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02-13

Wishing everyone a prosperous dragon year!

2022-10-12

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SQQQ Metrics Still Indicate A Bear Market Bottom

2022-09-05

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2022-07-05

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2022-05-05

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2022-04-12

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Elon Musk’s Twitter Stake Is Forcing Tesla Investors to Consider the Key-Man Risk

2022-04-07

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Tesla Is Due to Report Earnings in Late April. Consider This "Time Arbitrage" Move

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While the timing of tha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>This is a follow up to an earlier SQQQ article I wrote on August 1st. While the timing of that first article was poor, current metrics still support the conclusion.</li><li>Short term traders in SQQQ have a proven history of good timing. They are generally net buyers of this triple short fund at tops and net sellers at lows.</li><li>Because of this, the 39% decline in SQQQ shares outstanding since the market top in August indicates we are probably at an intermediate term market bottom.</li><li>This is supported by the current ratio of total assets in ProShares bull and bear funds, which acts as a contrary opinion indicator. It implies too many investors currently expect prices to go lower.</li></ul><p>This is a follow-up article to an article written on August 1st titled: Massive Buying In SQQQ Indicates A Bear Market Bottom. There is no doubt the timing of the article was bad since the S&amp;P 500 has fallen 11.6% since publication and the price of SQQQ has gone from $39.89 to $59.07 up 48%. A short-term trader would have clearly benefitted by going opposite the recommendation. That said, we still believe current metrics in SQQQ indicate we are in the area of bear market lows. I want to reiterate that we are using SQQQ metrics to help determine long-term market trends, not short-term trading.</p><p>Let’s go over the basic numbers to see what they currently show.</p><p><b>The Price Action Of SQQQ</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b21c91ab30cba11b2c91733d7b36f50\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"495\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>NAV of SQQQ(Michael McDonald)</p><p>It is clear from this five-year chart that SQQQ is for short-term traders, it is not for long-term investors. Since 2018, the fund is down 97%. The 3X leverage of the fund is what produces the large, short-term price changes that some short-term traders desire.</p><p><b>SQQQ Shares Outstanding</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/741e2ff0a5538721b31a4558f7f1dd8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"495\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SQQQ Shares Outstanding vs the SPY(Michael McDonald)</p><p>Plotting shares outstanding of SQQQ against the S&amp;P 500 shows rather good timing by short-term traders who use this ETF. It shows, on a relative basis, the greatest number of shares outstanding occurring at short-term market tops and fewer outstanding shares at short-term bottoms, after prices have fallen.</p><p>This means that more people are entering the fund than leaving it as prices reach highs, then, after prices have fallen, more traders are leaving the fund than entering it. This fact is pointed to by the five black line arrows, and it was not clear at the time of the first article.</p><p>The recent large drop from 133,951,000 shares outstanding on August 18th to 81,451,000 shares last Friday – a decline of 39% (indicated by the last arrow on the right) - appears to suggest there is a high probability we are at an intermediate term market low.</p><p><b>Market Low Confirmed By The Ratio Of Assets In ProShares Bull And Bear Funds</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e4d9caebbc203c047a7ac3ef781dd31\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"495\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Proshare Bull-Bear Asset Ratio(Michael McDonald)</p><p>The ProShares &#34;bull to bear&#34; asset ratio is another way we measure investor sentiment. It takes the dollar value in all the ProShares bull funds and divides it by the dollar value of all the bear funds. At the market top in December there was over 10 times more money in bullish ProShares ETFs than bear market ETFs. It is now down to a little over two.</p><p>It’s a contrary opinion indicator. For example, it clearly shows the surge of money into ProShares bull funds from September to December of last year, right before the start of the bear market. The ratio went from 6.5 to 10.5. Extremely bad timing.</p><p>What’s important now is that the asset ratio went to new lows as the S&amp;P returned to the price lows of May. Notice the broken green lines in the graph. It’s flat for stocks and slanted lower for the asset ratio. This means that even more ProShares investors believe the market’s headed lower than at the May low. This again is what you want to see if you’re a contrarian. It suggests stock prices should move higher over at least the intermediate term.</p><p><b>An Important Caveat</b></p><p>While I&#39;m not so worried about the American economy dragging down the stock market, I am worried about the risk of a global financial crisis doing it, triggered by the actions of narrow-minded central bankers focused on just their own economy. While central banks are looking after their own economies, no agency is looking after the well-being of the entire global financial system. This is a serious issue, which I explain in the ArticleI just wrote on the Puts and Calls ratio.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SQQQ Metrics Still Indicate A Bear Market Bottom</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSQQQ Metrics Still Indicate A Bear Market Bottom\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-12 23:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545915-sqqq-metrics-still-indicate-a-bear-market-bottom><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThis is a follow up to an earlier SQQQ article I wrote on August 1st. While the timing of that first article was poor, current metrics still support the conclusion.Short term traders in SQQQ ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545915-sqqq-metrics-still-indicate-a-bear-market-bottom\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545915-sqqq-metrics-still-indicate-a-bear-market-bottom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118065931","content_text":"SummaryThis is a follow up to an earlier SQQQ article I wrote on August 1st. While the timing of that first article was poor, current metrics still support the conclusion.Short term traders in SQQQ have a proven history of good timing. They are generally net buyers of this triple short fund at tops and net sellers at lows.Because of this, the 39% decline in SQQQ shares outstanding since the market top in August indicates we are probably at an intermediate term market bottom.This is supported by the current ratio of total assets in ProShares bull and bear funds, which acts as a contrary opinion indicator. It implies too many investors currently expect prices to go lower.This is a follow-up article to an article written on August 1st titled: Massive Buying In SQQQ Indicates A Bear Market Bottom. There is no doubt the timing of the article was bad since the S&P 500 has fallen 11.6% since publication and the price of SQQQ has gone from $39.89 to $59.07 up 48%. A short-term trader would have clearly benefitted by going opposite the recommendation. That said, we still believe current metrics in SQQQ indicate we are in the area of bear market lows. I want to reiterate that we are using SQQQ metrics to help determine long-term market trends, not short-term trading.Let’s go over the basic numbers to see what they currently show.The Price Action Of SQQQNAV of SQQQ(Michael McDonald)It is clear from this five-year chart that SQQQ is for short-term traders, it is not for long-term investors. Since 2018, the fund is down 97%. The 3X leverage of the fund is what produces the large, short-term price changes that some short-term traders desire.SQQQ Shares OutstandingSQQQ Shares Outstanding vs the SPY(Michael McDonald)Plotting shares outstanding of SQQQ against the S&P 500 shows rather good timing by short-term traders who use this ETF. It shows, on a relative basis, the greatest number of shares outstanding occurring at short-term market tops and fewer outstanding shares at short-term bottoms, after prices have fallen.This means that more people are entering the fund than leaving it as prices reach highs, then, after prices have fallen, more traders are leaving the fund than entering it. This fact is pointed to by the five black line arrows, and it was not clear at the time of the first article.The recent large drop from 133,951,000 shares outstanding on August 18th to 81,451,000 shares last Friday – a decline of 39% (indicated by the last arrow on the right) - appears to suggest there is a high probability we are at an intermediate term market low.Market Low Confirmed By The Ratio Of Assets In ProShares Bull And Bear FundsProshare Bull-Bear Asset Ratio(Michael McDonald)The ProShares \"bull to bear\" asset ratio is another way we measure investor sentiment. It takes the dollar value in all the ProShares bull funds and divides it by the dollar value of all the bear funds. At the market top in December there was over 10 times more money in bullish ProShares ETFs than bear market ETFs. It is now down to a little over two.It’s a contrary opinion indicator. For example, it clearly shows the surge of money into ProShares bull funds from September to December of last year, right before the start of the bear market. The ratio went from 6.5 to 10.5. Extremely bad timing.What’s important now is that the asset ratio went to new lows as the S&P returned to the price lows of May. Notice the broken green lines in the graph. It’s flat for stocks and slanted lower for the asset ratio. This means that even more ProShares investors believe the market’s headed lower than at the May low. This again is what you want to see if you’re a contrarian. It suggests stock prices should move higher over at least the intermediate term.An Important CaveatWhile I'm not so worried about the American economy dragging down the stock market, I am worried about the risk of a global financial crisis doing it, triggered by the actions of narrow-minded central bankers focused on just their own economy. While central banks are looking after their own economies, no agency is looking after the well-being of the entire global financial system. This is a serious issue, which I explain in the ArticleI just wrote on the Puts and Calls ratio.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931977635,"gmtCreate":1662392045928,"gmtModify":1676537050989,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931977635","repostId":"2264274049","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070896232,"gmtCreate":1657036713026,"gmtModify":1676535936565,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070896232","repostId":"1170895202","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068159190,"gmtCreate":1651739862510,"gmtModify":1676534959670,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068159190","repostId":"2233386643","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9017110865,"gmtCreate":1649753999001,"gmtModify":1676534565447,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9017110865","repostId":"1109298576","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109298576","pubTimestamp":1649753040,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109298576?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-12 16:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk’s Twitter Stake Is Forcing Tesla Investors to Consider the Key-Man Risk","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109298576","media":"Barron's","summary":"The on-again-off-again dalliance between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Twitter’s board of directors is gen","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The on-again-off-again dalliance between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Twitter’s board of directors is generating some volatility for Twitter stock and some questions for Tesla investors.</p><p>Musk wouldn’t be a board member after all, even though he is Twitter’s largest shareholder. The billionaire entrepreneur was supposed to join the board on Saturday; the social media start-up disclosed the turnabout on Monday.</p><p>And the stock reacted to the news, tweeted by Twitter CEO Parag Agrawal. Shares of Twitter (ticker: TWTR) traded as low as $44.71 before closing up 1.7% at $47.01. The intraday peak-to-trough move was more than 7% of the Friday closing price.</p><p>Since Musk disclosed his roughly 9% stake a week ago, Twitter shares are up about 20%. In the same period, Tesla shares are down about 10%. Now, to be fair, the market has been weak. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are off about 3% and 6%, respectively.</p><p>Still, Tesla investors might wonder if Musk’s involvement could affect his ability to do his day job running the most valuable car company on the planet.</p><p>That possibility, known as the key-man risk, has always existed with Tesla, but Wall Street experts like Gerber Kawasaki CEO Ross Gerber and Roth analyst Craig Irwin don’t see all that much reason for additional concern.</p><p>Gerber, a bullish Tesla investor, told Barron’s that he would like to see Tesla develop a “deeper bench” of management talent, but doesn’t believe Musk is focused on that right now. Tesla is the largest holding in Gerber’s ETF, Gerber Kawasaki AdvisorShares (GK), at more than 11% of the portfolio.</p><p>Musk has his plate full, ramping up two new plants—one in Berlin, one in Austin, Texas—and working on Tesla’s self-driving software. He is even developing a robot to do the mundane manufacturing tasks that humans now handle.</p><p>Irwin looks at the question of the key-man risk another way. Of course, there are catastrophic outcomes that no one can rule out completely, but “Tesla is Elon Musk,” said Irwin, likening his impact to that of Steve Jobs at Apple (AAPL) decades ago. “He will be the most important person at Tesla for the next 20 years,” he added.</p><p>Musk is 50, turning 51 in June. Irwin doesn’t see Musk leaving for Twitter or being overly distracted by his investment.</p><p>Nonetheless, the analyst is cautious in his assessment of Tesla. He rates shares Hold, but has a low $250 price target. Tesla closed at $975.73 on Monday. Irwin believes Tesla should be one of the most valuable auto makers around, just not one of the most valuable companies in the market.</p><p>Tesla is the fifth most valuable company in the S&amp;P 500 and worth roughly 3.5 times more than Toyota Motor (TM), the second most valuable car maker in the world.</p><p>The Musk-Twitter impact on Tesla stock looks likely to fade. Tesla investors, after all, are used to Musk’s tweets and Musk doing other things—such as running his spacecraft company, SpaceX, with President Gwynne Shotwell.</p><p>Shotwell is a well-respected executive in the aerospace industry. Investors may want to see the emergence of her counterpart at Tesla in coming years.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk’s Twitter Stake Is Forcing Tesla Investors to Consider the Key-Man Risk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk’s Twitter Stake Is Forcing Tesla Investors to Consider the Key-Man Risk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-12 16:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-twitter-tesla-investors-risk-51649721740?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The on-again-off-again dalliance between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Twitter’s board of directors is generating some volatility for Twitter stock and some questions for Tesla investors.Musk wouldn’t be a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-twitter-tesla-investors-risk-51649721740?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWTR":"Twitter","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-twitter-tesla-investors-risk-51649721740?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109298576","content_text":"The on-again-off-again dalliance between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Twitter’s board of directors is generating some volatility for Twitter stock and some questions for Tesla investors.Musk wouldn’t be a board member after all, even though he is Twitter’s largest shareholder. The billionaire entrepreneur was supposed to join the board on Saturday; the social media start-up disclosed the turnabout on Monday.And the stock reacted to the news, tweeted by Twitter CEO Parag Agrawal. Shares of Twitter (ticker: TWTR) traded as low as $44.71 before closing up 1.7% at $47.01. The intraday peak-to-trough move was more than 7% of the Friday closing price.Since Musk disclosed his roughly 9% stake a week ago, Twitter shares are up about 20%. In the same period, Tesla shares are down about 10%. Now, to be fair, the market has been weak. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are off about 3% and 6%, respectively.Still, Tesla investors might wonder if Musk’s involvement could affect his ability to do his day job running the most valuable car company on the planet.That possibility, known as the key-man risk, has always existed with Tesla, but Wall Street experts like Gerber Kawasaki CEO Ross Gerber and Roth analyst Craig Irwin don’t see all that much reason for additional concern.Gerber, a bullish Tesla investor, told Barron’s that he would like to see Tesla develop a “deeper bench” of management talent, but doesn’t believe Musk is focused on that right now. Tesla is the largest holding in Gerber’s ETF, Gerber Kawasaki AdvisorShares (GK), at more than 11% of the portfolio.Musk has his plate full, ramping up two new plants—one in Berlin, one in Austin, Texas—and working on Tesla’s self-driving software. He is even developing a robot to do the mundane manufacturing tasks that humans now handle.Irwin looks at the question of the key-man risk another way. Of course, there are catastrophic outcomes that no one can rule out completely, but “Tesla is Elon Musk,” said Irwin, likening his impact to that of Steve Jobs at Apple (AAPL) decades ago. “He will be the most important person at Tesla for the next 20 years,” he added.Musk is 50, turning 51 in June. Irwin doesn’t see Musk leaving for Twitter or being overly distracted by his investment.Nonetheless, the analyst is cautious in his assessment of Tesla. He rates shares Hold, but has a low $250 price target. Tesla closed at $975.73 on Monday. Irwin believes Tesla should be one of the most valuable auto makers around, just not one of the most valuable companies in the market.Tesla is the fifth most valuable company in the S&P 500 and worth roughly 3.5 times more than Toyota Motor (TM), the second most valuable car maker in the world.The Musk-Twitter impact on Tesla stock looks likely to fade. Tesla investors, after all, are used to Musk’s tweets and Musk doing other things—such as running his spacecraft company, SpaceX, with President Gwynne Shotwell.Shotwell is a well-respected executive in the aerospace industry. Investors may want to see the emergence of her counterpart at Tesla in coming years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9012593074,"gmtCreate":1649346399890,"gmtModify":1676534496093,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9012593074","repostId":"1185894444","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185894444","pubTimestamp":1649345400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185894444?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-07 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Is Due to Report Earnings in Late April. Consider This \"Time Arbitrage\" Move","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185894444","media":"Barron's","summary":"It will soon be truth or consequences time on Wall Street.Many of the world’s most important compani","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It will soon be truth or consequences time on Wall Street.</p><p>Many of the world’s most important companies are about to start reporting quarterly earnings, providing investors with an opportunity to compare their estimates of reality with data and commentary from sophisticated corporate practitioners.</p><p>Whatever can be said about what happens next in the financial markets, one thing is clear: Many investors remain confused. The Federal Reserve and other central banks have begun to raise interest rates, bringing about the end of two decades of easy-money policies that supported stocks and the economy. Earnings reports should give investors insight into what comes next.</p><p>The trend, in short, may no longer be your friend, and in such times, it is helpful to have an investing framework. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon recently provided one in his annual letter to shareholders.</p><p>Dimon warned of the unprecedented risks facing the U.S. economy, ranging from persistent inflation, rising rates, the Covid-19 pandemic, and even the potential reordering of the world order. But he also offered some insight into the basic principles and strategies that he used to build his bank.</p><p>“We strive to build enduring businesses, and we are not a conglomerate—all our businesses rely on and benefit from each other. Both of these factors help generate our superior returns,” Dimon wrote, offering investors a useful way to evaluate companies that are well run—and potentially worthy of long-term investments.</p><p>Investors who are intrigued by this can take advantage of a strategy that we have long called “time arbitrage.” By selling short-term options on stocks that they can hold for a minimum of three to five years, investors can use present-day concerns to position to buy stocks that they are willing to warehouse.</p><p>The challenge, now and always, is to think like a thematic, long-term investor even when market conditions and cross currents are disquieting.</p><p>Consider <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>. The electric-vehicle maker recently reported better-than-expected sales data. If last year’s date is indicative, the company will report earnings in late April. To preposition, investors could consider selling Tesla’s put options to potentially buy the stock on weakness.</p><p>With Tesla’s stock at $1,045.76, investors could sell the May $900 put for about $31. The put sale positions them to buy the stock at $900. Should the stock be above $900 at expiration, investors can keep the options premium.</p><p>The great risk is that the stock falls far below the put price, obligating investors to cover the put or to make adjustments to it in the options market to avoid assignment.</p><p>During the past 52 weeks, the stock has ranged from $546.98 to $1,243.49. The company recently announced plans for a stock split “in the form of a stock dividend.” Tesla issued a 5-for-1 stock split in August 2020, but offered no details on the impending corporate action.</p><p>The world is increasingly realizing electric vehicles are the future. The recent surge in oil and gasoline prices has probably accelerated this trend.</p><p>Tesla pioneered the industry’s birth. The competitive moat might be narrowing as electric vehicles become more accepted, but Tesla founder and CEO Elon Musk has a mind of great singularity. He has seen the future. The short-term options trade outlined above is a way to monetize a long-term theme that will probably outlast economic and financial fluctuations.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Is Due to Report Earnings in Late April. Consider This \"Time Arbitrage\" Move</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Is Due to Report Earnings in Late April. Consider This \"Time Arbitrage\" Move\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-07 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/a-time-arbitrage-options-play-on-tesla-stock-51649314803?mod=Searchresults><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It will soon be truth or consequences time on Wall Street.Many of the world’s most important companies are about to start reporting quarterly earnings, providing investors with an opportunity to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/a-time-arbitrage-options-play-on-tesla-stock-51649314803?mod=Searchresults\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/a-time-arbitrage-options-play-on-tesla-stock-51649314803?mod=Searchresults","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185894444","content_text":"It will soon be truth or consequences time on Wall Street.Many of the world’s most important companies are about to start reporting quarterly earnings, providing investors with an opportunity to compare their estimates of reality with data and commentary from sophisticated corporate practitioners.Whatever can be said about what happens next in the financial markets, one thing is clear: Many investors remain confused. The Federal Reserve and other central banks have begun to raise interest rates, bringing about the end of two decades of easy-money policies that supported stocks and the economy. Earnings reports should give investors insight into what comes next.The trend, in short, may no longer be your friend, and in such times, it is helpful to have an investing framework. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon recently provided one in his annual letter to shareholders.Dimon warned of the unprecedented risks facing the U.S. economy, ranging from persistent inflation, rising rates, the Covid-19 pandemic, and even the potential reordering of the world order. But he also offered some insight into the basic principles and strategies that he used to build his bank.“We strive to build enduring businesses, and we are not a conglomerate—all our businesses rely on and benefit from each other. Both of these factors help generate our superior returns,” Dimon wrote, offering investors a useful way to evaluate companies that are well run—and potentially worthy of long-term investments.Investors who are intrigued by this can take advantage of a strategy that we have long called “time arbitrage.” By selling short-term options on stocks that they can hold for a minimum of three to five years, investors can use present-day concerns to position to buy stocks that they are willing to warehouse.The challenge, now and always, is to think like a thematic, long-term investor even when market conditions and cross currents are disquieting.Consider Tesla. The electric-vehicle maker recently reported better-than-expected sales data. If last year’s date is indicative, the company will report earnings in late April. To preposition, investors could consider selling Tesla’s put options to potentially buy the stock on weakness.With Tesla’s stock at $1,045.76, investors could sell the May $900 put for about $31. The put sale positions them to buy the stock at $900. Should the stock be above $900 at expiration, investors can keep the options premium.The great risk is that the stock falls far below the put price, obligating investors to cover the put or to make adjustments to it in the options market to avoid assignment.During the past 52 weeks, the stock has ranged from $546.98 to $1,243.49. The company recently announced plans for a stock split “in the form of a stock dividend.” Tesla issued a 5-for-1 stock split in August 2020, but offered no details on the impending corporate action.The world is increasingly realizing electric vehicles are the future. The recent surge in oil and gasoline prices has probably accelerated this trend.Tesla pioneered the industry’s birth. The competitive moat might be narrowing as electric vehicles become more accepted, but Tesla founder and CEO Elon Musk has a mind of great singularity. He has seen the future. The short-term options trade outlined above is a way to monetize a long-term theme that will probably outlast economic and financial fluctuations.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9917729982,"gmtCreate":1665590298846,"gmtModify":1676537632898,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917729982","repostId":"1118065931","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9017110865,"gmtCreate":1649753999001,"gmtModify":1676534565447,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9017110865","repostId":"1109298576","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109298576","pubTimestamp":1649753040,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109298576?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-12 16:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk’s Twitter Stake Is Forcing Tesla Investors to Consider the Key-Man Risk","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109298576","media":"Barron's","summary":"The on-again-off-again dalliance between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Twitter’s board of directors is gen","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The on-again-off-again dalliance between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Twitter’s board of directors is generating some volatility for Twitter stock and some questions for Tesla investors.</p><p>Musk wouldn’t be a board member after all, even though he is Twitter’s largest shareholder. The billionaire entrepreneur was supposed to join the board on Saturday; the social media start-up disclosed the turnabout on Monday.</p><p>And the stock reacted to the news, tweeted by Twitter CEO Parag Agrawal. Shares of Twitter (ticker: TWTR) traded as low as $44.71 before closing up 1.7% at $47.01. The intraday peak-to-trough move was more than 7% of the Friday closing price.</p><p>Since Musk disclosed his roughly 9% stake a week ago, Twitter shares are up about 20%. In the same period, Tesla shares are down about 10%. Now, to be fair, the market has been weak. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are off about 3% and 6%, respectively.</p><p>Still, Tesla investors might wonder if Musk’s involvement could affect his ability to do his day job running the most valuable car company on the planet.</p><p>That possibility, known as the key-man risk, has always existed with Tesla, but Wall Street experts like Gerber Kawasaki CEO Ross Gerber and Roth analyst Craig Irwin don’t see all that much reason for additional concern.</p><p>Gerber, a bullish Tesla investor, told Barron’s that he would like to see Tesla develop a “deeper bench” of management talent, but doesn’t believe Musk is focused on that right now. Tesla is the largest holding in Gerber’s ETF, Gerber Kawasaki AdvisorShares (GK), at more than 11% of the portfolio.</p><p>Musk has his plate full, ramping up two new plants—one in Berlin, one in Austin, Texas—and working on Tesla’s self-driving software. He is even developing a robot to do the mundane manufacturing tasks that humans now handle.</p><p>Irwin looks at the question of the key-man risk another way. Of course, there are catastrophic outcomes that no one can rule out completely, but “Tesla is Elon Musk,” said Irwin, likening his impact to that of Steve Jobs at Apple (AAPL) decades ago. “He will be the most important person at Tesla for the next 20 years,” he added.</p><p>Musk is 50, turning 51 in June. Irwin doesn’t see Musk leaving for Twitter or being overly distracted by his investment.</p><p>Nonetheless, the analyst is cautious in his assessment of Tesla. He rates shares Hold, but has a low $250 price target. Tesla closed at $975.73 on Monday. Irwin believes Tesla should be one of the most valuable auto makers around, just not one of the most valuable companies in the market.</p><p>Tesla is the fifth most valuable company in the S&amp;P 500 and worth roughly 3.5 times more than Toyota Motor (TM), the second most valuable car maker in the world.</p><p>The Musk-Twitter impact on Tesla stock looks likely to fade. Tesla investors, after all, are used to Musk’s tweets and Musk doing other things—such as running his spacecraft company, SpaceX, with President Gwynne Shotwell.</p><p>Shotwell is a well-respected executive in the aerospace industry. Investors may want to see the emergence of her counterpart at Tesla in coming years.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk’s Twitter Stake Is Forcing Tesla Investors to Consider the Key-Man Risk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk’s Twitter Stake Is Forcing Tesla Investors to Consider the Key-Man Risk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-12 16:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-twitter-tesla-investors-risk-51649721740?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The on-again-off-again dalliance between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Twitter’s board of directors is generating some volatility for Twitter stock and some questions for Tesla investors.Musk wouldn’t be a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-twitter-tesla-investors-risk-51649721740?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWTR":"Twitter","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/elon-musk-twitter-tesla-investors-risk-51649721740?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109298576","content_text":"The on-again-off-again dalliance between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Twitter’s board of directors is generating some volatility for Twitter stock and some questions for Tesla investors.Musk wouldn’t be a board member after all, even though he is Twitter’s largest shareholder. The billionaire entrepreneur was supposed to join the board on Saturday; the social media start-up disclosed the turnabout on Monday.And the stock reacted to the news, tweeted by Twitter CEO Parag Agrawal. Shares of Twitter (ticker: TWTR) traded as low as $44.71 before closing up 1.7% at $47.01. The intraday peak-to-trough move was more than 7% of the Friday closing price.Since Musk disclosed his roughly 9% stake a week ago, Twitter shares are up about 20%. In the same period, Tesla shares are down about 10%. Now, to be fair, the market has been weak. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are off about 3% and 6%, respectively.Still, Tesla investors might wonder if Musk’s involvement could affect his ability to do his day job running the most valuable car company on the planet.That possibility, known as the key-man risk, has always existed with Tesla, but Wall Street experts like Gerber Kawasaki CEO Ross Gerber and Roth analyst Craig Irwin don’t see all that much reason for additional concern.Gerber, a bullish Tesla investor, told Barron’s that he would like to see Tesla develop a “deeper bench” of management talent, but doesn’t believe Musk is focused on that right now. Tesla is the largest holding in Gerber’s ETF, Gerber Kawasaki AdvisorShares (GK), at more than 11% of the portfolio.Musk has his plate full, ramping up two new plants—one in Berlin, one in Austin, Texas—and working on Tesla’s self-driving software. He is even developing a robot to do the mundane manufacturing tasks that humans now handle.Irwin looks at the question of the key-man risk another way. Of course, there are catastrophic outcomes that no one can rule out completely, but “Tesla is Elon Musk,” said Irwin, likening his impact to that of Steve Jobs at Apple (AAPL) decades ago. “He will be the most important person at Tesla for the next 20 years,” he added.Musk is 50, turning 51 in June. Irwin doesn’t see Musk leaving for Twitter or being overly distracted by his investment.Nonetheless, the analyst is cautious in his assessment of Tesla. He rates shares Hold, but has a low $250 price target. Tesla closed at $975.73 on Monday. Irwin believes Tesla should be one of the most valuable auto makers around, just not one of the most valuable companies in the market.Tesla is the fifth most valuable company in the S&P 500 and worth roughly 3.5 times more than Toyota Motor (TM), the second most valuable car maker in the world.The Musk-Twitter impact on Tesla stock looks likely to fade. Tesla investors, after all, are used to Musk’s tweets and Musk doing other things—such as running his spacecraft company, SpaceX, with President Gwynne Shotwell.Shotwell is a well-respected executive in the aerospace industry. Investors may want to see the emergence of her counterpart at Tesla in coming years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931977635,"gmtCreate":1662392045928,"gmtModify":1676537050989,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931977635","repostId":"2264274049","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264274049","pubTimestamp":1662364924,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264274049?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 16:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264274049","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The ARK ETFs have clicked the buy button on these growth stocks recently, and they still look ripe for the plucking.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people&#39;s shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up shares of growth stocks for her various ARK exchange-traded funds (ETFs).</p><p>While I can&#39;t say that I agree with all of Wood&#39;s stock purchases over the past few months, there are some stocks that her funds have snatched up that would seem to fit well in other growth investors&#39; portfolios. They include <b>Ginkgo Bioworks</b>, <b>Monday.com</b>, and <b>Trimble</b>. Let&#39;s find out a bit more about these three Cathie Wood stocks that are worth more consideration.</p><h2>1. Ginkgo Bioworks</h2><p>A leader in the field of synthetic biology, or synbio, Ginkgo Bioworks specializes in providing its customers with improved molecules. Essentially, the company acts like an architect. Customers -- from a variety of industries, including food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics -- inform Ginkgo of their needs, and Ginkgo designs the blueprints for new and improved microbes. Often, Ginkgo will earn royalties or equity interests as a result of these partnerships, providing the company with good foresight into future cash flows.</p><p>Like many growth stocks this year, shares of Ginkgo have fallen steeply -- about 68.7% -- as investors shy away from investments that represent higher degrees of risk. However, the stock&#39;s plunge is not reflective of something inherently wrong with the company. This is something with which Wood seems to be familiar. Throughout August, the <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a></b> has purchased more than 7.34 million shares of Ginkgo Bioworks.</p><p>The company doesn&#39;t project profitability on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) basis until 2025. In the meantime, though, investors can monitor the company&#39;s ability to launch new programs -- 60 are forecasted in 2022 -- as a positive sign that the company&#39;s offerings are in consistently high demand.</p><h2>2. Monday.com</h2><p>Also appearing on Wood&#39;s shopping list is the open platform stock Monday.com. The <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKW\">ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</a></b> has been steadily increasing its position in Monday.com throughout 2022, adding 164,500 shares in February through May and 30,075 shares, most recently, in June.</p><p>The advantage of Monday.com&#39;s platform is that it allows customers to develop a customizable workflow experience -- selecting from the different apps available on its platform -- without the need for complex coding or adherence to a nonflexible infrastructure. Simply put, Monday.com&#39;s platform makes it easier for customers to work online. And with our lives becoming increasingly dependent on our ability to manage things online, Monday.com&#39;s ability to provide an easier solution is something that is highly attractive.</p><p>Monday.com has excelled at growing revenue over the past three years: Sales have soared at a compound annual growth rate of 99% from 2019 to 2021. The company recently announced a strong second-quarter 2022 performance, and management is bullish on the coming year regarding free cash flow generation.</p><p>On the company&#39;s Q2 2022 conference call, Eliran Glazer, the company&#39;s CFO, said that management expects &#34;to see a shift toward breakeven or some free cash flow positive&#34; in the second half of 2023.</p><h2>3. Trimble</h2><p>Occupying an increasingly larger position in two ETFs this summer, Trimble is a stock that first made an appearance in an ARK ETF in September 2020. Wood most recently picked up shares of Trimble in July, when the <b>ARK Space Exploration &amp; Innovation ETF</b> picked up 25,073 shares, and the <b>ARK</b> <b>Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b> added 93,392 shares.</p><p>Trimble is a leader in positioning systems. On both local and global scales, Trimble helps a diverse range of customers from industries including agriculture, construction, and transportation. With the data it collects from its positioning solutions, Trimble is also able to offer customers sophisticated modeling, analysis, and autonomous technology solutions.</p><p>Customers need to have accurate positioning data that are subsequently converted into modeling solutions and analytics, which is hardly something that will wane in the coming years. Instead, Trimble&#39;s offerings will likely grow in demand as customers&#39; positioning and data needs become more sophisticated. The high interest in Trimble&#39;s offerings, in fact, is already recognizable in the company&#39;s substantial backlog of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of Q2 2022.</p><h2>A last look at Cathie Wood&#39;s shopping list</h2><p>On balance, growth investors are more comfortable taking on risk in their investments, but that&#39;s not to say that all growth stocks represent the same risk. Trimble, for example, has a long runway of growth ahead of it, yet the company already generates positive free cash flow, mitigating the amount of risk. For investors looking to take on more risk in pursuit of greater rewards, conversely, Ginkgo Bioworks and Monday.com are better options.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks Cathie Wood Is Buying That Should Be on Your List Too\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 16:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people's shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TRMB":"天宝导航","DNA":"Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc.","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/02/stocks-cathie-wood-buying-that-should-be-on-list/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264274049","content_text":"Back-to-school supplies and updates to your autumn wardrobe are popular things on people's shopping lists these days. Noted investor and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, meanwhile, has been scooping up shares of growth stocks for her various ARK exchange-traded funds (ETFs).While I can't say that I agree with all of Wood's stock purchases over the past few months, there are some stocks that her funds have snatched up that would seem to fit well in other growth investors' portfolios. They include Ginkgo Bioworks, Monday.com, and Trimble. Let's find out a bit more about these three Cathie Wood stocks that are worth more consideration.1. Ginkgo BioworksA leader in the field of synthetic biology, or synbio, Ginkgo Bioworks specializes in providing its customers with improved molecules. Essentially, the company acts like an architect. Customers -- from a variety of industries, including food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics -- inform Ginkgo of their needs, and Ginkgo designs the blueprints for new and improved microbes. Often, Ginkgo will earn royalties or equity interests as a result of these partnerships, providing the company with good foresight into future cash flows.Like many growth stocks this year, shares of Ginkgo have fallen steeply -- about 68.7% -- as investors shy away from investments that represent higher degrees of risk. However, the stock's plunge is not reflective of something inherently wrong with the company. This is something with which Wood seems to be familiar. Throughout August, the ARK Innovation ETF has purchased more than 7.34 million shares of Ginkgo Bioworks.The company doesn't project profitability on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) basis until 2025. In the meantime, though, investors can monitor the company's ability to launch new programs -- 60 are forecasted in 2022 -- as a positive sign that the company's offerings are in consistently high demand.2. Monday.comAlso appearing on Wood's shopping list is the open platform stock Monday.com. The ARK Next Generation Internet ETF has been steadily increasing its position in Monday.com throughout 2022, adding 164,500 shares in February through May and 30,075 shares, most recently, in June.The advantage of Monday.com's platform is that it allows customers to develop a customizable workflow experience -- selecting from the different apps available on its platform -- without the need for complex coding or adherence to a nonflexible infrastructure. Simply put, Monday.com's platform makes it easier for customers to work online. And with our lives becoming increasingly dependent on our ability to manage things online, Monday.com's ability to provide an easier solution is something that is highly attractive.Monday.com has excelled at growing revenue over the past three years: Sales have soared at a compound annual growth rate of 99% from 2019 to 2021. The company recently announced a strong second-quarter 2022 performance, and management is bullish on the coming year regarding free cash flow generation.On the company's Q2 2022 conference call, Eliran Glazer, the company's CFO, said that management expects \"to see a shift toward breakeven or some free cash flow positive\" in the second half of 2023.3. TrimbleOccupying an increasingly larger position in two ETFs this summer, Trimble is a stock that first made an appearance in an ARK ETF in September 2020. Wood most recently picked up shares of Trimble in July, when the ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF picked up 25,073 shares, and the ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF added 93,392 shares.Trimble is a leader in positioning systems. On both local and global scales, Trimble helps a diverse range of customers from industries including agriculture, construction, and transportation. With the data it collects from its positioning solutions, Trimble is also able to offer customers sophisticated modeling, analysis, and autonomous technology solutions.Customers need to have accurate positioning data that are subsequently converted into modeling solutions and analytics, which is hardly something that will wane in the coming years. Instead, Trimble's offerings will likely grow in demand as customers' positioning and data needs become more sophisticated. The high interest in Trimble's offerings, in fact, is already recognizable in the company's substantial backlog of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of Q2 2022.A last look at Cathie Wood's shopping listOn balance, growth investors are more comfortable taking on risk in their investments, but that's not to say that all growth stocks represent the same risk. Trimble, for example, has a long runway of growth ahead of it, yet the company already generates positive free cash flow, mitigating the amount of risk. For investors looking to take on more risk in pursuit of greater rewards, conversely, Ginkgo Bioworks and Monday.com are better options.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070896232,"gmtCreate":1657036713026,"gmtModify":1676535936565,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070896232","repostId":"1170895202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170895202","pubTimestamp":1657034675,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170895202?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-05 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Recession Chances Surge to 38%, Bloomberg Economics Model Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170895202","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hit a record low and interest rates surged, according to the latest forecasts from Bloomberg Economics.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6f92918aa47680d8463b6a5b5f285\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"243\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The probability model, which incorporates a variety of factors ranging from housing permits and consumer survey data to the gap between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields, is now flashing a 38% probability of a recession over the next 12 months. That’s up from around 0% just a few months before.</p><p>“The risk of a self-fulfilling recession—and one that can happen as soon as early next year—is higher than before,” said Anna Wong, chief US economist at Bloomberg Economics. “Even though household and business balance sheets are strong, worries about the future could cause consumers to pull back, which in turn would lead businesses to hire and invest less.”</p><p>“The risk of a recession in early 2023 has risen substantially,” Wong said.</p><p>The Federal Reserve raised interest rates in June by 75 basis points, the most since 1994, and signaled further increases—potentially of a similar size—in the months ahead. That came on the heels of a 50 basis-point hike in the prior month and cemented a decisively aggressive pivot by the central bank.</p><p>The rapid run-up in borrowing costs, paired with tightening financial conditions and decades-high inflation, has heightened concerns that the Fed—in its attempt to cool the economy and therefore inflation—will ultimately tip the US economy into recession.</p><p><b>Recession Odds Rise</b></p><p>Probability of a US recession within 12 months</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddc6a7bef2b883774c8ff201099e3c9d\" tg-width=\"743\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The rise in recession odds in the latest month can largely be traced to two factors: a moderation in the corporate profit outlook and a significant deterioration in consumer sentiment.</p><p><b>Changing Picture</b></p><p>Selected key indicators from recession probability model</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f579e4b1edabeed518b309e502161669\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Note: ‘Expected change in business conditions’ is an index based to 100. ‘Conference board expectations’ shows the spread between the Present Situation Index and Expectations Index, both where 1985=100.</span></p><p>Financial conditions have tightened considerably in recent months, and corporate profit margins, while still robust, are set to soften somewhat in the second quarter of the year, according to Bloomberg Economics. In the wake of steep rate hikes by the Fed, businesses are contending with rising cost of capital.</p><p>Secondly, Americans’ views of future business conditions sharply deteriorated in June. Each month the University of Michigan releases a closely watched survey of consumer sentiment. The June report not only showed a collapse in consumer sentiment to a record low but also a big decline in a gauge of the expected change in business conditions in a year. At 76, that figure is now at one of its lowest readings in records back to 1978.</p><p>Decades-high inflation has particularly weighed on consumer confidence. Americans are facing near-record prices at the pump and ballooning bills at the grocery store. Adjusted for inflation, average hourly earnings have fallen for eight straight months, eroding Americans’ purchasing power and souring their views on the economy. The savings rate is near its lowest level since 2009, and more than half of Americans believe the US is already in recession.</p><p>A recession is certainly not inevitable, but the path to a so-called soft landing—a cooling in economic activity that doesn’t lead to a recession—is becoming increasingly narrow. That may require price growth to slow sharply and would likely be accompanied by a slight rise in unemployment. The Fed is hopeful of such a result, but Chair Jerome Powell has acknowledged achieving it will be “very challenging.”</p><p>Should a downturn begin in the next year or two, the pandemic recovery—which began in May 2020, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research—would be the shortest US expansion since the one in 1981-1982, which lasted just 12 months.</p><p>Bloomberg Economics’ year-ahead recession probability model will be updated monthly.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Recession Chances Surge to 38%, Bloomberg Economics Model Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Recession Chances Surge to 38%, Bloomberg Economics Model Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-05 23:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hit a record low and interest rates surged, according to the latest forecasts from Bloomberg Economics...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170895202","content_text":"The odds of a US recession in the next year are now roughly one-in-three after consumer sentiment hit a record low and interest rates surged, according to the latest forecasts from Bloomberg Economics.The probability model, which incorporates a variety of factors ranging from housing permits and consumer survey data to the gap between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields, is now flashing a 38% probability of a recession over the next 12 months. That’s up from around 0% just a few months before.“The risk of a self-fulfilling recession—and one that can happen as soon as early next year—is higher than before,” said Anna Wong, chief US economist at Bloomberg Economics. “Even though household and business balance sheets are strong, worries about the future could cause consumers to pull back, which in turn would lead businesses to hire and invest less.”“The risk of a recession in early 2023 has risen substantially,” Wong said.The Federal Reserve raised interest rates in June by 75 basis points, the most since 1994, and signaled further increases—potentially of a similar size—in the months ahead. That came on the heels of a 50 basis-point hike in the prior month and cemented a decisively aggressive pivot by the central bank.The rapid run-up in borrowing costs, paired with tightening financial conditions and decades-high inflation, has heightened concerns that the Fed—in its attempt to cool the economy and therefore inflation—will ultimately tip the US economy into recession.Recession Odds RiseProbability of a US recession within 12 monthsThe rise in recession odds in the latest month can largely be traced to two factors: a moderation in the corporate profit outlook and a significant deterioration in consumer sentiment.Changing PictureSelected key indicators from recession probability modelNote: ‘Expected change in business conditions’ is an index based to 100. ‘Conference board expectations’ shows the spread between the Present Situation Index and Expectations Index, both where 1985=100.Financial conditions have tightened considerably in recent months, and corporate profit margins, while still robust, are set to soften somewhat in the second quarter of the year, according to Bloomberg Economics. In the wake of steep rate hikes by the Fed, businesses are contending with rising cost of capital.Secondly, Americans’ views of future business conditions sharply deteriorated in June. Each month the University of Michigan releases a closely watched survey of consumer sentiment. The June report not only showed a collapse in consumer sentiment to a record low but also a big decline in a gauge of the expected change in business conditions in a year. At 76, that figure is now at one of its lowest readings in records back to 1978.Decades-high inflation has particularly weighed on consumer confidence. Americans are facing near-record prices at the pump and ballooning bills at the grocery store. Adjusted for inflation, average hourly earnings have fallen for eight straight months, eroding Americans’ purchasing power and souring their views on the economy. The savings rate is near its lowest level since 2009, and more than half of Americans believe the US is already in recession.A recession is certainly not inevitable, but the path to a so-called soft landing—a cooling in economic activity that doesn’t lead to a recession—is becoming increasingly narrow. That may require price growth to slow sharply and would likely be accompanied by a slight rise in unemployment. The Fed is hopeful of such a result, but Chair Jerome Powell has acknowledged achieving it will be “very challenging.”Should a downturn begin in the next year or two, the pandemic recovery—which began in May 2020, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research—would be the shortest US expansion since the one in 1981-1982, which lasted just 12 months.Bloomberg Economics’ year-ahead recession probability model will be updated monthly.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9012593074,"gmtCreate":1649346399890,"gmtModify":1676534496093,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9012593074","repostId":"1185894444","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":273393811050656,"gmtCreate":1707784328380,"gmtModify":1707784332587,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wishing everyone a prosperous dragon year!","listText":"Wishing everyone a prosperous dragon year!","text":"Wishing everyone a prosperous dragon year!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/273393811050656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068159190,"gmtCreate":1651739862510,"gmtModify":1676534959670,"author":{"id":"3582026286427071","authorId":"3582026286427071","name":"chubbyfatty","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582026286427071","authorIdStr":"3582026286427071"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068159190","repostId":"2233386643","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2233386643","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1651733921,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2233386643?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-05 14:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stellantis Revenues Rise 12% Despite Chip Crunch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2233386643","media":"Reuters","summary":"May 5 (Reuters) - Carmaker Stellantis said on Thursday its sales rose 12% in the first quarter, supp","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>May 5 (Reuters) - Carmaker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLA\">Stellantis</a> said on Thursday its sales rose 12% in the first quarter, supported by strong pricing and vehicle mix and also by exchange rate tailwinds, but it sees only a partial recovery in microchip supply issues this year.</p><p>Net revenues amounted to 41.5 billion euros ($44.1 billion) in the January-March period versus 37.0 billion euro pro-forma sales a year earlier for the world&#39;s fourth largest carmaker.</p><p>The result topped analyst expectations of 36.9 billion euros, according to a Reuters poll.</p><p>Shipments however fell 12% in the quarter to 1.374 million vehicles, mainly due to the impact of unfilled semiconductor orders, Stellantis said.</p><p>The company, whose brands include Peugeot, Fiat, Jeep, Opel and Maserati, confirmed its 2022 forecasts for a double-digit adjusted operating income margin and a positive cash-flow despite supply and inflationary headwinds.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s important to maintain the double digit (EBIT margin) standard we have set for the company going forward and produce positive cashflows,&#34; Chief Financial Officer Richard Palmer told reporters.</p><p>&#34;A 12 percent increase in revenue with a 12 percent decrease in volumes indicates a very strong performance on price and mix which augurs well for our margin performance,&#34; he added.</p><p>Palmer said he expected semiconductor supply would gradually improve this year and continue in 2023.</p><p>&#34;But honestly I cannot give a date for when they (supply problems) are solved,&#34; he said.</p><p>($1 = 0.9422 euros)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stellantis Revenues Rise 12% Despite Chip Crunch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStellantis Revenues Rise 12% Despite Chip Crunch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-05 14:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>May 5 (Reuters) - Carmaker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLA\">Stellantis</a> said on Thursday its sales rose 12% in the first quarter, supported by strong pricing and vehicle mix and also by exchange rate tailwinds, but it sees only a partial recovery in microchip supply issues this year.</p><p>Net revenues amounted to 41.5 billion euros ($44.1 billion) in the January-March period versus 37.0 billion euro pro-forma sales a year earlier for the world&#39;s fourth largest carmaker.</p><p>The result topped analyst expectations of 36.9 billion euros, according to a Reuters poll.</p><p>Shipments however fell 12% in the quarter to 1.374 million vehicles, mainly due to the impact of unfilled semiconductor orders, Stellantis said.</p><p>The company, whose brands include Peugeot, Fiat, Jeep, Opel and Maserati, confirmed its 2022 forecasts for a double-digit adjusted operating income margin and a positive cash-flow despite supply and inflationary headwinds.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s important to maintain the double digit (EBIT margin) standard we have set for the company going forward and produce positive cashflows,&#34; Chief Financial Officer Richard Palmer told reporters.</p><p>&#34;A 12 percent increase in revenue with a 12 percent decrease in volumes indicates a very strong performance on price and mix which augurs well for our margin performance,&#34; he added.</p><p>Palmer said he expected semiconductor supply would gradually improve this year and continue in 2023.</p><p>&#34;But honestly I cannot give a date for when they (supply problems) are solved,&#34; he said.</p><p>($1 = 0.9422 euros)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STLA":"Stellantis NV"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2233386643","content_text":"May 5 (Reuters) - Carmaker Stellantis said on Thursday its sales rose 12% in the first quarter, supported by strong pricing and vehicle mix and also by exchange rate tailwinds, but it sees only a partial recovery in microchip supply issues this year.Net revenues amounted to 41.5 billion euros ($44.1 billion) in the January-March period versus 37.0 billion euro pro-forma sales a year earlier for the world's fourth largest carmaker.The result topped analyst expectations of 36.9 billion euros, according to a Reuters poll.Shipments however fell 12% in the quarter to 1.374 million vehicles, mainly due to the impact of unfilled semiconductor orders, Stellantis said.The company, whose brands include Peugeot, Fiat, Jeep, Opel and Maserati, confirmed its 2022 forecasts for a double-digit adjusted operating income margin and a positive cash-flow despite supply and inflationary headwinds.\"It's important to maintain the double digit (EBIT margin) standard we have set for the company going forward and produce positive cashflows,\" Chief Financial Officer Richard Palmer told reporters.\"A 12 percent increase in revenue with a 12 percent decrease in volumes indicates a very strong performance on price and mix which augurs well for our margin performance,\" he added.Palmer said he expected semiconductor supply would gradually improve this year and continue in 2023.\"But honestly I cannot give a date for when they (supply problems) are solved,\" he said.($1 = 0.9422 euros)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}