Sephiroth95 personal page - To The Moon

Sephiroth95

Sephiroth95

No personal profile

15Follow

1Followers

1Topic

0Badge

2022-08-30

$DJIA(.DJI)$will going down below 10k then rebound again

2022-07-06

Good

Is the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure

2022-11-03

$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$gogo to the moon 🌙

2022-10-18

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@TechnicalHunter:Not A One-day Rebound? 3 Reasons & Key Levels Discussion: $USD $VIX $SPX $IXIC $DJIA

2022-07-13

Good article

Charlie Munger Says Avoid Crypto Like An Open Sewer

2022-07-08

Nasdap rebound will touch and reach 13000 then back to normal again

2022-07-07

nasdap gonna to drop

Tech gonna crash soon we wait and seeCandle aldy form

nasdap gonna to drop

2022-07-05

Semiconductor industry can't perform well road to holan soon

2022-07-04

to the moon

After the nasdaq I think gard to the moon need wait 1years plus only can fly

2022-07-01

nasdap soon break 10k resistance back to below 10k

Let us hope this then sqqq can up up very safe and steady

nasdap soon break 10k resistance back to below 10k

Go to Tiger App to see more news

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3581974215691324","uuid":"3581974215691324","gmtCreate":1618880632886,"gmtModify":1625625361029,"name":"Sephiroth95","pinyin":"sephiroth95","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":1,"headSize":15,"tweetSize":11,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":1,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":1,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-2","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Senior Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 1000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.01.15","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-1","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Boss Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $100,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8dfc27c1ee0e25db1c93e9d0b641101","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43908c142f8a33c78f5bdf0e2897488","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82165ff19cb8a786e8919f92acee5213","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.11.05","exceedPercentage":"60.01%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-2","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Master Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 100","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.05.10","exceedPercentage":"80.48%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":9985703890,"gmtCreate":1667450101810,"gmtModify":1676537920612,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$</a>gogo to the moon 🌙&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$</a>gogo to the moon 🌙&nbsp;","text":"$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$gogo to the moon 🌙","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985703890","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989761083,"gmtCreate":1666088602743,"gmtModify":1676537704163,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989761083","repostId":"9989738417","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9989738417,"gmtCreate":1666080154439,"gmtModify":1676537702715,"author":{"id":"3448793367875557","authorId":"3448793367875557","name":"TechnicalHunter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20616c062c392e47ee8fc9107f46437d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3448793367875557","authorIdStr":"3448793367875557"},"themes":[],"title":"Not A One-day Rebound? 3 Reasons & Key Levels Discussion: $USD $VIX $SPX $IXIC $DJIA","htmlText":"Feels like wild moves on&nbsp;the stock&nbsp;market?&nbsp;Correct!Said&nbsp;by&nbsp;ThinkMarkets analyst&nbsp;Carl Capolingua，Last 3 sessions = never happened before! Yes,&nbsp;we've&nbsp;seen&nbsp;the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> posted its biggest intraday gain since the 2020 turmoil that saw the index near its March 2020 lows&nbsp;on&nbsp;last&nbsp;thursday. Then&nbsp;On Friday, the index gave up much of its gains. On&nbsp;monday&nbsp;session,The major&nbsp;index closed up again, with technology stocks in particular gaining the most.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> ,","listText":"Feels like wild moves on&nbsp;the stock&nbsp;market?&nbsp;Correct!Said&nbsp;by&nbsp;ThinkMarkets analyst&nbsp;Carl Capolingua，Last 3 sessions = never happened before! Yes,&nbsp;we've&nbsp;seen&nbsp;the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> posted its biggest intraday gain since the 2020 turmoil that saw the index near its March 2020 lows&nbsp;on&nbsp;last&nbsp;thursday. Then&nbsp;On Friday, the index gave up much of its gains. On&nbsp;monday&nbsp;session,The major&nbsp;index closed up again, with technology stocks in particular gaining the most.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> ,","text":"Feels like wild moves on the stock market? Correct!Said by ThinkMarkets analyst Carl Capolingua，Last 3 sessions = never happened before! Yes, we've seen the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ posted its biggest intraday gain since the 2020 turmoil that saw the index near its March 2020 lows on last thursday. Then On Friday, the index gave up much of its gains. On monday session,The major index closed up again, with technology stocks in particular gaining the most.$DJIA(.DJI)$ ,","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bcd7a401f36a60173214c9d9d83d2b6d","width":"2206","height":"1220"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/845a8e751c29b269acc03f8eaf2d02aa","width":"1316","height":"745"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ad77fb465d60051558e707383f31df5e","width":"1835","height":"899"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989738417","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930012307,"gmtCreate":1661871133311,"gmtModify":1676536594013,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a>will going down below 10k then rebound again&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a>will going down below 10k then rebound again&nbsp;","text":"$DJIA(.DJI)$will going down below 10k then rebound again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930012307","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078522628,"gmtCreate":1657719353464,"gmtModify":1676536050645,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article&nbsp;","listText":"Good article&nbsp;","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078522628","repostId":"1100179501","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100179501","pubTimestamp":1657717611,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100179501?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-13 21:06","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Charlie Munger Says Avoid Crypto Like An Open Sewer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100179501","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., unleashed a fresh batch of criticism of th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Charlie Munger</b>, vice chairman of <b>Berkshire Hathaway Inc.</b>, unleashed a fresh batch of criticism of the crypto industry.</p><p><b>What Happened:</b> Munger shared his best investment tips — one of which includes advice to “never touch” cryptocurrencies, in a recent interview with the Australian Financial Review.</p><p>“I just avoid it as if it were an open sewer, full of malicious organisms. I just totally avoid and recommended everybody else follow my example,” said Munger.</p><p>The 98-year-old billionaire investor said that the crypto craze was nothing but “mass folly,” reiterating his belief that any investment in crypto is worth nothing.</p><p>&#34;I regard it as almost insane to buy this stuff or to trade in it,&#34; he said.</p><p>In his view, just because something is scarce or difficult to create, it doesn’t warrant enough reason to own it as an investment.</p><p>&#34;I think anybody that sells this stuff is either delusional or evil,” said Munger, referring to the creators of tokens and individual crypto projects. &#34;I&#39;m not interested in undermining the national currencies of the world.&#34;</p><p>Cryptocurrencies have witnessed a massive selloff over the course of 2022, in what has been labeled the worst bear market in crypto history.</p><p><b>Price Action:</b> At press time, the leading digital asset <b>Bitcoin</b> was trading at $19,433. <b>Ethereum</b> was trading at $1,044 and <b>Dogecoin</b> was trading at $0.06.</p><p>Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading 70% below their all-time highs, while Dogecoin is down 91% from its peak price in 2021.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Charlie Munger Says Avoid Crypto Like An Open Sewer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCharlie Munger Says Avoid Crypto Like An Open Sewer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-13 21:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/07/28043520/charlie-munger-says-to-avoid-crypto-like-an-open-sewer><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., unleashed a fresh batch of criticism of the crypto industry.What Happened: Munger shared his best investment tips — one of which includes ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/07/28043520/charlie-munger-says-to-avoid-crypto-like-an-open-sewer\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/07/28043520/charlie-munger-says-to-avoid-crypto-like-an-open-sewer","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100179501","content_text":"Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., unleashed a fresh batch of criticism of the crypto industry.What Happened: Munger shared his best investment tips — one of which includes advice to “never touch” cryptocurrencies, in a recent interview with the Australian Financial Review.“I just avoid it as if it were an open sewer, full of malicious organisms. I just totally avoid and recommended everybody else follow my example,” said Munger.The 98-year-old billionaire investor said that the crypto craze was nothing but “mass folly,” reiterating his belief that any investment in crypto is worth nothing.\"I regard it as almost insane to buy this stuff or to trade in it,\" he said.In his view, just because something is scarce or difficult to create, it doesn’t warrant enough reason to own it as an investment.\"I think anybody that sells this stuff is either delusional or evil,” said Munger, referring to the creators of tokens and individual crypto projects. \"I'm not interested in undermining the national currencies of the world.\"Cryptocurrencies have witnessed a massive selloff over the course of 2022, in what has been labeled the worst bear market in crypto history.Price Action: At press time, the leading digital asset Bitcoin was trading at $19,433. Ethereum was trading at $1,044 and Dogecoin was trading at $0.06.Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading 70% below their all-time highs, while Dogecoin is down 91% from its peak price in 2021.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079784275,"gmtCreate":1657242242997,"gmtModify":1676535976959,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nasdap rebound will touch and reach 13000 then back to normal again","listText":"Nasdap rebound will touch and reach 13000 then back to normal again","text":"Nasdap rebound will touch and reach 13000 then back to normal again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079784275","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079026679,"gmtCreate":1657123760391,"gmtModify":1676535953743,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"title":"nasdap gonna to drop","htmlText":"Tech gonna crash soon we wait and seeCandle aldy form&nbsp;","listText":"Tech gonna crash soon we wait and seeCandle aldy form&nbsp;","text":"Tech gonna crash soon we wait and seeCandle aldy form","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079026679","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070833368,"gmtCreate":1657037395054,"gmtModify":1676535936850,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070833368","repostId":"2249306814","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2249306814","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1657035601,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2249306814?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-05 23:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249306814","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may ha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may have shrunk in the three months from April through June. Add that to the decline from January through March, and that would be a contraction for two quarters in a row.</p><p>By an often-cited rule of thumb, that means the world&#39;s largest economy is in recession.</p><p>But deciding when a recession has begun or predicting when one might occur is not straightforward. The &#34;two quarters&#34; definition is not how economists think about business cycles, because GDP is a broad measure that can be influenced by factors like government spending or international trade. Instead they focus on factors like jobs, industrial production, and incomes.</p><p>At issue now is personal consumption data for May, released last week, which showed spending and disposable income dropped on an inflation-adjusted basis. That sparked a host of gloomy forecasts for June, and increasing speculation that a downturn is coming soon, if it is not here already.</p><p>The weeks ahead are likely to include pitched debate about the real health of the economy. Whether the U.S. is headed for a recession or already in one is a growing concern for corporate chief executives and their employees, the Federal Reserve, and the administration of President Joe Biden.</p><h3>DOESN&#39;T FALLLING GDP = RECESSION?</h3><p>Not always. In 2001 gross domestic product, after revisions, fell in the first three months of the year, but then rebounded in the next three months to a level higher than it ended the year before. GDP declined again in the fall.</p><p>Even though there were not two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, the situation was dubbed a recession at the time, because employment and industrial production were falling.</p><p>The pandemic recession only lasted two months, from March to April 2020, even though the steep drop in economic activity over those weeks meant GDP shrank overall in both the first and second quarters of the year. In 2016 there was a noticeable drop in industrial activity that some dubbed a &#34;mini-recession,&#34; though GDP never declined.</p><h3>WHO DECIDES, AND HOW?</h3><p>In the United States the official call is made by a panel of economists convened by the National Bureau of Economic Research, and sometimes comes a year or more after the fact.</p><p>The private non-profit research group defines  &#39;s%20traditional%20definition,more%20than%20a%20few%20months recession as a &#34;significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months.&#34;</p><p>The panel concentrates on things like jobs and industrial output that are measured monthly, not quarterly like GDP. It examines the depth of any changes, how long declines seem to be lasting, and how broadly any trouble is spread.</p><p>There are tradeoffs.</p><p>In the pandemic, for example, the depth of the job loss, in excess of 20 million positions, offset the fact that growth resumed quickly, leading the group to officially call the situation a recession in early June, before the end of the second quarter.</p><p>While each of three criteria - depth, diffusion, and even duration — &#34;needs to be met individually to some degree, extreme conditions revealed by one criterion may partially offset weaker indications from another,&#34; the group says.</p><h3>SO ARE WE IN A RECESSION NOW?</h3><p>Almost certainly not. While the &#34;two quarter rule&#34; has caveats and exceptions, there has never been a recession declared without a loss of employment. Jobs are being added in the U.S. by hundreds of thousands monthly.</p><p>The pace will likely slow, but there would need to be a sharp reversal for the current path of job growth to turn into one that looks like recession.</p><p>Industrial production, another factor that figured prominently in declaring the 2001 recession, has also been rising steadily, at least through May.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE SAHM RULE?</h3><p>One criticism of the NBER&#39;s role as a recession arbiter is that its members take their time in order to avoid reacting to changes in jobs, production or other data that prove temporary. A closer to real-time recession indicator, called the Sahm rule after former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is based on the unemployment rate  .</p><p>It states that when the 3-month rolling average of the unemployment rate rises a half a percentage point from its low over the prior 12 months, the economy has entered a recession.</p><p>The Sahm rule shows no sign of a U.S. downturn. Instead, the unemployment rate has been below 4% and falling or stable since January.</p><h3>WHY DOES THE R-WORD MATTER?</h3><p>Discussion of a recession, and predictions that the U.S. economy is headed into one, can have an impact on what happens next. CEOs, investors and everyday consumers make decisions on where and how to spend money based on how they think sales, profits and employment conditions will evolve.</p><p>Economist Robert Shiller predicted in June that there was a &#34;good chance&#34; the U.S. would experience a recession as a result of a &#34;self-fulfilling prophecy&#34; as consumers and companies prepare for the worst. &#34;The fear can lead to the actuality,&#34; he told Bloomberg.</p><h3>WHAT IS A &#39;SHALLOW RECESSION?&#39;</h3><p>Recessions come in many shapes. They can be deep but brief, like the pandemic recession which sent the unemployment rate briefly to 14.7%. They can be deep and scarring, like the Great Recession or the Depression in the 1930s, taking years for the job market to regain lost ground.</p><p>Economists and analysts have recently flagged the possibility that the next U.S. recession may be a mild one. Even the shortest and weakest recessions have trimmed payroll jobs by more than 1%, which would currently amount to more than a million and a half people.</p><h3>WHAT IS A GROWTH RECESSION?</h3><p>Another idea discussed by some economists and analysts is a &#34;growth recession,&#34; in which economic growth slows below the U.S. long-term growth trend of 1.5 to 2 percent annually, while unemployment increases but not by a lot. This is the scenario mapped out by some Fed policymakers as the best case outcome of recent interest rate increases.</p><h3>WHAT&#39;S THE INVERTED YIELD CURVE LINK?</h3><p>When the market rate for short-term borrowing exceeds that for a longer-term loan, it is known as an inverted yield curve, and seen as a harbinger of a recession.</p><p>Historically at least some part of the yield curve has inverted before every recent recession, and alarm bells started ringing when that happened on June 13.</p><p>Research from the Federal Reserve argues that the most widely followed yield-curve measure, the gap between yields on the two-year and the 10-year Treasury notes, doesn&#39;t actually predict much of anything; a better gauge is the gap between three-month and 18-month rates, which has not inverted.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE BEAR MARKET LINK TO RECESSION?</h3><p>The recent steep stock sell-off has also set off alarms. Nine of 12 bear markets, or drops of more than 20%, that have occurred since 1948 have been accompanied by recessions, according to investment research firm CFRA.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-05 23:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may have shrunk in the three months from April through June. Add that to the decline from January through March, and that would be a contraction for two quarters in a row.</p><p>By an often-cited rule of thumb, that means the world&#39;s largest economy is in recession.</p><p>But deciding when a recession has begun or predicting when one might occur is not straightforward. The &#34;two quarters&#34; definition is not how economists think about business cycles, because GDP is a broad measure that can be influenced by factors like government spending or international trade. Instead they focus on factors like jobs, industrial production, and incomes.</p><p>At issue now is personal consumption data for May, released last week, which showed spending and disposable income dropped on an inflation-adjusted basis. That sparked a host of gloomy forecasts for June, and increasing speculation that a downturn is coming soon, if it is not here already.</p><p>The weeks ahead are likely to include pitched debate about the real health of the economy. Whether the U.S. is headed for a recession or already in one is a growing concern for corporate chief executives and their employees, the Federal Reserve, and the administration of President Joe Biden.</p><h3>DOESN&#39;T FALLLING GDP = RECESSION?</h3><p>Not always. In 2001 gross domestic product, after revisions, fell in the first three months of the year, but then rebounded in the next three months to a level higher than it ended the year before. GDP declined again in the fall.</p><p>Even though there were not two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, the situation was dubbed a recession at the time, because employment and industrial production were falling.</p><p>The pandemic recession only lasted two months, from March to April 2020, even though the steep drop in economic activity over those weeks meant GDP shrank overall in both the first and second quarters of the year. In 2016 there was a noticeable drop in industrial activity that some dubbed a &#34;mini-recession,&#34; though GDP never declined.</p><h3>WHO DECIDES, AND HOW?</h3><p>In the United States the official call is made by a panel of economists convened by the National Bureau of Economic Research, and sometimes comes a year or more after the fact.</p><p>The private non-profit research group defines  &#39;s%20traditional%20definition,more%20than%20a%20few%20months recession as a &#34;significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months.&#34;</p><p>The panel concentrates on things like jobs and industrial output that are measured monthly, not quarterly like GDP. It examines the depth of any changes, how long declines seem to be lasting, and how broadly any trouble is spread.</p><p>There are tradeoffs.</p><p>In the pandemic, for example, the depth of the job loss, in excess of 20 million positions, offset the fact that growth resumed quickly, leading the group to officially call the situation a recession in early June, before the end of the second quarter.</p><p>While each of three criteria - depth, diffusion, and even duration — &#34;needs to be met individually to some degree, extreme conditions revealed by one criterion may partially offset weaker indications from another,&#34; the group says.</p><h3>SO ARE WE IN A RECESSION NOW?</h3><p>Almost certainly not. While the &#34;two quarter rule&#34; has caveats and exceptions, there has never been a recession declared without a loss of employment. Jobs are being added in the U.S. by hundreds of thousands monthly.</p><p>The pace will likely slow, but there would need to be a sharp reversal for the current path of job growth to turn into one that looks like recession.</p><p>Industrial production, another factor that figured prominently in declaring the 2001 recession, has also been rising steadily, at least through May.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE SAHM RULE?</h3><p>One criticism of the NBER&#39;s role as a recession arbiter is that its members take their time in order to avoid reacting to changes in jobs, production or other data that prove temporary. A closer to real-time recession indicator, called the Sahm rule after former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is based on the unemployment rate  .</p><p>It states that when the 3-month rolling average of the unemployment rate rises a half a percentage point from its low over the prior 12 months, the economy has entered a recession.</p><p>The Sahm rule shows no sign of a U.S. downturn. Instead, the unemployment rate has been below 4% and falling or stable since January.</p><h3>WHY DOES THE R-WORD MATTER?</h3><p>Discussion of a recession, and predictions that the U.S. economy is headed into one, can have an impact on what happens next. CEOs, investors and everyday consumers make decisions on where and how to spend money based on how they think sales, profits and employment conditions will evolve.</p><p>Economist Robert Shiller predicted in June that there was a &#34;good chance&#34; the U.S. would experience a recession as a result of a &#34;self-fulfilling prophecy&#34; as consumers and companies prepare for the worst. &#34;The fear can lead to the actuality,&#34; he told Bloomberg.</p><h3>WHAT IS A &#39;SHALLOW RECESSION?&#39;</h3><p>Recessions come in many shapes. They can be deep but brief, like the pandemic recession which sent the unemployment rate briefly to 14.7%. They can be deep and scarring, like the Great Recession or the Depression in the 1930s, taking years for the job market to regain lost ground.</p><p>Economists and analysts have recently flagged the possibility that the next U.S. recession may be a mild one. Even the shortest and weakest recessions have trimmed payroll jobs by more than 1%, which would currently amount to more than a million and a half people.</p><h3>WHAT IS A GROWTH RECESSION?</h3><p>Another idea discussed by some economists and analysts is a &#34;growth recession,&#34; in which economic growth slows below the U.S. long-term growth trend of 1.5 to 2 percent annually, while unemployment increases but not by a lot. This is the scenario mapped out by some Fed policymakers as the best case outcome of recent interest rate increases.</p><h3>WHAT&#39;S THE INVERTED YIELD CURVE LINK?</h3><p>When the market rate for short-term borrowing exceeds that for a longer-term loan, it is known as an inverted yield curve, and seen as a harbinger of a recession.</p><p>Historically at least some part of the yield curve has inverted before every recent recession, and alarm bells started ringing when that happened on June 13.</p><p>Research from the Federal Reserve argues that the most widely followed yield-curve measure, the gap between yields on the two-year and the 10-year Treasury notes, doesn&#39;t actually predict much of anything; a better gauge is the gap between three-month and 18-month rates, which has not inverted.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE BEAR MARKET LINK TO RECESSION?</h3><p>The recent steep stock sell-off has also set off alarms. Nine of 12 bear markets, or drops of more than 20%, that have occurred since 1948 have been accompanied by recessions, according to investment research firm CFRA.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249306814","content_text":"(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may have shrunk in the three months from April through June. Add that to the decline from January through March, and that would be a contraction for two quarters in a row.By an often-cited rule of thumb, that means the world's largest economy is in recession.But deciding when a recession has begun or predicting when one might occur is not straightforward. The \"two quarters\" definition is not how economists think about business cycles, because GDP is a broad measure that can be influenced by factors like government spending or international trade. Instead they focus on factors like jobs, industrial production, and incomes.At issue now is personal consumption data for May, released last week, which showed spending and disposable income dropped on an inflation-adjusted basis. That sparked a host of gloomy forecasts for June, and increasing speculation that a downturn is coming soon, if it is not here already.The weeks ahead are likely to include pitched debate about the real health of the economy. Whether the U.S. is headed for a recession or already in one is a growing concern for corporate chief executives and their employees, the Federal Reserve, and the administration of President Joe Biden.DOESN'T FALLLING GDP = RECESSION?Not always. In 2001 gross domestic product, after revisions, fell in the first three months of the year, but then rebounded in the next three months to a level higher than it ended the year before. GDP declined again in the fall.Even though there were not two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, the situation was dubbed a recession at the time, because employment and industrial production were falling.The pandemic recession only lasted two months, from March to April 2020, even though the steep drop in economic activity over those weeks meant GDP shrank overall in both the first and second quarters of the year. In 2016 there was a noticeable drop in industrial activity that some dubbed a \"mini-recession,\" though GDP never declined.WHO DECIDES, AND HOW?In the United States the official call is made by a panel of economists convened by the National Bureau of Economic Research, and sometimes comes a year or more after the fact.The private non-profit research group defines  's%20traditional%20definition,more%20than%20a%20few%20months recession as a \"significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months.\"The panel concentrates on things like jobs and industrial output that are measured monthly, not quarterly like GDP. It examines the depth of any changes, how long declines seem to be lasting, and how broadly any trouble is spread.There are tradeoffs.In the pandemic, for example, the depth of the job loss, in excess of 20 million positions, offset the fact that growth resumed quickly, leading the group to officially call the situation a recession in early June, before the end of the second quarter.While each of three criteria - depth, diffusion, and even duration — \"needs to be met individually to some degree, extreme conditions revealed by one criterion may partially offset weaker indications from another,\" the group says.SO ARE WE IN A RECESSION NOW?Almost certainly not. While the \"two quarter rule\" has caveats and exceptions, there has never been a recession declared without a loss of employment. Jobs are being added in the U.S. by hundreds of thousands monthly.The pace will likely slow, but there would need to be a sharp reversal for the current path of job growth to turn into one that looks like recession.Industrial production, another factor that figured prominently in declaring the 2001 recession, has also been rising steadily, at least through May.WHAT IS THE SAHM RULE?One criticism of the NBER's role as a recession arbiter is that its members take their time in order to avoid reacting to changes in jobs, production or other data that prove temporary. A closer to real-time recession indicator, called the Sahm rule after former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is based on the unemployment rate  .It states that when the 3-month rolling average of the unemployment rate rises a half a percentage point from its low over the prior 12 months, the economy has entered a recession.The Sahm rule shows no sign of a U.S. downturn. Instead, the unemployment rate has been below 4% and falling or stable since January.WHY DOES THE R-WORD MATTER?Discussion of a recession, and predictions that the U.S. economy is headed into one, can have an impact on what happens next. CEOs, investors and everyday consumers make decisions on where and how to spend money based on how they think sales, profits and employment conditions will evolve.Economist Robert Shiller predicted in June that there was a \"good chance\" the U.S. would experience a recession as a result of a \"self-fulfilling prophecy\" as consumers and companies prepare for the worst. \"The fear can lead to the actuality,\" he told Bloomberg.WHAT IS A 'SHALLOW RECESSION?'Recessions come in many shapes. They can be deep but brief, like the pandemic recession which sent the unemployment rate briefly to 14.7%. They can be deep and scarring, like the Great Recession or the Depression in the 1930s, taking years for the job market to regain lost ground.Economists and analysts have recently flagged the possibility that the next U.S. recession may be a mild one. Even the shortest and weakest recessions have trimmed payroll jobs by more than 1%, which would currently amount to more than a million and a half people.WHAT IS A GROWTH RECESSION?Another idea discussed by some economists and analysts is a \"growth recession,\" in which economic growth slows below the U.S. long-term growth trend of 1.5 to 2 percent annually, while unemployment increases but not by a lot. This is the scenario mapped out by some Fed policymakers as the best case outcome of recent interest rate increases.WHAT'S THE INVERTED YIELD CURVE LINK?When the market rate for short-term borrowing exceeds that for a longer-term loan, it is known as an inverted yield curve, and seen as a harbinger of a recession.Historically at least some part of the yield curve has inverted before every recent recession, and alarm bells started ringing when that happened on June 13.Research from the Federal Reserve argues that the most widely followed yield-curve measure, the gap between yields on the two-year and the 10-year Treasury notes, doesn't actually predict much of anything; a better gauge is the gap between three-month and 18-month rates, which has not inverted.WHAT IS THE BEAR MARKET LINK TO RECESSION?The recent steep stock sell-off has also set off alarms. Nine of 12 bear markets, or drops of more than 20%, that have occurred since 1948 have been accompanied by recessions, according to investment research firm CFRA.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070354972,"gmtCreate":1657021515296,"gmtModify":1676535932939,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Semiconductor industry can't perform well road to holan soon","listText":"Semiconductor industry can't perform well road to holan soon","text":"Semiconductor industry can't perform well road to holan soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070354972","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9047655943,"gmtCreate":1656912955582,"gmtModify":1676535915068,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"title":"to the moon","htmlText":"After the nasdaq I think gard to the moon need wait 1years plus only can fly","listText":"After the nasdaq I think gard to the moon need wait 1years plus only can fly","text":"After the nasdaq I think gard to the moon need wait 1years plus only can fly","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9047655943","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045521107,"gmtCreate":1656636220409,"gmtModify":1676535867859,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"title":"nasdap soon break 10k resistance back to below 10k","htmlText":"Let us hope this then sqqq can up up very safe and steady&nbsp;","listText":"Let us hope this then sqqq can up up very safe and steady&nbsp;","text":"Let us hope this then sqqq can up up very safe and steady","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045521107","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9930012307,"gmtCreate":1661871133311,"gmtModify":1676536594013,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a>will going down below 10k then rebound again&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a>will going down below 10k then rebound again&nbsp;","text":"$DJIA(.DJI)$will going down below 10k then rebound again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930012307","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070833368,"gmtCreate":1657037395054,"gmtModify":1676535936850,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070833368","repostId":"2249306814","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2249306814","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1657035601,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2249306814?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-05 23:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249306814","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may ha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may have shrunk in the three months from April through June. Add that to the decline from January through March, and that would be a contraction for two quarters in a row.</p><p>By an often-cited rule of thumb, that means the world&#39;s largest economy is in recession.</p><p>But deciding when a recession has begun or predicting when one might occur is not straightforward. The &#34;two quarters&#34; definition is not how economists think about business cycles, because GDP is a broad measure that can be influenced by factors like government spending or international trade. Instead they focus on factors like jobs, industrial production, and incomes.</p><p>At issue now is personal consumption data for May, released last week, which showed spending and disposable income dropped on an inflation-adjusted basis. That sparked a host of gloomy forecasts for June, and increasing speculation that a downturn is coming soon, if it is not here already.</p><p>The weeks ahead are likely to include pitched debate about the real health of the economy. Whether the U.S. is headed for a recession or already in one is a growing concern for corporate chief executives and their employees, the Federal Reserve, and the administration of President Joe Biden.</p><h3>DOESN&#39;T FALLLING GDP = RECESSION?</h3><p>Not always. In 2001 gross domestic product, after revisions, fell in the first three months of the year, but then rebounded in the next three months to a level higher than it ended the year before. GDP declined again in the fall.</p><p>Even though there were not two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, the situation was dubbed a recession at the time, because employment and industrial production were falling.</p><p>The pandemic recession only lasted two months, from March to April 2020, even though the steep drop in economic activity over those weeks meant GDP shrank overall in both the first and second quarters of the year. In 2016 there was a noticeable drop in industrial activity that some dubbed a &#34;mini-recession,&#34; though GDP never declined.</p><h3>WHO DECIDES, AND HOW?</h3><p>In the United States the official call is made by a panel of economists convened by the National Bureau of Economic Research, and sometimes comes a year or more after the fact.</p><p>The private non-profit research group defines  &#39;s%20traditional%20definition,more%20than%20a%20few%20months recession as a &#34;significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months.&#34;</p><p>The panel concentrates on things like jobs and industrial output that are measured monthly, not quarterly like GDP. It examines the depth of any changes, how long declines seem to be lasting, and how broadly any trouble is spread.</p><p>There are tradeoffs.</p><p>In the pandemic, for example, the depth of the job loss, in excess of 20 million positions, offset the fact that growth resumed quickly, leading the group to officially call the situation a recession in early June, before the end of the second quarter.</p><p>While each of three criteria - depth, diffusion, and even duration — &#34;needs to be met individually to some degree, extreme conditions revealed by one criterion may partially offset weaker indications from another,&#34; the group says.</p><h3>SO ARE WE IN A RECESSION NOW?</h3><p>Almost certainly not. While the &#34;two quarter rule&#34; has caveats and exceptions, there has never been a recession declared without a loss of employment. Jobs are being added in the U.S. by hundreds of thousands monthly.</p><p>The pace will likely slow, but there would need to be a sharp reversal for the current path of job growth to turn into one that looks like recession.</p><p>Industrial production, another factor that figured prominently in declaring the 2001 recession, has also been rising steadily, at least through May.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE SAHM RULE?</h3><p>One criticism of the NBER&#39;s role as a recession arbiter is that its members take their time in order to avoid reacting to changes in jobs, production or other data that prove temporary. A closer to real-time recession indicator, called the Sahm rule after former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is based on the unemployment rate  .</p><p>It states that when the 3-month rolling average of the unemployment rate rises a half a percentage point from its low over the prior 12 months, the economy has entered a recession.</p><p>The Sahm rule shows no sign of a U.S. downturn. Instead, the unemployment rate has been below 4% and falling or stable since January.</p><h3>WHY DOES THE R-WORD MATTER?</h3><p>Discussion of a recession, and predictions that the U.S. economy is headed into one, can have an impact on what happens next. CEOs, investors and everyday consumers make decisions on where and how to spend money based on how they think sales, profits and employment conditions will evolve.</p><p>Economist Robert Shiller predicted in June that there was a &#34;good chance&#34; the U.S. would experience a recession as a result of a &#34;self-fulfilling prophecy&#34; as consumers and companies prepare for the worst. &#34;The fear can lead to the actuality,&#34; he told Bloomberg.</p><h3>WHAT IS A &#39;SHALLOW RECESSION?&#39;</h3><p>Recessions come in many shapes. They can be deep but brief, like the pandemic recession which sent the unemployment rate briefly to 14.7%. They can be deep and scarring, like the Great Recession or the Depression in the 1930s, taking years for the job market to regain lost ground.</p><p>Economists and analysts have recently flagged the possibility that the next U.S. recession may be a mild one. Even the shortest and weakest recessions have trimmed payroll jobs by more than 1%, which would currently amount to more than a million and a half people.</p><h3>WHAT IS A GROWTH RECESSION?</h3><p>Another idea discussed by some economists and analysts is a &#34;growth recession,&#34; in which economic growth slows below the U.S. long-term growth trend of 1.5 to 2 percent annually, while unemployment increases but not by a lot. This is the scenario mapped out by some Fed policymakers as the best case outcome of recent interest rate increases.</p><h3>WHAT&#39;S THE INVERTED YIELD CURVE LINK?</h3><p>When the market rate for short-term borrowing exceeds that for a longer-term loan, it is known as an inverted yield curve, and seen as a harbinger of a recession.</p><p>Historically at least some part of the yield curve has inverted before every recent recession, and alarm bells started ringing when that happened on June 13.</p><p>Research from the Federal Reserve argues that the most widely followed yield-curve measure, the gap between yields on the two-year and the 10-year Treasury notes, doesn&#39;t actually predict much of anything; a better gauge is the gap between three-month and 18-month rates, which has not inverted.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE BEAR MARKET LINK TO RECESSION?</h3><p>The recent steep stock sell-off has also set off alarms. Nine of 12 bear markets, or drops of more than 20%, that have occurred since 1948 have been accompanied by recessions, according to investment research firm CFRA.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-05 23:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may have shrunk in the three months from April through June. Add that to the decline from January through March, and that would be a contraction for two quarters in a row.</p><p>By an often-cited rule of thumb, that means the world&#39;s largest economy is in recession.</p><p>But deciding when a recession has begun or predicting when one might occur is not straightforward. The &#34;two quarters&#34; definition is not how economists think about business cycles, because GDP is a broad measure that can be influenced by factors like government spending or international trade. Instead they focus on factors like jobs, industrial production, and incomes.</p><p>At issue now is personal consumption data for May, released last week, which showed spending and disposable income dropped on an inflation-adjusted basis. That sparked a host of gloomy forecasts for June, and increasing speculation that a downturn is coming soon, if it is not here already.</p><p>The weeks ahead are likely to include pitched debate about the real health of the economy. Whether the U.S. is headed for a recession or already in one is a growing concern for corporate chief executives and their employees, the Federal Reserve, and the administration of President Joe Biden.</p><h3>DOESN&#39;T FALLLING GDP = RECESSION?</h3><p>Not always. In 2001 gross domestic product, after revisions, fell in the first three months of the year, but then rebounded in the next three months to a level higher than it ended the year before. GDP declined again in the fall.</p><p>Even though there were not two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, the situation was dubbed a recession at the time, because employment and industrial production were falling.</p><p>The pandemic recession only lasted two months, from March to April 2020, even though the steep drop in economic activity over those weeks meant GDP shrank overall in both the first and second quarters of the year. In 2016 there was a noticeable drop in industrial activity that some dubbed a &#34;mini-recession,&#34; though GDP never declined.</p><h3>WHO DECIDES, AND HOW?</h3><p>In the United States the official call is made by a panel of economists convened by the National Bureau of Economic Research, and sometimes comes a year or more after the fact.</p><p>The private non-profit research group defines  &#39;s%20traditional%20definition,more%20than%20a%20few%20months recession as a &#34;significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months.&#34;</p><p>The panel concentrates on things like jobs and industrial output that are measured monthly, not quarterly like GDP. It examines the depth of any changes, how long declines seem to be lasting, and how broadly any trouble is spread.</p><p>There are tradeoffs.</p><p>In the pandemic, for example, the depth of the job loss, in excess of 20 million positions, offset the fact that growth resumed quickly, leading the group to officially call the situation a recession in early June, before the end of the second quarter.</p><p>While each of three criteria - depth, diffusion, and even duration — &#34;needs to be met individually to some degree, extreme conditions revealed by one criterion may partially offset weaker indications from another,&#34; the group says.</p><h3>SO ARE WE IN A RECESSION NOW?</h3><p>Almost certainly not. While the &#34;two quarter rule&#34; has caveats and exceptions, there has never been a recession declared without a loss of employment. Jobs are being added in the U.S. by hundreds of thousands monthly.</p><p>The pace will likely slow, but there would need to be a sharp reversal for the current path of job growth to turn into one that looks like recession.</p><p>Industrial production, another factor that figured prominently in declaring the 2001 recession, has also been rising steadily, at least through May.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE SAHM RULE?</h3><p>One criticism of the NBER&#39;s role as a recession arbiter is that its members take their time in order to avoid reacting to changes in jobs, production or other data that prove temporary. A closer to real-time recession indicator, called the Sahm rule after former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is based on the unemployment rate  .</p><p>It states that when the 3-month rolling average of the unemployment rate rises a half a percentage point from its low over the prior 12 months, the economy has entered a recession.</p><p>The Sahm rule shows no sign of a U.S. downturn. Instead, the unemployment rate has been below 4% and falling or stable since January.</p><h3>WHY DOES THE R-WORD MATTER?</h3><p>Discussion of a recession, and predictions that the U.S. economy is headed into one, can have an impact on what happens next. CEOs, investors and everyday consumers make decisions on where and how to spend money based on how they think sales, profits and employment conditions will evolve.</p><p>Economist Robert Shiller predicted in June that there was a &#34;good chance&#34; the U.S. would experience a recession as a result of a &#34;self-fulfilling prophecy&#34; as consumers and companies prepare for the worst. &#34;The fear can lead to the actuality,&#34; he told Bloomberg.</p><h3>WHAT IS A &#39;SHALLOW RECESSION?&#39;</h3><p>Recessions come in many shapes. They can be deep but brief, like the pandemic recession which sent the unemployment rate briefly to 14.7%. They can be deep and scarring, like the Great Recession or the Depression in the 1930s, taking years for the job market to regain lost ground.</p><p>Economists and analysts have recently flagged the possibility that the next U.S. recession may be a mild one. Even the shortest and weakest recessions have trimmed payroll jobs by more than 1%, which would currently amount to more than a million and a half people.</p><h3>WHAT IS A GROWTH RECESSION?</h3><p>Another idea discussed by some economists and analysts is a &#34;growth recession,&#34; in which economic growth slows below the U.S. long-term growth trend of 1.5 to 2 percent annually, while unemployment increases but not by a lot. This is the scenario mapped out by some Fed policymakers as the best case outcome of recent interest rate increases.</p><h3>WHAT&#39;S THE INVERTED YIELD CURVE LINK?</h3><p>When the market rate for short-term borrowing exceeds that for a longer-term loan, it is known as an inverted yield curve, and seen as a harbinger of a recession.</p><p>Historically at least some part of the yield curve has inverted before every recent recession, and alarm bells started ringing when that happened on June 13.</p><p>Research from the Federal Reserve argues that the most widely followed yield-curve measure, the gap between yields on the two-year and the 10-year Treasury notes, doesn&#39;t actually predict much of anything; a better gauge is the gap between three-month and 18-month rates, which has not inverted.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE BEAR MARKET LINK TO RECESSION?</h3><p>The recent steep stock sell-off has also set off alarms. Nine of 12 bear markets, or drops of more than 20%, that have occurred since 1948 have been accompanied by recessions, according to investment research firm CFRA.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249306814","content_text":"(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may have shrunk in the three months from April through June. Add that to the decline from January through March, and that would be a contraction for two quarters in a row.By an often-cited rule of thumb, that means the world's largest economy is in recession.But deciding when a recession has begun or predicting when one might occur is not straightforward. The \"two quarters\" definition is not how economists think about business cycles, because GDP is a broad measure that can be influenced by factors like government spending or international trade. Instead they focus on factors like jobs, industrial production, and incomes.At issue now is personal consumption data for May, released last week, which showed spending and disposable income dropped on an inflation-adjusted basis. That sparked a host of gloomy forecasts for June, and increasing speculation that a downturn is coming soon, if it is not here already.The weeks ahead are likely to include pitched debate about the real health of the economy. Whether the U.S. is headed for a recession or already in one is a growing concern for corporate chief executives and their employees, the Federal Reserve, and the administration of President Joe Biden.DOESN'T FALLLING GDP = RECESSION?Not always. In 2001 gross domestic product, after revisions, fell in the first three months of the year, but then rebounded in the next three months to a level higher than it ended the year before. GDP declined again in the fall.Even though there were not two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, the situation was dubbed a recession at the time, because employment and industrial production were falling.The pandemic recession only lasted two months, from March to April 2020, even though the steep drop in economic activity over those weeks meant GDP shrank overall in both the first and second quarters of the year. In 2016 there was a noticeable drop in industrial activity that some dubbed a \"mini-recession,\" though GDP never declined.WHO DECIDES, AND HOW?In the United States the official call is made by a panel of economists convened by the National Bureau of Economic Research, and sometimes comes a year or more after the fact.The private non-profit research group defines  's%20traditional%20definition,more%20than%20a%20few%20months recession as a \"significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months.\"The panel concentrates on things like jobs and industrial output that are measured monthly, not quarterly like GDP. It examines the depth of any changes, how long declines seem to be lasting, and how broadly any trouble is spread.There are tradeoffs.In the pandemic, for example, the depth of the job loss, in excess of 20 million positions, offset the fact that growth resumed quickly, leading the group to officially call the situation a recession in early June, before the end of the second quarter.While each of three criteria - depth, diffusion, and even duration — \"needs to be met individually to some degree, extreme conditions revealed by one criterion may partially offset weaker indications from another,\" the group says.SO ARE WE IN A RECESSION NOW?Almost certainly not. While the \"two quarter rule\" has caveats and exceptions, there has never been a recession declared without a loss of employment. Jobs are being added in the U.S. by hundreds of thousands monthly.The pace will likely slow, but there would need to be a sharp reversal for the current path of job growth to turn into one that looks like recession.Industrial production, another factor that figured prominently in declaring the 2001 recession, has also been rising steadily, at least through May.WHAT IS THE SAHM RULE?One criticism of the NBER's role as a recession arbiter is that its members take their time in order to avoid reacting to changes in jobs, production or other data that prove temporary. A closer to real-time recession indicator, called the Sahm rule after former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is based on the unemployment rate  .It states that when the 3-month rolling average of the unemployment rate rises a half a percentage point from its low over the prior 12 months, the economy has entered a recession.The Sahm rule shows no sign of a U.S. downturn. Instead, the unemployment rate has been below 4% and falling or stable since January.WHY DOES THE R-WORD MATTER?Discussion of a recession, and predictions that the U.S. economy is headed into one, can have an impact on what happens next. CEOs, investors and everyday consumers make decisions on where and how to spend money based on how they think sales, profits and employment conditions will evolve.Economist Robert Shiller predicted in June that there was a \"good chance\" the U.S. would experience a recession as a result of a \"self-fulfilling prophecy\" as consumers and companies prepare for the worst. \"The fear can lead to the actuality,\" he told Bloomberg.WHAT IS A 'SHALLOW RECESSION?'Recessions come in many shapes. They can be deep but brief, like the pandemic recession which sent the unemployment rate briefly to 14.7%. They can be deep and scarring, like the Great Recession or the Depression in the 1930s, taking years for the job market to regain lost ground.Economists and analysts have recently flagged the possibility that the next U.S. recession may be a mild one. Even the shortest and weakest recessions have trimmed payroll jobs by more than 1%, which would currently amount to more than a million and a half people.WHAT IS A GROWTH RECESSION?Another idea discussed by some economists and analysts is a \"growth recession,\" in which economic growth slows below the U.S. long-term growth trend of 1.5 to 2 percent annually, while unemployment increases but not by a lot. This is the scenario mapped out by some Fed policymakers as the best case outcome of recent interest rate increases.WHAT'S THE INVERTED YIELD CURVE LINK?When the market rate for short-term borrowing exceeds that for a longer-term loan, it is known as an inverted yield curve, and seen as a harbinger of a recession.Historically at least some part of the yield curve has inverted before every recent recession, and alarm bells started ringing when that happened on June 13.Research from the Federal Reserve argues that the most widely followed yield-curve measure, the gap between yields on the two-year and the 10-year Treasury notes, doesn't actually predict much of anything; a better gauge is the gap between three-month and 18-month rates, which has not inverted.WHAT IS THE BEAR MARKET LINK TO RECESSION?The recent steep stock sell-off has also set off alarms. Nine of 12 bear markets, or drops of more than 20%, that have occurred since 1948 have been accompanied by recessions, according to investment research firm CFRA.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985703890,"gmtCreate":1667450101810,"gmtModify":1676537920612,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$</a>gogo to the moon 🌙&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$</a>gogo to the moon 🌙&nbsp;","text":"$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$gogo to the moon 🌙","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985703890","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989761083,"gmtCreate":1666088602743,"gmtModify":1676537704163,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989761083","repostId":"9989738417","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9989738417,"gmtCreate":1666080154439,"gmtModify":1676537702715,"author":{"id":"3448793367875557","authorId":"3448793367875557","name":"TechnicalHunter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20616c062c392e47ee8fc9107f46437d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3448793367875557","authorIdStr":"3448793367875557"},"themes":[],"title":"Not A One-day Rebound? 3 Reasons & Key Levels Discussion: $USD $VIX $SPX $IXIC $DJIA","htmlText":"Feels like wild moves on&nbsp;the stock&nbsp;market?&nbsp;Correct!Said&nbsp;by&nbsp;ThinkMarkets analyst&nbsp;Carl Capolingua，Last 3 sessions = never happened before! Yes,&nbsp;we've&nbsp;seen&nbsp;the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> posted its biggest intraday gain since the 2020 turmoil that saw the index near its March 2020 lows&nbsp;on&nbsp;last&nbsp;thursday. Then&nbsp;On Friday, the index gave up much of its gains. On&nbsp;monday&nbsp;session,The major&nbsp;index closed up again, with technology stocks in particular gaining the most.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> ,","listText":"Feels like wild moves on&nbsp;the stock&nbsp;market?&nbsp;Correct!Said&nbsp;by&nbsp;ThinkMarkets analyst&nbsp;Carl Capolingua，Last 3 sessions = never happened before! Yes,&nbsp;we've&nbsp;seen&nbsp;the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> posted its biggest intraday gain since the 2020 turmoil that saw the index near its March 2020 lows&nbsp;on&nbsp;last&nbsp;thursday. Then&nbsp;On Friday, the index gave up much of its gains. On&nbsp;monday&nbsp;session,The major&nbsp;index closed up again, with technology stocks in particular gaining the most.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> ,","text":"Feels like wild moves on the stock market? Correct!Said by ThinkMarkets analyst Carl Capolingua，Last 3 sessions = never happened before! Yes, we've seen the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ posted its biggest intraday gain since the 2020 turmoil that saw the index near its March 2020 lows on last thursday. Then On Friday, the index gave up much of its gains. On monday session,The major index closed up again, with technology stocks in particular gaining the most.$DJIA(.DJI)$ ,","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bcd7a401f36a60173214c9d9d83d2b6d","width":"2206","height":"1220"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/845a8e751c29b269acc03f8eaf2d02aa","width":"1316","height":"745"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ad77fb465d60051558e707383f31df5e","width":"1835","height":"899"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989738417","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078522628,"gmtCreate":1657719353464,"gmtModify":1676536050645,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article&nbsp;","listText":"Good article&nbsp;","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078522628","repostId":"1100179501","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100179501","pubTimestamp":1657717611,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100179501?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-13 21:06","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Charlie Munger Says Avoid Crypto Like An Open Sewer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100179501","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., unleashed a fresh batch of criticism of th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Charlie Munger</b>, vice chairman of <b>Berkshire Hathaway Inc.</b>, unleashed a fresh batch of criticism of the crypto industry.</p><p><b>What Happened:</b> Munger shared his best investment tips — one of which includes advice to “never touch” cryptocurrencies, in a recent interview with the Australian Financial Review.</p><p>“I just avoid it as if it were an open sewer, full of malicious organisms. I just totally avoid and recommended everybody else follow my example,” said Munger.</p><p>The 98-year-old billionaire investor said that the crypto craze was nothing but “mass folly,” reiterating his belief that any investment in crypto is worth nothing.</p><p>&#34;I regard it as almost insane to buy this stuff or to trade in it,&#34; he said.</p><p>In his view, just because something is scarce or difficult to create, it doesn’t warrant enough reason to own it as an investment.</p><p>&#34;I think anybody that sells this stuff is either delusional or evil,” said Munger, referring to the creators of tokens and individual crypto projects. &#34;I&#39;m not interested in undermining the national currencies of the world.&#34;</p><p>Cryptocurrencies have witnessed a massive selloff over the course of 2022, in what has been labeled the worst bear market in crypto history.</p><p><b>Price Action:</b> At press time, the leading digital asset <b>Bitcoin</b> was trading at $19,433. <b>Ethereum</b> was trading at $1,044 and <b>Dogecoin</b> was trading at $0.06.</p><p>Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading 70% below their all-time highs, while Dogecoin is down 91% from its peak price in 2021.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Charlie Munger Says Avoid Crypto Like An Open Sewer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCharlie Munger Says Avoid Crypto Like An Open Sewer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-13 21:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/07/28043520/charlie-munger-says-to-avoid-crypto-like-an-open-sewer><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., unleashed a fresh batch of criticism of the crypto industry.What Happened: Munger shared his best investment tips — one of which includes ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/07/28043520/charlie-munger-says-to-avoid-crypto-like-an-open-sewer\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/07/28043520/charlie-munger-says-to-avoid-crypto-like-an-open-sewer","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100179501","content_text":"Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., unleashed a fresh batch of criticism of the crypto industry.What Happened: Munger shared his best investment tips — one of which includes advice to “never touch” cryptocurrencies, in a recent interview with the Australian Financial Review.“I just avoid it as if it were an open sewer, full of malicious organisms. I just totally avoid and recommended everybody else follow my example,” said Munger.The 98-year-old billionaire investor said that the crypto craze was nothing but “mass folly,” reiterating his belief that any investment in crypto is worth nothing.\"I regard it as almost insane to buy this stuff or to trade in it,\" he said.In his view, just because something is scarce or difficult to create, it doesn’t warrant enough reason to own it as an investment.\"I think anybody that sells this stuff is either delusional or evil,” said Munger, referring to the creators of tokens and individual crypto projects. \"I'm not interested in undermining the national currencies of the world.\"Cryptocurrencies have witnessed a massive selloff over the course of 2022, in what has been labeled the worst bear market in crypto history.Price Action: At press time, the leading digital asset Bitcoin was trading at $19,433. Ethereum was trading at $1,044 and Dogecoin was trading at $0.06.Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading 70% below their all-time highs, while Dogecoin is down 91% from its peak price in 2021.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079784275,"gmtCreate":1657242242997,"gmtModify":1676535976959,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nasdap rebound will touch and reach 13000 then back to normal again","listText":"Nasdap rebound will touch and reach 13000 then back to normal again","text":"Nasdap rebound will touch and reach 13000 then back to normal again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079784275","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079026679,"gmtCreate":1657123760391,"gmtModify":1676535953743,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"title":"nasdap gonna to drop","htmlText":"Tech gonna crash soon we wait and seeCandle aldy form&nbsp;","listText":"Tech gonna crash soon we wait and seeCandle aldy form&nbsp;","text":"Tech gonna crash soon we wait and seeCandle aldy form","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079026679","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070354972,"gmtCreate":1657021515296,"gmtModify":1676535932939,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Semiconductor industry can't perform well road to holan soon","listText":"Semiconductor industry can't perform well road to holan soon","text":"Semiconductor industry can't perform well road to holan soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070354972","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9047655943,"gmtCreate":1656912955582,"gmtModify":1676535915068,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"title":"to the moon","htmlText":"After the nasdaq I think gard to the moon need wait 1years plus only can fly","listText":"After the nasdaq I think gard to the moon need wait 1years plus only can fly","text":"After the nasdaq I think gard to the moon need wait 1years plus only can fly","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9047655943","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045521107,"gmtCreate":1656636220409,"gmtModify":1676535867859,"author":{"id":"3581974215691324","authorId":"3581974215691324","name":"Sephiroth95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b00f3ba9eb156e0a3ec7f96ba509a6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581974215691324","authorIdStr":"3581974215691324"},"themes":[],"title":"nasdap soon break 10k resistance back to below 10k","htmlText":"Let us hope this then sqqq can up up very safe and steady&nbsp;","listText":"Let us hope this then sqqq can up up very safe and steady&nbsp;","text":"Let us hope this then sqqq can up up very safe and steady","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045521107","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}