cmg76 personal page - To The Moon

cmg76

cmg76

No personal profile

115Follow

33Followers

0Topic

0Badge

01-18

$StoneCo(STNE)$

2023-04-15

Wow but you can neve get the free share can you get 1.1 shares? Share with us please.

2023-04-14

Wow this is fantastic but will I collect enough Disney share? 0.5 + 0.2 +0.2 is not 1.

2023-04-13

Best Easter ever with your childhood Disney

@TigerEvents:【Game】Easter Egg Hunting with Tiger, Win Disney Shares and USD 120 Voucher

2023-04-13

Easter goods that misses you instead of the other way round.

2023-02-27

Wanna Go to Space?

Buy a stock, hope it goes to moon. If it goes to moon, you got to Space ;) If it does not go to moon, then you might get some stars in your head. You are now also in Space. If it does not move much, mean you are floating. You are also in space gravity free.

Wanna Go to Space?

2023-01-28

Yes

Tesla Surges After Earnings. Here’s What Wall Street Thinks

2023-01-08

Yea

Signs of Seller Exhaustion Left Stocks Primed for a Big Bounce

2022-12-24

Yes

2022-12-23

The shots that are hard are like missy that have 99% evasion.

2022-12-22

Join to win for you

2022-12-22

The best game ever

2022-12-21

Yes for the Argentina!

2022-12-19

Yes and Play

2022-12-19

True

The Fed Crushed Investors' Hopes Of A Santa Claus Rally

2022-12-16

Yesary

2022-12-15

Play now

2022-12-14

Yes

The Fed Should Pause Its Rate Hikes Now That Inflation Has Slowed Significantly. But It Won’t

2022-12-13

Wow

2022-12-12

Yes

Inflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week

Go to Tiger App to see more news

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":3581589405041654,"uuid":"3581589405041654","gmtCreate":1618498115456,"gmtModify":1624203103645,"name":"cmg76","pinyin":"cmg76","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":33,"headSize":115,"tweetSize":546,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-2","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Senior Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 1000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.01.11","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-2","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Master Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 100","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.05","exceedPercentage":"80.96%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":264465446310024,"gmtCreate":1705590953826,"gmtModify":1705590957654,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STNE\">$StoneCo(STNE)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STNE\">$StoneCo(STNE)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"$StoneCo(STNE)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0049878234d1b022c54cf416d2826d13","width":"981","height":"1637"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/264465446310024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945445085,"gmtCreate":1681570924047,"gmtModify":1681570927638,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow but you can neve get the free share can you get 1.1 shares? Share with us please.&nbsp;","listText":"Wow but you can neve get the free share can you get 1.1 shares? Share with us please.&nbsp;","text":"Wow but you can neve get the free share can you get 1.1 shares? Share with us please.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945445085","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945292703,"gmtCreate":1681479474502,"gmtModify":1681479477995,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow this is fantastic but will I collect enough Disney share? 0.5 + 0.2 +0.2 is not 1.&nbsp;","listText":"Wow this is fantastic but will I collect enough Disney share? 0.5 + 0.2 +0.2 is not 1.&nbsp;","text":"Wow this is fantastic but will I collect enough Disney share? 0.5 + 0.2 +0.2 is not 1.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945292703","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945376754,"gmtCreate":1681393664578,"gmtModify":1681393668318,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Best Easter ever with your childhood Disney","listText":"Best Easter ever with your childhood Disney","text":"Best Easter ever with your childhood Disney","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945376754","repostId":"9943960936","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9943960936,"gmtCreate":1679046534725,"gmtModify":1680580626622,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61ed9b39c6cbcdce6372edc1c0b48a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"【Game】Easter Egg Hunting with Tiger, Win Disney Shares and USD 120 Voucher","htmlText":"🐰🌷 Hop into the Easter spirit and join our \"Tiger's Egg Hunting\" game! 🎉Stand to win free Disney stocks and a USD 120 cash voucher!🎁🌟Our interactive Easter game is open to Tigers, and it's so easy to play! Simply jump and catch the egg, and you could be a lucky winner. 🐇That's not all. You can also invite your friends to join in the fun to earn more points. Plus, you can challenge your friends for a race up the leaderboard. Let's fly to the moon together!Don't miss out on this egg-citing opportunity to win BIG! Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣<a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/easter/?adcode=20230316162207#/\" target=\"_blank\">Join our Easter campaign now</a>","listText":"🐰🌷 Hop into the Easter spirit and join our \"Tiger's Egg Hunting\" game! 🎉Stand to win free Disney stocks and a USD 120 cash voucher!🎁🌟Our interactive Easter game is open to Tigers, and it's so easy to play! Simply jump and catch the egg, and you could be a lucky winner. 🐇That's not all. You can also invite your friends to join in the fun to earn more points. Plus, you can challenge your friends for a race up the leaderboard. Let's fly to the moon together!Don't miss out on this egg-citing opportunity to win BIG! Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣<a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/easter/?adcode=20230316162207#/\" target=\"_blank\">Join our Easter campaign now</a>","text":"🐰🌷 Hop into the Easter spirit and join our \"Tiger's Egg Hunting\" game! 🎉Stand to win free Disney stocks and a USD 120 cash voucher!🎁🌟Our interactive Easter game is open to Tigers, and it's so easy to play! Simply jump and catch the egg, and you could be a lucky winner. 🐇That's not all. You can also invite your friends to join in the fun to earn more points. Plus, you can challenge your friends for a race up the leaderboard. Let's fly to the moon together!Don't miss out on this egg-citing opportunity to win BIG! Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣Join our Easter campaign now","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c90a7371a3bcd1e6c552d2aa23f72c33","width":"1200","height":"630"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943960936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945376261,"gmtCreate":1681393602754,"gmtModify":1681393605707,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Easter goods that misses you instead of the other way round.&nbsp;","listText":"Easter goods that misses you instead of the other way round.&nbsp;","text":"Easter goods that misses you instead of the other way round.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945376261","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957450607,"gmtCreate":1677506866009,"gmtModify":1677506870607,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Wanna Go to Space? ","htmlText":"Buy a stock, hope it goes to moon. If it goes to moon, you got to Space ;) If it does not go to moon, then you might get some stars in your head. You are now also in Space.&nbsp; If it does not move much, mean you are floating. You are also in space gravity free.&nbsp;","listText":"Buy a stock, hope it goes to moon. If it goes to moon, you got to Space ;) If it does not go to moon, then you might get some stars in your head. You are now also in Space.&nbsp; If it does not move much, mean you are floating. You are also in space gravity free.&nbsp;","text":"Buy a stock, hope it goes to moon. If it goes to moon, you got to Space ;) If it does not go to moon, then you might get some stars in your head. You are now also in Space. If it does not move much, mean you are floating. You are also in space gravity free.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957450607","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952499256,"gmtCreate":1674866777376,"gmtModify":1676538963096,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952499256","repostId":"1172200631","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1172200631","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1674783516,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1172200631?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-27 09:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Surges After Earnings. Here’s What Wall Street Thinks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172200631","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Tesla posted better-than-expected fourth-quarter net income. The stock is rising, but gains have lit","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla posted better-than-expected fourth-quarter net income. The stock is rising, but gains have little to do with the past. Investors liked what they heard from the company about the future. So did the Street.</p><p>Wednesday evening, the electric-vehicles giant reported record net income and earnings per share of $1.19. Wall Street was looking for about $1.13 a share.</p><p>Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock rose 11% Thursday, hitting $160.27 a share. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were up about 1.1% and 1.8%, respectively.</p><p>“Demand has been the biggest question entering 2023 after recent price cuts and fear of a macro slowdown,” wrote Baird analyst Ben Kallo in a Wednesday report. “Demand [is] still strong and outpacing production capacity.”</p><p>Tesla plans to make about 1.8 million cars in 2023, up from about 1.37 million produced in 2022. CEO Elon Musk said on Thursday evening that orders were outpacing production two to one. All that was enough to sooth investors’ nerves. (Coming into Thursday trading, Tesla stock was down about 34% over the past three months.)</p><p>Kallo rates Tesla shares Buy. His price target is $252 a share. Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh also rates shares Buy. His price target is $250 a share.</p><p>Rakesh wrote that quarterly profit margins were better than feared in his Thursday research report. Profit margins were a concern for investors after Tesla offered discounts at the end of 2022 and dramatically cut prices at the start of 2023. Rakesh also pointed out that while prices are coming down, Tesla has cost offsets to help cushion the margin impact—including better utilization at two new manufacturing plants and falling raw material prices.</p><p>“Management commentary suggest [gross profit margins] should remain above the 20% in a single quarter,” wrote Emmanuel Rosner in a Thursday report. The first quarter of 2023 is “positioned to be the trough for the year and margins incrementally improve throughout the year.”</p><p>Tesla produced automotive gross profit margins of about 26% for all of 2022. Rosner rates Tesla stock Buy and has a $220 price target for the shares.</p><p>Cowen analyst Jeffery Osborne rates shares Hold. He took his price target up to $140 from $122 after earnings. He still has concerns about falling vehicle prices and the impact on margins, but noted that Tesla’s energy storage business is looking better than he expected. Tesla deployed 2.5 gigawatt hours of battery storage capacity in the fourth quarter, up 152% year over year.</p><p>BoA Securities analyst John Murphy also rates shares Hold. He called results mixed in a Thursday report, but raised his price target to $150 from $135 a share. “Stock appears fairly priced,” wrote Murphy, adding there is a lot of uncertainty faced by investors regarding the state of the global economy and Musk’s management of Twitter.</p><p>Most of the Street seems fine with Tesla’s numbers. “Solid results and upbeat demand out of the gate,” is how Wedbush analyst Dan Ives characterized the quarter. He rates shares Buy. He took his price target to $200 from $175 after earnings. Tesla’s demand commentary was what bulls wanted to hear, added Ives. “The bears (for now) will go back into hibernation mode,” he noted.</p><p>They will come out of hibernation soon. Next up for Tesla watchers is the company’s event on March 1. Topics will include the next-generation vehicle platform. That should be a lower-priced vehicle that can expand Tesla’s addressable market.</p><p>Overall, about 64% of analysts covering Tesla stock rate shares Buy. It’s the highest Buy-rating ratio the stock has had, according to FactSet. The average Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 is about 58%.</p><p>The average analyst price target is about $206 a share.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Surges After Earnings. Here’s What Wall Street Thinks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Surges After Earnings. Here’s What Wall Street Thinks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-27 09:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla posted better-than-expected fourth-quarter net income. The stock is rising, but gains have little to do with the past. Investors liked what they heard from the company about the future. So did the Street.</p><p>Wednesday evening, the electric-vehicles giant reported record net income and earnings per share of $1.19. Wall Street was looking for about $1.13 a share.</p><p>Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock rose 11% Thursday, hitting $160.27 a share. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were up about 1.1% and 1.8%, respectively.</p><p>“Demand has been the biggest question entering 2023 after recent price cuts and fear of a macro slowdown,” wrote Baird analyst Ben Kallo in a Wednesday report. “Demand [is] still strong and outpacing production capacity.”</p><p>Tesla plans to make about 1.8 million cars in 2023, up from about 1.37 million produced in 2022. CEO Elon Musk said on Thursday evening that orders were outpacing production two to one. All that was enough to sooth investors’ nerves. (Coming into Thursday trading, Tesla stock was down about 34% over the past three months.)</p><p>Kallo rates Tesla shares Buy. His price target is $252 a share. Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh also rates shares Buy. His price target is $250 a share.</p><p>Rakesh wrote that quarterly profit margins were better than feared in his Thursday research report. Profit margins were a concern for investors after Tesla offered discounts at the end of 2022 and dramatically cut prices at the start of 2023. Rakesh also pointed out that while prices are coming down, Tesla has cost offsets to help cushion the margin impact—including better utilization at two new manufacturing plants and falling raw material prices.</p><p>“Management commentary suggest [gross profit margins] should remain above the 20% in a single quarter,” wrote Emmanuel Rosner in a Thursday report. The first quarter of 2023 is “positioned to be the trough for the year and margins incrementally improve throughout the year.”</p><p>Tesla produced automotive gross profit margins of about 26% for all of 2022. Rosner rates Tesla stock Buy and has a $220 price target for the shares.</p><p>Cowen analyst Jeffery Osborne rates shares Hold. He took his price target up to $140 from $122 after earnings. He still has concerns about falling vehicle prices and the impact on margins, but noted that Tesla’s energy storage business is looking better than he expected. Tesla deployed 2.5 gigawatt hours of battery storage capacity in the fourth quarter, up 152% year over year.</p><p>BoA Securities analyst John Murphy also rates shares Hold. He called results mixed in a Thursday report, but raised his price target to $150 from $135 a share. “Stock appears fairly priced,” wrote Murphy, adding there is a lot of uncertainty faced by investors regarding the state of the global economy and Musk’s management of Twitter.</p><p>Most of the Street seems fine with Tesla’s numbers. “Solid results and upbeat demand out of the gate,” is how Wedbush analyst Dan Ives characterized the quarter. He rates shares Buy. He took his price target to $200 from $175 after earnings. Tesla’s demand commentary was what bulls wanted to hear, added Ives. “The bears (for now) will go back into hibernation mode,” he noted.</p><p>They will come out of hibernation soon. Next up for Tesla watchers is the company’s event on March 1. Topics will include the next-generation vehicle platform. That should be a lower-priced vehicle that can expand Tesla’s addressable market.</p><p>Overall, about 64% of analysts covering Tesla stock rate shares Buy. It’s the highest Buy-rating ratio the stock has had, according to FactSet. The average Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 is about 58%.</p><p>The average analyst price target is about $206 a share.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172200631","content_text":"Tesla posted better-than-expected fourth-quarter net income. The stock is rising, but gains have little to do with the past. Investors liked what they heard from the company about the future. So did the Street.Wednesday evening, the electric-vehicles giant reported record net income and earnings per share of $1.19. Wall Street was looking for about $1.13 a share.Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock rose 11% Thursday, hitting $160.27 a share. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were up about 1.1% and 1.8%, respectively.“Demand has been the biggest question entering 2023 after recent price cuts and fear of a macro slowdown,” wrote Baird analyst Ben Kallo in a Wednesday report. “Demand [is] still strong and outpacing production capacity.”Tesla plans to make about 1.8 million cars in 2023, up from about 1.37 million produced in 2022. CEO Elon Musk said on Thursday evening that orders were outpacing production two to one. All that was enough to sooth investors’ nerves. (Coming into Thursday trading, Tesla stock was down about 34% over the past three months.)Kallo rates Tesla shares Buy. His price target is $252 a share. Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh also rates shares Buy. His price target is $250 a share.Rakesh wrote that quarterly profit margins were better than feared in his Thursday research report. Profit margins were a concern for investors after Tesla offered discounts at the end of 2022 and dramatically cut prices at the start of 2023. Rakesh also pointed out that while prices are coming down, Tesla has cost offsets to help cushion the margin impact—including better utilization at two new manufacturing plants and falling raw material prices.“Management commentary suggest [gross profit margins] should remain above the 20% in a single quarter,” wrote Emmanuel Rosner in a Thursday report. The first quarter of 2023 is “positioned to be the trough for the year and margins incrementally improve throughout the year.”Tesla produced automotive gross profit margins of about 26% for all of 2022. Rosner rates Tesla stock Buy and has a $220 price target for the shares.Cowen analyst Jeffery Osborne rates shares Hold. He took his price target up to $140 from $122 after earnings. He still has concerns about falling vehicle prices and the impact on margins, but noted that Tesla’s energy storage business is looking better than he expected. Tesla deployed 2.5 gigawatt hours of battery storage capacity in the fourth quarter, up 152% year over year.BoA Securities analyst John Murphy also rates shares Hold. He called results mixed in a Thursday report, but raised his price target to $150 from $135 a share. “Stock appears fairly priced,” wrote Murphy, adding there is a lot of uncertainty faced by investors regarding the state of the global economy and Musk’s management of Twitter.Most of the Street seems fine with Tesla’s numbers. “Solid results and upbeat demand out of the gate,” is how Wedbush analyst Dan Ives characterized the quarter. He rates shares Buy. He took his price target to $200 from $175 after earnings. Tesla’s demand commentary was what bulls wanted to hear, added Ives. “The bears (for now) will go back into hibernation mode,” he noted.They will come out of hibernation soon. Next up for Tesla watchers is the company’s event on March 1. Topics will include the next-generation vehicle platform. That should be a lower-priced vehicle that can expand Tesla’s addressable market.Overall, about 64% of analysts covering Tesla stock rate shares Buy. It’s the highest Buy-rating ratio the stock has had, according to FactSet. The average Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&P 500 is about 58%.The average analyst price target is about $206 a share.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9953310126,"gmtCreate":1673152536466,"gmtModify":1676538793077,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yea","listText":"Yea","text":"Yea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9953310126","repostId":"2301720269","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2301720269","pubTimestamp":1673139445,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2301720269?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-08 08:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Signs of Seller Exhaustion Left Stocks Primed for a Big Bounce","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2301720269","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Hedge-fund exposure at five-year low while retail dumps stocksIt extends pattern where positioning o","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Hedge-fund exposure at five-year low while retail dumps stocks</li><li>It extends pattern where positioning overshadows market moves</li></ul><p>A pattern has persisted in stocks the past year. A downdraft steepens, sellers get the selling out of their systems, and the market is left poised for an often-powerful jump.</p><p>Friday’s surge, which spared the S&amp;P 500 from a fifth straight down week, bore all the hallmarks of that routine, coming amid a boatload of evidence that investor risk appetite had been cut to the bone. A measure of equity exposure among hedge fund clients fell to a five-year low, while retail pessimism was also intensifying, according to JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. data.</p><p>Those trends would explain two things. One, last month’s uncharacteristically awful returns, a consequence of across-the-board selling that pushed the S&amp;P 500 to its worst December in four years. And two, Friday’s ebullient reaction to news showing higher-than-forecast payroll additions in the US economy, when seven of the prior eight employment reports spurred losses.</p><p>“If you look at a broad array of sentiment indicators, they universally suggest investors are a lot more cautious than they were a year ago,” said Dan Suzuki, deputy chief investment officer at Richard Bernstein Advisors. “That could very well be laying the groundwork for another short-term rally, as we seem to get every several months.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/748a5b17c1b5a314e3a001d03db00a55\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Stocks ended the longest streak of weekly declines since last May as the S&amp;P 500 climbed during the holiday-shortened period. The benchmark gauge, which finished 2022 with the worst annual slide since the financial crisis, rose 1.5% over the four days, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced for a second week in three.</p><p>Boom-bust cycles in equities last year generally correlated with changes in institutional and retail positioning. Gains occurred after investors slashed bullish bets, and declines followed buying sprees. The incessant up-down motion made gleaning an economic signal from the market — never an exact science to begin with — particularly futile, with trends in the market proving temporary. Friday’s runup in the S&amp;P 500 also came after a sharp drop in risk-appetites.</p><p>Another major contour of last year’s investment landscape repeated this week: value vastly outperformed growth, with an index tracking cheaper stocks beating that of fast growers by 2 percentage points. One takeaway from that might be a slightly less-dour economic message than has generally been taken from markets as a whole. Growth companies are part of the economy, obviously, but the battering those stocks took was primarily driven by shrinking valuations. Value shares had far less bloat to correct and as a result their relatively tame losses could be framed as a purer and cheerier signal on future activity.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f88b2b88fd40b113313c55bb11021862\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Sessions when monthly payrolls data were released have not been kind to stocks of late. Among jobs days last year, all but three saw the S&amp;P 500 falling as the economy mostly added more jobs than expected, clearing the path for the Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy as it battled inflation. The ominous pattern, along with the specter of a serious downturn, prompted investors of all stripes to hunker down after a brutal year that saw stocks and Treasuries suffer the worst annual loss in more than a century.</p><p>Hedge funds that make both bullish and bearish equity wagers boosted their short positions in December, with their average leverage falling to the lowest level since 2017, data compiled by JPMorgan’s prime brokerage unit show. A similar trend was on display at Morgan Stanley, where gross leverage among the firm’s hedge fund clients sat near a five-year low.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac23a3270a191c5c5fb0141654adfd45\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"427\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Hedge fund leverage. Source: Morgan Stanley</span></p><p>While nonfarm payrolls again beat forecasts in December, traders found comfort in cooling wage gains. The S&amp;P 500 jumped 2.3% for the best reaction to a jobs report in more than two years.</p><p>“Lower weekly hours will bias the real labor income proxy lower, which would imply weaker spending going forward,” said Dennis DeBusschere, founder of 22V Research. “This shouldn’t change the Fed outlook much near-term but lowers the odds they need to crush things.”</p><p>The first signs of a rally were enough to lure a few bulls back after a $13 trillion wipeout last year had pros and even once die-hard retail bulls retreating en mass. Individual traders, who bought the dip in early 2022 only to be burned time and again by the yearlong slump, dumped more than $3 billion of shares in the week through Tuesday, the third-biggest selling in the history of JPMorgan’s data.</p><p>While year-end tax selling played a role in the exodus, the heavy outflow also reflected growing bearishness among the crowd, according to Peng Cheng, the firm’s strategist who derived the estimate from public data on exchanges.</p><p>All the defensive posturing likely set the stage for a market bounce, as happened repeatedly during 2022, when prolonged selloffs gave way to rapid snapbacks before the selling resumed. In a year where the S&amp;P 500 lost about one fifth of its value, the index managed to rally more than 10% from a trough three times.</p><p>From peak inflation to a speculation about a Fed pivot, investors latched on to numerous catalysts to bid up stocks. Each rally eventually faded. Stocks have made little headways since June, with the S&amp;P 500 largely trapped in a 700-point range.</p><p>However short-lived those bounces proved, there’s evidence they bothered Fed officials. Minutes of their last policy meeting released this week showed some members cautioning against “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions” that could undermine efforts to slow the economy and tame inflation.</p><p>With banks kicking off earnings season next week, investors may be content to await more clarity on corporate America’s strength, according to Christophe Barraud, chief economist and strategist at Market Securities LLP.</p><p>“Last year, the mood changed a lot because every time people bought, the market sold even more,” he said. “People right now will probably prefer buying after being sure that there will be some strong force behind equities.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Signs of Seller Exhaustion Left Stocks Primed for a Big Bounce</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSigns of Seller Exhaustion Left Stocks Primed for a Big Bounce\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-08 08:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-06/signs-of-seller-exhaustion-left-stocks-primed-for-a-big-bounce?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hedge-fund exposure at five-year low while retail dumps stocksIt extends pattern where positioning overshadows market movesA pattern has persisted in stocks the past year. A downdraft steepens, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-06/signs-of-seller-exhaustion-left-stocks-primed-for-a-big-bounce?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-06/signs-of-seller-exhaustion-left-stocks-primed-for-a-big-bounce?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2301720269","content_text":"Hedge-fund exposure at five-year low while retail dumps stocksIt extends pattern where positioning overshadows market movesA pattern has persisted in stocks the past year. A downdraft steepens, sellers get the selling out of their systems, and the market is left poised for an often-powerful jump.Friday’s surge, which spared the S&P 500 from a fifth straight down week, bore all the hallmarks of that routine, coming amid a boatload of evidence that investor risk appetite had been cut to the bone. A measure of equity exposure among hedge fund clients fell to a five-year low, while retail pessimism was also intensifying, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. data.Those trends would explain two things. One, last month’s uncharacteristically awful returns, a consequence of across-the-board selling that pushed the S&P 500 to its worst December in four years. And two, Friday’s ebullient reaction to news showing higher-than-forecast payroll additions in the US economy, when seven of the prior eight employment reports spurred losses.“If you look at a broad array of sentiment indicators, they universally suggest investors are a lot more cautious than they were a year ago,” said Dan Suzuki, deputy chief investment officer at Richard Bernstein Advisors. “That could very well be laying the groundwork for another short-term rally, as we seem to get every several months.”Stocks ended the longest streak of weekly declines since last May as the S&P 500 climbed during the holiday-shortened period. The benchmark gauge, which finished 2022 with the worst annual slide since the financial crisis, rose 1.5% over the four days, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced for a second week in three.Boom-bust cycles in equities last year generally correlated with changes in institutional and retail positioning. Gains occurred after investors slashed bullish bets, and declines followed buying sprees. The incessant up-down motion made gleaning an economic signal from the market — never an exact science to begin with — particularly futile, with trends in the market proving temporary. Friday’s runup in the S&P 500 also came after a sharp drop in risk-appetites.Another major contour of last year’s investment landscape repeated this week: value vastly outperformed growth, with an index tracking cheaper stocks beating that of fast growers by 2 percentage points. One takeaway from that might be a slightly less-dour economic message than has generally been taken from markets as a whole. Growth companies are part of the economy, obviously, but the battering those stocks took was primarily driven by shrinking valuations. Value shares had far less bloat to correct and as a result their relatively tame losses could be framed as a purer and cheerier signal on future activity.Sessions when monthly payrolls data were released have not been kind to stocks of late. Among jobs days last year, all but three saw the S&P 500 falling as the economy mostly added more jobs than expected, clearing the path for the Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy as it battled inflation. The ominous pattern, along with the specter of a serious downturn, prompted investors of all stripes to hunker down after a brutal year that saw stocks and Treasuries suffer the worst annual loss in more than a century.Hedge funds that make both bullish and bearish equity wagers boosted their short positions in December, with their average leverage falling to the lowest level since 2017, data compiled by JPMorgan’s prime brokerage unit show. A similar trend was on display at Morgan Stanley, where gross leverage among the firm’s hedge fund clients sat near a five-year low.Hedge fund leverage. Source: Morgan StanleyWhile nonfarm payrolls again beat forecasts in December, traders found comfort in cooling wage gains. The S&P 500 jumped 2.3% for the best reaction to a jobs report in more than two years.“Lower weekly hours will bias the real labor income proxy lower, which would imply weaker spending going forward,” said Dennis DeBusschere, founder of 22V Research. “This shouldn’t change the Fed outlook much near-term but lowers the odds they need to crush things.”The first signs of a rally were enough to lure a few bulls back after a $13 trillion wipeout last year had pros and even once die-hard retail bulls retreating en mass. Individual traders, who bought the dip in early 2022 only to be burned time and again by the yearlong slump, dumped more than $3 billion of shares in the week through Tuesday, the third-biggest selling in the history of JPMorgan’s data.While year-end tax selling played a role in the exodus, the heavy outflow also reflected growing bearishness among the crowd, according to Peng Cheng, the firm’s strategist who derived the estimate from public data on exchanges.All the defensive posturing likely set the stage for a market bounce, as happened repeatedly during 2022, when prolonged selloffs gave way to rapid snapbacks before the selling resumed. In a year where the S&P 500 lost about one fifth of its value, the index managed to rally more than 10% from a trough three times.From peak inflation to a speculation about a Fed pivot, investors latched on to numerous catalysts to bid up stocks. Each rally eventually faded. Stocks have made little headways since June, with the S&P 500 largely trapped in a 700-point range.However short-lived those bounces proved, there’s evidence they bothered Fed officials. Minutes of their last policy meeting released this week showed some members cautioning against “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions” that could undermine efforts to slow the economy and tame inflation.With banks kicking off earnings season next week, investors may be content to await more clarity on corporate America’s strength, according to Christophe Barraud, chief economist and strategist at Market Securities LLP.“Last year, the mood changed a lot because every time people bought, the market sold even more,” he said. “People right now will probably prefer buying after being sure that there will be some strong force behind equities.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3571345352614779","authorId":"3571345352614779","name":"xiaobaii","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"like & comment please","text":"like & comment please","html":"like & comment please"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9925046893,"gmtCreate":1671887948012,"gmtModify":1676538607180,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9925046893","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922255796,"gmtCreate":1671782903616,"gmtModify":1676538592844,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The shots that are hard are like missy that have 99% evasion.&nbsp;","listText":"The shots that are hard are like missy that have 99% evasion.&nbsp;","text":"The shots that are hard are like missy that have 99% evasion.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922255796","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922380332,"gmtCreate":1671689439227,"gmtModify":1676538577017,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Join to win for you","listText":"Join to win for you","text":"Join to win for you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922380332","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922380009,"gmtCreate":1671689421202,"gmtModify":1676538577011,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The best game ever","listText":"The best game ever","text":"The best game ever","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922380009","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926516292,"gmtCreate":1671582288817,"gmtModify":1676538558793,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes for the Argentina!&nbsp;","listText":"Yes for the Argentina!&nbsp;","text":"Yes for the Argentina!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926516292","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926394100,"gmtCreate":1671462406501,"gmtModify":1676538540385,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes and Play","listText":"Yes and Play","text":"Yes and Play","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926394100","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926978167,"gmtCreate":1671458887759,"gmtModify":1676538539520,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"True","listText":"True","text":"True","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926978167","repostId":"2292886262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2292886262","pubTimestamp":1671463802,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2292886262?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-19 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Crushed Investors' Hopes Of A Santa Claus Rally","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2292886262","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBloomberg reported investors poured nearly $25B into equities over the past week, as retail/i","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Bloomberg reported investors poured nearly $25B into equities over the past week, as retail/institutional investors likely went into FOMO mode after the market bottomed in October.</li><li>So the hammering last week could have stunned these investors? Isn&#39;t November&#39;s CPI print constructive?</li><li>Yet the Fed was never in doubt as it emphasized that it would not adjust its 2% inflation target.</li><li>Hence, the post-CPI rally has proved to be the bull trap the market needed to start the pullback in earnest.</li><li>Where we land next could determine whether the market anticipates a severe recession. Just don&#39;t expect Santa to be on time this year.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13e0a8d019aac2afb7cc74821154791\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Win McNamee</span></p><h2>Fed Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s Finest Hawkish Moment</h2><p>The FOMC delivered and did not disappoint. We had already prepared ourselves for a hawkish Fed through the end of 2023, with the Fed&#39;s revised median terminal rate of 5.1% slightly ahead of the economists&#39; consensus.</p><p>Hence, the critical question is whether the Fed is committed to maintaining its inflation target of 2%, even as Fed Chair Jerome Powell brushed off any suggestion of a change.</p><p>Some commentators suggested that the Fed&#39;s credibility could be tested, as they view the target as &#34;no longer credible.&#34; For example, Pershing Square Capital Management founder Bill Ackman articulated that the Fed should adjust its target, seeing 3% as a viable target, as &#34;businesses need price stability, but can thrive in a world with 3% stable inflation.&#34;</p><p>Notwithstanding, former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers applauded the Fed&#39;s decision to keep to its 2% inflation target. Summers articulated that &#34;[he&#39;s] gratified to see the ways in which the Fed has caught up.&#34;</p><p>The Fed&#39;s revised summary of economic projections (SEP) suggests its PCE inflation forecasts have been raised to 2.1% by 2025 from its previous 2% projections in September. However, market forecasters are debating whether the Fed has incorporated the latest CPI report into its SEP, given the short notice from November&#39;s CPI release (December 13) to Powell&#39;s presser (December 14).</p><p>UBS Securities economist Alan Detmeister articulated that the Fed&#39;s SEP indicates that &#34;[it has] extremely strong December numbers for inflation written in.&#34; However, the timing of November&#39;s CPI print might not have been reflected accordingly, even though Powell maintained in the pressor that such data points had been considered. Detmeister highlighted:</p><blockquote>Very few of them would have probably gone ahead and updated their submissions and really worked out what it would&#39;ve taken in December to hit that target. - <i>Bloomberg</i></blockquote><h2>Is The Fed Willing To Drive A Deep Recession?</h2><p>Hence, investors looking through the recent media releases and commentary from economists and market strategists are likely more confused as they parse whether the Fed could be &#34;bluffing.&#34;</p><p>RBC chief US economist Tom Porcelli even argued: &#34;This aggressive hiking cycle is going to cause some damage. The Fed will cut rates twice in 2023.&#34;</p><p>Sure, bulls think that the Fed could be forced to cut rates, as even its revised SEP suggests a recession is looking increasingly likely. However, Powell declined to predict whether one could occur, emphasizing he doesn&#39;t have a crystal ball. Still, BofA strategists stressed that they see the potential for a &#34;Fed policy mistake driving hard landing.&#34;</p><p>However, Edward Yardeni maintained his call in his December 15 briefing that the Fed&#39;s &#34;soft-landing forecast makes sense to us.&#34;</p><p>Therefore, we believe investors have likely gleaned a series of confusing commentary rather than clarity as strategists and economists assess whether the Fed could force a recession to keep its commitment to pressing down inflation.</p><p>Furthermore, S&amp;P Global highlighted in a recent commentary that it sees inflationary pressures abating across the US economy, including services. It articulated:</p><blockquote>We got the steepest downturn we&#39;ve seen since the global financial crisis, if the initial lockdown period is excluded. The good news is that this downturn in the economy is alleviating inflationary pressures. - <i>WSJ</i></blockquote><p>Hence, could the Fed&#39;s head be turned, even as it expects to continue hiking rates through the end of 2023? Would the Fed be responsive enough to a potential policy error that could drive the economy to a deeper downturn than the FOMC had planned for?</p><p>Even Summers has not ruled out that the labor market could be hit with a &#34;particularly sharp weakening,&#34; helping to alleviate one of the most consistent drivers of inflation markedly.</p><h2>The Market Was Already Primed For A Pullback, Regardless</h2><p>However, despite the sharp recovery in October and the positive CPI print on Wednesday, we believe that market operators were never in doubt. The market was well-primed for a pullback. We also articulated in a recent commentary after the release of November&#39;s CPI metrics to our members:</p><blockquote><i>The market is still primed for a pullback.</i> I [have already] revised the <i>short-term market bias on November 22 to Bearish.</i> We got the [initial] pullback, but it wasn&#39;t enough on the medium-term chart. So, [on December 12], I revised [the short-term bias] to Neutral to reflect the recent pullback [as] short-term indicators [are] no longer overbought. But, with yesterday&#39;s [December 13, post-CPI release] possible bull trap price action, I&#39;ve revised it down one notch to Bearish-Neutral for our short-term bias. I will discuss this in more detail after we get more clarity on today&#39;s FOMC presser. - <i>Ultimate Growth Investing December 14 - Pre-market briefing</i></blockquote><p>That&#39;s right. The market has drawn in investors astutely into FOMO mode as they feared they missed its October lows. We highlighted to our members on October 21 that &#34;we have the bullish reversal condition that we need. So, we are good to go.&#34; During those days, we vividly recall that the media and strategists were highly pessimistic.</p><p>We even highlighted in October to members that &#34;money managers are sitting on the highest levels of dry powder waiting to be deployed in twenty years.&#34; Therefore, we aren&#39;t surprised that Bloomberg reported:</p><blockquote>After a month of drawing down positions, investors poured $25 billion in stocks in the week through Wednesday only to see the S&amp;P 500 plummet as the Federal Reserve and other central banks stuck with hawkish stances that threaten to spur a recession. - Bloomberg</blockquote><h2>Takeaway</h2><p>Recall we mentioned that we revised our short-term market bias to Bearish on November 22, nearly four weeks ago. The market had prepared for this moment for a while, drawing in unsuspecting retail/institutional investors into FOMO, anticipating the Santa Claus rally to unfold.</p><p>Our suggestion is this: Be wary. The pullback is likely far from over, and where it takes us next could portend whether October lows could be sustained. And don&#39;t FOMO again.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Crushed Investors' Hopes Of A Santa Claus Rally</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Crushed Investors' Hopes Of A Santa Claus Rally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-19 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565109-fed-crushed-investors-hopes-santa-claus-rally><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBloomberg reported investors poured nearly $25B into equities over the past week, as retail/institutional investors likely went into FOMO mode after the market bottomed in October.So the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565109-fed-crushed-investors-hopes-santa-claus-rally\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4211":"区域性银行"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565109-fed-crushed-investors-hopes-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2292886262","content_text":"SummaryBloomberg reported investors poured nearly $25B into equities over the past week, as retail/institutional investors likely went into FOMO mode after the market bottomed in October.So the hammering last week could have stunned these investors? Isn't November's CPI print constructive?Yet the Fed was never in doubt as it emphasized that it would not adjust its 2% inflation target.Hence, the post-CPI rally has proved to be the bull trap the market needed to start the pullback in earnest.Where we land next could determine whether the market anticipates a severe recession. Just don't expect Santa to be on time this year.Win McNameeFed Chair Jerome Powell's Finest Hawkish MomentThe FOMC delivered and did not disappoint. We had already prepared ourselves for a hawkish Fed through the end of 2023, with the Fed's revised median terminal rate of 5.1% slightly ahead of the economists' consensus.Hence, the critical question is whether the Fed is committed to maintaining its inflation target of 2%, even as Fed Chair Jerome Powell brushed off any suggestion of a change.Some commentators suggested that the Fed's credibility could be tested, as they view the target as \"no longer credible.\" For example, Pershing Square Capital Management founder Bill Ackman articulated that the Fed should adjust its target, seeing 3% as a viable target, as \"businesses need price stability, but can thrive in a world with 3% stable inflation.\"Notwithstanding, former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers applauded the Fed's decision to keep to its 2% inflation target. Summers articulated that \"[he's] gratified to see the ways in which the Fed has caught up.\"The Fed's revised summary of economic projections (SEP) suggests its PCE inflation forecasts have been raised to 2.1% by 2025 from its previous 2% projections in September. However, market forecasters are debating whether the Fed has incorporated the latest CPI report into its SEP, given the short notice from November's CPI release (December 13) to Powell's presser (December 14).UBS Securities economist Alan Detmeister articulated that the Fed's SEP indicates that \"[it has] extremely strong December numbers for inflation written in.\" However, the timing of November's CPI print might not have been reflected accordingly, even though Powell maintained in the pressor that such data points had been considered. Detmeister highlighted:Very few of them would have probably gone ahead and updated their submissions and really worked out what it would've taken in December to hit that target. - BloombergIs The Fed Willing To Drive A Deep Recession?Hence, investors looking through the recent media releases and commentary from economists and market strategists are likely more confused as they parse whether the Fed could be \"bluffing.\"RBC chief US economist Tom Porcelli even argued: \"This aggressive hiking cycle is going to cause some damage. The Fed will cut rates twice in 2023.\"Sure, bulls think that the Fed could be forced to cut rates, as even its revised SEP suggests a recession is looking increasingly likely. However, Powell declined to predict whether one could occur, emphasizing he doesn't have a crystal ball. Still, BofA strategists stressed that they see the potential for a \"Fed policy mistake driving hard landing.\"However, Edward Yardeni maintained his call in his December 15 briefing that the Fed's \"soft-landing forecast makes sense to us.\"Therefore, we believe investors have likely gleaned a series of confusing commentary rather than clarity as strategists and economists assess whether the Fed could force a recession to keep its commitment to pressing down inflation.Furthermore, S&P Global highlighted in a recent commentary that it sees inflationary pressures abating across the US economy, including services. It articulated:We got the steepest downturn we've seen since the global financial crisis, if the initial lockdown period is excluded. The good news is that this downturn in the economy is alleviating inflationary pressures. - WSJHence, could the Fed's head be turned, even as it expects to continue hiking rates through the end of 2023? Would the Fed be responsive enough to a potential policy error that could drive the economy to a deeper downturn than the FOMC had planned for?Even Summers has not ruled out that the labor market could be hit with a \"particularly sharp weakening,\" helping to alleviate one of the most consistent drivers of inflation markedly.The Market Was Already Primed For A Pullback, RegardlessHowever, despite the sharp recovery in October and the positive CPI print on Wednesday, we believe that market operators were never in doubt. The market was well-primed for a pullback. We also articulated in a recent commentary after the release of November's CPI metrics to our members:The market is still primed for a pullback. I [have already] revised the short-term market bias on November 22 to Bearish. We got the [initial] pullback, but it wasn't enough on the medium-term chart. So, [on December 12], I revised [the short-term bias] to Neutral to reflect the recent pullback [as] short-term indicators [are] no longer overbought. But, with yesterday's [December 13, post-CPI release] possible bull trap price action, I've revised it down one notch to Bearish-Neutral for our short-term bias. I will discuss this in more detail after we get more clarity on today's FOMC presser. - Ultimate Growth Investing December 14 - Pre-market briefingThat's right. The market has drawn in investors astutely into FOMO mode as they feared they missed its October lows. We highlighted to our members on October 21 that \"we have the bullish reversal condition that we need. So, we are good to go.\" During those days, we vividly recall that the media and strategists were highly pessimistic.We even highlighted in October to members that \"money managers are sitting on the highest levels of dry powder waiting to be deployed in twenty years.\" Therefore, we aren't surprised that Bloomberg reported:After a month of drawing down positions, investors poured $25 billion in stocks in the week through Wednesday only to see the S&P 500 plummet as the Federal Reserve and other central banks stuck with hawkish stances that threaten to spur a recession. - BloombergTakeawayRecall we mentioned that we revised our short-term market bias to Bearish on November 22, nearly four weeks ago. The market had prepared for this moment for a while, drawing in unsuspecting retail/institutional investors into FOMO, anticipating the Santa Claus rally to unfold.Our suggestion is this: Be wary. The pullback is likely far from over, and where it takes us next could portend whether October lows could be sustained. And don't FOMO again.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928380656,"gmtCreate":1671194825975,"gmtModify":1676538506830,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yesary","listText":"Yesary","text":"Yesary","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928380656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921453512,"gmtCreate":1671116604937,"gmtModify":1676538493266,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Play now","listText":"Play now","text":"Play now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921453512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921830017,"gmtCreate":1671021590239,"gmtModify":1676538476720,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921830017","repostId":"1132223607","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132223607","pubTimestamp":1671009006,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132223607?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-14 17:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Should Pause Its Rate Hikes Now That Inflation Has Slowed Significantly. But It Won’t","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132223607","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The Federal Reserve should declare an immediate cease fire in its war against inflation and hold its","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve should declare an immediate cease fire in its war against inflation and hold its benchmark interest rate steady instead of raising the federal funds by a half percentage point to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%, as expected at its meeting that ends Wednesday.</p><p>With the relatively benign report on the consumer price index in November released on Tuesday, the Fed now has “compelling evidence” that it has achieved its immediate goal of seeing a significant slowing in inflation.</p><p>The CPI was better than expected in November, with headline inflation rising just 0.1% (1.2% annualized) and core inflation up 0.2% (2.4% annualized).</p><p>The U.S. stock market SPX, DJIA, COMP on Tuesday initially greeted the CPI report as confirmation that the Fed could begin to let up, but by midday the realization hit that the Fed is going to keep hiking rates.</p><h2>Better than the media says</h2><p>The CPI report was actually better than it’s being portrayed by the media, which continue to focus irrationally on year-over-year changes in inflation rather than looking at what has happened since the Fed began raising interest rates nine months ago. For instance, what are we to make of. this incoherent headline in the New York Times: “U.S. Inflation Cools as Consumer Prices Rise 7.1 Percent”?</p><p>If we don’t want to miss the turning points, we have to shorten our horizon to something less than a year, but not so short that it’s all noise and no signal. Three months is about right.</p><p>In March 2022, when the Fed first raised rates, inflation was accelerating. From January to March, the CPI had risen at an 11.3% annual rate. That was an alarming inflation rate which called for action by the Fed.</p><p>But then the Fed raised interest rates at six straight meetings, going from near zero to near 4% and now inflation is decelerating. From September to November, inflation rose at a 3.7% annual rate.</p><p>That is significant progress in the most relevant measure of inflation.</p><h2>The wrong perspective</h2><p>The progress is much less apparent when the figures are reported on a year-over-year basis, as most media outlets do. From November 2021 to November 2022, inflation rose 7.1% — but that figure is meaningless to our understanding of what the Fed has accomplished because that time frame also includes five months of high inflation from before the Fed acted.</p><p>Because rate hikes take some time to have an impact on prices and on the economy, they didn’t really start to bite until July. In the five months since then, inflation has slowed to a 2.5% annualized rate, noticeable to anyone who’s looking. The unprecedented rise in interest rates is working to cool off price increases.</p><p>The progress is even greater when you take into account that almost all of the inflation we’ve suffered recently is coming from higher rents, which are now rising at a 10% annual rate in a lagged response to last year’s incredible 20%+ increase in home prices and tight rental markets.</p><h2>Rents still rising as home prices fall</h2><p>Home prices have now begun to fall in most regions of the U.S. Rents for new tenants have also begun to fall, but rents paid by continuing tenants have lagged behind and could take another year or longer to catch up, according to research by economists at Goldman Sachs. That’s because rents on existing leases tend to reset on an annual basis.</p><p>Rents are used to compute the costs not only of renters but of homeowners as well. It’s as if we measured champagne prices by looking at how much beer costs.</p><p>With more than 900,000 multifamily housing units now under construction, the supply constraints will soon begin to ease, reducing pressure on rents, when those units hit the market, likely in the next year or so.</p><p>Rents have an outsized influence on the CPI, because rents are used to compute the costs not only of renters but of homeowners as well. It’s as if we measured champagne prices by looking at how much beer costs. Yes, there’s some correlation most of the time, but not always.</p><p>Using rents to measure homeowners’ costs might be an acceptable methodology in normal times, but not now. Based on the increase in rents, the CPI showed that shelter costs for homeowners rose at a 8% annual rate in November. No one believes that’s true. Most homeowners have a fixed-rate mortgage, so principal and interest payments haven’t gone up.</p><h2>The right perspective</h2><p>The best thing to do in this situation is to recognize that we need to exclude shelter costs (which accounts for a third of the CPI) if we want to see where underlying inflation is heading.</p><p>“Substantial disagreement about the correct way to measure shelter inflation argues for looking at inflation measures that put less weight on shelter inflation, not more, when the decision is of greater consequence,” wrote Goldman Sachs economists Ronnie Walker and David Mericle in a note published in October.</p><p>The CPI excluding shelter fell 0.2% in November and has risen at just a 1.3% annual rate over the past three months.</p><p>Even Fed Chair Jerome Powell has acknowledged that a sudden drop in home prices won’t show up in the headline CPI for months, but he’s not acting like he quite believes it. If he did, he’d urge his colleagues at the Fed to pause now and let the full impact of 375 basis points of tightening work on the economy.</p><p>We know, however, that the Fed won’t pause. The Fed lost too much credibility last year when it missed the rapid increase in inflation as the economy emerged from its pandemic lockdown, and now the Fed is scrambling to restore the public’s trust as an inflation fighter.</p><p>Unfortunately, that makes a recession nearly inevitable, because the Fed is going to do what it always does: Raise rates too far and push the economy into a job-killing recession.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Should Pause Its Rate Hikes Now That Inflation Has Slowed Significantly. But It Won’t</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Should Pause Its Rate Hikes Now That Inflation Has Slowed Significantly. But It Won’t\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-14 17:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-u-s-inflation-rate-in-november-was-not-7-1-as-you-were-told-it-was-3-7-11670968283?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve should declare an immediate cease fire in its war against inflation and hold its benchmark interest rate steady instead of raising the federal funds by a half percentage point to a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-u-s-inflation-rate-in-november-was-not-7-1-as-you-were-told-it-was-3-7-11670968283?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-u-s-inflation-rate-in-november-was-not-7-1-as-you-were-told-it-was-3-7-11670968283?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132223607","content_text":"The Federal Reserve should declare an immediate cease fire in its war against inflation and hold its benchmark interest rate steady instead of raising the federal funds by a half percentage point to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%, as expected at its meeting that ends Wednesday.With the relatively benign report on the consumer price index in November released on Tuesday, the Fed now has “compelling evidence” that it has achieved its immediate goal of seeing a significant slowing in inflation.The CPI was better than expected in November, with headline inflation rising just 0.1% (1.2% annualized) and core inflation up 0.2% (2.4% annualized).The U.S. stock market SPX, DJIA, COMP on Tuesday initially greeted the CPI report as confirmation that the Fed could begin to let up, but by midday the realization hit that the Fed is going to keep hiking rates.Better than the media saysThe CPI report was actually better than it’s being portrayed by the media, which continue to focus irrationally on year-over-year changes in inflation rather than looking at what has happened since the Fed began raising interest rates nine months ago. For instance, what are we to make of. this incoherent headline in the New York Times: “U.S. Inflation Cools as Consumer Prices Rise 7.1 Percent”?If we don’t want to miss the turning points, we have to shorten our horizon to something less than a year, but not so short that it’s all noise and no signal. Three months is about right.In March 2022, when the Fed first raised rates, inflation was accelerating. From January to March, the CPI had risen at an 11.3% annual rate. That was an alarming inflation rate which called for action by the Fed.But then the Fed raised interest rates at six straight meetings, going from near zero to near 4% and now inflation is decelerating. From September to November, inflation rose at a 3.7% annual rate.That is significant progress in the most relevant measure of inflation.The wrong perspectiveThe progress is much less apparent when the figures are reported on a year-over-year basis, as most media outlets do. From November 2021 to November 2022, inflation rose 7.1% — but that figure is meaningless to our understanding of what the Fed has accomplished because that time frame also includes five months of high inflation from before the Fed acted.Because rate hikes take some time to have an impact on prices and on the economy, they didn’t really start to bite until July. In the five months since then, inflation has slowed to a 2.5% annualized rate, noticeable to anyone who’s looking. The unprecedented rise in interest rates is working to cool off price increases.The progress is even greater when you take into account that almost all of the inflation we’ve suffered recently is coming from higher rents, which are now rising at a 10% annual rate in a lagged response to last year’s incredible 20%+ increase in home prices and tight rental markets.Rents still rising as home prices fallHome prices have now begun to fall in most regions of the U.S. Rents for new tenants have also begun to fall, but rents paid by continuing tenants have lagged behind and could take another year or longer to catch up, according to research by economists at Goldman Sachs. That’s because rents on existing leases tend to reset on an annual basis.Rents are used to compute the costs not only of renters but of homeowners as well. It’s as if we measured champagne prices by looking at how much beer costs.With more than 900,000 multifamily housing units now under construction, the supply constraints will soon begin to ease, reducing pressure on rents, when those units hit the market, likely in the next year or so.Rents have an outsized influence on the CPI, because rents are used to compute the costs not only of renters but of homeowners as well. It’s as if we measured champagne prices by looking at how much beer costs. Yes, there’s some correlation most of the time, but not always.Using rents to measure homeowners’ costs might be an acceptable methodology in normal times, but not now. Based on the increase in rents, the CPI showed that shelter costs for homeowners rose at a 8% annual rate in November. No one believes that’s true. Most homeowners have a fixed-rate mortgage, so principal and interest payments haven’t gone up.The right perspectiveThe best thing to do in this situation is to recognize that we need to exclude shelter costs (which accounts for a third of the CPI) if we want to see where underlying inflation is heading.“Substantial disagreement about the correct way to measure shelter inflation argues for looking at inflation measures that put less weight on shelter inflation, not more, when the decision is of greater consequence,” wrote Goldman Sachs economists Ronnie Walker and David Mericle in a note published in October.The CPI excluding shelter fell 0.2% in November and has risen at just a 1.3% annual rate over the past three months.Even Fed Chair Jerome Powell has acknowledged that a sudden drop in home prices won’t show up in the headline CPI for months, but he’s not acting like he quite believes it. If he did, he’d urge his colleagues at the Fed to pause now and let the full impact of 375 basis points of tightening work on the economy.We know, however, that the Fed won’t pause. The Fed lost too much credibility last year when it missed the rapid increase in inflation as the economy emerged from its pandemic lockdown, and now the Fed is scrambling to restore the public’s trust as an inflation fighter.Unfortunately, that makes a recession nearly inevitable, because the Fed is going to do what it always does: Raise rates too far and push the economy into a job-killing recession.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921082548,"gmtCreate":1670939738885,"gmtModify":1676538462976,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921082548","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923892745,"gmtCreate":1670819116087,"gmtModify":1676538440114,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923892745","repostId":"1160689342","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160689342","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1670799600,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160689342?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-12 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160689342","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetarypolicydecision will be the highlights.On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.</p><p>On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.</p><p>Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.</p><h2>Monday 12/12</h2><p><b>Oracle reports earnings</b> for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.</p><h2>Tuesday 12/13</h2><p>Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.</p><p><b>The House Financial</b> Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.</p><h2>Wednesday 12/14</h2><p><b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.</p><p><b>Lennar,</b> Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases</b> its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.</p><h2>Thursday 12/15</h2><p><b>Adobe and</b> Jabil host earnings conference calls.</p><p><b>The European Central Bank</b> begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.</p><p><b>The Philadelphia Fed</b> Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.</p><h2>Friday 12/16</h2><p><b>Winnebago Industries,</b> Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-12 07:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.</p><p>On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.</p><p>Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.</p><h2>Monday 12/12</h2><p><b>Oracle reports earnings</b> for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.</p><h2>Tuesday 12/13</h2><p>Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.</p><p><b>The House Financial</b> Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.</p><h2>Wednesday 12/14</h2><p><b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.</p><p><b>Lennar,</b> Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases</b> its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.</p><h2>Thursday 12/15</h2><p><b>Adobe and</b> Jabil host earnings conference calls.</p><p><b>The European Central Bank</b> begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.</p><p><b>The Philadelphia Fed</b> Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.</p><h2>Friday 12/16</h2><p><b>Winnebago Industries,</b> Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABM":"反导工业公司",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PLAB":"福尼克斯","TCOM":"携程网","ORCL":"甲骨文","09961":"携程集团—S","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司",".DJI":"道琼斯","ADBE":"Adobe",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160689342","content_text":"It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.Monday 12/12Oracle reports earnings for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.Tuesday 12/13Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.The House Financial Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.Wednesday 12/14The Federal Open Market Committee concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.Lennar, Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.Thursday 12/15Adobe and Jabil host earnings conference calls.The European Central Bank begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.The Philadelphia Fed Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.The Census Bureau reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.The Federal Reserve releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.Friday 12/16Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9083416055,"gmtCreate":1650155259140,"gmtModify":1676534656712,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/06186\">$CHINA FEIHE(06186)$</a>&nbsp;Seems to be bottoming with increased market share and revenue, is there something else to worry from business standpoint? With reduction of birthrate in coming years, Feihe may need to expand the product range to adult milk, which is more sensitive to detail pricing, can Feihe Fei in this area?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/06186\">$CHINA FEIHE(06186)$</a>&nbsp;Seems to be bottoming with increased market share and revenue, is there something else to worry from business standpoint? With reduction of birthrate in coming years, Feihe may need to expand the product range to adult milk, which is more sensitive to detail pricing, can Feihe Fei in this area?&nbsp;","text":"$CHINA FEIHE(06186)$ Seems to be bottoming with increased market share and revenue, is there something else to worry from business standpoint? With reduction of birthrate in coming years, Feihe may need to expand the product range to adult milk, which is more sensitive to detail pricing, can Feihe Fei in this area?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ab08b2d2ab2afaf4b58d1b0d0a127253","width":"1080","height":"3396"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9083416055","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000644","authorId":"9000000000000644","name":"CrystalRose","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"I remain optimistic about the company's future prospects, as demand for high-quality milk powder is rising despite a decline in the birth rate, which is recovering","text":"I remain optimistic about the company's future prospects, as demand for high-quality milk powder is rising despite a decline in the birth rate, which is recovering","html":"I remain optimistic about the company's future prospects, as demand for high-quality milk powder is rising despite a decline in the birth rate, which is recovering"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832819841,"gmtCreate":1629605160883,"gmtModify":1676530078366,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"There's always a chance for anything to happen, including longest bull ever. But look back at people who will earn and spend tells you we are not better than precovid. It will correct 1 day we just know it.","listText":"There's always a chance for anything to happen, including longest bull ever. But look back at people who will earn and spend tells you we are not better than precovid. It will correct 1 day we just know it.","text":"There's always a chance for anything to happen, including longest bull ever. But look back at people who will earn and spend tells you we are not better than precovid. It will correct 1 day we just know it.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/832819841","repostId":"2161745814","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2161745814","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1629493200,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2161745814?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-21 05:00","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 hasn't fallen 5% from a peak in nearly 200 sessions--what that tells market historians","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2161745814","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"It is an unbearable lightness of being for the S&P 500 index.\nThe broad-market measure of a basket o","content":"<p>It is an unbearable lightness of being for the S&amp;P 500 index.</p>\n<p>The broad-market measure of a basket of 500 U.S. stocks has been preternaturally resistant to pullbacks of late, despite concerns about the spread of the highly transmissible delta variant of COVID-19 and worries that the Federal Reserve’s strategy to reduce its bond purchases may be ill-timed.</p>\n<p>Yet, the S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.81%has seen a largely uninterrupted ascent to such a degree that Friday marked the 200th session without a drawdown of 5% or more from a recent peak, making the current stretch of levitation the longest such since 2016, when the market went 404 sessions without falling by at least 5% peak to trough.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5d7a23827730d58001a0b40420acd79\" tg-width=\"981\" tg-height=\"437\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It is extremely rare for the market to enjoy such a period of relative effervescence. Indeed, such lengthy stretches without a 5% pullback or better have occurred on only eight occasions in the S&amp;P 500 index, the attached table shows.</p>\n<p>There clearly are reasons why the market is clambering higher in the recovery from COVID, set againsta daunting wall of worry. Investors are jockeying between areas of the market that are expected to boost revenue and profit faster than the rest of the pack and those that are beaten down and might benefit from a fuller economic rebound from coronavirus.</p>\n<p>Buying on Monday helped the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.65%and the S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.81%produce their 35th and 49th record all-time closing highs of 2021, respectively. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+1.19%stands a little over 2.5% from its record high put in on Aug. 5.</p>\n<p>There is, of course, a sense that the party for stocks can’t last forever.</p>\n<p>So, how does the market tend to perform in period after such a protracted bullish run?</p>\n<p>The data set is very small but the S&amp;P 500 has mostly climbed on a median basis, falling 1.2% in the following year but producing a median gain of 17.6% in a two-year period and 55% in the ensuing five-year period. The mean average return is better, showing a gain of 6.5%, 27.4% and 64%, respectively.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d556c67fc01e330a57abb4c65802c29d\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"626\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 hasn't fallen 5% from a peak in nearly 200 sessions--what that tells market historians</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 hasn't fallen 5% from a peak in nearly 200 sessions--what that tells market historians\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-21 05:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It is an unbearable lightness of being for the S&amp;P 500 index.</p>\n<p>The broad-market measure of a basket of 500 U.S. stocks has been preternaturally resistant to pullbacks of late, despite concerns about the spread of the highly transmissible delta variant of COVID-19 and worries that the Federal Reserve’s strategy to reduce its bond purchases may be ill-timed.</p>\n<p>Yet, the S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.81%has seen a largely uninterrupted ascent to such a degree that Friday marked the 200th session without a drawdown of 5% or more from a recent peak, making the current stretch of levitation the longest such since 2016, when the market went 404 sessions without falling by at least 5% peak to trough.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5d7a23827730d58001a0b40420acd79\" tg-width=\"981\" tg-height=\"437\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It is extremely rare for the market to enjoy such a period of relative effervescence. Indeed, such lengthy stretches without a 5% pullback or better have occurred on only eight occasions in the S&amp;P 500 index, the attached table shows.</p>\n<p>There clearly are reasons why the market is clambering higher in the recovery from COVID, set againsta daunting wall of worry. Investors are jockeying between areas of the market that are expected to boost revenue and profit faster than the rest of the pack and those that are beaten down and might benefit from a fuller economic rebound from coronavirus.</p>\n<p>Buying on Monday helped the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.65%and the S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.81%produce their 35th and 49th record all-time closing highs of 2021, respectively. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+1.19%stands a little over 2.5% from its record high put in on Aug. 5.</p>\n<p>There is, of course, a sense that the party for stocks can’t last forever.</p>\n<p>So, how does the market tend to perform in period after such a protracted bullish run?</p>\n<p>The data set is very small but the S&amp;P 500 has mostly climbed on a median basis, falling 1.2% in the following year but producing a median gain of 17.6% in a two-year period and 55% in the ensuing five-year period. The mean average return is better, showing a gain of 6.5%, 27.4% and 64%, respectively.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d556c67fc01e330a57abb4c65802c29d\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"626\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2161745814","content_text":"It is an unbearable lightness of being for the S&P 500 index.\nThe broad-market measure of a basket of 500 U.S. stocks has been preternaturally resistant to pullbacks of late, despite concerns about the spread of the highly transmissible delta variant of COVID-19 and worries that the Federal Reserve’s strategy to reduce its bond purchases may be ill-timed.\nYet, the S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.81%has seen a largely uninterrupted ascent to such a degree that Friday marked the 200th session without a drawdown of 5% or more from a recent peak, making the current stretch of levitation the longest such since 2016, when the market went 404 sessions without falling by at least 5% peak to trough.\nIt is extremely rare for the market to enjoy such a period of relative effervescence. Indeed, such lengthy stretches without a 5% pullback or better have occurred on only eight occasions in the S&P 500 index, the attached table shows.\nThere clearly are reasons why the market is clambering higher in the recovery from COVID, set againsta daunting wall of worry. Investors are jockeying between areas of the market that are expected to boost revenue and profit faster than the rest of the pack and those that are beaten down and might benefit from a fuller economic rebound from coronavirus.\nBuying on Monday helped the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.65%and the S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.81%produce their 35th and 49th record all-time closing highs of 2021, respectively. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+1.19%stands a little over 2.5% from its record high put in on Aug. 5.\nThere is, of course, a sense that the party for stocks can’t last forever.\nSo, how does the market tend to perform in period after such a protracted bullish run?\nThe data set is very small but the S&P 500 has mostly climbed on a median basis, falling 1.2% in the following year but producing a median gain of 17.6% in a two-year period and 55% in the ensuing five-year period. The mean average return is better, showing a gain of 6.5%, 27.4% and 64%, respectively.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962522775,"gmtCreate":1669811603297,"gmtModify":1676538248040,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962522775","repostId":"1118460536","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118460536","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1669821732,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118460536?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-30 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell Will Offer a New Mantra: Slow and Steady","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118460536","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will have an opportunity on Wednesday to lay the groundwork f","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will have an opportunity on Wednesday to lay the groundwork for where the central bank is headed when policy makers meet next month—and he’ll likely use it to make the case for slower but steady interest rate hikes.</p><p>In a speech Wednesday afternoon at the Brookings Institution, Powell is expected to reinforce the dual message central bank officials have been making for weeks: that the Fed is on track to ease up slightly on its pace of monetary policy tightening, likely slowing to a 50 basis point increase next month after four straight 75 basis point hikes.</p><p>But at the same time, Powell will likely note as well the central bank is still focused on reining in inflation and will continue raising interest rates for months to come—and policy makers may ultimately lift rates higher than they had once expected.</p><p>“There’s no way he’s going in there tomorrow to shock and awe,” says Claudia Sahm, a former Fed economist and the founder of Sahm Consulting. “This is going to be a really strong signal to 50 [basis points].”</p><p>The speech will be one of the last and highest-profile opportunities for the Fed to set the narrative before central bank officials enter their “blackout period” ahead of the Dec. 13-14 policy meeting. It comes just two days before the release of the November jobs report, which will offer the clearest indication yet of whether the Fed’s steps to tighten monetary policy so far have begun to weaken the labor market.</p><p>It also comes less than two weeks before the release of November’s consumer price data, which will show whether the central bank is continuing to make progress in its quest to return the economy to price stability.</p><p>But the Fed is likely to proceed with its carefully laid out path forward and vote for a half-point rate hike in December regardless of what either of the forthcoming data reports show, economists say. The bigger question will be what comes after that, and Powell’s remarks could offer some insight as to how the central bank is thinking about the months ahead.</p><p>Most investors and economists expect the Fed will downshift once again at its first meeting of 2023 in early February to a quarter-point hike, and then pause rates for some time as it waits to see how the economy reacts. But those decisions will depend largely on whether the data show inflation slowing and the labor market holding relatively steady, as the Fed wants to see.</p><p>“The key for the Fed now will be to strike a delicate balance. It needs to go slow enough so as to not ‘break something,’” Richard de Chazal, a macro analyst with William Blair, wrote on Tuesday. “But the Fed also still needs to increase rates at a fast enough pace to ensure longer-term inflationary expectations remain well anchored.”</p><p>Powell’s remarks are set to begin at 1:30 p.m.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell Will Offer a New Mantra: Slow and Steady</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell Will Offer a New Mantra: Slow and Steady\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-30 23:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will have an opportunity on Wednesday to lay the groundwork for where the central bank is headed when policy makers meet next month—and he’ll likely use it to make the case for slower but steady interest rate hikes.</p><p>In a speech Wednesday afternoon at the Brookings Institution, Powell is expected to reinforce the dual message central bank officials have been making for weeks: that the Fed is on track to ease up slightly on its pace of monetary policy tightening, likely slowing to a 50 basis point increase next month after four straight 75 basis point hikes.</p><p>But at the same time, Powell will likely note as well the central bank is still focused on reining in inflation and will continue raising interest rates for months to come—and policy makers may ultimately lift rates higher than they had once expected.</p><p>“There’s no way he’s going in there tomorrow to shock and awe,” says Claudia Sahm, a former Fed economist and the founder of Sahm Consulting. “This is going to be a really strong signal to 50 [basis points].”</p><p>The speech will be one of the last and highest-profile opportunities for the Fed to set the narrative before central bank officials enter their “blackout period” ahead of the Dec. 13-14 policy meeting. It comes just two days before the release of the November jobs report, which will offer the clearest indication yet of whether the Fed’s steps to tighten monetary policy so far have begun to weaken the labor market.</p><p>It also comes less than two weeks before the release of November’s consumer price data, which will show whether the central bank is continuing to make progress in its quest to return the economy to price stability.</p><p>But the Fed is likely to proceed with its carefully laid out path forward and vote for a half-point rate hike in December regardless of what either of the forthcoming data reports show, economists say. The bigger question will be what comes after that, and Powell’s remarks could offer some insight as to how the central bank is thinking about the months ahead.</p><p>Most investors and economists expect the Fed will downshift once again at its first meeting of 2023 in early February to a quarter-point hike, and then pause rates for some time as it waits to see how the economy reacts. But those decisions will depend largely on whether the data show inflation slowing and the labor market holding relatively steady, as the Fed wants to see.</p><p>“The key for the Fed now will be to strike a delicate balance. It needs to go slow enough so as to not ‘break something,’” Richard de Chazal, a macro analyst with William Blair, wrote on Tuesday. “But the Fed also still needs to increase rates at a fast enough pace to ensure longer-term inflationary expectations remain well anchored.”</p><p>Powell’s remarks are set to begin at 1:30 p.m.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118460536","content_text":"Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will have an opportunity on Wednesday to lay the groundwork for where the central bank is headed when policy makers meet next month—and he’ll likely use it to make the case for slower but steady interest rate hikes.In a speech Wednesday afternoon at the Brookings Institution, Powell is expected to reinforce the dual message central bank officials have been making for weeks: that the Fed is on track to ease up slightly on its pace of monetary policy tightening, likely slowing to a 50 basis point increase next month after four straight 75 basis point hikes.But at the same time, Powell will likely note as well the central bank is still focused on reining in inflation and will continue raising interest rates for months to come—and policy makers may ultimately lift rates higher than they had once expected.“There’s no way he’s going in there tomorrow to shock and awe,” says Claudia Sahm, a former Fed economist and the founder of Sahm Consulting. “This is going to be a really strong signal to 50 [basis points].”The speech will be one of the last and highest-profile opportunities for the Fed to set the narrative before central bank officials enter their “blackout period” ahead of the Dec. 13-14 policy meeting. It comes just two days before the release of the November jobs report, which will offer the clearest indication yet of whether the Fed’s steps to tighten monetary policy so far have begun to weaken the labor market.It also comes less than two weeks before the release of November’s consumer price data, which will show whether the central bank is continuing to make progress in its quest to return the economy to price stability.But the Fed is likely to proceed with its carefully laid out path forward and vote for a half-point rate hike in December regardless of what either of the forthcoming data reports show, economists say. The bigger question will be what comes after that, and Powell’s remarks could offer some insight as to how the central bank is thinking about the months ahead.Most investors and economists expect the Fed will downshift once again at its first meeting of 2023 in early February to a quarter-point hike, and then pause rates for some time as it waits to see how the economy reacts. But those decisions will depend largely on whether the data show inflation slowing and the labor market holding relatively steady, as the Fed wants to see.“The key for the Fed now will be to strike a delicate balance. It needs to go slow enough so as to not ‘break something,’” Richard de Chazal, a macro analyst with William Blair, wrote on Tuesday. “But the Fed also still needs to increase rates at a fast enough pace to ensure longer-term inflationary expectations remain well anchored.”Powell’s remarks are set to begin at 1:30 p.m.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":18,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9030549206,"gmtCreate":1645764357604,"gmtModify":1676534062394,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9030549206","repostId":"2214997386","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2214997386","pubTimestamp":1645745302,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2214997386?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-25 07:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Rallies as West Hits Russia with New Sanctions","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2214997386","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Biden says he is authorizing new sanctions against Russia* Russia begins all-out invasion of Ukrai","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Biden says he is authorizing new sanctions against Russia</p><p>* Russia begins all-out invasion of Ukraine</p><p>* Indexes: Dow up 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 up 1.5%, Nasdaq up 3.3% (Adds volume totals after close, analyst comments, market details)</p><p>NEW YORK, Feb 24 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended sharply higher on Thursday, led by a 3% gain in the Nasdaq, in a dramatic market reversal as U.S. President Joe Biden unveiled harsh new sanctions against Russia after Moscow began an all-out invasion of Ukraine.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 rose more than 1%, ending a four-day slide amid worries over the escalating crisis. The Dow also ended in positive territory.</p><p>After consulting counterparts from the Group of Seven nations, Biden announced measures to impede Russia&#39;s ability to do business in the world&#39;s major currencies, along with sanctions against banks and state-owned enterprises.</p><p>The White House has warned Americans that the conflict could lead to higher fuel prices in the United States, but U.S. officials have been working with counterparts in other countries on a combined release of additional oil from global strategic crude reserves.</p><p>All three major indexes sold off early in the day on news of Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine, with the Nasdaq down more than 3% at the open. They hit session highs in the wake of Biden&#39;s comments and rallied heading into the close.</p><p>&#34;The tough stand the U.S. and Europe is taking is sending a loud message to the financial markets that they&#39;re going to try to cripple as much as they can the Russian economy,&#34; said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.</p><p>&#34;From <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> perspective that&#39;s positive,&#34; he said, adding that the selling in the market may not be over. &#34;Going forward, we&#39;re still subject to probably higher oil prices, probably higher commodity prices.&#34;</p><p>Investors have been worried about how increasing inflation will affect the outlook for the Federal Reserve and higher interest rates.</p><p>Ukrainian forces battled Russian invaders on three sides on Thursday after Moscow mounted an assault by land, sea and air in the biggest attack on a European state since World War <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a>.</p><p>The information technology sector rose 3.5% and gave the S&amp;P 500 its biggest boost, in a reversal from recent action.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 92.07 points, or 0.28%, to 33,223.83, the S&amp;P 500 gained 63.2 points, or 1.50%, to 4,288.7 and the Nasdaq Composite added 436.10 points, or 3.34%, to 13,473.59.</p><p>Early in the session, the Nasdaq was down more than 20% from its November closing record high. If it had closed at that level, it would have confirmed it was in a bear market.</p><p>&#34;Tech had the most technical damage, so it&#39;s good to see tech pick up the pieces,&#34; said Jamie Cox, managing partner of Harris Financial Group in Richmond, Virginia.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 earlier this week confirmed that it was in a correction. A correction is confirmed when an index closes 10% or more below its record closing level.</p><p>The CBOE Volatility index, known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, ended lower on the day.</p><p>&#34;You had a lot of the uncertainty priced in to the market,&#34; said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services in Atlanta.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.14-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.53-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 64 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 19 new highs and 974 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 17.52 billion shares, compared with the 12.1 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days. (Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch in New York Additional reporting by Susan Mathew, Devik Jain and Bansari Mayur Kamdar in Bengaluru Editing by Anil D&#39;Silva and Matthew Lewis)</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Rallies as West Hits Russia with New Sanctions</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Rallies as West Hits Russia with New Sanctions\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-25 07:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-st-rallies-214749851.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>* Biden says he is authorizing new sanctions against Russia* Russia begins all-out invasion of Ukraine* Indexes: Dow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 1.5%, Nasdaq up 3.3% (Adds volume totals after close, analyst ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-st-rallies-214749851.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-st-rallies-214749851.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2214997386","content_text":"* Biden says he is authorizing new sanctions against Russia* Russia begins all-out invasion of Ukraine* Indexes: Dow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 1.5%, Nasdaq up 3.3% (Adds volume totals after close, analyst comments, market details)NEW YORK, Feb 24 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended sharply higher on Thursday, led by a 3% gain in the Nasdaq, in a dramatic market reversal as U.S. President Joe Biden unveiled harsh new sanctions against Russia after Moscow began an all-out invasion of Ukraine.The S&P 500 rose more than 1%, ending a four-day slide amid worries over the escalating crisis. The Dow also ended in positive territory.After consulting counterparts from the Group of Seven nations, Biden announced measures to impede Russia's ability to do business in the world's major currencies, along with sanctions against banks and state-owned enterprises.The White House has warned Americans that the conflict could lead to higher fuel prices in the United States, but U.S. officials have been working with counterparts in other countries on a combined release of additional oil from global strategic crude reserves.All three major indexes sold off early in the day on news of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, with the Nasdaq down more than 3% at the open. They hit session highs in the wake of Biden's comments and rallied heading into the close.\"The tough stand the U.S. and Europe is taking is sending a loud message to the financial markets that they're going to try to cripple as much as they can the Russian economy,\" said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.\"From one perspective that's positive,\" he said, adding that the selling in the market may not be over. \"Going forward, we're still subject to probably higher oil prices, probably higher commodity prices.\"Investors have been worried about how increasing inflation will affect the outlook for the Federal Reserve and higher interest rates.Ukrainian forces battled Russian invaders on three sides on Thursday after Moscow mounted an assault by land, sea and air in the biggest attack on a European state since World War Two.The information technology sector rose 3.5% and gave the S&P 500 its biggest boost, in a reversal from recent action.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 92.07 points, or 0.28%, to 33,223.83, the S&P 500 gained 63.2 points, or 1.50%, to 4,288.7 and the Nasdaq Composite added 436.10 points, or 3.34%, to 13,473.59.Early in the session, the Nasdaq was down more than 20% from its November closing record high. If it had closed at that level, it would have confirmed it was in a bear market.\"Tech had the most technical damage, so it's good to see tech pick up the pieces,\" said Jamie Cox, managing partner of Harris Financial Group in Richmond, Virginia.The S&P 500 earlier this week confirmed that it was in a correction. A correction is confirmed when an index closes 10% or more below its record closing level.The CBOE Volatility index, known as Wall Street's fear gauge, ended lower on the day.\"You had a lot of the uncertainty priced in to the market,\" said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services in Atlanta.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.14-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.53-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 64 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 19 new highs and 974 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 17.52 billion shares, compared with the 12.1 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days. (Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch in New York Additional reporting by Susan Mathew, Devik Jain and Bansari Mayur Kamdar in Bengaluru Editing by Anil D'Silva and Matthew Lewis)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":56,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157194426,"gmtCreate":1625570789565,"gmtModify":1703743968239,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Holy Moly, like here and comment!&nbsp;","listText":"Holy Moly, like here and comment!&nbsp;","text":"Holy Moly, like here and comment!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/157194426","repostId":"1165946493","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9084652705,"gmtCreate":1650859964111,"gmtModify":1676534805277,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084652705","repostId":"1169976587","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169976587","pubTimestamp":1650857012,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169976587?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-25 11:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs Has 5 Stocks Under $10 Rated Buy With 125% to 400% Upside Potential","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169976587","media":"24/7 wall street","summary":"While most of Wall Street focuses on large-cap and mega-cap stocks, as they provide a degree of safe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>While most of Wall Street focuses on large-cap and mega-cap stocks, as they provide a degree of safety and liquidity, many investors are limited in the number of shares they can buy. Many of the biggest public companies, especially the technology giants, trade in the hundreds, all the way up to over $1,000 per share or more. At those steep prices, it is difficult to get any decent share count leverage.</p><p>Many investors, especially more aggressive traders, look at lower-priced stocks as a way not only to make some good money but to get a higher share count. That can really help the decision-making process, especially when you are on to a winner, as you can always sell half and keep half.</p><p>Goldman Sachs is the premier investment bank in the world, so we screened its outstanding research database and found five stocks trading under the $10 level that could provide investors with upside potential ranging from over 125% to 400%. For those leery of low-priced shares, just remember that Amazon and Apple at one time traded in the single digits. Zynga, a stock we have featured over the years, recently was purchased by Take-Two Interactive Software.</p><p>While all five are rated Buy at Goldman Sachs, they are much better suited for very aggressive investors. It also is important to remember that no single analyst report should be used as a sole basis for any buying or selling decision.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ANGI\">Angi</a></p><p>Shares of this popular home services company have been crushed and have huge upside potential. Angi Inc. (NASDAQ: ANGI) connects home service professionals with consumers in the United States and internationally.</p><p>The Angi Ads business connects consumers with service professionals for local services through the Angi nationwide online directory of service professionals in various service categories. It provides consumers with valuable tools, services and content, including verified reviews, to help them research, shop and hire for local services, and it sells term-based website and mobile and digital magazine advertising to service professionals, as well as provides quoting, invoicing and payment services.</p><p>The company also owns and operates Angi Leads digital marketplace service, which connects consumers with service professionals for home repair, maintenance and improvement projects; offers consumers with tools and resources to find local, pre-screened and customer-rated service professionals, as well as online appointment booking; and connects consumers with service professionals by telephone and home services-related resources.</p><p>Angi also operates Handy, a platform for household services, primarily cleaning and repair services; Angi Roofing, which provides roof replacement and repair services; and home services marketplaces under the Travaux, MyHammer, Werkspot, MyBuilder and Instapro names.</p><p>Goldman Sachs has a $12 price target for Angi stock, while the consensus target is $11.59. The shares closed trading on Friday at $4.73. Hitting the Goldman Sachs target would be about a 128% gain.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARRY\">Array Technologies</a></p><p>This company is still sometimes confused with a biotech with a similar name that Pfizer bought in 2019. Array Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ARRY) provides solar tracking solutions and services for utility-scale projects. Its products include DuraTrack HZ v3, a single-axis solar tracking system, and SmarTrack, a machine learning software that automatically adjusts module angles in response to weather and site conditions.</p><p>This stock had a red-hot initial public offering in 2020. Shares charged out of the gate, as the first trade was 34% above where the upsized IPO was priced. A total of 47.5 million shares were sold in the offering, as the maker of ground-mounting systems used in solar energy projects sold 7 million shares to raise $154 million and a selling shareholder sold 40.5 million shares.</p><p>Since then, Array Technologies stock has crashed and is offering investors an incredible entry point.</p><p>The Goldman Sachs target price is $21, and the consensus target for Array Technologies stock is $21.80. Shares traded on Friday at $7.02 down 5%. Hitting the Goldman Sachs target would be a 148% gain or so.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KNTE\">Kinnate Biopharma</a></p><p>If clinical data goes the way the analysts expect, this stock could be an incredible home run. Kinnate Biopharma Inc. (NASDAQ: KNTE) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of small molecule kinase inhibitors to treat genomically defined cancers in the United States.</p><p>The company develops KIN-2787, a rapidly accelerated fibrosarcoma inhibitor for the treatment of patients with lung cancer, melanoma and other solid tumors; KIN-3248 small-molecule kinase inhibitors that target cancer-associated alterations in fibroblast growth factor receptors FGFR2 and FGFR3 genes; and small molecule research programs, including Cyclin-Dependent Kinase 12(CDK12) inhibitor in its KIN004 program.</p><p>The company recently announced that the first patient has commenced treatment in its Phase 1 KN-4802 clinical trial evaluating its lead fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) product candidate, KIN-3248. This is a next-generation pan-FGFR inhibitor being developed for the treatment of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma and urothelial carcinoma, as well as other solid tumors.</p><p>The $44 Goldman Sachs price objective is higher than the also incredible $41.50 consensus target. The shares closed trading at $8.26 on Friday. Hitting the Goldman Sachs target would be a moonshot 415% gain.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VVNT\">Vivint Smart Home</a></p><p>This off-the-radar company has been growing quickly, as home security has become a priority for many. Vivint Smart Home Inc. (VVNT) engages in the sale, installation, servicing and monitoring of smart home and security systems, primarily in the United States and Canada.</p><p>The company’s smart home platform includes cloud-enabled smart home operating systems; AI-driven smart home automation and assistance software; software-enabled smart home devices; and tech-enabled services to educate, manage and support the smart home. It also offers other devices, including control panel, door and window sensors, security cameras and smoke alarms, door locks, motion sensors, glass break detectors, key fobs, emergency pendants, carbon monoxide detectors and fire, flood and burglary sensors.</p><p>Vivint Smart Home solutions enable subscribers to interact with their connected home with voice or mobile device, including front door viewing live and recorded video inside and outside homes, as well as control thermostats, locks, lights and garage doors, and managing movement of families, friends and visitors. As of March 31, 2021, its smart home platform had approximately 1.9 million subscribers and managed approximately 26 million in-home devices. It markets its products through direct-to-home and inside sales channels.</p><p>The Goldman Sachs price target of $14 compares with a $12.14 consensus target and a $5.40 per share Vivint Smart Home stock price on Friday. Hitting the Goldman Sachs target price would be about a 166% gain.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZVIA\">Zevia</a></p><p>This is another micro-cap idea with incredible upside potential. Zevia PBC (NYSE: ZVIA) is a beverage company that develops, markets, sells and distributes various carbonated and non-carbonated soft drinks in the United States and Canada.</p><p>The company offers soda, energy drinks, organic tea, mixers, kids beverages and sparkling water. The company offers its products through various retail channels, including grocery distributors, national retailers, warehouse club and natural products retailers, as well as e-commerce channels. It provides its products under the Zevia brand name.</p><p>The company is focused on addressing the global health challenges resulting from excess sugar consumption by offering a broad portfolio of zero-sugar, zero-calorie, naturally sweetened beverages. All Zevia beverages are made with a handful of simple, plant-based ingredients, contain no artificial sweeteners, and are Non-GMO Project verified, gluten-free, Kosher, vegan and zero sodium.</p><p>Goldman Sachs has set a $16 price target. The consensus target is $11.27, and shares wrere last traded on Friday at $3.44. Hitting that Goldman Sachs target would be a gain of 300% or so.</p><p>These are five stocks for aggressive investors looking to get share count leverage on companies that have sizable upside potential. While not suited for all investors, they are not penny stocks with absolutely no track record or liquidity, and major Wall Street firms have research coverage.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1620372341666","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs Has 5 Stocks Under $10 Rated Buy With 125% to 400% Upside Potential</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs Has 5 Stocks Under $10 Rated Buy With 125% to 400% Upside Potential\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-25 11:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://247wallst.com/investing/2022/04/23/goldman-sachs-has-5-stocks-under-10-rated-buy-with-125-to-400-upside-potential/><strong>24/7 wall street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>While most of Wall Street focuses on large-cap and mega-cap stocks, as they provide a degree of safety and liquidity, many investors are limited in the number of shares they can buy. Many of the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://247wallst.com/investing/2022/04/23/goldman-sachs-has-5-stocks-under-10-rated-buy-with-125-to-400-upside-potential/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ANGI":"Angi Inc","ZVIA":"Zevia PBC","VVNT":"Vivint Smart Home Corp.","ARRY":"Array Technologies Inc.","KNTE":"Kinnate BioPharma Inc."},"source_url":"https://247wallst.com/investing/2022/04/23/goldman-sachs-has-5-stocks-under-10-rated-buy-with-125-to-400-upside-potential/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169976587","content_text":"While most of Wall Street focuses on large-cap and mega-cap stocks, as they provide a degree of safety and liquidity, many investors are limited in the number of shares they can buy. Many of the biggest public companies, especially the technology giants, trade in the hundreds, all the way up to over $1,000 per share or more. At those steep prices, it is difficult to get any decent share count leverage.Many investors, especially more aggressive traders, look at lower-priced stocks as a way not only to make some good money but to get a higher share count. That can really help the decision-making process, especially when you are on to a winner, as you can always sell half and keep half.Goldman Sachs is the premier investment bank in the world, so we screened its outstanding research database and found five stocks trading under the $10 level that could provide investors with upside potential ranging from over 125% to 400%. For those leery of low-priced shares, just remember that Amazon and Apple at one time traded in the single digits. Zynga, a stock we have featured over the years, recently was purchased by Take-Two Interactive Software.While all five are rated Buy at Goldman Sachs, they are much better suited for very aggressive investors. It also is important to remember that no single analyst report should be used as a sole basis for any buying or selling decision.AngiShares of this popular home services company have been crushed and have huge upside potential. Angi Inc. (NASDAQ: ANGI) connects home service professionals with consumers in the United States and internationally.The Angi Ads business connects consumers with service professionals for local services through the Angi nationwide online directory of service professionals in various service categories. It provides consumers with valuable tools, services and content, including verified reviews, to help them research, shop and hire for local services, and it sells term-based website and mobile and digital magazine advertising to service professionals, as well as provides quoting, invoicing and payment services.The company also owns and operates Angi Leads digital marketplace service, which connects consumers with service professionals for home repair, maintenance and improvement projects; offers consumers with tools and resources to find local, pre-screened and customer-rated service professionals, as well as online appointment booking; and connects consumers with service professionals by telephone and home services-related resources.Angi also operates Handy, a platform for household services, primarily cleaning and repair services; Angi Roofing, which provides roof replacement and repair services; and home services marketplaces under the Travaux, MyHammer, Werkspot, MyBuilder and Instapro names.Goldman Sachs has a $12 price target for Angi stock, while the consensus target is $11.59. The shares closed trading on Friday at $4.73. Hitting the Goldman Sachs target would be about a 128% gain.Array TechnologiesThis company is still sometimes confused with a biotech with a similar name that Pfizer bought in 2019. Array Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ARRY) provides solar tracking solutions and services for utility-scale projects. Its products include DuraTrack HZ v3, a single-axis solar tracking system, and SmarTrack, a machine learning software that automatically adjusts module angles in response to weather and site conditions.This stock had a red-hot initial public offering in 2020. Shares charged out of the gate, as the first trade was 34% above where the upsized IPO was priced. A total of 47.5 million shares were sold in the offering, as the maker of ground-mounting systems used in solar energy projects sold 7 million shares to raise $154 million and a selling shareholder sold 40.5 million shares.Since then, Array Technologies stock has crashed and is offering investors an incredible entry point.The Goldman Sachs target price is $21, and the consensus target for Array Technologies stock is $21.80. Shares traded on Friday at $7.02 down 5%. Hitting the Goldman Sachs target would be a 148% gain or so.Kinnate BiopharmaIf clinical data goes the way the analysts expect, this stock could be an incredible home run. Kinnate Biopharma Inc. (NASDAQ: KNTE) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of small molecule kinase inhibitors to treat genomically defined cancers in the United States.The company develops KIN-2787, a rapidly accelerated fibrosarcoma inhibitor for the treatment of patients with lung cancer, melanoma and other solid tumors; KIN-3248 small-molecule kinase inhibitors that target cancer-associated alterations in fibroblast growth factor receptors FGFR2 and FGFR3 genes; and small molecule research programs, including Cyclin-Dependent Kinase 12(CDK12) inhibitor in its KIN004 program.The company recently announced that the first patient has commenced treatment in its Phase 1 KN-4802 clinical trial evaluating its lead fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) product candidate, KIN-3248. This is a next-generation pan-FGFR inhibitor being developed for the treatment of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma and urothelial carcinoma, as well as other solid tumors.The $44 Goldman Sachs price objective is higher than the also incredible $41.50 consensus target. The shares closed trading at $8.26 on Friday. Hitting the Goldman Sachs target would be a moonshot 415% gain.Vivint Smart HomeThis off-the-radar company has been growing quickly, as home security has become a priority for many. Vivint Smart Home Inc. (VVNT) engages in the sale, installation, servicing and monitoring of smart home and security systems, primarily in the United States and Canada.The company’s smart home platform includes cloud-enabled smart home operating systems; AI-driven smart home automation and assistance software; software-enabled smart home devices; and tech-enabled services to educate, manage and support the smart home. It also offers other devices, including control panel, door and window sensors, security cameras and smoke alarms, door locks, motion sensors, glass break detectors, key fobs, emergency pendants, carbon monoxide detectors and fire, flood and burglary sensors.Vivint Smart Home solutions enable subscribers to interact with their connected home with voice or mobile device, including front door viewing live and recorded video inside and outside homes, as well as control thermostats, locks, lights and garage doors, and managing movement of families, friends and visitors. As of March 31, 2021, its smart home platform had approximately 1.9 million subscribers and managed approximately 26 million in-home devices. It markets its products through direct-to-home and inside sales channels.The Goldman Sachs price target of $14 compares with a $12.14 consensus target and a $5.40 per share Vivint Smart Home stock price on Friday. Hitting the Goldman Sachs target price would be about a 166% gain.ZeviaThis is another micro-cap idea with incredible upside potential. Zevia PBC (NYSE: ZVIA) is a beverage company that develops, markets, sells and distributes various carbonated and non-carbonated soft drinks in the United States and Canada.The company offers soda, energy drinks, organic tea, mixers, kids beverages and sparkling water. The company offers its products through various retail channels, including grocery distributors, national retailers, warehouse club and natural products retailers, as well as e-commerce channels. It provides its products under the Zevia brand name.The company is focused on addressing the global health challenges resulting from excess sugar consumption by offering a broad portfolio of zero-sugar, zero-calorie, naturally sweetened beverages. All Zevia beverages are made with a handful of simple, plant-based ingredients, contain no artificial sweeteners, and are Non-GMO Project verified, gluten-free, Kosher, vegan and zero sodium.Goldman Sachs has set a $16 price target. The consensus target is $11.27, and shares wrere last traded on Friday at $3.44. Hitting that Goldman Sachs target would be a gain of 300% or so.These are five stocks for aggressive investors looking to get share count leverage on companies that have sizable upside potential. While not suited for all investors, they are not penny stocks with absolutely no track record or liquidity, and major Wall Street firms have research coverage.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9039652508,"gmtCreate":1646028206123,"gmtModify":1676534083770,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039652508","repostId":"1157835242","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157835242","pubTimestamp":1646027452,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157835242?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-28 13:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"War, Inflation, Rising Interest Rates: 6 Stocks for Tumultuous Times","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157835242","media":"Barrons","summary":"The U.S. stock market entered correction territory this past week. Growth stocks did worse, touching","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. stock market entered correction territory this past week. Growth stocks did worse, touching bear market territory. Investors worried about inflation and rising interest rates. Now war threatens to disrupt Europe.</p><p>The knee-jerk reaction might be to give up, sell stocks, and ride out the volatility, but that could mean missing out on bargains in quality stocks.</p><p>“What I don’t want to see people do is sell after we’ve had such a share drawdown, after we have finally entered a correction,” says SoFi Technologies head of investing strategy Liz Young. Investors can research some new ideas that can weather the current environment, looking for good deals amid market turmoil.</p><p>RBC multi-industry analyst Deane Dray says that investors should focus on high-quality stocks. That means companies with strong management teams, profit margins, and cash flow.</p><p>Earnings matter, too. “You want a company with a strong E in its P/E ratio,” says Young. Steadily growing earnings offset any compression in price/earnings ratios brought on by either inflation or geopolitical conflict.</p><p>Investors can also search for companies with more U.S. exposure as tensions rise in Europe. That can help account for the possibility that things take longer than hoped for to resolve across the Atlantic.</p><p>“Geopolitical volatility [is] an opportunity to gain exposure to longer-term positive trends,” says Baird machinery analyst Mig Dobre. “ Deere is a great example.” Deere shares (ticker: DE) are down about 15% since mid-February, possibly because roughly 6% of the company’s sales come from Russia.</p><p>Companies that can grow in all types of conditions have an advantage. CarMax (KMX) aims to sell two million cars a year in five years, up from roughly 1.2 million units in fiscal-year 2021. The company’s volume goal is one of the reasons that Baird analyst Craig Kennison put CarMax stock on his list of best ideas for 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1b7887613aa3ed90eccc0c3ed2fc5c3\" tg-width=\"1099\" tg-height=\"620\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ab1cbe718993ffa32a5d3b854ed8962\" tg-width=\"1074\" tg-height=\"114\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Evoqua Water Technologies(AQUA) provides water and wastewater treatment for residential, commercial, and industrial customers. About 80% of sales are generated in the U.S., and the company is less reliant than other firms on capital spending, notes RBC multi-industry analyst Deane Dray. That means if corporate budgets tighten as the global economy gets more uncertain, Pittsburgh-based Evoqua is less at risk. And everyone in the U.S. will still need water, no matter what happens overseas. Dray’s price target is $50, about 50 times estimated calendar-year 2022 earnings. That’s not cheap, but investors get stability and growth. Earnings are expected to double over the next three years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/945168d2daa1183f11aa39d09418380b\" tg-width=\"1095\" tg-height=\"582\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><table><thead><tr><th>Company / Ticker</th><th>Recent Price</th><th>52-Week Change</th><th>2022E EPS</th><th>2022E PE</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Deere / DE</td><td>$342.76</td><td>-1.51%</td><td>$23.19</td><td>14.8</td></tr></tbody></table><p>The Moline, Ill., farm- and construction-equipment maker generates about 70% of its sales in North and South America. When commodity prices rise, due to weather—or a war in Europe—U.S. farmers can benefit. Russia remains a risk, but the combination of higher commodity prices, rising farm-equipment age, and the trend toward precision-farming technology can overwhelm any temporary hiccup. Mig Dobre, the Baird machinery analyst, has a price target of $487 for Deere (DE), up more than 40% from recent levels. That works out to about 21 times Wall Street’s estimated calendar-year 2022 earnings of $23.19. Those earnings are expected to increase almost 20% from 2021 earnings of $19.61 a share.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fde8f01fd614bf55be73c6b2b0118309\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"585\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><table><thead><tr><th>Company / Ticker</th><th>Recent Price</th><th>52-Week Change</th><th>2022E EPS</th><th>2022E PE</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>American Water Works / AWK</td><td>$148.6</td><td>2.03%</td><td>$4.45</td><td>33.4</td></tr></tbody></table><p>“Anytime water utilities do poorly, or just have a period of poor performance, we start going to work,” says Jay Rhame, CEO and portfolio manager at Reaves Asset Management, a firm dedicated to investing in infrastructure and utility stocks. “They are so reliable, so consistent—getting a cheaper valuation doesn’t come often.”</p><p>American Water Works (AWK) shares dropped more than 20% to start 2022, and now trade for about 33 times estimated 2022 earnings. That might look pricey, but earnings have grown like clockwork for years and are expected to advance at 8% or 9% a year for the foreseeable future. The company has boosted its dividend at about 10% a year on average for a decade.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21d63e1fd21a8d609a2736c5c0097c59\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"593\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><table><thead><tr><th>Company / Ticker</th><th>Recent Price</th><th>52-Week Change</th><th>2022E EPS</th><th>2022E PE</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Southern / SO</td><td>$62.88</td><td>8.86%</td><td>$3.55</td><td>17.7</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Atlanta-based Southern Co. (SO) has defensive, high-quality characteristics. Its dividend has grown at about 3% a year on average for the past decade, and shares now yield 4.3%. The shares of the multistate electric-and-gas utility trade for about 17 times estimated 2022 earnings of $3.55 a share. Rhame, of Reaves Asset Management, points out that in 2008, when the market dropped about 38%, Southern stock held its own. The stock is down almost 10% this year, partly because the company pushed back the timeline to start up new nuclear-power generating facilities in Georgia by three to six months. Two new reactors are now slated to be up and running by the end of 2023.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c132f1f8f0f504a2b828d945152d85\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"584\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><table><thead><tr><th>Company / Ticker</th><th>Recent Price</th><th>52-Week Change</th><th>2022E EPS</th><th>2022E PE</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>CarMax / KMX</td><td>$105.15</td><td>-11.58</td><td>$7.32</td><td>14.4</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Benchmark analyst Mike Ward says car dealerships are good businesses. “Costs are variable, inventory is largely financed by vehicle manufacturers, and parts-and-service revenue offsets about 75% of fixed costs,” he says. Shares of Richmond, Va.–based CarMax (KMX), the largest used-car dealer in the nation, are down about 20% this year, trading for roughly 14 times estimated calendar-year 2022 earnings. Used-car prices are at record levels, a function of low inventories and low new-car production. Falling used-car prices are a risk, but Craig Kennison, the Baird analyst, says investors should focus on dealerships that can increase volumes so that earnings can grow, even if car prices dip.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fea3d5882f4c6308dc7d173a49512aa\" tg-width=\"1075\" tg-height=\"586\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><table><thead><tr><th>Company / Ticker</th><th>Recent Price</th><th>52-Week Change</th><th>2022E EPS</th><th>2022E PE</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Constellation Brands / STZ</td><td>$215.01</td><td>-1.34%</td><td>$11.34</td><td>19</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Before Covid, Constellation Brands (STZ) was one of the fastest-growing large-capitalization beverage stocks, according to J.P. Morgan analyst Andrea Teixeira. Coming out of Covid, volume growth is accelerating as the U.S. wine and beer distributor continues to invest in its brands, such as Corona beer. Shares are down about 15% this year. Investors are worried that profit margins will take a hit as the company ramps up new capacity. But Teixeira notes that new capacity will result in higher volume and improving profit margins. Shares trade for about 19 times estimated calendar-year 2022 earnings per share of about $11.34. Earnings growth is expected to be about 13% a year on average for the next few years.</p></body></html>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>War, Inflation, Rising Interest Rates: 6 Stocks for Tumultuous Times</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWar, Inflation, Rising Interest Rates: 6 Stocks for Tumultuous Times\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-28 13:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/6-safe-stocks-usa-51645840741?mod=search_headline><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The U.S. stock market entered correction territory this past week. Growth stocks did worse, touching bear market territory. Investors worried about inflation and rising interest rates. Now war ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/6-safe-stocks-usa-51645840741?mod=search_headline\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KMX":"车美仕","AQUA":"Evoqua Water Technologies Corp.","STZ":"星座品牌","SO":"美国南方公司","AWK":"美国水务","DE":"迪尔股份有限公司"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/6-safe-stocks-usa-51645840741?mod=search_headline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1157835242","content_text":"The U.S. stock market entered correction territory this past week. Growth stocks did worse, touching bear market territory. Investors worried about inflation and rising interest rates. Now war threatens to disrupt Europe.The knee-jerk reaction might be to give up, sell stocks, and ride out the volatility, but that could mean missing out on bargains in quality stocks.“What I don’t want to see people do is sell after we’ve had such a share drawdown, after we have finally entered a correction,” says SoFi Technologies head of investing strategy Liz Young. Investors can research some new ideas that can weather the current environment, looking for good deals amid market turmoil.RBC multi-industry analyst Deane Dray says that investors should focus on high-quality stocks. That means companies with strong management teams, profit margins, and cash flow.Earnings matter, too. “You want a company with a strong E in its P/E ratio,” says Young. Steadily growing earnings offset any compression in price/earnings ratios brought on by either inflation or geopolitical conflict.Investors can also search for companies with more U.S. exposure as tensions rise in Europe. That can help account for the possibility that things take longer than hoped for to resolve across the Atlantic.“Geopolitical volatility [is] an opportunity to gain exposure to longer-term positive trends,” says Baird machinery analyst Mig Dobre. “ Deere is a great example.” Deere shares (ticker: DE) are down about 15% since mid-February, possibly because roughly 6% of the company’s sales come from Russia.Companies that can grow in all types of conditions have an advantage. CarMax (KMX) aims to sell two million cars a year in five years, up from roughly 1.2 million units in fiscal-year 2021. The company’s volume goal is one of the reasons that Baird analyst Craig Kennison put CarMax stock on his list of best ideas for 2022.Evoqua Water Technologies(AQUA) provides water and wastewater treatment for residential, commercial, and industrial customers. About 80% of sales are generated in the U.S., and the company is less reliant than other firms on capital spending, notes RBC multi-industry analyst Deane Dray. That means if corporate budgets tighten as the global economy gets more uncertain, Pittsburgh-based Evoqua is less at risk. And everyone in the U.S. will still need water, no matter what happens overseas. Dray’s price target is $50, about 50 times estimated calendar-year 2022 earnings. That’s not cheap, but investors get stability and growth. Earnings are expected to double over the next three years.Company / TickerRecent Price52-Week Change2022E EPS2022E PEDeere / DE$342.76-1.51%$23.1914.8The Moline, Ill., farm- and construction-equipment maker generates about 70% of its sales in North and South America. When commodity prices rise, due to weather—or a war in Europe—U.S. farmers can benefit. Russia remains a risk, but the combination of higher commodity prices, rising farm-equipment age, and the trend toward precision-farming technology can overwhelm any temporary hiccup. Mig Dobre, the Baird machinery analyst, has a price target of $487 for Deere (DE), up more than 40% from recent levels. That works out to about 21 times Wall Street’s estimated calendar-year 2022 earnings of $23.19. Those earnings are expected to increase almost 20% from 2021 earnings of $19.61 a share.Company / TickerRecent Price52-Week Change2022E EPS2022E PEAmerican Water Works / AWK$148.62.03%$4.4533.4“Anytime water utilities do poorly, or just have a period of poor performance, we start going to work,” says Jay Rhame, CEO and portfolio manager at Reaves Asset Management, a firm dedicated to investing in infrastructure and utility stocks. “They are so reliable, so consistent—getting a cheaper valuation doesn’t come often.”American Water Works (AWK) shares dropped more than 20% to start 2022, and now trade for about 33 times estimated 2022 earnings. That might look pricey, but earnings have grown like clockwork for years and are expected to advance at 8% or 9% a year for the foreseeable future. The company has boosted its dividend at about 10% a year on average for a decade.Company / TickerRecent Price52-Week Change2022E EPS2022E PESouthern / SO$62.888.86%$3.5517.7Atlanta-based Southern Co. (SO) has defensive, high-quality characteristics. Its dividend has grown at about 3% a year on average for the past decade, and shares now yield 4.3%. The shares of the multistate electric-and-gas utility trade for about 17 times estimated 2022 earnings of $3.55 a share. Rhame, of Reaves Asset Management, points out that in 2008, when the market dropped about 38%, Southern stock held its own. The stock is down almost 10% this year, partly because the company pushed back the timeline to start up new nuclear-power generating facilities in Georgia by three to six months. Two new reactors are now slated to be up and running by the end of 2023.Company / TickerRecent Price52-Week Change2022E EPS2022E PECarMax / KMX$105.15-11.58$7.3214.4Benchmark analyst Mike Ward says car dealerships are good businesses. “Costs are variable, inventory is largely financed by vehicle manufacturers, and parts-and-service revenue offsets about 75% of fixed costs,” he says. Shares of Richmond, Va.–based CarMax (KMX), the largest used-car dealer in the nation, are down about 20% this year, trading for roughly 14 times estimated calendar-year 2022 earnings. Used-car prices are at record levels, a function of low inventories and low new-car production. Falling used-car prices are a risk, but Craig Kennison, the Baird analyst, says investors should focus on dealerships that can increase volumes so that earnings can grow, even if car prices dip.Company / TickerRecent Price52-Week Change2022E EPS2022E PEConstellation Brands / STZ$215.01-1.34%$11.3419Before Covid, Constellation Brands (STZ) was one of the fastest-growing large-capitalization beverage stocks, according to J.P. Morgan analyst Andrea Teixeira. Coming out of Covid, volume growth is accelerating as the U.S. wine and beer distributor continues to invest in its brands, such as Corona beer. Shares are down about 15% this year. Investors are worried that profit margins will take a hit as the company ramps up new capacity. But Teixeira notes that new capacity will result in higher volume and improving profit margins. Shares trade for about 19 times estimated calendar-year 2022 earnings per share of about $11.34. Earnings growth is expected to be about 13% a year on average for the next few years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":19,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9953310126,"gmtCreate":1673152536466,"gmtModify":1676538793077,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yea","listText":"Yea","text":"Yea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9953310126","repostId":"2301720269","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2301720269","pubTimestamp":1673139445,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2301720269?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-08 08:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Signs of Seller Exhaustion Left Stocks Primed for a Big Bounce","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2301720269","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Hedge-fund exposure at five-year low while retail dumps stocksIt extends pattern where positioning o","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Hedge-fund exposure at five-year low while retail dumps stocks</li><li>It extends pattern where positioning overshadows market moves</li></ul><p>A pattern has persisted in stocks the past year. A downdraft steepens, sellers get the selling out of their systems, and the market is left poised for an often-powerful jump.</p><p>Friday’s surge, which spared the S&amp;P 500 from a fifth straight down week, bore all the hallmarks of that routine, coming amid a boatload of evidence that investor risk appetite had been cut to the bone. A measure of equity exposure among hedge fund clients fell to a five-year low, while retail pessimism was also intensifying, according to JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. data.</p><p>Those trends would explain two things. One, last month’s uncharacteristically awful returns, a consequence of across-the-board selling that pushed the S&amp;P 500 to its worst December in four years. And two, Friday’s ebullient reaction to news showing higher-than-forecast payroll additions in the US economy, when seven of the prior eight employment reports spurred losses.</p><p>“If you look at a broad array of sentiment indicators, they universally suggest investors are a lot more cautious than they were a year ago,” said Dan Suzuki, deputy chief investment officer at Richard Bernstein Advisors. “That could very well be laying the groundwork for another short-term rally, as we seem to get every several months.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/748a5b17c1b5a314e3a001d03db00a55\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Stocks ended the longest streak of weekly declines since last May as the S&amp;P 500 climbed during the holiday-shortened period. The benchmark gauge, which finished 2022 with the worst annual slide since the financial crisis, rose 1.5% over the four days, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced for a second week in three.</p><p>Boom-bust cycles in equities last year generally correlated with changes in institutional and retail positioning. Gains occurred after investors slashed bullish bets, and declines followed buying sprees. The incessant up-down motion made gleaning an economic signal from the market — never an exact science to begin with — particularly futile, with trends in the market proving temporary. Friday’s runup in the S&amp;P 500 also came after a sharp drop in risk-appetites.</p><p>Another major contour of last year’s investment landscape repeated this week: value vastly outperformed growth, with an index tracking cheaper stocks beating that of fast growers by 2 percentage points. One takeaway from that might be a slightly less-dour economic message than has generally been taken from markets as a whole. Growth companies are part of the economy, obviously, but the battering those stocks took was primarily driven by shrinking valuations. Value shares had far less bloat to correct and as a result their relatively tame losses could be framed as a purer and cheerier signal on future activity.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f88b2b88fd40b113313c55bb11021862\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Sessions when monthly payrolls data were released have not been kind to stocks of late. Among jobs days last year, all but three saw the S&amp;P 500 falling as the economy mostly added more jobs than expected, clearing the path for the Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy as it battled inflation. The ominous pattern, along with the specter of a serious downturn, prompted investors of all stripes to hunker down after a brutal year that saw stocks and Treasuries suffer the worst annual loss in more than a century.</p><p>Hedge funds that make both bullish and bearish equity wagers boosted their short positions in December, with their average leverage falling to the lowest level since 2017, data compiled by JPMorgan’s prime brokerage unit show. A similar trend was on display at Morgan Stanley, where gross leverage among the firm’s hedge fund clients sat near a five-year low.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac23a3270a191c5c5fb0141654adfd45\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"427\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Hedge fund leverage. Source: Morgan Stanley</span></p><p>While nonfarm payrolls again beat forecasts in December, traders found comfort in cooling wage gains. The S&amp;P 500 jumped 2.3% for the best reaction to a jobs report in more than two years.</p><p>“Lower weekly hours will bias the real labor income proxy lower, which would imply weaker spending going forward,” said Dennis DeBusschere, founder of 22V Research. “This shouldn’t change the Fed outlook much near-term but lowers the odds they need to crush things.”</p><p>The first signs of a rally were enough to lure a few bulls back after a $13 trillion wipeout last year had pros and even once die-hard retail bulls retreating en mass. Individual traders, who bought the dip in early 2022 only to be burned time and again by the yearlong slump, dumped more than $3 billion of shares in the week through Tuesday, the third-biggest selling in the history of JPMorgan’s data.</p><p>While year-end tax selling played a role in the exodus, the heavy outflow also reflected growing bearishness among the crowd, according to Peng Cheng, the firm’s strategist who derived the estimate from public data on exchanges.</p><p>All the defensive posturing likely set the stage for a market bounce, as happened repeatedly during 2022, when prolonged selloffs gave way to rapid snapbacks before the selling resumed. In a year where the S&amp;P 500 lost about one fifth of its value, the index managed to rally more than 10% from a trough three times.</p><p>From peak inflation to a speculation about a Fed pivot, investors latched on to numerous catalysts to bid up stocks. Each rally eventually faded. Stocks have made little headways since June, with the S&amp;P 500 largely trapped in a 700-point range.</p><p>However short-lived those bounces proved, there’s evidence they bothered Fed officials. Minutes of their last policy meeting released this week showed some members cautioning against “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions” that could undermine efforts to slow the economy and tame inflation.</p><p>With banks kicking off earnings season next week, investors may be content to await more clarity on corporate America’s strength, according to Christophe Barraud, chief economist and strategist at Market Securities LLP.</p><p>“Last year, the mood changed a lot because every time people bought, the market sold even more,” he said. “People right now will probably prefer buying after being sure that there will be some strong force behind equities.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Signs of Seller Exhaustion Left Stocks Primed for a Big Bounce</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSigns of Seller Exhaustion Left Stocks Primed for a Big Bounce\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-08 08:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-06/signs-of-seller-exhaustion-left-stocks-primed-for-a-big-bounce?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hedge-fund exposure at five-year low while retail dumps stocksIt extends pattern where positioning overshadows market movesA pattern has persisted in stocks the past year. A downdraft steepens, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-06/signs-of-seller-exhaustion-left-stocks-primed-for-a-big-bounce?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-06/signs-of-seller-exhaustion-left-stocks-primed-for-a-big-bounce?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2301720269","content_text":"Hedge-fund exposure at five-year low while retail dumps stocksIt extends pattern where positioning overshadows market movesA pattern has persisted in stocks the past year. A downdraft steepens, sellers get the selling out of their systems, and the market is left poised for an often-powerful jump.Friday’s surge, which spared the S&P 500 from a fifth straight down week, bore all the hallmarks of that routine, coming amid a boatload of evidence that investor risk appetite had been cut to the bone. A measure of equity exposure among hedge fund clients fell to a five-year low, while retail pessimism was also intensifying, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. data.Those trends would explain two things. One, last month’s uncharacteristically awful returns, a consequence of across-the-board selling that pushed the S&P 500 to its worst December in four years. And two, Friday’s ebullient reaction to news showing higher-than-forecast payroll additions in the US economy, when seven of the prior eight employment reports spurred losses.“If you look at a broad array of sentiment indicators, they universally suggest investors are a lot more cautious than they were a year ago,” said Dan Suzuki, deputy chief investment officer at Richard Bernstein Advisors. “That could very well be laying the groundwork for another short-term rally, as we seem to get every several months.”Stocks ended the longest streak of weekly declines since last May as the S&P 500 climbed during the holiday-shortened period. The benchmark gauge, which finished 2022 with the worst annual slide since the financial crisis, rose 1.5% over the four days, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced for a second week in three.Boom-bust cycles in equities last year generally correlated with changes in institutional and retail positioning. Gains occurred after investors slashed bullish bets, and declines followed buying sprees. The incessant up-down motion made gleaning an economic signal from the market — never an exact science to begin with — particularly futile, with trends in the market proving temporary. Friday’s runup in the S&P 500 also came after a sharp drop in risk-appetites.Another major contour of last year’s investment landscape repeated this week: value vastly outperformed growth, with an index tracking cheaper stocks beating that of fast growers by 2 percentage points. One takeaway from that might be a slightly less-dour economic message than has generally been taken from markets as a whole. Growth companies are part of the economy, obviously, but the battering those stocks took was primarily driven by shrinking valuations. Value shares had far less bloat to correct and as a result their relatively tame losses could be framed as a purer and cheerier signal on future activity.Sessions when monthly payrolls data were released have not been kind to stocks of late. Among jobs days last year, all but three saw the S&P 500 falling as the economy mostly added more jobs than expected, clearing the path for the Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy as it battled inflation. The ominous pattern, along with the specter of a serious downturn, prompted investors of all stripes to hunker down after a brutal year that saw stocks and Treasuries suffer the worst annual loss in more than a century.Hedge funds that make both bullish and bearish equity wagers boosted their short positions in December, with their average leverage falling to the lowest level since 2017, data compiled by JPMorgan’s prime brokerage unit show. A similar trend was on display at Morgan Stanley, where gross leverage among the firm’s hedge fund clients sat near a five-year low.Hedge fund leverage. Source: Morgan StanleyWhile nonfarm payrolls again beat forecasts in December, traders found comfort in cooling wage gains. The S&P 500 jumped 2.3% for the best reaction to a jobs report in more than two years.“Lower weekly hours will bias the real labor income proxy lower, which would imply weaker spending going forward,” said Dennis DeBusschere, founder of 22V Research. “This shouldn’t change the Fed outlook much near-term but lowers the odds they need to crush things.”The first signs of a rally were enough to lure a few bulls back after a $13 trillion wipeout last year had pros and even once die-hard retail bulls retreating en mass. Individual traders, who bought the dip in early 2022 only to be burned time and again by the yearlong slump, dumped more than $3 billion of shares in the week through Tuesday, the third-biggest selling in the history of JPMorgan’s data.While year-end tax selling played a role in the exodus, the heavy outflow also reflected growing bearishness among the crowd, according to Peng Cheng, the firm’s strategist who derived the estimate from public data on exchanges.All the defensive posturing likely set the stage for a market bounce, as happened repeatedly during 2022, when prolonged selloffs gave way to rapid snapbacks before the selling resumed. In a year where the S&P 500 lost about one fifth of its value, the index managed to rally more than 10% from a trough three times.From peak inflation to a speculation about a Fed pivot, investors latched on to numerous catalysts to bid up stocks. Each rally eventually faded. Stocks have made little headways since June, with the S&P 500 largely trapped in a 700-point range.However short-lived those bounces proved, there’s evidence they bothered Fed officials. Minutes of their last policy meeting released this week showed some members cautioning against “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions” that could undermine efforts to slow the economy and tame inflation.With banks kicking off earnings season next week, investors may be content to await more clarity on corporate America’s strength, according to Christophe Barraud, chief economist and strategist at Market Securities LLP.“Last year, the mood changed a lot because every time people bought, the market sold even more,” he said. “People right now will probably prefer buying after being sure that there will be some strong force behind equities.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3571345352614779","authorId":"3571345352614779","name":"xiaobaii","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"like & comment please","text":"like & comment please","html":"like & comment please"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920822384,"gmtCreate":1670466588148,"gmtModify":1676538374249,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920822384","repostId":"2289975465","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2289975465","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1670449426,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2289975465?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-08 05:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-S&P, Nasdaq Extend Losing Streaks Amid Rising Recession Worries","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2289975465","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed down on Wednesday after a choppy session on Wall Street, a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq closed down on Wednesday after a choppy session on Wall Street, as investors struggled to grasp a clear direction as they weighed how the Federal Reserve&#39;s monetary policy tightening might feed through into corporate America.</p><p>For the benchmark S&amp;P 500, it was the fifth straight session that it has declined, while the Nasdaq finished down for the fourth time in a row. The Dow snapped a two-session losing streak, as it ended unchanged from the previous day.</p><p>The Nasdaq was dragged down by a 1.4% drop in Apple Inc on Morgan Stanley&#39;s iPhone shipment target cut and a 3.2% fall in Tesla Inc over production loss worries.</p><p>Markets have also been rattled by downbeat comments from top executives at Goldman Sachs Group Inc, JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co and Bank of America Corp on Tuesday that a mild to more pronounced recession was likely ahead.</p><p>Fears that the U.S. central bank might stick to a longer rate-hike cycle have intensified recently in the wake of strong jobs and service-sector reports.</p><p>More economic data, including weekly jobless claims, producer price index and the University of Michigan&#39;s consumer sentiment survey this week, will be on the watch list for clues on what to expect from the Fed on Dec. 14.</p><p>&#34;It feels like we&#39;re in this very uncertain period where investors are trying to ascertain what&#39;s more important, as policymakers are slowing down on rates but the data is not playing ball,&#34; said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA.</p><p>&#34;The market is trying to balance the headwinds and the tailwinds and this is causing some confusion.&#34;</p><p>The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, closed at 22.68, its highest finish since Nov. 18.</p><p>Money market participants see a 91% chance that the Fed will increase its key benchmark rate by 50 basis points in December to 4.25%-4.50%, with rates peaking in May 2023 at 4.93%.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 lost 7.34 points, or 0.19%, to close at 3,933.92 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 56.34 points, or 0.51%, to finish at 10,958.55. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was flat, ending on 33,597.92.</p><p>Concerns about a steep rise in borrowing costs have boosted the dollar, but dented demand for risk assets such as equities this year. The S&amp;P 500 is on track to snap a three-year winning streak.</p><p>Three of the 11 major S&amp;P sector indexes were higher, with healthcare one of them. Technology and communication services, down 0.5 and 0.9% respectively, were the worst performers.</p><p>Energy fell for its fifth straight session. The sector&#39;s performance was weighed by U.S. crude prices falling again, settling at the lowest level in 2022, as concerns over the outlook for global growth wiped out all of the gains since Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine exacerbated the worst global energy supply crisis in decades.</p><p>Carvana Co had its worst day as a public company, losing nearly half its stock value, after Wedbush downgraded the used-car retailer&#39;s stock to &#34;underperform&#34; from &#34;neutral&#34; and slashed its price target to $1.</p><p>Meanwhile, United Airlines traded 4.1% lower. Unions representing various workers at the airline said they would join forces on contract negotiations.</p><p>Travel-related stocks were generally down. Delta Air Lines and American Airlines Group were 4.4% and 5.4% lower respectively, with cruise line operators Carnival Corp and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings and accommodation-linked Airbnb Inc and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a> all falling between 1.7% and 4.4%.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.29 billion shares, compared with the 10.98 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted seven new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 61 new highs and 307 new lows. (Reporting by Shubham Batra, Ankika Biswas, Johann M Cherian and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Vinay Dwivedi, Shounak Dasgupta and Lisa Shumaker)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-S&P, Nasdaq Extend Losing Streaks Amid Rising Recession Worries</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-S&P, Nasdaq Extend Losing Streaks Amid Rising Recession Worries\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-08 05:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq closed down on Wednesday after a choppy session on Wall Street, as investors struggled to grasp a clear direction as they weighed how the Federal Reserve&#39;s monetary policy tightening might feed through into corporate America.</p><p>For the benchmark S&amp;P 500, it was the fifth straight session that it has declined, while the Nasdaq finished down for the fourth time in a row. The Dow snapped a two-session losing streak, as it ended unchanged from the previous day.</p><p>The Nasdaq was dragged down by a 1.4% drop in Apple Inc on Morgan Stanley&#39;s iPhone shipment target cut and a 3.2% fall in Tesla Inc over production loss worries.</p><p>Markets have also been rattled by downbeat comments from top executives at Goldman Sachs Group Inc, JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co and Bank of America Corp on Tuesday that a mild to more pronounced recession was likely ahead.</p><p>Fears that the U.S. central bank might stick to a longer rate-hike cycle have intensified recently in the wake of strong jobs and service-sector reports.</p><p>More economic data, including weekly jobless claims, producer price index and the University of Michigan&#39;s consumer sentiment survey this week, will be on the watch list for clues on what to expect from the Fed on Dec. 14.</p><p>&#34;It feels like we&#39;re in this very uncertain period where investors are trying to ascertain what&#39;s more important, as policymakers are slowing down on rates but the data is not playing ball,&#34; said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA.</p><p>&#34;The market is trying to balance the headwinds and the tailwinds and this is causing some confusion.&#34;</p><p>The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, closed at 22.68, its highest finish since Nov. 18.</p><p>Money market participants see a 91% chance that the Fed will increase its key benchmark rate by 50 basis points in December to 4.25%-4.50%, with rates peaking in May 2023 at 4.93%.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 lost 7.34 points, or 0.19%, to close at 3,933.92 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 56.34 points, or 0.51%, to finish at 10,958.55. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was flat, ending on 33,597.92.</p><p>Concerns about a steep rise in borrowing costs have boosted the dollar, but dented demand for risk assets such as equities this year. The S&amp;P 500 is on track to snap a three-year winning streak.</p><p>Three of the 11 major S&amp;P sector indexes were higher, with healthcare one of them. Technology and communication services, down 0.5 and 0.9% respectively, were the worst performers.</p><p>Energy fell for its fifth straight session. The sector&#39;s performance was weighed by U.S. crude prices falling again, settling at the lowest level in 2022, as concerns over the outlook for global growth wiped out all of the gains since Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine exacerbated the worst global energy supply crisis in decades.</p><p>Carvana Co had its worst day as a public company, losing nearly half its stock value, after Wedbush downgraded the used-car retailer&#39;s stock to &#34;underperform&#34; from &#34;neutral&#34; and slashed its price target to $1.</p><p>Meanwhile, United Airlines traded 4.1% lower. Unions representing various workers at the airline said they would join forces on contract negotiations.</p><p>Travel-related stocks were generally down. Delta Air Lines and American Airlines Group were 4.4% and 5.4% lower respectively, with cruise line operators Carnival Corp and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings and accommodation-linked Airbnb Inc and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a> all falling between 1.7% and 4.4%.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.29 billion shares, compared with the 10.98 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted seven new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 61 new highs and 307 new lows. (Reporting by Shubham Batra, Ankika Biswas, Johann M Cherian and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Vinay Dwivedi, Shounak Dasgupta and Lisa Shumaker)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2289975465","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed down on Wednesday after a choppy session on Wall Street, as investors struggled to grasp a clear direction as they weighed how the Federal Reserve's monetary policy tightening might feed through into corporate America.For the benchmark S&P 500, it was the fifth straight session that it has declined, while the Nasdaq finished down for the fourth time in a row. The Dow snapped a two-session losing streak, as it ended unchanged from the previous day.The Nasdaq was dragged down by a 1.4% drop in Apple Inc on Morgan Stanley's iPhone shipment target cut and a 3.2% fall in Tesla Inc over production loss worries.Markets have also been rattled by downbeat comments from top executives at Goldman Sachs Group Inc, JPMorgan Chase & Co and Bank of America Corp on Tuesday that a mild to more pronounced recession was likely ahead.Fears that the U.S. central bank might stick to a longer rate-hike cycle have intensified recently in the wake of strong jobs and service-sector reports.More economic data, including weekly jobless claims, producer price index and the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey this week, will be on the watch list for clues on what to expect from the Fed on Dec. 14.\"It feels like we're in this very uncertain period where investors are trying to ascertain what's more important, as policymakers are slowing down on rates but the data is not playing ball,\" said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA.\"The market is trying to balance the headwinds and the tailwinds and this is causing some confusion.\"The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, closed at 22.68, its highest finish since Nov. 18.Money market participants see a 91% chance that the Fed will increase its key benchmark rate by 50 basis points in December to 4.25%-4.50%, with rates peaking in May 2023 at 4.93%.The S&P 500 lost 7.34 points, or 0.19%, to close at 3,933.92 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 56.34 points, or 0.51%, to finish at 10,958.55. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was flat, ending on 33,597.92.Concerns about a steep rise in borrowing costs have boosted the dollar, but dented demand for risk assets such as equities this year. The S&P 500 is on track to snap a three-year winning streak.Three of the 11 major S&P sector indexes were higher, with healthcare one of them. Technology and communication services, down 0.5 and 0.9% respectively, were the worst performers.Energy fell for its fifth straight session. The sector's performance was weighed by U.S. crude prices falling again, settling at the lowest level in 2022, as concerns over the outlook for global growth wiped out all of the gains since Russia's invasion of Ukraine exacerbated the worst global energy supply crisis in decades.Carvana Co had its worst day as a public company, losing nearly half its stock value, after Wedbush downgraded the used-car retailer's stock to \"underperform\" from \"neutral\" and slashed its price target to $1.Meanwhile, United Airlines traded 4.1% lower. Unions representing various workers at the airline said they would join forces on contract negotiations.Travel-related stocks were generally down. Delta Air Lines and American Airlines Group were 4.4% and 5.4% lower respectively, with cruise line operators Carnival Corp and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings and accommodation-linked Airbnb Inc and Booking Holdings all falling between 1.7% and 4.4%.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.29 billion shares, compared with the 10.98 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted seven new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 61 new highs and 307 new lows. (Reporting by Shubham Batra, Ankika Biswas, Johann M Cherian and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Vinay Dwivedi, Shounak Dasgupta and Lisa Shumaker)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968985804,"gmtCreate":1669098024309,"gmtModify":1676538151726,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968985804","repostId":"1149184971","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149184971","pubTimestamp":1669096715,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149184971?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-22 13:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Technical Typhoon, Twitter Trauma, And More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149184971","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla's stock has been a significant underperformer of late and is about to confirm the breakdown of a bearish H&S pattern. What's next?This breakdown could attract tons of short-sellers, and a reverse gamma squeeze could be on. Technically, the bears are in control of Tesla's stock, and we could see a lot more downside from here over the coming months.In this note, we will discuss some of these factors in greater detail and try to determine if Tesla's relatively underperforming stock is ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Tesla&#39;s stock has been a significant underperformer of late and is about to confirm the breakdown of a bearish H&amp;S pattern. What&#39;s next?</li><li>In this note, we shall discuss some of the factors driving Tesla&#39;s stock right now. Furthermore, I will share my valuation for Tesla, along with an investment strategy.</li><li>I rate Tesla a buy at $180 for long-term investors, but there&#39;s a catch. Read on to learn more.</li></ul><p><b>Introduction</b></p><p>Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is a high-beta stock; however, its recent underperformance relative to the market is raising eyebrows across the investing world. Despite Tesla&#39;s exceptionally strong performance in Q3, its stock has continued to go lower in an astounding fashion. And Tesla&#39;s stock completely sat out the recent rally in equity markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcfda89375e6118533bcdeb561fb442\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>In my view, a multitude of factors are driving Tesla&#39;s stock lower, and some of these factors are:</p><ul><li><b>Elon Musk&#39;s acquisition of Twitter:</b> Elon completed a $44B buyout for Twitter at the end of October, and he sold a lot of Tesla shares to complete this deal. Since going through with this acquisition, Musk has been spending a lot of time at Twitter, and hence, Tesla has a distracted CEO. Twitter&#39;s advertisers are fleeing the platform, and so are its employees. And Musk may need to sell more Tesla shares to finance Twitter&#39;s business. The Twitter overhang is clearly hurting Tesla.</li><li><b>Macroeconomic concerns:</b> In Tesla&#39;s Q3 report, China sales were weaker-than-expected, and demand concerns have been growing ever since. The Chinese economy is hurting right now, and a global recession seems inevitable. If a global recession were to materialize, Tesla could suffer demand issues, and these macro fears are probably keeping a lot of investors away from Tesla&#39;s stock (despite an aggressive valuation moderation in the stock).</li><li><b>Poor Technicals:</b> The technical chart structure for Tesla remains ominous, with the stock set to break down from the right shoulder of a bearish H&amp;S pattern formed over the last two years! This breakdown could attract tons of short-sellers, and a reverse gamma squeeze could be on. Technically, the bears are in control of Tesla&#39;s stock, and we could see a lot more downside from here over the coming months.</li></ul><p>In this note, we will discuss some of these factors in greater detail and try to determine if Tesla&#39;s relatively underperforming stock is offering long-term investors a good buying opportunity.</p><p><b>Tesla&#39;s Technicals Trouble</b></p><p>In my Q3 earnings analysis note for Tesla, I shared my thoughts on its precarious technical setup, and here&#39;s a quick recap of the same:</p><blockquote>As of writing, Tesla is trading at ~$240 and trying to form a base at this level after a rapid decline; however, the stock remains stuck in a falling wedge pattern. From a technical perspective, Tesla is looking nailed on to retest its 2022 lows of ~$209 (a level last seen in May), which is very close to my fair value estimate for the company.</blockquote><blockquote><b>If Tesla fails to hold onto the psychological support level of $200, we could see a swift ride down to the $175 to $150 range.</b>In the past,I have discussedthe idea of a reverse gamma squeeze in Tesla, and such a move could come to fruition in the event of a deep economic recession hurting consumer demand for Tesla&#39;s products amid rising competition in the EV market (yes, competition is coming in the form of traditional automakers and other EV startups).</blockquote><blockquote>On the flip side, if Tesla can break out of the falling wedge pattern, we could see a run up to new all-time highs ($400+) in 2023. While it is hard to see such a move in the foreseeable future due to the rising probability of a recession, the market is unpredictable, and Tesla is one of the strongest earnings growth stories in the market.</blockquote><blockquote>If I were to make a directional bet, it would be to the downside&#34;</blockquote><blockquote>Source:Tesla Tumbles As Musk Fumbles, But There&#39;s A Silver Lining</blockquote><blockquote>While it&#39;s only been a couple of weeks since this research work was published, Tesla has already tested the $209 level twice and is currently trading below this level. With Elon Musk likely to sell more shares on Friday or early next week (to raise remaining funds for his $44B Twitter buyout), I could see a big test of the $200 psychological support in the coming days.</blockquote><blockquote>On Tesla&#39;s chart, we are now looking at the potential breakdown of a bearish &#34;Head and Shoulders&#34; pattern, which could mean a quick ride down to the mid-100s (even low-100s is possible). The prospect of areverse gamma squeezein Tesla is real, and despite my switch to a bullish stance for Tesla&#39;s stock after considerable valuation moderation, I urge investors to proceed with caution. For anyone looking to buy Tesla for the long term, I see slow accumulation as the right strategy. However, if you are looking for a short-term buy, just skip Tesla for good.</blockquote><p>Source: Tesla Q3: Mixed Quarter, Musk Pumps, Mr. Market Dumps</p><p>Now, let us see how Tesla&#39;s chart has evolved in the past month and try to figure out where the stock may be headed in the near to medium term:</p><p>As seen in the chart below, a breakdown of the $209 level (May low) and the $200 psychological support level sent Tesla&#39;s stock into a tailspin to hit a new low at ~$177 in mid-October. Since then, we have seen a sharp bounce in equity markets; however, Tesla&#39;s stock didn&#39;t participate as much in the rally and has come back down to these recent lows during a (small) broad market pullback last week. Tesla&#39;s stock is looking quite weak, and this relative underperformance doesn&#39;t bode well for the stock.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19976509af0107f3a97fdae38d0e8369\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"564\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla has one of the worst technical charts in the equity market right now, with a confirmed breakdown of the bearish head and shoulders (H&amp;S) pattern pointing to even more downside from here. The next big support is located on the lower trendline of the falling wedge pattern Tesla has been trading in for months, and that level is ~$140. If a reverse gamma squeeze were to materialize, I think even the low $100s are on the table for Tesla. With this precarious technical setup, buying Tesla as a near-term trade (&lt;12 months) is simply out of the question. And any long-term investor buying here should be prepared for high volatility in this counter. After nearly two years of rating Tesla &#34;Neutral&#34;, I am finally a buyer here due to improving fundamentals and attractive valuation.</p><p><b>Tesla&#39;s Fundamental Story Is Getting Stronger</b></p><p>While Musk&#39;s acquisition of Twitter and the time he is spending there have become a big distraction for Tesla&#39;s stock, I believe that great businesses can be run by monkeys, and Tesla is a great business. Now, I am not saying that a monkey would run Tesla better than Elon; all I am saying is that Tesla&#39;s executive leadership has ample talent to run day-to-day operations in the absence of Elon Musk. Even before the Twitter CEO gig came along, Musk had been running the show at SpaceX, Neuralink, and The Boring Company - and while I don&#39;t know what amount of time he previously spent and spends now at Tesla, I think it is fair to assume that Tesla can operate without Musk&#39;s presence. In a recent court hearing, Elon Musk said that he doesn&#39;t want to be a CEO and that he has identified someone to be Tesla&#39;s CEO in the future. More importantly, Elon mentioned that he would be hiring a CEO for Twitter once the platform has been stabilized. In my opinion, Twitter has been a disaster for Musk, and he will refocus himself on Tesla in the near future.</p><p>Over the last few years, Tesla has been scaling up rapidly whilst improving operational efficiency, and it is now a free cash flow generating machine. With a net cash position of ~$20B, Tesla finds itself in a very strong financial position, which is getting stronger with each passing quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df32f56b8e92f6abc8ba1ac759fc134e\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>Tesla&#39;s future looks even brighter. According to consensus analyst estimates, Tesla is set to grow revenues at a CAGR of 28% over the next five years. And earnings growth is projected to outpace revenues, as can be seen below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c8fca056842275c30f2231e7a8b1b07\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"260\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d74479d8f211ac5474226b9d6dc88b2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>On 1st Dec 2022, Tesla will deliver the first &#34;Tesla Semi&#34; truck to PepsiCo (PEP), and the company now expects to produce 100 Tesla Semi trucks in 2022. The planned scale-up for Tesla Semi trucks aims for 50K units per year by 2024. Another big product set to roll out for Tesla is the Cybertruck, which is expected to go into production at Gigafactory Texas by mid-2023. However, Tesla is looking to deliver 30 (manually-made) Cybertrucks next month. In my view, consensus analyst expectations are not fully pricing in these rollouts and ongoing scale-up in operations at Shanghai, Berlin, and Texas. I wouldn&#39;t be surprised if Tesla were to deliver ~$7-8 in EPS next year; however, to be conservative, I have pegged my EPS estimate for 2023 at $6.</p><p><b>The Valuation Is Enticing</b></p><p>With significant improvement in financial performance (robust revenue and earnings growth), Tesla is looking very attractive at ~30x forward P/E. While Tesla trades at a premium compared to traditional auto companies, the transformational shift to EVs is still in its early innings, and Tesla is set to lead this space for years to come. Despite being one of the fastest-growing businesses in the Nasdaq-100 (as measured by next year&#39;s revenue growth), Tesla is trading at a far lower earnings multiple than other companies with similar growth profiles.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2c3e467d6465d1e21a9d9e493946b90\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"565\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Twitter</p><p>From a historical perspective, Tesla was only cheaper (on a forward P/E basis) during the COVID-19 pandemic crash in 2020. The macroeconomic environment remains challenging, and Tesla&#39;s business may come under pressure next year; however, I think the secular trends powering Tesla will be in place for the next decade or two. Hence, I think any dip in financial performance from Tesla (in the event of a recession) will be temporary.</p><p>Here&#39;s what Tesla&#39;s fair value is looking like after its Q3 report:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ccfaedb9cdf643e3163ac296edbceb8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"555\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TQI Valuation Model (TQIG.org)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64fafa93cdf642f70d86ca91316813d8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TQI Valuation Model (TQIG.org)</p><p>According to my analysis, Tesla&#39;s intrinsic value is ~$217 per share. This means Tesla is now under<i>valued by ~17%</i>. As we discussed in the past, Tesla is overshooting to the downside (and there could be more room to fall)!</p><p>Now let&#39;s look at expected CAGR returns for the next five years. Assuming a base case exit P/FCF multiple of 30x for Tesla, I see the stock hitting $546.78 per share by 2027.</p><p>As can be seen above, Tesla is projected to deliver CAGR returns of 24.88% for the next five years, which beats my required IRR of 20% for high-growth stocks. Hence, Tesla is a solid long-term buy at current levels.</p><p><b>Concluding Thoughts</b></p><p>Up until the last year or so, a simple &#34;<i>buy-and-hold</i>&#34; strategy worked wonders for long-term equity investors since the Great Financial Crisis. However, 2022 has been a difficult year as equity valuations have normalized (from lofty levels) due to monetary policy tightening by central banks across the globe. In the fight against inflation, I firmly believe that the FED will emerge victorious sooner or later. However, the amount of demand destruction the FED will need to cause in order to bring inflation back to the 2% target level is likely to be immense. The probability of a recession in 2023 is rising, and I don&#39;t think we can dismiss the idea that we may already be in an economic downturn.</p><p>In Q3, Tesla&#39;s delivery volumes fell short of expectations, and similar disappointments could continue to haunt the EV giant next year. The Chinese economy is in doldrums, and we have seen price cuts from Tesla in this market. While some fanboys have attributed these price cuts to greater scale in Gigafactory Shanghai, Tesla may very well be facing a demand issue in China. Considering the geopolitical and macroeconomic realities, I think Europe is going to experience a painful recession, and the US may not avoid one either. If we do end up going into a global recession, the demand for auto vehicles is likely to dip, i.e., Tesla could be facing a demand problem across all of its markets. From a fundamental perspective, Tesla is looking like a fantastic buy right now; however, the numbers may be about to shift negatively over the coming quarters due to macro factors.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s stock is behaving poorly (relative to the market), which could be a sign of things to come. A breakdown of the right shoulder of the H&amp;S pattern formed in Tesla is underway, and the stock could realistically fall down to the low to mid-100s level in the near term. For long-term investors looking to build a position in Tesla, I think slow accumulation via a 6-12 month dollar-cost averaging plan is the way to go. At TQI, we manage our risk proactively, and we are doing the same with Tesla. To guard against the ~45% downside risk (from $180 to $100), we have implemented an options-based hedging strategy (zero cost, upside limited to +25% in 7 months) to buy Tesla shares stress-free at current levels.</p><p><b>Key Takeaway:</b> I rate Tesla a long-term buy at $180 per share (strong preference for slow accumulation and/or proactive risk management).</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Technical Typhoon, Twitter Trauma, And More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Technical Typhoon, Twitter Trauma, And More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-22 13:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559439-tesla-stock-technical-typhoon-twitter-trauma-more><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla's stock has been a significant underperformer of late and is about to confirm the breakdown of a bearish H&S pattern. What's next?In this note, we shall discuss some of the factors ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559439-tesla-stock-technical-typhoon-twitter-trauma-more\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559439-tesla-stock-technical-typhoon-twitter-trauma-more","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149184971","content_text":"SummaryTesla's stock has been a significant underperformer of late and is about to confirm the breakdown of a bearish H&S pattern. What's next?In this note, we shall discuss some of the factors driving Tesla's stock right now. Furthermore, I will share my valuation for Tesla, along with an investment strategy.I rate Tesla a buy at $180 for long-term investors, but there's a catch. Read on to learn more.IntroductionTesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is a high-beta stock; however, its recent underperformance relative to the market is raising eyebrows across the investing world. Despite Tesla's exceptionally strong performance in Q3, its stock has continued to go lower in an astounding fashion. And Tesla's stock completely sat out the recent rally in equity markets.Data by YChartsIn my view, a multitude of factors are driving Tesla's stock lower, and some of these factors are:Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter: Elon completed a $44B buyout for Twitter at the end of October, and he sold a lot of Tesla shares to complete this deal. Since going through with this acquisition, Musk has been spending a lot of time at Twitter, and hence, Tesla has a distracted CEO. Twitter's advertisers are fleeing the platform, and so are its employees. And Musk may need to sell more Tesla shares to finance Twitter's business. The Twitter overhang is clearly hurting Tesla.Macroeconomic concerns: In Tesla's Q3 report, China sales were weaker-than-expected, and demand concerns have been growing ever since. The Chinese economy is hurting right now, and a global recession seems inevitable. If a global recession were to materialize, Tesla could suffer demand issues, and these macro fears are probably keeping a lot of investors away from Tesla's stock (despite an aggressive valuation moderation in the stock).Poor Technicals: The technical chart structure for Tesla remains ominous, with the stock set to break down from the right shoulder of a bearish H&S pattern formed over the last two years! This breakdown could attract tons of short-sellers, and a reverse gamma squeeze could be on. Technically, the bears are in control of Tesla's stock, and we could see a lot more downside from here over the coming months.In this note, we will discuss some of these factors in greater detail and try to determine if Tesla's relatively underperforming stock is offering long-term investors a good buying opportunity.Tesla's Technicals TroubleIn my Q3 earnings analysis note for Tesla, I shared my thoughts on its precarious technical setup, and here's a quick recap of the same:As of writing, Tesla is trading at ~$240 and trying to form a base at this level after a rapid decline; however, the stock remains stuck in a falling wedge pattern. From a technical perspective, Tesla is looking nailed on to retest its 2022 lows of ~$209 (a level last seen in May), which is very close to my fair value estimate for the company.If Tesla fails to hold onto the psychological support level of $200, we could see a swift ride down to the $175 to $150 range.In the past,I have discussedthe idea of a reverse gamma squeeze in Tesla, and such a move could come to fruition in the event of a deep economic recession hurting consumer demand for Tesla's products amid rising competition in the EV market (yes, competition is coming in the form of traditional automakers and other EV startups).On the flip side, if Tesla can break out of the falling wedge pattern, we could see a run up to new all-time highs ($400+) in 2023. While it is hard to see such a move in the foreseeable future due to the rising probability of a recession, the market is unpredictable, and Tesla is one of the strongest earnings growth stories in the market.If I were to make a directional bet, it would be to the downside\"Source:Tesla Tumbles As Musk Fumbles, But There's A Silver LiningWhile it's only been a couple of weeks since this research work was published, Tesla has already tested the $209 level twice and is currently trading below this level. With Elon Musk likely to sell more shares on Friday or early next week (to raise remaining funds for his $44B Twitter buyout), I could see a big test of the $200 psychological support in the coming days.On Tesla's chart, we are now looking at the potential breakdown of a bearish \"Head and Shoulders\" pattern, which could mean a quick ride down to the mid-100s (even low-100s is possible). The prospect of areverse gamma squeezein Tesla is real, and despite my switch to a bullish stance for Tesla's stock after considerable valuation moderation, I urge investors to proceed with caution. For anyone looking to buy Tesla for the long term, I see slow accumulation as the right strategy. However, if you are looking for a short-term buy, just skip Tesla for good.Source: Tesla Q3: Mixed Quarter, Musk Pumps, Mr. Market DumpsNow, let us see how Tesla's chart has evolved in the past month and try to figure out where the stock may be headed in the near to medium term:As seen in the chart below, a breakdown of the $209 level (May low) and the $200 psychological support level sent Tesla's stock into a tailspin to hit a new low at ~$177 in mid-October. Since then, we have seen a sharp bounce in equity markets; however, Tesla's stock didn't participate as much in the rally and has come back down to these recent lows during a (small) broad market pullback last week. Tesla's stock is looking quite weak, and this relative underperformance doesn't bode well for the stock.Tesla has one of the worst technical charts in the equity market right now, with a confirmed breakdown of the bearish head and shoulders (H&S) pattern pointing to even more downside from here. The next big support is located on the lower trendline of the falling wedge pattern Tesla has been trading in for months, and that level is ~$140. If a reverse gamma squeeze were to materialize, I think even the low $100s are on the table for Tesla. With this precarious technical setup, buying Tesla as a near-term trade (<12 months) is simply out of the question. And any long-term investor buying here should be prepared for high volatility in this counter. After nearly two years of rating Tesla \"Neutral\", I am finally a buyer here due to improving fundamentals and attractive valuation.Tesla's Fundamental Story Is Getting StrongerWhile Musk's acquisition of Twitter and the time he is spending there have become a big distraction for Tesla's stock, I believe that great businesses can be run by monkeys, and Tesla is a great business. Now, I am not saying that a monkey would run Tesla better than Elon; all I am saying is that Tesla's executive leadership has ample talent to run day-to-day operations in the absence of Elon Musk. Even before the Twitter CEO gig came along, Musk had been running the show at SpaceX, Neuralink, and The Boring Company - and while I don't know what amount of time he previously spent and spends now at Tesla, I think it is fair to assume that Tesla can operate without Musk's presence. In a recent court hearing, Elon Musk said that he doesn't want to be a CEO and that he has identified someone to be Tesla's CEO in the future. More importantly, Elon mentioned that he would be hiring a CEO for Twitter once the platform has been stabilized. In my opinion, Twitter has been a disaster for Musk, and he will refocus himself on Tesla in the near future.Over the last few years, Tesla has been scaling up rapidly whilst improving operational efficiency, and it is now a free cash flow generating machine. With a net cash position of ~$20B, Tesla finds itself in a very strong financial position, which is getting stronger with each passing quarter.Data by YChartsTesla's future looks even brighter. According to consensus analyst estimates, Tesla is set to grow revenues at a CAGR of 28% over the next five years. And earnings growth is projected to outpace revenues, as can be seen below.Seeking AlphaSeeking AlphaOn 1st Dec 2022, Tesla will deliver the first \"Tesla Semi\" truck to PepsiCo (PEP), and the company now expects to produce 100 Tesla Semi trucks in 2022. The planned scale-up for Tesla Semi trucks aims for 50K units per year by 2024. Another big product set to roll out for Tesla is the Cybertruck, which is expected to go into production at Gigafactory Texas by mid-2023. However, Tesla is looking to deliver 30 (manually-made) Cybertrucks next month. In my view, consensus analyst expectations are not fully pricing in these rollouts and ongoing scale-up in operations at Shanghai, Berlin, and Texas. I wouldn't be surprised if Tesla were to deliver ~$7-8 in EPS next year; however, to be conservative, I have pegged my EPS estimate for 2023 at $6.The Valuation Is EnticingWith significant improvement in financial performance (robust revenue and earnings growth), Tesla is looking very attractive at ~30x forward P/E. While Tesla trades at a premium compared to traditional auto companies, the transformational shift to EVs is still in its early innings, and Tesla is set to lead this space for years to come. Despite being one of the fastest-growing businesses in the Nasdaq-100 (as measured by next year's revenue growth), Tesla is trading at a far lower earnings multiple than other companies with similar growth profiles.TwitterFrom a historical perspective, Tesla was only cheaper (on a forward P/E basis) during the COVID-19 pandemic crash in 2020. The macroeconomic environment remains challenging, and Tesla's business may come under pressure next year; however, I think the secular trends powering Tesla will be in place for the next decade or two. Hence, I think any dip in financial performance from Tesla (in the event of a recession) will be temporary.Here's what Tesla's fair value is looking like after its Q3 report:TQI Valuation Model (TQIG.org)TQI Valuation Model (TQIG.org)According to my analysis, Tesla's intrinsic value is ~$217 per share. This means Tesla is now undervalued by ~17%. As we discussed in the past, Tesla is overshooting to the downside (and there could be more room to fall)!Now let's look at expected CAGR returns for the next five years. Assuming a base case exit P/FCF multiple of 30x for Tesla, I see the stock hitting $546.78 per share by 2027.As can be seen above, Tesla is projected to deliver CAGR returns of 24.88% for the next five years, which beats my required IRR of 20% for high-growth stocks. Hence, Tesla is a solid long-term buy at current levels.Concluding ThoughtsUp until the last year or so, a simple \"buy-and-hold\" strategy worked wonders for long-term equity investors since the Great Financial Crisis. However, 2022 has been a difficult year as equity valuations have normalized (from lofty levels) due to monetary policy tightening by central banks across the globe. In the fight against inflation, I firmly believe that the FED will emerge victorious sooner or later. However, the amount of demand destruction the FED will need to cause in order to bring inflation back to the 2% target level is likely to be immense. The probability of a recession in 2023 is rising, and I don't think we can dismiss the idea that we may already be in an economic downturn.In Q3, Tesla's delivery volumes fell short of expectations, and similar disappointments could continue to haunt the EV giant next year. The Chinese economy is in doldrums, and we have seen price cuts from Tesla in this market. While some fanboys have attributed these price cuts to greater scale in Gigafactory Shanghai, Tesla may very well be facing a demand issue in China. Considering the geopolitical and macroeconomic realities, I think Europe is going to experience a painful recession, and the US may not avoid one either. If we do end up going into a global recession, the demand for auto vehicles is likely to dip, i.e., Tesla could be facing a demand problem across all of its markets. From a fundamental perspective, Tesla is looking like a fantastic buy right now; however, the numbers may be about to shift negatively over the coming quarters due to macro factors.Tesla's stock is behaving poorly (relative to the market), which could be a sign of things to come. A breakdown of the right shoulder of the H&S pattern formed in Tesla is underway, and the stock could realistically fall down to the low to mid-100s level in the near term. For long-term investors looking to build a position in Tesla, I think slow accumulation via a 6-12 month dollar-cost averaging plan is the way to go. At TQI, we manage our risk proactively, and we are doing the same with Tesla. To guard against the ~45% downside risk (from $180 to $100), we have implemented an options-based hedging strategy (zero cost, upside limited to +25% in 7 months) to buy Tesla shares stress-free at current levels.Key Takeaway: I rate Tesla a long-term buy at $180 per share (strong preference for slow accumulation and/or proactive risk management).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9097580554,"gmtCreate":1645497111864,"gmtModify":1676534033664,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097580554","repostId":"1132983285","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132983285","pubTimestamp":1645484848,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132983285?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-22 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna, Alibaba, Coinbase, Home Depot, Etsy, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132983285","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed for Presidents Day on Monday. Fourth-quarter earning seas","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed for Presidents Day on Monday. Fourth-quarter earning season resumes when Wall Street returns, with results from Agilent Technologies, Home Depot, and Medtronic on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Booking Holdings, eBay, Lowe’s, Stellantis, and TJX report.</p><p>Thursday will be particularly busy: Alibaba Group Holding, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Coinbase Global, Dell Technologies, Etsy, Moderna, Newmont, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, and Occidental Petroleum will be among the highlights. Finally, EOG Resources and Liberty Media close the week on Friday.</p><p>The economic data highlights of the week will include IHS Markit’s Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for February and the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for February––all on Tuesday. The surveys are each expected to come in flat to down versus January.</p><p>The Census Bureau will also report January durable-goods orders on Friday, which are often seen as a proxy for business investment. Finally, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and spending for January on Friday. American consumers are expected to have spent more and earned slightly less compared with the prior month.</p><h2>Monday 2/21</h2><p>Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Presidents Day.</p><h2>Tuesday 2/22</h2><p>Agilent Technologies, Cadence Design Systems, CenterPoint Energy, Home Depot, Medtronic, Palo Alto Networks, Public Storage, and Realty Income release earnings.</p><p>IHS Markit releases its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for February. Consensus estimates are for a 56 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and a 52.2 for the Services PMI. This compares with 55.5 and 51.2, respectively, in January. The January Services PMI was the lowest reading since July 2020.</p><p>The Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for February. Economists forecast a 110.8 reading, roughly three points less than the January data.</p><h2>Wednesday 2/23</h2><p>Booking Holdings, Coterra Energy, eBay, Lowe’s, Molson Coors Beverage, Stellantis, and TJX Cos. report quarterly results.</p><p>The General Assembly of the United Nations holds a meeting to debate the ongoing tensions in Ukraine.</p><p>Cummins holds its 2022 analyst day.</p><h2>Thursday 2/24</h2><p>The BEA reports its second estimate of fourth-quarter 2021 gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 5.9% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, one percentage less than the advance estimate of 6.9%.</p><p>Alibaba Group Holding, Anheuser-Busch InBev, American Electric Power, Autodesk, Block, CBRE Group, Coinbase Global, Dell Technologies, Etsy, Intuit, Moderna, Newmont, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, NRG Energy, Occidental Petroleum, Public Service Enterprise Group, Royal Bank of Canada, and VMware release earnings.</p><p>The Census Bureau reports new-home sales for January. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 792,000 new single-family houses sold, 19,000 fewer than in December.</p><h2>Friday 2/25</h2><p>Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, EOG Resources, Liberty Media, and Sempra Energy hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p>The Census Bureau releases the January durable-goods report. Consensus estimate is for new orders for manufactured durable goods to rise 1% month over month to $270.3 billion.</p><p>The National Association of Realtors releases its Pending Home Sales index for January. In December, pending home sales fell 3.8%, the second consecutive month of declines. Rising mortgage rates and record-high home prices have taken some of the wind out of the housing market.</p><p>The BEA reports personal income and spending for January. Income is expected to decline 0.3% month over month, while expenditures are seen rising 1.4%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna, Alibaba, Coinbase, Home Depot, Etsy, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna, Alibaba, Coinbase, Home Depot, Etsy, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-22 07:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-moderna-alibaba-coinbase-51645240255><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed for Presidents Day on Monday. Fourth-quarter earning season resumes when Wall Street returns, with results from Agilent Technologies, Home Depot, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-moderna-alibaba-coinbase-51645240255\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","HD":"家得宝","BABA":"阿里巴巴","ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-moderna-alibaba-coinbase-51645240255","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132983285","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed for Presidents Day on Monday. Fourth-quarter earning season resumes when Wall Street returns, with results from Agilent Technologies, Home Depot, and Medtronic on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Booking Holdings, eBay, Lowe’s, Stellantis, and TJX report.Thursday will be particularly busy: Alibaba Group Holding, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Coinbase Global, Dell Technologies, Etsy, Moderna, Newmont, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, and Occidental Petroleum will be among the highlights. Finally, EOG Resources and Liberty Media close the week on Friday.The economic data highlights of the week will include IHS Markit’s Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for February and the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for February––all on Tuesday. The surveys are each expected to come in flat to down versus January.The Census Bureau will also report January durable-goods orders on Friday, which are often seen as a proxy for business investment. Finally, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and spending for January on Friday. American consumers are expected to have spent more and earned slightly less compared with the prior month.Monday 2/21Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Presidents Day.Tuesday 2/22Agilent Technologies, Cadence Design Systems, CenterPoint Energy, Home Depot, Medtronic, Palo Alto Networks, Public Storage, and Realty Income release earnings.IHS Markit releases its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for February. Consensus estimates are for a 56 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and a 52.2 for the Services PMI. This compares with 55.5 and 51.2, respectively, in January. The January Services PMI was the lowest reading since July 2020.The Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for February. Economists forecast a 110.8 reading, roughly three points less than the January data.Wednesday 2/23Booking Holdings, Coterra Energy, eBay, Lowe’s, Molson Coors Beverage, Stellantis, and TJX Cos. report quarterly results.The General Assembly of the United Nations holds a meeting to debate the ongoing tensions in Ukraine.Cummins holds its 2022 analyst day.Thursday 2/24The BEA reports its second estimate of fourth-quarter 2021 gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 5.9% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, one percentage less than the advance estimate of 6.9%.Alibaba Group Holding, Anheuser-Busch InBev, American Electric Power, Autodesk, Block, CBRE Group, Coinbase Global, Dell Technologies, Etsy, Intuit, Moderna, Newmont, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, NRG Energy, Occidental Petroleum, Public Service Enterprise Group, Royal Bank of Canada, and VMware release earnings.The Census Bureau reports new-home sales for January. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 792,000 new single-family houses sold, 19,000 fewer than in December.Friday 2/25Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, EOG Resources, Liberty Media, and Sempra Energy hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.The Census Bureau releases the January durable-goods report. Consensus estimate is for new orders for manufactured durable goods to rise 1% month over month to $270.3 billion.The National Association of Realtors releases its Pending Home Sales index for January. In December, pending home sales fell 3.8%, the second consecutive month of declines. Rising mortgage rates and record-high home prices have taken some of the wind out of the housing market.The BEA reports personal income and spending for January. Income is expected to decline 0.3% month over month, while expenditures are seen rising 1.4%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985238029,"gmtCreate":1667396833661,"gmtModify":1676537910895,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Es","listText":"Es","text":"Es","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985238029","repostId":"1112792321","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112792321","pubTimestamp":1667381375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112792321?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-02 17:29","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Fed to Hike Big Again and Open Door to Downshift","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112792321","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Chair Powell faces a communications challenge at briefingFed may slow soon, but doesn’t want easy fi","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Chair Powell faces a communications challenge at briefing</li><li>Fed may slow soon, but doesn’t want easy financial conditions</li></ul><p>The Federal Reserve looks set to deliver a fourth straight super-sized rate increase with Chair Jerome Powell repeating his resolute message on inflation and opening the door to a downshift -- without necessarily pivoting yet.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to raise rates by 75 basis points on Wednesday to a range of 3.75 to 4%, the highest level since 2008 as the central bank extends its most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63eab35bc7de9225fd55dfcd09360fb7\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The decision will be announced at 2 p.m. in Washington and Powell will hold a press conference 30 minutes later. No fresh Fed forecasts are released at this meeting.</p><p>The central bank chief may emphasize policymakers remain steadfast in their inflation fight, while leaving options open for their gathering in mid-December, when markets are split between another big move or a shift to 50 basis points.</p><p>In July, his comments were wrongly interpreted by investors as a near-term policy pivot, with markets rallying in response, which eased financial conditions -- making it harder for the Fed to curb prices. The chair may want to avoid a misstep, even if he suggests a shift to smaller increases at upcoming meetings.</p><p>“They may want to go slower just in the interest of financial stability,” said Julia Coronado, the founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC. “It’s a challenge for messaging because they don’t want to ease financial conditions significantly. They need tight financial conditions to keep cooling the economy off. So he doesn’t want to sound dovish, but he may want to go slower.”</p><p>Powell is trying to curb the hottest inflation in 40 years amid criticism he was slow to respond to rising prices last year. The hikes have roiled financial markets as investors worry the Fed could trigger a recession.</p><p>What Bloomberg Economics Says...</p><blockquote>“Less certain than today’s rate-hike is how Fed Chair Powell will communicate a potential future downshift in the rate-hike pace -- the degree of conviction, the risks around hike sizing, and implications for the terminal rate. We expect that he will present a 50-basis-point move as the base case and clarify that a downshift in the pace of rate hikes does not necessarily mean a lower terminal rate.” -- Anna Wong, Andrew Husby and Eliza Winger (economists)</blockquote><p>Wednesday’s expected move comes less than a week before midterm elections in the US, where Republicans have made high inflation a top issue and tried to pin blame on President Joe Biden and his party in Congress. Last week, two Democratic senators urged Powell to not cause unnecessary pain by raising rates too high.</p><h3>Rates</h3><p>Economists overwhelmingly predict the FOMC will raise 75 basis points, though one is looking for a step down to 50 basis points instead. Investors are close to fully pricing in 75 basis points at this Fed meeting, according to interest-rate futures markets.</p><p>The Bank of Canada unexpectedly slowed its pace of interest-rate hikes to a half point last week, though economists noted Canada’s higher share of adjustable-rate mortgages magnify the macroeconomic impact of the central bank’s rate increases.</p><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea60d1bee5f8941daa13a7b47003ba36\" tg-width=\"724\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>FOMC Statement</h3><p>The statement is likely to retain its pledge of “ongoing increases” in interest rates, but that could be “modestly tweaked in some way to indicate that you’re closer to the end” of hikes, said Michael Feroli, chief US economist at JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. One option would be to say “some further increases,” he said.</p><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33a6ebb3c7ce52bb0b1b532be6744944\" tg-width=\"714\" tg-height=\"425\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Press Conference</h3><p>Powell since July has said it will be necessary to slow the pace of hikes at some point, and he’s likely to reiterate that, while leaving options open in December depending on incoming data. There will be two employment reports and two consumer-price reports before the Dec. 13-14 meeting.</p><p>“Markets want some indication that the Fed’s going to downshift,” said Drew Matus, chief market strategist with MetLife Investment Management. “This whole point of downshifting and moving to a slower pace of hikes is because you don’t know how much you have to do. So if it’s raining outside and I am driving, I am slowing down.”</p><h3>Dissents</h3><p>About a third of economists expect a dissent at the meeting. The most likely candidates would be Kansas City Fed President Esther George, who dissented in June in favor of a smaller hike, and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who dissented in March as a hawk.</p><h3>Balance Sheet</h3><p>The Fed is likely to reiterate its plans to shrink its massive balance sheet at a pace of $1.1 trillion a year. Economists project that will bring the balance sheet to $8.5 trillion by year end, dropping to $6.7 trillion in December 2024.</p><p>No announcement is expected on sales of mortgage-backed securities.</p><h3>Financial Stability</h3><p>A report on financial stability is likely to be presented during the meeting, according to Nomura’s economists, and Powell may be asked whether the pace of hikes and potentially a US recession could cause international spillovers or disruptions in US credit markets. Three-month Treasury yields topped the 10-year yield last week, a so-called inversion that is often seen as a signal of a recession.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbb7101fc4583f8227d710c8db6c7496\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>“We are not conditioned in the US to be dealing with a 4.5% federal funds rate,” said Troy Ludtka, senior US economist at Natixis North America LLC, and there are concerns credit markets could be disrupted. “Internationally is even scarier. Europe looks terrible. China is not in recession, but I think it’s their slowest growth in a long, long time.”</p><h3>Ethics Questions</h3><p>Powell also could be asked about the latest incidents to raise questions about ethics standards at the central bank.</p><p>Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic recently revealed he violated central bank policy on financial transactions, leading Powell to ask the Fed’s inspector general to review his financial disclosures.</p><p>In a separate incident, Bullard last month attended a Citigroup-hosted meeting in Washington to which media were not invited and at which he discussed monetary policy. The St. Louis Fed has since said it would think differently about accepting such invitations in the future.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed to Hike Big Again and Open Door to Downshift</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed to Hike Big Again and Open Door to Downshift\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-02 17:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-02/fed-to-hike-big-again-and-open-door-to-downshift-decision-guide><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Chair Powell faces a communications challenge at briefingFed may slow soon, but doesn’t want easy financial conditionsThe Federal Reserve looks set to deliver a fourth straight super-sized rate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-02/fed-to-hike-big-again-and-open-door-to-downshift-decision-guide\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-02/fed-to-hike-big-again-and-open-door-to-downshift-decision-guide","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112792321","content_text":"Chair Powell faces a communications challenge at briefingFed may slow soon, but doesn’t want easy financial conditionsThe Federal Reserve looks set to deliver a fourth straight super-sized rate increase with Chair Jerome Powell repeating his resolute message on inflation and opening the door to a downshift -- without necessarily pivoting yet.The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to raise rates by 75 basis points on Wednesday to a range of 3.75 to 4%, the highest level since 2008 as the central bank extends its most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s.The decision will be announced at 2 p.m. in Washington and Powell will hold a press conference 30 minutes later. No fresh Fed forecasts are released at this meeting.The central bank chief may emphasize policymakers remain steadfast in their inflation fight, while leaving options open for their gathering in mid-December, when markets are split between another big move or a shift to 50 basis points.In July, his comments were wrongly interpreted by investors as a near-term policy pivot, with markets rallying in response, which eased financial conditions -- making it harder for the Fed to curb prices. The chair may want to avoid a misstep, even if he suggests a shift to smaller increases at upcoming meetings.“They may want to go slower just in the interest of financial stability,” said Julia Coronado, the founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC. “It’s a challenge for messaging because they don’t want to ease financial conditions significantly. They need tight financial conditions to keep cooling the economy off. So he doesn’t want to sound dovish, but he may want to go slower.”Powell is trying to curb the hottest inflation in 40 years amid criticism he was slow to respond to rising prices last year. The hikes have roiled financial markets as investors worry the Fed could trigger a recession.What Bloomberg Economics Says...“Less certain than today’s rate-hike is how Fed Chair Powell will communicate a potential future downshift in the rate-hike pace -- the degree of conviction, the risks around hike sizing, and implications for the terminal rate. We expect that he will present a 50-basis-point move as the base case and clarify that a downshift in the pace of rate hikes does not necessarily mean a lower terminal rate.” -- Anna Wong, Andrew Husby and Eliza Winger (economists)Wednesday’s expected move comes less than a week before midterm elections in the US, where Republicans have made high inflation a top issue and tried to pin blame on President Joe Biden and his party in Congress. Last week, two Democratic senators urged Powell to not cause unnecessary pain by raising rates too high.RatesEconomists overwhelmingly predict the FOMC will raise 75 basis points, though one is looking for a step down to 50 basis points instead. Investors are close to fully pricing in 75 basis points at this Fed meeting, according to interest-rate futures markets.The Bank of Canada unexpectedly slowed its pace of interest-rate hikes to a half point last week, though economists noted Canada’s higher share of adjustable-rate mortgages magnify the macroeconomic impact of the central bank’s rate increases.FOMC StatementThe statement is likely to retain its pledge of “ongoing increases” in interest rates, but that could be “modestly tweaked in some way to indicate that you’re closer to the end” of hikes, said Michael Feroli, chief US economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. One option would be to say “some further increases,” he said.Press ConferencePowell since July has said it will be necessary to slow the pace of hikes at some point, and he’s likely to reiterate that, while leaving options open in December depending on incoming data. There will be two employment reports and two consumer-price reports before the Dec. 13-14 meeting.“Markets want some indication that the Fed’s going to downshift,” said Drew Matus, chief market strategist with MetLife Investment Management. “This whole point of downshifting and moving to a slower pace of hikes is because you don’t know how much you have to do. So if it’s raining outside and I am driving, I am slowing down.”DissentsAbout a third of economists expect a dissent at the meeting. The most likely candidates would be Kansas City Fed President Esther George, who dissented in June in favor of a smaller hike, and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who dissented in March as a hawk.Balance SheetThe Fed is likely to reiterate its plans to shrink its massive balance sheet at a pace of $1.1 trillion a year. Economists project that will bring the balance sheet to $8.5 trillion by year end, dropping to $6.7 trillion in December 2024.No announcement is expected on sales of mortgage-backed securities.Financial StabilityA report on financial stability is likely to be presented during the meeting, according to Nomura’s economists, and Powell may be asked whether the pace of hikes and potentially a US recession could cause international spillovers or disruptions in US credit markets. Three-month Treasury yields topped the 10-year yield last week, a so-called inversion that is often seen as a signal of a recession.“We are not conditioned in the US to be dealing with a 4.5% federal funds rate,” said Troy Ludtka, senior US economist at Natixis North America LLC, and there are concerns credit markets could be disrupted. “Internationally is even scarier. Europe looks terrible. China is not in recession, but I think it’s their slowest growth in a long, long time.”Ethics QuestionsPowell also could be asked about the latest incidents to raise questions about ethics standards at the central bank.Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic recently revealed he violated central bank policy on financial transactions, leading Powell to ask the Fed’s inspector general to review his financial disclosures.In a separate incident, Bullard last month attended a Citigroup-hosted meeting in Washington to which media were not invited and at which he discussed monetary policy. The St. Louis Fed has since said it would think differently about accepting such invitations in the future.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989656994,"gmtCreate":1665998520618,"gmtModify":1676537689768,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989656994","repostId":"1117354220","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117354220","pubTimestamp":1665994734,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117354220?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-17 16:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says US Stocks Can Rally in Short Term","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117354220","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Strategist sees strong technical support for the S&P 500 IndexEarnings capitulation, recession to tr","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Strategist sees strong technical support for the S&amp;P 500 Index</li><li>Earnings capitulation, recession to trigger new declines: MS</li></ul><p>Morgan Stanley’s long-time equities bear says US stocks are ripe for a short-term rally in the absence of an earnings capitulation or an official recession.</p><p>A 25% slump in the S&amp;P 500 this year has left it testing a “serious floor of support” at its 200-week moving average, which could lead to a technical recovery, strategist Michael J. Wilson wrote in a note on Monday.</p><p>Wilson -- one of Wall Street’s most prominent bearish voices, who correctly predicted this year’s slump -- said he “would not rule out” the S&amp;P 500 rising to about 4,150 points -- suggesting 16% upside from its latest close. “While that seems like an awfully big move, it would be in line with bear market rallies this year and prior ones,” he said, while retaining his overall negative long-term stance on equities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893effaa329ffa3e337923055422a142\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>US equities have been hammered in 2022, with the S&amp;P 500 set for its biggest annual decline since the global financial crisis, as investors fear that historic inflation combined with a hawkish Federal Reserve and slowing growth would tip the economy into a recession.</p><p>A rise in core consumer prices to a 40-year high last month has cemented bets of another aggressive Fed rate hike in November, but Wilson said he believes inflation has now peaked and “could fall rapidly next year.” Still, the strategist said he expects “an acute and material earnings deceleration” over the next 12 months.</p><p>Wilson also warned that although it usually takes a “full-blown recession” for the S&amp;P 500 to fall below the key 200-week moving average, if the index fails to hold that level this time around, the rally may not materialize at all. Instead, the benchmark could slump to 3,400 points or lower -- at least 5% below its Friday close, he said. Ultimately, he sees the bear market bottoming around 3,000-3,200 points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee0c72ef75ae3797adb01cdd9243a3ad\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists, meanwhile, said the S&amp;P 500 remains expensive versus history and accounting for interest rates. Yet they see attractive opportunities in stocks linked to quicker cash flow generation, value, profitable growth, cyclicals and small caps, the strategists including David J. Kostin wrote in a note dated Oct. 14.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says US Stocks Can Rally in Short Term</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley’s Wilson Says US Stocks Can Rally in Short Term\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-17 16:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/morgan-stanley-s-wilson-says-us-stocks-can-rally-in-short-term><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Strategist sees strong technical support for the S&P 500 IndexEarnings capitulation, recession to trigger new declines: MSMorgan Stanley’s long-time equities bear says US stocks are ripe for a short-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/morgan-stanley-s-wilson-says-us-stocks-can-rally-in-short-term\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/morgan-stanley-s-wilson-says-us-stocks-can-rally-in-short-term","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117354220","content_text":"Strategist sees strong technical support for the S&P 500 IndexEarnings capitulation, recession to trigger new declines: MSMorgan Stanley’s long-time equities bear says US stocks are ripe for a short-term rally in the absence of an earnings capitulation or an official recession.A 25% slump in the S&P 500 this year has left it testing a “serious floor of support” at its 200-week moving average, which could lead to a technical recovery, strategist Michael J. Wilson wrote in a note on Monday.Wilson -- one of Wall Street’s most prominent bearish voices, who correctly predicted this year’s slump -- said he “would not rule out” the S&P 500 rising to about 4,150 points -- suggesting 16% upside from its latest close. “While that seems like an awfully big move, it would be in line with bear market rallies this year and prior ones,” he said, while retaining his overall negative long-term stance on equities.US equities have been hammered in 2022, with the S&P 500 set for its biggest annual decline since the global financial crisis, as investors fear that historic inflation combined with a hawkish Federal Reserve and slowing growth would tip the economy into a recession.A rise in core consumer prices to a 40-year high last month has cemented bets of another aggressive Fed rate hike in November, but Wilson said he believes inflation has now peaked and “could fall rapidly next year.” Still, the strategist said he expects “an acute and material earnings deceleration” over the next 12 months.Wilson also warned that although it usually takes a “full-blown recession” for the S&P 500 to fall below the key 200-week moving average, if the index fails to hold that level this time around, the rally may not materialize at all. Instead, the benchmark could slump to 3,400 points or lower -- at least 5% below its Friday close, he said. Ultimately, he sees the bear market bottoming around 3,000-3,200 points.Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists, meanwhile, said the S&P 500 remains expensive versus history and accounting for interest rates. Yet they see attractive opportunities in stocks linked to quicker cash flow generation, value, profitable growth, cyclicals and small caps, the strategists including David J. Kostin wrote in a note dated Oct. 14.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":41,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9006526946,"gmtCreate":1641789324528,"gmtModify":1676533648454,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9006526946","repostId":"1108030484","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108030484","pubTimestamp":1641769386,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108030484?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-10 07:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Consumer Price Index, Bank Earnings: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108030484","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Inflation data will be in focus this week, with investors set to receive the Bureau of Labor Statist","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Inflation data will be in focus this week, with investors set to receive the Bureau of Labor Statistics&#39; (BLS) latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) as the Federal Reserve&#39;s next monetary policy moves remain in focus. Quarterly earnings season also ramps up as some of the big banks report results.</p><p>Market participants are bracing for another historically hot reading on inflation in the latest CPI data, due out on Wednesday. On a year-over-year basis, consumer prices likely surged by 7.1% in December, based on Bloomberg consensus data, accelerating even further from November&#39;s 6.8% year-over-year clip.This would mark the fastest rate since 1982, when CPI rose as much as 8.4% on a year-over-year basis.</p><p>And on a month-over-month basis, consumer prices likely rose by 0.4% in December, slowing from November&#39;s 0.8% rise but still marking an eighteenth consecutive month of increases.</p><p>&#34;Recent months have seen consistent upside surprises as inflation has increasingly broadened out, and it&#39;s now the case that seven of the last nine CPI releases have seen the monthly headline increase come in above the consensus among economists on Bloomberg, which just demonstrates how this has taken a lot of people by surprise,&#34; Deutsche Bank economists Henry Allen and Jim Reid said in a note.</p><p>&#34;Our U.S. economists are projecting that year-on-year inflation will move higher once again, with an increase to +7.0%,&#34; they added. &#34;Interestingly though, they think we could be at a turning point with December marking the peak in the year-on-year readings, which they then project will fall back over 2022 and be at +3.0% by this December ahead.&#34;</p><p>Excluding more volatile food and energy prices, consumer prices likely rose at a 5.4% year-over-year rate in December, also speeding from November&#39;s 4.9% pace and coming in at the fastest since 1991.</p><p>While price increases have been broad-based in the recovering economy, some economists said rising vehicle prices will likely be one of the main drivers of inflation at year-end.</p><p>&#34;The main story will be the increase in autos inflation, with used cars the primary driver,&#34; Bank of America economists led by Ethan Harris wrote in a note Friday. &#34;Manheim data showed wholesale used car prices spiking 9.2% [month-over-month] in October, following a 5.3% increase in September. Given a roughly 2-month lag, this sends a signal of incredible strength for CPI used cars this month.&#34;</p><p>Used car and truck prices had risen 2.5% month-on-month in November, matching the prior month&#39;s rise, based on BLS data.</p><p>&#34;Outside of autos, we expect further gains in household furnishings and supplies and apparel, reflecting tight supply chains and fewer discounts as the holiday shopping season draws to a close,&#34; Harris added.</p><p>The December CPI will also be carefully parsed by investors as they gauge the next moves by the Federal Reserve, as some officials eye a quicker shift away from accommodative policies to rein in inflation.</p><p>Last week, the Fed&#39;s December meeting minutes suggested some officials favored speeding the central bank&#39;s asset-purchase tapering and hastening the timing of an initial interest rate hike from current near-zero levels. And against a backdrop of a &#34;stronger economic outlook [and] higher inflation,&#34; some officials also suggested they were contemplating the start of reducing the nearly $9 trillion in assets on the central bank&#39;s balance sheet. Hints that the Fed was considering tightening policy in the near-term sent equity markets into a tailspin last week.</p><p>&#34;The market does have to adjust to what is a surprise in terms of how aggressive the Federal Reserve may be in managing the economy around inflation,&#34; Rob Haworth, U.S. Bank Wealth Management senior investment strategist,told Yahoo Finance Livelast week.</p><p>Investors may also receive more commentary about how key members of the Federal Reserve expect to approach inflation with their monetary policy toolkit in two confirmation hearings before Congress this week. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s nomination hearing for a second term is set to take place before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday — or a day before the December CPI is released. However, Fed Governor Lael Brainard&#39;s nomination hearing to become vice chair of the Fed will take place on Thursday before the Senate Banking Committee, after the release of the latest inflation data.</p><p>Bank earnings</p><p>This week, investors will also see a pick-up in earnings reports, as some of the largest U.S. banks deliver their quarterly results at the end of the week. JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C) and Wells Fargo (WFC) are each slated to report Friday morning before the opening bell.</p><p>The results come following a strong run for bank stocks, with financials currently the second-best performing sector in the S&amp;P 500 in 2022, after energy. TheXLF, or exchange-traded fund tracking the financials sector, hit a record high on Friday and logged its best week since February 2021.</p><p>Expectations for higher interest rates this year have been one major factor lifting these shares, given that banks&#39; core lending businesses benefit from rising rates. On Friday, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose to approximately 1.8%, or its highest level since January 2020. And robust market activity over the past year likely also helped further lift banks&#39; trading operations.</p><p>&#34;As far as the financials go, we think they&#39;re going to be pretty good. This last year has seen a lot of trading activity,&#34; Scott Ladner, Horizon Investments chief investment officer,told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday.&#34;And as we&#39;ve seen, what&#39;s going on right now with respect to yield curve, the yield curve steepened this week.&#34;</p><p>As fourth-quarter earnings begin to ramp up, many analysts are expecting to see another solid reporting season. However, the estimates are also taking into account slowing momentum after soaring earnings growth rates from earlier last year, helped in large part by easy comparisons to 2020&#39;s pandemic-depressed levels.</p><p>S&amp;P 500 earnings in aggregate are expected to grow 21.7% for the fourth-quarter of 2021, according to data from FactSet&#39;s John Butters as of Friday. If earnings come in as expected, this would mark a fourth consecutive quarter that earnings growth tops 20%.</p><p>Economic calendar</p><ul><li><p><b>Monday:</b>Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, November final (1.2% expected, 1.2% in previous print)</p></li><li><p><b>Tuesday:</b>NFIB Small Business Optimism, December (98.5 expected, 98.4 in November)</p></li><li><p><b>Wednesday:</b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended January 7 (-5.6% during prior week); Consumer Price Index (CPI), month-over-month, December (0.4% expected, 0.8% in November); CPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, December (0.5% expected, 0.5% in November); CPI year-over-year, December (7.1% expected, 6.8% in November); CPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, December (5.4% expected, 4.9% in November); Monthly budget statement, December (-$191.3 billion expected); U.S. Federal Reserve Releases Beige Book</p></li><li><p><b>Thursday:</b>Producer Price Index (PPI), month-over-month, December (0.4% expected, 0.8% in November); PPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, December (0.4% expected, 0.7% in November); PPI year-over-year, December (9.8% expected, 9.6% in November); PPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, December (8.0% expected, 7.7% in November); Initial jobless claims, week ended January 8 (210,000 expected, 207,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended January 1 (1.754 million during prior week)</p></li><li><p><b>Friday:</b>Retail sales advance, month-over-month, December (0.0% expected, 0.3% in November); Retail sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, December (-0.1% expected, 0.2% in November); Import price index, month-over-month, December (0.2%. expected, 0.7% in November); Capacity utilization, December (77.0% expected); Industrial production, month-over-month, December (0.3% expected, 0.5% in November); University of Michigan sentiment, January preliminary (70.0 expected, 70.6 in December)</p></li></ul><p>Earnings calendar</p><ul><li><p><b>Monday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li><li><p><b>Tuesday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li><li><p><b>Wednesday:</b>Jefferies Financial Corp. (JEF) before market open</p></li><li><p><b>Thursday:</b>Delta Air Lines (DAL) before market open</p></li><li><p><b>Friday:</b>BlackRock (BLK), Citigroup (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC) before market open</p></li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Consumer Price Index, Bank Earnings: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nConsumer Price Index, Bank Earnings: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-10 07:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumer-price-index-bank-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-164559716.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Inflation data will be in focus this week, with investors set to receive the Bureau of Labor Statistics' (BLS) latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) as the Federal Reserve's next monetary policy moves ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumer-price-index-bank-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-164559716.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumer-price-index-bank-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-164559716.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108030484","content_text":"Inflation data will be in focus this week, with investors set to receive the Bureau of Labor Statistics' (BLS) latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) as the Federal Reserve's next monetary policy moves remain in focus. Quarterly earnings season also ramps up as some of the big banks report results.Market participants are bracing for another historically hot reading on inflation in the latest CPI data, due out on Wednesday. On a year-over-year basis, consumer prices likely surged by 7.1% in December, based on Bloomberg consensus data, accelerating even further from November's 6.8% year-over-year clip.This would mark the fastest rate since 1982, when CPI rose as much as 8.4% on a year-over-year basis.And on a month-over-month basis, consumer prices likely rose by 0.4% in December, slowing from November's 0.8% rise but still marking an eighteenth consecutive month of increases.\"Recent months have seen consistent upside surprises as inflation has increasingly broadened out, and it's now the case that seven of the last nine CPI releases have seen the monthly headline increase come in above the consensus among economists on Bloomberg, which just demonstrates how this has taken a lot of people by surprise,\" Deutsche Bank economists Henry Allen and Jim Reid said in a note.\"Our U.S. economists are projecting that year-on-year inflation will move higher once again, with an increase to +7.0%,\" they added. \"Interestingly though, they think we could be at a turning point with December marking the peak in the year-on-year readings, which they then project will fall back over 2022 and be at +3.0% by this December ahead.\"Excluding more volatile food and energy prices, consumer prices likely rose at a 5.4% year-over-year rate in December, also speeding from November's 4.9% pace and coming in at the fastest since 1991.While price increases have been broad-based in the recovering economy, some economists said rising vehicle prices will likely be one of the main drivers of inflation at year-end.\"The main story will be the increase in autos inflation, with used cars the primary driver,\" Bank of America economists led by Ethan Harris wrote in a note Friday. \"Manheim data showed wholesale used car prices spiking 9.2% [month-over-month] in October, following a 5.3% increase in September. Given a roughly 2-month lag, this sends a signal of incredible strength for CPI used cars this month.\"Used car and truck prices had risen 2.5% month-on-month in November, matching the prior month's rise, based on BLS data.\"Outside of autos, we expect further gains in household furnishings and supplies and apparel, reflecting tight supply chains and fewer discounts as the holiday shopping season draws to a close,\" Harris added.The December CPI will also be carefully parsed by investors as they gauge the next moves by the Federal Reserve, as some officials eye a quicker shift away from accommodative policies to rein in inflation.Last week, the Fed's December meeting minutes suggested some officials favored speeding the central bank's asset-purchase tapering and hastening the timing of an initial interest rate hike from current near-zero levels. And against a backdrop of a \"stronger economic outlook [and] higher inflation,\" some officials also suggested they were contemplating the start of reducing the nearly $9 trillion in assets on the central bank's balance sheet. Hints that the Fed was considering tightening policy in the near-term sent equity markets into a tailspin last week.\"The market does have to adjust to what is a surprise in terms of how aggressive the Federal Reserve may be in managing the economy around inflation,\" Rob Haworth, U.S. Bank Wealth Management senior investment strategist,told Yahoo Finance Livelast week.Investors may also receive more commentary about how key members of the Federal Reserve expect to approach inflation with their monetary policy toolkit in two confirmation hearings before Congress this week. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's nomination hearing for a second term is set to take place before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday — or a day before the December CPI is released. However, Fed Governor Lael Brainard's nomination hearing to become vice chair of the Fed will take place on Thursday before the Senate Banking Committee, after the release of the latest inflation data.Bank earningsThis week, investors will also see a pick-up in earnings reports, as some of the largest U.S. banks deliver their quarterly results at the end of the week. JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C) and Wells Fargo (WFC) are each slated to report Friday morning before the opening bell.The results come following a strong run for bank stocks, with financials currently the second-best performing sector in the S&P 500 in 2022, after energy. TheXLF, or exchange-traded fund tracking the financials sector, hit a record high on Friday and logged its best week since February 2021.Expectations for higher interest rates this year have been one major factor lifting these shares, given that banks' core lending businesses benefit from rising rates. On Friday, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose to approximately 1.8%, or its highest level since January 2020. And robust market activity over the past year likely also helped further lift banks' trading operations.\"As far as the financials go, we think they're going to be pretty good. This last year has seen a lot of trading activity,\" Scott Ladner, Horizon Investments chief investment officer,told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday.\"And as we've seen, what's going on right now with respect to yield curve, the yield curve steepened this week.\"As fourth-quarter earnings begin to ramp up, many analysts are expecting to see another solid reporting season. However, the estimates are also taking into account slowing momentum after soaring earnings growth rates from earlier last year, helped in large part by easy comparisons to 2020's pandemic-depressed levels.S&P 500 earnings in aggregate are expected to grow 21.7% for the fourth-quarter of 2021, according to data from FactSet's John Butters as of Friday. If earnings come in as expected, this would mark a fourth consecutive quarter that earnings growth tops 20%.Economic calendarMonday:Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, November final (1.2% expected, 1.2% in previous print)Tuesday:NFIB Small Business Optimism, December (98.5 expected, 98.4 in November)Wednesday:MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended January 7 (-5.6% during prior week); Consumer Price Index (CPI), month-over-month, December (0.4% expected, 0.8% in November); CPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, December (0.5% expected, 0.5% in November); CPI year-over-year, December (7.1% expected, 6.8% in November); CPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, December (5.4% expected, 4.9% in November); Monthly budget statement, December (-$191.3 billion expected); U.S. Federal Reserve Releases Beige BookThursday:Producer Price Index (PPI), month-over-month, December (0.4% expected, 0.8% in November); PPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, December (0.4% expected, 0.7% in November); PPI year-over-year, December (9.8% expected, 9.6% in November); PPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, December (8.0% expected, 7.7% in November); Initial jobless claims, week ended January 8 (210,000 expected, 207,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended January 1 (1.754 million during prior week)Friday:Retail sales advance, month-over-month, December (0.0% expected, 0.3% in November); Retail sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, December (-0.1% expected, 0.2% in November); Import price index, month-over-month, December (0.2%. expected, 0.7% in November); Capacity utilization, December (77.0% expected); Industrial production, month-over-month, December (0.3% expected, 0.5% in November); University of Michigan sentiment, January preliminary (70.0 expected, 70.6 in December)Earnings calendarMonday:No notable reports scheduled for releaseTuesday:No notable reports scheduled for releaseWednesday:Jefferies Financial Corp. (JEF) before market openThursday:Delta Air Lines (DAL) before market openFriday:BlackRock (BLK), Citigroup (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC) before market open","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968461342,"gmtCreate":1669295151486,"gmtModify":1676538179963,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968461342","repostId":"2285840582","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9044002926,"gmtCreate":1656667660065,"gmtModify":1676535874199,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044002926","repostId":"1102372049","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102372049","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1656664923,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102372049?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-01 16:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tiger Chart | Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022; Energy Was the Only Winner","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102372049","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"In 2022 H1, it began with spiking cases of COVID-19 due to the Omicron variant, then came Russia - U","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>In 2022 H1, it began with spiking cases of COVID-19 due to the Omicron variant, then came Russia - Ukraine war, decades-high inflation and aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, all three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory, with the S&amp;P 500 declining 20.58%, notching its steepest first-half percentage drop since 1970.</p><p>The Nasdaq had its largest-ever January-June percentage drop tumbling 29.51%, while the Dow suffered its biggest first-half percentage plunge since 1962, crashing 15.31%.</p><p>Meanwhile, VIX soared nearly 67% in H1 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5815e5fb2947c5dfc11deaac3cc7dfdd\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><b>Energy Sector Was the Only Winner</b></p><p>From the perspective of 11 S&amp;P500 sectors, energy was the only winner with a 23.95% gain, aided by crude prices spiking oversupply concerns due to Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>Meanwhile, five S&amp;P500 sectors fell over 20% in H1 2022, the technology sector was the biggest loser with a 34.01% decline due to the Fed&#39;s rate hikes.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fc7a7e6e0586095a533d78147d8304d\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>&#34;All year it’s been a tug-of-war between inflation and slowing growth, balancing tightening financial conditions to address inflation concerns but trying to avoid outright panic,&#34; said Paul Kim, chief executive officer at Simplify ETFs in New York. &#34;I think we are more than likely already in a recession and right now the only question is how harsh will the recession be?&#34;</p><p>&#34;I think it’s very unlikely that we’ll see a soft landing,&#34; Kim added.</p><p><b>Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022 As Recession Fears Rose</b></p><p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1c0816c071e146939a083f4f43042ef4\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Mega-cap companies also experienced a hard time in H1 2022. Nvidia was the biggest loser in the top 10 U.S. companies, tumbling 48.46%; Tesla was kicked out of the $1 trillion clubs after crashing 36.29%, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon slid 20%. However, UnitedHealth and J&amp;J were the winners by rising 2.29% and 3.76%, separately.</p><p>Moreover, Tesla and SpaceX CEO Musk spoke about the possibility of an upcoming recession. He expected the economy to suffer for 12 to 18 months and noted that companies with a negative cash flow needed to fold in order for this to happen so that they can &#34;stop consuming resources.&#34;</p><p>Musk himself is feeling the pressure— in early June, he wrote an email to Tesla employees saying he had a &#34;super bad feeling&#34; about the state of the economy and planned to cut 10% of the company&#39;s total workforce.</p><p>This week, Chief executive Mark Zuckerberg delivered the news to employees delivering a pointed warning that coincides with a wave of layoffs at Australian startups.</p><p>“If I had to bet, I’d say that this might be one of the worst downturns that we’ve seen in recent history,” said Zuckerberg.</p><p>Meta had initially planned to hire 10,000 new engineers in 2022, Zuckerberg said. In addition to reducing hiring, the company was leaving certain positions unfilled in response to attrition and “turning up the heat” on performance management to weed out staffers unable to meet more aggressive goals, he said. “Realistically, there are probably a bunch of people at the company who shouldn’t be here,” Zuckerberg said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Chart | Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022; Energy Was the Only Winner</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Chart | Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022; Energy Was the Only Winner\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-01 16:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>In 2022 H1, it began with spiking cases of COVID-19 due to the Omicron variant, then came Russia - Ukraine war, decades-high inflation and aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, all three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory, with the S&amp;P 500 declining 20.58%, notching its steepest first-half percentage drop since 1970.</p><p>The Nasdaq had its largest-ever January-June percentage drop tumbling 29.51%, while the Dow suffered its biggest first-half percentage plunge since 1962, crashing 15.31%.</p><p>Meanwhile, VIX soared nearly 67% in H1 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5815e5fb2947c5dfc11deaac3cc7dfdd\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><b>Energy Sector Was the Only Winner</b></p><p>From the perspective of 11 S&amp;P500 sectors, energy was the only winner with a 23.95% gain, aided by crude prices spiking oversupply concerns due to Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>Meanwhile, five S&amp;P500 sectors fell over 20% in H1 2022, the technology sector was the biggest loser with a 34.01% decline due to the Fed&#39;s rate hikes.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fc7a7e6e0586095a533d78147d8304d\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>&#34;All year it’s been a tug-of-war between inflation and slowing growth, balancing tightening financial conditions to address inflation concerns but trying to avoid outright panic,&#34; said Paul Kim, chief executive officer at Simplify ETFs in New York. &#34;I think we are more than likely already in a recession and right now the only question is how harsh will the recession be?&#34;</p><p>&#34;I think it’s very unlikely that we’ll see a soft landing,&#34; Kim added.</p><p><b>Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022 As Recession Fears Rose</b></p><p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1c0816c071e146939a083f4f43042ef4\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Mega-cap companies also experienced a hard time in H1 2022. Nvidia was the biggest loser in the top 10 U.S. companies, tumbling 48.46%; Tesla was kicked out of the $1 trillion clubs after crashing 36.29%, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon slid 20%. However, UnitedHealth and J&amp;J were the winners by rising 2.29% and 3.76%, separately.</p><p>Moreover, Tesla and SpaceX CEO Musk spoke about the possibility of an upcoming recession. He expected the economy to suffer for 12 to 18 months and noted that companies with a negative cash flow needed to fold in order for this to happen so that they can &#34;stop consuming resources.&#34;</p><p>Musk himself is feeling the pressure— in early June, he wrote an email to Tesla employees saying he had a &#34;super bad feeling&#34; about the state of the economy and planned to cut 10% of the company&#39;s total workforce.</p><p>This week, Chief executive Mark Zuckerberg delivered the news to employees delivering a pointed warning that coincides with a wave of layoffs at Australian startups.</p><p>“If I had to bet, I’d say that this might be one of the worst downturns that we’ve seen in recent history,” said Zuckerberg.</p><p>Meta had initially planned to hire 10,000 new engineers in 2022, Zuckerberg said. In addition to reducing hiring, the company was leaving certain positions unfilled in response to attrition and “turning up the heat” on performance management to weed out staffers unable to meet more aggressive goals, he said. “Realistically, there are probably a bunch of people at the company who shouldn’t be here,” Zuckerberg said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JNJ":"强生","GOOGL":"谷歌A",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","UNH":"联合健康",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TSLA":"特斯拉","V":"Visa","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果","GOOG":"谷歌","NVDA":"英伟达","MSFT":"微软","VIX":"标普500波动率指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102372049","content_text":"In 2022 H1, it began with spiking cases of COVID-19 due to the Omicron variant, then came Russia - Ukraine war, decades-high inflation and aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, all three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory, with the S&P 500 declining 20.58%, notching its steepest first-half percentage drop since 1970.The Nasdaq had its largest-ever January-June percentage drop tumbling 29.51%, while the Dow suffered its biggest first-half percentage plunge since 1962, crashing 15.31%.Meanwhile, VIX soared nearly 67% in H1 2022.Energy Sector Was the Only WinnerFrom the perspective of 11 S&P500 sectors, energy was the only winner with a 23.95% gain, aided by crude prices spiking oversupply concerns due to Russia-Ukraine conflict.Meanwhile, five S&P500 sectors fell over 20% in H1 2022, the technology sector was the biggest loser with a 34.01% decline due to the Fed's rate hikes.\"All year it’s been a tug-of-war between inflation and slowing growth, balancing tightening financial conditions to address inflation concerns but trying to avoid outright panic,\" said Paul Kim, chief executive officer at Simplify ETFs in New York. \"I think we are more than likely already in a recession and right now the only question is how harsh will the recession be?\"\"I think it’s very unlikely that we’ll see a soft landing,\" Kim added.Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon Crashed Over 30% in H1 2022 As Recession Fears RoseMega-cap companies also experienced a hard time in H1 2022. Nvidia was the biggest loser in the top 10 U.S. companies, tumbling 48.46%; Tesla was kicked out of the $1 trillion clubs after crashing 36.29%, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon slid 20%. However, UnitedHealth and J&J were the winners by rising 2.29% and 3.76%, separately.Moreover, Tesla and SpaceX CEO Musk spoke about the possibility of an upcoming recession. He expected the economy to suffer for 12 to 18 months and noted that companies with a negative cash flow needed to fold in order for this to happen so that they can \"stop consuming resources.\"Musk himself is feeling the pressure— in early June, he wrote an email to Tesla employees saying he had a \"super bad feeling\" about the state of the economy and planned to cut 10% of the company's total workforce.This week, Chief executive Mark Zuckerberg delivered the news to employees delivering a pointed warning that coincides with a wave of layoffs at Australian startups.“If I had to bet, I’d say that this might be one of the worst downturns that we’ve seen in recent history,” said Zuckerberg.Meta had initially planned to hire 10,000 new engineers in 2022, Zuckerberg said. In addition to reducing hiring, the company was leaving certain positions unfilled in response to attrition and “turning up the heat” on performance management to weed out staffers unable to meet more aggressive goals, he said. “Realistically, there are probably a bunch of people at the company who shouldn’t be here,” Zuckerberg said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055126428,"gmtCreate":1655252280865,"gmtModify":1676535595251,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STNE\">$StoneCo(STNE)$</a>&nbsp;Dropping like Stone again!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STNE\">$StoneCo(STNE)$</a>&nbsp;Dropping like Stone again!&nbsp;","text":"$StoneCo(STNE)$ Dropping like Stone again!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ae5bf22a2df5650c7a44bd034f0ea40","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055126428","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035412168,"gmtCreate":1647653799635,"gmtModify":1676534255731,"author":{"id":"3581589405041654","authorId":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035412168","repostId":"2220484770","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}