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2021-06-14

Nice

GameStop: Don't Let Strong Performance Distract From Reality

2021-06-12

Nice read

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2021-06-12

Wow

Inflation scare? Look at this chart before freaking out

2021-06-12

Like and share pls

How oil soaring to $100 a barrel could be bad for this boom-bust sector and the economy

2021-06-11

Yes

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2021-06-11

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Go to Tiger App to see more news

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15:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop: Don't Let Strong Performance Distract From Reality","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127089538","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGameStop has been on a wild ride over the past several months as speculators have sent shar","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>GameStop has been on a wild ride over the past several months as speculators have sent shares all over the place.</li>\n <li>Recent strong financial performance will likely exacerbate the situation for the time being.</li>\n <li>Investors should not allow this to distract them from the reality of how overpriced shares appear.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f38afe46a511c6467925dd0c230e9bd\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>tupungato/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Undoubtedly one of the most volatile stocks on the market this past year has been&nbsp;<b>GameStop</b>&nbsp;(GME). As the quintessential meme stock on the market, the video game retailer has taken investors and speculators alike on a wild ride. While I have&nbsp;maintained&nbsp;that the business is destined to see its share price decline significantly absent a material amount of dilution aimed at raising additional cash for the enterprise, there is no doubt that robust financial performance from quarter to quarter can help to buoy the business by energizing speculators.</p>\n<p>Though no one can predict what the future holds, particularly in the short term, for a company like GameStop, there is fundamental evidence that the picture for the firm, at least for now, is improving. This improved growth can be fueled by the multi-year adoption of new video game consoles but it would be unwise to consider this a permanent fixture for the business to benefit from. Continued pain on the software side is unlikely to ease up and a move away from physical discs will hasten the company's demise absent a major change taking place operationally.</p>\n<p><b>A robust improvement on the top line</b></p>\n<p>In the&nbsp;first quarter&nbsp;of its 2021 fiscal year, GameStop generated some exciting financial performance. Consider, for instance, its top line results. Revenue for the first quarter came out at $1.28 billion. This represents a sizable increase over the $1.02 billion the company generated in the first quarter of its 2020 fiscal year. It is always great to see improved performance, but it is important to put all of this in context. For starters, around the end of the first quarter last year, the company was experiencing store closures that impaired its ability to generate revenue. Now that the COVID-19 pandemic is winding down, this is no longer an issue and we should see some sort of rebound because of it. That said, there are other factors to take into consideration here.</p>\n<p>The first relates to hardware sales the company generated. For the first quarter, revenue for hardware came out to $703.5 million. That represents an increase of 37.1% over the $513.1 million the company generated the same quarter a year earlier. Though this is positive, investors would be unwise to assume that this kind of performance is indicative of strong health for the business. Management chalked most of this increase up to new video game consoles like the PlayStation 5 by&nbsp;<b>Sony</b>(NYSE:SONY)&nbsp;and the Xbox Series X/S consoles by&nbsp;<b>Microsoft</b>(MSFT). Continued strength from the previously released Nintendo Switch also aided the company during the quarter.</p>\n<p>It is imperative to discuss this because game consoles, particularly under the PlayStation and Xbox brand names, are not released every year. These devices take years to develop and when they are released you see a flurry of buying activity that would not be replicated in years where there is not a release. Already, the PlayStation 5 has proven a remarkable success,generating total retail sales&nbsp;of $3.8 billion because of 8.6 million units flying off the shelves.</p>\n<p>The Xbox brand has been less successful, with total sales of just $2.04 billion caused by 5.1 million units. This is not to say that revenue for a company like GameStop won't continue on for some time. Since its inception, Sony has&nbsp;sold&nbsp;nearly 115 million of its PlayStation 4 devices. Meanwhile, the Xbox One has moved nearly 50 million units, while the newer Switch&nbsp;already sold&nbsp;85 million. In addition, the PlayStation 4 actually saw more units sold in years three and four of its existence than it did in the first two years. So this does suggest that revenue on the hardware side could persist for some time. But it would not be wise to consider it a permanent feature to the company's value.</p>\n<p>Other areas where the company was strong involved the sale of collectibles. Revenue here came out to $175.4 million, up from $90.9 million seen the same time a year earlier. However, revenue on the software side truly suffered. It declined from $417 million in the first quarter of the company's 2020 fiscal year to $397.9 million in the first quarter this year. In the long run, I personally view the software side of the sales the true measure of the health of GameStop. This is especially true as more content purchased by video game enthusiasts becomes downloadable.</p>\n<p>Software sales include disc-based games, as well as e-commerce and other operations that GameStop engages in. While hardware sales will flow and ebb based on console releases, software sales determine the direction the company is heading long-term. And data there is truly discouraging. Not only did we see the year-over-year decrease in the latest quarter, we have seen software sales dropping for years. In 2020 the company generated just $1.98 billion in revenue from software. This compares to $3.01 billion seen in 2019. And it was in spite of the fact that e-commerce revenue for the business surged 190.8% for the year compared to what it was in 2019. As a note, back in 2017 the firm generated software sales of $4.36 billion.</p>\n<p>Part of this decline has been due to a reduction in store count for the firm. In 2019 the retailer ended the year with 5,509 stores. Today, that figure is already down to 4,698. And management is already saying they will reduce store count further. A&nbsp;bigger part of the issue, though, is a transition away from disc-based games and toward disc-less ones. In 2020, for instance, 40.6% of Nintendo's game sales were disc-less. This was up from just 28.6% a year earlier. Sony's Full Game Software sales went from being 43% digital in 2018 to 79% in the fourth quarter of its latest fiscal year. To make matters worse, both Sony and Microsoft have come out with disc-less options for their consoles that will only hasten the transition away from retailers like GameStop.</p>\n<p><b>Troubles remain on the bottom line</b></p>\n<p>As revenue increased, the firm's bottom line results improved. The firm went from generating a net loss of $165.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 to generating a net loss of $66.8 million in the first quarter this year. Operating cash outflows improved from $49.3 million to $18.8 million over the same period of time. Free cash flows went from a negative $55.9 million to a negative $33.5 million. And adjusted EBITDA improved from negative $75.5 million to negative $0.7 million.</p>\n<p>None of this should be surprising given the expansion in revenue the company generated. While the company did see its bottom line improve year-over-year, the continued deterioration in its software category will negatively affect margins in the long run. In&nbsp;2018, the last year for which gross profit data was broken down across product lines, the sum of digital and new video game software sales generated a gross profit margin of 26.4%. This compared to a new video game hardware profit margin of just 8.5%.</p>\n<p>All of this said, one really great positive for shareholders is that the company remains debt-free on a net basis. Total cash and cash equivalents on hand, including restricted cash, is $770.8 million. Meanwhile, debt is just $48.1 million. This does reduce the risk profile of the enterprise markedly.</p>\n<p>This significant achievement was due, in part, to the company's ability to issue 3.5 million shares in April this year, netting the firm $551.7 million. The company is also seeking to issue another 5 million shares, which at current pricing, would bring in around $1.51 billion on a gross basis. This will go a long way to helping the enterprise boost its fundamental value, but it is hard to imagine even that justifying the $21.75 billion the company is currently worth on the market today. Seeing a firm with negative performance all across the bottom line with such a high valuation and with limited, if any, long term growth, screams overvalued.</p>\n<p><b>Takeaway</b></p>\n<p>Right now, GameStop remains one of the most fascinating case studies on the market. Rampant speculation has pushed shares up to levels that cannot be justified fundamentally. Ultimately, I suspect that shares will fall unless management issues significantly more shares in a way that boosts the amount of cash the company has on hand. The moves being made right now do help to cushion any fall the firm should eventually experience, but when that fall happens is anybody's guess.</p>\n<p>Though not a permanent benefit to the business today, the financial performance generated in the first quarter this year could exacerbate the volatility and keep shares irrationally high. But when you consider that the real barometer of the business's health, software sales, has such significant headwinds and continues to suffer, the ultimate destination for the business, if it maintains the current course, looks scary.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop: Don't Let Strong Performance Distract From Reality</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop: Don't Let Strong Performance Distract From Reality\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-14 15:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434452-gamestop-dont-let-strong-performance-distract-from-reality><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nGameStop has been on a wild ride over the past several months as speculators have sent shares all over the place.\nRecent strong financial performance will likely exacerbate the situation for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434452-gamestop-dont-let-strong-performance-distract-from-reality\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434452-gamestop-dont-let-strong-performance-distract-from-reality","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127089538","content_text":"Summary\n\nGameStop has been on a wild ride over the past several months as speculators have sent shares all over the place.\nRecent strong financial performance will likely exacerbate the situation for the time being.\nInvestors should not allow this to distract them from the reality of how overpriced shares appear.\n\ntupungato/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nUndoubtedly one of the most volatile stocks on the market this past year has been GameStop (GME). As the quintessential meme stock on the market, the video game retailer has taken investors and speculators alike on a wild ride. While I have maintained that the business is destined to see its share price decline significantly absent a material amount of dilution aimed at raising additional cash for the enterprise, there is no doubt that robust financial performance from quarter to quarter can help to buoy the business by energizing speculators.\nThough no one can predict what the future holds, particularly in the short term, for a company like GameStop, there is fundamental evidence that the picture for the firm, at least for now, is improving. This improved growth can be fueled by the multi-year adoption of new video game consoles but it would be unwise to consider this a permanent fixture for the business to benefit from. Continued pain on the software side is unlikely to ease up and a move away from physical discs will hasten the company's demise absent a major change taking place operationally.\nA robust improvement on the top line\nIn the first quarter of its 2021 fiscal year, GameStop generated some exciting financial performance. Consider, for instance, its top line results. Revenue for the first quarter came out at $1.28 billion. This represents a sizable increase over the $1.02 billion the company generated in the first quarter of its 2020 fiscal year. It is always great to see improved performance, but it is important to put all of this in context. For starters, around the end of the first quarter last year, the company was experiencing store closures that impaired its ability to generate revenue. Now that the COVID-19 pandemic is winding down, this is no longer an issue and we should see some sort of rebound because of it. That said, there are other factors to take into consideration here.\nThe first relates to hardware sales the company generated. For the first quarter, revenue for hardware came out to $703.5 million. That represents an increase of 37.1% over the $513.1 million the company generated the same quarter a year earlier. Though this is positive, investors would be unwise to assume that this kind of performance is indicative of strong health for the business. Management chalked most of this increase up to new video game consoles like the PlayStation 5 by Sony(NYSE:SONY) and the Xbox Series X/S consoles by Microsoft(MSFT). Continued strength from the previously released Nintendo Switch also aided the company during the quarter.\nIt is imperative to discuss this because game consoles, particularly under the PlayStation and Xbox brand names, are not released every year. These devices take years to develop and when they are released you see a flurry of buying activity that would not be replicated in years where there is not a release. Already, the PlayStation 5 has proven a remarkable success,generating total retail sales of $3.8 billion because of 8.6 million units flying off the shelves.\nThe Xbox brand has been less successful, with total sales of just $2.04 billion caused by 5.1 million units. This is not to say that revenue for a company like GameStop won't continue on for some time. Since its inception, Sony has sold nearly 115 million of its PlayStation 4 devices. Meanwhile, the Xbox One has moved nearly 50 million units, while the newer Switch already sold 85 million. In addition, the PlayStation 4 actually saw more units sold in years three and four of its existence than it did in the first two years. So this does suggest that revenue on the hardware side could persist for some time. But it would not be wise to consider it a permanent feature to the company's value.\nOther areas where the company was strong involved the sale of collectibles. Revenue here came out to $175.4 million, up from $90.9 million seen the same time a year earlier. However, revenue on the software side truly suffered. It declined from $417 million in the first quarter of the company's 2020 fiscal year to $397.9 million in the first quarter this year. In the long run, I personally view the software side of the sales the true measure of the health of GameStop. This is especially true as more content purchased by video game enthusiasts becomes downloadable.\nSoftware sales include disc-based games, as well as e-commerce and other operations that GameStop engages in. While hardware sales will flow and ebb based on console releases, software sales determine the direction the company is heading long-term. And data there is truly discouraging. Not only did we see the year-over-year decrease in the latest quarter, we have seen software sales dropping for years. In 2020 the company generated just $1.98 billion in revenue from software. This compares to $3.01 billion seen in 2019. And it was in spite of the fact that e-commerce revenue for the business surged 190.8% for the year compared to what it was in 2019. As a note, back in 2017 the firm generated software sales of $4.36 billion.\nPart of this decline has been due to a reduction in store count for the firm. In 2019 the retailer ended the year with 5,509 stores. Today, that figure is already down to 4,698. And management is already saying they will reduce store count further. A bigger part of the issue, though, is a transition away from disc-based games and toward disc-less ones. In 2020, for instance, 40.6% of Nintendo's game sales were disc-less. This was up from just 28.6% a year earlier. Sony's Full Game Software sales went from being 43% digital in 2018 to 79% in the fourth quarter of its latest fiscal year. To make matters worse, both Sony and Microsoft have come out with disc-less options for their consoles that will only hasten the transition away from retailers like GameStop.\nTroubles remain on the bottom line\nAs revenue increased, the firm's bottom line results improved. The firm went from generating a net loss of $165.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 to generating a net loss of $66.8 million in the first quarter this year. Operating cash outflows improved from $49.3 million to $18.8 million over the same period of time. Free cash flows went from a negative $55.9 million to a negative $33.5 million. And adjusted EBITDA improved from negative $75.5 million to negative $0.7 million.\nNone of this should be surprising given the expansion in revenue the company generated. While the company did see its bottom line improve year-over-year, the continued deterioration in its software category will negatively affect margins in the long run. In 2018, the last year for which gross profit data was broken down across product lines, the sum of digital and new video game software sales generated a gross profit margin of 26.4%. This compared to a new video game hardware profit margin of just 8.5%.\nAll of this said, one really great positive for shareholders is that the company remains debt-free on a net basis. Total cash and cash equivalents on hand, including restricted cash, is $770.8 million. Meanwhile, debt is just $48.1 million. This does reduce the risk profile of the enterprise markedly.\nThis significant achievement was due, in part, to the company's ability to issue 3.5 million shares in April this year, netting the firm $551.7 million. The company is also seeking to issue another 5 million shares, which at current pricing, would bring in around $1.51 billion on a gross basis. This will go a long way to helping the enterprise boost its fundamental value, but it is hard to imagine even that justifying the $21.75 billion the company is currently worth on the market today. Seeing a firm with negative performance all across the bottom line with such a high valuation and with limited, if any, long term growth, screams overvalued.\nTakeaway\nRight now, GameStop remains one of the most fascinating case studies on the market. Rampant speculation has pushed shares up to levels that cannot be justified fundamentally. Ultimately, I suspect that shares will fall unless management issues significantly more shares in a way that boosts the amount of cash the company has on hand. The moves being made right now do help to cushion any fall the firm should eventually experience, but when that fall happens is anybody's guess.\nThough not a permanent benefit to the business today, the financial performance generated in the first quarter this year could exacerbate the volatility and keep shares irrationally high. But when you consider that the real barometer of the business's health, software sales, has such significant headwinds and continues to suffer, the ultimate destination for the business, if it maintains the current course, looks scary.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186900843,"gmtCreate":1623467551082,"gmtModify":1704204458465,"author":{"id":"3577175327335018","authorId":"3577175327335018","name":"Frt178954","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577175327335018","authorIdStr":"3577175327335018"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice read","listText":"Nice read","text":"Nice read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186900843","repostId":"2142920910","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186072354,"gmtCreate":1623467396378,"gmtModify":1704204452956,"author":{"id":"3577175327335018","authorId":"3577175327335018","name":"Frt178954","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577175327335018","authorIdStr":"3577175327335018"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186072354","repostId":"2142823202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142823202","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623453000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142823202?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 07:10","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Inflation scare? Look at this chart before freaking out","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142823202","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Breakdown of price rises not in line with enduring inflation surge, says UniCredit's Vernazza.\n\nInfl","content":"<blockquote>\n Breakdown of price rises not in line with enduring inflation surge, says UniCredit's Vernazza.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Inflation is on the rise in America, but if price pressures were likely to persist, contrary to the Federal Reserve's expectations, the data would be painting a different picture, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> economist argued Friday.</p>\n<p>In a note to clients, Daniel Vernazza, chief international economist at UniCredit Bank, highlighted the complicated but interesting chart below:</p>\n<p>The chart plots the change in prices (vertical axis) against the change in spending (horizontal axis) relative to pre-pandemic levels in February 2020, by industry. It uses the personal-consumption expenditures deflator instead of the consumer-price index because PCE is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation and to make better comparisons with spending data.</p>\n<p>It shows that most items have moved backward and forward along the horizontal axis, implying that prices have shown little sensitivity to changes in demand, Vernazza explained. And for service sectors hit particuarly hard by the pandemic, including airfares and accommodation, the reopening of the econony has led to only a partial recovery of prices, which are still not back to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p>It's a somewhat different story for car rentals, where acute supply shortages have caused prices to surge, while spending in the sector remains well below pre-pandemic levels because of limited supply. For used cars, the combination of a switch away from public transport by commuters and a global shortage of semiconductors for new cars has pushed up both demand and prices, he said..</p>\n<p>What's important to note, Vernazza said, is that since higher inflation is largely explained by the reopening of the economy and supply shortages, it's likely to prove temporary as the direct effects of the pandemic fade and supply adjusts to meet demand.</p>\n<p>But what would a more enduring inflation threat look like?</p>\n<p>In that case, most of the items would occupy the upper-right quadrant of the chart, reflecting what economists refer to as \"demand-pull inflation,\" Vernazza said. To date, \"this is clearly not the case,\" the economist wrote.</p>\n<p>While inflation jitters rattled financial markets as recently as last month, investor concerns have appeared to wane. Treasurys rallied Thursday, despite another hotter-than-expected consumer-price index reading , sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note below 1.45%.</p>\n<p>See:Treasury yields fall despite rising inflation -- here are some reasons why</p>\n<p>Higher inflation is typically seen as bad news for bonds, eroding the value of the interest payments delivered to holders. Stocks rallied Thursday, with the S&amp;P 500 edging to a record close on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average remains not far off its all-time high and rallying tech shares, which are more sensitive to interest rates, pushed the Nasdaq Composite higher.</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve holds a policy meeting next week. While Fed officials have largely stuck to their view that inflation pressures will prove \"transitory,\" several have also said it's time to begin thinking about when it would be appropriate to discuss pulling back on asset purchases at the center of its extraordinary monetary policy efforts to support the economy and heal the labor market.</p>\n<p>And some economists caution that signs of inflationary pressures in more cyclical segments of the economy are beginning to emerge.</p>\n<p>\"Both rent and owners' equivalent rent have staged a clear turnaround over recent months, and food-away-from-home prices surged by 0.6%,\" said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a note. \"It is no coincidence that rents and restaurant prices are rising more rapidly when wage growth is also accelerating.\"</p>\n<p>Pearce said a continued surge in job openings shows that worker shortages \"are real and intensifying.\"</p>\n<p>\"The recent strength of inflation and signs of labor shortages could prompt a handful of hawkish regional Fed presidents to bring forward their projections for rate increases and strengthen calls for tapering asset purchases sooner rather than later at next week's FOMC meeting,\" he wrote. \"But we suspect the majority on the committee will stick to the 'largely transitory' language and instead emphasize the yawning shortfall in employment from pre-pandemic levels.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation scare? Look at this chart before freaking out</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation scare? Look at this chart before freaking out\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-12 07:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n Breakdown of price rises not in line with enduring inflation surge, says UniCredit's Vernazza.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Inflation is on the rise in America, but if price pressures were likely to persist, contrary to the Federal Reserve's expectations, the data would be painting a different picture, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> economist argued Friday.</p>\n<p>In a note to clients, Daniel Vernazza, chief international economist at UniCredit Bank, highlighted the complicated but interesting chart below:</p>\n<p>The chart plots the change in prices (vertical axis) against the change in spending (horizontal axis) relative to pre-pandemic levels in February 2020, by industry. It uses the personal-consumption expenditures deflator instead of the consumer-price index because PCE is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation and to make better comparisons with spending data.</p>\n<p>It shows that most items have moved backward and forward along the horizontal axis, implying that prices have shown little sensitivity to changes in demand, Vernazza explained. And for service sectors hit particuarly hard by the pandemic, including airfares and accommodation, the reopening of the econony has led to only a partial recovery of prices, which are still not back to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p>It's a somewhat different story for car rentals, where acute supply shortages have caused prices to surge, while spending in the sector remains well below pre-pandemic levels because of limited supply. For used cars, the combination of a switch away from public transport by commuters and a global shortage of semiconductors for new cars has pushed up both demand and prices, he said..</p>\n<p>What's important to note, Vernazza said, is that since higher inflation is largely explained by the reopening of the economy and supply shortages, it's likely to prove temporary as the direct effects of the pandemic fade and supply adjusts to meet demand.</p>\n<p>But what would a more enduring inflation threat look like?</p>\n<p>In that case, most of the items would occupy the upper-right quadrant of the chart, reflecting what economists refer to as \"demand-pull inflation,\" Vernazza said. To date, \"this is clearly not the case,\" the economist wrote.</p>\n<p>While inflation jitters rattled financial markets as recently as last month, investor concerns have appeared to wane. Treasurys rallied Thursday, despite another hotter-than-expected consumer-price index reading , sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note below 1.45%.</p>\n<p>See:Treasury yields fall despite rising inflation -- here are some reasons why</p>\n<p>Higher inflation is typically seen as bad news for bonds, eroding the value of the interest payments delivered to holders. Stocks rallied Thursday, with the S&amp;P 500 edging to a record close on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average remains not far off its all-time high and rallying tech shares, which are more sensitive to interest rates, pushed the Nasdaq Composite higher.</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve holds a policy meeting next week. While Fed officials have largely stuck to their view that inflation pressures will prove \"transitory,\" several have also said it's time to begin thinking about when it would be appropriate to discuss pulling back on asset purchases at the center of its extraordinary monetary policy efforts to support the economy and heal the labor market.</p>\n<p>And some economists caution that signs of inflationary pressures in more cyclical segments of the economy are beginning to emerge.</p>\n<p>\"Both rent and owners' equivalent rent have staged a clear turnaround over recent months, and food-away-from-home prices surged by 0.6%,\" said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a note. \"It is no coincidence that rents and restaurant prices are rising more rapidly when wage growth is also accelerating.\"</p>\n<p>Pearce said a continued surge in job openings shows that worker shortages \"are real and intensifying.\"</p>\n<p>\"The recent strength of inflation and signs of labor shortages could prompt a handful of hawkish regional Fed presidents to bring forward their projections for rate increases and strengthen calls for tapering asset purchases sooner rather than later at next week's FOMC meeting,\" he wrote. \"But we suspect the majority on the committee will stick to the 'largely transitory' language and instead emphasize the yawning shortfall in employment from pre-pandemic levels.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142823202","content_text":"Breakdown of price rises not in line with enduring inflation surge, says UniCredit's Vernazza.\n\nInflation is on the rise in America, but if price pressures were likely to persist, contrary to the Federal Reserve's expectations, the data would be painting a different picture, one economist argued Friday.\nIn a note to clients, Daniel Vernazza, chief international economist at UniCredit Bank, highlighted the complicated but interesting chart below:\nThe chart plots the change in prices (vertical axis) against the change in spending (horizontal axis) relative to pre-pandemic levels in February 2020, by industry. It uses the personal-consumption expenditures deflator instead of the consumer-price index because PCE is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation and to make better comparisons with spending data.\nIt shows that most items have moved backward and forward along the horizontal axis, implying that prices have shown little sensitivity to changes in demand, Vernazza explained. And for service sectors hit particuarly hard by the pandemic, including airfares and accommodation, the reopening of the econony has led to only a partial recovery of prices, which are still not back to pre-pandemic levels.\nIt's a somewhat different story for car rentals, where acute supply shortages have caused prices to surge, while spending in the sector remains well below pre-pandemic levels because of limited supply. For used cars, the combination of a switch away from public transport by commuters and a global shortage of semiconductors for new cars has pushed up both demand and prices, he said..\nWhat's important to note, Vernazza said, is that since higher inflation is largely explained by the reopening of the economy and supply shortages, it's likely to prove temporary as the direct effects of the pandemic fade and supply adjusts to meet demand.\nBut what would a more enduring inflation threat look like?\nIn that case, most of the items would occupy the upper-right quadrant of the chart, reflecting what economists refer to as \"demand-pull inflation,\" Vernazza said. To date, \"this is clearly not the case,\" the economist wrote.\nWhile inflation jitters rattled financial markets as recently as last month, investor concerns have appeared to wane. Treasurys rallied Thursday, despite another hotter-than-expected consumer-price index reading , sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note below 1.45%.\nSee:Treasury yields fall despite rising inflation -- here are some reasons why\nHigher inflation is typically seen as bad news for bonds, eroding the value of the interest payments delivered to holders. Stocks rallied Thursday, with the S&P 500 edging to a record close on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average remains not far off its all-time high and rallying tech shares, which are more sensitive to interest rates, pushed the Nasdaq Composite higher.\nThe Federal Reserve holds a policy meeting next week. While Fed officials have largely stuck to their view that inflation pressures will prove \"transitory,\" several have also said it's time to begin thinking about when it would be appropriate to discuss pulling back on asset purchases at the center of its extraordinary monetary policy efforts to support the economy and heal the labor market.\nAnd some economists caution that signs of inflationary pressures in more cyclical segments of the economy are beginning to emerge.\n\"Both rent and owners' equivalent rent have staged a clear turnaround over recent months, and food-away-from-home prices surged by 0.6%,\" said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a note. \"It is no coincidence that rents and restaurant prices are rising more rapidly when wage growth is also accelerating.\"\nPearce said a continued surge in job openings shows that worker shortages \"are real and intensifying.\"\n\"The recent strength of inflation and signs of labor shortages could prompt a handful of hawkish regional Fed presidents to bring forward their projections for rate increases and strengthen calls for tapering asset purchases sooner rather than later at next week's FOMC meeting,\" he wrote. \"But we suspect the majority on the committee will stick to the 'largely transitory' language and instead emphasize the yawning shortfall in employment from pre-pandemic levels.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186073279,"gmtCreate":1623467235791,"gmtModify":1704204450033,"author":{"id":"3577175327335018","authorId":"3577175327335018","name":"Frt178954","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577175327335018","authorIdStr":"3577175327335018"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and share pls","listText":"Like and share pls","text":"Like and share pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186073279","repostId":"2142744202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142744202","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623452760,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142744202?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 07:06","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"How oil soaring to $100 a barrel could be bad for this boom-bust sector and the economy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142744202","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n\nOi","content":"<blockquote>\n If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Oil companies often find religion in the wake of a boom-and-bust cycle, including after last year when crude prices crashed into negative territory for the first time on record.</p>\n<p>But with oil prices recently back near $70 a barrel, and some analysts speculating on the return to $100 during the COVID recovery, investors fear wildcatting and other risky financial behavior by energy companies will make a comeback.</p>\n<p>\"We lost a lot of our weakest companies,\" Andrew Feltus, co-director of high-yield at Amundi US, said of the ripple effects of oil futures going negative in April 2020 as demand collapsed with the first waves of COVID outbreaks and oil-producing giants Saudi Arabia and Russia waged an ugly price war.</p>\n<p>\"No <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> can exist in that type of situation for long,\" Feltus told MarketWatch. \"If you don't have enough money to survive, you are gone.\"</p>\n<p>Company executives took those lessons for the U.S. energy complex to heart after pandemic shutdowns depressed oil demand and, for a period, led to higher borrowing costs in the sector. It also led to greater prudence.</p>\n<p>But there's no telling how long the latest stretch of \"good\" energy company behavior -- actions preferred by their risk-wary lenders and investors -- will last. That's particularly true if prices shoot dramatically higher and breach $100 a barrel.</p>\n<p>As Feltus said, \"$50 oil is the price we want. $70 is just gravy. With $100 oil, they will be dancing in the streets of Dallas.\"</p>\n<p>Prices for U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery were near $70.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Friday and headed for a weekly rise of about 1.7%.</p>\n<p>This chart tracks the plunge and recovery of WTI since April 2020, with the red line highlighting the stretch in which prices stayed below $40 a barrel.</p>\n<p><b>Keeping up?</b></p>\n<p>Prices saw a boost Friday from the International Energy Agency, which said global oil demand would return to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by the end of next year.</p>\n<p>IEA also forecast demand to reach 100.6 million barrels a day by the end of 2022, while indicating that producers will need to boost output to keep up with demand.</p>\n<p>The changing landscape for oil, including the increased focus by investors and the Biden administration on encouraging more environmentally sustainable practices, comes as a U.S. rig count has hovered at about half of pre-COVID levels, said Steve Repoff, portfolio manager at GW&amp;K Investment.</p>\n<p>Read:Climate-change pressure builds on Big Oil after activist wins Exxon board seats, court ruling hits Shell</p>\n<p>But that's not without its own set of concerns as vaccinations in the U.S. increase, demand for oil climbs and the economy opens more broadly, including over the summer. And the post-COVID travel season could turn costly for drivers.</p>\n<p>\"It seems these companies, for now, have demonstrated capital discipline, in a sector notorious for being unable to display capital discipline,\" Repoff told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>\"But if we see demand of 100 million barrels a day return, that feels very ominous to me,\" he said, adding that it's unclear if U.S. producers will struggle to ramp up production.</p>\n<p>\"What if all the best shale, in aggregate, has been drilled already?\" Repoff said, while explaining how higher oil prices can be good for the oil industry, but also deflationary, even as the Federal Reserve expects the cost of living in America to overshoot its 2% inflation target for awhile during the recovery.</p>\n<p>\"When applied to the broader economy, it's effectively a tax on businesses and consumers, and at the systemwide level is ultimately deflationary,\" Repoff said of booming oil prices.</p>\n<p><b>$100 oil is a mixed blessing</b></p>\n<p>It took no time for COVID shutdowns to rattle the booming U.S. high-yield bond market last year, with defaults quickly jumping to a 10-year high of almost 5% and helping prompt the Fed to launch its first program ever of buying up corporate debt.</p>\n<p>Recently, as the sector has recovered, including with yields on the overall ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index plunging near all-time lows of 4.1% , the Fed said it would sell its remaining corporate bond exposure.</p>\n<p>As a result, the so-called \"junk-bond\" market ended up with its highest-quality mix of companies by credit rating in at least a decade, but perhaps even 20 to 30 years, according to Feltus at Amundi, even while energy remains the sector's biggest exposure at about 13% of its benchmark high-yield index. That compares with a roughly 3% slice for energy in the S&amp;P 500 index, leaving investors in it grappling with swings in exposure.</p>\n<p>While energy has long been a key part of the U.S. high-yield market, oil booms haven't always been great over the long run for bond investors who help finance the sector.</p>\n<p>\"History says it depends on what else is going on in the market,\" said Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors, particularly when oil prices rise and fall around times of economic crisis.</p>\n<p>Starting in the summer of 2007, oil prices quickly advanced over eight months from $70.68 on June 29 to $101.84 on Feb. 29, 2008. But when Fridson looked at how the energy component fared over that stretch, it outperformed the ICE BofA US High Yield Index, returning 3.88% compared to negative 3.32%.</p>\n<p>Then, in the more protracted recovery phase, oil went from $70.61 on Sept. 30, 2009, to $96.07 on Feb. 28, 2011, while energy underperformed the index, 23.57% to 26.38%.</p>\n<p>Amundi's Feltus also pointed out that companies \"got religion for like six to 12 months of discipline,\" after each recent oil bust. \"This time breaks the record. But we can't let up the pressure.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How oil soaring to $100 a barrel could be bad for this boom-bust sector and the economy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow oil soaring to $100 a barrel could be bad for this boom-bust sector and the economy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-12 07:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Oil companies often find religion in the wake of a boom-and-bust cycle, including after last year when crude prices crashed into negative territory for the first time on record.</p>\n<p>But with oil prices recently back near $70 a barrel, and some analysts speculating on the return to $100 during the COVID recovery, investors fear wildcatting and other risky financial behavior by energy companies will make a comeback.</p>\n<p>\"We lost a lot of our weakest companies,\" Andrew Feltus, co-director of high-yield at Amundi US, said of the ripple effects of oil futures going negative in April 2020 as demand collapsed with the first waves of COVID outbreaks and oil-producing giants Saudi Arabia and Russia waged an ugly price war.</p>\n<p>\"No <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> can exist in that type of situation for long,\" Feltus told MarketWatch. \"If you don't have enough money to survive, you are gone.\"</p>\n<p>Company executives took those lessons for the U.S. energy complex to heart after pandemic shutdowns depressed oil demand and, for a period, led to higher borrowing costs in the sector. It also led to greater prudence.</p>\n<p>But there's no telling how long the latest stretch of \"good\" energy company behavior -- actions preferred by their risk-wary lenders and investors -- will last. That's particularly true if prices shoot dramatically higher and breach $100 a barrel.</p>\n<p>As Feltus said, \"$50 oil is the price we want. $70 is just gravy. With $100 oil, they will be dancing in the streets of Dallas.\"</p>\n<p>Prices for U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery were near $70.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Friday and headed for a weekly rise of about 1.7%.</p>\n<p>This chart tracks the plunge and recovery of WTI since April 2020, with the red line highlighting the stretch in which prices stayed below $40 a barrel.</p>\n<p><b>Keeping up?</b></p>\n<p>Prices saw a boost Friday from the International Energy Agency, which said global oil demand would return to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by the end of next year.</p>\n<p>IEA also forecast demand to reach 100.6 million barrels a day by the end of 2022, while indicating that producers will need to boost output to keep up with demand.</p>\n<p>The changing landscape for oil, including the increased focus by investors and the Biden administration on encouraging more environmentally sustainable practices, comes as a U.S. rig count has hovered at about half of pre-COVID levels, said Steve Repoff, portfolio manager at GW&amp;K Investment.</p>\n<p>Read:Climate-change pressure builds on Big Oil after activist wins Exxon board seats, court ruling hits Shell</p>\n<p>But that's not without its own set of concerns as vaccinations in the U.S. increase, demand for oil climbs and the economy opens more broadly, including over the summer. And the post-COVID travel season could turn costly for drivers.</p>\n<p>\"It seems these companies, for now, have demonstrated capital discipline, in a sector notorious for being unable to display capital discipline,\" Repoff told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>\"But if we see demand of 100 million barrels a day return, that feels very ominous to me,\" he said, adding that it's unclear if U.S. producers will struggle to ramp up production.</p>\n<p>\"What if all the best shale, in aggregate, has been drilled already?\" Repoff said, while explaining how higher oil prices can be good for the oil industry, but also deflationary, even as the Federal Reserve expects the cost of living in America to overshoot its 2% inflation target for awhile during the recovery.</p>\n<p>\"When applied to the broader economy, it's effectively a tax on businesses and consumers, and at the systemwide level is ultimately deflationary,\" Repoff said of booming oil prices.</p>\n<p><b>$100 oil is a mixed blessing</b></p>\n<p>It took no time for COVID shutdowns to rattle the booming U.S. high-yield bond market last year, with defaults quickly jumping to a 10-year high of almost 5% and helping prompt the Fed to launch its first program ever of buying up corporate debt.</p>\n<p>Recently, as the sector has recovered, including with yields on the overall ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index plunging near all-time lows of 4.1% , the Fed said it would sell its remaining corporate bond exposure.</p>\n<p>As a result, the so-called \"junk-bond\" market ended up with its highest-quality mix of companies by credit rating in at least a decade, but perhaps even 20 to 30 years, according to Feltus at Amundi, even while energy remains the sector's biggest exposure at about 13% of its benchmark high-yield index. That compares with a roughly 3% slice for energy in the S&amp;P 500 index, leaving investors in it grappling with swings in exposure.</p>\n<p>While energy has long been a key part of the U.S. high-yield market, oil booms haven't always been great over the long run for bond investors who help finance the sector.</p>\n<p>\"History says it depends on what else is going on in the market,\" said Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors, particularly when oil prices rise and fall around times of economic crisis.</p>\n<p>Starting in the summer of 2007, oil prices quickly advanced over eight months from $70.68 on June 29 to $101.84 on Feb. 29, 2008. But when Fridson looked at how the energy component fared over that stretch, it outperformed the ICE BofA US High Yield Index, returning 3.88% compared to negative 3.32%.</p>\n<p>Then, in the more protracted recovery phase, oil went from $70.61 on Sept. 30, 2009, to $96.07 on Feb. 28, 2011, while energy underperformed the index, 23.57% to 26.38%.</p>\n<p>Amundi's Feltus also pointed out that companies \"got religion for like six to 12 months of discipline,\" after each recent oil bust. \"This time breaks the record. But we can't let up the pressure.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142744202","content_text":"If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n\nOil companies often find religion in the wake of a boom-and-bust cycle, including after last year when crude prices crashed into negative territory for the first time on record.\nBut with oil prices recently back near $70 a barrel, and some analysts speculating on the return to $100 during the COVID recovery, investors fear wildcatting and other risky financial behavior by energy companies will make a comeback.\n\"We lost a lot of our weakest companies,\" Andrew Feltus, co-director of high-yield at Amundi US, said of the ripple effects of oil futures going negative in April 2020 as demand collapsed with the first waves of COVID outbreaks and oil-producing giants Saudi Arabia and Russia waged an ugly price war.\n\"No one can exist in that type of situation for long,\" Feltus told MarketWatch. \"If you don't have enough money to survive, you are gone.\"\nCompany executives took those lessons for the U.S. energy complex to heart after pandemic shutdowns depressed oil demand and, for a period, led to higher borrowing costs in the sector. It also led to greater prudence.\nBut there's no telling how long the latest stretch of \"good\" energy company behavior -- actions preferred by their risk-wary lenders and investors -- will last. That's particularly true if prices shoot dramatically higher and breach $100 a barrel.\nAs Feltus said, \"$50 oil is the price we want. $70 is just gravy. With $100 oil, they will be dancing in the streets of Dallas.\"\nPrices for U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery were near $70.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Friday and headed for a weekly rise of about 1.7%.\nThis chart tracks the plunge and recovery of WTI since April 2020, with the red line highlighting the stretch in which prices stayed below $40 a barrel.\nKeeping up?\nPrices saw a boost Friday from the International Energy Agency, which said global oil demand would return to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by the end of next year.\nIEA also forecast demand to reach 100.6 million barrels a day by the end of 2022, while indicating that producers will need to boost output to keep up with demand.\nThe changing landscape for oil, including the increased focus by investors and the Biden administration on encouraging more environmentally sustainable practices, comes as a U.S. rig count has hovered at about half of pre-COVID levels, said Steve Repoff, portfolio manager at GW&K Investment.\nRead:Climate-change pressure builds on Big Oil after activist wins Exxon board seats, court ruling hits Shell\nBut that's not without its own set of concerns as vaccinations in the U.S. increase, demand for oil climbs and the economy opens more broadly, including over the summer. And the post-COVID travel season could turn costly for drivers.\n\"It seems these companies, for now, have demonstrated capital discipline, in a sector notorious for being unable to display capital discipline,\" Repoff told MarketWatch.\n\"But if we see demand of 100 million barrels a day return, that feels very ominous to me,\" he said, adding that it's unclear if U.S. producers will struggle to ramp up production.\n\"What if all the best shale, in aggregate, has been drilled already?\" Repoff said, while explaining how higher oil prices can be good for the oil industry, but also deflationary, even as the Federal Reserve expects the cost of living in America to overshoot its 2% inflation target for awhile during the recovery.\n\"When applied to the broader economy, it's effectively a tax on businesses and consumers, and at the systemwide level is ultimately deflationary,\" Repoff said of booming oil prices.\n$100 oil is a mixed blessing\nIt took no time for COVID shutdowns to rattle the booming U.S. high-yield bond market last year, with defaults quickly jumping to a 10-year high of almost 5% and helping prompt the Fed to launch its first program ever of buying up corporate debt.\nRecently, as the sector has recovered, including with yields on the overall ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index plunging near all-time lows of 4.1% , the Fed said it would sell its remaining corporate bond exposure.\nAs a result, the so-called \"junk-bond\" market ended up with its highest-quality mix of companies by credit rating in at least a decade, but perhaps even 20 to 30 years, according to Feltus at Amundi, even while energy remains the sector's biggest exposure at about 13% of its benchmark high-yield index. That compares with a roughly 3% slice for energy in the S&P 500 index, leaving investors in it grappling with swings in exposure.\nWhile energy has long been a key part of the U.S. high-yield market, oil booms haven't always been great over the long run for bond investors who help finance the sector.\n\"History says it depends on what else is going on in the market,\" said Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors, particularly when oil prices rise and fall around times of economic crisis.\nStarting in the summer of 2007, oil prices quickly advanced over eight months from $70.68 on June 29 to $101.84 on Feb. 29, 2008. But when Fridson looked at how the energy component fared over that stretch, it outperformed the ICE BofA US High Yield Index, returning 3.88% compared to negative 3.32%.\nThen, in the more protracted recovery phase, oil went from $70.61 on Sept. 30, 2009, to $96.07 on Feb. 28, 2011, while energy underperformed the index, 23.57% to 26.38%.\nAmundi's Feltus also pointed out that companies \"got religion for like six to 12 months of discipline,\" after each recent oil bust. \"This time breaks the record. But we can't let up the pressure.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188032563,"gmtCreate":1623415616353,"gmtModify":1704202991762,"author":{"id":"3577175327335018","authorId":"3577175327335018","name":"Frt178954","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577175327335018","authorIdStr":"3577175327335018"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes&nbsp;","listText":"Yes&nbsp;","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188032563","repostId":"1147816654","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188033021,"gmtCreate":1623415446163,"gmtModify":1704202985745,"author":{"id":"3577175327335018","authorId":"3577175327335018","name":"Frt178954","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577175327335018","authorIdStr":"3577175327335018"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188033021","repostId":"1147816654","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":186072354,"gmtCreate":1623467396378,"gmtModify":1704204452956,"author":{"id":"3577175327335018","authorId":"3577175327335018","name":"Frt178954","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577175327335018","authorIdStr":"3577175327335018"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186072354","repostId":"2142823202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142823202","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623453000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142823202?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 07:10","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Inflation scare? Look at this chart before freaking out","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142823202","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Breakdown of price rises not in line with enduring inflation surge, says UniCredit's Vernazza.\n\nInfl","content":"<blockquote>\n Breakdown of price rises not in line with enduring inflation surge, says UniCredit's Vernazza.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Inflation is on the rise in America, but if price pressures were likely to persist, contrary to the Federal Reserve's expectations, the data would be painting a different picture, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> economist argued Friday.</p>\n<p>In a note to clients, Daniel Vernazza, chief international economist at UniCredit Bank, highlighted the complicated but interesting chart below:</p>\n<p>The chart plots the change in prices (vertical axis) against the change in spending (horizontal axis) relative to pre-pandemic levels in February 2020, by industry. It uses the personal-consumption expenditures deflator instead of the consumer-price index because PCE is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation and to make better comparisons with spending data.</p>\n<p>It shows that most items have moved backward and forward along the horizontal axis, implying that prices have shown little sensitivity to changes in demand, Vernazza explained. And for service sectors hit particuarly hard by the pandemic, including airfares and accommodation, the reopening of the econony has led to only a partial recovery of prices, which are still not back to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p>It's a somewhat different story for car rentals, where acute supply shortages have caused prices to surge, while spending in the sector remains well below pre-pandemic levels because of limited supply. For used cars, the combination of a switch away from public transport by commuters and a global shortage of semiconductors for new cars has pushed up both demand and prices, he said..</p>\n<p>What's important to note, Vernazza said, is that since higher inflation is largely explained by the reopening of the economy and supply shortages, it's likely to prove temporary as the direct effects of the pandemic fade and supply adjusts to meet demand.</p>\n<p>But what would a more enduring inflation threat look like?</p>\n<p>In that case, most of the items would occupy the upper-right quadrant of the chart, reflecting what economists refer to as \"demand-pull inflation,\" Vernazza said. To date, \"this is clearly not the case,\" the economist wrote.</p>\n<p>While inflation jitters rattled financial markets as recently as last month, investor concerns have appeared to wane. Treasurys rallied Thursday, despite another hotter-than-expected consumer-price index reading , sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note below 1.45%.</p>\n<p>See:Treasury yields fall despite rising inflation -- here are some reasons why</p>\n<p>Higher inflation is typically seen as bad news for bonds, eroding the value of the interest payments delivered to holders. Stocks rallied Thursday, with the S&amp;P 500 edging to a record close on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average remains not far off its all-time high and rallying tech shares, which are more sensitive to interest rates, pushed the Nasdaq Composite higher.</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve holds a policy meeting next week. While Fed officials have largely stuck to their view that inflation pressures will prove \"transitory,\" several have also said it's time to begin thinking about when it would be appropriate to discuss pulling back on asset purchases at the center of its extraordinary monetary policy efforts to support the economy and heal the labor market.</p>\n<p>And some economists caution that signs of inflationary pressures in more cyclical segments of the economy are beginning to emerge.</p>\n<p>\"Both rent and owners' equivalent rent have staged a clear turnaround over recent months, and food-away-from-home prices surged by 0.6%,\" said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a note. \"It is no coincidence that rents and restaurant prices are rising more rapidly when wage growth is also accelerating.\"</p>\n<p>Pearce said a continued surge in job openings shows that worker shortages \"are real and intensifying.\"</p>\n<p>\"The recent strength of inflation and signs of labor shortages could prompt a handful of hawkish regional Fed presidents to bring forward their projections for rate increases and strengthen calls for tapering asset purchases sooner rather than later at next week's FOMC meeting,\" he wrote. \"But we suspect the majority on the committee will stick to the 'largely transitory' language and instead emphasize the yawning shortfall in employment from pre-pandemic levels.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation scare? Look at this chart before freaking out</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation scare? Look at this chart before freaking out\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-12 07:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n Breakdown of price rises not in line with enduring inflation surge, says UniCredit's Vernazza.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Inflation is on the rise in America, but if price pressures were likely to persist, contrary to the Federal Reserve's expectations, the data would be painting a different picture, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> economist argued Friday.</p>\n<p>In a note to clients, Daniel Vernazza, chief international economist at UniCredit Bank, highlighted the complicated but interesting chart below:</p>\n<p>The chart plots the change in prices (vertical axis) against the change in spending (horizontal axis) relative to pre-pandemic levels in February 2020, by industry. It uses the personal-consumption expenditures deflator instead of the consumer-price index because PCE is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation and to make better comparisons with spending data.</p>\n<p>It shows that most items have moved backward and forward along the horizontal axis, implying that prices have shown little sensitivity to changes in demand, Vernazza explained. And for service sectors hit particuarly hard by the pandemic, including airfares and accommodation, the reopening of the econony has led to only a partial recovery of prices, which are still not back to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p>It's a somewhat different story for car rentals, where acute supply shortages have caused prices to surge, while spending in the sector remains well below pre-pandemic levels because of limited supply. For used cars, the combination of a switch away from public transport by commuters and a global shortage of semiconductors for new cars has pushed up both demand and prices, he said..</p>\n<p>What's important to note, Vernazza said, is that since higher inflation is largely explained by the reopening of the economy and supply shortages, it's likely to prove temporary as the direct effects of the pandemic fade and supply adjusts to meet demand.</p>\n<p>But what would a more enduring inflation threat look like?</p>\n<p>In that case, most of the items would occupy the upper-right quadrant of the chart, reflecting what economists refer to as \"demand-pull inflation,\" Vernazza said. To date, \"this is clearly not the case,\" the economist wrote.</p>\n<p>While inflation jitters rattled financial markets as recently as last month, investor concerns have appeared to wane. Treasurys rallied Thursday, despite another hotter-than-expected consumer-price index reading , sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note below 1.45%.</p>\n<p>See:Treasury yields fall despite rising inflation -- here are some reasons why</p>\n<p>Higher inflation is typically seen as bad news for bonds, eroding the value of the interest payments delivered to holders. Stocks rallied Thursday, with the S&amp;P 500 edging to a record close on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average remains not far off its all-time high and rallying tech shares, which are more sensitive to interest rates, pushed the Nasdaq Composite higher.</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve holds a policy meeting next week. While Fed officials have largely stuck to their view that inflation pressures will prove \"transitory,\" several have also said it's time to begin thinking about when it would be appropriate to discuss pulling back on asset purchases at the center of its extraordinary monetary policy efforts to support the economy and heal the labor market.</p>\n<p>And some economists caution that signs of inflationary pressures in more cyclical segments of the economy are beginning to emerge.</p>\n<p>\"Both rent and owners' equivalent rent have staged a clear turnaround over recent months, and food-away-from-home prices surged by 0.6%,\" said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a note. \"It is no coincidence that rents and restaurant prices are rising more rapidly when wage growth is also accelerating.\"</p>\n<p>Pearce said a continued surge in job openings shows that worker shortages \"are real and intensifying.\"</p>\n<p>\"The recent strength of inflation and signs of labor shortages could prompt a handful of hawkish regional Fed presidents to bring forward their projections for rate increases and strengthen calls for tapering asset purchases sooner rather than later at next week's FOMC meeting,\" he wrote. \"But we suspect the majority on the committee will stick to the 'largely transitory' language and instead emphasize the yawning shortfall in employment from pre-pandemic levels.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142823202","content_text":"Breakdown of price rises not in line with enduring inflation surge, says UniCredit's Vernazza.\n\nInflation is on the rise in America, but if price pressures were likely to persist, contrary to the Federal Reserve's expectations, the data would be painting a different picture, one economist argued Friday.\nIn a note to clients, Daniel Vernazza, chief international economist at UniCredit Bank, highlighted the complicated but interesting chart below:\nThe chart plots the change in prices (vertical axis) against the change in spending (horizontal axis) relative to pre-pandemic levels in February 2020, by industry. It uses the personal-consumption expenditures deflator instead of the consumer-price index because PCE is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation and to make better comparisons with spending data.\nIt shows that most items have moved backward and forward along the horizontal axis, implying that prices have shown little sensitivity to changes in demand, Vernazza explained. And for service sectors hit particuarly hard by the pandemic, including airfares and accommodation, the reopening of the econony has led to only a partial recovery of prices, which are still not back to pre-pandemic levels.\nIt's a somewhat different story for car rentals, where acute supply shortages have caused prices to surge, while spending in the sector remains well below pre-pandemic levels because of limited supply. For used cars, the combination of a switch away from public transport by commuters and a global shortage of semiconductors for new cars has pushed up both demand and prices, he said..\nWhat's important to note, Vernazza said, is that since higher inflation is largely explained by the reopening of the economy and supply shortages, it's likely to prove temporary as the direct effects of the pandemic fade and supply adjusts to meet demand.\nBut what would a more enduring inflation threat look like?\nIn that case, most of the items would occupy the upper-right quadrant of the chart, reflecting what economists refer to as \"demand-pull inflation,\" Vernazza said. To date, \"this is clearly not the case,\" the economist wrote.\nWhile inflation jitters rattled financial markets as recently as last month, investor concerns have appeared to wane. Treasurys rallied Thursday, despite another hotter-than-expected consumer-price index reading , sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note below 1.45%.\nSee:Treasury yields fall despite rising inflation -- here are some reasons why\nHigher inflation is typically seen as bad news for bonds, eroding the value of the interest payments delivered to holders. Stocks rallied Thursday, with the S&P 500 edging to a record close on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average remains not far off its all-time high and rallying tech shares, which are more sensitive to interest rates, pushed the Nasdaq Composite higher.\nThe Federal Reserve holds a policy meeting next week. While Fed officials have largely stuck to their view that inflation pressures will prove \"transitory,\" several have also said it's time to begin thinking about when it would be appropriate to discuss pulling back on asset purchases at the center of its extraordinary monetary policy efforts to support the economy and heal the labor market.\nAnd some economists caution that signs of inflationary pressures in more cyclical segments of the economy are beginning to emerge.\n\"Both rent and owners' equivalent rent have staged a clear turnaround over recent months, and food-away-from-home prices surged by 0.6%,\" said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a note. \"It is no coincidence that rents and restaurant prices are rising more rapidly when wage growth is also accelerating.\"\nPearce said a continued surge in job openings shows that worker shortages \"are real and intensifying.\"\n\"The recent strength of inflation and signs of labor shortages could prompt a handful of hawkish regional Fed presidents to bring forward their projections for rate increases and strengthen calls for tapering asset purchases sooner rather than later at next week's FOMC meeting,\" he wrote. \"But we suspect the majority on the committee will stick to the 'largely transitory' language and instead emphasize the yawning shortfall in employment from pre-pandemic levels.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186073279,"gmtCreate":1623467235791,"gmtModify":1704204450033,"author":{"id":"3577175327335018","authorId":"3577175327335018","name":"Frt178954","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577175327335018","authorIdStr":"3577175327335018"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and share pls","listText":"Like and share pls","text":"Like and share pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186073279","repostId":"2142744202","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185574115,"gmtCreate":1623663724337,"gmtModify":1704208096594,"author":{"id":"3577175327335018","authorId":"3577175327335018","name":"Frt178954","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577175327335018","authorIdStr":"3577175327335018"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185574115","repostId":"1127089538","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127089538","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623654086,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127089538?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-14 15:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop: Don't Let Strong Performance Distract From Reality","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127089538","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGameStop has been on a wild ride over the past several months as speculators have sent shar","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>GameStop has been on a wild ride over the past several months as speculators have sent shares all over the place.</li>\n <li>Recent strong financial performance will likely exacerbate the situation for the time being.</li>\n <li>Investors should not allow this to distract them from the reality of how overpriced shares appear.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f38afe46a511c6467925dd0c230e9bd\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>tupungato/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Undoubtedly one of the most volatile stocks on the market this past year has been&nbsp;<b>GameStop</b>&nbsp;(GME). As the quintessential meme stock on the market, the video game retailer has taken investors and speculators alike on a wild ride. While I have&nbsp;maintained&nbsp;that the business is destined to see its share price decline significantly absent a material amount of dilution aimed at raising additional cash for the enterprise, there is no doubt that robust financial performance from quarter to quarter can help to buoy the business by energizing speculators.</p>\n<p>Though no one can predict what the future holds, particularly in the short term, for a company like GameStop, there is fundamental evidence that the picture for the firm, at least for now, is improving. This improved growth can be fueled by the multi-year adoption of new video game consoles but it would be unwise to consider this a permanent fixture for the business to benefit from. Continued pain on the software side is unlikely to ease up and a move away from physical discs will hasten the company's demise absent a major change taking place operationally.</p>\n<p><b>A robust improvement on the top line</b></p>\n<p>In the&nbsp;first quarter&nbsp;of its 2021 fiscal year, GameStop generated some exciting financial performance. Consider, for instance, its top line results. Revenue for the first quarter came out at $1.28 billion. This represents a sizable increase over the $1.02 billion the company generated in the first quarter of its 2020 fiscal year. It is always great to see improved performance, but it is important to put all of this in context. For starters, around the end of the first quarter last year, the company was experiencing store closures that impaired its ability to generate revenue. Now that the COVID-19 pandemic is winding down, this is no longer an issue and we should see some sort of rebound because of it. That said, there are other factors to take into consideration here.</p>\n<p>The first relates to hardware sales the company generated. For the first quarter, revenue for hardware came out to $703.5 million. That represents an increase of 37.1% over the $513.1 million the company generated the same quarter a year earlier. Though this is positive, investors would be unwise to assume that this kind of performance is indicative of strong health for the business. Management chalked most of this increase up to new video game consoles like the PlayStation 5 by&nbsp;<b>Sony</b>(NYSE:SONY)&nbsp;and the Xbox Series X/S consoles by&nbsp;<b>Microsoft</b>(MSFT). Continued strength from the previously released Nintendo Switch also aided the company during the quarter.</p>\n<p>It is imperative to discuss this because game consoles, particularly under the PlayStation and Xbox brand names, are not released every year. These devices take years to develop and when they are released you see a flurry of buying activity that would not be replicated in years where there is not a release. Already, the PlayStation 5 has proven a remarkable success,generating total retail sales&nbsp;of $3.8 billion because of 8.6 million units flying off the shelves.</p>\n<p>The Xbox brand has been less successful, with total sales of just $2.04 billion caused by 5.1 million units. This is not to say that revenue for a company like GameStop won't continue on for some time. Since its inception, Sony has&nbsp;sold&nbsp;nearly 115 million of its PlayStation 4 devices. Meanwhile, the Xbox One has moved nearly 50 million units, while the newer Switch&nbsp;already sold&nbsp;85 million. In addition, the PlayStation 4 actually saw more units sold in years three and four of its existence than it did in the first two years. So this does suggest that revenue on the hardware side could persist for some time. But it would not be wise to consider it a permanent feature to the company's value.</p>\n<p>Other areas where the company was strong involved the sale of collectibles. Revenue here came out to $175.4 million, up from $90.9 million seen the same time a year earlier. However, revenue on the software side truly suffered. It declined from $417 million in the first quarter of the company's 2020 fiscal year to $397.9 million in the first quarter this year. In the long run, I personally view the software side of the sales the true measure of the health of GameStop. This is especially true as more content purchased by video game enthusiasts becomes downloadable.</p>\n<p>Software sales include disc-based games, as well as e-commerce and other operations that GameStop engages in. While hardware sales will flow and ebb based on console releases, software sales determine the direction the company is heading long-term. And data there is truly discouraging. Not only did we see the year-over-year decrease in the latest quarter, we have seen software sales dropping for years. In 2020 the company generated just $1.98 billion in revenue from software. This compares to $3.01 billion seen in 2019. And it was in spite of the fact that e-commerce revenue for the business surged 190.8% for the year compared to what it was in 2019. As a note, back in 2017 the firm generated software sales of $4.36 billion.</p>\n<p>Part of this decline has been due to a reduction in store count for the firm. In 2019 the retailer ended the year with 5,509 stores. Today, that figure is already down to 4,698. And management is already saying they will reduce store count further. A&nbsp;bigger part of the issue, though, is a transition away from disc-based games and toward disc-less ones. In 2020, for instance, 40.6% of Nintendo's game sales were disc-less. This was up from just 28.6% a year earlier. Sony's Full Game Software sales went from being 43% digital in 2018 to 79% in the fourth quarter of its latest fiscal year. To make matters worse, both Sony and Microsoft have come out with disc-less options for their consoles that will only hasten the transition away from retailers like GameStop.</p>\n<p><b>Troubles remain on the bottom line</b></p>\n<p>As revenue increased, the firm's bottom line results improved. The firm went from generating a net loss of $165.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 to generating a net loss of $66.8 million in the first quarter this year. Operating cash outflows improved from $49.3 million to $18.8 million over the same period of time. Free cash flows went from a negative $55.9 million to a negative $33.5 million. And adjusted EBITDA improved from negative $75.5 million to negative $0.7 million.</p>\n<p>None of this should be surprising given the expansion in revenue the company generated. While the company did see its bottom line improve year-over-year, the continued deterioration in its software category will negatively affect margins in the long run. In&nbsp;2018, the last year for which gross profit data was broken down across product lines, the sum of digital and new video game software sales generated a gross profit margin of 26.4%. This compared to a new video game hardware profit margin of just 8.5%.</p>\n<p>All of this said, one really great positive for shareholders is that the company remains debt-free on a net basis. Total cash and cash equivalents on hand, including restricted cash, is $770.8 million. Meanwhile, debt is just $48.1 million. This does reduce the risk profile of the enterprise markedly.</p>\n<p>This significant achievement was due, in part, to the company's ability to issue 3.5 million shares in April this year, netting the firm $551.7 million. The company is also seeking to issue another 5 million shares, which at current pricing, would bring in around $1.51 billion on a gross basis. This will go a long way to helping the enterprise boost its fundamental value, but it is hard to imagine even that justifying the $21.75 billion the company is currently worth on the market today. Seeing a firm with negative performance all across the bottom line with such a high valuation and with limited, if any, long term growth, screams overvalued.</p>\n<p><b>Takeaway</b></p>\n<p>Right now, GameStop remains one of the most fascinating case studies on the market. Rampant speculation has pushed shares up to levels that cannot be justified fundamentally. Ultimately, I suspect that shares will fall unless management issues significantly more shares in a way that boosts the amount of cash the company has on hand. The moves being made right now do help to cushion any fall the firm should eventually experience, but when that fall happens is anybody's guess.</p>\n<p>Though not a permanent benefit to the business today, the financial performance generated in the first quarter this year could exacerbate the volatility and keep shares irrationally high. But when you consider that the real barometer of the business's health, software sales, has such significant headwinds and continues to suffer, the ultimate destination for the business, if it maintains the current course, looks scary.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop: Don't Let Strong Performance Distract From Reality</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop: Don't Let Strong Performance Distract From Reality\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-14 15:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434452-gamestop-dont-let-strong-performance-distract-from-reality><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nGameStop has been on a wild ride over the past several months as speculators have sent shares all over the place.\nRecent strong financial performance will likely exacerbate the situation for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434452-gamestop-dont-let-strong-performance-distract-from-reality\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434452-gamestop-dont-let-strong-performance-distract-from-reality","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127089538","content_text":"Summary\n\nGameStop has been on a wild ride over the past several months as speculators have sent shares all over the place.\nRecent strong financial performance will likely exacerbate the situation for the time being.\nInvestors should not allow this to distract them from the reality of how overpriced shares appear.\n\ntupungato/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nUndoubtedly one of the most volatile stocks on the market this past year has been GameStop (GME). As the quintessential meme stock on the market, the video game retailer has taken investors and speculators alike on a wild ride. While I have maintained that the business is destined to see its share price decline significantly absent a material amount of dilution aimed at raising additional cash for the enterprise, there is no doubt that robust financial performance from quarter to quarter can help to buoy the business by energizing speculators.\nThough no one can predict what the future holds, particularly in the short term, for a company like GameStop, there is fundamental evidence that the picture for the firm, at least for now, is improving. This improved growth can be fueled by the multi-year adoption of new video game consoles but it would be unwise to consider this a permanent fixture for the business to benefit from. Continued pain on the software side is unlikely to ease up and a move away from physical discs will hasten the company's demise absent a major change taking place operationally.\nA robust improvement on the top line\nIn the first quarter of its 2021 fiscal year, GameStop generated some exciting financial performance. Consider, for instance, its top line results. Revenue for the first quarter came out at $1.28 billion. This represents a sizable increase over the $1.02 billion the company generated in the first quarter of its 2020 fiscal year. It is always great to see improved performance, but it is important to put all of this in context. For starters, around the end of the first quarter last year, the company was experiencing store closures that impaired its ability to generate revenue. Now that the COVID-19 pandemic is winding down, this is no longer an issue and we should see some sort of rebound because of it. That said, there are other factors to take into consideration here.\nThe first relates to hardware sales the company generated. For the first quarter, revenue for hardware came out to $703.5 million. That represents an increase of 37.1% over the $513.1 million the company generated the same quarter a year earlier. Though this is positive, investors would be unwise to assume that this kind of performance is indicative of strong health for the business. Management chalked most of this increase up to new video game consoles like the PlayStation 5 by Sony(NYSE:SONY) and the Xbox Series X/S consoles by Microsoft(MSFT). Continued strength from the previously released Nintendo Switch also aided the company during the quarter.\nIt is imperative to discuss this because game consoles, particularly under the PlayStation and Xbox brand names, are not released every year. These devices take years to develop and when they are released you see a flurry of buying activity that would not be replicated in years where there is not a release. Already, the PlayStation 5 has proven a remarkable success,generating total retail sales of $3.8 billion because of 8.6 million units flying off the shelves.\nThe Xbox brand has been less successful, with total sales of just $2.04 billion caused by 5.1 million units. This is not to say that revenue for a company like GameStop won't continue on for some time. Since its inception, Sony has sold nearly 115 million of its PlayStation 4 devices. Meanwhile, the Xbox One has moved nearly 50 million units, while the newer Switch already sold 85 million. In addition, the PlayStation 4 actually saw more units sold in years three and four of its existence than it did in the first two years. So this does suggest that revenue on the hardware side could persist for some time. But it would not be wise to consider it a permanent feature to the company's value.\nOther areas where the company was strong involved the sale of collectibles. Revenue here came out to $175.4 million, up from $90.9 million seen the same time a year earlier. However, revenue on the software side truly suffered. It declined from $417 million in the first quarter of the company's 2020 fiscal year to $397.9 million in the first quarter this year. In the long run, I personally view the software side of the sales the true measure of the health of GameStop. This is especially true as more content purchased by video game enthusiasts becomes downloadable.\nSoftware sales include disc-based games, as well as e-commerce and other operations that GameStop engages in. While hardware sales will flow and ebb based on console releases, software sales determine the direction the company is heading long-term. And data there is truly discouraging. Not only did we see the year-over-year decrease in the latest quarter, we have seen software sales dropping for years. In 2020 the company generated just $1.98 billion in revenue from software. This compares to $3.01 billion seen in 2019. And it was in spite of the fact that e-commerce revenue for the business surged 190.8% for the year compared to what it was in 2019. As a note, back in 2017 the firm generated software sales of $4.36 billion.\nPart of this decline has been due to a reduction in store count for the firm. In 2019 the retailer ended the year with 5,509 stores. Today, that figure is already down to 4,698. And management is already saying they will reduce store count further. A bigger part of the issue, though, is a transition away from disc-based games and toward disc-less ones. In 2020, for instance, 40.6% of Nintendo's game sales were disc-less. This was up from just 28.6% a year earlier. Sony's Full Game Software sales went from being 43% digital in 2018 to 79% in the fourth quarter of its latest fiscal year. To make matters worse, both Sony and Microsoft have come out with disc-less options for their consoles that will only hasten the transition away from retailers like GameStop.\nTroubles remain on the bottom line\nAs revenue increased, the firm's bottom line results improved. The firm went from generating a net loss of $165.7 million in the first quarter of 2020 to generating a net loss of $66.8 million in the first quarter this year. Operating cash outflows improved from $49.3 million to $18.8 million over the same period of time. Free cash flows went from a negative $55.9 million to a negative $33.5 million. And adjusted EBITDA improved from negative $75.5 million to negative $0.7 million.\nNone of this should be surprising given the expansion in revenue the company generated. While the company did see its bottom line improve year-over-year, the continued deterioration in its software category will negatively affect margins in the long run. In 2018, the last year for which gross profit data was broken down across product lines, the sum of digital and new video game software sales generated a gross profit margin of 26.4%. This compared to a new video game hardware profit margin of just 8.5%.\nAll of this said, one really great positive for shareholders is that the company remains debt-free on a net basis. Total cash and cash equivalents on hand, including restricted cash, is $770.8 million. Meanwhile, debt is just $48.1 million. This does reduce the risk profile of the enterprise markedly.\nThis significant achievement was due, in part, to the company's ability to issue 3.5 million shares in April this year, netting the firm $551.7 million. The company is also seeking to issue another 5 million shares, which at current pricing, would bring in around $1.51 billion on a gross basis. This will go a long way to helping the enterprise boost its fundamental value, but it is hard to imagine even that justifying the $21.75 billion the company is currently worth on the market today. Seeing a firm with negative performance all across the bottom line with such a high valuation and with limited, if any, long term growth, screams overvalued.\nTakeaway\nRight now, GameStop remains one of the most fascinating case studies on the market. Rampant speculation has pushed shares up to levels that cannot be justified fundamentally. Ultimately, I suspect that shares will fall unless management issues significantly more shares in a way that boosts the amount of cash the company has on hand. The moves being made right now do help to cushion any fall the firm should eventually experience, but when that fall happens is anybody's guess.\nThough not a permanent benefit to the business today, the financial performance generated in the first quarter this year could exacerbate the volatility and keep shares irrationally high. But when you consider that the real barometer of the business's health, software sales, has such significant headwinds and continues to suffer, the ultimate destination for the business, if it maintains the current course, looks scary.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186900843,"gmtCreate":1623467551082,"gmtModify":1704204458465,"author":{"id":"3577175327335018","authorId":"3577175327335018","name":"Frt178954","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577175327335018","authorIdStr":"3577175327335018"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice read","listText":"Nice read","text":"Nice read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186900843","repostId":"2142920910","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142920910","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623426000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142920910?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 23:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Invesco Fires Next Shot in Fee War With Funds Charging Nothing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142920910","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- The ETF industry’s long-running fee war is about to get even more intense thanks to o","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- The ETF industry’s long-running fee war is about to get even more intense thanks to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of its largest asset managers.</p>\n<p>Invesco Ltd. launched two new funds Friday with advisory costs waived until Dec. 17, according to a press release from the firm. The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBBQ\">Invesco Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF</a> (IBBQ) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXQ\">Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF</a> (SOXQ) will effectively cost nothing during that time, after which each will carry an expense ratio of 19 basis points.</p>\n<p>Issuers across the $6.4 trillion ETF industry have been battling to have the lowest cost offerings for years in a bid to capture assets as the total number of funds surpasses 2,400. Earlier this year, State Street Global Advisors slashed fees on its two of its bond ETFs a day after BlackRock Inc. made a similar move.</p>\n<p>Still, a zero expense ratio -- even for a limited period of time -- is relatively uncommon. BNY Mellon Investment Management released the first zero-fee bond fund last year as well as another zero-fee product tracking big American companies. But so far no other large asset managers have made comparable moves.</p>\n<p>The IBBQ fund will provide exposure to about 270 innovative biotechnology companies, including some that helped with Covid-19 vaccines and treatments. Meanwhile, SOXQ will include 30 of the largest names in the semiconductor industry.</p>\n<p>Invesco has about $343 billion in ETF assets, comprising roughly 5.5% of the total U.S. market, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efa5e05819ed9722d6131c36b728bf52\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"790\"></p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Invesco Fires Next Shot in Fee War With Funds Charging Nothing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvesco Fires Next Shot in Fee War With Funds Charging Nothing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 23:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/invesco-fires-next-shot-fee-130000971.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- The ETF industry’s long-running fee war is about to get even more intense thanks to one of its largest asset managers.\nInvesco Ltd. launched two new funds Friday with advisory costs ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/invesco-fires-next-shot-fee-130000971.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IVZ":"美国景顺集团"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/invesco-fires-next-shot-fee-130000971.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2142920910","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- The ETF industry’s long-running fee war is about to get even more intense thanks to one of its largest asset managers.\nInvesco Ltd. launched two new funds Friday with advisory costs waived until Dec. 17, according to a press release from the firm. The Invesco Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBBQ) and Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXQ) will effectively cost nothing during that time, after which each will carry an expense ratio of 19 basis points.\nIssuers across the $6.4 trillion ETF industry have been battling to have the lowest cost offerings for years in a bid to capture assets as the total number of funds surpasses 2,400. Earlier this year, State Street Global Advisors slashed fees on its two of its bond ETFs a day after BlackRock Inc. made a similar move.\nStill, a zero expense ratio -- even for a limited period of time -- is relatively uncommon. BNY Mellon Investment Management released the first zero-fee bond fund last year as well as another zero-fee product tracking big American companies. But so far no other large asset managers have made comparable moves.\nThe IBBQ fund will provide exposure to about 270 innovative biotechnology companies, including some that helped with Covid-19 vaccines and treatments. Meanwhile, SOXQ will include 30 of the largest names in the semiconductor industry.\nInvesco has about $343 billion in ETF assets, comprising roughly 5.5% of the total U.S. market, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188032563,"gmtCreate":1623415616353,"gmtModify":1704202991762,"author":{"id":"3577175327335018","authorId":"3577175327335018","name":"Frt178954","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577175327335018","authorIdStr":"3577175327335018"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes&nbsp;","listText":"Yes&nbsp;","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188032563","repostId":"1147816654","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188033021,"gmtCreate":1623415446163,"gmtModify":1704202985745,"author":{"id":"3577175327335018","authorId":"3577175327335018","name":"Frt178954","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577175327335018","authorIdStr":"3577175327335018"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188033021","repostId":"1147816654","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147816654","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623411742,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147816654?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 19:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147816654","media":"The Street","summary":"In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The Reddit army is back in full force!</p>\n<p>Meme stocks, driven by members of the WallStreetBets forum on the site looking to short squeeze big hedge funds, first came to prominence in a major way back at the beginning of 2021. GameStop (GME) was the first stock of choice, which saw its stock price rise from around $18 a share on New Year's Day to nearly $500 at its peak. It was soon joined by names, such as AMC Entertainment (AMC), Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY), Express (EXPR) and BlackBerry (BB). After a brief hiatus, the group is back with AMC as their stock of choice.</p>\n<p>One stock that this group went after wasn't even a stock at all. It was the<b>iShares Silver Trust (SLV)</b>. It started with, not surprisingly, aReddit postwhere one trader argued that precious metals prices have been manipulated by the big banks for years and could be an ideal target for the next big squeeze.</p>\n<p>So they tried it and they were successful.......for a day.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f1d77c395486d36223fb07516c1b28c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"308\">Silver prices (and the price of SLV) popped by about 10% on the news that the WallStreetBets crowd was going to go after it, but the rally was short-lived. The share price was back down to where it was before the spike the next day and it still hasn't come near its previous heights again.</p>\n<p>It turns out that moving a stock, such as AMC, and moving the price of silver are two entirely different things. While many people picture jewelry and silverware when they think of silver, in reality, the major of its demand comes from heavy industry.</p>\n<p>It's used in the production of solar panels, electrical components, fuses, automobiles and industrial adhesives. Silverdemandin 2020 for industrial fabrication purposes was more than triple that of the jewelry market, more than double that for silver bars &amp; coins and more than 15 times that of silverware.</p>\n<p>With that much constant global demand for silver, which is only expected to continue growing, it's incredibly difficult to whipsaw its price around to any significant degree (especially up to the $1,000 per ounce price target that Reddit was calling for). I'm honestly a little surprised that it was able to generate a one-day 10% gain just on meme stock speculation alone.</p>\n<p>Stocks, such as AMC and GameStop, are small enough (they may not technically be considered \"small\" any more) that with enough trading volume they can be pushed pretty significantly in a fairly short amount of time. Plus, the stocks that the Reddit traders were targeting already had high short interest, meaning that any large buying activity was probably exacerbated by people short covering in order to stop the bleeding.</p>\n<p>That's going to be difficult to pull off for silver. My guess is that the WallStreetBets group never takes a swing at silver again. It seems content to find new targets, such as Clover (CLOV), to try to push to the moon.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 19:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.\n\nThe Reddit army is back in full force!\nMeme stocks, driven by members of the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147816654","content_text":"In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.\n\nThe Reddit army is back in full force!\nMeme stocks, driven by members of the WallStreetBets forum on the site looking to short squeeze big hedge funds, first came to prominence in a major way back at the beginning of 2021. GameStop (GME) was the first stock of choice, which saw its stock price rise from around $18 a share on New Year's Day to nearly $500 at its peak. It was soon joined by names, such as AMC Entertainment (AMC), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), Express (EXPR) and BlackBerry (BB). After a brief hiatus, the group is back with AMC as their stock of choice.\nOne stock that this group went after wasn't even a stock at all. It was theiShares Silver Trust (SLV). It started with, not surprisingly, aReddit postwhere one trader argued that precious metals prices have been manipulated by the big banks for years and could be an ideal target for the next big squeeze.\nSo they tried it and they were successful.......for a day.\nSilver prices (and the price of SLV) popped by about 10% on the news that the WallStreetBets crowd was going to go after it, but the rally was short-lived. The share price was back down to where it was before the spike the next day and it still hasn't come near its previous heights again.\nIt turns out that moving a stock, such as AMC, and moving the price of silver are two entirely different things. While many people picture jewelry and silverware when they think of silver, in reality, the major of its demand comes from heavy industry.\nIt's used in the production of solar panels, electrical components, fuses, automobiles and industrial adhesives. Silverdemandin 2020 for industrial fabrication purposes was more than triple that of the jewelry market, more than double that for silver bars & coins and more than 15 times that of silverware.\nWith that much constant global demand for silver, which is only expected to continue growing, it's incredibly difficult to whipsaw its price around to any significant degree (especially up to the $1,000 per ounce price target that Reddit was calling for). I'm honestly a little surprised that it was able to generate a one-day 10% gain just on meme stock speculation alone.\nStocks, such as AMC and GameStop, are small enough (they may not technically be considered \"small\" any more) that with enough trading volume they can be pushed pretty significantly in a fairly short amount of time. Plus, the stocks that the Reddit traders were targeting already had high short interest, meaning that any large buying activity was probably exacerbated by people short covering in order to stop the bleeding.\nThat's going to be difficult to pull off for silver. My guess is that the WallStreetBets group never takes a swing at silver again. It seems content to find new targets, such as Clover (CLOV), to try to push to the moon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}