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TOng Nen
03-05 16:12
Brilliant analysis. Sayonara to Mag7 !
How the Mag 7 Became the Lag 7 -- and What's Ahead for the Stocks
TOng Nen
2025-04-16
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Sayonara to Mag7 !","listText":"Brilliant analysis. Sayonara to Mag7 !","text":"Brilliant analysis. Sayonara to Mag7 !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/539348084007928","repostId":"2617515348","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2617515348","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1772694687,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2617515348?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-03-05 15:11","market":"other","language":"en","title":"How the Mag 7 Became the Lag 7 -- and What's Ahead for the Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2617515348","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Stick a fork in it. Turn out the lights. Hasta la vista.Say it anyway you'd like. The simple truth is the Magnificent Seven trade is over. Finito. Dead. The collective stock market outperformance of those seven tech icons -- Alphabet, Amazon.com, Apple, Meta Platforms, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Tesla -- is now a thing of the past.The group may still do OK, and some of the individual stocks may even kill it, but the slam-dunk, set-it-and-forget-it, run-circles-around-the-market era of the Mag Seven is gone with the wind.True, folks predicted the demise of the Mag Seven's dominance last year, and it didn't happen. What's different now is that artificial intelligence has thickened the plot.First, AI subverts the tech giants' economies of scale by lowering the relatively high fixed cost","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stick a fork in it. Turn out the lights. Hasta la vista.</p><p>Say it anyway you'd like. The simple truth is the Magnificent Seven trade is over. Finito. Dead. The collective stock market outperformance of those seven tech icons -- Alphabet, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>.com, Apple, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a>, Microsoft, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> -- is now a thing of the past.</p><p>The group may still do OK, and some of the individual stocks may even kill it, but the slam-dunk, set-it-and-forget-it, run-circles-around-the-market era of the Mag Seven is gone with the wind.</p><p>Recall that BofA Securities analyst Michael Hartnett coined the term Magnificent Seven in 2023, referring to the 1960 John Sturges Western gunslinger flick (an adaptation of Akira Kurosawa's 1954 film Seven Samurai). Since then those stocks have been lights out, up 76% in 2023, 47.5% in 2024, and 19.3% last year, beating the market every year, according to FactSet. Even with the group's performance down a bit last year, it contributed 42% of the S&P 500's total return, according to Matthew Smart, director of financial planning and portfolio analysis at WWM Investments. And the Mag Seven accounts for roughly one-third of the index's market cap.</p><p>We've seen this movie before. There was the Era of the Titans in the 1960s, when 10 companies, led by AT&T, General Motors, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon</a> Mobil, then called Standard Oil, accounted for nearly 30% of the market; the Nifty Fifty in the late 1960s and early 1970s; and the dot-com era, when mega tech stocks Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Intel, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell</a> Technologies made up 27% of the market. Now the market is even more concentrated in fewer stocks.</p><p>True, folks predicted the demise of the Mag Seven's dominance last year, and it didn't happen. What's different now is that artificial intelligence has thickened the plot.</p><p>For starters, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta (as well as Oracle) are spending jaw-dropping money on data centers and Nvidia chips. (This is less the case for Tesla and Apple -- and of course, Nvidia stands to benefit.) Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research, notes that the "hyperscalers are set to spend $670 billion on capex in 2026, up from $410 billion in 2025 and $240 billion in 2024. Free cash flow is plummeting and has already turned negative for Oracle." This spending lowers the heretofore bountiful margins of the Mag Seven and makes their financials more opaque as they tap Wall Street for complex loan and funding strategies.</p><p>But wait, there's more -- which Berezin lays out in a recent paper, "AI Will Kill The Tech Monopolies." Tech companies, Berezin says, have historically generated profits from three sources: economies of scale, network effects, and proprietary technologies. "A lot of things that Mag Seven have enjoyed that have contributed to their profitability could now be threatened by AI," he argues.</p><p>First, AI subverts the tech giants' economies of scale by lowering the relatively high fixed costs of writing software, which had served as a protective moat for these companies. AI allows anyone to code. And the market has brutally punished software companies, with the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> Expanded Tech-Software Sector exchange-traded fund down some 30% from its 2025 peak. On the variable cost side of the coin, spending on graphics processing units and data centers, as well as massive electricity bills, are sending tech companies' capital-light models the way of the dial-up modem.</p><p>As for network effects, which have greatly facilitated the likes of Facebook, YouTube, and LinkedIn, Berezin sees AI undermining this advantage in two ways. First, as AI bots populate these sites with fake images and get-rich schemes, audiences will tune out. Second, and even more concerning for the networks, is that AI systems could create a content feed layered on top of one's preferred social media. This would reduce the leverage that, say, YouTube has over an influencer, who could bypass that channel and post anywhere and get picked up by the AI algorithm.</p><p>When it comes to proprietary technology, Berezin argues that since much of what goes into creating AI systems is open source, it will be difficult for any one company to achieve a monopoly position. Incumbents that increasingly use AI as part of their core processes, like Microsoft and Alphabet, will lose monopoly power as it lessens the degree to which they are differentiated.</p><p>The markets seem to be waking up to all this. Mean reversion, never an "if" but a "when" proposition, may already be occurring. The Mag Seven is down 7.2% year to date, while the S&P 500 is off 0.89%. What would the S&P 500's performance be if you stripped out the Mag Seven? A proxy for that is the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMAG\">Defiance Large Cap ex-Mag 7 ETF</a>, which I wrote about at its launch in October 2024 and which owns all the stocks in the S&P 500 except those seven. It's up 1.89% year to date.</p><p>"There are periods of time where the Mag Seven has taken a back seat, and this year is one of them," says Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer of Defiance ETFs.</p><p>Another non-Mag Seven play is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF, which mutes the outperformance of the Mag Seven (or any other stock) by equal-weighting each stock in the index and rebalancing every quarter. It's up 5.1% year to date.</p><p>Circling back to the 1960 Sturges movie, near the end of the flick a character remarks that the Magnificent Seven gunslingers were "like the wind, blowing over the land and passing on." So too, now, perhaps this latest version.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How the Mag 7 Became the Lag 7 -- and What's Ahead for the Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow the Mag 7 Became the Lag 7 -- and What's Ahead for the Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-05 15:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stick a fork in it. Turn out the lights. Hasta la vista.</p><p>Say it anyway you'd like. The simple truth is the Magnificent Seven trade is over. Finito. Dead. The collective stock market outperformance of those seven tech icons -- Alphabet, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>.com, Apple, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a>, Microsoft, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> -- is now a thing of the past.</p><p>The group may still do OK, and some of the individual stocks may even kill it, but the slam-dunk, set-it-and-forget-it, run-circles-around-the-market era of the Mag Seven is gone with the wind.</p><p>Recall that BofA Securities analyst Michael Hartnett coined the term Magnificent Seven in 2023, referring to the 1960 John Sturges Western gunslinger flick (an adaptation of Akira Kurosawa's 1954 film Seven Samurai). Since then those stocks have been lights out, up 76% in 2023, 47.5% in 2024, and 19.3% last year, beating the market every year, according to FactSet. Even with the group's performance down a bit last year, it contributed 42% of the S&P 500's total return, according to Matthew Smart, director of financial planning and portfolio analysis at WWM Investments. And the Mag Seven accounts for roughly one-third of the index's market cap.</p><p>We've seen this movie before. There was the Era of the Titans in the 1960s, when 10 companies, led by AT&T, General Motors, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon</a> Mobil, then called Standard Oil, accounted for nearly 30% of the market; the Nifty Fifty in the late 1960s and early 1970s; and the dot-com era, when mega tech stocks Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Intel, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell</a> Technologies made up 27% of the market. Now the market is even more concentrated in fewer stocks.</p><p>True, folks predicted the demise of the Mag Seven's dominance last year, and it didn't happen. What's different now is that artificial intelligence has thickened the plot.</p><p>For starters, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta (as well as Oracle) are spending jaw-dropping money on data centers and Nvidia chips. (This is less the case for Tesla and Apple -- and of course, Nvidia stands to benefit.) Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research, notes that the "hyperscalers are set to spend $670 billion on capex in 2026, up from $410 billion in 2025 and $240 billion in 2024. Free cash flow is plummeting and has already turned negative for Oracle." This spending lowers the heretofore bountiful margins of the Mag Seven and makes their financials more opaque as they tap Wall Street for complex loan and funding strategies.</p><p>But wait, there's more -- which Berezin lays out in a recent paper, "AI Will Kill The Tech Monopolies." Tech companies, Berezin says, have historically generated profits from three sources: economies of scale, network effects, and proprietary technologies. "A lot of things that Mag Seven have enjoyed that have contributed to their profitability could now be threatened by AI," he argues.</p><p>First, AI subverts the tech giants' economies of scale by lowering the relatively high fixed costs of writing software, which had served as a protective moat for these companies. AI allows anyone to code. And the market has brutally punished software companies, with the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> Expanded Tech-Software Sector exchange-traded fund down some 30% from its 2025 peak. On the variable cost side of the coin, spending on graphics processing units and data centers, as well as massive electricity bills, are sending tech companies' capital-light models the way of the dial-up modem.</p><p>As for network effects, which have greatly facilitated the likes of Facebook, YouTube, and LinkedIn, Berezin sees AI undermining this advantage in two ways. First, as AI bots populate these sites with fake images and get-rich schemes, audiences will tune out. Second, and even more concerning for the networks, is that AI systems could create a content feed layered on top of one's preferred social media. This would reduce the leverage that, say, YouTube has over an influencer, who could bypass that channel and post anywhere and get picked up by the AI algorithm.</p><p>When it comes to proprietary technology, Berezin argues that since much of what goes into creating AI systems is open source, it will be difficult for any one company to achieve a monopoly position. Incumbents that increasingly use AI as part of their core processes, like Microsoft and Alphabet, will lose monopoly power as it lessens the degree to which they are differentiated.</p><p>The markets seem to be waking up to all this. Mean reversion, never an "if" but a "when" proposition, may already be occurring. The Mag Seven is down 7.2% year to date, while the S&P 500 is off 0.89%. What would the S&P 500's performance be if you stripped out the Mag Seven? A proxy for that is the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMAG\">Defiance Large Cap ex-Mag 7 ETF</a>, which I wrote about at its launch in October 2024 and which owns all the stocks in the S&P 500 except those seven. It's up 1.89% year to date.</p><p>"There are periods of time where the Mag Seven has taken a back seat, and this year is one of them," says Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer of Defiance ETFs.</p><p>Another non-Mag Seven play is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF, which mutes the outperformance of the Mag Seven (or any other stock) by equal-weighting each stock in the index and rebalancing every quarter. It's up 5.1% year to date.</p><p>Circling back to the 1960 Sturges movie, near the end of the flick a character remarks that the Magnificent Seven gunslingers were "like the wind, blowing over the land and passing on." So too, now, perhaps this latest version.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0823421416.USD":"BNP PARIBAS DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY \"C\" (USD) INC","LU1992135399.USD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AT Acc USD","LU2720916845.USD":"BGF GLOBAL UNCONSTRAINED EQUITY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU2247934214.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS SUSTAINABLE FUTURE CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1935042215.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME \"AA\" (USD) INC A","LU2413666699.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) INC","LU2458330169.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU2458330243.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH TECHNOLOGY \"A-H1\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0823434583.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US GROWTH \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","LU0823434740.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US GROWTH \"C\" (USD) INC","LU2896262040.SGD":"JPM US GROWTH FUND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0048573561.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0965509010.AUD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (AUDHDG) INC","HK0000914686.HKD":"GFI Global Select Equity Fund Class A (HKD)","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","HK0000914660.USD":"GFI Global Select Equity Fund Class A (USD)","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0175139822.USD":"AB FCP I Global Equity Blend A USD","LU2095319765.USD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A USD","LU0211326755.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1571399168.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"IP\" (USD) ACC","LU0545562505.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL QUALITY DIVIDEND GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999014898.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fund Dis SGD","LU1582986359.USD":"M&G (LUX) INCOME ALLOCATION \"A-H\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU2210150020.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A SGD","LU2487616109.SGD":"JPM AMERICA EQUITY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0210528500.USD":"JPM AMERICA EQUITY \"A\" ACC","LU2210149790.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A SGD-H","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0444971666.USD":"天利全球科技基金","LU2089283258.USD":"安联环球可持续基金Cl AM Dis","SGXZ99366536.SGD":"United Global Innovation A Acc SGD-H","IE00B4YYXB79.USD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"E\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930490.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"AS\" (SGD) INC A","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1323610961.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - 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Turn out the lights. Hasta la vista.Say it anyway you'd like. The simple truth is the Magnificent Seven trade is over. Finito. Dead. The collective stock market outperformance of those seven tech icons -- Alphabet, Amazon.com, Apple, Meta Platforms, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Tesla -- is now a thing of the past.The group may still do OK, and some of the individual stocks may even kill it, but the slam-dunk, set-it-and-forget-it, run-circles-around-the-market era of the Mag Seven is gone with the wind.Recall that BofA Securities analyst Michael Hartnett coined the term Magnificent Seven in 2023, referring to the 1960 John Sturges Western gunslinger flick (an adaptation of Akira Kurosawa's 1954 film Seven Samurai). Since then those stocks have been lights out, up 76% in 2023, 47.5% in 2024, and 19.3% last year, beating the market every year, according to FactSet. Even with the group's performance down a bit last year, it contributed 42% of the S&P 500's total return, according to Matthew Smart, director of financial planning and portfolio analysis at WWM Investments. And the Mag Seven accounts for roughly one-third of the index's market cap.We've seen this movie before. There was the Era of the Titans in the 1960s, when 10 companies, led by AT&T, General Motors, and Exxon Mobil, then called Standard Oil, accounted for nearly 30% of the market; the Nifty Fifty in the late 1960s and early 1970s; and the dot-com era, when mega tech stocks Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Intel, and Dell Technologies made up 27% of the market. Now the market is even more concentrated in fewer stocks.True, folks predicted the demise of the Mag Seven's dominance last year, and it didn't happen. What's different now is that artificial intelligence has thickened the plot.For starters, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta (as well as Oracle) are spending jaw-dropping money on data centers and Nvidia chips. (This is less the case for Tesla and Apple -- and of course, Nvidia stands to benefit.) Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research, notes that the \"hyperscalers are set to spend $670 billion on capex in 2026, up from $410 billion in 2025 and $240 billion in 2024. Free cash flow is plummeting and has already turned negative for Oracle.\" This spending lowers the heretofore bountiful margins of the Mag Seven and makes their financials more opaque as they tap Wall Street for complex loan and funding strategies.But wait, there's more -- which Berezin lays out in a recent paper, \"AI Will Kill The Tech Monopolies.\" Tech companies, Berezin says, have historically generated profits from three sources: economies of scale, network effects, and proprietary technologies. \"A lot of things that Mag Seven have enjoyed that have contributed to their profitability could now be threatened by AI,\" he argues.First, AI subverts the tech giants' economies of scale by lowering the relatively high fixed costs of writing software, which had served as a protective moat for these companies. AI allows anyone to code. And the market has brutally punished software companies, with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector exchange-traded fund down some 30% from its 2025 peak. On the variable cost side of the coin, spending on graphics processing units and data centers, as well as massive electricity bills, are sending tech companies' capital-light models the way of the dial-up modem.As for network effects, which have greatly facilitated the likes of Facebook, YouTube, and LinkedIn, Berezin sees AI undermining this advantage in two ways. First, as AI bots populate these sites with fake images and get-rich schemes, audiences will tune out. Second, and even more concerning for the networks, is that AI systems could create a content feed layered on top of one's preferred social media. This would reduce the leverage that, say, YouTube has over an influencer, who could bypass that channel and post anywhere and get picked up by the AI algorithm.When it comes to proprietary technology, Berezin argues that since much of what goes into creating AI systems is open source, it will be difficult for any one company to achieve a monopoly position. Incumbents that increasingly use AI as part of their core processes, like Microsoft and Alphabet, will lose monopoly power as it lessens the degree to which they are differentiated.The markets seem to be waking up to all this. Mean reversion, never an \"if\" but a \"when\" proposition, may already be occurring. The Mag Seven is down 7.2% year to date, while the S&P 500 is off 0.89%. What would the S&P 500's performance be if you stripped out the Mag Seven? A proxy for that is the Defiance Large Cap ex-Mag 7 ETF, which I wrote about at its launch in October 2024 and which owns all the stocks in the S&P 500 except those seven. It's up 1.89% year to date.\"There are periods of time where the Mag Seven has taken a back seat, and this year is one of them,\" says Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer of Defiance ETFs.Another non-Mag Seven play is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF, which mutes the outperformance of the Mag Seven (or any other stock) by equal-weighting each stock in the index and rebalancing every quarter. It's up 5.1% year to date.Circling back to the 1960 Sturges movie, near the end of the flick a character remarks that the Magnificent Seven gunslingers were \"like the wind, blowing over the land and passing on.\" So too, now, perhaps this latest version.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":2,"AMZN":2,"MSFT":2,"AAPL":2,"GOOG":2,"TSLA":2,"META":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":425177787695264,"gmtCreate":1744812173418,"gmtModify":1744812769630,"author":{"id":"3579169867770067","authorId":"3579169867770067","name":"TOng Nen","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579169867770067","idStr":"3579169867770067"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/425177787695264","repostId":"1198330855","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1198330855","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1744811582,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198330855?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-04-16 21:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rare Earth Producers Continue to Rally With MP Materials Up 12%, USAR Up 10% on Trump's Deep-Sea Metal Plan","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198330855","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"$MP Materials(MP)$, the largest rare-earths producer in the Western Hemisphere, was up 12% on Wednesday. $USA Rare Earth Inc(USAR)$ shares up 10%; $The Metals Company(TMC)$ up 4%.President Donald Trum","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">MP Materials</a>, the largest rare-earths producer in the Western Hemisphere, was up 12% on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USAR\">USA Rare Earth Inc</a> shares up 10%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TMC\">The Metals Company</a> up 4%.</p><p>President Donald Trump is reportedly drafting an executive order to allow for the stockpiling of critical metals found on ocean floors. The move comes as China halts exports of several rare earth minerals and magnets in response to reciprocal tariffs.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7901d1ac570e2b4a1cd83063f72d01a8\" tg-width=\"475\" tg-height=\"247\"/></p><p>President Donald Trump is in the process of drafting an executive order that would allow for the stockpiling of critical metals found in the Pacific Ocean, according to a Financial Times report released over the weekend.</p><p>The move is focused on countering China's rare earth supply chains and battery mineral dominance as the U.S. aims to become self-sufficient when it comes to critical minerals supply, people familiar with the matter reportedly said.</p><p>Alexander Gray, who was the chief of staff to the U.S. national security adviser in Trump's first term, told FT that China views the ocean floors as a "front line" for economic competition with the U.S.</p><p>The move comes as China has halted exports of several rare earth minerals and magnets in response to reciprocal tariffs from the Trump administration. China produces around 90% of the world’s refined rare earths, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.</p><p>USA Rare Earth is currently focused on building “one of the largest” rare earth magnet manufacturing facilities in the U.S. in an effort to become a leading supplier of high-value rare earth magnets and critical minerals, according to the company’s website.</p><p>USA Rare Earth went public via a merger with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. II last month. </p><p>“The recent news on tariffs and rising global geopolitical tensions are a wake-up call for America – we must build a domestic rare earth mineral and magnet supply chain here at home to support a wide range of critical technologies, including our national defense,” CEO Joshua Ballard said last month.</p><p>It’s worth noting that USA Rare Earth stock has been popular among retail investors in recent weeks. The pre-revenue company is seeing increased mentions across social platforms like X and Reddit and was among the top trending tickers on Stocktwits at last check.</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rare Earth Producers Continue to Rally With MP Materials Up 12%, USAR Up 10% on Trump's Deep-Sea Metal Plan</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRare Earth Producers Continue to Rally With MP Materials Up 12%, USAR Up 10% on Trump's Deep-Sea Metal Plan\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-04-16 21:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">MP Materials</a>, the largest rare-earths producer in the Western Hemisphere, was up 12% on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USAR\">USA Rare Earth Inc</a> shares up 10%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TMC\">The Metals Company</a> up 4%.</p><p>President Donald Trump is reportedly drafting an executive order to allow for the stockpiling of critical metals found on ocean floors. The move comes as China halts exports of several rare earth minerals and magnets in response to reciprocal tariffs.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7901d1ac570e2b4a1cd83063f72d01a8\" tg-width=\"475\" tg-height=\"247\"/></p><p>President Donald Trump is in the process of drafting an executive order that would allow for the stockpiling of critical metals found in the Pacific Ocean, according to a Financial Times report released over the weekend.</p><p>The move is focused on countering China's rare earth supply chains and battery mineral dominance as the U.S. aims to become self-sufficient when it comes to critical minerals supply, people familiar with the matter reportedly said.</p><p>Alexander Gray, who was the chief of staff to the U.S. national security adviser in Trump's first term, told FT that China views the ocean floors as a "front line" for economic competition with the U.S.</p><p>The move comes as China has halted exports of several rare earth minerals and magnets in response to reciprocal tariffs from the Trump administration. China produces around 90% of the world’s refined rare earths, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.</p><p>USA Rare Earth is currently focused on building “one of the largest” rare earth magnet manufacturing facilities in the U.S. in an effort to become a leading supplier of high-value rare earth magnets and critical minerals, according to the company’s website.</p><p>USA Rare Earth went public via a merger with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. II last month. </p><p>“The recent news on tariffs and rising global geopolitical tensions are a wake-up call for America – we must build a domestic rare earth mineral and magnet supply chain here at home to support a wide range of critical technologies, including our national defense,” CEO Joshua Ballard said last month.</p><p>It’s worth noting that USA Rare Earth stock has been popular among retail investors in recent weeks. The pre-revenue company is seeing increased mentions across social platforms like X and Reddit and was among the top trending tickers on Stocktwits at last check.</p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MP":"MP Materials Corp.","TMC":"The Metals Company","USAR":"USA Rare Earth Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198330855","content_text":"MP Materials, the largest rare-earths producer in the Western Hemisphere, was up 12% on Wednesday. USA Rare Earth Inc shares up 10%; The Metals Company up 4%.President Donald Trump is reportedly drafting an executive order to allow for the stockpiling of critical metals found on ocean floors. The move comes as China halts exports of several rare earth minerals and magnets in response to reciprocal tariffs.President Donald Trump is in the process of drafting an executive order that would allow for the stockpiling of critical metals found in the Pacific Ocean, according to a Financial Times report released over the weekend.The move is focused on countering China's rare earth supply chains and battery mineral dominance as the U.S. aims to become self-sufficient when it comes to critical minerals supply, people familiar with the matter reportedly said.Alexander Gray, who was the chief of staff to the U.S. national security adviser in Trump's first term, told FT that China views the ocean floors as a \"front line\" for economic competition with the U.S.The move comes as China has halted exports of several rare earth minerals and magnets in response to reciprocal tariffs from the Trump administration. China produces around 90% of the world’s refined rare earths, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.USA Rare Earth is currently focused on building “one of the largest” rare earth magnet manufacturing facilities in the U.S. in an effort to become a leading supplier of high-value rare earth magnets and critical minerals, according to the company’s website.USA Rare Earth went public via a merger with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. II last month. “The recent news on tariffs and rising global geopolitical tensions are a wake-up call for America – we must build a domestic rare earth mineral and magnet supply chain here at home to support a wide range of critical technologies, including our national defense,” CEO Joshua Ballard said last month.It’s worth noting that USA Rare Earth stock has been popular among retail investors in recent weeks. The pre-revenue company is seeing increased mentions across social platforms like X and Reddit and was among the top trending tickers on Stocktwits at last check.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TMC":1.1,"USAR":1.1,"MP":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":539348084007928,"gmtCreate":1772698341939,"gmtModify":1772700840091,"author":{"id":"3579169867770067","authorId":"3579169867770067","name":"TOng Nen","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579169867770067","idStr":"3579169867770067"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Brilliant analysis. Sayonara to Mag7 !","listText":"Brilliant analysis. Sayonara to Mag7 !","text":"Brilliant analysis. Sayonara to Mag7 !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/539348084007928","repostId":"2617515348","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2617515348","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1772694687,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2617515348?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-03-05 15:11","market":"other","language":"en","title":"How the Mag 7 Became the Lag 7 -- and What's Ahead for the Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2617515348","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Stick a fork in it. Turn out the lights. Hasta la vista.Say it anyway you'd like. The simple truth is the Magnificent Seven trade is over. Finito. Dead. The collective stock market outperformance of those seven tech icons -- Alphabet, Amazon.com, Apple, Meta Platforms, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Tesla -- is now a thing of the past.The group may still do OK, and some of the individual stocks may even kill it, but the slam-dunk, set-it-and-forget-it, run-circles-around-the-market era of the Mag Seven is gone with the wind.True, folks predicted the demise of the Mag Seven's dominance last year, and it didn't happen. What's different now is that artificial intelligence has thickened the plot.First, AI subverts the tech giants' economies of scale by lowering the relatively high fixed cost","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stick a fork in it. Turn out the lights. Hasta la vista.</p><p>Say it anyway you'd like. The simple truth is the Magnificent Seven trade is over. Finito. Dead. The collective stock market outperformance of those seven tech icons -- Alphabet, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>.com, Apple, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a>, Microsoft, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> -- is now a thing of the past.</p><p>The group may still do OK, and some of the individual stocks may even kill it, but the slam-dunk, set-it-and-forget-it, run-circles-around-the-market era of the Mag Seven is gone with the wind.</p><p>Recall that BofA Securities analyst Michael Hartnett coined the term Magnificent Seven in 2023, referring to the 1960 John Sturges Western gunslinger flick (an adaptation of Akira Kurosawa's 1954 film Seven Samurai). Since then those stocks have been lights out, up 76% in 2023, 47.5% in 2024, and 19.3% last year, beating the market every year, according to FactSet. Even with the group's performance down a bit last year, it contributed 42% of the S&P 500's total return, according to Matthew Smart, director of financial planning and portfolio analysis at WWM Investments. And the Mag Seven accounts for roughly one-third of the index's market cap.</p><p>We've seen this movie before. There was the Era of the Titans in the 1960s, when 10 companies, led by AT&T, General Motors, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon</a> Mobil, then called Standard Oil, accounted for nearly 30% of the market; the Nifty Fifty in the late 1960s and early 1970s; and the dot-com era, when mega tech stocks Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Intel, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell</a> Technologies made up 27% of the market. Now the market is even more concentrated in fewer stocks.</p><p>True, folks predicted the demise of the Mag Seven's dominance last year, and it didn't happen. What's different now is that artificial intelligence has thickened the plot.</p><p>For starters, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta (as well as Oracle) are spending jaw-dropping money on data centers and Nvidia chips. (This is less the case for Tesla and Apple -- and of course, Nvidia stands to benefit.) Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research, notes that the "hyperscalers are set to spend $670 billion on capex in 2026, up from $410 billion in 2025 and $240 billion in 2024. Free cash flow is plummeting and has already turned negative for Oracle." This spending lowers the heretofore bountiful margins of the Mag Seven and makes their financials more opaque as they tap Wall Street for complex loan and funding strategies.</p><p>But wait, there's more -- which Berezin lays out in a recent paper, "AI Will Kill The Tech Monopolies." Tech companies, Berezin says, have historically generated profits from three sources: economies of scale, network effects, and proprietary technologies. "A lot of things that Mag Seven have enjoyed that have contributed to their profitability could now be threatened by AI," he argues.</p><p>First, AI subverts the tech giants' economies of scale by lowering the relatively high fixed costs of writing software, which had served as a protective moat for these companies. AI allows anyone to code. And the market has brutally punished software companies, with the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> Expanded Tech-Software Sector exchange-traded fund down some 30% from its 2025 peak. On the variable cost side of the coin, spending on graphics processing units and data centers, as well as massive electricity bills, are sending tech companies' capital-light models the way of the dial-up modem.</p><p>As for network effects, which have greatly facilitated the likes of Facebook, YouTube, and LinkedIn, Berezin sees AI undermining this advantage in two ways. First, as AI bots populate these sites with fake images and get-rich schemes, audiences will tune out. Second, and even more concerning for the networks, is that AI systems could create a content feed layered on top of one's preferred social media. This would reduce the leverage that, say, YouTube has over an influencer, who could bypass that channel and post anywhere and get picked up by the AI algorithm.</p><p>When it comes to proprietary technology, Berezin argues that since much of what goes into creating AI systems is open source, it will be difficult for any one company to achieve a monopoly position. Incumbents that increasingly use AI as part of their core processes, like Microsoft and Alphabet, will lose monopoly power as it lessens the degree to which they are differentiated.</p><p>The markets seem to be waking up to all this. Mean reversion, never an "if" but a "when" proposition, may already be occurring. The Mag Seven is down 7.2% year to date, while the S&P 500 is off 0.89%. What would the S&P 500's performance be if you stripped out the Mag Seven? A proxy for that is the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMAG\">Defiance Large Cap ex-Mag 7 ETF</a>, which I wrote about at its launch in October 2024 and which owns all the stocks in the S&P 500 except those seven. It's up 1.89% year to date.</p><p>"There are periods of time where the Mag Seven has taken a back seat, and this year is one of them," says Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer of Defiance ETFs.</p><p>Another non-Mag Seven play is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF, which mutes the outperformance of the Mag Seven (or any other stock) by equal-weighting each stock in the index and rebalancing every quarter. It's up 5.1% year to date.</p><p>Circling back to the 1960 Sturges movie, near the end of the flick a character remarks that the Magnificent Seven gunslingers were "like the wind, blowing over the land and passing on." So too, now, perhaps this latest version.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How the Mag 7 Became the Lag 7 -- and What's Ahead for the Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow the Mag 7 Became the Lag 7 -- and What's Ahead for the Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-05 15:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stick a fork in it. Turn out the lights. Hasta la vista.</p><p>Say it anyway you'd like. The simple truth is the Magnificent Seven trade is over. Finito. Dead. The collective stock market outperformance of those seven tech icons -- Alphabet, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>.com, Apple, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a>, Microsoft, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> -- is now a thing of the past.</p><p>The group may still do OK, and some of the individual stocks may even kill it, but the slam-dunk, set-it-and-forget-it, run-circles-around-the-market era of the Mag Seven is gone with the wind.</p><p>Recall that BofA Securities analyst Michael Hartnett coined the term Magnificent Seven in 2023, referring to the 1960 John Sturges Western gunslinger flick (an adaptation of Akira Kurosawa's 1954 film Seven Samurai). Since then those stocks have been lights out, up 76% in 2023, 47.5% in 2024, and 19.3% last year, beating the market every year, according to FactSet. Even with the group's performance down a bit last year, it contributed 42% of the S&P 500's total return, according to Matthew Smart, director of financial planning and portfolio analysis at WWM Investments. And the Mag Seven accounts for roughly one-third of the index's market cap.</p><p>We've seen this movie before. There was the Era of the Titans in the 1960s, when 10 companies, led by AT&T, General Motors, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon</a> Mobil, then called Standard Oil, accounted for nearly 30% of the market; the Nifty Fifty in the late 1960s and early 1970s; and the dot-com era, when mega tech stocks Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Intel, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell</a> Technologies made up 27% of the market. Now the market is even more concentrated in fewer stocks.</p><p>True, folks predicted the demise of the Mag Seven's dominance last year, and it didn't happen. What's different now is that artificial intelligence has thickened the plot.</p><p>For starters, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta (as well as Oracle) are spending jaw-dropping money on data centers and Nvidia chips. (This is less the case for Tesla and Apple -- and of course, Nvidia stands to benefit.) Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research, notes that the "hyperscalers are set to spend $670 billion on capex in 2026, up from $410 billion in 2025 and $240 billion in 2024. Free cash flow is plummeting and has already turned negative for Oracle." This spending lowers the heretofore bountiful margins of the Mag Seven and makes their financials more opaque as they tap Wall Street for complex loan and funding strategies.</p><p>But wait, there's more -- which Berezin lays out in a recent paper, "AI Will Kill The Tech Monopolies." Tech companies, Berezin says, have historically generated profits from three sources: economies of scale, network effects, and proprietary technologies. "A lot of things that Mag Seven have enjoyed that have contributed to their profitability could now be threatened by AI," he argues.</p><p>First, AI subverts the tech giants' economies of scale by lowering the relatively high fixed costs of writing software, which had served as a protective moat for these companies. AI allows anyone to code. And the market has brutally punished software companies, with the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> Expanded Tech-Software Sector exchange-traded fund down some 30% from its 2025 peak. On the variable cost side of the coin, spending on graphics processing units and data centers, as well as massive electricity bills, are sending tech companies' capital-light models the way of the dial-up modem.</p><p>As for network effects, which have greatly facilitated the likes of Facebook, YouTube, and LinkedIn, Berezin sees AI undermining this advantage in two ways. First, as AI bots populate these sites with fake images and get-rich schemes, audiences will tune out. Second, and even more concerning for the networks, is that AI systems could create a content feed layered on top of one's preferred social media. This would reduce the leverage that, say, YouTube has over an influencer, who could bypass that channel and post anywhere and get picked up by the AI algorithm.</p><p>When it comes to proprietary technology, Berezin argues that since much of what goes into creating AI systems is open source, it will be difficult for any one company to achieve a monopoly position. Incumbents that increasingly use AI as part of their core processes, like Microsoft and Alphabet, will lose monopoly power as it lessens the degree to which they are differentiated.</p><p>The markets seem to be waking up to all this. Mean reversion, never an "if" but a "when" proposition, may already be occurring. The Mag Seven is down 7.2% year to date, while the S&P 500 is off 0.89%. What would the S&P 500's performance be if you stripped out the Mag Seven? A proxy for that is the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMAG\">Defiance Large Cap ex-Mag 7 ETF</a>, which I wrote about at its launch in October 2024 and which owns all the stocks in the S&P 500 except those seven. It's up 1.89% year to date.</p><p>"There are periods of time where the Mag Seven has taken a back seat, and this year is one of them," says Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer of Defiance ETFs.</p><p>Another non-Mag Seven play is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF, which mutes the outperformance of the Mag Seven (or any other stock) by equal-weighting each stock in the index and rebalancing every quarter. It's up 5.1% year to date.</p><p>Circling back to the 1960 Sturges movie, near the end of the flick a character remarks that the Magnificent Seven gunslingers were "like the wind, blowing over the land and passing on." So too, now, perhaps this latest version.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0823421416.USD":"BNP PARIBAS DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY \"C\" (USD) INC","LU1992135399.USD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AT Acc USD","LU2720916845.USD":"BGF GLOBAL UNCONSTRAINED EQUITY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU2247934214.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS SUSTAINABLE FUTURE CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1935042215.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME \"AA\" (USD) INC A","LU2413666699.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) INC","LU2458330169.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU2458330243.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH TECHNOLOGY \"A-H1\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0823434583.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US GROWTH \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","LU0823434740.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US GROWTH \"C\" (USD) INC","LU2896262040.SGD":"JPM US GROWTH FUND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0048573561.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0965509010.AUD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (AUDHDG) INC","HK0000914686.HKD":"GFI Global Select Equity Fund Class A (HKD)","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","HK0000914660.USD":"GFI Global Select Equity Fund Class A (USD)","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0175139822.USD":"AB FCP I Global Equity Blend A USD","LU2095319765.USD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A USD","LU0211326755.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1571399168.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"IP\" (USD) ACC","LU0545562505.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL QUALITY DIVIDEND GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999014898.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fund Dis SGD","LU1582986359.USD":"M&G (LUX) INCOME ALLOCATION \"A-H\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU2210150020.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A SGD","LU2487616109.SGD":"JPM AMERICA EQUITY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0210528500.USD":"JPM AMERICA EQUITY \"A\" ACC","LU2210149790.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A SGD-H","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0444971666.USD":"天利全球科技基金","LU2089283258.USD":"安联环球可持续基金Cl AM Dis","SGXZ99366536.SGD":"United Global Innovation A Acc SGD-H","IE00B4YYXB79.USD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"E\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930490.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"AS\" (SGD) INC A","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1323610961.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - 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Turn out the lights. Hasta la vista.Say it anyway you'd like. The simple truth is the Magnificent Seven trade is over. Finito. Dead. The collective stock market outperformance of those seven tech icons -- Alphabet, Amazon.com, Apple, Meta Platforms, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Tesla -- is now a thing of the past.The group may still do OK, and some of the individual stocks may even kill it, but the slam-dunk, set-it-and-forget-it, run-circles-around-the-market era of the Mag Seven is gone with the wind.Recall that BofA Securities analyst Michael Hartnett coined the term Magnificent Seven in 2023, referring to the 1960 John Sturges Western gunslinger flick (an adaptation of Akira Kurosawa's 1954 film Seven Samurai). Since then those stocks have been lights out, up 76% in 2023, 47.5% in 2024, and 19.3% last year, beating the market every year, according to FactSet. Even with the group's performance down a bit last year, it contributed 42% of the S&P 500's total return, according to Matthew Smart, director of financial planning and portfolio analysis at WWM Investments. And the Mag Seven accounts for roughly one-third of the index's market cap.We've seen this movie before. There was the Era of the Titans in the 1960s, when 10 companies, led by AT&T, General Motors, and Exxon Mobil, then called Standard Oil, accounted for nearly 30% of the market; the Nifty Fifty in the late 1960s and early 1970s; and the dot-com era, when mega tech stocks Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Intel, and Dell Technologies made up 27% of the market. Now the market is even more concentrated in fewer stocks.True, folks predicted the demise of the Mag Seven's dominance last year, and it didn't happen. What's different now is that artificial intelligence has thickened the plot.For starters, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta (as well as Oracle) are spending jaw-dropping money on data centers and Nvidia chips. (This is less the case for Tesla and Apple -- and of course, Nvidia stands to benefit.) Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research, notes that the \"hyperscalers are set to spend $670 billion on capex in 2026, up from $410 billion in 2025 and $240 billion in 2024. Free cash flow is plummeting and has already turned negative for Oracle.\" This spending lowers the heretofore bountiful margins of the Mag Seven and makes their financials more opaque as they tap Wall Street for complex loan and funding strategies.But wait, there's more -- which Berezin lays out in a recent paper, \"AI Will Kill The Tech Monopolies.\" Tech companies, Berezin says, have historically generated profits from three sources: economies of scale, network effects, and proprietary technologies. \"A lot of things that Mag Seven have enjoyed that have contributed to their profitability could now be threatened by AI,\" he argues.First, AI subverts the tech giants' economies of scale by lowering the relatively high fixed costs of writing software, which had served as a protective moat for these companies. AI allows anyone to code. And the market has brutally punished software companies, with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector exchange-traded fund down some 30% from its 2025 peak. On the variable cost side of the coin, spending on graphics processing units and data centers, as well as massive electricity bills, are sending tech companies' capital-light models the way of the dial-up modem.As for network effects, which have greatly facilitated the likes of Facebook, YouTube, and LinkedIn, Berezin sees AI undermining this advantage in two ways. First, as AI bots populate these sites with fake images and get-rich schemes, audiences will tune out. Second, and even more concerning for the networks, is that AI systems could create a content feed layered on top of one's preferred social media. This would reduce the leverage that, say, YouTube has over an influencer, who could bypass that channel and post anywhere and get picked up by the AI algorithm.When it comes to proprietary technology, Berezin argues that since much of what goes into creating AI systems is open source, it will be difficult for any one company to achieve a monopoly position. Incumbents that increasingly use AI as part of their core processes, like Microsoft and Alphabet, will lose monopoly power as it lessens the degree to which they are differentiated.The markets seem to be waking up to all this. Mean reversion, never an \"if\" but a \"when\" proposition, may already be occurring. The Mag Seven is down 7.2% year to date, while the S&P 500 is off 0.89%. What would the S&P 500's performance be if you stripped out the Mag Seven? A proxy for that is the Defiance Large Cap ex-Mag 7 ETF, which I wrote about at its launch in October 2024 and which owns all the stocks in the S&P 500 except those seven. It's up 1.89% year to date.\"There are periods of time where the Mag Seven has taken a back seat, and this year is one of them,\" says Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer of Defiance ETFs.Another non-Mag Seven play is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF, which mutes the outperformance of the Mag Seven (or any other stock) by equal-weighting each stock in the index and rebalancing every quarter. It's up 5.1% year to date.Circling back to the 1960 Sturges movie, near the end of the flick a character remarks that the Magnificent Seven gunslingers were \"like the wind, blowing over the land and passing on.\" So too, now, perhaps this latest version.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":2,"AMZN":2,"MSFT":2,"AAPL":2,"GOOG":2,"TSLA":2,"META":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":425177787695264,"gmtCreate":1744812173418,"gmtModify":1744812769630,"author":{"id":"3579169867770067","authorId":"3579169867770067","name":"TOng Nen","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579169867770067","idStr":"3579169867770067"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/425177787695264","repostId":"1198330855","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
