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2023-11-27

$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$

2023-11-05

It appears the market will be bullish from here till the end of the year. Buy at retracement.

Here Are 5 Reasons Why U.S. Stocks Will Likely Rally into the End of 2023

2023-07-12

$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$

2023-07-06

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

Semiconductors Winners And Losers At The Start Of H2 2023

2022-12-17

Yes buy now at the dip

Where Will Alphabet Stock Be in 5 Years?

2022-11-20

Yes buy more if you have not reach your full allocation for this stock.

You Can Now Buy Amazon's Stock With A Margin Of Safety

2022-11-15

Error. Please rectify Webpage not available The webpage at tg:resolve?domain=TigerBrokersOptions could not be loaded because: net::ERR_UNKNOWN_URL_SCHEME

Option Movers｜Nio to Hit $12 This Week? Over 75% Call Option Focused on It

2022-11-09

If you have surplus cash should buy now.

Once-in-a-Decade Buying Opportunity: 2 Trillion-Dollar Growth Stocks Near a 52-Week Low

2022-11-05

Great. Buy more

Amazon Stock Bounced, on Track to Snap Longest Losing Streak in 3 Years

2022-03-16

Yes DCA some at this level

Apple Stock: The More It Sinks, The Better

2022-02-22

Unlikely to have a war in Ukraine.

U.S. Stock Futures Rebounded

2022-01-23

I am still holding and waiting for a rebounce. Hopefully soon.

Is Palantir Stock Built on Hype?

2021-07-11

Yes. Buy

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-05-27

Great

Nvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/O39.SI\">$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/O39.SI\">$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/245849487085584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":238163749191880,"gmtCreate":1699181143034,"gmtModify":1699181147605,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It appears the market will be bullish from here till the end of the year. Buy at retracement.&nbsp;","listText":"It appears the market will be bullish from here till the end of the year. Buy at retracement.&nbsp;","text":"It appears the market will be bullish from here till the end of the year. Buy at retracement.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/238163749191880","repostId":"2379753472","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2379753472","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1699147514,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2379753472?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-11-05 09:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Are 5 Reasons Why U.S. Stocks Will Likely Rally into the End of 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2379753472","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Investors are growing increasingly pessimistic about the stock market. But one Wall Street veteran believes that's a reason to start buying.Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James' private client group, said in a note to clients published Friday that U.S. stocks as represented by the S&P 500 have fallen too far, too fast, clearing a path for the market to rally into the end of the year, and beyond.\"When the equity market soared above our year-end target of 4,400 in July, we became more cautious,\" he said. \"Fast forward to today, and the recent declines now provide S&P 500 upside of 6% and 12% into our year-end  and 12-month  targets.\". And although third-quarter gross domestic product came in at a whopping 4.9%, this data is backward-looking and unlikely to be replicated. Meanwhile, the latest PCE data showed that core inflation continued to decelerate during the third quarter.Even a deluge of newly issued Treasurys wouldn't be enough to offset the demand from investors s","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors are growing increasingly pessimistic about the stock market. But one Wall Street veteran believes that&#39;s a reason to start buying.</p><p>Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James&#39; private client group, said in a note to clients published Friday that U.S. stocks as represented by the S&amp;P 500 have fallen too far, too fast, clearing a path for the market to rally into the end of the year, and beyond.</p><p>&#34;When the equity market soared above our year-end target of 4,400 in July, we became more cautious,&#34; he said. &#34;Fast forward to today, and the recent declines now provide S&amp;P 500 upside of 6% and 12% into our year-end (4,400) and 12-month (4,650) targets.&#34;</p><p>In the note, Adam rattled off five reasons, including investors&#39; increasingly bearish sentiment, that augur a powerful turnaround that should begin before the end of the year.</p><h2 id=\"id_3204347698\">Fed&#39;s tightening cycle is nearly done</h2><p>While the central bank and its chairman, Jerome Powell, have kept the door open for further interest-rate raises after lifting borrowing costs at the fastest pace since the 1980s, Adam said he suspects that the Fed&#39;s tightening cycle likely ended with its previous rate hike in July.</p><p>Powell has already acknowledged that it&#39;s possible that the rise in long-dated bond yields, driven, in his view, by investors demanding a higher term premium, could be doing some of the Fed&#39;s work for it.</p><p>Read more: Fed likely won&#39;t raise rates this week, and will hope that they&#39;re done</p><p>And although third-quarter gross domestic product came in at a whopping 4.9%, this data is backward-looking and unlikely to be replicated. Meanwhile, the latest PCE data showed that core inflation continued to decelerate during the third quarter.</p><p>&#34;This should give the Fed comfort to pause at their policy meeting next week. Given we expect growth to soften and the jobs market to cool further as we head into the final months of the year, the Fed&#39;s job is likely done. If we&#39;re correct, this should bode well for stocks as the S&amp;P 500 typically gains 14% the 12 months after the Fed&#39;s final rate hike,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>Investors will hear from Powell on Wednesday following the close of the Fed&#39;s two-day November policy meeting, but few expect the central bank to lift rates.</p><h2 id=\"id_2984965978\">Lower interest rates support stocks</h2><p>Rising Treasury yields have been perhaps the biggest bugbear for stocks recently.</p><p>But if Raymond James, Bill Ackman and others on Wall Street who already see signs of a downturn in economic activity are correct, then the yield on the 10-year Treasury is likely headed lower. That would be a bullish sign for stocks.</p><p>Even a deluge of newly issued Treasurys wouldn&#39;t be enough to offset the demand from investors seeking to ride out economic weakness by locking in the highest interest rates in more than 15 years.</p><p>&#34;Yes, supply/demand dynamics have been driving interest rates lately, but the macro drivers of softer economic growth and continued disinflation should drive interest rates significantly lower over the coming months,&#34; Adam said.</p><h2 id=\"id_2416183613\">Market isn&#39;t appreciating strong earnings</h2><p>The lengthy earnings recession for U.S. companies is expected to have come to an end during the third quarter. According to FactSet, S&amp;P 500 members are on track to see earnings grow roughly 2% from the same period last year following three consecutive quarters of year-over-year contraction.</p><p>But the biggest story this earnings season is how shares of megacap technology companies like Alphabet Inc. took a beating following their earnings reports.</p><p>&#34;For example, despite posting blended EPS growth of 44% YoY and crushing estimates by 13% in aggregate, a composite of MAGMAN (the main driver of positive returns for the market year-to-date) declined 4% during the week and is now down 10% from recent highs,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>Adam&#39;s &#34;MAGMAN&#34; group includes Microsoft Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, Alphabet Inc. (whose Class A <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> shares were included in the figures above) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc. (META), as well as Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> and Nvidia Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a> (although they haven&#39;t reported earnings yet, their consensus EPS forecasts anticipate strong year-over-year growth).</p><h2 id=\"id_1000688692\">Seasonal trends look favorable</h2><p>September is, on average, the worst month for S&amp;P 500 returns. Things tend to turn around after the market typically bottoms in mid-October, with the rebound typically continuing during November and December.</p><p>Stocks have hewed closely to these seasonal patterns during 2023 and 2022, Adam said. Should that continue, it would bode well for stocks.</p><p>&#34;Fortunately for investors, the seasonal trend is set to turn to a tailwind as we enter two of the strongest months of the year with the S&amp;P 500 up an average of 1.5% and 1.2% in November and December respectively,&#34; he said.</p><h2 id=\"id_2703204372\">Bearish sentiment is often a bullish indicator</h2><p>Gauges of investor sentiment like the American Association of Independent Investors survey are reliable counter-indicators. When bullish sentiment becomes stretched, a pullback usually follows (as it did this summer). That dynamic also works in reverse.</p><p>&#34;...[B]earish sentiment (measured by the AAII Investor survey) rose to a five month high this week, and technical indicators such as RSI reflect that the S&amp;P 500 has declined into oversold territory (a level &lt;30)--a level that has historically provided a reliable contrarian signal. As a result, cautious sentiment leaves us more optimistic that the market can move higher over the next 12 months,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>The same is often true of Wall Street. Wall Street strategists started raising their year-end forecasts this summer as they tried to catch up to the rally.</p><p>Now, strategists are cutting their targets as stocks sink lower. The latest notable cut comes from Oppenheimer&#39;s John Stoltzfus, formerly one of the most bullish voices on Wall Street, who cut his year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 from 4,900 to 4,400 on Monday.</p><p>U.S. stocks were already bouncing back following last week&#39;s turmoil, with the S&amp;P 500 SPX up 1.2% in afternoon trading in New York. The Nasdaq Composite COMP was 1.2% as well, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA gained 505 points, or 1.6%, on track for its biggest daily gain since a 700-point jump on June 2, according to FactSet data.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Are 5 Reasons Why U.S. Stocks Will Likely Rally into the End of 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Are 5 Reasons Why U.S. Stocks Will Likely Rally into the End of 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-11-05 09:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Investors are growing increasingly pessimistic about the stock market. But one Wall Street veteran believes that&#39;s a reason to start buying.</p><p>Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James&#39; private client group, said in a note to clients published Friday that U.S. stocks as represented by the S&amp;P 500 have fallen too far, too fast, clearing a path for the market to rally into the end of the year, and beyond.</p><p>&#34;When the equity market soared above our year-end target of 4,400 in July, we became more cautious,&#34; he said. &#34;Fast forward to today, and the recent declines now provide S&amp;P 500 upside of 6% and 12% into our year-end (4,400) and 12-month (4,650) targets.&#34;</p><p>In the note, Adam rattled off five reasons, including investors&#39; increasingly bearish sentiment, that augur a powerful turnaround that should begin before the end of the year.</p><h2 id=\"id_3204347698\">Fed&#39;s tightening cycle is nearly done</h2><p>While the central bank and its chairman, Jerome Powell, have kept the door open for further interest-rate raises after lifting borrowing costs at the fastest pace since the 1980s, Adam said he suspects that the Fed&#39;s tightening cycle likely ended with its previous rate hike in July.</p><p>Powell has already acknowledged that it&#39;s possible that the rise in long-dated bond yields, driven, in his view, by investors demanding a higher term premium, could be doing some of the Fed&#39;s work for it.</p><p>Read more: Fed likely won&#39;t raise rates this week, and will hope that they&#39;re done</p><p>And although third-quarter gross domestic product came in at a whopping 4.9%, this data is backward-looking and unlikely to be replicated. Meanwhile, the latest PCE data showed that core inflation continued to decelerate during the third quarter.</p><p>&#34;This should give the Fed comfort to pause at their policy meeting next week. Given we expect growth to soften and the jobs market to cool further as we head into the final months of the year, the Fed&#39;s job is likely done. If we&#39;re correct, this should bode well for stocks as the S&amp;P 500 typically gains 14% the 12 months after the Fed&#39;s final rate hike,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>Investors will hear from Powell on Wednesday following the close of the Fed&#39;s two-day November policy meeting, but few expect the central bank to lift rates.</p><h2 id=\"id_2984965978\">Lower interest rates support stocks</h2><p>Rising Treasury yields have been perhaps the biggest bugbear for stocks recently.</p><p>But if Raymond James, Bill Ackman and others on Wall Street who already see signs of a downturn in economic activity are correct, then the yield on the 10-year Treasury is likely headed lower. That would be a bullish sign for stocks.</p><p>Even a deluge of newly issued Treasurys wouldn&#39;t be enough to offset the demand from investors seeking to ride out economic weakness by locking in the highest interest rates in more than 15 years.</p><p>&#34;Yes, supply/demand dynamics have been driving interest rates lately, but the macro drivers of softer economic growth and continued disinflation should drive interest rates significantly lower over the coming months,&#34; Adam said.</p><h2 id=\"id_2416183613\">Market isn&#39;t appreciating strong earnings</h2><p>The lengthy earnings recession for U.S. companies is expected to have come to an end during the third quarter. According to FactSet, S&amp;P 500 members are on track to see earnings grow roughly 2% from the same period last year following three consecutive quarters of year-over-year contraction.</p><p>But the biggest story this earnings season is how shares of megacap technology companies like Alphabet Inc. took a beating following their earnings reports.</p><p>&#34;For example, despite posting blended EPS growth of 44% YoY and crushing estimates by 13% in aggregate, a composite of MAGMAN (the main driver of positive returns for the market year-to-date) declined 4% during the week and is now down 10% from recent highs,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>Adam&#39;s &#34;MAGMAN&#34; group includes Microsoft Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, Alphabet Inc. (whose Class A <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> shares were included in the figures above) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc. (META), as well as Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> and Nvidia Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a> (although they haven&#39;t reported earnings yet, their consensus EPS forecasts anticipate strong year-over-year growth).</p><h2 id=\"id_1000688692\">Seasonal trends look favorable</h2><p>September is, on average, the worst month for S&amp;P 500 returns. Things tend to turn around after the market typically bottoms in mid-October, with the rebound typically continuing during November and December.</p><p>Stocks have hewed closely to these seasonal patterns during 2023 and 2022, Adam said. Should that continue, it would bode well for stocks.</p><p>&#34;Fortunately for investors, the seasonal trend is set to turn to a tailwind as we enter two of the strongest months of the year with the S&amp;P 500 up an average of 1.5% and 1.2% in November and December respectively,&#34; he said.</p><h2 id=\"id_2703204372\">Bearish sentiment is often a bullish indicator</h2><p>Gauges of investor sentiment like the American Association of Independent Investors survey are reliable counter-indicators. When bullish sentiment becomes stretched, a pullback usually follows (as it did this summer). That dynamic also works in reverse.</p><p>&#34;...[B]earish sentiment (measured by the AAII Investor survey) rose to a five month high this week, and technical indicators such as RSI reflect that the S&amp;P 500 has declined into oversold territory (a level &lt;30)--a level that has historically provided a reliable contrarian signal. As a result, cautious sentiment leaves us more optimistic that the market can move higher over the next 12 months,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>The same is often true of Wall Street. Wall Street strategists started raising their year-end forecasts this summer as they tried to catch up to the rally.</p><p>Now, strategists are cutting their targets as stocks sink lower. The latest notable cut comes from Oppenheimer&#39;s John Stoltzfus, formerly one of the most bullish voices on Wall Street, who cut his year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 from 4,900 to 4,400 on Monday.</p><p>U.S. stocks were already bouncing back following last week&#39;s turmoil, with the S&amp;P 500 SPX up 1.2% in afternoon trading in New York. The Nasdaq Composite COMP was 1.2% as well, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA gained 505 points, or 1.6%, on track for its biggest daily gain since a 700-point jump on June 2, according to FactSet data.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2379753472","content_text":"Investors are growing increasingly pessimistic about the stock market. But one Wall Street veteran believes that's a reason to start buying.Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James' private client group, said in a note to clients published Friday that U.S. stocks as represented by the S&P 500 have fallen too far, too fast, clearing a path for the market to rally into the end of the year, and beyond.\"When the equity market soared above our year-end target of 4,400 in July, we became more cautious,\" he said. \"Fast forward to today, and the recent declines now provide S&P 500 upside of 6% and 12% into our year-end (4,400) and 12-month (4,650) targets.\"In the note, Adam rattled off five reasons, including investors' increasingly bearish sentiment, that augur a powerful turnaround that should begin before the end of the year.Fed's tightening cycle is nearly doneWhile the central bank and its chairman, Jerome Powell, have kept the door open for further interest-rate raises after lifting borrowing costs at the fastest pace since the 1980s, Adam said he suspects that the Fed's tightening cycle likely ended with its previous rate hike in July.Powell has already acknowledged that it's possible that the rise in long-dated bond yields, driven, in his view, by investors demanding a higher term premium, could be doing some of the Fed's work for it.Read more: Fed likely won't raise rates this week, and will hope that they're doneAnd although third-quarter gross domestic product came in at a whopping 4.9%, this data is backward-looking and unlikely to be replicated. Meanwhile, the latest PCE data showed that core inflation continued to decelerate during the third quarter.\"This should give the Fed comfort to pause at their policy meeting next week. Given we expect growth to soften and the jobs market to cool further as we head into the final months of the year, the Fed's job is likely done. If we're correct, this should bode well for stocks as the S&P 500 typically gains 14% the 12 months after the Fed's final rate hike,\" Adam said.Investors will hear from Powell on Wednesday following the close of the Fed's two-day November policy meeting, but few expect the central bank to lift rates.Lower interest rates support stocksRising Treasury yields have been perhaps the biggest bugbear for stocks recently.But if Raymond James, Bill Ackman and others on Wall Street who already see signs of a downturn in economic activity are correct, then the yield on the 10-year Treasury is likely headed lower. That would be a bullish sign for stocks.Even a deluge of newly issued Treasurys wouldn't be enough to offset the demand from investors seeking to ride out economic weakness by locking in the highest interest rates in more than 15 years.\"Yes, supply/demand dynamics have been driving interest rates lately, but the macro drivers of softer economic growth and continued disinflation should drive interest rates significantly lower over the coming months,\" Adam said.Market isn't appreciating strong earningsThe lengthy earnings recession for U.S. companies is expected to have come to an end during the third quarter. According to FactSet, S&P 500 members are on track to see earnings grow roughly 2% from the same period last year following three consecutive quarters of year-over-year contraction.But the biggest story this earnings season is how shares of megacap technology companies like Alphabet Inc. took a beating following their earnings reports.\"For example, despite posting blended EPS growth of 44% YoY and crushing estimates by 13% in aggregate, a composite of MAGMAN (the main driver of positive returns for the market year-to-date) declined 4% during the week and is now down 10% from recent highs,\" Adam said.Adam's \"MAGMAN\" group includes Microsoft Corp. $(MSFT)$, Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$, Alphabet Inc. (whose Class A $(GOOGL)$ shares were included in the figures above) and Meta Platforms Inc. (META), as well as Apple Inc. $(AAPL)$ and Nvidia Corp. $(NVDA)$ (although they haven't reported earnings yet, their consensus EPS forecasts anticipate strong year-over-year growth).Seasonal trends look favorableSeptember is, on average, the worst month for S&P 500 returns. Things tend to turn around after the market typically bottoms in mid-October, with the rebound typically continuing during November and December.Stocks have hewed closely to these seasonal patterns during 2023 and 2022, Adam said. Should that continue, it would bode well for stocks.\"Fortunately for investors, the seasonal trend is set to turn to a tailwind as we enter two of the strongest months of the year with the S&P 500 up an average of 1.5% and 1.2% in November and December respectively,\" he said.Bearish sentiment is often a bullish indicatorGauges of investor sentiment like the American Association of Independent Investors survey are reliable counter-indicators. When bullish sentiment becomes stretched, a pullback usually follows (as it did this summer). That dynamic also works in reverse.\"...[B]earish sentiment (measured by the AAII Investor survey) rose to a five month high this week, and technical indicators such as RSI reflect that the S&P 500 has declined into oversold territory (a level <30)--a level that has historically provided a reliable contrarian signal. As a result, cautious sentiment leaves us more optimistic that the market can move higher over the next 12 months,\" Adam said.The same is often true of Wall Street. Wall Street strategists started raising their year-end forecasts this summer as they tried to catch up to the rally.Now, strategists are cutting their targets as stocks sink lower. The latest notable cut comes from Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, formerly one of the most bullish voices on Wall Street, who cut his year-end target for the S&P 500 from 4,900 to 4,400 on Monday.U.S. stocks were already bouncing back following last week's turmoil, with the S&P 500 SPX up 1.2% in afternoon trading in New York. The Nasdaq Composite COMP was 1.2% as well, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA gained 505 points, or 1.6%, on track for its biggest daily gain since a 700-point jump on June 2, according to FactSet data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197195476340880,"gmtCreate":1689148585555,"gmtModify":1689148588736,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ME8U.SI\">$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ME8U.SI\">$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/197195476340880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195048972443760,"gmtCreate":1688645155612,"gmtModify":1688645158726,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195048972443760","repostId":"2349717643","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2349717643","pubTimestamp":1688623736,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2349717643?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-07-06 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Semiconductors Winners And Losers At The Start Of H2 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2349717643","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"AlexLMX Semiconductor stocks continue to build on the rally that started in late 2022. Semis got off to sluggish start in Q2 2023, but they took off in May with artificial intelligence or AI playing a","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>Semis look poised for continued gains in Q3 after the rally continued in Q2, but there were several changes worth noting.</p></li><li><p>The rally in semis is increasingly being driven by AI after other tailwinds lost strength, which could become problematic if AI disappoints.</p></li><li><p>H2 2023 is facing a flare-up in export controls, which have the potential to seriously disrupt supply chains, depending on how governments approach the issue.</p></li><li><p>The rally in semis can continue since tailwinds remain, but new buyers may want to think twice about getting in at this time.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7891ea5c88b27976fd27126f6ddcea56\" alt=\"AlexLMX\" title=\"AlexLMX\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"495\"/><span>AlexLMX</span></p><p>Semiconductor stocks continue to build on the rally that started in late 2022. Semis got off to sluggish start in Q2 2023, but they took off in May with artificial intelligence or AI playing a key role. However, while the semiconductor sector as a whole looks poised to build on its gains with Q3 upon us, divergence seems to have popped up as an increasing number of semis failed to participate in the rally. Some may be better off and some may be worse off for various reasons. Why will be covered next.</p><h2>The trend continues to favor higher prices for semis in Q3 2023</h2><p>A previous article at the start of Q2 2023 concluded that semiconductor stocks as a group, and HPC names in particular, were likely to add to their strong gains in Q1 due to the existence of several tailwinds. Specifically, semis are the beneficiary of a less restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve and other central banks, increased interest in semis from the investment community due to AI and an industry outlook which calls for the end of the downturn in the market for semiconductor chips and the start of a rebound that will pave the way for a year of strong growth in 2024.</p><p>As it turned out, Q2 was a good quarter, but not quite as good as Q1 for semis. The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), for instance, started Q2 with a YTD gain of 28% and finished with a YTD gain of 46% at the end of Q2. In comparison, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) gained 39% and the SPDR S&amp;P500 ETF (SPY) gained 16% during the same period.</p><p>Furthermore, the trend argues in favor of continued gains at the start of H2 2023. Note the current trend with higher lows and higher highs in the chart below. It’s true trends can and do change, but there is also a saying that the trend is your friend and the trend suggests that sticking with semis is a bet worth taking heading into Q3.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20113ca653260fb793e49d489c2d5b76\" alt=\"Source: Thinkorswim app\" title=\"Source: Thinkorswim app\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\"/><span>Source: Thinkorswim app</span></p><h2>Q2 saw double-digit gains, similar to Q1, but there were other differences worth noting</h2><p>Still, it’s worth mentioning that unlike Q1, semis got off to a poor start in Q2. In fact, most of the gains came in the month of May. If May is excluded, then semis did not perform all that well as April and June did not add as much. Semis actually lost ground in April, but May came to the rescue after a number of high-profile companies showed how much of a difference AI could be.</p><p>Other companies that are not exposed as much to AI did not fare quite as well, creating a divergence in the process. A look at the individual stocks present in an ETF like SOXX makes this clear. The 30 companies included in SOXX includes Nvidia (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Intel (INTC), Texas Instruments (TXN), Microchip (MCHP), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), ON Semiconductor (ON), Applied Materials (AMAT), KLA Corp (KLAC), Analog Devices (ADI), Qualcomm (QCOM), Lam Research (LRCX), Marvell (MRVL), Micron (MU), TSMC (TSM), ASML (ASML), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPWR\">Monolithic Power Systems</a> (MPWR), Skyworks (SWKS), Teradyne (TER), Entegris (ENTG), STMicroelectronics (STM), Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC), Qorvo (QRVO), Wolfspeed (WOLF), MKS Instruments (MKSI), United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC), ASE Technology (ASX), Silicon Laboratories (SLAB) and Synaptics (SYNA). The table below shows the recent gains or losses for these stocks.</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Stock</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Weight %</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Change – 12 months</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Change – 6 months</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Change – 3 months</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Change – 1 month</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Change - YTD</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>NVDA</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.21%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+172.18%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+201.38%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+54.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.81%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+189.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>AVGO</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.12%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+76.88%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+59.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+36.87%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+7.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+55.14%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>AMD</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7.16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+46.06%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+82.05%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+16.38%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-3.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+75.87%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>INTC</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.25%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-10.32%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+30.93%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+4.21%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+26.52%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>TXN</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.07%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+17.83%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.68%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-2.29%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+3.53%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+8.96%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>MCHP</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.40%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+54.33%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+32.00%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+8.23%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+19.04%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+27.53%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>NXPI</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.24%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+36.44%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+34.92%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+12.70%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+14.28%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+29.52%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>ON</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+85.02%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+56.90%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+15.58%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+13.13%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+51.64%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>AMAT</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.11%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+57.21%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+53.40%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+18.37%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+8.43%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+48.43%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>KLAC</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.10%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+51.30%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+31.88%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+22.47%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+9.49%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+28.64%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>ADI</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.06%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+32.28%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+21.54%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+0.31%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+9.63%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+18.76%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>QCOM</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.96%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-8.59%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.28%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-6.56%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+4.96%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+8.28%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>LRCX</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.95%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+50.54%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+59.60%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+20.98%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+4.24%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+52.95%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>MRVL</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.80%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+34.88%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+68.97%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+38.22%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+2.21%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+61.39%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>MU</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.59%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+12.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+28.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+0.03%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-7.46%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+26.27%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>TSM</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.53%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+20.65%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+38.13%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+9.14%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+2.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+35.48%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>ASML</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.46%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+49.55%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+36.32%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+7.10%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+0.25%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+32.64%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>MPWR</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.80%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+37.67%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+58.76%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+8.53%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+10.27%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+52.78%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>SWKS</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.03%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+17.92%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+27.52%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-5.65%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.94%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+21.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>TER</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1.97%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+23.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+32.16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+3.47%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.12%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+27.45%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>ENTG</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1.89%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+18.03%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+76.72%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+35.71%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+5.29%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+68.96%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>STM</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1.50%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+55.06%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+43.73%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-5.86%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+15.08%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+40.54%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>LSCC</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1.47%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+95.15%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+53.71%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+1.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+18.15%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+48.07%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>QRVO</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1.16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.49%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+16.22%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+1.14%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+4.90%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+12.57%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>WOLF</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.79%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-14.16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-17.49%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-12.54%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+15.72%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-19.48%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>MKSI</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.74%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+5.11%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+33.10%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+23.67%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.09%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+27.58%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>UMC</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+13.53%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+21.57%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-9.21%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-4.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+20.83%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>ASX</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.63%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+46.70%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+26.46%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-1.89%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+2.23%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+24.24%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>SLAB</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.57%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.94%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+20.68%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-8.79%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+12.13%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+16.27%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>SYNA</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.39%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-29.67%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-5.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-22.50%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-0.77%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-10.28%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>SOXX</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+43.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+50.29%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+14.78%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.41%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+45.77%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>QQQ</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+30.17%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+42.03%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+17.02%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+38.73%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>SPY</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+16.55%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+17.69%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+9.80%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.09%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+15.91%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: iShares</p><h2>Who was hot and who was not among semiconductor stocks</h2><p>Semis posted strong gains in Q2, but it took some time for this to happen. SOXX, for instance, began Q2 with the stock priced at $444.67 as of March 31 and as late as May 24, SOXX was priced at $430.93. SOXX was flat to down for most of Q2, but a strong rally following May 24 helped SOXX end Q2 with strong gains.</p><p>This turnaround did not happen for no reason. May 24 happens to be the day NVDA released its most recent earnings report with guidance that blew part expectations thank to AI. NVDA soared higher, invigorating the sector and SOXX by extension. It also allowed NVDA to top all others in SOXX for the second consecutive quarter with a 54% gain in Q2, pushing its YTD gain to 189%, which is way ahead of everyone else.</p><p>MRVL and AVGO both made sure to mention AI in their quarterly reports, which likely helped them end up as distant runner-ups with Q2 gains of 38% and 37% respectively. However, not everyone fared as well. SOXX gained a respectable 15% in Q2, but 9 of the 30 stocks in SOXX actually finished with losses in Q2, unlike Q1 when just one stock did not post any gains.</p><p>This group was led by SYNA, which lost 22.5% and WOLF with 12.5%, but it also includes UMC, SLAB, QCOM, STM, SWKS, TXN and ASX. Another two, ADI and MU, posted gains in Q2, but only barely with gains of 0.31% and 0.03% respectively. LSCC and QRVO gained just 1-2%. In other words, the broad-based rally seen in Q1 became much less so in Q2.</p><p>The sector as a whole continued the rally that started in late 2022, but it was driven by a smaller number of companies than before, NVDA in particular and those who are perceived to stand to benefit from AI, whether in the form of increased demand for server GPUs or high-speed connectivity for hyperscale datacenters.</p><p>It’s not by accident that NVDA and AMD are the top two gainers on a YTD basis. AI has given HPC names a major boost, which helped mask weakness elsewhere. AI essentially bailed out stocks that probably should not have performed quite as well. INTC, for instance, is a prominent name in HPC and a competitor of NVDA and AMD, but one could argue that INTC should have done significantly worse than its 27% YTD gain, if not for AI. INTC as a company has not done as well as the 27% gain in the stock suggests, whether it is regaining lost market share, technological leadership or getting its foundry business off the ground, especially not in comparison to what was expected when its much heralded CEO was brought in.</p><p>In contrast, SYNA and WOLF are the only two who have yet to gain six months into 2023. Neither has any AI exposure worth noting to offset their company-specific problems like INTC, which might help explain why they are in the position they are in. Overall, Q2 was a productive quarter for semis, but there was divergence, which was masked to a certain extent by strong headline numbers for the sector such as the 15% Q2 gain for SOXX.</p><h2>What could cause further divergence among semis</h2><p>If not for AI, semis as represented by ETFs like SOXX would probably not have gained as much as they did. AI will need to live up to expectations, since there may not be much else to keep the rally going. On the contrary, while some segments continue to hold up, the semiconductor industry as a whole is confronted with weaker-than-expected demand, the memory market in particular.</p><p>Some like NVDA managed to blow past expectations, but NVDA was more like the exception than the norm. Many semis actually acknowledged facing demand that was weaker than anticipated, which led them to downgrade their outlook. This includes a bellwether like TSM, which lowered its FY2023 revenue outlook from an increase in the low single digits to a decrease in the low single digits. As a consequence, the outlook for the industry was revised lower as well.</p><p>For instance, WSTS predicted at the start of the year that the semiconductor market would decline by 4.1% YoY in 2023, but the most recent update has increased this to a decline of 10.3% after incorporating all the recent updates from various industry players. MU, for instance, was the latest to report on June 28 and its quarterly guidance was well short of expectations, which is not a positive sign heading into the upcoming earnings season that will start in a few weeks.</p><p>Still, most industry forecasts continue to expect a year of strong growth in 2024. WSTS, for instance, calls for the semiconductor market to expand by 11.8% YoY to $576B in 2024, just ahead of the record $574B achieved in 2022. Nevertheless, the latest industry projections are significantly lower than earlier in the year when some called for the market to grow to well over $600B in 2024.</p><h2>What will be the impact of the recent flare-up in the U.S.-China tech war?</h2><p>There is another reason behind the weak guidance from MU. MU became the first semiconductor company to be explicitly targeted by China in the ongoing tussle between the U.S. and China in the field of semiconductors. This struggle has been going on for several years, but until fairly recently, China was relatively restrained in its actions, unlike the U.S. government, which has been much more active with export controls and other restrictions/sanctions on Chinese companies.</p><p>This may have changed with the recent flare-up in the ongoing back and forth between China and the U.S., the latter with the assistance of the Netherlands/Europe and Japan. The latest chapter in this saga deals with export controls on gallium and germanium imposed by China’s Ministry of Commerce. Gallium and germanium are used to make compound semiconductors like gallium arsenide or GaAs, gallium nitride or GaN and silicon germanium or SiGe.</p><p>On paper, a whole of bunch companies could be affected. For example, NXPI, STM, QCOM, WOLF and QRVO. In fact, QRVO could be the one most affected. While QRVO’s core business revolves around radio frequency chips like power amplifiers for mobile communications, QRVO is also a supplier to defense contractors like Raytheon (RTX) and Lockheed Martin (LMT), which is something China may take issue with.</p><p>It is not clear what exactly China hopes to achieve with these export controls. China may want to use their own export controls as leverage against export controls from the U.S. and its allies or China may have decided that withholding gallium in particular can have strategic consequences as it is an important element in military applications, including AESA radar systems for combat aircraft, naval combatants and air/missile defense systems.</p><p>Export controls do add a degree of uncertainty to affected companies. If China allows everything to go through, the impact could be negligible. If not, then the impact could be more serious. If the export of gallium and germanium are reduced by a limited amount, then workarounds are possible. But if everything gets blocked, then there is a serious problem as finding alternative sources for gallium in particular will take many years and be very expensive.</p><p>The risk is that these new export controls could trigger a domino-effect with more and more export controls. It depends on how China and others go about implementing export controls, but this is not a positive development for semis as they have the potential to seriously disrupt supply chains for a long time.</p><h2>Will the Fed be forced to become more hawkish?</h2><p>Another tailwind for semis has been Fed policy. The Fed has been taking its foot off the gas pedal and the prospect of a more dovish monetary policy has been good for tech stocks, semis included. Q2 saw the end of the Fed rate-hike cycle with the Fed opting to keep the Fed Funds Rate or FFR unchanged at 5-5.25% at the June meeting, making it the first time there was no rate hike since early 2022.</p><p>However, the Fed tacitly admitted that inflation was proving to be more stickier than anticipated. The dot plots thus left open the possibility of another 50 basis points in hikes in 2023. The Fed still expects lower rates in the coming years, but it also hiked interest rate forecasts for 2024 and 2025 to 4.6% and 3.6% respectively, up from 4.3% and 3.1% respectively.</p><p>In light of this, Fed Funds futures believe there is a 86.6% chance the FFR will be raised by another 25bps to 5.25-5.50% at the July meeting. But futures do not anticipate interest rates higher than 5.25-5.50%. The next change is likely to be a rate cut and not a hike, which futures estimate is likely to come in May 2024 when the Fed is projected to lower the FFR to 5.00-5.25% to start the cycle of rate cuts.</p><p>This is more hawkish than earlier in the year. Nevertheless, the overall trajectory has not changed very much despite the more hawkish Fed. Most of the rate hikes are in the rear view and the FFR is more likely to be lower than higher in the next few years. Overall, current Fed policy remains a tailwind for semis, although sticky inflation remains a wildcard that could force more rate hikes.</p><h2>Could AI cause the semiconductor rally to fizzle out?</h2><p>There is a lot riding on AI. Of all the tailwinds, AI was by far the main driver behind the gains in Q2. Other tailwinds were still present, but they lost some of their strength as they suffered some setbacks. AI, though, is still standing strong and recent reports from the likes of NVDA support the notion that AI can be a potent driver of growth for the industry.</p><p>Yet there is no denying that there is a fairly widespread view that AI is being overhyped. This is in part due to different people having different perceptions of what AI stands for. Many within the general public still think of AI as portrayed in blockbuster movies, but mankind is not any closer to that kind of AI today than it was back in the fifties when the term AI first came into being.</p><p>Adding to the confusion is that people are being bombarded by sensational claims that true AI experts would take issue with. For instance, the notion that the world is getting closer to being taken over by sentient machines. It doesn’t help that OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, has made a number of contentious claims as to how far along AI is.</p><p>These claims from OpenAI have been given additional credence due to ChatGPT’s success, but this does not take anything away from the fact that AI applications based on large language models or LLMs like ChatGPT suffer from unresolved problems like “hallucinations”. No one, and that includes OpenAI, has provided the scientific proof that these problems associated with LLMs can be resolved</p><p>As long as these problems remain, ChatGPT and other LLM-based AI applications will remain limited in the types of use cases they are suitable for. They may be okay for say the novice programmer who asks the same old questions that have been asked many times before, but they’re much less suitable when faced with proprietary programming code or text data that is not included in the training of the LLM.</p><p>Most will agree that AI can be of great benefit, especially if it is limited to addressing a specific problem that is limited in scope, but by how much remains to be determined. It’s not out of the question that AI, at least the one based on machine/deep learning, will not live up to everyone’s expectations. This could trigger a reset in expectations and thus the price people are willing to pay for certain semis, perhaps once the general public realizes that the world is not really any closer to the holy grail of artificial intelligence despite all the recent developments. Semis will be impacted if AI is not there to keep things going and nothing else is there to take its place.</p><h2>Investor takeaways</h2><p>Semis have posted strong gains in H1 2023 and they look poised to add to their gains in H2 2023. The tailwinds that enabled the rally in H1 are still around and likely to remain in H2, suggesting additional gains for semis. The Fed still holds out the prospect of easier monetary policy, investor interest in AI plays remains very high and the semiconductor market is still believed to be on the verge of a strong expansion despite the current slump. As long as these conditions remain, semis are likely to continue to do well.</p><p>Having said that, the outlook for semis has deteriorated in several ways at the midpoint of 2023, at least in comparison to the start of 2023. The Fed has been less dovish than expected and weakness in semiconductor demand has been greater than anticipated. AI is the one pillar that has remained the steadiest, which explains why it was mainly responsible for the gains seen in Q2.</p><p>However, this also means AI is shouldering more of the load. This is expressed in ETFs like SOXX where huge gains by a small numbers of stocks offset the fact that a large number of stocks lost ground. Stocks like QCOM, SWKS, QRVO, SLAB and SYNA have lost some or all their gains from earlier in the year.</p><p>NVDA has almost tripled in value after two quarters, but that’s very much the exception. If not for AI, SOXX could very well have finished flat to slightly down in Q2 instead of the 15% gain it ended up with. In other words, the headline gains are masking weakness in the sector. Semis are not in as good a shape as perceived by many.</p><p>If an increasing number of stocks sit out the rally and the rally is driven by a decreasing number of stocks, then that is cause for worry. It suggests that the rally in semis, which has lasted for three quarters and is entering its fourth quarter in Q3 2023, is getting long in the tooth. Lower returns in H2 than those seen in H1 is likely. A correction in Q3 or Q4 is possible.</p><p>The latter could become more likely if export controls by China, U.S. and its allies trigger a tit-for-tat series of disruptions to existing supply chains. Keep in mind that export controls do not necessarily mean the export of things like gallium or germanium is prohibited. It means government permission is required to export. So depending on how governments go about export controls, the impact could be more or less. It does mean greater uncertainty for companies, which is generally speaking no good for their stocks.</p><p>Bottom line, semis can go higher, but it would probably not be prudent to be a buyer of semis at this time as the rally may already be running on fumes. HPC names like NVDA are still the best bet if one wants to open a new position in semis. Just be sure to remember that no matter what, nothing goes up forever.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Semiconductors Winners And Losers At The Start Of H2 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSemiconductors Winners And Losers At The Start Of H2 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-07-06 14:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4615396-semiconductors-winners-and-losers-start-h2-2023><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySemis look poised for continued gains in Q3 after the rally continued in Q2, but there were several changes worth noting.The rally in semis is increasingly being driven by AI after other ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4615396-semiconductors-winners-and-losers-start-h2-2023\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OEX":"标普100","MCHP":"微芯科技","WOLF":"Wolfspeed Inc.","AVGO":"博通","AMD":"美国超微公司","QCOM":"高通","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","LMT":"洛克希德马丁","TER":"泰瑞达","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","NVDA":"英伟达","ENTG":"英特格","INTC":"英特尔","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","ASX":"日月光半导体","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","ASML":"阿斯麦","KLAC":"科磊","AMAT":"应用材料","SH":"标普500反向ETF","TSM":"台积电","NXPI":"恩智浦","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","ON":"安森美半导体","MPWR":"Monolithic Power Systems","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","MU":"美光科技","QRVO":"Qorvo, Inc.","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","STM":"意法半导体","SWKS":"思佳讯","UMC":"联电","TXN":"德州仪器","MRVL":"迈威尔科技","MKSI":"MKS仪器","SLAB":"芯科实验室","RTX":"雷神技术公司","SYNA":"Synaptics Incorporated","LSCC":"莱迪思半导体","LRCX":"拉姆研究"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4615396-semiconductors-winners-and-losers-start-h2-2023","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2349717643","content_text":"SummarySemis look poised for continued gains in Q3 after the rally continued in Q2, but there were several changes worth noting.The rally in semis is increasingly being driven by AI after other tailwinds lost strength, which could become problematic if AI disappoints.H2 2023 is facing a flare-up in export controls, which have the potential to seriously disrupt supply chains, depending on how governments approach the issue.The rally in semis can continue since tailwinds remain, but new buyers may want to think twice about getting in at this time.AlexLMXSemiconductor stocks continue to build on the rally that started in late 2022. Semis got off to sluggish start in Q2 2023, but they took off in May with artificial intelligence or AI playing a key role. However, while the semiconductor sector as a whole looks poised to build on its gains with Q3 upon us, divergence seems to have popped up as an increasing number of semis failed to participate in the rally. Some may be better off and some may be worse off for various reasons. Why will be covered next.The trend continues to favor higher prices for semis in Q3 2023A previous article at the start of Q2 2023 concluded that semiconductor stocks as a group, and HPC names in particular, were likely to add to their strong gains in Q1 due to the existence of several tailwinds. Specifically, semis are the beneficiary of a less restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve and other central banks, increased interest in semis from the investment community due to AI and an industry outlook which calls for the end of the downturn in the market for semiconductor chips and the start of a rebound that will pave the way for a year of strong growth in 2024.As it turned out, Q2 was a good quarter, but not quite as good as Q1 for semis. The iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), for instance, started Q2 with a YTD gain of 28% and finished with a YTD gain of 46% at the end of Q2. In comparison, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) gained 39% and the SPDR S&P500 ETF (SPY) gained 16% during the same period.Furthermore, the trend argues in favor of continued gains at the start of H2 2023. Note the current trend with higher lows and higher highs in the chart below. It’s true trends can and do change, but there is also a saying that the trend is your friend and the trend suggests that sticking with semis is a bet worth taking heading into Q3.Source: Thinkorswim appQ2 saw double-digit gains, similar to Q1, but there were other differences worth notingStill, it’s worth mentioning that unlike Q1, semis got off to a poor start in Q2. In fact, most of the gains came in the month of May. If May is excluded, then semis did not perform all that well as April and June did not add as much. Semis actually lost ground in April, but May came to the rescue after a number of high-profile companies showed how much of a difference AI could be.Other companies that are not exposed as much to AI did not fare quite as well, creating a divergence in the process. A look at the individual stocks present in an ETF like SOXX makes this clear. The 30 companies included in SOXX includes Nvidia (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Intel (INTC), Texas Instruments (TXN), Microchip (MCHP), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), ON Semiconductor (ON), Applied Materials (AMAT), KLA Corp (KLAC), Analog Devices (ADI), Qualcomm (QCOM), Lam Research (LRCX), Marvell (MRVL), Micron (MU), TSMC (TSM), ASML (ASML), Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), Skyworks (SWKS), Teradyne (TER), Entegris (ENTG), STMicroelectronics (STM), Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC), Qorvo (QRVO), Wolfspeed (WOLF), MKS Instruments (MKSI), United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC), ASE Technology (ASX), Silicon Laboratories (SLAB) and Synaptics (SYNA). The table below shows the recent gains or losses for these stocks.StockWeight %Change – 12 monthsChange – 6 monthsChange – 3 monthsChange – 1 monthChange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ource: iSharesWho was hot and who was not among semiconductor stocksSemis posted strong gains in Q2, but it took some time for this to happen. SOXX, for instance, began Q2 with the stock priced at $444.67 as of March 31 and as late as May 24, SOXX was priced at $430.93. SOXX was flat to down for most of Q2, but a strong rally following May 24 helped SOXX end Q2 with strong gains.This turnaround did not happen for no reason. May 24 happens to be the day NVDA released its most recent earnings report with guidance that blew part expectations thank to AI. NVDA soared higher, invigorating the sector and SOXX by extension. It also allowed NVDA to top all others in SOXX for the second consecutive quarter with a 54% gain in Q2, pushing its YTD gain to 189%, which is way ahead of everyone else.MRVL and AVGO both made sure to mention AI in their quarterly reports, which likely helped them end up as distant runner-ups with Q2 gains of 38% and 37% respectively. However, not everyone fared as well. SOXX gained a respectable 15% in Q2, but 9 of the 30 stocks in SOXX actually finished with losses in Q2, unlike Q1 when just one stock did not post any gains.This group was led by SYNA, which lost 22.5% and WOLF with 12.5%, but it also includes UMC, SLAB, QCOM, STM, SWKS, TXN and ASX. Another two, ADI and MU, posted gains in Q2, but only barely with gains of 0.31% and 0.03% respectively. LSCC and QRVO gained just 1-2%. In other words, the broad-based rally seen in Q1 became much less so in Q2.The sector as a whole continued the rally that started in late 2022, but it was driven by a smaller number of companies than before, NVDA in particular and those who are perceived to stand to benefit from AI, whether in the form of increased demand for server GPUs or high-speed connectivity for hyperscale datacenters.It’s not by accident that NVDA and AMD are the top two gainers on a YTD basis. AI has given HPC names a major boost, which helped mask weakness elsewhere. AI essentially bailed out stocks that probably should not have performed quite as well. INTC, for instance, is a prominent name in HPC and a competitor of NVDA and AMD, but one could argue that INTC should have done significantly worse than its 27% YTD gain, if not for AI. INTC as a company has not done as well as the 27% gain in the stock suggests, whether it is regaining lost market share, technological leadership or getting its foundry business off the ground, especially not in comparison to what was expected when its much heralded CEO was brought in.In contrast, SYNA and WOLF are the only two who have yet to gain six months into 2023. Neither has any AI exposure worth noting to offset their company-specific problems like INTC, which might help explain why they are in the position they are in. Overall, Q2 was a productive quarter for semis, but there was divergence, which was masked to a certain extent by strong headline numbers for the sector such as the 15% Q2 gain for SOXX.What could cause further divergence among semisIf not for AI, semis as represented by ETFs like SOXX would probably not have gained as much as they did. AI will need to live up to expectations, since there may not be much else to keep the rally going. On the contrary, while some segments continue to hold up, the semiconductor industry as a whole is confronted with weaker-than-expected demand, the memory market in particular.Some like NVDA managed to blow past expectations, but NVDA was more like the exception than the norm. Many semis actually acknowledged facing demand that was weaker than anticipated, which led them to downgrade their outlook. This includes a bellwether like TSM, which lowered its FY2023 revenue outlook from an increase in the low single digits to a decrease in the low single digits. As a consequence, the outlook for the industry was revised lower as well.For instance, WSTS predicted at the start of the year that the semiconductor market would decline by 4.1% YoY in 2023, but the most recent update has increased this to a decline of 10.3% after incorporating all the recent updates from various industry players. MU, for instance, was the latest to report on June 28 and its quarterly guidance was well short of expectations, which is not a positive sign heading into the upcoming earnings season that will start in a few weeks.Still, most industry forecasts continue to expect a year of strong growth in 2024. WSTS, for instance, calls for the semiconductor market to expand by 11.8% YoY to $576B in 2024, just ahead of the record $574B achieved in 2022. Nevertheless, the latest industry projections are significantly lower than earlier in the year when some called for the market to grow to well over $600B in 2024.What will be the impact of the recent flare-up in the U.S.-China tech war?There is another reason behind the weak guidance from MU. MU became the first semiconductor company to be explicitly targeted by China in the ongoing tussle between the U.S. and China in the field of semiconductors. This struggle has been going on for several years, but until fairly recently, China was relatively restrained in its actions, unlike the U.S. government, which has been much more active with export controls and other restrictions/sanctions on Chinese companies.This may have changed with the recent flare-up in the ongoing back and forth between China and the U.S., the latter with the assistance of the Netherlands/Europe and Japan. The latest chapter in this saga deals with export controls on gallium and germanium imposed by China’s Ministry of Commerce. Gallium and germanium are used to make compound semiconductors like gallium arsenide or GaAs, gallium nitride or GaN and silicon germanium or SiGe.On paper, a whole of bunch companies could be affected. For example, NXPI, STM, QCOM, WOLF and QRVO. In fact, QRVO could be the one most affected. While QRVO’s core business revolves around radio frequency chips like power amplifiers for mobile communications, QRVO is also a supplier to defense contractors like Raytheon (RTX) and Lockheed Martin (LMT), which is something China may take issue with.It is not clear what exactly China hopes to achieve with these export controls. China may want to use their own export controls as leverage against export controls from the U.S. and its allies or China may have decided that withholding gallium in particular can have strategic consequences as it is an important element in military applications, including AESA radar systems for combat aircraft, naval combatants and air/missile defense systems.Export controls do add a degree of uncertainty to affected companies. If China allows everything to go through, the impact could be negligible. If not, then the impact could be more serious. If the export of gallium and germanium are reduced by a limited amount, then workarounds are possible. But if everything gets blocked, then there is a serious problem as finding alternative sources for gallium in particular will take many years and be very expensive.The risk is that these new export controls could trigger a domino-effect with more and more export controls. It depends on how China and others go about implementing export controls, but this is not a positive development for semis as they have the potential to seriously disrupt supply chains for a long time.Will the Fed be forced to become more hawkish?Another tailwind for semis has been Fed policy. The Fed has been taking its foot off the gas pedal and the prospect of a more dovish monetary policy has been good for tech stocks, semis included. Q2 saw the end of the Fed rate-hike cycle with the Fed opting to keep the Fed Funds Rate or FFR unchanged at 5-5.25% at the June meeting, making it the first time there was no rate hike since early 2022.However, the Fed tacitly admitted that inflation was proving to be more stickier than anticipated. The dot plots thus left open the possibility of another 50 basis points in hikes in 2023. The Fed still expects lower rates in the coming years, but it also hiked interest rate forecasts for 2024 and 2025 to 4.6% and 3.6% respectively, up from 4.3% and 3.1% respectively.In light of this, Fed Funds futures believe there is a 86.6% chance the FFR will be raised by another 25bps to 5.25-5.50% at the July meeting. But futures do not anticipate interest rates higher than 5.25-5.50%. The next change is likely to be a rate cut and not a hike, which futures estimate is likely to come in May 2024 when the Fed is projected to lower the FFR to 5.00-5.25% to start the cycle of rate cuts.This is more hawkish than earlier in the year. Nevertheless, the overall trajectory has not changed very much despite the more hawkish Fed. Most of the rate hikes are in the rear view and the FFR is more likely to be lower than higher in the next few years. Overall, current Fed policy remains a tailwind for semis, although sticky inflation remains a wildcard that could force more rate hikes.Could AI cause the semiconductor rally to fizzle out?There is a lot riding on AI. Of all the tailwinds, AI was by far the main driver behind the gains in Q2. Other tailwinds were still present, but they lost some of their strength as they suffered some setbacks. AI, though, is still standing strong and recent reports from the likes of NVDA support the notion that AI can be a potent driver of growth for the industry.Yet there is no denying that there is a fairly widespread view that AI is being overhyped. This is in part due to different people having different perceptions of what AI stands for. Many within the general public still think of AI as portrayed in blockbuster movies, but mankind is not any closer to that kind of AI today than it was back in the fifties when the term AI first came into being.Adding to the confusion is that people are being bombarded by sensational claims that true AI experts would take issue with. For instance, the notion that the world is getting closer to being taken over by sentient machines. It doesn’t help that OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, has made a number of contentious claims as to how far along AI is.These claims from OpenAI have been given additional credence due to ChatGPT’s success, but this does not take anything away from the fact that AI applications based on large language models or LLMs like ChatGPT suffer from unresolved problems like “hallucinations”. No one, and that includes OpenAI, has provided the scientific proof that these problems associated with LLMs can be resolvedAs long as these problems remain, ChatGPT and other LLM-based AI applications will remain limited in the types of use cases they are suitable for. They may be okay for say the novice programmer who asks the same old questions that have been asked many times before, but they’re much less suitable when faced with proprietary programming code or text data that is not included in the training of the LLM.Most will agree that AI can be of great benefit, especially if it is limited to addressing a specific problem that is limited in scope, but by how much remains to be determined. It’s not out of the question that AI, at least the one based on machine/deep learning, will not live up to everyone’s expectations. This could trigger a reset in expectations and thus the price people are willing to pay for certain semis, perhaps once the general public realizes that the world is not really any closer to the holy grail of artificial intelligence despite all the recent developments. Semis will be impacted if AI is not there to keep things going and nothing else is there to take its place.Investor takeawaysSemis have posted strong gains in H1 2023 and they look poised to add to their gains in H2 2023. The tailwinds that enabled the rally in H1 are still around and likely to remain in H2, suggesting additional gains for semis. The Fed still holds out the prospect of easier monetary policy, investor interest in AI plays remains very high and the semiconductor market is still believed to be on the verge of a strong expansion despite the current slump. As long as these conditions remain, semis are likely to continue to do well.Having said that, the outlook for semis has deteriorated in several ways at the midpoint of 2023, at least in comparison to the start of 2023. The Fed has been less dovish than expected and weakness in semiconductor demand has been greater than anticipated. AI is the one pillar that has remained the steadiest, which explains why it was mainly responsible for the gains seen in Q2.However, this also means AI is shouldering more of the load. This is expressed in ETFs like SOXX where huge gains by a small numbers of stocks offset the fact that a large number of stocks lost ground. Stocks like QCOM, SWKS, QRVO, SLAB and SYNA have lost some or all their gains from earlier in the year.NVDA has almost tripled in value after two quarters, but that’s very much the exception. If not for AI, SOXX could very well have finished flat to slightly down in Q2 instead of the 15% gain it ended up with. In other words, the headline gains are masking weakness in the sector. Semis are not in as good a shape as perceived by many.If an increasing number of stocks sit out the rally and the rally is driven by a decreasing number of stocks, then that is cause for worry. It suggests that the rally in semis, which has lasted for three quarters and is entering its fourth quarter in Q3 2023, is getting long in the tooth. Lower returns in H2 than those seen in H1 is likely. A correction in Q3 or Q4 is possible.The latter could become more likely if export controls by China, U.S. and its allies trigger a tit-for-tat series of disruptions to existing supply chains. Keep in mind that export controls do not necessarily mean the export of things like gallium or germanium is prohibited. It means government permission is required to export. So depending on how governments go about export controls, the impact could be more or less. It does mean greater uncertainty for companies, which is generally speaking no good for their stocks.Bottom line, semis can go higher, but it would probably not be prudent to be a buyer of semis at this time as the rally may already be running on fumes. HPC names like NVDA are still the best bet if one wants to open a new position in semis. Just be sure to remember that no matter what, nothing goes up forever.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928172197,"gmtCreate":1671233941720,"gmtModify":1676538512473,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes buy now at the dip","listText":"Yes buy now at the dip","text":"Yes buy now at the dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928172197","repostId":"1110614668","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110614668","pubTimestamp":1671183019,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1110614668?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-16 17:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Alphabet Stock Be in 5 Years?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110614668","media":"investorplace","summary":"Alphabet’s (GOOG, GOOGL) acquisition of Mandiant should provide a cybersecurity-market revenue strea","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Alphabet’s</b> (<b><u>GOOG</u></b>, <b><u>GOOGL</u></b>) acquisition of Mandiant should provide a cybersecurity-market revenue stream.</li><li>A recently revealed government deal indicates Alphabet is serious about its cloud-computing business.</li><li>Investors should scoop up some GOOG stock shares while they’re still cheap and expect it to reach $300 in five years.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f78244546e1c6dce510e8e9006ce035\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: IgorGolovniov / Shutterstock.com</p><p>It’s not an exaggeration to say that Google and YouTube parent company <b>Alphabet</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOG</u></b>, NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOGL</u></b>) navigated rough economic waters in 2022. That’s good news for GOOG stock traders, however. You now have a prime opportunity to get exposure to a search-engine giant as well as a major competitor in cloud computing and cyber-defense.</p><p>Even the most patient buy-and-hold investors might be afraid to invest in Alphabet now. Perhaps they witnessed the selloff in Alphabet shares after the company released itsthird-quarter 2022 financial results— which indicated year-over-year revenue growth, by the way.</p><p>Ask yourself: Am I serious about “buy low and sell high”? If so, then this is an opportunity to put the “buy low” part of the formula into practice. While you’re at it, set a high price target for the next five years — and don’t be surprised if Alphabet exceeds your highest expectations.</p><h2>What’s Happening With GOOG Stock?</h2><p>GOOG stock was actually halfway to $300 in late 2021. Then, circumstances beyond Alphabet’s control intervened and prompted a selloff.</p><p>Certainly, it’s not Alphabet’s fault that inflation increased and some businesses were compelled to reduce their ad spend. Still, the Alphabet share price has come down to a great price. Alphabet’s trailing 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.37x is quite attractive for a Big Tech company.</p><p>Besides, there’s been positive news to report for Alphabet. For one thing, a federal court in Australiadismissed a lawsuit against Alphabetconcerning the use of personal data. Furthermore, Brazil’s central bank approved Google Pay to “operate as a payment institution in Brazil, Latin America’s largest economy,” according to a <i>Reuters</i>report.</p><p>Alphabet Gets Serious About Its Cloud and Cybersecurity Divisions</p><p>You might think of Alphabet just as the owner of the Google search engine and YouTube. However, there’s much more to Alphabet’s business model. Indeed, the company’s cloud-computing and cyber-defense units should prove to be significant revenue drivers during the next five years.</p><p>Alphabet didn’t need to start a cybersecurity business from scratch when it could instead acquire a company already operating successfully in that field. Thus, it made perfect sense for Alphabet toacquire threat-intelligence company Mandiant.</p><p>Having beenestablished in 2004, Mandiant was an early player in the American cybersecurity market. Today, Mandiant retains its brand name but is effectively part of Google Cloud.</p><p>Speaking of the cloud, Google was among a small handful of businesses to earn a potentially lucrativedeal with the U.S. Defense Department. Reportedly, Google is a co-winner of a multibillion-dollar cloud-computing contract to serve the Defense Department’s Joint Warfighting Cloud Capability.</p><p>Google will share a collective award valued at up to $9 billion. It’s another feather in the cap for Alphabet as the company moves far afield of the Google search engine and YouTube.</p><h2>So, Where Will GOOG Stock Be in Five Years?</h2><p>Buyers made an earnest attempt to take GOOG stock to $150 last year. External circumstances prevented a successful breakout, however.</p><p>Given Alphabet’s multiple, high-conviction business interests, there’s no reason to believe the company’s shares won’t be worth $150 soon and twice that amount in five years.</p><p>So, go ahead and set a target of $300 for the long term. Expect Alphabet’s interests in the cloud and cybersecurity to provide substantial revenue. Eventually, $300 should be within reach for GOOG stock. After that, you might not even want to sell your shares, even if you bought them at today’s low price.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Alphabet Stock Be in 5 Years?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Alphabet Stock Be in 5 Years?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-16 17:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/12/where-will-alphabet-goog-stock-be-in-5-years/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alphabet’s (GOOG, GOOGL) acquisition of Mandiant should provide a cybersecurity-market revenue stream.A recently revealed government deal indicates Alphabet is serious about its cloud-computing ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/12/where-will-alphabet-goog-stock-be-in-5-years/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/12/where-will-alphabet-goog-stock-be-in-5-years/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110614668","content_text":"Alphabet’s (GOOG, GOOGL) acquisition of Mandiant should provide a cybersecurity-market revenue stream.A recently revealed government deal indicates Alphabet is serious about its cloud-computing business.Investors should scoop up some GOOG stock shares while they’re still cheap and expect it to reach $300 in five years.Source: IgorGolovniov / Shutterstock.comIt’s not an exaggeration to say that Google and YouTube parent company Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) navigated rough economic waters in 2022. That’s good news for GOOG stock traders, however. You now have a prime opportunity to get exposure to a search-engine giant as well as a major competitor in cloud computing and cyber-defense.Even the most patient buy-and-hold investors might be afraid to invest in Alphabet now. Perhaps they witnessed the selloff in Alphabet shares after the company released itsthird-quarter 2022 financial results— which indicated year-over-year revenue growth, by the way.Ask yourself: Am I serious about “buy low and sell high”? If so, then this is an opportunity to put the “buy low” part of the formula into practice. While you’re at it, set a high price target for the next five years — and don’t be surprised if Alphabet exceeds your highest expectations.What’s Happening With GOOG Stock?GOOG stock was actually halfway to $300 in late 2021. Then, circumstances beyond Alphabet’s control intervened and prompted a selloff.Certainly, it’s not Alphabet’s fault that inflation increased and some businesses were compelled to reduce their ad spend. Still, the Alphabet share price has come down to a great price. Alphabet’s trailing 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.37x is quite attractive for a Big Tech company.Besides, there’s been positive news to report for Alphabet. For one thing, a federal court in Australiadismissed a lawsuit against Alphabetconcerning the use of personal data. Furthermore, Brazil’s central bank approved Google Pay to “operate as a payment institution in Brazil, Latin America’s largest economy,” according to a Reutersreport.Alphabet Gets Serious About Its Cloud and Cybersecurity DivisionsYou might think of Alphabet just as the owner of the Google search engine and YouTube. However, there’s much more to Alphabet’s business model. Indeed, the company’s cloud-computing and cyber-defense units should prove to be significant revenue drivers during the next five years.Alphabet didn’t need to start a cybersecurity business from scratch when it could instead acquire a company already operating successfully in that field. Thus, it made perfect sense for Alphabet toacquire threat-intelligence company Mandiant.Having beenestablished in 2004, Mandiant was an early player in the American cybersecurity market. Today, Mandiant retains its brand name but is effectively part of Google Cloud.Speaking of the cloud, Google was among a small handful of businesses to earn a potentially lucrativedeal with the U.S. Defense Department. Reportedly, Google is a co-winner of a multibillion-dollar cloud-computing contract to serve the Defense Department’s Joint Warfighting Cloud Capability.Google will share a collective award valued at up to $9 billion. It’s another feather in the cap for Alphabet as the company moves far afield of the Google search engine and YouTube.So, Where Will GOOG Stock Be in Five Years?Buyers made an earnest attempt to take GOOG stock to $150 last year. External circumstances prevented a successful breakout, however.Given Alphabet’s multiple, high-conviction business interests, there’s no reason to believe the company’s shares won’t be worth $150 soon and twice that amount in five years.So, go ahead and set a target of $300 for the long term. Expect Alphabet’s interests in the cloud and cybersecurity to provide substantial revenue. Eventually, $300 should be within reach for GOOG stock. After that, you might not even want to sell your shares, even if you bought them at today’s low price.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961151528,"gmtCreate":1668901526964,"gmtModify":1676538124820,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes buy more if you have not reach your full&nbsp;allocation for this stock.&nbsp;","listText":"Yes buy more if you have not reach your full&nbsp;allocation for this stock.&nbsp;","text":"Yes buy more if you have not reach your full allocation for this stock.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961151528","repostId":"2284050719","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284050719","pubTimestamp":1668771546,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2284050719?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-18 19:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"You Can Now Buy Amazon's Stock With A Margin Of Safety","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284050719","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAmazon's stock is down more than 47% from its high.There may be some company-specific reasons","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><h2>Summary</h2><li>Amazon&#39;s stock is down more than 47% from its high.</li><li>There may be some company-specific reasons but the current bear market is probably a bigger factor in the drop.</li><li>Amazon’s retail business has its low margins and high investments but it&#39;s essential for the overall business. That&#39;s why we give a full overview.</li><li>Next to AWS, two more internal giants are growing fast and still have a long runway.</li><li>The best way to value Amazon is probably OCF and it shows that there&#39;s a margin of safety at the current valuation.</li><li>I do much more than just articles at Best Anchor Stocks: Members get access to model portfolios, regular updates, a chat room, and more.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a963791626014d456e1aaa93ac2ea95\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>Introduction</h2><p>The market has significantly punished Amazon’s (NASDAQ:AMZN) stock this year. As of the moment of this writing, the stock is down almost 47% from its most recent highs:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fae1b427c6bfc57ec36440685ed2501f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>While there are undoubtedly some company-specific reasons for this steep decline, we believe that the current market environment and investors’ short-termism have a much higher weight on the stock price.</p><p>In this article, we will explain why retail is critical for Amazon despite its poor financials and discuss some long-term opportunities for the company.</p><p>Without further ado, let’s get started.</p><h2>The importance of retail</h2><p>Most people mainly know Amazon for its retail business. Ask anyone on the street what Amazon does, and they’ll most likely tell you that Amazon is an e-commerce retailer. However, this is precisely the part of the business that investors dislike the most due to its poor margins and high investment needs.</p><p>The investment community has long discussed a potential spinoff of AWS (Amazon Web Services) so that investors can choose what part of Amazon they want to hold. We know it might be controversial, but given the opportunity to hold AWS or the rest of Amazon, we would probably choose to hold both.</p><p>Amazon’s retail business is responsible for many essential business lines and is shifting toward a more profitable model, the third-party model or 3P. It’s also an integral part of the company’s moat and why other businesses, such as Ads and Prime membership, have a long runway ahead. Yes, AWS can survive without retail, but we must not forget that AWS was born from an internal solution the company found while trying to scale its retail business. It’s not dependent on retail anymore, but it does exist thanks to retail.</p><p>Amazon is a huge company and it may be difficult to untangle all the threads. That&#39;s why we have prepared a graph with an overview of Amazon’s businesses:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1429da55d7518fb94668f19e8f3ba35\" tg-width=\"1230\" tg-height=\"914\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Made by Best Anchor Stocks</p><p>As you can see in the graph, retail fuels several of the company’s businesses, some of which are lucrative and have very high margins. These adjacent businesses have many years of growth ahead, in many cases protected from disruptors thanks to the company’s investments in retail throughout the last two decades.</p><h2>The long-term opportunities</h2><p>The stock price’s performance this year could make investors believe it’s not day 1 at Amazon anymore, even though the main building at Amazon&#39;s headquarters is called Day 1.</p><p>Retail already is a massive business and will be heavily impacted if we go into recession. We accept both of these claims are true, but many investors are staying away from Amazon due to what can happen over the next one to two years, completely ignoring what could drive the company to new heights over the next decade.</p><p>Let’s go over some of Amazon’s long-term opportunities.</p><h2>Amazon Web Services - Leading the shift to the cloud</h2><p>AWS is the growth driver that every investor talks about. Companies are increasingly shifting their tech infrastructure from their premises to the cloud. However, the shift to the cloud is costly due to the required big investments in infrastructure, so these companies increasingly rely on third-party providers. AWS is the clear leader thanks to its first-mover advantage:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed1ee76f811e0199bc3c5694c6fe588a\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"420\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Synergy Research Group</p><p>There are many advantages to using the <i>hyperscalers</i> (Amazon, Microsoft (MSFT), and Google (GOOG) (GOOGL)). The first and most obvious one is flexibility. If customers were to invest in their own infrastructure, this would create massive capital needs and little ability to control costs during times of lower usage. Instead, by relying on third-party providers, these customers have now transformed a fixed expense into a variable expense, thereby allowing them to be flexible according to their needs and the macroeconomic context.</p><p>The pandemic was a warning sign for every company to invest in their tech infrastructure. Consumers and employees increasingly spend their time online, creating a need for a tech infrastructure that allows fast scalability, development, and rollout. The cloud provides just this.</p><p>According to several market research firms, the global cloud computing industry is expected to grow at a mid-teens yearly, reaching a size of over $1.5 trillion by the end of the decade. With the industry increasingly consolidating around hyperscalers, AWS will directly benefit from this growth.</p><p>Margins already are high at AWS, but it still requires high capex. The company is currently investing significant amounts to building AWS regions around the world in anticipation of future growth, but the potential for being a stable cash cow is clearly visible. Cloud also has high switching costs, so the growth opportunity comes with significant pricing power attached to it.</p><h2>Advertising - Another giant in the making</h2><p>Many investors ask themselves if Amazon will ever come up with yet another AWS. We shouldn’t make direct comparisons, but its advertising business might be another giant in the making.</p><p>Amazon Ads is the company’s digital advertising offering, which has several parts to it. The most “well-known” part and where Amazon’s competitive position is stronger is in its <b>Marketplace Ads</b>. It’s easy to spot these ads, and it’s also easy to understand why they are doing so well.</p><p>If you open Amazon, you’ll see a variety of offers. Some of these offers are things you have already bought and might want to buy on a recurrent basis, others will be offers based on what you have searched for but not yet purchased, and others will be ads. You can spot ads because they have a “sponsored” tag beneath them.</p><p>Amazon’s shoppers typically come to the website with a purchase in mind, so there’s high intent in every interaction that happens on the marketplace. This intent, together with Amazon’s first-party data, is what makes Amazon Ads so powerful.</p><p>Advertisers on Amazon’s marketplace know that conversion rates for their ads are much higher than in other platforms where there&#39;s no buying intention. Amazon’s first-party data also allow it to “boost” this intent by showing the most relevant ads based on what the user has searched for in the marketplace. Marketplace Ads are Amazon’s bread and butter and are insulated from Apple’s IDFA changes:</p><blockquote><i>Advertisers are looking for effective advertising, and our advertising is at the point where customers are ready to spend.</i></blockquote><blockquote>Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon&#39;s CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings call</blockquote><p>Amazon Ads launched 10 years ago, but it was only recently that the company started focusing on its growth. As a result, Ads is now a +$30 billion business, growing at 30% in the most recent quarter despite the broad ad industry going through tough times:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/675b8a9f54623fe5635090fe6cf842e3\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"861\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Made by Best Anchor Stocks</p><p>Amazon Ads is made up of much more than “just” marketplace Ads, though. Leveraging platforms such as Fire, Twitch and Amazon Music, the company also offers “external” ad services. Despite these platforms being outside the marketplace, a prime member accesses them using the same user login, so Amazon can leverage first-party data here too. Unfortunately, Amazon bundles its Ad Revenues, so it’s difficult to understand how each part is performing individually.</p><p>Amazon Ads is a great business and is mostly dependent on retail. When merged with Ads &#39; operating margins, I wonder how the retail business margins will look in a couple of years.</p><p>The opportunity for Ads is obvious. Amazon’s marketplace is increasingly shifting to 3P sellers, which are evidently the ones that purchase these ads:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37468bff388b1951e8910f50a4bd0b51\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"863\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Made by Best Anchor Stocks</p><p>We anticipate this trend will continue going forward, helping the Ads business’ growth. As Amazon grows its prime memberships and its activity on the marketplace, impressions will increase, and the first-party data will be more robust to continue driving conversion. Amazon doesn’t separately disclose the profitability of its Ads business, but operating margins as high as those of Meta may be achievable. When nobody thought Amazon could come up with another cash engine like AWS, the company did just that in plain sight.</p><p>An investor willing to forfeit retail must be ready to forfeit Ads too.</p><h2>Prime membership - significant pricing power in the bundle</h2><p>The Amazon Prime membership bundles many of the company’s benefits for consumers. Prime is a subscription service through which consumers pay an annual fee in exchange for having access to a series of “Prime” benefits:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a294488707fe680704f9de60d5810c9\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Amazon</p><p>We will not go into detail into each of these benefits, but it seems clear that the main benefit is on the eCommerce side. Most people becomes a prime member due to fast and free shipping and Prime day. Again, this shows how important retail is for the overall company despite not being the best business in isolation.</p><p>Throughout the years, Amazon has built various segments on top of its Shipping benefits, increasing switching costs and even diversifying the top of the funnel. One example of the latter is Amazon’s recent 11-year partnership with the NFL to offer Thursday Night Football. The event was record-breaking when it comes to signups:</p><blockquote><i>NFL Thursday Night Football also premiered in September, averaging more than 15 million viewers during its first broadcast and driving the three biggest hours of US Prime sign-ups in the history of Amazon.</i></blockquote><blockquote>Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings call</blockquote><p>Amazon aims to give prime subscribers free and fast shipping, a “Spotify,” and a “Netflix,” among others. By offering such a broad range of services, the company can increase switching costs and widen the top of the funnel. The former will help with pricing power going forward, while the latter should help with volume growth. Prime gives a ton of value, according to JPMorgan&#39;s calculations:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e09c4434cded94b49c8a6856911d690\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>JP Morgan</p><p>There’s a high probability Amazon will be able to realize significant price hikes in the future without seeing too much churn. 94% of prime members who have subscribed for a year subscribe for a second, and 98% who subscribe for two years renew for a third. We&#39;re already starting to see this play out:</p><blockquote><i>On the Prime fee increase earlier in the year, we’re happy with the results we’re seeing in the Prime program. Prime membership retention is still strong, the change has been above our expectations positively.</i></blockquote><blockquote>Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon&#39;s CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings call</blockquote><p>Amazon has built a large and loyal customer base through this broad offering. Let’s look at some numbers.</p><p>There are currently around 200 million prime members globally, 150 million of which are in the US. Growth has been strong over the last decade, although it’s expected to plateau in the next couple of years:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d45077e16946ccf5e3066109b4360715\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"584\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Backlinco.com</p><p>It’s normal for growth to plateau here. At almost 160 million prime subscribers, Amazon has close to a 50% penetration in the US. This number is higher if one excludes kids, for example. At these penetration rates and based on the value that the Prime subscription offers its members, there’s a significant opportunity to grow in price here.</p><p>The better opportunity comes from international markets, though. Amazon disclosed in Q1 2021 that it had surpassed 200 million global Prime members. Subtract US Prime members from this number, and we get to around 50 - 60 million international Prime members. This number is significant, but there’s still a long runway to grow in volume.</p><p>The international opportunity is even greater if we consider that Prime is much cheaper in international markets than in the US. Let’s look at the example of Spain.</p><p>Spotify and the lowest-tier Netflix subscriptions would cost ara Spanish citizen around €215 per year. Spotify costs €9.99/month, and Netflix’s low-tier costs €7.99/month. A Spanish citizen pays €36/year for an Amazon Prime membership. Amazon Music Unlimited is not currently included in the Prime membership, so we should add that to make it a fair comparison. With Amazon Music, the total would be €156 per year. This means you’d have access to Netflix (Prime Video), Spotify (Amazon Music), fast shipping, and other benefits for 39% less.</p><p>Yes, Amazon Music is not as good as Spotify, and Prime Video still lags Netflix, but the gap is closing thanks to Amazon’s investments. When this gap closes, would a Spanish citizen cancel their Amazon Prime subscription after a 100% price hike? It seems highly unlikely.</p><p>Price and volume will drive international, although competition will be more intense than in the US.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>Amazon&#39;s valuation has always been a controversial subject. Probably the best way to value it is operating cash flow. Amazon&#39;s stock price has followed its OCF evolution almost perfectly. It&#39;s also no surprise, then, that when operating cash flow went down substantially, the stock dived too. But it has now overcorrected, especially if you look into the future. I think this graph shows more than all the words I could write.</p><h2><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2ac4cf5246f9d8440012d68f49a2b0c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h2><p>FAST Graphs</p><p>The blue line shows the average OCF valuation of Amazon&#39;s stock, which happens to be almost identical as the OCF growth: 25% growth, an OCF multiple of 25. Of course, this is no coincidence. When you see how much the Operational Cash Flow is expected to grow in the next few years, I think this shows why we rate Amazon as a strong buy now. Even if the growth is not as high as expected, there&#39;s probably a margin of safety here. As you can see on the graph, in the past 15 years, it has not often happened that you could buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p>As we know, anything can happen in the stock market. There are no guarantees. But this seems to be an excellent price to buy Amazon shares and hold them for the long term.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>All in all, despite Amazon stock&#39;s recent poor performance, there are many reasons to remain optimistic with a long-term view. Amazon is still reinvesting significantly into its business which we think is pushing back short-term investors. Nobody wants to own Amazon unless they take a long-term view.</p><p>In the meantime, keep growing!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>You Can Now Buy Amazon's Stock With A Margin Of Safety</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYou Can Now Buy Amazon's Stock With A Margin Of Safety\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 19:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558760-buy-amazon-stock-with-a-margin-of-safety><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAmazon's stock is down more than 47% from its high.There may be some company-specific reasons but the current bear market is probably a bigger factor in the drop.Amazon’s retail business has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558760-buy-amazon-stock-with-a-margin-of-safety\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558760-buy-amazon-stock-with-a-margin-of-safety","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2284050719","content_text":"SummaryAmazon's stock is down more than 47% from its high.There may be some company-specific reasons but the current bear market is probably a bigger factor in the drop.Amazon’s retail business has its low margins and high investments but it's essential for the overall business. That's why we give a full overview.Next to AWS, two more internal giants are growing fast and still have a long runway.The best way to value Amazon is probably OCF and it shows that there's a margin of safety at the current valuation.I do much more than just articles at Best Anchor Stocks: Members get access to model portfolios, regular updates, a chat room, and more.IntroductionThe market has significantly punished Amazon’s (NASDAQ:AMZN) stock this year. As of the moment of this writing, the stock is down almost 47% from its most recent highs:Data by YChartsWhile there are undoubtedly some company-specific reasons for this steep decline, we believe that the current market environment and investors’ short-termism have a much higher weight on the stock price.In this article, we will explain why retail is critical for Amazon despite its poor financials and discuss some long-term opportunities for the company.Without further ado, let’s get started.The importance of retailMost people mainly know Amazon for its retail business. Ask anyone on the street what Amazon does, and they’ll most likely tell you that Amazon is an e-commerce retailer. However, this is precisely the part of the business that investors dislike the most due to its poor margins and high investment needs.The investment community has long discussed a potential spinoff of AWS (Amazon Web Services) so that investors can choose what part of Amazon they want to hold. We know it might be controversial, but given the opportunity to hold AWS or the rest of Amazon, we would probably choose to hold both.Amazon’s retail business is responsible for many essential business lines and is shifting toward a more profitable model, the third-party model or 3P. It’s also an integral part of the company’s moat and why other businesses, such as Ads and Prime membership, have a long runway ahead. Yes, AWS can survive without retail, but we must not forget that AWS was born from an internal solution the company found while trying to scale its retail business. It’s not dependent on retail anymore, but it does exist thanks to retail.Amazon is a huge company and it may be difficult to untangle all the threads. That's why we have prepared a graph with an overview of Amazon’s businesses:Made by Best Anchor StocksAs you can see in the graph, retail fuels several of the company’s businesses, some of which are lucrative and have very high margins. These adjacent businesses have many years of growth ahead, in many cases protected from disruptors thanks to the company’s investments in retail throughout the last two decades.The long-term opportunitiesThe stock price’s performance this year could make investors believe it’s not day 1 at Amazon anymore, even though the main building at Amazon's headquarters is called Day 1.Retail already is a massive business and will be heavily impacted if we go into recession. We accept both of these claims are true, but many investors are staying away from Amazon due to what can happen over the next one to two years, completely ignoring what could drive the company to new heights over the next decade.Let’s go over some of Amazon’s long-term opportunities.Amazon Web Services - Leading the shift to the cloudAWS is the growth driver that every investor talks about. Companies are increasingly shifting their tech infrastructure from their premises to the cloud. However, the shift to the cloud is costly due to the required big investments in infrastructure, so these companies increasingly rely on third-party providers. AWS is the clear leader thanks to its first-mover advantage:Synergy Research GroupThere are many advantages to using the hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft (MSFT), and Google (GOOG) (GOOGL)). The first and most obvious one is flexibility. If customers were to invest in their own infrastructure, this would create massive capital needs and little ability to control costs during times of lower usage. Instead, by relying on third-party providers, these customers have now transformed a fixed expense into a variable expense, thereby allowing them to be flexible according to their needs and the macroeconomic context.The pandemic was a warning sign for every company to invest in their tech infrastructure. Consumers and employees increasingly spend their time online, creating a need for a tech infrastructure that allows fast scalability, development, and rollout. The cloud provides just this.According to several market research firms, the global cloud computing industry is expected to grow at a mid-teens yearly, reaching a size of over $1.5 trillion by the end of the decade. With the industry increasingly consolidating around hyperscalers, AWS will directly benefit from this growth.Margins already are high at AWS, but it still requires high capex. The company is currently investing significant amounts to building AWS regions around the world in anticipation of future growth, but the potential for being a stable cash cow is clearly visible. Cloud also has high switching costs, so the growth opportunity comes with significant pricing power attached to it.Advertising - Another giant in the makingMany investors ask themselves if Amazon will ever come up with yet another AWS. We shouldn’t make direct comparisons, but its advertising business might be another giant in the making.Amazon Ads is the company’s digital advertising offering, which has several parts to it. The most “well-known” part and where Amazon’s competitive position is stronger is in its Marketplace Ads. It’s easy to spot these ads, and it’s also easy to understand why they are doing so well.If you open Amazon, you’ll see a variety of offers. Some of these offers are things you have already bought and might want to buy on a recurrent basis, others will be offers based on what you have searched for but not yet purchased, and others will be ads. You can spot ads because they have a “sponsored” tag beneath them.Amazon’s shoppers typically come to the website with a purchase in mind, so there’s high intent in every interaction that happens on the marketplace. This intent, together with Amazon’s first-party data, is what makes Amazon Ads so powerful.Advertisers on Amazon’s marketplace know that conversion rates for their ads are much higher than in other platforms where there's no buying intention. Amazon’s first-party data also allow it to “boost” this intent by showing the most relevant ads based on what the user has searched for in the marketplace. Marketplace Ads are Amazon’s bread and butter and are insulated from Apple’s IDFA changes:Advertisers are looking for effective advertising, and our advertising is at the point where customers are ready to spend.Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon's CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings callAmazon Ads launched 10 years ago, but it was only recently that the company started focusing on its growth. As a result, Ads is now a +$30 billion business, growing at 30% in the most recent quarter despite the broad ad industry going through tough times:Made by Best Anchor StocksAmazon Ads is made up of much more than “just” marketplace Ads, though. Leveraging platforms such as Fire, Twitch and Amazon Music, the company also offers “external” ad services. Despite these platforms being outside the marketplace, a prime member accesses them using the same user login, so Amazon can leverage first-party data here too. Unfortunately, Amazon bundles its Ad Revenues, so it’s difficult to understand how each part is performing individually.Amazon Ads is a great business and is mostly dependent on retail. When merged with Ads ' operating margins, I wonder how the retail business margins will look in a couple of years.The opportunity for Ads is obvious. Amazon’s marketplace is increasingly shifting to 3P sellers, which are evidently the ones that purchase these ads:Made by Best Anchor StocksWe anticipate this trend will continue going forward, helping the Ads business’ growth. As Amazon grows its prime memberships and its activity on the marketplace, impressions will increase, and the first-party data will be more robust to continue driving conversion. Amazon doesn’t separately disclose the profitability of its Ads business, but operating margins as high as those of Meta may be achievable. When nobody thought Amazon could come up with another cash engine like AWS, the company did just that in plain sight.An investor willing to forfeit retail must be ready to forfeit Ads too.Prime membership - significant pricing power in the bundleThe Amazon Prime membership bundles many of the company’s benefits for consumers. Prime is a subscription service through which consumers pay an annual fee in exchange for having access to a series of “Prime” benefits:AmazonWe will not go into detail into each of these benefits, but it seems clear that the main benefit is on the eCommerce side. Most people becomes a prime member due to fast and free shipping and Prime day. Again, this shows how important retail is for the overall company despite not being the best business in isolation.Throughout the years, Amazon has built various segments on top of its Shipping benefits, increasing switching costs and even diversifying the top of the funnel. One example of the latter is Amazon’s recent 11-year partnership with the NFL to offer Thursday Night Football. The event was record-breaking when it comes to signups:NFL Thursday Night Football also premiered in September, averaging more than 15 million viewers during its first broadcast and driving the three biggest hours of US Prime sign-ups in the history of Amazon.Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings callAmazon aims to give prime subscribers free and fast shipping, a “Spotify,” and a “Netflix,” among others. By offering such a broad range of services, the company can increase switching costs and widen the top of the funnel. The former will help with pricing power going forward, while the latter should help with volume growth. Prime gives a ton of value, according to JPMorgan's calculations:JP MorganThere’s a high probability Amazon will be able to realize significant price hikes in the future without seeing too much churn. 94% of prime members who have subscribed for a year subscribe for a second, and 98% who subscribe for two years renew for a third. We're already starting to see this play out:On the Prime fee increase earlier in the year, we’re happy with the results we’re seeing in the Prime program. Prime membership retention is still strong, the change has been above our expectations positively.Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon's CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings callAmazon has built a large and loyal customer base through this broad offering. Let’s look at some numbers.There are currently around 200 million prime members globally, 150 million of which are in the US. Growth has been strong over the last decade, although it’s expected to plateau in the next couple of years:Backlinco.comIt’s normal for growth to plateau here. At almost 160 million prime subscribers, Amazon has close to a 50% penetration in the US. This number is higher if one excludes kids, for example. At these penetration rates and based on the value that the Prime subscription offers its members, there’s a significant opportunity to grow in price here.The better opportunity comes from international markets, though. Amazon disclosed in Q1 2021 that it had surpassed 200 million global Prime members. Subtract US Prime members from this number, and we get to around 50 - 60 million international Prime members. This number is significant, but there’s still a long runway to grow in volume.The international opportunity is even greater if we consider that Prime is much cheaper in international markets than in the US. Let’s look at the example of Spain.Spotify and the lowest-tier Netflix subscriptions would cost ara Spanish citizen around €215 per year. Spotify costs €9.99/month, and Netflix’s low-tier costs €7.99/month. A Spanish citizen pays €36/year for an Amazon Prime membership. Amazon Music Unlimited is not currently included in the Prime membership, so we should add that to make it a fair comparison. With Amazon Music, the total would be €156 per year. This means you’d have access to Netflix (Prime Video), Spotify (Amazon Music), fast shipping, and other benefits for 39% less.Yes, Amazon Music is not as good as Spotify, and Prime Video still lags Netflix, but the gap is closing thanks to Amazon’s investments. When this gap closes, would a Spanish citizen cancel their Amazon Prime subscription after a 100% price hike? It seems highly unlikely.Price and volume will drive international, although competition will be more intense than in the US.ValuationAmazon's valuation has always been a controversial subject. Probably the best way to value it is operating cash flow. Amazon's stock price has followed its OCF evolution almost perfectly. It's also no surprise, then, that when operating cash flow went down substantially, the stock dived too. But it has now overcorrected, especially if you look into the future. I think this graph shows more than all the words I could write.FAST GraphsThe blue line shows the average OCF valuation of Amazon's stock, which happens to be almost identical as the OCF growth: 25% growth, an OCF multiple of 25. Of course, this is no coincidence. When you see how much the Operational Cash Flow is expected to grow in the next few years, I think this shows why we rate Amazon as a strong buy now. Even if the growth is not as high as expected, there's probably a margin of safety here. As you can see on the graph, in the past 15 years, it has not often happened that you could buy Amazon at a discount.As we know, anything can happen in the stock market. There are no guarantees. But this seems to be an excellent price to buy Amazon shares and hold them for the long term.ConclusionAll in all, despite Amazon stock's recent poor performance, there are many reasons to remain optimistic with a long-term view. Amazon is still reinvesting significantly into its business which we think is pushing back short-term investors. Nobody wants to own Amazon unless they take a long-term view.In the meantime, keep growing!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969219003,"gmtCreate":1668463357302,"gmtModify":1676538058405,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Error. Please rectify&nbsp; Webpage not available The webpage at tg:resolve?domain=TigerBrokersOptions could not be loaded because: net::ERR_UNKNOWN_URL_SCHEME","listText":"Error. Please rectify&nbsp; Webpage not available The webpage at tg:resolve?domain=TigerBrokersOptions could not be loaded because: net::ERR_UNKNOWN_URL_SCHEME","text":"Error. Please rectify Webpage not available The webpage at tg:resolve?domain=TigerBrokersOptions could not be loaded because: net::ERR_UNKNOWN_URL_SCHEME","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969219003","repostId":"1125742292","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125742292","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1668419126,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125742292?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-14 17:45","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Option Movers｜Nio to Hit $12 This Week? Over 75% Call Option Focused on It","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125742292","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Market OverviewThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Friday, extending a rally started the day befo","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Market Overview</h2><p>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Friday, extending a rally started the day before after a soft inflation reading.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.92%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.88%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%.</p><p>Regarding the options market, a total volume of 54,158,114 contracts was traded on Friday, up 2.8% from the previous trading day.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p>Top 10: SPY, QQQ, TSLA, AMZN, AAPL, META, IWM, VIX, AMD, TQQQ</p><p>Options related to equity index ETFs are top choices for investors, with8.78 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> and 3.57 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> options contracts trading on Friday.</p><p>Total trading volume for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> rose 2.9% and 13.69%, respectively, from the previous day. 52% of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> trades bet on bearish options.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a4dde1805ee85c04210329561a1edc6\" tg-width=\"459\" tg-height=\"930\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a></b> gained 5.7% on Friday after it launched its latest data center chip and said Microsoft&#39;s Azure, Alphabet-owned Google Cloud and Oracle would be some of its customers.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d56aa4e314d26b311e8b809f1b6207b3\" tg-width=\"1020\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p>The fourth generation EPYC processor, code named &#34;Genoa&#34;, makes significant improvement on performance and energy efficiency compared with its previous chip, said Chief Executive Lisa Su.</p><p>There were 924,000 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a> </b>options trading on Friday. Call options account for60% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $75 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 25,151 contracts trading on Friday.</p><h2>Unusual Options Activity</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b840ee84ea8416123b2c8b9539c618af\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"208\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a></b> surged 12.84% on Friday though it cut over 60 jobs in its recruiting and institutional onboarding teams.</p><p>Moreover, Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto empire filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in Delaware, capping a rapid downfall for his companies.</p><p>There were 412,100 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a></b> options trading on Friday. Put options account for 66% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $55 strike put option expiring November 18th, with 6,940 contracts trading on Friday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4b7dbe1cb7cb3f4837500ae0b08ff3a\" tg-width=\"1008\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b> soared 11.8% on Friday and rose 24.97% after posting its financial results. It reported a bigger loss forQ3 and expects deliveries to rise as much as 91.7% in the current quarter.</p><p>Moreover, China eased some of its COVID-19 rules. The country reduced quarantine by two days for those who come in close contact with infected people, and for inbound travelers, and also scrapped a penalty for airlines for bringing in many cases.</p><p>There were 364,700 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b> options trading on Friday. Call options account for 76% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $12 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 12,773 contracts trading on Friday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7221d5d33cb1aece8c71292b86c24a01\" tg-width=\"1011\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><h2>TOP Bullish &amp; Bearish Single Stocks</h2><p>This report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).</p><p>If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.</p><p>Top 10 bullish stocks: BITO, INVZ, PYPL, MSFT, QFIN, META, WE, RIG, SHOP, ABNB</p><p>Top 10 bearish stocks: SPY, SOFI, AMZN, TSLA, ASHR, TLRY, AAPL, ARKK, LVS, NVDA</p><h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fee2df215c1b552a6da8855abd0278d\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p>If you are interested in options and you want to:</h2><ul><li>Share experiences and ideas on options trading.</li></ul><ul><li>Read options-related market updates/insights.</li></ul><ul><li>Learn more about options trading if you are a beginner in this field.</li></ul><p>Please click to join <a href=\"https://t.me/TigerBrokersOptions\" target=\"_blank\">Tiger Options Club</a></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Option Movers｜Nio to Hit $12 This Week? Over 75% Call Option Focused on It</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOption Movers｜Nio to Hit $12 This Week? Over 75% Call Option Focused on It\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-14 17:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h2>Market Overview</h2><p>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Friday, extending a rally started the day before after a soft inflation reading.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.92%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.88%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%.</p><p>Regarding the options market, a total volume of 54,158,114 contracts was traded on Friday, up 2.8% from the previous trading day.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p>Top 10: SPY, QQQ, TSLA, AMZN, AAPL, META, IWM, VIX, AMD, TQQQ</p><p>Options related to equity index ETFs are top choices for investors, with8.78 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> and 3.57 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> options contracts trading on Friday.</p><p>Total trading volume for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> rose 2.9% and 13.69%, respectively, from the previous day. 52% of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> trades bet on bearish options.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a4dde1805ee85c04210329561a1edc6\" tg-width=\"459\" tg-height=\"930\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a></b> gained 5.7% on Friday after it launched its latest data center chip and said Microsoft&#39;s Azure, Alphabet-owned Google Cloud and Oracle would be some of its customers.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d56aa4e314d26b311e8b809f1b6207b3\" tg-width=\"1020\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p>The fourth generation EPYC processor, code named &#34;Genoa&#34;, makes significant improvement on performance and energy efficiency compared with its previous chip, said Chief Executive Lisa Su.</p><p>There were 924,000 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a> </b>options trading on Friday. Call options account for60% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $75 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 25,151 contracts trading on Friday.</p><h2>Unusual Options Activity</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b840ee84ea8416123b2c8b9539c618af\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"208\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a></b> surged 12.84% on Friday though it cut over 60 jobs in its recruiting and institutional onboarding teams.</p><p>Moreover, Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto empire filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in Delaware, capping a rapid downfall for his companies.</p><p>There were 412,100 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a></b> options trading on Friday. Put options account for 66% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $55 strike put option expiring November 18th, with 6,940 contracts trading on Friday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4b7dbe1cb7cb3f4837500ae0b08ff3a\" tg-width=\"1008\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b> soared 11.8% on Friday and rose 24.97% after posting its financial results. It reported a bigger loss forQ3 and expects deliveries to rise as much as 91.7% in the current quarter.</p><p>Moreover, China eased some of its COVID-19 rules. The country reduced quarantine by two days for those who come in close contact with infected people, and for inbound travelers, and also scrapped a penalty for airlines for bringing in many cases.</p><p>There were 364,700 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b> options trading on Friday. Call options account for 76% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $12 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 12,773 contracts trading on Friday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7221d5d33cb1aece8c71292b86c24a01\" tg-width=\"1011\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><h2>TOP Bullish &amp; Bearish Single Stocks</h2><p>This report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).</p><p>If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.</p><p>Top 10 bullish stocks: BITO, INVZ, PYPL, MSFT, QFIN, META, WE, RIG, SHOP, ABNB</p><p>Top 10 bearish stocks: SPY, SOFI, AMZN, TSLA, ASHR, TLRY, AAPL, ARKK, LVS, NVDA</p><h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fee2df215c1b552a6da8855abd0278d\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p>If you are interested in options and you want to:</h2><ul><li>Share experiences and ideas on options trading.</li></ul><ul><li>Read options-related market updates/insights.</li></ul><ul><li>Learn more about options trading if you are a beginner in this field.</li></ul><p>Please click to join <a href=\"https://t.me/TigerBrokersOptions\" target=\"_blank\">Tiger Options Club</a></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","NIO":"蔚来","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125742292","content_text":"Market OverviewThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Friday, extending a rally started the day before after a soft inflation reading.The S&P 500 gained 0.92%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.88%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 54,158,114 contracts was traded on Friday, up 2.8% from the previous trading day.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: SPY, QQQ, TSLA, AMZN, AAPL, META, IWM, VIX, AMD, TQQQOptions related to equity index ETFs are top choices for investors, with8.78 million SPY and 3.57 million Invesco QQQ Trust options contracts trading on Friday.Total trading volume for SPY and Invesco QQQ Trust rose 2.9% and 13.69%, respectively, from the previous day. 52% of SPY trades bet on bearish options.Source: Tiger Trade appAMD gained 5.7% on Friday after it launched its latest data center chip and said Microsoft's Azure, Alphabet-owned Google Cloud and Oracle would be some of its customers.Source: Tiger Trade appThe fourth generation EPYC processor, code named \"Genoa\", makes significant improvement on performance and energy efficiency compared with its previous chip, said Chief Executive Lisa Su.There were 924,000 AMD options trading on Friday. Call options account for60% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $75 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 25,151 contracts trading on Friday.Unusual Options ActivitySource: Market ChameleonCoinbase Global, Inc. surged 12.84% on Friday though it cut over 60 jobs in its recruiting and institutional onboarding teams.Moreover, Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto empire filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in Delaware, capping a rapid downfall for his companies.There were 412,100 Coinbase Global, Inc. options trading on Friday. Put options account for 66% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $55 strike put option expiring November 18th, with 6,940 contracts trading on Friday.Source: Tiger Trade appNIO Inc. soared 11.8% on Friday and rose 24.97% after posting its financial results. It reported a bigger loss forQ3 and expects deliveries to rise as much as 91.7% in the current quarter.Moreover, China eased some of its COVID-19 rules. The country reduced quarantine by two days for those who come in close contact with infected people, and for inbound travelers, and also scrapped a penalty for airlines for bringing in many cases.There were 364,700 NIO Inc. options trading on Friday. Call options account for 76% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $12 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 12,773 contracts trading on Friday.Source: Tiger Trade appTOP Bullish & Bearish Single StocksThis report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.Top 10 bullish stocks: BITO, INVZ, PYPL, MSFT, QFIN, META, WE, RIG, SHOP, ABNBTop 10 bearish stocks: SPY, SOFI, AMZN, TSLA, ASHR, TLRY, AAPL, ARKK, LVS, NVDASource: Market ChameleonIf you are interested in options and you want to:Share experiences and ideas on options trading.Read options-related market updates/insights.Learn more about options trading if you are a beginner in this field.Please click to join Tiger Options Club","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987479698,"gmtCreate":1667975617214,"gmtModify":1676537993412,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If you have surplus cash should buy now.","listText":"If you have surplus cash should buy now.","text":"If you have surplus cash should buy now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987479698","repostId":"2281606495","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2281606495","pubTimestamp":1667973226,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2281606495?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-09 13:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Once-in-a-Decade Buying Opportunity: 2 Trillion-Dollar Growth Stocks Near a 52-Week Low","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2281606495","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These tech titans have woven themselves into the fabric of everyday life.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>At the end of 2021, tech giants <b>Alphabet</b> and <b>Microsoft</b> were collectively worth more than $4.4 trillion. But that figure has fallen to $2.7 trillion over the last 10 months, showcasing how much investor sentiment has soured in response to lingering inflation and quickly rising interest rates.</p><p>Since last peaking, Alphabet and Microsoft have seen their share prices plunge 44% and 38%, respectively, leaving both stocks near a 52-week low. Neither company has seen a sell-off of that magnitude at any point in the past 10 years, which makes this a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity.</p><p>Here&#39;s what investors should know.</p><h2>1. Alphabet: The market leader in digital advertising</h2><p>Alphabet missed Wall Street&#39;s guidance across the board in its third-quarter earnings report. Total revenue climbed just 6% to $69.1 billion, and net income fell 24% to $13.9 billion. Google Cloud was the one bright spot. That segment posted 38% revenue growth, though its operating loss widened slightly.</p><p>However, as CEO Sundar Pichai pointed out during the earnings call, those weak results were &#34;impacted by lapping last year&#39;s elevated growth levels and the challenging macro climate.&#34; In other words, there is no material weakness in the underlying business, and there are still plenty of reasons to be bullish.</p><p>First and foremost, Alphabet is an advertising colossus, and its prowess arises from web properties that cannot be easily replicated. Google Search is built on years of carefully crafted search algorithms and artificial intelligence (AI) models, and it holds 92% market share among search engines. Google is basically the doorway to the internet, and that makes it a valuable partner to marketers. Similarly, YouTube surpassed <b>Netflix</b> in September to become the most popular streaming platform, and a recent study from Pew Research says 95% of teens use YouTube far more than any other social media platform.</p><p>Meanwhile, Alphabet is gaining ground in cloud computing. In the third quarter, Google Cloud Platform (GCP) accounted for 9% of cloud infrastructure spend, up from 8% in the same period last year, according to Canalys. It still trails the leaders, <b>Amazon </b>Web Services and Microsoft Azure, by a wide margin, but research company <b>Gartner</b> recently noted that GCP had the &#34;highest percentage of revenue gains and improvements&#34; of any cloud provider over the past year.</p><p>In a nutshell, Alphabet has carved out a strong market presence in two important industries, both of which are expected to grow at a steady pace through the end of the decade. Precedence Research says worldwide digital ad spend will increase by 9.2% annually to approach $1.3 trillion by 2030, and Grand View Research says cloud spend will increase by 15.7% annually to approach $1.6 trillion by 2030. That leaves Alphabet with plenty of room to run.</p><p>With that in mind, shares currently trade at 16.6 times earnings -- the cheapest valuation in the last five years -- creating an attractive buying opportunity for investors that have been eyeing this growth stock.</p><h2>2. Microsoft: The market leader in business productivity software</h2><p>Microsoft topped Wall Street&#39;s estimates in the first fiscal quarter of 2023 (ended Sept. 30, 2022). Revenue rose 11% to $50.1 billion, and earnings dropped 13% to $2.35 per diluted share. That said, earnings actually increased 11% when adjusted for currency fluctuations and a one-time tax benefit last year. In this case, it was guidance that failed to impress. Management said weakness in PC demand and decreased ad spend on LinkedIn and Bing would carry into the next quarter, and that kept the stock on a downward trajectory.</p><p>In this situation, investors need to look at the big picture: Countless businesses and consumers rely on Microsoft&#39;s software and cloud services. In fact, some of its products are so critical that the world might actually devolve into chaos if the company were to disappear tomorrow.</p><p>Office 365 is the gold standard in office productivity applications, but Microsoft is also a leader in other software categories, including enterprise resource planning, business analytics, low-code application development, and communications. Digital transformation should be a tailwind for all of those markets, but Microsoft has even more exciting growth opportunities in cloud computing and cybersecurity.</p><p>Microsoft Azure has invested heavily in areas like developer tools, data and AI, and hybrid cloud solutions, and those investments continued to pay off over the past year. Azure Machine Learning, a service that helps data scientists build and deploy AI models, has now notched 100% revenue growth for four consecutive quarters, and Microsoft Azure increased its share of the cloud infrastructure market to 22%, up from 21% in the prior year.</p><p>Meanwhile, industry analysts have also recognized Microsoft as a leader in several verticals of the cybersecurity industry, including extended detection and response, access management, and security information and event management. Not surprisingly, those accolades have come alongside particularly impressive growth. Cybersecurity revenue soared 40% in fiscal 2022 (ended June 30), and Microsoft increased its security customers by 33% in the most recent quarter. That bodes well for the future. The cybersecurity market is expected to increase by 12% per year to reach $500 billion by 2030.</p><p>In a nutshell, Microsoft&#39;s arsenal of mission-critical software products and cloud services should keep the company in growth mode for years to come. And with shares trading at 23.1 times earnings -- the cheapest valuation in the last three years -- now is a good time to buy this growth stock.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Once-in-a-Decade Buying Opportunity: 2 Trillion-Dollar Growth Stocks Near a 52-Week Low</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOnce-in-a-Decade Buying Opportunity: 2 Trillion-Dollar Growth Stocks Near a 52-Week Low\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 13:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/07/once-in-a-decade-buys-2-stocks-near-a-52-week-low/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>At the end of 2021, tech giants Alphabet and Microsoft were collectively worth more than $4.4 trillion. But that figure has fallen to $2.7 trillion over the last 10 months, showcasing how much ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/07/once-in-a-decade-buys-2-stocks-near-a-52-week-low/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/07/once-in-a-decade-buys-2-stocks-near-a-52-week-low/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2281606495","content_text":"At the end of 2021, tech giants Alphabet and Microsoft were collectively worth more than $4.4 trillion. But that figure has fallen to $2.7 trillion over the last 10 months, showcasing how much investor sentiment has soured in response to lingering inflation and quickly rising interest rates.Since last peaking, Alphabet and Microsoft have seen their share prices plunge 44% and 38%, respectively, leaving both stocks near a 52-week low. Neither company has seen a sell-off of that magnitude at any point in the past 10 years, which makes this a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity.Here's what investors should know.1. Alphabet: The market leader in digital advertisingAlphabet missed Wall Street's guidance across the board in its third-quarter earnings report. Total revenue climbed just 6% to $69.1 billion, and net income fell 24% to $13.9 billion. Google Cloud was the one bright spot. That segment posted 38% revenue growth, though its operating loss widened slightly.However, as CEO Sundar Pichai pointed out during the earnings call, those weak results were \"impacted by lapping last year's elevated growth levels and the challenging macro climate.\" In other words, there is no material weakness in the underlying business, and there are still plenty of reasons to be bullish.First and foremost, Alphabet is an advertising colossus, and its prowess arises from web properties that cannot be easily replicated. Google Search is built on years of carefully crafted search algorithms and artificial intelligence (AI) models, and it holds 92% market share among search engines. Google is basically the doorway to the internet, and that makes it a valuable partner to marketers. Similarly, YouTube surpassed Netflix in September to become the most popular streaming platform, and a recent study from Pew Research says 95% of teens use YouTube far more than any other social media platform.Meanwhile, Alphabet is gaining ground in cloud computing. In the third quarter, Google Cloud Platform (GCP) accounted for 9% of cloud infrastructure spend, up from 8% in the same period last year, according to Canalys. It still trails the leaders, Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure, by a wide margin, but research company Gartner recently noted that GCP had the \"highest percentage of revenue gains and improvements\" of any cloud provider over the past year.In a nutshell, Alphabet has carved out a strong market presence in two important industries, both of which are expected to grow at a steady pace through the end of the decade. Precedence Research says worldwide digital ad spend will increase by 9.2% annually to approach $1.3 trillion by 2030, and Grand View Research says cloud spend will increase by 15.7% annually to approach $1.6 trillion by 2030. That leaves Alphabet with plenty of room to run.With that in mind, shares currently trade at 16.6 times earnings -- the cheapest valuation in the last five years -- creating an attractive buying opportunity for investors that have been eyeing this growth stock.2. Microsoft: The market leader in business productivity softwareMicrosoft topped Wall Street's estimates in the first fiscal quarter of 2023 (ended Sept. 30, 2022). Revenue rose 11% to $50.1 billion, and earnings dropped 13% to $2.35 per diluted share. That said, earnings actually increased 11% when adjusted for currency fluctuations and a one-time tax benefit last year. In this case, it was guidance that failed to impress. Management said weakness in PC demand and decreased ad spend on LinkedIn and Bing would carry into the next quarter, and that kept the stock on a downward trajectory.In this situation, investors need to look at the big picture: Countless businesses and consumers rely on Microsoft's software and cloud services. In fact, some of its products are so critical that the world might actually devolve into chaos if the company were to disappear tomorrow.Office 365 is the gold standard in office productivity applications, but Microsoft is also a leader in other software categories, including enterprise resource planning, business analytics, low-code application development, and communications. Digital transformation should be a tailwind for all of those markets, but Microsoft has even more exciting growth opportunities in cloud computing and cybersecurity.Microsoft Azure has invested heavily in areas like developer tools, data and AI, and hybrid cloud solutions, and those investments continued to pay off over the past year. Azure Machine Learning, a service that helps data scientists build and deploy AI models, has now notched 100% revenue growth for four consecutive quarters, and Microsoft Azure increased its share of the cloud infrastructure market to 22%, up from 21% in the prior year.Meanwhile, industry analysts have also recognized Microsoft as a leader in several verticals of the cybersecurity industry, including extended detection and response, access management, and security information and event management. Not surprisingly, those accolades have come alongside particularly impressive growth. Cybersecurity revenue soared 40% in fiscal 2022 (ended June 30), and Microsoft increased its security customers by 33% in the most recent quarter. That bodes well for the future. The cybersecurity market is expected to increase by 12% per year to reach $500 billion by 2030.In a nutshell, Microsoft's arsenal of mission-critical software products and cloud services should keep the company in growth mode for years to come. And with shares trading at 23.1 times earnings -- the cheapest valuation in the last three years -- now is a good time to buy this growth stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984824624,"gmtCreate":1667607784569,"gmtModify":1676537942926,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great. Buy more","listText":"Great. Buy more","text":"Great. Buy more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984824624","repostId":"1146767204","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146767204","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1667575493,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146767204?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-04 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Stock Bounced, on Track to Snap Longest Losing Streak in 3 Years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146767204","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Shares of Amazon.com Inc. bounced 1.13% in morning trading Friday, which for now puts them on track ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com Inc.</a> bounced 1.13% in morning trading Friday, which for now puts them on track to snap a seven-session losing streak, which was the longest since it fell for eight-straight days through Aug. 5, 2019. the bounce comes as futures for the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6% and futures for the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18b80e016ec575e2cd97c36bea6d8af9\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"671\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The ecommerce giant&#39;s stock had plunged 25.95% over the past seven sessions, the worst seven-day performance since it plummeted 26.04% over the seven-day stretch that ended Nov. 19, 2008.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28122a187e8828a0b8bd764337b85b83\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock Bounced, on Track to Snap Longest Losing Streak in 3 Years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock Bounced, on Track to Snap Longest Losing Streak in 3 Years\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-04 23:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com Inc.</a> bounced 1.13% in morning trading Friday, which for now puts them on track to snap a seven-session losing streak, which was the longest since it fell for eight-straight days through Aug. 5, 2019. the bounce comes as futures for the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6% and futures for the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18b80e016ec575e2cd97c36bea6d8af9\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"671\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The ecommerce giant&#39;s stock had plunged 25.95% over the past seven sessions, the worst seven-day performance since it plummeted 26.04% over the seven-day stretch that ended Nov. 19, 2008.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28122a187e8828a0b8bd764337b85b83\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146767204","content_text":"Shares of Amazon.com Inc. bounced 1.13% in morning trading Friday, which for now puts them on track to snap a seven-session losing streak, which was the longest since it fell for eight-straight days through Aug. 5, 2019. the bounce comes as futures for the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6% and futures for the S&P 500 gained 0.6%.The ecommerce giant's stock had plunged 25.95% over the past seven sessions, the worst seven-day performance since it plummeted 26.04% over the seven-day stretch that ended Nov. 19, 2008.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032780068,"gmtCreate":1647442378569,"gmtModify":1676534230719,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes DCA some at this level&nbsp;","listText":"Yes DCA some at this level&nbsp;","text":"Yes DCA some at this level","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032780068","repostId":"1151146505","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1151146505","pubTimestamp":1647401358,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151146505?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-16 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The More It Sinks, The Better","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151146505","media":"TheStreet","summary":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-more-it-sinks-the-better","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Yesterday,I asked the question: should investors dump Apple stockat $155 before this selloff gets any uglier? On the same day, AAPL dipped to around $150 by early afternoon, suggesting that caution has been the right way to play this hand in the very short term.</p><p>But this coin has two sides. Yes, Apple stock seems to be clearly in a downtrend, along with the rest of the market. Due to a combination of high inflation, rising rates, supply chain challenges and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, bullishness is nowhere to be found.</p><p>However, history suggests that AAPL becomes a more appealing buy when the stock digs a deeper hole. Today, I look at historical trends to argue that now could be a good time to start buying Apple stock — provided investors have enough time and patience to see a turnaround.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4797cf9c26621e8daaab0233dd55a0fe\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Stock: The More It Sinks, The Better</span></p><p><b>History says: buy the dip in AAPL</b></p><p>The argument for buying AAPL stock today is illustrated by the graph below. It represents the annualized return over a three-year period, if shares are bought at certain levels below all-time highs: not in a correction of 10%, in a correction, or in bear market (i.e. 20%-plus drawdown).</p><p>The key takeaway is simple: investors that could afford to wait three years did better when they bought AAPL on the dip. The larger the decline, the better for future performance.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/267076c5cb256d98aa8927ad8037c64f\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"462\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 2: AAPL 3-year annualized returns since 2007.</span></p><p>The more subtle conclusion from the graph above is that there is a linear relationship between future returns and past declines. That is: buying a small dip is usually a good idea, but buying a larger dip has been an even better move.</p><p>Currently, Apple stock is in a drawdown of 17% (using mid-day price on Monday, March 14). Another bad day or two, and AAPL could be entering bear market territory. Bargain hunters should be paying attention.</p><p><b>When AAPL crumbles</b></p><p>There is one important observation that is not depicted above. The better gains, by far, have happened when Apple stock sank very deep into bear market — a correction of 50% or more. During the iPhone era, this has happened only once: in the Great Recession of 2008.</p><p>After correcting by more than 50%, Apple has produced average annualized returns of 68% in the following three years! Looking all the way back to the 1980 IPO, these returns would have been a smaller (but still phenomenal) 45% per year.</p><p>It is hard to tell if Apple stock will correct this much this time. But if it does, history says to back up the truck and buy as many shares as possible.</p><p><b>The key assumption</b></p><p>Buying the dip has proven successful in the past for one main reason: Apple stock has eventually recovered from a decline. This has happened because the company has become a dominant force in tech consumer devices and services.</p><p>Buying dips would probably not work going forward if Apple’s business were to deteriorate substantially. So, dip buyers must be confident in the Cupertino company’s fundamentals.</p><p>The good news is that, in my view, Apple is about as strong today as it has ever been. The pricey iPhone has become a staple around the world. The Mac is about the most desirable PC in the market. The App Store has become a necessity in the app economy of today.</p><p>For the reasons above, I would consider buying AAPL at current levels, assuming that I have the patience to hang on to my shares for a few years.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The More It Sinks, The Better</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The More It Sinks, The Better\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-16 11:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-more-it-sinks-the-better><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Yesterday,I asked the question: should investors dump Apple stockat $155 before this selloff gets any uglier? On the same day, AAPL dipped to around $150 by early afternoon, suggesting that caution ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-more-it-sinks-the-better\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-more-it-sinks-the-better","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151146505","content_text":"Yesterday,I asked the question: should investors dump Apple stockat $155 before this selloff gets any uglier? On the same day, AAPL dipped to around $150 by early afternoon, suggesting that caution has been the right way to play this hand in the very short term.But this coin has two sides. Yes, Apple stock seems to be clearly in a downtrend, along with the rest of the market. Due to a combination of high inflation, rising rates, supply chain challenges and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, bullishness is nowhere to be found.However, history suggests that AAPL becomes a more appealing buy when the stock digs a deeper hole. Today, I look at historical trends to argue that now could be a good time to start buying Apple stock — provided investors have enough time and patience to see a turnaround.Figure 1: Apple Stock: The More It Sinks, The BetterHistory says: buy the dip in AAPLThe argument for buying AAPL stock today is illustrated by the graph below. It represents the annualized return over a three-year period, if shares are bought at certain levels below all-time highs: not in a correction of 10%, in a correction, or in bear market (i.e. 20%-plus drawdown).The key takeaway is simple: investors that could afford to wait three years did better when they bought AAPL on the dip. The larger the decline, the better for future performance.Figure 2: AAPL 3-year annualized returns since 2007.The more subtle conclusion from the graph above is that there is a linear relationship between future returns and past declines. That is: buying a small dip is usually a good idea, but buying a larger dip has been an even better move.Currently, Apple stock is in a drawdown of 17% (using mid-day price on Monday, March 14). Another bad day or two, and AAPL could be entering bear market territory. Bargain hunters should be paying attention.When AAPL crumblesThere is one important observation that is not depicted above. The better gains, by far, have happened when Apple stock sank very deep into bear market — a correction of 50% or more. During the iPhone era, this has happened only once: in the Great Recession of 2008.After correcting by more than 50%, Apple has produced average annualized returns of 68% in the following three years! Looking all the way back to the 1980 IPO, these returns would have been a smaller (but still phenomenal) 45% per year.It is hard to tell if Apple stock will correct this much this time. But if it does, history says to back up the truck and buy as many shares as possible.The key assumptionBuying the dip has proven successful in the past for one main reason: Apple stock has eventually recovered from a decline. This has happened because the company has become a dominant force in tech consumer devices and services.Buying dips would probably not work going forward if Apple’s business were to deteriorate substantially. So, dip buyers must be confident in the Cupertino company’s fundamentals.The good news is that, in my view, Apple is about as strong today as it has ever been. The pricey iPhone has become a staple around the world. The Mac is about the most desirable PC in the market. The App Store has become a necessity in the app economy of today.For the reasons above, I would consider buying AAPL at current levels, assuming that I have the patience to hang on to my shares for a few years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9097437241,"gmtCreate":1645526764936,"gmtModify":1676534035978,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unlikely to have a war in Ukraine.&nbsp;","listText":"Unlikely to have a war in Ukraine.&nbsp;","text":"Unlikely to have a war in Ukraine.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097437241","repostId":"1103070840","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1103070840","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1645526355,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103070840?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-22 18:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stock Futures Rebounded","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103070840","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures rebounded.Futures on the S&P 500 changed from decline to rise, and the decline of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures rebounded.Futures on the S&amp;P 500 changed from decline to rise, and the decline of Nasdaq-100 futures narrowed to less than 0.4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b60df025ff457931d5545fe1b375edc1\" tg-width=\"419\" tg-height=\"177\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stock Futures Rebounded</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stock Futures Rebounded\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-22 18:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures rebounded.Futures on the S&amp;P 500 changed from decline to rise, and the decline of Nasdaq-100 futures narrowed to less than 0.4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b60df025ff457931d5545fe1b375edc1\" tg-width=\"419\" tg-height=\"177\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103070840","content_text":"U.S. stock futures rebounded.Futures on the S&P 500 changed from decline to rise, and the decline of Nasdaq-100 futures narrowed to less than 0.4%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9007210141,"gmtCreate":1642903964701,"gmtModify":1676533756210,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am still holding and waiting for a rebounce. Hopefully soon.","listText":"I am still holding and waiting for a rebounce. Hopefully soon.","text":"I am still holding and waiting for a rebounce. Hopefully soon.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9007210141","repostId":"2205217480","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2205217480","pubTimestamp":1642897603,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2205217480?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-23 08:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Palantir Stock Built on Hype?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2205217480","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"As one of the most popular stocks with individual investors, is it product of hype, or is there something more?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>We will remember 2021 for many things, such as the continuation of COVID-19, 7% inflation, and markets that touched all-time highs. It was also the year of the meme stock, in which companies like <b>GameStop</b> (NYSE:GME) and <b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b> (NYSE:AMC) skyrocketed while being pushed by message boards like WallStreetBets of Reddit.</p><p><b> Palantir Technologies</b> (NYSE:PLTR) also routinely appears  among the 10 most-popular stocks on WallStreetBets. But despite its popularity, it underperformed the market in 2021. Is this a sign of what&#39;s to come?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8544e115d71a574d4efe0ad032e06867\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Getty Images</p><p>Palantir is a software data management company. Specifically, the company creates platforms for integrating, managing, and securing data for their clients. Using the platform, the client is able to quickly answer complicated queries using huge amounts of data. Palantir offers clients three main products; Gotham, Foundry, and Apollo.</p><p>Gotham is an Artificial Intelligence(AI)-ready operating system. This system enables faster decision making by analyzing complex data for insights. It has been used for disaster relief and by defense agencies and is also available commercially. Foundry is described by Palantir as the &#34;operating system for the modern enterprise.&#34; It is an integrated platform that provides analytics, model-building, visualization, and other functions. The Apollo product is the delivery system that powers Palantir&#39;s software platforms. It also enables customers to operate away from the public cloud which is often necessary for military organizations. Palantir services both the public and private sectors.</p><p>Palantir stock reached highs of $45 in early 2021 after debuting just a few months prior at only $10. This was during the height of the short-squeezes fueled by individual investors and message boards. The stock quickly retreated from these highs, and the share price has underperformed ever since. However, there are reasons for optimism along with reasons for continued concern.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d3b7745d75f56a43331615f01068ea4\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>PLTR data by YCharts</p><h2>Prolific revenue growth</h2><p>Palantir has not had any issues growing its revenue recently. In the third quarter of 2021, the company reported top-line sales of $392 million. This came in 36% higher than the $289 million posted in the year-ago quarter. It also grew its customer base, with commercial customers increasing 46% quarter over quarter. The company also gained large customers with deep pockets. In the third quarter, it reported deals with the U.S. Air Force, National Institutes of Health, and U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. In total, the company reported 54 deals that were worth more than $1 million.</p><p>Palantir also has an excellent gross margin and adjusted operating margin. For the third quarter, the gross margin under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) was an impressive 78%. This is an excellent sign that the company could scale successfully to GAAP net profits.</p><p>Palantir also reported an adjusted operating income of $349 million. On <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> hand, this is very impressive as it represents a margin of 32%. On the other hand, it highlights an issue that should give shareholders pause: the stock-based compensation (SBC) expense.</p><h2>Stock-based compensation</h2><p>As mentioned, Palantir reports a non-GAAP operating margin that is very impressive but continues to post GAAP operating losses. This is because the company removes SBC from the GAAP figures to arrive at the adjusted figures. Palantir uses a tremendous amount of SBC to reward executives and other employees. For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2021, the company expensed over $611 million in SBC.</p><p>This generally causes the share count to increase and dilutes existing investors. However, it is not entirely negative. SBC also can preserve cash at a time when the company is spending heavily to grow the business. Because of the SBC, Palantir was able to post positive cash from operations through the third quarter 2021.</p><p>It also helps to attract and keep the best talent. It is no secret that the labor market is very tight. Attracting the best people can make a world of difference in the success of an enterprise. Finally, when insiders own shares of the business, their interests are aligned with those of shareholders.</p><h2>The valuation looks more attractive</h2><p>Growth stocks have been hit hard so far in 2022. Inflation has breached 7%, and the Federal Reserve is set to raise rates, likely several times this year. This hurts growth stocks in particular, since Wall Street values them on future cash flows.</p><p>There also appears to be a general concern that valuations had gotten a bit ahead of fundamentals in 2021. This revaluation has caused Palantir to look much more attractive lately, especially compared to some other fast-growing tech stocks, as shown below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbfd985307491e2da365f96f9a40d86e\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"565\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>PLTR data by YCharts</p><h2>The bottom line</h2><p>Palantir remains one of the most popular stocks with individual investors, even after its underperformance in 2021 and so far in 2022. But it is not a stock built solely on hype. In fact, there is much to like in the recent results. Revenue continues to grow, and margins have expanded nicely. The company is now generating positive cash from operations, with a nice assist from its SBC program. The valuation has come down significantly, making Palantir more attractive than many other growth names. Even so, the swoon in tech stocks may not be over just yet, and investors should be cautious here.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Palantir Stock Built on Hype?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Palantir Stock Built on Hype?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-23 08:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/22/is-palantir-stock-built-on-hype/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We will remember 2021 for many things, such as the continuation of COVID-19, 7% inflation, and markets that touched all-time highs. It was also the year of the meme stock, in which companies like ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/22/is-palantir-stock-built-on-hype/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4543":"AI","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","BK4076":"电脑与电子产品零售","AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","AMC":"AMC院线","BK4108":"电影和娱乐"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/22/is-palantir-stock-built-on-hype/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2205217480","content_text":"We will remember 2021 for many things, such as the continuation of COVID-19, 7% inflation, and markets that touched all-time highs. It was also the year of the meme stock, in which companies like GameStop (NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC) skyrocketed while being pushed by message boards like WallStreetBets of Reddit. Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) also routinely appears  among the 10 most-popular stocks on WallStreetBets. But despite its popularity, it underperformed the market in 2021. Is this a sign of what's to come?Source: Getty ImagesPalantir is a software data management company. Specifically, the company creates platforms for integrating, managing, and securing data for their clients. Using the platform, the client is able to quickly answer complicated queries using huge amounts of data. Palantir offers clients three main products; Gotham, Foundry, and Apollo.Gotham is an Artificial Intelligence(AI)-ready operating system. This system enables faster decision making by analyzing complex data for insights. It has been used for disaster relief and by defense agencies and is also available commercially. Foundry is described by Palantir as the \"operating system for the modern enterprise.\" It is an integrated platform that provides analytics, model-building, visualization, and other functions. The Apollo product is the delivery system that powers Palantir's software platforms. It also enables customers to operate away from the public cloud which is often necessary for military organizations. Palantir services both the public and private sectors.Palantir stock reached highs of $45 in early 2021 after debuting just a few months prior at only $10. This was during the height of the short-squeezes fueled by individual investors and message boards. The stock quickly retreated from these highs, and the share price has underperformed ever since. However, there are reasons for optimism along with reasons for continued concern.PLTR data by YChartsProlific revenue growthPalantir has not had any issues growing its revenue recently. In the third quarter of 2021, the company reported top-line sales of $392 million. This came in 36% higher than the $289 million posted in the year-ago quarter. It also grew its customer base, with commercial customers increasing 46% quarter over quarter. The company also gained large customers with deep pockets. In the third quarter, it reported deals with the U.S. Air Force, National Institutes of Health, and U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. In total, the company reported 54 deals that were worth more than $1 million.Palantir also has an excellent gross margin and adjusted operating margin. For the third quarter, the gross margin under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) was an impressive 78%. This is an excellent sign that the company could scale successfully to GAAP net profits.Palantir also reported an adjusted operating income of $349 million. On one hand, this is very impressive as it represents a margin of 32%. On the other hand, it highlights an issue that should give shareholders pause: the stock-based compensation (SBC) expense.Stock-based compensationAs mentioned, Palantir reports a non-GAAP operating margin that is very impressive but continues to post GAAP operating losses. This is because the company removes SBC from the GAAP figures to arrive at the adjusted figures. Palantir uses a tremendous amount of SBC to reward executives and other employees. For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2021, the company expensed over $611 million in SBC.This generally causes the share count to increase and dilutes existing investors. However, it is not entirely negative. SBC also can preserve cash at a time when the company is spending heavily to grow the business. Because of the SBC, Palantir was able to post positive cash from operations through the third quarter 2021.It also helps to attract and keep the best talent. It is no secret that the labor market is very tight. Attracting the best people can make a world of difference in the success of an enterprise. Finally, when insiders own shares of the business, their interests are aligned with those of shareholders.The valuation looks more attractiveGrowth stocks have been hit hard so far in 2022. Inflation has breached 7%, and the Federal Reserve is set to raise rates, likely several times this year. This hurts growth stocks in particular, since Wall Street values them on future cash flows.There also appears to be a general concern that valuations had gotten a bit ahead of fundamentals in 2021. This revaluation has caused Palantir to look much more attractive lately, especially compared to some other fast-growing tech stocks, as shown below.PLTR data by YChartsThe bottom linePalantir remains one of the most popular stocks with individual investors, even after its underperformance in 2021 and so far in 2022. But it is not a stock built solely on hype. In fact, there is much to like in the recent results. Revenue continues to grow, and margins have expanded nicely. The company is now generating positive cash from operations, with a nice assist from its SBC program. The valuation has come down significantly, making Palantir more attractive than many other growth names. Even so, the swoon in tech stocks may not be over just yet, and investors should be cautious here.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148530899,"gmtCreate":1625985453211,"gmtModify":1703751673885,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes. Buy&nbsp;","listText":"Yes. Buy&nbsp;","text":"Yes. Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148530899","repostId":"2150326565","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132145022,"gmtCreate":1622077628066,"gmtModify":1704178966426,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/132145022","repostId":"1198109956","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198109956","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622072280,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198109956?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-27 07:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198109956","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":" Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.Nvidia Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.Revenue of $5.66B beats by $250M.NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash di","content":"<p>(May&nbsp;27)&nbsp;Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.</p><ul><li>Nvidia&nbsp;Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.</li><li>Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.</li></ul><p><b>Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:</b></p><ul><li>Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent&nbsp;vs. $5.48B consensus.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.</li></ul><p>Shares&nbsp;of&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;afterhour&nbsp;trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5b2493152883344459d99c9fa7aa82\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.</p><p>“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.</p><p>“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.</p><p>NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.</p><p>On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.</p><p><b>Highlights</b></p><p>NVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:</p><p><b>Gaming</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.</li><li>AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, including<i>Call of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis Remastered</i>and<i>Outriders.</i></li><li>Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated into<i>Call of Duty Warzone</i>,<i>Overwatch</i>and<i>Rainbow Six</i><i>: Siege</i>.</li><li>Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.</li></ul><p><b>Data Center</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.</li><li>Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.</li><li>Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.</li><li>Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.</li><li>Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.</li><li>Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.</li><li>Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.</li><li>Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.</li><li>Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.</li></ul><p><b>Professional Visualization</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.</li><li>Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.</li></ul><p><b>Automotive</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.</li><li>AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.</li><li>Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.</li><li>Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™&nbsp;to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.</li><li>Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.</li><li>Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.</li></ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-27 07:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(May&nbsp;27)&nbsp;Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.</p><ul><li>Nvidia&nbsp;Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.</li><li>Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.</li></ul><p><b>Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:</b></p><ul><li>Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent&nbsp;vs. $5.48B consensus.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.</li></ul><p>Shares&nbsp;of&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;afterhour&nbsp;trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5b2493152883344459d99c9fa7aa82\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.</p><p>“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.</p><p>“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.</p><p>NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.</p><p>On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.</p><p><b>Highlights</b></p><p>NVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:</p><p><b>Gaming</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.</li><li>AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, including<i>Call of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis Remastered</i>and<i>Outriders.</i></li><li>Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated into<i>Call of Duty Warzone</i>,<i>Overwatch</i>and<i>Rainbow Six</i><i>: Siege</i>.</li><li>Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.</li></ul><p><b>Data Center</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.</li><li>Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.</li><li>Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.</li><li>Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.</li><li>Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.</li><li>Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.</li><li>Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.</li><li>Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.</li><li>Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.</li></ul><p><b>Professional Visualization</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.</li><li>Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.</li></ul><p><b>Automotive</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.</li><li>AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.</li><li>Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.</li><li>Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™&nbsp;to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.</li><li>Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.</li><li>Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.</li></ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198109956","content_text":"(May 27) Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.Nvidia Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent vs. $5.48B consensus.GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.Shares of Nvidia fell nearly 1% in afterhour trading.“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.HighlightsNVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:GamingFirst-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, includingCall of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis RemasteredandOutriders.Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated intoCall of Duty Warzone,OverwatchandRainbow Six: Siege.Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.Data CenterFirst-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.Professional VisualizationFirst-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.AutomotiveFirst-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™ to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":148530899,"gmtCreate":1625985453211,"gmtModify":1703751673885,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes. Buy&nbsp;","listText":"Yes. Buy&nbsp;","text":"Yes. Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148530899","repostId":"2150326565","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":245849487085584,"gmtCreate":1701045868603,"gmtModify":1701049814174,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/O39.SI\">$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/O39.SI\">$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/245849487085584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984824624,"gmtCreate":1667607784569,"gmtModify":1676537942926,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great. Buy more","listText":"Great. Buy more","text":"Great. Buy more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984824624","repostId":"1146767204","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146767204","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1667575493,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146767204?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-04 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Stock Bounced, on Track to Snap Longest Losing Streak in 3 Years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146767204","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Shares of Amazon.com Inc. bounced 1.13% in morning trading Friday, which for now puts them on track ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com Inc.</a> bounced 1.13% in morning trading Friday, which for now puts them on track to snap a seven-session losing streak, which was the longest since it fell for eight-straight days through Aug. 5, 2019. the bounce comes as futures for the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6% and futures for the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18b80e016ec575e2cd97c36bea6d8af9\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"671\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The ecommerce giant&#39;s stock had plunged 25.95% over the past seven sessions, the worst seven-day performance since it plummeted 26.04% over the seven-day stretch that ended Nov. 19, 2008.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28122a187e8828a0b8bd764337b85b83\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock Bounced, on Track to Snap Longest Losing Streak in 3 Years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock Bounced, on Track to Snap Longest Losing Streak in 3 Years\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-04 23:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com Inc.</a> bounced 1.13% in morning trading Friday, which for now puts them on track to snap a seven-session losing streak, which was the longest since it fell for eight-straight days through Aug. 5, 2019. the bounce comes as futures for the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6% and futures for the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18b80e016ec575e2cd97c36bea6d8af9\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"671\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The ecommerce giant&#39;s stock had plunged 25.95% over the past seven sessions, the worst seven-day performance since it plummeted 26.04% over the seven-day stretch that ended Nov. 19, 2008.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28122a187e8828a0b8bd764337b85b83\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146767204","content_text":"Shares of Amazon.com Inc. bounced 1.13% in morning trading Friday, which for now puts them on track to snap a seven-session losing streak, which was the longest since it fell for eight-straight days through Aug. 5, 2019. the bounce comes as futures for the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6% and futures for the S&P 500 gained 0.6%.The ecommerce giant's stock had plunged 25.95% over the past seven sessions, the worst seven-day performance since it plummeted 26.04% over the seven-day stretch that ended Nov. 19, 2008.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9007210141,"gmtCreate":1642903964701,"gmtModify":1676533756210,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am still holding and waiting for a rebounce. Hopefully soon.","listText":"I am still holding and waiting for a rebounce. Hopefully soon.","text":"I am still holding and waiting for a rebounce. Hopefully soon.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9007210141","repostId":"2205217480","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2205217480","pubTimestamp":1642897603,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2205217480?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-23 08:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Palantir Stock Built on Hype?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2205217480","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"As one of the most popular stocks with individual investors, is it product of hype, or is there something more?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>We will remember 2021 for many things, such as the continuation of COVID-19, 7% inflation, and markets that touched all-time highs. It was also the year of the meme stock, in which companies like <b>GameStop</b> (NYSE:GME) and <b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b> (NYSE:AMC) skyrocketed while being pushed by message boards like WallStreetBets of Reddit.</p><p><b> Palantir Technologies</b> (NYSE:PLTR) also routinely appears  among the 10 most-popular stocks on WallStreetBets. But despite its popularity, it underperformed the market in 2021. Is this a sign of what&#39;s to come?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8544e115d71a574d4efe0ad032e06867\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Getty Images</p><p>Palantir is a software data management company. Specifically, the company creates platforms for integrating, managing, and securing data for their clients. Using the platform, the client is able to quickly answer complicated queries using huge amounts of data. Palantir offers clients three main products; Gotham, Foundry, and Apollo.</p><p>Gotham is an Artificial Intelligence(AI)-ready operating system. This system enables faster decision making by analyzing complex data for insights. It has been used for disaster relief and by defense agencies and is also available commercially. Foundry is described by Palantir as the &#34;operating system for the modern enterprise.&#34; It is an integrated platform that provides analytics, model-building, visualization, and other functions. The Apollo product is the delivery system that powers Palantir&#39;s software platforms. It also enables customers to operate away from the public cloud which is often necessary for military organizations. Palantir services both the public and private sectors.</p><p>Palantir stock reached highs of $45 in early 2021 after debuting just a few months prior at only $10. This was during the height of the short-squeezes fueled by individual investors and message boards. The stock quickly retreated from these highs, and the share price has underperformed ever since. However, there are reasons for optimism along with reasons for continued concern.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d3b7745d75f56a43331615f01068ea4\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>PLTR data by YCharts</p><h2>Prolific revenue growth</h2><p>Palantir has not had any issues growing its revenue recently. In the third quarter of 2021, the company reported top-line sales of $392 million. This came in 36% higher than the $289 million posted in the year-ago quarter. It also grew its customer base, with commercial customers increasing 46% quarter over quarter. The company also gained large customers with deep pockets. In the third quarter, it reported deals with the U.S. Air Force, National Institutes of Health, and U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. In total, the company reported 54 deals that were worth more than $1 million.</p><p>Palantir also has an excellent gross margin and adjusted operating margin. For the third quarter, the gross margin under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) was an impressive 78%. This is an excellent sign that the company could scale successfully to GAAP net profits.</p><p>Palantir also reported an adjusted operating income of $349 million. On <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> hand, this is very impressive as it represents a margin of 32%. On the other hand, it highlights an issue that should give shareholders pause: the stock-based compensation (SBC) expense.</p><h2>Stock-based compensation</h2><p>As mentioned, Palantir reports a non-GAAP operating margin that is very impressive but continues to post GAAP operating losses. This is because the company removes SBC from the GAAP figures to arrive at the adjusted figures. Palantir uses a tremendous amount of SBC to reward executives and other employees. For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2021, the company expensed over $611 million in SBC.</p><p>This generally causes the share count to increase and dilutes existing investors. However, it is not entirely negative. SBC also can preserve cash at a time when the company is spending heavily to grow the business. Because of the SBC, Palantir was able to post positive cash from operations through the third quarter 2021.</p><p>It also helps to attract and keep the best talent. It is no secret that the labor market is very tight. Attracting the best people can make a world of difference in the success of an enterprise. Finally, when insiders own shares of the business, their interests are aligned with those of shareholders.</p><h2>The valuation looks more attractive</h2><p>Growth stocks have been hit hard so far in 2022. Inflation has breached 7%, and the Federal Reserve is set to raise rates, likely several times this year. This hurts growth stocks in particular, since Wall Street values them on future cash flows.</p><p>There also appears to be a general concern that valuations had gotten a bit ahead of fundamentals in 2021. This revaluation has caused Palantir to look much more attractive lately, especially compared to some other fast-growing tech stocks, as shown below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbfd985307491e2da365f96f9a40d86e\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"565\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>PLTR data by YCharts</p><h2>The bottom line</h2><p>Palantir remains one of the most popular stocks with individual investors, even after its underperformance in 2021 and so far in 2022. But it is not a stock built solely on hype. In fact, there is much to like in the recent results. Revenue continues to grow, and margins have expanded nicely. The company is now generating positive cash from operations, with a nice assist from its SBC program. The valuation has come down significantly, making Palantir more attractive than many other growth names. Even so, the swoon in tech stocks may not be over just yet, and investors should be cautious here.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Palantir Stock Built on Hype?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Palantir Stock Built on Hype?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-23 08:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/22/is-palantir-stock-built-on-hype/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We will remember 2021 for many things, such as the continuation of COVID-19, 7% inflation, and markets that touched all-time highs. It was also the year of the meme stock, in which companies like ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/22/is-palantir-stock-built-on-hype/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4543":"AI","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","BK4076":"电脑与电子产品零售","AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","AMC":"AMC院线","BK4108":"电影和娱乐"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/22/is-palantir-stock-built-on-hype/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2205217480","content_text":"We will remember 2021 for many things, such as the continuation of COVID-19, 7% inflation, and markets that touched all-time highs. It was also the year of the meme stock, in which companies like GameStop (NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC) skyrocketed while being pushed by message boards like WallStreetBets of Reddit. Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) also routinely appears  among the 10 most-popular stocks on WallStreetBets. But despite its popularity, it underperformed the market in 2021. Is this a sign of what's to come?Source: Getty ImagesPalantir is a software data management company. Specifically, the company creates platforms for integrating, managing, and securing data for their clients. Using the platform, the client is able to quickly answer complicated queries using huge amounts of data. Palantir offers clients three main products; Gotham, Foundry, and Apollo.Gotham is an Artificial Intelligence(AI)-ready operating system. This system enables faster decision making by analyzing complex data for insights. It has been used for disaster relief and by defense agencies and is also available commercially. Foundry is described by Palantir as the \"operating system for the modern enterprise.\" It is an integrated platform that provides analytics, model-building, visualization, and other functions. The Apollo product is the delivery system that powers Palantir's software platforms. It also enables customers to operate away from the public cloud which is often necessary for military organizations. Palantir services both the public and private sectors.Palantir stock reached highs of $45 in early 2021 after debuting just a few months prior at only $10. This was during the height of the short-squeezes fueled by individual investors and message boards. The stock quickly retreated from these highs, and the share price has underperformed ever since. However, there are reasons for optimism along with reasons for continued concern.PLTR data by YChartsProlific revenue growthPalantir has not had any issues growing its revenue recently. In the third quarter of 2021, the company reported top-line sales of $392 million. This came in 36% higher than the $289 million posted in the year-ago quarter. It also grew its customer base, with commercial customers increasing 46% quarter over quarter. The company also gained large customers with deep pockets. In the third quarter, it reported deals with the U.S. Air Force, National Institutes of Health, and U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. In total, the company reported 54 deals that were worth more than $1 million.Palantir also has an excellent gross margin and adjusted operating margin. For the third quarter, the gross margin under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) was an impressive 78%. This is an excellent sign that the company could scale successfully to GAAP net profits.Palantir also reported an adjusted operating income of $349 million. On one hand, this is very impressive as it represents a margin of 32%. On the other hand, it highlights an issue that should give shareholders pause: the stock-based compensation (SBC) expense.Stock-based compensationAs mentioned, Palantir reports a non-GAAP operating margin that is very impressive but continues to post GAAP operating losses. This is because the company removes SBC from the GAAP figures to arrive at the adjusted figures. Palantir uses a tremendous amount of SBC to reward executives and other employees. For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2021, the company expensed over $611 million in SBC.This generally causes the share count to increase and dilutes existing investors. However, it is not entirely negative. SBC also can preserve cash at a time when the company is spending heavily to grow the business. Because of the SBC, Palantir was able to post positive cash from operations through the third quarter 2021.It also helps to attract and keep the best talent. It is no secret that the labor market is very tight. Attracting the best people can make a world of difference in the success of an enterprise. Finally, when insiders own shares of the business, their interests are aligned with those of shareholders.The valuation looks more attractiveGrowth stocks have been hit hard so far in 2022. Inflation has breached 7%, and the Federal Reserve is set to raise rates, likely several times this year. This hurts growth stocks in particular, since Wall Street values them on future cash flows.There also appears to be a general concern that valuations had gotten a bit ahead of fundamentals in 2021. This revaluation has caused Palantir to look much more attractive lately, especially compared to some other fast-growing tech stocks, as shown below.PLTR data by YChartsThe bottom linePalantir remains one of the most popular stocks with individual investors, even after its underperformance in 2021 and so far in 2022. But it is not a stock built solely on hype. In fact, there is much to like in the recent results. Revenue continues to grow, and margins have expanded nicely. The company is now generating positive cash from operations, with a nice assist from its SBC program. The valuation has come down significantly, making Palantir more attractive than many other growth names. Even so, the swoon in tech stocks may not be over just yet, and investors should be cautious here.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":238163749191880,"gmtCreate":1699181143034,"gmtModify":1699181147605,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It appears the market will be bullish from here till the end of the year. Buy at retracement.&nbsp;","listText":"It appears the market will be bullish from here till the end of the year. Buy at retracement.&nbsp;","text":"It appears the market will be bullish from here till the end of the year. Buy at retracement.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/238163749191880","repostId":"2379753472","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2379753472","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1699147514,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2379753472?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-11-05 09:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Are 5 Reasons Why U.S. Stocks Will Likely Rally into the End of 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2379753472","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Investors are growing increasingly pessimistic about the stock market. But one Wall Street veteran believes that's a reason to start buying.Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James' private client group, said in a note to clients published Friday that U.S. stocks as represented by the S&P 500 have fallen too far, too fast, clearing a path for the market to rally into the end of the year, and beyond.\"When the equity market soared above our year-end target of 4,400 in July, we became more cautious,\" he said. \"Fast forward to today, and the recent declines now provide S&P 500 upside of 6% and 12% into our year-end  and 12-month  targets.\". And although third-quarter gross domestic product came in at a whopping 4.9%, this data is backward-looking and unlikely to be replicated. Meanwhile, the latest PCE data showed that core inflation continued to decelerate during the third quarter.Even a deluge of newly issued Treasurys wouldn't be enough to offset the demand from investors s","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors are growing increasingly pessimistic about the stock market. But one Wall Street veteran believes that&#39;s a reason to start buying.</p><p>Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James&#39; private client group, said in a note to clients published Friday that U.S. stocks as represented by the S&amp;P 500 have fallen too far, too fast, clearing a path for the market to rally into the end of the year, and beyond.</p><p>&#34;When the equity market soared above our year-end target of 4,400 in July, we became more cautious,&#34; he said. &#34;Fast forward to today, and the recent declines now provide S&amp;P 500 upside of 6% and 12% into our year-end (4,400) and 12-month (4,650) targets.&#34;</p><p>In the note, Adam rattled off five reasons, including investors&#39; increasingly bearish sentiment, that augur a powerful turnaround that should begin before the end of the year.</p><h2 id=\"id_3204347698\">Fed&#39;s tightening cycle is nearly done</h2><p>While the central bank and its chairman, Jerome Powell, have kept the door open for further interest-rate raises after lifting borrowing costs at the fastest pace since the 1980s, Adam said he suspects that the Fed&#39;s tightening cycle likely ended with its previous rate hike in July.</p><p>Powell has already acknowledged that it&#39;s possible that the rise in long-dated bond yields, driven, in his view, by investors demanding a higher term premium, could be doing some of the Fed&#39;s work for it.</p><p>Read more: Fed likely won&#39;t raise rates this week, and will hope that they&#39;re done</p><p>And although third-quarter gross domestic product came in at a whopping 4.9%, this data is backward-looking and unlikely to be replicated. Meanwhile, the latest PCE data showed that core inflation continued to decelerate during the third quarter.</p><p>&#34;This should give the Fed comfort to pause at their policy meeting next week. Given we expect growth to soften and the jobs market to cool further as we head into the final months of the year, the Fed&#39;s job is likely done. If we&#39;re correct, this should bode well for stocks as the S&amp;P 500 typically gains 14% the 12 months after the Fed&#39;s final rate hike,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>Investors will hear from Powell on Wednesday following the close of the Fed&#39;s two-day November policy meeting, but few expect the central bank to lift rates.</p><h2 id=\"id_2984965978\">Lower interest rates support stocks</h2><p>Rising Treasury yields have been perhaps the biggest bugbear for stocks recently.</p><p>But if Raymond James, Bill Ackman and others on Wall Street who already see signs of a downturn in economic activity are correct, then the yield on the 10-year Treasury is likely headed lower. That would be a bullish sign for stocks.</p><p>Even a deluge of newly issued Treasurys wouldn&#39;t be enough to offset the demand from investors seeking to ride out economic weakness by locking in the highest interest rates in more than 15 years.</p><p>&#34;Yes, supply/demand dynamics have been driving interest rates lately, but the macro drivers of softer economic growth and continued disinflation should drive interest rates significantly lower over the coming months,&#34; Adam said.</p><h2 id=\"id_2416183613\">Market isn&#39;t appreciating strong earnings</h2><p>The lengthy earnings recession for U.S. companies is expected to have come to an end during the third quarter. According to FactSet, S&amp;P 500 members are on track to see earnings grow roughly 2% from the same period last year following three consecutive quarters of year-over-year contraction.</p><p>But the biggest story this earnings season is how shares of megacap technology companies like Alphabet Inc. took a beating following their earnings reports.</p><p>&#34;For example, despite posting blended EPS growth of 44% YoY and crushing estimates by 13% in aggregate, a composite of MAGMAN (the main driver of positive returns for the market year-to-date) declined 4% during the week and is now down 10% from recent highs,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>Adam&#39;s &#34;MAGMAN&#34; group includes Microsoft Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, Alphabet Inc. (whose Class A <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> shares were included in the figures above) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc. (META), as well as Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> and Nvidia Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a> (although they haven&#39;t reported earnings yet, their consensus EPS forecasts anticipate strong year-over-year growth).</p><h2 id=\"id_1000688692\">Seasonal trends look favorable</h2><p>September is, on average, the worst month for S&amp;P 500 returns. Things tend to turn around after the market typically bottoms in mid-October, with the rebound typically continuing during November and December.</p><p>Stocks have hewed closely to these seasonal patterns during 2023 and 2022, Adam said. Should that continue, it would bode well for stocks.</p><p>&#34;Fortunately for investors, the seasonal trend is set to turn to a tailwind as we enter two of the strongest months of the year with the S&amp;P 500 up an average of 1.5% and 1.2% in November and December respectively,&#34; he said.</p><h2 id=\"id_2703204372\">Bearish sentiment is often a bullish indicator</h2><p>Gauges of investor sentiment like the American Association of Independent Investors survey are reliable counter-indicators. When bullish sentiment becomes stretched, a pullback usually follows (as it did this summer). That dynamic also works in reverse.</p><p>&#34;...[B]earish sentiment (measured by the AAII Investor survey) rose to a five month high this week, and technical indicators such as RSI reflect that the S&amp;P 500 has declined into oversold territory (a level &lt;30)--a level that has historically provided a reliable contrarian signal. As a result, cautious sentiment leaves us more optimistic that the market can move higher over the next 12 months,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>The same is often true of Wall Street. Wall Street strategists started raising their year-end forecasts this summer as they tried to catch up to the rally.</p><p>Now, strategists are cutting their targets as stocks sink lower. The latest notable cut comes from Oppenheimer&#39;s John Stoltzfus, formerly one of the most bullish voices on Wall Street, who cut his year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 from 4,900 to 4,400 on Monday.</p><p>U.S. stocks were already bouncing back following last week&#39;s turmoil, with the S&amp;P 500 SPX up 1.2% in afternoon trading in New York. The Nasdaq Composite COMP was 1.2% as well, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA gained 505 points, or 1.6%, on track for its biggest daily gain since a 700-point jump on June 2, according to FactSet data.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Are 5 Reasons Why U.S. Stocks Will Likely Rally into the End of 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Are 5 Reasons Why U.S. Stocks Will Likely Rally into the End of 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-11-05 09:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Investors are growing increasingly pessimistic about the stock market. But one Wall Street veteran believes that&#39;s a reason to start buying.</p><p>Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James&#39; private client group, said in a note to clients published Friday that U.S. stocks as represented by the S&amp;P 500 have fallen too far, too fast, clearing a path for the market to rally into the end of the year, and beyond.</p><p>&#34;When the equity market soared above our year-end target of 4,400 in July, we became more cautious,&#34; he said. &#34;Fast forward to today, and the recent declines now provide S&amp;P 500 upside of 6% and 12% into our year-end (4,400) and 12-month (4,650) targets.&#34;</p><p>In the note, Adam rattled off five reasons, including investors&#39; increasingly bearish sentiment, that augur a powerful turnaround that should begin before the end of the year.</p><h2 id=\"id_3204347698\">Fed&#39;s tightening cycle is nearly done</h2><p>While the central bank and its chairman, Jerome Powell, have kept the door open for further interest-rate raises after lifting borrowing costs at the fastest pace since the 1980s, Adam said he suspects that the Fed&#39;s tightening cycle likely ended with its previous rate hike in July.</p><p>Powell has already acknowledged that it&#39;s possible that the rise in long-dated bond yields, driven, in his view, by investors demanding a higher term premium, could be doing some of the Fed&#39;s work for it.</p><p>Read more: Fed likely won&#39;t raise rates this week, and will hope that they&#39;re done</p><p>And although third-quarter gross domestic product came in at a whopping 4.9%, this data is backward-looking and unlikely to be replicated. Meanwhile, the latest PCE data showed that core inflation continued to decelerate during the third quarter.</p><p>&#34;This should give the Fed comfort to pause at their policy meeting next week. Given we expect growth to soften and the jobs market to cool further as we head into the final months of the year, the Fed&#39;s job is likely done. If we&#39;re correct, this should bode well for stocks as the S&amp;P 500 typically gains 14% the 12 months after the Fed&#39;s final rate hike,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>Investors will hear from Powell on Wednesday following the close of the Fed&#39;s two-day November policy meeting, but few expect the central bank to lift rates.</p><h2 id=\"id_2984965978\">Lower interest rates support stocks</h2><p>Rising Treasury yields have been perhaps the biggest bugbear for stocks recently.</p><p>But if Raymond James, Bill Ackman and others on Wall Street who already see signs of a downturn in economic activity are correct, then the yield on the 10-year Treasury is likely headed lower. That would be a bullish sign for stocks.</p><p>Even a deluge of newly issued Treasurys wouldn&#39;t be enough to offset the demand from investors seeking to ride out economic weakness by locking in the highest interest rates in more than 15 years.</p><p>&#34;Yes, supply/demand dynamics have been driving interest rates lately, but the macro drivers of softer economic growth and continued disinflation should drive interest rates significantly lower over the coming months,&#34; Adam said.</p><h2 id=\"id_2416183613\">Market isn&#39;t appreciating strong earnings</h2><p>The lengthy earnings recession for U.S. companies is expected to have come to an end during the third quarter. According to FactSet, S&amp;P 500 members are on track to see earnings grow roughly 2% from the same period last year following three consecutive quarters of year-over-year contraction.</p><p>But the biggest story this earnings season is how shares of megacap technology companies like Alphabet Inc. took a beating following their earnings reports.</p><p>&#34;For example, despite posting blended EPS growth of 44% YoY and crushing estimates by 13% in aggregate, a composite of MAGMAN (the main driver of positive returns for the market year-to-date) declined 4% during the week and is now down 10% from recent highs,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>Adam&#39;s &#34;MAGMAN&#34; group includes Microsoft Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, Alphabet Inc. (whose Class A <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> shares were included in the figures above) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc. (META), as well as Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> and Nvidia Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a> (although they haven&#39;t reported earnings yet, their consensus EPS forecasts anticipate strong year-over-year growth).</p><h2 id=\"id_1000688692\">Seasonal trends look favorable</h2><p>September is, on average, the worst month for S&amp;P 500 returns. Things tend to turn around after the market typically bottoms in mid-October, with the rebound typically continuing during November and December.</p><p>Stocks have hewed closely to these seasonal patterns during 2023 and 2022, Adam said. Should that continue, it would bode well for stocks.</p><p>&#34;Fortunately for investors, the seasonal trend is set to turn to a tailwind as we enter two of the strongest months of the year with the S&amp;P 500 up an average of 1.5% and 1.2% in November and December respectively,&#34; he said.</p><h2 id=\"id_2703204372\">Bearish sentiment is often a bullish indicator</h2><p>Gauges of investor sentiment like the American Association of Independent Investors survey are reliable counter-indicators. When bullish sentiment becomes stretched, a pullback usually follows (as it did this summer). That dynamic also works in reverse.</p><p>&#34;...[B]earish sentiment (measured by the AAII Investor survey) rose to a five month high this week, and technical indicators such as RSI reflect that the S&amp;P 500 has declined into oversold territory (a level &lt;30)--a level that has historically provided a reliable contrarian signal. As a result, cautious sentiment leaves us more optimistic that the market can move higher over the next 12 months,&#34; Adam said.</p><p>The same is often true of Wall Street. Wall Street strategists started raising their year-end forecasts this summer as they tried to catch up to the rally.</p><p>Now, strategists are cutting their targets as stocks sink lower. The latest notable cut comes from Oppenheimer&#39;s John Stoltzfus, formerly one of the most bullish voices on Wall Street, who cut his year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 from 4,900 to 4,400 on Monday.</p><p>U.S. stocks were already bouncing back following last week&#39;s turmoil, with the S&amp;P 500 SPX up 1.2% in afternoon trading in New York. The Nasdaq Composite COMP was 1.2% as well, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA gained 505 points, or 1.6%, on track for its biggest daily gain since a 700-point jump on June 2, according to FactSet data.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2379753472","content_text":"Investors are growing increasingly pessimistic about the stock market. But one Wall Street veteran believes that's a reason to start buying.Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James' private client group, said in a note to clients published Friday that U.S. stocks as represented by the S&P 500 have fallen too far, too fast, clearing a path for the market to rally into the end of the year, and beyond.\"When the equity market soared above our year-end target of 4,400 in July, we became more cautious,\" he said. \"Fast forward to today, and the recent declines now provide S&P 500 upside of 6% and 12% into our year-end (4,400) and 12-month (4,650) targets.\"In the note, Adam rattled off five reasons, including investors' increasingly bearish sentiment, that augur a powerful turnaround that should begin before the end of the year.Fed's tightening cycle is nearly doneWhile the central bank and its chairman, Jerome Powell, have kept the door open for further interest-rate raises after lifting borrowing costs at the fastest pace since the 1980s, Adam said he suspects that the Fed's tightening cycle likely ended with its previous rate hike in July.Powell has already acknowledged that it's possible that the rise in long-dated bond yields, driven, in his view, by investors demanding a higher term premium, could be doing some of the Fed's work for it.Read more: Fed likely won't raise rates this week, and will hope that they're doneAnd although third-quarter gross domestic product came in at a whopping 4.9%, this data is backward-looking and unlikely to be replicated. Meanwhile, the latest PCE data showed that core inflation continued to decelerate during the third quarter.\"This should give the Fed comfort to pause at their policy meeting next week. Given we expect growth to soften and the jobs market to cool further as we head into the final months of the year, the Fed's job is likely done. If we're correct, this should bode well for stocks as the S&P 500 typically gains 14% the 12 months after the Fed's final rate hike,\" Adam said.Investors will hear from Powell on Wednesday following the close of the Fed's two-day November policy meeting, but few expect the central bank to lift rates.Lower interest rates support stocksRising Treasury yields have been perhaps the biggest bugbear for stocks recently.But if Raymond James, Bill Ackman and others on Wall Street who already see signs of a downturn in economic activity are correct, then the yield on the 10-year Treasury is likely headed lower. That would be a bullish sign for stocks.Even a deluge of newly issued Treasurys wouldn't be enough to offset the demand from investors seeking to ride out economic weakness by locking in the highest interest rates in more than 15 years.\"Yes, supply/demand dynamics have been driving interest rates lately, but the macro drivers of softer economic growth and continued disinflation should drive interest rates significantly lower over the coming months,\" Adam said.Market isn't appreciating strong earningsThe lengthy earnings recession for U.S. companies is expected to have come to an end during the third quarter. According to FactSet, S&P 500 members are on track to see earnings grow roughly 2% from the same period last year following three consecutive quarters of year-over-year contraction.But the biggest story this earnings season is how shares of megacap technology companies like Alphabet Inc. took a beating following their earnings reports.\"For example, despite posting blended EPS growth of 44% YoY and crushing estimates by 13% in aggregate, a composite of MAGMAN (the main driver of positive returns for the market year-to-date) declined 4% during the week and is now down 10% from recent highs,\" Adam said.Adam's \"MAGMAN\" group includes Microsoft Corp. $(MSFT)$, Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$, Alphabet Inc. (whose Class A $(GOOGL)$ shares were included in the figures above) and Meta Platforms Inc. (META), as well as Apple Inc. $(AAPL)$ and Nvidia Corp. $(NVDA)$ (although they haven't reported earnings yet, their consensus EPS forecasts anticipate strong year-over-year growth).Seasonal trends look favorableSeptember is, on average, the worst month for S&P 500 returns. Things tend to turn around after the market typically bottoms in mid-October, with the rebound typically continuing during November and December.Stocks have hewed closely to these seasonal patterns during 2023 and 2022, Adam said. Should that continue, it would bode well for stocks.\"Fortunately for investors, the seasonal trend is set to turn to a tailwind as we enter two of the strongest months of the year with the S&P 500 up an average of 1.5% and 1.2% in November and December respectively,\" he said.Bearish sentiment is often a bullish indicatorGauges of investor sentiment like the American Association of Independent Investors survey are reliable counter-indicators. When bullish sentiment becomes stretched, a pullback usually follows (as it did this summer). That dynamic also works in reverse.\"...[B]earish sentiment (measured by the AAII Investor survey) rose to a five month high this week, and technical indicators such as RSI reflect that the S&P 500 has declined into oversold territory (a level <30)--a level that has historically provided a reliable contrarian signal. As a result, cautious sentiment leaves us more optimistic that the market can move higher over the next 12 months,\" Adam said.The same is often true of Wall Street. Wall Street strategists started raising their year-end forecasts this summer as they tried to catch up to the rally.Now, strategists are cutting their targets as stocks sink lower. The latest notable cut comes from Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, formerly one of the most bullish voices on Wall Street, who cut his year-end target for the S&P 500 from 4,900 to 4,400 on Monday.U.S. stocks were already bouncing back following last week's turmoil, with the S&P 500 SPX up 1.2% in afternoon trading in New York. The Nasdaq Composite COMP was 1.2% as well, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA gained 505 points, or 1.6%, on track for its biggest daily gain since a 700-point jump on June 2, according to FactSet data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195048972443760,"gmtCreate":1688645155612,"gmtModify":1688645158726,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195048972443760","repostId":"2349717643","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2349717643","pubTimestamp":1688623736,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2349717643?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-07-06 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Semiconductors Winners And Losers At The Start Of H2 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2349717643","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"AlexLMX Semiconductor stocks continue to build on the rally that started in late 2022. Semis got off to sluggish start in Q2 2023, but they took off in May with artificial intelligence or AI playing a","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>Semis look poised for continued gains in Q3 after the rally continued in Q2, but there were several changes worth noting.</p></li><li><p>The rally in semis is increasingly being driven by AI after other tailwinds lost strength, which could become problematic if AI disappoints.</p></li><li><p>H2 2023 is facing a flare-up in export controls, which have the potential to seriously disrupt supply chains, depending on how governments approach the issue.</p></li><li><p>The rally in semis can continue since tailwinds remain, but new buyers may want to think twice about getting in at this time.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7891ea5c88b27976fd27126f6ddcea56\" alt=\"AlexLMX\" title=\"AlexLMX\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"495\"/><span>AlexLMX</span></p><p>Semiconductor stocks continue to build on the rally that started in late 2022. Semis got off to sluggish start in Q2 2023, but they took off in May with artificial intelligence or AI playing a key role. However, while the semiconductor sector as a whole looks poised to build on its gains with Q3 upon us, divergence seems to have popped up as an increasing number of semis failed to participate in the rally. Some may be better off and some may be worse off for various reasons. Why will be covered next.</p><h2>The trend continues to favor higher prices for semis in Q3 2023</h2><p>A previous article at the start of Q2 2023 concluded that semiconductor stocks as a group, and HPC names in particular, were likely to add to their strong gains in Q1 due to the existence of several tailwinds. Specifically, semis are the beneficiary of a less restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve and other central banks, increased interest in semis from the investment community due to AI and an industry outlook which calls for the end of the downturn in the market for semiconductor chips and the start of a rebound that will pave the way for a year of strong growth in 2024.</p><p>As it turned out, Q2 was a good quarter, but not quite as good as Q1 for semis. The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), for instance, started Q2 with a YTD gain of 28% and finished with a YTD gain of 46% at the end of Q2. In comparison, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) gained 39% and the SPDR S&amp;P500 ETF (SPY) gained 16% during the same period.</p><p>Furthermore, the trend argues in favor of continued gains at the start of H2 2023. Note the current trend with higher lows and higher highs in the chart below. It’s true trends can and do change, but there is also a saying that the trend is your friend and the trend suggests that sticking with semis is a bet worth taking heading into Q3.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20113ca653260fb793e49d489c2d5b76\" alt=\"Source: Thinkorswim app\" title=\"Source: Thinkorswim app\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\"/><span>Source: Thinkorswim app</span></p><h2>Q2 saw double-digit gains, similar to Q1, but there were other differences worth noting</h2><p>Still, it’s worth mentioning that unlike Q1, semis got off to a poor start in Q2. In fact, most of the gains came in the month of May. If May is excluded, then semis did not perform all that well as April and June did not add as much. Semis actually lost ground in April, but May came to the rescue after a number of high-profile companies showed how much of a difference AI could be.</p><p>Other companies that are not exposed as much to AI did not fare quite as well, creating a divergence in the process. A look at the individual stocks present in an ETF like SOXX makes this clear. The 30 companies included in SOXX includes Nvidia (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Intel (INTC), Texas Instruments (TXN), Microchip (MCHP), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), ON Semiconductor (ON), Applied Materials (AMAT), KLA Corp (KLAC), Analog Devices (ADI), Qualcomm (QCOM), Lam Research (LRCX), Marvell (MRVL), Micron (MU), TSMC (TSM), ASML (ASML), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPWR\">Monolithic Power Systems</a> (MPWR), Skyworks (SWKS), Teradyne (TER), Entegris (ENTG), STMicroelectronics (STM), Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC), Qorvo (QRVO), Wolfspeed (WOLF), MKS Instruments (MKSI), United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC), ASE Technology (ASX), Silicon Laboratories (SLAB) and Synaptics (SYNA). The table below shows the recent gains or losses for these stocks.</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Stock</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Weight %</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Change – 12 months</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Change – 6 months</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Change – 3 months</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Change – 1 month</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Change - YTD</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>NVDA</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.21%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+172.18%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+201.38%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+54.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.81%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+189.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>AVGO</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.12%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+76.88%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+59.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+36.87%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+7.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+55.14%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>AMD</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7.16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+46.06%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+82.05%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+16.38%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-3.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+75.87%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>INTC</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.25%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-10.32%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+30.93%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+4.21%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+26.52%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>TXN</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.07%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+17.83%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.68%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-2.29%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+3.53%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+8.96%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>MCHP</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.40%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+54.33%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+32.00%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+8.23%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+19.04%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+27.53%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>NXPI</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.24%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+36.44%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+34.92%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+12.70%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+14.28%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+29.52%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>ON</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+85.02%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+56.90%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+15.58%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+13.13%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+51.64%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>AMAT</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.11%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+57.21%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+53.40%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+18.37%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+8.43%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+48.43%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>KLAC</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.10%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+51.30%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+31.88%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+22.47%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+9.49%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+28.64%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>ADI</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.06%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+32.28%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+21.54%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+0.31%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+9.63%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+18.76%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>QCOM</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.96%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-8.59%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.28%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-6.56%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+4.96%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+8.28%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>LRCX</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.95%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+50.54%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+59.60%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+20.98%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+4.24%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+52.95%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>MRVL</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.80%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+34.88%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+68.97%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+38.22%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+2.21%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+61.39%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>MU</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.59%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+12.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+28.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+0.03%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-7.46%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+26.27%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>TSM</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.53%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+20.65%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+38.13%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+9.14%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+2.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+35.48%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>ASML</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.46%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+49.55%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+36.32%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+7.10%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+0.25%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+32.64%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>MPWR</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.80%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+37.67%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+58.76%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+8.53%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+10.27%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+52.78%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>SWKS</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.03%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+17.92%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+27.52%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-5.65%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.94%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+21.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>TER</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1.97%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+23.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+32.16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+3.47%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.12%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+27.45%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>ENTG</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1.89%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+18.03%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+76.72%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+35.71%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+5.29%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+68.96%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>STM</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1.50%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+55.06%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+43.73%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-5.86%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+15.08%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+40.54%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>LSCC</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1.47%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+95.15%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+53.71%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+1.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+18.15%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+48.07%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>QRVO</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>1.16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.49%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+16.22%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+1.14%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+4.90%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+12.57%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>WOLF</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.79%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-14.16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-17.49%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-12.54%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+15.72%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-19.48%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>MKSI</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.74%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+5.11%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+33.10%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+23.67%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.09%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+27.58%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>UMC</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+13.53%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+21.57%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-9.21%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-4.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+20.83%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>ASX</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.63%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+46.70%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+26.46%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-1.89%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+2.23%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+24.24%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>SLAB</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.57%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+11.94%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+20.68%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-8.79%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+12.13%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+16.27%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>SYNA</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.39%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-29.67%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-5.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-22.50%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-0.77%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-10.28%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>SOXX</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+43.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+50.29%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+14.78%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.41%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+45.77%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>QQQ</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+30.17%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+42.03%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+17.02%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+38.73%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>SPY</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+16.55%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+17.69%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+9.80%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+6.09%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>+15.91%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: iShares</p><h2>Who was hot and who was not among semiconductor stocks</h2><p>Semis posted strong gains in Q2, but it took some time for this to happen. SOXX, for instance, began Q2 with the stock priced at $444.67 as of March 31 and as late as May 24, SOXX was priced at $430.93. SOXX was flat to down for most of Q2, but a strong rally following May 24 helped SOXX end Q2 with strong gains.</p><p>This turnaround did not happen for no reason. May 24 happens to be the day NVDA released its most recent earnings report with guidance that blew part expectations thank to AI. NVDA soared higher, invigorating the sector and SOXX by extension. It also allowed NVDA to top all others in SOXX for the second consecutive quarter with a 54% gain in Q2, pushing its YTD gain to 189%, which is way ahead of everyone else.</p><p>MRVL and AVGO both made sure to mention AI in their quarterly reports, which likely helped them end up as distant runner-ups with Q2 gains of 38% and 37% respectively. However, not everyone fared as well. SOXX gained a respectable 15% in Q2, but 9 of the 30 stocks in SOXX actually finished with losses in Q2, unlike Q1 when just one stock did not post any gains.</p><p>This group was led by SYNA, which lost 22.5% and WOLF with 12.5%, but it also includes UMC, SLAB, QCOM, STM, SWKS, TXN and ASX. Another two, ADI and MU, posted gains in Q2, but only barely with gains of 0.31% and 0.03% respectively. LSCC and QRVO gained just 1-2%. In other words, the broad-based rally seen in Q1 became much less so in Q2.</p><p>The sector as a whole continued the rally that started in late 2022, but it was driven by a smaller number of companies than before, NVDA in particular and those who are perceived to stand to benefit from AI, whether in the form of increased demand for server GPUs or high-speed connectivity for hyperscale datacenters.</p><p>It’s not by accident that NVDA and AMD are the top two gainers on a YTD basis. AI has given HPC names a major boost, which helped mask weakness elsewhere. AI essentially bailed out stocks that probably should not have performed quite as well. INTC, for instance, is a prominent name in HPC and a competitor of NVDA and AMD, but one could argue that INTC should have done significantly worse than its 27% YTD gain, if not for AI. INTC as a company has not done as well as the 27% gain in the stock suggests, whether it is regaining lost market share, technological leadership or getting its foundry business off the ground, especially not in comparison to what was expected when its much heralded CEO was brought in.</p><p>In contrast, SYNA and WOLF are the only two who have yet to gain six months into 2023. Neither has any AI exposure worth noting to offset their company-specific problems like INTC, which might help explain why they are in the position they are in. Overall, Q2 was a productive quarter for semis, but there was divergence, which was masked to a certain extent by strong headline numbers for the sector such as the 15% Q2 gain for SOXX.</p><h2>What could cause further divergence among semis</h2><p>If not for AI, semis as represented by ETFs like SOXX would probably not have gained as much as they did. AI will need to live up to expectations, since there may not be much else to keep the rally going. On the contrary, while some segments continue to hold up, the semiconductor industry as a whole is confronted with weaker-than-expected demand, the memory market in particular.</p><p>Some like NVDA managed to blow past expectations, but NVDA was more like the exception than the norm. Many semis actually acknowledged facing demand that was weaker than anticipated, which led them to downgrade their outlook. This includes a bellwether like TSM, which lowered its FY2023 revenue outlook from an increase in the low single digits to a decrease in the low single digits. As a consequence, the outlook for the industry was revised lower as well.</p><p>For instance, WSTS predicted at the start of the year that the semiconductor market would decline by 4.1% YoY in 2023, but the most recent update has increased this to a decline of 10.3% after incorporating all the recent updates from various industry players. MU, for instance, was the latest to report on June 28 and its quarterly guidance was well short of expectations, which is not a positive sign heading into the upcoming earnings season that will start in a few weeks.</p><p>Still, most industry forecasts continue to expect a year of strong growth in 2024. WSTS, for instance, calls for the semiconductor market to expand by 11.8% YoY to $576B in 2024, just ahead of the record $574B achieved in 2022. Nevertheless, the latest industry projections are significantly lower than earlier in the year when some called for the market to grow to well over $600B in 2024.</p><h2>What will be the impact of the recent flare-up in the U.S.-China tech war?</h2><p>There is another reason behind the weak guidance from MU. MU became the first semiconductor company to be explicitly targeted by China in the ongoing tussle between the U.S. and China in the field of semiconductors. This struggle has been going on for several years, but until fairly recently, China was relatively restrained in its actions, unlike the U.S. government, which has been much more active with export controls and other restrictions/sanctions on Chinese companies.</p><p>This may have changed with the recent flare-up in the ongoing back and forth between China and the U.S., the latter with the assistance of the Netherlands/Europe and Japan. The latest chapter in this saga deals with export controls on gallium and germanium imposed by China’s Ministry of Commerce. Gallium and germanium are used to make compound semiconductors like gallium arsenide or GaAs, gallium nitride or GaN and silicon germanium or SiGe.</p><p>On paper, a whole of bunch companies could be affected. For example, NXPI, STM, QCOM, WOLF and QRVO. In fact, QRVO could be the one most affected. While QRVO’s core business revolves around radio frequency chips like power amplifiers for mobile communications, QRVO is also a supplier to defense contractors like Raytheon (RTX) and Lockheed Martin (LMT), which is something China may take issue with.</p><p>It is not clear what exactly China hopes to achieve with these export controls. China may want to use their own export controls as leverage against export controls from the U.S. and its allies or China may have decided that withholding gallium in particular can have strategic consequences as it is an important element in military applications, including AESA radar systems for combat aircraft, naval combatants and air/missile defense systems.</p><p>Export controls do add a degree of uncertainty to affected companies. If China allows everything to go through, the impact could be negligible. If not, then the impact could be more serious. If the export of gallium and germanium are reduced by a limited amount, then workarounds are possible. But if everything gets blocked, then there is a serious problem as finding alternative sources for gallium in particular will take many years and be very expensive.</p><p>The risk is that these new export controls could trigger a domino-effect with more and more export controls. It depends on how China and others go about implementing export controls, but this is not a positive development for semis as they have the potential to seriously disrupt supply chains for a long time.</p><h2>Will the Fed be forced to become more hawkish?</h2><p>Another tailwind for semis has been Fed policy. The Fed has been taking its foot off the gas pedal and the prospect of a more dovish monetary policy has been good for tech stocks, semis included. Q2 saw the end of the Fed rate-hike cycle with the Fed opting to keep the Fed Funds Rate or FFR unchanged at 5-5.25% at the June meeting, making it the first time there was no rate hike since early 2022.</p><p>However, the Fed tacitly admitted that inflation was proving to be more stickier than anticipated. The dot plots thus left open the possibility of another 50 basis points in hikes in 2023. The Fed still expects lower rates in the coming years, but it also hiked interest rate forecasts for 2024 and 2025 to 4.6% and 3.6% respectively, up from 4.3% and 3.1% respectively.</p><p>In light of this, Fed Funds futures believe there is a 86.6% chance the FFR will be raised by another 25bps to 5.25-5.50% at the July meeting. But futures do not anticipate interest rates higher than 5.25-5.50%. The next change is likely to be a rate cut and not a hike, which futures estimate is likely to come in May 2024 when the Fed is projected to lower the FFR to 5.00-5.25% to start the cycle of rate cuts.</p><p>This is more hawkish than earlier in the year. Nevertheless, the overall trajectory has not changed very much despite the more hawkish Fed. Most of the rate hikes are in the rear view and the FFR is more likely to be lower than higher in the next few years. Overall, current Fed policy remains a tailwind for semis, although sticky inflation remains a wildcard that could force more rate hikes.</p><h2>Could AI cause the semiconductor rally to fizzle out?</h2><p>There is a lot riding on AI. Of all the tailwinds, AI was by far the main driver behind the gains in Q2. Other tailwinds were still present, but they lost some of their strength as they suffered some setbacks. AI, though, is still standing strong and recent reports from the likes of NVDA support the notion that AI can be a potent driver of growth for the industry.</p><p>Yet there is no denying that there is a fairly widespread view that AI is being overhyped. This is in part due to different people having different perceptions of what AI stands for. Many within the general public still think of AI as portrayed in blockbuster movies, but mankind is not any closer to that kind of AI today than it was back in the fifties when the term AI first came into being.</p><p>Adding to the confusion is that people are being bombarded by sensational claims that true AI experts would take issue with. For instance, the notion that the world is getting closer to being taken over by sentient machines. It doesn’t help that OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, has made a number of contentious claims as to how far along AI is.</p><p>These claims from OpenAI have been given additional credence due to ChatGPT’s success, but this does not take anything away from the fact that AI applications based on large language models or LLMs like ChatGPT suffer from unresolved problems like “hallucinations”. No one, and that includes OpenAI, has provided the scientific proof that these problems associated with LLMs can be resolved</p><p>As long as these problems remain, ChatGPT and other LLM-based AI applications will remain limited in the types of use cases they are suitable for. They may be okay for say the novice programmer who asks the same old questions that have been asked many times before, but they’re much less suitable when faced with proprietary programming code or text data that is not included in the training of the LLM.</p><p>Most will agree that AI can be of great benefit, especially if it is limited to addressing a specific problem that is limited in scope, but by how much remains to be determined. It’s not out of the question that AI, at least the one based on machine/deep learning, will not live up to everyone’s expectations. This could trigger a reset in expectations and thus the price people are willing to pay for certain semis, perhaps once the general public realizes that the world is not really any closer to the holy grail of artificial intelligence despite all the recent developments. Semis will be impacted if AI is not there to keep things going and nothing else is there to take its place.</p><h2>Investor takeaways</h2><p>Semis have posted strong gains in H1 2023 and they look poised to add to their gains in H2 2023. The tailwinds that enabled the rally in H1 are still around and likely to remain in H2, suggesting additional gains for semis. The Fed still holds out the prospect of easier monetary policy, investor interest in AI plays remains very high and the semiconductor market is still believed to be on the verge of a strong expansion despite the current slump. As long as these conditions remain, semis are likely to continue to do well.</p><p>Having said that, the outlook for semis has deteriorated in several ways at the midpoint of 2023, at least in comparison to the start of 2023. The Fed has been less dovish than expected and weakness in semiconductor demand has been greater than anticipated. AI is the one pillar that has remained the steadiest, which explains why it was mainly responsible for the gains seen in Q2.</p><p>However, this also means AI is shouldering more of the load. This is expressed in ETFs like SOXX where huge gains by a small numbers of stocks offset the fact that a large number of stocks lost ground. Stocks like QCOM, SWKS, QRVO, SLAB and SYNA have lost some or all their gains from earlier in the year.</p><p>NVDA has almost tripled in value after two quarters, but that’s very much the exception. If not for AI, SOXX could very well have finished flat to slightly down in Q2 instead of the 15% gain it ended up with. In other words, the headline gains are masking weakness in the sector. Semis are not in as good a shape as perceived by many.</p><p>If an increasing number of stocks sit out the rally and the rally is driven by a decreasing number of stocks, then that is cause for worry. It suggests that the rally in semis, which has lasted for three quarters and is entering its fourth quarter in Q3 2023, is getting long in the tooth. Lower returns in H2 than those seen in H1 is likely. A correction in Q3 or Q4 is possible.</p><p>The latter could become more likely if export controls by China, U.S. and its allies trigger a tit-for-tat series of disruptions to existing supply chains. Keep in mind that export controls do not necessarily mean the export of things like gallium or germanium is prohibited. It means government permission is required to export. So depending on how governments go about export controls, the impact could be more or less. It does mean greater uncertainty for companies, which is generally speaking no good for their stocks.</p><p>Bottom line, semis can go higher, but it would probably not be prudent to be a buyer of semis at this time as the rally may already be running on fumes. HPC names like NVDA are still the best bet if one wants to open a new position in semis. Just be sure to remember that no matter what, nothing goes up forever.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Semiconductors Winners And Losers At The Start Of H2 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSemiconductors Winners And Losers At The Start Of H2 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-07-06 14:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4615396-semiconductors-winners-and-losers-start-h2-2023><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySemis look poised for continued gains in Q3 after the rally continued in Q2, but there were several changes worth noting.The rally in semis is increasingly being driven by AI after other ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4615396-semiconductors-winners-and-losers-start-h2-2023\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OEX":"标普100","MCHP":"微芯科技","WOLF":"Wolfspeed Inc.","AVGO":"博通","AMD":"美国超微公司","QCOM":"高通","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","LMT":"洛克希德马丁","TER":"泰瑞达","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","NVDA":"英伟达","ENTG":"英特格","INTC":"英特尔","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","ASX":"日月光半导体","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","ASML":"阿斯麦","KLAC":"科磊","AMAT":"应用材料","SH":"标普500反向ETF","TSM":"台积电","NXPI":"恩智浦","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","ON":"安森美半导体","MPWR":"Monolithic Power Systems","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","MU":"美光科技","QRVO":"Qorvo, Inc.","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","STM":"意法半导体","SWKS":"思佳讯","UMC":"联电","TXN":"德州仪器","MRVL":"迈威尔科技","MKSI":"MKS仪器","SLAB":"芯科实验室","RTX":"雷神技术公司","SYNA":"Synaptics Incorporated","LSCC":"莱迪思半导体","LRCX":"拉姆研究"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4615396-semiconductors-winners-and-losers-start-h2-2023","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2349717643","content_text":"SummarySemis look poised for continued gains in Q3 after the rally continued in Q2, but there were several changes worth noting.The rally in semis is increasingly being driven by AI after other tailwinds lost strength, which could become problematic if AI disappoints.H2 2023 is facing a flare-up in export controls, which have the potential to seriously disrupt supply chains, depending on how governments approach the issue.The rally in semis can continue since tailwinds remain, but new buyers may want to think twice about getting in at this time.AlexLMXSemiconductor stocks continue to build on the rally that started in late 2022. Semis got off to sluggish start in Q2 2023, but they took off in May with artificial intelligence or AI playing a key role. However, while the semiconductor sector as a whole looks poised to build on its gains with Q3 upon us, divergence seems to have popped up as an increasing number of semis failed to participate in the rally. Some may be better off and some may be worse off for various reasons. Why will be covered next.The trend continues to favor higher prices for semis in Q3 2023A previous article at the start of Q2 2023 concluded that semiconductor stocks as a group, and HPC names in particular, were likely to add to their strong gains in Q1 due to the existence of several tailwinds. Specifically, semis are the beneficiary of a less restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve and other central banks, increased interest in semis from the investment community due to AI and an industry outlook which calls for the end of the downturn in the market for semiconductor chips and the start of a rebound that will pave the way for a year of strong growth in 2024.As it turned out, Q2 was a good quarter, but not quite as good as Q1 for semis. The iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), for instance, started Q2 with a YTD gain of 28% and finished with a YTD gain of 46% at the end of Q2. In comparison, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) gained 39% and the SPDR S&P500 ETF (SPY) gained 16% during the same period.Furthermore, the trend argues in favor of continued gains at the start of H2 2023. Note the current trend with higher lows and higher highs in the chart below. It’s true trends can and do change, but there is also a saying that the trend is your friend and the trend suggests that sticking with semis is a bet worth taking heading into Q3.Source: Thinkorswim appQ2 saw double-digit gains, similar to Q1, but there were other differences worth notingStill, it’s worth mentioning that unlike Q1, semis got off to a poor start in Q2. In fact, most of the gains came in the month of May. If May is excluded, then semis did not perform all that well as April and June did not add as much. Semis actually lost ground in April, but May came to the rescue after a number of high-profile companies showed how much of a difference AI could be.Other companies that are not exposed as much to AI did not fare quite as well, creating a divergence in the process. A look at the individual stocks present in an ETF like SOXX makes this clear. The 30 companies included in SOXX includes Nvidia (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Intel (INTC), Texas Instruments (TXN), Microchip (MCHP), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), ON Semiconductor (ON), Applied Materials (AMAT), KLA Corp (KLAC), Analog Devices (ADI), Qualcomm (QCOM), Lam Research (LRCX), Marvell (MRVL), Micron (MU), TSMC (TSM), ASML (ASML), Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), Skyworks (SWKS), Teradyne (TER), Entegris (ENTG), STMicroelectronics (STM), Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC), Qorvo (QRVO), Wolfspeed (WOLF), MKS Instruments (MKSI), United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC), ASE Technology (ASX), Silicon Laboratories (SLAB) and Synaptics (SYNA). The table below shows the recent gains or losses for these stocks.StockWeight %Change – 12 monthsChange – 6 monthsChange – 3 monthsChange – 1 monthChange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ource: iSharesWho was hot and who was not among semiconductor stocksSemis posted strong gains in Q2, but it took some time for this to happen. SOXX, for instance, began Q2 with the stock priced at $444.67 as of March 31 and as late as May 24, SOXX was priced at $430.93. SOXX was flat to down for most of Q2, but a strong rally following May 24 helped SOXX end Q2 with strong gains.This turnaround did not happen for no reason. May 24 happens to be the day NVDA released its most recent earnings report with guidance that blew part expectations thank to AI. NVDA soared higher, invigorating the sector and SOXX by extension. It also allowed NVDA to top all others in SOXX for the second consecutive quarter with a 54% gain in Q2, pushing its YTD gain to 189%, which is way ahead of everyone else.MRVL and AVGO both made sure to mention AI in their quarterly reports, which likely helped them end up as distant runner-ups with Q2 gains of 38% and 37% respectively. However, not everyone fared as well. SOXX gained a respectable 15% in Q2, but 9 of the 30 stocks in SOXX actually finished with losses in Q2, unlike Q1 when just one stock did not post any gains.This group was led by SYNA, which lost 22.5% and WOLF with 12.5%, but it also includes UMC, SLAB, QCOM, STM, SWKS, TXN and ASX. Another two, ADI and MU, posted gains in Q2, but only barely with gains of 0.31% and 0.03% respectively. LSCC and QRVO gained just 1-2%. In other words, the broad-based rally seen in Q1 became much less so in Q2.The sector as a whole continued the rally that started in late 2022, but it was driven by a smaller number of companies than before, NVDA in particular and those who are perceived to stand to benefit from AI, whether in the form of increased demand for server GPUs or high-speed connectivity for hyperscale datacenters.It’s not by accident that NVDA and AMD are the top two gainers on a YTD basis. AI has given HPC names a major boost, which helped mask weakness elsewhere. AI essentially bailed out stocks that probably should not have performed quite as well. INTC, for instance, is a prominent name in HPC and a competitor of NVDA and AMD, but one could argue that INTC should have done significantly worse than its 27% YTD gain, if not for AI. INTC as a company has not done as well as the 27% gain in the stock suggests, whether it is regaining lost market share, technological leadership or getting its foundry business off the ground, especially not in comparison to what was expected when its much heralded CEO was brought in.In contrast, SYNA and WOLF are the only two who have yet to gain six months into 2023. Neither has any AI exposure worth noting to offset their company-specific problems like INTC, which might help explain why they are in the position they are in. Overall, Q2 was a productive quarter for semis, but there was divergence, which was masked to a certain extent by strong headline numbers for the sector such as the 15% Q2 gain for SOXX.What could cause further divergence among semisIf not for AI, semis as represented by ETFs like SOXX would probably not have gained as much as they did. AI will need to live up to expectations, since there may not be much else to keep the rally going. On the contrary, while some segments continue to hold up, the semiconductor industry as a whole is confronted with weaker-than-expected demand, the memory market in particular.Some like NVDA managed to blow past expectations, but NVDA was more like the exception than the norm. Many semis actually acknowledged facing demand that was weaker than anticipated, which led them to downgrade their outlook. This includes a bellwether like TSM, which lowered its FY2023 revenue outlook from an increase in the low single digits to a decrease in the low single digits. As a consequence, the outlook for the industry was revised lower as well.For instance, WSTS predicted at the start of the year that the semiconductor market would decline by 4.1% YoY in 2023, but the most recent update has increased this to a decline of 10.3% after incorporating all the recent updates from various industry players. MU, for instance, was the latest to report on June 28 and its quarterly guidance was well short of expectations, which is not a positive sign heading into the upcoming earnings season that will start in a few weeks.Still, most industry forecasts continue to expect a year of strong growth in 2024. WSTS, for instance, calls for the semiconductor market to expand by 11.8% YoY to $576B in 2024, just ahead of the record $574B achieved in 2022. Nevertheless, the latest industry projections are significantly lower than earlier in the year when some called for the market to grow to well over $600B in 2024.What will be the impact of the recent flare-up in the U.S.-China tech war?There is another reason behind the weak guidance from MU. MU became the first semiconductor company to be explicitly targeted by China in the ongoing tussle between the U.S. and China in the field of semiconductors. This struggle has been going on for several years, but until fairly recently, China was relatively restrained in its actions, unlike the U.S. government, which has been much more active with export controls and other restrictions/sanctions on Chinese companies.This may have changed with the recent flare-up in the ongoing back and forth between China and the U.S., the latter with the assistance of the Netherlands/Europe and Japan. The latest chapter in this saga deals with export controls on gallium and germanium imposed by China’s Ministry of Commerce. Gallium and germanium are used to make compound semiconductors like gallium arsenide or GaAs, gallium nitride or GaN and silicon germanium or SiGe.On paper, a whole of bunch companies could be affected. For example, NXPI, STM, QCOM, WOLF and QRVO. In fact, QRVO could be the one most affected. While QRVO’s core business revolves around radio frequency chips like power amplifiers for mobile communications, QRVO is also a supplier to defense contractors like Raytheon (RTX) and Lockheed Martin (LMT), which is something China may take issue with.It is not clear what exactly China hopes to achieve with these export controls. China may want to use their own export controls as leverage against export controls from the U.S. and its allies or China may have decided that withholding gallium in particular can have strategic consequences as it is an important element in military applications, including AESA radar systems for combat aircraft, naval combatants and air/missile defense systems.Export controls do add a degree of uncertainty to affected companies. If China allows everything to go through, the impact could be negligible. If not, then the impact could be more serious. If the export of gallium and germanium are reduced by a limited amount, then workarounds are possible. But if everything gets blocked, then there is a serious problem as finding alternative sources for gallium in particular will take many years and be very expensive.The risk is that these new export controls could trigger a domino-effect with more and more export controls. It depends on how China and others go about implementing export controls, but this is not a positive development for semis as they have the potential to seriously disrupt supply chains for a long time.Will the Fed be forced to become more hawkish?Another tailwind for semis has been Fed policy. The Fed has been taking its foot off the gas pedal and the prospect of a more dovish monetary policy has been good for tech stocks, semis included. Q2 saw the end of the Fed rate-hike cycle with the Fed opting to keep the Fed Funds Rate or FFR unchanged at 5-5.25% at the June meeting, making it the first time there was no rate hike since early 2022.However, the Fed tacitly admitted that inflation was proving to be more stickier than anticipated. The dot plots thus left open the possibility of another 50 basis points in hikes in 2023. The Fed still expects lower rates in the coming years, but it also hiked interest rate forecasts for 2024 and 2025 to 4.6% and 3.6% respectively, up from 4.3% and 3.1% respectively.In light of this, Fed Funds futures believe there is a 86.6% chance the FFR will be raised by another 25bps to 5.25-5.50% at the July meeting. But futures do not anticipate interest rates higher than 5.25-5.50%. The next change is likely to be a rate cut and not a hike, which futures estimate is likely to come in May 2024 when the Fed is projected to lower the FFR to 5.00-5.25% to start the cycle of rate cuts.This is more hawkish than earlier in the year. Nevertheless, the overall trajectory has not changed very much despite the more hawkish Fed. Most of the rate hikes are in the rear view and the FFR is more likely to be lower than higher in the next few years. Overall, current Fed policy remains a tailwind for semis, although sticky inflation remains a wildcard that could force more rate hikes.Could AI cause the semiconductor rally to fizzle out?There is a lot riding on AI. Of all the tailwinds, AI was by far the main driver behind the gains in Q2. Other tailwinds were still present, but they lost some of their strength as they suffered some setbacks. AI, though, is still standing strong and recent reports from the likes of NVDA support the notion that AI can be a potent driver of growth for the industry.Yet there is no denying that there is a fairly widespread view that AI is being overhyped. This is in part due to different people having different perceptions of what AI stands for. Many within the general public still think of AI as portrayed in blockbuster movies, but mankind is not any closer to that kind of AI today than it was back in the fifties when the term AI first came into being.Adding to the confusion is that people are being bombarded by sensational claims that true AI experts would take issue with. For instance, the notion that the world is getting closer to being taken over by sentient machines. It doesn’t help that OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, has made a number of contentious claims as to how far along AI is.These claims from OpenAI have been given additional credence due to ChatGPT’s success, but this does not take anything away from the fact that AI applications based on large language models or LLMs like ChatGPT suffer from unresolved problems like “hallucinations”. No one, and that includes OpenAI, has provided the scientific proof that these problems associated with LLMs can be resolvedAs long as these problems remain, ChatGPT and other LLM-based AI applications will remain limited in the types of use cases they are suitable for. They may be okay for say the novice programmer who asks the same old questions that have been asked many times before, but they’re much less suitable when faced with proprietary programming code or text data that is not included in the training of the LLM.Most will agree that AI can be of great benefit, especially if it is limited to addressing a specific problem that is limited in scope, but by how much remains to be determined. It’s not out of the question that AI, at least the one based on machine/deep learning, will not live up to everyone’s expectations. This could trigger a reset in expectations and thus the price people are willing to pay for certain semis, perhaps once the general public realizes that the world is not really any closer to the holy grail of artificial intelligence despite all the recent developments. Semis will be impacted if AI is not there to keep things going and nothing else is there to take its place.Investor takeawaysSemis have posted strong gains in H1 2023 and they look poised to add to their gains in H2 2023. The tailwinds that enabled the rally in H1 are still around and likely to remain in H2, suggesting additional gains for semis. The Fed still holds out the prospect of easier monetary policy, investor interest in AI plays remains very high and the semiconductor market is still believed to be on the verge of a strong expansion despite the current slump. As long as these conditions remain, semis are likely to continue to do well.Having said that, the outlook for semis has deteriorated in several ways at the midpoint of 2023, at least in comparison to the start of 2023. The Fed has been less dovish than expected and weakness in semiconductor demand has been greater than anticipated. AI is the one pillar that has remained the steadiest, which explains why it was mainly responsible for the gains seen in Q2.However, this also means AI is shouldering more of the load. This is expressed in ETFs like SOXX where huge gains by a small numbers of stocks offset the fact that a large number of stocks lost ground. Stocks like QCOM, SWKS, QRVO, SLAB and SYNA have lost some or all their gains from earlier in the year.NVDA has almost tripled in value after two quarters, but that’s very much the exception. If not for AI, SOXX could very well have finished flat to slightly down in Q2 instead of the 15% gain it ended up with. In other words, the headline gains are masking weakness in the sector. Semis are not in as good a shape as perceived by many.If an increasing number of stocks sit out the rally and the rally is driven by a decreasing number of stocks, then that is cause for worry. It suggests that the rally in semis, which has lasted for three quarters and is entering its fourth quarter in Q3 2023, is getting long in the tooth. Lower returns in H2 than those seen in H1 is likely. A correction in Q3 or Q4 is possible.The latter could become more likely if export controls by China, U.S. and its allies trigger a tit-for-tat series of disruptions to existing supply chains. Keep in mind that export controls do not necessarily mean the export of things like gallium or germanium is prohibited. It means government permission is required to export. So depending on how governments go about export controls, the impact could be more or less. It does mean greater uncertainty for companies, which is generally speaking no good for their stocks.Bottom line, semis can go higher, but it would probably not be prudent to be a buyer of semis at this time as the rally may already be running on fumes. HPC names like NVDA are still the best bet if one wants to open a new position in semis. Just be sure to remember that no matter what, nothing goes up forever.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928172197,"gmtCreate":1671233941720,"gmtModify":1676538512473,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes buy now at the dip","listText":"Yes buy now at the dip","text":"Yes buy now at the dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928172197","repostId":"1110614668","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110614668","pubTimestamp":1671183019,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1110614668?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-16 17:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Alphabet Stock Be in 5 Years?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110614668","media":"investorplace","summary":"Alphabet’s (GOOG, GOOGL) acquisition of Mandiant should provide a cybersecurity-market revenue strea","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Alphabet’s</b> (<b><u>GOOG</u></b>, <b><u>GOOGL</u></b>) acquisition of Mandiant should provide a cybersecurity-market revenue stream.</li><li>A recently revealed government deal indicates Alphabet is serious about its cloud-computing business.</li><li>Investors should scoop up some GOOG stock shares while they’re still cheap and expect it to reach $300 in five years.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f78244546e1c6dce510e8e9006ce035\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: IgorGolovniov / Shutterstock.com</p><p>It’s not an exaggeration to say that Google and YouTube parent company <b>Alphabet</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOG</u></b>, NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOGL</u></b>) navigated rough economic waters in 2022. That’s good news for GOOG stock traders, however. You now have a prime opportunity to get exposure to a search-engine giant as well as a major competitor in cloud computing and cyber-defense.</p><p>Even the most patient buy-and-hold investors might be afraid to invest in Alphabet now. Perhaps they witnessed the selloff in Alphabet shares after the company released itsthird-quarter 2022 financial results— which indicated year-over-year revenue growth, by the way.</p><p>Ask yourself: Am I serious about “buy low and sell high”? If so, then this is an opportunity to put the “buy low” part of the formula into practice. While you’re at it, set a high price target for the next five years — and don’t be surprised if Alphabet exceeds your highest expectations.</p><h2>What’s Happening With GOOG Stock?</h2><p>GOOG stock was actually halfway to $300 in late 2021. Then, circumstances beyond Alphabet’s control intervened and prompted a selloff.</p><p>Certainly, it’s not Alphabet’s fault that inflation increased and some businesses were compelled to reduce their ad spend. Still, the Alphabet share price has come down to a great price. Alphabet’s trailing 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.37x is quite attractive for a Big Tech company.</p><p>Besides, there’s been positive news to report for Alphabet. For one thing, a federal court in Australiadismissed a lawsuit against Alphabetconcerning the use of personal data. Furthermore, Brazil’s central bank approved Google Pay to “operate as a payment institution in Brazil, Latin America’s largest economy,” according to a <i>Reuters</i>report.</p><p>Alphabet Gets Serious About Its Cloud and Cybersecurity Divisions</p><p>You might think of Alphabet just as the owner of the Google search engine and YouTube. However, there’s much more to Alphabet’s business model. Indeed, the company’s cloud-computing and cyber-defense units should prove to be significant revenue drivers during the next five years.</p><p>Alphabet didn’t need to start a cybersecurity business from scratch when it could instead acquire a company already operating successfully in that field. Thus, it made perfect sense for Alphabet toacquire threat-intelligence company Mandiant.</p><p>Having beenestablished in 2004, Mandiant was an early player in the American cybersecurity market. Today, Mandiant retains its brand name but is effectively part of Google Cloud.</p><p>Speaking of the cloud, Google was among a small handful of businesses to earn a potentially lucrativedeal with the U.S. Defense Department. Reportedly, Google is a co-winner of a multibillion-dollar cloud-computing contract to serve the Defense Department’s Joint Warfighting Cloud Capability.</p><p>Google will share a collective award valued at up to $9 billion. It’s another feather in the cap for Alphabet as the company moves far afield of the Google search engine and YouTube.</p><h2>So, Where Will GOOG Stock Be in Five Years?</h2><p>Buyers made an earnest attempt to take GOOG stock to $150 last year. External circumstances prevented a successful breakout, however.</p><p>Given Alphabet’s multiple, high-conviction business interests, there’s no reason to believe the company’s shares won’t be worth $150 soon and twice that amount in five years.</p><p>So, go ahead and set a target of $300 for the long term. Expect Alphabet’s interests in the cloud and cybersecurity to provide substantial revenue. Eventually, $300 should be within reach for GOOG stock. After that, you might not even want to sell your shares, even if you bought them at today’s low price.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Alphabet Stock Be in 5 Years?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Alphabet Stock Be in 5 Years?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-16 17:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/12/where-will-alphabet-goog-stock-be-in-5-years/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alphabet’s (GOOG, GOOGL) acquisition of Mandiant should provide a cybersecurity-market revenue stream.A recently revealed government deal indicates Alphabet is serious about its cloud-computing ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/12/where-will-alphabet-goog-stock-be-in-5-years/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/12/where-will-alphabet-goog-stock-be-in-5-years/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110614668","content_text":"Alphabet’s (GOOG, GOOGL) acquisition of Mandiant should provide a cybersecurity-market revenue stream.A recently revealed government deal indicates Alphabet is serious about its cloud-computing business.Investors should scoop up some GOOG stock shares while they’re still cheap and expect it to reach $300 in five years.Source: IgorGolovniov / Shutterstock.comIt’s not an exaggeration to say that Google and YouTube parent company Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) navigated rough economic waters in 2022. That’s good news for GOOG stock traders, however. You now have a prime opportunity to get exposure to a search-engine giant as well as a major competitor in cloud computing and cyber-defense.Even the most patient buy-and-hold investors might be afraid to invest in Alphabet now. Perhaps they witnessed the selloff in Alphabet shares after the company released itsthird-quarter 2022 financial results— which indicated year-over-year revenue growth, by the way.Ask yourself: Am I serious about “buy low and sell high”? If so, then this is an opportunity to put the “buy low” part of the formula into practice. While you’re at it, set a high price target for the next five years — and don’t be surprised if Alphabet exceeds your highest expectations.What’s Happening With GOOG Stock?GOOG stock was actually halfway to $300 in late 2021. Then, circumstances beyond Alphabet’s control intervened and prompted a selloff.Certainly, it’s not Alphabet’s fault that inflation increased and some businesses were compelled to reduce their ad spend. Still, the Alphabet share price has come down to a great price. Alphabet’s trailing 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.37x is quite attractive for a Big Tech company.Besides, there’s been positive news to report for Alphabet. For one thing, a federal court in Australiadismissed a lawsuit against Alphabetconcerning the use of personal data. Furthermore, Brazil’s central bank approved Google Pay to “operate as a payment institution in Brazil, Latin America’s largest economy,” according to a Reutersreport.Alphabet Gets Serious About Its Cloud and Cybersecurity DivisionsYou might think of Alphabet just as the owner of the Google search engine and YouTube. However, there’s much more to Alphabet’s business model. Indeed, the company’s cloud-computing and cyber-defense units should prove to be significant revenue drivers during the next five years.Alphabet didn’t need to start a cybersecurity business from scratch when it could instead acquire a company already operating successfully in that field. Thus, it made perfect sense for Alphabet toacquire threat-intelligence company Mandiant.Having beenestablished in 2004, Mandiant was an early player in the American cybersecurity market. Today, Mandiant retains its brand name but is effectively part of Google Cloud.Speaking of the cloud, Google was among a small handful of businesses to earn a potentially lucrativedeal with the U.S. Defense Department. Reportedly, Google is a co-winner of a multibillion-dollar cloud-computing contract to serve the Defense Department’s Joint Warfighting Cloud Capability.Google will share a collective award valued at up to $9 billion. It’s another feather in the cap for Alphabet as the company moves far afield of the Google search engine and YouTube.So, Where Will GOOG Stock Be in Five Years?Buyers made an earnest attempt to take GOOG stock to $150 last year. External circumstances prevented a successful breakout, however.Given Alphabet’s multiple, high-conviction business interests, there’s no reason to believe the company’s shares won’t be worth $150 soon and twice that amount in five years.So, go ahead and set a target of $300 for the long term. Expect Alphabet’s interests in the cloud and cybersecurity to provide substantial revenue. Eventually, $300 should be within reach for GOOG stock. After that, you might not even want to sell your shares, even if you bought them at today’s low price.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9097437241,"gmtCreate":1645526764936,"gmtModify":1676534035978,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unlikely to have a war in Ukraine.&nbsp;","listText":"Unlikely to have a war in Ukraine.&nbsp;","text":"Unlikely to have a war in Ukraine.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097437241","repostId":"1103070840","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1103070840","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1645526355,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103070840?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-22 18:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stock Futures Rebounded","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103070840","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures rebounded.Futures on the S&P 500 changed from decline to rise, and the decline of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures rebounded.Futures on the S&amp;P 500 changed from decline to rise, and the decline of Nasdaq-100 futures narrowed to less than 0.4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b60df025ff457931d5545fe1b375edc1\" tg-width=\"419\" tg-height=\"177\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stock Futures Rebounded</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stock Futures Rebounded\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-22 18:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures rebounded.Futures on the S&amp;P 500 changed from decline to rise, and the decline of Nasdaq-100 futures narrowed to less than 0.4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b60df025ff457931d5545fe1b375edc1\" tg-width=\"419\" tg-height=\"177\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103070840","content_text":"U.S. stock futures rebounded.Futures on the S&P 500 changed from decline to rise, and the decline of Nasdaq-100 futures narrowed to less than 0.4%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032780068,"gmtCreate":1647442378569,"gmtModify":1676534230719,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes DCA some at this level&nbsp;","listText":"Yes DCA some at this level&nbsp;","text":"Yes DCA some at this level","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032780068","repostId":"1151146505","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1151146505","pubTimestamp":1647401358,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151146505?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-16 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The More It Sinks, The Better","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151146505","media":"TheStreet","summary":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-more-it-sinks-the-better","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Yesterday,I asked the question: should investors dump Apple stockat $155 before this selloff gets any uglier? On the same day, AAPL dipped to around $150 by early afternoon, suggesting that caution has been the right way to play this hand in the very short term.</p><p>But this coin has two sides. Yes, Apple stock seems to be clearly in a downtrend, along with the rest of the market. Due to a combination of high inflation, rising rates, supply chain challenges and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, bullishness is nowhere to be found.</p><p>However, history suggests that AAPL becomes a more appealing buy when the stock digs a deeper hole. Today, I look at historical trends to argue that now could be a good time to start buying Apple stock — provided investors have enough time and patience to see a turnaround.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4797cf9c26621e8daaab0233dd55a0fe\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Stock: The More It Sinks, The Better</span></p><p><b>History says: buy the dip in AAPL</b></p><p>The argument for buying AAPL stock today is illustrated by the graph below. It represents the annualized return over a three-year period, if shares are bought at certain levels below all-time highs: not in a correction of 10%, in a correction, or in bear market (i.e. 20%-plus drawdown).</p><p>The key takeaway is simple: investors that could afford to wait three years did better when they bought AAPL on the dip. The larger the decline, the better for future performance.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/267076c5cb256d98aa8927ad8037c64f\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"462\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 2: AAPL 3-year annualized returns since 2007.</span></p><p>The more subtle conclusion from the graph above is that there is a linear relationship between future returns and past declines. That is: buying a small dip is usually a good idea, but buying a larger dip has been an even better move.</p><p>Currently, Apple stock is in a drawdown of 17% (using mid-day price on Monday, March 14). Another bad day or two, and AAPL could be entering bear market territory. Bargain hunters should be paying attention.</p><p><b>When AAPL crumbles</b></p><p>There is one important observation that is not depicted above. The better gains, by far, have happened when Apple stock sank very deep into bear market — a correction of 50% or more. During the iPhone era, this has happened only once: in the Great Recession of 2008.</p><p>After correcting by more than 50%, Apple has produced average annualized returns of 68% in the following three years! Looking all the way back to the 1980 IPO, these returns would have been a smaller (but still phenomenal) 45% per year.</p><p>It is hard to tell if Apple stock will correct this much this time. But if it does, history says to back up the truck and buy as many shares as possible.</p><p><b>The key assumption</b></p><p>Buying the dip has proven successful in the past for one main reason: Apple stock has eventually recovered from a decline. This has happened because the company has become a dominant force in tech consumer devices and services.</p><p>Buying dips would probably not work going forward if Apple’s business were to deteriorate substantially. So, dip buyers must be confident in the Cupertino company’s fundamentals.</p><p>The good news is that, in my view, Apple is about as strong today as it has ever been. The pricey iPhone has become a staple around the world. The Mac is about the most desirable PC in the market. The App Store has become a necessity in the app economy of today.</p><p>For the reasons above, I would consider buying AAPL at current levels, assuming that I have the patience to hang on to my shares for a few years.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The More It Sinks, The Better</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The More It Sinks, The Better\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-16 11:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-more-it-sinks-the-better><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Yesterday,I asked the question: should investors dump Apple stockat $155 before this selloff gets any uglier? On the same day, AAPL dipped to around $150 by early afternoon, suggesting that caution ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-more-it-sinks-the-better\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-more-it-sinks-the-better","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151146505","content_text":"Yesterday,I asked the question: should investors dump Apple stockat $155 before this selloff gets any uglier? On the same day, AAPL dipped to around $150 by early afternoon, suggesting that caution has been the right way to play this hand in the very short term.But this coin has two sides. Yes, Apple stock seems to be clearly in a downtrend, along with the rest of the market. Due to a combination of high inflation, rising rates, supply chain challenges and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, bullishness is nowhere to be found.However, history suggests that AAPL becomes a more appealing buy when the stock digs a deeper hole. Today, I look at historical trends to argue that now could be a good time to start buying Apple stock — provided investors have enough time and patience to see a turnaround.Figure 1: Apple Stock: The More It Sinks, The BetterHistory says: buy the dip in AAPLThe argument for buying AAPL stock today is illustrated by the graph below. It represents the annualized return over a three-year period, if shares are bought at certain levels below all-time highs: not in a correction of 10%, in a correction, or in bear market (i.e. 20%-plus drawdown).The key takeaway is simple: investors that could afford to wait three years did better when they bought AAPL on the dip. The larger the decline, the better for future performance.Figure 2: AAPL 3-year annualized returns since 2007.The more subtle conclusion from the graph above is that there is a linear relationship between future returns and past declines. That is: buying a small dip is usually a good idea, but buying a larger dip has been an even better move.Currently, Apple stock is in a drawdown of 17% (using mid-day price on Monday, March 14). Another bad day or two, and AAPL could be entering bear market territory. Bargain hunters should be paying attention.When AAPL crumblesThere is one important observation that is not depicted above. The better gains, by far, have happened when Apple stock sank very deep into bear market — a correction of 50% or more. During the iPhone era, this has happened only once: in the Great Recession of 2008.After correcting by more than 50%, Apple has produced average annualized returns of 68% in the following three years! Looking all the way back to the 1980 IPO, these returns would have been a smaller (but still phenomenal) 45% per year.It is hard to tell if Apple stock will correct this much this time. But if it does, history says to back up the truck and buy as many shares as possible.The key assumptionBuying the dip has proven successful in the past for one main reason: Apple stock has eventually recovered from a decline. This has happened because the company has become a dominant force in tech consumer devices and services.Buying dips would probably not work going forward if Apple’s business were to deteriorate substantially. So, dip buyers must be confident in the Cupertino company’s fundamentals.The good news is that, in my view, Apple is about as strong today as it has ever been. The pricey iPhone has become a staple around the world. The Mac is about the most desirable PC in the market. The App Store has become a necessity in the app economy of today.For the reasons above, I would consider buying AAPL at current levels, assuming that I have the patience to hang on to my shares for a few years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132145022,"gmtCreate":1622077628066,"gmtModify":1704178966426,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/132145022","repostId":"1198109956","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198109956","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622072280,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198109956?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-27 07:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198109956","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":" Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.Nvidia Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.Revenue of $5.66B beats by $250M.NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash di","content":"<p>(May&nbsp;27)&nbsp;Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.</p><ul><li>Nvidia&nbsp;Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.</li><li>Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.</li></ul><p><b>Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:</b></p><ul><li>Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent&nbsp;vs. $5.48B consensus.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.</li></ul><p>Shares&nbsp;of&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;afterhour&nbsp;trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5b2493152883344459d99c9fa7aa82\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.</p><p>“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.</p><p>“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.</p><p>NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.</p><p>On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.</p><p><b>Highlights</b></p><p>NVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:</p><p><b>Gaming</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.</li><li>AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, including<i>Call of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis Remastered</i>and<i>Outriders.</i></li><li>Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated into<i>Call of Duty Warzone</i>,<i>Overwatch</i>and<i>Rainbow Six</i><i>: Siege</i>.</li><li>Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.</li></ul><p><b>Data Center</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.</li><li>Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.</li><li>Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.</li><li>Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.</li><li>Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.</li><li>Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.</li><li>Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.</li><li>Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.</li><li>Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.</li></ul><p><b>Professional Visualization</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.</li><li>Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.</li></ul><p><b>Automotive</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.</li><li>AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.</li><li>Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.</li><li>Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™&nbsp;to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.</li><li>Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.</li><li>Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.</li></ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-27 07:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(May&nbsp;27)&nbsp;Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.</p><ul><li>Nvidia&nbsp;Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.</li><li>Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.</li></ul><p><b>Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:</b></p><ul><li>Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent&nbsp;vs. $5.48B consensus.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.</li></ul><p>Shares&nbsp;of&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;afterhour&nbsp;trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5b2493152883344459d99c9fa7aa82\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.</p><p>“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.</p><p>“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.</p><p>NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.</p><p>On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.</p><p><b>Highlights</b></p><p>NVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:</p><p><b>Gaming</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.</li><li>AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, including<i>Call of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis Remastered</i>and<i>Outriders.</i></li><li>Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated into<i>Call of Duty Warzone</i>,<i>Overwatch</i>and<i>Rainbow Six</i><i>: Siege</i>.</li><li>Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.</li></ul><p><b>Data Center</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.</li><li>Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.</li><li>Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.</li><li>Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.</li><li>Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.</li><li>Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.</li><li>Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.</li><li>Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.</li><li>Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.</li></ul><p><b>Professional Visualization</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.</li><li>Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.</li></ul><p><b>Automotive</b></p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.</li><li>AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.</li><li>Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.</li><li>Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™&nbsp;to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.</li><li>Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.</li><li>Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.</li></ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198109956","content_text":"(May 27) Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.Nvidia Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent vs. $5.48B consensus.GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.Shares of Nvidia fell nearly 1% in afterhour trading.“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.HighlightsNVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:GamingFirst-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, includingCall of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis RemasteredandOutriders.Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated intoCall of Duty Warzone,OverwatchandRainbow Six: Siege.Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.Data CenterFirst-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.Professional VisualizationFirst-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.AutomotiveFirst-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™ to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197195476340880,"gmtCreate":1689148585555,"gmtModify":1689148588736,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ME8U.SI\">$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ME8U.SI\">$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/197195476340880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961151528,"gmtCreate":1668901526964,"gmtModify":1676538124820,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes buy more if you have not reach your full&nbsp;allocation for this stock.&nbsp;","listText":"Yes buy more if you have not reach your full&nbsp;allocation for this stock.&nbsp;","text":"Yes buy more if you have not reach your full allocation for this stock.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961151528","repostId":"2284050719","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284050719","pubTimestamp":1668771546,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2284050719?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-18 19:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"You Can Now Buy Amazon's Stock With A Margin Of Safety","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284050719","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAmazon's stock is down more than 47% from its high.There may be some company-specific reasons","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><h2>Summary</h2><li>Amazon&#39;s stock is down more than 47% from its high.</li><li>There may be some company-specific reasons but the current bear market is probably a bigger factor in the drop.</li><li>Amazon’s retail business has its low margins and high investments but it&#39;s essential for the overall business. That&#39;s why we give a full overview.</li><li>Next to AWS, two more internal giants are growing fast and still have a long runway.</li><li>The best way to value Amazon is probably OCF and it shows that there&#39;s a margin of safety at the current valuation.</li><li>I do much more than just articles at Best Anchor Stocks: Members get access to model portfolios, regular updates, a chat room, and more.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a963791626014d456e1aaa93ac2ea95\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>Introduction</h2><p>The market has significantly punished Amazon’s (NASDAQ:AMZN) stock this year. As of the moment of this writing, the stock is down almost 47% from its most recent highs:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fae1b427c6bfc57ec36440685ed2501f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>While there are undoubtedly some company-specific reasons for this steep decline, we believe that the current market environment and investors’ short-termism have a much higher weight on the stock price.</p><p>In this article, we will explain why retail is critical for Amazon despite its poor financials and discuss some long-term opportunities for the company.</p><p>Without further ado, let’s get started.</p><h2>The importance of retail</h2><p>Most people mainly know Amazon for its retail business. Ask anyone on the street what Amazon does, and they’ll most likely tell you that Amazon is an e-commerce retailer. However, this is precisely the part of the business that investors dislike the most due to its poor margins and high investment needs.</p><p>The investment community has long discussed a potential spinoff of AWS (Amazon Web Services) so that investors can choose what part of Amazon they want to hold. We know it might be controversial, but given the opportunity to hold AWS or the rest of Amazon, we would probably choose to hold both.</p><p>Amazon’s retail business is responsible for many essential business lines and is shifting toward a more profitable model, the third-party model or 3P. It’s also an integral part of the company’s moat and why other businesses, such as Ads and Prime membership, have a long runway ahead. Yes, AWS can survive without retail, but we must not forget that AWS was born from an internal solution the company found while trying to scale its retail business. It’s not dependent on retail anymore, but it does exist thanks to retail.</p><p>Amazon is a huge company and it may be difficult to untangle all the threads. That&#39;s why we have prepared a graph with an overview of Amazon’s businesses:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1429da55d7518fb94668f19e8f3ba35\" tg-width=\"1230\" tg-height=\"914\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Made by Best Anchor Stocks</p><p>As you can see in the graph, retail fuels several of the company’s businesses, some of which are lucrative and have very high margins. These adjacent businesses have many years of growth ahead, in many cases protected from disruptors thanks to the company’s investments in retail throughout the last two decades.</p><h2>The long-term opportunities</h2><p>The stock price’s performance this year could make investors believe it’s not day 1 at Amazon anymore, even though the main building at Amazon&#39;s headquarters is called Day 1.</p><p>Retail already is a massive business and will be heavily impacted if we go into recession. We accept both of these claims are true, but many investors are staying away from Amazon due to what can happen over the next one to two years, completely ignoring what could drive the company to new heights over the next decade.</p><p>Let’s go over some of Amazon’s long-term opportunities.</p><h2>Amazon Web Services - Leading the shift to the cloud</h2><p>AWS is the growth driver that every investor talks about. Companies are increasingly shifting their tech infrastructure from their premises to the cloud. However, the shift to the cloud is costly due to the required big investments in infrastructure, so these companies increasingly rely on third-party providers. AWS is the clear leader thanks to its first-mover advantage:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed1ee76f811e0199bc3c5694c6fe588a\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"420\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Synergy Research Group</p><p>There are many advantages to using the <i>hyperscalers</i> (Amazon, Microsoft (MSFT), and Google (GOOG) (GOOGL)). The first and most obvious one is flexibility. If customers were to invest in their own infrastructure, this would create massive capital needs and little ability to control costs during times of lower usage. Instead, by relying on third-party providers, these customers have now transformed a fixed expense into a variable expense, thereby allowing them to be flexible according to their needs and the macroeconomic context.</p><p>The pandemic was a warning sign for every company to invest in their tech infrastructure. Consumers and employees increasingly spend their time online, creating a need for a tech infrastructure that allows fast scalability, development, and rollout. The cloud provides just this.</p><p>According to several market research firms, the global cloud computing industry is expected to grow at a mid-teens yearly, reaching a size of over $1.5 trillion by the end of the decade. With the industry increasingly consolidating around hyperscalers, AWS will directly benefit from this growth.</p><p>Margins already are high at AWS, but it still requires high capex. The company is currently investing significant amounts to building AWS regions around the world in anticipation of future growth, but the potential for being a stable cash cow is clearly visible. Cloud also has high switching costs, so the growth opportunity comes with significant pricing power attached to it.</p><h2>Advertising - Another giant in the making</h2><p>Many investors ask themselves if Amazon will ever come up with yet another AWS. We shouldn’t make direct comparisons, but its advertising business might be another giant in the making.</p><p>Amazon Ads is the company’s digital advertising offering, which has several parts to it. The most “well-known” part and where Amazon’s competitive position is stronger is in its <b>Marketplace Ads</b>. It’s easy to spot these ads, and it’s also easy to understand why they are doing so well.</p><p>If you open Amazon, you’ll see a variety of offers. Some of these offers are things you have already bought and might want to buy on a recurrent basis, others will be offers based on what you have searched for but not yet purchased, and others will be ads. You can spot ads because they have a “sponsored” tag beneath them.</p><p>Amazon’s shoppers typically come to the website with a purchase in mind, so there’s high intent in every interaction that happens on the marketplace. This intent, together with Amazon’s first-party data, is what makes Amazon Ads so powerful.</p><p>Advertisers on Amazon’s marketplace know that conversion rates for their ads are much higher than in other platforms where there&#39;s no buying intention. Amazon’s first-party data also allow it to “boost” this intent by showing the most relevant ads based on what the user has searched for in the marketplace. Marketplace Ads are Amazon’s bread and butter and are insulated from Apple’s IDFA changes:</p><blockquote><i>Advertisers are looking for effective advertising, and our advertising is at the point where customers are ready to spend.</i></blockquote><blockquote>Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon&#39;s CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings call</blockquote><p>Amazon Ads launched 10 years ago, but it was only recently that the company started focusing on its growth. As a result, Ads is now a +$30 billion business, growing at 30% in the most recent quarter despite the broad ad industry going through tough times:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/675b8a9f54623fe5635090fe6cf842e3\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"861\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Made by Best Anchor Stocks</p><p>Amazon Ads is made up of much more than “just” marketplace Ads, though. Leveraging platforms such as Fire, Twitch and Amazon Music, the company also offers “external” ad services. Despite these platforms being outside the marketplace, a prime member accesses them using the same user login, so Amazon can leverage first-party data here too. Unfortunately, Amazon bundles its Ad Revenues, so it’s difficult to understand how each part is performing individually.</p><p>Amazon Ads is a great business and is mostly dependent on retail. When merged with Ads &#39; operating margins, I wonder how the retail business margins will look in a couple of years.</p><p>The opportunity for Ads is obvious. Amazon’s marketplace is increasingly shifting to 3P sellers, which are evidently the ones that purchase these ads:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37468bff388b1951e8910f50a4bd0b51\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"863\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Made by Best Anchor Stocks</p><p>We anticipate this trend will continue going forward, helping the Ads business’ growth. As Amazon grows its prime memberships and its activity on the marketplace, impressions will increase, and the first-party data will be more robust to continue driving conversion. Amazon doesn’t separately disclose the profitability of its Ads business, but operating margins as high as those of Meta may be achievable. When nobody thought Amazon could come up with another cash engine like AWS, the company did just that in plain sight.</p><p>An investor willing to forfeit retail must be ready to forfeit Ads too.</p><h2>Prime membership - significant pricing power in the bundle</h2><p>The Amazon Prime membership bundles many of the company’s benefits for consumers. Prime is a subscription service through which consumers pay an annual fee in exchange for having access to a series of “Prime” benefits:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a294488707fe680704f9de60d5810c9\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Amazon</p><p>We will not go into detail into each of these benefits, but it seems clear that the main benefit is on the eCommerce side. Most people becomes a prime member due to fast and free shipping and Prime day. Again, this shows how important retail is for the overall company despite not being the best business in isolation.</p><p>Throughout the years, Amazon has built various segments on top of its Shipping benefits, increasing switching costs and even diversifying the top of the funnel. One example of the latter is Amazon’s recent 11-year partnership with the NFL to offer Thursday Night Football. The event was record-breaking when it comes to signups:</p><blockquote><i>NFL Thursday Night Football also premiered in September, averaging more than 15 million viewers during its first broadcast and driving the three biggest hours of US Prime sign-ups in the history of Amazon.</i></blockquote><blockquote>Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings call</blockquote><p>Amazon aims to give prime subscribers free and fast shipping, a “Spotify,” and a “Netflix,” among others. By offering such a broad range of services, the company can increase switching costs and widen the top of the funnel. The former will help with pricing power going forward, while the latter should help with volume growth. Prime gives a ton of value, according to JPMorgan&#39;s calculations:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e09c4434cded94b49c8a6856911d690\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>JP Morgan</p><p>There’s a high probability Amazon will be able to realize significant price hikes in the future without seeing too much churn. 94% of prime members who have subscribed for a year subscribe for a second, and 98% who subscribe for two years renew for a third. We&#39;re already starting to see this play out:</p><blockquote><i>On the Prime fee increase earlier in the year, we’re happy with the results we’re seeing in the Prime program. Prime membership retention is still strong, the change has been above our expectations positively.</i></blockquote><blockquote>Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon&#39;s CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings call</blockquote><p>Amazon has built a large and loyal customer base through this broad offering. Let’s look at some numbers.</p><p>There are currently around 200 million prime members globally, 150 million of which are in the US. Growth has been strong over the last decade, although it’s expected to plateau in the next couple of years:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d45077e16946ccf5e3066109b4360715\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"584\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Backlinco.com</p><p>It’s normal for growth to plateau here. At almost 160 million prime subscribers, Amazon has close to a 50% penetration in the US. This number is higher if one excludes kids, for example. At these penetration rates and based on the value that the Prime subscription offers its members, there’s a significant opportunity to grow in price here.</p><p>The better opportunity comes from international markets, though. Amazon disclosed in Q1 2021 that it had surpassed 200 million global Prime members. Subtract US Prime members from this number, and we get to around 50 - 60 million international Prime members. This number is significant, but there’s still a long runway to grow in volume.</p><p>The international opportunity is even greater if we consider that Prime is much cheaper in international markets than in the US. Let’s look at the example of Spain.</p><p>Spotify and the lowest-tier Netflix subscriptions would cost ara Spanish citizen around €215 per year. Spotify costs €9.99/month, and Netflix’s low-tier costs €7.99/month. A Spanish citizen pays €36/year for an Amazon Prime membership. Amazon Music Unlimited is not currently included in the Prime membership, so we should add that to make it a fair comparison. With Amazon Music, the total would be €156 per year. This means you’d have access to Netflix (Prime Video), Spotify (Amazon Music), fast shipping, and other benefits for 39% less.</p><p>Yes, Amazon Music is not as good as Spotify, and Prime Video still lags Netflix, but the gap is closing thanks to Amazon’s investments. When this gap closes, would a Spanish citizen cancel their Amazon Prime subscription after a 100% price hike? It seems highly unlikely.</p><p>Price and volume will drive international, although competition will be more intense than in the US.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>Amazon&#39;s valuation has always been a controversial subject. Probably the best way to value it is operating cash flow. Amazon&#39;s stock price has followed its OCF evolution almost perfectly. It&#39;s also no surprise, then, that when operating cash flow went down substantially, the stock dived too. But it has now overcorrected, especially if you look into the future. I think this graph shows more than all the words I could write.</p><h2><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2ac4cf5246f9d8440012d68f49a2b0c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h2><p>FAST Graphs</p><p>The blue line shows the average OCF valuation of Amazon&#39;s stock, which happens to be almost identical as the OCF growth: 25% growth, an OCF multiple of 25. Of course, this is no coincidence. When you see how much the Operational Cash Flow is expected to grow in the next few years, I think this shows why we rate Amazon as a strong buy now. Even if the growth is not as high as expected, there&#39;s probably a margin of safety here. As you can see on the graph, in the past 15 years, it has not often happened that you could buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p>As we know, anything can happen in the stock market. There are no guarantees. But this seems to be an excellent price to buy Amazon shares and hold them for the long term.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>All in all, despite Amazon stock&#39;s recent poor performance, there are many reasons to remain optimistic with a long-term view. Amazon is still reinvesting significantly into its business which we think is pushing back short-term investors. Nobody wants to own Amazon unless they take a long-term view.</p><p>In the meantime, keep growing!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>You Can Now Buy Amazon's Stock With A Margin Of Safety</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYou Can Now Buy Amazon's Stock With A Margin Of Safety\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 19:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558760-buy-amazon-stock-with-a-margin-of-safety><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAmazon's stock is down more than 47% from its high.There may be some company-specific reasons but the current bear market is probably a bigger factor in the drop.Amazon’s retail business has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558760-buy-amazon-stock-with-a-margin-of-safety\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4558760-buy-amazon-stock-with-a-margin-of-safety","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2284050719","content_text":"SummaryAmazon's stock is down more than 47% from its high.There may be some company-specific reasons but the current bear market is probably a bigger factor in the drop.Amazon’s retail business has its low margins and high investments but it's essential for the overall business. That's why we give a full overview.Next to AWS, two more internal giants are growing fast and still have a long runway.The best way to value Amazon is probably OCF and it shows that there's a margin of safety at the current valuation.I do much more than just articles at Best Anchor Stocks: Members get access to model portfolios, regular updates, a chat room, and more.IntroductionThe market has significantly punished Amazon’s (NASDAQ:AMZN) stock this year. As of the moment of this writing, the stock is down almost 47% from its most recent highs:Data by YChartsWhile there are undoubtedly some company-specific reasons for this steep decline, we believe that the current market environment and investors’ short-termism have a much higher weight on the stock price.In this article, we will explain why retail is critical for Amazon despite its poor financials and discuss some long-term opportunities for the company.Without further ado, let’s get started.The importance of retailMost people mainly know Amazon for its retail business. Ask anyone on the street what Amazon does, and they’ll most likely tell you that Amazon is an e-commerce retailer. However, this is precisely the part of the business that investors dislike the most due to its poor margins and high investment needs.The investment community has long discussed a potential spinoff of AWS (Amazon Web Services) so that investors can choose what part of Amazon they want to hold. We know it might be controversial, but given the opportunity to hold AWS or the rest of Amazon, we would probably choose to hold both.Amazon’s retail business is responsible for many essential business lines and is shifting toward a more profitable model, the third-party model or 3P. It’s also an integral part of the company’s moat and why other businesses, such as Ads and Prime membership, have a long runway ahead. Yes, AWS can survive without retail, but we must not forget that AWS was born from an internal solution the company found while trying to scale its retail business. It’s not dependent on retail anymore, but it does exist thanks to retail.Amazon is a huge company and it may be difficult to untangle all the threads. That's why we have prepared a graph with an overview of Amazon’s businesses:Made by Best Anchor StocksAs you can see in the graph, retail fuels several of the company’s businesses, some of which are lucrative and have very high margins. These adjacent businesses have many years of growth ahead, in many cases protected from disruptors thanks to the company’s investments in retail throughout the last two decades.The long-term opportunitiesThe stock price’s performance this year could make investors believe it’s not day 1 at Amazon anymore, even though the main building at Amazon's headquarters is called Day 1.Retail already is a massive business and will be heavily impacted if we go into recession. We accept both of these claims are true, but many investors are staying away from Amazon due to what can happen over the next one to two years, completely ignoring what could drive the company to new heights over the next decade.Let’s go over some of Amazon’s long-term opportunities.Amazon Web Services - Leading the shift to the cloudAWS is the growth driver that every investor talks about. Companies are increasingly shifting their tech infrastructure from their premises to the cloud. However, the shift to the cloud is costly due to the required big investments in infrastructure, so these companies increasingly rely on third-party providers. AWS is the clear leader thanks to its first-mover advantage:Synergy Research GroupThere are many advantages to using the hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft (MSFT), and Google (GOOG) (GOOGL)). The first and most obvious one is flexibility. If customers were to invest in their own infrastructure, this would create massive capital needs and little ability to control costs during times of lower usage. Instead, by relying on third-party providers, these customers have now transformed a fixed expense into a variable expense, thereby allowing them to be flexible according to their needs and the macroeconomic context.The pandemic was a warning sign for every company to invest in their tech infrastructure. Consumers and employees increasingly spend their time online, creating a need for a tech infrastructure that allows fast scalability, development, and rollout. The cloud provides just this.According to several market research firms, the global cloud computing industry is expected to grow at a mid-teens yearly, reaching a size of over $1.5 trillion by the end of the decade. With the industry increasingly consolidating around hyperscalers, AWS will directly benefit from this growth.Margins already are high at AWS, but it still requires high capex. The company is currently investing significant amounts to building AWS regions around the world in anticipation of future growth, but the potential for being a stable cash cow is clearly visible. Cloud also has high switching costs, so the growth opportunity comes with significant pricing power attached to it.Advertising - Another giant in the makingMany investors ask themselves if Amazon will ever come up with yet another AWS. We shouldn’t make direct comparisons, but its advertising business might be another giant in the making.Amazon Ads is the company’s digital advertising offering, which has several parts to it. The most “well-known” part and where Amazon’s competitive position is stronger is in its Marketplace Ads. It’s easy to spot these ads, and it’s also easy to understand why they are doing so well.If you open Amazon, you’ll see a variety of offers. Some of these offers are things you have already bought and might want to buy on a recurrent basis, others will be offers based on what you have searched for but not yet purchased, and others will be ads. You can spot ads because they have a “sponsored” tag beneath them.Amazon’s shoppers typically come to the website with a purchase in mind, so there’s high intent in every interaction that happens on the marketplace. This intent, together with Amazon’s first-party data, is what makes Amazon Ads so powerful.Advertisers on Amazon’s marketplace know that conversion rates for their ads are much higher than in other platforms where there's no buying intention. Amazon’s first-party data also allow it to “boost” this intent by showing the most relevant ads based on what the user has searched for in the marketplace. Marketplace Ads are Amazon’s bread and butter and are insulated from Apple’s IDFA changes:Advertisers are looking for effective advertising, and our advertising is at the point where customers are ready to spend.Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon's CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings callAmazon Ads launched 10 years ago, but it was only recently that the company started focusing on its growth. As a result, Ads is now a +$30 billion business, growing at 30% in the most recent quarter despite the broad ad industry going through tough times:Made by Best Anchor StocksAmazon Ads is made up of much more than “just” marketplace Ads, though. Leveraging platforms such as Fire, Twitch and Amazon Music, the company also offers “external” ad services. Despite these platforms being outside the marketplace, a prime member accesses them using the same user login, so Amazon can leverage first-party data here too. Unfortunately, Amazon bundles its Ad Revenues, so it’s difficult to understand how each part is performing individually.Amazon Ads is a great business and is mostly dependent on retail. When merged with Ads ' operating margins, I wonder how the retail business margins will look in a couple of years.The opportunity for Ads is obvious. Amazon’s marketplace is increasingly shifting to 3P sellers, which are evidently the ones that purchase these ads:Made by Best Anchor StocksWe anticipate this trend will continue going forward, helping the Ads business’ growth. As Amazon grows its prime memberships and its activity on the marketplace, impressions will increase, and the first-party data will be more robust to continue driving conversion. Amazon doesn’t separately disclose the profitability of its Ads business, but operating margins as high as those of Meta may be achievable. When nobody thought Amazon could come up with another cash engine like AWS, the company did just that in plain sight.An investor willing to forfeit retail must be ready to forfeit Ads too.Prime membership - significant pricing power in the bundleThe Amazon Prime membership bundles many of the company’s benefits for consumers. Prime is a subscription service through which consumers pay an annual fee in exchange for having access to a series of “Prime” benefits:AmazonWe will not go into detail into each of these benefits, but it seems clear that the main benefit is on the eCommerce side. Most people becomes a prime member due to fast and free shipping and Prime day. Again, this shows how important retail is for the overall company despite not being the best business in isolation.Throughout the years, Amazon has built various segments on top of its Shipping benefits, increasing switching costs and even diversifying the top of the funnel. One example of the latter is Amazon’s recent 11-year partnership with the NFL to offer Thursday Night Football. The event was record-breaking when it comes to signups:NFL Thursday Night Football also premiered in September, averaging more than 15 million viewers during its first broadcast and driving the three biggest hours of US Prime sign-ups in the history of Amazon.Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings callAmazon aims to give prime subscribers free and fast shipping, a “Spotify,” and a “Netflix,” among others. By offering such a broad range of services, the company can increase switching costs and widen the top of the funnel. The former will help with pricing power going forward, while the latter should help with volume growth. Prime gives a ton of value, according to JPMorgan's calculations:JP MorganThere’s a high probability Amazon will be able to realize significant price hikes in the future without seeing too much churn. 94% of prime members who have subscribed for a year subscribe for a second, and 98% who subscribe for two years renew for a third. We're already starting to see this play out:On the Prime fee increase earlier in the year, we’re happy with the results we’re seeing in the Prime program. Prime membership retention is still strong, the change has been above our expectations positively.Source: Brian Olsavsky (Amazon's CFO) during the Q3 2022 earnings callAmazon has built a large and loyal customer base through this broad offering. Let’s look at some numbers.There are currently around 200 million prime members globally, 150 million of which are in the US. Growth has been strong over the last decade, although it’s expected to plateau in the next couple of years:Backlinco.comIt’s normal for growth to plateau here. At almost 160 million prime subscribers, Amazon has close to a 50% penetration in the US. This number is higher if one excludes kids, for example. At these penetration rates and based on the value that the Prime subscription offers its members, there’s a significant opportunity to grow in price here.The better opportunity comes from international markets, though. Amazon disclosed in Q1 2021 that it had surpassed 200 million global Prime members. Subtract US Prime members from this number, and we get to around 50 - 60 million international Prime members. This number is significant, but there’s still a long runway to grow in volume.The international opportunity is even greater if we consider that Prime is much cheaper in international markets than in the US. Let’s look at the example of Spain.Spotify and the lowest-tier Netflix subscriptions would cost ara Spanish citizen around €215 per year. Spotify costs €9.99/month, and Netflix’s low-tier costs €7.99/month. A Spanish citizen pays €36/year for an Amazon Prime membership. Amazon Music Unlimited is not currently included in the Prime membership, so we should add that to make it a fair comparison. With Amazon Music, the total would be €156 per year. This means you’d have access to Netflix (Prime Video), Spotify (Amazon Music), fast shipping, and other benefits for 39% less.Yes, Amazon Music is not as good as Spotify, and Prime Video still lags Netflix, but the gap is closing thanks to Amazon’s investments. When this gap closes, would a Spanish citizen cancel their Amazon Prime subscription after a 100% price hike? It seems highly unlikely.Price and volume will drive international, although competition will be more intense than in the US.ValuationAmazon's valuation has always been a controversial subject. Probably the best way to value it is operating cash flow. Amazon's stock price has followed its OCF evolution almost perfectly. It's also no surprise, then, that when operating cash flow went down substantially, the stock dived too. But it has now overcorrected, especially if you look into the future. I think this graph shows more than all the words I could write.FAST GraphsThe blue line shows the average OCF valuation of Amazon's stock, which happens to be almost identical as the OCF growth: 25% growth, an OCF multiple of 25. Of course, this is no coincidence. When you see how much the Operational Cash Flow is expected to grow in the next few years, I think this shows why we rate Amazon as a strong buy now. Even if the growth is not as high as expected, there's probably a margin of safety here. As you can see on the graph, in the past 15 years, it has not often happened that you could buy Amazon at a discount.As we know, anything can happen in the stock market. There are no guarantees. But this seems to be an excellent price to buy Amazon shares and hold them for the long term.ConclusionAll in all, despite Amazon stock's recent poor performance, there are many reasons to remain optimistic with a long-term view. Amazon is still reinvesting significantly into its business which we think is pushing back short-term investors. Nobody wants to own Amazon unless they take a long-term view.In the meantime, keep growing!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969219003,"gmtCreate":1668463357302,"gmtModify":1676538058405,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Error. Please rectify&nbsp; Webpage not available The webpage at tg:resolve?domain=TigerBrokersOptions could not be loaded because: net::ERR_UNKNOWN_URL_SCHEME","listText":"Error. Please rectify&nbsp; Webpage not available The webpage at tg:resolve?domain=TigerBrokersOptions could not be loaded because: net::ERR_UNKNOWN_URL_SCHEME","text":"Error. Please rectify Webpage not available The webpage at tg:resolve?domain=TigerBrokersOptions could not be loaded because: net::ERR_UNKNOWN_URL_SCHEME","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969219003","repostId":"1125742292","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125742292","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1668419126,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125742292?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-14 17:45","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Option Movers｜Nio to Hit $12 This Week? Over 75% Call Option Focused on It","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125742292","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Market OverviewThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Friday, extending a rally started the day befo","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Market Overview</h2><p>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Friday, extending a rally started the day before after a soft inflation reading.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.92%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.88%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%.</p><p>Regarding the options market, a total volume of 54,158,114 contracts was traded on Friday, up 2.8% from the previous trading day.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p>Top 10: SPY, QQQ, TSLA, AMZN, AAPL, META, IWM, VIX, AMD, TQQQ</p><p>Options related to equity index ETFs are top choices for investors, with8.78 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> and 3.57 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> options contracts trading on Friday.</p><p>Total trading volume for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> rose 2.9% and 13.69%, respectively, from the previous day. 52% of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> trades bet on bearish options.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a4dde1805ee85c04210329561a1edc6\" tg-width=\"459\" tg-height=\"930\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a></b> gained 5.7% on Friday after it launched its latest data center chip and said Microsoft&#39;s Azure, Alphabet-owned Google Cloud and Oracle would be some of its customers.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d56aa4e314d26b311e8b809f1b6207b3\" tg-width=\"1020\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p>The fourth generation EPYC processor, code named &#34;Genoa&#34;, makes significant improvement on performance and energy efficiency compared with its previous chip, said Chief Executive Lisa Su.</p><p>There were 924,000 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a> </b>options trading on Friday. Call options account for60% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $75 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 25,151 contracts trading on Friday.</p><h2>Unusual Options Activity</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b840ee84ea8416123b2c8b9539c618af\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"208\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a></b> surged 12.84% on Friday though it cut over 60 jobs in its recruiting and institutional onboarding teams.</p><p>Moreover, Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto empire filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in Delaware, capping a rapid downfall for his companies.</p><p>There were 412,100 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a></b> options trading on Friday. Put options account for 66% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $55 strike put option expiring November 18th, with 6,940 contracts trading on Friday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4b7dbe1cb7cb3f4837500ae0b08ff3a\" tg-width=\"1008\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b> soared 11.8% on Friday and rose 24.97% after posting its financial results. It reported a bigger loss forQ3 and expects deliveries to rise as much as 91.7% in the current quarter.</p><p>Moreover, China eased some of its COVID-19 rules. The country reduced quarantine by two days for those who come in close contact with infected people, and for inbound travelers, and also scrapped a penalty for airlines for bringing in many cases.</p><p>There were 364,700 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b> options trading on Friday. Call options account for 76% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $12 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 12,773 contracts trading on Friday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7221d5d33cb1aece8c71292b86c24a01\" tg-width=\"1011\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><h2>TOP Bullish &amp; Bearish Single Stocks</h2><p>This report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).</p><p>If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.</p><p>Top 10 bullish stocks: BITO, INVZ, PYPL, MSFT, QFIN, META, WE, RIG, SHOP, ABNB</p><p>Top 10 bearish stocks: SPY, SOFI, AMZN, TSLA, ASHR, TLRY, AAPL, ARKK, LVS, NVDA</p><h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fee2df215c1b552a6da8855abd0278d\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p>If you are interested in options and you want to:</h2><ul><li>Share experiences and ideas on options trading.</li></ul><ul><li>Read options-related market updates/insights.</li></ul><ul><li>Learn more about options trading if you are a beginner in this field.</li></ul><p>Please click to join <a href=\"https://t.me/TigerBrokersOptions\" target=\"_blank\">Tiger Options Club</a></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Option Movers｜Nio to Hit $12 This Week? Over 75% Call Option Focused on It</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOption Movers｜Nio to Hit $12 This Week? Over 75% Call Option Focused on It\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-14 17:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h2>Market Overview</h2><p>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Friday, extending a rally started the day before after a soft inflation reading.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.92%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.88%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%.</p><p>Regarding the options market, a total volume of 54,158,114 contracts was traded on Friday, up 2.8% from the previous trading day.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p>Top 10: SPY, QQQ, TSLA, AMZN, AAPL, META, IWM, VIX, AMD, TQQQ</p><p>Options related to equity index ETFs are top choices for investors, with8.78 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> and 3.57 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> options contracts trading on Friday.</p><p>Total trading volume for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> rose 2.9% and 13.69%, respectively, from the previous day. 52% of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPY</a></b> trades bet on bearish options.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a4dde1805ee85c04210329561a1edc6\" tg-width=\"459\" tg-height=\"930\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a></b> gained 5.7% on Friday after it launched its latest data center chip and said Microsoft&#39;s Azure, Alphabet-owned Google Cloud and Oracle would be some of its customers.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d56aa4e314d26b311e8b809f1b6207b3\" tg-width=\"1020\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p>The fourth generation EPYC processor, code named &#34;Genoa&#34;, makes significant improvement on performance and energy efficiency compared with its previous chip, said Chief Executive Lisa Su.</p><p>There were 924,000 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a> </b>options trading on Friday. Call options account for60% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $75 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 25,151 contracts trading on Friday.</p><h2>Unusual Options Activity</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b840ee84ea8416123b2c8b9539c618af\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"208\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a></b> surged 12.84% on Friday though it cut over 60 jobs in its recruiting and institutional onboarding teams.</p><p>Moreover, Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto empire filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in Delaware, capping a rapid downfall for his companies.</p><p>There were 412,100 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a></b> options trading on Friday. Put options account for 66% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $55 strike put option expiring November 18th, with 6,940 contracts trading on Friday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4b7dbe1cb7cb3f4837500ae0b08ff3a\" tg-width=\"1008\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b> soared 11.8% on Friday and rose 24.97% after posting its financial results. It reported a bigger loss forQ3 and expects deliveries to rise as much as 91.7% in the current quarter.</p><p>Moreover, China eased some of its COVID-19 rules. The country reduced quarantine by two days for those who come in close contact with infected people, and for inbound travelers, and also scrapped a penalty for airlines for bringing in many cases.</p><p>There were 364,700 <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b> options trading on Friday. Call options account for 76% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $12 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 12,773 contracts trading on Friday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7221d5d33cb1aece8c71292b86c24a01\" tg-width=\"1011\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade app</span></p><h2>TOP Bullish &amp; Bearish Single Stocks</h2><p>This report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).</p><p>If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.</p><p>Top 10 bullish stocks: BITO, INVZ, PYPL, MSFT, QFIN, META, WE, RIG, SHOP, ABNB</p><p>Top 10 bearish stocks: SPY, SOFI, AMZN, TSLA, ASHR, TLRY, AAPL, ARKK, LVS, NVDA</p><h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fee2df215c1b552a6da8855abd0278d\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p>If you are interested in options and you want to:</h2><ul><li>Share experiences and ideas on options trading.</li></ul><ul><li>Read options-related market updates/insights.</li></ul><ul><li>Learn more about options trading if you are a beginner in this field.</li></ul><p>Please click to join <a href=\"https://t.me/TigerBrokersOptions\" target=\"_blank\">Tiger Options Club</a></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","NIO":"蔚来","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125742292","content_text":"Market OverviewThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Friday, extending a rally started the day before after a soft inflation reading.The S&P 500 gained 0.92%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.88%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 54,158,114 contracts was traded on Friday, up 2.8% from the previous trading day.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: SPY, QQQ, TSLA, AMZN, AAPL, META, IWM, VIX, AMD, TQQQOptions related to equity index ETFs are top choices for investors, with8.78 million SPY and 3.57 million Invesco QQQ Trust options contracts trading on Friday.Total trading volume for SPY and Invesco QQQ Trust rose 2.9% and 13.69%, respectively, from the previous day. 52% of SPY trades bet on bearish options.Source: Tiger Trade appAMD gained 5.7% on Friday after it launched its latest data center chip and said Microsoft's Azure, Alphabet-owned Google Cloud and Oracle would be some of its customers.Source: Tiger Trade appThe fourth generation EPYC processor, code named \"Genoa\", makes significant improvement on performance and energy efficiency compared with its previous chip, said Chief Executive Lisa Su.There were 924,000 AMD options trading on Friday. Call options account for60% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $75 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 25,151 contracts trading on Friday.Unusual Options ActivitySource: Market ChameleonCoinbase Global, Inc. surged 12.84% on Friday though it cut over 60 jobs in its recruiting and institutional onboarding teams.Moreover, Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto empire filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in Delaware, capping a rapid downfall for his companies.There were 412,100 Coinbase Global, Inc. options trading on Friday. Put options account for 66% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $55 strike put option expiring November 18th, with 6,940 contracts trading on Friday.Source: Tiger Trade appNIO Inc. soared 11.8% on Friday and rose 24.97% after posting its financial results. It reported a bigger loss forQ3 and expects deliveries to rise as much as 91.7% in the current quarter.Moreover, China eased some of its COVID-19 rules. The country reduced quarantine by two days for those who come in close contact with infected people, and for inbound travelers, and also scrapped a penalty for airlines for bringing in many cases.There were 364,700 NIO Inc. options trading on Friday. Call options account for 76% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $12 strike call option expiring November 18th, with 12,773 contracts trading on Friday.Source: Tiger Trade appTOP Bullish & Bearish Single StocksThis report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.Top 10 bullish stocks: BITO, INVZ, PYPL, MSFT, QFIN, META, WE, RIG, SHOP, ABNBTop 10 bearish stocks: SPY, SOFI, AMZN, TSLA, ASHR, TLRY, AAPL, ARKK, LVS, NVDASource: Market ChameleonIf you are interested in options and you want to:Share experiences and ideas on options trading.Read options-related market updates/insights.Learn more about options trading if you are a beginner in this field.Please click to join Tiger Options Club","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987479698,"gmtCreate":1667975617214,"gmtModify":1676537993412,"author":{"id":"3582108915030367","authorId":"3582108915030367","authorIdStr":"3582108915030367","name":"JWC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978eeb062603a91803b57706c8a92255","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582108915030367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If you have surplus cash should buy now.","listText":"If you have surplus cash should buy now.","text":"If you have surplus cash should buy now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987479698","repostId":"2281606495","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2281606495","pubTimestamp":1667973226,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2281606495?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-09 13:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Once-in-a-Decade Buying Opportunity: 2 Trillion-Dollar Growth Stocks Near a 52-Week Low","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2281606495","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These tech titans have woven themselves into the fabric of everyday life.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>At the end of 2021, tech giants <b>Alphabet</b> and <b>Microsoft</b> were collectively worth more than $4.4 trillion. But that figure has fallen to $2.7 trillion over the last 10 months, showcasing how much investor sentiment has soured in response to lingering inflation and quickly rising interest rates.</p><p>Since last peaking, Alphabet and Microsoft have seen their share prices plunge 44% and 38%, respectively, leaving both stocks near a 52-week low. Neither company has seen a sell-off of that magnitude at any point in the past 10 years, which makes this a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity.</p><p>Here&#39;s what investors should know.</p><h2>1. Alphabet: The market leader in digital advertising</h2><p>Alphabet missed Wall Street&#39;s guidance across the board in its third-quarter earnings report. Total revenue climbed just 6% to $69.1 billion, and net income fell 24% to $13.9 billion. Google Cloud was the one bright spot. That segment posted 38% revenue growth, though its operating loss widened slightly.</p><p>However, as CEO Sundar Pichai pointed out during the earnings call, those weak results were &#34;impacted by lapping last year&#39;s elevated growth levels and the challenging macro climate.&#34; In other words, there is no material weakness in the underlying business, and there are still plenty of reasons to be bullish.</p><p>First and foremost, Alphabet is an advertising colossus, and its prowess arises from web properties that cannot be easily replicated. Google Search is built on years of carefully crafted search algorithms and artificial intelligence (AI) models, and it holds 92% market share among search engines. Google is basically the doorway to the internet, and that makes it a valuable partner to marketers. Similarly, YouTube surpassed <b>Netflix</b> in September to become the most popular streaming platform, and a recent study from Pew Research says 95% of teens use YouTube far more than any other social media platform.</p><p>Meanwhile, Alphabet is gaining ground in cloud computing. In the third quarter, Google Cloud Platform (GCP) accounted for 9% of cloud infrastructure spend, up from 8% in the same period last year, according to Canalys. It still trails the leaders, <b>Amazon </b>Web Services and Microsoft Azure, by a wide margin, but research company <b>Gartner</b> recently noted that GCP had the &#34;highest percentage of revenue gains and improvements&#34; of any cloud provider over the past year.</p><p>In a nutshell, Alphabet has carved out a strong market presence in two important industries, both of which are expected to grow at a steady pace through the end of the decade. Precedence Research says worldwide digital ad spend will increase by 9.2% annually to approach $1.3 trillion by 2030, and Grand View Research says cloud spend will increase by 15.7% annually to approach $1.6 trillion by 2030. That leaves Alphabet with plenty of room to run.</p><p>With that in mind, shares currently trade at 16.6 times earnings -- the cheapest valuation in the last five years -- creating an attractive buying opportunity for investors that have been eyeing this growth stock.</p><h2>2. Microsoft: The market leader in business productivity software</h2><p>Microsoft topped Wall Street&#39;s estimates in the first fiscal quarter of 2023 (ended Sept. 30, 2022). Revenue rose 11% to $50.1 billion, and earnings dropped 13% to $2.35 per diluted share. That said, earnings actually increased 11% when adjusted for currency fluctuations and a one-time tax benefit last year. In this case, it was guidance that failed to impress. Management said weakness in PC demand and decreased ad spend on LinkedIn and Bing would carry into the next quarter, and that kept the stock on a downward trajectory.</p><p>In this situation, investors need to look at the big picture: Countless businesses and consumers rely on Microsoft&#39;s software and cloud services. In fact, some of its products are so critical that the world might actually devolve into chaos if the company were to disappear tomorrow.</p><p>Office 365 is the gold standard in office productivity applications, but Microsoft is also a leader in other software categories, including enterprise resource planning, business analytics, low-code application development, and communications. Digital transformation should be a tailwind for all of those markets, but Microsoft has even more exciting growth opportunities in cloud computing and cybersecurity.</p><p>Microsoft Azure has invested heavily in areas like developer tools, data and AI, and hybrid cloud solutions, and those investments continued to pay off over the past year. Azure Machine Learning, a service that helps data scientists build and deploy AI models, has now notched 100% revenue growth for four consecutive quarters, and Microsoft Azure increased its share of the cloud infrastructure market to 22%, up from 21% in the prior year.</p><p>Meanwhile, industry analysts have also recognized Microsoft as a leader in several verticals of the cybersecurity industry, including extended detection and response, access management, and security information and event management. Not surprisingly, those accolades have come alongside particularly impressive growth. Cybersecurity revenue soared 40% in fiscal 2022 (ended June 30), and Microsoft increased its security customers by 33% in the most recent quarter. That bodes well for the future. The cybersecurity market is expected to increase by 12% per year to reach $500 billion by 2030.</p><p>In a nutshell, Microsoft&#39;s arsenal of mission-critical software products and cloud services should keep the company in growth mode for years to come. And with shares trading at 23.1 times earnings -- the cheapest valuation in the last three years -- now is a good time to buy this growth stock.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Once-in-a-Decade Buying Opportunity: 2 Trillion-Dollar Growth Stocks Near a 52-Week Low</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOnce-in-a-Decade Buying Opportunity: 2 Trillion-Dollar Growth Stocks Near a 52-Week Low\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 13:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/07/once-in-a-decade-buys-2-stocks-near-a-52-week-low/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>At the end of 2021, tech giants Alphabet and Microsoft were collectively worth more than $4.4 trillion. But that figure has fallen to $2.7 trillion over the last 10 months, showcasing how much ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/07/once-in-a-decade-buys-2-stocks-near-a-52-week-low/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/07/once-in-a-decade-buys-2-stocks-near-a-52-week-low/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2281606495","content_text":"At the end of 2021, tech giants Alphabet and Microsoft were collectively worth more than $4.4 trillion. But that figure has fallen to $2.7 trillion over the last 10 months, showcasing how much investor sentiment has soured in response to lingering inflation and quickly rising interest rates.Since last peaking, Alphabet and Microsoft have seen their share prices plunge 44% and 38%, respectively, leaving both stocks near a 52-week low. Neither company has seen a sell-off of that magnitude at any point in the past 10 years, which makes this a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity.Here's what investors should know.1. Alphabet: The market leader in digital advertisingAlphabet missed Wall Street's guidance across the board in its third-quarter earnings report. Total revenue climbed just 6% to $69.1 billion, and net income fell 24% to $13.9 billion. Google Cloud was the one bright spot. That segment posted 38% revenue growth, though its operating loss widened slightly.However, as CEO Sundar Pichai pointed out during the earnings call, those weak results were \"impacted by lapping last year's elevated growth levels and the challenging macro climate.\" In other words, there is no material weakness in the underlying business, and there are still plenty of reasons to be bullish.First and foremost, Alphabet is an advertising colossus, and its prowess arises from web properties that cannot be easily replicated. Google Search is built on years of carefully crafted search algorithms and artificial intelligence (AI) models, and it holds 92% market share among search engines. Google is basically the doorway to the internet, and that makes it a valuable partner to marketers. Similarly, YouTube surpassed Netflix in September to become the most popular streaming platform, and a recent study from Pew Research says 95% of teens use YouTube far more than any other social media platform.Meanwhile, Alphabet is gaining ground in cloud computing. In the third quarter, Google Cloud Platform (GCP) accounted for 9% of cloud infrastructure spend, up from 8% in the same period last year, according to Canalys. It still trails the leaders, Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure, by a wide margin, but research company Gartner recently noted that GCP had the \"highest percentage of revenue gains and improvements\" of any cloud provider over the past year.In a nutshell, Alphabet has carved out a strong market presence in two important industries, both of which are expected to grow at a steady pace through the end of the decade. Precedence Research says worldwide digital ad spend will increase by 9.2% annually to approach $1.3 trillion by 2030, and Grand View Research says cloud spend will increase by 15.7% annually to approach $1.6 trillion by 2030. That leaves Alphabet with plenty of room to run.With that in mind, shares currently trade at 16.6 times earnings -- the cheapest valuation in the last five years -- creating an attractive buying opportunity for investors that have been eyeing this growth stock.2. Microsoft: The market leader in business productivity softwareMicrosoft topped Wall Street's estimates in the first fiscal quarter of 2023 (ended Sept. 30, 2022). Revenue rose 11% to $50.1 billion, and earnings dropped 13% to $2.35 per diluted share. That said, earnings actually increased 11% when adjusted for currency fluctuations and a one-time tax benefit last year. In this case, it was guidance that failed to impress. Management said weakness in PC demand and decreased ad spend on LinkedIn and Bing would carry into the next quarter, and that kept the stock on a downward trajectory.In this situation, investors need to look at the big picture: Countless businesses and consumers rely on Microsoft's software and cloud services. In fact, some of its products are so critical that the world might actually devolve into chaos if the company were to disappear tomorrow.Office 365 is the gold standard in office productivity applications, but Microsoft is also a leader in other software categories, including enterprise resource planning, business analytics, low-code application development, and communications. Digital transformation should be a tailwind for all of those markets, but Microsoft has even more exciting growth opportunities in cloud computing and cybersecurity.Microsoft Azure has invested heavily in areas like developer tools, data and AI, and hybrid cloud solutions, and those investments continued to pay off over the past year. Azure Machine Learning, a service that helps data scientists build and deploy AI models, has now notched 100% revenue growth for four consecutive quarters, and Microsoft Azure increased its share of the cloud infrastructure market to 22%, up from 21% in the prior year.Meanwhile, industry analysts have also recognized Microsoft as a leader in several verticals of the cybersecurity industry, including extended detection and response, access management, and security information and event management. Not surprisingly, those accolades have come alongside particularly impressive growth. Cybersecurity revenue soared 40% in fiscal 2022 (ended June 30), and Microsoft increased its security customers by 33% in the most recent quarter. That bodes well for the future. The cybersecurity market is expected to increase by 12% per year to reach $500 billion by 2030.In a nutshell, Microsoft's arsenal of mission-critical software products and cloud services should keep the company in growth mode for years to come. And with shares trading at 23.1 times earnings -- the cheapest valuation in the last three years -- now is a good time to buy this growth stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}