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2023-01-04

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Nvidia: Still A Long-Term Growth Story

2023-01-04

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Salesforce to Cut Workforce By Around 10%

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2023-01-02

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New Year's Market Closing, Jobs Data, Fed Minutes, and More for Investors to Watch This Week

2023-01-02

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Will Tesla's Q4 Deliveries Add Strength To Stock's Recent Upward Momentum?

2023-01-02

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Nio Sets Record With 15,815 Delivery in December

2022-06-24

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As a result, it should come as no one’s surprise that the semiconductor industry has easily outperformed over the last 5 years, with the exchange-traded fund (&#34;ETF&#34;) following the semiconductor industry, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMDI\">iShares</a> Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), increasing by over 100%, while the S&amp;P 500 Index (SP500) only managed to increase by 43%. This already includes the immense hit that the semiconductor industry has taken over the last year.</p><p>One of the driving forces in the semiconductor industry, and one of the main out-performers over the last 5 years, is NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA). Nvidia saw its stock price increase by over 200% over the same period. This increase in share price has not been without any reason, as Nvidia has also seen its revenue explode from approximately $7 billion in FY17 to $27 billion in 2022.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef979e5aa11ebee8af1cbfd9652ff698\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Statista</p><p>As illustrated in the graph above, revenue got a massive boost as a result of the covid-19 pandemic and the fact that people were bound to stay at home. This caused a massive increase in demand for the high-end GPUs designed by Nvidia for gaming and visualization purposes. Combine this with the high demand for GPUs for the use of crypto mining and massive growth in data centers, and you end up with a massive tailwind for Nvidia as the largest and most dominant player in the GPU market.</p><p>Yet, in 2022, the odds turned against Nvidia with tailwinds disappearing. Some of these new headwinds were Ethereum switching from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake, the highly cyclical gaming industry being hit by lower consumer spending, covid-19 tailwinds disappearing, and higher interest rates pressing down on Nvidia’s high valuation. As a result, Nvidia has witnessed a severe slowdown in revenue growth and a serious drop in margins. This has made many investors worry about the future of Nvidia, and some contributors on Seeking Alpha even believed Nvidia to have already seen its peak revenues.</p><p>This is my initial thesis on Nvidia after having owned the stock for many years before selling it at the end of 2021. Within this article, I want to determine whether Nvidia is a buy at current levels after having lost half of its value over 2022. To do this, I will go through its fundamentals, 3Q23 results, risks, and most importantly: its growth drivers.</p><p>I can already tell you one thing; I definitely do not believe Nvidia has seen its peak revenue as it continues to be exposed to massive growth industries.</p><h2>Q3 2023 results</h2><p>With Nvidia being one of the largest companies in the world, it will probably not need much of an introduction, but I will give a very short one anyways.</p><p>Nvidia is an American software and fabless company which specializes in the design of graphics processing units (GPUs). The company also designs application programming for high-performance computing as well as SoCs for mobile computing and automotive solutions. In addition to this, Nvidia is a global leader in AI hardware and software. Nvidia is one of the most important players in the general GPU market as well and continues to design the highest-performing GPUs for gaming, data centers, and automotive purposes.</p><p>Nvidia reported its third-quarter results on November 16th and saw revenue fall by 17% YoY to $5.93 billion. A drop in revenue YoY is never good to see from a high-growth company such as Nvidia. At the same time, this drop in revenue was expected, as Nvidia is feeling the consequences of high inflation and less consumer spending, which results in a massive drop in demand for its GPUs. Nvidia still managed to outperform analyst estimates for the quarter by $110 million. Despite the low estimates, Nvidia did miss on EPS by $0.12 as EPS was down by 50% YoY. Gross margin was 56,1% which is an increase compared to the previous quarter but still down significantly compared to 3Q22 when Nvidia reported gross margins of 67%.</p><p>CEO Jensen Huang said the following in the earnings release:</p><blockquote>We are quickly adapting to the macro environment, correcting inventory levels and paving the way for new products. The ramp of our new platforms ― Ada Lovelace RTX graphics, Hopper AI computing, BlueField and Quantum networking, Orin for autonomous vehicles and robotics, and Omniverse ― is off to a great start and forms the foundation of our next phase of growth.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca7301836247ee968b634e27a392225a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nvidia revenue (Nvidia)</p><p>If we dive a bit deeper, we can see that some segments recorded record revenue numbers, while others saw significant decreases. The segments that got hit the hardest were the professional visualization and gaming segment. With the visualization segment only accounting for a little over 3% of total revenue the impact of the decrease for the segment was not as significant. The gaming segment was the largest segment for Nvidia for many years before it was overtaken by the data center segment. Gaming still accounted for 26% of revenue and therefore has a significant impact on revenue growth and has been the main contributor to the significant slowdown in revenue growth for Nvidia. The gaming segment reported revenue of $1.57 billion and fell by over 50% YoY.</p><p>The significant weakness in the gaming segment was caused by general weakness for the gaming industry as many consumers are cutting back on spending due to increasing interest rates and high inflation. Also, many gamers updated their equipment during the covid-19 lockdowns and with this gaming tailwind easing now that the world re-opens, Nvidia is seeing a drop in revenues for the segment. Also, over the last few years, the crypto boom caused many crypto miners to buy the highest end GPUs from Nvidia to power their equipment, but with crypto losing popularity and Ethereum switching for proof-of-work to proof-of-stake, crypto mining is not as lucrative anymore and demand for GPUs dropped significantly. With less demand, the prices for GPUs have also come down, resulting in a drop in margins. Add to this that lesser demand required Nvidia to mark down its excess inventory, and margins fell even more, resulting in what we have seen over the past two quarters.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fe85467d4d5b262093b6ea28fb57e9a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nvidia Gaming revenues (Nvidia)</p><p>Does this then mean that the gaming industry is broken, and crypto-induced revenue won’t return? Well, I do believe Nvidia has had a significant crypto tailwind over the last couple of years, and this will not be returning. Yet, the gaming industry is still seeing huge growth potential going forward and still offers significant potential for Nvidia. I do expect it to take a while for the gaming segment to report record revenue again.</p><p>Segments that did perform very well were automotive &amp; embedded and data center. The automotive &amp; embedded segment was only good for a little over 4% of total revenue for the third quarter, but did manage to grow by a staggering 86% YoY to $251 million. This even represented 14% sequential growth. Nvidia launched several new software packages for the automotive industry. Automotive remained strong despite the economic turmoil and the drive towards more advanced and self-driving cars is still strong.</p><p>The data center segment has been the driving force for Nvidia over the last couple of years, with the segment growing out to be the largest and most important segment for Nvidia. This segment reported revenue of $3.83 billion, representing 64.5% of revenue. The segment grew by 31% YoY, but by just 1% sequentially. This is still very strong growth, but a slowdown compared to the growth rates witnessed over the last couple of years. Many investors feared this segment to be hit by new export restrictions laid on by the U.S. government regarding the export of high-end AI and data center chips to China, but Nvidia managed to largely offset this headwind by releasing new chip models that are allowed to be shipped to China.</p><p>Nvidia also began shipping its new H100 chipset based on the new Hopper architecture, which will need to drive data center growth for Nvidia. In addition to this, Nvidia announced a partnership with both Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) and Oracle (ORCL) to advance their data center computing and AI capabilities. With Microsoft and Oracle being two of the largest players in the data center industry, these are very promising partnerships.</p><p>All in all, growth for the quarter was not good, but the outlook is what kept Nvidia up the day after the earnings release. Nvidia expects revenue of $6 billion, plus or minus 2%. Margins are expected to recover to 66% showing resiliency and possibly indicating that we have already seen the bottom.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74e08a1f7befa6ac044e10542ed71f04\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nvidia outlook for 4Q23 (Nvidia)</p><h2>Growth drivers</h2><p>Now that we have gotten a clearer picture of Nvidia financially, we can continue by looking at future growth drivers. Despite recent growth weakness Nvidia continues to be a growth company and therefore it is crucial to determine whether we will see new growth from Nvidia. In this section, I will discuss some of the highest conviction growth opportunities for Nvidia.</p><h3>AI</h3><p>“AI is the greatest technology force of our time” is a sentence Nvidia used in its 3Q23 results presentation, and I fully agree with them. In my view, AI technology will very much dictate what our future will look like as it opens us up to many opportunities. Please, do not think we will see high-end human-like robots in the near future, because this is not what AI is about. AI will be used in many daily tasks in order to improve these. The picture below illustrates some of these tasks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/272b916b39a788835cc5747e4bcbb7c0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>AI possibilities (Nvidia)</p><p>In order to realize and work with highly advanced AI, you need a lot of processing power, and the best way to realize this is by using Nvidia GPUs. This is what Nvidia says on its website:</p><blockquote>Deep Learning relies on GPU acceleration, both for training and inference. NVIDIA delivers GPU acceleration everywhere you need it—to data centers, desktops, laptops, and the world’s fastest supercomputers. If your data is in the cloud, NVIDIA GPU deep learning is available on services from Amazon, Google, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>, Microsoft, and many others.</blockquote><p>Analyst firm Omnia stated in 2020 that Nvidia had an 80% market share in the AI processor market through its AI expertise and best-performing GPU chipsets. AMD-owned Xilinx (AMD) was ranked second by Omnia. It is highly likely that Nvidia will at least still be the main player in the AI processor market in 2022 and entering 2023 as the company continues to develop the best performing GPUs. The global AI chip market is expected to grow at a stunning 37.1% CAGR until 2031 and reach a market size of $263.6 billion. With Nvidia being by far the most dominant player in the fast-growing industry, the company is well-positioned to benefit from this growth. The broad AI industry is expected to grow at a 20% CAGR between 2022 and 2029 to reach a market size of $1.4 trillion. This once again illustrates that the AI industry is poised for incredible growth with Nvidia being a dominant player.</p><h3>Automotive</h3><p>According to Nvidia, the automotive industry could be a $300 billion opportunity for the company. This is made of the various solutions Nvidia offers like hardware (semiconductors) and software. Nvidia currently has an automotive pipeline that exceeds $11 billion spread over the next 6 years.</p><p>Nvidia offers multiple software solutions build on its own chips. Nvidia Drive is the company’s end-to-end platform for automotive purposes ranging from AI cockpit solutions to autonomous driving. Nvidia adds the following:</p><blockquote>Tapping into decades-long experience in high-performance computing, imaging, and AI, NVIDIA has built an end-to-end, software-defined platform for the transportation industry that enables continuous improvement and deployment through over-the-air updates. It delivers everything needed to develop autonomous vehicles at scale.</blockquote><p>Nvidia has many partnerships with car OEMs from China and large western car manufacturers like Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF), Polestar (PSNY), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMLF), General Motors (GM), and Mercedes (OTCPK:MBGAF). The increasing number of smart capabilities in cars requires an increasing number of chipsets and smart car software, and Nvidia offers the full stack to OEMs. As a result, the automotive chip market is projected to grow at a 12.27% CAGR until 2028 to reach a market size of $118 billion. Although this represents solid growth, the next two markets are even more important to Nvidia and show even higher growth rates. The autonomous car market is projected to grow at a 25.7% CAGR until 2030 to reach a market size of close to $200 billion. It is important to keep in mind that the autonomous driving industry is highly competitive, with companies such as Mobileye (MBLY), Waymo (GOOGL), and also Qualcomm (QCOM) tapping into the space. Finally, the automotive software market is projected to grow at a 15% CAGR until 2030 and is expected to be valued at $57.68 billion by then.</p><p>Automotive continues to be a high growth opportunity for Nvidia driven by general industry growth trends in addition to product superiority from Nvidia allowing it to increase its market share. Nvidia seems to be well-positioned to increase its automotive revenue significantly over the next few years, as proven by its $11 billion pipeline.</p><h3>Nvidia Omniverse</h3><p>On many occasions, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> (META) is the first company mentioned when talking about the Metaverse. This is no surprise at all since Meta even changed its name in order to be linked it the Metaverse. Yet, an article in Forbes was titled the following: NVIDIA Omniverse: The Useful Metaverse. I believe this is exactly right. The Metaverse from the Meta point of view is all about being social, advertising, and entertainment, without actual good products with a useful function, whereas the Nvidia Omniverse is actually already serving really valuable purposes. This is how Nvidia describes is:</p><blockquote>NVIDIA’s omniverse digital twins creates comprehensive and photo-realistic design platforms for professional teams to enable better designs with fewer costly mistakes in less time.</blockquote><p>The Omniverse offers companies, governments, and organizations the possibility to build highly accurate digital twins of objects, buildings, cities, and even the world in order to improve at a low cost and prevent failure. Nvidia is currently working on a digital twin of our very own planet in order to simulate the consequences of climate change and look for solutions. It is not consumers looking for a nice time that use the Nvidia Omniverse, but instead it is the world’s leading companies like Amazon (AMZN), AT&amp;T (T), BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Ericsson (ERIC), PepsiCo (PEP), and Siemens (OTCPK:SIEGY) that use the platform to improve operations and designs.</p><p>To give you an idea of the market size of digital twins, in which Nvidia is a frontrunner through the Omniverse, the market is expected to grow at a massive 40% CAGR until 2030 to reach a market size of over $120 billion.</p><p>At the same time, the Metaverse market size is expected to increase at a 43.7% CAGR until 2030 and to reach a total size of over $1.5 trillion. The Omniverse puts Nvidia in a great position to benefit from both high-growth industries.</p><h3>Datacenter</h3><p>According to IDC, Nvidia held 91.4% of the enterprise GPU market, much higher than AMD’s 8.5% in 2021. This puts Nvidia in the prime position to benefit from the massive increase in data center capacity worldwide as cloud computing is taking over from on-premises data storage with remote working as final diver following the covid-19 pandemic. That Nvidia is doing well in the data center market is shown by its massive increase in data center revenue over the last couple of years and the fact that 90% of all supercomputers worldwide are powered by Nvidia GPUs.</p><p>Cloud and data centers will continue to be a revenue driver for Nvidia with the cloud computing market expected to increase at a 15.7% CAGR until 2030. This increase will require higher-performance GPUs developed by Nvidia to power an increasing number of data centers. Nvidia recently showed that it is not finished developing as its recently released H100 chip is much faster than its predecessor and is in high demand by companies such as Microsoft, Amazon, IBM (IBM), Oracle, and Google.</p><p>Nvidia looks set to continue growing its data center segment at a rapid pace driven by innovation, increasing demand for high-performance chips, and an ever-increasing AI market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07a3bb12be6ba1eccdedabaaa8dcc107\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nvidia H100 performance comparison (Nvidia)</p><h2>Balance sheet &amp; valuation</h2><p>Nvidia reported total cash of $13.14 billion, which was down significantly from $19.30 billion a year ago and $17.04 billion a quarter ago. This is mainly due to continued buybacks from management and lower free cash flow as a result of a significant drop in revenue and margins. Total debt stood at $11.9 billion and was up slightly compared to a year ago.</p><p>While the balance sheet has been deteriorating over the last couple of quarters, Nvidia still holds a solid net cash position. With margins expected to significantly increase over the following quarters as well, cash flows should be expected to improve in the near future.</p><p>Now, the valuation could very well be the largest hurdle for any investor to invest in Nvidia, as the company has been extremely highly valued over the last few years. It even continues to be relatively highly valued right now, despite the company reporting negative growth YoY. It seems like many of the future growth drivers which I mentioned above are already priced into the stock. According to Seeking Alpha, Nvidia is valued at a forward P/E of 46x which is 10% above its 5 years average valuation. Now, I will say again that this is despite the company reporting negative YoY growth and lower margins.</p><p>Analysts are currently projecting Nvidia to report $3.89 in EPS over the next 4 quarters. Personally, I am projecting Nvidia to report $3.97 in EPS over the same time period and slightly outperform analysts&#39; estimates. Considering the current negative growth, uncertain macroeconomic outlook, but also high growth prospects, I believe a 35x P/E is fair for Nvidia right now. Based on these numbers, I end up with a $140 price target for Nvidia. With the company currently at $146 per share, it is slightly overvalued. Yet, with only a 4% overvaluation, I do not think the company is a sell, as Nvidia has great growth prospects and the potential to outperform current EPS estimates.</p><h2>Risks</h2><p>As with many companies, for Nvidia, the economy seems to be the biggest risk. Nvidia was one of the first companies to face the financial results of an uncertain macroeconomic climate with consumer spending decreasing. This will continue to be a decisive factor over the next year or so, as the economy will find its way towards either a recession or the much-hoped-for soft landing. In the case of a recession, we should expect higher unemployment levels and, therefore, an even bigger hit to consumer spending, which will result in lower demand for Nvidia products. In addition to this, lower revenues for companies will also be followed by lower Capex spending and lower IT investments. This will then continue to be a drag on revenue growth and margins for Nvidia and will not allow the company to continue its growth trajectory. Still, right now, it’s hard to say where the economy is headed, and it continues to be important to be aware of these risks.</p><p>Following a tough economy and lower expectations, we will probably also most likely see valuation multiple compression in the case of an economic recession. With Nvidia currently valued at a forward P/E of over 40x, there is much room for downside if the company should see a longer period of weak growth, as investors will not be willing to pay a premium.</p><p>A specific risk for Nvidia would be the ban on advanced AI semiconductors from the U.S. for export to China. Nvidia has been able to offset the tailwind last quarter thanks to strategic new product releases and product alternatives, but if the situation between the U.S. and China should worsen, restrictions could very well increase. China is a huge market for the AI and data center industry, and increasing restrictions are therefore a drag on revenue growth for Nvidia.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>Nvidia has been hit significantly in 2022, with the share price declining over 50% and financial growth turning negative YoY. The outlook for the next quarter is a more positive one, with higher margins as the most important factor.</p><p>Considering the growth drivers mentioned above, I feel like it is safe to say that Nvidia is poised to grow over the next decade. Does this then make it a buy right now? No, not necessarily. An investment in Nvidia comes with serious risks, as the company is quite exposed to economic prosperity, consumer spending, and China. These risks can become a drag on share price growth and are important to keep in mind when considering an investment.</p><p>With only a 4% overvaluation, I do not think the company is a sell, as Nvidia has great growth prospects and the potential to outperform current EPS estimates. At the same time, I would only consider buying Nvidia when the share price dips below $130 a share, as it did in 2022. For now, I rate Nvidia a hold, as economic uncertainty will continue to be a drag on shares and the near-term upside looks very limited to me.</p><p>I rate Nvidia a <b>hold</b>.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Still A Long-Term Growth Story</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Still A Long-Term Growth Story\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-04 19:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567540-nvidia-still-a-long-term-growth-story><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IntroductionSemiconductors are called \"the oil of the future,\" meaning these will be, and increasingly become, the drivers of our society, in a similar way as oil has fulfilled this exact role since ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567540-nvidia-still-a-long-term-growth-story\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4567540-nvidia-still-a-long-term-growth-story","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2300541539","content_text":"IntroductionSemiconductors are called \"the oil of the future,\" meaning these will be, and increasingly become, the drivers of our society, in a similar way as oil has fulfilled this exact role since the industrial revolution. As a result, it should come as no one’s surprise that the semiconductor industry has easily outperformed over the last 5 years, with the exchange-traded fund (\"ETF\") following the semiconductor industry, the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), increasing by over 100%, while the S&P 500 Index (SP500) only managed to increase by 43%. This already includes the immense hit that the semiconductor industry has taken over the last year.One of the driving forces in the semiconductor industry, and one of the main out-performers over the last 5 years, is NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA). Nvidia saw its stock price increase by over 200% over the same period. This increase in share price has not been without any reason, as Nvidia has also seen its revenue explode from approximately $7 billion in FY17 to $27 billion in 2022.StatistaAs illustrated in the graph above, revenue got a massive boost as a result of the covid-19 pandemic and the fact that people were bound to stay at home. This caused a massive increase in demand for the high-end GPUs designed by Nvidia for gaming and visualization purposes. Combine this with the high demand for GPUs for the use of crypto mining and massive growth in data centers, and you end up with a massive tailwind for Nvidia as the largest and most dominant player in the GPU market.Yet, in 2022, the odds turned against Nvidia with tailwinds disappearing. Some of these new headwinds were Ethereum switching from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake, the highly cyclical gaming industry being hit by lower consumer spending, covid-19 tailwinds disappearing, and higher interest rates pressing down on Nvidia’s high valuation. As a result, Nvidia has witnessed a severe slowdown in revenue growth and a serious drop in margins. This has made many investors worry about the future of Nvidia, and some contributors on Seeking Alpha even believed Nvidia to have already seen its peak revenues.This is my initial thesis on Nvidia after having owned the stock for many years before selling it at the end of 2021. Within this article, I want to determine whether Nvidia is a buy at current levels after having lost half of its value over 2022. To do this, I will go through its fundamentals, 3Q23 results, risks, and most importantly: its growth drivers.I can already tell you one thing; I definitely do not believe Nvidia has seen its peak revenue as it continues to be exposed to massive growth industries.Q3 2023 resultsWith Nvidia being one of the largest companies in the world, it will probably not need much of an introduction, but I will give a very short one anyways.Nvidia is an American software and fabless company which specializes in the design of graphics processing units (GPUs). The company also designs application programming for high-performance computing as well as SoCs for mobile computing and automotive solutions. In addition to this, Nvidia is a global leader in AI hardware and software. Nvidia is one of the most important players in the general GPU market as well and continues to design the highest-performing GPUs for gaming, data centers, and automotive purposes.Nvidia reported its third-quarter results on November 16th and saw revenue fall by 17% YoY to $5.93 billion. A drop in revenue YoY is never good to see from a high-growth company such as Nvidia. At the same time, this drop in revenue was expected, as Nvidia is feeling the consequences of high inflation and less consumer spending, which results in a massive drop in demand for its GPUs. Nvidia still managed to outperform analyst estimates for the quarter by $110 million. Despite the low estimates, Nvidia did miss on EPS by $0.12 as EPS was down by 50% YoY. Gross margin was 56,1% which is an increase compared to the previous quarter but still down significantly compared to 3Q22 when Nvidia reported gross margins of 67%.CEO Jensen Huang said the following in the earnings release:We are quickly adapting to the macro environment, correcting inventory levels and paving the way for new products. The ramp of our new platforms ― Ada Lovelace RTX graphics, Hopper AI computing, BlueField and Quantum networking, Orin for autonomous vehicles and robotics, and Omniverse ― is off to a great start and forms the foundation of our next phase of growth.Nvidia revenue (Nvidia)If we dive a bit deeper, we can see that some segments recorded record revenue numbers, while others saw significant decreases. The segments that got hit the hardest were the professional visualization and gaming segment. With the visualization segment only accounting for a little over 3% of total revenue the impact of the decrease for the segment was not as significant. The gaming segment was the largest segment for Nvidia for many years before it was overtaken by the data center segment. Gaming still accounted for 26% of revenue and therefore has a significant impact on revenue growth and has been the main contributor to the significant slowdown in revenue growth for Nvidia. The gaming segment reported revenue of $1.57 billion and fell by over 50% YoY.The significant weakness in the gaming segment was caused by general weakness for the gaming industry as many consumers are cutting back on spending due to increasing interest rates and high inflation. Also, many gamers updated their equipment during the covid-19 lockdowns and with this gaming tailwind easing now that the world re-opens, Nvidia is seeing a drop in revenues for the segment. Also, over the last few years, the crypto boom caused many crypto miners to buy the highest end GPUs from Nvidia to power their equipment, but with crypto losing popularity and Ethereum switching for proof-of-work to proof-of-stake, crypto mining is not as lucrative anymore and demand for GPUs dropped significantly. With less demand, the prices for GPUs have also come down, resulting in a drop in margins. Add to this that lesser demand required Nvidia to mark down its excess inventory, and margins fell even more, resulting in what we have seen over the past two quarters.Nvidia Gaming revenues (Nvidia)Does this then mean that the gaming industry is broken, and crypto-induced revenue won’t return? Well, I do believe Nvidia has had a significant crypto tailwind over the last couple of years, and this will not be returning. Yet, the gaming industry is still seeing huge growth potential going forward and still offers significant potential for Nvidia. I do expect it to take a while for the gaming segment to report record revenue again.Segments that did perform very well were automotive & embedded and data center. The automotive & embedded segment was only good for a little over 4% of total revenue for the third quarter, but did manage to grow by a staggering 86% YoY to $251 million. This even represented 14% sequential growth. Nvidia launched several new software packages for the automotive industry. Automotive remained strong despite the economic turmoil and the drive towards more advanced and self-driving cars is still strong.The data center segment has been the driving force for Nvidia over the last couple of years, with the segment growing out to be the largest and most important segment for Nvidia. This segment reported revenue of $3.83 billion, representing 64.5% of revenue. The segment grew by 31% YoY, but by just 1% sequentially. This is still very strong growth, but a slowdown compared to the growth rates witnessed over the last couple of years. Many investors feared this segment to be hit by new export restrictions laid on by the U.S. government regarding the export of high-end AI and data center chips to China, but Nvidia managed to largely offset this headwind by releasing new chip models that are allowed to be shipped to China.Nvidia also began shipping its new H100 chipset based on the new Hopper architecture, which will need to drive data center growth for Nvidia. In addition to this, Nvidia announced a partnership with both Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) and Oracle (ORCL) to advance their data center computing and AI capabilities. With Microsoft and Oracle being two of the largest players in the data center industry, these are very promising partnerships.All in all, growth for the quarter was not good, but the outlook is what kept Nvidia up the day after the earnings release. Nvidia expects revenue of $6 billion, plus or minus 2%. Margins are expected to recover to 66% showing resiliency and possibly indicating that we have already seen the bottom.Nvidia outlook for 4Q23 (Nvidia)Growth driversNow that we have gotten a clearer picture of Nvidia financially, we can continue by looking at future growth drivers. Despite recent growth weakness Nvidia continues to be a growth company and therefore it is crucial to determine whether we will see new growth from Nvidia. In this section, I will discuss some of the highest conviction growth opportunities for Nvidia.AI“AI is the greatest technology force of our time” is a sentence Nvidia used in its 3Q23 results presentation, and I fully agree with them. In my view, AI technology will very much dictate what our future will look like as it opens us up to many opportunities. Please, do not think we will see high-end human-like robots in the near future, because this is not what AI is about. AI will be used in many daily tasks in order to improve these. The picture below illustrates some of these tasks.AI possibilities (Nvidia)In order to realize and work with highly advanced AI, you need a lot of processing power, and the best way to realize this is by using Nvidia GPUs. This is what Nvidia says on its website:Deep Learning relies on GPU acceleration, both for training and inference. NVIDIA delivers GPU acceleration everywhere you need it—to data centers, desktops, laptops, and the world’s fastest supercomputers. If your data is in the cloud, NVIDIA GPU deep learning is available on services from Amazon, Google, IBM, Microsoft, and many others.Analyst firm Omnia stated in 2020 that Nvidia had an 80% market share in the AI processor market through its AI expertise and best-performing GPU chipsets. AMD-owned Xilinx (AMD) was ranked second by Omnia. It is highly likely that Nvidia will at least still be the main player in the AI processor market in 2022 and entering 2023 as the company continues to develop the best performing GPUs. The global AI chip market is expected to grow at a stunning 37.1% CAGR until 2031 and reach a market size of $263.6 billion. With Nvidia being by far the most dominant player in the fast-growing industry, the company is well-positioned to benefit from this growth. The broad AI industry is expected to grow at a 20% CAGR between 2022 and 2029 to reach a market size of $1.4 trillion. This once again illustrates that the AI industry is poised for incredible growth with Nvidia being a dominant player.AutomotiveAccording to Nvidia, the automotive industry could be a $300 billion opportunity for the company. This is made of the various solutions Nvidia offers like hardware (semiconductors) and software. Nvidia currently has an automotive pipeline that exceeds $11 billion spread over the next 6 years.Nvidia offers multiple software solutions build on its own chips. Nvidia Drive is the company’s end-to-end platform for automotive purposes ranging from AI cockpit solutions to autonomous driving. Nvidia adds the following:Tapping into decades-long experience in high-performance computing, imaging, and AI, NVIDIA has built an end-to-end, software-defined platform for the transportation industry that enables continuous improvement and deployment through over-the-air updates. It delivers everything needed to develop autonomous vehicles at scale.Nvidia has many partnerships with car OEMs from China and large western car manufacturers like Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF), Polestar (PSNY), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMLF), General Motors (GM), and Mercedes (OTCPK:MBGAF). The increasing number of smart capabilities in cars requires an increasing number of chipsets and smart car software, and Nvidia offers the full stack to OEMs. As a result, the automotive chip market is projected to grow at a 12.27% CAGR until 2028 to reach a market size of $118 billion. Although this represents solid growth, the next two markets are even more important to Nvidia and show even higher growth rates. The autonomous car market is projected to grow at a 25.7% CAGR until 2030 to reach a market size of close to $200 billion. It is important to keep in mind that the autonomous driving industry is highly competitive, with companies such as Mobileye (MBLY), Waymo (GOOGL), and also Qualcomm (QCOM) tapping into the space. Finally, the automotive software market is projected to grow at a 15% CAGR until 2030 and is expected to be valued at $57.68 billion by then.Automotive continues to be a high growth opportunity for Nvidia driven by general industry growth trends in addition to product superiority from Nvidia allowing it to increase its market share. Nvidia seems to be well-positioned to increase its automotive revenue significantly over the next few years, as proven by its $11 billion pipeline.Nvidia OmniverseOn many occasions, Meta Platforms (META) is the first company mentioned when talking about the Metaverse. This is no surprise at all since Meta even changed its name in order to be linked it the Metaverse. Yet, an article in Forbes was titled the following: NVIDIA Omniverse: The Useful Metaverse. I believe this is exactly right. The Metaverse from the Meta point of view is all about being social, advertising, and entertainment, without actual good products with a useful function, whereas the Nvidia Omniverse is actually already serving really valuable purposes. This is how Nvidia describes is:NVIDIA’s omniverse digital twins creates comprehensive and photo-realistic design platforms for professional teams to enable better designs with fewer costly mistakes in less time.The Omniverse offers companies, governments, and organizations the possibility to build highly accurate digital twins of objects, buildings, cities, and even the world in order to improve at a low cost and prevent failure. Nvidia is currently working on a digital twin of our very own planet in order to simulate the consequences of climate change and look for solutions. It is not consumers looking for a nice time that use the Nvidia Omniverse, but instead it is the world’s leading companies like Amazon (AMZN), AT&T (T), BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Ericsson (ERIC), PepsiCo (PEP), and Siemens (OTCPK:SIEGY) that use the platform to improve operations and designs.To give you an idea of the market size of digital twins, in which Nvidia is a frontrunner through the Omniverse, the market is expected to grow at a massive 40% CAGR until 2030 to reach a market size of over $120 billion.At the same time, the Metaverse market size is expected to increase at a 43.7% CAGR until 2030 and to reach a total size of over $1.5 trillion. The Omniverse puts Nvidia in a great position to benefit from both high-growth industries.DatacenterAccording to IDC, Nvidia held 91.4% of the enterprise GPU market, much higher than AMD’s 8.5% in 2021. This puts Nvidia in the prime position to benefit from the massive increase in data center capacity worldwide as cloud computing is taking over from on-premises data storage with remote working as final diver following the covid-19 pandemic. That Nvidia is doing well in the data center market is shown by its massive increase in data center revenue over the last couple of years and the fact that 90% of all supercomputers worldwide are powered by Nvidia GPUs.Cloud and data centers will continue to be a revenue driver for Nvidia with the cloud computing market expected to increase at a 15.7% CAGR until 2030. This increase will require higher-performance GPUs developed by Nvidia to power an increasing number of data centers. Nvidia recently showed that it is not finished developing as its recently released H100 chip is much faster than its predecessor and is in high demand by companies such as Microsoft, Amazon, IBM (IBM), Oracle, and Google.Nvidia looks set to continue growing its data center segment at a rapid pace driven by innovation, increasing demand for high-performance chips, and an ever-increasing AI market.Nvidia H100 performance comparison (Nvidia)Balance sheet & valuationNvidia reported total cash of $13.14 billion, which was down significantly from $19.30 billion a year ago and $17.04 billion a quarter ago. This is mainly due to continued buybacks from management and lower free cash flow as a result of a significant drop in revenue and margins. Total debt stood at $11.9 billion and was up slightly compared to a year ago.While the balance sheet has been deteriorating over the last couple of quarters, Nvidia still holds a solid net cash position. With margins expected to significantly increase over the following quarters as well, cash flows should be expected to improve in the near future.Now, the valuation could very well be the largest hurdle for any investor to invest in Nvidia, as the company has been extremely highly valued over the last few years. It even continues to be relatively highly valued right now, despite the company reporting negative growth YoY. It seems like many of the future growth drivers which I mentioned above are already priced into the stock. According to Seeking Alpha, Nvidia is valued at a forward P/E of 46x which is 10% above its 5 years average valuation. Now, I will say again that this is despite the company reporting negative YoY growth and lower margins.Analysts are currently projecting Nvidia to report $3.89 in EPS over the next 4 quarters. Personally, I am projecting Nvidia to report $3.97 in EPS over the same time period and slightly outperform analysts' estimates. Considering the current negative growth, uncertain macroeconomic outlook, but also high growth prospects, I believe a 35x P/E is fair for Nvidia right now. Based on these numbers, I end up with a $140 price target for Nvidia. With the company currently at $146 per share, it is slightly overvalued. Yet, with only a 4% overvaluation, I do not think the company is a sell, as Nvidia has great growth prospects and the potential to outperform current EPS estimates.RisksAs with many companies, for Nvidia, the economy seems to be the biggest risk. Nvidia was one of the first companies to face the financial results of an uncertain macroeconomic climate with consumer spending decreasing. This will continue to be a decisive factor over the next year or so, as the economy will find its way towards either a recession or the much-hoped-for soft landing. In the case of a recession, we should expect higher unemployment levels and, therefore, an even bigger hit to consumer spending, which will result in lower demand for Nvidia products. In addition to this, lower revenues for companies will also be followed by lower Capex spending and lower IT investments. This will then continue to be a drag on revenue growth and margins for Nvidia and will not allow the company to continue its growth trajectory. Still, right now, it’s hard to say where the economy is headed, and it continues to be important to be aware of these risks.Following a tough economy and lower expectations, we will probably also most likely see valuation multiple compression in the case of an economic recession. With Nvidia currently valued at a forward P/E of over 40x, there is much room for downside if the company should see a longer period of weak growth, as investors will not be willing to pay a premium.A specific risk for Nvidia would be the ban on advanced AI semiconductors from the U.S. for export to China. Nvidia has been able to offset the tailwind last quarter thanks to strategic new product releases and product alternatives, but if the situation between the U.S. and China should worsen, restrictions could very well increase. China is a huge market for the AI and data center industry, and increasing restrictions are therefore a drag on revenue growth for Nvidia.ConclusionNvidia has been hit significantly in 2022, with the share price declining over 50% and financial growth turning negative YoY. The outlook for the next quarter is a more positive one, with higher margins as the most important factor.Considering the growth drivers mentioned above, I feel like it is safe to say that Nvidia is poised to grow over the next decade. Does this then make it a buy right now? No, not necessarily. An investment in Nvidia comes with serious risks, as the company is quite exposed to economic prosperity, consumer spending, and China. These risks can become a drag on share price growth and are important to keep in mind when considering an investment.With only a 4% overvaluation, I do not think the company is a sell, as Nvidia has great growth prospects and the potential to outperform current EPS estimates. At the same time, I would only consider buying Nvidia when the share price dips below $130 a share, as it did in 2022. For now, I rate Nvidia a hold, as economic uncertainty will continue to be a drag on shares and the near-term upside looks very limited to me.I rate Nvidia a hold.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950770735,"gmtCreate":1672845774428,"gmtModify":1676538746971,"author":{"id":"3575254592044321","authorId":"3575254592044321","name":"LL25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe66c7de94818cb8305680a26c02919c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575254592044321","authorIdStr":"3575254592044321"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950770735","repostId":"1144196920","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144196920","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1672832839,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1144196920?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-04 19:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Salesforce to Cut Workforce By Around 10%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144196920","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Salesforce (CRM) said Wednesday it is embarking on restructuring that includes laying off about 10% ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Salesforce (CRM) said Wednesday it is embarking on restructuring that includes laying off about 10% of its workforce.</li><li>CRM rose 1.8% in premarket trading.</li><li>&#34;As our revenue accelerated through the pandemic, we hired too many people leading into this economic downturn we’re now facing, and I take responsibility for that,&#34; co-CEO Marc Benioff wrote in a letter to employees.</li><li>CRM will also exit real estate and reduce office space in some markets.</li><li>&#34;The Company estimates that it will incur approximately $1.4 billion to $2.1 billion in charges in connection with the Plan, of which approximately $800 million to $1.0 billion is expected to be incurred in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023,&#34; Salesforce (CRM) said.</li><li>Affected employees will receive an email within an hour of the announcement, Benioff said.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Salesforce to Cut Workforce By Around 10%</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSalesforce to Cut Workforce By Around 10%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-04 19:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3921813-salesforce-to-cut-workforce-by-around-10><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Salesforce (CRM) said Wednesday it is embarking on restructuring that includes laying off about 10% of its workforce.CRM rose 1.8% in premarket trading.\"As our revenue accelerated through the pandemic...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3921813-salesforce-to-cut-workforce-by-around-10\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRM":"赛富时"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3921813-salesforce-to-cut-workforce-by-around-10","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144196920","content_text":"Salesforce (CRM) said Wednesday it is embarking on restructuring that includes laying off about 10% of its workforce.CRM rose 1.8% in premarket trading.\"As our revenue accelerated through the pandemic, we hired too many people leading into this economic downturn we’re now facing, and I take responsibility for that,\" co-CEO Marc Benioff wrote in a letter to employees.CRM will also exit real estate and reduce office space in some markets.\"The Company estimates that it will incur approximately $1.4 billion to $2.1 billion in charges in connection with the Plan, of which approximately $800 million to $1.0 billion is expected to be incurred in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023,\" Salesforce (CRM) said.Affected employees will receive an email within an hour of the announcement, Benioff said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950335621,"gmtCreate":1672669448863,"gmtModify":1676538717570,"author":{"id":"3575254592044321","authorId":"3575254592044321","name":"LL25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe66c7de94818cb8305680a26c02919c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575254592044321","authorIdStr":"3575254592044321"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950335621","repostId":"1104497166","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950335187,"gmtCreate":1672669433049,"gmtModify":1676538717563,"author":{"id":"3575254592044321","authorId":"3575254592044321","name":"LL25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe66c7de94818cb8305680a26c02919c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575254592044321","authorIdStr":"3575254592044321"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950335187","repostId":"2300611828","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2300611828","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1672619433,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2300611828?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-02 08:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"New Year's Market Closing, Jobs Data, Fed Minutes, and More for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2300611828","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n     It will be another holiday-shortened trading week, with stock and bond ","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\nBy Nicholas Jasinski \n</pre>\n<p>\n     It will be another holiday-shortened trading week, with stock and bond markets closed on Monday in observance of New Year's Day. Once Wall Street returns, there will be a handful of notable earnings releases and December jobs data to look forward to. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Earnings will be clustered on Thursday: Conagra Brands, Constellation Brands, Lamb Weston Holdings, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> all report. Fourth-quarter earnings season kicks off with results from several big banks on Jan. 13. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The economic-data highlight of the week will be jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to report a gain of 217,500 nonfarm payrolls in December, following an increase of 263,000 in November. The unemployment rate is forecast to hold steady at a historically low 3.7%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Economists will also be watching the BLS' Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on Tuesday. The consensus estimate calls for 10 million job openings on the last business day of November, which would be 334,000 fewer than in October. \n</p>\n<p>\n     A looser job market is a key for the Federal Reserve. Economists will look to glean insights from the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's mid-December monetary-policy meeting, which will be released on Tuesday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Also on Tuesday, the Institute for Supply Management will report its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for December, followed by the Services equivalent on Friday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday \n</p>\n<p>\n     Markets around the globe, including in the U.S., Canada, China, Japan, and the United Kingdom, are closed in observance of New Year's Day. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 1/3 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Census Bureau reports construction spending statistics for November. The consensus estimate is for total construction spending to decline 0.4%, month over month, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.79 trillion. Despite the slowdown in the housing market, construction spending remains near its record peak of $1.82 trillion, hit last July. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 1/4 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its mid-December monetary-policy meeting. The FOMC raised the federal funds rates at its last seven meetings in 2022, for a total of 4.25 percentage points, the most since 1980. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10 million job openings on the last business day of November, 334,000 fewer than in October. There are currently 1.7 job openings for every person seeking employment, something that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has stressed needs to come into better balance. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for December. Expectations are for a 48 reading, one point lower than in November. The index fell below 50 in November for the first time since May of 2020, indicating that the U.S. manufacturing sector is contracting. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 1/5 \n</p>\n<p>\n     ADP releases its National Employment Report for December. The economy is expected to add 145,000 private-sector jobs, after a 127,000 gain in November. Job growth has slowed from first-half 2022's rapid pace. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Conagra Brands, Constellation Brands, Lamb Weston Holdings, and Walgreens Boots Alliance report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Costco Wholesale reports December revenue data. On Nov. 30, the discount warehouse retailer reported slower-than-expected same-stores sales growth for the month, leading to a 6.6% decline in the stock on the following day. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 1/6 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for December. The consensus estimate is for an increase of 217,500 nonfarm payrolls, following a gain of 263,000 in November. The unemployment rate is seen remaining unchanged at a historically low 3.7%. Average hourly earnings are expected to increase 5%, year over year, after rising 5.1% in the previous month. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The ISM releases its Services PMI for December. The consensus call is for a 54.5 reading, two points lower than in November. The services sector has held up better than the manufacturing sector, as shown by the respective PMIs, as consumers reverse the pandemic stay-at-home trend of spending more on goods than on services. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  January 02, 2023 21:14 ET (02:14 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>New Year's Market Closing, Jobs Data, Fed Minutes, and More for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNew Year's Market Closing, Jobs Data, Fed Minutes, and More for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-02 08:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\nBy Nicholas Jasinski \n</pre>\n<p>\n     It will be another holiday-shortened trading week, with stock and bond markets closed on Monday in observance of New Year's Day. Once Wall Street returns, there will be a handful of notable earnings releases and December jobs data to look forward to. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Earnings will be clustered on Thursday: Conagra Brands, Constellation Brands, Lamb Weston Holdings, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> all report. Fourth-quarter earnings season kicks off with results from several big banks on Jan. 13. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The economic-data highlight of the week will be jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to report a gain of 217,500 nonfarm payrolls in December, following an increase of 263,000 in November. The unemployment rate is forecast to hold steady at a historically low 3.7%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Economists will also be watching the BLS' Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on Tuesday. The consensus estimate calls for 10 million job openings on the last business day of November, which would be 334,000 fewer than in October. \n</p>\n<p>\n     A looser job market is a key for the Federal Reserve. Economists will look to glean insights from the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's mid-December monetary-policy meeting, which will be released on Tuesday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Also on Tuesday, the Institute for Supply Management will report its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for December, followed by the Services equivalent on Friday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday \n</p>\n<p>\n     Markets around the globe, including in the U.S., Canada, China, Japan, and the United Kingdom, are closed in observance of New Year's Day. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 1/3 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Census Bureau reports construction spending statistics for November. The consensus estimate is for total construction spending to decline 0.4%, month over month, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.79 trillion. Despite the slowdown in the housing market, construction spending remains near its record peak of $1.82 trillion, hit last July. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 1/4 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its mid-December monetary-policy meeting. The FOMC raised the federal funds rates at its last seven meetings in 2022, for a total of 4.25 percentage points, the most since 1980. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10 million job openings on the last business day of November, 334,000 fewer than in October. There are currently 1.7 job openings for every person seeking employment, something that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has stressed needs to come into better balance. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for December. Expectations are for a 48 reading, one point lower than in November. The index fell below 50 in November for the first time since May of 2020, indicating that the U.S. manufacturing sector is contracting. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 1/5 \n</p>\n<p>\n     ADP releases its National Employment Report for December. The economy is expected to add 145,000 private-sector jobs, after a 127,000 gain in November. Job growth has slowed from first-half 2022's rapid pace. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Conagra Brands, Constellation Brands, Lamb Weston Holdings, and Walgreens Boots Alliance report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Costco Wholesale reports December revenue data. On Nov. 30, the discount warehouse retailer reported slower-than-expected same-stores sales growth for the month, leading to a 6.6% decline in the stock on the following day. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 1/6 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for December. The consensus estimate is for an increase of 217,500 nonfarm payrolls, following a gain of 263,000 in November. The unemployment rate is seen remaining unchanged at a historically low 3.7%. Average hourly earnings are expected to increase 5%, year over year, after rising 5.1% in the previous month. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The ISM releases its Services PMI for December. The consensus call is for a 54.5 reading, two points lower than in November. The services sector has held up better than the manufacturing sector, as shown by the respective PMIs, as consumers reverse the pandemic stay-at-home trend of spending more on goods than on services. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  January 02, 2023 21:14 ET (02:14 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4017":"黄金","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","BK4169":"酿酒商与葡萄酒商","LU1506573853.SGD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL EQUITY \"AA\" (SGD) INC","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","LU2360032135.SGD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"A\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","BK4212":"包装食品与肉类","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU2095319765.USD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A USD","LU2125154778.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","SG9999011175.SGD":"Nikko AM Global Dividend Equity Dis SGD-H","LU2210150020.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU2210149790.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A SGD-H","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU2125154935.USD":"ALLSPRING (LUX) WF GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"I\" (USD) INC","BK4075":"烟草","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","LU0661504455.SGD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A5 SGD-H","BK4211":"区域性银行","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","BK4524":"宅经济概念","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0949170772.SGD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 SGD-H","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0738911758.USD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 USD","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","BK4155":"大卖场与超市","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU1878469433.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) - AMERICAN SMALLER COMPANIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1571399168.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"IP\" (USD) ACC","SG9999003800.SGD":"Nikko AM Global Dividend Equity Acc SGD-H"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2300611828","content_text":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n     It will be another holiday-shortened trading week, with stock and bond markets closed on Monday in observance of New Year's Day. Once Wall Street returns, there will be a handful of notable earnings releases and December jobs data to look forward to. \n\n\n     Earnings will be clustered on Thursday: Conagra Brands, Constellation Brands, Lamb Weston Holdings, and Walgreens Boots Alliance all report. Fourth-quarter earnings season kicks off with results from several big banks on Jan. 13. \n\n\n     The economic-data highlight of the week will be jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to report a gain of 217,500 nonfarm payrolls in December, following an increase of 263,000 in November. The unemployment rate is forecast to hold steady at a historically low 3.7%. \n\n\n     Economists will also be watching the BLS' Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on Tuesday. The consensus estimate calls for 10 million job openings on the last business day of November, which would be 334,000 fewer than in October. \n\n\n     A looser job market is a key for the Federal Reserve. Economists will look to glean insights from the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's mid-December monetary-policy meeting, which will be released on Tuesday. \n\n\n     Also on Tuesday, the Institute for Supply Management will report its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for December, followed by the Services equivalent on Friday. \n\n\n     Monday \n\n\n     Markets around the globe, including in the U.S., Canada, China, Japan, and the United Kingdom, are closed in observance of New Year's Day. \n\n\n     Tuesday 1/3 \n\n\n     The Census Bureau reports construction spending statistics for November. The consensus estimate is for total construction spending to decline 0.4%, month over month, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.79 trillion. Despite the slowdown in the housing market, construction spending remains near its record peak of $1.82 trillion, hit last July. \n\n\n     Wednesday 1/4 \n\n\n     The Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its mid-December monetary-policy meeting. The FOMC raised the federal funds rates at its last seven meetings in 2022, for a total of 4.25 percentage points, the most since 1980. \n\n\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10 million job openings on the last business day of November, 334,000 fewer than in October. There are currently 1.7 job openings for every person seeking employment, something that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has stressed needs to come into better balance. \n\n\n     The Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for December. Expectations are for a 48 reading, one point lower than in November. The index fell below 50 in November for the first time since May of 2020, indicating that the U.S. manufacturing sector is contracting. \n\n\n     Thursday 1/5 \n\n\n     ADP releases its National Employment Report for December. The economy is expected to add 145,000 private-sector jobs, after a 127,000 gain in November. Job growth has slowed from first-half 2022's rapid pace. \n\n\n     Conagra Brands, Constellation Brands, Lamb Weston Holdings, and Walgreens Boots Alliance report quarterly results. \n\n\n     Costco Wholesale reports December revenue data. On Nov. 30, the discount warehouse retailer reported slower-than-expected same-stores sales growth for the month, leading to a 6.6% decline in the stock on the following day. \n\n\n     Friday 1/6 \n\n\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for December. The consensus estimate is for an increase of 217,500 nonfarm payrolls, following a gain of 263,000 in November. The unemployment rate is seen remaining unchanged at a historically low 3.7%. Average hourly earnings are expected to increase 5%, year over year, after rising 5.1% in the previous month. \n\n\n     The ISM releases its Services PMI for December. The consensus call is for a 54.5 reading, two points lower than in November. The services sector has held up better than the manufacturing sector, as shown by the respective PMIs, as consumers reverse the pandemic stay-at-home trend of spending more on goods than on services. \n\n\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  January 02, 2023 21:14 ET (02:14 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950335327,"gmtCreate":1672669416970,"gmtModify":1676538717562,"author":{"id":"3575254592044321","authorId":"3575254592044321","name":"LL25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe66c7de94818cb8305680a26c02919c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575254592044321","authorIdStr":"3575254592044321"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950335327","repostId":"1190673382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190673382","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1672624225,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190673382?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-02 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Tesla's Q4 Deliveries Add Strength To Stock's Recent Upward Momentum?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190673382","media":"Benzinga","summary":"ZINGER KEY POINTSTesla's fourth-quarter deliveries outlook is muted given expectations that China de","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2beedcd7e3905b858982dcc20faf9a61\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"519\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h2><h2>ZINGER KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>Tesla&#39;s fourth-quarter deliveries outlook is muted given expectations that China demand remained soft.</li><li>Even if the tempered consensus estimate is met, Tesla will still fall short of hitting the 50% long-term growth target.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/145d69d4793472b48d9809c00aaadb75\" tg-width=\"1850\" tg-height=\"999\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Tesla, Inc.</b> ended 2022 as theworst-performing mega-cap stock,with some of the weakness attributable to worries concerning a slowdown in demand, especially in its key market, China.</p><p>More clarity on the demand front will emerge when the company reports its fourth-quarter deliveries early next week, possibly on Monday.</p><p><b>China A Wild Card:</b> China, considered a vital cog in Tesla’s growth story, has proven to be its sore spot in the year that has just gone by. Production disruption due to a COVID-19 outbreak shuttered the company’s Giga Shanghai plant for about a month, starting in late March. After resuming production, the ramp-up was slow amid the zero-COVID policy in the country.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s Giga Shanghai closed down yet again in July for factory upgrades.</p><p>Even as things were returning to normalcy, the country was hit with a fresh COVID wave in late 2022. Tesla did not disclose any production disruption, but domestic upstarts <b>XPeng, Inc.</b></p><p>XPEV and <b>Nio, Inc.</b> scomplained of production shortfalls due to the COVID-19 situation.</p><p>But the demand side of the equation is apparently impacted, going by a slew of price cuts Tesla announced since late October. COVID-19 along with domestic competition has begun to weigh down on Tesla. Future Fund’s <b>Gary Black</b>, who has delved into Tesla’s woes multiple times recently, has said a lack of lower-priced cars in China is hurting the company.</p><p>Tesla’s China sales came in at 120,576 units in the third quarter, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association, which is about 35% of the company&#39;s total global sales of 343,830 units. Aside from this, about 67,741 made-in-China cars were exported for sale during the quarter.</p><p>XPeng, Nio and <b>Li Auto, Inc.’s</b> December and fourth-quarter numbers released earlier on Sunday showed that thesedomestic electric vehicle startups prevaileddespite the tough COVID-19 restrictions. This gives a reason to hope for a better-than-expected number from China.</p><p>In an internal email sent to employees last week, CEO <b>Elon Musk</b> urged them to go in for a big quarter-end push.</p><p><b>Expectations Temper:</b> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, who is bullish on Tesla, said in a recent note that he expects fourth-quarter deliveries of 399,000 units. Buy-side consensus is between 410,000-425,000 units, the analyst said, citing the firm’s conversations with investors.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s investor relations-compiled consensus estimate for fourth-quarter deliveries is 417,957 units, data shared by Black shows.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cc8d4b07f5402ae8a078172843da579\" tg-width=\"845\" tg-height=\"763\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla forecaster Troy Teslike has modeled deliveries of 423,000 units and production of 430,308 units for the quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/974452eb431944683da90d2c61b6b082\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"1226\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>If Tesla hits the company-compiled consensus of around 418,000, the final annual tally, including the 908,573 units delivered in the first three quarters of the year, would be 1.327 million. This would mark a 41.7% increase from the 936,172 cars delivered in 2021. Tesla has a long-term delivery growth target of 50%. Despite the miss for the year, the fourth quarter number will likely be a new quarterly record.</p><p><b>Where’s The Stock Headed Near Term?</b> Tesla stock is coming off a tough year, having fallen about 65% in 2022. After bottoming at $108.24 (its lowest price since mid-August 2020) on Wednesday, the stock picked up slight upward momentum.</p><p>Better-than-expected fourth-quarter deliveries could add strength to this move. On the contrary, a weak number will likely lead to a reversal. The next catalyst could be the fourth-quarter results due in late January. The string of price cuts, not only in China but also in the U.S. and Europe, do not bode well for margins.</p><p>When the stock opens for trading on Tuesday, Jan. 3, $110 could serve as support on any potential downside. Further down, the stock has support around the $94.5 level. In the eventuality of the recent bullish momentum accelerating, the stock could face resistance around the $129 and $146 levels.</p><p>Tesla closed Friday’s session up 1.12% at $123.28, according to Benzinga Pro data.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Tesla's Q4 Deliveries Add Strength To Stock's Recent Upward Momentum? </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Tesla's Q4 Deliveries Add Strength To Stock's Recent Upward Momentum? \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-02 09:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2beedcd7e3905b858982dcc20faf9a61\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"519\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h2><h2>ZINGER KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>Tesla&#39;s fourth-quarter deliveries outlook is muted given expectations that China demand remained soft.</li><li>Even if the tempered consensus estimate is met, Tesla will still fall short of hitting the 50% long-term growth target.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/145d69d4793472b48d9809c00aaadb75\" tg-width=\"1850\" tg-height=\"999\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Tesla, Inc.</b> ended 2022 as theworst-performing mega-cap stock,with some of the weakness attributable to worries concerning a slowdown in demand, especially in its key market, China.</p><p>More clarity on the demand front will emerge when the company reports its fourth-quarter deliveries early next week, possibly on Monday.</p><p><b>China A Wild Card:</b> China, considered a vital cog in Tesla’s growth story, has proven to be its sore spot in the year that has just gone by. Production disruption due to a COVID-19 outbreak shuttered the company’s Giga Shanghai plant for about a month, starting in late March. After resuming production, the ramp-up was slow amid the zero-COVID policy in the country.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s Giga Shanghai closed down yet again in July for factory upgrades.</p><p>Even as things were returning to normalcy, the country was hit with a fresh COVID wave in late 2022. Tesla did not disclose any production disruption, but domestic upstarts <b>XPeng, Inc.</b></p><p>XPEV and <b>Nio, Inc.</b> scomplained of production shortfalls due to the COVID-19 situation.</p><p>But the demand side of the equation is apparently impacted, going by a slew of price cuts Tesla announced since late October. COVID-19 along with domestic competition has begun to weigh down on Tesla. Future Fund’s <b>Gary Black</b>, who has delved into Tesla’s woes multiple times recently, has said a lack of lower-priced cars in China is hurting the company.</p><p>Tesla’s China sales came in at 120,576 units in the third quarter, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association, which is about 35% of the company&#39;s total global sales of 343,830 units. Aside from this, about 67,741 made-in-China cars were exported for sale during the quarter.</p><p>XPeng, Nio and <b>Li Auto, Inc.’s</b> December and fourth-quarter numbers released earlier on Sunday showed that thesedomestic electric vehicle startups prevaileddespite the tough COVID-19 restrictions. This gives a reason to hope for a better-than-expected number from China.</p><p>In an internal email sent to employees last week, CEO <b>Elon Musk</b> urged them to go in for a big quarter-end push.</p><p><b>Expectations Temper:</b> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, who is bullish on Tesla, said in a recent note that he expects fourth-quarter deliveries of 399,000 units. Buy-side consensus is between 410,000-425,000 units, the analyst said, citing the firm’s conversations with investors.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s investor relations-compiled consensus estimate for fourth-quarter deliveries is 417,957 units, data shared by Black shows.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cc8d4b07f5402ae8a078172843da579\" tg-width=\"845\" tg-height=\"763\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Tesla forecaster Troy Teslike has modeled deliveries of 423,000 units and production of 430,308 units for the quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/974452eb431944683da90d2c61b6b082\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"1226\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>If Tesla hits the company-compiled consensus of around 418,000, the final annual tally, including the 908,573 units delivered in the first three quarters of the year, would be 1.327 million. This would mark a 41.7% increase from the 936,172 cars delivered in 2021. Tesla has a long-term delivery growth target of 50%. Despite the miss for the year, the fourth quarter number will likely be a new quarterly record.</p><p><b>Where’s The Stock Headed Near Term?</b> Tesla stock is coming off a tough year, having fallen about 65% in 2022. After bottoming at $108.24 (its lowest price since mid-August 2020) on Wednesday, the stock picked up slight upward momentum.</p><p>Better-than-expected fourth-quarter deliveries could add strength to this move. On the contrary, a weak number will likely lead to a reversal. The next catalyst could be the fourth-quarter results due in late January. The string of price cuts, not only in China but also in the U.S. and Europe, do not bode well for margins.</p><p>When the stock opens for trading on Tuesday, Jan. 3, $110 could serve as support on any potential downside. Further down, the stock has support around the $94.5 level. In the eventuality of the recent bullish momentum accelerating, the stock could face resistance around the $129 and $146 levels.</p><p>Tesla closed Friday’s session up 1.12% at $123.28, according to Benzinga Pro data.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉","LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190673382","content_text":"ZINGER KEY POINTSTesla's fourth-quarter deliveries outlook is muted given expectations that China demand remained soft.Even if the tempered consensus estimate is met, Tesla will still fall short of hitting the 50% long-term growth target.Tesla, Inc. ended 2022 as theworst-performing mega-cap stock,with some of the weakness attributable to worries concerning a slowdown in demand, especially in its key market, China.More clarity on the demand front will emerge when the company reports its fourth-quarter deliveries early next week, possibly on Monday.China A Wild Card: China, considered a vital cog in Tesla’s growth story, has proven to be its sore spot in the year that has just gone by. Production disruption due to a COVID-19 outbreak shuttered the company’s Giga Shanghai plant for about a month, starting in late March. After resuming production, the ramp-up was slow amid the zero-COVID policy in the country.Tesla's Giga Shanghai closed down yet again in July for factory upgrades.Even as things were returning to normalcy, the country was hit with a fresh COVID wave in late 2022. Tesla did not disclose any production disruption, but domestic upstarts XPeng, Inc.XPEV and Nio, Inc. scomplained of production shortfalls due to the COVID-19 situation.But the demand side of the equation is apparently impacted, going by a slew of price cuts Tesla announced since late October. COVID-19 along with domestic competition has begun to weigh down on Tesla. Future Fund’s Gary Black, who has delved into Tesla’s woes multiple times recently, has said a lack of lower-priced cars in China is hurting the company.Tesla’s China sales came in at 120,576 units in the third quarter, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association, which is about 35% of the company's total global sales of 343,830 units. Aside from this, about 67,741 made-in-China cars were exported for sale during the quarter.XPeng, Nio and Li Auto, Inc.’s December and fourth-quarter numbers released earlier on Sunday showed that thesedomestic electric vehicle startups prevaileddespite the tough COVID-19 restrictions. This gives a reason to hope for a better-than-expected number from China.In an internal email sent to employees last week, CEO Elon Musk urged them to go in for a big quarter-end push.Expectations Temper: Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, who is bullish on Tesla, said in a recent note that he expects fourth-quarter deliveries of 399,000 units. Buy-side consensus is between 410,000-425,000 units, the analyst said, citing the firm’s conversations with investors.Tesla's investor relations-compiled consensus estimate for fourth-quarter deliveries is 417,957 units, data shared by Black shows.Tesla forecaster Troy Teslike has modeled deliveries of 423,000 units and production of 430,308 units for the quarter.If Tesla hits the company-compiled consensus of around 418,000, the final annual tally, including the 908,573 units delivered in the first three quarters of the year, would be 1.327 million. This would mark a 41.7% increase from the 936,172 cars delivered in 2021. Tesla has a long-term delivery growth target of 50%. Despite the miss for the year, the fourth quarter number will likely be a new quarterly record.Where’s The Stock Headed Near Term? Tesla stock is coming off a tough year, having fallen about 65% in 2022. After bottoming at $108.24 (its lowest price since mid-August 2020) on Wednesday, the stock picked up slight upward momentum.Better-than-expected fourth-quarter deliveries could add strength to this move. On the contrary, a weak number will likely lead to a reversal. The next catalyst could be the fourth-quarter results due in late January. The string of price cuts, not only in China but also in the U.S. and Europe, do not bode well for margins.When the stock opens for trading on Tuesday, Jan. 3, $110 could serve as support on any potential downside. Further down, the stock has support around the $94.5 level. In the eventuality of the recent bullish momentum accelerating, the stock could face resistance around the $129 and $146 levels.Tesla closed Friday’s session up 1.12% at $123.28, according to Benzinga Pro data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950332749,"gmtCreate":1672669400781,"gmtModify":1676538717554,"author":{"id":"3575254592044321","authorId":"3575254592044321","name":"LL25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe66c7de94818cb8305680a26c02919c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575254592044321","authorIdStr":"3575254592044321"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950332749","repostId":"2300011828","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2300011828","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1672626319,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2300011828?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-02 10:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Sets Record With 15,815 Delivery in December","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2300011828","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO (NYSE:NIO) announces record monthly delivery of 15,815 vehicles in December 2022, up 50.8% Y/Y.T","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>NIO (NYSE:NIO) announces record monthly delivery of 15,815 vehicles in December 2022, up 50.8% Y/Y.</p><p>The deliveries consisted of 6,842 premium smart electric SUVs including 4,154 ES7s, and 8,973 premium smart electric sedans including 1,379 ET7s and 7,594 ET5s.</p><p>The electric car maker delivered 40,052 vehicles in Q4, up 60.0% Y/Y.</p><p>For the fiscal year 2022, the company delivered 122,486 vehicles in 2022, increasing by   34.0% Y/Y.</p><p>As of December 31, 2022, NIO had deployed 1,315 Power Swap station, 1,228 Power Charger stations with 6,225 chargers and 1,058 destination charging stations with 7,159 chargers worldwide.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Sets Record With 15,815 Delivery in December</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Sets Record With 15,815 Delivery in December\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-02 10:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3921389-nio-sets-record-with-15815-delivery-in-december><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NIO (NYSE:NIO) announces record monthly delivery of 15,815 vehicles in December 2022, up 50.8% Y/Y.The deliveries consisted of 6,842 premium smart electric SUVs including 4,154 ES7s, and 8,973 premium...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3921389-nio-sets-record-with-15815-delivery-in-december\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","BK4509":"腾讯概念","LU0320764599.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton China A Acc SGD","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","LU0708995583.HKD":"TEMPLETON CHINA \"A\" (HKD) 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