Omega88
Omega88
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avatarOmega88
02-06
Is it time to sell your Nvidia's stock? The introduction of AI has resulted in huge rally in most semiconductor-related stocks. Notably, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$   was one of the biggest winners gaining ~230+% in a year due to the significant improvement in its quarterly revenue. However, the AI competition is getting more intense and do they still deserve a premium to their current valuation?? For instance, OpenAI is exploring making its own AI chips and also considering options to diversify its suppliers beyond Nvidia. Furthermore, their close competitors such as $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  and Intel are developing their
avatarOmega88
01-23
Will China stocks rebound?? China govt is implementing various strategies to stabilize markets and boost confidence. It called for better regulations, more transparency and an attempt to improve the quality of listed companies. Most people would argue that the China stocks are deeply undervalued and it presents a golden opportunity to accumulate more. However, the recent crackdown of the gaming sector resulted in heavy selling of Tencent's and Netease's shares and showed that China itself still poses a huge policy risk! Furthermore, the post-covid recovery of China's economy has so far fallen short of expectations, plagued by real estate crisis, debt risks and high youth unemployment. China's economic recovery has been uneven this year, with a brisk start in the first quarter fading q
avatarOmega88
2023-09-25
Buying EV stocks is like having a roller-coaster ride! Most of the EV companies remain unprofitable and yet they are still burning more cash to build up on their infrastructure and expansion. A recent example is NIO trying yo raise US$3 billion from its investors. Furthermore, the ongoing price war is likely to hurt their profit margin even further and they are likely to remain unprofitable in the near future. Like most new industries, eventually only a few companies would emerge victorious! A few EV companies (Lordstown Motors, Proterra) have declared bankruptcy recently and I'm sure there's more to come. Unlike Tesla, most EV companies clearly have issues scaling up their production significantly. The competition in the EV market has intensified as numerous traditional car markers (Merc
avatarOmega88
2023-10-10
Can you make your own AI chips?? Since the introduction of ChatGPT last November, the semiconductor industry has witnessed a huge rally due to AI hype! Notably, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ was the biggest winner gaining ~220% YTD due to the significant improvement in its quarterly revenue. However, most semiconductor companies are not reporting a significant increase in the revenue. There's reports citing that OpenAI, an AI leader backed by Microsoft (MSFT) whose launch of the ChatGPT chatbot kicked off an AI investing frenzy, is exploring making its own AI chips. Amid a shortage of chips to fuel AI growth, OpenAI is also considering options to diversify its suppliers beyond Nvidia.  While NVIDI
avatarOmega88
2023-10-03
Could this be a multi-bagger stock in a few years?? Most of these EV companies are still unprofitable, it's likely to hurt their profit margin even further with the increasing price wars, and they are likely to remain unprofitable in the near future. Unlike $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and BYD, most EV companies clearly have issues scaling up their production significantly. The competition in the EV market has intensified as numerous traditional car markers (Mercedes-Benz, BMW etc) are also investing and building more EV units. The key question is what is a fair valuation for these EV companies? How fast can it grow over the next few years? Like any new industry, eventually there will only be few survivors. The EV industry is a cash-burning business,
avatarOmega88
2023-10-16
Have we reached the bottom for AI-related semiconductor stocks? Using TSMC monthly revenue as a reference, we can see most of the monthly revenue are down yoy. Furthermore, the profit margin based on net income/gross income is also on a downtrend (from Q2 2022: 46.5%, Q1 2023: 40.0%, Q2 2023: 37.8%). Remember to look out for Q3 results on 19 Oct 2023!  The escalating tensions between US and China is likely to affect the semiconductor industries and export bans may lead to further downside for most semiconductor companies. When everyone seem to be in a strong buying mood! Remember to be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful!! The AI bubble is slowly forming and I believe most semiconductor stocks are not at a fair value.  No doubt the stock will con
avatarOmega88
04-17
Impending short squeeze?! First of all, what is a short squeeze?? It is a situation in which the price of a stock rises to such an extent that investors who have sold short purchase the stock in order to limit their losses, causing the price to rise further. The share price of $Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$   has dropped around 90+% YTD since the beginning of year 2024. Its market cap is currently at ~$4million and has a high short interest of ~86% (36.3 mil out of 42 mil shares,were shorted as of 15 Feb 2024). https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/ffie/short-interest Although it only sold 10 cars to date, the company is selling highly niche ultra-luxury cars. One FF 91 2.0 Futuris
avatarOmega88
04-17
$Blackstone Group LP(BX)$   Largest alternative asset management with more than 1 trillion AUM! I love businesses that can generate increasing revenues!! It focuses on alternative investment and currently had US$1.04 trillion AUM. Based on their last earning report, they have 4 core pillars; real estate (US$336.9 billion, up 3.3% yoy), private equity (US$304 billion, up 5.2% yoy), credit and insurance (US$318.9 billion, up 13.9% yoy), hedge fund solutions (US$80.3 billion, up 0.75% yoy). ▪Total AUM increased to $1,040 billion, up 7% year-over-year, with $52.7 billion of inflows in the quarter and $148.5 billion for the year ▪Fee-Earning AUM of $762.6 billion was up 6% year-over-year, with $44.6 billion of inflows in the quarter and $119.4 billi
avatarOmega88
2023-08-14
Price wars among EV conpanies!! Like most new industries, eventually only a few companies would emerge victorious! A few EV companies (Lordstown Motors, Proterra) have declared bankruptcy recently and I'm sure there's more to come. Most of these EV companies are still unprofitable, it's likely to hurt their profit margin even further with the increasing price wars, and they are likely to remain unprofitable in the near future.  Unlike $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , most EV companies clearly have issues scaling up their production significantly. The competition in the EV market has intensified as numerous traditional car markers (Mercedes-Benz, BMW etc) are also investing and building more EV units.  Using
avatarOmega88
2023-08-24
Jackson Hole 2023!!  All eyes will be on Powell's speech, US July CPI has only increased by 3.2% which is getting close to the 2% target set by the Fed. However, the Fed may not be pausing its interest rate hike soon and it's likely to cause the market to drop further. The market is always unpredictable; it may start to fall when everyone is optimistic. Just like what happened after Nvidia's Q2 earnings. It was a huge jump in revenue but the market is selling down now. It's market manipulation at its best!! On the other hand, it may start to rise when everyone is pessimistic! Hence, It's good to always invest regularly as no one can accurately predict the market. Even during a bull run, you should only invest in good stocks with fair valuation and don't have the "fear of missing out"
avatarOmega88
03-16
Buying EV stocks is like having a roller-coaster ride! Most of the EV companies remain unprofitable and yet they are still burning more cash to build up on their infrastructure and expansion. A few EV companies (Lordstown Motors, Proterra) have declared bankruptcy recently and the next potential in line is EV start-up company Fisker.  Furthermore, the ongoing price war is likely to hurt their profit margin even further and they are likely to remain unprofitable in the near future. Like most new industries, eventually only a few companies would emerge victorious! . Unlike BYD, Tesla or Li Auto, most EV companies clearly have issues scaling up their production significantly. The competition in the EV market has intensified as numerous traditional car markers (Mercedes-Benz, BMW etc
avatarOmega88
2022-09-14
Inflation is one of the key reason behind the marlet sell-down since Jan 2022. Crude oil which is the #1 factor behind inflation has stabilized around USD80+/barrel. The property market in US have also witnessed a significant drop in transaction volume due to rising interest rates. Furthermore, other factors such as corn, wheat prices have fallen back to pre- Russia-Ukraine war prices.The released Aug inflation data is 8.2%, hence inflation has likely peaked in June! Although the drop in inflation is not huge, there's good sign that it is gradually slowing down. Everyone is expecting a 75 basis point interest hike during 20- 21 September meeting. Will there be a surprise 100 basis point interest hike?? After which, the million dollar question is when will the Fed slow down on the
avatarOmega88
2022-01-31
$Crocs(CROX)$be greedy when others are fearful! How much more can it drop?
avatarOmega88
2022-08-22
I would say I profit more from value investing than from speculation, but the loss is also more from value investing! Why do I say that? The amount of funds that I used for value investing is significantly higher than speculative stocks! I have only started investing around Oct 2020 after the market has started to recover from the Covid-19 bear rally. As a beginner, there's so many stocks to choose from and Im totally overwhelmed! Of course I started with local SGX stocks first and my choice was $Nikko AM STI ETF(G3B.SI)$, which consists of top 3 banks, Singtel etc. That proves to be a great choice as the share prices of most SGX stocks were at their all-time low and the returns were quite significant over a few weeks.Feeling more conf
avatarOmega88
2022-06-30
$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$I'm sure most of you here would have seen the news that the local banks are increasing the interest rate for the housing loan. DBS, Singapore's largest lender, is raising the rates for its two- and three-year fixed rate packages to 2.75 per cent. Similarly, UOB raised the rate on its three-year fixed rate package to 3.08 per cent per annum, up from 2.8 per cent previously.We have seen crazy buying spree for the HDB open market in the last few years and I'm sure most people would have switched over to bank loans (to take advantage of the low interest rate of 1+%). Now, the tide has turned. Too bad, it is impossible to take up housing loan from HDB again, and most home-buyers would have to suck thumb and pay fo
avatarOmega88
2022-08-02
$Aztech Gbl(8AZ.SI)$hi tiger brothers and sisters, today I'm going to share a potential growth stock with 5+% dividend yield (less than 50% of profit is distributed as dividend payout). Sounds too good to be true right?? $Aztech Gbl(8AZ.SI)$has just released its 1H 2022 result on 25 July 2022. They managed to achieve S$364.6 mil revenue (up 46% yoy from S$249.7mil) and net profit of S$42.8 mil (up 45.7% yoy from S$29.4mil). EPS is S$0.055 (up 34.7% yoy from S$0.0412). Despite the impressive earnings, you will be surprised that the share price is down ~26.3% yoy from $1.22 to current price of $0.90. Furthermore, its orderbook grew 16% from S$827 mil (at 25 Jul 2022) vs S$713 mil (at 18 Apr 20
avatarOmega88
2022-07-17
$Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF(XYLD)$Hi tiger brothers and sisters, today I'll share a US stock with all of you! If you have excess USD and have no idea what to buy in today's volatile market, let me introduce a covered call etf that can generate a steady stream of income monthly! Covered calls are an excellent form of insurance against potential trouble in the markets. When an investor with a long position in a particular asset sells a call option for that asset, generating a profit in the process, it is considered a covered call.$Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF(XYLD)$ seeks to generate income through covered call writing, which historically produces higher yields in periods of vo
avatarOmega88
2023-08-22
All eyes on Nvidia!! Since the release of ChatGPT in Nov 2022, the semiconductor sector has been on a huge rally. Is it a good time to take profit? Using $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ as an example, the revenue for Q1 2024 was 7.2 billion (which is down 13% from Q1 2023 revenue of 8.3 billion) and the diluted non-GAAP EPS was down 20% yoy from 1.36 to 1.09. On the other hand, the revenue outlook for Q2 2024 is 11 billion (which is an increase of 53% qoq), which might explain the huge gain after-market as the market is forward-looking. The revenue for data centre remains robust up 14% yoy and up 18% qoq, gaming segment saw a decrease of 38% yoy and 22% qoq, metaverse segment saw a decrease of 53% yoy but up 31% qoq, automotive
avatarOmega88
07-16
Potential influence of Trump winning the election!  After the news of Trump assassination were released, numerous stocks such as crypto stocks, gun stocks and shares of other meme companies rallied as it boosted expectations he would win the November election. Notably, one of the most popular meme stocks like $Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$  experienced a huge surge of more than 22% even though its cash balance is running low and it might be the next potential EV company to bite the dust. Long-dated U.S. bond yields rose on expectations that Trump policies would drive up government debt and stoke inflation. U.S. voters view Trump as the better candidate for the economy, even as Biden's White Hou
avatarOmega88
2023-01-11
I have seen disappointment post regarding the Football Season game. Just want to share some thoughts.  To be fair, Tiger did replenish the vouchers on each Monday 12pm but of course the higher the voucher value the lower the number of replenished voucher. They have already allocated USD$200,000 for this event.  I was accumulating points for $200 voucher like most people did, but as I was slower than other Tiger users in redeeming the vouchers, hence I have to settle for lower value. $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$  has already allocated a fixed amount of money as monetary incentive, hence it's also unfair that they get blamed as the redemption is on first come first serve basis. If everyone were to redeem $200, where do th

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