MySGX personal page - To The Moon

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03-20

$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$ am I holding for too long

02-26

$LION OCBC HSTECH ETF S$(HST.SI)$

02-22

$LION OCBC HSTECH ETF S$(HST.SI)$

02-20

$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$

2024-10-04

$LION OCBC HSTECH ETF S$(HST.SI)$ hold for more than 2 years, finally moving up

2024-01-17

$CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ lol

2024-01-15

2023-12-29

Come come join the challenge!

@TigerEvents:🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅

2023-12-14

$LION-PHILLIP S-REIT(CLR.SI)$

2023-12-13

$Far East HTrust(Q5T.SI)$

2023-12-13

2023-06-30

$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$

2023-02-24

👌

@MillionaireTiger:【Thursday Special】The Most Dramatic Thing You've Ever Encountered While Investing

2023-01-21

HAPPYCNY

2022-12-18

Noted

@ToughCoyote:Let me talk about my views on Hong Kong stocks, which may be different from what ordinary people think: 1. Due to the linked exchange rate system, Hong Kong stocks are essentially U.S. dollar-denominated assets, that is, the higher the U.S. dollar index, the lower the Hong Kong stocks; 2. During the interest rate hike cycle, it is inevitable that the US dollar will strengthen and Hong Kong stocks will weaken. Now the US cpi is lower than expected and the US dollar index is weaker, which is good for Hong Kong stocks; 3. In addition to price factors, there are also quantitative factors that affect Hong Kong stocks. When the Fed is still raising interest rates generously, U.S. stocks and Hong Kong stocks are the first to bottom out. The logic lies in the economic recovery of non-U.S. econo

2022-12-15

Noted

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-12-12

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-12-12

Noted

Inflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week

2022-12-11

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-12-11

Noted

Why Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a "Santa Claus" Rally This Year

Go to Tiger App to see more news

Invest in Global Markets with Tiger Brokers!

Open App

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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HST.SI\">$LION OCBC HSTECH ETF S$(HST.SI)$ </a>&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$LION OCBC HSTECH ETF S$(HST.SI)$ [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/406196145844544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":405686327386232,"gmtCreate":1740072313714,"gmtModify":1740072316738,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U96.SI\">$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$ </a>&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U96.SI\">$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$ </a>&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$ [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/405686327386232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":356396274303304,"gmtCreate":1728012894380,"gmtModify":1728012898835,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HST.SI\">$LION OCBC HSTECH ETF S$(HST.SI)$ </a> hold for more than 2 years, finally moving up[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HST.SI\">$LION OCBC HSTECH ETF S$(HST.SI)$ </a> hold for more than 2 years, finally moving up[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$LION OCBC HSTECH ETF S$(HST.SI)$ hold for more than 2 years, finally moving up[Miser]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b5779c906d5169a2e29981af1563d015","width":"996","height":"1894"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/356396274303304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":914,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3566631470841362","authorId":"3566631470841362","name":"AiChee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf64faf9af854b974789eb0c5f58b7e2","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3566631470841362","idStr":"3566631470841362"},"content":"33 to 4 year holding here From sgd1.50 started buy it🥹","text":"33 to 4 year holding here From sgd1.50 started buy it🥹","html":"33 to 4 year holding here From sgd1.50 started buy it🥹"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":264169757991048,"gmtCreate":1705513854713,"gmtModify":1705513859382,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C38U.SI\">$CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ </a> lol","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C38U.SI\">$CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ </a> lol","text":"$CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ lol","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54efc07505d8cb0961186dcd17276275","width":"1022","height":"1608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/264169757991048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":263400081125392,"gmtCreate":1705341186619,"gmtModify":1705341192013,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b1270b7029cb8e7fc28e2492ba88b912","width":"1022","height":"1608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/263400081125392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257168749617368,"gmtCreate":1703819236986,"gmtModify":1703819241237,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come come join the challenge!","listText":"Come come join the challenge!","text":"Come come join the challenge!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257168749617368","repostId":"248312805347464","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":248312805347464,"gmtCreate":1701660745864,"gmtModify":1703059991513,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667667103859","idStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅","htmlText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","listText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/248312805347464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1093,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":252078242533608,"gmtCreate":1702576401743,"gmtModify":1702576405957,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CLR.SI\">$LION-PHILLIP S-REIT(CLR.SI)$ </a>&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CLR.SI\">$LION-PHILLIP S-REIT(CLR.SI)$ </a>&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$LION-PHILLIP S-REIT(CLR.SI)$ [Cry]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d083427053e7c8a2a29745dc7f06845b","width":"1022","height":"1608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/252078242533608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3582750411391910","authorId":"3582750411391910","name":"Bobowpw","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3582750411391910","idStr":"3582750411391910"},"content":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","html":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":251683411046528,"gmtCreate":1702489396782,"gmtModify":1702489399209,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Q5T.SI\">$Far East HTrust(Q5T.SI)$ </a>&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Q5T.SI\">$Far East HTrust(Q5T.SI)$ </a>&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$Far East HTrust(Q5T.SI)$ [Miser]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66401b8f4fd1c10c1ce994517c7dad84","width":"1022","height":"1608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/251683411046528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":251682252419288,"gmtCreate":1702489291519,"gmtModify":1702489295596,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ </a>&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ </a>&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ [Miser]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/57c4f798647dec26222caa8f2d60171a","width":"1022","height":"1608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/251682252419288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192804383522952,"gmtCreate":1688100898433,"gmtModify":1688100902055,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U96.SI\">$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$ &nbsp;</a>[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U96.SI\">$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$ &nbsp;</a>[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$ [Miser]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f0580835b5d41e9bdffc32d1ff647752","width":"1022","height":"1608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192804383522952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":945,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957296908,"gmtCreate":1677255456405,"gmtModify":1677255459109,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌&nbsp;","listText":"👌&nbsp;","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957296908","repostId":"9954486586","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9954486586,"gmtCreate":1676549569945,"gmtModify":1676549588111,"author":{"id":"3527667618821228","authorId":"3527667618821228","name":"MillionaireTiger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc558bf32e48ad6ed6d057026ef55af7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667618821228","idStr":"3527667618821228"},"themes":[],"title":"【Thursday Special】The Most Dramatic Thing You've Ever Encountered While Investing","htmlText":"Hey&nbsp;Tigers!Welcome&nbsp;to&nbsp;this&nbsp;week's&nbsp;Thursday&nbsp;Special!&nbsp;Today's topic is the most dramatic thing you've ever encountered while investing.I'm sure everyone had tons of experience with investing before we met. Let's share some of the most XXX investments in your life.For example,&nbsp;the most horrible investment might be: I tried to sell a stock and clicked buy, or I mistyped the amount and got a number over or under.The most regrettable investment might be: If I had invested the full amount, I could have retired by now.The luckiest investment might be the one where I made a large amount of money without any sound judgment, relying on the luck of the investment proceeds.And what follows from this investment？Share&nbsp;your&nbsp;most&nbsp;dramatic&nbsp;thing&amp;nb","listText":"Hey&nbsp;Tigers!Welcome&nbsp;to&nbsp;this&nbsp;week's&nbsp;Thursday&nbsp;Special!&nbsp;Today's topic is the most dramatic thing you've ever encountered while investing.I'm sure everyone had tons of experience with investing before we met. Let's share some of the most XXX investments in your life.For example,&nbsp;the most horrible investment might be: I tried to sell a stock and clicked buy, or I mistyped the amount and got a number over or under.The most regrettable investment might be: If I had invested the full amount, I could have retired by now.The luckiest investment might be the one where I made a large amount of money without any sound judgment, relying on the luck of the investment proceeds.And what follows from this investment？Share&nbsp;your&nbsp;most&nbsp;dramatic&nbsp;thing&amp;nb","text":"Hey Tigers!Welcome to this week's Thursday Special! Today's topic is the most dramatic thing you've ever encountered while investing.I'm sure everyone had tons of experience with investing before we met. Let's share some of the most XXX investments in your life.For example, the most horrible investment might be: I tried to sell a stock and clicked buy, or I mistyped the amount and got a number over or under.The most regrettable investment might be: If I had invested the full amount, I could have retired by now.The luckiest investment might be the one where I made a large amount of money without any sound judgment, relying on the luck of the investment proceeds.And what follows from this investment？Share your most dramatic thing&nb","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1105677899c25cb7e90a52f2ccbe6264","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954486586","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1020,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952026784,"gmtCreate":1674274531448,"gmtModify":1676538935026,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"HAPPYCNY","listText":"HAPPYCNY","text":"HAPPYCNY","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952026784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928572436,"gmtCreate":1671331363225,"gmtModify":1676538525308,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928572436","repostId":"9928579176","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9928579176,"gmtCreate":1671330309296,"gmtModify":1676538525161,"author":{"id":"4098573842489750","authorId":"4098573842489750","name":"ToughCoyote","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58563f63b7e52669e57762bb4ebee968","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098573842489750","idStr":"4098573842489750"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let me talk about my views on Hong Kong stocks, which may be different from what ordinary people think: 1. Due to the linked exchange rate system, Hong Kong stocks are essentially U.S. dollar-denominated assets, that is, the higher the U.S. dollar index, the lower the Hong Kong stocks; 2. During the interest rate hike cycle, it is inevitable that the US dollar will strengthen and Hong Kong stocks will weaken. Now the US cpi is lower than expected and the US dollar index is weaker, which is good for Hong Kong stocks; 3. In addition to price factors, there are also quantitative factors that affect Hong Kong stocks. When the Fed is still raising interest rates generously, U.S. stocks and Hong Kong stocks are the first to bottom out. The logic lies in the economic recovery of non-U.S. econo","listText":"Let me talk about my views on Hong Kong stocks, which may be different from what ordinary people think: 1. Due to the linked exchange rate system, Hong Kong stocks are essentially U.S. dollar-denominated assets, that is, the higher the U.S. dollar index, the lower the Hong Kong stocks; 2. During the interest rate hike cycle, it is inevitable that the US dollar will strengthen and Hong Kong stocks will weaken. Now the US cpi is lower than expected and the US dollar index is weaker, which is good for Hong Kong stocks; 3. In addition to price factors, there are also quantitative factors that affect Hong Kong stocks. When the Fed is still raising interest rates generously, U.S. stocks and Hong Kong stocks are the first to bottom out. The logic lies in the economic recovery of non-U.S. econo","text":"Let me talk about my views on Hong Kong stocks, which may be different from what ordinary people think: 1. Due to the linked exchange rate system, Hong Kong stocks are essentially U.S. dollar-denominated assets, that is, the higher the U.S. dollar index, the lower the Hong Kong stocks; 2. During the interest rate hike cycle, it is inevitable that the US dollar will strengthen and Hong Kong stocks will weaken. Now the US cpi is lower than expected and the US dollar index is weaker, which is good for Hong Kong stocks; 3. In addition to price factors, there are also quantitative factors that affect Hong Kong stocks. When the Fed is still raising interest rates generously, U.S. stocks and Hong Kong stocks are the first to bottom out. The logic lies in the economic recovery of non-U.S. econo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928579176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":987,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921282941,"gmtCreate":1671067921984,"gmtModify":1676538484110,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921282941","repostId":"1195958707","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923148797,"gmtCreate":1670814488419,"gmtModify":1676538439061,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>[What]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>[What]&nbsp;","text":"$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ [What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923148797","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923143910,"gmtCreate":1670814040731,"gmtModify":1676538438891,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923143910","repostId":"1160689342","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160689342","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1670799600,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160689342?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-12-12 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160689342","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetarypolicydecision will be the highlights.On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.</p><p>On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.</p><p>Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.</p><h2>Monday 12/12</h2><p><b>Oracle reports earnings</b> for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.</p><h2>Tuesday 12/13</h2><p>Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.</p><p><b>The House Financial</b> Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.</p><h2>Wednesday 12/14</h2><p><b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.</p><p><b>Lennar,</b> Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases</b> its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.</p><h2>Thursday 12/15</h2><p><b>Adobe and</b> Jabil host earnings conference calls.</p><p><b>The European Central Bank</b> begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.</p><p><b>The Philadelphia Fed</b> Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.</p><h2>Friday 12/16</h2><p><b>Winnebago Industries,</b> Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-12 07:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.</p><p>On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.</p><p>Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.</p><h2>Monday 12/12</h2><p><b>Oracle reports earnings</b> for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.</p><h2>Tuesday 12/13</h2><p>Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.</p><p><b>The House Financial</b> Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.</p><h2>Wednesday 12/14</h2><p><b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.</p><p><b>Lennar,</b> Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases</b> its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.</p><h2>Thursday 12/15</h2><p><b>Adobe and</b> Jabil host earnings conference calls.</p><p><b>The European Central Bank</b> begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.</p><p><b>The Philadelphia Fed</b> Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.</p><h2>Friday 12/16</h2><p><b>Winnebago Industries,</b> Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","ADBE":"Adobe","ABM":"反导工业公司",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ORCL":"甲骨文",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","09961":"携程集团-S","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","PLAB":"福尼克斯","TCOM":"携程网"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160689342","content_text":"It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.Monday 12/12Oracle reports earnings for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.Tuesday 12/13Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.The House Financial Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.Wednesday 12/14The Federal Open Market Committee concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.Lennar, Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.Thursday 12/15Adobe and Jabil host earnings conference calls.The European Central Bank begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.The Philadelphia Fed Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.The Census Bureau reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.The Federal Reserve releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.Friday 12/16Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929751090,"gmtCreate":1670736319410,"gmtModify":1676538426188,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>[What]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>[What]&nbsp;","text":"$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ [What]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929751090","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929720023,"gmtCreate":1670734364263,"gmtModify":1676538425751,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929720023","repostId":"2290213223","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2290213223","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1670723606,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2290213223?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-12-11 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290213223","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economist</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a959345916d49ecfb90abc84cc5b97\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>U.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely hinges on next week’s Federal Reserve rate decision and fresh inflation data.</span></p><p>Investors, like kids on Christmas Eve, have come to expect Santa Claus will get down the chimney, march over to Wall Street and deliver the rewarding gift of a stock-market rally.</p><p>This year, however, investors might be better off betting on a lump of coal, rather than waiting for tangible stock-market gains to emerge in this holiday season, market analysts said.</p><p>“The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year as the equity market navigates higher yields and contracting earnings,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers. “Seasonal tailwinds that have traditionally driven Santa Claus rallies pale in comparison to the plethora of headwinds the equity market currently faces.”</p><p>U.S. stock indexes tumbled this week, with the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both booking their sharpest weekly declines in nearly three months, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The drop occurred as stronger-than-expected economic data added to concerns that the Federal Reserve might need to be more aggressive in its inflation battle than earlier anticipated, even with alarms flashing about a potential economic recession.</p><p>Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street almost every year, bringing a short rally in the last five trading days of December, and the first two days of January. Since 1969, the Santa Rally has boosted the S&amp;P 500 by an average of 1.3%, according to data from Stock Trader’s Almanac.</p><p>“December is the seasonally strongest month of the year, particularly in a midterm election year. So, December has been positive most of the time,” said David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. “It would actually be very unusual for stocks to sell off dramatically in December.”</p><p><b>Will Wall Street get a Santa Claus Rally?</b></p><p>A rotten year for financial assets has begun drawing to a close under a cloud of uncertainty. Given the Federal Reserve’s tough stance on bringing inflation down to its 2% target and already volatile financial markets, many analysts think investors shouldn’t focus too much on whether Santa Claus ends up being naughty or nice.</p><p>“Next week is going to be a huge week for the markets as they attempt to find some footing heading into year end,” said Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth, in emailed comments Friday.</p><p>That makes the Fed’s rate decisions next week and fresh inflation data even more crucial to equity markets. Friday’s wholesale prices rose more than expected in November, dampening hopes that inflation might be cooling off. The core producer-price index, which excludes volatile food, energy and trade prices, also rose 0.3% in November, up from a 0.2% gain in the prior month, the Labor Department said.</p><p>The corresponding November consumer-price index report, due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Tuesday, will further show if inflation is subsiding.The CPI increased 0.4% in October and 7.7% from a year ago. The core reading increased 0.3% for the month and 6.3% on an annual basis.</p><p>“If the CPI print comes in at 5% on core, then you’d get a real selloff in bonds and in equities. If inflation is still running hotter and you have a recession, can the Fed cut rates? Maybe not. Then you start getting into the stagflation scenarios,” said Ron Temple, head of U.S. equities at Lazard Asset Management.</p><p>Traders are pricing in a 77% probability that the Fed will raise its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% next Wednesday, the last day of its Dec. 13-14 meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.That would be a slower pace than its four consecutive 0.75 point rate hikes since June.</p><p>John Porter, chief investment officer and head of equity at Newton Investment Management, expects no surprises next week in terms of how much the Fed will raise interest rates. He does, however, anticipate stock-market investors will closely watch Fed Chair Powell’s press conference for insights into the decision and “hang on every single word.”</p><p>“Investors are contorting themselves almost into a pretzel and trying to over-interpret the language,” Porter told MarketWatch via phone. “Listen to what they say, not listen to what you want them to say. They [Fed officials] are going to continue to be vigilant, and they have to watch inflation.”</p><p><b>Does the ‘Santa’ rally really exist?</b></p><p>For years, market analysts have examined potential reasons for the typical seasonal Santa Claus pattern. But with this year still awash in red, some think a rally in late December could become a self-fulfilling prophecy, simply because investors might search for any reason to be slightly merry.</p><p>“If everyone’s focused on the positive seasonals, it could become more of this narrative that drives things rather than anything more fundamental,” David Lefkowitz, head of equities Americas of UBS Global Wealth Management, told MarketWatch via phone.</p><p>“Markets tend to like the holly-jolly spending season so much, so there’s a name for the rally that tends to happen at the end of the year,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi. “For what it’s worth, I think ‘Santa Claus Rally’ holds as much predictive power as ‘Sell in May and Walk Away,’ which is minimal and coincidental at best.”</p><p><b>Relief rally’s big tests</b></p><p>While the three main U.S. stock indexes booked sharply weekly losses, equities have rallied off the October lows. The S&amp;P 500 has rallied 9.9% from its October low through Friday, while the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.90%gained 16.5% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 6.6%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>However, many top Wall Street analysts also see reasons for alarm, specifically that the stock market’s bounce off the recent lows is likely running out of room.</p><p>So, are investors ignoring warnings? Despite talk of the seeming inevitability of a year-end rally, several recent rally attempts failed, while Wall Street’s CBOE Volatility Index, or “fear gauge,” was at 22.86 at Friday’s close. A drop below 20 on the VIX can signify that investor fears about potential market ructions are easing.</p><p>U.S. stock indexes closed down on Friday with the S&amp;P 500 losing 0.7%. The Dow dropped 0.9%, and the Nasdaq shed 0.7%. Three major indexes booked a week of sizable losses with the S&amp;P 500 posting a weekly decline of 3.4%. The Dow declined by 2.8% and the Nasdaq Composite was down nearly 4% this week, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>Next week, not long after the CPI and the Fed decision, investors will also receive November retail sales data and industrial production index on Thursday, followed by the S&amp;P Global’s flash PMI readings on Friday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-11 09:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290213223","content_text":"‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely hinges on next week’s Federal Reserve rate decision and fresh inflation data.Investors, like kids on Christmas Eve, have come to expect Santa Claus will get down the chimney, march over to Wall Street and deliver the rewarding gift of a stock-market rally.This year, however, investors might be better off betting on a lump of coal, rather than waiting for tangible stock-market gains to emerge in this holiday season, market analysts said.“The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year as the equity market navigates higher yields and contracting earnings,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers. “Seasonal tailwinds that have traditionally driven Santa Claus rallies pale in comparison to the plethora of headwinds the equity market currently faces.”U.S. stock indexes tumbled this week, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both booking their sharpest weekly declines in nearly three months, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The drop occurred as stronger-than-expected economic data added to concerns that the Federal Reserve might need to be more aggressive in its inflation battle than earlier anticipated, even with alarms flashing about a potential economic recession.Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street almost every year, bringing a short rally in the last five trading days of December, and the first two days of January. Since 1969, the Santa Rally has boosted the S&P 500 by an average of 1.3%, according to data from Stock Trader’s Almanac.“December is the seasonally strongest month of the year, particularly in a midterm election year. So, December has been positive most of the time,” said David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. “It would actually be very unusual for stocks to sell off dramatically in December.”Will Wall Street get a Santa Claus Rally?A rotten year for financial assets has begun drawing to a close under a cloud of uncertainty. Given the Federal Reserve’s tough stance on bringing inflation down to its 2% target and already volatile financial markets, many analysts think investors shouldn’t focus too much on whether Santa Claus ends up being naughty or nice.“Next week is going to be a huge week for the markets as they attempt to find some footing heading into year end,” said Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth, in emailed comments Friday.That makes the Fed’s rate decisions next week and fresh inflation data even more crucial to equity markets. Friday’s wholesale prices rose more than expected in November, dampening hopes that inflation might be cooling off. The core producer-price index, which excludes volatile food, energy and trade prices, also rose 0.3% in November, up from a 0.2% gain in the prior month, the Labor Department said.The corresponding November consumer-price index report, due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Tuesday, will further show if inflation is subsiding.The CPI increased 0.4% in October and 7.7% from a year ago. The core reading increased 0.3% for the month and 6.3% on an annual basis.“If the CPI print comes in at 5% on core, then you’d get a real selloff in bonds and in equities. If inflation is still running hotter and you have a recession, can the Fed cut rates? Maybe not. Then you start getting into the stagflation scenarios,” said Ron Temple, head of U.S. equities at Lazard Asset Management.Traders are pricing in a 77% probability that the Fed will raise its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% next Wednesday, the last day of its Dec. 13-14 meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.That would be a slower pace than its four consecutive 0.75 point rate hikes since June.John Porter, chief investment officer and head of equity at Newton Investment Management, expects no surprises next week in terms of how much the Fed will raise interest rates. He does, however, anticipate stock-market investors will closely watch Fed Chair Powell’s press conference for insights into the decision and “hang on every single word.”“Investors are contorting themselves almost into a pretzel and trying to over-interpret the language,” Porter told MarketWatch via phone. “Listen to what they say, not listen to what you want them to say. They [Fed officials] are going to continue to be vigilant, and they have to watch inflation.”Does the ‘Santa’ rally really exist?For years, market analysts have examined potential reasons for the typical seasonal Santa Claus pattern. But with this year still awash in red, some think a rally in late December could become a self-fulfilling prophecy, simply because investors might search for any reason to be slightly merry.“If everyone’s focused on the positive seasonals, it could become more of this narrative that drives things rather than anything more fundamental,” David Lefkowitz, head of equities Americas of UBS Global Wealth Management, told MarketWatch via phone.“Markets tend to like the holly-jolly spending season so much, so there’s a name for the rally that tends to happen at the end of the year,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi. “For what it’s worth, I think ‘Santa Claus Rally’ holds as much predictive power as ‘Sell in May and Walk Away,’ which is minimal and coincidental at best.”Relief rally’s big testsWhile the three main U.S. stock indexes booked sharply weekly losses, equities have rallied off the October lows. The S&P 500 has rallied 9.9% from its October low through Friday, while the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.90%gained 16.5% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 6.6%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.However, many top Wall Street analysts also see reasons for alarm, specifically that the stock market’s bounce off the recent lows is likely running out of room.So, are investors ignoring warnings? Despite talk of the seeming inevitability of a year-end rally, several recent rally attempts failed, while Wall Street’s CBOE Volatility Index, or “fear gauge,” was at 22.86 at Friday’s close. A drop below 20 on the VIX can signify that investor fears about potential market ructions are easing.U.S. stock indexes closed down on Friday with the S&P 500 losing 0.7%. The Dow dropped 0.9%, and the Nasdaq shed 0.7%. Three major indexes booked a week of sizable losses with the S&P 500 posting a weekly decline of 3.4%. The Dow declined by 2.8% and the Nasdaq Composite was down nearly 4% this week, according to Dow Jones Market Data.Next week, not long after the CPI and the Fed decision, investors will also receive November retail sales data and industrial production index on Thursday, followed by the S&P Global’s flash PMI readings on Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9031606515,"gmtCreate":1646532577042,"gmtModify":1676534137240,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Y92.SI\">$THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO LTD(Y92.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Y92.SI\">$THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO LTD(Y92.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","text":"$THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO LTD(Y92.SI)$[smile]","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/cf689593837ced8fee4942ac19ac8e7b","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":25,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9031606515","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":252078242533608,"gmtCreate":1702576401743,"gmtModify":1702576405957,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CLR.SI\">$LION-PHILLIP S-REIT(CLR.SI)$ </a>&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CLR.SI\">$LION-PHILLIP S-REIT(CLR.SI)$ </a>&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$LION-PHILLIP S-REIT(CLR.SI)$ [Cry]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d083427053e7c8a2a29745dc7f06845b","width":"1022","height":"1608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/252078242533608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3582750411391910","authorId":"3582750411391910","name":"Bobowpw","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3582750411391910","idStr":"3582750411391910"},"content":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","html":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9039545171,"gmtCreate":1646092172396,"gmtModify":1676534089620,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/A7RU.SI\">$KEPPEL INFRA TRUST WEF 2015(A7RU.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/A7RU.SI\">$KEPPEL INFRA TRUST WEF 2015(A7RU.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","text":"$KEPPEL INFRA TRUST WEF 2015(A7RU.SI)$[smile]","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/deae931dd2c987828b77857387b68df9","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039545171","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3583377018896117","authorId":"3583377018896117","name":"bernardtayet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43e8c1fc37a4bff2a94af98953cff267","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3583377018896117","idStr":"3583377018896117"},"content":"Pay good dividends. Passive income. A boring stock though. Range bound.","text":"Pay good dividends. Passive income. A boring stock though. Range bound.","html":"Pay good dividends. Passive income. A boring stock though. Range bound."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9039387856,"gmtCreate":1645925994585,"gmtModify":1676534075100,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U96.SI\">$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U96.SI\">$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","text":"$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$[smile]","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/5170acc1f84fe79c760a2de177f95506","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039387856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3559521312989131","authorId":"3559521312989131","name":"Leon_Sze","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1423edccbecef5f164a593336c457363","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3559521312989131","idStr":"3559521312989131"},"content":"Exited last Friday with 29% profit.","text":"Exited last Friday with 29% profit.","html":"Exited last Friday with 29% profit."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932816048,"gmtCreate":1662915512684,"gmtModify":1676537162181,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRN.SI\">$UOB APAC Green REIT ETF(GRN.SI)$</a>[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRN.SI\">$UOB APAC Green REIT ETF(GRN.SI)$</a>[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"$UOB APAC Green REIT ETF(GRN.SI)$[Happy]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3219f3d52797122b62dfe47045f80960","width":"1080","height":"2457"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932816048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9036733865,"gmtCreate":1647215343361,"gmtModify":1676534203050,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Y92.SI\">$THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO LTD(Y92.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Y92.SI\">$THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO LTD(Y92.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","text":"$THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO LTD(Y92.SI)$[smile]","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/cf689593837ced8fee4942ac19ac8e7b","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9036733865","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929660245,"gmtCreate":1670650403488,"gmtModify":1676538412840,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929660245","repostId":"2290253511","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2290253511","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1670626997,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2290253511?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-12-10 07:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Ends Lower As Investors Digest Economic Data","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290253511","media":"Reuters","summary":"*U.S. producer prices increase in November*Consumer sentiment improves in December*Lululemon tumbles after downbeat forecast*Indexes close: S&P 500 -0.73%, Nasdaq -0.70%, Dow -0.90%Dec 9 (Reuters) - W","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* U.S. producer prices increase in November</p><p>* Consumer sentiment improves in December</p><p>* Lululemon tumbles after downbeat forecast</p><p>* Indexes close: S&amp;P 500 -0.73%, Nasdaq -0.70%, Dow -0.90%</p><p>Dec 9 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended lower on Friday as investors assessed economic data and awaited a potential 50-basis point interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve at its policy meeting next week, while apparel company Lululemon slumped following a disappointing profit forecast.</p><p>U.S. producer prices rose slightly more than expected in November amid a jump in the costs of services, but the trend is moderating, with annual inflation at the factory gate posting its smallest increase in 1-1/2 years, data showed.</p><p>&#34;Today&#39;s data shows that inflation is coming down, but it&#39;s lingering and is stickier than most assume,&#34; said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Troy, Michigan.</p><p>However, in December, consumer sentiment improved, while inflation expectations eased to a 15-month low, a University of Michigan survey showed.</p><p>Futures trades suggest a 77% chance the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points next week, with a 23% chance of a 75-basis point hike, with those odds little changed after Friday&#39;s economic data.</p><p>Consumer prices data for November, due Tuesday, will provide fresh clues on the central bank&#39;s monetary tightening plans.</p><p>Lululemon Athletica Inc tumbled almost 13% after the Canadian athletic apparel maker forecast lower-than-expected holiday-quarter revenue and profit.</p><p>Netflix Inc gained 3.1% after Wells Fargo upgraded the video streaming giant to &#34;overweight&#34; from &#34;equal weight&#34;.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.73% to end the session at 3,934.38 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq declined 0.70% to 11,004.62 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.90% to 33,476.46 points.</p><p>Of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, 10 declined, led lower by energy, down 2.33%, followed by a 1.28% loss in health care   .</p><p>The energy index recorded a seventh straight session of losses, its longest losing streak since December 2018, as oil prices looked set for weekly losses on recession concerns.</p><p>Wall Street&#39;s main indexes have fallen this week after logging two straight weekly gains. Weighing heavily on investors are fears of a potential recession next year due to extended the central bank&#39;s rate hikes.</p><p>For the week, the S&amp;P 500 dropped 3.4%, the Dow lost 2.8% and the Nasdaq shed 4%.</p><p>U.S. stocks ended a recent run of losses on Thursday after data showed initial jobless claims rose modestly last week.</p><p>Broadcom Inc jumped 2.6% after the chipmaker forecast current-quarter revenue above Wall Street estimates.</p><p>Boeing Co climbed 0.3% after Reuters report the plane maker plans to announce a deal with United Airlines    for orders of 787 Dreamliner next week.</p><p>Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 3.3-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 5 new highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 54 new highs and 213 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.9 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 10.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Ends Lower As Investors Digest Economic Data</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Ends Lower As Investors Digest Economic Data\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-10 07:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* U.S. producer prices increase in November</p><p>* Consumer sentiment improves in December</p><p>* Lululemon tumbles after downbeat forecast</p><p>* Indexes close: S&amp;P 500 -0.73%, Nasdaq -0.70%, Dow -0.90%</p><p>Dec 9 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended lower on Friday as investors assessed economic data and awaited a potential 50-basis point interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve at its policy meeting next week, while apparel company Lululemon slumped following a disappointing profit forecast.</p><p>U.S. producer prices rose slightly more than expected in November amid a jump in the costs of services, but the trend is moderating, with annual inflation at the factory gate posting its smallest increase in 1-1/2 years, data showed.</p><p>&#34;Today&#39;s data shows that inflation is coming down, but it&#39;s lingering and is stickier than most assume,&#34; said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Troy, Michigan.</p><p>However, in December, consumer sentiment improved, while inflation expectations eased to a 15-month low, a University of Michigan survey showed.</p><p>Futures trades suggest a 77% chance the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points next week, with a 23% chance of a 75-basis point hike, with those odds little changed after Friday&#39;s economic data.</p><p>Consumer prices data for November, due Tuesday, will provide fresh clues on the central bank&#39;s monetary tightening plans.</p><p>Lululemon Athletica Inc tumbled almost 13% after the Canadian athletic apparel maker forecast lower-than-expected holiday-quarter revenue and profit.</p><p>Netflix Inc gained 3.1% after Wells Fargo upgraded the video streaming giant to &#34;overweight&#34; from &#34;equal weight&#34;.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.73% to end the session at 3,934.38 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq declined 0.70% to 11,004.62 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.90% to 33,476.46 points.</p><p>Of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, 10 declined, led lower by energy, down 2.33%, followed by a 1.28% loss in health care   .</p><p>The energy index recorded a seventh straight session of losses, its longest losing streak since December 2018, as oil prices looked set for weekly losses on recession concerns.</p><p>Wall Street&#39;s main indexes have fallen this week after logging two straight weekly gains. Weighing heavily on investors are fears of a potential recession next year due to extended the central bank&#39;s rate hikes.</p><p>For the week, the S&amp;P 500 dropped 3.4%, the Dow lost 2.8% and the Nasdaq shed 4%.</p><p>U.S. stocks ended a recent run of losses on Thursday after data showed initial jobless claims rose modestly last week.</p><p>Broadcom Inc jumped 2.6% after the chipmaker forecast current-quarter revenue above Wall Street estimates.</p><p>Boeing Co climbed 0.3% after Reuters report the plane maker plans to announce a deal with United Airlines    for orders of 787 Dreamliner next week.</p><p>Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 3.3-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 5 new highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 54 new highs and 213 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.9 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 10.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞","LULU":"lululemon athletica",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BA":"波音","AVGO":"博通",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290253511","content_text":"* U.S. producer prices increase in November* Consumer sentiment improves in December* Lululemon tumbles after downbeat forecast* Indexes close: S&P 500 -0.73%, Nasdaq -0.70%, Dow -0.90%Dec 9 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended lower on Friday as investors assessed economic data and awaited a potential 50-basis point interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve at its policy meeting next week, while apparel company Lululemon slumped following a disappointing profit forecast.U.S. producer prices rose slightly more than expected in November amid a jump in the costs of services, but the trend is moderating, with annual inflation at the factory gate posting its smallest increase in 1-1/2 years, data showed.\"Today's data shows that inflation is coming down, but it's lingering and is stickier than most assume,\" said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Troy, Michigan.However, in December, consumer sentiment improved, while inflation expectations eased to a 15-month low, a University of Michigan survey showed.Futures trades suggest a 77% chance the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points next week, with a 23% chance of a 75-basis point hike, with those odds little changed after Friday's economic data.Consumer prices data for November, due Tuesday, will provide fresh clues on the central bank's monetary tightening plans.Lululemon Athletica Inc tumbled almost 13% after the Canadian athletic apparel maker forecast lower-than-expected holiday-quarter revenue and profit.Netflix Inc gained 3.1% after Wells Fargo upgraded the video streaming giant to \"overweight\" from \"equal weight\".The S&P 500 declined 0.73% to end the session at 3,934.38 points.The Nasdaq declined 0.70% to 11,004.62 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.90% to 33,476.46 points.Of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, 10 declined, led lower by energy, down 2.33%, followed by a 1.28% loss in health care   .The energy index recorded a seventh straight session of losses, its longest losing streak since December 2018, as oil prices looked set for weekly losses on recession concerns.Wall Street's main indexes have fallen this week after logging two straight weekly gains. Weighing heavily on investors are fears of a potential recession next year due to extended the central bank's rate hikes.For the week, the S&P 500 dropped 3.4%, the Dow lost 2.8% and the Nasdaq shed 4%.U.S. stocks ended a recent run of losses on Thursday after data showed initial jobless claims rose modestly last week.Broadcom Inc jumped 2.6% after the chipmaker forecast current-quarter revenue above Wall Street estimates.Boeing Co climbed 0.3% after Reuters report the plane maker plans to announce a deal with United Airlines    for orders of 787 Dreamliner next week.Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&P 500 by a 3.3-to-one ratio.The S&P 500 posted 5 new highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 54 new highs and 213 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.9 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 10.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963048775,"gmtCreate":1668558468798,"gmtModify":1676538075156,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963048775","repostId":"1160332041","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160332041","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668576951,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160332041?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-11-16 13:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What If the Fed’s Own Forecasts Are Wrong?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160332041","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The Federal Reserve’s summary of Economic Projections in September doesn’t anticipate a recession in","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve’s summary of Economic Projections in September doesn’t anticipate a recession in the next three years. And Chair Jerome Powell still seems to think that a soft landing for the economy is possible. In my view, however, a US recession is highly likely in the next 12 to 18 months. Why don’t I share the Fed’s optimism?</p><p>The projections by the Fed governors will always paint a rosy picture. They’re instructed to condition their view on an optimal monetary policy, which obviously makes better outcomes achievable. In the real world, as has been demonstrated over the past year, policy is often far from that ideal, so actual results will usually be worse than implied by the projections.</p><p>In the same vein, the Fed model that underpins its staff forecast contains assumptions that contribute to more pleasant forecasts. They include that the Fed will pursue the optimal monetary policy path in the future (regardless of past errors) and that households and businesses know this.</p><p>These assumptions rule out persistent monetary policy errors or the loss of confidence by households and businesses in the Fed’s commitment and ability to achieve its employment and inflation objectives.</p><p>The Fed also operates in a world where there’s an important political economy constraint. Admitting that a recession would be required to get inflation in check might undercut public support for a tighter monetary policy. It also could subject the Fed to criticism that might ultimately undermine its independence or cause Congress to limit its authority in the future. Sugarcoating the cost of what the Fed needs to do may be viewed as a necessary evil so it can carry out its mission successfully. But it also runs the risk of undercutting the Fed’s credibility.</p><p>Why do I believe a recession is unavoidable? To start, the Fed is committed to bringing inflation down to its 2% annual rate target. Powell made it clear in his remarks at the Jackson Hole conference in August that this goal was “unconditional” and reiterated his commitment at his September news conference. Failure is an unattractive option because inflation expectations would rise, necessitating a harsher monetary policy and worse outcomes later.</p><p>To bring inflation to 2%, the Federal Open Market Committee will have to push up the unemployment rate substantially. The labor market is much too tight to be consistent with a stable or declining underlying inflation rate.</p><p>Judging from the relationship between unfilled job openings and the number of people who are unemployed, known as the Beveridge curve, the unemployment rate consistent with stable inflation has risen considerably and could be as high as 5%, well above the current rate of 3.7%. Even if the Beveridge curve were to shift back down because labor market frictions abated, the unemployment rate would still need to rise to at least 4.5%.</p><p>During the postwar period, every time the unemployment rate has risen by 0.5 percentage point or more, the US economy has fallen into recession. This empirical regularity is memorialized as the Sahm rule. The difficulty of engineering a soft landing is underscored by the fact that there are no examples of an unemployment rate rising between 0.5 and 2 percentage points from trough to peak at all. Once the unemployment rate has moved up modestly, it’s hard to stop. Thus, the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections in September in which unemployment rises to 4.4% from its recent trough of 3.5% would be unprecedented.</p><p>The episodes Powell has cited of successful soft landings—in 1965-66, 1984-85, and 1993-95—don’t apply to the current set of circumstances. In those cases, the Fed tightened and that slowed the pace of economic growth and the decline in the unemployment rate, but in none of those episodes did the Fed tighten sufficiently to push the unemployment rate up. In Fed parlance, these soft landings were achieved from above, by slowing the economy to a sustainable growth rate, rather than from below, by slowing the economy sufficiently to push the unemployment rate up.</p><p>Fed risk management will also increase the likelihood of recession. Powell has made it clear that the consequences of failing to bring inflation back down to 2% on a sustainable basis are unacceptable. The lesson of the 1970s is that failure would lead to unanchored inflation expectations, making the job of restoring price stability that much more difficult.</p><p>In addition, the Fed’s task will be made difficult by uncertainty about whether it has done enough. How high do short-term interest rates need to go to push the unemployment rate above the rate consistent with stable inflation? How long does such an unemployment rate need to be elevated to bring inflation back down to 2%? Because, at the margin, the negative consequences of doing too little exceed the negative consequences of doing too much, this means that monetary policy will likely ultimately be kept too tight for too long. The long and variable lags between changes in the stance of monetary policy and its effect on economic activity reinforce this.</p><p>Some argue—including Fed officials—that a soft landing is still possible:</p><p>• As supply chain disruptions dissipate and the allocation of demand between goods and services normalizes, headline inflation will fall sharply.</p><p>• Labor supply will increase as labor force participation rises.</p><p>• Fed tightening can reduce the excess demand for labor without generating a large rise in unemployment.</p><p>Although one can’t dismiss these points out of hand, I’m afraid they’re likely to prove insufficient to avoid a hard landing.</p><p>First, even if declining goods prices cause headline inflation to fall sharply in the year ahead, that doesn’t deal with the fact that the inflation problem has broadened out, into services prices and wages.</p><p>The breadth of inflationary pressures is visible in the median consumer price index calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and the trimmed mean personal consumption expenditures deflator—an alternative inflation measure calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas—with increases of 7% and 4.7%, respectively, over the past year. Those numbers capture what’s happening for those goods and services in the middle of the inflation distribution.</p><p>Similarly, the trend of wage inflation is well above a rate consistent with 2% inflation. For example, the employment cost index for the wages and salaries of private industry workers has gone up 5.2% over the past year, and the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s wage tracker index is rising at a 6.4% annual rate. Given the trend of labor productivity, wage inflation needs to be in a 3%-to-4% range to be consistent with the Fed’s 2% inflation objective.</p><p>Second, on the labor supply front, the Fed is unlikely to be bailed out by a large increase in labor force participation. As labor economist Stephanie Aaronson noted in her remarks at this year’s Fed Jackson Hole conference: “The unemployment rate is the best gauge of the state of the business cycle.” Although a tight labor market can be expected to provoke a rise in labor force participation, she said, the process is a slow-moving one, playing out over several years, too slow a process to rescue the Fed.</p><p>Third, the notion that the Fed’s monetary policy stringency can be oriented toward reducing the excess demand for labor without driving up unemployment materially is wishful thinking. Monetary policy can’t be targeted in such a way to reduce the demand for labor in industries where demand is excessive relative to industries where labor supply and demand is in better balance. It’s a blunt tool that affects the economy broadly through its impact on financial conditions.</p><p>Although a soft landing would obviously be preferable, that ship has sailed. Today, a recession is virtually inevitable.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What If the Fed’s Own Forecasts Are Wrong?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat If the Fed’s Own Forecasts Are Wrong?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-16 13:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-15/what-if-the-fed-s-own-forecasts-are-wrong?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s summary of Economic Projections in September doesn’t anticipate a recession in the next three years. And Chair Jerome Powell still seems to think that a soft landing for the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-15/what-if-the-fed-s-own-forecasts-are-wrong?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-15/what-if-the-fed-s-own-forecasts-are-wrong?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160332041","content_text":"The Federal Reserve’s summary of Economic Projections in September doesn’t anticipate a recession in the next three years. And Chair Jerome Powell still seems to think that a soft landing for the economy is possible. In my view, however, a US recession is highly likely in the next 12 to 18 months. Why don’t I share the Fed’s optimism?The projections by the Fed governors will always paint a rosy picture. They’re instructed to condition their view on an optimal monetary policy, which obviously makes better outcomes achievable. In the real world, as has been demonstrated over the past year, policy is often far from that ideal, so actual results will usually be worse than implied by the projections.In the same vein, the Fed model that underpins its staff forecast contains assumptions that contribute to more pleasant forecasts. They include that the Fed will pursue the optimal monetary policy path in the future (regardless of past errors) and that households and businesses know this.These assumptions rule out persistent monetary policy errors or the loss of confidence by households and businesses in the Fed’s commitment and ability to achieve its employment and inflation objectives.The Fed also operates in a world where there’s an important political economy constraint. Admitting that a recession would be required to get inflation in check might undercut public support for a tighter monetary policy. It also could subject the Fed to criticism that might ultimately undermine its independence or cause Congress to limit its authority in the future. Sugarcoating the cost of what the Fed needs to do may be viewed as a necessary evil so it can carry out its mission successfully. But it also runs the risk of undercutting the Fed’s credibility.Why do I believe a recession is unavoidable? To start, the Fed is committed to bringing inflation down to its 2% annual rate target. Powell made it clear in his remarks at the Jackson Hole conference in August that this goal was “unconditional” and reiterated his commitment at his September news conference. Failure is an unattractive option because inflation expectations would rise, necessitating a harsher monetary policy and worse outcomes later.To bring inflation to 2%, the Federal Open Market Committee will have to push up the unemployment rate substantially. The labor market is much too tight to be consistent with a stable or declining underlying inflation rate.Judging from the relationship between unfilled job openings and the number of people who are unemployed, known as the Beveridge curve, the unemployment rate consistent with stable inflation has risen considerably and could be as high as 5%, well above the current rate of 3.7%. Even if the Beveridge curve were to shift back down because labor market frictions abated, the unemployment rate would still need to rise to at least 4.5%.During the postwar period, every time the unemployment rate has risen by 0.5 percentage point or more, the US economy has fallen into recession. This empirical regularity is memorialized as the Sahm rule. The difficulty of engineering a soft landing is underscored by the fact that there are no examples of an unemployment rate rising between 0.5 and 2 percentage points from trough to peak at all. Once the unemployment rate has moved up modestly, it’s hard to stop. Thus, the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections in September in which unemployment rises to 4.4% from its recent trough of 3.5% would be unprecedented.The episodes Powell has cited of successful soft landings—in 1965-66, 1984-85, and 1993-95—don’t apply to the current set of circumstances. In those cases, the Fed tightened and that slowed the pace of economic growth and the decline in the unemployment rate, but in none of those episodes did the Fed tighten sufficiently to push the unemployment rate up. In Fed parlance, these soft landings were achieved from above, by slowing the economy to a sustainable growth rate, rather than from below, by slowing the economy sufficiently to push the unemployment rate up.Fed risk management will also increase the likelihood of recession. Powell has made it clear that the consequences of failing to bring inflation back down to 2% on a sustainable basis are unacceptable. The lesson of the 1970s is that failure would lead to unanchored inflation expectations, making the job of restoring price stability that much more difficult.In addition, the Fed’s task will be made difficult by uncertainty about whether it has done enough. How high do short-term interest rates need to go to push the unemployment rate above the rate consistent with stable inflation? How long does such an unemployment rate need to be elevated to bring inflation back down to 2%? Because, at the margin, the negative consequences of doing too little exceed the negative consequences of doing too much, this means that monetary policy will likely ultimately be kept too tight for too long. The long and variable lags between changes in the stance of monetary policy and its effect on economic activity reinforce this.Some argue—including Fed officials—that a soft landing is still possible:• As supply chain disruptions dissipate and the allocation of demand between goods and services normalizes, headline inflation will fall sharply.• Labor supply will increase as labor force participation rises.• Fed tightening can reduce the excess demand for labor without generating a large rise in unemployment.Although one can’t dismiss these points out of hand, I’m afraid they’re likely to prove insufficient to avoid a hard landing.First, even if declining goods prices cause headline inflation to fall sharply in the year ahead, that doesn’t deal with the fact that the inflation problem has broadened out, into services prices and wages.The breadth of inflationary pressures is visible in the median consumer price index calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and the trimmed mean personal consumption expenditures deflator—an alternative inflation measure calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas—with increases of 7% and 4.7%, respectively, over the past year. Those numbers capture what’s happening for those goods and services in the middle of the inflation distribution.Similarly, the trend of wage inflation is well above a rate consistent with 2% inflation. For example, the employment cost index for the wages and salaries of private industry workers has gone up 5.2% over the past year, and the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s wage tracker index is rising at a 6.4% annual rate. Given the trend of labor productivity, wage inflation needs to be in a 3%-to-4% range to be consistent with the Fed’s 2% inflation objective.Second, on the labor supply front, the Fed is unlikely to be bailed out by a large increase in labor force participation. As labor economist Stephanie Aaronson noted in her remarks at this year’s Fed Jackson Hole conference: “The unemployment rate is the best gauge of the state of the business cycle.” Although a tight labor market can be expected to provoke a rise in labor force participation, she said, the process is a slow-moving one, playing out over several years, too slow a process to rescue the Fed.Third, the notion that the Fed’s monetary policy stringency can be oriented toward reducing the excess demand for labor without driving up unemployment materially is wishful thinking. Monetary policy can’t be targeted in such a way to reduce the demand for labor in industries where demand is excessive relative to industries where labor supply and demand is in better balance. It’s a blunt tool that affects the economy broadly through its impact on financial conditions.Although a soft landing would obviously be preferable, that ship has sailed. Today, a recession is virtually inevitable.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010108925,"gmtCreate":1648269830123,"gmtModify":1676534324469,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Q5T.SI\">$FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST(Q5T.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Q5T.SI\">$FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST(Q5T.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","text":"$FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST(Q5T.SI)$[smile]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7113a9703fc253ce9a4fea32987570ea","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010108925","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274734601276","authorId":"3479274734601276","name":"Meet0","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3776235f8fbc22077e8df03b2522caf3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274734601276","idStr":"3479274734601276"},"content":"One to keep for the long haul. Tourism figure will continue to climb. If management executes well, expect better performance overall.","text":"One to keep for the long haul. Tourism figure will continue to climb. If management executes well, expect better performance overall.","html":"One to keep for the long haul. Tourism figure will continue to climb. If management executes well, expect better performance overall."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032268271,"gmtCreate":1647388323706,"gmtModify":1676534222805,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRN.SI\">$UOB AP GRN REIT S$(GRN.SI)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRN.SI\">$UOB AP GRN REIT S$(GRN.SI)$</a>","text":"$UOB AP GRN REIT S$(GRN.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7fbf024af42452f281099b24e95825a1","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032268271","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3586301355400538","authorId":"3586301355400538","name":"Edwardtoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b46042c9b9b5dcea7d55f33bccb139cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3586301355400538","idStr":"3586301355400538"},"content":"Don ’t worry share market will be good…","text":"Don ’t worry share market will be good…","html":"Don ’t worry share market will be good…"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929720023,"gmtCreate":1670734364263,"gmtModify":1676538425751,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929720023","repostId":"2290213223","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2290213223","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1670723606,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2290213223?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-12-11 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290213223","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economist</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a959345916d49ecfb90abc84cc5b97\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>U.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely hinges on next week’s Federal Reserve rate decision and fresh inflation data.</span></p><p>Investors, like kids on Christmas Eve, have come to expect Santa Claus will get down the chimney, march over to Wall Street and deliver the rewarding gift of a stock-market rally.</p><p>This year, however, investors might be better off betting on a lump of coal, rather than waiting for tangible stock-market gains to emerge in this holiday season, market analysts said.</p><p>“The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year as the equity market navigates higher yields and contracting earnings,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers. “Seasonal tailwinds that have traditionally driven Santa Claus rallies pale in comparison to the plethora of headwinds the equity market currently faces.”</p><p>U.S. stock indexes tumbled this week, with the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both booking their sharpest weekly declines in nearly three months, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The drop occurred as stronger-than-expected economic data added to concerns that the Federal Reserve might need to be more aggressive in its inflation battle than earlier anticipated, even with alarms flashing about a potential economic recession.</p><p>Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street almost every year, bringing a short rally in the last five trading days of December, and the first two days of January. Since 1969, the Santa Rally has boosted the S&amp;P 500 by an average of 1.3%, according to data from Stock Trader’s Almanac.</p><p>“December is the seasonally strongest month of the year, particularly in a midterm election year. So, December has been positive most of the time,” said David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. “It would actually be very unusual for stocks to sell off dramatically in December.”</p><p><b>Will Wall Street get a Santa Claus Rally?</b></p><p>A rotten year for financial assets has begun drawing to a close under a cloud of uncertainty. Given the Federal Reserve’s tough stance on bringing inflation down to its 2% target and already volatile financial markets, many analysts think investors shouldn’t focus too much on whether Santa Claus ends up being naughty or nice.</p><p>“Next week is going to be a huge week for the markets as they attempt to find some footing heading into year end,” said Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth, in emailed comments Friday.</p><p>That makes the Fed’s rate decisions next week and fresh inflation data even more crucial to equity markets. Friday’s wholesale prices rose more than expected in November, dampening hopes that inflation might be cooling off. The core producer-price index, which excludes volatile food, energy and trade prices, also rose 0.3% in November, up from a 0.2% gain in the prior month, the Labor Department said.</p><p>The corresponding November consumer-price index report, due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Tuesday, will further show if inflation is subsiding.The CPI increased 0.4% in October and 7.7% from a year ago. The core reading increased 0.3% for the month and 6.3% on an annual basis.</p><p>“If the CPI print comes in at 5% on core, then you’d get a real selloff in bonds and in equities. If inflation is still running hotter and you have a recession, can the Fed cut rates? Maybe not. Then you start getting into the stagflation scenarios,” said Ron Temple, head of U.S. equities at Lazard Asset Management.</p><p>Traders are pricing in a 77% probability that the Fed will raise its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% next Wednesday, the last day of its Dec. 13-14 meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.That would be a slower pace than its four consecutive 0.75 point rate hikes since June.</p><p>John Porter, chief investment officer and head of equity at Newton Investment Management, expects no surprises next week in terms of how much the Fed will raise interest rates. He does, however, anticipate stock-market investors will closely watch Fed Chair Powell’s press conference for insights into the decision and “hang on every single word.”</p><p>“Investors are contorting themselves almost into a pretzel and trying to over-interpret the language,” Porter told MarketWatch via phone. “Listen to what they say, not listen to what you want them to say. They [Fed officials] are going to continue to be vigilant, and they have to watch inflation.”</p><p><b>Does the ‘Santa’ rally really exist?</b></p><p>For years, market analysts have examined potential reasons for the typical seasonal Santa Claus pattern. But with this year still awash in red, some think a rally in late December could become a self-fulfilling prophecy, simply because investors might search for any reason to be slightly merry.</p><p>“If everyone’s focused on the positive seasonals, it could become more of this narrative that drives things rather than anything more fundamental,” David Lefkowitz, head of equities Americas of UBS Global Wealth Management, told MarketWatch via phone.</p><p>“Markets tend to like the holly-jolly spending season so much, so there’s a name for the rally that tends to happen at the end of the year,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi. “For what it’s worth, I think ‘Santa Claus Rally’ holds as much predictive power as ‘Sell in May and Walk Away,’ which is minimal and coincidental at best.”</p><p><b>Relief rally’s big tests</b></p><p>While the three main U.S. stock indexes booked sharply weekly losses, equities have rallied off the October lows. The S&amp;P 500 has rallied 9.9% from its October low through Friday, while the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.90%gained 16.5% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 6.6%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>However, many top Wall Street analysts also see reasons for alarm, specifically that the stock market’s bounce off the recent lows is likely running out of room.</p><p>So, are investors ignoring warnings? Despite talk of the seeming inevitability of a year-end rally, several recent rally attempts failed, while Wall Street’s CBOE Volatility Index, or “fear gauge,” was at 22.86 at Friday’s close. A drop below 20 on the VIX can signify that investor fears about potential market ructions are easing.</p><p>U.S. stock indexes closed down on Friday with the S&amp;P 500 losing 0.7%. The Dow dropped 0.9%, and the Nasdaq shed 0.7%. Three major indexes booked a week of sizable losses with the S&amp;P 500 posting a weekly decline of 3.4%. The Dow declined by 2.8% and the Nasdaq Composite was down nearly 4% this week, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>Next week, not long after the CPI and the Fed decision, investors will also receive November retail sales data and industrial production index on Thursday, followed by the S&amp;P Global’s flash PMI readings on Friday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-11 09:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290213223","content_text":"‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely hinges on next week’s Federal Reserve rate decision and fresh inflation data.Investors, like kids on Christmas Eve, have come to expect Santa Claus will get down the chimney, march over to Wall Street and deliver the rewarding gift of a stock-market rally.This year, however, investors might be better off betting on a lump of coal, rather than waiting for tangible stock-market gains to emerge in this holiday season, market analysts said.“The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year as the equity market navigates higher yields and contracting earnings,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers. “Seasonal tailwinds that have traditionally driven Santa Claus rallies pale in comparison to the plethora of headwinds the equity market currently faces.”U.S. stock indexes tumbled this week, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both booking their sharpest weekly declines in nearly three months, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The drop occurred as stronger-than-expected economic data added to concerns that the Federal Reserve might need to be more aggressive in its inflation battle than earlier anticipated, even with alarms flashing about a potential economic recession.Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street almost every year, bringing a short rally in the last five trading days of December, and the first two days of January. Since 1969, the Santa Rally has boosted the S&P 500 by an average of 1.3%, according to data from Stock Trader’s Almanac.“December is the seasonally strongest month of the year, particularly in a midterm election year. So, December has been positive most of the time,” said David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. “It would actually be very unusual for stocks to sell off dramatically in December.”Will Wall Street get a Santa Claus Rally?A rotten year for financial assets has begun drawing to a close under a cloud of uncertainty. Given the Federal Reserve’s tough stance on bringing inflation down to its 2% target and already volatile financial markets, many analysts think investors shouldn’t focus too much on whether Santa Claus ends up being naughty or nice.“Next week is going to be a huge week for the markets as they attempt to find some footing heading into year end,” said Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth, in emailed comments Friday.That makes the Fed’s rate decisions next week and fresh inflation data even more crucial to equity markets. Friday’s wholesale prices rose more than expected in November, dampening hopes that inflation might be cooling off. The core producer-price index, which excludes volatile food, energy and trade prices, also rose 0.3% in November, up from a 0.2% gain in the prior month, the Labor Department said.The corresponding November consumer-price index report, due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Tuesday, will further show if inflation is subsiding.The CPI increased 0.4% in October and 7.7% from a year ago. The core reading increased 0.3% for the month and 6.3% on an annual basis.“If the CPI print comes in at 5% on core, then you’d get a real selloff in bonds and in equities. If inflation is still running hotter and you have a recession, can the Fed cut rates? Maybe not. Then you start getting into the stagflation scenarios,” said Ron Temple, head of U.S. equities at Lazard Asset Management.Traders are pricing in a 77% probability that the Fed will raise its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% next Wednesday, the last day of its Dec. 13-14 meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.That would be a slower pace than its four consecutive 0.75 point rate hikes since June.John Porter, chief investment officer and head of equity at Newton Investment Management, expects no surprises next week in terms of how much the Fed will raise interest rates. He does, however, anticipate stock-market investors will closely watch Fed Chair Powell’s press conference for insights into the decision and “hang on every single word.”“Investors are contorting themselves almost into a pretzel and trying to over-interpret the language,” Porter told MarketWatch via phone. “Listen to what they say, not listen to what you want them to say. They [Fed officials] are going to continue to be vigilant, and they have to watch inflation.”Does the ‘Santa’ rally really exist?For years, market analysts have examined potential reasons for the typical seasonal Santa Claus pattern. But with this year still awash in red, some think a rally in late December could become a self-fulfilling prophecy, simply because investors might search for any reason to be slightly merry.“If everyone’s focused on the positive seasonals, it could become more of this narrative that drives things rather than anything more fundamental,” David Lefkowitz, head of equities Americas of UBS Global Wealth Management, told MarketWatch via phone.“Markets tend to like the holly-jolly spending season so much, so there’s a name for the rally that tends to happen at the end of the year,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi. “For what it’s worth, I think ‘Santa Claus Rally’ holds as much predictive power as ‘Sell in May and Walk Away,’ which is minimal and coincidental at best.”Relief rally’s big testsWhile the three main U.S. stock indexes booked sharply weekly losses, equities have rallied off the October lows. The S&P 500 has rallied 9.9% from its October low through Friday, while the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.90%gained 16.5% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 6.6%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.However, many top Wall Street analysts also see reasons for alarm, specifically that the stock market’s bounce off the recent lows is likely running out of room.So, are investors ignoring warnings? Despite talk of the seeming inevitability of a year-end rally, several recent rally attempts failed, while Wall Street’s CBOE Volatility Index, or “fear gauge,” was at 22.86 at Friday’s close. A drop below 20 on the VIX can signify that investor fears about potential market ructions are easing.U.S. stock indexes closed down on Friday with the S&P 500 losing 0.7%. The Dow dropped 0.9%, and the Nasdaq shed 0.7%. Three major indexes booked a week of sizable losses with the S&P 500 posting a weekly decline of 3.4%. The Dow declined by 2.8% and the Nasdaq Composite was down nearly 4% this week, according to Dow Jones Market Data.Next week, not long after the CPI and the Fed decision, investors will also receive November retail sales data and industrial production index on Thursday, followed by the S&P Global’s flash PMI readings on Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":415444332622192,"gmtCreate":1742438665569,"gmtModify":1742438670803,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U96.SI\">$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$ </a> am I holding for too long[LOL]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U96.SI\">$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$ </a> am I holding for too long[LOL]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$ am I holding for too long[LOL]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9923448037202468df01798f73f71a77","width":"996","height":"1894"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/415444332622192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969270145,"gmtCreate":1668469548087,"gmtModify":1676538060238,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969270145","repostId":"2283238028","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2283238028","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1668461614,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2283238028?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-11-15 05:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Lower As Investors Gauge Fed's Policy Path","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2283238028","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes ended lower on Monday, with real estate and discretionary sec","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes ended lower on Monday, with real estate and discretionary sectors leading broad declines, as investors digested comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials about plans for interest rate hikes and looked for next catalysts after last week&#39;s big stock market rally.</p><p>Losses accelerated toward the end of the up-and-down session, with focus turning to Tuesday&#39;s producer price index report and markets highly sensitive to inflation data.</p><p>Earlier on Monday, Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard signaled that the central bank would will likely soon slow its interest rates hikes. Her comments somewhat buoyed sentiment for equities that had been dampened after Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher Waller on Sunday said the Fed may consider slowing the pace of increases at its next meeting but that should not be seen as a &#34;softening&#34; in its commitment to lower inflation.</p><p>A massive equity rally late last week was set off by a softer-than-expected inflation report that boosted investor hopes the Fed could dial back on its monetary tightening that has punished markets this year.</p><p>“There is still a sensitivity to Fed speak... One was a little hawkish, one was a little dovish,” said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer at North Star Investment Management Corp.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 211.16 points, or 0.63%, to 33,536.7, the S&amp;P 500 lost 35.68 points, or 0.89%, to 3,957.25 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 127.11 points, or 1.12%, to 11,196.22.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 last week posted its biggest weekly percentage gain since late June, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq    notched its best week since March.</p><p>More Fed officials are due to speak later this week along with a slew of data, including on retail sales and housing, and earnings reports from major retailers.</p><p>&#34;It just makes sense the market wants to pause and really both try to make sense of the trajectory (of Fed policy) and what the next drivers are going to be,” said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.</p><p>Among S&amp;P 500 sectors, real estate    fell 2.7%, consumer discretionary    dropped 1.7% and financials declined 1.5%.</p><p>In company news, Amazon shares fell 2.3% as The New York Times on Monday reported the company was planning to lay off about 10,000 people in corporate and technology jobs starting as soon as this week.</p><p>Shares of Biogen Inc and Eli Lilly gained 3.3% and 1.3%, respectively, after the failure of Swiss rival Roche&#39;s Alzheimer&#39;s disease drug candidate.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.23-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.61-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 72 new highs and 74 new lows.</p><p>About 11.5 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 12.1 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Lower As Investors Gauge Fed's Policy Path</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Lower As Investors Gauge Fed's Policy Path\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-15 05:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes ended lower on Monday, with real estate and discretionary sectors leading broad declines, as investors digested comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials about plans for interest rate hikes and looked for next catalysts after last week&#39;s big stock market rally.</p><p>Losses accelerated toward the end of the up-and-down session, with focus turning to Tuesday&#39;s producer price index report and markets highly sensitive to inflation data.</p><p>Earlier on Monday, Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard signaled that the central bank would will likely soon slow its interest rates hikes. Her comments somewhat buoyed sentiment for equities that had been dampened after Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher Waller on Sunday said the Fed may consider slowing the pace of increases at its next meeting but that should not be seen as a &#34;softening&#34; in its commitment to lower inflation.</p><p>A massive equity rally late last week was set off by a softer-than-expected inflation report that boosted investor hopes the Fed could dial back on its monetary tightening that has punished markets this year.</p><p>“There is still a sensitivity to Fed speak... One was a little hawkish, one was a little dovish,” said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer at North Star Investment Management Corp.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 211.16 points, or 0.63%, to 33,536.7, the S&amp;P 500 lost 35.68 points, or 0.89%, to 3,957.25 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 127.11 points, or 1.12%, to 11,196.22.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 last week posted its biggest weekly percentage gain since late June, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq    notched its best week since March.</p><p>More Fed officials are due to speak later this week along with a slew of data, including on retail sales and housing, and earnings reports from major retailers.</p><p>&#34;It just makes sense the market wants to pause and really both try to make sense of the trajectory (of Fed policy) and what the next drivers are going to be,” said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.</p><p>Among S&amp;P 500 sectors, real estate    fell 2.7%, consumer discretionary    dropped 1.7% and financials declined 1.5%.</p><p>In company news, Amazon shares fell 2.3% as The New York Times on Monday reported the company was planning to lay off about 10,000 people in corporate and technology jobs starting as soon as this week.</p><p>Shares of Biogen Inc and Eli Lilly gained 3.3% and 1.3%, respectively, after the failure of Swiss rival Roche&#39;s Alzheimer&#39;s disease drug candidate.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.23-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.61-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 72 new highs and 74 new lows.</p><p>About 11.5 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 12.1 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2283238028","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes ended lower on Monday, with real estate and discretionary sectors leading broad declines, as investors digested comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials about plans for interest rate hikes and looked for next catalysts after last week's big stock market rally.Losses accelerated toward the end of the up-and-down session, with focus turning to Tuesday's producer price index report and markets highly sensitive to inflation data.Earlier on Monday, Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard signaled that the central bank would will likely soon slow its interest rates hikes. Her comments somewhat buoyed sentiment for equities that had been dampened after Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher Waller on Sunday said the Fed may consider slowing the pace of increases at its next meeting but that should not be seen as a \"softening\" in its commitment to lower inflation.A massive equity rally late last week was set off by a softer-than-expected inflation report that boosted investor hopes the Fed could dial back on its monetary tightening that has punished markets this year.“There is still a sensitivity to Fed speak... One was a little hawkish, one was a little dovish,” said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer at North Star Investment Management Corp.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 211.16 points, or 0.63%, to 33,536.7, the S&P 500 lost 35.68 points, or 0.89%, to 3,957.25 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 127.11 points, or 1.12%, to 11,196.22.The S&P 500 last week posted its biggest weekly percentage gain since late June, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq    notched its best week since March.More Fed officials are due to speak later this week along with a slew of data, including on retail sales and housing, and earnings reports from major retailers.\"It just makes sense the market wants to pause and really both try to make sense of the trajectory (of Fed policy) and what the next drivers are going to be,” said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.Among S&P 500 sectors, real estate    fell 2.7%, consumer discretionary    dropped 1.7% and financials declined 1.5%.In company news, Amazon shares fell 2.3% as The New York Times on Monday reported the company was planning to lay off about 10,000 people in corporate and technology jobs starting as soon as this week.Shares of Biogen Inc and Eli Lilly gained 3.3% and 1.3%, respectively, after the failure of Swiss rival Roche's Alzheimer's disease drug candidate.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.23-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.61-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 72 new highs and 74 new lows.About 11.5 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 12.1 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021307294,"gmtCreate":1653004065118,"gmtModify":1676535204637,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRN.SI\">$UOB AP GRN REIT S$(GRN.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRN.SI\">$UOB AP GRN REIT S$(GRN.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","text":"$UOB AP GRN REIT S$(GRN.SI)$[smile]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f0dc2f88f726007a23b8fd2bdde9190a","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021307294","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895367786,"gmtCreate":1628725262145,"gmtModify":1676529830696,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/895367786","repostId":"2158235575","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":807271291,"gmtCreate":1628041264013,"gmtModify":1703500078776,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please, thanks","listText":"Like please, thanks","text":"Like please, thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/807271291","repostId":"2156312793","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3573803041677956","authorId":"3573803041677956","name":"qiqi2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836c56071da9ab9941909ee1186113fe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3573803041677956","idStr":"3573803041677956"},"content":"Like n comment tks","text":"Like n comment tks","html":"Like n comment tks"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188770543,"gmtCreate":1623463684082,"gmtModify":1704204305150,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good morning,&nbsp;Please like and comment","listText":"Good morning,&nbsp;Please like and comment","text":"Good morning, Please like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188770543","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3582676161346158","authorId":"3582676161346158","name":"flyingsimon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ff5f4cfd6f62deb6f4d3345b5207b3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3582676161346158","idStr":"3582676161346158"},"content":"Goooood morning!","text":"Goooood morning!","html":"Goooood morning!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962026814,"gmtCreate":1669681730838,"gmtModify":1676538221953,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cost saving, should&nbsp;continue..&nbsp;","listText":"Cost saving, should&nbsp;continue..&nbsp;","text":"Cost saving, should continue..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962026814","repostId":"2287251460","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":351,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988916633,"gmtCreate":1666654253923,"gmtModify":1676537783025,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988916633","repostId":"2277240299","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2277240299","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1666685056,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2277240299?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-10-25 16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Which Stocks Are Most Likely to Thrive in a Recession? Here's What History Shows","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2277240299","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Recession-proof stocks must offer something that makes investors want to buy them even when the economy is tanking.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>We won&#39;t officially be in a recession until the National Bureau of Economic Research says so. However, you can nearly throw a rock in any direction and find an economist who thinks a recession is probably on the way.</p><p>For example, Johns Hopkins economics professor Steve Hanke stated a month ago that he believes there&#39;s at least an 80% chance of a recession. Non-profit research group The Conference Board recently pegged the probability at 96%. The latest Bloomberg economic model projects a 100% chance of a recession by October 2023.</p><p>These forecasts don&#39;t guarantee that a recession is coming. But it&#39;s possible that the current bear market will continue for a while longer. That doesn&#39;t mean that every stock will be a big loser, though. Which stocks are most likely to thrive in a recession? Here&#39;s what history shows.</p><h2>Some bad news</h2><p>The SPDR Select Sector exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are good proxies for gauging how different sectors perform during recessions. One primary downside of using them is that most of these ETFs have only been around since the late 1990s. However, the U.S. has experienced three recessions during that period, so the SPDR Select Sector ETFs should be able to help in determining which stocks historically thrive in a recession.</p><p>I&#39;ve got some bad news, though. None of the SPDR Select Sector ETFs performed well in all three recessions that occurred over the past 25 years.</p><p>The <b>Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund</b> held up well during the recession of 2001. However, it still slid a little. The <b>Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF</b> performed similarly during the first recession of this century. (The shaded area in the charts below indicates the period when the U.S. economy was in recession.)</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853673b3d7036f65675cb75460619a54\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>XLP data by YCharts</span></p><p>However, both of these ETFs plunged during the Great Recession that began in late 2007 and went through mid-2009. So did every other sector ETF -- including (perhaps surprisingly) the <b>Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund</b>.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02a98d572e35a8953471c6c7828d2061\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>XLP data by YCharts</span></p><p>All of the sector ETFs also tanked during the brief coronavirus-fueled recession of 2020. However, the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund didn&#39;t fall nearly as much as the others did.</p><h2>Looking for exceptions</h2><p>The cold, hard truth is that no category of stocks thrives in all recessions. But it&#39;s clear from examining the past that consumer staples stocks tend to perform better than most. Your best bet, though, is to look for exceptions. I&#39;m referring to stocks that have factors working to their advantage so much that investors want to buy them even when the overall economy stinks.</p><p><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b> stood out as this kind of stock during the recession of 2001. The healthcare giant continued to deliver revenue and earnings growth throughout the period. It completed the $10.5 billion acquisition of ALZA Corporation. The blue-chip stock was also viewed as a safe haven for investors worried about the dot-com bubble bursting.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f6c443d5d4b1ad723b683769a5fdc5f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>JNJ data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>Walmart</b> performed exceptionally well during the Great Recession, especially considering how most stocks plunged. Investors realized that the serious economic downturn would mean that consumers would have to tighten their purse strings. That worked to the advantage of the big discount retailer.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55b80d8bd9dda516f36e873284c8ef2e\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>WMT data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>Moderna</b>&#39;s share price skyrocketed during the quick recession of 2020. That&#39;s not surprising. The company was one of the early leaders in developing coronavirus vaccines. Moderna was a natural choice for investors to flock to during the uncertain times at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0182e88d0371524d986b304119608277\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>MRNA data by YCharts</span></p><h2>Likely outliers in the next recession</h2><p>Which stocks might be outliers in the next recession, assuming it isn&#39;t too far off? I think we can learn from history.</p><p>Walmart could again defy gravity if the U.S. economy enters into a recession. My view is that another discount retailer, <b>Dollar General</b>, should do so as well.</p><p>Dollar General is outperforming Walmart so far this year. The company continues to build new stores. It&#39;s also expanding its frozen and refrigerated goods offerings. Dollar General should benefit as consumers increasingly try to stretch their dollars.</p><p>Just as Johnson &amp; Johnson and Moderna performed well during two previous recessions, I suspect another drug stock will do so during the next recession -- <b>Vertex Pharmaceuticals</b>. Vertex&#39;s revenue and earnings will almost certainly grow robustly even amid an economic downturn.</p><p>The big biotech also has a pipeline with multiple potential blockbusters likely on the way. Vertex expects to file for regulatory approvals for one of them (gene-editing therapy exa-cel) before year-end. With fears of a recession increasing, I think that Vertex is arguably the best stock to buy right now.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Which Stocks Are Most Likely to Thrive in a Recession? Here's What History Shows</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhich Stocks Are Most Likely to Thrive in a Recession? Here's What History Shows\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-25 16:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/23/stocks-most-likely-to-thrive-in-recession/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We won't officially be in a recession until the National Bureau of Economic Research says so. However, you can nearly throw a rock in any direction and find an economist who thinks a recession is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/23/stocks-most-likely-to-thrive-in-recession/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VRTX":"福泰制药","XLP":"消费品指数ETF-SPDR主要消费品","DG":"美国达乐公司","XLB":"材料ETF","JNJ":"强生","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","WMT":"沃尔玛","XLU":"公共事业指数ETF-SPDR"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/23/stocks-most-likely-to-thrive-in-recession/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2277240299","content_text":"We won't officially be in a recession until the National Bureau of Economic Research says so. However, you can nearly throw a rock in any direction and find an economist who thinks a recession is probably on the way.For example, Johns Hopkins economics professor Steve Hanke stated a month ago that he believes there's at least an 80% chance of a recession. Non-profit research group The Conference Board recently pegged the probability at 96%. The latest Bloomberg economic model projects a 100% chance of a recession by October 2023.These forecasts don't guarantee that a recession is coming. But it's possible that the current bear market will continue for a while longer. That doesn't mean that every stock will be a big loser, though. Which stocks are most likely to thrive in a recession? Here's what history shows.Some bad newsThe SPDR Select Sector exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are good proxies for gauging how different sectors perform during recessions. One primary downside of using them is that most of these ETFs have only been around since the late 1990s. However, the U.S. has experienced three recessions during that period, so the SPDR Select Sector ETFs should be able to help in determining which stocks historically thrive in a recession.I've got some bad news, though. None of the SPDR Select Sector ETFs performed well in all three recessions that occurred over the past 25 years.The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund held up well during the recession of 2001. However, it still slid a little. The Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF performed similarly during the first recession of this century. (The shaded area in the charts below indicates the period when the U.S. economy was in recession.)XLP data by YChartsHowever, both of these ETFs plunged during the Great Recession that began in late 2007 and went through mid-2009. So did every other sector ETF -- including (perhaps surprisingly) the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund.XLP data by YChartsAll of the sector ETFs also tanked during the brief coronavirus-fueled recession of 2020. However, the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund didn't fall nearly as much as the others did.Looking for exceptionsThe cold, hard truth is that no category of stocks thrives in all recessions. But it's clear from examining the past that consumer staples stocks tend to perform better than most. Your best bet, though, is to look for exceptions. I'm referring to stocks that have factors working to their advantage so much that investors want to buy them even when the overall economy stinks.Johnson & Johnson stood out as this kind of stock during the recession of 2001. The healthcare giant continued to deliver revenue and earnings growth throughout the period. It completed the $10.5 billion acquisition of ALZA Corporation. The blue-chip stock was also viewed as a safe haven for investors worried about the dot-com bubble bursting.JNJ data by YChartsWalmart performed exceptionally well during the Great Recession, especially considering how most stocks plunged. Investors realized that the serious economic downturn would mean that consumers would have to tighten their purse strings. That worked to the advantage of the big discount retailer.WMT data by YChartsModerna's share price skyrocketed during the quick recession of 2020. That's not surprising. The company was one of the early leaders in developing coronavirus vaccines. Moderna was a natural choice for investors to flock to during the uncertain times at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic.MRNA data by YChartsLikely outliers in the next recessionWhich stocks might be outliers in the next recession, assuming it isn't too far off? I think we can learn from history.Walmart could again defy gravity if the U.S. economy enters into a recession. My view is that another discount retailer, Dollar General, should do so as well.Dollar General is outperforming Walmart so far this year. The company continues to build new stores. It's also expanding its frozen and refrigerated goods offerings. Dollar General should benefit as consumers increasingly try to stretch their dollars.Just as Johnson & Johnson and Moderna performed well during two previous recessions, I suspect another drug stock will do so during the next recession -- Vertex Pharmaceuticals. Vertex's revenue and earnings will almost certainly grow robustly even amid an economic downturn.The big biotech also has a pipeline with multiple potential blockbusters likely on the way. Vertex expects to file for regulatory approvals for one of them (gene-editing therapy exa-cel) before year-end. With fears of a recession increasing, I think that Vertex is arguably the best stock to buy right now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":251,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010615061,"gmtCreate":1648354023150,"gmtModify":1676534330830,"author":{"id":"3581727244675977","authorId":"3581727244675977","name":"MySGX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a22f88deb287b757cb3e60419d2882","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581727244675977","idStr":"3581727244675977"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U96.SI\">$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U96.SI\">$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","text":"$SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD(U96.SI)$[smile]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4e9c6f2da8f76d9f7ccb146a9e234f1e","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010615061","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}