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2021-05-31
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2021-06-19
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fuk！！！
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16:44","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股“大屠杀”要来了？投资专家预言市场崩跌60%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167519793","media":"FX168财经网","summary":"过去一个月，美国股市实际上一直在盘整。但理财公司RIA Advisors首席投资策略师Lance Roberts说，这种情况不太可能继续下去，随着市场期待的经济反弹已经开始，美国股市的过度扩张，最终可","content":"<p>过去一个月，美国股市实际上一直在盘整。但理财公司RIA Advisors首席投资策略师Lance Roberts说，这种情况不太可能继续下去，随着市场期待的经济反弹已经开始，美国股市的过度扩张，最终可能导致下跌。RIA Advisors管理着超过8亿美元的资产。</p>\n<p>Roberts最近在Advisor Perspectives上发表的一篇文章中写道：“在过去的120年里，过高的估值和极端偏差发生时，从来没有横盘整理过。”他表示，目前这种调整唯一缺少的因素就是一种催化剂，让过于自满的市场陷入“恐惧”。从经济混乱、信贷相关危机到意外的外部冲击，任何事情都可能引发恐慌出逃。</p>\n<p>在2020年3月股市崩盘之前，Roberts就警告过股市存在泡沫。</p>\n<p>但随着疫情爆发后的重新开放，以及消费者准备向经济注入资金，股市真的存在泡沫吗？罗伯茨的答案是肯定的。他认为，考虑到经济刺激措施带来的好处已经开始消退，企业收益预期过高，而且股市将无法达到其过高的估值水平。</p>\n<p>他预计，标普500指数将在未来两到三年内的某个时候回归合理价值，并在美联储下一次加息的触发下下跌40%-60%。</p>\n<p>Roberts认为，上述情况百分之百会出现，不过，没有人确切知道这样的崩盘会在什么时候发生。</p>\n<p>Roberts预计，在美联储加息9到15个月后，美国股市将开始下跌，而原先那些在美联储促进的流动性下受益僵尸企业尤其将受重创。</p>\n<p>从投资者行为的角度来看，Roberts认为，与2020年不同，市场情绪需要进行有意义的修正。</p>\n<p>Roberts指出，五大指标表明，美国股市正处于泡沫之中，包括当前美股已是距离3年移动平均线最远的状态、恐惧/贪婪指数处于“极度贪婪”状态、基金经理人持仓状态表明极度看多、保证金债务处于高位、杠杆型ETF做多比例远高于做空比例等。</p>\n<p>多项指标显示，整体市场的未来回报前景黯淡。</p>\n<p>标准普尔500指数的席勒平均市盈率（一种流行的估值指标）处于历史高位。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（Bank of America）的基金经理调查也反映出看涨情绪升温，其牛熊指标为6.9（满分10分）。该行表示，当该指标达到8或以上时，这是卖出股票的信号。</p>\n<p>美国银行还警告称，以目前的估值水平来看，标普500指数未来10年的回报率将很低。</p>\n<p>据美国消费者新闻与商业频道（CNBC）周日（5月23日）报道，诺贝尔经济学奖得主席勒（Robert Shiller）表示，他担心市场上一些最热门的交易正在形成泡沫。他对房地产、股票和加密货币尤其感到担忧，他认为投资者在这些领域存在一种“狂野西部”心态。</p>\n<p>自2020年3月的低点以来，美股标普500指数和道指已经反弹近90%，而以科技股为主的纳指的涨幅则超过100%。</p>\n<p>席勒认为今年股票价格高企。席勒警告称，通胀担忧可能最终会推低长期资产价格。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股“大屠杀”要来了？投资专家预言市场崩跌60%</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股“大屠杀”要来了？投资专家预言市场崩跌60%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1040496219\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a80f9d4086d7680bdea6ba04addf782);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">FX168财经网 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-24 16:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>过去一个月，美国股市实际上一直在盘整。但理财公司RIA Advisors首席投资策略师Lance Roberts说，这种情况不太可能继续下去，随着市场期待的经济反弹已经开始，美国股市的过度扩张，最终可能导致下跌。RIA Advisors管理着超过8亿美元的资产。</p>\n<p>Roberts最近在Advisor Perspectives上发表的一篇文章中写道：“在过去的120年里，过高的估值和极端偏差发生时，从来没有横盘整理过。”他表示，目前这种调整唯一缺少的因素就是一种催化剂，让过于自满的市场陷入“恐惧”。从经济混乱、信贷相关危机到意外的外部冲击，任何事情都可能引发恐慌出逃。</p>\n<p>在2020年3月股市崩盘之前，Roberts就警告过股市存在泡沫。</p>\n<p>但随着疫情爆发后的重新开放，以及消费者准备向经济注入资金，股市真的存在泡沫吗？罗伯茨的答案是肯定的。他认为，考虑到经济刺激措施带来的好处已经开始消退，企业收益预期过高，而且股市将无法达到其过高的估值水平。</p>\n<p>他预计，标普500指数将在未来两到三年内的某个时候回归合理价值，并在美联储下一次加息的触发下下跌40%-60%。</p>\n<p>Roberts认为，上述情况百分之百会出现，不过，没有人确切知道这样的崩盘会在什么时候发生。</p>\n<p>Roberts预计，在美联储加息9到15个月后，美国股市将开始下跌，而原先那些在美联储促进的流动性下受益僵尸企业尤其将受重创。</p>\n<p>从投资者行为的角度来看，Roberts认为，与2020年不同，市场情绪需要进行有意义的修正。</p>\n<p>Roberts指出，五大指标表明，美国股市正处于泡沫之中，包括当前美股已是距离3年移动平均线最远的状态、恐惧/贪婪指数处于“极度贪婪”状态、基金经理人持仓状态表明极度看多、保证金债务处于高位、杠杆型ETF做多比例远高于做空比例等。</p>\n<p>多项指标显示，整体市场的未来回报前景黯淡。</p>\n<p>标准普尔500指数的席勒平均市盈率（一种流行的估值指标）处于历史高位。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（Bank of America）的基金经理调查也反映出看涨情绪升温，其牛熊指标为6.9（满分10分）。该行表示，当该指标达到8或以上时，这是卖出股票的信号。</p>\n<p>美国银行还警告称，以目前的估值水平来看，标普500指数未来10年的回报率将很低。</p>\n<p>据美国消费者新闻与商业频道（CNBC）周日（5月23日）报道，诺贝尔经济学奖得主席勒（Robert Shiller）表示，他担心市场上一些最热门的交易正在形成泡沫。他对房地产、股票和加密货币尤其感到担忧，他认为投资者在这些领域存在一种“狂野西部”心态。</p>\n<p>自2020年3月的低点以来，美股标普500指数和道指已经反弹近90%，而以科技股为主的纳指的涨幅则超过100%。</p>\n<p>席勒认为今年股票价格高企。席勒警告称，通胀担忧可能最终会推低长期资产价格。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/347452cc99fb488c45ccd900fcf3aa20","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指反向ETF","BAC":"美国银行","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167519793","content_text":"过去一个月，美国股市实际上一直在盘整。但理财公司RIA Advisors首席投资策略师Lance Roberts说，这种情况不太可能继续下去，随着市场期待的经济反弹已经开始，美国股市的过度扩张，最终可能导致下跌。RIA Advisors管理着超过8亿美元的资产。\nRoberts最近在Advisor Perspectives上发表的一篇文章中写道：“在过去的120年里，过高的估值和极端偏差发生时，从来没有横盘整理过。”他表示，目前这种调整唯一缺少的因素就是一种催化剂，让过于自满的市场陷入“恐惧”。从经济混乱、信贷相关危机到意外的外部冲击，任何事情都可能引发恐慌出逃。\n在2020年3月股市崩盘之前，Roberts就警告过股市存在泡沫。\n但随着疫情爆发后的重新开放，以及消费者准备向经济注入资金，股市真的存在泡沫吗？罗伯茨的答案是肯定的。他认为，考虑到经济刺激措施带来的好处已经开始消退，企业收益预期过高，而且股市将无法达到其过高的估值水平。\n他预计，标普500指数将在未来两到三年内的某个时候回归合理价值，并在美联储下一次加息的触发下下跌40%-60%。\nRoberts认为，上述情况百分之百会出现，不过，没有人确切知道这样的崩盘会在什么时候发生。\nRoberts预计，在美联储加息9到15个月后，美国股市将开始下跌，而原先那些在美联储促进的流动性下受益僵尸企业尤其将受重创。\n从投资者行为的角度来看，Roberts认为，与2020年不同，市场情绪需要进行有意义的修正。\nRoberts指出，五大指标表明，美国股市正处于泡沫之中，包括当前美股已是距离3年移动平均线最远的状态、恐惧/贪婪指数处于“极度贪婪”状态、基金经理人持仓状态表明极度看多、保证金债务处于高位、杠杆型ETF做多比例远高于做空比例等。\n多项指标显示，整体市场的未来回报前景黯淡。\n标准普尔500指数的席勒平均市盈率（一种流行的估值指标）处于历史高位。\n美国银行（Bank of America）的基金经理调查也反映出看涨情绪升温，其牛熊指标为6.9（满分10分）。该行表示，当该指标达到8或以上时，这是卖出股票的信号。\n美国银行还警告称，以目前的估值水平来看，标普500指数未来10年的回报率将很低。\n据美国消费者新闻与商业频道（CNBC）周日（5月23日）报道，诺贝尔经济学奖得主席勒（Robert Shiller）表示，他担心市场上一些最热门的交易正在形成泡沫。他对房地产、股票和加密货币尤其感到担忧，他认为投资者在这些领域存在一种“狂野西部”心态。\n自2020年3月的低点以来，美股标普500指数和道指已经反弹近90%，而以科技股为主的纳指的涨幅则超过100%。\n席勒认为今年股票价格高企。席勒警告称，通胀担忧可能最终会推低长期资产价格。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":375272237,"gmtCreate":1619355700929,"gmtModify":1704722799415,"author":{"id":"3581926273115941","authorId":"3581926273115941","name":"kikiki啊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GOGOGO","listText":"GOGOGO","text":"GOGOGO","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/375272237","repostId":"1114607668","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114607668","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619344657,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114607668?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-25 17:57","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"长城汽车：重庆、徐水两大生产基地并无停产计划","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114607668","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"长城汽车目前面临着芯片供应紧张的情况，工厂生产受到一定程度影响，但均未停产。","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601633\">长城汽车</a>：媒体刊登报道提及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02333\">长城汽车</a>股份有限公司受芯片供应短缺影响，长城汽车遭遇产能瓶颈。经核实，上述新闻报导并不属实。<b>本公司重庆、徐水两大生产基地并无停产计划，长城汽车目前面临着芯片供应紧张的情况，工厂生产受到一定程度影响，但均未停产。</b></p><p>针对芯片市场供应紧张的情况，本公司正在主动采取多种措施积极应对，包括在全球范围内积极采购芯片、加强供应链管理等方式，来缓解芯片供应紧张带来的影响。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/814e18cbfd6d2886b4e1c19c0c8b77c2\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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}\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n长城汽车：重庆、徐水两大生产基地并无停产计划\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-25 17:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601633\">长城汽车</a>：媒体刊登报道提及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02333\">长城汽车</a>股份有限公司受芯片供应短缺影响，长城汽车遭遇产能瓶颈。经核实，上述新闻报导并不属实。<b>本公司重庆、徐水两大生产基地并无停产计划，长城汽车目前面临着芯片供应紧张的情况，工厂生产受到一定程度影响，但均未停产。</b></p><p>针对芯片市场供应紧张的情况，本公司正在主动采取多种措施积极应对，包括在全球范围内积极采购芯片、加强供应链管理等方式，来缓解芯片供应紧张带来的影响。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/814e18cbfd6d2886b4e1c19c0c8b77c2\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5b9e5c3b70588c6614f3a4e6591e20c","relate_stocks":{"601633":"长城汽车","02333":"长城汽车"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114607668","content_text":"长城汽车：媒体刊登报道提及长城汽车股份有限公司受芯片供应短缺影响，长城汽车遭遇产能瓶颈。经核实，上述新闻报导并不属实。本公司重庆、徐水两大生产基地并无停产计划，长城汽车目前面临着芯片供应紧张的情况，工厂生产受到一定程度影响，但均未停产。针对芯片市场供应紧张的情况，本公司正在主动采取多种措施积极应对，包括在全球范围内积极采购芯片、加强供应链管理等方式，来缓解芯片供应紧张带来的影响。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170207035,"gmtCreate":1626432896827,"gmtModify":1703760058710,"author":{"id":"3581926273115941","authorId":"3581926273115941","name":"kikiki啊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good!!!","listText":"Good!!!","text":"Good!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839e0b31e77cde99c229cdc4d4c1f0c8","width":"1440","height":"4151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170207035","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122274225,"gmtCreate":1624626003967,"gmtModify":1703842027991,"author":{"id":"3581926273115941","authorId":"3581926273115941","name":"kikiki啊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GOGOGO","listText":"GOGOGO","text":"GOGOGO","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b04d7eab32c64c3d573a5b966e78e9fa","width":"1440","height":"4151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/122274225","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197103661,"gmtCreate":1621431778853,"gmtModify":1704357535707,"author":{"id":"3581926273115941","authorId":"3581926273115941","name":"kikiki啊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GOGOGO","listText":"GOGOGO","text":"GOGOGO","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/680d32691b0e056a7d824d02443f35ad","width":"1440","height":"4019"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/197103661","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195952547,"gmtCreate":1621252446789,"gmtModify":1704354640758,"author":{"id":"3581926273115941","authorId":"3581926273115941","name":"kikiki啊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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