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2022-11-03

$CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$

2022-10-28

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2022-10-11

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US STOCKS-Nasdaq Registers Lowest Close Since July 2020; Chips Stocks Fall

2022-10-07

$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$

2022-10-07

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2022-10-06

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2022-10-05

$SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED(S68.SI)$

2022-10-05

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QQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now

2022-10-04

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Apple: Hello Recession

2022-10-04

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Apple: Hello Recession

2022-10-04

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2022-10-03

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2022-10-03

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

2022-10-03

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2022-10-03

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What Investors Need to Know About October's Complicated Stock-Market History

2022-10-02

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Alibaba Stock: Attractive Valuation Despite Mid-Term Headwinds

2022-10-01

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4 Blue-Chip Stocks to Sell in October

2022-10-01

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$

2022-09-30

$Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr(N2IU.SI)$

2022-09-30

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Tr(N2IU.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986616712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5057,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917345333,"gmtCreate":1665446769322,"gmtModify":1676537606619,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917345333","repostId":"2274659942","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2274659942","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1665442200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2274659942?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-11 06:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Nasdaq Registers Lowest Close Since July 2020; Chips Stocks Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2274659942","media":"Reuters","summary":"*Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slumps*Tech, energy lead S&P sector declines*Indexes: Dow down 0.3%, S&P 500 down 0.8%, Nasdaq down 1%NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Monday, with","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slumps</p><p>* Tech, energy lead S&amp;P sector declines</p><p>* Indexes: Dow down 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.8%, Nasdaq down 1%</p><p>NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Monday, with the Nasdaq posting its lowest close since July 2020, as investors worried about the impact of higher interest rates and pulled out of chipmakers after the United States announced restrictions aimed at hobbling China&#39;s semiconductor industry.</p><p>Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said tighter U.S. monetary policy has begun to be felt in an economy that may be slowing faster than expected, but the full brunt of Fed interest rate increases still won&#39;t be apparent for months.</p><p>Despite growing concerns by a number of economists and analysts that the Fed&#39;s interest rate hikes could increase unemployment, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans continued to back the central bank&#39;s attempt to lower inflation, saying that while it sounds &#34;optimistic&#34; he believed it could do so &#34;while also avoiding recession.&#34;</p><p>&#34;People are worried about the economy. People are worried about a possible recession,&#34; said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive officer of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma.</p><p>The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor indexdropped 3.5% after the Biden administration published a set of export controls on Friday, including a measure to cut China off from certain semiconductor chips made anywhere in the world with U.S. equipment.</p><p>Shares of Nvidia Corpfell 3.4%, while Qualcomm Inc, Micron Technology Incand Advanced Micro Devicesalso ended lower.</p><p>Investors were also cautious ahead of the U.S. third-quarter earnings season, which is set to kick off on Friday with results from some of the major banks.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 93.91 points, or 0.32%, to 29,202.88, the S&amp;P 500 lost 27.27 points, or 0.75%, to 3,612.39 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 110.30 points, or 1.04%, to 10,542.10.</p><p>Estimates for third-quarter earnings have come down in recent weeks. 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S&amp;P 500 technology led sector declines along with energy.</p><p>Investors were also awaiting U.S. inflation data this week.</p><p>The U.S. bond market was shut for the Columbus Day holiday on Monday.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.43-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 73 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 58 new highs and 461 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.66 billion shares, compared with the 11.73 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f88c1d00861344185b068f9b8e82b310\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Nasdaq Registers Lowest Close Since July 2020; Chips Stocks Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Nasdaq Registers Lowest Close Since July 2020; Chips Stocks Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-11 06:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slumps</p><p>* Tech, energy lead S&amp;P sector declines</p><p>* Indexes: Dow down 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.8%, Nasdaq down 1%</p><p>NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Monday, with the Nasdaq posting its lowest close since July 2020, as investors worried about the impact of higher interest rates and pulled out of chipmakers after the United States announced restrictions aimed at hobbling China&#39;s semiconductor industry.</p><p>Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said tighter U.S. monetary policy has begun to be felt in an economy that may be slowing faster than expected, but the full brunt of Fed interest rate increases still won&#39;t be apparent for months.</p><p>Despite growing concerns by a number of economists and analysts that the Fed&#39;s interest rate hikes could increase unemployment, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans continued to back the central bank&#39;s attempt to lower inflation, saying that while it sounds &#34;optimistic&#34; he believed it could do so &#34;while also avoiding recession.&#34;</p><p>&#34;People are worried about the economy. People are worried about a possible recession,&#34; said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive officer of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma.</p><p>The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor indexdropped 3.5% after the Biden administration published a set of export controls on Friday, including a measure to cut China off from certain semiconductor chips made anywhere in the world with U.S. equipment.</p><p>Shares of Nvidia Corpfell 3.4%, while Qualcomm Inc, Micron Technology Incand Advanced Micro Devicesalso ended lower.</p><p>Investors were also cautious ahead of the U.S. third-quarter earnings season, which is set to kick off on Friday with results from some of the major banks.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 93.91 points, or 0.32%, to 29,202.88, the S&amp;P 500 lost 27.27 points, or 0.75%, to 3,612.39 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 110.30 points, or 1.04%, to 10,542.10.</p><p>Estimates for third-quarter earnings have come down in recent weeks. Analyst now expect year-over-year earnings for S&amp;P 500 companies to have risen 4.1% in the quarter, compared with an increase of 11.1% expected at the beginning of July, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p>Microsoft&#39;s stock was down 2.1% and was among the biggest drags on the three major indexes. S&amp;P 500 technology led sector declines along with energy.</p><p>Investors were also awaiting U.S. inflation data this week.</p><p>The U.S. bond market was shut for the Columbus Day holiday on Monday.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.43-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 73 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 58 new highs and 461 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.66 billion shares, compared with the 11.73 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f88c1d00861344185b068f9b8e82b310\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AMD":"美国超微公司","SPY":"标普500ETF","QCOM":"高通",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","MSFT":"微软",".DJI":"道琼斯","MU":"美光科技","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2274659942","content_text":"* Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slumps* Tech, energy lead S&P sector declines* Indexes: Dow down 0.3%, S&P 500 down 0.8%, Nasdaq down 1%NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Monday, with the Nasdaq posting its lowest close since July 2020, as investors worried about the impact of higher interest rates and pulled out of chipmakers after the United States announced restrictions aimed at hobbling China's semiconductor industry.Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said tighter U.S. monetary policy has begun to be felt in an economy that may be slowing faster than expected, but the full brunt of Fed interest rate increases still won't be apparent for months.Despite growing concerns by a number of economists and analysts that the Fed's interest rate hikes could increase unemployment, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans continued to back the central bank's attempt to lower inflation, saying that while it sounds \"optimistic\" he believed it could do so \"while also avoiding recession.\"\"People are worried about the economy. People are worried about a possible recession,\" said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive officer of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma.The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor indexdropped 3.5% after the Biden administration published a set of export controls on Friday, including a measure to cut China off from certain semiconductor chips made anywhere in the world with U.S. equipment.Shares of Nvidia Corpfell 3.4%, while Qualcomm Inc, Micron Technology Incand Advanced Micro Devicesalso ended lower.Investors were also cautious ahead of the U.S. third-quarter earnings season, which is set to kick off on Friday with results from some of the major banks.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 93.91 points, or 0.32%, to 29,202.88, the S&P 500 lost 27.27 points, or 0.75%, to 3,612.39 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 110.30 points, or 1.04%, to 10,542.10.Estimates for third-quarter earnings have come down in recent weeks. Analyst now expect year-over-year earnings for S&P 500 companies to have risen 4.1% in the quarter, compared with an increase of 11.1% expected at the beginning of July, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.Microsoft's stock was down 2.1% and was among the biggest drags on the three major indexes. S&P 500 technology led sector declines along with energy.Investors were also awaiting U.S. inflation data this week.The U.S. bond market was shut for the Columbus Day holiday on Monday.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.43-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 73 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 58 new highs and 461 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.66 billion shares, compared with the 11.73 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MU":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"AMD":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915426017,"gmtCreate":1665101103740,"gmtModify":1676537556519,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/967e5e47e3bba91ada49e29a5d5a3a57","width":"1125","height":"2262"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915426017","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915423935,"gmtCreate":1665100839827,"gmtModify":1676537556435,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915423935","repostId":"2273380106","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915600824,"gmtCreate":1665016606469,"gmtModify":1676537544212,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915600824","repostId":"2273289978","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915137820,"gmtCreate":1664980110061,"gmtModify":1676537538866,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S68.SI\">$SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED(S68.SI)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/S68.SI\">$SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED(S68.SI)$</a>","text":"$SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED(S68.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/84bcfdac1b0ba2ea14245809b5455645","width":"1125","height":"2366"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915137820","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915135724,"gmtCreate":1664979918068,"gmtModify":1676537538803,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915135724","repostId":"1137334453","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137334453","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664982019,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137334453?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-05 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"QQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137334453","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish ma","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>The market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.</li><li>Even previously bullish market strategists have been shaken by the recent wave of market pessimism, accentuated by the media&#39;s bearish calls.</li><li>We discuss why we could have reached peak pessimism last week, at heights unseen over the past fifteen years.</li><li>We also explain the critical levels investors need to watch to analyze the price action over the next four to five weeks to validate our thesis.</li><li>This is the moment investors need to be brave and not fall into the bearish camp.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac443e0ce1bd43b0a4d2729fe65b6d7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>24K-Production</span></p><p>Thesis</p><p>This is the moment that we have been waiting for, the ultimate trap to ensnare the bearish investors/short-sellers/hedgers. We gleaned that the market had set up the bearish conditions to form the most potent bear trap (indicating the market denied furtherselling downside decisively) in our arsenal last Friday (September 30), when the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) re-tested its June lows.</p><p>Accordingly, it joined the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) in its quest to attract sellers into their June bottom by breaking below it. Therefore, it created the optimal conditions for sellers to be drawn deep into peak bear market pessimism, taking out the stop losses from buyers who picked June&#39;s lows, creating massive panic.</p><p>As discussed below, we also observed critical observations from Wall Street strategists who maintained their bullish views until last week&#39;s re-tests. Hence, even the most resilient bullish equity strategists are now unsure of their posture, adding to the score of already pessimistic Wall Street strategists.</p><p>Notwithstanding, our analysis suggests that the market has set up such re-test conditions several times to form significant bear market bottoms before. These are conditions designed to force weak buyers who thought they picked the lows in June to abandon their thesis entirely at the worst possible moment. They are also intended to fan the flames in the media, who have been touting bearish ideas during these volatile times to attract eyeballs.</p><p>While we have yet to glean a validated bullish reversal signal that could confirm that this is the ultimate bottom, we are cautiously optimistic. Notwithstanding, no one can predict precisely how the market will move in the next four to five weeks, which is critical to our thesis. However, even if you really want to cut exposure, we urge you not to jump ship now at the worst possible time of peak pessimism. Sell at the next relief rally if you desire, but not here and not now.</p><p>We reiterate our Buy rating on the SPY and QQQ.</p><p>Bullish Strategists Are Now Uncertain With Their Conviction</p><p>In our daily update for our members, we observed several indicators that highlighted peak pessimism in the market last week. We noted that the put/call premium reached a record high that was unseen over the past fifteen years. We accentuated:</p><blockquote>[The put/call premium] reached an extreme [level] well above the highs in June [2022] and at levels not seen over the past 15 years. That means it&#39;s even higher than the levels last seen in the 2008/09 financial crisis. The fear and panic have reached a crescendo. Note that this contrarian indicator is very consistent in its predictive potency of a significant bottoming process when it reaches extreme levels. It&#39;s incredible; markets have finally turned extremely panicky, much more than in June, and at the highest levels over the past 15! (Ultimate Growth Investing 28 September 2022 Daily Market Analysis)</blockquote><p>Furthermore, we also gleaned that previously bullish strategists have started questioning their conviction levels. For instance, JPMorgan&#39;s (JPM) Marko Kolanovic, who is noted to have been &#34;a steadfast bullthroughout the stock market&#39;s more than 20% decline this year, but now some big risks are forming that he can&#39;t ignore.&#34; He highlighted:</p><blockquote>Most of the risks in 2022 are a result of policies: escalation of geopolitical tensions and violence, mismanagement of the energy crisis, damaging (instead of nurturing) of global trade relationships and supply chains, fanning internal political divisions, and more. It all amounts to throwing rocks in glass house. While we remain above-consensus positive, these [year-end] targets may not be realized until 2023 or when the risks ease. - Insider</blockquote><p>Even market strategist Edward Yardeni, who has been calling for a &#34;rolling/growth recession&#34; instead of a full-blown one, is also considering revisiting his thesis, as it could have been &#34;too optimistic.&#34; He articulated:</p><blockquote>The latest economic indicators suggest that the economy is doing better than expected but also that inflation remains too high. That alignment increases the odds of more Fed tightening than previously expected, a higher terminal fed funds rate, and a Fed-induced hard landing. A hard landing isn&#39;t currently our economic forecast-we see the growth recession continuing through year-end. But fears of a Fed-induced hard landing are increasing bearishness in both bond and stock markets. We are assessing whether our forecasts for both S&amp;P 500 earnings and valuation might be too optimistic. (Yardeni Research October 3 morning briefing)</blockquote><p>The point we are trying to make is not to call out these two well-respected strategists. But, we believe it&#39;s necessary to point out that even some of the most optimistic market strategists are now questioning their conviction levels. It corroborates our indicators that suggest that the market could have reached peak pessimism, as we suggested.</p><p>Significant Market Bottoming Process Could Be Forming</p><p>Investors need to understand that the market is a complex machinery. But, we believe experienced investors generally concur that the most significant market bottoms are formed at levels of peak pessimism. That includes the depths seen in the dotcom bust in the early 2000s or the global financial crisis of 2007-09.</p><p>But is the current bear market bottoming process any different? We don&#39;t think anyone can tell you exactly how the current bottom would pan out. Notwithstanding, they often demonstrate similar price structures that unveil significant clues about their bottoming process. Let&#39;s see.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35c4858ac6a8891490febd96e54cbbd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>QQQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>As seen above, the market forced the QQQ down rapidly to its June lows through September after posting its August highs, forming the re-test.</p><p>We believe the summer rally from the initial June bottom cajoled investors into covering their hedges and investors waiting on the sideline to join the momentum surge, as it broke above May&#39;s highs. As a result, it created a &#34;higher-high&#34; structure, giving these investors&#39; confidence that June&#39;s bottom could have marked the market&#39;s ultimate lows.</p><p>Of course, the market had other ideas, as the steep selling through September helped create another opportunity to draw in sellers rapidly, as market pessimism reached feverish levels.</p><p>Notwithstanding, the re-test also created a potential double bottom opportunity, predicated on the lows in June. So, June lows are still valid, but the market needed to force another round of massive panic by taking out the summer gains before reversing the momentum.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f20ea4352b6cd926d55d0a59dbcf6ad4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We also gleaned similar price action in the SPY, which re-tested its June bottom ahead of the QQQ last week.</p><p>Hence, the stage is set for the double bottom to be validated over the next four to five weeks. Therefore, we believe price-action-based investors will be carefully poring over the market dynamics over this period to discern buyers&#39; resilience to create the potential bullish reversal price action, leading to the next sustained uptrend.</p><p>Investors could also ask whether the price action in March was considered a double bottom. The answer is no. Because the market was not in a prior downtrend, market conditions are not considered bearish enough to validate a double bottom.</p><p>However, the length and extent of the bear market since its November 2021 highs have formed a medium-term downtrend in the current re-test. Therefore, we have the critical condition of a downtrending market to validate the double bottom in our arsenal.</p><p>Previous Double Bottoms Marked The Ultimate Bottom</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cafca6b8573804703e65bdffc2141e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We bring you back to the global financial crisis of 2007-09 to help investors glean the market&#39;s bottoming process, which also formed a double bottom.</p><p>As seen above, the rapid capitulation from August to September 2008 led to an initial bear trap in November 2008, not long after Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffet&#39;s famous op-ed in The New York Times (NYT), accentuating:</p><blockquote>What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over. -NYT</blockquote><p>Actually, Buffett&#39;s timing of his commentary was logical and spot on. However, the market had other ideas, as it needed to create another massive panic wave to force the ultimate lows: the double bottom.</p><p>As seen above, the market then went on another selling overdrive over the next four months forcing investors to flee to the hills and drawing in sellers on peak pessimism. Alas, the double bottom formed and was validated at the lows in March 2009.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/012ad6c1d1f14aef4b8fc52f68592736\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>NASDAQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We also gleaned another double bottom in the significant market bottoming process at the dotcom bust in the early 2000s. As seen above, the NASDAQ (NDX) formed its initial lows in September 2001, coming right after the WTC terrorist attacks. However, the bear trap only occurred in August 2002.</p><p>Notwithstanding, the market needed to force another low to create massive panic by forming a double bottom in October 2002, effectively taking out the lows from August&#39;s bear trap. Subsequently, the index never looked back until the Great Financial Crisis in 2007.</p><p>Takeaway</p><p>We have discussed critical market turning points that often culminated in double bottoms in the most significant bear markets over the past twenty years.</p><p>Therefore, the SPY and the QQQ are given the opportunity to demonstrate that we are on the cusp of another double bottom, trapping bearish investors/short sellers at the worst possible moments.</p><p>The market action over the next four to five weeks will be critical to validating our thesis.</p><p>We remain cautiously optimistic given the massive pessimism seen in the market, coupled with constructive price action. Accordingly, we <i>reiterate our Buy rating on the QQQ and the SPY.</i></p><p><i>This article was written by JR Research.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>QQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-05 23:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137334453","content_text":"SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish market strategists have been shaken by the recent wave of market pessimism, accentuated by the media's bearish calls.We discuss why we could have reached peak pessimism last week, at heights unseen over the past fifteen years.We also explain the critical levels investors need to watch to analyze the price action over the next four to five weeks to validate our thesis.This is the moment investors need to be brave and not fall into the bearish camp.24K-ProductionThesisThis is the moment that we have been waiting for, the ultimate trap to ensnare the bearish investors/short-sellers/hedgers. We gleaned that the market had set up the bearish conditions to form the most potent bear trap (indicating the market denied furtherselling downside decisively) in our arsenal last Friday (September 30), when the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) re-tested its June lows.Accordingly, it joined the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) in its quest to attract sellers into their June bottom by breaking below it. Therefore, it created the optimal conditions for sellers to be drawn deep into peak bear market pessimism, taking out the stop losses from buyers who picked June's lows, creating massive panic.As discussed below, we also observed critical observations from Wall Street strategists who maintained their bullish views until last week's re-tests. Hence, even the most resilient bullish equity strategists are now unsure of their posture, adding to the score of already pessimistic Wall Street strategists.Notwithstanding, our analysis suggests that the market has set up such re-test conditions several times to form significant bear market bottoms before. These are conditions designed to force weak buyers who thought they picked the lows in June to abandon their thesis entirely at the worst possible moment. They are also intended to fan the flames in the media, who have been touting bearish ideas during these volatile times to attract eyeballs.While we have yet to glean a validated bullish reversal signal that could confirm that this is the ultimate bottom, we are cautiously optimistic. Notwithstanding, no one can predict precisely how the market will move in the next four to five weeks, which is critical to our thesis. However, even if you really want to cut exposure, we urge you not to jump ship now at the worst possible time of peak pessimism. Sell at the next relief rally if you desire, but not here and not now.We reiterate our Buy rating on the SPY and QQQ.Bullish Strategists Are Now Uncertain With Their ConvictionIn our daily update for our members, we observed several indicators that highlighted peak pessimism in the market last week. We noted that the put/call premium reached a record high that was unseen over the past fifteen years. We accentuated:[The put/call premium] reached an extreme [level] well above the highs in June [2022] and at levels not seen over the past 15 years. That means it's even higher than the levels last seen in the 2008/09 financial crisis. The fear and panic have reached a crescendo. Note that this contrarian indicator is very consistent in its predictive potency of a significant bottoming process when it reaches extreme levels. It's incredible; markets have finally turned extremely panicky, much more than in June, and at the highest levels over the past 15! (Ultimate Growth Investing 28 September 2022 Daily Market Analysis)Furthermore, we also gleaned that previously bullish strategists have started questioning their conviction levels. For instance, JPMorgan's (JPM) Marko Kolanovic, who is noted to have been \"a steadfast bullthroughout the stock market's more than 20% decline this year, but now some big risks are forming that he can't ignore.\" He highlighted:Most of the risks in 2022 are a result of policies: escalation of geopolitical tensions and violence, mismanagement of the energy crisis, damaging (instead of nurturing) of global trade relationships and supply chains, fanning internal political divisions, and more. It all amounts to throwing rocks in glass house. While we remain above-consensus positive, these [year-end] targets may not be realized until 2023 or when the risks ease. - InsiderEven market strategist Edward Yardeni, who has been calling for a \"rolling/growth recession\" instead of a full-blown one, is also considering revisiting his thesis, as it could have been \"too optimistic.\" He articulated:The latest economic indicators suggest that the economy is doing better than expected but also that inflation remains too high. That alignment increases the odds of more Fed tightening than previously expected, a higher terminal fed funds rate, and a Fed-induced hard landing. A hard landing isn't currently our economic forecast-we see the growth recession continuing through year-end. But fears of a Fed-induced hard landing are increasing bearishness in both bond and stock markets. We are assessing whether our forecasts for both S&P 500 earnings and valuation might be too optimistic. (Yardeni Research October 3 morning briefing)The point we are trying to make is not to call out these two well-respected strategists. But, we believe it's necessary to point out that even some of the most optimistic market strategists are now questioning their conviction levels. It corroborates our indicators that suggest that the market could have reached peak pessimism, as we suggested.Significant Market Bottoming Process Could Be FormingInvestors need to understand that the market is a complex machinery. But, we believe experienced investors generally concur that the most significant market bottoms are formed at levels of peak pessimism. That includes the depths seen in the dotcom bust in the early 2000s or the global financial crisis of 2007-09.But is the current bear market bottoming process any different? We don't think anyone can tell you exactly how the current bottom would pan out. Notwithstanding, they often demonstrate similar price structures that unveil significant clues about their bottoming process. Let's see.QQQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)As seen above, the market forced the QQQ down rapidly to its June lows through September after posting its August highs, forming the re-test.We believe the summer rally from the initial June bottom cajoled investors into covering their hedges and investors waiting on the sideline to join the momentum surge, as it broke above May's highs. As a result, it created a \"higher-high\" structure, giving these investors' confidence that June's bottom could have marked the market's ultimate lows.Of course, the market had other ideas, as the steep selling through September helped create another opportunity to draw in sellers rapidly, as market pessimism reached feverish levels.Notwithstanding, the re-test also created a potential double bottom opportunity, predicated on the lows in June. So, June lows are still valid, but the market needed to force another round of massive panic by taking out the summer gains before reversing the momentum.SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We also gleaned similar price action in the SPY, which re-tested its June bottom ahead of the QQQ last week.Hence, the stage is set for the double bottom to be validated over the next four to five weeks. Therefore, we believe price-action-based investors will be carefully poring over the market dynamics over this period to discern buyers' resilience to create the potential bullish reversal price action, leading to the next sustained uptrend.Investors could also ask whether the price action in March was considered a double bottom. The answer is no. Because the market was not in a prior downtrend, market conditions are not considered bearish enough to validate a double bottom.However, the length and extent of the bear market since its November 2021 highs have formed a medium-term downtrend in the current re-test. Therefore, we have the critical condition of a downtrending market to validate the double bottom in our arsenal.Previous Double Bottoms Marked The Ultimate BottomSPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We bring you back to the global financial crisis of 2007-09 to help investors glean the market's bottoming process, which also formed a double bottom.As seen above, the rapid capitulation from August to September 2008 led to an initial bear trap in November 2008, not long after Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffet's famous op-ed in The New York Times (NYT), accentuating:What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over. -NYTActually, Buffett's timing of his commentary was logical and spot on. However, the market had other ideas, as it needed to create another massive panic wave to force the ultimate lows: the double bottom.As seen above, the market then went on another selling overdrive over the next four months forcing investors to flee to the hills and drawing in sellers on peak pessimism. Alas, the double bottom formed and was validated at the lows in March 2009.NASDAQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We also gleaned another double bottom in the significant market bottoming process at the dotcom bust in the early 2000s. As seen above, the NASDAQ (NDX) formed its initial lows in September 2001, coming right after the WTC terrorist attacks. However, the bear trap only occurred in August 2002.Notwithstanding, the market needed to force another low to create massive panic by forming a double bottom in October 2002, effectively taking out the lows from August's bear trap. Subsequently, the index never looked back until the Great Financial Crisis in 2007.TakeawayWe have discussed critical market turning points that often culminated in double bottoms in the most significant bear markets over the past twenty years.Therefore, the SPY and the QQQ are given the opportunity to demonstrate that we are on the cusp of another double bottom, trapping bearish investors/short sellers at the worst possible moments.The market action over the next four to five weeks will be critical to validating our thesis.We remain cautiously optimistic given the massive pessimism seen in the market, coupled with constructive price action. Accordingly, we reiterate our Buy rating on the QQQ and the SPY.This article was written by JR Research.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QQQ":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912686645,"gmtCreate":1664831614988,"gmtModify":1676537513361,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912686645","repostId":"1155119620","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155119620","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664810520,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155119620?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-03 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Hello Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155119620","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryA friendly reminder that AAPL will be reporting its FQ4'22 earnings on 27 October 2022.It seems that this giant could not escape the dreary recession party, just in time for the upcoming Hallow","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>A friendly reminder that AAPL will be reporting its FQ4&#39;22 earnings on 27 October 2022.</li><li>It seems that this giant could not escape the dreary recession party, just in time for the upcoming Halloween.</li><li>If the reports were indeed true, we might see the company report impacted earnings for H2&#39;22.</li><li>That would put more downward pressure on the stock performance of the world&#39;s largest market cap company, which has been greatly see-sawing for the past year.</li><li>Tragic indeed, since we were more hopeful.</li></ul><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>Apple&#39;s (NASDAQ:AAPL) throne as the world&#39;s most valuable company seems a little shaky, with the onslaught of negative news thus far. The company had to cut itsiPhone14 production output by -6.66%, back to its original plan of 90M handsets, similar to previous releases. On one hand, we expect some of those headwinds to be well balanced by the robust demand for its premium models, compensating for the lost volume with higher margins. On the other hand, it is apparent that the rising inflation, record high oil/gas prices, China&#39;s economic slump (one of AAPL&#39;s best markets), and geopolitical issues in the EU are impacting consumers&#39; discretionary spending, with the global smartphone market expected to deflate by -6.5% in 2022 to 1.27B units instead.</p><p>It remains to be seen if the Cupertino giant will suffer financially during this economic downturn, since the previous recession in 2008 had impacted AAPL&#39;s top and bottom lines growth to a certain extent. The company reported a notable YoY growth of 14.4% in revenues and 34.69% in net incomes for FY2009, compared to 52.5% and 75.07% in FY2009. The recessionary impacts were considerably mild then, since consumer discretionary spending remained relatively robust for the company.</p><p>Nonetheless, we are already starting to see some stock weaknesses. AAPL has continuously failed to break its resistance level at the $180s and, consequently, lost -22.10% of its value from its peak levels in March and August 2022. The S&amp;P 500 Index had also plunged by -24.10% YTD, indicating peak market pessimism and fear levels. During the previous recession, both stocks had tanked, with AAPL reporting a -52.21% plunge and the S&amp;P 500 a -43.37% plunge between August and December 2008.</p><p>However, all hope is not lost, since the September CPI released in early October may provide the potential catalyst for the stock market&#39;s recovery, due to the Fed&#39;s projected terminal rate of4.6% by 2023. This potentially indicates a 75 basis point hike in November, with January 2023 moderating with a 50 basis point hike. Therefore, we may speculatively assume that most of the pessimism is already baked in, barring an earnings miss ahead. We shall see.</p><p><b>Mr. Market Is Still Hopeful About This Last Frontier</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e6e5a1cae35b8931343e48558a302b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>For FQ4&#39;22, AAPL is expected to report revenues of $88.74B and operating margins of 27.4%, representing an increase of 6.96% though a moderation of 0.4 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, an increase of 6.45% and a decline of -1.1 percentage points YoY, respectively, with the latter attributed to the rising costs. It remains to be seen if AAPL will be able to achieve its previous guidance of accelerated sales and gross margins between 41.5% to 42.5% for FQ4&#39;22.</p><p>In contrast, consensus estimates that AAPL will report net incomes of $20.37B and net income margins of 23% for the upcoming quarter, indicating certain headwinds to its profitability, with a minimal increase of 4.78% and a decline of -0.4 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, a notable decline of -0.87% and -1.7 percentage points YoY, respectively. With an estimated EPS of $1.27 for FQ4&#39;22, AAPL would be looking at a decent 5.83% QoQ and 2.07% YoY growth. It might just be enough to satisfy Mr. Market&#39;s highly pessimistic outlook, preserving its cult stock status ahead.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4647325ee184db498185ed216ae70003\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Nonetheless, Mr. Market is cautiously confident about AAPL&#39;s projected cash flow, with a Free Cash Flow (FCF) generation of $21.89B and an FCF margin of 24.6% in FQ4&#39;22. It indicated a decent improvement of 5.29% and -0.5 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, massive YoY growth of 28.91% and 4.2 percentage points, respectively. AAPL&#39;s chances of success would be higher as well, assuming aggressive cost cuts across the board. We shall see, given the historical trend of elevated capital expenditures thus far, especially in FQ4s.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2272b2e2674db1028a34156cdb527164\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Over the next four years, AAPL is expected to report revenue and net income growth at a CAGR of 5.19% and 2.98%, respectively. For now, Mr. Market remains somewhat positive, since these long-term projections and FY2022 estimates remain in line since our previous analysis in August, though slightly discounted by -2.9% since May 2022. Its upcoming earnings call will make or break AAPL&#39;s stock performance, as the EU enters its first winter without Russian gas and the Feds continue to fight against the rising inflation through 2023.</p><p>In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on AAPL, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.</p><ul><li>Apple Vs. Meta: Battle Of The Mixed Reality</li><li>AnAppleA Day Keeps The Portfolio Healthy (And Potentially, Recession At Bay)</li><li>CanAppleBe The New Tesla - Smartphone On Wheels By 2025?</li></ul><p><b>So, Is AAPL Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?AAPL 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E Valuations</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a36ca45afe53753e7a5a6854436f2769\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>AAPL is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 5.81x and NTM P/E of 22.92x, higher than its 5Y mean of 4.63x and 21.94x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $142.84, down -21.91% from its 52 weeks high of $182.94, though at a premium of 10.69% from its 52 weeks low of $129.04. With a consensus estimate price target of $188.22, it is apparent that there is still a notable 32.10% upside from current prices</p><p><b>AAPL &amp; SPY 5Y/1Y Stock Price</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c1e569f2277b0630924e459640a4bc9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"167\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Both stocks also have had a relatively interesting co-existing relationship in their performance thus far, naturally, since AAPL accounts for 7.1% of the S&amp;P 500 Index weighting. While APPL obviously had better returns thus far for the past 5Y at 289.6% and 10Y at 597.4%, the S&amp;P 500 has also fared comparatively decent with 57.4% and 204.2%, respectively. These numbers are impressive, given that many other stocks have been decimated thus far.</p><p>With the stocks trading below their 50 and 100-day moving averages, both look relatively attractive, considering the massive returns upon market recovery by Q1&#39;23. Naturally, the market will always be full of pitfalls for anyone who tries to pitch the perfect timing, since there may still be some downsides from current levels. As a result, investors with higher risk tolerances may consider nibbling at these levels, fully understanding the great importance of AAPL through the next decade.</p><p>Otherwise, conservative investors (like myself) will be waiting for more clarity from its upcoming earnings call, since the whole market seems to be heading for destruction one way or another. With little catalyst for short-term recovery, the AAPL stock will be testing the June lows of $130s over the next week or so. If that support level is breached, my oh my, we are in for a catastrophic rollercoaster ride indeed. Good luck all.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Hello Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Hello Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-03 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543980-apple-hello-recession><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA friendly reminder that AAPL will be reporting its FQ4'22 earnings on 27 October 2022.It seems that this giant could not escape the dreary recession party, just in time for the upcoming ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543980-apple-hello-recession\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543980-apple-hello-recession","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155119620","content_text":"SummaryA friendly reminder that AAPL will be reporting its FQ4'22 earnings on 27 October 2022.It seems that this giant could not escape the dreary recession party, just in time for the upcoming Halloween.If the reports were indeed true, we might see the company report impacted earnings for H2'22.That would put more downward pressure on the stock performance of the world's largest market cap company, which has been greatly see-sawing for the past year.Tragic indeed, since we were more hopeful.Investment ThesisApple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) throne as the world's most valuable company seems a little shaky, with the onslaught of negative news thus far. The company had to cut itsiPhone14 production output by -6.66%, back to its original plan of 90M handsets, similar to previous releases. On one hand, we expect some of those headwinds to be well balanced by the robust demand for its premium models, compensating for the lost volume with higher margins. On the other hand, it is apparent that the rising inflation, record high oil/gas prices, China's economic slump (one of AAPL's best markets), and geopolitical issues in the EU are impacting consumers' discretionary spending, with the global smartphone market expected to deflate by -6.5% in 2022 to 1.27B units instead.It remains to be seen if the Cupertino giant will suffer financially during this economic downturn, since the previous recession in 2008 had impacted AAPL's top and bottom lines growth to a certain extent. The company reported a notable YoY growth of 14.4% in revenues and 34.69% in net incomes for FY2009, compared to 52.5% and 75.07% in FY2009. The recessionary impacts were considerably mild then, since consumer discretionary spending remained relatively robust for the company.Nonetheless, we are already starting to see some stock weaknesses. AAPL has continuously failed to break its resistance level at the $180s and, consequently, lost -22.10% of its value from its peak levels in March and August 2022. The S&P 500 Index had also plunged by -24.10% YTD, indicating peak market pessimism and fear levels. During the previous recession, both stocks had tanked, with AAPL reporting a -52.21% plunge and the S&P 500 a -43.37% plunge between August and December 2008.However, all hope is not lost, since the September CPI released in early October may provide the potential catalyst for the stock market's recovery, due to the Fed's projected terminal rate of4.6% by 2023. This potentially indicates a 75 basis point hike in November, with January 2023 moderating with a 50 basis point hike. Therefore, we may speculatively assume that most of the pessimism is already baked in, barring an earnings miss ahead. We shall see.Mr. Market Is Still Hopeful About This Last FrontierS&P Capital IQFor FQ4'22, AAPL is expected to report revenues of $88.74B and operating margins of 27.4%, representing an increase of 6.96% though a moderation of 0.4 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, an increase of 6.45% and a decline of -1.1 percentage points YoY, respectively, with the latter attributed to the rising costs. It remains to be seen if AAPL will be able to achieve its previous guidance of accelerated sales and gross margins between 41.5% to 42.5% for FQ4'22.In contrast, consensus estimates that AAPL will report net incomes of $20.37B and net income margins of 23% for the upcoming quarter, indicating certain headwinds to its profitability, with a minimal increase of 4.78% and a decline of -0.4 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, a notable decline of -0.87% and -1.7 percentage points YoY, respectively. With an estimated EPS of $1.27 for FQ4'22, AAPL would be looking at a decent 5.83% QoQ and 2.07% YoY growth. It might just be enough to satisfy Mr. Market's highly pessimistic outlook, preserving its cult stock status ahead.S&P Capital IQNonetheless, Mr. Market is cautiously confident about AAPL's projected cash flow, with a Free Cash Flow (FCF) generation of $21.89B and an FCF margin of 24.6% in FQ4'22. It indicated a decent improvement of 5.29% and -0.5 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, massive YoY growth of 28.91% and 4.2 percentage points, respectively. AAPL's chances of success would be higher as well, assuming aggressive cost cuts across the board. We shall see, given the historical trend of elevated capital expenditures thus far, especially in FQ4s.S&P Capital IQOver the next four years, AAPL is expected to report revenue and net income growth at a CAGR of 5.19% and 2.98%, respectively. For now, Mr. Market remains somewhat positive, since these long-term projections and FY2022 estimates remain in line since our previous analysis in August, though slightly discounted by -2.9% since May 2022. Its upcoming earnings call will make or break AAPL's stock performance, as the EU enters its first winter without Russian gas and the Feds continue to fight against the rising inflation through 2023.In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on AAPL, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.Apple Vs. Meta: Battle Of The Mixed RealityAnAppleA Day Keeps The Portfolio Healthy (And Potentially, Recession At Bay)CanAppleBe The New Tesla - Smartphone On Wheels By 2025?So, Is AAPL Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?AAPL 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E ValuationsS&P Capital IQAAPL is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 5.81x and NTM P/E of 22.92x, higher than its 5Y mean of 4.63x and 21.94x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $142.84, down -21.91% from its 52 weeks high of $182.94, though at a premium of 10.69% from its 52 weeks low of $129.04. With a consensus estimate price target of $188.22, it is apparent that there is still a notable 32.10% upside from current pricesAAPL & SPY 5Y/1Y Stock PriceS&P Capital IQBoth stocks also have had a relatively interesting co-existing relationship in their performance thus far, naturally, since AAPL accounts for 7.1% of the S&P 500 Index weighting. While APPL obviously had better returns thus far for the past 5Y at 289.6% and 10Y at 597.4%, the S&P 500 has also fared comparatively decent with 57.4% and 204.2%, respectively. These numbers are impressive, given that many other stocks have been decimated thus far.With the stocks trading below their 50 and 100-day moving averages, both look relatively attractive, considering the massive returns upon market recovery by Q1'23. Naturally, the market will always be full of pitfalls for anyone who tries to pitch the perfect timing, since there may still be some downsides from current levels. As a result, investors with higher risk tolerances may consider nibbling at these levels, fully understanding the great importance of AAPL through the next decade.Otherwise, conservative investors (like myself) will be waiting for more clarity from its upcoming earnings call, since the whole market seems to be heading for destruction one way or another. With little catalyst for short-term recovery, the AAPL stock will be testing the June lows of $130s over the next week or so. If that support level is breached, my oh my, we are in for a catastrophic rollercoaster ride indeed. Good luck all.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912686808,"gmtCreate":1664831586904,"gmtModify":1676537513355,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912686808","repostId":"1155119620","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155119620","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664810520,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155119620?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-03 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Hello Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155119620","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryA friendly reminder that AAPL will be reporting its FQ4'22 earnings on 27 October 2022.It seems that this giant could not escape the dreary recession party, just in time for the upcoming Hallow","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>A friendly reminder that AAPL will be reporting its FQ4&#39;22 earnings on 27 October 2022.</li><li>It seems that this giant could not escape the dreary recession party, just in time for the upcoming Halloween.</li><li>If the reports were indeed true, we might see the company report impacted earnings for H2&#39;22.</li><li>That would put more downward pressure on the stock performance of the world&#39;s largest market cap company, which has been greatly see-sawing for the past year.</li><li>Tragic indeed, since we were more hopeful.</li></ul><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>Apple&#39;s (NASDAQ:AAPL) throne as the world&#39;s most valuable company seems a little shaky, with the onslaught of negative news thus far. The company had to cut itsiPhone14 production output by -6.66%, back to its original plan of 90M handsets, similar to previous releases. On one hand, we expect some of those headwinds to be well balanced by the robust demand for its premium models, compensating for the lost volume with higher margins. On the other hand, it is apparent that the rising inflation, record high oil/gas prices, China&#39;s economic slump (one of AAPL&#39;s best markets), and geopolitical issues in the EU are impacting consumers&#39; discretionary spending, with the global smartphone market expected to deflate by -6.5% in 2022 to 1.27B units instead.</p><p>It remains to be seen if the Cupertino giant will suffer financially during this economic downturn, since the previous recession in 2008 had impacted AAPL&#39;s top and bottom lines growth to a certain extent. The company reported a notable YoY growth of 14.4% in revenues and 34.69% in net incomes for FY2009, compared to 52.5% and 75.07% in FY2009. The recessionary impacts were considerably mild then, since consumer discretionary spending remained relatively robust for the company.</p><p>Nonetheless, we are already starting to see some stock weaknesses. AAPL has continuously failed to break its resistance level at the $180s and, consequently, lost -22.10% of its value from its peak levels in March and August 2022. The S&amp;P 500 Index had also plunged by -24.10% YTD, indicating peak market pessimism and fear levels. During the previous recession, both stocks had tanked, with AAPL reporting a -52.21% plunge and the S&amp;P 500 a -43.37% plunge between August and December 2008.</p><p>However, all hope is not lost, since the September CPI released in early October may provide the potential catalyst for the stock market&#39;s recovery, due to the Fed&#39;s projected terminal rate of4.6% by 2023. This potentially indicates a 75 basis point hike in November, with January 2023 moderating with a 50 basis point hike. Therefore, we may speculatively assume that most of the pessimism is already baked in, barring an earnings miss ahead. We shall see.</p><p><b>Mr. Market Is Still Hopeful About This Last Frontier</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e6e5a1cae35b8931343e48558a302b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>For FQ4&#39;22, AAPL is expected to report revenues of $88.74B and operating margins of 27.4%, representing an increase of 6.96% though a moderation of 0.4 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, an increase of 6.45% and a decline of -1.1 percentage points YoY, respectively, with the latter attributed to the rising costs. It remains to be seen if AAPL will be able to achieve its previous guidance of accelerated sales and gross margins between 41.5% to 42.5% for FQ4&#39;22.</p><p>In contrast, consensus estimates that AAPL will report net incomes of $20.37B and net income margins of 23% for the upcoming quarter, indicating certain headwinds to its profitability, with a minimal increase of 4.78% and a decline of -0.4 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, a notable decline of -0.87% and -1.7 percentage points YoY, respectively. With an estimated EPS of $1.27 for FQ4&#39;22, AAPL would be looking at a decent 5.83% QoQ and 2.07% YoY growth. It might just be enough to satisfy Mr. Market&#39;s highly pessimistic outlook, preserving its cult stock status ahead.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4647325ee184db498185ed216ae70003\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Nonetheless, Mr. Market is cautiously confident about AAPL&#39;s projected cash flow, with a Free Cash Flow (FCF) generation of $21.89B and an FCF margin of 24.6% in FQ4&#39;22. It indicated a decent improvement of 5.29% and -0.5 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, massive YoY growth of 28.91% and 4.2 percentage points, respectively. AAPL&#39;s chances of success would be higher as well, assuming aggressive cost cuts across the board. We shall see, given the historical trend of elevated capital expenditures thus far, especially in FQ4s.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2272b2e2674db1028a34156cdb527164\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Over the next four years, AAPL is expected to report revenue and net income growth at a CAGR of 5.19% and 2.98%, respectively. For now, Mr. Market remains somewhat positive, since these long-term projections and FY2022 estimates remain in line since our previous analysis in August, though slightly discounted by -2.9% since May 2022. Its upcoming earnings call will make or break AAPL&#39;s stock performance, as the EU enters its first winter without Russian gas and the Feds continue to fight against the rising inflation through 2023.</p><p>In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on AAPL, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.</p><ul><li>Apple Vs. Meta: Battle Of The Mixed Reality</li><li>AnAppleA Day Keeps The Portfolio Healthy (And Potentially, Recession At Bay)</li><li>CanAppleBe The New Tesla - Smartphone On Wheels By 2025?</li></ul><p><b>So, Is AAPL Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?AAPL 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E Valuations</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a36ca45afe53753e7a5a6854436f2769\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>AAPL is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 5.81x and NTM P/E of 22.92x, higher than its 5Y mean of 4.63x and 21.94x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $142.84, down -21.91% from its 52 weeks high of $182.94, though at a premium of 10.69% from its 52 weeks low of $129.04. With a consensus estimate price target of $188.22, it is apparent that there is still a notable 32.10% upside from current prices</p><p><b>AAPL &amp; SPY 5Y/1Y Stock Price</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c1e569f2277b0630924e459640a4bc9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"167\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Both stocks also have had a relatively interesting co-existing relationship in their performance thus far, naturally, since AAPL accounts for 7.1% of the S&amp;P 500 Index weighting. While APPL obviously had better returns thus far for the past 5Y at 289.6% and 10Y at 597.4%, the S&amp;P 500 has also fared comparatively decent with 57.4% and 204.2%, respectively. These numbers are impressive, given that many other stocks have been decimated thus far.</p><p>With the stocks trading below their 50 and 100-day moving averages, both look relatively attractive, considering the massive returns upon market recovery by Q1&#39;23. Naturally, the market will always be full of pitfalls for anyone who tries to pitch the perfect timing, since there may still be some downsides from current levels. As a result, investors with higher risk tolerances may consider nibbling at these levels, fully understanding the great importance of AAPL through the next decade.</p><p>Otherwise, conservative investors (like myself) will be waiting for more clarity from its upcoming earnings call, since the whole market seems to be heading for destruction one way or another. With little catalyst for short-term recovery, the AAPL stock will be testing the June lows of $130s over the next week or so. If that support level is breached, my oh my, we are in for a catastrophic rollercoaster ride indeed. Good luck all.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Hello Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Hello Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-03 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543980-apple-hello-recession><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA friendly reminder that AAPL will be reporting its FQ4'22 earnings on 27 October 2022.It seems that this giant could not escape the dreary recession party, just in time for the upcoming ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543980-apple-hello-recession\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543980-apple-hello-recession","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155119620","content_text":"SummaryA friendly reminder that AAPL will be reporting its FQ4'22 earnings on 27 October 2022.It seems that this giant could not escape the dreary recession party, just in time for the upcoming Halloween.If the reports were indeed true, we might see the company report impacted earnings for H2'22.That would put more downward pressure on the stock performance of the world's largest market cap company, which has been greatly see-sawing for the past year.Tragic indeed, since we were more hopeful.Investment ThesisApple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) throne as the world's most valuable company seems a little shaky, with the onslaught of negative news thus far. The company had to cut itsiPhone14 production output by -6.66%, back to its original plan of 90M handsets, similar to previous releases. On one hand, we expect some of those headwinds to be well balanced by the robust demand for its premium models, compensating for the lost volume with higher margins. On the other hand, it is apparent that the rising inflation, record high oil/gas prices, China's economic slump (one of AAPL's best markets), and geopolitical issues in the EU are impacting consumers' discretionary spending, with the global smartphone market expected to deflate by -6.5% in 2022 to 1.27B units instead.It remains to be seen if the Cupertino giant will suffer financially during this economic downturn, since the previous recession in 2008 had impacted AAPL's top and bottom lines growth to a certain extent. The company reported a notable YoY growth of 14.4% in revenues and 34.69% in net incomes for FY2009, compared to 52.5% and 75.07% in FY2009. The recessionary impacts were considerably mild then, since consumer discretionary spending remained relatively robust for the company.Nonetheless, we are already starting to see some stock weaknesses. AAPL has continuously failed to break its resistance level at the $180s and, consequently, lost -22.10% of its value from its peak levels in March and August 2022. The S&P 500 Index had also plunged by -24.10% YTD, indicating peak market pessimism and fear levels. During the previous recession, both stocks had tanked, with AAPL reporting a -52.21% plunge and the S&P 500 a -43.37% plunge between August and December 2008.However, all hope is not lost, since the September CPI released in early October may provide the potential catalyst for the stock market's recovery, due to the Fed's projected terminal rate of4.6% by 2023. This potentially indicates a 75 basis point hike in November, with January 2023 moderating with a 50 basis point hike. Therefore, we may speculatively assume that most of the pessimism is already baked in, barring an earnings miss ahead. We shall see.Mr. Market Is Still Hopeful About This Last FrontierS&P Capital IQFor FQ4'22, AAPL is expected to report revenues of $88.74B and operating margins of 27.4%, representing an increase of 6.96% though a moderation of 0.4 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, an increase of 6.45% and a decline of -1.1 percentage points YoY, respectively, with the latter attributed to the rising costs. It remains to be seen if AAPL will be able to achieve its previous guidance of accelerated sales and gross margins between 41.5% to 42.5% for FQ4'22.In contrast, consensus estimates that AAPL will report net incomes of $20.37B and net income margins of 23% for the upcoming quarter, indicating certain headwinds to its profitability, with a minimal increase of 4.78% and a decline of -0.4 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, a notable decline of -0.87% and -1.7 percentage points YoY, respectively. With an estimated EPS of $1.27 for FQ4'22, AAPL would be looking at a decent 5.83% QoQ and 2.07% YoY growth. It might just be enough to satisfy Mr. Market's highly pessimistic outlook, preserving its cult stock status ahead.S&P Capital IQNonetheless, Mr. Market is cautiously confident about AAPL's projected cash flow, with a Free Cash Flow (FCF) generation of $21.89B and an FCF margin of 24.6% in FQ4'22. It indicated a decent improvement of 5.29% and -0.5 percentage points QoQ, respectively. Otherwise, massive YoY growth of 28.91% and 4.2 percentage points, respectively. AAPL's chances of success would be higher as well, assuming aggressive cost cuts across the board. We shall see, given the historical trend of elevated capital expenditures thus far, especially in FQ4s.S&P Capital IQOver the next four years, AAPL is expected to report revenue and net income growth at a CAGR of 5.19% and 2.98%, respectively. For now, Mr. Market remains somewhat positive, since these long-term projections and FY2022 estimates remain in line since our previous analysis in August, though slightly discounted by -2.9% since May 2022. Its upcoming earnings call will make or break AAPL's stock performance, as the EU enters its first winter without Russian gas and the Feds continue to fight against the rising inflation through 2023.In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on AAPL, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.Apple Vs. Meta: Battle Of The Mixed RealityAnAppleA Day Keeps The Portfolio Healthy (And Potentially, Recession At Bay)CanAppleBe The New Tesla - Smartphone On Wheels By 2025?So, Is AAPL Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?AAPL 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E ValuationsS&P Capital IQAAPL is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 5.81x and NTM P/E of 22.92x, higher than its 5Y mean of 4.63x and 21.94x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $142.84, down -21.91% from its 52 weeks high of $182.94, though at a premium of 10.69% from its 52 weeks low of $129.04. With a consensus estimate price target of $188.22, it is apparent that there is still a notable 32.10% upside from current pricesAAPL & SPY 5Y/1Y Stock PriceS&P Capital IQBoth stocks also have had a relatively interesting co-existing relationship in their performance thus far, naturally, since AAPL accounts for 7.1% of the S&P 500 Index weighting. While APPL obviously had better returns thus far for the past 5Y at 289.6% and 10Y at 597.4%, the S&P 500 has also fared comparatively decent with 57.4% and 204.2%, respectively. These numbers are impressive, given that many other stocks have been decimated thus far.With the stocks trading below their 50 and 100-day moving averages, both look relatively attractive, considering the massive returns upon market recovery by Q1'23. Naturally, the market will always be full of pitfalls for anyone who tries to pitch the perfect timing, since there may still be some downsides from current levels. As a result, investors with higher risk tolerances may consider nibbling at these levels, fully understanding the great importance of AAPL through the next decade.Otherwise, conservative investors (like myself) will be waiting for more clarity from its upcoming earnings call, since the whole market seems to be heading for destruction one way or another. With little catalyst for short-term recovery, the AAPL stock will be testing the June lows of $130s over the next week or so. If that support level is breached, my oh my, we are in for a catastrophic rollercoaster ride indeed. Good luck all.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912686003,"gmtCreate":1664831513402,"gmtModify":1676537513346,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$Tesla 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T(C38U.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9abfdb0de15e07a87538f3d3ef1fcc2f","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912121309","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912121031,"gmtCreate":1664774617524,"gmtModify":1676537506537,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7a5d512c1b9151631ff267f8ac2f26d1","width":"1125","height":"2366"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912121031","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1885,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912123708,"gmtCreate":1664774586204,"gmtModify":1676537506534,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C38U.SI\">$CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C38U.SI\">$CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c5120a6b93c15ef1eda9353c42b21324","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912123708","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912123986,"gmtCreate":1664774498745,"gmtModify":1676537506513,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912123986","repostId":"2272691220","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2272691220","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664755882,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272691220?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-03 08:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Investors Need to Know About October's Complicated Stock-Market History","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272691220","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a \"bear-market killer,\" associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.O","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a &#34;bear-market killer,&#34; associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.</p><p>October, however, is also associated with historic market plunges. And skeptics are warning investors that negative economic fundamentals could overwhelm seasonal trends as what&#39;s traditionally the roughest period for equities comes to an end.</p><h2>Rough stretch</h2><p>U.S. stocks ended sharply lower on Friday, posting their worst skid in the first nine months of any year in two decades. The S&amp;P 500  recorded a monthly loss of 9.3%, its worst September performance since 2002. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  fell 8.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite  on Friday pushed its total monthly loss to 10.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>The indexes had booked modest gains in the first half of the month after investors fully priced in a large interest-rate hike at the FOMC meeting late September as August&#39;s inflation data showed little sign of easing price pressures. However, the central bank&#39;s more-hawkish-than-expected stance caused stocks to give up all those early September gains. The Dow entered its first bear market since March 2020 in the last week of the month, while the benchmark S&amp;P slid to another 2022 low.</p><h2>Bear markets and midterms</h2><p>October&#39;s track record may offer some comfort as it has been a turnaround month, or a &#34;bear killer,&#34; according to the data from Stock Trader&#39;s Almanac.</p><p>&#34;Twelve post-WWII bear markets have ended in October: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1962, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2002 and 2011 (S&amp;P 500 declined 19.4%),&#34; wrote Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader&#39;s Almanac, in a note on Thursday. &#34;Seven of these years were midterm bottoms.&#34;</p><p>Of course 2022 is also a midterm election year, with congressional elections coming up on Nov. 8.</p><p>According to Hirsch, Octobers in the midterm election years are &#34;downright stellar&#34; and usually where the &#34;sweet spot&#34; of the four-year presidential election cycle begins (see chart below).</p><p>&#34;The fourth quarter of the midterm years combines with the first and second quarters of the pre-election years for the best three consecutive quarter span for the market, averaging 19.3% for the DJIA and 20.0% for the S&amp;P 500 (since 1949), and an amazing 29.3% for NASDAQ (since 1971),&#34; wrote Hirsch.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e12b4543bc89bc89d7601f09694c8c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>&#39;Atypical period&#39;</h2><p>Skeptics aren&#39;t convinced the pattern will hold true this October. Ralph Bassett, head of investments at Abrdn, an asset-management firm based in Scotland, said these dynamics could only play out in &#34;more normalized years.&#34;</p><p>&#34;This is just such an atypical period for so many reasons,&#34; Bassett told MarketWatch in a phone interview on Thursday. &#34;A lot of mutual funds have their fiscal year-end in October, so there tends to be a lot of buying and selling to manage tax losses. That&#39;s kind of something that we&#39;re going through and you have to be very sensitive to how you manage all of that.&#34;</p><p>An old Wall Street adage, &#34;Sell in May and go away,&#34; refers to the market&#39;s historical underperformance during the six-month period from May to October. Stock Trader&#39;s Almanac, which is credited with coining the saying, found investing in stocks from November to April and switching into fixed income the other six months would have &#34;produced reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950.&#34;</p><p>Strategists at Stifel, a wealth-management firm, contend the S&amp;P 500, which has fallen more than 23% from its Jan. 3 record finish, is in a bottoming process. They see positive catalysts between the fourth quarter of 2022 and the start of 2023 as Fed policy plus S&amp;P 500 negative seasonality are headwinds that should subside by then.</p><p>&#34;Monetary policy works with a six-month lag, and between the [Nov. 2] and [Dec. 14] final two Fed meetings of 2022, we do see subtle movement toward a data-dependent Fed pause which would bullishly allow investors to focus on (improving) inflation data rather than policy,&#34; wrote strategists led by Barry Bannister, chief equity strategist, in a recent note. &#34;This could reinforce positive market seasonality, which is historically strong for the S&amp;P 500 from November to April.&#34;</p><h2>October crashes</h2><p>Seasonal trends, however, aren&#39;t written in stone. Dow Jones Market Data found the S&amp;P 500 recorded positive returns between May and October in the past six years (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec700aa8aea3c05bd353dadb6dc79d9f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Anthony Saglimbene, chief markets strategist at Ameriprise Financial, said there are periods in history where October could evoke fear on Wall Street as some large historical market crashes, including those in 1987 and 1929, occurred during the month. The S&amp;P 500 plunged nearly 17% in October 2008 after the implosion of Lehman Brothers, following a 9.1% fall in September.</p><p>&#34;I think that any years where you&#39;ve had a very difficult year for stocks, seasonality should discount it, because there are some other macro forces [that are] pushing on stocks, and you need to see more clarity on those macro forces that are pushing stocks down,&#34; Saglimbene told MarketWatch on Friday. &#34;Frankly, I don&#39;t think we&#39;re going to see a lot of visibility at least over the next few months.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Investors Need to Know About October's Complicated Stock-Market History</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Investors Need to Know About October's Complicated Stock-Market History\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-03 08:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a &#34;bear-market killer,&#34; associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.</p><p>October, however, is also associated with historic market plunges. And skeptics are warning investors that negative economic fundamentals could overwhelm seasonal trends as what&#39;s traditionally the roughest period for equities comes to an end.</p><h2>Rough stretch</h2><p>U.S. stocks ended sharply lower on Friday, posting their worst skid in the first nine months of any year in two decades. The S&amp;P 500  recorded a monthly loss of 9.3%, its worst September performance since 2002. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  fell 8.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite  on Friday pushed its total monthly loss to 10.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>The indexes had booked modest gains in the first half of the month after investors fully priced in a large interest-rate hike at the FOMC meeting late September as August&#39;s inflation data showed little sign of easing price pressures. However, the central bank&#39;s more-hawkish-than-expected stance caused stocks to give up all those early September gains. The Dow entered its first bear market since March 2020 in the last week of the month, while the benchmark S&amp;P slid to another 2022 low.</p><h2>Bear markets and midterms</h2><p>October&#39;s track record may offer some comfort as it has been a turnaround month, or a &#34;bear killer,&#34; according to the data from Stock Trader&#39;s Almanac.</p><p>&#34;Twelve post-WWII bear markets have ended in October: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1962, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2002 and 2011 (S&amp;P 500 declined 19.4%),&#34; wrote Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader&#39;s Almanac, in a note on Thursday. &#34;Seven of these years were midterm bottoms.&#34;</p><p>Of course 2022 is also a midterm election year, with congressional elections coming up on Nov. 8.</p><p>According to Hirsch, Octobers in the midterm election years are &#34;downright stellar&#34; and usually where the &#34;sweet spot&#34; of the four-year presidential election cycle begins (see chart below).</p><p>&#34;The fourth quarter of the midterm years combines with the first and second quarters of the pre-election years for the best three consecutive quarter span for the market, averaging 19.3% for the DJIA and 20.0% for the S&amp;P 500 (since 1949), and an amazing 29.3% for NASDAQ (since 1971),&#34; wrote Hirsch.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e12b4543bc89bc89d7601f09694c8c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>&#39;Atypical period&#39;</h2><p>Skeptics aren&#39;t convinced the pattern will hold true this October. Ralph Bassett, head of investments at Abrdn, an asset-management firm based in Scotland, said these dynamics could only play out in &#34;more normalized years.&#34;</p><p>&#34;This is just such an atypical period for so many reasons,&#34; Bassett told MarketWatch in a phone interview on Thursday. &#34;A lot of mutual funds have their fiscal year-end in October, so there tends to be a lot of buying and selling to manage tax losses. That&#39;s kind of something that we&#39;re going through and you have to be very sensitive to how you manage all of that.&#34;</p><p>An old Wall Street adage, &#34;Sell in May and go away,&#34; refers to the market&#39;s historical underperformance during the six-month period from May to October. Stock Trader&#39;s Almanac, which is credited with coining the saying, found investing in stocks from November to April and switching into fixed income the other six months would have &#34;produced reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950.&#34;</p><p>Strategists at Stifel, a wealth-management firm, contend the S&amp;P 500, which has fallen more than 23% from its Jan. 3 record finish, is in a bottoming process. They see positive catalysts between the fourth quarter of 2022 and the start of 2023 as Fed policy plus S&amp;P 500 negative seasonality are headwinds that should subside by then.</p><p>&#34;Monetary policy works with a six-month lag, and between the [Nov. 2] and [Dec. 14] final two Fed meetings of 2022, we do see subtle movement toward a data-dependent Fed pause which would bullishly allow investors to focus on (improving) inflation data rather than policy,&#34; wrote strategists led by Barry Bannister, chief equity strategist, in a recent note. &#34;This could reinforce positive market seasonality, which is historically strong for the S&amp;P 500 from November to April.&#34;</p><h2>October crashes</h2><p>Seasonal trends, however, aren&#39;t written in stone. Dow Jones Market Data found the S&amp;P 500 recorded positive returns between May and October in the past six years (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec700aa8aea3c05bd353dadb6dc79d9f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Anthony Saglimbene, chief markets strategist at Ameriprise Financial, said there are periods in history where October could evoke fear on Wall Street as some large historical market crashes, including those in 1987 and 1929, occurred during the month. The S&amp;P 500 plunged nearly 17% in October 2008 after the implosion of Lehman Brothers, following a 9.1% fall in September.</p><p>&#34;I think that any years where you&#39;ve had a very difficult year for stocks, seasonality should discount it, because there are some other macro forces [that are] pushing on stocks, and you need to see more clarity on those macro forces that are pushing stocks down,&#34; Saglimbene told MarketWatch on Friday. &#34;Frankly, I don&#39;t think we&#39;re going to see a lot of visibility at least over the next few months.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4504":"桥水持仓","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272691220","content_text":"While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a \"bear-market killer,\" associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.October, however, is also associated with historic market plunges. And skeptics are warning investors that negative economic fundamentals could overwhelm seasonal trends as what's traditionally the roughest period for equities comes to an end.Rough stretchU.S. stocks ended sharply lower on Friday, posting their worst skid in the first nine months of any year in two decades. The S&P 500  recorded a monthly loss of 9.3%, its worst September performance since 2002. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  fell 8.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite  on Friday pushed its total monthly loss to 10.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.The indexes had booked modest gains in the first half of the month after investors fully priced in a large interest-rate hike at the FOMC meeting late September as August's inflation data showed little sign of easing price pressures. However, the central bank's more-hawkish-than-expected stance caused stocks to give up all those early September gains. The Dow entered its first bear market since March 2020 in the last week of the month, while the benchmark S&P slid to another 2022 low.Bear markets and midtermsOctober's track record may offer some comfort as it has been a turnaround month, or a \"bear killer,\" according to the data from Stock Trader's Almanac.\"Twelve post-WWII bear markets have ended in October: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1962, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2002 and 2011 (S&P 500 declined 19.4%),\" wrote Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, in a note on Thursday. \"Seven of these years were midterm bottoms.\"Of course 2022 is also a midterm election year, with congressional elections coming up on Nov. 8.According to Hirsch, Octobers in the midterm election years are \"downright stellar\" and usually where the \"sweet spot\" of the four-year presidential election cycle begins (see chart below).\"The fourth quarter of the midterm years combines with the first and second quarters of the pre-election years for the best three consecutive quarter span for the market, averaging 19.3% for the DJIA and 20.0% for the S&P 500 (since 1949), and an amazing 29.3% for NASDAQ (since 1971),\" wrote Hirsch.'Atypical period'Skeptics aren't convinced the pattern will hold true this October. Ralph Bassett, head of investments at Abrdn, an asset-management firm based in Scotland, said these dynamics could only play out in \"more normalized years.\"\"This is just such an atypical period for so many reasons,\" Bassett told MarketWatch in a phone interview on Thursday. \"A lot of mutual funds have their fiscal year-end in October, so there tends to be a lot of buying and selling to manage tax losses. That's kind of something that we're going through and you have to be very sensitive to how you manage all of that.\"An old Wall Street adage, \"Sell in May and go away,\" refers to the market's historical underperformance during the six-month period from May to October. Stock Trader's Almanac, which is credited with coining the saying, found investing in stocks from November to April and switching into fixed income the other six months would have \"produced reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950.\"Strategists at Stifel, a wealth-management firm, contend the S&P 500, which has fallen more than 23% from its Jan. 3 record finish, is in a bottoming process. They see positive catalysts between the fourth quarter of 2022 and the start of 2023 as Fed policy plus S&P 500 negative seasonality are headwinds that should subside by then.\"Monetary policy works with a six-month lag, and between the [Nov. 2] and [Dec. 14] final two Fed meetings of 2022, we do see subtle movement toward a data-dependent Fed pause which would bullishly allow investors to focus on (improving) inflation data rather than policy,\" wrote strategists led by Barry Bannister, chief equity strategist, in a recent note. \"This could reinforce positive market seasonality, which is historically strong for the S&P 500 from November to April.\"October crashesSeasonal trends, however, aren't written in stone. Dow Jones Market Data found the S&P 500 recorded positive returns between May and October in the past six years (see chart below).Anthony Saglimbene, chief markets strategist at Ameriprise Financial, said there are periods in history where October could evoke fear on Wall Street as some large historical market crashes, including those in 1987 and 1929, occurred during the month. The S&P 500 plunged nearly 17% in October 2008 after the implosion of Lehman Brothers, following a 9.1% fall in September.\"I think that any years where you've had a very difficult year for stocks, seasonality should discount it, because there are some other macro forces [that are] pushing on stocks, and you need to see more clarity on those macro forces that are pushing stocks down,\" Saglimbene told MarketWatch on Friday. \"Frankly, I don't think we're going to see a lot of visibility at least over the next few months.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"SPY":0.9,"ESmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"OEX":0.6,".DJI":0.78,".SPX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SSO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912094432,"gmtCreate":1664696338726,"gmtModify":1676537495774,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912094432","repostId":"1157459217","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157459217","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664676789,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157459217?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-02 10:13","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: Attractive Valuation Despite Mid-Term Headwinds","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157459217","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Over the mid term,Alibaba’s share price has had a habit of moving in step with earnings revisions but during the past 3 months, this relationship has weakened.During the period, Alibaba’s forecast for adj EPS in FY2024 has been cut by 4%, yet the share price has dropped by 34%.Moving forward, how can this be corrected?","content":"<div>\n<p>Over the mid term, Alibaba’s (BABA)share price has had a habit of moving in step with earnings revisions but during the past 3 months, this relationship has weakened.During the period, Alibaba’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-stock-attractive-valuation-despite-mid-term-headwinds\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: Attractive Valuation Despite Mid-Term Headwinds</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: Attractive Valuation Despite Mid-Term Headwinds\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-02 10:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-stock-attractive-valuation-despite-mid-term-headwinds><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Over the mid term, Alibaba’s (BABA)share price has had a habit of moving in step with earnings revisions but during the past 3 months, this relationship has weakened.During the period, Alibaba’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-stock-attractive-valuation-despite-mid-term-headwinds\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alibaba-stock-attractive-valuation-despite-mid-term-headwinds","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157459217","content_text":"Over the mid term, Alibaba’s (BABA)share price has had a habit of moving in step with earnings revisions but during the past 3 months, this relationship has weakened.During the period, Alibaba’s forecast for adj EPS in FY2024 has been cut by 4%, yet the share price has dropped by 34%.Moving forward, how can this be corrected? J.P. Morgan’sAlex Yao has an idea. The analyst believes “sentiment-driven fund flow is the current key share price driver and revenue recovery is the key determinant of market sentiment.”That is a bit of problem, then. Because Yao expects weak China consumption in the September quarter (F2Q23) to impact the revenue outlook.Since late August, Covid has once again been a disruptive force in a host of cities across China, and as such, Yao expects “limited improvement” in Alibaba’s core-core CMR (customer-management revenue) compared to the June quarter.The analyst sees the September quarter’s CMR falling by 4% from the same period last year, hardly any better than the June quarter’s 5% drop. On account of “low visibility of consumer sentiment improvement” or any relaxion of the Covid policies, the decline will continue in the December quarter, albeit at a slower pace (Yao expects a 2% year-over-year decline vs. anticipation of a positive turn previously).In contrast, given Alibaba’s firm commitment to cost-cutting and efficiency-improving measures, Yao sees “potential upside to consensus bottom-line projections.”However, that might not have enough of a positive effect right now. “Alibaba’s weakening revenue outlook in the near term could continue to weigh on the share price despite an unchanged, or even potentially better, profit outlook,” the analyst said, before summing up, “Nonetheless, we believe Alibaba’s share price is attractive on a 12-month view on 1) profit growth recovery to 20%+ in FY2024, 2) current consensus FY2024 PE of only 9x.”To this end, Yao rates BABA shares an Overweight (i.e., Buy) along with a $135 price target. This figure leaves room for 12-month share appreciation of ~69%. Yao’s rating stays an Overweight (i.e., Buy).Overall, Wall Street takes a bullish stance on Alibaba shares. 17 Buys and 1 Sell issued over the previous three months, making the stock a Strong Buy. Meanwhile, the $149.06 average price target suggests ~86% upside from current levels.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916563685,"gmtCreate":1664634887647,"gmtModify":1676537487436,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916563685","repostId":"1133444550","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133444550","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664595772,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133444550?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-01 11:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Blue-Chip Stocks to Sell in October","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133444550","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"These blue-chip stocks to sell face macroeconomic and/or company-specific headwinds.PepsiCo(PEP): Valuations look stretched, especially with growth likely to slow.Costco Wholesale(COST): A correction ","content":"<div>\n<p>These blue-chip stocks to sell face macroeconomic and/or company-specific headwinds.PepsiCo(PEP): Valuations look stretched, especially with growth likely to slow.Costco Wholesale(COST): A correction ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/4-blue-chip-stocks-to-sell-in-october/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Blue-Chip Stocks to Sell in October</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Blue-Chip Stocks to Sell in October\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-01 11:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/09/4-blue-chip-stocks-to-sell-in-october/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>These blue-chip stocks to sell face macroeconomic and/or company-specific headwinds.PepsiCo(PEP): Valuations look stretched, especially with growth likely to slow.Costco Wholesale(COST): A correction ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/4-blue-chip-stocks-to-sell-in-october/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COST":"好市多","FCX":"麦克莫兰铜金","PEP":"百事可乐","OXY":"西方石油"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/4-blue-chip-stocks-to-sell-in-october/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133444550","content_text":"These blue-chip stocks to sell face macroeconomic and/or company-specific headwinds.PepsiCo(PEP): Valuations look stretched, especially with growth likely to slow.Costco Wholesale(COST): A correction would provide a much better entry point.Freeport-McMoRan(FCX): Now doesn't look like the ideal time to bet on copper.Occidental Petroleum(OXY): You may not be as comfortable as Warren Buffett riding out a correction.In general, when markets trend lower, it makes sense to invest in blue-chip stocks. They tend to have a low beta and also provide regular cash flows through dividends. Yet, not all blue chips are created equal. Based on macroeconomic or company-specific factors, there are some you want to buy and some blue-chip stocks to sell.For example, blue-chip retailer Target (NYSE:TGT) sits 45% below its 52-week high, weighed down by inflationary pressures and margin compression. And pharmaceutical giant Pfizer(NYSE:PFE) is 30% below its high on concerns of a slowdown in growth predominately due to lower Covid-19 vaccine sales.So, investors need to carry out due diligence even with blue chips. Today’s list of blue-chip stocks to sell in October contains popular names that are likely to correct or correct even further.PepsiCo (PEP)PepsiCo(NASDAQ:PEP) stock is up 11% over the past year, bucking the broader bear market, and it throws off a healthy 2.7% dividend yield. However, shares look expensive with a forward price-earnings ratio of 22.8.PepsiCo is likely to see decelerating growth or margin pressure in the coming quarters. The company is reportedly considering cost-cutting measures, including layoffs and buyouts for some employees over 55. Shares have fallen around 3% since the story broke. A confirmation from the company could trigger panic selling.It’s also worth noting that Pepsi has finally stopped production in Russia. The country happens to be the company’s second-largest international market after Mexico. The implication of the production halt on growth remains to be seen.Amid these uncertainties, PEP stock’s valuation looks stretched and shares are likely to correct in the near term. Having said that, a 15% to 20% correction from current levels to the $130s would be a good time to consider some bullish exposure.Costco Wholesale (COST)In the long term, Costco Wholesale(NASDAQ:COST) is possibly the best bet among retail stocks. The company has built a strong omnichannel sales presence. Rising member fees are likely to support cash flow, and comparable-store sales have been rising. However, I remain cautious in the near term.COST stock has been resilient in the face of the bear market, up 6% over the past year. Yet, with a forward price-earnings ratio of 33.9, shares look relatively expensive amid mounting economic uncertainties including the possibility of a recession in the U.S. in 2023. The impact of aggressive interest rate hikes on consumer spending remains to be seen. I also expect Costco to face margin pressure in a slowdown or recession scenario.Those who wish to go long COST stock are likely to get a much better entry point after shares correct.Freeport-McMoRan (FCX)Doctor copper has continued to weaken due to two factors. First and foremost, the U.S. dollar has been gaining strength. Second, global economic uncertainty is likely to translate into lower copper demand. In this scenario, I would avoid miner Freeport-McMoRan(NYSE:FCX).FCX stock is 15.6% lower over the past year, slightly better than the S&P 500’s17.7% decline. However, in the event of a global recession, FCX stock is likely to correct further. While its forward price-earnings ratio of 13.1 is well below the broader market index’s forward P/E of 17.9, keep in mind that, in general, cyclical stocks tend to have a lower price-earnings ratio.In terms of business fundamentals, Freeport-McMoRan has utilized the copper bull market to strengthen its balance sheet. At the end of the second quarter, the company had just$1.6 billion in net debt. While management expects copper sales to increase in 2023, this may be offset by lower prices.In short, this doesn’t look like the ideal time to jump into a copper play. Those who wait for a further correction will likely be rewarded for their patience.Occidental Petroleum (OXY)Occidental Petroleum(NYSE:OXY) is on my list of blue-chip stocks to sell because it has gotten much too far ahead of itself, with shares nearly doubling in the past year. Much of this investor enthusiasm has been due to the fact that Warren Buffett continues tobuy up shares despite falling oil prices. Lower oil prices will translate into EBITDA margin compression on a relative basis in the coming quarters.Now, I don’t expect a big plunge in oil prices in the coming quarters even if we enter a recession. However, based on how far OXY stock has run over the past 12 months, there appears to be much more downside risk than upside potential at the current level, especially if oil prices continue to trend lower.I’m not the only one who thinks this. Analysts from Citigroup and JPMorgan both have“neutral” ratings on the stock due to what they see ascapped upside over the next few months.That said, I like the fact that Occidental is focused on deleveraging. In the next few years, the company is likely to have an investment-grade balance sheet. This will provide greater headroom for dividend growth and share repurchases.Yet, while Buffett may have pockets deep enough to ride out a big correction in the stock, individual investors may not feel the same way.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCX":0.9,"OXY":0.9,"COST":0.9,"PEP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916563902,"gmtCreate":1664634871606,"gmtModify":1676537487420,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1baae098f99b453672ae8b4085898055","width":"1125","height":"2366"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916563902","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916334246,"gmtCreate":1664508134285,"gmtModify":1676537468487,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/N2IU.SI\">$Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr(N2IU.SI)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/N2IU.SI\">$Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr(N2IU.SI)$</a>","text":"$Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr(N2IU.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/514f8c3cb66df0f1b581d9af660c9c50","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916334246","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916986436,"gmtCreate":1664497582925,"gmtModify":1676537465513,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/94cc216fa86d48224b22843231383a7f","width":"1125","height":"2366"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916986436","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":191817803,"gmtCreate":1620869224702,"gmtModify":1704349545335,"author":{"id":"3576886000348777","authorId":"3576886000348777","name":"fcbergkamp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e9eb882539241da2e9a7180b0b6413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576886000348777","authorIdStr":"3576886000348777"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/191817803","repostId":"2135584610","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1066,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554270654692944","authorId":"3554270654692944","name":"James3128","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ace08c09b102c90559617c6182a8216","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3554270654692944","authorIdStr":"3554270654692944"},"content":"Pls comment and like","text":"Pls comment and like","html":"Pls comment and 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