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TJTan
2023-03-06
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Prediction: These 3 S&P 500 Stocks Will at Least Double in 7 Years
TJTan
2022-11-08
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Midterm Elections: What to Watch in Markets As America Votes
TJTan
2022-10-21
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Snap Plunges 27% on Slowest Sales Growth as Advertisers Retreat
TJTan
2022-04-30
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US STOCKS-Wall Street Closes Sharply Lower on Amazon Slump, Inflation Worries
TJTan
2021-09-11
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3 Top Stocks to Buy for the Long Haul
TJTan
2023-01-16
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Netflix, Goldman Sachs, United Airlines, Morgan Stanley, and More Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week
TJTan
2022-11-27
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3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market
TJTan
2022-11-26
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Apple: Ignore The Zero-COVID Policy And Manchester United Noise
TJTan
2022-11-17
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Alibaba, Nvidia, Netease, Activision Blizzard, Weibo, Cisco And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch
TJTan
2022-04-02
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Toyota, GM Report Slowing U.S. Auto Sales
TJTan
2022-03-12
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JPMorgan Chase Caught as Counterparty in Nickel Short-Squeeze Drama - Bloomberg
TJTan
2021-08-22
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Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul
TJTan
2022-11-27
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3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market
TJTan
2022-11-22
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Apple And Taiwan Semiconductor: Let's Ask Buffett
TJTan
2022-03-19
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Sea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster
TJTan
2021-09-04
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Sorry, the original content has been removed
TJTan
2021-07-24
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Wall Street surges to all-time closing high on earnings, economic revival
TJTan
2023-02-06
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TJTan
2022-11-14
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Stock Market Rally Meets Retail Sales and Earnings: What to Know This Week
TJTan
2022-11-13
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SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?
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Along your journey, uncover hidden rewards and unlock exclusive bonuses that will supercharge your investing game!Not only will you gain valuable knowledge and insights, but you'll also compete with fellow investors for the top spot on our leaderboard!Invite your friends and embark on this epic investing adventure together! Let's light up the world of investing with Tiger!Don't miss out on this limited-time opportunity!Campaign period: 6th June to 27th June. *T&Cs apply.👉 <a href=\"https://tigr.link/lightupsg\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to start play</a>","listText":"Join our exclusive \"Light up Your Investing\" campaign with Tiger!Participate in our game and win fantastic prizes worth up to USD 999*!Unveil the allure of various regions as you progress through exciting game levels.But wait, there's more! Along your journey, uncover hidden rewards and unlock exclusive bonuses that will supercharge your investing game!Not only will you gain valuable knowledge and insights, but you'll also compete with fellow investors for the top spot on our leaderboard!Invite your friends and embark on this epic investing adventure together! Let's light up the world of investing with Tiger!Don't miss out on this limited-time opportunity!Campaign period: 6th June to 27th June. *T&Cs apply.👉 <a href=\"https://tigr.link/lightupsg\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to start play</a>","text":"Join our exclusive \"Light up Your Investing\" campaign with Tiger!Participate in our game and win fantastic prizes worth up to USD 999*!Unveil the allure of various regions as you progress through exciting game levels.But wait, there's more! Along your journey, uncover hidden rewards and unlock exclusive bonuses that will supercharge your investing game!Not only will you gain valuable knowledge and insights, but you'll also compete with fellow investors for the top spot on our leaderboard!Invite your friends and embark on this epic investing adventure together! Let's light up the world of investing with Tiger!Don't miss out on this limited-time opportunity!Campaign period: 6th June to 27th June. *T&Cs apply.👉 Click here to start play","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0b6e3d13593eac0f4cc3fdb8b6bf8056","width":"1200","height":"675"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970552986","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186670515482728,"gmtCreate":1686613136126,"gmtModify":1686613141399,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579499293913149","authorIdStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"gogogogogogogogogo[Happy] [Happy] [Happy] ","listText":"gogogogogogogogogo[Happy] [Happy] [Happy] ","text":"gogogogogogogogogo[Happy] [Happy] [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186670515482728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941299988,"gmtCreate":1680255180445,"gmtModify":1680255184011,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579499293913149","authorIdStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941299988","repostId":"9941207216","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9941207216,"gmtCreate":1680254138636,"gmtModify":1680254255814,"author":{"id":"3583230105554843","authorId":"3583230105554843","name":"Keeley","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c720283f6ce0951b275b726005d199ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583230105554843","authorIdStr":"3583230105554843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>#GRAB Price played out nicely as analyzed last week, mitigating the bearish POI at 3.31 and strongly rejected the POI. From here, we still do not have a confirmation for price to go lower, but my bias is for price to continue lower into the bullish POI at 2.49. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GRAB/AuVxV9rs-GRAB-Analysis/","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>#GRAB Price played out nicely as analyzed last week, mitigating the bearish POI at 3.31 and strongly rejected the POI. From here, we still do not have a confirmation for price to go lower, but my bias is for price to continue lower into the bullish POI at 2.49. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GRAB/AuVxV9rs-GRAB-Analysis/","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ #GRAB Price played out nicely as analyzed last week, mitigating the bearish POI at 3.31 and strongly rejected the POI. From here, we still do not have a confirmation for price to go lower, but my bias is for price to continue lower into the bullish POI at 2.49. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GRAB/AuVxV9rs-GRAB-Analysis/","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ac3f00f156156f57094a24944030e08d","width":"720","height":"1436"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941207216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949667690,"gmtCreate":1678612327210,"gmtModify":1678612330576,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579499293913149","authorIdStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949667690","repostId":"627459014","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":627459014,"gmtCreate":1678606867000,"gmtModify":1678611937136,"author":{"id":"4103332230805300","authorId":"4103332230805300","name":"Smartkarma","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/39fffba2ff205c2730b5bf07e3de6647","crmLevel":0,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103332230805300","authorIdStr":"4103332230805300"},"themes":[],"title":"MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Big Flow, Small Impact","htmlText":"⬇ $KLA-Tencor Corp(KLAC)$ - No constituent changes, but there are float/capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$356m. Stocks are extremely liquid so impact in terms of ADV is small. Continue reading on Smartkarma:- https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mvis-us-listed-semiconductor-25-index-rebalance-big-flow-small-impact?utm_source=tiger_community By Brian Freitas, Insight Provider on Smartkarma:- https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas?utm_source=tiger_community On KLA-Tencor Corp (KLAC):- https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kla-tencor-corp?utm_source=tiger_community","listText":"⬇ $KLA-Tencor Corp(KLAC)$ - No constituent changes, but there are float/capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$356m. Stocks are extremely liquid so impact in terms of ADV is small. Continue reading on Smartkarma:- https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mvis-us-listed-semiconductor-25-index-rebalance-big-flow-small-impact?utm_source=tiger_community By Brian Freitas, Insight Provider on Smartkarma:- https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas?utm_source=tiger_community On KLA-Tencor Corp (KLAC):- https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kla-tencor-corp?utm_source=tiger_community","text":"⬇ $KLA-Tencor Corp(KLAC)$ - No constituent changes, but there are float/capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$356m. Stocks are extremely liquid so impact in terms of ADV is small. Continue reading on Smartkarma:- https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mvis-us-listed-semiconductor-25-index-rebalance-big-flow-small-impact?utm_source=tiger_community By Brian Freitas, Insight Provider on Smartkarma:- https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas?utm_source=tiger_community On KLA-Tencor Corp (KLAC):- https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kla-tencor-corp?utm_source=tiger_community","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/627459014","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949667847,"gmtCreate":1678612313890,"gmtModify":1678612316575,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579499293913149","authorIdStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949667847","repostId":"9949662492","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9949662492,"gmtCreate":1678607724717,"gmtModify":1678611721821,"author":{"id":"9000000000000536","authorId":"9000000000000536","name":"mmm41286","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e429d5b4711b4920346fc72fb7c939f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000536","authorIdStr":"9000000000000536"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\n \n \n $SPY Stock Update 3/11 | Why I Believe We Will Go MUCH Higher Into The Summer | 450?From Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M3jhTXumsoM\n \n","listText":"$SPY Stock Update 3/11 | Why I Believe We Will Go MUCH Higher Into The Summer | 450?From Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M3jhTXumsoM","text":"$SPY Stock Update 3/11 | Why I Believe We Will Go MUCH Higher Into The Summer | 450?From Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M3jhTXumsoM","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949662492","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"aa3893d9e37e4eeea3a7e6ad7f4c283c","tweetId":"9949662492","title":"$SPY Stock Update 3/11 | Why I Believe We Will Go MUCH Higher Into The Summer | 450?","videoUrl":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1678607720079fa3a4db1e6cd8710463c81bb40d94cab.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1165770162bcc52839b087f09fc2ce12","shareLink":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1678607720079fa3a4db1e6cd8710463c81bb40d94cab.mp4"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9940420409,"gmtCreate":1678116806801,"gmtModify":1678116810223,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940420409","repostId":"2316113551","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2316113551","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1678116820,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2316113551?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 23:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Prediction: These 3 S&P 500 Stocks Will at Least Double in 7 Years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2316113551","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These large-cap stocks should grow much larger.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There's an old joke about a person being asked, "How many people work in your office?" The person responds, "About half of them."</p><p>This punchline comes to mind when I look at the <b>S&P 500</b>. Many of the stocks in the index don't perform all that well over time. But as the more-successful stocks outperform, they earn an increased weighting in the S&P 500 because of their larger market caps.</p><p>Which stocks in the S&P 500 will work the most for investors throughout this decade? It's impossible to know for sure. However, I'll make a prediction: The following three S&P 500 stocks will at least double in seven years.</p><h2>1. Amazon</h2><p>The larger a company grows, the harder it can be to deliver the same rate of expansion. But that doesn't mean really big companies can't grow significantly. I think <b>Amazon</b> has proved this point in the past and will continue to do so.</p><p>When asked about Amazon, the first thoughts of many individuals would probably be about the company's online shopping platform or its Prime Video streaming service. My view is that both could be solid growth drivers over the coming years. But they won't be the most important factors in enabling the stock to double.</p><p>Instead, that honor belongs to Amazon Web Services (AWS). As much as 95% of worldwide IT spending goes toward on-premises hosting rather than in the cloud. CEO Andy Jassy expects "the equation is going to shift and flip" over the next 10 to 15 years with a lot more spending on cloud hosting versus on-premises hosting. If he's right (and I think he is), Amazon is a no-brainer stock to buy right now.</p><p>AWS already ranks as the biggest cloud-hosting provider. It's also Amazon's most profitable segment. The company's profits should explode by the end of the decade with the transition to the cloud. My confidence level is pretty high that Amazon's share price will at least double within seven years or less.</p><h2>2. Digital Realty Trust</h2><p><b>Digital Realty Trust</b> isn't the household name that Amazon is. However, the company should benefit from the same trend that Amazon will.</p><p>Digital Realty Trust owns more than 300 data centers. The transition to the cloud should be a key growth driver for the company.</p><p>A quick glance at Digital Realty Trust's top customers reveals a Who's Who in the technology world. A long list of major cloud providers, software specialists, social media companies, and telecommunications giants use Digital Realty Trust's data centers.</p><p>If you only look at Digital Realty's stock performance over the last 10 years, you might doubt that it could double by 2030. But it's important to consider total returns rather than share-price appreciation alone.</p><p>Digital Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust (REIT) and must return at least 90% of its income to shareholders to avoid paying federal taxes. Its dividend yield tops 4.8%. With that high yield, the stock won't have to deliver huge gains for Digital Realty Trust to generate total returns of 100% or more over the next seven years.</p><h2>3. Vertex Pharmaceuticals</h2><p>I think that <b>Vertex Pharmaceuticals</b> is another S&P 500 stock with a clear path to doubling or more by 2030. The company already enjoys a monopoly in treating the underlying cause of cystic fibrosis (CF).</p><p>Vertex could increase its market by roughly 50% by securing additional approvals and reimbursement deals for its existing CF drugs and by achieving success with its experimental messenger RNA CF therapy VX-522.</p><p>But Vertex has even greater growth opportunities beyond CF. It hopes to win regulatory approvals for exa-cel, a gene-editing therapy developed with <b>CRISPR Therapeutics</b>, as soon as later this year. Exa-cel could generate peak annual sales of at least $2 billion in treating sickle cell disease and transfusion-dependent beta-thalassemia.</p><p>Non-opioid pain drug VX-548 could also make it to market within the next couple of years. Vertex believes that this therapy has multibillion-dollar potential.</p><p>The big biotech is also making good progress in its clinical testing of inaxaplin in treating APOL1-mediated kidney disease (AMKD). There are more patients with AMKD than there are CF patients.</p><p>Vertex could have other major catalysts over the next few years as well, notably from progress with its clinical programs that could hold a cure for type 1 diabetes.</p><p>Biotech stocks face the risk that their pipeline programs could flop in clinical studies or fail to win regulatory approvals. But my view is that Vertex has enough arrows in its quiver that it will be able to double investors' money within the next seven years.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Prediction: These 3 S&P 500 Stocks Will at Least Double in 7 Years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPrediction: These 3 S&P 500 Stocks Will at Least Double in 7 Years\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-06 23:33 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/04/prediction-these-3-sp-500-stocks-will-double/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There's an old joke about a person being asked, \"How many people work in your office?\" The person responds, \"About half of them.\"This punchline comes to mind when I look at the S&P 500. Many of the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/04/prediction-these-3-sp-500-stocks-will-double/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","VRTX":"福泰制药","DLR":"数字房地产信托公司"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/04/prediction-these-3-sp-500-stocks-will-double/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2316113551","content_text":"There's an old joke about a person being asked, \"How many people work in your office?\" The person responds, \"About half of them.\"This punchline comes to mind when I look at the S&P 500. Many of the stocks in the index don't perform all that well over time. But as the more-successful stocks outperform, they earn an increased weighting in the S&P 500 because of their larger market caps.Which stocks in the S&P 500 will work the most for investors throughout this decade? It's impossible to know for sure. However, I'll make a prediction: The following three S&P 500 stocks will at least double in seven years.1. AmazonThe larger a company grows, the harder it can be to deliver the same rate of expansion. But that doesn't mean really big companies can't grow significantly. I think Amazon has proved this point in the past and will continue to do so.When asked about Amazon, the first thoughts of many individuals would probably be about the company's online shopping platform or its Prime Video streaming service. My view is that both could be solid growth drivers over the coming years. But they won't be the most important factors in enabling the stock to double.Instead, that honor belongs to Amazon Web Services (AWS). As much as 95% of worldwide IT spending goes toward on-premises hosting rather than in the cloud. CEO Andy Jassy expects \"the equation is going to shift and flip\" over the next 10 to 15 years with a lot more spending on cloud hosting versus on-premises hosting. If he's right (and I think he is), Amazon is a no-brainer stock to buy right now.AWS already ranks as the biggest cloud-hosting provider. It's also Amazon's most profitable segment. The company's profits should explode by the end of the decade with the transition to the cloud. My confidence level is pretty high that Amazon's share price will at least double within seven years or less.2. Digital Realty TrustDigital Realty Trust isn't the household name that Amazon is. However, the company should benefit from the same trend that Amazon will.Digital Realty Trust owns more than 300 data centers. The transition to the cloud should be a key growth driver for the company.A quick glance at Digital Realty Trust's top customers reveals a Who's Who in the technology world. A long list of major cloud providers, software specialists, social media companies, and telecommunications giants use Digital Realty Trust's data centers.If you only look at Digital Realty's stock performance over the last 10 years, you might doubt that it could double by 2030. But it's important to consider total returns rather than share-price appreciation alone.Digital Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust (REIT) and must return at least 90% of its income to shareholders to avoid paying federal taxes. Its dividend yield tops 4.8%. With that high yield, the stock won't have to deliver huge gains for Digital Realty Trust to generate total returns of 100% or more over the next seven years.3. Vertex PharmaceuticalsI think that Vertex Pharmaceuticals is another S&P 500 stock with a clear path to doubling or more by 2030. The company already enjoys a monopoly in treating the underlying cause of cystic fibrosis (CF).Vertex could increase its market by roughly 50% by securing additional approvals and reimbursement deals for its existing CF drugs and by achieving success with its experimental messenger RNA CF therapy VX-522.But Vertex has even greater growth opportunities beyond CF. It hopes to win regulatory approvals for exa-cel, a gene-editing therapy developed with CRISPR Therapeutics, as soon as later this year. Exa-cel could generate peak annual sales of at least $2 billion in treating sickle cell disease and transfusion-dependent beta-thalassemia.Non-opioid pain drug VX-548 could also make it to market within the next couple of years. Vertex believes that this therapy has multibillion-dollar potential.The big biotech is also making good progress in its clinical testing of inaxaplin in treating APOL1-mediated kidney disease (AMKD). There are more patients with AMKD than there are CF patients.Vertex could have other major catalysts over the next few years as well, notably from progress with its clinical programs that could hold a cure for type 1 diabetes.Biotech stocks face the risk that their pipeline programs could flop in clinical studies or fail to win regulatory approvals. But my view is that Vertex has enough arrows in its quiver that it will be able to double investors' money within the next seven years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987643348,"gmtCreate":1667902390184,"gmtModify":1676537982074,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987643348","repostId":"1147745884","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147745884","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667921777,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147745884?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-08 23:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Midterm Elections: What to Watch in Markets As America Votes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147745884","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"It's midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong id","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It's midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong ideas about how it will play out, increasing uncertainty around polling (and a contentious electorate) suggest anything might happen.</p><p>Midterm elections typically go against the party of the president - and if that holds, and Republicans take over even just the House (let alone the currently split Senate), it effectively would mean a sidelining of the vast majority of President Biden's agenda for the remaining two years in his term.</p><p>That's not always bad for securities markets (NYSEARCA:SPY), where "gridlock" has often been received by investors as "status quo" - or, more specifically, the lack of any broad or shocking changes on tap that tend to spook investors and spur market declines.</p><p>"History suggests the midterms are a big influence on markets as they always seem to rally once midterms (or presidential elections) are out of the way," Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid said. "Our economists' base case is that Republicans will take the House but Democrats will maintain their slim majority in the Senate," he added.</p><p>For what it's worth, the world's richest man Elon Musk is now Twitter's CEO and sole director, and urged his more than 100 million followers on the service to go GOP: "I recommend voting for a Republican Congress, given that the Presidency is Democratic."</p><p>While the issues at stake in the election's various races are numerous - including gun control, abortion and immigration - investors will be focused on a few that have risen to the fore as election season has rumbled on, notably the broader economic slowdown and this year's historic inflation.</p><p>And while party polarization seems to be at historic highs, when it comes to business and investing, there are areas where the two parties are closer together than others. For example, where the parties agree on infrastructure spending, real estate, construction and utilities could benefit.</p><p>ESG investing (Environmental, Social and Governance) is indirectly on the ballot, as Republicans increasingly tap the issue as a political talking point. If the GOP makes a strong showing, you can expect the pressure on ESG investing to increase. Some of the popular ESG-themed exchange-traded funds: Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF (ERTH), ALPS Clean Energy ETF (ACES), Fidelity Clean Energy ETF (FRNW), KraneShares MSCI China Environment Index (KGRN), Invesco MSCI Green Building ETF (GBLD), iShares S&P Global Clean Energy Index ETF (ICLN), Invesco Solar Portfolio ETF (TAN), Global X Wind Energy ETF (WNDY), CleanTech ETF (CTEC), Global X Solar ETF (RAYS), ProShares S&P Kensho Cleantech ETF (CTEX), First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF (FAN), iShares ESG Aware MSCI USA ETF (ESGU), Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV), and the SPDR S&P 500 ESG ETF (EFIV).</p><p>And conversely, the "anti-ESG" fund God Bless America ETF (YALL) launched last month, with a focus on screening out companies it considers activist.</p><p>Still, clean energy subsidies aren't as contentious as other issues, so it may be unlikely that President Biden's signature achievement on climate legislation will be unwound. Oil may be another matter: The idea floated by Biden for a windfall tax on Big Oil will be essentially dead if Republicans gain power. (By the by, the U.S. oil rig count has more than doubled during the Biden administration.)</p><p>Technology is another area where the parties have diverged more in recent years, though perhaps more on style: Both parties have argued for more regulation on tech, for different reasons. The Biden administration has been concerned with concentrated power and antitrust action against the tech giants, including Meta Platforms (META), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) and Amazon.com (AMZN), while Republicans have targeted social media on speech-related issues, and say they won't back some currently stalled antitrust bills - which could be a boon for those giants currently in the crosshairs.</p><p>Cannabis is on the ballot: Recreational marijuana use is a question in five states(Arkansas, Maryland, Missouri, North Dakota and South Dakota), and outside of Maryland, whether the measures will get adopted is an open question. Watch multistate operators including Cresco Labs (OTCQX: CRLBF); Columbia Care (OTCQX: CCHWF); Trulieve Cannabis (OTCQX: TCNNF); Green Thumb Industries (OTCQX: GTBIF); Curaleaf Holdings (OTCPK: CURLF); MedMen Enterprises (OTCQB: MMNFF); Acreage Holdings (OTCQX: ACRHF); Ayr Wellness (OTCQX: AYRWF); Verano Holdings (OTCQX: VRNOF); and Jushi Holdings (OTCQX: JUSHF), as well as ETFs: AdvisorShares Pure Cannabis ETF (YOLO), Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS), ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ), AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS), and Global X Cannabis ETF (POTX).</p><p>And of course, closely following on election night's news will be Thursday's CPI report, where new data on inflation might amplify the impact of any Tuesday ballot-related effect on markets.</p><p>One thing important for election observers to remember: It's extremely unlikely we'll know the results of every race during election night, as many states with more mail-in ballots will likely need more time or even much more time to count them (particularly in the number of states that disallow counting mail-in votes until Election Day arrives, including Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). And that means even knowing who controls part of Congress might still be in question on Wednesday or beyond.</p><p>Also, control of the extremely close Senate may depend on such factors as automatic recounts, or another Georgia run-off that could delay knowing the answer into December.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Midterm Elections: What to Watch in Markets As America Votes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMidterm Elections: What to Watch in Markets As America Votes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-08 23:36 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3903249-election-day-what-to-watch-in-markets-as-america-votes><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It's midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong ideas about how it will play out, increasing uncertainty around polling (and a contentious electorate)...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3903249-election-day-what-to-watch-in-markets-as-america-votes\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3903249-election-day-what-to-watch-in-markets-as-america-votes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147745884","content_text":"It's midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong ideas about how it will play out, increasing uncertainty around polling (and a contentious electorate) suggest anything might happen.Midterm elections typically go against the party of the president - and if that holds, and Republicans take over even just the House (let alone the currently split Senate), it effectively would mean a sidelining of the vast majority of President Biden's agenda for the remaining two years in his term.That's not always bad for securities markets (NYSEARCA:SPY), where \"gridlock\" has often been received by investors as \"status quo\" - or, more specifically, the lack of any broad or shocking changes on tap that tend to spook investors and spur market declines.\"History suggests the midterms are a big influence on markets as they always seem to rally once midterms (or presidential elections) are out of the way,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid said. \"Our economists' base case is that Republicans will take the House but Democrats will maintain their slim majority in the Senate,\" he added.For what it's worth, the world's richest man Elon Musk is now Twitter's CEO and sole director, and urged his more than 100 million followers on the service to go GOP: \"I recommend voting for a Republican Congress, given that the Presidency is Democratic.\"While the issues at stake in the election's various races are numerous - including gun control, abortion and immigration - investors will be focused on a few that have risen to the fore as election season has rumbled on, notably the broader economic slowdown and this year's historic inflation.And while party polarization seems to be at historic highs, when it comes to business and investing, there are areas where the two parties are closer together than others. For example, where the parties agree on infrastructure spending, real estate, construction and utilities could benefit.ESG investing (Environmental, Social and Governance) is indirectly on the ballot, as Republicans increasingly tap the issue as a political talking point. If the GOP makes a strong showing, you can expect the pressure on ESG investing to increase. Some of the popular ESG-themed exchange-traded funds: Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF (ERTH), ALPS Clean Energy ETF (ACES), Fidelity Clean Energy ETF (FRNW), KraneShares MSCI China Environment Index (KGRN), Invesco MSCI Green Building ETF (GBLD), iShares S&P Global Clean Energy Index ETF (ICLN), Invesco Solar Portfolio ETF (TAN), Global X Wind Energy ETF (WNDY), CleanTech ETF (CTEC), Global X Solar ETF (RAYS), ProShares S&P Kensho Cleantech ETF (CTEX), First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF (FAN), iShares ESG Aware MSCI USA ETF (ESGU), Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV), and the SPDR S&P 500 ESG ETF (EFIV).And conversely, the \"anti-ESG\" fund God Bless America ETF (YALL) launched last month, with a focus on screening out companies it considers activist.Still, clean energy subsidies aren't as contentious as other issues, so it may be unlikely that President Biden's signature achievement on climate legislation will be unwound. Oil may be another matter: The idea floated by Biden for a windfall tax on Big Oil will be essentially dead if Republicans gain power. (By the by, the U.S. oil rig count has more than doubled during the Biden administration.)Technology is another area where the parties have diverged more in recent years, though perhaps more on style: Both parties have argued for more regulation on tech, for different reasons. The Biden administration has been concerned with concentrated power and antitrust action against the tech giants, including Meta Platforms (META), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) and Amazon.com (AMZN), while Republicans have targeted social media on speech-related issues, and say they won't back some currently stalled antitrust bills - which could be a boon for those giants currently in the crosshairs.Cannabis is on the ballot: Recreational marijuana use is a question in five states(Arkansas, Maryland, Missouri, North Dakota and South Dakota), and outside of Maryland, whether the measures will get adopted is an open question. Watch multistate operators including Cresco Labs (OTCQX: CRLBF); Columbia Care (OTCQX: CCHWF); Trulieve Cannabis (OTCQX: TCNNF); Green Thumb Industries (OTCQX: GTBIF); Curaleaf Holdings (OTCPK: CURLF); MedMen Enterprises (OTCQB: MMNFF); Acreage Holdings (OTCQX: ACRHF); Ayr Wellness (OTCQX: AYRWF); Verano Holdings (OTCQX: VRNOF); and Jushi Holdings (OTCQX: JUSHF), as well as ETFs: AdvisorShares Pure Cannabis ETF (YOLO), Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS), ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ), AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS), and Global X Cannabis ETF (POTX).And of course, closely following on election night's news will be Thursday's CPI report, where new data on inflation might amplify the impact of any Tuesday ballot-related effect on markets.One thing important for election observers to remember: It's extremely unlikely we'll know the results of every race during election night, as many states with more mail-in ballots will likely need more time or even much more time to count them (particularly in the number of states that disallow counting mail-in votes until Election Day arrives, including Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). And that means even knowing who controls part of Congress might still be in question on Wednesday or beyond.Also, control of the extremely close Senate may depend on such factors as automatic recounts, or another Georgia run-off that could delay knowing the answer into December.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983422058,"gmtCreate":1666310537675,"gmtModify":1676537738085,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983422058","repostId":"2277241712","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2277241712","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1666306964,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2277241712?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-21 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Snap Plunges 27% on Slowest Sales Growth as Advertisers Retreat","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2277241712","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Company says US users are spending less time on Snapchat videoSnap has cut workforce to focus on revenue-generating projects(Bloomberg) -- $Snap Inc(SNAP)$.reported its slowest quarterly sales growth ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Company says US users are spending less time on Snapchat video</li><li>Snap has cut workforce to focus on revenue-generating projects</li></ul><p>(Bloomberg) -- <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>. reported its slowest quarterly sales growth ever, saying that a decline in advertising spending continues to drag on results. Shares plunged more than 27% in late trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/022f95681d884baac75ec100c7b32f35\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"673\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The maker of the Snapchat app said third-quarter sales increased 6% to $1.13 billion. That was just shy of analysts’ average estimate of $1.14 billion, according to projections compiled by Bloomberg.</p><p>The social media company spent the quarter shrinking and refocusing its business, announcing in August that it was cutting 20% of its workforce and slashing projects that don’t contribute to user or revenue growth, or to the company’s augmented reality efforts. The changes were in response to plunging sales, which Snap attributed to a slowdown in marketer spending.</p><p>Revenue growth “continues to be impacted by a number of factors we have noted throughout the past year, including platform policy changes, macroeconomic headwinds, and increased competition,” Snap said in its prepared remarks for investors. “We are finding that our advertising partners across many industries are decreasing their marketing budgets, especially in the face of operating environment headwinds, inflation-driven cost pressures, and rising costs of capital.”</p><p>Snap stock, which closed at $10.79 per share, dropped as low as $7.78 in extended trading. The shares have fallen 77% this year.</p><p>The Snapchat app, popular with young people for sending disappearing messages and augmenting videos with special effects, reported a total of 363 million daily active users in the quarter, up 57 million from a year earlier. That topped the 358.7 million estimate. Still, Snap’s average revenue per user slid 11% to $3.11, missing the $3.19 average analyst projection.</p><p>Users in a key market, the US, spent 5% less time watching content than in the same quarter of last year. American Snapchatters aren’t viewing as many Stories posted by friends, the company said. That trend could concern advertisers.</p><p>“Facing an economic downturn, marketing teams are feeling the pressure to prove the ROI of every single line item on their media plans, and they’re going to consolidate spend to fewer, stronger channels and partners as a result,” Kelsey Chickering, an analyst at Forrester, said in an email. “Unfortunately for Snapchat, their share of advertiser budgets will likely shrink further, as marketers shift into the most efficient and proven channels.”</p><p>The company is prioritizing efforts that can boost revenue. In the third quarter, Snap grew its nascent subscription service, Snapchat+, to 1.5 million users who pay for early access to exclusive or pre-release features, Snap said Thursday. The app maker has also been investing in improving measurement tools for ads on its platform.</p><p>Snap posted a net loss of $360 million in the quarter, or 22 cents per share. The loss includes $155 million in restructuring costs. The board also authorized a $500 million share repurchase plan for its Class A stock over the next 12 months, Snap said.</p><p>Investors were watching Santa Monica, California-based Snap for clues on the performance of other advertising-dependent social media businesses. Next week, Meta Platforms Inc. and Alphabet Inc. report earnings.</p><p>Snap and platforms like Meta’s Facebook and Alphabet’s Google are competing for a shrinking pool of advertising dollars this year. Spiraling inflation is putting pressure on companies and consumer spending. Meanwhile, new rules from Apple Inc. that require all apps to get smartphone users’ permission to be tracked online have made it more difficult for advertisers to measure and manage their ad campaigns.</p><p>Shares of Meta, Alphabet and Pinterest Inc., another advertising reliant site, all fell in after-market trading following Snap’s report.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Snap Plunges 27% on Slowest Sales Growth as Advertisers Retreat</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSnap Plunges 27% on Slowest Sales Growth as Advertisers Retreat\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-21 07:02 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-20/snap-falls-on-slow-sales-growth-as-advertisers-pull-back><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Company says US users are spending less time on Snapchat videoSnap has cut workforce to focus on revenue-generating projects(Bloomberg) -- Snap Inc. reported its slowest quarterly sales growth ever, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-20/snap-falls-on-slow-sales-growth-as-advertisers-pull-back\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-20/snap-falls-on-slow-sales-growth-as-advertisers-pull-back","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2277241712","content_text":"Company says US users are spending less time on Snapchat videoSnap has cut workforce to focus on revenue-generating projects(Bloomberg) -- Snap Inc. reported its slowest quarterly sales growth ever, saying that a decline in advertising spending continues to drag on results. Shares plunged more than 27% in late trading.The maker of the Snapchat app said third-quarter sales increased 6% to $1.13 billion. That was just shy of analysts’ average estimate of $1.14 billion, according to projections compiled by Bloomberg.The social media company spent the quarter shrinking and refocusing its business, announcing in August that it was cutting 20% of its workforce and slashing projects that don’t contribute to user or revenue growth, or to the company’s augmented reality efforts. The changes were in response to plunging sales, which Snap attributed to a slowdown in marketer spending.Revenue growth “continues to be impacted by a number of factors we have noted throughout the past year, including platform policy changes, macroeconomic headwinds, and increased competition,” Snap said in its prepared remarks for investors. “We are finding that our advertising partners across many industries are decreasing their marketing budgets, especially in the face of operating environment headwinds, inflation-driven cost pressures, and rising costs of capital.”Snap stock, which closed at $10.79 per share, dropped as low as $7.78 in extended trading. The shares have fallen 77% this year.The Snapchat app, popular with young people for sending disappearing messages and augmenting videos with special effects, reported a total of 363 million daily active users in the quarter, up 57 million from a year earlier. That topped the 358.7 million estimate. Still, Snap’s average revenue per user slid 11% to $3.11, missing the $3.19 average analyst projection.Users in a key market, the US, spent 5% less time watching content than in the same quarter of last year. American Snapchatters aren’t viewing as many Stories posted by friends, the company said. That trend could concern advertisers.“Facing an economic downturn, marketing teams are feeling the pressure to prove the ROI of every single line item on their media plans, and they’re going to consolidate spend to fewer, stronger channels and partners as a result,” Kelsey Chickering, an analyst at Forrester, said in an email. “Unfortunately for Snapchat, their share of advertiser budgets will likely shrink further, as marketers shift into the most efficient and proven channels.”The company is prioritizing efforts that can boost revenue. In the third quarter, Snap grew its nascent subscription service, Snapchat+, to 1.5 million users who pay for early access to exclusive or pre-release features, Snap said Thursday. The app maker has also been investing in improving measurement tools for ads on its platform.Snap posted a net loss of $360 million in the quarter, or 22 cents per share. The loss includes $155 million in restructuring costs. The board also authorized a $500 million share repurchase plan for its Class A stock over the next 12 months, Snap said.Investors were watching Santa Monica, California-based Snap for clues on the performance of other advertising-dependent social media businesses. Next week, Meta Platforms Inc. and Alphabet Inc. report earnings.Snap and platforms like Meta’s Facebook and Alphabet’s Google are competing for a shrinking pool of advertising dollars this year. Spiraling inflation is putting pressure on companies and consumer spending. Meanwhile, new rules from Apple Inc. that require all apps to get smartphone users’ permission to be tracked online have made it more difficult for advertisers to measure and manage their ad campaigns.Shares of Meta, Alphabet and Pinterest Inc., another advertising reliant site, all fell in after-market trading following Snap’s report.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":33,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9069228086,"gmtCreate":1651295410481,"gmtModify":1676534886819,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9069228086","repostId":"2231269104","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2231269104","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1651272464,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2231269104?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-30 06:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Closes Sharply Lower on Amazon Slump, Inflation Worries","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2231269104","media":"Reuters","summary":"$Amazon(AMZN)$ tumbles after results and outlook fall shortApple slips after flagging supply problemsMonthly inflation surged by the most since 2005Indexes end: S&P 500 -3.63%, Nasdaq -4.17%, Dow -2.7","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a> tumbles after results and outlook fall short</li><li>Apple slips after flagging supply problems</li><li>Monthly inflation surged by the most since 2005</li><li>Indexes end: S&P 500 -3.63%, Nasdaq -4.17%, Dow -2.77%</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street slid on Friday to its deepest daily losses since 2020, as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a> slumped following a gloomy quarterly report, and as the biggest surge in monthly inflation since 2005 spooked investors already worried about rising interest rates.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com Inc</a> tumbled 14.05% in its steepest one-day drop since 2006, leaving the widely held stock near two-year lows. Late on Thursday, the e-commerce giant delivered a disappointing quarter and outlook, swamped by higher costs.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc</a>, the world's most valuable company, dropped 3.66% after its disappointing outlook overshadowed record quarterly profit and sales.</p><p>All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes fell, led lower by a 5.9% slide in Consumer Discretionary and a 4.9% drop in Real Estate.</p><p>The S&P 500 logged it largest one-day decline since June 2020. The Nasdaq's decline was its largest since September 2020.</p><p>Downbeat results and worries about aggressive monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve have hammered megacap technology and growth stocks this month.</p><p>The Fed is set to meet next week, with traders betting on a 50-basis-point rate hike to combat surging inflation.</p><p>Ahead of the weekend and the Fed meeting next week, "people are clearing the decks. The disappointing guidance from Apple and Amazon and a few other companies set the stage yesterday for today to be weak and it accelerated as we ended out the day," said Peter Tuz, President of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.</p><p>The Nasdaq has lost about 13% in April, its worst monthly performance since the global financial crisis in 2008.</p><p>The S&P 500 has fallen 13% so far in 2022, its steepest four-month decline to start any year since 1939.</p><p>Adding to fears on Wall Street, data showed the personal consumption expenditures price index - the Fed's favored measure of inflation - shot up 0.9% in March after climbing 0.5% in February.</p><p>Signs of aggressive monetary policy tightening. Data on Thursday showed the U.S. economy unexpectedly contracted in the first quarter.</p><p>The, S&P 500 declined 3.63% to end the session at 4,131.93 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq declined 4.17% to 12,334.64 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 2.77% to 32,977.21 points.</p><p>For the week, the S&P 500 lost 3.3%, the Nasdaq shed 3.9% and the Dow declined 2.5%.</p><p>The S&P 500 has gained or lost 2% or more in a day some 33 times so far in 2022, compared to 24 such days in all of 2021.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil Corp</a> slipped 2.24% after it took a $3.4 billion writedown due to its exit from Russia. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron Corp</a> dropped 3.16% after its first-quarter profit underwhelmed.</p><p>The first-quarter earnings season overall has been better than expected so far. Nearly half of the S&P 500 companies have reported through Thursday and 81% of them have topped Wall Street's expectations. Typically, only 66% beat estimates, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.91-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.85-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 47 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 13 new highs and 385 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.4 billion shares, compared with an 11.8 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Closes Sharply Lower on Amazon Slump, Inflation Worries</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Closes Sharply Lower on Amazon Slump, Inflation Worries\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-30 06:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a> tumbles after results and outlook fall short</li><li>Apple slips after flagging supply problems</li><li>Monthly inflation surged by the most since 2005</li><li>Indexes end: S&P 500 -3.63%, Nasdaq -4.17%, Dow -2.77%</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street slid on Friday to its deepest daily losses since 2020, as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a> slumped following a gloomy quarterly report, and as the biggest surge in monthly inflation since 2005 spooked investors already worried about rising interest rates.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com Inc</a> tumbled 14.05% in its steepest one-day drop since 2006, leaving the widely held stock near two-year lows. Late on Thursday, the e-commerce giant delivered a disappointing quarter and outlook, swamped by higher costs.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc</a>, the world's most valuable company, dropped 3.66% after its disappointing outlook overshadowed record quarterly profit and sales.</p><p>All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes fell, led lower by a 5.9% slide in Consumer Discretionary and a 4.9% drop in Real Estate.</p><p>The S&P 500 logged it largest one-day decline since June 2020. The Nasdaq's decline was its largest since September 2020.</p><p>Downbeat results and worries about aggressive monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve have hammered megacap technology and growth stocks this month.</p><p>The Fed is set to meet next week, with traders betting on a 50-basis-point rate hike to combat surging inflation.</p><p>Ahead of the weekend and the Fed meeting next week, "people are clearing the decks. The disappointing guidance from Apple and Amazon and a few other companies set the stage yesterday for today to be weak and it accelerated as we ended out the day," said Peter Tuz, President of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.</p><p>The Nasdaq has lost about 13% in April, its worst monthly performance since the global financial crisis in 2008.</p><p>The S&P 500 has fallen 13% so far in 2022, its steepest four-month decline to start any year since 1939.</p><p>Adding to fears on Wall Street, data showed the personal consumption expenditures price index - the Fed's favored measure of inflation - shot up 0.9% in March after climbing 0.5% in February.</p><p>Signs of aggressive monetary policy tightening. Data on Thursday showed the U.S. economy unexpectedly contracted in the first quarter.</p><p>The, S&P 500 declined 3.63% to end the session at 4,131.93 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq declined 4.17% to 12,334.64 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 2.77% to 32,977.21 points.</p><p>For the week, the S&P 500 lost 3.3%, the Nasdaq shed 3.9% and the Dow declined 2.5%.</p><p>The S&P 500 has gained or lost 2% or more in a day some 33 times so far in 2022, compared to 24 such days in all of 2021.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil Corp</a> slipped 2.24% after it took a $3.4 billion writedown due to its exit from Russia. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron Corp</a> dropped 3.16% after its first-quarter profit underwhelmed.</p><p>The first-quarter earnings season overall has been better than expected so far. Nearly half of the S&P 500 companies have reported through Thursday and 81% of them have topped Wall Street's expectations. Typically, only 66% beat estimates, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.91-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.85-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 47 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 13 new highs and 385 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.4 billion shares, compared with an 11.8 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4538":"云计算","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4579":"人工智能","CVX":"雪佛龙","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","AAPL":"苹果",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","XOM":"埃克森美孚","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4524":"宅经济概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2231269104","content_text":"Amazon tumbles after results and outlook fall shortApple slips after flagging supply problemsMonthly inflation surged by the most since 2005Indexes end: S&P 500 -3.63%, Nasdaq -4.17%, Dow -2.77%(Reuters) - Wall Street slid on Friday to its deepest daily losses since 2020, as Amazon slumped following a gloomy quarterly report, and as the biggest surge in monthly inflation since 2005 spooked investors already worried about rising interest rates.Amazon.com Inc tumbled 14.05% in its steepest one-day drop since 2006, leaving the widely held stock near two-year lows. Late on Thursday, the e-commerce giant delivered a disappointing quarter and outlook, swamped by higher costs.Apple Inc, the world's most valuable company, dropped 3.66% after its disappointing outlook overshadowed record quarterly profit and sales.All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes fell, led lower by a 5.9% slide in Consumer Discretionary and a 4.9% drop in Real Estate.The S&P 500 logged it largest one-day decline since June 2020. The Nasdaq's decline was its largest since September 2020.Downbeat results and worries about aggressive monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve have hammered megacap technology and growth stocks this month.The Fed is set to meet next week, with traders betting on a 50-basis-point rate hike to combat surging inflation.Ahead of the weekend and the Fed meeting next week, \"people are clearing the decks. The disappointing guidance from Apple and Amazon and a few other companies set the stage yesterday for today to be weak and it accelerated as we ended out the day,\" said Peter Tuz, President of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.The Nasdaq has lost about 13% in April, its worst monthly performance since the global financial crisis in 2008.The S&P 500 has fallen 13% so far in 2022, its steepest four-month decline to start any year since 1939.Adding to fears on Wall Street, data showed the personal consumption expenditures price index - the Fed's favored measure of inflation - shot up 0.9% in March after climbing 0.5% in February.Signs of aggressive monetary policy tightening. Data on Thursday showed the U.S. economy unexpectedly contracted in the first quarter.The, S&P 500 declined 3.63% to end the session at 4,131.93 points.The Nasdaq declined 4.17% to 12,334.64 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 2.77% to 32,977.21 points.For the week, the S&P 500 lost 3.3%, the Nasdaq shed 3.9% and the Dow declined 2.5%.The S&P 500 has gained or lost 2% or more in a day some 33 times so far in 2022, compared to 24 such days in all of 2021.Exxon Mobil Corp slipped 2.24% after it took a $3.4 billion writedown due to its exit from Russia. Chevron Corp dropped 3.16% after its first-quarter profit underwhelmed.The first-quarter earnings season overall has been better than expected so far. Nearly half of the S&P 500 companies have reported through Thursday and 81% of them have topped Wall Street's expectations. Typically, only 66% beat estimates, according to Refinitiv data.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.91-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.85-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 47 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 13 new highs and 385 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.4 billion shares, compared with an 11.8 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":20,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881290730,"gmtCreate":1631338728320,"gmtModify":1676530532541,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/881290730","repostId":"2166375184","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2166375184","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1631329320,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2166375184?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-11 11:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Top Stocks to Buy for the Long Haul","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2166375184","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Time plus patience, multiplied by sustainable business advantages: the formula for making serious money in the stock market. These three stocks fit the bill.","content":"<p>There are many ways to make money in the stock market. Every investor has their own style, different levels of risk tolerance, and diverse goals. But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the easiest and most profitable ways to get rich on Wall Street is to follow in the footsteps of true masters such as Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham.</p>\n<p>It's elementary, really. First, identify companies with fantastic growth opportunities, sustainable business advantages over their rivals, and excellent management teams. Then, buy these stocks at reasonable prices. It's OK to overpay a bit if you have to. Quality doesn't always come cheap.</p>\n<p>Then, stick those shares under your proverbial pillow and get some undisturbed sleep. Do absolutely nothing for years or even decades. Companies with the qualities I listed a minute ago should be able to deliver solid returns for the long haul, unlocking the magic of compounding returns over very long periods.</p>\n<p>Even ardent growth investors with a high tolerance for market risk should have a handful of these surefire long-term bets in their portfolios. For example, my own collection of small-cap tickers, promising growth stocks, and the odd speculative bet is built around a solid core of long-term champions. Whatever happens to the rest of my real-world holdings, I don't lose a minute of sleep over these proven winners. The stocks mentioned below are firmly established members of that elite group.</p>\n<p>Read on to see why every investor should consider holding a few shares of <b>Roku</b> (NASDAQ:ROKU), <b>Alphabet</b> (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL), and <b>Walt Disney</b> (NYSE:DIS). All of these familiar names are poised to keep winning for many years to come, each in its own inimitable way.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5102320568ff7a6b2fe0ee7c527c253\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Time is money. Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>Roku: Modern entertainment in a nutshell</h2>\n<p>Streaming media is everywhere nowadays. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the mainstream adoption of digital entertainment services, and the health crisis struck just as every entertainment company on the planet seemed to be launching its own streaming platform.</p>\n<p>Roku benefits from all of this activity, being the global leader in media-streaming technologies. The company's service-agnostic philosophy does a couple of important things for Roku's long-term success. First, this company can be a huge winner no matter which content studio walks away with the trophy for having the most viewers in the end. Second, Roku's omnipresent nature in the set-top box and smart TV markets forces every new service to develop support for Roku's platform. These two qualities reinforce each other as time goes by, further cementing Roku's rock-solid growth trajectory.</p>\n<p>Streaming entertainment is here to stay. Roku has claimed the catbird seat for itself in this explosive growth market. It would take a massive effort by an established entertainment technology giant to dethrone Roku at this point. Most of those large-scale rivals are too deeply attached to their long-standing traditions to really go for it.</p>\n<p>For example, I would eat my shoe if <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:AAPL) ever decided to give equal support to every available streaming service and hardware device. The Apple TV app is only available for devices designed in Cupertino, and the Apple TV set-top box works best with the iTunes ecosystem. That's the exact opposite of Roku's agnostic attitude, and the main reason why I don't see Apple as a serious Roku competitor.</p>\n<p>A larger company could give up on promoting its in-house platform options and just buy Roku instead. However, Roku is trading at 208 times forward earnings or 210 times free cash flows. The company's enterprise value stands at a hefty $44.1 billion today. That's rich enough to make any tech giant think twice about putting together an acquisition offer, especially one with a buyout premium large enough to win the required shareholder vote. The lofty price tag is Roku's best takeover defense.</p>\n<p>This is one of those situations where a high price shouldn't deter you from picking up Roku shares. You get to own a premium business when you pay that premium price.</p>\n<p>So if you want to bet on the future of digital entertainment without worrying about the content production side of things, Roku is your best bet. This stock should deliver market-beating returns for the foreseeable future.</p>\n<h2>Alphabet: Throwing spaghetti at the wall for fun and profit</h2>\n<p>So far, almost all of Alphabet's success and financial gains have sprung from the Google-branded set of online search and advertising tools. In the recently reported second quarter of 2021, Google services and Google Cloud accounted for 99.2% of Alphabet's total sales. The remaining operations, under the \"other bets\" segment, also reported an operating loss of $1.1 billion, while the Google segments generated $8.1 billion in operating profits. It's all about the Big G.</p>\n<p>That won't always be the case, though.</p>\n<p>Google transformed into the conglomerate known as Alphabet exactly because the company knows that big changes are coming. Web browsers and ad-boosted websites will not always provide a stable revenue stream for Google. Mobile apps and the Android platform are ready to take over, but this too shall pass.</p>\n<p>And Alphabet is trying out a whole bunch of alternative business ideas. So far, the company is looking at ideas such as self-driving cars, high-speed internet services, advanced medical research, and next-generation agriculture development. One or several of those unconventional bets should stand ready to carry Alphabet's financial torch when the time comes. Or maybe we haven't even heard of Alphabet's best ideas yet.</p>\n<p>Nobody knows exactly where this train is going, but I'm OK with that. Alphabet is willing to keep throwing spaghetti at the wall until something really sticks, creating the foundation of whatever this company might become. Alphabet's ambitious moonshot projects generally strike me as wholesome ideas that could benefit humanity on a large scale -- and I would be happy to benefit from their potential success.</p>\n<p>That's why Alphabet will always hold a place in my investment portfolio. This company is ready and able to change with the times. That's one effective way to build a successful business for the ages.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/300a57a82684c9a313758e27f921ed5e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"485\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>The winds of change are blowing. Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>Disney: Always ready to turn on a dime</h2>\n<p>Finally, Disney's leaders are proving their willingness to try new ideas. The House of Mouse reorganized itself around streaming content last year, thumbing its nose at the traditional media industry to refocus on what's next. Its world-class theme parks are adapting to the restrictions of social distancing, putting together a positive third-quarter showing after several quarters of negative operating profits.</p>\n<p>This is the only old-school media studio I would consider owning nowadays. Unfortunately, Disney's sector peers often respond to changing market conditions by retreating into their shells to defend the operating procedures of old, and those efforts are mostly ineffective.</p>\n<p>For example, movie theater attendance has been falling for decades. Hollywood at large wanted to address this problem by raising ticket prices, which then resulted in even fewer ticket sales. In Disney's case, the company eventually fired up a serious media-streaming service packed with the company's legendary content, supported by a steady stream of brand new original material.</p>\n<p>Disney+ is the company's future in many ways, and you won't see CEO Bob Chapek or chairman Bob Iger complaining about that fact. Instead, they tweaked their company's operating structure to accelerate the transformation.</p>\n<p>I don't know where the entertainment and media markets are going in the long run, but I don't really have to. I'm convinced that Disney will do whatever it takes to stay relevant and thriving in whatever market conditions might be around the bend. Again, I really like owning stocks tied to businesses that can and will change over time. Disney is another great example of this market-beating quality.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Top Stocks to Buy for the Long Haul</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Top Stocks to Buy for the Long Haul\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-11 11:02 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/10/3-top-stocks-to-buy-for-the-long-haul/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There are many ways to make money in the stock market. Every investor has their own style, different levels of risk tolerance, and diverse goals. But one of the easiest and most profitable ways to get...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/10/3-top-stocks-to-buy-for-the-long-haul/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼","ROKU":"Roku Inc","GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/10/3-top-stocks-to-buy-for-the-long-haul/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2166375184","content_text":"There are many ways to make money in the stock market. Every investor has their own style, different levels of risk tolerance, and diverse goals. But one of the easiest and most profitable ways to get rich on Wall Street is to follow in the footsteps of true masters such as Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham.\nIt's elementary, really. First, identify companies with fantastic growth opportunities, sustainable business advantages over their rivals, and excellent management teams. Then, buy these stocks at reasonable prices. It's OK to overpay a bit if you have to. Quality doesn't always come cheap.\nThen, stick those shares under your proverbial pillow and get some undisturbed sleep. Do absolutely nothing for years or even decades. Companies with the qualities I listed a minute ago should be able to deliver solid returns for the long haul, unlocking the magic of compounding returns over very long periods.\nEven ardent growth investors with a high tolerance for market risk should have a handful of these surefire long-term bets in their portfolios. For example, my own collection of small-cap tickers, promising growth stocks, and the odd speculative bet is built around a solid core of long-term champions. Whatever happens to the rest of my real-world holdings, I don't lose a minute of sleep over these proven winners. The stocks mentioned below are firmly established members of that elite group.\nRead on to see why every investor should consider holding a few shares of Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL), and Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS). All of these familiar names are poised to keep winning for many years to come, each in its own inimitable way.\nTime is money. Image source: Getty Images.\nRoku: Modern entertainment in a nutshell\nStreaming media is everywhere nowadays. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the mainstream adoption of digital entertainment services, and the health crisis struck just as every entertainment company on the planet seemed to be launching its own streaming platform.\nRoku benefits from all of this activity, being the global leader in media-streaming technologies. The company's service-agnostic philosophy does a couple of important things for Roku's long-term success. First, this company can be a huge winner no matter which content studio walks away with the trophy for having the most viewers in the end. Second, Roku's omnipresent nature in the set-top box and smart TV markets forces every new service to develop support for Roku's platform. These two qualities reinforce each other as time goes by, further cementing Roku's rock-solid growth trajectory.\nStreaming entertainment is here to stay. Roku has claimed the catbird seat for itself in this explosive growth market. It would take a massive effort by an established entertainment technology giant to dethrone Roku at this point. Most of those large-scale rivals are too deeply attached to their long-standing traditions to really go for it.\nFor example, I would eat my shoe if Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) ever decided to give equal support to every available streaming service and hardware device. The Apple TV app is only available for devices designed in Cupertino, and the Apple TV set-top box works best with the iTunes ecosystem. That's the exact opposite of Roku's agnostic attitude, and the main reason why I don't see Apple as a serious Roku competitor.\nA larger company could give up on promoting its in-house platform options and just buy Roku instead. However, Roku is trading at 208 times forward earnings or 210 times free cash flows. The company's enterprise value stands at a hefty $44.1 billion today. That's rich enough to make any tech giant think twice about putting together an acquisition offer, especially one with a buyout premium large enough to win the required shareholder vote. The lofty price tag is Roku's best takeover defense.\nThis is one of those situations where a high price shouldn't deter you from picking up Roku shares. You get to own a premium business when you pay that premium price.\nSo if you want to bet on the future of digital entertainment without worrying about the content production side of things, Roku is your best bet. This stock should deliver market-beating returns for the foreseeable future.\nAlphabet: Throwing spaghetti at the wall for fun and profit\nSo far, almost all of Alphabet's success and financial gains have sprung from the Google-branded set of online search and advertising tools. In the recently reported second quarter of 2021, Google services and Google Cloud accounted for 99.2% of Alphabet's total sales. The remaining operations, under the \"other bets\" segment, also reported an operating loss of $1.1 billion, while the Google segments generated $8.1 billion in operating profits. It's all about the Big G.\nThat won't always be the case, though.\nGoogle transformed into the conglomerate known as Alphabet exactly because the company knows that big changes are coming. Web browsers and ad-boosted websites will not always provide a stable revenue stream for Google. Mobile apps and the Android platform are ready to take over, but this too shall pass.\nAnd Alphabet is trying out a whole bunch of alternative business ideas. So far, the company is looking at ideas such as self-driving cars, high-speed internet services, advanced medical research, and next-generation agriculture development. One or several of those unconventional bets should stand ready to carry Alphabet's financial torch when the time comes. Or maybe we haven't even heard of Alphabet's best ideas yet.\nNobody knows exactly where this train is going, but I'm OK with that. Alphabet is willing to keep throwing spaghetti at the wall until something really sticks, creating the foundation of whatever this company might become. Alphabet's ambitious moonshot projects generally strike me as wholesome ideas that could benefit humanity on a large scale -- and I would be happy to benefit from their potential success.\nThat's why Alphabet will always hold a place in my investment portfolio. This company is ready and able to change with the times. That's one effective way to build a successful business for the ages.\nThe winds of change are blowing. Image source: Getty Images.\nDisney: Always ready to turn on a dime\nFinally, Disney's leaders are proving their willingness to try new ideas. The House of Mouse reorganized itself around streaming content last year, thumbing its nose at the traditional media industry to refocus on what's next. Its world-class theme parks are adapting to the restrictions of social distancing, putting together a positive third-quarter showing after several quarters of negative operating profits.\nThis is the only old-school media studio I would consider owning nowadays. Unfortunately, Disney's sector peers often respond to changing market conditions by retreating into their shells to defend the operating procedures of old, and those efforts are mostly ineffective.\nFor example, movie theater attendance has been falling for decades. Hollywood at large wanted to address this problem by raising ticket prices, which then resulted in even fewer ticket sales. In Disney's case, the company eventually fired up a serious media-streaming service packed with the company's legendary content, supported by a steady stream of brand new original material.\nDisney+ is the company's future in many ways, and you won't see CEO Bob Chapek or chairman Bob Iger complaining about that fact. Instead, they tweaked their company's operating structure to accelerate the transformation.\nI don't know where the entertainment and media markets are going in the long run, but I don't really have to. I'm convinced that Disney will do whatever it takes to stay relevant and thriving in whatever market conditions might be around the bend. Again, I really like owning stocks tied to businesses that can and will change over time. Disney is another great example of this market-beating quality.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958717875,"gmtCreate":1673827327698,"gmtModify":1676538889980,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958717875","repostId":"1123051868","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123051868","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1673824065,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123051868?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-16 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix, Goldman Sachs, United Airlines, Morgan Stanley, and More Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123051868","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. It will be a busy we","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. It will be a busy week of fourth-quarter earnings season once Wall Street reopens.</p><p>Tuesday’s highlights will be results from Goldman SachsGroup, Morgan Stanley,and United AirlinesHoldings, followed by Charles Schwab, J.B. Hunt Transport Services,and Prologison Wednesday. Netflix, Procter & Gamble, and Fastenal report on Thursday.Schlumberger closes the week on Friday.</p><p>The main event on the economic-data calendar will be Wednesday’s release of the producer price index for December. Economists are expecting the headline PPI to be up 6.8% from a year earlier and for the core PPI to have increased 5.4%. Both would be lower than November’s inflation.</p><p>Other data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for December and the Federal Reserve’s first beige book of 2023, both on Wednesday. The Bank of Japan will also announce a monetary-policy decision on Wednesday. The central bank has been significantly more dovish over the past year than its developed-market peers.</p><p><b>Monday 1/16</b></p><p><b>Equity and fixed-income</b> markets are closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day.</p><p><b>Tuesday 1/17</b></p><p>Citizens Financial Group, Goldman Sachs Group, Morgan Stanley, and United Airlines Holdings report quarterly results.</p><p>Monster Beverage hosts a virtual investor day.</p><p><b>Wednesday 1/18</b></p><p><b>The BLS releases</b> the producer price index for December. Consensus estimate is for the PPI to rise 6.8% and core PPI to increase 5.4%, a moderation from November.</p><p>Charles Schwab, Discover Financial Services, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Kinder Morgan, PNC Financial Services Group, and Prologis release earnings.</p><p><b>The Bank of Japan</b> announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 25% chance that the central bank will hike its key interest by 10 basis points, to zero from negative 0.1%, the level at which it has remained since early 2016. In December, the BOJ surprised the bond market by raising the cap on 10-year government bond yields. The yen has rallied about 15% against the U.S. dollar in the past three months as the last dovish major central bank is signaling it might finally tighten monetary policy.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases the beige book for the first of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions through anecdotal evidence gathered by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for December. Economists forecast retail spending to decline 0.6% month over month, matching the November figure. Excluding autos, sales are seen dropping 0.4% compared to a 0.2% fall previously.</p><p><b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for January. The consensus call is for a 31 reading, even with the December figure, which was the lowest since the onset of the pandemic.</p><p><b>Thursday 1/19</b></p><p>Fastenal, Fifth Third Bancorp, KeyCorp, M&T Bank, Netflix, Northern Trust, Procter & Gamble, SVB Financial Group, and Truist Financial hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports residential construction statistics for December. Housing starts are expected at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.35 million, 77,000 less than in November. The 1.35 million would be the lowest total since June of 2020.</p><p><b>Friday 1/20</b></p><p>Huntington Bancshares, Regions Financial, Schlumberger, and State Street announce earnings.</p><p><b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for December. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.98 million homes sold, about 100,000 less than in November.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55b63257010ac2c988a0354a22549189\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix, Goldman Sachs, United Airlines, Morgan Stanley, and More Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix, Goldman Sachs, United Airlines, Morgan Stanley, and More Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-16 07:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. It will be a busy week of fourth-quarter earnings season once Wall Street reopens.</p><p>Tuesday’s highlights will be results from Goldman SachsGroup, Morgan Stanley,and United AirlinesHoldings, followed by Charles Schwab, J.B. Hunt Transport Services,and Prologison Wednesday. Netflix, Procter & Gamble, and Fastenal report on Thursday.Schlumberger closes the week on Friday.</p><p>The main event on the economic-data calendar will be Wednesday’s release of the producer price index for December. Economists are expecting the headline PPI to be up 6.8% from a year earlier and for the core PPI to have increased 5.4%. Both would be lower than November’s inflation.</p><p>Other data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for December and the Federal Reserve’s first beige book of 2023, both on Wednesday. The Bank of Japan will also announce a monetary-policy decision on Wednesday. The central bank has been significantly more dovish over the past year than its developed-market peers.</p><p><b>Monday 1/16</b></p><p><b>Equity and fixed-income</b> markets are closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day.</p><p><b>Tuesday 1/17</b></p><p>Citizens Financial Group, Goldman Sachs Group, Morgan Stanley, and United Airlines Holdings report quarterly results.</p><p>Monster Beverage hosts a virtual investor day.</p><p><b>Wednesday 1/18</b></p><p><b>The BLS releases</b> the producer price index for December. Consensus estimate is for the PPI to rise 6.8% and core PPI to increase 5.4%, a moderation from November.</p><p>Charles Schwab, Discover Financial Services, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Kinder Morgan, PNC Financial Services Group, and Prologis release earnings.</p><p><b>The Bank of Japan</b> announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 25% chance that the central bank will hike its key interest by 10 basis points, to zero from negative 0.1%, the level at which it has remained since early 2016. In December, the BOJ surprised the bond market by raising the cap on 10-year government bond yields. The yen has rallied about 15% against the U.S. dollar in the past three months as the last dovish major central bank is signaling it might finally tighten monetary policy.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases the beige book for the first of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions through anecdotal evidence gathered by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for December. Economists forecast retail spending to decline 0.6% month over month, matching the November figure. Excluding autos, sales are seen dropping 0.4% compared to a 0.2% fall previously.</p><p><b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for January. The consensus call is for a 31 reading, even with the December figure, which was the lowest since the onset of the pandemic.</p><p><b>Thursday 1/19</b></p><p>Fastenal, Fifth Third Bancorp, KeyCorp, M&T Bank, Netflix, Northern Trust, Procter & Gamble, SVB Financial Group, and Truist Financial hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports residential construction statistics for December. Housing starts are expected at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.35 million, 77,000 less than in November. The 1.35 million would be the lowest total since June of 2020.</p><p><b>Friday 1/20</b></p><p>Huntington Bancshares, Regions Financial, Schlumberger, and State Street announce earnings.</p><p><b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for December. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.98 million homes sold, about 100,000 less than in November.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55b63257010ac2c988a0354a22549189\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利","GS":"高盛","NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123051868","content_text":"Stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. It will be a busy week of fourth-quarter earnings season once Wall Street reopens.Tuesday’s highlights will be results from Goldman SachsGroup, Morgan Stanley,and United AirlinesHoldings, followed by Charles Schwab, J.B. Hunt Transport Services,and Prologison Wednesday. Netflix, Procter & Gamble, and Fastenal report on Thursday.Schlumberger closes the week on Friday.The main event on the economic-data calendar will be Wednesday’s release of the producer price index for December. Economists are expecting the headline PPI to be up 6.8% from a year earlier and for the core PPI to have increased 5.4%. Both would be lower than November’s inflation.Other data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for December and the Federal Reserve’s first beige book of 2023, both on Wednesday. The Bank of Japan will also announce a monetary-policy decision on Wednesday. The central bank has been significantly more dovish over the past year than its developed-market peers.Monday 1/16Equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day.Tuesday 1/17Citizens Financial Group, Goldman Sachs Group, Morgan Stanley, and United Airlines Holdings report quarterly results.Monster Beverage hosts a virtual investor day.Wednesday 1/18The BLS releases the producer price index for December. Consensus estimate is for the PPI to rise 6.8% and core PPI to increase 5.4%, a moderation from November.Charles Schwab, Discover Financial Services, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Kinder Morgan, PNC Financial Services Group, and Prologis release earnings.The Bank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 25% chance that the central bank will hike its key interest by 10 basis points, to zero from negative 0.1%, the level at which it has remained since early 2016. In December, the BOJ surprised the bond market by raising the cap on 10-year government bond yields. The yen has rallied about 15% against the U.S. dollar in the past three months as the last dovish major central bank is signaling it might finally tighten monetary policy.The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the first of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions through anecdotal evidence gathered by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.The Census Bureau reports retail sales data for December. Economists forecast retail spending to decline 0.6% month over month, matching the November figure. Excluding autos, sales are seen dropping 0.4% compared to a 0.2% fall previously.The National Association of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for January. The consensus call is for a 31 reading, even with the December figure, which was the lowest since the onset of the pandemic.Thursday 1/19Fastenal, Fifth Third Bancorp, KeyCorp, M&T Bank, Netflix, Northern Trust, Procter & Gamble, SVB Financial Group, and Truist Financial hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.The Census Bureau reports residential construction statistics for December. Housing starts are expected at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.35 million, 77,000 less than in November. The 1.35 million would be the lowest total since June of 2020.Friday 1/20Huntington Bancshares, Regions Financial, Schlumberger, and State Street announce earnings.The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for December. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.98 million homes sold, about 100,000 less than in November.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":78,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966223607,"gmtCreate":1669561961009,"gmtModify":1676538207576,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966223607","repostId":"1170146184","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170146184","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669522674,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170146184?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-27 12:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170146184","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren B","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.</li><li><b>Apple</b>(<b>AAPL</b>): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.</li><li><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(<b>AMD</b>): Analysts love this beaten-down tech name.</li><li><b>Nvidia</b>(<b>NVDA</b>): The bad news is already priced into downed stocks like Nvidia.</li></ul><p>2022 was a tough one for tech stocks. Most were walloped with higher interest rates, fears of aggressive rate hikes, geopolitical issues, economic concerns, and fed-up consumers. It chased even the sanest investors from the market. While it’s impossible to find a risk-free investment, some are safer than others – especially if they’re leaders in their sectors, with wide economic moats.</p><p>In fact, one of the best ways to spot strong tech stocks is to follow the Warren Buffett model, which is to invest in simple companies that are easy to understand; companies with predictable and proven earnings; companies that can be bought at a reasonable price; and companies with“economic moat,”or a unique advantage over its competition. Seeing that Warren Buffett is now worth about $108.2 billion, it’s a safe bet he knows a thing or two about safe investing.</p><p><b>Apple (AAPL)</b></p><p>With a diversified revenue stream, and an ability to adapt to new consumer trends, <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:<b>AAPL</b>) will always be one of the strong tech stocks to bet on. Even Warren Buffett once said he continues to invest in Apple because of its brand, ecosystem, and strong economic moat.</p><p>In addition, we have to consider that Apple is a global leader in innovation. Just look at the iPhone alone. First introduced to the public in 2007, it’s now one of the most popular mobile phones in the world, with a growing market share. Better, earnings have been solid.</p><p>The company just beat expectations on revenue and profits, and it showed that global demand for its products is still high. In its fourth quarter, the company’s revenue was up 8% to $90 billion. Mac sales were up 25% to $11.5 billion in the quarter. iPhone sales were up 10% to $42.6 billion. Operating income was up by 5% to $25 billion. EPS was up 4% to $1.29, putting it above expectations for $1.27.</p><p>Also, analysts, such as Deutsche Bank’s Sidney Ho, say Apple is trading at a reasonable valuation and has a buy rating with a price target of $175. Apple also carries a dividend yield of 0.66%, and it’s been aggressive with stock buybacks.</p><p><b>Tech Stocks: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)</b></p><p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b> (NASDAQ: <b>AMD</b>) was butchered for most of the year. But that’ll happen when most of the tech stock sector is dragging just about everything lower. However, after falling from about $150 to a low of about $60, the AMD stock is showing strong signs of life. With patience, I’d like to see the AMD stock run from its current price of $75.25 to $120 in the near term.</p><p>Analysts like the AMD stock, too. UBS upgraded AMD to a buy rating with a price target of $95 a share. Baird analyst Tristan Gerra also just upgraded the beaten-down tech name to outperform with a price target of $100. He believes the company’s newest Genoa chips could widen the company’s competitive moat. Credit Suisse analyst Chris Caso also initiated coverage of AMD with an outperform rating, with a price target of $90.</p><p>Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar is also overweight on the stock, with a price target of $90. He added that earnings appear to be bottoming and that PC inventory should start to clear out in the early part of 2023. In addition, he believes AMD is a great way to trade the server uptrend and cloud strength.</p><p><b>Tech Stocks: Nvidia (NVDA)</b></p><p>While <b>Nvidia</b> (NASDAQ:<b>NVDA</b>) was cut in half this year, it’s still one quality, safe name investors can count on. For one, the company makes the chips that are used to power some of the world’s most advanced technologies, including gaming, supercomputing, the cloud, artificial intelligence, machine learning, virtual reality, augmented reality, autonomous driving, etc. Again, NVDA was destroyed in 2022. But it’s still a high-quality name to count on.</p><p>Better, it’s also getting a jump on the Industrial Omniverse, which is already being used by major companies, like <b>Lowe’s</b> (NYSE:LOW), <b>BMW</b>(OTCMKTS:BMWYY), <b>Siemens</b>(OTCMKTS:SIEGY), and <b>Lockheed Martin</b> (NYSE:LMT).</p><p>Analysts, like Credit Suisse’s Chris Casso, say there’s been enough bad news for semiconductors to lower the risk of investing. The firm also said Nvidia was one of its top picks thanks to its strength in artificial intelligence, computing, and data centers. Better, the firm now has an outperform rating on the stock, with a $210 price target. Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar also sees a near-term turnaround for Nvidia and has an overweight rating on the stock. For me, from a current price of $160.38, I’d like to see the stock run back to $195 by the first half of the New Year.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-27 12:17 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.Advanced Micro Devices(AMD): Analysts love this...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","AMD":"美国超微公司","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170146184","content_text":"Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.Advanced Micro Devices(AMD): Analysts love this beaten-down tech name.Nvidia(NVDA): The bad news is already priced into downed stocks like Nvidia.2022 was a tough one for tech stocks. Most were walloped with higher interest rates, fears of aggressive rate hikes, geopolitical issues, economic concerns, and fed-up consumers. It chased even the sanest investors from the market. While it’s impossible to find a risk-free investment, some are safer than others – especially if they’re leaders in their sectors, with wide economic moats.In fact, one of the best ways to spot strong tech stocks is to follow the Warren Buffett model, which is to invest in simple companies that are easy to understand; companies with predictable and proven earnings; companies that can be bought at a reasonable price; and companies with“economic moat,”or a unique advantage over its competition. Seeing that Warren Buffett is now worth about $108.2 billion, it’s a safe bet he knows a thing or two about safe investing.Apple (AAPL)With a diversified revenue stream, and an ability to adapt to new consumer trends, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) will always be one of the strong tech stocks to bet on. Even Warren Buffett once said he continues to invest in Apple because of its brand, ecosystem, and strong economic moat.In addition, we have to consider that Apple is a global leader in innovation. Just look at the iPhone alone. First introduced to the public in 2007, it’s now one of the most popular mobile phones in the world, with a growing market share. Better, earnings have been solid.The company just beat expectations on revenue and profits, and it showed that global demand for its products is still high. In its fourth quarter, the company’s revenue was up 8% to $90 billion. Mac sales were up 25% to $11.5 billion in the quarter. iPhone sales were up 10% to $42.6 billion. Operating income was up by 5% to $25 billion. EPS was up 4% to $1.29, putting it above expectations for $1.27.Also, analysts, such as Deutsche Bank’s Sidney Ho, say Apple is trading at a reasonable valuation and has a buy rating with a price target of $175. Apple also carries a dividend yield of 0.66%, and it’s been aggressive with stock buybacks.Tech Stocks: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) was butchered for most of the year. But that’ll happen when most of the tech stock sector is dragging just about everything lower. However, after falling from about $150 to a low of about $60, the AMD stock is showing strong signs of life. With patience, I’d like to see the AMD stock run from its current price of $75.25 to $120 in the near term.Analysts like the AMD stock, too. UBS upgraded AMD to a buy rating with a price target of $95 a share. Baird analyst Tristan Gerra also just upgraded the beaten-down tech name to outperform with a price target of $100. He believes the company’s newest Genoa chips could widen the company’s competitive moat. Credit Suisse analyst Chris Caso also initiated coverage of AMD with an outperform rating, with a price target of $90.Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar is also overweight on the stock, with a price target of $90. He added that earnings appear to be bottoming and that PC inventory should start to clear out in the early part of 2023. In addition, he believes AMD is a great way to trade the server uptrend and cloud strength.Tech Stocks: Nvidia (NVDA)While Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) was cut in half this year, it’s still one quality, safe name investors can count on. For one, the company makes the chips that are used to power some of the world’s most advanced technologies, including gaming, supercomputing, the cloud, artificial intelligence, machine learning, virtual reality, augmented reality, autonomous driving, etc. Again, NVDA was destroyed in 2022. But it’s still a high-quality name to count on.Better, it’s also getting a jump on the Industrial Omniverse, which is already being used by major companies, like Lowe’s (NYSE:LOW), BMW(OTCMKTS:BMWYY), Siemens(OTCMKTS:SIEGY), and Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT).Analysts, like Credit Suisse’s Chris Casso, say there’s been enough bad news for semiconductors to lower the risk of investing. The firm also said Nvidia was one of its top picks thanks to its strength in artificial intelligence, computing, and data centers. Better, the firm now has an outperform rating on the stock, with a $210 price target. Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar also sees a near-term turnaround for Nvidia and has an overweight rating on the stock. For me, from a current price of $160.38, I’d like to see the stock run back to $195 by the first half of the New Year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966170632,"gmtCreate":1669460891226,"gmtModify":1676538199162,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966170632","repostId":"2286650311","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2286650311","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1669426086,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2286650311?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-26 09:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Ignore The Zero-COVID Policy And Manchester United Noise","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286650311","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"The Apple Investment Thesis Is Still IntactIt is evident that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is in the hot seat","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2><b>The Apple Investment Thesis Is Still Intact</b></h2><p>It is evident that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is in the hot seat now, due to the rumored Manchester United takeover and the riot in Foxconn's factory in Zhengzhou. While almost impossible, we suppose the massively popular soccer team may add some advertising and marketing value to the company, especially in the Apple TV segment. However, due to the potential cash burn and the odd timing coinciding with World Cup excitement, it is unlikely that the rumor is true. We'll see, since Daily Star has also speculated Amazon (AMZN) and Meta (META) as prospective buyers.</p><p>On the other hand, we do not expect lingering issues from the Foxconn riot. Notably, iPhone 12 was released in October 2020 at a time when global economies were shut down and China under lockdown. And yet, AAPL and Foxconn went above and beyond in delivering 100M units by H1'21. Though the Zhengzhou plant was previously responsible for four in five iPhone production and assembly, we expect these deliveries to still be completed, albeit delayed with much controversy.</p><p>Moving forward, Foxconn is already diversifying its production locations to Vietnam and Thailand, with the factory in India already producing additional iPhone 14 models since early November. Though the iPhone 14 Pro model is still limited to the Chinese factory, we expect things to change in the short term, since the factory in India is reportedly close to achieving parity with China's capacity. Therefore, safeguarding AAPL's top and bottom lines ahead, no matter the temporal headwinds.</p><p>Even Mr. Market remains optimistic about AAPL's forward execution, since the stock continues to trade above its 50-day moving average, significantly aided by the upbeat October CPI reports. Assuming that 75.8% of analysts are right that the Feds truly pivot earlier by December, we may see another wave of optimism lifting most boats up then. One word of caution though, it is uncertain if this recovery will be sustainable through 2023, as the Feds may also raise terminal rates to over 6%.</p><h2><b>AAPL's Performance Continue To Defy The Bears</b></h2><p><b>AAPL Revenue, Net Income ( in billion $ ) %, EBIT %, and EPS</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b64fba2e93c8db104b8c1c98ec6d412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&P Capital IQ</p><p>In its latest earnings call, AAPL reported excellent YoY expansion in gross margins from 41.8% in FY2021 to 43.3% in FY2022, indicating its excellent pricing power despite the rising inflationary pressures. The company also recorded exemplary EBIT and net income margins of 27.6% and 23% in FQ4'22, respectively, representing excellent command of operating expenses over the past three years. This is impressive, despite the elevated stock-based compensation of $9.03B in FY2022, against $7.9B in FY2021 and $6.06B in FY2019. Then again, with $95.62B of share repurchases and $14.84B of dividends paid out at the same time, we are not overly concerned about the destruction of shareholders' value.</p><p><b>AAPL Cash/ Investments, FCF ( in billion $ ) %, and Debts</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/939b756788b92bbbf2a6e101ab6fb85b\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&P Capital IQ</p><p>Thereby, also expanding AAPL's Free Cash Flow (FCF) generation to $20.84B for the latest quarter, or $111.44B for FY2022, improving its margins by 2.9 percentage points YoY. However, long-term investors would be well-advised to monitor the health of its balance sheet, due to the continuous decline in its total cash/ investments to $48.3B by the latest quarter, indicating a -22.89% headwind YoY or -51.96% from FY2019 levels.</p><p>Furthermore, AAPL's debt levels remain elevated thus far, with $11.13B due 2023, despite the growth in its FCF generation. Nonetheless, with its long-term debts well-laddered through 2062, the company is still well-positioned for the short term market volatility in 2023.</p><p><b>AAPL Projected Revenue, Net Income ( in billion $ ) %, EBIT %, and EPS, and</b> <b>FCF %</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5dd8a68dd2244820105b96fa14e0b48\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&P Capital IQ</p><p>Furthermore, AAPL's top and bottom line growth through FY2025 remains robust, despite the tragic market-wide correction thus far. Mr. Market has only discounted its forward execution by -2.06% and -7.96%, respectively, since May 2022. Furthermore, we may see an upwards re-rating ahead, assuming that its mixed-reality headsets are released in 2023 and Apple Car by 2025. Given its unique positioning in the tech market and loyal global fan base with higher spending power, it is not hard to see why AAPL is well-covered by market analysts.</p><p>In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on AAPL, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.</p><ul><li>Apple: Hello Recession</li><li>Apple Vs. Meta: Battle Of The Mixed Reality</li></ul><h2><b>So, Is AAPL Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></h2><p><b>AAPL 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E Valuations</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ccb10ea1431a665c5d82802ec26e030\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&P Capital IQ</p><p>AAPL is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 5.81x and NTM P/E of 24.20x, higher than its 5Y mean of 4.72x and 22.19x. Otherwise, comparatively lower than its YTD mean of 6.15x and 25.46x, respectively. Otherwise, the stock has also recorded an excellent recovery of 12.01% since recent rock bottom levels in early November. Despite so, consensus estimates remain bullish about AAPL's prospects, given their price target of $180.70 and a 19.61% upside from current prices.</p><p><b>AAPL YTD Stock Price</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/932da1c65e7f3b000a7065a05264b9b3\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>It is not hard to see why AAPL remains the king of the FAANG stocks, despite the market-wide correction thus far. The stock has suffered minimally in the past year by a moderate decline of -17%, compared to the S&P 500 Index by -16.04% and Meta by a tragic -66.85% at the same time. Investors must not forget the subscription plan previously reported by Bloomberg, since AAPL's top and bottom lines remained mostly intact through FY2025, despite the peak recessionary fears.</p><p>Nonetheless, we have to also admit that investors should wait for a moderate retracement before adding at current levels. That is if one had missed loading up at the recent bottom of $134. There are still some uncertainties in the short term, since the Feds are due to meet by mid-December, with the circumstances still chaotic in Zhengzhou. While its long-term prospects are stellar, we expect to see another bottom retest soon. Especially by the FQ1'23 earnings call, since AAPL may fail to deliver part of its iPhone 14 orders, thereby, missing consensus revenue estimates of $125.85B and EPS of $2.04. Patience for now.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Ignore The Zero-COVID Policy And Manchester United Noise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Ignore The Zero-COVID Policy And Manchester United Noise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-26 09:28 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560473-apple-ignore-zero-covid-policy-manchester-united-noise><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Apple Investment Thesis Is Still IntactIt is evident that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is in the hot seat now, due to the rumored Manchester United takeover and the riot in Foxconn's factory in Zhengzhou. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560473-apple-ignore-zero-covid-policy-manchester-united-noise\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560473-apple-ignore-zero-covid-policy-manchester-united-noise","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286650311","content_text":"The Apple Investment Thesis Is Still IntactIt is evident that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is in the hot seat now, due to the rumored Manchester United takeover and the riot in Foxconn's factory in Zhengzhou. While almost impossible, we suppose the massively popular soccer team may add some advertising and marketing value to the company, especially in the Apple TV segment. However, due to the potential cash burn and the odd timing coinciding with World Cup excitement, it is unlikely that the rumor is true. We'll see, since Daily Star has also speculated Amazon (AMZN) and Meta (META) as prospective buyers.On the other hand, we do not expect lingering issues from the Foxconn riot. Notably, iPhone 12 was released in October 2020 at a time when global economies were shut down and China under lockdown. And yet, AAPL and Foxconn went above and beyond in delivering 100M units by H1'21. Though the Zhengzhou plant was previously responsible for four in five iPhone production and assembly, we expect these deliveries to still be completed, albeit delayed with much controversy.Moving forward, Foxconn is already diversifying its production locations to Vietnam and Thailand, with the factory in India already producing additional iPhone 14 models since early November. Though the iPhone 14 Pro model is still limited to the Chinese factory, we expect things to change in the short term, since the factory in India is reportedly close to achieving parity with China's capacity. Therefore, safeguarding AAPL's top and bottom lines ahead, no matter the temporal headwinds.Even Mr. Market remains optimistic about AAPL's forward execution, since the stock continues to trade above its 50-day moving average, significantly aided by the upbeat October CPI reports. Assuming that 75.8% of analysts are right that the Feds truly pivot earlier by December, we may see another wave of optimism lifting most boats up then. One word of caution though, it is uncertain if this recovery will be sustainable through 2023, as the Feds may also raise terminal rates to over 6%.AAPL's Performance Continue To Defy The BearsAAPL Revenue, Net Income ( in billion $ ) %, EBIT %, and EPSS&P Capital IQIn its latest earnings call, AAPL reported excellent YoY expansion in gross margins from 41.8% in FY2021 to 43.3% in FY2022, indicating its excellent pricing power despite the rising inflationary pressures. The company also recorded exemplary EBIT and net income margins of 27.6% and 23% in FQ4'22, respectively, representing excellent command of operating expenses over the past three years. This is impressive, despite the elevated stock-based compensation of $9.03B in FY2022, against $7.9B in FY2021 and $6.06B in FY2019. Then again, with $95.62B of share repurchases and $14.84B of dividends paid out at the same time, we are not overly concerned about the destruction of shareholders' value.AAPL Cash/ Investments, FCF ( in billion $ ) %, and DebtsS&P Capital IQThereby, also expanding AAPL's Free Cash Flow (FCF) generation to $20.84B for the latest quarter, or $111.44B for FY2022, improving its margins by 2.9 percentage points YoY. However, long-term investors would be well-advised to monitor the health of its balance sheet, due to the continuous decline in its total cash/ investments to $48.3B by the latest quarter, indicating a -22.89% headwind YoY or -51.96% from FY2019 levels.Furthermore, AAPL's debt levels remain elevated thus far, with $11.13B due 2023, despite the growth in its FCF generation. Nonetheless, with its long-term debts well-laddered through 2062, the company is still well-positioned for the short term market volatility in 2023.AAPL Projected Revenue, Net Income ( in billion $ ) %, EBIT %, and EPS, and FCF %S&P Capital IQFurthermore, AAPL's top and bottom line growth through FY2025 remains robust, despite the tragic market-wide correction thus far. Mr. Market has only discounted its forward execution by -2.06% and -7.96%, respectively, since May 2022. Furthermore, we may see an upwards re-rating ahead, assuming that its mixed-reality headsets are released in 2023 and Apple Car by 2025. Given its unique positioning in the tech market and loyal global fan base with higher spending power, it is not hard to see why AAPL is well-covered by market analysts.In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on AAPL, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.Apple: Hello RecessionApple Vs. Meta: Battle Of The Mixed RealitySo, Is AAPL Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?AAPL 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E ValuationsS&P Capital IQAAPL is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 5.81x and NTM P/E of 24.20x, higher than its 5Y mean of 4.72x and 22.19x. Otherwise, comparatively lower than its YTD mean of 6.15x and 25.46x, respectively. Otherwise, the stock has also recorded an excellent recovery of 12.01% since recent rock bottom levels in early November. Despite so, consensus estimates remain bullish about AAPL's prospects, given their price target of $180.70 and a 19.61% upside from current prices.AAPL YTD Stock PriceSeeking AlphaIt is not hard to see why AAPL remains the king of the FAANG stocks, despite the market-wide correction thus far. The stock has suffered minimally in the past year by a moderate decline of -17%, compared to the S&P 500 Index by -16.04% and Meta by a tragic -66.85% at the same time. Investors must not forget the subscription plan previously reported by Bloomberg, since AAPL's top and bottom lines remained mostly intact through FY2025, despite the peak recessionary fears.Nonetheless, we have to also admit that investors should wait for a moderate retracement before adding at current levels. That is if one had missed loading up at the recent bottom of $134. There are still some uncertainties in the short term, since the Feds are due to meet by mid-December, with the circumstances still chaotic in Zhengzhou. While its long-term prospects are stellar, we expect to see another bottom retest soon. Especially by the FQ1'23 earnings call, since AAPL may fail to deliver part of its iPhone 14 orders, thereby, missing consensus revenue estimates of $125.85B and EPS of $2.04. Patience for now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963206988,"gmtCreate":1668680967344,"gmtModify":1676538096210,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963206988","repostId":"1109789840","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109789840","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668678000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109789840?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-17 17:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba, Nvidia, Netease, Activision Blizzard, Weibo, Cisco And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109789840","media":"Benzinga","summary":"With US stock futures trading higher this morning on Thursday, some of the stocks that may grab inve","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With US stock futures trading higher this morning on Thursday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:</p><ul><li><b>Nvidia</b>'s Q3 revenue declined 17% to $5.93 billion, data-center revenue jumped 31%, it expects Q4 revenue to be about $6 billion, plus or minus 2%. Stocks rose nearly 3% in premarket trading.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Netease</b>’s Q3 net revenues were US$3.4 billion, gross profit was $1.9 billion, but <b>Activision</b> <b>Blizzard</b> will be suspending most game services in mainland China due to the expiration of the current licensing agreements with <b>Netease</b>. <b>Netease</b> slid over 4% while <b>Activision </b><b>Blizzard</b> slid slightly in premarket trading. </li></ul><ul><li><b>Weibo</b>’s net revenues were $453.6 million, net loss was $17.1 million, MAUs were 584 million in September 2022, DAUs were 253 million in September 2022. Stocks slid nearly 3% in premarket trading.</li></ul><ul><li>Wall Street expects <b>Alibaba Group Holding Limited</b> to report quarterly earnings at $1.64 per share on revenue of $29.45 billion <i>before the opening</i> bell. Alibaba shares gained slightly in premarket trading.</li><li>Analysts are expecting <b>BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.</b> to report quarterly earnings at $0.81 per share on revenue of $4.69 billion before the opening bell.</li><li><b>Cisco Systems, Inc.</b> reported upbeat earnings results for its first quarter. The company said it sees full-year revenue to be up 4.5% to 6.5% on a year-over-year basis. Full year earnings per share are expected to be in a range of $3.51 to $3.58 versus a Street estimate of $3.53. Cisco shares gained nearly 4% in premarket trading.</li></ul><ul><li>After the markets close, <b>Williams-Sonoma, Inc.</b> is projected to post quarterly earnings at $3.71 per share on revenue of $2.15 billion.</li><li>Analysts expect <b>Applied Materials, Inc.</b> to report quarterly earnings at $1.74 per share on revenue of $6.45 billion after the closing bell.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba, Nvidia, Netease, Activision Blizzard, Weibo, Cisco And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba, Nvidia, Netease, Activision Blizzard, Weibo, Cisco And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-17 17:40 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/11/29761325/alibaba-cisco-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-thursday><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With US stock futures trading higher this morning on Thursday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:Nvidia's Q3 revenue declined 17% to $5.93 billion, data-center ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/11/29761325/alibaba-cisco-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-thursday\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","BABA":"阿里巴巴","WSM":"Williams-Sonoma Inc","AMAT":"应用材料","BJ":"BJ批发俱乐部","CSCO":"思科","WB":"微博","NTES":"网易"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/11/29761325/alibaba-cisco-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-thursday","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109789840","content_text":"With US stock futures trading higher this morning on Thursday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:Nvidia's Q3 revenue declined 17% to $5.93 billion, data-center revenue jumped 31%, it expects Q4 revenue to be about $6 billion, plus or minus 2%. Stocks rose nearly 3% in premarket trading.Netease’s Q3 net revenues were US$3.4 billion, gross profit was $1.9 billion, but Activision Blizzard will be suspending most game services in mainland China due to the expiration of the current licensing agreements with Netease. Netease slid over 4% while Activision Blizzard slid slightly in premarket trading. Weibo’s net revenues were $453.6 million, net loss was $17.1 million, MAUs were 584 million in September 2022, DAUs were 253 million in September 2022. Stocks slid nearly 3% in premarket trading.Wall Street expects Alibaba Group Holding Limited to report quarterly earnings at $1.64 per share on revenue of $29.45 billion before the opening bell. Alibaba shares gained slightly in premarket trading.Analysts are expecting BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $0.81 per share on revenue of $4.69 billion before the opening bell.Cisco Systems, Inc. reported upbeat earnings results for its first quarter. The company said it sees full-year revenue to be up 4.5% to 6.5% on a year-over-year basis. Full year earnings per share are expected to be in a range of $3.51 to $3.58 versus a Street estimate of $3.53. Cisco shares gained nearly 4% in premarket trading.After the markets close, Williams-Sonoma, Inc. is projected to post quarterly earnings at $3.71 per share on revenue of $2.15 billion.Analysts expect Applied Materials, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $1.74 per share on revenue of $6.45 billion after the closing bell.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9011415792,"gmtCreate":1648906208511,"gmtModify":1676534420415,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9011415792","repostId":"1196624996","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196624996","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1648883340,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196624996?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-02 15:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toyota, GM Report Slowing U.S. Auto Sales","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196624996","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Major auto makers reported a pullback in U.S. sales for the first quarter of 2022, as a shortage of ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Major auto makers reported a pullback in U.S. sales for the first quarter of 2022, as a shortage of vehicles on dealership lots continued to hamper business and suppress buying activity ahead of what is typically a busy selling season.</p><p>Analysts are forecasting first-quarter sales for the industry could drop as much as 16% over the prior-year period, when car-lot stock was more plentiful and buyers, benefiting from a recovering economy, snatched up vehicles at a blistering pace.</p><p>Auto executives and dealers say underlying demand remains strong with most new cars and trucks sold almost as soon as they hit the lot. But supply-chain disruptions continue to weigh on factory production, limiting how fast car companies can restock dealerships and fulfill vehicle orders.</p><p>Toyota Motor Corp. held on to its U.S. sales lead over General Motors Co. in the first quarter, although both global auto-making giants reported double-digit declines in their sales results over the prior-year period.</p><p>Toyota’s U.S. sales slid nearly 15% in the just-ended quarter, while GM was down roughly 20%.</p><p>Among the other Asian car companies, Nissan Motor Co. reported a nearly 30% drop in U.S. sales for the January-to-March period. Hyundai Motor Co. said its U.S. sales were off 4% over the prior-year quarter. Honda Motor Co.’s first-quarter U.S. sales were down 23%.</p><p>Stellantis NV, the global car company that owns Jeep, Ram and other U.S. auto brands, also reported a 14% decline in U.S. sales for the quarter.</p><p>“Make no mistake, this market is stuck in low gear,” said Charlie Chesbrough, a senior economist for auto industry research firm Cox Automotive.</p><p>The global auto industry is also confronting new challenges this year with the Ukraine conflict and another wave of Covid-related factory restrictions in China threatening to worsen parts shortages for vehicle assembly lines, analysts say.</p><p>The industry’s annualized selling pace—a measure of the car market’s strength stripping out seasonal factors—is expected to slow to 12.7 million in the first quarter, according to J.D. Power. In comparison, auto makers last year sold just shy of 15 million vehicles in the U.S., the firm said, up slightly from 2020. For five straight years before the pandemic, the industry had eclipsed the mark of 17 million vehicles.</p><p>Ford Motor Co. has said it would release its sales figures Monday, while electric-car maker Tesla Inc. is expected to report its global delivery figures in the coming days.</p><p>March is typically a busy time for the auto industry, with car companies and dealerships stepping up sales promotions to entice buyers as the weather improves in many parts of the country. Last year, the industry had a blowout spring, with the selling pace approaching prepandemic levels.</p><p>Since then, obstacles have continued to mount for the car sector. A shortage of semiconductors—critical to assembly of most new vehicles today—has curtailed factory production, resulting in historically low levels of inventory on selling lots.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toyota, GM Report Slowing U.S. Auto Sales</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToyota, GM Report Slowing U.S. Auto Sales\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-02 15:09 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/car-sales-seen-sputtering-as-supply-chain-woes-hurt-production-11648805401?mod=business_lead_pos3><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Major auto makers reported a pullback in U.S. sales for the first quarter of 2022, as a shortage of vehicles on dealership lots continued to hamper business and suppress buying activity ahead of what ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/car-sales-seen-sputtering-as-supply-chain-woes-hurt-production-11648805401?mod=business_lead_pos3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车","TM":"丰田汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/car-sales-seen-sputtering-as-supply-chain-woes-hurt-production-11648805401?mod=business_lead_pos3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196624996","content_text":"Major auto makers reported a pullback in U.S. sales for the first quarter of 2022, as a shortage of vehicles on dealership lots continued to hamper business and suppress buying activity ahead of what is typically a busy selling season.Analysts are forecasting first-quarter sales for the industry could drop as much as 16% over the prior-year period, when car-lot stock was more plentiful and buyers, benefiting from a recovering economy, snatched up vehicles at a blistering pace.Auto executives and dealers say underlying demand remains strong with most new cars and trucks sold almost as soon as they hit the lot. But supply-chain disruptions continue to weigh on factory production, limiting how fast car companies can restock dealerships and fulfill vehicle orders.Toyota Motor Corp. held on to its U.S. sales lead over General Motors Co. in the first quarter, although both global auto-making giants reported double-digit declines in their sales results over the prior-year period.Toyota’s U.S. sales slid nearly 15% in the just-ended quarter, while GM was down roughly 20%.Among the other Asian car companies, Nissan Motor Co. reported a nearly 30% drop in U.S. sales for the January-to-March period. Hyundai Motor Co. said its U.S. sales were off 4% over the prior-year quarter. Honda Motor Co.’s first-quarter U.S. sales were down 23%.Stellantis NV, the global car company that owns Jeep, Ram and other U.S. auto brands, also reported a 14% decline in U.S. sales for the quarter.“Make no mistake, this market is stuck in low gear,” said Charlie Chesbrough, a senior economist for auto industry research firm Cox Automotive.The global auto industry is also confronting new challenges this year with the Ukraine conflict and another wave of Covid-related factory restrictions in China threatening to worsen parts shortages for vehicle assembly lines, analysts say.The industry’s annualized selling pace—a measure of the car market’s strength stripping out seasonal factors—is expected to slow to 12.7 million in the first quarter, according to J.D. Power. In comparison, auto makers last year sold just shy of 15 million vehicles in the U.S., the firm said, up slightly from 2020. For five straight years before the pandemic, the industry had eclipsed the mark of 17 million vehicles.Ford Motor Co. has said it would release its sales figures Monday, while electric-car maker Tesla Inc. is expected to report its global delivery figures in the coming days.March is typically a busy time for the auto industry, with car companies and dealerships stepping up sales promotions to entice buyers as the weather improves in many parts of the country. Last year, the industry had a blowout spring, with the selling pace approaching prepandemic levels.Since then, obstacles have continued to mount for the car sector. A shortage of semiconductors—critical to assembly of most new vehicles today—has curtailed factory production, resulting in historically low levels of inventory on selling lots.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9036230012,"gmtCreate":1647099053453,"gmtModify":1676534194891,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9036230012","repostId":"2218464242","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2218464242","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647045929,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2218464242?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-12 08:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan Chase Caught as Counterparty in Nickel Short-Squeeze Drama - Bloomberg","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2218464242","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) appears to be caught in the middle of a short squeeze as the largest count","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) appears to be caught in the middle of a short squeeze as the largest counterparty to nickel trades by Chinese tycoon Xiang Guangda, Bloomberg reports, citing people familiar with the matter.</p><p>About 50K tons of Xiang's total nickel short position of more than 150K tons is held through an over-the-counter position with JPMorgan (JPM), Bloomberg said. Based on that position, Xiang's company Tsingshan Holding Group would have owed the New York-based bank ~$1B on margin on Monday. Earlier this week, the news organization reported that Tsingshan has been struggling to pay margin calls to its brokers and banks.</p><p>JPMorgan (JPM) is now leading negotiations between Xiang and roughly 10 banks and brokers through which his nickel short position is held, the people told Bloomberg. With the rise in nickel prices, the banks and brokers involved in the transactions now have to make large margin calls of their own at the LME to cover the short positions.</p><p>The other banks and brokers involved include: Standard Chartered Bank Plc (OTCPK:SCBFF), BNP Paribas SA (OTCQX:BNPQF), CCB International Holdings, ICBC Standard Bank Plc, United Overseas Bank Ltd. (OTCPK:UOVEF), BOC International Holdings Ltd., DBS Group Holdings Ltd. (OTCPK:DBSDF), and brokerage Sucden Financial.</p><p>The crisis could end without losses for the banks and for Xiang. Tsingshan Holding, asone of the world's largest nickel producers, could benefit from the increase in price if it can get through this patch. Also, if Xiang holds on to his short position and nickel prices decline after the LME reopens, the amount he owes the banks and brokers could fall drastically.</p><p>On Thursday, London Metal Exchange rushes to contain fallout of nickel trading crisis</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Chase Caught as Counterparty in Nickel Short-Squeeze Drama - Bloomberg</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Chase Caught as Counterparty in Nickel Short-Squeeze Drama - Bloomberg\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-12 08:45 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3812866-jpmorgan-chase-caught-as-counterparty-in-nickel-short-squeeze-drama-bloomberg><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) appears to be caught in the middle of a short squeeze as the largest counterparty to nickel trades by Chinese tycoon Xiang Guangda, Bloomberg reports, citing people familiar ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3812866-jpmorgan-chase-caught-as-counterparty-in-nickel-short-squeeze-drama-bloomberg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4566":"资本集团","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4207":"综合性银行","JPM":"摩根大通","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3812866-jpmorgan-chase-caught-as-counterparty-in-nickel-short-squeeze-drama-bloomberg","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2218464242","content_text":"JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) appears to be caught in the middle of a short squeeze as the largest counterparty to nickel trades by Chinese tycoon Xiang Guangda, Bloomberg reports, citing people familiar with the matter.About 50K tons of Xiang's total nickel short position of more than 150K tons is held through an over-the-counter position with JPMorgan (JPM), Bloomberg said. Based on that position, Xiang's company Tsingshan Holding Group would have owed the New York-based bank ~$1B on margin on Monday. Earlier this week, the news organization reported that Tsingshan has been struggling to pay margin calls to its brokers and banks.JPMorgan (JPM) is now leading negotiations between Xiang and roughly 10 banks and brokers through which his nickel short position is held, the people told Bloomberg. With the rise in nickel prices, the banks and brokers involved in the transactions now have to make large margin calls of their own at the LME to cover the short positions.The other banks and brokers involved include: Standard Chartered Bank Plc (OTCPK:SCBFF), BNP Paribas SA (OTCQX:BNPQF), CCB International Holdings, ICBC Standard Bank Plc, United Overseas Bank Ltd. (OTCPK:UOVEF), BOC International Holdings Ltd., DBS Group Holdings Ltd. (OTCPK:DBSDF), and brokerage Sucden Financial.The crisis could end without losses for the banks and for Xiang. Tsingshan Holding, asone of the world's largest nickel producers, could benefit from the increase in price if it can get through this patch. Also, if Xiang holds on to his short position and nickel prices decline after the LME reopens, the amount he owes the banks and brokers could fall drastically.On Thursday, London Metal Exchange rushes to contain fallout of nickel trading crisis","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832173568,"gmtCreate":1629601693854,"gmtModify":1676530077413,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/832173568","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151608193?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p>\n<p>In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p>\n<p>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p>\n<p>Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p>\n<p>A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p>\n<p>Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p>\n<p>You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p>\n<p><b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p>\n<p>“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p>\n<p>“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p>\n<p>He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p>\n<p>All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p>\n<p><b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p>\n<p>All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p>\n<p>In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p>\n<p>These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p>\n<p><b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p>\n<p>This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p>\n<p>This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p>\n<p><b>The stocks to buy</b></p>\n<p>Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p>\n<p><b>New management plays</b></p>\n<p>Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p>\n<p>Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p>\n<p><b>A data center and gaming play</b></p>\n<p>Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p>\n<p><b>Design tool companies</b></p>\n<p>Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p>\n<p>Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p>\n<p><b>An EUV play</b></p>\n<p>To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p>\n<p>In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p>\n<p><b>Oversupply</b></p>\n<p>Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p>\n<p>The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p>\n<p>Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p>\n<p>Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p>\n<p><b>A disturbing signal</b></p>\n<p>A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p>\n<p>Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p>\n<p>But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p>\n<p>Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p>\n<p>Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-23 22:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","NVDA":"英伟达","AAPL":"苹果","TSM":"台积电","ASML":"阿斯麦","GOOG":"谷歌","SSNLF":"三星电子","AMZN":"亚马逊","ON":"安森美半导体","CDNS":"铿腾电子","QCOM":"高通","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","SNPS":"新思科技"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966223171,"gmtCreate":1669561935294,"gmtModify":1676538207568,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966223171","repostId":"1170146184","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170146184","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669522674,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170146184?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-27 12:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170146184","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren B","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.</li><li><b>Apple</b>(<b>AAPL</b>): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.</li><li><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(<b>AMD</b>): Analysts love this beaten-down tech name.</li><li><b>Nvidia</b>(<b>NVDA</b>): The bad news is already priced into downed stocks like Nvidia.</li></ul><p>2022 was a tough one for tech stocks. Most were walloped with higher interest rates, fears of aggressive rate hikes, geopolitical issues, economic concerns, and fed-up consumers. It chased even the sanest investors from the market. While it’s impossible to find a risk-free investment, some are safer than others – especially if they’re leaders in their sectors, with wide economic moats.</p><p>In fact, one of the best ways to spot strong tech stocks is to follow the Warren Buffett model, which is to invest in simple companies that are easy to understand; companies with predictable and proven earnings; companies that can be bought at a reasonable price; and companies with“economic moat,”or a unique advantage over its competition. Seeing that Warren Buffett is now worth about $108.2 billion, it’s a safe bet he knows a thing or two about safe investing.</p><p><b>Apple (AAPL)</b></p><p>With a diversified revenue stream, and an ability to adapt to new consumer trends, <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:<b>AAPL</b>) will always be one of the strong tech stocks to bet on. Even Warren Buffett once said he continues to invest in Apple because of its brand, ecosystem, and strong economic moat.</p><p>In addition, we have to consider that Apple is a global leader in innovation. Just look at the iPhone alone. First introduced to the public in 2007, it’s now one of the most popular mobile phones in the world, with a growing market share. Better, earnings have been solid.</p><p>The company just beat expectations on revenue and profits, and it showed that global demand for its products is still high. In its fourth quarter, the company’s revenue was up 8% to $90 billion. Mac sales were up 25% to $11.5 billion in the quarter. iPhone sales were up 10% to $42.6 billion. Operating income was up by 5% to $25 billion. EPS was up 4% to $1.29, putting it above expectations for $1.27.</p><p>Also, analysts, such as Deutsche Bank’s Sidney Ho, say Apple is trading at a reasonable valuation and has a buy rating with a price target of $175. Apple also carries a dividend yield of 0.66%, and it’s been aggressive with stock buybacks.</p><p><b>Tech Stocks: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)</b></p><p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b> (NASDAQ: <b>AMD</b>) was butchered for most of the year. But that’ll happen when most of the tech stock sector is dragging just about everything lower. However, after falling from about $150 to a low of about $60, the AMD stock is showing strong signs of life. With patience, I’d like to see the AMD stock run from its current price of $75.25 to $120 in the near term.</p><p>Analysts like the AMD stock, too. UBS upgraded AMD to a buy rating with a price target of $95 a share. Baird analyst Tristan Gerra also just upgraded the beaten-down tech name to outperform with a price target of $100. He believes the company’s newest Genoa chips could widen the company’s competitive moat. Credit Suisse analyst Chris Caso also initiated coverage of AMD with an outperform rating, with a price target of $90.</p><p>Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar is also overweight on the stock, with a price target of $90. He added that earnings appear to be bottoming and that PC inventory should start to clear out in the early part of 2023. In addition, he believes AMD is a great way to trade the server uptrend and cloud strength.</p><p><b>Tech Stocks: Nvidia (NVDA)</b></p><p>While <b>Nvidia</b> (NASDAQ:<b>NVDA</b>) was cut in half this year, it’s still one quality, safe name investors can count on. For one, the company makes the chips that are used to power some of the world’s most advanced technologies, including gaming, supercomputing, the cloud, artificial intelligence, machine learning, virtual reality, augmented reality, autonomous driving, etc. Again, NVDA was destroyed in 2022. But it’s still a high-quality name to count on.</p><p>Better, it’s also getting a jump on the Industrial Omniverse, which is already being used by major companies, like <b>Lowe’s</b> (NYSE:LOW), <b>BMW</b>(OTCMKTS:BMWYY), <b>Siemens</b>(OTCMKTS:SIEGY), and <b>Lockheed Martin</b> (NYSE:LMT).</p><p>Analysts, like Credit Suisse’s Chris Casso, say there’s been enough bad news for semiconductors to lower the risk of investing. The firm also said Nvidia was one of its top picks thanks to its strength in artificial intelligence, computing, and data centers. Better, the firm now has an outperform rating on the stock, with a $210 price target. Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar also sees a near-term turnaround for Nvidia and has an overweight rating on the stock. For me, from a current price of $160.38, I’d like to see the stock run back to $195 by the first half of the New Year.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-27 12:17 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.Advanced Micro Devices(AMD): Analysts love this...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","AMD":"美国超微公司","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170146184","content_text":"Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.Advanced Micro Devices(AMD): Analysts love this beaten-down tech name.Nvidia(NVDA): The bad news is already priced into downed stocks like Nvidia.2022 was a tough one for tech stocks. Most were walloped with higher interest rates, fears of aggressive rate hikes, geopolitical issues, economic concerns, and fed-up consumers. It chased even the sanest investors from the market. While it’s impossible to find a risk-free investment, some are safer than others – especially if they’re leaders in their sectors, with wide economic moats.In fact, one of the best ways to spot strong tech stocks is to follow the Warren Buffett model, which is to invest in simple companies that are easy to understand; companies with predictable and proven earnings; companies that can be bought at a reasonable price; and companies with“economic moat,”or a unique advantage over its competition. Seeing that Warren Buffett is now worth about $108.2 billion, it’s a safe bet he knows a thing or two about safe investing.Apple (AAPL)With a diversified revenue stream, and an ability to adapt to new consumer trends, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) will always be one of the strong tech stocks to bet on. Even Warren Buffett once said he continues to invest in Apple because of its brand, ecosystem, and strong economic moat.In addition, we have to consider that Apple is a global leader in innovation. Just look at the iPhone alone. First introduced to the public in 2007, it’s now one of the most popular mobile phones in the world, with a growing market share. Better, earnings have been solid.The company just beat expectations on revenue and profits, and it showed that global demand for its products is still high. In its fourth quarter, the company’s revenue was up 8% to $90 billion. Mac sales were up 25% to $11.5 billion in the quarter. iPhone sales were up 10% to $42.6 billion. Operating income was up by 5% to $25 billion. EPS was up 4% to $1.29, putting it above expectations for $1.27.Also, analysts, such as Deutsche Bank’s Sidney Ho, say Apple is trading at a reasonable valuation and has a buy rating with a price target of $175. Apple also carries a dividend yield of 0.66%, and it’s been aggressive with stock buybacks.Tech Stocks: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) was butchered for most of the year. But that’ll happen when most of the tech stock sector is dragging just about everything lower. However, after falling from about $150 to a low of about $60, the AMD stock is showing strong signs of life. With patience, I’d like to see the AMD stock run from its current price of $75.25 to $120 in the near term.Analysts like the AMD stock, too. UBS upgraded AMD to a buy rating with a price target of $95 a share. Baird analyst Tristan Gerra also just upgraded the beaten-down tech name to outperform with a price target of $100. He believes the company’s newest Genoa chips could widen the company’s competitive moat. Credit Suisse analyst Chris Caso also initiated coverage of AMD with an outperform rating, with a price target of $90.Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar is also overweight on the stock, with a price target of $90. He added that earnings appear to be bottoming and that PC inventory should start to clear out in the early part of 2023. In addition, he believes AMD is a great way to trade the server uptrend and cloud strength.Tech Stocks: Nvidia (NVDA)While Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) was cut in half this year, it’s still one quality, safe name investors can count on. For one, the company makes the chips that are used to power some of the world’s most advanced technologies, including gaming, supercomputing, the cloud, artificial intelligence, machine learning, virtual reality, augmented reality, autonomous driving, etc. Again, NVDA was destroyed in 2022. But it’s still a high-quality name to count on.Better, it’s also getting a jump on the Industrial Omniverse, which is already being used by major companies, like Lowe’s (NYSE:LOW), BMW(OTCMKTS:BMWYY), Siemens(OTCMKTS:SIEGY), and Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT).Analysts, like Credit Suisse’s Chris Casso, say there’s been enough bad news for semiconductors to lower the risk of investing. The firm also said Nvidia was one of its top picks thanks to its strength in artificial intelligence, computing, and data centers. Better, the firm now has an outperform rating on the stock, with a $210 price target. Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar also sees a near-term turnaround for Nvidia and has an overweight rating on the stock. For me, from a current price of $160.38, I’d like to see the stock run back to $195 by the first half of the New Year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968979915,"gmtCreate":1669114814437,"gmtModify":1676538154088,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968979915","repostId":"2285386886","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2285386886","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669104486,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2285386886?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-22 16:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple And Taiwan Semiconductor: Let's Ask Buffett","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2285386886","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAs a long-time Buffett cultist, I understand (not to say I am able to anticipate) most of his","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>As a long-time Buffett cultist, I understand (not to say I am able to anticipate) most of his stock choices.</li><li>But from time to time, some of his choices still come as a surprise and his recent position in Taiwan Semiconductor is a notable example.</li><li>The choice is even more puzzling when viewed under the context of his largest holding, Apple.</li><li>There are certainly positives with Taiwan Semiconductor, that is, even when compared to Apple.</li><li>However, I see these positives easily overshadowed by the developing tension between them, which produces mutual but asymmetric damage.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/511f126f81b7dac4ef1687fe1d622bbe\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"719\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Jamie McCarthy</span></p><h2>The investment thesis</h2><p>As a long-time Buffett cultist, I feel comfortable saying that I understand most of his investment choices. But occasionally, the grandmaster still manages to make a move that surprises me such as his recent position in TaiwanSemiconductor (NYSE:TSM). To wit, the recent 13F disclosure showed that Buffett opened a sizable position in TSM for the Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) equity portfolio. As you can see from the following chart, his BRK portfolio now holds more than 60.06M shares of TSM with a total worth of over $4.11B. The TSM position is currently the 10thlargest position in the BRK portfolio.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79878ff126c58641fbbd5a5aa3c0b334\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Dataroma.com</span></p><p>The surprise comes in several ways. And the more obvious ways (like Buffett’s allergy to tech businesses) have already been discussed by several other SA authors and I won’t further add to it anymore. Here, I want to explore an angle that is less discussed so far. I want to explain why it feels more puzzling to me, that is besides the fact that Buffett added another tech name to his BRK portfolio, when the TSM position is viewed under the context of his largest holding, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). There are certainly positives with TSM, that is, even when compared to AAPL. As we will detail in the next section, it is a high-quality stock in its own right. It boasts a large technological lead in its space and an R&D yield that is even better than AAPL.</p><p>However, I see these positives easily overshadowed by the developing tension between them and also the ongoing deglobalization mega-trend. According to a recentnews report, TSM’s scheduled price raises in 2023 were rejected by AAPL, by far its largest customer. AAPL currently outsources almost all of its processor manufacturing to factories in Taiwan. However, with the U.S. strategic initiatives to push to develop domestic semiconductor foundry capabilities, AAPL (and other U.S. chip players such Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and NVIDIA (NVDA) too) would be very likely to diversify its chip manufacturing away from TSM. And the damage will be mutual but asymmetric. It is easier for AAPL to find other foundry services to manufacture its chips, and a lot harder for TSM to find such large clients as AAPL.</p><p>The full impact of such tension and diversification will take time to fully manifest. And TSM’s role as the dominating high-end chipmaker in the world won’t change in the near term. But I see these recent events (such as AAPL’s rejection of the price raises and the recent passing of the CHIPS act) as the turning point. Taking a broader view, I see these events as a logical step, or even an inevitable step, in the deglobalization process – a mega force that has been unfolding for over 10 years as shown in the chart below. The chart illustrates how globalization, measured as the percentage of total exports out of global GDP, has been in decline since its peak in 2008. The percentage has declined from 61% in 2008 to the to 51.6% in 2020. And since 2020, the China-U.S. trade tension, the COVID, and the Russian/Ukraine war have further quickened its pace.</p><p>In the remainder of this article, I will further analyze the details of these above considerations in more detail.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df9d37af226f63d9047697f699ffa010\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: The World Bank</span></p><h2>TSM’s valuation advantage</h2><p>First, as mentioned above, there are definitely many positives with TSM even when compared to AAPL. And valuation is an obvious place to start with. As a global leader in the foundry space, it is for sale at a fraction of the overall market and AAPL’s valuation as seen in the chart below.</p><p>To cite a few examples, TSM’s FY1 PE of 12.8x is almost only 1/2 of AAPL’s 24.2x. Its TTM PE of 13.08x is also about only 1/2 of AAPL’s 24.2x. Considering that these stocks have different leverages and enterprise values (“EV”), let's compare their multiples with leverages adjusted too. As you can see, TSM’s discount is even more dramatic in terms of EV/EBITDA multiples. TSM’s FW EV/EBITDA ratio sits at 7.64x only, less than ½ of AAPL’s 18.18x.</p><p>Yes, as you will see in the next section, TSM is a high-quality stock in its own right. It boasts a large technological lead in its space, further bolstered by its consistent R&D investments and also superb R&D yield that even surpasses AAPL.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd9101b641f06753dca5fee60c5e18ff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"496\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha data</span></p><h2>TSM’s more consistent and aggressive R&D</h2><p>As detailed in our earlier articles:</p><blockquote><i>We do not invest in a given tech stock because we have high confidence in a certain product that they are developing in the pipeline. Instead, we feel more comfortable betting on A) the recurring resources available to fund new R&D efforts sustainably, and B) the overall efficiency of the R&D PROCESS. So correspondingly, in the long run, I feel comfortable as long as a tech business can A) sustainably support new R&D expenditures, and B) has demonstrated a consistent R&D yield. I do not feel the need to particularly bet on any one of the new products to be a hit (or a complete failure).</i></blockquote><p>And both TSM and AAPL can sustainably fund their new R&D efforts with no problem in the long term, as illustrated in the next chart. It shows their R&D expenses over the past 10 years as a percentage of their total sales. A few key observations:</p><ul><li>TSM has been investing very consistently in R&D efforts, on average about 8.0% of its total sales.</li><li>AAPL's R&D expenses have been climbing since Tim Cook took over the company from Jobs. Jobs believed that innovation is not about money and it "has nothing to do with how much R&D money” a business put in. Then Cook gradually increased the R&D investments to the current level of around 6.1% since 2018.</li><li>So even at AAPL’s current R&D level, TSM is still outspending AAPL by about 200 basis points. And also note TSM’s consistency: the R&D expenses only fluctuated in a very narrow range over the past 10 years.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68ba62925d409c0646d95b62223ef4b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Author</span></p><p>More impressively, TSM’s yield on the R&D investment is also superior to AAPL, which is already at a remarkable level by itself as shown in the next chart. The chart used Buffett’s $1 test on R&D expenses. More specifically, the chart quantifies the R&D yield by taking the ratio between profit and R&D expenditures. Thus, the results show how many dollars of profit are generated per $1 of R&D expenses. In particular, in this chart, my analysis used the operating cash flow (“OPC”) as the profit and also took a 3-year moving average on the OPC to approximate a 3-year R&D cycle. And the key observations are:</p><ul><li>The R&D yield is also consistent for TSM, with an average of $6.75 since 2014.</li><li>AAPL’s picture is a bit more colorful. Its R&D yield has been astronomical ($10+ in 2013 and $8+ in 2014 and 2015) thanks to its almost monopoly status in key market segments in those days. Its R&D yield has gradually declined to around ~$4.0 in recent years. And its long-term average was about $5.3.</li><li>To provide a broader view, the FAAMG group features an average R&D yield of ~$2.5 in recent years.</li><li>Thus, both AAPL and TSM boast superb R&D yields even when compared to the overachievers in the FAAMG pack, and TSM’s yield is even higher than AAPL by a large gap.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72e8c1b1427c0babf39d38ec60269d28\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><h2>Both enjoy high ROCE too, but AAPL is in its own category</h2><p>To me, ROCE (return on capital employed) is the most fundamental profitability metric as detailed in my blog article (with differences compared to ROE and Q&A on the most frequently received questions from our readers). One key reason for its fundamental importance is that the long-term growth rate is governed by ROCE and reinvestment rate (“RR”) in the following simple way:</p><p>Long-Term Growth Rate = ROCE * RR</p><p>The ROCE of TSM and AAPL are shown below for the past 10 years. As you can see, TSM has been maintaining a high ROCE with remarkable consistency here. Its average ROCE has been about 42%. And I cannot overemphasize the consistency – which is a strong indicator of its stable moat. However, AAPL certainly has the upper hand here. Its ROCE is simply a category of its own. It has been hovering around an average of 125% since 2018 after its “declines” from an astronomical (and also unsustainable level in my view) of 200%+ earlier in the decade.</p><p>In terms of RR, both companies have sustainable capital allocation flexibility thanks to their strong cash generation. All told, my analysis shows that TSM has been maintaining an RR in the range between 7.5% to 10% in recent years, and AAPL about 5% to 7.5%.</p><p>So even without the trade tensions and deglobalization process aforementioned, I would project AAPL to have a much better perpetual growth curve ahead than TSM. I projected AAPL’s LT growth rate to be up to 10% (7.5% RR * 125% ROCE ~ 10% annual growth rate). And TSM’s growth rate, on the hand, would be limited to be in the mid-single digit range (say 4% = 10% RR * 42% ROCE).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98b3ddd710705df7ba8e09cb93f9b81a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><h2>Risks and final thought</h2><p>But to reiterate, I do see the developing tension between TSM and AAPL and the deglobalization process as the overarching forces here. And I only see the differences in terms of valuation, R&D yields, and profitability to be secondary forces in the years to come. The deglobalization mega-trend has been unfolding since 2008. And I see a series of recent events (such as AAPL’s rejection of TSM’s price raises, the CHIPS act, the ongoing U.S.-China trade frictions, and also the Russian/Ukraine war) to further exacerbate and accelerate the trend. Under such a mega-trend, I see it as inevitable that key chip clients (such as AAPL, AMD, and NVDA) diversify their manufacturing needs away from TSM.</p><p>And the bottom line is that damage will be mutual but asymmetric the way I see things. It is easier for AAPL to find replacement foundry services but a lot harder for TSM to find replacement clients at the scale of AAPL.</p><p><i>This article is written by Envision Research for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple And Taiwan Semiconductor: Let's Ask Buffett</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple And Taiwan Semiconductor: Let's Ask Buffett\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-22 16:08 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559717-apple-and-taiwan-semiconductor-ask-buffett><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAs a long-time Buffett cultist, I understand (not to say I am able to anticipate) most of his stock choices.But from time to time, some of his choices still come as a surprise and his recent ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559717-apple-and-taiwan-semiconductor-ask-buffett\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559717-apple-and-taiwan-semiconductor-ask-buffett","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2285386886","content_text":"SummaryAs a long-time Buffett cultist, I understand (not to say I am able to anticipate) most of his stock choices.But from time to time, some of his choices still come as a surprise and his recent position in Taiwan Semiconductor is a notable example.The choice is even more puzzling when viewed under the context of his largest holding, Apple.There are certainly positives with Taiwan Semiconductor, that is, even when compared to Apple.However, I see these positives easily overshadowed by the developing tension between them, which produces mutual but asymmetric damage.Jamie McCarthyThe investment thesisAs a long-time Buffett cultist, I feel comfortable saying that I understand most of his investment choices. But occasionally, the grandmaster still manages to make a move that surprises me such as his recent position in TaiwanSemiconductor (NYSE:TSM). To wit, the recent 13F disclosure showed that Buffett opened a sizable position in TSM for the Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) equity portfolio. As you can see from the following chart, his BRK portfolio now holds more than 60.06M shares of TSM with a total worth of over $4.11B. The TSM position is currently the 10thlargest position in the BRK portfolio.Source: Dataroma.comThe surprise comes in several ways. And the more obvious ways (like Buffett’s allergy to tech businesses) have already been discussed by several other SA authors and I won’t further add to it anymore. Here, I want to explore an angle that is less discussed so far. I want to explain why it feels more puzzling to me, that is besides the fact that Buffett added another tech name to his BRK portfolio, when the TSM position is viewed under the context of his largest holding, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). There are certainly positives with TSM, that is, even when compared to AAPL. As we will detail in the next section, it is a high-quality stock in its own right. It boasts a large technological lead in its space and an R&D yield that is even better than AAPL.However, I see these positives easily overshadowed by the developing tension between them and also the ongoing deglobalization mega-trend. According to a recentnews report, TSM’s scheduled price raises in 2023 were rejected by AAPL, by far its largest customer. AAPL currently outsources almost all of its processor manufacturing to factories in Taiwan. However, with the U.S. strategic initiatives to push to develop domestic semiconductor foundry capabilities, AAPL (and other U.S. chip players such Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and NVIDIA (NVDA) too) would be very likely to diversify its chip manufacturing away from TSM. And the damage will be mutual but asymmetric. It is easier for AAPL to find other foundry services to manufacture its chips, and a lot harder for TSM to find such large clients as AAPL.The full impact of such tension and diversification will take time to fully manifest. And TSM’s role as the dominating high-end chipmaker in the world won’t change in the near term. But I see these recent events (such as AAPL’s rejection of the price raises and the recent passing of the CHIPS act) as the turning point. Taking a broader view, I see these events as a logical step, or even an inevitable step, in the deglobalization process – a mega force that has been unfolding for over 10 years as shown in the chart below. The chart illustrates how globalization, measured as the percentage of total exports out of global GDP, has been in decline since its peak in 2008. The percentage has declined from 61% in 2008 to the to 51.6% in 2020. And since 2020, the China-U.S. trade tension, the COVID, and the Russian/Ukraine war have further quickened its pace.In the remainder of this article, I will further analyze the details of these above considerations in more detail.Source: The World BankTSM’s valuation advantageFirst, as mentioned above, there are definitely many positives with TSM even when compared to AAPL. And valuation is an obvious place to start with. As a global leader in the foundry space, it is for sale at a fraction of the overall market and AAPL’s valuation as seen in the chart below.To cite a few examples, TSM’s FY1 PE of 12.8x is almost only 1/2 of AAPL’s 24.2x. Its TTM PE of 13.08x is also about only 1/2 of AAPL’s 24.2x. Considering that these stocks have different leverages and enterprise values (“EV”), let's compare their multiples with leverages adjusted too. As you can see, TSM’s discount is even more dramatic in terms of EV/EBITDA multiples. TSM’s FW EV/EBITDA ratio sits at 7.64x only, less than ½ of AAPL’s 18.18x.Yes, as you will see in the next section, TSM is a high-quality stock in its own right. It boasts a large technological lead in its space, further bolstered by its consistent R&D investments and also superb R&D yield that even surpasses AAPL.Source: Seeking Alpha dataTSM’s more consistent and aggressive R&DAs detailed in our earlier articles:We do not invest in a given tech stock because we have high confidence in a certain product that they are developing in the pipeline. Instead, we feel more comfortable betting on A) the recurring resources available to fund new R&D efforts sustainably, and B) the overall efficiency of the R&D PROCESS. So correspondingly, in the long run, I feel comfortable as long as a tech business can A) sustainably support new R&D expenditures, and B) has demonstrated a consistent R&D yield. I do not feel the need to particularly bet on any one of the new products to be a hit (or a complete failure).And both TSM and AAPL can sustainably fund their new R&D efforts with no problem in the long term, as illustrated in the next chart. It shows their R&D expenses over the past 10 years as a percentage of their total sales. A few key observations:TSM has been investing very consistently in R&D efforts, on average about 8.0% of its total sales.AAPL's R&D expenses have been climbing since Tim Cook took over the company from Jobs. Jobs believed that innovation is not about money and it \"has nothing to do with how much R&D money” a business put in. Then Cook gradually increased the R&D investments to the current level of around 6.1% since 2018.So even at AAPL’s current R&D level, TSM is still outspending AAPL by about 200 basis points. And also note TSM’s consistency: the R&D expenses only fluctuated in a very narrow range over the past 10 years.Source: AuthorMore impressively, TSM’s yield on the R&D investment is also superior to AAPL, which is already at a remarkable level by itself as shown in the next chart. The chart used Buffett’s $1 test on R&D expenses. More specifically, the chart quantifies the R&D yield by taking the ratio between profit and R&D expenditures. Thus, the results show how many dollars of profit are generated per $1 of R&D expenses. In particular, in this chart, my analysis used the operating cash flow (“OPC”) as the profit and also took a 3-year moving average on the OPC to approximate a 3-year R&D cycle. And the key observations are:The R&D yield is also consistent for TSM, with an average of $6.75 since 2014.AAPL’s picture is a bit more colorful. Its R&D yield has been astronomical ($10+ in 2013 and $8+ in 2014 and 2015) thanks to its almost monopoly status in key market segments in those days. Its R&D yield has gradually declined to around ~$4.0 in recent years. And its long-term average was about $5.3.To provide a broader view, the FAAMG group features an average R&D yield of ~$2.5 in recent years.Thus, both AAPL and TSM boast superb R&D yields even when compared to the overachievers in the FAAMG pack, and TSM’s yield is even higher than AAPL by a large gap.Source: Author based on Seeking Alpha dataBoth enjoy high ROCE too, but AAPL is in its own categoryTo me, ROCE (return on capital employed) is the most fundamental profitability metric as detailed in my blog article (with differences compared to ROE and Q&A on the most frequently received questions from our readers). One key reason for its fundamental importance is that the long-term growth rate is governed by ROCE and reinvestment rate (“RR”) in the following simple way:Long-Term Growth Rate = ROCE * RRThe ROCE of TSM and AAPL are shown below for the past 10 years. As you can see, TSM has been maintaining a high ROCE with remarkable consistency here. Its average ROCE has been about 42%. And I cannot overemphasize the consistency – which is a strong indicator of its stable moat. However, AAPL certainly has the upper hand here. Its ROCE is simply a category of its own. It has been hovering around an average of 125% since 2018 after its “declines” from an astronomical (and also unsustainable level in my view) of 200%+ earlier in the decade.In terms of RR, both companies have sustainable capital allocation flexibility thanks to their strong cash generation. All told, my analysis shows that TSM has been maintaining an RR in the range between 7.5% to 10% in recent years, and AAPL about 5% to 7.5%.So even without the trade tensions and deglobalization process aforementioned, I would project AAPL to have a much better perpetual growth curve ahead than TSM. I projected AAPL’s LT growth rate to be up to 10% (7.5% RR * 125% ROCE ~ 10% annual growth rate). And TSM’s growth rate, on the hand, would be limited to be in the mid-single digit range (say 4% = 10% RR * 42% ROCE).Source: Author based on Seeking Alpha dataRisks and final thoughtBut to reiterate, I do see the developing tension between TSM and AAPL and the deglobalization process as the overarching forces here. And I only see the differences in terms of valuation, R&D yields, and profitability to be secondary forces in the years to come. The deglobalization mega-trend has been unfolding since 2008. And I see a series of recent events (such as AAPL’s rejection of TSM’s price raises, the CHIPS act, the ongoing U.S.-China trade frictions, and also the Russian/Ukraine war) to further exacerbate and accelerate the trend. Under such a mega-trend, I see it as inevitable that key chip clients (such as AAPL, AMD, and NVDA) diversify their manufacturing needs away from TSM.And the bottom line is that damage will be mutual but asymmetric the way I see things. It is easier for AAPL to find replacement foundry services but a lot harder for TSM to find replacement clients at the scale of AAPL.This article is written by Envision Research for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035447444,"gmtCreate":1647663085916,"gmtModify":1676534257139,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035447444","repostId":"2220777059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220777059","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647653153,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2220777059?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-19 09:25","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220777059","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but B","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Garena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.</li><li>In addition, Shopee's losses are widening. However, the e-commerce segment is expected to be self-funded by 2025. This is achievable as take rates are trending in the right direction.</li><li>SeaMoney is also gaining traction at an unprecedented pace, a monster lurking in the shadows. Investors should pay attention as this segment could serve as Sea's second cash cow.</li><li>With a net cash position of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won't be long before Sea requires another cash infusion.</li><li>Despite unprofitability risks, Sea has a strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats. The stock is trading at the lowest multiple ever - it is worth a nibble at these prices.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51b3290f2015840c5d8f754c01de8a85\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>undefined undefined/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I've been following Sea Limited ADR (NYSE:SE) for quite some time now and the stock got me interested again given the recent 75% selloff. Today, I'm doing a deep dive on the three-headed monster (and each of its heads) to see if the company is a good investment opportunity at these levels. Let's get started!</p><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>Sea is at the forefront of the internet revolution in developing regions. This had many investors buying into the growth story of the company, sending shares soaring high into the sun for the better part of 2020 and 2021. However, the stock has cratered back to sea amid concerns about the company's slowing growth, especially for its only cash cow, Garena. To make matters worse, Shopee's losses are also getting worse.</p><p>The Group's cash burn rate is still high, estimated to be $(3.6) billion in FY2022. With a net cash position of $5.9 billion, future capital raises are very likely.</p><p>On the bright side, Sea still has a long growth runway ahead, solidified by its leadership positions in Southeast Asia and Latin America. SeaMoney, although still unprofitable, could also emerge as Sea's second cash cow.</p><p>Despite unprofitability and competitive risks, Sea has strong competitive moats and it is trading at the cheapest valuation multiples since its IPO.</p><p>The three-headed monster is a Buy at these levels.</p><p><b>Value Proposition</b></p><p>Founded in Singapore in 2009, Sea has grown to become the leading consumer internet company in the world, with a substantial presence in the Southeast Asian region.</p><blockquote><b>Mission</b>: To better the lives of consumers and small businesses with technology.</blockquote><p>Sea is a holding company for three core businesses: Garena, Shopee, and SeaMoney. Sea's main value proposition is providing a vertically-integrated experience through its different core businesses.</p><p><b>Garena</b></p><p>Its digital entertainment division, Garena, was Sea's first business venture. In fact, Sea was originally named Garena Interactive Holding Limited before changing its name to Sea Limited in 2017.</p><p>Garena is one of the largest online games developers and publishers, releasing some of the most successful mobile and PC games over the last decade. For example, Garena's Free Fire, its self-developed mobile battle royale game, topped the global download charts for the last three years. According to data.ai, Free Fire also ranked second globally by average monthly active users on Google Play in 2021. In Southeast Asia and Latin America, Free Fire was the highest-grossing mobile game for ten consecutive quarters, and in the US for four consecutive quarters. Based on Sensor <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">Tower</a>'s findings, Free Fire still holds the most downloads globally as of January 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa392753c19f14d60ee0d992e58c3d2f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p>Garena also exclusively licenses and publishes games from global partners and third-party developers. Some of these partners include Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY), Activision (ATVI), and Arumgames. Games like Speed Drifters, Arena of Valor, and Fantasy Town fall into this category as they are co-developed with partners or licensed from partners.</p><p>In addition, Garena organizes some of the largest e-sports events from local tournaments to professional competitions at a global level. Moreover, Garena offers other entertainment content such as live-streaming, user chat, and online forums.</p><p><b>Shopee</b></p><p>Perhaps the most exciting business segment is Sea's mobile-centric e-commerce platform, Shopee. Launched in 2015, Shopee is now one of the fastest-growing e-commerce marketplaces with a strong presence in Southeast Asia, as well as growing recognition in Latin America and some European countries.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6649de846b2942b928a3f3e5d4035003\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Shopee</span></p><p>Through the Shopee platform, buyers can purchase items from sellers which are primarily small and medium businesses (or mom-and-pop stores). At the same time, larger, more established retailers like Xiaomi (OTCPK:XIACF), Microsoft (MSFT), or Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) can leverage Shopee's two premium shopping platforms, Shopee Mall and Shopee Premium.</p><p>Along with Shopee's e-commerce marketplace, Shopee also offers adjacent products and services for both buyers and sellers:</p><ul><li><b>Service by Shopee</b> - Value-added services for sellers such as integrated payment, logistics, fulfillment, seller support, inventory management, and online store operations.</li><li><b>BuyerProtection</b> - Consumer protection policies and procedures including seller verification, product listing screening, and dispute resolution. In addition, Shopee Guarantee reduces settlement risks by holding customers' funds in a separate account until delivery is complete, where funds will be released to buyers.</li><li><b>Integrated Logistics Services</b>- Shopee partners with various local and regional third-party logistics service providers to provide a seamless last-mile delivery experience for both buyers and sellers. Shopee also has its own delivery service called Shopee Xpress.</li><li><b>Social Features</b> - Shopee also offers other social and gamification features, including Shopee Coins (virtual currency), Shopee Live (livestream), Shopee Games (in-app games), and Shopee Feed (similar to Instagram).</li><li><b>On-demand Services</b>- Shopee also recently launched on-demand services such as ShopeeFood, instant delivery, and groceries, competing directly with Grab (GRAB), Gojek, and Uber (UBER).</li></ul><p>Shopee's scale is unmatched and it is still growing at an unprecedented pace. According to data.ai, Shopee in Southeast Asia and Taiwan ranked first in average monthly active users and total time spent in the app in 2021. Shopee Indonesia, arguably Shopee's most important market, ranked first in the Shopping category. Shopee Brazil, which launched in October 2019, was also ranked first in the Shopping category. And globally, Shopee ranked first in the Shopping category, and is the #13 most downloaded app regardless of category, logging in 200+ million downloads in 2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f9c550b140720336e00cc78e954d184\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p><b>SeaMoney</b></p><p>SeaMoney was launched in 2014 and is now one of the leading digital financial services providers in Sea's operating countries. SeaMoney offers mobile wallet services, payment processing, credit, and other digital financial services. These services are offered under SeaMoney's various brands including AirPay, ShopeePay, SPayLater, and other local brands depending on the country. SeaMoney was initially launched in Vietnam and Thailand but has since expanded to other regions.</p><p>Through SeaMoney's mobile wallet offerings, consumers and merchants have added flexibility in terms of payment options, whether through online or offline means. The launch of SPayLater, which is basically a "buy now pay later" payment option, enables consumers to purchase items without accessing credit. For those who are interested, I've written a deep dive on Affirm (AFRM) where I discuss the main value propositions that BNPL provides.</p><p>SeaMoney has obtained bank licenses and government approvals to provide financial services in various countries. For example, Sea acquired Bank Kesejahteraan Ekonomi in Indonesia back in early 2021 as a push towards offering a digital banking solution. The company is now rebranded to SeaBank, which currently offers a high-yield savings account and virtual account.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c85c862195f86fe9d4f0f8c8beced6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SeaBank Website</span></p><p>SeaMoney's main value proposition lies in offering a mobile wallet and payment solutions that are integrated with Sea's other businesses, namely Garena and Shopee, enabling consumers and merchants to transact seamlessly in one vertically-integrated platform.</p><p><b>Market Opportunity</b></p><p>Sea's market opportunity is predicated around the industry outlook of each of its business segments: mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech. Let's take a look at each industry that Sea operates in.</p><p>First, we have the mobile gaming industry. According to data.ai, Mobile Game Consumer Spend grew from $74 billion in 2018 to $116 billion in 2021, while Mobile Game Downloads grew from 63 billion in 2018 to 83 billion in 2021. Among the Top Genres by Downloads were Hypercasual games such as Hair Challenge and Water Sort Puzzle. However, the Top Genres by Consumer Spend belong to the Strategy, RPG, and Shooting categories where Garena specializes in. For example, Free Fire was the top Shooting game by revenue in Thailand, Brazil, Mexico, and the US, in 2021. Globally, however, it is still behind PUBG Mobile, which generates the bulk of its revenue from China.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f72bda6df6bc2b7bdf8756d218f53185\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p>According to Adjust, the mobile gaming industry is expected to reach $272 billion by 2030, which is about 1.5x of 2021's total figure. Given Garena's successes in monetizing its games, Garena should continue to enjoy gaming tailwinds in the foreseeable future, provided that its games remain in trend. This is also supported by Unity's findings that the APAC region is the fastest-growing regional market, a market that Garena dominates in.</p><p>Moving on to e-commerce, we all know that e-commerce is growing rapidly and that its market share as a whole will continue to trend up from here. This is especially true for the Southeast Asian region where internet and smartphone adoption continues to increase by the day. Based on the e-Conomy SEA report, Southeast Asia now has 440 million internet users, up from 360 million in 2019. Its total population is about 589 million.</p><p>Internet Gross Merchandise Value, or GMV, for the region was $170 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach $360 billion by 2025 with e-commerce leading the charge. The shift to e-commerce is not only happening on the consumer side but also on the merchant side. Digital marketing tools, analytical tools, and digital payment solutions have accelerated business for merchants. Shopee's vertically-integrated platform also makes it easy for merchants in these developing countries to set up shop, distribute goods, and accept payments in a single platform.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fcb903aed7c0ec901fc83c4f25f18b8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021</span></p><p>Furthermore, Sea has recently expanded its e-commerce operations to other regions such as Latin America and Europe, which further expands its market opportunity.</p><p>Lastly, we have the fintech industry pertaining to SeaMoney. In my <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> (PYPL) deep dive, I discussed the growth of mobile wallets as a payment method in both online and offline transactions. The shift to a cashless and cardless society is inevitable and that is also true for Sea's markets.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47ec896a6208b6023ae89f654704bbc7\" tg-width=\"1261\" tg-height=\"706\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Ark Invest Big Ideas 2022</span></p><p>As you can see below, mobile wallets continue to gain traction in Southeast Asia. In addition, 92% of digital merchants intend to maintain usage or increase usage of digital payments in the next 1 to 2 years. ShopeePay and SeaMoney's other brands will benefit from this trend. Also of important note, SeaMoney's expansion to buy now pay later with SPayLater will be a key GMV and revenue driver for the segment. These are the reasons why some investors are so bullish on SeaMoney and why SeaMoney is a monster lurking in the shadows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0eb814b800c3121e3fb8cd0913f239d5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021</span></p><p>As you can see, Sea is at the forefront of three megatrends which should propel the business forward from here. Also, combining the different verticals in the same platform would present a significant synergistic opportunity as Sea establishes itself as a SuperApp in the making.</p><p><b>Revenue Model</b></p><p>As mentioned previously, Sea operates three main business segments.</p><p><b>Digital Entertainment</b></p><p>Garena operates a freemium model whereby users can download and play games for free. The company generates revenue by selling in-game virtual items such as clothing, weaponry, or equipment.</p><p>Investors should take note of how revenue is recognized for this segment. According to Sea's 10-K:</p><blockquote>Proceeds from these sales are initially recognized as “Advances from customers” and subsequently reclassified to “Deferred revenue” when the users make in-game purchases of the virtual currencies or virtual items within the games operated by the Company and the in-game purchases are no longer refundable.</blockquote><p>Garena also licenses games from other game developers. Revenue is generated based on revenue-sharing/royalty agreements with these developers. Revenue is recognized over the performance obligation period.</p><blockquote>Such delivery obligation period is determined in accordance with the estimated average lifespan of the virtual goods sold or estimated average lifespan of the paying users of the said games or similar games.</blockquote><p><b>E-commerce</b></p><p>Shopee generates revenue through a marketplace model. Sellers on the platform pay Shopee based on paid advertisement services, transaction-based fees, logistics services, and other value-added services.</p><p>Shopee also generates revenue from goods sold directly by Shopee, which the company purchases in bulk from manufacturers or third-party suppliers.</p><p><b>Digital Financial Services</b></p><p>SeaMoney revenue consists of:</p><ul><li>Interest and fees from loans granted to commercial customers</li><li>Interest and fees from Sea's consumer credit business such as SPayLater</li><li>Commissions charged to merchants when a customer pays using SeaMoney's mobile wallet</li></ul><p><b>Income Statement</b></p><p>Let's analyze each of the business segments and then look at the entire Group as a whole.</p><p><b>Digital Entertainment</b></p><p>Garena Revenue saw a 104% increase YoY in Q4. For the full year, Garena Revenue was up 114% YoY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/998dfbcf3f3dba11b8f8722710c36ba4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>The rapid increase in Revenue was primarily due to recognition of accumulated deferred revenue from previous quarters. Bookings—which is essentially GAAP Revenue plus the change in digital entertainment deferred revenue —actually dropped for the first time QoQ and it is now lower than Revenue. This means that gamers are spending less on in-virtual items which will lead to lower Revenue recognized in subsequent quarters. As you can see, Bookings is in a massive deceleration.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06de5e6066b66cd5596a445cd912c98\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>The drop in Bookings was due to fewer gamers in the platform as the economy reopens and people spend more time outdoors, at school, or in the office. Quarterly Active Users, or QAUs, grew only 7% in Q4 to 652 million, compared to Q3's QAUs of 729 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5bdd570a9eb859a9fef8569c9fad10a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>As a result, Quarterly Paying Users, or QPUs, decelerated as well, which led to lower Bookings. Q4 QPUs was 77 million compared to Q3's 93 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/092c4a2f47b9336f2753b4548707b39f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>The markets reacted negatively to this slowdown in Garena growth as the gaming business acts as the lifeline for Sea's two other segments. As you can see, Garena is a high-margin business, producing Adjusted EBITDA of $2.7 billion in FY2021. Operating Margin is very high at 61% in Q4. AEBITDA margin, on the other hand, is trending downwards as QoQ adds in Bookings wither.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f28c9f35ee55afb5c7d170a80d26ebf2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>As such, the slowdown in growth for Garena is scaring investors away as it may not provide sufficient cash flow to fund the continued growth of Shopee and SeaMoney.</p><p><b>E-Commerce</b></p><p>Shopee GMV continues its upward march as e-commerce continues to gain traction in Shopee's existing and newer markets. However, we're also seeing a deceleration in growth due to tough YoY comps. GMV in FY2021 was $62.5 billion, an increase of 77%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f657f7cacc9e00bc57df0e913fdb9ae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>GMV growth was also due to an increase in Orders in the Shopee platform, which totaled 6.1 billion in FY2021, an increase of 117%. Average Order Value, or AOV, however, is trending downwards. This may be perceived negatively as processing more lower-AOV orders meant higher logistical expenses and thus lower margins per order.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fbc7f044de03ec379f262a5bfcdf331\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>The increase in GMV translated to higher Shopee Revenue, which grew faster than GMV. Shopee Revenue grew 136% to $5.1 billion in FY2021, as compared to GMV growth of 77%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27710dc2140a6d139900819f51bd688a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>The faster growth in Revenue was due to Shopee's increasing take rate, which displays Shopee's ability to monetize its marketplace platform. This is one of the only few positive developments coming out of the most recent earnings update.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4267bc5d33a2153e8624f73ed71540\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>Despite the improving Revenue and take rate, Shopee is still suffering huge losses and it is mounting with each subsequent quarter, primarily due to the company expanding into new markets. FY2021 Shopee AEBITDA was $(2.6) billion at a -50% margin. Recall that Garena AEBITDA was $2.7 billion.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d27cef61bc9a9058233f7eccc5eaa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>AEBITDA per Order has been improving, although it flat-lined in the last few quarters. Again, this is due to the company aggressively expanding into new markets. For example, in Q4, Shopee Brazil recorded 140+ million gross orders with a $70+ million Revenue, up 400% and 326%, respectively. However, AEBITDA per Order in Brazil is still negative at $(2) per Order, despite being a 40% improvement from last year. As such, it is still a far cry from the overall AEBITDA per Order of $(0.45).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c0d6aa930a81ea4fc153b7134dbf9d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>On the bright side, in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, Q4 AEBITDA per Order before "allocation of the headquarters’ common expenses" was $(0.15), an improvement from last year's $(0.21). This shows that there is certainly hope for Shopee to be AEBITDA positive soon, which management has pointed out during the Q4 earnings call:</p><blockquote>We currently expect Shopee to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA before HQ cost allocation in Southeast Asia and Taiwan by this year. We also expect SeaMoney to achieve positive cash flow by next year. As a result, we currently expect that by 2025 cash generated by Shopee and SeaMoney proactively will enable these two businesses to substantially self-fund their own long-term growth.</blockquote><p><b>Digital Financial Services</b></p><p>SeaMoney's Mobile Wallet Total Payment Volume grew 120% YoY to $17.2 billion in FY2021 due to the increasing adoption of mobile wallets in the region.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa5ef6efa513d9040963fda42b4b9f2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>The growth in TPV was largely driven by the growth in QAUs. As shown below, the total ending QAUs in Q4 grew 90% YoY to 45.8 million users.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9397aec066366f40ec92c24187347a44\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>The real exciting part is that Revenue grew much faster than TPV and QAUs. SeaMoney Revenue is growing at a blistering pace, locking in high triple-digit growth rates over the last few years. FY2021 SeaMoney Revenue was $470 million, which is an increase of 673% from the previous year. This is due to take rates increasing from less than 1% in FY2020 to almost 4% by the end of the latest quarter.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcaf6046cf3c27e00b233a8428eb2d75\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>Furthermore, in Indonesia, over 20% of the QAUs have used more than one SeaMoney product or service, which includes credit services, digital banking, and insurance. As SeaMoney introduces more offerings, revenue should accelerate meaningfully as average revenue per user increases when people use additional products.</p><p>As SeaMoney continues to gain scale, the segment will enjoy better unit economics. As shown below, while SeaMoney's AEBITDA is still in deeply negative territories, AEBITDA Margins has continued to trend towards profitability. Management also expects SeaMoney to be cash flow positive by next year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51f0d5a1800fef748694417e8cb8fc9f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>This is the segment that investors should pay special attention to, given that it has the potential to be Sea's second cash cow. For example, PayPal has Operating Margins of 20%+, which could be SeaMoney's long-term margin profile.</p><p><b>Group</b></p><p>With that said, let's take a look at how the business is doing as a whole.</p><p>FY2021 Revenue was $10.0 billion, an increase of 128% YoY. Due to the law of large numbers and tough YoY comps, Revenue growth should decelerate from here.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38de60bd773f3ef7afc4b2e28aa1c08f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>Here, we can see how Revenue is distributed across the different segments.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a86e59478db8a3a4fdc85897f24410e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>What's encouraging is that Gross Profit Margins continue to trend upwards as the company gains economies of scale, even accounting for Shopee's aggressive expansion into new markets. FY2021 Gross Profit was $3.9 billion, up 189% YoY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd978ba4047cc6e20ac6086ba8420a8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>Operating Expenses, however, remain elevated as management forgoes short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. FY2021 Total Operating Expenses were $5.5 billion. Below shows the different components of Operating Expenses as a percentage of Revenue.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbdbde2c2ae744f36f8168ed32f94d62\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>Most of the Operating Expenses were used for Sales & Marketing purposes. Unsurprisingly, Shopee had the highest S&M burn rate. Discounts, cashback, celebrity promotions... they're everywhere.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5253f186120da17c4cd901e5c442bd1e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>As a result, Operating Profit Margins is still negative, although it is trending in the right direction.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a27b7833551107397c44acefc5ad2475\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>AEBITDA, on the other hand, is plunging. This is due to Garena's falling Bookings and Shoppe's widening losses. AEBITDA for FY2021 was $(594) million, compared to FY2020 positive AEBITDA of $107 million. This is probably the most concerning figure for investors as such a high cash burn rate is unsustainable, which may also lead to additional capital raises that are dilutive to shareholders.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d89fb95f74e23e85f8932870c0190bee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>The guidance did not help either. Garena Bookings is expected to fall to just $3 billion, which is $1.3 billion lower than FY2021's number. Management blamed the reopening of the economy as well as the ban of Free Fire in India for the expected drop in Bookings. Assuming a modest 50% AEBITDA margin, Garena would bring in just $1.5 billion of AEBITDA for Sea in FY2022.</p><p>On the other side, the other two segments are expected to continue with their immense pace of growth — Shopee and SeaMoney are expected to grow by 76% and 155%, respectively. If we assume a (50)% AEBITDA margin for both segments, Shopee and SeaMoney is expected to burn a total of about $(5.1) billion of AEBITDA. Adding Garena's estimated AEBITDA of $1.5 billion, Sea, as a Group, is expected to burn $(3.6) billion in FY2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae5e9399a838e5f841dcccaffbe673d8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor Presentation</span></p><p>Because Garena is such an important piece of Shopee's and SeaMoney's growth story, a deceleration in Garena's business had investors reacting so negatively to Sea's latest earnings release, as now, the gaming business is incapable of covering the massive losses incurred by the other two business segments.</p><p><b>Balance Sheet</b></p><p>Sea's balance sheet position as of year-end FY2021 is at about $10.2 billion of Cash and Short Term Investments. While this may show that Sea has a substantial cushion against its short-term cash burn rate, its net cash position paints a different picture.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc30ee494abc2eda3b75434b96e4a66b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor Presentation</span></p><p>Adjusting for Sea's debt, Sea ended the year with a net cash position of around $5.9 billion. A substantial amount of its total debt comes from its recent issuance of 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. The notes were issued when the stock was trading at $318 per share back in September and the initial conversion price is set at $477 per share. So, yes... conversion in the next 2 to 3 years is very unlikely.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d3d0030e6518cc4198245f624cc75e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>With net cash of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won't be long before Sea requires another cash infusion. Therefore, if the high cash burn rate persists for the next 2 to 3 years, investors face a major risk of increasing financial leverage and/or dilution in the form of equity raises.</p><p><b>Cash Flow Statement</b></p><p>Here is what cash flow looks like over the last few quarters. Notice how Operating Cash Flow turned negative in the last quarter. Most of the cash also comes from Financing activities.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0aba061277a1410bb9f3dc176ea0115\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"263\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p>Unlike other high-flying growth companies, Sea's Share-Based Compensation expenses are relatively low.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81fa229682c8880d6edd35535ef6a747\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's Analysis</span></p><p><b>Competitive Moats</b></p><p>Based on my research and analysis, I identified three key competitive moats for Sea: brand, network effects, and barriers to entry. I used to think that Sea has cost advantages but as Garena becomes a smaller part of the overall business, and as losses continue to worsen, I have reason to believe that Sea no longer holds that moat.</p><p><b>Brand</b></p><p>As discussed in previous sections, Garena's games, particularly Free Fire, have consistently ranked as the most downloaded mobile game in the world. Additionally, the Shopee app has gained cross-border stardom and is now regarded as the most downloaded or fastest-trending shopping App in the countries it operates in. Lastly, SeaMoney is also gaining traction with banking licenses granted in various countries that should increase brand value and trust.</p><p><b>Network Effects</b></p><p>The sheer amount of app downloads leads to powerful network effects. Garena has 652 million QAUs, which is about 8% of the world's population. Shopee recorded 200+ million app downloads in FY2021 alone. SeaMoney QAUs topped 45.8 million in Q4 and it is still in the early stages of adoption.</p><p>With all these users in the Sea platform, cross-selling new products or services should be easier as Sea continues to scale. One such example is Shopee Brazil and Free Fire where each platform is encouraging consumers to use the other. As Sea continues to innovate and offer better experiences for its customers, the ecosystem gets bigger and tighter, leading to powerful network effects.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c641ac08707cc868b9e6004e2deaf950\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"600\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Shopee Brazil</span></p><p><b>Barriers To Entry</b></p><p>I believe each of Sea's core businesses is operating in a winner-takes-most environment with high barriers to entry.</p><p>The mobile gaming environment requires the most talented developers to launch blockbuster games. Garena's Free Fire is certainly a blockbuster game and time in Free Fire's game means time away from other mobile games.</p><p>Just like how Amazon (AMZN) dominates in the US, the e-commerce landscape in Southeast Asia and Latin America is dominated by a few players, such as Shopee, Tokopedia, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> (MELI). The scale and unit economics that these players have achieved makes it unsustainable for new entrants to compete with them.</p><p>Banking and fintech is also a highly-regulated environment. Furthermore, consumers prefer to have just one mobile wallet, such as ShopeePay, as opposed to owning several different fintech applications.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Based on my sum-of-the-parts and comparable company valuation analysis, Sea looks to be slightly undervalued with 19% upside potential. Of course, comparables are not perfect but based on this, we can gauge where Sea stands among peers.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2400cd917e5f6ce8c47ef74a8062093\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Author's Analysis</span></p><p>On the flip side, Sea looks extremely cheap on a historical basis. In terms of EV/Sales, Sea is trading at the lowest valuation since its IPO, trading at just 4.2x forward sales.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bed1fd805a89523bbb8fa982bee40079\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p><p>In terms of EV/Gross Profit, Sea is trading even cheaper than its March 2020 lows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf589a808c84131e9c36aa7b65a5129\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p><p>The valuation compression is warranted given that the company flew too close to the sun and now it is cratering back to the sea — not just for Sea, but almost all growth stocks took a beating. Growth is also slowing down and the macroeconomic environment looks gloomier than ever. However, this is not the end of the world; I think the markets are overreacting. Diversion from the mean goes both ways — perhaps, current prices present a good margin of safety for long-term investors.</p><p><b>Catalysts</b></p><ul><li><b>Successful International Expansion</b> — Shopee has been successful in replicating its playbook from Southeast Asia to Brazil. Recently, Shopee launched operations in India, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Poland, and Spain. If Shopee can take substantial market share in these new regions, Shopee's growth could turn exponential.</li><li><b>The Metaverse</b> — Sea's withering gaming division needs to be revitalized. New games and features could definitely provide the boost that it needs. For example, the metaverse is an exciting opportunity and Garena could introduce this concept to its 600+ million QAUs. Sea AI Lab (SAIL) and Sea Capital are two ventures that could accelerate the company into emerging industries, including the metaverse.</li></ul><blockquote>We will continue to encourage user-generated content by enhancing greater features and accessibility. We believe that a strong user reception to Craftland is a positive indicator of the initial success to encourage user participation in content creation and to build Free Fire into an increasingly open platform and is well aligned with major emerging industry trends such as metaverse.</blockquote><ul><li><b>Regional SuperApp</b> — Although this concept has yet to be discussed by management, launching a regional SuperApp could enhance user engagement to new levels. For example, imagine Shopee users being able to play games, shop, order food delivery, pay for services, transfer money, invest, all under one app. Imagine users being able to convert their deposited funds in ShopeePay, into ShopeeCoins, and use it to perform cross-border transactions.</li><li><b>Continued Growth In SeaMoney</b> — SeaMoney is still in its early stages and continued adoption of Sea's digital financial services offerings will be a strong addition to Sea's bull thesis. SPayLater has real potential to disrupt the consumer credit industry. SeaBank and ShopeePay have the opportunity to capture digital wallet, digital banking, and cashless society trends.</li><li><b>Free Fire India Ban Lift</b>— Garena's weak guidance factored in the headwinds coming from the ban in India. If the ban is lifted, the stock may react positively as much of Sea's cash burn problems may be eliminated.</li></ul><p><b>Risks</b></p><ul><li><b>The Pressure to Launch Blockbuster Games</b>— There will come a time when Free Fire will be dethroned as the most-played and most-downloaded game. That is just how the gaming business works. This puts a substantial risk on the cash flow generation potential of Garena. Launching blockbuster games is never easy and it requires many trials and errors along the way. For me, I would like to see Garena shift to a gaming franchise model where the company launches an updated version of an existing game every year or two, which presents a more stable and recurring revenue stream for the company. An example would be FIFA or Call of Duty.</li><li><b>Shopee India Ban</b> — With Free Fire banned in India, there's also the potential for Shoppe to be banned as well.</li><li><b>Failure to Gain Traction in International Markets</b>— Shopee pulled out of France in early March, an indication that Shoppe's business model is not replicable in other countries, especially in more developed regions. Shopee Poland and Spain may be next on the exit list as they hold a close resemblance to France.</li><li><b>Geopolitical Risks</b>— Tencent, a Chinese company, has an 18.7% equity stake in Sea. Sanctions, bans, and other restrictions on Chinese companies, given the current geopolitical environment, could spell trouble for Sea. Tencent may have to cut exposure on Sea or even dissolve its developing-publishing partnership with Garena.</li><li><b>Local Competition</b>— Local champions operating in their respective markets cannot be ignored. These include GoTo in Indonesia, MercadoLibre in Latin America, and Flipkart in India.</li></ul><p>In addition, there's a certain level of pride for consumers to see their native-born companies succeed. I'm Indonesian, and it makes me really happy to see GoTo grow and grow.</p><p>GoTo, the holding company of both Indonesian tech darlings Gojek and Tokopedia, recently announced its plan to IPO in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Here's a glance of GoTo's stats for the 12-months ended 30 September 2021:</p><ul><li>Valuation: $26.2 billion to $28.8 billion</li><li>GMV: $28.8 billion</li><li>Revenue: $1 billion</li><li>Gross Orders: 2 billion</li><li>Annual Transacting Users: 55 million</li><li>Driver Partners: 2.5 million</li><li>Merchants: 14 million</li></ul><p>The point is that there are big-time local players operating in Sea's markets that investors should never ignore. Here's a little snippet from my previous Shopee article:</p><blockquote>But with the GoTo merger, Indonesia could potentially extinguish the orange flame that charred its forest for many years. Now, GoTo could finally reclaim a good chunk of its territory that was lost to waves of competition, especially from Shopee. GoTo could finally gain more ground as the roots grew even stronger with the merger, fertilized with the synergies of value propositions, logistics, payments, and banking solutions.</blockquote><blockquote>Meanwhile, Sea Limited's stock continues to soar, ignoring the titan of an elephant in the room. And because of GoTo's integration, Shopee's vertically-integrated business model doesn't look like a strong competitive advantage anymore.</blockquote><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Each of Sea's core businesses is in hypergrowth mode, propelled by megatrends in the mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech industry. Management understands these opportunities and therefore, is sacrificing short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. Despite being a larger business, Sea still has a massive growth runway ahead.</p><p>That is not to say that unprofitability and competition risks can and should be ignored. The biggest concern for investors is the company's unsustainable cash burn rate, which will likely lead to further capital raises in the near future.</p><p>Nonetheless, the long-term growth thesis for the three-headed monster remains intact. Strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats should support the business going forward. In addition, shares of Sea are trading at the lowest valuation multiples ever, which presents a good margin of safety for an entry at these prices.</p><p>Thank you for reading my Sea Limited deep dive. If you enjoyed the article, please let me know in the comment section down below. If you have any suggestions or feedback, don't hesitate to share your thoughts as well.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-19 09:25 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.In addition, Shopee's losses are widening. However, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2220777059","content_text":"SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.In addition, Shopee's losses are widening. However, the e-commerce segment is expected to be self-funded by 2025. This is achievable as take rates are trending in the right direction.SeaMoney is also gaining traction at an unprecedented pace, a monster lurking in the shadows. Investors should pay attention as this segment could serve as Sea's second cash cow.With a net cash position of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won't be long before Sea requires another cash infusion.Despite unprofitability risks, Sea has a strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats. The stock is trading at the lowest multiple ever - it is worth a nibble at these prices.undefined undefined/iStock via Getty ImagesI've been following Sea Limited ADR (NYSE:SE) for quite some time now and the stock got me interested again given the recent 75% selloff. Today, I'm doing a deep dive on the three-headed monster (and each of its heads) to see if the company is a good investment opportunity at these levels. Let's get started!Investment ThesisSea is at the forefront of the internet revolution in developing regions. This had many investors buying into the growth story of the company, sending shares soaring high into the sun for the better part of 2020 and 2021. However, the stock has cratered back to sea amid concerns about the company's slowing growth, especially for its only cash cow, Garena. To make matters worse, Shopee's losses are also getting worse.The Group's cash burn rate is still high, estimated to be $(3.6) billion in FY2022. With a net cash position of $5.9 billion, future capital raises are very likely.On the bright side, Sea still has a long growth runway ahead, solidified by its leadership positions in Southeast Asia and Latin America. SeaMoney, although still unprofitable, could also emerge as Sea's second cash cow.Despite unprofitability and competitive risks, Sea has strong competitive moats and it is trading at the cheapest valuation multiples since its IPO.The three-headed monster is a Buy at these levels.Value PropositionFounded in Singapore in 2009, Sea has grown to become the leading consumer internet company in the world, with a substantial presence in the Southeast Asian region.Mission: To better the lives of consumers and small businesses with technology.Sea is a holding company for three core businesses: Garena, Shopee, and SeaMoney. Sea's main value proposition is providing a vertically-integrated experience through its different core businesses.GarenaIts digital entertainment division, Garena, was Sea's first business venture. In fact, Sea was originally named Garena Interactive Holding Limited before changing its name to Sea Limited in 2017.Garena is one of the largest online games developers and publishers, releasing some of the most successful mobile and PC games over the last decade. For example, Garena's Free Fire, its self-developed mobile battle royale game, topped the global download charts for the last three years. According to data.ai, Free Fire also ranked second globally by average monthly active users on Google Play in 2021. In Southeast Asia and Latin America, Free Fire was the highest-grossing mobile game for ten consecutive quarters, and in the US for four consecutive quarters. Based on Sensor Tower's findings, Free Fire still holds the most downloads globally as of January 2022.Source: SensorTowerGarena also exclusively licenses and publishes games from global partners and third-party developers. Some of these partners include Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY), Activision (ATVI), and Arumgames. Games like Speed Drifters, Arena of Valor, and Fantasy Town fall into this category as they are co-developed with partners or licensed from partners.In addition, Garena organizes some of the largest e-sports events from local tournaments to professional competitions at a global level. Moreover, Garena offers other entertainment content such as live-streaming, user chat, and online forums.ShopeePerhaps the most exciting business segment is Sea's mobile-centric e-commerce platform, Shopee. Launched in 2015, Shopee is now one of the fastest-growing e-commerce marketplaces with a strong presence in Southeast Asia, as well as growing recognition in Latin America and some European countries.Source: ShopeeThrough the Shopee platform, buyers can purchase items from sellers which are primarily small and medium businesses (or mom-and-pop stores). At the same time, larger, more established retailers like Xiaomi (OTCPK:XIACF), Microsoft (MSFT), or Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) can leverage Shopee's two premium shopping platforms, Shopee Mall and Shopee Premium.Along with Shopee's e-commerce marketplace, Shopee also offers adjacent products and services for both buyers and sellers:Service by Shopee - Value-added services for sellers such as integrated payment, logistics, fulfillment, seller support, inventory management, and online store operations.BuyerProtection - Consumer protection policies and procedures including seller verification, product listing screening, and dispute resolution. In addition, Shopee Guarantee reduces settlement risks by holding customers' funds in a separate account until delivery is complete, where funds will be released to buyers.Integrated Logistics Services- Shopee partners with various local and regional third-party logistics service providers to provide a seamless last-mile delivery experience for both buyers and sellers. Shopee also has its own delivery service called Shopee Xpress.Social Features - Shopee also offers other social and gamification features, including Shopee Coins (virtual currency), Shopee Live (livestream), Shopee Games (in-app games), and Shopee Feed (similar to Instagram).On-demand Services- Shopee also recently launched on-demand services such as ShopeeFood, instant delivery, and groceries, competing directly with Grab (GRAB), Gojek, and Uber (UBER).Shopee's scale is unmatched and it is still growing at an unprecedented pace. According to data.ai, Shopee in Southeast Asia and Taiwan ranked first in average monthly active users and total time spent in the app in 2021. Shopee Indonesia, arguably Shopee's most important market, ranked first in the Shopping category. Shopee Brazil, which launched in October 2019, was also ranked first in the Shopping category. And globally, Shopee ranked first in the Shopping category, and is the #13 most downloaded app regardless of category, logging in 200+ million downloads in 2021.Source: SensorTowerSeaMoneySeaMoney was launched in 2014 and is now one of the leading digital financial services providers in Sea's operating countries. SeaMoney offers mobile wallet services, payment processing, credit, and other digital financial services. These services are offered under SeaMoney's various brands including AirPay, ShopeePay, SPayLater, and other local brands depending on the country. SeaMoney was initially launched in Vietnam and Thailand but has since expanded to other regions.Through SeaMoney's mobile wallet offerings, consumers and merchants have added flexibility in terms of payment options, whether through online or offline means. The launch of SPayLater, which is basically a \"buy now pay later\" payment option, enables consumers to purchase items without accessing credit. For those who are interested, I've written a deep dive on Affirm (AFRM) where I discuss the main value propositions that BNPL provides.SeaMoney has obtained bank licenses and government approvals to provide financial services in various countries. For example, Sea acquired Bank Kesejahteraan Ekonomi in Indonesia back in early 2021 as a push towards offering a digital banking solution. The company is now rebranded to SeaBank, which currently offers a high-yield savings account and virtual account.Source: SeaBank WebsiteSeaMoney's main value proposition lies in offering a mobile wallet and payment solutions that are integrated with Sea's other businesses, namely Garena and Shopee, enabling consumers and merchants to transact seamlessly in one vertically-integrated platform.Market OpportunitySea's market opportunity is predicated around the industry outlook of each of its business segments: mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech. Let's take a look at each industry that Sea operates in.First, we have the mobile gaming industry. According to data.ai, Mobile Game Consumer Spend grew from $74 billion in 2018 to $116 billion in 2021, while Mobile Game Downloads grew from 63 billion in 2018 to 83 billion in 2021. Among the Top Genres by Downloads were Hypercasual games such as Hair Challenge and Water Sort Puzzle. However, the Top Genres by Consumer Spend belong to the Strategy, RPG, and Shooting categories where Garena specializes in. For example, Free Fire was the top Shooting game by revenue in Thailand, Brazil, Mexico, and the US, in 2021. Globally, however, it is still behind PUBG Mobile, which generates the bulk of its revenue from China.Source: SensorTowerAccording to Adjust, the mobile gaming industry is expected to reach $272 billion by 2030, which is about 1.5x of 2021's total figure. Given Garena's successes in monetizing its games, Garena should continue to enjoy gaming tailwinds in the foreseeable future, provided that its games remain in trend. This is also supported by Unity's findings that the APAC region is the fastest-growing regional market, a market that Garena dominates in.Moving on to e-commerce, we all know that e-commerce is growing rapidly and that its market share as a whole will continue to trend up from here. This is especially true for the Southeast Asian region where internet and smartphone adoption continues to increase by the day. Based on the e-Conomy SEA report, Southeast Asia now has 440 million internet users, up from 360 million in 2019. Its total population is about 589 million.Internet Gross Merchandise Value, or GMV, for the region was $170 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach $360 billion by 2025 with e-commerce leading the charge. The shift to e-commerce is not only happening on the consumer side but also on the merchant side. Digital marketing tools, analytical tools, and digital payment solutions have accelerated business for merchants. Shopee's vertically-integrated platform also makes it easy for merchants in these developing countries to set up shop, distribute goods, and accept payments in a single platform.Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021Furthermore, Sea has recently expanded its e-commerce operations to other regions such as Latin America and Europe, which further expands its market opportunity.Lastly, we have the fintech industry pertaining to SeaMoney. In my PayPal (PYPL) deep dive, I discussed the growth of mobile wallets as a payment method in both online and offline transactions. The shift to a cashless and cardless society is inevitable and that is also true for Sea's markets.Source: Ark Invest Big Ideas 2022As you can see below, mobile wallets continue to gain traction in Southeast Asia. In addition, 92% of digital merchants intend to maintain usage or increase usage of digital payments in the next 1 to 2 years. ShopeePay and SeaMoney's other brands will benefit from this trend. Also of important note, SeaMoney's expansion to buy now pay later with SPayLater will be a key GMV and revenue driver for the segment. These are the reasons why some investors are so bullish on SeaMoney and why SeaMoney is a monster lurking in the shadows.Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021As you can see, Sea is at the forefront of three megatrends which should propel the business forward from here. Also, combining the different verticals in the same platform would present a significant synergistic opportunity as Sea establishes itself as a SuperApp in the making.Revenue ModelAs mentioned previously, Sea operates three main business segments.Digital EntertainmentGarena operates a freemium model whereby users can download and play games for free. The company generates revenue by selling in-game virtual items such as clothing, weaponry, or equipment.Investors should take note of how revenue is recognized for this segment. According to Sea's 10-K:Proceeds from these sales are initially recognized as “Advances from customers” and subsequently reclassified to “Deferred revenue” when the users make in-game purchases of the virtual currencies or virtual items within the games operated by the Company and the in-game purchases are no longer refundable.Garena also licenses games from other game developers. Revenue is generated based on revenue-sharing/royalty agreements with these developers. Revenue is recognized over the performance obligation period.Such delivery obligation period is determined in accordance with the estimated average lifespan of the virtual goods sold or estimated average lifespan of the paying users of the said games or similar games.E-commerceShopee generates revenue through a marketplace model. Sellers on the platform pay Shopee based on paid advertisement services, transaction-based fees, logistics services, and other value-added services.Shopee also generates revenue from goods sold directly by Shopee, which the company purchases in bulk from manufacturers or third-party suppliers.Digital Financial ServicesSeaMoney revenue consists of:Interest and fees from loans granted to commercial customersInterest and fees from Sea's consumer credit business such as SPayLaterCommissions charged to merchants when a customer pays using SeaMoney's mobile walletIncome StatementLet's analyze each of the business segments and then look at the entire Group as a whole.Digital EntertainmentGarena Revenue saw a 104% increase YoY in Q4. For the full year, Garena Revenue was up 114% YoY.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe rapid increase in Revenue was primarily due to recognition of accumulated deferred revenue from previous quarters. Bookings—which is essentially GAAP Revenue plus the change in digital entertainment deferred revenue —actually dropped for the first time QoQ and it is now lower than Revenue. This means that gamers are spending less on in-virtual items which will lead to lower Revenue recognized in subsequent quarters. As you can see, Bookings is in a massive deceleration.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe drop in Bookings was due to fewer gamers in the platform as the economy reopens and people spend more time outdoors, at school, or in the office. Quarterly Active Users, or QAUs, grew only 7% in Q4 to 652 million, compared to Q3's QAUs of 729 million.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs a result, Quarterly Paying Users, or QPUs, decelerated as well, which led to lower Bookings. Q4 QPUs was 77 million compared to Q3's 93 million.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe markets reacted negatively to this slowdown in Garena growth as the gaming business acts as the lifeline for Sea's two other segments. As you can see, Garena is a high-margin business, producing Adjusted EBITDA of $2.7 billion in FY2021. Operating Margin is very high at 61% in Q4. AEBITDA margin, on the other hand, is trending downwards as QoQ adds in Bookings wither.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs such, the slowdown in growth for Garena is scaring investors away as it may not provide sufficient cash flow to fund the continued growth of Shopee and SeaMoney.E-CommerceShopee GMV continues its upward march as e-commerce continues to gain traction in Shopee's existing and newer markets. However, we're also seeing a deceleration in growth due to tough YoY comps. GMV in FY2021 was $62.5 billion, an increase of 77%.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisGMV growth was also due to an increase in Orders in the Shopee platform, which totaled 6.1 billion in FY2021, an increase of 117%. Average Order Value, or AOV, however, is trending downwards. This may be perceived negatively as processing more lower-AOV orders meant higher logistical expenses and thus lower margins per order.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe increase in GMV translated to higher Shopee Revenue, which grew faster than GMV. Shopee Revenue grew 136% to $5.1 billion in FY2021, as compared to GMV growth of 77%.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe faster growth in Revenue was due to Shopee's increasing take rate, which displays Shopee's ability to monetize its marketplace platform. This is one of the only few positive developments coming out of the most recent earnings update.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisDespite the improving Revenue and take rate, Shopee is still suffering huge losses and it is mounting with each subsequent quarter, primarily due to the company expanding into new markets. FY2021 Shopee AEBITDA was $(2.6) billion at a -50% margin. Recall that Garena AEBITDA was $2.7 billion.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAEBITDA per Order has been improving, although it flat-lined in the last few quarters. Again, this is due to the company aggressively expanding into new markets. For example, in Q4, Shopee Brazil recorded 140+ million gross orders with a $70+ million Revenue, up 400% and 326%, respectively. However, AEBITDA per Order in Brazil is still negative at $(2) per Order, despite being a 40% improvement from last year. As such, it is still a far cry from the overall AEBITDA per Order of $(0.45).Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisOn the bright side, in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, Q4 AEBITDA per Order before \"allocation of the headquarters’ common expenses\" was $(0.15), an improvement from last year's $(0.21). This shows that there is certainly hope for Shopee to be AEBITDA positive soon, which management has pointed out during the Q4 earnings call:We currently expect Shopee to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA before HQ cost allocation in Southeast Asia and Taiwan by this year. We also expect SeaMoney to achieve positive cash flow by next year. As a result, we currently expect that by 2025 cash generated by Shopee and SeaMoney proactively will enable these two businesses to substantially self-fund their own long-term growth.Digital Financial ServicesSeaMoney's Mobile Wallet Total Payment Volume grew 120% YoY to $17.2 billion in FY2021 due to the increasing adoption of mobile wallets in the region.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe growth in TPV was largely driven by the growth in QAUs. As shown below, the total ending QAUs in Q4 grew 90% YoY to 45.8 million users.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe real exciting part is that Revenue grew much faster than TPV and QAUs. SeaMoney Revenue is growing at a blistering pace, locking in high triple-digit growth rates over the last few years. FY2021 SeaMoney Revenue was $470 million, which is an increase of 673% from the previous year. This is due to take rates increasing from less than 1% in FY2020 to almost 4% by the end of the latest quarter.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisFurthermore, in Indonesia, over 20% of the QAUs have used more than one SeaMoney product or service, which includes credit services, digital banking, and insurance. As SeaMoney introduces more offerings, revenue should accelerate meaningfully as average revenue per user increases when people use additional products.As SeaMoney continues to gain scale, the segment will enjoy better unit economics. As shown below, while SeaMoney's AEBITDA is still in deeply negative territories, AEBITDA Margins has continued to trend towards profitability. Management also expects SeaMoney to be cash flow positive by next year.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThis is the segment that investors should pay special attention to, given that it has the potential to be Sea's second cash cow. For example, PayPal has Operating Margins of 20%+, which could be SeaMoney's long-term margin profile.GroupWith that said, let's take a look at how the business is doing as a whole.FY2021 Revenue was $10.0 billion, an increase of 128% YoY. Due to the law of large numbers and tough YoY comps, Revenue growth should decelerate from here.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisHere, we can see how Revenue is distributed across the different segments.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisWhat's encouraging is that Gross Profit Margins continue to trend upwards as the company gains economies of scale, even accounting for Shopee's aggressive expansion into new markets. FY2021 Gross Profit was $3.9 billion, up 189% YoY.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisOperating Expenses, however, remain elevated as management forgoes short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. FY2021 Total Operating Expenses were $5.5 billion. Below shows the different components of Operating Expenses as a percentage of Revenue.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisMost of the Operating Expenses were used for Sales & Marketing purposes. Unsurprisingly, Shopee had the highest S&M burn rate. Discounts, cashback, celebrity promotions... they're everywhere.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs a result, Operating Profit Margins is still negative, although it is trending in the right direction.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAEBITDA, on the other hand, is plunging. This is due to Garena's falling Bookings and Shoppe's widening losses. AEBITDA for FY2021 was $(594) million, compared to FY2020 positive AEBITDA of $107 million. This is probably the most concerning figure for investors as such a high cash burn rate is unsustainable, which may also lead to additional capital raises that are dilutive to shareholders.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe guidance did not help either. Garena Bookings is expected to fall to just $3 billion, which is $1.3 billion lower than FY2021's number. Management blamed the reopening of the economy as well as the ban of Free Fire in India for the expected drop in Bookings. Assuming a modest 50% AEBITDA margin, Garena would bring in just $1.5 billion of AEBITDA for Sea in FY2022.On the other side, the other two segments are expected to continue with their immense pace of growth — Shopee and SeaMoney are expected to grow by 76% and 155%, respectively. If we assume a (50)% AEBITDA margin for both segments, Shopee and SeaMoney is expected to burn a total of about $(5.1) billion of AEBITDA. Adding Garena's estimated AEBITDA of $1.5 billion, Sea, as a Group, is expected to burn $(3.6) billion in FY2021.Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor PresentationBecause Garena is such an important piece of Shopee's and SeaMoney's growth story, a deceleration in Garena's business had investors reacting so negatively to Sea's latest earnings release, as now, the gaming business is incapable of covering the massive losses incurred by the other two business segments.Balance SheetSea's balance sheet position as of year-end FY2021 is at about $10.2 billion of Cash and Short Term Investments. While this may show that Sea has a substantial cushion against its short-term cash burn rate, its net cash position paints a different picture.Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor PresentationAdjusting for Sea's debt, Sea ended the year with a net cash position of around $5.9 billion. A substantial amount of its total debt comes from its recent issuance of 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. The notes were issued when the stock was trading at $318 per share back in September and the initial conversion price is set at $477 per share. So, yes... conversion in the next 2 to 3 years is very unlikely.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisWith net cash of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won't be long before Sea requires another cash infusion. Therefore, if the high cash burn rate persists for the next 2 to 3 years, investors face a major risk of increasing financial leverage and/or dilution in the form of equity raises.Cash Flow StatementHere is what cash flow looks like over the last few quarters. Notice how Operating Cash Flow turned negative in the last quarter. Most of the cash also comes from Financing activities.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisUnlike other high-flying growth companies, Sea's Share-Based Compensation expenses are relatively low.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisCompetitive MoatsBased on my research and analysis, I identified three key competitive moats for Sea: brand, network effects, and barriers to entry. I used to think that Sea has cost advantages but as Garena becomes a smaller part of the overall business, and as losses continue to worsen, I have reason to believe that Sea no longer holds that moat.BrandAs discussed in previous sections, Garena's games, particularly Free Fire, have consistently ranked as the most downloaded mobile game in the world. Additionally, the Shopee app has gained cross-border stardom and is now regarded as the most downloaded or fastest-trending shopping App in the countries it operates in. Lastly, SeaMoney is also gaining traction with banking licenses granted in various countries that should increase brand value and trust.Network EffectsThe sheer amount of app downloads leads to powerful network effects. Garena has 652 million QAUs, which is about 8% of the world's population. Shopee recorded 200+ million app downloads in FY2021 alone. SeaMoney QAUs topped 45.8 million in Q4 and it is still in the early stages of adoption.With all these users in the Sea platform, cross-selling new products or services should be easier as Sea continues to scale. One such example is Shopee Brazil and Free Fire where each platform is encouraging consumers to use the other. As Sea continues to innovate and offer better experiences for its customers, the ecosystem gets bigger and tighter, leading to powerful network effects.Source: Shopee BrazilBarriers To EntryI believe each of Sea's core businesses is operating in a winner-takes-most environment with high barriers to entry.The mobile gaming environment requires the most talented developers to launch blockbuster games. Garena's Free Fire is certainly a blockbuster game and time in Free Fire's game means time away from other mobile games.Just like how Amazon (AMZN) dominates in the US, the e-commerce landscape in Southeast Asia and Latin America is dominated by a few players, such as Shopee, Tokopedia, and MercadoLibre (MELI). The scale and unit economics that these players have achieved makes it unsustainable for new entrants to compete with them.Banking and fintech is also a highly-regulated environment. Furthermore, consumers prefer to have just one mobile wallet, such as ShopeePay, as opposed to owning several different fintech applications.ValuationBased on my sum-of-the-parts and comparable company valuation analysis, Sea looks to be slightly undervalued with 19% upside potential. Of course, comparables are not perfect but based on this, we can gauge where Sea stands among peers.Source: Author's AnalysisOn the flip side, Sea looks extremely cheap on a historical basis. In terms of EV/Sales, Sea is trading at the lowest valuation since its IPO, trading at just 4.2x forward sales.Source: KoyfinIn terms of EV/Gross Profit, Sea is trading even cheaper than its March 2020 lows.Source: KoyfinThe valuation compression is warranted given that the company flew too close to the sun and now it is cratering back to the sea — not just for Sea, but almost all growth stocks took a beating. Growth is also slowing down and the macroeconomic environment looks gloomier than ever. However, this is not the end of the world; I think the markets are overreacting. Diversion from the mean goes both ways — perhaps, current prices present a good margin of safety for long-term investors.CatalystsSuccessful International Expansion — Shopee has been successful in replicating its playbook from Southeast Asia to Brazil. Recently, Shopee launched operations in India, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Poland, and Spain. If Shopee can take substantial market share in these new regions, Shopee's growth could turn exponential.The Metaverse — Sea's withering gaming division needs to be revitalized. New games and features could definitely provide the boost that it needs. For example, the metaverse is an exciting opportunity and Garena could introduce this concept to its 600+ million QAUs. Sea AI Lab (SAIL) and Sea Capital are two ventures that could accelerate the company into emerging industries, including the metaverse.We will continue to encourage user-generated content by enhancing greater features and accessibility. We believe that a strong user reception to Craftland is a positive indicator of the initial success to encourage user participation in content creation and to build Free Fire into an increasingly open platform and is well aligned with major emerging industry trends such as metaverse.Regional SuperApp — Although this concept has yet to be discussed by management, launching a regional SuperApp could enhance user engagement to new levels. For example, imagine Shopee users being able to play games, shop, order food delivery, pay for services, transfer money, invest, all under one app. Imagine users being able to convert their deposited funds in ShopeePay, into ShopeeCoins, and use it to perform cross-border transactions.Continued Growth In SeaMoney — SeaMoney is still in its early stages and continued adoption of Sea's digital financial services offerings will be a strong addition to Sea's bull thesis. SPayLater has real potential to disrupt the consumer credit industry. SeaBank and ShopeePay have the opportunity to capture digital wallet, digital banking, and cashless society trends.Free Fire India Ban Lift— Garena's weak guidance factored in the headwinds coming from the ban in India. If the ban is lifted, the stock may react positively as much of Sea's cash burn problems may be eliminated.RisksThe Pressure to Launch Blockbuster Games— There will come a time when Free Fire will be dethroned as the most-played and most-downloaded game. That is just how the gaming business works. This puts a substantial risk on the cash flow generation potential of Garena. Launching blockbuster games is never easy and it requires many trials and errors along the way. For me, I would like to see Garena shift to a gaming franchise model where the company launches an updated version of an existing game every year or two, which presents a more stable and recurring revenue stream for the company. An example would be FIFA or Call of Duty.Shopee India Ban — With Free Fire banned in India, there's also the potential for Shoppe to be banned as well.Failure to Gain Traction in International Markets— Shopee pulled out of France in early March, an indication that Shoppe's business model is not replicable in other countries, especially in more developed regions. Shopee Poland and Spain may be next on the exit list as they hold a close resemblance to France.Geopolitical Risks— Tencent, a Chinese company, has an 18.7% equity stake in Sea. Sanctions, bans, and other restrictions on Chinese companies, given the current geopolitical environment, could spell trouble for Sea. Tencent may have to cut exposure on Sea or even dissolve its developing-publishing partnership with Garena.Local Competition— Local champions operating in their respective markets cannot be ignored. These include GoTo in Indonesia, MercadoLibre in Latin America, and Flipkart in India.In addition, there's a certain level of pride for consumers to see their native-born companies succeed. I'm Indonesian, and it makes me really happy to see GoTo grow and grow.GoTo, the holding company of both Indonesian tech darlings Gojek and Tokopedia, recently announced its plan to IPO in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Here's a glance of GoTo's stats for the 12-months ended 30 September 2021:Valuation: $26.2 billion to $28.8 billionGMV: $28.8 billionRevenue: $1 billionGross Orders: 2 billionAnnual Transacting Users: 55 millionDriver Partners: 2.5 millionMerchants: 14 millionThe point is that there are big-time local players operating in Sea's markets that investors should never ignore. Here's a little snippet from my previous Shopee article:But with the GoTo merger, Indonesia could potentially extinguish the orange flame that charred its forest for many years. Now, GoTo could finally reclaim a good chunk of its territory that was lost to waves of competition, especially from Shopee. GoTo could finally gain more ground as the roots grew even stronger with the merger, fertilized with the synergies of value propositions, logistics, payments, and banking solutions.Meanwhile, Sea Limited's stock continues to soar, ignoring the titan of an elephant in the room. And because of GoTo's integration, Shopee's vertically-integrated business model doesn't look like a strong competitive advantage anymore.ConclusionEach of Sea's core businesses is in hypergrowth mode, propelled by megatrends in the mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech industry. Management understands these opportunities and therefore, is sacrificing short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. Despite being a larger business, Sea still has a massive growth runway ahead.That is not to say that unprofitability and competition risks can and should be ignored. The biggest concern for investors is the company's unsustainable cash burn rate, which will likely lead to further capital raises in the near future.Nonetheless, the long-term growth thesis for the three-headed monster remains intact. Strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats should support the business going forward. In addition, shares of Sea are trading at the lowest valuation multiples ever, which presents a good margin of safety for an entry at these prices.Thank you for reading my Sea Limited deep dive. If you enjoyed the article, please let me know in the comment section down below. If you have any suggestions or feedback, don't hesitate to share your thoughts as well.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815780106,"gmtCreate":1630719716605,"gmtModify":1676530383366,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/815780106","repostId":"1186003479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174203223,"gmtCreate":1627098657962,"gmtModify":1703484248088,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/174203223","repostId":"2153980423","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153980423","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627081209,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2153980423?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-24 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street surges to all-time closing high on earnings, economic revival","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153980423","media":"Reuters","summary":"* All 3 major indexes post weekly gains\n* Dow closes above 35,000 for first time ever\n* Social media","content":"<p>* All 3 major indexes post weekly gains</p>\n<p>* Dow closes above 35,000 for first time ever</p>\n<p>* Social media stocks rally after upbeat results</p>\n<p>* Intel sales forecast implies rocky second half</p>\n<p>* Indexes up: Dow 0.68%, S&P 1.01%, Nasdaq 1.04%</p>\n<p>Wall Street gained ground for the fourth straight session on Friday, extending a rally that pushed all three major U.S. stock indexes to record closing highs as upbeat earnings and signs of economic revival fueled investor risk appetite.</p>\n<p>The Dow closed above 35,000 for the first time ever.</p>\n<p>\"We see a continuation of the last couple days. It's roller coaster in reverse. We did the drop first, and we’ve been climbing back to the top ever since,\" said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p>\n<p>Growth and value stocks seesawed for much of the week as market participants weighed spiking infections of the COVID-19 Delta variant against strong corporate results and signs of economic revival.</p>\n<p>\"There’s push and pull, there’s clearly conflict in the market,\" Zaccarelli added. \"There’s a strong difference of opinion as to whether the future’s bright or whether there are clouds on the horizon.\"</p>\n<p>Market participants now look toward next week with the Federal Reserve's two-day monetary policy meeting and a series of high-profile earnings.</p>\n<p>The Fed's statement will be parsed for clues regarding the timeframe for tightening its accommodative policies, although Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said the economy still needs the central bank's full support.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 238.2 points, or 0.68%, to 35,061.55, the S&P 500 gained 44.31 points, or 1.01%, to 4,411.79 and the Nasdaq Composite added 152.39 points, or 1.04%, to 14,836.99.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, all but energy closed green, with communications services enjoying the largest gain, rising 2.7%.</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season is in full swing, with 120 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>\"We’re seeing companies, on average, beat on the top and on the bottom line,\" Zaccarelli said. \"We’re seeing the resilience of the consumer and that’s been the story of the earnings season so far.\"</p>\n<p>Analysts now expect aggregate year-on-year S&P 500 earnings growth of 78.1% for the April to June period, a sizeable increase from the 54% annual growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.</p>\n<p>Chipmaker Intel Corp said late Thursday that it still faces supply constraints and provided disappointing guidance. Its stock fell 5.3%.</p>\n<p>Moderna Inc jumped 7.8% after the European Union approved its COVID-19 vaccine for 12- to 17-year-olds.</p>\n<p>American <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a> Co gained 1.3% after posting second-quarter profit that handily beat expectations on the strength of a global recovery in consumer spending.</p>\n<p>Social media firms <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> Inc and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a> advanced 3.0% and 23.8%, respectively, on the back of their upbeat results.</p>\n<p>Those results bode well for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc, which is due to post second-quarter results next week. Its stock surged 5.3%.</p>\n<p>Other high-profile earnings expected next week include Tesla Inc, Apple Inc, Alphabet Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com.</p>\n<p>Industrials Lockheed Martin Corp, Boeing Co, Ford Motor Co, General Dynamics Corp, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a> Co Caterpillar Inc, Chevron Corp and Exxon Mobil Corp, along with a host of healthcare, consumer goods and others, are also on deck.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.59-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 82 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 81 new highs and 136 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.72 billion shares, compared with the 10.14 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street surges to all-time closing high on earnings, economic revival</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street surges to all-time closing high on earnings, economic revival\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-24 07:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>* All 3 major indexes post weekly gains</p>\n<p>* Dow closes above 35,000 for first time ever</p>\n<p>* Social media stocks rally after upbeat results</p>\n<p>* Intel sales forecast implies rocky second half</p>\n<p>* Indexes up: Dow 0.68%, S&P 1.01%, Nasdaq 1.04%</p>\n<p>Wall Street gained ground for the fourth straight session on Friday, extending a rally that pushed all three major U.S. stock indexes to record closing highs as upbeat earnings and signs of economic revival fueled investor risk appetite.</p>\n<p>The Dow closed above 35,000 for the first time ever.</p>\n<p>\"We see a continuation of the last couple days. It's roller coaster in reverse. We did the drop first, and we’ve been climbing back to the top ever since,\" said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p>\n<p>Growth and value stocks seesawed for much of the week as market participants weighed spiking infections of the COVID-19 Delta variant against strong corporate results and signs of economic revival.</p>\n<p>\"There’s push and pull, there’s clearly conflict in the market,\" Zaccarelli added. \"There’s a strong difference of opinion as to whether the future’s bright or whether there are clouds on the horizon.\"</p>\n<p>Market participants now look toward next week with the Federal Reserve's two-day monetary policy meeting and a series of high-profile earnings.</p>\n<p>The Fed's statement will be parsed for clues regarding the timeframe for tightening its accommodative policies, although Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said the economy still needs the central bank's full support.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 238.2 points, or 0.68%, to 35,061.55, the S&P 500 gained 44.31 points, or 1.01%, to 4,411.79 and the Nasdaq Composite added 152.39 points, or 1.04%, to 14,836.99.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, all but energy closed green, with communications services enjoying the largest gain, rising 2.7%.</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season is in full swing, with 120 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>\"We’re seeing companies, on average, beat on the top and on the bottom line,\" Zaccarelli said. \"We’re seeing the resilience of the consumer and that’s been the story of the earnings season so far.\"</p>\n<p>Analysts now expect aggregate year-on-year S&P 500 earnings growth of 78.1% for the April to June period, a sizeable increase from the 54% annual growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.</p>\n<p>Chipmaker Intel Corp said late Thursday that it still faces supply constraints and provided disappointing guidance. Its stock fell 5.3%.</p>\n<p>Moderna Inc jumped 7.8% after the European Union approved its COVID-19 vaccine for 12- to 17-year-olds.</p>\n<p>American <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a> Co gained 1.3% after posting second-quarter profit that handily beat expectations on the strength of a global recovery in consumer spending.</p>\n<p>Social media firms <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> Inc and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a> advanced 3.0% and 23.8%, respectively, on the back of their upbeat results.</p>\n<p>Those results bode well for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc, which is due to post second-quarter results next week. Its stock surged 5.3%.</p>\n<p>Other high-profile earnings expected next week include Tesla Inc, Apple Inc, Alphabet Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com.</p>\n<p>Industrials Lockheed Martin Corp, Boeing Co, Ford Motor Co, General Dynamics Corp, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a> Co Caterpillar Inc, Chevron Corp and Exxon Mobil Corp, along with a host of healthcare, consumer goods and others, are also on deck.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.59-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 82 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 81 new highs and 136 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.72 billion shares, compared with the 10.14 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","EXPR":"Express, Inc.","SNAP":"Snap Inc","TWTR":"Twitter",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153980423","content_text":"* All 3 major indexes post weekly gains\n* Dow closes above 35,000 for first time ever\n* Social media stocks rally after upbeat results\n* Intel sales forecast implies rocky second half\n* Indexes up: Dow 0.68%, S&P 1.01%, Nasdaq 1.04%\nWall Street gained ground for the fourth straight session on Friday, extending a rally that pushed all three major U.S. stock indexes to record closing highs as upbeat earnings and signs of economic revival fueled investor risk appetite.\nThe Dow closed above 35,000 for the first time ever.\n\"We see a continuation of the last couple days. It's roller coaster in reverse. We did the drop first, and we’ve been climbing back to the top ever since,\" said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance in Charlotte, North Carolina.\nGrowth and value stocks seesawed for much of the week as market participants weighed spiking infections of the COVID-19 Delta variant against strong corporate results and signs of economic revival.\n\"There’s push and pull, there’s clearly conflict in the market,\" Zaccarelli added. \"There’s a strong difference of opinion as to whether the future’s bright or whether there are clouds on the horizon.\"\nMarket participants now look toward next week with the Federal Reserve's two-day monetary policy meeting and a series of high-profile earnings.\nThe Fed's statement will be parsed for clues regarding the timeframe for tightening its accommodative policies, although Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said the economy still needs the central bank's full support.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 238.2 points, or 0.68%, to 35,061.55, the S&P 500 gained 44.31 points, or 1.01%, to 4,411.79 and the Nasdaq Composite added 152.39 points, or 1.04%, to 14,836.99.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, all but energy closed green, with communications services enjoying the largest gain, rising 2.7%.\nSecond-quarter reporting season is in full swing, with 120 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.\n\"We’re seeing companies, on average, beat on the top and on the bottom line,\" Zaccarelli said. \"We’re seeing the resilience of the consumer and that’s been the story of the earnings season so far.\"\nAnalysts now expect aggregate year-on-year S&P 500 earnings growth of 78.1% for the April to June period, a sizeable increase from the 54% annual growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.\nChipmaker Intel Corp said late Thursday that it still faces supply constraints and provided disappointing guidance. Its stock fell 5.3%.\nModerna Inc jumped 7.8% after the European Union approved its COVID-19 vaccine for 12- to 17-year-olds.\nAmerican Express Co gained 1.3% after posting second-quarter profit that handily beat expectations on the strength of a global recovery in consumer spending.\nSocial media firms Twitter Inc and Snap Inc advanced 3.0% and 23.8%, respectively, on the back of their upbeat results.\nThose results bode well for Facebook Inc, which is due to post second-quarter results next week. Its stock surged 5.3%.\nOther high-profile earnings expected next week include Tesla Inc, Apple Inc, Alphabet Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com.\nIndustrials Lockheed Martin Corp, Boeing Co, Ford Motor Co, General Dynamics Corp, 3M Co Caterpillar Inc, Chevron Corp and Exxon Mobil Corp, along with a host of healthcare, consumer goods and others, are also on deck.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.59-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 82 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 81 new highs and 136 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.72 billion shares, compared with the 10.14 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955576202,"gmtCreate":1675641424906,"gmtModify":1676539009560,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955576202","repostId":"2309838908","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969194826,"gmtCreate":1668383268965,"gmtModify":1676538046488,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969194826","repostId":"2283448945","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2283448945","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1668380499,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2283448945?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-14 07:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Market Rally Meets Retail Sales and Earnings: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2283448945","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"U.S. stocks are coming off of their best week since June, and Wall Street's ability to extend the wi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks are coming off of their best week since June, and Wall Street's ability to extend the winning streak in days ahead likely hinges on news out of the retail sector.</p><p>Lighter inflation data rekindled investor hopes that a monetary policy shift is near, and key earnings results from retailers and the government’s October report on the sector could put that optimism to the test.</p><p>Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT), and the Home Depot (HD) top a lengthy docket of companies scheduled to unveil third-quarter financials this week.</p><p>The Commerce Department will also publish its monthly retail sales report for October on Wednesday, with economists surveyed by Bloomberg estimating a headline increase of 1.0% after spending was flat during the prior month.</p><p>Bets that Federal Reserve policymakers will pull back on the pace and scale of interest rate hikes after October’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed easing inflation last month helped propel the major averages towards sizable gains. The S&P 500 rose 5.9% for the week, its best five-day performance since the week ending June 24, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 4.2%. The Nasdaq Composite had its best week since March, bouncing 8.1%.</p><p>The moves came after the latest CPI reading placed the annual pace of inflation at 7.7% in October and 0.4% over the month, while “core” CPI – which takes out the volatile food and energy categories – slowed to 6.3% year-over-year and 0.3% over October. The figures were better than Wall Street’s calls for a 7.9% year-over-year rise and 0.5% monthly gain and down meaningfully from September’s numbers.</p><p>While the softer data was met with “an equity market ovation,” as Principal Asset Management Chief Global Strategist Seema Shah put it, strategists — and some members of the Federal Reserve themselves — have asserted that excitement is premature given that other economic data will be revealed before the Fed’s next policy-setting meeting in December.</p><p>“Chair Jay Powell has repeatedly emphasized that the Fed does not put too much weight on a single month’s data,” Andy Sparks, MSCI head of portfolio management research, wrote in a note. “His comments following last week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting likely still reflect current Fed thinking — that a strong labor market continues to support stubbornly high inflation and that the risk of doing too little still outweighs the risk of doing too much.”</p><p>A strong reading on retail sales could derail the market’s push higher: Bloomberg’s consensus economist estimate of a 1.0% jump in the main measure of the monthly report, if realized on Wednesday, would reflect spending remains strong and consumers remain resilient. Investors could interpret that strength as a signal to Fed officials that they have more room for hikes.</p><p>According to Bank of America, two factors account for the anticipated jump in October’s print: another round of Amazon Prime Day and related promotions in addition to July’s event, along with the deployment of one-off stimulus payments in California, which accounts for about one-seventh of the national economy. A pickup in gas spending due to higher prices on gasoline also contributed to the expected increase.</p><p>On the earnings front, Walmart will kick off a big week of retail reports when the retailer reports before the open on Tuesday. Analysts expect that the megastore got a boost from back-to-school shopping, along with more value spending among U.S. consumers weighed down by rising prices. At the same time, results are expected to show pressure from inflation, rising interest rates, and bloated inventories that have plagued many retailers.</p><p>Last quarter, Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said increasing levels of food and fuel inflation were pressuring consumer spending and apparel required more markdown dollars.</p><p>Other consumer names on the earnings deck this week are the Home Depot (HD), Target (TGT), TJX Companies (TJX), BJ's Wholesale (BJ), Gap (GPS), Kohl's (KSS), Macy's (M), and Ross Stores (ROST), among others.</p><p>The market has rewarded positive earnings surprises more than the five-year average, while punishing misses more too, as Wall Street prices in more downside risk as recession fears grow.</p><p>As of Friday, 91% of companies in the S&P 500 have reported third quarter earnings, with 69% reporting actual earnings per share above the mean estimate — below the five-year average of 77% that beat, per FactSet Research. Companies whose results came in better-than-feared saw an average increase in their stock price 2.4% two days before the earnings release through two days after the earnings release, meaningfully higher than the five-year average price increase of 0.9% for companies reporting earnings beats during the same window.</p><p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f75c75d7452d215bcfc59a3cf96fc0a2\" tg-width=\"1376\" tg-height=\"792\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The market is rewarding positive EPS surprises in Q3 more than average for S&P 500 companies. (Source: FactSet Research)</p><p>FactSet Research</p><p>Elsewhere in economic data, the Producer Price Index (PPI), a reading on inflation from the production side of the economy, is due out Tuesday. PPI, which measures the change in prices paid to U.S. producers of goods and services, is expected to have cooled last month. The week will also be jam-packed with housing data, including readings on housing starts, building permits, and existing home sales.</p><p>—</p><h2>Economic Calendar</h2><p><b>Monday: </b><i>No notable economic data scheduled for release.</i></p><p><b>Tuesday</b>: <b><i>Empire Manufacturing</i></b>, November (-5.5 expected, -9.1 during prior month); <b><i>PPI Final Demand</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, 0.4% during prior month); <b><i>PPI Excluding Food and Energy</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.4% expected, 0.3% during prior month); <b><i>PPI Excluding Food, Energy, and Trade</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.2% expected, 0.4% during prior month); <b><i>PPI Final Demand</i></b>, year-over-year, October (8.4% expected, 8.5% during prior month); <b><i>PPI Excluding Food and Energy</i></b>, year-over-year, October (7.2% expected, 7.2% during prior month); <b><i>PPI Excluding Food, Energy, and Trade</i></b>, year-over-year, October (5.5% expected, 5.6% during prior month); <b><i>Bloomberg Nov. United States Economic Survey</i></b></p><p><b>Wednesday: </b><b><i>MBA Mortgage Applications</i></b>, week ended Nov. 11 (-0.1% during prior week); <b><i>Retail Sales Advance</i></b>, month-over-month, October (1.0% expected, 0.0% during prior month); <b><i>Retail Sales Excluding Autos</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, 0.1% during prior month); <b><i>Retail Sales Excluding Autos and Gas</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); <b><i>Retail Sales Control Group</i></b>, October (0.3% expected, 0.4% during prior month); <b><i>Import Price Index</i></b>, month-over-month, October (-0.5% expected, -1.2% during prior month); <b><i>Import Price Index Excluding Petroleum</i></b>, month-over-month, October (-0.8% expected, -0.5% during prior month); <b><i>Import Price Index</i></b>, year-over-year, October (4.0% expected, 6.0% during prior month); <b><i>Export Price Index</i></b>, month-over-month, October (-0.2% expected, -0.8% during prior month); <b><i>Export Price Index</i></b>, year-over-year, October (9.5% during prior month); <b><i>Industrial Production</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.1% expected, 0.4% during prior month); <b><i>Capacity Utilization</i></b>, October (80.4% expected, 80.3% during prior month); <b><i>Manufacturing (SIC) Production</i></b>, October (0.2% expected, 0.4% during prior month); <b><i>Business Inventories</i></b>, September (0.5% expected, 0.8% during prior month); NAHB Housing Market Index, November (36 expected, 38 during prior month); <b><i>Net Long-Term TIC Flows</i></b>, September ($197.9 billion), <b><i>Total Net TIC Flows</i></b>, September ($275.6 billion)</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> <b><i>Housing Starts</i></b>, October (1.412 million expected, 1.439 during prior month); <b><i>Building Permits</i></b>, October (1.515 million expected, 1.564 million during prior month, upwardly revised to 1.696 million); <b><i>Housing Starts</i></b>, month-over-month, October (-1.9% expected, -8.1% during prior month); <b><i>Building Permits</i></b>, month-over-month, October (-3.1% expected, -1.4% during prior month); <b><i>Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Index</i></b>, November (-6.0 expected, -8.7 during prior month); <b><i>Initial Jobless Claims</i></b>, week ended Nov. 12 (221,000 expected, 225,000 during prior week); <b><i>Continuing Claims</i></b>, week ended Nov. 5 (1.493 during prior week); <b><i>Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity</i></b>, November (-7 expected, -7 during prior month)</p><p><b>Friday:</b><b><i> Existing Home Sales</i></b>, October (4.37 million expected, 4.71 million during prior month); <b><i>Existing Home Sales</i></b>, month-over-month, October (-7.3% expected, -1.5% during prior month); <b><i>Leading Index</i></b>, October (-0.4% expected, -0.4% in during prior month)</p><p>—</p><h2><b>Earnings Calendar</b></h2><h2></h2><p><b>Monday:</b> J&J Snack Foods (JJSF), Oatly Group (OTLY), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">Tower</a> Semiconductor (TSEM), Weber (WEBR)</p><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Home Depot (HD), Walmart (WMT), Advance Auto Parts (AAP), Energizer (ENR), Krispy Kreme (DNUT), Tencent Music (TME)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> Cisco Systems (CSCO), Bath & Body Works (BBWI), Helmerich & Payne (HP), Lowe's (LOW), Manchester United (MANU), Nvidia (NVDA), Sonos (SONO), Target (TGT), TJX Companies (TJX), Victoria's Secret (VSCO), Williams-Sonoma (WSM)</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> Alibaba Group (BABA), BJ's Wholesale (BJ), Dole (DOLE), Farfetch (FTCH), Gap (GPS), Kohl's (KSS), Macy's (M), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks</a> (PANW), Ross Stores (ROST), The Children's Place (PLCE)</p><p><b>Friday:</b> Foot Locker (FL), JD.com (JD)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Market Rally Meets Retail Sales and Earnings: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-14 07:01 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-retail-what-to-know-this-week-163022612.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks are coming off of their best week since June, and Wall Street's ability to extend the winning streak in days ahead likely hinges on news out of the retail sector.Lighter inflation data ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-retail-what-to-know-this-week-163022612.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WMT":"沃尔玛","XLY":"消费品指数ETF-SPDR可选消费品",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-retail-what-to-know-this-week-163022612.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2283448945","content_text":"U.S. stocks are coming off of their best week since June, and Wall Street's ability to extend the winning streak in days ahead likely hinges on news out of the retail sector.Lighter inflation data rekindled investor hopes that a monetary policy shift is near, and key earnings results from retailers and the government’s October report on the sector could put that optimism to the test.Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT), and the Home Depot (HD) top a lengthy docket of companies scheduled to unveil third-quarter financials this week.The Commerce Department will also publish its monthly retail sales report for October on Wednesday, with economists surveyed by Bloomberg estimating a headline increase of 1.0% after spending was flat during the prior month.Bets that Federal Reserve policymakers will pull back on the pace and scale of interest rate hikes after October’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed easing inflation last month helped propel the major averages towards sizable gains. The S&P 500 rose 5.9% for the week, its best five-day performance since the week ending June 24, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 4.2%. The Nasdaq Composite had its best week since March, bouncing 8.1%.The moves came after the latest CPI reading placed the annual pace of inflation at 7.7% in October and 0.4% over the month, while “core” CPI – which takes out the volatile food and energy categories – slowed to 6.3% year-over-year and 0.3% over October. The figures were better than Wall Street’s calls for a 7.9% year-over-year rise and 0.5% monthly gain and down meaningfully from September’s numbers.While the softer data was met with “an equity market ovation,” as Principal Asset Management Chief Global Strategist Seema Shah put it, strategists — and some members of the Federal Reserve themselves — have asserted that excitement is premature given that other economic data will be revealed before the Fed’s next policy-setting meeting in December.“Chair Jay Powell has repeatedly emphasized that the Fed does not put too much weight on a single month’s data,” Andy Sparks, MSCI head of portfolio management research, wrote in a note. “His comments following last week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting likely still reflect current Fed thinking — that a strong labor market continues to support stubbornly high inflation and that the risk of doing too little still outweighs the risk of doing too much.”A strong reading on retail sales could derail the market’s push higher: Bloomberg’s consensus economist estimate of a 1.0% jump in the main measure of the monthly report, if realized on Wednesday, would reflect spending remains strong and consumers remain resilient. Investors could interpret that strength as a signal to Fed officials that they have more room for hikes.According to Bank of America, two factors account for the anticipated jump in October’s print: another round of Amazon Prime Day and related promotions in addition to July’s event, along with the deployment of one-off stimulus payments in California, which accounts for about one-seventh of the national economy. A pickup in gas spending due to higher prices on gasoline also contributed to the expected increase.On the earnings front, Walmart will kick off a big week of retail reports when the retailer reports before the open on Tuesday. Analysts expect that the megastore got a boost from back-to-school shopping, along with more value spending among U.S. consumers weighed down by rising prices. At the same time, results are expected to show pressure from inflation, rising interest rates, and bloated inventories that have plagued many retailers.Last quarter, Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said increasing levels of food and fuel inflation were pressuring consumer spending and apparel required more markdown dollars.Other consumer names on the earnings deck this week are the Home Depot (HD), Target (TGT), TJX Companies (TJX), BJ's Wholesale (BJ), Gap (GPS), Kohl's (KSS), Macy's (M), and Ross Stores (ROST), among others.The market has rewarded positive earnings surprises more than the five-year average, while punishing misses more too, as Wall Street prices in more downside risk as recession fears grow.As of Friday, 91% of companies in the S&P 500 have reported third quarter earnings, with 69% reporting actual earnings per share above the mean estimate — below the five-year average of 77% that beat, per FactSet Research. Companies whose results came in better-than-feared saw an average increase in their stock price 2.4% two days before the earnings release through two days after the earnings release, meaningfully higher than the five-year average price increase of 0.9% for companies reporting earnings beats during the same window.The market is rewarding positive EPS surprises in Q3 more than average for S&P 500 companies. (Source: FactSet Research)FactSet ResearchElsewhere in economic data, the Producer Price Index (PPI), a reading on inflation from the production side of the economy, is due out Tuesday. PPI, which measures the change in prices paid to U.S. producers of goods and services, is expected to have cooled last month. The week will also be jam-packed with housing data, including readings on housing starts, building permits, and existing home sales.—Economic CalendarMonday: No notable economic data scheduled for release.Tuesday: Empire Manufacturing, November (-5.5 expected, -9.1 during prior month); PPI Final Demand, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, 0.4% during prior month); PPI Excluding Food and Energy, month-over-month, October (0.4% expected, 0.3% during prior month); PPI Excluding Food, Energy, and Trade, month-over-month, October (0.2% expected, 0.4% during prior month); PPI Final Demand, year-over-year, October (8.4% expected, 8.5% during prior month); PPI Excluding Food and Energy, year-over-year, October (7.2% expected, 7.2% during prior month); PPI Excluding Food, Energy, and Trade, year-over-year, October (5.5% expected, 5.6% during prior month); Bloomberg Nov. United States Economic SurveyWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Nov. 11 (-0.1% during prior week); Retail Sales Advance, month-over-month, October (1.0% expected, 0.0% during prior month); Retail Sales Excluding Autos, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, 0.1% during prior month); Retail Sales Excluding Autos and Gas, month-over-month, October (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); Retail Sales Control Group, October (0.3% expected, 0.4% during prior month); Import Price Index, month-over-month, October (-0.5% expected, -1.2% during prior month); Import Price Index Excluding Petroleum, month-over-month, October (-0.8% expected, -0.5% during prior month); Import Price Index, year-over-year, October (4.0% expected, 6.0% during prior month); Export Price Index, month-over-month, October (-0.2% expected, -0.8% during prior month); Export Price Index, year-over-year, October (9.5% during prior month); Industrial Production, month-over-month, October (0.1% expected, 0.4% during prior month); Capacity Utilization, October (80.4% expected, 80.3% during prior month); Manufacturing (SIC) Production, October (0.2% expected, 0.4% during prior month); Business Inventories, September (0.5% expected, 0.8% during prior month); NAHB Housing Market Index, November (36 expected, 38 during prior month); Net Long-Term TIC Flows, September ($197.9 billion), Total Net TIC Flows, September ($275.6 billion)Thursday: Housing Starts, October (1.412 million expected, 1.439 during prior month); Building Permits, October (1.515 million expected, 1.564 million during prior month, upwardly revised to 1.696 million); Housing Starts, month-over-month, October (-1.9% expected, -8.1% during prior month); Building Permits, month-over-month, October (-3.1% expected, -1.4% during prior month); Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Index, November (-6.0 expected, -8.7 during prior month); Initial Jobless Claims, week ended Nov. 12 (221,000 expected, 225,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims, week ended Nov. 5 (1.493 during prior week); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity, November (-7 expected, -7 during prior month)Friday: Existing Home Sales, October (4.37 million expected, 4.71 million during prior month); Existing Home Sales, month-over-month, October (-7.3% expected, -1.5% during prior month); Leading Index, October (-0.4% expected, -0.4% in during prior month)—Earnings CalendarMonday: J&J Snack Foods (JJSF), Oatly Group (OTLY), Tower Semiconductor (TSEM), Weber (WEBR)Tuesday: Home Depot (HD), Walmart (WMT), Advance Auto Parts (AAP), Energizer (ENR), Krispy Kreme (DNUT), Tencent Music (TME)Wednesday: Cisco Systems (CSCO), Bath & Body Works (BBWI), Helmerich & Payne (HP), Lowe's (LOW), Manchester United (MANU), Nvidia (NVDA), Sonos (SONO), Target (TGT), TJX Companies (TJX), Victoria's Secret (VSCO), Williams-Sonoma (WSM)Thursday: Alibaba Group (BABA), BJ's Wholesale (BJ), Dole (DOLE), Farfetch (FTCH), Gap (GPS), Kohl's (KSS), Macy's (M), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), Ross Stores (ROST), The Children's Place (PLCE)Friday: Foot Locker (FL), JD.com (JD)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":93,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969395641,"gmtCreate":1668345825784,"gmtModify":1676538043456,"author":{"id":"3579499293913149","authorId":"3579499293913149","name":"TJTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b35867ea0bdab884a0a2a77afaebc5a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579499293913149","idStr":"3579499293913149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969395641","repostId":"1190456060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190456060","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668302284,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190456060?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-13 09:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190456060","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean?","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Large 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.</li><li>Major bottoms require a policy change.</li><li>The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d234d2c3a6fdd66410e8c4fdc86a25\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>gonin/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><h2>The top 20: daily returns for S&P500</h2><p>The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let's first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&P500:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a00554a6ad210b0ab26216de0667def\" tg-width=\"927\" tg-height=\"1314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>As you can see from the list above,</p><ul><li>12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.</li><li>8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.</li><li>2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.</li></ul><p>Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.</p><h2>The major bottom thesis</h2><p>The major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.</p><p>The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.</p><p>As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed's monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed's tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.</p><p>The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It's true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.</p><p>However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether "something will break" during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.</p><h2>The recessionary selloff</h2><p>The S&P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.</p><p>Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.</p><p>Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ef81e28bf62d769ca5f75f29feb339\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>FRED</span></p><p>Based on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.</p><h2>Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?</h2><p>The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.</p><p>The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.</p><p>But don't count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.</p><p>But don't expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it's more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it's more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.</p><h2>It's a bear market rally</h2><p>We are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of "things breaking" like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.</p><p>Bear market rallies happen during the "in-between periods", so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don't think anybody expects this over the near term. Don't fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.</p><h2>SPY sector analysis</h2><p>AllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d11bae7fc6e9bba3dee9e588bd902bb1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SelectSectorSPDR</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-13 09:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190456060","content_text":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let's first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&P500:As you can see from the list above,12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.The major bottom thesisThe major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed's monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed's tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It's true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether \"something will break\" during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.The recessionary selloffThe S&P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:FREDBased on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.But don't count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.But don't expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it's more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it's more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.It's a bear market rallyWe are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of \"things breaking\" like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.Bear market rallies happen during the \"in-between periods\", so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don't think anybody expects this over the near term. Don't fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.SPY sector analysisAllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.SelectSectorSPDR","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}