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redlobster63
2021-04-07
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redlobster63
2021-04-07
Shiok
Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time
redlobster63
2021-03-12
Hehehe
As the Financial Services Industry Goes Digital, Thematic Investing Trends Come to the Fore
redlobster63
2021-03-04
Hehe
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redlobster63
2021-03-02
Hehe
Exclusive: India woos Tesla with offer of cheaper production costs than China
redlobster63
2021-03-02
Nice
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redlobster63
2021-03-01
Hehe
7 Stocks To Watch For March 1, 2021
redlobster63
2021-02-27
Well
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redlobster63
2021-02-27
Hehe
Trading tax hike won’t harm competitiveness of Hong Kong’s stock market, says financial secretary
redlobster63
2021-02-25
Good
Wall Street Is Obsessed With an Apple Car. Why Tech Analysts Might Be Too Excited.
redlobster63
2021-02-24
Ooo
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redlobster63
2021-02-24
Nice
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redlobster63
2021-02-24
Good
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During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management. Its reach and operating practices were","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p>\n<p>In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p>\n<p>Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p>\n<p>The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p>\n<p>A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p>\n<p><b>Unregulated money managers</b></p>\n<p>Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p>\n<p>This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p>\n<p>The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.</p>\n<p>But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p>\n<p><b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p>\n<p>This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p>\n<p>So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p>\n<p>One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p>\n<p>But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p>\n<p><b>Yellen on the case</b></p>\n<p>This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p>\n<p>Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p>\n<p>The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-06 09:30 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101907559","content_text":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.\nIn 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.\nExactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.\nThe trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?\nA family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.\nUnregulated money managers\nHere’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)\nThis appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.\nThe problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.\nBut since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.\nDanger of counterparty risk\nThis is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.\nSo is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.\nOne peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.\nBut federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.\nYellen on the case\nThis issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”\nMost financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.\nThe Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":328873100,"gmtCreate":1615515538200,"gmtModify":1704783947311,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577233785012287","authorIdStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehehe","listText":"Hehehe","text":"Hehehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/328873100","repostId":"1112019535","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112019535","pubTimestamp":1615513797,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1112019535?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-12 09:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"As the Financial Services Industry Goes Digital, Thematic Investing Trends Come to the Fore","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112019535","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"At a recent virtual event hosted by Nasdaq, ETF industry experts discussed how firms are embracing t","content":"<p>At a recent virtual event hosted by Nasdaq, ETF industry experts discussed how firms are embracing the digital revolution accelerated by the coronavirus pandemic, adopting new technologies and leveraging market data in new ways to connect with clients. The panel also highlighted the rise of thematic investing, including several themes that have come to the fore, such as cybersecurity, biotech and environmental, social and governance (ESG), but emphasized that investor education remains critical to healthy markets.</p>\n<p>“The global investment community has pivoted to a digital world during the pandemic,”Lauren Dillard, Head of Investment Intelligence at Nasdaq, said during Nasdaq’s recent Virtual Cabana Poolside Chat. “Since much of the workforce transitioned to a remote environment, everything from investment strategies to investor engagement was impacted. Client engagement needs to be meaningful, and insights have to be actionable and consumable to deliver on investment thesis.”</p>\n<p>During the virtual event, a panel comprised of Dillard, John Molesphini, Global Head of Insights ateVestment, a Nasdaq platform, and Dave Nadig, CIO and Director of Research at ETF Trends, and moderated by Tom Lydon, CEO ofETF Trends, discussed how the financial services industry is embracing digitalization while recognizing the need for humanization to establish meaningful partnerships.</p>\n<p>“It’s the firms relying on all the data in this digital world, but still managing to have the client connection, that are going to be best suited to take advantage of what’s to come and what we’ve experienced in the last 12 months,” said Molesphini. “It’s having an internal infrastructure in place to take advantage of the data when it’s available and having the distribution network. This will allow you to communicate more effectively with clients or adjust distribution network based on some of the trends you see.”</p>\n<p>As many firms rapidly accelerated their digitalization efforts amid the pandemic, several investment themes also benefitted, notably cyber, cloud and biotech, Dillard argued. She also highlighted the rise in energy transition, the growing need to strengthen domestic infrastructure and the performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index.</p>\n<p>“The Nasdaq-100 companies represent the modern industrial way we are all living,” said Dillard. “We are seeing demand around the globe, further heightened during the pandemic. In 2020, over $23 billion of net inflows into NDX ETF products, highlighting the strength of Nasdaq-100 companies.”</p>\n<p>Beyond these themes, Dillard and the other panelists spoke about the emergence of ESG in mainstream investment strategies.</p>\n<p>“The industry come to recognize the fundamental differences between environmental, social, and governance criteria. They fit in portfolios in very different ways and give investors different exposure,” Dillard said. “But we finally see an understanding that ESG doesn’t just mean clean energy; it also doesn’t just mean gender diversity. The level of sophistication among the investing community around ESG has accelerated.”</p>\n<p>Because ESG is top of mind for many investors, Molesphini emphasized that when talking to clients and prospects, “you’re not just pitching them a product, you’re pitching them your firm.”</p>\n<p>“We found that the best way to have an effective discussion on ESG is to approach the topic with an outcome oriented thinking,” Dillard added. “What are you trying to achieve, and what are your clients asking you around whether it’s E or it’s S, or it’s G.”</p>\n<p>Molesphini also stressed the importance of communicating and engaging with clients, especially in a rapidly changing market environment, not only regarding ESG but also with new products and market conditions.</p>\n<p>“We had market volatility and market trends that were taking place before the virus—low-interest rates and people looking to diversify, looking at alternative asset classes, looking at more thematic investing,” said Molesphini. “You can see that with some of our ETF providers bringing more product into the market. Then, on top of the investment themes going on, you have the virus, [and you have to] engage with the clients and educate them on what’s going on, but also keep them comfortable in this environment.”</p>\n<p>ETF Trends’ Nadig reflected upon his recent experiences with financial advisors, noting that they “talk about wanting to have fewer, better relationships,” and many have adopted new technologies.</p>\n<p>“Most [advisors] report that their relationships with their clients have gotten better through all of this. They’ve had more frequent contact, more meaningful contact,” said Nadig.</p>\n<p>“I would argue that to some degree there’s a humanization element that has happened as a result of this, which can deepen partnerships. I definitely believe that the idea of those fewer, deeper partnerships has resonated,” noted Dillard.</p>\n<p>“Portfolios are getting really complex,” Dillard said. “All of that ties back to more education and working with the right partners. It also means to listen to our clients and understand what investors they are trying to target because I can promise you the one that wants fixed income type products is probably not the same as the one that wants a crypto product.”</p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>As the Financial Services Industry Goes Digital, Thematic Investing Trends Come to the Fore</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAs the Financial Services Industry Goes Digital, Thematic Investing Trends Come to the Fore\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-12 09:49 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/as-the-financial-services-industry-goes-digital-thematic-investing-trends-come-to-the-fore><strong>Nasdaq</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>At a recent virtual event hosted by Nasdaq, ETF industry experts discussed how firms are embracing the digital revolution accelerated by the coronavirus pandemic, adopting new technologies and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/as-the-financial-services-industry-goes-digital-thematic-investing-trends-come-to-the-fore\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/as-the-financial-services-industry-goes-digital-thematic-investing-trends-come-to-the-fore","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112019535","content_text":"At a recent virtual event hosted by Nasdaq, ETF industry experts discussed how firms are embracing the digital revolution accelerated by the coronavirus pandemic, adopting new technologies and leveraging market data in new ways to connect with clients. The panel also highlighted the rise of thematic investing, including several themes that have come to the fore, such as cybersecurity, biotech and environmental, social and governance (ESG), but emphasized that investor education remains critical to healthy markets.\n“The global investment community has pivoted to a digital world during the pandemic,”Lauren Dillard, Head of Investment Intelligence at Nasdaq, said during Nasdaq’s recent Virtual Cabana Poolside Chat. “Since much of the workforce transitioned to a remote environment, everything from investment strategies to investor engagement was impacted. Client engagement needs to be meaningful, and insights have to be actionable and consumable to deliver on investment thesis.”\nDuring the virtual event, a panel comprised of Dillard, John Molesphini, Global Head of Insights ateVestment, a Nasdaq platform, and Dave Nadig, CIO and Director of Research at ETF Trends, and moderated by Tom Lydon, CEO ofETF Trends, discussed how the financial services industry is embracing digitalization while recognizing the need for humanization to establish meaningful partnerships.\n“It’s the firms relying on all the data in this digital world, but still managing to have the client connection, that are going to be best suited to take advantage of what’s to come and what we’ve experienced in the last 12 months,” said Molesphini. “It’s having an internal infrastructure in place to take advantage of the data when it’s available and having the distribution network. This will allow you to communicate more effectively with clients or adjust distribution network based on some of the trends you see.”\nAs many firms rapidly accelerated their digitalization efforts amid the pandemic, several investment themes also benefitted, notably cyber, cloud and biotech, Dillard argued. She also highlighted the rise in energy transition, the growing need to strengthen domestic infrastructure and the performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index.\n“The Nasdaq-100 companies represent the modern industrial way we are all living,” said Dillard. “We are seeing demand around the globe, further heightened during the pandemic. In 2020, over $23 billion of net inflows into NDX ETF products, highlighting the strength of Nasdaq-100 companies.”\nBeyond these themes, Dillard and the other panelists spoke about the emergence of ESG in mainstream investment strategies.\n“The industry come to recognize the fundamental differences between environmental, social, and governance criteria. They fit in portfolios in very different ways and give investors different exposure,” Dillard said. “But we finally see an understanding that ESG doesn’t just mean clean energy; it also doesn’t just mean gender diversity. The level of sophistication among the investing community around ESG has accelerated.”\nBecause ESG is top of mind for many investors, Molesphini emphasized that when talking to clients and prospects, “you’re not just pitching them a product, you’re pitching them your firm.”\n“We found that the best way to have an effective discussion on ESG is to approach the topic with an outcome oriented thinking,” Dillard added. “What are you trying to achieve, and what are your clients asking you around whether it’s E or it’s S, or it’s G.”\nMolesphini also stressed the importance of communicating and engaging with clients, especially in a rapidly changing market environment, not only regarding ESG but also with new products and market conditions.\n“We had market volatility and market trends that were taking place before the virus—low-interest rates and people looking to diversify, looking at alternative asset classes, looking at more thematic investing,” said Molesphini. “You can see that with some of our ETF providers bringing more product into the market. Then, on top of the investment themes going on, you have the virus, [and you have to] engage with the clients and educate them on what’s going on, but also keep them comfortable in this environment.”\nETF Trends’ Nadig reflected upon his recent experiences with financial advisors, noting that they “talk about wanting to have fewer, better relationships,” and many have adopted new technologies.\n“Most [advisors] report that their relationships with their clients have gotten better through all of this. They’ve had more frequent contact, more meaningful contact,” said Nadig.\n“I would argue that to some degree there’s a humanization element that has happened as a result of this, which can deepen partnerships. I definitely believe that the idea of those fewer, deeper partnerships has resonated,” noted Dillard.\n“Portfolios are getting really complex,” Dillard said. “All of that ties back to more education and working with the right partners. It also means to listen to our clients and understand what investors they are trying to target because I can promise you the one that wants fixed income type products is probably not the same as the one that wants a crypto product.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364533300,"gmtCreate":1614862926400,"gmtModify":1704776179745,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577233785012287","authorIdStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehe","listText":"Hehe","text":"Hehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/364533300","repostId":"1119441964","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365961218,"gmtCreate":1614690400934,"gmtModify":1704774063227,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577233785012287","authorIdStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehe","listText":"Hehe","text":"Hehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365961218","repostId":"2116596110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2116596110","pubTimestamp":1614687540,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2116596110?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-02 20:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Exclusive: India woos Tesla with offer of cheaper production costs than China","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2116596110","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India is ready to offer incentives to ensure Tesla Inc's cost of production wo","content":"<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97e343aab4f8b793cb5301655876882e\" tg-width=\"200\" tg-height=\"131\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India is ready to offer incentives to ensure Tesla Inc's cost of production would be less than in China if the carmaker commits to making its electric vehicles in the south Asian country, transport minister Nitin Gadkari told Reuters.</p>\n<p>Gadkari's pitch comes weeks after billionaire Elon Musk's Tesla registered a company in India in a step towards entering the country, possibly as soon as mid-2021. Sources familiar with the matter have said Tesla plans to start by importing and selling its Model 3 electric sedan in India.</p>\n<p>\"Rather than assembling (the cars) in India they should make the entire product in the country by hiring local vendors. Then we can give higher concessions,\" Gadkari said in an interview, without giving details of what incentives would be on offer.</p>\n<p>\"The government will make sure the production cost for Tesla will be the lowest when compared with the world, even China, when they start manufacturing their cars in India. We will assure that,\" he said.</p>\n<p>India wants to boost local manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs), batteries and other components to cut costly imports and curb pollution in its major cities.</p>\n<p>This comes amid a global race by carmakers to jump-start EV production as countries work towards cutting carbon emissions.</p>\n<p>But India faces a big challenge to win a production commitment from Tesla, which did not immediately respond to an email requesting comment about its plans in the country.</p>\n<p>India's fledgling EV market accounted for just 5,000 out of a total 2.4 million cars sold in the country last year as negligible charging infrastructure and the high cost of EVs deterred buyers.</p>\n<p>In contrast, China, where Tesla already makes cars, sold 1.25 million new energy passenger vehicles, including EVs, in 2020 out of total sales of 20 million, and accounted for more than a third of Tesla's global sales.</p>\n<p>India also doesn't have a comprehensive EV policy like China, the world's biggest auto market, which mandates companies to invest in the sector.</p>\n<p>Gadkari said that as well as being a big market, India could be an export hub, especially with about 80% of components for lithium-ion batteries being made locally now.</p>\n<p>\"I think it's a win-win situation for Tesla,\" Gadkari said, adding he also wanted to engage with Tesla about building an ultra high-speed hyperloop between Delhi and Mumbai.</p>\n<p>India is drawing up a production-linked incentive scheme for auto and auto component makers as well as for setting up advanced battery manufacturing units, but the details are yet to be finalised.</p>\n<p>Switching to cleaner sources of energy and reducing vehicle pollution are seen as essential for India to meet its Paris Accord climate commitments.</p>\n<p>India last year introduced tougher emission rules for carmakers to bring them up to international standards. It is now looking at tightening fuel efficiency rules from April 2022, which industry executives say may compel some automakers to add electric or hybrid vehicles to their portfolios.</p>\n<p>Battered by the COVID-19 pandemic, the industry says it needs longer to make the transition.</p>\n<p>Gadkari said he was not directly responsible for making the decision on whether to delay, but was confident India would meet its Paris treaty commitments without disrupting economic growth.</p>\n<p>\"Development and environment will go hand in hand. We will take some time but we will soon reach the international standard norms,\" he said.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Aftab Ahmed and Aditi Shah. Editing by Mark Potter)</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Exclusive: India woos Tesla with offer of cheaper production costs than China</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nExclusive: India woos Tesla with offer of cheaper production costs than China\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-02 20:19 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18061909><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India is ready to offer incentives to ensure Tesla Inc's cost of production would be less than in China if the carmaker commits to making its electric vehicles in the south Asian...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18061909\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97e343aab4f8b793cb5301655876882e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18061909","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2116596110","content_text":"NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India is ready to offer incentives to ensure Tesla Inc's cost of production would be less than in China if the carmaker commits to making its electric vehicles in the south Asian country, transport minister Nitin Gadkari told Reuters.\nGadkari's pitch comes weeks after billionaire Elon Musk's Tesla registered a company in India in a step towards entering the country, possibly as soon as mid-2021. Sources familiar with the matter have said Tesla plans to start by importing and selling its Model 3 electric sedan in India.\n\"Rather than assembling (the cars) in India they should make the entire product in the country by hiring local vendors. Then we can give higher concessions,\" Gadkari said in an interview, without giving details of what incentives would be on offer.\n\"The government will make sure the production cost for Tesla will be the lowest when compared with the world, even China, when they start manufacturing their cars in India. We will assure that,\" he said.\nIndia wants to boost local manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs), batteries and other components to cut costly imports and curb pollution in its major cities.\nThis comes amid a global race by carmakers to jump-start EV production as countries work towards cutting carbon emissions.\nBut India faces a big challenge to win a production commitment from Tesla, which did not immediately respond to an email requesting comment about its plans in the country.\nIndia's fledgling EV market accounted for just 5,000 out of a total 2.4 million cars sold in the country last year as negligible charging infrastructure and the high cost of EVs deterred buyers.\nIn contrast, China, where Tesla already makes cars, sold 1.25 million new energy passenger vehicles, including EVs, in 2020 out of total sales of 20 million, and accounted for more than a third of Tesla's global sales.\nIndia also doesn't have a comprehensive EV policy like China, the world's biggest auto market, which mandates companies to invest in the sector.\nGadkari said that as well as being a big market, India could be an export hub, especially with about 80% of components for lithium-ion batteries being made locally now.\n\"I think it's a win-win situation for Tesla,\" Gadkari said, adding he also wanted to engage with Tesla about building an ultra high-speed hyperloop between Delhi and Mumbai.\nIndia is drawing up a production-linked incentive scheme for auto and auto component makers as well as for setting up advanced battery manufacturing units, but the details are yet to be finalised.\nSwitching to cleaner sources of energy and reducing vehicle pollution are seen as essential for India to meet its Paris Accord climate commitments.\nIndia last year introduced tougher emission rules for carmakers to bring them up to international standards. It is now looking at tightening fuel efficiency rules from April 2022, which industry executives say may compel some automakers to add electric or hybrid vehicles to their portfolios.\nBattered by the COVID-19 pandemic, the industry says it needs longer to make the transition.\nGadkari said he was not directly responsible for making the decision on whether to delay, but was confident India would meet its Paris treaty commitments without disrupting economic growth.\n\"Development and environment will go hand in hand. We will take some time but we will soon reach the international standard norms,\" he said.\n(Reporting by Aftab Ahmed and Aditi Shah. Editing by Mark Potter)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365961198,"gmtCreate":1614690375114,"gmtModify":1704774060156,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577233785012287","authorIdStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365961198","repostId":"1169004570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362303120,"gmtCreate":1614592769360,"gmtModify":1704772788529,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577233785012287","authorIdStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehe","listText":"Hehe","text":"Hehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362303120","repostId":"2116453148","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2116453148","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1614590670,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2116453148?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-01 17:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Stocks To Watch For March 1, 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2116453148","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:","content":"<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><ul><li>Wall Street expects <b> DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc</b> (NASDAQ:XRAY) to report quarterly earnings at $0.64 per share on revenue of $995.70 million before the opening bell. Dentsply Sirona shares rose 0.3% to $53.25 in after-hours trading.</li><li>Rocket Lab USA Inc. is nearing a deal to go public through a merger with <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VACQ\">Vector Acquisition Corp</a>.</b> (NASDAQ:VACQ), the Wall Street Journal reported. Vector Acquisition shares gained 1.2% to $10.37 in the after-hours trading session.</li><li>Analysts are expecting <b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications Inc</b> (NASDAQ:ZM) to have earned $0.79 per share on revenue of $811.77 million for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. Zoom shares rose 0.7% to $376.15 in after-hours trading.</li></ul><ul><li><b>AstraZeneca plc</b> (NASDAQ:AZN) sold its 7.7% stake in <b>Moderna Inc. </b> (NASDAQ:MRNA) for over $1 billion, the Times reported. AstraZeneca shares gained 0.1% to $48.39 in after-hours trading, while Moderna shares fell 1% to $153.30 in the after-hours trading session.</li><li>Before the markets open, <b> Perrigo Company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLC\">PLC</a></b> (NYSE:PRGO) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.00 per share on revenue of $1.32 billion. Perrigo shares fell 1.3% to $39.85 in after-hours trading.</li><li>Analysts expect <b> Nio Inc - ADR</b> (NYSE:NIO) to post a quarterly loss at $0.09 per share on revenue of $993.96 million after the closing bell. Nio shares fell 2.2% to close at $45.78 on Friday.</li></ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Stocks To Watch For March 1, 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Stocks To Watch For March 1, 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-01 17:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><ul><li>Wall Street expects <b> DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc</b> (NASDAQ:XRAY) to report quarterly earnings at $0.64 per share on revenue of $995.70 million before the opening bell. Dentsply Sirona shares rose 0.3% to $53.25 in after-hours trading.</li><li>Rocket Lab USA Inc. is nearing a deal to go public through a merger with <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VACQ\">Vector Acquisition Corp</a>.</b> (NASDAQ:VACQ), the Wall Street Journal reported. Vector Acquisition shares gained 1.2% to $10.37 in the after-hours trading session.</li><li>Analysts are expecting <b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications Inc</b> (NASDAQ:ZM) to have earned $0.79 per share on revenue of $811.77 million for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. Zoom shares rose 0.7% to $376.15 in after-hours trading.</li></ul><ul><li><b>AstraZeneca plc</b> (NASDAQ:AZN) sold its 7.7% stake in <b>Moderna Inc. </b> (NASDAQ:MRNA) for over $1 billion, the Times reported. AstraZeneca shares gained 0.1% to $48.39 in after-hours trading, while Moderna shares fell 1% to $153.30 in the after-hours trading session.</li><li>Before the markets open, <b> Perrigo Company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLC\">PLC</a></b> (NYSE:PRGO) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.00 per share on revenue of $1.32 billion. Perrigo shares fell 1.3% to $39.85 in after-hours trading.</li><li>Analysts expect <b> Nio Inc - ADR</b> (NYSE:NIO) to post a quarterly loss at $0.09 per share on revenue of $993.96 million after the closing bell. Nio shares fell 2.2% to close at $45.78 on Friday.</li></ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AZN":"阿斯利康","PRGO":"百利高","ZM":"Zoom","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","NIO":"蔚来","XRAY":"登士柏国际"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2116453148","content_text":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:Wall Street expects DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc (NASDAQ:XRAY) to report quarterly earnings at $0.64 per share on revenue of $995.70 million before the opening bell. Dentsply Sirona shares rose 0.3% to $53.25 in after-hours trading.Rocket Lab USA Inc. is nearing a deal to go public through a merger with Vector Acquisition Corp. (NASDAQ:VACQ), the Wall Street Journal reported. Vector Acquisition shares gained 1.2% to $10.37 in the after-hours trading session.Analysts are expecting Zoom Video Communications Inc (NASDAQ:ZM) to have earned $0.79 per share on revenue of $811.77 million for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. Zoom shares rose 0.7% to $376.15 in after-hours trading.AstraZeneca plc (NASDAQ:AZN) sold its 7.7% stake in Moderna Inc. (NASDAQ:MRNA) for over $1 billion, the Times reported. AstraZeneca shares gained 0.1% to $48.39 in after-hours trading, while Moderna shares fell 1% to $153.30 in the after-hours trading session.Before the markets open, Perrigo Company PLC (NYSE:PRGO) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.00 per share on revenue of $1.32 billion. Perrigo shares fell 1.3% to $39.85 in after-hours trading.Analysts expect Nio Inc - ADR (NYSE:NIO) to post a quarterly loss at $0.09 per share on revenue of $993.96 million after the closing bell. Nio shares fell 2.2% to close at $45.78 on Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366800570,"gmtCreate":1614423595590,"gmtModify":1704771730534,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577233785012287","authorIdStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well","listText":"Well","text":"Well","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/366800570","repostId":"1181374212","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366174755,"gmtCreate":1614423375177,"gmtModify":1704771727739,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577233785012287","authorIdStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehe","listText":"Hehe","text":"Hehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/366174755","repostId":"1181374212","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181374212","pubTimestamp":1614335737,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1181374212?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-02-26 18:35","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Trading tax hike won’t harm competitiveness of Hong Kong’s stock market, says financial secretary","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181374212","media":"cnbc","summary":"Hong Kong’s plan to increase the stamp duty on stock trading will not harm the competitiveness of the city’s financial markets, Financial Secretary Paul Chan told CNBC on Friday.Chan said in his budget speech on Wednesday that the government will raise the stamp duty paid on listed stock trades from 0.1% to 0.13%.The move “will not harm our competitiveness and at the same time will bring additional revenue to the government at this juncture,” said Chan.Chan said in his budget speech on Wednesday","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nHong Kong’s plan to increase the stamp duty on stock trading will not harm the competitiveness of the city’s financial markets, Financial Secretary Paul Chan told CNBC on Friday.\nChan said...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/26/trading-tax-hike-wont-harm-hong-kongs-stock-market-financial-secretary.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Trading tax hike won’t harm competitiveness of Hong Kong’s stock market, says financial secretary</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTrading tax hike won’t harm competitiveness of Hong Kong’s stock market, says financial secretary\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-26 18:35 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/26/trading-tax-hike-wont-harm-hong-kongs-stock-market-financial-secretary.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nHong Kong’s plan to increase the stamp duty on stock trading will not harm the competitiveness of the city’s financial markets, Financial Secretary Paul Chan told CNBC on Friday.\nChan said...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/26/trading-tax-hike-wont-harm-hong-kongs-stock-market-financial-secretary.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSCCI":"红筹指数","HSCEI":"国企指数","00388":"香港交易所","HSI":"恒生指数"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/26/trading-tax-hike-wont-harm-hong-kongs-stock-market-financial-secretary.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1181374212","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nHong Kong’s plan to increase the stamp duty on stock trading will not harm the competitiveness of the city’s financial markets, Financial Secretary Paul Chan told CNBC on Friday.\nChan said in his budget speech on Wednesday that the government will raise the stamp duty paid on listed stock trades from 0.1% to 0.13%.\nThe move “will not harm our competitiveness and at the same time will bring additional revenue to the government at this juncture,” said Chan.\n\nHong Kong’s plan to increase the stamp duty on stock trading will not harm the competitiveness of the city’s financial markets, Financial Secretary Paul Chan told CNBC on Friday.\nChan said in his budget speech on Wednesday that the government will raise the stamp duty paid on listed stock trades from 0.1% to 0.13%.The announcement sparked a sell-off in shares of the operator of the city’s stock exchange, and the broader Hong Kong market.\n“The Hong Kong market has been doing very well, very active, the volume has gone up quite a bit,” Chan told CNBC’s Emily Tan.\n“So, perhaps this is the time for us to increase a little bit on the stamp duty which will not harm our competitiveness and at the same time will bring additional revenue to the government at this juncture,” he added.\nThe financial secretary said Hong Kong authorities have in recent years launched different initiatives to enhance the competitiveness of the city’s stock market. That includes allowing listings of dual-class shares and attracting U.S.-listed Chinese companies to seek a secondary listing in Hong Kong, he said.\nHong Kong in 2020 was one of the top markets for listings globally as Chinese firms such as e-commerce giant JD.com and gaming company NetEase raised funds through secondary listings.\nIn total, the city’s stock exchange saw 132 initial public offerings worth $32.1 billion, and 199 further offerings worth $62.9 billion last year, according to data compiled by consultancy PwC.\nWith such “robust” capital markets activity, raising the trading stamp duty may offer Hong Kong “a quick solution” to increase its tax revenue in the short term, said Stanley Ho, a partner for corporate tax advisory at consultancy KPMG China.\n“However, it is also important for Hong Kong’s capital markets to stay competitive with global financial markets, many of which are trending towards reducing or removing such duties,” Ho said in a statement after Chan’s budget speech.\nChan said he remains confident of Hong Kong’s prospects as an international financial center.\nHe explained that the government is working on promoting Hong Kong as a center for sustainable and green finance, developing further the city’s fixed income markets and encouraging more activity in the asset and wealth management sectors.\nOn the stock market sell-off after his announcement of the trading tax hike, Chan said Hong Kong wasn’t the only one experiencing a “downward adjustment” following a previous run-up.\n“So, I would not be bothered by temporary fluctuations in the market. What we believe is we continue to work hard to enhance the offering of our market to further enhance the competitiveness and attractiveness of the Hong Kong market,” he said.\n“We will continue to attract inflow of international capital.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":708,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":368008692,"gmtCreate":1614264775516,"gmtModify":1704769882597,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577233785012287","authorIdStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/368008692","repostId":"1165777611","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165777611","pubTimestamp":1614247990,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165777611?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-02-25 18:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Is Obsessed With an Apple Car. Why Tech Analysts Might Be Too Excited.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165777611","media":"Barrons","summary":"Implications of Apple’s entry into the car business continues to generate muchspeculationand manyana","content":"<p>Implications of Apple’s entry into the car business continues to generate muchspeculationand manyanalyst reportsfrom various stockbrokerage firms. Piper Sandler weighed into the debate Wednesday, saying an Apple car makes perfect sense. Investors, however, should remember that producing an automobile is very, very different from making a smartphone.</p>\n<p>Piper tech analystHarsh Kumarsays the timing is right for an Apple (ticker: AAPL) car. “The company can enter the market at a time of peak technology disruption while avoiding the risk of forming the market,” wrote the analyst in a Wednesday research report. Electric vehicles are proliferating, and autonomous driving technology is advancing. Cars will drive and feel different in the future—an Apple car would likely be an all-electric vehicle with self-driving options.</p>\n<p>Apple has so far declined to comment about any car plans recently.</p>\n<p>Kumar covers Apple and other technology stocks. His 23-page report dives deep into the auto business—for tech investors. Industry size and market segmentation between, say, luxury cars and economy sedans, covered in his report, are par for the course in auto research.</p>\n<p>He assumes Apple, down the road, will sell 100,000 cars in year one. That might be aggressive.NIO(NIO),Li Auto(LI), andXPeng(XPEV) are threeEV startupsthat have been in business for years. They managed to sell about 100,000 vehicles on a combined basis in 2020. Kumar thinks Apple can be delivering 1 million cars by 2030.</p>\n<p>For tech analysts at this point, the Apple car appears to be an exercise in fun with numbers. They are attracted to the huge market size: New car sales top $2.5 trillion annually. But auto analysts’ enthusiasm for an Apple vehicle is more tempered, and perhaps for good reason.</p>\n<p>One factor that might hamper Apple’s ambitions is that cars are, of course, significantly more expensive than phones, making the purchase decision very different. In addition, “the regulatory side of the auto business is brutal and takes years to get through,” Benchmark auto analystMike Wardtells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p>\n<p>Ward says he isn’t hearing Apple buzz in the auto industry. It’s “pretty tough to keep that quiet in the auto industry—thousands of suppliers, [government] approvals, the size of the factory needed, etc.” He isn’t saying it can’t happen, but it is harder than many investors might expect.</p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley analystAdam Jonasalso covers cars mainly. He doesn’t appear certain an Apple car is on the way, but if one does show up, “don’t expect steering wheels.” That means full self-driving, which also means the Apple car is still years away.</p>\n<p>He believes an Apple car can accelerate EV penetration. That could help existing auto makers with more progressive approaches to the EV market. But higher penetration isn’t a panacea for the car business. “At some point, today’s EV players must share the sandbox,” wrote the analyst in a recent report.</p>\n<p>That threat isn’t affecting his ratings on competitors yet. He rate Tesla stock Buy and callsGeneral Motors(GM) a top pick.</p>\n<p>J.P. Morgan‘s tech and car teams produced a joint report recently, and they don’t see an Apple car coming soon. They agreed if an Apple car is on the way, it will be delayed until full self-driving capability is more widely available.Robotaxi services, which can handle city driving, are planned in the next couple of years. But full self-driving capabilities are farther away—the cost of sensors needs to fall, and the software still needs to improve.</p>\n<p>The firm’s U.S. auto analystRyan Brinkmanadded that a new competitor the size and strength of Apple is a negative for existing auto makers, but, like Ward, he hasn’t heard about any collaboration in the auto-supply base.</p>\n<p>Another thing J.P. Morgan agrees on is outsourced manufacturing, meaning that Apple isn’t likely to assemble its car. That creates an opportunity for some existing car marker to build more volume. What company would win, however, isanyone’s guess.</p>\n<p>Wedbush analystDan Ives, who covers disruptive technology, which includes Apple and EV makerTesla(TSLA), is placing his bets onVolkswagen(VOW.Germany). “We assign a 85%-plus chance that Apple will announce an EV partnership/collaboration over the next 3 to 6 months,” wrote Ives in a recent report. “We continue to strongly believe that VW is a top candidate for an Apple EV partnership/JV given the company’s modular factory footprint as well as the keyQuantumScapeownership.”</p>\n<p>QuantumScape (QS) is pioneering solid-state lithium anode batteries that promise to improve electric-vehicle range and safety, while lowering costs and charge time.</p>\n<p>Apple car hopes aren’t affecting investors much yet. Since new reports of a possible Apple car surfaced in December, GM and Tesla shares are up about 26% and 10%, respectively. TheS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average,for comparison, are up about 5% and 4%, respectively. Apple shares are down about 6%.</p>\n<p>Investors, it appears, have other more pressing issues on their minds.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Is Obsessed With an Apple Car. Why Tech Analysts Might Be Too Excited.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Is Obsessed With an Apple Car. Why Tech Analysts Might Be Too Excited.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-25 18:13 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/wall-street-apple-stock-ev-tech-car-51614187099?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Implications of Apple’s entry into the car business continues to generate muchspeculationand manyanalyst reportsfrom various stockbrokerage firms. Piper Sandler weighed into the debate Wednesday, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/wall-street-apple-stock-ev-tech-car-51614187099?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/wall-street-apple-stock-ev-tech-car-51614187099?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165777611","content_text":"Implications of Apple’s entry into the car business continues to generate muchspeculationand manyanalyst reportsfrom various stockbrokerage firms. Piper Sandler weighed into the debate Wednesday, saying an Apple car makes perfect sense. Investors, however, should remember that producing an automobile is very, very different from making a smartphone.\nPiper tech analystHarsh Kumarsays the timing is right for an Apple (ticker: AAPL) car. “The company can enter the market at a time of peak technology disruption while avoiding the risk of forming the market,” wrote the analyst in a Wednesday research report. Electric vehicles are proliferating, and autonomous driving technology is advancing. Cars will drive and feel different in the future—an Apple car would likely be an all-electric vehicle with self-driving options.\nApple has so far declined to comment about any car plans recently.\nKumar covers Apple and other technology stocks. His 23-page report dives deep into the auto business—for tech investors. Industry size and market segmentation between, say, luxury cars and economy sedans, covered in his report, are par for the course in auto research.\nHe assumes Apple, down the road, will sell 100,000 cars in year one. That might be aggressive.NIO(NIO),Li Auto(LI), andXPeng(XPEV) are threeEV startupsthat have been in business for years. They managed to sell about 100,000 vehicles on a combined basis in 2020. Kumar thinks Apple can be delivering 1 million cars by 2030.\nFor tech analysts at this point, the Apple car appears to be an exercise in fun with numbers. They are attracted to the huge market size: New car sales top $2.5 trillion annually. But auto analysts’ enthusiasm for an Apple vehicle is more tempered, and perhaps for good reason.\nOne factor that might hamper Apple’s ambitions is that cars are, of course, significantly more expensive than phones, making the purchase decision very different. In addition, “the regulatory side of the auto business is brutal and takes years to get through,” Benchmark auto analystMike WardtellsBarron’s.\nWard says he isn’t hearing Apple buzz in the auto industry. It’s “pretty tough to keep that quiet in the auto industry—thousands of suppliers, [government] approvals, the size of the factory needed, etc.” He isn’t saying it can’t happen, but it is harder than many investors might expect.\nMorgan Stanley analystAdam Jonasalso covers cars mainly. He doesn’t appear certain an Apple car is on the way, but if one does show up, “don’t expect steering wheels.” That means full self-driving, which also means the Apple car is still years away.\nHe believes an Apple car can accelerate EV penetration. That could help existing auto makers with more progressive approaches to the EV market. But higher penetration isn’t a panacea for the car business. “At some point, today’s EV players must share the sandbox,” wrote the analyst in a recent report.\nThat threat isn’t affecting his ratings on competitors yet. He rate Tesla stock Buy and callsGeneral Motors(GM) a top pick.\nJ.P. Morgan‘s tech and car teams produced a joint report recently, and they don’t see an Apple car coming soon. They agreed if an Apple car is on the way, it will be delayed until full self-driving capability is more widely available.Robotaxi services, which can handle city driving, are planned in the next couple of years. But full self-driving capabilities are farther away—the cost of sensors needs to fall, and the software still needs to improve.\nThe firm’s U.S. auto analystRyan Brinkmanadded that a new competitor the size and strength of Apple is a negative for existing auto makers, but, like Ward, he hasn’t heard about any collaboration in the auto-supply base.\nAnother thing J.P. Morgan agrees on is outsourced manufacturing, meaning that Apple isn’t likely to assemble its car. That creates an opportunity for some existing car marker to build more volume. What company would win, however, isanyone’s guess.\nWedbush analystDan Ives, who covers disruptive technology, which includes Apple and EV makerTesla(TSLA), is placing his bets onVolkswagen(VOW.Germany). “We assign a 85%-plus chance that Apple will announce an EV partnership/collaboration over the next 3 to 6 months,” wrote Ives in a recent report. “We continue to strongly believe that VW is a top candidate for an Apple EV partnership/JV given the company’s modular factory footprint as well as the keyQuantumScapeownership.”\nQuantumScape (QS) is pioneering solid-state lithium anode batteries that promise to improve electric-vehicle range and safety, while lowering costs and charge time.\nApple car hopes aren’t affecting investors much yet. Since new reports of a possible Apple car surfaced in December, GM and Tesla shares are up about 26% and 10%, respectively. TheS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average,for comparison, are up about 5% and 4%, respectively. Apple shares are down about 6%.\nInvestors, it appears, have other more pressing issues on their minds.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363225756,"gmtCreate":1614144481375,"gmtModify":1704888695138,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577233785012287","authorIdStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363225756","repostId":"2113835326","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363234800,"gmtCreate":1614140980100,"gmtModify":1704888640428,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577233785012287","authorIdStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363234800","repostId":"2113835326","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363234087,"gmtCreate":1614140926349,"gmtModify":1704888640102,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577233785012287","authorIdStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363234087","repostId":"1185609211","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":77,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":366800570,"gmtCreate":1614423595590,"gmtModify":1704771730534,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well","listText":"Well","text":"Well","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/366800570","repostId":"1181374212","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366174755,"gmtCreate":1614423375177,"gmtModify":1704771727739,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehe","listText":"Hehe","text":"Hehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/366174755","repostId":"1181374212","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":708,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341005182,"gmtCreate":1617759476146,"gmtModify":1704702720004,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shiok","listText":"Shiok","text":"Shiok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341005182","repostId":"1101907559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101907559","pubTimestamp":1617672655,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1101907559?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-06 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101907559","media":"marketwatch","summary":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management. Its reach and operating practices were","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p>\n<p>In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p>\n<p>Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p>\n<p>The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p>\n<p>A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p>\n<p><b>Unregulated money managers</b></p>\n<p>Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p>\n<p>This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p>\n<p>The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.</p>\n<p>But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p>\n<p><b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p>\n<p>This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p>\n<p>So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p>\n<p>One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p>\n<p>But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p>\n<p><b>Yellen on the case</b></p>\n<p>This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p>\n<p>Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p>\n<p>The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-06 09:30 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101907559","content_text":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.\nIn 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.\nExactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.\nThe trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?\nA family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.\nUnregulated money managers\nHere’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)\nThis appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.\nThe problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.\nBut since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.\nDanger of counterparty risk\nThis is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.\nSo is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.\nOne peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.\nBut federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.\nYellen on the case\nThis issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”\nMost financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.\nThe Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":328873100,"gmtCreate":1615515538200,"gmtModify":1704783947311,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehehe","listText":"Hehehe","text":"Hehehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/328873100","repostId":"1112019535","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341004859,"gmtCreate":1617759518471,"gmtModify":1704702721992,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"S","listText":"S","text":"S","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341004859","repostId":"1130873175","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130873175","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1617758959,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130873175?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-07 09:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Japan's Toshiba to get proposal to go private from CVC Capital: source","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130873175","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Private equity firm CVC Capital Partners will propose taking Toshiba Corp private in a d","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Private equity firm CVC Capital Partners will propose taking Toshiba Corp private in a deal worth more than 2 trillion yen ($18 billion), a person familiar with the matter said, as the Japanese firm is embroiled in a battle with activist shareholders.</p>\n<p>If realized, the deal will save management of the scandal-hit conglomerate, particularly embattled Chief Executive Nobuaki Kurumatani, from scrutiny amid calls from large overseas shareholders for greater transparency and better governance.</p>\n<p>“We’ve received the proposal,” Kurumatani told a group of reporters, according to the Nikkei newspaper. “We’ll discuss it at a board meeting” to be held on Wednesday, he added.</p>\n<p>The Tokyo Stock Exchange suspended trading in Toshiba’s shares after the Nikkei reported the proposal earlier.</p>\n<p>Kurumatani, a former banker at main Toshiba lender Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, headed the Japanese arm of CVC before joining Toshiba. One of Toshiba’s board members is senior adviser of CVC Japan.</p>\n<p>U.S.-listed shares of Toshiba jumped 19.4% after the report.</p>\n<p>CVC is considering a 30% premium over Toshiba’s current share price in a tender offer, the Nikkei business daily reported. That would put the value of the deal at more than 2 trillion yen based on Tuesday’s close.</p>\n<p>CVC is looking to expand in Japan, taking advantage of large Japanese companies under pressure to sell non-core assets and improve returns to shareholders. It is buying Shiseido Co Ltd’s lower-priced skincare and shampoo brands for $1.5 billion.</p>\n<p>An acquisition of Toshiba, one of Japan’s few manufacturers of nuclear power reactors, needs government approval.</p>\n<p>Toshiba declined to comment on the news and CVC did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.</p>\n<p>The battle between activist investors and Toshiba management has played out in public view, and is seen as a test case for whether the established giants of corporate Japan can respond to calls for better governance.</p>\n<p>The Japanese firm has been under pressure from activist funds since it sold 600 billion yen of stock to dozens of foreign hedge funds during a crisis stemming from the bankruptcy of its U.S. nuclear power unit in 2017.</p>\n<p>($1 = 109.7500 yen)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Japan's Toshiba to get proposal to go private from CVC Capital: source</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJapan's Toshiba to get proposal to go private from CVC Capital: source\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-07 09:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Private equity firm CVC Capital Partners will propose taking Toshiba Corp private in a deal worth more than 2 trillion yen ($18 billion), a person familiar with the matter said, as the Japanese firm is embroiled in a battle with activist shareholders.</p>\n<p>If realized, the deal will save management of the scandal-hit conglomerate, particularly embattled Chief Executive Nobuaki Kurumatani, from scrutiny amid calls from large overseas shareholders for greater transparency and better governance.</p>\n<p>“We’ve received the proposal,” Kurumatani told a group of reporters, according to the Nikkei newspaper. “We’ll discuss it at a board meeting” to be held on Wednesday, he added.</p>\n<p>The Tokyo Stock Exchange suspended trading in Toshiba’s shares after the Nikkei reported the proposal earlier.</p>\n<p>Kurumatani, a former banker at main Toshiba lender Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, headed the Japanese arm of CVC before joining Toshiba. One of Toshiba’s board members is senior adviser of CVC Japan.</p>\n<p>U.S.-listed shares of Toshiba jumped 19.4% after the report.</p>\n<p>CVC is considering a 30% premium over Toshiba’s current share price in a tender offer, the Nikkei business daily reported. That would put the value of the deal at more than 2 trillion yen based on Tuesday’s close.</p>\n<p>CVC is looking to expand in Japan, taking advantage of large Japanese companies under pressure to sell non-core assets and improve returns to shareholders. It is buying Shiseido Co Ltd’s lower-priced skincare and shampoo brands for $1.5 billion.</p>\n<p>An acquisition of Toshiba, one of Japan’s few manufacturers of nuclear power reactors, needs government approval.</p>\n<p>Toshiba declined to comment on the news and CVC did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.</p>\n<p>The battle between activist investors and Toshiba management has played out in public view, and is seen as a test case for whether the established giants of corporate Japan can respond to calls for better governance.</p>\n<p>The Japanese firm has been under pressure from activist funds since it sold 600 billion yen of stock to dozens of foreign hedge funds during a crisis stemming from the bankruptcy of its U.S. nuclear power unit in 2017.</p>\n<p>($1 = 109.7500 yen)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130873175","content_text":"(Reuters) - Private equity firm CVC Capital Partners will propose taking Toshiba Corp private in a deal worth more than 2 trillion yen ($18 billion), a person familiar with the matter said, as the Japanese firm is embroiled in a battle with activist shareholders.\nIf realized, the deal will save management of the scandal-hit conglomerate, particularly embattled Chief Executive Nobuaki Kurumatani, from scrutiny amid calls from large overseas shareholders for greater transparency and better governance.\n“We’ve received the proposal,” Kurumatani told a group of reporters, according to the Nikkei newspaper. “We’ll discuss it at a board meeting” to be held on Wednesday, he added.\nThe Tokyo Stock Exchange suspended trading in Toshiba’s shares after the Nikkei reported the proposal earlier.\nKurumatani, a former banker at main Toshiba lender Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, headed the Japanese arm of CVC before joining Toshiba. One of Toshiba’s board members is senior adviser of CVC Japan.\nU.S.-listed shares of Toshiba jumped 19.4% after the report.\nCVC is considering a 30% premium over Toshiba’s current share price in a tender offer, the Nikkei business daily reported. That would put the value of the deal at more than 2 trillion yen based on Tuesday’s close.\nCVC is looking to expand in Japan, taking advantage of large Japanese companies under pressure to sell non-core assets and improve returns to shareholders. It is buying Shiseido Co Ltd’s lower-priced skincare and shampoo brands for $1.5 billion.\nAn acquisition of Toshiba, one of Japan’s few manufacturers of nuclear power reactors, needs government approval.\nToshiba declined to comment on the news and CVC did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.\nThe battle between activist investors and Toshiba management has played out in public view, and is seen as a test case for whether the established giants of corporate Japan can respond to calls for better governance.\nThe Japanese firm has been under pressure from activist funds since it sold 600 billion yen of stock to dozens of foreign hedge funds during a crisis stemming from the bankruptcy of its U.S. nuclear power unit in 2017.\n($1 = 109.7500 yen)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364533300,"gmtCreate":1614862926400,"gmtModify":1704776179745,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehe","listText":"Hehe","text":"Hehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/364533300","repostId":"1119441964","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365961218,"gmtCreate":1614690400934,"gmtModify":1704774063227,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehe","listText":"Hehe","text":"Hehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365961218","repostId":"2116596110","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365961198,"gmtCreate":1614690375114,"gmtModify":1704774060156,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365961198","repostId":"1169004570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169004570","pubTimestamp":1614687445,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169004570?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-02 20:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 Reasons Alibaba Is Set To Soar And Too Cheap To Ignore","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169004570","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Rising interest rates have caused a modest dip in stocks, and a pullback in tech stocks. Some individual companies have fallen into bear markets.Alibaba represents one of the highest quality hyper-growth blue-chips you can buy today. It began the tech pullback highly undervalued and is now 42% undervalued.Post earnings, when management updated analysts on regulatory risks, the LT growth consensus from all 59 analysts went up from 22.3% to 26.0% CAGR. The growth outlook has improved.Yet BABA is ","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Rising interest rates have caused a modest dip in stocks, and a pullback in tech stocks. Some individual companies have fallen into bear markets.</li>\n <li>Alibaba represents one of the highest quality (though speculative) hyper-growth blue-chips you can buy today. It began the tech pullback highly undervalued and is now 42% undervalued.</li>\n <li>Post earnings, when management updated analysts on regulatory risks, the LT growth consensus from all 59 analysts went up from 22.3% to 26.0% CAGR. The growth outlook has improved.</li>\n <li>Yet BABA is now trading at some of the lowest valuations in its history, resulting in 27% CAGR consensus return potential through 2027, and 6X the risk-adjusted expected returns of the S&P 500 for the next five years.</li>\n <li>Thanks to the potential to become one of the best dividend growth blue-chips of tomorrow, I've invested almost $50,000 into BABA, and am willing to invest up to $100K if it keeps falling in the short term. For those comfortable with the complex risk profile of this company, and who use proper diversification and prudent risk management, BABA represents a potentially life-changing and rich retirement dream-making long-term investment opportunity.</li>\n <li>This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, The Dividend Kings.Get started today »</li>\n</ul>\n<p>It's been a volatile few weeks for stocks, but tech stocks in particular.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54960030434467240b8c2876e6eaab19\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the S&P 500 is just barely off its recent all-time highs, the Nasdaq has fallen 6%. And of course, it's a market of stocks, not a stock market. Individual tech stocks are in corrections or even bear markets.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>tech stocks in general, are now in a pullback</li>\n <li>induced by rising rate concerns</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Why Rising Rates Are NOT A Concern For Prudent Long-Term Investors</p>\n<p>In the modern era, primarily the last 25 years, all stocks have done well in rising long-term rate environments.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790f8160df564e9692be64a3eb0e396f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>(Source: Ben Carlson)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>growth, value, small, large, didn't matter, stocks went up as rates rose</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li>A study from JPMorgan(NYSE:JPM)found that from 1963 through 2019 stocks generally went up as long as 10-year yields were under 5%.</li>\n <li>Goldman Sachs'(NYSE:GS)head of quantitative research finds that the rate of interest rate is more important than the actual rate itself</li>\n <li>37+ basis points per month is the tipping point strongly correlated with short-term corrections</li>\n <li><b>in the last month, 10-year yields are up 39 basis points</b></li>\n <li>a level that is historically correlated with mild and short market declines</li>\n <li>in other words, this stock market dip is 100% normal and expected by prudent investors who understand market history</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Even so-called \"bond alternatives,\" such as REITs, are not hurt by rising long-term rates.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>From 1972 to 2018 the % of REIT total returns explained by 10-year yields was just 2%</li>\n <li>had you been able to predict interest rates with perfect precision, you couldn't have predicted actual REIT returns</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Prudent long-term investors know that you don't actually have to predict interest rates to be successful.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>long-term interest rates are just one of many factors that determine company success over time</li>\n <li>and have a relatively small impact on fundamental growth rates</li>\n <li>bond prices are 100% a function of credit quality and LT interest rates</li>\n <li>stock prices are 91% a function (over the long-term) of fundamentals and valuations</li>\n <li>other than generating income, stocks and bonds are different asset classes that are nothing alike</li>\n <li><b>no stock is EVER a true \"Bond alternative\" because of this fundamental fact</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6deb7a5ba69273298a5256674c2dd2e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"526\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74ba0ed8c210f5a079516c7da4f40e80\" tg-width=\"716\" tg-height=\"738\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>If you focus on the trinity of yield + growth + valuation you are optimizing the fundamentals that drive 91% of long-term stock returns.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>combining the 3 core fundamentals of long-term total returns with prudent risk management = practicing disciplined financial science</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>My Personal Phoenix Retirement Portfolio Fundamentals (75% Dividend Stocks/25% Growth Stocks)</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>average quality: 10.7/12 SWAN vs. 10.9 average aristocrat</li>\n <li>average safety score: 4.8/5 very safe vs. 4.7 average aristocrat</li>\n <li>average credit rating: A- stable vs. A- stable average aristocrat (2.5% 30-year bankruptcy risk)</li>\n <li><b>the yield on cost: 3.8%</b></li>\n <li><b>current yield: 3.3% vs. 1.6% S&P, 2.1%</b>dividend aristocrats (our equity benchmark) and<b>1.8% a 60/40 stock/bond portfolio</b></li>\n <li><b>Morningstar long-term growth forecast: 16.2% CAGR</b>vs. 6.4% S&P 500 & 7.0% dividend aristocrats</li>\n <li><b>Dividend growth forecast: 7.0% CAGR</b>= almost 4X the rate of inflation, double every decade (every 15-years in inflation-adjusted dollars)</li>\n <li>weighted average forward PE: 16.6 vs. 18.9 historical norm vs. 21.9 S&P 500</li>\n <li><b>average discount to fair value (Morningstar estimate): 12%</b>vs. -32% S&P 500 and -13% aristocrats</li>\n <li><b>5-year analyst consensus total return potential</b>: 3.3% yield + 16.2% CAGR long-term growth +2.6% CAGR valuation boost =<b>22.1%CAGR</b>vs. 6.5% S&P 500</li>\n <li><b>Risk-Adjusted Expected Return: 16.2% CAGR</b>vs. 4.0% CAGR S&P 500 (<b>4.0X market's expected return</b>)</li>\n <li><i><b>LT Consensus Total Return Potential:</b></i><i>3.3% yield on cost + 16.2% growth =</i><i><b>19.5% CAGR</b></i><i>vs. 8.0% S&P 500 and 9.1% dividend aristocrats</i></li>\n</ul>\n<p>How does a double the market's yield and LT growth consensus sound?</p>\n<p>How about the potential to quadruple the S&P 500's returns over the next five years and more than double the market's long-term consensus return potential?</p>\n<p>You can't find that in any index fund, you have to build yourself. That's what DK Phoenix has been doing for almost a year, via a combination of opportunistic limit buying and dollar-cost averaging.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>I've invested about $500,000 of my life savings into the DK Phoenix strategy</li>\n <li>I'm definitely eating my own cooking</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The results so far have been spectacular. 40% gains from a portfolio that started out 100% bonds and has been buying every single day, including during record highs and overvalued markets.</p>\n<p>More importantly, this portfolio is generating an ocean of very safe, and steadily growing dividends.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>during the Great Recession S&P 500 dividends down 25%</li>\n <li>this portfolio's dividends were flat</li>\n</ul>\n<p>However, I want to point out how the potential combination of strong yield + fantastic growth potential and attractive valuations means this portfolio is potentially set up for returns on par with the greatest investors in history.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1567a4569f51c6d5f83e6dd572db55c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>But not from some complex or risky asset you have to manage and tie up your money in for seven to 15 years (as with hedge funds), but a 100% liquid world-class blue-chip investment.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>blue-chip dividend investing at its finest</li>\n <li>high-probability/low risk buys that are 91% likely to meet our goals over the long-term</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Note that this portfolio is 25% growth stocks, though every growth company is one I expect to eventually pay a dividend.</p>\n<p>Whether it takes 5 or 50 years doesn't matter to me, because I have 75% of my portfolio generating over $20,000 per year in very safe income that rises in any economic or market condition.</p>\n<p>Why I'm Backing Up The Truck On Alibaba In This Tech Pullback</p>\n<p>My personal Phoenix retirement portfolio is what tracks every Dividend Kings Daily Blue-Chip Deal Video Recommendation.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccec58a2a2e51918ad4619f5b10ae7b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"140\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>I've bought Alibaba (BABA) 87 times since April 2020</li>\n <li>investing a total of about $47,000</li>\n <li>about 6.9% of my personal Phoenix portfolio (100 companies)</li>\n <li>my personal risk cap on BABA is $100,000 for the next 20 years, 10X less than what I plan to invest in Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)</li>\n <li>my goal is to invest $1 million into Amazon in my lifetime, as fast as I can</li>\n <li>but still a potentially life-changing and rich retirement making investment (see reason five)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Why am I willing to put up to $100,000 of my hard-earned savings to work in this speculative hyper-growth blue-chip?</p>\n<p>For the same 6 reasons that BABA at today's outrageously attractive valuation might be just what your diversified and prudently risk-managed portfolio needs.</p>\n<p>Reason 1: An Extremely High-Quality Company</p>\n<p>The Dividend Kings motto is \"Quality first and prudent valuation and sound risk management always.\"</p>\n<p>Alibaba Overall Quality: 80% = 10/12 Speculative SWAN</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td><b>BABA</b></td>\n <td><b>Final Score</b></td>\n <td><b>Rating</b></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Balance Sheet Safety</td>\n <td>88%</td>\n <td>5/5 Very Safe</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Business Model</td>\n <td>90%</td>\n <td>3/3 Wide and Stable Moat</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Dependability</td>\n <td>68%</td>\n <td>2/4 Above-Average Dependability</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td><b>Total</b></td>\n <td><b>80%</b></td>\n <td><b>10 (SWAN) - Speculative</b></td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source:Dividend Kings Safety & Quality Tool) updated at the start and end of each day</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>unchanged from last quarter</li>\n</ul>\n<p>DK overall quality scores factor in about 100 fundamental metrics covering</p>\n<ul>\n <li>dividend safety</li>\n <li>balance sheet strength</li>\n <li>short and long-term bankruptcy risk</li>\n <li>accounting and corporate fraud</li>\n <li>profitability and business model</li>\n <li>long-term sustainability</li>\n <li>management quality</li>\n <li>dividend friendly corporate culture/income dependability</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Alibaba Is the 136th Highest Quality Master List Company (Out of 490)</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c259ff2db589224b1c883dfd27a06abd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"220\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: DK Safety & Quality Tool) updated at the end of each day, sorted by overall quality score</i></p>\n<p>The DK Master List includes every dividend aristocrat, king, champion, and 12/12 Ultra SWAN quality company. Among the highest quality companies on earth, BABA ranks 136th.</p>\n<p>Alibaba's 80% quality score means its similar in quality to such 10/12 SWANs, 11/12 Super SWANs, and 12/12 Ultra SWANs as</p>\n<ul>\n <li>General Dynamics (GD): non-speculative dividend aristocrat</li>\n <li>salesforce.com (CRM): non - speculative hyper-growth</li>\n <li>Royal Bank of Canada (RY): non - speculative</li>\n <li>UnitedHealth Group (UNH): non - speculative</li>\n <li>Facebook (FB): non - speculative hyper-growth</li>\n <li>Cisco (CSCO): non - speculative</li>\n <li>Magellan Midstream Partners (MMP) - non-speculative</li>\n <li>Lockheed Martin (LMT) - non -speculative</li>\n <li>Texas Instruments (TXN) - non-speculative</li>\n <li>British American Tobacco (BTI) - non-speculative</li>\n</ul>\n<p>All told, our quality score includes 137 fundamental metrics pertaining to dividend safety, long-term dependability, and total returns. Every metric was selected based on</p>\n<ul>\n <li>decades of empirical data</li>\n <li>the experience of the greatest investors in history</li>\n <li>eight rating agencies</li>\n <li>and what blue-chip economists and analyst firms consider most closely correlated to a company's long-term success.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Our goal is to ensure we see fundamental deterioration coming before dividends get cut and a company, in a worst-case scenario, goes bankrupt.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>even dividend aristocrats can fail (just ask GE or CTL investors)</li>\n <li>even dividend aristocrats can go bankrupt (just ask Kmart or Winn-Dixie investors)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>There are no sacred cows in the Dividend Kings universe. Where the fundamentals lead we always follow.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>the essence of financial science</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Reason 2: Remarkable Long-Term Growth Potential</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c6b6a726a78d0e0d012df46602fd475\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"132\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>according to FactSet the median LT growth consensus from all 59 analysts that cover BABA is 26.0% CAGR</li>\n <li>collectively these 59 experts know BABA better than anyone other than management</li>\n <li>pre-earnings growth consensus was 22.3%</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b39eecccd04752aa11a27f8f8c8d6587\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>YCharts LT growth consensus is less bullish but still showing 20% hyper-growth</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9090a70c545a4c112f90b02d4de12131\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet Research)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>5 analyst median FAST Graphs consensus is 25.3% CAGR LT growth</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Alibaba Medium-Term Growth Consensus</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td><b>Metric</b></td>\n <td><b>Fiscal 2021 Consensus</b></td>\n <td><b>2022 consensus growth</b></td>\n <td><b>2023 consensus growth</b></td>\n <td><b>2024 consensus growth</b></td>\n <td><b>2025 consensus growth</b></td>\n <td><p><b>2026 consensus growth</b></p></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>EPS</td>\n <td>39%</td>\n <td>15%</td>\n <td>24%</td>\n <td>23%</td>\n <td>20%</td>\n <td>16%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Owner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF)</td>\n <td>-3%</td>\n <td>162%</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Operating Cash Flow</td>\n <td>45%</td>\n <td>11%</td>\n <td>18%</td>\n <td>29%</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Free cash flow</td>\n <td>52%</td>\n <td>-1%</td>\n <td>25%</td>\n <td>24%</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>EBITDA</td>\n <td>58%</td>\n <td>24%</td>\n <td>23%</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>EBIT (operating profit)</td>\n <td>29%</td>\n <td>40%</td>\n <td>30%</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<p>20% to 26% CAGR LT growth consensus is one of the fastest of any company on earth, much less a $650 billion behemoth like BABA.</p>\n<p>Where is BABA's remarkable growth expected to come from?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b04a7c47511897fa2d2e3170feaf91b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: earnings presentation)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Alibaba has almost 1 billion users</li>\n <li>and is one of the fastest-growing cloud computing companies on earth</li>\n <li>#1 in cloud computing in China</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8d32d464a818f669520b792adf9971a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: earnings presentation)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Alibaba is the Amazon/Alphabet/Facebook/PayPal/Microsoft of China</b></li>\n <li>it's basically a superior quality Chinese Nasdaq index</li>\n <li>just as Amazon is a superior quality alternative to the US Nasdaq</li>\n <li>except that BABA has even more optionality than Amazon courtesy of several<b>\"Super Apps\"</b>of which the US has no equivalent</li>\n <li>Super Apps are basically all the apps you use on a daily basis in one, and in China, they dominate the lives of almost 1.5 billion people</li>\n <li>ecosystems of steroids, and the ultimate wide-moat businesses</li>\n <li>the only effective limitation is government regulations (more on this in the risk profile)</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f0062920c271ce804438eca217557aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>27% annualized revenue growth through 2026</li>\n <li>vs. 19% for Amazon</li>\n <li>34% CAGR cloud computing revenue growth</li>\n <li>core Chinese commerce sales growth 28% CAGR</li>\n</ul>\n<p>With almost 1.5 billion Chinese consumers to tap into, Alibaba's growth runway is very long.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>its optionality is among the best of any company on earth</li>\n <li>potentially superior to even Amazon's</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Alibaba Consensus Profitability Forecast</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td><b>Year</b></td>\n <td><b>Sales</b></td>\n <td><b>FCF</b></td>\n <td><b>EBITDA</b></td>\n <td><b>EBIT</b></td>\n <td><b>Net Income</b></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2020</td>\n <td>$71,376</td>\n <td>$18,634.0</td>\n <td>$22,077.0</td>\n <td>$12,803.0</td>\n <td>$20,902.0</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2021</td>\n <td>$109,049.0</td>\n <td>$30,666.0</td>\n <td>$32,294.0</td>\n <td>$18,332.0</td>\n <td>$26,210.0</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2022</td>\n <td>$142,453.0</td>\n <td>$33,923.0</td>\n <td>$40,043.0</td>\n <td>$24,985.0</td>\n <td>$27,169.0</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2023</td>\n <td>$172,942.0</td>\n <td>$39,671.0</td>\n <td>$49,694.0</td>\n <td>$33,156.0</td>\n <td>$34,068.0</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2024</td>\n <td>$215,267.0</td>\n <td>$45,789.0</td>\n <td>$59,475.0</td>\n <td>$43,961.0</td>\n <td>$43,031.0</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2025</td>\n <td>$264,808.0</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>$72,896.0</td>\n <td>$57,133.0</td>\n <td>$54,736.0</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2026</td>\n <td>$296,476.0</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>$95,192.0</td>\n <td>$70,453.0</td>\n <td>$63,654.0</td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td><b>Year</b></td>\n <td><b>FCF Margin</b></td>\n <td><b>EBITDA Margin</b></td>\n <td><b>EBIT Margin</b></td>\n <td><b>Net Margin</b></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2020</td>\n <td>26.1%</td>\n <td>30.9%</td>\n <td>17.9%</td>\n <td>29.3%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2021</td>\n <td>28.1%</td>\n <td>29.6%</td>\n <td>16.8%</td>\n <td>24.0%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2022</td>\n <td>23.8%</td>\n <td>28.1%</td>\n <td>17.5%</td>\n <td>19.1%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2023</td>\n <td>22.9%</td>\n <td>28.7%</td>\n <td>19.2%</td>\n <td>19.7%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2024</td>\n <td>21.3%</td>\n <td>27.6%</td>\n <td>20.4%</td>\n <td>20.0%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2025</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>27.5%</td>\n <td>21.6%</td>\n <td>20.7%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2026</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>32.1%</td>\n <td>23.8%</td>\n <td>21.5%</td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Alibaba is still relatively early in its growth cycle</li>\n <li>investing very heavily into R&D and growth capex: $12.6 billion in 2020</li>\n <li>$37.2 billion growth spending consensus in 2026</li>\n <li>yet analysts expect already impressive profitability to remain relatively stable during the next five years</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Alibaba Consensus Potential Future Dividend Forecast</b></p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td><b>Year</b></td>\n <td><b>FCF/Share Consensus</b></td>\n <td><b>Dividend Per Share (50% Payout Ratio)</b></td>\n <td><b>Yield On Today's Cost</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Yield Potential</b></td>\n <td><b>2026 Consensus Price</b></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2020</td>\n <td>$6.98</td>\n <td>$3.49</td>\n <td>1.47%</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2021</td>\n <td>$8.95</td>\n <td>$4.48</td>\n <td>1.88%</td>\n <td>1.39%</td>\n <td>$323.00</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>2022</td>\n <td>$10.70</td>\n <td>$5.35</td>\n <td>2.25%</td>\n <td>1.41%</td>\n <td>$379.00</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td><i><b>2023</b></i></td>\n <td><i><b>$13.84</b></i></td>\n <td><i><b>$6.92</b></i></td>\n <td><i><b>2.91%</b></i></td>\n <td><i><b>1.48%</b></i></td>\n <td><i><b>$466.00</b></i></td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>if Alibaba were to start paying 50% of its FCF as dividends then by 2023 that would equal a yield on cost of almost 3% and 1.5% consensus yield</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Why do I expect BABA to eventually start paying dividends?</p>\n<p><b>Alibaba Consensus Balance Sheet Forecast</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61c78f5b92f0f7db55569cdd0cd8cd2f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>despite spending $37 billion to fund growth in 2026, analysts expect BABA to end fiscal 2026 with $275 billion in cash and $260 billion in net cash</li>\n <li>more than Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)had when it started buying back stock and paying dividends</li>\n</ul>\n<p>What's more, by 2024 alone analysts expect BABA's annual free cash flow to reach $46 billion.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a072c7a0e2793b347b635e08315d24bc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"148\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>if FCF grows at the 26% LT EPS growth consensus rate then by 2026 $73 billion in annual free cash flow</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The bottom line on BABA is that it's the #1 global digital retailer but so much more. And it has the potential to make patient long-term investors extremely wealthy and eventually fund comfortable retirements from future dividends alone.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>what I call my \"Jack Ma retirement plan\"</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Yet despite this incredible quality and growth potential, the market is mispricing BABA to a remarkable degree right now.</p>\n<p>Reason 3: One Of Most Undervalued Tech Stocks In The World</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td><b>Metric</b></td>\n <td><b>Historical Fair Value Multiples (all-years)</b></td>\n <td><b>Fiscal 2021</b></td>\n <td><b>Fiscal 2022</b></td>\n <td><b>Fiscal 2023</b></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Earnings</td>\n <td>32.2</td>\n <td>$334</td>\n <td>$386</td>\n <td>$480</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Owner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF)</td>\n <td>24.6</td>\n <td>$218</td>\n <td>$572</td>\n <td>NA</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Operating Cash Flow</td>\n <td>23.1</td>\n <td>$325</td>\n <td>$362</td>\n <td>$428</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Free Cash Flow</td>\n <td>30.7</td>\n <td>$338</td>\n <td>$336</td>\n <td>$421</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>EBITDA</td>\n <td>33.2</td>\n <td>$389</td>\n <td>$485</td>\n <td>$597</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>EBIT (operating income)</td>\n <td>45.1</td>\n <td>$298</td>\n <td>$416</td>\n <td>$541</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td><b>Average</b></td>\n <td><b>$307</b></td>\n <td><b>$413</b></td>\n <td><b>$485</b></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Current Price</td>\n <td>$237.76</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td><p><i><b>Discount To Fair Value</b></i></p></td>\n <td><i><b>23%</b></i></td>\n <td><i><b>42%</b></i></td>\n <td><i><b>51%</b></i></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td><i>Upside To Fair Value</i></td>\n <td><i>29%</i></td>\n <td><i>74%</i></td>\n <td><i>104%</i></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td><p><i><b>Annualized Total Return Potential</b></i></p></td>\n <td><i><b>NA</b></i></td>\n <td><i><b>74%</b></i></td>\n <td><i><b>46%</b></i></td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</i></p>\n<p>BABA is trading at a 42% discount to fiscal 2022 consensus fundamentals (which ends March 2022)</p>\n<ul>\n <li>A return to average historical fair value by the end of March 2023 would result in a 46% CAGR total return</li>\n <li>2021 fair value range: $336 to $572</li>\n <li>2021 Harmonic Average Fair Value (smooths out outliers): $413</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Even using the most conservative fair value of $336, BABA is still 29% undervalued and a potentially good speculative buy.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c6cd6870a518767764bd87d37ec06d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet Research)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>on a blended PE basis, BABA is now tied for the lowest valuation in its history on the NYSE</li>\n <li>in other words, if you've ever wanted to buy BABA, now is the time</li>\n <li>very likely to be near its eventual bottom</li>\n</ul>\n<p>I know that a lot of readers are now thinking \"sure, consensus estimates say BABA is a growth powerhouse, BUT what if analysts are wrong.\"</p>\n<p>There is one thing we know for certain about all growth consensus estimates.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>they are wrong</li>\n <li>the question is how much</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Alibaba Analyst Scorecard</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd5201fe390f06c8cd94462a06114fdd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1da8d579e9049d31188aafb07d3c47\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Despite a highly complex business model analysts are relatively good at forecasting BABA's growth. Specifically, the company has only missed two-year earnings growth forecasts twice out of the six years that analysts have offered them.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>the margin of error 20% to the upside and downside (modern era with lots of analyst coverage)</li>\n <li>long-term growth consensus range: 20.0% to 26% CAGR</li>\n <li>long-term growth consensus (from all 60 analysts ): 25.3% CAGR</li>\n <li>the margin of error adjusted long-term growth consensus range: 16% to 32% CAGR</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10e55ff4c0570b0156c5fc04134c6c90\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</i></p>\n<p>The current analyst consensus of 26.0% CAGR is similar to the growth rate of the last five years. The historical growth range since BABA came to the NYSE is 20% to 44% CAGR.</p>\n<p>The secular growth catalysts represented by BABA's dominance in Chinese digital payments, banking, cloud computing, online retail, digital marketing, etc., means that I consider the analyst growth consensus range reasonable and achievable.</p>\n<p>Stricter regulations are not expected to hamper BABA's growth significantly, according to the 60 analyst median consensus.</p>\n<p>Reason 4: Total Return Potential That Could Make You Rich</p>\n<ul>\n <li>for non-dividend stocks, total returns generated from growth and valuation mean reversion is the entire point for most investors</li>\n <li>BABA's consensus return potential is outstanding</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>BABA 2023 Consensus Return Potential</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba5fce782ee2484df31380823cbd08d1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"383\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</i></p>\n<p>If BABA grows as analysts expect through March 2023, and returns to historical fair value, then investors could expect</p>\n<ul>\n <li>102% total returns</li>\n <li>39.9% CAGR returns</li>\n <li>vs. 2.9% CAGR S&P 500</li>\n <li><i><b>14X better than the S&P 500</b></i></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Alibaba March 2027 Consensus Return Potential</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad665b05d566bc36268bf51f43f642a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research) - actual consensus EPS estimates through 2026</i></p>\n<p>If BABA grows as analysts expect through March 2027, and returns to historical fair value, then you could expect</p>\n<ul>\n <li>324% total returns, more than quadrupling your investment</li>\n <li>26.8% CAGR returns</li>\n <li>vs. 6.5% CAGR S&P 500</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Over the very long term, here's what analysts expect.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>0% yield + 26.0% CAGR growth = 26.0% CAGR total returns (16% to 32% CAGR range)</li>\n <li>vs. 8.0% CAGR S&P 500 and 9.1% CAGR dividend aristocrats</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Reason 5: Total Return Potential That Could Turn Thousands Into Tens Of Millions Over Decades</p>\n<p>What does potential hyper-growth sustained over many years and decades look like? Generation wealth, that can not just fund your rich retirement, but that of your children and grandchildren as well.</p>\n<p>Alibaba 30-Year Monte Carlo Simulation, Statistical Inflation+ Tax Adjusted Total Return Forecast</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf77d6747dcbef9c96c2442919fb370\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"201\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e592eb0d96f33779a576b8fee99193a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7a3bf90aac22084eea55216a46577c1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>Monte Carlo simulation results for 5000 portfolios with $1,000 initial portfolio balance using available statistical model data from Jan 2015 to Dec 2020.Returns were modeled as correlated random samples from a multivariate normal distribution.The historical pre-tax return for the selected portfolio for this period was 21.09% mean return (14.38% CAGR) with a 36.62% standard deviation of annual returns.The simulated asset returns were adjusted based on provided tax assumptions.The simulated inflation model used historical inflation with a 1.75% mean and 0.94% standard deviation based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) data from Jan 2015 to Dec 2020.The generated inflation samples were correlated with simulated asset returns based on historical correlations.The available historical data for the simulation inputs was constrained by Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) [Oct 2014 - Feb 2021]. (Source: Portfolio Visualizer)</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>BABA's historical returns are depressed because it's currently in a bear market. Yet even if it delivers historical returns over the next 30 years, the standard retirement time frame there is an 80% statistical probability that</p>\n<ul>\n <li>$1,000 invested today becomes $6,500 to $324,000</li>\n <li>adjusted-for inflation and taxes</li>\n <li>assuming top tax bracket, including for my home state of MN</li>\n</ul>\n<p>What if BABA is able to sustain approximately 15% CAGR growth for longer than 30 years? Then a modest investment today could transform into generation wealth.</p>\n<p>Alibaba 75-Year Monte Carlo Simulation, Statistical Inflation+ Tax Adjusted Total Return Forecast</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/130bb2a9ff8bb6a1de235ce4fda182f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a1be76959eaedd5e25ed17b15702546\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>(Source: Portfolio Visualizer)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>with a $75,000 total investment, made at the best valuations in five years, there is a very good statistical chance that I will eventually become an Alibaba millionaire</li>\n <li>there is a decent chance that my children and grandchildren will be Alibaba billionaires</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Reason 6: One Of The Most Reasonable And Prudent Growth Stocks You Can Buy Today</p>\n<p>I never recommend a company, much less put my own money at risk, without first knowing exactly how prudent a potential investment it is relative to the S&P 500, most people's default alternative.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28d872260c41f72ddc16460a3024e8bf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"197\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The investment decision score is based on valuation and the three core principles of all successful long-term investors.</p>\n<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25b7070d1af7586faee7c2814d82bb5c\" tg-width=\"552\" tg-height=\"774\">\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr></tr>\n <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source:Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool)</i></p>\n<p>BABA is one of the most reasonable and prudent hyper-growth stocks you can buy today. It offers</p>\n<ul>\n <li>objectively superior quality to the average S&P 500 company (credit ratings and ROC)</li>\n <li>much faster growth (3 to 4X faster)</li>\n <li>much superior valuation (mirror image of the S&P 500)</li>\n <li><b>6X the 5-year risk-adjusted expected returns</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p>That's assuming you're</p>\n<ul>\n <li>comfortable with the risk profile (see dive section)</li>\n <li>own it within a diversified and prudently risk-managed portfolio</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Alibaba Risk Profile: Why BABA Isn't Right For Everyone<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3b51aa88280a43b2551902a5ae635ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"223\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Fundamental Risk Summary</p>\n<blockquote>\n In our view, the most pressing risks to the Alibaba investment thesis are a sustained slowdown in Chinese consumption patterns, e-commerce competition, increased regulatory scrutiny, and the possibility that ancillary businesses divert management's attention and reduce profitability.China's e-commerce landscape has become increasingly competitive, with Pinduoduo registering faster GMV and user growth than Alibaba with the support of Tencent's traffic and its group-buying traffic generation method, and JD.com positioning itself as a credible rival through its fulfillment capability, quality assurance, and its partnerships with Tencent. These platforms do not yet have Alibaba's scale in China, but they specialize in specific products or services, or markets, which might impede Alibaba's growth.Alibaba is also subject to increased online and mobile payment regulation. Financial regulators in China have continuously scrutinized online and mobile payment services. Alibaba has persistently faced the issue of counterfeit and infringing goods on its marketplaces. Hangzhou government's assigning of representatives to work inside Alibaba also raise concerns of some investors, although there is no evidence of consequence of value destruction for Alibaba.Expansion into peripheral businesses might distract management, reduce profitability without materially improve Alibaba's ecosystem. While we're optimistic about Alibaba's ability to become a preferred partner for international retailers and consumer brands looking to sell in China, the firm does not enjoy the same network effect and brand recognition in other countries, and it may face challenges directly expanding in these markets...Like many other Chinese Internet companies listed in overseas markets, Alibaba operates under a\n <b>variable interest entity, or VIE, structure</b>designed to let companies bypass Chinese legal restrictions on foreign ownership in certain sectors.Alibaba's foreign investors will essentially hold shares of Alibaba's VIE domiciled in the Cayman Islands. We don't expect any legal challenges to VIE structures by the Chinese government in the future. However, if the legitimacy of Alibaba's related VIE is found to violate applicable law or regulation, Chinese regulatory authorities might take action against the VIE, including revoking the business and operating licenses of Alibaba's subsidiaries or the VIE, or discontinuing, restricting, or restructuring Alibaba's operations. Since the Chinese Ministry of Commerce has the jurisdiction to regulate VIEs, we believe overseas investors would have limited legal rights...Despite\n <b>management's proven execution capabilities</b>,\n <b>we have concerns regarding Alibaba's corporate governance</b>, which is reflected in our Poor equity stewardship rating.In our view,\n <b>Alibaba is led by a capable and ambitious management team</b>. Founder and former executive chairman Jack Ma has been the keeper of the flame since the company's founding in 1999. Under his leadership, Alibaba has become China's leading e-commerce player, accounting for the majority of transaction volume for China's online shopping industry.Over the past decade, Taobao has transformed the shopping behaviors of millions of Chinese consumers. We believe management has also done a commendable job developing and preserving Alibaba's wide economic moat by building several other leading online marketplaces and platforms such a Tmall, Juhuasuan, Alibaba.com, AliExpress, Alipay, AliCloud, and Ele.me. Although the company faces a potentially uneven long-term economic backdrop and new sources of competition in China,\n <b>we remain confident that Alibaba can sustain its wide economic moat over the long term under its existing leadership.</b>Ma's decision to step away from Alibaba's executive chairman role in 2019 and the company's board of directors will not affect our positive long-term bias for two reasons. First,\n <b>we believe recent results demonstrate that Alibaba has a deep management bench</b>,\n <b>including current CEO Daniel Zhang</b>(who was appointed CEO of Alibaba Group in May 2015, will assume the chairman role in 2019, and played a central role in the development of the Singles Day shopping event, building the Tmall platform from a regional to global business-to-consumer platform, and deploying several of Alibaba's \"New Retail\" strategies) and executive vice chairman Joe Tsai. Second, we believe Ma's involvement with the Alibaba Partnership--a group of core company managers--will allow him to stay involved with key strategic decisions...We harbor concerns about Alibaba's partnership structure, which might jeopardize the board's independence.The partnership is led by a committee of five, including Ma, executive vice chairman Joe Tsai, and CEO Daniel Zhang. The Alibaba Partnership has the exclusive right to nominate or appoint up to a simple majority of the members of its board of directors.Any board candidate it nominates is presented to shareholders for voting. If the candidate is not elected by shareholders, the partnership can appoint another candidate without a vote. That candidate will serve as an interim director until the next annual general meeting, where either the same candidate or yet another nominee proposed by Alibaba partners will stand for election.The current board of directors is composed of 11 directors, five of which are Alibaba Partnership nominees. Alibaba Partnership can also nominate or appoint two additional directors to the board, which would increase the number of directors to 13, and the Partnership will get majority control of the board.\n <b>The Partnership essentially controls the board and limits the influence of outside shareholders</b>.\" - Morningstar (emphasis added)\n</blockquote>\n<p>MSCI, Reuters and Morningstar, as well as S&P, Fitch, and Moody's have concerns about BABA's corporate governance, which is factored into each company's respective rating on BABA's credit and material ESG risk (more on that later).</p>\n<ul>\n <li>all Chinese companies are speculative</li>\n <li>thus requiring a 5% higher margin of safety to be a potentially good buy (20% in the case of BABA)</li>\n <li>investors not comfortable with BABA's complex risk profile should not own it</li>\n <li>no company is right for everyone</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Alibaba ESG Risk Analysis: An Important Component Of A Company's Overall Financial Risk Profile (But Especially For Chinese Tech Companies)</p>\n<ul>\n <li>critically important to anyone concerned about corporate governance and potential accounting fraud</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In today's hyperpolarized political climate, some investors consider ESG to be political/personal ethics/opinion-driven nonsense.</p>\n<p>ESG as measured by institutions is NOT simply the concern of \"woke\" and \"on-trend\" hippy millennials trying to virtue signal to impress Silicon Valley venture capitalists or social media followers.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Companies with strong ESG profiles may be better positioned for future challenges and experience fewer instances of bribery, corruption, and fraud.\" - MSCI\n</blockquote>\n<p>According to the world's best risk-assessors, ESG metrics are a critical component of a company's overall risk profile. Here's who considers ESG important and builds it into their safety models and ratings.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>BlackRock - #1 asset manager in the world</li>\n <li>MSCI - #1 indexing giant</li>\n <li>Morningstar</li>\n <li>Reuters/Refinitiv</li>\n <li>ISS (Institutional Shareholder Services) - #1 corporate proxy firm on earth</li>\n <li>S&P</li>\n <li>Fitch</li>\n <li>Moody's</li>\n <li>DBRS (Canadian credit rating agency)</li>\n <li>AMBest (insurance industry rating agency)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The reason some investors consider ESG to be political is that some investors consider some industries to be inherently \"evil\" such as tobacco, energy, big tech, pharma, health insurers, fast-food, snack foods, and defense contractors.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>such opinions are personal and based on individual ethics</li>\n <li><b>ESG scores as calculated by institutions are quantitatively based and focused on only fundamental financial risks to the underlying business</b></li>\n <li>they are compared against industry peers and as objective as can be realistically expected</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Personal ethical or political opinions are not what rating agencies or asset managers care about.</p>\n<p>MSCI rates over 2,800 global companies on 37 ESG metrics, using a quantitative and qualitative approach, just as all the rating agencies do, and Ben Graham recommended.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Our global team of 185 experienced research analysts assesses thousands of data points across 37 ESG Key Issues, focusing on the intersection between a company's core business and the industry issues that can create significant risks and opportunities for the company. Companies are rated on an AAA-CCC scale\n <b>relative to the standards and performance of their industry peers</b>...\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/298cf61010c39363fd5dc1b3438f0774\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"570\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<blockquote>\n The MSCI ESG rating model seeks to answer four key questions about companies:• What are the most significant ESG risks and opportunities facing a company and its industry?• How exposed is the company to those key risks and/or opportunities?• How well is the company managing key risks and opportunities?• What is the overall picture for the company and how does it compare to its global industry peers?\" - MSCI\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af3bf10cdfd7ab0fe07e7c636b3eded9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: MSCI)</i></p>\n<p><b>The ESG scores you find from the best risk-assessors in the world are not opinions based on political correctness.They use a quantitative approach to fundamental company risk analysis.</b>One based on decades of historical data pertaining to minimizing the risk of fundamental deterioration, bankruptcy, and stock/bond investors getting wiped out.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>ESG risk ratings + trends make up about 20% of the overall DK quality score for most companies that have an ESG rating from MSCI, Morningstar/Sustainalytics, and Reuters/Refinitiv</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918fd6ab7c2e2163bd8d547d050d75d6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a8bd15a9cc3aea38257b3c9645d424f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"220\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: MSCI)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>based on the 12 material sustainability factors MSCI's 185 industry experts believe is important to financial risk for midstream companies, BABA scores are in the bottom 37% of its peers (below average)</li>\n <li>that score is has been improving over the last four years</li>\n <li>though it dipped one level in the 2020 annual update</li>\n</ul>\n<p>How Morningstar/Sustainalytics Assesses Long-Term ESG Financial Risk</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Morningstar/Sustainalytics cares about material ESG variables that are historically correlated to a company's enterprise value (market cap + net debt)</li>\n <li>Financial risk NOT political/personal ethical opinions are what Morningstar assesses</li>\n <li>20 fundamental metrics analyzed, compared to industry peers</li>\n <li>100 point risk scale</li>\n <li>lower is better</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6235ae87804a6aa4155b7553cf0470ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"406\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22bc0cb2ca3614062e1aaabda81de4f0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b225070612fbf42d76647657fd9c799\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"420\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2d7fbe67e46b7732bad777d103ec779\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e030c1a04fb5a8ba813bcf1831db84b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Every controversy surrounding BABA is factored into Morningstar ESG risk rating. That includes the controversies around anti-trust practices for which it's now under investigation by Chinese regulators.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Morningstar considers this to be a medium ESG risk industry</li>\n <li>and management is doing an average job of managing that risk</li>\n <li>Morningstar scores BABA 26.2 \"medium risk\" in the bottom 25% of tech companies and in the top 43% of all 13,645 companies Morningstar rates</li>\n <li>risk rating increased from 24.6 to 26.2 in the past year due to increasing regulatory concerns</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Reuters/Refinitiv also provides ESG financial risk ratings.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>over 150 industry experts covering over 7,000 global companies</li>\n <li>based on 400+ fundamental metrics</li>\n <li>and 178 materially important financial ESG risk factors</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7da4560ef863e32a307af7f3a93b28d1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"426\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/078e47b8a22efff637d578f67d1bdbbf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26ac2395f9786b77c8f795cd0c659d9a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"847\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: Refinitiv)</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c212bc0cfadad173dc51c91fbee9438\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"435\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>(Source: Interactive Brokers)</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Reuters ranks BABA as in the bottom 30% of its peers on actual financial ESG risk</li>\n <li>in the top 40% in terms of environmental issues</li>\n <li>bottom 30% for social</li>\n <li>bottom 20% for corporate governance</li>\n <li>and near the very bottom of its industry on controversies</li>\n <li>for a combined score that's in the bottom 10% of its peers</li>\n <li>which is why BABA's dependability score fell from 75% to 68% and resulted in a downgrade from 11/12 to 10/12 speculative quality (about two months ago)</li>\n <li>and why I'm looking to invest a maximum of $100K into BABA vs. $1 million into far lower risk Amazon</li>\n <li>risks with BABA are far higher than with AMZN</li>\n</ul>\n<p>When no less than 10 of the world's most reputable risk assessors say something is important to long-term financial risk for a company you can be sure that Dividend Kings will include it in our 61 metric safety model and 126 point quality score (converted to a 100% scale).</p>\n<ul>\n <li>there is no such thing as a \"risk-free\" company</li>\n <li>factoring in all material financial risks is how you determine whether a company is appropriate for your needs</li>\n <li>and how we determine the margin of safety required to compensate us for that risk and thus determine potentially good buy prices or better</li>\n <li>no average investor can ever be a true expert on a company</li>\n <li>but DK knows where to find the most reliable expert data to create a comprehensive safety, dependability, and quality score that includes every major risk factor a company has</li>\n</ul>\n<p>No less than Ben Graham, the father of securities analysis considered qualitative factors critical to making prudent long-term investing decisions.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>... a satisfactory statistical exhibition is a necessary though by no means a sufficient condition for a favorable decision by the analyst.\"</i>-Benjamin Graham, Security Analysis (1951 ed.), Page 76\n</blockquote>\n<p>In other words, Graham considered a combination of quantitative and qualitative analysis, looking at the past, present, and likely future, to be the optimal strategy for making sound long-term investments.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Dividend Kings uses risk ratings from eight of the world's most reputable agencies</li>\n <li>if fundamentals weaken our model will know it and our scores, ratings, and recommendations will change accordingly</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Bottom Line: Alibaba Is Set To Soar And Too Cheap To Ignore</p>\n<p>I can't tell you what any stock will do over the next few weeks, months or even a year or two.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>according to JPMorgan Asset Management, 92% of 12-month returns are a function of luck</li>\n <li>over 10+ years 90% to 91% of returns are a function of fundamentals</li>\n <li>over the long-term fundamentals are 11X as powerful as luck</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Alibaba represented one of the most undervalued hyper-growth tech blue-chips before this interest rate pullback in tech began.</p>\n<p>Alibaba's recent decline has been sharper than many peers, which isn't justified by its recent earnings results, or overall fundamentals.</p>\n<p>The long-term growth outlook has gotten better, not worse.</p>\n<p>While BABA will always be an inherently speculative company, for those comfortable with the risk profile, a 42% margin of safety more than compensate for the risks you're facing.</p>\n<p>In the coming years, BABA has the potential to deliver Buffett-like returns that are almost 6X the risk-adjusted returns of the S&P 500.</p>\n<p>Eventually, the cash pile will grow so large, the company will be forced to start buying back stocks and paying dividends.</p>\n<p>A modest investment in BABA today could fund a comfortable or even lavish retirement purely from future dividends in a few decades.</p>\n<p>Prudent long-term investors know that through a disciplined application of financial science we never have to pray for luck. We make our own luck over time.</p>\n<p>When it comes to Alibaba, as close to a perfect hyper-growth blue-chip investment as exists on Wall Street today, the time to make our own luck is now.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 Reasons Alibaba Is Set To Soar And Too Cheap To Ignore</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 Reasons Alibaba Is Set To Soar And Too Cheap To Ignore\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-02 20:17 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4410621-six-reasons-alibaba-is-too-cheap-to-ignore><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nRising interest rates have caused a modest dip in stocks, and a pullback in tech stocks. Some individual companies have fallen into bear markets.\nAlibaba represents one of the highest quality...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4410621-six-reasons-alibaba-is-too-cheap-to-ignore\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4410621-six-reasons-alibaba-is-too-cheap-to-ignore","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1169004570","content_text":"Summary\n\nRising interest rates have caused a modest dip in stocks, and a pullback in tech stocks. Some individual companies have fallen into bear markets.\nAlibaba represents one of the highest quality (though speculative) hyper-growth blue-chips you can buy today. It began the tech pullback highly undervalued and is now 42% undervalued.\nPost earnings, when management updated analysts on regulatory risks, the LT growth consensus from all 59 analysts went up from 22.3% to 26.0% CAGR. The growth outlook has improved.\nYet BABA is now trading at some of the lowest valuations in its history, resulting in 27% CAGR consensus return potential through 2027, and 6X the risk-adjusted expected returns of the S&P 500 for the next five years.\nThanks to the potential to become one of the best dividend growth blue-chips of tomorrow, I've invested almost $50,000 into BABA, and am willing to invest up to $100K if it keeps falling in the short term. For those comfortable with the complex risk profile of this company, and who use proper diversification and prudent risk management, BABA represents a potentially life-changing and rich retirement dream-making long-term investment opportunity.\nThis idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, The Dividend Kings.Get started today »\n\nIt's been a volatile few weeks for stocks, but tech stocks in particular.\nWhile the S&P 500 is just barely off its recent all-time highs, the Nasdaq has fallen 6%. And of course, it's a market of stocks, not a stock market. Individual tech stocks are in corrections or even bear markets.\n\ntech stocks in general, are now in a pullback\ninduced by rising rate concerns\n\nWhy Rising Rates Are NOT A Concern For Prudent Long-Term Investors\nIn the modern era, primarily the last 25 years, all stocks have done well in rising long-term rate environments.\n(Source: Ben Carlson)\n\ngrowth, value, small, large, didn't matter, stocks went up as rates rose\n\n\nA study from JPMorgan(NYSE:JPM)found that from 1963 through 2019 stocks generally went up as long as 10-year yields were under 5%.\nGoldman Sachs'(NYSE:GS)head of quantitative research finds that the rate of interest rate is more important than the actual rate itself\n37+ basis points per month is the tipping point strongly correlated with short-term corrections\nin the last month, 10-year yields are up 39 basis points\na level that is historically correlated with mild and short market declines\nin other words, this stock market dip is 100% normal and expected by prudent investors who understand market history\n\nEven so-called \"bond alternatives,\" such as REITs, are not hurt by rising long-term rates.\n\nFrom 1972 to 2018 the % of REIT total returns explained by 10-year yields was just 2%\nhad you been able to predict interest rates with perfect precision, you couldn't have predicted actual REIT returns\n\nPrudent long-term investors know that you don't actually have to predict interest rates to be successful.\n\nlong-term interest rates are just one of many factors that determine company success over time\nand have a relatively small impact on fundamental growth rates\nbond prices are 100% a function of credit quality and LT interest rates\nstock prices are 91% a function (over the long-term) of fundamentals and valuations\nother than generating income, stocks and bonds are different asset classes that are nothing alike\nno stock is EVER a true \"Bond alternative\" because of this fundamental fact\n\n\n\nIf you focus on the trinity of yield + growth + valuation you are optimizing the fundamentals that drive 91% of long-term stock returns.\n\ncombining the 3 core fundamentals of long-term total returns with prudent risk management = practicing disciplined financial science\n\nMy Personal Phoenix Retirement Portfolio Fundamentals (75% Dividend Stocks/25% Growth Stocks)\n\naverage quality: 10.7/12 SWAN vs. 10.9 average aristocrat\naverage safety score: 4.8/5 very safe vs. 4.7 average aristocrat\naverage credit rating: A- stable vs. A- stable average aristocrat (2.5% 30-year bankruptcy risk)\nthe yield on cost: 3.8%\ncurrent yield: 3.3% vs. 1.6% S&P, 2.1%dividend aristocrats (our equity benchmark) and1.8% a 60/40 stock/bond portfolio\nMorningstar long-term growth forecast: 16.2% CAGRvs. 6.4% S&P 500 & 7.0% dividend aristocrats\nDividend growth forecast: 7.0% CAGR= almost 4X the rate of inflation, double every decade (every 15-years in inflation-adjusted dollars)\nweighted average forward PE: 16.6 vs. 18.9 historical norm vs. 21.9 S&P 500\naverage discount to fair value (Morningstar estimate): 12%vs. -32% S&P 500 and -13% aristocrats\n5-year analyst consensus total return potential: 3.3% yield + 16.2% CAGR long-term growth +2.6% CAGR valuation boost =22.1%CAGRvs. 6.5% S&P 500\nRisk-Adjusted Expected Return: 16.2% CAGRvs. 4.0% CAGR S&P 500 (4.0X market's expected return)\nLT Consensus Total Return Potential:3.3% yield on cost + 16.2% growth =19.5% CAGRvs. 8.0% S&P 500 and 9.1% dividend aristocrats\n\nHow does a double the market's yield and LT growth consensus sound?\nHow about the potential to quadruple the S&P 500's returns over the next five years and more than double the market's long-term consensus return potential?\nYou can't find that in any index fund, you have to build yourself. That's what DK Phoenix has been doing for almost a year, via a combination of opportunistic limit buying and dollar-cost averaging.\n\nI've invested about $500,000 of my life savings into the DK Phoenix strategy\nI'm definitely eating my own cooking\n\nThe results so far have been spectacular. 40% gains from a portfolio that started out 100% bonds and has been buying every single day, including during record highs and overvalued markets.\nMore importantly, this portfolio is generating an ocean of very safe, and steadily growing dividends.\n\nduring the Great Recession S&P 500 dividends down 25%\nthis portfolio's dividends were flat\n\nHowever, I want to point out how the potential combination of strong yield + fantastic growth potential and attractive valuations means this portfolio is potentially set up for returns on par with the greatest investors in history.\n\nBut not from some complex or risky asset you have to manage and tie up your money in for seven to 15 years (as with hedge funds), but a 100% liquid world-class blue-chip investment.\n\nblue-chip dividend investing at its finest\nhigh-probability/low risk buys that are 91% likely to meet our goals over the long-term\n\nNote that this portfolio is 25% growth stocks, though every growth company is one I expect to eventually pay a dividend.\nWhether it takes 5 or 50 years doesn't matter to me, because I have 75% of my portfolio generating over $20,000 per year in very safe income that rises in any economic or market condition.\nWhy I'm Backing Up The Truck On Alibaba In This Tech Pullback\nMy personal Phoenix retirement portfolio is what tracks every Dividend Kings Daily Blue-Chip Deal Video Recommendation.\n\n\nI've bought Alibaba (BABA) 87 times since April 2020\ninvesting a total of about $47,000\nabout 6.9% of my personal Phoenix portfolio (100 companies)\nmy personal risk cap on BABA is $100,000 for the next 20 years, 10X less than what I plan to invest in Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)\nmy goal is to invest $1 million into Amazon in my lifetime, as fast as I can\nbut still a potentially life-changing and rich retirement making investment (see reason five)\n\nWhy am I willing to put up to $100,000 of my hard-earned savings to work in this speculative hyper-growth blue-chip?\nFor the same 6 reasons that BABA at today's outrageously attractive valuation might be just what your diversified and prudently risk-managed portfolio needs.\nReason 1: An Extremely High-Quality Company\nThe Dividend Kings motto is \"Quality first and prudent valuation and sound risk management always.\"\nAlibaba Overall Quality: 80% = 10/12 Speculative SWAN\n\n\n\nBABA\nFinal Score\nRating\n\n\nBalance Sheet Safety\n88%\n5/5 Very Safe\n\n\nBusiness Model\n90%\n3/3 Wide and Stable Moat\n\n\nDependability\n68%\n2/4 Above-Average Dependability\n\n\nTotal\n80%\n10 (SWAN) - Speculative\n\n\n\n(Source:Dividend Kings Safety & Quality Tool) updated at the start and end of each day\n\nunchanged from last quarter\n\nDK overall quality scores factor in about 100 fundamental metrics covering\n\ndividend safety\nbalance sheet strength\nshort and long-term bankruptcy risk\naccounting and corporate fraud\nprofitability and business model\nlong-term sustainability\nmanagement quality\ndividend friendly corporate culture/income dependability\n\nAlibaba Is the 136th Highest Quality Master List Company (Out of 490)\n\n(Source: DK Safety & Quality Tool) updated at the end of each day, sorted by overall quality score\nThe DK Master List includes every dividend aristocrat, king, champion, and 12/12 Ultra SWAN quality company. Among the highest quality companies on earth, BABA ranks 136th.\nAlibaba's 80% quality score means its similar in quality to such 10/12 SWANs, 11/12 Super SWANs, and 12/12 Ultra SWANs as\n\nGeneral Dynamics (GD): non-speculative dividend aristocrat\nsalesforce.com (CRM): non - speculative hyper-growth\nRoyal Bank of Canada (RY): non - speculative\nUnitedHealth Group (UNH): non - speculative\nFacebook (FB): non - speculative hyper-growth\nCisco (CSCO): non - speculative\nMagellan Midstream Partners (MMP) - non-speculative\nLockheed Martin (LMT) - non -speculative\nTexas Instruments (TXN) - non-speculative\nBritish American Tobacco (BTI) - non-speculative\n\nAll told, our quality score includes 137 fundamental metrics pertaining to dividend safety, long-term dependability, and total returns. Every metric was selected based on\n\ndecades of empirical data\nthe experience of the greatest investors in history\neight rating agencies\nand what blue-chip economists and analyst firms consider most closely correlated to a company's long-term success.\n\nOur goal is to ensure we see fundamental deterioration coming before dividends get cut and a company, in a worst-case scenario, goes bankrupt.\n\neven dividend aristocrats can fail (just ask GE or CTL investors)\neven dividend aristocrats can go bankrupt (just ask Kmart or Winn-Dixie investors)\n\nThere are no sacred cows in the Dividend Kings universe. Where the fundamentals lead we always follow.\n\nthe essence of financial science\n\nReason 2: Remarkable Long-Term Growth Potential\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\n\naccording to FactSet the median LT growth consensus from all 59 analysts that cover BABA is 26.0% CAGR\ncollectively these 59 experts know BABA better than anyone other than management\npre-earnings growth consensus was 22.3%\n\n\n\nYCharts LT growth consensus is less bullish but still showing 20% hyper-growth\n\n\n(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet Research)\n\n5 analyst median FAST Graphs consensus is 25.3% CAGR LT growth\n\nAlibaba Medium-Term Growth Consensus\n\n\n\nMetric\nFiscal 2021 Consensus\n2022 consensus growth\n2023 consensus growth\n2024 consensus growth\n2025 consensus growth\n2026 consensus growth\n\n\nEPS\n39%\n15%\n24%\n23%\n20%\n16%\n\n\nOwner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF)\n-3%\n162%\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\n\n\nOperating Cash Flow\n45%\n11%\n18%\n29%\nNA\nNA\n\n\nFree cash flow\n52%\n-1%\n25%\n24%\nNA\nNA\n\n\nEBITDA\n58%\n24%\n23%\nNA\nNA\nNA\n\n\nEBIT (operating profit)\n29%\n40%\n30%\nNA\nNA\nNA\n\n\n\n(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet Research Terminal)\n20% to 26% CAGR LT growth consensus is one of the fastest of any company on earth, much less a $650 billion behemoth like BABA.\nWhere is BABA's remarkable growth expected to come from?\n\n(Source: earnings presentation)\n\nAlibaba has almost 1 billion users\nand is one of the fastest-growing cloud computing companies on earth\n#1 in cloud computing in China\n\n\n(Source: earnings presentation)\n\nAlibaba is the Amazon/Alphabet/Facebook/PayPal/Microsoft of China\nit's basically a superior quality Chinese Nasdaq index\njust as Amazon is a superior quality alternative to the US Nasdaq\nexcept that BABA has even more optionality than Amazon courtesy of several\"Super Apps\"of which the US has no equivalent\nSuper Apps are basically all the apps you use on a daily basis in one, and in China, they dominate the lives of almost 1.5 billion people\necosystems of steroids, and the ultimate wide-moat businesses\nthe only effective limitation is government regulations (more on this in the risk profile)\n\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\n\n27% annualized revenue growth through 2026\nvs. 19% for Amazon\n34% CAGR cloud computing revenue growth\ncore Chinese commerce sales growth 28% CAGR\n\nWith almost 1.5 billion Chinese consumers to tap into, Alibaba's growth runway is very long.\n\nits optionality is among the best of any company on earth\npotentially superior to even Amazon's\n\nAlibaba Consensus Profitability Forecast\n\n\n\nYear\nSales\nFCF\nEBITDA\nEBIT\nNet Income\n\n\n2020\n$71,376\n$18,634.0\n$22,077.0\n$12,803.0\n$20,902.0\n\n\n2021\n$109,049.0\n$30,666.0\n$32,294.0\n$18,332.0\n$26,210.0\n\n\n2022\n$142,453.0\n$33,923.0\n$40,043.0\n$24,985.0\n$27,169.0\n\n\n2023\n$172,942.0\n$39,671.0\n$49,694.0\n$33,156.0\n$34,068.0\n\n\n2024\n$215,267.0\n$45,789.0\n$59,475.0\n$43,961.0\n$43,031.0\n\n\n2025\n$264,808.0\nNA\n$72,896.0\n$57,133.0\n$54,736.0\n\n\n2026\n$296,476.0\nNA\n$95,192.0\n$70,453.0\n$63,654.0\n\n\n\n\n\n\nYear\nFCF Margin\nEBITDA Margin\nEBIT Margin\nNet Margin\n\n\n2020\n26.1%\n30.9%\n17.9%\n29.3%\n\n\n2021\n28.1%\n29.6%\n16.8%\n24.0%\n\n\n2022\n23.8%\n28.1%\n17.5%\n19.1%\n\n\n2023\n22.9%\n28.7%\n19.2%\n19.7%\n\n\n2024\n21.3%\n27.6%\n20.4%\n20.0%\n\n\n2025\nNA\n27.5%\n21.6%\n20.7%\n\n\n2026\nNA\n32.1%\n23.8%\n21.5%\n\n\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\n\nAlibaba is still relatively early in its growth cycle\ninvesting very heavily into R&D and growth capex: $12.6 billion in 2020\n$37.2 billion growth spending consensus in 2026\nyet analysts expect already impressive profitability to remain relatively stable during the next five years\n\nAlibaba Consensus Potential Future Dividend Forecast\n\n\n\nYear\nFCF/Share Consensus\nDividend Per Share (50% Payout Ratio)\nYield On Today's Cost\nConsensus Yield Potential\n2026 Consensus Price\n\n\n2020\n$6.98\n$3.49\n1.47%\nNA\nNA\n\n\n2021\n$8.95\n$4.48\n1.88%\n1.39%\n$323.00\n\n\n2022\n$10.70\n$5.35\n2.25%\n1.41%\n$379.00\n\n\n2023\n$13.84\n$6.92\n2.91%\n1.48%\n$466.00\n\n\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\n\nif Alibaba were to start paying 50% of its FCF as dividends then by 2023 that would equal a yield on cost of almost 3% and 1.5% consensus yield\n\nWhy do I expect BABA to eventually start paying dividends?\nAlibaba Consensus Balance Sheet Forecast\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\n\ndespite spending $37 billion to fund growth in 2026, analysts expect BABA to end fiscal 2026 with $275 billion in cash and $260 billion in net cash\nmore than Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)had when it started buying back stock and paying dividends\n\nWhat's more, by 2024 alone analysts expect BABA's annual free cash flow to reach $46 billion.\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\n\nif FCF grows at the 26% LT EPS growth consensus rate then by 2026 $73 billion in annual free cash flow\n\nThe bottom line on BABA is that it's the #1 global digital retailer but so much more. And it has the potential to make patient long-term investors extremely wealthy and eventually fund comfortable retirements from future dividends alone.\n\nwhat I call my \"Jack Ma retirement plan\"\n\nYet despite this incredible quality and growth potential, the market is mispricing BABA to a remarkable degree right now.\nReason 3: One Of Most Undervalued Tech Stocks In The World\n\n\n\nMetric\nHistorical Fair Value Multiples (all-years)\nFiscal 2021\nFiscal 2022\nFiscal 2023\n\n\nEarnings\n32.2\n$334\n$386\n$480\n\n\nOwner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF)\n24.6\n$218\n$572\nNA\n\n\nOperating Cash Flow\n23.1\n$325\n$362\n$428\n\n\nFree Cash Flow\n30.7\n$338\n$336\n$421\n\n\nEBITDA\n33.2\n$389\n$485\n$597\n\n\nEBIT (operating income)\n45.1\n$298\n$416\n$541\n\n\nAverage\n$307\n$413\n$485\n\n\nCurrent Price\n$237.76\n\n\nDiscount To Fair Value\n23%\n42%\n51%\n\n\nUpside To Fair Value\n29%\n74%\n104%\n\n\nAnnualized Total Return Potential\nNA\n74%\n46%\n\n\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nBABA is trading at a 42% discount to fiscal 2022 consensus fundamentals (which ends March 2022)\n\nA return to average historical fair value by the end of March 2023 would result in a 46% CAGR total return\n2021 fair value range: $336 to $572\n2021 Harmonic Average Fair Value (smooths out outliers): $413\n\nEven using the most conservative fair value of $336, BABA is still 29% undervalued and a potentially good speculative buy.\n(Source: FAST Graphs, FactSet Research)\n\non a blended PE basis, BABA is now tied for the lowest valuation in its history on the NYSE\nin other words, if you've ever wanted to buy BABA, now is the time\nvery likely to be near its eventual bottom\n\nI know that a lot of readers are now thinking \"sure, consensus estimates say BABA is a growth powerhouse, BUT what if analysts are wrong.\"\nThere is one thing we know for certain about all growth consensus estimates.\n\nthey are wrong\nthe question is how much\n\nAlibaba Analyst Scorecard\n\n\nDespite a highly complex business model analysts are relatively good at forecasting BABA's growth. Specifically, the company has only missed two-year earnings growth forecasts twice out of the six years that analysts have offered them.\n\nthe margin of error 20% to the upside and downside (modern era with lots of analyst coverage)\nlong-term growth consensus range: 20.0% to 26% CAGR\nlong-term growth consensus (from all 60 analysts ): 25.3% CAGR\nthe margin of error adjusted long-term growth consensus range: 16% to 32% CAGR\n\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nThe current analyst consensus of 26.0% CAGR is similar to the growth rate of the last five years. The historical growth range since BABA came to the NYSE is 20% to 44% CAGR.\nThe secular growth catalysts represented by BABA's dominance in Chinese digital payments, banking, cloud computing, online retail, digital marketing, etc., means that I consider the analyst growth consensus range reasonable and achievable.\nStricter regulations are not expected to hamper BABA's growth significantly, according to the 60 analyst median consensus.\nReason 4: Total Return Potential That Could Make You Rich\n\nfor non-dividend stocks, total returns generated from growth and valuation mean reversion is the entire point for most investors\nBABA's consensus return potential is outstanding\n\nBABA 2023 Consensus Return Potential\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nIf BABA grows as analysts expect through March 2023, and returns to historical fair value, then investors could expect\n\n102% total returns\n39.9% CAGR returns\nvs. 2.9% CAGR S&P 500\n14X better than the S&P 500\n\nAlibaba March 2027 Consensus Return Potential\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research) - actual consensus EPS estimates through 2026\nIf BABA grows as analysts expect through March 2027, and returns to historical fair value, then you could expect\n\n324% total returns, more than quadrupling your investment\n26.8% CAGR returns\nvs. 6.5% CAGR S&P 500\n\nOver the very long term, here's what analysts expect.\n\n0% yield + 26.0% CAGR growth = 26.0% CAGR total returns (16% to 32% CAGR range)\nvs. 8.0% CAGR S&P 500 and 9.1% CAGR dividend aristocrats\n\nReason 5: Total Return Potential That Could Turn Thousands Into Tens Of Millions Over Decades\nWhat does potential hyper-growth sustained over many years and decades look like? Generation wealth, that can not just fund your rich retirement, but that of your children and grandchildren as well.\nAlibaba 30-Year Monte Carlo Simulation, Statistical Inflation+ Tax Adjusted Total Return Forecast\n\n\n\nMonte Carlo simulation results for 5000 portfolios with $1,000 initial portfolio balance using available statistical model data from Jan 2015 to Dec 2020.Returns were modeled as correlated random samples from a multivariate normal distribution.The historical pre-tax return for the selected portfolio for this period was 21.09% mean return (14.38% CAGR) with a 36.62% standard deviation of annual returns.The simulated asset returns were adjusted based on provided tax assumptions.The simulated inflation model used historical inflation with a 1.75% mean and 0.94% standard deviation based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) data from Jan 2015 to Dec 2020.The generated inflation samples were correlated with simulated asset returns based on historical correlations.The available historical data for the simulation inputs was constrained by Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) [Oct 2014 - Feb 2021]. (Source: Portfolio Visualizer)\n\nBABA's historical returns are depressed because it's currently in a bear market. Yet even if it delivers historical returns over the next 30 years, the standard retirement time frame there is an 80% statistical probability that\n\n$1,000 invested today becomes $6,500 to $324,000\nadjusted-for inflation and taxes\nassuming top tax bracket, including for my home state of MN\n\nWhat if BABA is able to sustain approximately 15% CAGR growth for longer than 30 years? Then a modest investment today could transform into generation wealth.\nAlibaba 75-Year Monte Carlo Simulation, Statistical Inflation+ Tax Adjusted Total Return Forecast\n(Source: Portfolio Visualizer)\n\nwith a $75,000 total investment, made at the best valuations in five years, there is a very good statistical chance that I will eventually become an Alibaba millionaire\nthere is a decent chance that my children and grandchildren will be Alibaba billionaires\n\nReason 6: One Of The Most Reasonable And Prudent Growth Stocks You Can Buy Today\nI never recommend a company, much less put my own money at risk, without first knowing exactly how prudent a potential investment it is relative to the S&P 500, most people's default alternative.\n\nThe investment decision score is based on valuation and the three core principles of all successful long-term investors.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n(Source:Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool)\nBABA is one of the most reasonable and prudent hyper-growth stocks you can buy today. It offers\n\nobjectively superior quality to the average S&P 500 company (credit ratings and ROC)\nmuch faster growth (3 to 4X faster)\nmuch superior valuation (mirror image of the S&P 500)\n6X the 5-year risk-adjusted expected returns\n\nThat's assuming you're\n\ncomfortable with the risk profile (see dive section)\nown it within a diversified and prudently risk-managed portfolio\n\nAlibaba Risk Profile: Why BABA Isn't Right For EveryoneFundamental Risk Summary\n\n In our view, the most pressing risks to the Alibaba investment thesis are a sustained slowdown in Chinese consumption patterns, e-commerce competition, increased regulatory scrutiny, and the possibility that ancillary businesses divert management's attention and reduce profitability.China's e-commerce landscape has become increasingly competitive, with Pinduoduo registering faster GMV and user growth than Alibaba with the support of Tencent's traffic and its group-buying traffic generation method, and JD.com positioning itself as a credible rival through its fulfillment capability, quality assurance, and its partnerships with Tencent. These platforms do not yet have Alibaba's scale in China, but they specialize in specific products or services, or markets, which might impede Alibaba's growth.Alibaba is also subject to increased online and mobile payment regulation. Financial regulators in China have continuously scrutinized online and mobile payment services. Alibaba has persistently faced the issue of counterfeit and infringing goods on its marketplaces. Hangzhou government's assigning of representatives to work inside Alibaba also raise concerns of some investors, although there is no evidence of consequence of value destruction for Alibaba.Expansion into peripheral businesses might distract management, reduce profitability without materially improve Alibaba's ecosystem. While we're optimistic about Alibaba's ability to become a preferred partner for international retailers and consumer brands looking to sell in China, the firm does not enjoy the same network effect and brand recognition in other countries, and it may face challenges directly expanding in these markets...Like many other Chinese Internet companies listed in overseas markets, Alibaba operates under a\n variable interest entity, or VIE, structuredesigned to let companies bypass Chinese legal restrictions on foreign ownership in certain sectors.Alibaba's foreign investors will essentially hold shares of Alibaba's VIE domiciled in the Cayman Islands. We don't expect any legal challenges to VIE structures by the Chinese government in the future. However, if the legitimacy of Alibaba's related VIE is found to violate applicable law or regulation, Chinese regulatory authorities might take action against the VIE, including revoking the business and operating licenses of Alibaba's subsidiaries or the VIE, or discontinuing, restricting, or restructuring Alibaba's operations. Since the Chinese Ministry of Commerce has the jurisdiction to regulate VIEs, we believe overseas investors would have limited legal rights...Despite\n management's proven execution capabilities,\n we have concerns regarding Alibaba's corporate governance, which is reflected in our Poor equity stewardship rating.In our view,\n Alibaba is led by a capable and ambitious management team. Founder and former executive chairman Jack Ma has been the keeper of the flame since the company's founding in 1999. Under his leadership, Alibaba has become China's leading e-commerce player, accounting for the majority of transaction volume for China's online shopping industry.Over the past decade, Taobao has transformed the shopping behaviors of millions of Chinese consumers. We believe management has also done a commendable job developing and preserving Alibaba's wide economic moat by building several other leading online marketplaces and platforms such a Tmall, Juhuasuan, Alibaba.com, AliExpress, Alipay, AliCloud, and Ele.me. Although the company faces a potentially uneven long-term economic backdrop and new sources of competition in China,\n we remain confident that Alibaba can sustain its wide economic moat over the long term under its existing leadership.Ma's decision to step away from Alibaba's executive chairman role in 2019 and the company's board of directors will not affect our positive long-term bias for two reasons. First,\n we believe recent results demonstrate that Alibaba has a deep management bench,\n including current CEO Daniel Zhang(who was appointed CEO of Alibaba Group in May 2015, will assume the chairman role in 2019, and played a central role in the development of the Singles Day shopping event, building the Tmall platform from a regional to global business-to-consumer platform, and deploying several of Alibaba's \"New Retail\" strategies) and executive vice chairman Joe Tsai. Second, we believe Ma's involvement with the Alibaba Partnership--a group of core company managers--will allow him to stay involved with key strategic decisions...We harbor concerns about Alibaba's partnership structure, which might jeopardize the board's independence.The partnership is led by a committee of five, including Ma, executive vice chairman Joe Tsai, and CEO Daniel Zhang. The Alibaba Partnership has the exclusive right to nominate or appoint up to a simple majority of the members of its board of directors.Any board candidate it nominates is presented to shareholders for voting. If the candidate is not elected by shareholders, the partnership can appoint another candidate without a vote. That candidate will serve as an interim director until the next annual general meeting, where either the same candidate or yet another nominee proposed by Alibaba partners will stand for election.The current board of directors is composed of 11 directors, five of which are Alibaba Partnership nominees. Alibaba Partnership can also nominate or appoint two additional directors to the board, which would increase the number of directors to 13, and the Partnership will get majority control of the board.\n The Partnership essentially controls the board and limits the influence of outside shareholders.\" - Morningstar (emphasis added)\n\nMSCI, Reuters and Morningstar, as well as S&P, Fitch, and Moody's have concerns about BABA's corporate governance, which is factored into each company's respective rating on BABA's credit and material ESG risk (more on that later).\n\nall Chinese companies are speculative\nthus requiring a 5% higher margin of safety to be a potentially good buy (20% in the case of BABA)\ninvestors not comfortable with BABA's complex risk profile should not own it\nno company is right for everyone\n\nAlibaba ESG Risk Analysis: An Important Component Of A Company's Overall Financial Risk Profile (But Especially For Chinese Tech Companies)\n\ncritically important to anyone concerned about corporate governance and potential accounting fraud\n\nIn today's hyperpolarized political climate, some investors consider ESG to be political/personal ethics/opinion-driven nonsense.\nESG as measured by institutions is NOT simply the concern of \"woke\" and \"on-trend\" hippy millennials trying to virtue signal to impress Silicon Valley venture capitalists or social media followers.\n\n Companies with strong ESG profiles may be better positioned for future challenges and experience fewer instances of bribery, corruption, and fraud.\" - MSCI\n\nAccording to the world's best risk-assessors, ESG metrics are a critical component of a company's overall risk profile. Here's who considers ESG important and builds it into their safety models and ratings.\n\nBlackRock - #1 asset manager in the world\nMSCI - #1 indexing giant\nMorningstar\nReuters/Refinitiv\nISS (Institutional Shareholder Services) - #1 corporate proxy firm on earth\nS&P\nFitch\nMoody's\nDBRS (Canadian credit rating agency)\nAMBest (insurance industry rating agency)\n\nThe reason some investors consider ESG to be political is that some investors consider some industries to be inherently \"evil\" such as tobacco, energy, big tech, pharma, health insurers, fast-food, snack foods, and defense contractors.\n\nsuch opinions are personal and based on individual ethics\nESG scores as calculated by institutions are quantitatively based and focused on only fundamental financial risks to the underlying business\nthey are compared against industry peers and as objective as can be realistically expected\n\nPersonal ethical or political opinions are not what rating agencies or asset managers care about.\nMSCI rates over 2,800 global companies on 37 ESG metrics, using a quantitative and qualitative approach, just as all the rating agencies do, and Ben Graham recommended.\n\n Our global team of 185 experienced research analysts assesses thousands of data points across 37 ESG Key Issues, focusing on the intersection between a company's core business and the industry issues that can create significant risks and opportunities for the company. Companies are rated on an AAA-CCC scale\n relative to the standards and performance of their industry peers...\n\n\n\n The MSCI ESG rating model seeks to answer four key questions about companies:• What are the most significant ESG risks and opportunities facing a company and its industry?• How exposed is the company to those key risks and/or opportunities?• How well is the company managing key risks and opportunities?• What is the overall picture for the company and how does it compare to its global industry peers?\" - MSCI\n\n\n(Source: MSCI)\nThe ESG scores you find from the best risk-assessors in the world are not opinions based on political correctness.They use a quantitative approach to fundamental company risk analysis.One based on decades of historical data pertaining to minimizing the risk of fundamental deterioration, bankruptcy, and stock/bond investors getting wiped out.\n\nESG risk ratings + trends make up about 20% of the overall DK quality score for most companies that have an ESG rating from MSCI, Morningstar/Sustainalytics, and Reuters/Refinitiv\n\n\n\n(Source: MSCI)\n\nbased on the 12 material sustainability factors MSCI's 185 industry experts believe is important to financial risk for midstream companies, BABA scores are in the bottom 37% of its peers (below average)\nthat score is has been improving over the last four years\nthough it dipped one level in the 2020 annual update\n\nHow Morningstar/Sustainalytics Assesses Long-Term ESG Financial Risk\n\nMorningstar/Sustainalytics cares about material ESG variables that are historically correlated to a company's enterprise value (market cap + net debt)\nFinancial risk NOT political/personal ethical opinions are what Morningstar assesses\n20 fundamental metrics analyzed, compared to industry peers\n100 point risk scale\nlower is better\n\n\n\n\n\n\nEvery controversy surrounding BABA is factored into Morningstar ESG risk rating. That includes the controversies around anti-trust practices for which it's now under investigation by Chinese regulators.\n\nMorningstar considers this to be a medium ESG risk industry\nand management is doing an average job of managing that risk\nMorningstar scores BABA 26.2 \"medium risk\" in the bottom 25% of tech companies and in the top 43% of all 13,645 companies Morningstar rates\nrisk rating increased from 24.6 to 26.2 in the past year due to increasing regulatory concerns\n\nReuters/Refinitiv also provides ESG financial risk ratings.\n\nover 150 industry experts covering over 7,000 global companies\nbased on 400+ fundamental metrics\nand 178 materially important financial ESG risk factors\n\n\n\n\n(Source: Refinitiv)\n\n(Source: Interactive Brokers)\n\nReuters ranks BABA as in the bottom 30% of its peers on actual financial ESG risk\nin the top 40% in terms of environmental issues\nbottom 30% for social\nbottom 20% for corporate governance\nand near the very bottom of its industry on controversies\nfor a combined score that's in the bottom 10% of its peers\nwhich is why BABA's dependability score fell from 75% to 68% and resulted in a downgrade from 11/12 to 10/12 speculative quality (about two months ago)\nand why I'm looking to invest a maximum of $100K into BABA vs. $1 million into far lower risk Amazon\nrisks with BABA are far higher than with AMZN\n\nWhen no less than 10 of the world's most reputable risk assessors say something is important to long-term financial risk for a company you can be sure that Dividend Kings will include it in our 61 metric safety model and 126 point quality score (converted to a 100% scale).\n\nthere is no such thing as a \"risk-free\" company\nfactoring in all material financial risks is how you determine whether a company is appropriate for your needs\nand how we determine the margin of safety required to compensate us for that risk and thus determine potentially good buy prices or better\nno average investor can ever be a true expert on a company\nbut DK knows where to find the most reliable expert data to create a comprehensive safety, dependability, and quality score that includes every major risk factor a company has\n\nNo less than Ben Graham, the father of securities analysis considered qualitative factors critical to making prudent long-term investing decisions.\n\n... a satisfactory statistical exhibition is a necessary though by no means a sufficient condition for a favorable decision by the analyst.\"-Benjamin Graham, Security Analysis (1951 ed.), Page 76\n\nIn other words, Graham considered a combination of quantitative and qualitative analysis, looking at the past, present, and likely future, to be the optimal strategy for making sound long-term investments.\n\nDividend Kings uses risk ratings from eight of the world's most reputable agencies\nif fundamentals weaken our model will know it and our scores, ratings, and recommendations will change accordingly\n\nBottom Line: Alibaba Is Set To Soar And Too Cheap To Ignore\nI can't tell you what any stock will do over the next few weeks, months or even a year or two.\n\naccording to JPMorgan Asset Management, 92% of 12-month returns are a function of luck\nover 10+ years 90% to 91% of returns are a function of fundamentals\nover the long-term fundamentals are 11X as powerful as luck\n\nAlibaba represented one of the most undervalued hyper-growth tech blue-chips before this interest rate pullback in tech began.\nAlibaba's recent decline has been sharper than many peers, which isn't justified by its recent earnings results, or overall fundamentals.\nThe long-term growth outlook has gotten better, not worse.\nWhile BABA will always be an inherently speculative company, for those comfortable with the risk profile, a 42% margin of safety more than compensate for the risks you're facing.\nIn the coming years, BABA has the potential to deliver Buffett-like returns that are almost 6X the risk-adjusted returns of the S&P 500.\nEventually, the cash pile will grow so large, the company will be forced to start buying back stocks and paying dividends.\nA modest investment in BABA today could fund a comfortable or even lavish retirement purely from future dividends in a few decades.\nPrudent long-term investors know that through a disciplined application of financial science we never have to pray for luck. We make our own luck over time.\nWhen it comes to Alibaba, as close to a perfect hyper-growth blue-chip investment as exists on Wall Street today, the time to make our own luck is now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362303120,"gmtCreate":1614592769360,"gmtModify":1704772788529,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehe","listText":"Hehe","text":"Hehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362303120","repostId":"2116453148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":368008692,"gmtCreate":1614264775516,"gmtModify":1704769882597,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/368008692","repostId":"1165777611","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363225756,"gmtCreate":1614144481375,"gmtModify":1704888695138,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363225756","repostId":"2113835326","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2113835326","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1614138972,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2113835326?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-02-24 11:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The RealReal Missed On Earnings, But Analysts See Hope As Economy Reopens","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2113835326","media":"Benzinga","summary":"RealReal Inc (NASDAQ:REAL) shares were trading lower Tuesday after the company reported earnings tha","content":"<p><b>RealReal Inc</b> (NASDAQ:REAL) shares were trading lower Tuesday after the company reported earnings that missed expectations.</p>\n<p>On Monday, the RealReal reported a fourth-quarter adjusted loss of 49 cents per share, missing the Street estimate by eight cents. The company reported revenue of $84.6 million, down 13.09% compared to the same period last year, missing the Street estimate of $94 million.</p>\n<p>RealReal saw declining revenues in 2020 brought on by the pandemic but is optimistic it will continue to grow its business as the economy continues to reopen.</p>\n<p>“We are seeing encouraging signs of recovery, with December GMV back to growth and quarter-to-date trends even stronger,” Julie Wainwright, founder, CEO and chairperson of the RealReal said on a conference call.</p>\n<p>The luxury consignment store, which has an online and brick-and-mortar footprint, plans to open 10 new stores in 2021.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REAL\">The RealReal</a>’s Expansion Costs:</b> Although analysts expect the RealReal to improve its revenue growth as it expands its vendors, “We do see higher costs across the board in '21 given: 1) The rollout of 10 neighborhood stores, 2) the opening of the new Arizona authentication center, 3) investments in technology, and 4) increased sales hiring ahead of the expected demand increase,” <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Lauren Schenk said in a note.</p>\n<p>Although Raymond James analyst Aaron Kessler believes the RealReal may struggle in the near-term, due to the high costs of its business expansion plans, he remains positive on the company’s fundamentals long-term.</p>\n<p>“Elevated near-term expenses (new Arizona facility, retail expansion) will likely weigh on street EBITDA estimates though they should position the company for stronger long-term growth and operating leverage,” the analyst said.</p>\n<p><b>The RealReal's Position As The Economy Reopens:</b> “We see REAL as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the ecommerce names most levered to the reopening given not only its end market demand (luxury/apparel), but also its supply dynamics,” Schenk said.</p>\n<p>KeyBanc analyst Edward Yruma sees increased revenue coming from the RealReal planned opening of the new brick-and-mortar stores in 2021.</p>\n<p>“Neighborhood stores should serve as effective marketing tools not only for increasing supply, but also for attracting new buyers,” the analyst said</p>\n<p>Needham analyst Rick Patel believes revenue will accelerate over the next few quarters as customers return to consigning, which will help the RealReal boost its inventory.</p>\n<p>“Over the past year, REAL has been more supply constrained than demand constrained. When the pandemic began, supply units were (46%) in April ’20 but are now on an improving trend with 4Q20 units +13%,” the analyst said.</p>\n<p>Raymond James analyst Kessler believes the recovery is priced in.</p>\n<p>“While we remain positive on long-term fundamentals (large luxury goods market shifting online, 25% longterm growth outlook, 20%+ long-term EBITDA margins), we believe risk reward is more balanced at current levels,” the analyst said.</p>\n<p><b>The RealReal Ratings, Price Targets:</b> KeyBanc maintained its Overweight rating and price target of $32.</p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley maintained its Equal-weight rating and increased its price target from $17 to $25.</p>\n<p>Needham maintained a Hold rating.</p>\n<p>Raymond James downgraded its rating from Outperform to Market Perform and maintained a price target of $17.</p>\n<p>RealReal's stock closed down 13.32% at $24.82 per share.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b9d9d0ea8ca2f4768fd7d380c08ef7a\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"243\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The RealReal Missed On Earnings, But Analysts See Hope As Economy Reopens</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe RealReal Missed On Earnings, But Analysts See Hope As Economy Reopens\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-02-24 11:56</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>RealReal Inc</b> (NASDAQ:REAL) shares were trading lower Tuesday after the company reported earnings that missed expectations.</p>\n<p>On Monday, the RealReal reported a fourth-quarter adjusted loss of 49 cents per share, missing the Street estimate by eight cents. The company reported revenue of $84.6 million, down 13.09% compared to the same period last year, missing the Street estimate of $94 million.</p>\n<p>RealReal saw declining revenues in 2020 brought on by the pandemic but is optimistic it will continue to grow its business as the economy continues to reopen.</p>\n<p>“We are seeing encouraging signs of recovery, with December GMV back to growth and quarter-to-date trends even stronger,” Julie Wainwright, founder, CEO and chairperson of the RealReal said on a conference call.</p>\n<p>The luxury consignment store, which has an online and brick-and-mortar footprint, plans to open 10 new stores in 2021.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REAL\">The RealReal</a>’s Expansion Costs:</b> Although analysts expect the RealReal to improve its revenue growth as it expands its vendors, “We do see higher costs across the board in '21 given: 1) The rollout of 10 neighborhood stores, 2) the opening of the new Arizona authentication center, 3) investments in technology, and 4) increased sales hiring ahead of the expected demand increase,” <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Lauren Schenk said in a note.</p>\n<p>Although Raymond James analyst Aaron Kessler believes the RealReal may struggle in the near-term, due to the high costs of its business expansion plans, he remains positive on the company’s fundamentals long-term.</p>\n<p>“Elevated near-term expenses (new Arizona facility, retail expansion) will likely weigh on street EBITDA estimates though they should position the company for stronger long-term growth and operating leverage,” the analyst said.</p>\n<p><b>The RealReal's Position As The Economy Reopens:</b> “We see REAL as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the ecommerce names most levered to the reopening given not only its end market demand (luxury/apparel), but also its supply dynamics,” Schenk said.</p>\n<p>KeyBanc analyst Edward Yruma sees increased revenue coming from the RealReal planned opening of the new brick-and-mortar stores in 2021.</p>\n<p>“Neighborhood stores should serve as effective marketing tools not only for increasing supply, but also for attracting new buyers,” the analyst said</p>\n<p>Needham analyst Rick Patel believes revenue will accelerate over the next few quarters as customers return to consigning, which will help the RealReal boost its inventory.</p>\n<p>“Over the past year, REAL has been more supply constrained than demand constrained. When the pandemic began, supply units were (46%) in April ’20 but are now on an improving trend with 4Q20 units +13%,” the analyst said.</p>\n<p>Raymond James analyst Kessler believes the recovery is priced in.</p>\n<p>“While we remain positive on long-term fundamentals (large luxury goods market shifting online, 25% longterm growth outlook, 20%+ long-term EBITDA margins), we believe risk reward is more balanced at current levels,” the analyst said.</p>\n<p><b>The RealReal Ratings, Price Targets:</b> KeyBanc maintained its Overweight rating and price target of $32.</p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley maintained its Equal-weight rating and increased its price target from $17 to $25.</p>\n<p>Needham maintained a Hold rating.</p>\n<p>Raymond James downgraded its rating from Outperform to Market Perform and maintained a price target of $17.</p>\n<p>RealReal's stock closed down 13.32% at $24.82 per share.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b9d9d0ea8ca2f4768fd7d380c08ef7a\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"243\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"REAL":"The RealReal"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2113835326","content_text":"RealReal Inc (NASDAQ:REAL) shares were trading lower Tuesday after the company reported earnings that missed expectations.\nOn Monday, the RealReal reported a fourth-quarter adjusted loss of 49 cents per share, missing the Street estimate by eight cents. The company reported revenue of $84.6 million, down 13.09% compared to the same period last year, missing the Street estimate of $94 million.\nRealReal saw declining revenues in 2020 brought on by the pandemic but is optimistic it will continue to grow its business as the economy continues to reopen.\n“We are seeing encouraging signs of recovery, with December GMV back to growth and quarter-to-date trends even stronger,” Julie Wainwright, founder, CEO and chairperson of the RealReal said on a conference call.\nThe luxury consignment store, which has an online and brick-and-mortar footprint, plans to open 10 new stores in 2021.\nThe RealReal’s Expansion Costs: Although analysts expect the RealReal to improve its revenue growth as it expands its vendors, “We do see higher costs across the board in '21 given: 1) The rollout of 10 neighborhood stores, 2) the opening of the new Arizona authentication center, 3) investments in technology, and 4) increased sales hiring ahead of the expected demand increase,” Morgan Stanley analyst Lauren Schenk said in a note.\nAlthough Raymond James analyst Aaron Kessler believes the RealReal may struggle in the near-term, due to the high costs of its business expansion plans, he remains positive on the company’s fundamentals long-term.\n“Elevated near-term expenses (new Arizona facility, retail expansion) will likely weigh on street EBITDA estimates though they should position the company for stronger long-term growth and operating leverage,” the analyst said.\nThe RealReal's Position As The Economy Reopens: “We see REAL as one of the ecommerce names most levered to the reopening given not only its end market demand (luxury/apparel), but also its supply dynamics,” Schenk said.\nKeyBanc analyst Edward Yruma sees increased revenue coming from the RealReal planned opening of the new brick-and-mortar stores in 2021.\n“Neighborhood stores should serve as effective marketing tools not only for increasing supply, but also for attracting new buyers,” the analyst said\nNeedham analyst Rick Patel believes revenue will accelerate over the next few quarters as customers return to consigning, which will help the RealReal boost its inventory.\n“Over the past year, REAL has been more supply constrained than demand constrained. When the pandemic began, supply units were (46%) in April ’20 but are now on an improving trend with 4Q20 units +13%,” the analyst said.\nRaymond James analyst Kessler believes the recovery is priced in.\n“While we remain positive on long-term fundamentals (large luxury goods market shifting online, 25% longterm growth outlook, 20%+ long-term EBITDA margins), we believe risk reward is more balanced at current levels,” the analyst said.\nThe RealReal Ratings, Price Targets: KeyBanc maintained its Overweight rating and price target of $32.\nMorgan Stanley maintained its Equal-weight rating and increased its price target from $17 to $25.\nNeedham maintained a Hold rating.\nRaymond James downgraded its rating from Outperform to Market Perform and maintained a price target of $17.\nRealReal's stock closed down 13.32% at $24.82 per share.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363234800,"gmtCreate":1614140980100,"gmtModify":1704888640428,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363234800","repostId":"2113835326","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363234087,"gmtCreate":1614140926349,"gmtModify":1704888640102,"author":{"id":"3577233785012287","authorId":"3577233785012287","name":"redlobster63","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577233785012287","idStr":"3577233785012287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363234087","repostId":"1185609211","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185609211","pubTimestamp":1614139419,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185609211?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-02-24 12:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why the Plunge in More Speculative Tech Stocks Might Not Be Over Yet","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185609211","media":"TheStreet","summary":"High valuations, margin debt and the ARK effect could lead to more pain for some names. But the sell","content":"<p>High valuations, margin debt and the ARK effect could lead to more pain for some names. But the selloff could also create buying opportunities in other tech companies.</p>\n<p>While many speculative Robinhood favorites are down sharply over the last couple of weeks, they're still often well above where they traded two or three months ago, and arguably remain quite overvalued on the whole.</p>\n<p>For example, while fuel cell plays Plug Power (PLUG) , FuelCell Energy (FCEL) and Ballard Power (BLDP) are now down 40%, 44% and 32%, respectively, from recently-set highs, they're still 67%, 92% and 33% from where they closed three months ago. And they each still sport forward sales multiples north of 40.</p>\n<p>Likewise, 3D printing plays 3D Systems (DDD) , Stratasys (SSYS) and ExOne (XONE) remain up 357%, 147% and 215%, respectively, over the last three months. EV plays QuantumScape (QS) and Luminar Technologies (LAZR) are up 150% and 123%, respectively, over the last three months and still sport sky-high valuations -- QuantumScape, which doesn't expect to see its solid-state battery enter production until 2024, is still worth $20 billion. And soon-to-merge cannabis plays Tilray (TLRY) and Aphria (APHA) are up 252% and 171%, respectively, and maintain double-digit forward sales multiples.</p>\n<p>In a nutshell, valuations are still generally stretched for some companies, and some investors still have large paper profits that they could turn into real profits if the current selling unnerves them. In addition, judging bythe spike seenin margin debt balances over the last few months, many newer investors in these companies could be forced to unload their positions due to margin calls if the selling continues.</p>\n<p>Also, asothers have pointed out, ARK Invest's trading activity could go from being a tailwind for various high-multiple tech stocks to a headwind. In recent months, giant retail investor inflows for the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) and other ARK funds have contributed to the huge rallies seen in various clean energy, 3D printing, software/cloud and biotech names that ARK has been partial to. Conversely, though, major outflows for ARK funds could make the selling pressure in such names during a selloff stronger than it otherwise would be.</p>\n<p>With all that said,I'm not sold at this point on the current selloff being the start of a bear market for tech stocks overall.</p>\n<p>In spite of the speculative frenzy in some corners of tech, quite a few quality tech names remain moderately-valued or just a little expensive right now. And between vaccine rollouts, elevated household savings levels and the likely arrival of additional stimulus in March, the macro backdrop still looks favorable, though it's possible that some stay-at-home plays see demand cool off a bit in the coming months.</p>\n<p><i>Eventually</i>, inflation, higher bond yields and a tightening Fed could become a problem for tech stocks in general. But we still appear to be a ways away from reaching that point, and for now, the Fed remains as accommodative as ever.</p>\n<p>As a result, if the current tech rout continues and leads both very expensive and not-so-expensive companies to see more selling pressure, the risk/reward could start looking very good for some of the more reasonably-priced names.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the Plunge in More Speculative Tech Stocks Might Not Be Over Yet</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the Plunge in More Speculative Tech Stocks Might Not Be Over Yet\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-24 12:03 GMT+8 <a href=https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/technology/why-the-plunge-in-more-speculative-tech-stocks-might-not-be-over-yet-15575838><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>High valuations, margin debt and the ARK effect could lead to more pain for some names. But the selloff could also create buying opportunities in other tech companies.\nWhile many speculative Robinhood...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/technology/why-the-plunge-in-more-speculative-tech-stocks-might-not-be-over-yet-15575838\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FCEL":"燃料电池能源","QS":"Quantumscape Corp.","LAZR":"Luminar Technologies, Inc.","PLUG":"普拉格能源","BLDP":"巴拉德动力系统","DDD":"3D系统","SSYS":"Stratasys","APHA":"Aphria Inc.","XONE":"BondBloxx Bloomberg One Year Target Duration US Treasury ETF","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/technology/why-the-plunge-in-more-speculative-tech-stocks-might-not-be-over-yet-15575838","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185609211","content_text":"High valuations, margin debt and the ARK effect could lead to more pain for some names. But the selloff could also create buying opportunities in other tech companies.\nWhile many speculative Robinhood favorites are down sharply over the last couple of weeks, they're still often well above where they traded two or three months ago, and arguably remain quite overvalued on the whole.\nFor example, while fuel cell plays Plug Power (PLUG) , FuelCell Energy (FCEL) and Ballard Power (BLDP) are now down 40%, 44% and 32%, respectively, from recently-set highs, they're still 67%, 92% and 33% from where they closed three months ago. And they each still sport forward sales multiples north of 40.\nLikewise, 3D printing plays 3D Systems (DDD) , Stratasys (SSYS) and ExOne (XONE) remain up 357%, 147% and 215%, respectively, over the last three months. EV plays QuantumScape (QS) and Luminar Technologies (LAZR) are up 150% and 123%, respectively, over the last three months and still sport sky-high valuations -- QuantumScape, which doesn't expect to see its solid-state battery enter production until 2024, is still worth $20 billion. And soon-to-merge cannabis plays Tilray (TLRY) and Aphria (APHA) are up 252% and 171%, respectively, and maintain double-digit forward sales multiples.\nIn a nutshell, valuations are still generally stretched for some companies, and some investors still have large paper profits that they could turn into real profits if the current selling unnerves them. In addition, judging bythe spike seenin margin debt balances over the last few months, many newer investors in these companies could be forced to unload their positions due to margin calls if the selling continues.\nAlso, asothers have pointed out, ARK Invest's trading activity could go from being a tailwind for various high-multiple tech stocks to a headwind. In recent months, giant retail investor inflows for the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) and other ARK funds have contributed to the huge rallies seen in various clean energy, 3D printing, software/cloud and biotech names that ARK has been partial to. Conversely, though, major outflows for ARK funds could make the selling pressure in such names during a selloff stronger than it otherwise would be.\nWith all that said,I'm not sold at this point on the current selloff being the start of a bear market for tech stocks overall.\nIn spite of the speculative frenzy in some corners of tech, quite a few quality tech names remain moderately-valued or just a little expensive right now. And between vaccine rollouts, elevated household savings levels and the likely arrival of additional stimulus in March, the macro backdrop still looks favorable, though it's possible that some stay-at-home plays see demand cool off a bit in the coming months.\nEventually, inflation, higher bond yields and a tightening Fed could become a problem for tech stocks in general. But we still appear to be a ways away from reaching that point, and for now, the Fed remains as accommodative as ever.\nAs a result, if the current tech rout continues and leads both very expensive and not-so-expensive companies to see more selling pressure, the risk/reward could start looking very good for some of the more reasonably-priced names.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":77,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}