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2021-06-12
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Apple: Why Shares Are Struggling
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If you had told someone that technology giant Apple (AAPL) would have reported two of the biggest earnings beats in corporate history so far this year and yet the stock would have significantly underperformed the NASDAQ Index, they might not have believed you. However, that's just where we are now, as the chart below shows how the stock has declined 5.1% through Monday despite the Index's nice gains. Today, I'd like to discuss why I believe shares are doing poorly at the moment, why these bearish points should be mostly discounted, and how Apple can get back to all-time highs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c4a0333188c18d1f43e4e85b41523a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"272\">(<i>Source: Yahoo! Finance)</i></p>\n<p>The first thing I can point to as a reason for underperformance is actually outperformance. Apple shares over the past five years, prior to the start of this one, had gone from the mid $20s (dividend and split-adjusted) to roughly $132 a share. The stock was a big winner and thus expectations continued to go higher and higher. Some investors just weren't willing to bet on a company worth a bit more than $2 trillion, and a number of last year's winners have struggled so far this year, like Tesla (TSLA) and Amazon (AMZN).</p>\n<p>In my last Apple article, I discussed how the company was becominga victim of its own success. Because the two earnings reports so far this year were so great, the thought process has shifted to can Apple ever do any better? In this case, I'm not talking about strict dollar amounts, but growth percentages. Look at the chart below, showing how once we hit the December 2021 (fiscal Q1 2022) quarter, revenue growth rates are expected to crash down.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b61b66cfb83a8e7f307580dd6277be6\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"397\">(<i>Source: Seeking Alpha estimates page,seen here)</i></p>\n<p>I said previously that Apple bears would jump at the possibility of Apple announcing a revenue decline for the March 2022 fiscal quarter, even if it is due to the previous year being one of the best quarters we've ever seen. Fortunately, Apple's overall revenue trajectory remains strong, and I think management has a solid plan in place. Just like we saw with the iPad earlier this year, I think new storage options on this year's iPhones will allow for average selling price upside, offsetting some concerns of a supercycle sales slowdown.</p>\n<p>Also, despite Apple having a great start to the year, Macmarket share wasonly 8% in calendar Q1, so imagine how much more room there is to grow in the PC space. I'm not concerned with a revenue blip every now and then if the long-term trajectory is still for more records, which is what most expectations call for in the coming years.</p>\n<p>The second item I believe investors are a little worried about is the potential for rising taxes. The first part of this would obviously be higher taxes on the rich, especially capital gains taxes, that could limit investment in stocks. For Apple though, the issue would be higher corporate taxes, which obviously would impact the profit monster. For instance, the difference between an overall tax rate of 15% versus 18% for Apple in its fiscal 2022 year (based on current estimates) is roughly $3 billion in net income, or almost 20 cents in EPS. A nickel per quarter headwind makes it harder to impress investors, especially when you are coming off the best year in your history.</p>\n<p>In a similar manner, investors are likely concerned about the potential rise in interest rates and ending of easy money policies around the globe. Stocks have been pushed to new all-time highs as a result, but what happens when the Fed starts to taper and other central banks follow suit? Apple shares had run to a forward P/E valuation in the low to mid 30s, well above themid-teens figure it was at just a few years ago.</p>\n<p>But with the decline in shares from their highs and the rise in EPS estimates after two large beats, you are now paying about 24 times the next twelve months' expected EPS. That's not a terrible price to pay considering the total package, including the massive buyback, and theaverage analyst price targetrepresents more than $30 upside from current levels. Interestingly enough, rising interest rates are actually good further down the Apple income statement, as its $80 billion or so in net cash will generate a bit of extra interest.</p>\n<p>Right now, Apple shares are stuck in a trading range, as the chart below shows. The 50-day moving average (purple line) is forming resistance, while the 200-day (orange line) is forming support. The next major move can occur once Apple can get out of this channel, and investors are hoping it is to the upside, which could form the base to get the stock to new highs. If shares drop, the 50-day could cross below its longer-term counterpart, which would be the dreaded technical death cross.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1e9824e0460f9dd99f18e189ee0cff4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"269\">(<i>Source: Yahoo! Finance)</i></p>\n<p>While Apple as a business has been firing on all cylinders lately, the same cannot be said for shares of the stock. After a massive multi-year rally, it seems that investors are worried about tough growth comparisons coming up, rising interest rates, and higher corporate taxes. While these fears are something to keep in mind, the valuation of the name has improved to a point where they should mostly be digested. Now, the stock just needs to break out of its recent trading range, and getting above the 50-day could be the catalyst to get the name going again.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Why Shares Are Struggling</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Why Shares Are Struggling\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-09 17:12 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nStock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.\nHigh growth bar and rising taxes may be the two biggest culprits.\nShares need to break out of their technical range.\n\nWe are just a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1181136591","content_text":"Summary\n\nStock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.\nHigh growth bar and rising taxes may be the two biggest culprits.\nShares need to break out of their technical range.\n\nWe are just a few weeks away from the midpoint of 2021. If you had told someone that technology giant Apple (AAPL) would have reported two of the biggest earnings beats in corporate history so far this year and yet the stock would have significantly underperformed the NASDAQ Index, they might not have believed you. However, that's just where we are now, as the chart below shows how the stock has declined 5.1% through Monday despite the Index's nice gains. Today, I'd like to discuss why I believe shares are doing poorly at the moment, why these bearish points should be mostly discounted, and how Apple can get back to all-time highs.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nThe first thing I can point to as a reason for underperformance is actually outperformance. Apple shares over the past five years, prior to the start of this one, had gone from the mid $20s (dividend and split-adjusted) to roughly $132 a share. The stock was a big winner and thus expectations continued to go higher and higher. Some investors just weren't willing to bet on a company worth a bit more than $2 trillion, and a number of last year's winners have struggled so far this year, like Tesla (TSLA) and Amazon (AMZN).\nIn my last Apple article, I discussed how the company was becominga victim of its own success. Because the two earnings reports so far this year were so great, the thought process has shifted to can Apple ever do any better? In this case, I'm not talking about strict dollar amounts, but growth percentages. Look at the chart below, showing how once we hit the December 2021 (fiscal Q1 2022) quarter, revenue growth rates are expected to crash down.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha estimates page,seen here)\nI said previously that Apple bears would jump at the possibility of Apple announcing a revenue decline for the March 2022 fiscal quarter, even if it is due to the previous year being one of the best quarters we've ever seen. Fortunately, Apple's overall revenue trajectory remains strong, and I think management has a solid plan in place. Just like we saw with the iPad earlier this year, I think new storage options on this year's iPhones will allow for average selling price upside, offsetting some concerns of a supercycle sales slowdown.\nAlso, despite Apple having a great start to the year, Macmarket share wasonly 8% in calendar Q1, so imagine how much more room there is to grow in the PC space. I'm not concerned with a revenue blip every now and then if the long-term trajectory is still for more records, which is what most expectations call for in the coming years.\nThe second item I believe investors are a little worried about is the potential for rising taxes. The first part of this would obviously be higher taxes on the rich, especially capital gains taxes, that could limit investment in stocks. For Apple though, the issue would be higher corporate taxes, which obviously would impact the profit monster. For instance, the difference between an overall tax rate of 15% versus 18% for Apple in its fiscal 2022 year (based on current estimates) is roughly $3 billion in net income, or almost 20 cents in EPS. A nickel per quarter headwind makes it harder to impress investors, especially when you are coming off the best year in your history.\nIn a similar manner, investors are likely concerned about the potential rise in interest rates and ending of easy money policies around the globe. Stocks have been pushed to new all-time highs as a result, but what happens when the Fed starts to taper and other central banks follow suit? Apple shares had run to a forward P/E valuation in the low to mid 30s, well above themid-teens figure it was at just a few years ago.\nBut with the decline in shares from their highs and the rise in EPS estimates after two large beats, you are now paying about 24 times the next twelve months' expected EPS. That's not a terrible price to pay considering the total package, including the massive buyback, and theaverage analyst price targetrepresents more than $30 upside from current levels. Interestingly enough, rising interest rates are actually good further down the Apple income statement, as its $80 billion or so in net cash will generate a bit of extra interest.\nRight now, Apple shares are stuck in a trading range, as the chart below shows. The 50-day moving average (purple line) is forming resistance, while the 200-day (orange line) is forming support. The next major move can occur once Apple can get out of this channel, and investors are hoping it is to the upside, which could form the base to get the stock to new highs. If shares drop, the 50-day could cross below its longer-term counterpart, which would be the dreaded technical death cross.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nWhile Apple as a business has been firing on all cylinders lately, the same cannot be said for shares of the stock. After a massive multi-year rally, it seems that investors are worried about tough growth comparisons coming up, rising interest rates, and higher corporate taxes. While these fears are something to keep in mind, the valuation of the name has improved to a point where they should mostly be digested. Now, the stock just needs to break out of its recent trading range, and getting above the 50-day could be the catalyst to get the name going again.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186666242,"gmtCreate":1623493280186,"gmtModify":1704205074491,"author":{"id":"3579859868988047","authorId":"3579859868988047","name":"Wh39","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579859868988047","authorIdStr":"3579859868988047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186666242","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142204074","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1623441637,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142204074?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 04:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P ekes out gains to close languid week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142204074","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, June 11 - The S&P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.Economically sensitive smallcaps and transports notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.For the week, the S&P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.But th","content":"<p>NEW YORK, June 11 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive smallcaps and transports notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.</p>\n<p>For the week, the S&P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.</p>\n<p>But the indexes have been range-bound, with few catalysts to move investor sentiment. Much of the focus centered on Thursday's consumer price data, which eased jitters over the duration of the current inflation wave.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a muted day today,\" Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. \"The summer is settling in, people are slipping out of work early and there’s nothing in the news that’s going to materially drive the market in either direction.\"</p>\n<p>\"So, investors are going to wait until earnings season.\"</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve has repeatedly said that near-term price surges will not metastasize into lasting inflation, an assertion reflected in the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment report released on Friday, which showed inflation expectations easing from last month's spike.</p>\n<p>Investors now turn their attention to the Fed's statement at the conclusion of next week's two-day monetary policy meeting, which will be parsed for clues regarding the central bank's timetable for raising key interest rates.</p>\n<p>\"Our view continues to be that inflationary data is transient and we will be around the 2% mark for the year,\" Pursche added.</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields posted their biggest weekly drop in nearly a year, weighing on the interest-sensitive financial sector in recent sessions.</p>\n<p>The Food and Drug Administration is facing mounting criticism over its \"accelerated approval\" of Biogen Inc's</p>\n<p>Alzheimer's drug Aduhelm without strong evidence of its ability to combat the disease.</p>\n<p>Biogen shares, along with the broader healthcare sector ended the session lower.</p>\n<p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 14.41 points, or 0.04%, to 34,480.65, the S&P 500 gained 8.29 points, or 0.20%, to 4,247.47 and the Nasdaq Composite added 49.09 points, or 0.35%, to 14,069.42.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the biggest percentage drop.</p>\n<p>Much of the trading volume this week was attributable to the ongoing social media-driven \"meme stock\" phenomenon, in which retail investors swarm around heavily shorted stocks.</p>\n<p>But meme stock moves were more muted on Friday, with AMC Entertainment outperforming.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Stephen Culp in New York Additional reporting by Ambar Warrick and Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Matthew Lewis and Cynthia Osterman)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P ekes out gains to close languid week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P ekes out gains to close languid week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-12 04:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK, June 11 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive smallcaps and transports notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.</p>\n<p>For the week, the S&P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.</p>\n<p>But the indexes have been range-bound, with few catalysts to move investor sentiment. Much of the focus centered on Thursday's consumer price data, which eased jitters over the duration of the current inflation wave.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a muted day today,\" Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. \"The summer is settling in, people are slipping out of work early and there’s nothing in the news that’s going to materially drive the market in either direction.\"</p>\n<p>\"So, investors are going to wait until earnings season.\"</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve has repeatedly said that near-term price surges will not metastasize into lasting inflation, an assertion reflected in the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment report released on Friday, which showed inflation expectations easing from last month's spike.</p>\n<p>Investors now turn their attention to the Fed's statement at the conclusion of next week's two-day monetary policy meeting, which will be parsed for clues regarding the central bank's timetable for raising key interest rates.</p>\n<p>\"Our view continues to be that inflationary data is transient and we will be around the 2% mark for the year,\" Pursche added.</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields posted their biggest weekly drop in nearly a year, weighing on the interest-sensitive financial sector in recent sessions.</p>\n<p>The Food and Drug Administration is facing mounting criticism over its \"accelerated approval\" of Biogen Inc's</p>\n<p>Alzheimer's drug Aduhelm without strong evidence of its ability to combat the disease.</p>\n<p>Biogen shares, along with the broader healthcare sector ended the session lower.</p>\n<p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 14.41 points, or 0.04%, to 34,480.65, the S&P 500 gained 8.29 points, or 0.20%, to 4,247.47 and the Nasdaq Composite added 49.09 points, or 0.35%, to 14,069.42.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the biggest percentage drop.</p>\n<p>Much of the trading volume this week was attributable to the ongoing social media-driven \"meme stock\" phenomenon, in which retail investors swarm around heavily shorted stocks.</p>\n<p>But meme stock moves were more muted on Friday, with AMC Entertainment outperforming.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Stephen Culp in New York Additional reporting by Ambar Warrick and Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Matthew Lewis and Cynthia Osterman)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","DOG":"道指反向ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142204074","content_text":"NEW YORK, June 11 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.\nEconomically sensitive smallcaps and transports notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.\nFor the week, the S&P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.\nBut the indexes have been range-bound, with few catalysts to move investor sentiment. Much of the focus centered on Thursday's consumer price data, which eased jitters over the duration of the current inflation wave.\n\"It’s a muted day today,\" Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. \"The summer is settling in, people are slipping out of work early and there’s nothing in the news that’s going to materially drive the market in either direction.\"\n\"So, investors are going to wait until earnings season.\"\nThe Federal Reserve has repeatedly said that near-term price surges will not metastasize into lasting inflation, an assertion reflected in the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment report released on Friday, which showed inflation expectations easing from last month's spike.\nInvestors now turn their attention to the Fed's statement at the conclusion of next week's two-day monetary policy meeting, which will be parsed for clues regarding the central bank's timetable for raising key interest rates.\n\"Our view continues to be that inflationary data is transient and we will be around the 2% mark for the year,\" Pursche added.\nBenchmark U.S. Treasury yields posted their biggest weekly drop in nearly a year, weighing on the interest-sensitive financial sector in recent sessions.\nThe Food and Drug Administration is facing mounting criticism over its \"accelerated approval\" of Biogen Inc's\nAlzheimer's drug Aduhelm without strong evidence of its ability to combat the disease.\nBiogen shares, along with the broader healthcare sector ended the session lower.\nUnofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 14.41 points, or 0.04%, to 34,480.65, the S&P 500 gained 8.29 points, or 0.20%, to 4,247.47 and the Nasdaq Composite added 49.09 points, or 0.35%, to 14,069.42.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the biggest percentage drop.\nMuch of the trading volume this week was attributable to the ongoing social media-driven \"meme stock\" phenomenon, in which retail investors swarm around heavily shorted stocks.\nBut meme stock moves were more muted on Friday, with AMC Entertainment outperforming.\n(Reporting by Stephen Culp in New York Additional reporting by Ambar Warrick and Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Matthew Lewis and Cynthia Osterman)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":186666242,"gmtCreate":1623493280186,"gmtModify":1704205074491,"author":{"id":"3579859868988047","authorId":"3579859868988047","name":"Wh39","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579859868988047","authorIdStr":"3579859868988047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186666242","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186662017,"gmtCreate":1623493324839,"gmtModify":1704205074653,"author":{"id":"3579859868988047","authorId":"3579859868988047","name":"Wh39","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579859868988047","authorIdStr":"3579859868988047"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186662017","repostId":"1181136591","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1181136591","pubTimestamp":1623229921,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1181136591?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-09 17:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Why Shares Are Struggling","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181136591","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nStock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.\nHigh growth bar and rising taxe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Stock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.</li>\n <li>High growth bar and rising taxes may be the two biggest culprits.</li>\n <li>Shares need to break out of their technical range.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>We are just a few weeks away from the midpoint of 2021. If you had told someone that technology giant Apple (AAPL) would have reported two of the biggest earnings beats in corporate history so far this year and yet the stock would have significantly underperformed the NASDAQ Index, they might not have believed you. However, that's just where we are now, as the chart below shows how the stock has declined 5.1% through Monday despite the Index's nice gains. Today, I'd like to discuss why I believe shares are doing poorly at the moment, why these bearish points should be mostly discounted, and how Apple can get back to all-time highs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c4a0333188c18d1f43e4e85b41523a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"272\">(<i>Source: Yahoo! Finance)</i></p>\n<p>The first thing I can point to as a reason for underperformance is actually outperformance. Apple shares over the past five years, prior to the start of this one, had gone from the mid $20s (dividend and split-adjusted) to roughly $132 a share. The stock was a big winner and thus expectations continued to go higher and higher. Some investors just weren't willing to bet on a company worth a bit more than $2 trillion, and a number of last year's winners have struggled so far this year, like Tesla (TSLA) and Amazon (AMZN).</p>\n<p>In my last Apple article, I discussed how the company was becominga victim of its own success. Because the two earnings reports so far this year were so great, the thought process has shifted to can Apple ever do any better? In this case, I'm not talking about strict dollar amounts, but growth percentages. Look at the chart below, showing how once we hit the December 2021 (fiscal Q1 2022) quarter, revenue growth rates are expected to crash down.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b61b66cfb83a8e7f307580dd6277be6\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"397\">(<i>Source: Seeking Alpha estimates page,seen here)</i></p>\n<p>I said previously that Apple bears would jump at the possibility of Apple announcing a revenue decline for the March 2022 fiscal quarter, even if it is due to the previous year being one of the best quarters we've ever seen. Fortunately, Apple's overall revenue trajectory remains strong, and I think management has a solid plan in place. Just like we saw with the iPad earlier this year, I think new storage options on this year's iPhones will allow for average selling price upside, offsetting some concerns of a supercycle sales slowdown.</p>\n<p>Also, despite Apple having a great start to the year, Macmarket share wasonly 8% in calendar Q1, so imagine how much more room there is to grow in the PC space. I'm not concerned with a revenue blip every now and then if the long-term trajectory is still for more records, which is what most expectations call for in the coming years.</p>\n<p>The second item I believe investors are a little worried about is the potential for rising taxes. The first part of this would obviously be higher taxes on the rich, especially capital gains taxes, that could limit investment in stocks. For Apple though, the issue would be higher corporate taxes, which obviously would impact the profit monster. For instance, the difference between an overall tax rate of 15% versus 18% for Apple in its fiscal 2022 year (based on current estimates) is roughly $3 billion in net income, or almost 20 cents in EPS. A nickel per quarter headwind makes it harder to impress investors, especially when you are coming off the best year in your history.</p>\n<p>In a similar manner, investors are likely concerned about the potential rise in interest rates and ending of easy money policies around the globe. Stocks have been pushed to new all-time highs as a result, but what happens when the Fed starts to taper and other central banks follow suit? Apple shares had run to a forward P/E valuation in the low to mid 30s, well above themid-teens figure it was at just a few years ago.</p>\n<p>But with the decline in shares from their highs and the rise in EPS estimates after two large beats, you are now paying about 24 times the next twelve months' expected EPS. That's not a terrible price to pay considering the total package, including the massive buyback, and theaverage analyst price targetrepresents more than $30 upside from current levels. Interestingly enough, rising interest rates are actually good further down the Apple income statement, as its $80 billion or so in net cash will generate a bit of extra interest.</p>\n<p>Right now, Apple shares are stuck in a trading range, as the chart below shows. The 50-day moving average (purple line) is forming resistance, while the 200-day (orange line) is forming support. The next major move can occur once Apple can get out of this channel, and investors are hoping it is to the upside, which could form the base to get the stock to new highs. If shares drop, the 50-day could cross below its longer-term counterpart, which would be the dreaded technical death cross.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1e9824e0460f9dd99f18e189ee0cff4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"269\">(<i>Source: Yahoo! Finance)</i></p>\n<p>While Apple as a business has been firing on all cylinders lately, the same cannot be said for shares of the stock. After a massive multi-year rally, it seems that investors are worried about tough growth comparisons coming up, rising interest rates, and higher corporate taxes. While these fears are something to keep in mind, the valuation of the name has improved to a point where they should mostly be digested. Now, the stock just needs to break out of its recent trading range, and getting above the 50-day could be the catalyst to get the name going again.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Why Shares Are Struggling</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Why Shares Are Struggling\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-09 17:12 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nStock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.\nHigh growth bar and rising taxes may be the two biggest culprits.\nShares need to break out of their technical range.\n\nWe are just a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1181136591","content_text":"Summary\n\nStock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.\nHigh growth bar and rising taxes may be the two biggest culprits.\nShares need to break out of their technical range.\n\nWe are just a few weeks away from the midpoint of 2021. If you had told someone that technology giant Apple (AAPL) would have reported two of the biggest earnings beats in corporate history so far this year and yet the stock would have significantly underperformed the NASDAQ Index, they might not have believed you. However, that's just where we are now, as the chart below shows how the stock has declined 5.1% through Monday despite the Index's nice gains. Today, I'd like to discuss why I believe shares are doing poorly at the moment, why these bearish points should be mostly discounted, and how Apple can get back to all-time highs.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nThe first thing I can point to as a reason for underperformance is actually outperformance. Apple shares over the past five years, prior to the start of this one, had gone from the mid $20s (dividend and split-adjusted) to roughly $132 a share. The stock was a big winner and thus expectations continued to go higher and higher. Some investors just weren't willing to bet on a company worth a bit more than $2 trillion, and a number of last year's winners have struggled so far this year, like Tesla (TSLA) and Amazon (AMZN).\nIn my last Apple article, I discussed how the company was becominga victim of its own success. Because the two earnings reports so far this year were so great, the thought process has shifted to can Apple ever do any better? In this case, I'm not talking about strict dollar amounts, but growth percentages. Look at the chart below, showing how once we hit the December 2021 (fiscal Q1 2022) quarter, revenue growth rates are expected to crash down.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha estimates page,seen here)\nI said previously that Apple bears would jump at the possibility of Apple announcing a revenue decline for the March 2022 fiscal quarter, even if it is due to the previous year being one of the best quarters we've ever seen. Fortunately, Apple's overall revenue trajectory remains strong, and I think management has a solid plan in place. Just like we saw with the iPad earlier this year, I think new storage options on this year's iPhones will allow for average selling price upside, offsetting some concerns of a supercycle sales slowdown.\nAlso, despite Apple having a great start to the year, Macmarket share wasonly 8% in calendar Q1, so imagine how much more room there is to grow in the PC space. I'm not concerned with a revenue blip every now and then if the long-term trajectory is still for more records, which is what most expectations call for in the coming years.\nThe second item I believe investors are a little worried about is the potential for rising taxes. The first part of this would obviously be higher taxes on the rich, especially capital gains taxes, that could limit investment in stocks. For Apple though, the issue would be higher corporate taxes, which obviously would impact the profit monster. For instance, the difference between an overall tax rate of 15% versus 18% for Apple in its fiscal 2022 year (based on current estimates) is roughly $3 billion in net income, or almost 20 cents in EPS. A nickel per quarter headwind makes it harder to impress investors, especially when you are coming off the best year in your history.\nIn a similar manner, investors are likely concerned about the potential rise in interest rates and ending of easy money policies around the globe. Stocks have been pushed to new all-time highs as a result, but what happens when the Fed starts to taper and other central banks follow suit? Apple shares had run to a forward P/E valuation in the low to mid 30s, well above themid-teens figure it was at just a few years ago.\nBut with the decline in shares from their highs and the rise in EPS estimates after two large beats, you are now paying about 24 times the next twelve months' expected EPS. That's not a terrible price to pay considering the total package, including the massive buyback, and theaverage analyst price targetrepresents more than $30 upside from current levels. Interestingly enough, rising interest rates are actually good further down the Apple income statement, as its $80 billion or so in net cash will generate a bit of extra interest.\nRight now, Apple shares are stuck in a trading range, as the chart below shows. The 50-day moving average (purple line) is forming resistance, while the 200-day (orange line) is forming support. The next major move can occur once Apple can get out of this channel, and investors are hoping it is to the upside, which could form the base to get the stock to new highs. If shares drop, the 50-day could cross below its longer-term counterpart, which would be the dreaded technical death cross.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nWhile Apple as a business has been firing on all cylinders lately, the same cannot be said for shares of the stock. After a massive multi-year rally, it seems that investors are worried about tough growth comparisons coming up, rising interest rates, and higher corporate taxes. While these fears are something to keep in mind, the valuation of the name has improved to a point where they should mostly be digested. Now, the stock just needs to break out of its recent trading range, and getting above the 50-day could be the catalyst to get the name going again.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
