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Leonloon
2021-06-21
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Leonloon
2021-05-10
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担心2013年的一幕重演，投资者正为缩减购债做准备
Leonloon
2021-05-10
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href=\"https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_13238629\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46494ff0a967fd1461f0d4b570a39e77","relate_stocks":{"JOBS":"前程无忧"},"source_url":"https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_13238629","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195452837","content_text":"周一，前程无忧高开，截至发稿涨超3%。\n\n6月21日，招聘网站前程无忧宣布，公司将以每ADS（美国存托凭证）79.05美元的价格，被一个投资者财团收购。以此计算，公司的股权价值约为57亿美元。\n79.05美元的价格，较公司收到更新后私有化提案前最后一个交易日（5月3日）的收盘价溢价28.89%。\n收购财团包括德弘资本（DCP）、鸥翎投资（Ocean Link Partners Limited）、前程无忧CEO甄荣辉（Rick Yan）。公司最大股东Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd.也参与了交易。\n上述消息宣布后，前程无忧21日晚美股开盘涨逾4%。\n交易完成后，前程无忧将成为一家私人控股公司，其美国存托凭证将不再在纳斯达克全球精选市场交易。合并预计在2021年下半年完成。\n前程无忧官网资料称，前程无忧成立于1998年，是中国领先的综合人力资源服务提供商，公司的主要在线招聘平台（.51job.com、yingjiesheng.com、lagou.com和51mdd.com）以及移动应用程序，每天都会为数百万的人们提供就业机会。51job还提供许多其他增值的HR服务，包括业务流程外包，培训，专业评估，校园招聘，高管搜寻和薪酬分析。51job在武汉设有呼叫中心，并在全国25个城市设有销售和服务网点。\n前程无忧2020年年报显示，该公司去年营业收入为36.89亿元，同比减少7.8%，净利润为10.97亿元。2019年同期为5.323亿元。\n此次牵头收购前程无忧的德弘资本，其官网资料称，德弘资本是一家专注于亚洲市场的国际性私募股权投资机构，核心团队曾领导了KKR及摩根士丹利在亚洲的私募股权投资业务，并创造了跨越多个周期的长期优异投资回报。鸥翎投资Ocean Link是一家专注于中国消费、旅行与互联网产业的私募股权投资公司。前程无忧最大股东公司Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd，为日本人力资源服务公司瑞可利。\n前程无忧在2018年股价窜上100美元后，便震荡滑落，今年私有化风声放出后有所攀升，目前前程无忧的市值约50.34亿美元。作为对比，前阵子刚刚在美上市的BOSS直聘（NASDAQ:BZ），市值达151.98亿美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190394933,"gmtCreate":1620595630322,"gmtModify":1704345152262,"author":{"id":"3583115122148227","authorId":"3583115122148227","name":"Leonloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bacb94fe8dfcaf1f09f4f2b85257233","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583115122148227","authorIdStr":"3583115122148227"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?????","listText":"?????","text":"?????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/190394933","repostId":"2133968366","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190395902,"gmtCreate":1620595476106,"gmtModify":1704345150626,"author":{"id":"3583115122148227","authorId":"3583115122148227","name":"Leonloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bacb94fe8dfcaf1f09f4f2b85257233","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583115122148227","authorIdStr":"3583115122148227"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"????","listText":"????","text":"????","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/014c5698de79ebb71ef2f1bcdc8537e1","width":"1125","height":"2279"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/190395902","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":167724691,"gmtCreate":1624285634413,"gmtModify":1703832518471,"author":{"id":"3583115122148227","authorId":"3583115122148227","name":"Leonloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bacb94fe8dfcaf1f09f4f2b85257233","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583115122148227","authorIdStr":"3583115122148227"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"??","listText":"??","text":"??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167724691","repostId":"1195452837","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190394933,"gmtCreate":1620595630322,"gmtModify":1704345152262,"author":{"id":"3583115122148227","authorId":"3583115122148227","name":"Leonloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bacb94fe8dfcaf1f09f4f2b85257233","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583115122148227","authorIdStr":"3583115122148227"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?????","listText":"?????","text":"?????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/190394933","repostId":"2133968366","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2133968366","pubTimestamp":1620524343,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2133968366?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-09 09:39","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"担心2013年的一幕重演，投资者正为缩减购债做准备","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2133968366","media":"金融界网站","summary":"美联储还没开始讨论缩减购债，一些投资者已经未雨绸缪了…… 随着美联储缩减量化宽松的步伐越来越近，对2013年的市场动荡记忆犹新的投资者们正努力减少投资组合的风险。2013年5月，时任美联储主席伯南克发出将开始缩减购债的信号，随后全球债券收益率飙升，风险资产大跌。 在2月底小幅上涨后，衡量货币、国债和美国股市隐含波动性的指标有所回落，这表明投资者认为美联储不会立即宣布削减购债。","content":"<p>美联储还没开始讨论缩减购债，一些投资者已经未雨绸缪了……</p><p>随着美联储缩减量化宽松的步伐越来越近，<b>对2013年的市场动荡记忆犹新的投资者们正努力减少投资组合的风险。</b>2013年5月，时任美联储主席伯南克发出将开始缩减购债的信号，随后全球债券收益率飙升，风险资产大跌。<b>一些基金经理担心波动率再次飙升，故转向较长期限的高收益债券寻求避险；而另一些基金经理则认为，缩减购债规模不会引发恐慌，并押注新兴市场资产。</b></p><p>经济学家预计美联储将在今年年底前开始削减资产购买规模。但美联储官员表示，现在改变应对新冠疫情的货币政策还为时过早。然而，随着英国和加拿大经济的改善，两国货币当局开始减缓债券购买。这让投资者们觉得美联储也有可能会在经济增长的时候缩减量化宽松。</p><p>美富信投资管理（MFS investment Management）投资主管Pilar Gomez-Bravo表示：“对市场而言，最大的威胁仍是债券收益率的波动性。风险资产的估值较高，投资者并没有太多自满的空间。”</p><p>Gomez-Bravo认为，与投资级债券相比，垃圾债券也可以作为一种资产投资。在收益率重置时，垃圾债并不那么容易受到影响。投资级债券的期限更长，对利率的敏感性也更高。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">杰富瑞</a>金融集团（Jefferies Financial Group Inc．）信贷策略师哈米德（Sherif Hamid）认为，杠杆贷款甚至是一个更好的选择。</p><p>彭博的数据显示，投资级债券已经面临压力，<b>最大的高评级信用交易所交易基金（ETF）正经历着2013年以来最长时间的资金外流。</b></p><p>在2013年市场动荡中，债券市场最先受到影响。在伯南克发表讲话后的一个月里，10年期美国国债收益率跃升了50个基点。同期MSCI国际新兴市场指数下跌14%，纳斯达克100指数下跌4%。目前，以科技股为主的指数预期市盈率为26倍，而当时的预期市盈率仅为15倍。</p><p>全球最大的资产管理公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>（BlackRock Inc．）认为，<b>债券市场的大部分波动可能已经发生，新兴市场资产的表现应该会好得多。</b></p><p>贝莱德投资研究所（BlackRock investment Institute）首席亚太投资策略师本・鲍威尔（Ben Powell）认为目前已经没有什么重大事件发生，收益率可能会小幅走高。</p><p>10年期美国国债收益率今年以来上涨了约66个基点，目前在1.53%附近。今年以来，彭博巴克莱美国国债总回报指数（Bloomberg Barclays U.S． Treasury Total Return Index）下跌超过3%。</p><p>贝莱德表示，经济复苏、大规模刺激计划和美元总体稳定等因素，足以让风险资产（包括发展中国家的风险资产）免受美联储缩减量化宽松的影响。</p><p>本・鲍威尔表示，该公司增持了发达国家和新兴市场股票，在固定收益方面，他们上周实际上增持了新兴市场本币债券。</p><p>在2月底小幅上涨后，衡量货币、国债和美国股市隐含波动性的指标有所回落，这表明投资者认为美联储不会立即宣布削减购债。但期权市场交易活动表明，8月份在Jackson Hole举行的央行行长年会或许是讨论收紧购债计划的开始。</p><p><img src=\"http://img.jrjimg.cn/2021/05/cms_20210508015903792.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>与此同时，布朗兄弟哈里曼公司（Brown Brothers Harriman &Co．）全球外汇策略主管Win Thin表示，投资者应仔细分析联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议纪要，根据以往经验，会议将首先讨论缩减规模。4月份的会议记录将于5月19日公布。</p>","source":"jinrongjie_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>担心2013年的一幕重演，投资者正为缩减购债做准备</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n担心2013年的一幕重演，投资者正为缩减购债做准备\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-09 09:39 北京时间 <a href=http://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2021/05/08015932714137.shtml><strong>金融界网站</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美联储还没开始讨论缩减购债，一些投资者已经未雨绸缪了……随着美联储缩减量化宽松的步伐越来越近，对2013年的市场动荡记忆犹新的投资者们正努力减少投资组合的风险。2013年5月，时任美联储主席伯南克发出将开始缩减购债的信号，随后全球债券收益率飙升，风险资产大跌。一些基金经理担心波动率再次飙升，故转向较长期限的高收益债券寻求避险；而另一些基金经理则认为，缩减购债规模不会引发恐慌，并押注新兴市场资产。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2021/05/08015932714137.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af1d75a2b7a7bd95e0102711f4f871de","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯"},"source_url":"http://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2021/05/08015932714137.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2133968366","content_text":"美联储还没开始讨论缩减购债，一些投资者已经未雨绸缪了……随着美联储缩减量化宽松的步伐越来越近，对2013年的市场动荡记忆犹新的投资者们正努力减少投资组合的风险。2013年5月，时任美联储主席伯南克发出将开始缩减购债的信号，随后全球债券收益率飙升，风险资产大跌。一些基金经理担心波动率再次飙升，故转向较长期限的高收益债券寻求避险；而另一些基金经理则认为，缩减购债规模不会引发恐慌，并押注新兴市场资产。经济学家预计美联储将在今年年底前开始削减资产购买规模。但美联储官员表示，现在改变应对新冠疫情的货币政策还为时过早。然而，随着英国和加拿大经济的改善，两国货币当局开始减缓债券购买。这让投资者们觉得美联储也有可能会在经济增长的时候缩减量化宽松。美富信投资管理（MFS investment Management）投资主管Pilar Gomez-Bravo表示：“对市场而言，最大的威胁仍是债券收益率的波动性。风险资产的估值较高，投资者并没有太多自满的空间。”Gomez-Bravo认为，与投资级债券相比，垃圾债券也可以作为一种资产投资。在收益率重置时，垃圾债并不那么容易受到影响。投资级债券的期限更长，对利率的敏感性也更高。杰富瑞金融集团（Jefferies Financial Group Inc．）信贷策略师哈米德（Sherif Hamid）认为，杠杆贷款甚至是一个更好的选择。彭博的数据显示，投资级债券已经面临压力，最大的高评级信用交易所交易基金（ETF）正经历着2013年以来最长时间的资金外流。在2013年市场动荡中，债券市场最先受到影响。在伯南克发表讲话后的一个月里，10年期美国国债收益率跃升了50个基点。同期MSCI国际新兴市场指数下跌14%，纳斯达克100指数下跌4%。目前，以科技股为主的指数预期市盈率为26倍，而当时的预期市盈率仅为15倍。全球最大的资产管理公司贝莱德（BlackRock Inc．）认为，债券市场的大部分波动可能已经发生，新兴市场资产的表现应该会好得多。贝莱德投资研究所（BlackRock investment Institute）首席亚太投资策略师本・鲍威尔（Ben Powell）认为目前已经没有什么重大事件发生，收益率可能会小幅走高。10年期美国国债收益率今年以来上涨了约66个基点，目前在1.53%附近。今年以来，彭博巴克莱美国国债总回报指数（Bloomberg Barclays U.S． Treasury Total Return Index）下跌超过3%。贝莱德表示，经济复苏、大规模刺激计划和美元总体稳定等因素，足以让风险资产（包括发展中国家的风险资产）免受美联储缩减量化宽松的影响。本・鲍威尔表示，该公司增持了发达国家和新兴市场股票，在固定收益方面，他们上周实际上增持了新兴市场本币债券。在2月底小幅上涨后，衡量货币、国债和美国股市隐含波动性的指标有所回落，这表明投资者认为美联储不会立即宣布削减购债。但期权市场交易活动表明，8月份在Jackson Hole举行的央行行长年会或许是讨论收紧购债计划的开始。与此同时，布朗兄弟哈里曼公司（Brown Brothers Harriman &Co．）全球外汇策略主管Win Thin表示，投资者应仔细分析联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议纪要，根据以往经验，会议将首先讨论缩减规模。4月份的会议记录将于5月19日公布。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190395902,"gmtCreate":1620595476106,"gmtModify":1704345150626,"author":{"id":"3583115122148227","authorId":"3583115122148227","name":"Leonloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bacb94fe8dfcaf1f09f4f2b85257233","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583115122148227","authorIdStr":"3583115122148227"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"????","listText":"????","text":"????","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/014c5698de79ebb71ef2f1bcdc8537e1","width":"1125","height":"2279"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/190395902","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
