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2022-05-29
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Why the Dow Finally Bounced, and What It Will Take to Convince Investors It's for Real
ONGTW
2022-05-29
Zlil
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2022-05-29
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"Now we have absorbed that news and the actions the Fed is going to take, and we’re wrapping up earnings season."</p><p>"The signs are lining up and the boxes are being checked that we expect to develop when the market starts to form a bottom," Buchanan added.</p><p>During the S&P's seven straight weeks of losses, from its April 1 to May 20 Friday closes, the bellwether index shed 14.2% of its value and threatened to confirm it has been in a bear market since its Jan. 3 record closing high.</p><p>But this week, in a sharp reversal, the S&P reclaimed much of that lost ground by soaring 6.6%, its best week since November 2020.</p><p>"It was inevitable that the losing streak would end," said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist Ingalls & Snyder in New York. "Corrections and bear markets are followed by 'up' markets."</p><p>Generally upbeat earnings guidance and solid economic indicators have fueled hopes that the Fed's hawkish maneuvers to contain decades-high inflation will not cool the economy into contraction.</p><p>Data released on Friday showed better-than-expected consumer spending and appeared to confirm that inflation, which has dampened corporate earnings guidance and weighed on investor sentiment, has peaked.</p><p>This, combined with the minutes from the central bank's most recent policy meeting, which reaffirmed its commitment to rein in spiking prices while remaining responsive to economic data, helped boost risk appetite.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 575.77 points, or 1.76%, to 33,212.96, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 100.4 points, or 2.47%, to 4,158.24 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 390.48 points, or 3.33%, to 12,131.13.</p><p>All 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 advanced amid light trading, with consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD), tech (.SPLRCT) and real estate (.SPLRCR) notching the biggest percentage gains.</p><p>Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft Corp</a>) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc</a> provided the strongest lift.</p><p>First-quarter earnings season is largely in the bag, with 488 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 77% have beaten consensus expectations, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ULTA\">Ulta Beauty </a> gained 12.5% following its upbeat quarterly earnings report.</p><p>Computer hardware company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell Technologies Inc</a> surged 12.9% after beating quarterly profit and revenue estimates.</p><p>Apparel retailers <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPS\">Gap Inc</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEO\">American Eagle Outfitters</a> trimmed their annual profit forecasts. The latter dropped 6.6%, while the former rebounded and ended up 4.3%. read more</p><p>Trading volumes were light ahead of the long weekend, with U.S. stock markets closed on Monday in observance of Memorial Day.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.92 billion shares, compared with the 13.13 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 6.49-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.13-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 40 new highs and 84 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies, Snaps Longest Weekly Losing Streak in Decades</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Rallies, Snaps Longest Weekly Losing Streak in Decades\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-28 06:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>PCE price index indicates inflation peaked in March</li><li>Dell climbs on strong Q1 results</li><li>Gap, American Eagle Outfitters cut profit forecasts</li><li>Indexes jump: Dow 1.76%, S&P 2.47%, Nasdaq 3.33%</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street closed sharply higher on Friday as signs of peaking inflation and consumer resiliency sent investors into the long holiday weekend with growing optimism that the Federal Reserve will be able to tighten monetary policy without tipping the economy into recession.</p><p>All three major U.S. stock indexes brought a decisive end to their longest weekly losing streaks in decades.</p><p>The S&P and the Nasdaq suffered seven consecutive weekly declines, the longest since the end of the dot-com bust, while the blue-chip Dow's eight-week selloff was its longest since 1932.</p><p>"The market has now discounted a lot of the negative news, a lot (of which) hit all at once," said Keith Buchanan, portfolio manager at GLOBALT in Atlanta. "Now we have absorbed that news and the actions the Fed is going to take, and we’re wrapping up earnings season."</p><p>"The signs are lining up and the boxes are being checked that we expect to develop when the market starts to form a bottom," Buchanan added.</p><p>During the S&P's seven straight weeks of losses, from its April 1 to May 20 Friday closes, the bellwether index shed 14.2% of its value and threatened to confirm it has been in a bear market since its Jan. 3 record closing high.</p><p>But this week, in a sharp reversal, the S&P reclaimed much of that lost ground by soaring 6.6%, its best week since November 2020.</p><p>"It was inevitable that the losing streak would end," said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist Ingalls & Snyder in New York. "Corrections and bear markets are followed by 'up' markets."</p><p>Generally upbeat earnings guidance and solid economic indicators have fueled hopes that the Fed's hawkish maneuvers to contain decades-high inflation will not cool the economy into contraction.</p><p>Data released on Friday showed better-than-expected consumer spending and appeared to confirm that inflation, which has dampened corporate earnings guidance and weighed on investor sentiment, has peaked.</p><p>This, combined with the minutes from the central bank's most recent policy meeting, which reaffirmed its commitment to rein in spiking prices while remaining responsive to economic data, helped boost risk appetite.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 575.77 points, or 1.76%, to 33,212.96, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 100.4 points, or 2.47%, to 4,158.24 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 390.48 points, or 3.33%, to 12,131.13.</p><p>All 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 advanced amid light trading, with consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD), tech (.SPLRCT) and real estate (.SPLRCR) notching the biggest percentage gains.</p><p>Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft Corp</a>) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc</a> provided the strongest lift.</p><p>First-quarter earnings season is largely in the bag, with 488 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 77% have beaten consensus expectations, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ULTA\">Ulta Beauty </a> gained 12.5% following its upbeat quarterly earnings report.</p><p>Computer hardware company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell Technologies Inc</a> surged 12.9% after beating quarterly profit and revenue estimates.</p><p>Apparel retailers <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPS\">Gap Inc</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEO\">American Eagle Outfitters</a> trimmed their annual profit forecasts. The latter dropped 6.6%, while the former rebounded and ended up 4.3%. read more</p><p>Trading volumes were light ahead of the long weekend, with U.S. stock markets closed on Monday in observance of Memorial Day.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.92 billion shares, compared with the 13.13 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 6.49-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.13-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 40 new highs and 84 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2238031566","content_text":"PCE price index indicates inflation peaked in MarchDell climbs on strong Q1 resultsGap, American Eagle Outfitters cut profit forecastsIndexes jump: Dow 1.76%, S&P 2.47%, Nasdaq 3.33%(Reuters) - Wall Street closed sharply higher on Friday as signs of peaking inflation and consumer resiliency sent investors into the long holiday weekend with growing optimism that the Federal Reserve will be able to tighten monetary policy without tipping the economy into recession.All three major U.S. stock indexes brought a decisive end to their longest weekly losing streaks in decades.The S&P and the Nasdaq suffered seven consecutive weekly declines, the longest since the end of the dot-com bust, while the blue-chip Dow's eight-week selloff was its longest since 1932.\"The market has now discounted a lot of the negative news, a lot (of which) hit all at once,\" said Keith Buchanan, portfolio manager at GLOBALT in Atlanta. \"Now we have absorbed that news and the actions the Fed is going to take, and we’re wrapping up earnings season.\"\"The signs are lining up and the boxes are being checked that we expect to develop when the market starts to form a bottom,\" Buchanan added.During the S&P's seven straight weeks of losses, from its April 1 to May 20 Friday closes, the bellwether index shed 14.2% of its value and threatened to confirm it has been in a bear market since its Jan. 3 record closing high.But this week, in a sharp reversal, the S&P reclaimed much of that lost ground by soaring 6.6%, its best week since November 2020.\"It was inevitable that the losing streak would end,\" said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist Ingalls & Snyder in New York. \"Corrections and bear markets are followed by 'up' markets.\"Generally upbeat earnings guidance and solid economic indicators have fueled hopes that the Fed's hawkish maneuvers to contain decades-high inflation will not cool the economy into contraction.Data released on Friday showed better-than-expected consumer spending and appeared to confirm that inflation, which has dampened corporate earnings guidance and weighed on investor sentiment, has peaked.This, combined with the minutes from the central bank's most recent policy meeting, which reaffirmed its commitment to rein in spiking prices while remaining responsive to economic data, helped boost risk appetite.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 575.77 points, or 1.76%, to 33,212.96, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 100.4 points, or 2.47%, to 4,158.24 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 390.48 points, or 3.33%, to 12,131.13.All 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 advanced amid light trading, with consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD), tech (.SPLRCT) and real estate (.SPLRCR) notching the biggest percentage gains.Shares of Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp) and Tesla Inc provided the strongest lift.First-quarter earnings season is largely in the bag, with 488 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 77% have beaten consensus expectations, according to Refinitiv.Ulta Beauty gained 12.5% following its upbeat quarterly earnings report.Computer hardware company Dell Technologies Inc surged 12.9% after beating quarterly profit and revenue estimates.Apparel retailers Gap Inc and American Eagle Outfitters trimmed their annual profit forecasts. The latter dropped 6.6%, while the former rebounded and ended up 4.3%. read moreTrading volumes were light ahead of the long weekend, with U.S. stock markets closed on Monday in observance of Memorial Day.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.92 billion shares, compared with the 13.13 billion average over the last 20 trading days.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 6.49-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.13-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 40 new highs and 84 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9024164466,"gmtCreate":1653824713055,"gmtModify":1676535347194,"author":{"id":"3582399348283827","authorId":"3582399348283827","name":"ONGTW","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582399348283827","authorIdStr":"3582399348283827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":",","listText":",","text":",","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9024164466","repostId":"2238031566","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9024164873,"gmtCreate":1653824615392,"gmtModify":1676535347226,"author":{"id":"3582399348283827","authorId":"3582399348283827","name":"ONGTW","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582399348283827","authorIdStr":"3582399348283827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9024164873","repostId":"2238988779","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2238988779","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1653740753,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2238988779?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-28 20:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why the Dow Finally Bounced, and What It Will Take to Convince Investors It's for Real","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2238988779","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"A little pre-summer cheer finally filtered its way into the stock market the week before Memorial Da","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A little pre-summer cheer finally filtered its way into the stock market the week before Memorial Day, but it will likely take more than the Dow Jones Industrial Average's first winning week since late March to convince rattled investors that the pain is in the past.</p><p>What happened? Real, or inflation-adjusted, interest rates fell over the past week, corporate credit spreads -- the yield premium over U.S. Treasurys demanded by investors to buy bonds issued by companies -- tightened, and investor expectations for future Federal Reserve rate increases moderated, noted Mahmood Noorani, chief executive of research firm Quant Insight, in an interview (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7521bdd8c826278369d3b7ba280e9bac\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>That gave some breathing room for a bounce. Quant Insight's model showed the S&P 500 had sunk below fair value but is now right in line with the metric.</p><p>The S&P 500 had narrowly averted a close in bear-market territory on May 19 after hitting a session low more than 20% below its Jan. 3 record close. It then rose 6.6% over the past week, ending Friday 13.3% below its early January peak as it snapped a streak of seven straight weekly declines.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite , which remains solidly in bear-market territory, also broke a run of seven weekly falls, rising 6.8%. The Dow's matching 6.8% rise marked the end of an eight-week run of losing weeks, its longest since 1932.</p><p>Kevin Dempter, an analyst at Renaissance Macro Research, also pointed to a handful of positive factors, including a significant pullback by the U.S. dollar, deeply oversold technical conditions and extremely bearish sentiment, while some stocks, such as that of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>, managed to reverse to the upside despite bad news.</p><p>Neither Noorani nor Dempter were prepared to call a market bottom, however. And there was no shortage of outright bearish expectations. Michael Burry, the founder of Scion Asset Management, rose to fame after anticipating the collapse of the U.S. housing market as chronicled in the Michael Lewis book "The Big Short," in a since-deleted tweet implied parallels with the 2008 market collapse.</p><p>In a fresh Friday tweet, he mused about the prospects of a consumer-led recession:</p><p>That echoes the fears that were raised earlier in May as retailers Target <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$(TGT)$</a> and Walmart <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">$(WMT)$</a> reported disappointing earnings, triggering a deepening of the stock-market selloff on worries that inflation pressures were beginning to hit corporate bottom lines.</p><p>A further pullback in real yields could allow stocks to rise further in the near term, Noorani said, but he argued that it's unlikely yields have peaked.</p><p>After all, while data, including Friday's reading of the core personal consumption expenditure index, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, shows inflation is slowing, the job of getting price pressures back under control is far from done, he argued.</p><p>That leaves uncertainty about how high the federal funds rate, currently at 0.75% to 1%, will ultimately go. Market pricing points to a so-called terminal rate between 2.5% and 3%, but anything that hints it will be higher than that will rattle investors, he said.</p><p>The single most important driver for yields "is going to be Fed policy," he said, observing that central bankers "have been spooked by inflation at these historically high numbers." Even if it's painful for the real economy, "they have to hit the brakes pretty hard and get those numbers lower."</p><p>While the S&P 500 hasn't technically confirmed that it's in a bear market, many market watchers view that as a mere formality, observing that stocks have been exhibiting bearlike behavior for much of the 2022 selloff.</p><p>Dempter, in a Friday note, played down the consumer discretionary sector's sharp outperformance of the rest of the market in the previous session, acknowledging that, historically, discretionary sees sharp improvement in relative performance about a month before growth troughs. The move was likely an oversold bounce rather than a bottom, he argued, explaining that RenMac would be more optimistic "if growth were weaker, and inflation had peaked."</p><p>"History suggests that both growth and inflation need to weaken further before a bottom occurs," he said, noting that the energy sector's continued outperformance of healthcare suggests that inflation has yet to peak.</p><p>"We'll be watching next week's ISM (manufacturing index) number, as a weak reading may shift the market-cycle clock closer to a more favorable zone for a bottom," he said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the Dow Finally Bounced, and What It Will Take to Convince Investors It's for Real</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the Dow Finally Bounced, and What It Will Take to Convince Investors It's for Real\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-28 20:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>A little pre-summer cheer finally filtered its way into the stock market the week before Memorial Day, but it will likely take more than the Dow Jones Industrial Average's first winning week since late March to convince rattled investors that the pain is in the past.</p><p>What happened? Real, or inflation-adjusted, interest rates fell over the past week, corporate credit spreads -- the yield premium over U.S. Treasurys demanded by investors to buy bonds issued by companies -- tightened, and investor expectations for future Federal Reserve rate increases moderated, noted Mahmood Noorani, chief executive of research firm Quant Insight, in an interview (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7521bdd8c826278369d3b7ba280e9bac\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>That gave some breathing room for a bounce. Quant Insight's model showed the S&P 500 had sunk below fair value but is now right in line with the metric.</p><p>The S&P 500 had narrowly averted a close in bear-market territory on May 19 after hitting a session low more than 20% below its Jan. 3 record close. It then rose 6.6% over the past week, ending Friday 13.3% below its early January peak as it snapped a streak of seven straight weekly declines.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite , which remains solidly in bear-market territory, also broke a run of seven weekly falls, rising 6.8%. The Dow's matching 6.8% rise marked the end of an eight-week run of losing weeks, its longest since 1932.</p><p>Kevin Dempter, an analyst at Renaissance Macro Research, also pointed to a handful of positive factors, including a significant pullback by the U.S. dollar, deeply oversold technical conditions and extremely bearish sentiment, while some stocks, such as that of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>, managed to reverse to the upside despite bad news.</p><p>Neither Noorani nor Dempter were prepared to call a market bottom, however. And there was no shortage of outright bearish expectations. Michael Burry, the founder of Scion Asset Management, rose to fame after anticipating the collapse of the U.S. housing market as chronicled in the Michael Lewis book "The Big Short," in a since-deleted tweet implied parallels with the 2008 market collapse.</p><p>In a fresh Friday tweet, he mused about the prospects of a consumer-led recession:</p><p>That echoes the fears that were raised earlier in May as retailers Target <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$(TGT)$</a> and Walmart <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">$(WMT)$</a> reported disappointing earnings, triggering a deepening of the stock-market selloff on worries that inflation pressures were beginning to hit corporate bottom lines.</p><p>A further pullback in real yields could allow stocks to rise further in the near term, Noorani said, but he argued that it's unlikely yields have peaked.</p><p>After all, while data, including Friday's reading of the core personal consumption expenditure index, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, shows inflation is slowing, the job of getting price pressures back under control is far from done, he argued.</p><p>That leaves uncertainty about how high the federal funds rate, currently at 0.75% to 1%, will ultimately go. Market pricing points to a so-called terminal rate between 2.5% and 3%, but anything that hints it will be higher than that will rattle investors, he said.</p><p>The single most important driver for yields "is going to be Fed policy," he said, observing that central bankers "have been spooked by inflation at these historically high numbers." Even if it's painful for the real economy, "they have to hit the brakes pretty hard and get those numbers lower."</p><p>While the S&P 500 hasn't technically confirmed that it's in a bear market, many market watchers view that as a mere formality, observing that stocks have been exhibiting bearlike behavior for much of the 2022 selloff.</p><p>Dempter, in a Friday note, played down the consumer discretionary sector's sharp outperformance of the rest of the market in the previous session, acknowledging that, historically, discretionary sees sharp improvement in relative performance about a month before growth troughs. The move was likely an oversold bounce rather than a bottom, he argued, explaining that RenMac would be more optimistic "if growth were weaker, and inflation had peaked."</p><p>"History suggests that both growth and inflation need to weaken further before a bottom occurs," he said, noting that the energy sector's continued outperformance of healthcare suggests that inflation has yet to peak.</p><p>"We'll be watching next week's ISM (manufacturing index) number, as a weak reading may shift the market-cycle clock closer to a more favorable zone for a bottom," he said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2238988779","content_text":"A little pre-summer cheer finally filtered its way into the stock market the week before Memorial Day, but it will likely take more than the Dow Jones Industrial Average's first winning week since late March to convince rattled investors that the pain is in the past.What happened? Real, or inflation-adjusted, interest rates fell over the past week, corporate credit spreads -- the yield premium over U.S. Treasurys demanded by investors to buy bonds issued by companies -- tightened, and investor expectations for future Federal Reserve rate increases moderated, noted Mahmood Noorani, chief executive of research firm Quant Insight, in an interview (see chart below).That gave some breathing room for a bounce. Quant Insight's model showed the S&P 500 had sunk below fair value but is now right in line with the metric.The S&P 500 had narrowly averted a close in bear-market territory on May 19 after hitting a session low more than 20% below its Jan. 3 record close. It then rose 6.6% over the past week, ending Friday 13.3% below its early January peak as it snapped a streak of seven straight weekly declines.The Nasdaq Composite , which remains solidly in bear-market territory, also broke a run of seven weekly falls, rising 6.8%. The Dow's matching 6.8% rise marked the end of an eight-week run of losing weeks, its longest since 1932.Kevin Dempter, an analyst at Renaissance Macro Research, also pointed to a handful of positive factors, including a significant pullback by the U.S. dollar, deeply oversold technical conditions and extremely bearish sentiment, while some stocks, such as that of Nvidia Corp., managed to reverse to the upside despite bad news.Neither Noorani nor Dempter were prepared to call a market bottom, however. And there was no shortage of outright bearish expectations. Michael Burry, the founder of Scion Asset Management, rose to fame after anticipating the collapse of the U.S. housing market as chronicled in the Michael Lewis book \"The Big Short,\" in a since-deleted tweet implied parallels with the 2008 market collapse.In a fresh Friday tweet, he mused about the prospects of a consumer-led recession:That echoes the fears that were raised earlier in May as retailers Target $(TGT)$ and Walmart $(WMT)$ reported disappointing earnings, triggering a deepening of the stock-market selloff on worries that inflation pressures were beginning to hit corporate bottom lines.A further pullback in real yields could allow stocks to rise further in the near term, Noorani said, but he argued that it's unlikely yields have peaked.After all, while data, including Friday's reading of the core personal consumption expenditure index, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, shows inflation is slowing, the job of getting price pressures back under control is far from done, he argued.That leaves uncertainty about how high the federal funds rate, currently at 0.75% to 1%, will ultimately go. Market pricing points to a so-called terminal rate between 2.5% and 3%, but anything that hints it will be higher than that will rattle investors, he said.The single most important driver for yields \"is going to be Fed policy,\" he said, observing that central bankers \"have been spooked by inflation at these historically high numbers.\" Even if it's painful for the real economy, \"they have to hit the brakes pretty hard and get those numbers lower.\"While the S&P 500 hasn't technically confirmed that it's in a bear market, many market watchers view that as a mere formality, observing that stocks have been exhibiting bearlike behavior for much of the 2022 selloff.Dempter, in a Friday note, played down the consumer discretionary sector's sharp outperformance of the rest of the market in the previous session, acknowledging that, historically, discretionary sees sharp improvement in relative performance about a month before growth troughs. The move was likely an oversold bounce rather than a bottom, he argued, explaining that RenMac would be more optimistic \"if growth were weaker, and inflation had peaked.\"\"History suggests that both growth and inflation need to weaken further before a bottom occurs,\" he said, noting that the energy sector's continued outperformance of healthcare suggests that inflation has yet to peak.\"We'll be watching next week's ISM (manufacturing index) number, as a weak reading may shift the market-cycle clock closer to a more favorable zone for a bottom,\" he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9024164873,"gmtCreate":1653824615392,"gmtModify":1676535347226,"author":{"id":"3582399348283827","authorId":"3582399348283827","name":"ONGTW","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582399348283827","idStr":"3582399348283827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9024164873","repostId":"2238988779","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2238988779","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1653740753,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2238988779?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-28 20:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why the Dow Finally Bounced, and What It Will Take to Convince Investors It's for Real","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2238988779","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"A little pre-summer cheer finally filtered its way into the stock market the week before Memorial Da","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A little pre-summer cheer finally filtered its way into the stock market the week before Memorial Day, but it will likely take more than the Dow Jones Industrial Average's first winning week since late March to convince rattled investors that the pain is in the past.</p><p>What happened? Real, or inflation-adjusted, interest rates fell over the past week, corporate credit spreads -- the yield premium over U.S. Treasurys demanded by investors to buy bonds issued by companies -- tightened, and investor expectations for future Federal Reserve rate increases moderated, noted Mahmood Noorani, chief executive of research firm Quant Insight, in an interview (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7521bdd8c826278369d3b7ba280e9bac\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>That gave some breathing room for a bounce. Quant Insight's model showed the S&P 500 had sunk below fair value but is now right in line with the metric.</p><p>The S&P 500 had narrowly averted a close in bear-market territory on May 19 after hitting a session low more than 20% below its Jan. 3 record close. It then rose 6.6% over the past week, ending Friday 13.3% below its early January peak as it snapped a streak of seven straight weekly declines.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite , which remains solidly in bear-market territory, also broke a run of seven weekly falls, rising 6.8%. The Dow's matching 6.8% rise marked the end of an eight-week run of losing weeks, its longest since 1932.</p><p>Kevin Dempter, an analyst at Renaissance Macro Research, also pointed to a handful of positive factors, including a significant pullback by the U.S. dollar, deeply oversold technical conditions and extremely bearish sentiment, while some stocks, such as that of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>, managed to reverse to the upside despite bad news.</p><p>Neither Noorani nor Dempter were prepared to call a market bottom, however. And there was no shortage of outright bearish expectations. Michael Burry, the founder of Scion Asset Management, rose to fame after anticipating the collapse of the U.S. housing market as chronicled in the Michael Lewis book "The Big Short," in a since-deleted tweet implied parallels with the 2008 market collapse.</p><p>In a fresh Friday tweet, he mused about the prospects of a consumer-led recession:</p><p>That echoes the fears that were raised earlier in May as retailers Target <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$(TGT)$</a> and Walmart <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">$(WMT)$</a> reported disappointing earnings, triggering a deepening of the stock-market selloff on worries that inflation pressures were beginning to hit corporate bottom lines.</p><p>A further pullback in real yields could allow stocks to rise further in the near term, Noorani said, but he argued that it's unlikely yields have peaked.</p><p>After all, while data, including Friday's reading of the core personal consumption expenditure index, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, shows inflation is slowing, the job of getting price pressures back under control is far from done, he argued.</p><p>That leaves uncertainty about how high the federal funds rate, currently at 0.75% to 1%, will ultimately go. Market pricing points to a so-called terminal rate between 2.5% and 3%, but anything that hints it will be higher than that will rattle investors, he said.</p><p>The single most important driver for yields "is going to be Fed policy," he said, observing that central bankers "have been spooked by inflation at these historically high numbers." Even if it's painful for the real economy, "they have to hit the brakes pretty hard and get those numbers lower."</p><p>While the S&P 500 hasn't technically confirmed that it's in a bear market, many market watchers view that as a mere formality, observing that stocks have been exhibiting bearlike behavior for much of the 2022 selloff.</p><p>Dempter, in a Friday note, played down the consumer discretionary sector's sharp outperformance of the rest of the market in the previous session, acknowledging that, historically, discretionary sees sharp improvement in relative performance about a month before growth troughs. The move was likely an oversold bounce rather than a bottom, he argued, explaining that RenMac would be more optimistic "if growth were weaker, and inflation had peaked."</p><p>"History suggests that both growth and inflation need to weaken further before a bottom occurs," he said, noting that the energy sector's continued outperformance of healthcare suggests that inflation has yet to peak.</p><p>"We'll be watching next week's ISM (manufacturing index) number, as a weak reading may shift the market-cycle clock closer to a more favorable zone for a bottom," he said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the Dow Finally Bounced, and What It Will Take to Convince Investors It's for Real</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the Dow Finally Bounced, and What It Will Take to Convince Investors It's for Real\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-28 20:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>A little pre-summer cheer finally filtered its way into the stock market the week before Memorial Day, but it will likely take more than the Dow Jones Industrial Average's first winning week since late March to convince rattled investors that the pain is in the past.</p><p>What happened? Real, or inflation-adjusted, interest rates fell over the past week, corporate credit spreads -- the yield premium over U.S. Treasurys demanded by investors to buy bonds issued by companies -- tightened, and investor expectations for future Federal Reserve rate increases moderated, noted Mahmood Noorani, chief executive of research firm Quant Insight, in an interview (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7521bdd8c826278369d3b7ba280e9bac\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>That gave some breathing room for a bounce. Quant Insight's model showed the S&P 500 had sunk below fair value but is now right in line with the metric.</p><p>The S&P 500 had narrowly averted a close in bear-market territory on May 19 after hitting a session low more than 20% below its Jan. 3 record close. It then rose 6.6% over the past week, ending Friday 13.3% below its early January peak as it snapped a streak of seven straight weekly declines.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite , which remains solidly in bear-market territory, also broke a run of seven weekly falls, rising 6.8%. The Dow's matching 6.8% rise marked the end of an eight-week run of losing weeks, its longest since 1932.</p><p>Kevin Dempter, an analyst at Renaissance Macro Research, also pointed to a handful of positive factors, including a significant pullback by the U.S. dollar, deeply oversold technical conditions and extremely bearish sentiment, while some stocks, such as that of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>, managed to reverse to the upside despite bad news.</p><p>Neither Noorani nor Dempter were prepared to call a market bottom, however. And there was no shortage of outright bearish expectations. Michael Burry, the founder of Scion Asset Management, rose to fame after anticipating the collapse of the U.S. housing market as chronicled in the Michael Lewis book "The Big Short," in a since-deleted tweet implied parallels with the 2008 market collapse.</p><p>In a fresh Friday tweet, he mused about the prospects of a consumer-led recession:</p><p>That echoes the fears that were raised earlier in May as retailers Target <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$(TGT)$</a> and Walmart <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">$(WMT)$</a> reported disappointing earnings, triggering a deepening of the stock-market selloff on worries that inflation pressures were beginning to hit corporate bottom lines.</p><p>A further pullback in real yields could allow stocks to rise further in the near term, Noorani said, but he argued that it's unlikely yields have peaked.</p><p>After all, while data, including Friday's reading of the core personal consumption expenditure index, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, shows inflation is slowing, the job of getting price pressures back under control is far from done, he argued.</p><p>That leaves uncertainty about how high the federal funds rate, currently at 0.75% to 1%, will ultimately go. Market pricing points to a so-called terminal rate between 2.5% and 3%, but anything that hints it will be higher than that will rattle investors, he said.</p><p>The single most important driver for yields "is going to be Fed policy," he said, observing that central bankers "have been spooked by inflation at these historically high numbers." Even if it's painful for the real economy, "they have to hit the brakes pretty hard and get those numbers lower."</p><p>While the S&P 500 hasn't technically confirmed that it's in a bear market, many market watchers view that as a mere formality, observing that stocks have been exhibiting bearlike behavior for much of the 2022 selloff.</p><p>Dempter, in a Friday note, played down the consumer discretionary sector's sharp outperformance of the rest of the market in the previous session, acknowledging that, historically, discretionary sees sharp improvement in relative performance about a month before growth troughs. The move was likely an oversold bounce rather than a bottom, he argued, explaining that RenMac would be more optimistic "if growth were weaker, and inflation had peaked."</p><p>"History suggests that both growth and inflation need to weaken further before a bottom occurs," he said, noting that the energy sector's continued outperformance of healthcare suggests that inflation has yet to peak.</p><p>"We'll be watching next week's ISM (manufacturing index) number, as a weak reading may shift the market-cycle clock closer to a more favorable zone for a bottom," he said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2238988779","content_text":"A little pre-summer cheer finally filtered its way into the stock market the week before Memorial Day, but it will likely take more than the Dow Jones Industrial Average's first winning week since late March to convince rattled investors that the pain is in the past.What happened? Real, or inflation-adjusted, interest rates fell over the past week, corporate credit spreads -- the yield premium over U.S. Treasurys demanded by investors to buy bonds issued by companies -- tightened, and investor expectations for future Federal Reserve rate increases moderated, noted Mahmood Noorani, chief executive of research firm Quant Insight, in an interview (see chart below).That gave some breathing room for a bounce. Quant Insight's model showed the S&P 500 had sunk below fair value but is now right in line with the metric.The S&P 500 had narrowly averted a close in bear-market territory on May 19 after hitting a session low more than 20% below its Jan. 3 record close. It then rose 6.6% over the past week, ending Friday 13.3% below its early January peak as it snapped a streak of seven straight weekly declines.The Nasdaq Composite , which remains solidly in bear-market territory, also broke a run of seven weekly falls, rising 6.8%. The Dow's matching 6.8% rise marked the end of an eight-week run of losing weeks, its longest since 1932.Kevin Dempter, an analyst at Renaissance Macro Research, also pointed to a handful of positive factors, including a significant pullback by the U.S. dollar, deeply oversold technical conditions and extremely bearish sentiment, while some stocks, such as that of Nvidia Corp., managed to reverse to the upside despite bad news.Neither Noorani nor Dempter were prepared to call a market bottom, however. And there was no shortage of outright bearish expectations. Michael Burry, the founder of Scion Asset Management, rose to fame after anticipating the collapse of the U.S. housing market as chronicled in the Michael Lewis book \"The Big Short,\" in a since-deleted tweet implied parallels with the 2008 market collapse.In a fresh Friday tweet, he mused about the prospects of a consumer-led recession:That echoes the fears that were raised earlier in May as retailers Target $(TGT)$ and Walmart $(WMT)$ reported disappointing earnings, triggering a deepening of the stock-market selloff on worries that inflation pressures were beginning to hit corporate bottom lines.A further pullback in real yields could allow stocks to rise further in the near term, Noorani said, but he argued that it's unlikely yields have peaked.After all, while data, including Friday's reading of the core personal consumption expenditure index, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, shows inflation is slowing, the job of getting price pressures back under control is far from done, he argued.That leaves uncertainty about how high the federal funds rate, currently at 0.75% to 1%, will ultimately go. Market pricing points to a so-called terminal rate between 2.5% and 3%, but anything that hints it will be higher than that will rattle investors, he said.The single most important driver for yields \"is going to be Fed policy,\" he said, observing that central bankers \"have been spooked by inflation at these historically high numbers.\" Even if it's painful for the real economy, \"they have to hit the brakes pretty hard and get those numbers lower.\"While the S&P 500 hasn't technically confirmed that it's in a bear market, many market watchers view that as a mere formality, observing that stocks have been exhibiting bearlike behavior for much of the 2022 selloff.Dempter, in a Friday note, played down the consumer discretionary sector's sharp outperformance of the rest of the market in the previous session, acknowledging that, historically, discretionary sees sharp improvement in relative performance about a month before growth troughs. The move was likely an oversold bounce rather than a bottom, he argued, explaining that RenMac would be more optimistic \"if growth were weaker, and inflation had peaked.\"\"History suggests that both growth and inflation need to weaken further before a bottom occurs,\" he said, noting that the energy sector's continued outperformance of healthcare suggests that inflation has yet to peak.\"We'll be watching next week's ISM (manufacturing index) number, as a weak reading may shift the market-cycle clock closer to a more favorable zone for a bottom,\" he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9024167122,"gmtCreate":1653824771866,"gmtModify":1676535347201,"author":{"id":"3582399348283827","authorId":"3582399348283827","name":"ONGTW","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582399348283827","idStr":"3582399348283827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Zlil","listText":"Zlil","text":"Zlil","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9024167122","repostId":"2238031566","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9024164466,"gmtCreate":1653824713055,"gmtModify":1676535347194,"author":{"id":"3582399348283827","authorId":"3582399348283827","name":"ONGTW","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582399348283827","idStr":"3582399348283827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":",","listText":",","text":",","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9024164466","repostId":"2238031566","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
