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04-27

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2023-12-15

$Roku Inc(ROKU)$

2021-09-19

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2021-08-31

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2021-08-14

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2021-09-16

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Wall Street gains as crude price surge, strong economic data prompt broad rally

2021-08-05

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Lemonade drops over 12% in morning trading

2022-02-17

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Long hold?

2021-09-21

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Wall Street ends sharply lower in broad sell-off

2021-08-11

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Toplines After Hours US Market on Tuesday

2021-08-02

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Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week

2021-07-24

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2021-07-20

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China Evergrande Weighing Hong Kong IPO for Bottled Water Unit

2022-11-27

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Here's Why We Think SPY And QQQ Risks Are Skewed To The Downside

2021-09-23

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2021-09-06

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Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?

2021-08-21

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2021-09-03

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for sharing ......","listText":"Thx for sharing ......","text":"Thx for sharing ......","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":168,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":21,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/299646418276448","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":252343226102040,"gmtCreate":1702617932303,"gmtModify":1702617936045,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ROKU\">$Roku Inc(ROKU)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ROKU\">$Roku Inc(ROKU)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$Roku Inc(ROKU)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/645bc382c3970def9eed876484c6b33a","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/252343226102040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946412958,"gmtCreate":1681018370274,"gmtModify":1681018373686,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thx for the game, it was fun","listText":"Thx for the game, it was fun","text":"Thx for the game, it was 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news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943877311","repostId":"2321221668","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2321221668","pubTimestamp":1679369497,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2321221668?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-03-21 11:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Alert: 190 Banks Could Follow SVB Into Failure","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2321221668","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"A number of bank collapses over the past week has spread significant contagion fears in the market.T","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>A number of bank collapses over the past week has spread significant contagion fears in the market.</li><li>These fears have been furthered by a report that as many as 190 banks could see similar runs on deposits.</li><li>If that’s the case, the sector could be far from bottoming out.</li></ul><p>It has been a wild few weeks for investors in a range of U.S. banks. The collapse of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SI\">Silvergate Capital</a> </b>(NYSE:<b>SI</b>), <b>SVB Financial </b>(NASDAQ:<b>SIVB</b>) and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNYP\">Signature Bank</a> </b>(NASDAQ:<b>SBNY</b>) was enough to create serious volatility in top bank stocks recently. Now, this weekend’s buyout of <b>Credit Suisse </b>(NYSE:<b>CS</b>) by <b>UBS Group </b>(NYSE:<b>UBS</b>) is the latest shockwave to ripple through financial markets. The long-established Swiss bank will be changing its banners after more than 160 years in business.</p><p>Today, significant volatility in other regional banks — including <b>First Republic </b>(NYSE:<b>FRC</b>) — signals that these rather widespread bank runs may not be over. The experts appear to agree, too. Recent reports cite the potential for nearly 190 banks to meet the fate of SVB.</p><p>Let’s dive into what to make of this news.</p><h2>Are Bank Stocks Investable Right Now?</h2><p>Much of the allure of bank stocks revolves around the business models of these institutions.</p><p>Via fractional reserve banking, lenders are able to take deposits and lend out more than the assets they hold (creating money via debt). So long as all depositors don’t come asking for all their money at once, this system works. In fact, it has worked pretty well for major banks so far. You need only look at the balance sheet of any top-10 bank to see how profitable this business can be.</p><p>Unfortunately, many small or medium-sized banks took on riskier loans, however, investing their deposits in longer-dated government debt. That’s because this capital needed to be invested in order to pay out a return to depositors, generally in “safe” bonds.</p><p>With interest rates spiking, banks’ bond portfolios have taken a hit. Thus, in many cases, lenders are underwater with their bond portfolios. That means if deposits are pulled, they’ll be forced to realize their unrealized losses. That’s what happened with Silicon Valley Bank — and it could happen for nearly 190 more financial institutions.</p><p>Given that only $250,000 of deposits are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), small businesses — many of whom have biweekly payroll in excess of that limit — have pulled their deposits and put them in larger banks. So, until there’s some sort of increased assurance from regulators that deposits are safe, Credit Suisse’s buyout may not be the last one we hear of this year.</p><p>Over the long term, banks have been a great bet. Investors who have picked the leading banks will likely see little-to-no ill effects from this debacle.</p><p>That said, I’m going to steer clear of smaller regional banks right now. They’re just not worth the risk.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Alert: 190 Banks Could Follow SVB Into Failure</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Alert: 190 Banks Could Follow SVB Into Failure\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-21 11:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/03/bank-stocks-alert-190-banks-could-follow-svb-into-failure/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A number of bank collapses over the past week has spread significant contagion fears in the market.These fears have been furthered by a report that as many as 190 banks could see similar runs on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/03/bank-stocks-alert-190-banks-could-follow-svb-into-failure/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SIVBQ":"硅谷银行","UBS":"瑞银","SBNY":"签字银行"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/03/bank-stocks-alert-190-banks-could-follow-svb-into-failure/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2321221668","content_text":"A number of bank collapses over the past week has spread significant contagion fears in the market.These fears have been furthered by a report that as many as 190 banks could see similar runs on deposits.If that’s the case, the sector could be far from bottoming out.It has been a wild few weeks for investors in a range of U.S. banks. The collapse of Silvergate Capital (NYSE:SI), SVB Financial (NASDAQ:SIVB) and Signature Bank (NASDAQ:SBNY) was enough to create serious volatility in top bank stocks recently. Now, this weekend’s buyout of Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) by UBS Group (NYSE:UBS) is the latest shockwave to ripple through financial markets. The long-established Swiss bank will be changing its banners after more than 160 years in business.Today, significant volatility in other regional banks — including First Republic (NYSE:FRC) — signals that these rather widespread bank runs may not be over. The experts appear to agree, too. Recent reports cite the potential for nearly 190 banks to meet the fate of SVB.Let’s dive into what to make of this news.Are Bank Stocks Investable Right Now?Much of the allure of bank stocks revolves around the business models of these institutions.Via fractional reserve banking, lenders are able to take deposits and lend out more than the assets they hold (creating money via debt). So long as all depositors don’t come asking for all their money at once, this system works. In fact, it has worked pretty well for major banks so far. You need only look at the balance sheet of any top-10 bank to see how profitable this business can be.Unfortunately, many small or medium-sized banks took on riskier loans, however, investing their deposits in longer-dated government debt. That’s because this capital needed to be invested in order to pay out a return to depositors, generally in “safe” bonds.With interest rates spiking, banks’ bond portfolios have taken a hit. Thus, in many cases, lenders are underwater with their bond portfolios. That means if deposits are pulled, they’ll be forced to realize their unrealized losses. That’s what happened with Silicon Valley Bank — and it could happen for nearly 190 more financial institutions.Given that only $250,000 of deposits are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), small businesses — many of whom have biweekly payroll in excess of that limit — have pulled their deposits and put them in larger banks. So, until there’s some sort of increased assurance from regulators that deposits are safe, Credit Suisse’s buyout may not be the last one we hear of this year.Over the long term, banks have been a great bet. Investors who have picked the leading banks will likely see little-to-no ill effects from this debacle.That said, I’m going to steer clear of smaller regional banks right now. They’re just not worth the risk.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943877976,"gmtCreate":1679380338796,"gmtModify":1679380342191,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah","listText":"Yeah","text":"Yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943877976","repostId":"2321221668","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2321221668","pubTimestamp":1679369497,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2321221668?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-03-21 11:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Alert: 190 Banks Could Follow SVB Into Failure","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2321221668","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"A number of bank collapses over the past week has spread significant contagion fears in the market.T","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>A number of bank collapses over the past week has spread significant contagion fears in the market.</li><li>These fears have been furthered by a report that as many as 190 banks could see similar runs on deposits.</li><li>If that’s the case, the sector could be far from bottoming out.</li></ul><p>It has been a wild few weeks for investors in a range of U.S. banks. The collapse of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SI\">Silvergate Capital</a> </b>(NYSE:<b>SI</b>), <b>SVB Financial </b>(NASDAQ:<b>SIVB</b>) and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNYP\">Signature Bank</a> </b>(NASDAQ:<b>SBNY</b>) was enough to create serious volatility in top bank stocks recently. Now, this weekend’s buyout of <b>Credit Suisse </b>(NYSE:<b>CS</b>) by <b>UBS Group </b>(NYSE:<b>UBS</b>) is the latest shockwave to ripple through financial markets. The long-established Swiss bank will be changing its banners after more than 160 years in business.</p><p>Today, significant volatility in other regional banks — including <b>First Republic </b>(NYSE:<b>FRC</b>) — signals that these rather widespread bank runs may not be over. The experts appear to agree, too. Recent reports cite the potential for nearly 190 banks to meet the fate of SVB.</p><p>Let’s dive into what to make of this news.</p><h2>Are Bank Stocks Investable Right Now?</h2><p>Much of the allure of bank stocks revolves around the business models of these institutions.</p><p>Via fractional reserve banking, lenders are able to take deposits and lend out more than the assets they hold (creating money via debt). So long as all depositors don’t come asking for all their money at once, this system works. In fact, it has worked pretty well for major banks so far. You need only look at the balance sheet of any top-10 bank to see how profitable this business can be.</p><p>Unfortunately, many small or medium-sized banks took on riskier loans, however, investing their deposits in longer-dated government debt. That’s because this capital needed to be invested in order to pay out a return to depositors, generally in “safe” bonds.</p><p>With interest rates spiking, banks’ bond portfolios have taken a hit. Thus, in many cases, lenders are underwater with their bond portfolios. That means if deposits are pulled, they’ll be forced to realize their unrealized losses. That’s what happened with Silicon Valley Bank — and it could happen for nearly 190 more financial institutions.</p><p>Given that only $250,000 of deposits are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), small businesses — many of whom have biweekly payroll in excess of that limit — have pulled their deposits and put them in larger banks. So, until there’s some sort of increased assurance from regulators that deposits are safe, Credit Suisse’s buyout may not be the last one we hear of this year.</p><p>Over the long term, banks have been a great bet. Investors who have picked the leading banks will likely see little-to-no ill effects from this debacle.</p><p>That said, I’m going to steer clear of smaller regional banks right now. They’re just not worth the risk.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Alert: 190 Banks Could Follow SVB Into Failure</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Alert: 190 Banks Could Follow SVB Into Failure\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-21 11:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/03/bank-stocks-alert-190-banks-could-follow-svb-into-failure/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A number of bank collapses over the past week has spread significant contagion fears in the market.These fears have been furthered by a report that as many as 190 banks could see similar runs on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/03/bank-stocks-alert-190-banks-could-follow-svb-into-failure/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SIVBQ":"硅谷银行","UBS":"瑞银","SBNY":"签字银行"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/03/bank-stocks-alert-190-banks-could-follow-svb-into-failure/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2321221668","content_text":"A number of bank collapses over the past week has spread significant contagion fears in the market.These fears have been furthered by a report that as many as 190 banks could see similar runs on deposits.If that’s the case, the sector could be far from bottoming out.It has been a wild few weeks for investors in a range of U.S. banks. The collapse of Silvergate Capital (NYSE:SI), SVB Financial (NASDAQ:SIVB) and Signature Bank (NASDAQ:SBNY) was enough to create serious volatility in top bank stocks recently. Now, this weekend’s buyout of Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) by UBS Group (NYSE:UBS) is the latest shockwave to ripple through financial markets. The long-established Swiss bank will be changing its banners after more than 160 years in business.Today, significant volatility in other regional banks — including First Republic (NYSE:FRC) — signals that these rather widespread bank runs may not be over. The experts appear to agree, too. Recent reports cite the potential for nearly 190 banks to meet the fate of SVB.Let’s dive into what to make of this news.Are Bank Stocks Investable Right Now?Much of the allure of bank stocks revolves around the business models of these institutions.Via fractional reserve banking, lenders are able to take deposits and lend out more than the assets they hold (creating money via debt). So long as all depositors don’t come asking for all their money at once, this system works. In fact, it has worked pretty well for major banks so far. You need only look at the balance sheet of any top-10 bank to see how profitable this business can be.Unfortunately, many small or medium-sized banks took on riskier loans, however, investing their deposits in longer-dated government debt. That’s because this capital needed to be invested in order to pay out a return to depositors, generally in “safe” bonds.With interest rates spiking, banks’ bond portfolios have taken a hit. Thus, in many cases, lenders are underwater with their bond portfolios. That means if deposits are pulled, they’ll be forced to realize their unrealized losses. That’s what happened with Silicon Valley Bank — and it could happen for nearly 190 more financial institutions.Given that only $250,000 of deposits are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), small businesses — many of whom have biweekly payroll in excess of that limit — have pulled their deposits and put them in larger banks. So, until there’s some sort of increased assurance from regulators that deposits are safe, Credit Suisse’s buyout may not be the last one we hear of this year.Over the long term, banks have been a great bet. Investors who have picked the leading banks will likely see little-to-no ill effects from this debacle.That said, I’m going to steer clear of smaller regional banks right now. They’re just not worth the risk.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943318414,"gmtCreate":1679119316339,"gmtModify":1679119319719,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah&nbsp;","listText":"Yeah&nbsp;","text":"Yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943318414","repostId":"1126461227","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126461227","pubTimestamp":1679104200,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126461227?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-03-18 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Are Banks on the Edge of Another 2008-Style Precipice?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126461227","media":"Financial Times","summary":"Bearish nerves seem to be winning right now — despite good reasons to hope notUS bank shares are dow","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Bearish nerves seem to be winning right now — despite good reasons to hope not</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51ea2dddf4011084e557bd147c970adf\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>US bank shares are down 17% over the past fortnight © Brendan McDermid/Reuters</span></p><p>Northern Rock, Bear Stearns, Countrywide Financial and Alliance &amp; Leicester. Back in late 2007 and early 2008, when they all failed or were rescued, none of the above was systemically important. And few observers would have predicted the nightmarish crisis that was to strike within the year, felling behemoths from Wall Street’s venerable Lehman Brothers to Royal Bank of Scotland, then the biggest bank in the world.</p><p>Fifteen years later, after a week in which four banks — Silicon Valley Bank, Signature and First Republic in the US, and Credit Suisse in Europe — teetered and were propped up in one way or another, it is no wonder that investors are questioning whether we are facing 2007-style problems that could soon spiral into another full-blown 2008-style disaster.</p><p>There are good reasons to hope not. The primary causes of the 2008 crisis — a glut of poor-quality subprime mortgages that had been spread round the world via derivatives on to the balance sheets of poorly capitalised banks — do not apply in 2023. Credit quality remains decent. And bank capital is two to three times stronger than it was a decade and a half ago.</p><p>Such reassurances have felt empty though in the face of the market panic afflicting bank shares. European banks are down by an average of 19 per cent in a fortnight; US banks by 17 per cent. On Wednesday Credit Suisse shares slumped by 30 per cent intraday, recovering only after central bank intervention.</p><p>Markets were not exactly calm by the end of the week but they had stabilised somewhat. This came after CS made use of a $54bn “bazooka” liquidity intervention by the Swiss National Bank, while the risk of US bank runs was offset by deposit guarantees, new Federal Reserve liquidity facilities and a Wall Street whipround.</p><p>Of course such interventions were not supposed to be necessary after the drama of 2008. The vast package of post-crisis regulatory reforms was designed to ensure there could be no repeat of the domino collapses of banks on both sides of the Atlantic. New minimum levels of equity capital were devised, regulatory stress tests were introduced and liquidity ratios were toughened, dictating that more ready funds should be available to meet customer withdrawal requests.</p><p>This week’s problems in the US were explicitly caused by a failure there to apply these rules to anything other than the eight biggest banks. SVB was brought to its knees by a combination of poor interest rate risk management and lax regulatory oversight, leaving it vulnerable to a run on deposit withdrawals.</p><p>A similar phenomenon afflicted Signature, a crypto-focused bank, hours later. First Republic, another regional bank, became a particular target after panicked investors realised it would not benefit from the special Federal Reserve funding vehicle launched in the wake of SVB’s failure, because it lacked the requisite collateral to tap the scheme.</p><p>As investors looked for victims in Europe, attention settled on Credit Suisse, long seen as the region’s weakest big bank. It shares little or no common ground with SVB — its regulatory oversight is robust, its interest rate risk is hedged. But it has been accident-prone and slow to restructure. A decade or more of bad management and scandals has left the group’s reputation severely tarnished — a particularly bad thing when much of your business model rests on persuading billionaires to entrust their wealth to you. At the same time longstanding shareholders have deserted the bank to be replaced with unhelpful new ones.</p><p>There is even less fundamental reason to distrust the viability of European banks more broadly. Credit losses are low, capital levels are strong and they have come through stress tests.</p><p>But this bullish assessment is still being trumped by bearish nerves — and some logic. Central bank efforts to tame inflation will produce recessionary pressures, pushing banks’ loan losses higher and potentially eating into capital buffers. At the same time unexpected damage may be inflicted on less regulated, but similarly important, parts of the financial system that have got used to ultra-low interest rates, possibly including pensions, private equity and hedge funds. The gilts crisis in the UK pensions market last autumn was a warning sign of such risks.</p><p>Even if the chances of another full-blown financial meltdown are low, our ability to deal with it may be less. Back in 2008, policymakers were able to slash interest rates, launch quantitative easing and flood the banks with rescue capital and liquidity. With government balance sheets today far more stretched, and interest rates needing to rise to combat inflation, the weaponry at their disposal is dangerously diminished.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1580170736413","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Are Banks on the Edge of Another 2008-Style Precipice?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAre Banks on the Edge of Another 2008-Style Precipice?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-18 09:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.ft.com/content/b579e2b1-0b9c-49ec-ba28-6834a20b690d><strong>Financial Times</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Bearish nerves seem to be winning right now — despite good reasons to hope notUS bank shares are down 17% over the past fortnight © Brendan McDermid/ReutersNorthern Rock, Bear Stearns, Countrywide ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.ft.com/content/b579e2b1-0b9c-49ec-ba28-6834a20b690d\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.ft.com/content/b579e2b1-0b9c-49ec-ba28-6834a20b690d","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126461227","content_text":"Bearish nerves seem to be winning right now — despite good reasons to hope notUS bank shares are down 17% over the past fortnight © Brendan McDermid/ReutersNorthern Rock, Bear Stearns, Countrywide Financial and Alliance & Leicester. Back in late 2007 and early 2008, when they all failed or were rescued, none of the above was systemically important. And few observers would have predicted the nightmarish crisis that was to strike within the year, felling behemoths from Wall Street’s venerable Lehman Brothers to Royal Bank of Scotland, then the biggest bank in the world.Fifteen years later, after a week in which four banks — Silicon Valley Bank, Signature and First Republic in the US, and Credit Suisse in Europe — teetered and were propped up in one way or another, it is no wonder that investors are questioning whether we are facing 2007-style problems that could soon spiral into another full-blown 2008-style disaster.There are good reasons to hope not. The primary causes of the 2008 crisis — a glut of poor-quality subprime mortgages that had been spread round the world via derivatives on to the balance sheets of poorly capitalised banks — do not apply in 2023. Credit quality remains decent. And bank capital is two to three times stronger than it was a decade and a half ago.Such reassurances have felt empty though in the face of the market panic afflicting bank shares. European banks are down by an average of 19 per cent in a fortnight; US banks by 17 per cent. On Wednesday Credit Suisse shares slumped by 30 per cent intraday, recovering only after central bank intervention.Markets were not exactly calm by the end of the week but they had stabilised somewhat. This came after CS made use of a $54bn “bazooka” liquidity intervention by the Swiss National Bank, while the risk of US bank runs was offset by deposit guarantees, new Federal Reserve liquidity facilities and a Wall Street whipround.Of course such interventions were not supposed to be necessary after the drama of 2008. The vast package of post-crisis regulatory reforms was designed to ensure there could be no repeat of the domino collapses of banks on both sides of the Atlantic. New minimum levels of equity capital were devised, regulatory stress tests were introduced and liquidity ratios were toughened, dictating that more ready funds should be available to meet customer withdrawal requests.This week’s problems in the US were explicitly caused by a failure there to apply these rules to anything other than the eight biggest banks. SVB was brought to its knees by a combination of poor interest rate risk management and lax regulatory oversight, leaving it vulnerable to a run on deposit withdrawals.A similar phenomenon afflicted Signature, a crypto-focused bank, hours later. First Republic, another regional bank, became a particular target after panicked investors realised it would not benefit from the special Federal Reserve funding vehicle launched in the wake of SVB’s failure, because it lacked the requisite collateral to tap the scheme.As investors looked for victims in Europe, attention settled on Credit Suisse, long seen as the region’s weakest big bank. It shares little or no common ground with SVB — its regulatory oversight is robust, its interest rate risk is hedged. But it has been accident-prone and slow to restructure. A decade or more of bad management and scandals has left the group’s reputation severely tarnished — a particularly bad thing when much of your business model rests on persuading billionaires to entrust their wealth to you. At the same time longstanding shareholders have deserted the bank to be replaced with unhelpful new ones.There is even less fundamental reason to distrust the viability of European banks more broadly. Credit losses are low, capital levels are strong and they have come through stress tests.But this bullish assessment is still being trumped by bearish nerves — and some logic. Central bank efforts to tame inflation will produce recessionary pressures, pushing banks’ loan losses higher and potentially eating into capital buffers. At the same time unexpected damage may be inflicted on less regulated, but similarly important, parts of the financial system that have got used to ultra-low interest rates, possibly including pensions, private equity and hedge funds. The gilts crisis in the UK pensions market last autumn was a warning sign of such risks.Even if the chances of another full-blown financial meltdown are low, our ability to deal with it may be less. Back in 2008, policymakers were able to slash interest rates, launch quantitative easing and flood the banks with rescue capital and liquidity. With government balance sheets today far more stretched, and interest rates needing to rise to combat inflation, the weaponry at their disposal is dangerously diminished.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":90,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950646332,"gmtCreate":1672756483526,"gmtModify":1676538731343,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Rise please&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Rise please&nbsp;","text":"$Micron Technology(MU)$ Rise please","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/679bc4f86dda15b13f3a4377b7ba7755","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950646332","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921141122,"gmtCreate":1671011418567,"gmtModify":1676538475278,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$&nbsp;</a> yes","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$&nbsp;</a> yes","text":"$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ yes","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3306fe2715d90da71341f6d5d5305198","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921141122","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923817100,"gmtCreate":1670822936400,"gmtModify":1676538440970,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Rise&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Rise&nbsp;","text":"$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ 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Thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/897287314","repostId":"2158025081","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885977256,"gmtCreate":1631754253675,"gmtModify":1676530625679,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please. Thx","listText":"Like please. Thx","text":"Like please. Thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/885977256","repostId":"2167592712","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2167592712","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1631747120,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2167592712?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street gains as crude price surge, strong economic data prompt broad rally","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2167592712","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, Sept 15 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher on Wednesday as rising crude prices boosted ","content":"<p>NEW YORK, Sept 15 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher on Wednesday as rising crude prices boosted energy shares and a swath of positive U.S. data suggested inflation has crested and the economic recovery remains robust, boosting investor sentiment.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes gathered strength as the session progressed, with economically sensitive cyclicals, smallcaps and transportation stocks leading the charge.</p>\n<p>While value stocks initially held the advantage, the risk-on sentiment gained momentum through the afternoon, broadening to include growth stocks .</p>\n<p>\"Today is the first time in a while when both growth and value stocks are doing pretty well. It's been either or for much of the last few weeks and today it's both,\" said Chuck Carlson, chief executive of Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. \"Breadth matters, and that's something investors like to see.\"</p>\n<p>A host of economic data showed hints of waning inflation and an ongoing return to economic normalcy, even as supply constraints, complicated by hurricane Ida, hindered factory output.</p>\n<p>Import prices posted their first monthly decline since October 2020, in the latest sign that the wave of price spikes has crested, further supporting the Federal Reserve's position that current inflationary pressures are transitory.</p>\n<p>Next week, the Federal Open Markets Committee's two-day monetary policy meeting will be closely parsed for signals as to when the central bank will begin to taper its asset purchases.</p>\n<p>The graphic below shows major indicators against the Fed's average annual 2% inflation target.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;rose 236.82 points, or 0.68%, to 34,814.39; the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;gained 37.65 points, or 0.85%, at 4,480.7; and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;added 123.77 points, or 0.82%, at 15,161.53.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, all but utilities&nbsp;gained ground. Energy&nbsp;was by far the biggest gainer, benefiting from a jump in crude prices&nbsp;driven by a drawdown in U.S. stocks.</p>\n<p>U.S.-based casino operators Las Vegas Sands Corp , Wynn Resorts Ltd&nbsp;and MGM Resorts International&nbsp;slid between 1.7% and 6.3%.</p>\n<p>Apple Inc&nbsp;snapped a decline over recent sessions following an adverse court ruling on its business practices, and a lukewarm response to its event on Tuesday where it unveiled updates to its iPhone and other gadgets. Its shares gained 0.6%.</p>\n<p>Lending platform GreenSky Inc&nbsp;shot up 53.2% after Goldman Sachs Group Inc&nbsp;said it would buy the company in an all-stock deal valued at $2.24 billion.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.15-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.70-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted seven new 52-week highs and three new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 55 new highs and 106 new lows.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street gains as crude price surge, strong economic data prompt broad rally</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street gains as crude price surge, strong economic data prompt broad rally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-16 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK, Sept 15 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher on Wednesday as rising crude prices boosted energy shares and a swath of positive U.S. data suggested inflation has crested and the economic recovery remains robust, boosting investor sentiment.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes gathered strength as the session progressed, with economically sensitive cyclicals, smallcaps and transportation stocks leading the charge.</p>\n<p>While value stocks initially held the advantage, the risk-on sentiment gained momentum through the afternoon, broadening to include growth stocks .</p>\n<p>\"Today is the first time in a while when both growth and value stocks are doing pretty well. It's been either or for much of the last few weeks and today it's both,\" said Chuck Carlson, chief executive of Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. \"Breadth matters, and that's something investors like to see.\"</p>\n<p>A host of economic data showed hints of waning inflation and an ongoing return to economic normalcy, even as supply constraints, complicated by hurricane Ida, hindered factory output.</p>\n<p>Import prices posted their first monthly decline since October 2020, in the latest sign that the wave of price spikes has crested, further supporting the Federal Reserve's position that current inflationary pressures are transitory.</p>\n<p>Next week, the Federal Open Markets Committee's two-day monetary policy meeting will be closely parsed for signals as to when the central bank will begin to taper its asset purchases.</p>\n<p>The graphic below shows major indicators against the Fed's average annual 2% inflation target.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;rose 236.82 points, or 0.68%, to 34,814.39; the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;gained 37.65 points, or 0.85%, at 4,480.7; and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;added 123.77 points, or 0.82%, at 15,161.53.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, all but utilities&nbsp;gained ground. Energy&nbsp;was by far the biggest gainer, benefiting from a jump in crude prices&nbsp;driven by a drawdown in U.S. stocks.</p>\n<p>U.S.-based casino operators Las Vegas Sands Corp , Wynn Resorts Ltd&nbsp;and MGM Resorts International&nbsp;slid between 1.7% and 6.3%.</p>\n<p>Apple Inc&nbsp;snapped a decline over recent sessions following an adverse court ruling on its business practices, and a lukewarm response to its event on Tuesday where it unveiled updates to its iPhone and other gadgets. Its shares gained 0.6%.</p>\n<p>Lending platform GreenSky Inc&nbsp;shot up 53.2% after Goldman Sachs Group Inc&nbsp;said it would buy the company in an all-stock deal valued at $2.24 billion.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.15-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.70-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted seven new 52-week highs and three new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 55 new highs and 106 new lows.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","GS":"高盛",".DJI":"道琼斯","WYNN":"永利度假村","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AAPL":"苹果","DOG":"道指反向ETF","MGM":"美高梅","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","LVS":"金沙集团","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2167592712","content_text":"NEW YORK, Sept 15 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher on Wednesday as rising crude prices boosted energy shares and a swath of positive U.S. data suggested inflation has crested and the economic recovery remains robust, boosting investor sentiment.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes gathered strength as the session progressed, with economically sensitive cyclicals, smallcaps and transportation stocks leading the charge.\nWhile value stocks initially held the advantage, the risk-on sentiment gained momentum through the afternoon, broadening to include growth stocks .\n\"Today is the first time in a while when both growth and value stocks are doing pretty well. It's been either or for much of the last few weeks and today it's both,\" said Chuck Carlson, chief executive of Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. \"Breadth matters, and that's something investors like to see.\"\nA host of economic data showed hints of waning inflation and an ongoing return to economic normalcy, even as supply constraints, complicated by hurricane Ida, hindered factory output.\nImport prices posted their first monthly decline since October 2020, in the latest sign that the wave of price spikes has crested, further supporting the Federal Reserve's position that current inflationary pressures are transitory.\nNext week, the Federal Open Markets Committee's two-day monetary policy meeting will be closely parsed for signals as to when the central bank will begin to taper its asset purchases.\nThe graphic below shows major indicators against the Fed's average annual 2% inflation target.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 236.82 points, or 0.68%, to 34,814.39; the S&P 500 gained 37.65 points, or 0.85%, at 4,480.7; and the Nasdaq Composite added 123.77 points, or 0.82%, at 15,161.53.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, all but utilities gained ground. Energy was by far the biggest gainer, benefiting from a jump in crude prices driven by a drawdown in U.S. stocks.\nU.S.-based casino operators Las Vegas Sands Corp , Wynn Resorts Ltd and MGM Resorts International slid between 1.7% and 6.3%.\nApple Inc snapped a decline over recent sessions following an adverse court ruling on its business practices, and a lukewarm response to its event on Tuesday where it unveiled updates to its iPhone and other gadgets. Its shares gained 0.6%.\nLending platform GreenSky Inc shot up 53.2% after Goldman Sachs Group Inc said it would buy the company in an all-stock deal valued at $2.24 billion.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.15-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.70-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted seven new 52-week highs and three new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 55 new highs and 106 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899176655,"gmtCreate":1628171592277,"gmtModify":1703502523444,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","listText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","text":"Like please. Thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899176655","repostId":"1121539393","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121539393","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628171164,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121539393?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 21:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Lemonade drops over 12% in morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121539393","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 5)  Lemonade, Inc. stock drops over 12% after online insurers sales decline, losses widen.","content":"<p>(Aug 5)&nbsp; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">Lemonade, Inc.</a> stock drops over 12% after online insurers sales decline, losses widen.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6825a39000754135d042cb3962be5c5b\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Lemonade drops over 12% in morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLemonade drops over 12% in morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-05 21:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 5)&nbsp; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">Lemonade, Inc.</a> stock drops over 12% after online insurers sales decline, losses widen.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6825a39000754135d042cb3962be5c5b\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LMND":"Lemonade, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121539393","content_text":"(Aug 5)  Lemonade, Inc. stock drops over 12% after online insurers sales decline, losses widen.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9094190706,"gmtCreate":1645073100232,"gmtModify":1676533994575,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Long hold?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Long hold?","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Long hold?","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/eac34ca87f93e1bbe6aef905fb5e4810","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9094190706","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860576464,"gmtCreate":1632192719158,"gmtModify":1676530722280,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please. Thx","listText":"Like please. Thx","text":"Like please. Thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/860576464","repostId":"2169681424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2169681424","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1632178073,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2169681424?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-21 06:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends sharply lower in broad sell-off","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2169681424","media":"Reuters","summary":"* All eyes on Fed's policy meeting later this week\n* Indexes: Dow down 1.8%, S&P 500 down 1.7%, Nasd","content":"<p>* All eyes on Fed's policy meeting later this week</p>\n<p>* Indexes: Dow down 1.8%, S&amp;P 500 down 1.7%, Nasdaq down 2.2%</p>\n<p>NEW YORK, Sept 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street fell in a broad sell-off on Monday, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq suffering their biggest daily percentage drops since May.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq also hit its lowest level in about a month, but indexes pared losses just before the close to end well off their lows of the session. The Nasdaq was down more than 3% during the day.</p>\n<p>Microsoft Corp, Alphabet Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Apple Inc, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc and Tesla Inc were among the biggest drags on the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>All 11 major S&amp;P 500 sectors were lower, with economically sensitive groups like energy, which fell 3%, down the most. Defensive sectors including utilities were down the least.</p>\n<p>Investors also were nervous ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting this week.</p>\n<p>The banking sub-index dropped 2.9% while U.S. Treasury prices rose.</p>\n<p>Wednesday will bring the results of the Fed's policy meeting, where the central bank is expected to lay the groundwork for a tapering, although the consensus is for an actual announcement to be delayed until the November or December meetings.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 614.41 points, or 1.78%, to 33,970.47, the S&amp;P 500 lost 75.26 points, or 1.70%, to 4,357.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 330.07 points, or 2.19%, to 14,713.90.</p>\n<p>The Dow registered its biggest daily percentage drop since July, while the CBOE volatility index, known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 is now down about 4% from its Sept. 2 record high close.</p>\n<p>Strategists at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> said they expected a 10% correction in the S&amp;P 500 as the Fed starts to unwind its monetary support, adding that signs of stalling economic growth could deepen it to 20%.</p>\n<p>Most airline carriers ended higher after the United States announced it will relax travel restrictions in November on passengers from China, India, Britain and many other European countries who have received COVID-19 vaccines.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 5.40-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and three new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 23 new highs and 193 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.24 billion shares, compared with the 9.89 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends sharply lower in broad sell-off</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends sharply lower in broad sell-off\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-21 06:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>* All eyes on Fed's policy meeting later this week</p>\n<p>* Indexes: Dow down 1.8%, S&amp;P 500 down 1.7%, Nasdaq down 2.2%</p>\n<p>NEW YORK, Sept 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street fell in a broad sell-off on Monday, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq suffering their biggest daily percentage drops since May.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq also hit its lowest level in about a month, but indexes pared losses just before the close to end well off their lows of the session. The Nasdaq was down more than 3% during the day.</p>\n<p>Microsoft Corp, Alphabet Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Apple Inc, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc and Tesla Inc were among the biggest drags on the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>All 11 major S&amp;P 500 sectors were lower, with economically sensitive groups like energy, which fell 3%, down the most. Defensive sectors including utilities were down the least.</p>\n<p>Investors also were nervous ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting this week.</p>\n<p>The banking sub-index dropped 2.9% while U.S. Treasury prices rose.</p>\n<p>Wednesday will bring the results of the Fed's policy meeting, where the central bank is expected to lay the groundwork for a tapering, although the consensus is for an actual announcement to be delayed until the November or December meetings.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 614.41 points, or 1.78%, to 33,970.47, the S&amp;P 500 lost 75.26 points, or 1.70%, to 4,357.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 330.07 points, or 2.19%, to 14,713.90.</p>\n<p>The Dow registered its biggest daily percentage drop since July, while the CBOE volatility index, known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 is now down about 4% from its Sept. 2 record high close.</p>\n<p>Strategists at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> said they expected a 10% correction in the S&amp;P 500 as the Fed starts to unwind its monetary support, adding that signs of stalling economic growth could deepen it to 20%.</p>\n<p>Most airline carriers ended higher after the United States announced it will relax travel restrictions in November on passengers from China, India, Britain and many other European countries who have received COVID-19 vaccines.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 5.40-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and three new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 23 new highs and 193 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.24 billion shares, compared with the 9.89 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2169681424","content_text":"* All eyes on Fed's policy meeting later this week\n* Indexes: Dow down 1.8%, S&P 500 down 1.7%, Nasdaq down 2.2%\nNEW YORK, Sept 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street fell in a broad sell-off on Monday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq suffering their biggest daily percentage drops since May.\nThe Nasdaq also hit its lowest level in about a month, but indexes pared losses just before the close to end well off their lows of the session. The Nasdaq was down more than 3% during the day.\nMicrosoft Corp, Alphabet Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Apple Inc, Facebook Inc and Tesla Inc were among the biggest drags on the Nasdaq and the S&P 500.\nAll 11 major S&P 500 sectors were lower, with economically sensitive groups like energy, which fell 3%, down the most. Defensive sectors including utilities were down the least.\nInvestors also were nervous ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting this week.\nThe banking sub-index dropped 2.9% while U.S. Treasury prices rose.\nWednesday will bring the results of the Fed's policy meeting, where the central bank is expected to lay the groundwork for a tapering, although the consensus is for an actual announcement to be delayed until the November or December meetings.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 614.41 points, or 1.78%, to 33,970.47, the S&P 500 lost 75.26 points, or 1.70%, to 4,357.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 330.07 points, or 2.19%, to 14,713.90.\nThe Dow registered its biggest daily percentage drop since July, while the CBOE volatility index, known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose.\nThe S&P 500 is now down about 4% from its Sept. 2 record high close.\nStrategists at Morgan Stanley said they expected a 10% correction in the S&P 500 as the Fed starts to unwind its monetary support, adding that signs of stalling economic growth could deepen it to 20%.\nMost airline carriers ended higher after the United States announced it will relax travel restrictions in November on passengers from China, India, Britain and many other European countries who have received COVID-19 vaccines.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 5.40-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and three new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 23 new highs and 193 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 12.24 billion shares, compared with the 9.89 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892335676,"gmtCreate":1628638768895,"gmtModify":1676529802581,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","listText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","text":"Like please. Thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/892335676","repostId":"1195651017","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195651017","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628638405,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195651017?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 07:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines After Hours US Market on Tuesday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195651017","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures were flat during overnight trading on Tuesday, after the Dow and S&P 500 cl","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures were flat during overnight trading on Tuesday, after the Dow and S&amp;P 500 closed at&nbsp;record highs&nbsp;following the Senate passing the$1 trillion infrastructure bill.</p>\n<p>Futures contracts tied to the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">DJIA</a> were slightly higher. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a> futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat.</p>\n<p>At 7:30&nbsp;p.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 14 points, or 0.04%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 2.50 points, or 0.06%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.05%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb78d3b983aa4d779cf3b1bdc234bd42\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves after hours:</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WW\">Weight Watchers International Inc</a>&nbsp;23.2% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.12, which may not compare to the analyst estimate of $0.65. Revenue for the quarter came in at $311 million versus the consensus estimate of $337.1 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">Upstart Holdings, Inc.</a> 17.9% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.62, $0.37 better than the analyst estimate of $0.25. Revenue for the quarter came in at $194 million versus the consensus estimate of $157.76 million. Upstart Holdings sees Q3 2021 revenue of $205-215 million, versus the consensus of $161.6 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ONTF\">ON24, Inc.</a> 14.9% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.04, $0.04 better than the analyst estimate of $0.00. Revenue for the quarter came in at $52.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $51.03 million. ON24, Inc. sees Q3 2021 EPS of ($0.09)-($0.07), versus the consensus of ($0.05). ON24, Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $47.5-48.5 million, versus the consensus of $51.2 million. ON24, Inc. sees FY2021 EPS of ($0.13)-($0.06), versus the consensus of ($0.04). ON24, Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $201.2-204.2 million, versus the consensus of $209.2 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LPRO\">Open Lending Corporation</a> 18.2% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.60, $0.43 better than the analyst estimate of $0.17. Revenue for the quarter came in at $61.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $48.98 million. Open Lending Corp. sees FY2021 revenue of $184-234 million, versus the consensus of $216 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">fuboTV Inc.</a> 12.1% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.38), $0.12 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.50). Revenue for the quarter came in at $130.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $118.88 million. fuboTV Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $140-144 million, versus the consensus of $126.9 million. fuboTV Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $560-570 million, versus the consensus of $531.7 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVI\">Maravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc.</a> 7.4% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.44, $0.13 better than the analyst estimate of $0.31. Revenue for the quarter came in at $217.8 million versus the consensus estimate of $192.29 million. Maravai LifeSciences sees FY2021 revenue of $745-770 million, versus the consensus of $709.65 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDUP\">ThredUp Inc.</a> 7.3% HIGHER; Another record-setting quarter with 27% year-over-year revenue growth</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTES\">Gates Industrial Corp PLC</a> 6.2% LOWER; announced today that certain selling stockholders affiliated with The Blackstone Group Inc. have commenced a secondary offering of 25,000,000 of Gates' ordinary shares. In connection with the offering, the selling stockholders intend to grant to the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to 3,750,000 additional ordinary shares.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKIN\">The Beauty Health Corp.</a> 5.3% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($1.52), versus ($0.30) reported last year. Revenue for the quarter came in at $66.5 million, versus $14.1 million reported last year.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCFE\">McAfee Corp.</a> 3.8% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.21, $0.03 better than the analyst estimate of $0.18. Revenue for the quarter came in at $467 million versus the consensus estimate of $433.99 million. McAfee Corp. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $461-467 million, versus the consensus of $442.8 million. McAfee Corp. sees FY2021 revenue of $1.84-1.85 billion, versus the consensus of $1.79 billion.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OLO\">Olo Inc.</a> 3.7% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.03, $0.02 better than the analyst estimate of $0.01. Revenue for the quarter came in at $35.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $34.03 million. Olo Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $36-36.5 million, versus the consensus of $34.65 million. Olo Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $144.7-145.7 million, versus the consensus of $140.78 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LU\">Lufax</a> 1.9% HIGHER;&nbsp;Morgan Stanley&nbsp;upgraded from Equalweight to Overweight with a price target of $13.00 (from $14.80).</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> 0.7% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $6.42, $4.18 better than the analyst estimate of $2.24. Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.23 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.77 billion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines After Hours US Market on Tuesday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines After Hours US Market on Tuesday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-11 07:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures were flat during overnight trading on Tuesday, after the Dow and S&amp;P 500 closed at&nbsp;record highs&nbsp;following the Senate passing the$1 trillion infrastructure bill.</p>\n<p>Futures contracts tied to the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">DJIA</a> were slightly higher. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a> futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat.</p>\n<p>At 7:30&nbsp;p.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 14 points, or 0.04%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 2.50 points, or 0.06%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.05%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb78d3b983aa4d779cf3b1bdc234bd42\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves after hours:</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WW\">Weight Watchers International Inc</a>&nbsp;23.2% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.12, which may not compare to the analyst estimate of $0.65. Revenue for the quarter came in at $311 million versus the consensus estimate of $337.1 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">Upstart Holdings, Inc.</a> 17.9% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.62, $0.37 better than the analyst estimate of $0.25. Revenue for the quarter came in at $194 million versus the consensus estimate of $157.76 million. Upstart Holdings sees Q3 2021 revenue of $205-215 million, versus the consensus of $161.6 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ONTF\">ON24, Inc.</a> 14.9% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.04, $0.04 better than the analyst estimate of $0.00. Revenue for the quarter came in at $52.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $51.03 million. ON24, Inc. sees Q3 2021 EPS of ($0.09)-($0.07), versus the consensus of ($0.05). ON24, Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $47.5-48.5 million, versus the consensus of $51.2 million. ON24, Inc. sees FY2021 EPS of ($0.13)-($0.06), versus the consensus of ($0.04). ON24, Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $201.2-204.2 million, versus the consensus of $209.2 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LPRO\">Open Lending Corporation</a> 18.2% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.60, $0.43 better than the analyst estimate of $0.17. Revenue for the quarter came in at $61.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $48.98 million. Open Lending Corp. sees FY2021 revenue of $184-234 million, versus the consensus of $216 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">fuboTV Inc.</a> 12.1% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.38), $0.12 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.50). Revenue for the quarter came in at $130.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $118.88 million. fuboTV Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $140-144 million, versus the consensus of $126.9 million. fuboTV Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $560-570 million, versus the consensus of $531.7 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVI\">Maravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc.</a> 7.4% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.44, $0.13 better than the analyst estimate of $0.31. Revenue for the quarter came in at $217.8 million versus the consensus estimate of $192.29 million. Maravai LifeSciences sees FY2021 revenue of $745-770 million, versus the consensus of $709.65 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDUP\">ThredUp Inc.</a> 7.3% HIGHER; Another record-setting quarter with 27% year-over-year revenue growth</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTES\">Gates Industrial Corp PLC</a> 6.2% LOWER; announced today that certain selling stockholders affiliated with The Blackstone Group Inc. have commenced a secondary offering of 25,000,000 of Gates' ordinary shares. In connection with the offering, the selling stockholders intend to grant to the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to 3,750,000 additional ordinary shares.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKIN\">The Beauty Health Corp.</a> 5.3% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($1.52), versus ($0.30) reported last year. Revenue for the quarter came in at $66.5 million, versus $14.1 million reported last year.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCFE\">McAfee Corp.</a> 3.8% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.21, $0.03 better than the analyst estimate of $0.18. Revenue for the quarter came in at $467 million versus the consensus estimate of $433.99 million. McAfee Corp. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $461-467 million, versus the consensus of $442.8 million. McAfee Corp. sees FY2021 revenue of $1.84-1.85 billion, versus the consensus of $1.79 billion.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OLO\">Olo Inc.</a> 3.7% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.03, $0.02 better than the analyst estimate of $0.01. Revenue for the quarter came in at $35.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $34.03 million. Olo Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $36-36.5 million, versus the consensus of $34.65 million. Olo Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $144.7-145.7 million, versus the consensus of $140.78 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LU\">Lufax</a> 1.9% HIGHER;&nbsp;Morgan Stanley&nbsp;upgraded from Equalweight to Overweight with a price target of $13.00 (from $14.80).</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> 0.7% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $6.42, $4.18 better than the analyst estimate of $2.24. Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.23 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.77 billion.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU":"陆金所","TDUP":"ThredUp Inc.","UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","WW":"慧俪轻体","ONTF":"ON24, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","LPRO":"Open Lending Corporation",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数","FUBO":"fuboTV Inc.","MRVI":"Maravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc.","GTES":"Gates Industrial Corp PLC","MCFE":"McAfee Corp.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SKIN":"The Beauty Health Corp.","OLO":"PowerShares DB Crude Oil Long ET"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195651017","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures were flat during overnight trading on Tuesday, after the Dow and S&P 500 closed at record highs following the Senate passing the$1 trillion infrastructure bill.\nFutures contracts tied to the DJIA were slightly higher. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat.\nAt 7:30 p.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 14 points, or 0.04%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 2.50 points, or 0.06%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.05%.\nStocks making the biggest moves after hours:\nWeight Watchers International Inc 23.2% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.12, which may not compare to the analyst estimate of $0.65. Revenue for the quarter came in at $311 million versus the consensus estimate of $337.1 million.\nUpstart Holdings, Inc. 17.9% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.62, $0.37 better than the analyst estimate of $0.25. Revenue for the quarter came in at $194 million versus the consensus estimate of $157.76 million. Upstart Holdings sees Q3 2021 revenue of $205-215 million, versus the consensus of $161.6 million.\nON24, Inc. 14.9% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.04, $0.04 better than the analyst estimate of $0.00. Revenue for the quarter came in at $52.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $51.03 million. ON24, Inc. sees Q3 2021 EPS of ($0.09)-($0.07), versus the consensus of ($0.05). ON24, Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $47.5-48.5 million, versus the consensus of $51.2 million. ON24, Inc. sees FY2021 EPS of ($0.13)-($0.06), versus the consensus of ($0.04). ON24, Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $201.2-204.2 million, versus the consensus of $209.2 million.\nOpen Lending Corporation 18.2% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.60, $0.43 better than the analyst estimate of $0.17. Revenue for the quarter came in at $61.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $48.98 million. Open Lending Corp. sees FY2021 revenue of $184-234 million, versus the consensus of $216 million.\nfuboTV Inc. 12.1% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.38), $0.12 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.50). Revenue for the quarter came in at $130.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $118.88 million. fuboTV Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $140-144 million, versus the consensus of $126.9 million. fuboTV Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $560-570 million, versus the consensus of $531.7 million.\nMaravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc. 7.4% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.44, $0.13 better than the analyst estimate of $0.31. Revenue for the quarter came in at $217.8 million versus the consensus estimate of $192.29 million. Maravai LifeSciences sees FY2021 revenue of $745-770 million, versus the consensus of $709.65 million.\nThredUp Inc. 7.3% HIGHER; Another record-setting quarter with 27% year-over-year revenue growth\nGates Industrial Corp PLC 6.2% LOWER; announced today that certain selling stockholders affiliated with The Blackstone Group Inc. have commenced a secondary offering of 25,000,000 of Gates' ordinary shares. In connection with the offering, the selling stockholders intend to grant to the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to 3,750,000 additional ordinary shares.\nThe Beauty Health Corp. 5.3% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($1.52), versus ($0.30) reported last year. Revenue for the quarter came in at $66.5 million, versus $14.1 million reported last year.\nMcAfee Corp. 3.8% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.21, $0.03 better than the analyst estimate of $0.18. Revenue for the quarter came in at $467 million versus the consensus estimate of $433.99 million. McAfee Corp. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $461-467 million, versus the consensus of $442.8 million. McAfee Corp. sees FY2021 revenue of $1.84-1.85 billion, versus the consensus of $1.79 billion.\nOlo Inc. 3.7% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.03, $0.02 better than the analyst estimate of $0.01. Revenue for the quarter came in at $35.9 million versus the consensus estimate of $34.03 million. Olo Inc. sees Q3 2021 revenue of $36-36.5 million, versus the consensus of $34.65 million. Olo Inc. sees FY2021 revenue of $144.7-145.7 million, versus the consensus of $140.78 million.\nLufax 1.9% HIGHER; Morgan Stanley upgraded from Equalweight to Overweight with a price target of $13.00 (from $14.80).\nCoinbase Global, Inc. 0.7% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $6.42, $4.18 better than the analyst estimate of $2.24. Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.23 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.77 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805182440,"gmtCreate":1627865623280,"gmtModify":1703496723571,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","listText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","text":"Like please. Thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805182440","repostId":"1170689665","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170689665","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627857540,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170689665?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170689665","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Dig","content":"<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&amp;P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and&nbsp;ViacomCBS&nbsp;go on Thursday and&nbsp;DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation&nbsp;New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group Inc. and&nbsp;TAL Education Group&nbsp;cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The highlight on the&nbsp;economic&nbsp;calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p>\n<p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p>\n<p><b>Monday 8/2</b></p>\n<p>CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett &amp; Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p>\n<p>GE stock&nbsp;will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p>\n<p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p>\n<p><b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p>\n<p>Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun &amp; Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and&nbsp;Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p>\n<p><b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p>\n<p>Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p>\n<p><b>The Bureau of Economic</b>&nbsp;Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p>\n<p><b>The ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p>\n<p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p>\n<p><b>Thursday 8/5</b></p>\n<p>Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman &amp; Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and&nbsp;Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p>\n<p>Friday 8/6</p>\n<p><b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b>&nbsp;for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p>\n<p>DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-02 06:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&amp;P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and&nbsp;ViacomCBS&nbsp;go on Thursday and&nbsp;DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation&nbsp;New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group Inc. and&nbsp;TAL Education Group&nbsp;cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The highlight on the&nbsp;economic&nbsp;calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p>\n<p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p>\n<p><b>Monday 8/2</b></p>\n<p>CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett &amp; Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p>\n<p>GE stock&nbsp;will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p>\n<p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p>\n<p><b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p>\n<p>Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun &amp; Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and&nbsp;Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p>\n<p><b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p>\n<p>Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p>\n<p><b>The Bureau of Economic</b>&nbsp;Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p>\n<p><b>The ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p>\n<p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p>\n<p><b>Thursday 8/5</b></p>\n<p>Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman &amp; Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and&nbsp;Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p>\n<p>Friday 8/6</p>\n<p><b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b>&nbsp;for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p>\n<p>DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","UBER":"优步","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","EA":"艺电","GM":"通用汽车",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GE":"GE航空航天",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ROKU":"Roku Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170689665","content_text":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.\nWednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.\n\nThe highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.\nOther data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.\nMonday 8/2\nCNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.\nGE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.\nThe Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.\nThe Census Bureau reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.\nTuesday 8/3\nEaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.\nThe Census Bureau is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.\nWednesday 8/4\nSony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.\nThe ISM releases its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.\nADP releases its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.\nThursday 8/5\nZillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.\nFriday 8/6\nThe BLS releases the jobs report for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.\nDraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174851717,"gmtCreate":1627092065339,"gmtModify":1703484071370,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please, thx","listText":"Like please, thx","text":"Like please, thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/174851717","repostId":"2153829859","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":48,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171561764,"gmtCreate":1626750933358,"gmtModify":1703764490597,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please&nbsp;","listText":"Like please&nbsp;","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/171561764","repostId":"1102833436","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102833436","pubTimestamp":1626750794,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102833436?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 11:13","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"China Evergrande Weighing Hong Kong IPO for Bottled Water Unit","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102833436","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"China Evergrande Groupis considering an initial public offering in Hong Kong for its bottled water b","content":"<p>China Evergrande Groupis considering an initial public offering in Hong Kong for its bottled water business, people with knowledge of the matter said, as the country’s most indebted real estate developer seeks new sources of funding.</p>\n<p>The company is holding exploratory discussions with investment banks on a separate listing for Evergrande Spring, said the people, asking not to be identified as the information is private. A potential IPO could raise several hundred million dollars and take place next year, the people said.</p>\n<p>Shenzhen-based Evergrande has been selling equity in non-property assets and accelerating property sales to reduce leverage, yet it is struggling to restore confidence among investors. China Evergrande Group owns a 49% stake in Evergrande Spring, according to its 2020annual report.</p>\n<p>Shares and dollar bonds of Evergrande slumped Monday after a courtorderedthe freezing of a bank deposit held by its onshore division. Evergrande said in response that it will sue the lender, according to a statement. Later on Monday, Shaoyang city in Hunan provincehaltedsales at two of Evergrande’s residential projects, according to another statement.</p>\n<p>Deliberations are at an early stage and Evergrande could decide to keep the business, the people said. A representative for Evergrande didn’t immediately respond to queries by email and phone.</p>\n<p>Evergrande Spring offers over 50 products in the mineral water, grocery, dairy and fresh food segments, according to the parent company’swebsite. Its products are available in more than 30 provinces and cities across China, as well as over 10 countries and regions participating in the country’s Belt and Road Initiative. Evergrande Spring has established partnerships with over 1,000 distributors and more than 500,000 sale outlets across China, according to the annual report.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Evergrande Weighing Hong Kong IPO for Bottled Water Unit</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Evergrande Weighing Hong Kong IPO for Bottled Water Unit\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-20 11:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-19/evergrande-is-said-to-weigh-hong-kong-ipo-for-bottled-water-unit><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>China Evergrande Groupis considering an initial public offering in Hong Kong for its bottled water business, people with knowledge of the matter said, as the country’s most indebted real estate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-19/evergrande-is-said-to-weigh-hong-kong-ipo-for-bottled-water-unit\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"03333":"中国恒大"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-19/evergrande-is-said-to-weigh-hong-kong-ipo-for-bottled-water-unit","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102833436","content_text":"China Evergrande Groupis considering an initial public offering in Hong Kong for its bottled water business, people with knowledge of the matter said, as the country’s most indebted real estate developer seeks new sources of funding.\nThe company is holding exploratory discussions with investment banks on a separate listing for Evergrande Spring, said the people, asking not to be identified as the information is private. A potential IPO could raise several hundred million dollars and take place next year, the people said.\nShenzhen-based Evergrande has been selling equity in non-property assets and accelerating property sales to reduce leverage, yet it is struggling to restore confidence among investors. China Evergrande Group owns a 49% stake in Evergrande Spring, according to its 2020annual report.\nShares and dollar bonds of Evergrande slumped Monday after a courtorderedthe freezing of a bank deposit held by its onshore division. Evergrande said in response that it will sue the lender, according to a statement. Later on Monday, Shaoyang city in Hunan provincehaltedsales at two of Evergrande’s residential projects, according to another statement.\nDeliberations are at an early stage and Evergrande could decide to keep the business, the people said. A representative for Evergrande didn’t immediately respond to queries by email and phone.\nEvergrande Spring offers over 50 products in the mineral water, grocery, dairy and fresh food segments, according to the parent company’swebsite. Its products are available in more than 30 provinces and cities across China, as well as over 10 countries and regions participating in the country’s Belt and Road Initiative. Evergrande Spring has established partnerships with over 1,000 distributors and more than 500,000 sale outlets across China, according to the annual report.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966292059,"gmtCreate":1669541475771,"gmtModify":1676538206108,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah","listText":"Yeah","text":"Yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966292059","repostId":"1110767793","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110767793","pubTimestamp":1669522613,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110767793?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-27 12:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's Why We Think SPY And QQQ Risks Are Skewed To The Downside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110767793","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryEquities have been on a gradual climb since the beginning of the fourth quarter, with the SPY","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Equities have been on a gradual climb since the beginning of the fourth quarter, with the SPY up 13% and QQQ up 8% QTD.</li><li>There has also been some cautious optimism among investors on signs of easing inflation and the Fed&#39;s consideration for a moderation in the pace of coming rate hikes.</li><li>However, company fundamentals that were previously resilient are now just starting to show the first signs of cracks, while continued borrowing cost increases will only weigh on valuations further.</li><li>The following deep dive analysis will walk through past economic cycles, valuation theory, and recent economic data to gauge where Fed policy might be headed and the related implications on SPY and QQQ valuations as we head into the new year.</li></ul><p>The S&amp;P 500 (NYSEARCA: SPY/SP500) has gradually climbed more than 12% since the fourth quarter began, and closed at a two-month high during Wednesday&#39;s (November 23) session after a flurry of economic data released in recent weeks pointed to easing price pressures and market slowdown that could harbinger a dovish Fed policy stance over coming months. October CPI and PPI showed a stronger reduction in prices than expected, while recent data on jobless claims, retail sales, and business activity also pointed to a slowdown in demand, especially for discretionary goods.</p><p>Despite hawkish commentary from Fed officials still, investors are responding positively to remarks that the pace of rate hikes might be moderating from the recent slew of jumbo 75 bps increases. This has compounded market optimism on a potential shift on the Fed&#39;s policy tightening trajectory to a more dovish stance, with investors&#39; now focusing more on a potential slowdown in the pace of coming rate hikes than where the terminal rate might land (i.e. when the Fed might actually pivot).</p><p>But from a valuation and fundamental perspective, continued rate hikes are poised to squeeze multiples further into contraction, while ensuing deteriorating of financial conditions put corporate earnings at risk. With slowing demand, and mounting macroeconomic uncertainties over the Fed&#39;s tightening trajectory, when inflation would peak, and whether a recession is imminently still at large, volatility will likely continue to overpower markets. While it is difficult to gauge when exactly markets might bottom as macro deterioration gains momentum, the following analysis will turn to past tightening cycles and inflation environments, as well as basic valuation theory to explore where the market climate stands today and what to potentially expect over coming months.</p><p><b>Recent Economic Overview</b></p><p>The drumbeat for moderating inflation grew after CPI and PPI figures came in lower than expected. October CPI rose7.7% y/yand 0.4% m/m (core +6.3% y/y, +0.3% m/m), marking the &#34;smallest annual advance since the start of the year&#34; and coming in under economist estimates of 7.9% y/y and 0.6% m/m. U.S. PPI also eased in October, advancing 8% y/y(core +6.7% y/) and 0.2% m/m (core 0% m/m) compared with economist estimates of 8.3% y/y and 0.4% m/m. The back-to-back indication of easing price pressures pushed the S&amp;P 500 higher in early November, as markets saw it as an encouraging sign that the Fed might resort to less aggressive tightening in the months ahead and potentially achieve a soft-landing that could be beneficial to the valuation of risky assets that have been roiled across the board this year.</p><p>But investors were quickly sent back to the sidelines after stronger-than-expectedU.S. retail sales data for October indicated that the economy was still running hot, while Fed officials rushed to warn markets that &#34;inflation remains much too high for comfort&#34; and there is &#34;still a long way to go&#34; on keeping decades-high price increases under control. But a deeper look into the drivers of retail sales increases would suggest that consumer purchasing power is starting to feel the pinch of both rising inflation and interest rates, and the volume of sales is likely deteriorating too since the October figure of 1.3% is not adjusted for inflation.</p><p>As discussed in one of our recent coverages, the biggest driver of October&#39;s retail sales growth was on basic necessities like food and energy. Meanwhile, spending on discretionary goods like consumer electronics and apparel saw a marked decline, indicating that consumer purchasing power is waning on the back of surging inflation and tightening financial conditions:</p><blockquote>Meanwhile, retailers of discretionary goods such as apparel, consumer electronics, and sporting goods saw a sales decline of more than 2% over the same period. The results imply continued weakening in consumer purchasing power as inflationary pressures persist, while retailers of discretionary goods are looking to lure buyers ahead of the holiday shopping season with price cuts and steep discounts in an attempt to clear inventories.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: &#34;2 Retail Stocks to Watch After Retail Sales Rose in October - We are Watching Amazon and Apple&#34;</blockquote><p>The shift in consumer behavior in response to mounting macroeconomic uncertainties ahead is also telling of the impending demand slowdown over the coming months. Consumer credit card debt is fast approaching the pre-pandemic peak of $916 billion as of the end of September, and the continuation of this trend is further corroborated by recent observations by retailer Macy&#39;s (M), which saw its customers &#34;building larger balances on credit cards&#34;. The latest data shows that Americans&#39; credit card debt has increased by 15% y/y, the fastest pace in two decades while card borrowing costs topped 19%, a level not seen in 40 years.</p><p>The impending slowdown in demand and spending is further supported by the recent rise in jobless claims and contraction in business activity. U.S. jobless claims topped 240,000 during the week ended November 19th, topping consensus estimates of 225,000 and up from 17,000 in the prior week. The jump was the highest in months, a potential sign that the labor market might be cooling as a result of recent mass layoffs across big tech, though economists are also cautioning effects of seasonal attrition, which introduces a &#34;great deal of volatility into this data&#34;. The U.S. job market has remained stubbornly resilient despite the Fed&#39;s implementation of aggressive tools to slow the economy this year, with the jobless rate still at a 50-year low of3.7%:</p><blockquote>Tech companies represent about 2% of all employment in the country, said Richardson. That compares with 11% for the leisure and hospitality industry, which is still struggling to hire workers, she added.</blockquote><blockquote>Source:Bloomberg</blockquote><blockquote>The broad takeaway is a job market that&#39;s cooling albeit not very quickly. That lines up with Jerome Powell&#39;s characterization earlier this week, when the Fed chair acknowledged conditions haven&#39;t softened yet in an &#34;obvious&#34; way and said the central bank is eyeing a higher peak interest rate than it was two months ago.</blockquote><blockquote>Source:Bloomberg</blockquote><p>But added softness in business activity indicates that even &#34;some of the more resilient parts of the economy&#34; are undoubtedly showing cracks as a result of the Fed&#39;s aggressive policy stance deployed this year. The S&amp;P Global Flash U.S. Composite PMI, which measures activity across the American private sector, saw a &#34;solid contraction&#34; this month. The index reached the &#34;second lowest level&#34; since the onset of the pandemic and imitates the dire business environment in 2009. Managers reported slowing demand and new orders due to the effects of &#34;rising interest rates, economic uncertainty and the lingering effects of still elevated inflation&#34;. Consistent with commentary gathered in the latest third quarter earnings season, promotional offers are gaining momentum across suppliers, factories and service providers to &#34;help boost flagging sales&#34;, which is poised to weigh on private sector earnings over coming months.</p><p>Although easing inflationary pressures is a welcomed sight, recent data points to rapid unravelling of an economy that is likely headed towards recession. Minutes from the FOMC meeting in November indicated that policymakers are now seeing a 50/50 risk of recession within the next year, compared with a more aggressive forecast of65%on Wall Street and as much as100%by a Bloomberg Economics model.</p><p><b>What the Fed Says</b></p><p>Amidst the paradox between recent market optimism and a rapidly deteriorating macro backdrop, the Federal Reserve is sticking to its hawkish policy stance in hopes of preventing an unravelling of the work done to date to quell inflation. Recall Fed Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s stern remarks on managing market expectations during the post-meeting conference in November:</p><blockquote>CHRISTOPHER RUGABER. Great, and just a quick follow. It looks like stock and bond markets are reacting positively to your announcement so far. Is that something you wanted to see? Is that a problem or what-how that might affect your future policy to see this positive reaction?</blockquote><blockquote>CHAIR POWELL. We&#39;re not targeting any one or two particular things. Our message should be-what I&#39;m trying to do is make sure that our message is clear, which is that we think we have a ways to go, we have some ground to cover with interest rates before we get to, before we get to that level of interest rates that we think is sufficiently restrictive…If you look at the-I have a table of the last 12 months of 12-month readings, and there&#39;s really no pattern there. We&#39;re exactly where we were a year ago. So I would also say, it&#39;s premature to discuss pausing. And it&#39;s not something that we&#39;re thinking about. That&#39;s really not a conversation to be had now. We have a ways to go. And the last thing I&#39;ll say is that I would want people to understand our commitment to getting this done and to not making the mistake of not doing enough or the mistake of withdrawing our strong policy and doing that too soon. So those-I control those messages, and that&#39;s my job.</blockquote><blockquote>Source:Transcript of Chair Powell&#39;s Press Conference, November 2, 2022</blockquote><p>And the same policy stance has been proclaimed unanimously across commentary from Fed officials as of late, with many sticking to the narrative that there is still &#34;a long way to go&#34; when it comes to quelling inflation. Despite acknowledging that the &#34;lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation&#34; are now materializing, which draws the need to start considering a slowdown in the pace of rate hikes, policymakers remain fixed on tightening policy into restrictive territory, nonetheless. The hawkish commentary maintained indicates that &#34;the Fed is likely to lean against easing financial conditions&#34; despite recent data supporting that the economy is slowing. Specifically, a slowing economy is what the Fed essentially wants to ensure inflation is reined in. The intention of continued hawkishness is to prevent markets from mistaking any potential near-term deceleration in the pace of rate increases with a reversal of the economy&#39;s current slowdown.:</p><blockquote>The big picture illustrates that the Fed intends to slow down in order to allow more time for lags to operate and cumulative tightening to date to show up in the data. The hawkish talk from Chair Powell and many Fed officials subsequently is likely intended to provide air cover for the slowing to take place without an excessive easing of financial conditions.</blockquote><blockquote>Source:Bloomberg</blockquote><p><b>What the Past Says</b></p><p>While continued market volatility in the near-term is almost certain, when the market might bottom remains a big question mark. The Fed&#39;s monetary policy tightening campaign implemented this year is the most aggressive in 40-years, but the economy&#39;s relative resilience this time around when compared to the past suggests that some macroeconomic factors have inevitably changed.</p><p>For instance, technology plays a bigger role in today&#39;s economic development, while simpler factors like consumer behavior and the social construct&#39;s role in the global macro economy have also evolved significantly in the past decade alone. The recent COVID pandemic and the ensuing disruptions to businesses and global supply chains has also injected further complexity into today&#39;s macroeconomic conditions compared to past economic downturns, inflationary environments, and monetary policy tightening cycles. Yet, there are also many overlapping similarities between today&#39;s inflationary environment and monetary policy tightening cycles compared to ones in the past that could potentially shed some light on where the economy stands today and what potentially lies ahead.</p><p><b>The &#34;Global Recession&#34; in the 1970s to 1980s</b></p><p><b>Context</b>. Inflation reached double-digits in the U.S. and across major economies during the 1980s. Similar to today&#39;s situation, soaring food and energy prices were culprit to runaway inflation at the time. The back-to-back energy crisis stemming from the Arab oil embargo in the early 1970s and the Iranian Revolution later the same decade, which resulted in a rapid decline in supplies, pushed oil prices up by as much as fourfold at the time.</p><p>Inflation topped 12% in 1974 with the Fed funds rate rising from 7% to 16% by early 1975, pushing the economy into recession. A stark Fed pivot followed with the Fed funds rate cut to 5.25% by April 1975, causing inflation to return while growth remained stagnate. By the time the second energy crisis came around, accommodative policies were deployed by the Fed in hopes of countering unemployment, but backfired by worsening the pace of price increases - inflation rose from below 5% in early 1976 prior to the second energy crisis resulting from the Iranian Revolution, to 7% by 1979. The Federal Funds Rate was pushed from 6.9% to 10% over the same period in hopes of stamping out inflationary pressure without &#34;stifling fragile economic growth&#34; at the time, but to no avail, which led to an extended period of stagflation instead and pushed the economy into recession again.</p><p><b>Timeline of quantitative tightening</b>. The so-called &#34;stop-go policy&#34; during the 1970s came to an end when Paul Volcker took office as Fed Chair in 1979. Volcker made quelling inflation a priority, &#34;even if it came at the detriment of short-term employment&#34;. To some extent, this is similar to Fed Chair Powell&#39;s commitment to arresting decades-high inflation &#34;even if doing so risks an economic downturn&#34;.</p><p>Inflation had already entered double-digits at 11% when Volcker became Fed Chair, while America&#39;s jobless rate was inching close to 6% near the end of the 1970s. Fed rate hikes continued, pushing the economy into deep recession by 1982 with the unemployment rate reaching 11%. Over a three-year span, the Volker-led Fed pushed its benchmark rate as high as 20% and stayed in the double-digit range until inflation had fallen to 5% by late 1982. The Fed pivoted then with rates declining to single-digits, alleviating unemployment from the peak of 11% to 8% by 1983.</p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Bottom</b>. The S&amp;P 500 traded at single-digit(7.4x to 9.0x) estimated earnings when Volcker led an aggressive quantitative tightening cycle, which was reflective of the lower value of future cash flows. The market subsequently recovered when it became structurally clear that double-digit inflation was put away for good in the latter half of the 1980s.</p><p><b>Policy mistakes</b>. The stop-go monetary policy implemented in the 1970s has been largely viewed as a policy mistake today:</p><blockquote>In the 1970s, the Fed pursued what economists would call &#34;stop-go&#34; monetary policy, which alternated between fighting high unemployment and high inflation. During the &#34;go&#34; periods, the Fed lowered interest rates to loosen the money supply and target lower unemployment. During the &#34;stop&#34; periods, when inflation mounted, the Fed would raise interest rates to reduce inflationary pressure.</blockquote><blockquote>Source:Federal Reserve History</blockquote><p>The on-and-off tightening eventually let inflation and unemployment run loose through the decade. Today, Fed Chair Powell looks to be taking a page from the 1970s on managing risks of runaway inflation, cautioning against a premature loosening of monetary policies even if economic recession is becoming a certain possibility.</p><blockquote>We are not trying to provoke, and I don&#39;t think we will need to provoke, a recession,&#34; Powell said at a hearing before the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, although he acknowledged that a recession was &#34;certainly a possibility&#34; and events in the last few months around the world had made it more difficult to reduce inflation without causing one</blockquote><blockquote>Source:Reuters</blockquote><p><b>Greenspan Tightening 1999 to 2000</b></p><p><b>Context.</b> The Federal Reserve had resorted to monetary easing in 1998 as a pre-emptive measure to shore up U.S. growth&#34;in the face of economic turmoil overseas&#34; at the time, even though unemployment was at a historical low rate of 4.5%. But by 1999, it was clear the U.S. economy was booming, exhibiting a combination of robust consumer demand and job market, while inflation remained in check. This led the Fed to reverse courseunder Alan Greenspan leadership, and aboard a rate hike cycle that consisted of a 175 bps increases in 1999 from 4.75% to 6.5% by mid-2000.</p><p><b>Timeline of quantitative tightening.</b> The 1999 tightening cycle was largely viewed as the Fed&#39;s intention to &#34;protect consumers and financial markets from something it has yet to see - a substantial rise in inflationary pressures&#34;. Inflation was largely flat at the time, while GDP growth almos thalved from 4.3% in the first quarter to 2.3% in the second quarter at the time.</p><p>By mid-2000, the Fed funds rate had reached 6.5%. Coinciding with the dotcom bubble burst that led to severe market instability, fears that continued tightening would slow the U.S. economy into recession had escalated. A Fed pivot ensued with rates cutting back to the 3% range, followed by further reductions in 2001 after the 9-11 World Trade Center terrorist attack that took the Fed funds rate to the 1% range.</p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Bottom.</b> Over the course of the Greenspan-led &#34;flip-flop on interest rates&#34; between 1999 and 2001, stocks actually sold off even when the Fed pivoted to monetary easing. The selloff continued into late 2002 to levels not seen since 1998.</p><p>Market instability was marked by a combination of lofty valuations in internet stocks that fell to shambles after a slew of fraudulent reporting (cue Enron) and bankruptcies surfaced, underscoring rapid erosion of investors&#39; confidence. The 9-11 terrorist attack also escalated uncertainties over the U.S. economic outlook at the time, adding pressure to the market downturn at the time. The S&amp;P 500 bottomed by late 2002, trading at double-digit (~30x) estimated earnings - a stark contrast to observations in the 1980s - which was consistent with record-low borrowing costs at the time.</p><p><b>Policy mistakes.</b> The low interest rates embraced by Greenspan to arrest market instability and declines was largely known as the &#34;Greenspan put&#34;, which is viewed today as a key factor that led the run-up to the 2008 housing market collapse. The Greenspan put instilled a mentality that the Fed would restore market stability in the event of declines - essentially, moral hazard - which caused &#34;excessive risk-taking in stock markets&#34;. This eventually led to high-flying valuations, particularly in internet stocks, that crashed in the 2000s. Similar happened again when financial markets collapsed in 2008.</p><p><b>The &#34;Great Recession&#34; of 2007 to 2009 and the 2008 Financial Crisis</b></p><p><b>Context.</b> Rate hikes resumed under Greenspan&#39;s leadership in 2004 when GDP growth was pushing 4% while inflation was at 2.7% and unemployment at 5.4%, showing signs of an overheating economy. Interest rates rose from 1.0% to 5.25% over the course of 17 incremental hikes between 2004 and 2006, when inflation surpassed 3%.</p><p>By 2007, GDP growth had fallen to 2%, and deteriorated rapidly to 0.1% the following year with unemployment surpassing 7% and inflation pushing 4%. The U.S. economy had effectively entered recession at the time, with unemployment reaching 10% by late 2009 fuelled by the housing bubble burst in 2008 (i.e. 2008 financial crisis). The S&amp;P 500 fell 57% over the same period, wiping out close to$15 trillion in American&#39;s net worth.</p><p><b>Timeline of quantitative tightening.</b> The 2004 to 2006 tightening cycle peaked with the Fed funds rate at 5.25%, but was insufficient in stamping out inflation and keeping unemployment at bay. This effectively drove the U.S. economy into recession by 2007, with a combination of fiscal and monetary policy easing implemented under the leadership of then-president George W. Bush and then-Fed-Chair Ben Bernanke with aims of shoring up the economy. The 2008 financial crisis ensuing from the housing bubble burst that left &#34;trillions of dollars of worthless investments in subprime mortgages&#34; also compounded pains.</p><p>By the end of 2008, the Fed funds rate had already been cut to the0% to 0.25%range to stem the economy from unravelling further. The FOMC had intended to keep the Fed funds rate &#34;at exceptionally low levels for some time and then for an extended period&#34; at the time, and the near-zero range eventually held until 2015. Monetary policy under Bernanke&#39;s leadership was focused on the &#34;use [of the FOMC&#39;s] policy statement to provide forward guidance for the federal funds rate&#34;, which helped manage market&#39;s understanding of economic and financial conditions during the Great Recession.</p><p>The Fed also implemented &#34;large scale asset purchase&#34; (&#34;LSAP&#34;) programs at the time to ensure &#34;longer-term public and private borrowing rates&#34; were kept at low levels in alignment with the near-zero Fed funds rate. This included the Fed&#39;s buyback of mortgage-backed securities (&#34;MBS&#34;) and Treasuries at the time to &#34;reduce the cost and increase the availability of credit for home purchases&#34; - a detrimental corner of the market during the financial crisis. The LSAP program is also similar to the MBS and Treasury buybacks implemented by the Fed at the onset of the COVID pandemic in2020to &#34;help ensure chaotic markets function properly [and] ensure credit flows to corporations as well as state and local governments&#34;.</p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Bottom.</b> The S&amp;P 500 fell 57% between October 2007 and March 2009, though the economy remained weak with unemployment still on the run towards 9.5% in June 2009 before peaking at 10% in October 2009. The index was trading at more than 70x estimated earnings at its trough in March 2009, which was consistent with the hit on corporate fundamental performance across the board, as well as record-low borrowing costs at the 0% to 0.25% range. The valuation multiple moderated to the 20x-range of forward earnings by 2010 as corporate fundamentals started to recover, while the Fed funds rate was held steady at the near-zero range.</p><p><b>Policy mistakes.</b> As discussed in the earlier section, the housing bubble burst that also contributed to the Global Recession from 2007 to 2009 was likely partially driven by market moral hazard instilled by the Greenspan put. Recall that Bernanke also sought to rapid rate cuts between 2007 and 2008 in response to deteriorating macro conditions and the sliding market, adopting a similar strategy as Greenspan that &#34;may have been a catalyst contributing to the conditions of the 2008 financial crisis&#34;.</p><p>However, Bernanke&#39;s subsequent adherence to low interest rates for an extended period, as well as bank bailouts that cost as much as$700 billion, and other monetary easing policies such as the LSAP program ($1.75 trillion) was key to the long, yet stable market recovery in the years that followed.</p><p><b>The COVID Pandemic</b></p><p><b>Context.</b> Fed rate hikes resumed in 2015 under Fed Chair Janet Yellen after economic growth showed an extended period of stabilization in the 2% range, while inflation was flat with unemployment at 5%. The hikes continued even after Jerome Powell took over as Fed Chair in 2018 until the Fed funds rate reached 2.5% by the end of the same year.</p><p><b>Timeline of quantitative tightening.</b> The Federal Reserve resumed monetary policy tightening in 2015 upon evidence of &#34;improvement in the labor market [and reasonable confidence] that inflation would move back to its 2% objective over the medium term&#34;. As mentioned in the earlier section, unemployment had fallen to 5% in 2015 from the peak of 10% during late 2009. The intention was to pursue rate hikes while also maintaining an accommodative policy stance to &#34;support further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2% inflation&#34;.</p><p>The Fed pivoted to rate cuts by the summer of 2019 after the global equity market lost close to $7 trillion of its value by the end of 2018. However, GDP maintained at the 2%-range at the time, while unemployment was at 3.5% and inflation inched up to 1.9%, which stoked concerns of an eventual economic downturn. Rates were cut from the peak of 2.5% in late 2018 to 1.75% by late 2019. Rapid easing took place with rates sliding to the 0% to 0.25% range at the onset of the COVID pandemic in March 2020.</p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Bottom.</b> More than $7 trillion in global market value was lost in 2018, with the S&amp;P 500 giving up close to 10% of its value (or almost 18% from the 2018 peak in September) before finding bottom near year-end. The index was trading at about 20x forward earnings at the time, which was consistent with rising, yet still low, interest rates at the time, relative to past financial crises.</p><p><b>Policy mistakes</b>. Market critics have viewed the 2015 rate hike cycle as &#34;premature&#34;, given inflation was still struggling to climb back towards the 2% Fed target at the time. It was not until 2018 when inflation topped 2%, which also coincided with market&#39;s negative reaction to rising borrowing costs following the preceding years of a near-zero Fed funds rate.</p><p><b>What Exactly is Valuation Composed of?</b></p><p>Before drawing on past economic cycles to gauge forward expectations, we turn to basic valuation theory to understand the interaction between key driving factors, including interest rates, inflation, unemployment and GDP. Most of the time, when we think of valuation, we think of the fundamental leg (e.g. growth, earnings, cash flows, etc.) and the valuation multiple (which is influenced by cost of capital / discount rate). But in economic theory, valuation can also be split into the following two components: steady-state firm value + future value creation.</p><p><b>Steady-State Firm Value</b></p><p>The steady-state value is defined as the value of the firm when &#34;NOPAT (net operating profit after tax) is sustainable indefinitely and incremental investments will neither add, nor subtract, value&#34;. This does not necessarily mean the point at which a company grows at 0% forever, but rather the point of growth that stays constant regardless of whether incremental investments are made (i.e. it could be a steady-state perpetual growth or declining rate).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578dbfd401111f95b82426bc244ff6c8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"67\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steady-State Value Formula (Valuation Theory)</p><p>One way to depict steady-state value is via the steady-state firm value P/E ratio, which is defined as 1 divided by cost of capital:</p><blockquote>A company can continue to grow earnings as it invests at the cost of capital. It will just fail to create value, and hence should trade at its steady-state worth. We can readily translate from the steady-state value to a steady-state price-earnings multiple, which is the reciprocal of the cost of [capital].</blockquote><blockquote>Source:Credit Suisse</blockquote><p>The intuition is to find the valuation multiple (i.e. P/E ratio, in this case) reflective of the point at which continued investments at the cost of capital will continue to drive earnings growth, but not necessarily yield any incremental value creation, and hence stay at a steady-state of &#34;1&#34;.</p><p>To gauge where the market&#39;s steady-state value might be headed, we turn to key driving factor, cost of capital. Cost of capital is essentially the borrowing cost, which can be benchmarked against the Fed funds rate. Based on an understanding of past economic cycles, the Federal Reserve today is likely leaning towards the Volcker era, with a sprinkle of Bernanke.</p><p>What this means is that the Fed&#39;s commitment to taming inflation - even if it comes at the cost of some near-term economic pain - will eventually lead to more rate hikes in coming months, especially as inflation today remains far from the 2% target. This is consistent with the growing drumbeat of calls by Fed officials to raise rates into &#34;restrictive territory&#34; and holding it there until there is structural evidence inflation is back on track towards the committee&#39;s target range. To prevent further policy mistakes (we say &#34;further&#34; since the whole &#34;transitory inflation&#34; narrative last year obviously did not work out), responding to recent signs of slowing demand with a Fed pivot is essentially off the table, as implementing such as policy would likely be begging for a repeat of the &#34;stop-go&#34; disaster in the 1970s before Volcker. At best, the Fed will likely stick to what it has been doing at recent meetings - setting clean and clear forward expectations for markets like Bernanke had. In today&#39;s case, this means there will be more tightening in financial conditions that could potentially push the terminal rate higher, while keeping in mind of the &#34;effects of lags in monetary policy&#34; and start considering a moderation in the pace of coming rate hikes.</p><p>Traders are largely expecting a moderation in the pace of rate hikes from the jumbo 75 bps seen over the summer and fall, to a half-point increase at the coming December meeting, which would bring the Fed funds rate range from the current 3.75% to 4%, to 4.25% to 4.5%. The terminal rate is expected to reach 5% to 5.25%based on current prices on 1H23 Fed swaps. Substituting the estimated terminal rate of about 5% plus an additional percentage point to account for forward market risk premium (reflective of difference between 1-year Treasury yield of about 4.75% today and the current Fed funds rate range of 3.75% and 4%) as proxy for market cost of capital in gauging the steady-state firm value P/E ratio would yield about 17x. The S&amp;P 500, which can be viewed as a proxy for the weighted average of its constituents&#39; respective valuations, currently trades at about 20x estimated earnings. If market steady-state firm value is to be adjusted as a result of continued Fed policy tightening, the S&amp;P 500 could potentially move another leg lower by as much as 15% between now and when the Fed funds rate peaks in the current tightening cycle, which is estimated to occur by mid-2023.</p><p>But there are a myriad of other factors that could impact where the so-called steady-state firm value is headed as Fed tightening continues over coming months, including economic growth and investor sentiment on a broader basis. This is consistent with the observation discussed in earlier sections that market bottomed in March 2009 even though the economy continued to deteriorate with unemployment hitting trough at 10% seven months later in October 2009. This could both be reflective of the fact that market is forward looking (or priced at estimated earnings and forward macro expectations) and/or the lag effect in which monetary policy works, among other factors. What this essentially means is that while rate hikes are expected to peak by mid-2023, it does not necessarily mean that is also when the market will bottom. But nonetheless, even if it is almost impossible to gauge the exact timing, it is more likely that not that the market is skewed towards further downside risks through the first quarter of 2023 at the minimum.</p><p>In addition to the steady-state P/E ratio method, the Gordon growth model is another way to gauge steady-state firm value.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97b0f365e67a424db79cb49516d8b5f7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"74\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Gordon Growth Model (Valuation Theory)</p><p>The key assumption here other than cost of capital is GDP growth. GDP growth is typically used as a key benchmark to gauge the implied perpetual growth of a company, with addition consideration of the maturity of its industry as well as other company-specific factors such as market leadership, competitive advantages, and/or market share:</p><blockquote>Companies operating in industries that are higher growth in nature are typically valued at a perpetual growth rate closer to or more than GDP, given their greater contributions to economic growth. Alternatively, companies operating in lower growth and/or mature industries are typically allocated a lower perpetual growth rate.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: &#34;Shorting Tesla: Bridging Lofty Valuations to Economics&#34;</blockquote><p>As discussed in the earlier section, demand is likely to show a marked slowdown in coming months as consumer purchasing power wanes, especially if unemployment worsens, which will lead to further deteriorating in economic growth. Even though the labor market has remained largely resilient despite the recent slew of high-paid tech layoffs (accounts foronly ~2%of total U.S. employment), consumer weakness is expected to tame demand further and eventually hit corporate earnings, potentially resulting in more cost-driven job cuts. This is further corroborated by the gradual uptick in recent jobless claimsas well as jobless rate to &#34;3.7%from a more than five-decade low&#34;. This means GDP is likely to slow as interest rates increase, widening the spread between cost of capital and growth in the denominator of the Gordon growth model, and inadvertently, diminishing the steady-state firm value.</p><p><b>Future Value Creation Premium</b></p><p>The future value creation premium accounts for the incremental value that additional investments at the cost of capital would earn (i.e. return on capital), and also takes into consideration the time period in which this value-creating opportunity would last.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08bfdfec8d89633ac41365f0fcd39554\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"48\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Future Value Creation Formula (Valuation Theory)</p><p>This is essentially a premium to the steady-state firm value, and explains the lofty valuations relative to broader markets observed in certain stocks, such as Apple(AAPL), Tesla(TSLA) and Snowflake(SNOW), today. Admittedly, these companies have either or all of outperforming balance sheets, profit margins, and/or growth prospects relative to peers, but not all are valued in proportion to the mean growth-valuation ratio observed among their respective peer groups.</p><p>In addition to the &#34;competitive advantage period&#34;, which measures the anticipated time period in which the added value-creating opportunity would last, key assumptions in deriving future value creation premium is return on capital and cost of capital. And return on capital can be substituted by anticipated economic expansion, or GDP growth - when the economy is good, growth and profit margins will likely perform better, and vice versa. But as discussed in the earlier section, GDP growth is likely skewed to the downside within the foreseeable future as demand continues to slow and profit margins get squeezed as a result of high input costs, and near-term requirements for more-than-usual promotional offers to offload excess product inventories.</p><p>Paired with the anticipation for greater increases to the cost of capital as a result of Fed hawkishness that will more likely than not continue for a while longer, the cost-return spread in the numerator of the future value creation component of valuation is poised to narrow. And as cost of capital continues to increase, the denominator will also expand, hence diminishing the future value creation component of broader market valuations, which corroborates the expectation for more downside potential within the near-term.</p><p><b>Implications for the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 - Is the Bottom Near?</b></p><p>Based on valuation theory, and the anticipation for sustained hawkish Fed sentiment drawn from historical observations, the broader market is likely to see further volatility ahead as valuations adjust to rising rates and declining demand. While the timing at which markets will bottom remains uncertain, we are of the view that company fundamentals are only just starting to feel the impact of consumer weakness, which points to further value erosion through 1H23.</p><p>Specifically, consumer spending has remained resilient through the first half of 2022 despite deteriorating sentiment due to surging inflation and rising borrowing costs. But headed into the first half of the fourth quarter, declining business activity and warnings of a marked slowdown among consumer-centric industries such as retail underscore that waning consumer sentiment is now really materializing into real weakness. This is further supported by the consistent drop in American household savings and rise in credit card debt, among other observations, discussed earlier on in this analysis.</p><p>And a specific note to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NASDAQ: QQQ/NDX), constituents&#39; valuations are likely to be hit harder compared to those in the S&amp;P 500 given their cash flows are further out (with some still in pre-revenue phase and/or unprofitable) from realization and subject to a heavier discount as costs of capital increase. The index also consists of constituents with some of the biggest valuation premiums given lofty forward growth expectations previously priced in that may not materialize as expected within the foreseeable future, thus pointing to greater vulnerability to downside risks ahead.</p><p>And given risks of further macro deterioration are now skewed higher with recent economic data pointing to a moderation in the labor market, while monetary policy tightening continues to flow through different corners of the economy, the ensuing rise in the likelihood of a recession will likely take the market a leg lower through the first half of 2023, even if we start to see structural easing in price pressures.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's Why We Think SPY And QQQ Risks Are Skewed To The Downside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's Why We Think SPY And QQQ Risks Are Skewed To The Downside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-27 12:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560523-heres-why-we-think-spy-and-qqq-risks-are-skewed-to-the-downside><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryEquities have been on a gradual climb since the beginning of the fourth quarter, with the SPY up 13% and QQQ up 8% QTD.There has also been some cautious optimism among investors on signs of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560523-heres-why-we-think-spy-and-qqq-risks-are-skewed-to-the-downside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560523-heres-why-we-think-spy-and-qqq-risks-are-skewed-to-the-downside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110767793","content_text":"SummaryEquities have been on a gradual climb since the beginning of the fourth quarter, with the SPY up 13% and QQQ up 8% QTD.There has also been some cautious optimism among investors on signs of easing inflation and the Fed's consideration for a moderation in the pace of coming rate hikes.However, company fundamentals that were previously resilient are now just starting to show the first signs of cracks, while continued borrowing cost increases will only weigh on valuations further.The following deep dive analysis will walk through past economic cycles, valuation theory, and recent economic data to gauge where Fed policy might be headed and the related implications on SPY and QQQ valuations as we head into the new year.The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA: SPY/SP500) has gradually climbed more than 12% since the fourth quarter began, and closed at a two-month high during Wednesday's (November 23) session after a flurry of economic data released in recent weeks pointed to easing price pressures and market slowdown that could harbinger a dovish Fed policy stance over coming months. October CPI and PPI showed a stronger reduction in prices than expected, while recent data on jobless claims, retail sales, and business activity also pointed to a slowdown in demand, especially for discretionary goods.Despite hawkish commentary from Fed officials still, investors are responding positively to remarks that the pace of rate hikes might be moderating from the recent slew of jumbo 75 bps increases. This has compounded market optimism on a potential shift on the Fed's policy tightening trajectory to a more dovish stance, with investors' now focusing more on a potential slowdown in the pace of coming rate hikes than where the terminal rate might land (i.e. when the Fed might actually pivot).But from a valuation and fundamental perspective, continued rate hikes are poised to squeeze multiples further into contraction, while ensuing deteriorating of financial conditions put corporate earnings at risk. With slowing demand, and mounting macroeconomic uncertainties over the Fed's tightening trajectory, when inflation would peak, and whether a recession is imminently still at large, volatility will likely continue to overpower markets. While it is difficult to gauge when exactly markets might bottom as macro deterioration gains momentum, the following analysis will turn to past tightening cycles and inflation environments, as well as basic valuation theory to explore where the market climate stands today and what to potentially expect over coming months.Recent Economic OverviewThe drumbeat for moderating inflation grew after CPI and PPI figures came in lower than expected. October CPI rose7.7% y/yand 0.4% m/m (core +6.3% y/y, +0.3% m/m), marking the \"smallest annual advance since the start of the year\" and coming in under economist estimates of 7.9% y/y and 0.6% m/m. U.S. PPI also eased in October, advancing 8% y/y(core +6.7% y/) and 0.2% m/m (core 0% m/m) compared with economist estimates of 8.3% y/y and 0.4% m/m. The back-to-back indication of easing price pressures pushed the S&P 500 higher in early November, as markets saw it as an encouraging sign that the Fed might resort to less aggressive tightening in the months ahead and potentially achieve a soft-landing that could be beneficial to the valuation of risky assets that have been roiled across the board this year.But investors were quickly sent back to the sidelines after stronger-than-expectedU.S. retail sales data for October indicated that the economy was still running hot, while Fed officials rushed to warn markets that \"inflation remains much too high for comfort\" and there is \"still a long way to go\" on keeping decades-high price increases under control. But a deeper look into the drivers of retail sales increases would suggest that consumer purchasing power is starting to feel the pinch of both rising inflation and interest rates, and the volume of sales is likely deteriorating too since the October figure of 1.3% is not adjusted for inflation.As discussed in one of our recent coverages, the biggest driver of October's retail sales growth was on basic necessities like food and energy. Meanwhile, spending on discretionary goods like consumer electronics and apparel saw a marked decline, indicating that consumer purchasing power is waning on the back of surging inflation and tightening financial conditions:Meanwhile, retailers of discretionary goods such as apparel, consumer electronics, and sporting goods saw a sales decline of more than 2% over the same period. The results imply continued weakening in consumer purchasing power as inflationary pressures persist, while retailers of discretionary goods are looking to lure buyers ahead of the holiday shopping season with price cuts and steep discounts in an attempt to clear inventories.Source: \"2 Retail Stocks to Watch After Retail Sales Rose in October - We are Watching Amazon and Apple\"The shift in consumer behavior in response to mounting macroeconomic uncertainties ahead is also telling of the impending demand slowdown over the coming months. Consumer credit card debt is fast approaching the pre-pandemic peak of $916 billion as of the end of September, and the continuation of this trend is further corroborated by recent observations by retailer Macy's (M), which saw its customers \"building larger balances on credit cards\". The latest data shows that Americans' credit card debt has increased by 15% y/y, the fastest pace in two decades while card borrowing costs topped 19%, a level not seen in 40 years.The impending slowdown in demand and spending is further supported by the recent rise in jobless claims and contraction in business activity. U.S. jobless claims topped 240,000 during the week ended November 19th, topping consensus estimates of 225,000 and up from 17,000 in the prior week. The jump was the highest in months, a potential sign that the labor market might be cooling as a result of recent mass layoffs across big tech, though economists are also cautioning effects of seasonal attrition, which introduces a \"great deal of volatility into this data\". The U.S. job market has remained stubbornly resilient despite the Fed's implementation of aggressive tools to slow the economy this year, with the jobless rate still at a 50-year low of3.7%:Tech companies represent about 2% of all employment in the country, said Richardson. That compares with 11% for the leisure and hospitality industry, which is still struggling to hire workers, she added.Source:BloombergThe broad takeaway is a job market that's cooling albeit not very quickly. That lines up with Jerome Powell's characterization earlier this week, when the Fed chair acknowledged conditions haven't softened yet in an \"obvious\" way and said the central bank is eyeing a higher peak interest rate than it was two months ago.Source:BloombergBut added softness in business activity indicates that even \"some of the more resilient parts of the economy\" are undoubtedly showing cracks as a result of the Fed's aggressive policy stance deployed this year. The S&P Global Flash U.S. Composite PMI, which measures activity across the American private sector, saw a \"solid contraction\" this month. The index reached the \"second lowest level\" since the onset of the pandemic and imitates the dire business environment in 2009. Managers reported slowing demand and new orders due to the effects of \"rising interest rates, economic uncertainty and the lingering effects of still elevated inflation\". Consistent with commentary gathered in the latest third quarter earnings season, promotional offers are gaining momentum across suppliers, factories and service providers to \"help boost flagging sales\", which is poised to weigh on private sector earnings over coming months.Although easing inflationary pressures is a welcomed sight, recent data points to rapid unravelling of an economy that is likely headed towards recession. Minutes from the FOMC meeting in November indicated that policymakers are now seeing a 50/50 risk of recession within the next year, compared with a more aggressive forecast of65%on Wall Street and as much as100%by a Bloomberg Economics model.What the Fed SaysAmidst the paradox between recent market optimism and a rapidly deteriorating macro backdrop, the Federal Reserve is sticking to its hawkish policy stance in hopes of preventing an unravelling of the work done to date to quell inflation. Recall Fed Chair Jerome Powell's stern remarks on managing market expectations during the post-meeting conference in November:CHRISTOPHER RUGABER. Great, and just a quick follow. It looks like stock and bond markets are reacting positively to your announcement so far. Is that something you wanted to see? Is that a problem or what-how that might affect your future policy to see this positive reaction?CHAIR POWELL. We're not targeting any one or two particular things. Our message should be-what I'm trying to do is make sure that our message is clear, which is that we think we have a ways to go, we have some ground to cover with interest rates before we get to, before we get to that level of interest rates that we think is sufficiently restrictive…If you look at the-I have a table of the last 12 months of 12-month readings, and there's really no pattern there. We're exactly where we were a year ago. So I would also say, it's premature to discuss pausing. And it's not something that we're thinking about. That's really not a conversation to be had now. We have a ways to go. And the last thing I'll say is that I would want people to understand our commitment to getting this done and to not making the mistake of not doing enough or the mistake of withdrawing our strong policy and doing that too soon. So those-I control those messages, and that's my job.Source:Transcript of Chair Powell's Press Conference, November 2, 2022And the same policy stance has been proclaimed unanimously across commentary from Fed officials as of late, with many sticking to the narrative that there is still \"a long way to go\" when it comes to quelling inflation. Despite acknowledging that the \"lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation\" are now materializing, which draws the need to start considering a slowdown in the pace of rate hikes, policymakers remain fixed on tightening policy into restrictive territory, nonetheless. The hawkish commentary maintained indicates that \"the Fed is likely to lean against easing financial conditions\" despite recent data supporting that the economy is slowing. Specifically, a slowing economy is what the Fed essentially wants to ensure inflation is reined in. The intention of continued hawkishness is to prevent markets from mistaking any potential near-term deceleration in the pace of rate increases with a reversal of the economy's current slowdown.:The big picture illustrates that the Fed intends to slow down in order to allow more time for lags to operate and cumulative tightening to date to show up in the data. The hawkish talk from Chair Powell and many Fed officials subsequently is likely intended to provide air cover for the slowing to take place without an excessive easing of financial conditions.Source:BloombergWhat the Past SaysWhile continued market volatility in the near-term is almost certain, when the market might bottom remains a big question mark. The Fed's monetary policy tightening campaign implemented this year is the most aggressive in 40-years, but the economy's relative resilience this time around when compared to the past suggests that some macroeconomic factors have inevitably changed.For instance, technology plays a bigger role in today's economic development, while simpler factors like consumer behavior and the social construct's role in the global macro economy have also evolved significantly in the past decade alone. The recent COVID pandemic and the ensuing disruptions to businesses and global supply chains has also injected further complexity into today's macroeconomic conditions compared to past economic downturns, inflationary environments, and monetary policy tightening cycles. Yet, there are also many overlapping similarities between today's inflationary environment and monetary policy tightening cycles compared to ones in the past that could potentially shed some light on where the economy stands today and what potentially lies ahead.The \"Global Recession\" in the 1970s to 1980sContext. Inflation reached double-digits in the U.S. and across major economies during the 1980s. Similar to today's situation, soaring food and energy prices were culprit to runaway inflation at the time. The back-to-back energy crisis stemming from the Arab oil embargo in the early 1970s and the Iranian Revolution later the same decade, which resulted in a rapid decline in supplies, pushed oil prices up by as much as fourfold at the time.Inflation topped 12% in 1974 with the Fed funds rate rising from 7% to 16% by early 1975, pushing the economy into recession. A stark Fed pivot followed with the Fed funds rate cut to 5.25% by April 1975, causing inflation to return while growth remained stagnate. By the time the second energy crisis came around, accommodative policies were deployed by the Fed in hopes of countering unemployment, but backfired by worsening the pace of price increases - inflation rose from below 5% in early 1976 prior to the second energy crisis resulting from the Iranian Revolution, to 7% by 1979. The Federal Funds Rate was pushed from 6.9% to 10% over the same period in hopes of stamping out inflationary pressure without \"stifling fragile economic growth\" at the time, but to no avail, which led to an extended period of stagflation instead and pushed the economy into recession again.Timeline of quantitative tightening. The so-called \"stop-go policy\" during the 1970s came to an end when Paul Volcker took office as Fed Chair in 1979. Volcker made quelling inflation a priority, \"even if it came at the detriment of short-term employment\". To some extent, this is similar to Fed Chair Powell's commitment to arresting decades-high inflation \"even if doing so risks an economic downturn\".Inflation had already entered double-digits at 11% when Volcker became Fed Chair, while America's jobless rate was inching close to 6% near the end of the 1970s. Fed rate hikes continued, pushing the economy into deep recession by 1982 with the unemployment rate reaching 11%. Over a three-year span, the Volker-led Fed pushed its benchmark rate as high as 20% and stayed in the double-digit range until inflation had fallen to 5% by late 1982. The Fed pivoted then with rates declining to single-digits, alleviating unemployment from the peak of 11% to 8% by 1983.S&P 500 Bottom. The S&P 500 traded at single-digit(7.4x to 9.0x) estimated earnings when Volcker led an aggressive quantitative tightening cycle, which was reflective of the lower value of future cash flows. The market subsequently recovered when it became structurally clear that double-digit inflation was put away for good in the latter half of the 1980s.Policy mistakes. The stop-go monetary policy implemented in the 1970s has been largely viewed as a policy mistake today:In the 1970s, the Fed pursued what economists would call \"stop-go\" monetary policy, which alternated between fighting high unemployment and high inflation. During the \"go\" periods, the Fed lowered interest rates to loosen the money supply and target lower unemployment. During the \"stop\" periods, when inflation mounted, the Fed would raise interest rates to reduce inflationary pressure.Source:Federal Reserve HistoryThe on-and-off tightening eventually let inflation and unemployment run loose through the decade. Today, Fed Chair Powell looks to be taking a page from the 1970s on managing risks of runaway inflation, cautioning against a premature loosening of monetary policies even if economic recession is becoming a certain possibility.We are not trying to provoke, and I don't think we will need to provoke, a recession,\" Powell said at a hearing before the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, although he acknowledged that a recession was \"certainly a possibility\" and events in the last few months around the world had made it more difficult to reduce inflation without causing oneSource:ReutersGreenspan Tightening 1999 to 2000Context. The Federal Reserve had resorted to monetary easing in 1998 as a pre-emptive measure to shore up U.S. growth\"in the face of economic turmoil overseas\" at the time, even though unemployment was at a historical low rate of 4.5%. But by 1999, it was clear the U.S. economy was booming, exhibiting a combination of robust consumer demand and job market, while inflation remained in check. This led the Fed to reverse courseunder Alan Greenspan leadership, and aboard a rate hike cycle that consisted of a 175 bps increases in 1999 from 4.75% to 6.5% by mid-2000.Timeline of quantitative tightening. The 1999 tightening cycle was largely viewed as the Fed's intention to \"protect consumers and financial markets from something it has yet to see - a substantial rise in inflationary pressures\". Inflation was largely flat at the time, while GDP growth almos thalved from 4.3% in the first quarter to 2.3% in the second quarter at the time.By mid-2000, the Fed funds rate had reached 6.5%. Coinciding with the dotcom bubble burst that led to severe market instability, fears that continued tightening would slow the U.S. economy into recession had escalated. A Fed pivot ensued with rates cutting back to the 3% range, followed by further reductions in 2001 after the 9-11 World Trade Center terrorist attack that took the Fed funds rate to the 1% range.S&P 500 Bottom. Over the course of the Greenspan-led \"flip-flop on interest rates\" between 1999 and 2001, stocks actually sold off even when the Fed pivoted to monetary easing. The selloff continued into late 2002 to levels not seen since 1998.Market instability was marked by a combination of lofty valuations in internet stocks that fell to shambles after a slew of fraudulent reporting (cue Enron) and bankruptcies surfaced, underscoring rapid erosion of investors' confidence. The 9-11 terrorist attack also escalated uncertainties over the U.S. economic outlook at the time, adding pressure to the market downturn at the time. The S&P 500 bottomed by late 2002, trading at double-digit (~30x) estimated earnings - a stark contrast to observations in the 1980s - which was consistent with record-low borrowing costs at the time.Policy mistakes. The low interest rates embraced by Greenspan to arrest market instability and declines was largely known as the \"Greenspan put\", which is viewed today as a key factor that led the run-up to the 2008 housing market collapse. The Greenspan put instilled a mentality that the Fed would restore market stability in the event of declines - essentially, moral hazard - which caused \"excessive risk-taking in stock markets\". This eventually led to high-flying valuations, particularly in internet stocks, that crashed in the 2000s. Similar happened again when financial markets collapsed in 2008.The \"Great Recession\" of 2007 to 2009 and the 2008 Financial CrisisContext. Rate hikes resumed under Greenspan's leadership in 2004 when GDP growth was pushing 4% while inflation was at 2.7% and unemployment at 5.4%, showing signs of an overheating economy. Interest rates rose from 1.0% to 5.25% over the course of 17 incremental hikes between 2004 and 2006, when inflation surpassed 3%.By 2007, GDP growth had fallen to 2%, and deteriorated rapidly to 0.1% the following year with unemployment surpassing 7% and inflation pushing 4%. The U.S. economy had effectively entered recession at the time, with unemployment reaching 10% by late 2009 fuelled by the housing bubble burst in 2008 (i.e. 2008 financial crisis). The S&P 500 fell 57% over the same period, wiping out close to$15 trillion in American's net worth.Timeline of quantitative tightening. The 2004 to 2006 tightening cycle peaked with the Fed funds rate at 5.25%, but was insufficient in stamping out inflation and keeping unemployment at bay. This effectively drove the U.S. economy into recession by 2007, with a combination of fiscal and monetary policy easing implemented under the leadership of then-president George W. Bush and then-Fed-Chair Ben Bernanke with aims of shoring up the economy. The 2008 financial crisis ensuing from the housing bubble burst that left \"trillions of dollars of worthless investments in subprime mortgages\" also compounded pains.By the end of 2008, the Fed funds rate had already been cut to the0% to 0.25%range to stem the economy from unravelling further. The FOMC had intended to keep the Fed funds rate \"at exceptionally low levels for some time and then for an extended period\" at the time, and the near-zero range eventually held until 2015. Monetary policy under Bernanke's leadership was focused on the \"use [of the FOMC's] policy statement to provide forward guidance for the federal funds rate\", which helped manage market's understanding of economic and financial conditions during the Great Recession.The Fed also implemented \"large scale asset purchase\" (\"LSAP\") programs at the time to ensure \"longer-term public and private borrowing rates\" were kept at low levels in alignment with the near-zero Fed funds rate. This included the Fed's buyback of mortgage-backed securities (\"MBS\") and Treasuries at the time to \"reduce the cost and increase the availability of credit for home purchases\" - a detrimental corner of the market during the financial crisis. The LSAP program is also similar to the MBS and Treasury buybacks implemented by the Fed at the onset of the COVID pandemic in2020to \"help ensure chaotic markets function properly [and] ensure credit flows to corporations as well as state and local governments\".S&P 500 Bottom. The S&P 500 fell 57% between October 2007 and March 2009, though the economy remained weak with unemployment still on the run towards 9.5% in June 2009 before peaking at 10% in October 2009. The index was trading at more than 70x estimated earnings at its trough in March 2009, which was consistent with the hit on corporate fundamental performance across the board, as well as record-low borrowing costs at the 0% to 0.25% range. The valuation multiple moderated to the 20x-range of forward earnings by 2010 as corporate fundamentals started to recover, while the Fed funds rate was held steady at the near-zero range.Policy mistakes. As discussed in the earlier section, the housing bubble burst that also contributed to the Global Recession from 2007 to 2009 was likely partially driven by market moral hazard instilled by the Greenspan put. Recall that Bernanke also sought to rapid rate cuts between 2007 and 2008 in response to deteriorating macro conditions and the sliding market, adopting a similar strategy as Greenspan that \"may have been a catalyst contributing to the conditions of the 2008 financial crisis\".However, Bernanke's subsequent adherence to low interest rates for an extended period, as well as bank bailouts that cost as much as$700 billion, and other monetary easing policies such as the LSAP program ($1.75 trillion) was key to the long, yet stable market recovery in the years that followed.The COVID PandemicContext. Fed rate hikes resumed in 2015 under Fed Chair Janet Yellen after economic growth showed an extended period of stabilization in the 2% range, while inflation was flat with unemployment at 5%. The hikes continued even after Jerome Powell took over as Fed Chair in 2018 until the Fed funds rate reached 2.5% by the end of the same year.Timeline of quantitative tightening. The Federal Reserve resumed monetary policy tightening in 2015 upon evidence of \"improvement in the labor market [and reasonable confidence] that inflation would move back to its 2% objective over the medium term\". As mentioned in the earlier section, unemployment had fallen to 5% in 2015 from the peak of 10% during late 2009. The intention was to pursue rate hikes while also maintaining an accommodative policy stance to \"support further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2% inflation\".The Fed pivoted to rate cuts by the summer of 2019 after the global equity market lost close to $7 trillion of its value by the end of 2018. However, GDP maintained at the 2%-range at the time, while unemployment was at 3.5% and inflation inched up to 1.9%, which stoked concerns of an eventual economic downturn. Rates were cut from the peak of 2.5% in late 2018 to 1.75% by late 2019. Rapid easing took place with rates sliding to the 0% to 0.25% range at the onset of the COVID pandemic in March 2020.S&P 500 Bottom. More than $7 trillion in global market value was lost in 2018, with the S&P 500 giving up close to 10% of its value (or almost 18% from the 2018 peak in September) before finding bottom near year-end. The index was trading at about 20x forward earnings at the time, which was consistent with rising, yet still low, interest rates at the time, relative to past financial crises.Policy mistakes. Market critics have viewed the 2015 rate hike cycle as \"premature\", given inflation was still struggling to climb back towards the 2% Fed target at the time. It was not until 2018 when inflation topped 2%, which also coincided with market's negative reaction to rising borrowing costs following the preceding years of a near-zero Fed funds rate.What Exactly is Valuation Composed of?Before drawing on past economic cycles to gauge forward expectations, we turn to basic valuation theory to understand the interaction between key driving factors, including interest rates, inflation, unemployment and GDP. Most of the time, when we think of valuation, we think of the fundamental leg (e.g. growth, earnings, cash flows, etc.) and the valuation multiple (which is influenced by cost of capital / discount rate). But in economic theory, valuation can also be split into the following two components: steady-state firm value + future value creation.Steady-State Firm ValueThe steady-state value is defined as the value of the firm when \"NOPAT (net operating profit after tax) is sustainable indefinitely and incremental investments will neither add, nor subtract, value\". This does not necessarily mean the point at which a company grows at 0% forever, but rather the point of growth that stays constant regardless of whether incremental investments are made (i.e. it could be a steady-state perpetual growth or declining rate).Steady-State Value Formula (Valuation Theory)One way to depict steady-state value is via the steady-state firm value P/E ratio, which is defined as 1 divided by cost of capital:A company can continue to grow earnings as it invests at the cost of capital. It will just fail to create value, and hence should trade at its steady-state worth. We can readily translate from the steady-state value to a steady-state price-earnings multiple, which is the reciprocal of the cost of [capital].Source:Credit SuisseThe intuition is to find the valuation multiple (i.e. P/E ratio, in this case) reflective of the point at which continued investments at the cost of capital will continue to drive earnings growth, but not necessarily yield any incremental value creation, and hence stay at a steady-state of \"1\".To gauge where the market's steady-state value might be headed, we turn to key driving factor, cost of capital. Cost of capital is essentially the borrowing cost, which can be benchmarked against the Fed funds rate. Based on an understanding of past economic cycles, the Federal Reserve today is likely leaning towards the Volcker era, with a sprinkle of Bernanke.What this means is that the Fed's commitment to taming inflation - even if it comes at the cost of some near-term economic pain - will eventually lead to more rate hikes in coming months, especially as inflation today remains far from the 2% target. This is consistent with the growing drumbeat of calls by Fed officials to raise rates into \"restrictive territory\" and holding it there until there is structural evidence inflation is back on track towards the committee's target range. To prevent further policy mistakes (we say \"further\" since the whole \"transitory inflation\" narrative last year obviously did not work out), responding to recent signs of slowing demand with a Fed pivot is essentially off the table, as implementing such as policy would likely be begging for a repeat of the \"stop-go\" disaster in the 1970s before Volcker. At best, the Fed will likely stick to what it has been doing at recent meetings - setting clean and clear forward expectations for markets like Bernanke had. In today's case, this means there will be more tightening in financial conditions that could potentially push the terminal rate higher, while keeping in mind of the \"effects of lags in monetary policy\" and start considering a moderation in the pace of coming rate hikes.Traders are largely expecting a moderation in the pace of rate hikes from the jumbo 75 bps seen over the summer and fall, to a half-point increase at the coming December meeting, which would bring the Fed funds rate range from the current 3.75% to 4%, to 4.25% to 4.5%. The terminal rate is expected to reach 5% to 5.25%based on current prices on 1H23 Fed swaps. Substituting the estimated terminal rate of about 5% plus an additional percentage point to account for forward market risk premium (reflective of difference between 1-year Treasury yield of about 4.75% today and the current Fed funds rate range of 3.75% and 4%) as proxy for market cost of capital in gauging the steady-state firm value P/E ratio would yield about 17x. The S&P 500, which can be viewed as a proxy for the weighted average of its constituents' respective valuations, currently trades at about 20x estimated earnings. If market steady-state firm value is to be adjusted as a result of continued Fed policy tightening, the S&P 500 could potentially move another leg lower by as much as 15% between now and when the Fed funds rate peaks in the current tightening cycle, which is estimated to occur by mid-2023.But there are a myriad of other factors that could impact where the so-called steady-state firm value is headed as Fed tightening continues over coming months, including economic growth and investor sentiment on a broader basis. This is consistent with the observation discussed in earlier sections that market bottomed in March 2009 even though the economy continued to deteriorate with unemployment hitting trough at 10% seven months later in October 2009. This could both be reflective of the fact that market is forward looking (or priced at estimated earnings and forward macro expectations) and/or the lag effect in which monetary policy works, among other factors. What this essentially means is that while rate hikes are expected to peak by mid-2023, it does not necessarily mean that is also when the market will bottom. But nonetheless, even if it is almost impossible to gauge the exact timing, it is more likely that not that the market is skewed towards further downside risks through the first quarter of 2023 at the minimum.In addition to the steady-state P/E ratio method, the Gordon growth model is another way to gauge steady-state firm value.Gordon Growth Model (Valuation Theory)The key assumption here other than cost of capital is GDP growth. GDP growth is typically used as a key benchmark to gauge the implied perpetual growth of a company, with addition consideration of the maturity of its industry as well as other company-specific factors such as market leadership, competitive advantages, and/or market share:Companies operating in industries that are higher growth in nature are typically valued at a perpetual growth rate closer to or more than GDP, given their greater contributions to economic growth. Alternatively, companies operating in lower growth and/or mature industries are typically allocated a lower perpetual growth rate.Source: \"Shorting Tesla: Bridging Lofty Valuations to Economics\"As discussed in the earlier section, demand is likely to show a marked slowdown in coming months as consumer purchasing power wanes, especially if unemployment worsens, which will lead to further deteriorating in economic growth. Even though the labor market has remained largely resilient despite the recent slew of high-paid tech layoffs (accounts foronly ~2%of total U.S. employment), consumer weakness is expected to tame demand further and eventually hit corporate earnings, potentially resulting in more cost-driven job cuts. This is further corroborated by the gradual uptick in recent jobless claimsas well as jobless rate to \"3.7%from a more than five-decade low\". This means GDP is likely to slow as interest rates increase, widening the spread between cost of capital and growth in the denominator of the Gordon growth model, and inadvertently, diminishing the steady-state firm value.Future Value Creation PremiumThe future value creation premium accounts for the incremental value that additional investments at the cost of capital would earn (i.e. return on capital), and also takes into consideration the time period in which this value-creating opportunity would last.Future Value Creation Formula (Valuation Theory)This is essentially a premium to the steady-state firm value, and explains the lofty valuations relative to broader markets observed in certain stocks, such as Apple(AAPL), Tesla(TSLA) and Snowflake(SNOW), today. Admittedly, these companies have either or all of outperforming balance sheets, profit margins, and/or growth prospects relative to peers, but not all are valued in proportion to the mean growth-valuation ratio observed among their respective peer groups.In addition to the \"competitive advantage period\", which measures the anticipated time period in which the added value-creating opportunity would last, key assumptions in deriving future value creation premium is return on capital and cost of capital. And return on capital can be substituted by anticipated economic expansion, or GDP growth - when the economy is good, growth and profit margins will likely perform better, and vice versa. But as discussed in the earlier section, GDP growth is likely skewed to the downside within the foreseeable future as demand continues to slow and profit margins get squeezed as a result of high input costs, and near-term requirements for more-than-usual promotional offers to offload excess product inventories.Paired with the anticipation for greater increases to the cost of capital as a result of Fed hawkishness that will more likely than not continue for a while longer, the cost-return spread in the numerator of the future value creation component of valuation is poised to narrow. And as cost of capital continues to increase, the denominator will also expand, hence diminishing the future value creation component of broader market valuations, which corroborates the expectation for more downside potential within the near-term.Implications for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 - Is the Bottom Near?Based on valuation theory, and the anticipation for sustained hawkish Fed sentiment drawn from historical observations, the broader market is likely to see further volatility ahead as valuations adjust to rising rates and declining demand. While the timing at which markets will bottom remains uncertain, we are of the view that company fundamentals are only just starting to feel the impact of consumer weakness, which points to further value erosion through 1H23.Specifically, consumer spending has remained resilient through the first half of 2022 despite deteriorating sentiment due to surging inflation and rising borrowing costs. But headed into the first half of the fourth quarter, declining business activity and warnings of a marked slowdown among consumer-centric industries such as retail underscore that waning consumer sentiment is now really materializing into real weakness. This is further supported by the consistent drop in American household savings and rise in credit card debt, among other observations, discussed earlier on in this analysis.And a specific note to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NASDAQ: QQQ/NDX), constituents' valuations are likely to be hit harder compared to those in the S&P 500 given their cash flows are further out (with some still in pre-revenue phase and/or unprofitable) from realization and subject to a heavier discount as costs of capital increase. The index also consists of constituents with some of the biggest valuation premiums given lofty forward growth expectations previously priced in that may not materialize as expected within the foreseeable future, thus pointing to greater vulnerability to downside risks ahead.And given risks of further macro deterioration are now skewed higher with recent economic data pointing to a moderation in the labor market, while monetary policy tightening continues to flow through different corners of the economy, the ensuing rise in the likelihood of a recession will likely take the market a leg lower through the first half of 2023, even if we start to see structural easing in price pressures.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":67,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":863557800,"gmtCreate":1632407885700,"gmtModify":1676530775737,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","listText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","text":"Like please. Thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/863557800","repostId":"1187458780","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817987321,"gmtCreate":1630897967263,"gmtModify":1676530415633,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","listText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","text":"Like please. Thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/817987321","repostId":"1126654067","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126654067","pubTimestamp":1630885254,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126654067?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126654067","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be cl","content":"<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.</p>\n<p>U.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.</p>\n<p>On Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc.&nbsp;-owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average,&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;or Nasdaq Composite indexes.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;was on track to book its 35th&nbsp;all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.</p>\n<p>Sifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was&nbsp;yielding around 1.33%&nbsp;after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.</p>\n<p>However, the&nbsp;Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that&nbsp;235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p>\n<p>Trading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil&nbsp;and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.</p>\n<p>Is there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?</p>\n<p>Probably not.</p>\n<p>But the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f0f061a4ddd2ca31c53f8aa68e3cce\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c780a46e32d055feb3e3f5e10fc987f\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p>\n<p>But if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s&nbsp;Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.</p>\n<p>It is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.</p>\n<p>Markets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100&nbsp;index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng&nbsp;and the Shanghai Composite Index.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-06 07:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","ICE":"洲际交易所",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126654067","content_text":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.\nOn Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.\nThe S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.\nSifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.\nHowever, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.\nTrading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.\nIs there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?\nProbably not.\nBut the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nThe S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nBut if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.\nIt is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.\nMarkets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836722251,"gmtCreate":1629526969873,"gmtModify":1676530066299,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please. Thx","listText":"Like please. Thx","text":"Like please. Thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/836722251","repostId":"1114812009","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815353869,"gmtCreate":1630648197851,"gmtModify":1676530365651,"author":{"id":"3581809688048652","authorId":"3581809688048652","name":"lowniu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","listText":"Like please. Thx&nbsp;","text":"Like please. Thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/815353869","repostId":"1134735182","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":21,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}