Benedict_cyh personal page - To The Moon

Benedict_cyh

Benedict_cyh

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2021-05-26

A

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2021-07-02

Pls like if you think the stock market will crash

The Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.

2022-02-26

X

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2021-06-16

Please help to like and comment. Thanks all

Michael "Big Short" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things "By Two Orders Of Magnitude"

2022-02-20

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Nvidia Earnings: Showing The Market Still Needs To Recalibrate

2021-06-10

Pls leave a comment thanks :)

Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday

2021-06-20

Please like and comment if you feel US Fed is responsible for this inflation.

Answering the great inflation question of our time

2021-06-11

Please like and comment. Thanks in advance :)

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2021-06-03

Nice

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2021-05-28

A

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2021-07-17

Pls like if the stock market crash

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2021-07-11

Pls like

The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.

2021-06-18

Please like and comment if you think Fed needs to stop printing.

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2022-07-21

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2022-02-12

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2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks That Are Trading Near Their 52-Week Lows

2022-07-28

Gg

@ElvisMarner:For those who looking to invest in the next Tesla,Lucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID) might offer an enticing and viable alternative. Perhaps more so than any other EV upstart, Lucid is focused on dominating the upper end of the income strata. Of course, management would like to offer practical EVs to the middle-income crowd. However, the present economies of scale don’t yet facilitate such vehicular equity.Plus, the unique nuances and impacts of the new normal effectively means that Lucid — and everyone else — has little choice but to address the most affluent buyers.$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$

2022-06-29

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Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Futures Struggle to Hold Gains after GDP Data; BBBY Plummeted 15%

2022-05-23

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2022-04-15

Hi

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2021-08-12

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@Buy_Sell:?【8月12日】疫苗小甜甜變身牛夫人，今天買什麼

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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[Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945695922","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945925977,"gmtCreate":1681353285100,"gmtModify":1681356861578,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581667328055955","authorIdStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello I love Tiger pls like","listText":"Hello I love Tiger pls like","text":"Hello I love Tiger pls 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123","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946464344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946133091,"gmtCreate":1680883505113,"gmtModify":1680883508064,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581667328055955","authorIdStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello I like Tiger hohohoh","listText":"Hello I like Tiger hohohoh","text":"Hello I like Tiger hohohoh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946133091","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946032183,"gmtCreate":1680803633842,"gmtModify":1680803638373,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581667328055955","authorIdStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi there everyone Tiger","listText":"Hi there everyone Tiger","text":"Hi there everyone 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Simply jump and catch the egg, and you could be a lucky winner. 🐇That's not all. You can also invite your friends to join in the fun to earn more points. Plus, you can challenge your friends for a race up the leaderboard. Let's fly to the moon together!Don't miss out on this egg-citing opportunity to win BIG! Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣<a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/easter/?adcode=20230316162207#/\" target=\"_blank\">Join our Easter campaign now</a>","listText":"🐰🌷 Hop into the Easter spirit and join our \"Tiger's Egg Hunting\" game! 🎉Stand to win free Disney stocks and a USD 120 cash voucher!🎁🌟Our interactive Easter game is open to Tigers, and it's so easy to play! Simply jump and catch the egg, and you could be a lucky winner. 🐇That's not all. You can also invite your friends to join in the fun to earn more points. Plus, you can challenge your friends for a race up the leaderboard. Let's fly to the moon together!Don't miss out on this egg-citing opportunity to win BIG! Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣<a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/easter/?adcode=20230316162207#/\" target=\"_blank\">Join our Easter campaign now</a>","text":"🐰🌷 Hop into the Easter spirit and join our \"Tiger's Egg Hunting\" game! 🎉Stand to win free Disney stocks and a USD 120 cash voucher!🎁🌟Our interactive Easter game is open to Tigers, and it's so easy to play! Simply jump and catch the egg, and you could be a lucky winner. 🐇That's not all. You can also invite your friends to join in the fun to earn more points. Plus, you can challenge your friends for a race up the leaderboard. Let's fly to the moon together!Don't miss out on this egg-citing opportunity to win BIG! Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣Join our Easter campaign now","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c90a7371a3bcd1e6c552d2aa23f72c33","width":"1200","height":"630"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943960936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9948852836,"gmtCreate":1680680758625,"gmtModify":1680680761818,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581667328055955","authorIdStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi everyone Tiger is the best","listText":"Hi everyone Tiger is the best","text":"Hi everyone Tiger is the best","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948852836","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":988,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9948970736,"gmtCreate":1680620746426,"gmtModify":1680621106981,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581667328055955","authorIdStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi there I love Tiger","listText":"Hi there I love Tiger","text":"Hi there I love Tiger","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948970736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9956955689,"gmtCreate":1673886415342,"gmtModify":1676538899337,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581667328055955","authorIdStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi. &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;We","listText":"Hi. &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;We","text":"Hi. We","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9956955689","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9956952529,"gmtCreate":1673886326462,"gmtModify":1676538899313,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581667328055955","authorIdStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Helplooooo. &nbsp; &nbsp; Nice to be here","listText":"Helplooooo. &nbsp; &nbsp; Nice to be here","text":"Helplooooo. Nice to be here","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9956952529","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9956952182,"gmtCreate":1673886293146,"gmtModify":1676538899304,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581667328055955","authorIdStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi there folks &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; C","listText":"Hi there folks &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; C","text":"Hi there folks C","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9956952182","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":821,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958457316,"gmtCreate":1673805537636,"gmtModify":1676538888206,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581667328055955","authorIdStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello there hello all","listText":"Hello there hello all","text":"Hello there hello all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958457316","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":138784803,"gmtCreate":1621966512102,"gmtModify":1704365258396,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138784803","repostId":"2138193407","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156268109,"gmtCreate":1625225993201,"gmtModify":1703738756942,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like if you think the stock market will crash&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like if you think the stock market will crash&nbsp;","text":"Pls like if you think the stock market will crash","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/156268109","repostId":"1126312436","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126312436","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625212145,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126312436?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-02 15:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126312436","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the p","content":"<p>Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many signs of letting up. The index ended June up 14.4% year to date, hitting several records during the month and posting another record close on Thursday.</p>\n<p>Yet there are a couple key risks that could turn all of that around, according to Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.</p>\n<p>First, there’s the possibility of an oil price shock, as the price of crude has shown little sign of cooling off. WTI crude oil is up 56% year to date and notched a&nbsp;new multi-year high&nbsp;Thursday—even amid growing&nbsp;expectations that OPEC will increase supply. If oil prices run hot enough, that could raise inflation to a level that—if sustained — could cause consumer demand to fall and that could surpass Federal Reserve expectations.</p>\n<p>“Suddenly higher oil prices” is atop the list of stock market concerns for Colas. “Rapidly rising oil prices will cause U.S. inflation to overshoot the Fed’s desired outcome and also stress the American consumer.”</p>\n<p>Both those things could dent the stock market, which has long benefited from the Fed’s accommodative monetary policy, especially if the Fed signals that interest-rate increases could come sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>That means the Fed will need to tread carefully when discussing rates to avoid spooking the market, Colas says.</p>\n<p>“Federal Reserve miscommunication about upcoming policy changes and/or raising interest rates too aggressively” is a second risk, Colas says. For instance, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dived 18% over roughly three months in late 2018 as the Fed raised rates, despite the market’s hope at that time for rates to stay put.</p>\n<p>Peaking earnings growth is the other threat to stocks, Colas says. Earnings growth for the average S&amp;P 500 company is expected slow down to 11% in 2022 from 36% in 2021, according to FactSet, as the economy normalizes and the postpandemic recovery eases. But on average, S&amp;P 500 stocks trade at 21.5 times expected earnings for the next 12 months, still above the index’s pre-pandemic multiple. At some point, stocks valuations will need to better reflect the expected decline in earnings growth, which would mean falling stock prices.</p>\n<p>“Valuations are high enough currently that peaking earnings could be a larger risk than before,” Colas writes.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-02 15:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-crash-risks-51625174065><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.\nThe S&P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-crash-risks-51625174065\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-crash-risks-51625174065","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126312436","content_text":"Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.\nThe S&P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many signs of letting up. The index ended June up 14.4% year to date, hitting several records during the month and posting another record close on Thursday.\nYet there are a couple key risks that could turn all of that around, according to Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.\nFirst, there’s the possibility of an oil price shock, as the price of crude has shown little sign of cooling off. WTI crude oil is up 56% year to date and notched a new multi-year high Thursday—even amid growing expectations that OPEC will increase supply. If oil prices run hot enough, that could raise inflation to a level that—if sustained — could cause consumer demand to fall and that could surpass Federal Reserve expectations.\n“Suddenly higher oil prices” is atop the list of stock market concerns for Colas. “Rapidly rising oil prices will cause U.S. inflation to overshoot the Fed’s desired outcome and also stress the American consumer.”\nBoth those things could dent the stock market, which has long benefited from the Fed’s accommodative monetary policy, especially if the Fed signals that interest-rate increases could come sooner than expected.\nThat means the Fed will need to tread carefully when discussing rates to avoid spooking the market, Colas says.\n“Federal Reserve miscommunication about upcoming policy changes and/or raising interest rates too aggressively” is a second risk, Colas says. For instance, the S&P 500 dived 18% over roughly three months in late 2018 as the Fed raised rates, despite the market’s hope at that time for rates to stay put.\nPeaking earnings growth is the other threat to stocks, Colas says. Earnings growth for the average S&P 500 company is expected slow down to 11% in 2022 from 36% in 2021, according to FactSet, as the economy normalizes and the postpandemic recovery eases. But on average, S&P 500 stocks trade at 21.5 times expected earnings for the next 12 months, still above the index’s pre-pandemic multiple. At some point, stocks valuations will need to better reflect the expected decline in earnings growth, which would mean falling stock prices.\n“Valuations are high enough currently that peaking earnings could be a larger risk than before,” Colas writes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9030716964,"gmtCreate":1645810012074,"gmtModify":1676534066498,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"X","listText":"X","text":"X","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9030716964","repostId":"2214974048","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160818021,"gmtCreate":1623779061763,"gmtModify":1703819292644,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please help to like and comment. Thanks all&nbsp;","listText":"Please help to like and comment. Thanks all&nbsp;","text":"Please help to like and comment. Thanks all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160818021","repostId":"1147269544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147269544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623770166,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147269544?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Michael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147269544","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he p","content":"<p>Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically its<b>hyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes next</b>in a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that<b>:</b></p>\n<p><b>\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery</b>. Trillions more stimulus &amp; re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"</p>\n<p>#ParadigmShift</p>\n<p>\"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"</p>\n<p>\"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.</p>\n<p><b>\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"</b></p>\n<p><b>\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"</b></p>\n<p>\"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"</p>\n<p><b>\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"</b></p>\n<p>\"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #<i>robinhooddown</i></p>\n<p>\"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single&nbsp; newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"</p>\n<p>\"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.<b>Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"</b></p>\n<p>His punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"<b>2010-2021: Gestation</b>\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c531b21050b42425510a30125935555e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"395\">And, as if reading from the same playbook,<b>Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"</b>and if Jay Powell</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i><b>“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>All of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i><b>\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.</b></i>#FlyingPigs360\"\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afafeb68134e031ca871659bd8dbc595\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"261\">In other words:<i><b>\"Brace!\"</b></i></p>\n<p>So what are you going to do about it?</p>\n<p>Tudor Jones had some simple advice: \"<b>buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Michael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMichael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 23:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-big-short-burry-greatest-bubble-all-time-all-things-two-orders-magnitude><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically itshyperinflation, as the blueprint for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-big-short-burry-greatest-bubble-all-time-all-things-two-orders-magnitude\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-big-short-burry-greatest-bubble-all-time-all-things-two-orders-magnitude","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147269544","content_text":"Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically itshyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes nextin a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that:\n\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery. Trillions more stimulus & re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"\n#ParadigmShift\n\"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"\n\"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.\n\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"\n\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"\n\"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"\n\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"\n\"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #robinhooddown\n\"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single  newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"\n\"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"\nHis punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"2010-2021: Gestation\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"\nAnd, as if reading from the same playbook,Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"and if Jay Powell\n\n“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"\n\nAll of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...\n\n\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.#FlyingPigs360\"\n\nIn other words:\"Brace!\"\nSo what are you going to do about it?\nTudor Jones had some simple advice: \"buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":706,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572289568077742","authorId":"3572289568077742","name":"ARG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db41c0073f4a2c401b9a536c03569a91","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3572289568077742","idStr":"3572289568077742"},"content":"Do the same please.?","text":"Do the same please.?","html":"Do the same please.?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9097908796,"gmtCreate":1645290236378,"gmtModify":1676534016230,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"C","listText":"C","text":"C","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097908796","repostId":"1198934487","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198934487","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1645244274,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198934487?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-19 12:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Earnings: Showing The Market Still Needs To Recalibrate","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198934487","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNvidia's earnings and guidance were nothing short of what investors have come to expect from ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Nvidia&#39;s earnings and guidance were nothing short of what investors have come to expect from it over the last year.</li><li>But even with stellar guidance, the stock led the way in a red market on Thursday.</li><li>The reason lies in the market&#39;s outlook for relatively slower growth over the year and the inability of Nvidia to maintain mid-double-digit revenue growth.</li><li>I outline a new buy zone and where the stock is fairly valued in a year based on this recalibration of sales expectations.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37b348779acedb3ad22271a188138ee1\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1018\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p><p>It&#39;s become a pretty dull firework show with Nvidia (NVDA). Earnings beats and guidance raises are the norm, and the latest earnings report shows that&#39;s not changing anytime soon. But this quarter-after-quarter firework celebration is confusing investors as they watch the stock tumble further after already being sent into beaten-down territory the last several weeks. And to add insult to injury, there&#39;s nothing in the earnings report or the expectations for FQ1 to focus on negatively. In fact, things are coming along better than expected. However, the problem is the market facing down slowing FY23 and FY24 revenue growth and correlating it to a new valuation.</p><p>I&#39;m not saying the party of Nvidia&#39;s shares is over, but<i>I am saying</i>it&#39;s not going to be the lively dance club it once was. Even when management executes a quarter with $7.64B in revenue against a consensus for $7.42B and guides for a face-ripping quarter of $8.1B against estimates for $7.29B, it&#39;s not enough to overcome the ultimately slowing yearly sales growth.</p><p>This is something I mentioned in my last article when I said I&#39;d wait to add to my position due to the inability to achieve the growth the market was expecting at higher valuations. Shares traded just below $280 when I published the article. Some commenters didn&#39;t expect the stock would get to my buy zone at $264 even when I applied a forward price-to-sales multiple of 20 on the stock. But, as we know, the stock reached $264 and even less in the weeks following.</p><p><b>So what&#39;s this have to do with earnings?</b></p><p>Wednesday&#39;s earnings proved Nvidia - while able to crush estimates and guide significantly higher each quarter - cannot achieve the growth necessary to sustain the high valuation it once fetched.</p><p>The market pays for growth. If there isn&#39;t sustainable growth (read: the same level), there isn&#39;t a high(er) valuation awarded. The market also looks six-to-eight months out. This puts the view squarely at the end of the company&#39;s FY23.</p><p>Of course, estimates will rise - how could they not with an 11% guidance raise - but they won&#39;t be able to justify the 61% revenue growth 2021 just reported. Right now, estimates are predicting 28.5% revenue growth ($34.6B). This is higher than the 17% they expected two months ago, but this recalibration is now much closer to the real number after FQ1&#39;s guidance set the stage for the year. To achieve 60% growth, it would have to bring in $43B - about $9B more than the current estimate, basically a fifth quarter of the year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91bfa9f98fc7d44603853c3252fe15de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"63\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Nvidia&#39;s Revenue Estimates (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>Now, my take would be defensible if the stock was trading at the former high of $346. But, surely, the market can&#39;t be pricing in 60% growth for this year with the stock trading at $245.</p><p>And it&#39;s not.</p><p>But, the market perception is now shifting to a new valuation, one for 29% growth ($8.65B quarterly on average this fiscal year). This, however, is still 19 times forward sales. Of course, that&#39;s down from 26 forward sales, but 19 is still relatively high when growth is slowing and lapping high double-digit growth.</p><p>The question becomes, what does the market pay for an Nvidia with no Arm (ARMH) acquisition and slowing revenue growth amid a supply constraint semiconductor market? In a year where the next generation of gaming GPUs are likely to be launched, how will the company supply the demand it can&#39;t even fulfill for its current RTX3000 series? It&#39;s literally tapped out of supply, and incremental revenue will only be found with incremental wafer supply.</p><p>Therefore, the best bet on Nvidia is a bet on semiconductor shortages easing. But this is likely to come slowly and over time, not allowing for a spike in revenue to occur in any one quarter.</p><p>That being said, a historic valuation consistent with 30% revenue growth is more dependable and gives investors a chance to let the market recalibrate. This puts the stock closer to a<i>trailing</i>19 or 20 times sales.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89c37e09b2c7dd424bafab1a80c9c343\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>This also means the market may ease it into the valuation over the next few months, as the hangover of 60, 70, and 80 percent growth rates fade into the rearview mirror. Using the current quarter (FQ1 &#39;23) as a quarter in my calculation gives us $29.35B multiplied by 20 for a market cap of $587B, translating to a share price of $230 - 6% downside from Thursday&#39;s close.</p><p>This isn&#39;t a price target for a year out, but it&#39;s a fantastic risk-reward target to accumulate shares with a much lower level of risk.</p><p>Now, if we&#39;re going to discount the growth over the next two years closer to 20% (FY24 of $42B) and ease the multiple down to 18 or 19 (I&#39;ll use 18.5), the stock price comes out to $305, or 24.5% upside.</p><p>But this is going two years out, and estimating a discount the market may or may not be willing to grant it. But remember, the market will discount FY24 at the beginning of FY23, so while it&#39;s a two-year-out revenue estimate, it&#39;s a year-out price target.</p><p>And, if you&#39;re wondering about earnings and PE ratios, the growth rates are estimated to be nearly the same as revenue growth, implying margins aren&#39;t going to go any higher.</p><p>Add in the company didn&#39;t see &#34;outperformance&#34; on its gross margins, which some have pointed to as the &#34;sole&#34; reason the market sold off the stock on Wednesday&#39;s earnings, and it&#39;s fair to say there may not be anything left in the tank at this time for Nvidia to push the outperformance envelope to the level necessary for a return to all-time highs.</p><p>Nvidia not only has to continue to perform at the level it has (11% guidance raises and a beat on top of it at report time) but has to find an inflection in its business again; a new product or technology breakthrough. This is Nvidia, so this is very possible and even likely. However, any misstep will see the stock cut down in an instant at current valuations.</p><p>This isn&#39;t to say I don&#39;t like Nvidia; I&#39;m happily long the stock and will continue to be. But detach your emotions for a few minutes, study what the market is doing to the stock and why, and you can recalibrate your mindset to be where the market will be in a year and not where it is today. Because today, the market is discounting the relatively slower growth eight months from now, and buying at risk-averse levels - $230 and below according to my calculations - you&#39;ll have a much larger position with a company growing revenues into FY24 and FY25 in the low 20s and high teens, at minimum.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Earnings: Showing The Market Still Needs To Recalibrate</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Earnings: Showing The Market Still Needs To Recalibrate\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-19 12:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4488333-nvidia-earnings-market-needs-to-recalibrate><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNvidia's earnings and guidance were nothing short of what investors have come to expect from it over the last year.But even with stellar guidance, the stock led the way in a red market on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4488333-nvidia-earnings-market-needs-to-recalibrate\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4488333-nvidia-earnings-market-needs-to-recalibrate","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198934487","content_text":"SummaryNvidia's earnings and guidance were nothing short of what investors have come to expect from it over the last year.But even with stellar guidance, the stock led the way in a red market on Thursday.The reason lies in the market's outlook for relatively slower growth over the year and the inability of Nvidia to maintain mid-double-digit revenue growth.I outline a new buy zone and where the stock is fairly valued in a year based on this recalibration of sales expectations.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images NewsIt's become a pretty dull firework show with Nvidia (NVDA). Earnings beats and guidance raises are the norm, and the latest earnings report shows that's not changing anytime soon. But this quarter-after-quarter firework celebration is confusing investors as they watch the stock tumble further after already being sent into beaten-down territory the last several weeks. And to add insult to injury, there's nothing in the earnings report or the expectations for FQ1 to focus on negatively. In fact, things are coming along better than expected. However, the problem is the market facing down slowing FY23 and FY24 revenue growth and correlating it to a new valuation.I'm not saying the party of Nvidia's shares is over, butI am sayingit's not going to be the lively dance club it once was. Even when management executes a quarter with $7.64B in revenue against a consensus for $7.42B and guides for a face-ripping quarter of $8.1B against estimates for $7.29B, it's not enough to overcome the ultimately slowing yearly sales growth.This is something I mentioned in my last article when I said I'd wait to add to my position due to the inability to achieve the growth the market was expecting at higher valuations. Shares traded just below $280 when I published the article. Some commenters didn't expect the stock would get to my buy zone at $264 even when I applied a forward price-to-sales multiple of 20 on the stock. But, as we know, the stock reached $264 and even less in the weeks following.So what's this have to do with earnings?Wednesday's earnings proved Nvidia - while able to crush estimates and guide significantly higher each quarter - cannot achieve the growth necessary to sustain the high valuation it once fetched.The market pays for growth. If there isn't sustainable growth (read: the same level), there isn't a high(er) valuation awarded. The market also looks six-to-eight months out. This puts the view squarely at the end of the company's FY23.Of course, estimates will rise - how could they not with an 11% guidance raise - but they won't be able to justify the 61% revenue growth 2021 just reported. Right now, estimates are predicting 28.5% revenue growth ($34.6B). This is higher than the 17% they expected two months ago, but this recalibration is now much closer to the real number after FQ1's guidance set the stage for the year. To achieve 60% growth, it would have to bring in $43B - about $9B more than the current estimate, basically a fifth quarter of the year.Nvidia's Revenue Estimates (Seeking Alpha)Now, my take would be defensible if the stock was trading at the former high of $346. But, surely, the market can't be pricing in 60% growth for this year with the stock trading at $245.And it's not.But, the market perception is now shifting to a new valuation, one for 29% growth ($8.65B quarterly on average this fiscal year). This, however, is still 19 times forward sales. Of course, that's down from 26 forward sales, but 19 is still relatively high when growth is slowing and lapping high double-digit growth.The question becomes, what does the market pay for an Nvidia with no Arm (ARMH) acquisition and slowing revenue growth amid a supply constraint semiconductor market? In a year where the next generation of gaming GPUs are likely to be launched, how will the company supply the demand it can't even fulfill for its current RTX3000 series? It's literally tapped out of supply, and incremental revenue will only be found with incremental wafer supply.Therefore, the best bet on Nvidia is a bet on semiconductor shortages easing. But this is likely to come slowly and over time, not allowing for a spike in revenue to occur in any one quarter.That being said, a historic valuation consistent with 30% revenue growth is more dependable and gives investors a chance to let the market recalibrate. This puts the stock closer to atrailing19 or 20 times sales.Data by YChartsThis also means the market may ease it into the valuation over the next few months, as the hangover of 60, 70, and 80 percent growth rates fade into the rearview mirror. Using the current quarter (FQ1 '23) as a quarter in my calculation gives us $29.35B multiplied by 20 for a market cap of $587B, translating to a share price of $230 - 6% downside from Thursday's close.This isn't a price target for a year out, but it's a fantastic risk-reward target to accumulate shares with a much lower level of risk.Now, if we're going to discount the growth over the next two years closer to 20% (FY24 of $42B) and ease the multiple down to 18 or 19 (I'll use 18.5), the stock price comes out to $305, or 24.5% upside.But this is going two years out, and estimating a discount the market may or may not be willing to grant it. But remember, the market will discount FY24 at the beginning of FY23, so while it's a two-year-out revenue estimate, it's a year-out price target.And, if you're wondering about earnings and PE ratios, the growth rates are estimated to be nearly the same as revenue growth, implying margins aren't going to go any higher.Add in the company didn't see \"outperformance\" on its gross margins, which some have pointed to as the \"sole\" reason the market sold off the stock on Wednesday's earnings, and it's fair to say there may not be anything left in the tank at this time for Nvidia to push the outperformance envelope to the level necessary for a return to all-time highs.Nvidia not only has to continue to perform at the level it has (11% guidance raises and a beat on top of it at report time) but has to find an inflection in its business again; a new product or technology breakthrough. This is Nvidia, so this is very possible and even likely. However, any misstep will see the stock cut down in an instant at current valuations.This isn't to say I don't like Nvidia; I'm happily long the stock and will continue to be. But detach your emotions for a few minutes, study what the market is doing to the stock and why, and you can recalibrate your mindset to be where the market will be in a year and not where it is today. Because today, the market is discounting the relatively slower growth eight months from now, and buying at risk-averse levels - $230 and below according to my calculations - you'll have a much larger position with a company growing revenues into FY24 and FY25 in the low 20s and high teens, at minimum.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183670988,"gmtCreate":1623330992744,"gmtModify":1704201034841,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls leave a comment thanks :)","listText":"Pls leave a comment thanks :)","text":"Pls leave a comment thanks :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183670988","repostId":"1141800952","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141800952","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623326092,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1141800952?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-10 19:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141800952","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Futures mixed ahead of key inflation report; S&P 500 near record\nSome of Chinese Education Stocks ro","content":"<ul>\n <li>Futures mixed ahead of key inflation report; S&amp;P 500 near record</li>\n <li>Some of Chinese Education Stocks rose in premarket trading</li>\n <li>OCGN plunged over 38%.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(June 10)&nbsp;U.S. equity-index futures and government bonds were in a holding pattern before a much-awaited inflation report that may provide clues on how long the Federal Reserve’s ultra-accomodative policies will last.</p>\n<p>Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were lower while those on the S&amp;P 500 index were little changed. European stocks drifted lower before the next policy statement from the European Central Bank. Most Asian stocks rose Thursday as U.S.-Chinatalkshelped sentiment.</p>\n<p>At 7:57 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 3 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 54.25 points, or 0.39%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13acbb350690ceebff4531a3c6627e60\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The10-year Treasury yieldwas steady Thursday,around 1.5%, as traders await the government's 8:30 a.m. ET release of theconsumer price index for May. Headline CPI is expected to jump 4.7% year-over-year, the highest rate since sky high energy prices spiked inflation readings in the fall of 2008. Estimates call for a year-over-year gain of 3.5% in the CPI's core rate, which excludes the energy and food sectors. The Federal Reserve, which has said it believes hotter inflation will be transitory, meets next week. At 8:30 a.m. ET, the government is also set to release its weekly report on jobless claims, with estimates calling for 370,000 new claims for last week.&nbsp;That would be a new pandemic-era low.</p>\n<p>Some of Chinese Education Stocks rose in premarket trading<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc5a3f87e7967c28430c8b590e6ad882\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"246\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Ocugen shares plunge 38% after likely needing additional trial for Covaxin.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/935ad9da141c5a3afc11d15e70e565cd\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"584\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Shares of Ocugen have dropped 38% premarket after the company announced that it will pursue a BLA rather than Emergency Use Authorization (\"EUA\") for its COVID-19 vaccine candidate Covaxin.</p>\n<p>The move means the timeline for Covaxin to potentially hit the market is greatly extended.</p>\n<p>The company had planned to submit the EUA this month.</p>\n<p>Ocugen said the decision to pursue the BLA instead of the EUA was due to feedback from the FDA.</p>\n<p>Based on that feedback, the company said it will likely need to conduct a new clinical trial to support the BLA.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: RH, Signet Jewelers, GameStop &amp; more</b></p>\n<p><b>1)&nbsp;RH(RH)</b> – RH surged 8.4% in premarket trading after it reported quarterly profit of $4.89 per share, above the $4.10 a share consensus estimate. The home furnishings retailer formerly-known as Restoration Hardware also reported better-than-expected revenue and raised its full-year outlook.</p>\n<p><b>2)&nbsp;Signet Jewelers(SIG)</b> – Signet surged 6.3% in premarket trading after it trounced a $1.27 consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.23 per share. The jewelry retailer’s revenue also beat estimates as same-store sales more than doubled from a year earlier. Signet raised its full-year revenue forecast as well.</p>\n<p><b>3)&nbsp;GameStop(GME)</b> – GameStoprevamped its executive suiteby hiring two former Amazon executives to top positions, with Matt Furlong named CEO and Mike Recupero tapped as chief financial officer. Additionally, the video game retailer reported better-than-expected quarterly results, and said the Securities and Exchange Commission was seeking information on the recent trading frenzy in its stock. GameStop also said it may sell 5 million additional shares from time to time. Its shares dropped 5.5% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>4)&nbsp;Clover Health(CLOV),Wendy’s(WEN),WWE(WWE),Clean Energy Fuels(CLNE)</b> – The newest of the so-called “meme stocks’ remain on watch today, as they pick up social media interest. Health insurance provider Clover rose 1.8% in the premarket after a 23.6% drop Wednesday; Wendy’s gained 1.8% after plunging 12.7% yesterday; and wrestling and entertainment company WWE rose 2.4% premarket after a 10.9% jump Wednesday. Clean Energy Fuels – a California-based natural gas provider – rallied 5.6% in premarket trading after a 31.5% surge Wednesday.</p>\n<p><b>5)&nbsp;The Original BARK Company(BARK)</b> – Jefferies began coverage of the dog products company with a “buy” rating, citing strong subscription growth and a move to parlay brand equity into new categories. The company formerly known as BarkBox began trading under its new name and ticker symbol last week, following its merger with blank-check company Northern Star Acquisition. The stock added 3.8% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>6)&nbsp;ServiceNow(NOW)</b> – The provider of workflow platforms saw its stock rise 2.4% in the premarket after it was added to the “Conviction Buy” list at Goldman Sachs. Goldman cites improving near-term fundamentals and the potential to accelerate subscription revenue.</p>\n<p><b>7)&nbsp;Fastly(FSLY) </b>– The cloud computing company’s shares fell 2.2% in the premarket following an Oppenheimer downgrade to “perform” from “outperform.” Oppenheimer said Fastly reacted to this week’s internet outage quickly and appropriately, but noted that the costs to customers for switching cloud providers is relatively low.</p>\n<p><b>8)&nbsp;Boeing(BA)</b> –United Airlines(UAL)is reportedly in advanced talksto buy a substantial number of large narrow-body jets that would include at least 100 Boeing 737 Max jets. People familiar with the matter told Bloomberg the talks are part of a broader fleet revamp at United. Boeing shares added 1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>9)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaplans to launch its new Model S Plaidtoday at its Fremont, California, plant, with the event set for 7:00 p.m. PT/10:00 p.m. ET. The high-end version of the Model S will cost just under $120,000 and has a projected driving range of 390 miles.</p>\n<p><b>10)&nbsp;Roblox(RBLX)</b> – Roblox faces a copyright infringement lawsuit from a group of music publishers. The video game platform company is accused of letting developers insert music players into games that play copyrighted music without permission or payment.</p>\n<p><b>11)&nbsp;Verint Systems(VRNT)</b> – Verint Systems reported quarterly profit of 44 cents per share, beating the 35 cents a share consensus estimate. The customer relationship software company’s revenue also came in above analysts’ forecasts and Verint raised its full-year guidance.</p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Thursday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-10 19:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>Futures mixed ahead of key inflation report; S&amp;P 500 near record</li>\n <li>Some of Chinese Education Stocks rose in premarket trading</li>\n <li>OCGN plunged over 38%.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(June 10)&nbsp;U.S. equity-index futures and government bonds were in a holding pattern before a much-awaited inflation report that may provide clues on how long the Federal Reserve’s ultra-accomodative policies will last.</p>\n<p>Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were lower while those on the S&amp;P 500 index were little changed. European stocks drifted lower before the next policy statement from the European Central Bank. Most Asian stocks rose Thursday as U.S.-Chinatalkshelped sentiment.</p>\n<p>At 7:57 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 3 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 54.25 points, or 0.39%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13acbb350690ceebff4531a3c6627e60\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The10-year Treasury yieldwas steady Thursday,around 1.5%, as traders await the government's 8:30 a.m. ET release of theconsumer price index for May. Headline CPI is expected to jump 4.7% year-over-year, the highest rate since sky high energy prices spiked inflation readings in the fall of 2008. Estimates call for a year-over-year gain of 3.5% in the CPI's core rate, which excludes the energy and food sectors. The Federal Reserve, which has said it believes hotter inflation will be transitory, meets next week. At 8:30 a.m. ET, the government is also set to release its weekly report on jobless claims, with estimates calling for 370,000 new claims for last week.&nbsp;That would be a new pandemic-era low.</p>\n<p>Some of Chinese Education Stocks rose in premarket trading<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc5a3f87e7967c28430c8b590e6ad882\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"246\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Ocugen shares plunge 38% after likely needing additional trial for Covaxin.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/935ad9da141c5a3afc11d15e70e565cd\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"584\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Shares of Ocugen have dropped 38% premarket after the company announced that it will pursue a BLA rather than Emergency Use Authorization (\"EUA\") for its COVID-19 vaccine candidate Covaxin.</p>\n<p>The move means the timeline for Covaxin to potentially hit the market is greatly extended.</p>\n<p>The company had planned to submit the EUA this month.</p>\n<p>Ocugen said the decision to pursue the BLA instead of the EUA was due to feedback from the FDA.</p>\n<p>Based on that feedback, the company said it will likely need to conduct a new clinical trial to support the BLA.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: RH, Signet Jewelers, GameStop &amp; more</b></p>\n<p><b>1)&nbsp;RH(RH)</b> – RH surged 8.4% in premarket trading after it reported quarterly profit of $4.89 per share, above the $4.10 a share consensus estimate. The home furnishings retailer formerly-known as Restoration Hardware also reported better-than-expected revenue and raised its full-year outlook.</p>\n<p><b>2)&nbsp;Signet Jewelers(SIG)</b> – Signet surged 6.3% in premarket trading after it trounced a $1.27 consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.23 per share. The jewelry retailer’s revenue also beat estimates as same-store sales more than doubled from a year earlier. Signet raised its full-year revenue forecast as well.</p>\n<p><b>3)&nbsp;GameStop(GME)</b> – GameStoprevamped its executive suiteby hiring two former Amazon executives to top positions, with Matt Furlong named CEO and Mike Recupero tapped as chief financial officer. Additionally, the video game retailer reported better-than-expected quarterly results, and said the Securities and Exchange Commission was seeking information on the recent trading frenzy in its stock. GameStop also said it may sell 5 million additional shares from time to time. Its shares dropped 5.5% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>4)&nbsp;Clover Health(CLOV),Wendy’s(WEN),WWE(WWE),Clean Energy Fuels(CLNE)</b> – The newest of the so-called “meme stocks’ remain on watch today, as they pick up social media interest. Health insurance provider Clover rose 1.8% in the premarket after a 23.6% drop Wednesday; Wendy’s gained 1.8% after plunging 12.7% yesterday; and wrestling and entertainment company WWE rose 2.4% premarket after a 10.9% jump Wednesday. Clean Energy Fuels – a California-based natural gas provider – rallied 5.6% in premarket trading after a 31.5% surge Wednesday.</p>\n<p><b>5)&nbsp;The Original BARK Company(BARK)</b> – Jefferies began coverage of the dog products company with a “buy” rating, citing strong subscription growth and a move to parlay brand equity into new categories. The company formerly known as BarkBox began trading under its new name and ticker symbol last week, following its merger with blank-check company Northern Star Acquisition. The stock added 3.8% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>6)&nbsp;ServiceNow(NOW)</b> – The provider of workflow platforms saw its stock rise 2.4% in the premarket after it was added to the “Conviction Buy” list at Goldman Sachs. Goldman cites improving near-term fundamentals and the potential to accelerate subscription revenue.</p>\n<p><b>7)&nbsp;Fastly(FSLY) </b>– The cloud computing company’s shares fell 2.2% in the premarket following an Oppenheimer downgrade to “perform” from “outperform.” Oppenheimer said Fastly reacted to this week’s internet outage quickly and appropriately, but noted that the costs to customers for switching cloud providers is relatively low.</p>\n<p><b>8)&nbsp;Boeing(BA)</b> –United Airlines(UAL)is reportedly in advanced talksto buy a substantial number of large narrow-body jets that would include at least 100 Boeing 737 Max jets. People familiar with the matter told Bloomberg the talks are part of a broader fleet revamp at United. Boeing shares added 1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>9)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaplans to launch its new Model S Plaidtoday at its Fremont, California, plant, with the event set for 7:00 p.m. PT/10:00 p.m. ET. The high-end version of the Model S will cost just under $120,000 and has a projected driving range of 390 miles.</p>\n<p><b>10)&nbsp;Roblox(RBLX)</b> – Roblox faces a copyright infringement lawsuit from a group of music publishers. The video game platform company is accused of letting developers insert music players into games that play copyrighted music without permission or payment.</p>\n<p><b>11)&nbsp;Verint Systems(VRNT)</b> – Verint Systems reported quarterly profit of 44 cents per share, beating the 35 cents a share consensus estimate. The customer relationship software company’s revenue also came in above analysts’ forecasts and Verint raised its full-year guidance.</p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141800952","content_text":"Futures mixed ahead of key inflation report; S&P 500 near record\nSome of Chinese Education Stocks rose in premarket trading\nOCGN plunged over 38%.\n\n(June 10) U.S. equity-index futures and government bonds were in a holding pattern before a much-awaited inflation report that may provide clues on how long the Federal Reserve’s ultra-accomodative policies will last.\nContracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were lower while those on the S&P 500 index were little changed. European stocks drifted lower before the next policy statement from the European Central Bank. Most Asian stocks rose Thursday as U.S.-Chinatalkshelped sentiment.\nAt 7:57 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 3 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 54.25 points, or 0.39%.\n\nThe10-year Treasury yieldwas steady Thursday,around 1.5%, as traders await the government's 8:30 a.m. ET release of theconsumer price index for May. Headline CPI is expected to jump 4.7% year-over-year, the highest rate since sky high energy prices spiked inflation readings in the fall of 2008. Estimates call for a year-over-year gain of 3.5% in the CPI's core rate, which excludes the energy and food sectors. The Federal Reserve, which has said it believes hotter inflation will be transitory, meets next week. At 8:30 a.m. ET, the government is also set to release its weekly report on jobless claims, with estimates calling for 370,000 new claims for last week. That would be a new pandemic-era low.\nSome of Chinese Education Stocks rose in premarket trading\nOcugen shares plunge 38% after likely needing additional trial for Covaxin.\nShares of Ocugen have dropped 38% premarket after the company announced that it will pursue a BLA rather than Emergency Use Authorization (\"EUA\") for its COVID-19 vaccine candidate Covaxin.\nThe move means the timeline for Covaxin to potentially hit the market is greatly extended.\nThe company had planned to submit the EUA this month.\nOcugen said the decision to pursue the BLA instead of the EUA was due to feedback from the FDA.\nBased on that feedback, the company said it will likely need to conduct a new clinical trial to support the BLA.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: RH, Signet Jewelers, GameStop & more\n1) RH(RH) – RH surged 8.4% in premarket trading after it reported quarterly profit of $4.89 per share, above the $4.10 a share consensus estimate. The home furnishings retailer formerly-known as Restoration Hardware also reported better-than-expected revenue and raised its full-year outlook.\n2) Signet Jewelers(SIG) – Signet surged 6.3% in premarket trading after it trounced a $1.27 consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.23 per share. The jewelry retailer’s revenue also beat estimates as same-store sales more than doubled from a year earlier. Signet raised its full-year revenue forecast as well.\n3) GameStop(GME) – GameStoprevamped its executive suiteby hiring two former Amazon executives to top positions, with Matt Furlong named CEO and Mike Recupero tapped as chief financial officer. Additionally, the video game retailer reported better-than-expected quarterly results, and said the Securities and Exchange Commission was seeking information on the recent trading frenzy in its stock. GameStop also said it may sell 5 million additional shares from time to time. Its shares dropped 5.5% in the premarket.\n4) Clover Health(CLOV),Wendy’s(WEN),WWE(WWE),Clean Energy Fuels(CLNE) – The newest of the so-called “meme stocks’ remain on watch today, as they pick up social media interest. Health insurance provider Clover rose 1.8% in the premarket after a 23.6% drop Wednesday; Wendy’s gained 1.8% after plunging 12.7% yesterday; and wrestling and entertainment company WWE rose 2.4% premarket after a 10.9% jump Wednesday. Clean Energy Fuels – a California-based natural gas provider – rallied 5.6% in premarket trading after a 31.5% surge Wednesday.\n5) The Original BARK Company(BARK) – Jefferies began coverage of the dog products company with a “buy” rating, citing strong subscription growth and a move to parlay brand equity into new categories. The company formerly known as BarkBox began trading under its new name and ticker symbol last week, following its merger with blank-check company Northern Star Acquisition. The stock added 3.8% in premarket action.\n6) ServiceNow(NOW) – The provider of workflow platforms saw its stock rise 2.4% in the premarket after it was added to the “Conviction Buy” list at Goldman Sachs. Goldman cites improving near-term fundamentals and the potential to accelerate subscription revenue.\n7) Fastly(FSLY) – The cloud computing company’s shares fell 2.2% in the premarket following an Oppenheimer downgrade to “perform” from “outperform.” Oppenheimer said Fastly reacted to this week’s internet outage quickly and appropriately, but noted that the costs to customers for switching cloud providers is relatively low.\n8) Boeing(BA) –United Airlines(UAL)is reportedly in advanced talksto buy a substantial number of large narrow-body jets that would include at least 100 Boeing 737 Max jets. People familiar with the matter told Bloomberg the talks are part of a broader fleet revamp at United. Boeing shares added 1% in premarket trading.\n9) Tesla(TSLA) – Teslaplans to launch its new Model S Plaidtoday at its Fremont, California, plant, with the event set for 7:00 p.m. PT/10:00 p.m. ET. The high-end version of the Model S will cost just under $120,000 and has a projected driving range of 390 miles.\n10) Roblox(RBLX) – Roblox faces a copyright infringement lawsuit from a group of music publishers. The video game platform company is accused of letting developers insert music players into games that play copyrighted music without permission or payment.\n11) Verint Systems(VRNT) – Verint Systems reported quarterly profit of 44 cents per share, beating the 35 cents a share consensus estimate. The customer relationship software company’s revenue also came in above analysts’ forecasts and Verint raised its full-year guidance.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164028568,"gmtCreate":1624162074554,"gmtModify":1703829881966,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment if you feel US&nbsp;Fed is responsible for this inflation.&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment if you feel US&nbsp;Fed is responsible for this inflation.&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment if you feel US Fed is responsible for this inflation.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164028568","repostId":"1133385197","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133385197","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624151969,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133385197?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-20 09:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Answering the great inflation question of our time","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133385197","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up","content":"<p>Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up. That much is true.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately pretty much everything else about inflation—a red hot topic these days—is conjecture. And that’s vexing, not just for the dismal scientists (aka economists), but for all of us, because whether or not prices are really rising, by how much and for how long, has massive implications in our lives. Or as Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, says: “Inflation is one of the mysteries of economic study and thought. A difficult thing to gauge and forecast and get right. That’s why the risks are high.”</p>\n<p>The current debate over inflation really revolves around two questions: First, is this current spate of inflation, just that, a spate—or to use Wall Street’s buzzword of the moment, “transitory,”—or not? (Just to give you an idea of how buzzy, when I Google the word “transitory” the search engine suggests “inflation” after it.) And second, transitory (aka temporary) inflation or not, what does it suggest for the economy and markets?</p>\n<p>Before I get into that, let me lay out what’s going on with prices right now. First, know that inflation,which peaked in 1980 at an annualized rate of 13.55%,has been tame for quite some time, specifically 4% or less for nearly 30 years. Which means that anyone 40 years old or younger has no experience with inflation other than maybe from an Econ 101 textbook. Obviously that could be a problem.</p>\n<p>As an aside I remember President Ford in 1974 trying to jawbone inflation down with his \"Whip Inflation Now\" campaign, which featured“Win” buttons,earringsand evenugly sweaters.None of this worked and it took draconian measures by Fed Chair Paul Volcker (raising rates and targeting money supply,as described by Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, William Poole)to eventually tame inflation and keep it under wraps for all those years.</p>\n<p>Until now perhaps. Last week theLabor Department reported that consumer prices (the CPI, or consumer price index) rose 5% in May,the fastest annual rate in nearly 13 years—which was when the economy was overheating from the housing boom which subsequently went bust and sent the economy off a cliff and into the Great Recession. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up 3.8%, the biggest increase since May 1992. (For the record, the likelihood of the economy tanking right now is de minimis.)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87f75dfcb98fb5a0e7c3f9d3f8d336e2\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Used car and truck prices are a major driver of inflation, climbing 7.3% last month and 29.7% over the past year. New car prices are up too, which have pushed upshares of Ford and GM a remarkable 40% plus this year.Clearly Americans want to buy vehicles to go on vacation and get back to work. And Yahoo Finance’sJanna Herron reportsthat rents are rising at their fastest pace in 15 years.</p>\n<p>To be sure, not all prices are climbing.As Yahoo Finance’s Rick Newman points out,prices are not up much at all for health care, education and are basically flat for technology, including computers, smartphones and internet service (an important point which we’ll get back to.)</p>\n<p>But that’s the counterpoint really. Americans are obsessed with cars, housing is critical and many of us are experiencing sticker shock booking travel this summer. Higher prices are front and center. Wall Street too is in a tizzy about inflation, and concerns about it and more importantly Federal Reserve policy in response to inflation (see below), sent stocks lower with the S&amp;P 500 down 1.91% this week, its worst week since February.</p>\n<p>Given this backdrop, the tension (such as it is) was high when the Fed met this week to deliver its forecast and for Chair Jay Powell to answer questions from the media. Or at least so said hedge fund honcho Paul Tudor Jones,who characterized the proceedings on CNBCas “the most important meeting in [Chairman] Jay Powell’s career, certainly the most important Fed meeting of the past four or five years.” Jones was critical of the Fed, which he believes is now stimulating the economy unnecessarily by keeping interest rates low and by buying financial assets. Unnecessarily, Jones says, because the economy is already running hot and needs no support. The Fed (which is in the transitory camp when it comes to inflation) risks overheating the economy by creating runaway inflation, according to PTJ.</p>\n<p>Now I don’t see eye to eye with Jones on this, though I should point out, he's a billionaire from investing in financial markets, and let’s just say I’m not. I should also point out that Jones, 66, is in fact old enough to remember inflation, never mind that as a young man he called the 1987 stock market crash. So we should all ignore Jones at our peril.</p>\n<p>As for what the Fed put forth this past Wednesday, well it wasn’t much, signaling an expectation ofraising interest rates twice by the end of 2023(yes, that is down the road.) And Powell, who’s become much more adept at not rippling the waters these days after some rougher forays earlier in his tenure, didn’t drop any bombshells in the presser.</p>\n<p>Which brings us to the question of why the Federal Reserve isn’t so concerned about inflation and thinks it is mostly—here’s that word again—transitory. To answer that, we need to first address why prices are rising right now, which can be summed up in one very familiar abbreviation: COVID-19. When COVID hit last spring the economy collapsed, which crushed demand in sectors like leisure, travel and retail. Now the economy is roaring back to life and businesses can raise prices, certainly over 2020 levels.</p>\n<p>“We clearly should’ve expected it,” says William Spriggs, chief economist at the AFL-CIO and a professor of economics at Howard University. “You can’t shut down the economy and think you turn on the switch [without some inflation].”</p>\n<p>“We had a pandemic that forced an artificial shutdown of the economy in a way that even the collapse of the financial system and the housing market didn’t, and we had a snapback at a rate we’ve never seen before—not because of the fundamentals driving recovery but because of government,” says Joel Naroff, president and chief economist of Naroff Economics.</p>\n<p>COVID had other secondary effects on the economy though, besides just ultimately producing a snapback. For one thing, the pandemic throttled supply chains, specifically the shipping of parts and components from one part of the globe to another. It also confused managers about how much to produce and therefore how many parts to order.</p>\n<p>A prime example here is what happened to the chip (semiconductor) and auto industrieswhich I wrote about last month.Car makers thought no one would buy vehicles during the pandemic and pared back their orders with chipmakers, (which were having a tough time shipping their chips anyway.) Turned out the car guys were wrong, millions of people wanted cars and trucks, but the automakers didn’t have enough chips for their cars and had to curb production. Fewer vehicles and strong demand led to higher new car prices, which cascaded to used car prices then to car rental rates. Net net, all the friction and slowness of getting things delivered now adds to costs which causes companies to raise prices.</p>\n<p>Another secondary effect of COVID which has been inflationary comes from employment,which I got into a bit last week.We all know millions were thrown out of work by COVID last year, many of whom were backstopped by government payments that could add up to $600 a week (state and federal.) These folks have been none too keen on coming back to work for minimum wage, or $290 a week. So to lure them back employers are having to pay more, which puts more money in people's pockets which allows stores for example to raise prices.</p>\n<p><b>Anti-inflation forces</b></p>\n<p>But here’s the big-time question: If COVID was temporary, and therefore its effects are temporary and inflation is one of its effects then doesn’t it follow, ipso facto, that inflation is (OK I’ll say it again), transitory?</p>\n<p>I say yes, (with a bit of a caveat.) And most economists, like Claudia Sahm, a senior fellow at the Jain Family Institute and a former Federal Reserve economist, agree. “‘Transitory’ has become a buzzword,” she says. “It is important to be more concrete about what we mean by that. We’re probably going to see in the next few months inflation numbers that are bigger than average, but as long as they keep stepping down, that’s the sign of it being transitory. If we didn’t see any sign of inflation stepping down some, it would’ve started feeling like ‘Houston, we have a problem.’”</p>\n<p>To buttress my argument beyond that above \"if-then\" syllogism, let’s take a look at why inflation has been so low for the past three decades.</p>\n<p>To me this is mostly obvious. Prices have been tamped down by the greatest anti-inflation force of our lifetime, that being technology, specifically the explosion of consumer technology. Think about it. The first wave of technology, a good example would be IBM mainframes, saved big companies money in back-office functions, savings which they mostly kept for themselves (higher profits) and their shareholders. But the four great landmark events in the advent of consumer technology; the introduction ofthe PC in 1974 (MITS Altair),the Netscape IPO of 1995,Google search in 1998,and the launch of theiPhone in 2007(I remember Steve Jobs demoing it to me like it was yesterday), greatly accelerated, broadened and deepened this deflationary trend.</p>\n<p>Not only has technology been pushing down the cost of everything from drilling for oil, to manufacturing clothes to farming, and allowing for the creation of groundbreaking (and deflationary) competitors like Uber, Airbnb and Netflix, but it also let consumers find—on their phones—the most affordable trip to Hawaii, the least expensive haircut or the best deal on Nikes.</p>\n<p>So technology has reduced the cost of almost everything and will continue to do so the rest of our lifetime. Bottom line: Unless something terrible happens, the power of technology will outweigh and outlive COVID.</p>\n<p>There is one mitigating factor and that is globalism, which is connected to both technology and COVID. Let me briefly explain.</p>\n<p>After World War II, most of humanity has become more and more connected in terms of trade, communication, travel, etc. (See supply chain above.) Technology of course was a major enabler here; better ships, planes and faster internet, all of which as it grew more potent, accelerated globalism. Another element was the introduction of political constructs like the World Trade Organization and NAFTA. (I think of the Clinton administration andChina joining the WTO in 2001as perhaps the high-water marks of globalization.)</p>\n<p>Like its technological cousin, globalism has deflationary effects particularly on the labor front as companies could more and more easily find lowest cost countries to produce goods and source materials. And like technology, globalization seemed inexorable, which it was, until it wasn’t. Political winds, manifested by the likes of Brexit and leaders like Putin, Xi Jinping, Erdogan, Bolsonaro, Duterte and of course Donald Trump have caused globalism to wane and anti-globalism and nationalism to wax.</p>\n<p>The internet too, once seen as only a great connector, has also become a global divider, as the world increasingly fractures into Chinese, U.S. and European walled digital zones when it comes to social media and search for example. Security risks, privacy, spying and hacking of course divide us further here too.</p>\n<p>So technology, which had made globalism stronger and stronger, now also makes it weaker and weaker.</p>\n<p>COVID plays a role in rethinking globalism as it exposes vulnerabilities in the supply chain. Companies that were rethinking their manufacturing in China but considering another country, are now wondering if it just makes sense to repatriate the whole shebang. Supply chains that were optimized for cost only are being rethought with security and reliability being factored in and that costs money.</p>\n<p>How significant is this decline in globalization and how permanent is it? Good questions. But my point here is whether or not \"globalism disrupted\" is transitory (!) or not, it could push prices up, (in the short and intermediate run at least), as cost is sacrificed for predictability. Longer term I say Americans are a resourceful people. We’ll figure out how to make cost effective stuff in the U.S. It’s also likely that globalism will trend upward again, though perhaps not as unfettered as it once was.</p>\n<p>More downward pressure on pricing could come from shifts in employment practices. Mark Zandi points out that “the work-from-anywhere dynamic could depress wage growth and prices. If I don’t need to work in New York anymore and could live in Tampa, it stands to reason my wage could get cut or I won’t get the same wage increase in the future.”</p>\n<p>And so what is Zandi’s take on transitory? “What we’re observing now is prices going back to pre-pandemic,” he says. “The price spikes we’re experiencing now will continue for the next few months through summer but certainly by the end of year, this time next year, they will have disappeared. I do think underlying inflation will be higher post-pandemic than pre-pandemic, but that’s a feature not a bug.”</p>\n<p>I don’t disagree. To me it’s simple: The technology wave I’ve described above is bigger than COVID and bigger than the rise and fall of globalism. And that is why, ladies and gentlemen, I believe inflation will be transitory, certainly in the long run. (Though I’m well aware of whatJohn Maynard Keynes said about the long run.)</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Answering the great inflation question of our time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnswering the great inflation question of our time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-20 09:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/answering-the-great-inflation-question-of-our-time-114153460.html><strong>finance.yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up. That much is true.\nUnfortunately pretty much everything else about inflation—a red hot topic these...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/answering-the-great-inflation-question-of-our-time-114153460.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/answering-the-great-inflation-question-of-our-time-114153460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133385197","content_text":"Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up. That much is true.\nUnfortunately pretty much everything else about inflation—a red hot topic these days—is conjecture. And that’s vexing, not just for the dismal scientists (aka economists), but for all of us, because whether or not prices are really rising, by how much and for how long, has massive implications in our lives. Or as Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, says: “Inflation is one of the mysteries of economic study and thought. A difficult thing to gauge and forecast and get right. That’s why the risks are high.”\nThe current debate over inflation really revolves around two questions: First, is this current spate of inflation, just that, a spate—or to use Wall Street’s buzzword of the moment, “transitory,”—or not? (Just to give you an idea of how buzzy, when I Google the word “transitory” the search engine suggests “inflation” after it.) And second, transitory (aka temporary) inflation or not, what does it suggest for the economy and markets?\nBefore I get into that, let me lay out what’s going on with prices right now. First, know that inflation,which peaked in 1980 at an annualized rate of 13.55%,has been tame for quite some time, specifically 4% or less for nearly 30 years. Which means that anyone 40 years old or younger has no experience with inflation other than maybe from an Econ 101 textbook. Obviously that could be a problem.\nAs an aside I remember President Ford in 1974 trying to jawbone inflation down with his \"Whip Inflation Now\" campaign, which featured“Win” buttons,earringsand evenugly sweaters.None of this worked and it took draconian measures by Fed Chair Paul Volcker (raising rates and targeting money supply,as described by Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, William Poole)to eventually tame inflation and keep it under wraps for all those years.\nUntil now perhaps. Last week theLabor Department reported that consumer prices (the CPI, or consumer price index) rose 5% in May,the fastest annual rate in nearly 13 years—which was when the economy was overheating from the housing boom which subsequently went bust and sent the economy off a cliff and into the Great Recession. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up 3.8%, the biggest increase since May 1992. (For the record, the likelihood of the economy tanking right now is de minimis.)\n\nUsed car and truck prices are a major driver of inflation, climbing 7.3% last month and 29.7% over the past year. New car prices are up too, which have pushed upshares of Ford and GM a remarkable 40% plus this year.Clearly Americans want to buy vehicles to go on vacation and get back to work. And Yahoo Finance’sJanna Herron reportsthat rents are rising at their fastest pace in 15 years.\nTo be sure, not all prices are climbing.As Yahoo Finance’s Rick Newman points out,prices are not up much at all for health care, education and are basically flat for technology, including computers, smartphones and internet service (an important point which we’ll get back to.)\nBut that’s the counterpoint really. Americans are obsessed with cars, housing is critical and many of us are experiencing sticker shock booking travel this summer. Higher prices are front and center. Wall Street too is in a tizzy about inflation, and concerns about it and more importantly Federal Reserve policy in response to inflation (see below), sent stocks lower with the S&P 500 down 1.91% this week, its worst week since February.\nGiven this backdrop, the tension (such as it is) was high when the Fed met this week to deliver its forecast and for Chair Jay Powell to answer questions from the media. Or at least so said hedge fund honcho Paul Tudor Jones,who characterized the proceedings on CNBCas “the most important meeting in [Chairman] Jay Powell’s career, certainly the most important Fed meeting of the past four or five years.” Jones was critical of the Fed, which he believes is now stimulating the economy unnecessarily by keeping interest rates low and by buying financial assets. Unnecessarily, Jones says, because the economy is already running hot and needs no support. The Fed (which is in the transitory camp when it comes to inflation) risks overheating the economy by creating runaway inflation, according to PTJ.\nNow I don’t see eye to eye with Jones on this, though I should point out, he's a billionaire from investing in financial markets, and let’s just say I’m not. I should also point out that Jones, 66, is in fact old enough to remember inflation, never mind that as a young man he called the 1987 stock market crash. So we should all ignore Jones at our peril.\nAs for what the Fed put forth this past Wednesday, well it wasn’t much, signaling an expectation ofraising interest rates twice by the end of 2023(yes, that is down the road.) And Powell, who’s become much more adept at not rippling the waters these days after some rougher forays earlier in his tenure, didn’t drop any bombshells in the presser.\nWhich brings us to the question of why the Federal Reserve isn’t so concerned about inflation and thinks it is mostly—here’s that word again—transitory. To answer that, we need to first address why prices are rising right now, which can be summed up in one very familiar abbreviation: COVID-19. When COVID hit last spring the economy collapsed, which crushed demand in sectors like leisure, travel and retail. Now the economy is roaring back to life and businesses can raise prices, certainly over 2020 levels.\n“We clearly should’ve expected it,” says William Spriggs, chief economist at the AFL-CIO and a professor of economics at Howard University. “You can’t shut down the economy and think you turn on the switch [without some inflation].”\n“We had a pandemic that forced an artificial shutdown of the economy in a way that even the collapse of the financial system and the housing market didn’t, and we had a snapback at a rate we’ve never seen before—not because of the fundamentals driving recovery but because of government,” says Joel Naroff, president and chief economist of Naroff Economics.\nCOVID had other secondary effects on the economy though, besides just ultimately producing a snapback. For one thing, the pandemic throttled supply chains, specifically the shipping of parts and components from one part of the globe to another. It also confused managers about how much to produce and therefore how many parts to order.\nA prime example here is what happened to the chip (semiconductor) and auto industrieswhich I wrote about last month.Car makers thought no one would buy vehicles during the pandemic and pared back their orders with chipmakers, (which were having a tough time shipping their chips anyway.) Turned out the car guys were wrong, millions of people wanted cars and trucks, but the automakers didn’t have enough chips for their cars and had to curb production. Fewer vehicles and strong demand led to higher new car prices, which cascaded to used car prices then to car rental rates. Net net, all the friction and slowness of getting things delivered now adds to costs which causes companies to raise prices.\nAnother secondary effect of COVID which has been inflationary comes from employment,which I got into a bit last week.We all know millions were thrown out of work by COVID last year, many of whom were backstopped by government payments that could add up to $600 a week (state and federal.) These folks have been none too keen on coming back to work for minimum wage, or $290 a week. So to lure them back employers are having to pay more, which puts more money in people's pockets which allows stores for example to raise prices.\nAnti-inflation forces\nBut here’s the big-time question: If COVID was temporary, and therefore its effects are temporary and inflation is one of its effects then doesn’t it follow, ipso facto, that inflation is (OK I’ll say it again), transitory?\nI say yes, (with a bit of a caveat.) And most economists, like Claudia Sahm, a senior fellow at the Jain Family Institute and a former Federal Reserve economist, agree. “‘Transitory’ has become a buzzword,” she says. “It is important to be more concrete about what we mean by that. We’re probably going to see in the next few months inflation numbers that are bigger than average, but as long as they keep stepping down, that’s the sign of it being transitory. If we didn’t see any sign of inflation stepping down some, it would’ve started feeling like ‘Houston, we have a problem.’”\nTo buttress my argument beyond that above \"if-then\" syllogism, let’s take a look at why inflation has been so low for the past three decades.\nTo me this is mostly obvious. Prices have been tamped down by the greatest anti-inflation force of our lifetime, that being technology, specifically the explosion of consumer technology. Think about it. The first wave of technology, a good example would be IBM mainframes, saved big companies money in back-office functions, savings which they mostly kept for themselves (higher profits) and their shareholders. But the four great landmark events in the advent of consumer technology; the introduction ofthe PC in 1974 (MITS Altair),the Netscape IPO of 1995,Google search in 1998,and the launch of theiPhone in 2007(I remember Steve Jobs demoing it to me like it was yesterday), greatly accelerated, broadened and deepened this deflationary trend.\nNot only has technology been pushing down the cost of everything from drilling for oil, to manufacturing clothes to farming, and allowing for the creation of groundbreaking (and deflationary) competitors like Uber, Airbnb and Netflix, but it also let consumers find—on their phones—the most affordable trip to Hawaii, the least expensive haircut or the best deal on Nikes.\nSo technology has reduced the cost of almost everything and will continue to do so the rest of our lifetime. Bottom line: Unless something terrible happens, the power of technology will outweigh and outlive COVID.\nThere is one mitigating factor and that is globalism, which is connected to both technology and COVID. Let me briefly explain.\nAfter World War II, most of humanity has become more and more connected in terms of trade, communication, travel, etc. (See supply chain above.) Technology of course was a major enabler here; better ships, planes and faster internet, all of which as it grew more potent, accelerated globalism. Another element was the introduction of political constructs like the World Trade Organization and NAFTA. (I think of the Clinton administration andChina joining the WTO in 2001as perhaps the high-water marks of globalization.)\nLike its technological cousin, globalism has deflationary effects particularly on the labor front as companies could more and more easily find lowest cost countries to produce goods and source materials. And like technology, globalization seemed inexorable, which it was, until it wasn’t. Political winds, manifested by the likes of Brexit and leaders like Putin, Xi Jinping, Erdogan, Bolsonaro, Duterte and of course Donald Trump have caused globalism to wane and anti-globalism and nationalism to wax.\nThe internet too, once seen as only a great connector, has also become a global divider, as the world increasingly fractures into Chinese, U.S. and European walled digital zones when it comes to social media and search for example. Security risks, privacy, spying and hacking of course divide us further here too.\nSo technology, which had made globalism stronger and stronger, now also makes it weaker and weaker.\nCOVID plays a role in rethinking globalism as it exposes vulnerabilities in the supply chain. Companies that were rethinking their manufacturing in China but considering another country, are now wondering if it just makes sense to repatriate the whole shebang. Supply chains that were optimized for cost only are being rethought with security and reliability being factored in and that costs money.\nHow significant is this decline in globalization and how permanent is it? Good questions. But my point here is whether or not \"globalism disrupted\" is transitory (!) or not, it could push prices up, (in the short and intermediate run at least), as cost is sacrificed for predictability. Longer term I say Americans are a resourceful people. We’ll figure out how to make cost effective stuff in the U.S. It’s also likely that globalism will trend upward again, though perhaps not as unfettered as it once was.\nMore downward pressure on pricing could come from shifts in employment practices. Mark Zandi points out that “the work-from-anywhere dynamic could depress wage growth and prices. If I don’t need to work in New York anymore and could live in Tampa, it stands to reason my wage could get cut or I won’t get the same wage increase in the future.”\nAnd so what is Zandi’s take on transitory? “What we’re observing now is prices going back to pre-pandemic,” he says. “The price spikes we’re experiencing now will continue for the next few months through summer but certainly by the end of year, this time next year, they will have disappeared. I do think underlying inflation will be higher post-pandemic than pre-pandemic, but that’s a feature not a bug.”\nI don’t disagree. To me it’s simple: The technology wave I’ve described above is bigger than COVID and bigger than the rise and fall of globalism. And that is why, ladies and gentlemen, I believe inflation will be transitory, certainly in the long run. (Though I’m well aware of whatJohn Maynard Keynes said about the long run.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181718948,"gmtCreate":1623411351084,"gmtModify":1704202865535,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment. Thanks in advance :)","listText":"Please like and comment. Thanks in advance :)","text":"Please like and comment. Thanks in advance :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181718948","repostId":"2142022769","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3582709211377801","authorId":"3582709211377801","name":"LameDude","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fad169ba882e7ecc17ccafb3bf4ecaf","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3582709211377801","idStr":"3582709211377801"},"content":"reply back pls!","text":"reply back pls!","html":"reply back pls!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111590077,"gmtCreate":1622685258499,"gmtModify":1704188877061,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/111590077","repostId":"1141434680","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134303253,"gmtCreate":1622205187672,"gmtModify":1704181424404,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/134303253","repostId":"2138710402","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":958,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179238281,"gmtCreate":1626530886443,"gmtModify":1703761500275,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like if the stock market crash","listText":"Pls like if the stock market crash","text":"Pls like if the stock market crash","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/179238281","repostId":"1198202103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148215979,"gmtCreate":1625977916191,"gmtModify":1703751559308,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148215979","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1112201050?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p>\n<p>When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p>\n<p>It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p>\n<p>The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p>\n<p>That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p>\n<p>While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p>\n<p>Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p>\n<p>A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p>\n<p>“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p>\n<p>The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p>\n<p>Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p>\n<p>The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p>\n<p>Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p>\n<p>These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p>\n<p>To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p>\n<p>But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p>\n<p>“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p>\n<p>“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p>\n<p>Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p>\n<p>Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p>\n<p>But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p>\n<p>“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p>\n<p>The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p>\n<p>— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p>\n<p>It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p>\n<p>Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p>\n<p>With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p>\n<p>“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p>\n<p>Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p>\n<p>AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p>\n<p>Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p>\n<p>Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p>\n<p>In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p>\n<p>There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p>\n<p>For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p>\n<p>For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p>\n<p>New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p>\n<p>“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p>\n<p>Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p>\n<p>Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p>\n<p>The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p>\n<p>The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p>\n<p>Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p>\n<p>As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p>\n<p>To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p>\n<p>Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p>\n<p>Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p>\n<p>“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p>\n<p>“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p>\n<p>The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p>\n<p>Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p>\n<p>Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p>\n<p>In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p>\n<p>Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p>\n<p>Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-11 09:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","SCHW":"嘉信理财","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","BB":"黑莓"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRIN":0.9,"SCHW":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"BB":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168404032,"gmtCreate":1623980044926,"gmtModify":1703825338698,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment if you think&nbsp;Fed needs to stop printing.&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment if you think&nbsp;Fed needs to stop printing.&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment if you think Fed needs to stop printing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168404032","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9074749507,"gmtCreate":1658416319509,"gmtModify":1676536155565,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"B","listText":"B","text":"B","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9074749507","repostId":"1146734237","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":808,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9092694765,"gmtCreate":1644604942259,"gmtModify":1676533945487,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"G","listText":"G","text":"G","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9092694765","repostId":"2210159258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2210159258","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1644592522,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2210159258?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-11 23:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks That Are Trading Near Their 52-Week Lows","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2210159258","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Both offer yields more than twice what the S&P 500 provides.","content":"<div>\n<p>When dividend stocks go on sale, it can be an opportunity for investors to lock in a higher-than-normal yield. The dividend yield, of course is a function of both quarterly payments and the share ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/10/2-high-yield-dividend-stocks-that-are-trading-near/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks That Are Trading Near Their 52-Week Lows</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks That Are Trading Near Their 52-Week Lows\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-11 23:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/10/2-high-yield-dividend-stocks-that-are-trading-near/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When dividend stocks go on sale, it can be an opportunity for investors to lock in a higher-than-normal yield. The dividend yield, of course is a function of both quarterly payments and the share ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/10/2-high-yield-dividend-stocks-that-are-trading-near/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4139":"生物科技","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4568":"美国抗疫概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4206":"工业集团企业","GILD":"吉利德科学","MMM":"3M"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/10/2-high-yield-dividend-stocks-that-are-trading-near/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2210159258","content_text":"When dividend stocks go on sale, it can be an opportunity for investors to lock in a higher-than-normal yield. The dividend yield, of course is a function of both quarterly payments and the share price; when the latter falls, the yield goes up.A couple of already high-yielding stocks that are paying more than the S&P 500 average of 1.3% and have fallen near their 52-week lows are Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD) and 3M (NYSE:MMM). Here's why despite recent investor bearishness, these could be solid additions to your portfolios today.1. Gilead SciencesDrugmaker Gilead Sciences is trading at around $63 a share and has been inching closer to its 52-week low of $61.39. The stock nosedived after the company released its latest quarterly results on Feb. 1. Gilead's performance for the past three months of 2021 was underwhelming with the company's sales of $7.2 billion declining 2.4% from the same period a year ago. Net income of $376 million was also just a fraction of the $1.5 billion that it reported a year earlier; the healthcare company says the decline was largely due to a legal settlement of $625 million involving Arcus Biosciences.For 2022, Gilead projects that its sales will come in between $23.8 billion and $24.3 billion; at the midpoint of $24 billion, that would be a decline of 12% from the $27.3 billion it recorded in 2021. The company expects diluted earnings per share (EPS) to be between $4.70 and $5.20 for the year, so it could still potentially come in better than the $4.93-per-share profit it reported this past year.Even if there is a decline in profitability, those numbers will still be strong enough to support the company's dividend, which currently pays shareholders $2.92 per share a year. At the low point of its EPS estimate, Gilead's payout ratio would still be fairly modest at 62%; that would leave plenty of room for the company not only to support but also to grow its already high dividend, which currently yields 4.6%.Although Gilead is facing some challenges, particularly from losses in exclusivity for some of its key products, the company is working on building out its pipeline. In oncology alone, there are over 30 clinical trials currently taking place.Gilead remains in solid shape despite some risks, and investors are compensated for it as the stock trades at a lower forward price-to-earnings multiple than other drugmakers:GILD PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts.2. 3MMultinational conglomerate 3M hit a new 52-week low this week as it also fell out of favor with investors. The company, which makes healthcare masks and respirators, was a popular investment during the pandemic's early stages. And as COVID-19 case numbers began to subside last year and hopes about a return to normal rose, interest in the stock began to wane.The company released fourth-quarter numbers on Jan. 25, reporting sales of $8.6 billion for the period ended Dec. 31, 2021. That was flat from the prior year. Meanwhile, net income declined by 4.7% to $1.3 billion. By contrast, sales rose 5.8% in 2020's fourth quarter. That was largely due to an increase in safety and industrial revenue (including personal hygiene products and masks). This time around, however, that segment of its business fell 2% to about $3.1 billion.Other business units (healthcare, transportation and electronics) are smaller and also showed little or no growth. The lone exception and growth catalyst in Q4 was its consumer business (e.g. bandages, cleaning, and stationery products) which rose by 4% and helped keep the quarter's sales just slightly above the prior-year numbers. All this diversification makes the business resilient -- and as a whole, 3M continues to do well. For all of 2021, net sales rose 10% year over year to $35.4 billion.For income investors, the company's payouts look more than safe even if the growth rate starts to falter. 3M is a Dividend King thanks to increasing its dividend payments for more than 60 years in a row. And there's little doubt that streak will continue; it paid out $5.92 per share in dividends for 2021. With an EPS of $10.12, that puts its payout ratio at just 58%. So there's plenty of room for the company to continue making and increasing payouts.3M shares haven't been this low since the fall of 2020, and the stock's yield is currently at 3.7%. Now could be a great time to add this investment to your portfolio.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GILD":1,"MMM":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9903855535,"gmtCreate":1659009087227,"gmtModify":1676536243121,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903855535","repostId":"9903821999","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9903821999,"gmtCreate":1659006669313,"gmtModify":1676536242753,"author":{"id":"9000000000000601","authorId":"9000000000000601","name":"ElvisMarner","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6feca155d0db09a740c96d3ac91f0628","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000601","idStr":"9000000000000601"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For those who looking to invest in the next Tesla,Lucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID) might offer an enticing and viable alternative. Perhaps more so than any other EV upstart, Lucid is focused on dominating the upper end of the income strata. Of course, management would like to offer practical EVs to the middle-income crowd. However, the present economies of scale don’t yet facilitate such vehicular equity.Plus, the unique nuances and impacts of the new normal effectively means that Lucid — and everyone else — has little choice but to address the most affluent buyers.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>","listText":"For those who looking to invest in the next Tesla,Lucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID) might offer an enticing and viable alternative. Perhaps more so than any other EV upstart, Lucid is focused on dominating the upper end of the income strata. Of course, management would like to offer practical EVs to the middle-income crowd. However, the present economies of scale don’t yet facilitate such vehicular equity.Plus, the unique nuances and impacts of the new normal effectively means that Lucid — and everyone else — has little choice but to address the most affluent buyers.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>","text":"For those who looking to invest in the next Tesla,Lucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID) might offer an enticing and viable alternative. Perhaps more so than any other EV upstart, Lucid is focused on dominating the upper end of the income strata. Of course, management would like to offer practical EVs to the middle-income crowd. However, the present economies of scale don’t yet facilitate such vehicular equity.Plus, the unique nuances and impacts of the new normal effectively means that Lucid — and everyone else — has little choice but to address the most affluent buyers.$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903821999","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9042544876,"gmtCreate":1656506864195,"gmtModify":1676535841939,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"D","listText":"D","text":"D","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9042544876","repostId":"1109251982","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109251982","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1656507714,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109251982?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-29 21:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Futures Struggle to Hold Gains after GDP Data; BBBY Plummeted 15%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109251982","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures struggled for direction on Wednesday, leaving Wall Street potentially on course f","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures struggled for direction on Wednesday, leaving Wall Street potentially on course for a third consecutive day of losses, as investors fret that soaring inflation is damaging the world’s biggest economy and battering corporate profits.</p><p>On U.S. economic data, the first-quarter GDP was revised to show 1.6% decline, compared with the prior 1.5% drop.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 8:59 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 26 points, or 0.08%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 1.75 points, or 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 20.25 points, or 0.17%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f83fda898fc104c85b79c7b3cd50299e\" tg-width=\"424\" tg-height=\"188\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p>General Mills(GIS) – General Mills reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.12 per share, 11 cents above estimates, with revenue that also topped Wall Street forecasts. The stock rose 1.6% in the premarket, even as the food producer forecast full-year profit below Street estimates amid rising costs and shifting consumer preferences toward cheaper brands.</p><p>Carnival(CCL) – The cruise line operator’s shares slid 7.8% in premarket trading after Morgan Stanley cut the price target to $7 per share from $13. Morgan Stanley said the price could potentially go to zero in the face of another demand shock, given Carnival’s debt levels. Rival cruise line stocks fell in sympathy, withRoyal Caribbean(RCL) down 4% andNorwegian Cruise Line(NCLH) falling 4.6%.</p><p>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) – The housewares retailer announced the departure of CEO Mark Tritton, saying it was time for a leadership change. Independent director Sue Gove will serve as interim CEO while the search for a permanent replacement is conducted. Separately, the company reported a wider-than-expected quarterly loss. Bed Bath &amp; Beyond plummeted 14.85% in premarket action.</p><p>McCormick(MKC) – The spice maker’s stock slumped 7.3% in premarket trading after the company reported lower-than-expected quarterly results and cut its full-year outlook. McCormick said it is seeing a negative impact from factors like higher costs, supply chain issues and unfavorable foreign currency trends.</p><p>Pinterest(PINS) – Pinterest co-founder Ben Silbermann stepped down as CEO and will transition to the newly created post of executive chairman. He’ll be replaced by Bill Ready, who had been president of commerce at Google. The image-sharing company’s stock rose 2.5% in the premarket.</p><p>Nio(NIO) – Nio is denying a report by short-seller Grizzly Research that accuses the electric car maker of exaggerating its financial results. Nio said the report is without merit and contains numerous errors. Nio slumped 7% in premarket trading.</p><p>Upstart Holdings(UPST) – The cloud-based lending company’s shares tumbled 9.6% in the premarket after Morgan Stanley downgraded it to “underweight” from “equal-weight.” Morgan Stanley cites a number of factors, including deteriorating underwriting performance.</p><p>Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla is closing a Silicon Valley office and laying off 200 workers, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to the Wall Street Journal. Tesla is in the midst of an ongoing effort to reduce headcount and cut costs. Its stock lost 1.6% in premarket action.</p><p>Walt Disney(DIS) – Walt Disney extended the contract of CEO Bob Chapek for three years, saying he has weathered many difficulties during his tenure and emerged in a position of strength.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b>Fed&#39;s Mester Backs 75 Bps Hike in July If Economic Conditions Remain the Same</b></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said Wednesday that if economic conditions remain the same when theU.S. centralbank meets to decide its next monetary policy move in July, she will be advocating for a 75 basis point hike to interest rates.</p><p>The Fed’s path of monetary tightening has become a key driver of market activity in recent months as the central bank looks to act aggressively to rein in soaring inflation, while acknowledging the risk that steeper interest rate rises will increase the likelihood of an economic recession.</p><p><b>Goldman Sachs Sees Losses From Consumer Push Exceeding $1.2 Billion This Year</b></p><p>WhenGoldman Sachs Group Inc.executives set out to woo investors in early 2020, they offered a promising outlook for their novelty Main Street business. The unit would go from a money-suck to break-even in 2022.</p><p>The Wall Street titan’s internal projections show the consumer business losses accelerating to more than $1.2 billion this year, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The second-quarter burn rate in the unit is in line with those forecasts -- and the number may grow if a souring economy forces the firm to take more lending-loss provisions, the people said.</p><p><b>Palantir, Raytheon Tapped To Deliver Prototypes For Army’s TITAN Data Platform</b></p><p>The Army has awarded a pair of deals to<b>Palantir Technologies</b>[PLTR] and<b>Raytheon Intelligence and Space</b>[RTX] to deliver prototypes for the Tactical Intelligence Targeting Access Node (TITAN) program, before the service downselects to one vendor for production.</p><p>After both companies participated in the first phase of TITAN to work through their designs for the future intelligence ground station, each has now received a $36 million, 14-month deal to build prototypes for evaluation and testing.</p><p><b>Bitcoin briefly drops below $20,000 again as pressure continues to mount on crypto market</b></p><p>Bitcoinfell below $20,000 on Wednesday as a number of factors from macroeconomic worries to issues with cryptocurrency companies continue to weigh on the market.</p><p>The world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading down more than 4% at around $20,056.48 at 07:36 a.m. ET, according to CoinDesk data. Earlier on Wednesday, bitcoin fell as low as $19,841.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Futures Struggle to Hold Gains after GDP Data; BBBY Plummeted 15%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Futures Struggle to Hold Gains after GDP Data; BBBY Plummeted 15%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-29 21:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures struggled for direction on Wednesday, leaving Wall Street potentially on course for a third consecutive day of losses, as investors fret that soaring inflation is damaging the world’s biggest economy and battering corporate profits.</p><p>On U.S. economic data, the first-quarter GDP was revised to show 1.6% decline, compared with the prior 1.5% drop.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 8:59 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 26 points, or 0.08%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 1.75 points, or 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 20.25 points, or 0.17%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f83fda898fc104c85b79c7b3cd50299e\" tg-width=\"424\" tg-height=\"188\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p>General Mills(GIS) – General Mills reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.12 per share, 11 cents above estimates, with revenue that also topped Wall Street forecasts. The stock rose 1.6% in the premarket, even as the food producer forecast full-year profit below Street estimates amid rising costs and shifting consumer preferences toward cheaper brands.</p><p>Carnival(CCL) – The cruise line operator’s shares slid 7.8% in premarket trading after Morgan Stanley cut the price target to $7 per share from $13. Morgan Stanley said the price could potentially go to zero in the face of another demand shock, given Carnival’s debt levels. Rival cruise line stocks fell in sympathy, withRoyal Caribbean(RCL) down 4% andNorwegian Cruise Line(NCLH) falling 4.6%.</p><p>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) – The housewares retailer announced the departure of CEO Mark Tritton, saying it was time for a leadership change. Independent director Sue Gove will serve as interim CEO while the search for a permanent replacement is conducted. Separately, the company reported a wider-than-expected quarterly loss. Bed Bath &amp; Beyond plummeted 14.85% in premarket action.</p><p>McCormick(MKC) – The spice maker’s stock slumped 7.3% in premarket trading after the company reported lower-than-expected quarterly results and cut its full-year outlook. McCormick said it is seeing a negative impact from factors like higher costs, supply chain issues and unfavorable foreign currency trends.</p><p>Pinterest(PINS) – Pinterest co-founder Ben Silbermann stepped down as CEO and will transition to the newly created post of executive chairman. He’ll be replaced by Bill Ready, who had been president of commerce at Google. The image-sharing company’s stock rose 2.5% in the premarket.</p><p>Nio(NIO) – Nio is denying a report by short-seller Grizzly Research that accuses the electric car maker of exaggerating its financial results. Nio said the report is without merit and contains numerous errors. Nio slumped 7% in premarket trading.</p><p>Upstart Holdings(UPST) – The cloud-based lending company’s shares tumbled 9.6% in the premarket after Morgan Stanley downgraded it to “underweight” from “equal-weight.” Morgan Stanley cites a number of factors, including deteriorating underwriting performance.</p><p>Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla is closing a Silicon Valley office and laying off 200 workers, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to the Wall Street Journal. Tesla is in the midst of an ongoing effort to reduce headcount and cut costs. Its stock lost 1.6% in premarket action.</p><p>Walt Disney(DIS) – Walt Disney extended the contract of CEO Bob Chapek for three years, saying he has weathered many difficulties during his tenure and emerged in a position of strength.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b>Fed&#39;s Mester Backs 75 Bps Hike in July If Economic Conditions Remain the Same</b></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said Wednesday that if economic conditions remain the same when theU.S. centralbank meets to decide its next monetary policy move in July, she will be advocating for a 75 basis point hike to interest rates.</p><p>The Fed’s path of monetary tightening has become a key driver of market activity in recent months as the central bank looks to act aggressively to rein in soaring inflation, while acknowledging the risk that steeper interest rate rises will increase the likelihood of an economic recession.</p><p><b>Goldman Sachs Sees Losses From Consumer Push Exceeding $1.2 Billion This Year</b></p><p>WhenGoldman Sachs Group Inc.executives set out to woo investors in early 2020, they offered a promising outlook for their novelty Main Street business. The unit would go from a money-suck to break-even in 2022.</p><p>The Wall Street titan’s internal projections show the consumer business losses accelerating to more than $1.2 billion this year, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The second-quarter burn rate in the unit is in line with those forecasts -- and the number may grow if a souring economy forces the firm to take more lending-loss provisions, the people said.</p><p><b>Palantir, Raytheon Tapped To Deliver Prototypes For Army’s TITAN Data Platform</b></p><p>The Army has awarded a pair of deals to<b>Palantir Technologies</b>[PLTR] and<b>Raytheon Intelligence and Space</b>[RTX] to deliver prototypes for the Tactical Intelligence Targeting Access Node (TITAN) program, before the service downselects to one vendor for production.</p><p>After both companies participated in the first phase of TITAN to work through their designs for the future intelligence ground station, each has now received a $36 million, 14-month deal to build prototypes for evaluation and testing.</p><p><b>Bitcoin briefly drops below $20,000 again as pressure continues to mount on crypto market</b></p><p>Bitcoinfell below $20,000 on Wednesday as a number of factors from macroeconomic worries to issues with cryptocurrency companies continue to weigh on the market.</p><p>The world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading down more than 4% at around $20,056.48 at 07:36 a.m. ET, according to CoinDesk data. Earlier on Wednesday, bitcoin fell as low as $19,841.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109251982","content_text":"U.S. stock futures struggled for direction on Wednesday, leaving Wall Street potentially on course for a third consecutive day of losses, as investors fret that soaring inflation is damaging the world’s biggest economy and battering corporate profits.On U.S. economic data, the first-quarter GDP was revised to show 1.6% decline, compared with the prior 1.5% drop.Market SnapshotAt 8:59 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 26 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 1.75 points, or 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 20.25 points, or 0.17%.Pre-Market MoversGeneral Mills(GIS) – General Mills reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.12 per share, 11 cents above estimates, with revenue that also topped Wall Street forecasts. The stock rose 1.6% in the premarket, even as the food producer forecast full-year profit below Street estimates amid rising costs and shifting consumer preferences toward cheaper brands.Carnival(CCL) – The cruise line operator’s shares slid 7.8% in premarket trading after Morgan Stanley cut the price target to $7 per share from $13. Morgan Stanley said the price could potentially go to zero in the face of another demand shock, given Carnival’s debt levels. Rival cruise line stocks fell in sympathy, withRoyal Caribbean(RCL) down 4% andNorwegian Cruise Line(NCLH) falling 4.6%.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) – The housewares retailer announced the departure of CEO Mark Tritton, saying it was time for a leadership change. Independent director Sue Gove will serve as interim CEO while the search for a permanent replacement is conducted. Separately, the company reported a wider-than-expected quarterly loss. Bed Bath & Beyond plummeted 14.85% in premarket action.McCormick(MKC) – The spice maker’s stock slumped 7.3% in premarket trading after the company reported lower-than-expected quarterly results and cut its full-year outlook. McCormick said it is seeing a negative impact from factors like higher costs, supply chain issues and unfavorable foreign currency trends.Pinterest(PINS) – Pinterest co-founder Ben Silbermann stepped down as CEO and will transition to the newly created post of executive chairman. He’ll be replaced by Bill Ready, who had been president of commerce at Google. The image-sharing company’s stock rose 2.5% in the premarket.Nio(NIO) – Nio is denying a report by short-seller Grizzly Research that accuses the electric car maker of exaggerating its financial results. Nio said the report is without merit and contains numerous errors. Nio slumped 7% in premarket trading.Upstart Holdings(UPST) – The cloud-based lending company’s shares tumbled 9.6% in the premarket after Morgan Stanley downgraded it to “underweight” from “equal-weight.” Morgan Stanley cites a number of factors, including deteriorating underwriting performance.Tesla(TSLA) – Tesla is closing a Silicon Valley office and laying off 200 workers, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to the Wall Street Journal. Tesla is in the midst of an ongoing effort to reduce headcount and cut costs. Its stock lost 1.6% in premarket action.Walt Disney(DIS) – Walt Disney extended the contract of CEO Bob Chapek for three years, saying he has weathered many difficulties during his tenure and emerged in a position of strength.Market NewsFed's Mester Backs 75 Bps Hike in July If Economic Conditions Remain the SameFederal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said Wednesday that if economic conditions remain the same when theU.S. centralbank meets to decide its next monetary policy move in July, she will be advocating for a 75 basis point hike to interest rates.The Fed’s path of monetary tightening has become a key driver of market activity in recent months as the central bank looks to act aggressively to rein in soaring inflation, while acknowledging the risk that steeper interest rate rises will increase the likelihood of an economic recession.Goldman Sachs Sees Losses From Consumer Push Exceeding $1.2 Billion This YearWhenGoldman Sachs Group Inc.executives set out to woo investors in early 2020, they offered a promising outlook for their novelty Main Street business. The unit would go from a money-suck to break-even in 2022.The Wall Street titan’s internal projections show the consumer business losses accelerating to more than $1.2 billion this year, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The second-quarter burn rate in the unit is in line with those forecasts -- and the number may grow if a souring economy forces the firm to take more lending-loss provisions, the people said.Palantir, Raytheon Tapped To Deliver Prototypes For Army’s TITAN Data PlatformThe Army has awarded a pair of deals toPalantir Technologies[PLTR] andRaytheon Intelligence and Space[RTX] to deliver prototypes for the Tactical Intelligence Targeting Access Node (TITAN) program, before the service downselects to one vendor for production.After both companies participated in the first phase of TITAN to work through their designs for the future intelligence ground station, each has now received a $36 million, 14-month deal to build prototypes for evaluation and testing.Bitcoin briefly drops below $20,000 again as pressure continues to mount on crypto marketBitcoinfell below $20,000 on Wednesday as a number of factors from macroeconomic worries to issues with cryptocurrency companies continue to weigh on the market.The world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading down more than 4% at around $20,056.48 at 07:36 a.m. ET, according to CoinDesk data. Earlier on Wednesday, bitcoin fell as low as $19,841.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"YMmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9028267255,"gmtCreate":1653237151577,"gmtModify":1676535244429,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"G","listText":"G","text":"G","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9028267255","repostId":"2237089312","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9089641079,"gmtCreate":1649989877926,"gmtModify":1676534623983,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9089641079","repostId":"1143171275","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894035850,"gmtCreate":1628777207070,"gmtModify":1676529851969,"author":{"id":"3581667328055955","authorId":"3581667328055955","name":"Benedict_cyh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216a5cf2e56f81472309860a063b75a6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667328055955","idStr":"3581667328055955"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"N","listText":"N","text":"N","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/894035850","repostId":"895876757","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":895876757,"gmtCreate":1628735922875,"gmtModify":1676529836943,"author":{"id":"3527667596890271","authorId":"3527667596890271","name":"Buy_Sell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f0ed79a338c758a22e0b4ea13bf9d2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667596890271","idStr":"3527667596890271"},"themes":[],"title":"?【8月12日】疫苗小甜甜變身牛夫人，今天買什麼","htmlText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括對於大盤走勢後續的看法？看漲/看跌哪隻股票、曬曬單等等。 港股市場 8月12日，恆生指數開盤下跌36.39點，跌幅0.14%，報26623.77點；國企指數開盤下跌23.7點，跌幅0.25%，報9524.43點；紅籌指數開盤下跌1.22點，跌幅0.03%，報3843.37點。 恆生科技指數跌0.24%報6804點，大型科網股普跌，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美團-W(03690)$</a> 跌近2%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京東集團-SW(09618)$</a> 跌超1%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$騰訊控股(00700)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集團-SW(09888)$</a> 小幅低開 港股部分醫藥股與生物技術股走低，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02196\">$復星醫藥(02196)$</a> 跌3.65%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09939\">$開拓藥業-B(09939)$</a> 跌3.36%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06160\">$百濟神州(06160)$</a>","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括對於大盤走勢後續的看法？看漲/看跌哪隻股票、曬曬單等等。 港股市場 8月12日，恆生指數開盤下跌36.39點，跌幅0.14%，報26623.77點；國企指數開盤下跌23.7點，跌幅0.25%，報9524.43點；紅籌指數開盤下跌1.22點，跌幅0.03%，報3843.37點。 恆生科技指數跌0.24%報6804點，大型科網股普跌，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美團-W(03690)$</a> 跌近2%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京東集團-SW(09618)$</a> 跌超1%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$騰訊控股(00700)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集團-SW(09888)$</a> 小幅低開 港股部分醫藥股與生物技術股走低，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02196\">$復星醫藥(02196)$</a> 跌3.65%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09939\">$開拓藥業-B(09939)$</a> 跌3.36%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06160\">$百濟神州(06160)$</a>","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括對於大盤走勢後續的看法？看漲/看跌哪隻股票、曬曬單等等。 港股市場 8月12日，恆生指數開盤下跌36.39點，跌幅0.14%，報26623.77點；國企指數開盤下跌23.7點，跌幅0.25%，報9524.43點；紅籌指數開盤下跌1.22點，跌幅0.03%，報3843.37點。 恆生科技指數跌0.24%報6804點，大型科網股普跌，$美團-W(03690)$ 跌近2%，$京東集團-SW(09618)$ 跌超1%，$騰訊控股(00700)$ 、$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$ 、$百度集團-SW(09888)$ 小幅低開 港股部分醫藥股與生物技術股走低，$復星醫藥(02196)$ 跌3.65%，$開拓藥業-B(09939)$ 跌3.36%，$百濟神州(06160)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7dacd6a9cd75c4fe8ab13a5697eec43","width":"200","height":"193"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/895876757","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}