没起昵称呢 personal page - To The Moon

没起昵称呢

没起昵称呢

一个努力内心奔跑的人！

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2021-08-06

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@一只踩不到热点的鲸:關於中概股的一點看法

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2021-08-05

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2021-07-23

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2021-07-13

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2021-07-12

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2021-07-08

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2021-06-29

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2021-06-27

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2021-06-26

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2021-06-26

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2021-06-25

PAYPAL LOWE'S 183 TYSOODS

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2021-06-22

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2021-06-22

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2021-06-21

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2021-06-17

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@小虎活动:【老虎7週年】集卡瓜分百萬獎金

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2021-06-11

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2021-06-11

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2021-06-11

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2021-06-10

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@价值投资为王:拒絕內卷，眼饞時代天使的朋友可曲線救國！

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2021-06-10

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@价值投资为王:科濟藥業：細胞免疫獨角獸，高瓴資本火線入股！

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公司，當前市值455億美元，上市之後漲幅超38倍，妥妥的大牛股！阿萊技術（ALGN）,部分投資者翻譯爲愛齊科技，成立於1997年，旗下主要產品爲隱適美，目前的市場份額爲全球第一，在中國，按銷售額計同爲NO.1！阿萊技術與時代天使同樣優秀！先看成長性，2012年，阿萊技術營收5.6億美元，2019年營收增長至24.07億，年營收復合增速23.16%。由於2020年受疫情影響，尤其是阿萊技術的大本營在歐美，業務受到重挫，考慮到2020年爲異常值，因此計算年複合增速時將2020年排除在外。這樣的營收增速不比時代天使差，考慮到兩者之間體量大小不同，阿萊技術和時代天使的增速都較爲優秀！2020年，阿萊技術中國區營收2億美金，換算成人民幣在13億左右，高於時代天使的8.17億人民幣。因此，時代天使在招股書中號稱自己是國內隱形矯治器老大，不是按銷售額計算的，而是按照達成案例數計算。之所以會有不同，主要是阿萊的產品隱適美，售價要高於時代天使。再來看盈利能力，阿萊技術和時代天使淨利率十分接近。2020年受疫情影響，阿萊的盈利能力不具參考價值，就按照2020年的盈利能力來看。從毛利率上看，阿萊技術爲72.5%，時代天使毛利率64.6%。由於時代天使處於放量期，毛利率尚在提升中，因此，兩家公司從毛利率上看，都是高盈利水準，不相上下。淨利率方面，2019年阿萊技術爲18.4%，時代天使2020年淨利率爲18.5%，十分接近。隱形矯治器護城河高築！隱形矯治器在中美兩國都算是二類醫療器械，准入門檻並不高，因此，全球競爭","text":"時代天使今日招股，但市場預測一手中籤率或僅爲1%，甲組恐無緣必中一手，多數打新族選擇躺平，拒絕內卷。雖然掛在嘴邊的大肉吃不到，但不必懊悔，不如曲線救國，看看隱形牙套另一龍頭——阿萊技術。阿萊技術：隱形矯治器首創者、全球龍頭、中國市場銷售額NO.1！阿萊技術是美股上市公司，爲隱形矯治器首創公司，當前市值455億美元，上市之後漲幅超38倍，妥妥的大牛股！阿萊技術（ALGN）,部分投資者翻譯爲愛齊科技，成立於1997年，旗下主要產品爲隱適美，目前的市場份額爲全球第一，在中國，按銷售額計同爲NO.1！阿萊技術與時代天使同樣優秀！先看成長性，2012年，阿萊技術營收5.6億美元，2019年營收增長至24.07億，年營收復合增速23.16%。由於2020年受疫情影響，尤其是阿萊技術的大本營在歐美，業務受到重挫，考慮到2020年爲異常值，因此計算年複合增速時將2020年排除在外。這樣的營收增速不比時代天使差，考慮到兩者之間體量大小不同，阿萊技術和時代天使的增速都較爲優秀！2020年，阿萊技術中國區營收2億美金，換算成人民幣在13億左右，高於時代天使的8.17億人民幣。因此，時代天使在招股書中號稱自己是國內隱形矯治器老大，不是按銷售額計算的，而是按照達成案例數計算。之所以會有不同，主要是阿萊的產品隱適美，售價要高於時代天使。再來看盈利能力，阿萊技術和時代天使淨利率十分接近。2020年受疫情影響，阿萊的盈利能力不具參考價值，就按照2020年的盈利能力來看。從毛利率上看，阿萊技術爲72.5%，時代天使毛利率64.6%。由於時代天使處於放量期，毛利率尚在提升中，因此，兩家公司從毛利率上看，都是高盈利水準，不相上下。淨利率方面，2019年阿萊技術爲18.4%，時代天使2020年淨利率爲18.5%，十分接近。隱形矯治器護城河高築！隱形矯治器在中美兩國都算是二類醫療器械，准入門檻並不高，因此，全球競爭","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97fd0eac47617435f50ab5df5b2f4d2","width":"688","height":"399"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16899d30865a24eb7e641532426d03aa","width":"688","height":"406"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01759cc3b24ab28f054072c95f84ac88","width":"688","height":"366"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118936918","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183891561,"gmtCreate":1623319287253,"gmtModify":1704200788136,"author":{"id":"3582263827074473","authorId":"3582263827074473","name":"没起昵称呢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0190b0a0b135a48272a325e50c2343ba","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582263827074473","authorIdStr":"3582263827074473"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?????","listText":"?????","text":"?????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183891561","repostId":"114138905","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":114138905,"gmtCreate":1623056133604,"gmtModify":1704195144607,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"21347731130544","authorIdStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"科濟藥業：細胞免疫獨角獸，高瓴資本火線入股！","htmlText":"科技藥業創立於2014年，是細胞免疫療法領域中的獨角獸。 在上市之前，專注醫藥投資的著名機構高瓴資本火線入股，爲科濟藥業含金量做出最佳背書！ 細胞免疫療法即將迎來黃金十年！ CAR-T你可能沒有聽過，但細胞免疫療法，其實很多年前就已經開始臨牀應用。 比如著名的魏則西事件，就是命喪莆田系免疫治療連環騙局。 早在2006年，永泰生物旗下的免疫療法EAL便投入臨牀使用，在被國家叫停之前，累計注射了4000人。 細胞免疫療法在理解上並不難，大家都知道人體的免疫細胞能夠殺死癌細胞和病毒，但癌細胞很狡猾，能僞裝成正常的細胞，讓人體免疫系統誤認爲身體沒有毛病。 而免疫療法即通過醫療手段，在體外培養激活患者的免疫細胞，讓他們具有抗腫瘤活性，然後再輸回患者體內，以此來殺死癌細胞。 下圖是科濟藥業CAR-T療法制造過程，基本所有的細胞免疫療法都是類似方法。 CAR-T目前是生物醫藥最火的賽道之一，近1年開始密集登陸資本市場，如去年上市的永泰生物和藥明巨諾皆是重磅級玩家。 當下，國內尚無獲批上市的CAR-T產品，但美國已有5種產品上市，分別爲Kymriah、Yescarta、Tecartus、Breyanzi和Abecma。 自2017年上市以來，Kymriah和Yescarta的銷量於2018年至2020年分別以84.1%和28.7%的複合年增長率快速增長。根據弗若斯特沙利文的資料，Kymriah、Yescarta及Tecartus於2020年的銷售總額約爲11億美元，截至2019年末，Breyanzi已治療超過2,500名R/R LBCL患者。 從全球市場來看，由於CAR-T療法剛剛嶄露頭角，目前的市場規模已從2017年的0.1億美元增長至2019年的7億美元，預計2030年的市場規模將達到218億美元，2024至2030年的複合年增長率爲22.1%！ 回到國內市場，預計2021年復星凱特和","listText":"科技藥業創立於2014年，是細胞免疫療法領域中的獨角獸。 在上市之前，專注醫藥投資的著名機構高瓴資本火線入股，爲科濟藥業含金量做出最佳背書！ 細胞免疫療法即將迎來黃金十年！ CAR-T你可能沒有聽過，但細胞免疫療法，其實很多年前就已經開始臨牀應用。 比如著名的魏則西事件，就是命喪莆田系免疫治療連環騙局。 早在2006年，永泰生物旗下的免疫療法EAL便投入臨牀使用，在被國家叫停之前，累計注射了4000人。 細胞免疫療法在理解上並不難，大家都知道人體的免疫細胞能夠殺死癌細胞和病毒，但癌細胞很狡猾，能僞裝成正常的細胞，讓人體免疫系統誤認爲身體沒有毛病。 而免疫療法即通過醫療手段，在體外培養激活患者的免疫細胞，讓他們具有抗腫瘤活性，然後再輸回患者體內，以此來殺死癌細胞。 下圖是科濟藥業CAR-T療法制造過程，基本所有的細胞免疫療法都是類似方法。 CAR-T目前是生物醫藥最火的賽道之一，近1年開始密集登陸資本市場，如去年上市的永泰生物和藥明巨諾皆是重磅級玩家。 當下，國內尚無獲批上市的CAR-T產品，但美國已有5種產品上市，分別爲Kymriah、Yescarta、Tecartus、Breyanzi和Abecma。 自2017年上市以來，Kymriah和Yescarta的銷量於2018年至2020年分別以84.1%和28.7%的複合年增長率快速增長。根據弗若斯特沙利文的資料，Kymriah、Yescarta及Tecartus於2020年的銷售總額約爲11億美元，截至2019年末，Breyanzi已治療超過2,500名R/R LBCL患者。 從全球市場來看，由於CAR-T療法剛剛嶄露頭角，目前的市場規模已從2017年的0.1億美元增長至2019年的7億美元，預計2030年的市場規模將達到218億美元，2024至2030年的複合年增長率爲22.1%！ 回到國內市場，預計2021年復星凱特和","text":"科技藥業創立於2014年，是細胞免疫療法領域中的獨角獸。 在上市之前，專注醫藥投資的著名機構高瓴資本火線入股，爲科濟藥業含金量做出最佳背書！ 細胞免疫療法即將迎來黃金十年！ CAR-T你可能沒有聽過，但細胞免疫療法，其實很多年前就已經開始臨牀應用。 比如著名的魏則西事件，就是命喪莆田系免疫治療連環騙局。 早在2006年，永泰生物旗下的免疫療法EAL便投入臨牀使用，在被國家叫停之前，累計注射了4000人。 細胞免疫療法在理解上並不難，大家都知道人體的免疫細胞能夠殺死癌細胞和病毒，但癌細胞很狡猾，能僞裝成正常的細胞，讓人體免疫系統誤認爲身體沒有毛病。 而免疫療法即通過醫療手段，在體外培養激活患者的免疫細胞，讓他們具有抗腫瘤活性，然後再輸回患者體內，以此來殺死癌細胞。 下圖是科濟藥業CAR-T療法制造過程，基本所有的細胞免疫療法都是類似方法。 CAR-T目前是生物醫藥最火的賽道之一，近1年開始密集登陸資本市場，如去年上市的永泰生物和藥明巨諾皆是重磅級玩家。 當下，國內尚無獲批上市的CAR-T產品，但美國已有5種產品上市，分別爲Kymriah、Yescarta、Tecartus、Breyanzi和Abecma。 自2017年上市以來，Kymriah和Yescarta的銷量於2018年至2020年分別以84.1%和28.7%的複合年增長率快速增長。根據弗若斯特沙利文的資料，Kymriah、Yescarta及Tecartus於2020年的銷售總額約爲11億美元，截至2019年末，Breyanzi已治療超過2,500名R/R LBCL患者。 從全球市場來看，由於CAR-T療法剛剛嶄露頭角，目前的市場規模已從2017年的0.1億美元增長至2019年的7億美元，預計2030年的市場規模將達到218億美元，2024至2030年的複合年增長率爲22.1%！ 回到國內市場，預計2021年復星凱特和","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad6295fc84e3b3ff4d82f9d0f5272de0","width":"1027","height":"559"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f527adecd43ea7fdcc9bb46ba1fdcdf","width":"1136","height":"515"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be895779ae02199c292888ffcf596c24","width":"1191","height":"641"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114138905","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":126643233,"gmtCreate":1624570494522,"gmtModify":1703840443759,"author":{"id":"3582263827074473","authorId":"3582263827074473","name":"没起昵称呢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0190b0a0b135a48272a325e50c2343ba","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582263827074473","authorIdStr":"3582263827074473"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"PAYPAL&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;LOWE'S 183&nbsp; &nbsp;TYSOODS","listText":"PAYPAL&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;LOWE'S 183&nbsp; &nbsp;TYSOODS","text":"PAYPAL LOWE'S 183 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第一，關於這次事件我也研究了很多，其中我很認同的一種看法是此次事件是針對“第一次分配”的改革。這個話題不好展開說，不懂的可以搜一下“三次分配理論”。 中國歷史上很多朝代走到終點都是因爲貧富差距過大，不同階層的人口比例失衡。所以現在提早做這樣的事情也不難理解。 但這樣的改革必然會影響公司未來的利潤率，並且這個影響的時間還沒有定數。因此最近情緒雖然有所平復，但長期預期肯定是不如以往。我認爲至少未來半年到一年內會是這樣，所以倉位上還是應該謹慎。 第二，左側逆勢加倉一定一定要重視資金管理，不要加倉加到最後爆倉了。 最近我瞭解到很多人都爆倉了。先是重倉在線教育的，再是重倉中概股的。在我看來，他們的倉位管理本身是致命的。 在一個長期投資組合中，持有8-10只股票，平均每隻倉位在10%左右是我個人認爲最舒適的配置。特別看好的標的，倉位也最好不要超過20%。這樣的話，即使一隻股票發生腰斬，總資金的損失也只在5%-10%之間。整體影響不會很大。 數據表明，如果賬戶回撤超過20%，挽回損失會開始變得困難。賬戶回撤超過40%，就很難做到長期穩定了。而長期穩定是一個投資者能夠在股市中生存下去的基礎。 我曾經講過財富增長曲線。 正向的財富增長曲線應該是長時間微小震盪，幾乎沒什麼變化。最終偶爾一兩次的劇烈增長使財富得到突破。 而不應該是長期增長最後直線墜落，也不應該是像心電圖一樣大起大落。 正向的財富增長曲線： 錯誤的財富增長曲線： 一些人覺得看準了就是應該滿倉幹。但問題是你如何來定義這個“看準”？是不是買了賺了就叫做看準，虧了就叫做沒看準？並且以自己的認知和專業程度，這個“看準”又有多少水分呢？這可能是一個值得思考的問題。 除了倉位管理，我們還要注意投資組合的單一性風險。 即不要全買同一板塊，或同一類型的股票。比如全買中概股，或全買科技股。因爲這樣即","listText":"今天主要針對最近暴跌的中概股分享一些看法和思考。 第一，關於這次事件我也研究了很多，其中我很認同的一種看法是此次事件是針對“第一次分配”的改革。這個話題不好展開說，不懂的可以搜一下“三次分配理論”。 中國歷史上很多朝代走到終點都是因爲貧富差距過大，不同階層的人口比例失衡。所以現在提早做這樣的事情也不難理解。 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本次7週年活動涉及不同國家和地區，由於各地區的監管要求不同，不同地區的活動獎勵會有所區別。欲知詳情，請點擊下方活動鏈接，登陸您的賬號，並點擊“活動規則“查看詳情。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd956a9c2fc9ee609753ae5f967072a7","width":"415","height":"616"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e88357b534f504b3088bc22f577a83","width":"415","height":"326"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe0400cc487fb56f85d401ab03df4d5e","width":"415","height":"356"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114899451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181093748,"gmtCreate":1623365974884,"gmtModify":1704201603424,"author":{"id":"3582263827074473","authorId":"3582263827074473","name":"没起昵称呢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0190b0a0b135a48272a325e50c2343ba","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582263827074473","authorIdStr":"3582263827074473"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"☕️☕️☕️☕️☕️","listText":"☕️☕️☕️☕️☕️","text":"☕️☕️☕️☕️☕️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181093748","repostId":"1182413920","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181099657,"gmtCreate":1623365898179,"gmtModify":1704201600677,"author":{"id":"3582263827074473","authorId":"3582263827074473","name":"没起昵称呢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0190b0a0b135a48272a325e50c2343ba","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582263827074473","authorIdStr":"3582263827074473"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"☕️☕️☕️☕️☕️","listText":"☕️☕️☕️☕️☕️","text":"☕️☕️☕️☕️☕️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181099657","repostId":"1155033069","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}