AceWong1114 personal page - To The Moon

AceWong1114

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2021-07-31

$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$hold

2021-07-31

$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$hold

2021-07-29

$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$waiting likes

2021-06-03

?omg

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2021-06-02

Same

@sehchong:$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$需要多點耐心?

2021-06-01

Nice

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2021-06-01

Good

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2021-05-31

Good

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2021-05-31

Up

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2021-05-17

$SKLZ 20210521 17.5 PUT(SKLZ)$Up or down

2021-05-01

great

@Jeremy920202:$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$[微笑] [微笑]

2021-04-24

Yes

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$SKLZ 20210521 17.5 PUT(SKLZ)$</a>Up or down","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$SKLZ 20210521 17.5 PUT(SKLZ)$</a>Up or down","text":"$SKLZ 20210521 17.5 PUT(SKLZ)$Up or 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$SKLZ 20210521 17.5 PUT(SKLZ)$</a>Up or down","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$SKLZ 20210521 17.5 PUT(SKLZ)$</a>Up or down","text":"$SKLZ 20210521 17.5 PUT(SKLZ)$Up or 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and comment","text":"Like and comment","html":"Like and comment"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119654688,"gmtCreate":1622544797744,"gmtModify":1704185992951,"author":{"id":"3575704845309016","authorId":"3575704845309016","name":"AceWong1114","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/119654688","repostId":"1149617351","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149617351","pubTimestamp":1622541523,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149617351?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 17:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet Stock: Cloud Business Is Not Priced In","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149617351","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAlphabet Q1 2021 results show that it's back on its front foot.\nAlphabet's Cloud opportunit","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Alphabet Q1 2021 results show that it's back on its front foot.</li>\n <li>Alphabet's Cloud opportunity is compelling and growing substantially faster than investors realize.</li>\n <li>Alphabet is priced at 32x trailing free cash flow, making it one of the cheapest tech stocks around.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/109234720a359e69ad5ff5a3bf82a35e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by 400tmax/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Alphabet's(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)Cloud business is growing faster than investors realize. I argue that Alphabet's Cloud business is compelling while at the same time contending that it's growing faster than many appreciate.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, that Alphabet's stock is probably one of the cheapest investing opportunities in tech right now at just 32x trailing free cash flow. Note: not sales but clean free cash flow.</p>\n<p><b>Digging Into Future Revenue Drivers</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6e955648e7aa69f99752ec4e9b2b869\" tg-width=\"1235\" tg-height=\"559\"><span>Source: author'swork</span></p>\n<p>As we can above, Alphabet's Q1 2021 results were particularly strong. Even if consider that Q1 2020 was delivered lackluster growth as COVID fully disrupted the advertising sector, we can see above that momentum has returned to Alphabet.</p>\n<p>Having said all that, one aspect that I don't believe investors are paying sufficient attention to is Alphabet's Cloud prospects. Google Cloud's business is now roughly 67% the size of Alphabet's YouTube. Moreover, this business is now worth 7% of Alphabet's total business and growing rapidly.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65cb2c889dcde622664e3283d73d1283\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"251\"><span>Source: InvestorPresentation</span></p>\n<p>The point to emphasize is that Alphabet's Cloud prospects are much bigger than investors are pricing in right now. And equally important, there's<i>no evidence</i>that Alphabet's Cloud prospects had a one-off benefit during COVID that brought about a digital acceleration and that its momentum has now tapered off.</p>\n<p>On the contrary, the number of customers that are expanding their footprint with Google Cloud continues to increase as customers require cloud-native, multi-cloud technology.</p>\n<p>And this is a tailwind that isn't going to fizzle out any time soon. In other words, investors are<i>not falling for an unsubstantiated ''story'' stock</i>. There's tangible momentum that is clearly resonating with customers:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0682924e4f901b4ab3c7d9833df80668\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"329\"><span>Source: Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>Furthermore, despite being a fraction of the size of Amazon's AWS (AMZN) Google Cloud clearly delivers a very high return on investment for enterprises.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02f6af749380679b969336a59dc37c9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"143\"><span>Source: Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>Having said all that, investors may be right to question given all the momentum in Google Cloud, why is this segment<i>still incurring heavy losses</i>?</p>\n<p>Alphabet's Q1 2021 results reported approximately $1 billion in losses. On the other hand, let's keep in mind that Amazon's AWS grew approximately 32% y/y during Q1 2021, whereas Alphabet's Cloud segment was up 46% y/y.</p>\n<p>Any time that Alphabet's Cloud can outgrow AWS by 1,400 basis points during a single quarter, it should absolutely do whatever it takes to onboard more customers and gain market share.</p>\n<p>The sole focus of Google Cloud should be to get enterprises to sign up and migrate onto its platform. Firstly, because this customer is going to be incredibly sticky as very few enterprises would churn out from their cloud platform. And secondly, over time, Alphabet can work on selling more products to enterprises and increasing its contract value with customers.</p>\n<p>In essence, the point to impress on readers is that when many investors try to value Alphabet a put lot of energy on Alphabet for its monopoly-like Search business and YouTube, but investors aren't paying sufficient attention to its Cloud business.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation - Still More Upside Potential</b></p>\n<p>Amazon is an amazing company. And many investors agree that a substantial portion of its market cap's value is derived from its cloud business. Hence, keep in mind the following facts. Both of these enterprises are traded at approximately $1.6 trillion.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Amazon's free cash flow margins over its trailing twelve months reached 5% versus Alphabet's free cash flow for the same period reaching 26%.</p>\n<p>What's more, Alphabet's Cloud business is evidently growing faster than Amazon's AWS and taking market share as it embraces this growing total addressable market. Furthermore, despite clocking up several billions of revenues during a single quarter, it's evidently<i>notbenefitting</i>from the law of small numbers.</p>\n<p>If we acknowledge that Alphabet's Cloud business was the slowest off the running block amongst all the tech giants, Alphabet Cloud has still managed to come from behind and show that first player advantage means very little in tech.</p>\n<p>Finally, right now in tech, there aren't too many companies still being valued at 32x trailing free cash flow. There are plenty of unprofitable companies being valued at 32x forward sales, but few as free cash flow generative as Alphabet, still being priced as cheaply as Alphabet, while having several diverse monopoly-like businesses.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>Alphabet continues to steadily climb its revenues and shows no sign of meaningfully slowing down below 20% CAGR any time soon.</p>\n<p>Alphabet is well known for Search and YouTube, however, I make the case that very little weight is afforded towards Alphabet's Cloud business. Accordingly, that's why paying 32x trailing free cash flow this stock is cheaply valued and should be put on anyone's watchlist.</p>\n<p>Readers may question why the author doesn't hold any position here, given his bullish stance. That's because I find better opportunities amidst<i>small-cap stocks.</i></p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet Stock: Cloud Business Is Not Priced In</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet Stock: Cloud Business Is Not Priced In\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-01 17:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432337-alphabet-fast-growing-cloud-business-and-cheap-stock><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAlphabet Q1 2021 results show that it's back on its front foot.\nAlphabet's Cloud opportunity is compelling and growing substantially faster than investors realize.\nAlphabet is priced at 32x ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432337-alphabet-fast-growing-cloud-business-and-cheap-stock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432337-alphabet-fast-growing-cloud-business-and-cheap-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1149617351","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlphabet Q1 2021 results show that it's back on its front foot.\nAlphabet's Cloud opportunity is compelling and growing substantially faster than investors realize.\nAlphabet is priced at 32x trailing free cash flow, making it one of the cheapest tech stocks around.\n\nPhoto by 400tmax/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nAlphabet's(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)Cloud business is growing faster than investors realize. I argue that Alphabet's Cloud business is compelling while at the same time contending that it's growing faster than many appreciate.\nMeanwhile, that Alphabet's stock is probably one of the cheapest investing opportunities in tech right now at just 32x trailing free cash flow. Note: not sales but clean free cash flow.\nDigging Into Future Revenue Drivers\nSource: author'swork\nAs we can above, Alphabet's Q1 2021 results were particularly strong. Even if consider that Q1 2020 was delivered lackluster growth as COVID fully disrupted the advertising sector, we can see above that momentum has returned to Alphabet.\nHaving said all that, one aspect that I don't believe investors are paying sufficient attention to is Alphabet's Cloud prospects. Google Cloud's business is now roughly 67% the size of Alphabet's YouTube. Moreover, this business is now worth 7% of Alphabet's total business and growing rapidly.\nSource: InvestorPresentation\nThe point to emphasize is that Alphabet's Cloud prospects are much bigger than investors are pricing in right now. And equally important, there'sno evidencethat Alphabet's Cloud prospects had a one-off benefit during COVID that brought about a digital acceleration and that its momentum has now tapered off.\nOn the contrary, the number of customers that are expanding their footprint with Google Cloud continues to increase as customers require cloud-native, multi-cloud technology.\nAnd this is a tailwind that isn't going to fizzle out any time soon. In other words, investors arenot falling for an unsubstantiated ''story'' stock. There's tangible momentum that is clearly resonating with customers:\nSource: Investor Presentation\nFurthermore, despite being a fraction of the size of Amazon's AWS (AMZN) Google Cloud clearly delivers a very high return on investment for enterprises.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nHaving said all that, investors may be right to question given all the momentum in Google Cloud, why is this segmentstill incurring heavy losses?\nAlphabet's Q1 2021 results reported approximately $1 billion in losses. On the other hand, let's keep in mind that Amazon's AWS grew approximately 32% y/y during Q1 2021, whereas Alphabet's Cloud segment was up 46% y/y.\nAny time that Alphabet's Cloud can outgrow AWS by 1,400 basis points during a single quarter, it should absolutely do whatever it takes to onboard more customers and gain market share.\nThe sole focus of Google Cloud should be to get enterprises to sign up and migrate onto its platform. Firstly, because this customer is going to be incredibly sticky as very few enterprises would churn out from their cloud platform. And secondly, over time, Alphabet can work on selling more products to enterprises and increasing its contract value with customers.\nIn essence, the point to impress on readers is that when many investors try to value Alphabet a put lot of energy on Alphabet for its monopoly-like Search business and YouTube, but investors aren't paying sufficient attention to its Cloud business.\nValuation - Still More Upside Potential\nAmazon is an amazing company. And many investors agree that a substantial portion of its market cap's value is derived from its cloud business. Hence, keep in mind the following facts. Both of these enterprises are traded at approximately $1.6 trillion.\nMeanwhile, Amazon's free cash flow margins over its trailing twelve months reached 5% versus Alphabet's free cash flow for the same period reaching 26%.\nWhat's more, Alphabet's Cloud business is evidently growing faster than Amazon's AWS and taking market share as it embraces this growing total addressable market. Furthermore, despite clocking up several billions of revenues during a single quarter, it's evidentlynotbenefittingfrom the law of small numbers.\nIf we acknowledge that Alphabet's Cloud business was the slowest off the running block amongst all the tech giants, Alphabet Cloud has still managed to come from behind and show that first player advantage means very little in tech.\nFinally, right now in tech, there aren't too many companies still being valued at 32x trailing free cash flow. There are plenty of unprofitable companies being valued at 32x forward sales, but few as free cash flow generative as Alphabet, still being priced as cheaply as Alphabet, while having several diverse monopoly-like businesses.\nThe Bottom Line\nAlphabet continues to steadily climb its revenues and shows no sign of meaningfully slowing down below 20% CAGR any time soon.\nAlphabet is well known for Search and YouTube, however, I make the case that very little weight is afforded towards Alphabet's Cloud business. Accordingly, that's why paying 32x trailing free cash flow this stock is cheaply valued and should be put on anyone's watchlist.\nReaders may question why the author doesn't hold any position here, given his bullish stance. That's because I find better opportunities amidstsmall-cap stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806404606,"gmtCreate":1627686898505,"gmtModify":1703494568114,"author":{"id":"3575704845309016","authorId":"3575704845309016","name":"AceWong1114","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JMIA\">$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$</a>hold","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JMIA\">$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$</a>hold","text":"$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$hold","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9037ac72de54d75a42f3d0a255c804","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806404606","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801694207,"gmtCreate":1627513954309,"gmtModify":1703491282942,"author":{"id":"3575704845309016","authorId":"3575704845309016","name":"AceWong1114","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>waiting likes","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>waiting likes","text":"$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$waiting likes","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c87e5c8cc75fc2e7bb5c0fbabaa413df","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/801694207","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110290901,"gmtCreate":1622455479303,"gmtModify":1704184663748,"author":{"id":"3575704845309016","authorId":"3575704845309016","name":"AceWong1114","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110290901","repostId":"2139480149","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806404539,"gmtCreate":1627686916621,"gmtModify":1703494567781,"author":{"id":"3575704845309016","authorId":"3575704845309016","name":"AceWong1114","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>hold","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>hold","text":"$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$hold","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25b8ce880407e2781c151c51e698cb72","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806404539","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113072093,"gmtCreate":1622589016012,"gmtModify":1704186700108,"author":{"id":"3575704845309016","authorId":"3575704845309016","name":"AceWong1114","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Same","listText":"Same","text":"Same","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113072093","repostId":"113029776","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":113029776,"gmtCreate":1622587350295,"gmtModify":1704186652826,"author":{"id":"3567674467070106","authorId":"3567674467070106","name":"sehchong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/690f1cb829a1d7c63dd0a0ac190b0f8b","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OPEN\">$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$</a>需要多點耐心?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OPEN\">$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$</a>需要多點耐心?","text":"$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$需要多點耐心?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0162e790493688f12c5340766979dff5","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113029776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111872659,"gmtCreate":1622677200071,"gmtModify":1704188592626,"author":{"id":"3575704845309016","authorId":"3575704845309016","name":"AceWong1114","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?omg","listText":"?omg","text":"?omg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/111872659","repostId":"2140749092","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2140749092","pubTimestamp":1622612705,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2140749092?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 13:45","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"未来六个月美股将面临“痛苦”！大摩为何如此断言？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2140749092","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"一周之前，摩根大通刚刚警告称，全球股指可能会在夏季出现10%的回调，并且预计今年下半年美股的投资回报率将低于均值。\n如今，摩根士丹利也加入了警告大军，认为美股未来半年的回调幅度将达到10%或15%左右","content":"<p>一周之前，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>刚刚警告称，全球股指可能会在夏季出现10%的回调，并且预计今年下半年美股的投资回报率将低于均值。</p>\n<p>如今，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>也加入了警告大军，认为美股未来半年的回调幅度将达到10%或15%左右，对于做多大宗商品、做空美元等非常拥挤的交易而言，若美国通胀等经济数据有了任何令人失望的风吹草动，就将为投资者们带来痛苦。</p>\n<p>在周一的研报中，摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson指出，去年美股受疫情基本面因素扰动经历了异常的波动，到了今年，企业盈利增速惊人，企业对于年度预估的修正也很夸张。</p>\n<p>现在看来，针对美股市场，顺着上述表现所得出的结论，或许已是过于乐观。</p>\n<p>该行首先看到，<b>在过去的四个季度里，企业盈利超出预期的幅度高达20%，创下一个前所未有的新纪录；企业盈利修正幅度也接近35%，同样是一个非常高的数字，未来的下滑不可避免，且它很容易受到影响。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4d059695f172aa3dcbbca7f331ff921\" tg-width=\"859\" tg-height=\"442\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94c3029088da6c84f2cc1ee2ede50c6f\" tg-width=\"632\" tg-height=\"377\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Wilson表示，目前的问题在于，当这两个数字开始出现下滑，其严重程度是否会到让市场关注的地步。</p>\n<p>他进一步认为，考虑到现在对未来十二个月（NTM）市盈率的预估也已经过高，上述情况确实有可能会发生。</p>\n<p>与此同时，企业净利率正处于历史高位，而不断飙升的生产者投入价格正在打击企业利润。摩根士丹利称，增量营业利润率现在已经超越了极限，很可能在未来十二个月内令市场更为失望。</p>\n<p>为何如此？其原因在于，供应受限和更高的投入成本为利润带来了一定压力，且明年拜登政府可能上调企业税，将对此造成进一步的影响。</p>\n<p>总结来看，<b>受益于全球数万亿美元的财政刺激，企业盈利在过去几个季度当中表现出色，甚至超过了摩根士丹利此前的乐观预期。但由于成本压力上升、企业税上调阴云徘徊，目前的预测似乎都开始不切实际了起来。</b></p>\n<p>但值得注意的是，在一季度企业盈利创纪录过后，美股市场几乎没有什么太大波动，科技龙头FAAMG当中的几只，股价甚至比4月初还低。</p>\n<p>考虑到财报季过后企业盈利的大幅修正，整体市场价格仍旧持平。换句话说，<b>不断下滑的市盈率在很大程度上已经被不断上升的盈利预期给抵消了。</b></p>\n<p>Wilson警告称，到了这个时候，投资者必须扪心自问，是否认为估值会继续走低，以及未来的盈利修正能否抵消这一影响。</p>\n<p>他还提到，尽管与他有过交流的大部分客户均认为美股目前的估值水平较为合理，但他仍旧相信，<b>下调评级的过程尚未结束，盈利修正也无法抵消其影响，美股市场未来6个月可能会出现10-15%的调整。</b></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>未来六个月美股将面临“痛苦”！大摩为何如此断言？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n未来六个月美股将面临“痛苦”！大摩为何如此断言？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-02 13:45 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3631926><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>一周之前，摩根大通刚刚警告称，全球股指可能会在夏季出现10%的回调，并且预计今年下半年美股的投资回报率将低于均值。\n如今，摩根士丹利也加入了警告大军，认为美股未来半年的回调幅度将达到10%或15%左右，对于做多大宗商品、做空美元等非常拥挤的交易而言，若美国通胀等经济数据有了任何令人失望的风吹草动，就将为投资者们带来痛苦。\n在周一的研报中，摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson指出，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3631926\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2488184ce4815610e2426c10250da75","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3631926","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2140749092","content_text":"一周之前，摩根大通刚刚警告称，全球股指可能会在夏季出现10%的回调，并且预计今年下半年美股的投资回报率将低于均值。\n如今，摩根士丹利也加入了警告大军，认为美股未来半年的回调幅度将达到10%或15%左右，对于做多大宗商品、做空美元等非常拥挤的交易而言，若美国通胀等经济数据有了任何令人失望的风吹草动，就将为投资者们带来痛苦。\n在周一的研报中，摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson指出，去年美股受疫情基本面因素扰动经历了异常的波动，到了今年，企业盈利增速惊人，企业对于年度预估的修正也很夸张。\n现在看来，针对美股市场，顺着上述表现所得出的结论，或许已是过于乐观。\n该行首先看到，在过去的四个季度里，企业盈利超出预期的幅度高达20%，创下一个前所未有的新纪录；企业盈利修正幅度也接近35%，同样是一个非常高的数字，未来的下滑不可避免，且它很容易受到影响。\n\n\nWilson表示，目前的问题在于，当这两个数字开始出现下滑，其严重程度是否会到让市场关注的地步。\n他进一步认为，考虑到现在对未来十二个月（NTM）市盈率的预估也已经过高，上述情况确实有可能会发生。\n与此同时，企业净利率正处于历史高位，而不断飙升的生产者投入价格正在打击企业利润。摩根士丹利称，增量营业利润率现在已经超越了极限，很可能在未来十二个月内令市场更为失望。\n为何如此？其原因在于，供应受限和更高的投入成本为利润带来了一定压力，且明年拜登政府可能上调企业税，将对此造成进一步的影响。\n总结来看，受益于全球数万亿美元的财政刺激，企业盈利在过去几个季度当中表现出色，甚至超过了摩根士丹利此前的乐观预期。但由于成本压力上升、企业税上调阴云徘徊，目前的预测似乎都开始不切实际了起来。\n但值得注意的是，在一季度企业盈利创纪录过后，美股市场几乎没有什么太大波动，科技龙头FAAMG当中的几只，股价甚至比4月初还低。\n考虑到财报季过后企业盈利的大幅修正，整体市场价格仍旧持平。换句话说，不断下滑的市盈率在很大程度上已经被不断上升的盈利预期给抵消了。\nWilson警告称，到了这个时候，投资者必须扪心自问，是否认为估值会继续走低，以及未来的盈利修正能否抵消这一影响。\n他还提到，尽管与他有过交流的大部分客户均认为美股目前的估值水平较为合理，但他仍旧相信，下调评级的过程尚未结束，盈利修正也无法抵消其影响，美股市场未来6个月可能会出现10-15%的调整。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119654040,"gmtCreate":1622544780180,"gmtModify":1704185992136,"author":{"id":"3575704845309016","authorId":"3575704845309016","name":"AceWong1114","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/119654040","repostId":"1143634909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101093877,"gmtCreate":1619828869299,"gmtModify":1704335389649,"author":{"id":"3575704845309016","authorId":"3575704845309016","name":"AceWong1114","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great","listText":"great","text":"great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/101093877","repostId":"103537484","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":103537484,"gmtCreate":1619792805648,"gmtModify":1704272475290,"author":{"id":"3572914316774547","authorId":"3572914316774547","name":"Jeremy920202","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d848b1ed95dc01a84b47c014e51fb56d","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$[微笑] [微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/103537484","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}