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DeficitDanie

DeficitDanie

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06-29

Join the Tiger event now to earn more money!!

@TigerEvents:[10th Anniv] Discover exciting features & win a US$1,010 reward!

06-29

Finally a new event to help me earn more money!!

2023-11-08

new dat!!!😭🤩😭

2023-11-07

Join and win MONEYYYY

@TigerEvents:Join Tiger's Halloween Fun! Win Big!

2023-11-07

Wow, hopefully today will be better!!!

2023-11-06

FREE SHARESS!!! Start now before it's too late

2023-10-30

Market in extreme fear!!

Fed Meeting, Jobs Report, Apple Earnings, and More to Watch This Week

2023-05-30

nyou c

Netflix Rose Nearly 4% in Morning Trading

2022-05-27

wow insightful indeed, like form me :D

The Bubble Goes 'Pop'

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Win Big!","htmlText":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! Get ready for some fun, and earn points to win a USD 100 stock voucher and AAPL stock!*In this thrilling game, you'll have just 60 seconds to fend off a gang of mischievous Halloween spirits. It's your job to give them a fright and chase them away with a tap – the more, the merrier!Now, here's the twist: each ghostly friend will require different taps and will reward you with various points.Airy the Apparition - Just one tap, and poof, they vanish. Spooktacularly easy!Bubbles the Water Pixie - Disappears with zero taps - A true magic trick!Rocky the Earth Spirit - You'll need to tap twice to send it packing. He's grounded, you see.Flicker the Embergeist - Another one-ta","listText":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! 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Get ready for some fun, and earn points to win a USD 100 stock voucher and AAPL stock!*In this thrilling game, you'll have just 60 seconds to fend off a gang of mischievous Halloween spirits. It's your job to give them a fright and chase them away with a tap – the more, the merrier!Now, here's the twist: each ghostly friend will require different taps and will reward you with various points.Airy the Apparition - Just one tap, and poof, they vanish. Spooktacularly easy!Bubbles the Water Pixie - Disappears with zero taps - A true magic trick!Rocky the Earth Spirit - You'll need to tap twice to send it packing. He's grounded, you see.Flicker the Embergeist - Another one-ta","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ad478b709732d53302c395a52fa1c8e1","width":"1200","height":"630"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234641357262864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":238879337787528,"gmtCreate":1699349441272,"gmtModify":1699349446735,"author":{"id":"3581847833584278","authorId":"3581847833584278","name":"DeficitDanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8d5d7ba1fe039f36cab720c851934df","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581847833584278","authorIdStr":"3581847833584278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow, hopefully today will be better!!!","listText":"Wow, hopefully today will be better!!!","text":"Wow, hopefully today will be better!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/238879337787528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":238598892376224,"gmtCreate":1699281273907,"gmtModify":1699281466045,"author":{"id":"3581847833584278","authorId":"3581847833584278","name":"DeficitDanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8d5d7ba1fe039f36cab720c851934df","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581847833584278","authorIdStr":"3581847833584278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FREE SHARESS!!! Start now before it's too late","listText":"FREE SHARESS!!! Start now before it's too late","text":"FREE SHARESS!!! Start now before it's too late","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/238598892376224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236007976595688,"gmtCreate":1698651971343,"gmtModify":1698652938007,"author":{"id":"3581847833584278","authorId":"3581847833584278","name":"DeficitDanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8d5d7ba1fe039f36cab720c851934df","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581847833584278","authorIdStr":"3581847833584278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Market in extreme fear!!","listText":"Market in extreme fear!!","text":"Market in extreme fear!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236007976595688","repostId":"2379642310","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2379642310","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1698620936,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2379642310?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-10-30 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Meeting, Jobs Report, Apple Earnings, and More to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2379642310","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"A Federal Reserve meeting, the latest U.S. jobs data, and another packed stretch of third-quarterearningsseason will keep investors busy this week. Around 150          S&P 500        companies are sch","content":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f32e46248d85ecad791db9a28012845\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"536\"/></p><p>A Federal Reserve meeting, the latest U.S. jobs data, and another packed stretch of third-quarter earnings season will keep investors busy this week. Around 150 S&amp;P 500 companies are scheduled to report.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/819c9b8d059614d68854078c9aeb804e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\"/></p><p>The highlight of the week will come on Wednesday, however, when the Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting. An interest-rate decision is due at 2 p.m. ET and Fed chairman Jerome Powell holds a press conference half an hour later.</p><p>The week’s earnings calendar is loaded, starting with McDonald’s and Simon Property Group on Monday. Advanced Micro Devices, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Caterpillar, and Pfizer report on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Airbnb, CVS Health, DoorDash, Electronic Arts, Kraft Heinz, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings, Qualcomm, and Yum! Brands all report. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0967cfeb009defab24c3bec7526d818\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1453\"/></p><p>Apple, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a>, ConocoPhillips, Eli Lilly, Moderna, Novo Nordisk, and Starbucks will publish results on Thursday, then  Cboe Global Markets and Dominion Energy close the week on Friday.</p><p>Economists and investors will be closely watching this week’s labor-market numbers. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for September. On Friday, the BLS will release the jobs report for October. Economists are forecasting no change in the unemployment rate, currently at 3.8%.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for October on Tuesday, ISM’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for October on Wednesday, and the October Services PMI on Friday.</p><p><strong>Monday 10/30</strong></p><p>Arch Capital Group, Arista Networks, McDonald’s, ON Semiconductor, Pinterest, $Public Storage(PSA-N)$, Simon Property Group, and Welltower release quarterly results.</p><p><strong>Tuesday 10/31</strong></p><p>AMD, Amgen, Anheuser-Busch, BP, Caesars Entertainment, Caterpillar, Eaton, Ecolab, GE HealthCare Technologies, Marathon Petroleum, MSCI, Pfizer, and Sysco announce earnings.</p><p>S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> releases the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for August. Consensus estimate is for home prices to rise 1.6% year over year, following a 1% gain in July.</p><p>The Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for October. Expectations are for a 100 reading, three points less than in September.</p><p>The Institute for Supply Management releases the Chicago Business Barometer for October. Economists forecast a 44.8 reading, slightly higher than in September.</p><p><strong>Wednesday 11/1</strong></p><p>Aflac, Airbnb, Allstate, American International Group, Apollo Global Management, Clorox, CVS, DoorDash, DuPont, Electronic Arts, Energy Transfer, Estée Lauder, Generac Holdings, GSK, Humana, Kraft Heinz, MetLife, Martin Marietta Materials, McKesson, Mondelez International, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, PayPal, Prudential Financial, Qualcomm, TE Connectivity, Trane Technologies, Williams Cos., and Yum! Brands report quarterly results.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. Wall Street is nearly unanimous in expecting the FOMC to leave the federal-funds rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.50%. Traders are pricing in a one-in-five chance the Fed hikes interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point at its last meeting of the year, in mid-December.</p><p>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for September. The consensus call is for 9.3 million job openings, 300,000 less than in August.</p><p>The ISM releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for October. The index is seen remaining unchanged from September’s level of 49.</p><p>ADP releases its National Employment Report for September. Expectations are for an increase of 135,000 private-sector jobs, after a 89,000 gain in August.</p><p><strong>Thursday 11/2</strong></p><p>American Electric Power, Apple, Booking Holdings, Cencora, Cigna, ConocoPhillips, Cummins, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DEX.AU\">Duke</a> Energy, Eli Lilly, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a> Group, Fortinet, Intercontinental Exchange, Marriott International, Moderna, Novo Nordisk, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Rockwell Automation, S&amp;P Global, SBA Communications, Shell, SouthernCo. , Starbucks, and Stryker hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><strong>Friday 11/3</strong></p><p>Cardinal Health, Cboe Global Markets, Dominion Energy, Gartner, Sempra report quarterly results.</p><p>The BLS releases the jobs report for October. Consensus estimate is for the economy to have added 175,00 nonfarm payrolls, after an increase of 336,000 in September. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at a historically low level of 3.8%.</p><p>The ISM releases its Services PMI for October. Economists forecast a 53.1 reading, half a point less than in September.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Meeting, Jobs Report, Apple Earnings, and More to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Meeting, Jobs Report, Apple Earnings, and More to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-10-30 07:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f32e46248d85ecad791db9a28012845\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"536\"/></p><p>A Federal Reserve meeting, the latest U.S. jobs data, and another packed stretch of third-quarter earnings season will keep investors busy this week. Around 150 S&amp;P 500 companies are scheduled to report.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/819c9b8d059614d68854078c9aeb804e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\"/></p><p>The highlight of the week will come on Wednesday, however, when the Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting. An interest-rate decision is due at 2 p.m. ET and Fed chairman Jerome Powell holds a press conference half an hour later.</p><p>The week’s earnings calendar is loaded, starting with McDonald’s and Simon Property Group on Monday. Advanced Micro Devices, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Caterpillar, and Pfizer report on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Airbnb, CVS Health, DoorDash, Electronic Arts, Kraft Heinz, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings, Qualcomm, and Yum! Brands all report. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0967cfeb009defab24c3bec7526d818\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1453\"/></p><p>Apple, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a>, ConocoPhillips, Eli Lilly, Moderna, Novo Nordisk, and Starbucks will publish results on Thursday, then  Cboe Global Markets and Dominion Energy close the week on Friday.</p><p>Economists and investors will be closely watching this week’s labor-market numbers. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for September. On Friday, the BLS will release the jobs report for October. Economists are forecasting no change in the unemployment rate, currently at 3.8%.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for October on Tuesday, ISM’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for October on Wednesday, and the October Services PMI on Friday.</p><p><strong>Monday 10/30</strong></p><p>Arch Capital Group, Arista Networks, McDonald’s, ON Semiconductor, Pinterest, $Public Storage(PSA-N)$, Simon Property Group, and Welltower release quarterly results.</p><p><strong>Tuesday 10/31</strong></p><p>AMD, Amgen, Anheuser-Busch, BP, Caesars Entertainment, Caterpillar, Eaton, Ecolab, GE HealthCare Technologies, Marathon Petroleum, MSCI, Pfizer, and Sysco announce earnings.</p><p>S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> releases the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for August. Consensus estimate is for home prices to rise 1.6% year over year, following a 1% gain in July.</p><p>The Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for October. Expectations are for a 100 reading, three points less than in September.</p><p>The Institute for Supply Management releases the Chicago Business Barometer for October. Economists forecast a 44.8 reading, slightly higher than in September.</p><p><strong>Wednesday 11/1</strong></p><p>Aflac, Airbnb, Allstate, American International Group, Apollo Global Management, Clorox, CVS, DoorDash, DuPont, Electronic Arts, Energy Transfer, Estée Lauder, Generac Holdings, GSK, Humana, Kraft Heinz, MetLife, Martin Marietta Materials, McKesson, Mondelez International, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, PayPal, Prudential Financial, Qualcomm, TE Connectivity, Trane Technologies, Williams Cos., and Yum! Brands report quarterly results.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. Wall Street is nearly unanimous in expecting the FOMC to leave the federal-funds rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.50%. Traders are pricing in a one-in-five chance the Fed hikes interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point at its last meeting of the year, in mid-December.</p><p>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for September. The consensus call is for 9.3 million job openings, 300,000 less than in August.</p><p>The ISM releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for October. The index is seen remaining unchanged from September’s level of 49.</p><p>ADP releases its National Employment Report for September. Expectations are for an increase of 135,000 private-sector jobs, after a 89,000 gain in August.</p><p><strong>Thursday 11/2</strong></p><p>American Electric Power, Apple, Booking Holdings, Cencora, Cigna, ConocoPhillips, Cummins, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DEX.AU\">Duke</a> Energy, Eli Lilly, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a> Group, Fortinet, Intercontinental Exchange, Marriott International, Moderna, Novo Nordisk, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Rockwell Automation, S&amp;P Global, SBA Communications, Shell, SouthernCo. , Starbucks, and Stryker hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><strong>Friday 11/3</strong></p><p>Cardinal Health, Cboe Global Markets, Dominion Energy, Gartner, Sempra report quarterly results.</p><p>The BLS releases the jobs report for October. Consensus estimate is for the economy to have added 175,00 nonfarm payrolls, after an increase of 336,000 in September. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at a historically low level of 3.8%.</p><p>The ISM releases its Services PMI for October. Economists forecast a 53.1 reading, half a point less than in September.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-apple-mcdonalds-amd-fed-meeting-jobs-report-af301c00?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2379642310","content_text":"A Federal Reserve meeting, the latest U.S. jobs data, and another packed stretch of third-quarter earnings season will keep investors busy this week. Around 150 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report.The highlight of the week will come on Wednesday, however, when the Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting. An interest-rate decision is due at 2 p.m. ET and Fed chairman Jerome Powell holds a press conference half an hour later.The week’s earnings calendar is loaded, starting with McDonald’s and Simon Property Group on Monday. Advanced Micro Devices, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Caterpillar, and Pfizer report on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Airbnb, CVS Health, DoorDash, Electronic Arts, Kraft Heinz, PayPal Holdings, Qualcomm, and Yum! Brands all report. Apple, Booking Holdings, ConocoPhillips, Eli Lilly, Moderna, Novo Nordisk, and Starbucks will publish results on Thursday, then  Cboe Global Markets and Dominion Energy close the week on Friday.Economists and investors will be closely watching this week’s labor-market numbers. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for September. On Friday, the BLS will release the jobs report for October. Economists are forecasting no change in the unemployment rate, currently at 3.8%.Other economic data out this week will include the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for October on Tuesday, ISM’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for October on Wednesday, and the October Services PMI on Friday.Monday 10/30Arch Capital Group, Arista Networks, McDonald’s, ON Semiconductor, Pinterest, $Public Storage(PSA-N)$, Simon Property Group, and Welltower release quarterly results.Tuesday 10/31AMD, Amgen, Anheuser-Busch, BP, Caesars Entertainment, Caterpillar, Eaton, Ecolab, GE HealthCare Technologies, Marathon Petroleum, MSCI, Pfizer, and Sysco announce earnings.S&P CoreLogic releases the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for August. Consensus estimate is for home prices to rise 1.6% year over year, following a 1% gain in July.The Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for October. Expectations are for a 100 reading, three points less than in September.The Institute for Supply Management releases the Chicago Business Barometer for October. Economists forecast a 44.8 reading, slightly higher than in September.Wednesday 11/1Aflac, Airbnb, Allstate, American International Group, Apollo Global Management, Clorox, CVS, DoorDash, DuPont, Electronic Arts, Energy Transfer, Estée Lauder, Generac Holdings, GSK, Humana, Kraft Heinz, MetLife, Martin Marietta Materials, McKesson, Mondelez International, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, PayPal, Prudential Financial, Qualcomm, TE Connectivity, Trane Technologies, Williams Cos., and Yum! Brands report quarterly results.The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. Wall Street is nearly unanimous in expecting the FOMC to leave the federal-funds rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.50%. Traders are pricing in a one-in-five chance the Fed hikes interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point at its last meeting of the year, in mid-December.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for September. The consensus call is for 9.3 million job openings, 300,000 less than in August.The ISM releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for October. The index is seen remaining unchanged from September’s level of 49.ADP releases its National Employment Report for September. Expectations are for an increase of 135,000 private-sector jobs, after a 89,000 gain in August.Thursday 11/2American Electric Power, Apple, Booking Holdings, Cencora, Cigna, ConocoPhillips, Cummins, Duke Energy, Eli Lilly, Expedia Group, Fortinet, Intercontinental Exchange, Marriott International, Moderna, Novo Nordisk, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Rockwell Automation, S&P Global, SBA Communications, Shell, SouthernCo. , Starbucks, and Stryker hold conference calls to discuss earnings.Friday 11/3Cardinal Health, Cboe Global Markets, Dominion Energy, Gartner, Sempra report quarterly results.The BLS releases the jobs report for October. Consensus estimate is for the economy to have added 175,00 nonfarm payrolls, after an increase of 336,000 in September. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at a historically low level of 3.8%.The ISM releases its Services PMI for October. Economists forecast a 53.1 reading, half a point less than in September.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182059213688984,"gmtCreate":1685457357121,"gmtModify":1685457951532,"author":{"id":"3581847833584278","authorId":"3581847833584278","name":"DeficitDanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8d5d7ba1fe039f36cab720c851934df","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581847833584278","authorIdStr":"3581847833584278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nyou c&nbsp;","listText":"nyou c&nbsp;","text":"nyou c","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182059213688984","repostId":"1158196035","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1158196035","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1685456960,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158196035?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-30 22:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Rose Nearly 4% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158196035","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Netflix rose nearly 4% in morning trading.It recently launched new features to help members with the","content":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> rose nearly 4% in morning trading.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74e6f43215f2cad91500469fab9854e8\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"608\"/></p><p>It recently launched new features to help members with the password sharing transition, including transferring a profile to a new membership account and adding an extra member to their account for $7.99 a month. </p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Rose Nearly 4% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Rose Nearly 4% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-05-30 22:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> rose nearly 4% in morning trading.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74e6f43215f2cad91500469fab9854e8\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"608\"/></p><p>It recently launched new features to help members with the password sharing transition, including transferring a profile to a new membership account and adding an extra member to their account for $7.99 a month. </p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158196035","content_text":"Netflix rose nearly 4% in morning trading.It recently launched new features to help members with the password sharing transition, including transferring a profile to a new membership account and adding an extra member to their account for $7.99 a month.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9025890634,"gmtCreate":1653651875328,"gmtModify":1676535321202,"author":{"id":"3581847833584278","authorId":"3581847833584278","name":"DeficitDanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8d5d7ba1fe039f36cab720c851934df","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581847833584278","authorIdStr":"3581847833584278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow insightful indeed, like form me :D","listText":"wow insightful indeed, like form me :D","text":"wow insightful indeed, like form me :D","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9025890634","repostId":"2238583642","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2238583642","pubTimestamp":1653653700,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2238583642?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-27 20:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Bubble Goes 'Pop'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2238583642","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Adrian Los/iStock via Getty Images Article Thesis In times of easy money, equity markets tend to for","content":"<html><body><p><figure><picture> <img height=\"1024px\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) calc(100vw - 36px), (max-width: 1024px) calc(100vw - 132px), (max-width: 1200px) calc(66.6vw - 72px), 600px\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1215335273/image_1215335273.jpg?io=getty-c-w750\" srcset=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1215335273/image_1215335273.jpg?io=getty-c-w1536 1536w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1215335273/image_1215335273.jpg?io=getty-c-w1280 1280w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1215335273/image_1215335273.jpg?io=getty-c-w1080 1080w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1215335273/image_1215335273.jpg?io=getty-c-w750 750w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1215335273/image_1215335273.jpg?io=getty-c-w640 640w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1215335273/image_1215335273.jpg?io=getty-c-w480 480w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1215335273/image_1215335273.jpg?io=getty-c-w320 320w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1215335273/image_1215335273.jpg?io=getty-c-w240 240w\" width=\"1536px\"/> </picture><figcaption> <p>Adrian Los/iStock via Getty Images</p></figcaption></figure></p> <h2>Article Thesis</h2> <p>In times of easy money, equity markets tend to form bubbles. That was the case in tech markets over the last two years, as both unprofitable hype stocks and even some quality companies saw their<span> shares rise to levels that were not at all justified by their underlying business performance.</span></p> <p>NVIDIA (NVDA) is a good example of that, which we will showcase in this article, but we'll also look at some other bubble stocks and what the bursting of the bubble means for them.</p> <h2>What The Dot.Com Bubble Should Have Taught Investors</h2> <p>All else equal, high growth rates and attractive industry growth opportunities are always an advantage. But in real life, \"all else\" is oftentimes not equal, which is why other factors are highly important as well and should be considered. An important observation is that industry or business growth alone does not guarantee positive equity returns. A great example of that is the bursting of the dot.com bubble a little more than 20 years ago:</p> <p><figure><img height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/5/23/saupload_e06b64a4c59562cb8e871865e7a7b9ff.png\" width=\"635\"/><figcaption>Data by YCharts</figcaption></figure></p> <p>In the 2000-2004 time frame, Microsoft (MSFT) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) grew their revenue by 60% and 20%, respectively. In those five years, the companies thus saw considerable business growth. And yet, their shares dropped by more than 50% (January 1, 2000 to January 1, 2005). From a peak-to-trough perspective, the share price decline was even larger. To this day, Cisco has not climbed to its old bubble highs, as it currently trades at around 60% of the all-time high -- even though its revenue per share has grown by close to 400% over that time frame, while its earnings per share rose by more than 600%.</p> <p>Going for companies with obvious growth tailwinds while neglecting valuations was a losing game for many investors during the dot.com bubble. That does not only include those that invested in low-quality companies, but even those that invested in some of the best companies in the world, such as Microsoft. Neglecting valuations works until it doesn't -- and when the bubble pops, there's a long way down.</p> <h2>Exhibit NVIDIA: Chasing Growth Is Dangerous</h2> <p>The same holds true for an investment in NVIDIA, at least for those investors that bought shares at or close to the top. NVIDIA undoubtedly is a high-quality company, as were Microsoft and Cisco twenty years ago. NVIDIA sports a strong balance sheet, operates with attractive margins, and has generated a lot of business growth in recent years. On top of that, its exposure to growth markets such as autonomous intelligence, autonomous driving, and gaming should allow NVIDIA to generate attractive business growth in the long run, although there will likely be some ups and downs, e.g. due to the impact of crypto mining.</p> <p><figure><img height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/5/23/saupload_fcdd49bc62c7e2e3687a0e49a5e0af54.png\" width=\"635\"/><figcaption>Data by YCharts</figcaption></figure></p> <p>At the top, investors were paying more than 100x trailing net profits for NVIDIA last fall, while the forward earnings multiple was in the mid-70s at the time. The 10-year median earnings multiple, which reflects how NVIDIA was valued historically, was in the 30s at the time. Chasing growth and quality by paying twice or even triple the historic valuation is not a good choice from a valuation or fundamental basis. That would only be justified if NVIDIA suddenly had found a way to grow at twice or triple the historic date forever, but that was certainly not the case. In fact, NVIDIA's growth potential has diminished on a relative basis in the recent past.</p> <p>Logically, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> should thus value the stock at a lower valuation compared to how NVIDIA was valued in the past, meaning it should trade at a discount compared to the 10-year median earnings multiple. This makes buying the stock at twice the historically normal valuation even more perplexing, and, in fact, dangerous. The steep share price fall NVIDIA has experienced over the last couple of months, dropping by more than 50% from the top, is the logical conclusion of that ignorance when it comes to the stock's valuation.</p> <h2>Interest Rates Pressure Valuations Further</h2> <p>Valuations of stocks, and especially of growth stocks, are tied to how bonds are valued. Phrased differently, one can also say that stock valuations depend on how high interest rates are.</p> <p><figure><img height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/5/26/saupload_dfecb0c06ece9bf6904b99d8762f8e2d.png\" width=\"635\"/><figcaption>Data by YCharts</figcaption></figure></p> <p>In the above chart, we see that the current 10-year treasury rate is well above the average over the last couple of years, sitting relatively close to the top. The lower half of the chart shows the spread between the S&amp;P 500's earnings yield and the 10-year treasury yield. At 2.6%, the current spread is roughly in the middle of the 3-year average. But the spread was significantly lower, meaning equities were more expensive half a year or a year ago. Not surprisingly, shares have declined over that time frame, as the historic overvaluation, or bubble in parts of the market was corrected.</p> <h2>Bubble Stocks Are Deflating As Less Money Is Available</h2> <p>Due to inflation, fiscal tightening, and rising interest rates, less money is flowing around the markets chasing returns. This has hit overvalued quality stocks such as NVIDIA, while Amazon (AMZN), down 41% from its highs, or Apple (AAPL), down a little more than 20% from its highs, could be included in the same group. Advanced Micro Devices (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>) has dropped by more than 40% from its all-time highs as well, despite being a fast-growing quality company.</p> <p><figure><img height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/5/26/saupload_0f004d8128075e5912884d7d9288be33.png\" width=\"635\"/><figcaption>Data by YCharts</figcaption></figure></p> <p>These companies experienced multiple contraction in recent months, driven by the fact that they traded at historically high valuations prior to the deflation they experienced. In times when money is getting more expensive, historically expensive valuations are just not sustainable.</p> <p>The bubble hit has been even harder in companies with lower quality compared to the NVIDIAs, Apples, etc. of the world. A great example of that is the ARK Investment family of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a>s:</p> <p><figure><img height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/5/26/saupload_2edf41165198082a3fabb259fb56c277.png\" width=\"635\"/><figcaption>Data by YCharts</figcaption></figure></p> <p>These funds are down 70% or more from their all-time highs, having destroyed billions of dollars in shareholder value since they peaked out. Not only were many of the stocks these ETFs invested in trading at extraordinarily high valuations, but these ETFs also invested in a wide range of companies of doubtful quality. Peloton (PTON) is a great example of that -- a company that barely broke even during the best times for its business model, i.e., when consumers were flush with cash and locked down in their homes. Now, with higher input costs, weaker consumer sentiment, and more possibilities to do sports outside of one's home, Peloton's outlook naturally has gotten a lot worse, and I do not think that it is surprising to see that the company is struggling.</p> <p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOOD\">Robinhood</a> Markets (HOOD) is another example of a company of doubtful quality that was valued at extraordinarily high valuations during the bubble phase. Even when millions of new investors entered the market thanks to boredom and fiscal stimulus payments, Robinhood never managed to become meaningfully profitable on a GAAP basis. The fact that the company was valued at more than $60 billion with basically no profits was both perplexing and wholly unjustified. With enthusiasm for these bubble stocks waning, and with money getting more expensive, they have naturally fallen quite a lot.</p> <p>I do believe that the bubble is nevertheless not fully deflated. There are still companies that are quite pricey, considering where they are fundamentally. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Block</a> (SQ), for example, still trades at 90x net profits (adjusted, GAAP profits are even lower), while Tesla (TSLA) still trades at 9x this year's revenue or so, which is an extremely high valuation for a car company. These companies have seen their shares pull back quite a lot, but there is no fundamental reason to rule out another 20%, 30%, or even 50% share price decline -- the multiples could easily allow for that if sentiment regarding growth stocks remains weak and if the Fed continues to raise rates.</p> <p>Even a company such as Amazon, with a strong global brand and healthy cash flows, is not trading at a valuation that is low enough to rule out further downside. Based on the current valuation, its shares could fall further.</p> <h2>Takeaway</h2> <p>Price is what you pay, value is what you get. These are not always the same. Sometimes companies trade below fair value, sometimes they trade above fair value -- under specific market circumstances, these discrepancies can be very large. The dot.com bubble should have told investors that chasing growth at any price is a bad idea unless one can time the exit perfectly. Over the last two years, we saw similar bubbles form, as growth-at-all-cost and this-time-is-different mentalities took hold.</p> <p>But as we have seen in the stock price performance of even quality companies such as NVIDIA, AMD, Apple, or Amazon, it matters quite a lot how much one pays for growth. Other stocks have performed even worse, such as the typical ARK favorites (and the ARK ETFs themselves). Since the Fed will likely continue to tighten financial conditions in order to crack down on inflation, and since some \"growthy\" names are still trading at very elevated valuations, it seems possible that the bubble will continue to deflate for a bit. That being said, many tech names are now more reasonably valued than they were over the last year, and especially among the quality names, there are some that look attractive now, such as Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) or AMD.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Bubble Goes 'Pop'</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Bubble Goes 'Pop'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-27 20:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4514787-the-bubble-goes-pop><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Adrian Los/iStock via Getty Images Article Thesis In times of easy money, equity markets tend to form bubbles. That was the case in tech markets over the last two years, as both unprofitable hype ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4514787-the-bubble-goes-pop\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","GOOG":"谷歌","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","GOOGL":"谷歌A","BK4560":"网络安全概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","SQ":"Block","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4514":"搜索引擎","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4539":"次新股","BK4190":"消闲用品","BK4106":"数据处理与外包服务","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4515":"5G概念","NVDA":"英伟达","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","AMD":"美国超微公司","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4567":"ESG概念","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4576":"AR","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4543":"AI","BK4501":"段永平概念","MSFT":"微软","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4538":"云计算","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4020":"通信设备","BK4527":"明星科技股","HOOD":"Robinhood"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4514787-the-bubble-goes-pop","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2238583642","content_text":"Adrian Los/iStock via Getty Images Article Thesis In times of easy money, equity markets tend to form bubbles. That was the case in tech markets over the last two years, as both unprofitable hype stocks and even some quality companies saw their shares rise to levels that were not at all justified by their underlying business performance. NVIDIA (NVDA) is a good example of that, which we will showcase in this article, but we'll also look at some other bubble stocks and what the bursting of the bubble means for them. What The Dot.Com Bubble Should Have Taught Investors All else equal, high growth rates and attractive industry growth opportunities are always an advantage. But in real life, \"all else\" is oftentimes not equal, which is why other factors are highly important as well and should be considered. An important observation is that industry or business growth alone does not guarantee positive equity returns. A great example of that is the bursting of the dot.com bubble a little more than 20 years ago: Data by YCharts In the 2000-2004 time frame, Microsoft (MSFT) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) grew their revenue by 60% and 20%, respectively. In those five years, the companies thus saw considerable business growth. And yet, their shares dropped by more than 50% (January 1, 2000 to January 1, 2005). From a peak-to-trough perspective, the share price decline was even larger. To this day, Cisco has not climbed to its old bubble highs, as it currently trades at around 60% of the all-time high -- even though its revenue per share has grown by close to 400% over that time frame, while its earnings per share rose by more than 600%. Going for companies with obvious growth tailwinds while neglecting valuations was a losing game for many investors during the dot.com bubble. That does not only include those that invested in low-quality companies, but even those that invested in some of the best companies in the world, such as Microsoft. Neglecting valuations works until it doesn't -- and when the bubble pops, there's a long way down. Exhibit NVIDIA: Chasing Growth Is Dangerous The same holds true for an investment in NVIDIA, at least for those investors that bought shares at or close to the top. NVIDIA undoubtedly is a high-quality company, as were Microsoft and Cisco twenty years ago. NVIDIA sports a strong balance sheet, operates with attractive margins, and has generated a lot of business growth in recent years. On top of that, its exposure to growth markets such as autonomous intelligence, autonomous driving, and gaming should allow NVIDIA to generate attractive business growth in the long run, although there will likely be some ups and downs, e.g. due to the impact of crypto mining. Data by YCharts At the top, investors were paying more than 100x trailing net profits for NVIDIA last fall, while the forward earnings multiple was in the mid-70s at the time. The 10-year median earnings multiple, which reflects how NVIDIA was valued historically, was in the 30s at the time. Chasing growth and quality by paying twice or even triple the historic valuation is not a good choice from a valuation or fundamental basis. That would only be justified if NVIDIA suddenly had found a way to grow at twice or triple the historic date forever, but that was certainly not the case. In fact, NVIDIA's growth potential has diminished on a relative basis in the recent past. Logically, one should thus value the stock at a lower valuation compared to how NVIDIA was valued in the past, meaning it should trade at a discount compared to the 10-year median earnings multiple. This makes buying the stock at twice the historically normal valuation even more perplexing, and, in fact, dangerous. The steep share price fall NVIDIA has experienced over the last couple of months, dropping by more than 50% from the top, is the logical conclusion of that ignorance when it comes to the stock's valuation. Interest Rates Pressure Valuations Further Valuations of stocks, and especially of growth stocks, are tied to how bonds are valued. Phrased differently, one can also say that stock valuations depend on how high interest rates are. Data by YCharts In the above chart, we see that the current 10-year treasury rate is well above the average over the last couple of years, sitting relatively close to the top. The lower half of the chart shows the spread between the S&P 500's earnings yield and the 10-year treasury yield. At 2.6%, the current spread is roughly in the middle of the 3-year average. But the spread was significantly lower, meaning equities were more expensive half a year or a year ago. Not surprisingly, shares have declined over that time frame, as the historic overvaluation, or bubble in parts of the market was corrected. Bubble Stocks Are Deflating As Less Money Is Available Due to inflation, fiscal tightening, and rising interest rates, less money is flowing around the markets chasing returns. This has hit overvalued quality stocks such as NVIDIA, while Amazon (AMZN), down 41% from its highs, or Apple (AAPL), down a little more than 20% from its highs, could be included in the same group. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has dropped by more than 40% from its all-time highs as well, despite being a fast-growing quality company. Data by YCharts These companies experienced multiple contraction in recent months, driven by the fact that they traded at historically high valuations prior to the deflation they experienced. In times when money is getting more expensive, historically expensive valuations are just not sustainable. The bubble hit has been even harder in companies with lower quality compared to the NVIDIAs, Apples, etc. of the world. A great example of that is the ARK Investment family of Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETFs: Data by YCharts These funds are down 70% or more from their all-time highs, having destroyed billions of dollars in shareholder value since they peaked out. Not only were many of the stocks these ETFs invested in trading at extraordinarily high valuations, but these ETFs also invested in a wide range of companies of doubtful quality. Peloton (PTON) is a great example of that -- a company that barely broke even during the best times for its business model, i.e., when consumers were flush with cash and locked down in their homes. Now, with higher input costs, weaker consumer sentiment, and more possibilities to do sports outside of one's home, Peloton's outlook naturally has gotten a lot worse, and I do not think that it is surprising to see that the company is struggling. Robinhood Markets (HOOD) is another example of a company of doubtful quality that was valued at extraordinarily high valuations during the bubble phase. Even when millions of new investors entered the market thanks to boredom and fiscal stimulus payments, Robinhood never managed to become meaningfully profitable on a GAAP basis. The fact that the company was valued at more than $60 billion with basically no profits was both perplexing and wholly unjustified. With enthusiasm for these bubble stocks waning, and with money getting more expensive, they have naturally fallen quite a lot. I do believe that the bubble is nevertheless not fully deflated. There are still companies that are quite pricey, considering where they are fundamentally. Block (SQ), for example, still trades at 90x net profits (adjusted, GAAP profits are even lower), while Tesla (TSLA) still trades at 9x this year's revenue or so, which is an extremely high valuation for a car company. These companies have seen their shares pull back quite a lot, but there is no fundamental reason to rule out another 20%, 30%, or even 50% share price decline -- the multiples could easily allow for that if sentiment regarding growth stocks remains weak and if the Fed continues to raise rates. Even a company such as Amazon, with a strong global brand and healthy cash flows, is not trading at a valuation that is low enough to rule out further downside. Based on the current valuation, its shares could fall further. Takeaway Price is what you pay, value is what you get. These are not always the same. Sometimes companies trade below fair value, sometimes they trade above fair value -- under specific market circumstances, these discrepancies can be very large. The dot.com bubble should have told investors that chasing growth at any price is a bad idea unless one can time the exit perfectly. Over the last two years, we saw similar bubbles form, as growth-at-all-cost and this-time-is-different mentalities took hold. But as we have seen in the stock price performance of even quality companies such as NVIDIA, AMD, Apple, or Amazon, it matters quite a lot how much one pays for growth. Other stocks have performed even worse, such as the typical ARK favorites (and the ARK ETFs themselves). Since the Fed will likely continue to tighten financial conditions in order to crack down on inflation, and since some \"growthy\" names are still trading at very elevated valuations, it seems possible that the bubble will continue to deflate for a bit. That being said, many tech names are now more reasonably valued than they were over the last year, and especially among the quality names, there are some that look attractive now, such as Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) or AMD.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":239166133436592,"gmtCreate":1699427499698,"gmtModify":1699427504649,"author":{"id":"3581847833584278","authorId":"3581847833584278","name":"DeficitDanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8d5d7ba1fe039f36cab720c851934df","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581847833584278","authorIdStr":"3581847833584278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"new dat!!!😭🤩😭","listText":"new dat!!!😭🤩😭","text":"new dat!!!😭🤩😭","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/239166133436592","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236007976595688,"gmtCreate":1698651971343,"gmtModify":1698652938007,"author":{"id":"3581847833584278","authorId":"3581847833584278","name":"DeficitDanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8d5d7ba1fe039f36cab720c851934df","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581847833584278","authorIdStr":"3581847833584278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Market in extreme fear!!","listText":"Market in extreme fear!!","text":"Market in extreme fear!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236007976595688","repostId":"2379642310","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182059213688984,"gmtCreate":1685457357121,"gmtModify":1685457951532,"author":{"id":"3581847833584278","authorId":"3581847833584278","name":"DeficitDanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8d5d7ba1fe039f36cab720c851934df","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581847833584278","authorIdStr":"3581847833584278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nyou c&nbsp;","listText":"nyou c&nbsp;","text":"nyou c","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182059213688984","repostId":"1158196035","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321905995030704,"gmtCreate":1719620813926,"gmtModify":1719630296368,"author":{"id":"3581847833584278","authorId":"3581847833584278","name":"DeficitDanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8d5d7ba1fe039f36cab720c851934df","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581847833584278","authorIdStr":"3581847833584278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Join the Tiger event now to earn more money!!","listText":"Join the Tiger event now to earn more money!!","text":"Join the Tiger event now to earn more money!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/321905995030704","repostId":"313600081719480","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":313600081719480,"gmtCreate":1717584773809,"gmtModify":1719559158217,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667667103859","authorIdStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"[10th Anniv] Discover exciting features & win a US$1,010 reward!","htmlText":"🎉 Unlock Your Path to $1,010 voucher with Our Winning Guide! 🎉Our exclusive anniversary event is now LIVE, and we want YOU to join in the fun! 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Get ready for some fun, and earn points to win a USD 100 stock voucher and AAPL stock!*In this thrilling game, you'll have just 60 seconds to fend off a gang of mischievous Halloween spirits. It's your job to give them a fright and chase them away with a tap – the more, the merrier!Now, here's the twist: each ghostly friend will require different taps and will reward you with various points.Airy the Apparition - Just one tap, and poof, they vanish. Spooktacularly easy!Bubbles the Water Pixie - Disappears with zero taps - A true magic trick!Rocky the Earth Spirit - You'll need to tap twice to send it packing. 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