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2023-09-16

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With the Mooncake festival just around the corner, I'm delighted to share that Tiger Brokers has brought a smile to my face with a gift that adds warmth and joy to my Mid-Autumn Festival. More about that later. [Smart] Gift from Tiger Brokers Today, let's focus on introducing the Wyckoff Accumulation phase. Wyckoff Accumulation Phase The Wyckoff Accumulation phase is a key pattern in technical analysis, particularly for longer-term investors. Developed by Richard D. Wyckoff, it aims to identify the accumulation of shares by informed investors before a significant price move. Richard D. Wyckoff This phase signifies a period in which institutional or informed investors strategically accumulate shares of a stock, often at lower price levels. This phase is characterized by a con","listText":"Hello tigers! With the Mooncake festival just around the corner, I'm delighted to share that Tiger Brokers has brought a smile to my face with a gift that adds warmth and joy to my Mid-Autumn Festival. More about that later. [Smart] Gift from Tiger Brokers Today, let's focus on introducing the Wyckoff Accumulation phase. Wyckoff Accumulation Phase The Wyckoff Accumulation phase is a key pattern in technical analysis, particularly for longer-term investors. Developed by Richard D. Wyckoff, it aims to identify the accumulation of shares by informed investors before a significant price move. Richard D. Wyckoff This phase signifies a period in which institutional or informed investors strategically accumulate shares of a stock, often at lower price levels. This phase is characterized by a con","text":"Hello tigers! With the Mooncake festival just around the corner, I'm delighted to share that Tiger Brokers has brought a smile to my face with a gift that adds warmth and joy to my Mid-Autumn Festival. More about that later. [Smart] Gift from Tiger Brokers Today, let's focus on introducing the Wyckoff Accumulation phase. Wyckoff Accumulation Phase The Wyckoff Accumulation phase is a key pattern in technical analysis, particularly for longer-term investors. Developed by Richard D. Wyckoff, it aims to identify the accumulation of shares by informed investors before a significant price move. Richard D. Wyckoff This phase signifies a period in which institutional or informed investors strategically accumulate shares of a stock, often at lower price levels. This phase is characterized by a con","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5dbc05e866230288cd2ce819a7affdf8","width":"807","height":"605"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/220206865899552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946514673,"gmtCreate":1680999827993,"gmtModify":1680999831382,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946514673","repostId":"1154925728","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154925728","pubTimestamp":1680998922,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154925728?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-09 08:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Traders Eye CPI After Jobs Data Boost Odds of a May Hike","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154925728","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Treasury short-end yields advance as central bank bets shiftedConsumer price index expected to show ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>Treasury short-end yields advance as central bank bets shifted</p></li><li><p>Consumer price index expected to show moderating inflation</p></li></ul><p>Bond traders are betting that the Federal Reserve probably has one more interest-rate hike to go in this tightening cycle as the economy shows resilience — for now at least — despite recent banking turmoil.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Treasury yields advanced in a holiday-shortened session Friday after a drop in US unemployment and stronger-than-anticipated payrolls figures provided support for another quarter-point rate increase at the next Fed meeting in May. Swaps now show the odds of that at around three-in-four</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Attention will now turn to next week’s consumer price index reading to see whether the Fed is managing to beat back inflation. Concerns about the health of banks and the pace of credit creation will also be uppermost in investors’ minds as they try to assess the prospects for a recession and future yield moves.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Upcoming US inflation data “is the final arbiter as we approach the May Fed meeting, and a consensus or stronger CPI read will challenge the Treasury market,” said Kevin Flanagan, head of fixed income strategy at Wisdom Tree Investments.</p><p>The global growth picture will also be in prominent focus in the coming week as the International Monetary Fund prepares to release its latest forecasts and officials from around the world gather in Washington for meetings of the world’s major multilateral economic institutions.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Short-end Treasury yields led the move higher as the amount of extra policy tightening priced by the swaps market in for the next Federal Open Market Committee gathering was boosted to around 19 basis points. That suggests around a 76% chance that officials will bolster the benchmark by a quarter point from the current effective fed funds rate of 4.83%.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The 2-year Treasury yield surged as much as 16 basis points to just under 4% and ended the session around 3.98%. The 10-year benchmark climbed as much as 10 basis points to 3.41% and finished Friday at 3.39%. The inversion of the curve between 2 and 10 years deepened by close to 6 basis points on the day.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/393f3de4374af6fa0c61badc1cebf37b\" tg-width=\"730\" tg-height=\"479\"/></p><p>“Across the board strength” in the US jobs report “will boost the chances of a 25-basis-point hike in May. It should push out the timing of cuts as well,” said Priya Misra, global head of rates strategy at TD Securities. “But the market will remain focused on other, less lagging, data and bank earnings.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The market had been pricing around 14 basis points of May tightening in the lead-up to the jobs report, suggesting a little over a one-in-two chance of a hike. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The market reduced the amount of subsequent policy-rate cuts it expects heading into the back end of 2023, with swaps suggesting a Fed benchmark rate of around 4.38% by the end of December. That figure was close to 4.18% ahead of the labor-market data.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The US dollar strengthened against all of its Group-of-10 currency peers except the New Zealand dollar. US equity-index futures closed up 0.2% in an abbreviated session.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Nonfarm payrolls increased 236,000 — marginally above the median forecast — after an upwardly revised 326,000 advance in February, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Friday. The unemployment rate fell to 3.5%. Average hourly earnings climbed 4.2% from a year ago, below estimates and the slowest since June 2021.</p><p>The consumer price index for March is forecast to show an easing in the annual headline pace to 5.2% from 6%, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. In contrast, sticky core pressure is seen with the annual pace edging up to 5.6% from 5.5%. Other key data releases for the coming week include the producer price index and retail sales.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Treasury yields have moved notably lower in the past month on the back of banking system concerns. Turmoil among financial institutions had fueled a bid for the relative safety of Treasuries and forced a rethink about how tight the Fed can keep policy in the face of increased recession risks, even as inflation remains elevated.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“The Treasury market is telling you what direction they would like to go in, and that’s lower yields, but it looks vulnerable to any type of economic numbers that don’t tell us recession is imminent,” said Wisdom Tree’s Flanagan. If inflation readings stay elevated “it will be hard for Treasury yields to sustain their current levels.”</p><h3 style=\"text-align: start;\">What to Watch</h3><ul><li><p>Economic data calendar:</p><ul><li><p>April 10: Wholesale trade sales and inventories</p></li><li><p>April 11: NFIB small business optimism</p></li><li><p>April 12: MBA mortgage applications; consumer price index; monthly budget statement</p></li><li><p>April 14: Weekly jobless claims; producer price index</p></li><li><p>April 15: Import and export prices; retail sales; industrial production; business inventories; University of Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations</p></li></ul></li><li><p>Fed calendar:</p><ul><li><p>April 11: Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee; Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari</p></li><li><p>April 12: Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin; March Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes</p></li></ul></li><li><p>Auction calendar:</p><ul><li><p>April 10: 13- and 26-week bills</p></li><li><p>April 11: 3-year notes</p></li><li><p>April 12: 17-week bills; 10-year notes</p></li><li><p>April 13: 4- and 8-week bills; 30-year bonds</p></li></ul></li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Traders Eye CPI After Jobs Data Boost Odds of a May Hike</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Traders Eye CPI After Jobs Data Boost Odds of a May Hike\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-09 08:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-07/fed-traders-boost-bets-on-may-rate-hike-as-unemployment-falls><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Treasury short-end yields advance as central bank bets shiftedConsumer price index expected to show moderating inflationBond traders are betting that the Federal Reserve probably has one more interest...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-07/fed-traders-boost-bets-on-may-rate-hike-as-unemployment-falls\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-07/fed-traders-boost-bets-on-may-rate-hike-as-unemployment-falls","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154925728","content_text":"Treasury short-end yields advance as central bank bets shiftedConsumer price index expected to show moderating inflationBond traders are betting that the Federal Reserve probably has one more interest-rate hike to go in this tightening cycle as the economy shows resilience — for now at least — despite recent banking turmoil.Treasury yields advanced in a holiday-shortened session Friday after a drop in US unemployment and stronger-than-anticipated payrolls figures provided support for another quarter-point rate increase at the next Fed meeting in May. Swaps now show the odds of that at around three-in-fourAttention will now turn to next week’s consumer price index reading to see whether the Fed is managing to beat back inflation. Concerns about the health of banks and the pace of credit creation will also be uppermost in investors’ minds as they try to assess the prospects for a recession and future yield moves.Upcoming US inflation data “is the final arbiter as we approach the May Fed meeting, and a consensus or stronger CPI read will challenge the Treasury market,” said Kevin Flanagan, head of fixed income strategy at Wisdom Tree Investments.The global growth picture will also be in prominent focus in the coming week as the International Monetary Fund prepares to release its latest forecasts and officials from around the world gather in Washington for meetings of the world’s major multilateral economic institutions.Short-end Treasury yields led the move higher as the amount of extra policy tightening priced by the swaps market in for the next Federal Open Market Committee gathering was boosted to around 19 basis points. That suggests around a 76% chance that officials will bolster the benchmark by a quarter point from the current effective fed funds rate of 4.83%.The 2-year Treasury yield surged as much as 16 basis points to just under 4% and ended the session around 3.98%. The 10-year benchmark climbed as much as 10 basis points to 3.41% and finished Friday at 3.39%. The inversion of the curve between 2 and 10 years deepened by close to 6 basis points on the day.“Across the board strength” in the US jobs report “will boost the chances of a 25-basis-point hike in May. It should push out the timing of cuts as well,” said Priya Misra, global head of rates strategy at TD Securities. “But the market will remain focused on other, less lagging, data and bank earnings.”The market had been pricing around 14 basis points of May tightening in the lead-up to the jobs report, suggesting a little over a one-in-two chance of a hike. The market reduced the amount of subsequent policy-rate cuts it expects heading into the back end of 2023, with swaps suggesting a Fed benchmark rate of around 4.38% by the end of December. That figure was close to 4.18% ahead of the labor-market data.The US dollar strengthened against all of its Group-of-10 currency peers except the New Zealand dollar. US equity-index futures closed up 0.2% in an abbreviated session.Nonfarm payrolls increased 236,000 — marginally above the median forecast — after an upwardly revised 326,000 advance in February, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Friday. The unemployment rate fell to 3.5%. Average hourly earnings climbed 4.2% from a year ago, below estimates and the slowest since June 2021.The consumer price index for March is forecast to show an easing in the annual headline pace to 5.2% from 6%, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. In contrast, sticky core pressure is seen with the annual pace edging up to 5.6% from 5.5%. Other key data releases for the coming week include the producer price index and retail sales.Treasury yields have moved notably lower in the past month on the back of banking system concerns. Turmoil among financial institutions had fueled a bid for the relative safety of Treasuries and forced a rethink about how tight the Fed can keep policy in the face of increased recession risks, even as inflation remains elevated.“The Treasury market is telling you what direction they would like to go in, and that’s lower yields, but it looks vulnerable to any type of economic numbers that don’t tell us recession is imminent,” said Wisdom Tree’s Flanagan. If inflation readings stay elevated “it will be hard for Treasury yields to sustain their current levels.”What to WatchEconomic data calendar:April 10: Wholesale trade sales and inventoriesApril 11: NFIB small business optimismApril 12: MBA mortgage applications; consumer price index; monthly budget statementApril 14: Weekly jobless claims; producer price indexApril 15: Import and export prices; retail sales; industrial production; business inventories; University of Michigan sentiment and inflation expectationsFed calendar:April 11: Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee; Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker; Minneapolis Fed President Neel KashkariApril 12: Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin; March Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutesAuction calendar:April 10: 13- and 26-week billsApril 11: 3-year notesApril 12: 17-week bills; 10-year notesApril 13: 4- and 8-week bills; 30-year bonds","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928807755,"gmtCreate":1671235864978,"gmtModify":1676538512859,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928807755","repostId":"2292062240","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2292062240","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1671225477,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2292062240?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-17 05:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Lower for Third Straight Day As Recession Worries Rise","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2292062240","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks dropped for a third straight session and suffered a second straight week of ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks dropped for a third straight session and suffered a second straight week of losses on Friday as fears continued to mount that the Federal Reserve&#39;s campaign to arrest inflation would tilt the economy into a recession.</p><p>Equities have been staggered since the U.S. central bank&#39;s decision to raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps), as expected. But comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled more policy tightening, and the central bank projected that interest rates would top the 5% mark in 2023, a level not seen since 2007.</p><p>Further comments from other Fed officials fueled the concern. New York Fed President John Williams said on Friday it remains possible the U.S. central bank will raise rates more than it expects next year. The policymaker added that he does not anticipate a recession due to the Fed&#39;s aggressive tightening.</p><p>In addition, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said it is &#34;reasonable&#34; to believe that once the Fed&#39;s policy rates reached their peak, they could stay there into 2024.</p><p>&#34;It feels as if finally the market is starting to understand that bad news is bad news, and that is what is starting to occur. Since the October bottoms, the market has continued to price in what I would consider a substantial amount of optimism at the fact the Fed could navigate and pilot a successful soft landing,&#34; said Dave Wagner, equity analyst and portfolio manager for Aptus Capital Advisors in Cincinnati.</p><p>&#34;Finally, the market is taking into consideration that bad news should mean bad things for the market.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 281.76 points, or 0.85%, to 32,920.46; the S&amp;P 500 lost 43.39 points, or 1.11%, to 3,852.36; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 105.11 points, or 0.97%, to 10,705.41.</p><p>For the week, the Dow lost 1.66%, the S&amp;P fell 2.09% and the Nasdaq declined 2.72%.</p><p>Money market bets show at least two 25 bps rate hikes next year and a terminal rate of about 4.8% by midyear, before falling to around 4.4% by the end of 2023.</p><p>On the economic front, a report showed U.S. business activity contracted further in December as new orders slumped to their lowest level in just over 2-1/2 years, although easing demand helped cool inflation.</p><p>The tech-heavy Nasdaq on Thursday closed below its 50-day moving average, a key technical level seen as sign of momentum. On Friday, the S&amp;P also closed below its 50-day moving average.</p><p>The prospects of a &#34;Santa Claus rally&#34;, or year-end uptick, in markets this year have dimmed, as the majority of global central banks have adopted tightening policies. The Bank of England and the European Central Bank were the most recent to indicate an extended rate-hike cycle on Thursday.</p><p>Markets pared losses in the last hour of trading, however, possibly due in part to the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts, known as triple witching, which can exacerbate market volatility.</p><p>Each of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes were in the red, led lower by a drop of more than 2.96% in real estate stocks .</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc advanced 2.82% after J.P. Morgan upgraded the stock to &#34;overweight&#34; from &#34;neutral,&#34; while Adobe Inc gained 2.99% after the Photoshop maker forecast first-quarter profit above expectations.</p><p>Exact Sciences Corp surged 16.39% after rival Guardant Health Inc&#39;s cancer test missed expectations, while General Motors Co lost 3.91% after its robotaxi unit Cruise faced a safety probe by U.S. auto safety regulators.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 17.28 billion shares, compared with the x.xx billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.47-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 79 new highs and 392 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Lower for Third Straight Day As Recession Worries Rise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Lower for Third Straight Day As Recession Worries Rise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-17 05:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks dropped for a third straight session and suffered a second straight week of losses on Friday as fears continued to mount that the Federal Reserve&#39;s campaign to arrest inflation would tilt the economy into a recession.</p><p>Equities have been staggered since the U.S. central bank&#39;s decision to raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps), as expected. But comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled more policy tightening, and the central bank projected that interest rates would top the 5% mark in 2023, a level not seen since 2007.</p><p>Further comments from other Fed officials fueled the concern. New York Fed President John Williams said on Friday it remains possible the U.S. central bank will raise rates more than it expects next year. The policymaker added that he does not anticipate a recession due to the Fed&#39;s aggressive tightening.</p><p>In addition, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said it is &#34;reasonable&#34; to believe that once the Fed&#39;s policy rates reached their peak, they could stay there into 2024.</p><p>&#34;It feels as if finally the market is starting to understand that bad news is bad news, and that is what is starting to occur. Since the October bottoms, the market has continued to price in what I would consider a substantial amount of optimism at the fact the Fed could navigate and pilot a successful soft landing,&#34; said Dave Wagner, equity analyst and portfolio manager for Aptus Capital Advisors in Cincinnati.</p><p>&#34;Finally, the market is taking into consideration that bad news should mean bad things for the market.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 281.76 points, or 0.85%, to 32,920.46; the S&amp;P 500 lost 43.39 points, or 1.11%, to 3,852.36; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 105.11 points, or 0.97%, to 10,705.41.</p><p>For the week, the Dow lost 1.66%, the S&amp;P fell 2.09% and the Nasdaq declined 2.72%.</p><p>Money market bets show at least two 25 bps rate hikes next year and a terminal rate of about 4.8% by midyear, before falling to around 4.4% by the end of 2023.</p><p>On the economic front, a report showed U.S. business activity contracted further in December as new orders slumped to their lowest level in just over 2-1/2 years, although easing demand helped cool inflation.</p><p>The tech-heavy Nasdaq on Thursday closed below its 50-day moving average, a key technical level seen as sign of momentum. On Friday, the S&amp;P also closed below its 50-day moving average.</p><p>The prospects of a &#34;Santa Claus rally&#34;, or year-end uptick, in markets this year have dimmed, as the majority of global central banks have adopted tightening policies. The Bank of England and the European Central Bank were the most recent to indicate an extended rate-hike cycle on Thursday.</p><p>Markets pared losses in the last hour of trading, however, possibly due in part to the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts, known as triple witching, which can exacerbate market volatility.</p><p>Each of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes were in the red, led lower by a drop of more than 2.96% in real estate stocks .</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc advanced 2.82% after J.P. Morgan upgraded the stock to &#34;overweight&#34; from &#34;neutral,&#34; while Adobe Inc gained 2.99% after the Photoshop maker forecast first-quarter profit above expectations.</p><p>Exact Sciences Corp surged 16.39% after rival Guardant Health Inc&#39;s cancer test missed expectations, while General Motors Co lost 3.91% after its robotaxi unit Cruise faced a safety probe by U.S. auto safety regulators.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 17.28 billion shares, compared with the x.xx billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.47-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 79 new highs and 392 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4196":"保健护理服务","BK4082":"医疗保健设备",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4139":"生物科技","BK4079":"房地产服务","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4539":"次新股","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4007":"制药"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2292062240","content_text":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks dropped for a third straight session and suffered a second straight week of losses on Friday as fears continued to mount that the Federal Reserve's campaign to arrest inflation would tilt the economy into a recession.Equities have been staggered since the U.S. central bank's decision to raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps), as expected. But comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled more policy tightening, and the central bank projected that interest rates would top the 5% mark in 2023, a level not seen since 2007.Further comments from other Fed officials fueled the concern. New York Fed President John Williams said on Friday it remains possible the U.S. central bank will raise rates more than it expects next year. The policymaker added that he does not anticipate a recession due to the Fed's aggressive tightening.In addition, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said it is \"reasonable\" to believe that once the Fed's policy rates reached their peak, they could stay there into 2024.\"It feels as if finally the market is starting to understand that bad news is bad news, and that is what is starting to occur. Since the October bottoms, the market has continued to price in what I would consider a substantial amount of optimism at the fact the Fed could navigate and pilot a successful soft landing,\" said Dave Wagner, equity analyst and portfolio manager for Aptus Capital Advisors in Cincinnati.\"Finally, the market is taking into consideration that bad news should mean bad things for the market.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 281.76 points, or 0.85%, to 32,920.46; the S&P 500 lost 43.39 points, or 1.11%, to 3,852.36; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 105.11 points, or 0.97%, to 10,705.41.For the week, the Dow lost 1.66%, the S&P fell 2.09% and the Nasdaq declined 2.72%.Money market bets show at least two 25 bps rate hikes next year and a terminal rate of about 4.8% by midyear, before falling to around 4.4% by the end of 2023.On the economic front, a report showed U.S. business activity contracted further in December as new orders slumped to their lowest level in just over 2-1/2 years, although easing demand helped cool inflation.The tech-heavy Nasdaq on Thursday closed below its 50-day moving average, a key technical level seen as sign of momentum. On Friday, the S&P also closed below its 50-day moving average.The prospects of a \"Santa Claus rally\", or year-end uptick, in markets this year have dimmed, as the majority of global central banks have adopted tightening policies. The Bank of England and the European Central Bank were the most recent to indicate an extended rate-hike cycle on Thursday.Markets pared losses in the last hour of trading, however, possibly due in part to the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts, known as triple witching, which can exacerbate market volatility.Each of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes were in the red, led lower by a drop of more than 2.96% in real estate stocks .Meta Platforms Inc advanced 2.82% after J.P. Morgan upgraded the stock to \"overweight\" from \"neutral,\" while Adobe Inc gained 2.99% after the Photoshop maker forecast first-quarter profit above expectations.Exact Sciences Corp surged 16.39% after rival Guardant Health Inc's cancer test missed expectations, while General Motors Co lost 3.91% after its robotaxi unit Cruise faced a safety probe by U.S. auto safety regulators.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 17.28 billion shares, compared with the x.xx billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.47-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 79 new highs and 392 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929455269,"gmtCreate":1670723877851,"gmtModify":1676538423174,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929455269","repostId":"2290213223","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2290213223","pubTimestamp":1670723606,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2290213223?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-11 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290213223","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economist</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a959345916d49ecfb90abc84cc5b97\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>U.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely hinges on next week’s Federal Reserve rate decision and fresh inflation data.</span></p><p>Investors, like kids on Christmas Eve, have come to expect Santa Claus will get down the chimney, march over to Wall Street and deliver the rewarding gift of a stock-market rally.</p><p>This year, however, investors might be better off betting on a lump of coal, rather than waiting for tangible stock-market gains to emerge in this holiday season, market analysts said.</p><p>“The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year as the equity market navigates higher yields and contracting earnings,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers. “Seasonal tailwinds that have traditionally driven Santa Claus rallies pale in comparison to the plethora of headwinds the equity market currently faces.”</p><p>U.S. stock indexes tumbled this week, with the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both booking their sharpest weekly declines in nearly three months, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The drop occurred as stronger-than-expected economic data added to concerns that the Federal Reserve might need to be more aggressive in its inflation battle than earlier anticipated, even with alarms flashing about a potential economic recession.</p><p>Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street almost every year, bringing a short rally in the last five trading days of December, and the first two days of January. Since 1969, the Santa Rally has boosted the S&amp;P 500 by an average of 1.3%, according to data from Stock Trader’s Almanac.</p><p>“December is the seasonally strongest month of the year, particularly in a midterm election year. So, December has been positive most of the time,” said David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. “It would actually be very unusual for stocks to sell off dramatically in December.”</p><p><b>Will Wall Street get a Santa Claus Rally?</b></p><p>A rotten year for financial assets has begun drawing to a close under a cloud of uncertainty. Given the Federal Reserve’s tough stance on bringing inflation down to its 2% target and already volatile financial markets, many analysts think investors shouldn’t focus too much on whether Santa Claus ends up being naughty or nice.</p><p>“Next week is going to be a huge week for the markets as they attempt to find some footing heading into year end,” said Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth, in emailed comments Friday.</p><p>That makes the Fed’s rate decisions next week and fresh inflation data even more crucial to equity markets. Friday’s wholesale prices rose more than expected in November, dampening hopes that inflation might be cooling off. The core producer-price index, which excludes volatile food, energy and trade prices, also rose 0.3% in November, up from a 0.2% gain in the prior month, the Labor Department said.</p><p>The corresponding November consumer-price index report, due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Tuesday, will further show if inflation is subsiding.The CPI increased 0.4% in October and 7.7% from a year ago. The core reading increased 0.3% for the month and 6.3% on an annual basis.</p><p>“If the CPI print comes in at 5% on core, then you’d get a real selloff in bonds and in equities. If inflation is still running hotter and you have a recession, can the Fed cut rates? Maybe not. Then you start getting into the stagflation scenarios,” said Ron Temple, head of U.S. equities at Lazard Asset Management.</p><p>Traders are pricing in a 77% probability that the Fed will raise its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% next Wednesday, the last day of its Dec. 13-14 meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.That would be a slower pace than its four consecutive 0.75 point rate hikes since June.</p><p>John Porter, chief investment officer and head of equity at Newton Investment Management, expects no surprises next week in terms of how much the Fed will raise interest rates. He does, however, anticipate stock-market investors will closely watch Fed Chair Powell’s press conference for insights into the decision and “hang on every single word.”</p><p>“Investors are contorting themselves almost into a pretzel and trying to over-interpret the language,” Porter told MarketWatch via phone. “Listen to what they say, not listen to what you want them to say. They [Fed officials] are going to continue to be vigilant, and they have to watch inflation.”</p><p><b>Does the ‘Santa’ rally really exist?</b></p><p>For years, market analysts have examined potential reasons for the typical seasonal Santa Claus pattern. But with this year still awash in red, some think a rally in late December could become a self-fulfilling prophecy, simply because investors might search for any reason to be slightly merry.</p><p>“If everyone’s focused on the positive seasonals, it could become more of this narrative that drives things rather than anything more fundamental,” David Lefkowitz, head of equities Americas of UBS Global Wealth Management, told MarketWatch via phone.</p><p>“Markets tend to like the holly-jolly spending season so much, so there’s a name for the rally that tends to happen at the end of the year,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi. “For what it’s worth, I think ‘Santa Claus Rally’ holds as much predictive power as ‘Sell in May and Walk Away,’ which is minimal and coincidental at best.”</p><p><b>Relief rally’s big tests</b></p><p>While the three main U.S. stock indexes booked sharply weekly losses, equities have rallied off the October lows. The S&amp;P 500 has rallied 9.9% from its October low through Friday, while the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.90%gained 16.5% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 6.6%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>However, many top Wall Street analysts also see reasons for alarm, specifically that the stock market’s bounce off the recent lows is likely running out of room.</p><p>So, are investors ignoring warnings? Despite talk of the seeming inevitability of a year-end rally, several recent rally attempts failed, while Wall Street’s CBOE Volatility Index, or “fear gauge,” was at 22.86 at Friday’s close. A drop below 20 on the VIX can signify that investor fears about potential market ructions are easing.</p><p>U.S. stock indexes closed down on Friday with the S&amp;P 500 losing 0.7%. The Dow dropped 0.9%, and the Nasdaq shed 0.7%. Three major indexes booked a week of sizable losses with the S&amp;P 500 posting a weekly decline of 3.4%. The Dow declined by 2.8% and the Nasdaq Composite was down nearly 4% this week, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>Next week, not long after the CPI and the Fed decision, investors will also receive November retail sales data and industrial production index on Thursday, followed by the S&amp;P Global’s flash PMI readings on Friday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Stock-Market Investors Shouldn’t Count on a \"Santa Claus\" Rally This Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-11 09:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-investors-shouldnt-count-on-a-santa-claus-rally-this-year-11670628375?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290213223","content_text":"‘The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year,’ says economistU.S. stocks tend to rally in the final week of December, and carry the upswing into early January. But a holiday bounce this year likely hinges on next week’s Federal Reserve rate decision and fresh inflation data.Investors, like kids on Christmas Eve, have come to expect Santa Claus will get down the chimney, march over to Wall Street and deliver the rewarding gift of a stock-market rally.This year, however, investors might be better off betting on a lump of coal, rather than waiting for tangible stock-market gains to emerge in this holiday season, market analysts said.“The Santa Claus rally is canceled this year as the equity market navigates higher yields and contracting earnings,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers. “Seasonal tailwinds that have traditionally driven Santa Claus rallies pale in comparison to the plethora of headwinds the equity market currently faces.”U.S. stock indexes tumbled this week, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both booking their sharpest weekly declines in nearly three months, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The drop occurred as stronger-than-expected economic data added to concerns that the Federal Reserve might need to be more aggressive in its inflation battle than earlier anticipated, even with alarms flashing about a potential economic recession.Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street almost every year, bringing a short rally in the last five trading days of December, and the first two days of January. Since 1969, the Santa Rally has boosted the S&P 500 by an average of 1.3%, according to data from Stock Trader’s Almanac.“December is the seasonally strongest month of the year, particularly in a midterm election year. So, December has been positive most of the time,” said David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. “It would actually be very unusual for stocks to sell off dramatically in December.”Will Wall Street get a Santa Claus Rally?A rotten year for financial assets has begun drawing to a close under a cloud of uncertainty. Given the Federal Reserve’s tough stance on bringing inflation down to its 2% target and already volatile financial markets, many analysts think investors shouldn’t focus too much on whether Santa Claus ends up being naughty or nice.“Next week is going to be a huge week for the markets as they attempt to find some footing heading into year end,” said Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth, in emailed comments Friday.That makes the Fed’s rate decisions next week and fresh inflation data even more crucial to equity markets. Friday’s wholesale prices rose more than expected in November, dampening hopes that inflation might be cooling off. The core producer-price index, which excludes volatile food, energy and trade prices, also rose 0.3% in November, up from a 0.2% gain in the prior month, the Labor Department said.The corresponding November consumer-price index report, due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Tuesday, will further show if inflation is subsiding.The CPI increased 0.4% in October and 7.7% from a year ago. The core reading increased 0.3% for the month and 6.3% on an annual basis.“If the CPI print comes in at 5% on core, then you’d get a real selloff in bonds and in equities. If inflation is still running hotter and you have a recession, can the Fed cut rates? Maybe not. Then you start getting into the stagflation scenarios,” said Ron Temple, head of U.S. equities at Lazard Asset Management.Traders are pricing in a 77% probability that the Fed will raise its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% next Wednesday, the last day of its Dec. 13-14 meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.That would be a slower pace than its four consecutive 0.75 point rate hikes since June.John Porter, chief investment officer and head of equity at Newton Investment Management, expects no surprises next week in terms of how much the Fed will raise interest rates. He does, however, anticipate stock-market investors will closely watch Fed Chair Powell’s press conference for insights into the decision and “hang on every single word.”“Investors are contorting themselves almost into a pretzel and trying to over-interpret the language,” Porter told MarketWatch via phone. “Listen to what they say, not listen to what you want them to say. They [Fed officials] are going to continue to be vigilant, and they have to watch inflation.”Does the ‘Santa’ rally really exist?For years, market analysts have examined potential reasons for the typical seasonal Santa Claus pattern. But with this year still awash in red, some think a rally in late December could become a self-fulfilling prophecy, simply because investors might search for any reason to be slightly merry.“If everyone’s focused on the positive seasonals, it could become more of this narrative that drives things rather than anything more fundamental,” David Lefkowitz, head of equities Americas of UBS Global Wealth Management, told MarketWatch via phone.“Markets tend to like the holly-jolly spending season so much, so there’s a name for the rally that tends to happen at the end of the year,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi. “For what it’s worth, I think ‘Santa Claus Rally’ holds as much predictive power as ‘Sell in May and Walk Away,’ which is minimal and coincidental at best.”Relief rally’s big testsWhile the three main U.S. stock indexes booked sharply weekly losses, equities have rallied off the October lows. The S&P 500 has rallied 9.9% from its October low through Friday, while the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.90%gained 16.5% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 6.6%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.However, many top Wall Street analysts also see reasons for alarm, specifically that the stock market’s bounce off the recent lows is likely running out of room.So, are investors ignoring warnings? Despite talk of the seeming inevitability of a year-end rally, several recent rally attempts failed, while Wall Street’s CBOE Volatility Index, or “fear gauge,” was at 22.86 at Friday’s close. A drop below 20 on the VIX can signify that investor fears about potential market ructions are easing.U.S. stock indexes closed down on Friday with the S&P 500 losing 0.7%. The Dow dropped 0.9%, and the Nasdaq shed 0.7%. Three major indexes booked a week of sizable losses with the S&P 500 posting a weekly decline of 3.4%. The Dow declined by 2.8% and the Nasdaq Composite was down nearly 4% this week, according to Dow Jones Market Data.Next week, not long after the CPI and the Fed decision, investors will also receive November retail sales data and industrial production index on Thursday, followed by the S&P Global’s flash PMI readings on Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":913,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920438576,"gmtCreate":1670540344896,"gmtModify":1676538387351,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920438576","repostId":"1116584413","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116584413","pubTimestamp":1670513955,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1116584413?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-08 23:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 China Stocks That Could Rebound in 2023, According to Analysts","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116584413","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsChinese tech stocks have been heating up of late, even with a potential global reces","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsChinese tech stocks have been heating up of late, even with a potential global recession on the horizon. As 2023 kicks in, top internet titans like Alibaba, JD.com, and Pinduoduo may ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/3-china-stocks-that-could-rebound-in-2023-according-to-analysts\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 China Stocks That Could Rebound in 2023, According to Analysts</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 China Stocks That Could Rebound in 2023, According to Analysts\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-08 23:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/3-china-stocks-that-could-rebound-in-2023-according-to-analysts><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsChinese tech stocks have been heating up of late, even with a potential global recession on the horizon. As 2023 kicks in, top internet titans like Alibaba, JD.com, and Pinduoduo may ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/3-china-stocks-that-could-rebound-in-2023-according-to-analysts\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PDD":"拼多多","09618":"京东集团-SW","BABA":"阿里巴巴","JD":"京东","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/3-china-stocks-that-could-rebound-in-2023-according-to-analysts","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116584413","content_text":"Story HighlightsChinese tech stocks have been heating up of late, even with a potential global recession on the horizon. As 2023 kicks in, top internet titans like Alibaba, JD.com, and Pinduoduo may have the most room to run as they look to claw back from the depths of the abyss.Chinese stocks have been in a world of pain well before the S&P 500 (SPX) plunged into a bear market in 2022. Indeed, many investors and talking heads have slapped the unenviable title of “uninvestable” on Chinese stocks, given how difficult it is to gauge their inherent risks. Indeed, delisting concerns and other issues based on exogenous events make it hard to value even the “cheapest” Chinese internet ADRs (American Depository Receipts). Despite the added risks of investing in Chinese stocks, many Wall Street analysts continue to view names like Alibaba (NASDAQ: BABA), JD.com (NASDAQ: JD), and Pinduoduo (NASDAQ: PDD) favorably.There’s no doubt that U.S. investors have been burned by Chinese names in recent years. With swollen regulatory risk discounts and considerable growth to be had over the long run, China’s top internet plays may still be worth considering while they’re miles away from their peaks.Let’s check in on three Strong-Buy-rated Chinese tech titans that Wall Street expects great things from in 2023.Alibaba (BABA)Alibaba is probably the first firm that comes to mind to American investors looking for Chinese tech exposure. It’s been a slow, painful descent for one of China’s most FAANG-like stocks. After plunging by around 80% from peak to trough, BABA stock has shown signs of life in recent weeks, rallying by around 52% off the October trough.Whether the recent rally lasts remains to be seen. Regardless, it’s hard for value-conscious investors to overlook the absurdly-low 1.9 times price-to-sales (P/S) multiple.At these depths, even the slightest positive news could have a significant impact on the stock. With Chinese stocks bouncing due to easing COVID-19 restrictions, Alibaba and the broader basket may, once again, be unignorable as consumer spending looks to heal. Arguably, Alibaba has the most to gain as China reopens its economy and the worst recession fears come to pass.What is the Price Target for BABA Stock?Wall Street is sticking with its “Strong Buy” rating on Alibaba stock, with 15 unanimous Buy recommendations. The average BABA stock price target of $133.73 implies a solid 51.4% gain from here.JD.com (JD)JD.com is an e-commerce player that rallied sharply in recent weeks after enduring a nearly two-year-long 64% plunge. Driven by easing COVID-19 restrictions and a huge third-quarter beat that saw per-share earnings crush estimates ($0.90 EPS vs. $0.70 consensus), JD stock now seems to have the most technical strength behind it.At just 0.6 times sales, JD stock has some low expectations in mind ahead of what’s likely to be a global recession. As China looks to loosen its strict zero-COVID policy, JD could be one of the bigger beneficiaries.In a rising-rate world, U.S. investors can appreciate JD’s latest profitability surge. The company is well-positioned to continue driving margins higher as it looks to take a page out of the playbook of an early Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN).What is the Price Target for JD Stock?Wall Street loves JD stock, with a “Strong Buy” consensus rating. The average JD stock price target of $77.69 implies 32.92% gains from current levels.Pinduoduo (PDD)Pinduoduo is a Chinese e-commerce play that’s suffered the biggest hit to the chin amid China’s horrific tech sell-off. From peak to trough, shares shed more than 83% of their value. Since bottoming earlier this year, though, PDD stock has been really heating up, rewarding dip-buyers who gave the digital retail play the benefit of the doubt. Shares are now up around 265% from their 2022 lows.Indeed, Pinduoduo is the spiciest Chinese internet stock, but one that could deliver the biggest gains in a turnaround scenario. The recent third-quarter beat was a blowout ($1.23 EPS vs. $0.69 consensus). As the company continues to impress despite the dire macro conditions, growth-savvy investors willing to stomach the risks may be enticed to get back into the name.At 6.4 times sales and 30 times trailing earnings, PDD stock is one of the pricier Chinese e-commerce firms. After six straight sizeable bottom-line beats, though, I view the name as compelling.What is the Price Target for PDD Stock?Wall Street continues to pound the table on Pinduoduo. The average PDD stock price target of $99.51 implies 15.95% gains from here.Conclusion: Wall Street is Most Bullish on BABAIndeed, recent momentum in Chinese stocks may reignite enthusiasm. A sustained rally into 2023 may even cause pundits to shed their “uninvestable” status. Of the three names in this piece, Wall Street expects the biggest gains from Alibaba stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920108635,"gmtCreate":1670453344928,"gmtModify":1676538369200,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920108635","repostId":"2289814769","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2289814769","pubTimestamp":1670427122,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2289814769?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-07 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Supercharged Growth Stocks With 393% to 1,153% Upside in 2023, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2289814769","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Select Wall Street analysts believe these fast-growing companies could skyrocket next year.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>This has been a historic year for all the wrong reasons. The bond market has delivered its worst year on record, the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> produced its worst first-half return in 52 years, and the nation&#39;s central bank is aggressively raising interest rates as the stock market plunges. There simply haven&#39;t been many safe havens for investors.</p><p>Yet in spite of these challenges, most Wall Street analysts maintain an optimistic tone. The reason being that recessions and bear markets tend to be short-lived. With the major U.S. indexes eventually erasing corrections, crashes, and bear markets over time, it generally pays to be an optimist.</p><p>However, some analysts are taking optimism to an extreme. Based on the highest price targets issued by Wall Street, the following three supercharged growth stocks offer upside ranging between 393% and 1,153% in 2023.</p><h2>Plug Power: Implied upside of 393%</h2><p>The first fast-paced company with serious upside is hydrogen fuel-cell solution provider <b>Plug Power</b>. According to analyst Amit Dayal of H.C. Wainwright, Plug Power can reach $78. For those of you keeping score at home, this would work out to a near-quintupling in the company&#39;s share price in 2023.</p><p>Dayal&#39;s optimism stems from a number of catalysts. First and foremost is the ongoing shift by most developed countries toward a renewable-energy-driven future. Plug expects to play a key role in supplying fuel cells for vehicles and industrial equipment (e.g., forklifts), as well as building the infrastructure needed to support fuel cell vehicle refueling.</p><p>Additionally, Dayal is excited about management&#39;s efforts to improve operating margin while continuing to rapidly growing sales. Earlier this year, Dayal cited the opening of the company&#39;s fuel cell gigafactory in New York (this occurred in mid-November) and the rollout of next-generation GenDrive units, which are less costly to service, as reasons the company&#39;s margin can improve.</p><p>But the biggest catalyst of all might just be Plug Power&#39;s ability to forge partnerships and joint ventures. It landed an equity investment from SK Group in early 2021 and is working with <b>Renault</b> via a joint venture to go after a significant portion of Europe&#39;s light commercial vehicle market. These partnerships should help lift Plug from just over $500 million in sales in 2021 to a company-forecast $3 billion in revenue by 2025.</p><p>However -- and this is the <i>big</i> &#34;however&#34; -- Plug Power isn&#39;t profitable, and the growing likelihood of a U.S. recession, coupled with high inflation in most developed countries, could coerce businesses and governments to postpone their green-energy transition/spending to a later date.</p><p>With Plug Power already valued at north of $9 billion, a lot of its future sales growth appears to be baked in. Until the company can plant its proverbial feet in the ground and deliver on the bottom line, a $78 price target will be hard to justify.</p><h2>Bionano Genomics: Implied upside of 474%</h2><p>A second supercharged growth stock with monumental upside, at least according to one Wall Street analyst, is small-cap genome analysis company <b>Bionano Genomics</b>. If <b>Oppenheimer</b> analyst Francois Brisebois is correct, Bionano shares will hit $12 in 2023, which would represent an upside of a cool 474%.</p><p>Although Brisebois is the current analyst covering Bionano for Oppenheimer, it was his predecessor, Kevin DeGeeter, who primarily laid out the case for Bionano Genomics running to $12. In DeGeeter&#39;s view, Bionano&#39;s optical genome mapping (OGM) system, known as Saphyr, has demonstrated that it&#39;s faster, less expensive, and in many ways more effective at identifying structural genome variations than other OGM systems.</p><p>One thing investors don&#39;t have to worry about with Bionano Genomics is a lack of data demonstrating Saphyr&#39;s efficacy. Over the past two years, the company has released numerous studies and data points extolling Saphyr&#39;s ability to recognize structural variations in everything from various types of cancer to genetic disorders and recurrent pregnancy loss. In theory, Saphyr can play a key role in helping researchers and drug developers fight hard-to-treat diseases.</p><p>Another positive for Bionano Genomics is its healthy cash position. After its share price went parabolic to begin 2021, management wisely chose to issue stock to raise plenty of capital. The company ended September with approximately $180 million in cash, cash equivalents, and available-for-sale securities.  That&#39;s more than enough to offset quarterly losses as the company continues to innovate and look for ways to expand Saphyr&#39;s utility.</p><p>So, why is Bionano Genomics at $2.09 per share and not $12? The answer to that question largely has to do with Saphyr not being an approved diagnostic system by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Without this approval, Saphyr&#39;s utility is limited within the United States. It&#39;s not exactly clear if and when Saphyr might get the green light from the FDA, either.</p><p>Although Bionano&#39;s cash does provide a somewhat safe floor, the ceiling proposed by Brisebois and DeGeeter doesn&#39;t seem achievable without FDA support.</p><h2>Novavax: Implied upside of 1,153%</h2><p>The third supercharged growth stock with truly jaw-dropping upside potential, based on the price target of one analyst, is biotech stock <b>Novavax</b>. According to H.C. Wainwright analyst Vernon Bernardino, who last updated his firm&#39;s price target in March 2022, Novavax is poised to hit (drum roll) $207 per share. That represents a whopping 1,153% upside from where shares ended this past week.</p><p>Bernardino&#39;s price target, which sits as the high-water mark among covering analysts, was based on the idea that Novavax would receive authorization to sell its protein-based COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373, worldwide. Whereas the <b>Moderna</b> and <b>Pfizer</b>/<b>BioNTech</b> vaccines rely on messenger-RNA (mRNA) technology, the Novavax vaccine is differentiated in that it relies on an older and more traditional application of introducing harmless pieces of spike protein to teach a person&#39;s immune system how to fight and/or prevent infection. The thinking here is that folks who were leery of getting an mRNA vaccine might be more willing to receive an initial series or booster shots from Novavax&#39;s protein-based COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p>Something else that&#39;s working in Novavax&#39;s favor is the efficacy of NVX-CoV2373. Only three COVID-19 vaccines have reached the highly coveted 90% vaccine efficacy (VE) level. Those being Moderna (94.1%), Pfizer/BioNTech (95%), and Novavax (90.4%) with its U.S./Mexico trial in 2021. Even though VE is just one measure of efficacy, it&#39;s a strong enough headline number to keep Novavax in the global rotation as a major initial series and booster vaccine player.</p><p>Similar to Bionano, Novavax is swimming with cash. The company ended the third quarter with $1.28 billion in cash and cash equivalents, which is more than enough to cover the future repayment of its convertible notes and fuel ongoing research.  In particular, Novavax could be one of the first drug developers to bring a combination vaccine targeting COVID-19 and influenza to market.</p><p>But even being a shareholder, I don&#39;t in any way foresee $207 as a viable price target for Novavax in 2023. With the company enduring numerous emergency-use filing delays and production snafus, it missed out on most of the low-hanging fruit in developed markets in 2022. Moving forward, it&#39;ll primarily be focusing its attention on recurring booster shots in developed countries and initial series vaccinations in emerging markets.</p><p>While I believe Novavax is an amazing value at its current share price, it could take a couple of quarters before Wall Street realizes that as well. If sales growth continues, losses shrink, and the company advances its combination vaccines, it could certainly end 2023 on a much higher note than it&#39;ll finish 2022.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Supercharged Growth Stocks With 393% to 1,153% Upside in 2023, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Supercharged Growth Stocks With 393% to 1,153% Upside in 2023, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-07 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/06/3-growth-stocks-with-393-to-1153-upside-in-2023/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>This has been a historic year for all the wrong reasons. The bond market has delivered its worst year on record, the S&P 500 produced its worst first-half return in 52 years, and the nation's central ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/06/3-growth-stocks-with-393-to-1153-upside-in-2023/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNGO":"Bionano Genomics","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","PLUG":"普拉格能源"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/06/3-growth-stocks-with-393-to-1153-upside-in-2023/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2289814769","content_text":"This has been a historic year for all the wrong reasons. The bond market has delivered its worst year on record, the S&P 500 produced its worst first-half return in 52 years, and the nation's central bank is aggressively raising interest rates as the stock market plunges. There simply haven't been many safe havens for investors.Yet in spite of these challenges, most Wall Street analysts maintain an optimistic tone. The reason being that recessions and bear markets tend to be short-lived. With the major U.S. indexes eventually erasing corrections, crashes, and bear markets over time, it generally pays to be an optimist.However, some analysts are taking optimism to an extreme. Based on the highest price targets issued by Wall Street, the following three supercharged growth stocks offer upside ranging between 393% and 1,153% in 2023.Plug Power: Implied upside of 393%The first fast-paced company with serious upside is hydrogen fuel-cell solution provider Plug Power. According to analyst Amit Dayal of H.C. Wainwright, Plug Power can reach $78. For those of you keeping score at home, this would work out to a near-quintupling in the company's share price in 2023.Dayal's optimism stems from a number of catalysts. First and foremost is the ongoing shift by most developed countries toward a renewable-energy-driven future. Plug expects to play a key role in supplying fuel cells for vehicles and industrial equipment (e.g., forklifts), as well as building the infrastructure needed to support fuel cell vehicle refueling.Additionally, Dayal is excited about management's efforts to improve operating margin while continuing to rapidly growing sales. Earlier this year, Dayal cited the opening of the company's fuel cell gigafactory in New York (this occurred in mid-November) and the rollout of next-generation GenDrive units, which are less costly to service, as reasons the company's margin can improve.But the biggest catalyst of all might just be Plug Power's ability to forge partnerships and joint ventures. It landed an equity investment from SK Group in early 2021 and is working with Renault via a joint venture to go after a significant portion of Europe's light commercial vehicle market. These partnerships should help lift Plug from just over $500 million in sales in 2021 to a company-forecast $3 billion in revenue by 2025.However -- and this is the big \"however\" -- Plug Power isn't profitable, and the growing likelihood of a U.S. recession, coupled with high inflation in most developed countries, could coerce businesses and governments to postpone their green-energy transition/spending to a later date.With Plug Power already valued at north of $9 billion, a lot of its future sales growth appears to be baked in. Until the company can plant its proverbial feet in the ground and deliver on the bottom line, a $78 price target will be hard to justify.Bionano Genomics: Implied upside of 474%A second supercharged growth stock with monumental upside, at least according to one Wall Street analyst, is small-cap genome analysis company Bionano Genomics. If Oppenheimer analyst Francois Brisebois is correct, Bionano shares will hit $12 in 2023, which would represent an upside of a cool 474%.Although Brisebois is the current analyst covering Bionano for Oppenheimer, it was his predecessor, Kevin DeGeeter, who primarily laid out the case for Bionano Genomics running to $12. In DeGeeter's view, Bionano's optical genome mapping (OGM) system, known as Saphyr, has demonstrated that it's faster, less expensive, and in many ways more effective at identifying structural genome variations than other OGM systems.One thing investors don't have to worry about with Bionano Genomics is a lack of data demonstrating Saphyr's efficacy. Over the past two years, the company has released numerous studies and data points extolling Saphyr's ability to recognize structural variations in everything from various types of cancer to genetic disorders and recurrent pregnancy loss. In theory, Saphyr can play a key role in helping researchers and drug developers fight hard-to-treat diseases.Another positive for Bionano Genomics is its healthy cash position. After its share price went parabolic to begin 2021, management wisely chose to issue stock to raise plenty of capital. The company ended September with approximately $180 million in cash, cash equivalents, and available-for-sale securities.  That's more than enough to offset quarterly losses as the company continues to innovate and look for ways to expand Saphyr's utility.So, why is Bionano Genomics at $2.09 per share and not $12? The answer to that question largely has to do with Saphyr not being an approved diagnostic system by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Without this approval, Saphyr's utility is limited within the United States. It's not exactly clear if and when Saphyr might get the green light from the FDA, either.Although Bionano's cash does provide a somewhat safe floor, the ceiling proposed by Brisebois and DeGeeter doesn't seem achievable without FDA support.Novavax: Implied upside of 1,153%The third supercharged growth stock with truly jaw-dropping upside potential, based on the price target of one analyst, is biotech stock Novavax. According to H.C. Wainwright analyst Vernon Bernardino, who last updated his firm's price target in March 2022, Novavax is poised to hit (drum roll) $207 per share. That represents a whopping 1,153% upside from where shares ended this past week.Bernardino's price target, which sits as the high-water mark among covering analysts, was based on the idea that Novavax would receive authorization to sell its protein-based COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373, worldwide. Whereas the Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech vaccines rely on messenger-RNA (mRNA) technology, the Novavax vaccine is differentiated in that it relies on an older and more traditional application of introducing harmless pieces of spike protein to teach a person's immune system how to fight and/or prevent infection. The thinking here is that folks who were leery of getting an mRNA vaccine might be more willing to receive an initial series or booster shots from Novavax's protein-based COVID-19 vaccine.Something else that's working in Novavax's favor is the efficacy of NVX-CoV2373. Only three COVID-19 vaccines have reached the highly coveted 90% vaccine efficacy (VE) level. Those being Moderna (94.1%), Pfizer/BioNTech (95%), and Novavax (90.4%) with its U.S./Mexico trial in 2021. Even though VE is just one measure of efficacy, it's a strong enough headline number to keep Novavax in the global rotation as a major initial series and booster vaccine player.Similar to Bionano, Novavax is swimming with cash. The company ended the third quarter with $1.28 billion in cash and cash equivalents, which is more than enough to cover the future repayment of its convertible notes and fuel ongoing research.  In particular, Novavax could be one of the first drug developers to bring a combination vaccine targeting COVID-19 and influenza to market.But even being a shareholder, I don't in any way foresee $207 as a viable price target for Novavax in 2023. With the company enduring numerous emergency-use filing delays and production snafus, it missed out on most of the low-hanging fruit in developed markets in 2022. Moving forward, it'll primarily be focusing its attention on recurring booster shots in developed countries and initial series vaccinations in emerging markets.While I believe Novavax is an amazing value at its current share price, it could take a couple of quarters before Wall Street realizes that as well. If sales growth continues, losses shrink, and the company advances its combination vaccines, it could certainly end 2023 on a much higher note than it'll finish 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9967574158,"gmtCreate":1670367453774,"gmtModify":1676538351647,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967574158","repostId":"2289816897","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9967357647,"gmtCreate":1670279674189,"gmtModify":1676538333603,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967357647","repostId":"2288034469","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2288034469","pubTimestamp":1670254323,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2288034469?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-05 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rates And The Dollar Are Sending Warning Signs To Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2288034469","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Powell's appearance on Wednesday was not only jaw-dropping but raised a lot of questions. Instead of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Powell&#39;s appearance on Wednesday was not only jaw-dropping but raised a lot of questions. Instead of pushing back against the recent easing of financial conditions, Powell made the same comments as he did at the November FOMC meeting and even stressed caution on overtightening.</p><p>This market has come to a point where anything that is not more hawkish than expected is dovish, leading to a big pop in the S&amp;P 500 following Powell&#39;s appearance. While Powell said almost nothing new, he didn&#39;t say enough to cause the market&#39;s recent easing of financial conditions to reverse.</p><p>It was shocking to hear because at every point before November 30, when financial conditions had eased too much, Powell would push back against the market. But this time, he didn&#39;t, and by not pushing back, he is telling the market he is okay with the recent easing of financial conditions.</p><p>The real question is why Powell would be okay with financial conditions easing. It is the exact opposite of what he has been saying about his desire to raise rates into restrictive territory.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b14e7287ef2ebde557c2c762382b6f3e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>What is even stranger than that is that the jobs data on Friday showed stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll numbers. But, wages rose by 0.6% month-over-month, the hottest reading since January 2022. They also increased by 5.1% year-over-year, while last month&#39;s numbers were all revised higher.</p><p>Meanwhile, the ISM manufacturing data was weaker than expected, suggesting the US economy is inching closer to recession. The ISM report noted that the reading of 49 indicated that the REAL GDP growth in the fourth quarter was around 0.1%.</p><p>The move in the ISM report indicates that S&amp;P 500 earnings growth could turn lower in 2023 and perhaps go negative. The relationship between the ISM manufacturing survey goes back a long time, and they, too, tend to track each other very well.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34b4ece5032dcd46b930fc970e935b00\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The slowing growth and higher wages suggest the recent changes in attitude from the bond market. The data suggest the economy could be very close to or is in a recession, which is likely to squeeze margins for companies and earnings. Earnings estimates do not reflect margin compression and are still pricing a lot of margin expansion.</p><p>Analysts&#39; estimates suggest that earnings in 2023 are expected to grow by around 7%, while sales are expected to rise by about 3%. Currently, analysts&#39; estimates are pricing in margin expansion in 2023. For there to be margin expansion, costs will need to be reduced; otherwise, earnings estimates are too high and need to be slashed.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c45e0b1141d0fecf0649dd89230770d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Cutting costs usually starts with letting workers go, and the best gauge for the unemployment rate may be the spread between the 10-year and 2-Year Treasury yield spread. In recent times the spread between the 10-year and 2-year yield tends to rise just before the unemployment rate starts to increase as the market anticipates the eventual rate-cutting cycle the Fed is about to embark on.</p><p>The current inversion is the deepest it has been since the early 1980s, and it tells us that unemployment is likely to stay low for some time longer. The current yield curve inversion has even stopped falling yet.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e496080213d87b9baac15b6fab3f9aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>But the yield curve inversion that has started to turn higher is the 10-year minus 2-year 18-month forward curve. This forward curve tends to lead the 10-2 year nominal curve by 6 to 12 months, and currently, that forward curve has returned to a neutral level near 0% as the nominal 10-2 yield curve is trading well below the forward curve.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1859642fc4382c863b8d13598ed0c511\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The forward curve suggests that the unemployment rate may be significantly higher over the next six months as companies look to shed the rising cost of wages as the economy slows. The data from Quant-Insight shows that the biggest drive in the recent move lower in the 10-year rate is risk aversion. An indication that the market is getting much more cautious and shifting into a risk-off regime.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b267e102ea6f61e2f6db897b258239ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Quant-Insight</p><p>Should the dollar continue to weaken and rates continue to fall, it would suggest that risk-off is taking hold. Eventually, the equity market will catch on to the risk-off sentiment, and that bad news is, again, bad news.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rates And The Dollar Are Sending Warning Signs To Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRates And The Dollar Are Sending Warning Signs To Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-05 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562212-rates-dollar-sending-warning-signs-markets><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Powell's appearance on Wednesday was not only jaw-dropping but raised a lot of questions. Instead of pushing back against the recent easing of financial conditions, Powell made the same comments as he...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562212-rates-dollar-sending-warning-signs-markets\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562212-rates-dollar-sending-warning-signs-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2288034469","content_text":"Powell's appearance on Wednesday was not only jaw-dropping but raised a lot of questions. Instead of pushing back against the recent easing of financial conditions, Powell made the same comments as he did at the November FOMC meeting and even stressed caution on overtightening.This market has come to a point where anything that is not more hawkish than expected is dovish, leading to a big pop in the S&P 500 following Powell's appearance. While Powell said almost nothing new, he didn't say enough to cause the market's recent easing of financial conditions to reverse.It was shocking to hear because at every point before November 30, when financial conditions had eased too much, Powell would push back against the market. But this time, he didn't, and by not pushing back, he is telling the market he is okay with the recent easing of financial conditions.The real question is why Powell would be okay with financial conditions easing. It is the exact opposite of what he has been saying about his desire to raise rates into restrictive territory.BloombergWhat is even stranger than that is that the jobs data on Friday showed stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll numbers. But, wages rose by 0.6% month-over-month, the hottest reading since January 2022. They also increased by 5.1% year-over-year, while last month's numbers were all revised higher.Meanwhile, the ISM manufacturing data was weaker than expected, suggesting the US economy is inching closer to recession. The ISM report noted that the reading of 49 indicated that the REAL GDP growth in the fourth quarter was around 0.1%.The move in the ISM report indicates that S&P 500 earnings growth could turn lower in 2023 and perhaps go negative. The relationship between the ISM manufacturing survey goes back a long time, and they, too, tend to track each other very well.BloombergThe slowing growth and higher wages suggest the recent changes in attitude from the bond market. The data suggest the economy could be very close to or is in a recession, which is likely to squeeze margins for companies and earnings. Earnings estimates do not reflect margin compression and are still pricing a lot of margin expansion.Analysts' estimates suggest that earnings in 2023 are expected to grow by around 7%, while sales are expected to rise by about 3%. Currently, analysts' estimates are pricing in margin expansion in 2023. For there to be margin expansion, costs will need to be reduced; otherwise, earnings estimates are too high and need to be slashed.BloombergCutting costs usually starts with letting workers go, and the best gauge for the unemployment rate may be the spread between the 10-year and 2-Year Treasury yield spread. In recent times the spread between the 10-year and 2-year yield tends to rise just before the unemployment rate starts to increase as the market anticipates the eventual rate-cutting cycle the Fed is about to embark on.The current inversion is the deepest it has been since the early 1980s, and it tells us that unemployment is likely to stay low for some time longer. The current yield curve inversion has even stopped falling yet.BloombergBut the yield curve inversion that has started to turn higher is the 10-year minus 2-year 18-month forward curve. This forward curve tends to lead the 10-2 year nominal curve by 6 to 12 months, and currently, that forward curve has returned to a neutral level near 0% as the nominal 10-2 yield curve is trading well below the forward curve.BloombergThe forward curve suggests that the unemployment rate may be significantly higher over the next six months as companies look to shed the rising cost of wages as the economy slows. The data from Quant-Insight shows that the biggest drive in the recent move lower in the 10-year rate is risk aversion. An indication that the market is getting much more cautious and shifting into a risk-off regime.Quant-InsightShould the dollar continue to weaken and rates continue to fall, it would suggest that risk-off is taking hold. Eventually, the equity market will catch on to the risk-off sentiment, and that bad news is, again, bad news.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965726528,"gmtCreate":1670027622064,"gmtModify":1676538290503,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"k","listText":"k","text":"k","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965726528","repostId":"1152464265","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152464265","pubTimestamp":1670022054,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152464265?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-03 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152464265","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Ha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8b5a354d9d687bd95cdff74dddc508\" tg-width=\"1214\" tg-height=\"811\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Halloween party are still hanging from a doorway. Two boxes of Legos sit on the floor of one bedroom. And then there are the shoes—dozens of sneakers and heels piled in the foyer, left behind by employees who fled the island of New Providence last month when his cryptocurrency exchangeFTX imploded.</p><p>“It’s been an interesting few weeks,” Bankman-Fried says in a chipper tone as he greets me. It’s a muggy Saturday afternoon, eight days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He’s shoeless, in white gym socks, a red T-shirt and wrinkled khaki shorts. His standard uniform.</p><p>This isn’t part of the typical tour Bankman-Fried gave to the many reporters who came to tell the tale of the boy-genius-crypto-billionaire who slept on a beanbag chair next to his desk and only got rich so he could give it all away, and it’s easy to see why. The apartment is at the top of one of the luxury condo buildings that border a marina in a gated community called Albany. Outside, deckhands buff the stanchions of a 200-foot yacht owned by a fracking billionaire. A bronze replica of Wall Street’s<i>Charging Bull</i>statue stands on the lawn, which is as manicured as the residents. I feel like I’ve crash-landed on an alien planet populated solely by the very rich and the people who work for them.</p><p>Bankman-Fried leads me down a marble-floored hallway to a small bedroom, where he perches on a plush brown couch. Always known for being jittery, he taps his foot so hard it rattles a coffee table, smacks gum and rubs his index finger with his thumb like he’s twirling an invisible fidget spinner. But he seems almost cheerful as he explains why he’s invited me into his 12,000-square-foot bolthole, against the advice of his lawyers, even as investigators from theUS Department of Justice probewhether he used customers’ funds to prop up his hedge fund, a crime that could send him to prison for years. (Spoiler alert: It sure looks like he did.)</p><p>“What I’m focusing on is what I can do, right now, to try and make things as right as possible,” Bankman-Fried says. “I can’t do that if I’m just focused on covering my ass.”</p><p>But he seems to be doing just that, with me here and all along the apology tour he’ll later embark on, which will include a video appearance at a<i>New York Times</i>conference and an interview on<i>Good Morning America</i>. He’s been trying to blame his firm’s failure on a hazy combination of comically poor bookkeeping, wildly misjudged risks and complete ignorance of what his hedge fund was doing. In other words, an alumnus of both MIT and the elite Wall Street trading firmJane Streetis arguing that he was just dumb with the numbers—not pulling a conscious fraud. Talking in detail to journalists about what’s certain to be the subject of extensive litigation seems like an unusual strategy, but it makes sense: The press helped him create his only-honest-man-in-crypto image, so why not use them to talk his way out of trouble?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79b2ba9ef6da8454146f200cdc460f6e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Bankman-Fried after an interview on<i>Bloomberg Wealth With David Rubenstein</i>on Aug. 17, 2022.Photographer: Jeenah Moon/Bloomberg</p><p>He doesn’t say so, but one reason he might be willing to speak with me is that I’m one of the reporters who helped build him up. After spending two days at FTX’s offices in February, I flew past the brightred flagsat his company—its lack of corporate governance, the ties to his Alameda Research hedge fund, its profligate spending on marketing, the fact that it operated largely outside US jurisdiction. Iwrote a storyfocused on whether Bankman-Fried would follow through on his plans to donate huge sums to charity and his connections to an unusual philanthropic movement calledeffective altruism.</p><p>It wasn’t the most embarrassingly puffy of the many puff pieces that came out about him. (“After my interview with SBF, I was convinced: I was talking to a future trillionaire,” one writer said in an article commissioned by a venture capital firm.) But my tone wasn’t entirely dissimilar. “Bankman-Fried is a thought experiment from a college philosophy seminar come to life,” I wrote. “Should someone who wants to save the world first amass as much money and power as possible, or will the pursuit corrupt him along the way?” Now it seems pretty clear that a better question would’ve been whether the business was ascam from the start.</p><p>I tell Bankman-Fried I want to talk about the decisions that led to FTX’s collapse, and why he took them. Earlier in the week, inlate-night DM exchangeswith a<i>Vox</i>reporter and on a phone call with a YouTuber, he made comments that many interpreted as an admission that everything he said was a lie. (“So the ethics stuff, mostly a front?” the<i>Vox</i>reporter asked. “Yeah,” Bankman-Fried replied.) He’d spoken so cynically about his motivations that to many it seemed like a comic book character was pulling off his mask to reveal the villain who’d been hiding there all along.</p><p>I set out on this visit with a different working theory. Maybe I was feeling the tug of my past reporting, but I still didn’t think the talk about charity was all made up. Since he was a teenager, Bankman-Fried has described himself as utilitarian—following the philosophy that the correct action is the one likely to result in the greatest good for the greatest number of people. He said his endgame was making and donating enough money to prevent pandemics and stop runaway artificial intelligence from destroying humanity. Faced with a crisis, and believing he was the hero of his own sci-fi movie, he might’ve thought it was right to make a crazy, even illegal, gamble to save his company.</p><p>To be clear, if that’s what happened, it’s the logic of a megalomaniac, not a martyr. The money wasn’t his to gamble with, and “the ends justify the means” is a cliché of bad ethics. But if it’s what he believed, he might still think he’d made the right decision, even if it didn’t work out. It seemed to me that’s what he meant when he messaged<i>Vox</i>, “The worst quadrant is sketchy + lose. The best is win + ???” I want to probe that, in part because it might get him to talk more candidly about what had happened to his customers’ money.</p><p>I decide to approach the topic gingerly, on terms I think he’ll relate to, as it seems he’s in less of a crime-confess-y mood. He’s said he likes to evaluate decisions in terms of expected value—the odds of success times the likely payoff—so I begin by asking: “Should I judge you by your impact, or by the expected value of your decision?”</p><p>“When all is said and done, what matters is your actual realized impact. Like, that’s what actually matters to the world,” he says. “But, obviously, there’s luck.”</p><p>That’s the in I’m looking for. For the next 11 hours—with breaks for fundraising calls and a very awkward dinner—I try to get him to tell me exactly what he meant. He denies that he’s committed fraud or lied to anyone and blames FTX’s failure on his sloppiness and inattention. But at points it seems like he’s saying he got<i>un</i>lucky, or miscalculated the odds.</p><p>Bankman-Fried tells me he’s still got a chance to raise $8 billion to save his company. He seems delusional, or committed to pretending this is still an error he can fix, and either way, the few supporters remaining at his penthouse seem unlikely to set him straight. The grim scene reminds me a bit of the end of<i>Scarface</i>, with Tony Montana holed up in his mansion, semi-incoherent, his unknown enemies sneaking closer. But instead of mountains of cocaine, Bankman-Fried is clinging to spreadsheet tabs filled with wildly optimistic cryptocurrency valuations.</p><p>Think of FTX like an offshore casino. Customers sent in money, then gambled on the price of hundreds ofcryptocurrencies—not just Bitcoin or Ether, but more obscure coins. In crypto slang, the latter are called shitcoins, because almost no one knows what they’re for. But in the past few years, otherwise respectable people, from retired dentists to heads of state, convinced themselves that these coins werethe future of finance. Or at least that enough other people might think so to make the price go up. Bankman-Fried’s casino was growing so fast that earlier this year some of Silicon Valley’s top venture capitalists invested in it at a $32 billion valuation.</p><p>The problem surfaced last month. After a rival crypto-casino kingpin raised concerns about FTX on Twitter, customers rushed to cash in their chips. But when Bankman-Fried’s casino opened the vault, their money wasn’t there. According to multiple news reports citing people familiar with the matter, it had been secretly lent to Bankman-Fried’s hedge fund, which had lost it in some mix of bad bets, insane spending and perhaps something even sketchier. John Ray III, the lawyer who’s now chief executive officer of the bankrupt exchange, has alleged in court that FTX covered up the loans using secret software.</p><p>Bankman-Fried denies this again to me. Returning to the framework of expected value, I ask him if the decisions he made were correct.</p><p>“I think that I’ve made a lot of plus-EV decisions and a few very large boneheaded decisions,” he says. “Certainly in retrospect, those very large decisions were very bad, and may end up overwhelming everything else.”</p><p>The chain of events, in his telling, started about four years ago. Bankman-Fried was in Hong Kong, where he’d moved from Berkeley, California, with a small group of friends from the effective-altruism community. Together they ran a successful startup crypto hedge fund,Alameda Research. (The name itself was an early example of his casual attitude toward rules—it was chosen to avoid scrutiny from banks, which frequently closed its accounts. “If we named our company like, Shitcoin Daytraders Inc., they’d probably just reject us,” Bankman-Fried told a podcaster in 2021. “But, I mean, no one doesn’t like research.”)</p><p>The fund had made millions of dollars exploiting inefficiencies across cryptocurrency exchanges. (Ex-employees, even those otherwise critical of Bankman-Fried, have said this is true, though some have said Alameda then lost some of that money because of bad trades and mismanagement.) Bankman-Fried and his friends began considering starting their own exchange—what would become FTX.</p><p>The way Bankman-Fried later described this decision reveals his attitude toward risk. He estimated there was an 80% chance the exchange would fail to attract enough customers. But he’s said one should always take a bet, even a long-shot one, if the expected value is positive, calling this stance “risk neutral.” But it actually meant he would take risks that to a normal person sound insane. “As an individual, to make a bet where it’s like, ‘I’m going to gamble my $10 billion and either get $20 billion or $0, with equal probability,’ would be madness,” Rob Wiblin, host of an effective-altruism podcast, said to Bankman-Fried in April. “But from an altruistic point of view, it’s not so crazy.”</p><p>“Completely agree,” Bankman-Fried replied. He told another interviewer that he’d make a bet described as a chance of “51% you double the earth out somewhere else, 49% it all disappears.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried and his friends jump-started FTX by having Alameda provide liquidity. It was a huge conflict of interest. Imagine if the top executives at an online poker site also entered its high-stakes tournaments—the temptation to cheat by peeking at other players’ cards would be huge. But Bankman-Fried assured customers that Alameda would play by the same rules as everyone else, and enough people came to trade that FTX took off. “Having Alameda provide liquidity on FTX early on was the right decision, because I think that helped make FTX a great product for users, even though it obviously ended up backfiring,” Bankman-Fried tells me.</p><p>Part of FTX’s appeal was that it was mostly a derivatives exchange, which allowed customers to trade “on margin,” meaning with borrowed money. That’s a key to his defense. Bankman-Fried argues no one should be surprised that big traders on FTX, including Alameda, were borrowing from the exchange, and that his fund’s position just somehow got out of hand. “Everyone was borrowing and lending,” he says. “That’s been its calling card.” But FTX’s normal margin system, crypto traders tell me, would never have permitted anyone to accumulate a debt that looked like Alameda’s. When I ask if Alameda had to follow the same margin rules as other traders, he admits the fund did not. “There was more leeway,” he says.</p><p>That wouldn’t have been so important had Alameda stuck to its original trading strategy of relatively low-risk arbitrage trades. But in 2020 and 2021, as Bankman-Fried became the face of FTX, amajor political donorand a favorite of Silicon Valley, Alameda faced more competition in that market-making business. It shifted its strategy to, essentially, gambling on shitcoins.</p><p>As Caroline Ellison, then Alameda’s co-CEO, explained in aMarch 2021 post on Twitter: “The way to really make money is figure out when the market is going to go up and get balls long before that,” she wrote, adding that she’d learned the strategy from the classic market-manipulation memoir,<i>Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.</i>Her co-CEO said in another tweet that a profitable strategy was buying Dogecoin becauseElon Musktweeted about it.</p><p>The reason they were bragging about what sounded like a high schooler’s tactics was that it was working better than anyone knew. When we spoke in February 2022, Bankman-Fried told me that Alameda had made $1 billion the previous year. He now says that was Alameda’s arbitrage profits. On top of that, its shitcoins gained tens of billions of dollars of value, at least on paper. “If you mark everything to market, I do believe at one point my net worth got to $100 billion,” Bankman-Fried says.</p><p>Any trader would know this wasn’t nearly as good as it sounded. The large pile of tokens couldn’t be turned into cash without crashing the market. Much of it was even made of tokens that Bankman-Fried and his friends had spun up themselves, such as FTT, Serum or Maps—the official currency of a nonsensical crypto-meets-mapping app—or were closely affiliated with, like Solana. While Bankman-Fried acknowledges the pile was worth something less than $100 billion—maybe he’d mark it down a third, he says—he maintains that he could have extracted quite a lot of real money from his holdings.</p><p>But he didn’t. Instead, Alameda borrowed billions of dollars from other crypto lenders—not FTX—and sunk them into more crypto bets. Publicly, Bankman-Fried presented himself as an ethical operator andcalled for regulationto rein in crypto’s worst excesses. But through his hedge fund, he’d actually become the market’s most degenerate gambler. I ask him why, if he really thought he could sell the tokens, he didn’t. “Why not, like, take some risk off?”</p><p>“OK. In retrospect, absolutely. That would’ve been the right, like, unambiguously the right thing to do,” he says. “But also it was just, like, hilariously well-capitalized.”</p><p>Near the peak of the great shitcoin boom, in April 2022, FTX hosted a lavish conference at a resort and casino in Nassau. It was Bankman-Fried’s coming out party. He got to share the stage with quarterback Tom Brady. Also there: former Prime Minister Tony Blair and ex-President Bill Clinton, who extended a fatherly hand when the young crypto executive seemed nervous. The author Michael Lewis, who’s working on a book about Bankman-Fried, praised him in a fawning interview onstage. “You’re breaking land speed records. And I don’t think people are really noticing what’s happened, just how dramatic the revolution has become,” Lewis said, asking when crypto would take over Wall Street.</p><p>The next month, thecrypto crash began. It started when a popular set of coins called Terra and Luna collapsed, wiping out $60 billion. Terra and Luna were almost openly a Ponzi scheme, but some of the biggest crypto funds had invested in them with borrowed money and went bankrupt. This made the lenders who’d lent billions of dollars to Alameda nervous. They asked Alameda to repay the loans, with real money. It needed billions of dollars, fast, or it would go bust.</p><p>There are two different versions of what happened next. Two people with knowledge of the matter told me that Ellison, by then the sole head of Alameda, had told her side of the story to her staff amid the crisis. Ellison said that she, Bankman-Fried and his two top lieutenants—Gary Wang and Nishad Singh—had discussed the shortfall. Instead of admitting Alameda’s failure, they decided to use FTX customer funds to cover it, according to the people. If that’s true, all four executives would’ve knowingly committed fraud. (Ellison, Wang and Singh didn’t respond to messages seeking comment.)</p><p>When I put this to Bankman-Fried, he screws up his eyes, furrows his eyebrows, puts his hands in his hair and thinks for a few seconds.</p><p>“So, it’s not how I remember what happened,” Bankman-Fried says. But he surprises me by acknowledging that there had been a meeting, post-Luna crash, where they debated what to do about Alameda’s debts. The way he tells it, he was packing for a trip to DC and “only kibitzing on parts of the discussion.” It didn’t seem like a crisis, he says. It was a matter of extending a bit more credit to a fund that already traded on margin and still had a pile of collateral worth way more than enough to cover the loan. (Although the pile of collateral was largely shitcoins.)</p><p>“That was the point at which Alameda’s margin position on FTX got, well, it got more leveraged substantially,” he says. “Obviously, in retrospect, we should’ve just said no. I sort of didn’t realize then how large the position had gotten.”</p><p>“You were all aware there was a chance this would not work,” I say.</p><p>“That’s right,” he says. “But I thought that the risk was substantially smaller.”</p><p>I try to imagine what he could’ve been thinking. If FTX had liquidated Alameda’s position, the fund would’ve gone bankrupt, and even if the exchange didn’t take direct losses, customers would’ve lost confidence in it. Bankman-Fried points out that the companies that lent money to Alameda might have failed, too, causing a hard-to-predict cascade of events.</p><p>“Now let’s say you don’t margin call Alameda,” I posit. “Maybe you think there’s like a 70% chance everything will be OK, it’ll all work out?”</p><p>“Yes, but also in the cases where it didn’t work out, I thought the downside was not nearly as high as it was,” he says. “I thought that there was the risk of a much smaller hole. I thought it was going to be manageable.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried pulls out his laptop (an Acer Predator) and opens a spreadsheet to show what he meant. It’s similar to thebalance sheethe reportedly showed investors when he was seeking a last-minute bailout, which he says consolidated FTX and Alameda’s positions because by then the fund had defaulted on its debt. On one line—labeled “What I *thought*”—he lists $8.9 billion in debts and way more than enough money to pay them: $9 billion in liquid assets, $15.4 billion in “less liquid” assets and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” ones. He tells me this was more or less the position he was considering when he had the meeting with the other executives.</p><p>“It looks naively to me like, you know, there’s still some significant liabilities out there, but, like, we should be able to cover it,” he says.</p><p>“So what’s the problem, then?”</p><p>Bankman-Fried points to another place on the spreadsheet, which he says shows the actual truth of the situation at the time of the meeting. This one shows similar numbers, but with $8 billion less liquid assets.</p><p>“What’s the difference between these two rows here?” he asks.</p><p>“You didn’t have $8 billion in cash that you thought you had,” I say.</p><p>“That’s correct. Yes.”</p><p>“You misplaced $8 billion?” I ask.</p><p>“Misaccounted,” Bankman-Fried says, sounding almost proud of his explanation. Sometimes, he says, customers would wire money to Alameda Research instead of sending it directly to FTX. (Some banks were more willing to work with the hedge fund than the exchange, for some reason.) He claims that somehow, FTX’s internal accounting system double-counted this money, essentially crediting it to both the exchange and the fund.</p><p>That still doesn’t explain why the money was gone. “Where did the $8 billion go?” I ask.</p><p>To answer, Bankman-Fried creates a new tab on the spreadsheet and starts typing. He lists Alameda and FTX’s biggest cash flows. One of the biggest expenses is paying a net $2.5 billion toBinance, a rival, to buy out its investment in FTX. He also lists $250 million for real estate, $1.5 billion for expenses, $4 billion for venture capital investments, $1.5 billion for acquisitions and $1 billion labeled “fuckups.” Even accounting for both firms’ profits, and all the venture capital money raised by FTX, it tallies to negative $6.5 billion.</p><p>Bankman-Fried is telling me that the billions of dollars customers wired to Alameda is gone simply because the companies spent way more than they made. He claims he paid so little attention to his expenses that he didn’t realize he was spending more than he was taking in. “I was real lazy about this mental math,” the former physics major says. He creates another column in his spreadsheet and types in much lower numbers to show what he thought he was spending at the time.</p><p>It seems to me like he is, without saying it exactly, blaming his underlings for FTX’s failure, especially Ellison, the head of Alameda. The two had dated and lived together at times. She was part of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund, which was supposed to distribute FTX and Alameda’s earnings to effective-altruist-approved causes. It seems unlikely she would’ve blown billions of dollars without asking. “People might take, like, the TLDR as, like, it was my ex-girlfriend’s fault,” I tell him. “That is sort of what you’re saying.”</p><p>“I think the biggest failure was that it wasn’t entirely clear whose fault it was,” he says.</p><p>Bankman-Fried tells me he has to make a call. After a while, the sun goes down and I’m hungry. I’m allowed to join a group of Bankman-Fried’s supporters for dinner, as long as I don’t mention their names.</p><p>With the curtains drawn, the living room looks considerably less grand than it does in pictures. I’ve been told that FTX employees gathered here amid the crisis, while Bankman-Fried worked in another apartment. Addled by stress and sleep deprivation, they wept and hugged one another. Most didn’t say goodbye as they left the island, one by one. Many flew back to their childhood homes to be with their parents.</p><p>The supporters at the dinner tell me they feel like the press has been unfair. They say that Bankman-Fried and his friends weren’t the polyamorous partiers the tabloids have portrayed and that they did little besides work. Earlier in the week, a Bahamian man who’d served as FTX’s round-the-clock chauffeur and gofer also told me the reports weren’t true. “People make it seem like this big<i>Wolf of Wall Street</i>thing,” he said. “Bro, it was a bunch of nerds.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87535c118f069e782e80762398d0a9c\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"1000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Illustration: Maxime Mouysset for Bloomberg Businessweek</p><p>By the time I finish my plate of off-the-record rice and beans, Bankman-Fried is free again. We return to the study. He’s barefoot now, having balled up his gym socks and stuffed them behind a couch cushion. He lies on the couch, his computer on his lap. The light from the screen casts shadows of his curls on his forehead.</p><p>I notice a skin-colored patch on his arm. He tells me it’s a transdermal antidepressant, selegiline. I ask if he’s using it as a performance enhancer or to treat depression. “Nothing’s binary,” he says. “But I’ve been borderline depressed for my whole life.” He adds that he also sometimes takes Adderall—“10 milligrams at a time, a few times a day”—as did some of his colleagues, but that talk of drug use is overblown. “I don’t think that was the problem,” he says.</p><p>I tell Bankman-Fried my theory about his motivation, sidestepping the question of whether he misappropriated customer funds. Bankman-Fried denies that his world-saving goals made him willing to take giant gambles. As we talk more, it seems like he’s saying he made some kind of bet but hadn’t calculated the expected value properly.</p><p>“I was comfortable taking the risk that, like, I may end up kind of falling flat,” he says, staring at his computer screen, where he had pulled up a game and was leading an army of cartoon knights and fairies into battle. “But what actually happened was disastrously bad and, like, no significant chance of that happening would’ve made sense to risk, and that was a fuckup. Like, that was a mass miscalculation in downside.”</p><p>I read Bankman-Fried a post by Will MacAskill, one of the founders of the effective-altruism movement. He recruited Bankman-Fried into it when he was a junior at MIT and this year had joined the board of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund. On Nov. 11,MacAskill wrote on Twitterthat Bankman-Fried had betrayed him. “For years, the EA community has emphasized the importance of integrity, honesty and the respect of common-sense moral constraints,” MacAskill wrote. “If customer funds were misused, then Sam did not listen; he must have thought he was above such considerations.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried closes his eyes and pushes his toes against one arm of the couch, clenching the other arm with his hands. “That’s not how I view what happened,” he says. “But I did fuck up. I think really what I want to say is, like, I’m really fucking sorry. By far the worst thing about this is that it will tarnish the reputation of people who are dedicated to doing nothing but what they thought was best for the world.” Bankman-Fried trails off. On his computer screen, his army casts spells and swings swords unattended.</p><p>I ask what he’d say to people who are comparing him to the most famous Ponzi schemer of recent times. “Bernie Madoff also said he had good intentions and gave a lot to charity,” I say.</p><p>“FTX was a legitimate, profitable, thriving business. And I fucked up by, like, allowing a margin position to get too big on it. One that endangered the platform. It was a completely unnecessary and unforced error, which like maybe I got super unlucky on, but, like, that was my bad.”</p><p>“It fucking sucks,” he adds. “But it wasn’t inherent to what the business was. It was just a fuckup. A huge fuckup.”</p><p>To me, it doesn’t really seem like a fuckup. Even if I believe that he misplaced and accidentally spent $8 billion, he’s already told me that Alameda had been allowed to violate FTX’s margin rules. This wasn’t some little technical thing. He was so proud of FTX’s margining system that he’d been lobbying regulators for it to be used on US exchanges instead of traditional safeguards. In May, Bankman-Fried himself said on Twitter that exchanges should never extend credit to a fund and put other customers’ assets at risk. He wrote that the idea an exchange would even have that discretion was “scary.” I read him the tweets and ask: “Isn’t that, like, exactly what you did, right around that time?”</p><p>“Yeah, I guess that’s kind of fair,” he says. Then he seems to claim that this was evidence the rules he was lobbying for were a good idea. “I think this is one of the things that would have stopped.”</p><p>“You had a rule on your platform. You didn’t follow it,” I say.</p><p>By now it’s past midnight, and—operating without the benefit of any prescription stimulants—I’m worn out. I ask Bankman-Fried if I can see the apartment’s deck before I leave. Outside, crickets chirp as we stand by the pool. The marina is dark, lit only by the spotlights of yachts. As I say goodbye, Bankman-Fried bites into a burger bun and starts talking about potential bailouts with one of his supporters.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-03 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152464265","content_text":"Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Halloween party are still hanging from a doorway. Two boxes of Legos sit on the floor of one bedroom. And then there are the shoes—dozens of sneakers and heels piled in the foyer, left behind by employees who fled the island of New Providence last month when his cryptocurrency exchangeFTX imploded.“It’s been an interesting few weeks,” Bankman-Fried says in a chipper tone as he greets me. It’s a muggy Saturday afternoon, eight days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He’s shoeless, in white gym socks, a red T-shirt and wrinkled khaki shorts. His standard uniform.This isn’t part of the typical tour Bankman-Fried gave to the many reporters who came to tell the tale of the boy-genius-crypto-billionaire who slept on a beanbag chair next to his desk and only got rich so he could give it all away, and it’s easy to see why. The apartment is at the top of one of the luxury condo buildings that border a marina in a gated community called Albany. Outside, deckhands buff the stanchions of a 200-foot yacht owned by a fracking billionaire. A bronze replica of Wall Street’sCharging Bullstatue stands on the lawn, which is as manicured as the residents. I feel like I’ve crash-landed on an alien planet populated solely by the very rich and the people who work for them.Bankman-Fried leads me down a marble-floored hallway to a small bedroom, where he perches on a plush brown couch. Always known for being jittery, he taps his foot so hard it rattles a coffee table, smacks gum and rubs his index finger with his thumb like he’s twirling an invisible fidget spinner. But he seems almost cheerful as he explains why he’s invited me into his 12,000-square-foot bolthole, against the advice of his lawyers, even as investigators from theUS Department of Justice probewhether he used customers’ funds to prop up his hedge fund, a crime that could send him to prison for years. (Spoiler alert: It sure looks like he did.)“What I’m focusing on is what I can do, right now, to try and make things as right as possible,” Bankman-Fried says. “I can’t do that if I’m just focused on covering my ass.”But he seems to be doing just that, with me here and all along the apology tour he’ll later embark on, which will include a video appearance at aNew York Timesconference and an interview onGood Morning America. He’s been trying to blame his firm’s failure on a hazy combination of comically poor bookkeeping, wildly misjudged risks and complete ignorance of what his hedge fund was doing. In other words, an alumnus of both MIT and the elite Wall Street trading firmJane Streetis arguing that he was just dumb with the numbers—not pulling a conscious fraud. Talking in detail to journalists about what’s certain to be the subject of extensive litigation seems like an unusual strategy, but it makes sense: The press helped him create his only-honest-man-in-crypto image, so why not use them to talk his way out of trouble?Bankman-Fried after an interview onBloomberg Wealth With David Rubensteinon Aug. 17, 2022.Photographer: Jeenah Moon/BloombergHe doesn’t say so, but one reason he might be willing to speak with me is that I’m one of the reporters who helped build him up. After spending two days at FTX’s offices in February, I flew past the brightred flagsat his company—its lack of corporate governance, the ties to his Alameda Research hedge fund, its profligate spending on marketing, the fact that it operated largely outside US jurisdiction. Iwrote a storyfocused on whether Bankman-Fried would follow through on his plans to donate huge sums to charity and his connections to an unusual philanthropic movement calledeffective altruism.It wasn’t the most embarrassingly puffy of the many puff pieces that came out about him. (“After my interview with SBF, I was convinced: I was talking to a future trillionaire,” one writer said in an article commissioned by a venture capital firm.) But my tone wasn’t entirely dissimilar. “Bankman-Fried is a thought experiment from a college philosophy seminar come to life,” I wrote. “Should someone who wants to save the world first amass as much money and power as possible, or will the pursuit corrupt him along the way?” Now it seems pretty clear that a better question would’ve been whether the business was ascam from the start.I tell Bankman-Fried I want to talk about the decisions that led to FTX’s collapse, and why he took them. Earlier in the week, inlate-night DM exchangeswith aVoxreporter and on a phone call with a YouTuber, he made comments that many interpreted as an admission that everything he said was a lie. (“So the ethics stuff, mostly a front?” theVoxreporter asked. “Yeah,” Bankman-Fried replied.) He’d spoken so cynically about his motivations that to many it seemed like a comic book character was pulling off his mask to reveal the villain who’d been hiding there all along.I set out on this visit with a different working theory. Maybe I was feeling the tug of my past reporting, but I still didn’t think the talk about charity was all made up. Since he was a teenager, Bankman-Fried has described himself as utilitarian—following the philosophy that the correct action is the one likely to result in the greatest good for the greatest number of people. He said his endgame was making and donating enough money to prevent pandemics and stop runaway artificial intelligence from destroying humanity. Faced with a crisis, and believing he was the hero of his own sci-fi movie, he might’ve thought it was right to make a crazy, even illegal, gamble to save his company.To be clear, if that’s what happened, it’s the logic of a megalomaniac, not a martyr. The money wasn’t his to gamble with, and “the ends justify the means” is a cliché of bad ethics. But if it’s what he believed, he might still think he’d made the right decision, even if it didn’t work out. It seemed to me that’s what he meant when he messagedVox, “The worst quadrant is sketchy + lose. The best is win + ???” I want to probe that, in part because it might get him to talk more candidly about what had happened to his customers’ money.I decide to approach the topic gingerly, on terms I think he’ll relate to, as it seems he’s in less of a crime-confess-y mood. He’s said he likes to evaluate decisions in terms of expected value—the odds of success times the likely payoff—so I begin by asking: “Should I judge you by your impact, or by the expected value of your decision?”“When all is said and done, what matters is your actual realized impact. Like, that’s what actually matters to the world,” he says. “But, obviously, there’s luck.”That’s the in I’m looking for. For the next 11 hours—with breaks for fundraising calls and a very awkward dinner—I try to get him to tell me exactly what he meant. He denies that he’s committed fraud or lied to anyone and blames FTX’s failure on his sloppiness and inattention. But at points it seems like he’s saying he gotunlucky, or miscalculated the odds.Bankman-Fried tells me he’s still got a chance to raise $8 billion to save his company. He seems delusional, or committed to pretending this is still an error he can fix, and either way, the few supporters remaining at his penthouse seem unlikely to set him straight. The grim scene reminds me a bit of the end ofScarface, with Tony Montana holed up in his mansion, semi-incoherent, his unknown enemies sneaking closer. But instead of mountains of cocaine, Bankman-Fried is clinging to spreadsheet tabs filled with wildly optimistic cryptocurrency valuations.Think of FTX like an offshore casino. Customers sent in money, then gambled on the price of hundreds ofcryptocurrencies—not just Bitcoin or Ether, but more obscure coins. In crypto slang, the latter are called shitcoins, because almost no one knows what they’re for. But in the past few years, otherwise respectable people, from retired dentists to heads of state, convinced themselves that these coins werethe future of finance. Or at least that enough other people might think so to make the price go up. Bankman-Fried’s casino was growing so fast that earlier this year some of Silicon Valley’s top venture capitalists invested in it at a $32 billion valuation.The problem surfaced last month. After a rival crypto-casino kingpin raised concerns about FTX on Twitter, customers rushed to cash in their chips. But when Bankman-Fried’s casino opened the vault, their money wasn’t there. According to multiple news reports citing people familiar with the matter, it had been secretly lent to Bankman-Fried’s hedge fund, which had lost it in some mix of bad bets, insane spending and perhaps something even sketchier. John Ray III, the lawyer who’s now chief executive officer of the bankrupt exchange, has alleged in court that FTX covered up the loans using secret software.Bankman-Fried denies this again to me. Returning to the framework of expected value, I ask him if the decisions he made were correct.“I think that I’ve made a lot of plus-EV decisions and a few very large boneheaded decisions,” he says. “Certainly in retrospect, those very large decisions were very bad, and may end up overwhelming everything else.”The chain of events, in his telling, started about four years ago. Bankman-Fried was in Hong Kong, where he’d moved from Berkeley, California, with a small group of friends from the effective-altruism community. Together they ran a successful startup crypto hedge fund,Alameda Research. (The name itself was an early example of his casual attitude toward rules—it was chosen to avoid scrutiny from banks, which frequently closed its accounts. “If we named our company like, Shitcoin Daytraders Inc., they’d probably just reject us,” Bankman-Fried told a podcaster in 2021. “But, I mean, no one doesn’t like research.”)The fund had made millions of dollars exploiting inefficiencies across cryptocurrency exchanges. (Ex-employees, even those otherwise critical of Bankman-Fried, have said this is true, though some have said Alameda then lost some of that money because of bad trades and mismanagement.) Bankman-Fried and his friends began considering starting their own exchange—what would become FTX.The way Bankman-Fried later described this decision reveals his attitude toward risk. He estimated there was an 80% chance the exchange would fail to attract enough customers. But he’s said one should always take a bet, even a long-shot one, if the expected value is positive, calling this stance “risk neutral.” But it actually meant he would take risks that to a normal person sound insane. “As an individual, to make a bet where it’s like, ‘I’m going to gamble my $10 billion and either get $20 billion or $0, with equal probability,’ would be madness,” Rob Wiblin, host of an effective-altruism podcast, said to Bankman-Fried in April. “But from an altruistic point of view, it’s not so crazy.”“Completely agree,” Bankman-Fried replied. He told another interviewer that he’d make a bet described as a chance of “51% you double the earth out somewhere else, 49% it all disappears.”Bankman-Fried and his friends jump-started FTX by having Alameda provide liquidity. It was a huge conflict of interest. Imagine if the top executives at an online poker site also entered its high-stakes tournaments—the temptation to cheat by peeking at other players’ cards would be huge. But Bankman-Fried assured customers that Alameda would play by the same rules as everyone else, and enough people came to trade that FTX took off. “Having Alameda provide liquidity on FTX early on was the right decision, because I think that helped make FTX a great product for users, even though it obviously ended up backfiring,” Bankman-Fried tells me.Part of FTX’s appeal was that it was mostly a derivatives exchange, which allowed customers to trade “on margin,” meaning with borrowed money. That’s a key to his defense. Bankman-Fried argues no one should be surprised that big traders on FTX, including Alameda, were borrowing from the exchange, and that his fund’s position just somehow got out of hand. “Everyone was borrowing and lending,” he says. “That’s been its calling card.” But FTX’s normal margin system, crypto traders tell me, would never have permitted anyone to accumulate a debt that looked like Alameda’s. When I ask if Alameda had to follow the same margin rules as other traders, he admits the fund did not. “There was more leeway,” he says.That wouldn’t have been so important had Alameda stuck to its original trading strategy of relatively low-risk arbitrage trades. But in 2020 and 2021, as Bankman-Fried became the face of FTX, amajor political donorand a favorite of Silicon Valley, Alameda faced more competition in that market-making business. It shifted its strategy to, essentially, gambling on shitcoins.As Caroline Ellison, then Alameda’s co-CEO, explained in aMarch 2021 post on Twitter: “The way to really make money is figure out when the market is going to go up and get balls long before that,” she wrote, adding that she’d learned the strategy from the classic market-manipulation memoir,Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.Her co-CEO said in another tweet that a profitable strategy was buying Dogecoin becauseElon Musktweeted about it.The reason they were bragging about what sounded like a high schooler’s tactics was that it was working better than anyone knew. When we spoke in February 2022, Bankman-Fried told me that Alameda had made $1 billion the previous year. He now says that was Alameda’s arbitrage profits. On top of that, its shitcoins gained tens of billions of dollars of value, at least on paper. “If you mark everything to market, I do believe at one point my net worth got to $100 billion,” Bankman-Fried says.Any trader would know this wasn’t nearly as good as it sounded. The large pile of tokens couldn’t be turned into cash without crashing the market. Much of it was even made of tokens that Bankman-Fried and his friends had spun up themselves, such as FTT, Serum or Maps—the official currency of a nonsensical crypto-meets-mapping app—or were closely affiliated with, like Solana. While Bankman-Fried acknowledges the pile was worth something less than $100 billion—maybe he’d mark it down a third, he says—he maintains that he could have extracted quite a lot of real money from his holdings.But he didn’t. Instead, Alameda borrowed billions of dollars from other crypto lenders—not FTX—and sunk them into more crypto bets. Publicly, Bankman-Fried presented himself as an ethical operator andcalled for regulationto rein in crypto’s worst excesses. But through his hedge fund, he’d actually become the market’s most degenerate gambler. I ask him why, if he really thought he could sell the tokens, he didn’t. “Why not, like, take some risk off?”“OK. In retrospect, absolutely. That would’ve been the right, like, unambiguously the right thing to do,” he says. “But also it was just, like, hilariously well-capitalized.”Near the peak of the great shitcoin boom, in April 2022, FTX hosted a lavish conference at a resort and casino in Nassau. It was Bankman-Fried’s coming out party. He got to share the stage with quarterback Tom Brady. Also there: former Prime Minister Tony Blair and ex-President Bill Clinton, who extended a fatherly hand when the young crypto executive seemed nervous. The author Michael Lewis, who’s working on a book about Bankman-Fried, praised him in a fawning interview onstage. “You’re breaking land speed records. And I don’t think people are really noticing what’s happened, just how dramatic the revolution has become,” Lewis said, asking when crypto would take over Wall Street.The next month, thecrypto crash began. It started when a popular set of coins called Terra and Luna collapsed, wiping out $60 billion. Terra and Luna were almost openly a Ponzi scheme, but some of the biggest crypto funds had invested in them with borrowed money and went bankrupt. This made the lenders who’d lent billions of dollars to Alameda nervous. They asked Alameda to repay the loans, with real money. It needed billions of dollars, fast, or it would go bust.There are two different versions of what happened next. Two people with knowledge of the matter told me that Ellison, by then the sole head of Alameda, had told her side of the story to her staff amid the crisis. Ellison said that she, Bankman-Fried and his two top lieutenants—Gary Wang and Nishad Singh—had discussed the shortfall. Instead of admitting Alameda’s failure, they decided to use FTX customer funds to cover it, according to the people. If that’s true, all four executives would’ve knowingly committed fraud. (Ellison, Wang and Singh didn’t respond to messages seeking comment.)When I put this to Bankman-Fried, he screws up his eyes, furrows his eyebrows, puts his hands in his hair and thinks for a few seconds.“So, it’s not how I remember what happened,” Bankman-Fried says. But he surprises me by acknowledging that there had been a meeting, post-Luna crash, where they debated what to do about Alameda’s debts. The way he tells it, he was packing for a trip to DC and “only kibitzing on parts of the discussion.” It didn’t seem like a crisis, he says. It was a matter of extending a bit more credit to a fund that already traded on margin and still had a pile of collateral worth way more than enough to cover the loan. (Although the pile of collateral was largely shitcoins.)“That was the point at which Alameda’s margin position on FTX got, well, it got more leveraged substantially,” he says. “Obviously, in retrospect, we should’ve just said no. I sort of didn’t realize then how large the position had gotten.”“You were all aware there was a chance this would not work,” I say.“That’s right,” he says. “But I thought that the risk was substantially smaller.”I try to imagine what he could’ve been thinking. If FTX had liquidated Alameda’s position, the fund would’ve gone bankrupt, and even if the exchange didn’t take direct losses, customers would’ve lost confidence in it. Bankman-Fried points out that the companies that lent money to Alameda might have failed, too, causing a hard-to-predict cascade of events.“Now let’s say you don’t margin call Alameda,” I posit. “Maybe you think there’s like a 70% chance everything will be OK, it’ll all work out?”“Yes, but also in the cases where it didn’t work out, I thought the downside was not nearly as high as it was,” he says. “I thought that there was the risk of a much smaller hole. I thought it was going to be manageable.”Bankman-Fried pulls out his laptop (an Acer Predator) and opens a spreadsheet to show what he meant. It’s similar to thebalance sheethe reportedly showed investors when he was seeking a last-minute bailout, which he says consolidated FTX and Alameda’s positions because by then the fund had defaulted on its debt. On one line—labeled “What I *thought*”—he lists $8.9 billion in debts and way more than enough money to pay them: $9 billion in liquid assets, $15.4 billion in “less liquid” assets and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” ones. He tells me this was more or less the position he was considering when he had the meeting with the other executives.“It looks naively to me like, you know, there’s still some significant liabilities out there, but, like, we should be able to cover it,” he says.“So what’s the problem, then?”Bankman-Fried points to another place on the spreadsheet, which he says shows the actual truth of the situation at the time of the meeting. This one shows similar numbers, but with $8 billion less liquid assets.“What’s the difference between these two rows here?” he asks.“You didn’t have $8 billion in cash that you thought you had,” I say.“That’s correct. Yes.”“You misplaced $8 billion?” I ask.“Misaccounted,” Bankman-Fried says, sounding almost proud of his explanation. Sometimes, he says, customers would wire money to Alameda Research instead of sending it directly to FTX. (Some banks were more willing to work with the hedge fund than the exchange, for some reason.) He claims that somehow, FTX’s internal accounting system double-counted this money, essentially crediting it to both the exchange and the fund.That still doesn’t explain why the money was gone. “Where did the $8 billion go?” I ask.To answer, Bankman-Fried creates a new tab on the spreadsheet and starts typing. He lists Alameda and FTX’s biggest cash flows. One of the biggest expenses is paying a net $2.5 billion toBinance, a rival, to buy out its investment in FTX. He also lists $250 million for real estate, $1.5 billion for expenses, $4 billion for venture capital investments, $1.5 billion for acquisitions and $1 billion labeled “fuckups.” Even accounting for both firms’ profits, and all the venture capital money raised by FTX, it tallies to negative $6.5 billion.Bankman-Fried is telling me that the billions of dollars customers wired to Alameda is gone simply because the companies spent way more than they made. He claims he paid so little attention to his expenses that he didn’t realize he was spending more than he was taking in. “I was real lazy about this mental math,” the former physics major says. He creates another column in his spreadsheet and types in much lower numbers to show what he thought he was spending at the time.It seems to me like he is, without saying it exactly, blaming his underlings for FTX’s failure, especially Ellison, the head of Alameda. The two had dated and lived together at times. She was part of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund, which was supposed to distribute FTX and Alameda’s earnings to effective-altruist-approved causes. It seems unlikely she would’ve blown billions of dollars without asking. “People might take, like, the TLDR as, like, it was my ex-girlfriend’s fault,” I tell him. “That is sort of what you’re saying.”“I think the biggest failure was that it wasn’t entirely clear whose fault it was,” he says.Bankman-Fried tells me he has to make a call. After a while, the sun goes down and I’m hungry. I’m allowed to join a group of Bankman-Fried’s supporters for dinner, as long as I don’t mention their names.With the curtains drawn, the living room looks considerably less grand than it does in pictures. I’ve been told that FTX employees gathered here amid the crisis, while Bankman-Fried worked in another apartment. Addled by stress and sleep deprivation, they wept and hugged one another. Most didn’t say goodbye as they left the island, one by one. Many flew back to their childhood homes to be with their parents.The supporters at the dinner tell me they feel like the press has been unfair. They say that Bankman-Fried and his friends weren’t the polyamorous partiers the tabloids have portrayed and that they did little besides work. Earlier in the week, a Bahamian man who’d served as FTX’s round-the-clock chauffeur and gofer also told me the reports weren’t true. “People make it seem like this bigWolf of Wall Streetthing,” he said. “Bro, it was a bunch of nerds.”Illustration: Maxime Mouysset for Bloomberg BusinessweekBy the time I finish my plate of off-the-record rice and beans, Bankman-Fried is free again. We return to the study. He’s barefoot now, having balled up his gym socks and stuffed them behind a couch cushion. He lies on the couch, his computer on his lap. The light from the screen casts shadows of his curls on his forehead.I notice a skin-colored patch on his arm. He tells me it’s a transdermal antidepressant, selegiline. I ask if he’s using it as a performance enhancer or to treat depression. “Nothing’s binary,” he says. “But I’ve been borderline depressed for my whole life.” He adds that he also sometimes takes Adderall—“10 milligrams at a time, a few times a day”—as did some of his colleagues, but that talk of drug use is overblown. “I don’t think that was the problem,” he says.I tell Bankman-Fried my theory about his motivation, sidestepping the question of whether he misappropriated customer funds. Bankman-Fried denies that his world-saving goals made him willing to take giant gambles. As we talk more, it seems like he’s saying he made some kind of bet but hadn’t calculated the expected value properly.“I was comfortable taking the risk that, like, I may end up kind of falling flat,” he says, staring at his computer screen, where he had pulled up a game and was leading an army of cartoon knights and fairies into battle. “But what actually happened was disastrously bad and, like, no significant chance of that happening would’ve made sense to risk, and that was a fuckup. Like, that was a mass miscalculation in downside.”I read Bankman-Fried a post by Will MacAskill, one of the founders of the effective-altruism movement. He recruited Bankman-Fried into it when he was a junior at MIT and this year had joined the board of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund. On Nov. 11,MacAskill wrote on Twitterthat Bankman-Fried had betrayed him. “For years, the EA community has emphasized the importance of integrity, honesty and the respect of common-sense moral constraints,” MacAskill wrote. “If customer funds were misused, then Sam did not listen; he must have thought he was above such considerations.”Bankman-Fried closes his eyes and pushes his toes against one arm of the couch, clenching the other arm with his hands. “That’s not how I view what happened,” he says. “But I did fuck up. I think really what I want to say is, like, I’m really fucking sorry. By far the worst thing about this is that it will tarnish the reputation of people who are dedicated to doing nothing but what they thought was best for the world.” Bankman-Fried trails off. On his computer screen, his army casts spells and swings swords unattended.I ask what he’d say to people who are comparing him to the most famous Ponzi schemer of recent times. “Bernie Madoff also said he had good intentions and gave a lot to charity,” I say.“FTX was a legitimate, profitable, thriving business. And I fucked up by, like, allowing a margin position to get too big on it. One that endangered the platform. It was a completely unnecessary and unforced error, which like maybe I got super unlucky on, but, like, that was my bad.”“It fucking sucks,” he adds. “But it wasn’t inherent to what the business was. It was just a fuckup. A huge fuckup.”To me, it doesn’t really seem like a fuckup. Even if I believe that he misplaced and accidentally spent $8 billion, he’s already told me that Alameda had been allowed to violate FTX’s margin rules. This wasn’t some little technical thing. He was so proud of FTX’s margining system that he’d been lobbying regulators for it to be used on US exchanges instead of traditional safeguards. In May, Bankman-Fried himself said on Twitter that exchanges should never extend credit to a fund and put other customers’ assets at risk. He wrote that the idea an exchange would even have that discretion was “scary.” I read him the tweets and ask: “Isn’t that, like, exactly what you did, right around that time?”“Yeah, I guess that’s kind of fair,” he says. Then he seems to claim that this was evidence the rules he was lobbying for were a good idea. “I think this is one of the things that would have stopped.”“You had a rule on your platform. You didn’t follow it,” I say.By now it’s past midnight, and—operating without the benefit of any prescription stimulants—I’m worn out. I ask Bankman-Fried if I can see the apartment’s deck before I leave. Outside, crickets chirp as we stand by the pool. The marina is dark, lit only by the spotlights of yachts. As I say goodbye, Bankman-Fried bites into a burger bun and starts talking about potential bailouts with one of his supporters.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965889785,"gmtCreate":1669935632947,"gmtModify":1676538271766,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965889785","repostId":"1183309348","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183309348","pubTimestamp":1669909628,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183309348?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-01 23:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Bears Didn't See This Coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183309348","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWith its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings updat","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>With its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings update. Management stunned bearish investors with its revised profitability guidance.</li><li>We discuss how its e-commerce segment could reach profitability exiting Q4&#39;23. However, investors need to factor in increased macro risks that could impact its monetization efforts.</li><li>We discuss why investors looking to add SE should continue to wait patiently first.</li><li>Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.</li></ul><h3>Thesis</h3><p>We presented our thesis in our pre-earnings article on Sea Limited (NYSE:SE), arguing that the market had anticipated an underwhelming Q3 release as it closed in on its November lows.</p><p>As such, we aren&#39;t surprised that the market sent SE surging in a momentum spike, hitting our previous price target (PT), as SE rallied nearly 61% from its November bottom.</p><p>Management came out with guns blazing against bearish investors after pulling guidance in Q2 previously. Accordingly, CEO Forrest Li&#39;s emphasis in its Q3 commentary on Shopee (Sea Limited&#39;s e-commerce arm) to reach adjusted EBITDA breakeven exiting Q4&#39;23 stunned the bears.</p><p>Notwithstanding, SE has pulled back nearly 20% from its recent surge, which should be expected. Moreover, we postulate that the market has likely reflected the optimism in Sea Limited&#39;s more constructive guidance with its recent surge. As such, we believe the market will likely parse Sea Limited&#39;s execution moving forward before a material re-rating is justified.</p><p>Hence, we believe the reward/risk in SE looks relatively well-balanced at these levels. Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.</p><h3>Shopee: How Can It Reach Adjusted EBITDA by FY23?</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1382346c1bbcfe20f003a0de17e41dbd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The consensus estimates have been revised upward with management&#39;s upgraded guidance for Shopee. As such, Wall Street analysts project Sea Limited to post an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.2% in FY23.</p><p>However, it&#39;s predicated on revenue growth of 16.7% for FY23, below FY22&#39;s 21.6% uptick. Based on management&#39;s commentary, we believe analysts have penciled in a higher bar for SE to cross. Therefore, as we postulated in our previous update, it has likely normalized the Street&#39;s more pessimistic forecasts.</p><p>Notably, management highlighted that its focus on its e-commerce profitability drive &#34;may see no growth or even negative growth in certain operating metrics in the near term.&#34;</p><p>Hence, the critical profitability driver will be cutting costs expeditiously and improving efficiencies concurrently.</p><p>But the crucial question is how far Shopee is from reaching adjusted EBITDA breakeven.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15df8e681c7c79fd10f5b2355f45beca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Shopee posted an adjusted EBITDA margin of -26% in FQ3, up from Q2&#39;s -37%. Notably, Shopee has also continued to improve its path toward profitability constructively. Hence, investors could be assured that management&#39;s execution has been relatively consistent despite worsening macros impacting its key markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd3289e72cdee0c506af925494c635f7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Moreover, Shopee has managed to overcome the significant deceleration of revenue growth since Q1&#39;21, corroborating management&#39;s confidence in optimizing efficiencies.</p><p>Notwithstanding, Shopee still posted revenue growth of 32.4% in FQ3, down from FQ2&#39;s 51.4%.</p><p>However, due to its cost-rationalization exercise, investors should expect its e-commerce segment to head toward an anemic gross merchandise value (GMV) growth phase. Also, we believe Shopee could be looking at lifting its e-commerce take rates in its profitability drive.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ee5cedc45b9ad065e8b8d0bf01d99\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>As seen above, Shopee managed to post take rates of 10.1% in FQ3, well above FQ2&#39;s 9.2%. It has also been creeping up over time, which has helped Shopee deliver more robust monetization metrics, despite the slowdown in GMV growth (down to 13.7% in FQ3).</p><p>Hence, it&#39;s a lever that Shopee could continue to pull as it pushes toward adjusted EBITDA breakeven. Notably, Shopee posted core marketplace revenue growth of 54% YoY in FQ3, demonstrating its strong execution prowess and value proposition for its merchants.</p><p>Notwithstanding, macroeconomic headwinds could hamper its ability to drive further take rates accretion as it pulls back its GMV growth initiatives. An analyst on the earnings call also highlighted her concern, probing management whether it anticipated a marked impact on advertising revenue.</p><p>While management telegraphed its confidence in its advertising offerings, it also cautioned investors that worsening macro risks could impair Shopee&#39;s ability to monetize further (i.e., increase take rates), as Chief Corporate Officer Yanjun Wang articulated:</p><blockquote>We are mindful of the potential macro headwinds that, over time, [could] more deeply affect our region and the market as a whole. And this might affect, for example, people&#39;s purchase power, discretionary spending and to the point might also have a more pronounced effect on our platform and overall e-commerce in the region. When that happens, that could have a negative impact on our ability to monetize. (Sea Limited FQ3&#39;22 earnings call)</blockquote><h3>Is SE Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebf4e1fe75caa11214d125037e9c36e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>With the recent surge in SE, we postulate that near-term optimism on its revised guidance has likely been reflected.</p><p>Also, SE&#39;s valuation remains highly aggressive, as it last traded at an FY23 EBITDA multiple of 91x and an FY24 EBITDA multiple of 27.4x. Both are much higher than Sea Limited&#39;s e-commerce peers&#39; median (7.3x NTM EBITDA) and gaming peers&#39; median (8.6x NTM EBITDA).</p><p>We applaud management&#39;s initiative to justify its valuation through its profitability impetus. However, we assess that a further near-term re-rating is unlikely unless the market anticipates better execution from Sea Limited.</p><p>We should be able to glean more clues as SE looks to consolidate at its current pullback.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Bears Didn't See This Coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Bears Didn't See This Coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-01 23:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561387-sea-limited-bears-didnt-see-this-coming><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWith its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings update. Management stunned bearish investors with its revised profitability guidance.We discuss how its e...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561387-sea-limited-bears-didnt-see-this-coming\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561387-sea-limited-bears-didnt-see-this-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1183309348","content_text":"SummaryWith its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings update. Management stunned bearish investors with its revised profitability guidance.We discuss how its e-commerce segment could reach profitability exiting Q4'23. However, investors need to factor in increased macro risks that could impact its monetization efforts.We discuss why investors looking to add SE should continue to wait patiently first.Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.ThesisWe presented our thesis in our pre-earnings article on Sea Limited (NYSE:SE), arguing that the market had anticipated an underwhelming Q3 release as it closed in on its November lows.As such, we aren't surprised that the market sent SE surging in a momentum spike, hitting our previous price target (PT), as SE rallied nearly 61% from its November bottom.Management came out with guns blazing against bearish investors after pulling guidance in Q2 previously. Accordingly, CEO Forrest Li's emphasis in its Q3 commentary on Shopee (Sea Limited's e-commerce arm) to reach adjusted EBITDA breakeven exiting Q4'23 stunned the bears.Notwithstanding, SE has pulled back nearly 20% from its recent surge, which should be expected. Moreover, we postulate that the market has likely reflected the optimism in Sea Limited's more constructive guidance with its recent surge. As such, we believe the market will likely parse Sea Limited's execution moving forward before a material re-rating is justified.Hence, we believe the reward/risk in SE looks relatively well-balanced at these levels. Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.Shopee: How Can It Reach Adjusted EBITDA by FY23?The consensus estimates have been revised upward with management's upgraded guidance for Shopee. As such, Wall Street analysts project Sea Limited to post an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.2% in FY23.However, it's predicated on revenue growth of 16.7% for FY23, below FY22's 21.6% uptick. Based on management's commentary, we believe analysts have penciled in a higher bar for SE to cross. Therefore, as we postulated in our previous update, it has likely normalized the Street's more pessimistic forecasts.Notably, management highlighted that its focus on its e-commerce profitability drive \"may see no growth or even negative growth in certain operating metrics in the near term.\"Hence, the critical profitability driver will be cutting costs expeditiously and improving efficiencies concurrently.But the crucial question is how far Shopee is from reaching adjusted EBITDA breakeven.Shopee posted an adjusted EBITDA margin of -26% in FQ3, up from Q2's -37%. Notably, Shopee has also continued to improve its path toward profitability constructively. Hence, investors could be assured that management's execution has been relatively consistent despite worsening macros impacting its key markets.Moreover, Shopee has managed to overcome the significant deceleration of revenue growth since Q1'21, corroborating management's confidence in optimizing efficiencies.Notwithstanding, Shopee still posted revenue growth of 32.4% in FQ3, down from FQ2's 51.4%.However, due to its cost-rationalization exercise, investors should expect its e-commerce segment to head toward an anemic gross merchandise value (GMV) growth phase. Also, we believe Shopee could be looking at lifting its e-commerce take rates in its profitability drive.As seen above, Shopee managed to post take rates of 10.1% in FQ3, well above FQ2's 9.2%. It has also been creeping up over time, which has helped Shopee deliver more robust monetization metrics, despite the slowdown in GMV growth (down to 13.7% in FQ3).Hence, it's a lever that Shopee could continue to pull as it pushes toward adjusted EBITDA breakeven. Notably, Shopee posted core marketplace revenue growth of 54% YoY in FQ3, demonstrating its strong execution prowess and value proposition for its merchants.Notwithstanding, macroeconomic headwinds could hamper its ability to drive further take rates accretion as it pulls back its GMV growth initiatives. An analyst on the earnings call also highlighted her concern, probing management whether it anticipated a marked impact on advertising revenue.While management telegraphed its confidence in its advertising offerings, it also cautioned investors that worsening macro risks could impair Shopee's ability to monetize further (i.e., increase take rates), as Chief Corporate Officer Yanjun Wang articulated:We are mindful of the potential macro headwinds that, over time, [could] more deeply affect our region and the market as a whole. And this might affect, for example, people's purchase power, discretionary spending and to the point might also have a more pronounced effect on our platform and overall e-commerce in the region. When that happens, that could have a negative impact on our ability to monetize. (Sea Limited FQ3'22 earnings call)Is SE Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?With the recent surge in SE, we postulate that near-term optimism on its revised guidance has likely been reflected.Also, SE's valuation remains highly aggressive, as it last traded at an FY23 EBITDA multiple of 91x and an FY24 EBITDA multiple of 27.4x. Both are much higher than Sea Limited's e-commerce peers' median (7.3x NTM EBITDA) and gaming peers' median (8.6x NTM EBITDA).We applaud management's initiative to justify its valuation through its profitability impetus. However, we assess that a further near-term re-rating is unlikely unless the market anticipates better execution from Sea Limited.We should be able to glean more clues as SE looks to consolidate at its current pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":830,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962715466,"gmtCreate":1669849150156,"gmtModify":1676538254329,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962715466","repostId":"1106229901","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106229901","pubTimestamp":1669821685,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106229901?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-30 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SQQQ, TQQQ: Leveraged ETFs Can Be A (Short-Term) Home Run Or A (Long-Term) Loaded Gun","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106229901","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLeveraged ETFs are explosive securities with the ability/potential to give your portfolio a b","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>Leveraged ETFs are explosive securities with the ability/potential to give your portfolio a big boost (&#39;home run&#39;) or to cause severe damage (&#39;loaded gun&#39;).</li><li>&#39;Home run&#39; allows the batter (investor) to make a complete circuit (whole), and score a big r(et)u(r)n (as well as hedging) for the team (portfolio).</li><li>&#39;Loaded gun&#39; refers to something dangerous, an accident waiting to happen. Playing (investing) with something (leverage) that shouldn&#39;t be messed with.</li><li>In this article, we try to cover all the bases you may find within the leveraged ETFs pitch, particularly 3x-leveraged NASDAQ-100 and Semiconductor ETFs.</li></ul><h3>Prologue</h3><p>Nearly two weeks ago we wrote about &#39;hedging through shorting&#39;, while presenting our short positions in two 3x-leveraged ETFs: ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:TQQQ) and Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3x Bull Shares ETF (SOXL).</p><p>In this article, we wish to remain within the same theme (hedging through shorting) and elaborate on this topic, particularly touching upon two very important aspects that are (not only related but) crucial to the theme:</p><p>1) Leveraged ETFs (in general): Buy vs. Sell, Pros and Cons, Risk and Reward.</p><p>2) Live demonstration of how leveraged ETFs&#39; mechanics work (or don&#39;t work...): Specific examples using two pairs of growth/tech leveraged ETFs:</p><ul><li>Big Tech: ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) vs ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (NASDAQ:SQQQ)</li><li>Semiconductors: Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bull Shares ETF (SOXL) vs Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bear Shares ETF (SOXS)</li></ul><h3>Leveraged ETFs - Key Features</h3><p><b>Buy vs Sell</b></p><p>This is likely the most important aspect to keep in mind.</p><p>Since leveraged ETFs use options/derivatives to achieve the magnifying element (leveraging) - any leveraged ETF, by definition, suffers from time decay, aka &#34;Theta&#34;.</p><blockquote>Time decay is a measure of the rate of decline in the value of an options contract due to the passage of time. Time decay accelerates as an option&#39;s time to expiration draws closer since there&#39;s less time to realize a profit from the trade. - [Source]</blockquote><p>What you need to know:</p><p>1. The closer an option is to its expiry date - the more rapidly it&#39;s losing money (to time decay).</p><p>2. An &#34;At The Money&#34; (&#34;ATM&#34;) option will receive the biggest premium at the start, but will lose the most, at an accelerating pace, towards the end.</p><p>3. An &#34;In The Money&#34; (&#34;ITM&#34;) option will receive the smallest premium at the start, and it will lose that premium, at a fairly steady pace, along its life.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/368ed5a08b21ab35157fd2dafd062adb\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>From a pure Theta perspective, it&#39;s categorically better to sell a leveraged ETF than to buy one, because the (loss of) time decay is working in the investor&#39;s favor.</p><h3>Pros and Cons</h3><p>Leveraged ETFs are risky instruments.</p><p>Therefore, there are certain features one must be aware of, and there are certain rules one would be better off adhering to.</p><ul><li>Leverage (of a benchmark)</li></ul><p>Principally, all leveraged ETFs are aiming to amplify the return of a non-leveraged instrument, usually an index. For example:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150dbfc8472af659f2d4d0944b5e98c5\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aacda8b59c69aea79e6571fb0afcdde\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>It&#39;s important to remain within one&#39;s comfort zone, and to ensure that the use of a leveraged ETF fits the investor&#39;s profile, needs, and risk aversion.</p><ul><li>Volatility</li></ul><p>Looking at the 30-Day Rolling Volatility, you can see that the leverage is amplifying not only the return, but also the volatility. A 3x-leveraged ETF is 3x as volatile as the benchmark it&#39;s looking to copy.</p><p>Semis:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d915744f2a6776e745da15b2cecab4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Tech:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfac9d30f417c667d74397fc29f1dcdd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><ul><li><b>Daily performance</b></li></ul><p>This is one of the features many investors miss or fail to understand.</p><p>Leveraged ETFs are trying to mimic the daily performance of a certain benchmark. As such, when you look at the daily (or short-term for that matter) performance - the leveraged ETF is likely to show a very/fairly close return to the leverage it offers (be it a long or a short mechanism). For example:</p><p>Semis&#39; 1-day price change: Daily returns of SOXL and SOXS are about +3x and -3x, respectively, the daily return of SOXX.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08ca1f40fcd06f5ad9537f02af6ffe76\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Tech&#39;s 1-day price change: Daily returns of TQQQ and SQQQ are about +3x and -3x, respectively, the daily return of QQQ.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a55a842f81460cba9dc1a6938d472d92\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Nonetheless, if we move to a longer period, say 2022, the math isn&#39;t as straight as it&#39;s when we look at the short-term.</p><p>Semis&#39; YTD price change: YTD returns of SOXL and SOXS are about +2.65x and -0.07x, respectively, the YTD return of SOXX.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92d1ddfcba6984ae9d30559901dfc14c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Tech&#39;s YTD price change: YTD returns of TQQQ and SQQQ are about +2.61x and -2.87x [=(52.59+28.13)/-28.13], respectively, the daily return of QQQ.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/411ddaf98aa8aa072f20f9953bac8e26\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Over time, and assuming the benchmark/index doesn&#39;t move in a (fairly) straight line - the performance of a leveraged ETF may differ significantly from the performance of the underlying benchmark.</p><h3>Risk and Reward</h3><ul><li>Phenomenal/Horrendous Total Returns</li></ul><p>First and foremost, as you may well understand, the main risk is the (quite reasonable) scenario of losing a lot of money, quickly.</p><p>Of course, there&#39;s always the flip-side of that coin, and leveraged ETFs may also deliver significant returns (during short periods).</p><p>If &#34;Timing is Everything&#34;, generally speaking, it&#39;s even more crucial when it comes to buying leveraged ETFs. One must have a high conviction, a near-perfect timing, a short-term trading view/mentality, and an exit (including stop loss) strategy. [We elaborate on these elements at the end of this article.]</p><p>Below you can see the total returns of the leveraged ETFs we focus on during two very different periods.</p><p>1) Bear Market: Total Return since Dec. 27, 2021</p><p>Semis:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6894a55ca17620f94b6c167ef6402e40\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Tech:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1101bbe95e105d513c3e3ea4558a48fd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Clearly, there&#39;s a lot of money to be lost (or made) during a bear market with any instrument, let alone 3x-leveraged ETFs. While the benchmarks (SOXX, QQQ) have lost ~30%, the ultra long ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost over 3/4 of their value, and the ultra short ETFs (SOXS, SQQQ) have actually gained.</p><p>Pay attention to the divergence between SOXS (a gain of only 4.5%) and SQQQ (a gain of 59.3%), a result of the recent speedy recovery of Semis (relative to Tech) in recent weeks.</p><p>2) Bull Market: Total Return from Mar. 23, 2020 to Dec. 27, 2021</p><p>Semis:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92b8f1a0c1b82b3cb1e5ad23e4896cd7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Tech:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b74788301b08e6b05cb21c07a2bf633e\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Clearly, there&#39;s a lot of money to be lost (or made) during a bull market with any instrument, let alone 3x-leveraged ETFs. While the benchmarks (SOXX, QQQ) have gained low triple-digit %, the ultra long ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) have delivered stunning returns. At the same time, the ultra short ETFs (SOXS, SQQQ) have practically vanished, leaving investors with (nearly) nothing out of their initial investments.</p><ul><li>The Longer the Tenure - the Higher the Risk of Losing Big</li></ul><p>Secondly, and regardless of the (bull or bear) type of market we&#39;re in and/or the total return over a certain period, leveraged ETFs are guaranteed to lose value over time. Putting it differently, the longer you stick to these instruments - the higher the odds of a significant drawdown.</p><p>Below you can see how deep is the decline that leveraged ETFs have (thus may) suffered from (% off-high) over different tenures.</p><ul><li>3 years: While the long versions (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost 75%-80%, the short versions (SOXS, SQQQ) have lost nearly their entire value.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a6e0590652f7807dac6b79902906e56\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>10 years: While the long versions (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost 75%-80%, the short versions (SOXS, SQQQ) have lost nearly their entire value.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06cfda7540359bd9cc38adb53f3c0ce5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Although the past decade can definitely be described as a bull market (overall), leveraged ETFs have been hammered, no matter whether they were long or short the underlying benchmarks.</p><p>This, once again, proves that these instruments can&#39;t be held (long position) over the long run. You can be long, but not for too long.</p><ul><li>&#34;The Road is Long With Many a Winding Turn&#34; [Source]</li></ul><p>Finally, it&#39;s important to understand that both time and slope play a major role in determining the return, therefore worthiness, of trading a leveraged ETF.</p><p>It&#39;s very unlikely, almost impossible, for your long (short) leveraged ETF position to deliver a return equal to the (inverse) return of the underlying, non-leveraged, benchmark.</p><p>To explain this, let&#39;s use the S&amp;P 500 and its +/-1/2/3 leveraged versions.</p><p>Naturally, the 2x- (SSO, SDS) and 3x- (SPXL, SPXU) leveraged versions are 2x and 3x as volatile as the non-leveraged versions (SPY, SH).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bad8a8d33cac5ca5325d1e87252fcc57\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>But does the extra volatility usually/automatically translate into higher returns? Not necessarily.</p><p>YTD: While the returns of the long versions (SPY, SSO, SPXL) make sense (from a leverage/volatility perspective), those of the short versions (SH, SDS, SPXS) don&#39;t.</p><p>As a matter of fact, the 2x-leveraged SDS and the 3x-leveraged SPXS have delivered nearly the same total returns. If so, why would one pick the more risky SPXS over the less risky SDS!?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70c1d7bf3df268038e733ac481808cfd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>3-Year: The 2x-leveraged SSO has returned twice as much as the 3x-leveraged SPXL. Moreover, the non-leveraged SPY is only ~4.4% short of SSO&#39;s total return.</p><p>In both cases, the extra risk (volatility) hasn&#39;t resulted in a better performance; quite the contrary.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fb13320549920cff3809ee8726cb761\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>5-Year: Once again, the 2x-leveraged SSO has returned more than the 3x-leveraged SPXL. Moreover, the 2x-leveraged SDS hasn&#39;t performed a lot better than the 3x-leveraged SPXS.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdad0968ee275882b1bde91148e5adc6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>10-Year: The short ETFs, whether leveraged or not, got battered. The long ETFs, however, are looking as good as how you wish a leveraged ETF (that you buy) to be.</p><p>SPXL and SSO have returned more than 4x and ~2.5x, respectively, what SPY has.</p><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1fa1010c919a4c479c723f41feca151\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Macro Trading Factory - Trading Alerts</h3><p>Here is some of the information that we posted when we issued the most recent trading alerts (&#34;TAs&#34;) to our subscribers.</p><p>We are happy to share this information here, as we believe it&#39;s relevant and allows for a better understanding of the topic.</p><p><b>TA dated Nov. 14, 2022:</b></p><p>These TAs were discussed and explained in the piece that we&#39;ve published Nov. 14.</p><p>The main message: With the SPX reaching the 4000 mark, we wish to employ some anti-tech/growth hedging again, and by doing so we&#39;re (once again) reducing our net long exposure (back to the low 60s% area).</p><p>Recall that there are two pairs we&#39;re referring to:</p><ul><li>Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bull Shares ETF (SOXL) vs. Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bear Shares ETF (SOXS) &gt;&gt;&gt; We&#39;re shorting SOXL, but one may buy SOXS for a similar (though not equivalent) effect.</li><li>ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) vs ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (SQQQ) &gt;&gt;&gt; We&#39;re shorting TQQQ, but one may buy SQQQ for a similar (though not equivalent) effect.</li></ul><p>Key points to keep in mind:</p><p><b>Total Assets Under Management:</b></p><p>The 3x-bullish ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) are attracting a lot more money than their 3x-bearish counterparts (SOXS, SQQQ).</p><p>Having said that, last week no less than $658M was funneled into SQQQ. Per Bloomberg, that’s the largest-ever inflow for a product that aims to deliver 3x the opposite performance of the US benchmark for major technology companies.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9724d5357aacd21faca67fa41303f501\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>When looking at the Daily Price Change the movements are fairly close in absolute terms, i.e. SOXL is moving like SOXS and TQQQ is moving like SQQQ.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c47be4c766220c701899bf0d6a101de\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Nevertheless, things are changing over time.</p><p>The longer the period - the greater the (potential) divergence.</p><p>It&#39;s not guaranteed, but shorting the 3x-bullish ETFs is likely to deliver a better return than buying the 3x-bearish ETFs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bd04a6dd22233fa049980c445da8fe1\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>TA dated Nov. 15, 2022:</b></p><p>Nothing to add to what we wrote Nov. 14, but still - we would like to show you how even the technical analysis supports the fundamentals and risk aversion mode we see ahead.</p><p>Recall that it&#39;s not advisable to do technical analysis using leveraged instruments. Leverage is just a &#34;wrapper&#34; not the base &#34;package&#34; which is the non-leveraged instrument.</p><p>Having that in mind, here are the two, relevant, non-leveraged instruments on which we conduct some technical analysis. [Note that they&#39;re very similar in terms of nature and the message they deliver.]</p><p>SOXX is currently hitting (or just about to hit) three resistance levels:</p><ul><li>200-DMA</li><li>Long-term down-trending red line</li><li>Short-term (horizontal) green line</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6eee7104e4db90857447d7d121ae952\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>QQQ is coming close to hit three resistance levels:</p><ul><li>200-DMA</li><li>Long-term down-trending red line</li><li>Short-term (horizontal) green line</li></ul><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e598be9ef4639bb84d081b6c7683223a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Epilogue</h3><p>A leveraged ETF can be your best friend when you get the direction and timing right, but it can be your worst nightmare when you get the direction and timing wrong.</p><p>We hope that through this article, we&#39;ve managed to assist you with better understanding the Dr. Jekyll (&#39;Home Run&#39;) and Mr. Hyde (&#39;Loaded Gun&#39;) natures (characteristics) of these instruments.</p><p>As we mentioned above, when buying a leveraged ETF, it&#39;s very important to keep the pros and cons, risk and reward, in mind but it&#39;s not enough. In addition to all these attributes, one musts also have the following:</p><p><b>1) High Conviction</b>: Buying a leveraged ETF requires a higher-than-usual conviction, in line with the significantly higher volatility. &#34;Feeling good&#34; about the upside potential of an investing idea isn&#39;t enough and an in-depth analysis regarding the downside risk is key.</p><p>If we believe the downside risk of the underlying (non-leveraged) to be significant (usually 20%), we&#39;re less likely to move in, even if the upside is way more significant.</p><p>Unlike a non-leveraged security that we may buy (if the risk/reward is very attractive) even if the downside risk is significant, when it comes to a leveraged ETF downside risk rules (overcoming the risk/reward profile, no matter how attractive the latter is).</p><p><b>2) Near-perfect timing</b>: It&#39;s very hard to find the &#34;right moment&#34;, surely the &#34;perfect timing&#34;. The latter is based on pure luck and only retrospectively we are in position to know whether our timing was good or not.</p><p>Therefore, when we say &#34;near perfect timing&#34; we actually refer to maximum hesitation and patience. Take your time, don&#39;t rush, and let the stabilization, consolidation, and/or capitulation periods show their pretty, and more important: less risky, face.</p><p>In line with that, it&#39;s strongly advisable to build a position involving a leveraged ETF over time. Indeed, it&#39;s likely going to be a relatively short time, in order to match the &#34;hit the iron while it&#39;s hot&#34; concept. Still, it&#39;s better to &#39;hit&#39; a leveraged &#39;iron&#39; several times rather than only once or twice.</p><p><b>3) Short-term trading view/mentality</b>: We believe that investors mustn&#39;t &#34;get married&#34; with any position, surely not with a leveraged ETF.</p><p>Any position has a (stretched) valuation where it warrants a sale, and when it comes to leveraged ETFs - quick &#34;love affairs&#34; is the name of the game.</p><p>Leveraged ETFs aren&#39;t the type of instrument you wish to get older with. They are only suitable for certain times and there&#39;s no reason to extend their hospitality for too long.</p><p>Best is to pre-set levels and targets, and once those get fulfilled - kiss the leveraged ETF goodbye. No hard feelings, and no need to shed tears.</p><p><b>4) An exit (including stop loss) strategy</b>:</p><p>Not every encounter we have in life results in a pleasant experience. Some encounters are very enjoyable/profitable, some less, and a few may suck big time.</p><p>The idea is to minimize the latter type and to avoid stretching the former type.</p><p>If it works out quickly - say goodbye quickly.</p><p>If you still wish to examine the relationship - let it be, as long as the examining period doesn&#39;t come at the expense of other, possibly better, encounters.</p><p>But if it looks as if there&#39;s no future here - there&#39;s really no reason to stick around. Cut your losses and move on.</p><p>Obviously, easier said (or written) than done, but here&#39;s an example of all the trades we suggested involving SOXL, one of the leveraged ETF we were active with this year on both LONG and SHORT fronts.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0fceeac15e08c937192dbffd184eb9a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>I don&#39;t think we had perfect timing, but we did have pretty good timing.</p><p>More importantly, we had a high conviction [Note: different times = different directions!], we surely had/have a short-term trading view/mentality, and we certainly didn&#39;t/don&#39;t fall in love with the position - be it a LONG or a SHORT one.</p><p>Last but not least, keep in mind that we use leveraged ETFs as part of our HEDGING strategy, which means that there are LONG positions (we wish to protect) against the SHORT positions (if and when we open such positions).</p><p>This isn&#39;t something we suggest the average investor do without having the necessary ingredients (knowledge, experience, guts/risk aversion) and tools (risk analysis, portfolio management, modeling) to support such an activity.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSQQQ, TQQQ: Leveraged ETFs Can Be A (Short-Term) Home Run Or A (Long-Term) Loaded Gun\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-30 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561075-sqqq-tqqq-leveraged-etfs-home-run-or-loaded-gun><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLeveraged ETFs are explosive securities with the ability/potential to give your portfolio a big boost ('home run') or to cause severe damage ('loaded gun').'Home run' allows the batter (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561075-sqqq-tqqq-leveraged-etfs-home-run-or-loaded-gun\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561075-sqqq-tqqq-leveraged-etfs-home-run-or-loaded-gun","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1106229901","content_text":"SummaryLeveraged ETFs are explosive securities with the ability/potential to give your portfolio a big boost ('home run') or to cause severe damage ('loaded gun').'Home run' allows the batter (investor) to make a complete circuit (whole), and score a big r(et)u(r)n (as well as hedging) for the team (portfolio).'Loaded gun' refers to something dangerous, an accident waiting to happen. Playing (investing) with something (leverage) that shouldn't be messed with.In this article, we try to cover all the bases you may find within the leveraged ETFs pitch, particularly 3x-leveraged NASDAQ-100 and Semiconductor ETFs.PrologueNearly two weeks ago we wrote about 'hedging through shorting', while presenting our short positions in two 3x-leveraged ETFs: ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:TQQQ) and Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3x Bull Shares ETF (SOXL).In this article, we wish to remain within the same theme (hedging through shorting) and elaborate on this topic, particularly touching upon two very important aspects that are (not only related but) crucial to the theme:1) Leveraged ETFs (in general): Buy vs. Sell, Pros and Cons, Risk and Reward.2) Live demonstration of how leveraged ETFs' mechanics work (or don't work...): Specific examples using two pairs of growth/tech leveraged ETFs:Big Tech: ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) vs ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (NASDAQ:SQQQ)Semiconductors: Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bull Shares ETF (SOXL) vs Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bear Shares ETF (SOXS)Leveraged ETFs - Key FeaturesBuy vs SellThis is likely the most important aspect to keep in mind.Since leveraged ETFs use options/derivatives to achieve the magnifying element (leveraging) - any leveraged ETF, by definition, suffers from time decay, aka \"Theta\".Time decay is a measure of the rate of decline in the value of an options contract due to the passage of time. Time decay accelerates as an option's time to expiration draws closer since there's less time to realize a profit from the trade. - [Source]What you need to know:1. The closer an option is to its expiry date - the more rapidly it's losing money (to time decay).2. An \"At The Money\" (\"ATM\") option will receive the biggest premium at the start, but will lose the most, at an accelerating pace, towards the end.3. An \"In The Money\" (\"ITM\") option will receive the smallest premium at the start, and it will lose that premium, at a fairly steady pace, along its life.From a pure Theta perspective, it's categorically better to sell a leveraged ETF than to buy one, because the (loss of) time decay is working in the investor's favor.Pros and ConsLeveraged ETFs are risky instruments.Therefore, there are certain features one must be aware of, and there are certain rules one would be better off adhering to.Leverage (of a benchmark)Principally, all leveraged ETFs are aiming to amplify the return of a non-leveraged instrument, usually an index. For example:It's important to remain within one's comfort zone, and to ensure that the use of a leveraged ETF fits the investor's profile, needs, and risk aversion.VolatilityLooking at the 30-Day Rolling Volatility, you can see that the leverage is amplifying not only the return, but also the volatility. A 3x-leveraged ETF is 3x as volatile as the benchmark it's looking to copy.Semis:Tech:Daily performanceThis is one of the features many investors miss or fail to understand.Leveraged ETFs are trying to mimic the daily performance of a certain benchmark. As such, when you look at the daily (or short-term for that matter) performance - the leveraged ETF is likely to show a very/fairly close return to the leverage it offers (be it a long or a short mechanism). For example:Semis' 1-day price change: Daily returns of SOXL and SOXS are about +3x and -3x, respectively, the daily return of SOXX.Tech's 1-day price change: Daily returns of TQQQ and SQQQ are about +3x and -3x, respectively, the daily return of QQQ.Nonetheless, if we move to a longer period, say 2022, the math isn't as straight as it's when we look at the short-term.Semis' YTD price change: YTD returns of SOXL and SOXS are about +2.65x and -0.07x, respectively, the YTD return of SOXX.Tech's YTD price change: YTD returns of TQQQ and SQQQ are about +2.61x and -2.87x [=(52.59+28.13)/-28.13], respectively, the daily return of QQQ.Over time, and assuming the benchmark/index doesn't move in a (fairly) straight line - the performance of a leveraged ETF may differ significantly from the performance of the underlying benchmark.Risk and RewardPhenomenal/Horrendous Total ReturnsFirst and foremost, as you may well understand, the main risk is the (quite reasonable) scenario of losing a lot of money, quickly.Of course, there's always the flip-side of that coin, and leveraged ETFs may also deliver significant returns (during short periods).If \"Timing is Everything\", generally speaking, it's even more crucial when it comes to buying leveraged ETFs. One must have a high conviction, a near-perfect timing, a short-term trading view/mentality, and an exit (including stop loss) strategy. [We elaborate on these elements at the end of this article.]Below you can see the total returns of the leveraged ETFs we focus on during two very different periods.1) Bear Market: Total Return since Dec. 27, 2021Semis:Tech:Clearly, there's a lot of money to be lost (or made) during a bear market with any instrument, let alone 3x-leveraged ETFs. While the benchmarks (SOXX, QQQ) have lost ~30%, the ultra long ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost over 3/4 of their value, and the ultra short ETFs (SOXS, SQQQ) have actually gained.Pay attention to the divergence between SOXS (a gain of only 4.5%) and SQQQ (a gain of 59.3%), a result of the recent speedy recovery of Semis (relative to Tech) in recent weeks.2) Bull Market: Total Return from Mar. 23, 2020 to Dec. 27, 2021Semis:Tech:Clearly, there's a lot of money to be lost (or made) during a bull market with any instrument, let alone 3x-leveraged ETFs. While the benchmarks (SOXX, QQQ) have gained low triple-digit %, the ultra long ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) have delivered stunning returns. At the same time, the ultra short ETFs (SOXS, SQQQ) have practically vanished, leaving investors with (nearly) nothing out of their initial investments.The Longer the Tenure - the Higher the Risk of Losing BigSecondly, and regardless of the (bull or bear) type of market we're in and/or the total return over a certain period, leveraged ETFs are guaranteed to lose value over time. Putting it differently, the longer you stick to these instruments - the higher the odds of a significant drawdown.Below you can see how deep is the decline that leveraged ETFs have (thus may) suffered from (% off-high) over different tenures.3 years: While the long versions (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost 75%-80%, the short versions (SOXS, SQQQ) have lost nearly their entire value.10 years: While the long versions (SOXL, TQQQ) have lost 75%-80%, the short versions (SOXS, SQQQ) have lost nearly their entire value.Although the past decade can definitely be described as a bull market (overall), leveraged ETFs have been hammered, no matter whether they were long or short the underlying benchmarks.This, once again, proves that these instruments can't be held (long position) over the long run. You can be long, but not for too long.\"The Road is Long With Many a Winding Turn\" [Source]Finally, it's important to understand that both time and slope play a major role in determining the return, therefore worthiness, of trading a leveraged ETF.It's very unlikely, almost impossible, for your long (short) leveraged ETF position to deliver a return equal to the (inverse) return of the underlying, non-leveraged, benchmark.To explain this, let's use the S&P 500 and its +/-1/2/3 leveraged versions.Naturally, the 2x- (SSO, SDS) and 3x- (SPXL, SPXU) leveraged versions are 2x and 3x as volatile as the non-leveraged versions (SPY, SH).But does the extra volatility usually/automatically translate into higher returns? Not necessarily.YTD: While the returns of the long versions (SPY, SSO, SPXL) make sense (from a leverage/volatility perspective), those of the short versions (SH, SDS, SPXS) don't.As a matter of fact, the 2x-leveraged SDS and the 3x-leveraged SPXS have delivered nearly the same total returns. If so, why would one pick the more risky SPXS over the less risky SDS!?3-Year: The 2x-leveraged SSO has returned twice as much as the 3x-leveraged SPXL. Moreover, the non-leveraged SPY is only ~4.4% short of SSO's total return.In both cases, the extra risk (volatility) hasn't resulted in a better performance; quite the contrary.5-Year: Once again, the 2x-leveraged SSO has returned more than the 3x-leveraged SPXL. Moreover, the 2x-leveraged SDS hasn't performed a lot better than the 3x-leveraged SPXS.10-Year: The short ETFs, whether leveraged or not, got battered. The long ETFs, however, are looking as good as how you wish a leveraged ETF (that you buy) to be.SPXL and SSO have returned more than 4x and ~2.5x, respectively, what SPY has.Macro Trading Factory - Trading AlertsHere is some of the information that we posted when we issued the most recent trading alerts (\"TAs\") to our subscribers.We are happy to share this information here, as we believe it's relevant and allows for a better understanding of the topic.TA dated Nov. 14, 2022:These TAs were discussed and explained in the piece that we've published Nov. 14.The main message: With the SPX reaching the 4000 mark, we wish to employ some anti-tech/growth hedging again, and by doing so we're (once again) reducing our net long exposure (back to the low 60s% area).Recall that there are two pairs we're referring to:Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bull Shares ETF (SOXL) vs. Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bear Shares ETF (SOXS) >>> We're shorting SOXL, but one may buy SOXS for a similar (though not equivalent) effect.ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) vs ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (SQQQ) >>> We're shorting TQQQ, but one may buy SQQQ for a similar (though not equivalent) effect.Key points to keep in mind:Total Assets Under Management:The 3x-bullish ETFs (SOXL, TQQQ) are attracting a lot more money than their 3x-bearish counterparts (SOXS, SQQQ).Having said that, last week no less than $658M was funneled into SQQQ. Per Bloomberg, that’s the largest-ever inflow for a product that aims to deliver 3x the opposite performance of the US benchmark for major technology companies.When looking at the Daily Price Change the movements are fairly close in absolute terms, i.e. SOXL is moving like SOXS and TQQQ is moving like SQQQ.Nevertheless, things are changing over time.The longer the period - the greater the (potential) divergence.It's not guaranteed, but shorting the 3x-bullish ETFs is likely to deliver a better return than buying the 3x-bearish ETFs.TA dated Nov. 15, 2022:Nothing to add to what we wrote Nov. 14, but still - we would like to show you how even the technical analysis supports the fundamentals and risk aversion mode we see ahead.Recall that it's not advisable to do technical analysis using leveraged instruments. Leverage is just a \"wrapper\" not the base \"package\" which is the non-leveraged instrument.Having that in mind, here are the two, relevant, non-leveraged instruments on which we conduct some technical analysis. [Note that they're very similar in terms of nature and the message they deliver.]SOXX is currently hitting (or just about to hit) three resistance levels:200-DMALong-term down-trending red lineShort-term (horizontal) green lineQQQ is coming close to hit three resistance levels:200-DMALong-term down-trending red lineShort-term (horizontal) green lineEpilogueA leveraged ETF can be your best friend when you get the direction and timing right, but it can be your worst nightmare when you get the direction and timing wrong.We hope that through this article, we've managed to assist you with better understanding the Dr. Jekyll ('Home Run') and Mr. Hyde ('Loaded Gun') natures (characteristics) of these instruments.As we mentioned above, when buying a leveraged ETF, it's very important to keep the pros and cons, risk and reward, in mind but it's not enough. In addition to all these attributes, one musts also have the following:1) High Conviction: Buying a leveraged ETF requires a higher-than-usual conviction, in line with the significantly higher volatility. \"Feeling good\" about the upside potential of an investing idea isn't enough and an in-depth analysis regarding the downside risk is key.If we believe the downside risk of the underlying (non-leveraged) to be significant (usually 20%), we're less likely to move in, even if the upside is way more significant.Unlike a non-leveraged security that we may buy (if the risk/reward is very attractive) even if the downside risk is significant, when it comes to a leveraged ETF downside risk rules (overcoming the risk/reward profile, no matter how attractive the latter is).2) Near-perfect timing: It's very hard to find the \"right moment\", surely the \"perfect timing\". The latter is based on pure luck and only retrospectively we are in position to know whether our timing was good or not.Therefore, when we say \"near perfect timing\" we actually refer to maximum hesitation and patience. Take your time, don't rush, and let the stabilization, consolidation, and/or capitulation periods show their pretty, and more important: less risky, face.In line with that, it's strongly advisable to build a position involving a leveraged ETF over time. Indeed, it's likely going to be a relatively short time, in order to match the \"hit the iron while it's hot\" concept. Still, it's better to 'hit' a leveraged 'iron' several times rather than only once or twice.3) Short-term trading view/mentality: We believe that investors mustn't \"get married\" with any position, surely not with a leveraged ETF.Any position has a (stretched) valuation where it warrants a sale, and when it comes to leveraged ETFs - quick \"love affairs\" is the name of the game.Leveraged ETFs aren't the type of instrument you wish to get older with. They are only suitable for certain times and there's no reason to extend their hospitality for too long.Best is to pre-set levels and targets, and once those get fulfilled - kiss the leveraged ETF goodbye. No hard feelings, and no need to shed tears.4) An exit (including stop loss) strategy:Not every encounter we have in life results in a pleasant experience. Some encounters are very enjoyable/profitable, some less, and a few may suck big time.The idea is to minimize the latter type and to avoid stretching the former type.If it works out quickly - say goodbye quickly.If you still wish to examine the relationship - let it be, as long as the examining period doesn't come at the expense of other, possibly better, encounters.But if it looks as if there's no future here - there's really no reason to stick around. Cut your losses and move on.Obviously, easier said (or written) than done, but here's an example of all the trades we suggested involving SOXL, one of the leveraged ETF we were active with this year on both LONG and SHORT fronts.I don't think we had perfect timing, but we did have pretty good timing.More importantly, we had a high conviction [Note: different times = different directions!], we surely had/have a short-term trading view/mentality, and we certainly didn't/don't fall in love with the position - be it a LONG or a SHORT one.Last but not least, keep in mind that we use leveraged ETFs as part of our HEDGING strategy, which means that there are LONG positions (we wish to protect) against the SHORT positions (if and when we open such positions).This isn't something we suggest the average investor do without having the necessary ingredients (knowledge, experience, guts/risk aversion) and tools (risk analysis, portfolio management, modeling) to support such an activity.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962868221,"gmtCreate":1669762559163,"gmtModify":1676538236348,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962868221","repostId":"2287568981","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2287568981","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1669761575,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2287568981?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-30 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-S&P 500 Ends Down As Apple Dips and Traders Eye Powell Speech","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2287568981","media":"Reuters","summary":"Investors look to Powell speech for interest rate cluesU.S. consumer confidence slips in NovemberS&P 500 -0.16%, Nasdaq -0.59%, Dow +0.01%Nov 29 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended down on Tuesday, with los","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Investors look to Powell speech for interest rate clues</li><li>U.S. consumer confidence slips in November</li><li>S&amp;P 500 -0.16%, Nasdaq -0.59%, Dow +0.01%</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7890ba1e2d65820cc5944127fc3fe4e3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nov 29 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended down on Tuesday, with losses in Apple and Amazon ahead of an upcoming speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that could provide hints about magnitude of future interest rate hikes.</p><p>Apple&#39;s stock dropped 2.1%, down for a fourth straight session.</p><p>Powell is due to speak at a Brookings Institution event on Wednesday about the outlook for the U.S. economy and the labor market. Investors will be looking for clues about when the Fed will slow the pace of its aggressive interest rate hikes.</p><p>&#34;No one is willing to buy ahead of tomorrow with Powell speaking. Everyone is nervous about what he is going to say,&#34; said Ron Saba, senior portfolio manager at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.</p><p>Shares of Amazon, Nvidia and Tesla each lost more than 1%.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index is headed for its second straight month of gains in November amid bets that recent inflation readings showing a slight cooling in prices will lead the Fed to scale back the scale of its interest rate hikes.</p><p>The Fed has delivered four straight 75 basis point rate hikes, and it is expected to shift down the pace to a 50-bps move in December.</p><p>A survey on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence eased further in November amid persistent worries about the rising cost of living.</p><p>Mainland China&#39;s recent wave of civil disobedience comes as the number of COVID cases hit record daily highs and large parts of several cities face new lockdowns, further threatening the world&#39;s second largest economy.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index rallied 1.3%, while gains in oil prices on expectations of a loosening of China&#39;s strict COVID controls were later offset by concerns that OPEC+ would keep its output unchanged at its upcoming meeting.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.16% to end the session at 3,957.60 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq declined 0.59% to 10,983.78 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.01% to 33,852.13 points.</p><p>Despite the S&amp;P 500&#39;s decline, advancing issues outnumbered falling ones by a 1.3-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted three new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 68 new highs and 183 new lows.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, Pinduoduo Inc and JD.com Inc jumped more than 5% after China broadened equity financing channels for property developers.</p><p>Shares of Chinese internet firm Bilibili Inc soared 22% after posting upbeat quarterly results.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.6 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 11.2 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-S&P 500 Ends Down As Apple Dips and Traders Eye Powell Speech</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-S&P 500 Ends Down As Apple Dips and Traders Eye Powell Speech\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-30 06:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Investors look to Powell speech for interest rate clues</li><li>U.S. consumer confidence slips in November</li><li>S&amp;P 500 -0.16%, Nasdaq -0.59%, Dow +0.01%</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7890ba1e2d65820cc5944127fc3fe4e3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nov 29 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended down on Tuesday, with losses in Apple and Amazon ahead of an upcoming speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that could provide hints about magnitude of future interest rate hikes.</p><p>Apple&#39;s stock dropped 2.1%, down for a fourth straight session.</p><p>Powell is due to speak at a Brookings Institution event on Wednesday about the outlook for the U.S. economy and the labor market. Investors will be looking for clues about when the Fed will slow the pace of its aggressive interest rate hikes.</p><p>&#34;No one is willing to buy ahead of tomorrow with Powell speaking. Everyone is nervous about what he is going to say,&#34; said Ron Saba, senior portfolio manager at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.</p><p>Shares of Amazon, Nvidia and Tesla each lost more than 1%.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index is headed for its second straight month of gains in November amid bets that recent inflation readings showing a slight cooling in prices will lead the Fed to scale back the scale of its interest rate hikes.</p><p>The Fed has delivered four straight 75 basis point rate hikes, and it is expected to shift down the pace to a 50-bps move in December.</p><p>A survey on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence eased further in November amid persistent worries about the rising cost of living.</p><p>Mainland China&#39;s recent wave of civil disobedience comes as the number of COVID cases hit record daily highs and large parts of several cities face new lockdowns, further threatening the world&#39;s second largest economy.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index rallied 1.3%, while gains in oil prices on expectations of a loosening of China&#39;s strict COVID controls were later offset by concerns that OPEC+ would keep its output unchanged at its upcoming meeting.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.16% to end the session at 3,957.60 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq declined 0.59% to 10,983.78 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.01% to 33,852.13 points.</p><p>Despite the S&amp;P 500&#39;s decline, advancing issues outnumbered falling ones by a 1.3-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted three new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 68 new highs and 183 new lows.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, Pinduoduo Inc and JD.com Inc jumped more than 5% after China broadened equity financing channels for property developers.</p><p>Shares of Chinese internet firm Bilibili Inc soared 22% after posting upbeat quarterly results.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.6 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 11.2 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2287568981","content_text":"Investors look to Powell speech for interest rate cluesU.S. consumer confidence slips in NovemberS&P 500 -0.16%, Nasdaq -0.59%, Dow +0.01%Nov 29 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended down on Tuesday, with losses in Apple and Amazon ahead of an upcoming speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that could provide hints about magnitude of future interest rate hikes.Apple's stock dropped 2.1%, down for a fourth straight session.Powell is due to speak at a Brookings Institution event on Wednesday about the outlook for the U.S. economy and the labor market. Investors will be looking for clues about when the Fed will slow the pace of its aggressive interest rate hikes.\"No one is willing to buy ahead of tomorrow with Powell speaking. Everyone is nervous about what he is going to say,\" said Ron Saba, senior portfolio manager at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.Shares of Amazon, Nvidia and Tesla each lost more than 1%.The benchmark S&P 500 index is headed for its second straight month of gains in November amid bets that recent inflation readings showing a slight cooling in prices will lead the Fed to scale back the scale of its interest rate hikes.The Fed has delivered four straight 75 basis point rate hikes, and it is expected to shift down the pace to a 50-bps move in December.A survey on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence eased further in November amid persistent worries about the rising cost of living.Mainland China's recent wave of civil disobedience comes as the number of COVID cases hit record daily highs and large parts of several cities face new lockdowns, further threatening the world's second largest economy.The S&P 500 energy sector index rallied 1.3%, while gains in oil prices on expectations of a loosening of China's strict COVID controls were later offset by concerns that OPEC+ would keep its output unchanged at its upcoming meeting.The S&P 500 declined 0.16% to end the session at 3,957.60 points.The Nasdaq declined 0.59% to 10,983.78 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.01% to 33,852.13 points.Despite the S&P 500's decline, advancing issues outnumbered falling ones by a 1.3-to-one ratio.The S&P 500 posted three new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 68 new highs and 183 new lows.U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, Pinduoduo Inc and JD.com Inc jumped more than 5% after China broadened equity financing channels for property developers.Shares of Chinese internet firm Bilibili Inc soared 22% after posting upbeat quarterly results.Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.6 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 11.2 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966596732,"gmtCreate":1669591347026,"gmtModify":1676538209179,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966596732","repostId":"1198835584","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198835584","pubTimestamp":1669589744,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198835584?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-28 06:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jobs, Housing Data, GDP Bring Investors Into December: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198835584","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Investors returning from the Thanksgiving holiday will face a deluge of economic releases in the wee","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors returning from the Thanksgiving holiday will face a deluge of economic releases in the week ahead as Wall Street heads into the final month of 2022 and braces for the Federal Reserve’s last interest rate hike of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07e084694ac7c797625be53771937802\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The government’s monthly employment report, data on the housing market, a second look at GDP growth, PCE inflation, and a reading on consumer confidence are among the many highlights of a busy economic calendar in the coming days.</p><p>The Labor Department’s latest employment report, set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday morning, will highlight the schedule.</p><p>Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 200,000 last month, according to estimates from Bloomberg. If realized, the number would mark another downtrend in the labor market but reflect still-robust hiring on a historical basis.</p><p>Strong labor market readings havestoked worries that Fed officials will stay the courseon aggressive rate hikes and overshoot on monetary tightening.</p><p>“Recent monthly data from the advanced economies have tended to exceed analysts’ gloomy expectations, “ Capital Economics chief global economist Jennifer McKeown said in a recent note. “However, this resilience probably also reflects a lag before higher interest rates transmit to the economy and firms are forced to reduce employment.”</p><p>On the inflation front, investors will be watching the personal consumption expenditures&#39; (PCE) price index out Thursday to see whether the recent trend of easing inflation holds up. On a monthly basis, PCE is expected to show a 0.4% rise in October, up from 0.3% during the prior month, according to Bloomberg estimates. Over the prior year, PCE inflation is expected to have eased to a rate of 6% from 6.2% previously.</p><p>According to Bank of America’sNovember fund manager survey, investors do not expect the Fed to pivot – or change course on rate hikes – until U.S. PCE inflation falls below 4%.</p><p>For traders, this year&#39;s action has been all about what the Federal Reserve will do next, and fresh economic figures should offer clues about whether a 50- or 75-basis-point increase in the Fed&#39;s benchmark interest rate range awaits investors in mid-December.</p><p>As of Sunday morning,markets were pricing ina roughly 75% chance the Federal Reserve will deliver a 50-basis-point rate hike following the conclusion of its next meeting on December 15, data from the CME Group showed.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fa8de8c2a5adf749e95d135caffd002\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"477\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to speak during a news conference in Washington, DC, on November 2, 2022.</span></p><p>Areadout of minutes from the Fed’s November meetingalso indicated a “substantial majority” of officials believe it will soon be time to slow the current pace of increases. But a strong November jobs report and higher than expected PCE figure may dash deceleration hopes.</p><p>“It’s premature in my mind to take anything off the table,” San Francisco Fed PresidentMary Daly said last weekwhen asked whether a 75-basis point rate hike is still possible. “I’m going into the [Fed&#39;s December 14-15] meeting with the full range of adjustments that we could make on the table and not taking off prematurely.”</p><p>While investors are hopeful for a meaningful slowdown in inflation and a subsequent policy shift over the next year, some Wall Street strategists are raising doubts about the Federal Reserve’s ability to fulfill its goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.</p><p>Strategists at theBlackRock Investment Institute warned last weekglobal investors are in a “new macro regime where central banks are causing recessions rather than coming to the rescue.”</p><p>“That is clear in the rate path of major central banks set to overtighten policy as they battle inflation,” BlackRock&#39;s team, led by Jean Boivin, said in weekly commentary. “We think they will eventually pause but not cut rates when confronted with the damage of sharp rate hikes – that could be the reality of recession or the appearance of financial cracks, as seen in the U.K.”</p><p>Billionaire hedge funder Bill Ackman alsosaid in a recent call with investorsinterest rates are &#34;meaningfully below where they are going to go,” and the firm does not believe the Federal Reserve will be able to get inflation back to a consistent 2% level.</p><p>&#34;We think that is, of course, a risk for equities,&#34; Ackman said. &#34;And part of our thesis is we think inflation is going to be structurally higher.&#34;</p><p>Elsewhere in economic data this week, a second estimate of third-quarter GDP, Case-Shiller home price data, manufacturing activity gauges, and the Conference Board’s measure of consumer confidence are all on tap.</p><p>Investors are ready to close the curtains on the latest earnings season, but some standout reports will still be released, including Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Salesforce (CRM), Dollar General (DG), and Kroger (KR).</p><p>Last week, U.S. markets continued to build on recent moment in a week of trading shortened by the Thanksgiving holiday.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500ended modestly loweron Black Friday but finished the week in the green, up roughly 1.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite also advanced over the three and a half-day trading period, each rising 1.8% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><h2>Economic Calendar</h2><p><b>Monday:</b> <b><i>Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity</i></b>, November (-23.0 expected, -19.4 during prior month)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> <b><i>FHFA Housing Pricing Index</i></b>, September (-1.3% expected, -0.7% during prior month); <b><i>House Price Purchasing Index</i></b>, Q3 (4.0% during prior quarter); <b><i>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite</i></b>, month-over-month, September (-1.15% expected, -1.32% during prior month); <b><i>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite</i></b>, year-over-year, September (10.65% expected, 13.08% during prior month); <b><i>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index</i></b>(12.99% during prior month); <b><i>Conference Board Consumer Confidence</i></b>, November (100.0 expected, 102.5 during prior month)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> <b><i>MBA Mortgage Applications</i></b>, week ended Nov. 25 (2.2% during prior week); <b><i>ADP Employment Change</i></b>, November (195,000 expected, 239,000 during prior month); <b><i>GDP Annualized</i></b>, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (2.7% expected, 2.6% prior estimate);<b><i>Personal Consumption</i></b>, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (1.5% expected, 1.4% prior estimate); <b><i>GDP Price Index</i></b>, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (4.1% expected, 4.1% prior estimate); <b><i>Core PCE</i></b>, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (4.5% prior estimate); <b><i>Advance Goods Trade Balance</i></b>, September (-$90.2 billion expected, -$92.2 billion during prior month); <b><i>Wholesale Inventories</i></b>, month-over-month, October preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.6% during prior month); <b><i>Retail Inventories</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.4% during prior month);<b><i>MNI Chicago PMI,</i></b>November (47.0 expected, 45.2 during prior month); <b><i>PendingHome Sales</i></b>, month-over-month, October (-5.2% expected, -10.2% during prior month); <b><i>JOLTS Job Openings</i></b>, October (10.325 million expected, 10.717 million during prior month); <b><i>Federal Reserve Beige Book</i></b></p><p><b>Thursday:</b> <b><i>Challenger Job Cuts</i></b>, year-over-year, November (48.3% during prior month); <b><i>Personal Income</i></b>, October (0.4% expected, 0.4% during prior month); <b><i>Personal Spending</i></b>, October (0.6% expected, 0.8% during prior month); <b><i>PCE Deflator</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.4% expected, 0.3% during prior month);<b><i>PCE Deflator</i></b>, year-over-year, October (6.0% expected, 6.2% during prior month); <b><i>PCE Core Deflator</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.3% expected, 0.5% during prior month); <b><i>PCE Core Deflator</i></b>, year-over-year, October (5.0% expected, 5.1% during prior month); <b><i>Initial Jobless Claims</i></b>, week ended Nov. 26 (240,000 during prior week); <b><i>Continuing Claims,</i></b>week ended Nov. 19 (1.551 million during prior week); <b><i>S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI</i></b>, November final (49.8 expected, 50.2 during prior month); <b><i>Construction Spending</i></b>, month-over-month, October (-0.2% expected, -0.2% during prior month); <b><i>ISM Manufacturing</i></b>, November (49.8 expected, 50.2 during prior month); <b><i>ISM Prices Paid</i></b>, November (46.6 during prior month); <b><i>ISM New Orders</i></b>, September (49.2 during prior month); <b><i>ISM Employment</i></b>, November (50.0 during prior month); <b><i>WARDS Total Vehicle Sales</i></b>, November (14.90 million expected, 14.90 prior month)</p><p><b>Friday:</b><b><i>Change in Nonfarm Payrolls</i></b>, November (200,000 expected, 216,000 during prior month); <b><i>Unemployment Rate</i></b>, November (3.7% expected, 3.7% during prior month); <b><i>Average Hourly Earnings</i></b>, month-over-month, November (0.3% expected, 0.4% during prior month);<b><i>Average Hourly Earnings</i></b>, year-over-year, November (4.6% expected, 4.7% prior month); <b><i>Average Weekly Hours All Employees</i></b>, November (34.5 expected, 34.5 during prior month); <b><i>Labor Force Participation Rate</i></b>, November (62.3% expected, 62.3% during prior month); <b><i>Underemployment Rate</i></b>, November (60.8% prior month)</p><p>—</p><h2><b>Earnings Calendar</b></h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a40d1324fad197369d0fd7fc5d75b1b5\" tg-width=\"2027\" tg-height=\"1426\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Monday:</b> Arrowhead (ARWR), AZEK (AZEK)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> Baozun (BZUN), Bilibili (BILI), Compass Minerals (CMP), CrowdStrike (CRWD), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Hibbett (HIBB), Intuit (INTU), NetApp (NTAP), Workday (WDAY)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> Donaldson (DCI), Five Below (FIVE), Frontline (FRO), Hormel Foods (HRL), La-Z-Boy (LZB), Nutanix (NTNX), Okta (OKTA), Petco Health and Wellness (WOOF), Pure Storage (PSTG), PVH (PVH), Royal Bank of Canada (RY), Salesforce (CRM), Snowflake (SNOW), Splunk (SPLK), Synopsys (SNPS), Titan Machinery (TITN), Victoria&#39;s Secret (VSCO)</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> Ambarella (AMBA), American Outdoor Brands (AOUT), Big Lots (BIG), ChargePoint (CHPT), Designer Brands (DBI), Dollar General (DG), G-III Apparel (GIII), Kroger (KR), Li Auto (LI), Manchester United (MANU), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Patterson Companies (PDCO), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), Veeva Systems (VEEV), Weber (WEBR), Zscaler (ZS)</p><p><b>Friday:</b> Cracker Barrel (CBRL), Genesco (GCO)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jobs, Housing Data, GDP Bring Investors Into December: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJobs, Housing Data, GDP Bring Investors Into December: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-28 06:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-lookahead-november-jobs-report-federal-reserve-182021843.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors returning from the Thanksgiving holiday will face a deluge of economic releases in the week ahead as Wall Street heads into the final month of 2022 and braces for the Federal Reserve’s last ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-lookahead-november-jobs-report-federal-reserve-182021843.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-lookahead-november-jobs-report-federal-reserve-182021843.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198835584","content_text":"Investors returning from the Thanksgiving holiday will face a deluge of economic releases in the week ahead as Wall Street heads into the final month of 2022 and braces for the Federal Reserve’s last interest rate hike of the year.The government’s monthly employment report, data on the housing market, a second look at GDP growth, PCE inflation, and a reading on consumer confidence are among the many highlights of a busy economic calendar in the coming days.The Labor Department’s latest employment report, set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday morning, will highlight the schedule.Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 200,000 last month, according to estimates from Bloomberg. If realized, the number would mark another downtrend in the labor market but reflect still-robust hiring on a historical basis.Strong labor market readings havestoked worries that Fed officials will stay the courseon aggressive rate hikes and overshoot on monetary tightening.“Recent monthly data from the advanced economies have tended to exceed analysts’ gloomy expectations, “ Capital Economics chief global economist Jennifer McKeown said in a recent note. “However, this resilience probably also reflects a lag before higher interest rates transmit to the economy and firms are forced to reduce employment.”On the inflation front, investors will be watching the personal consumption expenditures' (PCE) price index out Thursday to see whether the recent trend of easing inflation holds up. On a monthly basis, PCE is expected to show a 0.4% rise in October, up from 0.3% during the prior month, according to Bloomberg estimates. Over the prior year, PCE inflation is expected to have eased to a rate of 6% from 6.2% previously.According to Bank of America’sNovember fund manager survey, investors do not expect the Fed to pivot – or change course on rate hikes – until U.S. PCE inflation falls below 4%.For traders, this year's action has been all about what the Federal Reserve will do next, and fresh economic figures should offer clues about whether a 50- or 75-basis-point increase in the Fed's benchmark interest rate range awaits investors in mid-December.As of Sunday morning,markets were pricing ina roughly 75% chance the Federal Reserve will deliver a 50-basis-point rate hike following the conclusion of its next meeting on December 15, data from the CME Group showed.Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to speak during a news conference in Washington, DC, on November 2, 2022.Areadout of minutes from the Fed’s November meetingalso indicated a “substantial majority” of officials believe it will soon be time to slow the current pace of increases. But a strong November jobs report and higher than expected PCE figure may dash deceleration hopes.“It’s premature in my mind to take anything off the table,” San Francisco Fed PresidentMary Daly said last weekwhen asked whether a 75-basis point rate hike is still possible. “I’m going into the [Fed's December 14-15] meeting with the full range of adjustments that we could make on the table and not taking off prematurely.”While investors are hopeful for a meaningful slowdown in inflation and a subsequent policy shift over the next year, some Wall Street strategists are raising doubts about the Federal Reserve’s ability to fulfill its goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.Strategists at theBlackRock Investment Institute warned last weekglobal investors are in a “new macro regime where central banks are causing recessions rather than coming to the rescue.”“That is clear in the rate path of major central banks set to overtighten policy as they battle inflation,” BlackRock's team, led by Jean Boivin, said in weekly commentary. “We think they will eventually pause but not cut rates when confronted with the damage of sharp rate hikes – that could be the reality of recession or the appearance of financial cracks, as seen in the U.K.”Billionaire hedge funder Bill Ackman alsosaid in a recent call with investorsinterest rates are \"meaningfully below where they are going to go,” and the firm does not believe the Federal Reserve will be able to get inflation back to a consistent 2% level.\"We think that is, of course, a risk for equities,\" Ackman said. \"And part of our thesis is we think inflation is going to be structurally higher.\"Elsewhere in economic data this week, a second estimate of third-quarter GDP, Case-Shiller home price data, manufacturing activity gauges, and the Conference Board’s measure of consumer confidence are all on tap.Investors are ready to close the curtains on the latest earnings season, but some standout reports will still be released, including Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Salesforce (CRM), Dollar General (DG), and Kroger (KR).Last week, U.S. markets continued to build on recent moment in a week of trading shortened by the Thanksgiving holiday.The S&P 500ended modestly loweron Black Friday but finished the week in the green, up roughly 1.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite also advanced over the three and a half-day trading period, each rising 1.8% and 0.7%, respectively.Economic CalendarMonday: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity, November (-23.0 expected, -19.4 during prior month)Tuesday: FHFA Housing Pricing Index, September (-1.3% expected, -0.7% during prior month); House Price Purchasing Index, Q3 (4.0% during prior quarter); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, month-over-month, September (-1.15% expected, -1.32% during prior month); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, year-over-year, September (10.65% expected, 13.08% during prior month); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index(12.99% during prior month); Conference Board Consumer Confidence, November (100.0 expected, 102.5 during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Nov. 25 (2.2% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (195,000 expected, 239,000 during prior month); GDP Annualized, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (2.7% expected, 2.6% prior estimate);Personal Consumption, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (1.5% expected, 1.4% prior estimate); GDP Price Index, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (4.1% expected, 4.1% prior estimate); Core PCE, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (4.5% prior estimate); Advance Goods Trade Balance, September (-$90.2 billion expected, -$92.2 billion during prior month); Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, October preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.6% during prior month); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, October (0.4% during prior month);MNI Chicago PMI,November (47.0 expected, 45.2 during prior month); PendingHome Sales, month-over-month, October (-5.2% expected, -10.2% during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, October (10.325 million expected, 10.717 million during prior month); Federal Reserve Beige BookThursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, November (48.3% during prior month); Personal Income, October (0.4% expected, 0.4% during prior month); Personal Spending, October (0.6% expected, 0.8% during prior month); PCE Deflator, month-over-month, October (0.4% expected, 0.3% during prior month);PCE Deflator, year-over-year, October (6.0% expected, 6.2% during prior month); PCE Core Deflator, month-over-month, October (0.3% expected, 0.5% during prior month); PCE Core Deflator, year-over-year, October (5.0% expected, 5.1% during prior month); Initial Jobless Claims, week ended Nov. 26 (240,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims,week ended Nov. 19 (1.551 million during prior week); S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (49.8 expected, 50.2 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (-0.2% expected, -0.2% during prior month); ISM Manufacturing, November (49.8 expected, 50.2 during prior month); ISM Prices Paid, November (46.6 during prior month); ISM New Orders, September (49.2 during prior month); ISM Employment, November (50.0 during prior month); WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, November (14.90 million expected, 14.90 prior month)Friday:Change in Nonfarm Payrolls, November (200,000 expected, 216,000 during prior month); Unemployment Rate, November (3.7% expected, 3.7% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.3% expected, 0.4% during prior month);Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (4.6% expected, 4.7% prior month); Average Weekly Hours All Employees, November (34.5 expected, 34.5 during prior month); Labor Force Participation Rate, November (62.3% expected, 62.3% during prior month); Underemployment Rate, November (60.8% prior month)—Earnings CalendarMonday: Arrowhead (ARWR), AZEK (AZEK)Tuesday: Baozun (BZUN), Bilibili (BILI), Compass Minerals (CMP), CrowdStrike (CRWD), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Hibbett (HIBB), Intuit (INTU), NetApp (NTAP), Workday (WDAY)Wednesday: Donaldson (DCI), Five Below (FIVE), Frontline (FRO), Hormel Foods (HRL), La-Z-Boy (LZB), Nutanix (NTNX), Okta (OKTA), Petco Health and Wellness (WOOF), Pure Storage (PSTG), PVH (PVH), Royal Bank of Canada (RY), Salesforce (CRM), Snowflake (SNOW), Splunk (SPLK), Synopsys (SNPS), Titan Machinery (TITN), Victoria's Secret (VSCO)Thursday: Ambarella (AMBA), American Outdoor Brands (AOUT), Big Lots (BIG), ChargePoint (CHPT), Designer Brands (DBI), Dollar General (DG), G-III Apparel (GIII), Kroger (KR), Li Auto (LI), Manchester United (MANU), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Patterson Companies (PDCO), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), Veeva Systems (VEEV), Weber (WEBR), Zscaler (ZS)Friday: Cracker Barrel (CBRL), Genesco (GCO)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966322901,"gmtCreate":1669425068604,"gmtModify":1676538195309,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966322901","repostId":"2286839697","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2286839697","pubTimestamp":1669424518,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2286839697?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-26 09:01","market":"other","language":"en","title":"3 Cryptos to Buy in a Bear Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286839697","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The crypto winter just got a whole lot colder, but these top cryptos could be heating up.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The implosion of FTX, a previously trusted exchange that had a high profile with even casual investors, thanks to its extensive marketing, gave a black eye to a space that has already taken its lumps this year.</p><p>However, while many investors have sold their cryptocurrencies during the current crypto winter, for every seller there is a buyer, and some of them are long-term investors who have conviction in the crypto&#39;s potential. Chaos can provide good buying opportunities. Here are three cryptos for risk-tolerant investors to consider buying during the current bear market.</p><h2><b>1. Ethereum</b></h2><p><b>Ethereum</b> has rallied 26% since its June low, but has sold off following the FTX bankruptcy filing. However, this could be a case of the baby being thrown out with the bathwater as Ethereum is a decentralized, established cryptocurrency that has little to do with FTX. No single entity controls Ethereum, and over 70 million users worldwide help to validate transactions and secure the Ethereum network, putting it in stark contrast with cryptocurrencies like <b>FTX Token</b> and many of the other newer cryptocurrencies issued by exchanges and other centralized entities.</p><p>This year, Ethereum users welcomed its long-awaited transition to proof-of-stake consensus, known as The Merge, which drastically reduced Ethereum&#39;s carbon footprint, paved the way for sharding (which will eventually lead to faster transactions and lower fees when implemented in the next upgrade), and opened up the ability for more Ethereum users to earn rewards for participating in the network by staking their holdings to validate transactions and secure the network.</p><p>The ability to easily earn staking rewards also increases Ethereum&#39;s appeal as an investment. A user needs to stake a minimum of 32 Ether to run their own validator, but there are plenty of services that stake your Ethereum for you, allowing you to earn returns competitive with the payouts you can earn from popular dividend stocks as well as 10-year Treasury notes.</p><p>The $180 billion cryptocurrency is by far the largest smart-contract platform, making it the de facto gateway for larger institutional investors that want to get involved in the world of decentralized finance (DeFi). <b>JPMorgan Chase</b> recently tested the waters of decentralized finance with its first ever DeFi trade. The trade was executed on the <b>Polygon</b> blockchain, which is a Layer 2 network on Ethereum. Major decentralized exchanges like <b>Uniswap</b>, <b>dYdX</b>, and others are built on Ethereum. As additional traditional financial heavyweights get involved in decentralized finance, Ethereum will be their first stop.</p><p>With new capabilities after The Merge such as the ability to earn rewards for staking, and its position at the gateway to the world of DeFi, Ethereum looks like a top cryptocurrency to buy during the bear market.</p><h2><b>2. Bitcoin </b></h2><p>Like Ethereum, <b>Bitcoin</b> is a decentralized cryptocurrency that stands out in the crowd. The original crypto is also the original decentralized asset. There is no leader or central authority that controls the Bitcoin network -- meaning there&#39;s no one entity that can make a poor decision or act in a manner that destroys the value of Bitcoin. A network of miners all over the world secure the Bitcoin network by solving complex mathematical equations to validate transactions and earn more Bitcoin. Bitcoin is also transparent in that all transactions appear on its blockchain, which is publicly viewable.</p><p>Bitcoin is the oldest and largest cryptocurrency, and will benefit as the gateway to cryptocurrency as more institutional investors and corporations test the waters of cryptocurrency. While the FTX saga has certainly set crypto adoption back a few steps, overall, the tide is turning toward Bitcoin and cryptocurrency as a whole.</p><p>On Oct. 11, <b>Bank of New York Mellon</b>, the world&#39;s largest custodial bank, announced that it would offer custody for cryptocurrencies. <b>Alphabet </b>recently announced it would utilize <b>Coinbase</b> to accept payments using Bitcoin for its Google Cloud services, and <b>Mastercard</b> announced it would offer its services to enable traditional banks to offer cryptocurrency trading.</p><p>As the world moves further toward crypto adoption, Bitcoin is best suited to lead cryptocurrency forward.</p><h2><b>3. Litecoin</b></h2><p><b>Litecoin</b> is one major crypto that has been able to avoid being pulled down in the current sell-off, and the proof-of-work crypto is surprisingly up 16% over the past month. The $4 billion crypto, which started as a fork of Bitcoin in 2011, is experiencing a bit of a resurgence, with a rally of 53% since the low it hit in June.</p><p>Litecoin is surging as the network&#39;s hash rate hits new all-time highs, indicating increasing interest in Litecoin and more competition to earn Litecoin by mining. Litecoin also benefited from news that it will join Bitcoin and Ethereum as digital assets that will be available on <b>Moneygram International</b>&#39;s payment platform. Like Bitcoin and Ethereum, Litecoin is one of the cryptocurrencies that Google Cloud will accept for payment, giving the 16th-largest crypto by market cap enhanced credibility. Perhaps a renewed interest in decentralized, proof-of-work assets plus growing adoption will continue to propel Litecoin higher.</p><p>The current crypto winter has been difficult for investors, but this bear market is also an opportune time for long-term, risk-tolerant investors to accumulate more tokens at lower prices before market sentiment again turns positive.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Cryptos to Buy in a Bear Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Cryptos to Buy in a Bear Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-26 09:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/25/3-cryptos-to-buy-in-a-bear-market/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The implosion of FTX, a previously trusted exchange that had a high profile with even casual investors, thanks to its extensive marketing, gave a black eye to a space that has already taken its lumps ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/25/3-cryptos-to-buy-in-a-bear-market/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/25/3-cryptos-to-buy-in-a-bear-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286839697","content_text":"The implosion of FTX, a previously trusted exchange that had a high profile with even casual investors, thanks to its extensive marketing, gave a black eye to a space that has already taken its lumps this year.However, while many investors have sold their cryptocurrencies during the current crypto winter, for every seller there is a buyer, and some of them are long-term investors who have conviction in the crypto's potential. Chaos can provide good buying opportunities. Here are three cryptos for risk-tolerant investors to consider buying during the current bear market.1. EthereumEthereum has rallied 26% since its June low, but has sold off following the FTX bankruptcy filing. However, this could be a case of the baby being thrown out with the bathwater as Ethereum is a decentralized, established cryptocurrency that has little to do with FTX. No single entity controls Ethereum, and over 70 million users worldwide help to validate transactions and secure the Ethereum network, putting it in stark contrast with cryptocurrencies like FTX Token and many of the other newer cryptocurrencies issued by exchanges and other centralized entities.This year, Ethereum users welcomed its long-awaited transition to proof-of-stake consensus, known as The Merge, which drastically reduced Ethereum's carbon footprint, paved the way for sharding (which will eventually lead to faster transactions and lower fees when implemented in the next upgrade), and opened up the ability for more Ethereum users to earn rewards for participating in the network by staking their holdings to validate transactions and secure the network.The ability to easily earn staking rewards also increases Ethereum's appeal as an investment. A user needs to stake a minimum of 32 Ether to run their own validator, but there are plenty of services that stake your Ethereum for you, allowing you to earn returns competitive with the payouts you can earn from popular dividend stocks as well as 10-year Treasury notes.The $180 billion cryptocurrency is by far the largest smart-contract platform, making it the de facto gateway for larger institutional investors that want to get involved in the world of decentralized finance (DeFi). JPMorgan Chase recently tested the waters of decentralized finance with its first ever DeFi trade. The trade was executed on the Polygon blockchain, which is a Layer 2 network on Ethereum. Major decentralized exchanges like Uniswap, dYdX, and others are built on Ethereum. As additional traditional financial heavyweights get involved in decentralized finance, Ethereum will be their first stop.With new capabilities after The Merge such as the ability to earn rewards for staking, and its position at the gateway to the world of DeFi, Ethereum looks like a top cryptocurrency to buy during the bear market.2. Bitcoin Like Ethereum, Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency that stands out in the crowd. The original crypto is also the original decentralized asset. There is no leader or central authority that controls the Bitcoin network -- meaning there's no one entity that can make a poor decision or act in a manner that destroys the value of Bitcoin. A network of miners all over the world secure the Bitcoin network by solving complex mathematical equations to validate transactions and earn more Bitcoin. Bitcoin is also transparent in that all transactions appear on its blockchain, which is publicly viewable.Bitcoin is the oldest and largest cryptocurrency, and will benefit as the gateway to cryptocurrency as more institutional investors and corporations test the waters of cryptocurrency. While the FTX saga has certainly set crypto adoption back a few steps, overall, the tide is turning toward Bitcoin and cryptocurrency as a whole.On Oct. 11, Bank of New York Mellon, the world's largest custodial bank, announced that it would offer custody for cryptocurrencies. Alphabet recently announced it would utilize Coinbase to accept payments using Bitcoin for its Google Cloud services, and Mastercard announced it would offer its services to enable traditional banks to offer cryptocurrency trading.As the world moves further toward crypto adoption, Bitcoin is best suited to lead cryptocurrency forward.3. LitecoinLitecoin is one major crypto that has been able to avoid being pulled down in the current sell-off, and the proof-of-work crypto is surprisingly up 16% over the past month. The $4 billion crypto, which started as a fork of Bitcoin in 2011, is experiencing a bit of a resurgence, with a rally of 53% since the low it hit in June.Litecoin is surging as the network's hash rate hits new all-time highs, indicating increasing interest in Litecoin and more competition to earn Litecoin by mining. Litecoin also benefited from news that it will join Bitcoin and Ethereum as digital assets that will be available on Moneygram International's payment platform. Like Bitcoin and Ethereum, Litecoin is one of the cryptocurrencies that Google Cloud will accept for payment, giving the 16th-largest crypto by market cap enhanced credibility. Perhaps a renewed interest in decentralized, proof-of-work assets plus growing adoption will continue to propel Litecoin higher.The current crypto winter has been difficult for investors, but this bear market is also an opportune time for long-term, risk-tolerant investors to accumulate more tokens at lower prices before market sentiment again turns positive.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968737154,"gmtCreate":1669330537278,"gmtModify":1676538182723,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968737154","repostId":"2285840582","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2285840582","pubTimestamp":1669294277,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2285840582?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-24 20:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Open Sesame - Alibaba, Buy The Bottom","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2285840582","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba stock is down around 61% over the past five years. We believe the pullback creates an","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Alibaba stock is down around 61% over the past five years. We believe the pullback creates an attractive entry point to invest in the company at a discount.</li><li>We expect continuing COVID-19 lockdowns and weaker consumer spending in China to pressure the stock&#39;s main source of revenue, China e-commerce.</li><li>We&#39;re constructive on Alibaba as we believe the company&#39;s higher-spending consumers will make the stock more resilient even when total buyer numbers decline.</li><li>We like Alibaba&#39;s position in the cloud market, specifically with the Alibaba Cloud growing 4% Y/Y despite macroeconomic headwinds.</li><li>The stock is cheap, trading at 1.2x C2024 on a P/E basis compared to the peer group average of 17.7x. We recommend investors buy the pullback.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02bc619e12091d82a2c307028adf3dd8\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>maybefalse</span></p><p>Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) stock popped around 8% after reporting 2Q23 earnings, despite missing revenue expectations. The Chinese tech and e-commerce giant has had its roughest year since going public, facing pressures from COVID-19 lockdowns, weakening consumer spending, and macroeconomic headwinds. Still, the company stays afloat. Our bullish sentiment on the stock is based on our belief that the worst of the macroeconomic headwinds and lockdown restrictions have been priced in, leaving the company&#39;s valuation too attractive to ignore.</p><p>We recommend investors buy the stock pullback because we believe Alibaba&#39;s core fundamentals remain intact. We expect the company to recover and grow meaningfully in CY2023 on the back of Alibaba Cloud and easing lockdown restrictions in China.</p><h2>Headwinds are priced in, for the most part</h2><p>Alibaba has been under significant pressure in its money-making department: China E-commerce. While Alibaba has expanded its business to integrate tech, the company remains a retailer at heart. The devaluation of the yuan currency, alongside the global weakening consumer spending, took a bite out of Alibaba&#39;s revenue this past quarter. Alibaba reported revenue of $29B, achieving a 3% Y/Y growth but falling short of expectations by $490M. Despite the 2Q23 earnings report, we believe Alibaba is well-positioned to grow in the e-commerce business in the long run. We believe Alibaba&#39;s customer base is more resilient than the market is giving it credit for. While 2Q23 reported a decline in the number of total buyers, we believe the company&#39;s Business-to-Business (B2B) model provides Alibaba with high-spending customers that will support sales even during market downtrends. We believe the company is trading cheaply for its position in the e-commerce market in China- with over 60% of the market share in 2021. We believe most of the weak consumer spending and lockdown restriction headwinds have been priced into the stock.</p><p>The following graph outlines Alibaba&#39;s annual revenue distribution between 2018-2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3a7e4a20c30cfd12317dd986703610e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"410\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Statista</span></p><p>The stock has taken a hit- but we expect e-commerce to recover when 1) global consumer spending picks up and 2) as China eases the COVID-19 lockdown restrictions. The latter has already taken effect with China announcing restrictions are being lifted- despite China reporting that 25,353 individuals tested positive for COVID-19 on Friday. We expect China&#39;s &#39;Zero-COVID&#39; policies to remain uncertain towards the end of the year, but we believe the government is taking measures to fine-tune the restrictions so they do not disrupt business and daily life. We&#39;re more constructive on Alibaba&#39;s e-commerce business going forward and believe the stock&#39;s valuation is too attractive to ignore.</p><h2>Alibaba Cloud is the third-largest cloud provider</h2><p>Alibaba Cloud was the company&#39;s second revenue driver in its 2Q23 earnings report, growing 4% Y/Y. Alibaba is expanding its position as a cloud provider investing $1B in a &#34;global partner ecosystem upgrade.&#34; The Chinese Cloud provider is now the world&#39;s third-largest cloud provider after competitors Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT), with a worldwide market share of 9.5% in 2021, according to Gartner.</p><p>The following graph outlines Alibaba&#39;s position among the top cloud providers globally.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85ba0ee67a5d0c119ce1ba60a6ae1418\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Gartner</span></p><p>We like Alibaba&#39;s position in the cloud market forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 19.9% between 2022-2029. We expect Alibaba cloud to be at the core of advancing China&#39;s digitalization and expect the stock to benefit from the upward trend in the cloud market. The company&#39;s cloud business is already growing significantly.</p><p>The following graph outlines Alibaba Cloud&#39;s growth between 2018-2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d27f0a0d647b3a6e49fac3e0ea1c8c1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Statista</span></p><h2>Stock Performance</h2><p>Alibaba stock is down around 63% over the past five years. YTD, the stock is down almost 35%. YTD, Alibaba is down alongside most of its peer group, with JD.com (JD)(HKG: 9618) dropping nearly 25%, Microsoft (MSFT) almost 28%, and Amazon (AMZN) around 56%. Our bullish thesis on the stock is based on our belief that the stock pullback creates an attractive entry point to invest in the company&#39;s 2023 growth.</p><p>The following graphs outline the company&#39;s stock performance over the past five years and YTD compared to the competition.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1df29074c370c73c90aa13754615bbf9\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TechStockPros</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c524fe2940d3773117071febcbe01555\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TechStockPros</span></p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>Alibaba is exceptionally cheap, trading at 1.2x C2024 on a P/E basis EPS $66.17 compared to the peer group average of 17.7x. The stock is trading at 0.2x EV/C2024 Sales versus 4.0x. Alibaba&#39;s valuation is central to our buy thesis. The stock is down around 44% from its 52-week high of $139, and we believe the company provides an attractive entry point into a major retail and tech company.</p><p>The following table outlines BABA&#39;s valuation compared to the peer group.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/356b527cff5c21506a4647e5929ac280\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TechStockPros</span></p><h2>Word on Wall Street</h2><p>Wall Street is overwhelmingly buy-rated on the stock. Of 47 analysts covering the stock, 41 are buy-rated, five are hold-rated, and the remaining are sell-rated. The stock is trading at $78. The median and mean price targets are set at $136 and $134, respectively, with a major potential upside of 72-74%.</p><p>The following table outlines BABA&#39;s sell-side ratings and price targets.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6757746d14d7da37ac3ddb3f61a19fc\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TechStockPros</span></p><h2>What to do with the stock</h2><p>Alibaba stock dropped 75% from its high of $317.14 in October 2020. We believe the stock provides an attractive entry point into one of the world&#39;s largest e-commerce and cloud providers at a discount. We expect Alibaba to grow on two fronts: cloud and e-commerce. We believe Alibaba Cloud will benefit from the global shift to the cloud. We&#39;re also constructive on the company&#39;s e-commerce business once consumer weakness and lockdown restrictions in China ease. We recommend investors buy the stock before it rallies.</p><p><i>This article is written by Tech Stock Pros for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Open Sesame - Alibaba, Buy The Bottom</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpen Sesame - Alibaba, Buy The Bottom\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-24 20:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560094-alibaba-stock-buy-bottom><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba stock is down around 61% over the past five years. We believe the pullback creates an attractive entry point to invest in the company at a discount.We expect continuing COVID-19 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560094-alibaba-stock-buy-bottom\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560094-alibaba-stock-buy-bottom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2285840582","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba stock is down around 61% over the past five years. We believe the pullback creates an attractive entry point to invest in the company at a discount.We expect continuing COVID-19 lockdowns and weaker consumer spending in China to pressure the stock's main source of revenue, China e-commerce.We're constructive on Alibaba as we believe the company's higher-spending consumers will make the stock more resilient even when total buyer numbers decline.We like Alibaba's position in the cloud market, specifically with the Alibaba Cloud growing 4% Y/Y despite macroeconomic headwinds.The stock is cheap, trading at 1.2x C2024 on a P/E basis compared to the peer group average of 17.7x. We recommend investors buy the pullback.maybefalseAlibaba (NYSE:BABA) stock popped around 8% after reporting 2Q23 earnings, despite missing revenue expectations. The Chinese tech and e-commerce giant has had its roughest year since going public, facing pressures from COVID-19 lockdowns, weakening consumer spending, and macroeconomic headwinds. Still, the company stays afloat. Our bullish sentiment on the stock is based on our belief that the worst of the macroeconomic headwinds and lockdown restrictions have been priced in, leaving the company's valuation too attractive to ignore.We recommend investors buy the stock pullback because we believe Alibaba's core fundamentals remain intact. We expect the company to recover and grow meaningfully in CY2023 on the back of Alibaba Cloud and easing lockdown restrictions in China.Headwinds are priced in, for the most partAlibaba has been under significant pressure in its money-making department: China E-commerce. While Alibaba has expanded its business to integrate tech, the company remains a retailer at heart. The devaluation of the yuan currency, alongside the global weakening consumer spending, took a bite out of Alibaba's revenue this past quarter. Alibaba reported revenue of $29B, achieving a 3% Y/Y growth but falling short of expectations by $490M. Despite the 2Q23 earnings report, we believe Alibaba is well-positioned to grow in the e-commerce business in the long run. We believe Alibaba's customer base is more resilient than the market is giving it credit for. While 2Q23 reported a decline in the number of total buyers, we believe the company's Business-to-Business (B2B) model provides Alibaba with high-spending customers that will support sales even during market downtrends. We believe the company is trading cheaply for its position in the e-commerce market in China- with over 60% of the market share in 2021. We believe most of the weak consumer spending and lockdown restriction headwinds have been priced into the stock.The following graph outlines Alibaba's annual revenue distribution between 2018-2022.StatistaThe stock has taken a hit- but we expect e-commerce to recover when 1) global consumer spending picks up and 2) as China eases the COVID-19 lockdown restrictions. The latter has already taken effect with China announcing restrictions are being lifted- despite China reporting that 25,353 individuals tested positive for COVID-19 on Friday. We expect China's 'Zero-COVID' policies to remain uncertain towards the end of the year, but we believe the government is taking measures to fine-tune the restrictions so they do not disrupt business and daily life. We're more constructive on Alibaba's e-commerce business going forward and believe the stock's valuation is too attractive to ignore.Alibaba Cloud is the third-largest cloud providerAlibaba Cloud was the company's second revenue driver in its 2Q23 earnings report, growing 4% Y/Y. Alibaba is expanding its position as a cloud provider investing $1B in a \"global partner ecosystem upgrade.\" The Chinese Cloud provider is now the world's third-largest cloud provider after competitors Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT), with a worldwide market share of 9.5% in 2021, according to Gartner.The following graph outlines Alibaba's position among the top cloud providers globally.GartnerWe like Alibaba's position in the cloud market forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 19.9% between 2022-2029. We expect Alibaba cloud to be at the core of advancing China's digitalization and expect the stock to benefit from the upward trend in the cloud market. The company's cloud business is already growing significantly.The following graph outlines Alibaba Cloud's growth between 2018-2022.StatistaStock PerformanceAlibaba stock is down around 63% over the past five years. YTD, the stock is down almost 35%. YTD, Alibaba is down alongside most of its peer group, with JD.com (JD)(HKG: 9618) dropping nearly 25%, Microsoft (MSFT) almost 28%, and Amazon (AMZN) around 56%. Our bullish thesis on the stock is based on our belief that the stock pullback creates an attractive entry point to invest in the company's 2023 growth.The following graphs outline the company's stock performance over the past five years and YTD compared to the competition.TechStockProsTechStockProsValuationAlibaba is exceptionally cheap, trading at 1.2x C2024 on a P/E basis EPS $66.17 compared to the peer group average of 17.7x. The stock is trading at 0.2x EV/C2024 Sales versus 4.0x. Alibaba's valuation is central to our buy thesis. The stock is down around 44% from its 52-week high of $139, and we believe the company provides an attractive entry point into a major retail and tech company.The following table outlines BABA's valuation compared to the peer group.TechStockProsWord on Wall StreetWall Street is overwhelmingly buy-rated on the stock. Of 47 analysts covering the stock, 41 are buy-rated, five are hold-rated, and the remaining are sell-rated. The stock is trading at $78. The median and mean price targets are set at $136 and $134, respectively, with a major potential upside of 72-74%.The following table outlines BABA's sell-side ratings and price targets.TechStockProsWhat to do with the stockAlibaba stock dropped 75% from its high of $317.14 in October 2020. We believe the stock provides an attractive entry point into one of the world's largest e-commerce and cloud providers at a discount. We expect Alibaba to grow on two fronts: cloud and e-commerce. We believe Alibaba Cloud will benefit from the global shift to the cloud. We're also constructive on the company's e-commerce business once consumer weakness and lockdown restrictions in China ease. We recommend investors buy the stock before it rallies.This article is written by Tech Stock Pros for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968219512,"gmtCreate":1669243953937,"gmtModify":1676538171181,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968219512","repostId":"1168042484","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168042484","pubTimestamp":1669207575,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168042484?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-23 20:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168042484","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in mar","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two months</li><li>Morgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgrades</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76d786e2fc285c0e8faa9755ba109fa5\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"665\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Elon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFP</span></p><p>After losing nearly $300 billion in market value in two months, a growing chorus of Tesla Inc. analysts say the share-price decline has gone far enough.</p><p>Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said on Wednesday that Tesla is approaching his “bear case” price target of $150, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a bargain price. Citi analysts upgraded the shares to neutral from sell, saying that a more than 50% slump this year “has balanced out the near-term risk/reward.”</p><p>Despite challenges including decelerating demand andprice cutsin China, Tesla is the only electric vehicle maker covered by Morgan Stanley that generates a profit on the sale of its cars, Jonas wrote in a note. The analyst -- who also highlighted Tesla’s potential to benefit from consumer tax credits in the US -- reiterated his $330 price target.</p><p>Shares rose as much as 1.9% in premarket trading to $173.11. The stock has slumped this year amid rising raw materials costs,issueswith production and sales in China and pressure on customer budgets. Latterly, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk’s focus on turning around Twitter Inc. has also hit sentiment, with $300 billion wiped off Tesla’s market cap in the past two months, according to Bloomberg calculations.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28418b2c1e10b82bdeec4788d9133a29\" tg-width=\"1235\" tg-height=\"695\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The distraction caused by Twitter needs to end to stop the stock slide, according to Jonas. “There must be some form of sentiment ‘circuit breaker’ around the Twitter situation to calm investor concerns around Tesla,” he wrote.</p><p>Despite all of the challenges Tesla has faced this year, Wall Street has mainly stayed bullish. The majority of Tesla analysts tracked by Bloomberg rate the stock a buy or equivalent, while the shares would need to rally a whopping 80% to hit the median analyst target price. This year’s slump has left the stock trading at 31 times forward earnings, down from more than 200 times in early 2021.</p><p>Citi analyst Itay Michaeli, who upgraded the stock on Wednesday, has one of the lowest price targets on the Street, at $176. The analyst said he was turning more positive because Tesla’s slump means that some of the overly-bullish expectations in the stock, including on unit sales, have now been priced out.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-23 20:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168042484","content_text":"Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in market value in two months, a growing chorus of Tesla Inc. analysts say the share-price decline has gone far enough.Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said on Wednesday that Tesla is approaching his “bear case” price target of $150, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a bargain price. Citi analysts upgraded the shares to neutral from sell, saying that a more than 50% slump this year “has balanced out the near-term risk/reward.”Despite challenges including decelerating demand andprice cutsin China, Tesla is the only electric vehicle maker covered by Morgan Stanley that generates a profit on the sale of its cars, Jonas wrote in a note. The analyst -- who also highlighted Tesla’s potential to benefit from consumer tax credits in the US -- reiterated his $330 price target.Shares rose as much as 1.9% in premarket trading to $173.11. The stock has slumped this year amid rising raw materials costs,issueswith production and sales in China and pressure on customer budgets. Latterly, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk’s focus on turning around Twitter Inc. has also hit sentiment, with $300 billion wiped off Tesla’s market cap in the past two months, according to Bloomberg calculations.The distraction caused by Twitter needs to end to stop the stock slide, according to Jonas. “There must be some form of sentiment ‘circuit breaker’ around the Twitter situation to calm investor concerns around Tesla,” he wrote.Despite all of the challenges Tesla has faced this year, Wall Street has mainly stayed bullish. The majority of Tesla analysts tracked by Bloomberg rate the stock a buy or equivalent, while the shares would need to rally a whopping 80% to hit the median analyst target price. This year’s slump has left the stock trading at 31 times forward earnings, down from more than 200 times in early 2021.Citi analyst Itay Michaeli, who upgraded the stock on Wednesday, has one of the lowest price targets on the Street, at $176. The analyst said he was turning more positive because Tesla’s slump means that some of the overly-bullish expectations in the stock, including on unit sales, have now been priced out.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961289624,"gmtCreate":1668985114668,"gmtModify":1676538133363,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961289624","repostId":"2285098074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2285098074","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1668984749,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2285098074?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-21 06:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom, Dell, Best Buy, Deere, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2285098074","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"It will be a short week of trading, with markets closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and then closin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It will be a short week of trading, with markets closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and then closing early on Black Friday as the holiday shopping rush begins.</p><p>Earnings season is winding down but there will still be some notable reports next week, including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications and Dell Technologies on Monday; VMware, Best Buy, Dick&#39;s Sporting Goods, Nordstrom, and HP Inc. on Tuesday; and Deere on Wednesday.</p><p>On the economic front, we&#39;ll see data on manufacturing, home sales, and durable goods, and the Fed will release minutes from its November policy meeting.</p><p>Monday 11/21</p><p>Jacobs Solutions, J.M. Smucker, Agilent Technologies, Urban Outfitters, Zoom Video Communications, and Dell Technologies hold conference calls to discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 0.13 reading, up from September&#39;s 0.10.</p><p>Tuesday 11/22</p><p>VMware, Baidu, Analog Devices, Autodesk, HP Inc., Nordstrom, American Eagle Outfitters, Abercrombie &amp; Fitch, Burlington Stores, Chico&#39;s FAS, Best Buy, Dick&#39;s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Jack in the Box, Warner Music Group, Medtronic, and Canadian Solar host earnings conference calls.</p><p>The Richmond Fed releases its manufacturing index for November. The outlook is for a 1.5 reading after a negative 10 reading in October.</p><p>Wednesday 11/23</p><p>The markets will be looking for signals for future interest-rate hikes from the Federal Open Market Committee when it releases the minutes from its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.</p><p>Deere reports fourth-quarter financial results. Analysts are expecting $7.12 a share in earnings, compared with $4.12 a year ago.</p><p>The Census Bureau reports new residential sales data for October. Economists forecast that sales of new single-family homes ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 572,500, compared with 603,000 in September.</p><p>S&amp;P Global releases both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers&#39; indexes for November. Expectations are for the Manufacturing PMI to be 50.0, while the Services index is seen coming in at 48.2. This compares with readings of 50.4 and 47.8, respectively, in October.</p><p>The Census Bureau releases the durable-goods report for October. The consensus call is that new orders for durable manufactured goods increased by 0.30%, month over month, on a seasonally adjusted basis, compared with a 0.39% rise in September.</p><p>Thursday 11/24</p><p>U.S. stock exchanges and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.</p><p>Friday 11/25</p><p>It&#39;s Black Friday, one of the busiest shopping days of the year, and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. Holiday spending is expected to be robust, even with the inflation challenges that are facing consumers. The National Retail Federation estimates that holiday retail sales during November and December will grow by 6% to 8% over last year&#39;s, compared with an average 4.9% increase over the past 10 years.</p><p>U.S. stock exchanges have an early closing at 1 p.m., and the bond market will shut down at 2 p.m.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom, Dell, Best Buy, Deere, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom, Dell, Best Buy, Deere, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-21 06:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>It will be a short week of trading, with markets closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and then closing early on Black Friday as the holiday shopping rush begins.</p><p>Earnings season is winding down but there will still be some notable reports next week, including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications and Dell Technologies on Monday; VMware, Best Buy, Dick&#39;s Sporting Goods, Nordstrom, and HP Inc. on Tuesday; and Deere on Wednesday.</p><p>On the economic front, we&#39;ll see data on manufacturing, home sales, and durable goods, and the Fed will release minutes from its November policy meeting.</p><p>Monday 11/21</p><p>Jacobs Solutions, J.M. Smucker, Agilent Technologies, Urban Outfitters, Zoom Video Communications, and Dell Technologies hold conference calls to discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 0.13 reading, up from September&#39;s 0.10.</p><p>Tuesday 11/22</p><p>VMware, Baidu, Analog Devices, Autodesk, HP Inc., Nordstrom, American Eagle Outfitters, Abercrombie &amp; Fitch, Burlington Stores, Chico&#39;s FAS, Best Buy, Dick&#39;s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Jack in the Box, Warner Music Group, Medtronic, and Canadian Solar host earnings conference calls.</p><p>The Richmond Fed releases its manufacturing index for November. The outlook is for a 1.5 reading after a negative 10 reading in October.</p><p>Wednesday 11/23</p><p>The markets will be looking for signals for future interest-rate hikes from the Federal Open Market Committee when it releases the minutes from its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.</p><p>Deere reports fourth-quarter financial results. Analysts are expecting $7.12 a share in earnings, compared with $4.12 a year ago.</p><p>The Census Bureau reports new residential sales data for October. Economists forecast that sales of new single-family homes ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 572,500, compared with 603,000 in September.</p><p>S&amp;P Global releases both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers&#39; indexes for November. Expectations are for the Manufacturing PMI to be 50.0, while the Services index is seen coming in at 48.2. This compares with readings of 50.4 and 47.8, respectively, in October.</p><p>The Census Bureau releases the durable-goods report for October. The consensus call is that new orders for durable manufactured goods increased by 0.30%, month over month, on a seasonally adjusted basis, compared with a 0.39% rise in September.</p><p>Thursday 11/24</p><p>U.S. stock exchanges and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.</p><p>Friday 11/25</p><p>It&#39;s Black Friday, one of the busiest shopping days of the year, and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. Holiday spending is expected to be robust, even with the inflation challenges that are facing consumers. The National Retail Federation estimates that holiday retail sales during November and December will grow by 6% to 8% over last year&#39;s, compared with an average 4.9% increase over the past 10 years.</p><p>U.S. stock exchanges have an early closing at 1 p.m., and the bond market will shut down at 2 p.m.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom","DELL":"戴尔","BBY":"百思买","DE":"迪尔股份有限公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2285098074","content_text":"It will be a short week of trading, with markets closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and then closing early on Black Friday as the holiday shopping rush begins.Earnings season is winding down but there will still be some notable reports next week, including Zoom Video Communications and Dell Technologies on Monday; VMware, Best Buy, Dick's Sporting Goods, Nordstrom, and HP Inc. on Tuesday; and Deere on Wednesday.On the economic front, we'll see data on manufacturing, home sales, and durable goods, and the Fed will release minutes from its November policy meeting.Monday 11/21Jacobs Solutions, J.M. Smucker, Agilent Technologies, Urban Outfitters, Zoom Video Communications, and Dell Technologies hold conference calls to discuss quarterly financial results.The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 0.13 reading, up from September's 0.10.Tuesday 11/22VMware, Baidu, Analog Devices, Autodesk, HP Inc., Nordstrom, American Eagle Outfitters, Abercrombie & Fitch, Burlington Stores, Chico's FAS, Best Buy, Dick's Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Jack in the Box, Warner Music Group, Medtronic, and Canadian Solar host earnings conference calls.The Richmond Fed releases its manufacturing index for November. The outlook is for a 1.5 reading after a negative 10 reading in October.Wednesday 11/23The markets will be looking for signals for future interest-rate hikes from the Federal Open Market Committee when it releases the minutes from its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.Deere reports fourth-quarter financial results. Analysts are expecting $7.12 a share in earnings, compared with $4.12 a year ago.The Census Bureau reports new residential sales data for October. Economists forecast that sales of new single-family homes ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 572,500, compared with 603,000 in September.S&P Global releases both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers' indexes for November. Expectations are for the Manufacturing PMI to be 50.0, while the Services index is seen coming in at 48.2. This compares with readings of 50.4 and 47.8, respectively, in October.The Census Bureau releases the durable-goods report for October. The consensus call is that new orders for durable manufactured goods increased by 0.30%, month over month, on a seasonally adjusted basis, compared with a 0.39% rise in September.Thursday 11/24U.S. stock exchanges and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.Friday 11/25It's Black Friday, one of the busiest shopping days of the year, and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. Holiday spending is expected to be robust, even with the inflation challenges that are facing consumers. The National Retail Federation estimates that holiday retail sales during November and December will grow by 6% to 8% over last year's, compared with an average 4.9% increase over the past 10 years.U.S. stock exchanges have an early closing at 1 p.m., and the bond market will shut down at 2 p.m.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961832618,"gmtCreate":1668908157535,"gmtModify":1676538126367,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961832618","repostId":"2284785084","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284785084","pubTimestamp":1668905591,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2284785084?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-20 08:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet Vs. Meta Platforms: Which Stock Is The Better Investment?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284785084","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlphabet and Meta are two giants in highly competitive markets, both with their specific risk","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Alphabet and Meta are two giants in highly competitive markets, both with their specific risk profiles, while also offering massive opportunities to investors.</li><li>GOOG reported a superior performance over the past years, while both stocks may offer great opportunities for investors, the ability to achieve the targets and the optionality will be determinant.</li><li>Both companies share the same Achilles heel, in an industry that is forecasted to grow substantially over the next decade, while it also exposes their revenue stream to demand-driven fluctuations.</li><li>This article focuses on long-term investment opportunities based on in-depth fundamental analysis and I offer two valuation models structured around multiple outcome scenarios.</li></ul><p>The technology sector is among the worst performers in the past year, losing over 30% of its value. While many stocks may have been excessively hyped during the massive rebound out of the pandemic-lows, others have been under pressure because of rising inflation, a higher cost of capital, bottlenecks among the supply chains, as well as headwinds caused by pandemic-related restrictions, geo-political tensions, and the ongoing war in Ukraine. Companies in the Information technology services industry could perform better from a yearly perspective but lately have been struggling to rebound, while others, such as the semiconductor and the solar industries, have recently been leading the sector.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24926893763e4d5e2c2059c3a396961e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"102\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>finviz</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f119d5f53fe3121bf55f9c893934749\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"98\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>finviz</p><p>The two selected companies are two global giants in their industry, with Alphabet (NASDAQ:NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) having nearly a monopoly in the online search field, as Google processes over 92% of online search volume worldwide, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> (NASDAQ:NASDAQ:META) counting 3.71B monthly users in Q3 2022, among the company’s core products, Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, or Messenger, up 4% Year-over-Year [YoY].</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/466ecae9b7a6150d62e4e702446ea1b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"162\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using TIKR</p><p>While the two companies once were identified as a digital duopoly, because of their massive market share in global online advertising, more recently, companies such as Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba (NYSE:BABA), Tencent (OTCX:OTCPK:TCEHY), or ByteDance through their social media TikTok, have penetrated the market and contributed to the erosion of this duopoly.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ba8cba90ad500702aed27aa4769d952\" tg-width=\"398\" tg-height=\"476\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from Insider Intelligence, Research and Markets, Company filings</p><p>The global IT Services market is projected to grow at a 9.5% Compound Annual Growth Rate [CAGR] through 2031, while the global digital advertising market is forecasted to grow even faster at a 13.9% CAGR, reaching a size of $1.79T through 2031. The sustained market growth is driven by the broader penetration of internet users, technological advancement, rising spending in digital advertising, and the expanding popularity of mobile phones and digital media across the world, while platforms such as in-app, mobile ads, connected TV or social media advertising are increasingly important vectors in the industry.</p><h2><b>An in-depth company comparison</b></h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3b292a512ca86202c0549254543bfb5\" tg-width=\"472\" tg-height=\"546\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>The financial comparison highlights the major relative strengths and weaknesses of the two giants. In terms of their Return on Invested Capital [ROIC], a very important metric I consider when pondering an investment decision, as a company must be able to consistently create value to be a sustainable investment, Alphabet seems to gradually increase its capital allocation efficiency over the past few years. Although Meta has been more efficient in the past, the metric has progressively dropped, until recently significantly falling under Alphabet’s level. The latter seems to have a more efficient core business, but Meta has seemingly more efficient cash management, observed in the relatively narrow spread between their ROIC and the Return on Capital Employed [ROCE], while Alphabet could significantly increase its capital allocation efficiency as the company reported a massive cash position of over $116B.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa03acf041d1be505b4a32558b182c46\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Although Meta reports by far the higher gross margin, this metric’s growth is seemingly dropping from 21.94% CAGR in the past 5 years to 17.88% CAGR in the past 3 years. While Alphabet reported a lower actual value, the company saw this metric slightly increase from 19.38% CAGR to 20.72% CAGR, over the same time window. Meta’s main source of revenue began faltering as the widely popular video app TikTok massively increased its audience, and other companies increased their market share in the online advertising space, while Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) shift to a strict app tracking transparency privacy policy, requiring the user’s approval for apps to be able to track their data, had an estimated two-digit billion impact on Meta’s revenue. On the operational side, the companies have an even more divergent profile, as Alphabet demonstrated being capable of significantly increasing its operational profitability from 22.13% CAGR in the past 5 years, to 29.80% CAGR over the past 3 years, while Meta’s operating margin growth is decelerating from 11.96% CAGR to 7.03% CAGR over the same period. Meta is massively investing in the development of the Metaverse while rising doubts emerge concerning the company’s ability to reach its ambitious goals in a concept that only a few people understand, while at the same time the company struggles with a weakening advertising business.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f1f88c88d16069afac3b3d995567a30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"153\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Meta reportedly has a more cash-rich business than the analyzed peer, while none of them is paying a dividend, both companies spend billions in share-repurchase programs. Alphabet announced its biggest share-buyback program of over $70B earlier this year, a major increase after the authorized buyback of $50B in 2021 and $25B in 2019. Meta has reportedly spent $91B to repurchase 377M stocks at an average price of $242, between 2017 and September 2022, a price that seems steep, considering that the actual share price is valued at -53% of that price. Meta also reports significantly higher EPS, while in those terms, Alphabet has had a less negative development over the most recent quarters and reported significantly higher growth over the past few years. Both companies are relying on debt for sustaining their business, increasing significantly their debt reliance since 2019, as the historically low-interest rates pushed many companies to consider more debt in their financing strategy. That said, both companies could repay the entirety of their debt exposure as shown in their net debt position and low leverage ratio.</p><h2>The stocks’ performance</h2><p>Considering both stocks’ performance in the past 5 years, GOOG reported a solid performance of 93.44%, while META performed significantly worse, losing 37.65% over the analyzed period. The most significant references show a mixed picture, with the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) returning approximately 53%, and the Nasdaq technology index, tracked by the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) marked over 85% performance, while more industry-focused references, such as the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLC\">Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund</a> (XLC) performed flat, while the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) is the strongest outperformer of the analyzed references.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51b316e664d2e9457222c2ae8e80185d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"198\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using SeekingAlpha.com</p><p>While both stocks display periods of relative strength, GOOG reported massive resilience after every major drop, while META has significantly suffered after its All-Time-High [ATH] in September 2021, leading to massive value destruction for its investors, being priced at levels not seen since 2016. In the next section, I will show how the next few years are forecasted to play out for both companies and if the actual stock price may offer an interesting opportunity, while also assessing the possible risks in different scenarios.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>To determine the actual fair value for both company&#39;s stock prices, I rely on the following Discounted Cash Flow [DCF] model, which extends over a forecast period of 5 years with 3 different sets of assumptions ranging from a more conservative to a more optimistic scenario, based on the metrics determining the WACC and the terminal value. As forecasted by the street consensus, Alphabet is anticipated to generate a massive 17.27% Free Cash Flow [FCF] CAGR over the coming 5 years, with its operating and net profitability increasing at respectively 12.73% and 13.80% CAGR, while its revenue is projected to expand at solid 10.98%, above the expected growth in the relevant industries.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f307c189819f83e89ac5301f675e985\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>The valuation takes into account a tighter monetary policy, which will undeniably be a reality in many economies worldwide in the coming years and lead to a higher weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfdac1fd157fda94ba58871ccb1c7b3f\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>I compute my opinion in terms of likelihood for the three different scenarios, and I, therefore, consider the stock to be significantly undervalued with a weighted average price target with about 54% upside potential at $152.</p><p>Meta is forecasted to expand slower, with its sales growing at 9.20% CAGR over the next 5 years, and its operating and net profit margins are expected to grow between 8.5% and 8.9%, in terms of FCF the company is anticipated to substantially increase its metric, with 17.61% CAGR through 2026.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15cc9d6404157e698d23631783f3f4cd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>I then consider the same three scenarios affected by the company’s fundamentals and by the exogenous factors.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c566b27f98414ced096c76621fbf9c00\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"598\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>Despite both stocks seemingly being undervalued, when considering the weighted average price target, the two modelizations suggest that GOOG may offer a higher expected return, while META’s expected performance is seen 50% higher than the latest closing price, or at about $167. Both modelizations emphasize the still substantial expected return, also in the less optimistic scenario.</p><p>Investors should consider that those forecasts are based on a relatively conservative assumption in terms of perpetual growth rates, higher discount rates, and the recent trend in increased interest rates, which reflects the actual situation and forecast possible scenarios. An inversion of this trend would change this perspective and value the company at a higher price.</p><h2>Outlook and Risk discussion</h2><p>With both companies having tremendous possibilities to expand their powerful product ecosystem, it’s quite difficult to estimate their relevant total addressable market [TAM], as both peers have shown to be able to significantly grow their business either organically or through strategic acquisitions. Alphabet and Meta own strong brands with Google ranked in the fourth position in Interbrand&#39;s Best Global Brands, while Facebook is ranked 17th. Google’s essentially monopolistic position in search engines, its gigantic database with no equal data-harvesting worldwide, and the dominant position in the smartphone industry with Android estimated to hold a share of 72% in the mobile operating systems’ market, while Apple is progressively gaining market shares, are only some of the company’s major strengths. Despite this, with approximately 80% of its revenue originating from income related to advertising, the company’s revenue model is highly exposed to demand fluctuations, and with a recession likely seen coming in major global economies, dropping consumer spending and cuts in expenses on advertising, will likely have a tangible negative effect on the company’s results. Privacy concerns and regulatory pressure, as well as data security, are also possible future threats to Alphabet, Meta, and their peers, as the biggest strength for the companies, the massive data collection, is the most damaging weakness for their users. Among Alphabet’s most promising opportunities I do like to underscore the company’s positioning in terms of Artificial Intelligence [AI], Machine Learning [ML], and cloud-based business, as well as its expansion into the wearable OS market, and the great diversification opportunities the company could access or create through its colossal financial strength.</p><p>Meta is building a strong product portfolio including WhatsApp, Instagram, Messenger, Oculus, Workplace, Portal, and Calibra to diversify from Facebook and create expanded opportunities in strong secular trends. With over 45% of the world’s population using Facebook or its family products, the company holds an extremely powerful and irreplaceable position. But with approximately 98% of revenue originating from advertising, Meta is even more exposed to demand-driven fluctuations than Alphabet, and since the company is massively investing and focusing its resources on developing its visionary Metaverse, the diversification opportunities are, at least for the moment, seemingly more limited than Alphabet’s. Facebook has been losing popularity after facing backlash over its negligence in protecting the user’s privacy, while negative publicity, allegations of racial basis, or the platform’s inability to control the spread of fake and misleading information, may have cast a shadow on the company’s once brighter outlook. Despite this, Meta faces many opportunities in terms of possible monetization of its platforms through paid services such as news subscriptions, peer-to-peer marketplaces, online dating apps, e-wallets, or the development of other hardware devices, while its existing technologies could also be integrated or connected with a variety of other applications, such as e-commerce, gaming, or expanded into the digital creators&#39; space, or by offering remote-work solutions. In terms of future-oriented secular growth vectors, Meta has extensive expertise in AI and ML, which the company could use to penetrate markets such as the technologies used for autonomous vehicles, where other competitors like Google, Amazon, and Apple are already massively investing.</p><p>Alphabet is rated with a Strong Buy rating from Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating since August 25, 2022, and holds the first two positions in the Interactive Media and Services industry through its two share classes.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b711fdd651560e12eb413b5c4321377\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"183\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>SeekingAlpha.com</p><p>Meta has instead been qualified as a Hold position since the end of 2021 and is ranked 22 out of 62 in the relevant industry. Both companies are without seen excelling in terms of profitability, while growth and valuation seem to be less favorable factors in the actual uncertain market environment, with Meta also significantly suffering from the negative momentum in its more recent price action.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c27a653d50c6e2a961374aeaa87c1171\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"183\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>SeekingAlpha.com</p><h2>The Verdict: Which stock is the better buy?</h2><p>The two analyzed companies are two global leaders in the technology services industry, with their respective strengths and weaknesses, but also offering inherent opportunities with their correlated risks. From an investor&#39;s point of view, it’s important to consider the company’s ability to create value for its shareholders, while minimizing the risks. Past performance is not a guarantee for future results, and despite GOOG overall performing significantly better than META in the past few years, the latter is seemingly offering great opportunities ahead, and my rather conservative modelization hints at the significant undervaluation of both stocks. Both companies have strong financials and report high profitability, but Alphabet is seemingly on a better path, as the company reported an overall better trend and is expected to optimize its profitability even further, while also owning a massive idling cash position that offers incredibly many options, and could even further increase the company’s already superior capital allocation efficiency. </p><p>Meta’s huge bet on the Metaverse may lead to great success, but it also bears a major risk, in times when the company’s great dependency on advertising spending is under pressure. While both companies’ Achilles heel is seemingly their dependency on spending in digital advertising, Meta is more reliant on it than Alphabet, and may also have shown less intention to diversify its revenue streams, when compared to its colossal peers. </p><p>I consider both companies as being a buy position for long-term oriented investors, but overall in this comparative analysis, I chose Alphabet as my favorite stock pick, for its preeminent opportunities and lower risk profile, while seemingly also offering the greater potential in its stock performance, when considering all three forecasted scenarios.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet Vs. Meta Platforms: Which Stock Is The Better Investment?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet Vs. Meta Platforms: Which Stock Is The Better Investment?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-20 08:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559206-alphabet-vs-meta-platforms-which-stock-is-the-better-investment><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlphabet and Meta are two giants in highly competitive markets, both with their specific risk profiles, while also offering massive opportunities to investors.GOOG reported a superior ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559206-alphabet-vs-meta-platforms-which-stock-is-the-better-investment\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559206-alphabet-vs-meta-platforms-which-stock-is-the-better-investment","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284785084","content_text":"SummaryAlphabet and Meta are two giants in highly competitive markets, both with their specific risk profiles, while also offering massive opportunities to investors.GOOG reported a superior performance over the past years, while both stocks may offer great opportunities for investors, the ability to achieve the targets and the optionality will be determinant.Both companies share the same Achilles heel, in an industry that is forecasted to grow substantially over the next decade, while it also exposes their revenue stream to demand-driven fluctuations.This article focuses on long-term investment opportunities based on in-depth fundamental analysis and I offer two valuation models structured around multiple outcome scenarios.The technology sector is among the worst performers in the past year, losing over 30% of its value. While many stocks may have been excessively hyped during the massive rebound out of the pandemic-lows, others have been under pressure because of rising inflation, a higher cost of capital, bottlenecks among the supply chains, as well as headwinds caused by pandemic-related restrictions, geo-political tensions, and the ongoing war in Ukraine. Companies in the Information technology services industry could perform better from a yearly perspective but lately have been struggling to rebound, while others, such as the semiconductor and the solar industries, have recently been leading the sector.finvizfinvizThe two selected companies are two global giants in their industry, with Alphabet (NASDAQ:NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) having nearly a monopoly in the online search field, as Google processes over 92% of online search volume worldwide, and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:NASDAQ:META) counting 3.71B monthly users in Q3 2022, among the company’s core products, Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, or Messenger, up 4% Year-over-Year [YoY].Author, using TIKRWhile the two companies once were identified as a digital duopoly, because of their massive market share in global online advertising, more recently, companies such as Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba (NYSE:BABA), Tencent (OTCX:OTCPK:TCEHY), or ByteDance through their social media TikTok, have penetrated the market and contributed to the erosion of this duopoly.Author, using data from Insider Intelligence, Research and Markets, Company filingsThe global IT Services market is projected to grow at a 9.5% Compound Annual Growth Rate [CAGR] through 2031, while the global digital advertising market is forecasted to grow even faster at a 13.9% CAGR, reaching a size of $1.79T through 2031. The sustained market growth is driven by the broader penetration of internet users, technological advancement, rising spending in digital advertising, and the expanding popularity of mobile phones and digital media across the world, while platforms such as in-app, mobile ads, connected TV or social media advertising are increasingly important vectors in the industry.An in-depth company comparisonAuthor, using data from S&P Capital IQThe financial comparison highlights the major relative strengths and weaknesses of the two giants. In terms of their Return on Invested Capital [ROIC], a very important metric I consider when pondering an investment decision, as a company must be able to consistently create value to be a sustainable investment, Alphabet seems to gradually increase its capital allocation efficiency over the past few years. Although Meta has been more efficient in the past, the metric has progressively dropped, until recently significantly falling under Alphabet’s level. The latter seems to have a more efficient core business, but Meta has seemingly more efficient cash management, observed in the relatively narrow spread between their ROIC and the Return on Capital Employed [ROCE], while Alphabet could significantly increase its capital allocation efficiency as the company reported a massive cash position of over $116B.Author, using data from S&P Capital IQAlthough Meta reports by far the higher gross margin, this metric’s growth is seemingly dropping from 21.94% CAGR in the past 5 years to 17.88% CAGR in the past 3 years. While Alphabet reported a lower actual value, the company saw this metric slightly increase from 19.38% CAGR to 20.72% CAGR, over the same time window. Meta’s main source of revenue began faltering as the widely popular video app TikTok massively increased its audience, and other companies increased their market share in the online advertising space, while Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) shift to a strict app tracking transparency privacy policy, requiring the user’s approval for apps to be able to track their data, had an estimated two-digit billion impact on Meta’s revenue. On the operational side, the companies have an even more divergent profile, as Alphabet demonstrated being capable of significantly increasing its operational profitability from 22.13% CAGR in the past 5 years, to 29.80% CAGR over the past 3 years, while Meta’s operating margin growth is decelerating from 11.96% CAGR to 7.03% CAGR over the same period. Meta is massively investing in the development of the Metaverse while rising doubts emerge concerning the company’s ability to reach its ambitious goals in a concept that only a few people understand, while at the same time the company struggles with a weakening advertising business.Author, using data from S&P Capital IQMeta reportedly has a more cash-rich business than the analyzed peer, while none of them is paying a dividend, both companies spend billions in share-repurchase programs. Alphabet announced its biggest share-buyback program of over $70B earlier this year, a major increase after the authorized buyback of $50B in 2021 and $25B in 2019. Meta has reportedly spent $91B to repurchase 377M stocks at an average price of $242, between 2017 and September 2022, a price that seems steep, considering that the actual share price is valued at -53% of that price. Meta also reports significantly higher EPS, while in those terms, Alphabet has had a less negative development over the most recent quarters and reported significantly higher growth over the past few years. Both companies are relying on debt for sustaining their business, increasing significantly their debt reliance since 2019, as the historically low-interest rates pushed many companies to consider more debt in their financing strategy. That said, both companies could repay the entirety of their debt exposure as shown in their net debt position and low leverage ratio.The stocks’ performanceConsidering both stocks’ performance in the past 5 years, GOOG reported a solid performance of 93.44%, while META performed significantly worse, losing 37.65% over the analyzed period. The most significant references show a mixed picture, with the S&P 500 (SP500) returning approximately 53%, and the Nasdaq technology index, tracked by the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) marked over 85% performance, while more industry-focused references, such as the Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC) performed flat, while the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) is the strongest outperformer of the analyzed references.Author, using SeekingAlpha.comWhile both stocks display periods of relative strength, GOOG reported massive resilience after every major drop, while META has significantly suffered after its All-Time-High [ATH] in September 2021, leading to massive value destruction for its investors, being priced at levels not seen since 2016. In the next section, I will show how the next few years are forecasted to play out for both companies and if the actual stock price may offer an interesting opportunity, while also assessing the possible risks in different scenarios.ValuationTo determine the actual fair value for both company's stock prices, I rely on the following Discounted Cash Flow [DCF] model, which extends over a forecast period of 5 years with 3 different sets of assumptions ranging from a more conservative to a more optimistic scenario, based on the metrics determining the WACC and the terminal value. As forecasted by the street consensus, Alphabet is anticipated to generate a massive 17.27% Free Cash Flow [FCF] CAGR over the coming 5 years, with its operating and net profitability increasing at respectively 12.73% and 13.80% CAGR, while its revenue is projected to expand at solid 10.98%, above the expected growth in the relevant industries.Author, using data from S&P Capital IQThe valuation takes into account a tighter monetary policy, which will undeniably be a reality in many economies worldwide in the coming years and lead to a higher weighted average cost of capital.AuthorI compute my opinion in terms of likelihood for the three different scenarios, and I, therefore, consider the stock to be significantly undervalued with a weighted average price target with about 54% upside potential at $152.Meta is forecasted to expand slower, with its sales growing at 9.20% CAGR over the next 5 years, and its operating and net profit margins are expected to grow between 8.5% and 8.9%, in terms of FCF the company is anticipated to substantially increase its metric, with 17.61% CAGR through 2026.Author, using data from S&P Capital IQI then consider the same three scenarios affected by the company’s fundamentals and by the exogenous factors.AuthorDespite both stocks seemingly being undervalued, when considering the weighted average price target, the two modelizations suggest that GOOG may offer a higher expected return, while META’s expected performance is seen 50% higher than the latest closing price, or at about $167. Both modelizations emphasize the still substantial expected return, also in the less optimistic scenario.Investors should consider that those forecasts are based on a relatively conservative assumption in terms of perpetual growth rates, higher discount rates, and the recent trend in increased interest rates, which reflects the actual situation and forecast possible scenarios. An inversion of this trend would change this perspective and value the company at a higher price.Outlook and Risk discussionWith both companies having tremendous possibilities to expand their powerful product ecosystem, it’s quite difficult to estimate their relevant total addressable market [TAM], as both peers have shown to be able to significantly grow their business either organically or through strategic acquisitions. Alphabet and Meta own strong brands with Google ranked in the fourth position in Interbrand's Best Global Brands, while Facebook is ranked 17th. Google’s essentially monopolistic position in search engines, its gigantic database with no equal data-harvesting worldwide, and the dominant position in the smartphone industry with Android estimated to hold a share of 72% in the mobile operating systems’ market, while Apple is progressively gaining market shares, are only some of the company’s major strengths. Despite this, with approximately 80% of its revenue originating from income related to advertising, the company’s revenue model is highly exposed to demand fluctuations, and with a recession likely seen coming in major global economies, dropping consumer spending and cuts in expenses on advertising, will likely have a tangible negative effect on the company’s results. Privacy concerns and regulatory pressure, as well as data security, are also possible future threats to Alphabet, Meta, and their peers, as the biggest strength for the companies, the massive data collection, is the most damaging weakness for their users. Among Alphabet’s most promising opportunities I do like to underscore the company’s positioning in terms of Artificial Intelligence [AI], Machine Learning [ML], and cloud-based business, as well as its expansion into the wearable OS market, and the great diversification opportunities the company could access or create through its colossal financial strength.Meta is building a strong product portfolio including WhatsApp, Instagram, Messenger, Oculus, Workplace, Portal, and Calibra to diversify from Facebook and create expanded opportunities in strong secular trends. With over 45% of the world’s population using Facebook or its family products, the company holds an extremely powerful and irreplaceable position. But with approximately 98% of revenue originating from advertising, Meta is even more exposed to demand-driven fluctuations than Alphabet, and since the company is massively investing and focusing its resources on developing its visionary Metaverse, the diversification opportunities are, at least for the moment, seemingly more limited than Alphabet’s. Facebook has been losing popularity after facing backlash over its negligence in protecting the user’s privacy, while negative publicity, allegations of racial basis, or the platform’s inability to control the spread of fake and misleading information, may have cast a shadow on the company’s once brighter outlook. Despite this, Meta faces many opportunities in terms of possible monetization of its platforms through paid services such as news subscriptions, peer-to-peer marketplaces, online dating apps, e-wallets, or the development of other hardware devices, while its existing technologies could also be integrated or connected with a variety of other applications, such as e-commerce, gaming, or expanded into the digital creators' space, or by offering remote-work solutions. In terms of future-oriented secular growth vectors, Meta has extensive expertise in AI and ML, which the company could use to penetrate markets such as the technologies used for autonomous vehicles, where other competitors like Google, Amazon, and Apple are already massively investing.Alphabet is rated with a Strong Buy rating from Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating since August 25, 2022, and holds the first two positions in the Interactive Media and Services industry through its two share classes.SeekingAlpha.comMeta has instead been qualified as a Hold position since the end of 2021 and is ranked 22 out of 62 in the relevant industry. Both companies are without seen excelling in terms of profitability, while growth and valuation seem to be less favorable factors in the actual uncertain market environment, with Meta also significantly suffering from the negative momentum in its more recent price action.SeekingAlpha.comThe Verdict: Which stock is the better buy?The two analyzed companies are two global leaders in the technology services industry, with their respective strengths and weaknesses, but also offering inherent opportunities with their correlated risks. From an investor's point of view, it’s important to consider the company’s ability to create value for its shareholders, while minimizing the risks. Past performance is not a guarantee for future results, and despite GOOG overall performing significantly better than META in the past few years, the latter is seemingly offering great opportunities ahead, and my rather conservative modelization hints at the significant undervaluation of both stocks. Both companies have strong financials and report high profitability, but Alphabet is seemingly on a better path, as the company reported an overall better trend and is expected to optimize its profitability even further, while also owning a massive idling cash position that offers incredibly many options, and could even further increase the company’s already superior capital allocation efficiency. Meta’s huge bet on the Metaverse may lead to great success, but it also bears a major risk, in times when the company’s great dependency on advertising spending is under pressure. While both companies’ Achilles heel is seemingly their dependency on spending in digital advertising, Meta is more reliant on it than Alphabet, and may also have shown less intention to diversify its revenue streams, when compared to its colossal peers. I consider both companies as being a buy position for long-term oriented investors, but overall in this comparative analysis, I chose Alphabet as my favorite stock pick, for its preeminent opportunities and lower risk profile, while seemingly also offering the greater potential in its stock performance, when considering all three forecasted scenarios.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961925476,"gmtCreate":1668822800096,"gmtModify":1676538118168,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961925476","repostId":"2284278722","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284278722","pubTimestamp":1668822397,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2284278722?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-19 09:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 of the Most Popular Stocks on the Planet Could Plunge 44% to 57%, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284278722","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Popularity doesn't always translate to profitability -- at least according to these Wall Street analysts.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Collectively speaking, Wall Street analysts and financial institutions are optimistic about the stock market as a whole. Even though economic recessions, stock market corrections, and bear markets are inevitable events, analysts are well aware that, over long periods, the major U.S. indexes increase in value over time.</p><p>The same thesis applies to most high-quality and widely held companies. The key word here being &#34;most.&#34;</p><p><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F709255%2Fwall-street-sign-invest-retire-stock-market-broker-hedge-fund-institutional-getty.jpg&amp;op=resize&amp;w=700\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><p>Though the vast majority of Wall Street analysts have ratings of buy or hold on the universe of companies they cover, the rare sell or underperform rating <i>does</i> exist -- even for widely held stocks. If select Wall Street analysts are right, three of the most popular stocks on the planet could tumble between 44% and 57% over the next year.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>: Implied downside of 57%</h2><p>The first ultra-popular stock that could plummet over the coming year, at least according to analyst Craig Irwin of Roth Capital, is electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer <b>Tesla</b>. Even after slightly adjusting his firm&#39;s price target upward last week, Irwin foresees Tesla shares hitting $85. That represents a 57% decline from where shares closed last week.</p><p>Irwin&#39;s pessimistic tone on Tesla has to do with the company&#39;s nosebleed valuation. In an interview with CNBC this past August, Irwin opined that other automakers can ramp production of EVs and effectively replicate the success Tesla has demonstrated... but with a far more attractive valuation.</p><p>For the time being, Tesla is the clear leader in North American EV sales. After delivering 343,830 EVs during the third quarter, the company appears well on its way to surpassing 1 million deliveries in a year for the first time in its history. With the Austin, Texas, and Berlin, Germany, gigafactories coming online earlier this year, there&#39;s a good likelihood of at least 50% production and delivery growth in 2023.</p><p>Tesla also has CEO Elon Musk, who&#39;s overseen Tesla&#39;s expansion into the energy business, as well as its push into robotics. Musk brings an intangible factor to the table that can be difficult for Wall Street analysts to value.</p><p>But there are clear concerns with Tesla that I share with Irwin. Even at a forward-year multiple of 35 times Wall Street&#39;s forecast earnings, this is numerous deviations above the single-digit price-to-earnings ratios virtually all auto stocks trade at. Tesla isn&#39;t immune to the supply chain challenges and historically high inflation currently weighing on the auto industry. Its energy operations have also consistently lost money.</p><p>The other issue with Tesla is its polarizing CEO. Although he&#39;s a visionary, Musk has failed to deliver on a long list of promises. In particular, Musk&#39;s timeline for when new EVs or innovations will be introduced, such as level 5 self-driving, the Cybertruck, and the Semi, to name a few, haven&#39;t been met. Tesla&#39;s valuation has been supported by these as of now empty promises. In other words, an $85 share price target isn&#39;t entirely out of the question, in my view.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">Bed Bath &amp; Beyond</a>: Implied downside of 49%</h2><p>A second extremely popular stock that at least one Wall Street analyst believes will leave shareholders disappointed is home furnishings retailer <b>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond</b>.</p><p>According to <b>Goldman Sachs</b> analyst Kate McShane, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond is headed to just $2 per share over the next 12 months. That would be a hefty 49% drop from where shares closed last week. The impetus behind McShane&#39;s diminutive price target is Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&#39;s weak second-quarter comparable-store sales and ongoing inventory problems.</p><p>At the beginning of 2020, even I had my hopes up that Bed Bath &amp; Beyond would take a page out of the <b>Best Buy</b> turnaround blueprint and right the ship. On the surface, the company&#39;s plan made sense. It would aggressively invest in direct-to-consumer sales, put money to work to improve the efficiency of its supply chain, and seek out products or brands that would help differentiate its stores and drive buying activity. Unfortunately, the COVID-19 pandemic and the company&#39;s balance sheet did it no favors.</p><p>One of the biggest problems for Bed Bath &amp; Beyond is that its products aren&#39;t differentiated. Consumers have simply chosen to shop online elsewhere. Considering that comparable-store sales declined 26% (not a typo!) in the fiscal second quarter, it&#39;s clear the company hasn&#39;t done enough to court consumers or get the right product in its stores.</p><p>But the bigger gaffe might be Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&#39;s share purchase program, which in hindsight wasted more than $1 billion in cash that it could desperately use right now.  According to the bond market, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&#39;s $900 million bond set to mature in 2044 is trading almost 92% below its par issue price in 2014. That&#39;s often a good indication that bond investors believe Bed Bath &amp; Beyond will struggle to stay solvent.</p><p>Ultimately, McShane&#39;s price target may prove to be $2 too high, but only time will tell.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>: Implied downside of 44%</h2><p>The third exceptionally popular stock that at least one Wall Street analyst is not too fond of at its current valuation is streaming giant <b>Netflix</b>.</p><p>In mid-October, following the release of the company&#39;s third-quarter operating results, Benchmark Company analyst Matthew Harrigan raised his firm&#39;s price target on the company by $5. Only problem is the new target of $162 (along with his firm&#39;s sell rating) sits 44% below where Netflix closed this past week. In an interview with CNBC in July, Harrigan noted that Netflix&#39;s moderating subscriber growth, increased competition, and low-to-mid-single-digit free cash flow yield were all reasons to be cautious.</p><p>On the one hand, Netflix has rightly commanded a premium for more than a decade thanks to its industry-leading streaming market share. During the first quarter of 2022, Netflix held a 39% share of monthly active streaming video on-demand users in the U.S., according to Sensor <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">Tower</a>. This success is a function of its first-mover advantage, as well as its focus on original programming. It&#39;s estimated that half of Netflix&#39;s current U.S. content library is comprised of original content.</p><p>Additionally, Netflix has always demonstrated strong pricing power and innovation. The company hasn&#39;t dealt with subscriber pushback following previously announced monthly price increases, and it recently introduced an ad-supported tier to attract users wanting a lower monthly price point.</p><p>But to echo what Harrigan said over the summer, Netflix&#39;s market share is, indeed, declining as competition builds, and the company&#39;s cash flow has always been a concern. Until recently, Netflix had been spending aggressively and burning cash to expand its reach into international markets. Even though Netflix is reasonably inexpensive on an earnings basis, it&#39;s still an incredibly pricey stock relative to what Wall Street believes it&#39;ll generate in cash flow in 2022 and 2023.</p><p>While betting against Netflix has rarely paid off over any significant length of time, it&#39;s difficult to see a scenario where its stock outperforms as competition picks up and subscriber growth slows.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 of the Most Popular Stocks on the Planet Could Plunge 44% to 57%, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 of the Most Popular Stocks on the Planet Could Plunge 44% to 57%, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-19 09:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/3-most-popular-stocks-plunge-44-to-57-wall-street/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Collectively speaking, Wall Street analysts and financial institutions are optimistic about the stock market as a whole. Even though economic recessions, stock market corrections, and bear markets are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/3-most-popular-stocks-plunge-44-to-57-wall-street/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"3B家居","TSLA":"特斯拉","NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/18/3-most-popular-stocks-plunge-44-to-57-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284278722","content_text":"Collectively speaking, Wall Street analysts and financial institutions are optimistic about the stock market as a whole. Even though economic recessions, stock market corrections, and bear markets are inevitable events, analysts are well aware that, over long periods, the major U.S. indexes increase in value over time.The same thesis applies to most high-quality and widely held companies. The key word here being \"most.\"Image source: Getty Images.Though the vast majority of Wall Street analysts have ratings of buy or hold on the universe of companies they cover, the rare sell or underperform rating does exist -- even for widely held stocks. If select Wall Street analysts are right, three of the most popular stocks on the planet could tumble between 44% and 57% over the next year.Tesla: Implied downside of 57%The first ultra-popular stock that could plummet over the coming year, at least according to analyst Craig Irwin of Roth Capital, is electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer Tesla. Even after slightly adjusting his firm's price target upward last week, Irwin foresees Tesla shares hitting $85. That represents a 57% decline from where shares closed last week.Irwin's pessimistic tone on Tesla has to do with the company's nosebleed valuation. In an interview with CNBC this past August, Irwin opined that other automakers can ramp production of EVs and effectively replicate the success Tesla has demonstrated... but with a far more attractive valuation.For the time being, Tesla is the clear leader in North American EV sales. After delivering 343,830 EVs during the third quarter, the company appears well on its way to surpassing 1 million deliveries in a year for the first time in its history. With the Austin, Texas, and Berlin, Germany, gigafactories coming online earlier this year, there's a good likelihood of at least 50% production and delivery growth in 2023.Tesla also has CEO Elon Musk, who's overseen Tesla's expansion into the energy business, as well as its push into robotics. Musk brings an intangible factor to the table that can be difficult for Wall Street analysts to value.But there are clear concerns with Tesla that I share with Irwin. Even at a forward-year multiple of 35 times Wall Street's forecast earnings, this is numerous deviations above the single-digit price-to-earnings ratios virtually all auto stocks trade at. Tesla isn't immune to the supply chain challenges and historically high inflation currently weighing on the auto industry. Its energy operations have also consistently lost money.The other issue with Tesla is its polarizing CEO. Although he's a visionary, Musk has failed to deliver on a long list of promises. In particular, Musk's timeline for when new EVs or innovations will be introduced, such as level 5 self-driving, the Cybertruck, and the Semi, to name a few, haven't been met. Tesla's valuation has been supported by these as of now empty promises. In other words, an $85 share price target isn't entirely out of the question, in my view.Bed Bath & Beyond: Implied downside of 49%A second extremely popular stock that at least one Wall Street analyst believes will leave shareholders disappointed is home furnishings retailer Bed Bath & Beyond.According to Goldman Sachs analyst Kate McShane, Bed Bath & Beyond is headed to just $2 per share over the next 12 months. That would be a hefty 49% drop from where shares closed last week. The impetus behind McShane's diminutive price target is Bed Bath & Beyond's weak second-quarter comparable-store sales and ongoing inventory problems.At the beginning of 2020, even I had my hopes up that Bed Bath & Beyond would take a page out of the Best Buy turnaround blueprint and right the ship. On the surface, the company's plan made sense. It would aggressively invest in direct-to-consumer sales, put money to work to improve the efficiency of its supply chain, and seek out products or brands that would help differentiate its stores and drive buying activity. Unfortunately, the COVID-19 pandemic and the company's balance sheet did it no favors.One of the biggest problems for Bed Bath & Beyond is that its products aren't differentiated. Consumers have simply chosen to shop online elsewhere. Considering that comparable-store sales declined 26% (not a typo!) in the fiscal second quarter, it's clear the company hasn't done enough to court consumers or get the right product in its stores.But the bigger gaffe might be Bed Bath & Beyond's share purchase program, which in hindsight wasted more than $1 billion in cash that it could desperately use right now.  According to the bond market, Bed Bath & Beyond's $900 million bond set to mature in 2044 is trading almost 92% below its par issue price in 2014. That's often a good indication that bond investors believe Bed Bath & Beyond will struggle to stay solvent.Ultimately, McShane's price target may prove to be $2 too high, but only time will tell.Netflix: Implied downside of 44%The third exceptionally popular stock that at least one Wall Street analyst is not too fond of at its current valuation is streaming giant Netflix.In mid-October, following the release of the company's third-quarter operating results, Benchmark Company analyst Matthew Harrigan raised his firm's price target on the company by $5. Only problem is the new target of $162 (along with his firm's sell rating) sits 44% below where Netflix closed this past week. In an interview with CNBC in July, Harrigan noted that Netflix's moderating subscriber growth, increased competition, and low-to-mid-single-digit free cash flow yield were all reasons to be cautious.On the one hand, Netflix has rightly commanded a premium for more than a decade thanks to its industry-leading streaming market share. During the first quarter of 2022, Netflix held a 39% share of monthly active streaming video on-demand users in the U.S., according to Sensor Tower. This success is a function of its first-mover advantage, as well as its focus on original programming. It's estimated that half of Netflix's current U.S. content library is comprised of original content.Additionally, Netflix has always demonstrated strong pricing power and innovation. The company hasn't dealt with subscriber pushback following previously announced monthly price increases, and it recently introduced an ad-supported tier to attract users wanting a lower monthly price point.But to echo what Harrigan said over the summer, Netflix's market share is, indeed, declining as competition builds, and the company's cash flow has always been a concern. Until recently, Netflix had been spending aggressively and burning cash to expand its reach into international markets. Even though Netflix is reasonably inexpensive on an earnings basis, it's still an incredibly pricey stock relative to what Wall Street believes it'll generate in cash flow in 2022 and 2023.While betting against Netflix has rarely paid off over any significant length of time, it's difficult to see a scenario where its stock outperforms as competition picks up and subscriber growth slows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963159592,"gmtCreate":1668639052117,"gmtModify":1676538086815,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963159592","repostId":"2283827074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":220368791564352,"gmtCreate":1694822223192,"gmtModify":1694822227471,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/220368791564352","repostId":"220206865899552","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":220206865899552,"gmtCreate":1694782688940,"gmtModify":1694783814360,"author":{"id":"3572212908677301","authorId":"3572212908677301","name":"TigerOptions","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20925853481806adc78dcdfe25f2fe89","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572212908677301","authorIdStr":"3572212908677301"},"themes":[],"title":"🐯 Learning Wyckoff Accumulation with Tiger Brokers","htmlText":"Hello tigers! With the Mooncake festival just around the corner, I'm delighted to share that Tiger Brokers has brought a smile to my face with a gift that adds warmth and joy to my Mid-Autumn Festival. More about that later. [Smart] Gift from Tiger Brokers Today, let's focus on introducing the Wyckoff Accumulation phase. Wyckoff Accumulation Phase The Wyckoff Accumulation phase is a key pattern in technical analysis, particularly for longer-term investors. Developed by Richard D. Wyckoff, it aims to identify the accumulation of shares by informed investors before a significant price move. Richard D. Wyckoff This phase signifies a period in which institutional or informed investors strategically accumulate shares of a stock, often at lower price levels. This phase is characterized by a con","listText":"Hello tigers! With the Mooncake festival just around the corner, I'm delighted to share that Tiger Brokers has brought a smile to my face with a gift that adds warmth and joy to my Mid-Autumn Festival. More about that later. [Smart] Gift from Tiger Brokers Today, let's focus on introducing the Wyckoff Accumulation phase. Wyckoff Accumulation Phase The Wyckoff Accumulation phase is a key pattern in technical analysis, particularly for longer-term investors. Developed by Richard D. Wyckoff, it aims to identify the accumulation of shares by informed investors before a significant price move. Richard D. Wyckoff This phase signifies a period in which institutional or informed investors strategically accumulate shares of a stock, often at lower price levels. This phase is characterized by a con","text":"Hello tigers! With the Mooncake festival just around the corner, I'm delighted to share that Tiger Brokers has brought a smile to my face with a gift that adds warmth and joy to my Mid-Autumn Festival. More about that later. [Smart] Gift from Tiger Brokers Today, let's focus on introducing the Wyckoff Accumulation phase. Wyckoff Accumulation Phase The Wyckoff Accumulation phase is a key pattern in technical analysis, particularly for longer-term investors. Developed by Richard D. Wyckoff, it aims to identify the accumulation of shares by informed investors before a significant price move. Richard D. Wyckoff This phase signifies a period in which institutional or informed investors strategically accumulate shares of a stock, often at lower price levels. This phase is characterized by a con","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5dbc05e866230288cd2ce819a7affdf8","width":"807","height":"605"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/220206865899552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9967574158,"gmtCreate":1670367453774,"gmtModify":1676538351647,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967574158","repostId":"2289816897","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2289816897","pubTimestamp":1670340722,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2289816897?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-06 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Avoid This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2289816897","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Last week was another welcome step up for investors long the market. The &#34;three stocks to avoid&#34; in my column that I thought were going to lose to the market last week -- <b>Big Lots</b>, <b>Baozun</b>, and <b>Coinbase</b> -- fell 4%, rose 26%, and climbed 8%, respectively, averaging out to a hearty 10% gain.</p><p>The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> experienced a 1.1% move higher. I was wrong. I have still been correct in 37 of the past 59 weeks, or 63% of the time.</p><p>Now let&#39;s look at the week ahead. I see <b>Coinbase</b>, <b>Baozun</b>, and <b>AeroVironment</b> as stocks you might want to consider steering clear of this week. Let&#39;s go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.</p><h2><b>1. Coinbase</b></h2><p>Cryptocurrencies bounced back slightly last week, and that helped the leading trading exchange for digital currencies recover with its 8% climb. But I don&#39;t think the worst is over for the platform.</p><p>We&#39;ve seen a few prolific crypto hubs implode this year. Just when you think there are no more shoes to drop, more start falling. But Coinbase won&#39;t collapse anytime soon. It&#39;s a conservative player with a strong balance sheet. However, all of the hits that crypto traders have faced -- with their assets frozen at best and lost forever at worst -- is going to hurt all trading exchanges. Consumer confidence isn&#39;t going to return overnight. Coinbase bounced back from all-time lows two weeks ago, but the climate is still risky and unkind.</p><h2><b>2. Baozun</b></h2><p>The biggest gainer from last week&#39;s column was Baozun. The Chinese provider of e-commerce tools soared after reporting fresh financials. Hopes that the country will ease pandemic-related shutdowns also got investors excited about China as a reopening play.</p><p>The third-quarter results weren&#39;t great. Revenue declined 8% to $244.8 million, roughly in line with expectations. Its the third consecutive year-over-year slide in top-line results. Baozun&#39;s margins improved, but the bottom line still wasn&#39;t bullish. The company that helps global brands get noticed by China&#39;s internet users posted an adjusted deficit of $0.03 a share. Analysts were holding out for a small profit. It&#39;s the third time in a row that Baozun falls short of the market&#39;s profit targets. It has also now missed on the bottom line in four of the past five quarters.</p><p>Baozun deserves credit for helping rein in its costs, but last week&#39;s pop was an overreaction. With Chinese restrictions capping the growth of homegrown enterprises and scaring away interest in international players, it&#39;s hard to see Baozun shining in the near term.</p><h2><b>3. AeroVironment</b></h2><p>This may seem like a good time to be selling military drones. The war in Ukraine finds allies providing the country with small to midsize unmanned aerial vehicles, and AeroVironment is ready to serve. It reports fresh financials on Tuesday, and Raymond James upgraded the stock last month on a bullish thesis that orders have been strong.</p><p>Analysts generally aren&#39;t as hopeful. They see revenue declining 7% from the prior year&#39;s showing. They also are looking for AeroVironment&#39;s profits to fall sharply in Tuesday afternoon&#39;s report. It has fallen short of Wall Street earnings expectations in back-to-back quarters heading into this week&#39;s financial update. AeroVironment may be a thinking investor&#39;s bet on the continuing escalation of military conflicts, but with the stock already up nearly 50% in 2022, it could take a hit if it doesn&#39;t deliver a blowout financial performance.</p><p>It&#39;s going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you&#39;re looking for safe stocks, you aren&#39;t likely to find them in Coinbase, Baozun, and AeroVironment this week.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Avoid This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Avoid This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-06 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/05/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Last week was another welcome step up for investors long the market. The \"three stocks to avoid\" in my column that I thought were going to lose to the market last week -- Big Lots, Baozun, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/05/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AVAV":"AeroVironment公司","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","BZUN":"宝尊电商"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/05/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2289816897","content_text":"Last week was another welcome step up for investors long the market. The \"three stocks to avoid\" in my column that I thought were going to lose to the market last week -- Big Lots, Baozun, and Coinbase -- fell 4%, rose 26%, and climbed 8%, respectively, averaging out to a hearty 10% gain.The S&P 500 experienced a 1.1% move higher. I was wrong. I have still been correct in 37 of the past 59 weeks, or 63% of the time.Now let's look at the week ahead. I see Coinbase, Baozun, and AeroVironment as stocks you might want to consider steering clear of this week. Let's go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.1. CoinbaseCryptocurrencies bounced back slightly last week, and that helped the leading trading exchange for digital currencies recover with its 8% climb. But I don't think the worst is over for the platform.We've seen a few prolific crypto hubs implode this year. Just when you think there are no more shoes to drop, more start falling. But Coinbase won't collapse anytime soon. It's a conservative player with a strong balance sheet. However, all of the hits that crypto traders have faced -- with their assets frozen at best and lost forever at worst -- is going to hurt all trading exchanges. Consumer confidence isn't going to return overnight. Coinbase bounced back from all-time lows two weeks ago, but the climate is still risky and unkind.2. BaozunThe biggest gainer from last week's column was Baozun. The Chinese provider of e-commerce tools soared after reporting fresh financials. Hopes that the country will ease pandemic-related shutdowns also got investors excited about China as a reopening play.The third-quarter results weren't great. Revenue declined 8% to $244.8 million, roughly in line with expectations. Its the third consecutive year-over-year slide in top-line results. Baozun's margins improved, but the bottom line still wasn't bullish. The company that helps global brands get noticed by China's internet users posted an adjusted deficit of $0.03 a share. Analysts were holding out for a small profit. It's the third time in a row that Baozun falls short of the market's profit targets. It has also now missed on the bottom line in four of the past five quarters.Baozun deserves credit for helping rein in its costs, but last week's pop was an overreaction. With Chinese restrictions capping the growth of homegrown enterprises and scaring away interest in international players, it's hard to see Baozun shining in the near term.3. AeroVironmentThis may seem like a good time to be selling military drones. The war in Ukraine finds allies providing the country with small to midsize unmanned aerial vehicles, and AeroVironment is ready to serve. It reports fresh financials on Tuesday, and Raymond James upgraded the stock last month on a bullish thesis that orders have been strong.Analysts generally aren't as hopeful. They see revenue declining 7% from the prior year's showing. They also are looking for AeroVironment's profits to fall sharply in Tuesday afternoon's report. It has fallen short of Wall Street earnings expectations in back-to-back quarters heading into this week's financial update. AeroVironment may be a thinking investor's bet on the continuing escalation of military conflicts, but with the stock already up nearly 50% in 2022, it could take a hit if it doesn't deliver a blowout financial performance.It's going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Coinbase, Baozun, and AeroVironment this week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928807755,"gmtCreate":1671235864978,"gmtModify":1676538512859,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928807755","repostId":"2292062240","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2292062240","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1671225477,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2292062240?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-17 05:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Lower for Third Straight Day As Recession Worries Rise","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2292062240","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks dropped for a third straight session and suffered a second straight week of ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks dropped for a third straight session and suffered a second straight week of losses on Friday as fears continued to mount that the Federal Reserve&#39;s campaign to arrest inflation would tilt the economy into a recession.</p><p>Equities have been staggered since the U.S. central bank&#39;s decision to raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps), as expected. But comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled more policy tightening, and the central bank projected that interest rates would top the 5% mark in 2023, a level not seen since 2007.</p><p>Further comments from other Fed officials fueled the concern. New York Fed President John Williams said on Friday it remains possible the U.S. central bank will raise rates more than it expects next year. The policymaker added that he does not anticipate a recession due to the Fed&#39;s aggressive tightening.</p><p>In addition, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said it is &#34;reasonable&#34; to believe that once the Fed&#39;s policy rates reached their peak, they could stay there into 2024.</p><p>&#34;It feels as if finally the market is starting to understand that bad news is bad news, and that is what is starting to occur. Since the October bottoms, the market has continued to price in what I would consider a substantial amount of optimism at the fact the Fed could navigate and pilot a successful soft landing,&#34; said Dave Wagner, equity analyst and portfolio manager for Aptus Capital Advisors in Cincinnati.</p><p>&#34;Finally, the market is taking into consideration that bad news should mean bad things for the market.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 281.76 points, or 0.85%, to 32,920.46; the S&amp;P 500 lost 43.39 points, or 1.11%, to 3,852.36; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 105.11 points, or 0.97%, to 10,705.41.</p><p>For the week, the Dow lost 1.66%, the S&amp;P fell 2.09% and the Nasdaq declined 2.72%.</p><p>Money market bets show at least two 25 bps rate hikes next year and a terminal rate of about 4.8% by midyear, before falling to around 4.4% by the end of 2023.</p><p>On the economic front, a report showed U.S. business activity contracted further in December as new orders slumped to their lowest level in just over 2-1/2 years, although easing demand helped cool inflation.</p><p>The tech-heavy Nasdaq on Thursday closed below its 50-day moving average, a key technical level seen as sign of momentum. On Friday, the S&amp;P also closed below its 50-day moving average.</p><p>The prospects of a &#34;Santa Claus rally&#34;, or year-end uptick, in markets this year have dimmed, as the majority of global central banks have adopted tightening policies. The Bank of England and the European Central Bank were the most recent to indicate an extended rate-hike cycle on Thursday.</p><p>Markets pared losses in the last hour of trading, however, possibly due in part to the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts, known as triple witching, which can exacerbate market volatility.</p><p>Each of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes were in the red, led lower by a drop of more than 2.96% in real estate stocks .</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc advanced 2.82% after J.P. Morgan upgraded the stock to &#34;overweight&#34; from &#34;neutral,&#34; while Adobe Inc gained 2.99% after the Photoshop maker forecast first-quarter profit above expectations.</p><p>Exact Sciences Corp surged 16.39% after rival Guardant Health Inc&#39;s cancer test missed expectations, while General Motors Co lost 3.91% after its robotaxi unit Cruise faced a safety probe by U.S. auto safety regulators.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 17.28 billion shares, compared with the x.xx billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.47-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 79 new highs and 392 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Lower for Third Straight Day As Recession Worries Rise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Lower for Third Straight Day As Recession Worries Rise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-17 05:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks dropped for a third straight session and suffered a second straight week of losses on Friday as fears continued to mount that the Federal Reserve&#39;s campaign to arrest inflation would tilt the economy into a recession.</p><p>Equities have been staggered since the U.S. central bank&#39;s decision to raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps), as expected. But comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled more policy tightening, and the central bank projected that interest rates would top the 5% mark in 2023, a level not seen since 2007.</p><p>Further comments from other Fed officials fueled the concern. New York Fed President John Williams said on Friday it remains possible the U.S. central bank will raise rates more than it expects next year. The policymaker added that he does not anticipate a recession due to the Fed&#39;s aggressive tightening.</p><p>In addition, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said it is &#34;reasonable&#34; to believe that once the Fed&#39;s policy rates reached their peak, they could stay there into 2024.</p><p>&#34;It feels as if finally the market is starting to understand that bad news is bad news, and that is what is starting to occur. Since the October bottoms, the market has continued to price in what I would consider a substantial amount of optimism at the fact the Fed could navigate and pilot a successful soft landing,&#34; said Dave Wagner, equity analyst and portfolio manager for Aptus Capital Advisors in Cincinnati.</p><p>&#34;Finally, the market is taking into consideration that bad news should mean bad things for the market.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 281.76 points, or 0.85%, to 32,920.46; the S&amp;P 500 lost 43.39 points, or 1.11%, to 3,852.36; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 105.11 points, or 0.97%, to 10,705.41.</p><p>For the week, the Dow lost 1.66%, the S&amp;P fell 2.09% and the Nasdaq declined 2.72%.</p><p>Money market bets show at least two 25 bps rate hikes next year and a terminal rate of about 4.8% by midyear, before falling to around 4.4% by the end of 2023.</p><p>On the economic front, a report showed U.S. business activity contracted further in December as new orders slumped to their lowest level in just over 2-1/2 years, although easing demand helped cool inflation.</p><p>The tech-heavy Nasdaq on Thursday closed below its 50-day moving average, a key technical level seen as sign of momentum. On Friday, the S&amp;P also closed below its 50-day moving average.</p><p>The prospects of a &#34;Santa Claus rally&#34;, or year-end uptick, in markets this year have dimmed, as the majority of global central banks have adopted tightening policies. The Bank of England and the European Central Bank were the most recent to indicate an extended rate-hike cycle on Thursday.</p><p>Markets pared losses in the last hour of trading, however, possibly due in part to the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts, known as triple witching, which can exacerbate market volatility.</p><p>Each of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes were in the red, led lower by a drop of more than 2.96% in real estate stocks .</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc advanced 2.82% after J.P. Morgan upgraded the stock to &#34;overweight&#34; from &#34;neutral,&#34; while Adobe Inc gained 2.99% after the Photoshop maker forecast first-quarter profit above expectations.</p><p>Exact Sciences Corp surged 16.39% after rival Guardant Health Inc&#39;s cancer test missed expectations, while General Motors Co lost 3.91% after its robotaxi unit Cruise faced a safety probe by U.S. auto safety regulators.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 17.28 billion shares, compared with the x.xx billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.47-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 79 new highs and 392 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4196":"保健护理服务","BK4082":"医疗保健设备",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4139":"生物科技","BK4079":"房地产服务","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4539":"次新股","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4007":"制药"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2292062240","content_text":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks dropped for a third straight session and suffered a second straight week of losses on Friday as fears continued to mount that the Federal Reserve's campaign to arrest inflation would tilt the economy into a recession.Equities have been staggered since the U.S. central bank's decision to raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps), as expected. But comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled more policy tightening, and the central bank projected that interest rates would top the 5% mark in 2023, a level not seen since 2007.Further comments from other Fed officials fueled the concern. New York Fed President John Williams said on Friday it remains possible the U.S. central bank will raise rates more than it expects next year. The policymaker added that he does not anticipate a recession due to the Fed's aggressive tightening.In addition, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said it is \"reasonable\" to believe that once the Fed's policy rates reached their peak, they could stay there into 2024.\"It feels as if finally the market is starting to understand that bad news is bad news, and that is what is starting to occur. Since the October bottoms, the market has continued to price in what I would consider a substantial amount of optimism at the fact the Fed could navigate and pilot a successful soft landing,\" said Dave Wagner, equity analyst and portfolio manager for Aptus Capital Advisors in Cincinnati.\"Finally, the market is taking into consideration that bad news should mean bad things for the market.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 281.76 points, or 0.85%, to 32,920.46; the S&P 500 lost 43.39 points, or 1.11%, to 3,852.36; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 105.11 points, or 0.97%, to 10,705.41.For the week, the Dow lost 1.66%, the S&P fell 2.09% and the Nasdaq declined 2.72%.Money market bets show at least two 25 bps rate hikes next year and a terminal rate of about 4.8% by midyear, before falling to around 4.4% by the end of 2023.On the economic front, a report showed U.S. business activity contracted further in December as new orders slumped to their lowest level in just over 2-1/2 years, although easing demand helped cool inflation.The tech-heavy Nasdaq on Thursday closed below its 50-day moving average, a key technical level seen as sign of momentum. On Friday, the S&P also closed below its 50-day moving average.The prospects of a \"Santa Claus rally\", or year-end uptick, in markets this year have dimmed, as the majority of global central banks have adopted tightening policies. The Bank of England and the European Central Bank were the most recent to indicate an extended rate-hike cycle on Thursday.Markets pared losses in the last hour of trading, however, possibly due in part to the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts, known as triple witching, which can exacerbate market volatility.Each of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes were in the red, led lower by a drop of more than 2.96% in real estate stocks .Meta Platforms Inc advanced 2.82% after J.P. Morgan upgraded the stock to \"overweight\" from \"neutral,\" while Adobe Inc gained 2.99% after the Photoshop maker forecast first-quarter profit above expectations.Exact Sciences Corp surged 16.39% after rival Guardant Health Inc's cancer test missed expectations, while General Motors Co lost 3.91% after its robotaxi unit Cruise faced a safety probe by U.S. auto safety regulators.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 17.28 billion shares, compared with the x.xx billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.47-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 79 new highs and 392 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946514673,"gmtCreate":1680999827993,"gmtModify":1680999831382,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946514673","repostId":"1154925728","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920108635,"gmtCreate":1670453344928,"gmtModify":1676538369200,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920108635","repostId":"2289814769","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2289814769","pubTimestamp":1670427122,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2289814769?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-07 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Supercharged Growth Stocks With 393% to 1,153% Upside in 2023, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2289814769","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Select Wall Street analysts believe these fast-growing companies could skyrocket next year.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>This has been a historic year for all the wrong reasons. The bond market has delivered its worst year on record, the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> produced its worst first-half return in 52 years, and the nation&#39;s central bank is aggressively raising interest rates as the stock market plunges. There simply haven&#39;t been many safe havens for investors.</p><p>Yet in spite of these challenges, most Wall Street analysts maintain an optimistic tone. The reason being that recessions and bear markets tend to be short-lived. With the major U.S. indexes eventually erasing corrections, crashes, and bear markets over time, it generally pays to be an optimist.</p><p>However, some analysts are taking optimism to an extreme. Based on the highest price targets issued by Wall Street, the following three supercharged growth stocks offer upside ranging between 393% and 1,153% in 2023.</p><h2>Plug Power: Implied upside of 393%</h2><p>The first fast-paced company with serious upside is hydrogen fuel-cell solution provider <b>Plug Power</b>. According to analyst Amit Dayal of H.C. Wainwright, Plug Power can reach $78. For those of you keeping score at home, this would work out to a near-quintupling in the company&#39;s share price in 2023.</p><p>Dayal&#39;s optimism stems from a number of catalysts. First and foremost is the ongoing shift by most developed countries toward a renewable-energy-driven future. Plug expects to play a key role in supplying fuel cells for vehicles and industrial equipment (e.g., forklifts), as well as building the infrastructure needed to support fuel cell vehicle refueling.</p><p>Additionally, Dayal is excited about management&#39;s efforts to improve operating margin while continuing to rapidly growing sales. Earlier this year, Dayal cited the opening of the company&#39;s fuel cell gigafactory in New York (this occurred in mid-November) and the rollout of next-generation GenDrive units, which are less costly to service, as reasons the company&#39;s margin can improve.</p><p>But the biggest catalyst of all might just be Plug Power&#39;s ability to forge partnerships and joint ventures. It landed an equity investment from SK Group in early 2021 and is working with <b>Renault</b> via a joint venture to go after a significant portion of Europe&#39;s light commercial vehicle market. These partnerships should help lift Plug from just over $500 million in sales in 2021 to a company-forecast $3 billion in revenue by 2025.</p><p>However -- and this is the <i>big</i> &#34;however&#34; -- Plug Power isn&#39;t profitable, and the growing likelihood of a U.S. recession, coupled with high inflation in most developed countries, could coerce businesses and governments to postpone their green-energy transition/spending to a later date.</p><p>With Plug Power already valued at north of $9 billion, a lot of its future sales growth appears to be baked in. Until the company can plant its proverbial feet in the ground and deliver on the bottom line, a $78 price target will be hard to justify.</p><h2>Bionano Genomics: Implied upside of 474%</h2><p>A second supercharged growth stock with monumental upside, at least according to one Wall Street analyst, is small-cap genome analysis company <b>Bionano Genomics</b>. If <b>Oppenheimer</b> analyst Francois Brisebois is correct, Bionano shares will hit $12 in 2023, which would represent an upside of a cool 474%.</p><p>Although Brisebois is the current analyst covering Bionano for Oppenheimer, it was his predecessor, Kevin DeGeeter, who primarily laid out the case for Bionano Genomics running to $12. In DeGeeter&#39;s view, Bionano&#39;s optical genome mapping (OGM) system, known as Saphyr, has demonstrated that it&#39;s faster, less expensive, and in many ways more effective at identifying structural genome variations than other OGM systems.</p><p>One thing investors don&#39;t have to worry about with Bionano Genomics is a lack of data demonstrating Saphyr&#39;s efficacy. Over the past two years, the company has released numerous studies and data points extolling Saphyr&#39;s ability to recognize structural variations in everything from various types of cancer to genetic disorders and recurrent pregnancy loss. In theory, Saphyr can play a key role in helping researchers and drug developers fight hard-to-treat diseases.</p><p>Another positive for Bionano Genomics is its healthy cash position. After its share price went parabolic to begin 2021, management wisely chose to issue stock to raise plenty of capital. The company ended September with approximately $180 million in cash, cash equivalents, and available-for-sale securities.  That&#39;s more than enough to offset quarterly losses as the company continues to innovate and look for ways to expand Saphyr&#39;s utility.</p><p>So, why is Bionano Genomics at $2.09 per share and not $12? The answer to that question largely has to do with Saphyr not being an approved diagnostic system by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Without this approval, Saphyr&#39;s utility is limited within the United States. It&#39;s not exactly clear if and when Saphyr might get the green light from the FDA, either.</p><p>Although Bionano&#39;s cash does provide a somewhat safe floor, the ceiling proposed by Brisebois and DeGeeter doesn&#39;t seem achievable without FDA support.</p><h2>Novavax: Implied upside of 1,153%</h2><p>The third supercharged growth stock with truly jaw-dropping upside potential, based on the price target of one analyst, is biotech stock <b>Novavax</b>. According to H.C. Wainwright analyst Vernon Bernardino, who last updated his firm&#39;s price target in March 2022, Novavax is poised to hit (drum roll) $207 per share. That represents a whopping 1,153% upside from where shares ended this past week.</p><p>Bernardino&#39;s price target, which sits as the high-water mark among covering analysts, was based on the idea that Novavax would receive authorization to sell its protein-based COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373, worldwide. Whereas the <b>Moderna</b> and <b>Pfizer</b>/<b>BioNTech</b> vaccines rely on messenger-RNA (mRNA) technology, the Novavax vaccine is differentiated in that it relies on an older and more traditional application of introducing harmless pieces of spike protein to teach a person&#39;s immune system how to fight and/or prevent infection. The thinking here is that folks who were leery of getting an mRNA vaccine might be more willing to receive an initial series or booster shots from Novavax&#39;s protein-based COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p>Something else that&#39;s working in Novavax&#39;s favor is the efficacy of NVX-CoV2373. Only three COVID-19 vaccines have reached the highly coveted 90% vaccine efficacy (VE) level. Those being Moderna (94.1%), Pfizer/BioNTech (95%), and Novavax (90.4%) with its U.S./Mexico trial in 2021. Even though VE is just one measure of efficacy, it&#39;s a strong enough headline number to keep Novavax in the global rotation as a major initial series and booster vaccine player.</p><p>Similar to Bionano, Novavax is swimming with cash. The company ended the third quarter with $1.28 billion in cash and cash equivalents, which is more than enough to cover the future repayment of its convertible notes and fuel ongoing research.  In particular, Novavax could be one of the first drug developers to bring a combination vaccine targeting COVID-19 and influenza to market.</p><p>But even being a shareholder, I don&#39;t in any way foresee $207 as a viable price target for Novavax in 2023. With the company enduring numerous emergency-use filing delays and production snafus, it missed out on most of the low-hanging fruit in developed markets in 2022. Moving forward, it&#39;ll primarily be focusing its attention on recurring booster shots in developed countries and initial series vaccinations in emerging markets.</p><p>While I believe Novavax is an amazing value at its current share price, it could take a couple of quarters before Wall Street realizes that as well. If sales growth continues, losses shrink, and the company advances its combination vaccines, it could certainly end 2023 on a much higher note than it&#39;ll finish 2022.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Supercharged Growth Stocks With 393% to 1,153% Upside in 2023, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Supercharged Growth Stocks With 393% to 1,153% Upside in 2023, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-07 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/06/3-growth-stocks-with-393-to-1153-upside-in-2023/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>This has been a historic year for all the wrong reasons. The bond market has delivered its worst year on record, the S&P 500 produced its worst first-half return in 52 years, and the nation's central ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/06/3-growth-stocks-with-393-to-1153-upside-in-2023/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNGO":"Bionano Genomics","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","PLUG":"普拉格能源"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/06/3-growth-stocks-with-393-to-1153-upside-in-2023/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2289814769","content_text":"This has been a historic year for all the wrong reasons. The bond market has delivered its worst year on record, the S&P 500 produced its worst first-half return in 52 years, and the nation's central bank is aggressively raising interest rates as the stock market plunges. There simply haven't been many safe havens for investors.Yet in spite of these challenges, most Wall Street analysts maintain an optimistic tone. The reason being that recessions and bear markets tend to be short-lived. With the major U.S. indexes eventually erasing corrections, crashes, and bear markets over time, it generally pays to be an optimist.However, some analysts are taking optimism to an extreme. Based on the highest price targets issued by Wall Street, the following three supercharged growth stocks offer upside ranging between 393% and 1,153% in 2023.Plug Power: Implied upside of 393%The first fast-paced company with serious upside is hydrogen fuel-cell solution provider Plug Power. According to analyst Amit Dayal of H.C. Wainwright, Plug Power can reach $78. For those of you keeping score at home, this would work out to a near-quintupling in the company's share price in 2023.Dayal's optimism stems from a number of catalysts. First and foremost is the ongoing shift by most developed countries toward a renewable-energy-driven future. Plug expects to play a key role in supplying fuel cells for vehicles and industrial equipment (e.g., forklifts), as well as building the infrastructure needed to support fuel cell vehicle refueling.Additionally, Dayal is excited about management's efforts to improve operating margin while continuing to rapidly growing sales. Earlier this year, Dayal cited the opening of the company's fuel cell gigafactory in New York (this occurred in mid-November) and the rollout of next-generation GenDrive units, which are less costly to service, as reasons the company's margin can improve.But the biggest catalyst of all might just be Plug Power's ability to forge partnerships and joint ventures. It landed an equity investment from SK Group in early 2021 and is working with Renault via a joint venture to go after a significant portion of Europe's light commercial vehicle market. These partnerships should help lift Plug from just over $500 million in sales in 2021 to a company-forecast $3 billion in revenue by 2025.However -- and this is the big \"however\" -- Plug Power isn't profitable, and the growing likelihood of a U.S. recession, coupled with high inflation in most developed countries, could coerce businesses and governments to postpone their green-energy transition/spending to a later date.With Plug Power already valued at north of $9 billion, a lot of its future sales growth appears to be baked in. Until the company can plant its proverbial feet in the ground and deliver on the bottom line, a $78 price target will be hard to justify.Bionano Genomics: Implied upside of 474%A second supercharged growth stock with monumental upside, at least according to one Wall Street analyst, is small-cap genome analysis company Bionano Genomics. If Oppenheimer analyst Francois Brisebois is correct, Bionano shares will hit $12 in 2023, which would represent an upside of a cool 474%.Although Brisebois is the current analyst covering Bionano for Oppenheimer, it was his predecessor, Kevin DeGeeter, who primarily laid out the case for Bionano Genomics running to $12. In DeGeeter's view, Bionano's optical genome mapping (OGM) system, known as Saphyr, has demonstrated that it's faster, less expensive, and in many ways more effective at identifying structural genome variations than other OGM systems.One thing investors don't have to worry about with Bionano Genomics is a lack of data demonstrating Saphyr's efficacy. Over the past two years, the company has released numerous studies and data points extolling Saphyr's ability to recognize structural variations in everything from various types of cancer to genetic disorders and recurrent pregnancy loss. In theory, Saphyr can play a key role in helping researchers and drug developers fight hard-to-treat diseases.Another positive for Bionano Genomics is its healthy cash position. After its share price went parabolic to begin 2021, management wisely chose to issue stock to raise plenty of capital. The company ended September with approximately $180 million in cash, cash equivalents, and available-for-sale securities.  That's more than enough to offset quarterly losses as the company continues to innovate and look for ways to expand Saphyr's utility.So, why is Bionano Genomics at $2.09 per share and not $12? The answer to that question largely has to do with Saphyr not being an approved diagnostic system by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Without this approval, Saphyr's utility is limited within the United States. It's not exactly clear if and when Saphyr might get the green light from the FDA, either.Although Bionano's cash does provide a somewhat safe floor, the ceiling proposed by Brisebois and DeGeeter doesn't seem achievable without FDA support.Novavax: Implied upside of 1,153%The third supercharged growth stock with truly jaw-dropping upside potential, based on the price target of one analyst, is biotech stock Novavax. According to H.C. Wainwright analyst Vernon Bernardino, who last updated his firm's price target in March 2022, Novavax is poised to hit (drum roll) $207 per share. That represents a whopping 1,153% upside from where shares ended this past week.Bernardino's price target, which sits as the high-water mark among covering analysts, was based on the idea that Novavax would receive authorization to sell its protein-based COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373, worldwide. Whereas the Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech vaccines rely on messenger-RNA (mRNA) technology, the Novavax vaccine is differentiated in that it relies on an older and more traditional application of introducing harmless pieces of spike protein to teach a person's immune system how to fight and/or prevent infection. The thinking here is that folks who were leery of getting an mRNA vaccine might be more willing to receive an initial series or booster shots from Novavax's protein-based COVID-19 vaccine.Something else that's working in Novavax's favor is the efficacy of NVX-CoV2373. Only three COVID-19 vaccines have reached the highly coveted 90% vaccine efficacy (VE) level. Those being Moderna (94.1%), Pfizer/BioNTech (95%), and Novavax (90.4%) with its U.S./Mexico trial in 2021. Even though VE is just one measure of efficacy, it's a strong enough headline number to keep Novavax in the global rotation as a major initial series and booster vaccine player.Similar to Bionano, Novavax is swimming with cash. The company ended the third quarter with $1.28 billion in cash and cash equivalents, which is more than enough to cover the future repayment of its convertible notes and fuel ongoing research.  In particular, Novavax could be one of the first drug developers to bring a combination vaccine targeting COVID-19 and influenza to market.But even being a shareholder, I don't in any way foresee $207 as a viable price target for Novavax in 2023. With the company enduring numerous emergency-use filing delays and production snafus, it missed out on most of the low-hanging fruit in developed markets in 2022. Moving forward, it'll primarily be focusing its attention on recurring booster shots in developed countries and initial series vaccinations in emerging markets.While I believe Novavax is an amazing value at its current share price, it could take a couple of quarters before Wall Street realizes that as well. If sales growth continues, losses shrink, and the company advances its combination vaccines, it could certainly end 2023 on a much higher note than it'll finish 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965889785,"gmtCreate":1669935632947,"gmtModify":1676538271766,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965889785","repostId":"1183309348","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183309348","pubTimestamp":1669909628,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183309348?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-01 23:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Bears Didn't See This Coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183309348","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWith its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings updat","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>With its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings update. Management stunned bearish investors with its revised profitability guidance.</li><li>We discuss how its e-commerce segment could reach profitability exiting Q4&#39;23. However, investors need to factor in increased macro risks that could impact its monetization efforts.</li><li>We discuss why investors looking to add SE should continue to wait patiently first.</li><li>Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.</li></ul><h3>Thesis</h3><p>We presented our thesis in our pre-earnings article on Sea Limited (NYSE:SE), arguing that the market had anticipated an underwhelming Q3 release as it closed in on its November lows.</p><p>As such, we aren&#39;t surprised that the market sent SE surging in a momentum spike, hitting our previous price target (PT), as SE rallied nearly 61% from its November bottom.</p><p>Management came out with guns blazing against bearish investors after pulling guidance in Q2 previously. Accordingly, CEO Forrest Li&#39;s emphasis in its Q3 commentary on Shopee (Sea Limited&#39;s e-commerce arm) to reach adjusted EBITDA breakeven exiting Q4&#39;23 stunned the bears.</p><p>Notwithstanding, SE has pulled back nearly 20% from its recent surge, which should be expected. Moreover, we postulate that the market has likely reflected the optimism in Sea Limited&#39;s more constructive guidance with its recent surge. As such, we believe the market will likely parse Sea Limited&#39;s execution moving forward before a material re-rating is justified.</p><p>Hence, we believe the reward/risk in SE looks relatively well-balanced at these levels. Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.</p><h3>Shopee: How Can It Reach Adjusted EBITDA by FY23?</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1382346c1bbcfe20f003a0de17e41dbd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The consensus estimates have been revised upward with management&#39;s upgraded guidance for Shopee. As such, Wall Street analysts project Sea Limited to post an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.2% in FY23.</p><p>However, it&#39;s predicated on revenue growth of 16.7% for FY23, below FY22&#39;s 21.6% uptick. Based on management&#39;s commentary, we believe analysts have penciled in a higher bar for SE to cross. Therefore, as we postulated in our previous update, it has likely normalized the Street&#39;s more pessimistic forecasts.</p><p>Notably, management highlighted that its focus on its e-commerce profitability drive &#34;may see no growth or even negative growth in certain operating metrics in the near term.&#34;</p><p>Hence, the critical profitability driver will be cutting costs expeditiously and improving efficiencies concurrently.</p><p>But the crucial question is how far Shopee is from reaching adjusted EBITDA breakeven.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15df8e681c7c79fd10f5b2355f45beca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Shopee posted an adjusted EBITDA margin of -26% in FQ3, up from Q2&#39;s -37%. Notably, Shopee has also continued to improve its path toward profitability constructively. Hence, investors could be assured that management&#39;s execution has been relatively consistent despite worsening macros impacting its key markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd3289e72cdee0c506af925494c635f7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Moreover, Shopee has managed to overcome the significant deceleration of revenue growth since Q1&#39;21, corroborating management&#39;s confidence in optimizing efficiencies.</p><p>Notwithstanding, Shopee still posted revenue growth of 32.4% in FQ3, down from FQ2&#39;s 51.4%.</p><p>However, due to its cost-rationalization exercise, investors should expect its e-commerce segment to head toward an anemic gross merchandise value (GMV) growth phase. Also, we believe Shopee could be looking at lifting its e-commerce take rates in its profitability drive.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ee5cedc45b9ad065e8b8d0bf01d99\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>As seen above, Shopee managed to post take rates of 10.1% in FQ3, well above FQ2&#39;s 9.2%. It has also been creeping up over time, which has helped Shopee deliver more robust monetization metrics, despite the slowdown in GMV growth (down to 13.7% in FQ3).</p><p>Hence, it&#39;s a lever that Shopee could continue to pull as it pushes toward adjusted EBITDA breakeven. Notably, Shopee posted core marketplace revenue growth of 54% YoY in FQ3, demonstrating its strong execution prowess and value proposition for its merchants.</p><p>Notwithstanding, macroeconomic headwinds could hamper its ability to drive further take rates accretion as it pulls back its GMV growth initiatives. An analyst on the earnings call also highlighted her concern, probing management whether it anticipated a marked impact on advertising revenue.</p><p>While management telegraphed its confidence in its advertising offerings, it also cautioned investors that worsening macro risks could impair Shopee&#39;s ability to monetize further (i.e., increase take rates), as Chief Corporate Officer Yanjun Wang articulated:</p><blockquote>We are mindful of the potential macro headwinds that, over time, [could] more deeply affect our region and the market as a whole. And this might affect, for example, people&#39;s purchase power, discretionary spending and to the point might also have a more pronounced effect on our platform and overall e-commerce in the region. When that happens, that could have a negative impact on our ability to monetize. (Sea Limited FQ3&#39;22 earnings call)</blockquote><h3>Is SE Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebf4e1fe75caa11214d125037e9c36e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>With the recent surge in SE, we postulate that near-term optimism on its revised guidance has likely been reflected.</p><p>Also, SE&#39;s valuation remains highly aggressive, as it last traded at an FY23 EBITDA multiple of 91x and an FY24 EBITDA multiple of 27.4x. Both are much higher than Sea Limited&#39;s e-commerce peers&#39; median (7.3x NTM EBITDA) and gaming peers&#39; median (8.6x NTM EBITDA).</p><p>We applaud management&#39;s initiative to justify its valuation through its profitability impetus. However, we assess that a further near-term re-rating is unlikely unless the market anticipates better execution from Sea Limited.</p><p>We should be able to glean more clues as SE looks to consolidate at its current pullback.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Bears Didn't See This Coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Bears Didn't See This Coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-01 23:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561387-sea-limited-bears-didnt-see-this-coming><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWith its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings update. Management stunned bearish investors with its revised profitability guidance.We discuss how its e...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561387-sea-limited-bears-didnt-see-this-coming\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561387-sea-limited-bears-didnt-see-this-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1183309348","content_text":"SummaryWith its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings update. Management stunned bearish investors with its revised profitability guidance.We discuss how its e-commerce segment could reach profitability exiting Q4'23. However, investors need to factor in increased macro risks that could impact its monetization efforts.We discuss why investors looking to add SE should continue to wait patiently first.Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.ThesisWe presented our thesis in our pre-earnings article on Sea Limited (NYSE:SE), arguing that the market had anticipated an underwhelming Q3 release as it closed in on its November lows.As such, we aren't surprised that the market sent SE surging in a momentum spike, hitting our previous price target (PT), as SE rallied nearly 61% from its November bottom.Management came out with guns blazing against bearish investors after pulling guidance in Q2 previously. Accordingly, CEO Forrest Li's emphasis in its Q3 commentary on Shopee (Sea Limited's e-commerce arm) to reach adjusted EBITDA breakeven exiting Q4'23 stunned the bears.Notwithstanding, SE has pulled back nearly 20% from its recent surge, which should be expected. Moreover, we postulate that the market has likely reflected the optimism in Sea Limited's more constructive guidance with its recent surge. As such, we believe the market will likely parse Sea Limited's execution moving forward before a material re-rating is justified.Hence, we believe the reward/risk in SE looks relatively well-balanced at these levels. Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.Shopee: How Can It Reach Adjusted EBITDA by FY23?The consensus estimates have been revised upward with management's upgraded guidance for Shopee. As such, Wall Street analysts project Sea Limited to post an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.2% in FY23.However, it's predicated on revenue growth of 16.7% for FY23, below FY22's 21.6% uptick. Based on management's commentary, we believe analysts have penciled in a higher bar for SE to cross. Therefore, as we postulated in our previous update, it has likely normalized the Street's more pessimistic forecasts.Notably, management highlighted that its focus on its e-commerce profitability drive \"may see no growth or even negative growth in certain operating metrics in the near term.\"Hence, the critical profitability driver will be cutting costs expeditiously and improving efficiencies concurrently.But the crucial question is how far Shopee is from reaching adjusted EBITDA breakeven.Shopee posted an adjusted EBITDA margin of -26% in FQ3, up from Q2's -37%. Notably, Shopee has also continued to improve its path toward profitability constructively. Hence, investors could be assured that management's execution has been relatively consistent despite worsening macros impacting its key markets.Moreover, Shopee has managed to overcome the significant deceleration of revenue growth since Q1'21, corroborating management's confidence in optimizing efficiencies.Notwithstanding, Shopee still posted revenue growth of 32.4% in FQ3, down from FQ2's 51.4%.However, due to its cost-rationalization exercise, investors should expect its e-commerce segment to head toward an anemic gross merchandise value (GMV) growth phase. Also, we believe Shopee could be looking at lifting its e-commerce take rates in its profitability drive.As seen above, Shopee managed to post take rates of 10.1% in FQ3, well above FQ2's 9.2%. It has also been creeping up over time, which has helped Shopee deliver more robust monetization metrics, despite the slowdown in GMV growth (down to 13.7% in FQ3).Hence, it's a lever that Shopee could continue to pull as it pushes toward adjusted EBITDA breakeven. Notably, Shopee posted core marketplace revenue growth of 54% YoY in FQ3, demonstrating its strong execution prowess and value proposition for its merchants.Notwithstanding, macroeconomic headwinds could hamper its ability to drive further take rates accretion as it pulls back its GMV growth initiatives. An analyst on the earnings call also highlighted her concern, probing management whether it anticipated a marked impact on advertising revenue.While management telegraphed its confidence in its advertising offerings, it also cautioned investors that worsening macro risks could impair Shopee's ability to monetize further (i.e., increase take rates), as Chief Corporate Officer Yanjun Wang articulated:We are mindful of the potential macro headwinds that, over time, [could] more deeply affect our region and the market as a whole. And this might affect, for example, people's purchase power, discretionary spending and to the point might also have a more pronounced effect on our platform and overall e-commerce in the region. When that happens, that could have a negative impact on our ability to monetize. (Sea Limited FQ3'22 earnings call)Is SE Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?With the recent surge in SE, we postulate that near-term optimism on its revised guidance has likely been reflected.Also, SE's valuation remains highly aggressive, as it last traded at an FY23 EBITDA multiple of 91x and an FY24 EBITDA multiple of 27.4x. Both are much higher than Sea Limited's e-commerce peers' median (7.3x NTM EBITDA) and gaming peers' median (8.6x NTM EBITDA).We applaud management's initiative to justify its valuation through its profitability impetus. However, we assess that a further near-term re-rating is unlikely unless the market anticipates better execution from Sea Limited.We should be able to glean more clues as SE looks to consolidate at its current pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":830,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916680472,"gmtCreate":1664586105197,"gmtModify":1676537480237,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916680472","repostId":"2272080774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2272080774","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1664579994,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272080774?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-01 07:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Posts Third Straight Quarterly Loss As Inflation Weighs, Recession Looms","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272080774","media":"Reuters","summary":"The S&P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding ac","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding across the finish line of a tumultuous quarter fraught with historically hot inflation, rising interest rates and recession fears.</p><p>All three major indexes veered to a sharply lower end, having quashed a brief rally early in the session.</p><p>The S&amp;P and the Dow notched their third consecutive weekly declines, and all three indexes posted their second straight monthly losses.</p><p>In the first nine months of 2022, Wall Street suffered three quarterly declines in a row, the longest losing streak for the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq since 2008 and the Dow&#39;s longest quarterly slump in seven years.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s another ugly day to end an ugly quarter in what’s looking like a very ugly year,&#34; said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group in Omaha, Nebraska. &#34;Investors will look back and realize this was the year the Fed pulled a total 180 on their views on inflation and quickly turned incredibly hawkish.&#34;</p><p>The Federal Reserve has rattled markets by engaging in its most relentless series of interest rate hikes in decades in order to rein in stubbornly high inflation, which has many market participants eyeing key economic data for signs of a looming recession.</p><p>&#34;The realization that the Fed is doing anything they can to combat 40-year-high inflation has investors worried they will push the economy over the edge and into recession,&#34; Detrick added.</p><p>The Commerce Department&#39;s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report did little to assuage those fears, showing that while consumers continue to spend, the prices they are paying have accelerated, drifting further beyond the Fed&#39;s inflation target and all but ensuring the central bank&#39;s hawkish monetary policy will continue longer than investors had hoped.</p><p>Recession fears also echoed through dire warnings from Nike Inc and cruise operator Carnival Corp, both citing inflation-related margin pressures.</p><p>Shares of the companies tanked by 12.8% and 23.3%, respectively.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 500.1 points, or 1.71%, to 28,725.51; the S&amp;P 500    lost 54.85 points, or 1.51%, to 3,585.62; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 161.89 points, or 1.51%, to 10,575.62.</p><p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, real estate was the sole gainer, while utilities tech suffered the largest percentage losses.</p><p>Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com and Nike weighed heaviest.</p><p>Corporate earnings reports for the quarter that ends with Friday&#39;s closing bell will begin landing in a few weeks, and analyst expectations are trending downward.</p><p>Analysts now see annual S&amp;P 500 earnings growth of 4.5%, on aggregate, down from the 11.1% estimate when the quarter began.</p><p>Quarter-end fund reallocations and so-called &#34;window dressing&#34; is likely contributed to the session&#39;s volatility.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.45-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.38-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 93 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 380 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.44 billion shares, compared with the 11.45 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Posts Third Straight Quarterly Loss As Inflation Weighs, Recession Looms</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Posts Third Straight Quarterly Loss As Inflation Weighs, Recession Looms\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-01 07:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding across the finish line of a tumultuous quarter fraught with historically hot inflation, rising interest rates and recession fears.</p><p>All three major indexes veered to a sharply lower end, having quashed a brief rally early in the session.</p><p>The S&amp;P and the Dow notched their third consecutive weekly declines, and all three indexes posted their second straight monthly losses.</p><p>In the first nine months of 2022, Wall Street suffered three quarterly declines in a row, the longest losing streak for the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq since 2008 and the Dow&#39;s longest quarterly slump in seven years.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s another ugly day to end an ugly quarter in what’s looking like a very ugly year,&#34; said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group in Omaha, Nebraska. &#34;Investors will look back and realize this was the year the Fed pulled a total 180 on their views on inflation and quickly turned incredibly hawkish.&#34;</p><p>The Federal Reserve has rattled markets by engaging in its most relentless series of interest rate hikes in decades in order to rein in stubbornly high inflation, which has many market participants eyeing key economic data for signs of a looming recession.</p><p>&#34;The realization that the Fed is doing anything they can to combat 40-year-high inflation has investors worried they will push the economy over the edge and into recession,&#34; Detrick added.</p><p>The Commerce Department&#39;s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report did little to assuage those fears, showing that while consumers continue to spend, the prices they are paying have accelerated, drifting further beyond the Fed&#39;s inflation target and all but ensuring the central bank&#39;s hawkish monetary policy will continue longer than investors had hoped.</p><p>Recession fears also echoed through dire warnings from Nike Inc and cruise operator Carnival Corp, both citing inflation-related margin pressures.</p><p>Shares of the companies tanked by 12.8% and 23.3%, respectively.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 500.1 points, or 1.71%, to 28,725.51; the S&amp;P 500    lost 54.85 points, or 1.51%, to 3,585.62; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 161.89 points, or 1.51%, to 10,575.62.</p><p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, real estate was the sole gainer, while utilities tech suffered the largest percentage losses.</p><p>Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com and Nike weighed heaviest.</p><p>Corporate earnings reports for the quarter that ends with Friday&#39;s closing bell will begin landing in a few weeks, and analyst expectations are trending downward.</p><p>Analysts now see annual S&amp;P 500 earnings growth of 4.5%, on aggregate, down from the 11.1% estimate when the quarter began.</p><p>Quarter-end fund reallocations and so-called &#34;window dressing&#34; is likely contributed to the session&#39;s volatility.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.45-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.38-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 93 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 380 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.44 billion shares, compared with the 11.45 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272080774","content_text":"The S&P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding across the finish line of a tumultuous quarter fraught with historically hot inflation, rising interest rates and recession fears.All three major indexes veered to a sharply lower end, having quashed a brief rally early in the session.The S&P and the Dow notched their third consecutive weekly declines, and all three indexes posted their second straight monthly losses.In the first nine months of 2022, Wall Street suffered three quarterly declines in a row, the longest losing streak for the S&P and the Nasdaq since 2008 and the Dow's longest quarterly slump in seven years.\"It's another ugly day to end an ugly quarter in what’s looking like a very ugly year,\" said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group in Omaha, Nebraska. \"Investors will look back and realize this was the year the Fed pulled a total 180 on their views on inflation and quickly turned incredibly hawkish.\"The Federal Reserve has rattled markets by engaging in its most relentless series of interest rate hikes in decades in order to rein in stubbornly high inflation, which has many market participants eyeing key economic data for signs of a looming recession.\"The realization that the Fed is doing anything they can to combat 40-year-high inflation has investors worried they will push the economy over the edge and into recession,\" Detrick added.The Commerce Department's personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report did little to assuage those fears, showing that while consumers continue to spend, the prices they are paying have accelerated, drifting further beyond the Fed's inflation target and all but ensuring the central bank's hawkish monetary policy will continue longer than investors had hoped.Recession fears also echoed through dire warnings from Nike Inc and cruise operator Carnival Corp, both citing inflation-related margin pressures.Shares of the companies tanked by 12.8% and 23.3%, respectively.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 500.1 points, or 1.71%, to 28,725.51; the S&P 500    lost 54.85 points, or 1.51%, to 3,585.62; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 161.89 points, or 1.51%, to 10,575.62.Among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, real estate was the sole gainer, while utilities tech suffered the largest percentage losses.Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com and Nike weighed heaviest.Corporate earnings reports for the quarter that ends with Friday's closing bell will begin landing in a few weeks, and analyst expectations are trending downward.Analysts now see annual S&P 500 earnings growth of 4.5%, on aggregate, down from the 11.1% estimate when the quarter began.Quarter-end fund reallocations and so-called \"window dressing\" is likely contributed to the session's volatility.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.45-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.38-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 93 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 380 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.44 billion shares, compared with the 11.45 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":61,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963159592,"gmtCreate":1668639052117,"gmtModify":1676538086815,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963159592","repostId":"2283827074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2283827074","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1668601184,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2283827074?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-16 20:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Lifts Revenue Outlook on Rideshare, Food Delivery Strength","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2283827074","media":"Reuters","summary":"Nov 16 (Reuters) - Grab Holdings Ltd on Wednesday raised its forecast for annual revenue as demand f","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 16 (Reuters) - Grab Holdings Ltd on Wednesday raised its forecast for annual revenue as demand for its ride-hailing service and food deliveries remains strong across Southeast Asia.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Southeast Asia&#39;s biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm rose 15% in trading before the bell.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a53ce28248e71c377ad01973fad01adf\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Decade-old Grab has become a go-to for consumers in the region as they increasingly step out and return to offices.</p><p>The company said it expected revenue between $1.32 billion and $1.35 billion. It had previously forecast revenue between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion for the year.</p><p>Grab also raised its forecast for annual gross merchandise volume growth (GMV) to between 22% and 25%. It had previously forecast GMV growth of 21% to 25% for the year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Lifts Revenue Outlook on Rideshare, Food Delivery Strength</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Lifts Revenue Outlook on Rideshare, Food Delivery Strength\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-16 20:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 16 (Reuters) - Grab Holdings Ltd on Wednesday raised its forecast for annual revenue as demand for its ride-hailing service and food deliveries remains strong across Southeast Asia.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Southeast Asia&#39;s biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm rose 15% in trading before the bell.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a53ce28248e71c377ad01973fad01adf\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Decade-old Grab has become a go-to for consumers in the region as they increasingly step out and return to offices.</p><p>The company said it expected revenue between $1.32 billion and $1.35 billion. It had previously forecast revenue between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion for the year.</p><p>Grab also raised its forecast for annual gross merchandise volume growth (GMV) to between 22% and 25%. It had previously forecast GMV growth of 21% to 25% for the year.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2283827074","content_text":"Nov 16 (Reuters) - Grab Holdings Ltd on Wednesday raised its forecast for annual revenue as demand for its ride-hailing service and food deliveries remains strong across Southeast Asia.U.S.-listed shares of Southeast Asia's biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm rose 15% in trading before the bell.Decade-old Grab has become a go-to for consumers in the region as they increasingly step out and return to offices.The company said it expected revenue between $1.32 billion and $1.35 billion. It had previously forecast revenue between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion for the year.Grab also raised its forecast for annual gross merchandise volume growth (GMV) to between 22% and 25%. It had previously forecast GMV growth of 21% to 25% for the year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961289624,"gmtCreate":1668985114668,"gmtModify":1676538133363,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961289624","repostId":"2285098074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2285098074","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1668984749,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2285098074?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-21 06:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom, Dell, Best Buy, Deere, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2285098074","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"It will be a short week of trading, with markets closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and then closin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It will be a short week of trading, with markets closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and then closing early on Black Friday as the holiday shopping rush begins.</p><p>Earnings season is winding down but there will still be some notable reports next week, including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications and Dell Technologies on Monday; VMware, Best Buy, Dick&#39;s Sporting Goods, Nordstrom, and HP Inc. on Tuesday; and Deere on Wednesday.</p><p>On the economic front, we&#39;ll see data on manufacturing, home sales, and durable goods, and the Fed will release minutes from its November policy meeting.</p><p>Monday 11/21</p><p>Jacobs Solutions, J.M. Smucker, Agilent Technologies, Urban Outfitters, Zoom Video Communications, and Dell Technologies hold conference calls to discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 0.13 reading, up from September&#39;s 0.10.</p><p>Tuesday 11/22</p><p>VMware, Baidu, Analog Devices, Autodesk, HP Inc., Nordstrom, American Eagle Outfitters, Abercrombie &amp; Fitch, Burlington Stores, Chico&#39;s FAS, Best Buy, Dick&#39;s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Jack in the Box, Warner Music Group, Medtronic, and Canadian Solar host earnings conference calls.</p><p>The Richmond Fed releases its manufacturing index for November. The outlook is for a 1.5 reading after a negative 10 reading in October.</p><p>Wednesday 11/23</p><p>The markets will be looking for signals for future interest-rate hikes from the Federal Open Market Committee when it releases the minutes from its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.</p><p>Deere reports fourth-quarter financial results. Analysts are expecting $7.12 a share in earnings, compared with $4.12 a year ago.</p><p>The Census Bureau reports new residential sales data for October. Economists forecast that sales of new single-family homes ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 572,500, compared with 603,000 in September.</p><p>S&amp;P Global releases both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers&#39; indexes for November. Expectations are for the Manufacturing PMI to be 50.0, while the Services index is seen coming in at 48.2. This compares with readings of 50.4 and 47.8, respectively, in October.</p><p>The Census Bureau releases the durable-goods report for October. The consensus call is that new orders for durable manufactured goods increased by 0.30%, month over month, on a seasonally adjusted basis, compared with a 0.39% rise in September.</p><p>Thursday 11/24</p><p>U.S. stock exchanges and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.</p><p>Friday 11/25</p><p>It&#39;s Black Friday, one of the busiest shopping days of the year, and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. Holiday spending is expected to be robust, even with the inflation challenges that are facing consumers. The National Retail Federation estimates that holiday retail sales during November and December will grow by 6% to 8% over last year&#39;s, compared with an average 4.9% increase over the past 10 years.</p><p>U.S. stock exchanges have an early closing at 1 p.m., and the bond market will shut down at 2 p.m.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom, Dell, Best Buy, Deere, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom, Dell, Best Buy, Deere, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-21 06:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>It will be a short week of trading, with markets closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and then closing early on Black Friday as the holiday shopping rush begins.</p><p>Earnings season is winding down but there will still be some notable reports next week, including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications and Dell Technologies on Monday; VMware, Best Buy, Dick&#39;s Sporting Goods, Nordstrom, and HP Inc. on Tuesday; and Deere on Wednesday.</p><p>On the economic front, we&#39;ll see data on manufacturing, home sales, and durable goods, and the Fed will release minutes from its November policy meeting.</p><p>Monday 11/21</p><p>Jacobs Solutions, J.M. Smucker, Agilent Technologies, Urban Outfitters, Zoom Video Communications, and Dell Technologies hold conference calls to discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 0.13 reading, up from September&#39;s 0.10.</p><p>Tuesday 11/22</p><p>VMware, Baidu, Analog Devices, Autodesk, HP Inc., Nordstrom, American Eagle Outfitters, Abercrombie &amp; Fitch, Burlington Stores, Chico&#39;s FAS, Best Buy, Dick&#39;s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Jack in the Box, Warner Music Group, Medtronic, and Canadian Solar host earnings conference calls.</p><p>The Richmond Fed releases its manufacturing index for November. The outlook is for a 1.5 reading after a negative 10 reading in October.</p><p>Wednesday 11/23</p><p>The markets will be looking for signals for future interest-rate hikes from the Federal Open Market Committee when it releases the minutes from its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.</p><p>Deere reports fourth-quarter financial results. Analysts are expecting $7.12 a share in earnings, compared with $4.12 a year ago.</p><p>The Census Bureau reports new residential sales data for October. Economists forecast that sales of new single-family homes ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 572,500, compared with 603,000 in September.</p><p>S&amp;P Global releases both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers&#39; indexes for November. Expectations are for the Manufacturing PMI to be 50.0, while the Services index is seen coming in at 48.2. This compares with readings of 50.4 and 47.8, respectively, in October.</p><p>The Census Bureau releases the durable-goods report for October. The consensus call is that new orders for durable manufactured goods increased by 0.30%, month over month, on a seasonally adjusted basis, compared with a 0.39% rise in September.</p><p>Thursday 11/24</p><p>U.S. stock exchanges and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.</p><p>Friday 11/25</p><p>It&#39;s Black Friday, one of the busiest shopping days of the year, and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. Holiday spending is expected to be robust, even with the inflation challenges that are facing consumers. The National Retail Federation estimates that holiday retail sales during November and December will grow by 6% to 8% over last year&#39;s, compared with an average 4.9% increase over the past 10 years.</p><p>U.S. stock exchanges have an early closing at 1 p.m., and the bond market will shut down at 2 p.m.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom","DELL":"戴尔","BBY":"百思买","DE":"迪尔股份有限公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2285098074","content_text":"It will be a short week of trading, with markets closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and then closing early on Black Friday as the holiday shopping rush begins.Earnings season is winding down but there will still be some notable reports next week, including Zoom Video Communications and Dell Technologies on Monday; VMware, Best Buy, Dick's Sporting Goods, Nordstrom, and HP Inc. on Tuesday; and Deere on Wednesday.On the economic front, we'll see data on manufacturing, home sales, and durable goods, and the Fed will release minutes from its November policy meeting.Monday 11/21Jacobs Solutions, J.M. Smucker, Agilent Technologies, Urban Outfitters, Zoom Video Communications, and Dell Technologies hold conference calls to discuss quarterly financial results.The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 0.13 reading, up from September's 0.10.Tuesday 11/22VMware, Baidu, Analog Devices, Autodesk, HP Inc., Nordstrom, American Eagle Outfitters, Abercrombie & Fitch, Burlington Stores, Chico's FAS, Best Buy, Dick's Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Jack in the Box, Warner Music Group, Medtronic, and Canadian Solar host earnings conference calls.The Richmond Fed releases its manufacturing index for November. The outlook is for a 1.5 reading after a negative 10 reading in October.Wednesday 11/23The markets will be looking for signals for future interest-rate hikes from the Federal Open Market Committee when it releases the minutes from its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.Deere reports fourth-quarter financial results. Analysts are expecting $7.12 a share in earnings, compared with $4.12 a year ago.The Census Bureau reports new residential sales data for October. Economists forecast that sales of new single-family homes ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 572,500, compared with 603,000 in September.S&P Global releases both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers' indexes for November. Expectations are for the Manufacturing PMI to be 50.0, while the Services index is seen coming in at 48.2. This compares with readings of 50.4 and 47.8, respectively, in October.The Census Bureau releases the durable-goods report for October. The consensus call is that new orders for durable manufactured goods increased by 0.30%, month over month, on a seasonally adjusted basis, compared with a 0.39% rise in September.Thursday 11/24U.S. stock exchanges and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.Friday 11/25It's Black Friday, one of the busiest shopping days of the year, and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. Holiday spending is expected to be robust, even with the inflation challenges that are facing consumers. The National Retail Federation estimates that holiday retail sales during November and December will grow by 6% to 8% over last year's, compared with an average 4.9% increase over the past 10 years.U.S. stock exchanges have an early closing at 1 p.m., and the bond market will shut down at 2 p.m.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960177594,"gmtCreate":1668120796518,"gmtModify":1676538014495,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960177594","repostId":"2282143862","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2282143862","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1668126446,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2282143862?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-11 08:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Ends Sharply Higher on Sign of Cooling Inflation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2282143862","media":"Reuters","summary":"* U.S. consumer prices increase less than expected in Oct* Traders expect 50 bps rate hike in Dec* E","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* U.S. consumer prices increase less than expected in Oct</p><p>* Traders expect 50 bps rate hike in Dec</p><p>* EV maker Rivian gains on strong demand, outlook</p><p>* Indexes end: S&amp;P 500 +5.54%, Nasdaq +7.35%, Dow +3.70%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0f996b5037282c993b6fcc9cb2b0181\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nov 10 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq jumped on Thursday, racking up their biggest daily percentage gains in over 2-1/2 years as a sign of slowing inflation in October sparked speculation the Federal Reserve might become less aggressive with interest rate hikes.</p><p>Stocks in sectors across the board surged as the latest consumer price data cheered investors worried that ongoing interest rate hikes could hobble the U.S. economy.</p><p>One-time Wall Street darlings tarnished in 2022&#39;s bear market were among Thursday&#39;s strongest performers, with Nvidia jumping about 14%, Meta Platforms climbing 10% and Alphabet rising 7.6%.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s data showed the annual CPI number below 8% for the first time in eight months.</p><p>&#34;This is a big deal,&#34; said King Lip, chief strategist at Baker Avenue Asset Management in San Francisco. &#34;We have been calling the peak of inflation for the last couple of months and just have been incredibly frustrated that it hasn’t shown up in the data. For the first time, it has actually shown up in the data.&#34;</p><p>Growing recession worries have hammered Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500 remains down about 17% year to date, and it is on course for its biggest annual decline since 2008.</p><p>The inflation data prompted traders to adjust rate hike bets, with odds of a 50-basis point rate hike in December, rather than a 75-basis point hike, jumping to about 85% from 52% before the data was released, according to the CME FedWatch tool.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan welcomed the most recent inflation data, but warned that the fight with rising priceswas far from over.</p><p>Amazon.com Inc surged more than 12% after the Wall Street Journal reported that the e-commerce heavyweight was reviewing unprofitable business unitsto cut costs.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26cc495baa1612e31596cfe111710352\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P 500&#39;s busiest trades</span></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 climbed 5.54% to end the session at 3,956.31 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq gained 7.35% to 11,114.15 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.70% to 33,715.37 points.</p><p>All 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes rallied, led by information technology, up 8.33%, followed by a 7.74% gain in real estate.</p><p>The Philadelphia semiconductor index surged 10.2%, cutting its loss in 2022 to about 32%.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index (VIX), also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, fell to a near two-month low of about 23 points.</p><p>Some investors urged caution that Thursday&#39;s rally may be overdone.</p><p>&#34;The market is - as it has been a few times this year - very eager to trade a &#39;Fed pivot&#39; ... but we think the market is getting a little ahead of itself based on one print,&#34; said Zach Hill, head of portfolio management at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.</p><p>The PHLX Housing index jumped 10.3% to its highest since August after tumbling this year over concerns about higher mortgage rates denting affordability.</p><p>Rivian Automotive Inc surged 17.4% after the electric-vehicle maker reported a smaller-than-expected loss, higher number of pre-orders and reaffirmed its full-year production outlook.</p><p>The Dow has now recovered about 17% from its closing low on Sept. 30, and it remains down about 9% from its record high close in early January.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 26.9-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 19 new highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 120 new highs and 166 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was heavy, with 14.9 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 11.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Ends Sharply Higher on Sign of Cooling Inflation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Ends Sharply Higher on Sign of Cooling Inflation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-11 08:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* U.S. consumer prices increase less than expected in Oct</p><p>* Traders expect 50 bps rate hike in Dec</p><p>* EV maker Rivian gains on strong demand, outlook</p><p>* Indexes end: S&amp;P 500 +5.54%, Nasdaq +7.35%, Dow +3.70%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0f996b5037282c993b6fcc9cb2b0181\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nov 10 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq jumped on Thursday, racking up their biggest daily percentage gains in over 2-1/2 years as a sign of slowing inflation in October sparked speculation the Federal Reserve might become less aggressive with interest rate hikes.</p><p>Stocks in sectors across the board surged as the latest consumer price data cheered investors worried that ongoing interest rate hikes could hobble the U.S. economy.</p><p>One-time Wall Street darlings tarnished in 2022&#39;s bear market were among Thursday&#39;s strongest performers, with Nvidia jumping about 14%, Meta Platforms climbing 10% and Alphabet rising 7.6%.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s data showed the annual CPI number below 8% for the first time in eight months.</p><p>&#34;This is a big deal,&#34; said King Lip, chief strategist at Baker Avenue Asset Management in San Francisco. &#34;We have been calling the peak of inflation for the last couple of months and just have been incredibly frustrated that it hasn’t shown up in the data. For the first time, it has actually shown up in the data.&#34;</p><p>Growing recession worries have hammered Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500 remains down about 17% year to date, and it is on course for its biggest annual decline since 2008.</p><p>The inflation data prompted traders to adjust rate hike bets, with odds of a 50-basis point rate hike in December, rather than a 75-basis point hike, jumping to about 85% from 52% before the data was released, according to the CME FedWatch tool.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan welcomed the most recent inflation data, but warned that the fight with rising priceswas far from over.</p><p>Amazon.com Inc surged more than 12% after the Wall Street Journal reported that the e-commerce heavyweight was reviewing unprofitable business unitsto cut costs.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26cc495baa1612e31596cfe111710352\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P 500&#39;s busiest trades</span></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 climbed 5.54% to end the session at 3,956.31 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq gained 7.35% to 11,114.15 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.70% to 33,715.37 points.</p><p>All 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes rallied, led by information technology, up 8.33%, followed by a 7.74% gain in real estate.</p><p>The Philadelphia semiconductor index surged 10.2%, cutting its loss in 2022 to about 32%.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index (VIX), also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, fell to a near two-month low of about 23 points.</p><p>Some investors urged caution that Thursday&#39;s rally may be overdone.</p><p>&#34;The market is - as it has been a few times this year - very eager to trade a &#39;Fed pivot&#39; ... but we think the market is getting a little ahead of itself based on one print,&#34; said Zach Hill, head of portfolio management at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.</p><p>The PHLX Housing index jumped 10.3% to its highest since August after tumbling this year over concerns about higher mortgage rates denting affordability.</p><p>Rivian Automotive Inc surged 17.4% after the electric-vehicle maker reported a smaller-than-expected loss, higher number of pre-orders and reaffirmed its full-year production outlook.</p><p>The Dow has now recovered about 17% from its closing low on Sept. 30, and it remains down about 9% from its record high close in early January.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 26.9-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 19 new highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 120 new highs and 166 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was heavy, with 14.9 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 11.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VIX":"标普500波动率指数","TSLA":"特斯拉","AMZN":"亚马逊","NVDA":"英伟达","GOOGL":"谷歌A",".DJI":"道琼斯","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GOOG":"谷歌",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2282143862","content_text":"* U.S. consumer prices increase less than expected in Oct* Traders expect 50 bps rate hike in Dec* EV maker Rivian gains on strong demand, outlook* Indexes end: S&P 500 +5.54%, Nasdaq +7.35%, Dow +3.70%Nov 10 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq jumped on Thursday, racking up their biggest daily percentage gains in over 2-1/2 years as a sign of slowing inflation in October sparked speculation the Federal Reserve might become less aggressive with interest rate hikes.Stocks in sectors across the board surged as the latest consumer price data cheered investors worried that ongoing interest rate hikes could hobble the U.S. economy.One-time Wall Street darlings tarnished in 2022's bear market were among Thursday's strongest performers, with Nvidia jumping about 14%, Meta Platforms climbing 10% and Alphabet rising 7.6%.The Labor Department's data showed the annual CPI number below 8% for the first time in eight months.\"This is a big deal,\" said King Lip, chief strategist at Baker Avenue Asset Management in San Francisco. \"We have been calling the peak of inflation for the last couple of months and just have been incredibly frustrated that it hasn’t shown up in the data. For the first time, it has actually shown up in the data.\"Growing recession worries have hammered Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 remains down about 17% year to date, and it is on course for its biggest annual decline since 2008.The inflation data prompted traders to adjust rate hike bets, with odds of a 50-basis point rate hike in December, rather than a 75-basis point hike, jumping to about 85% from 52% before the data was released, according to the CME FedWatch tool.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan welcomed the most recent inflation data, but warned that the fight with rising priceswas far from over.Amazon.com Inc surged more than 12% after the Wall Street Journal reported that the e-commerce heavyweight was reviewing unprofitable business unitsto cut costs.S&P 500's busiest tradesThe S&P 500 climbed 5.54% to end the session at 3,956.31 points.The Nasdaq gained 7.35% to 11,114.15 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.70% to 33,715.37 points.All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes rallied, led by information technology, up 8.33%, followed by a 7.74% gain in real estate.The Philadelphia semiconductor index surged 10.2%, cutting its loss in 2022 to about 32%.The CBOE volatility index (VIX), also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, fell to a near two-month low of about 23 points.Some investors urged caution that Thursday's rally may be overdone.\"The market is - as it has been a few times this year - very eager to trade a 'Fed pivot' ... but we think the market is getting a little ahead of itself based on one print,\" said Zach Hill, head of portfolio management at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.The PHLX Housing index jumped 10.3% to its highest since August after tumbling this year over concerns about higher mortgage rates denting affordability.Rivian Automotive Inc surged 17.4% after the electric-vehicle maker reported a smaller-than-expected loss, higher number of pre-orders and reaffirmed its full-year production outlook.The Dow has now recovered about 17% from its closing low on Sept. 30, and it remains down about 9% from its record high close in early January.Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&P 500 by a 26.9-to-one ratio.The S&P 500 posted 19 new highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 120 new highs and 166 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was heavy, with 14.9 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 11.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984829490,"gmtCreate":1667606605611,"gmtModify":1676537942745,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984829490","repostId":"2281680644","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2281680644","pubTimestamp":1667603225,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2281680644?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-05 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Rallies to Close Out Soft Week After Jobs Report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2281680644","media":"Reuters","summary":"Data shows strong jobs growth, uptick in jobless rateStarbucks, DoorDash jump on upbeat resultsU.S-listed China firms rise on reopening hopesDow up 1.26%, S&P 500 up 1.36%, Nasdaq up 1.28%U.S. stocks ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Data shows strong jobs growth, uptick in jobless rate</li><li>Starbucks, DoorDash jump on upbeat results</li><li>U.S-listed China firms rise on reopening hopes</li><li>Dow up 1.26%, S&amp;P 500 up 1.36%, Nasdaq up 1.28%</li></ul><p>U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday in volatile trade to snap a four-session losing streak as investors wrestled with a mixed jobs report and comments from Federal Reserve officials on the pace of interest rate hikes.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq each rose as much as 2% in the early stages of trading while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed as much as 1.9% on the heels of the closely watched labor market report, before paring gains and briefly falling into negative territory. The report showed an uptick in the unemployment rate in October, indicating some signs of slack may finally be starting to emerge in the job market and give the Fed room to downsize its rate hikes beginning in December.</p><p>But the data also showed average hourly earnings rose slightly more than expected, as did job growth, pointing to a labor market that largely remains on firm footing.</p><p>Labor market data has been a primary focus for markets as the Fed has repeatedly stated it is looking for some cooling before considering a pause in hikes. Hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday increased worries the central bank could keep boosting interest rates for longer than previously expected and put further pressure on stocks.</p><p>&#34;This was not a report that shows the rate hikes are starting to take hold,&#34; said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago.</p><p>&#34;You could maybe justify some of this move as this selling got a little overdone after what Powell said at the meeting, so maybe you already had the sellers flushed out.&#34;</p><p>On Friday, Fed officials echoed Powell&#39;s comments about potentially decreasing the size of rate hikes in the future, but needing to continue to raise rates for a longer period of time and potentially above the 4.6% level the central bank penciled in at its September meeting.</p><p>Equities got a boost late in the session after Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said it was possible for the Fed to be &#34;thinking&#34; about pausing even if it&#39;s a year from now.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 401.97 points, or 1.26%, to 32,403.22, the S&amp;P 500 gained 50.66 points, or 1.36%, to 3,770.55 and the Nasdaq Composite added 132.31 points, or 1.28%, to 10,475.25.</p><p>For the week, the Dow fell 1.39% to snap a four-week winning streak, the S&amp;P dropped 3.34% and the Nasdaq slid 5.65% for its biggest weekly percentage decline since January.</p><p>The non-farm payrolls report comes after a conflicting set of data this week that pointed to a slowdown in certain parts of the economy but also underscored the resilience of the U.S. labor market despite aggressive rate hikes to tame inflation.</p><p>Traders&#39; expectations of a 75 basis point rate hike in December had briefly jumped after the jobs report but were now pricing in about a 62% chance of a 50 basis point hike, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch Tool.</p><p>Market focus will now turn to a key consumer inflation reading due next week as well as the U.S. midterm elections on Nov. 8, where control of Congress is at stake.</p><p>Meanwhile, hopes of an easing in China&#39;s tough COVID-19 curbs supported some areas of the market, with U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies including Alibaba, which finished up 7.05% and JD.com, up 9.74%.</p><p>Those hopes also helped boost prices of commodities such as copper, which in turn lifted the materials sector 3.41% as the best performing of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors.</p><p>Starbucks Corp jumped 8.48% after it topped Wall Street estimates for quarterly comparable sales and profit, while DoorDash Inc&#39;s revenue beat boosted the food delivery firm&#39;s shares by 8.32%.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.31 billion shares, compared with the 11.74 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.56-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.41-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and 27 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 81 new highs and 278 new lows.</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Rallies to Close Out Soft Week After Jobs Report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Rallies to Close Out Soft Week After Jobs Report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-05 07:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-st-rallies-202354523.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Data shows strong jobs growth, uptick in jobless rateStarbucks, DoorDash jump on upbeat resultsU.S-listed China firms rise on reopening hopesDow up 1.26%, S&P 500 up 1.36%, Nasdaq up 1.28%U.S. stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-st-rallies-202354523.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-st-rallies-202354523.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2281680644","content_text":"Data shows strong jobs growth, uptick in jobless rateStarbucks, DoorDash jump on upbeat resultsU.S-listed China firms rise on reopening hopesDow up 1.26%, S&P 500 up 1.36%, Nasdaq up 1.28%U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday in volatile trade to snap a four-session losing streak as investors wrestled with a mixed jobs report and comments from Federal Reserve officials on the pace of interest rate hikes.The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq each rose as much as 2% in the early stages of trading while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed as much as 1.9% on the heels of the closely watched labor market report, before paring gains and briefly falling into negative territory. The report showed an uptick in the unemployment rate in October, indicating some signs of slack may finally be starting to emerge in the job market and give the Fed room to downsize its rate hikes beginning in December.But the data also showed average hourly earnings rose slightly more than expected, as did job growth, pointing to a labor market that largely remains on firm footing.Labor market data has been a primary focus for markets as the Fed has repeatedly stated it is looking for some cooling before considering a pause in hikes. Hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday increased worries the central bank could keep boosting interest rates for longer than previously expected and put further pressure on stocks.\"This was not a report that shows the rate hikes are starting to take hold,\" said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago.\"You could maybe justify some of this move as this selling got a little overdone after what Powell said at the meeting, so maybe you already had the sellers flushed out.\"On Friday, Fed officials echoed Powell's comments about potentially decreasing the size of rate hikes in the future, but needing to continue to raise rates for a longer period of time and potentially above the 4.6% level the central bank penciled in at its September meeting.Equities got a boost late in the session after Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said it was possible for the Fed to be \"thinking\" about pausing even if it's a year from now.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 401.97 points, or 1.26%, to 32,403.22, the S&P 500 gained 50.66 points, or 1.36%, to 3,770.55 and the Nasdaq Composite added 132.31 points, or 1.28%, to 10,475.25.For the week, the Dow fell 1.39% to snap a four-week winning streak, the S&P dropped 3.34% and the Nasdaq slid 5.65% for its biggest weekly percentage decline since January.The non-farm payrolls report comes after a conflicting set of data this week that pointed to a slowdown in certain parts of the economy but also underscored the resilience of the U.S. labor market despite aggressive rate hikes to tame inflation.Traders' expectations of a 75 basis point rate hike in December had briefly jumped after the jobs report but were now pricing in about a 62% chance of a 50 basis point hike, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.Market focus will now turn to a key consumer inflation reading due next week as well as the U.S. midterm elections on Nov. 8, where control of Congress is at stake.Meanwhile, hopes of an easing in China's tough COVID-19 curbs supported some areas of the market, with U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies including Alibaba, which finished up 7.05% and JD.com, up 9.74%.Those hopes also helped boost prices of commodities such as copper, which in turn lifted the materials sector 3.41% as the best performing of the 11 major S&P sectors.Starbucks Corp jumped 8.48% after it topped Wall Street estimates for quarterly comparable sales and profit, while DoorDash Inc's revenue beat boosted the food delivery firm's shares by 8.32%.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.31 billion shares, compared with the 11.74 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.56-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.41-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and 27 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 81 new highs and 278 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982309063,"gmtCreate":1667092552752,"gmtModify":1676537858855,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982309063","repostId":"1185135413","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185135413","pubTimestamp":1667092198,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185135413?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-30 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Musk, Trump, Zuckerberg: Twitter Buy Signals New Stage in the Social Media Wars","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185135413","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Billionaire Elon Musk'scompletion of his $44 billion purchase of Twitterlikely has ramifications for","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Billionaire Elon Musk&#39;scompletion of his $44 billion purchase of Twitterlikely has ramifications for others in the social media world, most notably former President Donald Trump&#39;s platform Truth Social.</p><p>With Musk now in charge of the social media juggernaut, investors are wondering if/when he will allow Trump back on Twitter. Investors have feared since the Tesla chief announced he would buy Twitter that he would allow Trump back after he was banned last year. That concern is partly responsible for the 82% plunge in SPAC Digital World Acquisition (NASDAQ:DWAC), which is taking Trumps&#39; social media company public, since it highs in early March.</p><p>Investors worry that Trump may want to give up his 4.37 million subscribers on Truth Social to go back to his 80 million Twitter followers.</p><p>Digital World (DWAC) initially fell in trading on Friday after Musk officially took control of Twitter, though the shares finished up 3.8% at least partly after Trump said he would remain on Truth Social.</p><p>&#34;I am staying on Truth,&#34; Trump told Fox News Digital on Friday. &#34;I like it better, I like the way it works, I like Elon, but I’m staying on Truth.&#34;</p><p>Trump declined to say if we would ever go back on Twitter, though the added that &#34;I don’t think Twitter can be successful without me.&#34;</p><p>Video platform Rumble (NASDAQ:RUM), which is viewed as a conservative alternative to Google&#39;s (GOOGL) YouTube, may also benefit from a Twitter run by Musk. Rumble&#39;s shares surged over 60% this week.</p><p>Rumble, run by CEO Chris Pavlovski, has gained much attention this year as alternative YouTube platform and after it announced a deal with formerTrump&#39;s s social media company and his platform Truth Social.</p><p>Even Musk seems to be interested in Rumble (RUM) after a tweet late last month to Pavlovski where he said&#34;Maybe worth talking at some point.&#34;</p><p>The move in Rumble (RUM) also comes after Google (GOOGL) said on Tuesday in its Q3 earnings that YouTube ad revenue fell by 2% to $7.1B, or about $400M shy of analysts&#39; forecasts. Google also disclosed that some advertisers incresed their pullback on ad spending in the third quarter. Some investors may see Google&#39;s YouTube miss as a potential gain for Rumble.</p><p>It&#39;s unclear what Musk&#39;s takeover of Twitter means for Meta Platforms (META), through the Mark Zuckerberg-led company has its own issues to deal with as the stock has dropped over 70% this year, including a 25% plunge on Thursday after reporting a grim quarterly report and outlook. Meta likely has more to worry about from competition from TikTok than Twitter.</p><p>&#34;We believe Meta is undergoing a business transformation in a challenging macro, privacy, and competitive environment, &#34;Keybanc analyst Justin Patterson wrote in a note when he downgraded the stock to sector weight this week. &#34;While we are encouraged by progress with short-form video, we believe data center and R&amp;D investments are likely to lead to higher operating costs over the medium term, and thus prevent Meta from returning to 2019 margins.&#34;</p><p>Some investors are still skeptical that a Musk-let Twitter will be any better than the social media platform is today.</p><p>Twittter&#39;s &#34;best days are behind it,&#34; Lo Toney, founder of venture capital firm Plexo Capital, said in an interview on CNBC on Friday. &#34;I think it&#39;s going to be too difficult for brands to be comfortable in the environment that Elon I know wants to have.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Musk, Trump, Zuckerberg: Twitter Buy Signals New Stage in the Social Media Wars</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMusk, Trump, Zuckerberg: Twitter Buy Signals New Stage in the Social Media Wars\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-30 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3897464-musk-trump-zuckerberg-twitter-buy-signals-new-stage-in-the-social-media-wars><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Billionaire Elon Musk'scompletion of his $44 billion purchase of Twitterlikely has ramifications for others in the social media world, most notably former President Donald Trump's platform Truth ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3897464-musk-trump-zuckerberg-twitter-buy-signals-new-stage-in-the-social-media-wars\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","TWTR":"Twitter","RUM":"Rumble Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3897464-musk-trump-zuckerberg-twitter-buy-signals-new-stage-in-the-social-media-wars","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185135413","content_text":"Billionaire Elon Musk'scompletion of his $44 billion purchase of Twitterlikely has ramifications for others in the social media world, most notably former President Donald Trump's platform Truth Social.With Musk now in charge of the social media juggernaut, investors are wondering if/when he will allow Trump back on Twitter. Investors have feared since the Tesla chief announced he would buy Twitter that he would allow Trump back after he was banned last year. That concern is partly responsible for the 82% plunge in SPAC Digital World Acquisition (NASDAQ:DWAC), which is taking Trumps' social media company public, since it highs in early March.Investors worry that Trump may want to give up his 4.37 million subscribers on Truth Social to go back to his 80 million Twitter followers.Digital World (DWAC) initially fell in trading on Friday after Musk officially took control of Twitter, though the shares finished up 3.8% at least partly after Trump said he would remain on Truth Social.\"I am staying on Truth,\" Trump told Fox News Digital on Friday. \"I like it better, I like the way it works, I like Elon, but I’m staying on Truth.\"Trump declined to say if we would ever go back on Twitter, though the added that \"I don’t think Twitter can be successful without me.\"Video platform Rumble (NASDAQ:RUM), which is viewed as a conservative alternative to Google's (GOOGL) YouTube, may also benefit from a Twitter run by Musk. Rumble's shares surged over 60% this week.Rumble, run by CEO Chris Pavlovski, has gained much attention this year as alternative YouTube platform and after it announced a deal with formerTrump's s social media company and his platform Truth Social.Even Musk seems to be interested in Rumble (RUM) after a tweet late last month to Pavlovski where he said\"Maybe worth talking at some point.\"The move in Rumble (RUM) also comes after Google (GOOGL) said on Tuesday in its Q3 earnings that YouTube ad revenue fell by 2% to $7.1B, or about $400M shy of analysts' forecasts. Google also disclosed that some advertisers incresed their pullback on ad spending in the third quarter. Some investors may see Google's YouTube miss as a potential gain for Rumble.It's unclear what Musk's takeover of Twitter means for Meta Platforms (META), through the Mark Zuckerberg-led company has its own issues to deal with as the stock has dropped over 70% this year, including a 25% plunge on Thursday after reporting a grim quarterly report and outlook. Meta likely has more to worry about from competition from TikTok than Twitter.\"We believe Meta is undergoing a business transformation in a challenging macro, privacy, and competitive environment, \"Keybanc analyst Justin Patterson wrote in a note when he downgraded the stock to sector weight this week. \"While we are encouraged by progress with short-form video, we believe data center and R&D investments are likely to lead to higher operating costs over the medium term, and thus prevent Meta from returning to 2019 margins.\"Some investors are still skeptical that a Musk-let Twitter will be any better than the social media platform is today.Twittter's \"best days are behind it,\" Lo Toney, founder of venture capital firm Plexo Capital, said in an interview on CNBC on Friday. \"I think it's going to be too difficult for brands to be comfortable in the environment that Elon I know wants to have.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983862684,"gmtCreate":1666219840648,"gmtModify":1676537722940,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983862684","repostId":"2276387454","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2276387454","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1666211686,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2276387454?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-20 04:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Equities Close Lower As Rise in Yields Overshadows Earnings","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2276387454","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks snapped a two-day streak of gains on Wednesday as weakness in shares of Abbott Laboratories and a rise in Treasury yields sapped momentum from the current earnings season and o","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks snapped a two-day streak of gains on Wednesday as weakness in shares of Abbott Laboratories and a rise in Treasury yields sapped momentum from the current earnings season and outweighed a surge in Netflix Inc shares.</p><p>The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note touched its highest level in more than 14 years as soft housing data did little to alter expectations the Federal Reserve will remain aggressive in hiking interest rates as it attempts to wrestle down stubbornly high inflation.</p><p>The rise in yields weighed on rate-sensitive names like real estate stocks, down 2.56% as the worst-performing S&amp;P sector on the day, and megacap growth names such as Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com Inc. Energy was the sole S&amp;P sector to end the session in positive territory with a gain of 2.94%.</p><p>Abbott Laboratories tumbled 6.5% after reporting lower-than-expected growth in international medical device sales, hit by a strong dollar and supply challenges in China.</p><p>Netflix shares, however, jumped 13.1% as the best perfomer operformerP 500 after it attracted 2.4 million new subscribers worldwide in the third quarter, more than double the consensus forecast, and guided for 4.5 million additions by year-end.</p><p>&#34;The bonds are just weighing so heavily on it ... it’s a shame to see good earnings be wasted,&#34; said JJ Kinahan, CEO of IG North America in Chicago.</p><p>&#34;Ultimately earnings drives stocks but when they are being overshadowed it is tough to have that optimism, but ultimately good earnings will lead to stocks going higher, it is a matter of how much the macroeconomic picture is going to continue to hurt those earnings.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 99.99 points, or 0.33%, to 30,423.81, the S&amp;P 500 lost 24.82 points, or 0.67%, to 3,695.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 91.89 points, or 0.85%, to 10,680.51.</p><p>Fed officials have largely been in sync in their public comments about the need to be aggressive in raising rates to tackle inflation. On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said job market demand remains strong and underlying inflation pressures probably have not peaked yet.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s &#34;Beige Book&#34; survey of economic activity showed firms noted price pressures remained elevated, although there was some easing in several districts, while the labor market showed some signs of cooling.</p><p>The U.S. central bank is widely expected to raise rates by 75 basis points for the fourth straight time at its November meeting.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s effect on the housing market continues to grow. Housing starts, a measure of new residential construction, dropped 8.1% in September in the latest sign of the economy losing steam.</p><p>The PHLX Housing Index stumbled -4.50%, marking another sector unlikely to help stocks reverse months of declines, with the three main U.S. indexes still mired in bear markets.</p><p>Dow components Procter &amp; Gamble Co gained 0.93% and Travelers Companies Inc rose 4.44% after the companies posted better-than expected quarterly profit.</p><p>Third-quarter profit growth expectations for S&amp;P 500 companies have edged up to 3% from 2.8% on Tuesday, according to Refinitiv data, still well below the 11.1% increase forecast at the start of July.</p><p>Tesla Inc advanced 0.84% ahead of its earnings after the bell, with focus on any weakness in demand that is starting to weigh on the auto industry. Shares dropped 3.94% following the close as the electric vehicle maker missed revenue estimates for the third quarter.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.05 billion shares, compared with the 11.62 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.28-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.69-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 9 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 42 new highs and 232 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Equities Close Lower As Rise in Yields Overshadows Earnings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Equities Close Lower As Rise in Yields Overshadows Earnings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-20 04:34</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks snapped a two-day streak of gains on Wednesday as weakness in shares of Abbott Laboratories and a rise in Treasury yields sapped momentum from the current earnings season and outweighed a surge in Netflix Inc shares.</p><p>The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note touched its highest level in more than 14 years as soft housing data did little to alter expectations the Federal Reserve will remain aggressive in hiking interest rates as it attempts to wrestle down stubbornly high inflation.</p><p>The rise in yields weighed on rate-sensitive names like real estate stocks, down 2.56% as the worst-performing S&amp;P sector on the day, and megacap growth names such as Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com Inc. Energy was the sole S&amp;P sector to end the session in positive territory with a gain of 2.94%.</p><p>Abbott Laboratories tumbled 6.5% after reporting lower-than-expected growth in international medical device sales, hit by a strong dollar and supply challenges in China.</p><p>Netflix shares, however, jumped 13.1% as the best perfomer operformerP 500 after it attracted 2.4 million new subscribers worldwide in the third quarter, more than double the consensus forecast, and guided for 4.5 million additions by year-end.</p><p>&#34;The bonds are just weighing so heavily on it ... it’s a shame to see good earnings be wasted,&#34; said JJ Kinahan, CEO of IG North America in Chicago.</p><p>&#34;Ultimately earnings drives stocks but when they are being overshadowed it is tough to have that optimism, but ultimately good earnings will lead to stocks going higher, it is a matter of how much the macroeconomic picture is going to continue to hurt those earnings.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 99.99 points, or 0.33%, to 30,423.81, the S&amp;P 500 lost 24.82 points, or 0.67%, to 3,695.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 91.89 points, or 0.85%, to 10,680.51.</p><p>Fed officials have largely been in sync in their public comments about the need to be aggressive in raising rates to tackle inflation. On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said job market demand remains strong and underlying inflation pressures probably have not peaked yet.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s &#34;Beige Book&#34; survey of economic activity showed firms noted price pressures remained elevated, although there was some easing in several districts, while the labor market showed some signs of cooling.</p><p>The U.S. central bank is widely expected to raise rates by 75 basis points for the fourth straight time at its November meeting.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s effect on the housing market continues to grow. Housing starts, a measure of new residential construction, dropped 8.1% in September in the latest sign of the economy losing steam.</p><p>The PHLX Housing Index stumbled -4.50%, marking another sector unlikely to help stocks reverse months of declines, with the three main U.S. indexes still mired in bear markets.</p><p>Dow components Procter &amp; Gamble Co gained 0.93% and Travelers Companies Inc rose 4.44% after the companies posted better-than expected quarterly profit.</p><p>Third-quarter profit growth expectations for S&amp;P 500 companies have edged up to 3% from 2.8% on Tuesday, according to Refinitiv data, still well below the 11.1% increase forecast at the start of July.</p><p>Tesla Inc advanced 0.84% ahead of its earnings after the bell, with focus on any weakness in demand that is starting to weigh on the auto industry. Shares dropped 3.94% following the close as the electric vehicle maker missed revenue estimates for the third quarter.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.05 billion shares, compared with the 11.62 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.28-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.69-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 9 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 42 new highs and 232 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2276387454","content_text":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks snapped a two-day streak of gains on Wednesday as weakness in shares of Abbott Laboratories and a rise in Treasury yields sapped momentum from the current earnings season and outweighed a surge in Netflix Inc shares.The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note touched its highest level in more than 14 years as soft housing data did little to alter expectations the Federal Reserve will remain aggressive in hiking interest rates as it attempts to wrestle down stubbornly high inflation.The rise in yields weighed on rate-sensitive names like real estate stocks, down 2.56% as the worst-performing S&P sector on the day, and megacap growth names such as Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com Inc. Energy was the sole S&P sector to end the session in positive territory with a gain of 2.94%.Abbott Laboratories tumbled 6.5% after reporting lower-than-expected growth in international medical device sales, hit by a strong dollar and supply challenges in China.Netflix shares, however, jumped 13.1% as the best perfomer operformerP 500 after it attracted 2.4 million new subscribers worldwide in the third quarter, more than double the consensus forecast, and guided for 4.5 million additions by year-end.\"The bonds are just weighing so heavily on it ... it’s a shame to see good earnings be wasted,\" said JJ Kinahan, CEO of IG North America in Chicago.\"Ultimately earnings drives stocks but when they are being overshadowed it is tough to have that optimism, but ultimately good earnings will lead to stocks going higher, it is a matter of how much the macroeconomic picture is going to continue to hurt those earnings.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 99.99 points, or 0.33%, to 30,423.81, the S&P 500 lost 24.82 points, or 0.67%, to 3,695.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 91.89 points, or 0.85%, to 10,680.51.Fed officials have largely been in sync in their public comments about the need to be aggressive in raising rates to tackle inflation. On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said job market demand remains strong and underlying inflation pressures probably have not peaked yet.The Fed's \"Beige Book\" survey of economic activity showed firms noted price pressures remained elevated, although there was some easing in several districts, while the labor market showed some signs of cooling.The U.S. central bank is widely expected to raise rates by 75 basis points for the fourth straight time at its November meeting.The Fed's effect on the housing market continues to grow. Housing starts, a measure of new residential construction, dropped 8.1% in September in the latest sign of the economy losing steam.The PHLX Housing Index stumbled -4.50%, marking another sector unlikely to help stocks reverse months of declines, with the three main U.S. indexes still mired in bear markets.Dow components Procter & Gamble Co gained 0.93% and Travelers Companies Inc rose 4.44% after the companies posted better-than expected quarterly profit.Third-quarter profit growth expectations for S&P 500 companies have edged up to 3% from 2.8% on Tuesday, according to Refinitiv data, still well below the 11.1% increase forecast at the start of July.Tesla Inc advanced 0.84% ahead of its earnings after the bell, with focus on any weakness in demand that is starting to weigh on the auto industry. Shares dropped 3.94% following the close as the electric vehicle maker missed revenue estimates for the third quarter.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.05 billion shares, compared with the 11.62 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.28-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.69-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 9 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 42 new highs and 232 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983047175,"gmtCreate":1666133458798,"gmtModify":1676537709438,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983047175","repostId":"1193778940","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193778940","pubTimestamp":1666105695,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193778940?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-18 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wake Up: The Bear Market Rally Just Started","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193778940","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 dropped by a whopping 20% from its mid-August top two months ago.However, now tha","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 dropped by a whopping 20% from its mid-August top two months ago.</li><li>However, now that stock prices are much lower and the November Fed move is priced in, stocks may have another significant countertrend rally in the coming weeks.</li><li>Moreover, big banks are coming out with better-than-expected earnings results, providing another constructive catalyst for stocks to move higher in the near term.</li><li>I&#39;ve made some instrumental portfolio adjustments around the recent lows and plan to continue beating the market in the coming weeks, quarters, and years.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3422b1fb50299630a4442d3236e42d\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>We&#39;ve seen some exciting price action in recent weeks. The S&amp;P 500/SPX (SP500) dropped by approximately 20% from its mid-August high to its current bottom at 3,500. I called the August top in the &#34;Near-TermTop&#34; article and a series of other bearish articles I published around that time. I&#39;m not saying that the bear market is over or stocks are heading to the moon from here. However, now that the market is significantly lower, we could see another powerful countertrend rally ahead. The upcoming Fed rate hike is likely priced in, and we see earnings coming in better than expected. If the constructive earnings theme continues, we could see stocks rebound substantially in the coming weeks.</p><h2>Finally, A Technical Setup We Can Work With</h2><p><b>SPX 1-Year Chart</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd9c457964a5ba46f6eba27977384030\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>SPX(StockCharts.com)</p><p>The SPX bear market decline has been about 27% from peak to trough. However, the SPX dropped by a whopping 20% since mid August. That&#39;s just two months. The SPX and stocks, in general, got severely oversold. We saw the RSI drop below 30, and the CCI dipped below 200, indicating extremely oversold market conditions. Perhaps most importantly, we witnessed a significant panic-driven reversal last Thursday. The market opened significantly lower with capitulation-style selling, but after the relentless selling, the buyers came in, reversing the market by nearly 200 points. We probably witnessed seller exhaustion, and around 3,500 many market participants did not want to sell anymore. Then the algos and the bulls took over, driving stocks to close at session highs. In short, we may have put in another near-term bottom, and we could see the SPX rally to the 3,800-4,000 resistance point from here and possibly higher after that.</p><h2>It&#39;s All About the Fed and Earnings Right Now</h2><p>While the near-term technical image has improved substantially, it&#39;s still all about the Fed and earnings going into November. Despite the higher-than-anticipated CPI reading and the better-than-expected employment report, the Fed will probably still hike interest rates by 75 basis points at the next meeting.</p><p><b>Rate Probabilities</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33d3ae809e7a404a37b9739b9c0063bc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"496\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Rate probabilities(CMEGroup.com)</p><p>There&#39;s now about a 95% probability that the Fed will raise the benchmark to 3.75-4% (75 basis points) at the next FOMC meeting in roughly 16 days. While 95% is higher than the 50%-70% expectations we had in recent weeks, it was still likely that the Fed would make another 75 basis point move. Therefore, the market has been preparing for the rate hike in recent weeks, has dropped significantly, and the upcoming rate increase should be fully priced in by now. Moreover, once the Fed raises by 75 basis points at the next meeting, it will probably only move by 25-50 basis points at the December FOMC event, suggesting that we may get a significant relief rally after the Fed&#39;s decision on Nov. 2.</p><h2>Positive Earnings Are a Catalyst for Higher Stock Prices</h2><p>It&#39;s primarily about making or beating your earnings estimates at the end of the day. Forward guidance is an essential element, but I have not heard too much negative news from the recent bellwether names kicking off earnings season. On the contrary, we see banks and other significant corporations reporting better numbers than the street expected, and that&#39;s bullish for stocks.</p><p><b>Here&#39;s What We&#39;ve Seen So Far</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd833be84335bd2b277665f4bcea5fc5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"573\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Earnings(Investing.com)</p><p>While it&#39;s not much, we see much better than expected results from big companies. I want to draw your attention to the big banks as they typically set the tone for the entire earnings season. Look at JPMorgan (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC), and other smash earnings. This phenomenon implies that despite massive drops in stocks, the U.S. economy remains remarkably resilient, and we should see more upside for stocks in the weeks ahead. Moreover, it&#39;s not just the banks. Other companies are reporting better-than-expected earnings figures, and this trend should transition in the weeks ahead. Robust earnings from big tech companies and other bellwether names should fuel the recent rally further, leading to higher stock prices in the near term.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wake Up: The Bear Market Rally Just Started</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWake Up: The Bear Market Rally Just Started\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-18 23:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546969-bear-market-rally-just-started><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 dropped by a whopping 20% from its mid-August top two months ago.However, now that stock prices are much lower and the November Fed move is priced in, stocks may have another ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546969-bear-market-rally-just-started\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546969-bear-market-rally-just-started","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1193778940","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 dropped by a whopping 20% from its mid-August top two months ago.However, now that stock prices are much lower and the November Fed move is priced in, stocks may have another significant countertrend rally in the coming weeks.Moreover, big banks are coming out with better-than-expected earnings results, providing another constructive catalyst for stocks to move higher in the near term.I've made some instrumental portfolio adjustments around the recent lows and plan to continue beating the market in the coming weeks, quarters, and years.We've seen some exciting price action in recent weeks. The S&P 500/SPX (SP500) dropped by approximately 20% from its mid-August high to its current bottom at 3,500. I called the August top in the \"Near-TermTop\" article and a series of other bearish articles I published around that time. I'm not saying that the bear market is over or stocks are heading to the moon from here. However, now that the market is significantly lower, we could see another powerful countertrend rally ahead. The upcoming Fed rate hike is likely priced in, and we see earnings coming in better than expected. If the constructive earnings theme continues, we could see stocks rebound substantially in the coming weeks.Finally, A Technical Setup We Can Work WithSPX 1-Year ChartSPX(StockCharts.com)The SPX bear market decline has been about 27% from peak to trough. However, the SPX dropped by a whopping 20% since mid August. That's just two months. The SPX and stocks, in general, got severely oversold. We saw the RSI drop below 30, and the CCI dipped below 200, indicating extremely oversold market conditions. Perhaps most importantly, we witnessed a significant panic-driven reversal last Thursday. The market opened significantly lower with capitulation-style selling, but after the relentless selling, the buyers came in, reversing the market by nearly 200 points. We probably witnessed seller exhaustion, and around 3,500 many market participants did not want to sell anymore. Then the algos and the bulls took over, driving stocks to close at session highs. In short, we may have put in another near-term bottom, and we could see the SPX rally to the 3,800-4,000 resistance point from here and possibly higher after that.It's All About the Fed and Earnings Right NowWhile the near-term technical image has improved substantially, it's still all about the Fed and earnings going into November. Despite the higher-than-anticipated CPI reading and the better-than-expected employment report, the Fed will probably still hike interest rates by 75 basis points at the next meeting.Rate ProbabilitiesRate probabilities(CMEGroup.com)There's now about a 95% probability that the Fed will raise the benchmark to 3.75-4% (75 basis points) at the next FOMC meeting in roughly 16 days. While 95% is higher than the 50%-70% expectations we had in recent weeks, it was still likely that the Fed would make another 75 basis point move. Therefore, the market has been preparing for the rate hike in recent weeks, has dropped significantly, and the upcoming rate increase should be fully priced in by now. Moreover, once the Fed raises by 75 basis points at the next meeting, it will probably only move by 25-50 basis points at the December FOMC event, suggesting that we may get a significant relief rally after the Fed's decision on Nov. 2.Positive Earnings Are a Catalyst for Higher Stock PricesIt's primarily about making or beating your earnings estimates at the end of the day. Forward guidance is an essential element, but I have not heard too much negative news from the recent bellwether names kicking off earnings season. On the contrary, we see banks and other significant corporations reporting better numbers than the street expected, and that's bullish for stocks.Here's What We've Seen So FarEarnings(Investing.com)While it's not much, we see much better than expected results from big companies. I want to draw your attention to the big banks as they typically set the tone for the entire earnings season. Look at JPMorgan (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC), and other smash earnings. This phenomenon implies that despite massive drops in stocks, the U.S. economy remains remarkably resilient, and we should see more upside for stocks in the weeks ahead. Moreover, it's not just the banks. Other companies are reporting better-than-expected earnings figures, and this trend should transition in the weeks ahead. Robust earnings from big tech companies and other bellwether names should fuel the recent rally further, leading to higher stock prices in the near term.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127374122,"gmtCreate":1624837984466,"gmtModify":1703845705610,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"like and comment&nbsp;","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127374122","repostId":"2146007118","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146007118","pubTimestamp":1624826996,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2146007118?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 04:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"June jobs report, Consumer confidence: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146007118","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"This week's packed slate of economic data reports will include an update on the labor market and new data on consumer confidence, offering fresh looks at the pace and perception of the COVID-19 recovery for many Americans.On Friday, the Labor Department will release its June jobs report. The print is expected to show an acceleration in rehiring and a step lower in the unemployment rate, helping alleviate some of the labor shortages reported across the economy as of late.However, a confluence of ","content":"<p>This week's packed slate of economic data reports will include an update on the labor market and new data on consumer confidence, offering fresh looks at the pace and perception of the COVID-19 recovery for many Americans.</p>\n<p>On Friday, the Labor Department will release its June jobs report. The print is expected to show an acceleration in rehiring and a step lower in the unemployment rate, helping alleviate some of the labor shortages reported across the economy as of late.</p>\n<p>Non-farm payrolls likely grew by 700,000 in June, according to Bloomberg consensus data. This would accelerate from the 559,000 added back in May and mark the biggest rise since March. And the unemployment rate is expected to move down to 5.6% from 5.8% in May, bringing the jobless rate closer to its pre-pandemic, 50-year low of 3.5%.</p>\n<p>\"Payrolls probably surged again in June, with the pace up from the +559,000 in May,\" TD Securities strategists wrote in a note Friday. \"Some acceleration in the private sector is suggested by the Homebase data, while government payrolls probably benefited from fewer than usual end-of-school-year layoffs.\"</p>\n<p>Even with a sizable monthly payroll gain, the economy would still be well off its pre-pandemic levels of employment. Heading into June, the U.S. economy was still down by more than 7 million payrolls compared to February 2020, with the deficit most pronounced in high-contact services industries like restaurants and hotels.</p>\n<p>But both services and manufacturing companies have cited shortages of qualified workers to fill open positions, which hit a record high of over 9 million as of latest data. These supply-and-demand mismatches in the labor market – with shortages noted by firms from FedEx (FDX) to Yum Brands (YUM) — have also begun to push wages higher and created additional costs for businesses. In Friday's report, average hourly earnings are expected to jump 3.6% year-on-year for June, accelerating from May's 2% increase.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b881fe96eccc72cff61bf35b0dfa72fa\" tg-width=\"5210\" tg-height=\"3404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - JUNE 03: A pedestrian walks by a Now Hiring sign outside of a Lamps Plus store on June 03, 2021 in San Francisco, California. According to a U.S. Labor Department report, jobless claims fell for a fifth straight week to 385,000. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)Justin Sullivan via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>\"Strong demand and weak supply should continue to put upward pressure on wages,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note. \"Workers are quitting at a higher rate as they find better opportunities.\"</p>\n<p>However, a confluence of factors that have kept workers on the sidelines of the labor market may start to lessen in the coming months, some economists noted. Many have agreed that a combination of childcare concerns, fears of contracting COVID-19 and ongoing enhanced federal unemployment benefits have contributed to the still-elevated levels of joblessness, but that each of these should diminish as schools reopen, vaccinations continue and jobless benefits get phased out over the next several months.</p>\n<p>\"Labor supply may soon pick up,\" Meyer said. \"We find evidence of a quicker drop in unemployment insurance (UI) applications in states that discontinued generous federal UI benefits.\"</p>\n<p>\"Four states — Alaska, Iowa, Mississippi and Missouri — opted out in June 12 and UI applications in those states have fallen faster compared to other states, according to the latest initial jobless claims figures,\" she added. \"With another eight states opting out in the week ending June 19 and a total of 25 states by end of the summer, more workers should return to the workforce, helping to ease wage pressures and help meet the strong labor demand in the economy.\"</p>\n<h2>Consumer confidence</h2>\n<h2></h2>\n<p>Another closely watched economic data print this week will be the Conference Board's June consumer confidence index, which is expected to reflect a strong pick-up in sentiment during the recovery and heading into the summer. The report is due for release Tuesday morning.</p>\n<p>The headline index is likely to rise to 119.0 for June from 117.2 in May, according to Bloomberg consensus data. This would mark the highest level since February 2020's 132.6, which itself had been a near two-decade high.</p>\n<p>Like investors, consumers have begun to warm to the notion that inflationary pressures seen during the early stages of the economic recovery may prove transitory. This has helped raise consumers' future expectations for their spending power and boosted sentiment at large, according to other consumer sentiment surveys including the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers.</p>\n<p>Not only did year-ahead inflation expectations fall slightly to 4.2% in June from May's decade peak of 4.6%, consumers also believed that the price surges will mostly be temporary,\" Richard Curtin, chief economist for the Surveys of Consumers, said on Friday.</p>\n<p>\"When the pandemic first started, consumers were quite uncertain about their job and income prospects, but reported widespread declines in market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables,\" he added. \"Those favorable price references have dropped to the most negative in a decade, and job and income prospects have improved, but not quite as favorable as in the last few years of the prior expansion.\"</p>\n<p>Still, in a sign of some downside risk in Tuesday's report from the Conference Board, the University of Michigan's June final sentiment index edged lower to 85.5, coming in below the 86.4 preliminary print, but still above May's reading of 82.9.</p>\n<h2>Economic Calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, June (32.5 expected, 34.9 in May)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>FHFA House Price Index, month-on-month, April (1.7% expected, 1.4% in March); S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> Case-Shiller 20-City Composite index, month-over-month, April (1.80% expected, 1.60% in March); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite index, year-over-year, April (13.27% in March); Conference Board Consumer Confidence, June (119.0 expected, 117.2 in May)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended June 25 (2.1% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, June (575,000 expected, 978,000 in May); MNI Chicago PMI, June (70.0 expected, 75.2 in May); Pending home sales, month-over-month, May (-1.0% expected, -4.4% in April);</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, June (-93.8% in May); Initial jobless claims, week ended June 26 (380,000 expected, 411,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended June 19 (3.39 million during prior week); <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> US Manufacturing PMI, June final (62.6 in prior print); Construction Spending month-over-month, May (0.5% expected 0.2% in April); ISM Manufacturing, June (61.0 expected, 61.2 in May)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Change in non-farm payrolls, June (700,000 expected, 559,000 in May); Unemployment rate, June (5.6% expected, 5.8% in May); Average hourly earnings year-over-year, June (3.6% expected, 2.0% in May); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, June (0.4% expected, 0.5% in May); Trade balance, May (-$71.0 billion expected, -$68.9 billion in April); Factory orders, May (1.5% expected, -0.6% in April); Durable goods orders, May final (2.3% in prior print); Durable goods orders excluding transportation, May final (2.3% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, May final (-0.1% in April); Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, May final (0.9% in prior print)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings Calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday:</b> N/A</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>N/A</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>Constellation Brands (STZ), Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY), General Mills (GIS) before market open; Micron Technologies (MU) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> (WBA) before market open</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday:</b> N/A</p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>June jobs report, Consumer confidence: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJune jobs report, Consumer confidence: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-28 04:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/june-jobs-report-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-204956329.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>This week's packed slate of economic data reports will include an update on the labor market and new data on consumer confidence, offering fresh looks at the pace and perception of the COVID-19 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/june-jobs-report-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-204956329.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/june-jobs-report-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-204956329.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146007118","content_text":"This week's packed slate of economic data reports will include an update on the labor market and new data on consumer confidence, offering fresh looks at the pace and perception of the COVID-19 recovery for many Americans.\nOn Friday, the Labor Department will release its June jobs report. The print is expected to show an acceleration in rehiring and a step lower in the unemployment rate, helping alleviate some of the labor shortages reported across the economy as of late.\nNon-farm payrolls likely grew by 700,000 in June, according to Bloomberg consensus data. This would accelerate from the 559,000 added back in May and mark the biggest rise since March. And the unemployment rate is expected to move down to 5.6% from 5.8% in May, bringing the jobless rate closer to its pre-pandemic, 50-year low of 3.5%.\n\"Payrolls probably surged again in June, with the pace up from the +559,000 in May,\" TD Securities strategists wrote in a note Friday. \"Some acceleration in the private sector is suggested by the Homebase data, while government payrolls probably benefited from fewer than usual end-of-school-year layoffs.\"\nEven with a sizable monthly payroll gain, the economy would still be well off its pre-pandemic levels of employment. Heading into June, the U.S. economy was still down by more than 7 million payrolls compared to February 2020, with the deficit most pronounced in high-contact services industries like restaurants and hotels.\nBut both services and manufacturing companies have cited shortages of qualified workers to fill open positions, which hit a record high of over 9 million as of latest data. These supply-and-demand mismatches in the labor market – with shortages noted by firms from FedEx (FDX) to Yum Brands (YUM) — have also begun to push wages higher and created additional costs for businesses. In Friday's report, average hourly earnings are expected to jump 3.6% year-on-year for June, accelerating from May's 2% increase.\nSAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - JUNE 03: A pedestrian walks by a Now Hiring sign outside of a Lamps Plus store on June 03, 2021 in San Francisco, California. According to a U.S. Labor Department report, jobless claims fell for a fifth straight week to 385,000. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)Justin Sullivan via Getty Images\n\"Strong demand and weak supply should continue to put upward pressure on wages,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note. \"Workers are quitting at a higher rate as they find better opportunities.\"\nHowever, a confluence of factors that have kept workers on the sidelines of the labor market may start to lessen in the coming months, some economists noted. Many have agreed that a combination of childcare concerns, fears of contracting COVID-19 and ongoing enhanced federal unemployment benefits have contributed to the still-elevated levels of joblessness, but that each of these should diminish as schools reopen, vaccinations continue and jobless benefits get phased out over the next several months.\n\"Labor supply may soon pick up,\" Meyer said. \"We find evidence of a quicker drop in unemployment insurance (UI) applications in states that discontinued generous federal UI benefits.\"\n\"Four states — Alaska, Iowa, Mississippi and Missouri — opted out in June 12 and UI applications in those states have fallen faster compared to other states, according to the latest initial jobless claims figures,\" she added. \"With another eight states opting out in the week ending June 19 and a total of 25 states by end of the summer, more workers should return to the workforce, helping to ease wage pressures and help meet the strong labor demand in the economy.\"\nConsumer confidence\n\nAnother closely watched economic data print this week will be the Conference Board's June consumer confidence index, which is expected to reflect a strong pick-up in sentiment during the recovery and heading into the summer. The report is due for release Tuesday morning.\nThe headline index is likely to rise to 119.0 for June from 117.2 in May, according to Bloomberg consensus data. This would mark the highest level since February 2020's 132.6, which itself had been a near two-decade high.\nLike investors, consumers have begun to warm to the notion that inflationary pressures seen during the early stages of the economic recovery may prove transitory. This has helped raise consumers' future expectations for their spending power and boosted sentiment at large, according to other consumer sentiment surveys including the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers.\nNot only did year-ahead inflation expectations fall slightly to 4.2% in June from May's decade peak of 4.6%, consumers also believed that the price surges will mostly be temporary,\" Richard Curtin, chief economist for the Surveys of Consumers, said on Friday.\n\"When the pandemic first started, consumers were quite uncertain about their job and income prospects, but reported widespread declines in market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables,\" he added. \"Those favorable price references have dropped to the most negative in a decade, and job and income prospects have improved, but not quite as favorable as in the last few years of the prior expansion.\"\nStill, in a sign of some downside risk in Tuesday's report from the Conference Board, the University of Michigan's June final sentiment index edged lower to 85.5, coming in below the 86.4 preliminary print, but still above May's reading of 82.9.\nEconomic Calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, June (32.5 expected, 34.9 in May)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-on-month, April (1.7% expected, 1.4% in March); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite index, month-over-month, April (1.80% expected, 1.60% in March); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite index, year-over-year, April (13.27% in March); Conference Board Consumer Confidence, June (119.0 expected, 117.2 in May)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended June 25 (2.1% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, June (575,000 expected, 978,000 in May); MNI Chicago PMI, June (70.0 expected, 75.2 in May); Pending home sales, month-over-month, May (-1.0% expected, -4.4% in April);\nThursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, June (-93.8% in May); Initial jobless claims, week ended June 26 (380,000 expected, 411,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended June 19 (3.39 million during prior week); Markit US Manufacturing PMI, June final (62.6 in prior print); Construction Spending month-over-month, May (0.5% expected 0.2% in April); ISM Manufacturing, June (61.0 expected, 61.2 in May)\nFriday: Change in non-farm payrolls, June (700,000 expected, 559,000 in May); Unemployment rate, June (5.6% expected, 5.8% in May); Average hourly earnings year-over-year, June (3.6% expected, 2.0% in May); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, June (0.4% expected, 0.5% in May); Trade balance, May (-$71.0 billion expected, -$68.9 billion in April); Factory orders, May (1.5% expected, -0.6% in April); Durable goods orders, May final (2.3% in prior print); Durable goods orders excluding transportation, May final (2.3% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, May final (-0.1% in April); Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, May final (0.9% in prior print)\n\nEarnings Calendar\n\nMonday: N/A\nTuesday: N/A\nWednesday: Constellation Brands (STZ), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), General Mills (GIS) before market open; Micron Technologies (MU) after market close\nThursday: Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) before market open\nFriday: N/A","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":37,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962868221,"gmtCreate":1669762559163,"gmtModify":1676538236348,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962868221","repostId":"2287568981","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2287568981","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1669761575,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2287568981?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-30 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-S&P 500 Ends Down As Apple Dips and Traders Eye Powell Speech","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2287568981","media":"Reuters","summary":"Investors look to Powell speech for interest rate cluesU.S. consumer confidence slips in NovemberS&P 500 -0.16%, Nasdaq -0.59%, Dow +0.01%Nov 29 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended down on Tuesday, with los","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Investors look to Powell speech for interest rate clues</li><li>U.S. consumer confidence slips in November</li><li>S&amp;P 500 -0.16%, Nasdaq -0.59%, Dow +0.01%</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7890ba1e2d65820cc5944127fc3fe4e3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nov 29 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended down on Tuesday, with losses in Apple and Amazon ahead of an upcoming speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that could provide hints about magnitude of future interest rate hikes.</p><p>Apple&#39;s stock dropped 2.1%, down for a fourth straight session.</p><p>Powell is due to speak at a Brookings Institution event on Wednesday about the outlook for the U.S. economy and the labor market. Investors will be looking for clues about when the Fed will slow the pace of its aggressive interest rate hikes.</p><p>&#34;No one is willing to buy ahead of tomorrow with Powell speaking. Everyone is nervous about what he is going to say,&#34; said Ron Saba, senior portfolio manager at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.</p><p>Shares of Amazon, Nvidia and Tesla each lost more than 1%.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index is headed for its second straight month of gains in November amid bets that recent inflation readings showing a slight cooling in prices will lead the Fed to scale back the scale of its interest rate hikes.</p><p>The Fed has delivered four straight 75 basis point rate hikes, and it is expected to shift down the pace to a 50-bps move in December.</p><p>A survey on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence eased further in November amid persistent worries about the rising cost of living.</p><p>Mainland China&#39;s recent wave of civil disobedience comes as the number of COVID cases hit record daily highs and large parts of several cities face new lockdowns, further threatening the world&#39;s second largest economy.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index rallied 1.3%, while gains in oil prices on expectations of a loosening of China&#39;s strict COVID controls were later offset by concerns that OPEC+ would keep its output unchanged at its upcoming meeting.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.16% to end the session at 3,957.60 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq declined 0.59% to 10,983.78 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.01% to 33,852.13 points.</p><p>Despite the S&amp;P 500&#39;s decline, advancing issues outnumbered falling ones by a 1.3-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted three new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 68 new highs and 183 new lows.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, Pinduoduo Inc and JD.com Inc jumped more than 5% after China broadened equity financing channels for property developers.</p><p>Shares of Chinese internet firm Bilibili Inc soared 22% after posting upbeat quarterly results.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.6 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 11.2 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-S&P 500 Ends Down As Apple Dips and Traders Eye Powell Speech</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-S&P 500 Ends Down As Apple Dips and Traders Eye Powell Speech\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-30 06:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Investors look to Powell speech for interest rate clues</li><li>U.S. consumer confidence slips in November</li><li>S&amp;P 500 -0.16%, Nasdaq -0.59%, Dow +0.01%</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7890ba1e2d65820cc5944127fc3fe4e3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nov 29 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended down on Tuesday, with losses in Apple and Amazon ahead of an upcoming speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that could provide hints about magnitude of future interest rate hikes.</p><p>Apple&#39;s stock dropped 2.1%, down for a fourth straight session.</p><p>Powell is due to speak at a Brookings Institution event on Wednesday about the outlook for the U.S. economy and the labor market. Investors will be looking for clues about when the Fed will slow the pace of its aggressive interest rate hikes.</p><p>&#34;No one is willing to buy ahead of tomorrow with Powell speaking. Everyone is nervous about what he is going to say,&#34; said Ron Saba, senior portfolio manager at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.</p><p>Shares of Amazon, Nvidia and Tesla each lost more than 1%.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index is headed for its second straight month of gains in November amid bets that recent inflation readings showing a slight cooling in prices will lead the Fed to scale back the scale of its interest rate hikes.</p><p>The Fed has delivered four straight 75 basis point rate hikes, and it is expected to shift down the pace to a 50-bps move in December.</p><p>A survey on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence eased further in November amid persistent worries about the rising cost of living.</p><p>Mainland China&#39;s recent wave of civil disobedience comes as the number of COVID cases hit record daily highs and large parts of several cities face new lockdowns, further threatening the world&#39;s second largest economy.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index rallied 1.3%, while gains in oil prices on expectations of a loosening of China&#39;s strict COVID controls were later offset by concerns that OPEC+ would keep its output unchanged at its upcoming meeting.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.16% to end the session at 3,957.60 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq declined 0.59% to 10,983.78 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.01% to 33,852.13 points.</p><p>Despite the S&amp;P 500&#39;s decline, advancing issues outnumbered falling ones by a 1.3-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted three new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 68 new highs and 183 new lows.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, Pinduoduo Inc and JD.com Inc jumped more than 5% after China broadened equity financing channels for property developers.</p><p>Shares of Chinese internet firm Bilibili Inc soared 22% after posting upbeat quarterly results.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.6 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 11.2 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2287568981","content_text":"Investors look to Powell speech for interest rate cluesU.S. consumer confidence slips in NovemberS&P 500 -0.16%, Nasdaq -0.59%, Dow +0.01%Nov 29 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended down on Tuesday, with losses in Apple and Amazon ahead of an upcoming speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that could provide hints about magnitude of future interest rate hikes.Apple's stock dropped 2.1%, down for a fourth straight session.Powell is due to speak at a Brookings Institution event on Wednesday about the outlook for the U.S. economy and the labor market. Investors will be looking for clues about when the Fed will slow the pace of its aggressive interest rate hikes.\"No one is willing to buy ahead of tomorrow with Powell speaking. Everyone is nervous about what he is going to say,\" said Ron Saba, senior portfolio manager at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.Shares of Amazon, Nvidia and Tesla each lost more than 1%.The benchmark S&P 500 index is headed for its second straight month of gains in November amid bets that recent inflation readings showing a slight cooling in prices will lead the Fed to scale back the scale of its interest rate hikes.The Fed has delivered four straight 75 basis point rate hikes, and it is expected to shift down the pace to a 50-bps move in December.A survey on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence eased further in November amid persistent worries about the rising cost of living.Mainland China's recent wave of civil disobedience comes as the number of COVID cases hit record daily highs and large parts of several cities face new lockdowns, further threatening the world's second largest economy.The S&P 500 energy sector index rallied 1.3%, while gains in oil prices on expectations of a loosening of China's strict COVID controls were later offset by concerns that OPEC+ would keep its output unchanged at its upcoming meeting.The S&P 500 declined 0.16% to end the session at 3,957.60 points.The Nasdaq declined 0.59% to 10,983.78 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.01% to 33,852.13 points.Despite the S&P 500's decline, advancing issues outnumbered falling ones by a 1.3-to-one ratio.The S&P 500 posted three new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 68 new highs and 183 new lows.U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, Pinduoduo Inc and JD.com Inc jumped more than 5% after China broadened equity financing channels for property developers.Shares of Chinese internet firm Bilibili Inc soared 22% after posting upbeat quarterly results.Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.6 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 11.2 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983497877,"gmtCreate":1666306395399,"gmtModify":1676537736703,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983497877","repostId":"1146548462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146548462","pubTimestamp":1666276669,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146548462?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-20 22:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Is Taking a \"YOLO\" Page Out of Retail’s Playbook","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146548462","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"‘You Only Live Once’ became the rallying cry of retail traders in certain Reddit forums making high-","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e438c4843e65e5360d92d0adef6ea297\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"533\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>‘You Only Live Once’ became the rallying cry of retail traders in certain Reddit forums making high-risk bets in stock markets.</p><p>Now, it might also be the inspiration for a growing group of professional investors who appear to be taking a page out of retail’s playbook with a controversial options strategy.</p><p>That’s according to Nomura Securities International Inc. Strategist Charlie McElligott, who’s blaming a proliferation of professionals piling into options right before their expiry for exacerbating recent swings in markets.</p><p>The strategy of trading options close to their expiry has become a popular strategy on forums such as WallStreetBets, with one person on the social media platform recently claiming to have lost a $100,000 inheritance after tradingone-day puts on the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>“YOLOing into 0 and 1 Days-Til-Expiration (DTE) options has now been ‘institutionalized’ by vol traders at many of the largest funds on the Street,” McElligott wrote in a note to clients. “It’s not about retail-alone playing this game anymore.”</p><p>“We have seen witnessed some absolutely biblical usage of 0DTE and 1DTE options, and it’s acting like jet fuel being dumped on the already out of control ‘macro’ fire occurring into persistent ‘negative gamma’ momentum overshoot flows,” he added. “Using the certainty of dealer hedging flows that their orders create to then amplify and ‘juice’ the intended directional market move … before closing-out positions mere hours later by end of day.”</p><p>He estimates that 0-1DTE options are making up a growing portion of the total options written on the S&amp;P 500. Some days in September saw such options make up as much as 65% of the total.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfa04287d17c39500624eb17c3b5f3eb\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"997\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: Nomura</p><p>Buying these one- or zero-days to expiration options can expose investors to big profits and losses as they’re typically more vulnerable to changes in the price of the underlying stock or index. That means the contracts can fluctuate wildly in value, even if they’re only held for a day or two.</p><p>The “institutionalization” of these contracts is also making markets more vulnerable to big swings over all, according to McElligott. The amount of sensitivity in the options market to underlying stocks, indexes and exchange-traded fund — known as<i>delta</i>in trader parlance — is now on a par with the depths of the Covid-19 crash in March 2020 and the so-called ‘Volmageddon’ of early 2018, he says.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cf8675e892f15c47d3d4b809b1b575f\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"1060\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: Nomura</p><p>“Most critically as it relates to the outrageous ranges and swings this past week in US equities and into the upcoming expiration, it is the staggering amount of (negative) front-delta into Friday’s [options expiry] that has then needed to be traded on the approach, which is then acting as further shadow-convexity in the market,” he says.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Is Taking a \"YOLO\" Page Out of Retail’s Playbook</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Is Taking a \"YOLO\" Page Out of Retail’s Playbook\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-20 22:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-20/wall-street-is-taking-a-yolo-page-out-of-retail-s-playbook><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘You Only Live Once’ became the rallying cry of retail traders in certain Reddit forums making high-risk bets in stock markets.Now, it might also be the inspiration for a growing group of professional...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-20/wall-street-is-taking-a-yolo-page-out-of-retail-s-playbook\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-20/wall-street-is-taking-a-yolo-page-out-of-retail-s-playbook","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146548462","content_text":"‘You Only Live Once’ became the rallying cry of retail traders in certain Reddit forums making high-risk bets in stock markets.Now, it might also be the inspiration for a growing group of professional investors who appear to be taking a page out of retail’s playbook with a controversial options strategy.That’s according to Nomura Securities International Inc. Strategist Charlie McElligott, who’s blaming a proliferation of professionals piling into options right before their expiry for exacerbating recent swings in markets.The strategy of trading options close to their expiry has become a popular strategy on forums such as WallStreetBets, with one person on the social media platform recently claiming to have lost a $100,000 inheritance after tradingone-day puts on the S&P 500.“YOLOing into 0 and 1 Days-Til-Expiration (DTE) options has now been ‘institutionalized’ by vol traders at many of the largest funds on the Street,” McElligott wrote in a note to clients. “It’s not about retail-alone playing this game anymore.”“We have seen witnessed some absolutely biblical usage of 0DTE and 1DTE options, and it’s acting like jet fuel being dumped on the already out of control ‘macro’ fire occurring into persistent ‘negative gamma’ momentum overshoot flows,” he added. “Using the certainty of dealer hedging flows that their orders create to then amplify and ‘juice’ the intended directional market move … before closing-out positions mere hours later by end of day.”He estimates that 0-1DTE options are making up a growing portion of the total options written on the S&P 500. Some days in September saw such options make up as much as 65% of the total.Source: NomuraBuying these one- or zero-days to expiration options can expose investors to big profits and losses as they’re typically more vulnerable to changes in the price of the underlying stock or index. That means the contracts can fluctuate wildly in value, even if they’re only held for a day or two.The “institutionalization” of these contracts is also making markets more vulnerable to big swings over all, according to McElligott. The amount of sensitivity in the options market to underlying stocks, indexes and exchange-traded fund — known asdeltain trader parlance — is now on a par with the depths of the Covid-19 crash in March 2020 and the so-called ‘Volmageddon’ of early 2018, he says.Source: Nomura“Most critically as it relates to the outrageous ranges and swings this past week in US equities and into the upcoming expiration, it is the staggering amount of (negative) front-delta into Friday’s [options expiry] that has then needed to be traded on the approach, which is then acting as further shadow-convexity in the market,” he says.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9040906913,"gmtCreate":1655599420332,"gmtModify":1676535667432,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9040906913","repostId":"2244108696","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2244108696","pubTimestamp":1655599329,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2244108696?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-19 08:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nasdaq Bear Market: 4 Remarkable Growth Stocks You'll Regret Not Buying on the Dip","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2244108696","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These fast-paced companies are ripe for the picking following a peak decline of 33% for the Nasdaq.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>This year has offered a not-so-subtle reminder to Wall Street and the investing community that stocks don&#39;t move upward in a straight line. Since hitting their all-time closing highs, the widely followed <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>, benchmark <b>S&amp;P 500</b>, and growth stock-fueled <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> (^IXIC 1.43%) have respectively tumbled by 17%, 22%, and 33%. These moves squarely put the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq in a bear market.</p><p>There&#39;s no question that the velocity and unpredictability of downward moves during a bear market can weigh on investors&#39; psyche. However, it&#39;s important to note that every notable decline in the major U.S. indexes, including the Nasdaq Composite, has eventually been cleared away by a bull market. This makes corrections and bear markets the opportune time to put your money to work.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfa6ff2b91c8f20bca964751a738928f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>With the Nasdaq tumbling, a number of innovative growth stocks now look like incredible deals. What follows are four remarkable growth stocks you&#39;ll regret not buying on the dip.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Block</a></h2><p>The first exceptionally innovative company investors can confidently buy during the Nasdaq bear market decline is fintech stock <b>Block</b> (SQ 1.74%), the company formerly known as Square. Although cryptocurrency weakness could hurt <b>Bitcoin</b> trading revenue in the near term, and high inflation is bad news for low-income consumers, there are more than enough long-term catalysts for Block to deliver jaw-dropping growth.</p><p>For more than a decade, the company&#39;s foundation has been its seller ecosystem, commonly referred to as the &#34;Square ecosystem.&#34; This is the segment that provides point-of-sale solutions, loans, and analytics to businesses to help them succeed. In 2012, just $6.5 billion in gross payment volume (GPV) was processed by the Square ecosystem. But based on the $39.5 billion in GPV in during the first quarter of 2022, the Square ecosystem is on pace for $158 billion in annual GPV.</p><p>What&#39;s particularly interesting about the seller ecosystem is that it&#39;s attracting bigger businesses that have higher annualized GPVs. Since this is predominantly a fee-driven operating segment, bigger business should lead to higher gross profit.</p><p>The other key for Block is digital peer-to-peer payment platform Cash App. In the four years between the end of 2017 and end of 2021, the number of monthly transacting users on Cash App soared from 7 million to north of 44 million. With the recent acquisition of buy now, pay later company Afterpay, Block has the ability to create a closed-loop payment network with its Square ecosystem.</p><h2>Airbnb</h2><p>A second remarkable growth stock that you&#39;ll be kicking yourself if you don&#39;t buy on this Nasdaq bear market decline is travel and hosting company <b>Airbnb</b> (ABNB 6.68%). Even with recession fears rising and inflation biting consumers&#39; wallets hard in the short term, Airbnb has &#34;industry disruptor&#34; written all over it.</p><p>To begin with, Airbnb is unquestionably a popular alternative to traditional hotels. The Airbnb marketplace provides abundant choice, with properties that often provide a lower cost and added privacy, compared to staying in a hotel in or near a major city. In 2016, the entire platform recognized 52 million total nights and experiences booked. In just the first quarter of 2022, Airbnb practically doubled this figure, with 102.1 million nights and experiences booked.</p><p>Arguably the most exciting thing about Airbnb is that long-term stays are its fastest-growing category. A &#34;long-term stay&#34; is defined as a booking of 28 or more days. In the wake of the pandemic, we&#39;ve witnessed workforces becoming more mobile. These remote workers seem to be Airbnb&#39;s key to sustainably growing its hosting marketplace.</p><p>Additionally, the company wants a larger piece of the $8 trillion travel industry pie. Airbnb&#39;s &#34;experiences&#34; segment is working with local experts to lead travelers on adventures, and is likely just scratching the surface with regard to its partnership potential.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1250c39a18ffc461acf59040018e7def\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><h2>Intuitive Surgical</h2><p>Another sensational growth stock investors would be wise to scoop up on the Nasdaq bear market dip is robotic-assisted surgical system developer <b>Intuitive Surgical</b> (ISRG 0.72%).</p><p>One reason for investors to trust Intuitive Surgical over the long haul is its market dominance. When the first quarter came to a close, the company had 6,920 of its da Vinci surgical systems installed in hospitals and surgical centers worldwide. This number may not sound like a lot, but it&#39;s <i>many</i> times higher than those of its closest competitors. What&#39;s more, these systems are costly ($0.5 million to $2.5 million) and the training for them is time-consuming. In other words, da Vinci buyers tend to remain clients for a long time.</p><p>Intuitive Surgical&#39;s razor-and-blades operating model is also designed to emphasize operating-margin growth over time. During the 2000s, most of the company&#39;s sales originated from selling its pricey, but generally low-margin, da Vinci systems. Nowadays, instruments sold with each procedure and system servicing account for the lion&#39;s share of total sales. These are higher-margin operating segments. As the company&#39;s installed base of systems grows, profits should increase at an even faster pace.</p><p>There&#39;s also a long runway for da Vinci to become a standard of care in the operating room. While it&#39;s already a leader in urology and gynecology procedures, there&#39;s plenty of room for expansion in colorectal, thoracic, and general soft-tissue surgical procedures.</p><h2>Upstart Holdings</h2><p>A fourth and final remarkable growth stock that you&#39;ll regret not buying on the dip is cloud-based lending platform <b>Upstart Holdings</b> (UPST 9.54%). Even though Wall Street is leery of the unproven Upstart as interest rates rise and fears of a U.S. recession grow, there are multiple aspects of the company&#39;s operating model that suggest it could thrive.</p><p>Perhaps the biggest differentiator for Upstart is its artificial intelligence (AI)-powered lending platform. Rather than relying on the same vetting process for loans that financial institutions have leaned on for decades, Upstart uses AI. This led to 74% of all loans on its platform being fully automated during the first quarter. Automation ultimately saves financial institutions time and money.</p><p>To build on this point, Upstart&#39;s AI-fueled lending platform is opening up opportunities for previously underbanked people. Although the average credit score of Upstart&#39;s approvals has been below the average credit score of approvals in the traditional vetting process, there&#39;s been no discernible difference in delinquency rates. Even if interest rates continue to rise rapidly, this distinction makes it more likely that financial institutions will turn to Upstart for its AI-based loan-vetting platform.</p><p>As if this weren&#39;t enough to get excited about, Upstart has also moved beyond the personal loan arena and into the auto loan origination market. The auto loan market was recently a $751 billion opportunity -- or about 6.7 times more than the personal loan market Upstart has catered to since its inception.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq Bear Market: 4 Remarkable Growth Stocks You'll Regret Not Buying on the Dip</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq Bear Market: 4 Remarkable Growth Stocks You'll Regret Not Buying on the Dip\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-19 08:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/18/nasdaq-bear-market-4-growth-stocks-regret-not-buy/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>This year has offered a not-so-subtle reminder to Wall Street and the investing community that stocks don't move upward in a straight line. Since hitting their all-time closing highs, the widely ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/18/nasdaq-bear-market-4-growth-stocks-regret-not-buy/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4023":"应用软件","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","ISRG":"直觉外科公司","AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","BK4543":"AI","BK4082":"医疗保健设备","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","SQ":"Block","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4142":"酒店、度假村与豪华游轮","BK4566":"资本集团","ABNB":"爱彼迎","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4166":"消费信贷","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4106":"数据处理与外包服务"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/18/nasdaq-bear-market-4-growth-stocks-regret-not-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2244108696","content_text":"This year has offered a not-so-subtle reminder to Wall Street and the investing community that stocks don't move upward in a straight line. Since hitting their all-time closing highs, the widely followed Dow Jones Industrial Average, benchmark S&P 500, and growth stock-fueled Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC 1.43%) have respectively tumbled by 17%, 22%, and 33%. These moves squarely put the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in a bear market.There's no question that the velocity and unpredictability of downward moves during a bear market can weigh on investors' psyche. However, it's important to note that every notable decline in the major U.S. indexes, including the Nasdaq Composite, has eventually been cleared away by a bull market. This makes corrections and bear markets the opportune time to put your money to work.With the Nasdaq tumbling, a number of innovative growth stocks now look like incredible deals. What follows are four remarkable growth stocks you'll regret not buying on the dip.BlockThe first exceptionally innovative company investors can confidently buy during the Nasdaq bear market decline is fintech stock Block (SQ 1.74%), the company formerly known as Square. Although cryptocurrency weakness could hurt Bitcoin trading revenue in the near term, and high inflation is bad news for low-income consumers, there are more than enough long-term catalysts for Block to deliver jaw-dropping growth.For more than a decade, the company's foundation has been its seller ecosystem, commonly referred to as the \"Square ecosystem.\" This is the segment that provides point-of-sale solutions, loans, and analytics to businesses to help them succeed. In 2012, just $6.5 billion in gross payment volume (GPV) was processed by the Square ecosystem. But based on the $39.5 billion in GPV in during the first quarter of 2022, the Square ecosystem is on pace for $158 billion in annual GPV.What's particularly interesting about the seller ecosystem is that it's attracting bigger businesses that have higher annualized GPVs. Since this is predominantly a fee-driven operating segment, bigger business should lead to higher gross profit.The other key for Block is digital peer-to-peer payment platform Cash App. In the four years between the end of 2017 and end of 2021, the number of monthly transacting users on Cash App soared from 7 million to north of 44 million. With the recent acquisition of buy now, pay later company Afterpay, Block has the ability to create a closed-loop payment network with its Square ecosystem.AirbnbA second remarkable growth stock that you'll be kicking yourself if you don't buy on this Nasdaq bear market decline is travel and hosting company Airbnb (ABNB 6.68%). Even with recession fears rising and inflation biting consumers' wallets hard in the short term, Airbnb has \"industry disruptor\" written all over it.To begin with, Airbnb is unquestionably a popular alternative to traditional hotels. The Airbnb marketplace provides abundant choice, with properties that often provide a lower cost and added privacy, compared to staying in a hotel in or near a major city. In 2016, the entire platform recognized 52 million total nights and experiences booked. In just the first quarter of 2022, Airbnb practically doubled this figure, with 102.1 million nights and experiences booked.Arguably the most exciting thing about Airbnb is that long-term stays are its fastest-growing category. A \"long-term stay\" is defined as a booking of 28 or more days. In the wake of the pandemic, we've witnessed workforces becoming more mobile. These remote workers seem to be Airbnb's key to sustainably growing its hosting marketplace.Additionally, the company wants a larger piece of the $8 trillion travel industry pie. Airbnb's \"experiences\" segment is working with local experts to lead travelers on adventures, and is likely just scratching the surface with regard to its partnership potential.Image source: Getty Images.Intuitive SurgicalAnother sensational growth stock investors would be wise to scoop up on the Nasdaq bear market dip is robotic-assisted surgical system developer Intuitive Surgical (ISRG 0.72%).One reason for investors to trust Intuitive Surgical over the long haul is its market dominance. When the first quarter came to a close, the company had 6,920 of its da Vinci surgical systems installed in hospitals and surgical centers worldwide. This number may not sound like a lot, but it's many times higher than those of its closest competitors. What's more, these systems are costly ($0.5 million to $2.5 million) and the training for them is time-consuming. In other words, da Vinci buyers tend to remain clients for a long time.Intuitive Surgical's razor-and-blades operating model is also designed to emphasize operating-margin growth over time. During the 2000s, most of the company's sales originated from selling its pricey, but generally low-margin, da Vinci systems. Nowadays, instruments sold with each procedure and system servicing account for the lion's share of total sales. These are higher-margin operating segments. As the company's installed base of systems grows, profits should increase at an even faster pace.There's also a long runway for da Vinci to become a standard of care in the operating room. While it's already a leader in urology and gynecology procedures, there's plenty of room for expansion in colorectal, thoracic, and general soft-tissue surgical procedures.Upstart HoldingsA fourth and final remarkable growth stock that you'll regret not buying on the dip is cloud-based lending platform Upstart Holdings (UPST 9.54%). Even though Wall Street is leery of the unproven Upstart as interest rates rise and fears of a U.S. recession grow, there are multiple aspects of the company's operating model that suggest it could thrive.Perhaps the biggest differentiator for Upstart is its artificial intelligence (AI)-powered lending platform. Rather than relying on the same vetting process for loans that financial institutions have leaned on for decades, Upstart uses AI. This led to 74% of all loans on its platform being fully automated during the first quarter. Automation ultimately saves financial institutions time and money.To build on this point, Upstart's AI-fueled lending platform is opening up opportunities for previously underbanked people. Although the average credit score of Upstart's approvals has been below the average credit score of approvals in the traditional vetting process, there's been no discernible difference in delinquency rates. Even if interest rates continue to rise rapidly, this distinction makes it more likely that financial institutions will turn to Upstart for its AI-based loan-vetting platform.As if this weren't enough to get excited about, Upstart has also moved beyond the personal loan arena and into the auto loan origination market. The auto loan market was recently a $751 billion opportunity -- or about 6.7 times more than the personal loan market Upstart has catered to since its inception.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966596732,"gmtCreate":1669591347026,"gmtModify":1676538209179,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966596732","repostId":"1198835584","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198835584","pubTimestamp":1669589744,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198835584?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-28 06:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jobs, Housing Data, GDP Bring Investors Into December: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198835584","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Investors returning from the Thanksgiving holiday will face a deluge of economic releases in the wee","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors returning from the Thanksgiving holiday will face a deluge of economic releases in the week ahead as Wall Street heads into the final month of 2022 and braces for the Federal Reserve’s last interest rate hike of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07e084694ac7c797625be53771937802\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The government’s monthly employment report, data on the housing market, a second look at GDP growth, PCE inflation, and a reading on consumer confidence are among the many highlights of a busy economic calendar in the coming days.</p><p>The Labor Department’s latest employment report, set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday morning, will highlight the schedule.</p><p>Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 200,000 last month, according to estimates from Bloomberg. If realized, the number would mark another downtrend in the labor market but reflect still-robust hiring on a historical basis.</p><p>Strong labor market readings havestoked worries that Fed officials will stay the courseon aggressive rate hikes and overshoot on monetary tightening.</p><p>“Recent monthly data from the advanced economies have tended to exceed analysts’ gloomy expectations, “ Capital Economics chief global economist Jennifer McKeown said in a recent note. “However, this resilience probably also reflects a lag before higher interest rates transmit to the economy and firms are forced to reduce employment.”</p><p>On the inflation front, investors will be watching the personal consumption expenditures&#39; (PCE) price index out Thursday to see whether the recent trend of easing inflation holds up. On a monthly basis, PCE is expected to show a 0.4% rise in October, up from 0.3% during the prior month, according to Bloomberg estimates. Over the prior year, PCE inflation is expected to have eased to a rate of 6% from 6.2% previously.</p><p>According to Bank of America’sNovember fund manager survey, investors do not expect the Fed to pivot – or change course on rate hikes – until U.S. PCE inflation falls below 4%.</p><p>For traders, this year&#39;s action has been all about what the Federal Reserve will do next, and fresh economic figures should offer clues about whether a 50- or 75-basis-point increase in the Fed&#39;s benchmark interest rate range awaits investors in mid-December.</p><p>As of Sunday morning,markets were pricing ina roughly 75% chance the Federal Reserve will deliver a 50-basis-point rate hike following the conclusion of its next meeting on December 15, data from the CME Group showed.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fa8de8c2a5adf749e95d135caffd002\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"477\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to speak during a news conference in Washington, DC, on November 2, 2022.</span></p><p>Areadout of minutes from the Fed’s November meetingalso indicated a “substantial majority” of officials believe it will soon be time to slow the current pace of increases. But a strong November jobs report and higher than expected PCE figure may dash deceleration hopes.</p><p>“It’s premature in my mind to take anything off the table,” San Francisco Fed PresidentMary Daly said last weekwhen asked whether a 75-basis point rate hike is still possible. “I’m going into the [Fed&#39;s December 14-15] meeting with the full range of adjustments that we could make on the table and not taking off prematurely.”</p><p>While investors are hopeful for a meaningful slowdown in inflation and a subsequent policy shift over the next year, some Wall Street strategists are raising doubts about the Federal Reserve’s ability to fulfill its goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.</p><p>Strategists at theBlackRock Investment Institute warned last weekglobal investors are in a “new macro regime where central banks are causing recessions rather than coming to the rescue.”</p><p>“That is clear in the rate path of major central banks set to overtighten policy as they battle inflation,” BlackRock&#39;s team, led by Jean Boivin, said in weekly commentary. “We think they will eventually pause but not cut rates when confronted with the damage of sharp rate hikes – that could be the reality of recession or the appearance of financial cracks, as seen in the U.K.”</p><p>Billionaire hedge funder Bill Ackman alsosaid in a recent call with investorsinterest rates are &#34;meaningfully below where they are going to go,” and the firm does not believe the Federal Reserve will be able to get inflation back to a consistent 2% level.</p><p>&#34;We think that is, of course, a risk for equities,&#34; Ackman said. &#34;And part of our thesis is we think inflation is going to be structurally higher.&#34;</p><p>Elsewhere in economic data this week, a second estimate of third-quarter GDP, Case-Shiller home price data, manufacturing activity gauges, and the Conference Board’s measure of consumer confidence are all on tap.</p><p>Investors are ready to close the curtains on the latest earnings season, but some standout reports will still be released, including Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Salesforce (CRM), Dollar General (DG), and Kroger (KR).</p><p>Last week, U.S. markets continued to build on recent moment in a week of trading shortened by the Thanksgiving holiday.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500ended modestly loweron Black Friday but finished the week in the green, up roughly 1.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite also advanced over the three and a half-day trading period, each rising 1.8% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><h2>Economic Calendar</h2><p><b>Monday:</b> <b><i>Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity</i></b>, November (-23.0 expected, -19.4 during prior month)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> <b><i>FHFA Housing Pricing Index</i></b>, September (-1.3% expected, -0.7% during prior month); <b><i>House Price Purchasing Index</i></b>, Q3 (4.0% during prior quarter); <b><i>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite</i></b>, month-over-month, September (-1.15% expected, -1.32% during prior month); <b><i>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite</i></b>, year-over-year, September (10.65% expected, 13.08% during prior month); <b><i>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index</i></b>(12.99% during prior month); <b><i>Conference Board Consumer Confidence</i></b>, November (100.0 expected, 102.5 during prior month)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> <b><i>MBA Mortgage Applications</i></b>, week ended Nov. 25 (2.2% during prior week); <b><i>ADP Employment Change</i></b>, November (195,000 expected, 239,000 during prior month); <b><i>GDP Annualized</i></b>, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (2.7% expected, 2.6% prior estimate);<b><i>Personal Consumption</i></b>, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (1.5% expected, 1.4% prior estimate); <b><i>GDP Price Index</i></b>, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (4.1% expected, 4.1% prior estimate); <b><i>Core PCE</i></b>, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (4.5% prior estimate); <b><i>Advance Goods Trade Balance</i></b>, September (-$90.2 billion expected, -$92.2 billion during prior month); <b><i>Wholesale Inventories</i></b>, month-over-month, October preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.6% during prior month); <b><i>Retail Inventories</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.4% during prior month);<b><i>MNI Chicago PMI,</i></b>November (47.0 expected, 45.2 during prior month); <b><i>PendingHome Sales</i></b>, month-over-month, October (-5.2% expected, -10.2% during prior month); <b><i>JOLTS Job Openings</i></b>, October (10.325 million expected, 10.717 million during prior month); <b><i>Federal Reserve Beige Book</i></b></p><p><b>Thursday:</b> <b><i>Challenger Job Cuts</i></b>, year-over-year, November (48.3% during prior month); <b><i>Personal Income</i></b>, October (0.4% expected, 0.4% during prior month); <b><i>Personal Spending</i></b>, October (0.6% expected, 0.8% during prior month); <b><i>PCE Deflator</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.4% expected, 0.3% during prior month);<b><i>PCE Deflator</i></b>, year-over-year, October (6.0% expected, 6.2% during prior month); <b><i>PCE Core Deflator</i></b>, month-over-month, October (0.3% expected, 0.5% during prior month); <b><i>PCE Core Deflator</i></b>, year-over-year, October (5.0% expected, 5.1% during prior month); <b><i>Initial Jobless Claims</i></b>, week ended Nov. 26 (240,000 during prior week); <b><i>Continuing Claims,</i></b>week ended Nov. 19 (1.551 million during prior week); <b><i>S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI</i></b>, November final (49.8 expected, 50.2 during prior month); <b><i>Construction Spending</i></b>, month-over-month, October (-0.2% expected, -0.2% during prior month); <b><i>ISM Manufacturing</i></b>, November (49.8 expected, 50.2 during prior month); <b><i>ISM Prices Paid</i></b>, November (46.6 during prior month); <b><i>ISM New Orders</i></b>, September (49.2 during prior month); <b><i>ISM Employment</i></b>, November (50.0 during prior month); <b><i>WARDS Total Vehicle Sales</i></b>, November (14.90 million expected, 14.90 prior month)</p><p><b>Friday:</b><b><i>Change in Nonfarm Payrolls</i></b>, November (200,000 expected, 216,000 during prior month); <b><i>Unemployment Rate</i></b>, November (3.7% expected, 3.7% during prior month); <b><i>Average Hourly Earnings</i></b>, month-over-month, November (0.3% expected, 0.4% during prior month);<b><i>Average Hourly Earnings</i></b>, year-over-year, November (4.6% expected, 4.7% prior month); <b><i>Average Weekly Hours All Employees</i></b>, November (34.5 expected, 34.5 during prior month); <b><i>Labor Force Participation Rate</i></b>, November (62.3% expected, 62.3% during prior month); <b><i>Underemployment Rate</i></b>, November (60.8% prior month)</p><p>—</p><h2><b>Earnings Calendar</b></h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a40d1324fad197369d0fd7fc5d75b1b5\" tg-width=\"2027\" tg-height=\"1426\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Monday:</b> Arrowhead (ARWR), AZEK (AZEK)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> Baozun (BZUN), Bilibili (BILI), Compass Minerals (CMP), CrowdStrike (CRWD), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Hibbett (HIBB), Intuit (INTU), NetApp (NTAP), Workday (WDAY)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> Donaldson (DCI), Five Below (FIVE), Frontline (FRO), Hormel Foods (HRL), La-Z-Boy (LZB), Nutanix (NTNX), Okta (OKTA), Petco Health and Wellness (WOOF), Pure Storage (PSTG), PVH (PVH), Royal Bank of Canada (RY), Salesforce (CRM), Snowflake (SNOW), Splunk (SPLK), Synopsys (SNPS), Titan Machinery (TITN), Victoria&#39;s Secret (VSCO)</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> Ambarella (AMBA), American Outdoor Brands (AOUT), Big Lots (BIG), ChargePoint (CHPT), Designer Brands (DBI), Dollar General (DG), G-III Apparel (GIII), Kroger (KR), Li Auto (LI), Manchester United (MANU), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Patterson Companies (PDCO), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), Veeva Systems (VEEV), Weber (WEBR), Zscaler (ZS)</p><p><b>Friday:</b> Cracker Barrel (CBRL), Genesco (GCO)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jobs, Housing Data, GDP Bring Investors Into December: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJobs, Housing Data, GDP Bring Investors Into December: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-28 06:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-lookahead-november-jobs-report-federal-reserve-182021843.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors returning from the Thanksgiving holiday will face a deluge of economic releases in the week ahead as Wall Street heads into the final month of 2022 and braces for the Federal Reserve’s last ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-lookahead-november-jobs-report-federal-reserve-182021843.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-lookahead-november-jobs-report-federal-reserve-182021843.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198835584","content_text":"Investors returning from the Thanksgiving holiday will face a deluge of economic releases in the week ahead as Wall Street heads into the final month of 2022 and braces for the Federal Reserve’s last interest rate hike of the year.The government’s monthly employment report, data on the housing market, a second look at GDP growth, PCE inflation, and a reading on consumer confidence are among the many highlights of a busy economic calendar in the coming days.The Labor Department’s latest employment report, set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday morning, will highlight the schedule.Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 200,000 last month, according to estimates from Bloomberg. If realized, the number would mark another downtrend in the labor market but reflect still-robust hiring on a historical basis.Strong labor market readings havestoked worries that Fed officials will stay the courseon aggressive rate hikes and overshoot on monetary tightening.“Recent monthly data from the advanced economies have tended to exceed analysts’ gloomy expectations, “ Capital Economics chief global economist Jennifer McKeown said in a recent note. “However, this resilience probably also reflects a lag before higher interest rates transmit to the economy and firms are forced to reduce employment.”On the inflation front, investors will be watching the personal consumption expenditures' (PCE) price index out Thursday to see whether the recent trend of easing inflation holds up. On a monthly basis, PCE is expected to show a 0.4% rise in October, up from 0.3% during the prior month, according to Bloomberg estimates. Over the prior year, PCE inflation is expected to have eased to a rate of 6% from 6.2% previously.According to Bank of America’sNovember fund manager survey, investors do not expect the Fed to pivot – or change course on rate hikes – until U.S. PCE inflation falls below 4%.For traders, this year's action has been all about what the Federal Reserve will do next, and fresh economic figures should offer clues about whether a 50- or 75-basis-point increase in the Fed's benchmark interest rate range awaits investors in mid-December.As of Sunday morning,markets were pricing ina roughly 75% chance the Federal Reserve will deliver a 50-basis-point rate hike following the conclusion of its next meeting on December 15, data from the CME Group showed.Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to speak during a news conference in Washington, DC, on November 2, 2022.Areadout of minutes from the Fed’s November meetingalso indicated a “substantial majority” of officials believe it will soon be time to slow the current pace of increases. But a strong November jobs report and higher than expected PCE figure may dash deceleration hopes.“It’s premature in my mind to take anything off the table,” San Francisco Fed PresidentMary Daly said last weekwhen asked whether a 75-basis point rate hike is still possible. “I’m going into the [Fed's December 14-15] meeting with the full range of adjustments that we could make on the table and not taking off prematurely.”While investors are hopeful for a meaningful slowdown in inflation and a subsequent policy shift over the next year, some Wall Street strategists are raising doubts about the Federal Reserve’s ability to fulfill its goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.Strategists at theBlackRock Investment Institute warned last weekglobal investors are in a “new macro regime where central banks are causing recessions rather than coming to the rescue.”“That is clear in the rate path of major central banks set to overtighten policy as they battle inflation,” BlackRock's team, led by Jean Boivin, said in weekly commentary. “We think they will eventually pause but not cut rates when confronted with the damage of sharp rate hikes – that could be the reality of recession or the appearance of financial cracks, as seen in the U.K.”Billionaire hedge funder Bill Ackman alsosaid in a recent call with investorsinterest rates are \"meaningfully below where they are going to go,” and the firm does not believe the Federal Reserve will be able to get inflation back to a consistent 2% level.\"We think that is, of course, a risk for equities,\" Ackman said. \"And part of our thesis is we think inflation is going to be structurally higher.\"Elsewhere in economic data this week, a second estimate of third-quarter GDP, Case-Shiller home price data, manufacturing activity gauges, and the Conference Board’s measure of consumer confidence are all on tap.Investors are ready to close the curtains on the latest earnings season, but some standout reports will still be released, including Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Salesforce (CRM), Dollar General (DG), and Kroger (KR).Last week, U.S. markets continued to build on recent moment in a week of trading shortened by the Thanksgiving holiday.The S&P 500ended modestly loweron Black Friday but finished the week in the green, up roughly 1.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite also advanced over the three and a half-day trading period, each rising 1.8% and 0.7%, respectively.Economic CalendarMonday: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity, November (-23.0 expected, -19.4 during prior month)Tuesday: FHFA Housing Pricing Index, September (-1.3% expected, -0.7% during prior month); House Price Purchasing Index, Q3 (4.0% during prior quarter); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, month-over-month, September (-1.15% expected, -1.32% during prior month); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, year-over-year, September (10.65% expected, 13.08% during prior month); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index(12.99% during prior month); Conference Board Consumer Confidence, November (100.0 expected, 102.5 during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Nov. 25 (2.2% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (195,000 expected, 239,000 during prior month); GDP Annualized, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (2.7% expected, 2.6% prior estimate);Personal Consumption, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (1.5% expected, 1.4% prior estimate); GDP Price Index, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (4.1% expected, 4.1% prior estimate); Core PCE, quarter-over-quarter, Q3 second estimate (4.5% prior estimate); Advance Goods Trade Balance, September (-$90.2 billion expected, -$92.2 billion during prior month); Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, October preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.6% during prior month); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, October (0.4% during prior month);MNI Chicago PMI,November (47.0 expected, 45.2 during prior month); PendingHome Sales, month-over-month, October (-5.2% expected, -10.2% during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, October (10.325 million expected, 10.717 million during prior month); Federal Reserve Beige BookThursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, November (48.3% during prior month); Personal Income, October (0.4% expected, 0.4% during prior month); Personal Spending, October (0.6% expected, 0.8% during prior month); PCE Deflator, month-over-month, October (0.4% expected, 0.3% during prior month);PCE Deflator, year-over-year, October (6.0% expected, 6.2% during prior month); PCE Core Deflator, month-over-month, October (0.3% expected, 0.5% during prior month); PCE Core Deflator, year-over-year, October (5.0% expected, 5.1% during prior month); Initial Jobless Claims, week ended Nov. 26 (240,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims,week ended Nov. 19 (1.551 million during prior week); S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (49.8 expected, 50.2 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (-0.2% expected, -0.2% during prior month); ISM Manufacturing, November (49.8 expected, 50.2 during prior month); ISM Prices Paid, November (46.6 during prior month); ISM New Orders, September (49.2 during prior month); ISM Employment, November (50.0 during prior month); WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, November (14.90 million expected, 14.90 prior month)Friday:Change in Nonfarm Payrolls, November (200,000 expected, 216,000 during prior month); Unemployment Rate, November (3.7% expected, 3.7% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.3% expected, 0.4% during prior month);Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (4.6% expected, 4.7% prior month); Average Weekly Hours All Employees, November (34.5 expected, 34.5 during prior month); Labor Force Participation Rate, November (62.3% expected, 62.3% during prior month); Underemployment Rate, November (60.8% prior month)—Earnings CalendarMonday: Arrowhead (ARWR), AZEK (AZEK)Tuesday: Baozun (BZUN), Bilibili (BILI), Compass Minerals (CMP), CrowdStrike (CRWD), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Hibbett (HIBB), Intuit (INTU), NetApp (NTAP), Workday (WDAY)Wednesday: Donaldson (DCI), Five Below (FIVE), Frontline (FRO), Hormel Foods (HRL), La-Z-Boy (LZB), Nutanix (NTNX), Okta (OKTA), Petco Health and Wellness (WOOF), Pure Storage (PSTG), PVH (PVH), Royal Bank of Canada (RY), Salesforce (CRM), Snowflake (SNOW), Splunk (SPLK), Synopsys (SNPS), Titan Machinery (TITN), Victoria's Secret (VSCO)Thursday: Ambarella (AMBA), American Outdoor Brands (AOUT), Big Lots (BIG), ChargePoint (CHPT), Designer Brands (DBI), Dollar General (DG), G-III Apparel (GIII), Kroger (KR), Li Auto (LI), Manchester United (MANU), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Patterson Companies (PDCO), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), Veeva Systems (VEEV), Weber (WEBR), Zscaler (ZS)Friday: Cracker Barrel (CBRL), Genesco (GCO)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900952377,"gmtCreate":1658631198699,"gmtModify":1676536184778,"author":{"id":"3581746780935690","authorId":"3581746780935690","name":"qstocks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd471dd6c55721dad90e1c808f35bdd8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581746780935690","authorIdStr":"3581746780935690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900952377","repostId":"2253092009","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2253092009","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1658625886,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2253092009?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-24 09:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"There Are Signs Inflation May Have Peaked, but Can It Come Down Fast Enough?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2253092009","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Growing signs that price pressures are easing suggest that June's distressingly high 9.1% increase i","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Growing signs that price pressures are easing suggest that June&#39;s distressingly high 9.1% increase in consumer prices will probably be the peak. But even if inflation indeed comes down, economists see a slow pace of decline.</p><p>Ed Hyman, chairman of Evercore ISI, pointed to many indicators that 9.1% might have been the top. Gasoline prices have fallen around 10% from their mid-June high point of $5.02 a gallon, according to AAA. Wheat futures prices have fallen by 37% since mid-May and corn futures prices are down 27% from mid-June. The cost of shipping goods from East Asia to the U.S. West Coast is 11.4% lower than a month ago, according to Xeneta, a Norway-based transportation-data and procurement firm.</p><p>Easing price pressures and improvements in backlogs and supplier delivery times in business surveys suggest that supply-chain snarls are unraveling. Mr. Hyman noted that money-supply growth has slowed sharply, evidence that monetary tightening is starting to bite.</p><p>Inflation expectations also fell recently -- an upbeat signal for the Fed, which believes that such expectations influence wage and price-setting behavior and thus actual inflation. The University of Michigan consumer-sentiment survey showed that longer-term inflation expectations slipped from June&#39;s 3.1% reading to 2.8% in late June and early July, matching the average rate during the 20 years before the pandemic.</p><p>Bond investors are less worried about inflation, based on the &#34;break-even inflation rate&#34; -- the difference between the yield on regular five-year Treasury bonds and on inflation-indexed bonds -- which has dropped to 2.67% from an all-time high of 3.59% hit in late March.</p><p>Inflation-based derivatives and bonds are projecting that the annual increase in the CPI will fall to 2.3% in just a year, around the Fed&#39;s 2% target (which uses a different price index), according to the Intercontinental Exchange. Roberto Perli, economist at Piper Sandler, calls such an outcome &#34;optimistic but not totally implausible.&#34; From February through early June, investors thought inflation would still be between 4% and 5% in a year.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s a step in the right direction, but ultimately, even if June is the peak, we&#39;re still looking at an environment where inflation is too hot,&#34; said Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, who expects fourth-quarter inflation between 7.5% and 7.8%. &#34;So peak or not, inflation is going to remain painful through the end of the year.&#34;</p><p>And the slower it is to ebb, the larger the likelihood of a damaging downturn, said Brett Ryan, senior U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank.</p><p>Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices and is considered a better measure of inflation trends, was 5.9% in June, down from a peak of 6.5% in March. But Ms. House and Mr. Ryan both expect core inflation to revive and peak sometime around September, as strong price growth for housing and other services combines with low base comparisons in the 12-month calculation.</p><p>&#34;The more persistent inflation pressures, the higher the Federal Reserve needs [interest rates] to go to address them,&#34; said Mr. Ryan. &#34;That argues for a larger recession risk.&#34;</p><p>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said the central bank wants to see clear and convincing evidence that price pressures are subsiding before slowing or suspending rate increases.</p><p>&#34;The moment of truth comes at the end of this year,&#34; said Mr. Hyman. &#34;If the Fed keeps on raising rates, then they&#39;d invert the yield curve. I think that would increase the odds of recession enormously. It would probably also lower inflation, although it also seems to already be slowing, and will probably be even slower by then.&#34;</p><p>Aichi Amemiya, U.S. economist at Nomura, said that though it is too early to call it, his forecast sees June as the peak for the annual measure of overall inflation. However, the month-over-month change in core CPI will be key to watch in coming months, he said. If it slows from June&#39;s pace of 0.7% to 0.3% on a sustained basis by year-end, he expects the Fed to start planning to ease up on rate increases. That, however, will be hard to achieve, said Mr. Amemiya, &#34;which means the Fed will likely continue tightening even after the economy enters a recession.&#34;</p><p>Around the turn of the year, economists were generally confident that inflation would peak in early 2022, as energy prices stabilized and supply-chain pressures eased. Then Russia invaded Ukraine, and energy prices soared. Buzz about  &#34;the peak&#34; crescendoed again when inflation slid to an 8.3% annual rate in April, from 8.5% in March. But gasoline prices flared up again, and gains in food and rent picked up, too.</p><p>There is plenty of potential for another reversal in coming months, said Ms. House.</p><p>&#34;When we look at ongoing core inflation pressures, it wouldn&#39;t take much in the way of a commodities price shock for us to reach another high,&#34; she said, adding that possible examples include an escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a hurricane that shuts down an oil refinery, or an outage at a key semiconductor or auto plant. &#34;We all hope we&#39;re at the peak. But hope is not really an inflation strategy right now.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>There Are Signs Inflation May Have Peaked, but Can It Come Down Fast Enough?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThere Are Signs Inflation May Have Peaked, but Can It Come Down Fast Enough?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-24 09:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Growing signs that price pressures are easing suggest that June&#39;s distressingly high 9.1% increase in consumer prices will probably be the peak. But even if inflation indeed comes down, economists see a slow pace of decline.</p><p>Ed Hyman, chairman of Evercore ISI, pointed to many indicators that 9.1% might have been the top. Gasoline prices have fallen around 10% from their mid-June high point of $5.02 a gallon, according to AAA. Wheat futures prices have fallen by 37% since mid-May and corn futures prices are down 27% from mid-June. The cost of shipping goods from East Asia to the U.S. West Coast is 11.4% lower than a month ago, according to Xeneta, a Norway-based transportation-data and procurement firm.</p><p>Easing price pressures and improvements in backlogs and supplier delivery times in business surveys suggest that supply-chain snarls are unraveling. Mr. Hyman noted that money-supply growth has slowed sharply, evidence that monetary tightening is starting to bite.</p><p>Inflation expectations also fell recently -- an upbeat signal for the Fed, which believes that such expectations influence wage and price-setting behavior and thus actual inflation. The University of Michigan consumer-sentiment survey showed that longer-term inflation expectations slipped from June&#39;s 3.1% reading to 2.8% in late June and early July, matching the average rate during the 20 years before the pandemic.</p><p>Bond investors are less worried about inflation, based on the &#34;break-even inflation rate&#34; -- the difference between the yield on regular five-year Treasury bonds and on inflation-indexed bonds -- which has dropped to 2.67% from an all-time high of 3.59% hit in late March.</p><p>Inflation-based derivatives and bonds are projecting that the annual increase in the CPI will fall to 2.3% in just a year, around the Fed&#39;s 2% target (which uses a different price index), according to the Intercontinental Exchange. Roberto Perli, economist at Piper Sandler, calls such an outcome &#34;optimistic but not totally implausible.&#34; From February through early June, investors thought inflation would still be between 4% and 5% in a year.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s a step in the right direction, but ultimately, even if June is the peak, we&#39;re still looking at an environment where inflation is too hot,&#34; said Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, who expects fourth-quarter inflation between 7.5% and 7.8%. &#34;So peak or not, inflation is going to remain painful through the end of the year.&#34;</p><p>And the slower it is to ebb, the larger the likelihood of a damaging downturn, said Brett Ryan, senior U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank.</p><p>Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices and is considered a better measure of inflation trends, was 5.9% in June, down from a peak of 6.5% in March. But Ms. House and Mr. Ryan both expect core inflation to revive and peak sometime around September, as strong price growth for housing and other services combines with low base comparisons in the 12-month calculation.</p><p>&#34;The more persistent inflation pressures, the higher the Federal Reserve needs [interest rates] to go to address them,&#34; said Mr. Ryan. &#34;That argues for a larger recession risk.&#34;</p><p>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said the central bank wants to see clear and convincing evidence that price pressures are subsiding before slowing or suspending rate increases.</p><p>&#34;The moment of truth comes at the end of this year,&#34; said Mr. Hyman. &#34;If the Fed keeps on raising rates, then they&#39;d invert the yield curve. I think that would increase the odds of recession enormously. It would probably also lower inflation, although it also seems to already be slowing, and will probably be even slower by then.&#34;</p><p>Aichi Amemiya, U.S. economist at Nomura, said that though it is too early to call it, his forecast sees June as the peak for the annual measure of overall inflation. However, the month-over-month change in core CPI will be key to watch in coming months, he said. If it slows from June&#39;s pace of 0.7% to 0.3% on a sustained basis by year-end, he expects the Fed to start planning to ease up on rate increases. That, however, will be hard to achieve, said Mr. Amemiya, &#34;which means the Fed will likely continue tightening even after the economy enters a recession.&#34;</p><p>Around the turn of the year, economists were generally confident that inflation would peak in early 2022, as energy prices stabilized and supply-chain pressures eased. Then Russia invaded Ukraine, and energy prices soared. Buzz about  &#34;the peak&#34; crescendoed again when inflation slid to an 8.3% annual rate in April, from 8.5% in March. But gasoline prices flared up again, and gains in food and rent picked up, too.</p><p>There is plenty of potential for another reversal in coming months, said Ms. House.</p><p>&#34;When we look at ongoing core inflation pressures, it wouldn&#39;t take much in the way of a commodities price shock for us to reach another high,&#34; she said, adding that possible examples include an escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a hurricane that shuts down an oil refinery, or an outage at a key semiconductor or auto plant. &#34;We all hope we&#39;re at the peak. But hope is not really an inflation strategy right now.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2253092009","content_text":"Growing signs that price pressures are easing suggest that June's distressingly high 9.1% increase in consumer prices will probably be the peak. But even if inflation indeed comes down, economists see a slow pace of decline.Ed Hyman, chairman of Evercore ISI, pointed to many indicators that 9.1% might have been the top. Gasoline prices have fallen around 10% from their mid-June high point of $5.02 a gallon, according to AAA. Wheat futures prices have fallen by 37% since mid-May and corn futures prices are down 27% from mid-June. The cost of shipping goods from East Asia to the U.S. West Coast is 11.4% lower than a month ago, according to Xeneta, a Norway-based transportation-data and procurement firm.Easing price pressures and improvements in backlogs and supplier delivery times in business surveys suggest that supply-chain snarls are unraveling. Mr. Hyman noted that money-supply growth has slowed sharply, evidence that monetary tightening is starting to bite.Inflation expectations also fell recently -- an upbeat signal for the Fed, which believes that such expectations influence wage and price-setting behavior and thus actual inflation. The University of Michigan consumer-sentiment survey showed that longer-term inflation expectations slipped from June's 3.1% reading to 2.8% in late June and early July, matching the average rate during the 20 years before the pandemic.Bond investors are less worried about inflation, based on the \"break-even inflation rate\" -- the difference between the yield on regular five-year Treasury bonds and on inflation-indexed bonds -- which has dropped to 2.67% from an all-time high of 3.59% hit in late March.Inflation-based derivatives and bonds are projecting that the annual increase in the CPI will fall to 2.3% in just a year, around the Fed's 2% target (which uses a different price index), according to the Intercontinental Exchange. Roberto Perli, economist at Piper Sandler, calls such an outcome \"optimistic but not totally implausible.\" From February through early June, investors thought inflation would still be between 4% and 5% in a year.\"It's a step in the right direction, but ultimately, even if June is the peak, we're still looking at an environment where inflation is too hot,\" said Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, who expects fourth-quarter inflation between 7.5% and 7.8%. \"So peak or not, inflation is going to remain painful through the end of the year.\"And the slower it is to ebb, the larger the likelihood of a damaging downturn, said Brett Ryan, senior U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank.Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices and is considered a better measure of inflation trends, was 5.9% in June, down from a peak of 6.5% in March. But Ms. House and Mr. Ryan both expect core inflation to revive and peak sometime around September, as strong price growth for housing and other services combines with low base comparisons in the 12-month calculation.\"The more persistent inflation pressures, the higher the Federal Reserve needs [interest rates] to go to address them,\" said Mr. Ryan. \"That argues for a larger recession risk.\"Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said the central bank wants to see clear and convincing evidence that price pressures are subsiding before slowing or suspending rate increases.\"The moment of truth comes at the end of this year,\" said Mr. Hyman. \"If the Fed keeps on raising rates, then they'd invert the yield curve. I think that would increase the odds of recession enormously. It would probably also lower inflation, although it also seems to already be slowing, and will probably be even slower by then.\"Aichi Amemiya, U.S. economist at Nomura, said that though it is too early to call it, his forecast sees June as the peak for the annual measure of overall inflation. However, the month-over-month change in core CPI will be key to watch in coming months, he said. If it slows from June's pace of 0.7% to 0.3% on a sustained basis by year-end, he expects the Fed to start planning to ease up on rate increases. That, however, will be hard to achieve, said Mr. Amemiya, \"which means the Fed will likely continue tightening even after the economy enters a recession.\"Around the turn of the year, economists were generally confident that inflation would peak in early 2022, as energy prices stabilized and supply-chain pressures eased. Then Russia invaded Ukraine, and energy prices soared. Buzz about  \"the peak\" crescendoed again when inflation slid to an 8.3% annual rate in April, from 8.5% in March. But gasoline prices flared up again, and gains in food and rent picked up, too.There is plenty of potential for another reversal in coming months, said Ms. House.\"When we look at ongoing core inflation pressures, it wouldn't take much in the way of a commodities price shock for us to reach another high,\" she said, adding that possible examples include an escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a hurricane that shuts down an oil refinery, or an outage at a key semiconductor or auto plant. \"We all hope we're at the peak. But hope is not really an inflation strategy right now.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}