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kel0508

kel0508

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01-22

hope for a million-dollar blanket! dreaming that one day i'm gonna be a millionaire

2022-06-15

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US STOCKS-S&P 500 Dips With Fed Policy Announcement on Tap

2022-05-26

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2022-03-19

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2022-01-14

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2022-11-27

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CPI Inflation Will Come Down: A Look At Walmart, Amazon, Costco And Home Depot

2022-01-21

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US STOCKS-Wall Street Drops as Bargain-Hunting Loses Steam

2022-01-16

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US STOCKS-Dow Closes Lower after Disappointing Bank Results

2022-08-05

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2022-07-04

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Long, Moderate and Painful: What Next US Recession May Look Like

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dreaming that one day i'm gonna be a millionaire","listText":"hope for a million-dollar blanket! dreaming that one day i'm gonna be a millionaire","text":"hope for a million-dollar blanket! dreaming that one day i'm gonna be a millionaire","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/524353904002544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":460798651965712,"gmtCreate":1753517658891,"gmtModify":1753517663296,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"i'm excited to attend the post NDP event at the heartland of Bukit Gombak! went for the Buona Vista's south West event last year and my whole family had lots of fun except long queue for carnival rides. even though there is no NDP tickets, we will enjoy a great time on 10th August i believe","listText":"i'm excited to attend the post NDP event at the heartland of Bukit Gombak! went for the Buona Vista's south West event last year and my whole family had lots of fun except long queue for carnival rides. even though there is no NDP tickets, we will enjoy a great time on 10th August i believe","text":"i'm excited to attend the post NDP event at the heartland of Bukit Gombak! went for the Buona Vista's south West event last year and my whole family had lots of fun except long queue for carnival rides. even though there is no NDP tickets, we will enjoy a great time on 10th August i believe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/460798651965712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":251827395477792,"gmtCreate":1702524634635,"gmtModify":1702524638614,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$ </a> hmmm","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$ </a> hmmm","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$ hmmm","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e29f8e16f2d11105357182d517f0b365","width":"882","height":"1608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/251827395477792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234524295786760,"gmtCreate":1698303861224,"gmtModify":1698303864304,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234524295786760","repostId":"9941322994","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9941322994,"gmtCreate":1679996335022,"gmtModify":1679996586304,"author":{"id":"4098946491644790","authorId":"4098946491644790","name":"0QH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/206a0719b8841030e1fd2bd6256fd46e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098946491644790","idStr":"4098946491644790"},"themes":[],"title":"My Strategy for Micron Stock Ahead of Earnings","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$</a> is set to report its earnings today after the market close. One observation I made is that it has been moving within a range of $48 to $65 since June 2022. In this post, I will explain my strategy for trading Micron ahead of its earnings, and why I expect the stock to remain within its current range. Micron (MU) Overview Micron Technology, Inc. is an American multinational corporation that produces many forms of computer memory and data storage, including DRAM, SDRAM, flash memory, and solid-state drives (SSDs). Micron is an industry leader in memory technology and is a vital component of many electronic devices. MU has been trading between $48 and $654 since June 2022 Based on the day chart above, the stock has been trading","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$</a> is set to report its earnings today after the market close. One observation I made is that it has been moving within a range of $48 to $65 since June 2022. In this post, I will explain my strategy for trading Micron ahead of its earnings, and why I expect the stock to remain within its current range. Micron (MU) Overview Micron Technology, Inc. is an American multinational corporation that produces many forms of computer memory and data storage, including DRAM, SDRAM, flash memory, and solid-state drives (SSDs). Micron is an industry leader in memory technology and is a vital component of many electronic devices. MU has been trading between $48 and $654 since June 2022 Based on the day chart above, the stock has been trading","text":"$Micron Technology(MU)$ is set to report its earnings today after the market close. One observation I made is that it has been moving within a range of $48 to $65 since June 2022. In this post, I will explain my strategy for trading Micron ahead of its earnings, and why I expect the stock to remain within its current range. Micron (MU) Overview Micron Technology, Inc. is an American multinational corporation that produces many forms of computer memory and data storage, including DRAM, SDRAM, flash memory, and solid-state drives (SSDs). Micron is an industry leader in memory technology and is a vital component of many electronic devices. MU has been trading between $48 and $654 since June 2022 Based on the day chart above, the stock has been trading","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0d5b6a71ef28cf2dbb535864f2919e1d","width":"225","height":"225"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a43dabcb7d810e7d2d3b4f9104d8b56c","width":"1725","height":"675"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2a1c8db0e64e508f5d83ecfda9edb1e5","width":"2048","height":"1064"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941322994","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957269421,"gmtCreate":1677291390363,"gmtModify":1677291394568,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"S&amp;P FTW! please roar up high&nbsp;","listText":"S&amp;P FTW! please roar up high&nbsp;","text":"S&P FTW! please roar up high","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957269421","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966620636,"gmtCreate":1669520581125,"gmtModify":1676538204327,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966620636","repostId":"2286418053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2286418053","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1669522519,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2286418053?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-27 12:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"CPI Inflation Will Come Down: A Look At Walmart, Amazon, Costco And Home Depot","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286418053","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"The Wall Street Journal wrote an article in the last 10 days or so noting that both Walmart (WMT) an","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Wall Street Journal wrote an article in the last 10 days or so noting that both Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN) will begin pushing back on their suppliers&#39; price hikes, which has forced the big retailers into the unenviable position of using “price” rather than traffic or volume to drive revenue growth since early 2020, given COVID and the various supply chain issues and distortions caused by COVID that have wreaked havoc on the business.</p><p>The WSJ article was eerily reminiscent of Joe Nocera’s article in the New York Times in the early 1990s, where Nocera noted that the one reason inflation likely remained contained in the early 1990s was due to Walmart and its emphasis on “every day low price” or EDLP, not in the literal sense, but from the perspective that the average American probably doesn’t realize the impact Walmart, Amazon, now Costco (COST) and Home Depot (HD), have on retail pricing today, given their size.</p><p>Walmart recently had a good earnings report for its fiscal 3rd quarter ended October ’22, where revenue grew 8.75%, operating income grew 4% and EPS grew 3.5% year-over-year (YoY). This blog previewed the earnings report on Seeking Alpha here.</p><p>If readers quickly peruse the earnings preview, it was noted that Walmart was suffering from “retail constipation” as inventory growth had far exceeded sales growth and for a company that runs like a Swiss watch, this was a rare occurrence indeed.</p><p>However, as the following spreadsheet shows, Walmart has vastly improved its revenue growth vs. inventory growth, although it&#39;s still not yet in line with historical standards:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e625a90dff771b0d7e944e64afea8474\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"21\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Readers need to click on the above spreadsheet to see the relationship between revenue and inventory growth YoY and note how during COVID in 2020, inventory fell sharply and then – perhaps – a much stronger reopening was expected, which drove an inventory build.</p><p>And now in the late stages of 2022, particularly the last quarter, Walmart is finally getting the relationship back to normal, although it’s still not quite there yet, since ideally, revenue growth should exceed inventory growth YoY, for at least 3 of the 4 quarters every year.</p><p>What’s important for readers to understand is that this relationship impacts working capital and thus cash flow from operations, so just this one metric – particularly for a retailer – can have a dramatic influence on profitability and cash flow.</p><p>Walmart’s typical “inventory turnover” is usually between 2.0x and 2.5x looking back to 2018, but it’s now at under 2.0x, with the last 3 quarters coming in around 1.8x as the retail giant tries to push the inventory bowling ball through the snake.</p><p><i><b>Average ticket vs. traffic at Walmart:</b></i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/332f3e192c3b45a529272f50930f72af\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"50\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>If you ever want some insight into a retail business look at “average ticket vs. traffic”: Walmart being the giant that it is, look how the two are used in tandem, both through the pandemic and then after it.</p><p>My guess is Walmart will do everything it can to reduce that “average ticket” over time. It’s a struggle now since the conference call notes said that Walmart is guiding to a consumer that might might slow spending in Q4 ’23 (ends Jan ’23) “given persistent inflationary pressure in food and consumables”, however that is probably a conservative guide for the giant retailer given its history.</p><p><i><b>Amazon: </b></i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe4ee98477a97035578994e17e74c01f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"21\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This table shows the identical measurement that Walmart contains but it’s not apples-to-apples since Amazon Web Services, Subscriptions and Advertising revenue segments are now 31% of Amazon’s total revenue as of 9/30/22. It’s unknown to me how subscriptions and advertising impact “inventory” which would distort the inventory numbers so to speak.</p><p>What’s clear is that Amazon is still 69% online, physical stores and 3rd party resellers, and you would think that the advantage to the 3rd party re-sellers for Amazon is that it would allow Amazon to not have to use their balance sheet to stock inventory. (That’s an assumption on my part.)</p><p>The point being that the last quarter where Amazon’s revenue growth exceeded inventory growth was the June ’21 quarter right around the time the stock peaked at $188 per share.</p><p>Coincidence or Correlation? You tell me what you think.</p><p>Still as Amazon’s ecommerce division rights itself after expanding too rapidly, revenue consisting of 69-70% of $502 billion in total revenue, there should be ample opportunity to obtain supplier concessions in the Amazon marketplace.</p><p><i><b>Costco:</b></i></p><p>TTM revenue for Costco as of the August ’22 quarter, was $226 bl.</p><p>Costco never suffered the “traffic” decline that Walmart and Home Depot have incurred, thus their quarterly comps, which averaged roughly 5-6% in calendar 2019, have averaged 13% since calendar 2020 or the earliest days since the pandemic began.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98ef085cd44ff2d772e22c28d7df85f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"26\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The problem with including Costco in an analysis with Walmart, Amazon and Home Depot, is that COST is a warehouse club and “inventory” is different than the typical retailer: my understanding is that inventory is taken in as a consignment rather than owned directly.</p><p>COST is probably better compared to Sam’s Club directly than Walmart itself, (with Sam’s Club being a division of Walmart) but with $226 billion in TTM sales, I thought it was worth a look from a market power perspective.</p><p>In Costco’s 10-Q, the various product lines are broken out and the revenue detailed and for COST, “Foods &amp; Sundries” and “Fresh Foods” are roughly 50% of COST’s total revenue.</p><p>(I’m guessing – and please note that – COST is probably considerably smaller than Walmart&#39;s pure grocery or “fresh foods” segment. COST’s Q shows that “fresh foods” is just 13% of total revenue as of the last quarter.</p><p>(Note too that the next COST earnings report is December 8th and thus readers will get another look at food and grocery inflation as of November ’22 quarter-end, before the next CPI report.)</p><p><i><b>Home Depot:</b></i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57e116c38f010b75a0518c13078f757d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"20\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Although it’s not considered a “general merchandise retailer”, Home Depot was thrown into the mix given its annual revenue growth and housing’s importance to the CPI, i.e. owners&#39; equivalent rent, and such are a 30% weight in the CPI basket.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e8a09a9efc6fb5ade6a35e65306d4e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"25\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This above spreadsheet shows that Home Depot like Walmart is relying on “ticket” vs. traffic to make it through both the post-Covid supply chain issues and the housing slowdown.</p><p>What I worry about regarding Home Depot is that if you look at “cash flow vs. net income” you could make a case for the Home Depot business model being under some stress.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4313b9b9553313538aa9b1f4f5ca4b8c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"48\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This table compares Home Depot’s cash flow and free cash flow vs. net income and readers can see that as far back as 2017, the relationship looked normal but with the recent slowdown in housing, there is no question Home Depot is feeling the pressure, although part of it could be supply chain issues as well.</p><p>Is this a reason to sell Home Depot’s stock – probably not – but it speaks to how the quality of a company’s earnings are impacted when the model is placed under stress.</p><p><i><b>Summary/conclusion:</b></i> The total dollar value of US GDP at the end of 2021 was $23 trillion, and the four companies listed above represent about $1.5 trillion, or about 6.5% of that $23 trillion as of the latest quarter, using the “trailing-twelve-month” (TTM) revenue metric.</p><p>Walmart is America’s largest private sector employer employing 2.2 to 2.3 million, while Amazon is still a ways away from overtaking Walmart in that metric, but now employs 1.5 million Americans as of 9/30/22, up from 1.1 million as of September 2020.</p><p>Here’s how the trailing twelve-month revenue falls out by company as of the latest quarter reported:</p><ul><li>Walmart: $600 billion</li><li>Amazon: $502 billion</li><li>Costco: $227 billion</li><li>Home Depot: $157 billion</li><li>Total: $1,486 trillion</li></ul><p>The Wall Street Journal article made the point about Walmart’s and Amazon’s importance to consumer inflation, although many including David Faber of CNBC have done media specials on Walmart’s treatment of suppliers, etc. some of which are not always “fair and balanced” (and I’m not speaking of Faber’s special, which I thought was balanced).</p><p>But it’s at times like this that you can appreciate that as supply disruptions and the pandemic influences fade, Walmart has the ability to squeeze consumer inflation out of the pipeline. (Having never modeled Target, it wasn’t included in the above analysis.)</p><p>In Michael Porter’s legendary “Competitive Strategy” book, one of the competitive tenets in industry sparring matches is “power over suppliers”, thus Walmart could be said to have two of the basic principles, i.e. low-cost leader and power over suppliers, although Amazon has unquestionably closed the gap on Walmart and has become a formidable competitor since early this century.</p><p>Looking at Walmart’s “average” revenue growth since the mid ’90s here’s what I found:</p><ul><li>’20 to ’22: averaged 3% revenue growth</li><li>’10 to ’19: averaged 2% revenue growth</li><li>’00 to ’09: averaged 11% revenue growth</li><li>’96 to ’99: averaged 14% revenue growth</li></ul><p>What happened to Walmart’s revenue growth, if the same “compare” were run for Amazon, Amazon (and probably Costco too) would likely be the mirror image of these bullet points, which is probably a surprise to no one.</p><p>Walmart’s enormous competitive advantage today is that at least half their revenue – which was $600 billion TTM as of the last earnings report – is grocery, the holy grail of retail since it’s low cost and it drives foot traffic.</p><p>Walmart has to be the largest grocer in the world, or at the very least America, although I heard one CNBC guest around Walmart’s last earnings report say that he thought grocery was now 70% of Walmart’s total revenue. (That was a surprise.)</p><p>When Jeff Bezos stepped down as Amazon CEO, he said he was going to take on the “physical store” aspect of Amazon’s revenue base, which is the Whole Foods acquisition, thus while the big opportunity for Amazon is still “grocery” that has to be a very long uphill battle for the ecommerce giant given Walmart’s dominance. Not being a sell-side analyst it would seem that Costco and Kroger (KR) represent larger competitive threats to Walmart today than Amazon.</p><p>Agreeing in principle with the Wall Street Journal article, I hope this article provided a little more “analytical flavor” in terms of the numbers (and this article was probably too technical for easy reading), since these 4 retailers represent 6.5% of what was 2021 total GDP of $23 trillion.</p><p>Typically and historically per what’s been read, once inflation starts to roll over, it tends to continue to fall, so as Walmart and Amazon work through their bloated inventory and supply chain issues, expect more pressure on inflation, and in Walmart’s case especially food inflation.</p><p>Take everything you read here as one opinion, and with a substantial grain of salt. Hopefully, readers found the content interesting.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CPI Inflation Will Come Down: A Look At Walmart, Amazon, Costco And Home Depot</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCPI Inflation Will Come Down: A Look At Walmart, Amazon, Costco And Home Depot\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-27 12:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560535-cpi-inflation-will-come-down-a-look-at-walmart-amazon-costco-and-home-depot><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Wall Street Journal wrote an article in the last 10 days or so noting that both Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN) will begin pushing back on their suppliers' price hikes, which has forced the big ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560535-cpi-inflation-will-come-down-a-look-at-walmart-amazon-costco-and-home-depot\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WMT":"沃尔玛","AMZN":"亚马逊","COST":"好市多","HD":"家得宝"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560535-cpi-inflation-will-come-down-a-look-at-walmart-amazon-costco-and-home-depot","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286418053","content_text":"The Wall Street Journal wrote an article in the last 10 days or so noting that both Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN) will begin pushing back on their suppliers' price hikes, which has forced the big retailers into the unenviable position of using “price” rather than traffic or volume to drive revenue growth since early 2020, given COVID and the various supply chain issues and distortions caused by COVID that have wreaked havoc on the business.The WSJ article was eerily reminiscent of Joe Nocera’s article in the New York Times in the early 1990s, where Nocera noted that the one reason inflation likely remained contained in the early 1990s was due to Walmart and its emphasis on “every day low price” or EDLP, not in the literal sense, but from the perspective that the average American probably doesn’t realize the impact Walmart, Amazon, now Costco (COST) and Home Depot (HD), have on retail pricing today, given their size.Walmart recently had a good earnings report for its fiscal 3rd quarter ended October ’22, where revenue grew 8.75%, operating income grew 4% and EPS grew 3.5% year-over-year (YoY). This blog previewed the earnings report on Seeking Alpha here.If readers quickly peruse the earnings preview, it was noted that Walmart was suffering from “retail constipation” as inventory growth had far exceeded sales growth and for a company that runs like a Swiss watch, this was a rare occurrence indeed.However, as the following spreadsheet shows, Walmart has vastly improved its revenue growth vs. inventory growth, although it's still not yet in line with historical standards:Readers need to click on the above spreadsheet to see the relationship between revenue and inventory growth YoY and note how during COVID in 2020, inventory fell sharply and then – perhaps – a much stronger reopening was expected, which drove an inventory build.And now in the late stages of 2022, particularly the last quarter, Walmart is finally getting the relationship back to normal, although it’s still not quite there yet, since ideally, revenue growth should exceed inventory growth YoY, for at least 3 of the 4 quarters every year.What’s important for readers to understand is that this relationship impacts working capital and thus cash flow from operations, so just this one metric – particularly for a retailer – can have a dramatic influence on profitability and cash flow.Walmart’s typical “inventory turnover” is usually between 2.0x and 2.5x looking back to 2018, but it’s now at under 2.0x, with the last 3 quarters coming in around 1.8x as the retail giant tries to push the inventory bowling ball through the snake.Average ticket vs. traffic at Walmart:If you ever want some insight into a retail business look at “average ticket vs. traffic”: Walmart being the giant that it is, look how the two are used in tandem, both through the pandemic and then after it.My guess is Walmart will do everything it can to reduce that “average ticket” over time. It’s a struggle now since the conference call notes said that Walmart is guiding to a consumer that might might slow spending in Q4 ’23 (ends Jan ’23) “given persistent inflationary pressure in food and consumables”, however that is probably a conservative guide for the giant retailer given its history.Amazon: This table shows the identical measurement that Walmart contains but it’s not apples-to-apples since Amazon Web Services, Subscriptions and Advertising revenue segments are now 31% of Amazon’s total revenue as of 9/30/22. It’s unknown to me how subscriptions and advertising impact “inventory” which would distort the inventory numbers so to speak.What’s clear is that Amazon is still 69% online, physical stores and 3rd party resellers, and you would think that the advantage to the 3rd party re-sellers for Amazon is that it would allow Amazon to not have to use their balance sheet to stock inventory. (That’s an assumption on my part.)The point being that the last quarter where Amazon’s revenue growth exceeded inventory growth was the June ’21 quarter right around the time the stock peaked at $188 per share.Coincidence or Correlation? You tell me what you think.Still as Amazon’s ecommerce division rights itself after expanding too rapidly, revenue consisting of 69-70% of $502 billion in total revenue, there should be ample opportunity to obtain supplier concessions in the Amazon marketplace.Costco:TTM revenue for Costco as of the August ’22 quarter, was $226 bl.Costco never suffered the “traffic” decline that Walmart and Home Depot have incurred, thus their quarterly comps, which averaged roughly 5-6% in calendar 2019, have averaged 13% since calendar 2020 or the earliest days since the pandemic began.The problem with including Costco in an analysis with Walmart, Amazon and Home Depot, is that COST is a warehouse club and “inventory” is different than the typical retailer: my understanding is that inventory is taken in as a consignment rather than owned directly.COST is probably better compared to Sam’s Club directly than Walmart itself, (with Sam’s Club being a division of Walmart) but with $226 billion in TTM sales, I thought it was worth a look from a market power perspective.In Costco’s 10-Q, the various product lines are broken out and the revenue detailed and for COST, “Foods & Sundries” and “Fresh Foods” are roughly 50% of COST’s total revenue.(I’m guessing – and please note that – COST is probably considerably smaller than Walmart's pure grocery or “fresh foods” segment. COST’s Q shows that “fresh foods” is just 13% of total revenue as of the last quarter.(Note too that the next COST earnings report is December 8th and thus readers will get another look at food and grocery inflation as of November ’22 quarter-end, before the next CPI report.)Home Depot:Although it’s not considered a “general merchandise retailer”, Home Depot was thrown into the mix given its annual revenue growth and housing’s importance to the CPI, i.e. owners' equivalent rent, and such are a 30% weight in the CPI basket.This above spreadsheet shows that Home Depot like Walmart is relying on “ticket” vs. traffic to make it through both the post-Covid supply chain issues and the housing slowdown.What I worry about regarding Home Depot is that if you look at “cash flow vs. net income” you could make a case for the Home Depot business model being under some stress.This table compares Home Depot’s cash flow and free cash flow vs. net income and readers can see that as far back as 2017, the relationship looked normal but with the recent slowdown in housing, there is no question Home Depot is feeling the pressure, although part of it could be supply chain issues as well.Is this a reason to sell Home Depot’s stock – probably not – but it speaks to how the quality of a company’s earnings are impacted when the model is placed under stress.Summary/conclusion: The total dollar value of US GDP at the end of 2021 was $23 trillion, and the four companies listed above represent about $1.5 trillion, or about 6.5% of that $23 trillion as of the latest quarter, using the “trailing-twelve-month” (TTM) revenue metric.Walmart is America’s largest private sector employer employing 2.2 to 2.3 million, while Amazon is still a ways away from overtaking Walmart in that metric, but now employs 1.5 million Americans as of 9/30/22, up from 1.1 million as of September 2020.Here’s how the trailing twelve-month revenue falls out by company as of the latest quarter reported:Walmart: $600 billionAmazon: $502 billionCostco: $227 billionHome Depot: $157 billionTotal: $1,486 trillionThe Wall Street Journal article made the point about Walmart’s and Amazon’s importance to consumer inflation, although many including David Faber of CNBC have done media specials on Walmart’s treatment of suppliers, etc. some of which are not always “fair and balanced” (and I’m not speaking of Faber’s special, which I thought was balanced).But it’s at times like this that you can appreciate that as supply disruptions and the pandemic influences fade, Walmart has the ability to squeeze consumer inflation out of the pipeline. (Having never modeled Target, it wasn’t included in the above analysis.)In Michael Porter’s legendary “Competitive Strategy” book, one of the competitive tenets in industry sparring matches is “power over suppliers”, thus Walmart could be said to have two of the basic principles, i.e. low-cost leader and power over suppliers, although Amazon has unquestionably closed the gap on Walmart and has become a formidable competitor since early this century.Looking at Walmart’s “average” revenue growth since the mid ’90s here’s what I found:’20 to ’22: averaged 3% revenue growth’10 to ’19: averaged 2% revenue growth’00 to ’09: averaged 11% revenue growth’96 to ’99: averaged 14% revenue growthWhat happened to Walmart’s revenue growth, if the same “compare” were run for Amazon, Amazon (and probably Costco too) would likely be the mirror image of these bullet points, which is probably a surprise to no one.Walmart’s enormous competitive advantage today is that at least half their revenue – which was $600 billion TTM as of the last earnings report – is grocery, the holy grail of retail since it’s low cost and it drives foot traffic.Walmart has to be the largest grocer in the world, or at the very least America, although I heard one CNBC guest around Walmart’s last earnings report say that he thought grocery was now 70% of Walmart’s total revenue. (That was a surprise.)When Jeff Bezos stepped down as Amazon CEO, he said he was going to take on the “physical store” aspect of Amazon’s revenue base, which is the Whole Foods acquisition, thus while the big opportunity for Amazon is still “grocery” that has to be a very long uphill battle for the ecommerce giant given Walmart’s dominance. Not being a sell-side analyst it would seem that Costco and Kroger (KR) represent larger competitive threats to Walmart today than Amazon.Agreeing in principle with the Wall Street Journal article, I hope this article provided a little more “analytical flavor” in terms of the numbers (and this article was probably too technical for easy reading), since these 4 retailers represent 6.5% of what was 2021 total GDP of $23 trillion.Typically and historically per what’s been read, once inflation starts to roll over, it tends to continue to fall, so as Walmart and Amazon work through their bloated inventory and supply chain issues, expect more pressure on inflation, and in Walmart’s case especially food inflation.Take everything you read here as one opinion, and with a substantial grain of salt. Hopefully, readers found the content interesting.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HD":1,"COST":1,"AMZN":0.9,"WMT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3975,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912521763,"gmtCreate":1664856746053,"gmtModify":1676537520039,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alright","listText":"Alright","text":"Alright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912521763","repostId":"9912523234","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9912523234,"gmtCreate":1664856320929,"gmtModify":1676537519969,"author":{"id":"3583897064119156","authorId":"3583897064119156","name":"vcvcbc","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90dcd0f544e6b3d9d7fbe65dbe16a0d3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583897064119156","idStr":"3583897064119156"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Credit Suisse in Market Spotlight Despite Moves to Calm Concerns Reuters 2022-10-04 08:00 Credit Suisse Group AG +0.25% Post Summary Credit Suisse caught in market turbulence ahead of revamp Shares fell as much as 11.5% before recouping losses Bank's euro-denominated bonds reach record lows Swiss bank says its capital, liquidity are strong (Reuters) - Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN.S) saw its shares slide by as much as 11.5% and its bonds hit record lows on Monday before clawing back some of the losses amid concerns about the lender’s ability to restructure its business without asking for more money. The situation prompted Swiss regulator FINMA and the Bank of England in London, where the lender has a major hub, to monitor what was happening and work closely together, one source familiar wit","listText":"Credit Suisse in Market Spotlight Despite Moves to Calm Concerns Reuters 2022-10-04 08:00 Credit Suisse Group AG +0.25% Post Summary Credit Suisse caught in market turbulence ahead of revamp Shares fell as much as 11.5% before recouping losses Bank's euro-denominated bonds reach record lows Swiss bank says its capital, liquidity are strong (Reuters) - Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN.S) saw its shares slide by as much as 11.5% and its bonds hit record lows on Monday before clawing back some of the losses amid concerns about the lender’s ability to restructure its business without asking for more money. The situation prompted Swiss regulator FINMA and the Bank of England in London, where the lender has a major hub, to monitor what was happening and work closely together, one source familiar wit","text":"Credit Suisse in Market Spotlight Despite Moves to Calm Concerns Reuters 2022-10-04 08:00 Credit Suisse Group AG +0.25% Post Summary Credit Suisse caught in market turbulence ahead of revamp Shares fell as much as 11.5% before recouping losses Bank's euro-denominated bonds reach record lows Swiss bank says its capital, liquidity are strong (Reuters) - Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN.S) saw its shares slide by as much as 11.5% and its bonds hit record lows on Monday before clawing back some of the losses amid concerns about the lender’s ability to restructure its business without asking for more money. The situation prompted Swiss regulator FINMA and the Bank of England in London, where the lender has a major hub, to monitor what was happening and work closely together, one source familiar wit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912523234","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916476922,"gmtCreate":1664674847166,"gmtModify":1676537491824,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916476922","repostId":"1130379601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130379601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664674179,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130379601?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-02 09:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Trouble Mounts for Chipmakers, More Pain Ahead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130379601","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsShares of chipmakers are under pressure amid a weak macro environment. Further, slow","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsShares of chipmakers are under pressure amid a weak macro environment. Further, slowing consumer demand and lower average selling prices could pose challenges for these companies, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/trouble-mounts-for-chipmakers-more-pain-ahead\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Trouble Mounts for Chipmakers, More Pain Ahead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTrouble Mounts for Chipmakers, More Pain Ahead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-02 09:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/trouble-mounts-for-chipmakers-more-pain-ahead><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsShares of chipmakers are under pressure amid a weak macro environment. Further, slowing consumer demand and lower average selling prices could pose challenges for these companies, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/trouble-mounts-for-chipmakers-more-pain-ahead\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔","NVDA":"英伟达","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/trouble-mounts-for-chipmakers-more-pain-ahead","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130379601","content_text":"Story HighlightsShares of chipmakers are under pressure amid a weak macro environment. Further, slowing consumer demand and lower average selling prices could pose challenges for these companies, including NVDA, AMD, and INTC.Shares of chipmakers that went through the roof amid the pandemic have erased most of their gains. A moderation in consumer demand took a toll on their financials and stock price. For instance, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) are down about 58%, 55%, and 48%, year-to-date.While shares of these chipmakers have declined quite a lot, Susquehanna analyst Christopher Rolland sees more pain ahead and lowered his price target on these stocks.Rolland stated that his channel checks indicate that “PC market weakness may be extending beyond consumer and into enterprise as we now forecast ODM [original design manufacturer] builds to decline -20% YOY and PC shipments to decline -17% YOY (287M units and perhaps lower).”The analyst added, “Retail GPU [graphics processing unit], pricing has fallen below MSRPs [manufacturer’s suggested retail price], high-end GPU retail prices as much as -30% below MSRP, and eBay sales more than -40% below MSRP.”The slower demand and lower average selling prices will hurt the revenue and margins of these chipmakers. Further, the U.S. government’s strict license requirement for exports to China remains a drag. Amid challenges, let’s see what’s in store for NVDA, AMD, and INTC.Is Nvidia a Good Stock to Buy?Wall Street analysts are cautiously optimistic about Nvidia stock as near-term headwinds act as a dampener. It has received 24 Buy and nine Hold recommendations for a Moderate Buy consensus rating. Meanwhile, NVDA’s average price target of $206.81 implies a 69.2% upside potential.NVDA stock has a negative signal from hedge fund managers, who sold 415.8K shares last quarter. Meanwhile, NVDA stock has a Neutral Smart Score of six out of 10.What is AMD Stock Prediction?AMD’s fundamentals remain strong. However, weakening consumer GPU trends and macro challenges keep analysts cautiously optimistic about Advanced Micro Devices stock. It commands a Moderate Buy consensus rating on TipRanks based on 19 Buys, seven Holds, and one Sell.Further, these analysts’ average price target of $118.13 implies 84.2% upside potential.AMD stock has a positive signal from hedge fund managers, who bought 1.3M shares last quarter. However, insiders sold AMD stock worth $4.1M. Overall, AMD stock has a Neutral Smart Score of seven out of 10 on TipRanks.Is Intel a Buy, Sell, or Hold?The new ARC A770 GPU and 13th-generation desktop processor launch will support Intel stock. However, the weakness across the industry poses challenges. INTC stock has a Hold consensus rating on TipRanks based on four Buy, 16 Hold, and eight Sell recommendations. Meanwhile, INTC’s average price target of $38.05 implies a 44.2% upside potential.INTC stock has a negative indicator from hedge fund managers, who sold 1.3M INTC shares last quarter. However, insiders acquired Intel stock worth $501.1K. Overall, INTC has a Neutral Smart Score of six out of 10.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916306951,"gmtCreate":1664503844273,"gmtModify":1676537467523,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916306951","repostId":"1188324957","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188324957","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664501785,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188324957?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-30 09:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple’s Ugly Day Wipes Out $120 Billion, Spills Over Big Tech","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188324957","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"IPhone maker fell 4.9% after a rare analyst rating downgradeAmazon and Alphabet shares drop nearly 3","content":"<div>\n<p>IPhone maker fell 4.9% after a rare analyst rating downgradeAmazon and Alphabet shares drop nearly 3% amid broad selloffApple Inc.shares buckled after a rare analyst downgrade exacerbated another wave...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/apple-hit-with-downgrade-as-bofa-sees-outperformance-at-risk\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple’s Ugly Day Wipes Out $120 Billion, Spills Over Big Tech</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple’s Ugly Day Wipes Out $120 Billion, Spills Over Big Tech\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-30 09:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/apple-hit-with-downgrade-as-bofa-sees-outperformance-at-risk><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IPhone maker fell 4.9% after a rare analyst rating downgradeAmazon and Alphabet shares drop nearly 3% amid broad selloffApple Inc.shares buckled after a rare analyst downgrade exacerbated another wave...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/apple-hit-with-downgrade-as-bofa-sees-outperformance-at-risk\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/apple-hit-with-downgrade-as-bofa-sees-outperformance-at-risk","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188324957","content_text":"IPhone maker fell 4.9% after a rare analyst rating downgradeAmazon and Alphabet shares drop nearly 3% amid broad selloffApple Inc.shares buckled after a rare analyst downgrade exacerbated another wave of selling pressure that wiped out hundreds of billions of dollars in market value from the largest US technology stocks.The iPhone maker dropped 4.9% after Bank of Americacutits rating to neutral from buy, warning of weaker consumer demand for its popular devices. The selloff erased roughly $120 billion from Apple’s market capitalization.There were few places to hide on Thursday with investors dumping stocks as Federal Reserve officials continue totalk toughon raising interest rates in the central bank’s fight against inflation. There were just three gainers in the Nasdaq 100 Stock Index, which fell 2.9% and within spitting distance of its June 16 low. Amazon.com Inc. and Alphabet Inc. fell nearly 3%, while Microsoft Corp. dropped 1.5%.Meta Platforms sank 3.7% after Chief Executive Officer Mark Zuckerbergoutlinedplans to reduce headcount for the first time ever. The social media giant’s shares have fallen 59% this year amid slowing user growth.Apple has been treated as a haven for much of this year, outperforming fellow mega-caps and the broader tech gauge amid a steep selloff driven by recession fears. The world’s most valuable company with a market value of nearly $2.3 trillion has now fallen about 20% in 2022, compared to a 32% decline for the Nasdaq 100.With consumer spending expected to cool across regions, BofA analysts led by Wamsi Mohan said demand for Apple’s services has already slowed and product demand is likely to follow. Pressure from a stronger dollar will only add to its woes, they said.While “Apple’s long-term prospects remain favorable,” BofA expects negative estimate revisions and valuation risks in the near-term.The Nasdaq 100 is on pace for its longest streak of quarterly declines in 20 years, yet investors are stillbracingfor more pain as the Federal Reserve aggressively raises interest rates and Wall Street analysts begin cutting profit estimates.Estimates for 2023 profit growth for tech companies in the S&P 500 have declined about 6 percentage points since the start of 2022, compared with a drop of 4 percentage points for the broader index, according to data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4005,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911164670,"gmtCreate":1664157776590,"gmtModify":1676537399088,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"True&nbsp;","listText":"True&nbsp;","text":"True","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911164670","repostId":"9911956771","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9911956771,"gmtCreate":1664122466994,"gmtModify":1676537393404,"author":{"id":"3479274781024327","authorId":"3479274781024327","name":"Stock Trends","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad22f2267382e9b51ff063015d195c2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3479274781024327","idStr":"3479274781024327"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"\n \n \n  When To Get Out Of An Investment\n \n","listText":"When To Get Out Of An Investment","text":"When To Get Out Of An Investment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911956771","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"438072a9489342d0977ea6c1dc76a296","tweetId":"9911956771","title":"When To Get Out Of An Investment","videoUrl":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/16641224609910746882bfe047aa0e0489d3c81738677.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/863a5ff59217e2e2ef5354e9db5522a1","shareLink":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/16641224609910746882bfe047aa0e0489d3c81738677.mp4"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913704837,"gmtCreate":1664067870929,"gmtModify":1676537384827,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913704837","repostId":"2269490734","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269490734","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664066508,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269490734?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-25 08:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269490734","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-25 08:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269490734","content_text":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market's decline this past week following the Federal Reserve's most recent interest-rate hike announcement.To show why higher interest rates aren't necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model's track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market's subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University's finance professor Robert Shiller.In other words, the ability to predict the stock market's five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.Money illusionThese results are so surprising that it's important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years' corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it's only half the story.The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as \"inflation illusion\" -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.According to research conducted by Warr, inflation's impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed's latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.None of this means that the bear market shouldn't continue, or that equities aren't overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3948,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919969274,"gmtCreate":1663720657599,"gmtModify":1676537322016,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919969274","repostId":"1162745144","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162745144","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663720111,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162745144?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 08:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tencent Music Shares to List in Hong Kong Without Raising Funds","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162745144","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"US-listed company chose to debut by way of introductionIt joins a slew of firms that recently took t","content":"<div>\n<p>US-listed company chose to debut by way of introductionIt joins a slew of firms that recently took that routeTencent Music Entertainment Group is set to begin trading in Hong Kong’s exchange on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-21/tencent-music-shares-to-list-in-hong-kong-without-raising-funds?srnd=premium\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tencent Music Shares to List in Hong Kong Without Raising Funds</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTencent Music Shares to List in Hong Kong Without Raising Funds\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 08:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-21/tencent-music-shares-to-list-in-hong-kong-without-raising-funds?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>US-listed company chose to debut by way of introductionIt joins a slew of firms that recently took that routeTencent Music Entertainment Group is set to begin trading in Hong Kong’s exchange on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-21/tencent-music-shares-to-list-in-hong-kong-without-raising-funds?srnd=premium\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"01698":"腾讯音乐-SW","TME":"腾讯音乐"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-21/tencent-music-shares-to-list-in-hong-kong-without-raising-funds?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162745144","content_text":"US-listed company chose to debut by way of introductionIt joins a slew of firms that recently took that routeTencent Music Entertainment Group is set to begin trading in Hong Kong’s exchange on Wednesday without selling new shares or raising funds.The Shenzhen-based company chose to debut in the Asian financial hub by way of introduction, a quicker and easier route for firms already listed elsewhere. The firm controlled by tech giant Tencent Holdings Ltd. is part of a growing group of Chinese firms choosing the method to list closer to home as escalating Sino-US tensions fuel delisting risks stateside.Volatile equity markets, high inflation and surging interest rates capped valuations worldwide for companies seeking to go public this year through traditional initial public offerings. As a consequence, there’s been a slump in proceeds raised in venues from New York to London and Hong Kong.Electric-vehicles producer Nio Inc. debuted in Hong Kong in March using the same process, and later began trading in Singapore via the same method. US-listed platform for housing transactions and services KE Holdings Inc. and software as a service firm OneConnect Financial Technology Co. took the same path earlier this year.Tencent Music raised some $1.07 billion through a new share sale in New York about four years ago, with the shares now trading about two-thirds below their listing price.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TME":0.9,"01698":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1915,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919969060,"gmtCreate":1663720649150,"gmtModify":1676537322001,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919969060","repostId":"2269902075","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269902075","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1663714243,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269902075?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 06:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Falls As Fed, Ford Forecasts, Give Fright","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269902075","media":"Reuters","summary":"* All eyes on Fed policy decision on Wednesday* Ford sees additional $1 bln in inflationary costs, s","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* All eyes on Fed policy decision on Wednesday</p><p>* Ford sees additional $1 bln in inflationary costs, shares fall</p><p>* Nike slips after Barclays downgrade on China lockdown concerns</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 1.01%, S&amp;P 1.13%, Nasdaq 0.95%</p><p>Sept 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended Tuesday lower as the eve of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting expected to bring another large interest rate hike brought further evidence of the impact on corporate America from the inflation that the U.S. central bank wants to tame.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index has dropped 19.1% so far this year as investors fear aggressive policy tightening measures by the Fed could tip the U.S. economy into a recession.</p><p>It closed for the third straight session below 3,900 points - a level considered by technical analysts as a strong support for the index - as last week&#39;s dire outlook from delivery firm FedEx Corp was repeated, this time by automaker Ford Motor Co.</p><p>Shares of Ford slumped 12.3%, the biggest one-day drop since 2011, after it flagged a bigger-than-expected $1 billion hit from inflation and pushed delivery of some vehicles to the fourth quarter due to parts shortages.</p><p>Rival General Motors Co also sank 5.6%.</p><p>&#34;We have seen some bellwethers talk about the pressures they are facing, so we could see some margin compression and some softening in the topline numbers in the third-quarter earnings,&#34; said Greg Boutle, head of U.S. equity &amp; derivative strategy at BNP Paribas.</p><p>The U.S. central bank is widely expected to hike rates by 75 basis points for the third straight time at the end of its policy meeting on Wednesday, with markets also pricing in a 17% chance of a 100 bps increase and predicting the terminal rate at 4.49% by March 2023.</p><p>Focus will also be on the updated economic projections and dot plot estimates for cues on policymakers&#39; sense of the endpoint for rates and the outlooks for unemployment, inflation and economic growth.</p><p>Adding to the mix, a Commerce Department report showed residential building permits - among the more forward-looking housing indicators - slid by 10% to 1.517 million units, the lowest level since June 2020.</p><p>The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hit 3.56%, its highest level since April 2011, while the closely watched yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes inverted further.</p><p>An inversion in this part of the yield curve is viewed as a reliable indicator that a recession will follow in one to two years.</p><p>&#34;There are a lot of headwinds to prevent sustained rallies. It&#39;s hard to have (price-to-earnings) expansion while the Fed is tightening,&#34; said BNP&#39;s Boutle.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 313.45 points, or 1.01%, to 30,706.23, the S&amp;P 500 lost 43.96 points, or 1.13%, to 3,855.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 109.97 points, or 0.95%, to 11,425.05.</p><p>All of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors declined, with economy-sensitive real estate and materials sectors the biggest fallers, dropping 2.6% and 1.9% respectively.</p><p>Meanwhile, in another sign of nerves around future corporate earnings, Nike Inc fell 4.5% after the sportswear giant was downgraded by Barclays analysts to &#34;equal weight&#34; from &#34;overweight&#34;, citing volatility in the Chinese market due to pressures from COVID-related lockdowns in early September.</p><p>Another apparel maker, Gap Inc, closed 3.3% lower. It announced on Tuesday it was eliminating about 500 corporate jobs, having withdrawn its annual forecasts late last month due to an inventory glut and weak sales.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.90 billion shares, compared with the 10.71 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 66 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 31 new highs and 408 new lows. </p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Falls As Fed, Ford Forecasts, Give Fright</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Falls As Fed, Ford Forecasts, Give Fright\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-21 06:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* All eyes on Fed policy decision on Wednesday</p><p>* Ford sees additional $1 bln in inflationary costs, shares fall</p><p>* Nike slips after Barclays downgrade on China lockdown concerns</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 1.01%, S&amp;P 1.13%, Nasdaq 0.95%</p><p>Sept 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended Tuesday lower as the eve of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting expected to bring another large interest rate hike brought further evidence of the impact on corporate America from the inflation that the U.S. central bank wants to tame.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index has dropped 19.1% so far this year as investors fear aggressive policy tightening measures by the Fed could tip the U.S. economy into a recession.</p><p>It closed for the third straight session below 3,900 points - a level considered by technical analysts as a strong support for the index - as last week&#39;s dire outlook from delivery firm FedEx Corp was repeated, this time by automaker Ford Motor Co.</p><p>Shares of Ford slumped 12.3%, the biggest one-day drop since 2011, after it flagged a bigger-than-expected $1 billion hit from inflation and pushed delivery of some vehicles to the fourth quarter due to parts shortages.</p><p>Rival General Motors Co also sank 5.6%.</p><p>&#34;We have seen some bellwethers talk about the pressures they are facing, so we could see some margin compression and some softening in the topline numbers in the third-quarter earnings,&#34; said Greg Boutle, head of U.S. equity &amp; derivative strategy at BNP Paribas.</p><p>The U.S. central bank is widely expected to hike rates by 75 basis points for the third straight time at the end of its policy meeting on Wednesday, with markets also pricing in a 17% chance of a 100 bps increase and predicting the terminal rate at 4.49% by March 2023.</p><p>Focus will also be on the updated economic projections and dot plot estimates for cues on policymakers&#39; sense of the endpoint for rates and the outlooks for unemployment, inflation and economic growth.</p><p>Adding to the mix, a Commerce Department report showed residential building permits - among the more forward-looking housing indicators - slid by 10% to 1.517 million units, the lowest level since June 2020.</p><p>The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hit 3.56%, its highest level since April 2011, while the closely watched yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes inverted further.</p><p>An inversion in this part of the yield curve is viewed as a reliable indicator that a recession will follow in one to two years.</p><p>&#34;There are a lot of headwinds to prevent sustained rallies. It&#39;s hard to have (price-to-earnings) expansion while the Fed is tightening,&#34; said BNP&#39;s Boutle.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 313.45 points, or 1.01%, to 30,706.23, the S&amp;P 500 lost 43.96 points, or 1.13%, to 3,855.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 109.97 points, or 0.95%, to 11,425.05.</p><p>All of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors declined, with economy-sensitive real estate and materials sectors the biggest fallers, dropping 2.6% and 1.9% respectively.</p><p>Meanwhile, in another sign of nerves around future corporate earnings, Nike Inc fell 4.5% after the sportswear giant was downgraded by Barclays analysts to &#34;equal weight&#34; from &#34;overweight&#34;, citing volatility in the Chinese market due to pressures from COVID-related lockdowns in early September.</p><p>Another apparel maker, Gap Inc, closed 3.3% lower. It announced on Tuesday it was eliminating about 500 corporate jobs, having withdrawn its annual forecasts late last month due to an inventory glut and weak sales.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.90 billion shares, compared with the 10.71 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 66 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 31 new highs and 408 new lows. </p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","NKE":"耐克","F":"福特汽车",".DJI":"道琼斯","GM":"通用汽车","FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269902075","content_text":"* All eyes on Fed policy decision on Wednesday* Ford sees additional $1 bln in inflationary costs, shares fall* Nike slips after Barclays downgrade on China lockdown concerns* Indexes down: Dow 1.01%, S&P 1.13%, Nasdaq 0.95%Sept 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended Tuesday lower as the eve of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting expected to bring another large interest rate hike brought further evidence of the impact on corporate America from the inflation that the U.S. central bank wants to tame.The benchmark S&P 500 index has dropped 19.1% so far this year as investors fear aggressive policy tightening measures by the Fed could tip the U.S. economy into a recession.It closed for the third straight session below 3,900 points - a level considered by technical analysts as a strong support for the index - as last week's dire outlook from delivery firm FedEx Corp was repeated, this time by automaker Ford Motor Co.Shares of Ford slumped 12.3%, the biggest one-day drop since 2011, after it flagged a bigger-than-expected $1 billion hit from inflation and pushed delivery of some vehicles to the fourth quarter due to parts shortages.Rival General Motors Co also sank 5.6%.\"We have seen some bellwethers talk about the pressures they are facing, so we could see some margin compression and some softening in the topline numbers in the third-quarter earnings,\" said Greg Boutle, head of U.S. equity & derivative strategy at BNP Paribas.The U.S. central bank is widely expected to hike rates by 75 basis points for the third straight time at the end of its policy meeting on Wednesday, with markets also pricing in a 17% chance of a 100 bps increase and predicting the terminal rate at 4.49% by March 2023.Focus will also be on the updated economic projections and dot plot estimates for cues on policymakers' sense of the endpoint for rates and the outlooks for unemployment, inflation and economic growth.Adding to the mix, a Commerce Department report showed residential building permits - among the more forward-looking housing indicators - slid by 10% to 1.517 million units, the lowest level since June 2020.The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hit 3.56%, its highest level since April 2011, while the closely watched yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes inverted further.An inversion in this part of the yield curve is viewed as a reliable indicator that a recession will follow in one to two years.\"There are a lot of headwinds to prevent sustained rallies. It's hard to have (price-to-earnings) expansion while the Fed is tightening,\" said BNP's Boutle.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 313.45 points, or 1.01%, to 30,706.23, the S&P 500 lost 43.96 points, or 1.13%, to 3,855.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 109.97 points, or 0.95%, to 11,425.05.All of the 11 major S&P sectors declined, with economy-sensitive real estate and materials sectors the biggest fallers, dropping 2.6% and 1.9% respectively.Meanwhile, in another sign of nerves around future corporate earnings, Nike Inc fell 4.5% after the sportswear giant was downgraded by Barclays analysts to \"equal weight\" from \"overweight\", citing volatility in the Chinese market due to pressures from COVID-related lockdowns in early September.Another apparel maker, Gap Inc, closed 3.3% lower. It announced on Tuesday it was eliminating about 500 corporate jobs, having withdrawn its annual forecasts late last month due to an inventory glut and weak sales.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.90 billion shares, compared with the 10.71 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 66 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 31 new highs and 408 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"GPS":0.9,"F":1,".IXIC":0.9,"NKE":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1618,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919960520,"gmtCreate":1663720642260,"gmtModify":1676537321994,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well&nbsp;","listText":"Well&nbsp;","text":"Well","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919960520","repostId":"2269909745","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269909745","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1663717151,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269909745?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Stock Market Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-Hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again Wednesday?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269909745","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decisionSTEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESWith the F","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decision</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac59bb2b41ad9f787574330ce399463\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>STEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>With the Federal Open Market Committee kicking off its two-day policy meeting, where central bankers are expected to announce a 0.75 percentage point rate hike, the Fed decision on Wednesday may once again be followed by stock-market gains, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas.</p><p>According to Dow Jones Market Data, the previous four times the Fed raised interest rates in 2022 — March 16, May 4, June 15 and July 27 — the S&amp;P 500 rallied 2.2%, 3%, 1.5% and 2.6%, respectively.</p><p>“Wednesdays of Fed meeting weeks this year show the highest daily S&amp;P returns of 1.8 percent on average for the 5-day period, and the best win rate as well,” the Wall Street veteran wrote in a Tuesday note.</p><p>“No guarantees that this will happen again this Wednesday, of course, but we would not be surprised to see traders front-run this fact tomorrow,” Colas noted.</p><p>Those bounces have so far proved fleeting, with the S&amp;P 500 mired in a bear market and down more than 19% for the year to date. Indeed, the Fed’s aggressive tightening pace as it attempts to rein in stubborn inflation gets much of the blame for the market’s 2022 downturn.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5339984a27d1eb5cdaf1c7f000c78dc6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>SOURCE: RAYMOND JAMES</span></p><p>U.S. stocks started the week higher with the S&amp;P 500 closing up by 0.7% on Monday. However, stocks came under pressure on Tuesday as investors held firm on expectation of another aggressive rate hike. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 313 points lower, or 1%. The S&amp;P 500 shed 1.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.9%.</p><p>According to Colas, the phenomenon of a “Fed Drift”, which sees that equities have tended to rally into and through FOMC meetings and hold their gains the day after, no longer works.</p><p>The New York Federal Reserve Bank studied data from 1994 to 2011, which showed the S&amp;P 500 index normally rose 24 hours before the scheduled FOMC announcements. It then drifted sharply higher in the morning of the announcement, and was on average flat, both in the hours immediately after the decision and on the following day.</p><p>Markets are pricing in a hike of 75 basis points, with futures showing a 16% chance of a full percentage point increase, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. Investors expect the Fed will not only set a new Fed funds rate but will give them a glimpse to how high it will go in the future.</p><p>According to Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James, the company foresees an additional 75 basis points before year-end, which will be combined at the November and December meetings and bring the policy rate to 4%.</p><p>“First, the action taken thus far has already impacted the more interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy, especially the housing market,” Adam wrote in a client note dated Sept.16. “Second, although the easing of inflation has been more stubborn than expected, there are a number of real-time indicators that suggest it will cool further in the months ahead (e.g., promotional activity, declining ocean freight rates, lower commodity prices).”</p><p>That is why Adam contends that the worst of this bear market is “likely being behind us” as inflation will moderate over the next year, but the path is “unlikely to be quick or smooth”.</p><p>“Over the coming weeks, the bear market will likely take time to digest the inflationary data flow with back-and-forth trading,” Adam wrote. “With this in mind, we recommend not chasing rallies and using pullbacks as opportunities to accumulate favored stocks for the next bull market.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Stock Market Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-Hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again Wednesday?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Stock Market Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-Hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again Wednesday?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-has-rallied-on-day-of-every-fed-rate-hike-decision-in-2022-could-it-happen-again-wednesday-11663700609?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decisionSTEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESWith the Federal Open Market Committee kicking off its two-day policy meeting, where central bankers are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-has-rallied-on-day-of-every-fed-rate-hike-decision-in-2022-could-it-happen-again-wednesday-11663700609?mod=home-page\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-has-rallied-on-day-of-every-fed-rate-hike-decision-in-2022-could-it-happen-again-wednesday-11663700609?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269909745","content_text":"Stocks slide a day ahead of Fed decisionSTEFANI REYNOLDS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESWith the Federal Open Market Committee kicking off its two-day policy meeting, where central bankers are expected to announce a 0.75 percentage point rate hike, the Fed decision on Wednesday may once again be followed by stock-market gains, according to DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas.According to Dow Jones Market Data, the previous four times the Fed raised interest rates in 2022 — March 16, May 4, June 15 and July 27 — the S&P 500 rallied 2.2%, 3%, 1.5% and 2.6%, respectively.“Wednesdays of Fed meeting weeks this year show the highest daily S&P returns of 1.8 percent on average for the 5-day period, and the best win rate as well,” the Wall Street veteran wrote in a Tuesday note.“No guarantees that this will happen again this Wednesday, of course, but we would not be surprised to see traders front-run this fact tomorrow,” Colas noted.Those bounces have so far proved fleeting, with the S&P 500 mired in a bear market and down more than 19% for the year to date. Indeed, the Fed’s aggressive tightening pace as it attempts to rein in stubborn inflation gets much of the blame for the market’s 2022 downturn.SOURCE: RAYMOND JAMESU.S. stocks started the week higher with the S&P 500 closing up by 0.7% on Monday. However, stocks came under pressure on Tuesday as investors held firm on expectation of another aggressive rate hike. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 313 points lower, or 1%. The S&P 500 shed 1.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.9%.According to Colas, the phenomenon of a “Fed Drift”, which sees that equities have tended to rally into and through FOMC meetings and hold their gains the day after, no longer works.The New York Federal Reserve Bank studied data from 1994 to 2011, which showed the S&P 500 index normally rose 24 hours before the scheduled FOMC announcements. It then drifted sharply higher in the morning of the announcement, and was on average flat, both in the hours immediately after the decision and on the following day.Markets are pricing in a hike of 75 basis points, with futures showing a 16% chance of a full percentage point increase, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. Investors expect the Fed will not only set a new Fed funds rate but will give them a glimpse to how high it will go in the future.According to Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James, the company foresees an additional 75 basis points before year-end, which will be combined at the November and December meetings and bring the policy rate to 4%.“First, the action taken thus far has already impacted the more interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy, especially the housing market,” Adam wrote in a client note dated Sept.16. “Second, although the easing of inflation has been more stubborn than expected, there are a number of real-time indicators that suggest it will cool further in the months ahead (e.g., promotional activity, declining ocean freight rates, lower commodity prices).”That is why Adam contends that the worst of this bear market is “likely being behind us” as inflation will moderate over the next year, but the path is “unlikely to be quick or smooth”.“Over the coming weeks, the bear market will likely take time to digest the inflationary data flow with back-and-forth trading,” Adam wrote. “With this in mind, we recommend not chasing rallies and using pullbacks as opportunities to accumulate favored stocks for the next bull market.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.6,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910223875,"gmtCreate":1663633875798,"gmtModify":1676537304618,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well&nbsp;","listText":"Well&nbsp;","text":"Well","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910223875","repostId":"1126442526","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126442526","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663633151,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126442526?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 08:19","language":"en","title":"ASX Opens 1.1pc Higher; Lithium Stocks Rally","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126442526","media":"AFR","summary":"The S&P/ASX 200 jumped 1.1 percent, or 73.4 points, to 6793.3 in the opening minutes of trade, buoye","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P/ASX 200 jumped 1.1 percent, or 73.4 points, to 6793.3 in the opening minutes of trade, buoyed by strong gains posted across the resources sector.</p><p>Lithium stocks extended their rally after carbonate prices hit a fresh record of 500,500 yuan ($US71,315) a tonne in China; Lake Resources added 3.8 percent to $1.08, Pilbara Minerals rose 3.9 percent to $4.93, Core Lithium firmed 3.1 percent to $1.48, Allkem climbed 2.9 percent to $15.78.</p><p>New Hope rallied 7.5 percent to $5.87 after reporting a surge in profits for the 12 months ended July 31 on the back of soaring coal prices.</p><p>IDP Education rose 2.4 percent to $28.29 after announcing it has entered into a binding agreement to acquire student placement agency Intake Education.</p><p>Fortescue Metals Group jumped 1.3 percent to $17.67 after announcing it will spend $US6.2 billion ($9.2 billion) on renewable energy projects to save more than $1 billion in costs a year and hit its 2030 net zero emissions target.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1647389686240","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASX Opens 1.1pc Higher; Lithium Stocks Rally</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASX Opens 1.1pc Higher; Lithium Stocks Rally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 08:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/asx-to-rise-techs-pace-us-stocks-higher-20220920-p5bjdn><strong>AFR</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P/ASX 200 jumped 1.1 percent, or 73.4 points, to 6793.3 in the opening minutes of trade, buoyed by strong gains posted across the resources sector.Lithium stocks extended their rally after ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/asx-to-rise-techs-pace-us-stocks-higher-20220920-p5bjdn\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XAO.AU":"标普/澳交所 普通股指数","XJO.AU":"标普/澳交所 200指数","XKO.AU":"标普/澳交所 300指数"},"source_url":"https://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/asx-to-rise-techs-pace-us-stocks-higher-20220920-p5bjdn","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126442526","content_text":"The S&P/ASX 200 jumped 1.1 percent, or 73.4 points, to 6793.3 in the opening minutes of trade, buoyed by strong gains posted across the resources sector.Lithium stocks extended their rally after carbonate prices hit a fresh record of 500,500 yuan ($US71,315) a tonne in China; Lake Resources added 3.8 percent to $1.08, Pilbara Minerals rose 3.9 percent to $4.93, Core Lithium firmed 3.1 percent to $1.48, Allkem climbed 2.9 percent to $15.78.New Hope rallied 7.5 percent to $5.87 after reporting a surge in profits for the 12 months ended July 31 on the back of soaring coal prices.IDP Education rose 2.4 percent to $28.29 after announcing it has entered into a binding agreement to acquire student placement agency Intake Education.Fortescue Metals Group jumped 1.3 percent to $17.67 after announcing it will spend $US6.2 billion ($9.2 billion) on renewable energy projects to save more than $1 billion in costs a year and hit its 2030 net zero emissions target.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XJO.AU":0.9,"XAO.AU":0.9,"XKO.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910223394,"gmtCreate":1663633865719,"gmtModify":1676537304611,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alright&nbsp;","listText":"Alright&nbsp;","text":"Alright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910223394","repostId":"1180566683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180566683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663633551,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1180566683?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 08:25","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Oil Steadies as Looming Interest-Rate Hikes Spur Demand Concerns","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180566683","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Oil was steady near $86 a barrel ahead of a Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday that’s expected to","content":"<div>\n<p>Oil was steady near $86 a barrel ahead of a Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday that’s expected to see further monetary tightening.West Texas Intermediate futures were little changed after closing ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steadies-looming-interest-rate-000337580.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oil Steadies as Looming Interest-Rate Hikes Spur Demand Concerns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOil Steadies as Looming Interest-Rate Hikes Spur Demand Concerns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 08:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steadies-looming-interest-rate-000337580.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil was steady near $86 a barrel ahead of a Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday that’s expected to see further monetary tightening.West Texas Intermediate futures were little changed after closing ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steadies-looming-interest-rate-000337580.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steadies-looming-interest-rate-000337580.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180566683","content_text":"Oil was steady near $86 a barrel ahead of a Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday that’s expected to see further monetary tightening.West Texas Intermediate futures were little changed after closing 0.7% higher on Tuesday following a choppy session. The Fed and other central banks from Europe to Asia are expected to deliver interest-rate hikes this week as they seek to tame rampant inflation that’s taken a toll on demand.Crude has lost about a third of its value since early June, erasing all the gains made in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as concerns about a global slowdown weighed on demand. Liquidity has also thinned, leading to volatile price swings, while a stronger dollar has added to headwinds.The potential for increased supply has weighed on the outlook. The US said it would release an additional 10 million barrels of oil from its strategic reserves ahead of plans by the European Union to ban Russian crude in December.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9,"BZmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910229525,"gmtCreate":1663633857267,"gmtModify":1676537304595,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910229525","repostId":"2268919880","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2268919880","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1663619595,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2268919880?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 04:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Choppy Session Higher With Focus Firmly on Fed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2268919880","media":"Reuters","summary":"Wall Street's main indexes ended a seesaw session higher on Monday, as investors turned their attent","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street&#39;s main indexes ended a seesaw session higher on Monday, as investors turned their attention to this week&#39;s policy meeting at the Federal Reserve and how aggressively it will hike interest rates.</p><p>Even more so than the Ukraine war or corporate earnings, the actions of the U.S. central bank are driving market sentiment as traders try to position themselves for a rising interest rate environment.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq rebounded from logging their worst weekly percentage drop since June on Friday, as markets fully priced in at least a 75 basis point rise in rates at the end of Fed&#39;s Sept. 20-21 policy meeting, with Fed funds futures showing a 15% chance of a whopping 100 bps increase.</p><p>Unexpectedly hot August inflation data last week also raised bets on increased rate hikes down the road, with the terminal rate for U.S. fed funds now at 4.46%.</p><p>&#34;This is all about what&#39;s going to happen on Wednesday, and what comes out of the Fed&#39;s hands on Wednesday, so I think people are just going to wait and see until then,&#34; said Josh Markman, partner at Bel Air Investment Advisors.</p><p>&#34;We had a poor print when the CPI came in, so the Fed - who is behind the 8-ball - is now trying to get ahead of the curve and curb inflation, and that (awareness) is driving equity markets.&#34;</p><p>Reflecting the caution for new bets ahead of the Fed meeting, just 9.58 million shares traded on U.S. exchanges on Monday, the sixth lightest day for trading volume this year.</p><p>Focus will also be on new economic projections, due to be published alongside the Fed&#39;s policy statement at 2 p.m. ET (1800 GMT) on Wednesday.</p><p>Worries of Fed tightening have dragged the S&amp;P 500 down 18.2% this year, with a recent dire earnings report from delivery firm FedEx Corp, an inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve and warnings from the World Bank and the IMF about an impending global economic slowdown adding to the woes.</p><p>Goldman Sachs cut its forecast for 2023 U.S. GDP late on Friday as it projects a more aggressive Fed and sees that pushing the jobless rate higher than it previously expected.</p><p>&#34;The Fed will continue to plough along, we&#39;ll get 75 (bps) on Wednesday, but what comes next and whether they are going to pause or not after Wednesday, that is going to be the interesting part,&#34; said Bel Air&#39;s Markman.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 197.26 points, or 0.64%, to 31,019.68, the S&amp;P 500 gained 26.56 points, or 0.69%, to 3,899.89 and the Nasdaq Composite added 86.62 points, or 0.76%, to 11,535.02.</p><p>A majority of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sectors rose. One exception was healthcare, down 0.6% as it was weighed by a fall in shares of vaccine maker Moderna Inc a day after President Joe Biden said in a CBS interview that &#34;the pandemic is over&#34;.</p><p>Industrial stocks rebounded 1.4% after a sharp drop on Friday, while banks gained 1.9%. Tech heavyweights Apple Inc and Tesla Inc rose 2.5% and 1.9%, respectively, to provide the biggest boost to the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two Interactive Software</a> Inc closed up 0.7%, having recovered from a slump earlier in the day caused by confirmation that a hacker had leaked the early footage of Grand Theft Auto VI, the next installment of the best-selling videogame.</p><p>Meanwhile, Knowbe4 Inc jumped 28.2% to $22.17, its highest close since May 4, after the cybersecurity firm said that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VGL.AU\">Vista</a> Equity Partners had offered to take it private for $24 per share, valuing the company at $4.22 billion.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 28 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 378 new lows. </p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Choppy Session Higher With Focus Firmly on Fed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Choppy Session Higher With Focus Firmly on Fed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 04:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-203315834.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wall Street's main indexes ended a seesaw session higher on Monday, as investors turned their attention to this week's policy meeting at the Federal Reserve and how aggressively it will hike interest ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-203315834.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-203315834.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2268919880","content_text":"Wall Street's main indexes ended a seesaw session higher on Monday, as investors turned their attention to this week's policy meeting at the Federal Reserve and how aggressively it will hike interest rates.Even more so than the Ukraine war or corporate earnings, the actions of the U.S. central bank are driving market sentiment as traders try to position themselves for a rising interest rate environment.The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rebounded from logging their worst weekly percentage drop since June on Friday, as markets fully priced in at least a 75 basis point rise in rates at the end of Fed's Sept. 20-21 policy meeting, with Fed funds futures showing a 15% chance of a whopping 100 bps increase.Unexpectedly hot August inflation data last week also raised bets on increased rate hikes down the road, with the terminal rate for U.S. fed funds now at 4.46%.\"This is all about what's going to happen on Wednesday, and what comes out of the Fed's hands on Wednesday, so I think people are just going to wait and see until then,\" said Josh Markman, partner at Bel Air Investment Advisors.\"We had a poor print when the CPI came in, so the Fed - who is behind the 8-ball - is now trying to get ahead of the curve and curb inflation, and that (awareness) is driving equity markets.\"Reflecting the caution for new bets ahead of the Fed meeting, just 9.58 million shares traded on U.S. exchanges on Monday, the sixth lightest day for trading volume this year.Focus will also be on new economic projections, due to be published alongside the Fed's policy statement at 2 p.m. ET (1800 GMT) on Wednesday.Worries of Fed tightening have dragged the S&P 500 down 18.2% this year, with a recent dire earnings report from delivery firm FedEx Corp, an inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve and warnings from the World Bank and the IMF about an impending global economic slowdown adding to the woes.Goldman Sachs cut its forecast for 2023 U.S. GDP late on Friday as it projects a more aggressive Fed and sees that pushing the jobless rate higher than it previously expected.\"The Fed will continue to plough along, we'll get 75 (bps) on Wednesday, but what comes next and whether they are going to pause or not after Wednesday, that is going to be the interesting part,\" said Bel Air's Markman.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 197.26 points, or 0.64%, to 31,019.68, the S&P 500 gained 26.56 points, or 0.69%, to 3,899.89 and the Nasdaq Composite added 86.62 points, or 0.76%, to 11,535.02.A majority of the 11 S&P 500 sectors rose. One exception was healthcare, down 0.6% as it was weighed by a fall in shares of vaccine maker Moderna Inc a day after President Joe Biden said in a CBS interview that \"the pandemic is over\".Industrial stocks rebounded 1.4% after a sharp drop on Friday, while banks gained 1.9%. Tech heavyweights Apple Inc and Tesla Inc rose 2.5% and 1.9%, respectively, to provide the biggest boost to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.Take-Two Interactive Software Inc closed up 0.7%, having recovered from a slump earlier in the day caused by confirmation that a hacker had leaked the early footage of Grand Theft Auto VI, the next installment of the best-selling videogame.Meanwhile, Knowbe4 Inc jumped 28.2% to $22.17, its highest close since May 4, after the cybersecurity firm said that Vista Equity Partners had offered to take it private for $24 per share, valuing the company at $4.22 billion.The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 28 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 378 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.6,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1096,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910229619,"gmtCreate":1663633849831,"gmtModify":1676537304586,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910229619","repostId":"1138109779","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138109779","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663657079,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138109779?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 14:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is The Nasdaq In A Bear Market: One High Frequency Indicator Says Yes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138109779","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBased on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Based on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price than U.S. hours trading, I have constructed an indicator reflecting this divergence.</li><li>The indicator reflects the difference between average prices during regular and afterhours trading and trends down during a bear market (vice versa for bull market).</li><li>Based on this indicator&#39;s performance from 2006 to present, we are currently still in a bear market.</li><li>During the March 2020 Coronavirus pandemic, this indicator was screaming buy despite the sharp declines in the market during that month.</li></ul><p>The Nasdaq has experienced several sharp declines since bottoming in 2009, but the right strategy has been to buy the dip each time. We will use Nasdaq 100 futures (which track the Nasdaq 100 index, same as the Invesco QQQ ETF) for our analysis. For simplicity purposes, if we use the 200-day moving average as a benchmark, Nasdaq 100 has been under the 200-day MA for 852 days out of the last 4236 trading days. 2022 so far has seen the most number of days under the 200-day MA since 2008.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fa6bb04bc853fbd931923244cc99010\" tg-width=\"322\" tg-height=\"407\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Days below 200 day MA (Author calc on public info)</p><p>So this begs the question, is the current dip a buy or a sell? Given that the right move has been to buy for the last 13 years, how can we tell this time?</p><p>This article is based on an observation: during a downtrend, the Nasdaq 100 index futures are often trading flat or even up before the U.S. equities markets open, and then it suddenly starts to head south during the U.S. session (9:30 AM to 4 PM ET).</p><p>Based on this observation, I constructed an indicator (which I will call &#34;Regular/After-hours Divergence Indicator,&#34; or &#34;RAD&#34;) using all-day Nasdaq 100 index futures data to show divergence between U.S. session regular hours (i.e., 9:30 AM to 4 PM) and afterhours. For details on how RAD is calculated, please see the appendix at the bottom.</p><p>I will use the Nasdaq 100 index futures as it has regular and afterhours trading, whereas the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) has more limited afterhours trading data.</p><ul><li>A positive RAD means that average prices during the regular hours are higher than after hours, vice versa for a negative RAD. The cumulative RAD is shown below (i.e., the daily RAD is added cumulatively). The results are plotted below against the Nasdaq 100.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31fa4d91f6e2f217f96ffedcbe75b0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><ul><li>It appears the RAD is trendless or trends positively in a bull market and trends negatively in a bear market/correction. Which means in a bear market, afterhours trading is generally at a higher price before declining during regular hours trading (this is consistent with our observation and feel of how the market usually behaves).</li><li>It is hard to precisely explain this phenomenon, it could be that:</li></ul><ul><li>If we combine this with 200-day MA (greyed out areas represent those days/periods where the closing prices were under the 200-day MA), we can see that the sharp moves down in the RAD coincide with the periods where the closing price was below the 200-day MA, while the RAD levelled off or increased when the closing price was above the 200-day MA.</li></ul><p>Let&#39;s break it down into a few major periods and see how the RAD performed in each.</p><p><b>Apr 2006-Dec 2009</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f009ba873bff7511fd700c2356c7d8e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>In 2006-2007, both the Nasdaq 100 and the RAD largely trended in the same direction and the RAD hovered around 0% and did not portend the tectonic shift to come.</p><p>The RAD sharply fell after the September 2008 Lehman shock and continued to fall till bottoming in February 2009 (stocks ultimately bottomed in March 2009). From February 2009 onwards, the RAD largely did not trend though it fluctuated on a day-to-day basis.</p><p><b>2010-2014</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc1edef16b00f55de39e5890b823d3f8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>2010 started with a selloff in mid to late 2010. During this period, Nasdaq 100 spent a lot of time oscillating around the 200-day MA as the European debt crisis simmered, but there was not a major negative movement in the RAD and stocks resumed their upward course.</p><p><b>2015-2019</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71d88b8cb61e2fe0a41c28f2eeebdc04\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>From 2015-2019, the RAD showed a persistently negative move in Sep-2015 to Mar-2016 but afterwards it did not deteriorate any further and stocks resumed their upward trend. Amazingly, during this entire trade war period, the RAD did not show much of a negative move except in late 2018. Most of the time the RAD oscillated nowhere and stocks went up.</p><p><b>2020-present</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/815e2eef76ef056d502e7cd89efda830\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>This period gets very interesting. Despite a sharp sell-off in March 2020, RAD trended up (meaning regular hours trading had prices higher than afterhours) for most of the period! The RAD was screaming buy while the media was hyping up 100% infection rates on a certain unfortunate cruise ship and Europeans going into lockdown, etc.</p><p>The RAD started persistently falling in Nov-21, similar to when stocks overall began declining. Since then the Nasdaq has mostly been under the 200-day MA and the RAD has entered a fresh bout of declining since August 2022.</p><p><b>Where are we in the current stage:</b></p><p>From the chart above, it&#39;s apparent the current downtrend is the longest time spent below 200-day MA for 13 years, and also the sharpest and longest decline in the RAD in the past 13 years, and the RAD has recently continued declining rather than bottoming out. The last time it was this bearish in 2008/2009, the RAD indicator and Nasdaq spent 5 months bottoming out, before entering into a bull market.<i>Per 2008-2009, once this indicator starts to level out and the Nasdaq regains the 200-day MA, it may be a sign of a real bottom, but it appears we may yet be some time away.</i></p><p>I am not presenting this indicator as a silver bullet, however, it may be helpful:</p><ul><li>As a high frequency indicator (economic indicators and earnings are much more lagging). It is especially interesting to see despite the large declines in U.S. equities during the March 2020 coronavirus panic, U.S. regular trading hour session investors were more interested in buying equities than the afterhours investors, which may have been a good indicator of where the smart money was going when every other price-based indicator would have gone haywire, economic data would not be known for months and the news implied the apocalypse was just days away.</li><li>The reader is encouraged to do his own iterations, I&#39;m sure there can be fancier iterations (e.g., adding volatility, cross-checking with other indicators, etc.), I will just show the bare-bones analysis in this article without any bells and whistles.</li></ul><p><b>Appendix: Calculation methodology of RAD</b></p><ul><li>Calculated average price for the regular trading hours and after hours for each day based on Nasdaq 100 index futures 5-minute data from Apr 2006 (two years before the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 to establish a baseline) to mid-Sept 2022.</li><li>Subtracted for the difference and converted into a percentage.</li><li>9:30 AM to 4 PM as U.S. sessions regular trading hours (referred to below as regular trading hours) and all other hours as afterhours.</li><li>The difference is then added cumulatively, so it is easier to see a trend (as there are large gyrations day-to-day, if the daily results are plotted, the trend is less obvious).</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is The Nasdaq In A Bear Market: One High Frequency Indicator Says Yes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs The Nasdaq In A Bear Market: One High Frequency Indicator Says Yes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 14:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541853-is-the-nasdaq-in-a-bear-market-one-high-frequency-indicator-says-yes><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBased on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price than U.S. hours trading, I have constructed an indicator reflecting this divergence.The indicator ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541853-is-the-nasdaq-in-a-bear-market-one-high-frequency-indicator-says-yes\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541853-is-the-nasdaq-in-a-bear-market-one-high-frequency-indicator-says-yes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138109779","content_text":"SummaryBased on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price than U.S. hours trading, I have constructed an indicator reflecting this divergence.The indicator reflects the difference between average prices during regular and afterhours trading and trends down during a bear market (vice versa for bull market).Based on this indicator's performance from 2006 to present, we are currently still in a bear market.During the March 2020 Coronavirus pandemic, this indicator was screaming buy despite the sharp declines in the market during that month.The Nasdaq has experienced several sharp declines since bottoming in 2009, but the right strategy has been to buy the dip each time. We will use Nasdaq 100 futures (which track the Nasdaq 100 index, same as the Invesco QQQ ETF) for our analysis. For simplicity purposes, if we use the 200-day moving average as a benchmark, Nasdaq 100 has been under the 200-day MA for 852 days out of the last 4236 trading days. 2022 so far has seen the most number of days under the 200-day MA since 2008.Days below 200 day MA (Author calc on public info)So this begs the question, is the current dip a buy or a sell? Given that the right move has been to buy for the last 13 years, how can we tell this time?This article is based on an observation: during a downtrend, the Nasdaq 100 index futures are often trading flat or even up before the U.S. equities markets open, and then it suddenly starts to head south during the U.S. session (9:30 AM to 4 PM ET).Based on this observation, I constructed an indicator (which I will call \"Regular/After-hours Divergence Indicator,\" or \"RAD\") using all-day Nasdaq 100 index futures data to show divergence between U.S. session regular hours (i.e., 9:30 AM to 4 PM) and afterhours. For details on how RAD is calculated, please see the appendix at the bottom.I will use the Nasdaq 100 index futures as it has regular and afterhours trading, whereas the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) has more limited afterhours trading data.A positive RAD means that average prices during the regular hours are higher than after hours, vice versa for a negative RAD. The cumulative RAD is shown below (i.e., the daily RAD is added cumulatively). The results are plotted below against the Nasdaq 100.RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.It appears the RAD is trendless or trends positively in a bull market and trends negatively in a bear market/correction. Which means in a bear market, afterhours trading is generally at a higher price before declining during regular hours trading (this is consistent with our observation and feel of how the market usually behaves).It is hard to precisely explain this phenomenon, it could be that:If we combine this with 200-day MA (greyed out areas represent those days/periods where the closing prices were under the 200-day MA), we can see that the sharp moves down in the RAD coincide with the periods where the closing price was below the 200-day MA, while the RAD levelled off or increased when the closing price was above the 200-day MA.Let's break it down into a few major periods and see how the RAD performed in each.Apr 2006-Dec 2009RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.In 2006-2007, both the Nasdaq 100 and the RAD largely trended in the same direction and the RAD hovered around 0% and did not portend the tectonic shift to come.The RAD sharply fell after the September 2008 Lehman shock and continued to fall till bottoming in February 2009 (stocks ultimately bottomed in March 2009). From February 2009 onwards, the RAD largely did not trend though it fluctuated on a day-to-day basis.2010-2014RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.2010 started with a selloff in mid to late 2010. During this period, Nasdaq 100 spent a lot of time oscillating around the 200-day MA as the European debt crisis simmered, but there was not a major negative movement in the RAD and stocks resumed their upward course.2015-2019RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.From 2015-2019, the RAD showed a persistently negative move in Sep-2015 to Mar-2016 but afterwards it did not deteriorate any further and stocks resumed their upward trend. Amazingly, during this entire trade war period, the RAD did not show much of a negative move except in late 2018. Most of the time the RAD oscillated nowhere and stocks went up.2020-presentRAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.This period gets very interesting. Despite a sharp sell-off in March 2020, RAD trended up (meaning regular hours trading had prices higher than afterhours) for most of the period! The RAD was screaming buy while the media was hyping up 100% infection rates on a certain unfortunate cruise ship and Europeans going into lockdown, etc.The RAD started persistently falling in Nov-21, similar to when stocks overall began declining. Since then the Nasdaq has mostly been under the 200-day MA and the RAD has entered a fresh bout of declining since August 2022.Where are we in the current stage:From the chart above, it's apparent the current downtrend is the longest time spent below 200-day MA for 13 years, and also the sharpest and longest decline in the RAD in the past 13 years, and the RAD has recently continued declining rather than bottoming out. The last time it was this bearish in 2008/2009, the RAD indicator and Nasdaq spent 5 months bottoming out, before entering into a bull market.Per 2008-2009, once this indicator starts to level out and the Nasdaq regains the 200-day MA, it may be a sign of a real bottom, but it appears we may yet be some time away.I am not presenting this indicator as a silver bullet, however, it may be helpful:As a high frequency indicator (economic indicators and earnings are much more lagging). It is especially interesting to see despite the large declines in U.S. equities during the March 2020 coronavirus panic, U.S. regular trading hour session investors were more interested in buying equities than the afterhours investors, which may have been a good indicator of where the smart money was going when every other price-based indicator would have gone haywire, economic data would not be known for months and the news implied the apocalypse was just days away.The reader is encouraged to do his own iterations, I'm sure there can be fancier iterations (e.g., adding volatility, cross-checking with other indicators, etc.), I will just show the bare-bones analysis in this article without any bells and whistles.Appendix: Calculation methodology of RADCalculated average price for the regular trading hours and after hours for each day based on Nasdaq 100 index futures 5-minute data from Apr 2006 (two years before the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 to establish a baseline) to mid-Sept 2022.Subtracted for the difference and converted into a percentage.9:30 AM to 4 PM as U.S. sessions regular trading hours (referred to below as regular trading hours) and all other hours as afterhours.The difference is then added cumulatively, so it is easier to see a trend (as there are large gyrations day-to-day, if the daily results are plotted, the trend is less obvious).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910229852,"gmtCreate":1663633840376,"gmtModify":1676537304585,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910229852","repostId":"1162665393","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162665393","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663646346,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162665393?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 11:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Top Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162665393","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Cathie Wood believes that inflation will soon be replaced by deflation.Deflation may pose issues for","content":"<div>\n<p>Cathie Wood believes that inflation will soon be replaced by deflation.Deflation may pose issues for the economy, such as slowing demand for products and borrowed capital.Shares of the ARK Innovation ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/5-top-stocks-cathie-wood-is-buying-right-now/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Top Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Top Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 11:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/09/5-top-stocks-cathie-wood-is-buying-right-now/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cathie Wood believes that inflation will soon be replaced by deflation.Deflation may pose issues for the economy, such as slowing demand for products and borrowed capital.Shares of the ARK Innovation ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/5-top-stocks-cathie-wood-is-buying-right-now/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","VERV":"Verve Therapeutics","NTLA":"Intellia Therapeutics Inc","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/5-top-stocks-cathie-wood-is-buying-right-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162665393","content_text":"Cathie Wood believes that inflation will soon be replaced by deflation.Deflation may pose issues for the economy, such as slowing demand for products and borrowed capital.Shares of the ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK) are down over 50% year-to-date.It’s been a difficult year for Cathie Wood stocks and exchange-traded funds, as theARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK) has lost over 50% of its market capitalization. The losses have been driven by supply chain inefficiencies, inflation, and subsequent interest hikes to combat inflation. However, Wood believes that inflation will soon cool down and be replaced with deflation. Falling commodity prices, freight charges and stable gold prices have aided in her belief.At first glance, it appears that investors would much rather welcome deflation over inflation. However, if consumers and companies believe that prices will fall, it can lead to less demand for products and services, such as borrowing capital. This can ultimately lead to more pain for the economy and cause companies to reduce production, which can lead to layoffs.With that in mind, let’s take a look at the top five stocks that Cathie Wood is buying right now.5 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying Right Now1. Roblox (RBLX)Last week, Roblox(NYSE:RBLX) announced that it would launch next year. The metaverse company boasts a network 52 million users, signaling many use cases for monetization. Roblox has already tested out portal ads with companies like Warner Bros. Discovery(NASDAQ:WBD) and has plans for further testing by the end of the year. Portal ads bring an interacting user directly to Roblox’s platform. Still, a set ad format has not been decided on and will be influenced by the results of testing. On the other hand, shares of RBLX have declined by over 40% since its initial public offering.That hasn’t stopped Wood from dollar-cost averaging into her position. On Sept. 16, ARKK picked up107,199 shares, bringing its total share count to 5.78 million shares.2. Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA)Intellia Therapeutics(NASDAQ:NTLA) operates as a genome editing company that utilizes the CRISPR system for curative therapeutics. On Friday, the company released preliminary data for two of its CRISPR treatments. The data showed that patients who received the experimental therapy “experienced a dramatic reduction in blood markers linked to their diseases.” Furthermore, the treatment reduced toxic protein by 93% in the following four weeks. Despite the news, shares of NTLA fell by as much as 16% after the announcement. An Intellia spokesperson stated that the company can not explain every price fluctuation and added that the data was ultimately a good sign for NTLA.Wood seems to agree. On Friday, ARKK and the ARK Genomic Revolution ETF(BATS:ARKG)purchased a combined318,875 shares of Intellia.3. Verve Therapeutics (VERV)Verve Therapeutics(NASDAQ:VERV) is a biotechnology company that seeks to protect patients fromcardiovascular disease. Like Intellia, the company places an emphasis on safe gene editing. Studies have shown that some naturally occurring gene variants lower the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and heart attacks. What Verve is trying to do is mimic these gene variants and turn off the genes that cause ASCVD through a single-course therapy. Furthermore, the company seeks to replace the traditional care model for cardiovascular disease and replace it with an in vivo liver-directed gene editing treatmentBetween Sept. 13 and Sept. 16, ARKG bought213,111 shares of VERV. After the purchase, VERV is now the 12th largest holding among 46 total in the ETF.4. Teladoc (TDOC)Teladoc’s(NYSE:TDOC) earnings and profitability have been hampered by a $2 billion goodwill impairment charge related to the acquisition of Livongo and its stock-based compensation (SBC) program. Meanwhile, the effects of the coronavirus pandemic are all but gone. The pandemic was a major beneficiary for the telehealth company, as patients opted for virtual health appointments instead of going in person.However, the long term prospects of Teladoc still remains intact. Telehealth is estimated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of more than 26% through 2027. In addition, the company provides services for over half of the Fortune 500 companies. Meanwhile, shares trade at a 2.1x price to sales (P/S) multiple, compared to 7x a year ago.Wood remains highly convicted on TDOC and purchased44,359 shares on Sept. 16. After the purchase, TDOC is now the fourth-largest holding among all Ark Invest ETFs.5. DraftKings (DKNG)Shares of DraftKings(NASDAQ:DKNG) are down by over 30% year-to-date, although there are several positive catalysts on the horizon. First, the start of the NFL season will undoubtedly raise gambling revenue and has historically been the best time of the year for the company. The American Gaming Association has predicted the 2022 NFL season will see a record number of wagers placed on games.DraftKings has also inked a deal with Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) to be the sole provider of in-game betting for the e-commerce giant’s “Thursday Night Football” (TNF) stream. The two companies have signed a multi-year deal that will also see Amazon advertise DraftKings in each TNF game. Meanwhile, the 2022 NBA season is set to kick off on Oct. 18.On Sept. 12 and 13, two ARK ETFs purchased a combined185,771 shares of DKNG. After the purchase, Ark Invest now owns a total of 21.81 million shares.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NTLA":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,"VERV":0.9,"RBLX":0.9,"TDOC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937576899,"gmtCreate":1663473362512,"gmtModify":1676537275961,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581934736299674","idStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937576899","repostId":"1144109817","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144109817","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663466024,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1144109817?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-18 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 20 Stocks Have Short Interest of 19% Or More, and AMC and GameStop Are Not Even in the Top Half","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144109817","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Carvana and Lucid Motors are among the most heavily shorted stocksAbout 22% of Lucid Motors’ shares ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Carvana and Lucid Motors are among the most heavily shorted stocks</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ee314bbc4910914e9251024dadb3149\" tg-width=\"1050\" tg-height=\"699\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>About 22% of Lucid Motors’ shares were sold short, according to data provided by FactSet. AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>Short selling is a trading technique that gets especially popular during bear markets in stocks.</p><p>Short selling — or betting on a decline in prices — can come to the fore if investors suspect a company is entering a difficult period, during a period of stress on financial markets, or when a group of traders acts to bid up the shares of companies that professional investors have bet against.</p><p>It is a very risky technique, as the losses are theoretically infinite, but it is also something every investor should at least understand.</p><p>Traditionally, short sellers have served a useful role, as they have pointed out problems with companies’ business models, with their industries or even with the way they prepare financial statements. But shorting can also lead to furious trading activity that can burn investors quickly.</p><p>Apple Inc. is nowthe most heavily shorted stock in terms of dollars committed to bets against the company’s stock price. Tesla Inc. had previously been in that position.</p><p>But in terms of short positions relative to the number of shares outstanding, Apple’s is only 0.70% sold-short, while 2.32% of Tesla’s share are shorted, according to the most recent data available from FactSet.</p><p>There are different ways of looking at short exposure, and a list of the most heavily shorted stocks among companies of the Russell 1000 Index,by percentage, is below.</p><p>Before digging into the short-selling data, let’s review some terms:</p><ul><li>Short selling is when an investor borrows shares and immediately sells them, hoping to buy them back later at a lower price, return them to the lender and pocket the difference.</li><li>Covering is when a person with a short position buys the shares to return them to the lender, to profit if the shares have gone down in price since they were shorted, or to limit losses if they went up after being shorted.</li><li>A short squeeze is when a mass of investors looking to cover short positions start buying at the same time. The buying pushes the share price higher, making short investors accelerate their attempts to cover, which sends the shares spiraling higher in a frenzy. This is what happened earlier this year when a group of traders, who had organized themselves through the Reddit WallStreetBets channel, famously pushed the share prices of two troubled businesses sky-high: GameStop Corp. and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.</li></ul><p>Short selling is best left to professional investors and traders because you cannot set an upper limit on how much you might lose if the shares rise in price after you short them — you never know how high a stock price might go. If you buy a stock (take a “long” position), what you have risked is the amount of money you invested. You can lose it all if company goes bankrupt, for example.</p><p>But to short a stock you need a margin account, which means your broker extends credit if the stock goes up in price after you short it. At a certain point, if the stock continues to rise, your broker will demand collateral to protect its position. This means you will be more likely to be forced to cover the short trade and take a loss.</p><p>Borrowing shares to short them also costs money — more about that below.</p><h2>Most heavily shorted stocks</h2><p>The Russell 1000 Index is made up of the 1,000 largest companies in the Russell 3000 Index,which is designed to represent 98% of publicly traded companies whose primary stock listings are in the U.S.</p><p>Here are the 20 companies in the Russell 1000 that are most heavily shorted on a percentage basis, according to the most recent data available from FactSet:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f71814510aba5f1d9b8f7c2466630a8\" tg-width=\"1115\" tg-height=\"810\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e29a8dffc2e3222e74b8a76237218343\" tg-width=\"1112\" tg-height=\"519\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The best-performing stock on the list this year has been Palo Alto Networks Inc.,whose presence on the list may be a surprise.</p><p>The company’s rolling 12-month estimates for earnings and sales have been increasing and, on a calendar-year basis, the consensus expectation among analysts polled by FactSet is for its revenue to increase 28% in 2022.</p><p>From 2022 through 2024, analysts expect to see a compound annual growth rate of 21.6% for Palo Alto’s sales. Maybe it is the high forward price-to-earnings ratio of 55.2 that has spooked investors. After all, the weighted forward P/E for the S&amp;P 500 information technology sector has fallen to 20.5 from 28.1 at the end of 2021, according to FactSet. For the full S&amp;P 500,the forward P/E has declined to 16.7 from 21.4 at the end of last year.</p><p>(Companies with “N/A” in the P/E ratio column are those not expected to generate profits over the next 12 months.)</p><p>The table includes “days to cover,” which is the number of days it would take for short sellers to cover their positions, based on three-month average daily trading volumes. When considering which stocks might be candidates for short squeezes, Matthew Tuttle, CEO of Tuttle Capital Management in Greenwich, Conn., said in a previous interview that he begins with “a 10/10 rule.” That stands for short interest of at least 10% and at least 10 days needed for short sellers to cover their positions.</p><p>Brad Lamensdorf, who co-manages the AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF,pointed to other costs that short sellers face. During an interview on Sept. 15, Lamensdorf said that an investor who wishes to short Apple’s shares pays only a nominal “general collateral” fee to borrow the shares. In addition, the borrower of the shares will have to pay Apple’s dividend to the investor who lends the shares. Apple’s dividend yield is 0.59% — “not much, but there is a carry,” Lamensdorf said.</p><p>But he listed high annualized fees for borrowing shares of some of the heavily short stocks listed above:</p><ul><li>For AMC, it costs 16.73% to borrow the shares.</li><li>For GME, the cost is lower: 7.88%.</li><li>It costs about 2% to borrow shares of Carvana Co. to short.</li><li>For Palo Alto and Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc.,shares can be borrowed as “general collateral.”</li></ul><p>The AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF is designed to be a hedging tool, and has performed quite well this year, returning 12% through Sept. 14, while the S&amp;P 500 has declined 16% (with dividends reinvested).</p><p>Lamensdorf previously warned that a percentage of short-sales to total shares available for trading of “over 30% to 40% is outrageously high,” as it makes short-squeezes more likely.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 20 Stocks Have Short Interest of 19% Or More, and AMC and GameStop Are Not Even in the Top Half</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 20 Stocks Have Short Interest of 19% Or More, and AMC and GameStop Are Not Even in the Top Half\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-18 09:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-20-stocks-have-short-interest-of-19-or-more-and-amc-and-gamestop-are-not-even-in-the-top-half-11663262098?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Carvana and Lucid Motors are among the most heavily shorted stocksAbout 22% of Lucid Motors’ shares were sold short, according to data provided by FactSet. AFP VIA GETTY IMAGESShort selling is a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-20-stocks-have-short-interest-of-19-or-more-and-amc-and-gamestop-are-not-even-in-the-top-half-11663262098?mod=home-page\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PANW":"Palo Alto Networks","SIRI":"Sirius XM Holdings Inc.","UWMC":"UWM Holdings Corporation","JWN":"诺德斯特龙","DNA":"Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线","FOUR":"Shift4 Payments, Inc.","UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","AAPL":"苹果","QS":"Quantumscape Corp.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","RKT":"Rocket Companies","W":"Wayfair","GME":"游戏驿站","DKS":"迪克体育用品","CHPT":"ChargePoint Holdings Inc.","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","CVNA":"Carvana Co."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-20-stocks-have-short-interest-of-19-or-more-and-amc-and-gamestop-are-not-even-in-the-top-half-11663262098?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144109817","content_text":"Carvana and Lucid Motors are among the most heavily shorted stocksAbout 22% of Lucid Motors’ shares were sold short, according to data provided by FactSet. AFP VIA GETTY IMAGESShort selling is a trading technique that gets especially popular during bear markets in stocks.Short selling — or betting on a decline in prices — can come to the fore if investors suspect a company is entering a difficult period, during a period of stress on financial markets, or when a group of traders acts to bid up the shares of companies that professional investors have bet against.It is a very risky technique, as the losses are theoretically infinite, but it is also something every investor should at least understand.Traditionally, short sellers have served a useful role, as they have pointed out problems with companies’ business models, with their industries or even with the way they prepare financial statements. But shorting can also lead to furious trading activity that can burn investors quickly.Apple Inc. is nowthe most heavily shorted stock in terms of dollars committed to bets against the company’s stock price. Tesla Inc. had previously been in that position.But in terms of short positions relative to the number of shares outstanding, Apple’s is only 0.70% sold-short, while 2.32% of Tesla’s share are shorted, according to the most recent data available from FactSet.There are different ways of looking at short exposure, and a list of the most heavily shorted stocks among companies of the Russell 1000 Index,by percentage, is below.Before digging into the short-selling data, let’s review some terms:Short selling is when an investor borrows shares and immediately sells them, hoping to buy them back later at a lower price, return them to the lender and pocket the difference.Covering is when a person with a short position buys the shares to return them to the lender, to profit if the shares have gone down in price since they were shorted, or to limit losses if they went up after being shorted.A short squeeze is when a mass of investors looking to cover short positions start buying at the same time. The buying pushes the share price higher, making short investors accelerate their attempts to cover, which sends the shares spiraling higher in a frenzy. This is what happened earlier this year when a group of traders, who had organized themselves through the Reddit WallStreetBets channel, famously pushed the share prices of two troubled businesses sky-high: GameStop Corp. and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.Short selling is best left to professional investors and traders because you cannot set an upper limit on how much you might lose if the shares rise in price after you short them — you never know how high a stock price might go. If you buy a stock (take a “long” position), what you have risked is the amount of money you invested. You can lose it all if company goes bankrupt, for example.But to short a stock you need a margin account, which means your broker extends credit if the stock goes up in price after you short it. At a certain point, if the stock continues to rise, your broker will demand collateral to protect its position. This means you will be more likely to be forced to cover the short trade and take a loss.Borrowing shares to short them also costs money — more about that below.Most heavily shorted stocksThe Russell 1000 Index is made up of the 1,000 largest companies in the Russell 3000 Index,which is designed to represent 98% of publicly traded companies whose primary stock listings are in the U.S.Here are the 20 companies in the Russell 1000 that are most heavily shorted on a percentage basis, according to the most recent data available from FactSet:The best-performing stock on the list this year has been Palo Alto Networks Inc.,whose presence on the list may be a surprise.The company’s rolling 12-month estimates for earnings and sales have been increasing and, on a calendar-year basis, the consensus expectation among analysts polled by FactSet is for its revenue to increase 28% in 2022.From 2022 through 2024, analysts expect to see a compound annual growth rate of 21.6% for Palo Alto’s sales. Maybe it is the high forward price-to-earnings ratio of 55.2 that has spooked investors. After all, the weighted forward P/E for the S&P 500 information technology sector has fallen to 20.5 from 28.1 at the end of 2021, according to FactSet. For the full S&P 500,the forward P/E has declined to 16.7 from 21.4 at the end of last year.(Companies with “N/A” in the P/E ratio column are those not expected to generate profits over the next 12 months.)The table includes “days to cover,” which is the number of days it would take for short sellers to cover their positions, based on three-month average daily trading volumes. When considering which stocks might be candidates for short squeezes, Matthew Tuttle, CEO of Tuttle Capital Management in Greenwich, Conn., said in a previous interview that he begins with “a 10/10 rule.” That stands for short interest of at least 10% and at least 10 days needed for short sellers to cover their positions.Brad Lamensdorf, who co-manages the AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF,pointed to other costs that short sellers face. During an interview on Sept. 15, Lamensdorf said that an investor who wishes to short Apple’s shares pays only a nominal “general collateral” fee to borrow the shares. In addition, the borrower of the shares will have to pay Apple’s dividend to the investor who lends the shares. Apple’s dividend yield is 0.59% — “not much, but there is a carry,” Lamensdorf said.But he listed high annualized fees for borrowing shares of some of the heavily short stocks listed above:For AMC, it costs 16.73% to borrow the shares.For GME, the cost is lower: 7.88%.It costs about 2% to borrow shares of Carvana Co. to short.For Palo Alto and Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc.,shares can be borrowed as “general collateral.”The AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF is designed to be a hedging tool, and has performed quite well this year, returning 12% through Sept. 14, while the S&P 500 has declined 16% (with dividends reinvested).Lamensdorf previously warned that a percentage of short-sales to total shares available for trading of “over 30% to 40% is outrageously high,” as it makes short-squeezes more likely.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QS":0.9,"DKS":0.9,"WE":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"TDOC":0.9,"NVAX":0.9,"CHPT":0.9,"SIRI":0.9,"UWMC":0.9,"DNA":0.9,"GME":0.9,"JWN":0.9,"CVNA":0.9,"FOUR":0.9,"GFS":0.9,"W":0.9,"PANW":0.9,"UPST":0.9,"LCID":0.9,"RKT":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":524353904002544,"gmtCreate":1769042030521,"gmtModify":1769042034480,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581934736299674","authorIdStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hope for a million-dollar blanket! dreaming that one day i'm gonna be a millionaire","listText":"hope for a million-dollar blanket! dreaming that one day i'm gonna be a millionaire","text":"hope for a million-dollar blanket! dreaming that one day i'm gonna be a millionaire","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/524353904002544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055126338,"gmtCreate":1655252259824,"gmtModify":1676535595181,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581934736299674","authorIdStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls&nbsp;","listText":"Like pls&nbsp;","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055126338","repostId":"2243984945","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243984945","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1655247566,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243984945?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 06:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-S&P 500 Dips With Fed Policy Announcement on Tap","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243984945","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Tuesday as the index was unable to bounce from a sharp sell-o","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Tuesday as the index was unable to bounce from a sharp sell-off in the prior session with a key policy statement from the Federal Reserve on deck that will reveal how aggressive the central bank&#39;s policy path will be.</p><p>Analyst expectations had largely been predicting the Fed would hike by 50 basis points at the conclusion of its meeting on Wednesday.</p><p>However, views that a 75 basis point hike was on the table have been growing after Friday&#39;s higher-than-expected consumer price index (CPI) data for May. In addition, a report from the Wall Street Journal on Monday and forecasts from several banks, including JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, signaling a 75 basis point hike have bolstered that belief.</p><p>Traders are currently pricing in a more than 90% chance of a 75 basis point hike, up from 3.9% a week ago, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch Tool https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html?redirect=/trading/interest-rates/fed-funds.html.</p><p>Data on Tuesday showed that the producer prices index (PPI), while slightly less than expectations on a year-over-year basis for May, remained high as gasoline prices jumped.</p><p>&#34;Ultimately, even though we are seeing even more red and more negative pressure here, in general today we believe is really a wait-and-see day,&#34; said Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments in Port Chester, New York.</p><p>&#34;The PPI numbers today put to bed any questions around the extent of rising prices and inflation - the big question is going to be how aggressive the Fed is going to be literally this week - not so much even projecting out, but how much they are going to take the bull by the horns this week and really try to make some moves that could ease recessionary fears.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 151.91 points, or 0.5%, to 30,364.83, the S&amp;P 500 lost 14.15 points, or 0.38%, to 3,735.48 and the Nasdaq Composite added 19.12 points, or 0.18%, to 10,828.35.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 suffered its fifth straight daily decline, marking its longest losing streak since early January. Monday&#39;s declines put the index down more than 20% from its most recent record high, confirming a bear market began on Jan. 3, according to a commonly used definition.</p><p>Among individual stocks, swimming pool supplies distributor Pool Corp slumped 5.27% after Jefferies cut its price target on the stock to $400 from $485.</p><p>FedEx Corp surged 14.41% after raising its quarterly dividend by more than 50%, while Oracle Corp gained 10.41% after posting upbeat quarterly results on demand for its cloud products.</p><p>Continental Resources Inc jumped 15.07% after the shale producer received an all-cash buyout offer from its founder Harold Hamm, valuing the company at $25.41 billion.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.49 billion shares, compared with the 12.01 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.96-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.36-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 77 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 11 new highs and 641 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-S&P 500 Dips With Fed Policy Announcement on Tap</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-S&P 500 Dips With Fed Policy Announcement on Tap\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-15 06:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Tuesday as the index was unable to bounce from a sharp sell-off in the prior session with a key policy statement from the Federal Reserve on deck that will reveal how aggressive the central bank&#39;s policy path will be.</p><p>Analyst expectations had largely been predicting the Fed would hike by 50 basis points at the conclusion of its meeting on Wednesday.</p><p>However, views that a 75 basis point hike was on the table have been growing after Friday&#39;s higher-than-expected consumer price index (CPI) data for May. In addition, a report from the Wall Street Journal on Monday and forecasts from several banks, including JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, signaling a 75 basis point hike have bolstered that belief.</p><p>Traders are currently pricing in a more than 90% chance of a 75 basis point hike, up from 3.9% a week ago, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch Tool https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html?redirect=/trading/interest-rates/fed-funds.html.</p><p>Data on Tuesday showed that the producer prices index (PPI), while slightly less than expectations on a year-over-year basis for May, remained high as gasoline prices jumped.</p><p>&#34;Ultimately, even though we are seeing even more red and more negative pressure here, in general today we believe is really a wait-and-see day,&#34; said Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments in Port Chester, New York.</p><p>&#34;The PPI numbers today put to bed any questions around the extent of rising prices and inflation - the big question is going to be how aggressive the Fed is going to be literally this week - not so much even projecting out, but how much they are going to take the bull by the horns this week and really try to make some moves that could ease recessionary fears.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 151.91 points, or 0.5%, to 30,364.83, the S&amp;P 500 lost 14.15 points, or 0.38%, to 3,735.48 and the Nasdaq Composite added 19.12 points, or 0.18%, to 10,828.35.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 suffered its fifth straight daily decline, marking its longest losing streak since early January. Monday&#39;s declines put the index down more than 20% from its most recent record high, confirming a bear market began on Jan. 3, according to a commonly used definition.</p><p>Among individual stocks, swimming pool supplies distributor Pool Corp slumped 5.27% after Jefferies cut its price target on the stock to $400 from $485.</p><p>FedEx Corp surged 14.41% after raising its quarterly dividend by more than 50%, while Oracle Corp gained 10.41% after posting upbeat quarterly results on demand for its cloud products.</p><p>Continental Resources Inc jumped 15.07% after the shale producer received an all-cash buyout offer from its founder Harold Hamm, valuing the company at $25.41 billion.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.49 billion shares, compared with the 12.01 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.96-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.36-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 77 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 11 new highs and 641 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243984945","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Tuesday as the index was unable to bounce from a sharp sell-off in the prior session with a key policy statement from the Federal Reserve on deck that will reveal how aggressive the central bank's policy path will be.Analyst expectations had largely been predicting the Fed would hike by 50 basis points at the conclusion of its meeting on Wednesday.However, views that a 75 basis point hike was on the table have been growing after Friday's higher-than-expected consumer price index (CPI) data for May. In addition, a report from the Wall Street Journal on Monday and forecasts from several banks, including JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, signaling a 75 basis point hike have bolstered that belief.Traders are currently pricing in a more than 90% chance of a 75 basis point hike, up from 3.9% a week ago, according to CME's FedWatch Tool https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html?redirect=/trading/interest-rates/fed-funds.html.Data on Tuesday showed that the producer prices index (PPI), while slightly less than expectations on a year-over-year basis for May, remained high as gasoline prices jumped.\"Ultimately, even though we are seeing even more red and more negative pressure here, in general today we believe is really a wait-and-see day,\" said Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments in Port Chester, New York.\"The PPI numbers today put to bed any questions around the extent of rising prices and inflation - the big question is going to be how aggressive the Fed is going to be literally this week - not so much even projecting out, but how much they are going to take the bull by the horns this week and really try to make some moves that could ease recessionary fears.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 151.91 points, or 0.5%, to 30,364.83, the S&P 500 lost 14.15 points, or 0.38%, to 3,735.48 and the Nasdaq Composite added 19.12 points, or 0.18%, to 10,828.35.The benchmark S&P 500 suffered its fifth straight daily decline, marking its longest losing streak since early January. Monday's declines put the index down more than 20% from its most recent record high, confirming a bear market began on Jan. 3, according to a commonly used definition.Among individual stocks, swimming pool supplies distributor Pool Corp slumped 5.27% after Jefferies cut its price target on the stock to $400 from $485.FedEx Corp surged 14.41% after raising its quarterly dividend by more than 50%, while Oracle Corp gained 10.41% after posting upbeat quarterly results on demand for its cloud products.Continental Resources Inc jumped 15.07% after the shale producer received an all-cash buyout offer from its founder Harold Hamm, valuing the company at $25.41 billion.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.49 billion shares, compared with the 12.01 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.96-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.36-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 77 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 11 new highs and 641 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":649,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9022271644,"gmtCreate":1653537908589,"gmtModify":1676535300992,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581934736299674","authorIdStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9022271644","repostId":"1120489731","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035481274,"gmtCreate":1647654754530,"gmtModify":1676534255896,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581934736299674","authorIdStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035481274","repostId":"2220484770","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":705,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9005905984,"gmtCreate":1642131463410,"gmtModify":1676533685106,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581934736299674","authorIdStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9005905984","repostId":"2203796901","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966620636,"gmtCreate":1669520581125,"gmtModify":1676538204327,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581934736299674","authorIdStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966620636","repostId":"2286418053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2286418053","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1669522519,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2286418053?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-27 12:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"CPI Inflation Will Come Down: A Look At Walmart, Amazon, Costco And Home Depot","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286418053","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"The Wall Street Journal wrote an article in the last 10 days or so noting that both Walmart (WMT) an","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Wall Street Journal wrote an article in the last 10 days or so noting that both Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN) will begin pushing back on their suppliers&#39; price hikes, which has forced the big retailers into the unenviable position of using “price” rather than traffic or volume to drive revenue growth since early 2020, given COVID and the various supply chain issues and distortions caused by COVID that have wreaked havoc on the business.</p><p>The WSJ article was eerily reminiscent of Joe Nocera’s article in the New York Times in the early 1990s, where Nocera noted that the one reason inflation likely remained contained in the early 1990s was due to Walmart and its emphasis on “every day low price” or EDLP, not in the literal sense, but from the perspective that the average American probably doesn’t realize the impact Walmart, Amazon, now Costco (COST) and Home Depot (HD), have on retail pricing today, given their size.</p><p>Walmart recently had a good earnings report for its fiscal 3rd quarter ended October ’22, where revenue grew 8.75%, operating income grew 4% and EPS grew 3.5% year-over-year (YoY). This blog previewed the earnings report on Seeking Alpha here.</p><p>If readers quickly peruse the earnings preview, it was noted that Walmart was suffering from “retail constipation” as inventory growth had far exceeded sales growth and for a company that runs like a Swiss watch, this was a rare occurrence indeed.</p><p>However, as the following spreadsheet shows, Walmart has vastly improved its revenue growth vs. inventory growth, although it&#39;s still not yet in line with historical standards:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e625a90dff771b0d7e944e64afea8474\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"21\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Readers need to click on the above spreadsheet to see the relationship between revenue and inventory growth YoY and note how during COVID in 2020, inventory fell sharply and then – perhaps – a much stronger reopening was expected, which drove an inventory build.</p><p>And now in the late stages of 2022, particularly the last quarter, Walmart is finally getting the relationship back to normal, although it’s still not quite there yet, since ideally, revenue growth should exceed inventory growth YoY, for at least 3 of the 4 quarters every year.</p><p>What’s important for readers to understand is that this relationship impacts working capital and thus cash flow from operations, so just this one metric – particularly for a retailer – can have a dramatic influence on profitability and cash flow.</p><p>Walmart’s typical “inventory turnover” is usually between 2.0x and 2.5x looking back to 2018, but it’s now at under 2.0x, with the last 3 quarters coming in around 1.8x as the retail giant tries to push the inventory bowling ball through the snake.</p><p><i><b>Average ticket vs. traffic at Walmart:</b></i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/332f3e192c3b45a529272f50930f72af\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"50\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>If you ever want some insight into a retail business look at “average ticket vs. traffic”: Walmart being the giant that it is, look how the two are used in tandem, both through the pandemic and then after it.</p><p>My guess is Walmart will do everything it can to reduce that “average ticket” over time. It’s a struggle now since the conference call notes said that Walmart is guiding to a consumer that might might slow spending in Q4 ’23 (ends Jan ’23) “given persistent inflationary pressure in food and consumables”, however that is probably a conservative guide for the giant retailer given its history.</p><p><i><b>Amazon: </b></i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe4ee98477a97035578994e17e74c01f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"21\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This table shows the identical measurement that Walmart contains but it’s not apples-to-apples since Amazon Web Services, Subscriptions and Advertising revenue segments are now 31% of Amazon’s total revenue as of 9/30/22. It’s unknown to me how subscriptions and advertising impact “inventory” which would distort the inventory numbers so to speak.</p><p>What’s clear is that Amazon is still 69% online, physical stores and 3rd party resellers, and you would think that the advantage to the 3rd party re-sellers for Amazon is that it would allow Amazon to not have to use their balance sheet to stock inventory. (That’s an assumption on my part.)</p><p>The point being that the last quarter where Amazon’s revenue growth exceeded inventory growth was the June ’21 quarter right around the time the stock peaked at $188 per share.</p><p>Coincidence or Correlation? You tell me what you think.</p><p>Still as Amazon’s ecommerce division rights itself after expanding too rapidly, revenue consisting of 69-70% of $502 billion in total revenue, there should be ample opportunity to obtain supplier concessions in the Amazon marketplace.</p><p><i><b>Costco:</b></i></p><p>TTM revenue for Costco as of the August ’22 quarter, was $226 bl.</p><p>Costco never suffered the “traffic” decline that Walmart and Home Depot have incurred, thus their quarterly comps, which averaged roughly 5-6% in calendar 2019, have averaged 13% since calendar 2020 or the earliest days since the pandemic began.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98ef085cd44ff2d772e22c28d7df85f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"26\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The problem with including Costco in an analysis with Walmart, Amazon and Home Depot, is that COST is a warehouse club and “inventory” is different than the typical retailer: my understanding is that inventory is taken in as a consignment rather than owned directly.</p><p>COST is probably better compared to Sam’s Club directly than Walmart itself, (with Sam’s Club being a division of Walmart) but with $226 billion in TTM sales, I thought it was worth a look from a market power perspective.</p><p>In Costco’s 10-Q, the various product lines are broken out and the revenue detailed and for COST, “Foods &amp; Sundries” and “Fresh Foods” are roughly 50% of COST’s total revenue.</p><p>(I’m guessing – and please note that – COST is probably considerably smaller than Walmart&#39;s pure grocery or “fresh foods” segment. COST’s Q shows that “fresh foods” is just 13% of total revenue as of the last quarter.</p><p>(Note too that the next COST earnings report is December 8th and thus readers will get another look at food and grocery inflation as of November ’22 quarter-end, before the next CPI report.)</p><p><i><b>Home Depot:</b></i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57e116c38f010b75a0518c13078f757d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"20\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Although it’s not considered a “general merchandise retailer”, Home Depot was thrown into the mix given its annual revenue growth and housing’s importance to the CPI, i.e. owners&#39; equivalent rent, and such are a 30% weight in the CPI basket.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e8a09a9efc6fb5ade6a35e65306d4e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"25\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This above spreadsheet shows that Home Depot like Walmart is relying on “ticket” vs. traffic to make it through both the post-Covid supply chain issues and the housing slowdown.</p><p>What I worry about regarding Home Depot is that if you look at “cash flow vs. net income” you could make a case for the Home Depot business model being under some stress.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4313b9b9553313538aa9b1f4f5ca4b8c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"48\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This table compares Home Depot’s cash flow and free cash flow vs. net income and readers can see that as far back as 2017, the relationship looked normal but with the recent slowdown in housing, there is no question Home Depot is feeling the pressure, although part of it could be supply chain issues as well.</p><p>Is this a reason to sell Home Depot’s stock – probably not – but it speaks to how the quality of a company’s earnings are impacted when the model is placed under stress.</p><p><i><b>Summary/conclusion:</b></i> The total dollar value of US GDP at the end of 2021 was $23 trillion, and the four companies listed above represent about $1.5 trillion, or about 6.5% of that $23 trillion as of the latest quarter, using the “trailing-twelve-month” (TTM) revenue metric.</p><p>Walmart is America’s largest private sector employer employing 2.2 to 2.3 million, while Amazon is still a ways away from overtaking Walmart in that metric, but now employs 1.5 million Americans as of 9/30/22, up from 1.1 million as of September 2020.</p><p>Here’s how the trailing twelve-month revenue falls out by company as of the latest quarter reported:</p><ul><li>Walmart: $600 billion</li><li>Amazon: $502 billion</li><li>Costco: $227 billion</li><li>Home Depot: $157 billion</li><li>Total: $1,486 trillion</li></ul><p>The Wall Street Journal article made the point about Walmart’s and Amazon’s importance to consumer inflation, although many including David Faber of CNBC have done media specials on Walmart’s treatment of suppliers, etc. some of which are not always “fair and balanced” (and I’m not speaking of Faber’s special, which I thought was balanced).</p><p>But it’s at times like this that you can appreciate that as supply disruptions and the pandemic influences fade, Walmart has the ability to squeeze consumer inflation out of the pipeline. (Having never modeled Target, it wasn’t included in the above analysis.)</p><p>In Michael Porter’s legendary “Competitive Strategy” book, one of the competitive tenets in industry sparring matches is “power over suppliers”, thus Walmart could be said to have two of the basic principles, i.e. low-cost leader and power over suppliers, although Amazon has unquestionably closed the gap on Walmart and has become a formidable competitor since early this century.</p><p>Looking at Walmart’s “average” revenue growth since the mid ’90s here’s what I found:</p><ul><li>’20 to ’22: averaged 3% revenue growth</li><li>’10 to ’19: averaged 2% revenue growth</li><li>’00 to ’09: averaged 11% revenue growth</li><li>’96 to ’99: averaged 14% revenue growth</li></ul><p>What happened to Walmart’s revenue growth, if the same “compare” were run for Amazon, Amazon (and probably Costco too) would likely be the mirror image of these bullet points, which is probably a surprise to no one.</p><p>Walmart’s enormous competitive advantage today is that at least half their revenue – which was $600 billion TTM as of the last earnings report – is grocery, the holy grail of retail since it’s low cost and it drives foot traffic.</p><p>Walmart has to be the largest grocer in the world, or at the very least America, although I heard one CNBC guest around Walmart’s last earnings report say that he thought grocery was now 70% of Walmart’s total revenue. (That was a surprise.)</p><p>When Jeff Bezos stepped down as Amazon CEO, he said he was going to take on the “physical store” aspect of Amazon’s revenue base, which is the Whole Foods acquisition, thus while the big opportunity for Amazon is still “grocery” that has to be a very long uphill battle for the ecommerce giant given Walmart’s dominance. Not being a sell-side analyst it would seem that Costco and Kroger (KR) represent larger competitive threats to Walmart today than Amazon.</p><p>Agreeing in principle with the Wall Street Journal article, I hope this article provided a little more “analytical flavor” in terms of the numbers (and this article was probably too technical for easy reading), since these 4 retailers represent 6.5% of what was 2021 total GDP of $23 trillion.</p><p>Typically and historically per what’s been read, once inflation starts to roll over, it tends to continue to fall, so as Walmart and Amazon work through their bloated inventory and supply chain issues, expect more pressure on inflation, and in Walmart’s case especially food inflation.</p><p>Take everything you read here as one opinion, and with a substantial grain of salt. Hopefully, readers found the content interesting.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CPI Inflation Will Come Down: A Look At Walmart, Amazon, Costco And Home Depot</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCPI Inflation Will Come Down: A Look At Walmart, Amazon, Costco And Home Depot\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-27 12:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560535-cpi-inflation-will-come-down-a-look-at-walmart-amazon-costco-and-home-depot><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Wall Street Journal wrote an article in the last 10 days or so noting that both Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN) will begin pushing back on their suppliers' price hikes, which has forced the big ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560535-cpi-inflation-will-come-down-a-look-at-walmart-amazon-costco-and-home-depot\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WMT":"沃尔玛","AMZN":"亚马逊","COST":"好市多","HD":"家得宝"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560535-cpi-inflation-will-come-down-a-look-at-walmart-amazon-costco-and-home-depot","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286418053","content_text":"The Wall Street Journal wrote an article in the last 10 days or so noting that both Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN) will begin pushing back on their suppliers' price hikes, which has forced the big retailers into the unenviable position of using “price” rather than traffic or volume to drive revenue growth since early 2020, given COVID and the various supply chain issues and distortions caused by COVID that have wreaked havoc on the business.The WSJ article was eerily reminiscent of Joe Nocera’s article in the New York Times in the early 1990s, where Nocera noted that the one reason inflation likely remained contained in the early 1990s was due to Walmart and its emphasis on “every day low price” or EDLP, not in the literal sense, but from the perspective that the average American probably doesn’t realize the impact Walmart, Amazon, now Costco (COST) and Home Depot (HD), have on retail pricing today, given their size.Walmart recently had a good earnings report for its fiscal 3rd quarter ended October ’22, where revenue grew 8.75%, operating income grew 4% and EPS grew 3.5% year-over-year (YoY). This blog previewed the earnings report on Seeking Alpha here.If readers quickly peruse the earnings preview, it was noted that Walmart was suffering from “retail constipation” as inventory growth had far exceeded sales growth and for a company that runs like a Swiss watch, this was a rare occurrence indeed.However, as the following spreadsheet shows, Walmart has vastly improved its revenue growth vs. inventory growth, although it's still not yet in line with historical standards:Readers need to click on the above spreadsheet to see the relationship between revenue and inventory growth YoY and note how during COVID in 2020, inventory fell sharply and then – perhaps – a much stronger reopening was expected, which drove an inventory build.And now in the late stages of 2022, particularly the last quarter, Walmart is finally getting the relationship back to normal, although it’s still not quite there yet, since ideally, revenue growth should exceed inventory growth YoY, for at least 3 of the 4 quarters every year.What’s important for readers to understand is that this relationship impacts working capital and thus cash flow from operations, so just this one metric – particularly for a retailer – can have a dramatic influence on profitability and cash flow.Walmart’s typical “inventory turnover” is usually between 2.0x and 2.5x looking back to 2018, but it’s now at under 2.0x, with the last 3 quarters coming in around 1.8x as the retail giant tries to push the inventory bowling ball through the snake.Average ticket vs. traffic at Walmart:If you ever want some insight into a retail business look at “average ticket vs. traffic”: Walmart being the giant that it is, look how the two are used in tandem, both through the pandemic and then after it.My guess is Walmart will do everything it can to reduce that “average ticket” over time. It’s a struggle now since the conference call notes said that Walmart is guiding to a consumer that might might slow spending in Q4 ’23 (ends Jan ’23) “given persistent inflationary pressure in food and consumables”, however that is probably a conservative guide for the giant retailer given its history.Amazon: This table shows the identical measurement that Walmart contains but it’s not apples-to-apples since Amazon Web Services, Subscriptions and Advertising revenue segments are now 31% of Amazon’s total revenue as of 9/30/22. It’s unknown to me how subscriptions and advertising impact “inventory” which would distort the inventory numbers so to speak.What’s clear is that Amazon is still 69% online, physical stores and 3rd party resellers, and you would think that the advantage to the 3rd party re-sellers for Amazon is that it would allow Amazon to not have to use their balance sheet to stock inventory. (That’s an assumption on my part.)The point being that the last quarter where Amazon’s revenue growth exceeded inventory growth was the June ’21 quarter right around the time the stock peaked at $188 per share.Coincidence or Correlation? You tell me what you think.Still as Amazon’s ecommerce division rights itself after expanding too rapidly, revenue consisting of 69-70% of $502 billion in total revenue, there should be ample opportunity to obtain supplier concessions in the Amazon marketplace.Costco:TTM revenue for Costco as of the August ’22 quarter, was $226 bl.Costco never suffered the “traffic” decline that Walmart and Home Depot have incurred, thus their quarterly comps, which averaged roughly 5-6% in calendar 2019, have averaged 13% since calendar 2020 or the earliest days since the pandemic began.The problem with including Costco in an analysis with Walmart, Amazon and Home Depot, is that COST is a warehouse club and “inventory” is different than the typical retailer: my understanding is that inventory is taken in as a consignment rather than owned directly.COST is probably better compared to Sam’s Club directly than Walmart itself, (with Sam’s Club being a division of Walmart) but with $226 billion in TTM sales, I thought it was worth a look from a market power perspective.In Costco’s 10-Q, the various product lines are broken out and the revenue detailed and for COST, “Foods & Sundries” and “Fresh Foods” are roughly 50% of COST’s total revenue.(I’m guessing – and please note that – COST is probably considerably smaller than Walmart's pure grocery or “fresh foods” segment. COST’s Q shows that “fresh foods” is just 13% of total revenue as of the last quarter.(Note too that the next COST earnings report is December 8th and thus readers will get another look at food and grocery inflation as of November ’22 quarter-end, before the next CPI report.)Home Depot:Although it’s not considered a “general merchandise retailer”, Home Depot was thrown into the mix given its annual revenue growth and housing’s importance to the CPI, i.e. owners' equivalent rent, and such are a 30% weight in the CPI basket.This above spreadsheet shows that Home Depot like Walmart is relying on “ticket” vs. traffic to make it through both the post-Covid supply chain issues and the housing slowdown.What I worry about regarding Home Depot is that if you look at “cash flow vs. net income” you could make a case for the Home Depot business model being under some stress.This table compares Home Depot’s cash flow and free cash flow vs. net income and readers can see that as far back as 2017, the relationship looked normal but with the recent slowdown in housing, there is no question Home Depot is feeling the pressure, although part of it could be supply chain issues as well.Is this a reason to sell Home Depot’s stock – probably not – but it speaks to how the quality of a company’s earnings are impacted when the model is placed under stress.Summary/conclusion: The total dollar value of US GDP at the end of 2021 was $23 trillion, and the four companies listed above represent about $1.5 trillion, or about 6.5% of that $23 trillion as of the latest quarter, using the “trailing-twelve-month” (TTM) revenue metric.Walmart is America’s largest private sector employer employing 2.2 to 2.3 million, while Amazon is still a ways away from overtaking Walmart in that metric, but now employs 1.5 million Americans as of 9/30/22, up from 1.1 million as of September 2020.Here’s how the trailing twelve-month revenue falls out by company as of the latest quarter reported:Walmart: $600 billionAmazon: $502 billionCostco: $227 billionHome Depot: $157 billionTotal: $1,486 trillionThe Wall Street Journal article made the point about Walmart’s and Amazon’s importance to consumer inflation, although many including David Faber of CNBC have done media specials on Walmart’s treatment of suppliers, etc. some of which are not always “fair and balanced” (and I’m not speaking of Faber’s special, which I thought was balanced).But it’s at times like this that you can appreciate that as supply disruptions and the pandemic influences fade, Walmart has the ability to squeeze consumer inflation out of the pipeline. (Having never modeled Target, it wasn’t included in the above analysis.)In Michael Porter’s legendary “Competitive Strategy” book, one of the competitive tenets in industry sparring matches is “power over suppliers”, thus Walmart could be said to have two of the basic principles, i.e. low-cost leader and power over suppliers, although Amazon has unquestionably closed the gap on Walmart and has become a formidable competitor since early this century.Looking at Walmart’s “average” revenue growth since the mid ’90s here’s what I found:’20 to ’22: averaged 3% revenue growth’10 to ’19: averaged 2% revenue growth’00 to ’09: averaged 11% revenue growth’96 to ’99: averaged 14% revenue growthWhat happened to Walmart’s revenue growth, if the same “compare” were run for Amazon, Amazon (and probably Costco too) would likely be the mirror image of these bullet points, which is probably a surprise to no one.Walmart’s enormous competitive advantage today is that at least half their revenue – which was $600 billion TTM as of the last earnings report – is grocery, the holy grail of retail since it’s low cost and it drives foot traffic.Walmart has to be the largest grocer in the world, or at the very least America, although I heard one CNBC guest around Walmart’s last earnings report say that he thought grocery was now 70% of Walmart’s total revenue. (That was a surprise.)When Jeff Bezos stepped down as Amazon CEO, he said he was going to take on the “physical store” aspect of Amazon’s revenue base, which is the Whole Foods acquisition, thus while the big opportunity for Amazon is still “grocery” that has to be a very long uphill battle for the ecommerce giant given Walmart’s dominance. Not being a sell-side analyst it would seem that Costco and Kroger (KR) represent larger competitive threats to Walmart today than Amazon.Agreeing in principle with the Wall Street Journal article, I hope this article provided a little more “analytical flavor” in terms of the numbers (and this article was probably too technical for easy reading), since these 4 retailers represent 6.5% of what was 2021 total GDP of $23 trillion.Typically and historically per what’s been read, once inflation starts to roll over, it tends to continue to fall, so as Walmart and Amazon work through their bloated inventory and supply chain issues, expect more pressure on inflation, and in Walmart’s case especially food inflation.Take everything you read here as one opinion, and with a substantial grain of salt. Hopefully, readers found the content interesting.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HD":1,"COST":1,"AMZN":0.9,"WMT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3975,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9007966852,"gmtCreate":1642739860383,"gmtModify":1676533742261,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581934736299674","authorIdStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9007966852","repostId":"2205013143","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2205013143","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1642715726,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2205013143?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-21 05:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Drops as Bargain-Hunting Loses Steam","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2205013143","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Stocks rebound fades day after Nasdaq correction* Peloton tumbles after report co is pausing produ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Stocks rebound fades day after Nasdaq correction</p><p>* Peloton tumbles after report co is pausing production</p><p>* Travelers up after reporting record quarterly profit</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 0.89%, S&amp;P 1.1%, Nasdaq 1.3%</p><p>Jan 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes ended sharply lower on Thursday and a rally in U.S. stocks evaporated late in the session as investors considered whether equities were bargains after a sell-off to start the year that has seen the Nasdaq fall into correction territory.</p><p>Major U.S. indexes had been gaining solidly for much of the day, following a steep drop to start the week.</p><p>The Nasdaq on Wednesday closed more that 10% below its November all-time high, confirming it was in a correction. The tech-heavy index has now fallen nearly 12% from its record high and on Thursday closed at its lowest level since June.</p><p>“There seems to be a whole lack of conviction,&#34; said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab. &#34;The dip-buyers step in, but then they run out of momentum.”</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average    fell 313.26 points, or 0.89%, to 34,715.39, the S&amp;P 500    lost 50.03 points, or 1.10%, to 4,482.73 and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 186.24 points, or 1.3%, to 14,154.02.</p><p>Of 11 major S&amp;P 500 sectors, 10 finished lower, with the consumer discretionary sector    falling 1.9%. Utilities eked out a 0.1% gain.</p><p>Putting a further damper on growth stocks, shares of Peloton Interactive tumbled nearly 24% after CNBC reported that the exercise bike maker is pausing production of its connected fitness products as demand wanes and the company looks to control costs. Peloton was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the mainstays of the stay-at-home trade in 2020.</p><p>After the bell, shares of Netflix    dropped sharply after the company fell short of Wall Street forecasts for new subscribers at the end of last year and offered a weaker-than-expected forecast for early 2022.</p><p>Stocks have gotten off to a rocky start in 2022, as a fast rise in Treasury yields amid concerns the Federal Reserve will become aggressive in controlling inflation has particularly hit tech and growth shares. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 is down nearly 6% so far this year.</p><p>&#34;I just think we&#39;re in for a kind of rocky period here for the month of January,&#34; said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. &#34;Valuations are high, rates are going up, the outlook is murky -- there&#39;s more to worry about now than there was several months ago.&#34;</p><p>Investors are also turning to fourth-quarter earnings reports as they start to roll in.</p><p>Shares of Travelers Cos rose 3.2% after the property and casualty insurer reported a record quarterly profit.</p><p>Baker Hughes shares climbed 1.6% after the company reported an adjusted quarterly profit and topped analysts&#39; earnings expectations as higher energy prices fuel demand for its equipment and services.</p><p>Data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose last week, likely as a winter wave of COVID-19 infections disrupted business activity.</p><p>The NYSE Tick index   , which measures stocks making an uptick and subtracts stocks making a downtick, plunged to a low of -2,007 late in the session. That was the sixth lowest intraday tick in history using Refinitiv data back to early 1989.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.75-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.39-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and eight new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 18 new highs and 545 new lows.</p><p>About 11.9 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 10.1 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p>Peloton shares plunge 27% after report on production pause U.S. insurer Travelers posts record profit on investment returns.</p><p>Baker Hughes posts Q4 profit as higher oil prices spur drilling demand      U.S. weekly jobless claims at three-month high amid Omicron wave.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Drops as Bargain-Hunting Loses Steam</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Drops as Bargain-Hunting Loses Steam\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-21 05:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Stocks rebound fades day after Nasdaq correction</p><p>* Peloton tumbles after report co is pausing production</p><p>* Travelers up after reporting record quarterly profit</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 0.89%, S&amp;P 1.1%, Nasdaq 1.3%</p><p>Jan 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes ended sharply lower on Thursday and a rally in U.S. stocks evaporated late in the session as investors considered whether equities were bargains after a sell-off to start the year that has seen the Nasdaq fall into correction territory.</p><p>Major U.S. indexes had been gaining solidly for much of the day, following a steep drop to start the week.</p><p>The Nasdaq on Wednesday closed more that 10% below its November all-time high, confirming it was in a correction. The tech-heavy index has now fallen nearly 12% from its record high and on Thursday closed at its lowest level since June.</p><p>“There seems to be a whole lack of conviction,&#34; said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab. &#34;The dip-buyers step in, but then they run out of momentum.”</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average    fell 313.26 points, or 0.89%, to 34,715.39, the S&amp;P 500    lost 50.03 points, or 1.10%, to 4,482.73 and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 186.24 points, or 1.3%, to 14,154.02.</p><p>Of 11 major S&amp;P 500 sectors, 10 finished lower, with the consumer discretionary sector    falling 1.9%. Utilities eked out a 0.1% gain.</p><p>Putting a further damper on growth stocks, shares of Peloton Interactive tumbled nearly 24% after CNBC reported that the exercise bike maker is pausing production of its connected fitness products as demand wanes and the company looks to control costs. Peloton was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the mainstays of the stay-at-home trade in 2020.</p><p>After the bell, shares of Netflix    dropped sharply after the company fell short of Wall Street forecasts for new subscribers at the end of last year and offered a weaker-than-expected forecast for early 2022.</p><p>Stocks have gotten off to a rocky start in 2022, as a fast rise in Treasury yields amid concerns the Federal Reserve will become aggressive in controlling inflation has particularly hit tech and growth shares. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 is down nearly 6% so far this year.</p><p>&#34;I just think we&#39;re in for a kind of rocky period here for the month of January,&#34; said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. &#34;Valuations are high, rates are going up, the outlook is murky -- there&#39;s more to worry about now than there was several months ago.&#34;</p><p>Investors are also turning to fourth-quarter earnings reports as they start to roll in.</p><p>Shares of Travelers Cos rose 3.2% after the property and casualty insurer reported a record quarterly profit.</p><p>Baker Hughes shares climbed 1.6% after the company reported an adjusted quarterly profit and topped analysts&#39; earnings expectations as higher energy prices fuel demand for its equipment and services.</p><p>Data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose last week, likely as a winter wave of COVID-19 infections disrupted business activity.</p><p>The NYSE Tick index   , which measures stocks making an uptick and subtracts stocks making a downtick, plunged to a low of -2,007 late in the session. That was the sixth lowest intraday tick in history using Refinitiv data back to early 1989.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.75-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.39-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and eight new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 18 new highs and 545 new lows.</p><p>About 11.9 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 10.1 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p>Peloton shares plunge 27% after report on production pause U.S. insurer Travelers posts record profit on investment returns.</p><p>Baker Hughes posts Q4 profit as higher oil prices spur drilling demand      U.S. weekly jobless claims at three-month high amid Omicron wave.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4108":"电影和娱乐",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4566":"资本集团",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","NFLX":"奈飞","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2205013143","content_text":"* Stocks rebound fades day after Nasdaq correction* Peloton tumbles after report co is pausing production* Travelers up after reporting record quarterly profit* Indexes down: Dow 0.89%, S&P 1.1%, Nasdaq 1.3%Jan 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes ended sharply lower on Thursday and a rally in U.S. stocks evaporated late in the session as investors considered whether equities were bargains after a sell-off to start the year that has seen the Nasdaq fall into correction territory.Major U.S. indexes had been gaining solidly for much of the day, following a steep drop to start the week.The Nasdaq on Wednesday closed more that 10% below its November all-time high, confirming it was in a correction. The tech-heavy index has now fallen nearly 12% from its record high and on Thursday closed at its lowest level since June.“There seems to be a whole lack of conviction,\" said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab. \"The dip-buyers step in, but then they run out of momentum.”The Dow Jones Industrial Average    fell 313.26 points, or 0.89%, to 34,715.39, the S&P 500    lost 50.03 points, or 1.10%, to 4,482.73 and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 186.24 points, or 1.3%, to 14,154.02.Of 11 major S&P 500 sectors, 10 finished lower, with the consumer discretionary sector    falling 1.9%. Utilities eked out a 0.1% gain.Putting a further damper on growth stocks, shares of Peloton Interactive tumbled nearly 24% after CNBC reported that the exercise bike maker is pausing production of its connected fitness products as demand wanes and the company looks to control costs. Peloton was one of the mainstays of the stay-at-home trade in 2020.After the bell, shares of Netflix    dropped sharply after the company fell short of Wall Street forecasts for new subscribers at the end of last year and offered a weaker-than-expected forecast for early 2022.Stocks have gotten off to a rocky start in 2022, as a fast rise in Treasury yields amid concerns the Federal Reserve will become aggressive in controlling inflation has particularly hit tech and growth shares. The benchmark S&P 500 is down nearly 6% so far this year.\"I just think we're in for a kind of rocky period here for the month of January,\" said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. \"Valuations are high, rates are going up, the outlook is murky -- there's more to worry about now than there was several months ago.\"Investors are also turning to fourth-quarter earnings reports as they start to roll in.Shares of Travelers Cos rose 3.2% after the property and casualty insurer reported a record quarterly profit.Baker Hughes shares climbed 1.6% after the company reported an adjusted quarterly profit and topped analysts' earnings expectations as higher energy prices fuel demand for its equipment and services.Data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose last week, likely as a winter wave of COVID-19 infections disrupted business activity.The NYSE Tick index   , which measures stocks making an uptick and subtracts stocks making a downtick, plunged to a low of -2,007 late in the session. That was the sixth lowest intraday tick in history using Refinitiv data back to early 1989.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.75-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.39-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and eight new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 18 new highs and 545 new lows.About 11.9 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 10.1 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.Peloton shares plunge 27% after report on production pause U.S. insurer Travelers posts record profit on investment returns.Baker Hughes posts Q4 profit as higher oil prices spur drilling demand      U.S. weekly jobless claims at three-month high amid Omicron wave.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NQmain":0.9,"NFLX":0.6,"SPY":0.6,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9005644556,"gmtCreate":1642298023077,"gmtModify":1676533699038,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581934736299674","authorIdStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9005644556","repostId":"2203201745","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2203201745","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1642201908,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2203201745?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-15 07:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Dow Closes Lower after Disappointing Bank Results","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2203201745","media":"Reuters","summary":"The Dow closed lower with a big drag from financial stocks as investors were disappointed by fourth quarter results from big U.S. banks, which cast a shadow over the earnings season kick-off.The Nasda","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow closed lower with a big drag from financial stocks as investors were disappointed by fourth quarter results from big U.S. banks, which cast a shadow over the earnings season kick-off.</p><p>The Nasdaq and the S&amp;P regained lost ground in afternoon trading to close higher. Meanwhile the consumer discretionary</p><p>also put pressure on major indexes after morning data showed a December decline in retail sales and a souring of consumer sentiment.</p><p>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co tumbled after reporting weaker performance at its trading arm. The bellwether lender also warned that soaring inflation, the looming threat of Omicron and trading revenues would challenge industry growth in coming months.</p><p>Along with JPMorgan, big decliners putting pressure on the Dow included Goldman Sachs, American Express and Home Depot.</p><p>$Citigroup Inc(C-N)$ shares fell after it reported a 26% drop in fourth-quarter profit, while asset manager BlackRock Inc</p><p>fell after missing quarterly revenue expectations.</p><p>The earnings kick-off had investors taking profits in the S&amp;P 500 bank subsector after it had hit an intraday high in the previous session. Financial stocks had been outperforming the S&amp;P recently as investors bet that the Federal Reserve&#39;s expected interest rate hikes will boost bank profits.</p><p>&#34;The bar was very high going into (JPMorgan) results. On the surface it was good but, under the hood, not so much,&#34; said Michael James, managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles. In the interest rate hiking cycle expected this year &#34;positioning was very crowded on the long side&#34; going into the earnings season.</p><p>For consumer stock weakness, James pointed to &#34;clearly disappointing&#34; retail sales, which dropped 1.9% last month due to shortages of goods and an explosion of COVID-19 infections.</p><p>Separate data showed soaring inflation hit U.S. consumer sentiment in January, pushing it to its second lowest level in a decade.</p><p>Retail sales and bank loan growth raised doubts about the economic outlook for the current quarter and 2022 for Keith Buchanan, portfolio manager at Globalt in Atlanta.</p><p>&#34;The question is, does the economy have enough strength to get through the risk Omicron brings as fiscal and monetary stimulus is rolling off,&#34; Buchanan said.</p><p>According to preliminary data, the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.89 points, or 0.06%, to end at 4,661.92 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 81.98 points, or 0.55%, to 14,889.73. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 208.43 points, or 0.58%, to 35,905.19.</p><p>Analysts see S&amp;P 500 companies earnings rising 23.1% in the fourth quarter, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p>One bright spot in the bank sector on Friday however was Wells Fargo &amp; Co, which gained ground after posting a bigger-than-expected rise in fourth-quarter profit.</p><p>Casino operators Las Vegas Sands, Melco Resorts and Wynn Resorts rallied after Macau&#39;s government capped the number of new casino operators allowed to operate to six for a period of 10 years.</p><p>U.S. stock markets will remain shut on Monday for the public holiday in honor of Martin Luther King.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Dow Closes Lower after Disappointing Bank Results</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Dow Closes Lower after Disappointing Bank Results\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-15 07:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow closed lower with a big drag from financial stocks as investors were disappointed by fourth quarter results from big U.S. banks, which cast a shadow over the earnings season kick-off.</p><p>The Nasdaq and the S&amp;P regained lost ground in afternoon trading to close higher. Meanwhile the consumer discretionary</p><p>also put pressure on major indexes after morning data showed a December decline in retail sales and a souring of consumer sentiment.</p><p>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co tumbled after reporting weaker performance at its trading arm. The bellwether lender also warned that soaring inflation, the looming threat of Omicron and trading revenues would challenge industry growth in coming months.</p><p>Along with JPMorgan, big decliners putting pressure on the Dow included Goldman Sachs, American Express and Home Depot.</p><p>$Citigroup Inc(C-N)$ shares fell after it reported a 26% drop in fourth-quarter profit, while asset manager BlackRock Inc</p><p>fell after missing quarterly revenue expectations.</p><p>The earnings kick-off had investors taking profits in the S&amp;P 500 bank subsector after it had hit an intraday high in the previous session. Financial stocks had been outperforming the S&amp;P recently as investors bet that the Federal Reserve&#39;s expected interest rate hikes will boost bank profits.</p><p>&#34;The bar was very high going into (JPMorgan) results. On the surface it was good but, under the hood, not so much,&#34; said Michael James, managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles. In the interest rate hiking cycle expected this year &#34;positioning was very crowded on the long side&#34; going into the earnings season.</p><p>For consumer stock weakness, James pointed to &#34;clearly disappointing&#34; retail sales, which dropped 1.9% last month due to shortages of goods and an explosion of COVID-19 infections.</p><p>Separate data showed soaring inflation hit U.S. consumer sentiment in January, pushing it to its second lowest level in a decade.</p><p>Retail sales and bank loan growth raised doubts about the economic outlook for the current quarter and 2022 for Keith Buchanan, portfolio manager at Globalt in Atlanta.</p><p>&#34;The question is, does the economy have enough strength to get through the risk Omicron brings as fiscal and monetary stimulus is rolling off,&#34; Buchanan said.</p><p>According to preliminary data, the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.89 points, or 0.06%, to end at 4,661.92 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 81.98 points, or 0.55%, to 14,889.73. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 208.43 points, or 0.58%, to 35,905.19.</p><p>Analysts see S&amp;P 500 companies earnings rising 23.1% in the fourth quarter, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p>One bright spot in the bank sector on Friday however was Wells Fargo &amp; Co, which gained ground after posting a bigger-than-expected rise in fourth-quarter profit.</p><p>Casino operators Las Vegas Sands, Melco Resorts and Wynn Resorts rallied after Macau&#39;s government capped the number of new casino operators allowed to operate to six for a period of 10 years.</p><p>U.S. stock markets will remain shut on Monday for the public holiday in honor of Martin Luther King.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4566":"资本集团","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","HD":"家得宝","BK4567":"ESG概念",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AXP":"美国运通","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4166":"消费信贷","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4083":"家庭装潢零售",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GS":"高盛","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2203201745","content_text":"The Dow closed lower with a big drag from financial stocks as investors were disappointed by fourth quarter results from big U.S. banks, which cast a shadow over the earnings season kick-off.The Nasdaq and the S&P regained lost ground in afternoon trading to close higher. Meanwhile the consumer discretionaryalso put pressure on major indexes after morning data showed a December decline in retail sales and a souring of consumer sentiment.JPMorgan Chase & Co tumbled after reporting weaker performance at its trading arm. The bellwether lender also warned that soaring inflation, the looming threat of Omicron and trading revenues would challenge industry growth in coming months.Along with JPMorgan, big decliners putting pressure on the Dow included Goldman Sachs, American Express and Home Depot.$Citigroup Inc(C-N)$ shares fell after it reported a 26% drop in fourth-quarter profit, while asset manager BlackRock Incfell after missing quarterly revenue expectations.The earnings kick-off had investors taking profits in the S&P 500 bank subsector after it had hit an intraday high in the previous session. Financial stocks had been outperforming the S&P recently as investors bet that the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate hikes will boost bank profits.\"The bar was very high going into (JPMorgan) results. On the surface it was good but, under the hood, not so much,\" said Michael James, managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles. In the interest rate hiking cycle expected this year \"positioning was very crowded on the long side\" going into the earnings season.For consumer stock weakness, James pointed to \"clearly disappointing\" retail sales, which dropped 1.9% last month due to shortages of goods and an explosion of COVID-19 infections.Separate data showed soaring inflation hit U.S. consumer sentiment in January, pushing it to its second lowest level in a decade.Retail sales and bank loan growth raised doubts about the economic outlook for the current quarter and 2022 for Keith Buchanan, portfolio manager at Globalt in Atlanta.\"The question is, does the economy have enough strength to get through the risk Omicron brings as fiscal and monetary stimulus is rolling off,\" Buchanan said.According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 gained 2.89 points, or 0.06%, to end at 4,661.92 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 81.98 points, or 0.55%, to 14,889.73. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 208.43 points, or 0.58%, to 35,905.19.Analysts see S&P 500 companies earnings rising 23.1% in the fourth quarter, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.One bright spot in the bank sector on Friday however was Wells Fargo & Co, which gained ground after posting a bigger-than-expected rise in fourth-quarter profit.Casino operators Las Vegas Sands, Melco Resorts and Wynn Resorts rallied after Macau's government capped the number of new casino operators allowed to operate to six for a period of 10 years.U.S. stock markets will remain shut on Monday for the public holiday in honor of Martin Luther King.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9,"HD":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.6,".DJI":0.9,"AXP":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9902690097,"gmtCreate":1659679186921,"gmtModify":1704964057210,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581934736299674","authorIdStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls&nbsp;","listText":"Like pls&nbsp;","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9902690097","repostId":"2257189555","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9047684877,"gmtCreate":1656908421299,"gmtModify":1676535914346,"author":{"id":"3581934736299674","authorId":"3581934736299674","name":"kel0508","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893b8204be964dc6d17ba74e699e3c2a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581934736299674","authorIdStr":"3581934736299674"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9047684877","repostId":"1184947522","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184947522","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656889883,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184947522?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-04 07:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Long, Moderate and Painful: What Next US Recession May Look Like","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184947522","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"US lacks buildup of leverage that preceded past deep downturnsBut Fed may not ride to rescue, given ","content":"<div>\n<p>US lacks buildup of leverage that preceded past deep downturnsBut Fed may not ride to rescue, given its inflation missionRecessions, like unhappy families, are each painful in their own way.And the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-03/long-moderate-and-painful-what-next-us-recession-may-look-like\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Long, Moderate and Painful: What Next US Recession May Look Like</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLong, Moderate and Painful: What Next US Recession May Look Like\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-04 07:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-03/long-moderate-and-painful-what-next-us-recession-may-look-like><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>US lacks buildup of leverage that preceded past deep downturnsBut Fed may not ride to rescue, given its inflation missionRecessions, like unhappy families, are each painful in their own way.And the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-03/long-moderate-and-painful-what-next-us-recession-may-look-like\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-03/long-moderate-and-painful-what-next-us-recession-may-look-like","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184947522","content_text":"US lacks buildup of leverage that preceded past deep downturnsBut Fed may not ride to rescue, given its inflation missionRecessions, like unhappy families, are each painful in their own way.And the next one -- which economists see as increasingly possible by the end of next year -- will probably bear that out. A US downturn may well be modest, but it might also be long.Many observers expect any decline to be a lot less wrenching than the 2007-09 Great Financial Crisis and the back-to-back downturns seen in the 1980s, when inflation was last this high. The economy is simply not as far out of whack as it was in those earlier periods, they say.America's Post-WWII RecessionsSources: National Bureau of Economic Research, Bureau of Economic AnalysisNote: Dates denote starts of recessions. BEA lists 2001 as 0.5% rise in GDP.While the recession may be moderate, it could end up lasting longer than the abbreviated, eight-month contractions of 1990-91 and 2001. That’s because elevated inflation may hold the Federal Reserve back from rushing to reverse the downturn.“The good news is there’s a limit to how severe it’s going to be,” said Nomura Securities senior US economist Robert Dent. “The bad news is it’s going to be prolonged.” The former New York Fed analyst sees a roughly 2% contraction that begins in the fourth quarter and lasts through next year.No matter what shape the pullback takes, one thing seems certain: There will be a lot of hurt when it comes. In the dozen recessions since World War II, on average the economy contracted by 2.5%, unemployment rose about 3.8 percentage points and corporate profits fell some 15%. The average length was 10 months.Even a downturn on the shallower end of the spectrum would likely see hundreds of thousands of Americans -- at least -- lose their jobs. The batteredstock marketmay suffer a further fall as earnings drop. And President Joe Biden’s already poor pollratingscould take another hit.“This would be the sixth or seventh recession, I think, since I started doing this,” private-equity veteran Scott Sperling said. “Every one of them is somewhat different, and every one of them feels equally painful.”Signs of economic weakness are multiplying, with personalspendingfalling in May for the first time this year, after accounting for inflation, and a US manufacturing gauge hitting atwo-year lowin June. JPMorgan Chase & Co. chief US economist Michael Feroli responded to the latest data by cutting his mid-year growth forecasts “perilously closeto a recession.”The depth and length of the recession will largely be determined by how persistent inflation proves to be, and by how much pain the Fed is willing to inflict on the economy to bring it down to levels it deems acceptable.Inflation GenieAllianz SE chief economic adviser Mohamed El-Erian said he’s worried about a stop-go scenario akin to the 1970s, where the Fed prematurely eases policy in response to economic weakness before it has eradicated inflation from the system.Such a strategy would set the stage for a deeper economic decline down the road, and even greater inequality, the Bloomberg Opinion columnist said. El-Erian was out front in warning last year the Fed was making a big blunder by playing down the inflationary threat.“The Fed is not going to pause until they see that inflation has convincingly come down. That means that this Fed will be hiking well into economic weakness, likely prolonging the duration of the recession.”-- Anna Wong, chief US economistFor his part, Fed Chair Jerome Powell hasarguedthat while there’s a risk of a recession, the economy is still in good enough shape to withstand the Fed’s interest-rate hikes and dodge a downturn.A growing number of private economists aren’t convinced.“A faltering economy is all but inevitable,” said Lindsey Piegza, chief economist for Stifel Nicolaus & Co. “The question has moved beyond if we are going to see a recession to what’s the depth and duration of a downturn.”Just as happened some 40 years ago, the decline in gross domestic product will be driven by a central bank determined to rein in runaway consumer prices. The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge is more than triple its 2% objective.But there are good reasons to expect the outcome won’t be nearly as bad as the early 1980s, or the 2007-09 financial crisis -- episodes when unemployment soared to double-digit levels.As Goldman Sachs Group Inc. chief economist Jan Hatzius has noted, inflation isn’t as embedded in the economy or in Americans’ psyche as it was when Paul Volcker took the helm of the Fed in 1979 after a decade of persistently powerful price pressures. So it won’t take nearly as big of a slump for today’s Fed to bring price rises down to more acceptable levels.Prominent academic economist Robert Gordonreckonsthe Fed’s task today requires about half the amount of disinflation that Volcker had to put the economy through.What’s more, consumers, banks and the housing market are all better placed to weather economic turbulence than they were ahead of the 2007-09 recession.“Private-sector balance sheets are in good shape,” said Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. chief US economist Matthew Luzzetti. “We haven’t seen leverage taken out to the extent that we saw” ahead of the financial crisis.Thanks in part to hefty government handouts that boosted savings, household debt obligations amounted to just 9.5% of disposable personal income in the first quarter, according to Feddata. That’s well below the 13.2% seen in late 2007.Banks, for their part, recentlyacedthe Fed’s latest stress test, proving they have the wherewithal to withstand a nasty combination of surging unemployment, collapsing real-estate prices and a plunge in stocks.Housing MarketAnd while housing has been battered of late by the Fed-engineered surge in mortgage rates, it too is in a better place than 2006-07, when it was awash with supply due to a speculative building boom.Today the US is about 2 million housing units “short of what our demographic profile would suggest at this point,” said Doug Duncan, chief economist at Fannie Mae. “That puts a floor to some degree under how big a recession could be.”Duncan’s base case is for a sharp depreciation in home-price increases, but not an outright decline.In the labor market, an underlying shortage of workers -- thanks to baby boomers retiring and immigration lagging -- is likely to make companies more cautious about shedding staff in a downturn, especially if it’s a mild one.“The story of the past two years has been businesses struggling to find workers,” said Jay Bryson, chief economist for Wells Fargo’s Corporate and Investment Bank. “We don’t think you’re going to see mass layoffs.”Some economists say the next recession will prove long-lived, however, if the Fed holds back from riding to the economy’s rescue -- as it’s signaled it might if inflation stays stubbornly high.Powelltolda central banking conference last week that failing to restore price stability would be a “bigger mistake” than pushing the US into a recession.Fiscal policy will also be hamstrung -- and could well turn contractionary -- if Republicans win back power in Congress, as looks likely in November midterm elections. In an echo of what happened after the financial crisis, GOP lawmakers might use debt-limit standoffs to push for cuts in government spending.While not predicting a downturn, JPMorgan’s Feroli agreed a recession may be lengthy if one occurred. That would particularly be true if the Fed is again hampered from providing the economy with help by not being able to cut interest rates below zero.“We don’t think it will be a severe one but it could be a long one,” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}