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2022-01-29

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Missed under 800

2022-01-19

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Getting ready to buy the dip.[Chuckle]

2022-01-20

Fingers crossed

Tesla Q4 Earnings Are Coming - What To Expect

2022-01-13

Great

Tesla Could Be On The Path To $2,500 By 2025

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What To Expect","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142919906","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla announced that it will release its Q4, 2021 earnings report after the closing bell on Wednesda","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla announced that it will release its Q4, 2021 earnings report after the closing bell on Wednesday, January 26, and Elon Musk confirmed that he will come back to the call and give a Tesla product roadmap update.</p><p><b>Product roadmap update</b></p><p>Last year, CEO Elon Musk announced that he wouldn’t attend the earnings conference call anymore.</p><p>However, Musk said last month that he would be attending the next call to give a “product roadmap update”:</p><p>Tesla still has a few products customers are eager to know more about, particularly the Cybertruck and Semi.</p><p>For example, PepsiCo is expected to receive its first batch of Tesla Semi deliveries at the end of this month. Musk might provide a more solid timeframe for Semi deliveries and Tesla’s progress on Class 8 truck’s production at the upcoming earnings call.</p><p>As for the Cybertruck, Tesla had previously stated that it already produced a few alpha prototypes of the all-electric pickup. A few people have already spotted the Cybertruck alpha prototypes in the wild a few times.</p><p>A Tesla product roadmap would provide details on the company’s plans moving forward. 2022 is likely to be a big year for Tesla, especially considering its plans to produce vehicles at Giga Texas and Giga Berlin. Giga Shanghai also plans to increase production capacity with an RMB 1.2B ($188 million) expansion project.</p><p><b>Fourth-quarter results are critical</b></p><p>Tesla&#39;s fourth-quarter results are critical to validate the third-quarter dynamics that could see the company carving out meaningful share from legacy automakers and claim a disproportionate share of the industry profit pool, Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois said in a note.</p><p>Annualizing fourth-quarter production suggests active capacity of 1.3 million units, the analyst said. Adding 50,000 units for the underused Model S/X vehicles and 600,000-unit capacity for Austin and Berlin, total capacity for the year end is close to 2 million units, he said.</p><p>Annualized production of 710,000 at Giga Shanghai shows the facility is breaking out of automotive production norms toward Elon Musk&#39;s ambition that each site should produce 1 million units. Reaching that number, Houchois said, is not a given due to general capacity constraints.</p><p>Citing acceleration in BEV demand and a growing backlog of vehicle orders, the analyst raised his 2022 sales forecast up by 12% to 1.51 million units. This is based on the assumption that the Austin and Berlin factories will start producing deliverable Model Ys in February and April, respectively.</p><p><b>Tesla gets an upbeat call ahead of earnings</b></p><p>Credit Suisse analyst Dan Levy raised his target price for the shares ahead of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report.</p><p>Levy increased his target price to $1,025 from $830 a share, saying he expects earnings to be stronger than Wall Street has penciled in, but kept his rating on the shares at the equivalent of Hold.</p><p>Levy projects Tesla will earn $2.81 a share for the fourth quarter of 2021, while Wall Street is looking for just $2.25.</p><p>Beyond earnings, Levy sees four keys to the performance of Tesla shares: How fast the company increases production capacity, the direction of gross profit margins, the introduction of new batteries, and product announcements.</p><p>Tesla is starting up two production facilities in coming weeks, one in Austin, Texas, and the other near Berlin, Germany. That will essentially double Tesla’s production capacity.</p><p>“With Tesla’s demand exceeding supply likely for the foreseeable future, Tesla’s path of volume will be purely a function of its production,” wrote Levy in his report. He projects almost 1.5 million deliveries in 2022, up from about 936,000 in 2021. Levy also expects the existing plant in Shanghai to boost its production this year.</p><p>The start of the new plants could weigh on margins because it takes a while for a huge new facility to begin operating at capacity, but Levy still expects better gross profit margins in 2022. He believes higher vehicle prices can offset any drag from inflation or start-up costs.</p><p>Tesla is also expected to debut new, larger batteries, offering better performance and longer life, in 2022. The 4680 cells have a diameter of 46 millimeters and height of 80 millimeters, while the current batteries are 21 millimeters in diameter and 70 millimeters high. Tesla is also redesigning the battery pack for its new batteries, a move that is intended to reduce production costs.</p><p>The company has also said a $25,000 EV is in the cards, a product that would open up more of the car market to Tesla, given that a Tesla Model 3 starts at about $45,000 today. Levy thinks that the announcement could come this year.</p><p>The reason Levy is sticking with a Hold rating on Tesla despite all those positive factors is the stock’s lofty valuation. The stock trades at 108 times the per-share earnings expected for 2022, according to FactSet, compared with 32 times for the Russell 1000 Growth index.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Q4 Earnings Are Coming - What To Expect</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Q4 Earnings Are Coming - What To Expect\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-19 15:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla announced that it will release its Q4, 2021 earnings report after the closing bell on Wednesday, January 26, and Elon Musk confirmed that he will come back to the call and give a Tesla product roadmap update.</p><p><b>Product roadmap update</b></p><p>Last year, CEO Elon Musk announced that he wouldn’t attend the earnings conference call anymore.</p><p>However, Musk said last month that he would be attending the next call to give a “product roadmap update”:</p><p>Tesla still has a few products customers are eager to know more about, particularly the Cybertruck and Semi.</p><p>For example, PepsiCo is expected to receive its first batch of Tesla Semi deliveries at the end of this month. Musk might provide a more solid timeframe for Semi deliveries and Tesla’s progress on Class 8 truck’s production at the upcoming earnings call.</p><p>As for the Cybertruck, Tesla had previously stated that it already produced a few alpha prototypes of the all-electric pickup. A few people have already spotted the Cybertruck alpha prototypes in the wild a few times.</p><p>A Tesla product roadmap would provide details on the company’s plans moving forward. 2022 is likely to be a big year for Tesla, especially considering its plans to produce vehicles at Giga Texas and Giga Berlin. Giga Shanghai also plans to increase production capacity with an RMB 1.2B ($188 million) expansion project.</p><p><b>Fourth-quarter results are critical</b></p><p>Tesla&#39;s fourth-quarter results are critical to validate the third-quarter dynamics that could see the company carving out meaningful share from legacy automakers and claim a disproportionate share of the industry profit pool, Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois said in a note.</p><p>Annualizing fourth-quarter production suggests active capacity of 1.3 million units, the analyst said. Adding 50,000 units for the underused Model S/X vehicles and 600,000-unit capacity for Austin and Berlin, total capacity for the year end is close to 2 million units, he said.</p><p>Annualized production of 710,000 at Giga Shanghai shows the facility is breaking out of automotive production norms toward Elon Musk&#39;s ambition that each site should produce 1 million units. Reaching that number, Houchois said, is not a given due to general capacity constraints.</p><p>Citing acceleration in BEV demand and a growing backlog of vehicle orders, the analyst raised his 2022 sales forecast up by 12% to 1.51 million units. This is based on the assumption that the Austin and Berlin factories will start producing deliverable Model Ys in February and April, respectively.</p><p><b>Tesla gets an upbeat call ahead of earnings</b></p><p>Credit Suisse analyst Dan Levy raised his target price for the shares ahead of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report.</p><p>Levy increased his target price to $1,025 from $830 a share, saying he expects earnings to be stronger than Wall Street has penciled in, but kept his rating on the shares at the equivalent of Hold.</p><p>Levy projects Tesla will earn $2.81 a share for the fourth quarter of 2021, while Wall Street is looking for just $2.25.</p><p>Beyond earnings, Levy sees four keys to the performance of Tesla shares: How fast the company increases production capacity, the direction of gross profit margins, the introduction of new batteries, and product announcements.</p><p>Tesla is starting up two production facilities in coming weeks, one in Austin, Texas, and the other near Berlin, Germany. That will essentially double Tesla’s production capacity.</p><p>“With Tesla’s demand exceeding supply likely for the foreseeable future, Tesla’s path of volume will be purely a function of its production,” wrote Levy in his report. He projects almost 1.5 million deliveries in 2022, up from about 936,000 in 2021. Levy also expects the existing plant in Shanghai to boost its production this year.</p><p>The start of the new plants could weigh on margins because it takes a while for a huge new facility to begin operating at capacity, but Levy still expects better gross profit margins in 2022. He believes higher vehicle prices can offset any drag from inflation or start-up costs.</p><p>Tesla is also expected to debut new, larger batteries, offering better performance and longer life, in 2022. The 4680 cells have a diameter of 46 millimeters and height of 80 millimeters, while the current batteries are 21 millimeters in diameter and 70 millimeters high. Tesla is also redesigning the battery pack for its new batteries, a move that is intended to reduce production costs.</p><p>The company has also said a $25,000 EV is in the cards, a product that would open up more of the car market to Tesla, given that a Tesla Model 3 starts at about $45,000 today. Levy thinks that the announcement could come this year.</p><p>The reason Levy is sticking with a Hold rating on Tesla despite all those positive factors is the stock’s lofty valuation. The stock trades at 108 times the per-share earnings expected for 2022, according to FactSet, compared with 32 times for the Russell 1000 Growth index.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142919906","content_text":"Tesla announced that it will release its Q4, 2021 earnings report after the closing bell on Wednesday, January 26, and Elon Musk confirmed that he will come back to the call and give a Tesla product roadmap update.Product roadmap updateLast year, CEO Elon Musk announced that he wouldn’t attend the earnings conference call anymore.However, Musk said last month that he would be attending the next call to give a “product roadmap update”:Tesla still has a few products customers are eager to know more about, particularly the Cybertruck and Semi.For example, PepsiCo is expected to receive its first batch of Tesla Semi deliveries at the end of this month. Musk might provide a more solid timeframe for Semi deliveries and Tesla’s progress on Class 8 truck’s production at the upcoming earnings call.As for the Cybertruck, Tesla had previously stated that it already produced a few alpha prototypes of the all-electric pickup. A few people have already spotted the Cybertruck alpha prototypes in the wild a few times.A Tesla product roadmap would provide details on the company’s plans moving forward. 2022 is likely to be a big year for Tesla, especially considering its plans to produce vehicles at Giga Texas and Giga Berlin. Giga Shanghai also plans to increase production capacity with an RMB 1.2B ($188 million) expansion project.Fourth-quarter results are criticalTesla's fourth-quarter results are critical to validate the third-quarter dynamics that could see the company carving out meaningful share from legacy automakers and claim a disproportionate share of the industry profit pool, Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois said in a note.Annualizing fourth-quarter production suggests active capacity of 1.3 million units, the analyst said. Adding 50,000 units for the underused Model S/X vehicles and 600,000-unit capacity for Austin and Berlin, total capacity for the year end is close to 2 million units, he said.Annualized production of 710,000 at Giga Shanghai shows the facility is breaking out of automotive production norms toward Elon Musk's ambition that each site should produce 1 million units. Reaching that number, Houchois said, is not a given due to general capacity constraints.Citing acceleration in BEV demand and a growing backlog of vehicle orders, the analyst raised his 2022 sales forecast up by 12% to 1.51 million units. This is based on the assumption that the Austin and Berlin factories will start producing deliverable Model Ys in February and April, respectively.Tesla gets an upbeat call ahead of earningsCredit Suisse analyst Dan Levy raised his target price for the shares ahead of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report.Levy increased his target price to $1,025 from $830 a share, saying he expects earnings to be stronger than Wall Street has penciled in, but kept his rating on the shares at the equivalent of Hold.Levy projects Tesla will earn $2.81 a share for the fourth quarter of 2021, while Wall Street is looking for just $2.25.Beyond earnings, Levy sees four keys to the performance of Tesla shares: How fast the company increases production capacity, the direction of gross profit margins, the introduction of new batteries, and product announcements.Tesla is starting up two production facilities in coming weeks, one in Austin, Texas, and the other near Berlin, Germany. That will essentially double Tesla’s production capacity.“With Tesla’s demand exceeding supply likely for the foreseeable future, Tesla’s path of volume will be purely a function of its production,” wrote Levy in his report. He projects almost 1.5 million deliveries in 2022, up from about 936,000 in 2021. Levy also expects the existing plant in Shanghai to boost its production this year.The start of the new plants could weigh on margins because it takes a while for a huge new facility to begin operating at capacity, but Levy still expects better gross profit margins in 2022. He believes higher vehicle prices can offset any drag from inflation or start-up costs.Tesla is also expected to debut new, larger batteries, offering better performance and longer life, in 2022. The 4680 cells have a diameter of 46 millimeters and height of 80 millimeters, while the current batteries are 21 millimeters in diameter and 70 millimeters high. Tesla is also redesigning the battery pack for its new batteries, a move that is intended to reduce production costs.The company has also said a $25,000 EV is in the cards, a product that would open up more of the car market to Tesla, given that a Tesla Model 3 starts at about $45,000 today. Levy thinks that the announcement could come this year.The reason Levy is sticking with a Hold rating on Tesla despite all those positive factors is the stock’s lofty valuation. The stock trades at 108 times the per-share earnings expected for 2022, according to FactSet, compared with 32 times for the Russell 1000 Growth index.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004856495,"gmtCreate":1642559622706,"gmtModify":1676533723143,"author":{"id":"3575157035905942","authorId":"3575157035905942","name":"LionPanda21","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/826d9bc0b1bfc9e3145623cf6fcb513e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Getting ready to buy the dip.[Chuckle]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Getting ready to buy the dip.[Chuckle]&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Getting ready to buy the dip.[Chuckle]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004856495","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002451381,"gmtCreate":1642079275100,"gmtModify":1676533678537,"author":{"id":"3575157035905942","authorId":"3575157035905942","name":"LionPanda21","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/826d9bc0b1bfc9e3145623cf6fcb513e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002451381","repostId":"1196267507","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1196267507","pubTimestamp":1642044040,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196267507?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-13 11:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Could Be On The Path To $2,500 By 2025","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196267507","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla recently announced blockbuster production and deliveries numbers for the fourth quarter","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Tesla recently announced blockbuster production and deliveries numbers for the fourth quarter.</li><li>The company smashed consensus analysts&#39; expectations by 16% and expanded delivery numbers by a whopping 72% over last year.</li><li>Tesla&#39;s earnings numbers should come out later this month, but most analysts&#39; figures seem very low.</li><li>I expect Tesla to surpass consensus figures by a notable margin, and the company&#39;s stock price should get a considerable boost.</li><li>Moreover, I expect Tesla to continue beating consensus expectations in future quarters, and its stock price should continue trending higher in the coming years.</li></ul><p>Earlier this month, Tesla (TSLA) announced excellent vehicle production and deliveries numbers. The company crushed consensus deliveries estimates by a whopping 16%. However, the company&#39;s share price slumped after the blockbuster report due to a broad market selloff. Tesla will report fourth quarter revenues and EPS in a couple of weeks, and while many analysts raised their forecast, I believe that the company can still beat consensus figures. Moreover, the company should continue to guide higher and report better than anticipated numbers as we advance in 2022 and beyond. Therefore, the company&#39;s stock price will likely move higher into earnings and should move on to new ATHs after the report. Additionally, Tesla&#39;s stock price should push substantially higher over the next several years as the company advances into the future.</p><p><b>Tesla&#39;s Post-Deliveries Report Selloff</b></p><p>You would think that after such a blockbuster report, the company&#39;s stock price would fly higher and break out to new ATHs. However, that was not the case here. We saw an initial jump to $1,200, but a sharp reversal briefly knocked shares to below $1,000. It&#39;s important to note that this abrupt correction of around 20% essentially began when the Fed&#39;s hawkish minutes came over the wire. Therefore, the recent pullback in the stock was not Tesla related but resulted from a broader stock market decline. Now that market conditions appear to have stabilized, the company&#39;s stock should recover and proceed higher into Q4 earnings. Provided that the stock market continues to stabilize here, I expect Tesla&#39;s shares to break out to new ATHs following the upcoming earnings announcement.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s Blockbuster Numbers</p><p>Tesla delivered308,600 total vehicles last quarter, a whopping 72% increase over last year. This report considerably topped consensus estimates for267,000 total vehicles. Tesla&#39;s stellar results indicate that demand for its cars remains highly robust. Moreover, the company&#39;s production capacity continues to expand, implying that Tesla&#39;s revenues should grow substantially in future years.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78deec83b6cd9bea00a0c25c9dd01d29\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"481\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Tesla&#39;s full-year numbers (936,172 total vehicles) illustrate how close the company came to selling one million cars last year. In total, the company&#39;s 2021 deliveries surpassed the previous year&#39;s results by a staggering 87%. In Q4, the company sold 11,750 Model S/X vehicles and 296,850 Model 3/Y cars.</p><p><b>Tesla Worldwide Deliveries 2016-2021</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a775969e4e716fb67c68909207d3879\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"409\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>We see the phenomenal YoY growth in Tesla deliveries here. Remarkably, Tesla&#39;s deliveries have surged by more than 1,100% over the last five years. Given the company&#39;s past performance and rapid anticipated growth, we should continue to see substantial delivery increases in future years. Therefore, we should continue to see higher levels in Tesla&#39;s stock price as the company advances.</p><p><b>What To Expect From Q4 Earnings</b></p><p>Last quarter, my EPS estimate was off by one cent.So, let&#39;s see if we can hit the bullseye this time. The company delivered 11,750 Model S/X vehicles, of which 17% were subject to lease accounting. Therefore, Tesla sold around 9,753 cars in its Model S/X segment last quarter. Tesla&#39;s Model S/X segment average selling price (&#34;ASP&#34;) has increased recently. Thus, we will apply an ASP of $115K for the Model S/X segment. Using this ASP provides us with an approximate<b>$1.12 billion</b> in revenues for Tesla&#39;s luxury upscale segment.</p><p>In the Model 3/Y segment, leasing accounted for about 5% of deliveries. Therefore, last quarter, Tesla sold roughly 282,000 vehicles in its Model 3/Y unit. Implementing an ASP of $50K implies that Tesla derived approximately<b>$14.1 billion</b>in revenues from the Model 3/Y segment last quarter. Once we approximate Tesla&#39;s revenues, gross margin, and expenses in other businesses, we can estimate what the company should deliver in revenues and EPS for the fourth quarter.</p><p><b>Tesla Q3 vs. Q4 Estimates</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d60e1b4fd8520fc9b456cab235c429de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Provided Tesla&#39;s deliveries numbers and my ASP estimates, we arrived at $15.3 billion in revenues for Models S/3/X/Y sales alone. Once we added $450 million in leasing and $400 million in regulatory credit revenues, we came up to $16.15 billion in total automotive sales revenues. After we computed energy generation and storage plus Tesla&#39;s services and other segments, we arrived at an <b>$18 billion revenue</b> figure for Q4.</p><p>While my revenue estimate is notably higher than the current$16.31 billion consensus number, my revenue figure is still lower than some higher-end calls that exceed $18.25 billion. If Tesla meets consensus figures, it will be a 52% YoY rise in revenues, and if the company meets my projections, we will see a 68% YoY surge in sales.</p><p><b>Revenue Estimates</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3336d4fe66b1b66bc713185b2cc033b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>We see that many analysts expect robust double-digit revenue growth to continue in future quarters and years. However, many analyst figures are still relatively low to what the company will likely achieve. After all, we continuously see upward revisions in Tesla&#39;s revenue and EPS estimates, and this trend will likely continue as the company progresses.</p><p><b>EPS Revisions</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5379c5f472ef03b4ff34c4b1582950e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>We see a wide range of EPS estimates for Q4, and in general, for Tesla. The mid-range is $2.28, while higher-end estimates go all the way up to around $3. My EPS estimate is $2.66, which is about 17% above consensus figures, representing a 233% YoY EPS increase.</p><p>The Bottom Line</p><p>Tesla has shown a tenacity for surpassing analyst estimates in recent quarters. The company has exceeded consensus expectations by an average of14% in its last four quarters, and this trend of outperformance will likely continue. Moreover, Tesla delivered a much better than anticipated production and deliveries report for the fourth quarter. The results suggest that Tesla should provide more substantial Q4 revenues than many analysts envision. The revenue increase should translate to a better than anticipated EPS result, reflecting positively on Tesla&#39;s stock price. I expect Tesla to post revenues of around <b>$18 billion</b> with an EPS of about $2.66. This dynamic should enable Tesla&#39;s stock price to move to new ATHs. Moreover, as Tesla grows revenues and expands EPS in future years, its stock price should appreciate considerably.</p><p><b>Here is what Tesla&#39;s financials could look like in future years:</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f3447487e84ee2025bfd29d638e023d\" tg-width=\"609\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>My higher EPS and share price appreciation estimates are more aggressive than my prior analyses. However, we see Tesla performing and delivering better than expected. Furthermore, I was overly conservative in my EPS projections in previous articles. Tesla could provide close to $30 in EPS in 2025, and even if we lower the company&#39;s forward P/E multiple substantially, we still arrive at a notably higher stock price than we see now. If Tesla continues delivering and surpassing analysts&#39; expectations, I expect the company&#39;s stock price to be around <b>$2,500 in 2025</b>.</p><p>Risks To Tesla</p><p>Risks exist for Tesla, and there are quite a few. While I estimate that the company can earn close to $30 per share in 2025, the company is very far from such figures right now. Therefore, there&#39;s the risk that Tesla will not illustrate the kind of earnings growth I envision. A slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to grow EPS several-fold through 2025. Serious concerns could cause Tesla&#39;s valuation to lose altitude, and the company&#39;s share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, one should consider the risks carefully before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Could Be On The Path To $2,500 By 2025</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Could Be On The Path To $2,500 By 2025\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-13 11:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479272-tesla-on-path-to-2500-by-2025><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla recently announced blockbuster production and deliveries numbers for the fourth quarter.The company smashed consensus analysts' expectations by 16% and expanded delivery numbers by a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479272-tesla-on-path-to-2500-by-2025\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479272-tesla-on-path-to-2500-by-2025","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1196267507","content_text":"SummaryTesla recently announced blockbuster production and deliveries numbers for the fourth quarter.The company smashed consensus analysts' expectations by 16% and expanded delivery numbers by a whopping 72% over last year.Tesla's earnings numbers should come out later this month, but most analysts' figures seem very low.I expect Tesla to surpass consensus figures by a notable margin, and the company's stock price should get a considerable boost.Moreover, I expect Tesla to continue beating consensus expectations in future quarters, and its stock price should continue trending higher in the coming years.Earlier this month, Tesla (TSLA) announced excellent vehicle production and deliveries numbers. The company crushed consensus deliveries estimates by a whopping 16%. However, the company's share price slumped after the blockbuster report due to a broad market selloff. Tesla will report fourth quarter revenues and EPS in a couple of weeks, and while many analysts raised their forecast, I believe that the company can still beat consensus figures. Moreover, the company should continue to guide higher and report better than anticipated numbers as we advance in 2022 and beyond. Therefore, the company's stock price will likely move higher into earnings and should move on to new ATHs after the report. Additionally, Tesla's stock price should push substantially higher over the next several years as the company advances into the future.Tesla's Post-Deliveries Report SelloffYou would think that after such a blockbuster report, the company's stock price would fly higher and break out to new ATHs. However, that was not the case here. We saw an initial jump to $1,200, but a sharp reversal briefly knocked shares to below $1,000. It's important to note that this abrupt correction of around 20% essentially began when the Fed's hawkish minutes came over the wire. Therefore, the recent pullback in the stock was not Tesla related but resulted from a broader stock market decline. Now that market conditions appear to have stabilized, the company's stock should recover and proceed higher into Q4 earnings. Provided that the stock market continues to stabilize here, I expect Tesla's shares to break out to new ATHs following the upcoming earnings announcement.Tesla's Blockbuster NumbersTesla delivered308,600 total vehicles last quarter, a whopping 72% increase over last year. This report considerably topped consensus estimates for267,000 total vehicles. Tesla's stellar results indicate that demand for its cars remains highly robust. Moreover, the company's production capacity continues to expand, implying that Tesla's revenues should grow substantially in future years.Tesla's full-year numbers (936,172 total vehicles) illustrate how close the company came to selling one million cars last year. In total, the company's 2021 deliveries surpassed the previous year's results by a staggering 87%. In Q4, the company sold 11,750 Model S/X vehicles and 296,850 Model 3/Y cars.Tesla Worldwide Deliveries 2016-2021We see the phenomenal YoY growth in Tesla deliveries here. Remarkably, Tesla's deliveries have surged by more than 1,100% over the last five years. Given the company's past performance and rapid anticipated growth, we should continue to see substantial delivery increases in future years. Therefore, we should continue to see higher levels in Tesla's stock price as the company advances.What To Expect From Q4 EarningsLast quarter, my EPS estimate was off by one cent.So, let's see if we can hit the bullseye this time. The company delivered 11,750 Model S/X vehicles, of which 17% were subject to lease accounting. Therefore, Tesla sold around 9,753 cars in its Model S/X segment last quarter. Tesla's Model S/X segment average selling price (\"ASP\") has increased recently. Thus, we will apply an ASP of $115K for the Model S/X segment. Using this ASP provides us with an approximate$1.12 billion in revenues for Tesla's luxury upscale segment.In the Model 3/Y segment, leasing accounted for about 5% of deliveries. Therefore, last quarter, Tesla sold roughly 282,000 vehicles in its Model 3/Y unit. Implementing an ASP of $50K implies that Tesla derived approximately$14.1 billionin revenues from the Model 3/Y segment last quarter. Once we approximate Tesla's revenues, gross margin, and expenses in other businesses, we can estimate what the company should deliver in revenues and EPS for the fourth quarter.Tesla Q3 vs. Q4 EstimatesProvided Tesla's deliveries numbers and my ASP estimates, we arrived at $15.3 billion in revenues for Models S/3/X/Y sales alone. Once we added $450 million in leasing and $400 million in regulatory credit revenues, we came up to $16.15 billion in total automotive sales revenues. After we computed energy generation and storage plus Tesla's services and other segments, we arrived at an $18 billion revenue figure for Q4.While my revenue estimate is notably higher than the current$16.31 billion consensus number, my revenue figure is still lower than some higher-end calls that exceed $18.25 billion. If Tesla meets consensus figures, it will be a 52% YoY rise in revenues, and if the company meets my projections, we will see a 68% YoY surge in sales.Revenue EstimatesWe see that many analysts expect robust double-digit revenue growth to continue in future quarters and years. However, many analyst figures are still relatively low to what the company will likely achieve. After all, we continuously see upward revisions in Tesla's revenue and EPS estimates, and this trend will likely continue as the company progresses.EPS RevisionsWe see a wide range of EPS estimates for Q4, and in general, for Tesla. The mid-range is $2.28, while higher-end estimates go all the way up to around $3. My EPS estimate is $2.66, which is about 17% above consensus figures, representing a 233% YoY EPS increase.The Bottom LineTesla has shown a tenacity for surpassing analyst estimates in recent quarters. The company has exceeded consensus expectations by an average of14% in its last four quarters, and this trend of outperformance will likely continue. Moreover, Tesla delivered a much better than anticipated production and deliveries report for the fourth quarter. The results suggest that Tesla should provide more substantial Q4 revenues than many analysts envision. The revenue increase should translate to a better than anticipated EPS result, reflecting positively on Tesla's stock price. I expect Tesla to post revenues of around $18 billion with an EPS of about $2.66. This dynamic should enable Tesla's stock price to move to new ATHs. Moreover, as Tesla grows revenues and expands EPS in future years, its stock price should appreciate considerably.Here is what Tesla's financials could look like in future years:My higher EPS and share price appreciation estimates are more aggressive than my prior analyses. However, we see Tesla performing and delivering better than expected. Furthermore, I was overly conservative in my EPS projections in previous articles. Tesla could provide close to $30 in EPS in 2025, and even if we lower the company's forward P/E multiple substantially, we still arrive at a notably higher stock price than we see now. If Tesla continues delivering and surpassing analysts' expectations, I expect the company's stock price to be around $2,500 in 2025.Risks To TeslaRisks exist for Tesla, and there are quite a few. While I estimate that the company can earn close to $30 per share in 2025, the company is very far from such figures right now. Therefore, there's the risk that Tesla will not illustrate the kind of earnings growth I envision. A slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to grow EPS several-fold through 2025. Serious concerns could cause Tesla's valuation to lose altitude, and the company's share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, one should consider the risks carefully before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":539,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9099524727,"gmtCreate":1643386862183,"gmtModify":1676533815296,"author":{"id":"3575157035905942","authorId":"3575157035905942","name":"LionPanda21","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/826d9bc0b1bfc9e3145623cf6fcb513e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Missed under 800","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Missed under 800","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Missed under 800","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9099524727","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3578740811020073","authorId":"3578740811020073","name":"_J_R_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea3e25891715133cf383f8a5bbd5435a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"Looks like coming again...","text":"Looks like coming again...","html":"Looks like coming again..."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004856495,"gmtCreate":1642559622706,"gmtModify":1676533723143,"author":{"id":"3575157035905942","authorId":"3575157035905942","name":"LionPanda21","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/826d9bc0b1bfc9e3145623cf6fcb513e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Getting ready to buy the dip.[Chuckle]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Getting ready to buy the dip.[Chuckle]&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Getting ready to buy the dip.[Chuckle]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004856495","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004284442,"gmtCreate":1642611853833,"gmtModify":1676533727740,"author":{"id":"3575157035905942","authorId":"3575157035905942","name":"LionPanda21","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/826d9bc0b1bfc9e3145623cf6fcb513e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fingers crossed&nbsp;","listText":"Fingers crossed&nbsp;","text":"Fingers crossed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004284442","repostId":"1142919906","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1142919906","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1642575947,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142919906?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-19 15:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Q4 Earnings Are Coming - What To Expect","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142919906","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla announced that it will release its Q4, 2021 earnings report after the closing bell on Wednesda","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla announced that it will release its Q4, 2021 earnings report after the closing bell on Wednesday, January 26, and Elon Musk confirmed that he will come back to the call and give a Tesla product roadmap update.</p><p><b>Product roadmap update</b></p><p>Last year, CEO Elon Musk announced that he wouldn’t attend the earnings conference call anymore.</p><p>However, Musk said last month that he would be attending the next call to give a “product roadmap update”:</p><p>Tesla still has a few products customers are eager to know more about, particularly the Cybertruck and Semi.</p><p>For example, PepsiCo is expected to receive its first batch of Tesla Semi deliveries at the end of this month. Musk might provide a more solid timeframe for Semi deliveries and Tesla’s progress on Class 8 truck’s production at the upcoming earnings call.</p><p>As for the Cybertruck, Tesla had previously stated that it already produced a few alpha prototypes of the all-electric pickup. A few people have already spotted the Cybertruck alpha prototypes in the wild a few times.</p><p>A Tesla product roadmap would provide details on the company’s plans moving forward. 2022 is likely to be a big year for Tesla, especially considering its plans to produce vehicles at Giga Texas and Giga Berlin. Giga Shanghai also plans to increase production capacity with an RMB 1.2B ($188 million) expansion project.</p><p><b>Fourth-quarter results are critical</b></p><p>Tesla&#39;s fourth-quarter results are critical to validate the third-quarter dynamics that could see the company carving out meaningful share from legacy automakers and claim a disproportionate share of the industry profit pool, Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois said in a note.</p><p>Annualizing fourth-quarter production suggests active capacity of 1.3 million units, the analyst said. Adding 50,000 units for the underused Model S/X vehicles and 600,000-unit capacity for Austin and Berlin, total capacity for the year end is close to 2 million units, he said.</p><p>Annualized production of 710,000 at Giga Shanghai shows the facility is breaking out of automotive production norms toward Elon Musk&#39;s ambition that each site should produce 1 million units. Reaching that number, Houchois said, is not a given due to general capacity constraints.</p><p>Citing acceleration in BEV demand and a growing backlog of vehicle orders, the analyst raised his 2022 sales forecast up by 12% to 1.51 million units. This is based on the assumption that the Austin and Berlin factories will start producing deliverable Model Ys in February and April, respectively.</p><p><b>Tesla gets an upbeat call ahead of earnings</b></p><p>Credit Suisse analyst Dan Levy raised his target price for the shares ahead of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report.</p><p>Levy increased his target price to $1,025 from $830 a share, saying he expects earnings to be stronger than Wall Street has penciled in, but kept his rating on the shares at the equivalent of Hold.</p><p>Levy projects Tesla will earn $2.81 a share for the fourth quarter of 2021, while Wall Street is looking for just $2.25.</p><p>Beyond earnings, Levy sees four keys to the performance of Tesla shares: How fast the company increases production capacity, the direction of gross profit margins, the introduction of new batteries, and product announcements.</p><p>Tesla is starting up two production facilities in coming weeks, one in Austin, Texas, and the other near Berlin, Germany. That will essentially double Tesla’s production capacity.</p><p>“With Tesla’s demand exceeding supply likely for the foreseeable future, Tesla’s path of volume will be purely a function of its production,” wrote Levy in his report. He projects almost 1.5 million deliveries in 2022, up from about 936,000 in 2021. Levy also expects the existing plant in Shanghai to boost its production this year.</p><p>The start of the new plants could weigh on margins because it takes a while for a huge new facility to begin operating at capacity, but Levy still expects better gross profit margins in 2022. He believes higher vehicle prices can offset any drag from inflation or start-up costs.</p><p>Tesla is also expected to debut new, larger batteries, offering better performance and longer life, in 2022. The 4680 cells have a diameter of 46 millimeters and height of 80 millimeters, while the current batteries are 21 millimeters in diameter and 70 millimeters high. Tesla is also redesigning the battery pack for its new batteries, a move that is intended to reduce production costs.</p><p>The company has also said a $25,000 EV is in the cards, a product that would open up more of the car market to Tesla, given that a Tesla Model 3 starts at about $45,000 today. Levy thinks that the announcement could come this year.</p><p>The reason Levy is sticking with a Hold rating on Tesla despite all those positive factors is the stock’s lofty valuation. The stock trades at 108 times the per-share earnings expected for 2022, according to FactSet, compared with 32 times for the Russell 1000 Growth index.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Q4 Earnings Are Coming - What To Expect</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Q4 Earnings Are Coming - What To Expect\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-19 15:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla announced that it will release its Q4, 2021 earnings report after the closing bell on Wednesday, January 26, and Elon Musk confirmed that he will come back to the call and give a Tesla product roadmap update.</p><p><b>Product roadmap update</b></p><p>Last year, CEO Elon Musk announced that he wouldn’t attend the earnings conference call anymore.</p><p>However, Musk said last month that he would be attending the next call to give a “product roadmap update”:</p><p>Tesla still has a few products customers are eager to know more about, particularly the Cybertruck and Semi.</p><p>For example, PepsiCo is expected to receive its first batch of Tesla Semi deliveries at the end of this month. Musk might provide a more solid timeframe for Semi deliveries and Tesla’s progress on Class 8 truck’s production at the upcoming earnings call.</p><p>As for the Cybertruck, Tesla had previously stated that it already produced a few alpha prototypes of the all-electric pickup. A few people have already spotted the Cybertruck alpha prototypes in the wild a few times.</p><p>A Tesla product roadmap would provide details on the company’s plans moving forward. 2022 is likely to be a big year for Tesla, especially considering its plans to produce vehicles at Giga Texas and Giga Berlin. Giga Shanghai also plans to increase production capacity with an RMB 1.2B ($188 million) expansion project.</p><p><b>Fourth-quarter results are critical</b></p><p>Tesla&#39;s fourth-quarter results are critical to validate the third-quarter dynamics that could see the company carving out meaningful share from legacy automakers and claim a disproportionate share of the industry profit pool, Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois said in a note.</p><p>Annualizing fourth-quarter production suggests active capacity of 1.3 million units, the analyst said. Adding 50,000 units for the underused Model S/X vehicles and 600,000-unit capacity for Austin and Berlin, total capacity for the year end is close to 2 million units, he said.</p><p>Annualized production of 710,000 at Giga Shanghai shows the facility is breaking out of automotive production norms toward Elon Musk&#39;s ambition that each site should produce 1 million units. Reaching that number, Houchois said, is not a given due to general capacity constraints.</p><p>Citing acceleration in BEV demand and a growing backlog of vehicle orders, the analyst raised his 2022 sales forecast up by 12% to 1.51 million units. This is based on the assumption that the Austin and Berlin factories will start producing deliverable Model Ys in February and April, respectively.</p><p><b>Tesla gets an upbeat call ahead of earnings</b></p><p>Credit Suisse analyst Dan Levy raised his target price for the shares ahead of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report.</p><p>Levy increased his target price to $1,025 from $830 a share, saying he expects earnings to be stronger than Wall Street has penciled in, but kept his rating on the shares at the equivalent of Hold.</p><p>Levy projects Tesla will earn $2.81 a share for the fourth quarter of 2021, while Wall Street is looking for just $2.25.</p><p>Beyond earnings, Levy sees four keys to the performance of Tesla shares: How fast the company increases production capacity, the direction of gross profit margins, the introduction of new batteries, and product announcements.</p><p>Tesla is starting up two production facilities in coming weeks, one in Austin, Texas, and the other near Berlin, Germany. That will essentially double Tesla’s production capacity.</p><p>“With Tesla’s demand exceeding supply likely for the foreseeable future, Tesla’s path of volume will be purely a function of its production,” wrote Levy in his report. He projects almost 1.5 million deliveries in 2022, up from about 936,000 in 2021. Levy also expects the existing plant in Shanghai to boost its production this year.</p><p>The start of the new plants could weigh on margins because it takes a while for a huge new facility to begin operating at capacity, but Levy still expects better gross profit margins in 2022. He believes higher vehicle prices can offset any drag from inflation or start-up costs.</p><p>Tesla is also expected to debut new, larger batteries, offering better performance and longer life, in 2022. The 4680 cells have a diameter of 46 millimeters and height of 80 millimeters, while the current batteries are 21 millimeters in diameter and 70 millimeters high. Tesla is also redesigning the battery pack for its new batteries, a move that is intended to reduce production costs.</p><p>The company has also said a $25,000 EV is in the cards, a product that would open up more of the car market to Tesla, given that a Tesla Model 3 starts at about $45,000 today. Levy thinks that the announcement could come this year.</p><p>The reason Levy is sticking with a Hold rating on Tesla despite all those positive factors is the stock’s lofty valuation. The stock trades at 108 times the per-share earnings expected for 2022, according to FactSet, compared with 32 times for the Russell 1000 Growth index.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142919906","content_text":"Tesla announced that it will release its Q4, 2021 earnings report after the closing bell on Wednesday, January 26, and Elon Musk confirmed that he will come back to the call and give a Tesla product roadmap update.Product roadmap updateLast year, CEO Elon Musk announced that he wouldn’t attend the earnings conference call anymore.However, Musk said last month that he would be attending the next call to give a “product roadmap update”:Tesla still has a few products customers are eager to know more about, particularly the Cybertruck and Semi.For example, PepsiCo is expected to receive its first batch of Tesla Semi deliveries at the end of this month. Musk might provide a more solid timeframe for Semi deliveries and Tesla’s progress on Class 8 truck’s production at the upcoming earnings call.As for the Cybertruck, Tesla had previously stated that it already produced a few alpha prototypes of the all-electric pickup. A few people have already spotted the Cybertruck alpha prototypes in the wild a few times.A Tesla product roadmap would provide details on the company’s plans moving forward. 2022 is likely to be a big year for Tesla, especially considering its plans to produce vehicles at Giga Texas and Giga Berlin. Giga Shanghai also plans to increase production capacity with an RMB 1.2B ($188 million) expansion project.Fourth-quarter results are criticalTesla's fourth-quarter results are critical to validate the third-quarter dynamics that could see the company carving out meaningful share from legacy automakers and claim a disproportionate share of the industry profit pool, Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois said in a note.Annualizing fourth-quarter production suggests active capacity of 1.3 million units, the analyst said. Adding 50,000 units for the underused Model S/X vehicles and 600,000-unit capacity for Austin and Berlin, total capacity for the year end is close to 2 million units, he said.Annualized production of 710,000 at Giga Shanghai shows the facility is breaking out of automotive production norms toward Elon Musk's ambition that each site should produce 1 million units. Reaching that number, Houchois said, is not a given due to general capacity constraints.Citing acceleration in BEV demand and a growing backlog of vehicle orders, the analyst raised his 2022 sales forecast up by 12% to 1.51 million units. This is based on the assumption that the Austin and Berlin factories will start producing deliverable Model Ys in February and April, respectively.Tesla gets an upbeat call ahead of earningsCredit Suisse analyst Dan Levy raised his target price for the shares ahead of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report.Levy increased his target price to $1,025 from $830 a share, saying he expects earnings to be stronger than Wall Street has penciled in, but kept his rating on the shares at the equivalent of Hold.Levy projects Tesla will earn $2.81 a share for the fourth quarter of 2021, while Wall Street is looking for just $2.25.Beyond earnings, Levy sees four keys to the performance of Tesla shares: How fast the company increases production capacity, the direction of gross profit margins, the introduction of new batteries, and product announcements.Tesla is starting up two production facilities in coming weeks, one in Austin, Texas, and the other near Berlin, Germany. That will essentially double Tesla’s production capacity.“With Tesla’s demand exceeding supply likely for the foreseeable future, Tesla’s path of volume will be purely a function of its production,” wrote Levy in his report. He projects almost 1.5 million deliveries in 2022, up from about 936,000 in 2021. Levy also expects the existing plant in Shanghai to boost its production this year.The start of the new plants could weigh on margins because it takes a while for a huge new facility to begin operating at capacity, but Levy still expects better gross profit margins in 2022. He believes higher vehicle prices can offset any drag from inflation or start-up costs.Tesla is also expected to debut new, larger batteries, offering better performance and longer life, in 2022. The 4680 cells have a diameter of 46 millimeters and height of 80 millimeters, while the current batteries are 21 millimeters in diameter and 70 millimeters high. Tesla is also redesigning the battery pack for its new batteries, a move that is intended to reduce production costs.The company has also said a $25,000 EV is in the cards, a product that would open up more of the car market to Tesla, given that a Tesla Model 3 starts at about $45,000 today. Levy thinks that the announcement could come this year.The reason Levy is sticking with a Hold rating on Tesla despite all those positive factors is the stock’s lofty valuation. The stock trades at 108 times the per-share earnings expected for 2022, according to FactSet, compared with 32 times for the Russell 1000 Growth index.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002451381,"gmtCreate":1642079275100,"gmtModify":1676533678537,"author":{"id":"3575157035905942","authorId":"3575157035905942","name":"LionPanda21","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/826d9bc0b1bfc9e3145623cf6fcb513e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002451381","repostId":"1196267507","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1196267507","pubTimestamp":1642044040,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196267507?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-13 11:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Could Be On The Path To $2,500 By 2025","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196267507","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla recently announced blockbuster production and deliveries numbers for the fourth quarter","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Tesla recently announced blockbuster production and deliveries numbers for the fourth quarter.</li><li>The company smashed consensus analysts&#39; expectations by 16% and expanded delivery numbers by a whopping 72% over last year.</li><li>Tesla&#39;s earnings numbers should come out later this month, but most analysts&#39; figures seem very low.</li><li>I expect Tesla to surpass consensus figures by a notable margin, and the company&#39;s stock price should get a considerable boost.</li><li>Moreover, I expect Tesla to continue beating consensus expectations in future quarters, and its stock price should continue trending higher in the coming years.</li></ul><p>Earlier this month, Tesla (TSLA) announced excellent vehicle production and deliveries numbers. The company crushed consensus deliveries estimates by a whopping 16%. However, the company&#39;s share price slumped after the blockbuster report due to a broad market selloff. Tesla will report fourth quarter revenues and EPS in a couple of weeks, and while many analysts raised their forecast, I believe that the company can still beat consensus figures. Moreover, the company should continue to guide higher and report better than anticipated numbers as we advance in 2022 and beyond. Therefore, the company&#39;s stock price will likely move higher into earnings and should move on to new ATHs after the report. Additionally, Tesla&#39;s stock price should push substantially higher over the next several years as the company advances into the future.</p><p><b>Tesla&#39;s Post-Deliveries Report Selloff</b></p><p>You would think that after such a blockbuster report, the company&#39;s stock price would fly higher and break out to new ATHs. However, that was not the case here. We saw an initial jump to $1,200, but a sharp reversal briefly knocked shares to below $1,000. It&#39;s important to note that this abrupt correction of around 20% essentially began when the Fed&#39;s hawkish minutes came over the wire. Therefore, the recent pullback in the stock was not Tesla related but resulted from a broader stock market decline. Now that market conditions appear to have stabilized, the company&#39;s stock should recover and proceed higher into Q4 earnings. Provided that the stock market continues to stabilize here, I expect Tesla&#39;s shares to break out to new ATHs following the upcoming earnings announcement.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s Blockbuster Numbers</p><p>Tesla delivered308,600 total vehicles last quarter, a whopping 72% increase over last year. This report considerably topped consensus estimates for267,000 total vehicles. Tesla&#39;s stellar results indicate that demand for its cars remains highly robust. Moreover, the company&#39;s production capacity continues to expand, implying that Tesla&#39;s revenues should grow substantially in future years.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78deec83b6cd9bea00a0c25c9dd01d29\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"481\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Tesla&#39;s full-year numbers (936,172 total vehicles) illustrate how close the company came to selling one million cars last year. In total, the company&#39;s 2021 deliveries surpassed the previous year&#39;s results by a staggering 87%. In Q4, the company sold 11,750 Model S/X vehicles and 296,850 Model 3/Y cars.</p><p><b>Tesla Worldwide Deliveries 2016-2021</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a775969e4e716fb67c68909207d3879\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"409\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>We see the phenomenal YoY growth in Tesla deliveries here. Remarkably, Tesla&#39;s deliveries have surged by more than 1,100% over the last five years. Given the company&#39;s past performance and rapid anticipated growth, we should continue to see substantial delivery increases in future years. Therefore, we should continue to see higher levels in Tesla&#39;s stock price as the company advances.</p><p><b>What To Expect From Q4 Earnings</b></p><p>Last quarter, my EPS estimate was off by one cent.So, let&#39;s see if we can hit the bullseye this time. The company delivered 11,750 Model S/X vehicles, of which 17% were subject to lease accounting. Therefore, Tesla sold around 9,753 cars in its Model S/X segment last quarter. Tesla&#39;s Model S/X segment average selling price (&#34;ASP&#34;) has increased recently. Thus, we will apply an ASP of $115K for the Model S/X segment. Using this ASP provides us with an approximate<b>$1.12 billion</b> in revenues for Tesla&#39;s luxury upscale segment.</p><p>In the Model 3/Y segment, leasing accounted for about 5% of deliveries. Therefore, last quarter, Tesla sold roughly 282,000 vehicles in its Model 3/Y unit. Implementing an ASP of $50K implies that Tesla derived approximately<b>$14.1 billion</b>in revenues from the Model 3/Y segment last quarter. Once we approximate Tesla&#39;s revenues, gross margin, and expenses in other businesses, we can estimate what the company should deliver in revenues and EPS for the fourth quarter.</p><p><b>Tesla Q3 vs. Q4 Estimates</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d60e1b4fd8520fc9b456cab235c429de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Provided Tesla&#39;s deliveries numbers and my ASP estimates, we arrived at $15.3 billion in revenues for Models S/3/X/Y sales alone. Once we added $450 million in leasing and $400 million in regulatory credit revenues, we came up to $16.15 billion in total automotive sales revenues. After we computed energy generation and storage plus Tesla&#39;s services and other segments, we arrived at an <b>$18 billion revenue</b> figure for Q4.</p><p>While my revenue estimate is notably higher than the current$16.31 billion consensus number, my revenue figure is still lower than some higher-end calls that exceed $18.25 billion. If Tesla meets consensus figures, it will be a 52% YoY rise in revenues, and if the company meets my projections, we will see a 68% YoY surge in sales.</p><p><b>Revenue Estimates</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3336d4fe66b1b66bc713185b2cc033b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>We see that many analysts expect robust double-digit revenue growth to continue in future quarters and years. However, many analyst figures are still relatively low to what the company will likely achieve. After all, we continuously see upward revisions in Tesla&#39;s revenue and EPS estimates, and this trend will likely continue as the company progresses.</p><p><b>EPS Revisions</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5379c5f472ef03b4ff34c4b1582950e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>We see a wide range of EPS estimates for Q4, and in general, for Tesla. The mid-range is $2.28, while higher-end estimates go all the way up to around $3. My EPS estimate is $2.66, which is about 17% above consensus figures, representing a 233% YoY EPS increase.</p><p>The Bottom Line</p><p>Tesla has shown a tenacity for surpassing analyst estimates in recent quarters. The company has exceeded consensus expectations by an average of14% in its last four quarters, and this trend of outperformance will likely continue. Moreover, Tesla delivered a much better than anticipated production and deliveries report for the fourth quarter. The results suggest that Tesla should provide more substantial Q4 revenues than many analysts envision. The revenue increase should translate to a better than anticipated EPS result, reflecting positively on Tesla&#39;s stock price. I expect Tesla to post revenues of around <b>$18 billion</b> with an EPS of about $2.66. This dynamic should enable Tesla&#39;s stock price to move to new ATHs. Moreover, as Tesla grows revenues and expands EPS in future years, its stock price should appreciate considerably.</p><p><b>Here is what Tesla&#39;s financials could look like in future years:</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f3447487e84ee2025bfd29d638e023d\" tg-width=\"609\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>My higher EPS and share price appreciation estimates are more aggressive than my prior analyses. However, we see Tesla performing and delivering better than expected. Furthermore, I was overly conservative in my EPS projections in previous articles. Tesla could provide close to $30 in EPS in 2025, and even if we lower the company&#39;s forward P/E multiple substantially, we still arrive at a notably higher stock price than we see now. If Tesla continues delivering and surpassing analysts&#39; expectations, I expect the company&#39;s stock price to be around <b>$2,500 in 2025</b>.</p><p>Risks To Tesla</p><p>Risks exist for Tesla, and there are quite a few. While I estimate that the company can earn close to $30 per share in 2025, the company is very far from such figures right now. Therefore, there&#39;s the risk that Tesla will not illustrate the kind of earnings growth I envision. A slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to grow EPS several-fold through 2025. Serious concerns could cause Tesla&#39;s valuation to lose altitude, and the company&#39;s share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, one should consider the risks carefully before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Could Be On The Path To $2,500 By 2025</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Could Be On The Path To $2,500 By 2025\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-13 11:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479272-tesla-on-path-to-2500-by-2025><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla recently announced blockbuster production and deliveries numbers for the fourth quarter.The company smashed consensus analysts' expectations by 16% and expanded delivery numbers by a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479272-tesla-on-path-to-2500-by-2025\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479272-tesla-on-path-to-2500-by-2025","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1196267507","content_text":"SummaryTesla recently announced blockbuster production and deliveries numbers for the fourth quarter.The company smashed consensus analysts' expectations by 16% and expanded delivery numbers by a whopping 72% over last year.Tesla's earnings numbers should come out later this month, but most analysts' figures seem very low.I expect Tesla to surpass consensus figures by a notable margin, and the company's stock price should get a considerable boost.Moreover, I expect Tesla to continue beating consensus expectations in future quarters, and its stock price should continue trending higher in the coming years.Earlier this month, Tesla (TSLA) announced excellent vehicle production and deliveries numbers. The company crushed consensus deliveries estimates by a whopping 16%. However, the company's share price slumped after the blockbuster report due to a broad market selloff. Tesla will report fourth quarter revenues and EPS in a couple of weeks, and while many analysts raised their forecast, I believe that the company can still beat consensus figures. Moreover, the company should continue to guide higher and report better than anticipated numbers as we advance in 2022 and beyond. Therefore, the company's stock price will likely move higher into earnings and should move on to new ATHs after the report. Additionally, Tesla's stock price should push substantially higher over the next several years as the company advances into the future.Tesla's Post-Deliveries Report SelloffYou would think that after such a blockbuster report, the company's stock price would fly higher and break out to new ATHs. However, that was not the case here. We saw an initial jump to $1,200, but a sharp reversal briefly knocked shares to below $1,000. It's important to note that this abrupt correction of around 20% essentially began when the Fed's hawkish minutes came over the wire. Therefore, the recent pullback in the stock was not Tesla related but resulted from a broader stock market decline. Now that market conditions appear to have stabilized, the company's stock should recover and proceed higher into Q4 earnings. Provided that the stock market continues to stabilize here, I expect Tesla's shares to break out to new ATHs following the upcoming earnings announcement.Tesla's Blockbuster NumbersTesla delivered308,600 total vehicles last quarter, a whopping 72% increase over last year. This report considerably topped consensus estimates for267,000 total vehicles. Tesla's stellar results indicate that demand for its cars remains highly robust. Moreover, the company's production capacity continues to expand, implying that Tesla's revenues should grow substantially in future years.Tesla's full-year numbers (936,172 total vehicles) illustrate how close the company came to selling one million cars last year. In total, the company's 2021 deliveries surpassed the previous year's results by a staggering 87%. In Q4, the company sold 11,750 Model S/X vehicles and 296,850 Model 3/Y cars.Tesla Worldwide Deliveries 2016-2021We see the phenomenal YoY growth in Tesla deliveries here. Remarkably, Tesla's deliveries have surged by more than 1,100% over the last five years. Given the company's past performance and rapid anticipated growth, we should continue to see substantial delivery increases in future years. Therefore, we should continue to see higher levels in Tesla's stock price as the company advances.What To Expect From Q4 EarningsLast quarter, my EPS estimate was off by one cent.So, let's see if we can hit the bullseye this time. The company delivered 11,750 Model S/X vehicles, of which 17% were subject to lease accounting. Therefore, Tesla sold around 9,753 cars in its Model S/X segment last quarter. Tesla's Model S/X segment average selling price (\"ASP\") has increased recently. Thus, we will apply an ASP of $115K for the Model S/X segment. Using this ASP provides us with an approximate$1.12 billion in revenues for Tesla's luxury upscale segment.In the Model 3/Y segment, leasing accounted for about 5% of deliveries. Therefore, last quarter, Tesla sold roughly 282,000 vehicles in its Model 3/Y unit. Implementing an ASP of $50K implies that Tesla derived approximately$14.1 billionin revenues from the Model 3/Y segment last quarter. Once we approximate Tesla's revenues, gross margin, and expenses in other businesses, we can estimate what the company should deliver in revenues and EPS for the fourth quarter.Tesla Q3 vs. Q4 EstimatesProvided Tesla's deliveries numbers and my ASP estimates, we arrived at $15.3 billion in revenues for Models S/3/X/Y sales alone. Once we added $450 million in leasing and $400 million in regulatory credit revenues, we came up to $16.15 billion in total automotive sales revenues. After we computed energy generation and storage plus Tesla's services and other segments, we arrived at an $18 billion revenue figure for Q4.While my revenue estimate is notably higher than the current$16.31 billion consensus number, my revenue figure is still lower than some higher-end calls that exceed $18.25 billion. If Tesla meets consensus figures, it will be a 52% YoY rise in revenues, and if the company meets my projections, we will see a 68% YoY surge in sales.Revenue EstimatesWe see that many analysts expect robust double-digit revenue growth to continue in future quarters and years. However, many analyst figures are still relatively low to what the company will likely achieve. After all, we continuously see upward revisions in Tesla's revenue and EPS estimates, and this trend will likely continue as the company progresses.EPS RevisionsWe see a wide range of EPS estimates for Q4, and in general, for Tesla. The mid-range is $2.28, while higher-end estimates go all the way up to around $3. My EPS estimate is $2.66, which is about 17% above consensus figures, representing a 233% YoY EPS increase.The Bottom LineTesla has shown a tenacity for surpassing analyst estimates in recent quarters. The company has exceeded consensus expectations by an average of14% in its last four quarters, and this trend of outperformance will likely continue. Moreover, Tesla delivered a much better than anticipated production and deliveries report for the fourth quarter. The results suggest that Tesla should provide more substantial Q4 revenues than many analysts envision. The revenue increase should translate to a better than anticipated EPS result, reflecting positively on Tesla's stock price. I expect Tesla to post revenues of around $18 billion with an EPS of about $2.66. This dynamic should enable Tesla's stock price to move to new ATHs. Moreover, as Tesla grows revenues and expands EPS in future years, its stock price should appreciate considerably.Here is what Tesla's financials could look like in future years:My higher EPS and share price appreciation estimates are more aggressive than my prior analyses. However, we see Tesla performing and delivering better than expected. Furthermore, I was overly conservative in my EPS projections in previous articles. Tesla could provide close to $30 in EPS in 2025, and even if we lower the company's forward P/E multiple substantially, we still arrive at a notably higher stock price than we see now. If Tesla continues delivering and surpassing analysts' expectations, I expect the company's stock price to be around $2,500 in 2025.Risks To TeslaRisks exist for Tesla, and there are quite a few. While I estimate that the company can earn close to $30 per share in 2025, the company is very far from such figures right now. Therefore, there's the risk that Tesla will not illustrate the kind of earnings growth I envision. A slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to grow EPS several-fold through 2025. Serious concerns could cause Tesla's valuation to lose altitude, and the company's share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, one should consider the risks carefully before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":539,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}