582778356971864"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Qatar, the HOST country has organized a fantastic and a great atmosphere and environment to provide many&nbsp;supreme upper class stadiums for the&nbsp;World Cup 2022.The whole world will be&nbsp;very exciting football to enjoy watching all the good players playing their best skill of football. Surprisingly there were many upset matches that the underdogs went through thelast 16 teams 2nd round. Senegal maybe the underdog to win the World Cup 2022 championship. As for me my favorite country to win the World Cup is Netherlands. In recent World Cups they have lost once in the final and once in the semi-finaland they have never won a World Cup before. I give my full support for Netherlands to be the CHAMPION. Hooray to them. Japan was also playing and performed very well and cannot be underes","listText":"Qatar, the HOST country has organized a fantastic and a great atmosphere and environment to provide many&nbsp;supreme upper class stadiums for the&nbsp;World Cup 2022.The whole world will be&nbsp;very exciting football to enjoy watching all the good players playing their best skill of football. Surprisingly there were many upset matches that the underdogs went through thelast 16 teams 2nd round. Senegal maybe the underdog to win the World Cup 2022 championship. As for me my favorite country to win the World Cup is Netherlands. In recent World Cups they have lost once in the final and once in the semi-finaland they have never won a World Cup before. I give my full support for Netherlands to be the CHAMPION. Hooray to them. Japan was also playing and performed very well and cannot be underes","text":"Qatar, the HOST country has organized a fantastic and a great atmosphere and environment to provide many supreme upper class stadiums for the World Cup 2022.The whole world will be very exciting football to enjoy watching all the good players playing their best skill of football. Surprisingly there were many upset matches that the underdogs went through thelast 16 teams 2nd round. Senegal maybe the underdog to win the World Cup 2022 championship. As for me my favorite country to win the World Cup is Netherlands. In recent World Cups they have lost once in the final and once in the semi-finaland they have never won a World Cup before. I give my full support for Netherlands to be the CHAMPION. Hooray to them. Japan was also playing and performed very well and cannot be underes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965299369","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962211593,"gmtCreate":1669780636213,"gmtModify":1676538242147,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I","listText":"I","text":"I","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962211593","repostId":"1130792345","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130792345","pubTimestamp":1669765658,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130792345?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-30 07:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"It Was Not Sustainable Or Real\": Tech Layoffs Approach Great Recession Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130792345","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The number of tech layoffs this year is nearing annual levels seen during the Great Recession, but is far from dot-com-bust territory.As technology companies deal with declining stock prices, inflatio","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The number of tech layoffs this year is nearing annual levels seen during the Great Recession, but is far from dot-com-bust territory.</p><p>As technology companies deal with declining stock prices, inflation, rising interest rates and a possible recession, they have announced more than 60,000 job cuts this year, with indications — such as from Amazon.com Inc. Chief Executive Andy Jassy; HP Inc. announcing cuts over the next three years; and a report that Google is considering thousands of layoffs — that there will be more to come.</p><p>By comparison, about 65,000 tech jobs were lost each year in 2008 and 2009 during the recession, according to Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas. Whether all the slashing will approach levels only previously seen during the dot-com bust, when almost 300,000 tech jobs were lost over two years, remains to be seen.</p><p>Some longtime Silicon Valley observers and experts say this downturn is not like the dot-com bust of 2001 and 2002, because many of the companies that failed back then weren’t “real” companies. And though their estimates of how long this bust will last vary, they mostly agree that the impact will be significant and affect workers and others who power the industry.</p><p>This time around, the companies making cuts may have grown too quickly or added too many employees during the pandemic and may need to reset or go back to normal, experts say. But they offer real goods or services, and they have revenue coming in.</p><p><b>For more: Here are the tech companies that have announced layoffs</b></p><p>“The dot-com bust was primarily, if not exclusively, companies that had no customers and no revenues,” said Stephen Levy, director and senior economist of the Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy. “The companies that are laying off, like Amazon, or freezing hiring, like Google or Apple have millions and millions of customers and are profitable,” he added.</p><p>This tech downturn is not a surprise to others like Levy, who have lived through previous ones. Their forecasts range from cautious optimism to calamitous.</p><p>“Silicon Valley has cycles,” said Russell Hancock, CEO of Joint Venture Silicon Valley. “We go up, we go down. It happens with regularity about every 10 years.” Hancock, who said he thought it was too early to say “the sky is falling,” added that he thought the beginning of the pandemic would spark the downturn. Instead, he said, “the pandemic turned out to be bonanza for tech… but it just turned out to be a spike and didn’t lead us to a new plateau. Now, demand is tapering.”</p><p>But Tom Siebel, a billionaire serial entrepreneur whose latest title is CEO of C3.ai is more pessimistic. “This is just starting,” he told MarketWatch. “Before this is over, everyone will feel the sting, large companies and small. It will be hard, but the industry will be healthy once we get through it.”</p><p>“All this weird, entitled behavior is coming to an end. No more people working in pajamas at home, being paid in bitcoin. This era will be a zinger, unfortunately,” he said. The downturn, he cautioned, will last at least two years and “look like something out of the 1970s. This recession took 15 years to happen. Companies were literally printing billions of dollars a month. It was not sustainable or real.”</p><p>To further put the numbers in perspective:</p><ul><li>Today’s tech job cuts are also approaching the number of jobs lost in the industry when the COVID-19 pandemic upended everything. In 2020, 83,000 people in the tech industry lost their jobs, according to Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas.</li><li>The 60,000-plus jobs lost this year is getting close to the equivalent of the number of U.S. tech jobs added by Silicon Valley’s biggest tech companies from 2020 to 2021, which was 68,558, according to an analysis of hiring data by the Silicon Valley Institute for Regional Studies.</li></ul><p>Some companies making job cuts have their own reasons and circumstances — but most of them have been affected by declining stock prices this year. The dramatic slashing of the staff of Twitter has everything to do with Elon Musk taking the helm, but before he bought the company its stock had traded as much as 73% lower than the $54.20 he paid per share. The slowdown in real estate activity is affecting related, fairly young companies. Yet other companies, such as ride-hailing giant Lyft Inc. have been under pressure to prove they can turn a profit.</p><p>“These are scary times: A lot of tech companies have not been through a downturn,” Scott Russell, an SAP executive board member, told MarketWatch. “The mantra for nearly all of them the next few years is risk mitigation, controlled costs and operational efficiency,” he added. Some companies already started doing those things at the beginning of the pandemic. Others, such as Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc. almost doubled their size in the past couple of years, and CEO Mark Zuckerberg blamed himself in his email to staff about the layoffs.</p><p>Tech employees of all stripes — those with different levels of experience, or those with H-1B visas and needing employer sponsorship to stay in this country — are losing their jobs, according to layoff lists seen by MarketWatch.</p><p>Some will fare better than others: Data from ZipRecruiter shows that there remains a healthy number of job openings for more senior positions: for example, for engineer 2 instead of engineer 1.</p><p>And some industries within tech are less affected than others, at least so far. A recruiter for semiconductor companies told MarketWatch that she sees few signs of a slowdown. Even Intel Corp. which has announced it wants to trim costs, continues to hire except for in certain locations, she said.</p><p>Venture capitalists are urging caution: “If you’re a growth-stage investor, it’s probably not the best time to be in that stage of investing, partly because companies were overcapitalized and with valuations that were unsustainable,” said Barmak Mehta, founding partner atBallistic Ventures in Silicon Valley.</p><p>All of this is going to affect not just highly paid tech employees but also the other workers who are part of tech’s giant ecosystem.</p><p>A laid-off art-services provider for tech companies told MarketWatch he has become disillusioned with the industry. “I’ve now experienced a couple of times where companies do a hard turn, a pivot,” he said. “Tech feels like there’s this cult, like ‘we’re innovators and we’re gonna decide this is the next big thing,&#39;” no matter how it affects a company and its employees, he said.</p><p>A former Twitter employee who was laid off in early November after Musk took over the company and immediately slashed its workforce in half has already fielded calls from potential employers, he told MarketWatch. That’s because he has plenty of technical and management experience.</p><p>Does he think the downturn will help unions make inroads into tech? “I wish,” he said. “Getting these kinds of workers to organize is even more difficult than in other industries, and it’s not easy anywhere.”</p><p>But Maria Noel Fernandez, campaign director for Silicon Valley Rising, an alliance of labor groups and community leaders, is hopeful that this time presents an “opportunity to build a worker movement within the tech industry and the Bay Area.”</p><p>As for lower-wage workers, they were among the first to feel the pain. The biggest cuts in janitors and bus drivers in the San Francisco Bay Area since the pandemic happened at Meta right before the mass tech-worker layoffs.</p><p>Luis Fuentes, division director for SEIU-United Service Workers West, said unionized service workers in Silicon Valley have made “substantial gains,” but that a majority of them make less than $50,000 a year.  He’s worried about a possible erosion in the progress they have made if the tech industry cuts go deeper or are prolonged.</p><p>“For somebody being laid off from Meta, it might mean they delay a vacation — they have more wiggle room,” Fuentes said. “For service workers, it’s going to come down to whether they can pay rent or put food on the table.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"It Was Not Sustainable Or Real\": Tech Layoffs Approach Great Recession Levels </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"It Was Not Sustainable Or Real\": Tech Layoffs Approach Great Recession Levels \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-30 07:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/it-was-not-sustainable-or-real-tech-layoffs-approach-great-recession-levels-11669741730?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The number of tech layoffs this year is nearing annual levels seen during the Great Recession, but is far from dot-com-bust territory.As technology companies deal with declining stock prices, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/it-was-not-sustainable-or-real-tech-layoffs-approach-great-recession-levels-11669741730?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/it-was-not-sustainable-or-real-tech-layoffs-approach-great-recession-levels-11669741730?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130792345","content_text":"The number of tech layoffs this year is nearing annual levels seen during the Great Recession, but is far from dot-com-bust territory.As technology companies deal with declining stock prices, inflation, rising interest rates and a possible recession, they have announced more than 60,000 job cuts this year, with indications — such as from Amazon.com Inc. Chief Executive Andy Jassy; HP Inc. announcing cuts over the next three years; and a report that Google is considering thousands of layoffs — that there will be more to come.By comparison, about 65,000 tech jobs were lost each year in 2008 and 2009 during the recession, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Whether all the slashing will approach levels only previously seen during the dot-com bust, when almost 300,000 tech jobs were lost over two years, remains to be seen.Some longtime Silicon Valley observers and experts say this downturn is not like the dot-com bust of 2001 and 2002, because many of the companies that failed back then weren’t “real” companies. And though their estimates of how long this bust will last vary, they mostly agree that the impact will be significant and affect workers and others who power the industry.This time around, the companies making cuts may have grown too quickly or added too many employees during the pandemic and may need to reset or go back to normal, experts say. But they offer real goods or services, and they have revenue coming in.For more: Here are the tech companies that have announced layoffs“The dot-com bust was primarily, if not exclusively, companies that had no customers and no revenues,” said Stephen Levy, director and senior economist of the Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy. “The companies that are laying off, like Amazon, or freezing hiring, like Google or Apple have millions and millions of customers and are profitable,” he added.This tech downturn is not a surprise to others like Levy, who have lived through previous ones. Their forecasts range from cautious optimism to calamitous.“Silicon Valley has cycles,” said Russell Hancock, CEO of Joint Venture Silicon Valley. “We go up, we go down. It happens with regularity about every 10 years.” Hancock, who said he thought it was too early to say “the sky is falling,” added that he thought the beginning of the pandemic would spark the downturn. Instead, he said, “the pandemic turned out to be bonanza for tech… but it just turned out to be a spike and didn’t lead us to a new plateau. Now, demand is tapering.”But Tom Siebel, a billionaire serial entrepreneur whose latest title is CEO of C3.ai is more pessimistic. “This is just starting,” he told MarketWatch. “Before this is over, everyone will feel the sting, large companies and small. It will be hard, but the industry will be healthy once we get through it.”“All this weird, entitled behavior is coming to an end. No more people working in pajamas at home, being paid in bitcoin. This era will be a zinger, unfortunately,” he said. The downturn, he cautioned, will last at least two years and “look like something out of the 1970s. This recession took 15 years to happen. Companies were literally printing billions of dollars a month. It was not sustainable or real.”To further put the numbers in perspective:Today’s tech job cuts are also approaching the number of jobs lost in the industry when the COVID-19 pandemic upended everything. In 2020, 83,000 people in the tech industry lost their jobs, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas.The 60,000-plus jobs lost this year is getting close to the equivalent of the number of U.S. tech jobs added by Silicon Valley’s biggest tech companies from 2020 to 2021, which was 68,558, according to an analysis of hiring data by the Silicon Valley Institute for Regional Studies.Some companies making job cuts have their own reasons and circumstances — but most of them have been affected by declining stock prices this year. The dramatic slashing of the staff of Twitter has everything to do with Elon Musk taking the helm, but before he bought the company its stock had traded as much as 73% lower than the $54.20 he paid per share. The slowdown in real estate activity is affecting related, fairly young companies. Yet other companies, such as ride-hailing giant Lyft Inc. have been under pressure to prove they can turn a profit.“These are scary times: A lot of tech companies have not been through a downturn,” Scott Russell, an SAP executive board member, told MarketWatch. “The mantra for nearly all of them the next few years is risk mitigation, controlled costs and operational efficiency,” he added. Some companies already started doing those things at the beginning of the pandemic. Others, such as Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc. almost doubled their size in the past couple of years, and CEO Mark Zuckerberg blamed himself in his email to staff about the layoffs.Tech employees of all stripes — those with different levels of experience, or those with H-1B visas and needing employer sponsorship to stay in this country — are losing their jobs, according to layoff lists seen by MarketWatch.Some will fare better than others: Data from ZipRecruiter shows that there remains a healthy number of job openings for more senior positions: for example, for engineer 2 instead of engineer 1.And some industries within tech are less affected than others, at least so far. A recruiter for semiconductor companies told MarketWatch that she sees few signs of a slowdown. Even Intel Corp. which has announced it wants to trim costs, continues to hire except for in certain locations, she said.Venture capitalists are urging caution: “If you’re a growth-stage investor, it’s probably not the best time to be in that stage of investing, partly because companies were overcapitalized and with valuations that were unsustainable,” said Barmak Mehta, founding partner atBallistic Ventures in Silicon Valley.All of this is going to affect not just highly paid tech employees but also the other workers who are part of tech’s giant ecosystem.A laid-off art-services provider for tech companies told MarketWatch he has become disillusioned with the industry. “I’ve now experienced a couple of times where companies do a hard turn, a pivot,” he said. “Tech feels like there’s this cult, like ‘we’re innovators and we’re gonna decide this is the next big thing,'” no matter how it affects a company and its employees, he said.A former Twitter employee who was laid off in early November after Musk took over the company and immediately slashed its workforce in half has already fielded calls from potential employers, he told MarketWatch. That’s because he has plenty of technical and management experience.Does he think the downturn will help unions make inroads into tech? “I wish,” he said. “Getting these kinds of workers to organize is even more difficult than in other industries, and it’s not easy anywhere.”But Maria Noel Fernandez, campaign director for Silicon Valley Rising, an alliance of labor groups and community leaders, is hopeful that this time presents an “opportunity to build a worker movement within the tech industry and the Bay Area.”As for lower-wage workers, they were among the first to feel the pain. The biggest cuts in janitors and bus drivers in the San Francisco Bay Area since the pandemic happened at Meta right before the mass tech-worker layoffs.Luis Fuentes, division director for SEIU-United Service Workers West, said unionized service workers in Silicon Valley have made “substantial gains,” but that a majority of them make less than $50,000 a year.  He’s worried about a possible erosion in the progress they have made if the tech industry cuts go deeper or are prolonged.“For somebody being laid off from Meta, it might mean they delay a vacation — they have more wiggle room,” Fuentes said. “For service workers, it’s going to come down to whether they can pay rent or put food on the table.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962390434,"gmtCreate":1669717576928,"gmtModify":1676538227845,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962390434","repostId":"2287354580","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2287354580","pubTimestamp":1669735345,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2287354580?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-29 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The Market Is Right - The Current Price Is Fair","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2287354580","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySome bearish analysts think that Apple stock is expensive right now.Most of the Apple analysi","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>Some bearish analysts think that Apple stock is expensive right now.</li><li>Most of the Apple analysis is not incorporating a forecast of AR/VR products.</li><li>The effect of share buybacks is also frequently not included in those analyses.</li><li>The article will offer evidence that the stock is not expensive at all using the discounted cash flow methodology incorporating those two factors.</li><li>The calculation will be made through three different stages.</li></ul><h2>Introduction</h2><p>We consider that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc. </a> is a &#34;hold&#34; right now. In this article, I will provide evidence that the stock market price ranging between $130 and $170 per share year-to-date is moving around its intrinsic value; in other words, the current stock price is neither expensive nor cheap.</p><p>I will show a new perspective about the calculation of Apple&#39;s intrinsic value that will help readers to understand why the stock price has not dropped as some bearish analysts might expect. First, I will use the DCF methodology for making projections of the current Apple&#39;s products and services. Second, I will include the virtual and augmented reality products AR/VR in the calculation taking the assumptions made by one of the most reliable analysts about Apple - Ming-Chi Kuo from TF International Securities, and GlobalData Forecasts; the goal is to estimate a present value of the projected free cash flow (FCF) that would be generated by the AR/VR products that would be launched in 2023. Finally, I will add the effect of share buy-backs in the intrinsic value&#39;s calculation.</p><p>I need to remind you that Apple stock should be seen as a long-term investment as Tim Cook clearly emphasized in the last TIME100 summit based on New York in June 2022, Tim Cook said:</p><blockquote>If you are a short term trader, do not invest in Apple stock. Because if you are doing that, you are trading at a different time horizon than we&#39;re investing in. We invest for the long term. Doing good is creating shareholder value in the long term; it may not in the very short term. Our interests are not aligned to the short term trader.</blockquote><h2>Context</h2><p>Apple is facing some problems in one of the main Foxconn&#39;s facilities which is the world&#39;s largest iPhone factory located in Zhengzhou, China, due to the zero-COVID policy implemented in the country. This could affect the expectations of the analysts for the last quarter in 2022. However, the problem is not in the demand but in the supply as mentioned in the Apple&#39;s web site in November 2022:</p><blockquote>COVID restrictions have temporarily impacted the primary iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro max assembly facility located Zhengzhou, China. The facility is currently operating at significantly reduced capacity. As we have done throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, we are prioritizing the health and safety of the workers in our supply chain.</blockquote><blockquote>We continue to see strong demand for iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max models. However, we now expect lower iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max shipments than we previously anticipated and customers will experience longer wait times to receive their new products.</blockquote><p>Furthermore, there are recent worrisome news about the protests in the Zhengzhou&#39;s facilities with all the new recruited workers. However, Tim Cook has a strong specialization in supply chain management; in fact, that was one of the main reasons why Steve Jobs believed that there was anyone better than Tim Cook as his successor.</p><p>Therefore, we don&#39;t have to be worried about the short-term issues mentioned on the news particularly if we are focused on a long-term horizon. In my opinion, a key factor is that Tim Cook has developed a long-term strategy in the company focused on delivering more value for long-term investors, which is reflected by the Apple stock&#39;s capital appreciation of more than 600% in the last 10 years.</p><p>Given our focus on the long-term, I propose to calculate an intrinsic value considering the strong business model and the outstanding management; these two factors are key to make decent projections of the future FCFs to calculate Apple&#39;s intrinsic value. Let&#39;s see why this stock is at a fair price.</p><h2>First stage: standard intrinsic value</h2><p>In this part, I will show you that this is the typical way of calculation of the intrinsic value in several analysis using the DCF, considering a conservative growth in revenues and FCF of the company for the next years.</p><p>These are my assumptions for this stage:</p><ul><li>Outstanding shares from 2021: 16,877,005,347</li><li>FCF margins based on the last 10 years average: 22%</li><li>Revenue growth of 3% for the next 6 years</li><li>Total debt and cash on hand in the balance sheet as of September 2022</li><li>Enterprise value is the subtraction of the total debt from the present value of the all the future FCF projected adding the cash on hand from the balance sheet.</li><li>Growth in FCF perpetuity (FCFP): 3%</li><li>Discounted rate: 8%</li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9593afa9b5806f52aadb452a74e0f3d2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"198\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author</p><p>The estimations are conservative; for example, the growth of FCF has been 13.65% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the last 10 years while I am assuming 3% for my projections. The revenue growth expected from the consensus is 3% for 2023, 5.5% for 2024, and 5.1% for 2025; my estimations are 3% of revenue growth for all the years projected.</p><p>The intrinsic value according to this stage of calculation is $97.36 per share which is similar to the number that some bearish analysts are getting in their calculations.</p><h2>Second stage: including VR/AR products</h2><p>According to Ming-Chi Kuo, one of the most reliable analysts about Apple, the AR/VR products might be launched in 2023. The goal is to estimate FCF projections for the AR/VR products using the next assumptions:</p><ul><li>AR/VR products will be launched in 2023</li><li>The number of units sold estimated in 2023 would be 1,500</li><li>Price estimated per unit is $3,000 per unit</li><li>Growth of sales: 40% annual, according to GlobalData Forecasts, it is expected to reach $30 billion in sales in 2030, which means a 40% CAGR roughly since 2023</li><li>FCF margins (FCF/Revenues) generated by the AR/VR products: 22% which are aligned with FCF margins of the entire company.</li><li>Growth of FCFP: 6% annual.</li><li>Discounted rate: 8%</li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ebc9d88521e926b225e41ae3f96af2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author</p><p>The present value (PV) of the future FCFs obtained under these assumptions is $320,399 million. This number will be summed up to the enterprise value previously calculated in the first stage. In this sense, we are keeping all the assumptions made in the first stage; therefore, our new intrinsic value including the AR/VR products forecast is 116.34$ per share:</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/384dec806a0271e64a05266bd51d8205\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"225\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author</p><h2>Third stage: including the share buyback&#39;s effect</h2><p>In this stage, we need to know what was the rate at which Apple makes its share buy-backs, so reviewing its past history in the last 9 years, we have the following:</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c76916d1ad63a59b6656f3e33d336fff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author, Apple&#39;s Annual report</p><p>We consider the share buy-backs from 2013 to 2019 since there was a 4-to-1 split in 2020. Taking the average rate, Apple repurchases 5.5% of the outstanding shares of the previous year. Now, we will apply 5% for the next years projected to the year 2026:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8334af831132ec75127463fcd516b83\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"236\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author</p><p>In this stage, we take the enterprise value and divide it by the outstanding number of shares projected for the year 2026. Of course, Apple might keep reducing its number of outstanding shares beyond 2026, driving up even more the intrinsic value but we want to be conservative in our assumptions; thus, according to this model, the number of outstanding shares for 2027 onwards will be the same as 2026.</p><p>The final intrinsic value including the projections of the AR/VR products and the share buy-back&#39;s effect is 150$ per share which is the average price at which Apple stock was trading in the last months.</p><h2>Challenges to the thesis</h2><p>Some of the assumptions that we&#39;ve made might be broken, so that the intrinsic value could be lower than that we are expecting. For instance, if the annual rate of buy-backs falls from 5% to 3% keeping the other factors unchanged, the intrinsic value would drop from $150 to $135 per share. We don&#39;t know if Apple will keep the same rate or not, so I would consider a range between $135$ to $150 per share as the intrinsic value.</p><p>A second factor would be a scenario in which the AR/VR products are not launched in 2023 delaying the propel to an unknown date. In that case, our intrinsic value would only incorporate the buy-backs and the projection of the current products for the next years. In this scenario, the Apple&#39;s intrinsic value would be around 125.82$ per share. Nevertheless, it is hard to imagine that Tim Cook would delay the launch of the AR/VR products since he said in September 2022:</p><blockquote>Not too long from today, people will wonder how they led a life without augmented reality, stressing the &#34;profound&#34; impact it will have on the not so distant future.</blockquote><p>This combined by the expectations of analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, strengthen the possibility of that important event for Apple in 2023 with a high probability.</p><p>A third factor that could weak our thesis is related to the average price of the AR/VR products. The average price per unit for these products assumed in our calculation was $3,000. If the price was lower than expected keeping the other factors unchanged, the intrinsic value will be impacted:</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/419f5a3fd23e39fec66b6cc12899f68f\" tg-width=\"332\" tg-height=\"138\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author</p><p>However, I cannot imagine a scenario in which the price per unit reaches $1,500 since we know that the segment targeted for Apple&#39;s products is the wealthier segment of the market; this is another reason why Apple has an strong pricing power since its products are well-demanded and its customers have high buying power.</p><p>Another factor that could affect the valuation is the more restrictive monetary policy by the Fed in the next years. More interest rate hikes to control the inflation rates in the economy could affect the demand for Apple&#39;s products and services, so the revenue growth might be impacted. Nonetheless, the Apple&#39;s business model is very resilient since the main target of the company is the wealthier segment of the market. Most likely, the problem continues being the supply instead of the demand for Apple&#39;s products, and the launch of the new AR/VR products could be another interesting catalyzer to deliver more revenue growth, so I feel comfortable with the 3% of revenue growth for the next years.</p><p>Finally, we are considering that the risk frequently mentioned on the news about the possibility that China could invade Taiwan is no significant. In Taiwan, Taiwan Semiconductors Manufacturing Company (TSM) is a critical Apple&#39;s provider of the 3nm-chips. However, there would be several negative implications for China, like beginning a war with the US, or the possibility that Taiwan or the US destroy all TSM&#39;s assets, making the invasion a failure. Apparently, Warren Buffett is also assigning a low probability for such event since he has recently invested in TSM.</p><p>In a nutshell, taking all these scenarios, we could establish a range for the Apple&#39;s intrinsic value between 135$ and 150$ per share. The stock price has been moving around that range in the last months, so it is likely that the market is considering the launch of the AR/VR products and the share buy-back&#39;s effect. Apparently, the market is not considering the Apple car as part of the valuation of the company either.</p><h2>Strategy with Apple stock</h2><p>Apple stock is a <i>hold</i> for those investors who have invested in the company several years ago. A new investor who is thinking of buying Apple stock could consider that the current price ranging between $130 and $150 per share is the fair price. I would start a position when the price is between $130 and $140 per share, increasing my position gradually if the stock falls below that range.</p><p>Given the uncertainty related to the monetary policy from the FED, the war between Ukraine and Russia, the zero-COVID policy in China, a recession in 2023, and so on, the stock might drop below the range of the intrinsic value previously mentioned giving an opportunity to new investors. Being aware of which is Apple&#39;s fair value will enable us to know if we should start a position or not right now. If we consider the stock to be expensive, we would have the incentives to wait for a significant fall in the stock price that may never come since we are not making a proper calculation of the intrinsic value of the company.</p><h2>Final Thoughts</h2><p>Some analysts state that Apple stock is overvalued using multiples, comparing them with other competitors, and encouraging investors to wait for a significant decline in Apple stock, a fall that may not come. We need to be aware of the limitations of only using multiples like P/E, EV/Sales, EV/EBITDA, EV/EBIT, etc. since these multiples assume almost the same quality among all the comparables without considering factors that are only intrinsic to each company.</p><p>In addition, most of these analyses do not include neither the launch of the AR/VR products in 2023 and most importantly, nor the share buy-back&#39;s effect which is a regular practice of the Apple&#39;s management in the last 10 years to deliver more value to long-term investors.</p><p>A critical factor behind all the assumptions we&#39;ve made in this article is the management&#39;s capabilities to deliver the highest value to the shareholders; Tim Cook has done an amazing job in all these years, strengthening Apple&#39;s market position, the innovative culture inside the company, the brand&#39;s reputation, the efficiency in the supply chain management and the capital allocation.</p><p>Apple is a <i>compounder</i> since it is able to reinvest its cash flows at high returns; this combined with its strong buybacks year by year ends up boosting the intrinsic value. So most likely the current intrinsic value ranging between $130 and $150 per share would be higher in the next years as the company keeps delivering more value to its clients and investors.</p><p>Thanks to a solid and consistent long-term strategy, we feel confident making projections for Apple&#39;s future performance, getting an approximation of Apple&#39;s intrinsic value ranging between $135 and $150 per share. Therefore, there could be an interesting opportunity to buy Apple stock when the price drops below that range.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The Market Is Right - The Current Price Is Fair</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The Market Is Right - The Current Price Is Fair\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-29 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560944-apple-stock-market-right-current-price-is-fair><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySome bearish analysts think that Apple stock is expensive right now.Most of the Apple analysis is not incorporating a forecast of AR/VR products.The effect of share buybacks is also frequently ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560944-apple-stock-market-right-current-price-is-fair\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560944-apple-stock-market-right-current-price-is-fair","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2287354580","content_text":"SummarySome bearish analysts think that Apple stock is expensive right now.Most of the Apple analysis is not incorporating a forecast of AR/VR products.The effect of share buybacks is also frequently not included in those analyses.The article will offer evidence that the stock is not expensive at all using the discounted cash flow methodology incorporating those two factors.The calculation will be made through three different stages.IntroductionWe consider that Apple Inc.  is a \"hold\" right now. In this article, I will provide evidence that the stock market price ranging between $130 and $170 per share year-to-date is moving around its intrinsic value; in other words, the current stock price is neither expensive nor cheap.I will show a new perspective about the calculation of Apple's intrinsic value that will help readers to understand why the stock price has not dropped as some bearish analysts might expect. First, I will use the DCF methodology for making projections of the current Apple's products and services. Second, I will include the virtual and augmented reality products AR/VR in the calculation taking the assumptions made by one of the most reliable analysts about Apple - Ming-Chi Kuo from TF International Securities, and GlobalData Forecasts; the goal is to estimate a present value of the projected free cash flow (FCF) that would be generated by the AR/VR products that would be launched in 2023. Finally, I will add the effect of share buy-backs in the intrinsic value's calculation.I need to remind you that Apple stock should be seen as a long-term investment as Tim Cook clearly emphasized in the last TIME100 summit based on New York in June 2022, Tim Cook said:If you are a short term trader, do not invest in Apple stock. Because if you are doing that, you are trading at a different time horizon than we're investing in. We invest for the long term. Doing good is creating shareholder value in the long term; it may not in the very short term. Our interests are not aligned to the short term trader.ContextApple is facing some problems in one of the main Foxconn's facilities which is the world's largest iPhone factory located in Zhengzhou, China, due to the zero-COVID policy implemented in the country. This could affect the expectations of the analysts for the last quarter in 2022. However, the problem is not in the demand but in the supply as mentioned in the Apple's web site in November 2022:COVID restrictions have temporarily impacted the primary iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro max assembly facility located Zhengzhou, China. The facility is currently operating at significantly reduced capacity. As we have done throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, we are prioritizing the health and safety of the workers in our supply chain.We continue to see strong demand for iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max models. However, we now expect lower iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max shipments than we previously anticipated and customers will experience longer wait times to receive their new products.Furthermore, there are recent worrisome news about the protests in the Zhengzhou's facilities with all the new recruited workers. However, Tim Cook has a strong specialization in supply chain management; in fact, that was one of the main reasons why Steve Jobs believed that there was anyone better than Tim Cook as his successor.Therefore, we don't have to be worried about the short-term issues mentioned on the news particularly if we are focused on a long-term horizon. In my opinion, a key factor is that Tim Cook has developed a long-term strategy in the company focused on delivering more value for long-term investors, which is reflected by the Apple stock's capital appreciation of more than 600% in the last 10 years.Given our focus on the long-term, I propose to calculate an intrinsic value considering the strong business model and the outstanding management; these two factors are key to make decent projections of the future FCFs to calculate Apple's intrinsic value. Let's see why this stock is at a fair price.First stage: standard intrinsic valueIn this part, I will show you that this is the typical way of calculation of the intrinsic value in several analysis using the DCF, considering a conservative growth in revenues and FCF of the company for the next years.These are my assumptions for this stage:Outstanding shares from 2021: 16,877,005,347FCF margins based on the last 10 years average: 22%Revenue growth of 3% for the next 6 yearsTotal debt and cash on hand in the balance sheet as of September 2022Enterprise value is the subtraction of the total debt from the present value of the all the future FCF projected adding the cash on hand from the balance sheet.Growth in FCF perpetuity (FCFP): 3%Discounted rate: 8%Prepared by the authorThe estimations are conservative; for example, the growth of FCF has been 13.65% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the last 10 years while I am assuming 3% for my projections. The revenue growth expected from the consensus is 3% for 2023, 5.5% for 2024, and 5.1% for 2025; my estimations are 3% of revenue growth for all the years projected.The intrinsic value according to this stage of calculation is $97.36 per share which is similar to the number that some bearish analysts are getting in their calculations.Second stage: including VR/AR productsAccording to Ming-Chi Kuo, one of the most reliable analysts about Apple, the AR/VR products might be launched in 2023. The goal is to estimate FCF projections for the AR/VR products using the next assumptions:AR/VR products will be launched in 2023The number of units sold estimated in 2023 would be 1,500Price estimated per unit is $3,000 per unitGrowth of sales: 40% annual, according to GlobalData Forecasts, it is expected to reach $30 billion in sales in 2030, which means a 40% CAGR roughly since 2023FCF margins (FCF/Revenues) generated by the AR/VR products: 22% which are aligned with FCF margins of the entire company.Growth of FCFP: 6% annual.Discounted rate: 8%Prepared by the authorThe present value (PV) of the future FCFs obtained under these assumptions is $320,399 million. This number will be summed up to the enterprise value previously calculated in the first stage. In this sense, we are keeping all the assumptions made in the first stage; therefore, our new intrinsic value including the AR/VR products forecast is 116.34$ per share:Prepared by the authorThird stage: including the share buyback's effectIn this stage, we need to know what was the rate at which Apple makes its share buy-backs, so reviewing its past history in the last 9 years, we have the following:Prepared by the author, Apple's Annual reportWe consider the share buy-backs from 2013 to 2019 since there was a 4-to-1 split in 2020. Taking the average rate, Apple repurchases 5.5% of the outstanding shares of the previous year. Now, we will apply 5% for the next years projected to the year 2026:Prepared by the authorIn this stage, we take the enterprise value and divide it by the outstanding number of shares projected for the year 2026. Of course, Apple might keep reducing its number of outstanding shares beyond 2026, driving up even more the intrinsic value but we want to be conservative in our assumptions; thus, according to this model, the number of outstanding shares for 2027 onwards will be the same as 2026.The final intrinsic value including the projections of the AR/VR products and the share buy-back's effect is 150$ per share which is the average price at which Apple stock was trading in the last months.Challenges to the thesisSome of the assumptions that we've made might be broken, so that the intrinsic value could be lower than that we are expecting. For instance, if the annual rate of buy-backs falls from 5% to 3% keeping the other factors unchanged, the intrinsic value would drop from $150 to $135 per share. We don't know if Apple will keep the same rate or not, so I would consider a range between $135$ to $150 per share as the intrinsic value.A second factor would be a scenario in which the AR/VR products are not launched in 2023 delaying the propel to an unknown date. In that case, our intrinsic value would only incorporate the buy-backs and the projection of the current products for the next years. In this scenario, the Apple's intrinsic value would be around 125.82$ per share. Nevertheless, it is hard to imagine that Tim Cook would delay the launch of the AR/VR products since he said in September 2022:Not too long from today, people will wonder how they led a life without augmented reality, stressing the \"profound\" impact it will have on the not so distant future.This combined by the expectations of analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, strengthen the possibility of that important event for Apple in 2023 with a high probability.A third factor that could weak our thesis is related to the average price of the AR/VR products. The average price per unit for these products assumed in our calculation was $3,000. If the price was lower than expected keeping the other factors unchanged, the intrinsic value will be impacted:Prepared by the authorHowever, I cannot imagine a scenario in which the price per unit reaches $1,500 since we know that the segment targeted for Apple's products is the wealthier segment of the market; this is another reason why Apple has an strong pricing power since its products are well-demanded and its customers have high buying power.Another factor that could affect the valuation is the more restrictive monetary policy by the Fed in the next years. More interest rate hikes to control the inflation rates in the economy could affect the demand for Apple's products and services, so the revenue growth might be impacted. Nonetheless, the Apple's business model is very resilient since the main target of the company is the wealthier segment of the market. Most likely, the problem continues being the supply instead of the demand for Apple's products, and the launch of the new AR/VR products could be another interesting catalyzer to deliver more revenue growth, so I feel comfortable with the 3% of revenue growth for the next years.Finally, we are considering that the risk frequently mentioned on the news about the possibility that China could invade Taiwan is no significant. In Taiwan, Taiwan Semiconductors Manufacturing Company (TSM) is a critical Apple's provider of the 3nm-chips. However, there would be several negative implications for China, like beginning a war with the US, or the possibility that Taiwan or the US destroy all TSM's assets, making the invasion a failure. Apparently, Warren Buffett is also assigning a low probability for such event since he has recently invested in TSM.In a nutshell, taking all these scenarios, we could establish a range for the Apple's intrinsic value between 135$ and 150$ per share. The stock price has been moving around that range in the last months, so it is likely that the market is considering the launch of the AR/VR products and the share buy-back's effect. Apparently, the market is not considering the Apple car as part of the valuation of the company either.Strategy with Apple stockApple stock is a hold for those investors who have invested in the company several years ago. A new investor who is thinking of buying Apple stock could consider that the current price ranging between $130 and $150 per share is the fair price. I would start a position when the price is between $130 and $140 per share, increasing my position gradually if the stock falls below that range.Given the uncertainty related to the monetary policy from the FED, the war between Ukraine and Russia, the zero-COVID policy in China, a recession in 2023, and so on, the stock might drop below the range of the intrinsic value previously mentioned giving an opportunity to new investors. Being aware of which is Apple's fair value will enable us to know if we should start a position or not right now. If we consider the stock to be expensive, we would have the incentives to wait for a significant fall in the stock price that may never come since we are not making a proper calculation of the intrinsic value of the company.Final ThoughtsSome analysts state that Apple stock is overvalued using multiples, comparing them with other competitors, and encouraging investors to wait for a significant decline in Apple stock, a fall that may not come. We need to be aware of the limitations of only using multiples like P/E, EV/Sales, EV/EBITDA, EV/EBIT, etc. since these multiples assume almost the same quality among all the comparables without considering factors that are only intrinsic to each company.In addition, most of these analyses do not include neither the launch of the AR/VR products in 2023 and most importantly, nor the share buy-back's effect which is a regular practice of the Apple's management in the last 10 years to deliver more value to long-term investors.A critical factor behind all the assumptions we've made in this article is the management's capabilities to deliver the highest value to the shareholders; Tim Cook has done an amazing job in all these years, strengthening Apple's market position, the innovative culture inside the company, the brand's reputation, the efficiency in the supply chain management and the capital allocation.Apple is a compounder since it is able to reinvest its cash flows at high returns; this combined with its strong buybacks year by year ends up boosting the intrinsic value. So most likely the current intrinsic value ranging between $130 and $150 per share would be higher in the next years as the company keeps delivering more value to its clients and investors.Thanks to a solid and consistent long-term strategy, we feel confident making projections for Apple's future performance, getting an approximation of Apple's intrinsic value ranging between $135 and $150 per share. Therefore, there could be an interesting opportunity to buy Apple stock when the price drops below that range.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966643098,"gmtCreate":1669525356614,"gmtModify":1676538205014,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966643098","repostId":"2286321847","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2286321847","pubTimestamp":1669517180,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2286321847?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-27 10:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Sea Stock a Buy After Promising to Slash Expenses?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286321847","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The company is all-in on reaching self-sufficiency as quickly as possible.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of <b>Sea Limited</b>, southeast Asia&#39;s leading internet company, continue their wild ride. The stock is trading down 75% in 2022 with just over a month left to go. However, following the third-quarter earnings update, shares rallied some 40% before giving back some gains as management promised to slash expenses. After a spate of heavy spending to support unprofitable expansion in 2020 and 2021, the company&#39;s new goal is to get operations running self-sufficiently as soon as possible.</p><p>Sea&#39;s e-commerce business Shoppee is expected to reach breakeven by the end of 2023, but its profitable video game segment Garena (led by the global hit <i>Free Fire</i>) still struggles as many gamers return to work or school. With a long and hard road ahead of it, is now the time to buy Sea stock?</p><h2>Sea&#39;s big shift in thinking</h2><p>At times in 2020 and 2021, Sea actually started to turn free-cash-flow positive. But as the pandemic boom in online business activity returned to normal in 2022, Sea&#39;s free cash flow turned negative -- to the tune of negative $1.68 billion over the last 12-month stretch.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53566b09193f114b091d2614cfb247b0\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts.</p><p>The digital entertainment segment is still a moneymaker, though not as much as before. Adjusted EBITDA (or &#34;earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization,&#34; which measures the profitability of business operations) was $290 million on revenue of $893 million, compared to adjusted EBITDA of $334 million on revenue of $900 million in Q2 2022. Engagement in video games, in particular, the main breadwinner <i>Free Fire, </i>remains challenging as the world slowly reopens from early pandemic effects.</p><p>Issues with video games aside, e-commerce is the real glaring issue for Sea. Led by the Shoppee app in southeast Asia, adjusted EBITDA losses were $496 million in Q3, though that was an improvement from the $648 million adjusted EBITDA loss in the previous quarter. The closely related SeaMoney digital finance segment likewise lost less money in Q3. Adjusted EBITDA was negative $67.7 million, down from the loss of $112 million in Q2 2022.</p><p>Efforts to further trim the fat include tightening the budget on servers and computer equipment. Office space expansion and remodeling are also taking the backseat, likely due in part to some 7,000 employee layoffs in recent months (reportedly about 10% of the company&#39;s workforce). Rather than grow e-commerce as quickly as possible like what was happening over the last two years, the focus for Shoppee in particular will now be getting the existing operation profitable, which is expected by the end of 2023.</p><p>The result is likely a deceleration in growth for Sea overall going forward. Total revenue was up just 17% year over year in Q3 2022, a far cry from the triple-digit percentage growth reported less than a year ago.</p><h2>Is this the right move for Sea?</h2><p>This shift in focus is absolutely the right decision for Sea. The market stopped rewarding the company for its rapid expansion a while ago. The business traded for well over 20 times trailing 12-month sales this same time in 2021. Now the stock trades for just 2.5 times sales, even as Sea continues to report double-digit percentage expansion. CEO Forrest Li acknowledged this, as he stated on the last earnings call:</p><blockquote>We believe our strong focus on cash flow and achieving self-sufficiency as much as possible is the right strategy to pursue at this stage, even though we may see no growth or even negative growth in certain operating metrics in the near term. To be very clear, we remain highly confident about the compelling long-term growth prospects of our businesses and the market. Once we achieve self-sufficiency, we will be in a position to decide to reaccelerate growth again in a much more efficient and a long-term sustainable manner.</blockquote><p>The company&#39;s phase of hypergrowth was nice while it lasted, but it wasn&#39;t sustainable. As an era of extremely easy money ends with interest rates back on the rise, Sea needs to figure out how to make its online marketplace profitable without the need to tap shareholders for additional cash.</p><p>Given the market&#39;s punishment of Sea in the last year, even a no-growth business would be fine. Investors now only care about profitability. The good news is there&#39;s a plan to get there, and meaningful progress is being made toward the breakeven goal within another year&#39;s time. And in the meantime, Sea&#39;s balance sheet is still in decent shape. Cash and short-term investments totaled $7.3 billion, offset by convertible debt of $4.1 billion.</p><p>Is the stock a buy? If Sea can indeed get itself out of the red, shares might be really cheap right now at just 2.5 times sales. After all, the company&#39;s addressable markets in southeast Asia and Latin America are huge and have really only just begun to adopt many e-commerce services. If Sea can figure out how to make this business sustainable, this might once again be a great long-term investment. But until that happens, this should still be viewed as a high-risk stock. Tread lightly for now after the big post-Q3 earnings rally.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Sea Stock a Buy After Promising to Slash Expenses?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Sea Stock a Buy After Promising to Slash Expenses?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-27 10:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/26/is-sea-stock-a-buy-after-promising-to-slash-expens/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of Sea Limited, southeast Asia's leading internet company, continue their wild ride. The stock is trading down 75% in 2022 with just over a month left to go. However, following the third-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/26/is-sea-stock-a-buy-after-promising-to-slash-expens/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/26/is-sea-stock-a-buy-after-promising-to-slash-expens/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286321847","content_text":"Shares of Sea Limited, southeast Asia's leading internet company, continue their wild ride. The stock is trading down 75% in 2022 with just over a month left to go. However, following the third-quarter earnings update, shares rallied some 40% before giving back some gains as management promised to slash expenses. After a spate of heavy spending to support unprofitable expansion in 2020 and 2021, the company's new goal is to get operations running self-sufficiently as soon as possible.Sea's e-commerce business Shoppee is expected to reach breakeven by the end of 2023, but its profitable video game segment Garena (led by the global hit Free Fire) still struggles as many gamers return to work or school. With a long and hard road ahead of it, is now the time to buy Sea stock?Sea's big shift in thinkingAt times in 2020 and 2021, Sea actually started to turn free-cash-flow positive. But as the pandemic boom in online business activity returned to normal in 2022, Sea's free cash flow turned negative -- to the tune of negative $1.68 billion over the last 12-month stretch.Data by YCharts.The digital entertainment segment is still a moneymaker, though not as much as before. Adjusted EBITDA (or \"earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization,\" which measures the profitability of business operations) was $290 million on revenue of $893 million, compared to adjusted EBITDA of $334 million on revenue of $900 million in Q2 2022. Engagement in video games, in particular, the main breadwinner Free Fire, remains challenging as the world slowly reopens from early pandemic effects.Issues with video games aside, e-commerce is the real glaring issue for Sea. Led by the Shoppee app in southeast Asia, adjusted EBITDA losses were $496 million in Q3, though that was an improvement from the $648 million adjusted EBITDA loss in the previous quarter. The closely related SeaMoney digital finance segment likewise lost less money in Q3. Adjusted EBITDA was negative $67.7 million, down from the loss of $112 million in Q2 2022.Efforts to further trim the fat include tightening the budget on servers and computer equipment. Office space expansion and remodeling are also taking the backseat, likely due in part to some 7,000 employee layoffs in recent months (reportedly about 10% of the company's workforce). Rather than grow e-commerce as quickly as possible like what was happening over the last two years, the focus for Shoppee in particular will now be getting the existing operation profitable, which is expected by the end of 2023.The result is likely a deceleration in growth for Sea overall going forward. Total revenue was up just 17% year over year in Q3 2022, a far cry from the triple-digit percentage growth reported less than a year ago.Is this the right move for Sea?This shift in focus is absolutely the right decision for Sea. The market stopped rewarding the company for its rapid expansion a while ago. The business traded for well over 20 times trailing 12-month sales this same time in 2021. Now the stock trades for just 2.5 times sales, even as Sea continues to report double-digit percentage expansion. CEO Forrest Li acknowledged this, as he stated on the last earnings call:We believe our strong focus on cash flow and achieving self-sufficiency as much as possible is the right strategy to pursue at this stage, even though we may see no growth or even negative growth in certain operating metrics in the near term. To be very clear, we remain highly confident about the compelling long-term growth prospects of our businesses and the market. Once we achieve self-sufficiency, we will be in a position to decide to reaccelerate growth again in a much more efficient and a long-term sustainable manner.The company's phase of hypergrowth was nice while it lasted, but it wasn't sustainable. As an era of extremely easy money ends with interest rates back on the rise, Sea needs to figure out how to make its online marketplace profitable without the need to tap shareholders for additional cash.Given the market's punishment of Sea in the last year, even a no-growth business would be fine. Investors now only care about profitability. The good news is there's a plan to get there, and meaningful progress is being made toward the breakeven goal within another year's time. And in the meantime, Sea's balance sheet is still in decent shape. Cash and short-term investments totaled $7.3 billion, offset by convertible debt of $4.1 billion.Is the stock a buy? If Sea can indeed get itself out of the red, shares might be really cheap right now at just 2.5 times sales. After all, the company's addressable markets in southeast Asia and Latin America are huge and have really only just begun to adopt many e-commerce services. If Sea can figure out how to make this business sustainable, this might once again be a great long-term investment. But until that happens, this should still be viewed as a high-risk stock. Tread lightly for now after the big post-Q3 earnings rally.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966054679,"gmtCreate":1669356709992,"gmtModify":1676538188351,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"M","listText":"M","text":"M","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966054679","repostId":"1139072275","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139072275","pubTimestamp":1669353967,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139072275?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-25 13:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Starbucks’ Growth Strategy Worth Buying Into?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139072275","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsStarbucks’ growth momentum appears strong, especially given the current market condi","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsStarbucks’ growth momentum appears strong, especially given the current market conditions. Nevertheless, investors could still be overpaying for the stock, especially if the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/does-starbucks-new-era-of-growth-justify-its-valuation-premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Starbucks’ Growth Strategy Worth Buying Into?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Starbucks’ Growth Strategy Worth Buying Into?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-25 13:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/does-starbucks-new-era-of-growth-justify-its-valuation-premium><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsStarbucks’ growth momentum appears strong, especially given the current market conditions. Nevertheless, investors could still be overpaying for the stock, especially if the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/does-starbucks-new-era-of-growth-justify-its-valuation-premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/does-starbucks-new-era-of-growth-justify-its-valuation-premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139072275","content_text":"Story HighlightsStarbucks’ growth momentum appears strong, especially given the current market conditions. Nevertheless, investors could still be overpaying for the stock, especially if the macroeconomic headwinds persist.Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) recently posted its Q4 results, ending fiscal 2022 on a high note. More importantly, the company has outlined an optimistic medium-term growth roadmap, which has set the stage for record results in Fiscal Year 2023. That said, I remain cautious about the stock’s elevated valuation levels, which leave little to no margin of safety for investors. Accordingly, I am neutral on the stock.Fiscal 2023 Has Begun with Robust Growth Momentum for StarbucksFollowing exceptional results last year and management’s optimistic outlook, it appears that Starbucks has stepped into fiscal 2023 with robust growth momentum. Specifically, in fiscal Q4 results, Starbucks posted year-over-year revenue growth of 3.2% to a quarterly record of $8.41 billion. This may appear like a soft growth number, but there are three points to note here.Firstly, fiscal Q3 was also another record quarter for the company, indicating further sequential improvements. Secondly, with inflation raging and mortgages on the rise, consumers’ purchasing power is supposed to be on the decline, which in turn should mean declining revenues for a premium coffee brand such as Starbucks. Thus, any growth is actually quite remarkable. Finally, due to Starbucks’ strong international footprint, the company’s sales were impacted by a strong dollar. In constant currency, revenue growth would have actually been even stronger.In North America, where Starbucks’ performance is not impacted by FX headwinds, comparable store sales increased by 11%. The increase was driven by an 8% increase in average tickets and a 1% growth in comparable transactions. What stood out to me was that Starbucks’ average ticket reached a new all-time high once again, with its expansion backed by increased spending on food and the recently implemented strategic pricing actions.I was personally expecting strong food sales growth, but certainly not as high as 18%, which, again, speaks volumes about Starbucks’ brand and management’s execution in diversifying cash flows. In my view, food is going to remain a strong growth catalyst for Starbucks because the pricing of coffee already seems to have arrived at a glass ceiling. Therefore, seeing Starbucks’ new food offerings being well received by customers is another cheerful point.Promising Developments in ChinaAs I mentioned, the company’s international revenues were negatively affected by a stronger dollar. That said, the key metrics related to international sales were quite strong, especially in China, which has become an increasingly important region for Starbucks’ growth prospects.For context, active Starbucks rewards membership in China rose 29% quarter-over-quarter to over 17 million members, while delivery sales, which are higher-margin and should boost profitability, grew 35% year-over-year, now representing more than 24% of sales. These numbers become even more special when we consider that the Chinese market is still being impacted by the Chinese government’s strict Zero COVID policy.Is Starbucks’ Profitability Worsening?Starbucks’ revenue growth and overall sales metrics were quite decisive. However, inflationary forces did offset the growth in revenues. Specifically, Starbucks’ operating margin contracted 250 basis points to 14.3%, mainly due to higher labor expenses, including improved store partner wages.Amid lower margins, Starbucks’ bottom line was also compressed, resulting in adjusted earnings per share coming in at $0.81, down from $0.99 last year. Thus, adjusted earnings per share for the full year landed at $2.96 compared to last year’s $3.20.Nevertheless, I believe that profitability remained largely robust. Fiscal Year 2022’s adjusted earnings per share indicate a decline of just around 10%, despite multiple headwinds negatively affecting the company. Should the macroeconomic environment improve, we should see Starbucks’ profit margins expand quite significantly, given its performance under such pressures.Is SBUX Stock a Buy or Sell, According to Analysts?Turning to Wall Street, Starbucks has a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on 13 Buys and 10 Holds assigned in the past three months. At $100.35, the average Starbucks stock forecast implies a 0.83% upside potential over the next 12 months.Takeaway: SBUX Stock Provides No Margin of Safety for InvestorsBased on Starbucks’ growth estimates, analysts expect EPS to rebound by nearly 15% this year to $3.40. However, this implies a forward P/E of about 29x, which is quite a hefty valuation multiple in the current market environment. On the other hand, Starbucks is expected to keep growing its earnings per share by double-digits in the coming years, which sort of justifies a premium. Nevertheless, investors have little to no margin of safety if the current macroeconomic headwinds persist, which is why I am taking a pass on the stock at its current price.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968545464,"gmtCreate":1669266069959,"gmtModify":1676538176659,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968545464","repostId":"2285108728","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2285108728","pubTimestamp":1669262342,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2285108728?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-24 11:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Growth Stocks With 124% and 192% Upside From Their 52-Week Lows, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2285108728","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Some Wall Street analysts are forecasting triple-digit returns for shareholders of these growth stocks.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Economic uncertainty has sent the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> and the <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> tumbling into bear market territory, and many growth stocks have lost more than half of their value during the ongoing decline. For instance, shares of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Block</a></b> and <b>Atlassian</b> have dropped 78% and 74%, respectively, leaving both stocks near a 52-week low.</p><p>However, some Wall Street analysts see that as a buying opportunity. Joseph Vafi of Canaccord has a price target of $150 per share on <b>Block</b>, which implies a 192% upside from its 52-week low of $51.34. And Gregg Moskowitz of Mizuho has a price target of $255 per share on <b>Atlassian</b>, implying a 124% upside from its 52-week low of $113.86.</p><p>Is it time to buy these growth stocks?</p><h2>Block: A disruptive financial services company</h2><p>Block simplifies financial services for businesses and consumers with its Square and Cash App ecosystems. Square is a connected suite of hardware, software, and banking solutions that help businesses grow across physical and digital channels. The cohesive nature of those products distinguishes Block from traditional merchant-services providers (like banks), which generally bundle products from different vendors, leaving sellers to deal with complicated integrations.</p><p>Block brings that same simplicity to consumer finance. Cash App allows users to spend, borrow, and invest money from a single platform. That broad functionality helped Cash App become the most downloaded mobile finance app in the U.S. during the first half of 2022, but Block has only scratched the surface of its long-term vision.</p><p>In the third quarter, Block reported solid financial results in spite of economic headwinds. Gross profit climbed 38%, representing particularly strong growth in the Cash App ecosystem. Non-GAAP (adjusted) earnings rocketed 68% to $0.42 per diluted share.</p><p>Looking ahead, Block puts its addressable market at $190 billion in gross profit, and management is executing on a strong growth strategy. Since acquiring the buy now, pay later (BNPL) platform Afterpay earlier this year, Block has made BNPL an option for all Square sellers, both in person and online. Building on that, Cash App consumers will soon be able to use the digital wallet to browse products and make purchases from Afterpay and Cash App Pay merchants. That could spark a powerful network effect. As commerce functionality brings more consumers to the Cash App, businesses are more likely to accept Afterpay and Cash App Pay, and vice versa.</p><p>Currently, shares of Block trade at 2 times sales, just above the three-year low of 1.7 times sales. That makes this growth stock a screaming buy.</p><h2>Atlassian: A leader in team collaboration and productivity software</h2><p>Atlassian specializes in work-management software. Its portfolio includes a number of tools -- Jira for product management, Confluence for knowledge management, Trello for task management -- that help enterprises plan, track, collaborate, and complete work more effectively.</p><p>Atlassian primarily distributes its software online without a traditional sales force, meaning it relies heavily on word-of-mouth marketing. That strategy keeps its sales and marketing costs low, allowing the company to invest aggressively in research and development. That advantage has helped Atlassian develop a broad portfolio of integrated products, many of which have become the gold standard in their respective markets.</p><p>For instance, Jira is the leading product-management and bug-tracking software, and Confluence is the leading knowledge-management solution, according to G2 Grid. Likewise, research company <b>Gartner</b> recently named Atlassian a leader in enterprise agile planning tools, and <b>Forrester Research</b> named Atlassian a leader in enterprise-service management.</p><p>The company reported reasonably strong results in the first quarter of fiscal 2023 (ended Sept. 30, 2022). Revenue increased 31% to $807 million, and free cash flow climbed 31% to $75.9 million. But investors should prepare for turbulence in the near term. Management issued Q2 guidance that fell far short of Wall Street&#39;s consensus forecast, noting that customer growth is slowing as businesses pull back on IT spend. That news sent the stock into a nosedive.</p><p>Fortunately, the deceleration should be temporary, and the investment thesis remains sound. Atlassian is a key player in several software verticals, and it has a sizable runway for growth. In fact, management says its products are relevant to 2.2 million businesses worldwide, which equates to a $29 billion addressable market.</p><p>With that in mind, shares currently trade at 10 times sales -- the cheapest valuation in three years. That make this growth stock an attractive investment idea right now.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Growth Stocks With 124% and 192% Upside From Their 52-Week Lows, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Growth Stocks With 124% and 192% Upside From Their 52-Week Lows, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-24 11:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/23/2-growth-stocks-with-124-and-192-upside-from-their/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Economic uncertainty has sent the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite tumbling into bear market territory, and many growth stocks have lost more than half of their value during the ongoing decline. For ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/23/2-growth-stocks-with-124-and-192-upside-from-their/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQ":"Block","TEAM":"Atlassian Corporation PLC"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/23/2-growth-stocks-with-124-and-192-upside-from-their/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2285108728","content_text":"Economic uncertainty has sent the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite tumbling into bear market territory, and many growth stocks have lost more than half of their value during the ongoing decline. For instance, shares of Block and Atlassian have dropped 78% and 74%, respectively, leaving both stocks near a 52-week low.However, some Wall Street analysts see that as a buying opportunity. Joseph Vafi of Canaccord has a price target of $150 per share on Block, which implies a 192% upside from its 52-week low of $51.34. And Gregg Moskowitz of Mizuho has a price target of $255 per share on Atlassian, implying a 124% upside from its 52-week low of $113.86.Is it time to buy these growth stocks?Block: A disruptive financial services companyBlock simplifies financial services for businesses and consumers with its Square and Cash App ecosystems. Square is a connected suite of hardware, software, and banking solutions that help businesses grow across physical and digital channels. The cohesive nature of those products distinguishes Block from traditional merchant-services providers (like banks), which generally bundle products from different vendors, leaving sellers to deal with complicated integrations.Block brings that same simplicity to consumer finance. Cash App allows users to spend, borrow, and invest money from a single platform. That broad functionality helped Cash App become the most downloaded mobile finance app in the U.S. during the first half of 2022, but Block has only scratched the surface of its long-term vision.In the third quarter, Block reported solid financial results in spite of economic headwinds. Gross profit climbed 38%, representing particularly strong growth in the Cash App ecosystem. Non-GAAP (adjusted) earnings rocketed 68% to $0.42 per diluted share.Looking ahead, Block puts its addressable market at $190 billion in gross profit, and management is executing on a strong growth strategy. Since acquiring the buy now, pay later (BNPL) platform Afterpay earlier this year, Block has made BNPL an option for all Square sellers, both in person and online. Building on that, Cash App consumers will soon be able to use the digital wallet to browse products and make purchases from Afterpay and Cash App Pay merchants. That could spark a powerful network effect. As commerce functionality brings more consumers to the Cash App, businesses are more likely to accept Afterpay and Cash App Pay, and vice versa.Currently, shares of Block trade at 2 times sales, just above the three-year low of 1.7 times sales. That makes this growth stock a screaming buy.Atlassian: A leader in team collaboration and productivity softwareAtlassian specializes in work-management software. Its portfolio includes a number of tools -- Jira for product management, Confluence for knowledge management, Trello for task management -- that help enterprises plan, track, collaborate, and complete work more effectively.Atlassian primarily distributes its software online without a traditional sales force, meaning it relies heavily on word-of-mouth marketing. That strategy keeps its sales and marketing costs low, allowing the company to invest aggressively in research and development. That advantage has helped Atlassian develop a broad portfolio of integrated products, many of which have become the gold standard in their respective markets.For instance, Jira is the leading product-management and bug-tracking software, and Confluence is the leading knowledge-management solution, according to G2 Grid. Likewise, research company Gartner recently named Atlassian a leader in enterprise agile planning tools, and Forrester Research named Atlassian a leader in enterprise-service management.The company reported reasonably strong results in the first quarter of fiscal 2023 (ended Sept. 30, 2022). Revenue increased 31% to $807 million, and free cash flow climbed 31% to $75.9 million. But investors should prepare for turbulence in the near term. Management issued Q2 guidance that fell far short of Wall Street's consensus forecast, noting that customer growth is slowing as businesses pull back on IT spend. That news sent the stock into a nosedive.Fortunately, the deceleration should be temporary, and the investment thesis remains sound. Atlassian is a key player in several software verticals, and it has a sizable runway for growth. In fact, management says its products are relevant to 2.2 million businesses worldwide, which equates to a $29 billion addressable market.With that in mind, shares currently trade at 10 times sales -- the cheapest valuation in three years. That make this growth stock an attractive investment idea right now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961556899,"gmtCreate":1669000364112,"gmtModify":1676538137412,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961556899","repostId":"1102151273","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102151273","pubTimestamp":1668992478,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102151273?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-21 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Q3: Munger Remains Unfazed, Plus 3 Things Not To Overlook","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102151273","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba just reported its Q3 (fiscal year Q2) earnings. The results were solid despite challe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba just reported its Q3 (fiscal year Q2) earnings. The results were solid despite challenges in the past quarter and triggered sharp price rallies.</li><li>In the meantime, the Daily Journal Corp.’s recent 13F shows that its Alibaba position remains unchanged in the past quarter.</li><li>This article focuses on the implications of 3 things from its Q3 earnings report: profitability, capital allocation, and valuation.</li><li>And I can see why Munger remains unfazed.</li></ul><p><b>Q3 recap and investment thesis</b></p><p>Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) just released its Q3 2022earnings report(“ER”). Note that its fiscal quarter is shifted from the calendar quarter (so it is its FY Q2). And in the remainder of this article, I will refer to the calendar quarter consistently. By this time, many of the aspects of its Q3 ER have been detailed by other SA authors already. As a result, I will only provide a brief recap of its Q3 results. Then I will quickly zoom in on three things that are less discussed so far in other SA articles.</p><p>Overall, I view the results as solid, especially considering the challenging operating environments in the past quarter. Its Non-GAAP EPS (referred to on a per ADS basis hereafter) dialed in at $1.82, exceeding consensus estimates by $0.17. Topline came in at $29.12B, representing a +3.0% YoY growth but missing consensus estimates slightly by $490M (about 1.6% on a relative basis). Notably, its cloud segment grew 4% YOY and now represents 10% of the total revenue.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08d0114344dd757db5d5d21a884dd2b6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: BABA Q3 ER</p><p>The remainder of this article will concentrate on 3 things from its Q3 ER that are less discussed in other articles. Firstly, I will examine its profitability as measured by ROCE (return on capital employed). You will see that its profitability indeed has suffered strong headwinds due to ongoing macro challenges, but still remains at a highly competitive level even when benchmarked against the FAAMG group. Secondly, I will examine its capital allocation. And the picture is similar here. Admittedly, it simply does not enjoy the flexibility it used to even compared to the beginning of the year. But overall, it is still in a strong financial position and can sustainably fund its various growth initiatives. And finally, the valuation is too compressed to ignore in my view.</p><p>Before we dive in, note that the Daily Journal Corp. recently also disclosed its 13F filing. And as shown in the chart below, Alibaba remains as the 3rdlargest position, representing 14.6% of its equity portfolio. And I can see why Munger remains unfazed after we examine the financials more closely next.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/677845cdad0cdf5462cfd630779c29cf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Dataroma.com</p><p><b>Profitability remains competitive</b></p><p>As detailed in my blog article, for a long-term business owner, return on capital employed (“ROCE”) is the most important metric in my mind. And BABA’s ROCE is shown below. The chart plots its ROCE dating back to 2014 and specifically highlights the changes in its ROCE in 2022 (the last two data points on this chart). As you can see, its profitability indeed has suffered strong headwinds due to ongoing macro challenges. To wit, even as recent as Q1 2022, its ROCE hovered around 97% based on quarterly TTM financials. But due to the various headwinds (both macroeconomic and regulatory as to be elaborated later), its ROCE has contracted substantially to the current level of 62.4% based on the Q3 TTM financials.</p><p>However, BABA’s current ROCE still remains at a highly competitive level even when benchmarked against the FAAMG group as you can see from the second following chart below. As a matter of fact, its current ROCE is only behind Apple (AAPL) in this group.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6edb9f34d10e490e6795015d49dda18e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3d4cd52c813e053fa637f73ee468287\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</p><p><b>Capital allocation flexibility remains strong too</b></p><p>BABA has always been in a strong financial position. Its financial position may be a bit weaker than it used to be due to its commitment to the common prosperity funds, high tax rates, and regulatory changes. To wit, BABA made a pledge of about $15.5B to the Chinese common prosperity fund in the next five years (so about $3.1B per year). At the same time, its TTM operating cash was more than $30.5B as of Q1 2022. And its operating cash flow has decreased to about $20.1B as of TTM Q3, a decrease of more than $10B.</p><p>However, under the overall scheme of things, it is still in a quite strong position. It is effectively debt-free (total interest expenses are only about $500M), it does not pay a dividend, and its maintenance CAPEX is really low (total depreciation is only about 10% of its operating income). And it carries a sizeable net cash position (about $10.1 per share) as shown in the table below, by far the highest level relative to a few other stocks (I will explain why I picked this set of stocks next).</p><p>And this is a good point to move onto its valuation, particularly the impact of the net cash position on its valuation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c851f218d7749d4f4d8d17853526a8b5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</p><p><b>Valuation is even cheaper when adjusted for ROCE</b></p><p>The chart above shows that BABA’s PE is about 11.4x at its current price. Also as aforementioned, there is about $10.0 of cash behind each BABA share, translating into ~11.8% of the current share price. The cash position is actually higher than in Q1 (about $9.3 per share at that time). And adjusted for the cash position, its current PE is only about 10.1x, actually lower than the 11.7x multiple in Q1 despite the decrease in earnings.</p><p>Readers familiar with our approach know that valuation shouldn&#39;t be looked at in isolation. It should be always interpreted together with the quality of the business. And that is what the next chart intends to do. These seemingly random stocks picked for this chart represent some of the largest Berkshire (BRK.A) (BRK.B) holdings, and hence, the green dotted line is what I call a Buffett value line. As detailed in my earlier article:</p><blockquote><i>The Buffett’s value line is a line linking A) the origin (a business that has 0 ROCE should worth O PE), and B) Buffett’s largest holding AAPL (which happens to have the highest ROCE among this group of stocks).</i></blockquote><p>Since you always have the choice to buy AAPL, it makes little sense to buy stocks above this line (except for the need for diversification). As seen, BABA now lies below this line (right next to AbbVie (ABBV), another stock we also hold) by a good margin, suggesting a valuation that is more compressed when adjusted for ROCE than on the surface.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b16375acb6efb2b50a0b5d855eabcf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</p><p><b>Risks and final thoughts</b></p><p>BABA faces many risks. Potential investors should be cautious of the extreme uncertainties here. As detailed by many SA authors (ourselves included), some risks could lead to 100% loss (such as VIE) or large losses (such as delisting). Here, I will limit my discussions to the risks that are more relevant to business fundamentals and operations. I am cautiously optimistic about the company’s business operation outlook in the next 1 or 2 years. The impact of the COVID-19 restrictions in China remains the largest risk in my view. With China’s Zero COVID policy still in place, customer growth in its China Commerce division (TaoBao and Tmall, to name a few) faces an uncertain recovery path. And so do the overall economic conditions in the country.</p><p>To conclude, this article focused on 3 things in BABA’s Q3 ER that are less discussed by other SA authors so far. Its profitability, as measured by ROCE, indeed has suffered strong headwinds, shrinking from ~100% in Q1 to the current 62%. But a ROCE of around 62% is still highly competitive even compared to the FAAMG stocks. Such a robust ROCE, when combined with its capital allocation flexibility, offers healthy growth prospects. For example, its International Commerce Retail segment, including Lazada and AliExpress, offers plenty of upsides. And finally, the valuation, especially when adjusted for its ROCE and sizable cash position, is simply too compressed to make sense the way I see it.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Q3: Munger Remains Unfazed, Plus 3 Things Not To Overlook</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Q3: Munger Remains Unfazed, Plus 3 Things Not To Overlook\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-21 09:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559273-alibaba-stock-q3-earnings-munger-remains-unfazed><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba just reported its Q3 (fiscal year Q2) earnings. The results were solid despite challenges in the past quarter and triggered sharp price rallies.In the meantime, the Daily Journal Corp.’...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559273-alibaba-stock-q3-earnings-munger-remains-unfazed\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559273-alibaba-stock-q3-earnings-munger-remains-unfazed","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102151273","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba just reported its Q3 (fiscal year Q2) earnings. The results were solid despite challenges in the past quarter and triggered sharp price rallies.In the meantime, the Daily Journal Corp.’s recent 13F shows that its Alibaba position remains unchanged in the past quarter.This article focuses on the implications of 3 things from its Q3 earnings report: profitability, capital allocation, and valuation.And I can see why Munger remains unfazed.Q3 recap and investment thesisAlibaba (NYSE: BABA) just released its Q3 2022earnings report(“ER”). Note that its fiscal quarter is shifted from the calendar quarter (so it is its FY Q2). And in the remainder of this article, I will refer to the calendar quarter consistently. By this time, many of the aspects of its Q3 ER have been detailed by other SA authors already. As a result, I will only provide a brief recap of its Q3 results. Then I will quickly zoom in on three things that are less discussed so far in other SA articles.Overall, I view the results as solid, especially considering the challenging operating environments in the past quarter. Its Non-GAAP EPS (referred to on a per ADS basis hereafter) dialed in at $1.82, exceeding consensus estimates by $0.17. Topline came in at $29.12B, representing a +3.0% YoY growth but missing consensus estimates slightly by $490M (about 1.6% on a relative basis). Notably, its cloud segment grew 4% YOY and now represents 10% of the total revenue.Source: BABA Q3 ERThe remainder of this article will concentrate on 3 things from its Q3 ER that are less discussed in other articles. Firstly, I will examine its profitability as measured by ROCE (return on capital employed). You will see that its profitability indeed has suffered strong headwinds due to ongoing macro challenges, but still remains at a highly competitive level even when benchmarked against the FAAMG group. Secondly, I will examine its capital allocation. And the picture is similar here. Admittedly, it simply does not enjoy the flexibility it used to even compared to the beginning of the year. But overall, it is still in a strong financial position and can sustainably fund its various growth initiatives. And finally, the valuation is too compressed to ignore in my view.Before we dive in, note that the Daily Journal Corp. recently also disclosed its 13F filing. And as shown in the chart below, Alibaba remains as the 3rdlargest position, representing 14.6% of its equity portfolio. And I can see why Munger remains unfazed after we examine the financials more closely next.Source: Dataroma.comProfitability remains competitiveAs detailed in my blog article, for a long-term business owner, return on capital employed (“ROCE”) is the most important metric in my mind. And BABA’s ROCE is shown below. The chart plots its ROCE dating back to 2014 and specifically highlights the changes in its ROCE in 2022 (the last two data points on this chart). As you can see, its profitability indeed has suffered strong headwinds due to ongoing macro challenges. To wit, even as recent as Q1 2022, its ROCE hovered around 97% based on quarterly TTM financials. But due to the various headwinds (both macroeconomic and regulatory as to be elaborated later), its ROCE has contracted substantially to the current level of 62.4% based on the Q3 TTM financials.However, BABA’s current ROCE still remains at a highly competitive level even when benchmarked against the FAAMG group as you can see from the second following chart below. As a matter of fact, its current ROCE is only behind Apple (AAPL) in this group.Source: author and Seeking Alpha.Source: author and Seeking Alpha.Capital allocation flexibility remains strong tooBABA has always been in a strong financial position. Its financial position may be a bit weaker than it used to be due to its commitment to the common prosperity funds, high tax rates, and regulatory changes. To wit, BABA made a pledge of about $15.5B to the Chinese common prosperity fund in the next five years (so about $3.1B per year). At the same time, its TTM operating cash was more than $30.5B as of Q1 2022. And its operating cash flow has decreased to about $20.1B as of TTM Q3, a decrease of more than $10B.However, under the overall scheme of things, it is still in a quite strong position. It is effectively debt-free (total interest expenses are only about $500M), it does not pay a dividend, and its maintenance CAPEX is really low (total depreciation is only about 10% of its operating income). And it carries a sizeable net cash position (about $10.1 per share) as shown in the table below, by far the highest level relative to a few other stocks (I will explain why I picked this set of stocks next).And this is a good point to move onto its valuation, particularly the impact of the net cash position on its valuation.Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.Valuation is even cheaper when adjusted for ROCEThe chart above shows that BABA’s PE is about 11.4x at its current price. Also as aforementioned, there is about $10.0 of cash behind each BABA share, translating into ~11.8% of the current share price. The cash position is actually higher than in Q1 (about $9.3 per share at that time). And adjusted for the cash position, its current PE is only about 10.1x, actually lower than the 11.7x multiple in Q1 despite the decrease in earnings.Readers familiar with our approach know that valuation shouldn't be looked at in isolation. It should be always interpreted together with the quality of the business. And that is what the next chart intends to do. These seemingly random stocks picked for this chart represent some of the largest Berkshire (BRK.A) (BRK.B) holdings, and hence, the green dotted line is what I call a Buffett value line. As detailed in my earlier article:The Buffett’s value line is a line linking A) the origin (a business that has 0 ROCE should worth O PE), and B) Buffett’s largest holding AAPL (which happens to have the highest ROCE among this group of stocks).Since you always have the choice to buy AAPL, it makes little sense to buy stocks above this line (except for the need for diversification). As seen, BABA now lies below this line (right next to AbbVie (ABBV), another stock we also hold) by a good margin, suggesting a valuation that is more compressed when adjusted for ROCE than on the surface.Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.Risks and final thoughtsBABA faces many risks. Potential investors should be cautious of the extreme uncertainties here. As detailed by many SA authors (ourselves included), some risks could lead to 100% loss (such as VIE) or large losses (such as delisting). Here, I will limit my discussions to the risks that are more relevant to business fundamentals and operations. I am cautiously optimistic about the company’s business operation outlook in the next 1 or 2 years. The impact of the COVID-19 restrictions in China remains the largest risk in my view. With China’s Zero COVID policy still in place, customer growth in its China Commerce division (TaoBao and Tmall, to name a few) faces an uncertain recovery path. And so do the overall economic conditions in the country.To conclude, this article focused on 3 things in BABA’s Q3 ER that are less discussed by other SA authors so far. Its profitability, as measured by ROCE, indeed has suffered strong headwinds, shrinking from ~100% in Q1 to the current 62%. But a ROCE of around 62% is still highly competitive even compared to the FAAMG stocks. Such a robust ROCE, when combined with its capital allocation flexibility, offers healthy growth prospects. For example, its International Commerce Retail segment, including Lazada and AliExpress, offers plenty of upsides. And finally, the valuation, especially when adjusted for its ROCE and sizable cash position, is simply too compressed to make sense the way I see it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961205770,"gmtCreate":1668962868991,"gmtModify":1676538132327,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961205770","repostId":"2284038371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284038371","pubTimestamp":1668918242,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2284038371?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-20 12:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Qualcomm Vs. Nvidia: The Better Buy Might Shock You","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284038371","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Do you dream of retiring in comfort or even splendor? Who doesn't?!Do you wish your retirement stand","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Do you dream of retiring in comfort or even splendor? Who doesn&#39;t?!</p><p>Do you wish your retirement standard of living could be 100% free from the market&#39;s crazy gyrations? I know I do.</p><p>Does the idea of being able to count on steadily growing income in all market, economic, inflation, and interest rate conditions, sound appealing? It does to me.</p><p>Well then blue-chip dividend investing might be just what you&#39;re looking for.</p><p>When you hear &#34;dividend investing&#34; you probably think of boring, mature, and stable businesses like Altria (MO), Verizon (VZ) or Pepsi (PEP).</p><p>And while those are indeed wonderful ways to earn generous, very safe, and steadily growing income today, if you want to maximize long-term retirement income there is no better way than combining high-yield and fast-growth.</p><p>Why? Let&#39;s consider the examples of two fast-growing dividend chip stocks, QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM) and NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA).</p><p>Let&#39;s see what happens when we combine high-yield with fast-growth.</p><h4>Historical Total Returns Since 2011</h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5abab739c65390aec9ecc4d8eb0e567b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"185\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Combining the world&#39;s best high-yield and growth exchange-traded funds (&#34;ETFs&#34;) with the growth and ultra-yield blue-chips created a far better performing portfolio over the last 11 years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2027ec3b24edf389edb7de640c5e8ef0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"125\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>But more importantly for income investors, it also delivered superior income over time.</p><h4>Income Growth Rich Retirement Dreams Are Made Of</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68784dfa5159ea8211a71a811b27e419\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><h4>Cumulative Dividends Since 2012: Per $1,000 Initial Investment</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Metric</b></td><td><b>S&amp;P 500</b></td><td><b>SCHD</b></td><td><b>SCHD, QQQ, ENB, MO, NVDA, QCOM</b></td></tr><tr><td>Total Dividends</td><td>$471</td><td>$785</td><td>$1,177</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends</b></td><td><b>$359.54</b></td><td><b>$599.24</b></td><td><b>$898.47</b></td></tr><tr><td><b>Annualized Income Growth Rate</b></td><td><b>9.0%</b></td><td><b>15.3%</b></td><td><b>27.9%</b></td></tr><tr><td>Total Income/Initial Investment %</td><td>0.47</td><td>0.79</td><td>1.18</td></tr><tr><td><b>Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %</b></td><td><b>0.36</b></td><td><b>0.60</b></td><td><b>0.90</b></td></tr><tr><td><b>More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than S&amp;P</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td><td><b>1.67</b></td><td><b>2.50</b></td></tr><tr><td><b>Starting Yield</b></td><td><b>2.5%</b></td><td><b>3.2%</b></td><td><b>2.7%</b></td></tr><tr><td>Today&#39;s Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)</td><td>5.9%</td><td>13.3%</td><td>31.7%</td></tr><tr><td><b>2022 Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)</b></td><td><b>4.5%</b></td><td><b>10.2%</b></td><td><b>24.2%</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)</i></p><p>By combining yield and growth over the last 10 year income investors have enjoyed 28% annual income growth, 2X better than Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD), and 3X better than the S&amp;P 500 (SP500).</p><p>They&#39;ve gotten back 90% of their initial investment in inflation-adjusted dividends, and enjoyed 2.5X more income than the S&amp;P 500 and 50% more income than SCHD alone.</p><p>And for every $1 invested in 2011 they are now getting $.24 in annual inflation-adjusted dividends, and that&#39;s growing exponentially each year.</p><ul><li>SCHD investors are getting $0.1 in annual income per $1 investment</li><li>S&amp;P 500 investors $0.05.</li></ul><p>Ok, so that&#39;s fine for those with 10+ years to invest, but surely retirees should stick to high-yield only right? WRONG!</p><p>Unless you expect to drop dead in 10 years let&#39;s not forget that retirements last a long time.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872a8106a46bdef537bd2736d27566c0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"406\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Hamilton Project</p><p>22% of U.S. men can expect to live to 90 and 34% of woman.</p><p>In other words, even if you&#39;re already retired chances are very good that you have a 10+ year, or even 30 to 40 year time horizon.</p><p>And that&#39;s where the power of fast dividend compounding really shines.</p><p>How powerful is hyper-dividend compounding over 35 years?</p><p><b>MO + LOW Cumulative Dividends Since 1985 Per $1,000 Initial Investment </b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Metric</b></td><td><b>Altria</b></td><td><b>Lowe&#39;s</b></td><td><b>Altria + Lowe&#39;s</b></td></tr><tr><td>Total Dividends</td><td>$282,584</td><td>$37,611</td><td>$286,519</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends</b></td><td><b>$100,563.70</b></td><td><b>$13,384.70</b></td><td><b>$101,964.06</b></td></tr><tr><td>Annualized Income Growth Rate</td><td>18.8%</td><td>18.2%</td><td>21.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Total Income/Initial Investment %</td><td>282.58</td><td>37.61</td><td>286.52</td></tr><tr><td>Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %</td><td>100.56</td><td>13.38</td><td>101.96</td></tr><tr><td>More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than Altria</td><td>NA</td><td>0.13</td><td>1.01</td></tr><tr><td>Starting Yield</td><td>4.8%</td><td>1.4%</td><td>3.0%</td></tr><tr><td>Today&#39;s Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)</td><td>2774.0%</td><td>682.5%</td><td>4350.4%</td></tr><tr><td><i><b>Today&#39;s Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)</b></i></td><td><i><b>987.2%</b></i></td><td><i><b>242.9%</b></i></td><td><i><b>1548.2%</b></i></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)</i></p><p>You can enjoy 100X your initial investment in inflation-adjusted income and achieve truly mind boggling income by combining ultra-yield with hyper-dividend growth.</p><p>And guess what? Combining yield + hyper-growth, even without dividends can be even more powerful.</p><p><b>MO + AMZN Cumulative Dividends Since 1998 Per $1,000 Initial Investment </b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Metric</b></td><td><b>Altria</b></td><td><b>Altria + Amazon</b></td></tr><tr><td>Total Dividends</td><td>$3,034.00</td><td>$101,408.00</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends</b></td><td><b>$1,657.92</b></td><td><b>$55,414.21</b></td></tr><tr><td><b>Annualized Income Growth Rate</b></td><td><b>3.31%</b></td><td><b>27.96%</b></td></tr><tr><td>Total Income/Initial Investment %</td><td>3.034</td><td>101.408</td></tr><tr><td>Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %</td><td>1.657923497</td><td>55.41420765</td></tr><tr><td><b>More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than Altria</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td><td><b>33.4</b></td></tr><tr><td><b>Starting Yield</b></td><td><b>3.80%</b></td><td><b>4.10%</b></td></tr><tr><td>Today&#39;s Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)</td><td>8.30%</td><td>1523.50%</td></tr><tr><td><b>2022 Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)</b></td><td><b>4.54%</b></td><td><b>832.51%</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium) MO&#39;s dividend growth is low because of the 2007 and 2008 spin-offs. </i></p><p>Had you bought both AMZN and MO back in 1997, reinvested dividends, and rebalanced annually, today you&#39;ve received 33X more inflation-adjusted income over the last 24 years.</p><p>28% annual income growth means a 208X higher inflation-adjusted yield on cost.</p><p>Income growth over time tends to track total returns, so you want to make sure that you&#39;re dividend portfolio is likely to generate strong returns. Not just to keep up with inflation (2.3% long-term according to the bond market).</p><p>You want your standard of living to keep rising in retirement, no matter how long you live.</p><p>And that&#39;s where growth stocks like QCOM and NVDA can help.</p><p>Several members have asked for an update on those chip titans and after carefully examining both companies most recent fundamentals I have come to a surprising conclusion.</p><p>At the moment, Nvidia is the far better chip dividend stock to buy, for anyone looking to maximize long-term income. Let me show you why.</p><h2>Qualcomm: A Wonderful World-Beater Facing A Slower Growth Future</h2><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67fe0662e4bfe81da07f04ec434355c1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p>Chip makers are up 26% in the last month, though that&#39;s only after getting crushed in a ferocious bear market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79d69773b50a5e03a69596f13a83839f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Nvidia fell as much as 63% in this bear market (so far). That&#39;s its 3rd worst bear market in history.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d99f60aeb036e67477e9669c4db6f92\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"208\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>QCOM has fallen as much as 37% in this bear market, also it&#39;s 3rd worst bear market.</p><blockquote>Smartphone Weakness Finally Catches Up to Qualcomm As Inventories Build</blockquote><blockquote>Qualcomm’s guidance includes an estimated negative impact of about $2 billion in revenue due to weaker demand, foreign exchange headwinds, and excess inventories.&#34; - Morningstar</blockquote><p>One year ago, chip makers were the darlings of Wall Street. The Pandemic supply chain disruptions caused a chip shortage, while record $30 trillion in global stimulus caused a boom in demand for physical goods. Many of which require computer chips.</p><p>Some in the industry were even talking about a permanent industry shift, from cyclical boom and bust cycles, to a world in which chip makers could deliver steady, tech utility like secular growth.</p><p>Well, scratch that idea. It turns out chips are still a cyclical industry and smartphone demand is falling rapidly as the global economy weakens.</p><ul><li><h3>Samsung’s profit drops by more than 30% on weakening memory chip demand</h3></li></ul><blockquote>Qualcomm said it expects its mobile-phone handset business to fall In &#34;a low double-digit percentage range&#34; this year from last year. The company had earlier forecast a &#34;mid-single-digit percentage decline&#34; from 2021.&#34; - Seeking Alpha</blockquote><p>As early as Q2 QCOM&#39;s sales were soaring 36% on the back of strong smartphone demand.</p><p>Now they are expected to decline and so are earnings.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce66de408aab5b717a5b2bb68b0810e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p>After exploding higher during the pandemic, QCOM&#39;s earnings are expected to:</p><ul><li>fall 8% in 2023</li><li>grow 11% in 2024</li><li>2% EPS growth from 2022 to 2024.</li></ul><p>QCOM&#39;s licensing business, which generates incredible 73% operating margins, isn&#39;t expected to grow in the future, though its 263,708 patents are still expected to mint free cash flow for years to come.</p><p>At least in the short-term analysts growth outlooks have dimmed for QCOM which is now expected to grow around 8% over the long-term, after we get past the 2023 recession.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac98516ffd9c404ce1f26b009c14b7be\" tg-width=\"165\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bfc4e00ba39fff6f4d44310dcc87e53\" tg-width=\"161\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53aa912a1d243b464b584069d100822f\" tg-width=\"154\" tg-height=\"223\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5085ebb2648b58f1f0759749655f78d\" tg-width=\"151\" tg-height=\"227\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet</p><p>Is QCOM likely to actually grow at 8% over time? Which would make the total return outlook rather uninspiring?</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td>Investment Strategy</td><td>Yield</td><td>LT Consensus Growth</td><td>LT Consensus Total Return Potential</td><td>Long-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</td><td>Long-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns</td><td>Years To Double Your Inflation &amp; Risk-Adjusted Wealth</td><td><p>10-Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</p></td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq</td><td>0.8%</td><td>11.8%</td><td>12.6%</td><td>8.8%</td><td>6.5%</td><td>11.0</td><td>1.88</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCHD\">Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF</a></td><td>3.6%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>12.1%</td><td>8.4%</td><td>6.1%</td><td>11.8</td><td>1.81</td></tr><tr><td>Dividend Aristocrats</td><td>2.6%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>11.1%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>5.4%</td><td>13.2</td><td>1.70</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>1.8%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>10.3%</td><td>7.2%</td><td>4.9%</td><td>14.8</td><td>1.61</td></tr><tr><td><b>Qualcomm</b></td><td><b>2.4%</b></td><td><b>7.8%</b></td><td><b>10.2%</b></td><td><b>7.1%</b></td><td><b>4.8%</b></td><td><b>15.0</b></td><td><b>1.60</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>If analysts are right, then QCOM might merely match the market going forward.</p><p>But I don&#39;t actually expect QCOM to grow at just 8% in the future, and here are two reasons why.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30bdacaec1f98fc2eb5d92a3eb153e11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"159\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Investor presentation</p><p>QCOM&#39;s addressable market is expected to grow from $100 billion per year (43% market share) to $700 billion in the next decade. QCOM is diversifying into cloud computing, driverless cars, and the internet of things or IOT.</p><p>This makes me think that the recent decline in growth outlook is due to the recent cyclical downturn, which often happens with chip makers.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9747d6d688ce9297cc0103ae347c27e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p>However, in the short-term QCOM investors are going to have to be patient, because the recent face-ripping rally has reduced the total return potential for the next few years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/befa76d7c9d62162913273291a116352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"457\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p>QCOM has rallied 21% off its November 3rd lows, and combined with a weak global growth outlook for 2023, means that short-term growth prospects are rather weak.</p><p>But that doesn&#39;t mean that QCOM isn&#39;t a potentially attractive buy.</p><ul><li>fair value: $163.92</li><li>current price: $126.02</li><li><b>discount to fair value: 23%</b></li><li><b>DK rating: potentially strong buy.</b></li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d424fe27b124f6e474c19d42ac832ae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p>QCOM is trading at 11.4X consensus trough earnings, and just 9.3X cash-adjusted trough earnings.</p><p>That means it&#39;s pricing in approximately 1.6% CAGR long-term growth, far below the 7.8% analysts currently expect.</p><h4><b>Qualcomm 2024 Consensus Return Potential </b></h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9077fd745b5fe7442c68b30862a3eaa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet</p><p>Which means that if QCOM grows as expected and returns to historical market-determined fair value it could deliver Buffett-like 19% annual returns over the next three years.</p><ul><li>about 2X the S&amp;P consensus</li></ul><h4><b>Qualcomm 2028 Consensus Return Potential</b></h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0558e4ce2c146ab3b7ce7239e041cd2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet</p><p>Even with just 3.5% annual EPS growth expected through 2028, QCOM could more than double your money, delivering 14% annual returns, about 2X the S&amp;P consensus.</p><p>Or to put another way, if you buy QCOM today, you get an Ultra-SWAN quality dividend growth powerhouse, that could more than double your money as we wait to see if QCOM&#39;s growth outlook improves in the future.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3196bed203f1ac1f0e409a8c19f29a3f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"94\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FActSet</p><p>QCOM has been paying a dividend for 19 consecutive years, and raised it every year. The dividend growth rate has been a stellar 20% annually and its delivered close to 14% annual returns.</p><ul><li>the current five year consensus return forecast.</li></ul><p>I think long-term QCOM should be able to continue delivering 13% to 14% long-term returns, which makes it worth buying today, or at least holding it if you already own it.</p><ul><li>13% to 14% long-term returns is better than SCHD, the S&amp;P, dividend aristocrats, and the Nasdaq.</li></ul><h4>Qualcomm Investment Decision Score</h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e9bd4292ef2e7e5731cd633b4998777\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>DK<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37f29c106559f4ad320cb69a3c28da63\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool</p><p>QCOM might not be a table-pounding buy compared to the S&amp;P 500, but it&#39;s still a satisfactory one that&#39;s offering:</p><ul><li>superior and safer yield</li><li>a faster-growing dividend</li><li>better medium-term total returns</li><li>66% better risk-adjusted expected returns</li><li>30% higher income potential over the next five years than the S&amp;P</li></ul><h2>NVIDIA: A Chip Specialist Facing A Cyclical Downturn But Whose Hyper-Growth Outlook Remains Intact</h2><p>NVDA fell off a cliff when the Biden Administration announced export controls on chips to China.</p><p>Fortunately the company adapted quickly and has already announced new export control compliant chips.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9acc1f5a652b10b06cb686a4f3128c0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p>News like that, along with the overall &#34;risk on&#34; sentiment in stocks, has helped drive NVDA up 44% in recent weeks.</p><p>This isn&#39;t surprising given that NVDA is a very volatile stock, historically 2.2X more volatile than the S&amp;P 500.</p><h4>Nvidia Rolling Returns Since Feb 1999 IPO</h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d3defbbc0997112ddbde7a6f2bca1a0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"150\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Gut churning volatility cuts both ways, with 90% crashes followed by 751% one year rallies.</p><p>From bear market lows NVDA is capable of:</p><ul><li>140% annual returns for 3 years = 13.8X in 3 years</li><li>89% annual returns for five years = 24.1X in five years</li><li>81% annual returns for seven years = 64.9X in seven years</li><li>47% annual returns for 10 years = 92.4X in 10 years</li><li>34% annual returns for 15 years = 77.1X in 15 years.</li></ul><p>The question investors need answered today, is what does NVDA&#39;s long-term outlook like now that the U.S. and China are in an economic cold war?</p><blockquote>Nvidia&#39;s Data Center Business Drives the Firm&#39;s Wide Moat Rating</blockquote><blockquote>Nvidia is the top designer of discrete graphics processing units that enhance the visual experience on computing platforms. The firm&#39;s chips are used in a variety of end markets, including high-end PCs for gaming and data centers.&#34; - Morningstar</blockquote><p>NVDA might have started out focused on gaming PCs, but it&#39;s now at the forefront of some of the world&#39;s best secular growth trends.</p><ul><li>cloud computing</li><li>AI</li><li>driverless cars</li><li>automation.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc6801dafd36eaa41110bce2bee51efb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>investor presentation</p><p>Management estimates NVDA&#39;s total addressable market is $1 trillion per year (2.7% market share) and those markets are the backbone of the entire $100 trillion global economy.</p><blockquote>The acquisition of Mellanox has helped diversify Nvidia’s end-market exposure, and we suspect the firm will derive over half of revenue from the data center segment going forward, which should help mitigate some of the volatility Nvidia has faced in its gaming and cryptocurrency mining-related sales over the past few years.&#34; - Morningstar</blockquote><p>NVDA has been diversifying away from gaming for years, and Morningstar thinks they could soon get over 50% of sales from datacenters, a far more stable business.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6d8a7f017af371ef6cc2091c3cce253\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"167\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p>Analysts are even more bullish on the datacenter business, expecting it to triple in the next five years.</p><ul><li>25% annual growth rate.</li></ul><p>By 2027 analysts think 73% of NVDA&#39;s sales will be coming from datacenters.</p><p>Why? Because datacenters are enterprise and big businesses don&#39;t mind spending millions on the best hardware if it saves them money in the long-term.</p><p>What kind of businesses are NVDA&#39;s datacenter customers?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19525a0bcbf34d91c2eab5c4b5987e45\" tg-width=\"518\" tg-height=\"810\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>investor presentation</p><p>NVDA&#39;s datacenter customers have deep pockets and are expected to help drive incredible long-term growth. How incredible?</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/117a0f71158d9a01f27455ae2f8895f5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"204\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p>How about tripling earnings in five years, and 18% long-term earnings growth?</p><ul><li>20% to 78% CAGR growth over the last 20 years.</li></ul><p>Given NVDA&#39;s massive $1 trillion addressable market, and dominance in advanced GPUs (the &#34;super chips&#34; that drive the future) I consider 18% long-term growth a reasonable estimate from all 46 analysts who cover it.</p><p>What does that potentially mean for investors?</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td>Investment Strategy</td><td>Yield</td><td>LT Consensus Growth</td><td>LT Consensus Total Return Potential</td><td>Long-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</td><td>Long-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns</td><td>Years To Double Your Inflation &amp; Risk-Adjusted Wealth</td><td><p>10-Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</p></td></tr><tr><td><b>Nvidia</b></td><td><b>0.1%</b></td><td><b>17.7%</b></td><td><b>17.8%</b></td><td><b>12.5%</b></td><td><b>10.1%</b></td><td><b>7.1</b></td><td><b>2.62</b></td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq</td><td>0.8%</td><td>11.8%</td><td>12.6%</td><td>8.8%</td><td>6.5%</td><td>11.0</td><td>1.88</td></tr><tr><td>Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF</td><td>3.6%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>12.1%</td><td>8.4%</td><td>6.1%</td><td>11.8</td><td>1.81</td></tr><tr><td>Dividend Aristocrats</td><td>2.6%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>11.1%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>5.4%</td><td>13.2</td><td>1.70</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>1.8%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>10.3%</td><td>7.2%</td><td>4.9%</td><td>14.8</td><td>1.61</td></tr><tr><td><b>Qualcomm</b></td><td><b>2.4%</b></td><td><b>7.8%</b></td><td><b>10.2%</b></td><td><b>7.1%</b></td><td><b>4.8%</b></td><td><b>15.0</b></td><td><b>1.60</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Sources: DK Research Terminal, FactSet, Morningstar, Ycharts)</i></p><p>Analysts expect Buffett-like 18% long-term returns from NVDA, not much bellow its 22% CAGR rolling 15-year returns since 1999.</p><p>In other words:</p><ul><li>QCOM is struggling with several slow years of growth due to cyclical headwinds</li><li>NVDA&#39;s growth engine is firing on all cylinders thanks to its dominance of super chip GPUs driving the future of the world economy</li></ul><p>OK, so NVDA is the best chip stock right? And clearly better than QCOM? Not necessarily.</p><h2>The Biggest Problem Income Investors Will Have With Nvidia</h2><p>What is there to not love about NVDA? Is it the balance sheet?</p><ul><li>A stable credit rating from S&amp;P = 0.66% 30-year bankruptcy risk</li><li>$11 billion in net cash on the balance sheet</li><li>$6.6 billion in annual free cash flow.</li></ul><p>No, NVDA&#39;s balanced sheet is a fortress and it&#39;s a free cash flow minting machine.</p><p>No, the biggest issue about NVDA is how stingy management is with the dividend.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aaab450b786d3fc8033addc276f49980\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet</p><p>NVDA&#39;s overall dividend growth rate is expectational, 27% CAGR since it began paying on in 2013. And its 52% CAGR annual total returns over that time period put even Amazon (AMZN) to shame.</p><p>But note how the dividend growth rate began slowing in 2018 and it hasn&#39;t raised its dividend for two years. The free cash flow (&#34;FCF&#34;) payout ratio has fallen to 5%, 1/10th the credit rating safety guideline for this industry.</p><p>NVDA&#39;s dividend yield is 0.1% and even if management were to take the payout ratio to the 50% safety guideline it would be just 1%, far below other world-beater blue-chip dividend chip stocks.</p><ul><li>Broadcom (AVGO): 3.2%</li><li>Texas Instruments (TXN): 2.8%</li><li>Qualcomm: 2.4%.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ed8059fb756ebb0208f4a9255da8fcf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p>Value investors might also be uncomfortable with a company trading at 38X forward earnings.</p><ul><li>cash-adjusted P/E is 29X</li></ul><p>What is NVDA&#39;s fair value?</p><ul><li>NVDA fair value: $136.39</li><li>current price: $160.55</li><li>discount to fair value: -18%</li><li>DK rating: hold.</li></ul><p>NVDA&#39;s 45% rally in recent weeks meant the margin of safety went from 21% to -18%.</p><p>Today NVDA is at a premium price that means a lot of downside risk for one of the most volatile world-beater tech blue-chips in the world.</p><p>If the 2023 recession causes earnings estimates to come down in the coming quarters? Then NVDA could suffer a sharp decline like these.</p><h4>Nvidia In The 2022 Bear Market</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fb0d9fdc2e84efd099a075dc786d759\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p></p><p>In the past year alone NVDA has suffered double-digit monthly declines no less than six times, including 32% crash in April.</p><h4>Nvidia In The Pandemic</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a5e4c84cd9a33c4eb1344645e4d9e02\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"113\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Nvidia held up well in the Pandemic, as did most tech stocks.</p><ul><li>The Nasdaq 100 fell just 12% while the S&amp;P fell 34%.</li></ul><p>But NVDA&#39;s crashes are the stuff of legend, and anyone owning it should be prepared for truly gut-wrenching volatility in the future. What kind of volatility?</p><h4>Nvidia In The 2018 Bear Market</h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35a727821abe6d4024c68205c4a25cc4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"149\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Imagine a stock you own falls 25% in a month, then 22% the next month, and then another 18% the following month.</p><p>That&#39;s what happened in the 2018 bear market.</p><ul><li>53% decline in 3 months</li><li>S&amp;P fell 21%.</li></ul><p>And that was just the 4th largest bear market in NVDA&#39;s history.</p><ul><li>it&#39;s suffered six 40+% crashes in the last 23 years</li><li>averaging once every four years.</li></ul><h4>Nvidia In The 2011 Bear Market</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2451a52de33e3efbd62756ec8aae19d2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Compared to some its crashes, the 2011 bear market decline of 38% was relatively tame.</p><h4>Nvidia In The Great Recession</h4><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4be365a32a8f24d156b47fe1ce741ea2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>NVDA dell 80% during the Great Recession, including falling almost 40% in July 2008. It fell 54% from June to July of 2008, a level of volatility that only those who owned it in a diversified portfolio could stomach.</p><h4>Nvidia Pre-Tech Crash</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b85abd332be6f5f0eee3a6ed3ed98348\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p>Even before the tech crash of 2000 to 2002, NVDA was capable of falling 32% in a single month.</p><h4>Nvidia During The Tech Crash</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f482c390124c7ab2212d687c4ad53ccf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34faa537584a4beab097d4a2e14c2f34\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p></p><p>If you think a 45% one month rally means NVDA is out of the woods, you&#39;re wrong.</p><p>During the Tech Crash NVDA had nine 20+% single month rallies.</p><p>That includes nearly tripling from October 2001 to December 2001.</p><p>NVDA then proceeded to fall nine straight months, a total of 87%, including getting cut in half in June 2002.</p><ul><li>after already falling 50% in the previous five months</li><li>and then it fell another 50% before bottoming in September of 2022.</li></ul><p>So what if you buy NVDA today? At a 17% historical premium? Will you regret it? That depends on your time horizon. Over the next few months? Probably you&#39;re in for a wild wide...to the downside.</p><ul><li>2023 recession is expected to cause the market to bottom at 3,000 to 3,400 between Q1 of 2023 and Q4 of 2024.</li></ul><p>But in the medium-term and long-term?</p><h4>Nvidia 2025 Consensus Total Return Potential</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1c252be18bc5c5c6ab04785c41297a7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet)</p><p>NVDA&#39;s P/E peaked in the Pandemic bubble at 82X, compared to a historical market-determined fair value of 32.</p><p>It&#39;s 60% collapse brought it back to historical fair value and then it rallied 45% and became 18% overvalued. Despite strong growth in 2024 and 2025, it&#39;s consensus return potential is effectively zero.</p><h4>NVIDIA 2028 Consensus Total Return Potential</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33eed1944ddaef0cf8144129739a81a7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet)</p><p>NVDA&#39;s growth rate is so strong that it might almost double even from today&#39;s 18% historical premium.</p><ul><li>approximately 2X the S&amp;P consensus.</li></ul><p>But if those estimates come down then NVDA investors could be in for a rough and highly volatile few years.</p><h4>Nvidia Investment Decision Score</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e9bd4292ef2e7e5731cd633b4998777\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>DK</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50cbbe0e07e810009a9c363f88f22c6c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"325\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool</p><p>NVDA today, even at an 18% premium, is a superior choice compared to the S&amp;P 500.</p><ul><li>higher risk-adjusted expected return than the S&amp;P over the next five years</li><li>80% higher long-term annual return potential</li></ul><h2>Bottom Line: Nvidia Is The Far Better Growth Stock But Qualcomm Is The Far Better Buy Today</h2><p>When it comes to maximizing safe long-term income, combining hyper-growth with high-yield is the single best strategy.</p><p>And that&#39;s why blue-chip income investors love companies like QCOM and NVDA, which can turbocharge their long-term income growth rates.</p><ul><li>SCHD delivered 15% annual income growth over the last decade</li><li>SCHD, QQQ, MO, ENB, QCOM, and NVDA delivered 28% CAGR</li><li>and 50% more overall inflation-adjusted income.</li></ul><p>And when it comes to the issue of which chip titan is the better growth stock, it looks like NVDA is the hands down winner.</p><ul><li>a 10X bigger addressable market today (though QCOM is planning to catch up 70% of the way within a decade)</li><li>2x the median growth consensus</li><li>historically 7% higher annual returns.</li></ul><p>So you might think that NVDA is the hands down winner here. But remember that valuation matters, and it matters a lot.</p><ul><li>QCOM is 20% historically undervalued</li><li>NVDA is almost 20% historically overvalued.</li></ul><p>Given that NVDA is one of the most volatile companies on earth, capable of rising or falling 60% in a single month, knowingly overpaying for it is just asking for extreme portfolio short-term pain.</p><p>If you own NVDA today, as I do? I don&#39;t recommend selling it. Not when you&#39;ve potentially locked in Buffett-like 18% CAGR long-term returns and its growth engines are firing on all cylinders.</p><p>But for new money today? QCOM is the far better option, and could more than double in the next five years.</p><p>Even if QCOM&#39;s growth outlook never recovers from its current 8%, paying 9.4X cash-adjusted earnings gives you a very nice margin of safety.</p><p>One that means anyone buying QCOM today is likely to be pleased in 5+ years, and possibly feel like a stock market genius in 10+ years.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Qualcomm Vs. Nvidia: The Better Buy Might Shock You</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQualcomm Vs. Nvidia: The Better Buy Might Shock You\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-20 12:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558697-qualcomm-vs-nvidia-the-better-buy-might-shock-you><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Do you dream of retiring in comfort or even splendor? Who doesn't?!Do you wish your retirement standard of living could be 100% free from the market's crazy gyrations? I know I do.Does the idea of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558697-qualcomm-vs-nvidia-the-better-buy-might-shock-you\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QCOM":"高通","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558697-qualcomm-vs-nvidia-the-better-buy-might-shock-you","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284038371","content_text":"Do you dream of retiring in comfort or even splendor? Who doesn't?!Do you wish your retirement standard of living could be 100% free from the market's crazy gyrations? I know I do.Does the idea of being able to count on steadily growing income in all market, economic, inflation, and interest rate conditions, sound appealing? It does to me.Well then blue-chip dividend investing might be just what you're looking for.When you hear \"dividend investing\" you probably think of boring, mature, and stable businesses like Altria (MO), Verizon (VZ) or Pepsi (PEP).And while those are indeed wonderful ways to earn generous, very safe, and steadily growing income today, if you want to maximize long-term retirement income there is no better way than combining high-yield and fast-growth.Why? Let's consider the examples of two fast-growing dividend chip stocks, QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM) and NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA).Let's see what happens when we combine high-yield with fast-growth.Historical Total Returns Since 2011Portfolio Visualizer PremiumCombining the world's best high-yield and growth exchange-traded funds (\"ETFs\") with the growth and ultra-yield blue-chips created a far better performing portfolio over the last 11 years.Portfolio Visualizer PremiumBut more importantly for income investors, it also delivered superior income over time.Income Growth Rich Retirement Dreams Are Made OfPortfolio Visualizer PremiumCumulative Dividends Since 2012: Per $1,000 Initial InvestmentMetricS&P 500SCHDSCHD, QQQ, ENB, MO, NVDA, QCOMTotal Dividends$471$785$1,177Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends$359.54$599.24$898.47Annualized Income Growth Rate9.0%15.3%27.9%Total Income/Initial Investment %0.470.791.18Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %0.360.600.90More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than S&PNA1.672.50Starting Yield2.5%3.2%2.7%Today's Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)5.9%13.3%31.7%2022 Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)4.5%10.2%24.2%(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)By combining yield and growth over the last 10 year income investors have enjoyed 28% annual income growth, 2X better than Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD), and 3X better than the S&P 500 (SP500).They've gotten back 90% of their initial investment in inflation-adjusted dividends, and enjoyed 2.5X more income than the S&P 500 and 50% more income than SCHD alone.And for every $1 invested in 2011 they are now getting $.24 in annual inflation-adjusted dividends, and that's growing exponentially each year.SCHD investors are getting $0.1 in annual income per $1 investmentS&P 500 investors $0.05.Ok, so that's fine for those with 10+ years to invest, but surely retirees should stick to high-yield only right? WRONG!Unless you expect to drop dead in 10 years let's not forget that retirements last a long time.Hamilton Project22% of U.S. men can expect to live to 90 and 34% of woman.In other words, even if you're already retired chances are very good that you have a 10+ year, or even 30 to 40 year time horizon.And that's where the power of fast dividend compounding really shines.How powerful is hyper-dividend compounding over 35 years?MO + LOW Cumulative Dividends Since 1985 Per $1,000 Initial Investment MetricAltriaLowe'sAltria + Lowe'sTotal Dividends$282,584$37,611$286,519Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends$100,563.70$13,384.70$101,964.06Annualized Income Growth Rate18.8%18.2%21.7%Total Income/Initial Investment %282.5837.61286.52Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %100.5613.38101.96More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than AltriaNA0.131.01Starting Yield4.8%1.4%3.0%Today's Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)2774.0%682.5%4350.4%Today's Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)987.2%242.9%1548.2%(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)You can enjoy 100X your initial investment in inflation-adjusted income and achieve truly mind boggling income by combining ultra-yield with hyper-dividend growth.And guess what? Combining yield + hyper-growth, even without dividends can be even more powerful.MO + AMZN Cumulative Dividends Since 1998 Per $1,000 Initial Investment MetricAltriaAltria + AmazonTotal Dividends$3,034.00$101,408.00Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends$1,657.92$55,414.21Annualized Income Growth Rate3.31%27.96%Total Income/Initial Investment %3.034101.408Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment %1.65792349755.41420765More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than AltriaNA33.4Starting Yield3.80%4.10%Today's Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost)8.30%1523.50%2022 Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost)4.54%832.51%(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium) MO's dividend growth is low because of the 2007 and 2008 spin-offs. Had you bought both AMZN and MO back in 1997, reinvested dividends, and rebalanced annually, today you've received 33X more inflation-adjusted income over the last 24 years.28% annual income growth means a 208X higher inflation-adjusted yield on cost.Income growth over time tends to track total returns, so you want to make sure that you're dividend portfolio is likely to generate strong returns. Not just to keep up with inflation (2.3% long-term according to the bond market).You want your standard of living to keep rising in retirement, no matter how long you live.And that's where growth stocks like QCOM and NVDA can help.Several members have asked for an update on those chip titans and after carefully examining both companies most recent fundamentals I have come to a surprising conclusion.At the moment, Nvidia is the far better chip dividend stock to buy, for anyone looking to maximize long-term income. Let me show you why.Qualcomm: A Wonderful World-Beater Facing A Slower Growth FutureYchartsChip makers are up 26% in the last month, though that's only after getting crushed in a ferocious bear market.Portfolio Visualizer PremiumNvidia fell as much as 63% in this bear market (so far). That's its 3rd worst bear market in history.Portfolio Visualizer PremiumQCOM has fallen as much as 37% in this bear market, also it's 3rd worst bear market.Smartphone Weakness Finally Catches Up to Qualcomm As Inventories BuildQualcomm’s guidance includes an estimated negative impact of about $2 billion in revenue due to weaker demand, foreign exchange headwinds, and excess inventories.\" - MorningstarOne year ago, chip makers were the darlings of Wall Street. The Pandemic supply chain disruptions caused a chip shortage, while record $30 trillion in global stimulus caused a boom in demand for physical goods. Many of which require computer chips.Some in the industry were even talking about a permanent industry shift, from cyclical boom and bust cycles, to a world in which chip makers could deliver steady, tech utility like secular growth.Well, scratch that idea. It turns out chips are still a cyclical industry and smartphone demand is falling rapidly as the global economy weakens.Samsung’s profit drops by more than 30% on weakening memory chip demandQualcomm said it expects its mobile-phone handset business to fall In \"a low double-digit percentage range\" this year from last year. The company had earlier forecast a \"mid-single-digit percentage decline\" from 2021.\" - Seeking AlphaAs early as Q2 QCOM's sales were soaring 36% on the back of strong smartphone demand.Now they are expected to decline and so are earnings.FactSet Research TerminalAfter exploding higher during the pandemic, QCOM's earnings are expected to:fall 8% in 2023grow 11% in 20242% EPS growth from 2022 to 2024.QCOM's licensing business, which generates incredible 73% operating margins, isn't expected to grow in the future, though its 263,708 patents are still expected to mint free cash flow for years to come.At least in the short-term analysts growth outlooks have dimmed for QCOM which is now expected to grow around 8% over the long-term, after we get past the 2023 recession.FAST Graphs, FactSetFAST Graphs, FactSetFAST Graphs, FactSetFAST Graphs, FactSetIs QCOM likely to actually grow at 8% over time? Which would make the total return outlook rather uninspiring?Investment StrategyYieldLT Consensus GrowthLT Consensus Total Return PotentialLong-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnLong-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnsYears To Double Your Inflation & Risk-Adjusted Wealth10-Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnNasdaq0.8%11.8%12.6%8.8%6.5%11.01.88Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF3.6%8.5%12.1%8.4%6.1%11.81.81Dividend Aristocrats2.6%8.5%11.1%7.8%5.4%13.21.70S&P 5001.8%8.5%10.3%7.2%4.9%14.81.61Qualcomm2.4%7.8%10.2%7.1%4.8%15.01.60(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)If analysts are right, then QCOM might merely match the market going forward.But I don't actually expect QCOM to grow at just 8% in the future, and here are two reasons why.Investor presentationQCOM's addressable market is expected to grow from $100 billion per year (43% market share) to $700 billion in the next decade. QCOM is diversifying into cloud computing, driverless cars, and the internet of things or IOT.This makes me think that the recent decline in growth outlook is due to the recent cyclical downturn, which often happens with chip makers.YchartsHowever, in the short-term QCOM investors are going to have to be patient, because the recent face-ripping rally has reduced the total return potential for the next few years.YchartsQCOM has rallied 21% off its November 3rd lows, and combined with a weak global growth outlook for 2023, means that short-term growth prospects are rather weak.But that doesn't mean that QCOM isn't a potentially attractive buy.fair value: $163.92current price: $126.02discount to fair value: 23%DK rating: potentially strong buy.FactSet Research TerminalQCOM is trading at 11.4X consensus trough earnings, and just 9.3X cash-adjusted trough earnings.That means it's pricing in approximately 1.6% CAGR long-term growth, far below the 7.8% analysts currently expect.Qualcomm 2024 Consensus Return Potential FAST Graphs, FactSetWhich means that if QCOM grows as expected and returns to historical market-determined fair value it could deliver Buffett-like 19% annual returns over the next three years.about 2X the S&P consensusQualcomm 2028 Consensus Return PotentialFAST Graphs, FactSetEven with just 3.5% annual EPS growth expected through 2028, QCOM could more than double your money, delivering 14% annual returns, about 2X the S&P consensus.Or to put another way, if you buy QCOM today, you get an Ultra-SWAN quality dividend growth powerhouse, that could more than double your money as we wait to see if QCOM's growth outlook improves in the future.FAST Graphs, FActSetQCOM has been paying a dividend for 19 consecutive years, and raised it every year. The dividend growth rate has been a stellar 20% annually and its delivered close to 14% annual returns.the current five year consensus return forecast.I think long-term QCOM should be able to continue delivering 13% to 14% long-term returns, which makes it worth buying today, or at least holding it if you already own it.13% to 14% long-term returns is better than SCHD, the S&P, dividend aristocrats, and the Nasdaq.Qualcomm Investment Decision ScoreDKDividend Kings Automated Investment Decision ToolQCOM might not be a table-pounding buy compared to the S&P 500, but it's still a satisfactory one that's offering:superior and safer yielda faster-growing dividendbetter medium-term total returns66% better risk-adjusted expected returns30% higher income potential over the next five years than the S&PNVIDIA: A Chip Specialist Facing A Cyclical Downturn But Whose Hyper-Growth Outlook Remains IntactNVDA fell off a cliff when the Biden Administration announced export controls on chips to China.Fortunately the company adapted quickly and has already announced new export control compliant chips.YchartsNews like that, along with the overall \"risk on\" sentiment in stocks, has helped drive NVDA up 44% in recent weeks.This isn't surprising given that NVDA is a very volatile stock, historically 2.2X more volatile than the S&P 500.Nvidia Rolling Returns Since Feb 1999 IPOPortfolio Visualizer PremiumGut churning volatility cuts both ways, with 90% crashes followed by 751% one year rallies.From bear market lows NVDA is capable of:140% annual returns for 3 years = 13.8X in 3 years89% annual returns for five years = 24.1X in five years81% annual returns for seven years = 64.9X in seven years47% annual returns for 10 years = 92.4X in 10 years34% annual returns for 15 years = 77.1X in 15 years.The question investors need answered today, is what does NVDA's long-term outlook like now that the U.S. and China are in an economic cold war?Nvidia's Data Center Business Drives the Firm's Wide Moat RatingNvidia is the top designer of discrete graphics processing units that enhance the visual experience on computing platforms. The firm's chips are used in a variety of end markets, including high-end PCs for gaming and data centers.\" - MorningstarNVDA might have started out focused on gaming PCs, but it's now at the forefront of some of the world's best secular growth trends.cloud computingAIdriverless carsautomation.investor presentationManagement estimates NVDA's total addressable market is $1 trillion per year (2.7% market share) and those markets are the backbone of the entire $100 trillion global economy.The acquisition of Mellanox has helped diversify Nvidia’s end-market exposure, and we suspect the firm will derive over half of revenue from the data center segment going forward, which should help mitigate some of the volatility Nvidia has faced in its gaming and cryptocurrency mining-related sales over the past few years.\" - MorningstarNVDA has been diversifying away from gaming for years, and Morningstar thinks they could soon get over 50% of sales from datacenters, a far more stable business.FactSet Research TerminalAnalysts are even more bullish on the datacenter business, expecting it to triple in the next five years.25% annual growth rate.By 2027 analysts think 73% of NVDA's sales will be coming from datacenters.Why? Because datacenters are enterprise and big businesses don't mind spending millions on the best hardware if it saves them money in the long-term.What kind of businesses are NVDA's datacenter customers?investor presentationNVDA's datacenter customers have deep pockets and are expected to help drive incredible long-term growth. How incredible?FactSet Research TerminalHow about tripling earnings in five years, and 18% long-term earnings growth?20% to 78% CAGR growth over the last 20 years.Given NVDA's massive $1 trillion addressable market, and dominance in advanced GPUs (the \"super chips\" that drive the future) I consider 18% long-term growth a reasonable estimate from all 46 analysts who cover it.What does that potentially mean for investors?Investment StrategyYieldLT Consensus GrowthLT Consensus Total Return PotentialLong-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnLong-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnsYears To Double Your Inflation & Risk-Adjusted Wealth10-Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnNvidia0.1%17.7%17.8%12.5%10.1%7.12.62Nasdaq0.8%11.8%12.6%8.8%6.5%11.01.88Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF3.6%8.5%12.1%8.4%6.1%11.81.81Dividend Aristocrats2.6%8.5%11.1%7.8%5.4%13.21.70S&P 5001.8%8.5%10.3%7.2%4.9%14.81.61Qualcomm2.4%7.8%10.2%7.1%4.8%15.01.60(Sources: DK Research Terminal, FactSet, Morningstar, Ycharts)Analysts expect Buffett-like 18% long-term returns from NVDA, not much bellow its 22% CAGR rolling 15-year returns since 1999.In other words:QCOM is struggling with several slow years of growth due to cyclical headwindsNVDA's growth engine is firing on all cylinders thanks to its dominance of super chip GPUs driving the future of the world economyOK, so NVDA is the best chip stock right? And clearly better than QCOM? Not necessarily.The Biggest Problem Income Investors Will Have With NvidiaWhat is there to not love about NVDA? Is it the balance sheet?A stable credit rating from S&P = 0.66% 30-year bankruptcy risk$11 billion in net cash on the balance sheet$6.6 billion in annual free cash flow.No, NVDA's balanced sheet is a fortress and it's a free cash flow minting machine.No, the biggest issue about NVDA is how stingy management is with the dividend.FAST Graphs, FactSetNVDA's overall dividend growth rate is expectational, 27% CAGR since it began paying on in 2013. And its 52% CAGR annual total returns over that time period put even Amazon (AMZN) to shame.But note how the dividend growth rate began slowing in 2018 and it hasn't raised its dividend for two years. The free cash flow (\"FCF\") payout ratio has fallen to 5%, 1/10th the credit rating safety guideline for this industry.NVDA's dividend yield is 0.1% and even if management were to take the payout ratio to the 50% safety guideline it would be just 1%, far below other world-beater blue-chip dividend chip stocks.Broadcom (AVGO): 3.2%Texas Instruments (TXN): 2.8%Qualcomm: 2.4%.FactSet Research TerminalValue investors might also be uncomfortable with a company trading at 38X forward earnings.cash-adjusted P/E is 29XWhat is NVDA's fair value?NVDA fair value: $136.39current price: $160.55discount to fair value: -18%DK rating: hold.NVDA's 45% rally in recent weeks meant the margin of safety went from 21% to -18%.Today NVDA is at a premium price that means a lot of downside risk for one of the most volatile world-beater tech blue-chips in the world.If the 2023 recession causes earnings estimates to come down in the coming quarters? Then NVDA could suffer a sharp decline like these.Nvidia In The 2022 Bear MarketPortfolio Visualizer PremiumIn the past year alone NVDA has suffered double-digit monthly declines no less than six times, including 32% crash in April.Nvidia In The PandemicPortfolio Visualizer PremiumNvidia held up well in the Pandemic, as did most tech stocks.The Nasdaq 100 fell just 12% while the S&P fell 34%.But NVDA's crashes are the stuff of legend, and anyone owning it should be prepared for truly gut-wrenching volatility in the future. What kind of volatility?Nvidia In The 2018 Bear MarketPortfolio Visualizer PremiumImagine a stock you own falls 25% in a month, then 22% the next month, and then another 18% the following month.That's what happened in the 2018 bear market.53% decline in 3 monthsS&P fell 21%.And that was just the 4th largest bear market in NVDA's history.it's suffered six 40+% crashes in the last 23 yearsaveraging once every four years.Nvidia In The 2011 Bear MarketPortfolio Visualizer PremiumCompared to some its crashes, the 2011 bear market decline of 38% was relatively tame.Nvidia In The Great RecessionPortfolio Visualizer PremiumNVDA dell 80% during the Great Recession, including falling almost 40% in July 2008. It fell 54% from June to July of 2008, a level of volatility that only those who owned it in a diversified portfolio could stomach.Nvidia Pre-Tech CrashPortfolio Visualizer PremiumEven before the tech crash of 2000 to 2002, NVDA was capable of falling 32% in a single month.Nvidia During The Tech CrashPortfolio Visualizer PremiumPortfolio Visualizer PremiumIf you think a 45% one month rally means NVDA is out of the woods, you're wrong.During the Tech Crash NVDA had nine 20+% single month rallies.That includes nearly tripling from October 2001 to December 2001.NVDA then proceeded to fall nine straight months, a total of 87%, including getting cut in half in June 2002.after already falling 50% in the previous five monthsand then it fell another 50% before bottoming in September of 2022.So what if you buy NVDA today? At a 17% historical premium? Will you regret it? That depends on your time horizon. Over the next few months? Probably you're in for a wild wide...to the downside.2023 recession is expected to cause the market to bottom at 3,000 to 3,400 between Q1 of 2023 and Q4 of 2024.But in the medium-term and long-term?Nvidia 2025 Consensus Total Return Potential(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet)NVDA's P/E peaked in the Pandemic bubble at 82X, compared to a historical market-determined fair value of 32.It's 60% collapse brought it back to historical fair value and then it rallied 45% and became 18% overvalued. Despite strong growth in 2024 and 2025, it's consensus return potential is effectively zero.NVIDIA 2028 Consensus Total Return Potential(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet)NVDA's growth rate is so strong that it might almost double even from today's 18% historical premium.approximately 2X the S&P consensus.But if those estimates come down then NVDA investors could be in for a rough and highly volatile few years.Nvidia Investment Decision ScoreDKDividend Kings Automated Investment Decision ToolNVDA today, even at an 18% premium, is a superior choice compared to the S&P 500.higher risk-adjusted expected return than the S&P over the next five years80% higher long-term annual return potentialBottom Line: Nvidia Is The Far Better Growth Stock But Qualcomm Is The Far Better Buy TodayWhen it comes to maximizing safe long-term income, combining hyper-growth with high-yield is the single best strategy.And that's why blue-chip income investors love companies like QCOM and NVDA, which can turbocharge their long-term income growth rates.SCHD delivered 15% annual income growth over the last decadeSCHD, QQQ, MO, ENB, QCOM, and NVDA delivered 28% CAGRand 50% more overall inflation-adjusted income.And when it comes to the issue of which chip titan is the better growth stock, it looks like NVDA is the hands down winner.a 10X bigger addressable market today (though QCOM is planning to catch up 70% of the way within a decade)2x the median growth consensushistorically 7% higher annual returns.So you might think that NVDA is the hands down winner here. But remember that valuation matters, and it matters a lot.QCOM is 20% historically undervaluedNVDA is almost 20% historically overvalued.Given that NVDA is one of the most volatile companies on earth, capable of rising or falling 60% in a single month, knowingly overpaying for it is just asking for extreme portfolio short-term pain.If you own NVDA today, as I do? I don't recommend selling it. Not when you've potentially locked in Buffett-like 18% CAGR long-term returns and its growth engines are firing on all cylinders.But for new money today? QCOM is the far better option, and could more than double in the next five years.Even if QCOM's growth outlook never recovers from its current 8%, paying 9.4X cash-adjusted earnings gives you a very nice margin of safety.One that means anyone buying QCOM today is likely to be pleased in 5+ years, and possibly feel like a stock market genius in 10+ years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963792192,"gmtCreate":1668750249216,"gmtModify":1676538107874,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963792192","repostId":"1103280772","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103280772","pubTimestamp":1668736676,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103280772?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-18 09:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103280772","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices s","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflation</li><li>Tightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he says</li></ul><p>St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to at least 5% to 5.25%, hitting financial markets as investors recalibrated bets on how high officials would go.</p><p>“In the past I have said 4.75% to 5%,” he told reporters Thursday after giving a speech in Louisville, Kentucky. “Based on this analysis today, I would say 5% to 5.25%. That’s a minimum level. According to this analysis, that would at least get us in the zone.”</p><p>Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that rates will need to rise more than previously expected due to disappointing inflation data, while suggesting that officials could moderate the size of their increases going forward. A key reading on consumer prices since then was better than expected but policymakers continue to stress the need to keep raising rates.</p><p>Officials in September had projected rates rising to around 4.6% next year from a current target range of 3.75% to 4%. Those projections will be updated at the Fed’s Dec. 13-14 meeting.</p><p>US 10-year Treasury yields climbed after Bullard became the latest official to say that interest rates had further to rise to curb the strongest inflation in 40 years.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Wednesday that “somewhere between 4.75 and 5.25 seems a reasonable place to think about” for the level that officials should raise rates to then go on hold.</p><p>Bullard’s hawkish tone was echoed later on Thursday by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, whosaidit’s an “open question” how far the central bank has to go with rates to bring demand back into balance.</p><p>“I need to be convinced that inflation has at least stopped climbing, that we’re not falling further behind the curve before I would advocate stopping a progression of future rate hikes, so we’re not there yet,” he told the Minnesota Chamber of Commerce’s 2022 Economic Summit.</p><p>“The Fed is still maintaining a outward appearance of hawkishness pending another month of inflation data,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. “One month of lower inflation doesn’t mean the war is over.”</p><p>Data last week showed consumer inflation rising by a less-than-expected 7.7% in the 12 months through October. November’s reading will be released on Dec. 13, before officials begin their two days of policy deliberations.</p><p>During his presentation, Bullard showed charts that indicated rates will need to be between about 5% to 7% to meet policymakers’ goal of being “sufficiently restrictive” to curb inflation near a four-decade high.</p><p>The calculation used different versions of a Taylor Rule, a popular monetary policy guideline developed by Stanford University’s John Taylor.</p><h3>‘Minimal’ Level</h3><p>“It’s easy to make arguments that before this is all over you’d have to go to much higher levels of the policy rate” than 5.25%, said Bullard, who votes on policy this year. “But for now I’d be happy to get to the minimal level and that’s why I think the committee is going to have to do more.”</p><p>The St. Louis Fed leader, who has been among the more hawkish policymakers this year, was the latest central banker to call for additional action.</p><p>The Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Nov. 2 for the fourth straight time as part of its most aggressive tightening since the 1980s to curb an inflation that started in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic disruptions.</p><p>Bullard didn’t say whether he would favor a 50 or 75 basis-point move at the Fed’s December meeting, telling reporters that he would look to Powell to set the direction.</p><p>A number of his colleagues have called for a downshift in the size of the next rate increase following last week’s consumer price report, which showed a softening in core consumer goods inflation in October.</p><p>Investors expect the Fed will raise rates by a half percentage point next month and see rates peaking around 5% next year.</p><p>The St. Louis Fed president said he expected officials to keep rates high for an extended period to avoid the kind of monetary policy mistakes of the 1970s that resulted in persistently high inflation.</p><p>“We certainly don’t want to replay that episode,” he told reporters. “So we’re going to have to see very tangible evidence that inflation’s coming down meaningfully toward target, and I think we’re going to want to err on the side of staying higher for longer in order to get that to happen.”</p><p>Bullard said while he expected inflation to come down next year, there’s been relatively little evidence of that so far.</p><p>“Thus far, the change in the monetary-policy stance appears to have had only limited effects on observed inflation, but market pricing suggests disinflation is expected in 2023,” Bullard said in his prepared remarks, adding rate hikes so far have caused little financial stress.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 09:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he saysSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103280772","content_text":"Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he saysSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to at least 5% to 5.25%, hitting financial markets as investors recalibrated bets on how high officials would go.“In the past I have said 4.75% to 5%,” he told reporters Thursday after giving a speech in Louisville, Kentucky. “Based on this analysis today, I would say 5% to 5.25%. That’s a minimum level. According to this analysis, that would at least get us in the zone.”Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that rates will need to rise more than previously expected due to disappointing inflation data, while suggesting that officials could moderate the size of their increases going forward. A key reading on consumer prices since then was better than expected but policymakers continue to stress the need to keep raising rates.Officials in September had projected rates rising to around 4.6% next year from a current target range of 3.75% to 4%. Those projections will be updated at the Fed’s Dec. 13-14 meeting.US 10-year Treasury yields climbed after Bullard became the latest official to say that interest rates had further to rise to curb the strongest inflation in 40 years.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Wednesday that “somewhere between 4.75 and 5.25 seems a reasonable place to think about” for the level that officials should raise rates to then go on hold.Bullard’s hawkish tone was echoed later on Thursday by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, whosaidit’s an “open question” how far the central bank has to go with rates to bring demand back into balance.“I need to be convinced that inflation has at least stopped climbing, that we’re not falling further behind the curve before I would advocate stopping a progression of future rate hikes, so we’re not there yet,” he told the Minnesota Chamber of Commerce’s 2022 Economic Summit.“The Fed is still maintaining a outward appearance of hawkishness pending another month of inflation data,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. “One month of lower inflation doesn’t mean the war is over.”Data last week showed consumer inflation rising by a less-than-expected 7.7% in the 12 months through October. November’s reading will be released on Dec. 13, before officials begin their two days of policy deliberations.During his presentation, Bullard showed charts that indicated rates will need to be between about 5% to 7% to meet policymakers’ goal of being “sufficiently restrictive” to curb inflation near a four-decade high.The calculation used different versions of a Taylor Rule, a popular monetary policy guideline developed by Stanford University’s John Taylor.‘Minimal’ Level“It’s easy to make arguments that before this is all over you’d have to go to much higher levels of the policy rate” than 5.25%, said Bullard, who votes on policy this year. “But for now I’d be happy to get to the minimal level and that’s why I think the committee is going to have to do more.”The St. Louis Fed leader, who has been among the more hawkish policymakers this year, was the latest central banker to call for additional action.The Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Nov. 2 for the fourth straight time as part of its most aggressive tightening since the 1980s to curb an inflation that started in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic disruptions.Bullard didn’t say whether he would favor a 50 or 75 basis-point move at the Fed’s December meeting, telling reporters that he would look to Powell to set the direction.A number of his colleagues have called for a downshift in the size of the next rate increase following last week’s consumer price report, which showed a softening in core consumer goods inflation in October.Investors expect the Fed will raise rates by a half percentage point next month and see rates peaking around 5% next year.The St. Louis Fed president said he expected officials to keep rates high for an extended period to avoid the kind of monetary policy mistakes of the 1970s that resulted in persistently high inflation.“We certainly don’t want to replay that episode,” he told reporters. “So we’re going to have to see very tangible evidence that inflation’s coming down meaningfully toward target, and I think we’re going to want to err on the side of staying higher for longer in order to get that to happen.”Bullard said while he expected inflation to come down next year, there’s been relatively little evidence of that so far.“Thus far, the change in the monetary-policy stance appears to have had only limited effects on observed inflation, but market pricing suggests disinflation is expected in 2023,” Bullard said in his prepared remarks, adding rate hikes so far have caused little financial stress.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969850160,"gmtCreate":1668406332950,"gmtModify":1676538051602,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969850160","repostId":"2283442428","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2283442428","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1668406156,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2283442428?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-14 14:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Germany's BioNTech Says to Set up MRNA Vaccine Facility in Singapore","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2283442428","media":"Reuters","summary":"Nov 14 (Reuters) - BioNTech SE, the German biotech that developed a widely used COVID-19 vaccine wit","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 14 (Reuters) - BioNTech SE, the German biotech that developed a widely used COVID-19 vaccine with Pfizer Inc, acquired a manufacturing facility in Singapore, its first in Asia, the company said on Monday.</p><p>The facility, bought from a Novartis unit, will be its first messenger ribonucleic acid, or mRNA, facility in Singapore and support its vaccines production for the Asia Pacific region, BioNTech said in a statement, without disclosing financial details.</p><p>MRNA vaccines, which scientists say trick the body into protecting itself against an illness by copying viral proteins, are seen as a safe, speedy alternative to traditional vaccines - especially during a pandemic - since they involve no exposure to the illness.</p><p>BioNTech said the facility, which will also double as its regional headquarters, will initially be used to make a range of mRNA-based product candidates as well as authorized vaccines and therapeutics, which may include its COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p>The aim is to eventually expand production to other drug classes such as cell therapies, said BioNTech, which also plans to set up research and manufacturing centres in Australia.</p><p>The Singapore facility is expected to be fully operational by 2023 and create more than 100 jobs by 2024.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Germany's BioNTech Says to Set up MRNA Vaccine Facility in Singapore</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGermany's BioNTech Says to Set up MRNA Vaccine Facility in Singapore\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-14 14:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 14 (Reuters) - BioNTech SE, the German biotech that developed a widely used COVID-19 vaccine with Pfizer Inc, acquired a manufacturing facility in Singapore, its first in Asia, the company said on Monday.</p><p>The facility, bought from a Novartis unit, will be its first messenger ribonucleic acid, or mRNA, facility in Singapore and support its vaccines production for the Asia Pacific region, BioNTech said in a statement, without disclosing financial details.</p><p>MRNA vaccines, which scientists say trick the body into protecting itself against an illness by copying viral proteins, are seen as a safe, speedy alternative to traditional vaccines - especially during a pandemic - since they involve no exposure to the illness.</p><p>BioNTech said the facility, which will also double as its regional headquarters, will initially be used to make a range of mRNA-based product candidates as well as authorized vaccines and therapeutics, which may include its COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p>The aim is to eventually expand production to other drug classes such as cell therapies, said BioNTech, which also plans to set up research and manufacturing centres in Australia.</p><p>The Singapore facility is expected to be fully operational by 2023 and create more than 100 jobs by 2024.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNTX":"BioNTech SE"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2283442428","content_text":"Nov 14 (Reuters) - BioNTech SE, the German biotech that developed a widely used COVID-19 vaccine with Pfizer Inc, acquired a manufacturing facility in Singapore, its first in Asia, the company said on Monday.The facility, bought from a Novartis unit, will be its first messenger ribonucleic acid, or mRNA, facility in Singapore and support its vaccines production for the Asia Pacific region, BioNTech said in a statement, without disclosing financial details.MRNA vaccines, which scientists say trick the body into protecting itself against an illness by copying viral proteins, are seen as a safe, speedy alternative to traditional vaccines - especially during a pandemic - since they involve no exposure to the illness.BioNTech said the facility, which will also double as its regional headquarters, will initially be used to make a range of mRNA-based product candidates as well as authorized vaccines and therapeutics, which may include its COVID-19 vaccine.The aim is to eventually expand production to other drug classes such as cell therapies, said BioNTech, which also plans to set up research and manufacturing centres in Australia.The Singapore facility is expected to be fully operational by 2023 and create more than 100 jobs by 2024.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969928844,"gmtCreate":1668323511188,"gmtModify":1676538041551,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969928844","repostId":"2282457893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2282457893","pubTimestamp":1668301809,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2282457893?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-13 09:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Refinement Of Zero COVID Policy Lifts Market Sentiments","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2282457893","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba heads into its FQ2'23 earnings release on November 17 without disclosing its sales fi","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Alibaba heads into its FQ2&#39;23 earnings release on November 17 without disclosing its sales figures for its recently concluded Singles&#39; Day (11.11) sales event.</li><li>We discuss why even a relatively weak FQ2 earnings release should not impact the potential re-rating of BABA as China has started to refine its zero COVID policy.</li><li>At these levels, the reward/risk setup pointing to the upside remains attractive, with an earlier reopening likely spurring further buying momentum.</li><li>Maintain Strong Buy with a PT of $90.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99fd8bfbb6e746ad97e8ae396d55f7fb\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Robert Way</span></p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>JR Research</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p><h2>Thesis</h2><p>Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) heads into its highly-anticipated FQ2&#39;23 (quarter ended September 30) earnings release on November 17, even as it held back from reporting actual sales figures for its 2022 Singles&#39; Day (11.11) sales event for the first time.</p><p>Alibaba reported that its 11.11 event &#34;[delivered GMV] for brands in line with [2021] despite economic and COVID-related headwinds.&#34; Notably, Alibaba reported a gross merchandise value (GMV) of RMB540.3B for 2021&#39;s 11.11 event.</p><p>Therefore, all eyes will be on CEO Daniel Zhang &amp; team on November 17, as Bloomberg had reported earlier that Alibaba&#39;s 11.11 event &#34;may suffer a decline unprecedented in the event&#39;s 14-year history.&#34;</p><p>Despite that, BABA has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) (SP500) since we upgraded it to Strong Buy in our previous article. Moreover, BABA&#39;s recent recovery was bolstered by the anticipation of a progressive easing of COVID policy. As such, the positive reaction by the market was not surprising.</p><p>We discuss why we glean that the mean reversion move for BABA remains attractive at the current levels. Despite the massive pessimism seen as investors further de-rated China&#39;s political risks, BABA&#39;s price action remains constructive. Coupled with a well-beaten-down valuation in line with its Hong Kong tech peers, we assess that BABA&#39;s reward/risk profile remains attractive.</p><p>Maintain Strong Buy with a medium-term price target (PT) of $90.</p><h2>Refinement Of China&#39;s COVID Policy Is Good Progress</h2><p>China lifted the market&#39;s sentiments last week as the newly installed Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) highlighted the need for &#34;more decisive&#34; measures, as Bloomberg reported:</p><blockquote>In a meeting of the new Politburo Standing Committee, the members called for more decisive measures to curb the spread of the virus so as to resume normal life and production as soon as possible, according to the Xinhua News Agency. - Bloomberg</blockquote><p>Therefore the &#34;20 measures&#34; rolled out by China&#39;s State Council and National Health Commission that reduced centralized quarantine time and flight suspension penalties were not expected by the market. Moreover, it occurred while COVID cases continued rising. Bloomberg reported that China&#39;s COVID cases increased to 11.3K on Friday (November 11), breaking above 10K for the first time since April on Thursday.</p><p>Furthermore, some cities actually reduced mass testing despite the rising cases. Hence, we believe the odds for a progressive ending in COVID zero are increasingly likely.</p><p>Still, investors should not rule out Beijing tightening its COVID policy again if COVID cases continue to rise higher, or even spike. China has maintained that the recent measures do not indicate that China has moved to living with the virus. Stamping out COVID expeditiously remains the guiding principle of its policy measures. As such, investors should expect near-term downside volatility if Beijing tightens further.</p><h2>What&#39;s Next For Alibaba?</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddc437479ec434895135417dc6411936\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Alibaba Revenue change % and Adjusted EBITDA change % consensus estimates (S&amp;P Cap IQ)</span></p><p>Therefore, we think the thesis for a bottoming in Alibaba&#39;s revenue and profitability growth by FY23 (year ending March 2023) is increasingly likely.</p><p>China&#39;s hand has likely been forced by the worsening global macroeconomic headwinds that has added significant stress to its domestic malaise. Moreover, China&#39;s trade surplus weakened further in October as exports fell for the first time since May 2020, down 0.3% YoY.</p><p>Furthermore, China&#39;s producer price index (PPI) declined 1.3% YoY in October, down for the first time in over two years. Hence, the disinflation signals are building up in China&#39;s economy, likely spurring policymakers to act more urgently to arrest China&#39;s economic malaise.</p><p>Therefore, while Alibaba may report a relatively tepid or even lower-than-project FQ2 earnings release, the market is already looking ahead. While still early, Goldman Sachs had previously highlighted that it expected a reopening in the &#34;second quarter of [2023].&#34; Therefore, we believe Wall Street&#39;s estimates have been predicated on such a possibility.</p><p>Given that China has already started to set the wheels in motion, despite the surge in COVID cases, we believe the reward/risk for an earlier exit is likely pointing to the upside.</p><h2>Is BABA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b99a8e7fe43e4b72d7e31dbf093f969e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>BABA price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We emphasized in our previous update that BABA has two robust support zones that could see buyers defending vigorously against further selling pressure.</p><p>Therefore, even after the market forced sellers to give up after it broke below its March lows, buyers came in to defend its October 2015 levels ($57). That level appears to have been defended resolutely, which suggests that the market pulled the rug on weak holders who added the dips in March/May 2022.</p><p>Notwithstanding, we still need BABA to retake its March level and sit above it decisively for our thesis of a mean-reversion setup toward the $95 level to play out accordingly.</p><p>With China moving progressively away from its zero COVID strategy, we believe the potential for Alibaba to outperform the markedly downgraded consensus projections is looking increasingly likely.</p><p><i>Maintain Strong Buy with a medium-term PT of $90.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Refinement Of Zero COVID Policy Lifts Market Sentiments</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Refinement Of Zero COVID Policy Lifts Market Sentiments\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-13 09:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556789-alibaba-refinement-zero-covid-policy-lifts-market-sentiments><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba heads into its FQ2'23 earnings release on November 17 without disclosing its sales figures for its recently concluded Singles' Day (11.11) sales event.We discuss why even a relatively ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556789-alibaba-refinement-zero-covid-policy-lifts-market-sentiments\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556789-alibaba-refinement-zero-covid-policy-lifts-market-sentiments","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2282457893","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba heads into its FQ2'23 earnings release on November 17 without disclosing its sales figures for its recently concluded Singles' Day (11.11) sales event.We discuss why even a relatively weak FQ2 earnings release should not impact the potential re-rating of BABA as China has started to refine its zero COVID policy.At these levels, the reward/risk setup pointing to the upside remains attractive, with an earlier reopening likely spurring further buying momentum.Maintain Strong Buy with a PT of $90.Robert WayThis article is written by JR Research for reference only. Please note the risks.ThesisAlibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) heads into its highly-anticipated FQ2'23 (quarter ended September 30) earnings release on November 17, even as it held back from reporting actual sales figures for its 2022 Singles' Day (11.11) sales event for the first time.Alibaba reported that its 11.11 event \"[delivered GMV] for brands in line with [2021] despite economic and COVID-related headwinds.\" Notably, Alibaba reported a gross merchandise value (GMV) of RMB540.3B for 2021's 11.11 event.Therefore, all eyes will be on CEO Daniel Zhang & team on November 17, as Bloomberg had reported earlier that Alibaba's 11.11 event \"may suffer a decline unprecedented in the event's 14-year history.\"Despite that, BABA has outperformed the S&P 500 (SPX) (SP500) since we upgraded it to Strong Buy in our previous article. Moreover, BABA's recent recovery was bolstered by the anticipation of a progressive easing of COVID policy. As such, the positive reaction by the market was not surprising.We discuss why we glean that the mean reversion move for BABA remains attractive at the current levels. Despite the massive pessimism seen as investors further de-rated China's political risks, BABA's price action remains constructive. Coupled with a well-beaten-down valuation in line with its Hong Kong tech peers, we assess that BABA's reward/risk profile remains attractive.Maintain Strong Buy with a medium-term price target (PT) of $90.Refinement Of China's COVID Policy Is Good ProgressChina lifted the market's sentiments last week as the newly installed Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) highlighted the need for \"more decisive\" measures, as Bloomberg reported:In a meeting of the new Politburo Standing Committee, the members called for more decisive measures to curb the spread of the virus so as to resume normal life and production as soon as possible, according to the Xinhua News Agency. - BloombergTherefore the \"20 measures\" rolled out by China's State Council and National Health Commission that reduced centralized quarantine time and flight suspension penalties were not expected by the market. Moreover, it occurred while COVID cases continued rising. Bloomberg reported that China's COVID cases increased to 11.3K on Friday (November 11), breaking above 10K for the first time since April on Thursday.Furthermore, some cities actually reduced mass testing despite the rising cases. Hence, we believe the odds for a progressive ending in COVID zero are increasingly likely.Still, investors should not rule out Beijing tightening its COVID policy again if COVID cases continue to rise higher, or even spike. China has maintained that the recent measures do not indicate that China has moved to living with the virus. Stamping out COVID expeditiously remains the guiding principle of its policy measures. As such, investors should expect near-term downside volatility if Beijing tightens further.What's Next For Alibaba?Alibaba Revenue change % and Adjusted EBITDA change % consensus estimates (S&P Cap IQ)Therefore, we think the thesis for a bottoming in Alibaba's revenue and profitability growth by FY23 (year ending March 2023) is increasingly likely.China's hand has likely been forced by the worsening global macroeconomic headwinds that has added significant stress to its domestic malaise. Moreover, China's trade surplus weakened further in October as exports fell for the first time since May 2020, down 0.3% YoY.Furthermore, China's producer price index (PPI) declined 1.3% YoY in October, down for the first time in over two years. Hence, the disinflation signals are building up in China's economy, likely spurring policymakers to act more urgently to arrest China's economic malaise.Therefore, while Alibaba may report a relatively tepid or even lower-than-project FQ2 earnings release, the market is already looking ahead. While still early, Goldman Sachs had previously highlighted that it expected a reopening in the \"second quarter of [2023].\" Therefore, we believe Wall Street's estimates have been predicated on such a possibility.Given that China has already started to set the wheels in motion, despite the surge in COVID cases, we believe the reward/risk for an earlier exit is likely pointing to the upside.Is BABA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?BABA price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We emphasized in our previous update that BABA has two robust support zones that could see buyers defending vigorously against further selling pressure.Therefore, even after the market forced sellers to give up after it broke below its March lows, buyers came in to defend its October 2015 levels ($57). That level appears to have been defended resolutely, which suggests that the market pulled the rug on weak holders who added the dips in March/May 2022.Notwithstanding, we still need BABA to retake its March level and sit above it decisively for our thesis of a mean-reversion setup toward the $95 level to play out accordingly.With China moving progressively away from its zero COVID strategy, we believe the potential for Alibaba to outperform the markedly downgraded consensus projections is looking increasingly likely.Maintain Strong Buy with a medium-term PT of $90.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985611935,"gmtCreate":1667370263228,"gmtModify":1676537906653,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985611935","repostId":"1179075819","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179075819","pubTimestamp":1667367390,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1179075819?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-02 13:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179075819","media":"Barron's","summary":"The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. Th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. That is likely to include an interest-rate increase of 0.75 percentage points and a hawkish tone from Chairman Jerome Powell at his post-meeting press conference. Markets won’t get their much-anticipated all-clear signal from the Fed.</p><p>Futures markets are overwhelmingly pricing in a fed-funds rate target range of 3.75% to 4.00% after this week’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, which began on Tuesday. That would mean the sixth rate hike of 2022 and fourth-straight 0.75 percentage-point bump. The committee’s policy statement is out at 2 p.m. ET and Powell speaks at 2:30 p.m. ET.</p><p>There is reason to believe the Fed is much closer to the end of its hiking cycle than the beginning. Just don’t expect Powell to say as much.</p><p>“The Fed’s best hand is to hike [0.75 percentage point] and otherwise zip it,” writes Richard Farr, chief market strategist at Merion Capital Group.</p><p>Several indicators of economic activity have slowed over the past year, particularly in interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy such as housing. Economies abroad are in tougher shape. The labor market is a key holdout in the U.S.: The unemployment rate is at 3.5% and jobs and wages are still growing. The so-called wage-price spiral is helping to keep core inflation uncomfortably high, up 8.2% in the year through September.</p><p>Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a peak, or terminal, rate of 5.00% to 5.25% sometime in the first half of 2023, then a decline by the end of next year. Investors and traders have been fixated lately on the prospects of a “Fed pivot,” or the moment when the central bank moves its stance from tightening to loosening policy, or at least pausing hikes and holding rates steady for some time.</p><p>All fall long, risk assets have rallied in unison on days when the collective mood leaned toward a closer pivot, and sold off on the reverse days. Part of the Fed’s dilemma is that monetary policy works with “long and variable lags,” in the words of Milton Friedman. That means that it will take time for higher interest rates to affect the real economy and damp inflation, and it might make sense to slow or stop rate hikes before inflation is anywhere near a comfortable level.</p><p>A sign that FOMC members see a looming end to rate hikes could come in the policy statement. Watch for an alternation or removal of the line from the prior statement that says the committee “anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate.”</p><p>“They are working hard to ensure that inflationary psychology is routed,” writes John Vail, chief global strategist at Nikko Asset Management. “Not just one negative data point, but a string of such over a period of months is required for a change in the Fed stance from its current data-dependent, but generally hawkish bias, to something a bit more neutral.”</p><p>Any indication of such a shift in Fed policy will be interpreted by the market as dovish, prompting rallies in stocks and bonds. A bond rally would push down yields and make financial conditions easier, working against the Fed’s tightening and inflation fight.</p><p>So, expect Powell to remain hawkish in his remarks on Wednesday, even if the chairman believes that a pivot or pause may soon be warranted.</p><p>“The problem is the moment he relinquishes this hawkish stance—the moment he utters anything remotely resembling a dovish word—is the moment financial conditions ease far more than what we’ve seen over the last few weeks,” writes RBC Capital Markets chief U.S. economist Tom Porcelli. “As much as we think this hiking cycle is virtually over and should be over, we just don’t see how there is any incentive for him to suggest as much right now given the financial conditions consideration.”</p><p>The opposite risk of over-tightening also exists. Inflation needs to come down, and it may cost a recession to get there. The longer the Fed keeps rates higher, the lower the return investors can expect from many asset classes.</p><p>Officials will get a look at two months of employment and Consumer Price Index readings before the FOMC next meets in December. Those could go a long way toward determining the details of the central bank’s next moves. For now, however, the message will remain “we still have work to do.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-02 13:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/the-feds-next-big-rate-hike-is-coming-why-powell-wont-say-the-end-is-near-51667341692?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. That is likely to include an interest-rate increase of 0.75 percentage points and a hawkish tone from ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/the-feds-next-big-rate-hike-is-coming-why-powell-wont-say-the-end-is-near-51667341692?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/the-feds-next-big-rate-hike-is-coming-why-powell-wont-say-the-end-is-near-51667341692?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179075819","content_text":"The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. That is likely to include an interest-rate increase of 0.75 percentage points and a hawkish tone from Chairman Jerome Powell at his post-meeting press conference. Markets won’t get their much-anticipated all-clear signal from the Fed.Futures markets are overwhelmingly pricing in a fed-funds rate target range of 3.75% to 4.00% after this week’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, which began on Tuesday. That would mean the sixth rate hike of 2022 and fourth-straight 0.75 percentage-point bump. The committee’s policy statement is out at 2 p.m. ET and Powell speaks at 2:30 p.m. ET.There is reason to believe the Fed is much closer to the end of its hiking cycle than the beginning. Just don’t expect Powell to say as much.“The Fed’s best hand is to hike [0.75 percentage point] and otherwise zip it,” writes Richard Farr, chief market strategist at Merion Capital Group.Several indicators of economic activity have slowed over the past year, particularly in interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy such as housing. Economies abroad are in tougher shape. The labor market is a key holdout in the U.S.: The unemployment rate is at 3.5% and jobs and wages are still growing. The so-called wage-price spiral is helping to keep core inflation uncomfortably high, up 8.2% in the year through September.Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a peak, or terminal, rate of 5.00% to 5.25% sometime in the first half of 2023, then a decline by the end of next year. Investors and traders have been fixated lately on the prospects of a “Fed pivot,” or the moment when the central bank moves its stance from tightening to loosening policy, or at least pausing hikes and holding rates steady for some time.All fall long, risk assets have rallied in unison on days when the collective mood leaned toward a closer pivot, and sold off on the reverse days. Part of the Fed’s dilemma is that monetary policy works with “long and variable lags,” in the words of Milton Friedman. That means that it will take time for higher interest rates to affect the real economy and damp inflation, and it might make sense to slow or stop rate hikes before inflation is anywhere near a comfortable level.A sign that FOMC members see a looming end to rate hikes could come in the policy statement. Watch for an alternation or removal of the line from the prior statement that says the committee “anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate.”“They are working hard to ensure that inflationary psychology is routed,” writes John Vail, chief global strategist at Nikko Asset Management. “Not just one negative data point, but a string of such over a period of months is required for a change in the Fed stance from its current data-dependent, but generally hawkish bias, to something a bit more neutral.”Any indication of such a shift in Fed policy will be interpreted by the market as dovish, prompting rallies in stocks and bonds. A bond rally would push down yields and make financial conditions easier, working against the Fed’s tightening and inflation fight.So, expect Powell to remain hawkish in his remarks on Wednesday, even if the chairman believes that a pivot or pause may soon be warranted.“The problem is the moment he relinquishes this hawkish stance—the moment he utters anything remotely resembling a dovish word—is the moment financial conditions ease far more than what we’ve seen over the last few weeks,” writes RBC Capital Markets chief U.S. economist Tom Porcelli. “As much as we think this hiking cycle is virtually over and should be over, we just don’t see how there is any incentive for him to suggest as much right now given the financial conditions consideration.”The opposite risk of over-tightening also exists. Inflation needs to come down, and it may cost a recession to get there. The longer the Fed keeps rates higher, the lower the return investors can expect from many asset classes.Officials will get a look at two months of employment and Consumer Price Index readings before the FOMC next meets in December. Those could go a long way toward determining the details of the central bank’s next moves. For now, however, the message will remain “we still have work to do.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985990634,"gmtCreate":1667283907328,"gmtModify":1676537891143,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985990634","repostId":"1180963465","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180963465","pubTimestamp":1667262471,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1180963465?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-01 08:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple and Microsoft Market Caps Reached Their Largest Spread on Record — at Roughly Tesla’s Entire Valuation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180963465","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The divergent performances of Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. in the wake of their latest earnings re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4062ea999ad9a74269b4289fac8b8890\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The divergent performances of Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. in the wake of their latest earnings reports widened the spread between the two companies’ market values to the largest on record at more than $700 billion to close out last week.</p><p>Apple finished Friday’s trading session with a<b> $2.48 trillion valuation</b>, while Microsoft ended the week with a <b>$1.76 trillion valuation</b>. The $719.24 billion spread between those two market caps was the widest record and nearly as much as Tesla Inc.’s entire market cap of<b> $721.61 billion</b>, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>The spread has narrowed a bit with Monday morning’s trading action, as Apple shares are off 1.8% and Microsoft shares are down 1.5%. Apple’s market value is now $698.40 billion larger than Microsoft’s, with that spread again similar to Tesla’s  current valuation.</p><p>While Apple shares rallied 7.6% in Friday trading after the company posted a large revenue beat in its Mac segment and indicated that iPhone demand was strong despite supply challenges, Microsoft shares lost 7.7% Wednesday as the company’s most recent earnings report fueled concerns about cloud growth.</p><p>Combined, Apple’s and Microsoft’s market caps made up 42% of the market cap of all Dow Jones Industrial Average components as of Friday’s close.</p><p>Apple’s price-to-earnings ratio on a next-12-months basis is also higher than Microsoft’s in a somewhat rare occurrence. While the smartphone giant’s forward P/E has been higher than Microsoft’s during several days in September and October, it hadn’t been above Microsoft’s before those instances since January 2021, per Dow Jones Market Data, based on FactSet data.</p><p>Apple had a 24.48 P/E ahead of Monday’s open, while Microsoft’s was 23.25.</p><p>Shares of both names remain down on the year, however, with Microsoft’s stock off 31% over the course of 2022 and Apple’s off 14%. Together, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., and Meta Platforms Inc. have shed $3 trillion in market value so far this year.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple and Microsoft Market Caps Reached Their Largest Spread on Record — at Roughly Tesla’s Entire Valuation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple and Microsoft Market Caps Reached Their Largest Spread on Record — at Roughly Tesla’s Entire Valuation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-01 08:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-and-microsoft-market-caps-reached-their-largest-spread-on-record-at-roughly-teslas-entire-valuation-11667226567><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The divergent performances of Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. in the wake of their latest earnings reports widened the spread between the two companies’ market values to the largest on record at more ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-and-microsoft-market-caps-reached-their-largest-spread-on-record-at-roughly-teslas-entire-valuation-11667226567\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","MSFT":"微软","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-and-microsoft-market-caps-reached-their-largest-spread-on-record-at-roughly-teslas-entire-valuation-11667226567","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180963465","content_text":"The divergent performances of Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. in the wake of their latest earnings reports widened the spread between the two companies’ market values to the largest on record at more than $700 billion to close out last week.Apple finished Friday’s trading session with a $2.48 trillion valuation, while Microsoft ended the week with a $1.76 trillion valuation. The $719.24 billion spread between those two market caps was the widest record and nearly as much as Tesla Inc.’s entire market cap of $721.61 billion, according to Dow Jones Market Data.The spread has narrowed a bit with Monday morning’s trading action, as Apple shares are off 1.8% and Microsoft shares are down 1.5%. Apple’s market value is now $698.40 billion larger than Microsoft’s, with that spread again similar to Tesla’s  current valuation.While Apple shares rallied 7.6% in Friday trading after the company posted a large revenue beat in its Mac segment and indicated that iPhone demand was strong despite supply challenges, Microsoft shares lost 7.7% Wednesday as the company’s most recent earnings report fueled concerns about cloud growth.Combined, Apple’s and Microsoft’s market caps made up 42% of the market cap of all Dow Jones Industrial Average components as of Friday’s close.Apple’s price-to-earnings ratio on a next-12-months basis is also higher than Microsoft’s in a somewhat rare occurrence. While the smartphone giant’s forward P/E has been higher than Microsoft’s during several days in September and October, it hadn’t been above Microsoft’s before those instances since January 2021, per Dow Jones Market Data, based on FactSet data.Apple had a 24.48 P/E ahead of Monday’s open, while Microsoft’s was 23.25.Shares of both names remain down on the year, however, with Microsoft’s stock off 31% over the course of 2022 and Apple’s off 14%. Together, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., and Meta Platforms Inc. have shed $3 trillion in market value so far this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982249379,"gmtCreate":1667193904191,"gmtModify":1676537874855,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982249379","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":339,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982240493,"gmtCreate":1667193778912,"gmtModify":1676537874845,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982240493","repostId":"1188744789","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188744789","pubTimestamp":1667185398,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188744789?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-31 11:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jittery Stock Traders Eye Four Days That Will Sow Market’s Fate","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188744789","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Rate decision, jobs and CPI updates, midterm elections comingSpells no reprieve from turbulence set ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Rate decision, jobs and CPI updates, midterm elections coming</li><li>Spells no reprieve from turbulence set off by earning reports</li></ul><p>Investors just got over a hectic week, contending with a blitz of earnings from some of America’s biggest companies as well as a pile of uncertain economic and geopolitical news. But what’s coming may be even worse.</p><p>In the span of just seven trading sessions, there will be four major events that could shape the market’s outlook for the rest of the year -- and potentially prompt a rapid about-face by confounding expectations.</p><p>On Nov. 2, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest-rate decision and give hints about its path forward, possibly signaling plans to ease back from the aggressive pace of hikes that’s threatening to drive the economy into a recession.</p><p>Two days later, the October jobs report will provide an important look at how much hiring is slowing. Then on Nov. 8, the mid-term elections may usher in a change in which party controls Congress. And finally, on Nov. 10 there’s the consumer price index, a report that’s played a key role in shaping expectations for the Fed’s path since inflation roared back to a four-decade high.</p><p>Throw in the ongoing earnings season and Bank of England’s interest-rate decision on Nov. 3, and it’s clear why some on Wall Street are bracing for a renewed jolt of volatility.</p><p>Here’s what investors are on the lookout for in each of these events.</p><h2>FOMC Rate Decision</h2><p>Wall Street views a fourth straight 75 basis-point interest-rate hike on Nov. 2 as a sure thing. What the Fed signals will happen next is far more significant, with traders increasingly betting that the central bank will start to ease up on its pace in December. The Bank of Canada did just that on Wednesday, providing a potential opening for other central banks to follow suit as recession risks rise.</p><p>Traders are bracing for larger-than-usual price changes on Nov. 2 and Nov. 10, judging by options expirations over the course of the next two weeks. To SpotGamma founder Brent Kochuba, the Fed’s rate decision is the most crucial of the upcoming events and sets the stage for how the data releases that follow will affect markets.</p><p>“For volatility traders, it’s the Fed first, everything else second,” Kochuba said. “If monetary policy makers come off as accommodative, that will shift volatility expectations in a big way.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8065fe0bca22470d793e4f5a1ca003de\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><h2>Jobs Day</h2><p>The October jobs report, released Friday, is expected to show that the unemployment rate increased to 3.6% from 3.5%, edging up from a half-century low. Nonfarm payrolls growth is expected to tick down to 190,000 from 263,000 in September, but that would still indicate continued strength in the labor market.</p><p>Data on initial jobless claims Thursday indicated the employment market remains tight, while the initial report on third-quarter GDP showed the economy remains on strong footing, both of which suggest it can weather jumbo-sized rate hikes. A stronger-than-expected jobs report for September sent the S&amp;P 500 Index down 2.8% on Oct. 7, its worst jobs-day showing since the summer of 2010. Another upside surprise could dash hopes that the Fed will dial back its rate hikes to half a percentage point in December.</p><h2>Midterm Elections</h2><p>Stock bulls are hoping for one crucial outcome from the US midterm elections: a divided Congress. Why? Because equities tend to benefit from gridlock in Washington since it tends to produce few if any a major policy shifts.</p><p>The two most likely outcomes this midterm cycle -- either a Democratic president with a Republican House and a Democrat Senate or a Democratic president with a full Republican Congress -- have benefited equity investors in the past. In each of the scenarios, the S&amp;P 500 has proceeded to post annual gains ranging between 5% and 14%, according to Comerica Wealth Management, which cited data from Strategas Research Partners.</p><p>“Stocks perform best in a divided government,” Victoria Greene, chief investment officer at G Squared Private Wealth, said. “Balance of power and gridlock is something markets like.”</p><h2>Inflation Report</h2><p>Few economic announcements have mattered more this year than the consumer price index, given that tamping-down inflation is the central priority of the Fed. Barclays Plc strategists, who plotted the S&amp;P 500’s performance against 10 major economic indicators, found that in the past decade stocks have never reacted as negatively to any economic indicator as they are now to the CPI.</p><p>“We may have a shot at getting some clarity toward the end of the fourth quarter on whether inflation is slowing and if the Fed will ease up on rate hikes,” Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments, said in a phone interview. “Then that could provide calmness in the Treasury market and push investors to take on risk in equities once again.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jittery Stock Traders Eye Four Days That Will Sow Market’s Fate</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJittery Stock Traders Eye Four Days That Will Sow Market’s Fate\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-31 11:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-30/jittery-stock-traders-eye-four-days-that-will-sow-market-s-fate?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Rate decision, jobs and CPI updates, midterm elections comingSpells no reprieve from turbulence set off by earning reportsInvestors just got over a hectic week, contending with a blitz of earnings ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-30/jittery-stock-traders-eye-four-days-that-will-sow-market-s-fate?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-30/jittery-stock-traders-eye-four-days-that-will-sow-market-s-fate?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188744789","content_text":"Rate decision, jobs and CPI updates, midterm elections comingSpells no reprieve from turbulence set off by earning reportsInvestors just got over a hectic week, contending with a blitz of earnings from some of America’s biggest companies as well as a pile of uncertain economic and geopolitical news. But what’s coming may be even worse.In the span of just seven trading sessions, there will be four major events that could shape the market’s outlook for the rest of the year -- and potentially prompt a rapid about-face by confounding expectations.On Nov. 2, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest-rate decision and give hints about its path forward, possibly signaling plans to ease back from the aggressive pace of hikes that’s threatening to drive the economy into a recession.Two days later, the October jobs report will provide an important look at how much hiring is slowing. Then on Nov. 8, the mid-term elections may usher in a change in which party controls Congress. And finally, on Nov. 10 there’s the consumer price index, a report that’s played a key role in shaping expectations for the Fed’s path since inflation roared back to a four-decade high.Throw in the ongoing earnings season and Bank of England’s interest-rate decision on Nov. 3, and it’s clear why some on Wall Street are bracing for a renewed jolt of volatility.Here’s what investors are on the lookout for in each of these events.FOMC Rate DecisionWall Street views a fourth straight 75 basis-point interest-rate hike on Nov. 2 as a sure thing. What the Fed signals will happen next is far more significant, with traders increasingly betting that the central bank will start to ease up on its pace in December. The Bank of Canada did just that on Wednesday, providing a potential opening for other central banks to follow suit as recession risks rise.Traders are bracing for larger-than-usual price changes on Nov. 2 and Nov. 10, judging by options expirations over the course of the next two weeks. To SpotGamma founder Brent Kochuba, the Fed’s rate decision is the most crucial of the upcoming events and sets the stage for how the data releases that follow will affect markets.“For volatility traders, it’s the Fed first, everything else second,” Kochuba said. “If monetary policy makers come off as accommodative, that will shift volatility expectations in a big way.”Source: BloombergJobs DayThe October jobs report, released Friday, is expected to show that the unemployment rate increased to 3.6% from 3.5%, edging up from a half-century low. Nonfarm payrolls growth is expected to tick down to 190,000 from 263,000 in September, but that would still indicate continued strength in the labor market.Data on initial jobless claims Thursday indicated the employment market remains tight, while the initial report on third-quarter GDP showed the economy remains on strong footing, both of which suggest it can weather jumbo-sized rate hikes. A stronger-than-expected jobs report for September sent the S&P 500 Index down 2.8% on Oct. 7, its worst jobs-day showing since the summer of 2010. Another upside surprise could dash hopes that the Fed will dial back its rate hikes to half a percentage point in December.Midterm ElectionsStock bulls are hoping for one crucial outcome from the US midterm elections: a divided Congress. Why? Because equities tend to benefit from gridlock in Washington since it tends to produce few if any a major policy shifts.The two most likely outcomes this midterm cycle -- either a Democratic president with a Republican House and a Democrat Senate or a Democratic president with a full Republican Congress -- have benefited equity investors in the past. In each of the scenarios, the S&P 500 has proceeded to post annual gains ranging between 5% and 14%, according to Comerica Wealth Management, which cited data from Strategas Research Partners.“Stocks perform best in a divided government,” Victoria Greene, chief investment officer at G Squared Private Wealth, said. “Balance of power and gridlock is something markets like.”Inflation ReportFew economic announcements have mattered more this year than the consumer price index, given that tamping-down inflation is the central priority of the Fed. Barclays Plc strategists, who plotted the S&P 500’s performance against 10 major economic indicators, found that in the past decade stocks have never reacted as negatively to any economic indicator as they are now to the CPI.“We may have a shot at getting some clarity toward the end of the fourth quarter on whether inflation is slowing and if the Fed will ease up on rate hikes,” Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments, said in a phone interview. “Then that could provide calmness in the Treasury market and push investors to take on risk in equities once again.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986742009,"gmtCreate":1667025802302,"gmtModify":1676537851770,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Trick or treat!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Trick or treat!","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Trick or treat!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986742009","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9962390434,"gmtCreate":1669717576928,"gmtModify":1676538227845,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962390434","repostId":"2287354580","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2287354580","pubTimestamp":1669735345,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2287354580?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-29 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The Market Is Right - The Current Price Is Fair","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2287354580","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySome bearish analysts think that Apple stock is expensive right now.Most of the Apple analysi","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>Some bearish analysts think that Apple stock is expensive right now.</li><li>Most of the Apple analysis is not incorporating a forecast of AR/VR products.</li><li>The effect of share buybacks is also frequently not included in those analyses.</li><li>The article will offer evidence that the stock is not expensive at all using the discounted cash flow methodology incorporating those two factors.</li><li>The calculation will be made through three different stages.</li></ul><h2>Introduction</h2><p>We consider that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc. </a> is a &#34;hold&#34; right now. In this article, I will provide evidence that the stock market price ranging between $130 and $170 per share year-to-date is moving around its intrinsic value; in other words, the current stock price is neither expensive nor cheap.</p><p>I will show a new perspective about the calculation of Apple&#39;s intrinsic value that will help readers to understand why the stock price has not dropped as some bearish analysts might expect. First, I will use the DCF methodology for making projections of the current Apple&#39;s products and services. Second, I will include the virtual and augmented reality products AR/VR in the calculation taking the assumptions made by one of the most reliable analysts about Apple - Ming-Chi Kuo from TF International Securities, and GlobalData Forecasts; the goal is to estimate a present value of the projected free cash flow (FCF) that would be generated by the AR/VR products that would be launched in 2023. Finally, I will add the effect of share buy-backs in the intrinsic value&#39;s calculation.</p><p>I need to remind you that Apple stock should be seen as a long-term investment as Tim Cook clearly emphasized in the last TIME100 summit based on New York in June 2022, Tim Cook said:</p><blockquote>If you are a short term trader, do not invest in Apple stock. Because if you are doing that, you are trading at a different time horizon than we&#39;re investing in. We invest for the long term. Doing good is creating shareholder value in the long term; it may not in the very short term. Our interests are not aligned to the short term trader.</blockquote><h2>Context</h2><p>Apple is facing some problems in one of the main Foxconn&#39;s facilities which is the world&#39;s largest iPhone factory located in Zhengzhou, China, due to the zero-COVID policy implemented in the country. This could affect the expectations of the analysts for the last quarter in 2022. However, the problem is not in the demand but in the supply as mentioned in the Apple&#39;s web site in November 2022:</p><blockquote>COVID restrictions have temporarily impacted the primary iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro max assembly facility located Zhengzhou, China. The facility is currently operating at significantly reduced capacity. As we have done throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, we are prioritizing the health and safety of the workers in our supply chain.</blockquote><blockquote>We continue to see strong demand for iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max models. However, we now expect lower iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max shipments than we previously anticipated and customers will experience longer wait times to receive their new products.</blockquote><p>Furthermore, there are recent worrisome news about the protests in the Zhengzhou&#39;s facilities with all the new recruited workers. However, Tim Cook has a strong specialization in supply chain management; in fact, that was one of the main reasons why Steve Jobs believed that there was anyone better than Tim Cook as his successor.</p><p>Therefore, we don&#39;t have to be worried about the short-term issues mentioned on the news particularly if we are focused on a long-term horizon. In my opinion, a key factor is that Tim Cook has developed a long-term strategy in the company focused on delivering more value for long-term investors, which is reflected by the Apple stock&#39;s capital appreciation of more than 600% in the last 10 years.</p><p>Given our focus on the long-term, I propose to calculate an intrinsic value considering the strong business model and the outstanding management; these two factors are key to make decent projections of the future FCFs to calculate Apple&#39;s intrinsic value. Let&#39;s see why this stock is at a fair price.</p><h2>First stage: standard intrinsic value</h2><p>In this part, I will show you that this is the typical way of calculation of the intrinsic value in several analysis using the DCF, considering a conservative growth in revenues and FCF of the company for the next years.</p><p>These are my assumptions for this stage:</p><ul><li>Outstanding shares from 2021: 16,877,005,347</li><li>FCF margins based on the last 10 years average: 22%</li><li>Revenue growth of 3% for the next 6 years</li><li>Total debt and cash on hand in the balance sheet as of September 2022</li><li>Enterprise value is the subtraction of the total debt from the present value of the all the future FCF projected adding the cash on hand from the balance sheet.</li><li>Growth in FCF perpetuity (FCFP): 3%</li><li>Discounted rate: 8%</li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9593afa9b5806f52aadb452a74e0f3d2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"198\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author</p><p>The estimations are conservative; for example, the growth of FCF has been 13.65% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the last 10 years while I am assuming 3% for my projections. The revenue growth expected from the consensus is 3% for 2023, 5.5% for 2024, and 5.1% for 2025; my estimations are 3% of revenue growth for all the years projected.</p><p>The intrinsic value according to this stage of calculation is $97.36 per share which is similar to the number that some bearish analysts are getting in their calculations.</p><h2>Second stage: including VR/AR products</h2><p>According to Ming-Chi Kuo, one of the most reliable analysts about Apple, the AR/VR products might be launched in 2023. The goal is to estimate FCF projections for the AR/VR products using the next assumptions:</p><ul><li>AR/VR products will be launched in 2023</li><li>The number of units sold estimated in 2023 would be 1,500</li><li>Price estimated per unit is $3,000 per unit</li><li>Growth of sales: 40% annual, according to GlobalData Forecasts, it is expected to reach $30 billion in sales in 2030, which means a 40% CAGR roughly since 2023</li><li>FCF margins (FCF/Revenues) generated by the AR/VR products: 22% which are aligned with FCF margins of the entire company.</li><li>Growth of FCFP: 6% annual.</li><li>Discounted rate: 8%</li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ebc9d88521e926b225e41ae3f96af2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author</p><p>The present value (PV) of the future FCFs obtained under these assumptions is $320,399 million. This number will be summed up to the enterprise value previously calculated in the first stage. In this sense, we are keeping all the assumptions made in the first stage; therefore, our new intrinsic value including the AR/VR products forecast is 116.34$ per share:</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/384dec806a0271e64a05266bd51d8205\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"225\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author</p><h2>Third stage: including the share buyback&#39;s effect</h2><p>In this stage, we need to know what was the rate at which Apple makes its share buy-backs, so reviewing its past history in the last 9 years, we have the following:</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c76916d1ad63a59b6656f3e33d336fff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author, Apple&#39;s Annual report</p><p>We consider the share buy-backs from 2013 to 2019 since there was a 4-to-1 split in 2020. Taking the average rate, Apple repurchases 5.5% of the outstanding shares of the previous year. Now, we will apply 5% for the next years projected to the year 2026:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8334af831132ec75127463fcd516b83\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"236\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author</p><p>In this stage, we take the enterprise value and divide it by the outstanding number of shares projected for the year 2026. Of course, Apple might keep reducing its number of outstanding shares beyond 2026, driving up even more the intrinsic value but we want to be conservative in our assumptions; thus, according to this model, the number of outstanding shares for 2027 onwards will be the same as 2026.</p><p>The final intrinsic value including the projections of the AR/VR products and the share buy-back&#39;s effect is 150$ per share which is the average price at which Apple stock was trading in the last months.</p><h2>Challenges to the thesis</h2><p>Some of the assumptions that we&#39;ve made might be broken, so that the intrinsic value could be lower than that we are expecting. For instance, if the annual rate of buy-backs falls from 5% to 3% keeping the other factors unchanged, the intrinsic value would drop from $150 to $135 per share. We don&#39;t know if Apple will keep the same rate or not, so I would consider a range between $135$ to $150 per share as the intrinsic value.</p><p>A second factor would be a scenario in which the AR/VR products are not launched in 2023 delaying the propel to an unknown date. In that case, our intrinsic value would only incorporate the buy-backs and the projection of the current products for the next years. In this scenario, the Apple&#39;s intrinsic value would be around 125.82$ per share. Nevertheless, it is hard to imagine that Tim Cook would delay the launch of the AR/VR products since he said in September 2022:</p><blockquote>Not too long from today, people will wonder how they led a life without augmented reality, stressing the &#34;profound&#34; impact it will have on the not so distant future.</blockquote><p>This combined by the expectations of analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, strengthen the possibility of that important event for Apple in 2023 with a high probability.</p><p>A third factor that could weak our thesis is related to the average price of the AR/VR products. The average price per unit for these products assumed in our calculation was $3,000. If the price was lower than expected keeping the other factors unchanged, the intrinsic value will be impacted:</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/419f5a3fd23e39fec66b6cc12899f68f\" tg-width=\"332\" tg-height=\"138\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Prepared by the author</p><p>However, I cannot imagine a scenario in which the price per unit reaches $1,500 since we know that the segment targeted for Apple&#39;s products is the wealthier segment of the market; this is another reason why Apple has an strong pricing power since its products are well-demanded and its customers have high buying power.</p><p>Another factor that could affect the valuation is the more restrictive monetary policy by the Fed in the next years. More interest rate hikes to control the inflation rates in the economy could affect the demand for Apple&#39;s products and services, so the revenue growth might be impacted. Nonetheless, the Apple&#39;s business model is very resilient since the main target of the company is the wealthier segment of the market. Most likely, the problem continues being the supply instead of the demand for Apple&#39;s products, and the launch of the new AR/VR products could be another interesting catalyzer to deliver more revenue growth, so I feel comfortable with the 3% of revenue growth for the next years.</p><p>Finally, we are considering that the risk frequently mentioned on the news about the possibility that China could invade Taiwan is no significant. In Taiwan, Taiwan Semiconductors Manufacturing Company (TSM) is a critical Apple&#39;s provider of the 3nm-chips. However, there would be several negative implications for China, like beginning a war with the US, or the possibility that Taiwan or the US destroy all TSM&#39;s assets, making the invasion a failure. Apparently, Warren Buffett is also assigning a low probability for such event since he has recently invested in TSM.</p><p>In a nutshell, taking all these scenarios, we could establish a range for the Apple&#39;s intrinsic value between 135$ and 150$ per share. The stock price has been moving around that range in the last months, so it is likely that the market is considering the launch of the AR/VR products and the share buy-back&#39;s effect. Apparently, the market is not considering the Apple car as part of the valuation of the company either.</p><h2>Strategy with Apple stock</h2><p>Apple stock is a <i>hold</i> for those investors who have invested in the company several years ago. A new investor who is thinking of buying Apple stock could consider that the current price ranging between $130 and $150 per share is the fair price. I would start a position when the price is between $130 and $140 per share, increasing my position gradually if the stock falls below that range.</p><p>Given the uncertainty related to the monetary policy from the FED, the war between Ukraine and Russia, the zero-COVID policy in China, a recession in 2023, and so on, the stock might drop below the range of the intrinsic value previously mentioned giving an opportunity to new investors. Being aware of which is Apple&#39;s fair value will enable us to know if we should start a position or not right now. If we consider the stock to be expensive, we would have the incentives to wait for a significant fall in the stock price that may never come since we are not making a proper calculation of the intrinsic value of the company.</p><h2>Final Thoughts</h2><p>Some analysts state that Apple stock is overvalued using multiples, comparing them with other competitors, and encouraging investors to wait for a significant decline in Apple stock, a fall that may not come. We need to be aware of the limitations of only using multiples like P/E, EV/Sales, EV/EBITDA, EV/EBIT, etc. since these multiples assume almost the same quality among all the comparables without considering factors that are only intrinsic to each company.</p><p>In addition, most of these analyses do not include neither the launch of the AR/VR products in 2023 and most importantly, nor the share buy-back&#39;s effect which is a regular practice of the Apple&#39;s management in the last 10 years to deliver more value to long-term investors.</p><p>A critical factor behind all the assumptions we&#39;ve made in this article is the management&#39;s capabilities to deliver the highest value to the shareholders; Tim Cook has done an amazing job in all these years, strengthening Apple&#39;s market position, the innovative culture inside the company, the brand&#39;s reputation, the efficiency in the supply chain management and the capital allocation.</p><p>Apple is a <i>compounder</i> since it is able to reinvest its cash flows at high returns; this combined with its strong buybacks year by year ends up boosting the intrinsic value. So most likely the current intrinsic value ranging between $130 and $150 per share would be higher in the next years as the company keeps delivering more value to its clients and investors.</p><p>Thanks to a solid and consistent long-term strategy, we feel confident making projections for Apple&#39;s future performance, getting an approximation of Apple&#39;s intrinsic value ranging between $135 and $150 per share. Therefore, there could be an interesting opportunity to buy Apple stock when the price drops below that range.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The Market Is Right - The Current Price Is Fair</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The Market Is Right - The Current Price Is Fair\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-29 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560944-apple-stock-market-right-current-price-is-fair><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySome bearish analysts think that Apple stock is expensive right now.Most of the Apple analysis is not incorporating a forecast of AR/VR products.The effect of share buybacks is also frequently ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560944-apple-stock-market-right-current-price-is-fair\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560944-apple-stock-market-right-current-price-is-fair","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2287354580","content_text":"SummarySome bearish analysts think that Apple stock is expensive right now.Most of the Apple analysis is not incorporating a forecast of AR/VR products.The effect of share buybacks is also frequently not included in those analyses.The article will offer evidence that the stock is not expensive at all using the discounted cash flow methodology incorporating those two factors.The calculation will be made through three different stages.IntroductionWe consider that Apple Inc.  is a \"hold\" right now. In this article, I will provide evidence that the stock market price ranging between $130 and $170 per share year-to-date is moving around its intrinsic value; in other words, the current stock price is neither expensive nor cheap.I will show a new perspective about the calculation of Apple's intrinsic value that will help readers to understand why the stock price has not dropped as some bearish analysts might expect. First, I will use the DCF methodology for making projections of the current Apple's products and services. Second, I will include the virtual and augmented reality products AR/VR in the calculation taking the assumptions made by one of the most reliable analysts about Apple - Ming-Chi Kuo from TF International Securities, and GlobalData Forecasts; the goal is to estimate a present value of the projected free cash flow (FCF) that would be generated by the AR/VR products that would be launched in 2023. Finally, I will add the effect of share buy-backs in the intrinsic value's calculation.I need to remind you that Apple stock should be seen as a long-term investment as Tim Cook clearly emphasized in the last TIME100 summit based on New York in June 2022, Tim Cook said:If you are a short term trader, do not invest in Apple stock. Because if you are doing that, you are trading at a different time horizon than we're investing in. We invest for the long term. Doing good is creating shareholder value in the long term; it may not in the very short term. Our interests are not aligned to the short term trader.ContextApple is facing some problems in one of the main Foxconn's facilities which is the world's largest iPhone factory located in Zhengzhou, China, due to the zero-COVID policy implemented in the country. This could affect the expectations of the analysts for the last quarter in 2022. However, the problem is not in the demand but in the supply as mentioned in the Apple's web site in November 2022:COVID restrictions have temporarily impacted the primary iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro max assembly facility located Zhengzhou, China. The facility is currently operating at significantly reduced capacity. As we have done throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, we are prioritizing the health and safety of the workers in our supply chain.We continue to see strong demand for iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max models. However, we now expect lower iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max shipments than we previously anticipated and customers will experience longer wait times to receive their new products.Furthermore, there are recent worrisome news about the protests in the Zhengzhou's facilities with all the new recruited workers. However, Tim Cook has a strong specialization in supply chain management; in fact, that was one of the main reasons why Steve Jobs believed that there was anyone better than Tim Cook as his successor.Therefore, we don't have to be worried about the short-term issues mentioned on the news particularly if we are focused on a long-term horizon. In my opinion, a key factor is that Tim Cook has developed a long-term strategy in the company focused on delivering more value for long-term investors, which is reflected by the Apple stock's capital appreciation of more than 600% in the last 10 years.Given our focus on the long-term, I propose to calculate an intrinsic value considering the strong business model and the outstanding management; these two factors are key to make decent projections of the future FCFs to calculate Apple's intrinsic value. Let's see why this stock is at a fair price.First stage: standard intrinsic valueIn this part, I will show you that this is the typical way of calculation of the intrinsic value in several analysis using the DCF, considering a conservative growth in revenues and FCF of the company for the next years.These are my assumptions for this stage:Outstanding shares from 2021: 16,877,005,347FCF margins based on the last 10 years average: 22%Revenue growth of 3% for the next 6 yearsTotal debt and cash on hand in the balance sheet as of September 2022Enterprise value is the subtraction of the total debt from the present value of the all the future FCF projected adding the cash on hand from the balance sheet.Growth in FCF perpetuity (FCFP): 3%Discounted rate: 8%Prepared by the authorThe estimations are conservative; for example, the growth of FCF has been 13.65% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the last 10 years while I am assuming 3% for my projections. The revenue growth expected from the consensus is 3% for 2023, 5.5% for 2024, and 5.1% for 2025; my estimations are 3% of revenue growth for all the years projected.The intrinsic value according to this stage of calculation is $97.36 per share which is similar to the number that some bearish analysts are getting in their calculations.Second stage: including VR/AR productsAccording to Ming-Chi Kuo, one of the most reliable analysts about Apple, the AR/VR products might be launched in 2023. The goal is to estimate FCF projections for the AR/VR products using the next assumptions:AR/VR products will be launched in 2023The number of units sold estimated in 2023 would be 1,500Price estimated per unit is $3,000 per unitGrowth of sales: 40% annual, according to GlobalData Forecasts, it is expected to reach $30 billion in sales in 2030, which means a 40% CAGR roughly since 2023FCF margins (FCF/Revenues) generated by the AR/VR products: 22% which are aligned with FCF margins of the entire company.Growth of FCFP: 6% annual.Discounted rate: 8%Prepared by the authorThe present value (PV) of the future FCFs obtained under these assumptions is $320,399 million. This number will be summed up to the enterprise value previously calculated in the first stage. In this sense, we are keeping all the assumptions made in the first stage; therefore, our new intrinsic value including the AR/VR products forecast is 116.34$ per share:Prepared by the authorThird stage: including the share buyback's effectIn this stage, we need to know what was the rate at which Apple makes its share buy-backs, so reviewing its past history in the last 9 years, we have the following:Prepared by the author, Apple's Annual reportWe consider the share buy-backs from 2013 to 2019 since there was a 4-to-1 split in 2020. Taking the average rate, Apple repurchases 5.5% of the outstanding shares of the previous year. Now, we will apply 5% for the next years projected to the year 2026:Prepared by the authorIn this stage, we take the enterprise value and divide it by the outstanding number of shares projected for the year 2026. Of course, Apple might keep reducing its number of outstanding shares beyond 2026, driving up even more the intrinsic value but we want to be conservative in our assumptions; thus, according to this model, the number of outstanding shares for 2027 onwards will be the same as 2026.The final intrinsic value including the projections of the AR/VR products and the share buy-back's effect is 150$ per share which is the average price at which Apple stock was trading in the last months.Challenges to the thesisSome of the assumptions that we've made might be broken, so that the intrinsic value could be lower than that we are expecting. For instance, if the annual rate of buy-backs falls from 5% to 3% keeping the other factors unchanged, the intrinsic value would drop from $150 to $135 per share. We don't know if Apple will keep the same rate or not, so I would consider a range between $135$ to $150 per share as the intrinsic value.A second factor would be a scenario in which the AR/VR products are not launched in 2023 delaying the propel to an unknown date. In that case, our intrinsic value would only incorporate the buy-backs and the projection of the current products for the next years. In this scenario, the Apple's intrinsic value would be around 125.82$ per share. Nevertheless, it is hard to imagine that Tim Cook would delay the launch of the AR/VR products since he said in September 2022:Not too long from today, people will wonder how they led a life without augmented reality, stressing the \"profound\" impact it will have on the not so distant future.This combined by the expectations of analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, strengthen the possibility of that important event for Apple in 2023 with a high probability.A third factor that could weak our thesis is related to the average price of the AR/VR products. The average price per unit for these products assumed in our calculation was $3,000. If the price was lower than expected keeping the other factors unchanged, the intrinsic value will be impacted:Prepared by the authorHowever, I cannot imagine a scenario in which the price per unit reaches $1,500 since we know that the segment targeted for Apple's products is the wealthier segment of the market; this is another reason why Apple has an strong pricing power since its products are well-demanded and its customers have high buying power.Another factor that could affect the valuation is the more restrictive monetary policy by the Fed in the next years. More interest rate hikes to control the inflation rates in the economy could affect the demand for Apple's products and services, so the revenue growth might be impacted. Nonetheless, the Apple's business model is very resilient since the main target of the company is the wealthier segment of the market. Most likely, the problem continues being the supply instead of the demand for Apple's products, and the launch of the new AR/VR products could be another interesting catalyzer to deliver more revenue growth, so I feel comfortable with the 3% of revenue growth for the next years.Finally, we are considering that the risk frequently mentioned on the news about the possibility that China could invade Taiwan is no significant. In Taiwan, Taiwan Semiconductors Manufacturing Company (TSM) is a critical Apple's provider of the 3nm-chips. However, there would be several negative implications for China, like beginning a war with the US, or the possibility that Taiwan or the US destroy all TSM's assets, making the invasion a failure. Apparently, Warren Buffett is also assigning a low probability for such event since he has recently invested in TSM.In a nutshell, taking all these scenarios, we could establish a range for the Apple's intrinsic value between 135$ and 150$ per share. The stock price has been moving around that range in the last months, so it is likely that the market is considering the launch of the AR/VR products and the share buy-back's effect. Apparently, the market is not considering the Apple car as part of the valuation of the company either.Strategy with Apple stockApple stock is a hold for those investors who have invested in the company several years ago. A new investor who is thinking of buying Apple stock could consider that the current price ranging between $130 and $150 per share is the fair price. I would start a position when the price is between $130 and $140 per share, increasing my position gradually if the stock falls below that range.Given the uncertainty related to the monetary policy from the FED, the war between Ukraine and Russia, the zero-COVID policy in China, a recession in 2023, and so on, the stock might drop below the range of the intrinsic value previously mentioned giving an opportunity to new investors. Being aware of which is Apple's fair value will enable us to know if we should start a position or not right now. If we consider the stock to be expensive, we would have the incentives to wait for a significant fall in the stock price that may never come since we are not making a proper calculation of the intrinsic value of the company.Final ThoughtsSome analysts state that Apple stock is overvalued using multiples, comparing them with other competitors, and encouraging investors to wait for a significant decline in Apple stock, a fall that may not come. We need to be aware of the limitations of only using multiples like P/E, EV/Sales, EV/EBITDA, EV/EBIT, etc. since these multiples assume almost the same quality among all the comparables without considering factors that are only intrinsic to each company.In addition, most of these analyses do not include neither the launch of the AR/VR products in 2023 and most importantly, nor the share buy-back's effect which is a regular practice of the Apple's management in the last 10 years to deliver more value to long-term investors.A critical factor behind all the assumptions we've made in this article is the management's capabilities to deliver the highest value to the shareholders; Tim Cook has done an amazing job in all these years, strengthening Apple's market position, the innovative culture inside the company, the brand's reputation, the efficiency in the supply chain management and the capital allocation.Apple is a compounder since it is able to reinvest its cash flows at high returns; this combined with its strong buybacks year by year ends up boosting the intrinsic value. So most likely the current intrinsic value ranging between $130 and $150 per share would be higher in the next years as the company keeps delivering more value to its clients and investors.Thanks to a solid and consistent long-term strategy, we feel confident making projections for Apple's future performance, getting an approximation of Apple's intrinsic value ranging between $135 and $150 per share. Therefore, there could be an interesting opportunity to buy Apple stock when the price drops below that range.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985611935,"gmtCreate":1667370263228,"gmtModify":1676537906653,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985611935","repostId":"1179075819","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179075819","pubTimestamp":1667367390,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1179075819?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-02 13:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179075819","media":"Barron's","summary":"The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. Th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. That is likely to include an interest-rate increase of 0.75 percentage points and a hawkish tone from Chairman Jerome Powell at his post-meeting press conference. Markets won’t get their much-anticipated all-clear signal from the Fed.</p><p>Futures markets are overwhelmingly pricing in a fed-funds rate target range of 3.75% to 4.00% after this week’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, which began on Tuesday. That would mean the sixth rate hike of 2022 and fourth-straight 0.75 percentage-point bump. The committee’s policy statement is out at 2 p.m. ET and Powell speaks at 2:30 p.m. ET.</p><p>There is reason to believe the Fed is much closer to the end of its hiking cycle than the beginning. Just don’t expect Powell to say as much.</p><p>“The Fed’s best hand is to hike [0.75 percentage point] and otherwise zip it,” writes Richard Farr, chief market strategist at Merion Capital Group.</p><p>Several indicators of economic activity have slowed over the past year, particularly in interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy such as housing. Economies abroad are in tougher shape. The labor market is a key holdout in the U.S.: The unemployment rate is at 3.5% and jobs and wages are still growing. The so-called wage-price spiral is helping to keep core inflation uncomfortably high, up 8.2% in the year through September.</p><p>Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a peak, or terminal, rate of 5.00% to 5.25% sometime in the first half of 2023, then a decline by the end of next year. Investors and traders have been fixated lately on the prospects of a “Fed pivot,” or the moment when the central bank moves its stance from tightening to loosening policy, or at least pausing hikes and holding rates steady for some time.</p><p>All fall long, risk assets have rallied in unison on days when the collective mood leaned toward a closer pivot, and sold off on the reverse days. Part of the Fed’s dilemma is that monetary policy works with “long and variable lags,” in the words of Milton Friedman. That means that it will take time for higher interest rates to affect the real economy and damp inflation, and it might make sense to slow or stop rate hikes before inflation is anywhere near a comfortable level.</p><p>A sign that FOMC members see a looming end to rate hikes could come in the policy statement. Watch for an alternation or removal of the line from the prior statement that says the committee “anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate.”</p><p>“They are working hard to ensure that inflationary psychology is routed,” writes John Vail, chief global strategist at Nikko Asset Management. “Not just one negative data point, but a string of such over a period of months is required for a change in the Fed stance from its current data-dependent, but generally hawkish bias, to something a bit more neutral.”</p><p>Any indication of such a shift in Fed policy will be interpreted by the market as dovish, prompting rallies in stocks and bonds. A bond rally would push down yields and make financial conditions easier, working against the Fed’s tightening and inflation fight.</p><p>So, expect Powell to remain hawkish in his remarks on Wednesday, even if the chairman believes that a pivot or pause may soon be warranted.</p><p>“The problem is the moment he relinquishes this hawkish stance—the moment he utters anything remotely resembling a dovish word—is the moment financial conditions ease far more than what we’ve seen over the last few weeks,” writes RBC Capital Markets chief U.S. economist Tom Porcelli. “As much as we think this hiking cycle is virtually over and should be over, we just don’t see how there is any incentive for him to suggest as much right now given the financial conditions consideration.”</p><p>The opposite risk of over-tightening also exists. Inflation needs to come down, and it may cost a recession to get there. The longer the Fed keeps rates higher, the lower the return investors can expect from many asset classes.</p><p>Officials will get a look at two months of employment and Consumer Price Index readings before the FOMC next meets in December. Those could go a long way toward determining the details of the central bank’s next moves. For now, however, the message will remain “we still have work to do.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-02 13:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/the-feds-next-big-rate-hike-is-coming-why-powell-wont-say-the-end-is-near-51667341692?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. That is likely to include an interest-rate increase of 0.75 percentage points and a hawkish tone from ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/the-feds-next-big-rate-hike-is-coming-why-powell-wont-say-the-end-is-near-51667341692?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/the-feds-next-big-rate-hike-is-coming-why-powell-wont-say-the-end-is-near-51667341692?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179075819","content_text":"The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. That is likely to include an interest-rate increase of 0.75 percentage points and a hawkish tone from Chairman Jerome Powell at his post-meeting press conference. Markets won’t get their much-anticipated all-clear signal from the Fed.Futures markets are overwhelmingly pricing in a fed-funds rate target range of 3.75% to 4.00% after this week’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, which began on Tuesday. That would mean the sixth rate hike of 2022 and fourth-straight 0.75 percentage-point bump. The committee’s policy statement is out at 2 p.m. ET and Powell speaks at 2:30 p.m. ET.There is reason to believe the Fed is much closer to the end of its hiking cycle than the beginning. Just don’t expect Powell to say as much.“The Fed’s best hand is to hike [0.75 percentage point] and otherwise zip it,” writes Richard Farr, chief market strategist at Merion Capital Group.Several indicators of economic activity have slowed over the past year, particularly in interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy such as housing. Economies abroad are in tougher shape. The labor market is a key holdout in the U.S.: The unemployment rate is at 3.5% and jobs and wages are still growing. The so-called wage-price spiral is helping to keep core inflation uncomfortably high, up 8.2% in the year through September.Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a peak, or terminal, rate of 5.00% to 5.25% sometime in the first half of 2023, then a decline by the end of next year. Investors and traders have been fixated lately on the prospects of a “Fed pivot,” or the moment when the central bank moves its stance from tightening to loosening policy, or at least pausing hikes and holding rates steady for some time.All fall long, risk assets have rallied in unison on days when the collective mood leaned toward a closer pivot, and sold off on the reverse days. Part of the Fed’s dilemma is that monetary policy works with “long and variable lags,” in the words of Milton Friedman. That means that it will take time for higher interest rates to affect the real economy and damp inflation, and it might make sense to slow or stop rate hikes before inflation is anywhere near a comfortable level.A sign that FOMC members see a looming end to rate hikes could come in the policy statement. Watch for an alternation or removal of the line from the prior statement that says the committee “anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate.”“They are working hard to ensure that inflationary psychology is routed,” writes John Vail, chief global strategist at Nikko Asset Management. “Not just one negative data point, but a string of such over a period of months is required for a change in the Fed stance from its current data-dependent, but generally hawkish bias, to something a bit more neutral.”Any indication of such a shift in Fed policy will be interpreted by the market as dovish, prompting rallies in stocks and bonds. A bond rally would push down yields and make financial conditions easier, working against the Fed’s tightening and inflation fight.So, expect Powell to remain hawkish in his remarks on Wednesday, even if the chairman believes that a pivot or pause may soon be warranted.“The problem is the moment he relinquishes this hawkish stance—the moment he utters anything remotely resembling a dovish word—is the moment financial conditions ease far more than what we’ve seen over the last few weeks,” writes RBC Capital Markets chief U.S. economist Tom Porcelli. “As much as we think this hiking cycle is virtually over and should be over, we just don’t see how there is any incentive for him to suggest as much right now given the financial conditions consideration.”The opposite risk of over-tightening also exists. Inflation needs to come down, and it may cost a recession to get there. The longer the Fed keeps rates higher, the lower the return investors can expect from many asset classes.Officials will get a look at two months of employment and Consumer Price Index readings before the FOMC next meets in December. Those could go a long way toward determining the details of the central bank’s next moves. For now, however, the message will remain “we still have work to do.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9013597263,"gmtCreate":1648742634058,"gmtModify":1676534390000,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9013597263","repostId":"1182000136","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182000136","pubTimestamp":1648740552,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1182000136?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-31 23:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks Set for First Losing Quarter in Two Years: Markets Wrap","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182000136","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"S&P 500 declines, Treasuries pare losses as oil prices fallPutin says gas exports will halt if ruble","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>S&amp;P 500 declines, Treasuries pare losses as oil prices fall</li><li>Putin says gas exports will halt if ruble payments not made</li></ul><p>U.S. stocks stumbled toward the first losing quarter since the pandemic bear market while Treasuries pared the worst losses in at least five decades. Oil slumped, but held above $100 a barrel in New York.</p><p>Moves in most financial markets were muted on the final day of a quarter that brought the twin threats of hawkish central banks bent on tamping down runaway inflation and the war in Ukraine. The S&amp;P 500 edged lower, taking its loss in the three months to 3.6%, the most since March 2020. The two-year Treasury yield was steady after its 150 basis-point surge that is the most since 1984. Ten-year rates slipped, narrowing the spread to shorter tenors, as investors remain on edge over the threat a restrictive Federal Reserve will cause a recession.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a411aebae77dba86342c2d808e747fa\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Stocks, sovereign bonds and corporate credit all got hammered in the year’s first months amid concerns about a growth slowdown as central banks move to tackle inflation by withdrawing stimulus. Investors who piled into commodities fared best, riding massive gains in everything from oil to nickel and wheat. Yet the increases have exacerbated price concerns and may lead to a sharper response from central banks.</p><p>“The recent rally has masked a lot of pain over the past three months,” wrote Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co.</p><p>A decline Thursday would mark the S&amp;P 500’s 35th down day this year, the greatest number of first-quarter drawdowns since 1984, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.</p><p>Oil slid as the U.S. said it will release roughly a million barrels of oil a day from its reserves for six months, reversing an earlier price rebound ahead of an OPEC+ supply meeting. Meanwhile, stocks fell as U.S. inflation-adjusted spending declined last month as prices tempered demand.</p><p>Brent and West Texas Intermediate prices dropped about 4%, and European natural gas fell as Russia said it would halt gas contracts if buyers don’t pay in rubles.</p><p>“Aside from quarter-end considerations, oil is very much the center of attention,” Simon Ballard, chief economist at First Abu Dhabi Bank, wrote in a note to investors. Still, “all the usual suspects are still in play, keeping the market in check, including the specter of the Fed pursuing an aggressive path of monetary policy normalization over the coming months.”</p><p>Markets now see a strong chance the Federal Reserve will lift rates by a half point at its May meeting. The U.S. 2-year yield briefly exceeded the 10-year for the first time since 2019 on Tuesday, inverting yet another segment of the Treasury curve and reinforcing the view that Fed rate increases may cause a recession.</p><p>“This week’s brief inversion in the U.S. bond market, combined with elevated volatility on Treasury options, is a warning that the risk of U.S. recession should not be ignored,” wrote Lewis Grant, a senior portfolio manager at Federated Hermes. “U.S. bond markets are showing signs of stress. This is not mirrored in equities, where the VIX remains subdued and U.S. indexes trade above their pre-war levels. The bond market would appear to have a better handle on the potential risks.”</p><p>Some key events to watch this week:</p><ul><li>U.S. jobs report, Friday</li></ul><p>Some of the main moves in markets:</p><p><b>Stocks</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 fell 0.1% as of 11:13 a.m. New York time</li><li>The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.2%</li><li>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.3%</li><li>The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.7%</li><li>The MSCI World index fell 0.4%</li></ul><p><b>Currencies</b></p><ul><li>The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed</li><li>The euro fell 0.4% to $1.1116</li><li>The British pound rose 0.2% to $1.3161</li><li>The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 121.42 per dollar</li></ul><p><b>Bonds</b></p><ul><li>The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined two basis points to 2.33%</li><li>Germany’s 10-year yield declined 10 basis points to 0.54%</li><li>Britain’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to 1.62%</li></ul><p><b>Commodities</b></p><ul><li>West Texas Intermediate crude fell 4.2% to $103.32 a barrel</li><li>Gold futures rose 0.4% to $1,946.10 an ounce</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks Set for First Losing Quarter in Two Years: Markets Wrap</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks Set for First Losing Quarter in Two Years: Markets Wrap\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-31 23:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-30/asia-stocks-set-for-cautious-start-on-war-concern-markets-wrap><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>S&P 500 declines, Treasuries pare losses as oil prices fallPutin says gas exports will halt if ruble payments not madeU.S. stocks stumbled toward the first losing quarter since the pandemic bear ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-30/asia-stocks-set-for-cautious-start-on-war-concern-markets-wrap\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DIA":"道琼斯ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-30/asia-stocks-set-for-cautious-start-on-war-concern-markets-wrap","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182000136","content_text":"S&P 500 declines, Treasuries pare losses as oil prices fallPutin says gas exports will halt if ruble payments not madeU.S. stocks stumbled toward the first losing quarter since the pandemic bear market while Treasuries pared the worst losses in at least five decades. Oil slumped, but held above $100 a barrel in New York.Moves in most financial markets were muted on the final day of a quarter that brought the twin threats of hawkish central banks bent on tamping down runaway inflation and the war in Ukraine. The S&P 500 edged lower, taking its loss in the three months to 3.6%, the most since March 2020. The two-year Treasury yield was steady after its 150 basis-point surge that is the most since 1984. Ten-year rates slipped, narrowing the spread to shorter tenors, as investors remain on edge over the threat a restrictive Federal Reserve will cause a recession.Stocks, sovereign bonds and corporate credit all got hammered in the year’s first months amid concerns about a growth slowdown as central banks move to tackle inflation by withdrawing stimulus. Investors who piled into commodities fared best, riding massive gains in everything from oil to nickel and wheat. Yet the increases have exacerbated price concerns and may lead to a sharper response from central banks.“The recent rally has masked a lot of pain over the past three months,” wrote Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co.A decline Thursday would mark the S&P 500’s 35th down day this year, the greatest number of first-quarter drawdowns since 1984, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.Oil slid as the U.S. said it will release roughly a million barrels of oil a day from its reserves for six months, reversing an earlier price rebound ahead of an OPEC+ supply meeting. Meanwhile, stocks fell as U.S. inflation-adjusted spending declined last month as prices tempered demand.Brent and West Texas Intermediate prices dropped about 4%, and European natural gas fell as Russia said it would halt gas contracts if buyers don’t pay in rubles.“Aside from quarter-end considerations, oil is very much the center of attention,” Simon Ballard, chief economist at First Abu Dhabi Bank, wrote in a note to investors. Still, “all the usual suspects are still in play, keeping the market in check, including the specter of the Fed pursuing an aggressive path of monetary policy normalization over the coming months.”Markets now see a strong chance the Federal Reserve will lift rates by a half point at its May meeting. The U.S. 2-year yield briefly exceeded the 10-year for the first time since 2019 on Tuesday, inverting yet another segment of the Treasury curve and reinforcing the view that Fed rate increases may cause a recession.“This week’s brief inversion in the U.S. bond market, combined with elevated volatility on Treasury options, is a warning that the risk of U.S. recession should not be ignored,” wrote Lewis Grant, a senior portfolio manager at Federated Hermes. “U.S. bond markets are showing signs of stress. This is not mirrored in equities, where the VIX remains subdued and U.S. indexes trade above their pre-war levels. The bond market would appear to have a better handle on the potential risks.”Some key events to watch this week:U.S. jobs report, FridaySome of the main moves in markets:StocksThe S&P 500 fell 0.1% as of 11:13 a.m. New York timeThe Nasdaq 100 fell 0.2%The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.3%The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.7%The MSCI World index fell 0.4%CurrenciesThe Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changedThe euro fell 0.4% to $1.1116The British pound rose 0.2% to $1.3161The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 121.42 per dollarBondsThe yield on 10-year Treasuries declined two basis points to 2.33%Germany’s 10-year yield declined 10 basis points to 0.54%Britain’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to 1.62%CommoditiesWest Texas Intermediate crude fell 4.2% to $103.32 a barrelGold futures rose 0.4% to $1,946.10 an ounce","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817494763,"gmtCreate":1630979072752,"gmtModify":1676530432812,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/817494763","repostId":"1171873960","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171873960","pubTimestamp":1630978645,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171873960?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-07 09:37","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong: Stocks begin day on positive note","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171873960","media":"AFP","summary":"Hong Kong stocks opened slightly higher Tuesday morning, extending a general advance in recent weeks","content":"<p>Hong Kong stocks opened slightly higher Tuesday morning, extending a general advance in recent weeks fuelled by recovery hopes and easing concerns about China's regulatory crackdown.</p>\n<p>The Hang Seng Index added 0.17 per cent or 43.59 points to 26,207.22.</p>\n<p>The Shanghai Composite was flat, inching 0.15 point lower to 3,621.71, while the Shenzhen Composite Index on China's second exchange was also hardly moved, ticking down 0.55 point to 2,462.81.</p>","source":"lsy1605843958005","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong: Stocks begin day on positive note</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong: Stocks begin day on positive note\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-07 09:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/hong-kong-stocks-begin-day-on-positive-note><strong>AFP</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hong Kong stocks opened slightly higher Tuesday morning, extending a general advance in recent weeks fuelled by recovery hopes and easing concerns about China's regulatory crackdown.\nThe Hang Seng ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/hong-kong-stocks-begin-day-on-positive-note\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSCEI":"国企指数","HSCCI":"红筹指数","HSI":"恒生指数","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数"},"source_url":"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/hong-kong-stocks-begin-day-on-positive-note","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171873960","content_text":"Hong Kong stocks opened slightly higher Tuesday morning, extending a general advance in recent weeks fuelled by recovery hopes and easing concerns about China's regulatory crackdown.\nThe Hang Seng Index added 0.17 per cent or 43.59 points to 26,207.22.\nThe Shanghai Composite was flat, inching 0.15 point lower to 3,621.71, while the Shenzhen Composite Index on China's second exchange was also hardly moved, ticking down 0.55 point to 2,462.81.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9039590789,"gmtCreate":1646067436690,"gmtModify":1676534087372,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039590789","repostId":"1132135264","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132135264","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1646059871,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1132135264?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-28 22:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited Shares Gained Nearly 5% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132135264","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Sea Limited shares gained nearly 5% in morning trading.Sea Limited is set to release fourth-quarter ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Sea Limited shares gained nearly 5% in morning trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e4e89729abc3b35ab18cd8bb0bcdc2e\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Sea Limited</b> is set to release fourth-quarter 2021 results on Mar 1.</p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for loss has widened by 3 cents to 94 cents per share over the past 30 days. Sea Limited reported a loss of 87 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is currently pegged at $2.97 billion, indicating 47.96% growth from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.</p><p>The company’s earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the trailing four quarters, the negative earnings surprise being 56.04%.</p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up before this announcement.</p><p><b>Factors at Play for Q4 Results</b></p><p>Sea Limited&#39;s digital entertainment (Garena) and e-commerce businesses are expected to continue to capitalize on changing consumer behavior in the fourth quarter.</p><p>Garena is likely to have benefited from the continued popularity of Free Fireamid stiff competition from<b>Tencent</b>TCEHY.</p><p>Per SensorTowerdata, in google play, Free Firewas the second most revenue-generating game worldwide in December 2021, beating Tencent&#39;s PUBG Mobile. Free Fire was also the highest-grossing game in October 2021.</p><p>The company&#39;s e-commerce segment is likely to have gained traction from a strong uptick in Shopee, its online shopping platform. Additionally, SeaMoney&#39;s strengthening integration with Shopee is expected to have aided Sea&#39;s digital financial services business.</p><p>Higher expenses related to the expansion of e-commerce services and continued efforts to integrate the company&#39;s mobile wallet services with the Shopee platform across different markets are expected to have negatively impacted profitability in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><b>What Our Model Indicates</b></p><p>Per the Zacks model, the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that&#39;s not the case here.</p><p>Sea Limited has an Earnings ESP of -6.95% and a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they&#39;re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited Shares Gained Nearly 5% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited Shares Gained Nearly 5% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-28 22:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Sea Limited shares gained nearly 5% in morning trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e4e89729abc3b35ab18cd8bb0bcdc2e\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Sea Limited</b> is set to release fourth-quarter 2021 results on Mar 1.</p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for loss has widened by 3 cents to 94 cents per share over the past 30 days. Sea Limited reported a loss of 87 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is currently pegged at $2.97 billion, indicating 47.96% growth from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.</p><p>The company’s earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the trailing four quarters, the negative earnings surprise being 56.04%.</p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up before this announcement.</p><p><b>Factors at Play for Q4 Results</b></p><p>Sea Limited&#39;s digital entertainment (Garena) and e-commerce businesses are expected to continue to capitalize on changing consumer behavior in the fourth quarter.</p><p>Garena is likely to have benefited from the continued popularity of Free Fireamid stiff competition from<b>Tencent</b>TCEHY.</p><p>Per SensorTowerdata, in google play, Free Firewas the second most revenue-generating game worldwide in December 2021, beating Tencent&#39;s PUBG Mobile. Free Fire was also the highest-grossing game in October 2021.</p><p>The company&#39;s e-commerce segment is likely to have gained traction from a strong uptick in Shopee, its online shopping platform. Additionally, SeaMoney&#39;s strengthening integration with Shopee is expected to have aided Sea&#39;s digital financial services business.</p><p>Higher expenses related to the expansion of e-commerce services and continued efforts to integrate the company&#39;s mobile wallet services with the Shopee platform across different markets are expected to have negatively impacted profitability in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><b>What Our Model Indicates</b></p><p>Per the Zacks model, the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that&#39;s not the case here.</p><p>Sea Limited has an Earnings ESP of -6.95% and a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they&#39;re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132135264","content_text":"Sea Limited shares gained nearly 5% in morning trading.Sea Limited is set to release fourth-quarter 2021 results on Mar 1.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for loss has widened by 3 cents to 94 cents per share over the past 30 days. Sea Limited reported a loss of 87 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.The consensus mark for revenues is currently pegged at $2.97 billion, indicating 47.96% growth from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.The company’s earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the trailing four quarters, the negative earnings surprise being 56.04%.Let’s see how things have shaped up before this announcement.Factors at Play for Q4 ResultsSea Limited's digital entertainment (Garena) and e-commerce businesses are expected to continue to capitalize on changing consumer behavior in the fourth quarter.Garena is likely to have benefited from the continued popularity of Free Fireamid stiff competition fromTencentTCEHY.Per SensorTowerdata, in google play, Free Firewas the second most revenue-generating game worldwide in December 2021, beating Tencent's PUBG Mobile. Free Fire was also the highest-grossing game in October 2021.The company's e-commerce segment is likely to have gained traction from a strong uptick in Shopee, its online shopping platform. Additionally, SeaMoney's strengthening integration with Shopee is expected to have aided Sea's digital financial services business.Higher expenses related to the expansion of e-commerce services and continued efforts to integrate the company's mobile wallet services with the Shopee platform across different markets are expected to have negatively impacted profitability in the to-be-reported quarter.What Our Model IndicatesPer the Zacks model, the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that's not the case here.Sea Limited has an Earnings ESP of -6.95% and a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they're reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":28,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836717140,"gmtCreate":1629523596380,"gmtModify":1676530065599,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/836717140","repostId":"2161745179","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2161745179","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1629500040,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2161745179?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-21 06:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pfizer, BioNTech stocks rises on report FDA could fully approve COVID-19 vaccine","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2161745179","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Pfizer Inc. $(PFE)$ and U.S. shares of BioNTech SE (BNTX) rose in the extended session Friday follow","content":"<p>Pfizer Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a> and U.S. shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a> (BNTX) rose in the extended session Friday following a report that the drug makers will likely get full Food and Drug Administration approval for their COVID-19 vaccine sometime next week. Pfizer shares rose more than 2% after hours, following a 0.2% decline to close at $48.72, and BioNTech's ADRs rallied more than 5%, following a 5.1% gain to close at $348.68. Late Friday, The New York Times reported targeting the delta variant of the virus.</p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pfizer, BioNTech stocks rises on report FDA could fully approve COVID-19 vaccine</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPfizer, BioNTech stocks rises on report FDA could fully approve COVID-19 vaccine\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-21 06:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Pfizer Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a> and U.S. shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a> (BNTX) rose in the extended session Friday following a report that the drug makers will likely get full Food and Drug Administration approval for their COVID-19 vaccine sometime next week. Pfizer shares rose more than 2% after hours, following a 0.2% decline to close at $48.72, and BioNTech's ADRs rallied more than 5%, following a 5.1% gain to close at $348.68. Late Friday, The New York Times reported targeting the delta variant of the virus.</p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2161745179","content_text":"Pfizer Inc. $(PFE)$ and U.S. shares of BioNTech SE (BNTX) rose in the extended session Friday following a report that the drug makers will likely get full Food and Drug Administration approval for their COVID-19 vaccine sometime next week. Pfizer shares rose more than 2% after hours, following a 0.2% decline to close at $48.72, and BioNTech's ADRs rallied more than 5%, following a 5.1% gain to close at $348.68. Late Friday, The New York Times reported targeting the delta variant of the virus.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920095202,"gmtCreate":1670388568307,"gmtModify":1676538358584,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920095202","repostId":"1122736605","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122736605","pubTimestamp":1670383031,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122736605?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-07 11:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO And BYD Are Converging","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122736605","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNIO Inc. and BYD Company Limited are essentially tales of their own, with one being an EV-pur","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>NIO Inc. and BYD Company Limited are essentially tales of their own, with one being an EV-pureplay upstart, and the other a legacy ICE-turned-electric automaker with dibs across the auto supply chain.</li><li>Yet, their paths may be converging as China&#39;s EV market opportunities grow.</li><li>The following analysis will provide an overview of how NIO and BYD&#39;s longer-term growth strategies are converging, discuss the risks and opportunities facing each, and gauge their respective valuation implications.</li></ul><p>While <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and BYD Company Limited both started off on a different path when it comes to auto manufacturing, with one being an electric vehicle (“EV”) pureplay start-up and the other being a vertically integrated ICE-turned-electric legacy automaker, they now appear to be converging into each other’s turf as competition ramps up. Not long after NIO announced its intentions to break into the tier 3+ market across China to better serve mass market needs, BYD followed suit with two planned sub-brands to penetrate the premium electric passenger vehicle market.</p><p>Admittedly, BYD’s market share is substantially larger than NIO’s today – both at home and overseas – while also boasting better fundamentals, which would be supportive of its foray in the premium vehicle segment. Yet, NIO’s penetration into mass-market opportunities could also benefit by driving the volume of scale needed to support its breakeven timeline, which consensus projects to occur by or around mid-decade, while management expects to occur as soon as the third quarter of 2023.</p><p>The following analysis will go over both Chinese automakers’ respective market share expansion strategies via their planned sub-brands, and gauge the opportunity that exists for both as well as their implications on both stocks’ prospects.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO</a></h2><h3>Overview Of Sub-Brand Strategy</h3><p>NIO first announced plans for a mass market sub-brand in August 2021, which aligned with its longer-term strategy of building a greater presence in China’s smaller tier 3+ cities and further expand its share of the country’s fast-expanding EV market.</p><blockquote>As management had discussed during the second quarter, the sub-brand will aim to offer more affordably priced vehicles to drive higher mass-market appeal. The strategic move is expected to help NIO compete for higher market share, especially in the price segment of Tesla’s (TSLA) Model Y/3, while providing “much better service.” <i>Source: “Can NIO Stock Recover in 2022?”</i></blockquote><p>The sub-brand, currently expected to launch in 2024, is also expected to be more competitively priced, with vehicle MSRPs in the range of RMB 200,000 ($30,000) to RMB 300,000 ($44,000), taking on a broader cohort of mass market rivals including BYD. The sub-brand’s launch timeline also coincides with the start of production schedule for NIO’s first in-house 800-V battery packs, which would “enable longer ranges and faster charging” compared to general mass market offerings that are currently fitted with 400-V battery packs. NIO also boasts a competitive digital portfolio today that includes in-vehicle AI “NOMI,” “NAD” ADAS, and battery swapping technology that will likely be leveraged by its sub-brands either as an embedded or add-on feature to bolster profit margins. Paired with NIO’s recently launched NT 2.0 vehicle platform, which boasts higher profit margins than its predecessor, the company’s sub-brand products are likely well-positioned for attractive manufacturing economics, while also posing a technological appeal to the burgeoning EV market in China.</p><p>NIO likely has another sub-brand under the wraps as well that is speculated to involve offerings starting at RMB 100,000 ($15,000). This would put it in direct competition against SAIC-GM-Wuling, the current EV market leader in China that has captured the likes of budget-sensitive consumers in the tier 3+ markets with its “Hongguang Mini” priced at an impressive $5,000, and its newest “Baojun KiWi” priced at $11,000.</p><h3>The Opportunity</h3><p>China currently houses the largest share of the global EV market, accounting for more than half of global EV sales. EV sales in the country has already reached a penetration rate of more than 20% (or more than a quarter counting hybrid plug-ins), with adoption being most prominent in more affluent tier 1 and tier 2 cities like Shanghai and Beijing. The trends have favored NIO in recent years, as its share of premium EV sales across the tier 1 and tier 2 cities like Shanghai have steadily grown – as of last year, the company’s portfolio of electric premium SUVs grabbed a 23% share of the passenger vehicle market priced above RMB 350,000 ($50,000+) in China’s financial hub. With an expectation that consistent growth trends would spill into tier 3 and tier 4 cities over the longer-term, NIO management has made mass market penetration a key initiative in its growth plan, hence the planned sub-brands.</p><p>Thanks to favorable policy support from the central government, as well as improving range and increasing availability of public charging infrastructure across China, EV sales in the country are starting to gain momentum &#34;beyond the biggest cities.” Over the past two years, tier 2 and tier 3 cities saw the fastest growth in EV sales, from about 4.5% penetration in 2020 to more than 25% in the current year. Meanwhile, demand from tier 4+ cities with a population ranging from 500,000 to under 1 million have also started to pick-up, with EV sales penetration expanding from under 3.5% in 2020 to nearly 20% in the current year.</p><p>The remaining growth headroom observed pertaining to EV demand in tier 3+ cities are expected to bode favorably for NIO by the time its sub-brand rolls out in 2024. Between now and then, public charging infrastructure availability is expected to become more prominent in “smaller cities and towns” while “city-level policies that restrict the number of new license plates issues” start to ease in accordance to the nationwide mandate to support EV adoption and decarbonization, which would make strong tailwinds for NIO’s planned mass market offerings.</p><h3>Risks To Consider</h3><p>Yet, the Chinese EV landscape is also becoming increasingly competitive. And NIO is not the only EV pureplay looking to better capture global market share by expanding into mass market offerings. In addition to BYD and SAIC-GM-Wuling as mentioned in the earlier section, EV pureplay rivals like XPeng (XPEV) have also introduced models in the sub-$30,000 price range, while Tesla’s Model 3 remains a favorite with increasingly attractive pricing.</p><p>As discussed in a previous coverage on NIO, the company risks facing a pricing war in the near-term as competition ramps up, especially as consumer sentiment in the country wanes ahead of mounting macroeconomic uncertainties:</p><blockquote>Despite NIO’s in line 3Q22 sales, the drumbeat is growing louder on concerns over consumer weakness heading into the fourth quarter. COVID-induced mobility restrictions and production disruptions are hampering both supply and demand functions of the company’s profit and growth prospects, souring investors’ confidence in the stock. EV industry leader Tesla’s recent decision to pull the “pricing lever” in the region is also dialing up risks of a pricing war in China’s increasingly competitive EV market. <i>Source: “Is NIO Stock A Buy After Q3’22 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On COVID Zero.”</i></blockquote><p>But the delayed roll-out of NIO’s mass market offering until 2024 could offer a time cushion for the company to better weather through the near-term industry-specific and macroeconomic headwinds. For one, supply chain constraints stemming from the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war – particularly on auto semiconductors – are already showing structural signs of easing. Meanwhile, China’s record-setting household savings of $1.8 trillion YTD, or household savings rate of 30%, accumulated as a pre-emptive measure against looming macroeconomic uncertainties today could also imply a better demand environment in 2024 when cyclical challenges ease. As such, the launch of NIO’s sub-brands scheduled for 2024 could come at an opportune time when the global macroeconomic outlook is expected to improve while the transition to electric continues to gain momentum, offsetting some of the demand risks stemming from increasing competition.</p><h2>Fundamental And Valuation Implications</h2><p>The anticipated growth prospects stemming from NIO’s penetration in mass market opportunities with its planned sub-brands are not going to come at a cheap price. Auto manufacturing is one of the most capital-intensive endeavors out there – especially for those that are vertically integrated.</p><p>Yet, NIO’s “semi-vertically integrated” manufacturing strategy, which involves in-house designed platforms (and ultimately, battery packs) and internal productions at its joint venture facility with Jianghuai Automobile Group (“JAC”) and partly municipal-owned facility at NeoPark, is expected to absorb some of the high ramp-up costs. The anticipated increase in demand for its mass market products is also expected to drive improved volumes to enable better economies of scale, especially if the company adopts a cross-brand platform-sharing strategy, which will likely fast-track its margin expansion trajectory towards and beyond breakeven by mid-decade.</p><p>However, given materialization of said anticipated profits bolstered by NIO’s mass market penetration strategy is still further out into the future, related upside potential may take more time to come into fruition, which inadvertently, means a higher investment risk. This is a particularly critical consideration in today’s market climate for Chinese equities, especially those that are not yet profitable like NIO, given uncertainties spanning regulatory, macroeconomic, and geopolitical challenges.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">BYD</a></h2><h3>Overview Of Sub-Brand Strategy</h3><p>Differing from NIO, BYD is already an established automaker with a sprawling presence across China’s passenger vehicle market (and to a smaller extent, the global commercial vehicle market). Having just transitioned completely from the sale of ICE models to only new energy vehicles including hybrid plug-ins earlier this year, BYD has already taken China’s EV market by storm, with monthly sales by unit consistently exceeding six figures and setting new records. It is also one of the few legacy automakers that have managed to penetrate the burgeoning EV market at a profitable rate within a short period.</p><p>Known for its prowess in the mass market vehicle segment, the legacy Chinese automaker is now planning its debut in the premium EV segment in early 2023 via its first sub-brand, “Yangwang” – a contrast to NIO’s longer-term growth strategy. The automaker is slated to debut a premium off-road electric SUV, dubbed the “R1,” as its first product under the Yangwang sub-brand, which will be priced in the RMB 800,000 to RMB 1.5 million range ($110,300 to $200,000+). Similar to BYD’s current new energy offerings, the Yangwang R1 will be offered in a battery-electric (“BEV”) powertrain and plug-in hybrid (“PHEV”) power-train capable of up to 650 hp, with a five- and seven-seater option, and be the “most expensive BYD ever.”</p><p>The company has also recently announced intentions of another new brand that “specializes in professional and personalized identifies” as it looks to “build up its brand matrix” and better penetrate overseas opportunities across Asia, Europe, Latin America and other markets. Although details on the second sub-brand remain limited, it will likely complement Yangwang and help usher BYD into China’s “luxury SUV and sports car markets…[which] are the two most profitable vehicle segments [that it] does not have exposure to” yet. Given BYD is already profitable, the higher-priced premium offerings will likely further reinforce its margin expansion trajectory into the longer-term, and bolster its competitive advantage against premium rivals in the market.</p><h3>The Opportunity</h3><p>While EV penetration in the more affluent tier 1 and tier 2 cities across China is substantially higher than in smaller cities where lower-priced mass market offerings take a precedent appeal, there is still significant growth headroom remaining in the premium EV segment for BYD. As mentioned in the earlier section, EV penetration in Shanghai already exceeds 50%, while in the broader tier 1 and tier 2 cities it averages more than 36%. Plug-in hybrid SUVs are also of greater appeal, accounting for close to a quarter of China’s new passenger vehicle sales today, while remaining the fastest-growing EV segment, which makes strong tailwinds for BYD’s upcoming Yangwang R1 debut (recall that the R1 comes in both the BEV and PHEV powertrain).</p><p>Market participants also anticipate BYD’s upcoming sub-brands to produce “the kind of EVs fit for the U.S., a market BYD has yet to enter.” This fits with BYD’s overseas aspirations for its passenger EV business over the longer-term, and would be a favorable complement to its existing presence in North America via its commercial EV sales. The U.S. EV market is expected to see a meaningful increase in adoption rates over coming years, thanks to favorable policy support like the latest “Inflation Reduction Act” (“IRA”), as well as broader improvements to EV battery technologies and range capabilities. Specifically, U.S. EV demand is expected to expand at a five-year CAGR of 28% through 2026, with further acceleration into the second half of the decade. Paired with a similar growth outlook in Canada (though at a comparatively nominal volume on a unit basis), Yangwang and other sub-brand offerings could potentially become an overseas share gainer for BYD.</p><h3>Risks To Consider</h3><p>While competition comes to mind as a top risk for automakers, BYD’s reputation as a quality mass market vehicle manufacturer could alleviate some of the said challenges. This is further corroborated by BYD’s pricing power with continued market share gains despite a recent decision to increase its vehicle MSRPs, as opposed to price cuts implemented by Tesla in an attempt to shore up demand.</p><p>Instead, a key concern is BYD’s lack of presence in cutting-edge technological competencies, which premium EVs offered by NIO and Tesla tend to use as key selling points:</p><blockquote>What BYD lacks that others have is more of a digital DNA…BYD is still a hardware company. As good as it is assembling an EV profitably at scale, it hasn’t proven itself to be a tech-driven software-defined technology company. Source: Bloomberg</blockquote><p>While BYD intends for Yangwang to “build a high-end brand with disruptive technologies and products,” there has yet to be any details pertaining to the R1 that would differentiate the premium electric SUV from a digital aspect. Aside from potential ADAS features (which are pretty much standard across premium offerings at this point) speculated from BYD-released images that show the vehicle’s integration of LiDAR sensors, the company has yet to release much information about the vehicle’s performance, range capability, nor technological features. While BYD’s robust balance sheet could fund the development of software capabilities required for differentiation against competing premium offerings, relate innovations would take time to materialize, risking a costly catch-up game in the concentrated premium EV market.</p><h2>Fundamental And Valuation Implications</h2><p>In contrast to NIO, BYD is already a profitable company, with margins set for continued expansion as production ramps up on both its existing and upcoming vehicle models. And as mentioned in the earlier section, BYD’s upcoming foray in China’s premium electric SUV market would be beneficial to its bottom-line given said products would be priced higher to offset near-term ramp-up costs, with greater demand in the lucrative vehicle segment expected to support longer-term margin expansion through scale. With related operating cash flow generation realizable in the immediate term, BYD is also less vulnerable to the investment risks facing NIO as discussed in the earlier section.</p><p>The stock is currently trading at a significant discount of 1.4x forward EV/sales compared to an average of about 4.1x among U.S. counterparts and 1.7x among Chinese EV start-ups. Given its profitable growth prospects both within the immediate- and over the longer-term, BYD makes a reasonable investment at current levels. But like all Chinese equities, BYD faces a slew of risks specific to the cohort, including China’s macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., property slump, COVID Zero impacts, etc.) and regulatory challenges. Although BYD’s robust balance sheet has made its valuation relatively less vulnerable to the years-long selloff in Chinese equities, existing and potential investors in the stock should remain aware and not overlook said risks.</p><h2>Final Thoughts</h2><p>Based on the foregoing analysis on NIO and BYD’s longer-term market share expansion strategies, both legacy and start-up Chinese EV makers alike show favorable growth prospects as the global transition to electric continues. While converging strategies will likely introduce further competition within the already highly concentrated EV landscape in China, significant opportunities remain across all vehicle and pricing segments, underscoring the still-nascent nature of the EV industry.</p><p>With NIO being an EV upstart that has already established a reputation for making quality and innovative EVs, and BYD being a legacy automaker that has proven a profitable transition to electric is possible, both companies are well-positioned for further market share gains within and beyond the Chinese EV market. This would accordingly support favorable long-term upside potential for both stocks from current levels, especially BYD which boasts better immediate and future fundamental prospects, though macroeconomic, geopolitical, and regulatory risks will remain an overhang on their performance.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO And BYD Are Converging</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO And BYD Are Converging\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-07 11:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562669-nio-and-byd-are-converging><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNIO Inc. and BYD Company Limited are essentially tales of their own, with one being an EV-pureplay upstart, and the other a legacy ICE-turned-electric automaker with dibs across the auto supply...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562669-nio-and-byd-are-converging\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"002594":"比亚迪","NIO":"蔚来","BYDDY":"比亚迪ADR"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562669-nio-and-byd-are-converging","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122736605","content_text":"SummaryNIO Inc. and BYD Company Limited are essentially tales of their own, with one being an EV-pureplay upstart, and the other a legacy ICE-turned-electric automaker with dibs across the auto supply chain.Yet, their paths may be converging as China's EV market opportunities grow.The following analysis will provide an overview of how NIO and BYD's longer-term growth strategies are converging, discuss the risks and opportunities facing each, and gauge their respective valuation implications.While NIO Inc. and BYD Company Limited both started off on a different path when it comes to auto manufacturing, with one being an electric vehicle (“EV”) pureplay start-up and the other being a vertically integrated ICE-turned-electric legacy automaker, they now appear to be converging into each other’s turf as competition ramps up. Not long after NIO announced its intentions to break into the tier 3+ market across China to better serve mass market needs, BYD followed suit with two planned sub-brands to penetrate the premium electric passenger vehicle market.Admittedly, BYD’s market share is substantially larger than NIO’s today – both at home and overseas – while also boasting better fundamentals, which would be supportive of its foray in the premium vehicle segment. Yet, NIO’s penetration into mass-market opportunities could also benefit by driving the volume of scale needed to support its breakeven timeline, which consensus projects to occur by or around mid-decade, while management expects to occur as soon as the third quarter of 2023.The following analysis will go over both Chinese automakers’ respective market share expansion strategies via their planned sub-brands, and gauge the opportunity that exists for both as well as their implications on both stocks’ prospects.NIOOverview Of Sub-Brand StrategyNIO first announced plans for a mass market sub-brand in August 2021, which aligned with its longer-term strategy of building a greater presence in China’s smaller tier 3+ cities and further expand its share of the country’s fast-expanding EV market.As management had discussed during the second quarter, the sub-brand will aim to offer more affordably priced vehicles to drive higher mass-market appeal. The strategic move is expected to help NIO compete for higher market share, especially in the price segment of Tesla’s (TSLA) Model Y/3, while providing “much better service.” Source: “Can NIO Stock Recover in 2022?”The sub-brand, currently expected to launch in 2024, is also expected to be more competitively priced, with vehicle MSRPs in the range of RMB 200,000 ($30,000) to RMB 300,000 ($44,000), taking on a broader cohort of mass market rivals including BYD. The sub-brand’s launch timeline also coincides with the start of production schedule for NIO’s first in-house 800-V battery packs, which would “enable longer ranges and faster charging” compared to general mass market offerings that are currently fitted with 400-V battery packs. NIO also boasts a competitive digital portfolio today that includes in-vehicle AI “NOMI,” “NAD” ADAS, and battery swapping technology that will likely be leveraged by its sub-brands either as an embedded or add-on feature to bolster profit margins. Paired with NIO’s recently launched NT 2.0 vehicle platform, which boasts higher profit margins than its predecessor, the company’s sub-brand products are likely well-positioned for attractive manufacturing economics, while also posing a technological appeal to the burgeoning EV market in China.NIO likely has another sub-brand under the wraps as well that is speculated to involve offerings starting at RMB 100,000 ($15,000). This would put it in direct competition against SAIC-GM-Wuling, the current EV market leader in China that has captured the likes of budget-sensitive consumers in the tier 3+ markets with its “Hongguang Mini” priced at an impressive $5,000, and its newest “Baojun KiWi” priced at $11,000.The OpportunityChina currently houses the largest share of the global EV market, accounting for more than half of global EV sales. EV sales in the country has already reached a penetration rate of more than 20% (or more than a quarter counting hybrid plug-ins), with adoption being most prominent in more affluent tier 1 and tier 2 cities like Shanghai and Beijing. The trends have favored NIO in recent years, as its share of premium EV sales across the tier 1 and tier 2 cities like Shanghai have steadily grown – as of last year, the company’s portfolio of electric premium SUVs grabbed a 23% share of the passenger vehicle market priced above RMB 350,000 ($50,000+) in China’s financial hub. With an expectation that consistent growth trends would spill into tier 3 and tier 4 cities over the longer-term, NIO management has made mass market penetration a key initiative in its growth plan, hence the planned sub-brands.Thanks to favorable policy support from the central government, as well as improving range and increasing availability of public charging infrastructure across China, EV sales in the country are starting to gain momentum \"beyond the biggest cities.” Over the past two years, tier 2 and tier 3 cities saw the fastest growth in EV sales, from about 4.5% penetration in 2020 to more than 25% in the current year. Meanwhile, demand from tier 4+ cities with a population ranging from 500,000 to under 1 million have also started to pick-up, with EV sales penetration expanding from under 3.5% in 2020 to nearly 20% in the current year.The remaining growth headroom observed pertaining to EV demand in tier 3+ cities are expected to bode favorably for NIO by the time its sub-brand rolls out in 2024. Between now and then, public charging infrastructure availability is expected to become more prominent in “smaller cities and towns” while “city-level policies that restrict the number of new license plates issues” start to ease in accordance to the nationwide mandate to support EV adoption and decarbonization, which would make strong tailwinds for NIO’s planned mass market offerings.Risks To ConsiderYet, the Chinese EV landscape is also becoming increasingly competitive. And NIO is not the only EV pureplay looking to better capture global market share by expanding into mass market offerings. In addition to BYD and SAIC-GM-Wuling as mentioned in the earlier section, EV pureplay rivals like XPeng (XPEV) have also introduced models in the sub-$30,000 price range, while Tesla’s Model 3 remains a favorite with increasingly attractive pricing.As discussed in a previous coverage on NIO, the company risks facing a pricing war in the near-term as competition ramps up, especially as consumer sentiment in the country wanes ahead of mounting macroeconomic uncertainties:Despite NIO’s in line 3Q22 sales, the drumbeat is growing louder on concerns over consumer weakness heading into the fourth quarter. COVID-induced mobility restrictions and production disruptions are hampering both supply and demand functions of the company’s profit and growth prospects, souring investors’ confidence in the stock. EV industry leader Tesla’s recent decision to pull the “pricing lever” in the region is also dialing up risks of a pricing war in China’s increasingly competitive EV market. Source: “Is NIO Stock A Buy After Q3’22 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On COVID Zero.”But the delayed roll-out of NIO’s mass market offering until 2024 could offer a time cushion for the company to better weather through the near-term industry-specific and macroeconomic headwinds. For one, supply chain constraints stemming from the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war – particularly on auto semiconductors – are already showing structural signs of easing. Meanwhile, China’s record-setting household savings of $1.8 trillion YTD, or household savings rate of 30%, accumulated as a pre-emptive measure against looming macroeconomic uncertainties today could also imply a better demand environment in 2024 when cyclical challenges ease. As such, the launch of NIO’s sub-brands scheduled for 2024 could come at an opportune time when the global macroeconomic outlook is expected to improve while the transition to electric continues to gain momentum, offsetting some of the demand risks stemming from increasing competition.Fundamental And Valuation ImplicationsThe anticipated growth prospects stemming from NIO’s penetration in mass market opportunities with its planned sub-brands are not going to come at a cheap price. Auto manufacturing is one of the most capital-intensive endeavors out there – especially for those that are vertically integrated.Yet, NIO’s “semi-vertically integrated” manufacturing strategy, which involves in-house designed platforms (and ultimately, battery packs) and internal productions at its joint venture facility with Jianghuai Automobile Group (“JAC”) and partly municipal-owned facility at NeoPark, is expected to absorb some of the high ramp-up costs. The anticipated increase in demand for its mass market products is also expected to drive improved volumes to enable better economies of scale, especially if the company adopts a cross-brand platform-sharing strategy, which will likely fast-track its margin expansion trajectory towards and beyond breakeven by mid-decade.However, given materialization of said anticipated profits bolstered by NIO’s mass market penetration strategy is still further out into the future, related upside potential may take more time to come into fruition, which inadvertently, means a higher investment risk. This is a particularly critical consideration in today’s market climate for Chinese equities, especially those that are not yet profitable like NIO, given uncertainties spanning regulatory, macroeconomic, and geopolitical challenges.BYDOverview Of Sub-Brand StrategyDiffering from NIO, BYD is already an established automaker with a sprawling presence across China’s passenger vehicle market (and to a smaller extent, the global commercial vehicle market). Having just transitioned completely from the sale of ICE models to only new energy vehicles including hybrid plug-ins earlier this year, BYD has already taken China’s EV market by storm, with monthly sales by unit consistently exceeding six figures and setting new records. It is also one of the few legacy automakers that have managed to penetrate the burgeoning EV market at a profitable rate within a short period.Known for its prowess in the mass market vehicle segment, the legacy Chinese automaker is now planning its debut in the premium EV segment in early 2023 via its first sub-brand, “Yangwang” – a contrast to NIO’s longer-term growth strategy. The automaker is slated to debut a premium off-road electric SUV, dubbed the “R1,” as its first product under the Yangwang sub-brand, which will be priced in the RMB 800,000 to RMB 1.5 million range ($110,300 to $200,000+). Similar to BYD’s current new energy offerings, the Yangwang R1 will be offered in a battery-electric (“BEV”) powertrain and plug-in hybrid (“PHEV”) power-train capable of up to 650 hp, with a five- and seven-seater option, and be the “most expensive BYD ever.”The company has also recently announced intentions of another new brand that “specializes in professional and personalized identifies” as it looks to “build up its brand matrix” and better penetrate overseas opportunities across Asia, Europe, Latin America and other markets. Although details on the second sub-brand remain limited, it will likely complement Yangwang and help usher BYD into China’s “luxury SUV and sports car markets…[which] are the two most profitable vehicle segments [that it] does not have exposure to” yet. Given BYD is already profitable, the higher-priced premium offerings will likely further reinforce its margin expansion trajectory into the longer-term, and bolster its competitive advantage against premium rivals in the market.The OpportunityWhile EV penetration in the more affluent tier 1 and tier 2 cities across China is substantially higher than in smaller cities where lower-priced mass market offerings take a precedent appeal, there is still significant growth headroom remaining in the premium EV segment for BYD. As mentioned in the earlier section, EV penetration in Shanghai already exceeds 50%, while in the broader tier 1 and tier 2 cities it averages more than 36%. Plug-in hybrid SUVs are also of greater appeal, accounting for close to a quarter of China’s new passenger vehicle sales today, while remaining the fastest-growing EV segment, which makes strong tailwinds for BYD’s upcoming Yangwang R1 debut (recall that the R1 comes in both the BEV and PHEV powertrain).Market participants also anticipate BYD’s upcoming sub-brands to produce “the kind of EVs fit for the U.S., a market BYD has yet to enter.” This fits with BYD’s overseas aspirations for its passenger EV business over the longer-term, and would be a favorable complement to its existing presence in North America via its commercial EV sales. The U.S. EV market is expected to see a meaningful increase in adoption rates over coming years, thanks to favorable policy support like the latest “Inflation Reduction Act” (“IRA”), as well as broader improvements to EV battery technologies and range capabilities. Specifically, U.S. EV demand is expected to expand at a five-year CAGR of 28% through 2026, with further acceleration into the second half of the decade. Paired with a similar growth outlook in Canada (though at a comparatively nominal volume on a unit basis), Yangwang and other sub-brand offerings could potentially become an overseas share gainer for BYD.Risks To ConsiderWhile competition comes to mind as a top risk for automakers, BYD’s reputation as a quality mass market vehicle manufacturer could alleviate some of the said challenges. This is further corroborated by BYD’s pricing power with continued market share gains despite a recent decision to increase its vehicle MSRPs, as opposed to price cuts implemented by Tesla in an attempt to shore up demand.Instead, a key concern is BYD’s lack of presence in cutting-edge technological competencies, which premium EVs offered by NIO and Tesla tend to use as key selling points:What BYD lacks that others have is more of a digital DNA…BYD is still a hardware company. As good as it is assembling an EV profitably at scale, it hasn’t proven itself to be a tech-driven software-defined technology company. Source: BloombergWhile BYD intends for Yangwang to “build a high-end brand with disruptive technologies and products,” there has yet to be any details pertaining to the R1 that would differentiate the premium electric SUV from a digital aspect. Aside from potential ADAS features (which are pretty much standard across premium offerings at this point) speculated from BYD-released images that show the vehicle’s integration of LiDAR sensors, the company has yet to release much information about the vehicle’s performance, range capability, nor technological features. While BYD’s robust balance sheet could fund the development of software capabilities required for differentiation against competing premium offerings, relate innovations would take time to materialize, risking a costly catch-up game in the concentrated premium EV market.Fundamental And Valuation ImplicationsIn contrast to NIO, BYD is already a profitable company, with margins set for continued expansion as production ramps up on both its existing and upcoming vehicle models. And as mentioned in the earlier section, BYD’s upcoming foray in China’s premium electric SUV market would be beneficial to its bottom-line given said products would be priced higher to offset near-term ramp-up costs, with greater demand in the lucrative vehicle segment expected to support longer-term margin expansion through scale. With related operating cash flow generation realizable in the immediate term, BYD is also less vulnerable to the investment risks facing NIO as discussed in the earlier section.The stock is currently trading at a significant discount of 1.4x forward EV/sales compared to an average of about 4.1x among U.S. counterparts and 1.7x among Chinese EV start-ups. Given its profitable growth prospects both within the immediate- and over the longer-term, BYD makes a reasonable investment at current levels. But like all Chinese equities, BYD faces a slew of risks specific to the cohort, including China’s macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., property slump, COVID Zero impacts, etc.) and regulatory challenges. Although BYD’s robust balance sheet has made its valuation relatively less vulnerable to the years-long selloff in Chinese equities, existing and potential investors in the stock should remain aware and not overlook said risks.Final ThoughtsBased on the foregoing analysis on NIO and BYD’s longer-term market share expansion strategies, both legacy and start-up Chinese EV makers alike show favorable growth prospects as the global transition to electric continues. While converging strategies will likely introduce further competition within the already highly concentrated EV landscape in China, significant opportunities remain across all vehicle and pricing segments, underscoring the still-nascent nature of the EV industry.With NIO being an EV upstart that has already established a reputation for making quality and innovative EVs, and BYD being a legacy automaker that has proven a profitable transition to electric is possible, both companies are well-positioned for further market share gains within and beyond the Chinese EV market. This would accordingly support favorable long-term upside potential for both stocks from current levels, especially BYD which boasts better immediate and future fundamental prospects, though macroeconomic, geopolitical, and regulatory risks will remain an overhang on their performance.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961556899,"gmtCreate":1669000364112,"gmtModify":1676538137412,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961556899","repostId":"1102151273","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102151273","pubTimestamp":1668992478,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102151273?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-21 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Q3: Munger Remains Unfazed, Plus 3 Things Not To Overlook","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102151273","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba just reported its Q3 (fiscal year Q2) earnings. The results were solid despite challe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba just reported its Q3 (fiscal year Q2) earnings. The results were solid despite challenges in the past quarter and triggered sharp price rallies.</li><li>In the meantime, the Daily Journal Corp.’s recent 13F shows that its Alibaba position remains unchanged in the past quarter.</li><li>This article focuses on the implications of 3 things from its Q3 earnings report: profitability, capital allocation, and valuation.</li><li>And I can see why Munger remains unfazed.</li></ul><p><b>Q3 recap and investment thesis</b></p><p>Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) just released its Q3 2022earnings report(“ER”). Note that its fiscal quarter is shifted from the calendar quarter (so it is its FY Q2). And in the remainder of this article, I will refer to the calendar quarter consistently. By this time, many of the aspects of its Q3 ER have been detailed by other SA authors already. As a result, I will only provide a brief recap of its Q3 results. Then I will quickly zoom in on three things that are less discussed so far in other SA articles.</p><p>Overall, I view the results as solid, especially considering the challenging operating environments in the past quarter. Its Non-GAAP EPS (referred to on a per ADS basis hereafter) dialed in at $1.82, exceeding consensus estimates by $0.17. Topline came in at $29.12B, representing a +3.0% YoY growth but missing consensus estimates slightly by $490M (about 1.6% on a relative basis). Notably, its cloud segment grew 4% YOY and now represents 10% of the total revenue.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08d0114344dd757db5d5d21a884dd2b6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: BABA Q3 ER</p><p>The remainder of this article will concentrate on 3 things from its Q3 ER that are less discussed in other articles. Firstly, I will examine its profitability as measured by ROCE (return on capital employed). You will see that its profitability indeed has suffered strong headwinds due to ongoing macro challenges, but still remains at a highly competitive level even when benchmarked against the FAAMG group. Secondly, I will examine its capital allocation. And the picture is similar here. Admittedly, it simply does not enjoy the flexibility it used to even compared to the beginning of the year. But overall, it is still in a strong financial position and can sustainably fund its various growth initiatives. And finally, the valuation is too compressed to ignore in my view.</p><p>Before we dive in, note that the Daily Journal Corp. recently also disclosed its 13F filing. And as shown in the chart below, Alibaba remains as the 3rdlargest position, representing 14.6% of its equity portfolio. And I can see why Munger remains unfazed after we examine the financials more closely next.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/677845cdad0cdf5462cfd630779c29cf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Dataroma.com</p><p><b>Profitability remains competitive</b></p><p>As detailed in my blog article, for a long-term business owner, return on capital employed (“ROCE”) is the most important metric in my mind. And BABA’s ROCE is shown below. The chart plots its ROCE dating back to 2014 and specifically highlights the changes in its ROCE in 2022 (the last two data points on this chart). As you can see, its profitability indeed has suffered strong headwinds due to ongoing macro challenges. To wit, even as recent as Q1 2022, its ROCE hovered around 97% based on quarterly TTM financials. But due to the various headwinds (both macroeconomic and regulatory as to be elaborated later), its ROCE has contracted substantially to the current level of 62.4% based on the Q3 TTM financials.</p><p>However, BABA’s current ROCE still remains at a highly competitive level even when benchmarked against the FAAMG group as you can see from the second following chart below. As a matter of fact, its current ROCE is only behind Apple (AAPL) in this group.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6edb9f34d10e490e6795015d49dda18e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3d4cd52c813e053fa637f73ee468287\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</p><p><b>Capital allocation flexibility remains strong too</b></p><p>BABA has always been in a strong financial position. Its financial position may be a bit weaker than it used to be due to its commitment to the common prosperity funds, high tax rates, and regulatory changes. To wit, BABA made a pledge of about $15.5B to the Chinese common prosperity fund in the next five years (so about $3.1B per year). At the same time, its TTM operating cash was more than $30.5B as of Q1 2022. And its operating cash flow has decreased to about $20.1B as of TTM Q3, a decrease of more than $10B.</p><p>However, under the overall scheme of things, it is still in a quite strong position. It is effectively debt-free (total interest expenses are only about $500M), it does not pay a dividend, and its maintenance CAPEX is really low (total depreciation is only about 10% of its operating income). And it carries a sizeable net cash position (about $10.1 per share) as shown in the table below, by far the highest level relative to a few other stocks (I will explain why I picked this set of stocks next).</p><p>And this is a good point to move onto its valuation, particularly the impact of the net cash position on its valuation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c851f218d7749d4f4d8d17853526a8b5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</p><p><b>Valuation is even cheaper when adjusted for ROCE</b></p><p>The chart above shows that BABA’s PE is about 11.4x at its current price. Also as aforementioned, there is about $10.0 of cash behind each BABA share, translating into ~11.8% of the current share price. The cash position is actually higher than in Q1 (about $9.3 per share at that time). And adjusted for the cash position, its current PE is only about 10.1x, actually lower than the 11.7x multiple in Q1 despite the decrease in earnings.</p><p>Readers familiar with our approach know that valuation shouldn&#39;t be looked at in isolation. It should be always interpreted together with the quality of the business. And that is what the next chart intends to do. These seemingly random stocks picked for this chart represent some of the largest Berkshire (BRK.A) (BRK.B) holdings, and hence, the green dotted line is what I call a Buffett value line. As detailed in my earlier article:</p><blockquote><i>The Buffett’s value line is a line linking A) the origin (a business that has 0 ROCE should worth O PE), and B) Buffett’s largest holding AAPL (which happens to have the highest ROCE among this group of stocks).</i></blockquote><p>Since you always have the choice to buy AAPL, it makes little sense to buy stocks above this line (except for the need for diversification). As seen, BABA now lies below this line (right next to AbbVie (ABBV), another stock we also hold) by a good margin, suggesting a valuation that is more compressed when adjusted for ROCE than on the surface.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b16375acb6efb2b50a0b5d855eabcf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</p><p><b>Risks and final thoughts</b></p><p>BABA faces many risks. Potential investors should be cautious of the extreme uncertainties here. As detailed by many SA authors (ourselves included), some risks could lead to 100% loss (such as VIE) or large losses (such as delisting). Here, I will limit my discussions to the risks that are more relevant to business fundamentals and operations. I am cautiously optimistic about the company’s business operation outlook in the next 1 or 2 years. The impact of the COVID-19 restrictions in China remains the largest risk in my view. With China’s Zero COVID policy still in place, customer growth in its China Commerce division (TaoBao and Tmall, to name a few) faces an uncertain recovery path. And so do the overall economic conditions in the country.</p><p>To conclude, this article focused on 3 things in BABA’s Q3 ER that are less discussed by other SA authors so far. Its profitability, as measured by ROCE, indeed has suffered strong headwinds, shrinking from ~100% in Q1 to the current 62%. But a ROCE of around 62% is still highly competitive even compared to the FAAMG stocks. Such a robust ROCE, when combined with its capital allocation flexibility, offers healthy growth prospects. For example, its International Commerce Retail segment, including Lazada and AliExpress, offers plenty of upsides. And finally, the valuation, especially when adjusted for its ROCE and sizable cash position, is simply too compressed to make sense the way I see it.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Q3: Munger Remains Unfazed, Plus 3 Things Not To Overlook</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Q3: Munger Remains Unfazed, Plus 3 Things Not To Overlook\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-21 09:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559273-alibaba-stock-q3-earnings-munger-remains-unfazed><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba just reported its Q3 (fiscal year Q2) earnings. The results were solid despite challenges in the past quarter and triggered sharp price rallies.In the meantime, the Daily Journal Corp.’...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559273-alibaba-stock-q3-earnings-munger-remains-unfazed\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559273-alibaba-stock-q3-earnings-munger-remains-unfazed","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102151273","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba just reported its Q3 (fiscal year Q2) earnings. The results were solid despite challenges in the past quarter and triggered sharp price rallies.In the meantime, the Daily Journal Corp.’s recent 13F shows that its Alibaba position remains unchanged in the past quarter.This article focuses on the implications of 3 things from its Q3 earnings report: profitability, capital allocation, and valuation.And I can see why Munger remains unfazed.Q3 recap and investment thesisAlibaba (NYSE: BABA) just released its Q3 2022earnings report(“ER”). Note that its fiscal quarter is shifted from the calendar quarter (so it is its FY Q2). And in the remainder of this article, I will refer to the calendar quarter consistently. By this time, many of the aspects of its Q3 ER have been detailed by other SA authors already. As a result, I will only provide a brief recap of its Q3 results. Then I will quickly zoom in on three things that are less discussed so far in other SA articles.Overall, I view the results as solid, especially considering the challenging operating environments in the past quarter. Its Non-GAAP EPS (referred to on a per ADS basis hereafter) dialed in at $1.82, exceeding consensus estimates by $0.17. Topline came in at $29.12B, representing a +3.0% YoY growth but missing consensus estimates slightly by $490M (about 1.6% on a relative basis). Notably, its cloud segment grew 4% YOY and now represents 10% of the total revenue.Source: BABA Q3 ERThe remainder of this article will concentrate on 3 things from its Q3 ER that are less discussed in other articles. Firstly, I will examine its profitability as measured by ROCE (return on capital employed). You will see that its profitability indeed has suffered strong headwinds due to ongoing macro challenges, but still remains at a highly competitive level even when benchmarked against the FAAMG group. Secondly, I will examine its capital allocation. And the picture is similar here. Admittedly, it simply does not enjoy the flexibility it used to even compared to the beginning of the year. But overall, it is still in a strong financial position and can sustainably fund its various growth initiatives. And finally, the valuation is too compressed to ignore in my view.Before we dive in, note that the Daily Journal Corp. recently also disclosed its 13F filing. And as shown in the chart below, Alibaba remains as the 3rdlargest position, representing 14.6% of its equity portfolio. And I can see why Munger remains unfazed after we examine the financials more closely next.Source: Dataroma.comProfitability remains competitiveAs detailed in my blog article, for a long-term business owner, return on capital employed (“ROCE”) is the most important metric in my mind. And BABA’s ROCE is shown below. The chart plots its ROCE dating back to 2014 and specifically highlights the changes in its ROCE in 2022 (the last two data points on this chart). As you can see, its profitability indeed has suffered strong headwinds due to ongoing macro challenges. To wit, even as recent as Q1 2022, its ROCE hovered around 97% based on quarterly TTM financials. But due to the various headwinds (both macroeconomic and regulatory as to be elaborated later), its ROCE has contracted substantially to the current level of 62.4% based on the Q3 TTM financials.However, BABA’s current ROCE still remains at a highly competitive level even when benchmarked against the FAAMG group as you can see from the second following chart below. As a matter of fact, its current ROCE is only behind Apple (AAPL) in this group.Source: author and Seeking Alpha.Source: author and Seeking Alpha.Capital allocation flexibility remains strong tooBABA has always been in a strong financial position. Its financial position may be a bit weaker than it used to be due to its commitment to the common prosperity funds, high tax rates, and regulatory changes. To wit, BABA made a pledge of about $15.5B to the Chinese common prosperity fund in the next five years (so about $3.1B per year). At the same time, its TTM operating cash was more than $30.5B as of Q1 2022. And its operating cash flow has decreased to about $20.1B as of TTM Q3, a decrease of more than $10B.However, under the overall scheme of things, it is still in a quite strong position. It is effectively debt-free (total interest expenses are only about $500M), it does not pay a dividend, and its maintenance CAPEX is really low (total depreciation is only about 10% of its operating income). And it carries a sizeable net cash position (about $10.1 per share) as shown in the table below, by far the highest level relative to a few other stocks (I will explain why I picked this set of stocks next).And this is a good point to move onto its valuation, particularly the impact of the net cash position on its valuation.Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.Valuation is even cheaper when adjusted for ROCEThe chart above shows that BABA’s PE is about 11.4x at its current price. Also as aforementioned, there is about $10.0 of cash behind each BABA share, translating into ~11.8% of the current share price. The cash position is actually higher than in Q1 (about $9.3 per share at that time). And adjusted for the cash position, its current PE is only about 10.1x, actually lower than the 11.7x multiple in Q1 despite the decrease in earnings.Readers familiar with our approach know that valuation shouldn't be looked at in isolation. It should be always interpreted together with the quality of the business. And that is what the next chart intends to do. These seemingly random stocks picked for this chart represent some of the largest Berkshire (BRK.A) (BRK.B) holdings, and hence, the green dotted line is what I call a Buffett value line. As detailed in my earlier article:The Buffett’s value line is a line linking A) the origin (a business that has 0 ROCE should worth O PE), and B) Buffett’s largest holding AAPL (which happens to have the highest ROCE among this group of stocks).Since you always have the choice to buy AAPL, it makes little sense to buy stocks above this line (except for the need for diversification). As seen, BABA now lies below this line (right next to AbbVie (ABBV), another stock we also hold) by a good margin, suggesting a valuation that is more compressed when adjusted for ROCE than on the surface.Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.Risks and final thoughtsBABA faces many risks. Potential investors should be cautious of the extreme uncertainties here. As detailed by many SA authors (ourselves included), some risks could lead to 100% loss (such as VIE) or large losses (such as delisting). Here, I will limit my discussions to the risks that are more relevant to business fundamentals and operations. I am cautiously optimistic about the company’s business operation outlook in the next 1 or 2 years. The impact of the COVID-19 restrictions in China remains the largest risk in my view. With China’s Zero COVID policy still in place, customer growth in its China Commerce division (TaoBao and Tmall, to name a few) faces an uncertain recovery path. And so do the overall economic conditions in the country.To conclude, this article focused on 3 things in BABA’s Q3 ER that are less discussed by other SA authors so far. Its profitability, as measured by ROCE, indeed has suffered strong headwinds, shrinking from ~100% in Q1 to the current 62%. But a ROCE of around 62% is still highly competitive even compared to the FAAMG stocks. Such a robust ROCE, when combined with its capital allocation flexibility, offers healthy growth prospects. For example, its International Commerce Retail segment, including Lazada and AliExpress, offers plenty of upsides. And finally, the valuation, especially when adjusted for its ROCE and sizable cash position, is simply too compressed to make sense the way I see it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963792192,"gmtCreate":1668750249216,"gmtModify":1676538107874,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963792192","repostId":"1103280772","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103280772","pubTimestamp":1668736676,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103280772?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-18 09:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103280772","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices s","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflation</li><li>Tightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he says</li></ul><p>St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to at least 5% to 5.25%, hitting financial markets as investors recalibrated bets on how high officials would go.</p><p>“In the past I have said 4.75% to 5%,” he told reporters Thursday after giving a speech in Louisville, Kentucky. “Based on this analysis today, I would say 5% to 5.25%. That’s a minimum level. According to this analysis, that would at least get us in the zone.”</p><p>Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that rates will need to rise more than previously expected due to disappointing inflation data, while suggesting that officials could moderate the size of their increases going forward. A key reading on consumer prices since then was better than expected but policymakers continue to stress the need to keep raising rates.</p><p>Officials in September had projected rates rising to around 4.6% next year from a current target range of 3.75% to 4%. Those projections will be updated at the Fed’s Dec. 13-14 meeting.</p><p>US 10-year Treasury yields climbed after Bullard became the latest official to say that interest rates had further to rise to curb the strongest inflation in 40 years.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Wednesday that “somewhere between 4.75 and 5.25 seems a reasonable place to think about” for the level that officials should raise rates to then go on hold.</p><p>Bullard’s hawkish tone was echoed later on Thursday by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, whosaidit’s an “open question” how far the central bank has to go with rates to bring demand back into balance.</p><p>“I need to be convinced that inflation has at least stopped climbing, that we’re not falling further behind the curve before I would advocate stopping a progression of future rate hikes, so we’re not there yet,” he told the Minnesota Chamber of Commerce’s 2022 Economic Summit.</p><p>“The Fed is still maintaining a outward appearance of hawkishness pending another month of inflation data,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. “One month of lower inflation doesn’t mean the war is over.”</p><p>Data last week showed consumer inflation rising by a less-than-expected 7.7% in the 12 months through October. November’s reading will be released on Dec. 13, before officials begin their two days of policy deliberations.</p><p>During his presentation, Bullard showed charts that indicated rates will need to be between about 5% to 7% to meet policymakers’ goal of being “sufficiently restrictive” to curb inflation near a four-decade high.</p><p>The calculation used different versions of a Taylor Rule, a popular monetary policy guideline developed by Stanford University’s John Taylor.</p><h3>‘Minimal’ Level</h3><p>“It’s easy to make arguments that before this is all over you’d have to go to much higher levels of the policy rate” than 5.25%, said Bullard, who votes on policy this year. “But for now I’d be happy to get to the minimal level and that’s why I think the committee is going to have to do more.”</p><p>The St. Louis Fed leader, who has been among the more hawkish policymakers this year, was the latest central banker to call for additional action.</p><p>The Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Nov. 2 for the fourth straight time as part of its most aggressive tightening since the 1980s to curb an inflation that started in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic disruptions.</p><p>Bullard didn’t say whether he would favor a 50 or 75 basis-point move at the Fed’s December meeting, telling reporters that he would look to Powell to set the direction.</p><p>A number of his colleagues have called for a downshift in the size of the next rate increase following last week’s consumer price report, which showed a softening in core consumer goods inflation in October.</p><p>Investors expect the Fed will raise rates by a half percentage point next month and see rates peaking around 5% next year.</p><p>The St. Louis Fed president said he expected officials to keep rates high for an extended period to avoid the kind of monetary policy mistakes of the 1970s that resulted in persistently high inflation.</p><p>“We certainly don’t want to replay that episode,” he told reporters. “So we’re going to have to see very tangible evidence that inflation’s coming down meaningfully toward target, and I think we’re going to want to err on the side of staying higher for longer in order to get that to happen.”</p><p>Bullard said while he expected inflation to come down next year, there’s been relatively little evidence of that so far.</p><p>“Thus far, the change in the monetary-policy stance appears to have had only limited effects on observed inflation, but market pricing suggests disinflation is expected in 2023,” Bullard said in his prepared remarks, adding rate hikes so far have caused little financial stress.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 09:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he saysSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103280772","content_text":"Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he saysSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to at least 5% to 5.25%, hitting financial markets as investors recalibrated bets on how high officials would go.“In the past I have said 4.75% to 5%,” he told reporters Thursday after giving a speech in Louisville, Kentucky. “Based on this analysis today, I would say 5% to 5.25%. That’s a minimum level. According to this analysis, that would at least get us in the zone.”Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that rates will need to rise more than previously expected due to disappointing inflation data, while suggesting that officials could moderate the size of their increases going forward. A key reading on consumer prices since then was better than expected but policymakers continue to stress the need to keep raising rates.Officials in September had projected rates rising to around 4.6% next year from a current target range of 3.75% to 4%. Those projections will be updated at the Fed’s Dec. 13-14 meeting.US 10-year Treasury yields climbed after Bullard became the latest official to say that interest rates had further to rise to curb the strongest inflation in 40 years.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Wednesday that “somewhere between 4.75 and 5.25 seems a reasonable place to think about” for the level that officials should raise rates to then go on hold.Bullard’s hawkish tone was echoed later on Thursday by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, whosaidit’s an “open question” how far the central bank has to go with rates to bring demand back into balance.“I need to be convinced that inflation has at least stopped climbing, that we’re not falling further behind the curve before I would advocate stopping a progression of future rate hikes, so we’re not there yet,” he told the Minnesota Chamber of Commerce’s 2022 Economic Summit.“The Fed is still maintaining a outward appearance of hawkishness pending another month of inflation data,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. “One month of lower inflation doesn’t mean the war is over.”Data last week showed consumer inflation rising by a less-than-expected 7.7% in the 12 months through October. November’s reading will be released on Dec. 13, before officials begin their two days of policy deliberations.During his presentation, Bullard showed charts that indicated rates will need to be between about 5% to 7% to meet policymakers’ goal of being “sufficiently restrictive” to curb inflation near a four-decade high.The calculation used different versions of a Taylor Rule, a popular monetary policy guideline developed by Stanford University’s John Taylor.‘Minimal’ Level“It’s easy to make arguments that before this is all over you’d have to go to much higher levels of the policy rate” than 5.25%, said Bullard, who votes on policy this year. “But for now I’d be happy to get to the minimal level and that’s why I think the committee is going to have to do more.”The St. Louis Fed leader, who has been among the more hawkish policymakers this year, was the latest central banker to call for additional action.The Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Nov. 2 for the fourth straight time as part of its most aggressive tightening since the 1980s to curb an inflation that started in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic disruptions.Bullard didn’t say whether he would favor a 50 or 75 basis-point move at the Fed’s December meeting, telling reporters that he would look to Powell to set the direction.A number of his colleagues have called for a downshift in the size of the next rate increase following last week’s consumer price report, which showed a softening in core consumer goods inflation in October.Investors expect the Fed will raise rates by a half percentage point next month and see rates peaking around 5% next year.The St. Louis Fed president said he expected officials to keep rates high for an extended period to avoid the kind of monetary policy mistakes of the 1970s that resulted in persistently high inflation.“We certainly don’t want to replay that episode,” he told reporters. “So we’re going to have to see very tangible evidence that inflation’s coming down meaningfully toward target, and I think we’re going to want to err on the side of staying higher for longer in order to get that to happen.”Bullard said while he expected inflation to come down next year, there’s been relatively little evidence of that so far.“Thus far, the change in the monetary-policy stance appears to have had only limited effects on observed inflation, but market pricing suggests disinflation is expected in 2023,” Bullard said in his prepared remarks, adding rate hikes so far have caused little financial stress.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010437637,"gmtCreate":1648444355896,"gmtModify":1676534338600,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010437637","repostId":"2222885292","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2222885292","pubTimestamp":1648420879,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2222885292?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-28 06:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"March Jobs Report, PCE Inflation, Consumer Confidence: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2222885292","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The March jobs report takes center stage this week. The Labor Department’s monthly snapshot of U.S. ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The March jobs report takes center stage this week. The Labor Department’s monthly snapshot of U.S. employment will be closely watched by market participants and will carry special weight as Federal Reserve officials appear to signal more hawkishness in the central bank’s rate-hiking plans. Meanwhile, Core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, is also due out Wednesday and will offer further clues on how aggressive the next interest rate bump could be.</p><p>Despite a streak of seesaw action, markets have mostly fared well since the Fed raised interest rates by 25 basis points on March 16 in the first hike since 2018. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite, and S&amp;P 500 each registered their second straight week of gains on Friday to close at one-month highs.</p><p>Still, questions remain around the central bank’s path forward and investors are watching closely to see whether the ramp up in short-term rates that is underway will blunt the market’s gains.</p><p>The latest jobs report due out Friday comes as traders are braced for the likelihood that Fed officials may lean into higher borrowing costs more aggressively than anticipated after recent remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicating “ongoing rate increases will be appropriate” to lower inflation readings. If Friday’s employment data shows a tighter-than-ever labor market, policymakers could be even more inclined to move ahead with a 50-basis point hike.</p><p>“The payroll jobs report could be the biggest one yet in this recovery from the pandemic,” FWDBONDS chief economist Christopher Rupkey said in a recent note. “Federal Reserve officials are already chomping at the bit for bigger 50 bps rate hikes at upcoming meetings, and the tightest labor market since the 1960s is like pouring gasoline on the fire where any policy official worth his or her salt is burning with desire to get interest rates up to 2% neutral levels now.”</p><p>All things suggest a jaw-dropping jobs report. Last week, U.S. jobless claims notched the lowest level since September 1969 at 187,000 filings. Moreover, the most recent employment report blew past what economists had estimated, posting a stunning 687,000 jobs added or created during the month of February. The March report is expected to show another robust reading with payrolls likely to rise by 490,000, according to Bloomberg economist estimates.</p><p>This labor market tightness has strongly informed the Fed’s decision to rein in monetary policy, with economic momentum suggesting to officials that the U.S. economy could weather less accommodative financial conditions.</p><p>“The Federal Reserve has a dual mandate to promote employment and stable prices,” Bankrate senior industry analyst Ted Rossman said in a note. “The strong labor market is leading the Fed to focus squarely on combating the high inflation rate. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently hinted at a more aggressive pace of rate hikes, and this report fits that narrative since inflation is a much bigger concern than unemployment right now.”</p><p>While an improving labor market is good for U.S. households, widespread job openings have made room for significant leverage for workers, driving wage gains higher and further elevating inflationary pressures.</p><p>To add to that, Bank of America pointed out that amid the labor market recovery is a higher level of job openings for any given unemployment rate than compared to prior history. As a result, the short-run inflation neutral unemployment rate (NAIRU) may be higher than longer-run estimates, implying more sustained wage and price pressures in the near-term, according to the bank.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s JOLTs (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary) for February will be released Tuesday with analysts, according to Bloomberg consensus, expecting vacancies of 11 million, similar to January&#39;s results.</p><p>“The pandemic labor market has seen an extraordinary outward shift in the Beveridge curve (the relationship between unemployment and the job vacancy rate), suggesting difficulty in matching workers to jobs,” BofA economists said in a recent note. “This mismatch may reflect surging goods spending and hence a shortage of workers in the hottest part of the economy.”</p><h2><b>Fed&#39;s measure of inflation</b></h2><p>Also on the inflation front, the Bureau of Economic Analysis is scheduled to release a fresh read on its monthly personal consumption expenditures (PCE) deflator this Thursday. The measure is another gauge of how quickly prices are increasing across the country. Consensus economists expect the PCE to post a rise of another 0.6% in February, according to Bloomberg data, This would mark the 15th consecutive monthly increase and bring the index up by 6.4% on a year-over-year basis.</p><p>The core PCE index, which the Fed uses to conduct monetary policy, is also expected to show an increase when the print publishes Wednesday. Consensus economists are looking for a 5.5% increase in core PCE in February, compared to January’s 5.2% rise.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s already arduous task of mitigating inflation without stunting economic growth is further complicated by geopolitical turmoil in Eastern Europe. War in Ukraine and penalizing sanctions against Russia for its invasion of the country have raised uncertainty in recent weeks over the conflict’s toll on the global economic picture and potential spillover consequences for the U.S. Namely, rising oil prices have elevated inflation expectations. WTI crude oil futures snapped a two-week losing streak to round out the week 8.8% higher at $113.90 per barrel as of Friday&#39;s close.</p><p>OPEC+ (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is scheduled to hold a virtual meeting on March 31 with Russia and its nine other allies to discuss May production levels. The intergovernmental organization is expected to maintain current production plans, even as crude oil prices trade at a 14-year high.</p><p>“The Fed seems to be the only central bank still focused on increasing its hawkishness” amid higher energy prices and inflation,&#34; Charles Schwab Chief Global Investment Strategist Jeffrey Kleintop told Yahoo Finance Live. “It’s noteworthy.”</p><h2><b>Consumer confidence</b></h2><p>As inflation worries mount, consumers are getting wary about what&#39;s ahead. The Conference Board&#39;s Consumer Confidence Index due for release on Tuesday will show a timely snapshot of their thinking following the latest spike in prices. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg are looking for the index to fall to 107.0 for March following a read of 110.5 last month.</p><p>Last week&#39;s further decline in the University of Michigan&#39;s final consumer sentiment index for March, which fell to 59.4 from a preliminary reading of 59.7 and 62.8 in the prior month, is an indication of consumers&#39; changing attitude about their economic future. The survey saw more consumers report reduced living standards due to rising inflation than any other time except during the two worst recessions in the past 50 years: from March 1979 to April 1981, and from May to October 2008, the University of Michigan said.</p><p>&#34;Usually consumers fret about job opportunities and the lack thereof, but this time, the consumer is in sync with Fed officials that the greatest danger the economy faces is inflation,&#34; Rupkey said in recent commentary. &#34;Consumers continue to spend, but future consumption is very much in doubt as the cost of store bought goods soars ever higher.&#34;</p><p>&#34;We have rarely seen consumers this pessimistic outside of the darkest days of recessions, but the polling indicates the public is more scared about their economic future than they have been in years,&#34; he wrote. &#34;Everyone get out of the way because if the consumer stops, then the economy drops and it will be a miracle if the economy can avoid a shipwreck on the shores of recession.&#34;</p><p>Earnings season has winded down — though the next quarterly read (representing the first three months of 2022) will be underway soon. A few reports are in the queue to trickle in on Friday, with names including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">Jefferies Financial </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHWY\">Chewy </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon </a>, and others.</p><p><b>Economic calendar</b></p><p><b>Monday:</b> Advance Goods Trade Balance, February (-$106.3 billion expected, -$107.6 billion during prior month); Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, February preliminary (1.2% expected, 0.8% during previous month, upwardly revised to 1.0%); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, February (1.4% expected, 4.9% during prior month); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity, March (11 expected, 14 during prior month)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> FHFA House Pricing Index, month-over-month, January (1.3% expected, 1.2% during prior month); S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, month-over-month, January (1.50% expected, 1.46% during prior month); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, year-over-year, January (18.55% expected, 18.56% during prior month); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, year-over-year, January (18.84% during prior month); Conference Board Consumer Confidence, March (107.0 expected, 110.5 during prior read); Conference Board Present Situation, March (145.1 during prior read); Conference Board Expectations, March (87.5 during prior read); JOLTS job openings, February (11 million expected, 11.26 million during prior month)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended March 25 (-8.1% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, March (450,000 expected, 475,000 during prior month); GDP Annualized, quarter-over-quarter, 4Q third (7.0% expected, 7.0% prior); Personal Consumption, quarter-over-quarter, 4Q third (3.1% expected, 3.1% prior); GDP Price Index, quarter-over-quarter, 4Q third (7.1% expected, 7.1% prior); Core PCE, quarter-over-quarter, 4Q third (5.0% expected, 5.0% prior);</p><p><b>Thursday</b>: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, March (-55.9% during prior month); Personal Income, month-over-month, February (0.5% expected, 0.0% during prior month); Personal Spending, month-over-month, February (0.5% expected, 2.1% during prior month); Real Personal Spending, month-over-month, February (-0.2% expected, 1.5% during prior month); PCE deflator, month-over-month, February (0.6% expected, 0.6% during prior month); PCE deflator, year-over-year, February (6.4% expected, 6.1% during prior month); PCE core deflator, month-over-month, February (0.4% expected, 0.5% during prior month); PCE core deflator, year-over-year, February (5.5% expected, 5.2% during prior month); Initial Jobless Claims, week ended March 26 (200,000 expected, 187,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims, week ended March 19 (1.35 million expected, 1.35 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, March (57.0 expected, 56.3 during prior month)</p><p><b>Friday: </b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a>-Month Payroll Net Revision, March (92,000 prior); Change in Nonfarm Payrolls, March (490,000 expected, 678,000 during prior month); Change in Private Payrolls, March (408,000 expected, 444,000 during prior month); Change in Manufacturing Payrolls, January (30,000 expected, 36,000 during prior month); Unemployment Rate, March (3.7% expected, 3.8% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, March (0.4% expected, 0.0% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, March (5.5% expected, 5.1% prior month); Average Weekly Hours All Employees, March (34.7 expected, 34.7 during prior month); Labor Force Participation Rate, March (62.4% expected, 62.3% during prior month); Underemployment Rate, March (7.2% prior month); S&amp;P Global Manufacturing PMI, March final (58.5 expected, 58.5 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, February (1.0% expected, 1.3% during prior month); ISM Manufacturing, March (59.0 expected, 58.6 during prior month); ISM Prices Paid, March (80 expected, 75.6 prior month); ISM New Orders, March (61.7 during prior month); ISM Employment, March (52.9 during prior month); WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, March (13.90 million expected, 14.07 million prior month)</p><h3><b>Earnings calendar</b></h3><p><b>Monday</b></p><p>Before market open: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TPG\">TPG </a></p><p>After market close: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">Jefferies Financial </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLAY\">Dave &amp; Buster’s Entertainment </a></p><p><b>Tuesday</b></p><p>Before market open: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKC\">McCormick </a></p><p>After market close: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHWY\">Chewy </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RH\">RH </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon </a></p><p><b>Wednesday</b></p><p>Before market open: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FIVE\">Five Below</a></p><p>After market close: <i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><b>Thursday</b></p><p>Before market open: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> (WBA)</p><p>After market close: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">Blackberry </a></p><p><b>Friday</b></p><p>No notable reports scheduled for release</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>March Jobs Report, PCE Inflation, Consumer Confidence: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMarch Jobs Report, PCE Inflation, Consumer Confidence: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-28 06:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/march-jobs-report-pce-inflation-fed-hike-watch-what-to-know-this-week-160533408.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The March jobs report takes center stage this week. The Labor Department’s monthly snapshot of U.S. employment will be closely watched by market participants and will carry special weight as Federal ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/march-jobs-report-pce-inflation-fed-hike-watch-what-to-know-this-week-160533408.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","LULU":"lululemon athletica","FIVE":"Five Below","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","TPG":"TPG, Inc.","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4135":"资产管理与托管银行","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4209":"餐馆","BK4200":"专卖店","CHWY":"Chewy, Inc.","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4202":"服装、服饰与奢侈品","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","RH":"Restoration Hardware Holdings","MU":"美光科技","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4212":"包装食品与肉类","BK4178":"家庭装饰零售","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","PLAY":"Dave & Buster","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4128":"药品零售","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","WBA":"沃尔格林联合博姿","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团","MKC":"味好美","JEF":"杰富瑞","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BB":"黑莓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4141":"半导体产品"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/march-jobs-report-pce-inflation-fed-hike-watch-what-to-know-this-week-160533408.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2222885292","content_text":"The March jobs report takes center stage this week. The Labor Department’s monthly snapshot of U.S. employment will be closely watched by market participants and will carry special weight as Federal Reserve officials appear to signal more hawkishness in the central bank’s rate-hiking plans. Meanwhile, Core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, is also due out Wednesday and will offer further clues on how aggressive the next interest rate bump could be.Despite a streak of seesaw action, markets have mostly fared well since the Fed raised interest rates by 25 basis points on March 16 in the first hike since 2018. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite, and S&P 500 each registered their second straight week of gains on Friday to close at one-month highs.Still, questions remain around the central bank’s path forward and investors are watching closely to see whether the ramp up in short-term rates that is underway will blunt the market’s gains.The latest jobs report due out Friday comes as traders are braced for the likelihood that Fed officials may lean into higher borrowing costs more aggressively than anticipated after recent remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicating “ongoing rate increases will be appropriate” to lower inflation readings. If Friday’s employment data shows a tighter-than-ever labor market, policymakers could be even more inclined to move ahead with a 50-basis point hike.“The payroll jobs report could be the biggest one yet in this recovery from the pandemic,” FWDBONDS chief economist Christopher Rupkey said in a recent note. “Federal Reserve officials are already chomping at the bit for bigger 50 bps rate hikes at upcoming meetings, and the tightest labor market since the 1960s is like pouring gasoline on the fire where any policy official worth his or her salt is burning with desire to get interest rates up to 2% neutral levels now.”All things suggest a jaw-dropping jobs report. Last week, U.S. jobless claims notched the lowest level since September 1969 at 187,000 filings. Moreover, the most recent employment report blew past what economists had estimated, posting a stunning 687,000 jobs added or created during the month of February. The March report is expected to show another robust reading with payrolls likely to rise by 490,000, according to Bloomberg economist estimates.This labor market tightness has strongly informed the Fed’s decision to rein in monetary policy, with economic momentum suggesting to officials that the U.S. economy could weather less accommodative financial conditions.“The Federal Reserve has a dual mandate to promote employment and stable prices,” Bankrate senior industry analyst Ted Rossman said in a note. “The strong labor market is leading the Fed to focus squarely on combating the high inflation rate. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently hinted at a more aggressive pace of rate hikes, and this report fits that narrative since inflation is a much bigger concern than unemployment right now.”While an improving labor market is good for U.S. households, widespread job openings have made room for significant leverage for workers, driving wage gains higher and further elevating inflationary pressures.To add to that, Bank of America pointed out that amid the labor market recovery is a higher level of job openings for any given unemployment rate than compared to prior history. As a result, the short-run inflation neutral unemployment rate (NAIRU) may be higher than longer-run estimates, implying more sustained wage and price pressures in the near-term, according to the bank.The Labor Department's JOLTs (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary) for February will be released Tuesday with analysts, according to Bloomberg consensus, expecting vacancies of 11 million, similar to January's results.“The pandemic labor market has seen an extraordinary outward shift in the Beveridge curve (the relationship between unemployment and the job vacancy rate), suggesting difficulty in matching workers to jobs,” BofA economists said in a recent note. “This mismatch may reflect surging goods spending and hence a shortage of workers in the hottest part of the economy.”Fed's measure of inflationAlso on the inflation front, the Bureau of Economic Analysis is scheduled to release a fresh read on its monthly personal consumption expenditures (PCE) deflator this Thursday. The measure is another gauge of how quickly prices are increasing across the country. Consensus economists expect the PCE to post a rise of another 0.6% in February, according to Bloomberg data, This would mark the 15th consecutive monthly increase and bring the index up by 6.4% on a year-over-year basis.The core PCE index, which the Fed uses to conduct monetary policy, is also expected to show an increase when the print publishes Wednesday. Consensus economists are looking for a 5.5% increase in core PCE in February, compared to January’s 5.2% rise.The Fed's already arduous task of mitigating inflation without stunting economic growth is further complicated by geopolitical turmoil in Eastern Europe. War in Ukraine and penalizing sanctions against Russia for its invasion of the country have raised uncertainty in recent weeks over the conflict’s toll on the global economic picture and potential spillover consequences for the U.S. Namely, rising oil prices have elevated inflation expectations. WTI crude oil futures snapped a two-week losing streak to round out the week 8.8% higher at $113.90 per barrel as of Friday's close.OPEC+ (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is scheduled to hold a virtual meeting on March 31 with Russia and its nine other allies to discuss May production levels. The intergovernmental organization is expected to maintain current production plans, even as crude oil prices trade at a 14-year high.“The Fed seems to be the only central bank still focused on increasing its hawkishness” amid higher energy prices and inflation,\" Charles Schwab Chief Global Investment Strategist Jeffrey Kleintop told Yahoo Finance Live. “It’s noteworthy.”Consumer confidenceAs inflation worries mount, consumers are getting wary about what's ahead. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index due for release on Tuesday will show a timely snapshot of their thinking following the latest spike in prices. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg are looking for the index to fall to 107.0 for March following a read of 110.5 last month.Last week's further decline in the University of Michigan's final consumer sentiment index for March, which fell to 59.4 from a preliminary reading of 59.7 and 62.8 in the prior month, is an indication of consumers' changing attitude about their economic future. The survey saw more consumers report reduced living standards due to rising inflation than any other time except during the two worst recessions in the past 50 years: from March 1979 to April 1981, and from May to October 2008, the University of Michigan said.\"Usually consumers fret about job opportunities and the lack thereof, but this time, the consumer is in sync with Fed officials that the greatest danger the economy faces is inflation,\" Rupkey said in recent commentary. \"Consumers continue to spend, but future consumption is very much in doubt as the cost of store bought goods soars ever higher.\"\"We have rarely seen consumers this pessimistic outside of the darkest days of recessions, but the polling indicates the public is more scared about their economic future than they have been in years,\" he wrote. \"Everyone get out of the way because if the consumer stops, then the economy drops and it will be a miracle if the economy can avoid a shipwreck on the shores of recession.\"Earnings season has winded down — though the next quarterly read (representing the first three months of 2022) will be underway soon. A few reports are in the queue to trickle in on Friday, with names including Jefferies Financial , Chewy , Lululemon , and others.Economic calendarMonday: Advance Goods Trade Balance, February (-$106.3 billion expected, -$107.6 billion during prior month); Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, February preliminary (1.2% expected, 0.8% during previous month, upwardly revised to 1.0%); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, February (1.4% expected, 4.9% during prior month); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity, March (11 expected, 14 during prior month)Tuesday: FHFA House Pricing Index, month-over-month, January (1.3% expected, 1.2% during prior month); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, month-over-month, January (1.50% expected, 1.46% during prior month); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, year-over-year, January (18.55% expected, 18.56% during prior month); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, year-over-year, January (18.84% during prior month); Conference Board Consumer Confidence, March (107.0 expected, 110.5 during prior read); Conference Board Present Situation, March (145.1 during prior read); Conference Board Expectations, March (87.5 during prior read); JOLTS job openings, February (11 million expected, 11.26 million during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended March 25 (-8.1% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, March (450,000 expected, 475,000 during prior month); GDP Annualized, quarter-over-quarter, 4Q third (7.0% expected, 7.0% prior); Personal Consumption, quarter-over-quarter, 4Q third (3.1% expected, 3.1% prior); GDP Price Index, quarter-over-quarter, 4Q third (7.1% expected, 7.1% prior); Core PCE, quarter-over-quarter, 4Q third (5.0% expected, 5.0% prior);Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, March (-55.9% during prior month); Personal Income, month-over-month, February (0.5% expected, 0.0% during prior month); Personal Spending, month-over-month, February (0.5% expected, 2.1% during prior month); Real Personal Spending, month-over-month, February (-0.2% expected, 1.5% during prior month); PCE deflator, month-over-month, February (0.6% expected, 0.6% during prior month); PCE deflator, year-over-year, February (6.4% expected, 6.1% during prior month); PCE core deflator, month-over-month, February (0.4% expected, 0.5% during prior month); PCE core deflator, year-over-year, February (5.5% expected, 5.2% during prior month); Initial Jobless Claims, week ended March 26 (200,000 expected, 187,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims, week ended March 19 (1.35 million expected, 1.35 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, March (57.0 expected, 56.3 during prior month)Friday: Two-Month Payroll Net Revision, March (92,000 prior); Change in Nonfarm Payrolls, March (490,000 expected, 678,000 during prior month); Change in Private Payrolls, March (408,000 expected, 444,000 during prior month); Change in Manufacturing Payrolls, January (30,000 expected, 36,000 during prior month); Unemployment Rate, March (3.7% expected, 3.8% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, March (0.4% expected, 0.0% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, March (5.5% expected, 5.1% prior month); Average Weekly Hours All Employees, March (34.7 expected, 34.7 during prior month); Labor Force Participation Rate, March (62.4% expected, 62.3% during prior month); Underemployment Rate, March (7.2% prior month); S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, March final (58.5 expected, 58.5 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, February (1.0% expected, 1.3% during prior month); ISM Manufacturing, March (59.0 expected, 58.6 during prior month); ISM Prices Paid, March (80 expected, 75.6 prior month); ISM New Orders, March (61.7 during prior month); ISM Employment, March (52.9 during prior month); WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, March (13.90 million expected, 14.07 million prior month)Earnings calendarMondayBefore market open: TPG After market close: Jefferies Financial , Dave & Buster’s Entertainment TuesdayBefore market open: McCormick After market close: Chewy , RH , Micron Technology , Lululemon WednesdayBefore market open: Five BelowAfter market close: No notable reports scheduled for releaseThursdayBefore market open: Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA)After market close: Blackberry FridayNo notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010346878,"gmtCreate":1648265420774,"gmtModify":1676534323997,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010346878","repostId":"1111363520","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111363520","pubTimestamp":1648252161,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111363520?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-26 07:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Are MANGO Stocks? Why MANGO Stocks Could Outperform？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111363520","media":"investorplace","summary":"MANGO stocks, a new term investors are adding to their vocabularies today, are a group of semiconduc","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>MANGO stocks, a new term investors are adding to their vocabularies today, are a group of semiconductor stocks. This new acronym, a riff on the Nasdaq Composite’s top-performing FAANG tech stocks, is generating interest. So what are the MANGO stocks and what else do you need to know?</p><p>Like the fruit, MANGO stocks have provided sweet returns for investors recently. Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya suggests this group of chip stocks — Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), GlobalFoundries (NASDAQ:GFS) and ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) — could be leaders in the future economy. Notably, this analyst believes that these chip stocks can outperform despite various market concerns right now.</p><p>Finding a group of stocks that is able to weather this current environment is what many investors are after. Indeed, there is an impressive amount of uncertainty weighing on Wall Street right now. Investors are concerned with inflation, interest rate hikes, geopolitical tensions and supply chain bottlenecks.</p><p>The semiconductor sector is exposed to these issues. However, there are reasons why analysts are growing increasingly bullish on these stocks.</p><p>Let’s dive into what investors may want to consider with chip stocks right now.</p><h2>Why MANGO Stocks Could Outperform</h2><p>Despite the impacts of the pandemic and supply chain woes on chip makers, the Bank of America analyst believes there is reason to be bullish on MANGO stocks. This is because demand has been increasing for chips for some time, and the underlying technology is improving. Assuming these tailwinds remain in place, MANGO stocks could be key winners.</p><p>Additionally, Arya sees a few other things to like about chip stocks. Many of the names in the MANGO acronym have ties to the cloud and artificial intelligence. Others are in the electric vehicle space.</p><p>Most investors can wrap their heads around this rather easy-to-understand thesis. While semiconductor stocks have struggled this year, the for this sector remain bright. Thus, MANGO stocks are the new tech grouping investors may want to keep on their radar right now.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Are MANGO Stocks? Why MANGO Stocks Could Outperform？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Are MANGO Stocks? Why MANGO Stocks Could Outperform？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-26 07:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/03/what-are-mango-stocks/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>MANGO stocks, a new term investors are adding to their vocabularies today, are a group of semiconductor stocks. This new acronym, a riff on the Nasdaq Composite’s top-performing FAANG tech stocks, is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/03/what-are-mango-stocks/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","ADI":"亚德诺","ON":"安森美半导体","NVDA":"英伟达","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","MRVL":"迈威尔科技","AVGO":"博通"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/03/what-are-mango-stocks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111363520","content_text":"MANGO stocks, a new term investors are adding to their vocabularies today, are a group of semiconductor stocks. This new acronym, a riff on the Nasdaq Composite’s top-performing FAANG tech stocks, is generating interest. So what are the MANGO stocks and what else do you need to know?Like the fruit, MANGO stocks have provided sweet returns for investors recently. Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya suggests this group of chip stocks — Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), GlobalFoundries (NASDAQ:GFS) and ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) — could be leaders in the future economy. Notably, this analyst believes that these chip stocks can outperform despite various market concerns right now.Finding a group of stocks that is able to weather this current environment is what many investors are after. Indeed, there is an impressive amount of uncertainty weighing on Wall Street right now. Investors are concerned with inflation, interest rate hikes, geopolitical tensions and supply chain bottlenecks.The semiconductor sector is exposed to these issues. However, there are reasons why analysts are growing increasingly bullish on these stocks.Let’s dive into what investors may want to consider with chip stocks right now.Why MANGO Stocks Could OutperformDespite the impacts of the pandemic and supply chain woes on chip makers, the Bank of America analyst believes there is reason to be bullish on MANGO stocks. This is because demand has been increasing for chips for some time, and the underlying technology is improving. Assuming these tailwinds remain in place, MANGO stocks could be key winners.Additionally, Arya sees a few other things to like about chip stocks. Many of the names in the MANGO acronym have ties to the cloud and artificial intelligence. Others are in the electric vehicle space.Most investors can wrap their heads around this rather easy-to-understand thesis. While semiconductor stocks have struggled this year, the for this sector remain bright. Thus, MANGO stocks are the new tech grouping investors may want to keep on their radar right now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9039040066,"gmtCreate":1645851170199,"gmtModify":1676534070740,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"M","listText":"M","text":"M","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039040066","repostId":"2214974048","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2214974048","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1645802130,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2214974048?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-25 23:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Market Stages Epic Turnaround after Russia Invaded Ukraine. Here Are 3 Reasons for the Rebound","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2214974048","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Investors also could be bargain hunting, or buying the dip, which is a risky proposition because the developments in Kyiv aren't yet clear and could evolve into Moscow targeting neighboring countries, if he is bent on restoring Soviet-era bloc in Eastern Europe.\"It is a pretty remarkable turnaround through,\" Randy Frederick, managing director at Schwab Center for Financial Research, told MarketWatch.Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders told CNBC that she doesn't think the market is out of the woods but beli","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock-market investors shook off an unprovoked Russian invasion of Ukraine to end decidedly in positive territory on Thursday.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite Index, for example, had fallen by 3.45% at its lows of the session but clawed back to a gain of over 3%, driven higher by large-capitalization information technology stocks and notable gains in the cybersecurity sector.</p><p>The last time the tech-heavy index staged a comeback of this magnitude was Jan. 24, 2022 when it fell 4.90% at its low, but closed up 0.63%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>In fact, there have only been eight trading sessions in which the Nasdaq Composite was down at least 3% on an intraday basis, but ended the day higher (not including today).</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite&#39;s turnaround also reflect a broader reversal from a very bearish tone for markets for the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average , even if the index finished once again on the brink of correction territory. The Dow industrials were down 859.12 points at Thursday&#39;s nadir, or 2.6%, and the S&amp;P was down 2.55% at its lows.</p><p>Investors scooped up shares in the tech sector and communication services, both up by around 2.8%, at last check. Gains there contributed to the bounce back, which also saw yields for the 10-year Treasury note rise to 1.969, after hitting a low around 1.85%.</p><p>So why the turnaround?</p><h2>Not so SWIFT</h2><p>The frenzied action on Wall Street came after Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered special operations into Ukraine. The U.S. and most of the international community declared the move an invasion and leveled further sanctions against, Moscow, including fresh sanctions from the U.S., including those on Russian banks, the country&#39;s elites and its largest state-owned enterprises.</p><p>&#34;Putin is the aggressor. Putin chose this war, and now he and his country will bear the consequences,&#34; President Biden said during a speech at the White House Thursday afternoon.</p><p>Market participants, however, may have taken solace in the fact that Biden hasn&#39;t yet booted Russia out of the SWIFT payment network. SWIFT, which stands for the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication, is a payments-related messaging service that helps banks world-wide execute financial transactions.</p><p>Although, such a move may come, keeping Russia in the Swift network may avoid hurting other members of the network that, which could have hurt some economies in Europe.</p><h2>Buy the dip?</h2><p>Investors also could be bargain hunting, or buying the dip, which is a risky proposition because the developments in Kyiv aren&#39;t yet clear and could evolve into Moscow targeting neighboring countries, if he is bent on restoring Soviet-era bloc in Eastern Europe.</p><p>&#34;It is a pretty remarkable turnaround through,&#34; Randy Frederick, managing director at Schwab Center for Financial Research, told MarketWatch.</p><p>Schwab&#39;s Liz Ann Sonders told CNBC that she doesn&#39;t think the market is out of the woods but believed that algorithmic, or computer-driven, trading may have contributing to the reversal. It is probably some version of &#34;buy the rumor sell the fact,&#34; she said.</p><h2>The technicals</h2><p>Investors might also have responded to so-called oversold conditions present in the market that ultimately gave way to a flurry of technical buying. Near midday Thursday, the Arms Index, which is a volume-weighted breadth measure, suggests there is no panic in the stock market&#39;s selloff with signs of opportunistic buying emerging even at that point.</p><p>MarketWatch&#39;s Tomi Kilgore noted that earlier this week that the Relative Strength Index, or RSI, a momentum indicator that measures the magnitude of recent gains against the magnitude of recent declines, was still above its January low for the S&amp;P 500, despite a slide into correction.</p><p>He wrote that when prices make new lows but underlying technicals make higher lows is referred to as &#34;bullish divergence,&#34; and suggested a downtrend may be running out of steam.</p><p>Kilgore notes that another positive sign from the RSI indicator is that it remained above what many chart watchers view as the oversold threshold of 30.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Market Stages Epic Turnaround after Russia Invaded Ukraine. Here Are 3 Reasons for the Rebound</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Market Stages Epic Turnaround after Russia Invaded Ukraine. Here Are 3 Reasons for the Rebound\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-25 23:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock-market investors shook off an unprovoked Russian invasion of Ukraine to end decidedly in positive territory on Thursday.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite Index, for example, had fallen by 3.45% at its lows of the session but clawed back to a gain of over 3%, driven higher by large-capitalization information technology stocks and notable gains in the cybersecurity sector.</p><p>The last time the tech-heavy index staged a comeback of this magnitude was Jan. 24, 2022 when it fell 4.90% at its low, but closed up 0.63%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>In fact, there have only been eight trading sessions in which the Nasdaq Composite was down at least 3% on an intraday basis, but ended the day higher (not including today).</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite&#39;s turnaround also reflect a broader reversal from a very bearish tone for markets for the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average , even if the index finished once again on the brink of correction territory. The Dow industrials were down 859.12 points at Thursday&#39;s nadir, or 2.6%, and the S&amp;P was down 2.55% at its lows.</p><p>Investors scooped up shares in the tech sector and communication services, both up by around 2.8%, at last check. Gains there contributed to the bounce back, which also saw yields for the 10-year Treasury note rise to 1.969, after hitting a low around 1.85%.</p><p>So why the turnaround?</p><h2>Not so SWIFT</h2><p>The frenzied action on Wall Street came after Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered special operations into Ukraine. The U.S. and most of the international community declared the move an invasion and leveled further sanctions against, Moscow, including fresh sanctions from the U.S., including those on Russian banks, the country&#39;s elites and its largest state-owned enterprises.</p><p>&#34;Putin is the aggressor. Putin chose this war, and now he and his country will bear the consequences,&#34; President Biden said during a speech at the White House Thursday afternoon.</p><p>Market participants, however, may have taken solace in the fact that Biden hasn&#39;t yet booted Russia out of the SWIFT payment network. SWIFT, which stands for the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication, is a payments-related messaging service that helps banks world-wide execute financial transactions.</p><p>Although, such a move may come, keeping Russia in the Swift network may avoid hurting other members of the network that, which could have hurt some economies in Europe.</p><h2>Buy the dip?</h2><p>Investors also could be bargain hunting, or buying the dip, which is a risky proposition because the developments in Kyiv aren&#39;t yet clear and could evolve into Moscow targeting neighboring countries, if he is bent on restoring Soviet-era bloc in Eastern Europe.</p><p>&#34;It is a pretty remarkable turnaround through,&#34; Randy Frederick, managing director at Schwab Center for Financial Research, told MarketWatch.</p><p>Schwab&#39;s Liz Ann Sonders told CNBC that she doesn&#39;t think the market is out of the woods but believed that algorithmic, or computer-driven, trading may have contributing to the reversal. It is probably some version of &#34;buy the rumor sell the fact,&#34; she said.</p><h2>The technicals</h2><p>Investors might also have responded to so-called oversold conditions present in the market that ultimately gave way to a flurry of technical buying. Near midday Thursday, the Arms Index, which is a volume-weighted breadth measure, suggests there is no panic in the stock market&#39;s selloff with signs of opportunistic buying emerging even at that point.</p><p>MarketWatch&#39;s Tomi Kilgore noted that earlier this week that the Relative Strength Index, or RSI, a momentum indicator that measures the magnitude of recent gains against the magnitude of recent declines, was still above its January low for the S&amp;P 500, despite a slide into correction.</p><p>He wrote that when prices make new lows but underlying technicals make higher lows is referred to as &#34;bullish divergence,&#34; and suggested a downtrend may be running out of steam.</p><p>Kilgore notes that another positive sign from the RSI indicator is that it remained above what many chart watchers view as the oversold threshold of 30.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2214974048","content_text":"U.S. stock-market investors shook off an unprovoked Russian invasion of Ukraine to end decidedly in positive territory on Thursday.The Nasdaq Composite Index, for example, had fallen by 3.45% at its lows of the session but clawed back to a gain of over 3%, driven higher by large-capitalization information technology stocks and notable gains in the cybersecurity sector.The last time the tech-heavy index staged a comeback of this magnitude was Jan. 24, 2022 when it fell 4.90% at its low, but closed up 0.63%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.In fact, there have only been eight trading sessions in which the Nasdaq Composite was down at least 3% on an intraday basis, but ended the day higher (not including today).The Nasdaq Composite's turnaround also reflect a broader reversal from a very bearish tone for markets for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average , even if the index finished once again on the brink of correction territory. The Dow industrials were down 859.12 points at Thursday's nadir, or 2.6%, and the S&P was down 2.55% at its lows.Investors scooped up shares in the tech sector and communication services, both up by around 2.8%, at last check. Gains there contributed to the bounce back, which also saw yields for the 10-year Treasury note rise to 1.969, after hitting a low around 1.85%.So why the turnaround?Not so SWIFTThe frenzied action on Wall Street came after Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered special operations into Ukraine. The U.S. and most of the international community declared the move an invasion and leveled further sanctions against, Moscow, including fresh sanctions from the U.S., including those on Russian banks, the country's elites and its largest state-owned enterprises.\"Putin is the aggressor. Putin chose this war, and now he and his country will bear the consequences,\" President Biden said during a speech at the White House Thursday afternoon.Market participants, however, may have taken solace in the fact that Biden hasn't yet booted Russia out of the SWIFT payment network. SWIFT, which stands for the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication, is a payments-related messaging service that helps banks world-wide execute financial transactions.Although, such a move may come, keeping Russia in the Swift network may avoid hurting other members of the network that, which could have hurt some economies in Europe.Buy the dip?Investors also could be bargain hunting, or buying the dip, which is a risky proposition because the developments in Kyiv aren't yet clear and could evolve into Moscow targeting neighboring countries, if he is bent on restoring Soviet-era bloc in Eastern Europe.\"It is a pretty remarkable turnaround through,\" Randy Frederick, managing director at Schwab Center for Financial Research, told MarketWatch.Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders told CNBC that she doesn't think the market is out of the woods but believed that algorithmic, or computer-driven, trading may have contributing to the reversal. It is probably some version of \"buy the rumor sell the fact,\" she said.The technicalsInvestors might also have responded to so-called oversold conditions present in the market that ultimately gave way to a flurry of technical buying. Near midday Thursday, the Arms Index, which is a volume-weighted breadth measure, suggests there is no panic in the stock market's selloff with signs of opportunistic buying emerging even at that point.MarketWatch's Tomi Kilgore noted that earlier this week that the Relative Strength Index, or RSI, a momentum indicator that measures the magnitude of recent gains against the magnitude of recent declines, was still above its January low for the S&P 500, despite a slide into correction.He wrote that when prices make new lows but underlying technicals make higher lows is referred to as \"bullish divergence,\" and suggested a downtrend may be running out of steam.Kilgore notes that another positive sign from the RSI indicator is that it remained above what many chart watchers view as the oversold threshold of 30.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9095239853,"gmtCreate":1644920777870,"gmtModify":1676533975722,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mm","listText":"Mm","text":"Mm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9095239853","repostId":"1134823651","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134823651","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1644919189,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1134823651?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-15 17:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coinbase Shares Rose Nearly 4% in Premarket Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134823651","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Coinbase shares rose nearly 4% in premarket trading.Over 20 million people visited Coinbase’s landin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Coinbase shares rose nearly 4% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/723c09f6ca8dc00d3e3390cc2be698ab\" tg-width=\"723\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Over 20 million people visited Coinbase’s landing page in a single minute after its floating QR code captivated every Super Bowl viewer on Sunday, the company said. And the crypto industry&#39;s advertising push has apparently only just begun.</p><p>The so-called “Crypto Bowl” featured ads from Coinbase, FTX, Crypto.com and eToro. The word “crypto” was referenced four, maybe five times during the entire Super Bowl on Sunday (if you countTurboTax&#39;s ad), but that proved more than enough to get people interested.</p><p>Coinbase jumped from 186th place to No. 2 on the App Store, while apps owned by FTX and eToro surged in App Store rankings for the finance category, according to data fromThe Block Research.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coinbase Shares Rose Nearly 4% in Premarket Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoinbase Shares Rose Nearly 4% in Premarket Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-15 17:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Coinbase shares rose nearly 4% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/723c09f6ca8dc00d3e3390cc2be698ab\" tg-width=\"723\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Over 20 million people visited Coinbase’s landing page in a single minute after its floating QR code captivated every Super Bowl viewer on Sunday, the company said. And the crypto industry&#39;s advertising push has apparently only just begun.</p><p>The so-called “Crypto Bowl” featured ads from Coinbase, FTX, Crypto.com and eToro. The word “crypto” was referenced four, maybe five times during the entire Super Bowl on Sunday (if you countTurboTax&#39;s ad), but that proved more than enough to get people interested.</p><p>Coinbase jumped from 186th place to No. 2 on the App Store, while apps owned by FTX and eToro surged in App Store rankings for the finance category, according to data fromThe Block Research.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134823651","content_text":"Coinbase shares rose nearly 4% in premarket trading.Over 20 million people visited Coinbase’s landing page in a single minute after its floating QR code captivated every Super Bowl viewer on Sunday, the company said. And the crypto industry's advertising push has apparently only just begun.The so-called “Crypto Bowl” featured ads from Coinbase, FTX, Crypto.com and eToro. The word “crypto” was referenced four, maybe five times during the entire Super Bowl on Sunday (if you countTurboTax's ad), but that proved more than enough to get people interested.Coinbase jumped from 186th place to No. 2 on the App Store, while apps owned by FTX and eToro surged in App Store rankings for the finance category, according to data fromThe Block Research.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886476111,"gmtCreate":1631621938633,"gmtModify":1676530591874,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/886476111","repostId":"1165374410","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165374410","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631622928,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165374410?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-14 20:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165374410","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures rallied on Tuesday after inflation data.\nU.S. S&P 500 E-minis were up 16.25 point","content":"<p>U.S.&nbsp;stock futures rallied&nbsp;on Tuesday after&nbsp;inflation data.</p>\n<p>U.S. S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 16.25 points, or 0.36%, at 08:35 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 123 points, or 0.35%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 54.25 points, or 0.35%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ca4324d36dad7984770e67ef4b59f6\" tg-width=\"441\" tg-height=\"177\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>U.S.&nbsp;prices for an array of consumer goods rose less than expected in August in a sign that inflation may be starting to cool, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.</p>\n<p>The consumer price index, which measures a basket of common products as well as various energy goods, increased 5.3% from a year ago and 0.3% from July.</p>\n<p>Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a 5.4% annual rise and 0.4% on the month.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>Oracle(ORCL)</b> – Oracle reported quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share, 6 cents a share above consensus estimates. The business software giant’s revenue fell short of forecasts, however, amid increasing cloud computing competition. Oracle fell 3% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Lucid Group(LCID)</b> –&nbsp;Electric vehicle maker Lucid Group fell 6% in premarket trading. An equity research analyst at Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the company at underweight.</p>\n<p><b>Angi(ANGI)</b> – Angi rose 3.3% in premarket trading after the digital marketplace for home services reported its August metrics, which included a 21% jump in revenue from a year earlier.</p>\n<p><b>Herbalife Nutrition(HLF)</b> – Herbalife shares tumbled 9.2% in the premarket after the maker of nutrition products cut its outlook. Herbalife cited lower than expected levels of activity by its independent distributors, likely due to pandemic-related uncertainty.</p>\n<p><b>Apple(AAPL)</b> – Apple issued a patch to its iOS system to fix a vulnerability related to the iPhone’s iMessage function. An Israeli firm had been exploiting the vulnerability since February to infect iPhones, according to research group Citizen Lab.</p>\n<p><b>Intuit(INTU) </b>– Intuit announced a deal to buy digital marketing firm Mailchimp for about $12 billion in cash and stock. That follows the TurboTax maker’s acquisition of Credit Karma last year for more than $7 billion. It had been reported earlier this month that Intuit and Mailchimp were in acquisition talks.</p>\n<p><b>Coinbase(COIN) </b>– The cryptocurrency exchange operator’s shares rose 1.3% in premarket trading after Piper Sandler reiterated an “overweight” rating on the stock.</p>\n<p><b>Cameco(CCJ) </b>– The Canada-based uranium producer continued its recent rally, up 1.6% in the premarket after rising in 10 of the past 11 sessions. It’s among uranium-related stocks that have caught the attention of investors on social media.</p>\n<p><b>Fox Corp. (FOXA)</b> – Fox finalized a deal to buy celebrity news platform TMZ from&nbsp;AT&amp;T’s(T) WarnerMedia unit. Terms were not disclosed, but The Wall Street Journal reported that TMZ was valued at less than $50 million after earlier indications that the two sides were talking about a price between $100 million and $125 million. Fox rose 1.1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>Southwest Airlines(LUV) </b>– Southwest President Tom Nealon is retiring from the carrier effective immediately. His departure comes three months after CEO Gary Kelly announced he would retire in January and named longtime Southwest executive Bob Jordan as his successor. Nealon had been seen as a possible candidate to succeed Kelly.</p>\n<p><b>SeaChange International(SEAC)</b> – SeaChange reported a quarterly loss of 3 cents per share, smaller than the 9 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. The video management solutions company saw revenue exceed Street forecasts. The company said it has a “robust pipeline” of sales opportunities and significant momentum. The stock rallied 11.9% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>Monmouth Real Estate(MNR)</b> – The real estate investment trust added 1% in premarket action after saying it was re-exploring strategic alternatives, following investor feedback and prior expressions of takeover interest in the company.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-14 20:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S.&nbsp;stock futures rallied&nbsp;on Tuesday after&nbsp;inflation data.</p>\n<p>U.S. S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 16.25 points, or 0.36%, at 08:35 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 123 points, or 0.35%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 54.25 points, or 0.35%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ca4324d36dad7984770e67ef4b59f6\" tg-width=\"441\" tg-height=\"177\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>U.S.&nbsp;prices for an array of consumer goods rose less than expected in August in a sign that inflation may be starting to cool, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.</p>\n<p>The consumer price index, which measures a basket of common products as well as various energy goods, increased 5.3% from a year ago and 0.3% from July.</p>\n<p>Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a 5.4% annual rise and 0.4% on the month.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>Oracle(ORCL)</b> – Oracle reported quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share, 6 cents a share above consensus estimates. The business software giant’s revenue fell short of forecasts, however, amid increasing cloud computing competition. Oracle fell 3% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Lucid Group(LCID)</b> –&nbsp;Electric vehicle maker Lucid Group fell 6% in premarket trading. An equity research analyst at Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the company at underweight.</p>\n<p><b>Angi(ANGI)</b> – Angi rose 3.3% in premarket trading after the digital marketplace for home services reported its August metrics, which included a 21% jump in revenue from a year earlier.</p>\n<p><b>Herbalife Nutrition(HLF)</b> – Herbalife shares tumbled 9.2% in the premarket after the maker of nutrition products cut its outlook. Herbalife cited lower than expected levels of activity by its independent distributors, likely due to pandemic-related uncertainty.</p>\n<p><b>Apple(AAPL)</b> – Apple issued a patch to its iOS system to fix a vulnerability related to the iPhone’s iMessage function. An Israeli firm had been exploiting the vulnerability since February to infect iPhones, according to research group Citizen Lab.</p>\n<p><b>Intuit(INTU) </b>– Intuit announced a deal to buy digital marketing firm Mailchimp for about $12 billion in cash and stock. That follows the TurboTax maker’s acquisition of Credit Karma last year for more than $7 billion. It had been reported earlier this month that Intuit and Mailchimp were in acquisition talks.</p>\n<p><b>Coinbase(COIN) </b>– The cryptocurrency exchange operator’s shares rose 1.3% in premarket trading after Piper Sandler reiterated an “overweight” rating on the stock.</p>\n<p><b>Cameco(CCJ) </b>– The Canada-based uranium producer continued its recent rally, up 1.6% in the premarket after rising in 10 of the past 11 sessions. It’s among uranium-related stocks that have caught the attention of investors on social media.</p>\n<p><b>Fox Corp. (FOXA)</b> – Fox finalized a deal to buy celebrity news platform TMZ from&nbsp;AT&amp;T’s(T) WarnerMedia unit. Terms were not disclosed, but The Wall Street Journal reported that TMZ was valued at less than $50 million after earlier indications that the two sides were talking about a price between $100 million and $125 million. Fox rose 1.1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>Southwest Airlines(LUV) </b>– Southwest President Tom Nealon is retiring from the carrier effective immediately. His departure comes three months after CEO Gary Kelly announced he would retire in January and named longtime Southwest executive Bob Jordan as his successor. Nealon had been seen as a possible candidate to succeed Kelly.</p>\n<p><b>SeaChange International(SEAC)</b> – SeaChange reported a quarterly loss of 3 cents per share, smaller than the 9 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. The video management solutions company saw revenue exceed Street forecasts. The company said it has a “robust pipeline” of sales opportunities and significant momentum. The stock rallied 11.9% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>Monmouth Real Estate(MNR)</b> – The real estate investment trust added 1% in premarket action after saying it was re-exploring strategic alternatives, following investor feedback and prior expressions of takeover interest in the company.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FOXA":"福克斯-A","CCJ":"Cameco Corp","LUV":"西南航空",".DJI":"道琼斯","INTU":"财捷","HLF":"康宝莱","SEAC":"海易国际",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AAPL":"苹果","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","ORCL":"甲骨文","ANGI":"Angi Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165374410","content_text":"U.S. stock futures rallied on Tuesday after inflation data.\nU.S. S&P 500 E-minis were up 16.25 points, or 0.36%, at 08:35 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 123 points, or 0.35%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 54.25 points, or 0.35%.\n\nU.S. prices for an array of consumer goods rose less than expected in August in a sign that inflation may be starting to cool, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.\nThe consumer price index, which measures a basket of common products as well as various energy goods, increased 5.3% from a year ago and 0.3% from July.\nEconomists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a 5.4% annual rise and 0.4% on the month.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nOracle(ORCL) – Oracle reported quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share, 6 cents a share above consensus estimates. The business software giant’s revenue fell short of forecasts, however, amid increasing cloud computing competition. Oracle fell 3% in the premarket.\nLucid Group(LCID) – Electric vehicle maker Lucid Group fell 6% in premarket trading. An equity research analyst at Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the company at underweight.\nAngi(ANGI) – Angi rose 3.3% in premarket trading after the digital marketplace for home services reported its August metrics, which included a 21% jump in revenue from a year earlier.\nHerbalife Nutrition(HLF) – Herbalife shares tumbled 9.2% in the premarket after the maker of nutrition products cut its outlook. Herbalife cited lower than expected levels of activity by its independent distributors, likely due to pandemic-related uncertainty.\nApple(AAPL) – Apple issued a patch to its iOS system to fix a vulnerability related to the iPhone’s iMessage function. An Israeli firm had been exploiting the vulnerability since February to infect iPhones, according to research group Citizen Lab.\nIntuit(INTU) – Intuit announced a deal to buy digital marketing firm Mailchimp for about $12 billion in cash and stock. That follows the TurboTax maker’s acquisition of Credit Karma last year for more than $7 billion. It had been reported earlier this month that Intuit and Mailchimp were in acquisition talks.\nCoinbase(COIN) – The cryptocurrency exchange operator’s shares rose 1.3% in premarket trading after Piper Sandler reiterated an “overweight” rating on the stock.\nCameco(CCJ) – The Canada-based uranium producer continued its recent rally, up 1.6% in the premarket after rising in 10 of the past 11 sessions. It’s among uranium-related stocks that have caught the attention of investors on social media.\nFox Corp. (FOXA) – Fox finalized a deal to buy celebrity news platform TMZ from AT&T’s(T) WarnerMedia unit. Terms were not disclosed, but The Wall Street Journal reported that TMZ was valued at less than $50 million after earlier indications that the two sides were talking about a price between $100 million and $125 million. Fox rose 1.1% in premarket trading.\nSouthwest Airlines(LUV) – Southwest President Tom Nealon is retiring from the carrier effective immediately. His departure comes three months after CEO Gary Kelly announced he would retire in January and named longtime Southwest executive Bob Jordan as his successor. Nealon had been seen as a possible candidate to succeed Kelly.\nSeaChange International(SEAC) – SeaChange reported a quarterly loss of 3 cents per share, smaller than the 9 cents a share loss anticipated by analysts. The video management solutions company saw revenue exceed Street forecasts. The company said it has a “robust pipeline” of sales opportunities and significant momentum. The stock rallied 11.9% in premarket trading.\nMonmouth Real Estate(MNR) – The real estate investment trust added 1% in premarket action after saying it was re-exploring strategic alternatives, following investor feedback and prior expressions of takeover interest in the company.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881423390,"gmtCreate":1631379333710,"gmtModify":1676530538761,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/881423390","repostId":"2166371940","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895673805,"gmtCreate":1628743101507,"gmtModify":1676529839628,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/895673805","repostId":"1143445979","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143445979","pubTimestamp":1628740791,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1143445979?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-12 11:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US lawmakers introduce bill to rein in Apple, Google app stores","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143445979","media":"FOX Business","summary":"The bill would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system.\nA bipart","content":"<p><i>The bill would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system.</i></p>\n<p>A bipartisan trio of senators introduced a bill that would rein in app stores of companies they said exert too much market control, including&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> Inc's Google.</p>\n<p>Democratic Senators Richard Blumenthal and Amy Klobuchar teamed up with Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn to sponsor the bill, which would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system. It would also prohibit them from punishing apps that offer different prices or conditions through another app store or payment system.</p>\n<p>\"I found this predatory abuse of Apple and Google so deeply offensive on so many levels,\" Blumenthal said in an interview Wednesday. \"Their power has reached a point where they are impacting the whole economy in stifling and strangling innovation.\"</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n  <tr>\n   <th>Ticker</th>\n   <th>Security</th>\n   <th>Last</th>\n   <th>Change</th>\n   <th>Change %</th>\n  </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>GOOGL</td>\n   <td>ALPHABET, INC.</td>\n   <td>2,725.58</td>\n   <td>-10.56</td>\n   <td>-0.39%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>AAPL</td>\n   <td>APPLE, INC.</td>\n   <td>145.86</td>\n   <td>+0.26</td>\n   <td>+0.18%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Blumenthal said he expected companion legislation in the House of Representatives \"very soon.\"</p>\n<p>The stakes are high for Apple, whose App Store anchors its $53.8 billion services business as the smartphone market has matured.</p>\n<p>Apple said its app store was \"an unprecedented engine of economic growth and innovation, one that now supports more than 2.1 million jobs across all 50 states.\"</p>\n<p>Google declined to comment, but a spokeswoman cited previous company statements that Android devices often come preloaded with two or more app stores and that app sellers can allow downloads without using Google's Play Store.</p>\n<p>The bill won praise from Spotify, Epic and Tile. Tile, which makes tags to find lost objects, complained earlier this year about Apple launching a rival product.</p>\n<p>A similar law revision has been introduced in South Korea. Google said last year it would enforce certain in-app payment methods there and receive 30% commission fees from non-game digital content.</p>\n<p>Apple's control over apps on its Store, and 15% to 30% commissions on digital sales have come under regulatory scrutiny. A federal judge is reviewing testimony to rule on an antitrust lawsuit by \"Fortnite\" creator Epic Games.</p>\n<p>Epic also sued Google for its app store practices, as have a big group of state attorneys general alleging that it unlawfully worked to maintain a monopoly for its app store for Android phones.</p>","source":"lsy1602566126337","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US lawmakers introduce bill to rein in Apple, Google app stores</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS lawmakers introduce bill to rein in Apple, Google app stores\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-12 11:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.foxbusiness.com/technology/us-lawmakers-introduce-bill-to-rein-in-apple-google-app-stores><strong>FOX Business</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The bill would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system.\nA bipartisan trio of senators introduced a bill that would rein in app stores of companies they said exert ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.foxbusiness.com/technology/us-lawmakers-introduce-bill-to-rein-in-apple-google-app-stores\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://www.foxbusiness.com/technology/us-lawmakers-introduce-bill-to-rein-in-apple-google-app-stores","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143445979","content_text":"The bill would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system.\nA bipartisan trio of senators introduced a bill that would rein in app stores of companies they said exert too much market control, including Apple and Alphabet Inc's Google.\nDemocratic Senators Richard Blumenthal and Amy Klobuchar teamed up with Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn to sponsor the bill, which would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system. It would also prohibit them from punishing apps that offer different prices or conditions through another app store or payment system.\n\"I found this predatory abuse of Apple and Google so deeply offensive on so many levels,\" Blumenthal said in an interview Wednesday. \"Their power has reached a point where they are impacting the whole economy in stifling and strangling innovation.\"\n\n\n\nTicker\nSecurity\nLast\nChange\nChange %\n\n\n\n\nGOOGL\nALPHABET, INC.\n2,725.58\n-10.56\n-0.39%\n\n\nAAPL\nAPPLE, INC.\n145.86\n+0.26\n+0.18%\n\n\n\n\nBlumenthal said he expected companion legislation in the House of Representatives \"very soon.\"\nThe stakes are high for Apple, whose App Store anchors its $53.8 billion services business as the smartphone market has matured.\nApple said its app store was \"an unprecedented engine of economic growth and innovation, one that now supports more than 2.1 million jobs across all 50 states.\"\nGoogle declined to comment, but a spokeswoman cited previous company statements that Android devices often come preloaded with two or more app stores and that app sellers can allow downloads without using Google's Play Store.\nThe bill won praise from Spotify, Epic and Tile. Tile, which makes tags to find lost objects, complained earlier this year about Apple launching a rival product.\nA similar law revision has been introduced in South Korea. Google said last year it would enforce certain in-app payment methods there and receive 30% commission fees from non-game digital content.\nApple's control over apps on its Store, and 15% to 30% commissions on digital sales have come under regulatory scrutiny. A federal judge is reviewing testimony to rule on an antitrust lawsuit by \"Fortnite\" creator Epic Games.\nEpic also sued Google for its app store practices, as have a big group of state attorneys general alleging that it unlawfully worked to maintain a monopoly for its app store for Android phones.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893050574,"gmtCreate":1628223189298,"gmtModify":1703503478792,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/893050574","repostId":"1146568691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146568691","pubTimestamp":1628221469,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146568691?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-06 11:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China’s Xiaomi overtook Samsung and Apple in June smartphones sales","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146568691","media":"CNBC","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nXiaomi’s sales grew 26% on-month, giving the company a 17.1% share of the total number o","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nXiaomi’s sales grew 26% on-month, giving the company a 17.1% share of the total number of smartphones sold globally in June, Counterpoint Research said.\nFor the quarter that ended in June,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/06/china-xiaomi-overtook-samsung-apple-in-june-smartphones-sales-counterpoint.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China’s Xiaomi overtook Samsung and Apple in June smartphones sales</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina’s Xiaomi overtook Samsung and Apple in June smartphones sales\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-06 11:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/06/china-xiaomi-overtook-samsung-apple-in-june-smartphones-sales-counterpoint.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nXiaomi’s sales grew 26% on-month, giving the company a 17.1% share of the total number of smartphones sold globally in June, Counterpoint Research said.\nFor the quarter that ended in June,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/06/china-xiaomi-overtook-samsung-apple-in-june-smartphones-sales-counterpoint.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SSNLF":"三星电子","01810":"小米集团-W","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/06/china-xiaomi-overtook-samsung-apple-in-june-smartphones-sales-counterpoint.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1146568691","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nXiaomi’s sales grew 26% on-month, giving the company a 17.1% share of the total number of smartphones sold globally in June, Counterpoint Research said.\nFor the quarter that ended in June, Xiaomi was the second-largest smartphone maker by shipment — trailing Samsung.\nCounterpoint analysts said the trend could be temporary as a fresh surge in Covid-19 cases in Vietnam likely disrupted Samsung’s production that month.\n\nChinese smartphone maker XIAOMI-W sold more phones in June than its rivals Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. and Apple, according to research firm Counterpoint.\nXiaomi’s sales grew 26% compared to the previous month, giving the company a 17.1% share of the total number of smartphones sold globally in June, Counterpoint said in a Thursday note. It added that Samsung and Apple sold 15.7% and 14.3% of the total handsets for the same period, respectively.\nFor the quarter that ended in June, Xiaomi was the second-largest smartphone maker by shipment — trailing Samsung.\nCounterpoint analysts explained that the trend could be temporary as a fresh surge of Covid-19 cases in Vietnam likely disrupted Samsung’s production in June. That led to a shortage in devices available from the South Korean smartphone maker, the note said.\nSamsung noted the production disruption in Vietnam due to local lockdowns during its second-quarter earnings call. The smartphone giant reportedly expects production to return to normal levels soon.\n“Ever since the decline of Huawei commenced, Xiaomi has been making consistent and aggressive efforts to fill the gap created by this decline,” said Tarun Pathak, research director at Counterpoint, in a statement. He added that Xiaomi has been expanding in Huawei’s legacy markets like China, Europe, Middle East and Africa.\nIn fact, research from Strategy Analytics this month found that Xiaomi was the top smartphone brand in Europe for the three months between April and June, holding about 25% of market share.\nXiaomi remains the top player in India— one of the world’s fastest-growing smartphone markets.\nThough most of Xiaomi’s phones are still aimed at the mass market, the Chinese smartphone maker is pushing into the high-end segment — which is currently dominated by premium devices from Samsung and Apple.\nThis year, Xiaomi launched the Mi 11 Ultra smartphone that has a starting price of 5,999 yuan ($928) as well as its first foldable phone with a 9,999 yuan price tag.\nSamsung is expected to launch new high-end smartphones next week at its Galaxy Unpacked event. Apple is also expected to announce its next iPhone model in September.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":807438323,"gmtCreate":1628048610062,"gmtModify":1703500262462,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/807438323","repostId":"1123278856","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123278856","pubTimestamp":1628046173,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123278856?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-04 11:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO: Growth Is Set To Accelerate","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123278856","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nNIO’s delivery growth in July accelerated over the previous month.\nBecause of this strong s","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>NIO’s delivery growth in July accelerated over the previous month.</li>\n <li>Because of this strong start to Q3, I am updating my FY 2021 delivery estimate.</li>\n <li>As the semiconductor supply shortage eases, NIO’s delivery growth should further accelerate.</li>\n <li>Based on valuation and estimated sales growth, NIO is a buy.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241262452bbefb6f4187cbdc8ada9bef\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>SimonSkafar/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>NIO (NIO) saw impressive delivery growth in July which indicates stronger than expected growth for the second half of the year… which should also see a normalization in production as the chip supply shortage eases. NIO is not cheap, but impressive delivery and sales growth justify a high sales multiplier factor.</p>\n<p><b>NIO's delivery growth may accelerate toward the end of the year</b></p>\n<p>For the month of July, NIO reported124.5% Y/Y delivery growth. The Chinese EV maker delivered 7,931 vehicles last month, the majority of which were NIO's five-seater smart electric SUV, the ES6. NIO delivered 3,669 ES6s (46% of total deliveries), 2,560 EC6s vehicles (32% of deliveries), which is NIO's five-seater electric coupe sport utility vehicle, and 1,702 ES8s (21% of deliveries), which is NIO's six or seven-seater smart electric SUV. NIO's ES6 is the best-selling EV SUV in the Chinese maker's product line-up and it has the highest delivery volume. If we break down the growth rate by model, then the ES6 saw 41% Y/Y delivery growth and the ES8 saw 84% Y/Y growth. In July 2020, NIO delivered just 3,533 ES8s and ES6s and deliveries of the EC6 coupe SUV commenced only in September 2020. NIO's 124.5% Y/Y growth rate reported for July, although impressive on its own, may underestimate NIO's total delivery growth for the second half of the year as production returns to normal and EC6 sales start to make a larger impact.</p>\n<p>NIO's ES6 and the EC6 deliveries saw a small delivery dip in July, which may be attributable to the chip supply shortage rather than slowing demand. However, the drop in deliveries for these two models was countered by an increase in ES8 deliveries. The net effect was that NIO delivered 152 fewer vehicles in July than it delivered in June. I expect ES6 and EC6 models to resume growth throughout Q3'21 and NIO, like other car brands, should benefit from an improving flow of semiconductors in the second half of the year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4aac41720554953fda9f50597692affe\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"559\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Despite supply problems with semiconductors, NIO's growth accelerated in July. NIO's July delivery growth rate of 124.5% exceeded delivery growth in June, a month that saw 116.1% growth over last year. In July 2020, NIO's Y/Y delivery growth rate was 322.1% because the delivery volume was much lower in FY 2019, making for a very favorable Y/Y comparison.</p>\n<p>NIO's EV rivals, XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI), did better. XPeng delivered 8,040 vehicles in July 2021, showing&nbsp;228% Y/Y growth. Delivery growth was driven by XPeng's P7s, the Company's sports smart sedan, of which the Chinese EV maker sold 6,054 models. XPeng also sold 1,986 G3s, its compact SUV, which competes against NIO's range of sport utility vehicles. Li Auto also delivered record results with 8,589 Li ONEs delivered in July 2021. The delivery numbers showed&nbsp;251.3% Y/Y growth. The Li ONE is Li Auto's six-seater electric SUV and it competes for buyers against NIO's ES8. It was the first time for Li Auto to cross the milestone of 8,000 monthly deliveries.</p>\n<p>Based on the delivery reports, XPeng and Li Auto have stronger delivery growth rates and each EV maker sold more vehicles than NIO in July. NIO lagged its rivals in July deliveries, but its SUV-centric line-up products nevertheless impressive growth. Because of an expected return to normal production in the second half of the year, I expect NIO's growth to continue to accelerate in the remaining five months of the year. Ford said last week that it sees an&nbsp;improving semiconductor supply situation&nbsp;although chips will continue to be in short supply at least until the end of the year. I expect similar comments from NIO next week when earnings are due at which point management may give a new production/delivery guidance.</p>\n<p>NIO&nbsp;lowered its Q1'21 production forecast&nbsp;because of the semiconductor shortage to 19,500 models, which indicated 1,000 fewer vehicles to be delivered than called for in its earlier guidance of 20,000-20,500 vehicles. NIO ultimately ended up delivering 20,060 in Q1'21. NIO's Q2 saw deliveries of 21,896, so the Chinese EV maker did better in deliveries than its guidance suggested. Because of this, I expect that production can ramp up significantly in Q3 and Q4 as the chip supply shortage becomes less of a production choke point for NIO. I estimate that NIO will edge closer to the 100,000-delivery milestone this year with growth being driven predominantly by the EC6 and ES8. For Q3'21, I expect NIO to average more than 8,000 monthly deliveries, with the average of monthly deliveries growing to a little bit above 10,000 in Q4'21. Compared to my previous guidance, the FY 2021 delivery estimate reflects an additional 1,840 vehicles to be sold in the second half of 2021. So far, NIO delivered 49,887 models in 2021 (including July deliveries) which is equivalent to 50.4% of my full year delivery estimate.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fb9b5de9002f17836d0c5fa3b3034f0\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"443\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Author Projections)</span></p>\n<p><b>NIO's sales are expected to grow rapidly</b></p>\n<p>NIO is expected to have sales of $8.9B next year, twice as much as XPeng… which has the same P-S ratio than NIO. Li Auto has the cheapest sales growth as FY 2022 revenues are valued with a 5.2 sales multiplier factor. Looking at estimated 5-year revenue growth, Li Auto is expected to grow sales the fastest, in part because of its smaller size. However, NIO will still have very impressive revenue growth of 310% until 2025 (based on next year's sales). Because of NIO's&nbsp;BaaS&nbsp;revenue opportunity (which is better than XPeng's battery lease model), I would choose NIO over the other two Chinese EV makers... despite the lower total sales growth rate.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58c5132b85c6e35c18744ec71c7b2e85\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"532\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p>\n<p><b>Risks with NIO</b></p>\n<p>The chip supply shortage will be the factor that decides how quickly NIO can return to full production and how quickly deliveries will grow. The EV maker will likely give an update next week when it opens its books for the second quarter. The status update will likely include a modified production guidance for the rest of the year which should be positive if management expects the semiconductor situation to improve, which is what I would expect. What would change my opinion on NIO, and perhaps NIO's valuation, is a slowdown in delivery growth rates which I don't consider in my full year delivery estimate. Slower delivery and revenue growth are the two biggest risks for NIO and the stock.</p>\n<p><b>Final thoughts</b></p>\n<p>I expect NIO to return to a monthly production of at least 10,000 vehicles by Q4'21 as the chip supply situation eases in the next five months… that at least was the takeaway from Ford's Q2'21 earnings and NIO should similarly experience a better flow of semiconductors. This would clear a major production choke point, giving NIO room to ramp up production in 2021 and accelerate its growth.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO: Growth Is Set To Accelerate</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO: Growth Is Set To Accelerate\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-04 11:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444428-nio-growth-is-set-to-accelerate><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNIO’s delivery growth in July accelerated over the previous month.\nBecause of this strong start to Q3, I am updating my FY 2021 delivery estimate.\nAs the semiconductor supply shortage eases, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444428-nio-growth-is-set-to-accelerate\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444428-nio-growth-is-set-to-accelerate","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123278856","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO’s delivery growth in July accelerated over the previous month.\nBecause of this strong start to Q3, I am updating my FY 2021 delivery estimate.\nAs the semiconductor supply shortage eases, NIO’s delivery growth should further accelerate.\nBased on valuation and estimated sales growth, NIO is a buy.\n\nSimonSkafar/iStock via Getty Images\nNIO (NIO) saw impressive delivery growth in July which indicates stronger than expected growth for the second half of the year… which should also see a normalization in production as the chip supply shortage eases. NIO is not cheap, but impressive delivery and sales growth justify a high sales multiplier factor.\nNIO's delivery growth may accelerate toward the end of the year\nFor the month of July, NIO reported124.5% Y/Y delivery growth. The Chinese EV maker delivered 7,931 vehicles last month, the majority of which were NIO's five-seater smart electric SUV, the ES6. NIO delivered 3,669 ES6s (46% of total deliveries), 2,560 EC6s vehicles (32% of deliveries), which is NIO's five-seater electric coupe sport utility vehicle, and 1,702 ES8s (21% of deliveries), which is NIO's six or seven-seater smart electric SUV. NIO's ES6 is the best-selling EV SUV in the Chinese maker's product line-up and it has the highest delivery volume. If we break down the growth rate by model, then the ES6 saw 41% Y/Y delivery growth and the ES8 saw 84% Y/Y growth. In July 2020, NIO delivered just 3,533 ES8s and ES6s and deliveries of the EC6 coupe SUV commenced only in September 2020. NIO's 124.5% Y/Y growth rate reported for July, although impressive on its own, may underestimate NIO's total delivery growth for the second half of the year as production returns to normal and EC6 sales start to make a larger impact.\nNIO's ES6 and the EC6 deliveries saw a small delivery dip in July, which may be attributable to the chip supply shortage rather than slowing demand. However, the drop in deliveries for these two models was countered by an increase in ES8 deliveries. The net effect was that NIO delivered 152 fewer vehicles in July than it delivered in June. I expect ES6 and EC6 models to resume growth throughout Q3'21 and NIO, like other car brands, should benefit from an improving flow of semiconductors in the second half of the year.\n(Source: Author)\n\n\n\n\n\nDespite supply problems with semiconductors, NIO's growth accelerated in July. NIO's July delivery growth rate of 124.5% exceeded delivery growth in June, a month that saw 116.1% growth over last year. In July 2020, NIO's Y/Y delivery growth rate was 322.1% because the delivery volume was much lower in FY 2019, making for a very favorable Y/Y comparison.\nNIO's EV rivals, XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI), did better. XPeng delivered 8,040 vehicles in July 2021, showing 228% Y/Y growth. Delivery growth was driven by XPeng's P7s, the Company's sports smart sedan, of which the Chinese EV maker sold 6,054 models. XPeng also sold 1,986 G3s, its compact SUV, which competes against NIO's range of sport utility vehicles. Li Auto also delivered record results with 8,589 Li ONEs delivered in July 2021. The delivery numbers showed 251.3% Y/Y growth. The Li ONE is Li Auto's six-seater electric SUV and it competes for buyers against NIO's ES8. It was the first time for Li Auto to cross the milestone of 8,000 monthly deliveries.\nBased on the delivery reports, XPeng and Li Auto have stronger delivery growth rates and each EV maker sold more vehicles than NIO in July. NIO lagged its rivals in July deliveries, but its SUV-centric line-up products nevertheless impressive growth. Because of an expected return to normal production in the second half of the year, I expect NIO's growth to continue to accelerate in the remaining five months of the year. Ford said last week that it sees an improving semiconductor supply situation although chips will continue to be in short supply at least until the end of the year. I expect similar comments from NIO next week when earnings are due at which point management may give a new production/delivery guidance.\nNIO lowered its Q1'21 production forecast because of the semiconductor shortage to 19,500 models, which indicated 1,000 fewer vehicles to be delivered than called for in its earlier guidance of 20,000-20,500 vehicles. NIO ultimately ended up delivering 20,060 in Q1'21. NIO's Q2 saw deliveries of 21,896, so the Chinese EV maker did better in deliveries than its guidance suggested. Because of this, I expect that production can ramp up significantly in Q3 and Q4 as the chip supply shortage becomes less of a production choke point for NIO. I estimate that NIO will edge closer to the 100,000-delivery milestone this year with growth being driven predominantly by the EC6 and ES8. For Q3'21, I expect NIO to average more than 8,000 monthly deliveries, with the average of monthly deliveries growing to a little bit above 10,000 in Q4'21. Compared to my previous guidance, the FY 2021 delivery estimate reflects an additional 1,840 vehicles to be sold in the second half of 2021. So far, NIO delivered 49,887 models in 2021 (including July deliveries) which is equivalent to 50.4% of my full year delivery estimate.\n(Source: Author Projections)\nNIO's sales are expected to grow rapidly\nNIO is expected to have sales of $8.9B next year, twice as much as XPeng… which has the same P-S ratio than NIO. Li Auto has the cheapest sales growth as FY 2022 revenues are valued with a 5.2 sales multiplier factor. Looking at estimated 5-year revenue growth, Li Auto is expected to grow sales the fastest, in part because of its smaller size. However, NIO will still have very impressive revenue growth of 310% until 2025 (based on next year's sales). Because of NIO's BaaS revenue opportunity (which is better than XPeng's battery lease model), I would choose NIO over the other two Chinese EV makers... despite the lower total sales growth rate.\n(Source: Author)\nRisks with NIO\nThe chip supply shortage will be the factor that decides how quickly NIO can return to full production and how quickly deliveries will grow. The EV maker will likely give an update next week when it opens its books for the second quarter. The status update will likely include a modified production guidance for the rest of the year which should be positive if management expects the semiconductor situation to improve, which is what I would expect. What would change my opinion on NIO, and perhaps NIO's valuation, is a slowdown in delivery growth rates which I don't consider in my full year delivery estimate. Slower delivery and revenue growth are the two biggest risks for NIO and the stock.\nFinal thoughts\nI expect NIO to return to a monthly production of at least 10,000 vehicles by Q4'21 as the chip supply situation eases in the next five months… that at least was the takeaway from Ford's Q2'21 earnings and NIO should similarly experience a better flow of semiconductors. This would clear a major production choke point, giving NIO room to ramp up production in 2021 and accelerate its growth.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172943142,"gmtCreate":1626930133186,"gmtModify":1703480811242,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172943142","repostId":"1146624774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146624774","pubTimestamp":1626926115,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146624774?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-22 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's Why Cassava Sciences Is Surging Today","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146624774","media":"The Motley Fool","summary":"Key Points\n\nCassava Sciences will present the results of an interim analysis for the first 50 Alzhei","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Cassava Sciences will present the results of an interim analysis for the first 50 Alzheimer's disease patients to complete nine months of treatment with its lead candidate, simufilam, in an open-label study.</li>\n</ul>\n<h2><b>What happened</b></h2>\n<p>Shares of&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAVA\">Cassava Sciences Inc</a></b>, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, gained 26.6% as of 3:05 p.m. EDT on Wednesday. Investors are anticipating a new set of clinical-trial data from the company's lead candidate, simufilam, to be presented at the Alzheimer's Association International Conference (AAIC) later this month.</p>\n<h2><b>So what</b></h2>\n<p>The FDA's controversial approval of Aduhelm from&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIIB\">Biogen</a></b>&nbsp;this June has many retail investors excited about the next potential Alzheimer's disease treatment. More than 6 million Americans are living with this progressive and ultimately fatal form of dementia, and the only available treatmentisn't supported by evidence of efficacy.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/283ff788d77e7317a9f096803e24ca4f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p>\n<p>Cassava Sciences stock jumped higher on Wednesday because the company simply announced an upcoming presentation at AAIC's annual conference. On July 29, 2021, the company will present new data from a phase 2 trial with simufilam, a potential first-in-class stabilizer of a structural protein called filamin A.</p>\n<h2><b>Now what</b></h2>\n<p>Signs that simufilam can help slow down patients' loss of cognitive abilities have beenencouragingand worthy of further study. At recent prices, though, Cassava Sciences sports a $4.6 billion market cap. That's a lot for a company with no products to sell and oneexperimental drugin mid-stage testing.</p>\n<p>Last September, Cassava Sciences showed how 28 days of treatment with simufilam significantly reduced signs of worsening dementia as measured from samples of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). Cognitive measurements from this phase 2 study showed signs of a benefit compared to a placebo, but the company hasn't even started a phase 3 trial that could support a new drug application.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's Why Cassava Sciences Is Surging Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's Why Cassava Sciences Is Surging Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-22 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/21/heres-why-cassava-sciences-is-surging-today/><strong>The Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Key Points\n\nCassava Sciences will present the results of an interim analysis for the first 50 Alzheimer's disease patients to complete nine months of treatment with its lead candidate, simufilam, in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/21/heres-why-cassava-sciences-is-surging-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SAVA":"Cassava Sciences Inc","BIIB":"渤健公司"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/21/heres-why-cassava-sciences-is-surging-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146624774","content_text":"Key Points\n\nCassava Sciences will present the results of an interim analysis for the first 50 Alzheimer's disease patients to complete nine months of treatment with its lead candidate, simufilam, in an open-label study.\n\nWhat happened\nShares of Cassava Sciences Inc, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, gained 26.6% as of 3:05 p.m. EDT on Wednesday. Investors are anticipating a new set of clinical-trial data from the company's lead candidate, simufilam, to be presented at the Alzheimer's Association International Conference (AAIC) later this month.\nSo what\nThe FDA's controversial approval of Aduhelm from Biogen this June has many retail investors excited about the next potential Alzheimer's disease treatment. More than 6 million Americans are living with this progressive and ultimately fatal form of dementia, and the only available treatmentisn't supported by evidence of efficacy.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nCassava Sciences stock jumped higher on Wednesday because the company simply announced an upcoming presentation at AAIC's annual conference. On July 29, 2021, the company will present new data from a phase 2 trial with simufilam, a potential first-in-class stabilizer of a structural protein called filamin A.\nNow what\nSigns that simufilam can help slow down patients' loss of cognitive abilities have beenencouragingand worthy of further study. At recent prices, though, Cassava Sciences sports a $4.6 billion market cap. That's a lot for a company with no products to sell and oneexperimental drugin mid-stage testing.\nLast September, Cassava Sciences showed how 28 days of treatment with simufilam significantly reduced signs of worsening dementia as measured from samples of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). Cognitive measurements from this phase 2 study showed signs of a benefit compared to a placebo, but the company hasn't even started a phase 3 trial that could support a new drug application.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179232541,"gmtCreate":1626531218083,"gmtModify":1703761503530,"author":{"id":"3574914526090483","authorId":"3574914526090483","name":"yeelyn18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae47c3e96729c68a0234dd22850dfe69","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914526090483","authorIdStr":"3574914526090483"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool stuff","listText":"Cool stuff","text":"Cool stuff","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/179232541","repostId":"2152689797","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2152689797","pubTimestamp":1626525420,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2152689797?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-17 20:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is This Apple Supplier a Buy Before Its Next Earnings Report?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2152689797","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"An attractive valuation and solid prospects make this chipmaker an enticing bet right now.","content":"<p><b>Skyworks Solutions</b> (NASDAQ:SWKS) didn't get much love from investors at the end of April despite delivering a solid set of earnings results that cleared Wall Street's expectations. Share prices of the chipmaker fell substantially after its Q2 earnings report nearly three months ago, but they have regained their mojo since then.</p>\n<p>Thanks to the recent surge, Skyworks stock price finished the first half of 2021 with respectable gains of 26%. The company will release its fiscal third-quarter results on July&nbsp;29, which could act as a catalyst for the stock and send it even higher in the second half of the year and beyond. Let's see what's expected of Skyworks and why it may be a good idea to buy the stock before its upcoming earnings report.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dab7e954283ee07bd99cb9210cdf6a91\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<h2>Skyworks Solutions' stellar growth should continue in Q3</h2>\n<p>Skyworks Solutions' revenue shot up 61% year over year in the first six months of fiscal 2021 to $2.68 billion, while non-GAAP net income increased 84% over the prior-year period to $955.7 million. For the third quarter, the chipmaker expects year-over-year revenue growth of 49% to $1.1 billion at the midpoint of its guidance range. Adjusted earnings are forecast to jump 70% year over year to $2.13 per share.</p>\n<p>Skyworks' impressive Q3 guidance was based on the robust demand trends in mobile and the broader wireless connectivity market. The mobile business, which made up two-thirds of Skyworks' Q2 revenue, has been supercharged by the arrival of 5G smartphones. The chipmaker's relationship with <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:AAPL) has played a key role in this regard, as the iPhone maker accounted for 56%&nbsp;of Skyworks' total revenue in fiscal 2020.</p>\n<p>Skyworks is a key supplier of wireless components&nbsp;for the iPhone 12. Each unit of the device reportedly contains as many as eight chips from Skyworks, according to a teardown of the phone. Not surprisingly, the success of Apple's latest 5G smartphones has rubbed off on the chipmaker.</p>\n<p>Apple's iPhone 12 builds in the June quarter, which coincides with Skyworks' fiscal Q3, are expected to increase 26% over the prior-year period to 44 million units, according to Cowen. It is worth noting that Cowen's estimate of 57 million iPhone units shipping in the first quarter of 2021 was pretty accurate. Although Apple has stopped officially reporting the total, outsider estimates suggest the estimate was spot on.</p>\n<p>Volume growth at Skyworks' largest customer should ensure that it meets the ambitious revenue and earnings growth targets for Q3, especially considering that 5G devices are carrying more wireless content than their 4G predecessors.</p>\n<p>Additionally, Skyworks' broad markets portfolio, which relies on the Internet of Things (IoT) market for growth, has secured design wins across various verticals. Broad markets revenue had shot up 67% year over year in Q2 to $385 million as demand for wireless connectivity beyond smartphones increased.</p>\n<p>So Skyworks is sitting on two impressive growth drivers that could ensure the continuation of its momentum. The good news is that its catalysts could get better in the second half of the year and beyond.</p>\n<h2>Better times lie ahead as 5G gains momentum</h2>\n<p>End-market developments indicate that Skyworks' guidance could be much better than Wall Street estimates. Analysts expect&nbsp;the chipmaker's revenue to increase 27.6% year over year to $1.22 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter. But explosive smartphone demand for Apple's iPhone could help Skyworks easily clear those expectations.</p>\n<p>According to supply chain estimates, Apple is expected to increase&nbsp;the initial production of this year's rumored iPhone 13 models to 90 million units, up from the iPhone 12's 75 million units. With the launch of this year's iPhones just a couple of months&nbsp;away, production is reportedly in full swing, and probably ahead of schedule (as supply chain gossip suggests).</p>\n<p>Even better, Apple seems set for multiyear growth in the 5G era, as more than 80% of its installed base is running non-5G iPhones. All told, the bright prospects of Skyworks' biggest customer bode well for the chipmaker both in the short and in the long run.</p>\n<p>More importantly, Skyworks' 5G opportunity isn't restricted to just Apple. It counts&nbsp;the likes of Samsung, Oppo, Vivo, and <b>Xiaomi</b> as customers, which means that the top five 5G smartphone vendors (including Apple) use Skyworks' chips in their devices. This is great news for Skyworks investors, as the global 5G smartphone market is anticipated to clock 124% annual growth through 2025, according to third-party estimates. The market's secular growth should pave the way for tremendous growth in the company's mobile business.</p>\n<p>Given these tailwinds, it is not surprising to see analysts expecting&nbsp;Skyworks' earnings to grow at an annual rate of nearly 17% for the next five years, up from the single-digit growth it has recorded in the past five. Additionally, the stock is trading at just 26 times trailing earnings versus the <b>Nasdaq 100</b>'s price-to-earnings ratio of&nbsp;38.25 (of which Skyworks is a part).</p>\n<p>So investors looking to add a 5G stock to their portfolios should keep Skyworks Solutions within their sights because it offers a mix of value and growth. But it may not be available for cheap for long, as a strong earnings report could send the stock higher.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is This Apple Supplier a Buy Before Its Next Earnings Report?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs This Apple Supplier a Buy Before Its Next Earnings Report?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-17 20:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/17/apple-supplier-buy-before-next-earnings-skyworks/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Skyworks Solutions (NASDAQ:SWKS) didn't get much love from investors at the end of April despite delivering a solid set of earnings results that cleared Wall Street's expectations. Share prices of the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/17/apple-supplier-buy-before-next-earnings-skyworks/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/17/apple-supplier-buy-before-next-earnings-skyworks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2152689797","content_text":"Skyworks Solutions (NASDAQ:SWKS) didn't get much love from investors at the end of April despite delivering a solid set of earnings results that cleared Wall Street's expectations. Share prices of the chipmaker fell substantially after its Q2 earnings report nearly three months ago, but they have regained their mojo since then.\nThanks to the recent surge, Skyworks stock price finished the first half of 2021 with respectable gains of 26%. The company will release its fiscal third-quarter results on July 29, which could act as a catalyst for the stock and send it even higher in the second half of the year and beyond. Let's see what's expected of Skyworks and why it may be a good idea to buy the stock before its upcoming earnings report.\n\nSkyworks Solutions' stellar growth should continue in Q3\nSkyworks Solutions' revenue shot up 61% year over year in the first six months of fiscal 2021 to $2.68 billion, while non-GAAP net income increased 84% over the prior-year period to $955.7 million. For the third quarter, the chipmaker expects year-over-year revenue growth of 49% to $1.1 billion at the midpoint of its guidance range. Adjusted earnings are forecast to jump 70% year over year to $2.13 per share.\nSkyworks' impressive Q3 guidance was based on the robust demand trends in mobile and the broader wireless connectivity market. The mobile business, which made up two-thirds of Skyworks' Q2 revenue, has been supercharged by the arrival of 5G smartphones. The chipmaker's relationship with Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) has played a key role in this regard, as the iPhone maker accounted for 56% of Skyworks' total revenue in fiscal 2020.\nSkyworks is a key supplier of wireless components for the iPhone 12. Each unit of the device reportedly contains as many as eight chips from Skyworks, according to a teardown of the phone. Not surprisingly, the success of Apple's latest 5G smartphones has rubbed off on the chipmaker.\nApple's iPhone 12 builds in the June quarter, which coincides with Skyworks' fiscal Q3, are expected to increase 26% over the prior-year period to 44 million units, according to Cowen. It is worth noting that Cowen's estimate of 57 million iPhone units shipping in the first quarter of 2021 was pretty accurate. Although Apple has stopped officially reporting the total, outsider estimates suggest the estimate was spot on.\nVolume growth at Skyworks' largest customer should ensure that it meets the ambitious revenue and earnings growth targets for Q3, especially considering that 5G devices are carrying more wireless content than their 4G predecessors.\nAdditionally, Skyworks' broad markets portfolio, which relies on the Internet of Things (IoT) market for growth, has secured design wins across various verticals. Broad markets revenue had shot up 67% year over year in Q2 to $385 million as demand for wireless connectivity beyond smartphones increased.\nSo Skyworks is sitting on two impressive growth drivers that could ensure the continuation of its momentum. The good news is that its catalysts could get better in the second half of the year and beyond.\nBetter times lie ahead as 5G gains momentum\nEnd-market developments indicate that Skyworks' guidance could be much better than Wall Street estimates. Analysts expect the chipmaker's revenue to increase 27.6% year over year to $1.22 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter. But explosive smartphone demand for Apple's iPhone could help Skyworks easily clear those expectations.\nAccording to supply chain estimates, Apple is expected to increase the initial production of this year's rumored iPhone 13 models to 90 million units, up from the iPhone 12's 75 million units. With the launch of this year's iPhones just a couple of months away, production is reportedly in full swing, and probably ahead of schedule (as supply chain gossip suggests).\nEven better, Apple seems set for multiyear growth in the 5G era, as more than 80% of its installed base is running non-5G iPhones. All told, the bright prospects of Skyworks' biggest customer bode well for the chipmaker both in the short and in the long run.\nMore importantly, Skyworks' 5G opportunity isn't restricted to just Apple. It counts the likes of Samsung, Oppo, Vivo, and Xiaomi as customers, which means that the top five 5G smartphone vendors (including Apple) use Skyworks' chips in their devices. This is great news for Skyworks investors, as the global 5G smartphone market is anticipated to clock 124% annual growth through 2025, according to third-party estimates. The market's secular growth should pave the way for tremendous growth in the company's mobile business.\nGiven these tailwinds, it is not surprising to see analysts expecting Skyworks' earnings to grow at an annual rate of nearly 17% for the next five years, up from the single-digit growth it has recorded in the past five. Additionally, the stock is trading at just 26 times trailing earnings versus the Nasdaq 100's price-to-earnings ratio of 38.25 (of which Skyworks is a part).\nSo investors looking to add a 5G stock to their portfolios should keep Skyworks Solutions within their sights because it offers a mix of value and growth. But it may not be available for cheap for long, as a strong earnings report could send the stock higher.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}