Chitz personal page - To The Moon

Chitz

Chitz

No personal profile

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51Followers

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2022-06-11

Started with tiger brokers based on recommendations from online group. First stock purchased is kgc as I like gold related stocks. The app quite friendly and easy to use and loaded with fun activities to get more tiger coins, stock discount vouchers, free stock with lower brokerage fees. They also keep improving with better features and virtual information sharing.

2022-06-11

Started with tiger brokers based on recommendations from online group. First stock purchased is kgc as I like gold related stocks. The app quite friendly and easy to use and loaded with fun activities to get more tiger coins, stock discount vouchers, free stock with lower brokerage fees. They also keep improving with better features and virtual information sharing.

2023-06-18

Play for more points

2023-06-16

Let's play this game

2023-06-19

Light up your investing game

2023-06-17

Thanks for the game !

2023-06-15

Thank you for the game TB

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They also keep improving with better features and virtual information sharing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":29,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9056399300","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9056399947,"gmtCreate":1654936340389,"gmtModify":1676535537324,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Started with tiger brokers based on recommendations from online group. First stock purchased is kgc as I like gold related stocks. The app quite friendly and easy to use and loaded with fun activities to get more tiger coins, stock discount vouchers, free stock with lower brokerage fees. 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They also keep improving with better features and virtual information sharing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9056399947","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188504470655096,"gmtCreate":1687047120230,"gmtModify":1687047123676,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Play for more points&nbsp;","listText":"Play for more points&nbsp;","text":"Play for more points","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188504470655096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187763646701680,"gmtCreate":1686868354378,"gmtModify":1686868358022,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's play this game","listText":"Let's play this game","text":"Let's play this 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game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188842839224568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":29,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188143206248712,"gmtCreate":1686959132880,"gmtModify":1686959136495,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for the game !","listText":"Thanks for the game !","text":"Thanks for the game !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188143206248712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187419551891576,"gmtCreate":1686784575211,"gmtModify":1686784579077,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thank you for the game TB","listText":"Thank you for the game TB","text":"Thank you for the game TB","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187419551891576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914473875,"gmtCreate":1665361486498,"gmtModify":1676537591253,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914473875","repostId":"2274458895","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2274458895","pubTimestamp":1665355533,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2274458895?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-10 06:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"CPI Sets the Stage for Fed's November Hike, Banks Report for Q3: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2274458895","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"An already strained U.S. stock market will be further challenged in the week ahead as the government publishes a key inflation report and megabanks kick off what’slikely to be a murky earnings season.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>An already strained U.S. stock market will be further challenged in the week ahead as the government publishes a key inflation report and megabanks kick off what’s likely to be a murky earnings season.</p><p>The highly-awaited Consumer Price Index (CPI) takes top billing in coming days, with third-quarter financials from the country’s largest banks – JPMorgan (JPM), Citi (C), and Wells Fargo (WFC) – following suit in the line of importance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f0f37bbff5251cf5a672004561faeef\" tg-width=\"2044\" tg-height=\"1448\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>A fresh CPI reading on Thursday is expected to dictate how much more aggressive the Federal Reserve will get with its interest rate hiking plans, which are already the most combative in decades. The consequential economic release will hold even greater significance after the Labor Department’s September jobs report on Friday suggested officials have further room for increases.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/541f2357db95a28c89672d947882d8dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"589\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>JPMorgan President and CEO Jamie Dimon testifies on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., September 22, 2022. (REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein)</span></p><p>The U.S. economy added 263,000 jobs last month, a moderation from the prior print but still a robust hiring figure, as the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%. The weaker-than-expected decline in payroll gains dashed investor hopes that FOMC members might shift away from monetary tightening sooner than anticipated.</p><p>That reality sent stocks spiraling on Friday. The S&amp;P 500 (^GSPC) plunged 2.8%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shed 630 points, and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the way down at a decline of 3.8%. The major averages managed to end higher for the week after three straight down weeks after retaining some gains from a transient rally the first two trading days of October.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d03327c522e4f944485e66952e5c24a2\" tg-width=\"1016\" tg-height=\"600\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>“Persistent strength in hiring and a drop in the unemployment rate, in our view, mean the Fed is unlikely to pivot in the direction of a slower pace of rate hikes until it has more clear evidence that employment growth is slowing,” analysts at Bank of America said in a note on Friday, adding that the institution expects a fourth 75-basis-point rate increase in November.</p><p>And this week’s inflation reading could corroborate such a move next month. According to Bloomberg forecasts, the headline consumer price index for September is expected to show a slight moderation on a year-over-year figure to 8.1% from 8.3% in August, but an increase to 0.2% from 0.1% over the month.</p><p>All eyes will be on the “core” component of the report, which strips out the volatile food and energy categories. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg project core CPI rose to 6.5% from 6.3% over the year but moderated to 0.4% monthly from 0.6% in August.</p><p>Marginal fluctuations in the data have not been reassuring enough to Federal Reserve members that they can step away from intervening any time soon. Speaking at an event in New York last week, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly called inflation a “corrosive disease,”and a “toxin that erodes the real purchasing power of people.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a183e6937eab492d9c263c10c4650349\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"671\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A sign for the Federal Reserve Board of Governors is seen at the entrance to the William McChesney Martin Jr. building ahead of a news conference by Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell on interest rate policy, in Washington, U.S., September 21, 2022. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque</span></p><p>Elsewhere in economic releases, investors will also get a gauge of how quickly prices are rising at the wholesale level with the producer price index, or PPI, which measures the change in the prices paid to U.S. producers of goods and services; a reading on how consumer spending is faring amid persistent inflation and slowing economic conditions with the government’s retail sales report; and a consumer sentiment check from the University of Michigan closely watched survey.</p><p>Meanwhile, bank earnings will set the stage for a third-quarter earnings season expected to be ridden with economic warnings from corporate executives about the state of their businesses, slashed earnings per share estimates across Wall Street, and generally milder results as price and rate pressures weighed on companies in the recent three-month period.</p><p>Results from JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and Morgan Stanley are all on tap for the coming week and will be followed by Goldman Sachs (GS) and Bank of America (BAC) the following week.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5088c955861b1fd864d4c07b311fec8a\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"616\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Chief executives of the country&#39;s largest banks are sworn-in at the start of a Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs hearing on &#34;Annual Oversight of the Nation&#39;s Largest Banks&#34;, on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., September 22, 2022. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein</span></p><p>Banks typically benefit from central bank policy tightening, with higher interest rates boosting their net interest income (the bank’s earnings on its lending activities and interest it pays to depositors) and net interest margins (calculated by dividing net interest income by the average income earned from interest-producing assets.) However, challenging market conditions that have dealt a blow to dealmaking activity and general macroeconomic uncertainty are poised to offset higher net interest income.</p><p>Analysts at Bank of America project earnings growth to slow across banks and brokers to 2.0% year-over-year in the third quarter from 5.9% in the second and 7.7% in the third, per bottom-up consensus estimates, per a recent note.</p><p>However, that drop pales in comparison to expectations for sectors outside of financials — with the exception of the energy sector — according to BofA. Earnings growth in those areas “is expected to dip well into the negative territory,” the bank warned in a note, with expectations for growth of -4.2% year-over-year in the third quarter, down from -1.3% in the second quarter.</p><p>—</p><p><b>Economic Calendar</b></p><p><b>Monday:</b> <i>No notable reports scheduled for release.</i></p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> <b><i>NFIB Small Business Optimism</i></b>, September (91.8 expected, 91.8 during prior month); <b><i>Monthly Budget Statement</i></b>, September (-$219.6 billion)</p><p><b>Wednesday</b>: <b><i>MBA Mortgage Applications</i></b>, week ended Oct. 7 (-14.2% during prior week); <b><i>PPI excluding food and energy</i></b>, year-over-year, September (7.3% expected, 7.3% during prior month); <b><i>PPI final demand</i></b>, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, -0.1% during prior month);<b><i>PPI excluding food and energy</i></b>, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.4% during prior month); <b><i>PPI excluding food, energy, and trade</i></b>, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, 0.2% during prior month); <b><i>PPI final demand</i></b>, year-over-year, September (8.4% expected, 8.7% during prior month); <b><i>PPI excluding food, energy, and trade</i></b>, year-over-year, September (5.6% during prior month); <b><i>FOMC Meeting Minutes</i></b>, September 21</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> <b><i>Consumer Price Index</i></b>, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, 0.1% during prior month); <b><i>CPI excluding food and energy</i></b>, month-over-month, September (0.4% expected, 0.6% during prior month); <b><i>Consumer Price Index</i></b>, year-over-year, September (8.1% expected, 8.3% during prior month); <b><i>CPI excluding food and energy</i></b>, year-over-year, September (6.5% expected, 6.3% during prior month); <b><i>CPI Index NSA</i></b>, September (296.417 expected, 296.171 during prior month); <b><i>CPI Core Index SA</i></b>, September (296.950 during prior month); <b><i>Initial jobless claims</i></b>, week ended Oct. 8 (225,000 expected, 219,000 during prior week); <b><i>Continuing claims</i></b>, week ended Oct.1 (1.361 during prior week); <b><i>Real Average Weekly Earnings</i></b>, year-over-year, September (-3.4% during prior month)</p><p><b>Friday:</b><b><i>Retail Sales Advance</i></b>, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, 0.3% during prior month); <b><i>Retail Sales excluding autos</i></b>, month-over-month, September (-0.1% expected, -0.3% during prior month); <b><i>Retail Sales excluding autos and gas</i></b>, month-over-month, September (0.3% during prior month); <b><i>Retail Sales Control Group</i></b>, September (0.0% during prior month); <b><i>Import Price Index</i></b>, month-over-month, September (-1.1% expected, -1.0% during prior month); <b><i>Import Price Index excluding petroleum</i></b>, month-over-month, September (-0.2% during prior month);<b><i>Import Price Index</i></b>, year-over-year, September (7.8% during prior month); <b><i>Export Price Index</i></b>, month-over-month, September (-1.2% expected, -1.6% during prior month); <b><i>Export Price Index</i></b>, year-over-year, September (10.8% during prior month); <b><i>Bloomberg Oct. United States Economic Survey</i></b>; <b><i>Business Inventories</i></b>, August (0.9% expected, 0.6% during prior reading); <b><i>University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment</i></b>, October preliminary (58.8 expected, 58.6 during prior month)</p><p>—</p><p><b>Earnings Calendar</b></p><p><b>Monday:</b> <i>No notable reports scheduled for release.</i></p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> <b><i>AZZ</i></b>(AZZ), <b><i>Pinnacle Financial Partners</i></b>(PNFP)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> <b><i>PepsiCo</i></b>(PEP), <b><i>Duck Creek Technologies</i></b>(DCT)</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> <b><i>BlackRock</i></b>(BLK), <b><i>Delta Air Lines</i></b>(DAL), <b><i>Progressive</i></b>(PGR), <b><i>Walgreens Boots Alliance</i></b>(WBA), <b><i>Commercial Metals</i></b>(CMC), <b><i>Taiwan Semiconductor</i></b>(TSM)</p><p><b>Friday:</b> <b><i>JPMorgan</i></b>(JPM), <b><i>Citigroup</i></b>(C), <b><i>Morgan Stanley</i></b>(MS), <b><i>PNC</i></b>(PNC), <b><i>U.S. Bancorp</i></b>(USB), <b><i>UnitedHealth</i></b>(UNH), <b><i>Wells Fargo</i></b>(WFC)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab39c81b03db8f153d4fd3ab9b19d463\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CPI Sets the Stage for Fed's November Hike, Banks Report for Q3: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCPI Sets the Stage for Fed's November Hike, Banks Report for Q3: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-10 06:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-cpi-bank-earnings-195249849.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>An already strained U.S. stock market will be further challenged in the week ahead as the government publishes a key inflation report and megabanks kick off what’s likely to be a murky earnings season...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-cpi-bank-earnings-195249849.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BLK":"贝莱德",".DJI":"道琼斯","DAL":"达美航空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","UNH":"联合健康","PEP":"百事可乐","MS":"摩根士丹利","WBA":"沃尔格林联合博姿","TSM":"台积电","C":"花旗","WFC":"富国银行",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","JPM":"摩根大通","PNC":"PNC金融"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-cpi-bank-earnings-195249849.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2274458895","content_text":"An already strained U.S. stock market will be further challenged in the week ahead as the government publishes a key inflation report and megabanks kick off what’s likely to be a murky earnings season.The highly-awaited Consumer Price Index (CPI) takes top billing in coming days, with third-quarter financials from the country’s largest banks – JPMorgan (JPM), Citi (C), and Wells Fargo (WFC) – following suit in the line of importance.A fresh CPI reading on Thursday is expected to dictate how much more aggressive the Federal Reserve will get with its interest rate hiking plans, which are already the most combative in decades. The consequential economic release will hold even greater significance after the Labor Department’s September jobs report on Friday suggested officials have further room for increases.JPMorgan President and CEO Jamie Dimon testifies on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., September 22, 2022. (REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein)The U.S. economy added 263,000 jobs last month, a moderation from the prior print but still a robust hiring figure, as the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%. The weaker-than-expected decline in payroll gains dashed investor hopes that FOMC members might shift away from monetary tightening sooner than anticipated.That reality sent stocks spiraling on Friday. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) plunged 2.8%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shed 630 points, and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the way down at a decline of 3.8%. The major averages managed to end higher for the week after three straight down weeks after retaining some gains from a transient rally the first two trading days of October.“Persistent strength in hiring and a drop in the unemployment rate, in our view, mean the Fed is unlikely to pivot in the direction of a slower pace of rate hikes until it has more clear evidence that employment growth is slowing,” analysts at Bank of America said in a note on Friday, adding that the institution expects a fourth 75-basis-point rate increase in November.And this week’s inflation reading could corroborate such a move next month. According to Bloomberg forecasts, the headline consumer price index for September is expected to show a slight moderation on a year-over-year figure to 8.1% from 8.3% in August, but an increase to 0.2% from 0.1% over the month.All eyes will be on the “core” component of the report, which strips out the volatile food and energy categories. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg project core CPI rose to 6.5% from 6.3% over the year but moderated to 0.4% monthly from 0.6% in August.Marginal fluctuations in the data have not been reassuring enough to Federal Reserve members that they can step away from intervening any time soon. Speaking at an event in New York last week, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly called inflation a “corrosive disease,”and a “toxin that erodes the real purchasing power of people.”A sign for the Federal Reserve Board of Governors is seen at the entrance to the William McChesney Martin Jr. building ahead of a news conference by Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell on interest rate policy, in Washington, U.S., September 21, 2022. REUTERS/Kevin LamarqueElsewhere in economic releases, investors will also get a gauge of how quickly prices are rising at the wholesale level with the producer price index, or PPI, which measures the change in the prices paid to U.S. producers of goods and services; a reading on how consumer spending is faring amid persistent inflation and slowing economic conditions with the government’s retail sales report; and a consumer sentiment check from the University of Michigan closely watched survey.Meanwhile, bank earnings will set the stage for a third-quarter earnings season expected to be ridden with economic warnings from corporate executives about the state of their businesses, slashed earnings per share estimates across Wall Street, and generally milder results as price and rate pressures weighed on companies in the recent three-month period.Results from JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and Morgan Stanley are all on tap for the coming week and will be followed by Goldman Sachs (GS) and Bank of America (BAC) the following week.Chief executives of the country's largest banks are sworn-in at the start of a Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs hearing on \"Annual Oversight of the Nation's Largest Banks\", on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., September 22, 2022. REUTERS/Evelyn HocksteinBanks typically benefit from central bank policy tightening, with higher interest rates boosting their net interest income (the bank’s earnings on its lending activities and interest it pays to depositors) and net interest margins (calculated by dividing net interest income by the average income earned from interest-producing assets.) However, challenging market conditions that have dealt a blow to dealmaking activity and general macroeconomic uncertainty are poised to offset higher net interest income.Analysts at Bank of America project earnings growth to slow across banks and brokers to 2.0% year-over-year in the third quarter from 5.9% in the second and 7.7% in the third, per bottom-up consensus estimates, per a recent note.However, that drop pales in comparison to expectations for sectors outside of financials — with the exception of the energy sector — according to BofA. Earnings growth in those areas “is expected to dip well into the negative territory,” the bank warned in a note, with expectations for growth of -4.2% year-over-year in the third quarter, down from -1.3% in the second quarter.—Economic CalendarMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release.Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, September (91.8 expected, 91.8 during prior month); Monthly Budget Statement, September (-$219.6 billion)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Oct. 7 (-14.2% during prior week); PPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, September (7.3% expected, 7.3% during prior month); PPI final demand, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, -0.1% during prior month);PPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.4% during prior month); PPI excluding food, energy, and trade, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, 0.2% during prior month); PPI final demand, year-over-year, September (8.4% expected, 8.7% during prior month); PPI excluding food, energy, and trade, year-over-year, September (5.6% during prior month); FOMC Meeting Minutes, September 21Thursday: Consumer Price Index, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, 0.1% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, September (0.4% expected, 0.6% during prior month); Consumer Price Index, year-over-year, September (8.1% expected, 8.3% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, September (6.5% expected, 6.3% during prior month); CPI Index NSA, September (296.417 expected, 296.171 during prior month); CPI Core Index SA, September (296.950 during prior month); Initial jobless claims, week ended Oct. 8 (225,000 expected, 219,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct.1 (1.361 during prior week); Real Average Weekly Earnings, year-over-year, September (-3.4% during prior month)Friday:Retail Sales Advance, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, 0.3% during prior month); Retail Sales excluding autos, month-over-month, September (-0.1% expected, -0.3% during prior month); Retail Sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, September (0.3% during prior month); Retail Sales Control Group, September (0.0% during prior month); Import Price Index, month-over-month, September (-1.1% expected, -1.0% during prior month); Import Price Index excluding petroleum, month-over-month, September (-0.2% during prior month);Import Price Index, year-over-year, September (7.8% during prior month); Export Price Index, month-over-month, September (-1.2% expected, -1.6% during prior month); Export Price Index, year-over-year, September (10.8% during prior month); Bloomberg Oct. United States Economic Survey; Business Inventories, August (0.9% expected, 0.6% during prior reading); University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, October preliminary (58.8 expected, 58.6 during prior month)—Earnings CalendarMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release.Tuesday: AZZ(AZZ), Pinnacle Financial Partners(PNFP)Wednesday: PepsiCo(PEP), Duck Creek Technologies(DCT)Thursday: BlackRock(BLK), Delta Air Lines(DAL), Progressive(PGR), Walgreens Boots Alliance(WBA), Commercial Metals(CMC), Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM)Friday: JPMorgan(JPM), Citigroup(C), Morgan Stanley(MS), PNC(PNC), U.S. Bancorp(USB), UnitedHealth(UNH), Wells Fargo(WFC)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9097809961,"gmtCreate":1645402793109,"gmtModify":1676534024138,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097809961","repostId":"2213670409","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2213670409","pubTimestamp":1645399123,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2213670409?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-21 07:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PCE Inflation, Consumer Confidence: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2213670409","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"After stocks endured a second straight week of selling last week, investors will be looking to a sla","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>After stocks endured a second straight week of selling last week, investors will be looking to a slate of fresh economic and earnings data as a catalyst for a potential reprieve.</p><p>The U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed Monday in observance of the Presidents Day holiday, so new data releases will be consolidated to the later part of the week. And updates on tensions in Russia and Ukraine will also remain in focus throughout the week after stocks sank to their lowest levels in a month on Friday, amid concerns about the escalating geopolitical conflict.</p><p>While the emerging threat of military conflict has overshadowed many other worries in the markets, inflation has still remained a central issue for investors. Inflation has implications both in informing the speed at which the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy, and the extent to which consumers pull back on spending and slow overall economic activity in response to rising prices.</p><p>&#34;I really think most of the Russia-Ukraine volatility occurred in the energy space, particularly with oil. I think the rest of the volatility in the broader market has to do with the Fed tightening conversation,&#34; Frances Stacy, Optimal Capital director of strategy, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. &#34;We&#39;re looking at this sort of aggressive tightening against this backdrop of inflation, and I think that that&#39;s what&#39;s causing the volatility.&#34;</p><p>On Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its monthly personal consumption expenditures (PCE) deflator, offering a fresh print on the extent of price increases across the recovering economy.</p><p>Consensus economists expect the PCE to post a rise of another 0.6% in January, according to Bloomberg data, accelerating from December&#39;s 0.4% increase. This would represent a 14th consecutive monthly increase, and bring the index up by 6.0% on a year-over-year basis. This, in turn, would mark the fastest increase since 1982, and also accelerate from December&#39;s 5.8% annual rise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83b39365db67b4cbe5d9181911de7b8a\" tg-width=\"4421\" tg-height=\"2947\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The core PCE index — the Fed&#39;s preferred gauge of underlying inflation stripping out volatile food and energy prices — likely also ramped compared to December&#39;s index. Consensus economists are looking for a 5.2% increase in core PCE in January, compared to December&#39;s 4.9% rise.</p><p>Expectations for the latest inflation print suggest the economy has still not yet seen the peak in price increases. And increasingly, central bank officials have come around to the notion that inflation has remained stickier than previously expected, especially as supply chain issues and virus-related disruptions persist.</p><p>&#34;Since the December meeting, I would say that the inflation situation is about the same but probably slightly worse,&#34; Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in a January press conference. &#34;I’d be inclined to raise my own estimate of 2022 core PCE inflation ... by a few tenths today.&#34;</p><p>And the latest print on PCE will likely reaffirm readings from other closely watched inflation prints. The January Consumer Price Index (CPI) jumped by 7.5% year-over-year to represent the largest increase since 1982, accelerating markedly from the 7.0% increase from December. And on the producer side, wholesale prices jumped 9.7% year-on-year in January, ticking down only slightly from December&#39;s record increase of 9.8%.</p><h2>Consumer confidence</h2><h2></h2><p>Despite the mounting inflationary pressures, however, consumers have largely continued to spend. Retail sales rose by a better-than-expected 3.8% in January, marking the biggest jump since March 2021 and exceeding estimates.</p><p>And this steady consumption has come even as consumers increasingly cited inflation as a key concern for their own personal finances. Average hourly wages have also climbed in recent months, but have still not kept pace with inflation.</p><p>&#34;The resilience of spending stands in stark contrast to the slump in consumer confidence, with households upping their purchases of big ticket items while simultaneously reporting that now is a particularly bad time to make those purchases,&#34; Paul Ashworth, chief North American economist for Capital Economics, wrote in a note. &#34;The surge in inflation is the root cause of consumer angst. Sentiment should improve as inflation falls back later this year, but the current weakness is a reminder that real consumption growth will be muted this year.&#34;</p><p>The Conference Board&#39;s Consumer Confidence Index due for release on Tuesday will help provide a timely snapshot of consumers&#39; thinking following the latest spike in prices at the beginning of the year. Consensus economists are looking for the index to fall to 110.0 for February, which would mark the lowest level since September 2021, when the Delta variant had weighed on consumers&#39; outlooks. The consumer confidence index had been at 113.8 in January.</p><h2>Earnings season rolls on</h2><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2704a78dbeac36d3a78a7c3a7e70f026\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2016\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h2><p>Investors will also receive a number of new earnings results this week, with major retailers including Home Depot (HD), Lowe&#39;s (LOW), Macy&#39;s (M) and The TJX Cos. (TJX) reporting alongside other closely watched names from Coinbase (COIN) to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/W\">Wayfair</a> (W) and Nikola (NKLA).</p><p>So far this earnings season, corporate profits have remained robust, albeit while slowing compared to prior quarters. As of Friday, 84% of S&amp;P 500 companies had reported actual fourth-quarter earnings results, according to FactSet. And the estimated earnings growth rate for S&amp;P 500 companies in aggregate stood at 30.9%, compared to about 40% from the third quarter.</p><p>Still, the estimated earnings growth rate for the fourth quarter has trended continuously higher as more companies reported better-than-expected results. On December 31, the estimated earnings growth rate for the fourth quarter had been at just 21.2%.</p><p>But while results for many companies have been positive for the final three months of 2021, outlooks have weakened, reflecting lingering supply chain uncertainty, rising prices and other macro concerns. FactSet noted that of companies that held their earnings conference calls between Dec. 15 and Feb. 17, 72% of the corporations mentioned &#34;inflation.&#34;</p><p>&#34;In terms of earnings guidance from corporations, 71% of the S&amp;P 500 companies (55 out of 77) that have issued EPS [earnings per share] guidance for Q1 2022 have issued negative guidance,&#34; FactSet&#39;s John Butters wrote in a note Friday. &#34;This is the highest percentage of S&amp;P 500 companies issuing negative guidance since Q3 2019 (73%).&#34;</p><p>&#34;Thus, the market may be reacting more to the negative earnings guidance and downward estimates revisions for the first quarter of 2022 than the earnings surprises being reported for the fourth-quarter of 2021,&#34; Butters added.</p><h2>Economic calendar</h2><ul><li><p><b>Monday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li><li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>FHFA House Price Index, December (1.1% expected, 1.1% in November); S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, December month-over-month (1.10% expected, 1.18% in November); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, December year-over-year (18.30% expected, 18.29% in November); <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> U.S. Manufacturing PMI, February preliminary (56.0 expected, 55.5 in January); Markit U.S. Services PMI, February preliminary (53.0 expected, 51.2 in January); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, February preliminary (51.1 in January); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, February (110.0 expected, 113.8 in January); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, February (10 expected, 8 in January)</p></li><li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended February 18 (-5.4% during prior week)</p></li><li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Chicago Fed National Activity Index, January (-0.15 in December); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, 4Q second estimate (7.0% expected, 6.9% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, 4Q second estimate (3.3% expected, 3.3% in prior estimate); Core PCE quarter-over-quarter, 4Q second estimate (4.9% expected, 4.9% in prior estimate); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity, February (24 in January)</p></li><li><p><b>Friday: </b>Personal income, January (-0.4%, 0.3% in December); Personal spending, January (1.5% expected, -0.6% in December); Durable Goods Orders, January preliminary (0.9% -0.7% in December); Durable Goods Orders excluding transportation, January preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.6% in December); PCE deflator, January year-over-year (6.0% expected, 5.8% in December); PCE deflator, January month-over-month (0.6% expected, 0.4% in December); PCE core deflator, January year-over-year (5.2% expected, 4.9% in December); PCE core deflator, January month-over-month (0.5% expected, 0.5% in December)</p></li></ul><h2>Earnings calendar</h2><h2></h2><p><b>Monday</b></p><p><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><b>Tuesday</b></p><p>Before market open: Apache Corp. (APA), Home Depot (HD), Tempur Sealy International (TPX), Macy&#39;s (M)</p><p>After market close: Caesar&#39;s Entertainment (CZR), Agilent Technologies (A), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FANG\">Diamondback Energy</a> (FANG), The Mosaic Co. (MOS), Toll Brothers (TOL), Virgin Galactic (SPCE), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks</a> (PANW), Teladoc Health (TDOC)</p><p><b>Wednesday</b></p><p>Before market open: Lowe&#39;s (LOW), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OSTK\">Overstock.com</a> (OSTK), The TJX Cos. (TJX), Cerner Corp. (CERN)</p><p>After market close: Hertz (HTZ), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> (EBAY), Revolve Group Inc. (RVLV), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a> (BKNG), FuboTV (FUBO), Allbirds (BIRD), Bath and Body Works (BBWI), Chesapeake Energy (CHK), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYV\">Live Nation Entertainment</a> (LYV), The Real Real (REAL), Lemonade (LMND)</p><p><b>Thursday</b></p><p>Before market open: Keurig Dr. Pepper (KDP), Newmont Corp. (NEM), SeaWorld Entertainment (SEAS), Moderna (MRNA), Planet Fitness (PLNT), Nikola (NKLA), Wayfair (W), Six Flags Entertainment (SIX), Discovery Inc. (DISCA), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), Occidental Petroleum (OXY)</p><p>After market close: Intuit (INTU), Opendoor Technologies (OPEN), Autodesk (ADSK), Coinbase (COIN), Dell Technologies (DELL), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ2.AU\">Block Inc.</a> (SQ), Zscaler (ZS), Rocket Cos. (RKT), VMWare (VMW), Etsy (ETSY), Beyond Meat (BYND), Monster Beverage Corp. (MNST)</p><p><b>Friday</b></p><p><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PCE Inflation, Consumer Confidence: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPCE Inflation, Consumer Confidence: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-21 07:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pce-inflation-consumer-confidence-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-164350893.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After stocks endured a second straight week of selling last week, investors will be looking to a slate of fresh economic and earnings data as a catalyst for a potential reprieve.The U.S. stock and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pce-inflation-consumer-confidence-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-164350893.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OXY":"西方石油","BK4107":"财产与意外伤害保险","M":"梅西百货","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4187":"航天航空与国防","BK4177":"软饮料","BK4108":"电影和娱乐",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","APA":"阿帕契","ZS":"Zscaler Inc.","BK4139":"生物科技","CZR":"凯撒娱乐","HTZ":"赫兹租车","BBWI":"Bath & Body Works Inc.","BK4149":"建筑机械与重型卡车","BK4150":"赌场与赌博","CPI":"IQ Real Return ETF","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4121":"生命科学工具和服务","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","MOS":"美国美盛","BK4517":"邮轮概念","BK4095":"家庭装饰品","JPM":"摩根大通","BK4562":"SPAC上市公司","BK4094":"服装零售","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4022":"陆运","PANW":"Palo Alto Networks","KDP":"Keurig Dr Pepper Inc","SPCE":"维珍银河","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4097":"系统软件","NKLA":"Nikola Corporation","HD":"家得宝","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4560":"网络安全概念","LOW":"劳氏","PLNT":"Planet Fitness Inc","BK4125":"广播","TJX":"The TJX Companies Inc.","BK4142":"酒店、度假村与豪华游轮","BK4112":"金融交易所和数据","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","DISCA":"探索传播","A":"安捷伦科技","FANG":"Diamondback Energy"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pce-inflation-consumer-confidence-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-164350893.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2213670409","content_text":"After stocks endured a second straight week of selling last week, investors will be looking to a slate of fresh economic and earnings data as a catalyst for a potential reprieve.The U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed Monday in observance of the Presidents Day holiday, so new data releases will be consolidated to the later part of the week. And updates on tensions in Russia and Ukraine will also remain in focus throughout the week after stocks sank to their lowest levels in a month on Friday, amid concerns about the escalating geopolitical conflict.While the emerging threat of military conflict has overshadowed many other worries in the markets, inflation has still remained a central issue for investors. Inflation has implications both in informing the speed at which the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy, and the extent to which consumers pull back on spending and slow overall economic activity in response to rising prices.\"I really think most of the Russia-Ukraine volatility occurred in the energy space, particularly with oil. I think the rest of the volatility in the broader market has to do with the Fed tightening conversation,\" Frances Stacy, Optimal Capital director of strategy, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. \"We're looking at this sort of aggressive tightening against this backdrop of inflation, and I think that that's what's causing the volatility.\"On Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its monthly personal consumption expenditures (PCE) deflator, offering a fresh print on the extent of price increases across the recovering economy.Consensus economists expect the PCE to post a rise of another 0.6% in January, according to Bloomberg data, accelerating from December's 0.4% increase. This would represent a 14th consecutive monthly increase, and bring the index up by 6.0% on a year-over-year basis. This, in turn, would mark the fastest increase since 1982, and also accelerate from December's 5.8% annual rise.The core PCE index — the Fed's preferred gauge of underlying inflation stripping out volatile food and energy prices — likely also ramped compared to December's index. Consensus economists are looking for a 5.2% increase in core PCE in January, compared to December's 4.9% rise.Expectations for the latest inflation print suggest the economy has still not yet seen the peak in price increases. And increasingly, central bank officials have come around to the notion that inflation has remained stickier than previously expected, especially as supply chain issues and virus-related disruptions persist.\"Since the December meeting, I would say that the inflation situation is about the same but probably slightly worse,\" Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in a January press conference. \"I’d be inclined to raise my own estimate of 2022 core PCE inflation ... by a few tenths today.\"And the latest print on PCE will likely reaffirm readings from other closely watched inflation prints. The January Consumer Price Index (CPI) jumped by 7.5% year-over-year to represent the largest increase since 1982, accelerating markedly from the 7.0% increase from December. And on the producer side, wholesale prices jumped 9.7% year-on-year in January, ticking down only slightly from December's record increase of 9.8%.Consumer confidenceDespite the mounting inflationary pressures, however, consumers have largely continued to spend. Retail sales rose by a better-than-expected 3.8% in January, marking the biggest jump since March 2021 and exceeding estimates.And this steady consumption has come even as consumers increasingly cited inflation as a key concern for their own personal finances. Average hourly wages have also climbed in recent months, but have still not kept pace with inflation.\"The resilience of spending stands in stark contrast to the slump in consumer confidence, with households upping their purchases of big ticket items while simultaneously reporting that now is a particularly bad time to make those purchases,\" Paul Ashworth, chief North American economist for Capital Economics, wrote in a note. \"The surge in inflation is the root cause of consumer angst. Sentiment should improve as inflation falls back later this year, but the current weakness is a reminder that real consumption growth will be muted this year.\"The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index due for release on Tuesday will help provide a timely snapshot of consumers' thinking following the latest spike in prices at the beginning of the year. Consensus economists are looking for the index to fall to 110.0 for February, which would mark the lowest level since September 2021, when the Delta variant had weighed on consumers' outlooks. The consumer confidence index had been at 113.8 in January.Earnings season rolls onInvestors will also receive a number of new earnings results this week, with major retailers including Home Depot (HD), Lowe's (LOW), Macy's (M) and The TJX Cos. (TJX) reporting alongside other closely watched names from Coinbase (COIN) to Wayfair (W) and Nikola (NKLA).So far this earnings season, corporate profits have remained robust, albeit while slowing compared to prior quarters. As of Friday, 84% of S&P 500 companies had reported actual fourth-quarter earnings results, according to FactSet. And the estimated earnings growth rate for S&P 500 companies in aggregate stood at 30.9%, compared to about 40% from the third quarter.Still, the estimated earnings growth rate for the fourth quarter has trended continuously higher as more companies reported better-than-expected results. On December 31, the estimated earnings growth rate for the fourth quarter had been at just 21.2%.But while results for many companies have been positive for the final three months of 2021, outlooks have weakened, reflecting lingering supply chain uncertainty, rising prices and other macro concerns. FactSet noted that of companies that held their earnings conference calls between Dec. 15 and Feb. 17, 72% of the corporations mentioned \"inflation.\"\"In terms of earnings guidance from corporations, 71% of the S&P 500 companies (55 out of 77) that have issued EPS [earnings per share] guidance for Q1 2022 have issued negative guidance,\" FactSet's John Butters wrote in a note Friday. \"This is the highest percentage of S&P 500 companies issuing negative guidance since Q3 2019 (73%).\"\"Thus, the market may be reacting more to the negative earnings guidance and downward estimates revisions for the first quarter of 2022 than the earnings surprises being reported for the fourth-quarter of 2021,\" Butters added.Economic calendarMonday: No notable reports scheduled for releaseTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, December (1.1% expected, 1.1% in November); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, December month-over-month (1.10% expected, 1.18% in November); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, December year-over-year (18.30% expected, 18.29% in November); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, February preliminary (56.0 expected, 55.5 in January); Markit U.S. Services PMI, February preliminary (53.0 expected, 51.2 in January); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, February preliminary (51.1 in January); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, February (110.0 expected, 113.8 in January); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, February (10 expected, 8 in January)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended February 18 (-5.4% during prior week)Thursday: Chicago Fed National Activity Index, January (-0.15 in December); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, 4Q second estimate (7.0% expected, 6.9% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, 4Q second estimate (3.3% expected, 3.3% in prior estimate); Core PCE quarter-over-quarter, 4Q second estimate (4.9% expected, 4.9% in prior estimate); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity, February (24 in January)Friday: Personal income, January (-0.4%, 0.3% in December); Personal spending, January (1.5% expected, -0.6% in December); Durable Goods Orders, January preliminary (0.9% -0.7% in December); Durable Goods Orders excluding transportation, January preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.6% in December); PCE deflator, January year-over-year (6.0% expected, 5.8% in December); PCE deflator, January month-over-month (0.6% expected, 0.4% in December); PCE core deflator, January year-over-year (5.2% expected, 4.9% in December); PCE core deflator, January month-over-month (0.5% expected, 0.5% in December)Earnings calendarMondayNo notable reports scheduled for releaseTuesdayBefore market open: Apache Corp. (APA), Home Depot (HD), Tempur Sealy International (TPX), Macy's (M)After market close: Caesar's Entertainment (CZR), Agilent Technologies (A), Diamondback Energy (FANG), The Mosaic Co. (MOS), Toll Brothers (TOL), Virgin Galactic (SPCE), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), Teladoc Health (TDOC)WednesdayBefore market open: Lowe's (LOW), Overstock.com (OSTK), The TJX Cos. (TJX), Cerner Corp. (CERN)After market close: Hertz (HTZ), eBay (EBAY), Revolve Group Inc. (RVLV), Booking Holdings (BKNG), FuboTV (FUBO), Allbirds (BIRD), Bath and Body Works (BBWI), Chesapeake Energy (CHK), Live Nation Entertainment (LYV), The Real Real (REAL), Lemonade (LMND)ThursdayBefore market open: Keurig Dr. Pepper (KDP), Newmont Corp. (NEM), SeaWorld Entertainment (SEAS), Moderna (MRNA), Planet Fitness (PLNT), Nikola (NKLA), Wayfair (W), Six Flags Entertainment (SIX), Discovery Inc. (DISCA), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), Occidental Petroleum (OXY)After market close: Intuit (INTU), Opendoor Technologies (OPEN), Autodesk (ADSK), Coinbase (COIN), Dell Technologies (DELL), Block Inc. (SQ), Zscaler (ZS), Rocket Cos. (RKT), VMWare (VMW), Etsy (ETSY), Beyond Meat (BYND), Monster Beverage Corp. (MNST)FridayNo notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918961367,"gmtCreate":1664317552959,"gmtModify":1676537429427,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918961367","repostId":"1123978281","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123978281","pubTimestamp":1664291602,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123978281?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-27 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123978281","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates ","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Does the Street Consider Apple Stock to be a “Strong Buy”?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-27 23:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/why-does-the-street-consider-apple-stock-nasdaqaapl-to-be-a-strong-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123978281","content_text":"Story HighlightsWhile Apple, like other tech stocks, is under pressure due to rising interest rates and an impending recession, Wall Street analysts continue to be bullish on the long-term prospects of the iPhone maker.Investors are bracing for more trouble as the aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to tame inflation are expected to push the U.S. economy into recession. The S&P 500  (SPX) and NASDAQ 100 (NDX) have declined 23.3% and over 31% year-to-date, respectively. While many tech stocks have been clobbered this year, Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock has shown some amount of resilience and is down 15% year-to-date. Most Wall Street analysts remain bullish about the tech giant based on its strong track record, continued innovation, and progress into new growth areas like fintech.Apple is Well-Positioned for Long-Term GrowthApple’s Q3 Fiscal 2022 (ended June 30, 2022) revenue increased 1.9% to nearly $83 billion, but earnings per share fell 8% to $1.20. That said, the company managed to top analysts’ expectations for both key metrics.While Apple cautioned investors about near-term pressures, including currency headwinds and supply chain woes, it expects revenue growth to accelerate in the September quarter compared to the June quarter.Meanwhile, Apple is diversifying its manufacturing footprint amid production disruptions in China. Apple recently announced that it would be manufacturing the iPhone 14 in India. The company has been manufacturing old models of iPhones in India but this time it is going ahead with the production of a newly launched device. The move is expected to boost Apple’s prospects in a lucrative market like India.Additionally, Apple continues to deepen customer engagement with its services business, which includes sales from Applecare, advertising, cloud, payment, and other services. Note that the company’s services business is more profitable than its products segment. The company has been advancing in the attractive financial services market through solutions like Apple Pay and Apple Wallet.Back in June, Apple announced that it will launch a buy now, pay later service called Apple Pay Later. The facility will allow customers to split their purchase into four equal payments that can be spread over six weeks. Earlier this year, Apple rolled out its Tap to Pay on iPhone feature that enables contactless payments.Is Apple a Buy or Sell Now?In a recent research note to investors, Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives noted that the iPhone 14 is likely witnessing “brisk sales” as wait times are getting longer. The analyst stated, “Wait times on many iPhone Pro 14 models are now 4-6 weeks for Apple customers and lengthening into November.” Ives stated that the overall demand for Pro is 8% to 10% ahead of his expectations.The analyst also sees strong sales in China, mainly via e-commerce channels. He expects China’s business to be a vital factor in Apple’s growth story and estimates that nearly 30% of iPhone customers in China “are in the window of an upgrade opportunity.”Despite macro pressures, Ives believes that Apple’s growth story “remains a bright spot in the tech landscape with darker clouds abound in many pockets of consumer tech.” Ives reiterated a Buy rating on AAPL stock with a price target of $220.All in all, Apple scores the Street’s Strong Buy consensus rating based on 23 Buys, four Holds, and one Sell rating. The average Apple price target of $183.45 suggests nearly 22% upside potential from current levels.ConclusionDespite macro pressures, Apple seems to be an attractive pick for the long haul based on strengths like continued innovation, solid growth potential for the services business, and strong execution.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917332140,"gmtCreate":1665441447180,"gmtModify":1676537604753,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917332140","repostId":"1129204631","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129204631","pubTimestamp":1665415321,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129204631?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-10 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129204631","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.</li><li>However, that doesn&#39;t mean it will be the bottom.</li><li>Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates.</li></ul><p>The bear market of 2022 still has further to run based on historical trends and valuations versus interest rates. The 2022 S&amp;P 500 continues to trace bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008, which is more an indication of the ebb and flow of human nature than past and future events.</p><p>The mid-August peak served as another turning point for the S&amp;P 500, leading to a new September low. At this point, the historical references of the great bear markets of the past suggest another low is due sometime around October 25, give or take a couple of days, followed by an upward move and perhaps some consolidation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a5b3b87d56cd4bd4441ffe78d7917b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>An October New Low?</b></p><p>From a perspective of events that could lead to a continued decline and bottom at the end of October, a better-than-feared earnings season could be one such event. Whether a late October low will be the bottom or a short-term low is yet to be seen, but given how high valuations are, more work will need to be done for the bottom to be put in place.</p><p>It&#39;s All About Rates</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 earnings yield for 2022 minus the 10-Yr real yield is currently 4.56%. Historically, that is at the lower end of the range and associated with market tops, not bottoms. For example, the 4.5% region was visited in December 2016, January 2018, October 2018, and June 2020. The only case that didn&#39;t see a significant decline was in December 2016, when the index consolidated sideways for nearly three months.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbe9b42330ab57d8cb7fcad9ad287b66\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Since 2014, the average spread between the S&amp;P 500 current year earnings yields and the 10-Yr real yield has been around 5.2%, with a standard deviation range of 4.87% to 5.57%. Currently, the S&amp;P 500 premium to the 10-yr TIP is more than two standard deviations from the average. The spread would need to rise by 30 bps to get the index back to within one standard deviation, or by 65 bps to return to the historical average.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/716b902ff03171d3d6501fc54cd5e4ff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Another 9% Decline?</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has an earnings yield based on 2022 earnings estimates of 6.17%. An increase of 30 bps would increase the yield to 6.47%, and an increase of 60 bps would increase the yield to 6.77%. The earnings yield is simply the inverse of the PE ratio, which means the current PE ratio is 16.2 and would need to fall to 15.4 or 14.7 to bring the S&amp;P 500 back to a historically average fair value.</p><p>With the earnings estimates for 2022 currently tracking at $224.73, it would value the S&amp;P 500 in a range of 3,460 to 3,300. That would equal a further decline in the index of around 5% to 9%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65e039fb8224601f45af66fa8d842e51\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>What will tell us when this bear market is over is more likely to be interest rates and the dollar index, as these will likely provide a much better signal than other metrics. Because if rates continue to rise, the S&amp;P 500 will need to continue to decline with the pace of rates risings.</p><p>Rate Cuts?</p><p>Typically, the 10-year minus the 2-year spread tells us when the Fed is about to start cutting rates. It is at the point where the spread begins to rise that tends to serve as the best reference for the end of a rate-hiking cycle and the start of a rate-cutting cycle.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446920a17ef8c631f042c4e6c66a83c5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>As the market anticipates Fed rate cuts, the 2-Year yield begins to fall back to the 10-Year. It is the opposite, with the 10-2 year spread just recently making a new low in September and showing very little if no signs of turning higher.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ebdd77840eddc274c550c53a8b6d962\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Meanwhile, the best way to determine when the 10-2 Year spread may begin to rise is by looking at the unemployment rate because that tends to be a very good predictor of where yields are heading. Typically, when the unemployment starts to run higher, it indicates that the 10-2 year spread will widen, suggesting a rate cut cycle is near.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a37e7dfd2cd888c6f32ea805482bc8b2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>In this case, Friday&#39;s job report showed the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.7% last month and back to its July lows. That leaves the spread between the ten and 2-year Treasury nowhere close to putting in a bottom, and means the Fed is probably nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle.</p><p>If the Fed is nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle, then rates probably aren&#39;t finished rising. Thus, the equity market bear market cycle probably still has further to run, even if the equity market finds a short-term bottom at the end of October.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-10 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom.Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129204631","content_text":"SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom.Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates.The bear market of 2022 still has further to run based on historical trends and valuations versus interest rates. The 2022 S&P 500 continues to trace bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008, which is more an indication of the ebb and flow of human nature than past and future events.The mid-August peak served as another turning point for the S&P 500, leading to a new September low. At this point, the historical references of the great bear markets of the past suggest another low is due sometime around October 25, give or take a couple of days, followed by an upward move and perhaps some consolidation.BloombergAn October New Low?From a perspective of events that could lead to a continued decline and bottom at the end of October, a better-than-feared earnings season could be one such event. Whether a late October low will be the bottom or a short-term low is yet to be seen, but given how high valuations are, more work will need to be done for the bottom to be put in place.It's All About RatesThe S&P 500 earnings yield for 2022 minus the 10-Yr real yield is currently 4.56%. Historically, that is at the lower end of the range and associated with market tops, not bottoms. For example, the 4.5% region was visited in December 2016, January 2018, October 2018, and June 2020. The only case that didn't see a significant decline was in December 2016, when the index consolidated sideways for nearly three months.BloombergSince 2014, the average spread between the S&P 500 current year earnings yields and the 10-Yr real yield has been around 5.2%, with a standard deviation range of 4.87% to 5.57%. Currently, the S&P 500 premium to the 10-yr TIP is more than two standard deviations from the average. The spread would need to rise by 30 bps to get the index back to within one standard deviation, or by 65 bps to return to the historical average.BloombergAnother 9% Decline?The S&P 500 has an earnings yield based on 2022 earnings estimates of 6.17%. An increase of 30 bps would increase the yield to 6.47%, and an increase of 60 bps would increase the yield to 6.77%. The earnings yield is simply the inverse of the PE ratio, which means the current PE ratio is 16.2 and would need to fall to 15.4 or 14.7 to bring the S&P 500 back to a historically average fair value.With the earnings estimates for 2022 currently tracking at $224.73, it would value the S&P 500 in a range of 3,460 to 3,300. That would equal a further decline in the index of around 5% to 9%.BloombergWhat will tell us when this bear market is over is more likely to be interest rates and the dollar index, as these will likely provide a much better signal than other metrics. Because if rates continue to rise, the S&P 500 will need to continue to decline with the pace of rates risings.Rate Cuts?Typically, the 10-year minus the 2-year spread tells us when the Fed is about to start cutting rates. It is at the point where the spread begins to rise that tends to serve as the best reference for the end of a rate-hiking cycle and the start of a rate-cutting cycle.BloombergAs the market anticipates Fed rate cuts, the 2-Year yield begins to fall back to the 10-Year. It is the opposite, with the 10-2 year spread just recently making a new low in September and showing very little if no signs of turning higher.BloombergMeanwhile, the best way to determine when the 10-2 Year spread may begin to rise is by looking at the unemployment rate because that tends to be a very good predictor of where yields are heading. Typically, when the unemployment starts to run higher, it indicates that the 10-2 year spread will widen, suggesting a rate cut cycle is near.BloombergIn this case, Friday's job report showed the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.7% last month and back to its July lows. That leaves the spread between the ten and 2-year Treasury nowhere close to putting in a bottom, and means the Fed is probably nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle.If the Fed is nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle, then rates probably aren't finished rising. Thus, the equity market bear market cycle probably still has further to run, even if the equity market finds a short-term bottom at the end of October.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":77,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935538273,"gmtCreate":1663113415692,"gmtModify":1676537204889,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935538273","repostId":"2267503275","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2267503275","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1663100861,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2267503275?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-14 04:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Tumbles to Biggest Loss in Two Years Following CPI Data","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2267503275","media":"Reuters","summary":"U.S. consumer prices rise unexpectedlyLikelihood grows of a 100 bp Fed rate hike in SeptIndexes slid","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>U.S. consumer prices rise unexpectedly</li><li>Likelihood grows of a 100 bp Fed rate hike in Sept</li><li>Indexes slide: Dow 3.94%, S&amp;P 4.32%, Nasdaq 5.16%</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - A broad sell-off sent U.S. stocks reeling on Tuesday after a hotter-than-expected inflation report dashed hopes that the Federal Reserve could relent and scale back its policy tightening in the coming months.</p><p>All three major U.S. stock indexes veered sharply lower, snapping four-day winning streaks and notching their biggest one-day percentage drops since June 2020 during the throes of the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>Surging risk-off sentiment pulled every major sector deep into negative territory, with interest-rate-sensitive tech and tech-adjacent market leaders, led by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft Corp</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com Inc</a> weighing heaviest.</p><p>&#34;(The sell-off) is not a surprise given the rally running up to the data,&#34; said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s consumer price index (CPI) came in above consensus, interrupting a cooling trend and throwing cold water on hopes that the Federal Reserve could relent after September and ease up on its interest rate hikes.</p><p>Core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, increased more than expected, rising to 6.3% from 5.9% in July.</p><p>The report points to &#34;very persistent inflation and that means the Fed is going to remain engaged and raise rates,&#34; Nolte added. &#34;And that’s an anathema to equities.&#34;</p><p>Financial markets have fully priced in an interest rate hike of at least 75 basis points at the conclusion of the FOMC&#39;s policy meeting next week, with a 32% probability of a super-sized, full-percentage-point increase to the Fed funds target rate, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch tool.</p><p>&#34;The Fed has increased (interest rates) by three full percentage points in the last six months,&#34; Nolte said. &#34;We have not yet felt the full impact of all those increases. But we will feel it.&#34;</p><p>&#34;We are at recession’s doorstep.&#34;</p><p>Worries persist that a prolonged period of policy tightening from the Fed could tip the economy over the brink of recession.</p><p>The inversion of yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes, regarded as a red flag of impending recession, widened further.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1,276.37 points, or 3.94%, to 31,104.97, the S&amp;P 500 lost 177.72 points, or 4.32%, to 3,932.69 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 632.84 points, or 5.16%, to 11,633.57.</p><p>All 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500 ended the session deep in red territory.</p><p>Communications services, consumer discretionary and tech shares all plummeted more than 5%, while the tech subset semiconductor sector sank 6.2%.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 7.76-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.64-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week high and 16 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 163 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.58 billion shares, compared with the 10.33 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Tumbles to Biggest Loss in Two Years Following CPI Data</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Tumbles to Biggest Loss in Two Years Following CPI Data\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-14 04:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>U.S. consumer prices rise unexpectedly</li><li>Likelihood grows of a 100 bp Fed rate hike in Sept</li><li>Indexes slide: Dow 3.94%, S&amp;P 4.32%, Nasdaq 5.16%</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - A broad sell-off sent U.S. stocks reeling on Tuesday after a hotter-than-expected inflation report dashed hopes that the Federal Reserve could relent and scale back its policy tightening in the coming months.</p><p>All three major U.S. stock indexes veered sharply lower, snapping four-day winning streaks and notching their biggest one-day percentage drops since June 2020 during the throes of the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>Surging risk-off sentiment pulled every major sector deep into negative territory, with interest-rate-sensitive tech and tech-adjacent market leaders, led by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft Corp</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com Inc</a> weighing heaviest.</p><p>&#34;(The sell-off) is not a surprise given the rally running up to the data,&#34; said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s consumer price index (CPI) came in above consensus, interrupting a cooling trend and throwing cold water on hopes that the Federal Reserve could relent after September and ease up on its interest rate hikes.</p><p>Core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, increased more than expected, rising to 6.3% from 5.9% in July.</p><p>The report points to &#34;very persistent inflation and that means the Fed is going to remain engaged and raise rates,&#34; Nolte added. &#34;And that’s an anathema to equities.&#34;</p><p>Financial markets have fully priced in an interest rate hike of at least 75 basis points at the conclusion of the FOMC&#39;s policy meeting next week, with a 32% probability of a super-sized, full-percentage-point increase to the Fed funds target rate, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch tool.</p><p>&#34;The Fed has increased (interest rates) by three full percentage points in the last six months,&#34; Nolte said. &#34;We have not yet felt the full impact of all those increases. But we will feel it.&#34;</p><p>&#34;We are at recession’s doorstep.&#34;</p><p>Worries persist that a prolonged period of policy tightening from the Fed could tip the economy over the brink of recession.</p><p>The inversion of yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes, regarded as a red flag of impending recession, widened further.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1,276.37 points, or 3.94%, to 31,104.97, the S&amp;P 500 lost 177.72 points, or 4.32%, to 3,932.69 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 632.84 points, or 5.16%, to 11,633.57.</p><p>All 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500 ended the session deep in red territory.</p><p>Communications services, consumer discretionary and tech shares all plummeted more than 5%, while the tech subset semiconductor sector sank 6.2%.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 7.76-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.64-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week high and 16 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 163 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.58 billion shares, compared with the 10.33 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2267503275","content_text":"U.S. consumer prices rise unexpectedlyLikelihood grows of a 100 bp Fed rate hike in SeptIndexes slide: Dow 3.94%, S&P 4.32%, Nasdaq 5.16%(Reuters) - A broad sell-off sent U.S. stocks reeling on Tuesday after a hotter-than-expected inflation report dashed hopes that the Federal Reserve could relent and scale back its policy tightening in the coming months.All three major U.S. stock indexes veered sharply lower, snapping four-day winning streaks and notching their biggest one-day percentage drops since June 2020 during the throes of the COVID-19 pandemic.Surging risk-off sentiment pulled every major sector deep into negative territory, with interest-rate-sensitive tech and tech-adjacent market leaders, led by Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com Inc weighing heaviest.\"(The sell-off) is not a surprise given the rally running up to the data,\" said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago.The Labor Department's consumer price index (CPI) came in above consensus, interrupting a cooling trend and throwing cold water on hopes that the Federal Reserve could relent after September and ease up on its interest rate hikes.Core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, increased more than expected, rising to 6.3% from 5.9% in July.The report points to \"very persistent inflation and that means the Fed is going to remain engaged and raise rates,\" Nolte added. \"And that’s an anathema to equities.\"Financial markets have fully priced in an interest rate hike of at least 75 basis points at the conclusion of the FOMC's policy meeting next week, with a 32% probability of a super-sized, full-percentage-point increase to the Fed funds target rate, according to CME's FedWatch tool.\"The Fed has increased (interest rates) by three full percentage points in the last six months,\" Nolte said. \"We have not yet felt the full impact of all those increases. But we will feel it.\"\"We are at recession’s doorstep.\"Worries persist that a prolonged period of policy tightening from the Fed could tip the economy over the brink of recession.The inversion of yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes, regarded as a red flag of impending recession, widened further.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1,276.37 points, or 3.94%, to 31,104.97, the S&P 500 lost 177.72 points, or 4.32%, to 3,932.69 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 632.84 points, or 5.16%, to 11,633.57.All 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 ended the session deep in red territory.Communications services, consumer discretionary and tech shares all plummeted more than 5%, while the tech subset semiconductor sector sank 6.2%.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 7.76-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.64-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 1 new 52-week high and 16 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 163 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.58 billion shares, compared with the 10.33 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989907425,"gmtCreate":1665882088667,"gmtModify":1676537674288,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989907425","repostId":"2275956132","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275956132","pubTimestamp":1665880140,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2275956132?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-16 08:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming, but Do Record Deliveries Mask a Demand Problem?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275956132","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLATesla Inc.’s record deliveries in the third quarter weren’t enough to satisfy Wall Street. Will the company’s full explanation play any better?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01e54dbc03597e8afcf8969752bb25b4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"438\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLA</span></p><p>Tesla Inc.’s record deliveries in the third quarter weren’t enough to satisfy Wall Street. Will the company’s full explanation play any better?</p><p>The electric-car company posts production and delivery numbers ahead of its formal earnings report, giving investors weeks to extrapolate trends based on limited information. This time, debate has focused on the short bit of commentary that Tesla provided as it posted 343,830 deliveries for the third quarter, below the 371,000 that analysts tracked by FactSet had been expecting, and also below the 365,923 vehicles that the company said it produced in the period.</p><p>Tesla explained in a press release that delivery volumes have been heavily weighted to the end of quarters “due to regional batch building of cars,” but that as production volumes have increased, it’s become “increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity and at a reasonable cost during these peak logistics weeks.” The company has moved to “a more even regional mix of vehicle builds each week, which led to an increase in cars in transit at the end of the quarter.”</p><p>Tesla’s stock fell 8.6% in the first trading session after the deliveries were announced.</p><p>While Tesla seemed to peg its problems to delivery logistics, some analysts weren’t sure that was the only challenge facing the Elon Musk-led company these days.</p><p>“A top concern right now is demand in China as wait times seem to be shrinking,” wrote RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak. The question is whether the wait-time issue is a “blip” or indicative of “a bigger change among consumers.”</p><p>Spak added that there is “some overall concern about demand (not just China)” headed into Tesla’s report.</p><p>Guggenheim’s Ali Faghri also wrote of potential demand issues in China, even though he thought the U.S. outlook remained strong.</p><p>“Our conclusion is that the sharp moderation in China wait times is at least partially attributable to weaker demand amid increasing competition from lower priced domestic OEMs [original equipment manufacturers],” he said in a note to clients.</p><p>“While wait times in the U.S. and Europe remain healthy, we see potential similarities between Europe and China (macro pressures, increasing competition, ramping supply),” he continued. “Overall, we see risk that TSLA is reaching demand saturation in its most important market globally (China, with tail risk in Europe).”</p><p>Such a dynamic could weigh on the company’s ability to hit its delivery goals and “potentially pressure the stock’s premium valuation as the story shifts from supply-constrained (high multiple) to demand-constrained (lower multiple),” Faghri added.</p><p>Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan highlighted a number of puts and takes in thinking about broader demand for Tesla vehicles heading into next year.</p><p>“While IRA [the Inflation Recovery Act] will help in 2023, the economy and interest rates likely will not, particularly in Europe where an energy crisis looms,” he wrote. “If consumers are watching costs, a $60K vehicle purchase could get deferred.”</p><p>UBS analyst Patrick Hummel also chimed in that “[t]he debate about EVs has shifted to the demand side, after delivery times have come down significantly,” but he saw opportunity for Tesla in that dynamic.</p><p>“We think Tesla is best positioned to use pricing as the tool to fill its factories,” he wrote, noting that price reductions could help Tesla gain share over electric-vehicle companies and further compete against sellers of gas-powered cars.</p><p>Tesla is due to post its third-quarter results Oct. 19 after the closing bell.</p><h2>What to expect</h2><p><b>Revenue:</b> Analysts expect Tesla to report $22.14 billion in revenue, up from $13.76 billion a year prior.</p><p>According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average estimate calls for $22.63 billion in revenue.</p><p><b>Earnings:</b> The FactSet consensus calls for $1.01 a share in September-quarter adjusted earnings, up from 62 cents a share in the year-prior quarter. Those polled by Estimize are looking for $1.13 in adjusted earnings per share on average.</p><p><b>Stock movement:</b> Tesla shares have gained following three of the company’s last five earnings reports. They logged a 9.8% rally in the session following the company’s most recent report.</p><p>Tesla’s stock is off 37% so far this year, as the S&amp;P 500 has fallen 23%.</p><p>Of the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Tesla’s stock, 27 have buy ratings, 11 have hold ratings, and four have sell ratings, with an average price target of $305.58.</p><h2>What else to watch for</h2><p>Production-related commentary will be worth monitoring given all the moving parts at Tesla.</p><p>“While management cited logistics issues that slowed end-of-quarter deliveries, we think this reflects the challenges ramping up production at its two new factories as well as restarting the Shanghai plant after the COVID-19 lockdowns during the second quarter,” wrote Morningstar analyst Seth Goldstein, though he saw “no long-term issues that would affect production.”</p><p>Oppenheimer’s Colin Rusch was similarly interested in a capacity rundown.</p><p>“We are expecting a substantial update on rate of TSLA’s capacity ramp in incremental capacity in Shanghai along with its Berlin and Austin facilities on the company’s earnings call,” he wrote. “With production underway in Berlin and Austin, we expect investors to be focused on the pace of ramp in the face of supply chain headwinds.”</p><p>As always, investors will be watching for any forward-looking commentary around deliveries or demand trends more generally.</p><p>“We believe TSLA will come out and reiterate their goal of around 50% growth,” RBC’s Spak wrote. “However, we do see some potential risk to 4Q22 deliveries in the U.S. as a subset of consumers may choose to delay delivery until 2023 to take advantage of IRA EV tax credits,” referring to electric vehicle credits from the Inflation Recovery Act.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming, but Do Record Deliveries Mask a Demand Problem?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming, but Do Record Deliveries Mask a Demand Problem?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-16 08:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-earnings-are-coming-but-do-record-deliveries-mask-a-demand-problem-11665767452?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLATesla Inc.’s record ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-earnings-are-coming-but-do-record-deliveries-mask-a-demand-problem-11665767452?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-earnings-are-coming-but-do-record-deliveries-mask-a-demand-problem-11665767452?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275956132","content_text":"Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLATesla Inc.’s record deliveries in the third quarter weren’t enough to satisfy Wall Street. Will the company’s full explanation play any better?The electric-car company posts production and delivery numbers ahead of its formal earnings report, giving investors weeks to extrapolate trends based on limited information. This time, debate has focused on the short bit of commentary that Tesla provided as it posted 343,830 deliveries for the third quarter, below the 371,000 that analysts tracked by FactSet had been expecting, and also below the 365,923 vehicles that the company said it produced in the period.Tesla explained in a press release that delivery volumes have been heavily weighted to the end of quarters “due to regional batch building of cars,” but that as production volumes have increased, it’s become “increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity and at a reasonable cost during these peak logistics weeks.” The company has moved to “a more even regional mix of vehicle builds each week, which led to an increase in cars in transit at the end of the quarter.”Tesla’s stock fell 8.6% in the first trading session after the deliveries were announced.While Tesla seemed to peg its problems to delivery logistics, some analysts weren’t sure that was the only challenge facing the Elon Musk-led company these days.“A top concern right now is demand in China as wait times seem to be shrinking,” wrote RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak. The question is whether the wait-time issue is a “blip” or indicative of “a bigger change among consumers.”Spak added that there is “some overall concern about demand (not just China)” headed into Tesla’s report.Guggenheim’s Ali Faghri also wrote of potential demand issues in China, even though he thought the U.S. outlook remained strong.“Our conclusion is that the sharp moderation in China wait times is at least partially attributable to weaker demand amid increasing competition from lower priced domestic OEMs [original equipment manufacturers],” he said in a note to clients.“While wait times in the U.S. and Europe remain healthy, we see potential similarities between Europe and China (macro pressures, increasing competition, ramping supply),” he continued. “Overall, we see risk that TSLA is reaching demand saturation in its most important market globally (China, with tail risk in Europe).”Such a dynamic could weigh on the company’s ability to hit its delivery goals and “potentially pressure the stock’s premium valuation as the story shifts from supply-constrained (high multiple) to demand-constrained (lower multiple),” Faghri added.Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan highlighted a number of puts and takes in thinking about broader demand for Tesla vehicles heading into next year.“While IRA [the Inflation Recovery Act] will help in 2023, the economy and interest rates likely will not, particularly in Europe where an energy crisis looms,” he wrote. “If consumers are watching costs, a $60K vehicle purchase could get deferred.”UBS analyst Patrick Hummel also chimed in that “[t]he debate about EVs has shifted to the demand side, after delivery times have come down significantly,” but he saw opportunity for Tesla in that dynamic.“We think Tesla is best positioned to use pricing as the tool to fill its factories,” he wrote, noting that price reductions could help Tesla gain share over electric-vehicle companies and further compete against sellers of gas-powered cars.Tesla is due to post its third-quarter results Oct. 19 after the closing bell.What to expectRevenue: Analysts expect Tesla to report $22.14 billion in revenue, up from $13.76 billion a year prior.According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average estimate calls for $22.63 billion in revenue.Earnings: The FactSet consensus calls for $1.01 a share in September-quarter adjusted earnings, up from 62 cents a share in the year-prior quarter. Those polled by Estimize are looking for $1.13 in adjusted earnings per share on average.Stock movement: Tesla shares have gained following three of the company’s last five earnings reports. They logged a 9.8% rally in the session following the company’s most recent report.Tesla’s stock is off 37% so far this year, as the S&P 500 has fallen 23%.Of the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Tesla’s stock, 27 have buy ratings, 11 have hold ratings, and four have sell ratings, with an average price target of $305.58.What else to watch forProduction-related commentary will be worth monitoring given all the moving parts at Tesla.“While management cited logistics issues that slowed end-of-quarter deliveries, we think this reflects the challenges ramping up production at its two new factories as well as restarting the Shanghai plant after the COVID-19 lockdowns during the second quarter,” wrote Morningstar analyst Seth Goldstein, though he saw “no long-term issues that would affect production.”Oppenheimer’s Colin Rusch was similarly interested in a capacity rundown.“We are expecting a substantial update on rate of TSLA’s capacity ramp in incremental capacity in Shanghai along with its Berlin and Austin facilities on the company’s earnings call,” he wrote. “With production underway in Berlin and Austin, we expect investors to be focused on the pace of ramp in the face of supply chain headwinds.”As always, investors will be watching for any forward-looking commentary around deliveries or demand trends more generally.“We believe TSLA will come out and reiterate their goal of around 50% growth,” RBC’s Spak wrote. “However, we do see some potential risk to 4Q22 deliveries in the U.S. as a subset of consumers may choose to delay delivery until 2023 to take advantage of IRA EV tax credits,” referring to electric vehicle credits from the Inflation Recovery Act.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":33,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912941861,"gmtCreate":1664752614654,"gmtModify":1676537500776,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912941861","repostId":"1181872738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181872738","pubTimestamp":1664751653,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181872738?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-03 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Q4 Kicks off Amid Volatility, Jobs Report in Focus: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181872738","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barre","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barrel into a new month and quarter writhing from a vicious downtrend that has plagued the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e13c744516b1471c295a870f510c9ac1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>On Friday, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed out a three-quarter losing streak for the first time since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also posted a third-straight losing quarter, its first such time since 2015.</p><p>At 269 days and counting, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 is now in its longest correction, peak to trough, since March 2009, according to figures from Compound Advisors’ Charlie Bilello. The current 8-month bear market is the longest since 2007-2009’s downturn, with the average length of a bear market since 1929 standing at 14 months.</p><p>A survey by the American Association of Individual Investors showed 60% of retail investors hold a bearish view of the stock market, the highest level since 2008 and the eighth most pessimistic reading in the 35 years the survey has been conducted.</p><p>The Labor Department’s September employment data is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday morning. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 250,000 last month, per consensus estimates from Bloomberg. If realized, the figure would mark an anticipated moderation for Federal Reserve policymakers trying to tamp down the labor market in their battle against inflation – but not enough for officials to scale back on their rate hiking plans.</p><p>Strong labor market readings have stoked worries that Fed officials will stay on path with aggressive rate hikes and over tighten monetary conditions. And while strategists anticipated the impact of rate hikes showing up in employment data, figures have so far surprised to the upside. On Thursday, Labor Department data showed initial jobless claims slid to 193,000, the lowest since April, for the week that ended on Sept. 24.</p><p>Analysts at Bank of America said in a Friday note they expect strong payroll growth to continue, with indicators of labor market activity — like initial jobless claims and the Conference Board&#39;s labor market differential — that feed into the institutions projections remaining red-hot since August’s report.</p><p>“Investors are hunting for confirmation bias that inflation is abating but strong jobs data has dashed all hopes,” Thornburg Investment Management portfolio manager Sean Sun said in emailed commentary.</p><p>“While there are some signs of disinflation out there, the strong jobless claims data is as if the Fed is trying to step on the brakes of a car that still hurtling downhill at a steep angle,” Sun added. “Investors shouldn&#39;t ask if the Fed will pivot, but rather how deep into the recession we&#39;ll find ourselves before they finally act.”</p><p>Other labor market readings due out through Friday include the ADP’s employment report, which measures levels of non-farm private employment, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), and the Challenger Job-Cut report, which offers information on the number of tracked corporate layoffs by industry and region.</p><p>Elsewhere in economic releases on the docket this week are ISM manufacturing and services data, construction spending figures, and a reading on total vehicle sales.</p><p>The corporate calendar will be light before a new earnings season gets underway, but some notable names on the docket include Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), and McCormick (MKC).</p><p>After a brutal September — worse for the Dow than even September 2008 — some Wall Street optimists look ahead to October, which based on seasonal trends has been dubbed a “bear-market killer” due to historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years. Every time the S&amp;P 500 has dropped 7% or more in September, stocks have done well in October, Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick noted.</p><p>However, even if markets get a reprieve, a high-stakes earnings season is likely to prove any bounce fleeting, with analysts rushing to slash their year-end forecasts amid worsening fundamentals tied to persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and slowing growth.</p><p>“Now I think for us it’s not about inflation and central banks; it’s about earnings,” Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management, told Yahoo Finance Live. “The focus will be on earnings because we’re going from a moderation shock, with higher interest rates, to a growth shock. This is where we feel more worried, and next earnings season is going to be really critical.”</p><p>—</p><p>Economic Calendar</p><p>Monday: S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, September final (51.8 expected, 51.8 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, August (-0.2% expected, -0.4% during prior month); ISM Manufacturing, September (52.1 expected, 52.8 during prior month); ISM Prices Paid, September (52.0 expected, 52.5 prior month); ISM New Orders, September (50.5 expected, 51.3 during prior month); ISM Employment, September (53.0 expected, 54.2 during prior month); WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, September (13.50 million expected, 13.18 million prior month)</p><p>Tuesday: Factory Orders Excluding Transportation, August (0.2% expected, -1.0% during prior month); Factory Orders, August (0.2 expected, -1.1% during prior month); Durable Goods Orders, August final (-0.2% during prior month); Durables Excluding Transportation, August final (0.2% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Orders Excluding aircraft, August final (1.3% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Shipments Excluding Aircraft, August final (0.3% during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, August (11.075 million expected, 11.239 million during prior month)</p><p>Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Sep. 30 (-3.7% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, September (200,000 expected, 132,000 during prior month); Trade Balance, August (-$68.0 billion expected, -$70.7 billion during prior month); S&amp;P Global U.S. Services PMI, September final (49.2 expected, 49.2 during prior month); S&amp;P Global U.S. Composite PMI, September final (49.3 expected, 49.3 during prior month); ISM Services Index, September (56.0 expected, 56.9 during prior month)</p><p>Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, September (30.3% during prior month); Initial Jobless Claims, week ended Oct. 1 (203,000 expected, 193,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims, week ended Sep. 24 (1.387 million expected, 1.347 million during prior week)</p><p>Friday: Two-Month Payroll Net Revision, September (-107,000 prior); Change in Nonfarm Payrolls, September (250,000 expected, 315,000 during prior month); Change in Private Payrolls, September (275,000 expected, 308,000 during prior month); Change in Manufacturing Payrolls, September (20,000 expected, 22,000 during prior month); Unemployment Rate, September (3.7% expected, 3.7% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, September (5.1% expected, 5.2% prior month); Average Weekly Hours All Employees, September (34.5 expected, 34.5 during prior month); Labor Force Participation Rate, September (62.4% expected, 62.4% during prior month); Underemployment Rate, September (7.0% prior month); Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, August final (1.3% expected, 1.3% during prior month); Wholesale Trade Sales, month-over-month, August (0.5% expected, -1.4% during prior month)</p><p>—</p><p>Earnings Calendar</p><p>Monday: No notable reports scheduled for release.</p><p>Tuesday: Acuity Brands (AYI)</p><p>Wednesday: Helen of Troy (HELE)</p><p>Thursday: AngioDynamics (ANGO), Conagra (CAG), Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), McCormick (MKC)</p><p>Friday: Tilray (TLRY)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQ4 Kicks off Amid Volatility, Jobs Report in Focus: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-03 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-jobs-report-volatility-economy-145141301.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barrel into a new month and quarter writhing from a vicious downtrend that has plagued the year.On Friday...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-jobs-report-volatility-economy-145141301.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-jobs-report-volatility-economy-145141301.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181872738","content_text":"The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barrel into a new month and quarter writhing from a vicious downtrend that has plagued the year.On Friday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed out a three-quarter losing streak for the first time since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also posted a third-straight losing quarter, its first such time since 2015.At 269 days and counting, the benchmark S&P 500 is now in its longest correction, peak to trough, since March 2009, according to figures from Compound Advisors’ Charlie Bilello. The current 8-month bear market is the longest since 2007-2009’s downturn, with the average length of a bear market since 1929 standing at 14 months.A survey by the American Association of Individual Investors showed 60% of retail investors hold a bearish view of the stock market, the highest level since 2008 and the eighth most pessimistic reading in the 35 years the survey has been conducted.The Labor Department’s September employment data is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday morning. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 250,000 last month, per consensus estimates from Bloomberg. If realized, the figure would mark an anticipated moderation for Federal Reserve policymakers trying to tamp down the labor market in their battle against inflation – but not enough for officials to scale back on their rate hiking plans.Strong labor market readings have stoked worries that Fed officials will stay on path with aggressive rate hikes and over tighten monetary conditions. And while strategists anticipated the impact of rate hikes showing up in employment data, figures have so far surprised to the upside. On Thursday, Labor Department data showed initial jobless claims slid to 193,000, the lowest since April, for the week that ended on Sept. 24.Analysts at Bank of America said in a Friday note they expect strong payroll growth to continue, with indicators of labor market activity — like initial jobless claims and the Conference Board's labor market differential — that feed into the institutions projections remaining red-hot since August’s report.“Investors are hunting for confirmation bias that inflation is abating but strong jobs data has dashed all hopes,” Thornburg Investment Management portfolio manager Sean Sun said in emailed commentary.“While there are some signs of disinflation out there, the strong jobless claims data is as if the Fed is trying to step on the brakes of a car that still hurtling downhill at a steep angle,” Sun added. “Investors shouldn't ask if the Fed will pivot, but rather how deep into the recession we'll find ourselves before they finally act.”Other labor market readings due out through Friday include the ADP’s employment report, which measures levels of non-farm private employment, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), and the Challenger Job-Cut report, which offers information on the number of tracked corporate layoffs by industry and region.Elsewhere in economic releases on the docket this week are ISM manufacturing and services data, construction spending figures, and a reading on total vehicle sales.The corporate calendar will be light before a new earnings season gets underway, but some notable names on the docket include Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), and McCormick (MKC).After a brutal September — worse for the Dow than even September 2008 — some Wall Street optimists look ahead to October, which based on seasonal trends has been dubbed a “bear-market killer” due to historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years. Every time the S&P 500 has dropped 7% or more in September, stocks have done well in October, Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick noted.However, even if markets get a reprieve, a high-stakes earnings season is likely to prove any bounce fleeting, with analysts rushing to slash their year-end forecasts amid worsening fundamentals tied to persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and slowing growth.“Now I think for us it’s not about inflation and central banks; it’s about earnings,” Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management, told Yahoo Finance Live. “The focus will be on earnings because we’re going from a moderation shock, with higher interest rates, to a growth shock. This is where we feel more worried, and next earnings season is going to be really critical.”—Economic CalendarMonday: S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, September final (51.8 expected, 51.8 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, August (-0.2% expected, -0.4% during prior month); ISM Manufacturing, September (52.1 expected, 52.8 during prior month); ISM Prices Paid, September (52.0 expected, 52.5 prior month); ISM New Orders, September (50.5 expected, 51.3 during prior month); ISM Employment, September (53.0 expected, 54.2 during prior month); WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, September (13.50 million expected, 13.18 million prior month)Tuesday: Factory Orders Excluding Transportation, August (0.2% expected, -1.0% during prior month); Factory Orders, August (0.2 expected, -1.1% during prior month); Durable Goods Orders, August final (-0.2% during prior month); Durables Excluding Transportation, August final (0.2% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Orders Excluding aircraft, August final (1.3% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Shipments Excluding Aircraft, August final (0.3% during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, August (11.075 million expected, 11.239 million during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Sep. 30 (-3.7% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, September (200,000 expected, 132,000 during prior month); Trade Balance, August (-$68.0 billion expected, -$70.7 billion during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Services PMI, September final (49.2 expected, 49.2 during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI, September final (49.3 expected, 49.3 during prior month); ISM Services Index, September (56.0 expected, 56.9 during prior month)Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, September (30.3% during prior month); Initial Jobless Claims, week ended Oct. 1 (203,000 expected, 193,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims, week ended Sep. 24 (1.387 million expected, 1.347 million during prior week)Friday: Two-Month Payroll Net Revision, September (-107,000 prior); Change in Nonfarm Payrolls, September (250,000 expected, 315,000 during prior month); Change in Private Payrolls, September (275,000 expected, 308,000 during prior month); Change in Manufacturing Payrolls, September (20,000 expected, 22,000 during prior month); Unemployment Rate, September (3.7% expected, 3.7% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, September (5.1% expected, 5.2% prior month); Average Weekly Hours All Employees, September (34.5 expected, 34.5 during prior month); Labor Force Participation Rate, September (62.4% expected, 62.4% during prior month); Underemployment Rate, September (7.0% prior month); Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, August final (1.3% expected, 1.3% during prior month); Wholesale Trade Sales, month-over-month, August (0.5% expected, -1.4% during prior month)—Earnings CalendarMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release.Tuesday: Acuity Brands (AYI)Wednesday: Helen of Troy (HELE)Thursday: AngioDynamics (ANGO), Conagra (CAG), Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), McCormick (MKC)Friday: Tilray (TLRY)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937389401,"gmtCreate":1663371442804,"gmtModify":1676537259232,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937389401","repostId":"2268610718","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2268610718","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1663369158,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2268610718?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-17 06:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Drops to Two-Month Lows As Recession Fears Mount","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2268610718","media":"Reuters","summary":"* FedEx profit warning hits peers* All three major U.S. indexes post sharp weekly declines* Investors eye next week's Fed meeting* Indexes down: Dow 0.45%, S&P 0.72%, Nasdaq 0.90%NEW YORK, Sept 16 (Re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* FedEx profit warning hits peers</p><p>* All three major U.S. indexes post sharp weekly declines</p><p>* Investors eye next week&#39;s Fed meeting</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 0.45%, S&amp;P 0.72%, Nasdaq 0.90%</p><p>NEW YORK, Sept 16 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended in the red on Friday, falling to two-month lows as a warning of impending global slowdown from FedEx hastened investors&#39; flight to safety at the conclusion of a tumultuous week.</p><p>All three major U.S. stock indexes slid to levels not touched since mid-July, with the S&amp;P 500 closing below 3,900, a closely watched support level.</p><p>Staggering past the finish line of a week rattled by inflation concerns, looming interest rate hikes and ominous economic warning signs, the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq suffered their worst weekly percentage plunges since June.</p><p>&#34;It’s been a tough week. It feels Halloween came early&#34; said David Carter, managing director at JPMorgan in New York. &#34;We are facing in this toxic brew of high inflation, high interest rates and low growth, which isn’t good for stock or bond markets.&#34;</p><p>Risk-off sentiment went from simmer to boil in the wake of FedEx Corp&#39;s withdrawal of its earnings forecast late Thursday, citing signs of dampening global demand.</p><p>FedEx&#39;s move followed remarks from the World Bank and the IMF, both of which warned of an impending worldwide economic slowdown.</p><p>A deluge of mixed economic data, dominated by a hotter-than-expected inflation report (CPI), cemented an interest rate hike of at least 75 basis points at the conclusion of the Fed&#39;s monetary policy meeting next week.</p><p>&#34;While the market is expecting a big bump in the Fed’s rates next week, there is tremendous uncertainty and concern about future rate increases,&#34; Carter added. &#34;The Fed is doing what it needs to do. And after some pain, markets and the economy will heal themselves.&#34;</p><p>Financial markets have priced in a 18% likelihood of a super-sized, 100 basis point increase to the Fed funds target rate on Wednesday, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch tool.   </p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 139.4 points, or 0.45%, to 30,822.42, the S&amp;P 500 lost 28.02 points, or 0.72%, to 3,873.33 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 103.95 points, or 0.9%, to 11,448.40.</p><p>Nine of the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500 ended in negative territory, with energy and industrials suffering the sharpest percentage drops.</p><p>Dow Transports, viewed as a barometer of economic health, plummeted 5.1%.</p><p>That drop was led by FedEx shares tanking by 21.4%, the biggest drop in the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>Peers United Parcel Service and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPO\">XPO Logistics</a> slid 4.5% and 4.7%, respectively, while Amazon.com Inc slipped 2.1%.</p><p>The session also marked the monthly options expiry, which occurs on the third Friday of every month. Options-hedging activity has amplified market moves this year, contributing to heightened volatility.</p><p>The CBOE Market Volatility index, often called &#34;the fear index,&#34; touched a two-month high, breezing past a level associated with heightened investor anxiety.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.04-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 56 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 21 new highs and 387 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 16.92 billion shares, compared with the 10.72 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Drops to Two-Month Lows As Recession Fears Mount</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Drops to Two-Month Lows As Recession Fears Mount\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-17 06:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* FedEx profit warning hits peers</p><p>* All three major U.S. indexes post sharp weekly declines</p><p>* Investors eye next week&#39;s Fed meeting</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 0.45%, S&amp;P 0.72%, Nasdaq 0.90%</p><p>NEW YORK, Sept 16 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended in the red on Friday, falling to two-month lows as a warning of impending global slowdown from FedEx hastened investors&#39; flight to safety at the conclusion of a tumultuous week.</p><p>All three major U.S. stock indexes slid to levels not touched since mid-July, with the S&amp;P 500 closing below 3,900, a closely watched support level.</p><p>Staggering past the finish line of a week rattled by inflation concerns, looming interest rate hikes and ominous economic warning signs, the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq suffered their worst weekly percentage plunges since June.</p><p>&#34;It’s been a tough week. It feels Halloween came early&#34; said David Carter, managing director at JPMorgan in New York. &#34;We are facing in this toxic brew of high inflation, high interest rates and low growth, which isn’t good for stock or bond markets.&#34;</p><p>Risk-off sentiment went from simmer to boil in the wake of FedEx Corp&#39;s withdrawal of its earnings forecast late Thursday, citing signs of dampening global demand.</p><p>FedEx&#39;s move followed remarks from the World Bank and the IMF, both of which warned of an impending worldwide economic slowdown.</p><p>A deluge of mixed economic data, dominated by a hotter-than-expected inflation report (CPI), cemented an interest rate hike of at least 75 basis points at the conclusion of the Fed&#39;s monetary policy meeting next week.</p><p>&#34;While the market is expecting a big bump in the Fed’s rates next week, there is tremendous uncertainty and concern about future rate increases,&#34; Carter added. &#34;The Fed is doing what it needs to do. And after some pain, markets and the economy will heal themselves.&#34;</p><p>Financial markets have priced in a 18% likelihood of a super-sized, 100 basis point increase to the Fed funds target rate on Wednesday, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch tool.   </p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 139.4 points, or 0.45%, to 30,822.42, the S&amp;P 500 lost 28.02 points, or 0.72%, to 3,873.33 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 103.95 points, or 0.9%, to 11,448.40.</p><p>Nine of the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500 ended in negative territory, with energy and industrials suffering the sharpest percentage drops.</p><p>Dow Transports, viewed as a barometer of economic health, plummeted 5.1%.</p><p>That drop was led by FedEx shares tanking by 21.4%, the biggest drop in the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>Peers United Parcel Service and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPO\">XPO Logistics</a> slid 4.5% and 4.7%, respectively, while Amazon.com Inc slipped 2.1%.</p><p>The session also marked the monthly options expiry, which occurs on the third Friday of every month. Options-hedging activity has amplified market moves this year, contributing to heightened volatility.</p><p>The CBOE Market Volatility index, often called &#34;the fear index,&#34; touched a two-month high, breezing past a level associated with heightened investor anxiety.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.04-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 56 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 21 new highs and 387 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 16.92 billion shares, compared with the 10.72 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPS":"联合包裹","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4566":"资本集团","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4524":"宅经济概念","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","BK4022":"陆运","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","FDX":"联邦快递","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指反向ETF","BK4538":"云计算","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4131":"航空货运与物流","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","XPO":"XPO Logistics","CPI":"IQ Real Return ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2268610718","content_text":"* FedEx profit warning hits peers* All three major U.S. indexes post sharp weekly declines* Investors eye next week's Fed meeting* Indexes down: Dow 0.45%, S&P 0.72%, Nasdaq 0.90%NEW YORK, Sept 16 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended in the red on Friday, falling to two-month lows as a warning of impending global slowdown from FedEx hastened investors' flight to safety at the conclusion of a tumultuous week.All three major U.S. stock indexes slid to levels not touched since mid-July, with the S&P 500 closing below 3,900, a closely watched support level.Staggering past the finish line of a week rattled by inflation concerns, looming interest rate hikes and ominous economic warning signs, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq suffered their worst weekly percentage plunges since June.\"It’s been a tough week. It feels Halloween came early\" said David Carter, managing director at JPMorgan in New York. \"We are facing in this toxic brew of high inflation, high interest rates and low growth, which isn’t good for stock or bond markets.\"Risk-off sentiment went from simmer to boil in the wake of FedEx Corp's withdrawal of its earnings forecast late Thursday, citing signs of dampening global demand.FedEx's move followed remarks from the World Bank and the IMF, both of which warned of an impending worldwide economic slowdown.A deluge of mixed economic data, dominated by a hotter-than-expected inflation report (CPI), cemented an interest rate hike of at least 75 basis points at the conclusion of the Fed's monetary policy meeting next week.\"While the market is expecting a big bump in the Fed’s rates next week, there is tremendous uncertainty and concern about future rate increases,\" Carter added. \"The Fed is doing what it needs to do. And after some pain, markets and the economy will heal themselves.\"Financial markets have priced in a 18% likelihood of a super-sized, 100 basis point increase to the Fed funds target rate on Wednesday, according to CME's FedWatch tool.   The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 139.4 points, or 0.45%, to 30,822.42, the S&P 500 lost 28.02 points, or 0.72%, to 3,873.33 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 103.95 points, or 0.9%, to 11,448.40.Nine of the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 ended in negative territory, with energy and industrials suffering the sharpest percentage drops.Dow Transports, viewed as a barometer of economic health, plummeted 5.1%.That drop was led by FedEx shares tanking by 21.4%, the biggest drop in the S&P 500.Peers United Parcel Service and XPO Logistics slid 4.5% and 4.7%, respectively, while Amazon.com Inc slipped 2.1%.The session also marked the monthly options expiry, which occurs on the third Friday of every month. Options-hedging activity has amplified market moves this year, contributing to heightened volatility.The CBOE Market Volatility index, often called \"the fear index,\" touched a two-month high, breezing past a level associated with heightened investor anxiety.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.04-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 56 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 21 new highs and 387 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 16.92 billion shares, compared with the 10.72 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078714777,"gmtCreate":1657754592699,"gmtModify":1676536054986,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078714777","repostId":"1176756062","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176756062","pubTimestamp":1657753696,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176756062?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-14 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Could Weigh Historic 100 Basis-Point Hike After Inflation Scorcher","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176756062","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Futures show one-in-two chance of super-sized July move75 basis points now also in play for Fed’s Se","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Futures show one-in-two chance of super-sized July move</li><li>75 basis points now also in play for Fed’s September meeting</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve officials may debate a historic one percentage-point rate hike later this month after another searing inflation report piled pressure on the central bank to act.</p><p>“Everything is in play,” Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told reporters in St. Petersburg, Florida, on Wednesday after US consumer prices rose a faster-than-forecast 9.1% in the year through June. Asked if that included raising rates by a full percentage point, he replied, “it would mean everything.”</p><p>The comments added fuel to bets that the Fed is more likely than not to raise interest rates by 100 basis points when it meets July 26-27, which would be the largest increase since the Fed started directly using overnight interest rates to conduct monetary policy in the early 1990s. Americans are furious over high prices and critics blame the Fed for its initial slow response.</p><p>“I think they have time, if they want, to change that expectation to 100. I don’t think they’ve given us a great reason why they should be going slow here, or being gradual,” said Michael Feroli, chief US economist at JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co.</p><p>“If you do in fact get 100 in July and 75 in September, then I think the growth outlook for later in the year probably deteriorates. Right now I’m inclined to think that the main impact might be to motivate more front loading by the Fed,” he said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6544da817b130f6caed4282a2e2756e2\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Given the acceleration in monthly inflation, economists at Nomura Securities International now expect a full percentage-point increase in the Fed’s benchmark rate at the upcoming policy meeting.</p><p>“Incoming data suggests the Fed’s inflation problem has worsened, and we expect policy makers to react by scaling up the pace of rate hikes to reinforce their credibility,” Nomura’s Aichi Amemiya, Robert Dent and Jacob Meyer, said in a note.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters last month after the central bank raised rates by 75 basis points, to a range of 1.5% to 1.75%, that either a 50 or 75 basis-point increase was likely in July. A majority of his colleagues since then have either echoed his line or endorsed the bigger move.</p><p>Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will be interviewed on Bloomberg Television on Wednesday evening. Fed Governor Christopher Waller is scheduled to speak on Thursday, while Bostic and his St. Louis colleague James Bullard both have events on Friday. After that officials enter their pre-meeting blackout period.</p><p>Central banks globally are confronting unprecedented inflation, prompting historic rate hikes from Hungary to Pakistan. The Bank of Canada on Wednesday increased rates by a surprise full percentage point amid fears that decades-high price pressures are becoming entrenched.</p><p>What Bloomberg Economics Says...</p><blockquote>“The Fed is right to worry about the unmooring of inflation expectations -- and this report raises the chance of an even larger rate hike than 75 basis points down the line.”-- Anna Wong and Andrew Husby, economists</blockquote><p>Brett Ryan, senior US economist at Deutsche Bank AG, said it made sense to price in some risk of a larger Fed move, but saw it as unlikely without explicit communication from the central bank.</p><p>“The hawks had to have agreed to the guidance of 50 to 75, with the understanding that if we got an upside print, 75 would be the number,” he said. “They have time to communicate if they want to put that message out there.”</p><p>The US central bank has pivoted to aggressive policy tightening to confront the highest inflation in 40 years, which critics say was egged on by policy makers’ slow initial response. They raised rates by 75 basis points last month -- the largest increase since 1994 -- despite previously signaling that they were on track for a smaller half-point move.</p><p>“You have to put 100 on the table for July,” said Andrew Hollenhorst, Citigroup chief US economist. “Everybody should be quite cautious about calling peak inflation -- a few months ago the peak was supposed to be 8.3%.”</p><p>Fed officials have said they want to push policy into restrictive territory, to a range of 3.25 to 3.5% by the end of this year, according to the median projection from the quarterly economic projections released in June. Futures markets Wednesday showed investors pricing in an even higher 3.5% to 3.75% range by year end.</p><p>Economists warn that such a fast pace of large increases could push the US into recession. Ahandfulof banks are calling for a contraction starting this year, while others see it starting next year.</p><p>“The more aggressive the Fed gets, it’s a question of what kind of recession we are going to get,” said Tom Porcelli, chief US economist at RBC Capital Markets. “It’s really easy to make the case that the Fed is going to be just as spooked by this number as they were the last -- that’s the right way to think about it.”</p><p>The Fed’s abrupt change to a 75 basis-point increase last month came on the back of a preliminary survey showing consumer expectations for future inflation were rising.</p><p>Subsequent updates to the data, which came after the Fed’s meeting, erased most of that uptick, but preliminary July figures, expected Friday, may provide policy makers with more ammunition to super-size this month’s hike.</p><p>Inflation expectations are particularly concerning to Powell and his colleagues, who are trying to avoid a 1970s-style price spiral.</p><p>“After what happened in June, I do not rule anything out,’ said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities. “I had been thinking that the Fed would decelerate to a 50-basis-point-per-meeting pace beginning in September, but if the next two monthly inflation numbers look like May’s and June’s, all bets are off.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Could Weigh Historic 100 Basis-Point Hike After Inflation Scorcher</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Could Weigh Historic 100 Basis-Point Hike After Inflation Scorcher\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-14 07:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-13/fed-could-weigh-historic-100-basis-point-hike-after-cpi-scorcher><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Futures show one-in-two chance of super-sized July move75 basis points now also in play for Fed’s September meetingFederal Reserve officials may debate a historic one percentage-point rate hike later ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-13/fed-could-weigh-historic-100-basis-point-hike-after-cpi-scorcher\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-13/fed-could-weigh-historic-100-basis-point-hike-after-cpi-scorcher","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176756062","content_text":"Futures show one-in-two chance of super-sized July move75 basis points now also in play for Fed’s September meetingFederal Reserve officials may debate a historic one percentage-point rate hike later this month after another searing inflation report piled pressure on the central bank to act.“Everything is in play,” Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told reporters in St. Petersburg, Florida, on Wednesday after US consumer prices rose a faster-than-forecast 9.1% in the year through June. Asked if that included raising rates by a full percentage point, he replied, “it would mean everything.”The comments added fuel to bets that the Fed is more likely than not to raise interest rates by 100 basis points when it meets July 26-27, which would be the largest increase since the Fed started directly using overnight interest rates to conduct monetary policy in the early 1990s. Americans are furious over high prices and critics blame the Fed for its initial slow response.“I think they have time, if they want, to change that expectation to 100. I don’t think they’ve given us a great reason why they should be going slow here, or being gradual,” said Michael Feroli, chief US economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co.“If you do in fact get 100 in July and 75 in September, then I think the growth outlook for later in the year probably deteriorates. Right now I’m inclined to think that the main impact might be to motivate more front loading by the Fed,” he said.Given the acceleration in monthly inflation, economists at Nomura Securities International now expect a full percentage-point increase in the Fed’s benchmark rate at the upcoming policy meeting.“Incoming data suggests the Fed’s inflation problem has worsened, and we expect policy makers to react by scaling up the pace of rate hikes to reinforce their credibility,” Nomura’s Aichi Amemiya, Robert Dent and Jacob Meyer, said in a note.Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters last month after the central bank raised rates by 75 basis points, to a range of 1.5% to 1.75%, that either a 50 or 75 basis-point increase was likely in July. A majority of his colleagues since then have either echoed his line or endorsed the bigger move.Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will be interviewed on Bloomberg Television on Wednesday evening. Fed Governor Christopher Waller is scheduled to speak on Thursday, while Bostic and his St. Louis colleague James Bullard both have events on Friday. After that officials enter their pre-meeting blackout period.Central banks globally are confronting unprecedented inflation, prompting historic rate hikes from Hungary to Pakistan. The Bank of Canada on Wednesday increased rates by a surprise full percentage point amid fears that decades-high price pressures are becoming entrenched.What Bloomberg Economics Says...“The Fed is right to worry about the unmooring of inflation expectations -- and this report raises the chance of an even larger rate hike than 75 basis points down the line.”-- Anna Wong and Andrew Husby, economistsBrett Ryan, senior US economist at Deutsche Bank AG, said it made sense to price in some risk of a larger Fed move, but saw it as unlikely without explicit communication from the central bank.“The hawks had to have agreed to the guidance of 50 to 75, with the understanding that if we got an upside print, 75 would be the number,” he said. “They have time to communicate if they want to put that message out there.”The US central bank has pivoted to aggressive policy tightening to confront the highest inflation in 40 years, which critics say was egged on by policy makers’ slow initial response. They raised rates by 75 basis points last month -- the largest increase since 1994 -- despite previously signaling that they were on track for a smaller half-point move.“You have to put 100 on the table for July,” said Andrew Hollenhorst, Citigroup chief US economist. “Everybody should be quite cautious about calling peak inflation -- a few months ago the peak was supposed to be 8.3%.”Fed officials have said they want to push policy into restrictive territory, to a range of 3.25 to 3.5% by the end of this year, according to the median projection from the quarterly economic projections released in June. Futures markets Wednesday showed investors pricing in an even higher 3.5% to 3.75% range by year end.Economists warn that such a fast pace of large increases could push the US into recession. Ahandfulof banks are calling for a contraction starting this year, while others see it starting next year.“The more aggressive the Fed gets, it’s a question of what kind of recession we are going to get,” said Tom Porcelli, chief US economist at RBC Capital Markets. “It’s really easy to make the case that the Fed is going to be just as spooked by this number as they were the last -- that’s the right way to think about it.”The Fed’s abrupt change to a 75 basis-point increase last month came on the back of a preliminary survey showing consumer expectations for future inflation were rising.Subsequent updates to the data, which came after the Fed’s meeting, erased most of that uptick, but preliminary July figures, expected Friday, may provide policy makers with more ammunition to super-size this month’s hike.Inflation expectations are particularly concerning to Powell and his colleagues, who are trying to avoid a 1970s-style price spiral.“After what happened in June, I do not rule anything out,’ said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities. “I had been thinking that the Fed would decelerate to a 50-basis-point-per-meeting pace beginning in September, but if the next two monthly inflation numbers look like May’s and June’s, all bets are off.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071196120,"gmtCreate":1657498732460,"gmtModify":1676536013555,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071196120","repostId":"2250672431","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2250672431","pubTimestamp":1657494031,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2250672431?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-11 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2250672431","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week wil","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.</p><p>The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that could tip the economy into recession.</p><p>Friday&#39;s June jobs report cast doubt on the imminence of a wholesale downturn in the US economy. Last month, the US economy added 372,000 jobs while the unemployment rate held steady at 3.6%.</p><p>&#34;The strong 372,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in June appears to make a mockery of claims the economy is heading into, let alone already in, a recession,&#34; said Andrew Hunter, senior US economist at Capital Economics.</p><p>Following this report, investors and economists were in broad agreement that continued strength in the labor market sets the table for another 0.75% interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve later this month. In the week ahead, investor attention will turn to Wednesday morning&#39;s inflation data for more clarity on this issue.</p><p>Economists estimate headline inflation rose 8.8% last month, an increase that would be the highest since December 1981, and the hottest inflation reading of this current cycle. Ethan Harris and the economics team at Bank of America Global Research notice a more than 7% monthly increase in energy inflation pushing this data to another high.</p><p>This reading on inflation, however, will come as energy and commodity prices have shown signs of moderating in recent weeks. Crude oil is down over 12% in the last month, while the price of commodities like corn, soybeans, and wheat were down over 20% through last Wednesday.</p><p>Some analysts suggested recession fears and high prices have begun to result in demand destruction. Though analysts at JPMorgan noted last week that since 1965 oil demand has declined in just 10 years, and even increased during the recession of 1991.</p><p>Harris and his team also wrote last week that whether the economy is in recession or not is &#34;beside the point.&#34;</p><p>&#34;While underlying economic momentum may very well be stronger than the headline GDP data indicate, complicating the &#39;recession&#39; question, it seems clear that US economic momentum has slowed,&#34; Harris wrote.</p><p>And the calendar this week will offer investor further checks on just how much this slowdown is weighing on businesses and consumers, with the June retail sales report out Friday morning and updates on industrial production and consumer sentiment that same day serving as highlights.</p><p>The week ahead will also bring the start of second quarter earnings season, with the usual early reporters from the financial sector getting things underway.</p><p>JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C) are among the big banks set to release results, while typical early season reporters like PepsiCo (PEP) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) will also be closely watched for signs of either resilience or softening among US consumers.</p><p>JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon speaks at the Boston College Chief Executives Club luncheon in Boston, Massachusetts, U.S., November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Brian SnyderBrian Snyder / reuters</p><p>Investors will also keep a close eye on the Treasury yield curve, where the 2-year yield trades above the 10-year yield, an inversion that has historically preceded recessions. On Friday, the 2-year yield settled at 3.03% while 10-year yield stood at 3.01%.</p><p>Meanwhile, stocks rallied last week as investors continue to try and repair the portfolio damage suffered during the worst first six months to a year since at least 1970.</p><p>Yet the recent rebound in markets has been met with trepidation amid suggestions this turnaround could signal the start of something bigger.</p><p>The 2-year yield settled above the 10-year yield on Friday, marking the first weekly settlement of an inverted yield curve since the summer of 2019. (Source: FRED)</p><p>Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat, wrote in a note to clients on Friday that, &#34;technically, markets look to be at resistance.&#34;</p><p>&#34;While July could prove choppy in the weeks ahead, it’s still more likely than not that a move down to new lows for 2022 happens into late July given evidence of rates turning back higher while the Dollar remains quite strong,&#34; Newton wrote. &#34;While I remain a buyer on weakness, it&#39;s hard for me to have faith in this near-term recovery given lack of participation and weak upward breadth thrust thus far. One should remain defensive over the next 2-3 weeks until this churning runs its course.&#34;</p><h3>Economic Calendar</h3><p><b>Monday: </b></p><p><b>Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, June </b>(93.2 previously)</p><p><b>Wednesday: Consumer price index, June, YoY </b>(+8.8% expected, +8.6% previously);<b> Core CPI, June, YoY </b>(+5.8% expected, +6% previously); <b>CPI, June, MoM </b>(+1.1% expected, +1% previously);<b> Core CPI, June, MoM </b>(+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously); <b>Federal Reserve Beige Book</b></p><p><b>Thursday: Initial jobless claims </b>(235,000 previously)</p><p><b>Friday: Retail sales, June </b>(+0.9% expected, -0.3% previously);<b> Retail sales, control group, June </b>(No growth expected, +0.1% previously);<b> Empire State manufacturing index, July </b>(-2.6 expected, -1.2 previously);<b> Producer price index, June, MoM </b>(+0.8% expected, +0.8% previously); <b>Import price index, June, MoM </b>(+0.7% expected, +0.6% previously);<b> Industrial production, June </b>(No growth expected, +0.1% previously);<b> Capacity utilization, June </b>(80.2% expected, 80.8% previously); <b>University of Michigan consumer sentiment, preliminary reading, July </b>(49 expected, 50 previously)</p><h3>Earnings Calendar</h3><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/232bb95cad2c6ce3dda94e126cbae636\" tg-width=\"2044\" tg-height=\"1194\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h3><h3>Monday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: No notable companies expected to report.</p><p>After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.</p><h3>Tuesday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>PepsiCo</b> (PEP)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report. </i></p><h3>Wednesday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>Fastenal</b> (FAST); <b>Delta Air Lines</b> (DAL)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report.</i></p><h3>Thursday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>JPMorgan Chase</b> (JPM); <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a></b> (MS); <b>Conagra</b> (CAG), <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a></b> (FRC); <b>Cintas</b> (CTAS)</p><p>After Market Close: <b>American Outdoor Brands</b> (AOUT)</p><h3>Friday:</h3><p>Before Market Open: <b>Wells Fargo</b> (WFC); <b>BlackRock</b> (BLK); <b>Citigroup</b> (C); <b>BNY Mellon</b> (BK); <b>UnitedHealth</b> (UNH); <b>Progressive</b> (PGR); <b>US Bancorp</b> (USB); <b>State Street</b> (STT); <b>PNC Financial</b> (PNC)</p><p>After Market Close: <i>No notable companies expected to report.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation, Earnings, and Retail Sales: What to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-11 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DAL":"达美航空","JPM":"摩根大通","PEP":"百事可乐","WFC":"富国银行"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-weekly-preview-week-july-11-174624638.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2250672431","content_text":"Financial markets have been preoccupied with one idea in recent weeks: recession.The coming week will offer more insight on whether inflation pressures are pushing business and consumer pullbacks that could tip the economy into recession.Friday's June jobs report cast doubt on the imminence of a wholesale downturn in the US economy. Last month, the US economy added 372,000 jobs while the unemployment rate held steady at 3.6%.\"The strong 372,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in June appears to make a mockery of claims the economy is heading into, let alone already in, a recession,\" said Andrew Hunter, senior US economist at Capital Economics.Following this report, investors and economists were in broad agreement that continued strength in the labor market sets the table for another 0.75% interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve later this month. In the week ahead, investor attention will turn to Wednesday morning's inflation data for more clarity on this issue.Economists estimate headline inflation rose 8.8% last month, an increase that would be the highest since December 1981, and the hottest inflation reading of this current cycle. Ethan Harris and the economics team at Bank of America Global Research notice a more than 7% monthly increase in energy inflation pushing this data to another high.This reading on inflation, however, will come as energy and commodity prices have shown signs of moderating in recent weeks. Crude oil is down over 12% in the last month, while the price of commodities like corn, soybeans, and wheat were down over 20% through last Wednesday.Some analysts suggested recession fears and high prices have begun to result in demand destruction. Though analysts at JPMorgan noted last week that since 1965 oil demand has declined in just 10 years, and even increased during the recession of 1991.Harris and his team also wrote last week that whether the economy is in recession or not is \"beside the point.\"\"While underlying economic momentum may very well be stronger than the headline GDP data indicate, complicating the 'recession' question, it seems clear that US economic momentum has slowed,\" Harris wrote.And the calendar this week will offer investor further checks on just how much this slowdown is weighing on businesses and consumers, with the June retail sales report out Friday morning and updates on industrial production and consumer sentiment that same day serving as highlights.The week ahead will also bring the start of second quarter earnings season, with the usual early reporters from the financial sector getting things underway.JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C) are among the big banks set to release results, while typical early season reporters like PepsiCo (PEP) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) will also be closely watched for signs of either resilience or softening among US consumers.JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon speaks at the Boston College Chief Executives Club luncheon in Boston, Massachusetts, U.S., November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Brian SnyderBrian Snyder / reutersInvestors will also keep a close eye on the Treasury yield curve, where the 2-year yield trades above the 10-year yield, an inversion that has historically preceded recessions. On Friday, the 2-year yield settled at 3.03% while 10-year yield stood at 3.01%.Meanwhile, stocks rallied last week as investors continue to try and repair the portfolio damage suffered during the worst first six months to a year since at least 1970.Yet the recent rebound in markets has been met with trepidation amid suggestions this turnaround could signal the start of something bigger.The 2-year yield settled above the 10-year yield on Friday, marking the first weekly settlement of an inverted yield curve since the summer of 2019. (Source: FRED)Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat, wrote in a note to clients on Friday that, \"technically, markets look to be at resistance.\"\"While July could prove choppy in the weeks ahead, it’s still more likely than not that a move down to new lows for 2022 happens into late July given evidence of rates turning back higher while the Dollar remains quite strong,\" Newton wrote. \"While I remain a buyer on weakness, it's hard for me to have faith in this near-term recovery given lack of participation and weak upward breadth thrust thus far. One should remain defensive over the next 2-3 weeks until this churning runs its course.\"Economic CalendarMonday: Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, June (93.2 previously)Wednesday: Consumer price index, June, YoY (+8.8% expected, +8.6% previously); Core CPI, June, YoY (+5.8% expected, +6% previously); CPI, June, MoM (+1.1% expected, +1% previously); Core CPI, June, MoM (+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously); Federal Reserve Beige BookThursday: Initial jobless claims (235,000 previously)Friday: Retail sales, June (+0.9% expected, -0.3% previously); Retail sales, control group, June (No growth expected, +0.1% previously); Empire State manufacturing index, July (-2.6 expected, -1.2 previously); Producer price index, June, MoM (+0.8% expected, +0.8% previously); Import price index, June, MoM (+0.7% expected, +0.6% previously); Industrial production, June (No growth expected, +0.1% previously); Capacity utilization, June (80.2% expected, 80.8% previously); University of Michigan consumer sentiment, preliminary reading, July (49 expected, 50 previously)Earnings CalendarMonday:Before Market Open: No notable companies expected to report.After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.Tuesday:Before Market Open: PepsiCo (PEP)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report. Wednesday:Before Market Open: Fastenal (FAST); Delta Air Lines (DAL)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.Thursday:Before Market Open: JPMorgan Chase (JPM); Morgan Stanley (MS); Conagra (CAG), First Republic Bank (FRC); Cintas (CTAS)After Market Close: American Outdoor Brands (AOUT)Friday:Before Market Open: Wells Fargo (WFC); BlackRock (BLK); Citigroup (C); BNY Mellon (BK); UnitedHealth (UNH); Progressive (PGR); US Bancorp (USB); State Street (STT); PNC Financial (PNC)After Market Close: No notable companies expected to report.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":54,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911336129,"gmtCreate":1664146052162,"gmtModify":1676537394959,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911336129","repostId":"1174972978","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174972978","pubTimestamp":1664107822,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174972978?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-25 20:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"XPeng Founder Lifts Stake With $30 Million Purchase After Plunge","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174972978","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The founder of Chinese electric-vehicle maker XPeng Inc. bought $30 million worth of its American de","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The founder of Chinese electric-vehicle maker XPeng Inc. bought $30 million worth of its American depositary shares on the open market after they plunged this year.</p><p>A company controlled by Xpeng Chairman Xiaopeng He bought 2.2 million shares at an average price of $13.58 per share on Friday, according to a statement to the Hong Kong stock exchange. After the purchase, He controls about 20.5% of Xpeng, the statement said.</p><p>The company’s New York-traded shares have slumped 73% in 2022, making it the worst of the three Chinese EV makers listed in the US, and trading below its initial public offering price. Nio Inc. is down 44% and Li Auto Inc. has fallen 22%, with the trio caught up in a broader selloff of EV startups and concern Chinese firms will be delisted from US exchanges.</p><p>XPeng reported a wider-than-expected loss in the three months to June after Shanghai’s lockdown and supply chain snarls troubled automakers. The automaker sold almost 9,600 EVs in August, well short of Shenzhen-based market leader BYD Co., which sold almost 175,000 electric cars.</p><p>XPeng is looking to its new G9 sports utility vehicle to spur growth, President Brian Gu said in an interview with Bloomberg Television on Thursday.</p><p></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>XPeng Founder Lifts Stake With $30 Million Purchase After Plunge</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXPeng Founder Lifts Stake With $30 Million Purchase After Plunge\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-25 20:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-25/xpeng-founder-lifts-stake-with-30-million-purchase-after-plunge?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The founder of Chinese electric-vehicle maker XPeng Inc. bought $30 million worth of its American depositary shares on the open market after they plunged this year.A company controlled by Xpeng ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-25/xpeng-founder-lifts-stake-with-30-million-purchase-after-plunge?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-25/xpeng-founder-lifts-stake-with-30-million-purchase-after-plunge?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174972978","content_text":"The founder of Chinese electric-vehicle maker XPeng Inc. bought $30 million worth of its American depositary shares on the open market after they plunged this year.A company controlled by Xpeng Chairman Xiaopeng He bought 2.2 million shares at an average price of $13.58 per share on Friday, according to a statement to the Hong Kong stock exchange. After the purchase, He controls about 20.5% of Xpeng, the statement said.The company’s New York-traded shares have slumped 73% in 2022, making it the worst of the three Chinese EV makers listed in the US, and trading below its initial public offering price. Nio Inc. is down 44% and Li Auto Inc. has fallen 22%, with the trio caught up in a broader selloff of EV startups and concern Chinese firms will be delisted from US exchanges.XPeng reported a wider-than-expected loss in the three months to June after Shanghai’s lockdown and supply chain snarls troubled automakers. The automaker sold almost 9,600 EVs in August, well short of Shenzhen-based market leader BYD Co., which sold almost 175,000 electric cars.XPeng is looking to its new G9 sports utility vehicle to spur growth, President Brian Gu said in an interview with Bloomberg Television on Thursday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":41,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996307141,"gmtCreate":1661123544885,"gmtModify":1676536454524,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996307141","repostId":"2260785313","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260785313","pubTimestamp":1661045446,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2260785313?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-21 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260785313","media":"Barrons","summary":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manag","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.</p><p>A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.</p><p>A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.</p><p>But that isn&#39;t really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.</p><p>Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That&#39;s a long way from $4.3 billion.</p><p>It wouldn&#39;t be a good idea, though. There isn&#39;t high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.</p><p>(There isn&#39;t much trading volume in those contracts. It&#39;s just an example.)</p><p>Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron&#39;s the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn&#39;t all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.</p><p>That isn&#39;t a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn&#39;t get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.</p><p>Profits aren&#39;t hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.</p><p>Burg doesn&#39;t consider himself a big Tesla bear. He&#39;s says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.</p><p>The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.</p><p>Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.</p><p>What&#39;s more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn&#39;t pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It&#39;s a bearish bet.)</p><p>A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That&#39;s almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.</p><p>There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.</p><p>However, options don&#39;t indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNo, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 09:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260785313","content_text":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.But that isn't really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That's a long way from $4.3 billion.It wouldn't be a good idea, though. There isn't high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.(There isn't much trading volume in those contracts. It's just an example.)Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron's the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn't all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.That isn't a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn't get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.Profits aren't hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.Burg doesn't consider himself a big Tesla bear. He's says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.What's more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn't pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It's a bearish bet.)A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That's almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.However, options don't indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":34,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991927131,"gmtCreate":1660777997425,"gmtModify":1676536395182,"author":{"id":"3574934277926519","authorId":"3574934277926519","name":"Chitz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988984eee397d7e772b978815d9b162e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991927131","repostId":"2260943878","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260943878","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1660770636,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2260943878?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-18 05:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down, but Indexes Briefly Cut Losses After Fed Minutes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260943878","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed lower on Wednesday, with indexes volatile after minutes from the Fede","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed lower on Wednesday, with indexes volatile after minutes from the Federal Reserve&#39;s meeting in July suggested policymakers may be less aggressive than previously thought when they raise interest rates in September.</p><p>Major indexes sharply cut their losses after the release of the minutes, with the Dow briefly turning positive, before they returned to earlier lower levels.</p><p>Weak results from Target weighed on the market for much of the session, along with megacap growth shares including Amazon.com. Amazon.com ended down 1.9%.</p><p>The Fed minutes also showed policymakers committed to raising rates as high as necessary to bring inflation under control.</p><p>The Fed has lifted its benchmark overnight interest rate by 225 points this year to a target range of 2.25% to 2.50%. After the release of the minutes, traders of futures tied to the Fed&#39;s policy rate saw a half-percentage-point rate hike as more likely in September.</p><p>&#34;They stayed hawkish, but they also opened the door perhaps for a half of a percentage point hike in September as opposed to 75,&#34; said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 171.69 points, or 0.5%, to 33,980.32, the S&amp;P 500 lost 31.16 points, or 0.72%, to 4,274.04 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 164.43 points, or 1.25%, to 12,938.12.</p><p>Target shares ended down 2.7% after the retailer reported a 90% fall in quarterly earnings and missed comparable sales estimates. The S&amp;P 500 retail index fell 1.2%.</p><p>The news followed upbeat results and outlooks from Walmart and Home Depot the day before.</p><p>After a brutal first-half of the year, stocks are up since the start of July. Upbeat corporate earnings have helped fuel a rebound, while investors have also been optimistic lately that the Fed can achieve a soft landing for the economy.</p><p>Home improvement chain Lowe&#39;s Cos Inc were up 0.6% after the company posted a better-than-expected quarterly profit.</p><p>Early in the day, data showed U.S. retail sales were unexpectedly unchanged in July as falling gasoline prices weighed on receipts at service stations, but consumer spending appeared to pick up at the start of the third quarter.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.76 billion shares, compared with the 10.92 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.04-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.04-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 4 new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 36 new highs and 57 new lows. (Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch; Additional reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Devik Jain and Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta and Grant McCool)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down, but Indexes Briefly Cut Losses After Fed Minutes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down, but Indexes Briefly Cut Losses After Fed Minutes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-18 05:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed lower on Wednesday, with indexes volatile after minutes from the Federal Reserve&#39;s meeting in July suggested policymakers may be less aggressive than previously thought when they raise interest rates in September.</p><p>Major indexes sharply cut their losses after the release of the minutes, with the Dow briefly turning positive, before they returned to earlier lower levels.</p><p>Weak results from Target weighed on the market for much of the session, along with megacap growth shares including Amazon.com. Amazon.com ended down 1.9%.</p><p>The Fed minutes also showed policymakers committed to raising rates as high as necessary to bring inflation under control.</p><p>The Fed has lifted its benchmark overnight interest rate by 225 points this year to a target range of 2.25% to 2.50%. After the release of the minutes, traders of futures tied to the Fed&#39;s policy rate saw a half-percentage-point rate hike as more likely in September.</p><p>&#34;They stayed hawkish, but they also opened the door perhaps for a half of a percentage point hike in September as opposed to 75,&#34; said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 171.69 points, or 0.5%, to 33,980.32, the S&amp;P 500 lost 31.16 points, or 0.72%, to 4,274.04 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 164.43 points, or 1.25%, to 12,938.12.</p><p>Target shares ended down 2.7% after the retailer reported a 90% fall in quarterly earnings and missed comparable sales estimates. The S&amp;P 500 retail index fell 1.2%.</p><p>The news followed upbeat results and outlooks from Walmart and Home Depot the day before.</p><p>After a brutal first-half of the year, stocks are up since the start of July. Upbeat corporate earnings have helped fuel a rebound, while investors have also been optimistic lately that the Fed can achieve a soft landing for the economy.</p><p>Home improvement chain Lowe&#39;s Cos Inc were up 0.6% after the company posted a better-than-expected quarterly profit.</p><p>Early in the day, data showed U.S. retail sales were unexpectedly unchanged in July as falling gasoline prices weighed on receipts at service stations, but consumer spending appeared to pick up at the start of the third quarter.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.76 billion shares, compared with the 10.92 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.04-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.04-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 4 new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 36 new highs and 57 new lows. (Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch; Additional reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Devik Jain and Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta and Grant McCool)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260943878","content_text":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed lower on Wednesday, with indexes volatile after minutes from the Federal Reserve's meeting in July suggested policymakers may be less aggressive than previously thought when they raise interest rates in September.Major indexes sharply cut their losses after the release of the minutes, with the Dow briefly turning positive, before they returned to earlier lower levels.Weak results from Target weighed on the market for much of the session, along with megacap growth shares including Amazon.com. Amazon.com ended down 1.9%.The Fed minutes also showed policymakers committed to raising rates as high as necessary to bring inflation under control.The Fed has lifted its benchmark overnight interest rate by 225 points this year to a target range of 2.25% to 2.50%. After the release of the minutes, traders of futures tied to the Fed's policy rate saw a half-percentage-point rate hike as more likely in September.\"They stayed hawkish, but they also opened the door perhaps for a half of a percentage point hike in September as opposed to 75,\" said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 171.69 points, or 0.5%, to 33,980.32, the S&P 500 lost 31.16 points, or 0.72%, to 4,274.04 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 164.43 points, or 1.25%, to 12,938.12.Target shares ended down 2.7% after the retailer reported a 90% fall in quarterly earnings and missed comparable sales estimates. The S&P 500 retail index fell 1.2%.The news followed upbeat results and outlooks from Walmart and Home Depot the day before.After a brutal first-half of the year, stocks are up since the start of July. Upbeat corporate earnings have helped fuel a rebound, while investors have also been optimistic lately that the Fed can achieve a soft landing for the economy.Home improvement chain Lowe's Cos Inc were up 0.6% after the company posted a better-than-expected quarterly profit.Early in the day, data showed U.S. retail sales were unexpectedly unchanged in July as falling gasoline prices weighed on receipts at service stations, but consumer spending appeared to pick up at the start of the third quarter.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.76 billion shares, compared with the 10.92 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.04-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.04-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 4 new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 36 new highs and 57 new lows. (Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch; Additional reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Devik Jain and Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta and Grant McCool)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}