迷恋者 personal page - To The Moon

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2021-09-18

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2021-09-08

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Multiple Indicators in the United States Alarm!

2021-09-03

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Money Market Great Change: There Are Too Many Dollars That Markets Don't Want

2021-08-16

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2021-07-15

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2021-07-12

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2022-12-23

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2022-03-09

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2022-01-30

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U.S. stocks plummeted at the beginning of the year. Do you want to pick up a flying knife? Wall Street's bigwigs are divided

2021-09-19

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15:10","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Multiple Indicators in the United States Alarm!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2165994363","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美国人曾憧憬，这个夏天经济能回归常态，上班族回到办公室，孩子们重返校园，街角的咖啡店再次开业。但一切事与愿违，随着疫情复燃，复苏在8月踩下了急刹车。\n上周五，让人大跌眼镜的非农就业数据带来了最直接的报","content":"<p>Americans had envisioned a summer when the economy would return to normal, with office workers returning to the office, kids returning to school and corner coffee shops opening again. But everything backfired, and with the resurgence of the pandemic, the recovery stepped on the brakes in August.</p><p><b>Last Friday, the shocking data on non-farm payrolls brought the most direct alarm signal.</b>U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by just 235,000 in August, a significant miss the market expectation of 733,000, down from about 1 million in June and July, the smallest increase since January 2021.</p><p>The University of Michigan's consumer confidence index also fell to its lowest level in 10 years in August, with Americans worried by the spreading Delta variant and rising inflation.</p><p>According to data released by Johns Hopkins University in the United States, as of 6 p.m. ET on September 7, 2021, a total of 40,238,083 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 650,345 deaths were reported across the United States.</p><p><b>Over the past week, the U.S. has averaged more than 161,000 new cases a day, a whopping 1,560 new deaths and an average of more than 102,000 daily hospitalizations, only slightly below last winter's peak.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c5b880f937edae73659acd8fa2e181\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>(Image credit: Worldometers)</p><p><h2>'Feelings of uncertainty and anxiety are back'</h2>Amid the resurgence of the pandemic, U.S. offices and schools have been delayed, and travel and performance plans have been canceled.</p><p><b>Beginning in August, including<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Companies, large and small, have abandoned plans to reopen offices, and some have even pushed back their return dates to 2022.</b></p><p>Visitor arrivals to Hawaii have recovered to near pre-pandemic levels in mid-July, down only about 10% from the same time in 2019, official figures show. But starting in August, the pace has slowed somewhat, and in the last seven days of August, average daily visitor arrivals were down 34% from 2019.</p><p>Theater footfall at the end of August more than halved compared to the pandemic peak in mid-July, according to market research firm TOP. Paramount Pictures has delayed the release of Top Gun: Maverick and Mission: Impossible 7.</p><p>Meanwhile, many schools in the United States have closed or resumed online instruction.</p><p>The Wall Street Journal quoted Columbia Business School economist Stephan Meier as saying the reopening of schools was supposed to be a big moment for the economy. About a quarter of families have school-aged children, and reliable child care can get many Americans, especially women, back to work. But for now, the Delta variant and the lack of a vaccine for children under the age of 12 may keep some parents from working away from home.</p><p><b>\"Our sense of uncertainty and anxiety from last year is back, and that uncertainty is enough to dampen labor supply,\" Meier said.</b></p><p><h2>Institutions are cutting U.S. growth forecasts</h2>Economists believe the Delta variant virus won't push the U.S. back into recession, but losing growth momentum could prolong the recovery of millions of jobs lost during the pandemic, leaving many job markets on the sidelines and discouraging companies from investing amid new uncertainty.</p><p>In the report released on Monday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>This is the third time in less than three months that Goldman Sachs has lowered its U.S. GDP forecast this year to 5.7%, and the unemployment rate this year is expected to rise from 4.1% to 4.2%.</p><p>In explaining why they cut their forecasts this week, Goldman Sachs economists cited several major factors,<b>It is expected that due to the raging virus variant Delta, weakening government financial support, and the shift in demand from goods to services, American consumers may reduce spending, and the consumption situation is more severe than previously expected:</b></p><p>\"The obstacles to strong consumption growth in the future seem to be much more: the Delta variant virus is already pressuring growth in the third quarter, fiscal stimulus is decreasing, and the recovery of the service industry is slowing down, which will all be negative factors in the medium term.\" Earlier this month,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>It also sharply lowered the U.S. GDP forecast in the third quarter, from 6.5% to only 2.9%, and the GDP forecast in the fourth quarter remained at 6.7%. After revising the GDP forecast for the third quarter, Morgan Stanley's GDP growth rate for the United States this year is expected to be 5.6%, which is lower than the expected growth rate for the whole year after Goldman Sachs lowered this week.</p><p>Morgan Stanley said at the time,<b>The reduction is mainly due to the fact that the driving force of economic growth has been released ahead of schedule, the stimulus expenditure of government has decreased to the economy, and the bottleneck of supply chain continues to drag down the economy, resulting in a decrease in consumer expenditure on large-scale durable goods such as automobiles.</b></p><p><h2>Two consecutive losses in U.S. stocks, a bigger test is behind</h2>On Tuesday, the Dow dropped more than 200 points, hitting a new closing low since Aug. 19 and its biggest closing drop since Aug. 18. The S&P closed down 0.34% at 4520.03 points, a new low since Aug. 27.</p><p>This is the second consecutive day that the Dow and S&P closed lower after the non-farm payrolls report, which was far worse than expected, was released last Friday. Even the three-day long weekend, including Monday, failed to ease the decline of most sectors of U.S. stocks. The prices of U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds both fell during the session, the yield of Treasury Bond rose, and the benchmark 10-year U.S. bond yield reached a new high since mid-July.</p><p>The analysis pointed out that under the raging Delta variant virus, the market is reevaluating the economic growth prospects of the United States and its impact on corporate earnings.</p><p><b>With the gradual withdrawal of fiscal stimulus measures in the United States, the economic recovery in the United States will face further tests.</b></p><p>More than 7.5 million Americans will lose $300 a week in additional unemployment benefits during the pandemic this week.<b>In addition to halting pandemic subsidies, risk factors such as tax increases and debt hikes have created additional tests for the U.S. economy.</b></p><p>Wall Street News mentioned earlier that although it seems likely that the US Congress will pass an infrastructure bill this autumn, compared with the multiple rounds of stimulus plans launched since March 2020, the economic impact of the recent stimulus plan is relatively limited.</p><p>The U.S. Congress could vote to raise taxes on businesses and high-income individuals, which would offset the boost from spending — another short-term risk to markets.</p><p>At the same time, U.S. stocks may also be affected by the increase in the debt ceiling this autumn. The U.S. Congress needs to pass a debt ceiling increase later this month to raise government funds, as well as a temporary spending bill to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Multiple Indicators in the United States Alarm!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMultiple Indicators in the United States Alarm!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-08 15:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Americans had envisioned a summer when the economy would return to normal, with office workers returning to the office, kids returning to school and corner coffee shops opening again. But everything backfired, and with the resurgence of the pandemic, the recovery stepped on the brakes in August.</p><p><b>Last Friday, the shocking data on non-farm payrolls brought the most direct alarm signal.</b>U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by just 235,000 in August, a significant miss the market expectation of 733,000, down from about 1 million in June and July, the smallest increase since January 2021.</p><p>The University of Michigan's consumer confidence index also fell to its lowest level in 10 years in August, with Americans worried by the spreading Delta variant and rising inflation.</p><p>According to data released by Johns Hopkins University in the United States, as of 6 p.m. ET on September 7, 2021, a total of 40,238,083 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 650,345 deaths were reported across the United States.</p><p><b>Over the past week, the U.S. has averaged more than 161,000 new cases a day, a whopping 1,560 new deaths and an average of more than 102,000 daily hospitalizations, only slightly below last winter's peak.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c5b880f937edae73659acd8fa2e181\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>(Image credit: Worldometers)</p><p><h2>'Feelings of uncertainty and anxiety are back'</h2>Amid the resurgence of the pandemic, U.S. offices and schools have been delayed, and travel and performance plans have been canceled.</p><p><b>Beginning in August, including<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Companies, large and small, have abandoned plans to reopen offices, and some have even pushed back their return dates to 2022.</b></p><p>Visitor arrivals to Hawaii have recovered to near pre-pandemic levels in mid-July, down only about 10% from the same time in 2019, official figures show. But starting in August, the pace has slowed somewhat, and in the last seven days of August, average daily visitor arrivals were down 34% from 2019.</p><p>Theater footfall at the end of August more than halved compared to the pandemic peak in mid-July, according to market research firm TOP. Paramount Pictures has delayed the release of Top Gun: Maverick and Mission: Impossible 7.</p><p>Meanwhile, many schools in the United States have closed or resumed online instruction.</p><p>The Wall Street Journal quoted Columbia Business School economist Stephan Meier as saying the reopening of schools was supposed to be a big moment for the economy. About a quarter of families have school-aged children, and reliable child care can get many Americans, especially women, back to work. But for now, the Delta variant and the lack of a vaccine for children under the age of 12 may keep some parents from working away from home.</p><p><b>\"Our sense of uncertainty and anxiety from last year is back, and that uncertainty is enough to dampen labor supply,\" Meier said.</b></p><p><h2>Institutions are cutting U.S. growth forecasts</h2>Economists believe the Delta variant virus won't push the U.S. back into recession, but losing growth momentum could prolong the recovery of millions of jobs lost during the pandemic, leaving many job markets on the sidelines and discouraging companies from investing amid new uncertainty.</p><p>In the report released on Monday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>This is the third time in less than three months that Goldman Sachs has lowered its U.S. GDP forecast this year to 5.7%, and the unemployment rate this year is expected to rise from 4.1% to 4.2%.</p><p>In explaining why they cut their forecasts this week, Goldman Sachs economists cited several major factors,<b>It is expected that due to the raging virus variant Delta, weakening government financial support, and the shift in demand from goods to services, American consumers may reduce spending, and the consumption situation is more severe than previously expected:</b></p><p>\"The obstacles to strong consumption growth in the future seem to be much more: the Delta variant virus is already pressuring growth in the third quarter, fiscal stimulus is decreasing, and the recovery of the service industry is slowing down, which will all be negative factors in the medium term.\" Earlier this month,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>It also sharply lowered the U.S. GDP forecast in the third quarter, from 6.5% to only 2.9%, and the GDP forecast in the fourth quarter remained at 6.7%. After revising the GDP forecast for the third quarter, Morgan Stanley's GDP growth rate for the United States this year is expected to be 5.6%, which is lower than the expected growth rate for the whole year after Goldman Sachs lowered this week.</p><p>Morgan Stanley said at the time,<b>The reduction is mainly due to the fact that the driving force of economic growth has been released ahead of schedule, the stimulus expenditure of government has decreased to the economy, and the bottleneck of supply chain continues to drag down the economy, resulting in a decrease in consumer expenditure on large-scale durable goods such as automobiles.</b></p><p><h2>Two consecutive losses in U.S. stocks, a bigger test is behind</h2>On Tuesday, the Dow dropped more than 200 points, hitting a new closing low since Aug. 19 and its biggest closing drop since Aug. 18. The S&P closed down 0.34% at 4520.03 points, a new low since Aug. 27.</p><p>This is the second consecutive day that the Dow and S&P closed lower after the non-farm payrolls report, which was far worse than expected, was released last Friday. Even the three-day long weekend, including Monday, failed to ease the decline of most sectors of U.S. stocks. The prices of U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds both fell during the session, the yield of Treasury Bond rose, and the benchmark 10-year U.S. bond yield reached a new high since mid-July.</p><p>The analysis pointed out that under the raging Delta variant virus, the market is reevaluating the economic growth prospects of the United States and its impact on corporate earnings.</p><p><b>With the gradual withdrawal of fiscal stimulus measures in the United States, the economic recovery in the United States will face further tests.</b></p><p>More than 7.5 million Americans will lose $300 a week in additional unemployment benefits during the pandemic this week.<b>In addition to halting pandemic subsidies, risk factors such as tax increases and debt hikes have created additional tests for the U.S. economy.</b></p><p>Wall Street News mentioned earlier that although it seems likely that the US Congress will pass an infrastructure bill this autumn, compared with the multiple rounds of stimulus plans launched since March 2020, the economic impact of the recent stimulus plan is relatively limited.</p><p>The U.S. Congress could vote to raise taxes on businesses and high-income individuals, which would offset the boost from spending — another short-term risk to markets.</p><p>At the same time, U.S. stocks may also be affected by the increase in the debt ceiling this autumn. The U.S. Congress needs to pass a debt ceiling increase later this month to raise government funds, as well as a temporary spending bill to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3639891\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{"159934":"黄金ETF","518880":"黄金ETF华安","GLD":"黄金ETF-SPDR","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","IAU":"黄金信托ETF-iShares","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3639891","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2165994363","content_text":"美国人曾憧憬，这个夏天经济能回归常态，上班族回到办公室，孩子们重返校园，街角的咖啡店再次开业。但一切事与愿违，随着疫情复燃，复苏在8月踩下了急刹车。\n上周五，让人大跌眼镜的非农就业数据带来了最直接的报警信号。美国8月非农就业人口仅增加23.5万人，大幅不及市场预期的73.3万人，低于6月和7月的约100万个，创2021年1月以来最小增幅。\n8月，密歇根大学消费者信心指数也跌至10年来的最低水平，不断蔓延的Delta变种病毒和持续上升的通胀令美国人感到担忧。\n据美国约翰斯·霍普金斯大学发布的数据，截至美国东部时间2021年9月7日下午6点，全美共报告新冠肺炎确诊40238083例，死亡650345例。\n过去一周，美国平均每天新增病例超过 161000 例，新增死亡病例高达 1560 例，平均每天住院人数超过 102000 人，仅比去年冬天的峰值略低。\n\n(图片来源：Worldometers)\n“不确定性和焦虑感又回来了”\n疫情复燃之下，美国办公室和学校推迟开放，旅行和演出计划纷纷取消。\n从8月份开始，包括苹果、亚马逊在内的大小的公司都放弃了重新开放办公室的计划，一些公司甚至将返回日期推迟到2022年。\n官方数据显示，7月中旬，前往夏威夷的游客人数已经恢复至接近疫情前的水平，仅比2019年同期下降了约10%。但从8月开始，速度有所放缓，在8月的最后7天，日均游客抵达数量比2019年下降了34%。\n市场研究公司TOP的数据显示，与7月中旬的疫情高峰相比，8月底的影院客流量下降了一半以上。派拉蒙影业公司推迟了《壮志凌云:特立独行》和《碟中谍7》的上映。\n与此同时，美国许多学校已经关闭或恢复线上授课。\n华尔街日报援引哥伦比亚商学院经济学家Stephan Meier表示，学校重新开学本应是经济的一个重要时刻。大约四分之一的家庭有学龄儿童，可靠的儿童看护可以让许多美国人，尤其是女性重返工作岗位。但目前，Delta变种和缺乏针对12岁以下儿童的疫苗可能会让一些父母不愿离家工作。\nMeier称：“我们去年的不确定性和焦虑感又回来了，这种不确定性足以抑制劳动力供应。”\n机构纷纷下调美国经济增长预期\n经济学家认为，Delta变种病毒不会将美国推回衰退，但失去增长动力可能延长疫情期间失去的数百万就业岗位的复苏，令许多就业市场处于观望状态，并阻碍企业在新的不确定性下投资。\n本周一发布的报告中，高盛将今年的美国GDP预期增速降至5.7%，今年失业率预期从4.1%升至4.2%，这是不到三个月里，高盛第三次下调今年美国GDP预期。\n在本周解释为何下调预期时，高盛经济学家提到几大影响因素，预计由于变种病毒Delta肆虐、政府的财政支持在减弱，加之需求从商品转换到服务，美国消费者可能减少支出，消费形势比之前预期的更严峻：\n\n “未来消费强劲增长的阻碍看来多得多：Delta变异病毒已经在施压三季度增长，财政刺激在减少，服务业复苏放缓，这些都将是中期内的负面因素。”\n\n本月初，摩根士丹利也大幅下调了三季度美国GDP预期，从6.5%猛砍至仅2.9%，四季度GDP预期维持在6.7%。下修三季度GDP预期后，摩根士丹利的美国今年全年GDP增速预期为5.6%，比高盛本周调降后的全年预期增速还低。\n摩根士丹利当时称，调降预期主要由于经济增长的动力已提前释放，政府刺激性支出对经济的推动减少，加之供应链瓶颈持续拖累经济，汽车等大件耐用品的消费者支出由此减少。\n美股两连跌，更大的考验在后面\n周二，道指跌超200点，创8月19日以来收盘新低以及8月18日以来最大收盘跌幅。标普收跌0.34%，报4520.03点，创8月27日以来新低。\n这是上周五远逊预期的非农就业报告公布后，道指、标普连续两日收跌。即使是包括周一在内的三日长周末也没能缓和美股多数板块的跌势，美股和美债价格盘中齐跌，国债收益率上行，基准10年期美债收益率刷新7月中旬以来高位。\n分析指出，Delta变种病毒肆虐之下，市场正在重新评估美国经济增长前景，以及其对企业盈利的影响。\n随着美国财政刺激措施逐渐退场，美国经济复苏将面临进一步的考验。\n本周，超过750万的美国人将失去疫情时期每周300美元的额外失业救济。除了停止疫情补贴外，增税、债务上调等风险因素也给美国经济带来了额外的考验。\n华尔街见闻此前提及，尽管美国国会似乎有可能在今年秋季通过一项基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激计划相比，近期的刺激计划经济影响相对有限。\n美国国会可能会投票决定提高对企业和高收入个人的税收，这将抵消支出带来的提振——这是市场面临的另一个短期风险。\n与此同时，美股今秋还可能受到债务上限上调的影响。美国国会需要在本月晚些时候通过提高债务上限以筹集政府资金，以及一项临时开支法案，以避免华盛顿在10月份关闭。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.9,"518880":0.9,"DUST":0.9,"SGUmain":0.9,"MGCmain":0.9,"SGCmain":0.9,"GLD":0.9,"IAU":0.9,"NUGT":0.9,"GDX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812499360,"gmtCreate":1630599006150,"gmtModify":1676530353970,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575846264530485","idStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/812499360","repostId":"2164546845","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2164546845","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630569124,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2164546845?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-02 15:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Money Market Great Change: There Are Too Many Dollars That Markets Don't Want","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2164546845","media":"智通财经","summary":"货币市场正在发生翻天覆地的变化。","content":"<p>The currency market is changing dramatically.</p><p>For years, the premium of the US dollar to currencies such as the euro and yen has been negative in cross-currency markets, indicating that the demand for the US dollar is very strong. Now, these so-called cross-currency basis swaps</p><p>basis swap) is about to turn positive.</p><p>\"Something that never happened before is happening now,\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>strategist Zoltan Pozsar said. He noted that people have become accustomed to thinking that cross-currency basis swaps are negative.</p><p>\"There was always excessive demand for the dollar, and that excessive demand has disappeared.\"</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>The unconventional measures taken, including the Fed's provision of substantial liquidity in the form of dollar swap lines and new repo agreement instruments, mean the financial system has been essentially flooded with cash.</p><p>In 2015, the Federal Reserve withdrew dollar liquidity from the market at a time when the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank were ramping up their quantitative easing program.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c51bd3b468c4ca66d6b3f834bb6ad88\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>\"Some of the most experienced short-term rate traders will tell you that trading volumes between 2015 and 2019 were unprecedented,\" Pozsar said.</p><p>\"So fast forward to today, we have so much liquidity now, particularly in the dollar, the Fed quantitative easing is faster than either the Bank of Japan or the European Central Bank. So the dollar is in plenty of supply. Regulation hasn't gotten much stricter.</p><p>If anything, they're getting looser. The Fed has become the dealer of last resort. \"</p><p>Even longer-term cross-currency basis swaps, such as the 10-year swap between the Japanese yen and the US dollar, are about to turn positive. This premium is currently-34 basis points, the smallest margin in more than 10 years.</p><p>This swap indicator is a way to measure the difference in the cost of borrowing dollars in Japan versus borrowing dollars in the United States, and if the indicator is negative, it indicates that borrowing dollars in Japanese yen is more expensive.</p><p>In theory, the difference shouldn't exist because participants arbitrage to eliminate the difference, but regulations introduced after the financial crisis may have limited their ability to do so.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d705e196ca793c3ad2f3e4e987cbf869\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Much of the world's excess dollar is now housed in the Federal Reserve's reverse repo facility, which this week sucked a record $1.19 trillion from banks, money market funds and other financial rivals.</p><p>Meanwhile, the launch of a new repo agreement vehicle at the end of July should provide the Fed with another way to absorb excess liquidity from the financial system.</p><p>The Federal Reserve's liquidity measures have driven short-term interest rates down in several countries.</p><p>In particular, the spread between the London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor) and overnight index swaps (OIS), a measure of a bank's dollar funding costs, is near negative.</p><p>That's not the case in 2008, when turmoil in the repo market and concerns about counterparties pushed the indicator to record highs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8441795a323461ec45740acebe20200a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>\"This reflects that there's too much cash in the system relative to demand,\" Pozsar said. \"For quite some time, things will be very different from the last 5 years.</p><p>I think there has been a golden age for short-term interest rate traders over the last 5 years because we have had so much, too much spread movement in the money market. \"</p>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Money Market Great Change: There Are Too Many Dollars That Markets Don't Want</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMoney Market Great Change: There Are Too Many Dollars That Markets Don't Want\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">智通财经</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-02 15:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The currency market is changing dramatically.</p><p>For years, the premium of the US dollar to currencies such as the euro and yen has been negative in cross-currency markets, indicating that the demand for the US dollar is very strong. Now, these so-called cross-currency basis swaps</p><p>basis swap) is about to turn positive.</p><p>\"Something that never happened before is happening now,\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>strategist Zoltan Pozsar said. He noted that people have become accustomed to thinking that cross-currency basis swaps are negative.</p><p>\"There was always excessive demand for the dollar, and that excessive demand has disappeared.\"</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>The unconventional measures taken, including the Fed's provision of substantial liquidity in the form of dollar swap lines and new repo agreement instruments, mean the financial system has been essentially flooded with cash.</p><p>In 2015, the Federal Reserve withdrew dollar liquidity from the market at a time when the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank were ramping up their quantitative easing program.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c51bd3b468c4ca66d6b3f834bb6ad88\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>\"Some of the most experienced short-term rate traders will tell you that trading volumes between 2015 and 2019 were unprecedented,\" Pozsar said.</p><p>\"So fast forward to today, we have so much liquidity now, particularly in the dollar, the Fed quantitative easing is faster than either the Bank of Japan or the European Central Bank. So the dollar is in plenty of supply. Regulation hasn't gotten much stricter.</p><p>If anything, they're getting looser. The Fed has become the dealer of last resort. \"</p><p>Even longer-term cross-currency basis swaps, such as the 10-year swap between the Japanese yen and the US dollar, are about to turn positive. This premium is currently-34 basis points, the smallest margin in more than 10 years.</p><p>This swap indicator is a way to measure the difference in the cost of borrowing dollars in Japan versus borrowing dollars in the United States, and if the indicator is negative, it indicates that borrowing dollars in Japanese yen is more expensive.</p><p>In theory, the difference shouldn't exist because participants arbitrage to eliminate the difference, but regulations introduced after the financial crisis may have limited their ability to do so.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d705e196ca793c3ad2f3e4e987cbf869\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Much of the world's excess dollar is now housed in the Federal Reserve's reverse repo facility, which this week sucked a record $1.19 trillion from banks, money market funds and other financial rivals.</p><p>Meanwhile, the launch of a new repo agreement vehicle at the end of July should provide the Fed with another way to absorb excess liquidity from the financial system.</p><p>The Federal Reserve's liquidity measures have driven short-term interest rates down in several countries.</p><p>In particular, the spread between the London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor) and overnight index swaps (OIS), a measure of a bank's dollar funding costs, is near negative.</p><p>That's not the case in 2008, when turmoil in the repo market and concerns about counterparties pushed the indicator to record highs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8441795a323461ec45740acebe20200a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>\"This reflects that there's too much cash in the system relative to demand,\" Pozsar said. \"For quite some time, things will be very different from the last 5 years.</p><p>I think there has been a golden age for short-term interest rate traders over the last 5 years because we have had so much, too much spread movement in the money market. \"</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/553010.html\">智通财经</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c685480ed37cb27252b8611b704480cc","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/553010.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2164546845","content_text":"货币市场正在发生翻天覆地的变化。\n多年来，在交叉货币市场上，美元相对于欧元、日元等货币的溢价一直为负，这表明对美元的需求非常旺盛。现在，这些所谓的交叉货币基差互换(cross-currency \nbasis swap)即将转为正值。\n“以前从未发生过的事情现在正在发生，”瑞士信贷策略师Zoltan Pozsar表示。 他指出，人们已经习惯认为交叉货币基差互换是负值。 \n“对美元的过度需求总是存在的，而这种过度需求已经消失了。”\n中央银行采取的非常规措施，包括美联储以美元互换额度和新回购协议工具的形式提供大量流动性，意味着金融体系实质上已经被现金淹没。\n2015年，美联储从市场撤出美元流动性，当时日本央行和欧洲央行正在加大量化宽松计划。\n\n“一些经验最丰富的短期利率交易员会告诉你，2015年到2019年期间的交易量是前所未有的，” Pozsar表示。 \n“所以快进到今天，我们现在有这么多的流动性，特别是美元，美联储量化宽松的速度比日本央行或欧洲央行都快。 所以美元供应充足。 监管并没有变得更加严格。 \n如果说有什么不同的话，那就是它们变得越来越宽松了。 美联储已成为最后的交易商。 ”\n甚至较长期限的交叉货币基差互换，例如日元和美元之间的 10 年期互换，也即将转为正值。 目前这一溢价为-34个基点，为10多年来最小的差值。\n这种互换指标是衡量在日本借入美元与在美国借入美元成本差异的一种方法，如果指标为负，则表明用日元借入美元的成本更高。 \n理论上，这种差异不应该存在，因为参与者通过套利来消除差异，但金融危机后出台的监管规定可能限制了他们这样做的能力。\n\n全球大部分过剩美元目前都存放在美联储的逆回购工具中，本周美联储从银行、货币市场基金和其他金融对手那里吸纳了创纪录的1.19万亿美元。 \n与此同时，7月底推出的新回购协议工具应该会为美联储提供另一种从金融体系吸收过剩流动性的途径。\n美联储的流动性措施推动了多个国家的短期利率下降。 \n特别是，伦敦银行同业拆借利率(Libor)与隔夜指数掉期(OIS)之间的息差(衡量银行的美元融资成本的指标)接近于负值。 \n这与2008年的情况不同，当时回购市场的动荡和对交易对手的担忧将该指标推至创纪录高点。\n\nPozsar表示：“这反映出，相对于需求，系统中的现金太多了。”“在相当长的一段时间内，情况将与过去5年截然不同。 \n我认为在过去的5年里，短期利率交易员经历了一个黄金时代，因为我们在货币市场上发生了太多太多的价差波动。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830279296,"gmtCreate":1629078226515,"gmtModify":1676529922341,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575846264530485","idStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830279296","repostId":"1152652931","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":994,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147514946,"gmtCreate":1626363656485,"gmtModify":1703758812039,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575846264530485","idStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/147514946","repostId":"1182732821","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142023805,"gmtCreate":1626105169307,"gmtModify":1703753583776,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575846264530485","idStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142023805","repostId":"1144018470","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1064,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922810263,"gmtCreate":1671729486553,"gmtModify":1676538584506,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575846264530485","idStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"4mrmrmrm","listText":"4mrmrmrm","text":"4mrmrmrm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922810263","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038683916,"gmtCreate":1646815093102,"gmtModify":1676534165517,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575846264530485","idStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".&nbsp;","listText":".&nbsp;","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038683916","repostId":"1135205184","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9093198064,"gmtCreate":1643545569571,"gmtModify":1676533829965,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575846264530485","idStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".&nbsp;","listText":".&nbsp;","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9093198064","repostId":"2207780287","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2207780287","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1643520899,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2207780287?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-30 13:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"U.S. stocks plummeted at the beginning of the year. Do you want to pick up a flying knife? Wall Street's bigwigs are divided","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2207780287","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"2022美国市场开局艰难，高估值的科技股和亏损但炙手可热的股票遭受暴击，尽管周五尾盘出现反弹，但今年以来以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数已下跌近13%，美国蓝筹股为主的标普500指数下跌7.6%，这是自","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>2022 US markets got off to a rough start as highly valued tech stocks and loss-making but red-hot stocks took a critical hit, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite down nearly 13% this year, and the US blue-chip S&P 500 down 7.6% despite a late Friday rally,<b>It was the worst January performance since 2009.</b></p><p>On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve hinted that it would conduct its first rate hike in March, while Powell pointed out that he did not rule out the possibility of continuous large-scale rate hike this year. Investors are also struggling to cope with the movement of U.S. interest rates, as the U.S. stock market has experienced violent turmoil.</p><p><b>At this time, Wall Street bosses are divided on whether to buy the dip.</b></p><p>Since the beginning of the pandemic, buying on dips or overweight stocks during economic downturns has proven to be a profitable strategy.<b>Markets rebounded higher and faster when monetary and fiscal policies kept interest rates near zero and pumped a lot of money into the economy.</b></p><p><b>But this time is different. The Federal Reserve is ready to adopt tightening policy to curb high inflation, and investors are deeply divided about the effect of the market rally.</b></p><p><b>Rob Sharp, the new chief executive of the $1.7 trillion-asset Pushin Group, one of the world's largest fund managers, warned:</b></p><p>In the economic environment we face in 2022, we should resist the strategy of buying every pullback. Especially when loose monetary policy reverses, it is harder to predict whether returns will be strong. A $2.2 trillion fund manager<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601099\">Pacific Ocean</a>Founder of Investment Management Company (Pimco),<b>Bill Gross, known by the industry as the \"king of bonds\"</b>Speaking to the Financial Times, he said:</p><p>The buy-the-dip mentality has been removed from the market. As the Fed tightens policy, investors, especially new ones who have just experienced a bull market, will avoid buying down stocks in the \"bear market we're starting to see.\"<b>In the meantime</b>, HSBC warned investors that there was little sign that Powell would move to boost the falling market;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">Jefferies</a>It said that the more the Fed tightens policy, the faster the optimism in the market will fade.</p><p><b>However, there will always be different voices in the market, and there are some who have captured the pullback/retracement of the market.</b></p><p><b>Bill, founder of Pershing Square Capital Management and \"God of War\" during the pandemic</b><b>·</b><b>Ackerman said this week</b>, in streaming company<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>His company bought more than 3.1 million shares of Netflix after the stock price plunged.</p><p>In an announcement released Wednesday, Ackerman said:</p><p>Many of our best investments, come when other short-term investors sell off blue-chip stocks, which are priced to appear particularly attractive when invested over the long term.<b>The world's largest alternative asset manager with $881 billion in assets under management<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BX\">Blackstone</a>Jonathan, president of</b><b>·</b><b>Gray</b>It was also noted earlier this week:</p><p>Market volatility and a more than 40% drop in the average Nasdaq share price from last year's all-time high are creating opportunities for companies.<b>Sister Mu, head of Ark Investment, spoke out this week</b>, asset prices are falling, innovative stocks are being sold, and investors can buy them at lower prices. Since the beginning of 2022, Sister Wood's flagship fund ARKK has fallen 27%.</p><p>Additionally, analysts noted that this month's sell-off was driven not only by concerns about interest rates, but also by fundamentals, as companies with higher valuations appeared more volatile.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks plummeted at the beginning of the year. Do you want to pick up a flying knife? Wall Street's bigwigs are divided</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks plummeted at the beginning of the year. Do you want to pick up a flying knife? Wall Street's bigwigs are divided\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-30 13:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>2022 US markets got off to a rough start as highly valued tech stocks and loss-making but red-hot stocks took a critical hit, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite down nearly 13% this year, and the US blue-chip S&P 500 down 7.6% despite a late Friday rally,<b>It was the worst January performance since 2009.</b></p><p>On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve hinted that it would conduct its first rate hike in March, while Powell pointed out that he did not rule out the possibility of continuous large-scale rate hike this year. Investors are also struggling to cope with the movement of U.S. interest rates, as the U.S. stock market has experienced violent turmoil.</p><p><b>At this time, Wall Street bosses are divided on whether to buy the dip.</b></p><p>Since the beginning of the pandemic, buying on dips or overweight stocks during economic downturns has proven to be a profitable strategy.<b>Markets rebounded higher and faster when monetary and fiscal policies kept interest rates near zero and pumped a lot of money into the economy.</b></p><p><b>But this time is different. The Federal Reserve is ready to adopt tightening policy to curb high inflation, and investors are deeply divided about the effect of the market rally.</b></p><p><b>Rob Sharp, the new chief executive of the $1.7 trillion-asset Pushin Group, one of the world's largest fund managers, warned:</b></p><p>In the economic environment we face in 2022, we should resist the strategy of buying every pullback. Especially when loose monetary policy reverses, it is harder to predict whether returns will be strong. A $2.2 trillion fund manager<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601099\">Pacific Ocean</a>Founder of Investment Management Company (Pimco),<b>Bill Gross, known by the industry as the \"king of bonds\"</b>Speaking to the Financial Times, he said:</p><p>The buy-the-dip mentality has been removed from the market. As the Fed tightens policy, investors, especially new ones who have just experienced a bull market, will avoid buying down stocks in the \"bear market we're starting to see.\"<b>In the meantime</b>, HSBC warned investors that there was little sign that Powell would move to boost the falling market;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">Jefferies</a>It said that the more the Fed tightens policy, the faster the optimism in the market will fade.</p><p><b>However, there will always be different voices in the market, and there are some who have captured the pullback/retracement of the market.</b></p><p><b>Bill, founder of Pershing Square Capital Management and \"God of War\" during the pandemic</b><b>·</b><b>Ackerman said this week</b>, in streaming company<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>His company bought more than 3.1 million shares of Netflix after the stock price plunged.</p><p>In an announcement released Wednesday, Ackerman said:</p><p>Many of our best investments, come when other short-term investors sell off blue-chip stocks, which are priced to appear particularly attractive when invested over the long term.<b>The world's largest alternative asset manager with $881 billion in assets under management<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BX\">Blackstone</a>Jonathan, president of</b><b>·</b><b>Gray</b>It was also noted earlier this week:</p><p>Market volatility and a more than 40% drop in the average Nasdaq share price from last year's all-time high are creating opportunities for companies.<b>Sister Mu, head of Ark Investment, spoke out this week</b>, asset prices are falling, innovative stocks are being sold, and investors can buy them at lower prices. Since the beginning of 2022, Sister Wood's flagship fund ARKK has fallen 27%.</p><p>Additionally, analysts noted that this month's sell-off was driven not only by concerns about interest rates, but also by fundamentals, as companies with higher valuations appeared more volatile.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3651035\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50f0a252f951b7accc03d40bda92a3b2","relate_stocks":{"03086":"华夏纳指","ARTL":"Artelo Biosciences, Inc.","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","BK4007":"制药","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","NFLX":"奈飞","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4566":"资本集团","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3651035","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2207780287","content_text":"2022美国市场开局艰难，高估值的科技股和亏损但炙手可热的股票遭受暴击，尽管周五尾盘出现反弹，但今年以来以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数已下跌近13%，美国蓝筹股为主的标普500指数下跌7.6%，这是自2009年以来最糟糕的一月表现。本周三，美联储暗示，3月份进行首次加息，同时鲍威尔指出不排除在今年内连续大举加息的可能性。美国股市出现剧烈动荡，投资者也在艰难应对美国利率走势。在此之际，要不要逢低买入，华尔街大佬们意见不一。事实证明，自疫情开始以来，逢低买入或在经济低迷时增持股票是一种有利可图的策略。当时货币和财政政策将利率维持在接近于零的水平，并向经济注入大量资金，市场反弹得更高、更快。但这次不同，美联储准备采取紧缩政策抑制高通胀，投资者对于市场反弹的效果产生严重的分歧。全球最大的基金管理公司之一、资产达1.7万亿美元的普信集团新任首席执行官罗布·夏普警告称：在2022年面临的经济环境中，我们应该抵制每次回调都买进的策略。尤其是宽松的货币政策一旦出现逆转，就更难预测回报是否会强劲。规模达2.2万亿美元的基金管理公司太平洋投资管理公司(Pimco)的创始人、被业界称作“债券之王”的比尔·格罗斯在接受英国《金融时报》采访时表示：市场上已经消除了逢低买入的心态。随着美联储收紧政策，投资者，尤其是刚刚经历过牛市的新投资者，将会避免在“我们开始看到的熊市”中买入下跌的股票。与此同时，汇丰银行警告投资者，几乎没有迹象表明鲍威尔会出手提振正在下跌的市场；杰富瑞则表示，美联储越收紧政策，市场的乐观情绪就会越消退越快。然而，市场上总会有不同的声音，有一些人抓住了市场的回撤。潘兴广场资本管理公司创始人、疫情期间“战神”比尔·阿克曼本周表示，在流媒体公司奈飞股价暴跌后，他的公司买入了逾310万股奈飞股票。阿克曼在周三发布的公告中表示：我们的许多最佳投资，都是在其他短线投资者抛售绩优股时出现的，绩优股的价格在长期投资时显得格外诱人。管理8810亿美元资产、全球最大的另类资产管理机构黑石的总裁乔纳森·格雷本周早些时候也指出：市场波动和纳斯达克平均股价从去年的历史高点下跌逾40%，正在为公司创造机会。方舟投资Ark Investment掌门人木头姐本周发声，资产价格正在下跌，创新股正在被卖出，投资者可以以更低的价格买入。自2022年初以来，木头姐的旗舰基金ARKK已累计下跌27%。此外，分析师们指出，本月的抛售不仅是由对利率的担忧驱动的，也是由基本面因素驱动的，因为估值较高的公司显得更加不稳定。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.6,"ZFmain":0.9,"TTTN":0.86,"ZBmain":0.9,".DJI":0.6,"NDX":0.69,"QNETCN":0.69,"TNmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.77,"03086":0.9,"UBmain":0.9,"NFLX":0.6,"ZNmain":0.9,"ZTmain":0.9,"SPY":0.6,"ARTL":0.69}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887299933,"gmtCreate":1632038552522,"gmtModify":1676530691264,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575846264530485","idStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/887299933","repostId":"1194076700","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}