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Charlene_Wee
2021-09-21
Done
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Charlene_Wee
2021-09-19
Dangerous thinking
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Charlene_Wee
2021-09-14
$UiPath(PATH)$
looking at this
Charlene_Wee
2021-09-13
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Charlene_Wee
2021-09-12
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Charlene_Wee
2021-09-07
Liked
Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?
Charlene_Wee
2021-09-06
Like pls
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Charlene_Wee
2021-09-04
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Charlene_Wee
2021-09-02
Ok
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Charlene_Wee
2021-08-30
Still ok
August jobs report, Consumer confidence: What to know this week
Charlene_Wee
2021-08-29
Will it fall below $1?
Charlene_Wee
2021-08-28
Nice
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Charlene_Wee
2021-08-27
Ok
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Charlene_Wee
2021-08-26
Good
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Charlene_Wee
2021-08-25
Wow
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Charlene_Wee
2021-08-24
Time to move
Charlene_Wee
2021-08-22
Waiting for the news
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Charlene_Wee
2021-08-20
No eye see
Charlene_Wee
2021-08-20
Good for them
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Charlene_Wee
2021-08-19
Worrying
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thinking","listText":"Dangerous thinking","text":"Dangerous thinking","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/887586141","repostId":"2168508161","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882020637,"gmtCreate":1631632364329,"gmtModify":1676530596028,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576472339748285","idStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PATH\">$UiPath(PATH)$</a>looking at this","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PATH\">$UiPath(PATH)$</a>looking at this","text":"$UiPath(PATH)$looking at 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17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p>\n<p>Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p>\n<p>In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p>\n<p>That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p>\n<p>Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p>\n<p>The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p>\n<p>Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p>\n<p>The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p>\n<p>A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p>\n<p>For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p>\n<p>Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p>\n<p>“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p>\n<p>The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p>\n<p>Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p>\n<p>If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p>\n<p>If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p>\n<p>Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p>\n<p>A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p>\n<p>An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p>\n<p>These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n</blockquote>\n<p>The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p>\n<p>RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p>\n<p>“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p>\n<p>But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p>\n<p>“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p>\n<p><b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p>\n<p>Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p>\n<p>“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p>\n<p>He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p>\n<p>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p>\n<p>“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p>\n<p>Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p>\n<p>Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p>\n<p>“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p>\n<p>Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p>\n<p>Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p>\n<p>Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p>\n<p>Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p>\n<p>After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-07 17:32 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. And go with quality.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817880236,"gmtCreate":1630931285525,"gmtModify":1676530422918,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576472339748285","idStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/817880236","repostId":"1143325200","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814369089,"gmtCreate":1630765179341,"gmtModify":1676530392003,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576472339748285","idStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/814369089","repostId":"1186003479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812659475,"gmtCreate":1630585918797,"gmtModify":1676530347428,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576472339748285","idStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/812659475","repostId":"1132731638","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811619858,"gmtCreate":1630315731174,"gmtModify":1676530266288,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576472339748285","idStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still ok","listText":"Still ok","text":"Still ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/811619858","repostId":"2163776380","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2163776380","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630268536,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2163776380?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-30 04:22","market":"other","language":"en","title":"August jobs report, Consumer confidence: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2163776380","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"New data on the U.S. labor market will be in focus this week, offering an updated look at how economic activity has been impacted as the spread of the Delta variant ramped up in the U.S. over the summer.The Labor Department's August jobs report will be the marquee economic report out this week. Consensus economists expect to see that a still-robust 750,000 jobs came back in August, according to Bloomberg data. This would represent a significant print by pre-pandemic standards, but still mark a d","content":"<p>New data on the U.S. labor market will be in focus this week, offering an updated look at how economic activity has been impacted as the spread of the Delta variant ramped up in the U.S. over the summer.</p>\n<p>The Labor Department's August jobs report will be the marquee economic report out this week. Consensus economists expect to see that a still-robust 750,000 jobs came back in August, according to Bloomberg data. This would represent a significant print by pre-pandemic standards, but still mark a deceleration from July's increase of 943,000 jobs. The unemployment rate likely improved further, reaching 5.2% from the 5.4% reported during July.</p>\n<p>The August jobs report is set to be an especially telling report, capturing the impact of the latest surge in coronavirus cases on the U.S. labor market. Other recent economic reports already began to reflect the Delta variant impacts on activity: Job creation in the U.S. services sector slowed by the most since February, while manufacturing sector workforce numbers increased by the least since last year, according to IHS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a>'s latest purchasing managers' index reports.</p>\n<p>\"High frequency labor market data are signaling a marked slowdown in employment activity in the August payroll survey week, suggesting downside risk to our forecast,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note on Friday, adding that she expects non-farm payrolls to grow by just 600,000 for August.</p>\n<p>\"Our below-consensus non-farm payrolls forecast is predicated on the markedly weaker high frequency employment data between the July and August payroll survey periods,\" Meyer added. \"Specifically, the Homebase and UKG employment series were both down 3.4% and 2.4%, respectively, over the month.\"</p>\n<p>The outcome of the August jobs report will also be another closely watched data point informing the Federal Reserve's next moves on monetary policy, signaling whether the labor market has recovered enough to warrant a less accommodative tilt. Namely, many Fed officials have been waiting to see the evolution of the labor market recovery to determine the timing for the central bank to announce tapering of its $120 billion per month asset purchase program.</p>\n<p>Last week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during the central bank's virtual Jackson Hole symposium that there has \"been clear progress toward maximum employment\" and suggested \"it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year\" if the recovery continues to improve.</p>\n<p>However, he also flagged the ongoing risks introduced by the Delta variant, and added that an \"ill-time policy move\" could knock the recovery off its trajectory.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67ac641337acd82a0408b6109dad21f9\" tg-width=\"5505\" tg-height=\"3655\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 27: People walk near Little Island park on May 27, 2021 in New York City. On May 19, all pandemic restrictions, including mask mandates, social distancing guidelines, venue capacities and restaurant curfews were lifted by New York Governor Andrew Cuomo. (Photo by Noam Galai/Getty Images)Noam Galai via Getty Images</p>\n<p>\"Given the emphasis that Powell and other FOMC members have placed on incoming data — especially on the labor market — the payrolls report will probably take on even greater importance than usual,\" Jonas Goltermann, senior markets economist for Capital Economics, wrote in a note on Friday. \"We expect another robust increase in U.S. employment,\"</p>\n<p>Other data in Friday's jobs report will include average hourly wage changes. These are expected to grow 0.3% over last month and 4.0% over last year, with these paces remaining roughly unchanged compared to July. The increases are set to come as job growth slows across lower-wage roles after an initial reopening surge in hiring in the spring and early summer, and as worker shortages push up compensation costs across many firms.</p>\n<h3>Consumer confidence</h3>\n<p>Other economic data due for release this week will reflect consumers' assessments of the recovery.</p>\n<p>The Conference Board's consumer confidence index is set for release on Tuesday, with a drop baked into the forecast. Consensus economists expect the index to slip to 123.0 for August, down from 129.1 in July, according to Bloomberg data. July's print had been the highest since February 2020, marking a rebound in confidence back to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p>The Conference Board's labor differential, or difference between those who said jobs are \"plentiful\" less those who said jobs were \"hard to get,\" also increased to the most since 2000 in last month's report, pointing to the abundance of job openings as employers seek out workers to meet rising demand.</p>\n<p>Consumer confidence and sentiment indices have been monitored closely this year as a gauge of the outlook among Americans at large, pointing to consumers' propensity to spend and presaging demand trends for goods, services and labor down the line. The data have been bumpy in recent months, however, and have ebbed and flowed largely in line with COVID-19 infection trends.</p>\n<p>The latest surge in the Delta variant catalyzed a collapse in the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers index for August, suggesting the Conference Board's measure might also see a similar dip for the month. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index slid to a 10-year low in August, plunging to 70.3 from July's 81.2.</p>\n<p>\"Consumers' extreme reactions were due to the surging Delta variant, higher inflation, slower wage growth, and smaller declines in unemployment,\" Richard Curtin, Surveys of Consumers chief economist, wrote in a press statement. \"The extraordinary falloff in sentiment also reflects an emotional response, from dashed hopes that the pandemic would soon end and lives could return to normal.\"</p>\n<h3>Economic calendar</h3>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Pending home sales, month-over-month, July (0.4% expected, -1.9% in June); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity index, August (23.0 expected, 27.3 in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>FHFA Home Price index, month-over-month, June (1.9% expected, 1.7% in May); S&P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> Case-Shiller 20-City index, month-over-month, June (1.87% expected, 1.81% in May); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City index, year-over-year, June (18.60% expected, 16.99% in May); MNI Chicago PMI, August (68.0 expected, 73.4 in July); Conference Board Consumer Confidence, August (123.4 expected, 129.1 in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 27 (1.6% during prior week); ADP employment change, August (650,000 expected, 330,000 in July); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August final (61.2 expected, 61.2 in prior print); Construction spending, month-over-month (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); ISM Manufacturing index, August (58.5 expected, 59.5 in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, August (-92.8% in July); Initial jobless claims, week ended August 28 (346,000 expected, 353,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 21 (2.862 million during prior week); Unit labor costs, 2Q final (1.0% expected, 1.0% in prior print); Trade balance, July (-$74.1 billion expected, -$75.7 billion in June); Factory orders, July (0.3% expected, 1.5% in June); Durable goods orders, July final (-0.1% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, July final (0.0% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods shipments, July final (1.0% in prior print)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Change in non-farm payrolls, August (750,000 expected, 943,000 in July); Change in manufacturing payrolls, August (700,000 expected, 703,000 in July); Unemployment rate, August (5.2% expected, 5.4% in July); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.4% in July); Average hourly earnings, year-over-year, August (3.9% expected, 4.0% in July); Markit U.S. services PMI, August final (55.2 expected, 55.2 in prior print); Markit U.S. composite PMI, August final (55.4 in prior print); ISM Services Index, August (62.0 expected, 64.1 in July)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications (ZM) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Crowdstrike (CRWD) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>Campbell Soup (CPB) before market open; Okta (OKTA), Chewy (CHWY), C3.ai (AI), Asana (ASAN) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) before market open; Broadcom (AVGO), DocuSign (DOCU), MongoDB (MDB) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday:</b><i> </i>No notable reports scheduled for release</p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>August jobs report, Consumer confidence: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAugust jobs report, Consumer confidence: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-30 04:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/august-jobs-report-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-202216254.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>New data on the U.S. labor market will be in focus this week, offering an updated look at how economic activity has been impacted as the spread of the Delta variant ramped up in the U.S. over the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/august-jobs-report-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-202216254.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/650fad7fca15e203aa26611c0dfb8d62","relate_stocks":{"TGT":"塔吉特","XRT":"零售指数ETF-SPDR标普","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","WMT":"沃尔玛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/august-jobs-report-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-202216254.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2163776380","content_text":"New data on the U.S. labor market will be in focus this week, offering an updated look at how economic activity has been impacted as the spread of the Delta variant ramped up in the U.S. over the summer.\nThe Labor Department's August jobs report will be the marquee economic report out this week. Consensus economists expect to see that a still-robust 750,000 jobs came back in August, according to Bloomberg data. This would represent a significant print by pre-pandemic standards, but still mark a deceleration from July's increase of 943,000 jobs. The unemployment rate likely improved further, reaching 5.2% from the 5.4% reported during July.\nThe August jobs report is set to be an especially telling report, capturing the impact of the latest surge in coronavirus cases on the U.S. labor market. Other recent economic reports already began to reflect the Delta variant impacts on activity: Job creation in the U.S. services sector slowed by the most since February, while manufacturing sector workforce numbers increased by the least since last year, according to IHS Markit's latest purchasing managers' index reports.\n\"High frequency labor market data are signaling a marked slowdown in employment activity in the August payroll survey week, suggesting downside risk to our forecast,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note on Friday, adding that she expects non-farm payrolls to grow by just 600,000 for August.\n\"Our below-consensus non-farm payrolls forecast is predicated on the markedly weaker high frequency employment data between the July and August payroll survey periods,\" Meyer added. \"Specifically, the Homebase and UKG employment series were both down 3.4% and 2.4%, respectively, over the month.\"\nThe outcome of the August jobs report will also be another closely watched data point informing the Federal Reserve's next moves on monetary policy, signaling whether the labor market has recovered enough to warrant a less accommodative tilt. Namely, many Fed officials have been waiting to see the evolution of the labor market recovery to determine the timing for the central bank to announce tapering of its $120 billion per month asset purchase program.\nLast week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during the central bank's virtual Jackson Hole symposium that there has \"been clear progress toward maximum employment\" and suggested \"it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year\" if the recovery continues to improve.\nHowever, he also flagged the ongoing risks introduced by the Delta variant, and added that an \"ill-time policy move\" could knock the recovery off its trajectory.\nNEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 27: People walk near Little Island park on May 27, 2021 in New York City. On May 19, all pandemic restrictions, including mask mandates, social distancing guidelines, venue capacities and restaurant curfews were lifted by New York Governor Andrew Cuomo. (Photo by Noam Galai/Getty Images)Noam Galai via Getty Images\n\"Given the emphasis that Powell and other FOMC members have placed on incoming data — especially on the labor market — the payrolls report will probably take on even greater importance than usual,\" Jonas Goltermann, senior markets economist for Capital Economics, wrote in a note on Friday. \"We expect another robust increase in U.S. employment,\"\nOther data in Friday's jobs report will include average hourly wage changes. These are expected to grow 0.3% over last month and 4.0% over last year, with these paces remaining roughly unchanged compared to July. The increases are set to come as job growth slows across lower-wage roles after an initial reopening surge in hiring in the spring and early summer, and as worker shortages push up compensation costs across many firms.\nConsumer confidence\nOther economic data due for release this week will reflect consumers' assessments of the recovery.\nThe Conference Board's consumer confidence index is set for release on Tuesday, with a drop baked into the forecast. Consensus economists expect the index to slip to 123.0 for August, down from 129.1 in July, according to Bloomberg data. July's print had been the highest since February 2020, marking a rebound in confidence back to pre-pandemic levels.\nThe Conference Board's labor differential, or difference between those who said jobs are \"plentiful\" less those who said jobs were \"hard to get,\" also increased to the most since 2000 in last month's report, pointing to the abundance of job openings as employers seek out workers to meet rising demand.\nConsumer confidence and sentiment indices have been monitored closely this year as a gauge of the outlook among Americans at large, pointing to consumers' propensity to spend and presaging demand trends for goods, services and labor down the line. The data have been bumpy in recent months, however, and have ebbed and flowed largely in line with COVID-19 infection trends.\nThe latest surge in the Delta variant catalyzed a collapse in the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers index for August, suggesting the Conference Board's measure might also see a similar dip for the month. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index slid to a 10-year low in August, plunging to 70.3 from July's 81.2.\n\"Consumers' extreme reactions were due to the surging Delta variant, higher inflation, slower wage growth, and smaller declines in unemployment,\" Richard Curtin, Surveys of Consumers chief economist, wrote in a press statement. \"The extraordinary falloff in sentiment also reflects an emotional response, from dashed hopes that the pandemic would soon end and lives could return to normal.\"\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Pending home sales, month-over-month, July (0.4% expected, -1.9% in June); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity index, August (23.0 expected, 27.3 in July)\nTuesday: FHFA Home Price index, month-over-month, June (1.9% expected, 1.7% in May); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City index, month-over-month, June (1.87% expected, 1.81% in May); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City index, year-over-year, June (18.60% expected, 16.99% in May); MNI Chicago PMI, August (68.0 expected, 73.4 in July); Conference Board Consumer Confidence, August (123.4 expected, 129.1 in July)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 27 (1.6% during prior week); ADP employment change, August (650,000 expected, 330,000 in July); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August final (61.2 expected, 61.2 in prior print); Construction spending, month-over-month (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); ISM Manufacturing index, August (58.5 expected, 59.5 in July)\nThursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, August (-92.8% in July); Initial jobless claims, week ended August 28 (346,000 expected, 353,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 21 (2.862 million during prior week); Unit labor costs, 2Q final (1.0% expected, 1.0% in prior print); Trade balance, July (-$74.1 billion expected, -$75.7 billion in June); Factory orders, July (0.3% expected, 1.5% in June); Durable goods orders, July final (-0.1% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, July final (0.0% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods shipments, July final (1.0% in prior print)\nFriday: Change in non-farm payrolls, August (750,000 expected, 943,000 in July); Change in manufacturing payrolls, August (700,000 expected, 703,000 in July); Unemployment rate, August (5.2% expected, 5.4% in July); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.4% in July); Average hourly earnings, year-over-year, August (3.9% expected, 4.0% in July); Markit U.S. services PMI, August final (55.2 expected, 55.2 in prior print); Markit U.S. composite PMI, August final (55.4 in prior print); ISM Services Index, August (62.0 expected, 64.1 in July)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Zoom Video Communications (ZM) after market close\nTuesday: Crowdstrike (CRWD) after market close\nWednesday: Campbell Soup (CPB) before market open; Okta (OKTA), Chewy (CHWY), C3.ai (AI), Asana (ASAN) after market close\nThursday: American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) before market open; Broadcom (AVGO), DocuSign (DOCU), MongoDB (MDB) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813534358,"gmtCreate":1630212353774,"gmtModify":1676530244938,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576472339748285","idStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will it fall below $1?","listText":"Will it fall below $1?","text":"Will it fall below 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more bank of america! Like and comment","listText":"Buy more bank of america! Like and comment","text":"Buy more bank of america! Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/139768952","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579568139568178","authorId":"3579568139568178","name":"Gnoixed","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02d7e2310e2259dc0abb6c8cd2e1a05b","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3579568139568178","authorIdStr":"3579568139568178"},"content":"pls reply back.","text":"pls reply back.","html":"pls reply back."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177192558,"gmtCreate":1627185070674,"gmtModify":1703485259794,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576472339748285","authorIdStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Potentially","listText":"Potentially","text":"Potentially","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/177192558","repostId":"2153936352","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880952731,"gmtCreate":1631013602923,"gmtModify":1676530442040,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576472339748285","authorIdStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Liked","listText":"Liked","text":"Liked","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/880952731","repostId":"1130130857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130130857","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631007146,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130130857?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-09-07 17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p>\n<p>Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p>\n<p>In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p>\n<p>That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p>\n<p>Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p>\n<p>The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p>\n<p>Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p>\n<p>The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p>\n<p>A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p>\n<p>For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p>\n<p>Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p>\n<p>“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p>\n<p>The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p>\n<p>Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p>\n<p>If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p>\n<p>If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p>\n<p>Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p>\n<p>A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p>\n<p>An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p>\n<p>These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n</blockquote>\n<p>The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p>\n<p>RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p>\n<p>“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p>\n<p>But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p>\n<p>“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p>\n<p><b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p>\n<p>Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p>\n<p>“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p>\n<p>He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p>\n<p>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p>\n<p>“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p>\n<p>Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p>\n<p>Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p>\n<p>“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p>\n<p>Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p>\n<p>Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p>\n<p>Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p>\n<p>Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p>\n<p>After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-07 17:32 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. And go with quality.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140221443,"gmtCreate":1625662953482,"gmtModify":1703745867454,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576472339748285","authorIdStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"China stocks is uncertain now","listText":"China stocks is uncertain now","text":"China stocks is uncertain now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140221443","repostId":"2149397835","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":42,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561534918172425","authorId":"3561534918172425","name":"Jrrr92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3713f77c17599af04b8943281769ec65","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561534918172425","authorIdStr":"3561534918172425"},"content":"Comment n like back thanks","text":"Comment n like back thanks","html":"Comment n like back thanks"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817880236,"gmtCreate":1630931285525,"gmtModify":1676530422918,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576472339748285","authorIdStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/817880236","repostId":"1143325200","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832464471,"gmtCreate":1629675488493,"gmtModify":1676530090071,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576472339748285","authorIdStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting for the news","listText":"Waiting for the news","text":"Waiting for the news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/832464471","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115711481,"gmtCreate":1623030580543,"gmtModify":1704194604834,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576472339748285","authorIdStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gme fundamentals","listText":"Gme fundamentals","text":"Gme fundamentals","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115711481","repostId":"2141926289","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":45,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198504278,"gmtCreate":1620967302594,"gmtModify":1704351286630,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576472339748285","authorIdStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up and away! Like and comment pls","listText":"Up up and away! Like and comment pls","text":"Up up and away! Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/198504278","repostId":"2135945620","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3573463413940883","authorId":"3573463413940883","name":"HODL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/395bec96bef9e08bb1e96cac623059a3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573463413940883","authorIdStr":"3573463413940883"},"content":"done, help reply pls","text":"done, help reply pls","html":"done, help reply 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is more established","listText":"Alibaba is more established","text":"Alibaba is more 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ok","listText":"Still ok","text":"Still ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/811619858","repostId":"2163776380","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2163776380","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630268536,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2163776380?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-30 04:22","market":"other","language":"en","title":"August jobs report, Consumer confidence: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2163776380","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"New data on the U.S. labor market will be in focus this week, offering an updated look at how economic activity has been impacted as the spread of the Delta variant ramped up in the U.S. over the summer.The Labor Department's August jobs report will be the marquee economic report out this week. Consensus economists expect to see that a still-robust 750,000 jobs came back in August, according to Bloomberg data. This would represent a significant print by pre-pandemic standards, but still mark a d","content":"<p>New data on the U.S. labor market will be in focus this week, offering an updated look at how economic activity has been impacted as the spread of the Delta variant ramped up in the U.S. over the summer.</p>\n<p>The Labor Department's August jobs report will be the marquee economic report out this week. Consensus economists expect to see that a still-robust 750,000 jobs came back in August, according to Bloomberg data. This would represent a significant print by pre-pandemic standards, but still mark a deceleration from July's increase of 943,000 jobs. The unemployment rate likely improved further, reaching 5.2% from the 5.4% reported during July.</p>\n<p>The August jobs report is set to be an especially telling report, capturing the impact of the latest surge in coronavirus cases on the U.S. labor market. Other recent economic reports already began to reflect the Delta variant impacts on activity: Job creation in the U.S. services sector slowed by the most since February, while manufacturing sector workforce numbers increased by the least since last year, according to IHS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a>'s latest purchasing managers' index reports.</p>\n<p>\"High frequency labor market data are signaling a marked slowdown in employment activity in the August payroll survey week, suggesting downside risk to our forecast,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note on Friday, adding that she expects non-farm payrolls to grow by just 600,000 for August.</p>\n<p>\"Our below-consensus non-farm payrolls forecast is predicated on the markedly weaker high frequency employment data between the July and August payroll survey periods,\" Meyer added. \"Specifically, the Homebase and UKG employment series were both down 3.4% and 2.4%, respectively, over the month.\"</p>\n<p>The outcome of the August jobs report will also be another closely watched data point informing the Federal Reserve's next moves on monetary policy, signaling whether the labor market has recovered enough to warrant a less accommodative tilt. Namely, many Fed officials have been waiting to see the evolution of the labor market recovery to determine the timing for the central bank to announce tapering of its $120 billion per month asset purchase program.</p>\n<p>Last week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during the central bank's virtual Jackson Hole symposium that there has \"been clear progress toward maximum employment\" and suggested \"it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year\" if the recovery continues to improve.</p>\n<p>However, he also flagged the ongoing risks introduced by the Delta variant, and added that an \"ill-time policy move\" could knock the recovery off its trajectory.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67ac641337acd82a0408b6109dad21f9\" tg-width=\"5505\" tg-height=\"3655\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 27: People walk near Little Island park on May 27, 2021 in New York City. On May 19, all pandemic restrictions, including mask mandates, social distancing guidelines, venue capacities and restaurant curfews were lifted by New York Governor Andrew Cuomo. (Photo by Noam Galai/Getty Images)Noam Galai via Getty Images</p>\n<p>\"Given the emphasis that Powell and other FOMC members have placed on incoming data — especially on the labor market — the payrolls report will probably take on even greater importance than usual,\" Jonas Goltermann, senior markets economist for Capital Economics, wrote in a note on Friday. \"We expect another robust increase in U.S. employment,\"</p>\n<p>Other data in Friday's jobs report will include average hourly wage changes. These are expected to grow 0.3% over last month and 4.0% over last year, with these paces remaining roughly unchanged compared to July. The increases are set to come as job growth slows across lower-wage roles after an initial reopening surge in hiring in the spring and early summer, and as worker shortages push up compensation costs across many firms.</p>\n<h3>Consumer confidence</h3>\n<p>Other economic data due for release this week will reflect consumers' assessments of the recovery.</p>\n<p>The Conference Board's consumer confidence index is set for release on Tuesday, with a drop baked into the forecast. Consensus economists expect the index to slip to 123.0 for August, down from 129.1 in July, according to Bloomberg data. July's print had been the highest since February 2020, marking a rebound in confidence back to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p>The Conference Board's labor differential, or difference between those who said jobs are \"plentiful\" less those who said jobs were \"hard to get,\" also increased to the most since 2000 in last month's report, pointing to the abundance of job openings as employers seek out workers to meet rising demand.</p>\n<p>Consumer confidence and sentiment indices have been monitored closely this year as a gauge of the outlook among Americans at large, pointing to consumers' propensity to spend and presaging demand trends for goods, services and labor down the line. The data have been bumpy in recent months, however, and have ebbed and flowed largely in line with COVID-19 infection trends.</p>\n<p>The latest surge in the Delta variant catalyzed a collapse in the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers index for August, suggesting the Conference Board's measure might also see a similar dip for the month. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index slid to a 10-year low in August, plunging to 70.3 from July's 81.2.</p>\n<p>\"Consumers' extreme reactions were due to the surging Delta variant, higher inflation, slower wage growth, and smaller declines in unemployment,\" Richard Curtin, Surveys of Consumers chief economist, wrote in a press statement. \"The extraordinary falloff in sentiment also reflects an emotional response, from dashed hopes that the pandemic would soon end and lives could return to normal.\"</p>\n<h3>Economic calendar</h3>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Pending home sales, month-over-month, July (0.4% expected, -1.9% in June); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity index, August (23.0 expected, 27.3 in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>FHFA Home Price index, month-over-month, June (1.9% expected, 1.7% in May); S&P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> Case-Shiller 20-City index, month-over-month, June (1.87% expected, 1.81% in May); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City index, year-over-year, June (18.60% expected, 16.99% in May); MNI Chicago PMI, August (68.0 expected, 73.4 in July); Conference Board Consumer Confidence, August (123.4 expected, 129.1 in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 27 (1.6% during prior week); ADP employment change, August (650,000 expected, 330,000 in July); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August final (61.2 expected, 61.2 in prior print); Construction spending, month-over-month (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); ISM Manufacturing index, August (58.5 expected, 59.5 in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, August (-92.8% in July); Initial jobless claims, week ended August 28 (346,000 expected, 353,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 21 (2.862 million during prior week); Unit labor costs, 2Q final (1.0% expected, 1.0% in prior print); Trade balance, July (-$74.1 billion expected, -$75.7 billion in June); Factory orders, July (0.3% expected, 1.5% in June); Durable goods orders, July final (-0.1% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, July final (0.0% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods shipments, July final (1.0% in prior print)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Change in non-farm payrolls, August (750,000 expected, 943,000 in July); Change in manufacturing payrolls, August (700,000 expected, 703,000 in July); Unemployment rate, August (5.2% expected, 5.4% in July); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.4% in July); Average hourly earnings, year-over-year, August (3.9% expected, 4.0% in July); Markit U.S. services PMI, August final (55.2 expected, 55.2 in prior print); Markit U.S. composite PMI, August final (55.4 in prior print); ISM Services Index, August (62.0 expected, 64.1 in July)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications (ZM) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Crowdstrike (CRWD) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>Campbell Soup (CPB) before market open; Okta (OKTA), Chewy (CHWY), C3.ai (AI), Asana (ASAN) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) before market open; Broadcom (AVGO), DocuSign (DOCU), MongoDB (MDB) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday:</b><i> </i>No notable reports scheduled for release</p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>August jobs report, Consumer confidence: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAugust jobs report, Consumer confidence: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-30 04:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/august-jobs-report-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-202216254.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>New data on the U.S. labor market will be in focus this week, offering an updated look at how economic activity has been impacted as the spread of the Delta variant ramped up in the U.S. over the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/august-jobs-report-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-202216254.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/650fad7fca15e203aa26611c0dfb8d62","relate_stocks":{"TGT":"塔吉特","XRT":"零售指数ETF-SPDR标普","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","WMT":"沃尔玛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/august-jobs-report-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-202216254.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2163776380","content_text":"New data on the U.S. labor market will be in focus this week, offering an updated look at how economic activity has been impacted as the spread of the Delta variant ramped up in the U.S. over the summer.\nThe Labor Department's August jobs report will be the marquee economic report out this week. Consensus economists expect to see that a still-robust 750,000 jobs came back in August, according to Bloomberg data. This would represent a significant print by pre-pandemic standards, but still mark a deceleration from July's increase of 943,000 jobs. The unemployment rate likely improved further, reaching 5.2% from the 5.4% reported during July.\nThe August jobs report is set to be an especially telling report, capturing the impact of the latest surge in coronavirus cases on the U.S. labor market. Other recent economic reports already began to reflect the Delta variant impacts on activity: Job creation in the U.S. services sector slowed by the most since February, while manufacturing sector workforce numbers increased by the least since last year, according to IHS Markit's latest purchasing managers' index reports.\n\"High frequency labor market data are signaling a marked slowdown in employment activity in the August payroll survey week, suggesting downside risk to our forecast,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note on Friday, adding that she expects non-farm payrolls to grow by just 600,000 for August.\n\"Our below-consensus non-farm payrolls forecast is predicated on the markedly weaker high frequency employment data between the July and August payroll survey periods,\" Meyer added. \"Specifically, the Homebase and UKG employment series were both down 3.4% and 2.4%, respectively, over the month.\"\nThe outcome of the August jobs report will also be another closely watched data point informing the Federal Reserve's next moves on monetary policy, signaling whether the labor market has recovered enough to warrant a less accommodative tilt. Namely, many Fed officials have been waiting to see the evolution of the labor market recovery to determine the timing for the central bank to announce tapering of its $120 billion per month asset purchase program.\nLast week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during the central bank's virtual Jackson Hole symposium that there has \"been clear progress toward maximum employment\" and suggested \"it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year\" if the recovery continues to improve.\nHowever, he also flagged the ongoing risks introduced by the Delta variant, and added that an \"ill-time policy move\" could knock the recovery off its trajectory.\nNEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 27: People walk near Little Island park on May 27, 2021 in New York City. On May 19, all pandemic restrictions, including mask mandates, social distancing guidelines, venue capacities and restaurant curfews were lifted by New York Governor Andrew Cuomo. (Photo by Noam Galai/Getty Images)Noam Galai via Getty Images\n\"Given the emphasis that Powell and other FOMC members have placed on incoming data — especially on the labor market — the payrolls report will probably take on even greater importance than usual,\" Jonas Goltermann, senior markets economist for Capital Economics, wrote in a note on Friday. \"We expect another robust increase in U.S. employment,\"\nOther data in Friday's jobs report will include average hourly wage changes. These are expected to grow 0.3% over last month and 4.0% over last year, with these paces remaining roughly unchanged compared to July. The increases are set to come as job growth slows across lower-wage roles after an initial reopening surge in hiring in the spring and early summer, and as worker shortages push up compensation costs across many firms.\nConsumer confidence\nOther economic data due for release this week will reflect consumers' assessments of the recovery.\nThe Conference Board's consumer confidence index is set for release on Tuesday, with a drop baked into the forecast. Consensus economists expect the index to slip to 123.0 for August, down from 129.1 in July, according to Bloomberg data. July's print had been the highest since February 2020, marking a rebound in confidence back to pre-pandemic levels.\nThe Conference Board's labor differential, or difference between those who said jobs are \"plentiful\" less those who said jobs were \"hard to get,\" also increased to the most since 2000 in last month's report, pointing to the abundance of job openings as employers seek out workers to meet rising demand.\nConsumer confidence and sentiment indices have been monitored closely this year as a gauge of the outlook among Americans at large, pointing to consumers' propensity to spend and presaging demand trends for goods, services and labor down the line. The data have been bumpy in recent months, however, and have ebbed and flowed largely in line with COVID-19 infection trends.\nThe latest surge in the Delta variant catalyzed a collapse in the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers index for August, suggesting the Conference Board's measure might also see a similar dip for the month. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index slid to a 10-year low in August, plunging to 70.3 from July's 81.2.\n\"Consumers' extreme reactions were due to the surging Delta variant, higher inflation, slower wage growth, and smaller declines in unemployment,\" Richard Curtin, Surveys of Consumers chief economist, wrote in a press statement. \"The extraordinary falloff in sentiment also reflects an emotional response, from dashed hopes that the pandemic would soon end and lives could return to normal.\"\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Pending home sales, month-over-month, July (0.4% expected, -1.9% in June); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity index, August (23.0 expected, 27.3 in July)\nTuesday: FHFA Home Price index, month-over-month, June (1.9% expected, 1.7% in May); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City index, month-over-month, June (1.87% expected, 1.81% in May); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City index, year-over-year, June (18.60% expected, 16.99% in May); MNI Chicago PMI, August (68.0 expected, 73.4 in July); Conference Board Consumer Confidence, August (123.4 expected, 129.1 in July)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 27 (1.6% during prior week); ADP employment change, August (650,000 expected, 330,000 in July); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August final (61.2 expected, 61.2 in prior print); Construction spending, month-over-month (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); ISM Manufacturing index, August (58.5 expected, 59.5 in July)\nThursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, August (-92.8% in July); Initial jobless claims, week ended August 28 (346,000 expected, 353,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 21 (2.862 million during prior week); Unit labor costs, 2Q final (1.0% expected, 1.0% in prior print); Trade balance, July (-$74.1 billion expected, -$75.7 billion in June); Factory orders, July (0.3% expected, 1.5% in June); Durable goods orders, July final (-0.1% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, July final (0.0% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods shipments, July final (1.0% in prior print)\nFriday: Change in non-farm payrolls, August (750,000 expected, 943,000 in July); Change in manufacturing payrolls, August (700,000 expected, 703,000 in July); Unemployment rate, August (5.2% expected, 5.4% in July); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.4% in July); Average hourly earnings, year-over-year, August (3.9% expected, 4.0% in July); Markit U.S. services PMI, August final (55.2 expected, 55.2 in prior print); Markit U.S. composite PMI, August final (55.4 in prior print); ISM Services Index, August (62.0 expected, 64.1 in July)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Zoom Video Communications (ZM) after market close\nTuesday: Crowdstrike (CRWD) after market close\nWednesday: Campbell Soup (CPB) before market open; Okta (OKTA), Chewy (CHWY), C3.ai (AI), Asana (ASAN) after market close\nThursday: American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) before market open; Broadcom (AVGO), DocuSign (DOCU), MongoDB (MDB) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839806983,"gmtCreate":1629131543142,"gmtModify":1676529942357,"author":{"id":"3576472339748285","authorId":"3576472339748285","name":"Charlene_Wee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1195614ba4e8b2edf234e734266578","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576472339748285","authorIdStr":"3576472339748285"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839806983","repostId":"2159248377","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}