晶峰 personal page - To The Moon

晶峰

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2022-10-27

https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/halloween/?os=android&utm_campaign=20221019105824&adcode=20221019105824&utm_medium=wechat&skin=1&edition=fundamental&shareID=c6cca940ee7c4f60d920e4https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/halloween/?os=android&utm_campaign=20221019105824&adcode=20221019105824&utm_medium=wechat&skin=1&edition=fundamental&shareID=c6cca940ee7c4f60d920e4171f5212b3&platform=android&feature=Me&original_module=h5_material&actionID=244a4d320d6146c00f78c3fd211a7d31&invite=UTH3K7&lang=zh_CN&utm_source=invite#/171f5212b3&platform=android&feature=Me&original_module=h5_material&actionID=244a4d320d6146c00f78c3fd211a7d31&invite=UTH3K7&lang=zh_CN&utm_sourc

2024-02-17

wow

2022-05-05

$AMC院线(AMC)$up?

2022-12-23

Wow

2023-01-18

Goal

2023-04-08

Next week Will up again? Or same

2023-04-07

What's a beautify day, let's begin to invest

2022-12-11

Wow

2022-02-04

Good

What is the 2021Q4 performance forecast? Which sectors exceeded expectations?

2022-04-17

$Novo Tellus SPAC(NTA.SI)$ up

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Tiger Securities OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss https://tigr.link/6DW1cA","text":"# Tiger Securities OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss https://tigr.link/6DW1cA","html":"# Tiger Securities OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss 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OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss https://tigr.link/6DW1cA","text":"# Tiger Securities OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss https://tigr.link/6DW1cA","html":"# Tiger Securities OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss https://tigr.link/6DW1cA"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068030777,"gmtCreate":1651702675314,"gmtModify":1676534949998,"author":{"id":"3581664705310259","authorId":"3581664705310259","name":"晶峰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9caff021499b03be6c3c8c4f30eb8da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581664705310259","authorIdStr":"3581664705310259"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>up?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>up?","text":"$AMC院线(AMC)$up?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/74783f367cdfb95be7dfb2e31ad2c14f","width":"1080","height":"1994"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068030777","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":971,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922867585,"gmtCreate":1671739070047,"gmtModify":1676538585425,"author":{"id":"3581664705310259","authorId":"3581664705310259","name":"晶峰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9caff021499b03be6c3c8c4f30eb8da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581664705310259","authorIdStr":"3581664705310259"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922867585","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9956613649,"gmtCreate":1673989777882,"gmtModify":1676538912405,"author":{"id":"3581664705310259","authorId":"3581664705310259","name":"晶峰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9caff021499b03be6c3c8c4f30eb8da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581664705310259","authorIdStr":"3581664705310259"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Goal","listText":"Goal","text":"Goal","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9956613649","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946153641,"gmtCreate":1680892775883,"gmtModify":1680892779539,"author":{"id":"3581664705310259","authorId":"3581664705310259","name":"晶峰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9caff021499b03be6c3c8c4f30eb8da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581664705310259","authorIdStr":"3581664705310259"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Next 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Or same","listText":"Next week Will up again? Or same","text":"Next week Will up again? 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11:10","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"What is the 2021Q4 performance forecast? Which sectors exceeded expectations?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2208151360","media":"格隆汇","summary":"已披露业绩预告的公司中，属于“预盈”类型的公司占比为55.87%","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>In the report \"Performance Forecast and Market Structure at the Beginning of the Year\", we reviewed the guidance of the performance forecast of the annual reports in previous years on the market structure,<b>It was found that the performance of the sectors whose annual report performance forecast exceeded expectations was also more prominent at the beginning of the year</b>。</p><p>Recently, as the disclosure of the performance forecast of the annual report comes to an end, we<b>The situation of \"exceeding expectations\" in the 2021Q4 performance forecast was sorted out</b>, for investors' reference.</p><p><b>Report Text</b></p><p><h3>I. Sector situation: All-A performance improved month-on-month</h3><b>Nearly 60% of all companies disclosed performance forecasts.</b>As of 10: 00 a.m. on January 29, 2022, a total of 2,417 A-share listed companies had released 2021Q4 performance forecast/express/annual report, of which 2,417 companies actually announced their results, with an actual disclosure rate of 58.09% (only 4,161 companies listed before December 31, 2020 are considered, that is, new shares within one year of listing are excluded), of which: 614 of the 891 listed companies on GEM have been disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 68.91%; After the small and medium-sized board was merged into the main board, 1,695 of the 3,014 listed companies on the main board were disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 56.24%; 105 of the 215 companies in Science and Technology Innovation Board disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 48.84%; Three of the 41 companies in North Exchange disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 7.32%</p><p><b>Among the companies that have disclosed their performance forecasts, 55.87% of them belong to the \"pre-profit\" type.</b>According to the type of performance forecast, we are divided into two groups: pre-profit (including slight increase, turnaround, continued profit and pre-increase) and pre-loss (slight decrease, first loss, continued loss and pre-decrease). Among the 2,318 listed companies that have disclosed the types of performance forecasts (some companies directly disclose performance bulletins and annual reports, which are not included in the performance forecast statistics), a total of 1,295 are pre-profit, accounting for 55.87%; The pre-profit companies on the Main Board, GEM, Science and Technology Innovation Board and North Stock Exchange accounted for 55.10%, 56.34%, 64.00% and 100% respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cf2ee295d4ea89057a998e76b0e9ff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"680\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>According to the performance forecast of the 2021 annual report, the growth rate of all-A performance improved month-on-month.</b>From the perspective of companies that have disclosed their performance forecasts, using 2020 as the benchmark, the median growth rate of all-A 2021Q4 performance was 50.00%, an improvement of 29.27 percentage points from Q3 2021. Among them, the median performance growth rate of the Main Board/GEM/Science and Technology Innovation Board was 51.39%/44.22%/56.36%, respectively, representing a change of 29.49/27.27/30.70 percentage points as compared with Q3 2021, respectively. Judging from the disclosed performance forecast, the absolute growth rate of Science and Technology Innovation Board leads all A, followed by the main board, and finally the GEM. The month-on-month improvement rate of performance is also for Science and Technology Innovation Board, the main board and the GEM. However, it is worth noting that due to the full implementation of conditional compulsory disclosure of A-share performance forecast disclosure, that is, only companies with large performance fluctuations must make compulsory disclosure, while other companies do not make compulsory disclosure requirements. Most of the companies that voluntarily disclose may perform better, and the current announced performance growth rate may be overestimated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b44a543068efb79b4b486ff7c06bc38\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>2. Which industries' performance growth rate improved month-on-month</h3>As of 10: 00 a.m. on January 29, 2022, 2,417 listed companies have released 2021Q4 performance forecasts/express reports/annual reports and disclosed actual results, which we use as a sample to conduct industry performance analysis based on all A shares.</p><p><b>According to CITIC's first-tier industries, only the performance growth rate of coal and banks for two consecutive periods improved from the previous month</b>。 We screened out industries with positive performance growth, month-on-month improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50%. There are 16 industries with positive performance growth, quarter-on-quarter improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50% in 2021Q4.<b>Among them, the top five industries with the biggest month-on-month improvement</b>respectively<b>Petroleum and petrochemicals</b>(An improvement of 86.34 percentage points compared with Q3, the same in parentheses below),<b>Basic chemical engineering</b>(73.18 percentage points),<b>Electronics</b>(47.19 percentage points),<b>home appliance</b>(45.31 percentage points) and<b>Media (</b>44.37 percentage points). In industries with positive performance growth rate, month-on-month improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50%,<b>Two consecutive quarter-on-quarter improvements</b>The industry is only<b>Coal</b>And<b>BANK</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0b05c612dab8dd32048f1130f0aad80\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1005\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>According to CITIC's secondary industries, there are 43 industries with positive performance growth rate, quarter-on-quarter improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50% in 2021Q4. The top 10 industries with quarter-on-quarter growth rate include<b>Asset management II, planting industry, white goods II, multi-field holding II, insurance II, hotel and catering, other chemicals II, industrial internet, optical optoelectronics and agricultural chemicals</b>。 Among the CITIC secondary industries with positive performance growth rate, quarter-on-quarter improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50% in 2021Q4, the industries with quarter-on-quarter performance improvement for two consecutive periods include<b>White goods II, black goods II, components and biomedicine II.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ff86779543f4641e57794a1be36dc7d\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"1388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>3. Which industries account for the top proportion of stocks that exceed expectations</h3>After excluding the industries where the number of stocks disclosed in the performance forecast is less than 5 and the number of stocks with market consensus expectation is less than 5, we take the stocks that have disclosed the performance forecast in each industry as the object, draw the Wind consensus expectation value of their performance growth rate in 2021 (the consensus forecast caliber of Wind is 180 days), and compare it with the growth rate disclosed in the performance forecast.<b>When the growth rate of performance forecast disclosure is greater than the consensus expected value of Wind, we define it as \"stocks with performance exceeding expectations\", calculate the proportion of the number of \"stocks with performance exceeding expectations\" to stocks with disclosed performance forecasts and market expectations, and sort each sector according to this ratio.</b></p><p><b>From the perspective of CITIC's first-tier industry,</b>As of January 29, 2022 at 10:00 a.m.,<b>BANK</b>19 companies in the sector have disclosed their performance forecasts, of which 18 companies are stocks with \"performance exceeding expectations\", accounting for 94.74% of the stocks exceeding expectations. The number of stocks that exceed expectations accounts for the top industries in A shares also include<b>Non-bank finance</b>（56.25%）、<b>Coal</b>（42.86%）、<b>Basic chemical engineering</b>（41.38%）、<b>Non-ferrous metals</b>（41.07%）、<b>Medicine</b>(41.07%), etc. From the perspective of CITIC's secondary industry,<b>National Joint Stock Bank Ⅱ</b>The proportion of \"exceeding expectations\" reached 100%, while<b>Regional banks</b>、<b>Franchise chain</b>、<b>Securities II</b>、<b>Other electronic components Ⅱ</b>、<b>Other Chemicals II</b>、<b>Other pharmaceuticals</b>、<b>Agricultural chemical industry</b>And<b>logistics</b>The proportion of unexpected stocks in the sector is also more than 50% (including 50%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/793a88eead21e71d3c32b48fce9ead18\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1155\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7df054055f78ddd1c7bd4f22b6da6f6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"1102\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What is the 2021Q4 performance forecast? Which sectors exceeded expectations?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat is the 2021Q4 performance forecast? Which sectors exceeded expectations?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">格隆汇</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-02-03 11:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>In the report \"Performance Forecast and Market Structure at the Beginning of the Year\", we reviewed the guidance of the performance forecast of the annual reports in previous years on the market structure,<b>It was found that the performance of the sectors whose annual report performance forecast exceeded expectations was also more prominent at the beginning of the year</b>。</p><p>Recently, as the disclosure of the performance forecast of the annual report comes to an end, we<b>The situation of \"exceeding expectations\" in the 2021Q4 performance forecast was sorted out</b>, for investors' reference.</p><p><b>Report Text</b></p><p><h3>I. Sector situation: All-A performance improved month-on-month</h3><b>Nearly 60% of all companies disclosed performance forecasts.</b>As of 10: 00 a.m. on January 29, 2022, a total of 2,417 A-share listed companies had released 2021Q4 performance forecast/express/annual report, of which 2,417 companies actually announced their results, with an actual disclosure rate of 58.09% (only 4,161 companies listed before December 31, 2020 are considered, that is, new shares within one year of listing are excluded), of which: 614 of the 891 listed companies on GEM have been disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 68.91%; After the small and medium-sized board was merged into the main board, 1,695 of the 3,014 listed companies on the main board were disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 56.24%; 105 of the 215 companies in Science and Technology Innovation Board disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 48.84%; Three of the 41 companies in North Exchange disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 7.32%</p><p><b>Among the companies that have disclosed their performance forecasts, 55.87% of them belong to the \"pre-profit\" type.</b>According to the type of performance forecast, we are divided into two groups: pre-profit (including slight increase, turnaround, continued profit and pre-increase) and pre-loss (slight decrease, first loss, continued loss and pre-decrease). Among the 2,318 listed companies that have disclosed the types of performance forecasts (some companies directly disclose performance bulletins and annual reports, which are not included in the performance forecast statistics), a total of 1,295 are pre-profit, accounting for 55.87%; The pre-profit companies on the Main Board, GEM, Science and Technology Innovation Board and North Stock Exchange accounted for 55.10%, 56.34%, 64.00% and 100% respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cf2ee295d4ea89057a998e76b0e9ff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"680\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>According to the performance forecast of the 2021 annual report, the growth rate of all-A performance improved month-on-month.</b>From the perspective of companies that have disclosed their performance forecasts, using 2020 as the benchmark, the median growth rate of all-A 2021Q4 performance was 50.00%, an improvement of 29.27 percentage points from Q3 2021. Among them, the median performance growth rate of the Main Board/GEM/Science and Technology Innovation Board was 51.39%/44.22%/56.36%, respectively, representing a change of 29.49/27.27/30.70 percentage points as compared with Q3 2021, respectively. Judging from the disclosed performance forecast, the absolute growth rate of Science and Technology Innovation Board leads all A, followed by the main board, and finally the GEM. The month-on-month improvement rate of performance is also for Science and Technology Innovation Board, the main board and the GEM. However, it is worth noting that due to the full implementation of conditional compulsory disclosure of A-share performance forecast disclosure, that is, only companies with large performance fluctuations must make compulsory disclosure, while other companies do not make compulsory disclosure requirements. Most of the companies that voluntarily disclose may perform better, and the current announced performance growth rate may be overestimated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b44a543068efb79b4b486ff7c06bc38\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>2. Which industries' performance growth rate improved month-on-month</h3>As of 10: 00 a.m. on January 29, 2022, 2,417 listed companies have released 2021Q4 performance forecasts/express reports/annual reports and disclosed actual results, which we use as a sample to conduct industry performance analysis based on all A shares.</p><p><b>According to CITIC's first-tier industries, only the performance growth rate of coal and banks for two consecutive periods improved from the previous month</b>。 We screened out industries with positive performance growth, month-on-month improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50%. There are 16 industries with positive performance growth, quarter-on-quarter improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50% in 2021Q4.<b>Among them, the top five industries with the biggest month-on-month improvement</b>respectively<b>Petroleum and petrochemicals</b>(An improvement of 86.34 percentage points compared with Q3, the same in parentheses below),<b>Basic chemical engineering</b>(73.18 percentage points),<b>Electronics</b>(47.19 percentage points),<b>home appliance</b>(45.31 percentage points) and<b>Media (</b>44.37 percentage points). In industries with positive performance growth rate, month-on-month improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50%,<b>Two consecutive quarter-on-quarter improvements</b>The industry is only<b>Coal</b>And<b>BANK</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0b05c612dab8dd32048f1130f0aad80\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1005\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>According to CITIC's secondary industries, there are 43 industries with positive performance growth rate, quarter-on-quarter improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50% in 2021Q4. The top 10 industries with quarter-on-quarter growth rate include<b>Asset management II, planting industry, white goods II, multi-field holding II, insurance II, hotel and catering, other chemicals II, industrial internet, optical optoelectronics and agricultural chemicals</b>。 Among the CITIC secondary industries with positive performance growth rate, quarter-on-quarter improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50% in 2021Q4, the industries with quarter-on-quarter performance improvement for two consecutive periods include<b>White goods II, black goods II, components and biomedicine II.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ff86779543f4641e57794a1be36dc7d\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"1388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>3. Which industries account for the top proportion of stocks that exceed expectations</h3>After excluding the industries where the number of stocks disclosed in the performance forecast is less than 5 and the number of stocks with market consensus expectation is less than 5, we take the stocks that have disclosed the performance forecast in each industry as the object, draw the Wind consensus expectation value of their performance growth rate in 2021 (the consensus forecast caliber of Wind is 180 days), and compare it with the growth rate disclosed in the performance forecast.<b>When the growth rate of performance forecast disclosure is greater than the consensus expected value of Wind, we define it as \"stocks with performance exceeding expectations\", calculate the proportion of the number of \"stocks with performance exceeding expectations\" to stocks with disclosed performance forecasts and market expectations, and sort each sector according to this ratio.</b></p><p><b>From the perspective of CITIC's first-tier industry,</b>As of January 29, 2022 at 10:00 a.m.,<b>BANK</b>19 companies in the sector have disclosed their performance forecasts, of which 18 companies are stocks with \"performance exceeding expectations\", accounting for 94.74% of the stocks exceeding expectations. The number of stocks that exceed expectations accounts for the top industries in A shares also include<b>Non-bank finance</b>（56.25%）、<b>Coal</b>（42.86%）、<b>Basic chemical engineering</b>（41.38%）、<b>Non-ferrous metals</b>（41.07%）、<b>Medicine</b>(41.07%), etc. From the perspective of CITIC's secondary industry,<b>National Joint Stock Bank Ⅱ</b>The proportion of \"exceeding expectations\" reached 100%, while<b>Regional banks</b>、<b>Franchise chain</b>、<b>Securities II</b>、<b>Other electronic components Ⅱ</b>、<b>Other Chemicals II</b>、<b>Other pharmaceuticals</b>、<b>Agricultural chemical industry</b>And<b>logistics</b>The proportion of unexpected stocks in the sector is also more than 50% (including 50%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/793a88eead21e71d3c32b48fce9ead18\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1155\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7df054055f78ddd1c7bd4f22b6da6f6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"1102\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/508515\">格隆汇</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d37df08fc08f0ac2466b9b49c053bae7","relate_stocks":{"399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数","BK1515":"抗疫概念","BK1161":"生物科技","09939":"开拓药业-B","BK1574":"生物医药B类股"},"source_url":"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/508515","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2208151360","content_text":"我们在《业绩预告与年初市场结构》的报告中，曾回顾了历年年报业绩预告对市场结构的指引性，结果发现年报业绩预告超预期的板块在年初的表现也更为突出。近期随着年报业绩预告披露进入尾声，我们对2021Q4业绩预告“超预期”的情况进行了梳理，供投资者参考。报告正文一、板块情况：全A业绩环比改善全A近六成公司披露业绩预告。截至2022年1月29日上午10时，A股整体共2417家上市公司发布了2021Q4业绩预告/快报/年报，其中实际公布业绩2417家，实际披露率58.09%（仅考虑2020年12月31日之前上市的4161家公司，即剔除上市一年之内的新股），其中：创业板891家上市公司有614家披露完毕，披露率68.91%；中小板并入主板后，主板3014家上市公司有1695家披露，披露率为56.24%；科创板215家公司有105家披露，披露率为48.84%；北交所41家公司有3家披露，披露率为7.32%已披露业绩预告的公司中，属于“预盈”类型的公司占比为55.87%。我们按照业绩预告的类型，分为两组：预盈（包含略增、扭亏、续盈、预增）、预亏（略减、首亏、续亏、预减）。已披露业绩预告类型的2318家上市公司中（部分公司直接披露业绩快报与年报，不纳入业绩预告统计），共1295家为预盈，占比达到55.87%；主板、创业板、科创板和北交所的预盈公司占比分别为55.10%、56.34%、64.00%和100%。据2021年报业绩预告，全A业绩增速环比改善。从已披露业绩预告的公司来看，以2020年为基准，全A  2021Q4业绩增速中位数为50.00%，较2021 Q3环比改善29.27个百分点。其中主板/创业板/科创板的业绩增速中位数分别为51.39%/44.22%/56.36%，分别较2021 Q3环比变动29.49/27.27/30.70个百分点。从已披露业绩预告来看，科创板绝对增速领跑全A，其次是主板，最后是创业板，业绩环比改善幅度亦为科创板、主板和创业板。然而，值得注意的是，由于A股业绩预告披露全面实施有条件强制披露，即仅业绩波动较大的公司必须强制披露，其他公司不作强制披露要求。主动披露的公司可能大部分业绩表现较好，当前公布的业绩增速情况或存在高估。二、哪些行业业绩增速环比改善截至2022年1月29日上午10时，2417家上市公司已发布2021Q4业绩预告/快报/年报并披露实际业绩，我们以此为样本，进行基于全部A股的行业业绩分析。按中信一级行业来看，仅有煤炭和银行连续两期业绩增速环比改善。我们筛选出业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业。2021Q4业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业共有16个。其中环比改善幅度最大的前五个行业分别为石油石化（较Q3环比改善86.34个百分点，以下括号内皆同）、基础化工（73.18个百分点）、电子（47.19个百分点）、家电（45.31个百分点）和传媒（44.37个百分点）。而在业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业中，连续两期环比改善的行业仅有煤炭和银行。按中信二级行业来看，2021Q4业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业共有43个，环比增幅居于前10的行业包括资产管理Ⅱ、种植业、白色家电Ⅱ、多领域控股Ⅱ、保险Ⅱ、酒店及餐饮、其他化学制品Ⅱ、产业互联网、光学光电和农用化工。而在2021Q4业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的中信二级行业中，连续两期业绩环比改善的行业包括白色家电Ⅱ、黑色家电Ⅱ、元器件和生物医药Ⅱ。三、哪些行业超预期个股占比居前剔除业绩预告披露个股数量小于5、有市场一致预期个股数量小于5的行业后，我们以各行业中已披露业绩预告的个股为对象，拉取其2021年业绩增速的Wind一致预期值（wind的一致预测口径为180天），并与业绩预告披露增速进行对比，当业绩预告披露增速大于Wind一致预期值，我们将其定义为“业绩超预期个股”，并计算“业绩超预期个股”数量对已披露业绩预告且有市场预期的个股占比，并按这一比值对各板块进行排序。从中信一级行业来看，截至2022年1月29日上午10时，银行板块有19家公司已披露业绩预告，其中18家公司为“业绩超预期”个股，超预期个股占比高达94.74%。超预期个股数量占比在A股排名靠前的行业还包括非银行金融（56.25%）、煤炭（42.86%）、基础化工（41.38%）、有色金属（41.07%）、医药（41.07%）等。而从中信二级行业来看，全国性股份制银行Ⅱ的“超预期个股”占比达到100%，而区域性银行、专营连锁、证券Ⅱ、其他电子零组件Ⅱ、其他化学制品Ⅱ、其他医药医疗、农用化工和物流板块的超预期个股占比也都在50%以上（包括50%）。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399006":0.9,"09939":0.6,"000001.SH":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1091,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9083562933,"gmtCreate":1650149504165,"gmtModify":1676534654585,"author":{"id":"3581664705310259","authorId":"3581664705310259","name":"晶峰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9caff021499b03be6c3c8c4f30eb8da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581664705310259","authorIdStr":"3581664705310259"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NTA.SI\">$Novo Tellus SPAC(NTA.SI)$</a>&nbsp;up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NTA.SI\">$Novo Tellus SPAC(NTA.SI)$</a>&nbsp;up","text":"$Novo Tellus SPAC(NTA.SI)$ up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a2ffe53bc1618c5d4a93a7ba41760b36","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9083562933","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}