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2021-05-16

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2021-05-18

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What signal does the slowdown in U.S. money supply growth in March send?

2021-05-16

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2021-05-29

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The latest policy highlights from the China Securities Regulatory Commission Strictly, severely and swiftly crack down on serious illegal and irregular activities

2021-05-18

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Gunlach: The Federal Reserve has been manipulating the market for a long time.

2021-05-05

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2021-04-29

Long term holding

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Next, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) will further implement the nine-character policy of \"establishing systems, non-interference, and zero tolerance\" to promote the capital market to better play its pivotal role in resource allocation, risk mitigation, policy transmission, and expectation management. Li Chao attended the “International Finance Forum (IFF) 2021 Spring Meeting” today and made the above remarks in his speech at the conference. This forum is themed \"Global Governance and International Cooperation in the Post-Pandemic Era\"...</p><p><a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/h7yYZmRksbeiL2HX7z_RFQ\">Web page link</a></div></p>","source":"shzqb","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The latest policy highlights from the China Securities Regulatory Commission Strictly, severely and swiftly crack down on serious illegal and irregular activities</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe latest policy highlights from the China Securities Regulatory Commission Strictly, severely and swiftly crack down on serious illegal and irregular activities\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">上海证券报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-29 13:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div>Li Chao, vice chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), said that my country's capital market is currently undergoing increasingly profound structural changes, market expectations are positive, market functions have been further realized, and high-quality development has made a good start. Next, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) will further implement the nine-character policy of \"establishing systems, non-interference, and zero tolerance\" to promote the capital market to better play its pivotal role in resource allocation, risk mitigation, policy transmission, and expectation management. Li Chao attended the “International Finance Forum (IFF) 2021 Spring Meeting” today and made the above remarks in his speech at the conference. This forum is themed \"Global Governance and International Cooperation in the Post-Pandemic Era\"...</p><p><a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/h7yYZmRksbeiL2HX7z_RFQ\">Web page link</a></div></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/h7yYZmRksbeiL2HX7z_RFQ\">上海证券报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b03359bd74c102eff90adcc7e2740657","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/h7yYZmRksbeiL2HX7z_RFQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101899491","content_text":"证监会副主席李超表示，当前，我国资本市场正在发生日益深刻的结构性变化，市场预期向好，市场功能得到进一步发挥，高质量发展取得良好开局。下一步，证监会将进一步落实“建制度，不干预，零容忍”的九字方针，推进资本市场更好发挥在资源配置、风险缓释、政策传导、预期管理等方面的枢纽作用。李超今日出席“国际金融论坛（IFF）2021春季会议”，并在大会讲话中作上述表示。此次论坛以“后疫情时代全球治理与国际合作”为主题。他围绕推动资本市场高质量发展，详细阐述了证监会在建制度、不干预、零容忍等三个方面的工作重点。市场日益发生结构性变化 高质量发展取得良好开局李超表示，资本市场是现代经济体系的重要组成部分，也是连接国际国内市场，促进国际分工和贸易投资发展的重要纽带，进入新发展阶段，资本市场必须深入贯彻新发展理念，扎扎实实办好自己的事情，为经济的恢复发展积极贡献力量。他说，当前，我国资本市场正在发生日益深刻的结构性变化，市场韧性、活力和吸引力明显增强，市场生态得到有效改善，市场预期向好，市场功能得到进一步发挥，高质量发展取得良好开局。李超介绍，近年来，证监会紧紧围绕打造一个规范、透明、开放、有活力、有韧性的资本资场这一总体目标，坚持稳中求进的工作总基调，坚持“建制度，不干预，零容忍”，坚持市场化、法治化、国际化，全力做好服务实体经济，深化改革和防范金融风险等重点工作。他具体提到了下述三方面内容：首先，保持监管的弹性和温度，积极应对疫情大考，迅速出台一揽子针对性的政策措施，科学合理的保持IPO再融资的常态化，引导更多资金直达实体经济。其次，加强资本市场顶层设计，推动设立科创板并试点注册制，推出创业板改革、新三板改革，推动提高上市公司质量，推动投资端改革，积极稳妥推进资本市场制度性双向开放，市场、行业、产品开放和便利跨境投融资的制度安排取得实质性进展。再者，坚持底线思维，努力维护市场平稳运行。股票质押、私募基金等重点领域的风险实现总体的收敛，新证券法和刑法修正案（十一）先后施行，相关部门严肃查处了一批市场关注的大案要案。同时，首例特别代表人诉讼落地，投资者救济赔偿取得了新的突破。明确落实“九字方针”下一阶段的工作重点李超表示，今年以来，世界经济出现复苏迹象，但经济复苏分化也较为明显。近期全球大宗商品价格持续上涨，市场对于部分国家实施超宽松政策的外溢性担忧加剧。中国经济呈现稳定恢复态势，消费、投资、出口均有所改善，高质量发展取得新的成效。但经济恢复仍不均衡，基础仍不稳固，这些都给进一步推动我国资本市场高质量发展带来了新课题、新机遇、新挑战。他透露，下一步中国证监会将紧紧围绕“十四五”规划对资本市场的部署要求，进一步落实“建制度，不干预，零容忍”九字方针，推进资本市场更好发挥在资源配置、风险缓释、政策传导、预期管理等方面的枢纽作用，在实现自身高质量发展的同时更好地服务构建新发展格局。具体而言：“建制度”方面：证监会将紧扣注册制改革这一“牛鼻子”工程，坚持稳中求进，做好试点总结评估和改进优化，完善相关配套制度规则，为全市场注册制改革积极创造条件。并以注册制为牵引，推动发行上市、交易、退市、信息披露以及促进中介机构归位尽责，强化监管和风险防范，加强投资者保护等一系列关键制度持续优化。同时，证监会将会同有关方面，积极推动完善债券市场基础制度，稳步推进基础设施领域公募REITs试点落地；配合推动期货法出台，完善大宗商品期货监管和风控制度，为稳价保供积极贡献力量。“不干预”方面：证监会将进一步深化放管服改革，重点突出放管结合，以更大力度推进简政放权。一方面继续坚定“放”，凡是市场机制能有效发挥作用的领域，坚决放权于市场，减少不必要的管制，不断提升监管的透明度和可预期性，进一步激发市场活力；另一方面，持续抓好“管”，该监管的一定坚决管住，管好，坚持科学监管，分类监管，专业监管、持续监管，进一步完善事中、事后监管的制度安排。对各类风险努力做到“看得明、说得清、守得住”，同时不断提升监管的科技化、智能化水平，增强监管有效性。“零容忍”方面：证监会将在持续加强、改进日常监管的基础上，会同立法、司法机关等有关方面，进一步落实好关于依法从严打击证券违法活动的指导性文件，加快健全有中国特色的证券执法司法体制机制；持续完善资本市场法治基础，从严从重从快打击欺诈发行、财务造假，以及以市值管理之名行市场操纵之实等恶性违法违规行为，让做坏事之人付出沉重代价。同时，证监会将推动常态化开展投保机构代表人诉讼工作，更好保护投资人，特别是中小投资者合法权益，进一步营造良好的市场发展生态。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194804431,"gmtCreate":1621351295723,"gmtModify":1704356307595,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194804431","repostId":"1176256005","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176256005","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621350223,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176256005?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-18 23:03","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"What signal does the slowdown in U.S. money supply growth in March send?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176256005","media":"金十数据","summary":"美国M2增长率在2021年3月达到了历史新高，比2月的26.9%增长了24.2%。\n\n在连续三个月触及历史新高之后，美国货币供应增长在3月份放缓，降至10个月来的低点。虽然去年量化宽松和美联储购买资产","content":"<p>The U.S. M2 growth rate reached a record high in March 2021, up 24.2% from 26.9% in February. After hitting record highs for three consecutive months, U.S. money supply growth slowed in March, falling to a 10-month low. Although the introduction of stimulus packages such as asset purchases by quantitative easing and the Federal Reserve last year led to high growth in the money supply, the current growth of the money supply seems to be slowing down.</p><p>In March 2021, the U.S. money supply increased by 34.1% year-on-year, a slight decrease from 39.1% in February and an increase from 11.3% in March 2020. March data shows that the current high growth in the money supply has lasted for 12 months.</p><p>Last year, the money supply grew at the highest rate in history, close to the 1970s. This growth trend is likely to continue, as the United States has now been mired in an economic crisis for a year. From March to mid-September, about 1 million people in the United States filed for unemployment benefits every week.</p><p>Although the number of people applying for unemployment benefits finally dropped below 500,000 by early May 2021, there are still more than 3.8 million unemployed people receiving unemployment benefits. Even after a year of lockdown due to the pandemic, the total number has not returned to the level before the outbreak.</p><p>The Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury are also continuously introducing policies to \"stimulate\" the economy, such as providing subsidies to unemployed workers and providing liquidity to financial institutions. The Federal Reserve has consistently driven new money creation by purchasing trillions of dollars in assets, including government debt.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86529de5973bb9b3bfa0106111c9b8c8\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The image above shows Ross<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCR\">Bard</a>- The Salerno Money Supply (TMS) indicator, which provides a better measure of money supply fluctuations than M2. This measure of the money supply is different from M2; it includes the Treasury's deposits with the Federal Reserve (excluding short-term deposits, traveler's checks, and retail money funds).</p><p>This indicator shows that the U.S. M2 growth rate reached a record high in March 2021, up 24.2% from 26.9% in February. In March last year, M2 grew by 10.1%.</p><p>What does that mean?</p><p>The growth of the money supply is usually an effective indicator of economic activity. During periods of economic prosperity, commercial banks issue more loans, and the money supply tends to grow rapidly. When money supply growth slows, the economy may also fall into recession.</p><p>In addition, the money supply often begins to grow slowly before the economic recession begins. As a recession approaches, the TMS growth rate usually climbs and exceeds the M2 growth rate, as happened in the months leading up to the crises of 2002 and 2009, and a similar situation occurred before the outbreak of the pandemic in 2020.</p><p>The Federal Reserve's balance sheet grew in tandem with the growth of the U.S. money supply. After initial balance sheet growth at the end of 2019, the Federal Reserve's total assets surged to nearly $7.2 trillion in June and have rarely fallen below the $7 trillion mark since.</p><p>The U.S. balance sheet is currently approaching a record high of $8 trillion. These new asset purchase programs have boosted the Federal Reserve's balance sheet far more than the stimulus programs during the Great Recession. The Federal Reserve's assets are now more than 600% higher than they were before the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a31ffc60b90ea90e7bc81e64f7df40\" tg-width=\"687\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>It should be noted that some factors are currently suppressing the growth rate of the money supply. For example, since February, the year-on-year growth rate of U.S. commercial and industrial loans has been slowing, falling from 10.1% in February to 3.9% in March, and loan growth turned negative in April. If lending activity slows or declines, this will put downward pressure on money supply growth.</p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What signal does the slowdown in U.S. money supply growth in March send?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat signal does the slowdown in U.S. money supply growth in March send?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-18 23:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The U.S. M2 growth rate reached a record high in March 2021, up 24.2% from 26.9% in February. After hitting record highs for three consecutive months, U.S. money supply growth slowed in March, falling to a 10-month low. Although the introduction of stimulus packages such as asset purchases by quantitative easing and the Federal Reserve last year led to high growth in the money supply, the current growth of the money supply seems to be slowing down.</p><p>In March 2021, the U.S. money supply increased by 34.1% year-on-year, a slight decrease from 39.1% in February and an increase from 11.3% in March 2020. March data shows that the current high growth in the money supply has lasted for 12 months.</p><p>Last year, the money supply grew at the highest rate in history, close to the 1970s. This growth trend is likely to continue, as the United States has now been mired in an economic crisis for a year. From March to mid-September, about 1 million people in the United States filed for unemployment benefits every week.</p><p>Although the number of people applying for unemployment benefits finally dropped below 500,000 by early May 2021, there are still more than 3.8 million unemployed people receiving unemployment benefits. Even after a year of lockdown due to the pandemic, the total number has not returned to the level before the outbreak.</p><p>The Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury are also continuously introducing policies to \"stimulate\" the economy, such as providing subsidies to unemployed workers and providing liquidity to financial institutions. The Federal Reserve has consistently driven new money creation by purchasing trillions of dollars in assets, including government debt.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86529de5973bb9b3bfa0106111c9b8c8\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The image above shows Ross<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCR\">Bard</a>- The Salerno Money Supply (TMS) indicator, which provides a better measure of money supply fluctuations than M2. This measure of the money supply is different from M2; it includes the Treasury's deposits with the Federal Reserve (excluding short-term deposits, traveler's checks, and retail money funds).</p><p>This indicator shows that the U.S. M2 growth rate reached a record high in March 2021, up 24.2% from 26.9% in February. In March last year, M2 grew by 10.1%.</p><p>What does that mean?</p><p>The growth of the money supply is usually an effective indicator of economic activity. During periods of economic prosperity, commercial banks issue more loans, and the money supply tends to grow rapidly. When money supply growth slows, the economy may also fall into recession.</p><p>In addition, the money supply often begins to grow slowly before the economic recession begins. As a recession approaches, the TMS growth rate usually climbs and exceeds the M2 growth rate, as happened in the months leading up to the crises of 2002 and 2009, and a similar situation occurred before the outbreak of the pandemic in 2020.</p><p>The Federal Reserve's balance sheet grew in tandem with the growth of the U.S. money supply. After initial balance sheet growth at the end of 2019, the Federal Reserve's total assets surged to nearly $7.2 trillion in June and have rarely fallen below the $7 trillion mark since.</p><p>The U.S. balance sheet is currently approaching a record high of $8 trillion. These new asset purchase programs have boosted the Federal Reserve's balance sheet far more than the stimulus programs during the Great Recession. The Federal Reserve's assets are now more than 600% higher than they were before the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a31ffc60b90ea90e7bc81e64f7df40\" tg-width=\"687\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>It should be noted that some factors are currently suppressing the growth rate of the money supply. For example, since February, the year-on-year growth rate of U.S. commercial and industrial loans has been slowing, falling from 10.1% in February to 3.9% in March, and loan growth turned negative in April. If lending activity slows or declines, this will put downward pressure on money supply growth.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/74683\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62b889d823b16eb88fde7821485a6ea1","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".DJI":"道琼斯","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/74683","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176256005","content_text":"美国M2增长率在2021年3月达到了历史新高，比2月的26.9%增长了24.2%。\n\n在连续三个月触及历史新高之后，美国货币供应增长在3月份放缓，降至10个月来的低点。虽然去年量化宽松和美联储购买资产等刺激方案的出台，令货币供应实现高增长，但目前货币供应增长似乎出现了放缓的趋势。\n2021年3月，美国货币供应量同比增长34.1%，比2月份的39.1%略有下降，比2020年3月的11.3%有所上升。3月份数据显示，目前货币供应量的高增长已持续了12个月。\n去年的货币供应增长率是史上最高的，接近于1970年代时期。这个增长趋势很可能会继续下去，目前美国已陷入经济危机持续一年。从3月到9月中旬，美国每周约有100万人申请失业救济。\n虽然到2021年5月初，申请失业救济最终降至50万人以下，但目前依然累计有380多万失业人员领取失业救济，总人数在疫情封锁一年之后也未能回落到疫情爆发前的水平。\n美联储和美国财政部也在持续出台“刺激”经济的相关政策，例如为失业工人提供补贴，以及为金融机构提供流动性。一直以来，美联储在购买数万亿美元包括政府债务的资产，推动了新的货币创造。\n\n上图显示了罗斯巴德-萨勒诺货币供应量（TMS）指标，这个指标提供了比M2更好的反映货币供应波动的度量。这种衡量货币供应量的指标与M2不同，它包含了财政部在美联储的存款（不包括短期存款、旅行支票和零售货币基金）。\n这个指标显示，美国M2增长率在2021年3月达到了历史新高，比2月的26.9%增长了24.2%。去年3月，M2增长了10.1%。\n这意味着什么？\n货币供应量的增长通常是衡量经济活动的有效指标。在经济繁荣时期，商业银行会发放更多贷款，货币供应往往会迅速增长。而当货币供应增长放缓，经济也可能陷入了衰退。\n另外，货币供应量往往在经济开始衰退之前就开始缓慢增长。随着经济衰退的临近，TMS增长率通常会攀升，并超过M2增长率，例如发生在2002年和2009年危机的前几个月，类似的情况还有2020年疫情爆发之前。\n与美国货币供应增长同步的是美联储资产负债表的增长。在2019年末初始资产负债表增长之后，美联储总资产在6月份飙升至近7.2万亿美元，此后很少跌破7万亿美元关口。\n美国资产负债表规模目前正朝着8万亿美元的历史新高迈进。这些新的资产购买计划对美联储资产负债表的推动，远远超过了大衰退（Great Recession）期间刺激计划的程度。美联储的资产现在比2008年金融危机前增加了超过600%。\n\n需要注意的是，目前一些因素正在抑制货币供应增速。例如，自2月份以来，美国商业和工业贷款同比增速一直放缓，贷款增速从2月份的10.1%降至3月份的3.9%，且贷款增长在4月份已转为负。如果贷款活动放缓或下降，这将给货币供应增长带来下行压力。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"QID":0.9,"DOG":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194804242,"gmtCreate":1621351280886,"gmtModify":1704356307263,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194804242","repostId":"1167406373","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167406373","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621350147,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167406373?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-18 23:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Gunlach: The Federal Reserve has been manipulating the market for a long time.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167406373","media":"金十数据","summary":"现在距离30年美债收益率到顶还差得很远，这是一个值得警惕的风险因素。\n\nDoubleLine Capital的创始人兼首席执行官杰弗里·冈拉克（Jeffrey Gundlach）表示：\n\n “\n 美联","content":"<p>The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds is still far from peaking, which is a risk factor to be wary of. Jeffrey Gundlach, founder and CEO of DoubleLine Capital, said:</p><p>“<b>The Federal Reserve has long been manipulating the market.</b>Asset valuations are already very, very high due to the staggering number of stimuli. Since the Federal Reserve began its quantitative easing, there has been some kind of connection between the Fed's continuous expansion of its balance sheet and the S&P 500 index, which is like a law of physics. If you divide the market capitalization of the S&P 500 by the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, it looks like a constant. Even though stock market valuations are high historically, they are still below average compared to bond valuations. Last Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the CPI rose 0.8% in April from March, far exceeding market expectations. Excluding food and energy, core inflation rose 0.9% from the previous month, the largest monthly increase since 1982. In addition, compared with the same period last year, the CPI rose 4.2% in April, faster than expected, and the largest increase since September 2008.</p><p>April CPI was higher than DoubleLine's forecast. Gunlach said DoubleLine Capital's model predicts that inflation could rise in the coming months and could peak in July.</p><p>\"If inflation continues to rise, then people will worry whether it is temporary.\"<b>The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds is still far from peaking, which is a risk factor to be wary of.</b>Regarding opportunities, Gunlak, who was once very optimistic about commodities, said that short-term commodity price increases were too large.</p><p>Gunlach believes that the dollar may rise by the end of the year.</p><p>Since January, Gunlack's recommendation has been to hold floating-rate corporate bonds, such as bank loans. the InvescoSenior Loan (BKLN) ETTF.</p><p>“BKLN saw mostly net outflows in 2020 because people thought it would be zero interest rates for a considerable period of time, but now people are starting to change their mindset and believe that short-term interest rates will eventually rise as well. Bank loans have the same or longer terms as other investment-grade bonds, so I prefer bank loans.” DoubleLine also recently bought European stocks for the first time. Gunlak said:</p><p>“We have never held any European stocks. We don’t like negative interest rates in Europe, and the Eurozone has various structural problems. DoubleLine’s long-term view is that the dollar is weaker, which is a positive factor for European stocks. European stocks have performed roughly the same or slightly better than US stocks this year. This is another trend that is changing.” Just as the Nasdaq no longer outperformed the S&P 500, suddenly non-U.S. stock markets began to rise, and European stock markets began to outperform slightly. Although it is still too early, Gunlach is bullish on emerging market stocks in the long term.</p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gunlach: The Federal Reserve has been manipulating the market for a long time.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGunlach: The Federal Reserve has been manipulating the market for a long time.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-18 23:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds is still far from peaking, which is a risk factor to be wary of. Jeffrey Gundlach, founder and CEO of DoubleLine Capital, said:</p><p>“<b>The Federal Reserve has long been manipulating the market.</b>Asset valuations are already very, very high due to the staggering number of stimuli. Since the Federal Reserve began its quantitative easing, there has been some kind of connection between the Fed's continuous expansion of its balance sheet and the S&P 500 index, which is like a law of physics. If you divide the market capitalization of the S&P 500 by the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, it looks like a constant. Even though stock market valuations are high historically, they are still below average compared to bond valuations. Last Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the CPI rose 0.8% in April from March, far exceeding market expectations. Excluding food and energy, core inflation rose 0.9% from the previous month, the largest monthly increase since 1982. In addition, compared with the same period last year, the CPI rose 4.2% in April, faster than expected, and the largest increase since September 2008.</p><p>April CPI was higher than DoubleLine's forecast. Gunlach said DoubleLine Capital's model predicts that inflation could rise in the coming months and could peak in July.</p><p>\"If inflation continues to rise, then people will worry whether it is temporary.\"<b>The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds is still far from peaking, which is a risk factor to be wary of.</b>Regarding opportunities, Gunlak, who was once very optimistic about commodities, said that short-term commodity price increases were too large.</p><p>Gunlach believes that the dollar may rise by the end of the year.</p><p>Since January, Gunlack's recommendation has been to hold floating-rate corporate bonds, such as bank loans. the InvescoSenior Loan (BKLN) ETTF.</p><p>“BKLN saw mostly net outflows in 2020 because people thought it would be zero interest rates for a considerable period of time, but now people are starting to change their mindset and believe that short-term interest rates will eventually rise as well. Bank loans have the same or longer terms as other investment-grade bonds, so I prefer bank loans.” DoubleLine also recently bought European stocks for the first time. Gunlak said:</p><p>“We have never held any European stocks. We don’t like negative interest rates in Europe, and the Eurozone has various structural problems. DoubleLine’s long-term view is that the dollar is weaker, which is a positive factor for European stocks. European stocks have performed roughly the same or slightly better than US stocks this year. This is another trend that is changing.” Just as the Nasdaq no longer outperformed the S&P 500, suddenly non-U.S. stock markets began to rise, and European stock markets began to outperform slightly. Although it is still too early, Gunlach is bullish on emerging market stocks in the long term.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/74695\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/74695","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167406373","content_text":"现在距离30年美债收益率到顶还差得很远，这是一个值得警惕的风险因素。\n\nDoubleLine Capital的创始人兼首席执行官杰弗里·冈拉克（Jeffrey Gundlach）表示：\n\n “\n 美联储长期以来一直在操纵市场。由于数量惊人的刺激，资产估值已经非常非常高。自从美联储开始量化宽松以来，美联储不断扩大资产负债表与标准普尔500指数之间就存在着某种联系，这就像是物理定律。如果将标普500的市值除以美联储的资产负债表，看起来就是一个常数。即使从历史水平来看股市估值很高，但跟债券比相比，还是低于均值。”\n\n上周三，美国劳工统计局报告称，4月的CPI比3月份上涨了0.8％，远远超出市场预期。除去食品和能源，核心通货膨胀率较上个月上涨了0.9％，是自1982年以来的最大单月涨幅。此外，与去年同期相比，4月份CPI上涨了4.2％，增幅快于预期，是自2008年9月以来的最大涨幅。\n4月CPI高于DoubleLine的预测。冈拉克说，DoubleLine Capital的模型预测通货膨胀率可能在未来几个月内上升，并可能在7月达到顶峰。\n\n “如果通胀继续走高，那么人们会担心通胀是否是暂时的。\n 现在距离30年美债收益率到顶还差得很远，这是一个值得警惕的风险因素。”\n\n在机会方面，曾非常看好大宗商品的冈拉克表示，短期商品涨幅过大。\n冈拉克认为，到年底美元可能会有所上涨。\n自一月份以来，冈拉克的建议是持有浮动利率的公司债券，如银行贷款，如the InvescoSenior Loan (BKLN) ETTF。\n\n “2020年BKLN基本都是净流出，因为人们认为在相当长的时期为零利率，但现在人们开始转变思路，觉得短端利率最终也会上行。银行贷款与其他投资级债券比，具有相同期限或更长的期限，因此，我倾向银行贷款。”\n\nDoubleLine最近还首次买入了欧洲股票。冈拉克称：\n\n “我们从未持有过任何欧洲股票。我们不喜欢欧洲的负利率，并且欧元区有各种结构性问题。DoubleLine的长期观点是美元走低，这对欧洲股票来说是个利好因素。欧洲股市今年的表现与美国股市基本相同或略好。这是另外一个正在改变的趋势。就像纳斯达克指数不再跑赢标准普尔500指数一样，突然之间，非美股市开始涨了，欧洲股市开始略胜一筹。”\n\n虽然还为时过早，但冈拉克长期看好新兴市场股票。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192355407,"gmtCreate":1621150955809,"gmtModify":1704353422427,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192355407","repostId":"2135899509","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192355133,"gmtCreate":1621150888022,"gmtModify":1704353421457,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192355133","repostId":"2135498979","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102100409,"gmtCreate":1620181017001,"gmtModify":1704339835190,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/102100409","repostId":"1143138708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4986,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":109668881,"gmtCreate":1619692163243,"gmtModify":1704728085654,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Long term holding","listText":"Long term holding","text":"Long term holding","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87793a177a019ac88f8dd6381774c274","width":"750","height":"1324"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/109668881","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":192355133,"gmtCreate":1621150888022,"gmtModify":1704353421457,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192355133","repostId":"2135498979","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194804431,"gmtCreate":1621351295723,"gmtModify":1704356307595,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194804431","repostId":"1176256005","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176256005","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621350223,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176256005?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-18 23:03","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"What signal does the slowdown in U.S. money supply growth in March send?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176256005","media":"金十数据","summary":"美国M2增长率在2021年3月达到了历史新高，比2月的26.9%增长了24.2%。\n\n在连续三个月触及历史新高之后，美国货币供应增长在3月份放缓，降至10个月来的低点。虽然去年量化宽松和美联储购买资产","content":"<p>The U.S. M2 growth rate reached a record high in March 2021, up 24.2% from 26.9% in February. After hitting record highs for three consecutive months, U.S. money supply growth slowed in March, falling to a 10-month low. Although the introduction of stimulus packages such as asset purchases by quantitative easing and the Federal Reserve last year led to high growth in the money supply, the current growth of the money supply seems to be slowing down.</p><p>In March 2021, the U.S. money supply increased by 34.1% year-on-year, a slight decrease from 39.1% in February and an increase from 11.3% in March 2020. March data shows that the current high growth in the money supply has lasted for 12 months.</p><p>Last year, the money supply grew at the highest rate in history, close to the 1970s. This growth trend is likely to continue, as the United States has now been mired in an economic crisis for a year. From March to mid-September, about 1 million people in the United States filed for unemployment benefits every week.</p><p>Although the number of people applying for unemployment benefits finally dropped below 500,000 by early May 2021, there are still more than 3.8 million unemployed people receiving unemployment benefits. Even after a year of lockdown due to the pandemic, the total number has not returned to the level before the outbreak.</p><p>The Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury are also continuously introducing policies to \"stimulate\" the economy, such as providing subsidies to unemployed workers and providing liquidity to financial institutions. The Federal Reserve has consistently driven new money creation by purchasing trillions of dollars in assets, including government debt.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86529de5973bb9b3bfa0106111c9b8c8\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The image above shows Ross<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCR\">Bard</a>- The Salerno Money Supply (TMS) indicator, which provides a better measure of money supply fluctuations than M2. This measure of the money supply is different from M2; it includes the Treasury's deposits with the Federal Reserve (excluding short-term deposits, traveler's checks, and retail money funds).</p><p>This indicator shows that the U.S. M2 growth rate reached a record high in March 2021, up 24.2% from 26.9% in February. In March last year, M2 grew by 10.1%.</p><p>What does that mean?</p><p>The growth of the money supply is usually an effective indicator of economic activity. During periods of economic prosperity, commercial banks issue more loans, and the money supply tends to grow rapidly. When money supply growth slows, the economy may also fall into recession.</p><p>In addition, the money supply often begins to grow slowly before the economic recession begins. As a recession approaches, the TMS growth rate usually climbs and exceeds the M2 growth rate, as happened in the months leading up to the crises of 2002 and 2009, and a similar situation occurred before the outbreak of the pandemic in 2020.</p><p>The Federal Reserve's balance sheet grew in tandem with the growth of the U.S. money supply. After initial balance sheet growth at the end of 2019, the Federal Reserve's total assets surged to nearly $7.2 trillion in June and have rarely fallen below the $7 trillion mark since.</p><p>The U.S. balance sheet is currently approaching a record high of $8 trillion. These new asset purchase programs have boosted the Federal Reserve's balance sheet far more than the stimulus programs during the Great Recession. The Federal Reserve's assets are now more than 600% higher than they were before the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a31ffc60b90ea90e7bc81e64f7df40\" tg-width=\"687\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>It should be noted that some factors are currently suppressing the growth rate of the money supply. For example, since February, the year-on-year growth rate of U.S. commercial and industrial loans has been slowing, falling from 10.1% in February to 3.9% in March, and loan growth turned negative in April. If lending activity slows or declines, this will put downward pressure on money supply growth.</p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What signal does the slowdown in U.S. money supply growth in March send?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat signal does the slowdown in U.S. money supply growth in March send?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-18 23:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The U.S. M2 growth rate reached a record high in March 2021, up 24.2% from 26.9% in February. After hitting record highs for three consecutive months, U.S. money supply growth slowed in March, falling to a 10-month low. Although the introduction of stimulus packages such as asset purchases by quantitative easing and the Federal Reserve last year led to high growth in the money supply, the current growth of the money supply seems to be slowing down.</p><p>In March 2021, the U.S. money supply increased by 34.1% year-on-year, a slight decrease from 39.1% in February and an increase from 11.3% in March 2020. March data shows that the current high growth in the money supply has lasted for 12 months.</p><p>Last year, the money supply grew at the highest rate in history, close to the 1970s. This growth trend is likely to continue, as the United States has now been mired in an economic crisis for a year. From March to mid-September, about 1 million people in the United States filed for unemployment benefits every week.</p><p>Although the number of people applying for unemployment benefits finally dropped below 500,000 by early May 2021, there are still more than 3.8 million unemployed people receiving unemployment benefits. Even after a year of lockdown due to the pandemic, the total number has not returned to the level before the outbreak.</p><p>The Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury are also continuously introducing policies to \"stimulate\" the economy, such as providing subsidies to unemployed workers and providing liquidity to financial institutions. The Federal Reserve has consistently driven new money creation by purchasing trillions of dollars in assets, including government debt.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86529de5973bb9b3bfa0106111c9b8c8\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The image above shows Ross<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCR\">Bard</a>- The Salerno Money Supply (TMS) indicator, which provides a better measure of money supply fluctuations than M2. This measure of the money supply is different from M2; it includes the Treasury's deposits with the Federal Reserve (excluding short-term deposits, traveler's checks, and retail money funds).</p><p>This indicator shows that the U.S. M2 growth rate reached a record high in March 2021, up 24.2% from 26.9% in February. In March last year, M2 grew by 10.1%.</p><p>What does that mean?</p><p>The growth of the money supply is usually an effective indicator of economic activity. During periods of economic prosperity, commercial banks issue more loans, and the money supply tends to grow rapidly. When money supply growth slows, the economy may also fall into recession.</p><p>In addition, the money supply often begins to grow slowly before the economic recession begins. As a recession approaches, the TMS growth rate usually climbs and exceeds the M2 growth rate, as happened in the months leading up to the crises of 2002 and 2009, and a similar situation occurred before the outbreak of the pandemic in 2020.</p><p>The Federal Reserve's balance sheet grew in tandem with the growth of the U.S. money supply. After initial balance sheet growth at the end of 2019, the Federal Reserve's total assets surged to nearly $7.2 trillion in June and have rarely fallen below the $7 trillion mark since.</p><p>The U.S. balance sheet is currently approaching a record high of $8 trillion. These new asset purchase programs have boosted the Federal Reserve's balance sheet far more than the stimulus programs during the Great Recession. The Federal Reserve's assets are now more than 600% higher than they were before the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a31ffc60b90ea90e7bc81e64f7df40\" tg-width=\"687\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>It should be noted that some factors are currently suppressing the growth rate of the money supply. For example, since February, the year-on-year growth rate of U.S. commercial and industrial loans has been slowing, falling from 10.1% in February to 3.9% in March, and loan growth turned negative in April. If lending activity slows or declines, this will put downward pressure on money supply growth.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/74683\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62b889d823b16eb88fde7821485a6ea1","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".DJI":"道琼斯","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/74683","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176256005","content_text":"美国M2增长率在2021年3月达到了历史新高，比2月的26.9%增长了24.2%。\n\n在连续三个月触及历史新高之后，美国货币供应增长在3月份放缓，降至10个月来的低点。虽然去年量化宽松和美联储购买资产等刺激方案的出台，令货币供应实现高增长，但目前货币供应增长似乎出现了放缓的趋势。\n2021年3月，美国货币供应量同比增长34.1%，比2月份的39.1%略有下降，比2020年3月的11.3%有所上升。3月份数据显示，目前货币供应量的高增长已持续了12个月。\n去年的货币供应增长率是史上最高的，接近于1970年代时期。这个增长趋势很可能会继续下去，目前美国已陷入经济危机持续一年。从3月到9月中旬，美国每周约有100万人申请失业救济。\n虽然到2021年5月初，申请失业救济最终降至50万人以下，但目前依然累计有380多万失业人员领取失业救济，总人数在疫情封锁一年之后也未能回落到疫情爆发前的水平。\n美联储和美国财政部也在持续出台“刺激”经济的相关政策，例如为失业工人提供补贴，以及为金融机构提供流动性。一直以来，美联储在购买数万亿美元包括政府债务的资产，推动了新的货币创造。\n\n上图显示了罗斯巴德-萨勒诺货币供应量（TMS）指标，这个指标提供了比M2更好的反映货币供应波动的度量。这种衡量货币供应量的指标与M2不同，它包含了财政部在美联储的存款（不包括短期存款、旅行支票和零售货币基金）。\n这个指标显示，美国M2增长率在2021年3月达到了历史新高，比2月的26.9%增长了24.2%。去年3月，M2增长了10.1%。\n这意味着什么？\n货币供应量的增长通常是衡量经济活动的有效指标。在经济繁荣时期，商业银行会发放更多贷款，货币供应往往会迅速增长。而当货币供应增长放缓，经济也可能陷入了衰退。\n另外，货币供应量往往在经济开始衰退之前就开始缓慢增长。随着经济衰退的临近，TMS增长率通常会攀升，并超过M2增长率，例如发生在2002年和2009年危机的前几个月，类似的情况还有2020年疫情爆发之前。\n与美国货币供应增长同步的是美联储资产负债表的增长。在2019年末初始资产负债表增长之后，美联储总资产在6月份飙升至近7.2万亿美元，此后很少跌破7万亿美元关口。\n美国资产负债表规模目前正朝着8万亿美元的历史新高迈进。这些新的资产购买计划对美联储资产负债表的推动，远远超过了大衰退（Great Recession）期间刺激计划的程度。美联储的资产现在比2008年金融危机前增加了超过600%。\n\n需要注意的是，目前一些因素正在抑制货币供应增速。例如，自2月份以来，美国商业和工业贷款同比增速一直放缓，贷款增速从2月份的10.1%降至3月份的3.9%，且贷款增长在4月份已转为负。如果贷款活动放缓或下降，这将给货币供应增长带来下行压力。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"QID":0.9,"DOG":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192355407,"gmtCreate":1621150955809,"gmtModify":1704353422427,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192355407","repostId":"2135899509","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137393629,"gmtCreate":1622295475361,"gmtModify":1704182788556,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137393629","repostId":"1101899491","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101899491","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622266235,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1101899491?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-29 13:30","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"The latest policy highlights from the China Securities Regulatory Commission Strictly, severely and swiftly crack down on serious illegal and irregular activities","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101899491","media":"上海证券报","summary":"证监会副主席李超表示，当前，我国资本市场正在发生日益深刻的结构性变化，市场预期向好，市场功能得到进一步发挥，高质量发展取得良好开局。下一步，证监会将进一步落实“建制度，不干预，零容忍”的九字方针，推进","content":"<p><div>Li Chao, vice chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), said that my country's capital market is currently undergoing increasingly profound structural changes, market expectations are positive, market functions have been further realized, and high-quality development has made a good start. Next, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) will further implement the nine-character policy of \"establishing systems, non-interference, and zero tolerance\" to promote the capital market to better play its pivotal role in resource allocation, risk mitigation, policy transmission, and expectation management. Li Chao attended the “International Finance Forum (IFF) 2021 Spring Meeting” today and made the above remarks in his speech at the conference. This forum is themed \"Global Governance and International Cooperation in the Post-Pandemic Era\"...</p><p><a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/h7yYZmRksbeiL2HX7z_RFQ\">Web page link</a></div></p>","source":"shzqb","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The latest policy highlights from the China Securities Regulatory Commission Strictly, severely and swiftly crack down on serious illegal and irregular activities</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe latest policy highlights from the China Securities Regulatory Commission Strictly, severely and swiftly crack down on serious illegal and irregular activities\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">上海证券报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-29 13:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div>Li Chao, vice chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), said that my country's capital market is currently undergoing increasingly profound structural changes, market expectations are positive, market functions have been further realized, and high-quality development has made a good start. Next, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) will further implement the nine-character policy of \"establishing systems, non-interference, and zero tolerance\" to promote the capital market to better play its pivotal role in resource allocation, risk mitigation, policy transmission, and expectation management. Li Chao attended the “International Finance Forum (IFF) 2021 Spring Meeting” today and made the above remarks in his speech at the conference. This forum is themed \"Global Governance and International Cooperation in the Post-Pandemic Era\"...</p><p><a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/h7yYZmRksbeiL2HX7z_RFQ\">Web page link</a></div></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/h7yYZmRksbeiL2HX7z_RFQ\">上海证券报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b03359bd74c102eff90adcc7e2740657","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/h7yYZmRksbeiL2HX7z_RFQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101899491","content_text":"证监会副主席李超表示，当前，我国资本市场正在发生日益深刻的结构性变化，市场预期向好，市场功能得到进一步发挥，高质量发展取得良好开局。下一步，证监会将进一步落实“建制度，不干预，零容忍”的九字方针，推进资本市场更好发挥在资源配置、风险缓释、政策传导、预期管理等方面的枢纽作用。李超今日出席“国际金融论坛（IFF）2021春季会议”，并在大会讲话中作上述表示。此次论坛以“后疫情时代全球治理与国际合作”为主题。他围绕推动资本市场高质量发展，详细阐述了证监会在建制度、不干预、零容忍等三个方面的工作重点。市场日益发生结构性变化 高质量发展取得良好开局李超表示，资本市场是现代经济体系的重要组成部分，也是连接国际国内市场，促进国际分工和贸易投资发展的重要纽带，进入新发展阶段，资本市场必须深入贯彻新发展理念，扎扎实实办好自己的事情，为经济的恢复发展积极贡献力量。他说，当前，我国资本市场正在发生日益深刻的结构性变化，市场韧性、活力和吸引力明显增强，市场生态得到有效改善，市场预期向好，市场功能得到进一步发挥，高质量发展取得良好开局。李超介绍，近年来，证监会紧紧围绕打造一个规范、透明、开放、有活力、有韧性的资本资场这一总体目标，坚持稳中求进的工作总基调，坚持“建制度，不干预，零容忍”，坚持市场化、法治化、国际化，全力做好服务实体经济，深化改革和防范金融风险等重点工作。他具体提到了下述三方面内容：首先，保持监管的弹性和温度，积极应对疫情大考，迅速出台一揽子针对性的政策措施，科学合理的保持IPO再融资的常态化，引导更多资金直达实体经济。其次，加强资本市场顶层设计，推动设立科创板并试点注册制，推出创业板改革、新三板改革，推动提高上市公司质量，推动投资端改革，积极稳妥推进资本市场制度性双向开放，市场、行业、产品开放和便利跨境投融资的制度安排取得实质性进展。再者，坚持底线思维，努力维护市场平稳运行。股票质押、私募基金等重点领域的风险实现总体的收敛，新证券法和刑法修正案（十一）先后施行，相关部门严肃查处了一批市场关注的大案要案。同时，首例特别代表人诉讼落地，投资者救济赔偿取得了新的突破。明确落实“九字方针”下一阶段的工作重点李超表示，今年以来，世界经济出现复苏迹象，但经济复苏分化也较为明显。近期全球大宗商品价格持续上涨，市场对于部分国家实施超宽松政策的外溢性担忧加剧。中国经济呈现稳定恢复态势，消费、投资、出口均有所改善，高质量发展取得新的成效。但经济恢复仍不均衡，基础仍不稳固，这些都给进一步推动我国资本市场高质量发展带来了新课题、新机遇、新挑战。他透露，下一步中国证监会将紧紧围绕“十四五”规划对资本市场的部署要求，进一步落实“建制度，不干预，零容忍”九字方针，推进资本市场更好发挥在资源配置、风险缓释、政策传导、预期管理等方面的枢纽作用，在实现自身高质量发展的同时更好地服务构建新发展格局。具体而言：“建制度”方面：证监会将紧扣注册制改革这一“牛鼻子”工程，坚持稳中求进，做好试点总结评估和改进优化，完善相关配套制度规则，为全市场注册制改革积极创造条件。并以注册制为牵引，推动发行上市、交易、退市、信息披露以及促进中介机构归位尽责，强化监管和风险防范，加强投资者保护等一系列关键制度持续优化。同时，证监会将会同有关方面，积极推动完善债券市场基础制度，稳步推进基础设施领域公募REITs试点落地；配合推动期货法出台，完善大宗商品期货监管和风控制度，为稳价保供积极贡献力量。“不干预”方面：证监会将进一步深化放管服改革，重点突出放管结合，以更大力度推进简政放权。一方面继续坚定“放”，凡是市场机制能有效发挥作用的领域，坚决放权于市场，减少不必要的管制，不断提升监管的透明度和可预期性，进一步激发市场活力；另一方面，持续抓好“管”，该监管的一定坚决管住，管好，坚持科学监管，分类监管，专业监管、持续监管，进一步完善事中、事后监管的制度安排。对各类风险努力做到“看得明、说得清、守得住”，同时不断提升监管的科技化、智能化水平，增强监管有效性。“零容忍”方面：证监会将在持续加强、改进日常监管的基础上，会同立法、司法机关等有关方面，进一步落实好关于依法从严打击证券违法活动的指导性文件，加快健全有中国特色的证券执法司法体制机制；持续完善资本市场法治基础，从严从重从快打击欺诈发行、财务造假，以及以市值管理之名行市场操纵之实等恶性违法违规行为，让做坏事之人付出沉重代价。同时，证监会将推动常态化开展投保机构代表人诉讼工作，更好保护投资人，特别是中小投资者合法权益，进一步营造良好的市场发展生态。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194804242,"gmtCreate":1621351280886,"gmtModify":1704356307263,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194804242","repostId":"1167406373","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167406373","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621350147,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167406373?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-18 23:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Gunlach: The Federal Reserve has been manipulating the market for a long time.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167406373","media":"金十数据","summary":"现在距离30年美债收益率到顶还差得很远，这是一个值得警惕的风险因素。\n\nDoubleLine Capital的创始人兼首席执行官杰弗里·冈拉克（Jeffrey Gundlach）表示：\n\n “\n 美联","content":"<p>The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds is still far from peaking, which is a risk factor to be wary of. Jeffrey Gundlach, founder and CEO of DoubleLine Capital, said:</p><p>“<b>The Federal Reserve has long been manipulating the market.</b>Asset valuations are already very, very high due to the staggering number of stimuli. Since the Federal Reserve began its quantitative easing, there has been some kind of connection between the Fed's continuous expansion of its balance sheet and the S&P 500 index, which is like a law of physics. If you divide the market capitalization of the S&P 500 by the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, it looks like a constant. Even though stock market valuations are high historically, they are still below average compared to bond valuations. Last Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the CPI rose 0.8% in April from March, far exceeding market expectations. Excluding food and energy, core inflation rose 0.9% from the previous month, the largest monthly increase since 1982. In addition, compared with the same period last year, the CPI rose 4.2% in April, faster than expected, and the largest increase since September 2008.</p><p>April CPI was higher than DoubleLine's forecast. Gunlach said DoubleLine Capital's model predicts that inflation could rise in the coming months and could peak in July.</p><p>\"If inflation continues to rise, then people will worry whether it is temporary.\"<b>The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds is still far from peaking, which is a risk factor to be wary of.</b>Regarding opportunities, Gunlak, who was once very optimistic about commodities, said that short-term commodity price increases were too large.</p><p>Gunlach believes that the dollar may rise by the end of the year.</p><p>Since January, Gunlack's recommendation has been to hold floating-rate corporate bonds, such as bank loans. the InvescoSenior Loan (BKLN) ETTF.</p><p>“BKLN saw mostly net outflows in 2020 because people thought it would be zero interest rates for a considerable period of time, but now people are starting to change their mindset and believe that short-term interest rates will eventually rise as well. Bank loans have the same or longer terms as other investment-grade bonds, so I prefer bank loans.” DoubleLine also recently bought European stocks for the first time. Gunlak said:</p><p>“We have never held any European stocks. We don’t like negative interest rates in Europe, and the Eurozone has various structural problems. DoubleLine’s long-term view is that the dollar is weaker, which is a positive factor for European stocks. European stocks have performed roughly the same or slightly better than US stocks this year. This is another trend that is changing.” Just as the Nasdaq no longer outperformed the S&P 500, suddenly non-U.S. stock markets began to rise, and European stock markets began to outperform slightly. Although it is still too early, Gunlach is bullish on emerging market stocks in the long term.</p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gunlach: The Federal Reserve has been manipulating the market for a long time.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGunlach: The Federal Reserve has been manipulating the market for a long time.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-18 23:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds is still far from peaking, which is a risk factor to be wary of. Jeffrey Gundlach, founder and CEO of DoubleLine Capital, said:</p><p>“<b>The Federal Reserve has long been manipulating the market.</b>Asset valuations are already very, very high due to the staggering number of stimuli. Since the Federal Reserve began its quantitative easing, there has been some kind of connection between the Fed's continuous expansion of its balance sheet and the S&P 500 index, which is like a law of physics. If you divide the market capitalization of the S&P 500 by the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, it looks like a constant. Even though stock market valuations are high historically, they are still below average compared to bond valuations. Last Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the CPI rose 0.8% in April from March, far exceeding market expectations. Excluding food and energy, core inflation rose 0.9% from the previous month, the largest monthly increase since 1982. In addition, compared with the same period last year, the CPI rose 4.2% in April, faster than expected, and the largest increase since September 2008.</p><p>April CPI was higher than DoubleLine's forecast. Gunlach said DoubleLine Capital's model predicts that inflation could rise in the coming months and could peak in July.</p><p>\"If inflation continues to rise, then people will worry whether it is temporary.\"<b>The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds is still far from peaking, which is a risk factor to be wary of.</b>Regarding opportunities, Gunlak, who was once very optimistic about commodities, said that short-term commodity price increases were too large.</p><p>Gunlach believes that the dollar may rise by the end of the year.</p><p>Since January, Gunlack's recommendation has been to hold floating-rate corporate bonds, such as bank loans. the InvescoSenior Loan (BKLN) ETTF.</p><p>“BKLN saw mostly net outflows in 2020 because people thought it would be zero interest rates for a considerable period of time, but now people are starting to change their mindset and believe that short-term interest rates will eventually rise as well. Bank loans have the same or longer terms as other investment-grade bonds, so I prefer bank loans.” DoubleLine also recently bought European stocks for the first time. Gunlak said:</p><p>“We have never held any European stocks. We don’t like negative interest rates in Europe, and the Eurozone has various structural problems. DoubleLine’s long-term view is that the dollar is weaker, which is a positive factor for European stocks. European stocks have performed roughly the same or slightly better than US stocks this year. This is another trend that is changing.” Just as the Nasdaq no longer outperformed the S&P 500, suddenly non-U.S. stock markets began to rise, and European stock markets began to outperform slightly. Although it is still too early, Gunlach is bullish on emerging market stocks in the long term.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/74695\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/74695","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167406373","content_text":"现在距离30年美债收益率到顶还差得很远，这是一个值得警惕的风险因素。\n\nDoubleLine Capital的创始人兼首席执行官杰弗里·冈拉克（Jeffrey Gundlach）表示：\n\n “\n 美联储长期以来一直在操纵市场。由于数量惊人的刺激，资产估值已经非常非常高。自从美联储开始量化宽松以来，美联储不断扩大资产负债表与标准普尔500指数之间就存在着某种联系，这就像是物理定律。如果将标普500的市值除以美联储的资产负债表，看起来就是一个常数。即使从历史水平来看股市估值很高，但跟债券比相比，还是低于均值。”\n\n上周三，美国劳工统计局报告称，4月的CPI比3月份上涨了0.8％，远远超出市场预期。除去食品和能源，核心通货膨胀率较上个月上涨了0.9％，是自1982年以来的最大单月涨幅。此外，与去年同期相比，4月份CPI上涨了4.2％，增幅快于预期，是自2008年9月以来的最大涨幅。\n4月CPI高于DoubleLine的预测。冈拉克说，DoubleLine Capital的模型预测通货膨胀率可能在未来几个月内上升，并可能在7月达到顶峰。\n\n “如果通胀继续走高，那么人们会担心通胀是否是暂时的。\n 现在距离30年美债收益率到顶还差得很远，这是一个值得警惕的风险因素。”\n\n在机会方面，曾非常看好大宗商品的冈拉克表示，短期商品涨幅过大。\n冈拉克认为，到年底美元可能会有所上涨。\n自一月份以来，冈拉克的建议是持有浮动利率的公司债券，如银行贷款，如the InvescoSenior Loan (BKLN) ETTF。\n\n “2020年BKLN基本都是净流出，因为人们认为在相当长的时期为零利率，但现在人们开始转变思路，觉得短端利率最终也会上行。银行贷款与其他投资级债券比，具有相同期限或更长的期限，因此，我倾向银行贷款。”\n\nDoubleLine最近还首次买入了欧洲股票。冈拉克称：\n\n “我们从未持有过任何欧洲股票。我们不喜欢欧洲的负利率，并且欧元区有各种结构性问题。DoubleLine的长期观点是美元走低，这对欧洲股票来说是个利好因素。欧洲股市今年的表现与美国股市基本相同或略好。这是另外一个正在改变的趋势。就像纳斯达克指数不再跑赢标准普尔500指数一样，突然之间，非美股市开始涨了，欧洲股市开始略胜一筹。”\n\n虽然还为时过早，但冈拉克长期看好新兴市场股票。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102100409,"gmtCreate":1620181017001,"gmtModify":1704339835190,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/102100409","repostId":"1143138708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4986,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":109668881,"gmtCreate":1619692163243,"gmtModify":1704728085654,"author":{"id":"3582603564454110","authorId":"3582603564454110","name":"Jerry6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341ac0d8c7e78a01f49f688b745e56f4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582603564454110","idStr":"3582603564454110"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Long term holding","listText":"Long term holding","text":"Long term holding","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87793a177a019ac88f8dd6381774c274","width":"750","height":"1324"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/109668881","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}