lowL personal page - To The Moon

lowL

lowL

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2021-04-30

Like and comment

S&P 500 notches record close after strong earnings from Facebook and Apple

2021-05-17

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$gogogo

2021-05-03

Like and comment away

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-05-01

Like and comment!

Europe's antitrust crackdown on Apple hints at what's coming for the company in the U.S.

2021-05-04

Like and comment pls

Is The US Economy A Virtual Reality?

2021-05-20

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$keep going!

2021-04-28

Like and comment please

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-06-28

Still need a letter T

2021-06-18

https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary/*ZOC2SW-index.html?feature=Message&platform=android&lang=en_US&skin=1&edition=fundamental&invite=ZOC2SWNeed T!

2021-05-03

No thank you, next

4 Reasons Baidu Could Make You Rich

2021-04-28

$Walt Disney(DIS)$?

2021-04-19

Keep watch!

7 Earnings Reports to Watch This Week

2021-05-28

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$keep gng!

2021-05-05

$Walt Disney(DIS)$...

2021-05-03

Drop like grape

2021-05-03

Sell and wait

U.S. stocks have risen to all-time highs this year. Should you ‘sell in May and go away’?

2021-04-19

Buy the dip? Like pls

Coinbase hangover? Here's why bitcoin may be suffering its steepest slide since February

2021-06-18

Let's go BB

BlackBerry Wins Frost & Sullivan 2021 Technology Innovation Leadership Award

2021-06-18

Come on let's go to the moon

2021-05-28

To the moon?

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Technology Innovation Leadership ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blackberry-wins-frost-sullivan-2021-120000610.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/bcHrRVZYX6piprK6PvldKw--~B/aD03MDt3PTQwMDthcHBpZD15dGFjaHlvbg--/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/k_7H5f_kaEs.yRdfoQ1qCw--~B/aD03MDt3PTQwMDthcHBpZD15dGFjaHlvbg--/https://media.zenfs.com/en/prnewswire.com/a2240ff9d414ee8908570880060011cf","relate_stocks":{"BB":"黑莓"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blackberry-wins-frost-sullivan-2021-120000610.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2144746753","content_text":"WATERLOO, ON, June 17, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- BlackBerry Limited (NYSE: BB; TSX: BB) today announced Frost & Sullivan has presented BlackBerry® AtHoc® with the 2021 Technology Innovation Leadership Award for safe city solutions.  Applying a rigorous evaluation process, Frost & Sullivan recognizes companies who are at the forefront of innovation and growth in their respective industries, and have a visionary understanding of the future.  \n\n  \n\nBlackBerry AtHoc is celebrated by Frost & Sullivan for its superior communication and collaboration capabilities, its ability to integrate with any endpoint, and its excellence in providing situational awareness and actionable intelligence.  Frost & Sullivan highlights that BlackBerry AtHoc is the most secure critical event management solution in the market, which is vital to avoid bad actors being able to create or manage a critical event.  BlackBerry AtHoc can be used by organizations and operators across an entire city or broader geography, to enable business continuity, keep people safe, and deliver a citywide response to critical events.   \n\"BlackBerry is renowned for our innovations and leadership in safety, security and communications, which have been shaping the market for over thirty years.  Our software is relied on by organizations around the world, including 18 of the G20 governments, for mission-critical use cases,\" said John Chen, Executive Chairman & CEO, BlackBerry.  \"BlackBerry is honored to receive the Frost & Sullivan 2021 Technology Innovation Leadership Award for BlackBerry AtHoc, the most secure and trusted critical event management solution.\"  \n\"Some of the key capabilities for safe city technology include actionable intelligence, superior situational awareness, exceptional critical event monitoring, and secure communications,\" said Danielle VanZandt, Security Industry Analyst, Frost & Sullivan.  \"BlackBerry AtHoc checks all of these boxes and more, enabling organizations and operators to synthesize multiple data sources, identify critical incidents, and quickly and securely enact mitigation and remediation actions that can protect operations, assets, and citizens from potential harm, across an entire geographic area of interest.\"\nBlackBerry AtHoc enables organizations to prepare for, respond to and recover from planned and unplanned critical events and emergencies.  The solution is used by thousands of organizations around the world across verticals, including government, financial services, healthcare, and more.  \nTo read the full Frost & Sullivan award report click here.\nFor more information on BlackBerry AtHoc click here. \nAbout BlackBerryBlackBerry (NYSE: BB; TSX: BB) provides intelligent security software and services to enterprises and governments around the world.  The company secures more than 500M endpoints including 175M cars on the road today.  Based in Waterloo, Ontario, the company leverages AI and machine learning to deliver innovative solutions in the areas of cybersecurity, safety and data privacy solutions, and is a leader in the areas of endpoint security, endpoint management, encryption, and embedded systems.  BlackBerry's vision is clear - to secure a connected future you can 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Intelligent Security. Everywhere.  \nFor more information, visit BlackBerry.com and follow @BlackBerry.\nTrademarks, including but not limited to BLACKBERRY and EMBLEM Design are the trademarks or registered trademarks of BlackBerry Limited, and the exclusive rights to such trademarks are expressly reserved.  All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. BlackBerry is not responsible for any third-party products or services.\nMedia Contact:BlackBerry Media Relations+1 (519) 597-7273mediarelations@BlackBerry.com\n\n\n View original content to download multimedia:http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/blackberry-wins-frost--sullivan-2021-technology-innovation-leadership-award-301314553.html\nSOURCE BlackBerry Limited","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166068162,"gmtCreate":1623985710956,"gmtModify":1703825685425,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come on let's go to the moon","listText":"Come on let's go to the moon","text":"Come on let's go to the 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Like and comment","listText":"Buy and hold. Like and comment","text":"Buy and hold. Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/102229680","repostId":"2132510807","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2132510807","pubTimestamp":1620181244,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2132510807?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-05 10:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2132510807","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These stocks don't have much in common other than what matters -- great dividends and solid fundamentals.","content":"<p><b>AT&amp;T </b>(NYSE:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a>), <b>W.P. Carey</b> (NYSE:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WPC\">$(WPC)$</a>), <b>Sabra Health Care</b> (NASDAQ:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBRA\">$(SBRA)$</a>), <b>Williams Companies</b> (NYSE:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">$(WMB)$</a>), and <b>TFS Financial</b> (NASDAQ:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TFSL\">$(TFSL)$</a>) all have dividends with yields above 5% and a solid history of raising their dividends. These stocks are worth looking over as they should provide ample total returns for patient investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca30244a38118ae17e4000358cd0379\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><h2><b>1. AT&amp;T: High dividends are calling</b></h2><p>AT&amp;T is a Dividend Aristocrat that has been a bargain this year, but it may not stay that way for long. The telecommunications giant has lagged the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> index and is up a little more than 5% over the past 12 months, but up more than 9% in 2021. The company has raised its dividend for 36 consecutive years and currently has a yield of 6.64%.</p><p>Revenue was a reported $43.9 billion in the first quarter of 2021, up 2.7% year over year. Net income grew to $7.9 billion, up 60% over the same period in 2020, and the company's free cash flow was listed as $5.9 billion, up 51% year over year. The dividend payout is safe, with a ratio of 63.5%.</p><p>All three segments of the company's business have seen growth. In communications, the company had 64.8 million postpaid phone subscribers, up 0.76% sequentially. Revenue was $28.1 billion, up 5.2% year over year. The WarnerMedia segment had revenue of $8.5 billion, up 9.8% year over year. The company's Latin America segment had $1.3 billion in revenue compared to $1.28 billion in the same quarter of 2020.</p><p>The biggest concern about AT&amp;T is its debt. It has $160.6 billion in long-term debt, up 4% sequentially. Its annualized net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA is 3.13, compared to 2.63 last year. On the first-quarter earnings call, CFO Pascal Desroches said that the company plans to focus on paying down that debt this year.</p><h2><b>2. W.P. Carey: A raise every quarter</b></h2><p>W.P. Carey has seen its stock rise more than 24% over the past 12 months and more than 7% this year. The company's dividend offers a yield of 5.6%, with a twist: The company has raised its dividend for 79 consecutive quarters, including a bump from $1.046 to $1.048 per share in March. The diversified real estate investment trust (REIT) has 1,274 properties across 25 countries, including industrial, warehouse, retail, office, and self-storage properties.</p><p>The company has seen growth in adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) the past three quarters, though its fourth-quarter AFFO of $212.6 million is down 4% year over year. Its AFFO in 2020 was $4.74 per diluted share, down 5.2% from 2019. The company was pretty much unfazed by the pandemic -- its low came when it received 96% of contractual rent in May, but in the fourth quarter, that number was back up to 99%, followed by 98% in January.</p><p>It has not only raised its quarterly dividend for 23 consecutive years, but its AFFO payout ratio (trailing 12 months) is 88.19, conservative for a REIT.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9522ac8783b80e9beb8eb160a591309\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"486\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data by YCharts.</p><h2><b>3. Sabra Healthcare: A growing trend that's hard to ignore</b></h2><p>Sabra Healthcare, a REIT that specializes in medical facilities, cut its dividend last year from $0.45 to $0.30, and has yet to raise it again. But even with that trim, the yield on the company's dividend it 6.6%. The pandemic made for a challenging year for REITs that focus on nursing homes, and Sabra -- which owns nursing homes, senior living facilities, and specialty hospitals -- is continuing to deal with the headwinds. Many people are still reluctant to live in nursing homes, and in the fourth quarter, total occupancy&nbsp;dropped to 80.2%, down 8.6% year over year.</p><p>Other discouraging numbers: The company's AFFO per share for the year was $1.74, down from $2.08 the year before. And for the fourth quarter, the company issued bleak guidance of $0.38-$0.39 of AFFO per share, compared to $0.42 in the fourth quarter of 2020.</p><p>So why is Sabra worth watching? I think the paltry 4% rise in the company's stock this year presents an opportunity because the company's fundamentals are still strong. Sabra collected 99% of its rents from the beginning of the pandemic through February of 2021. As for the dividend, it is well covered with a payout ratio of 73% of normalized AFFO per share. The company also did a good job of lowering its debt, knocking down its net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio from 5.7 to 4.9.</p><p>The long-term prognosis for nursing homes is still a growth trend, as our population continues to age. The pandemic reversed the growth of occupancy for nursing homes, but not forever. In the meantime, the company's dividend is a nice reward for waiting for a turnaround.</p><h2><b>4. Williams Companies: A boon to investors</b></h2><p>Williams Companies' stock is up more than 31% over the past 12 months, and more than 21% this year. The company's dividend, which offers a current yield of 6.73% is enticing. The company has raised its dividend the past five years.</p><p>The company delivers 30% of the country's natural gas through its more than 30,000 miles of pipelines. Last year was a difficult <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> for oil and gas companies, with oil and natural gas prices down, but Williams Companies still improved its numbers over 2019 by reducing capital expenditures. Its adjusted EBITDA of $5.1 million was up 2% year over year, while its adjusted funds from operations of $3.6 million were up 1% year over year. The company's cash dividend payout ratio, while still precariously high at 87.39%, is down from where it was in 2019.</p><p>The company raised its quarterly dividend 5.3% last year to $0.40 per share, and has already raised it 2.5% this year to $0.41 per share.</p><h2><b>5: TFS Financial: Dividends you can bank on</b></h2><p>TFS Financial, based in Cleveland, is a holding company whose subsidiaries make most of their money from offering mortgage loans, though they also have savings and checking accounts. The company's shares are up more than 10% this year and more than 37% over the past 12 months. Its dividend yields 5.73% with a cash dividend payout ratio (TTM) of 45.9%.</p><p>In 2020, TFS Financial reported annual revenue of $509 million, up only 1.9% year over year, but marking the sixth consecutive year it grew revenue. It also reported annual net income last year of $83 million, up 3.8% over 2019.</p><p>The company has stressed its commitment to its dividend, which has climbed 300% over the past 10 years.</p><h2><b>Making the best of a good situation</b></h2><p>All five of these stocks are worth watching because of their dividend growth and high yields. However, of the quintet, W.P. Carey seems the most solid choice if you look at the company's track record of raising its dividend every quarter, the diversity of its real estate holdings, and the consistency of its cash situation.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-05 10:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/04/5-high-yield-dividend-stocks-to-watch/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AT&T (NYSE:$(T)$), W.P. Carey (NYSE:$(WPC)$), Sabra Health Care (NASDAQ:$(SBRA)$), Williams Companies (NYSE:$(WMB)$), and TFS Financial (NASDAQ:$(TFSL)$) all have dividends with yields above 5% and a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/04/5-high-yield-dividend-stocks-to-watch/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBRA":"Sabra Healthcare REIT","WMB":"威廉姆斯","TFSL":"TFS Financial Corporation","T":"美国电话电报","WPC":"W. P. Carey Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/04/5-high-yield-dividend-stocks-to-watch/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2132510807","content_text":"AT&T (NYSE:$(T)$), W.P. Carey (NYSE:$(WPC)$), Sabra Health Care (NASDAQ:$(SBRA)$), Williams Companies (NYSE:$(WMB)$), and TFS Financial (NASDAQ:$(TFSL)$) all have dividends with yields above 5% and a solid history of raising their dividends. These stocks are worth looking over as they should provide ample total returns for patient investors.Image source: Getty Images.1. AT&T: High dividends are callingAT&T is a Dividend Aristocrat that has been a bargain this year, but it may not stay that way for long. The telecommunications giant has lagged the S&P 500 index and is up a little more than 5% over the past 12 months, but up more than 9% in 2021. The company has raised its dividend for 36 consecutive years and currently has a yield of 6.64%.Revenue was a reported $43.9 billion in the first quarter of 2021, up 2.7% year over year. Net income grew to $7.9 billion, up 60% over the same period in 2020, and the company's free cash flow was listed as $5.9 billion, up 51% year over year. The dividend payout is safe, with a ratio of 63.5%.All three segments of the company's business have seen growth. In communications, the company had 64.8 million postpaid phone subscribers, up 0.76% sequentially. Revenue was $28.1 billion, up 5.2% year over year. The WarnerMedia segment had revenue of $8.5 billion, up 9.8% year over year. The company's Latin America segment had $1.3 billion in revenue compared to $1.28 billion in the same quarter of 2020.The biggest concern about AT&T is its debt. It has $160.6 billion in long-term debt, up 4% sequentially. Its annualized net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA is 3.13, compared to 2.63 last year. On the first-quarter earnings call, CFO Pascal Desroches said that the company plans to focus on paying down that debt this year.2. W.P. Carey: A raise every quarterW.P. Carey has seen its stock rise more than 24% over the past 12 months and more than 7% this year. The company's dividend offers a yield of 5.6%, with a twist: The company has raised its dividend for 79 consecutive quarters, including a bump from $1.046 to $1.048 per share in March. The diversified real estate investment trust (REIT) has 1,274 properties across 25 countries, including industrial, warehouse, retail, office, and self-storage properties.The company has seen growth in adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) the past three quarters, though its fourth-quarter AFFO of $212.6 million is down 4% year over year. Its AFFO in 2020 was $4.74 per diluted share, down 5.2% from 2019. The company was pretty much unfazed by the pandemic -- its low came when it received 96% of contractual rent in May, but in the fourth quarter, that number was back up to 99%, followed by 98% in January.It has not only raised its quarterly dividend for 23 consecutive years, but its AFFO payout ratio (trailing 12 months) is 88.19, conservative for a REIT.Data by YCharts.3. Sabra Healthcare: A growing trend that's hard to ignoreSabra Healthcare, a REIT that specializes in medical facilities, cut its dividend last year from $0.45 to $0.30, and has yet to raise it again. But even with that trim, the yield on the company's dividend it 6.6%. The pandemic made for a challenging year for REITs that focus on nursing homes, and Sabra -- which owns nursing homes, senior living facilities, and specialty hospitals -- is continuing to deal with the headwinds. Many people are still reluctant to live in nursing homes, and in the fourth quarter, total occupancy dropped to 80.2%, down 8.6% year over year.Other discouraging numbers: The company's AFFO per share for the year was $1.74, down from $2.08 the year before. And for the fourth quarter, the company issued bleak guidance of $0.38-$0.39 of AFFO per share, compared to $0.42 in the fourth quarter of 2020.So why is Sabra worth watching? I think the paltry 4% rise in the company's stock this year presents an opportunity because the company's fundamentals are still strong. Sabra collected 99% of its rents from the beginning of the pandemic through February of 2021. As for the dividend, it is well covered with a payout ratio of 73% of normalized AFFO per share. The company also did a good job of lowering its debt, knocking down its net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio from 5.7 to 4.9.The long-term prognosis for nursing homes is still a growth trend, as our population continues to age. The pandemic reversed the growth of occupancy for nursing homes, but not forever. In the meantime, the company's dividend is a nice reward for waiting for a turnaround.4. Williams Companies: A boon to investorsWilliams Companies' stock is up more than 31% over the past 12 months, and more than 21% this year. The company's dividend, which offers a current yield of 6.73% is enticing. The company has raised its dividend the past five years.The company delivers 30% of the country's natural gas through its more than 30,000 miles of pipelines. Last year was a difficult one for oil and gas companies, with oil and natural gas prices down, but Williams Companies still improved its numbers over 2019 by reducing capital expenditures. Its adjusted EBITDA of $5.1 million was up 2% year over year, while its adjusted funds from operations of $3.6 million were up 1% year over year. The company's cash dividend payout ratio, while still precariously high at 87.39%, is down from where it was in 2019.The company raised its quarterly dividend 5.3% last year to $0.40 per share, and has already raised it 2.5% this year to $0.41 per share.5: TFS Financial: Dividends you can bank onTFS Financial, based in Cleveland, is a holding company whose subsidiaries make most of their money from offering mortgage loans, though they also have savings and checking accounts. The company's shares are up more than 10% this year and more than 37% over the past 12 months. Its dividend yields 5.73% with a cash dividend payout ratio (TTM) of 45.9%.In 2020, TFS Financial reported annual revenue of $509 million, up only 1.9% year over year, but marking the sixth consecutive year it grew revenue. It also reported annual net income last year of $83 million, up 3.8% over 2019.The company has stressed its commitment to its dividend, which has climbed 300% over the past 10 years.Making the best of a good situationAll five of these stocks are worth watching because of their dividend growth and high yields. However, of the quintet, W.P. Carey seems the most solid choice if you look at the company's track record of raising its dividend every quarter, the diversity of its real estate holdings, and the consistency of its cash situation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106268655,"gmtCreate":1620125139677,"gmtModify":1704338969443,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/106268655","repostId":"1197943594","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197943594","pubTimestamp":1620124996,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1197943594?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-04 18:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is The US Economy A Virtual Reality?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197943594","media":"zerohedge","summary":"An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously sti","content":"<p>An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously still survives, thanks to vast infusions of government money to cover his rent and upkeep and sustain essential employees. He is looking forward to reopening but is<b>having a hard time finding employees. Many have moved to Florida. Others, he said, “are happy to live off government money rather than work.”</b></p>\n<p>His main puzzle is how it can be true that the government has the resources to sustain so many businesses in a full year of lockdowns. The money is falling like manna from heaven.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i><b>“From all my years in business, every instinct tells me that this can’t be right. It might work for a little while but someone has to pay these bills. There is no magic money tree out there to achieve such things.”</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>The tree might not be magic but it does exist.</b></p>\n<p>It’s called the Federal Reserve.</p>\n<p>Here is the alarming chart of the broadest definition of national money, which reveals an<b>unprecedented increase in the money supply</b>over the last year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b33ab7f69ce98140d3c8541540f2ef5\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"191\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The effects of such a thing can be&nbsp;difficult to trace. And much depends on factors outside the Fed’s control. Even the attempt to reign in the long-run effects could fail. Even so, the short-term effects, combined with unprecedented increases in government spending, have been to create the appearance of near full recovery.</p>\n<p><b>By the aggregated data alone, the US economy seems almost back to normal.</b>Gross Domestic Product is higher now than pre-pandemic and poised to roar much higher.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “What’s amazing,”&nbsp;writes&nbsp;the&nbsp;\n <i>Wall Street Journal</i>, “is that U.S. output is nearly what it was in the fourth-quarter of 2019 even with payrolls being about 5% smaller.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4660a898da3119fd8c2e1fe52ec0d676\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Consumer spending on durable goods is through the roof with a 41% increase for the quarter.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c109802e57d3dabd71e6122ef30cc88\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"156\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Private residential investment, which is to say consumer spending on housing, has blown past the point at which the last housing bubble blew up.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c33caf9df98a0feeafa86ca8bcea97c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i><b>Is Valhalla really around the corner? New riches? What’s the downside?</b></i></p>\n<p>Following a lockdown collapse in prices, the consumer price index is pointing toward inflationary signs. The Everyday Price Index is&nbsp;climbing&nbsp;at an annualized double-digit rates.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a23206631fdd85121a1cd11843355ac6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"176\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">No question that much of<b>this “growth” is fueled by historically high increases in government spending,</b>producing charts we’ve never seen before.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3534eb09f534aa3ac9615ee5f6299582\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">These increases were not paid out of some resource reserve sitting in DC.<b>They are paid by astronomical increases in borrowing.</b>Here are the increases in the public debt to GDP ratio.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebf7c01e4270b2641020471739787110\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">What all this aggregate data misses is the huge dislocations, distortions, and outright destruction that occurred because of the unprecedented use of extreme lockdowns in 2020. The<i>New York Times</i>&nbsp;provides a helpful analysis of existing sectors relative to what might have happened outside the pandemic lockdowns.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/249fca0e9740cccfe032a35635a8d811\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Thus are some sectors of the US economy booming to new highs, while others are still in deep depression.</b>The sectors that were locked down (entertainment, art, food, hotels, recreation), and those other sectors indirectly affected by lockdowns (exports, transportation, energy) are still wallowing in misery, having been battered by compulsory shutdowns that wrecked so many business models or otherwise forced them onto the government dole.</p>\n<p>One of the figures that fascinates me is the one on health care. It is still down 5.9% from what it might have been without the pandemic. Historians of the future will surely be amazed by such data. In a pandemic with such tremendous sickness and death, one would expect spending on health care to rocket higher than ever before.</p>\n<p><b>Instead, what we see in health care is a collapse of fully 18% in the worst months of the pandemic, a statement that sounds ridiculous in the saying.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c109802e57d3dabd71e6122ef30cc88\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"156\"></p>\n<p>What this illustrates is one of the least-talked-about aspects of government policy over the past year: state government’s interventions in the medical system that essentially reserved most if not all hospital space for Covid patients. Routine medical care and “elective surgery” was put on hold. Dentistry services&nbsp;collapsed a year ago by 70%.</p>\n<p>This meant missed cancer screenings, routine checkups, and normal doctor’s visits, not only because people were afraid but also because medical services faced a brutal form of central planning that had never previously happened. Thus do we get the most perverse results one can imagine: a collapse of spending on health care during a pandemic. It’s hard to isolate one piece of data that best captures the folly of government pandemic policy but perhaps this one is it.</p>\n<p>It’s impossible to know precisely what the future portends for all these unprecedented policy shocks over the last year, from money supply and spending bonanzas to lockdowns to sky-high debt accumulation.<b>But because a thing called cause-and-effect still operates in this world – we do not live in virtual reality – it seems wise to look at the seemingly great aggregate data with a gravely skeptical eye. We might be in the midst of the calm before the real storm hits.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is The US Economy A Virtual Reality?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs The US Economy A Virtual Reality?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-04 18:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-economy-virtual-reality><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously still survives, thanks to vast infusions of government money to cover his rent and upkeep and sustain ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-economy-virtual-reality\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-economy-virtual-reality","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197943594","content_text":"An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously still survives, thanks to vast infusions of government money to cover his rent and upkeep and sustain essential employees. He is looking forward to reopening but ishaving a hard time finding employees. Many have moved to Florida. Others, he said, “are happy to live off government money rather than work.”\nHis main puzzle is how it can be true that the government has the resources to sustain so many businesses in a full year of lockdowns. The money is falling like manna from heaven.\n\n“From all my years in business, every instinct tells me that this can’t be right. It might work for a little while but someone has to pay these bills. There is no magic money tree out there to achieve such things.”\n\nThe tree might not be magic but it does exist.\nIt’s called the Federal Reserve.\nHere is the alarming chart of the broadest definition of national money, which reveals anunprecedented increase in the money supplyover the last year.\nThe effects of such a thing can be difficult to trace. And much depends on factors outside the Fed’s control. Even the attempt to reign in the long-run effects could fail. Even so, the short-term effects, combined with unprecedented increases in government spending, have been to create the appearance of near full recovery.\nBy the aggregated data alone, the US economy seems almost back to normal.Gross Domestic Product is higher now than pre-pandemic and poised to roar much higher.\n\n “What’s amazing,” writes the \n Wall Street Journal, “is that U.S. output is nearly what it was in the fourth-quarter of 2019 even with payrolls being about 5% smaller.\n\nConsumer spending on durable goods is through the roof with a 41% increase for the quarter.\nPrivate residential investment, which is to say consumer spending on housing, has blown past the point at which the last housing bubble blew up.\nIs Valhalla really around the corner? New riches? What’s the downside?\nFollowing a lockdown collapse in prices, the consumer price index is pointing toward inflationary signs. The Everyday Price Index is climbing at an annualized double-digit rates.\nNo question that much ofthis “growth” is fueled by historically high increases in government spending,producing charts we’ve never seen before.\nThese increases were not paid out of some resource reserve sitting in DC.They are paid by astronomical increases in borrowing.Here are the increases in the public debt to GDP ratio.\nWhat all this aggregate data misses is the huge dislocations, distortions, and outright destruction that occurred because of the unprecedented use of extreme lockdowns in 2020. TheNew York Times provides a helpful analysis of existing sectors relative to what might have happened outside the pandemic lockdowns.\nThus are some sectors of the US economy booming to new highs, while others are still in deep depression.The sectors that were locked down (entertainment, art, food, hotels, recreation), and those other sectors indirectly affected by lockdowns (exports, transportation, energy) are still wallowing in misery, having been battered by compulsory shutdowns that wrecked so many business models or otherwise forced them onto the government dole.\nOne of the figures that fascinates me is the one on health care. It is still down 5.9% from what it might have been without the pandemic. Historians of the future will surely be amazed by such data. In a pandemic with such tremendous sickness and death, one would expect spending on health care to rocket higher than ever before.\nInstead, what we see in health care is a collapse of fully 18% in the worst months of the pandemic, a statement that sounds ridiculous in the saying.\n\nWhat this illustrates is one of the least-talked-about aspects of government policy over the past year: state government’s interventions in the medical system that essentially reserved most if not all hospital space for Covid patients. Routine medical care and “elective surgery” was put on hold. Dentistry services collapsed a year ago by 70%.\nThis meant missed cancer screenings, routine checkups, and normal doctor’s visits, not only because people were afraid but also because medical services faced a brutal form of central planning that had never previously happened. Thus do we get the most perverse results one can imagine: a collapse of spending on health care during a pandemic. It’s hard to isolate one piece of data that best captures the folly of government pandemic policy but perhaps this one is it.\nIt’s impossible to know precisely what the future portends for all these unprecedented policy shocks over the last year, from money supply and spending bonanzas to lockdowns to sky-high debt accumulation.But because a thing called cause-and-effect still operates in this world – we do not live in virtual reality – it seems wise to look at the seemingly great aggregate data with a gravely skeptical eye. We might be in the midst of the calm before the real storm hits.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108683327,"gmtCreate":1620018471569,"gmtModify":1704337461749,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment away~","listText":"Like and comment away~","text":"Like and comment away~","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108683327","repostId":"1146117077","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146117077","pubTimestamp":1620011925,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146117077?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-03 11:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"One sure prediction about the stock market’s future is that it won’t be anything like the past","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146117077","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Why U.S. stocks are likely to produce mediocre returns in coming years\nAGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IM","content":"<p>Why U.S. stocks are likely to produce mediocre returns in coming years</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8aeb533f79ee833b0cf5db89d1641e4\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p>\n<p>What if the lesson of history is that the future will be unlike the past? In that event, of course, all bets are off. Yet this distinct possibility comes from several different historians of U.S. financial markets. Each of them points out that the financial markets periodically undergo profound sea changes, after which they bear little similarity with what came before.</p>\n<p>This means that the study of history tells us little other than that the future is unknowable.</p>\n<p>Bryan Taylor, chief economist at Global Financial Data, believes the U.S. markets currently are undergoing another of these sea changes. In an interview, Taylor said he expects a coming era of persistently low interest rates.</p>\n<p>It would be unrealistic to expect anything like the declining interest rate era from 1982, he added, since interest rates are already so low. While an era of rising interest rates is possible, as was the case from 1945 to 1981, that also seems unlikely in light of the Federal Reserve’s stated intentions. The chaotic markets of the 1914-1945 period that included two world wars also seem an unlikely guide for the future, as does the 1792-1914 period during which the U.S. underwent a transformation from an agrarian to an industrialized economy.</p>\n<p>This is why Taylor believes we’re entering uncharted territory. He said that his best guess is that the equity premium going forward will be small — around 3%. If so, U.S. stocks in this era that is dawning will produce returns that are, at best, mediocre.</p>\n<p>Recall that bonds’ long-term returns are highly correlated with their beginning yields. The 10-year U.S. Treasury&nbsp;currently yields around 1.64% in nominal terms, and minus 0.78% after inflation (assuming inflation equals the current 10-year breakeven inflation rate). An equity premium of 3% therefore translates to an expected stock market return of just 4.64% annualized before inflation, and 2.22% annualized after inflation.</p>\n<p><b>The challenge for financial historians</b></p>\n<p>Taylor stresses that his 3% equity premium estimate “is only a dart-throwing guess.” That perhaps is the more important point of this discussion: No one is able to do anything better than guessing.</p>\n<p>Even more importantly, furthermore, notice that our guesses don’t become any more accurate by studying more and more history. If we base our forecasts on what’s happened over the last four decades, we’d project an equity premium of 1.33 annualized percentage points. We can torture the data to project a higher equity premium if we extend our analysis back to World War II, or a much lower premium if extend it even further back to 1792.</p>\n<p>This perspective challenges us to approach financial market history in an entirely new way. We typically view the financial markets the way political pollsters approach their jobs, as they believe that their projections of election outcomes will be more reliable to the extent they sample a greater number of voters.</p>\n<p>But if the financial markets are instead a progression of profoundly different eras that bear little resemblance to each other, then analyzing more history doesn’t necessarily produce more insight.</p>\n<p>The bottom line? Humility is a virtue. Those who project confidence because of how much history they’ve included in their models are like those who are often wrong but never in doubt.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>One sure prediction about the stock market’s future is that it won’t be anything like the past</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOne sure prediction about the stock market’s future is that it won’t be anything like the past\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-03 11:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/one-sure-prediction-about-the-stock-markets-future-is-that-it-wont-be-anything-like-the-past-11619799305?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Why U.S. stocks are likely to produce mediocre returns in coming years\nAGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES\nWhat if the lesson of history is that the future will be unlike the past? In that event, of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/one-sure-prediction-about-the-stock-markets-future-is-that-it-wont-be-anything-like-the-past-11619799305?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/one-sure-prediction-about-the-stock-markets-future-is-that-it-wont-be-anything-like-the-past-11619799305?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146117077","content_text":"Why U.S. stocks are likely to produce mediocre returns in coming years\nAGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES\nWhat if the lesson of history is that the future will be unlike the past? In that event, of course, all bets are off. Yet this distinct possibility comes from several different historians of U.S. financial markets. Each of them points out that the financial markets periodically undergo profound sea changes, after which they bear little similarity with what came before.\nThis means that the study of history tells us little other than that the future is unknowable.\nBryan Taylor, chief economist at Global Financial Data, believes the U.S. markets currently are undergoing another of these sea changes. In an interview, Taylor said he expects a coming era of persistently low interest rates.\nIt would be unrealistic to expect anything like the declining interest rate era from 1982, he added, since interest rates are already so low. While an era of rising interest rates is possible, as was the case from 1945 to 1981, that also seems unlikely in light of the Federal Reserve’s stated intentions. The chaotic markets of the 1914-1945 period that included two world wars also seem an unlikely guide for the future, as does the 1792-1914 period during which the U.S. underwent a transformation from an agrarian to an industrialized economy.\nThis is why Taylor believes we’re entering uncharted territory. He said that his best guess is that the equity premium going forward will be small — around 3%. If so, U.S. stocks in this era that is dawning will produce returns that are, at best, mediocre.\nRecall that bonds’ long-term returns are highly correlated with their beginning yields. The 10-year U.S. Treasury currently yields around 1.64% in nominal terms, and minus 0.78% after inflation (assuming inflation equals the current 10-year breakeven inflation rate). An equity premium of 3% therefore translates to an expected stock market return of just 4.64% annualized before inflation, and 2.22% annualized after inflation.\nThe challenge for financial historians\nTaylor stresses that his 3% equity premium estimate “is only a dart-throwing guess.” That perhaps is the more important point of this discussion: No one is able to do anything better than guessing.\nEven more importantly, furthermore, notice that our guesses don’t become any more accurate by studying more and more history. If we base our forecasts on what’s happened over the last four decades, we’d project an equity premium of 1.33 annualized percentage points. We can torture the data to project a higher equity premium if we extend our analysis back to World War II, or a much lower premium if extend it even further back to 1792.\nThis perspective challenges us to approach financial market history in an entirely new way. We typically view the financial markets the way political pollsters approach their jobs, as they believe that their projections of election outcomes will be more reliable to the extent they sample a greater number of voters.\nBut if the financial markets are instead a progression of profoundly different eras that bear little resemblance to each other, then analyzing more history doesn’t necessarily produce more insight.\nThe bottom line? Humility is a virtue. Those who project confidence because of how much history they’ve included in their models are like those who are often wrong but never in doubt.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108689267,"gmtCreate":1620018406659,"gmtModify":1704337461423,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No thank you, next","listText":"No thank you, next","text":"No thank you, next","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108689267","repostId":"1121605010","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121605010","pubTimestamp":1620014543,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121605010?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-03 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Reasons Baidu Could Make You Rich","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121605010","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nStrong corporate earnings and great economic data keeps the market grinding higher. The S&P","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Strong corporate earnings and great economic data keeps the market grinding higher. The S&amp;P 500 is 36% historically overvalued and has just 28% upside potential over the next five years.</li>\n <li>Fortunately, whatever your goals, yield, value, growth, or total returns, something great is always on sale if you know where to look.</li>\n <li>Baidu is the Google of China, and planning on increasing spending by 30% annually over the coming years, focusing on AI, driverless cars, and streaming.</li>\n <li>In recent weeks it plunged 40%, partially due to forced hedge fund margin call selling. This creates a potentially exceptional opportunity to be \"greedy when others are fearful\" about this speculative hyper-growth blue-chip.</li>\n <li>I recently bought a starter position in Baidu, because it's 31% undervalued and analysts think it could double in the next three years, and almost triple over the next five. For anyone comfortable with the complex risk profile of Chinese tech giants, Baidu is one of the most reasonable and prudent hyper-growth blue-chips you can buy today.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fce5597f98f5e2431c73edea32173192\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"693\"><span>Photo by DNY59/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Over seven years as an analyst I've studied the greatest investors in history, to see what strategies made them legends.</p>\n<p><b>Greatest Investors In History: Masters Of Financial Science</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Name</b></td>\n   <td><b>Returns</b></td>\n   <td><b>Time Horizon</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>Most Famous For</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Jim Simmons (Co-Founder Renaissance Technologies)</td>\n   <td>71.8% CAGR</td>\n   <td>1994 to 2014 (best investing record ever recorded)</td>\n   <td><p>Pure Quant Based Investing</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Joel Greenblatt</td>\n   <td>40% CAGR</td>\n   <td>21 years at Gotham Capital</td>\n   <td><p><b>\"Above-Average Quality Companies At Below-Average Prices\"</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Peter Lynch</td>\n   <td>29.2% CAGR at Fidelity's Magellan Fund</td>\n   <td>1977 to 1990 (13 years)</td>\n   <td><p><b>\"Growth At A Reasonable Price\"</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Bill Miller (Legg Mason Value Trust 1990 to 2006)</td>\n   <td>22.8% CAGR and beat the S&amp;P 500 for 15 consecutive years</td>\n   <td>16 years</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Warren Buffett</td>\n   <td>20.8% CAGR at Berkshire</td>\n   <td>55 Years</td>\n   <td><p><b>Greedy when others are fearful</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Benjamin Graham</td>\n   <td>20% CAGR vs 12% S&amp;P 500</td>\n   <td>1934 to 1956 (22 years)</td>\n   <td><b>Margin of Safety</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Edward Thorp</td>\n   <td>20+% CAGR</td>\n   <td>over 30 years</td>\n   <td><p>invented card counting,<b>pure statistically-based investing</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Charlie Munger</td>\n   <td>19.80%</td>\n   <td>1962 to 1975</td>\n   <td><p><b>Wonderful companies at fair prices</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Howard Marks</td>\n   <td>19% CAGR</td>\n   <td>Since 1995</td>\n   <td><p><b>Valuation Mean Reversion</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Anne Scheiber</td>\n   <td>18.3% CAGR</td>\n   <td>50 years</td>\n   <td><p>Turned $5K into $22 million with no formal training, purely with<b>tax-efficient buy and hold blue-chip investing</b>.</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>John Templeton</td>\n   <td>300% from 1939 to 1943, 15.8% CAGR from 1954 to 1992</td>\n   <td>38 years</td>\n   <td>Market Cycles</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Carl Icahn</td>\n   <td>14.6% CAGR vs 5.6% S&amp;P 500</td>\n   <td><p>2001 to 2016 (15 Years)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>David Swenson</td>\n   <td>13.9% CAGR at Yale's Endowment (includes bonds and alternative assets) vs 10.7% S&amp;P 500</td>\n   <td>30 years</td>\n   <td><p>Alternative Asset Allocation</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Geraldine Weiss</td>\n   <td>11.2% vs 9.8% S&amp;P 500</td>\n   <td>37 years</td>\n   <td><p><b>Best risk-adjusted track record</b>of any newsletter over 30 years according to Hubbert Financial Digest, popularized<b>dividend yield theory</b>(the only strategy she employed)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Combining these lessons, along with decades of market studies from leading research institutions and blue-chip analyst firms, I've determined that there are six fundamentals that over the long term will make you rich (assuming you have discretionary savings to invest of course).</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Portfolio risk-management</li>\n <li>safety</li>\n <li>quality</li>\n <li>yield</li>\n <li>growth</li>\n <li>and value</li>\n</ul>\n<p>When combined with patience, time, and discipline, these are what made the greatest investors in history the legends they are today.</p>\n<p>You and I may never match the returns of the legends, but if we practice disciplined financial science we can avoid costly mistakes, and focus on the highest probability/low-risk blue-chips.</p>\n<blockquote>\n It's remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.\" - Charlie Munger\n</blockquote>\n<p>These are the \"consistently not stupid\" decisions that made Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett so successful.</p>\n<p>Today I want to explain why I've recently opened a starter tracking position in speculative hyper-growth blue-chip Baidu (BIDU).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d78b7d254783a9f8afc60962aa7d03ee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\"></p>\n<p>All Chinese tech giants are suffering a bear market right now. But notice how Baidu recently fell 40% in a matter of weeks.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu was also held by now-infamous hedge fund Archegos Capital Management at that time, which blew up during the same week. When the highly levered Archegos was unable to meet a margin call, banks seized Archegos' assets, including Baidu, and sold them off in massive blocks, accelerating Baidu's plunge.\" -Motley Fool\n</blockquote>\n<p>Institutional forced selling is one of the best opportunities for prudent long-term investors to buy the world's highest quality companies at mouth-watering prices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e09c272fe0a5f7a5052ea3021630d643\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\"></p>\n<p>Lowe's (LOW) and Realty Income (O) both plunged 25% on March 16th, due to institutional forced selling.</p>\n<p>In other words, when hedge funds get margin calls, they become the ultimate dumb money. Taking the other side of those trades can be the way to earn Buffett-like returns, through buying and holding blue-chip investing.</p>\n<p>So let me explain the four reasons why I consider it time to get greedy when others are fearful on Baidu.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Today I buy what others won't, so tomorrow I earn returns others can't.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n  - Paraphrase of Jerry Rice\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Reason 1: A Speculative Blue-Chip Quality Company</b></p>\n<p>According to the 2017 study<i>Do Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills?</i>by Hendrik Bessembinder of Arizona State University's W.P. Carey School of Business 52% of all stocks, lose money over time.</p>\n<p>This study looked at 26,000 companies from 1926 to 2016 and found that about 12% went to zero.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6f826f65373ae3a2e4061f906c54bb2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"508\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5868a6e0418dbe8596b0c667120b3a53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"440\"><span>(Source: Bessembinder et al)</span></p>\n<p>From 1926 to 2016 over 3,000 US companies listed on US exchanges went bankrupt. 1,100 or about 4%, delivered 100% of net positive returns. Just 48% of stocks delivered positive returns.</p>\n<p>In other words, safety and quality are what can help you avoid the value traps that don't make any money or lose all of your savings.</p>\n<p>The Dividend Kings quality scores factor in 143 fundamental metrics covering</p>\n<ul>\n <li>dividend safety</li>\n <li>balance sheet strength</li>\n <li>short and long-term bankruptcy risk</li>\n <li>accounting and corporate fraud risk</li>\n <li>profitability and business model</li>\n <li>cost of capital</li>\n <li>long-term sustainability (ESG scores and trends from MSCI, Morningstar, and Reuters'/Refinitiv)</li>\n <li>management quality</li>\n <li>dividend friendly corporate culture/income dependability</li>\n <li>long-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Our model actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by eight rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.</p>\n<p>Every metric was selected based on</p>\n<ul>\n <li>decades of empirical data</li>\n <li>the experience of the greatest investors in history</li>\n <li>eight rating agencies</li>\n <li>and what blue-chip economists and analyst firms consider most closely correlated to a company's long-term success.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Baidu's quality is 9/12 speculative blue-chip, meaning I recommend a 2.5% max risk cap position sizing.</p>\n<p><b>Dividend Kings Quality Rating System</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Quality Score</b></td>\n   <td><b>Meaning</b></td>\n   <td><b>Max Invested Capital Risk Recommendation</b></td>\n   <td><b>Margin Of Safety Potentially Good Buy</b></td>\n   <td><b>Strong Buy</b></td>\n   <td><b>Very Strong Buy</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>Ultra-Value Buy</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>3</td>\n   <td>Terrible, Very High Long-Term Bankruptcy Risk</td>\n   <td>0%</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td><p>NA (avoid)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>4</td>\n   <td>Very Poor</td>\n   <td>0%</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td><p>NA (avoid)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>5</td>\n   <td>Poor</td>\n   <td>0%</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td><p>NA (avoid)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>6</td>\n   <td>Below-Average, Fallen Angels (very speculative)</td>\n   <td>1%</td>\n   <td>45%</td>\n   <td>55%</td>\n   <td>65%</td>\n   <td>75%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>7</td>\n   <td>Average (Relative to S&amp;P 500)</td>\n   <td>2.5%</td>\n   <td>35%</td>\n   <td>45%</td>\n   <td>55%</td>\n   <td>65%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>8</td>\n   <td>Above-Average</td>\n   <td>5% (unless speculative then 2.5%)</td>\n   <td>25% to 30%</td>\n   <td>35% to 40%</td>\n   <td>45% to 50%</td>\n   <td><p>55% to 60%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>9</b></td>\n   <td><b>Blue-Chip</b></td>\n   <td>7% (unless<b>speculative</b>then<b>2.5%</b>)</td>\n   <td>20% to<b>25%</b></td>\n   <td>30% to<b>35%</b></td>\n   <td>40% to<b>45%</b></td>\n   <td><p>50% to<b>55%</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>10</td>\n   <td>SWAN (a higher caliber of Blue-Chip)</td>\n   <td>7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)</td>\n   <td>15% to 20%</td>\n   <td>25% to 30%</td>\n   <td>35% to 40%</td>\n   <td><p>45% to 50%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>11</td>\n   <td>Super SWAN (exceptionally dependable blue-chips)</td>\n   <td>7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)</td>\n   <td>10% to 15%</td>\n   <td>20% to 25%</td>\n   <td>30% to 35%</td>\n   <td><p>40% to 45%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>12</td>\n   <td>Ultra SWAN (as close to perfect companies as exist)</td>\n   <td>7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)</td>\n   <td>5% to 10%</td>\n   <td>15% to 20%</td>\n   <td>25% to 30%</td>\n   <td><p>35% to 40%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>What exactly makes Baidu a speculative blue-chip?</p>\n<p><b>Balance Sheet Safety</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Rating</b></td>\n   <td><b>Dividend Kings Safety Score (75 Safety Metric Model)</b></td>\n   <td><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>1 (very unsafe)</td>\n   <td>0% to 20%</td>\n   <td>over 4%</td>\n   <td>16+%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2 (unsafe average)</td>\n   <td>21% to 40%</td>\n   <td>over 2%</td>\n   <td>8% to 16%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>3 (average)</td>\n   <td>41% to 60%</td>\n   <td>2%</td>\n   <td>4% to 8%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>4 (safe)</b></td>\n   <td><b>61% to 80%</b></td>\n   <td><b>1%</b></td>\n   <td><b>2% to 4%</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>5 (very safe)</td>\n   <td>81% to 100%</td>\n   <td>0.5%</td>\n   <td>1% to 2%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>BIDU</b></td>\n   <td><b>76%</b></td>\n   <td><b>A stable rating from Fitch, A3 (A- equivalent) stable rating Moody's</b></td>\n   <td><b>0.66% to 2.5% 30-year default/bankruptcy risk</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Long-Term Dependability</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Company</b></td>\n   <td><b>DK Long-Term Dependability Score</b></td>\n   <td><b>Interpretation</b></td>\n   <td><b>Points</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>S&amp;P 500/Industry Average</td>\n   <td>58%</td>\n   <td>Average Dependability</td>\n   <td>2</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Non-Dependable Companies</td>\n   <td>31% or below</td>\n   <td>Poor Dependability</td>\n   <td>1</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Relatively Dependable Companies</td>\n   <td>32% to 70%</td>\n   <td>Below to Above-Average Dependability</td>\n   <td>2</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Very Dependable Companies</td>\n   <td>71% to 80%</td>\n   <td>Very Dependable</td>\n   <td>3</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Exceptionally Dependable Companies</td>\n   <td>81% or higher</td>\n   <td>Exceptional Dependability</td>\n   <td>4</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>BIDU</b></td>\n   <td><b>67%</b></td>\n   <td><b>Above-Average Dependability</b></td>\n   <td><b>2</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Overall Quality</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>BIDU</b></td>\n   <td><b>Final Score</b></td>\n   <td><b>Rating</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Safety</td>\n   <td>76%</td>\n   <td>4/5</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Business Model</td>\n   <td>80%</td>\n   <td>3/3</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Dependability</td>\n   <td>67%</td>\n   <td>2/4</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Total</b></td>\n   <td><b>73%</b></td>\n   <td><b>9/12 Speculative Blue-Chip</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Baidu is the 245th Highest Quality Master List Company (Out of 495) = 49th Percentile</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/927ef17638b4bbf9db4e34f1aeb01a61\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"241\"><span>(Source: DK Safety &amp; Quality Tool) updated at the end of each day, sorted by overall quality score</span></p>\n<ul>\n <li>green = potentially good buy or better</li>\n <li>blue = potentially reasonable buy</li>\n <li>yellow = hold</li>\n <li>red = potential trim/sell</li>\n</ul>\n<p>BIDU's 73% quality score means it's the 245th highest quality company on the DK 500 Master List. This list includes the world's highest quality companies including</p>\n<ul>\n <li>all dividend champions</li>\n <li>all dividend aristocrats</li>\n <li>all dividend kings</li>\n <li>all 12/12 Ultra SWANs (as close to perfect quality as exists on Wall Street, think wide moat aristocrats)</li>\n <li>numerous global aristocrats (such as BTI, ENB, and NVS)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>BIDU is about average quality compared to the world's elite companies and similar in quality to such 9/12 blue-chips and, 10/12 SWANs, as</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Qualcomm (QCOM)</li>\n <li>Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX) - dividend aristocrat</li>\n <li>W. P. Carey (WPC)</li>\n <li>Sonoco Products (SON) - dividend champion</li>\n <li>H.B. Fuller (FUL) - dividend king</li>\n <li>MetLife (MET)</li>\n <li>Digital Realty Trust (DLR)</li>\n <li>Leggett &amp; Platt (LEG) - dividend aristocrat</li>\n <li>V.F. Corp (VFC) - dividend aristocrat</li>\n <li>Bank of New York Mellon (BK)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Baidu has a strong cash-rich balance sheet, though it is taking on extra leverage in order to fund its ambitious growth efforts.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4c7bc8d9da039967a0ce9e435f7b6eb\" tg-width=\"449\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>(Source: Gurufocus Premium)</span></p>\n<p>Including leasing expenses, BIDU has 2X as much cash as debt.</p>\n<p>Fitch and Moody's rate Baidu A stable and A3 (A- equivalent) stable outlooks, indicating 0.66% to 2.5% 30-year default/bankruptcy risk.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect much higher spending in the short-term to cause leverage to increase, though rating agencies don't expect this to be permanent.</p>\n<p>The key safety ratios with Baidu are the F, Z, and M scores, advanced accounting ratios created by leading research institutions that use asset ratios scanned from quarterly filings.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>F-score measures short-term bankruptcy risk</li>\n <li>Z-score measures 2-year bankruptcy risk (with 84% to 92% historical accuracy)</li>\n <li>M-score measures accounting fraud risk (with 76% historical accuracy)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>7/9 is very safe on the F-score = very low short-term bankruptcy risk.</p>\n<p>3.59 vs 3+ very safe and 9.51 historical, confirms the A-credit ratings and low long-term risk of losing all your money.</p>\n<p>And the M-score of -2.42 indicates a significantly less than 17.5% probability that Baidu is cooking its books.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0593cdfc392caf38a9d7ca42c482c359\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6110ac3a73c5c935e0778da21e6eb62e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\"><span>(Source: Gurufocus)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU's historically unsafe M-score has been improving and became safe at the end of 2014 and has remained so for the last seven years.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>its safety and quality score still get dinged though because we factor in every important metric so we don't miss any warning signs</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The M-score is 76% historically accurate at catching accounting fraud and 82.5% accurate at finding companies with honest accounting.</p>\n<p>Combined with its credit ratings and risk ratings from 5 different rating agencies, plus its auditors, I can say with relatively high confidence that Baidu is not the next Luckin Coffee.</p>\n<p>Quality is a proven alpha factor, one of seven that beats the market over the long term.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4868372d29cef8d5b07fc5a538fb58e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\"></p>\n<p>On Wall Street, profitability over time is the most accurate proxy for quality.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>credit ratings are one of the best qualitative quality proxies</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c8a6a2913d554a5c9780f869d7a887\" tg-width=\"445\" tg-height=\"430\"><span>(Source: Gurufocus Premium)</span></p>\n<p>Baidu's profitability is historically in the top 20% of its peers, confirming a wide and stable moat.</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Metric</b></td>\n   <td><b>Industry Percentile</b></td>\n   <td><b>Major Interactive Media Companies More Profitable Than BIDU (Out of 543)</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Operating Margin</td>\n   <td>67.35</td>\n   <td>177</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Net Margin</td>\n   <td>81.26</td>\n   <td>102</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Return On Equity</td>\n   <td>67.86</td>\n   <td>175</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Return On Assets</td>\n   <td>68.47</td>\n   <td>171</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Return On Capital</td>\n   <td>69.61</td>\n   <td>165</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Average</b></td>\n   <td><b>70.91</b></td>\n   <td><b>158</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: Gurufocus Premium)</i></p>\n<p>Over the last year, increased growth spending has reduced profitability to the top 29% of peers, though that's expected to recover in the future.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>for example, returns on equity are expected to rise 10% by 2024</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Joel Greenblatt defined quality by return on capital, his gold standard proxy for quality and moatiness.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>operating income (EBIT)/operating capital (the money it takes to run the business for a year)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Greenblatt's entire legendary track record, 40% annual returns for 21 years, was done by combining high ROC with low valuations.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d43fa9d5032a24362f75054f2a9e93\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"292\"><span>(Source: Gurufocus Premium)</span></p>\n<p>Even with heavy growth spending in recent years, Baidu's returns on capital are very impressive.</p>\n<p>The average Master List company has 88% ROC.</p>\n<p>The average aristocrat 83%.</p>\n<p>The average Ultra SWAN 87%.</p>\n<p>Over the past year, BIDU's ROC has been 103% and in Q4 it was 95%.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect that in the next few years, ROC will revert back to its historical 205%.</p>\n<p>A level of profitability that, according to Joel Greenblatt, would make BIDU one of the highest quality companies in the world.</p>\n<p>Baidu's future growth is expected to come from aggressive investments into driverless cars (long-term) and AI and streaming in the short and medium term.</p>\n<p><b>Baidu Growth Spending Consensus Forecast</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Year</b></td>\n   <td><b>SG&amp;A</b></td>\n   <td><b>R&amp;D</b></td>\n   <td><b>Capex</b></td>\n   <td><b>Total Growth Spending</b></td>\n   <td><b>Sales</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>Growth Spending/Sales</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2020</td>\n   <td>$2,792</td>\n   <td>$3,016</td>\n   <td>$993</td>\n   <td>$4,009</td>\n   <td>$16,548</td>\n   <td>24.23%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2021</td>\n   <td>$3,574</td>\n   <td>$3,554</td>\n   <td>$1,893</td>\n   <td>$5,447</td>\n   <td>$19,517</td>\n   <td>27.91%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2022</td>\n   <td>$3,974</td>\n   <td>$4,062</td>\n   <td>$2,220</td>\n   <td>$6,282</td>\n   <td>$22,235</td>\n   <td>28.25%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2023</td>\n   <td>$5,049</td>\n   <td>$5,858</td>\n   <td>$2,719</td>\n   <td>$8,577</td>\n   <td>$25,258</td>\n   <td>33.96%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2024</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>$1,504</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>$30,071</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2025</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2026</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Annualized Growth</b></td>\n   <td><b>21.83%</b></td>\n   <td><b>24.77%</b></td>\n   <td><b>10.94%</b></td>\n   <td><b>28.85%</b></td>\n   <td><b>16.10%</b></td>\n   <td><b>NA</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<p>Historically Baidu spends about 17% of its revenue on growth. By 2023 that's expected to double.</p>\n<p>Total growth spending is expected to grow at almost 30% annually for the next three years.</p>\n<p>Baidu Consensus Profit Forecast</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Year</b></td>\n   <td><b>Sales</b></td>\n   <td><b>FCF</b></td>\n   <td><b>EBITDA</b></td>\n   <td><b>EBIT (Operating Income)</b></td>\n   <td><b>Net Income</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2020</td>\n   <td>$16,548</td>\n   <td>$2,106</td>\n   <td>$4,251</td>\n   <td>$2,216</td>\n   <td>$3,473</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2021</td>\n   <td>$19,517</td>\n   <td>$3,947</td>\n   <td>$4,734</td>\n   <td>$2,629</td>\n   <td>$2,760</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2022</td>\n   <td>$22,235</td>\n   <td>$5,013</td>\n   <td>$5,812</td>\n   <td>$3,400</td>\n   <td>$3,381</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2023</td>\n   <td>$25,258</td>\n   <td>$5,854</td>\n   <td>$6,730</td>\n   <td>$4,163</td>\n   <td>$4,226</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2024</td>\n   <td>$30,071</td>\n   <td>$7,421</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>$6,195</td>\n   <td>$5,268</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Annualized Growth</b></td>\n   <td><b>16.10%</b></td>\n   <td><b>37.01%</b></td>\n   <td><b>16.55%</b></td>\n   <td><b>29.31%</b></td>\n   <td><b>10.98%</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<p>Management's guidance, which is the basis for these consensus forecasts, is for strong revenue growth. Net margins are expected to compress but cash flows are expected to soar.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow, the ultimate source of all intrinsic value according to Ben Graham and Warren Buffett, is expected to more than triple by 2024.</p>\n<p>Baidu Consensus Margin Forecast</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Year</b></td>\n   <td><b>FCF Margin</b></td>\n   <td><b>EBITDA Margin</b></td>\n   <td><b>EBIT (Operating) Margin</b></td>\n   <td><b>Net Margin</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2020</td>\n   <td>12.7%</td>\n   <td>25.7%</td>\n   <td>13.4%</td>\n   <td>21.0%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2021</td>\n   <td>20.2%</td>\n   <td>24.3%</td>\n   <td>13.5%</td>\n   <td>14.1%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2022</td>\n   <td>22.5%</td>\n   <td>26.1%</td>\n   <td>15.3%</td>\n   <td>15.2%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2023</td>\n   <td>23.2%</td>\n   <td>26.6%</td>\n   <td>16.5%</td>\n   <td>16.7%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2024</td>\n   <td>24.7%</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>20.6%</td>\n   <td>17.5%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Annualized Growth</b></td>\n   <td><b>18.01%</b></td>\n   <td><b>1.23%</b></td>\n   <td><b>11.37%</b></td>\n   <td><b>-4.42%</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<p>Baidu's profitability is ultimately expected to improve, though net margins won't until its major growth initiatives are over.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee8691866fef56c1dd17062657e10811\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\"><span>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU ended 2020 with $5.6 billion in cash, and that's expected to rise to $22 billion by 2023, and potentially nearly $60 billion by 2024.</p>\n<p>That may not be as impressive as some tech companies ($601 billion by 2026 for Amazon), but it does mean that Baidu's war chest and financial flexibility to pivot towards AI, driverless cars, and streaming will grow significantly in future years.</p>\n<p>Baidu Medium-Term Growth Consensus</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Metric</b></td>\n   <td><b>2020 Actual Growth</b></td>\n   <td><b>2021 consensus growth</b></td>\n   <td><b>2022 consensus growth</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>2023 consensus growth</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>EPS</td>\n   <td>31%</td>\n   <td>7%</td>\n   <td>18%</td>\n   <td>16%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Owner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF)</td>\n   <td>124%</td>\n   <td>22%</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Operating Cash Flow</td>\n   <td>-14%</td>\n   <td>59%</td>\n   <td>31%</td>\n   <td>7%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Free cash flow</td>\n   <td>96%</td>\n   <td>85%</td>\n   <td>22%</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>EBITDA</td>\n   <td>-18%</td>\n   <td>53%</td>\n   <td>27%</td>\n   <td>24%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>EBIT (operating income)</td>\n   <td>130%</td>\n   <td>26%</td>\n   <td>26%</td>\n   <td>19%</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</i></p>\n<p>In the next few years, Baidu's growth efforts are expected to result in strong growth. But what's attracted me to the Google of China, is that this hyper-growth is expected to continue for many years to come.</p>\n<p><b>Reason 2: Long-Term Hyper-Growth Potential</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdfa536609dc32efe57d7af85154ddbf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"412\"><span>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU's AI, streaming, and driverless car investments are showing up in \"other services\" and that revenue is expected to grow almost 50% in 3 years.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0a582df968d9cfaf4a09f2f2984f522\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72ab775d253a2fbce4a1a5001922e0b8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"394\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<ul>\n <li>16.0% to 17.5% long-term growth consensus range</li>\n <li>6% to 28% growth consensus range adjusted for historical margin of error</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ae4ef54819e7f58c95b2f21ced20393\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"336\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/705d5218e7d882c4c52948d4f47fbb5e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\"></p>\n<p>The margins of error on BIDU forecasts are very wide. 33% of the time it grows much faster than expected, 33% of the time much slower, and 33% of the about as fast as expected.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>margins of error over the last decade (excluding outliers) are 60% to the downside, 55% to the upside</li>\n <li>the long-term growth consensus range: 16% to 18% CAGR</li>\n <li>the margin of error adjusted long-term analyst growth consensus range: 6% to 28% CAGR</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73c38a8847c12ffd67928559c978ff18\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"407\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU's historical growth is from -9% to 52%. So relatively high growth uncertainty, more so than most tech blue-chips.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>and thus the $650 investment vs $10K in GOOG, $89K in BABA, and $200K in Amazon</li>\n</ul>\n<p>However, analysts expect growth to be similar to the 20% growth of the last decade.</p>\n<p>And at today's high margin of safety, we're likely getting a good deal to compensate for BIDU's growth uncertainty and complex risk profile.</p>\n<p><b>Reason 3: Highly Attractive Valuation</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f3ad1e7e41458b1bdc4f379d7917692\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU growing at the rates analysts expect in the future has historically been valued at 23X to 26X earnings.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbd2ab20e70f34f53bc7768feb9b6a24\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\"><span>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU is currently trading at 20.4X forward earnings and 13.6X EV/EBITDA.</p>\n<p>EV/EBITDA is market cap + net debt/EBITDA and is Joel Greenblatt's and private equity's favorite valuation metric.</p>\n<p>Baidu's 13-year median EV/EBITDA is 23.2, and its trading at 13.6, implying a potential 42% discount to fair value.</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Metric</b></td>\n   <td><b>Historical Fair Value (12-years)</b></td>\n   <td><b>2020</b></td>\n   <td><b>2021</b></td>\n   <td><b>2022</b></td>\n   <td><b>2023</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Earnings</td>\n   <td>25.0</td>\n   <td>$243.87</td>\n   <td>$261.27</td>\n   <td>$307.91</td>\n   <td>$357.77</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Owner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF) - 10 yr</td>\n   <td>23.5</td>\n   <td>$324.46</td>\n   <td>$394.46</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Operating Cash Flow</td>\n   <td>19.9</td>\n   <td>$202.33</td>\n   <td>$321.22</td>\n   <td>$420.37</td>\n   <td>$448.64</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Free Cash Flow (11-yr)</td>\n   <td>27.5</td>\n   <td>$220.77</td>\n   <td>$408.53</td>\n   <td>$497.28</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>EBITDA</td>\n   <td>22.0</td>\n   <td>$190.60</td>\n   <td>$291.18</td>\n   <td>$370.80</td>\n   <td>$459.36</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>EBIT (operating income)</td>\n   <td>34.5</td>\n   <td>$207.78</td>\n   <td>$261.14</td>\n   <td>$328.78</td>\n   <td>$392.83</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Average</b></td>\n   <td><b>$224.60</b></td>\n   <td><b>$312.71</b></td>\n   <td><b>$373.81</b></td>\n   <td><b>$410.40</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Current Price</td>\n   <td>$215.83</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Discount To Fair Value</b></p></td>\n   <td><b>3.91%</b></td>\n   <td><b>30.98%</b></td>\n   <td><b>42.26%</b></td>\n   <td><b>47.41%</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><i><b>Upside To Fair Value</b></i></td>\n   <td><i><b>4%</b></i></td>\n   <td><i><b>45%</b></i></td>\n   <td><i><b>73%</b></i></td>\n   <td><i><b>90%</b></i></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</i></p>\n<p>BIDU is about 31% historically undervalued right now, meaning that if it grows as expected through 2023 and returns to fair value that's 90% upside potential.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>$350 is the median 12-month price target</li>\n <li>65% upside potential over the next 12 months according to analysts</li>\n</ul>\n<p>And that guestimate is 100% justified by fundamentals.</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Rating</b></td>\n   <td><b>Margin Of Safety For Speculative 9/12 Blue-Chip Quality Companies</b></td>\n   <td><b>2020 Price</b></td>\n   <td><b>2021 Price</b></td>\n   <td><b>2022 Price</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Potentially Reasonable Buy</td>\n   <td>0%</td>\n   <td>$224.60</td>\n   <td>$312.71</td>\n   <td>$373.81</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Potentially Good Buy</b></td>\n   <td><b>25%</b></td>\n   <td><b>$168.45</b></td>\n   <td><b>$234.53</b></td>\n   <td><b>$280.35</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Potentially Strong Buy</td>\n   <td>35%</td>\n   <td>$145.99</td>\n   <td>$203.26</td>\n   <td>$242.97</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Potentially Very Strong Buy</td>\n   <td>45%</td>\n   <td>$123.53</td>\n   <td>$171.99</td>\n   <td>$205.59</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Potentially Ultra-Value Buy</td>\n   <td>55%</td>\n   <td>$101.07</td>\n   <td>$140.72</td>\n   <td>$168.21</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Currently</b></td>\n   <td><b>$213.41</b></td>\n   <td><b>5%</b></td>\n   <td><b>32%</b></td>\n   <td><b>43%</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Upside To Fair Value (Not Including Dividends)</p></td>\n   <td>5%</td>\n   <td>47%</td>\n   <td>75%</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>At a 32% margin of safety, Baidu, despite all its risks, is a potentially good buy for more risk-tolerant investors.</p>\n<p>But the ability to potentially enjoy monster short-term gains is just the cherry on top with Baidu.</p>\n<p><b>Reason 4: Eye-Popping Long-Term Return Potential</b></p>\n<p>Here is a reasonable idea of what kind of returns you can expect buying BIDU today.</p>\n<p><b>Baidu 2023 Consensus Return Potential</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15f5606b2eaa042608497f68998a69cc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"385\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>If BAIDU grows as analysts expect through 2023, and returns to historical fair value, then analysts expect</p>\n<ul>\n <li>75% total returns</li>\n <li>23.3% CAGR returns</li>\n <li>vs -1.3% CAGR S&amp;P 500</li>\n</ul>\n<p>From its 31% discount, BIDU has the potential to outperform the 36% overvalued S&amp;P 500 by 78% over the next three years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7be8ed919f810734d99f50b4b14741dd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"405\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>Corporate earnings growth estimates are rising by the day. Yet the market has already priced in three years of earnings growth totaling 62% or 17.4% CAGR.</p>\n<p>Over the long term, BIDU's return outlook is also very strong.</p>\n<p><b>Baidu 2026 Consensus Return Potential</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9aef71a5e564b122341a52dec05bb34\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"405\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>If BIDU grows as analysts expect through 2026 and returns to historical fair value you could expect</p>\n<ul>\n <li>179% total returns</li>\n <li>19.8% CAGR</li>\n <li>vs 4.5% CAGR S&amp;P 500</li>\n <li><i><b>4.4X better than the market's consensus return potential</b></i></li>\n</ul>\n<p>If BIDU delivers as analysts expect, then buying today could almost triple your money in the next five years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/935c135e000c240df768640b47826e5c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>Over the long term, analysts expect</p>\n<ul>\n <li>0% yield + 17.5% growth = 17.5% CAGR very long-term total returns (after valuation changes cancel out)</li>\n <li>6% to 28% CAGR range</li>\n <li>vs 7.8% for the S&amp;P and 10.8% for the dividend aristocrats</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Baidu Total Returns Since 2006</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe7969e52431f689a9737c4c48401e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"124\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08f72f9d45d8f32d950ea367c84cb531\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40bd03cb49698c42f76664151bd05cf5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\"><span>(Source: Portfolio Visualizer)</span></p>\n<p>In the last 15 years, BIDU has turned $1 into $26, adjusted for inflation, and crushed the market with 8X more wealth compounding.</p>\n<p>It's expected to grow slightly slower than in the past, but the ability to potentially enjoy 17.5% hyper-growth for many years is incredibly attractive.</p>\n<p><b>Baidu Vs S&amp;P 500 Vs Dividend Aristocrat Inflation-Adjusted Total Return Forecast: $650 Initial Investment</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Time Frame (Years)</b></td>\n   <td><b>5.8% LT Inflation-Adjusted Returns (S&amp;P Consensus)</b></td>\n   <td><b>8.8% Inflation-Adjusted Returns (aristocrat consensus)</b></td>\n   <td><b>15.5% Inflation-Adjusted Returns (BIDU consensus)</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>5</td>\n   <td>$1,325.65</td>\n   <td>$1,524.56</td>\n   <td>$1,336.05</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>10</b></td>\n   <td><b>$1,757.34</b></td>\n   <td><b>$2,324.28</b></td>\n   <td><b>$2,746.21</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>15</td>\n   <td>$2,329.62</td>\n   <td>$3,543.51</td>\n   <td>$5,644.73</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>20</td>\n   <td>$3,088.26</td>\n   <td>$5,402.29</td>\n   <td>$11,602.54</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>25</td>\n   <td>$4,093.94</td>\n   <td>$8,236.11</td>\n   <td>$23,848.60</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>30</b></td>\n   <td><b>$5,427.13</b></td>\n   <td><b>$12,556.45</b></td>\n   <td><b>$49,019.95</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>35</td>\n   <td>$7,194.46</td>\n   <td>$19,143.06</td>\n   <td>$100,758.76</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>40</td>\n   <td>$9,537.33</td>\n   <td>$29,184.74</td>\n   <td>$207,106.02</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>45</td>\n   <td>$12,643.14</td>\n   <td>$44,493.88</td>\n   <td>$425,699.02</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>50</b></td>\n   <td><b>$16,760.36</b></td>\n   <td><b>$67,833.58</b></td>\n   <td><b>$875,009.10</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The ability to grow 2X to 3X as fast as the S&amp;P 500 or aristocrats creates the potential for wealth compounding on a massive scale. Look at how large my $650 initial BIDU investment can grow, assuming analysts are right and management delivers the expected growth over time.</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Time Frame (Years)</b></td>\n   <td><b>Ratio S&amp;P vs Aristocrat Consensus</b></td>\n   <td><b>Ratio S&amp;P vs BIDU consensus</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>5</td>\n   <td>1.15</td>\n   <td>1.01</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>10</b></td>\n   <td><b>1.32</b></td>\n   <td><b>1.56</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>15</td>\n   <td>1.52</td>\n   <td>2.42</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>20</td>\n   <td>1.75</td>\n   <td>3.76</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>25</td>\n   <td>2.01</td>\n   <td>5.83</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>30</b></td>\n   <td><b>2.31</b></td>\n   <td><b>9.03</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>35</td>\n   <td>2.66</td>\n   <td>14.01</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>40</td>\n   <td>3.06</td>\n   <td>21.72</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>45</td>\n   <td>3.52</td>\n   <td>33.67</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>50</b></td>\n   <td><b>4.05</b></td>\n   <td><b>52.21</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Over the long term, the aristocrats are expected to quadruple the S&amp;P 500's wealth compounding. Baidu could potentially deliver 52X as much wealth as the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>Is Baidu likely to grow 17.5% for 50 years? Probably not. But even if it can deliver just 10 to 20 years of hyper-growth, when combined with its attractive current valuation, that's worthy of a small initial investment in my book.</p>\n<p><b>Risk Profile: Why Baidu Isn't Right For Everyone</b></p>\n<p>There are no risk-free companies and no company is right for everyone. You have to be comfortable with the fundamental risk profile.</p>\n<p><b>Fundamental Risk Summary</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n We think Baidu faces high levels of risk, given intense competition along with questions as to whether its AI-related investment will generate satisfactory returns.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Though Baidu is the largest search engine in China, it is competing with the other two Internet giants, Tencent and Alibaba, and Google’s potential return to the Chinese search market is also a threat.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Regarding the search engine business, Tencent invested in Sogou, and Alibaba acquired UC Web, which owns a mobile search engine, Shenma. Competition has extended to each key area of mobile Internet usage, such as navigation, O2O services, online video services, and so on. Baidu’s margins have been significantly dragged down by aggressive spending in video content and O2O marketing but recovered to 18.5% in 2017 from 14.2% in 2016 as Baidu divested margin-dilutive businesses.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n The major Internet companies in China have been investing in AI-related business, such as cloud computing, voice and image recognition, and autonomously driven cars. At the current stage,\n <b>it is difficult to predict whether Baidu will be the final winner in AI and whether the returns will reward its investment.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n In addition, regulatory risk is a concern. Following the Wei Zexi incident in early 2016, Chinese authorities launched new regulations for online search and advertising, which clearly defined paid search results as advertising. These regulations took effect on Sept. 1, 2016. Given stricter standards for online advertisers, Baidu’s online marketing services revenue growth declined to 1% in 2016. If the local authorities release more policies regarding Internet business, such as online advertising and online finance, Baidu’s revenue could be negatively affected.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Since 2017, Baidu has discontinued the disclosure of MAUs for its mobile search and mobile maps, which is possibly due to weaker numbers.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>BIDU's pivot into the technology of the future is potentially like Satya Nadella taking MSFT into the pure cloud-driven strategy.</p>\n<p>Or it could be like IBM's Watson-based flaying, major promise but poor execution over time.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu has the urgency to strengthen its mobile business because it has not developed another industry-leading business other than its mobile search app for years.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu’s share of mobile time spend reduced to 6.9% in March 2019 from 7.3% year over year. Baidu positions its flagship Baidu app (173 million daily average users in March 2019) as a \"super\" app that can serve a wide range of users' needs, such as reading, watching videos, shopping, transportation tickets, food services, and so on, but we believe the app is less of a super app compared with Tencent’s Wechat (1.1 billion monthly average users).\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n It has copied the strategies of its peers by launching a mini-program (181 million MAU in March 2019) and short video apps (sevenfold year over year increase to 98 million MAU in March 2019 as per Questmobile).\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>Baidu has struggled more than most Chinese tech giants to pivot and adapt to the disruption risk that is ever-present in this industry.</p>\n<blockquote>\n We have not factored in the meaningful commercialization of Baidu’s AI-based services, such as voice assistant platform DuerOS, autonomous driving platform Apollo and artificial intelligence cloud services.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Search is driven by an artificial intelligence-powered algorithm, giving Baidu a good foundation in this segment.</b>Baidu is also\n <b>one of the largest and earliest companies to start AI investments in China.</b>Currently, Baidu uses AI to recommend feeds to the app’s users to generate advertising revenue.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n IQiyi, Baidu’s online video platform, has been a key growth driver stemming from increasing willingness to pay for premium content in China and continuous advertising demand on&nbsp;\n <b>iQiyi. It accounted for 29% of Baidu’s revenue in the first quarter of 2019.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n In the near term, Baidu will invest heavily in its mobile business in terms of sales and marketing, and traffic acquisition. While meaningful monetization is uncertain, we expect Baidu to increase or maintain its research and development expenditure, which is at 17% of sales in the first quarter of 2019. To fend off major competitor Tencent Video, iQiyi needs to continue to invest in premium content. Therefore, we expect Baidu’s margins to be under pressure in the near term.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>But while Baidu has made some questionable investments over the years, its current focus on AI is a logical and prudent one.</p>\n<p>Baidu's competitive advantage in AI stems from being the first mover in Chinese search. It has the most data to feed into its machine learning algorithms, though rivals like Alibaba (BABA) and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) are working hard to eat its lunch.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu generated 68% of its revenue during the year from its online marketing services segment, which mainly sells ads. The segment's revenue has declined year over year for&nbsp;seven straight quarters.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n That ongoing slowdown is troubling since Baidu's advertising rivals -- like&nbsp;\n <b>Tencent</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;\n <b>Bilibili --</b>both expanded&nbsp;their advertising businesses over the past year. It also indicates people are spending less time on traditional online searches and more time on other digital platforms.\" - Leo Sun,Motley Fool\n</blockquote>\n<p>In recent years, BIDU's market share in digital ads has been declining, which means unlike companies like JD, BABA, and TCEHY, it's attempting to pivot from a position of weakness, not strength.</p>\n<p>It has the resources to invest heavily and hopefully achieve the kinds of impressive growth rates analysts expect. But success is far from guaranteed.</p>\n<p>This is why I've bought a starter 3 share tracking position in Baidu.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>compared to a $10,000 position in Alphabet (GOOG)</li>\n <li>and an&nbsp;$89,000 investment into Alibaba</li>\n <li>and a&nbsp;$200,000 investment into Amazon(AMZN)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>And of course, we can't forget about the risks surrounding management and governance.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Robin Yanhong Li, the founder of Baidu, has been the chairman of the board since its inception and has served as the CEO since 2004. Before that, Li worked at IDD Information Services and Infoseek in Silicon Valley, with a special focus on product development in Internet search engines. Li owned 16.4% of the company as of January 2020, and all directors and management together owned 16.5%. Jennifer Xinzhe Li stepped down as CFO in 2017 and was replaced by Herman Yu, formerly of Weibo...\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu had reputational issues, with the Wei Zexi medical incident being the largest scandal, which led to a management restructuring in 2016. Three vice presidents were dismissed. Qi Lu joined Baidu in January 2017 as group president and COO but resigned in June 2018. Lu has a solid record in the U.S. technology industry, and Baidu’s financial performance substantially improved during his appointment.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n This incident once again raised the market’s concern about Baidu’s turnover of key executives, including ex-chief scientist Andrew Ng and ex-senior vice president Jin Wang. In May 2019, Baidu announced the departure of senior vice president Hailong Xiang, who had been with Baidu since 2005. His departure is believed to be a result of Baidu’s inability to develop another successful and profitable business outside of search.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n The introduction of a senior management retirement plan and a young leadership development program signifies Baidu’s determination to revamp its management and reinvigorate its businesses in the new Internet era. Shen Dou leads the mobile ecosystem group now. He has a technical background and puts more focus on more user experience versus maximizing sales. There are now more interactions between the sales, commercial product team, and the user experience team, which we think is better for Baidu’s sustainability.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>Unlike the management at Tencent, which Morningstar considers \"exemplary\" or the \"deep bench\" at Alibaba, BIDU has struggled with management in recent years.</p>\n<blockquote>\n B shares, which are owned by the CEO and his affiliates, have 10 times the voting rights of Class A shares. Therefore,\n <b>Li controls 55.4% of the equity voting rights</b>&nbsp;as of January 2020.As a result, these Class B shareholders have a disproportionately large influence over key matters such as the election of directors and significant corporate transactions, including mergers and the sale of the company or assets.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>BIDU's founder and CEO controls 55% of the vote and thus is effectively king of Baidu. If shareholders don't like what management does, they have no recourse other than selling.</p>\n<p>Management isn't a poor capital allocator, but in recent years it hasn't been firing on all cylinders when it comes to pivoting to growth catalysts as easily as JD, BABA, and TCEHY have.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Some of Baidu’s acquisitions and new business developments have proved unsuccessful.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n These include the acquisition of 59% of Nuomi, a group-buying service provider, for $160 million in 2013 and the remaining stake in 2014 for an undisclosed sum, and Raven Tech for $90 million in 2017...\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu’s investments in online-to-offline businesses such as deliveries and Nuomi led to its&nbsp;\n <b>operating margin declining from 26.1% in 2014 to 14.2% in 2016</b>&nbsp;but they did not gain as much scale as Meituan.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n However, we refrain from giving a Poor stewardship rating to Baidu for several reasons.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Baidu made the right decision in moving away from the O2O businesses, which led to margin improvement to 18.5% in 2017</b>and investing in mobile and AI, which we believe is sensible given that they complement its strong core search business.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Also, Baidu’s return on invested capital has been way higher than its weighted average cost of capital of 9.8% over the past 10 years.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>And of course, every investor in Chinese tech has to understand VIE regulatory risk.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Like many other Chinese Internet companies listed in overseas markets, Baidu operates under a&nbsp;\n <b>variable interest entity structure</b>&nbsp;designed to let companies bypass Chinese legal restrictions on foreign ownership in certain sectors.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu's foreign investors essentially hold shares of Baidu's VIE domiciled in the Cayman Islands.\n <b>We don't expect any legal challenges to VIE structures by the Chinese government</b>&nbsp;and believe that Baidu will consider a China depositary receipt listing in the future.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n However, if the legitimacy of Baidu's related VIE is found to violate applicable law or regulation, Chinese regulatory authorities might take action, including revoking the business and operating licenses of Baidu's subsidiaries or the VIE, or discontinuing, restricting, or restructuring Baidu's operations.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Since the Chinese Ministry of Commerce has the jurisdiction to regulate VIEs,\n <b>we believe overseas investors would have limited legal rights</b>.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>VIE regulatory risk is the reason that all Chinese tech stocks are speculative, and always will be, regardless of quality (Tencent is a 12/12 speculative Ultra SWAN for this reason).</p>\n<p>How do you measure and factor in such a complex risk profile?</p>\n<p>By turning to the expert consensus.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>39 analysts that cover BIDU and collectively know it better than anyone other than management</li>\n <li>and whether or not scary headlines meaningfully alter the investment thesis</li>\n <li>2 credit rating agencies</li>\n <li>3 ESG risk rating agencies</li>\n <li>44 total experts that monitor BIDU's risk profile for DK and will let us know if the thesis is weakening, strengthening or breaks</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>ESG Material Financial Risk Analysis</b></p>\n<p><b>Essential To Fully Understanding A Company's Overall Risk Profile Especially Chinese Tech Companies</b></p>\n<p>According to the world's best risk assessors, ESG metrics are a critical component of a company's overall risk profile. Here's who considers ESG important and builds it into their safety models and ratings.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>BlackRock - #1 asset manager in the world</p></li>\n <li><p>MSCI - #1 indexing giant</p></li>\n <li><p>Morningstar</p></li>\n <li><p>Reuters'/Refinitiv</p></li>\n <li><p>ISS (Institutional Shareholder Services) - #1 corporate proxy firm on earth</p></li>\n <li><p>S&amp;P</p></li>\n <li><p>Fitch</p></li>\n <li><p>Moody's</p></li>\n <li><p>DBRS (Canadian credit rating agency)</p></li>\n <li><p>AM Best (insurance industry rating agency)</p></li>\n <li><p>Bank of America - one of the 16 most accurate economic/analyst teams in the world according to Market Watch</p></li>\n <li><p>Bloomberg</p></li>\n <li><p>FactSet Research</p></li>\n <li>State Street - one of the largest custodial banks on earth</li>\n <li>Wells Fargo - one of the 16 most accurate economic/analyst teams in the world according to Market Watch</li>\n <li>NAREIT</li>\n</ul>\n<blockquote>\n Companies with strong ESG profiles may be better positioned for future challenges and experience\n <b>fewer instances of bribery, corruption, and fraud.</b>\" - MSCI (Emphasis added)\n</blockquote>\n<p>Bank of America's research finds that ESG metrics also help improve the long-term profitability and outcomes at companies.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Punchline: higher ROE, lower risk &amp; lower cost of capital</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n We find that companies with greater gender diversity at the board/management level typically see&nbsp;\n <b>higher ROE and lower earnings risk than peers.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Moreover, based on disclosure data from ICE, we find gender diversity in management is associated with a&nbsp;\n <b>~20% premium on P/E</b>&nbsp;on an overall and sector-neutral basis.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Ethnic and racial workforce diversity shows similarly strong results:\n <b>higher ROE, lower risk, and significant premia on P/E and P/BV.</b>\" - Bank of America (emphasis original)\n</blockquote>\n<p>ESG isn't about political correctness, it's about sound business practices and maximizing long-term profits by avoiding blowing up companies in the short to medium-term.</p>\n<p><b>Baidu Consensus ESG Risk Rating</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Rating Agency</b></td>\n   <td><b>Industry Percentile</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>Rating Agency Classification</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>MSCI</td>\n   <td>54.0%</td>\n   <td><p>BB Below-Average</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Morningstar/Sustainalytics</td>\n   <td>40.2%</td>\n   <td><p>24.4/100 Medium Risk</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Reuters'/Refinitiv (Combined ESG Rating)</td>\n   <td>52.6%</td>\n   <td>Satisfactory</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>S&amp;P</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Consensus</b></td>\n   <td><b>48.9%</b></td>\n   <td><b>Average</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters'/Refinitiv)</i></p>\n<p>According to Morningstar, MSCI, and Reuter's BIDU's overall handling of its long-term financial ESG risk is average, in the 49th percentile.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>which is actually the highest ESG score of any of the big China tech stocks</li>\n <li>ESG investors probably want to avoid Chinese companies</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afa54b995a935d581ed79c58fb5d4920\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"491\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/464e286a82c2e31d4b5bc2a67525beb8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b0b24c0262471afee43fa88dfe8da44\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"319\"><span>(Source: MSCI)</span></p>\n<p>Chinese companies tend to score poorly on ESG due to governance issues.</p>\n<p>But note that BIDU used to be rated CCC very poor and has seen two rating upgrades in two years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81242ba4340325a61c591a15f1e0aed7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>(Source: BIDU IR)</span></p>\n<p>In recent years BIDU did establish an ESG committee that may explain the improvement in ESG risk scores.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01d6eec0412fa9351dcb8716bbbbc1a4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"540\"><span>(Source: BIDU IR)</span></p>\n<blockquote>\n To enhance the integrity of mobile information and continue to be a leader in AI, we devote time and attention to the needs and demands of stakeholders, including suppliers, partners, governments, social institutions, users, employees, communities, and the environment itself.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n We actively explore low carbon operations, sustainable economic indicators, supply chain management, intellectual property, technological innovation, compliance, data privacy, information security, user experience, personnel training, employee rights, and community engagement.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n We aim to fully integrate an ESG philosophy and standards into our management, solve social problems with technology, leverage our corporate strength and innovation capability, and contribute long-term, sustainable value to stakeholders and the human community at large.\" - BIDU ESG mission statement\n</blockquote>\n<p>BIDU is talking the talk, and apparently beginning to walk the walk as well when it comes to managing long-term risk.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5588fc730d2ccc5631369a46ea7bdd1b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"456\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b3f779db4dbecb7bcc0e0880b6f4ae3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"293\"></p>\n<p>Morningstar rates BIDU below average compared to its peers, but on par with the likes of Spotify, Snap, and MercadoLibre. In fact, Morningstar considers BIDU's ESG risk to be in the top 36% of all companies it rates.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea303ae18b648b1beee3ba4bb69b599c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\"><span>(Source: Reuters'/Refinitiv)</span></p>\n<p>Reuters/Refinitv is the most robust ESG model we have access to. Over 450 metrics in total make up that score.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>BIDU scores rather poorly on governance and environmental issues</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The bottom line is that all companies have complex risk profiles that need to be considered before investing.</p>\n<p>The DK Safety and quality model don't ignore any risk, and BIDU's risks are firmly baked into its speculative blue-chip rating.</p>\n<p>A 32% margin of safety compensates us appropriately for all of the company's risks, and what could go wrong in the future.</p>\n<p>However, more risk-intolerant investors will want to avoid BIDU and Chinese companies in general.</p>\n<p><b>Bottom Line: It's Time To Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful About Baidu</b></p>\n<p>In this highly overvalued market, it's easy to throw up your hands and shout \"everything is expensive and it's dangerous to buy any stock.\"</p>\n<p>While there are many speculative bubbles that could destroy your retirement dreams, there are ALWAYS great blue-chip bargains available.</p>\n<p>Baidu is one of those potentially exceptional long-term opportunities right now. Its 40% bear market, partially created by forced institutional margin call selling, allows anyone comfortable with its risk profile to buy the Google of China at a 32% margin of safety.</p>\n<p>Is Baidu speculative? Sure, all Chinese tech stocks are. Is it worth risking a small amount of discretionary savings to see whether Baidu can deliver on its AI/Driverless car/Streaming plans?</p>\n<p>I think so. If Baidu lives up to expectations, then it could potentially double within three years and almost triple within five.</p>\n<p>Barring the most extreme stock market bubble in history, one that surpasses the tech mania of the late '90s, there is no chance the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq will even come close.</p>\n<p>And to achieve such returns Baidu doesn't have to fly off into a speculative bubble. It merely has to return to fair value and grow at the impressive rates analysts expect and it has delivered in the past.</p>\n<p>I can't tell you what Baidu's price will do over the next year. I can tell you that the 65% upside analysts expect over the next 12 months is 100% fundamentally justified.</p>\n<p>For those comfortable with the complex risk profile inherent to Chinese tech stocks, a small position in Baidu at some of the best valuations in years is a reasonable and prudent decision.</p>\n<p>Basically, it's time to be greedy when others are fearful about the Google of China.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Reasons Baidu Could Make You Rich</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Reasons Baidu Could Make You Rich\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-03 12:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4423641-4-reasons-baidu-make-you-rich><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nStrong corporate earnings and great economic data keeps the market grinding higher. The S&P 500 is 36% historically overvalued and has just 28% upside potential over the next five years.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4423641-4-reasons-baidu-make-you-rich\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BIDU":"百度","09888":"百度集团-SW"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4423641-4-reasons-baidu-make-you-rich","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1121605010","content_text":"Summary\n\nStrong corporate earnings and great economic data keeps the market grinding higher. The S&P 500 is 36% historically overvalued and has just 28% upside potential over the next five years.\nFortunately, whatever your goals, yield, value, growth, or total returns, something great is always on sale if you know where to look.\nBaidu is the Google of China, and planning on increasing spending by 30% annually over the coming years, focusing on AI, driverless cars, and streaming.\nIn recent weeks it plunged 40%, partially due to forced hedge fund margin call selling. This creates a potentially exceptional opportunity to be \"greedy when others are fearful\" about this speculative hyper-growth blue-chip.\nI recently bought a starter position in Baidu, because it's 31% undervalued and analysts think it could double in the next three years, and almost triple over the next five. For anyone comfortable with the complex risk profile of Chinese tech giants, Baidu is one of the most reasonable and prudent hyper-growth blue-chips you can buy today.\n\nPhoto by DNY59/iStock via Getty Images\nOver seven years as an analyst I've studied the greatest investors in history, to see what strategies made them legends.\nGreatest Investors In History: Masters Of Financial Science\n\n\n\n\nName\nReturns\nTime Horizon\nMost Famous For\n\n\nJim Simmons (Co-Founder Renaissance Technologies)\n71.8% CAGR\n1994 to 2014 (best investing record ever recorded)\nPure Quant Based Investing\n\n\nJoel Greenblatt\n40% CAGR\n21 years at Gotham Capital\n\"Above-Average Quality Companies At Below-Average Prices\"\n\n\nPeter Lynch\n29.2% CAGR at Fidelity's Magellan Fund\n1977 to 1990 (13 years)\n\"Growth At A Reasonable Price\"\n\n\nBill Miller (Legg Mason Value Trust 1990 to 2006)\n22.8% CAGR and beat the S&P 500 for 15 consecutive years\n16 years\n\n\nWarren Buffett\n20.8% CAGR at Berkshire\n55 Years\nGreedy when others are fearful\n\n\nBenjamin Graham\n20% CAGR vs 12% S&P 500\n1934 to 1956 (22 years)\nMargin of Safety\n\n\nEdward Thorp\n20+% CAGR\nover 30 years\ninvented card counting,pure statistically-based investing\n\n\nCharlie Munger\n19.80%\n1962 to 1975\nWonderful companies at fair prices\n\n\nHoward Marks\n19% CAGR\nSince 1995\nValuation Mean Reversion\n\n\nAnne Scheiber\n18.3% CAGR\n50 years\nTurned $5K into $22 million with no formal training, purely withtax-efficient buy and hold blue-chip investing.\n\n\nJohn Templeton\n300% from 1939 to 1943, 15.8% CAGR from 1954 to 1992\n38 years\nMarket Cycles\n\n\nCarl Icahn\n14.6% CAGR vs 5.6% S&P 500\n2001 to 2016 (15 Years)\n\n\nDavid Swenson\n13.9% CAGR at Yale's Endowment (includes bonds and alternative assets) vs 10.7% S&P 500\n30 years\nAlternative Asset Allocation\n\n\nGeraldine Weiss\n11.2% vs 9.8% S&P 500\n37 years\nBest risk-adjusted track recordof any newsletter over 30 years according to Hubbert Financial Digest, popularizeddividend yield theory(the only strategy she employed)\n\n\n\nCombining these lessons, along with decades of market studies from leading research institutions and blue-chip analyst firms, I've determined that there are six fundamentals that over the long term will make you rich (assuming you have discretionary savings to invest of course).\n\nPortfolio risk-management\nsafety\nquality\nyield\ngrowth\nand value\n\nWhen combined with patience, time, and discipline, these are what made the greatest investors in history the legends they are today.\nYou and I may never match the returns of the legends, but if we practice disciplined financial science we can avoid costly mistakes, and focus on the highest probability/low-risk blue-chips.\n\n It's remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.\" - Charlie Munger\n\nThese are the \"consistently not stupid\" decisions that made Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett so successful.\nToday I want to explain why I've recently opened a starter tracking position in speculative hyper-growth blue-chip Baidu (BIDU).\n\nAll Chinese tech giants are suffering a bear market right now. But notice how Baidu recently fell 40% in a matter of weeks.\n\n Baidu was also held by now-infamous hedge fund Archegos Capital Management at that time, which blew up during the same week. When the highly levered Archegos was unable to meet a margin call, banks seized Archegos' assets, including Baidu, and sold them off in massive blocks, accelerating Baidu's plunge.\" -Motley Fool\n\nInstitutional forced selling is one of the best opportunities for prudent long-term investors to buy the world's highest quality companies at mouth-watering prices.\n\nLowe's (LOW) and Realty Income (O) both plunged 25% on March 16th, due to institutional forced selling.\nIn other words, when hedge funds get margin calls, they become the ultimate dumb money. Taking the other side of those trades can be the way to earn Buffett-like returns, through buying and holding blue-chip investing.\nSo let me explain the four reasons why I consider it time to get greedy when others are fearful on Baidu.\n\n Today I buy what others won't, so tomorrow I earn returns others can't.\"\n\n\n  - Paraphrase of Jerry Rice\n\nReason 1: A Speculative Blue-Chip Quality Company\nAccording to the 2017 studyDo Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills?by Hendrik Bessembinder of Arizona State University's W.P. Carey School of Business 52% of all stocks, lose money over time.\nThis study looked at 26,000 companies from 1926 to 2016 and found that about 12% went to zero.\n\n(Source: Bessembinder et al)\nFrom 1926 to 2016 over 3,000 US companies listed on US exchanges went bankrupt. 1,100 or about 4%, delivered 100% of net positive returns. Just 48% of stocks delivered positive returns.\nIn other words, safety and quality are what can help you avoid the value traps that don't make any money or lose all of your savings.\nThe Dividend Kings quality scores factor in 143 fundamental metrics covering\n\ndividend safety\nbalance sheet strength\nshort and long-term bankruptcy risk\naccounting and corporate fraud risk\nprofitability and business model\ncost of capital\nlong-term sustainability (ESG scores and trends from MSCI, Morningstar, and Reuters'/Refinitiv)\nmanagement quality\ndividend friendly corporate culture/income dependability\nlong-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)\n\nOur model actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by eight rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.\nEvery metric was selected based on\n\ndecades of empirical data\nthe experience of the greatest investors in history\neight rating agencies\nand what blue-chip economists and analyst firms consider most closely correlated to a company's long-term success.\n\nBaidu's quality is 9/12 speculative blue-chip, meaning I recommend a 2.5% max risk cap position sizing.\nDividend Kings Quality Rating System\n\n\n\n\nQuality Score\nMeaning\nMax Invested Capital Risk Recommendation\nMargin Of Safety Potentially Good Buy\nStrong Buy\nVery Strong Buy\nUltra-Value Buy\n\n\n3\nTerrible, Very High Long-Term Bankruptcy Risk\n0%\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\n\n\n4\nVery Poor\n0%\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\n\n\n5\nPoor\n0%\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\n\n\n6\nBelow-Average, Fallen Angels (very speculative)\n1%\n45%\n55%\n65%\n75%\n\n\n7\nAverage (Relative to S&P 500)\n2.5%\n35%\n45%\n55%\n65%\n\n\n8\nAbove-Average\n5% (unless speculative then 2.5%)\n25% to 30%\n35% to 40%\n45% to 50%\n55% to 60%\n\n\n9\nBlue-Chip\n7% (unlessspeculativethen2.5%)\n20% to25%\n30% to35%\n40% to45%\n50% to55%\n\n\n10\nSWAN (a higher caliber of Blue-Chip)\n7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)\n15% to 20%\n25% to 30%\n35% to 40%\n45% to 50%\n\n\n11\nSuper SWAN (exceptionally dependable blue-chips)\n7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)\n10% to 15%\n20% to 25%\n30% to 35%\n40% to 45%\n\n\n12\nUltra SWAN (as close to perfect companies as exist)\n7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)\n5% to 10%\n15% to 20%\n25% to 30%\n35% to 40%\n\n\n\nWhat exactly makes Baidu a speculative blue-chip?\nBalance Sheet Safety\n\n\n\n\nRating\nDividend Kings Safety Score (75 Safety Metric Model)\nApproximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)\nApproximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession\n\n\n1 (very unsafe)\n0% to 20%\nover 4%\n16+%\n\n\n2 (unsafe average)\n21% to 40%\nover 2%\n8% to 16%\n\n\n3 (average)\n41% to 60%\n2%\n4% to 8%\n\n\n4 (safe)\n61% to 80%\n1%\n2% to 4%\n\n\n5 (very safe)\n81% to 100%\n0.5%\n1% to 2%\n\n\nBIDU\n76%\nA stable rating from Fitch, A3 (A- equivalent) stable rating Moody's\n0.66% to 2.5% 30-year default/bankruptcy risk\n\n\n\nLong-Term Dependability\n\n\n\n\nCompany\nDK Long-Term Dependability Score\nInterpretation\nPoints\n\n\nS&P 500/Industry Average\n58%\nAverage Dependability\n2\n\n\nNon-Dependable Companies\n31% or below\nPoor Dependability\n1\n\n\nRelatively Dependable Companies\n32% to 70%\nBelow to Above-Average Dependability\n2\n\n\nVery Dependable Companies\n71% to 80%\nVery Dependable\n3\n\n\nExceptionally Dependable Companies\n81% or higher\nExceptional Dependability\n4\n\n\nBIDU\n67%\nAbove-Average Dependability\n2\n\n\n\nOverall Quality\n\n\n\n\nBIDU\nFinal Score\nRating\n\n\nSafety\n76%\n4/5\n\n\nBusiness Model\n80%\n3/3\n\n\nDependability\n67%\n2/4\n\n\nTotal\n73%\n9/12 Speculative Blue-Chip\n\n\n\nBaidu is the 245th Highest Quality Master List Company (Out of 495) = 49th Percentile\n(Source: DK Safety & Quality Tool) updated at the end of each day, sorted by overall quality score\n\ngreen = potentially good buy or better\nblue = potentially reasonable buy\nyellow = hold\nred = potential trim/sell\n\nBIDU's 73% quality score means it's the 245th highest quality company on the DK 500 Master List. This list includes the world's highest quality companies including\n\nall dividend champions\nall dividend aristocrats\nall dividend kings\nall 12/12 Ultra SWANs (as close to perfect quality as exists on Wall Street, think wide moat aristocrats)\nnumerous global aristocrats (such as BTI, ENB, and NVS)\n\nBIDU is about average quality compared to the world's elite companies and similar in quality to such 9/12 blue-chips and, 10/12 SWANs, as\n\nQualcomm (QCOM)\nBecton, Dickinson and Company (BDX) - dividend aristocrat\nW. P. Carey (WPC)\nSonoco Products (SON) - dividend champion\nH.B. Fuller (FUL) - dividend king\nMetLife (MET)\nDigital Realty Trust (DLR)\nLeggett & Platt (LEG) - dividend aristocrat\nV.F. Corp (VFC) - dividend aristocrat\nBank of New York Mellon (BK)\n\nBaidu has a strong cash-rich balance sheet, though it is taking on extra leverage in order to fund its ambitious growth efforts.\n(Source: Gurufocus Premium)\nIncluding leasing expenses, BIDU has 2X as much cash as debt.\nFitch and Moody's rate Baidu A stable and A3 (A- equivalent) stable outlooks, indicating 0.66% to 2.5% 30-year default/bankruptcy risk.\nAnalysts expect much higher spending in the short-term to cause leverage to increase, though rating agencies don't expect this to be permanent.\nThe key safety ratios with Baidu are the F, Z, and M scores, advanced accounting ratios created by leading research institutions that use asset ratios scanned from quarterly filings.\n\nF-score measures short-term bankruptcy risk\nZ-score measures 2-year bankruptcy risk (with 84% to 92% historical accuracy)\nM-score measures accounting fraud risk (with 76% historical accuracy)\n\n7/9 is very safe on the F-score = very low short-term bankruptcy risk.\n3.59 vs 3+ very safe and 9.51 historical, confirms the A-credit ratings and low long-term risk of losing all your money.\nAnd the M-score of -2.42 indicates a significantly less than 17.5% probability that Baidu is cooking its books.\n\n(Source: Gurufocus)\nBIDU's historically unsafe M-score has been improving and became safe at the end of 2014 and has remained so for the last seven years.\n\nits safety and quality score still get dinged though because we factor in every important metric so we don't miss any warning signs\n\nThe M-score is 76% historically accurate at catching accounting fraud and 82.5% accurate at finding companies with honest accounting.\nCombined with its credit ratings and risk ratings from 5 different rating agencies, plus its auditors, I can say with relatively high confidence that Baidu is not the next Luckin Coffee.\nQuality is a proven alpha factor, one of seven that beats the market over the long term.\n\nOn Wall Street, profitability over time is the most accurate proxy for quality.\n\ncredit ratings are one of the best qualitative quality proxies\n\n(Source: Gurufocus Premium)\nBaidu's profitability is historically in the top 20% of its peers, confirming a wide and stable moat.\n\n\n\n\nMetric\nIndustry Percentile\nMajor Interactive Media Companies More Profitable Than BIDU (Out of 543)\n\n\nOperating Margin\n67.35\n177\n\n\nNet Margin\n81.26\n102\n\n\nReturn On Equity\n67.86\n175\n\n\nReturn On Assets\n68.47\n171\n\n\nReturn On Capital\n69.61\n165\n\n\nAverage\n70.91\n158\n\n\n\n(Source: Gurufocus Premium)\nOver the last year, increased growth spending has reduced profitability to the top 29% of peers, though that's expected to recover in the future.\n\nfor example, returns on equity are expected to rise 10% by 2024\n\nJoel Greenblatt defined quality by return on capital, his gold standard proxy for quality and moatiness.\n\noperating income (EBIT)/operating capital (the money it takes to run the business for a year)\n\nGreenblatt's entire legendary track record, 40% annual returns for 21 years, was done by combining high ROC with low valuations.\n(Source: Gurufocus Premium)\nEven with heavy growth spending in recent years, Baidu's returns on capital are very impressive.\nThe average Master List company has 88% ROC.\nThe average aristocrat 83%.\nThe average Ultra SWAN 87%.\nOver the past year, BIDU's ROC has been 103% and in Q4 it was 95%.\nAnalysts expect that in the next few years, ROC will revert back to its historical 205%.\nA level of profitability that, according to Joel Greenblatt, would make BIDU one of the highest quality companies in the world.\nBaidu's future growth is expected to come from aggressive investments into driverless cars (long-term) and AI and streaming in the short and medium term.\nBaidu Growth Spending Consensus Forecast\n\n\n\n\nYear\nSG&A\nR&D\nCapex\nTotal Growth Spending\nSales\nGrowth Spending/Sales\n\n\n2020\n$2,792\n$3,016\n$993\n$4,009\n$16,548\n24.23%\n\n\n2021\n$3,574\n$3,554\n$1,893\n$5,447\n$19,517\n27.91%\n\n\n2022\n$3,974\n$4,062\n$2,220\n$6,282\n$22,235\n28.25%\n\n\n2023\n$5,049\n$5,858\n$2,719\n$8,577\n$25,258\n33.96%\n\n\n2024\nNA\nNA\n$1,504\nNA\n$30,071\nNA\n\n\n2025\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\n\n\n2026\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\n\n\nAnnualized Growth\n21.83%\n24.77%\n10.94%\n28.85%\n16.10%\nNA\n\n\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nHistorically Baidu spends about 17% of its revenue on growth. By 2023 that's expected to double.\nTotal growth spending is expected to grow at almost 30% annually for the next three years.\nBaidu Consensus Profit Forecast\n\n\n\n\nYear\nSales\nFCF\nEBITDA\nEBIT (Operating Income)\nNet Income\n\n\n2020\n$16,548\n$2,106\n$4,251\n$2,216\n$3,473\n\n\n2021\n$19,517\n$3,947\n$4,734\n$2,629\n$2,760\n\n\n2022\n$22,235\n$5,013\n$5,812\n$3,400\n$3,381\n\n\n2023\n$25,258\n$5,854\n$6,730\n$4,163\n$4,226\n\n\n2024\n$30,071\n$7,421\nNA\n$6,195\n$5,268\n\n\nAnnualized Growth\n16.10%\n37.01%\n16.55%\n29.31%\n10.98%\n\n\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nManagement's guidance, which is the basis for these consensus forecasts, is for strong revenue growth. Net margins are expected to compress but cash flows are expected to soar.\nFree cash flow, the ultimate source of all intrinsic value according to Ben Graham and Warren Buffett, is expected to more than triple by 2024.\nBaidu Consensus Margin Forecast\n\n\n\n\nYear\nFCF Margin\nEBITDA Margin\nEBIT (Operating) Margin\nNet Margin\n\n\n2020\n12.7%\n25.7%\n13.4%\n21.0%\n\n\n2021\n20.2%\n24.3%\n13.5%\n14.1%\n\n\n2022\n22.5%\n26.1%\n15.3%\n15.2%\n\n\n2023\n23.2%\n26.6%\n16.5%\n16.7%\n\n\n2024\n24.7%\nNA\n20.6%\n17.5%\n\n\nAnnualized Growth\n18.01%\n1.23%\n11.37%\n-4.42%\n\n\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nBaidu's profitability is ultimately expected to improve, though net margins won't until its major growth initiatives are over.\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nBIDU ended 2020 with $5.6 billion in cash, and that's expected to rise to $22 billion by 2023, and potentially nearly $60 billion by 2024.\nThat may not be as impressive as some tech companies ($601 billion by 2026 for Amazon), but it does mean that Baidu's war chest and financial flexibility to pivot towards AI, driverless cars, and streaming will grow significantly in future years.\nBaidu Medium-Term Growth Consensus\n\n\n\n\nMetric\n2020 Actual Growth\n2021 consensus growth\n2022 consensus growth\n2023 consensus growth\n\n\nEPS\n31%\n7%\n18%\n16%\n\n\nOwner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF)\n124%\n22%\nNA\nNA\n\n\nOperating Cash Flow\n-14%\n59%\n31%\n7%\n\n\nFree cash flow\n96%\n85%\n22%\nNA\n\n\nEBITDA\n-18%\n53%\n27%\n24%\n\n\nEBIT (operating income)\n130%\n26%\n26%\n19%\n\n\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nIn the next few years, Baidu's growth efforts are expected to result in strong growth. But what's attracted me to the Google of China, is that this hyper-growth is expected to continue for many years to come.\nReason 2: Long-Term Hyper-Growth Potential\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nBIDU's AI, streaming, and driverless car investments are showing up in \"other services\" and that revenue is expected to grow almost 50% in 3 years.\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\n\n16.0% to 17.5% long-term growth consensus range\n6% to 28% growth consensus range adjusted for historical margin of error\n\n\nThe margins of error on BIDU forecasts are very wide. 33% of the time it grows much faster than expected, 33% of the time much slower, and 33% of the about as fast as expected.\n\nmargins of error over the last decade (excluding outliers) are 60% to the downside, 55% to the upside\nthe long-term growth consensus range: 16% to 18% CAGR\nthe margin of error adjusted long-term analyst growth consensus range: 6% to 28% CAGR\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nBIDU's historical growth is from -9% to 52%. So relatively high growth uncertainty, more so than most tech blue-chips.\n\nand thus the $650 investment vs $10K in GOOG, $89K in BABA, and $200K in Amazon\n\nHowever, analysts expect growth to be similar to the 20% growth of the last decade.\nAnd at today's high margin of safety, we're likely getting a good deal to compensate for BIDU's growth uncertainty and complex risk profile.\nReason 3: Highly Attractive Valuation\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nBIDU growing at the rates analysts expect in the future has historically been valued at 23X to 26X earnings.\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nBIDU is currently trading at 20.4X forward earnings and 13.6X EV/EBITDA.\nEV/EBITDA is market cap + net debt/EBITDA and is Joel Greenblatt's and private equity's favorite valuation metric.\nBaidu's 13-year median EV/EBITDA is 23.2, and its trading at 13.6, implying a potential 42% discount to fair value.\n\n\n\n\nMetric\nHistorical Fair Value (12-years)\n2020\n2021\n2022\n2023\n\n\nEarnings\n25.0\n$243.87\n$261.27\n$307.91\n$357.77\n\n\nOwner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF) - 10 yr\n23.5\n$324.46\n$394.46\nNA\nNA\n\n\nOperating Cash Flow\n19.9\n$202.33\n$321.22\n$420.37\n$448.64\n\n\nFree Cash Flow (11-yr)\n27.5\n$220.77\n$408.53\n$497.28\nNA\n\n\nEBITDA\n22.0\n$190.60\n$291.18\n$370.80\n$459.36\n\n\nEBIT (operating income)\n34.5\n$207.78\n$261.14\n$328.78\n$392.83\n\n\nAverage\n$224.60\n$312.71\n$373.81\n$410.40\n\n\nCurrent Price\n$215.83\n\n\nDiscount To Fair Value\n3.91%\n30.98%\n42.26%\n47.41%\n\n\nUpside To Fair Value\n4%\n45%\n73%\n90%\n\n\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nBIDU is about 31% historically undervalued right now, meaning that if it grows as expected through 2023 and returns to fair value that's 90% upside potential.\n\n$350 is the median 12-month price target\n65% upside potential over the next 12 months according to analysts\n\nAnd that guestimate is 100% justified by fundamentals.\n\n\n\n\nRating\nMargin Of Safety For Speculative 9/12 Blue-Chip Quality Companies\n2020 Price\n2021 Price\n2022 Price\n\n\nPotentially Reasonable Buy\n0%\n$224.60\n$312.71\n$373.81\n\n\nPotentially Good Buy\n25%\n$168.45\n$234.53\n$280.35\n\n\nPotentially Strong Buy\n35%\n$145.99\n$203.26\n$242.97\n\n\nPotentially Very Strong Buy\n45%\n$123.53\n$171.99\n$205.59\n\n\nPotentially Ultra-Value Buy\n55%\n$101.07\n$140.72\n$168.21\n\n\nCurrently\n$213.41\n5%\n32%\n43%\n\n\nUpside To Fair Value (Not Including Dividends)\n5%\n47%\n75%\n\n\n\nAt a 32% margin of safety, Baidu, despite all its risks, is a potentially good buy for more risk-tolerant investors.\nBut the ability to potentially enjoy monster short-term gains is just the cherry on top with Baidu.\nReason 4: Eye-Popping Long-Term Return Potential\nHere is a reasonable idea of what kind of returns you can expect buying BIDU today.\nBaidu 2023 Consensus Return Potential\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nIf BAIDU grows as analysts expect through 2023, and returns to historical fair value, then analysts expect\n\n75% total returns\n23.3% CAGR returns\nvs -1.3% CAGR S&P 500\n\nFrom its 31% discount, BIDU has the potential to outperform the 36% overvalued S&P 500 by 78% over the next three years.\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nCorporate earnings growth estimates are rising by the day. Yet the market has already priced in three years of earnings growth totaling 62% or 17.4% CAGR.\nOver the long term, BIDU's return outlook is also very strong.\nBaidu 2026 Consensus Return Potential\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nIf BIDU grows as analysts expect through 2026 and returns to historical fair value you could expect\n\n179% total returns\n19.8% CAGR\nvs 4.5% CAGR S&P 500\n4.4X better than the market's consensus return potential\n\nIf BIDU delivers as analysts expect, then buying today could almost triple your money in the next five years.\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nOver the long term, analysts expect\n\n0% yield + 17.5% growth = 17.5% CAGR very long-term total returns (after valuation changes cancel out)\n6% to 28% CAGR range\nvs 7.8% for the S&P and 10.8% for the dividend aristocrats\n\nBaidu Total Returns Since 2006\n\n(Source: Portfolio Visualizer)\nIn the last 15 years, BIDU has turned $1 into $26, adjusted for inflation, and crushed the market with 8X more wealth compounding.\nIt's expected to grow slightly slower than in the past, but the ability to potentially enjoy 17.5% hyper-growth for many years is incredibly attractive.\nBaidu Vs S&P 500 Vs Dividend Aristocrat Inflation-Adjusted Total Return Forecast: $650 Initial Investment\n\n\n\n\nTime Frame (Years)\n5.8% LT Inflation-Adjusted Returns (S&P Consensus)\n8.8% Inflation-Adjusted Returns (aristocrat consensus)\n15.5% Inflation-Adjusted Returns (BIDU consensus)\n\n\n5\n$1,325.65\n$1,524.56\n$1,336.05\n\n\n10\n$1,757.34\n$2,324.28\n$2,746.21\n\n\n15\n$2,329.62\n$3,543.51\n$5,644.73\n\n\n20\n$3,088.26\n$5,402.29\n$11,602.54\n\n\n25\n$4,093.94\n$8,236.11\n$23,848.60\n\n\n30\n$5,427.13\n$12,556.45\n$49,019.95\n\n\n35\n$7,194.46\n$19,143.06\n$100,758.76\n\n\n40\n$9,537.33\n$29,184.74\n$207,106.02\n\n\n45\n$12,643.14\n$44,493.88\n$425,699.02\n\n\n50\n$16,760.36\n$67,833.58\n$875,009.10\n\n\n\nThe ability to grow 2X to 3X as fast as the S&P 500 or aristocrats creates the potential for wealth compounding on a massive scale. Look at how large my $650 initial BIDU investment can grow, assuming analysts are right and management delivers the expected growth over time.\n\n\n\n\nTime Frame (Years)\nRatio S&P vs Aristocrat Consensus\nRatio S&P vs BIDU consensus\n\n\n5\n1.15\n1.01\n\n\n10\n1.32\n1.56\n\n\n15\n1.52\n2.42\n\n\n20\n1.75\n3.76\n\n\n25\n2.01\n5.83\n\n\n30\n2.31\n9.03\n\n\n35\n2.66\n14.01\n\n\n40\n3.06\n21.72\n\n\n45\n3.52\n33.67\n\n\n50\n4.05\n52.21\n\n\n\nOver the long term, the aristocrats are expected to quadruple the S&P 500's wealth compounding. Baidu could potentially deliver 52X as much wealth as the S&P 500.\nIs Baidu likely to grow 17.5% for 50 years? Probably not. But even if it can deliver just 10 to 20 years of hyper-growth, when combined with its attractive current valuation, that's worthy of a small initial investment in my book.\nRisk Profile: Why Baidu Isn't Right For Everyone\nThere are no risk-free companies and no company is right for everyone. You have to be comfortable with the fundamental risk profile.\nFundamental Risk Summary\n\n We think Baidu faces high levels of risk, given intense competition along with questions as to whether its AI-related investment will generate satisfactory returns.\n\n\n Though Baidu is the largest search engine in China, it is competing with the other two Internet giants, Tencent and Alibaba, and Google’s potential return to the Chinese search market is also a threat.\n\n\n Regarding the search engine business, Tencent invested in Sogou, and Alibaba acquired UC Web, which owns a mobile search engine, Shenma. Competition has extended to each key area of mobile Internet usage, such as navigation, O2O services, online video services, and so on. Baidu’s margins have been significantly dragged down by aggressive spending in video content and O2O marketing but recovered to 18.5% in 2017 from 14.2% in 2016 as Baidu divested margin-dilutive businesses.\n\n\n The major Internet companies in China have been investing in AI-related business, such as cloud computing, voice and image recognition, and autonomously driven cars. At the current stage,\n it is difficult to predict whether Baidu will be the final winner in AI and whether the returns will reward its investment.\n\n\n In addition, regulatory risk is a concern. Following the Wei Zexi incident in early 2016, Chinese authorities launched new regulations for online search and advertising, which clearly defined paid search results as advertising. These regulations took effect on Sept. 1, 2016. Given stricter standards for online advertisers, Baidu’s online marketing services revenue growth declined to 1% in 2016. If the local authorities release more policies regarding Internet business, such as online advertising and online finance, Baidu’s revenue could be negatively affected.\n\n\n Since 2017, Baidu has discontinued the disclosure of MAUs for its mobile search and mobile maps, which is possibly due to weaker numbers.\" - Morningstar\n\nBIDU's pivot into the technology of the future is potentially like Satya Nadella taking MSFT into the pure cloud-driven strategy.\nOr it could be like IBM's Watson-based flaying, major promise but poor execution over time.\n\n Baidu has the urgency to strengthen its mobile business because it has not developed another industry-leading business other than its mobile search app for years.\n\n\n Baidu’s share of mobile time spend reduced to 6.9% in March 2019 from 7.3% year over year. Baidu positions its flagship Baidu app (173 million daily average users in March 2019) as a \"super\" app that can serve a wide range of users' needs, such as reading, watching videos, shopping, transportation tickets, food services, and so on, but we believe the app is less of a super app compared with Tencent’s Wechat (1.1 billion monthly average users).\n\n\n It has copied the strategies of its peers by launching a mini-program (181 million MAU in March 2019) and short video apps (sevenfold year over year increase to 98 million MAU in March 2019 as per Questmobile).\" - Morningstar\n\nBaidu has struggled more than most Chinese tech giants to pivot and adapt to the disruption risk that is ever-present in this industry.\n\n We have not factored in the meaningful commercialization of Baidu’s AI-based services, such as voice assistant platform DuerOS, autonomous driving platform Apollo and artificial intelligence cloud services.\n\n\nSearch is driven by an artificial intelligence-powered algorithm, giving Baidu a good foundation in this segment.Baidu is also\n one of the largest and earliest companies to start AI investments in China.Currently, Baidu uses AI to recommend feeds to the app’s users to generate advertising revenue.\n\n\n IQiyi, Baidu’s online video platform, has been a key growth driver stemming from increasing willingness to pay for premium content in China and continuous advertising demand on \n iQiyi. It accounted for 29% of Baidu’s revenue in the first quarter of 2019.\n\n\n In the near term, Baidu will invest heavily in its mobile business in terms of sales and marketing, and traffic acquisition. While meaningful monetization is uncertain, we expect Baidu to increase or maintain its research and development expenditure, which is at 17% of sales in the first quarter of 2019. To fend off major competitor Tencent Video, iQiyi needs to continue to invest in premium content. Therefore, we expect Baidu’s margins to be under pressure in the near term.\" - Morningstar\n\nBut while Baidu has made some questionable investments over the years, its current focus on AI is a logical and prudent one.\nBaidu's competitive advantage in AI stems from being the first mover in Chinese search. It has the most data to feed into its machine learning algorithms, though rivals like Alibaba (BABA) and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) are working hard to eat its lunch.\n\n Baidu generated 68% of its revenue during the year from its online marketing services segment, which mainly sells ads. The segment's revenue has declined year over year for seven straight quarters.\n\n\n That ongoing slowdown is troubling since Baidu's advertising rivals -- like \n Tencent and \n Bilibili --both expanded their advertising businesses over the past year. It also indicates people are spending less time on traditional online searches and more time on other digital platforms.\" - Leo Sun,Motley Fool\n\nIn recent years, BIDU's market share in digital ads has been declining, which means unlike companies like JD, BABA, and TCEHY, it's attempting to pivot from a position of weakness, not strength.\nIt has the resources to invest heavily and hopefully achieve the kinds of impressive growth rates analysts expect. But success is far from guaranteed.\nThis is why I've bought a starter 3 share tracking position in Baidu.\n\ncompared to a $10,000 position in Alphabet (GOOG)\nand an $89,000 investment into Alibaba\nand a $200,000 investment into Amazon(AMZN)\n\nAnd of course, we can't forget about the risks surrounding management and governance.\n\n Robin Yanhong Li, the founder of Baidu, has been the chairman of the board since its inception and has served as the CEO since 2004. Before that, Li worked at IDD Information Services and Infoseek in Silicon Valley, with a special focus on product development in Internet search engines. Li owned 16.4% of the company as of January 2020, and all directors and management together owned 16.5%. Jennifer Xinzhe Li stepped down as CFO in 2017 and was replaced by Herman Yu, formerly of Weibo...\n\n\n Baidu had reputational issues, with the Wei Zexi medical incident being the largest scandal, which led to a management restructuring in 2016. Three vice presidents were dismissed. Qi Lu joined Baidu in January 2017 as group president and COO but resigned in June 2018. Lu has a solid record in the U.S. technology industry, and Baidu’s financial performance substantially improved during his appointment.\n\n\n This incident once again raised the market’s concern about Baidu’s turnover of key executives, including ex-chief scientist Andrew Ng and ex-senior vice president Jin Wang. In May 2019, Baidu announced the departure of senior vice president Hailong Xiang, who had been with Baidu since 2005. His departure is believed to be a result of Baidu’s inability to develop another successful and profitable business outside of search.\n\n\n The introduction of a senior management retirement plan and a young leadership development program signifies Baidu’s determination to revamp its management and reinvigorate its businesses in the new Internet era. Shen Dou leads the mobile ecosystem group now. He has a technical background and puts more focus on more user experience versus maximizing sales. There are now more interactions between the sales, commercial product team, and the user experience team, which we think is better for Baidu’s sustainability.\" - Morningstar\n\nUnlike the management at Tencent, which Morningstar considers \"exemplary\" or the \"deep bench\" at Alibaba, BIDU has struggled with management in recent years.\n\n B shares, which are owned by the CEO and his affiliates, have 10 times the voting rights of Class A shares. Therefore,\n Li controls 55.4% of the equity voting rights as of January 2020.As a result, these Class B shareholders have a disproportionately large influence over key matters such as the election of directors and significant corporate transactions, including mergers and the sale of the company or assets.\" - Morningstar\n\nBIDU's founder and CEO controls 55% of the vote and thus is effectively king of Baidu. If shareholders don't like what management does, they have no recourse other than selling.\nManagement isn't a poor capital allocator, but in recent years it hasn't been firing on all cylinders when it comes to pivoting to growth catalysts as easily as JD, BABA, and TCEHY have.\n\n Some of Baidu’s acquisitions and new business developments have proved unsuccessful.\n\n\n These include the acquisition of 59% of Nuomi, a group-buying service provider, for $160 million in 2013 and the remaining stake in 2014 for an undisclosed sum, and Raven Tech for $90 million in 2017...\n\n\n Baidu’s investments in online-to-offline businesses such as deliveries and Nuomi led to its \n operating margin declining from 26.1% in 2014 to 14.2% in 2016 but they did not gain as much scale as Meituan.\n\n\n However, we refrain from giving a Poor stewardship rating to Baidu for several reasons.\n\n\nBaidu made the right decision in moving away from the O2O businesses, which led to margin improvement to 18.5% in 2017and investing in mobile and AI, which we believe is sensible given that they complement its strong core search business.\n\n\n Also, Baidu’s return on invested capital has been way higher than its weighted average cost of capital of 9.8% over the past 10 years.\" - Morningstar\n\nAnd of course, every investor in Chinese tech has to understand VIE regulatory risk.\n\n Like many other Chinese Internet companies listed in overseas markets, Baidu operates under a \n variable interest entity structure designed to let companies bypass Chinese legal restrictions on foreign ownership in certain sectors.\n\n\n Baidu's foreign investors essentially hold shares of Baidu's VIE domiciled in the Cayman Islands.\n We don't expect any legal challenges to VIE structures by the Chinese government and believe that Baidu will consider a China depositary receipt listing in the future.\n\n\n However, if the legitimacy of Baidu's related VIE is found to violate applicable law or regulation, Chinese regulatory authorities might take action, including revoking the business and operating licenses of Baidu's subsidiaries or the VIE, or discontinuing, restricting, or restructuring Baidu's operations.\n\n\n Since the Chinese Ministry of Commerce has the jurisdiction to regulate VIEs,\n we believe overseas investors would have limited legal rights.\" - Morningstar\n\nVIE regulatory risk is the reason that all Chinese tech stocks are speculative, and always will be, regardless of quality (Tencent is a 12/12 speculative Ultra SWAN for this reason).\nHow do you measure and factor in such a complex risk profile?\nBy turning to the expert consensus.\n\n39 analysts that cover BIDU and collectively know it better than anyone other than management\nand whether or not scary headlines meaningfully alter the investment thesis\n2 credit rating agencies\n3 ESG risk rating agencies\n44 total experts that monitor BIDU's risk profile for DK and will let us know if the thesis is weakening, strengthening or breaks\n\nESG Material Financial Risk Analysis\nEssential To Fully Understanding A Company's Overall Risk Profile Especially Chinese Tech Companies\nAccording to the world's best risk assessors, ESG metrics are a critical component of a company's overall risk profile. Here's who considers ESG important and builds it into their safety models and ratings.\n\nBlackRock - #1 asset manager in the world\nMSCI - #1 indexing giant\nMorningstar\nReuters'/Refinitiv\nISS (Institutional Shareholder Services) - #1 corporate proxy firm on earth\nS&P\nFitch\nMoody's\nDBRS (Canadian credit rating agency)\nAM Best (insurance industry rating agency)\nBank of America - one of the 16 most accurate economic/analyst teams in the world according to Market Watch\nBloomberg\nFactSet Research\nState Street - one of the largest custodial banks on earth\nWells Fargo - one of the 16 most accurate economic/analyst teams in the world according to Market Watch\nNAREIT\n\n\n Companies with strong ESG profiles may be better positioned for future challenges and experience\n fewer instances of bribery, corruption, and fraud.\" - MSCI (Emphasis added)\n\nBank of America's research finds that ESG metrics also help improve the long-term profitability and outcomes at companies.\n\nPunchline: higher ROE, lower risk & lower cost of capital\n\n\n We find that companies with greater gender diversity at the board/management level typically see \n higher ROE and lower earnings risk than peers.\n\n\n Moreover, based on disclosure data from ICE, we find gender diversity in management is associated with a \n ~20% premium on P/E on an overall and sector-neutral basis.\n\n\n Ethnic and racial workforce diversity shows similarly strong results:\n higher ROE, lower risk, and significant premia on P/E and P/BV.\" - Bank of America (emphasis original)\n\nESG isn't about political correctness, it's about sound business practices and maximizing long-term profits by avoiding blowing up companies in the short to medium-term.\nBaidu Consensus ESG Risk Rating\n\n\n\n\nRating Agency\nIndustry Percentile\nRating Agency Classification\n\n\nMSCI\n54.0%\nBB Below-Average\n\n\nMorningstar/Sustainalytics\n40.2%\n24.4/100 Medium Risk\n\n\nReuters'/Refinitiv (Combined ESG Rating)\n52.6%\nSatisfactory\n\n\nS&P\nNA\nNA\n\n\nConsensus\n48.9%\nAverage\n\n\n\n(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters'/Refinitiv)\nAccording to Morningstar, MSCI, and Reuter's BIDU's overall handling of its long-term financial ESG risk is average, in the 49th percentile.\n\nwhich is actually the highest ESG score of any of the big China tech stocks\nESG investors probably want to avoid Chinese companies\n\n\n(Source: MSCI)\nChinese companies tend to score poorly on ESG due to governance issues.\nBut note that BIDU used to be rated CCC very poor and has seen two rating upgrades in two years.\n(Source: BIDU IR)\nIn recent years BIDU did establish an ESG committee that may explain the improvement in ESG risk scores.\n(Source: BIDU IR)\n\n To enhance the integrity of mobile information and continue to be a leader in AI, we devote time and attention to the needs and demands of stakeholders, including suppliers, partners, governments, social institutions, users, employees, communities, and the environment itself.\n\n\n We actively explore low carbon operations, sustainable economic indicators, supply chain management, intellectual property, technological innovation, compliance, data privacy, information security, user experience, personnel training, employee rights, and community engagement.\n\n\n We aim to fully integrate an ESG philosophy and standards into our management, solve social problems with technology, leverage our corporate strength and innovation capability, and contribute long-term, sustainable value to stakeholders and the human community at large.\" - BIDU ESG mission statement\n\nBIDU is talking the talk, and apparently beginning to walk the walk as well when it comes to managing long-term risk.\n\nMorningstar rates BIDU below average compared to its peers, but on par with the likes of Spotify, Snap, and MercadoLibre. In fact, Morningstar considers BIDU's ESG risk to be in the top 36% of all companies it rates.\n(Source: Reuters'/Refinitiv)\nReuters/Refinitv is the most robust ESG model we have access to. Over 450 metrics in total make up that score.\n\nBIDU scores rather poorly on governance and environmental issues\n\nThe bottom line is that all companies have complex risk profiles that need to be considered before investing.\nThe DK Safety and quality model don't ignore any risk, and BIDU's risks are firmly baked into its speculative blue-chip rating.\nA 32% margin of safety compensates us appropriately for all of the company's risks, and what could go wrong in the future.\nHowever, more risk-intolerant investors will want to avoid BIDU and Chinese companies in general.\nBottom Line: It's Time To Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful About Baidu\nIn this highly overvalued market, it's easy to throw up your hands and shout \"everything is expensive and it's dangerous to buy any stock.\"\nWhile there are many speculative bubbles that could destroy your retirement dreams, there are ALWAYS great blue-chip bargains available.\nBaidu is one of those potentially exceptional long-term opportunities right now. Its 40% bear market, partially created by forced institutional margin call selling, allows anyone comfortable with its risk profile to buy the Google of China at a 32% margin of safety.\nIs Baidu speculative? Sure, all Chinese tech stocks are. Is it worth risking a small amount of discretionary savings to see whether Baidu can deliver on its AI/Driverless car/Streaming plans?\nI think so. If Baidu lives up to expectations, then it could potentially double within three years and almost triple within five.\nBarring the most extreme stock market bubble in history, one that surpasses the tech mania of the late '90s, there is no chance the S&P 500 and Nasdaq will even come close.\nAnd to achieve such returns Baidu doesn't have to fly off into a speculative bubble. It merely has to return to fair value and grow at the impressive rates analysts expect and it has delivered in the past.\nI can't tell you what Baidu's price will do over the next year. I can tell you that the 65% upside analysts expect over the next 12 months is 100% fundamentally justified.\nFor those comfortable with the complex risk profile inherent to Chinese tech stocks, a small position in Baidu at some of the best valuations in years is a reasonable and prudent decision.\nBasically, it's time to be greedy when others are fearful about the Google of China.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108689962,"gmtCreate":1620018350356,"gmtModify":1704337460937,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Drop like grape","listText":"Drop like grape","text":"Drop like grape","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3fce73417832c3d3b069c73ccf0846a","width":"1080","height":"2737"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108689962","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108680742,"gmtCreate":1620018327586,"gmtModify":1704337460774,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>up up and away","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>up up and away","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$up up and away","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eeb2af90c26a9fee973b3244bfce456","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108680742","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108680129,"gmtCreate":1620018302661,"gmtModify":1704337459637,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment away","listText":"Like and comment away","text":"Like and comment away","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108680129","repostId":"1135819410","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135819410","pubTimestamp":1619999342,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135819410?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-03 07:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135819410","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their fi","content":"<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&amp;P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday:&nbsp;Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.</p><p>On Wednesday,&nbsp;Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.&nbsp;Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a866fbe5118566e68842053d76e2b9\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"750\"></p><p>On the economic calendar this week, the&nbsp;main event will jobs Friday.&nbsp;The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.</p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its&nbsp;Services equivalent on Wednesday.</p><p>Enterprise Products Partners&nbsp;and Estée Lauder release earnings.</p><p>Merck and&nbsp;Public Storage&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.</p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.</p><p><b>Tuesday 5/4</b></p><p>Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.</p><p>Eli Lilly&nbsp;holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p>Union Pacific&nbsp;holds its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><b>Wednesday 5/5</b></p><p>Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.</p><p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.</p><p><b>ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.</p><p><b>Thursday 5/6</b></p><p>Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and&nbsp;Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.</p><p><b>Friday 5/7</b></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.</p><p>Cigna and&nbsp;<b>Liberty Media</b>&nbsp;report earnings.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-03 07:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday: ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","UBER":"优步","GM":"通用汽车","PFE":"辉瑞","PYPL":"PayPal","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135819410","content_text":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday: Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.On Wednesday, Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings. Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on Friday.On the economic calendar this week, the main event will jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its Services equivalent on Wednesday.Enterprise Products Partners and Estée Lauder release earnings.Merck and Public Storage hold virtual investor days.The Census Bureau reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.The Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.Tuesday 5/4Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.Eli Lilly holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.Union Pacific holds its 2021 virtual investor day.Wednesday 5/5Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.ADP releases its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.ISM releases its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.Thursday 5/6Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.Friday 5/7The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.Cigna and Liberty Media report earnings.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":103389648,"gmtCreate":1619747815984,"gmtModify":1704271788648,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/103389648","repostId":"1153490597","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153490597","pubTimestamp":1619741154,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1153490597?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-30 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 notches record close after strong earnings from Facebook and Apple","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153490597","media":"CNBC","summary":"The S&P 500 closed at record levels on Thursday after blowout earnings results from two of the biggest tech companies in the world: Apple and Facebook.The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day up 239.98 points, or 0.7%, at 34,060.36. The S&P 500 advanced just under 0.7% to finish the day at 4,211.47, a new closing high.The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, which began the day up 1%, underperformed with a gain of just over 0.2% to end the session at 14,082.55.Apple, which reported earnings yester","content":"<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 closed at record levels on Thursday after blowout earnings results from two of the biggest tech companies in the world: Apple and Facebook.The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day up...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 notches record close after strong earnings from Facebook and Apple</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 notches record close after strong earnings from Facebook and Apple\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-30 08:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 closed at record levels on Thursday after blowout earnings results from two of the biggest tech companies in the world: Apple and Facebook.The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day up...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AAPL":"苹果","TWTR":"Twitter",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/28/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1153490597","content_text":"The S&P 500 closed at record levels on Thursday after blowout earnings results from two of the biggest tech companies in the world: Apple and Facebook.The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day up 239.98 points, or 0.7%, at 34,060.36. The S&P 500 advanced just under 0.7% to finish the day at 4,211.47, a new closing high.The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, which began the day up 1%, underperformed with a gain of just over 0.2% to end the session at 14,082.55.Apple, which reported earnings yesterday afternoon, said that sales jumped 54% during the quarter, with each product category seeing double-digit growth. The company also said it would increase its dividend by 7%, and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks. Still, Apple shares ended the day just under the flatline.“The primary market trend remains positive,” said Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist. “But we expect a choppier environment as tensions are set to persist between better economic growth and earnings prospects versus the potential for higher taxes and rising interest rates as the economy normalizes,” he added.Thursday marks President Joe Biden’s 100th day in office. On Wednesday evening, he made his first address to a joint session of Congress where he pushed his so-far popular agenda, which includes a $2 trillion infrastructure plan as well as a freshly unveiled, $1.8 trillion plan for families, children and students.Thursday is also the busiest day of the quarterly earnings season, with roughly 11% of the S&P 500 slated to provide quarterly updates.McDonald’s published its results before the opening bell and told investors that its sales have finally topped pre-pandemic levels. The Dow component also raised its outlook for systemwide sales growth. The stock added 1.2% at the close.Caterpillar, which also reported on Thursday, lost 2% while Merck dropped 4.4% following disappointing results. Amazon issued its first-quarter results shortlyafter market close. The e-commerce giant surpassed analysts’ expectations on earnings and revenue.Gilead Sciences, Twitter, U.S. Steel and Western Digital will also post results after the bell.Facebook’s revenue jumped 48%, driven by higher-priced ads, sending its stock up 7.3% and to a record. Qualcomm shares added 4.4% after reporting a 52% jump in revenue.Economic data released Thursday gave investors an update on the progress of the economic recovery.First-quarter GDP hit an annualized rate of 6.4%, according to a report published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, a sign that the U.S. economy began 2021 with an accelerationof commercial activity. Outside of the reopening-fueled third-quarter surge last year, it was the best period for GDP since the third quarter of 2003.The Labor Department, meanwhile, reported that initial jobless claims last week totaled 553,000, just above the 528,000 estimate issued by Dow Jones.The Federal Reserve said Wednesday that it would hold interest rates near zero. The S&P slid from its high after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said during a press conference following the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision that there are some signs of froth in the market.“Rates remain unchanged for now and, despite improving economic data, taper talk remained off the table at today’s Federal Reserve meeting,” said Bethany Payne, portfolio manager at Janus Henderson.“As vaccination rates accelerate, employment strengthens, and expansive fiscal policy adds further support to household and business incomes, investors are now looking for signs of whether the central bank safety net could be withdrawn sooner than expected,” she added.Big Tech earningsAmazon sales surge 44% as it smashes earnings expectationsNio Reports Q1 Beat Amid Strong Demand, Forecasts Deliveries Growth Despite Chip ShortagesTwitter stock plunges on user miss and low guidanceWestern Digital's quarterly results and outlook topped Wall Street estimatesGilead Sciences Q1 Earnings Beat EstimatesWireless-Chip Maker Skyworks Squeaks By Second-Quarter TargetsDexCom Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue EstimatesUnited States Steel Q1 Earnings Surpass Estimates","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581545680491812","authorId":"3581545680491812","name":"chermainez","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a51ecbddc87a609823b7111b11aac43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581545680491812","authorIdStr":"3581545680491812"},"content":"pls reply to my comment thanks","text":"pls reply to my comment thanks","html":"pls reply to my comment thanks"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192564695,"gmtCreate":1621216914817,"gmtModify":1704354064907,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>gogogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>gogogo","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0a675be59143c62f7ccd9f7aff554b","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192564695","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108680129,"gmtCreate":1620018302661,"gmtModify":1704337459637,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment away","listText":"Like and comment away","text":"Like and comment away","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108680129","repostId":"1135819410","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101348070,"gmtCreate":1619851192690,"gmtModify":1704335761520,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment!","listText":"Like and comment!","text":"Like and comment!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/101348070","repostId":"1142063705","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142063705","pubTimestamp":1619796118,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1142063705?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-30 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Europe's antitrust crackdown on Apple hints at what's coming for the company in the U.S.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142063705","media":"CNBC","summary":"For a long time, the European Commission seemed to stand apart from the U.S. in cracking down on tech giants with antitrust fines againstGoogleand privacy rules like the General Data Protection Regulation.“The Commission’s argument onSpotify’sbehalf is the opposite of fair competition,” Apple said in a statement following Vestager’s announcement, referring to the music streaming company that raised the competition complaint. Apple said Spotify wants “all the benefits of the App Store but don’t t","content":"<div>\n<p>For a long time, the European Commission seemed to stand apart from the U.S. in cracking down on tech giants with antitrust fines againstGoogleand privacy rules like the General Data Protection ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/30/eu-leads-tech-crackdown-but-the-us-isnt-far-behind.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Europe's antitrust crackdown on Apple hints at what's coming for the company in the U.S.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEurope's antitrust crackdown on Apple hints at what's coming for the company in the U.S.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-30 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/30/eu-leads-tech-crackdown-but-the-us-isnt-far-behind.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For a long time, the European Commission seemed to stand apart from the U.S. in cracking down on tech giants with antitrust fines againstGoogleand privacy rules like the General Data Protection ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/30/eu-leads-tech-crackdown-but-the-us-isnt-far-behind.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/30/eu-leads-tech-crackdown-but-the-us-isnt-far-behind.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1142063705","content_text":"For a long time, the European Commission seemed to stand apart from the U.S. in cracking down on tech giants with antitrust fines againstGoogleand privacy rules like the General Data Protection Regulation.\nBut when the EU competition policy chief Margrethe Vestagerannounced Friday a preliminary findingthatApplehas abused its dominant power in the distribution of streaming music apps, the U.S. finally seems poised to move in a similar direction.\n“The Commission’s argument onSpotify’sbehalf is the opposite of fair competition,” Apple said in a statement following Vestager’s announcement, referring to the music streaming company that raised the competition complaint. Apple said Spotify wants “all the benefits of the App Store but don’t think they should have to pay anything for that,” by choosing to object to its 15-30% commission on in-app payments for streaming apps.\nApple isn’t currently facing any antitrust charges from government officials in the U.S. and such a lawsuit may never materialize, though the Department of Justice wasreportedly granted oversight of the company’s competitive practices in 2019. But even if the government declines to press charges, recent actions in Congress, state legislatures and in private lawsuits demonstrate a significant shift in the American public’s sentiment toward Apple and the tech industry at large.\nWhen the commissionslapped its first record competition fineagainstGooglein 2017, it wasn’t yet clear that the U.S. might be ready to move on from its once-cozy relationship with its booming tech industry. But in 2018, on the heels of the revelations of howFacebookuser data was used by analytics company Cambridge Analytica during the 2016 election, and increasing questions about how tech platforms can impact American democracy, that seemed to change.\nNow, as Europe continues to move forward with its probe into Apple, the U.S. no longer seems to be so far behind.\nHere’s where Apple stands to face risk of antitrust action or regulation in the U.S.:\nDOJ\nThe DOJ has already moved forward with a massive lawsuit against Google, so it could take some time if it decides to ramp up a probe into Apple. Though the DOJ’s Antitrust Division took on oversight authority of Apple in a 2019 agreement with the FTC, according to aWall Street Journal report, the Google investigation has seemed to take priority.\nStill, then-Attorney General Bill Barr announced later that year that the DOJ wouldconduct a broad antitrust review of Big Tech companies.\nAny action from the DOJ or state enforcers would take the form of a settlement or lawsuit, which would put Apple’s fate in the hands of the courts.\nPrivate lawsuits\nApple’s most immediate challenge in the U.S. has come from private companies bringing antitrust charges against its business in court.\nThe most notable of these lawsuits isfrom Fortnite-maker Epic Games, which is set to begin its trial on Monday. Epic filed its lawsuit with a PR blitz afterchallenging Apple’s in-app payment feeby advertising in its app an alternative, cheaper way to buy character outfits from Epic directly, violating Apple’s rules. That prompted Apple to remove Fortnite from its App Store. Epic filed the suit shortly after and Applefiled counterclaimsagainst Epic for allegedly breaching its contract.\n“Although Epic portrays itself as a modern corporate Robin Hood, in reality it is a multi-billion dollar enterprise that simply wants to pay nothing for the tremendous value it derives from the App Store,” Apple said in a filing with the District Court for the Northern District of California in September.\nCongress\nJust last week,several app-makers testified before the Senate Judiciary subcommittee on antitrust about the alleged anti-competitive harms they’ve facedfrom restrictions on both Apple and Google’s app stores.\nRepresentatives from Apple and Google told lawmakers they simply charge for the technology and the work they put into running the app stores, which have significantly lowered distribution costs for app developers over the years.\nBut witnesses from Tinder-ownerMatch Group, item-tracking device-maker Tile and Spotify painted a different picture.\n“We’re all afraid,” Match Group chief legal officer Jared Sine testified of the platforms’ broad power over their businesses.\nThe witnesses discussed the seemingly arbitrary nature by which Apple allegedly enforces its App Store rules. Spotify’s legal chief claimed Apple has threatened retaliation on numerous occasions and Tile’s top lawyer said Apple denied access to a key feature that wouldimprove their object-tracking product, before utilizing it for Apple’s own rival gadget,called AirTag.\nTile said that while Apple now makes the feature available for third-party developers to incorporate, accessing it would mean handing over a significant amount of data and control to Apple. Apple’s representative said its product is different from Tile’s and opening the feature in question will encourage further competition in the space.\nSenators at the hearing seemed receptive to the app developers’ complaints, which build on earlier claims made before House lawmakers. The House Judiciary subcommittee on antitrust found in a more than year-long probe thatAmazon, Apple, Facebook and Googleall hold monopoly power, and lawmakers are currently crafting bills to enable stronger antitrust enforcement of digital markets.\nState Legislatures\nSeveral state legislatures have beenconsidering bills that would require platforms like Apple and Google to allow app-makers to use their own payment processing systems. While the bills have so far hadvarying degrees of successin the early stages of lawmaking, passage in one state could raise a host of questions about how it should be enforced given the ambiguous nature of digital borders.\nThe bills have been supported by the Coalition for App Fairness, a group of companies that have complained about app store fees, including Epic Games, Match Group and Spotify.\nApple has often argued that it maintains features like payments within its own ecosystem in order to protect consumers and secure their data, though app developers and lawmakers have expressed skepticism about that reasoning.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579568139568178","authorId":"3579568139568178","name":"Gnoixed","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02d7e2310e2259dc0abb6c8cd2e1a05b","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3579568139568178","authorIdStr":"3579568139568178"},"content":"done, pls do the same for me.","text":"done, pls do the same for me.","html":"done, pls do the same for me."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106268655,"gmtCreate":1620125139677,"gmtModify":1704338969443,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/106268655","repostId":"1197943594","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197943594","pubTimestamp":1620124996,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1197943594?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-04 18:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is The US Economy A Virtual Reality?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197943594","media":"zerohedge","summary":"An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously sti","content":"<p>An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously still survives, thanks to vast infusions of government money to cover his rent and upkeep and sustain essential employees. He is looking forward to reopening but is<b>having a hard time finding employees. Many have moved to Florida. Others, he said, “are happy to live off government money rather than work.”</b></p>\n<p>His main puzzle is how it can be true that the government has the resources to sustain so many businesses in a full year of lockdowns. The money is falling like manna from heaven.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i><b>“From all my years in business, every instinct tells me that this can’t be right. It might work for a little while but someone has to pay these bills. There is no magic money tree out there to achieve such things.”</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>The tree might not be magic but it does exist.</b></p>\n<p>It’s called the Federal Reserve.</p>\n<p>Here is the alarming chart of the broadest definition of national money, which reveals an<b>unprecedented increase in the money supply</b>over the last year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b33ab7f69ce98140d3c8541540f2ef5\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"191\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The effects of such a thing can be&nbsp;difficult to trace. And much depends on factors outside the Fed’s control. Even the attempt to reign in the long-run effects could fail. Even so, the short-term effects, combined with unprecedented increases in government spending, have been to create the appearance of near full recovery.</p>\n<p><b>By the aggregated data alone, the US economy seems almost back to normal.</b>Gross Domestic Product is higher now than pre-pandemic and poised to roar much higher.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “What’s amazing,”&nbsp;writes&nbsp;the&nbsp;\n <i>Wall Street Journal</i>, “is that U.S. output is nearly what it was in the fourth-quarter of 2019 even with payrolls being about 5% smaller.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4660a898da3119fd8c2e1fe52ec0d676\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Consumer spending on durable goods is through the roof with a 41% increase for the quarter.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c109802e57d3dabd71e6122ef30cc88\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"156\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Private residential investment, which is to say consumer spending on housing, has blown past the point at which the last housing bubble blew up.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c33caf9df98a0feeafa86ca8bcea97c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i><b>Is Valhalla really around the corner? New riches? What’s the downside?</b></i></p>\n<p>Following a lockdown collapse in prices, the consumer price index is pointing toward inflationary signs. The Everyday Price Index is&nbsp;climbing&nbsp;at an annualized double-digit rates.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a23206631fdd85121a1cd11843355ac6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"176\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">No question that much of<b>this “growth” is fueled by historically high increases in government spending,</b>producing charts we’ve never seen before.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3534eb09f534aa3ac9615ee5f6299582\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">These increases were not paid out of some resource reserve sitting in DC.<b>They are paid by astronomical increases in borrowing.</b>Here are the increases in the public debt to GDP ratio.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebf7c01e4270b2641020471739787110\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">What all this aggregate data misses is the huge dislocations, distortions, and outright destruction that occurred because of the unprecedented use of extreme lockdowns in 2020. The<i>New York Times</i>&nbsp;provides a helpful analysis of existing sectors relative to what might have happened outside the pandemic lockdowns.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/249fca0e9740cccfe032a35635a8d811\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Thus are some sectors of the US economy booming to new highs, while others are still in deep depression.</b>The sectors that were locked down (entertainment, art, food, hotels, recreation), and those other sectors indirectly affected by lockdowns (exports, transportation, energy) are still wallowing in misery, having been battered by compulsory shutdowns that wrecked so many business models or otherwise forced them onto the government dole.</p>\n<p>One of the figures that fascinates me is the one on health care. It is still down 5.9% from what it might have been without the pandemic. Historians of the future will surely be amazed by such data. In a pandemic with such tremendous sickness and death, one would expect spending on health care to rocket higher than ever before.</p>\n<p><b>Instead, what we see in health care is a collapse of fully 18% in the worst months of the pandemic, a statement that sounds ridiculous in the saying.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c109802e57d3dabd71e6122ef30cc88\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"156\"></p>\n<p>What this illustrates is one of the least-talked-about aspects of government policy over the past year: state government’s interventions in the medical system that essentially reserved most if not all hospital space for Covid patients. Routine medical care and “elective surgery” was put on hold. Dentistry services&nbsp;collapsed a year ago by 70%.</p>\n<p>This meant missed cancer screenings, routine checkups, and normal doctor’s visits, not only because people were afraid but also because medical services faced a brutal form of central planning that had never previously happened. Thus do we get the most perverse results one can imagine: a collapse of spending on health care during a pandemic. It’s hard to isolate one piece of data that best captures the folly of government pandemic policy but perhaps this one is it.</p>\n<p>It’s impossible to know precisely what the future portends for all these unprecedented policy shocks over the last year, from money supply and spending bonanzas to lockdowns to sky-high debt accumulation.<b>But because a thing called cause-and-effect still operates in this world – we do not live in virtual reality – it seems wise to look at the seemingly great aggregate data with a gravely skeptical eye. We might be in the midst of the calm before the real storm hits.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is The US Economy A Virtual Reality?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs The US Economy A Virtual Reality?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-04 18:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-economy-virtual-reality><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously still survives, thanks to vast infusions of government money to cover his rent and upkeep and sustain ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-economy-virtual-reality\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-economy-virtual-reality","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197943594","content_text":"An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously still survives, thanks to vast infusions of government money to cover his rent and upkeep and sustain essential employees. He is looking forward to reopening but ishaving a hard time finding employees. Many have moved to Florida. Others, he said, “are happy to live off government money rather than work.”\nHis main puzzle is how it can be true that the government has the resources to sustain so many businesses in a full year of lockdowns. The money is falling like manna from heaven.\n\n“From all my years in business, every instinct tells me that this can’t be right. It might work for a little while but someone has to pay these bills. There is no magic money tree out there to achieve such things.”\n\nThe tree might not be magic but it does exist.\nIt’s called the Federal Reserve.\nHere is the alarming chart of the broadest definition of national money, which reveals anunprecedented increase in the money supplyover the last year.\nThe effects of such a thing can be difficult to trace. And much depends on factors outside the Fed’s control. Even the attempt to reign in the long-run effects could fail. Even so, the short-term effects, combined with unprecedented increases in government spending, have been to create the appearance of near full recovery.\nBy the aggregated data alone, the US economy seems almost back to normal.Gross Domestic Product is higher now than pre-pandemic and poised to roar much higher.\n\n “What’s amazing,” writes the \n Wall Street Journal, “is that U.S. output is nearly what it was in the fourth-quarter of 2019 even with payrolls being about 5% smaller.\n\nConsumer spending on durable goods is through the roof with a 41% increase for the quarter.\nPrivate residential investment, which is to say consumer spending on housing, has blown past the point at which the last housing bubble blew up.\nIs Valhalla really around the corner? New riches? What’s the downside?\nFollowing a lockdown collapse in prices, the consumer price index is pointing toward inflationary signs. The Everyday Price Index is climbing at an annualized double-digit rates.\nNo question that much ofthis “growth” is fueled by historically high increases in government spending,producing charts we’ve never seen before.\nThese increases were not paid out of some resource reserve sitting in DC.They are paid by astronomical increases in borrowing.Here are the increases in the public debt to GDP ratio.\nWhat all this aggregate data misses is the huge dislocations, distortions, and outright destruction that occurred because of the unprecedented use of extreme lockdowns in 2020. TheNew York Times provides a helpful analysis of existing sectors relative to what might have happened outside the pandemic lockdowns.\nThus are some sectors of the US economy booming to new highs, while others are still in deep depression.The sectors that were locked down (entertainment, art, food, hotels, recreation), and those other sectors indirectly affected by lockdowns (exports, transportation, energy) are still wallowing in misery, having been battered by compulsory shutdowns that wrecked so many business models or otherwise forced them onto the government dole.\nOne of the figures that fascinates me is the one on health care. It is still down 5.9% from what it might have been without the pandemic. Historians of the future will surely be amazed by such data. In a pandemic with such tremendous sickness and death, one would expect spending on health care to rocket higher than ever before.\nInstead, what we see in health care is a collapse of fully 18% in the worst months of the pandemic, a statement that sounds ridiculous in the saying.\n\nWhat this illustrates is one of the least-talked-about aspects of government policy over the past year: state government’s interventions in the medical system that essentially reserved most if not all hospital space for Covid patients. Routine medical care and “elective surgery” was put on hold. Dentistry services collapsed a year ago by 70%.\nThis meant missed cancer screenings, routine checkups, and normal doctor’s visits, not only because people were afraid but also because medical services faced a brutal form of central planning that had never previously happened. Thus do we get the most perverse results one can imagine: a collapse of spending on health care during a pandemic. It’s hard to isolate one piece of data that best captures the folly of government pandemic policy but perhaps this one is it.\nIt’s impossible to know precisely what the future portends for all these unprecedented policy shocks over the last year, from money supply and spending bonanzas to lockdowns to sky-high debt accumulation.But because a thing called cause-and-effect still operates in this world – we do not live in virtual reality – it seems wise to look at the seemingly great aggregate data with a gravely skeptical eye. We might be in the midst of the calm before the real storm hits.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197405857,"gmtCreate":1621476671879,"gmtModify":1704358222429,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>keep going!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>keep going!&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$keep going!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca65293d7e90ffeb75ba6f3f9f809a1d","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/197405857","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100585401,"gmtCreate":1619621757903,"gmtModify":1704726999746,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/100585401","repostId":"1131068131","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":136,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127223402,"gmtCreate":1624851857406,"gmtModify":1703846219547,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still need a letter T","listText":"Still need a letter T","text":"Still need a letter T","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127223402","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"content":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary/*ZOC2SW-index.html?feature=Message&platform=android&lang=en_US&skin=1&edition=fundamental&invite=ZOC2SW","text":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary/*ZOC2SW-index.html?feature=Message&platform=android&lang=en_US&skin=1&edition=fundamental&invite=ZOC2SW","html":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary/*ZOC2SW-index.html?feature=Message&platform=android&lang=en_US&skin=1&edition=fundamental&invite=ZOC2SW"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166633162,"gmtCreate":1624005298056,"gmtModify":1703826340336,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary/*ZOC2SW-index.html?feature=Message&amp;platform=android&amp;lang=en_US&amp;skin=1&amp;edition=fundamental&amp;invite=ZOC2SWNeed T!","listText":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary/*ZOC2SW-index.html?feature=Message&amp;platform=android&amp;lang=en_US&amp;skin=1&amp;edition=fundamental&amp;invite=ZOC2SWNeed T!","text":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary/*ZOC2SW-index.html?feature=Message&platform=android&lang=en_US&skin=1&edition=fundamental&invite=ZOC2SWNeed T!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166633162","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"content":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary/*ZOC2SW-index.html?feature=Message&platform=android&lang=en_US&skin=1&edition=fundamental&invite=ZOC2SW","text":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary/*ZOC2SW-index.html?feature=Message&platform=android&lang=en_US&skin=1&edition=fundamental&invite=ZOC2SW","html":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary/*ZOC2SW-index.html?feature=Message&platform=android&lang=en_US&skin=1&edition=fundamental&invite=ZOC2SW"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108689267,"gmtCreate":1620018406659,"gmtModify":1704337461423,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No thank you, next","listText":"No thank you, next","text":"No thank you, next","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108689267","repostId":"1121605010","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121605010","pubTimestamp":1620014543,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121605010?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-03 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Reasons Baidu Could Make You Rich","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121605010","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nStrong corporate earnings and great economic data keeps the market grinding higher. The S&P","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Strong corporate earnings and great economic data keeps the market grinding higher. The S&amp;P 500 is 36% historically overvalued and has just 28% upside potential over the next five years.</li>\n <li>Fortunately, whatever your goals, yield, value, growth, or total returns, something great is always on sale if you know where to look.</li>\n <li>Baidu is the Google of China, and planning on increasing spending by 30% annually over the coming years, focusing on AI, driverless cars, and streaming.</li>\n <li>In recent weeks it plunged 40%, partially due to forced hedge fund margin call selling. This creates a potentially exceptional opportunity to be \"greedy when others are fearful\" about this speculative hyper-growth blue-chip.</li>\n <li>I recently bought a starter position in Baidu, because it's 31% undervalued and analysts think it could double in the next three years, and almost triple over the next five. For anyone comfortable with the complex risk profile of Chinese tech giants, Baidu is one of the most reasonable and prudent hyper-growth blue-chips you can buy today.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fce5597f98f5e2431c73edea32173192\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"693\"><span>Photo by DNY59/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Over seven years as an analyst I've studied the greatest investors in history, to see what strategies made them legends.</p>\n<p><b>Greatest Investors In History: Masters Of Financial Science</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Name</b></td>\n   <td><b>Returns</b></td>\n   <td><b>Time Horizon</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>Most Famous For</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Jim Simmons (Co-Founder Renaissance Technologies)</td>\n   <td>71.8% CAGR</td>\n   <td>1994 to 2014 (best investing record ever recorded)</td>\n   <td><p>Pure Quant Based Investing</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Joel Greenblatt</td>\n   <td>40% CAGR</td>\n   <td>21 years at Gotham Capital</td>\n   <td><p><b>\"Above-Average Quality Companies At Below-Average Prices\"</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Peter Lynch</td>\n   <td>29.2% CAGR at Fidelity's Magellan Fund</td>\n   <td>1977 to 1990 (13 years)</td>\n   <td><p><b>\"Growth At A Reasonable Price\"</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Bill Miller (Legg Mason Value Trust 1990 to 2006)</td>\n   <td>22.8% CAGR and beat the S&amp;P 500 for 15 consecutive years</td>\n   <td>16 years</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Warren Buffett</td>\n   <td>20.8% CAGR at Berkshire</td>\n   <td>55 Years</td>\n   <td><p><b>Greedy when others are fearful</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Benjamin Graham</td>\n   <td>20% CAGR vs 12% S&amp;P 500</td>\n   <td>1934 to 1956 (22 years)</td>\n   <td><b>Margin of Safety</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Edward Thorp</td>\n   <td>20+% CAGR</td>\n   <td>over 30 years</td>\n   <td><p>invented card counting,<b>pure statistically-based investing</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Charlie Munger</td>\n   <td>19.80%</td>\n   <td>1962 to 1975</td>\n   <td><p><b>Wonderful companies at fair prices</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Howard Marks</td>\n   <td>19% CAGR</td>\n   <td>Since 1995</td>\n   <td><p><b>Valuation Mean Reversion</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Anne Scheiber</td>\n   <td>18.3% CAGR</td>\n   <td>50 years</td>\n   <td><p>Turned $5K into $22 million with no formal training, purely with<b>tax-efficient buy and hold blue-chip investing</b>.</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>John Templeton</td>\n   <td>300% from 1939 to 1943, 15.8% CAGR from 1954 to 1992</td>\n   <td>38 years</td>\n   <td>Market Cycles</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Carl Icahn</td>\n   <td>14.6% CAGR vs 5.6% S&amp;P 500</td>\n   <td><p>2001 to 2016 (15 Years)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>David Swenson</td>\n   <td>13.9% CAGR at Yale's Endowment (includes bonds and alternative assets) vs 10.7% S&amp;P 500</td>\n   <td>30 years</td>\n   <td><p>Alternative Asset Allocation</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Geraldine Weiss</td>\n   <td>11.2% vs 9.8% S&amp;P 500</td>\n   <td>37 years</td>\n   <td><p><b>Best risk-adjusted track record</b>of any newsletter over 30 years according to Hubbert Financial Digest, popularized<b>dividend yield theory</b>(the only strategy she employed)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Combining these lessons, along with decades of market studies from leading research institutions and blue-chip analyst firms, I've determined that there are six fundamentals that over the long term will make you rich (assuming you have discretionary savings to invest of course).</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Portfolio risk-management</li>\n <li>safety</li>\n <li>quality</li>\n <li>yield</li>\n <li>growth</li>\n <li>and value</li>\n</ul>\n<p>When combined with patience, time, and discipline, these are what made the greatest investors in history the legends they are today.</p>\n<p>You and I may never match the returns of the legends, but if we practice disciplined financial science we can avoid costly mistakes, and focus on the highest probability/low-risk blue-chips.</p>\n<blockquote>\n It's remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.\" - Charlie Munger\n</blockquote>\n<p>These are the \"consistently not stupid\" decisions that made Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett so successful.</p>\n<p>Today I want to explain why I've recently opened a starter tracking position in speculative hyper-growth blue-chip Baidu (BIDU).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d78b7d254783a9f8afc60962aa7d03ee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\"></p>\n<p>All Chinese tech giants are suffering a bear market right now. But notice how Baidu recently fell 40% in a matter of weeks.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu was also held by now-infamous hedge fund Archegos Capital Management at that time, which blew up during the same week. When the highly levered Archegos was unable to meet a margin call, banks seized Archegos' assets, including Baidu, and sold them off in massive blocks, accelerating Baidu's plunge.\" -Motley Fool\n</blockquote>\n<p>Institutional forced selling is one of the best opportunities for prudent long-term investors to buy the world's highest quality companies at mouth-watering prices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e09c272fe0a5f7a5052ea3021630d643\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\"></p>\n<p>Lowe's (LOW) and Realty Income (O) both plunged 25% on March 16th, due to institutional forced selling.</p>\n<p>In other words, when hedge funds get margin calls, they become the ultimate dumb money. Taking the other side of those trades can be the way to earn Buffett-like returns, through buying and holding blue-chip investing.</p>\n<p>So let me explain the four reasons why I consider it time to get greedy when others are fearful on Baidu.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Today I buy what others won't, so tomorrow I earn returns others can't.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n  - Paraphrase of Jerry Rice\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Reason 1: A Speculative Blue-Chip Quality Company</b></p>\n<p>According to the 2017 study<i>Do Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills?</i>by Hendrik Bessembinder of Arizona State University's W.P. Carey School of Business 52% of all stocks, lose money over time.</p>\n<p>This study looked at 26,000 companies from 1926 to 2016 and found that about 12% went to zero.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6f826f65373ae3a2e4061f906c54bb2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"508\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5868a6e0418dbe8596b0c667120b3a53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"440\"><span>(Source: Bessembinder et al)</span></p>\n<p>From 1926 to 2016 over 3,000 US companies listed on US exchanges went bankrupt. 1,100 or about 4%, delivered 100% of net positive returns. Just 48% of stocks delivered positive returns.</p>\n<p>In other words, safety and quality are what can help you avoid the value traps that don't make any money or lose all of your savings.</p>\n<p>The Dividend Kings quality scores factor in 143 fundamental metrics covering</p>\n<ul>\n <li>dividend safety</li>\n <li>balance sheet strength</li>\n <li>short and long-term bankruptcy risk</li>\n <li>accounting and corporate fraud risk</li>\n <li>profitability and business model</li>\n <li>cost of capital</li>\n <li>long-term sustainability (ESG scores and trends from MSCI, Morningstar, and Reuters'/Refinitiv)</li>\n <li>management quality</li>\n <li>dividend friendly corporate culture/income dependability</li>\n <li>long-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Our model actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by eight rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.</p>\n<p>Every metric was selected based on</p>\n<ul>\n <li>decades of empirical data</li>\n <li>the experience of the greatest investors in history</li>\n <li>eight rating agencies</li>\n <li>and what blue-chip economists and analyst firms consider most closely correlated to a company's long-term success.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Baidu's quality is 9/12 speculative blue-chip, meaning I recommend a 2.5% max risk cap position sizing.</p>\n<p><b>Dividend Kings Quality Rating System</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Quality Score</b></td>\n   <td><b>Meaning</b></td>\n   <td><b>Max Invested Capital Risk Recommendation</b></td>\n   <td><b>Margin Of Safety Potentially Good Buy</b></td>\n   <td><b>Strong Buy</b></td>\n   <td><b>Very Strong Buy</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>Ultra-Value Buy</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>3</td>\n   <td>Terrible, Very High Long-Term Bankruptcy Risk</td>\n   <td>0%</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td><p>NA (avoid)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>4</td>\n   <td>Very Poor</td>\n   <td>0%</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td><p>NA (avoid)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>5</td>\n   <td>Poor</td>\n   <td>0%</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td>NA (avoid)</td>\n   <td><p>NA (avoid)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>6</td>\n   <td>Below-Average, Fallen Angels (very speculative)</td>\n   <td>1%</td>\n   <td>45%</td>\n   <td>55%</td>\n   <td>65%</td>\n   <td>75%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>7</td>\n   <td>Average (Relative to S&amp;P 500)</td>\n   <td>2.5%</td>\n   <td>35%</td>\n   <td>45%</td>\n   <td>55%</td>\n   <td>65%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>8</td>\n   <td>Above-Average</td>\n   <td>5% (unless speculative then 2.5%)</td>\n   <td>25% to 30%</td>\n   <td>35% to 40%</td>\n   <td>45% to 50%</td>\n   <td><p>55% to 60%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>9</b></td>\n   <td><b>Blue-Chip</b></td>\n   <td>7% (unless<b>speculative</b>then<b>2.5%</b>)</td>\n   <td>20% to<b>25%</b></td>\n   <td>30% to<b>35%</b></td>\n   <td>40% to<b>45%</b></td>\n   <td><p>50% to<b>55%</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>10</td>\n   <td>SWAN (a higher caliber of Blue-Chip)</td>\n   <td>7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)</td>\n   <td>15% to 20%</td>\n   <td>25% to 30%</td>\n   <td>35% to 40%</td>\n   <td><p>45% to 50%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>11</td>\n   <td>Super SWAN (exceptionally dependable blue-chips)</td>\n   <td>7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)</td>\n   <td>10% to 15%</td>\n   <td>20% to 25%</td>\n   <td>30% to 35%</td>\n   <td><p>40% to 45%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>12</td>\n   <td>Ultra SWAN (as close to perfect companies as exist)</td>\n   <td>7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)</td>\n   <td>5% to 10%</td>\n   <td>15% to 20%</td>\n   <td>25% to 30%</td>\n   <td><p>35% to 40%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>What exactly makes Baidu a speculative blue-chip?</p>\n<p><b>Balance Sheet Safety</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Rating</b></td>\n   <td><b>Dividend Kings Safety Score (75 Safety Metric Model)</b></td>\n   <td><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>1 (very unsafe)</td>\n   <td>0% to 20%</td>\n   <td>over 4%</td>\n   <td>16+%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2 (unsafe average)</td>\n   <td>21% to 40%</td>\n   <td>over 2%</td>\n   <td>8% to 16%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>3 (average)</td>\n   <td>41% to 60%</td>\n   <td>2%</td>\n   <td>4% to 8%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>4 (safe)</b></td>\n   <td><b>61% to 80%</b></td>\n   <td><b>1%</b></td>\n   <td><b>2% to 4%</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>5 (very safe)</td>\n   <td>81% to 100%</td>\n   <td>0.5%</td>\n   <td>1% to 2%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>BIDU</b></td>\n   <td><b>76%</b></td>\n   <td><b>A stable rating from Fitch, A3 (A- equivalent) stable rating Moody's</b></td>\n   <td><b>0.66% to 2.5% 30-year default/bankruptcy risk</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Long-Term Dependability</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Company</b></td>\n   <td><b>DK Long-Term Dependability Score</b></td>\n   <td><b>Interpretation</b></td>\n   <td><b>Points</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>S&amp;P 500/Industry Average</td>\n   <td>58%</td>\n   <td>Average Dependability</td>\n   <td>2</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Non-Dependable Companies</td>\n   <td>31% or below</td>\n   <td>Poor Dependability</td>\n   <td>1</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Relatively Dependable Companies</td>\n   <td>32% to 70%</td>\n   <td>Below to Above-Average Dependability</td>\n   <td>2</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Very Dependable Companies</td>\n   <td>71% to 80%</td>\n   <td>Very Dependable</td>\n   <td>3</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Exceptionally Dependable Companies</td>\n   <td>81% or higher</td>\n   <td>Exceptional Dependability</td>\n   <td>4</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>BIDU</b></td>\n   <td><b>67%</b></td>\n   <td><b>Above-Average Dependability</b></td>\n   <td><b>2</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Overall Quality</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>BIDU</b></td>\n   <td><b>Final Score</b></td>\n   <td><b>Rating</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Safety</td>\n   <td>76%</td>\n   <td>4/5</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Business Model</td>\n   <td>80%</td>\n   <td>3/3</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Dependability</td>\n   <td>67%</td>\n   <td>2/4</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Total</b></td>\n   <td><b>73%</b></td>\n   <td><b>9/12 Speculative Blue-Chip</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Baidu is the 245th Highest Quality Master List Company (Out of 495) = 49th Percentile</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/927ef17638b4bbf9db4e34f1aeb01a61\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"241\"><span>(Source: DK Safety &amp; Quality Tool) updated at the end of each day, sorted by overall quality score</span></p>\n<ul>\n <li>green = potentially good buy or better</li>\n <li>blue = potentially reasonable buy</li>\n <li>yellow = hold</li>\n <li>red = potential trim/sell</li>\n</ul>\n<p>BIDU's 73% quality score means it's the 245th highest quality company on the DK 500 Master List. This list includes the world's highest quality companies including</p>\n<ul>\n <li>all dividend champions</li>\n <li>all dividend aristocrats</li>\n <li>all dividend kings</li>\n <li>all 12/12 Ultra SWANs (as close to perfect quality as exists on Wall Street, think wide moat aristocrats)</li>\n <li>numerous global aristocrats (such as BTI, ENB, and NVS)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>BIDU is about average quality compared to the world's elite companies and similar in quality to such 9/12 blue-chips and, 10/12 SWANs, as</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Qualcomm (QCOM)</li>\n <li>Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX) - dividend aristocrat</li>\n <li>W. P. Carey (WPC)</li>\n <li>Sonoco Products (SON) - dividend champion</li>\n <li>H.B. Fuller (FUL) - dividend king</li>\n <li>MetLife (MET)</li>\n <li>Digital Realty Trust (DLR)</li>\n <li>Leggett &amp; Platt (LEG) - dividend aristocrat</li>\n <li>V.F. Corp (VFC) - dividend aristocrat</li>\n <li>Bank of New York Mellon (BK)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Baidu has a strong cash-rich balance sheet, though it is taking on extra leverage in order to fund its ambitious growth efforts.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4c7bc8d9da039967a0ce9e435f7b6eb\" tg-width=\"449\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>(Source: Gurufocus Premium)</span></p>\n<p>Including leasing expenses, BIDU has 2X as much cash as debt.</p>\n<p>Fitch and Moody's rate Baidu A stable and A3 (A- equivalent) stable outlooks, indicating 0.66% to 2.5% 30-year default/bankruptcy risk.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect much higher spending in the short-term to cause leverage to increase, though rating agencies don't expect this to be permanent.</p>\n<p>The key safety ratios with Baidu are the F, Z, and M scores, advanced accounting ratios created by leading research institutions that use asset ratios scanned from quarterly filings.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>F-score measures short-term bankruptcy risk</li>\n <li>Z-score measures 2-year bankruptcy risk (with 84% to 92% historical accuracy)</li>\n <li>M-score measures accounting fraud risk (with 76% historical accuracy)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>7/9 is very safe on the F-score = very low short-term bankruptcy risk.</p>\n<p>3.59 vs 3+ very safe and 9.51 historical, confirms the A-credit ratings and low long-term risk of losing all your money.</p>\n<p>And the M-score of -2.42 indicates a significantly less than 17.5% probability that Baidu is cooking its books.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0593cdfc392caf38a9d7ca42c482c359\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6110ac3a73c5c935e0778da21e6eb62e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\"><span>(Source: Gurufocus)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU's historically unsafe M-score has been improving and became safe at the end of 2014 and has remained so for the last seven years.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>its safety and quality score still get dinged though because we factor in every important metric so we don't miss any warning signs</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The M-score is 76% historically accurate at catching accounting fraud and 82.5% accurate at finding companies with honest accounting.</p>\n<p>Combined with its credit ratings and risk ratings from 5 different rating agencies, plus its auditors, I can say with relatively high confidence that Baidu is not the next Luckin Coffee.</p>\n<p>Quality is a proven alpha factor, one of seven that beats the market over the long term.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4868372d29cef8d5b07fc5a538fb58e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\"></p>\n<p>On Wall Street, profitability over time is the most accurate proxy for quality.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>credit ratings are one of the best qualitative quality proxies</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c8a6a2913d554a5c9780f869d7a887\" tg-width=\"445\" tg-height=\"430\"><span>(Source: Gurufocus Premium)</span></p>\n<p>Baidu's profitability is historically in the top 20% of its peers, confirming a wide and stable moat.</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Metric</b></td>\n   <td><b>Industry Percentile</b></td>\n   <td><b>Major Interactive Media Companies More Profitable Than BIDU (Out of 543)</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Operating Margin</td>\n   <td>67.35</td>\n   <td>177</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Net Margin</td>\n   <td>81.26</td>\n   <td>102</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Return On Equity</td>\n   <td>67.86</td>\n   <td>175</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Return On Assets</td>\n   <td>68.47</td>\n   <td>171</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Return On Capital</td>\n   <td>69.61</td>\n   <td>165</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Average</b></td>\n   <td><b>70.91</b></td>\n   <td><b>158</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: Gurufocus Premium)</i></p>\n<p>Over the last year, increased growth spending has reduced profitability to the top 29% of peers, though that's expected to recover in the future.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>for example, returns on equity are expected to rise 10% by 2024</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Joel Greenblatt defined quality by return on capital, his gold standard proxy for quality and moatiness.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>operating income (EBIT)/operating capital (the money it takes to run the business for a year)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Greenblatt's entire legendary track record, 40% annual returns for 21 years, was done by combining high ROC with low valuations.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d43fa9d5032a24362f75054f2a9e93\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"292\"><span>(Source: Gurufocus Premium)</span></p>\n<p>Even with heavy growth spending in recent years, Baidu's returns on capital are very impressive.</p>\n<p>The average Master List company has 88% ROC.</p>\n<p>The average aristocrat 83%.</p>\n<p>The average Ultra SWAN 87%.</p>\n<p>Over the past year, BIDU's ROC has been 103% and in Q4 it was 95%.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect that in the next few years, ROC will revert back to its historical 205%.</p>\n<p>A level of profitability that, according to Joel Greenblatt, would make BIDU one of the highest quality companies in the world.</p>\n<p>Baidu's future growth is expected to come from aggressive investments into driverless cars (long-term) and AI and streaming in the short and medium term.</p>\n<p><b>Baidu Growth Spending Consensus Forecast</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Year</b></td>\n   <td><b>SG&amp;A</b></td>\n   <td><b>R&amp;D</b></td>\n   <td><b>Capex</b></td>\n   <td><b>Total Growth Spending</b></td>\n   <td><b>Sales</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>Growth Spending/Sales</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2020</td>\n   <td>$2,792</td>\n   <td>$3,016</td>\n   <td>$993</td>\n   <td>$4,009</td>\n   <td>$16,548</td>\n   <td>24.23%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2021</td>\n   <td>$3,574</td>\n   <td>$3,554</td>\n   <td>$1,893</td>\n   <td>$5,447</td>\n   <td>$19,517</td>\n   <td>27.91%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2022</td>\n   <td>$3,974</td>\n   <td>$4,062</td>\n   <td>$2,220</td>\n   <td>$6,282</td>\n   <td>$22,235</td>\n   <td>28.25%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2023</td>\n   <td>$5,049</td>\n   <td>$5,858</td>\n   <td>$2,719</td>\n   <td>$8,577</td>\n   <td>$25,258</td>\n   <td>33.96%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2024</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>$1,504</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>$30,071</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2025</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2026</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Annualized Growth</b></td>\n   <td><b>21.83%</b></td>\n   <td><b>24.77%</b></td>\n   <td><b>10.94%</b></td>\n   <td><b>28.85%</b></td>\n   <td><b>16.10%</b></td>\n   <td><b>NA</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<p>Historically Baidu spends about 17% of its revenue on growth. By 2023 that's expected to double.</p>\n<p>Total growth spending is expected to grow at almost 30% annually for the next three years.</p>\n<p>Baidu Consensus Profit Forecast</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Year</b></td>\n   <td><b>Sales</b></td>\n   <td><b>FCF</b></td>\n   <td><b>EBITDA</b></td>\n   <td><b>EBIT (Operating Income)</b></td>\n   <td><b>Net Income</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2020</td>\n   <td>$16,548</td>\n   <td>$2,106</td>\n   <td>$4,251</td>\n   <td>$2,216</td>\n   <td>$3,473</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2021</td>\n   <td>$19,517</td>\n   <td>$3,947</td>\n   <td>$4,734</td>\n   <td>$2,629</td>\n   <td>$2,760</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2022</td>\n   <td>$22,235</td>\n   <td>$5,013</td>\n   <td>$5,812</td>\n   <td>$3,400</td>\n   <td>$3,381</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2023</td>\n   <td>$25,258</td>\n   <td>$5,854</td>\n   <td>$6,730</td>\n   <td>$4,163</td>\n   <td>$4,226</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2024</td>\n   <td>$30,071</td>\n   <td>$7,421</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>$6,195</td>\n   <td>$5,268</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Annualized Growth</b></td>\n   <td><b>16.10%</b></td>\n   <td><b>37.01%</b></td>\n   <td><b>16.55%</b></td>\n   <td><b>29.31%</b></td>\n   <td><b>10.98%</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<p>Management's guidance, which is the basis for these consensus forecasts, is for strong revenue growth. Net margins are expected to compress but cash flows are expected to soar.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow, the ultimate source of all intrinsic value according to Ben Graham and Warren Buffett, is expected to more than triple by 2024.</p>\n<p>Baidu Consensus Margin Forecast</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Year</b></td>\n   <td><b>FCF Margin</b></td>\n   <td><b>EBITDA Margin</b></td>\n   <td><b>EBIT (Operating) Margin</b></td>\n   <td><b>Net Margin</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2020</td>\n   <td>12.7%</td>\n   <td>25.7%</td>\n   <td>13.4%</td>\n   <td>21.0%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2021</td>\n   <td>20.2%</td>\n   <td>24.3%</td>\n   <td>13.5%</td>\n   <td>14.1%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2022</td>\n   <td>22.5%</td>\n   <td>26.1%</td>\n   <td>15.3%</td>\n   <td>15.2%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2023</td>\n   <td>23.2%</td>\n   <td>26.6%</td>\n   <td>16.5%</td>\n   <td>16.7%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>2024</td>\n   <td>24.7%</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>20.6%</td>\n   <td>17.5%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Annualized Growth</b></td>\n   <td><b>18.01%</b></td>\n   <td><b>1.23%</b></td>\n   <td><b>11.37%</b></td>\n   <td><b>-4.42%</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</i></p>\n<p>Baidu's profitability is ultimately expected to improve, though net margins won't until its major growth initiatives are over.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee8691866fef56c1dd17062657e10811\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\"><span>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU ended 2020 with $5.6 billion in cash, and that's expected to rise to $22 billion by 2023, and potentially nearly $60 billion by 2024.</p>\n<p>That may not be as impressive as some tech companies ($601 billion by 2026 for Amazon), but it does mean that Baidu's war chest and financial flexibility to pivot towards AI, driverless cars, and streaming will grow significantly in future years.</p>\n<p>Baidu Medium-Term Growth Consensus</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Metric</b></td>\n   <td><b>2020 Actual Growth</b></td>\n   <td><b>2021 consensus growth</b></td>\n   <td><b>2022 consensus growth</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>2023 consensus growth</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>EPS</td>\n   <td>31%</td>\n   <td>7%</td>\n   <td>18%</td>\n   <td>16%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Owner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF)</td>\n   <td>124%</td>\n   <td>22%</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Operating Cash Flow</td>\n   <td>-14%</td>\n   <td>59%</td>\n   <td>31%</td>\n   <td>7%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Free cash flow</td>\n   <td>96%</td>\n   <td>85%</td>\n   <td>22%</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>EBITDA</td>\n   <td>-18%</td>\n   <td>53%</td>\n   <td>27%</td>\n   <td>24%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>EBIT (operating income)</td>\n   <td>130%</td>\n   <td>26%</td>\n   <td>26%</td>\n   <td>19%</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</i></p>\n<p>In the next few years, Baidu's growth efforts are expected to result in strong growth. But what's attracted me to the Google of China, is that this hyper-growth is expected to continue for many years to come.</p>\n<p><b>Reason 2: Long-Term Hyper-Growth Potential</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdfa536609dc32efe57d7af85154ddbf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"412\"><span>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU's AI, streaming, and driverless car investments are showing up in \"other services\" and that revenue is expected to grow almost 50% in 3 years.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0a582df968d9cfaf4a09f2f2984f522\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72ab775d253a2fbce4a1a5001922e0b8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"394\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<ul>\n <li>16.0% to 17.5% long-term growth consensus range</li>\n <li>6% to 28% growth consensus range adjusted for historical margin of error</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ae4ef54819e7f58c95b2f21ced20393\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"336\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/705d5218e7d882c4c52948d4f47fbb5e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\"></p>\n<p>The margins of error on BIDU forecasts are very wide. 33% of the time it grows much faster than expected, 33% of the time much slower, and 33% of the about as fast as expected.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>margins of error over the last decade (excluding outliers) are 60% to the downside, 55% to the upside</li>\n <li>the long-term growth consensus range: 16% to 18% CAGR</li>\n <li>the margin of error adjusted long-term analyst growth consensus range: 6% to 28% CAGR</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73c38a8847c12ffd67928559c978ff18\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"407\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU's historical growth is from -9% to 52%. So relatively high growth uncertainty, more so than most tech blue-chips.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>and thus the $650 investment vs $10K in GOOG, $89K in BABA, and $200K in Amazon</li>\n</ul>\n<p>However, analysts expect growth to be similar to the 20% growth of the last decade.</p>\n<p>And at today's high margin of safety, we're likely getting a good deal to compensate for BIDU's growth uncertainty and complex risk profile.</p>\n<p><b>Reason 3: Highly Attractive Valuation</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f3ad1e7e41458b1bdc4f379d7917692\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU growing at the rates analysts expect in the future has historically been valued at 23X to 26X earnings.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbd2ab20e70f34f53bc7768feb9b6a24\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\"><span>(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)</span></p>\n<p>BIDU is currently trading at 20.4X forward earnings and 13.6X EV/EBITDA.</p>\n<p>EV/EBITDA is market cap + net debt/EBITDA and is Joel Greenblatt's and private equity's favorite valuation metric.</p>\n<p>Baidu's 13-year median EV/EBITDA is 23.2, and its trading at 13.6, implying a potential 42% discount to fair value.</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Metric</b></td>\n   <td><b>Historical Fair Value (12-years)</b></td>\n   <td><b>2020</b></td>\n   <td><b>2021</b></td>\n   <td><b>2022</b></td>\n   <td><b>2023</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Earnings</td>\n   <td>25.0</td>\n   <td>$243.87</td>\n   <td>$261.27</td>\n   <td>$307.91</td>\n   <td>$357.77</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Owner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF) - 10 yr</td>\n   <td>23.5</td>\n   <td>$324.46</td>\n   <td>$394.46</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Operating Cash Flow</td>\n   <td>19.9</td>\n   <td>$202.33</td>\n   <td>$321.22</td>\n   <td>$420.37</td>\n   <td>$448.64</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Free Cash Flow (11-yr)</td>\n   <td>27.5</td>\n   <td>$220.77</td>\n   <td>$408.53</td>\n   <td>$497.28</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>EBITDA</td>\n   <td>22.0</td>\n   <td>$190.60</td>\n   <td>$291.18</td>\n   <td>$370.80</td>\n   <td>$459.36</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>EBIT (operating income)</td>\n   <td>34.5</td>\n   <td>$207.78</td>\n   <td>$261.14</td>\n   <td>$328.78</td>\n   <td>$392.83</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Average</b></td>\n   <td><b>$224.60</b></td>\n   <td><b>$312.71</b></td>\n   <td><b>$373.81</b></td>\n   <td><b>$410.40</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Current Price</td>\n   <td>$215.83</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Discount To Fair Value</b></p></td>\n   <td><b>3.91%</b></td>\n   <td><b>30.98%</b></td>\n   <td><b>42.26%</b></td>\n   <td><b>47.41%</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><i><b>Upside To Fair Value</b></i></td>\n   <td><i><b>4%</b></i></td>\n   <td><i><b>45%</b></i></td>\n   <td><i><b>73%</b></i></td>\n   <td><i><b>90%</b></i></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</i></p>\n<p>BIDU is about 31% historically undervalued right now, meaning that if it grows as expected through 2023 and returns to fair value that's 90% upside potential.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>$350 is the median 12-month price target</li>\n <li>65% upside potential over the next 12 months according to analysts</li>\n</ul>\n<p>And that guestimate is 100% justified by fundamentals.</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Rating</b></td>\n   <td><b>Margin Of Safety For Speculative 9/12 Blue-Chip Quality Companies</b></td>\n   <td><b>2020 Price</b></td>\n   <td><b>2021 Price</b></td>\n   <td><b>2022 Price</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Potentially Reasonable Buy</td>\n   <td>0%</td>\n   <td>$224.60</td>\n   <td>$312.71</td>\n   <td>$373.81</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Potentially Good Buy</b></td>\n   <td><b>25%</b></td>\n   <td><b>$168.45</b></td>\n   <td><b>$234.53</b></td>\n   <td><b>$280.35</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Potentially Strong Buy</td>\n   <td>35%</td>\n   <td>$145.99</td>\n   <td>$203.26</td>\n   <td>$242.97</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Potentially Very Strong Buy</td>\n   <td>45%</td>\n   <td>$123.53</td>\n   <td>$171.99</td>\n   <td>$205.59</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Potentially Ultra-Value Buy</td>\n   <td>55%</td>\n   <td>$101.07</td>\n   <td>$140.72</td>\n   <td>$168.21</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Currently</b></td>\n   <td><b>$213.41</b></td>\n   <td><b>5%</b></td>\n   <td><b>32%</b></td>\n   <td><b>43%</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Upside To Fair Value (Not Including Dividends)</p></td>\n   <td>5%</td>\n   <td>47%</td>\n   <td>75%</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>At a 32% margin of safety, Baidu, despite all its risks, is a potentially good buy for more risk-tolerant investors.</p>\n<p>But the ability to potentially enjoy monster short-term gains is just the cherry on top with Baidu.</p>\n<p><b>Reason 4: Eye-Popping Long-Term Return Potential</b></p>\n<p>Here is a reasonable idea of what kind of returns you can expect buying BIDU today.</p>\n<p><b>Baidu 2023 Consensus Return Potential</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15f5606b2eaa042608497f68998a69cc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"385\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>If BAIDU grows as analysts expect through 2023, and returns to historical fair value, then analysts expect</p>\n<ul>\n <li>75% total returns</li>\n <li>23.3% CAGR returns</li>\n <li>vs -1.3% CAGR S&amp;P 500</li>\n</ul>\n<p>From its 31% discount, BIDU has the potential to outperform the 36% overvalued S&amp;P 500 by 78% over the next three years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7be8ed919f810734d99f50b4b14741dd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"405\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>Corporate earnings growth estimates are rising by the day. Yet the market has already priced in three years of earnings growth totaling 62% or 17.4% CAGR.</p>\n<p>Over the long term, BIDU's return outlook is also very strong.</p>\n<p><b>Baidu 2026 Consensus Return Potential</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9aef71a5e564b122341a52dec05bb34\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"405\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>If BIDU grows as analysts expect through 2026 and returns to historical fair value you could expect</p>\n<ul>\n <li>179% total returns</li>\n <li>19.8% CAGR</li>\n <li>vs 4.5% CAGR S&amp;P 500</li>\n <li><i><b>4.4X better than the market's consensus return potential</b></i></li>\n</ul>\n<p>If BIDU delivers as analysts expect, then buying today could almost triple your money in the next five years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/935c135e000c240df768640b47826e5c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)</span></p>\n<p>Over the long term, analysts expect</p>\n<ul>\n <li>0% yield + 17.5% growth = 17.5% CAGR very long-term total returns (after valuation changes cancel out)</li>\n <li>6% to 28% CAGR range</li>\n <li>vs 7.8% for the S&amp;P and 10.8% for the dividend aristocrats</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Baidu Total Returns Since 2006</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe7969e52431f689a9737c4c48401e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"124\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08f72f9d45d8f32d950ea367c84cb531\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40bd03cb49698c42f76664151bd05cf5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\"><span>(Source: Portfolio Visualizer)</span></p>\n<p>In the last 15 years, BIDU has turned $1 into $26, adjusted for inflation, and crushed the market with 8X more wealth compounding.</p>\n<p>It's expected to grow slightly slower than in the past, but the ability to potentially enjoy 17.5% hyper-growth for many years is incredibly attractive.</p>\n<p><b>Baidu Vs S&amp;P 500 Vs Dividend Aristocrat Inflation-Adjusted Total Return Forecast: $650 Initial Investment</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Time Frame (Years)</b></td>\n   <td><b>5.8% LT Inflation-Adjusted Returns (S&amp;P Consensus)</b></td>\n   <td><b>8.8% Inflation-Adjusted Returns (aristocrat consensus)</b></td>\n   <td><b>15.5% Inflation-Adjusted Returns (BIDU consensus)</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>5</td>\n   <td>$1,325.65</td>\n   <td>$1,524.56</td>\n   <td>$1,336.05</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>10</b></td>\n   <td><b>$1,757.34</b></td>\n   <td><b>$2,324.28</b></td>\n   <td><b>$2,746.21</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>15</td>\n   <td>$2,329.62</td>\n   <td>$3,543.51</td>\n   <td>$5,644.73</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>20</td>\n   <td>$3,088.26</td>\n   <td>$5,402.29</td>\n   <td>$11,602.54</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>25</td>\n   <td>$4,093.94</td>\n   <td>$8,236.11</td>\n   <td>$23,848.60</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>30</b></td>\n   <td><b>$5,427.13</b></td>\n   <td><b>$12,556.45</b></td>\n   <td><b>$49,019.95</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>35</td>\n   <td>$7,194.46</td>\n   <td>$19,143.06</td>\n   <td>$100,758.76</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>40</td>\n   <td>$9,537.33</td>\n   <td>$29,184.74</td>\n   <td>$207,106.02</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>45</td>\n   <td>$12,643.14</td>\n   <td>$44,493.88</td>\n   <td>$425,699.02</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>50</b></td>\n   <td><b>$16,760.36</b></td>\n   <td><b>$67,833.58</b></td>\n   <td><b>$875,009.10</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The ability to grow 2X to 3X as fast as the S&amp;P 500 or aristocrats creates the potential for wealth compounding on a massive scale. Look at how large my $650 initial BIDU investment can grow, assuming analysts are right and management delivers the expected growth over time.</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Time Frame (Years)</b></td>\n   <td><b>Ratio S&amp;P vs Aristocrat Consensus</b></td>\n   <td><b>Ratio S&amp;P vs BIDU consensus</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>5</td>\n   <td>1.15</td>\n   <td>1.01</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>10</b></td>\n   <td><b>1.32</b></td>\n   <td><b>1.56</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>15</td>\n   <td>1.52</td>\n   <td>2.42</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>20</td>\n   <td>1.75</td>\n   <td>3.76</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>25</td>\n   <td>2.01</td>\n   <td>5.83</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>30</b></td>\n   <td><b>2.31</b></td>\n   <td><b>9.03</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>35</td>\n   <td>2.66</td>\n   <td>14.01</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>40</td>\n   <td>3.06</td>\n   <td>21.72</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>45</td>\n   <td>3.52</td>\n   <td>33.67</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>50</b></td>\n   <td><b>4.05</b></td>\n   <td><b>52.21</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Over the long term, the aristocrats are expected to quadruple the S&amp;P 500's wealth compounding. Baidu could potentially deliver 52X as much wealth as the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>Is Baidu likely to grow 17.5% for 50 years? Probably not. But even if it can deliver just 10 to 20 years of hyper-growth, when combined with its attractive current valuation, that's worthy of a small initial investment in my book.</p>\n<p><b>Risk Profile: Why Baidu Isn't Right For Everyone</b></p>\n<p>There are no risk-free companies and no company is right for everyone. You have to be comfortable with the fundamental risk profile.</p>\n<p><b>Fundamental Risk Summary</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n We think Baidu faces high levels of risk, given intense competition along with questions as to whether its AI-related investment will generate satisfactory returns.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Though Baidu is the largest search engine in China, it is competing with the other two Internet giants, Tencent and Alibaba, and Google’s potential return to the Chinese search market is also a threat.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Regarding the search engine business, Tencent invested in Sogou, and Alibaba acquired UC Web, which owns a mobile search engine, Shenma. Competition has extended to each key area of mobile Internet usage, such as navigation, O2O services, online video services, and so on. Baidu’s margins have been significantly dragged down by aggressive spending in video content and O2O marketing but recovered to 18.5% in 2017 from 14.2% in 2016 as Baidu divested margin-dilutive businesses.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n The major Internet companies in China have been investing in AI-related business, such as cloud computing, voice and image recognition, and autonomously driven cars. At the current stage,\n <b>it is difficult to predict whether Baidu will be the final winner in AI and whether the returns will reward its investment.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n In addition, regulatory risk is a concern. Following the Wei Zexi incident in early 2016, Chinese authorities launched new regulations for online search and advertising, which clearly defined paid search results as advertising. These regulations took effect on Sept. 1, 2016. Given stricter standards for online advertisers, Baidu’s online marketing services revenue growth declined to 1% in 2016. If the local authorities release more policies regarding Internet business, such as online advertising and online finance, Baidu’s revenue could be negatively affected.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Since 2017, Baidu has discontinued the disclosure of MAUs for its mobile search and mobile maps, which is possibly due to weaker numbers.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>BIDU's pivot into the technology of the future is potentially like Satya Nadella taking MSFT into the pure cloud-driven strategy.</p>\n<p>Or it could be like IBM's Watson-based flaying, major promise but poor execution over time.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu has the urgency to strengthen its mobile business because it has not developed another industry-leading business other than its mobile search app for years.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu’s share of mobile time spend reduced to 6.9% in March 2019 from 7.3% year over year. Baidu positions its flagship Baidu app (173 million daily average users in March 2019) as a \"super\" app that can serve a wide range of users' needs, such as reading, watching videos, shopping, transportation tickets, food services, and so on, but we believe the app is less of a super app compared with Tencent’s Wechat (1.1 billion monthly average users).\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n It has copied the strategies of its peers by launching a mini-program (181 million MAU in March 2019) and short video apps (sevenfold year over year increase to 98 million MAU in March 2019 as per Questmobile).\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>Baidu has struggled more than most Chinese tech giants to pivot and adapt to the disruption risk that is ever-present in this industry.</p>\n<blockquote>\n We have not factored in the meaningful commercialization of Baidu’s AI-based services, such as voice assistant platform DuerOS, autonomous driving platform Apollo and artificial intelligence cloud services.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Search is driven by an artificial intelligence-powered algorithm, giving Baidu a good foundation in this segment.</b>Baidu is also\n <b>one of the largest and earliest companies to start AI investments in China.</b>Currently, Baidu uses AI to recommend feeds to the app’s users to generate advertising revenue.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n IQiyi, Baidu’s online video platform, has been a key growth driver stemming from increasing willingness to pay for premium content in China and continuous advertising demand on&nbsp;\n <b>iQiyi. It accounted for 29% of Baidu’s revenue in the first quarter of 2019.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n In the near term, Baidu will invest heavily in its mobile business in terms of sales and marketing, and traffic acquisition. While meaningful monetization is uncertain, we expect Baidu to increase or maintain its research and development expenditure, which is at 17% of sales in the first quarter of 2019. To fend off major competitor Tencent Video, iQiyi needs to continue to invest in premium content. Therefore, we expect Baidu’s margins to be under pressure in the near term.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>But while Baidu has made some questionable investments over the years, its current focus on AI is a logical and prudent one.</p>\n<p>Baidu's competitive advantage in AI stems from being the first mover in Chinese search. It has the most data to feed into its machine learning algorithms, though rivals like Alibaba (BABA) and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) are working hard to eat its lunch.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu generated 68% of its revenue during the year from its online marketing services segment, which mainly sells ads. The segment's revenue has declined year over year for&nbsp;seven straight quarters.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n That ongoing slowdown is troubling since Baidu's advertising rivals -- like&nbsp;\n <b>Tencent</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;\n <b>Bilibili --</b>both expanded&nbsp;their advertising businesses over the past year. It also indicates people are spending less time on traditional online searches and more time on other digital platforms.\" - Leo Sun,Motley Fool\n</blockquote>\n<p>In recent years, BIDU's market share in digital ads has been declining, which means unlike companies like JD, BABA, and TCEHY, it's attempting to pivot from a position of weakness, not strength.</p>\n<p>It has the resources to invest heavily and hopefully achieve the kinds of impressive growth rates analysts expect. But success is far from guaranteed.</p>\n<p>This is why I've bought a starter 3 share tracking position in Baidu.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>compared to a $10,000 position in Alphabet (GOOG)</li>\n <li>and an&nbsp;$89,000 investment into Alibaba</li>\n <li>and a&nbsp;$200,000 investment into Amazon(AMZN)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>And of course, we can't forget about the risks surrounding management and governance.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Robin Yanhong Li, the founder of Baidu, has been the chairman of the board since its inception and has served as the CEO since 2004. Before that, Li worked at IDD Information Services and Infoseek in Silicon Valley, with a special focus on product development in Internet search engines. Li owned 16.4% of the company as of January 2020, and all directors and management together owned 16.5%. Jennifer Xinzhe Li stepped down as CFO in 2017 and was replaced by Herman Yu, formerly of Weibo...\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu had reputational issues, with the Wei Zexi medical incident being the largest scandal, which led to a management restructuring in 2016. Three vice presidents were dismissed. Qi Lu joined Baidu in January 2017 as group president and COO but resigned in June 2018. Lu has a solid record in the U.S. technology industry, and Baidu’s financial performance substantially improved during his appointment.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n This incident once again raised the market’s concern about Baidu’s turnover of key executives, including ex-chief scientist Andrew Ng and ex-senior vice president Jin Wang. In May 2019, Baidu announced the departure of senior vice president Hailong Xiang, who had been with Baidu since 2005. His departure is believed to be a result of Baidu’s inability to develop another successful and profitable business outside of search.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n The introduction of a senior management retirement plan and a young leadership development program signifies Baidu’s determination to revamp its management and reinvigorate its businesses in the new Internet era. Shen Dou leads the mobile ecosystem group now. He has a technical background and puts more focus on more user experience versus maximizing sales. There are now more interactions between the sales, commercial product team, and the user experience team, which we think is better for Baidu’s sustainability.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>Unlike the management at Tencent, which Morningstar considers \"exemplary\" or the \"deep bench\" at Alibaba, BIDU has struggled with management in recent years.</p>\n<blockquote>\n B shares, which are owned by the CEO and his affiliates, have 10 times the voting rights of Class A shares. Therefore,\n <b>Li controls 55.4% of the equity voting rights</b>&nbsp;as of January 2020.As a result, these Class B shareholders have a disproportionately large influence over key matters such as the election of directors and significant corporate transactions, including mergers and the sale of the company or assets.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>BIDU's founder and CEO controls 55% of the vote and thus is effectively king of Baidu. If shareholders don't like what management does, they have no recourse other than selling.</p>\n<p>Management isn't a poor capital allocator, but in recent years it hasn't been firing on all cylinders when it comes to pivoting to growth catalysts as easily as JD, BABA, and TCEHY have.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Some of Baidu’s acquisitions and new business developments have proved unsuccessful.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n These include the acquisition of 59% of Nuomi, a group-buying service provider, for $160 million in 2013 and the remaining stake in 2014 for an undisclosed sum, and Raven Tech for $90 million in 2017...\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu’s investments in online-to-offline businesses such as deliveries and Nuomi led to its&nbsp;\n <b>operating margin declining from 26.1% in 2014 to 14.2% in 2016</b>&nbsp;but they did not gain as much scale as Meituan.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n However, we refrain from giving a Poor stewardship rating to Baidu for several reasons.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Baidu made the right decision in moving away from the O2O businesses, which led to margin improvement to 18.5% in 2017</b>and investing in mobile and AI, which we believe is sensible given that they complement its strong core search business.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Also, Baidu’s return on invested capital has been way higher than its weighted average cost of capital of 9.8% over the past 10 years.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>And of course, every investor in Chinese tech has to understand VIE regulatory risk.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Like many other Chinese Internet companies listed in overseas markets, Baidu operates under a&nbsp;\n <b>variable interest entity structure</b>&nbsp;designed to let companies bypass Chinese legal restrictions on foreign ownership in certain sectors.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Baidu's foreign investors essentially hold shares of Baidu's VIE domiciled in the Cayman Islands.\n <b>We don't expect any legal challenges to VIE structures by the Chinese government</b>&nbsp;and believe that Baidu will consider a China depositary receipt listing in the future.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n However, if the legitimacy of Baidu's related VIE is found to violate applicable law or regulation, Chinese regulatory authorities might take action, including revoking the business and operating licenses of Baidu's subsidiaries or the VIE, or discontinuing, restricting, or restructuring Baidu's operations.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Since the Chinese Ministry of Commerce has the jurisdiction to regulate VIEs,\n <b>we believe overseas investors would have limited legal rights</b>.\" - Morningstar\n</blockquote>\n<p>VIE regulatory risk is the reason that all Chinese tech stocks are speculative, and always will be, regardless of quality (Tencent is a 12/12 speculative Ultra SWAN for this reason).</p>\n<p>How do you measure and factor in such a complex risk profile?</p>\n<p>By turning to the expert consensus.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>39 analysts that cover BIDU and collectively know it better than anyone other than management</li>\n <li>and whether or not scary headlines meaningfully alter the investment thesis</li>\n <li>2 credit rating agencies</li>\n <li>3 ESG risk rating agencies</li>\n <li>44 total experts that monitor BIDU's risk profile for DK and will let us know if the thesis is weakening, strengthening or breaks</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>ESG Material Financial Risk Analysis</b></p>\n<p><b>Essential To Fully Understanding A Company's Overall Risk Profile Especially Chinese Tech Companies</b></p>\n<p>According to the world's best risk assessors, ESG metrics are a critical component of a company's overall risk profile. Here's who considers ESG important and builds it into their safety models and ratings.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>BlackRock - #1 asset manager in the world</p></li>\n <li><p>MSCI - #1 indexing giant</p></li>\n <li><p>Morningstar</p></li>\n <li><p>Reuters'/Refinitiv</p></li>\n <li><p>ISS (Institutional Shareholder Services) - #1 corporate proxy firm on earth</p></li>\n <li><p>S&amp;P</p></li>\n <li><p>Fitch</p></li>\n <li><p>Moody's</p></li>\n <li><p>DBRS (Canadian credit rating agency)</p></li>\n <li><p>AM Best (insurance industry rating agency)</p></li>\n <li><p>Bank of America - one of the 16 most accurate economic/analyst teams in the world according to Market Watch</p></li>\n <li><p>Bloomberg</p></li>\n <li><p>FactSet Research</p></li>\n <li>State Street - one of the largest custodial banks on earth</li>\n <li>Wells Fargo - one of the 16 most accurate economic/analyst teams in the world according to Market Watch</li>\n <li>NAREIT</li>\n</ul>\n<blockquote>\n Companies with strong ESG profiles may be better positioned for future challenges and experience\n <b>fewer instances of bribery, corruption, and fraud.</b>\" - MSCI (Emphasis added)\n</blockquote>\n<p>Bank of America's research finds that ESG metrics also help improve the long-term profitability and outcomes at companies.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Punchline: higher ROE, lower risk &amp; lower cost of capital</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n We find that companies with greater gender diversity at the board/management level typically see&nbsp;\n <b>higher ROE and lower earnings risk than peers.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Moreover, based on disclosure data from ICE, we find gender diversity in management is associated with a&nbsp;\n <b>~20% premium on P/E</b>&nbsp;on an overall and sector-neutral basis.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Ethnic and racial workforce diversity shows similarly strong results:\n <b>higher ROE, lower risk, and significant premia on P/E and P/BV.</b>\" - Bank of America (emphasis original)\n</blockquote>\n<p>ESG isn't about political correctness, it's about sound business practices and maximizing long-term profits by avoiding blowing up companies in the short to medium-term.</p>\n<p><b>Baidu Consensus ESG Risk Rating</b></p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Rating Agency</b></td>\n   <td><b>Industry Percentile</b></td>\n   <td><p><b>Rating Agency Classification</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>MSCI</td>\n   <td>54.0%</td>\n   <td><p>BB Below-Average</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Morningstar/Sustainalytics</td>\n   <td>40.2%</td>\n   <td><p>24.4/100 Medium Risk</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Reuters'/Refinitiv (Combined ESG Rating)</td>\n   <td>52.6%</td>\n   <td>Satisfactory</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>S&amp;P</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n   <td>NA</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Consensus</b></td>\n   <td><b>48.9%</b></td>\n   <td><b>Average</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><i>(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters'/Refinitiv)</i></p>\n<p>According to Morningstar, MSCI, and Reuter's BIDU's overall handling of its long-term financial ESG risk is average, in the 49th percentile.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>which is actually the highest ESG score of any of the big China tech stocks</li>\n <li>ESG investors probably want to avoid Chinese companies</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afa54b995a935d581ed79c58fb5d4920\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"491\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/464e286a82c2e31d4b5bc2a67525beb8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b0b24c0262471afee43fa88dfe8da44\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"319\"><span>(Source: MSCI)</span></p>\n<p>Chinese companies tend to score poorly on ESG due to governance issues.</p>\n<p>But note that BIDU used to be rated CCC very poor and has seen two rating upgrades in two years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81242ba4340325a61c591a15f1e0aed7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>(Source: BIDU IR)</span></p>\n<p>In recent years BIDU did establish an ESG committee that may explain the improvement in ESG risk scores.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01d6eec0412fa9351dcb8716bbbbc1a4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"540\"><span>(Source: BIDU IR)</span></p>\n<blockquote>\n To enhance the integrity of mobile information and continue to be a leader in AI, we devote time and attention to the needs and demands of stakeholders, including suppliers, partners, governments, social institutions, users, employees, communities, and the environment itself.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n We actively explore low carbon operations, sustainable economic indicators, supply chain management, intellectual property, technological innovation, compliance, data privacy, information security, user experience, personnel training, employee rights, and community engagement.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n We aim to fully integrate an ESG philosophy and standards into our management, solve social problems with technology, leverage our corporate strength and innovation capability, and contribute long-term, sustainable value to stakeholders and the human community at large.\" - BIDU ESG mission statement\n</blockquote>\n<p>BIDU is talking the talk, and apparently beginning to walk the walk as well when it comes to managing long-term risk.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5588fc730d2ccc5631369a46ea7bdd1b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"456\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b3f779db4dbecb7bcc0e0880b6f4ae3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"293\"></p>\n<p>Morningstar rates BIDU below average compared to its peers, but on par with the likes of Spotify, Snap, and MercadoLibre. In fact, Morningstar considers BIDU's ESG risk to be in the top 36% of all companies it rates.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea303ae18b648b1beee3ba4bb69b599c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\"><span>(Source: Reuters'/Refinitiv)</span></p>\n<p>Reuters/Refinitv is the most robust ESG model we have access to. Over 450 metrics in total make up that score.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>BIDU scores rather poorly on governance and environmental issues</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The bottom line is that all companies have complex risk profiles that need to be considered before investing.</p>\n<p>The DK Safety and quality model don't ignore any risk, and BIDU's risks are firmly baked into its speculative blue-chip rating.</p>\n<p>A 32% margin of safety compensates us appropriately for all of the company's risks, and what could go wrong in the future.</p>\n<p>However, more risk-intolerant investors will want to avoid BIDU and Chinese companies in general.</p>\n<p><b>Bottom Line: It's Time To Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful About Baidu</b></p>\n<p>In this highly overvalued market, it's easy to throw up your hands and shout \"everything is expensive and it's dangerous to buy any stock.\"</p>\n<p>While there are many speculative bubbles that could destroy your retirement dreams, there are ALWAYS great blue-chip bargains available.</p>\n<p>Baidu is one of those potentially exceptional long-term opportunities right now. Its 40% bear market, partially created by forced institutional margin call selling, allows anyone comfortable with its risk profile to buy the Google of China at a 32% margin of safety.</p>\n<p>Is Baidu speculative? Sure, all Chinese tech stocks are. Is it worth risking a small amount of discretionary savings to see whether Baidu can deliver on its AI/Driverless car/Streaming plans?</p>\n<p>I think so. If Baidu lives up to expectations, then it could potentially double within three years and almost triple within five.</p>\n<p>Barring the most extreme stock market bubble in history, one that surpasses the tech mania of the late '90s, there is no chance the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq will even come close.</p>\n<p>And to achieve such returns Baidu doesn't have to fly off into a speculative bubble. It merely has to return to fair value and grow at the impressive rates analysts expect and it has delivered in the past.</p>\n<p>I can't tell you what Baidu's price will do over the next year. I can tell you that the 65% upside analysts expect over the next 12 months is 100% fundamentally justified.</p>\n<p>For those comfortable with the complex risk profile inherent to Chinese tech stocks, a small position in Baidu at some of the best valuations in years is a reasonable and prudent decision.</p>\n<p>Basically, it's time to be greedy when others are fearful about the Google of China.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Reasons Baidu Could Make You Rich</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Reasons Baidu Could Make You Rich\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-03 12:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4423641-4-reasons-baidu-make-you-rich><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nStrong corporate earnings and great economic data keeps the market grinding higher. The S&P 500 is 36% historically overvalued and has just 28% upside potential over the next five years.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4423641-4-reasons-baidu-make-you-rich\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BIDU":"百度","09888":"百度集团-SW"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4423641-4-reasons-baidu-make-you-rich","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1121605010","content_text":"Summary\n\nStrong corporate earnings and great economic data keeps the market grinding higher. The S&P 500 is 36% historically overvalued and has just 28% upside potential over the next five years.\nFortunately, whatever your goals, yield, value, growth, or total returns, something great is always on sale if you know where to look.\nBaidu is the Google of China, and planning on increasing spending by 30% annually over the coming years, focusing on AI, driverless cars, and streaming.\nIn recent weeks it plunged 40%, partially due to forced hedge fund margin call selling. This creates a potentially exceptional opportunity to be \"greedy when others are fearful\" about this speculative hyper-growth blue-chip.\nI recently bought a starter position in Baidu, because it's 31% undervalued and analysts think it could double in the next three years, and almost triple over the next five. For anyone comfortable with the complex risk profile of Chinese tech giants, Baidu is one of the most reasonable and prudent hyper-growth blue-chips you can buy today.\n\nPhoto by DNY59/iStock via Getty Images\nOver seven years as an analyst I've studied the greatest investors in history, to see what strategies made them legends.\nGreatest Investors In History: Masters Of Financial Science\n\n\n\n\nName\nReturns\nTime Horizon\nMost Famous For\n\n\nJim Simmons (Co-Founder Renaissance Technologies)\n71.8% CAGR\n1994 to 2014 (best investing record ever recorded)\nPure Quant Based Investing\n\n\nJoel Greenblatt\n40% CAGR\n21 years at Gotham Capital\n\"Above-Average Quality Companies At Below-Average Prices\"\n\n\nPeter Lynch\n29.2% CAGR at Fidelity's Magellan Fund\n1977 to 1990 (13 years)\n\"Growth At A Reasonable Price\"\n\n\nBill Miller (Legg Mason Value Trust 1990 to 2006)\n22.8% CAGR and beat the S&P 500 for 15 consecutive years\n16 years\n\n\nWarren Buffett\n20.8% CAGR at Berkshire\n55 Years\nGreedy when others are fearful\n\n\nBenjamin Graham\n20% CAGR vs 12% S&P 500\n1934 to 1956 (22 years)\nMargin of Safety\n\n\nEdward Thorp\n20+% CAGR\nover 30 years\ninvented card counting,pure statistically-based investing\n\n\nCharlie Munger\n19.80%\n1962 to 1975\nWonderful companies at fair prices\n\n\nHoward Marks\n19% CAGR\nSince 1995\nValuation Mean Reversion\n\n\nAnne Scheiber\n18.3% CAGR\n50 years\nTurned $5K into $22 million with no formal training, purely withtax-efficient buy and hold blue-chip investing.\n\n\nJohn Templeton\n300% from 1939 to 1943, 15.8% CAGR from 1954 to 1992\n38 years\nMarket Cycles\n\n\nCarl Icahn\n14.6% CAGR vs 5.6% S&P 500\n2001 to 2016 (15 Years)\n\n\nDavid Swenson\n13.9% CAGR at Yale's Endowment (includes bonds and alternative assets) vs 10.7% S&P 500\n30 years\nAlternative Asset Allocation\n\n\nGeraldine Weiss\n11.2% vs 9.8% S&P 500\n37 years\nBest risk-adjusted track recordof any newsletter over 30 years according to Hubbert Financial Digest, popularizeddividend yield theory(the only strategy she employed)\n\n\n\nCombining these lessons, along with decades of market studies from leading research institutions and blue-chip analyst firms, I've determined that there are six fundamentals that over the long term will make you rich (assuming you have discretionary savings to invest of course).\n\nPortfolio risk-management\nsafety\nquality\nyield\ngrowth\nand value\n\nWhen combined with patience, time, and discipline, these are what made the greatest investors in history the legends they are today.\nYou and I may never match the returns of the legends, but if we practice disciplined financial science we can avoid costly mistakes, and focus on the highest probability/low-risk blue-chips.\n\n It's remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.\" - Charlie Munger\n\nThese are the \"consistently not stupid\" decisions that made Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett so successful.\nToday I want to explain why I've recently opened a starter tracking position in speculative hyper-growth blue-chip Baidu (BIDU).\n\nAll Chinese tech giants are suffering a bear market right now. But notice how Baidu recently fell 40% in a matter of weeks.\n\n Baidu was also held by now-infamous hedge fund Archegos Capital Management at that time, which blew up during the same week. When the highly levered Archegos was unable to meet a margin call, banks seized Archegos' assets, including Baidu, and sold them off in massive blocks, accelerating Baidu's plunge.\" -Motley Fool\n\nInstitutional forced selling is one of the best opportunities for prudent long-term investors to buy the world's highest quality companies at mouth-watering prices.\n\nLowe's (LOW) and Realty Income (O) both plunged 25% on March 16th, due to institutional forced selling.\nIn other words, when hedge funds get margin calls, they become the ultimate dumb money. Taking the other side of those trades can be the way to earn Buffett-like returns, through buying and holding blue-chip investing.\nSo let me explain the four reasons why I consider it time to get greedy when others are fearful on Baidu.\n\n Today I buy what others won't, so tomorrow I earn returns others can't.\"\n\n\n  - Paraphrase of Jerry Rice\n\nReason 1: A Speculative Blue-Chip Quality Company\nAccording to the 2017 studyDo Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills?by Hendrik Bessembinder of Arizona State University's W.P. Carey School of Business 52% of all stocks, lose money over time.\nThis study looked at 26,000 companies from 1926 to 2016 and found that about 12% went to zero.\n\n(Source: Bessembinder et al)\nFrom 1926 to 2016 over 3,000 US companies listed on US exchanges went bankrupt. 1,100 or about 4%, delivered 100% of net positive returns. Just 48% of stocks delivered positive returns.\nIn other words, safety and quality are what can help you avoid the value traps that don't make any money or lose all of your savings.\nThe Dividend Kings quality scores factor in 143 fundamental metrics covering\n\ndividend safety\nbalance sheet strength\nshort and long-term bankruptcy risk\naccounting and corporate fraud risk\nprofitability and business model\ncost of capital\nlong-term sustainability (ESG scores and trends from MSCI, Morningstar, and Reuters'/Refinitiv)\nmanagement quality\ndividend friendly corporate culture/income dependability\nlong-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)\n\nOur model actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by eight rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.\nEvery metric was selected based on\n\ndecades of empirical data\nthe experience of the greatest investors in history\neight rating agencies\nand what blue-chip economists and analyst firms consider most closely correlated to a company's long-term success.\n\nBaidu's quality is 9/12 speculative blue-chip, meaning I recommend a 2.5% max risk cap position sizing.\nDividend Kings Quality Rating System\n\n\n\n\nQuality Score\nMeaning\nMax Invested Capital Risk Recommendation\nMargin Of Safety Potentially Good Buy\nStrong Buy\nVery Strong Buy\nUltra-Value Buy\n\n\n3\nTerrible, Very High Long-Term Bankruptcy Risk\n0%\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\n\n\n4\nVery Poor\n0%\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\n\n\n5\nPoor\n0%\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\nNA (avoid)\n\n\n6\nBelow-Average, Fallen Angels (very speculative)\n1%\n45%\n55%\n65%\n75%\n\n\n7\nAverage (Relative to S&P 500)\n2.5%\n35%\n45%\n55%\n65%\n\n\n8\nAbove-Average\n5% (unless speculative then 2.5%)\n25% to 30%\n35% to 40%\n45% to 50%\n55% to 60%\n\n\n9\nBlue-Chip\n7% (unlessspeculativethen2.5%)\n20% to25%\n30% to35%\n40% to45%\n50% to55%\n\n\n10\nSWAN (a higher caliber of Blue-Chip)\n7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)\n15% to 20%\n25% to 30%\n35% to 40%\n45% to 50%\n\n\n11\nSuper SWAN (exceptionally dependable blue-chips)\n7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)\n10% to 15%\n20% to 25%\n30% to 35%\n40% to 45%\n\n\n12\nUltra SWAN (as close to perfect companies as exist)\n7% (unless speculative then 2.5%)\n5% to 10%\n15% to 20%\n25% to 30%\n35% to 40%\n\n\n\nWhat exactly makes Baidu a speculative blue-chip?\nBalance Sheet Safety\n\n\n\n\nRating\nDividend Kings Safety Score (75 Safety Metric Model)\nApproximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)\nApproximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession\n\n\n1 (very unsafe)\n0% to 20%\nover 4%\n16+%\n\n\n2 (unsafe average)\n21% to 40%\nover 2%\n8% to 16%\n\n\n3 (average)\n41% to 60%\n2%\n4% to 8%\n\n\n4 (safe)\n61% to 80%\n1%\n2% to 4%\n\n\n5 (very safe)\n81% to 100%\n0.5%\n1% to 2%\n\n\nBIDU\n76%\nA stable rating from Fitch, A3 (A- equivalent) stable rating Moody's\n0.66% to 2.5% 30-year default/bankruptcy risk\n\n\n\nLong-Term Dependability\n\n\n\n\nCompany\nDK Long-Term Dependability Score\nInterpretation\nPoints\n\n\nS&P 500/Industry Average\n58%\nAverage Dependability\n2\n\n\nNon-Dependable Companies\n31% or below\nPoor Dependability\n1\n\n\nRelatively Dependable Companies\n32% to 70%\nBelow to Above-Average Dependability\n2\n\n\nVery Dependable Companies\n71% to 80%\nVery Dependable\n3\n\n\nExceptionally Dependable Companies\n81% or higher\nExceptional Dependability\n4\n\n\nBIDU\n67%\nAbove-Average Dependability\n2\n\n\n\nOverall Quality\n\n\n\n\nBIDU\nFinal Score\nRating\n\n\nSafety\n76%\n4/5\n\n\nBusiness Model\n80%\n3/3\n\n\nDependability\n67%\n2/4\n\n\nTotal\n73%\n9/12 Speculative Blue-Chip\n\n\n\nBaidu is the 245th Highest Quality Master List Company (Out of 495) = 49th Percentile\n(Source: DK Safety & Quality Tool) updated at the end of each day, sorted by overall quality score\n\ngreen = potentially good buy or better\nblue = potentially reasonable buy\nyellow = hold\nred = potential trim/sell\n\nBIDU's 73% quality score means it's the 245th highest quality company on the DK 500 Master List. This list includes the world's highest quality companies including\n\nall dividend champions\nall dividend aristocrats\nall dividend kings\nall 12/12 Ultra SWANs (as close to perfect quality as exists on Wall Street, think wide moat aristocrats)\nnumerous global aristocrats (such as BTI, ENB, and NVS)\n\nBIDU is about average quality compared to the world's elite companies and similar in quality to such 9/12 blue-chips and, 10/12 SWANs, as\n\nQualcomm (QCOM)\nBecton, Dickinson and Company (BDX) - dividend aristocrat\nW. P. Carey (WPC)\nSonoco Products (SON) - dividend champion\nH.B. Fuller (FUL) - dividend king\nMetLife (MET)\nDigital Realty Trust (DLR)\nLeggett & Platt (LEG) - dividend aristocrat\nV.F. Corp (VFC) - dividend aristocrat\nBank of New York Mellon (BK)\n\nBaidu has a strong cash-rich balance sheet, though it is taking on extra leverage in order to fund its ambitious growth efforts.\n(Source: Gurufocus Premium)\nIncluding leasing expenses, BIDU has 2X as much cash as debt.\nFitch and Moody's rate Baidu A stable and A3 (A- equivalent) stable outlooks, indicating 0.66% to 2.5% 30-year default/bankruptcy risk.\nAnalysts expect much higher spending in the short-term to cause leverage to increase, though rating agencies don't expect this to be permanent.\nThe key safety ratios with Baidu are the F, Z, and M scores, advanced accounting ratios created by leading research institutions that use asset ratios scanned from quarterly filings.\n\nF-score measures short-term bankruptcy risk\nZ-score measures 2-year bankruptcy risk (with 84% to 92% historical accuracy)\nM-score measures accounting fraud risk (with 76% historical accuracy)\n\n7/9 is very safe on the F-score = very low short-term bankruptcy risk.\n3.59 vs 3+ very safe and 9.51 historical, confirms the A-credit ratings and low long-term risk of losing all your money.\nAnd the M-score of -2.42 indicates a significantly less than 17.5% probability that Baidu is cooking its books.\n\n(Source: Gurufocus)\nBIDU's historically unsafe M-score has been improving and became safe at the end of 2014 and has remained so for the last seven years.\n\nits safety and quality score still get dinged though because we factor in every important metric so we don't miss any warning signs\n\nThe M-score is 76% historically accurate at catching accounting fraud and 82.5% accurate at finding companies with honest accounting.\nCombined with its credit ratings and risk ratings from 5 different rating agencies, plus its auditors, I can say with relatively high confidence that Baidu is not the next Luckin Coffee.\nQuality is a proven alpha factor, one of seven that beats the market over the long term.\n\nOn Wall Street, profitability over time is the most accurate proxy for quality.\n\ncredit ratings are one of the best qualitative quality proxies\n\n(Source: Gurufocus Premium)\nBaidu's profitability is historically in the top 20% of its peers, confirming a wide and stable moat.\n\n\n\n\nMetric\nIndustry Percentile\nMajor Interactive Media Companies More Profitable Than BIDU (Out of 543)\n\n\nOperating Margin\n67.35\n177\n\n\nNet Margin\n81.26\n102\n\n\nReturn On Equity\n67.86\n175\n\n\nReturn On Assets\n68.47\n171\n\n\nReturn On Capital\n69.61\n165\n\n\nAverage\n70.91\n158\n\n\n\n(Source: Gurufocus Premium)\nOver the last year, increased growth spending has reduced profitability to the top 29% of peers, though that's expected to recover in the future.\n\nfor example, returns on equity are expected to rise 10% by 2024\n\nJoel Greenblatt defined quality by return on capital, his gold standard proxy for quality and moatiness.\n\noperating income (EBIT)/operating capital (the money it takes to run the business for a year)\n\nGreenblatt's entire legendary track record, 40% annual returns for 21 years, was done by combining high ROC with low valuations.\n(Source: Gurufocus Premium)\nEven with heavy growth spending in recent years, Baidu's returns on capital are very impressive.\nThe average Master List company has 88% ROC.\nThe average aristocrat 83%.\nThe average Ultra SWAN 87%.\nOver the past year, BIDU's ROC has been 103% and in Q4 it was 95%.\nAnalysts expect that in the next few years, ROC will revert back to its historical 205%.\nA level of profitability that, according to Joel Greenblatt, would make BIDU one of the highest quality companies in the world.\nBaidu's future growth is expected to come from aggressive investments into driverless cars (long-term) and AI and streaming in the short and medium term.\nBaidu Growth Spending Consensus Forecast\n\n\n\n\nYear\nSG&A\nR&D\nCapex\nTotal Growth Spending\nSales\nGrowth Spending/Sales\n\n\n2020\n$2,792\n$3,016\n$993\n$4,009\n$16,548\n24.23%\n\n\n2021\n$3,574\n$3,554\n$1,893\n$5,447\n$19,517\n27.91%\n\n\n2022\n$3,974\n$4,062\n$2,220\n$6,282\n$22,235\n28.25%\n\n\n2023\n$5,049\n$5,858\n$2,719\n$8,577\n$25,258\n33.96%\n\n\n2024\nNA\nNA\n$1,504\nNA\n$30,071\nNA\n\n\n2025\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\n\n\n2026\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\nNA\n\n\nAnnualized Growth\n21.83%\n24.77%\n10.94%\n28.85%\n16.10%\nNA\n\n\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nHistorically Baidu spends about 17% of its revenue on growth. By 2023 that's expected to double.\nTotal growth spending is expected to grow at almost 30% annually for the next three years.\nBaidu Consensus Profit Forecast\n\n\n\n\nYear\nSales\nFCF\nEBITDA\nEBIT (Operating Income)\nNet Income\n\n\n2020\n$16,548\n$2,106\n$4,251\n$2,216\n$3,473\n\n\n2021\n$19,517\n$3,947\n$4,734\n$2,629\n$2,760\n\n\n2022\n$22,235\n$5,013\n$5,812\n$3,400\n$3,381\n\n\n2023\n$25,258\n$5,854\n$6,730\n$4,163\n$4,226\n\n\n2024\n$30,071\n$7,421\nNA\n$6,195\n$5,268\n\n\nAnnualized Growth\n16.10%\n37.01%\n16.55%\n29.31%\n10.98%\n\n\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nManagement's guidance, which is the basis for these consensus forecasts, is for strong revenue growth. Net margins are expected to compress but cash flows are expected to soar.\nFree cash flow, the ultimate source of all intrinsic value according to Ben Graham and Warren Buffett, is expected to more than triple by 2024.\nBaidu Consensus Margin Forecast\n\n\n\n\nYear\nFCF Margin\nEBITDA Margin\nEBIT (Operating) Margin\nNet Margin\n\n\n2020\n12.7%\n25.7%\n13.4%\n21.0%\n\n\n2021\n20.2%\n24.3%\n13.5%\n14.1%\n\n\n2022\n22.5%\n26.1%\n15.3%\n15.2%\n\n\n2023\n23.2%\n26.6%\n16.5%\n16.7%\n\n\n2024\n24.7%\nNA\n20.6%\n17.5%\n\n\nAnnualized Growth\n18.01%\n1.23%\n11.37%\n-4.42%\n\n\n\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nBaidu's profitability is ultimately expected to improve, though net margins won't until its major growth initiatives are over.\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nBIDU ended 2020 with $5.6 billion in cash, and that's expected to rise to $22 billion by 2023, and potentially nearly $60 billion by 2024.\nThat may not be as impressive as some tech companies ($601 billion by 2026 for Amazon), but it does mean that Baidu's war chest and financial flexibility to pivot towards AI, driverless cars, and streaming will grow significantly in future years.\nBaidu Medium-Term Growth Consensus\n\n\n\n\nMetric\n2020 Actual Growth\n2021 consensus growth\n2022 consensus growth\n2023 consensus growth\n\n\nEPS\n31%\n7%\n18%\n16%\n\n\nOwner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF)\n124%\n22%\nNA\nNA\n\n\nOperating Cash Flow\n-14%\n59%\n31%\n7%\n\n\nFree cash flow\n96%\n85%\n22%\nNA\n\n\nEBITDA\n-18%\n53%\n27%\n24%\n\n\nEBIT (operating income)\n130%\n26%\n26%\n19%\n\n\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nIn the next few years, Baidu's growth efforts are expected to result in strong growth. But what's attracted me to the Google of China, is that this hyper-growth is expected to continue for many years to come.\nReason 2: Long-Term Hyper-Growth Potential\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nBIDU's AI, streaming, and driverless car investments are showing up in \"other services\" and that revenue is expected to grow almost 50% in 3 years.\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\n\n16.0% to 17.5% long-term growth consensus range\n6% to 28% growth consensus range adjusted for historical margin of error\n\n\nThe margins of error on BIDU forecasts are very wide. 33% of the time it grows much faster than expected, 33% of the time much slower, and 33% of the about as fast as expected.\n\nmargins of error over the last decade (excluding outliers) are 60% to the downside, 55% to the upside\nthe long-term growth consensus range: 16% to 18% CAGR\nthe margin of error adjusted long-term analyst growth consensus range: 6% to 28% CAGR\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nBIDU's historical growth is from -9% to 52%. So relatively high growth uncertainty, more so than most tech blue-chips.\n\nand thus the $650 investment vs $10K in GOOG, $89K in BABA, and $200K in Amazon\n\nHowever, analysts expect growth to be similar to the 20% growth of the last decade.\nAnd at today's high margin of safety, we're likely getting a good deal to compensate for BIDU's growth uncertainty and complex risk profile.\nReason 3: Highly Attractive Valuation\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nBIDU growing at the rates analysts expect in the future has historically been valued at 23X to 26X earnings.\n(Source: FactSet Research Terminal)\nBIDU is currently trading at 20.4X forward earnings and 13.6X EV/EBITDA.\nEV/EBITDA is market cap + net debt/EBITDA and is Joel Greenblatt's and private equity's favorite valuation metric.\nBaidu's 13-year median EV/EBITDA is 23.2, and its trading at 13.6, implying a potential 42% discount to fair value.\n\n\n\n\nMetric\nHistorical Fair Value (12-years)\n2020\n2021\n2022\n2023\n\n\nEarnings\n25.0\n$243.87\n$261.27\n$307.91\n$357.77\n\n\nOwner Earnings (Buffett smoothed out FCF) - 10 yr\n23.5\n$324.46\n$394.46\nNA\nNA\n\n\nOperating Cash Flow\n19.9\n$202.33\n$321.22\n$420.37\n$448.64\n\n\nFree Cash Flow (11-yr)\n27.5\n$220.77\n$408.53\n$497.28\nNA\n\n\nEBITDA\n22.0\n$190.60\n$291.18\n$370.80\n$459.36\n\n\nEBIT (operating income)\n34.5\n$207.78\n$261.14\n$328.78\n$392.83\n\n\nAverage\n$224.60\n$312.71\n$373.81\n$410.40\n\n\nCurrent Price\n$215.83\n\n\nDiscount To Fair Value\n3.91%\n30.98%\n42.26%\n47.41%\n\n\nUpside To Fair Value\n4%\n45%\n73%\n90%\n\n\n\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nBIDU is about 31% historically undervalued right now, meaning that if it grows as expected through 2023 and returns to fair value that's 90% upside potential.\n\n$350 is the median 12-month price target\n65% upside potential over the next 12 months according to analysts\n\nAnd that guestimate is 100% justified by fundamentals.\n\n\n\n\nRating\nMargin Of Safety For Speculative 9/12 Blue-Chip Quality Companies\n2020 Price\n2021 Price\n2022 Price\n\n\nPotentially Reasonable Buy\n0%\n$224.60\n$312.71\n$373.81\n\n\nPotentially Good Buy\n25%\n$168.45\n$234.53\n$280.35\n\n\nPotentially Strong Buy\n35%\n$145.99\n$203.26\n$242.97\n\n\nPotentially Very Strong Buy\n45%\n$123.53\n$171.99\n$205.59\n\n\nPotentially Ultra-Value Buy\n55%\n$101.07\n$140.72\n$168.21\n\n\nCurrently\n$213.41\n5%\n32%\n43%\n\n\nUpside To Fair Value (Not Including Dividends)\n5%\n47%\n75%\n\n\n\nAt a 32% margin of safety, Baidu, despite all its risks, is a potentially good buy for more risk-tolerant investors.\nBut the ability to potentially enjoy monster short-term gains is just the cherry on top with Baidu.\nReason 4: Eye-Popping Long-Term Return Potential\nHere is a reasonable idea of what kind of returns you can expect buying BIDU today.\nBaidu 2023 Consensus Return Potential\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nIf BAIDU grows as analysts expect through 2023, and returns to historical fair value, then analysts expect\n\n75% total returns\n23.3% CAGR returns\nvs -1.3% CAGR S&P 500\n\nFrom its 31% discount, BIDU has the potential to outperform the 36% overvalued S&P 500 by 78% over the next three years.\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nCorporate earnings growth estimates are rising by the day. Yet the market has already priced in three years of earnings growth totaling 62% or 17.4% CAGR.\nOver the long term, BIDU's return outlook is also very strong.\nBaidu 2026 Consensus Return Potential\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nIf BIDU grows as analysts expect through 2026 and returns to historical fair value you could expect\n\n179% total returns\n19.8% CAGR\nvs 4.5% CAGR S&P 500\n4.4X better than the market's consensus return potential\n\nIf BIDU delivers as analysts expect, then buying today could almost triple your money in the next five years.\n(Source: F.A.S.T. Graphs, FactSet Research)\nOver the long term, analysts expect\n\n0% yield + 17.5% growth = 17.5% CAGR very long-term total returns (after valuation changes cancel out)\n6% to 28% CAGR range\nvs 7.8% for the S&P and 10.8% for the dividend aristocrats\n\nBaidu Total Returns Since 2006\n\n(Source: Portfolio Visualizer)\nIn the last 15 years, BIDU has turned $1 into $26, adjusted for inflation, and crushed the market with 8X more wealth compounding.\nIt's expected to grow slightly slower than in the past, but the ability to potentially enjoy 17.5% hyper-growth for many years is incredibly attractive.\nBaidu Vs S&P 500 Vs Dividend Aristocrat Inflation-Adjusted Total Return Forecast: $650 Initial Investment\n\n\n\n\nTime Frame (Years)\n5.8% LT Inflation-Adjusted Returns (S&P Consensus)\n8.8% Inflation-Adjusted Returns (aristocrat consensus)\n15.5% Inflation-Adjusted Returns (BIDU consensus)\n\n\n5\n$1,325.65\n$1,524.56\n$1,336.05\n\n\n10\n$1,757.34\n$2,324.28\n$2,746.21\n\n\n15\n$2,329.62\n$3,543.51\n$5,644.73\n\n\n20\n$3,088.26\n$5,402.29\n$11,602.54\n\n\n25\n$4,093.94\n$8,236.11\n$23,848.60\n\n\n30\n$5,427.13\n$12,556.45\n$49,019.95\n\n\n35\n$7,194.46\n$19,143.06\n$100,758.76\n\n\n40\n$9,537.33\n$29,184.74\n$207,106.02\n\n\n45\n$12,643.14\n$44,493.88\n$425,699.02\n\n\n50\n$16,760.36\n$67,833.58\n$875,009.10\n\n\n\nThe ability to grow 2X to 3X as fast as the S&P 500 or aristocrats creates the potential for wealth compounding on a massive scale. Look at how large my $650 initial BIDU investment can grow, assuming analysts are right and management delivers the expected growth over time.\n\n\n\n\nTime Frame (Years)\nRatio S&P vs Aristocrat Consensus\nRatio S&P vs BIDU consensus\n\n\n5\n1.15\n1.01\n\n\n10\n1.32\n1.56\n\n\n15\n1.52\n2.42\n\n\n20\n1.75\n3.76\n\n\n25\n2.01\n5.83\n\n\n30\n2.31\n9.03\n\n\n35\n2.66\n14.01\n\n\n40\n3.06\n21.72\n\n\n45\n3.52\n33.67\n\n\n50\n4.05\n52.21\n\n\n\nOver the long term, the aristocrats are expected to quadruple the S&P 500's wealth compounding. Baidu could potentially deliver 52X as much wealth as the S&P 500.\nIs Baidu likely to grow 17.5% for 50 years? Probably not. But even if it can deliver just 10 to 20 years of hyper-growth, when combined with its attractive current valuation, that's worthy of a small initial investment in my book.\nRisk Profile: Why Baidu Isn't Right For Everyone\nThere are no risk-free companies and no company is right for everyone. You have to be comfortable with the fundamental risk profile.\nFundamental Risk Summary\n\n We think Baidu faces high levels of risk, given intense competition along with questions as to whether its AI-related investment will generate satisfactory returns.\n\n\n Though Baidu is the largest search engine in China, it is competing with the other two Internet giants, Tencent and Alibaba, and Google’s potential return to the Chinese search market is also a threat.\n\n\n Regarding the search engine business, Tencent invested in Sogou, and Alibaba acquired UC Web, which owns a mobile search engine, Shenma. Competition has extended to each key area of mobile Internet usage, such as navigation, O2O services, online video services, and so on. Baidu’s margins have been significantly dragged down by aggressive spending in video content and O2O marketing but recovered to 18.5% in 2017 from 14.2% in 2016 as Baidu divested margin-dilutive businesses.\n\n\n The major Internet companies in China have been investing in AI-related business, such as cloud computing, voice and image recognition, and autonomously driven cars. At the current stage,\n it is difficult to predict whether Baidu will be the final winner in AI and whether the returns will reward its investment.\n\n\n In addition, regulatory risk is a concern. Following the Wei Zexi incident in early 2016, Chinese authorities launched new regulations for online search and advertising, which clearly defined paid search results as advertising. These regulations took effect on Sept. 1, 2016. Given stricter standards for online advertisers, Baidu’s online marketing services revenue growth declined to 1% in 2016. If the local authorities release more policies regarding Internet business, such as online advertising and online finance, Baidu’s revenue could be negatively affected.\n\n\n Since 2017, Baidu has discontinued the disclosure of MAUs for its mobile search and mobile maps, which is possibly due to weaker numbers.\" - Morningstar\n\nBIDU's pivot into the technology of the future is potentially like Satya Nadella taking MSFT into the pure cloud-driven strategy.\nOr it could be like IBM's Watson-based flaying, major promise but poor execution over time.\n\n Baidu has the urgency to strengthen its mobile business because it has not developed another industry-leading business other than its mobile search app for years.\n\n\n Baidu’s share of mobile time spend reduced to 6.9% in March 2019 from 7.3% year over year. Baidu positions its flagship Baidu app (173 million daily average users in March 2019) as a \"super\" app that can serve a wide range of users' needs, such as reading, watching videos, shopping, transportation tickets, food services, and so on, but we believe the app is less of a super app compared with Tencent’s Wechat (1.1 billion monthly average users).\n\n\n It has copied the strategies of its peers by launching a mini-program (181 million MAU in March 2019) and short video apps (sevenfold year over year increase to 98 million MAU in March 2019 as per Questmobile).\" - Morningstar\n\nBaidu has struggled more than most Chinese tech giants to pivot and adapt to the disruption risk that is ever-present in this industry.\n\n We have not factored in the meaningful commercialization of Baidu’s AI-based services, such as voice assistant platform DuerOS, autonomous driving platform Apollo and artificial intelligence cloud services.\n\n\nSearch is driven by an artificial intelligence-powered algorithm, giving Baidu a good foundation in this segment.Baidu is also\n one of the largest and earliest companies to start AI investments in China.Currently, Baidu uses AI to recommend feeds to the app’s users to generate advertising revenue.\n\n\n IQiyi, Baidu’s online video platform, has been a key growth driver stemming from increasing willingness to pay for premium content in China and continuous advertising demand on \n iQiyi. It accounted for 29% of Baidu’s revenue in the first quarter of 2019.\n\n\n In the near term, Baidu will invest heavily in its mobile business in terms of sales and marketing, and traffic acquisition. While meaningful monetization is uncertain, we expect Baidu to increase or maintain its research and development expenditure, which is at 17% of sales in the first quarter of 2019. To fend off major competitor Tencent Video, iQiyi needs to continue to invest in premium content. Therefore, we expect Baidu’s margins to be under pressure in the near term.\" - Morningstar\n\nBut while Baidu has made some questionable investments over the years, its current focus on AI is a logical and prudent one.\nBaidu's competitive advantage in AI stems from being the first mover in Chinese search. It has the most data to feed into its machine learning algorithms, though rivals like Alibaba (BABA) and Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) are working hard to eat its lunch.\n\n Baidu generated 68% of its revenue during the year from its online marketing services segment, which mainly sells ads. The segment's revenue has declined year over year for seven straight quarters.\n\n\n That ongoing slowdown is troubling since Baidu's advertising rivals -- like \n Tencent and \n Bilibili --both expanded their advertising businesses over the past year. It also indicates people are spending less time on traditional online searches and more time on other digital platforms.\" - Leo Sun,Motley Fool\n\nIn recent years, BIDU's market share in digital ads has been declining, which means unlike companies like JD, BABA, and TCEHY, it's attempting to pivot from a position of weakness, not strength.\nIt has the resources to invest heavily and hopefully achieve the kinds of impressive growth rates analysts expect. But success is far from guaranteed.\nThis is why I've bought a starter 3 share tracking position in Baidu.\n\ncompared to a $10,000 position in Alphabet (GOOG)\nand an $89,000 investment into Alibaba\nand a $200,000 investment into Amazon(AMZN)\n\nAnd of course, we can't forget about the risks surrounding management and governance.\n\n Robin Yanhong Li, the founder of Baidu, has been the chairman of the board since its inception and has served as the CEO since 2004. Before that, Li worked at IDD Information Services and Infoseek in Silicon Valley, with a special focus on product development in Internet search engines. Li owned 16.4% of the company as of January 2020, and all directors and management together owned 16.5%. Jennifer Xinzhe Li stepped down as CFO in 2017 and was replaced by Herman Yu, formerly of Weibo...\n\n\n Baidu had reputational issues, with the Wei Zexi medical incident being the largest scandal, which led to a management restructuring in 2016. Three vice presidents were dismissed. Qi Lu joined Baidu in January 2017 as group president and COO but resigned in June 2018. Lu has a solid record in the U.S. technology industry, and Baidu’s financial performance substantially improved during his appointment.\n\n\n This incident once again raised the market’s concern about Baidu’s turnover of key executives, including ex-chief scientist Andrew Ng and ex-senior vice president Jin Wang. In May 2019, Baidu announced the departure of senior vice president Hailong Xiang, who had been with Baidu since 2005. His departure is believed to be a result of Baidu’s inability to develop another successful and profitable business outside of search.\n\n\n The introduction of a senior management retirement plan and a young leadership development program signifies Baidu’s determination to revamp its management and reinvigorate its businesses in the new Internet era. Shen Dou leads the mobile ecosystem group now. He has a technical background and puts more focus on more user experience versus maximizing sales. There are now more interactions between the sales, commercial product team, and the user experience team, which we think is better for Baidu’s sustainability.\" - Morningstar\n\nUnlike the management at Tencent, which Morningstar considers \"exemplary\" or the \"deep bench\" at Alibaba, BIDU has struggled with management in recent years.\n\n B shares, which are owned by the CEO and his affiliates, have 10 times the voting rights of Class A shares. Therefore,\n Li controls 55.4% of the equity voting rights as of January 2020.As a result, these Class B shareholders have a disproportionately large influence over key matters such as the election of directors and significant corporate transactions, including mergers and the sale of the company or assets.\" - Morningstar\n\nBIDU's founder and CEO controls 55% of the vote and thus is effectively king of Baidu. If shareholders don't like what management does, they have no recourse other than selling.\nManagement isn't a poor capital allocator, but in recent years it hasn't been firing on all cylinders when it comes to pivoting to growth catalysts as easily as JD, BABA, and TCEHY have.\n\n Some of Baidu’s acquisitions and new business developments have proved unsuccessful.\n\n\n These include the acquisition of 59% of Nuomi, a group-buying service provider, for $160 million in 2013 and the remaining stake in 2014 for an undisclosed sum, and Raven Tech for $90 million in 2017...\n\n\n Baidu’s investments in online-to-offline businesses such as deliveries and Nuomi led to its \n operating margin declining from 26.1% in 2014 to 14.2% in 2016 but they did not gain as much scale as Meituan.\n\n\n However, we refrain from giving a Poor stewardship rating to Baidu for several reasons.\n\n\nBaidu made the right decision in moving away from the O2O businesses, which led to margin improvement to 18.5% in 2017and investing in mobile and AI, which we believe is sensible given that they complement its strong core search business.\n\n\n Also, Baidu’s return on invested capital has been way higher than its weighted average cost of capital of 9.8% over the past 10 years.\" - Morningstar\n\nAnd of course, every investor in Chinese tech has to understand VIE regulatory risk.\n\n Like many other Chinese Internet companies listed in overseas markets, Baidu operates under a \n variable interest entity structure designed to let companies bypass Chinese legal restrictions on foreign ownership in certain sectors.\n\n\n Baidu's foreign investors essentially hold shares of Baidu's VIE domiciled in the Cayman Islands.\n We don't expect any legal challenges to VIE structures by the Chinese government and believe that Baidu will consider a China depositary receipt listing in the future.\n\n\n However, if the legitimacy of Baidu's related VIE is found to violate applicable law or regulation, Chinese regulatory authorities might take action, including revoking the business and operating licenses of Baidu's subsidiaries or the VIE, or discontinuing, restricting, or restructuring Baidu's operations.\n\n\n Since the Chinese Ministry of Commerce has the jurisdiction to regulate VIEs,\n we believe overseas investors would have limited legal rights.\" - Morningstar\n\nVIE regulatory risk is the reason that all Chinese tech stocks are speculative, and always will be, regardless of quality (Tencent is a 12/12 speculative Ultra SWAN for this reason).\nHow do you measure and factor in such a complex risk profile?\nBy turning to the expert consensus.\n\n39 analysts that cover BIDU and collectively know it better than anyone other than management\nand whether or not scary headlines meaningfully alter the investment thesis\n2 credit rating agencies\n3 ESG risk rating agencies\n44 total experts that monitor BIDU's risk profile for DK and will let us know if the thesis is weakening, strengthening or breaks\n\nESG Material Financial Risk Analysis\nEssential To Fully Understanding A Company's Overall Risk Profile Especially Chinese Tech Companies\nAccording to the world's best risk assessors, ESG metrics are a critical component of a company's overall risk profile. Here's who considers ESG important and builds it into their safety models and ratings.\n\nBlackRock - #1 asset manager in the world\nMSCI - #1 indexing giant\nMorningstar\nReuters'/Refinitiv\nISS (Institutional Shareholder Services) - #1 corporate proxy firm on earth\nS&P\nFitch\nMoody's\nDBRS (Canadian credit rating agency)\nAM Best (insurance industry rating agency)\nBank of America - one of the 16 most accurate economic/analyst teams in the world according to Market Watch\nBloomberg\nFactSet Research\nState Street - one of the largest custodial banks on earth\nWells Fargo - one of the 16 most accurate economic/analyst teams in the world according to Market Watch\nNAREIT\n\n\n Companies with strong ESG profiles may be better positioned for future challenges and experience\n fewer instances of bribery, corruption, and fraud.\" - MSCI (Emphasis added)\n\nBank of America's research finds that ESG metrics also help improve the long-term profitability and outcomes at companies.\n\nPunchline: higher ROE, lower risk & lower cost of capital\n\n\n We find that companies with greater gender diversity at the board/management level typically see \n higher ROE and lower earnings risk than peers.\n\n\n Moreover, based on disclosure data from ICE, we find gender diversity in management is associated with a \n ~20% premium on P/E on an overall and sector-neutral basis.\n\n\n Ethnic and racial workforce diversity shows similarly strong results:\n higher ROE, lower risk, and significant premia on P/E and P/BV.\" - Bank of America (emphasis original)\n\nESG isn't about political correctness, it's about sound business practices and maximizing long-term profits by avoiding blowing up companies in the short to medium-term.\nBaidu Consensus ESG Risk Rating\n\n\n\n\nRating Agency\nIndustry Percentile\nRating Agency Classification\n\n\nMSCI\n54.0%\nBB Below-Average\n\n\nMorningstar/Sustainalytics\n40.2%\n24.4/100 Medium Risk\n\n\nReuters'/Refinitiv (Combined ESG Rating)\n52.6%\nSatisfactory\n\n\nS&P\nNA\nNA\n\n\nConsensus\n48.9%\nAverage\n\n\n\n(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters'/Refinitiv)\nAccording to Morningstar, MSCI, and Reuter's BIDU's overall handling of its long-term financial ESG risk is average, in the 49th percentile.\n\nwhich is actually the highest ESG score of any of the big China tech stocks\nESG investors probably want to avoid Chinese companies\n\n\n(Source: MSCI)\nChinese companies tend to score poorly on ESG due to governance issues.\nBut note that BIDU used to be rated CCC very poor and has seen two rating upgrades in two years.\n(Source: BIDU IR)\nIn recent years BIDU did establish an ESG committee that may explain the improvement in ESG risk scores.\n(Source: BIDU IR)\n\n To enhance the integrity of mobile information and continue to be a leader in AI, we devote time and attention to the needs and demands of stakeholders, including suppliers, partners, governments, social institutions, users, employees, communities, and the environment itself.\n\n\n We actively explore low carbon operations, sustainable economic indicators, supply chain management, intellectual property, technological innovation, compliance, data privacy, information security, user experience, personnel training, employee rights, and community engagement.\n\n\n We aim to fully integrate an ESG philosophy and standards into our management, solve social problems with technology, leverage our corporate strength and innovation capability, and contribute long-term, sustainable value to stakeholders and the human community at large.\" - BIDU ESG mission statement\n\nBIDU is talking the talk, and apparently beginning to walk the walk as well when it comes to managing long-term risk.\n\nMorningstar rates BIDU below average compared to its peers, but on par with the likes of Spotify, Snap, and MercadoLibre. In fact, Morningstar considers BIDU's ESG risk to be in the top 36% of all companies it rates.\n(Source: Reuters'/Refinitiv)\nReuters/Refinitv is the most robust ESG model we have access to. Over 450 metrics in total make up that score.\n\nBIDU scores rather poorly on governance and environmental issues\n\nThe bottom line is that all companies have complex risk profiles that need to be considered before investing.\nThe DK Safety and quality model don't ignore any risk, and BIDU's risks are firmly baked into its speculative blue-chip rating.\nA 32% margin of safety compensates us appropriately for all of the company's risks, and what could go wrong in the future.\nHowever, more risk-intolerant investors will want to avoid BIDU and Chinese companies in general.\nBottom Line: It's Time To Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful About Baidu\nIn this highly overvalued market, it's easy to throw up your hands and shout \"everything is expensive and it's dangerous to buy any stock.\"\nWhile there are many speculative bubbles that could destroy your retirement dreams, there are ALWAYS great blue-chip bargains available.\nBaidu is one of those potentially exceptional long-term opportunities right now. Its 40% bear market, partially created by forced institutional margin call selling, allows anyone comfortable with its risk profile to buy the Google of China at a 32% margin of safety.\nIs Baidu speculative? Sure, all Chinese tech stocks are. Is it worth risking a small amount of discretionary savings to see whether Baidu can deliver on its AI/Driverless car/Streaming plans?\nI think so. If Baidu lives up to expectations, then it could potentially double within three years and almost triple within five.\nBarring the most extreme stock market bubble in history, one that surpasses the tech mania of the late '90s, there is no chance the S&P 500 and Nasdaq will even come close.\nAnd to achieve such returns Baidu doesn't have to fly off into a speculative bubble. It merely has to return to fair value and grow at the impressive rates analysts expect and it has delivered in the past.\nI can't tell you what Baidu's price will do over the next year. I can tell you that the 65% upside analysts expect over the next 12 months is 100% fundamentally justified.\nFor those comfortable with the complex risk profile inherent to Chinese tech stocks, a small position in Baidu at some of the best valuations in years is a reasonable and prudent decision.\nBasically, it's time to be greedy when others are fearful about the Google of China.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100270148,"gmtCreate":1619619023384,"gmtModify":1704726920605,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>?","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4899a0f009d0f5852dce35332fb2aed5","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/100270148","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373041656,"gmtCreate":1618806053575,"gmtModify":1704715129565,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep watch!&nbsp;","listText":"Keep watch!&nbsp;","text":"Keep watch!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/373041656","repostId":"1114523776","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114523776","pubTimestamp":1618801660,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114523776?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-19 11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Earnings Reports to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114523776","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Here are the big earnings reports for investors to monitor.Once again, earnings season is here. And, once again, major market indices are at all-time highs — making these earnings reports to watch even more enticing.It’s deja vu all over again, as the saying goes. For most of the past 11 years, stocks have kept rising, and earnings reports have been good enough to keep the rallies intact.At the moment, this market doesn’t look much different. Big banks kicked off earnings season last week with a","content":"<blockquote><b>Here are the big earnings reports for investors to monitor.</b></blockquote><p>Once again, earnings season is here. And, once again, major market indices are at all-time highs — making these earnings reports to watch even more enticing.</p><p>It’s deja vu all over again, as the saying goes. For most of the past 11 years, stocks have kept rising, and earnings reports have been good enough to keep the rallies intact.</p><p>At the moment, this market doesn’t look much different. Big banks kicked off earnings season last week with a slew of strong reports. The economy is in better shape than might be expected at this point. Despite selloffs in a few ‘hot’ sectors, and another brief bout of interest rate worries, investor sentiment too remains positive.</p><p>Basically, corporate earnings just need to keep the party going. That’s particularly true over the next few weeks, as the earnings calendar features some of the world’s largest companies across the market’s biggest and most important sectors. They’re the kind of companies whose reports can move entire sectors — and, in a few cases, perhaps the entire market.</p><p>For the next few weeks, earnings reports will take center stage. For this week, these are the seven earnings reports to watch:</p><ul><li><b>Coca-Cola</b>(NYSE:<b><u>KO</u></b>)</li><li><b>IBM</b>(NYSE:<b><u>IBM</u></b>)</li><li><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b>(NYSE:<b><u>JNJ</u></b>)</li><li><b>Procter &amp; Gamble</b>(NYSE:<b><u>PG</u></b>)</li><li><b>Netflix</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>NFLX</u></b>)</li><li><b>AT&amp;T</b>(NYSE:<b><u>T</u></b>)</li><li><b>Intel</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>INTC</u></b>)</li></ul><p>Now, let’s dive in and take a closer look at each one.</p><p><b>Earnings Reports to Watch: Coca-Cola (KO)</b></p><p><b>Earnings Report Date</b>: Monday, April 19, before market open</p><p>In an uncertain environment, the broad reach of the world’s largest beverage company makes earnings this week important for almost every investor.</p><p>After all, both of the company’s channels are in uncharted waters. In supermarkets, the question is how food and beverage companies will fare against the enormously difficult comparisons of last year’s first quarter, and March specifically. In takeaway, the return to normalcy no doubt is providing some help — but how much?</p><p>Coke earnings should give some color on both sides of the business — and not just for Coke, but its rivals and peers.</p><p>It’s an important release for Coca-Cola itself. KO stock still hasn’t clawed back all of the losses it suffered in February and March of last year. Shares in fact are more than 10% off their all-time highs.</p><p>That creates an obvious opportunity. A Coca-Cola that is back to normal should lead to a KO stock that too is back to normal. Add in a dividend yield over 3% and investors would see double-digit returns. If Coca-Cola convinces investors that normalcy is just around the corner, those returns may arrive relatively quickly.</p><p><b>IBM (IBM)</b></p><p><b>Earnings Report Date</b>: Monday, April 19, after market close</p><p>Every earnings report is key for IBM. The company is in the midst of a multi-year turnaround which still hasn’t gained real traction.</p><p>Shares still are down more than one-third from 2013 highs in a market where tech stocks have soared. IBM saw revenue decline for22-consecutive quartersbefore breaking the streak in the fourth quarter of 2017. The top lineturned south againbefore the acquisition of<b>Red Hat</b>added inorganic growth.</p><p>But now Red Hat should be integrated, and bulls see IBM’s cloud business as a potential growth driver. That optimism was enough to push IBM stock to a 52-week high late last month before a recent, modest pullback.</p><p>After the really, expectations certainly aren’t sky-high, but the market no doubt is expecting progress. Anything less, and the “same old IBM” narrative likely follows earnings this week. It’s hard to see how that narrative leads to another round of new highs.</p><p><b>Earnings Reports to Watch: Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ)</b></p><p><b>Earnings Report Date</b>: Tuesday, April 20, before market open</p><p>The market quickly looked pastthe pause in J&amp;J’s Covid-19 vaccineannounced last week. After opening down 3% on Tuesday morning, JNJ stock now is essentially flat for the week.</p><p>There no doubt will be some analyst questions on the first quarter conference call about the vaccine. But investor attention likely will focus on the rest of the business, given J&amp;Jisn’t making much profiton the vaccine.</p><p>And there are real questions to be answered. J&amp;J’s medical device business struggled in 2020, with revenue down more than 10% amid lower elective surgeries. A rebound there could signal a bottom and lift other stocks with similar exposure. The same is true for the skin health and beauty businesses within J&amp;J’s consumer products segment.</p><p>And of course the pharmaceutical remains J&amp;J’s largest, at about 60% of revenue. Products like Stelara and Remicade are far more important to the company’s bottom line than is the Covid-19 vaccine.</p><p>With normalcy returning here in 2021, J&amp;J does seem set up for a good quarter. And that could boost optimism toward a long-term casethat remains attractive.</p><p><b>Procter &amp; Gamble (PG)</b></p><p><b>Earnings Report Date</b>: Tuesday, April 20, before market open</p><p>CPG (consumer packaged goods) companies like P&amp;G were early and obvious winners from the pandemic. A surge in supermarket revenue and consumer stockpiling led to unusually high growth.</p><p>But normalcy is returning — which isn’t necessarily great news for P&amp;G and its industry. Toilet paper sales, for instance,have plunged this yearas many consumers still are working through purchases made last year.</p><p>Those trends set up a big fiscal third quarter release for P&amp;G on Tuesday morning. PG stock has rallied in recent weeks after fading to an eight-month low in early March. A 23x forward price-to-earnings multiple is well above recent levels. And Q3 is the first of several quarters in which the company will face difficult, pandemic-driven, year-prior comparisons.</p><p>Particularly with PG up about 12% in six weeks, Q3 results need to be strong ahead of more difficult compares in fiscal Q4 and fiscal Q1. If they’re not, PG stock could stumble after the release — and bring other CPG stocks with it.</p><p><b>Earnings Reports to Watch: Netflix (NFLX)</b></p><p><b>Earnings Report Date</b>: Tuesday, April 20, after market close</p><p>Netflix too seems like an obvious pandemic winner. Early on, NFLX stock was treated as such, as it rallied quickly off March 2020 lows and touched an all-time high in early July.</p><p>Since then, however, NFLX has been stuck. One obvious reason why is that investor attention has turned to other streaming plays such as<b>Roku</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>ROKU</u></b>) and direct Netflix competitors<b>Disney</b>(NYSE:<b><u>DIS</u></b>) and<b>ViacomCBS</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>VIAC</u></b>,NASDAQ:<b><u>VIACA</u></b>).</p><p>But earnings haven’t necessarily helped, either. NFLX stock did jump after January’s Q4 report despite a bottom-line miss, but the gains receded in a matter of weeks. Subscriber growthslowed in Q3, which the company attributed to the spike in sign-ups amid the pandemic.</p><p>With normalcy returning, earnings this week can set the 2021 narrative. A blowout quarter in the face of so much new competition establishes Netflix as the king of streaming, with other services simply fighting for second place. Any weakness, particularly in the subscriber count, might suggest that those new platforms are pulling Netflix subscribers away.</p><p>With the forward earnings multiple down to a more reasonable 43x, NFLX stock is cheap enough to break out if its dominance appears assured. And with incremental margins from additional subscribers driving the expected profit growth, it’s expensive enough to plunge if top-line momentum slows. This looks like a big quarter for NFLX stock — and big enough to move other streaming names as well.</p><p><b>AT&amp;T (T)</b></p><p><b>Earnings Report Date</b>: Thursday, April 22, before market open</p><p>One of those new Netflix competitors, of course, is AT&amp;T. The telecommunications giant launched its HBO Max streaming service in May. Despiteclearing 60 million worldwide subscribersby the end of last year, HBO Max hasn’t done much for T stock.</p><p>Of course, nothing has done much for the stock, which actually is down 2% over the past decade. Investors have received a generally healthy dividend, which now yields 7%. But in terms of share price appreciation, AT&amp;T stock has been the definition of ‘dead money’.</p><p>Something needs to change. It’s hard to see what that will be. HBO Max’s growth has been impressive, but the streaming business is cannibalizing revenue from DIRECTV as well as WarnerMedia’s TNT and TBS cable channels. In wireless, AT&amp;T continues to lose share to<b>Verizon Communications</b>(NYSE:<b><u>VZ</u></b>), which reports on Wednesday morning, and a now-larger<b>T-Mobile</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>TMUS</u></b>).</p><p>Simply put, beyond the dividend yield AT&amp;T hasn’t given investors a good reason to own T stock. It needs to start doing so, and Thursday morning would be a fine time to start. AT&amp;T needs to print sustainable growth either in wireless or in WarnerMedia as a whole. Of course, as the last few years show, that’s easier said than done.</p><p><b>Earnings Reports to Watch: Intel (INTC)</b></p><p><b>Earnings Report Date</b>: Thursday, April 22, after market close</p><p>Earnings this week look absolutely crucial for Intel. INTC plunged after back-to-back earnings reports last year amidyet another stumblein its move to the 7nm node. News in December that<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AAPL</u></b>) and<b>Microsoft</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>MSFT</u></b>) weredeveloping their own chipsended a relief rally and sent the stock back to the lows.</p><p>Yet earlier this month INTC threatened its highest level since a brief 2000 peak amid the dot-com bubble. A better-than-expected Q4 release in January certainly helped. But the chip shortage has proved a catalyst as well. In this environment, Intel’s owned manufacturing capacity gives it an edge over ‘fabless’ rivals<b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AMD</u></b>) and<b>Nvidia</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>NVDA</u></b>).</p><p>In other words, Intel has gotten a reprieve. It’s an advantage the company absolutely must take advantage of. With INTC still trading at 14x forward earnings, the stock is cheap enough that the rally can continue if Intel doesn’t give investors a reason to sell.</p><p>That might seem like a low bar to clear — but Intel’s recent history suggests otherwise.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Earnings Reports to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Earnings Reports to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-19 11:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/earnings-reports-to-watch-next-week/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here are the big earnings reports for investors to monitor.Once again, earnings season is here. And, once again, major market indices are at all-time highs — making these earnings reports to watch ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/earnings-reports-to-watch-next-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"T":"美国电话电报","IBM":"IBM","PG":"宝洁","JNJ":"强生","KO":"可口可乐","NFLX":"奈飞","INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/earnings-reports-to-watch-next-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114523776","content_text":"Here are the big earnings reports for investors to monitor.Once again, earnings season is here. And, once again, major market indices are at all-time highs — making these earnings reports to watch even more enticing.It’s deja vu all over again, as the saying goes. For most of the past 11 years, stocks have kept rising, and earnings reports have been good enough to keep the rallies intact.At the moment, this market doesn’t look much different. Big banks kicked off earnings season last week with a slew of strong reports. The economy is in better shape than might be expected at this point. Despite selloffs in a few ‘hot’ sectors, and another brief bout of interest rate worries, investor sentiment too remains positive.Basically, corporate earnings just need to keep the party going. That’s particularly true over the next few weeks, as the earnings calendar features some of the world’s largest companies across the market’s biggest and most important sectors. They’re the kind of companies whose reports can move entire sectors — and, in a few cases, perhaps the entire market.For the next few weeks, earnings reports will take center stage. For this week, these are the seven earnings reports to watch:Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO)IBM(NYSE:IBM)Johnson & Johnson(NYSE:JNJ)Procter & Gamble(NYSE:PG)Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)AT&T(NYSE:T)Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)Now, let’s dive in and take a closer look at each one.Earnings Reports to Watch: Coca-Cola (KO)Earnings Report Date: Monday, April 19, before market openIn an uncertain environment, the broad reach of the world’s largest beverage company makes earnings this week important for almost every investor.After all, both of the company’s channels are in uncharted waters. In supermarkets, the question is how food and beverage companies will fare against the enormously difficult comparisons of last year’s first quarter, and March specifically. In takeaway, the return to normalcy no doubt is providing some help — but how much?Coke earnings should give some color on both sides of the business — and not just for Coke, but its rivals and peers.It’s an important release for Coca-Cola itself. KO stock still hasn’t clawed back all of the losses it suffered in February and March of last year. Shares in fact are more than 10% off their all-time highs.That creates an obvious opportunity. A Coca-Cola that is back to normal should lead to a KO stock that too is back to normal. Add in a dividend yield over 3% and investors would see double-digit returns. If Coca-Cola convinces investors that normalcy is just around the corner, those returns may arrive relatively quickly.IBM (IBM)Earnings Report Date: Monday, April 19, after market closeEvery earnings report is key for IBM. The company is in the midst of a multi-year turnaround which still hasn’t gained real traction.Shares still are down more than one-third from 2013 highs in a market where tech stocks have soared. IBM saw revenue decline for22-consecutive quartersbefore breaking the streak in the fourth quarter of 2017. The top lineturned south againbefore the acquisition ofRed Hatadded inorganic growth.But now Red Hat should be integrated, and bulls see IBM’s cloud business as a potential growth driver. That optimism was enough to push IBM stock to a 52-week high late last month before a recent, modest pullback.After the really, expectations certainly aren’t sky-high, but the market no doubt is expecting progress. Anything less, and the “same old IBM” narrative likely follows earnings this week. It’s hard to see how that narrative leads to another round of new highs.Earnings Reports to Watch: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)Earnings Report Date: Tuesday, April 20, before market openThe market quickly looked pastthe pause in J&J’s Covid-19 vaccineannounced last week. After opening down 3% on Tuesday morning, JNJ stock now is essentially flat for the week.There no doubt will be some analyst questions on the first quarter conference call about the vaccine. But investor attention likely will focus on the rest of the business, given J&Jisn’t making much profiton the vaccine.And there are real questions to be answered. J&J’s medical device business struggled in 2020, with revenue down more than 10% amid lower elective surgeries. A rebound there could signal a bottom and lift other stocks with similar exposure. The same is true for the skin health and beauty businesses within J&J’s consumer products segment.And of course the pharmaceutical remains J&J’s largest, at about 60% of revenue. Products like Stelara and Remicade are far more important to the company’s bottom line than is the Covid-19 vaccine.With normalcy returning here in 2021, J&J does seem set up for a good quarter. And that could boost optimism toward a long-term casethat remains attractive.Procter & Gamble (PG)Earnings Report Date: Tuesday, April 20, before market openCPG (consumer packaged goods) companies like P&G were early and obvious winners from the pandemic. A surge in supermarket revenue and consumer stockpiling led to unusually high growth.But normalcy is returning — which isn’t necessarily great news for P&G and its industry. Toilet paper sales, for instance,have plunged this yearas many consumers still are working through purchases made last year.Those trends set up a big fiscal third quarter release for P&G on Tuesday morning. PG stock has rallied in recent weeks after fading to an eight-month low in early March. A 23x forward price-to-earnings multiple is well above recent levels. And Q3 is the first of several quarters in which the company will face difficult, pandemic-driven, year-prior comparisons.Particularly with PG up about 12% in six weeks, Q3 results need to be strong ahead of more difficult compares in fiscal Q4 and fiscal Q1. If they’re not, PG stock could stumble after the release — and bring other CPG stocks with it.Earnings Reports to Watch: Netflix (NFLX)Earnings Report Date: Tuesday, April 20, after market closeNetflix too seems like an obvious pandemic winner. Early on, NFLX stock was treated as such, as it rallied quickly off March 2020 lows and touched an all-time high in early July.Since then, however, NFLX has been stuck. One obvious reason why is that investor attention has turned to other streaming plays such asRoku(NASDAQ:ROKU) and direct Netflix competitorsDisney(NYSE:DIS) andViacomCBS(NASDAQ:VIAC,NASDAQ:VIACA).But earnings haven’t necessarily helped, either. NFLX stock did jump after January’s Q4 report despite a bottom-line miss, but the gains receded in a matter of weeks. Subscriber growthslowed in Q3, which the company attributed to the spike in sign-ups amid the pandemic.With normalcy returning, earnings this week can set the 2021 narrative. A blowout quarter in the face of so much new competition establishes Netflix as the king of streaming, with other services simply fighting for second place. Any weakness, particularly in the subscriber count, might suggest that those new platforms are pulling Netflix subscribers away.With the forward earnings multiple down to a more reasonable 43x, NFLX stock is cheap enough to break out if its dominance appears assured. And with incremental margins from additional subscribers driving the expected profit growth, it’s expensive enough to plunge if top-line momentum slows. This looks like a big quarter for NFLX stock — and big enough to move other streaming names as well.AT&T (T)Earnings Report Date: Thursday, April 22, before market openOne of those new Netflix competitors, of course, is AT&T. The telecommunications giant launched its HBO Max streaming service in May. Despiteclearing 60 million worldwide subscribersby the end of last year, HBO Max hasn’t done much for T stock.Of course, nothing has done much for the stock, which actually is down 2% over the past decade. Investors have received a generally healthy dividend, which now yields 7%. But in terms of share price appreciation, AT&T stock has been the definition of ‘dead money’.Something needs to change. It’s hard to see what that will be. HBO Max’s growth has been impressive, but the streaming business is cannibalizing revenue from DIRECTV as well as WarnerMedia’s TNT and TBS cable channels. In wireless, AT&T continues to lose share toVerizon Communications(NYSE:VZ), which reports on Wednesday morning, and a now-largerT-Mobile(NASDAQ:TMUS).Simply put, beyond the dividend yield AT&T hasn’t given investors a good reason to own T stock. It needs to start doing so, and Thursday morning would be a fine time to start. AT&T needs to print sustainable growth either in wireless or in WarnerMedia as a whole. Of course, as the last few years show, that’s easier said than done.Earnings Reports to Watch: Intel (INTC)Earnings Report Date: Thursday, April 22, after market closeEarnings this week look absolutely crucial for Intel. INTC plunged after back-to-back earnings reports last year amidyet another stumblein its move to the 7nm node. News in December thatApple(NASDAQ:AAPL) andMicrosoft(NASDAQ:MSFT) weredeveloping their own chipsended a relief rally and sent the stock back to the lows.Yet earlier this month INTC threatened its highest level since a brief 2000 peak amid the dot-com bubble. A better-than-expected Q4 release in January certainly helped. But the chip shortage has proved a catalyst as well. In this environment, Intel’s owned manufacturing capacity gives it an edge over ‘fabless’ rivalsAdvanced Micro Devices(NASDAQ:AMD) andNvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA).In other words, Intel has gotten a reprieve. It’s an advantage the company absolutely must take advantage of. With INTC still trading at 14x forward earnings, the stock is cheap enough that the rally can continue if Intel doesn’t give investors a reason to sell.That might seem like a low bar to clear — but Intel’s recent history suggests otherwise.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134064180,"gmtCreate":1622193552740,"gmtModify":1704181231333,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>keep gng!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>keep gng!","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$keep gng!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85cb32287760de0ea77b18ec73193182","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/134064180","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102223034,"gmtCreate":1620219490728,"gmtModify":1704340331549,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>...","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>...","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$...","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8bb1f12526ba33691f2a4d81856517fa","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/102223034","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108689962,"gmtCreate":1620018350356,"gmtModify":1704337460937,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Drop like grape","listText":"Drop like grape","text":"Drop like grape","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3fce73417832c3d3b069c73ccf0846a","width":"1080","height":"2737"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108689962","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108617512,"gmtCreate":1620018198336,"gmtModify":1704337458828,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sell and wait","listText":"Sell and wait","text":"Sell and wait","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108617512","repostId":"2132548564","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2132548564","pubTimestamp":1620001778,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2132548564?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-03 08:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks have risen to all-time highs this year. Should you ‘sell in May and go away’?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2132548564","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"In the past, the sell-in-May strategy shakes out better in Europe than in the U.S.\n\nStocks have been","content":"<p>In the past, the sell-in-May strategy shakes out better in Europe than in the U.S.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18b93b4406770158f62b0e2dd392f424\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"822\"></p>\n<p>Stocks have been on a tear this year, leaving investors to question whether to \"sell in May and go away.\"</p>\n<p>\"With stocks at record highs, some investors may be tempted to follow the old adage,\" a team of strategists at UBS Group's global wealth management division, wrote in a note Friday.</p>\n<p>The hypothesis is that equities tend to underperform in the six months through October, so investors should sell stocks at the start of May, invest in cash and then re-enter the market in late autumn, the strategists said. Historically, the approach has worked for Europe, but not as well in the U.S., according to their note.</p>\n<p>\"In the U.S., a stay invested strategy has tended to outperform, particularly in recent years,\" the strategists said. \"Market composition, with the U.S. market more tilted towards growth stocks, partly explains the outperformance.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b499645739c349ea55647a2512665932\" tg-width=\"1064\" tg-height=\"808\"></p>\n<p>The technology sector now accounts for 27% of the S&amp;P 500, or much higher than the 8% weighting for the MSCI Europe index, according to UBS. For that reason, investors who tried timing the U.S. equity benchmark for \"seasonal reasons\" would have missed the outperformance of growth stocks in the bull market since the global financial crisis of 2008-09.</p>\n<p>Using the past as a guide, the UBS team recommends staying invested, even through they also point to historical evidence in Europe that supported a sell-in-May strategy.</p>\n<p>Over the past 15 years, returns in Europe have been negative in June 80% of the time, according to the report. \"This has contributed to a sell-in-May strategy outperforming a stay invested strategy during those years,\" the strategists said.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the U.S. stock market has risen to all-time records this year, including as recently as this week, as measured by the S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average benchmarks. The S&amp;P 500 rose to a record 4,211.47 finish on April 29, for example, and was up 11.3% this year as of Friday's close.</p>\n<p>\"We are now entering a time of year when stocks have historically found it more challenging to advance,\" according to the UBS report. \"With many equity indexes making new highs, some measures of sentiment looking extended, and ongoing concerns about the spread of new COVID-19 variants,\" some investors may be contemplating selling.</p>\n<p>Billionaire investor Leon Cooperman, a self-described \"fully invested bear,\" told CNBC on Friday that he has \"an eye on the exit\" given a coming expected rise in taxes, inflation and a \"reasonably richly appraised market.\"</p>\n<p>Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, said in a blog Friday that the six months from May through October have been \"some of the weakest months of the year for stocks\" in the past 10 years. \"But with an accommodative Fed, fiscal and monetary policy, along with an economy that is opening faster than nearly anyone expected, we'd use any weakness as an opportunity to add to positions,\" he said.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50be26e2a50ece27ce6023a634a9e705\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"725\"></p>\n<p>\"Here's the catch,\" Detrick said. \"Stocks have actually been higher during these worst months of the year eight of the past ten years.\"</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks have risen to all-time highs this year. Should you ‘sell in May and go away’?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks have risen to all-time highs this year. Should you ‘sell in May and go away’?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-03 08:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-stocks-have-risen-to-all-time-highs-this-year-should-you-sell-in-may-and-go-away-11619818845?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In the past, the sell-in-May strategy shakes out better in Europe than in the U.S.\n\nStocks have been on a tear this year, leaving investors to question whether to \"sell in May and go away.\"\n\"With ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-stocks-have-risen-to-all-time-highs-this-year-should-you-sell-in-may-and-go-away-11619818845?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-stocks-have-risen-to-all-time-highs-this-year-should-you-sell-in-may-and-go-away-11619818845?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2132548564","content_text":"In the past, the sell-in-May strategy shakes out better in Europe than in the U.S.\n\nStocks have been on a tear this year, leaving investors to question whether to \"sell in May and go away.\"\n\"With stocks at record highs, some investors may be tempted to follow the old adage,\" a team of strategists at UBS Group's global wealth management division, wrote in a note Friday.\nThe hypothesis is that equities tend to underperform in the six months through October, so investors should sell stocks at the start of May, invest in cash and then re-enter the market in late autumn, the strategists said. Historically, the approach has worked for Europe, but not as well in the U.S., according to their note.\n\"In the U.S., a stay invested strategy has tended to outperform, particularly in recent years,\" the strategists said. \"Market composition, with the U.S. market more tilted towards growth stocks, partly explains the outperformance.\"\n\nThe technology sector now accounts for 27% of the S&P 500, or much higher than the 8% weighting for the MSCI Europe index, according to UBS. For that reason, investors who tried timing the U.S. equity benchmark for \"seasonal reasons\" would have missed the outperformance of growth stocks in the bull market since the global financial crisis of 2008-09.\nUsing the past as a guide, the UBS team recommends staying invested, even through they also point to historical evidence in Europe that supported a sell-in-May strategy.\nOver the past 15 years, returns in Europe have been negative in June 80% of the time, according to the report. \"This has contributed to a sell-in-May strategy outperforming a stay invested strategy during those years,\" the strategists said.\nMeanwhile, the U.S. stock market has risen to all-time records this year, including as recently as this week, as measured by the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average benchmarks. The S&P 500 rose to a record 4,211.47 finish on April 29, for example, and was up 11.3% this year as of Friday's close.\n\"We are now entering a time of year when stocks have historically found it more challenging to advance,\" according to the UBS report. \"With many equity indexes making new highs, some measures of sentiment looking extended, and ongoing concerns about the spread of new COVID-19 variants,\" some investors may be contemplating selling.\nBillionaire investor Leon Cooperman, a self-described \"fully invested bear,\" told CNBC on Friday that he has \"an eye on the exit\" given a coming expected rise in taxes, inflation and a \"reasonably richly appraised market.\"\nRyan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, said in a blog Friday that the six months from May through October have been \"some of the weakest months of the year for stocks\" in the past 10 years. \"But with an accommodative Fed, fiscal and monetary policy, along with an economy that is opening faster than nearly anyone expected, we'd use any weakness as an opportunity to add to positions,\" he said.\n\n\"Here's the catch,\" Detrick said. \"Stocks have actually been higher during these worst months of the year eight of the past ten years.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373043079,"gmtCreate":1618805939991,"gmtModify":1704715127282,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip? Like pls","listText":"Buy the dip? Like pls","text":"Buy the dip? Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/373043079","repostId":"2128868471","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2128868471","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1618759080,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2128868471?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-18 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coinbase hangover? Here's why bitcoin may be suffering its steepest slide since February","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2128868471","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Bitcoin prices are in correction, down nearly 14% from its recent peak on CoinDesk.Bitcoin prices we","content":"<blockquote>Bitcoin prices are in correction, down nearly 14% from its recent peak on CoinDesk.</blockquote><p>Bitcoin prices were sinking into correction territory Sunday, marking the sharpest slide for the digital asset since February, coming on the heels of what has been a remarkable stretch for the crypto industry.</p><p>Bitcoin pricesBTCUSD,1.43%fell at one point Sunday afternoon to $51,907, down around 20% from a recent peak of $64,829.14, according to Coindesk. The decline from the crypto’s apex meets the widely accepted definition of a correction in an asset. By Sunday evening, a single bitcoin was going for $56,620.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fb4b00395feffcf6e0b195304220d57\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"419\"></p><p>However, slides of 10% or better bitcoin are fairly common because the nascent asset is viewed as inherently volatile. The last time crypto skid decisively lower comments from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen at a New York Times DealBook conference were blamed for the slump.</p><p>This time around, market participants continue to be haunted by the specter of a crack down by the Treasury but are also listing a few other possible causes for bitcoin's correction.</p><p><b>Crypto euphoria</b></p><p>Some industry participants point to a rise in speculative assets like dogecoin as indications that the digital asset market is getting hyped and vulnerable to a retreat. Dogecoin prices had rocketed more than 7,252% year-to-date at their recent peak.</p><p>Galaxy Digital CEO Michael Novogratz says that although he sees bitcoin reaching $100,000 by the end of 2021 and $500,000 by 2024, he believes that the market will be marked by turbulence that he feels is highlighted by frenzied appetite for assets like dogecoin , which was originally created as a parody to bitcoin and is viewed by some as possessing limited utility.</p><p>Novogratz said that the list of crypto platform Coinbase Global listing has fueled \"a lot of frenzy\" .</p><p><b>Crackdown? Or 'FUD'</b></p><p>Others pointed to the dissemination of fear, uncertainty and doubt, or FUD, as the crypto community describes it.</p><p>Bloomberg News reported that further speculation about a crypto crackdown by the U.S. Treasury Department tied to the use of digital assets for money laundering, without specific details, also was weighing on prices.</p><p><b>Coinbase hangover?</b></p><p>Some market participants have suggested that the highly anticipated Coinbase listing on Nasdaq Inc.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">$(NDAQ)$</a> would prove a new top for the crypto market and put prices under pressure after a precipitous rally in recent days and a fresh record for bitcoin early last week.</p><p>Yves Lamoureux, the president of Montreal-based macroeconomic research firm Lamoureux &amp; Co., told MarketWatch that he was fearful that euphoria surrounding bitcoin and crypto and saw them due for a retrenchment as a result. \"Can you find out there anyone with a bearish viewpoint?\" he asked. \"A resounding no,\" he responded.</p><p>In any case, bitcoin prices remain elevated on the back of growing attention from traditional investors. Several high-profile Wall Street players, including Stanley Druckenmiller and Paul Tudor Jones, have embraced bitcoin. Famed investor Bill Miller, founder of Miller Value Partners, in a letter to clients on the firm's website, that reaffirmed his bullish outlook on bitcoin.</p><p>Bitcoin prices are up around 90% so far this year. By comparison, gold prices, considered a rival to bitcoin, were off over 6% so far in 2021, and more traditional securities were seeing comparatively more pedestrian returns. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 are up more than 11% in the year to date, while the Nasdaq Composite Index is up 9%.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coinbase hangover? Here's why bitcoin may be suffering its steepest slide since February</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoinbase hangover? Here's why bitcoin may be suffering its steepest slide since February\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-18 23:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>Bitcoin prices are in correction, down nearly 14% from its recent peak on CoinDesk.</blockquote><p>Bitcoin prices were sinking into correction territory Sunday, marking the sharpest slide for the digital asset since February, coming on the heels of what has been a remarkable stretch for the crypto industry.</p><p>Bitcoin pricesBTCUSD,1.43%fell at one point Sunday afternoon to $51,907, down around 20% from a recent peak of $64,829.14, according to Coindesk. The decline from the crypto’s apex meets the widely accepted definition of a correction in an asset. By Sunday evening, a single bitcoin was going for $56,620.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fb4b00395feffcf6e0b195304220d57\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"419\"></p><p>However, slides of 10% or better bitcoin are fairly common because the nascent asset is viewed as inherently volatile. The last time crypto skid decisively lower comments from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen at a New York Times DealBook conference were blamed for the slump.</p><p>This time around, market participants continue to be haunted by the specter of a crack down by the Treasury but are also listing a few other possible causes for bitcoin's correction.</p><p><b>Crypto euphoria</b></p><p>Some industry participants point to a rise in speculative assets like dogecoin as indications that the digital asset market is getting hyped and vulnerable to a retreat. Dogecoin prices had rocketed more than 7,252% year-to-date at their recent peak.</p><p>Galaxy Digital CEO Michael Novogratz says that although he sees bitcoin reaching $100,000 by the end of 2021 and $500,000 by 2024, he believes that the market will be marked by turbulence that he feels is highlighted by frenzied appetite for assets like dogecoin , which was originally created as a parody to bitcoin and is viewed by some as possessing limited utility.</p><p>Novogratz said that the list of crypto platform Coinbase Global listing has fueled \"a lot of frenzy\" .</p><p><b>Crackdown? Or 'FUD'</b></p><p>Others pointed to the dissemination of fear, uncertainty and doubt, or FUD, as the crypto community describes it.</p><p>Bloomberg News reported that further speculation about a crypto crackdown by the U.S. Treasury Department tied to the use of digital assets for money laundering, without specific details, also was weighing on prices.</p><p><b>Coinbase hangover?</b></p><p>Some market participants have suggested that the highly anticipated Coinbase listing on Nasdaq Inc.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">$(NDAQ)$</a> would prove a new top for the crypto market and put prices under pressure after a precipitous rally in recent days and a fresh record for bitcoin early last week.</p><p>Yves Lamoureux, the president of Montreal-based macroeconomic research firm Lamoureux &amp; Co., told MarketWatch that he was fearful that euphoria surrounding bitcoin and crypto and saw them due for a retrenchment as a result. \"Can you find out there anyone with a bearish viewpoint?\" he asked. \"A resounding no,\" he responded.</p><p>In any case, bitcoin prices remain elevated on the back of growing attention from traditional investors. Several high-profile Wall Street players, including Stanley Druckenmiller and Paul Tudor Jones, have embraced bitcoin. Famed investor Bill Miller, founder of Miller Value Partners, in a letter to clients on the firm's website, that reaffirmed his bullish outlook on bitcoin.</p><p>Bitcoin prices are up around 90% so far this year. By comparison, gold prices, considered a rival to bitcoin, were off over 6% so far in 2021, and more traditional securities were seeing comparatively more pedestrian returns. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 are up more than 11% in the year to date, while the Nasdaq Composite Index is up 9%.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2128868471","content_text":"Bitcoin prices are in correction, down nearly 14% from its recent peak on CoinDesk.Bitcoin prices were sinking into correction territory Sunday, marking the sharpest slide for the digital asset since February, coming on the heels of what has been a remarkable stretch for the crypto industry.Bitcoin pricesBTCUSD,1.43%fell at one point Sunday afternoon to $51,907, down around 20% from a recent peak of $64,829.14, according to Coindesk. The decline from the crypto’s apex meets the widely accepted definition of a correction in an asset. By Sunday evening, a single bitcoin was going for $56,620.However, slides of 10% or better bitcoin are fairly common because the nascent asset is viewed as inherently volatile. The last time crypto skid decisively lower comments from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen at a New York Times DealBook conference were blamed for the slump.This time around, market participants continue to be haunted by the specter of a crack down by the Treasury but are also listing a few other possible causes for bitcoin's correction.Crypto euphoriaSome industry participants point to a rise in speculative assets like dogecoin as indications that the digital asset market is getting hyped and vulnerable to a retreat. Dogecoin prices had rocketed more than 7,252% year-to-date at their recent peak.Galaxy Digital CEO Michael Novogratz says that although he sees bitcoin reaching $100,000 by the end of 2021 and $500,000 by 2024, he believes that the market will be marked by turbulence that he feels is highlighted by frenzied appetite for assets like dogecoin , which was originally created as a parody to bitcoin and is viewed by some as possessing limited utility.Novogratz said that the list of crypto platform Coinbase Global listing has fueled \"a lot of frenzy\" .Crackdown? Or 'FUD'Others pointed to the dissemination of fear, uncertainty and doubt, or FUD, as the crypto community describes it.Bloomberg News reported that further speculation about a crypto crackdown by the U.S. Treasury Department tied to the use of digital assets for money laundering, without specific details, also was weighing on prices.Coinbase hangover?Some market participants have suggested that the highly anticipated Coinbase listing on Nasdaq Inc.$(NDAQ)$ would prove a new top for the crypto market and put prices under pressure after a precipitous rally in recent days and a fresh record for bitcoin early last week.Yves Lamoureux, the president of Montreal-based macroeconomic research firm Lamoureux & Co., told MarketWatch that he was fearful that euphoria surrounding bitcoin and crypto and saw them due for a retrenchment as a result. \"Can you find out there anyone with a bearish viewpoint?\" he asked. \"A resounding no,\" he responded.In any case, bitcoin prices remain elevated on the back of growing attention from traditional investors. Several high-profile Wall Street players, including Stanley Druckenmiller and Paul Tudor Jones, have embraced bitcoin. Famed investor Bill Miller, founder of Miller Value Partners, in a letter to clients on the firm's website, that reaffirmed his bullish outlook on bitcoin.Bitcoin prices are up around 90% so far this year. By comparison, gold prices, considered a rival to bitcoin, were off over 6% so far in 2021, and more traditional securities were seeing comparatively more pedestrian returns. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 are up more than 11% in the year to date, while the Nasdaq Composite Index is up 9%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166062984,"gmtCreate":1623985747748,"gmtModify":1703825688178,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go BB","listText":"Let's go BB","text":"Let's go BB","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166062984","repostId":"2144746753","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2144746753","pubTimestamp":1623931200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2144746753?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 20:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BlackBerry Wins Frost & Sullivan 2021 Technology Innovation Leadership Award","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144746753","media":"PR Newswire","summary":"WATERLOO, ON, June 17, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- BlackBerry Limited (NYSE: BB; TSX: BB) today announced F","content":"<div>\n<p>WATERLOO, ON, June 17, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- BlackBerry Limited (NYSE: BB; TSX: BB) today announced Frost & Sullivan has presented BlackBerry® AtHoc® with the 2021 Technology Innovation Leadership ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blackberry-wins-frost-sullivan-2021-120000610.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BlackBerry Wins Frost & Sullivan 2021 Technology Innovation Leadership Award</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBlackBerry Wins Frost & Sullivan 2021 Technology Innovation Leadership Award\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 20:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blackberry-wins-frost-sullivan-2021-120000610.html><strong>PR Newswire</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>WATERLOO, ON, June 17, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- BlackBerry Limited (NYSE: BB; TSX: BB) today announced Frost & Sullivan has presented BlackBerry® AtHoc® with the 2021 Technology Innovation Leadership ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blackberry-wins-frost-sullivan-2021-120000610.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/bcHrRVZYX6piprK6PvldKw--~B/aD03MDt3PTQwMDthcHBpZD15dGFjaHlvbg--/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/k_7H5f_kaEs.yRdfoQ1qCw--~B/aD03MDt3PTQwMDthcHBpZD15dGFjaHlvbg--/https://media.zenfs.com/en/prnewswire.com/a2240ff9d414ee8908570880060011cf","relate_stocks":{"BB":"黑莓"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blackberry-wins-frost-sullivan-2021-120000610.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2144746753","content_text":"WATERLOO, ON, June 17, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- BlackBerry Limited (NYSE: BB; TSX: BB) today announced Frost & Sullivan has presented BlackBerry® AtHoc® with the 2021 Technology Innovation Leadership Award for safe city solutions.  Applying a rigorous evaluation process, Frost & Sullivan recognizes companies who are at the forefront of innovation and growth in their respective industries, and have a visionary understanding of the future.  \n\n  \n\nBlackBerry AtHoc is celebrated by Frost & Sullivan for its superior communication and collaboration capabilities, its ability to integrate with any endpoint, and its excellence in providing situational awareness and actionable intelligence.  Frost & Sullivan highlights that BlackBerry AtHoc is the most secure critical event management solution in the market, which is vital to avoid bad actors being able to create or manage a critical event.  BlackBerry AtHoc can be used by organizations and operators across an entire city or broader geography, to enable business continuity, keep people safe, and deliver a citywide response to critical events.   \n\"BlackBerry is renowned for our innovations and leadership in safety, security and communications, which have been shaping the market for over thirty years.  Our software is relied on by organizations around the world, including 18 of the G20 governments, for mission-critical use cases,\" said John Chen, Executive Chairman & CEO, BlackBerry.  \"BlackBerry is honored to receive the Frost & Sullivan 2021 Technology Innovation Leadership Award for BlackBerry AtHoc, the most secure and trusted critical event management solution.\"  \n\"Some of the key capabilities for safe city technology include actionable intelligence, superior situational awareness, exceptional critical event monitoring, and secure communications,\" said Danielle VanZandt, Security Industry Analyst, Frost & Sullivan.  \"BlackBerry AtHoc checks all of these boxes and more, enabling organizations and operators to synthesize multiple data sources, identify critical incidents, and quickly and securely enact mitigation and remediation actions that can protect operations, assets, and citizens from potential harm, across an entire geographic area of interest.\"\nBlackBerry AtHoc enables organizations to prepare for, respond to and recover from planned and unplanned critical events and emergencies.  The solution is used by thousands of organizations around the world across verticals, including government, financial services, healthcare, and more.  \nTo read the full Frost & Sullivan award report click here.\nFor more information on BlackBerry AtHoc click here. \nAbout BlackBerryBlackBerry (NYSE: BB; TSX: BB) provides intelligent security software and services to enterprises and governments around the world.  The company secures more than 500M endpoints including 175M cars on the road today.  Based in Waterloo, Ontario, the company leverages AI and machine learning to deliver innovative solutions in the areas of cybersecurity, safety and data privacy solutions, and is a leader in the areas of endpoint security, endpoint management, encryption, and embedded systems.  BlackBerry's vision is clear - to secure a connected future you can trust. \nBlackBerry. Intelligent Security. Everywhere.  \nFor more information, visit BlackBerry.com and follow @BlackBerry.\nTrademarks, including but not limited to BLACKBERRY and EMBLEM Design are the trademarks or registered trademarks of BlackBerry Limited, and the exclusive rights to such trademarks are expressly reserved.  All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. BlackBerry is not responsible for any third-party products or services.\nMedia Contact:BlackBerry Media Relations+1 (519) 597-7273mediarelations@BlackBerry.com\n\n\n View original content to download multimedia:http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/blackberry-wins-frost--sullivan-2021-technology-innovation-leadership-award-301314553.html\nSOURCE BlackBerry Limited","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166068162,"gmtCreate":1623985710956,"gmtModify":1703825685425,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come on let's go to the moon","listText":"Come on let's go to the moon","text":"Come on let's go to the moon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8876ea9602246366ab1dc2dbd04c5a2a","width":"1080","height":"2737"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166068162","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134067356,"gmtCreate":1622193591075,"gmtModify":1704181232648,"author":{"id":"3581826058071830","authorId":"3581826058071830","name":"lowL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e402389af24b2e459cf28cbcd53a4715","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581826058071830","authorIdStr":"3581826058071830"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon?","listText":"To the moon?","text":"To the moon?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0c67b5de12abd4c403e1d75066a57bf","width":"1080","height":"2737"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/134067356","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}