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lleilei
2022-03-30
amc đ
AMC Vs. GameStop: Which Meme Stock Has Real Potential?
lleilei
2021-09-23
$Unity Software Inc.(U)$
[Miser]
lleilei
2021-08-16
AMC â¤ď¸
Sorry, the original content has been removed
lleilei
2021-08-13
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
[Cry]
lleilei
2021-07-19
[Cry]
Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual
lleilei
2021-07-19
wow
Moderna's Joining the S&P 500: What's Next for the Hot Vaccine Stock?
lleilei
2021-07-15
Hold for sure!
After 'Black Widow' fails to lift AMC stock, retail traders are trying to become their own 'Avengers'
lleilei
2021-07-06
Just bought my first ever Nvidia stock. Will continue to add more [Cool]
Nvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost
lleilei
2021-07-05
Ermmm
Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading
lleilei
2021-07-05
Like and comment pls thanks [Happy]
When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.
lleilei
2021-07-05
[What]
Sorry, the original content has been removed
lleilei
2021-07-01
thanks tiger ?
lleilei
2021-06-30
I am considering to buy AMD or NVIDIA
@Buy_Sell:ă6ć30ăäťĺ¤Šćäťéşźäş¤ćč¨ĺďź
lleilei
2021-06-28
$AMD(AMD)$
Free stock from Tiger
lleilei
2021-06-24
interesting
Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading
lleilei
2021-06-23
$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$
HAHHAHAHAA UP MORE PLS
lleilei
2021-06-23
$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$
Joined the fun
lleilei
2021-06-21
If the price drops, I will buy more.
Apple: Winter Is Coming
lleilei
2021-06-18
$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$
UP more
lleilei
2021-06-16
[Happy]
Amazon commits $300 million to help build 3,000 affordable housing units near public transit areas
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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GameStop: Which Meme Stock Has Real Potential?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114867797","media":"TipRanks","summary":"During the rise of COVID-19 and the economic upheavals that followed, a new phenomenon arose. Fueled","content":"<div>\n<p>During the rise of COVID-19 and the economic upheavals that followed, a new phenomenon arose. Fueled by social media, stimulus checks, and just a little boredom, the âmeme stockâ came into its own. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/amc-gamestop-which-meme-stocks-have-real-potential/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Vs. 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GameStop: Which Meme Stock Has Real Potential?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-30 10:58 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/amc-gamestop-which-meme-stocks-have-real-potential/><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>During the rise of COVID-19 and the economic upheavals that followed, a new phenomenon arose. Fueled by social media, stimulus checks, and just a little boredom, the âmeme stockâ came into its own. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/amc-gamestop-which-meme-stocks-have-real-potential/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游ć銿çŤ","AMC":"AMCé˘çşż"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/amc-gamestop-which-meme-stocks-have-real-potential/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114867797","content_text":"During the rise of COVID-19 and the economic upheavals that followed, a new phenomenon arose. Fueled by social media, stimulus checks, and just a little boredom, the âmeme stockâ came into its own. Two such stocksâGameStop (GME)and AMC Entertainment (AMC)âhave seen their share of ups and downs as part of the meme stock movement.However, are these merely flash-in-the-pan inspirations? Here today and gone tomorrow like the memes for which theyâre named? Or are these potential long-term opportunities? Iâm starting to lean bullish on AMC, though I am bearish on GameStop. AMC is making some baffling and yet thrilling moves, while GameStop is stillâŚwellâŚGameStop.The last 12 months for GameStop have been a wild ride by any standard. Trading in a range between around $78 and $302, GameStop has been the soul of volatility. Meanwhile, AMC saw a massive spike back in May, from which it has been frantically retreating ever since.However, a recent rally has emerged, thanks to one key and highly incongruous move that may have turned the company into a serious play.Sticking to and Breaking from the Old ModelGameStop should, theoretically, be doing better than it is. After all, interest in the video game markets spiked dramatically during the pandemic. Even after the government-required lockdowns began to lift, there was still plenty of interest in staying home and playing games.Reports suggest that the gaming market, worth $198.4 billion in 2021, should reach $339.95 billion by 2027âs arrival. Yet, GameStopâs strong dependence on used, physical video games doesnât bode well for it, especially in a market increasingly dominated by digital gaming purchases.When customers can download their game of choice and pay for it via credit card, debit card, or even digital transfer, it limits the impact of a used game dealer. Moreover, some consolesâthe Xbox Series S in particularâwill only work with digital games.However, itâs AMC that really catches the attention here. It was in a similar position to GameStop. It was in an industry that benefited substantially from the lockdowns, but it wasnât in a position to take advantage of that benefit.AMCâs focus on brick-and-mortar theaters in a market that was increasingly going to streaming hurt it badly. Streaming was already a threat to the brick-and-mortar theater, but the pandemic exacerbated the problem.AMCâs recent move to invest in Hycroft Mining(HYMC)changed the picture. Now, AMC had an industry for boom timesâthe moviesâand a heavy presence in an industry for bust times as well in gold mining.While the two industries arenât even sort of complementary, itâs not like ticket takers are going out with picks and shovels. No, AMC just has a presence in a company that mines gold.Historically, the value of gold has never gone to zero. Sometimes itâs been less profitable than others, depending on the cost of inputs like fuel and labor to pull it out of the ground, but gold has always had some value to it.So now, AMC has a presence in a market that should lend it some support in bad times. With theaters, in general, coming back into play and Hollywood rolling out the big-name movies again, AMC is in an excellent position to make a comeback here as well.Concluding ViewsItâs clear that some meme stocks are better than others.GameStop looks increasingly like a bad play, and it never looked all that good, to begin with. Its business model is still very much dependent on used physical titles. Thatâs bad news in an increasingly digital environment. Its ability to engage in much change is also limited.With a massive downside potential, minimal and declining hedge fund involvement, and no real dividend value to speak of, GameStop continues to look like a bad investment plan.AMC, however, is different. Branching out into precious metals gives it a whole new edge and a perfect market for bad times as well as good. Considering the company is set to find more of these âtransformative deals,â this could be the start of something big. Though AMC has its own substantial downside risks, it also has more justification for keeping its current pricing than GameStop does.Both AMC and GameStop are risky right now. However, AMC does seem to have a better chance of paying off on that risk than GameStop does. So Iâd be cautious making an investment in either, but of the two, AMC looks like it might be about to start something big.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":863514324,"gmtCreate":1632405717768,"gmtModify":1676530774605,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>[Miser] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>[Miser] ","text":"$Unity Software Inc.(U)$[Miser]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62e6030ca2cf9a5b66136d0c20988c38","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/863514324","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830489240,"gmtCreate":1629089529380,"gmtModify":1676529926244,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AMC â¤ď¸","listText":"AMC â¤ď¸","text":"AMC â¤ď¸","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830489240","repostId":"1100841503","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894784993,"gmtCreate":1628857690712,"gmtModify":1676529876409,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>[Cry] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>[Cry] ","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$[Cry]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53b95f9d64d9687d68e6f4708b5074be","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/894784993","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":893,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581982820314062","authorId":"3581982820314062","name":"Konster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf5bcaff892b862782c826a35a6cde77","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581982820314062","authorIdStr":"3581982820314062"},"content":"Live with the orchestra and play erhu, [Spurting]","text":"Live with the orchestra and play erhu, [Spurting]","html":"Live with the orchestra and play erhu, [Spurting]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171326859,"gmtCreate":1626707376971,"gmtModify":1703763806124,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cry] ","listText":"[Cry] ","text":"[Cry]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/171326859","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146536243?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be âhotter and shorterâ. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p>\n<p>The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p>\n<p>But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p>\n<p>Instead, letâs consider why we use the term âcycleâ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p>\n<p>Was last yearâs recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p>\n<p>If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that itâs a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should <i>continue</i> to do so.</p>\n<p>Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p>\n<p>Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, weâve long been fans of a composite. Thatâs our âcycle modelâ, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle âdownturnâ in June 2019, and early-cycle ârepairâ in April 2020, itâs rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that itâs blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into âexpansionâ.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. âExpansionâ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and itâs showing up in our quantitative measure.</p>\n<p>All this has a number of implications:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the âexpansionâ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>\n <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>\n <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>\n <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the âexpansionâ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be âhotter and shorterâ. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 16:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle '...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"ć ćŽ500ETF",".DJI":"éçźćŻ",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, letâs consider why we use the term âcycleâ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last yearâs recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that itâs a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, weâve long been fans of a composite. Thatâs our âcycle modelâ, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle âdownturnâ in June 2019, and early-cycle ârepairâ in April 2020, itâs rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that itâs blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into âexpansionâ.\nThisis unusual. âExpansionâ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and itâs showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the âexpansionâ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the âexpansionâ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be âhotter and shorterâ. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171328356,"gmtCreate":1626707335675,"gmtModify":1703763801092,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/171328356","repostId":"2152363743","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2152363743","pubTimestamp":1626703200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2152363743?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-19 22:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna's Joining the S&P 500: What's Next for the Hot Vaccine Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2152363743","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"There's no guarantee that the biotech's share price will continue climbing.","content":"<p>(July 19) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a> rose more than 5% in morning tarding, reached record high.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1feabb7b1efe112684a8cca75133e6a3\" tg-width=\"642\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>You never hear anyone refer to the \"S&P 501 index\" or the \"S&P 499 index.\" No, it's the <b>S&P 500 index</b>, for a good reason: The index always includes the 500 largest companies that trade on U.S. stock exchanges. When <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> company is removed from the list, another <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> is added. Always.</p>\n<p>That's what is about to happen. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALXN\">Alexion Pharmaceuticals</a></b> currently ranks as one of only six biotech stocks on the S&P 500. However, <b>AstraZeneca</b> will soon acquire the company, meaning <b>S&P Global</b> (NYSE:SPGI) will have to replace Alexion on its heavily followed index.</p>\n<p>As it turns out, another biotech stock is set to take Alexion's spot: <b>Moderna</b> (NASDAQ:MRNA). S&P Global announced last Thursday evening that Moderna would be added to the S&P 500, effective prior to the market open on July 21. Shares of Moderna jumped over 10% on Friday, after soaring nearly 150% year to date already. What's next for this hot vaccine stock?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/182332242f3e0118e76d38617bff229c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTY\">Getty</a> Images.</p>\n<h3>Using the past as a guide</h3>\n<p>There's an old saying that \"history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes.\" Assuming the adage has some truth to it, we could potentially learn how Moderna's share price might fare by looking at what happened with other stocks that were added to the S&P 500.</p>\n<p>So far in 2021, 10 stocks have been added to the index as a result of acquisitions, spinoffs, and market-cap changes.</p>\n<p>The most recent of these was <b>Organon</b> (NYSE:OGN). S&P Global announced on May 27 that the drugmaker, which was spun off from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">Merck</a></b>, would be added to the S&P 500 index, effective June 4. Organon's shares climbed only around 4% between the date of the announcement and its addition to the index. But afterward, the pharma stock fell close to 15%.</p>\n<p>S&P Global announced on May 10 that <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRL\">Charles River Laboratories</a></b> (NYSE:CRL) would join the S&P 500 index effective May 14. The diagnostics stock fell a little in the days leading up to its addition to the index. However, after its inclusion on the S&P 500, Charles River Labs stock went on a roll, rising nearly 17%.</p>\n<p>There is one stock that might offer a closer parallel to Moderna. <b>NXP Semiconductors</b> (NASDAQ:NXPI) stock jumped around 10% between the announcement of its addition to the S&P 500 on March 12, and when it joined the index on March 22. That's nearly exactly the same level as Moderna's shares leaped on Friday. So what happened next with NXP? The stock moved up and down like a yo-yo, and is now 5% lower.</p>\n<h3>Different dynamics</h3>\n<p>You've probably decided that history is a poor rhymer -- at least when it comes to how stocks perform when they're added to the S&P 500 index. There's a good reason why it's hard to discern a clear pattern: Each stock has different dynamics at work.</p>\n<p>Sure, mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the S&P 500 index must now add shares of Moderna to their holdings. However, they were likely already doing so to some extent, even before the announcement about Moderna's addition to the index.</p>\n<p>What matters most for Moderna stock now is exactly the same thing that mattered most before last Thursday. And that critical factor is how demand for the company's COVID-19 vaccine will hold up.</p>\n<p>Based on the stock's trajectory in the weeks and months leading up to S&P Global's announcement that Moderna was replacing Alexion in the S&P 500, investors are expecting that demand for Moderna's vaccine will remain quite strong. They could very well be right.</p>\n<h3>The variant variable</h3>\n<p>However, whether or not investors' optimism is warranted depends on one variable that is most likely to impact Moderna's fortunes over the coming months and years: the emergence of coronavirus variants of concern. Right now, the most important to watch is the Delta variant.</p>\n<p>So far, Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine appears to be holding up relatively well against the Delta variant, as well as against other variants of concern. However, there's a real possibility that booster doses could be needed for at least some individuals in the not-too-distant future. Also, other variants could arise for which current vaccines are significantly less effective.</p>\n<p>For Moderna to remain a member of the S&P 500, its market cap must remain large enough to be among the top 500 stocks. Whether that will happen depends on recurring demand for its COVID-19 vaccine. And that demand depends largely how coronavirus variants affect the pandemic.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna's Joining the S&P 500: What's Next for the Hot Vaccine Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna's Joining the S&P 500: What's Next for the Hot Vaccine Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 22:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/19/modernas-joining-the-sp-500-whats-next-for-the-hot/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(July 19) Moderna, Inc.  rose more than 5% in morning tarding, reached record high.\n\nYou never hear anyone refer to the \"S&P 501 index\" or the \"S&P 499 index.\" No, it's the S&P 500 index, for a good ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/19/modernas-joining-the-sp-500-whats-next-for-the-hot/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/182332242f3e0118e76d38617bff229c","relate_stocks":{"161125":"ć ćŽ500","513500":"ć ćŽ500ETF","SPXU":"ä¸ĺĺ犺ć ćŽ500ETF","IVV":"ć ćŽ500ćć°ETF","SDS":"两ĺĺ犺ć ćŽ500ETF","SSO":"两ĺĺĺ¤ć ćŽ500ETF","OEX":"ć ćŽ100","SPY":"ć ćŽ500ETF","UPRO":"ä¸ĺĺĺ¤ć ćŽ500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"ć ćŽ100ćć°ETF-iShares","SH":"ć ćŽ500ĺĺETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/19/modernas-joining-the-sp-500-whats-next-for-the-hot/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2152363743","content_text":"(July 19) Moderna, Inc.  rose more than 5% in morning tarding, reached record high.\n\nYou never hear anyone refer to the \"S&P 501 index\" or the \"S&P 499 index.\" No, it's the S&P 500 index, for a good reason: The index always includes the 500 largest companies that trade on U.S. stock exchanges. When one company is removed from the list, another one is added. Always.\nThat's what is about to happen. Alexion Pharmaceuticals currently ranks as one of only six biotech stocks on the S&P 500. However, AstraZeneca will soon acquire the company, meaning S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) will have to replace Alexion on its heavily followed index.\nAs it turns out, another biotech stock is set to take Alexion's spot: Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA). S&P Global announced last Thursday evening that Moderna would be added to the S&P 500, effective prior to the market open on July 21. Shares of Moderna jumped over 10% on Friday, after soaring nearly 150% year to date already. What's next for this hot vaccine stock?\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nUsing the past as a guide\nThere's an old saying that \"history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes.\" Assuming the adage has some truth to it, we could potentially learn how Moderna's share price might fare by looking at what happened with other stocks that were added to the S&P 500.\nSo far in 2021, 10 stocks have been added to the index as a result of acquisitions, spinoffs, and market-cap changes.\nThe most recent of these was Organon (NYSE:OGN). S&P Global announced on May 27 that the drugmaker, which was spun off from Merck, would be added to the S&P 500 index, effective June 4. Organon's shares climbed only around 4% between the date of the announcement and its addition to the index. But afterward, the pharma stock fell close to 15%.\nS&P Global announced on May 10 that Charles River Laboratories (NYSE:CRL) would join the S&P 500 index effective May 14. The diagnostics stock fell a little in the days leading up to its addition to the index. However, after its inclusion on the S&P 500, Charles River Labs stock went on a roll, rising nearly 17%.\nThere is one stock that might offer a closer parallel to Moderna. NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ:NXPI) stock jumped around 10% between the announcement of its addition to the S&P 500 on March 12, and when it joined the index on March 22. That's nearly exactly the same level as Moderna's shares leaped on Friday. So what happened next with NXP? The stock moved up and down like a yo-yo, and is now 5% lower.\nDifferent dynamics\nYou've probably decided that history is a poor rhymer -- at least when it comes to how stocks perform when they're added to the S&P 500 index. There's a good reason why it's hard to discern a clear pattern: Each stock has different dynamics at work.\nSure, mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the S&P 500 index must now add shares of Moderna to their holdings. However, they were likely already doing so to some extent, even before the announcement about Moderna's addition to the index.\nWhat matters most for Moderna stock now is exactly the same thing that mattered most before last Thursday. And that critical factor is how demand for the company's COVID-19 vaccine will hold up.\nBased on the stock's trajectory in the weeks and months leading up to S&P Global's announcement that Moderna was replacing Alexion in the S&P 500, investors are expecting that demand for Moderna's vaccine will remain quite strong. They could very well be right.\nThe variant variable\nHowever, whether or not investors' optimism is warranted depends on one variable that is most likely to impact Moderna's fortunes over the coming months and years: the emergence of coronavirus variants of concern. Right now, the most important to watch is the Delta variant.\nSo far, Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine appears to be holding up relatively well against the Delta variant, as well as against other variants of concern. However, there's a real possibility that booster doses could be needed for at least some individuals in the not-too-distant future. Also, other variants could arise for which current vaccines are significantly less effective.\nFor Moderna to remain a member of the S&P 500, its market cap must remain large enough to be among the top 500 stocks. Whether that will happen depends on recurring demand for its COVID-19 vaccine. And that demand depends largely how coronavirus variants affect the pandemic.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144637935,"gmtCreate":1626278697327,"gmtModify":1703757096577,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hold for sure! ","listText":"Hold for sure! ","text":"Hold for sure!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/144637935","repostId":"2151142915","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2151142915","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the worldâs most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1626272400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2151142915?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-14 22:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"After 'Black Widow' fails to lift AMC stock, retail traders are trying to become their own 'Avengers'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151142915","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Retail traders on social media are trying on Wednesday what even Natasha Romanoff, aka the \"Black Wi","content":"<p>Retail traders on social media are trying on Wednesday what even Natasha Romanoff, aka the \"Black Widow\", couldn't do on Monday or Tuesday: lift the share price of AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>.</p>\n<p>Despite the blockbuster return of the Marvel Cinematic Universe to big screens on Friday with Scarlett Johansson's standalone \"Widow\" film hauling in $80 million to break the previous post-pandemic record of \"F9\"s $70 million opening weekend in June, shares of cinema chain AMC fell almost 15% on the first two trading days of the week, a drop that maddened bullish investors in AMC on internet platform Reddit.</p>\n<p>Rallying around the fact that AMC announced on Monday morning that \"Approximately 3.2 million people watched movies at AMC's United States and international theatre locations between Thursday, July 8 and Sunday, June 11,\" the highest turnout in 16 months, retail traders blamed the stock drop on their old enemies: short selling hedge funds that they believe have regained control of the stock price via manipulation despite the fact individual investors own roughly 80% of AMC's float.</p>\n<p>And while some investors might have seen the fact that \"Black Widow\" also made $60 million from premium streaming downloads on Disney+ as a signal that the theater business is still dealing with an existential threat, Redditors didn't take the result lying down.</p>\n<p>AMC shareholders became almost interactive with company CEO Adam Aron in recent weeks, even forcing his hand on another share offering that would have paid down the theatre chain's still massive post-COVID debt load. This week though they decided to energize each other into buying whatever AMC stock they could get their hands on after shares fell below $40 for the first time since it's rocket surge in late May and early June.</p>\n<p>And they used hashtags to do it, proclaiming Tuesday as another #AMCDay.</p>\n<p>By mid-Tuesday, social media was rife with speculation that hedge funds were artificially depressing AMC's stock price using ladder attacks and options spoofing, intricate trading maneuvers that have long been part of the retail trading community's allegations against mainstream finance.</p>\n<p>One data point that was of particular interest to traders on social media was that AMC had been removed from the New York Stock Exchange's threshold list on Friday. That list is compiled of stocks that are on high alert for naked shorting after failing to settle for five straight trading days.</p>\n<p>Many users on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> and Reddit saw that move as deeply sketchy and called for their fellow self-anointed \"Apes\" to hold their shares as the price swooned in order to smoke out the naked shorters in the tall grass.</p>\n<p>\"There are absolutely no sellers, no one is dumping this stock at 4am in pre market. If there were sellers AMC wouldn't have been on the threshold list to begin with,\" Reddit user popsmoke1122334455 posted Tuesday afternoon. \"Divorce yourself from your emotions.\"</p>\n<p>Data from Fintel showed that AMC stock's short interest had ticked up slightly on Monday and Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Even sometime meme stock skeptic Jim Cramer joined the chorus of people urging AMC believers to keep their hands \"diamond\", tweeting \"AMC buyers HOLD!\" in the early hours of Tuesday.</p>\n<p>But despite the social media explosion that had #AMCDAY as the second-highest trending term on Twitter, volume on AMC was just over half of its average daily trading volume and the price remained stuck just below $40.</p>\n<p>That did not seem to dampen the ardor of some AMC bulls who made it clear that they would keep the campaign up into Wednesday.</p>\n<p>\"DEAR HEDGEFUNDS,\" tweeted @AMC_Apee. \"RETAIL INVESTORS ARE NEVER GIVING UP. BEEN HOLDING FOR 7 MONTHS AND WILL CONTINUE.\"</p>\n<p>Still, AMC shares were down more than 8% in early market.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>After 'Black Widow' fails to lift AMC stock, retail traders are trying to become their own 'Avengers'</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAfter 'Black Widow' fails to lift AMC stock, retail traders are trying to become their own 'Avengers'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-14 22:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Retail traders on social media are trying on Wednesday what even Natasha Romanoff, aka the \"Black Widow\", couldn't do on Monday or Tuesday: lift the share price of AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>.</p>\n<p>Despite the blockbuster return of the Marvel Cinematic Universe to big screens on Friday with Scarlett Johansson's standalone \"Widow\" film hauling in $80 million to break the previous post-pandemic record of \"F9\"s $70 million opening weekend in June, shares of cinema chain AMC fell almost 15% on the first two trading days of the week, a drop that maddened bullish investors in AMC on internet platform Reddit.</p>\n<p>Rallying around the fact that AMC announced on Monday morning that \"Approximately 3.2 million people watched movies at AMC's United States and international theatre locations between Thursday, July 8 and Sunday, June 11,\" the highest turnout in 16 months, retail traders blamed the stock drop on their old enemies: short selling hedge funds that they believe have regained control of the stock price via manipulation despite the fact individual investors own roughly 80% of AMC's float.</p>\n<p>And while some investors might have seen the fact that \"Black Widow\" also made $60 million from premium streaming downloads on Disney+ as a signal that the theater business is still dealing with an existential threat, Redditors didn't take the result lying down.</p>\n<p>AMC shareholders became almost interactive with company CEO Adam Aron in recent weeks, even forcing his hand on another share offering that would have paid down the theatre chain's still massive post-COVID debt load. This week though they decided to energize each other into buying whatever AMC stock they could get their hands on after shares fell below $40 for the first time since it's rocket surge in late May and early June.</p>\n<p>And they used hashtags to do it, proclaiming Tuesday as another #AMCDay.</p>\n<p>By mid-Tuesday, social media was rife with speculation that hedge funds were artificially depressing AMC's stock price using ladder attacks and options spoofing, intricate trading maneuvers that have long been part of the retail trading community's allegations against mainstream finance.</p>\n<p>One data point that was of particular interest to traders on social media was that AMC had been removed from the New York Stock Exchange's threshold list on Friday. That list is compiled of stocks that are on high alert for naked shorting after failing to settle for five straight trading days.</p>\n<p>Many users on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> and Reddit saw that move as deeply sketchy and called for their fellow self-anointed \"Apes\" to hold their shares as the price swooned in order to smoke out the naked shorters in the tall grass.</p>\n<p>\"There are absolutely no sellers, no one is dumping this stock at 4am in pre market. If there were sellers AMC wouldn't have been on the threshold list to begin with,\" Reddit user popsmoke1122334455 posted Tuesday afternoon. \"Divorce yourself from your emotions.\"</p>\n<p>Data from Fintel showed that AMC stock's short interest had ticked up slightly on Monday and Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Even sometime meme stock skeptic Jim Cramer joined the chorus of people urging AMC believers to keep their hands \"diamond\", tweeting \"AMC buyers HOLD!\" in the early hours of Tuesday.</p>\n<p>But despite the social media explosion that had #AMCDAY as the second-highest trending term on Twitter, volume on AMC was just over half of its average daily trading volume and the price remained stuck just below $40.</p>\n<p>That did not seem to dampen the ardor of some AMC bulls who made it clear that they would keep the campaign up into Wednesday.</p>\n<p>\"DEAR HEDGEFUNDS,\" tweeted @AMC_Apee. \"RETAIL INVESTORS ARE NEVER GIVING UP. BEEN HOLDING FOR 7 MONTHS AND WILL CONTINUE.\"</p>\n<p>Still, AMC shares were down more than 8% in early market.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMCé˘çşż"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151142915","content_text":"Retail traders on social media are trying on Wednesday what even Natasha Romanoff, aka the \"Black Widow\", couldn't do on Monday or Tuesday: lift the share price of AMC Entertainment $(AMC)$.\nDespite the blockbuster return of the Marvel Cinematic Universe to big screens on Friday with Scarlett Johansson's standalone \"Widow\" film hauling in $80 million to break the previous post-pandemic record of \"F9\"s $70 million opening weekend in June, shares of cinema chain AMC fell almost 15% on the first two trading days of the week, a drop that maddened bullish investors in AMC on internet platform Reddit.\nRallying around the fact that AMC announced on Monday morning that \"Approximately 3.2 million people watched movies at AMC's United States and international theatre locations between Thursday, July 8 and Sunday, June 11,\" the highest turnout in 16 months, retail traders blamed the stock drop on their old enemies: short selling hedge funds that they believe have regained control of the stock price via manipulation despite the fact individual investors own roughly 80% of AMC's float.\nAnd while some investors might have seen the fact that \"Black Widow\" also made $60 million from premium streaming downloads on Disney+ as a signal that the theater business is still dealing with an existential threat, Redditors didn't take the result lying down.\nAMC shareholders became almost interactive with company CEO Adam Aron in recent weeks, even forcing his hand on another share offering that would have paid down the theatre chain's still massive post-COVID debt load. This week though they decided to energize each other into buying whatever AMC stock they could get their hands on after shares fell below $40 for the first time since it's rocket surge in late May and early June.\nAnd they used hashtags to do it, proclaiming Tuesday as another #AMCDay.\nBy mid-Tuesday, social media was rife with speculation that hedge funds were artificially depressing AMC's stock price using ladder attacks and options spoofing, intricate trading maneuvers that have long been part of the retail trading community's allegations against mainstream finance.\nOne data point that was of particular interest to traders on social media was that AMC had been removed from the New York Stock Exchange's threshold list on Friday. That list is compiled of stocks that are on high alert for naked shorting after failing to settle for five straight trading days.\nMany users on Twitter and Reddit saw that move as deeply sketchy and called for their fellow self-anointed \"Apes\" to hold their shares as the price swooned in order to smoke out the naked shorters in the tall grass.\n\"There are absolutely no sellers, no one is dumping this stock at 4am in pre market. If there were sellers AMC wouldn't have been on the threshold list to begin with,\" Reddit user popsmoke1122334455 posted Tuesday afternoon. \"Divorce yourself from your emotions.\"\nData from Fintel showed that AMC stock's short interest had ticked up slightly on Monday and Tuesday.\nEven sometime meme stock skeptic Jim Cramer joined the chorus of people urging AMC believers to keep their hands \"diamond\", tweeting \"AMC buyers HOLD!\" in the early hours of Tuesday.\nBut despite the social media explosion that had #AMCDAY as the second-highest trending term on Twitter, volume on AMC was just over half of its average daily trading volume and the price remained stuck just below $40.\nThat did not seem to dampen the ardor of some AMC bulls who made it clear that they would keep the campaign up into Wednesday.\n\"DEAR HEDGEFUNDS,\" tweeted @AMC_Apee. \"RETAIL INVESTORS ARE NEVER GIVING UP. BEEN HOLDING FOR 7 MONTHS AND WILL CONTINUE.\"\nStill, AMC shares were down more than 8% in early market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157685044,"gmtCreate":1625580457788,"gmtModify":1703744288790,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just bought my first ever Nvidia stock. Will continue to add more [Cool] ","listText":"Just bought my first ever Nvidia stock. Will continue to add more [Cool] ","text":"Just bought my first ever Nvidia stock. Will continue to add more [Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/157685044","repostId":"1189769697","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189769697","pubTimestamp":1625579734,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189769697?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-06 21:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189769697","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Nvidia shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.Keybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a W","content":"<p>Nvidia (<b>NVDA</b>) shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.</p>\n<p>Keybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a Wall Street high of $1,000 from $975 and affirmed an outperform rating.</p>\n<p>Analysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the companyâs first-quarter results,which came in better than expected amid strength in so-called hyperscale data center demand, which includes demand for its graphics cards and chips using for both gaming and crypto mining.</p>\n<p>Even before then, analysts were touting Nvidiaâs performance amid strong demand for its gaming graphics cards, which surged through the pandemic and stay-at-home orders that boosted demand for at-home entertainment like video games, compounded by the ongoing chip shortage that has boosted demand - and prices -for the chips and the cards themselves.</p>\n<p>At the same time, surging prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies this year also have fueled demand. Crypto miners use graphics processing units, or GPUs, to mine currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Nvidiaâslatest RTX 30 series, launched last year, has proven particularly popular with miners.</p>\n<p>TheStreet's Jim Cramerin his Real Money column on Tuesdaynoted another reason to be bullish on Nvidia: a potential acquisition that will beef up its business even more.</p>\n<p>Specifically, Jim pointed to the increasing likelihood that regulators will allow the company to buy Arm Holdings, a British company that excels in cellphones and personal computers, which will add to its already strong sales pipeline that has been driven by far more than just demand from Ethereum miners.</p>\n<p>\"I'm sure some of you might think that Nvidia is more of an Ethereum play, because its cards are used to mine the cryptocurrency,\" Cramer wrote. \"In reality, that's a tiny portion of their business and is made up of cards that aren't up to specification for gaming, scrap if you will.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-06 21:55 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-keybanc-price-target-boost-070621><strong>Thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nvidia (NVDA) shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-keybanc-price-target-boost-070621\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"čąäźčžž"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-keybanc-price-target-boost-070621","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189769697","content_text":"Nvidia (NVDA) shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.\nKeybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a Wall Street high of $1,000 from $975 and affirmed an outperform rating.\nAnalysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the companyâs first-quarter results,which came in better than expected amid strength in so-called hyperscale data center demand, which includes demand for its graphics cards and chips using for both gaming and crypto mining.\nEven before then, analysts were touting Nvidiaâs performance amid strong demand for its gaming graphics cards, which surged through the pandemic and stay-at-home orders that boosted demand for at-home entertainment like video games, compounded by the ongoing chip shortage that has boosted demand - and prices -for the chips and the cards themselves.\nAt the same time, surging prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies this year also have fueled demand. Crypto miners use graphics processing units, or GPUs, to mine currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Nvidiaâslatest RTX 30 series, launched last year, has proven particularly popular with miners.\nTheStreet's Jim Cramerin his Real Money column on Tuesdaynoted another reason to be bullish on Nvidia: a potential acquisition that will beef up its business even more.\nSpecifically, Jim pointed to the increasing likelihood that regulators will allow the company to buy Arm Holdings, a British company that excels in cellphones and personal computers, which will add to its already strong sales pipeline that has been driven by far more than just demand from Ethereum miners.\n\"I'm sure some of you might think that Nvidia is more of an Ethereum play, because its cards are used to mine the cryptocurrency,\" Cramer wrote. \"In reality, that's a tiny portion of their business and is made up of cards that aren't up to specification for gaming, scrap if you will.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155577204,"gmtCreate":1625447282808,"gmtModify":1703741809029,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ermmm","listText":"Ermmm","text":"Ermmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155577204","repostId":"1135486377","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135486377","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625236243,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135486377?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-02 22:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135486377","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading.Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto shares fell between","content":"<p>Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading.Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto shares fell between 3% and 7%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1eeb0b07a87842c4c5ac2bbb3c2873f\" tg-width=\"360\" tg-height=\"188\"></p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-02 22:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading.Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto shares fell between 3% and 7%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1eeb0b07a87842c4c5ac2bbb3c2873f\" tg-width=\"360\" tg-height=\"188\"></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"ĺ°éšćą˝č˝Ś","NIO":"čćĽ","LI":"çćłćą˝č˝Ś"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135486377","content_text":"Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading.Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto shares fell between 3% and 7%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155575373,"gmtCreate":1625447188092,"gmtModify":1703741806743,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls thanks [Happy] ","listText":"Like and comment pls thanks [Happy] ","text":"Like and comment pls thanks [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155575373","repostId":"1189605893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189605893","pubTimestamp":1625363433,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189605893?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-04 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189605893","media":"Barron's","summary":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investorsâ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.Investorsâ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500âm","content":"<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investorsâ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.</p>\n<p>Owning the Big FiveâApple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabetâsGoogle (GOOGL)âhas been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managersâincluding those who donât typically own growth companies.</p>\n<p>Together, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than todayâs biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Fiveâs impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBMâs in its heyday.</p>\n<p>There are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire marketâincluding all index investorsâwill feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.</p>\n<p><b>When Less May Be More</b></p>\n<p>These funds are more diversified than the S&P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d308adf067ef3205da5f7c1bddb75e77\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Investorsâ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500âmore than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasnât hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the companyâs e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panelâs approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.</p>\n<p>A global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. âThe story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,â says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. âBut for those who think the economy has room to run, you donât have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.â For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.</p>\n<p>With the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.</p>\n<p>It isnât easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesnât look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own anyâor even just lessâof these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.</p>\n<p>High active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. Thatâs a good place to start, but different doesnât always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managersâ portfolios and the thinking behind the picksâas well as when they buy or sell the stocks.</p>\n<p><i>Barronâs</i>looked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that donât usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didnât own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.</p>\n<p><b>A Concentrated Approach</b></p>\n<p>The Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.</p>\n<p>The past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasnât owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. âThey are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but itâs an important question,â says Neff. âWeâve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.â</p>\n<p>The tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of ânetwork effectâ that makes Google and Amazon attractiveâthe business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.</p>\n<p>Many of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerOâReilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they arenât finding that many bargains todayâand they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. âWe frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,â Cerrone says. âWeâre not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.â</p>\n<p><b>Underappreciated Growth</b></p>\n<p>The $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.</p>\n<p>That underweight has been painful; the fundâs 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managersâ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.</p>\n<p>The fundâs managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Fiveâlike e-commerce and cloud computingâbut doing it differently, says Morningstarâs Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for Chinaâs version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.</p>\n<p>About 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isnât concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).</p>\n<p><b>Lean Profit Machines</b></p>\n<p>The $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive yearsâa metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook donât make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companiesâ backs.</p>\n<p>Schoensteinâs caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fundâs 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fundâs risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.</p>\n<p>Lately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)âa stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. âWhat better business is there to be in than branded addiction?â Schoenstein asks.</p>\n<p>While offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day cafĂŠ experience.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81aeb359e30f7394a363f00feb8ce0cf\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"477\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Insurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh & McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businessesâinsurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.</p>\n<p>Another recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: âSome recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, itâs a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.â</p>\n<p><b>Multiple Managers</b></p>\n<p>Unlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.</p>\n<p>But the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap optionâcharging an expense ratio of 0.68%âthat isnât beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.</p>\n<p>Managers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.</p>\n<p>âItâs very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,â says Russel Kinnel, Morningstarâs director of manager research. âYou want a fund to have some good technology exposure because itâs a dynamic sector.â</p>\n<p><b>Growth on the Cheap</b></p>\n<p>The $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fundâs 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.</p>\n<p>The fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasnât giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. Thatâs in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflowsâ$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.comâwhich contributes to the market concentration.</p>\n<p>Instead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasnât the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.</p>\n<p>Also attractive are companies that havenât yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Syscoâs shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.</p>\n<p>Another recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isnât just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. âIn the past, it was hard to outperform when you werenât involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.â</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-04 09:50 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investorsâ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"éçźćŻ",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"ć ćŽ500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189605893","content_text":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investorsâ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.\nOwning the Big FiveâApple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabetâsGoogle (GOOGL)âhas been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managersâincluding those who donât typically own growth companies.\nTogether, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than todayâs biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Fiveâs impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBMâs in its heyday.\nThere are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire marketâincluding all index investorsâwill feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.\nWhen Less May Be More\nThese funds are more diversified than the S&P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.\n\nInvestorsâ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500âmore than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasnât hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the companyâs e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panelâs approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.\nA global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. âThe story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,â says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. âBut for those who think the economy has room to run, you donât have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.â For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.\nWith the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.\nIt isnât easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesnât look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own anyâor even just lessâof these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.\nHigh active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. Thatâs a good place to start, but different doesnât always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managersâ portfolios and the thinking behind the picksâas well as when they buy or sell the stocks.\nBarronâslooked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that donât usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didnât own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.\nA Concentrated Approach\nThe Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.\nThe past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasnât owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. âThey are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but itâs an important question,â says Neff. âWeâve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.â\nThe tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of ânetwork effectâ that makes Google and Amazon attractiveâthe business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.\nMany of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerOâReilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they arenât finding that many bargains todayâand they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. âWe frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,â Cerrone says. âWeâre not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.â\nUnderappreciated Growth\nThe $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.\nThat underweight has been painful; the fundâs 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managersâ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.\nThe fundâs managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Fiveâlike e-commerce and cloud computingâbut doing it differently, says Morningstarâs Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for Chinaâs version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.\nAbout 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isnât concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).\nLean Profit Machines\nThe $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive yearsâa metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook donât make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companiesâ backs.\nSchoensteinâs caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fundâs 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fundâs risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.\nLately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)âa stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. âWhat better business is there to be in than branded addiction?â Schoenstein asks.\nWhile offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day cafĂŠ experience.\n\nInsurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh & McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businessesâinsurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.\nAnother recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: âSome recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, itâs a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.â\nMultiple Managers\nUnlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.\nBut the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap optionâcharging an expense ratio of 0.68%âthat isnât beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.\nManagers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.\nâItâs very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,â says Russel Kinnel, Morningstarâs director of manager research. âYou want a fund to have some good technology exposure because itâs a dynamic sector.â\nGrowth on the Cheap\nThe $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fundâs 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.\nThe fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasnât giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. Thatâs in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflowsâ$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.comâwhich contributes to the market concentration.\nInstead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasnât the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.\nAlso attractive are companies that havenât yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Syscoâs shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.\nAnother recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isnât just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. âIn the past, it was hard to outperform when you werenât involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.â","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155573247,"gmtCreate":1625447056189,"gmtModify":1703741799892,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[What] ","listText":"[What] ","text":"[What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155573247","repostId":"1169840279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151807765,"gmtCreate":1625069880457,"gmtModify":1703735531481,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thanks tiger ?","listText":"thanks tiger ?","text":"thanks tiger ?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd9398aca38782dd096cf45e45ee17f8","width":"750","height":"1238"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/151807765","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151341328,"gmtCreate":1625065232064,"gmtModify":1703735355623,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am considering to buy AMD or NVIDIA","listText":"I am considering to buy AMD or NVIDIA","text":"I am considering to buy AMD or NVIDIA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/151341328","repostId":"153689201","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":153689201,"gmtCreate":1625021431693,"gmtModify":1703850320301,"author":{"id":"3527667596890271","authorId":"3527667596890271","name":"Buy_Sell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f0ed79a338c758a22e0b4ea13bf9d2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667596890271","authorIdStr":"3527667596890271"},"themes":[],"title":"ă6ć30ăäťĺ¤Šćäťéşźäş¤ćč¨ĺďź","htmlText":"ččäťćĽäť˝ç交ććłćłďźĺ ćŹĺ°ćźĺ¤§ç¤čľ°ĺ˘ĺžçşççćłďźç柲/çčˇĺŞéťčĄçĽ¨ăćŹćŹĺŽççă 港čĄĺ¸ĺ ´ 6ć30ćĽďźć¸ŻčĄä¸ťčŚćć¸éŤéďźćć柲0.39%ĺ ą29107éťďźĺć柲0.46%ĺ ą10807éťďźćçç§ććć¸ćź˛0.59%ĺ ą8249éťă ç¤é˘ä¸ďźĺ äźćżĺĄĺ ¨çˇéŤéďź<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01108\">$ć´é˝çťçčĄäť˝(01108)$</a> čĄäť˝éŤé5%ďź<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03868\">$俥瞊č˝ćş(03868)$</a> ă<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00451\">$ĺéŤć°č˝ćş(00451)$</a> 柲čż2%ďźäżéŞčĄăčĽĺčĄăäšłćĽčĄăéĺćŠć˘°čĄăçć°ŁčĄăéźéľčĄćŽćź˛ďź<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06186\">$ä¸ĺéŁéś´(06186)$</a> ă<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01299\">$ĺéŚäżéŞ(01299)$</a> éŤé1.9%ďźĺ¤§ĺç§ćčĄééŤéŤéďź<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$眲ć-S(09999)$</a> 柲čż3%ďź<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$亏ćąéĺ-SW(09618)$</a> 柲2.5%ďź<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$騰č¨ć§čĄ(00700)$</a> ă","listText":"ččäťćĽäť˝ç交ććłćłďźĺ ćŹĺ°ćźĺ¤§ç¤čľ°ĺ˘ĺžçşççćłďźç柲/çčˇĺŞéťčĄçĽ¨ăćŹćŹĺŽççă 港čĄĺ¸ĺ ´ 6ć30ćĽďźć¸ŻčĄä¸ťčŚćć¸éŤéďźćć柲0.39%ĺ ą29107éťďźĺć柲0.46%ĺ ą10807éťďźćçç§ććć¸ćź˛0.59%ĺ ą8249éťă ç¤é˘ä¸ďźĺ äźćżĺĄĺ ¨çˇéŤéďź<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01108\">$ć´é˝çťçčĄäť˝(01108)$</a> čĄäť˝éŤé5%ďź<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03868\">$俥瞊č˝ćş(03868)$</a> ă<a target=\"_blank\" 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624544560,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120000038?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-24 22:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120000038","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 24) Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading.","content":"<p>(June 24) Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cd0932903c91de351d040cf6292b2df\" tg-width=\"373\" tg-height=\"241\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChinese education stocks rally in morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-24 22:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 24) Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cd0932903c91de351d040cf6292b2df\" tg-width=\"373\" tg-height=\"241\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOTU":"éŤé","EDU":"ć°ä¸ćš","TAL":"弽ćŞćĽ"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120000038","content_text":"(June 24) Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121604369,"gmtCreate":1624460560351,"gmtModify":1703837510555,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORPH\">$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$</a>HAHHAHAHAA UP MORE PLS ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORPH\">$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$</a>HAHHAHAHAA UP MORE PLS ","text":"$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$HAHHAHAHAA UP MORE PLS","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e12ccfdd947f184b3d71be922ef27fa","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121604369","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121984281,"gmtCreate":1624449774543,"gmtModify":1703837006379,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>Joined the fun","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>Joined the fun","text":"$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$Joined the fun","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af906e8b91475171bb4cc80007b59919","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121984281","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167864389,"gmtCreate":1624259910741,"gmtModify":1703831802590,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If the price drops, I will buy more.","listText":"If the price drops, I will buy more.","text":"If the price drops, I will buy more.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167864389","repostId":"1175906479","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175906479","pubTimestamp":1624242000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175906479?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-21 10:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Winter Is Coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175906479","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share .In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.</li>\n <li>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).</li>\n <li>From the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dc5052119e6bbc5b693cf7385d8738\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview</span></p>\n<p>Apple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.</p>\n<p>Over the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4602be0c6fa92191baf04a7496c4e024\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>Let's now take a look at each of these segments:</p>\n<p><b>1. iPhone</b></p>\n<p>From 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916b48499e3e3ed2c0c167af3ba62bdb\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report</span></p>\n<p>So far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>2. iPad</b></p>\n<p>As it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6faf9ddb8d29d662fcaa46bbda862f48\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>The TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).</p>\n<p><b>3. Mac</b></p>\n<p>From 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2494d89c1d5cd70a4cf0c5fb31fb20a\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>The generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.</p>\n<p><b>4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&A)</b></p>\n<p>The Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e16432a1ae66aa9dda7a4f969a9cfcdf\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>The WH&A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).</p>\n<p><b>5. Services</b></p>\n<p>Services include sales from the Companyâs advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af34eb1ba8fffd690a75318f8cf805f7\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>To date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>First, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Company Analysis</b></p>\n<p>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7a2222a8e8b9088e619b0b971193a1f\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>It is very important to capitalize on R&D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.</p>\n<p><b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p>\n<p>Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2da633d931f51b493d897d9c87ecee5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>Now, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><i>Base Case Scenario</i>: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.</li>\n <li><i>Best Case Scenario</i>: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.</li>\n <li><i>Worst Case Scenario</i>: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Finally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.</p>\n<p><b>Sensitivity Analysis</b></p>\n<p>Moreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95f00eba768526d07d68fd846ecf998d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p><b>Technical Analysis</b></p>\n<p>From the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecf3e5f45dcb5e30b092c02bbf94d6f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:TradingView.com</span></p>\n<p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p>\n<p>Apple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Winter Is Coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Winter Is Coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 10:20 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nApple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"čšć"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175906479","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.\n\nMichael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview\nApple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.\nOver the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nLet's now take a look at each of these segments:\n1. iPhone\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report\nSo far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.\n\nIn the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.\n\n2. iPad\nAs it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).\n3. Mac\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.\n4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&A)\nThe Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe WH&A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).\n5. Services\nServices include sales from the Companyâs advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTo date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.\n\nFirst, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.\n\nCompany Analysis\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nIt is very important to capitalize on R&D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.\nDiscounted Cash Flow Model\nNow, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nNow, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:\n\nBase Case Scenario: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.\nBest Case Scenario: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.\nWorst Case Scenario: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.\n\nFinally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.\nSensitivity Analysis\nMoreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTechnical Analysis\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).\nSource:TradingView.com\nFinal Thoughts\nApple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162083098,"gmtCreate":1624027544614,"gmtModify":1703827074964,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORPH\">$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$</a>UP more","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORPH\">$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$</a>UP more","text":"$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$UP more","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a774c3386011587691c1291a7dec3d9","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/162083098","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":904,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169497711,"gmtCreate":1623846616533,"gmtModify":1703821198409,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy] ","listText":"[Happy] ","text":"[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/169497711","repostId":"2143279592","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143279592","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the worldâs most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623840540,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2143279592?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-16 18:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon commits $300 million to help build 3,000 affordable housing units near public transit areas","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143279592","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$ said Wednesday it has committed $300 million to help accelerate the creatio","content":"<p>Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> said Wednesday it has committed $300 million to help accelerate the creation of up to 3,000 new affordable housing units across the Puget Sound area in Washington, in Washington, D.C. and Nashville. The Seattle-based ecommerce giant, in partnership with Sound Transit, said the commitment was in the form of below-market funding to developers to help expedite the building of affordable housing on Sound Transit property. The company has also committed $125 million to help build 1,000 affordable housing units at Metro Stations throughout D.C., and has committed $75 million to help build 800 affordable housing units near high-capacity transit corridors in the Nashville area. \"Increasingly, we are facing an affordable housing crisis across the entire Puget Sound region, and Sound Transit is expanding rail service into communities that are becoming less and less affordable for working families,\" said Sound Transit Chief Executive Peter Rogoff. Amazon's stock, which slipped 0.2% in premarket trading, has gained 3.9% year to date through Tuesday, while the S&P 500 has advanced 13.1%.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon commits $300 million to help build 3,000 affordable housing units near public transit areas</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon commits $300 million to help build 3,000 affordable housing units near public transit areas\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-16 18:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> said Wednesday it has committed $300 million to help accelerate the creation of up to 3,000 new affordable housing units across the Puget Sound area in Washington, in Washington, D.C. and Nashville. The Seattle-based ecommerce giant, in partnership with Sound Transit, said the commitment was in the form of below-market funding to developers to help expedite the building of affordable housing on Sound Transit property. The company has also committed $125 million to help build 1,000 affordable housing units at Metro Stations throughout D.C., and has committed $75 million to help build 800 affordable housing units near high-capacity transit corridors in the Nashville area. \"Increasingly, we are facing an affordable housing crisis across the entire Puget Sound region, and Sound Transit is expanding rail service into communities that are becoming less and less affordable for working families,\" said Sound Transit Chief Executive Peter Rogoff. Amazon's stock, which slipped 0.2% in premarket trading, has gained 3.9% year to date through Tuesday, while the S&P 500 has advanced 13.1%.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"äşéŠŹé","09086":"ĺĺ¤çşłć-U","QNETCN":"çşłćŻčžžĺ ä¸çžäşčç˝ččćć°","03086":"ĺĺ¤çşłć"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143279592","content_text":"Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$ said Wednesday it has committed $300 million to help accelerate the creation of up to 3,000 new affordable housing units across the Puget Sound area in Washington, in Washington, D.C. and Nashville. The Seattle-based ecommerce giant, in partnership with Sound Transit, said the commitment was in the form of below-market funding to developers to help expedite the building of affordable housing on Sound Transit property. The company has also committed $125 million to help build 1,000 affordable housing units at Metro Stations throughout D.C., and has committed $75 million to help build 800 affordable housing units near high-capacity transit corridors in the Nashville area. \"Increasingly, we are facing an affordable housing crisis across the entire Puget Sound region, and Sound Transit is expanding rail service into communities that are becoming less and less affordable for working families,\" said Sound Transit Chief Executive Peter Rogoff. Amazon's stock, which slipped 0.2% in premarket trading, has gained 3.9% year to date through Tuesday, while the S&P 500 has advanced 13.1%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":42,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":171326859,"gmtCreate":1626707376971,"gmtModify":1703763806124,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cry] ","listText":"[Cry] ","text":"[Cry]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/171326859","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146536243?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be âhotter and shorterâ. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p>\n<p>The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p>\n<p>But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p>\n<p>Instead, letâs consider why we use the term âcycleâ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p>\n<p>Was last yearâs recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p>\n<p>If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that itâs a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should <i>continue</i> to do so.</p>\n<p>Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p>\n<p>Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, weâve long been fans of a composite. Thatâs our âcycle modelâ, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle âdownturnâ in June 2019, and early-cycle ârepairâ in April 2020, itâs rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that itâs blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into âexpansionâ.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. âExpansionâ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and itâs showing up in our quantitative measure.</p>\n<p>All this has a number of implications:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the âexpansionâ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>\n <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>\n <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>\n <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the âexpansionâ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be âhotter and shorterâ. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 16:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle '...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"ć ćŽ500ETF",".DJI":"éçźćŻ",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, letâs consider why we use the term âcycleâ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last yearâs recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that itâs a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, weâve long been fans of a composite. Thatâs our âcycle modelâ, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle âdownturnâ in June 2019, and early-cycle ârepairâ in April 2020, itâs rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that itâs blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into âexpansionâ.\nThisis unusual. âExpansionâ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and itâs showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the âexpansionâ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the âexpansionâ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be âhotter and shorterâ. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189091904,"gmtCreate":1623230714109,"gmtModify":1704198855378,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment. HODL for AMC","listText":"Like and comment. HODL for AMC","text":"Like and comment. HODL for AMC","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189091904","repostId":"1154263782","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154263782","pubTimestamp":1623204460,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154263782?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-09 10:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 10 Most Talked About Stocks on Reddit Today","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154263782","media":"investorplace","summary":"Reddit continues to be the home of meme stocks and with the recent rally surrounding those, itâs worth looking in and seeing what traders on the subreddit are talking about.WallStreetBets in particular is one of the most popular subreddits where users collect to talk about their stock picks. Thatâs no different on Tuesday with there being plenty of chatter to look into.Letâs see the most talked-about stockson Reddit WallStreetBets today below.","content":"<p>Reddit continues to be the home of meme stocks and with the recent rally surrounding those, itâs worth looking in and seeing what traders on the subreddit are talking about.</p><p>WallStreetBets in particular is one of the most popular subreddits where users collect to talk about their stock picks. Thatâs no different on Tuesday with there being plenty of chatter to look into.</p><p>Letâs see the most talked-about stockson Reddit WallStreetBets today below.</p><p>Most Talked About Reddit Stocks Today</p><ol><li><b>Clover Health</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>CLOV</u></b>) takes the top spot on the list with more than 2,000 mentions over the last four hours. The stock is sitting 76% higher as of this writing.</li><li><b>BlackBerry</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BB</u></b>) is up next with the stock getting close to 1,000 mentions as of Tuesday afternoon. The stock is currently down slightly today.</li><li><b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>) is always a Reddit favorite with just over 800 mentions on WSB. Shares are up 5.5% right now.</li><li><b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>) secures its sport on the list with more than 560 mentions. The stock is down 1.6% as of this writing.</li><li><b>Clean Energy Fuels</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>CLNE</u></b>) joins the list with close to 400 mentions Tuesday afternoon. Itâs also down 6.3%% at that same time.</li><li><b>Wendyâs</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>WEN</u></b>) is a new favorite of Reddit with more than 250 mentions. The stock is up 18.4% as of this writing.</li><li><b>WorkHorse</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>WKHS</u></b>) stock is getting talked about today with about 230 mentions. The shares are up 16.6% as of Tuesday afternoon.</li><li><b>Academy Sports & Outdoors</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>ASO</u></b>) is also on the list with about 120 mentions. The stock is up 2.8% as of this writing.</li><li><b>Tilray</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>TLRY</u></b>) is just past 100 mentions with its place on the list. Shares are up close to 1% right now.</li><li><b>Nokia</b>(NYSE:<b><u>NOK</u></b>) is the final entry on the list with just under 100 mentions. The stock is down slightly at the moment.</li></ol><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 10 Most Talked About Stocks on Reddit Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 10 Most Talked About Stocks on Reddit Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-09 10:07 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/06/the-10-most-talked-about-stocks-on-reddit-today/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Reddit continues to be the home of meme stocks and with the recent rally surrounding those, itâs worth looking in and seeing what traders on the subreddit are talking about.WallStreetBets in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/the-10-most-talked-about-stocks-on-reddit-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","BB":"éťč","GME":"游ć銿çŤ","AMC":"AMCé˘çşż","CLNE":"Clean Energy Fuels Corp","WEN":"渊čćąĺ Ą","ASO":"Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc.","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","NOK":"诺ĺşäş"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/the-10-most-talked-about-stocks-on-reddit-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154263782","content_text":"Reddit continues to be the home of meme stocks and with the recent rally surrounding those, itâs worth looking in and seeing what traders on the subreddit are talking about.WallStreetBets in particular is one of the most popular subreddits where users collect to talk about their stock picks. Thatâs no different on Tuesday with there being plenty of chatter to look into.Letâs see the most talked-about stockson Reddit WallStreetBets today below.Most Talked About Reddit Stocks TodayClover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) takes the top spot on the list with more than 2,000 mentions over the last four hours. The stock is sitting 76% higher as of this writing.BlackBerry(NYSE:BB) is up next with the stock getting close to 1,000 mentions as of Tuesday afternoon. The stock is currently down slightly today.GameStop(NYSE:GME) is always a Reddit favorite with just over 800 mentions on WSB. Shares are up 5.5% right now.AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) secures its sport on the list with more than 560 mentions. The stock is down 1.6% as of this writing.Clean Energy Fuels(NASDAQ:CLNE) joins the list with close to 400 mentions Tuesday afternoon. Itâs also down 6.3%% at that same time.Wendyâs(NASDAQ:WEN) is a new favorite of Reddit with more than 250 mentions. The stock is up 18.4% as of this writing.WorkHorse(NASDAQ:WKHS) stock is getting talked about today with about 230 mentions. The shares are up 16.6% as of Tuesday afternoon.Academy Sports & Outdoors(NASDAQ:ASO) is also on the list with about 120 mentions. The stock is up 2.8% as of this writing.Tilray(NASDAQ:TLRY) is just past 100 mentions with its place on the list. Shares are up close to 1% right now.Nokia(NYSE:NOK) is the final entry on the list with just under 100 mentions. The stock is down slightly at the moment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187075605,"gmtCreate":1623732683007,"gmtModify":1704209886102,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Any APES here? [Cool] ","listText":"Any APES here? [Cool] ","text":"Any APES here? [Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187075605","repostId":"2143178756","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143178756","pubTimestamp":1623719401,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2143178756?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 09:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Avoid This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143178756","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.","content":"<p>In last week's article on three stocks to avoid, I predicted that <b>GameStop</b> (NYSE:GME), <b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b> (NYSE:AMC), and <b>Carnival</b> (NYSE:CCL) would have a rough few days.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>GameStop lived up to my prediction on tumbling the day after reporting quarterly results, something that has now happened in 10 of the past 11 reports. The video game retailer plummeted 27% on Thursday, but it moved nicely higher the other four days of the week -- trimming its weeklong decline to just 6%.</li>\n <li>AMC closed out the week with a 3% gain, following the 83% burst higher the week before. The multiplex operator is benefiting from a surge in box office receipts, but they continue to track at less than half of where the industry was two years ago.</li>\n <li>Finally we have Carnival sinking 2% for the week. Cruise stocks have been buoyant ahead of a return to sailing this month, but we're already seeing COVID-19 cases pop up in the limited number of voyages taking place so far.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Those three stocks averaged a 1.7% decline for the week. The <b>S&P 500</b> rose by 0.4% in that time, so I won. Right now, I see <b>Royal Caribbean</b> (NYSE:RCL), AMC Entertainment Holdings, and <b>Osprey Bitcoin Trust</b> (OTC:OBTC) as vulnerable investments in the near term. Here's why I think these are three stocks to avoid this week.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/844fa22418b0d6398103c6917b0d7eb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"459\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>1. Royal Caribbean</h2>\n<p>This was supposed to be the summer that the cruise industry finally roars back into being, but we're already seeing some choppy waters. Royal Caribbean's <i>Celebrity Millennium</i> became the first major cruise ship available to North American seafarers earlier this month since the industry shut down last March. A few days into the maiden voyage, a pair of passengers contracted the COVID-19 virus.</p>\n<p>There's also an operational standoff in Royal Caribbean's home state of Florida, where the governor is threatening to fine cruise lines for requiring vaccinations of its passengers. It's a Catch-22 for the industry, as the CDC requires at least 95% of a ship's passengers to be fully vaccinated to resume sailings without having to go through a series of costly test cruises.</p>\n<p>Royal Caribbean is my favorite of the three cruise lines as an investment, but it's also held up the best during the lull. With the reopening off to a bumpy start it also makes the stock vulnerable here.</p>\n<h2><b>2. AMC Entertainment</b></h2>\n<p>I'm a fan of a lot that AMC Entertainment has done to get bet better at a time when many of its smaller rivals have been merely walking in place. The country's largest multiplex operator has upped its seat reservations and mobile order tech and carved out a new revenue stream with actively promoted private rentals. The new Investor Connect program is sheer genius, monetizing its newborn attention as a meme stock with millions of retail investors by trying to convert them into customers.</p>\n<p>However, after ballooning its share count north of 500 million -- and the stock still moving higher -- there will eventually be a price to be paid in terms of valuation. AMC Entertainment enters this week with an enterprise value above $35 billion, and sooner or later someone is going to have to pay the tab at the end of the party.</p>\n<p>AMC is doing the right things to stay on top of a declining industry, but it's not enough to justify today's sticker price. This has historically been a low-margin business -- in the low single digits for net margin most years -- despite the markup on concessions. You'll see a year-over-year bounce this year, but we may never return to 2019 as a baseline. Theatrical release windows are being shattered by streaming initiatives. AMC has bloated its debt levels and share count to stay alive, but all of this comes at a price that right now seems too dear to pay.</p>\n<h2>3. Osprey Bitcoin Trust</h2>\n<p>I believe in keeping a small percent of your risk-tolerant portfolio in crypto, but not every vehicle is in the same boat. Osprey Bitcoin Trust offers investors a low-cost way to play the popularity of <b>Bitcoin</b> (CRYPTO:BTC) in a stock exchange-listed vehicle.</p>\n<p>Osprey Bitcoin Trust is a lot smaller than the market's original Bitcoin-owning trust, and it's also trading at an unsustainable premium. Osprey's mark-up to its stake of Bitcoin tokens has been contracting since hitting the market earlier this year, and I was starting to get interested when the premium narrowed to 12% a week ago.</p>\n<p>The mark-up is going the wrong way again. Osprey Bitcoin Trust owns what is currently $12.68 in Bitcoin, but it closed last week at $14.95. Is an 18% premium worth it when the much larger -- but admittedly more high-cost -- <b>Grayscale Bitcoin Trust</b> (OTC:GBTC) is fetching an 11% discount to its net asset value?</p>\n<p>If you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Royal Caribbean, AMC Entertainment, and Osprey Bitcoin Trust this week.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Avoid This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Avoid This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 09:10 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/14/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In last week's article on three stocks to avoid, I predicted that GameStop (NYSE:GME), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), and Carnival (NYSE:CCL) would have a rough few days.\n\nGameStop lived up to...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/14/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OBTC":"Osprey Bitcoin Trust","GME":"游ć銿çŤ","AMC":"AMCé˘çşż","CCL":"ĺĺš´ĺéŽč˝Ž"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/14/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143178756","content_text":"In last week's article on three stocks to avoid, I predicted that GameStop (NYSE:GME), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), and Carnival (NYSE:CCL) would have a rough few days.\n\nGameStop lived up to my prediction on tumbling the day after reporting quarterly results, something that has now happened in 10 of the past 11 reports. The video game retailer plummeted 27% on Thursday, but it moved nicely higher the other four days of the week -- trimming its weeklong decline to just 6%.\nAMC closed out the week with a 3% gain, following the 83% burst higher the week before. The multiplex operator is benefiting from a surge in box office receipts, but they continue to track at less than half of where the industry was two years ago.\nFinally we have Carnival sinking 2% for the week. Cruise stocks have been buoyant ahead of a return to sailing this month, but we're already seeing COVID-19 cases pop up in the limited number of voyages taking place so far.\n\nThose three stocks averaged a 1.7% decline for the week. The S&P 500 rose by 0.4% in that time, so I won. Right now, I see Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL), AMC Entertainment Holdings, and Osprey Bitcoin Trust (OTC:OBTC) as vulnerable investments in the near term. Here's why I think these are three stocks to avoid this week.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n1. Royal Caribbean\nThis was supposed to be the summer that the cruise industry finally roars back into being, but we're already seeing some choppy waters. Royal Caribbean's Celebrity Millennium became the first major cruise ship available to North American seafarers earlier this month since the industry shut down last March. A few days into the maiden voyage, a pair of passengers contracted the COVID-19 virus.\nThere's also an operational standoff in Royal Caribbean's home state of Florida, where the governor is threatening to fine cruise lines for requiring vaccinations of its passengers. It's a Catch-22 for the industry, as the CDC requires at least 95% of a ship's passengers to be fully vaccinated to resume sailings without having to go through a series of costly test cruises.\nRoyal Caribbean is my favorite of the three cruise lines as an investment, but it's also held up the best during the lull. With the reopening off to a bumpy start it also makes the stock vulnerable here.\n2. AMC Entertainment\nI'm a fan of a lot that AMC Entertainment has done to get bet better at a time when many of its smaller rivals have been merely walking in place. The country's largest multiplex operator has upped its seat reservations and mobile order tech and carved out a new revenue stream with actively promoted private rentals. The new Investor Connect program is sheer genius, monetizing its newborn attention as a meme stock with millions of retail investors by trying to convert them into customers.\nHowever, after ballooning its share count north of 500 million -- and the stock still moving higher -- there will eventually be a price to be paid in terms of valuation. AMC Entertainment enters this week with an enterprise value above $35 billion, and sooner or later someone is going to have to pay the tab at the end of the party.\nAMC is doing the right things to stay on top of a declining industry, but it's not enough to justify today's sticker price. This has historically been a low-margin business -- in the low single digits for net margin most years -- despite the markup on concessions. You'll see a year-over-year bounce this year, but we may never return to 2019 as a baseline. Theatrical release windows are being shattered by streaming initiatives. AMC has bloated its debt levels and share count to stay alive, but all of this comes at a price that right now seems too dear to pay.\n3. Osprey Bitcoin Trust\nI believe in keeping a small percent of your risk-tolerant portfolio in crypto, but not every vehicle is in the same boat. Osprey Bitcoin Trust offers investors a low-cost way to play the popularity of Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) in a stock exchange-listed vehicle.\nOsprey Bitcoin Trust is a lot smaller than the market's original Bitcoin-owning trust, and it's also trading at an unsustainable premium. Osprey's mark-up to its stake of Bitcoin tokens has been contracting since hitting the market earlier this year, and I was starting to get interested when the premium narrowed to 12% a week ago.\nThe mark-up is going the wrong way again. Osprey Bitcoin Trust owns what is currently $12.68 in Bitcoin, but it closed last week at $14.95. Is an 18% premium worth it when the much larger -- but admittedly more high-cost -- Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (OTC:GBTC) is fetching an 11% discount to its net asset value?\nIf you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Royal Caribbean, AMC Entertainment, and Osprey Bitcoin Trust this week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":36,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894784993,"gmtCreate":1628857690712,"gmtModify":1676529876409,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>[Cry] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>[Cry] ","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$[Cry]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53b95f9d64d9687d68e6f4708b5074be","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/894784993","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":893,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581982820314062","authorId":"3581982820314062","name":"Konster","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf5bcaff892b862782c826a35a6cde77","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581982820314062","authorIdStr":"3581982820314062"},"content":"Live with the orchestra and play erhu, [Spurting]","text":"Live with the orchestra and play erhu, [Spurting]","html":"Live with the orchestra and play erhu, [Spurting]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134064969,"gmtCreate":1622193509651,"gmtModify":1704181231170,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls. Thanks","listText":"Like and comment pls. Thanks","text":"Like and comment pls. Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/134064969","repostId":"1148985369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3576220386239608","authorId":"3576220386239608","name":"TTH4Legs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576220386239608","authorIdStr":"3576220386239608"},"content":"Done. Reply pls","text":"Done. Reply pls","html":"Done. Reply pls"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155575373,"gmtCreate":1625447188092,"gmtModify":1703741806743,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls thanks [Happy] ","listText":"Like and comment pls thanks [Happy] ","text":"Like and comment pls thanks [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155575373","repostId":"1189605893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189605893","pubTimestamp":1625363433,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189605893?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-04 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189605893","media":"Barron's","summary":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investorsâ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.Investorsâ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500âm","content":"<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investorsâ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.</p>\n<p>Owning the Big FiveâApple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabetâsGoogle (GOOGL)âhas been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managersâincluding those who donât typically own growth companies.</p>\n<p>Together, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than todayâs biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Fiveâs impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBMâs in its heyday.</p>\n<p>There are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire marketâincluding all index investorsâwill feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.</p>\n<p><b>When Less May Be More</b></p>\n<p>These funds are more diversified than the S&P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d308adf067ef3205da5f7c1bddb75e77\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Investorsâ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500âmore than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasnât hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the companyâs e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panelâs approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.</p>\n<p>A global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. âThe story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,â says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. âBut for those who think the economy has room to run, you donât have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.â For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.</p>\n<p>With the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.</p>\n<p>It isnât easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesnât look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own anyâor even just lessâof these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.</p>\n<p>High active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. Thatâs a good place to start, but different doesnât always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managersâ portfolios and the thinking behind the picksâas well as when they buy or sell the stocks.</p>\n<p><i>Barronâs</i>looked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that donât usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didnât own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.</p>\n<p><b>A Concentrated Approach</b></p>\n<p>The Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.</p>\n<p>The past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasnât owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. âThey are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but itâs an important question,â says Neff. âWeâve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.â</p>\n<p>The tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of ânetwork effectâ that makes Google and Amazon attractiveâthe business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.</p>\n<p>Many of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerOâReilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they arenât finding that many bargains todayâand they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. âWe frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,â Cerrone says. âWeâre not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.â</p>\n<p><b>Underappreciated Growth</b></p>\n<p>The $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.</p>\n<p>That underweight has been painful; the fundâs 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managersâ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.</p>\n<p>The fundâs managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Fiveâlike e-commerce and cloud computingâbut doing it differently, says Morningstarâs Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for Chinaâs version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.</p>\n<p>About 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isnât concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).</p>\n<p><b>Lean Profit Machines</b></p>\n<p>The $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive yearsâa metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook donât make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companiesâ backs.</p>\n<p>Schoensteinâs caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fundâs 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fundâs risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.</p>\n<p>Lately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)âa stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. âWhat better business is there to be in than branded addiction?â Schoenstein asks.</p>\n<p>While offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day cafĂŠ experience.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81aeb359e30f7394a363f00feb8ce0cf\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"477\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Insurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh & McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businessesâinsurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.</p>\n<p>Another recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: âSome recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, itâs a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.â</p>\n<p><b>Multiple Managers</b></p>\n<p>Unlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.</p>\n<p>But the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap optionâcharging an expense ratio of 0.68%âthat isnât beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.</p>\n<p>Managers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.</p>\n<p>âItâs very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,â says Russel Kinnel, Morningstarâs director of manager research. âYou want a fund to have some good technology exposure because itâs a dynamic sector.â</p>\n<p><b>Growth on the Cheap</b></p>\n<p>The $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fundâs 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.</p>\n<p>The fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasnât giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. Thatâs in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflowsâ$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.comâwhich contributes to the market concentration.</p>\n<p>Instead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasnât the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.</p>\n<p>Also attractive are companies that havenât yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Syscoâs shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.</p>\n<p>Another recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isnât just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. âIn the past, it was hard to outperform when you werenât involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.â</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen Big Tech Stumbles, the Market Can Fall Hard. These 5 Funds Can Help.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-04 09:50 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investorsâ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"éçźćŻ",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"ć ćŽ500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-stocks-risk-funds-51625257865?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189605893","content_text":"It is possible to have too much of a good thing. After riding five megacap technology stocks to new highs after new highs, investorsâ portfolios may be uncomfortably concentrated in these winners at a time that some strategists see a potential turn ahead in the markets.\nOwning the Big FiveâApple(ticker: AAPL),Microsoft(MSFT),Amazon.com(AMZN),Facebook(FB), andAlphabetâsGoogle (GOOGL)âhas been lucrative: These companies have logged gains of 125% to 245% since the beginning of 2019. These stocks are widely held, not just by index investors, but also among all kinds of active fund managersâincluding those who donât typically own growth companies.\nTogether, the five companies account for almost 22% of theS&P 500index. Of course, the Nifty Fifty stocks dominated the 1970s, and blue-chip stalwarts such asIBM(IBM) andAT&T(T) ruled the 1980s. Those companies may have wielded even more influence over the broad economy than todayâs biggest companies do, but the level of market concentration is higher now, and the Big Fiveâs impact on the broad market is much greater because of their size, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. Apple and Microsoft are the first U.S. stocks whose market values have soared past $2 trillion. Though it has slipped a bit this year, Apple hit peak concentration for a single stock in the S&P 500 last year at about 7%, higher than IBMâs in its heyday.\nThere are signs that investor appetite for risk is waning, which could hurt the prospects for the growth of Big Tech. There has beena selloff in speculative cornersof the market, such as cryptocurrencies and special purpose acquisition companies, better known as SPACs. And, of course, there is therising consternationabout both inflation andinterest ratesmoving higher. If the Big Fiveslow downor tumble, the entire marketâincluding all index investorsâwill feel it. If these stocks decline by 10%, for instance, in order for the S&P 500 to keep trading flat, the bottom 100 stocks in the index would have to rise by a collective 75%, according toGoldman Sachs.This dynamic explains why narrow market breadth has often preceded big losses.\nWhen Less May Be More\nThese funds are more diversified than the S&P 500, and could be more resilient if the tech megacaps stumble.\n\nInvestorsâ portfolios are chock-full of these stocks, leaving them less diversified for a possible turn in the market. These companies are already beginning to slow down. Take Amazon, which accounts for roughly 4% of the S&P 500âmore than the energy, real estate, materials, or utilities sectors. Amazon hasnât hit an all-time high this year, and has underperformed the S&P 500 by 25 percentage points since September 2020 amid questions about the companyâs e-commerce growth. Add in regulatory pressure, which could make the path ahead for these companies rockier, such as a House panelâs approval of sweeping legislation last month that could curb the dominance of companies like Google and Facebook.\nA global recovery could also make the Big Five stocks less special. âThe story line with megacap tech stocks has been that economic growth has been hard to find and rates so low that you wanted to own powerful growth stocks,â says Scott Opsal, director of research at Leuthold Group. âBut for those who think the economy has room to run, you donât have to pay up for the growth that investors were willing to pay for in 2018 or 2019.â For Opsal, the changing backdrop is reason for a barbell approach, owning some of the technology winners but also diversifying into a wider array of more value-oriented and smaller stocks.\nWith the market so concentrated in a handful of megacap tech stocks, Opsal says that investors may want the type of funds that do what the fund consultants advise against: be willing to drift out of their lane, and be willing to not fit neatly into a growth or value category.\nIt isnât easy finding good fund managers with the acumen to pick the right stocks beyond the other 495, the grit to avoid the crowd, and the track record that demonstrates to investors that they can be different and correct. Performance doesnât look all that great for managers whose wariness led them to own less of the technology darlings that drove the market to highs over the past several years. And the decision to not own anyâor even just lessâof these companies sometimes pushed managers out of theirMorningstarcategory into areas like large-cap blend.\nHigh active share has often been a go-to gauge for finding fund managers who look different than their benchmarks. Thatâs a good place to start, but different doesnât always lead to outperformance, so Morningstar strategist Alec Lucas recommends understanding what is in the managersâ portfolios and the thinking behind the picksâas well as when they buy or sell the stocks.\nBarronâslooked for large-cap growth-oriented managers that donât usually stick too close to an index and have long, and strong, track records. We turned up both diversified and concentrated funds; some didnât own any of the Big Five, while some owned a bit, albeit less than their peers. All may offer investors a way to tweak rather than overhaul their portfolios, giving them some more diversification while still tapping into large, growing companies.\nA Concentrated Approach\nThe Akre Focus fund (AKREX) falls into the concentrated bucket. It owns about 20 well-managed companies that the managers, John Neff and Chris Cerrone, think are superior businesses and adept at reinvesting in the companies. The fund has just a 4% turnover, so it holds on to its investments for years. That has been a winning long-term strategy: Akre Focus has an 18% average annual return over the past decade, beating 84% of its peers.\nThe past few years have been tough, though: The fund hasnât owned the Big Five, and has just 13% of its assets in any kind of technology company, whereas most of its peers have close to a third in tech. It has averaged 22% annually over the past three years; not too shabby on an absolute basis, but landing it midpack among competitors. The managers are resolute in finding growth elsewhere. âThey are tremendous businesses, but how many more times can they double in value, given their current size? Maybe many times, but itâs an important question,â says Neff. âWeâve generally focused on smaller businesses with ostensibly longer runways with which to compound.â\nThe tech investments that the managers have made are largely in software companies like Constellation Software (CSU.Canada),Adobe(ADBE), andCoStar Group(CSGP) that have long paths to growth ahead of them as more companies rely on their products. The fund also looks for companies with the type of ânetwork effectâ that makes Google and Amazon attractiveâthe business model gets stronger as more people use it, and makes the company that much harder to replace. Top holdings like Mastercard (MA) andVisa(V) fit that description.\nMany of the companies the duo favors are positioned to hold up, stand out, or even benefit from difficult times, like auto-parts retailerOâReilly Automotive(ORLY), which recently reported its best comparable same-store sales in 25 years. Given the market backdrop, co-manager Cerrone says they arenât finding that many bargains todayâand they are willing to hold cash if that continues. Today, cash sits at just 2%. âWe frankly wish we had more cash than we do today,â Cerrone says. âWeâre not bearish, but we think we will be presented with better opportunities.â\nUnderappreciated Growth\nThe $10.1 billionPrimecap Odyssey Growthfund (POGRX) hunts for companies with above-average earnings growth, but not one of the Big Five tech stocks can be spotted in their top 10 holdings.\nThat underweight has been painful; the fundâs 19.6% annual average return over the past five years puts it in the bottom third of large growth funds. But the managersâ willingness to stick with companies with above-average growth for the long haul, often adding to their shares in downturns, wins them fans.\nThe fundâs managers are investing in some of the broad trends driving the Big Fiveâlike e-commerce and cloud computingâbut doing it differently, says Morningstarâs Lucas. For example, the fund owns Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) instead of Amazon, opting for Chinaâs version of an e-commerce and cloud-computing giant that also trades at a meaningful discount to the U.S. company, Lucas says. Primecap declined to comment.\nAbout 18% of the fund is invested outside the U.S. and its average price/earnings ratio is 20, cheaper than the 29 for the large growth category, according to Morningstar. Though the fund isnât concentrated in the Big Five tech stocks, it has double the stake in healthcare, almost 30% of assets, than other large growth funds. Its top 10 positions includeEli Lilly(LLY),Biogen(BIIB),Abiomed(ABMD), andAmgen(AMGN).\nLean Profit Machines\nThe $10.3 billionJensen Quality Growth(JENSX) focuses on companies that generate 15% return on equity for 10 consecutive yearsâa metric that co-manager Eric Schoenstein sees as a gauge forfoundational excellenceand fortress-like competitive advantages. Amazon and Facebook donât make the cut. Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple rank among the top holdings, but Schoenstein holds roughly a third less than in the Russell 1000 Growth index. Schoenstein says he is trying to be conscious of the risk of concentration if the momentum trade reverts or regulation puts a target on these companiesâ backs.\nSchoensteinâs caution and a focus on quality companies have pushed the fund toward the bottom decile of the large blend Morningstar category year to date, with a return of 11.6%. But the fundâs 17.3% average return over the past five years puts it in the top 35% of large-blend funds tracked by Morningstar. Plus, the fundâs risk-adjusted, long-term performance stands out, losing about 77% as much as the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 Growth indexes when stocks have fallen since Schoenstein began co-managing the fund in 2004, according to Morningstar.\nLately, Schoenstein has been adding to quality stocks that may not be growing as fast but are more attractively priced as investors have left them behind, such asStarbucks(SBUX)âa stock that had been too pricey until the pandemic hit. âWhat better business is there to be in than branded addiction?â Schoenstein asks.\nWhile offices in New York City may not get to 100% occupancy, Schoenstein sees hybrid work situations continuing to drive business to Starbucks, potentially with fewer customers but higher sales, as one person buys for multiple people. The company is also closing stores to become more efficient and moving more toward quick-serve and grab-and-go in some locations rather than an all-day cafĂŠ experience.\n\nInsurance is another area that Schoenstein has been adding to, with companies like Marsh & McLennan (MMC), which is dominant in multiple businessesâinsurance brokerage, health benefits, and retirement asset management with Mercer. Switching costs are high in the world of insurance, and the company benefits from new trends in cybersecurity and data privacy, as well.\nAnother recent purchase: Data-analytics providerVerisk Analytics(VRSK), which serves property and casualty insurers and gets about 80% of its revenue from subscriptions and long-term agreements. The company helps take raw data and analyze it to help insurers, for example, underwrite policies. Says Schoenstein: âSome recovery is still needed because business has struggled over the past year, with business failures and companies putting [projects] on hold. So, itâs a small position, but I think about companies that are super-entrenched with their customers.â\nMultiple Managers\nUnlike the Jensen and Akre funds, which typically own 20 to 30 stocks, the $87 billionAmerican Funds Amcapfund (AMCPX) is well diversified, with more than 200 holdings, as managers hunt for the best ideas regardless of size.Abbott Laboratories(ABT),Broadcom(AVGO),EOG Resources(EOG), and Mastercard are top holdings along with four of the megacap tech quintuplets.\nBut the fund is valuation-sensitive, and its allocation to the Big Five is lower than other growth managers, hurting its performance over the past five years; its average annual return of 17.3% puts it in the bottom decile of performance. For investors looking for diversification, the fund is a relatively cheap optionâcharging an expense ratio of 0.68%âthat isnât beholden to a benchmark and is run by multiple managers who can hunt for their highest-conviction ideas.\nManagers favor companies with strong competitive positioning, which can allow companies to boost prices and better weather near-term inflationary periods. While that includes a healthy helping of healthcare and technology stocks, managers have also gravitated toward cyclical growth companies, including semiconductor firms, travel-related companies, auto suppliers, retailers, and financials benefiting from secular growth as well as getting an additional boost from the Covid recovery.\nâItâs very consistent, and a good core fund with a lot of good stockpickers behind it,â says Russel Kinnel, Morningstarâs director of manager research. âYou want a fund to have some good technology exposure because itâs a dynamic sector.â\nGrowth on the Cheap\nThe $357 million Cambiar Opportunity fund (CAMOX) is a concentrated fund that owns roughly 40 stocks. The fund looks for relative values among industry winners that boast strong long-term demand prospects and pricing power that differentiate it from some of its peers. The fundâs 16% average annual return over the past five years helped it beat 94% of its large-value peers.\nThe fund holds Amazon, which it bought for the first time in early 2020 when the market wasnât giving the e-commerce behemoth much value for its cloud business. It has been harder to own other megacap technology stocks, says Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar. Thatâs in part because of their high valuations, but especially as exchange-traded funds continue to receive record-high inflowsâ$400 billion in the first half of 2021, versus $507 billion for all of last year, according to ETF.comâwhich contributes to the market concentration.\nInstead, the fund has focused on areas such as financials, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Charles Schwab (SCHW), that can grow in this economic environment. Both would benefit from higher interest rates, but Aldrich says that wasnât the reason to buy the stocks. Schwab, for example, is taking market share in wealth management, and its recent acquisition of Ameritrade gives it more heft and the ability to be more cost-efficient.\nAlso attractive are companies that havenât yet seen a full reopening of their businesses, like casino operatorPenn National Gaming(PENN), which Aldrich says is well positioned as states look for more revenue andallow online gambling, and food distributorSysco(SYY), which has yet to benefit from colleges and conferences getting back into full swing. While Syscoâs shares are up 43% in the past year, Aldrich sees more room for gains, noting that the company is a market leader and can take market share as smaller firms consolidate. Plus, it has pricing power to pass on higher commodity costs since it is a distributor.\nAnother recent addition:Uber Technologies(UBER), which Aldrich says isnât just a reopening beneficiary but also has increased the reach of its platform by moving into food delivery and opening the door to other services. âIn the past, it was hard to outperform when you werenât involved in the [concentrated stocks], but we see these trends as transitory. As growth normalizes, the value of other stocks should be recognized.â","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167864389,"gmtCreate":1624259910741,"gmtModify":1703831802590,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If the price drops, I will buy more.","listText":"If the price drops, I will buy more.","text":"If the price drops, I will buy more.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167864389","repostId":"1175906479","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175906479","pubTimestamp":1624242000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175906479?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-21 10:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Winter Is Coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175906479","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share .In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.</li>\n <li>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).</li>\n <li>From the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dc5052119e6bbc5b693cf7385d8738\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview</span></p>\n<p>Apple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.</p>\n<p>Over the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4602be0c6fa92191baf04a7496c4e024\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>Let's now take a look at each of these segments:</p>\n<p><b>1. iPhone</b></p>\n<p>From 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916b48499e3e3ed2c0c167af3ba62bdb\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report</span></p>\n<p>So far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>2. iPad</b></p>\n<p>As it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6faf9ddb8d29d662fcaa46bbda862f48\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>The TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).</p>\n<p><b>3. Mac</b></p>\n<p>From 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2494d89c1d5cd70a4cf0c5fb31fb20a\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>The generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.</p>\n<p><b>4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&A)</b></p>\n<p>The Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e16432a1ae66aa9dda7a4f969a9cfcdf\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>The WH&A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).</p>\n<p><b>5. Services</b></p>\n<p>Services include sales from the Companyâs advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af34eb1ba8fffd690a75318f8cf805f7\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>To date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>First, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Company Analysis</b></p>\n<p>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7a2222a8e8b9088e619b0b971193a1f\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>It is very important to capitalize on R&D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.</p>\n<p><b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p>\n<p>Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2da633d931f51b493d897d9c87ecee5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p>Now, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><i>Base Case Scenario</i>: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.</li>\n <li><i>Best Case Scenario</i>: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.</li>\n <li><i>Worst Case Scenario</i>: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Finally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.</p>\n<p><b>Sensitivity Analysis</b></p>\n<p>Moreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95f00eba768526d07d68fd846ecf998d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p>\n<p><b>Technical Analysis</b></p>\n<p>From the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecf3e5f45dcb5e30b092c02bbf94d6f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:TradingView.com</span></p>\n<p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p>\n<p>Apple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Winter Is Coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Winter Is Coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 10:20 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nApple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"čšć"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175906479","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.\n\nMichael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview\nApple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.\nOver the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nLet's now take a look at each of these segments:\n1. iPhone\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report\nSo far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.\n\nIn the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.\n\n2. iPad\nAs it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).\n3. Mac\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.\n4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&A)\nThe Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe WH&A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).\n5. Services\nServices include sales from the Companyâs advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTo date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.\n\nFirst, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.\n\nCompany Analysis\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nIt is very important to capitalize on R&D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.\nDiscounted Cash Flow Model\nNow, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nNow, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:\n\nBase Case Scenario: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.\nBest Case Scenario: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.\nWorst Case Scenario: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.\n\nFinally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.\nSensitivity Analysis\nMoreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTechnical Analysis\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).\nSource:TradingView.com\nFinal Thoughts\nApple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185426711,"gmtCreate":1623668617333,"gmtModify":1704208193164,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment. Thanks [Great] ","listText":"Pls like and comment. Thanks [Great] ","text":"Pls like and comment. Thanks [Great]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185426711","repostId":"1101734335","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101734335","pubTimestamp":1623654726,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1101734335?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-14 15:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These stocks could be big winners if interest rates continue to fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101734335","media":"CNBC","summary":"Interest rates are unexpectedly retreating, spurring investors to rethink which stocks to bet on as ","content":"<div>\n<p>Interest rates are unexpectedly retreating, spurring investors to rethink which stocks to bet on as 2021 continues. Certain stocks that have performed well when rates fell in the past might just be ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/11/these-stocks-could-be-big-winners-if-interest-rates-continue-to-fall.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These stocks could be big winners if interest rates continue to fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese stocks could be big winners if interest rates continue to fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-14 15:12 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/11/these-stocks-could-be-big-winners-if-interest-rates-continue-to-fall.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Interest rates are unexpectedly retreating, spurring investors to rethink which stocks to bet on as 2021 continues. Certain stocks that have performed well when rates fell in the past might just be ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/11/these-stocks-could-be-big-winners-if-interest-rates-continue-to-fall.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"č°ˇćA","CZR":"ĺŻć娹äš","EQIX":"ććĺ°źĺ ćŻ","V":"Visa","PLD":"ĺŽĺ","LRCX":"ćĺ§ç 犜","NI":"ĺ°ĺçŚçľ","NVDA":"čąäźčžž","MSFT":"垎软","GNRC":"Generacć§čĄ","AMZN":"äşéŠŹé","ADBE":"Adobe","ATVI":"ĺ¨č§ć´éŞ","INTU":"č´˘ćˇ","ARE":"äşĺ幹大ćżĺ°äş§","TMO":"čľéťéŁä¸ĺ°","TFX":"ćł°ĺŠçŚ","FMC":"FMC Corp.","AMAT":"ĺşç¨ćć","SBAC":"SBAé俥"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/11/these-stocks-could-be-big-winners-if-interest-rates-continue-to-fall.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1101734335","content_text":"Interest rates are unexpectedly retreating, spurring investors to rethink which stocks to bet on as 2021 continues. Certain stocks that have performed well when rates fell in the past might just be big winners again.\nInvestors anticipated higher interest rates this year as the economy reopens, triggering big growth and inflation. Yet despite some high inflation readings, rates have started reversing lower.\nThe May consumer price index came in hotter-than-expected on Thursday, jumping 5% from a year earlier â the fastest pace since 2008. Even so, the 10-year Treasury yield fell as low as 1.43% this week, down from its high for the year of 1.77% and the lowest level in three months.\nCNBC PRO identified eight periods of significant drops in the 10-year Treasury yield over the past decade. We then calculated the median return for S&P 500 stocks during those periods. The stocks below had the best returns during periods when the 10-year yield was falling.\nWhatâs more, we filtered out stocks that are currently not loved by analysts. These stocks have a buy rating from at least 70% of analysts.\nSTOCKS WITH BIG RETURNS DURING FALLING RATE PERIODS\n\n\n\nSYMBOL\nCOMPANY\nSECTOR\n(%) MEDIAN GAIN DURING FALLING RATE PERIODS\n(%) BUY RATING\n\n\n\n\nEQIX\nEquinix, Inc.\nFinance\n27.1\n83.9\n\n\nNVDA\nNVIDIA Corporation\nTechnology\n23.7\n73.8\n\n\nSBAC\nSBA Communications Corp. Class A\nFinance\n20.9\n85.0\n\n\nPLD\nPrologis, Inc.\nFinance\n19.3\n80.0\n\n\nLRCX\nLam Research Corporation\nTechnology\n17.1\n73.9\n\n\nAMZN\nAmazon.com, Inc.\nConsumer Non-Cyclicals\n15.3\n85.7\n\n\nNI\nNiSource Inc\nUtilities\n15.1\n71.4\n\n\nMSFT\nMicrosoft Corporation\nTechnology\n13.7\n83.3\n\n\nV\nVisa Inc. Class A\nFinance\n13.4\n72.5\n\n\nATVI\nActivision Blizzard, Inc.\nTechnology\n12.3\n73.5\n\n\nARE\nAlexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.\nFinance\n11.8\n90.9\n\n\nTFX\nTeleflex Incorporated\nHealthcare\n11.7\n90.9\n\n\nTMO\nThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.\nHealthcare\n11.0\n73.9\n\n\nCZR\nCaesars Entertainment Inc\nConsumer Services\n10.9\n73.3\n\n\nINTU\nIntuit Inc.\nTechnology\n10.8\n72.0\n\n\nADBE\nAdobe Inc.\nTechnology\n10.8\n74.1\n\n\nFMC\nFMC Corporation\nNon-Energy Materials\n10.3\n84.2\n\n\nAMAT\nApplied Materials, Inc.\nTechnology\n10.2\n75.0\n\n\nGOOGL\nAlphabet Inc. Class A\nTechnology\n9.9\n86.7\n\n\nGNRC\nGenerac Holdings Inc.\nIndustrials\n9.5\n81.3\n\n\n\n(Source: FactSet)\nIf rates continue to retreat, it eases concerns about growth and technology shares and their high valuations. And history fits that theory, with many tech names making the list of top low-rate performers.\nBig tech names like Amazon,Microsoft and Google-parent Alphabet made CNBC PROâs screen â and it looks those stocks are already seeing some interest from investors. Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet are on track to gain a few percentage points this week.\nHigh-growth stock Nvidia is also on the list. Shares of the chip maker are up more than 30% in 2021 and have more than doubled in the past 12 months.\nReal estate investment trusts like Equinix,SBA Communications and Prologis also make CNBC PROâs list. REITs typically perform well amid lower rates because they pay out a large portion of their revenue to investors in the form of dividends. Lower rates make those steady payouts look more attractive by comparison.\nLam Research,Visa and Caesars Entertainment are other names that have performed well in previous periods of low interest rates.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144637935,"gmtCreate":1626278697327,"gmtModify":1703757096577,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hold for sure! ","listText":"Hold for sure! ","text":"Hold for sure!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/144637935","repostId":"2151142915","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2151142915","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the worldâs most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1626272400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2151142915?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-14 22:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"After 'Black Widow' fails to lift AMC stock, retail traders are trying to become their own 'Avengers'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151142915","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Retail traders on social media are trying on Wednesday what even Natasha Romanoff, aka the \"Black Wi","content":"<p>Retail traders on social media are trying on Wednesday what even Natasha Romanoff, aka the \"Black Widow\", couldn't do on Monday or Tuesday: lift the share price of AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>.</p>\n<p>Despite the blockbuster return of the Marvel Cinematic Universe to big screens on Friday with Scarlett Johansson's standalone \"Widow\" film hauling in $80 million to break the previous post-pandemic record of \"F9\"s $70 million opening weekend in June, shares of cinema chain AMC fell almost 15% on the first two trading days of the week, a drop that maddened bullish investors in AMC on internet platform Reddit.</p>\n<p>Rallying around the fact that AMC announced on Monday morning that \"Approximately 3.2 million people watched movies at AMC's United States and international theatre locations between Thursday, July 8 and Sunday, June 11,\" the highest turnout in 16 months, retail traders blamed the stock drop on their old enemies: short selling hedge funds that they believe have regained control of the stock price via manipulation despite the fact individual investors own roughly 80% of AMC's float.</p>\n<p>And while some investors might have seen the fact that \"Black Widow\" also made $60 million from premium streaming downloads on Disney+ as a signal that the theater business is still dealing with an existential threat, Redditors didn't take the result lying down.</p>\n<p>AMC shareholders became almost interactive with company CEO Adam Aron in recent weeks, even forcing his hand on another share offering that would have paid down the theatre chain's still massive post-COVID debt load. This week though they decided to energize each other into buying whatever AMC stock they could get their hands on after shares fell below $40 for the first time since it's rocket surge in late May and early June.</p>\n<p>And they used hashtags to do it, proclaiming Tuesday as another #AMCDay.</p>\n<p>By mid-Tuesday, social media was rife with speculation that hedge funds were artificially depressing AMC's stock price using ladder attacks and options spoofing, intricate trading maneuvers that have long been part of the retail trading community's allegations against mainstream finance.</p>\n<p>One data point that was of particular interest to traders on social media was that AMC had been removed from the New York Stock Exchange's threshold list on Friday. That list is compiled of stocks that are on high alert for naked shorting after failing to settle for five straight trading days.</p>\n<p>Many users on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> and Reddit saw that move as deeply sketchy and called for their fellow self-anointed \"Apes\" to hold their shares as the price swooned in order to smoke out the naked shorters in the tall grass.</p>\n<p>\"There are absolutely no sellers, no one is dumping this stock at 4am in pre market. If there were sellers AMC wouldn't have been on the threshold list to begin with,\" Reddit user popsmoke1122334455 posted Tuesday afternoon. \"Divorce yourself from your emotions.\"</p>\n<p>Data from Fintel showed that AMC stock's short interest had ticked up slightly on Monday and Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Even sometime meme stock skeptic Jim Cramer joined the chorus of people urging AMC believers to keep their hands \"diamond\", tweeting \"AMC buyers HOLD!\" in the early hours of Tuesday.</p>\n<p>But despite the social media explosion that had #AMCDAY as the second-highest trending term on Twitter, volume on AMC was just over half of its average daily trading volume and the price remained stuck just below $40.</p>\n<p>That did not seem to dampen the ardor of some AMC bulls who made it clear that they would keep the campaign up into Wednesday.</p>\n<p>\"DEAR HEDGEFUNDS,\" tweeted @AMC_Apee. \"RETAIL INVESTORS ARE NEVER GIVING UP. BEEN HOLDING FOR 7 MONTHS AND WILL CONTINUE.\"</p>\n<p>Still, AMC shares were down more than 8% in early market.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>After 'Black Widow' fails to lift AMC stock, retail traders are trying to become their own 'Avengers'</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAfter 'Black Widow' fails to lift AMC stock, retail traders are trying to become their own 'Avengers'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-14 22:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Retail traders on social media are trying on Wednesday what even Natasha Romanoff, aka the \"Black Widow\", couldn't do on Monday or Tuesday: lift the share price of AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>.</p>\n<p>Despite the blockbuster return of the Marvel Cinematic Universe to big screens on Friday with Scarlett Johansson's standalone \"Widow\" film hauling in $80 million to break the previous post-pandemic record of \"F9\"s $70 million opening weekend in June, shares of cinema chain AMC fell almost 15% on the first two trading days of the week, a drop that maddened bullish investors in AMC on internet platform Reddit.</p>\n<p>Rallying around the fact that AMC announced on Monday morning that \"Approximately 3.2 million people watched movies at AMC's United States and international theatre locations between Thursday, July 8 and Sunday, June 11,\" the highest turnout in 16 months, retail traders blamed the stock drop on their old enemies: short selling hedge funds that they believe have regained control of the stock price via manipulation despite the fact individual investors own roughly 80% of AMC's float.</p>\n<p>And while some investors might have seen the fact that \"Black Widow\" also made $60 million from premium streaming downloads on Disney+ as a signal that the theater business is still dealing with an existential threat, Redditors didn't take the result lying down.</p>\n<p>AMC shareholders became almost interactive with company CEO Adam Aron in recent weeks, even forcing his hand on another share offering that would have paid down the theatre chain's still massive post-COVID debt load. This week though they decided to energize each other into buying whatever AMC stock they could get their hands on after shares fell below $40 for the first time since it's rocket surge in late May and early June.</p>\n<p>And they used hashtags to do it, proclaiming Tuesday as another #AMCDay.</p>\n<p>By mid-Tuesday, social media was rife with speculation that hedge funds were artificially depressing AMC's stock price using ladder attacks and options spoofing, intricate trading maneuvers that have long been part of the retail trading community's allegations against mainstream finance.</p>\n<p>One data point that was of particular interest to traders on social media was that AMC had been removed from the New York Stock Exchange's threshold list on Friday. That list is compiled of stocks that are on high alert for naked shorting after failing to settle for five straight trading days.</p>\n<p>Many users on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> and Reddit saw that move as deeply sketchy and called for their fellow self-anointed \"Apes\" to hold their shares as the price swooned in order to smoke out the naked shorters in the tall grass.</p>\n<p>\"There are absolutely no sellers, no one is dumping this stock at 4am in pre market. If there were sellers AMC wouldn't have been on the threshold list to begin with,\" Reddit user popsmoke1122334455 posted Tuesday afternoon. \"Divorce yourself from your emotions.\"</p>\n<p>Data from Fintel showed that AMC stock's short interest had ticked up slightly on Monday and Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Even sometime meme stock skeptic Jim Cramer joined the chorus of people urging AMC believers to keep their hands \"diamond\", tweeting \"AMC buyers HOLD!\" in the early hours of Tuesday.</p>\n<p>But despite the social media explosion that had #AMCDAY as the second-highest trending term on Twitter, volume on AMC was just over half of its average daily trading volume and the price remained stuck just below $40.</p>\n<p>That did not seem to dampen the ardor of some AMC bulls who made it clear that they would keep the campaign up into Wednesday.</p>\n<p>\"DEAR HEDGEFUNDS,\" tweeted @AMC_Apee. \"RETAIL INVESTORS ARE NEVER GIVING UP. BEEN HOLDING FOR 7 MONTHS AND WILL CONTINUE.\"</p>\n<p>Still, AMC shares were down more than 8% in early market.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMCé˘çşż"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151142915","content_text":"Retail traders on social media are trying on Wednesday what even Natasha Romanoff, aka the \"Black Widow\", couldn't do on Monday or Tuesday: lift the share price of AMC Entertainment $(AMC)$.\nDespite the blockbuster return of the Marvel Cinematic Universe to big screens on Friday with Scarlett Johansson's standalone \"Widow\" film hauling in $80 million to break the previous post-pandemic record of \"F9\"s $70 million opening weekend in June, shares of cinema chain AMC fell almost 15% on the first two trading days of the week, a drop that maddened bullish investors in AMC on internet platform Reddit.\nRallying around the fact that AMC announced on Monday morning that \"Approximately 3.2 million people watched movies at AMC's United States and international theatre locations between Thursday, July 8 and Sunday, June 11,\" the highest turnout in 16 months, retail traders blamed the stock drop on their old enemies: short selling hedge funds that they believe have regained control of the stock price via manipulation despite the fact individual investors own roughly 80% of AMC's float.\nAnd while some investors might have seen the fact that \"Black Widow\" also made $60 million from premium streaming downloads on Disney+ as a signal that the theater business is still dealing with an existential threat, Redditors didn't take the result lying down.\nAMC shareholders became almost interactive with company CEO Adam Aron in recent weeks, even forcing his hand on another share offering that would have paid down the theatre chain's still massive post-COVID debt load. This week though they decided to energize each other into buying whatever AMC stock they could get their hands on after shares fell below $40 for the first time since it's rocket surge in late May and early June.\nAnd they used hashtags to do it, proclaiming Tuesday as another #AMCDay.\nBy mid-Tuesday, social media was rife with speculation that hedge funds were artificially depressing AMC's stock price using ladder attacks and options spoofing, intricate trading maneuvers that have long been part of the retail trading community's allegations against mainstream finance.\nOne data point that was of particular interest to traders on social media was that AMC had been removed from the New York Stock Exchange's threshold list on Friday. That list is compiled of stocks that are on high alert for naked shorting after failing to settle for five straight trading days.\nMany users on Twitter and Reddit saw that move as deeply sketchy and called for their fellow self-anointed \"Apes\" to hold their shares as the price swooned in order to smoke out the naked shorters in the tall grass.\n\"There are absolutely no sellers, no one is dumping this stock at 4am in pre market. If there were sellers AMC wouldn't have been on the threshold list to begin with,\" Reddit user popsmoke1122334455 posted Tuesday afternoon. \"Divorce yourself from your emotions.\"\nData from Fintel showed that AMC stock's short interest had ticked up slightly on Monday and Tuesday.\nEven sometime meme stock skeptic Jim Cramer joined the chorus of people urging AMC believers to keep their hands \"diamond\", tweeting \"AMC buyers HOLD!\" in the early hours of Tuesday.\nBut despite the social media explosion that had #AMCDAY as the second-highest trending term on Twitter, volume on AMC was just over half of its average daily trading volume and the price remained stuck just below $40.\nThat did not seem to dampen the ardor of some AMC bulls who made it clear that they would keep the campaign up into Wednesday.\n\"DEAR HEDGEFUNDS,\" tweeted @AMC_Apee. \"RETAIL INVESTORS ARE NEVER GIVING UP. BEEN HOLDING FOR 7 MONTHS AND WILL CONTINUE.\"\nStill, AMC shares were down more than 8% in early market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155577204,"gmtCreate":1625447282808,"gmtModify":1703741809029,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ermmm","listText":"Ermmm","text":"Ermmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155577204","repostId":"1135486377","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135486377","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625236243,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135486377?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-02 22:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135486377","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading.Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto shares fell between","content":"<p>Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading.Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto shares fell between 3% and 7%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1eeb0b07a87842c4c5ac2bbb3c2873f\" tg-width=\"360\" tg-height=\"188\"></p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-02 22:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading.Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto shares fell between 3% and 7%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1eeb0b07a87842c4c5ac2bbb3c2873f\" tg-width=\"360\" tg-height=\"188\"></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"ĺ°éšćą˝č˝Ś","NIO":"čćĽ","LI":"çćłćą˝č˝Ś"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135486377","content_text":"Chinese EV stocks slipped in Friday morning trading.Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto shares fell between 3% and 7%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162083098,"gmtCreate":1624027544614,"gmtModify":1703827074964,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORPH\">$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$</a>UP more","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORPH\">$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$</a>UP more","text":"$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$UP more","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a774c3386011587691c1291a7dec3d9","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/162083098","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":904,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188620609,"gmtCreate":1623433714401,"gmtModify":1704203718918,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Push higher! Letâs getto $48[Happy] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Push higher! Letâs getto $48[Happy] ","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Push higher! Letâs getto $48[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188620609","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171328356,"gmtCreate":1626707335675,"gmtModify":1703763801092,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/171328356","repostId":"2152363743","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2152363743","pubTimestamp":1626703200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2152363743?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-19 22:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna's Joining the S&P 500: What's Next for the Hot Vaccine Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2152363743","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"There's no guarantee that the biotech's share price will continue climbing.","content":"<p>(July 19) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a> rose more than 5% in morning tarding, reached record high.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1feabb7b1efe112684a8cca75133e6a3\" tg-width=\"642\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>You never hear anyone refer to the \"S&P 501 index\" or the \"S&P 499 index.\" No, it's the <b>S&P 500 index</b>, for a good reason: The index always includes the 500 largest companies that trade on U.S. stock exchanges. When <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> company is removed from the list, another <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> is added. Always.</p>\n<p>That's what is about to happen. <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALXN\">Alexion Pharmaceuticals</a></b> currently ranks as one of only six biotech stocks on the S&P 500. However, <b>AstraZeneca</b> will soon acquire the company, meaning <b>S&P Global</b> (NYSE:SPGI) will have to replace Alexion on its heavily followed index.</p>\n<p>As it turns out, another biotech stock is set to take Alexion's spot: <b>Moderna</b> (NASDAQ:MRNA). S&P Global announced last Thursday evening that Moderna would be added to the S&P 500, effective prior to the market open on July 21. Shares of Moderna jumped over 10% on Friday, after soaring nearly 150% year to date already. What's next for this hot vaccine stock?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/182332242f3e0118e76d38617bff229c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTY\">Getty</a> Images.</p>\n<h3>Using the past as a guide</h3>\n<p>There's an old saying that \"history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes.\" Assuming the adage has some truth to it, we could potentially learn how Moderna's share price might fare by looking at what happened with other stocks that were added to the S&P 500.</p>\n<p>So far in 2021, 10 stocks have been added to the index as a result of acquisitions, spinoffs, and market-cap changes.</p>\n<p>The most recent of these was <b>Organon</b> (NYSE:OGN). S&P Global announced on May 27 that the drugmaker, which was spun off from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">Merck</a></b>, would be added to the S&P 500 index, effective June 4. Organon's shares climbed only around 4% between the date of the announcement and its addition to the index. But afterward, the pharma stock fell close to 15%.</p>\n<p>S&P Global announced on May 10 that <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRL\">Charles River Laboratories</a></b> (NYSE:CRL) would join the S&P 500 index effective May 14. The diagnostics stock fell a little in the days leading up to its addition to the index. However, after its inclusion on the S&P 500, Charles River Labs stock went on a roll, rising nearly 17%.</p>\n<p>There is one stock that might offer a closer parallel to Moderna. <b>NXP Semiconductors</b> (NASDAQ:NXPI) stock jumped around 10% between the announcement of its addition to the S&P 500 on March 12, and when it joined the index on March 22. That's nearly exactly the same level as Moderna's shares leaped on Friday. So what happened next with NXP? The stock moved up and down like a yo-yo, and is now 5% lower.</p>\n<h3>Different dynamics</h3>\n<p>You've probably decided that history is a poor rhymer -- at least when it comes to how stocks perform when they're added to the S&P 500 index. There's a good reason why it's hard to discern a clear pattern: Each stock has different dynamics at work.</p>\n<p>Sure, mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the S&P 500 index must now add shares of Moderna to their holdings. However, they were likely already doing so to some extent, even before the announcement about Moderna's addition to the index.</p>\n<p>What matters most for Moderna stock now is exactly the same thing that mattered most before last Thursday. And that critical factor is how demand for the company's COVID-19 vaccine will hold up.</p>\n<p>Based on the stock's trajectory in the weeks and months leading up to S&P Global's announcement that Moderna was replacing Alexion in the S&P 500, investors are expecting that demand for Moderna's vaccine will remain quite strong. They could very well be right.</p>\n<h3>The variant variable</h3>\n<p>However, whether or not investors' optimism is warranted depends on one variable that is most likely to impact Moderna's fortunes over the coming months and years: the emergence of coronavirus variants of concern. Right now, the most important to watch is the Delta variant.</p>\n<p>So far, Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine appears to be holding up relatively well against the Delta variant, as well as against other variants of concern. However, there's a real possibility that booster doses could be needed for at least some individuals in the not-too-distant future. Also, other variants could arise for which current vaccines are significantly less effective.</p>\n<p>For Moderna to remain a member of the S&P 500, its market cap must remain large enough to be among the top 500 stocks. Whether that will happen depends on recurring demand for its COVID-19 vaccine. And that demand depends largely how coronavirus variants affect the pandemic.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna's Joining the S&P 500: What's Next for the Hot Vaccine Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna's Joining the S&P 500: What's Next for the Hot Vaccine Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 22:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/19/modernas-joining-the-sp-500-whats-next-for-the-hot/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(July 19) Moderna, Inc.  rose more than 5% in morning tarding, reached record high.\n\nYou never hear anyone refer to the \"S&P 501 index\" or the \"S&P 499 index.\" No, it's the S&P 500 index, for a good ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/19/modernas-joining-the-sp-500-whats-next-for-the-hot/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/182332242f3e0118e76d38617bff229c","relate_stocks":{"161125":"ć ćŽ500","513500":"ć ćŽ500ETF","SPXU":"ä¸ĺĺ犺ć ćŽ500ETF","IVV":"ć ćŽ500ćć°ETF","SDS":"两ĺĺ犺ć ćŽ500ETF","SSO":"两ĺĺĺ¤ć ćŽ500ETF","OEX":"ć ćŽ100","SPY":"ć ćŽ500ETF","UPRO":"ä¸ĺĺĺ¤ć ćŽ500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"ć ćŽ100ćć°ETF-iShares","SH":"ć ćŽ500ĺĺETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/19/modernas-joining-the-sp-500-whats-next-for-the-hot/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2152363743","content_text":"(July 19) Moderna, Inc.  rose more than 5% in morning tarding, reached record high.\n\nYou never hear anyone refer to the \"S&P 501 index\" or the \"S&P 499 index.\" No, it's the S&P 500 index, for a good reason: The index always includes the 500 largest companies that trade on U.S. stock exchanges. When one company is removed from the list, another one is added. Always.\nThat's what is about to happen. Alexion Pharmaceuticals currently ranks as one of only six biotech stocks on the S&P 500. However, AstraZeneca will soon acquire the company, meaning S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) will have to replace Alexion on its heavily followed index.\nAs it turns out, another biotech stock is set to take Alexion's spot: Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA). S&P Global announced last Thursday evening that Moderna would be added to the S&P 500, effective prior to the market open on July 21. Shares of Moderna jumped over 10% on Friday, after soaring nearly 150% year to date already. What's next for this hot vaccine stock?\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nUsing the past as a guide\nThere's an old saying that \"history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes.\" Assuming the adage has some truth to it, we could potentially learn how Moderna's share price might fare by looking at what happened with other stocks that were added to the S&P 500.\nSo far in 2021, 10 stocks have been added to the index as a result of acquisitions, spinoffs, and market-cap changes.\nThe most recent of these was Organon (NYSE:OGN). S&P Global announced on May 27 that the drugmaker, which was spun off from Merck, would be added to the S&P 500 index, effective June 4. Organon's shares climbed only around 4% between the date of the announcement and its addition to the index. But afterward, the pharma stock fell close to 15%.\nS&P Global announced on May 10 that Charles River Laboratories (NYSE:CRL) would join the S&P 500 index effective May 14. The diagnostics stock fell a little in the days leading up to its addition to the index. However, after its inclusion on the S&P 500, Charles River Labs stock went on a roll, rising nearly 17%.\nThere is one stock that might offer a closer parallel to Moderna. NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ:NXPI) stock jumped around 10% between the announcement of its addition to the S&P 500 on March 12, and when it joined the index on March 22. That's nearly exactly the same level as Moderna's shares leaped on Friday. So what happened next with NXP? The stock moved up and down like a yo-yo, and is now 5% lower.\nDifferent dynamics\nYou've probably decided that history is a poor rhymer -- at least when it comes to how stocks perform when they're added to the S&P 500 index. There's a good reason why it's hard to discern a clear pattern: Each stock has different dynamics at work.\nSure, mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the S&P 500 index must now add shares of Moderna to their holdings. However, they were likely already doing so to some extent, even before the announcement about Moderna's addition to the index.\nWhat matters most for Moderna stock now is exactly the same thing that mattered most before last Thursday. And that critical factor is how demand for the company's COVID-19 vaccine will hold up.\nBased on the stock's trajectory in the weeks and months leading up to S&P Global's announcement that Moderna was replacing Alexion in the S&P 500, investors are expecting that demand for Moderna's vaccine will remain quite strong. They could very well be right.\nThe variant variable\nHowever, whether or not investors' optimism is warranted depends on one variable that is most likely to impact Moderna's fortunes over the coming months and years: the emergence of coronavirus variants of concern. Right now, the most important to watch is the Delta variant.\nSo far, Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine appears to be holding up relatively well against the Delta variant, as well as against other variants of concern. However, there's a real possibility that booster doses could be needed for at least some individuals in the not-too-distant future. Also, other variants could arise for which current vaccines are significantly less effective.\nFor Moderna to remain a member of the S&P 500, its market cap must remain large enough to be among the top 500 stocks. Whether that will happen depends on recurring demand for its COVID-19 vaccine. And that demand depends largely how coronavirus variants affect the pandemic.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185423190,"gmtCreate":1623668384410,"gmtModify":1704208187238,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment. Thanks :)","listText":"Pls like and comment. Thanks :)","text":"Pls like and comment. Thanks :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185423190","repostId":"2142422555","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830489240,"gmtCreate":1629089529380,"gmtModify":1676529926244,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AMC â¤ď¸","listText":"AMC â¤ď¸","text":"AMC â¤ď¸","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830489240","repostId":"1100841503","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100841503","pubTimestamp":1629076932,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100841503?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-16 09:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Popular Stocks You Should Avoid At All Costs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100841503","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"A possible market downturn could knock these stocks down to substantially lower prices\nSource: Shutt","content":"<p>A possible market downturn could knock these stocks down to substantially lower prices</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a664fbb38c9dc51ffe98b77292c1e5a7\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"576\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Shutterstock</span></p>\n<p>It may be too early to say that a stock market correction is just around the corner. Markets may be able to withstand the delta variant of Covid-19. Yet other possibilities in the near term, such as Americaâs post-pandemic economic hitting a wall, or the recent rise in inflation ending up being more than âtransitory,âcould have a negative impact on equities. So, ahead of a correction, meltdown, or sell-off, what are some top stocks to avoid?</p>\n<p>How about popular stocks? This includes many of the meme stocks sent âto the moonâ by <b>Reddit</b> traders. But it also encompasses many richly priced, high-growth names that have performed well since the start of the pandemic, yet could see significant pullback due to multiple compression.</p>\n<p>That is not to say these types of stocks no longer stand to become long-term winner. Itâs just that, with the possibility of stocks experiencing a double-digit decline, you may be able to enter/re-enter them at a more favorable entry point soon down the road.</p>\n<p>So, what are some of the top popular stocks to avoid? Or, if you own them now, cash out as soon as possible. Consider these seven, meme stocks and non-meme stocks alike, names to stay away from for now:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Clover Health</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>CLOV</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Nio</b>(NYSE:<b><u>NIO</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Palantir</b>(NYSE:<b><u>PLTR</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Peloton</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>PTON</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>SOS Ltd</b>(NYSE:<b><u>SOS</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Virgin Galactic Holdings</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>SPCE</u></b>)</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment (AMC)</b></p>\n<p>Its popularity among Reddit traders may be waning. So far, though, AMC Entertainment shares have managed to hold onto the majority of its meme stock gains. Itâs down more than 56% from its 52-week high of $72.62. But at $31.75 per share, itâs still up a staggering 1479.6% since the start of 2021.</p>\n<p>That being said, donât expect shares in this movie theater chain to remain resilient from here. Like with <b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>) stock, Main Street investors may have clobbered Wall Street short-sellers in this name earlier this year. But the short side may be coming back with a vengeance. Even legendary short seller Jim Chanos has decided to take a shot at betting against AMC stock.</p>\n<p>Worse yet, this time, the so-called smart money could prevail against the<i>r/WallStreetBets</i>community. The overall meme stock trend has lost momentum, as itâs failing to expand the pool of investors willing to use its counter-intuitive yet once highly-profitable strategy. Without investors buying it on hype and momentum, itâll continue to trade more on its fundamentals, which Chanos himself have said are deteriorating, as movie theaters are struggling to recover from Covid-19.</p>\n<p>Add in the fact the stock would still be pricey at between $10 and $15 per share, and a possible correction making even those still holding it with diamond hands skittish. More at play to sink it than send it bouncing back, consider AMC one of the top stocks to avoid right now.</p>\n<p><b>Clover Health (CLOV)</b></p>\n<p>Clover Health was one of the top-performing names during the second meme stock wave in late May and early June. Primarily, due to hype at the time surrounding its ability to get short-squeezed. More than two months back, it may have gone parabolic, surging from around $7 per share, to as much as $28.85 per share.</p>\n<p>But as investors have given up on this angle, shares in the insurtech company trying to disrupt the Medicare Advantage business are back to around $8.40 per share. Even worse? Further declines may be on the way.</p>\n<p>Why? Thereâs a good reason why CLOV stock has been so heavily shorted. First, the red flags surrounding its business model. These were detailed in Hindenburg Researchâs scathing âshort-reportâearlier this year. Second, concerns that its business model will not prove successful in the long term. This is due to its growth plateauing sooner than expected. Or, its financial performance (which has already disappointed Wall Street analysts), will be continuing to underwhelm.</p>\n<p>As its floundering while markets remain strong, you can imagine its possible downside if stocks in-general enter bear-market mode within the next few months. Ahead of Clover heading to even lower lows, it may be best throw in the towel if you own it, and steer clear if you do not.</p>\n<p><b>Nio (NIO)</b></p>\n<p>Lately, renewed interest in EV (electric vehicle) plays has helped to counter rising China regulatory crackdown fears when it comes to NIO stock. Yet there are some other factors that could put even more pressure on shares in the luxury EV maker, located in whatâs become the worldâs largest electrified vehicle market.</p>\n<p>Namely, itâs still-stretched valuation. As<i>InvestorPlaceâs</i> Will Ashworth recently wrote, Nio continues to be priced based on very optimistic delivery growth projections. The implication? Shares could sell off, if its delivery numbers and financial results end up falling short of expectations. Trading for around 13.2x projected 2021 sales, it needs to continue growing at a very high rate to remain at, or move above, todayâs prices (around $40 per share).</p>\n<p>But even remaining firmly on the growth train may not be enough to prevent this high-flyer from experiencing multiple compression, if that starts to happen going forward due to inflation/interest rate worries. Like with many overvalued growth stocks, shares could experience a high double-digit decline, and still sport a premium valuation.</p>\n<p>Investors who got into this at around $3 per share, before the EV bubble emerged in mid-2020, have seen tremendous trading profits. Yet investors buying it today, or who have bought it anytime this year? They may be at risk of heavy losses, if they decide to hold instead of selling now.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir (PLTR)</b></p>\n<p>As I recently put it, Palantir is a wonderful company, but its stock is trading at an inflated price. That is, it makes sense why investors are bullish on this big data play. It continues to have big advantages when it comes to obtaining contracts with agencies of the U.S. federal government.</p>\n<p>Growing its client base in the private sector has so far been a work-in-progress. But that could soon change. As a<i>Seeking Alpha</i>commentator recently broke it down, the companyâs commercial sales growth may be set to accelerate.</p>\n<p>The problem? Thatâs more than accounted for in the PLTR stock price. Trading for a forward price-to-earnings, or P/E, ratio of 157x, this is a prime example of a priced for perfection situation. Yet just like with some of the other promising growth plays discussed in this gallery, meeting expectations by-itself may not be enough to keep shares from holding steady, much less help shares rally higher, from here.</p>\n<p>Putting it simply, this is another situation where multiple compression could result in a big declines. Shares could fall 50%, and still trade at a valuation that more than reflects its growth prospects. It may have a high quality underlying business. But donât leave yourself exposed to holding the bag. Avoid Palantir stock.</p>\n<p><b>Peloton (PTON)</b></p>\n<p>Starting in June, the delta variantâs spread has given investors hope that stay-at-home-economy winner PTON stock could continue to stay winning. Other factors, such as <b>UnitedHealthcare</b>(NYSE:<b><u>UNH</u></b>) announcing it will provide millions covered by its health insurance policies with free access to the companyâs fitness class subscription service, have helped to boost shares in the at-home fitness company as well.</p>\n<p>However, these positive developments far from insure Peloton doesnât continue to give back more of its pandemic-related gains. Also a stock trading for a triple-digit P/E ratio (127x estimated earnings for its fiscal year ending June 2023), multiple compression risk runs high with this name too.</p>\n<p>Not only that, as <i>InvestorPlaceâs</i> Alex Siriois recently made the case, itâs up for debate whether itâll continue to see above-average growth thanks to delta and subsequent Covid-19 variants. This may mean sales growth with its stationary bikes and treadmill equipment, and more importantly, subscriber growth for its high-margin connected fitness classes, falls short of expectations.</p>\n<p>In turn, itâll be tough for PTON stock to keep on sporting a P/E ratio north of 100x. With both company-specific and market-wide risks potentially sending it crashing down, thereâs no need to buy or hold this still-popular stock right now.</p>\n<p><b>SOS Ltd (SOS)</b></p>\n<p>Even as <b>Bitcoin</b>(CCC:<b><u>BTC</u></b>) makes a recovery, itâs best to stay away from SOS stock. Why? Among the many publicly traded companies in the business of crypto mining, this may be the riskiest. As you may recall, this was another popular stock targeted by vocal short-sellersearlier this year.</p>\n<p>Hindenburg Research, along with a lesser-known short research outfit (Culper Research), each released to investors a laundry list of red flags with this China-based Bitcoin miner. Mostly, concerns that not everything was on the up-and-up with the company.</p>\n<p>SOS responded within a few weeks, with a press release that attempted to assuage concerns raised by both short reports. Yet, while the allegations made could have been overblown, thereâs still a lot of questions surrounding this company. It hasnât been the most timely when it comes to releasing financial results. Also, little has been said about the impact of Chinaâs crypto crackdown (which may result in a ban on mining within its borders) on the companyâs operations.</p>\n<p><b>Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE)</b></p>\n<p>Richard Branson, the public face of Virgin Galactic, may have successfully gone up into space last monthon one of the companyâs rockets. Itâs making progress for sure. But donât see this as a reason to buy its stock following its recent pullback.</p>\n<p>Falling from around $49 per share just before Bransonâs launch, to around $25 recently, SPCE stock may look like a solid buy-the-dip situation. Yet itâs important to remember that the company remains many years of turning its business model inspired by science fiction into economic reality.</p>\n<p>With only more test flights planned in the immediate future? Itâs still going to take time before the company starts making money from its out-of-this-world operations. Thatâs along with the fact that tickets today sell for $450,000 a pop. Eventually, this ticket price will come down. But donât expect to happen on a time-frame short enough to allow it to grow into its $7.5 billion valuation.</p>\n<p>To top it all off, it a market correction and/or if multiple compression happens? Shares could make a fast ascent back to Earth. If you are bullish on space, there are scores of other plays you can buy. Stick with them, and hold off on SPCE stock.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Popular Stocks You Should Avoid At All Costs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Popular Stocks You Should Avoid At All Costs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-16 09:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/08/stocks-to-avoid-7-popular-stocks-to-skip-at-all-costs/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A possible market downturn could knock these stocks down to substantially lower prices\nSource: Shutterstock\nIt may be too early to say that a stock market correction is just around the corner. Markets...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/stocks-to-avoid-7-popular-stocks-to-skip-at-all-costs/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"çť´çéść˛ł","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","NIO":"čćĽ","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","SOS":"SOS Limited","AMC":"AMCé˘çşż"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/stocks-to-avoid-7-popular-stocks-to-skip-at-all-costs/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100841503","content_text":"A possible market downturn could knock these stocks down to substantially lower prices\nSource: Shutterstock\nIt may be too early to say that a stock market correction is just around the corner. Markets may be able to withstand the delta variant of Covid-19. Yet other possibilities in the near term, such as Americaâs post-pandemic economic hitting a wall, or the recent rise in inflation ending up being more than âtransitory,âcould have a negative impact on equities. So, ahead of a correction, meltdown, or sell-off, what are some top stocks to avoid?\nHow about popular stocks? This includes many of the meme stocks sent âto the moonâ by Reddit traders. But it also encompasses many richly priced, high-growth names that have performed well since the start of the pandemic, yet could see significant pullback due to multiple compression.\nThat is not to say these types of stocks no longer stand to become long-term winner. Itâs just that, with the possibility of stocks experiencing a double-digit decline, you may be able to enter/re-enter them at a more favorable entry point soon down the road.\nSo, what are some of the top popular stocks to avoid? Or, if you own them now, cash out as soon as possible. Consider these seven, meme stocks and non-meme stocks alike, names to stay away from for now:\n\nAMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)\nClover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV)\nNio(NYSE:NIO)\nPalantir(NYSE:PLTR)\nPeloton(NASDAQ:PTON)\nSOS Ltd(NYSE:SOS)\nVirgin Galactic Holdings(NASDAQ:SPCE)\n\nAMC Entertainment (AMC)\nIts popularity among Reddit traders may be waning. So far, though, AMC Entertainment shares have managed to hold onto the majority of its meme stock gains. Itâs down more than 56% from its 52-week high of $72.62. But at $31.75 per share, itâs still up a staggering 1479.6% since the start of 2021.\nThat being said, donât expect shares in this movie theater chain to remain resilient from here. Like with GameStop(NYSE:GME) stock, Main Street investors may have clobbered Wall Street short-sellers in this name earlier this year. But the short side may be coming back with a vengeance. Even legendary short seller Jim Chanos has decided to take a shot at betting against AMC stock.\nWorse yet, this time, the so-called smart money could prevail against ther/WallStreetBetscommunity. The overall meme stock trend has lost momentum, as itâs failing to expand the pool of investors willing to use its counter-intuitive yet once highly-profitable strategy. Without investors buying it on hype and momentum, itâll continue to trade more on its fundamentals, which Chanos himself have said are deteriorating, as movie theaters are struggling to recover from Covid-19.\nAdd in the fact the stock would still be pricey at between $10 and $15 per share, and a possible correction making even those still holding it with diamond hands skittish. More at play to sink it than send it bouncing back, consider AMC one of the top stocks to avoid right now.\nClover Health (CLOV)\nClover Health was one of the top-performing names during the second meme stock wave in late May and early June. Primarily, due to hype at the time surrounding its ability to get short-squeezed. More than two months back, it may have gone parabolic, surging from around $7 per share, to as much as $28.85 per share.\nBut as investors have given up on this angle, shares in the insurtech company trying to disrupt the Medicare Advantage business are back to around $8.40 per share. Even worse? Further declines may be on the way.\nWhy? Thereâs a good reason why CLOV stock has been so heavily shorted. First, the red flags surrounding its business model. These were detailed in Hindenburg Researchâs scathing âshort-reportâearlier this year. Second, concerns that its business model will not prove successful in the long term. This is due to its growth plateauing sooner than expected. Or, its financial performance (which has already disappointed Wall Street analysts), will be continuing to underwhelm.\nAs its floundering while markets remain strong, you can imagine its possible downside if stocks in-general enter bear-market mode within the next few months. Ahead of Clover heading to even lower lows, it may be best throw in the towel if you own it, and steer clear if you do not.\nNio (NIO)\nLately, renewed interest in EV (electric vehicle) plays has helped to counter rising China regulatory crackdown fears when it comes to NIO stock. Yet there are some other factors that could put even more pressure on shares in the luxury EV maker, located in whatâs become the worldâs largest electrified vehicle market.\nNamely, itâs still-stretched valuation. AsInvestorPlaceâs Will Ashworth recently wrote, Nio continues to be priced based on very optimistic delivery growth projections. The implication? Shares could sell off, if its delivery numbers and financial results end up falling short of expectations. Trading for around 13.2x projected 2021 sales, it needs to continue growing at a very high rate to remain at, or move above, todayâs prices (around $40 per share).\nBut even remaining firmly on the growth train may not be enough to prevent this high-flyer from experiencing multiple compression, if that starts to happen going forward due to inflation/interest rate worries. Like with many overvalued growth stocks, shares could experience a high double-digit decline, and still sport a premium valuation.\nInvestors who got into this at around $3 per share, before the EV bubble emerged in mid-2020, have seen tremendous trading profits. Yet investors buying it today, or who have bought it anytime this year? They may be at risk of heavy losses, if they decide to hold instead of selling now.\nPalantir (PLTR)\nAs I recently put it, Palantir is a wonderful company, but its stock is trading at an inflated price. That is, it makes sense why investors are bullish on this big data play. It continues to have big advantages when it comes to obtaining contracts with agencies of the U.S. federal government.\nGrowing its client base in the private sector has so far been a work-in-progress. But that could soon change. As aSeeking Alphacommentator recently broke it down, the companyâs commercial sales growth may be set to accelerate.\nThe problem? Thatâs more than accounted for in the PLTR stock price. Trading for a forward price-to-earnings, or P/E, ratio of 157x, this is a prime example of a priced for perfection situation. Yet just like with some of the other promising growth plays discussed in this gallery, meeting expectations by-itself may not be enough to keep shares from holding steady, much less help shares rally higher, from here.\nPutting it simply, this is another situation where multiple compression could result in a big declines. Shares could fall 50%, and still trade at a valuation that more than reflects its growth prospects. It may have a high quality underlying business. But donât leave yourself exposed to holding the bag. Avoid Palantir stock.\nPeloton (PTON)\nStarting in June, the delta variantâs spread has given investors hope that stay-at-home-economy winner PTON stock could continue to stay winning. Other factors, such as UnitedHealthcare(NYSE:UNH) announcing it will provide millions covered by its health insurance policies with free access to the companyâs fitness class subscription service, have helped to boost shares in the at-home fitness company as well.\nHowever, these positive developments far from insure Peloton doesnât continue to give back more of its pandemic-related gains. Also a stock trading for a triple-digit P/E ratio (127x estimated earnings for its fiscal year ending June 2023), multiple compression risk runs high with this name too.\nNot only that, as InvestorPlaceâs Alex Siriois recently made the case, itâs up for debate whether itâll continue to see above-average growth thanks to delta and subsequent Covid-19 variants. This may mean sales growth with its stationary bikes and treadmill equipment, and more importantly, subscriber growth for its high-margin connected fitness classes, falls short of expectations.\nIn turn, itâll be tough for PTON stock to keep on sporting a P/E ratio north of 100x. With both company-specific and market-wide risks potentially sending it crashing down, thereâs no need to buy or hold this still-popular stock right now.\nSOS Ltd (SOS)\nEven as Bitcoin(CCC:BTC) makes a recovery, itâs best to stay away from SOS stock. Why? Among the many publicly traded companies in the business of crypto mining, this may be the riskiest. As you may recall, this was another popular stock targeted by vocal short-sellersearlier this year.\nHindenburg Research, along with a lesser-known short research outfit (Culper Research), each released to investors a laundry list of red flags with this China-based Bitcoin miner. Mostly, concerns that not everything was on the up-and-up with the company.\nSOS responded within a few weeks, with a press release that attempted to assuage concerns raised by both short reports. Yet, while the allegations made could have been overblown, thereâs still a lot of questions surrounding this company. It hasnât been the most timely when it comes to releasing financial results. Also, little has been said about the impact of Chinaâs crypto crackdown (which may result in a ban on mining within its borders) on the companyâs operations.\nVirgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE)\nRichard Branson, the public face of Virgin Galactic, may have successfully gone up into space last monthon one of the companyâs rockets. Itâs making progress for sure. But donât see this as a reason to buy its stock following its recent pullback.\nFalling from around $49 per share just before Bransonâs launch, to around $25 recently, SPCE stock may look like a solid buy-the-dip situation. Yet itâs important to remember that the company remains many years of turning its business model inspired by science fiction into economic reality.\nWith only more test flights planned in the immediate future? Itâs still going to take time before the company starts making money from its out-of-this-world operations. Thatâs along with the fact that tickets today sell for $450,000 a pop. Eventually, this ticket price will come down. But donât expect to happen on a time-frame short enough to allow it to grow into its $7.5 billion valuation.\nTo top it all off, it a market correction and/or if multiple compression happens? Shares could make a fast ascent back to Earth. If you are bullish on space, there are scores of other plays you can buy. Stick with them, and hold off on SPCE stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157685044,"gmtCreate":1625580457788,"gmtModify":1703744288790,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just bought my first ever Nvidia stock. Will continue to add more [Cool] ","listText":"Just bought my first ever Nvidia stock. Will continue to add more [Cool] ","text":"Just bought my first ever Nvidia stock. Will continue to add more [Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/157685044","repostId":"1189769697","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189769697","pubTimestamp":1625579734,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189769697?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-06 21:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189769697","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Nvidia shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.Keybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a W","content":"<p>Nvidia (<b>NVDA</b>) shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.</p>\n<p>Keybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a Wall Street high of $1,000 from $975 and affirmed an outperform rating.</p>\n<p>Analysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the companyâs first-quarter results,which came in better than expected amid strength in so-called hyperscale data center demand, which includes demand for its graphics cards and chips using for both gaming and crypto mining.</p>\n<p>Even before then, analysts were touting Nvidiaâs performance amid strong demand for its gaming graphics cards, which surged through the pandemic and stay-at-home orders that boosted demand for at-home entertainment like video games, compounded by the ongoing chip shortage that has boosted demand - and prices -for the chips and the cards themselves.</p>\n<p>At the same time, surging prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies this year also have fueled demand. Crypto miners use graphics processing units, or GPUs, to mine currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Nvidiaâslatest RTX 30 series, launched last year, has proven particularly popular with miners.</p>\n<p>TheStreet's Jim Cramerin his Real Money column on Tuesdaynoted another reason to be bullish on Nvidia: a potential acquisition that will beef up its business even more.</p>\n<p>Specifically, Jim pointed to the increasing likelihood that regulators will allow the company to buy Arm Holdings, a British company that excels in cellphones and personal computers, which will add to its already strong sales pipeline that has been driven by far more than just demand from Ethereum miners.</p>\n<p>\"I'm sure some of you might think that Nvidia is more of an Ethereum play, because its cards are used to mine the cryptocurrency,\" Cramer wrote. \"In reality, that's a tiny portion of their business and is made up of cards that aren't up to specification for gaming, scrap if you will.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Gains on Another Analyst Price-Target Boost\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-06 21:55 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-keybanc-price-target-boost-070621><strong>Thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nvidia (NVDA) shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-keybanc-price-target-boost-070621\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"čąäźčžž"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-keybanc-price-target-boost-070621","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189769697","content_text":"Nvidia (NVDA) shares gained on Tuesday after another Wall Street analyst lifted his price target to near $1,000 amid expectations of continued strong demand for video graphics cards and related semiconductors that are used for both gaming and mining cryptocurrencies.\nKeybanc analyst John Vinh lifted his one-year price target on Nvidia to $950 from $775, following in the footsteps of BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava, who just last Thursdaylifted his own price target on the chip titanto a Wall Street high of $1,000 from $975 and affirmed an outperform rating.\nAnalysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the companyâs first-quarter results,which came in better than expected amid strength in so-called hyperscale data center demand, which includes demand for its graphics cards and chips using for both gaming and crypto mining.\nEven before then, analysts were touting Nvidiaâs performance amid strong demand for its gaming graphics cards, which surged through the pandemic and stay-at-home orders that boosted demand for at-home entertainment like video games, compounded by the ongoing chip shortage that has boosted demand - and prices -for the chips and the cards themselves.\nAt the same time, surging prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies this year also have fueled demand. Crypto miners use graphics processing units, or GPUs, to mine currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Nvidiaâslatest RTX 30 series, launched last year, has proven particularly popular with miners.\nTheStreet's Jim Cramerin his Real Money column on Tuesdaynoted another reason to be bullish on Nvidia: a potential acquisition that will beef up its business even more.\nSpecifically, Jim pointed to the increasing likelihood that regulators will allow the company to buy Arm Holdings, a British company that excels in cellphones and personal computers, which will add to its already strong sales pipeline that has been driven by far more than just demand from Ethereum miners.\n\"I'm sure some of you might think that Nvidia is more of an Ethereum play, because its cards are used to mine the cryptocurrency,\" Cramer wrote. \"In reality, that's a tiny portion of their business and is made up of cards that aren't up to specification for gaming, scrap if you will.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126369459,"gmtCreate":1624544833671,"gmtModify":1703839977082,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"interesting","listText":"interesting","text":"interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/126369459","repostId":"1120000038","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120000038","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624544560,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120000038?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-24 22:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120000038","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 24) Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading.","content":"<p>(June 24) Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cd0932903c91de351d040cf6292b2df\" tg-width=\"373\" tg-height=\"241\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChinese education stocks rally in morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-24 22:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 24) Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cd0932903c91de351d040cf6292b2df\" tg-width=\"373\" tg-height=\"241\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOTU":"éŤé","EDU":"ć°ä¸ćš","TAL":"弽ćŞćĽ"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120000038","content_text":"(June 24) Chinese education stocks rally in morning trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121984281,"gmtCreate":1624449774543,"gmtModify":1703837006379,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>Joined the fun","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>Joined the fun","text":"$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$Joined the fun","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af906e8b91475171bb4cc80007b59919","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121984281","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155573247,"gmtCreate":1625447056189,"gmtModify":1703741799892,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[What] ","listText":"[What] ","text":"[What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155573247","repostId":"1169840279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121604369,"gmtCreate":1624460560351,"gmtModify":1703837510555,"author":{"id":"3576103591231410","authorId":"3576103591231410","name":"lleilei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92f2e98343662263de1c487e6140a7bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576103591231410","authorIdStr":"3576103591231410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORPH\">$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$</a>HAHHAHAHAA UP MORE PLS ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORPH\">$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$</a>HAHHAHAHAA UP MORE PLS ","text":"$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$HAHHAHAHAA UP MORE PLS","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e12ccfdd947f184b3d71be922ef27fa","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121604369","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}