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2022-06-22

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@TigerEvents:Happy Birthday to TIGER!!! This year, we have prepared a time machine to go on an adventure with you. Come and find surprising gifts as we stroll down memory lane!There are so many wonderful little stories in our Tiger Quest. Collect as many coins as you can in the game, these will be your basic points of this game. Apart from one mini-game mission for SG/AU/NZ, the games will be open every week, and there are endless treasures waiting for you to discover. Points can be redeemed for multiple rewards, and you can win a share of up to USD 200,000 worth of prizes! Want to win extra points? Check out these mini-games, try them, stay with us and be PAWSITIVE!Remember to collect the cards and spell out "T.I.G.E.R" during your journey for a chance to receive the limited edition 8th Anniversary Gi

2021-06-16

Wow

It’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks

2021-06-16

Why though

Apple Plans Faster Watch, Future Temperature and Glucose Sensors

2021-06-16

Xrp

Big-Tech & Bitcoin Pumped As Banks, Bonds, & Bullion Dumped

2021-06-16

//@XanderC: like

Troubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares

2021-06-16

Cool

Netflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone

2021-06-15

How does that work

Royal Caribbean is issuing $650 million of five-year junk bonds

2021-06-15

$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$nooo

2021-06-15

Wow?

Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets

2021-06-15

New vaxx?

Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up

2021-06-15

Yikes

Senators face roadblocks to passing bipartisan infrastructure plan as opposition mounts

2021-06-15

Huh

Fed Poised to Crawl Onto ‘Knife Edge’ to Rein In Record Largesse

2021-06-15

Tesla?

Tesla Going Through A "Rather Dry Spell", Says Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas

2021-06-15

Reddit again

Troubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares

2021-06-15

Hmm interesting

Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets

2021-06-01

Nice

Turkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO

2021-06-01

Nice

Turkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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(Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p>\n<p>I don’t know when what I call the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market will end.</p>\n<p>After 12 years being long and strong and having diamond hands without even knowing that term existed, maybe I’m wrong to turn more cautious.</p>\n<p>Maybe the economy will reopen and rejuvenate the country in such a strong manner that corporate earnings in 2022 and 2023 will make today’s prices seem like bargains.</p>\n<p>But I simply don’t think that’s the most likely outcome.</p>\n<p>And if I’m right that we’re in the throes of the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market, I do not want to be overly long and on the wrong side of the great unwind when it does start.</p>\n<p>I’m not calling for a near-term crash. I am saying that it’s likely going to be hard for the bulls to make as much money this year as they did last year.</p>\n<p>Trading and investing are tough. There’s always someone on the other side of every trade you make. Always think about who that is and why they are willing to take the other side of your transaction. When you buy, why are they selling it to you at that price? When you sell, who is buying it from you and what are their motivations? Remember, I’ve talked before about how&nbsp;good analysis starts with empathy.</p>\n<p><b>If I’m selling, who’s buying — and why?</b></p>\n<p>So let’s answer this question right now. Who is buying stocks and cryptos from me when I’ve trimmed and sold for the past month or so? Sure, there are banks and institutions and hedge funds and family offices investing and trading, just as always. On the other hand, remember two years ago when I got back from a hedge fund investment conference&nbsp;in Abu Dhabi and everybody was desperate for returns:</p>\n<p>Amid low interest rates and other investors’ focus on options, credit and currencies, “the lack of focus on traditional stocks and funds that invest in publicly traded stocks makes me think that there is probably more opportunity in such assets than people realize. I certainly see some very compelling long ideas in Revolutionary companies like WORK and TWTR and TSLA.”</p>\n<p>Since that post, back a year and a half ago, Slack&nbsp;went from $21 to being bought out at $45, Twitter&nbsp;went from $27 to $61, and Tesla&nbsp;went from $81 to $616. And funds that were looking everywhere but in the stock market for big gains are … well, pretty much in the markets now and long a bunch of stocks and even long a few cryptos.</p>\n<p>And now that those stocks and cryptos and most other assets have gone parabolic in the past year — coming on top of the 10-year bull market — the billion-dollar fund managers are joined by&nbsp;23-year-old TikTok influencers&nbsp;doing bitcoin&nbsp;trading astrology.</p>\n<p>Yes, for real, and she’s very popular. She’s even been right about some of bitcoin’s action in the past few months! If you’re selling cryptos and fintech stocks right now, you’re selling to her and her followers. And also to my friend’s son, who just graduated from a tiny, rural school and whose unemployed uncle gave him $500 to “buy some cryptos. And make sure you get some fintech. I don’t know the symbol, but just look it up and you’ll do fine over the long run.”&nbsp;Bearish anecdotes everywhere I look, as I wrote recently.</p>\n<p><b>Mr. Market</b></p>\n<p>The other thing to remember about who’s on the other side of your trade is always to remember that there are smart, cutthroat traders and investors who went to the best schools and have access to more research and real-time data and instant trading access to all kinds of derivatives to layer into their bets. And the only thing they do all day, every day, is figure out how to take your money in mostly legal ways. They’re not playing around. They have no sympathy for you, even if they might empathize with you to better understand your motivations to better take your money.</p>\n<p>Mr. Market is mean. He’s not nice. He can be cruel. He can force liquidations that create other liquidations. He can shut off access to capital. He can take down 200-year-old banks in a day. In one day.</p>\n<p>Sometimes the markets lead the economy and not the other way around. Ironically, when we were young, we were taught that the Great Depression started when the stock market crashed on Black Friday in 1929. But then when we get older, we were taught that it wasn’t actually the crash that created the Great Depression, rather the economy was already crashing and the stock market just didn’t realize it as it continued on its merry way toward a terrible Blow-Off Top of a nine-year Bubble-Blowing Bull Market that culminated with the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;up 400% from the 1921 lows to the 1929 highs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a6516337aacc614d83584ea90e174f2\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"870\"></p>\n<p><b>Learning from Soros</b></p>\n<p>But looking back, it’s clear that both theories are equally right and wrong — the market crashed because the economy wasn’t as good as the market thought it was,<i>and</i>the economy crashed because the markets shut down access to capital for investment and growth.</p>\n<p>It was “reflexive,” to borrow a term from the great hedge fund manager&nbsp;George Soros.</p>\n<p>He wrote, and the concept is important to understand:</p>\n<p>“I continued to consider myself a failed philosopher. All this changed as a result of the financial crisis of 2008. My conceptual framework enabled me both to anticipate the crisis and to deal with it when it finally struck…</p>\n<p>“I can state the core idea in two relatively simple propositions. One is that in situations that have thinking participants, the participants’ view of the world is always partial and distorted. That is the principle of fallibility. The other is that these distorted views can influence the situation to which they relate because false views lead to inappropriate actions. That is the principle of reflexivity…</p>\n<p>“Recognizing reflexivity has been sacrificed to the vain pursuit of certainty in human affairs, most notably in economics, and yet, uncertainty is the key feature of human affairs. Economic theory is built on the concept of equilibrium, and that concept is in direct contradiction with the concept of reflexivity…</p>\n<p>“A positive feedback process is self-reinforcing. It cannot go on forever because eventually the participants’ views would become so far removed from objective reality that the participants would have to recognize them as unrealistic. Nor can the iterative process occur without any change in the actual state of affairs, because it is in the nature of positive feedback that it reinforces whatever tendency prevails in the real world. Instead of equilibrium, we are faced with a dynamic disequilibrium or what may be described as far-from-equilibrium conditions. Usually in far-from-equilibrium situations the divergence between perceptions and reality leads to a climax which sets in motion a positive feedback process in the opposite direction. Such initially self-reinforcing but eventually self-defeating boom-bust processes or bubbles are characteristic of financial markets, but they can also be found in other spheres. There, I call them fertile fallacies—interpretations of reality that are distorted, yet produce results which reinforce the distortion.”</p>\n<p>Stay flexible</p>\n<p>Far-from-equilibrium conditions was what we had in 2010-2013 when we loaded up on Revolutionary stocks and started buying cryptos like bitcoin. Far-from-equilibrium conditions might be what we have in front of us right now when I suggest getting cautious instead.</p>\n<p>We don’t want to be permabulls. (You for sure don’t want to be a permabear!) We have to be flexible. We have to let our analysis and risk/reward scenarios dictate how much risk we’re taking and when. We have to pay attention to the cycles, the self-reinforcing cycles that drive economies and markets and valuations and earnings and societal interactions and bailouts and financial crises and bubbles and busts and, heaven forbid, just simple stagnation.</p>\n<p>It’s as if everybody forgets that markets can bubble and crash and stagnate. They forget that markets can grind for years on end without making new highs, or without even making higher highs. Do you not remember telling your money manager sometime in 2010-2012 that “If I’d just handled the Great Financial Crisis (and/or the Dot-Com Crash) a little better, I’d be in better shape.” I used to hear people say that to me all the time. I haven’t heard anybody say that lately. Everybody’s having fun in this market … at least for now.</p>\n<p>Most traders will tell you that they are “just trading the market that is in front of them.” Well, I don’t know when the bubble will pop, but I do know that I don’t want to be on the wrong side of this market when it does. And I do know that we won’t know the bubble has really popped until the self-reinforcing reflexive feedback loop has made it painful for the vast majority of people who are right now feeling wealthy, feeling secure, feeling like they’ve got this trading and investing thing all figured out.</p>\n<p>We are all fallible. Be careful while it’s fun. Be bold when it’s painful. That’s how I’ve done it for the last 25 years. We were boldly buying these assets when it was painful for others. I’m careful right now because everybody else is having fun.</p>\n<p>I spend a lot of time looking for new ideas and I won’t let my overall market outlook deter me from buying a new name or two. But I want to remain overall cautious and less aggressive than I have been for most of the last decade.</p>\n<p>As a matter of fact,&nbsp;I might have at least a couple Trade Alerts that I’ll be sending out this week, one long and one short idea. Being flexible, see?</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 11:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.\nIt takes brains and brawn to be an investor these days. (Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)\nI don’t know when what...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182315358","content_text":"If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.\nIt takes brains and brawn to be an investor these days. (Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)\nI don’t know when what I call the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market will end.\nAfter 12 years being long and strong and having diamond hands without even knowing that term existed, maybe I’m wrong to turn more cautious.\nMaybe the economy will reopen and rejuvenate the country in such a strong manner that corporate earnings in 2022 and 2023 will make today’s prices seem like bargains.\nBut I simply don’t think that’s the most likely outcome.\nAnd if I’m right that we’re in the throes of the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market, I do not want to be overly long and on the wrong side of the great unwind when it does start.\nI’m not calling for a near-term crash. I am saying that it’s likely going to be hard for the bulls to make as much money this year as they did last year.\nTrading and investing are tough. There’s always someone on the other side of every trade you make. Always think about who that is and why they are willing to take the other side of your transaction. When you buy, why are they selling it to you at that price? When you sell, who is buying it from you and what are their motivations? Remember, I’ve talked before about how good analysis starts with empathy.\nIf I’m selling, who’s buying — and why?\nSo let’s answer this question right now. Who is buying stocks and cryptos from me when I’ve trimmed and sold for the past month or so? Sure, there are banks and institutions and hedge funds and family offices investing and trading, just as always. On the other hand, remember two years ago when I got back from a hedge fund investment conference in Abu Dhabi and everybody was desperate for returns:\nAmid low interest rates and other investors’ focus on options, credit and currencies, “the lack of focus on traditional stocks and funds that invest in publicly traded stocks makes me think that there is probably more opportunity in such assets than people realize. I certainly see some very compelling long ideas in Revolutionary companies like WORK and TWTR and TSLA.”\nSince that post, back a year and a half ago, Slack went from $21 to being bought out at $45, Twitter went from $27 to $61, and Tesla went from $81 to $616. And funds that were looking everywhere but in the stock market for big gains are … well, pretty much in the markets now and long a bunch of stocks and even long a few cryptos.\nAnd now that those stocks and cryptos and most other assets have gone parabolic in the past year — coming on top of the 10-year bull market — the billion-dollar fund managers are joined by 23-year-old TikTok influencers doing bitcoin trading astrology.\nYes, for real, and she’s very popular. She’s even been right about some of bitcoin’s action in the past few months! If you’re selling cryptos and fintech stocks right now, you’re selling to her and her followers. And also to my friend’s son, who just graduated from a tiny, rural school and whose unemployed uncle gave him $500 to “buy some cryptos. And make sure you get some fintech. I don’t know the symbol, but just look it up and you’ll do fine over the long run.” Bearish anecdotes everywhere I look, as I wrote recently.\nMr. Market\nThe other thing to remember about who’s on the other side of your trade is always to remember that there are smart, cutthroat traders and investors who went to the best schools and have access to more research and real-time data and instant trading access to all kinds of derivatives to layer into their bets. And the only thing they do all day, every day, is figure out how to take your money in mostly legal ways. They’re not playing around. They have no sympathy for you, even if they might empathize with you to better understand your motivations to better take your money.\nMr. Market is mean. He’s not nice. He can be cruel. He can force liquidations that create other liquidations. He can shut off access to capital. He can take down 200-year-old banks in a day. In one day.\nSometimes the markets lead the economy and not the other way around. Ironically, when we were young, we were taught that the Great Depression started when the stock market crashed on Black Friday in 1929. But then when we get older, we were taught that it wasn’t actually the crash that created the Great Depression, rather the economy was already crashing and the stock market just didn’t realize it as it continued on its merry way toward a terrible Blow-Off Top of a nine-year Bubble-Blowing Bull Market that culminated with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 400% from the 1921 lows to the 1929 highs.\n\nLearning from Soros\nBut looking back, it’s clear that both theories are equally right and wrong — the market crashed because the economy wasn’t as good as the market thought it was,andthe economy crashed because the markets shut down access to capital for investment and growth.\nIt was “reflexive,” to borrow a term from the great hedge fund manager George Soros.\nHe wrote, and the concept is important to understand:\n“I continued to consider myself a failed philosopher. All this changed as a result of the financial crisis of 2008. My conceptual framework enabled me both to anticipate the crisis and to deal with it when it finally struck…\n“I can state the core idea in two relatively simple propositions. One is that in situations that have thinking participants, the participants’ view of the world is always partial and distorted. That is the principle of fallibility. The other is that these distorted views can influence the situation to which they relate because false views lead to inappropriate actions. That is the principle of reflexivity…\n“Recognizing reflexivity has been sacrificed to the vain pursuit of certainty in human affairs, most notably in economics, and yet, uncertainty is the key feature of human affairs. Economic theory is built on the concept of equilibrium, and that concept is in direct contradiction with the concept of reflexivity…\n“A positive feedback process is self-reinforcing. It cannot go on forever because eventually the participants’ views would become so far removed from objective reality that the participants would have to recognize them as unrealistic. Nor can the iterative process occur without any change in the actual state of affairs, because it is in the nature of positive feedback that it reinforces whatever tendency prevails in the real world. Instead of equilibrium, we are faced with a dynamic disequilibrium or what may be described as far-from-equilibrium conditions. Usually in far-from-equilibrium situations the divergence between perceptions and reality leads to a climax which sets in motion a positive feedback process in the opposite direction. Such initially self-reinforcing but eventually self-defeating boom-bust processes or bubbles are characteristic of financial markets, but they can also be found in other spheres. There, I call them fertile fallacies—interpretations of reality that are distorted, yet produce results which reinforce the distortion.”\nStay flexible\nFar-from-equilibrium conditions was what we had in 2010-2013 when we loaded up on Revolutionary stocks and started buying cryptos like bitcoin. Far-from-equilibrium conditions might be what we have in front of us right now when I suggest getting cautious instead.\nWe don’t want to be permabulls. (You for sure don’t want to be a permabear!) We have to be flexible. We have to let our analysis and risk/reward scenarios dictate how much risk we’re taking and when. We have to pay attention to the cycles, the self-reinforcing cycles that drive economies and markets and valuations and earnings and societal interactions and bailouts and financial crises and bubbles and busts and, heaven forbid, just simple stagnation.\nIt’s as if everybody forgets that markets can bubble and crash and stagnate. They forget that markets can grind for years on end without making new highs, or without even making higher highs. Do you not remember telling your money manager sometime in 2010-2012 that “If I’d just handled the Great Financial Crisis (and/or the Dot-Com Crash) a little better, I’d be in better shape.” I used to hear people say that to me all the time. I haven’t heard anybody say that lately. Everybody’s having fun in this market … at least for now.\nMost traders will tell you that they are “just trading the market that is in front of them.” Well, I don’t know when the bubble will pop, but I do know that I don’t want to be on the wrong side of this market when it does. And I do know that we won’t know the bubble has really popped until the self-reinforcing reflexive feedback loop has made it painful for the vast majority of people who are right now feeling wealthy, feeling secure, feeling like they’ve got this trading and investing thing all figured out.\nWe are all fallible. Be careful while it’s fun. Be bold when it’s painful. That’s how I’ve done it for the last 25 years. We were boldly buying these assets when it was painful for others. I’m careful right now because everybody else is having fun.\nI spend a lot of time looking for new ideas and I won’t let my overall market outlook deter me from buying a new name or two. But I want to remain overall cautious and less aggressive than I have been for most of the last decade.\nAs a matter of fact, I might have at least a couple Trade Alerts that I’ll be sending out this week, one long and one short idea. Being flexible, see?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160100809,"gmtCreate":1623773803201,"gmtModify":1703819114547,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why though","listText":"Why though","text":"Why though","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160100809","repostId":"1109511555","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109511555","pubTimestamp":1623727571,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109511555?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Plans Faster Watch, Future Temperature and Glucose Sensors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109511555","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Updated screens and performance this year, new functions later. New entry-level and extreme sports models planned for 2022. A customer tries on an Apple watch at a store in Palo Alto, California. Photographer: Nina Riggio/Bloomberg. Apple Inc. is working on new Apple Watch models and health features, spanning display and speed upgrades, an extreme sports edition and body temperature and blood sugar sensors.The Cupertino, California-based tech giant is planning to refresh the line this year -- wi","content":"<ul>\n <li>Updated screens and performance this year, new functions later</li>\n <li>New entry-level and extreme sports models planned for 2022</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86dd58655f96500dda750d2b1350121\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>A customer tries on an Apple watch at a store in Palo Alto, California. Photographer: Nina Riggio/Bloomberg</span></p>\n<p>Apple Inc.&nbsp;is working on new Apple Watch models and health features, spanning display and speed upgrades, an extreme sports edition and body temperature and blood sugar sensors.</p>\n<p>The Cupertino, California-based tech giant is planning to refresh the line this year -- with a model likely dubbed the Apple Watch Series 7 -- by adding a faster processor, improved wireless connectivity and an updated screen, according to people with knowledge of the plans. Next year the company plans to update the main Apple Watch alongside a successor for the lower-end Apple Watch SE and a new version targeting extreme sports athletes.</p>\n<p>Apple had previously aimed to put a body temperature sensor in this year’s model, but that is now more likely to be included in the 2022 update. The blood-sugar sensor, which would help diabetics monitor their glucose levels, is unlikely to be ready for commercial launch for several more years.</p>\n<p>For this year’s model, Apple has tested thinner display borders and a new lamination technique that brings the display closer to the front cover. The new Watch is likely to be slightly thicker overall, but not in a way that’s noticeable to the user.</p>\n<p>The model will include updated ultra-wideband functionality, the same underlying technology in the Apple AirTag item finder. At its developer conference in early June, Apple previewed the upcoming watchOS 8 software update that will let the device unlock door and hotel rooms.</p>\n<p>The extreme sports model, described by some inside Apple as either an “explorer” or “adventure” edition, was in development for release as early as this year, but it is now more likely to launch in 2022. That new model would help Apple compete with rugged offerings from players like&nbsp;Garmin Ltd.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Casio Computer Co.</p>\n<p>An Apple spokeswoman declined to comment. The company’s plans remain fluid and could change, the people said.</p>\n<p>Luxshare Precision Industry Co.&nbsp;is the primary assembler for the main Apple Watch, while&nbsp;Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., or Foxconn, shares some of those orders in addition to splitting assembly of the Apple Watch SE with Taiwan’s&nbsp;Compal Electronics Inc.</p>\n<p>Measuring body temperature became an essential part of Covid-19 detection, prompting a&nbsp;surge&nbsp;in demand for gadgets such as the&nbsp;Withings Thermo. Some companies offer small digital thermometers that plug into a smartphone’s charging port. Adding the functionality into its watch would help Apple match other smartwatches and fitness bands, including products from&nbsp;Alphabet Inc.-owned&nbsp;Fitbit.</p>\n<p>Blood sugar monitoring has been long in the works at Apple and would be a feature thus far unrivaled by competitors. Apple and others currently rely on apps that let users input their glucose levels manually, while medical device companies like&nbsp;Dexcom Inc.&nbsp;offer blood sugar monitors that share data with the Apple Watch. Users typically need to prick their finger to draw blood for an accurate glucose test, but Apple is aiming for a non-invasive solution that can analyze blood through the skin.</p>\n<p>Since going on sale in 2015, the Apple Watch has grown into a key part of Apple’s product portfolio. Along with the iPhone and iPad, it fills out the company’s hardware ecosystem and helped Apple’s broader wearables, home and accessories category generate more than $30 billion last fiscal year.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Plans Faster Watch, Future Temperature and Glucose Sensors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Plans Faster Watch, Future Temperature and Glucose Sensors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 11:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/apple-plans-faster-watch-future-temperature-and-glucose-sensors><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Updated screens and performance this year, new functions later\nNew entry-level and extreme sports models planned for 2022\n\nA customer tries on an Apple watch at a store in Palo Alto, California. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/apple-plans-faster-watch-future-temperature-and-glucose-sensors\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/apple-plans-faster-watch-future-temperature-and-glucose-sensors","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109511555","content_text":"Updated screens and performance this year, new functions later\nNew entry-level and extreme sports models planned for 2022\n\nA customer tries on an Apple watch at a store in Palo Alto, California. Photographer: Nina Riggio/Bloomberg\nApple Inc. is working on new Apple Watch models and health features, spanning display and speed upgrades, an extreme sports edition and body temperature and blood sugar sensors.\nThe Cupertino, California-based tech giant is planning to refresh the line this year -- with a model likely dubbed the Apple Watch Series 7 -- by adding a faster processor, improved wireless connectivity and an updated screen, according to people with knowledge of the plans. Next year the company plans to update the main Apple Watch alongside a successor for the lower-end Apple Watch SE and a new version targeting extreme sports athletes.\nApple had previously aimed to put a body temperature sensor in this year’s model, but that is now more likely to be included in the 2022 update. The blood-sugar sensor, which would help diabetics monitor their glucose levels, is unlikely to be ready for commercial launch for several more years.\nFor this year’s model, Apple has tested thinner display borders and a new lamination technique that brings the display closer to the front cover. The new Watch is likely to be slightly thicker overall, but not in a way that’s noticeable to the user.\nThe model will include updated ultra-wideband functionality, the same underlying technology in the Apple AirTag item finder. At its developer conference in early June, Apple previewed the upcoming watchOS 8 software update that will let the device unlock door and hotel rooms.\nThe extreme sports model, described by some inside Apple as either an “explorer” or “adventure” edition, was in development for release as early as this year, but it is now more likely to launch in 2022. That new model would help Apple compete with rugged offerings from players like Garmin Ltd. and Casio Computer Co.\nAn Apple spokeswoman declined to comment. The company’s plans remain fluid and could change, the people said.\nLuxshare Precision Industry Co. is the primary assembler for the main Apple Watch, while Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., or Foxconn, shares some of those orders in addition to splitting assembly of the Apple Watch SE with Taiwan’s Compal Electronics Inc.\nMeasuring body temperature became an essential part of Covid-19 detection, prompting a surge in demand for gadgets such as the Withings Thermo. Some companies offer small digital thermometers that plug into a smartphone’s charging port. Adding the functionality into its watch would help Apple match other smartwatches and fitness bands, including products from Alphabet Inc.-owned Fitbit.\nBlood sugar monitoring has been long in the works at Apple and would be a feature thus far unrivaled by competitors. Apple and others currently rely on apps that let users input their glucose levels manually, while medical device companies like Dexcom Inc. offer blood sugar monitors that share data with the Apple Watch. Users typically need to prick their finger to draw blood for an accurate glucose test, but Apple is aiming for a non-invasive solution that can analyze blood through the skin.\nSince going on sale in 2015, the Apple Watch has grown into a key part of Apple’s product portfolio. Along with the iPhone and iPad, it fills out the company’s hardware ecosystem and helped Apple’s broader wearables, home and accessories category generate more than $30 billion last fiscal year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160372277,"gmtCreate":1623773721599,"gmtModify":1703819109367,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Xrp&nbsp;","listText":"Xrp&nbsp;","text":"Xrp","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160372277","repostId":"1183190766","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183190766","pubTimestamp":1623740790,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183190766?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 15:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big-Tech & Bitcoin Pumped As Banks, Bonds, & Bullion Dumped","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183190766","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Big-tech was bid as soon as the cash market opened and both Small Caps (Russell 2000) and Big-Caps (","content":"<p>Big-tech was bid as soon as the cash market opened and both Small Caps (Russell 2000) and Big-Caps (Dow Industrials) were dumped with the S&amp;P under water most of the day until the late day panic-bid hit as the<b>gamma-meltup struck</b>...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b2e9a8b272b493af999d0ceae800b8\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"293\">That's a record close for the S&amp;P and Nasdaq thanks to this utterly ridiculous meltup...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8111401f1c57064e42f7db7836fc08f4\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"283\">The Nasdaq's outperformance pushed it to its highest relative to The Dow since April...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58a5974b095ffdd321cc0542d8e79f9c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p>\n<p>Lordstown Motors was clubbed like a baby seal today as its CEO/CFO abandoned ship...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25e0168b578ceffd190a198be1dc12fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\">Retail traders were back buying today...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23530164a0be04b223851688d160207d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p>\n<p>Elon Musk's ability to influence crypto is as evident as ever as he tweeted that he is not full of FUD and bitcoin ripped over 10% higher (helped by PTJ's positive perspective on crypto in an inflationary environment)...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08afe4b38b0f2ae3f7156be3ebfd3b2\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p>\n<p>JPM's Dimon spooked bank stocks even further - despite rising yields today...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18e0c996017633d636ae90deef9014c1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p>\n<p>Uranium/Nuclear-related stocks tumbled on the China Nuke emissions headlines...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a356aabbf1d4f837b7ba2bce85cc222\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p>\n<p>VIX jumped back above 17 intraday...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e43410dc971e3e8776003333e0e28f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"283\"><b>S&amp;P 500 Realized vol has tumbled to its lowest since Nov 2019...</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01d778bf240b8823a5bb1e6c028dd3ef\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"292\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p>\n<p>Will The Fed's \"most important meeting in years\" this week get it moving?</p>\n<p>Treasuries were sold today, erasing more of the gains from Thursday's CPI malarkey. The short-end yield rose 1-2bps, the long-end yields rose 4-5bps...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ef5c4ac58ce44530cd76f5bcee30b4c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p>\n<p>We note that 10Y yields hit 1.50% and the selloff stalled...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b856ca9fe863397f4654ab0fe9c498\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"274\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p>\n<p>Amid all the chatter on inflation, breakevens went nowhere at all...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0c3a45693e92514889b7f5996325660\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p>\n<p>The Dollar trod water after spiking Friday up to fill the payrolls gap down...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5878dae244b0a9c90c95c121c6e18ec1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p>\n<p>Gold ended the day lower despite the dollar going nowhere...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f17e358c769f54cac481cec61ed19b7f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"283\">Oil prices rollercoasted on the day but ended unchanged with WTI pushing up near $71.80 at its highs...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c8f08f012d23ff95f167708c2598f7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"282\">Finally, if you're wondering why people are buying USTs again... here's one reason...<b>5Y greek debt is now trading at a negative yield (yes, really)</b>... so which would you rather own 5Y UST at 75bps or 5Y GGB at -0.4bps!?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89cc32e484870131a463b81b2307f870\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p>","source":"lsy1583725640930","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big-Tech & Bitcoin Pumped As Banks, Bonds, & Bullion Dumped</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig-Tech & Bitcoin Pumped As Banks, Bonds, & Bullion Dumped\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 15:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/big-tech-bitcoin-pumped-banks-bonds-bullion-dumped><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Big-tech was bid as soon as the cash market opened and both Small Caps (Russell 2000) and Big-Caps (Dow Industrials) were dumped with the S&P under water most of the day until the late day panic-bid ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/big-tech-bitcoin-pumped-banks-bonds-bullion-dumped\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/big-tech-bitcoin-pumped-banks-bonds-bullion-dumped","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183190766","content_text":"Big-tech was bid as soon as the cash market opened and both Small Caps (Russell 2000) and Big-Caps (Dow Industrials) were dumped with the S&P under water most of the day until the late day panic-bid hit as thegamma-meltup struck...\nThat's a record close for the S&P and Nasdaq thanks to this utterly ridiculous meltup...\nThe Nasdaq's outperformance pushed it to its highest relative to The Dow since April...\nSource: Bloomberg\nLordstown Motors was clubbed like a baby seal today as its CEO/CFO abandoned ship...\nRetail traders were back buying today...\nSource: Bloomberg\nElon Musk's ability to influence crypto is as evident as ever as he tweeted that he is not full of FUD and bitcoin ripped over 10% higher (helped by PTJ's positive perspective on crypto in an inflationary environment)...\nSource: Bloomberg\nJPM's Dimon spooked bank stocks even further - despite rising yields today...\nSource: Bloomberg\nUranium/Nuclear-related stocks tumbled on the China Nuke emissions headlines...\nSource: Bloomberg\nVIX jumped back above 17 intraday...\nS&P 500 Realized vol has tumbled to its lowest since Nov 2019...\nSource: Bloomberg\nWill The Fed's \"most important meeting in years\" this week get it moving?\nTreasuries were sold today, erasing more of the gains from Thursday's CPI malarkey. The short-end yield rose 1-2bps, the long-end yields rose 4-5bps...\nSource: Bloomberg\nWe note that 10Y yields hit 1.50% and the selloff stalled...\nSource: Bloomberg\nAmid all the chatter on inflation, breakevens went nowhere at all...\nSource: Bloomberg\nThe Dollar trod water after spiking Friday up to fill the payrolls gap down...\nSource: Bloomberg\nGold ended the day lower despite the dollar going nowhere...\nOil prices rollercoasted on the day but ended unchanged with WTI pushing up near $71.80 at its highs...\nFinally, if you're wondering why people are buying USTs again... here's one reason...5Y greek debt is now trading at a negative yield (yes, really)... so which would you rather own 5Y UST at 75bps or 5Y GGB at -0.4bps!?\nSource: Bloomberg","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160324292,"gmtCreate":1623773204716,"gmtModify":1703819073386,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3555919365787050\">@XanderC</a>: like","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3555919365787050\">@XanderC</a>: like","text":"//@XanderC: like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160324292","repostId":"1134275605","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134275605","pubTimestamp":1623768168,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134275605?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 22:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Troubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134275605","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last y","content":"<ul>\n <li>Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale</li>\n <li>Company was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Transocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares, taking advantage of a surge in its stock price driven by the meme-stock frenzy and rising oil prices.</p>\n<p>The company, which operates rigs for offshore oil and gas drilling, plans to issue as much as $400 million of equity through an agreement with Jefferies LLC, according to a filing Tuesday. Itsshareshave gained 75% this year to around $4, from a low of 67 cents last October, alongside oil prices, which have risen more than 40%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab59e9db38c4f9d3f9e68d0cb2facbf\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p>\n<p>Transocean’s planned share sale is the latest in a series ofmaneuversto improve its balance sheet, including multiple debt exchanges, after itwona key default trial late last year that had put it at risk offiling for bankruptcyif it wasn’t successful. The company has also caught the eye of day traders on Reddit’s speculative discussion platform WallStreetBets. It was one of the heavily shorted stocks they converged on in January that drove up share prices as short-sellers rushed in to cover their positions.</p>\n<p>A user called 12xLevered who highlighted the short interest on the shares amid rising oil prices and long runway to address its high debt load inlate Januarywas still touting the stock as recently as four days ago. Some have also pointed out that Transocean has avoided bankruptcy while other rig operators were forced to file last year because of the downturn in commodities amid the pandemic.</p>\n<p>A representative for Steinhausen, Switzerland-based Transocean didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>The company’s long-term unsecured bonds led high-yield gains Tuesday on the filing. Its 11.5% notes due 2027 jumped 4 cents on the dollar to 105 cents, yielding 9.8%. Transocean’s 6.8% bonds due 2038 gained 4 cents to 61.6 cents, yielding 12%.</p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Troubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTroubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 22:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial\n\nTransocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIG":"Transocean Ltd."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134275605","content_text":"Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial\n\nTransocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares, taking advantage of a surge in its stock price driven by the meme-stock frenzy and rising oil prices.\nThe company, which operates rigs for offshore oil and gas drilling, plans to issue as much as $400 million of equity through an agreement with Jefferies LLC, according to a filing Tuesday. Itsshareshave gained 75% this year to around $4, from a low of 67 cents last October, alongside oil prices, which have risen more than 40%.\n\nTransocean’s planned share sale is the latest in a series ofmaneuversto improve its balance sheet, including multiple debt exchanges, after itwona key default trial late last year that had put it at risk offiling for bankruptcyif it wasn’t successful. The company has also caught the eye of day traders on Reddit’s speculative discussion platform WallStreetBets. It was one of the heavily shorted stocks they converged on in January that drove up share prices as short-sellers rushed in to cover their positions.\nA user called 12xLevered who highlighted the short interest on the shares amid rising oil prices and long runway to address its high debt load inlate Januarywas still touting the stock as recently as four days ago. Some have also pointed out that Transocean has avoided bankruptcy while other rig operators were forced to file last year because of the downturn in commodities amid the pandemic.\nA representative for Steinhausen, Switzerland-based Transocean didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.\nThe company’s long-term unsecured bonds led high-yield gains Tuesday on the filing. Its 11.5% notes due 2027 jumped 4 cents on the dollar to 105 cents, yielding 9.8%. Transocean’s 6.8% bonds due 2038 gained 4 cents to 61.6 cents, yielding 12%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160328070,"gmtCreate":1623773113590,"gmtModify":1703819067390,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160328070","repostId":"1193778475","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193778475","pubTimestamp":1623749978,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193778475?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193778475","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive e","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Netflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.</li>\n <li>However, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s overall game to evaluate the strength of its moat.</li>\n <li>Netflix looks attractively-priced now, and should be a worthy addition to both value and growth investors.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Netflix (NFLX) has come under the weather recently, as the company had to face increased competitive pressure from the growth of Disney+, recent industry consolidation fromWarner Bros. Discovery(T,DISCA) and Amazon's (AMZN)acquisition of MGM's deep content IP. Furthermore, the company also reported an\"underwhelming\" Q1'21results that saw the company even missing its own net membership adds estimates by 2m. In short, there seems to be no shortage of bad news for NFLX recently.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d9e43b35cbdb0cbc2330837c796371\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Source: TradingView</p>\n<p>Therefore, it's not surprising to me at all that Mr. Market reacted somewhat negatively to all these competitive headwinds as NFLX remains about 18% off its January high, while QQQ is withintouching distance of its all time high. As a price-action, momentum based investor, seeing a stock that has demonstrated strong medium term and long term uptrend bias is of paramount importance to me and NFLX certainly checks all of that from this perspective. Although there are other growth stocks that have demonstrated a better uptrend bias profile, NFLX is not a slouch either. It has only lost its medium term 50W MA dynamic support only twice in the last 5 years: 2018 bear market decline of 45%, and Jul-Sep 19 decline of 35%. Even though the stock momentarily lost its 50W support level then, NFLX quickly regained its medium term support level, and during the COVID-19 bear market, NFLX never lost support of its medium term uptrend. Therefore, the 50W MA has proven to be a consistently strong medium term dynamic support level for NFLX over the last 5 years.</p>\n<p>NFLX's price has now approached its 50W support level again thanks to the weak market sentiments lately which makes it appropriate to discuss whether NFLX represents a good buying opportunity now for long term investors.</p>\n<p><b>So What Happened to Netflix's Paid Adds?</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17d1ce1d66e99396f67725dcfdaf3db8\" tg-width=\"769\" tg-height=\"476\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Average Paying Membership by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ca327a13d9645fce263565653d4e390\" tg-width=\"827\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Average Paying Membership YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>As we could observe clearly from the charts above, the market reacted negatively to NFLX's Q1'21 results, sending the stock down 8.21% the day after the release. It added just 3.98M net paid members in Q1'21, which was significantly weaker than the previous quarters as can be seen from its YoY Growth. The management mainly attributed this to the strong pull forward growth in membership during Q1'20 that has somewhat skewed the base upwards and may have disproportionately affected its growth in Q1'21. Although I think there is a reasonable basis for that line of argument, however we did not observe such a drastic decline in Roku, Inc. (ROKU) in its active accounts in Q1'21 (see charts below).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6e96b19f4b3eef87be93ecce3953a19\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"543\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Roku Active Accounts. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04f4053e2022d4c90e8b8ec51c1fc295\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Roku Active Accounts YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>We could clearly observe Roku's Active accounts YoY growth of 34.7% in Q1'21 to be still largely in line with 2019's growth even though Roku also experienced pull forward growth from COVID-19 last year. Therefore, I think there is a reasonable basis to infer that NFLX's paid adds growth seemed to have slowed down pretty dramatically even though it should be noted that NFLX's net paid membership of 208M significantly outnumbered Roku's 53.6M active accounts and that was not a small difference.</p>\n<p>Now, if you are a short term trader or an \"investor\" with a horizon of 1 quarter, then perhaps it may be a reasonable basis to get out of the stock. However, for long term investors, many of whom NFLX has handsomely rewarded over the last ten years, we need to dig deeper to investigate whether there has been a significant change in its long term competitive moat from the latest quarter's aberration that may significantly change NFLX's ability to compete effectively and weaken the competitive dynamics of its business model.</p>\n<p><b>Revenue Growth Looks Good</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8c6ed8cb94d2134ca5d0d79660ece07\" tg-width=\"1184\" tg-height=\"732\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee95424dd68c5abe3591347f9dd9fad\" tg-width=\"1010\" tg-height=\"624\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>First up, let's take a look at its revenue by region performance. We could observe clearly that the company's most important revenue drivers: UCAN and EMEA had YoY revenue growth of 17.3% and 36% in Q1'21, respectively, as compared to 19.8% and 39.7% in Q1'20, respectively. Sure, there was a slight blip in its YoY growth rate in Q1'21, but it was still very much in line with Q4'20 YoY numbers (which Mr. Market cheered by pushing the stock up 17.74% the day after earnings release), so it was nothing too significant that warranted a serious look into its competitiveness. Moreover, its fastest growing region: APAC also looked to have performed well with a 57.6% YoY growth rate that was even better than Q1'20's YoY growth rate of 51.3%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/298a4247dfc847726b87f80e24cc874f\" tg-width=\"876\" tg-height=\"542\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARPU by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce59d0df25c1a8b2fde74a772c918433\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"632\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARPU by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>NFLX also performed admirably well in its ARPU. ARPU was up in all the regions except for LATAM where the growth was flat on a QoQ basis. Although ARPU growth was quite volatile between quarters, ARPU in UCAN, EMEA and APAC went up by 8.4%, 11.5% and 9% in Q1'21, respectively. Even though LATAM's ARPU was down YoY, but on a QoQ basis it was flat, so there was nothing materially serious to take note here. Therefore, NFLX's ARPU performance looked really good in Q1'21.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee3698456324209ed6c9cf58bed58da\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"995\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Timeline of NFLX Price Hikes. Source:Variety</p>\n<p>If NFLX had faced intense competitive pressure in the past that forced it into a price war with competing platforms as it acquired more users, we would have seen the company forced to reduce its prices over time. On the contrary, NFLX has been increasing its prices steadily over time, with the latest round of price hikes on October 20. Even though there were some knee-jerk cancellations from some subscribers in the short term over the price hikes, over the long term it has never affected the company's ability to attract more users. This shows NFLX's strong competitive moat that gives it a huge ability to raise prices over time without losing its subscribers. In fact,NFLX well encapsulatedits strong ability to retain its subscribers despite the price hikes:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Our churn is actually below pre-price change levels already in the U.S. and in most of the markets and where we have adjusted prices and just some of the newer ones haven't come all the way back down, but they're rapidly getting there.\n</blockquote>\n<p>These well-planned price increases are extremely beneficial to NFLX's topline, given NFLX's growing subscriber base as the recent price increase is expected toadd $500Mto NFLX's revenue in FY 21 (consensus: $29.72B). Even though it's not a significant sum as compared to the revenue base, however more importantly it demonstrated clearly that NFLX has considerable pricing power in a highly competitive SVOD segment.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42059a78e3a3f7dc656556dc27761343\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"958\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Top Reasons for Video Streaming Subscription Cancellations. Source:Variety</p>\n<p>When we consider that the single most important reason for subscribers to cancel their streaming subscriptions is: \"If the subscription price increased\", then investors should now be able to really understand how Mr. Market has significantly underestimated NFLX's pricing power, which is extremely important to NFLX's business model to introduce more and more high quality content as its subscriber base gets larger over time.</p>\n<p>If we revisit NFLX's ARPU by region again, we could certainly see a generally healthy trend of ARPU over time even as the company increased its prices. It's important to note that increasing subscriptions prices is the primary way for it to further monetize its growing user base (although the company has also recently introduced more monetization methods such asNetflix shop, as well as thegaming market, so investors are highly encouraged to continue monitoring these developments). The price increases will help to bolster the consistency of the ARPU such that it would help with times when the company has found some difficulty in adding more users such as in Q1'21, while YoY revenue growth was still very healthy.</p>\n<p>Investors should take note that NFLX's growing membership base of 208M paying members is a formidable moat for it to keep producing its slate of high quality original content.</p>\n<p>Strong Content Pipeline</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02eea9bd487d52b352dd3894f2563edf\" tg-width=\"1043\" tg-height=\"646\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Content Assets. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a49a1facb41f2c4e848cced7724c68d\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Produced Content YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>NFLX has been growing its original content base rapidly over the last few years, although the COVID-19 crisis has somewhat slowed down its growth. Thecompany emphasized:</p>\n<blockquote>\n [W]e think we'll get back to a much steadier state in the back half of the year and certainly in Q4, where we've got the returning seasons of some of our most popular shows like The Witcher and You and Cobra Kai as well as some big tempo movies that came to market a little slower than we'd hoped, like Red Notes with The Rock and Ryan Reynolds and Gaga, and Escape From Spiderhead with Chris Hemsworth, big event content.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Therefore, the company is not resting on its laurels and would keep on its record of producing high quality content to keep engagement at a high level with its viewers.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4aaf52a7c9c18a4fc5664c9000282d1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"781\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Ranking of original streaming series titles in the U.S. Data Source: Nielsen, Media Play News</p>\n<p>In this survey conducted in early May, NFLX's slate of original series took home 7 out of the top 10 slots for the most watched series, demonstrating the high quality and appeal of its content with viewers. In fact, there were many other surveys that also showed Netflix's dominance in viewership over time.</p>\n<p>Netflix's original content didn't just dominate hours watched, but also award nominations. The company highlighted its recent achievements:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Netflix led all studios for recent award nominations including the Oscars, Golden Globes, SAG Awards, BAFTA and the NAACP Image Awards, among others. Heading into the Academy Awards this weekend, we have 36 nominations across 17 films including two nominees in each of the Best Picture (Mank, The Trial of the Chicago 7), Best Documentary Feature (Crip Camp, My Octopus Teacher), and Best Animated Feature (Over the Moon, A Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon) categories. Mank led all films with 10 nominations.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a756085b63c0d9b1e40d39f3fd21609\" tg-width=\"764\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Reasons for subscribing to SVOD services in the U.S. Data Source: Vorhaus Advisors</p>\n<p>As we could observe from the above, high quality original series (35%) and specific TV series or movies (43%) ranked very highly on the reasons for subscribing to SVOD services, and investors can rest assured that NFLX is certainly leading in these areas.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afa2be3ca5cfa415aee98a9c45f8e6c9\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Share of SVOD subscribers, who also subscribe to other services. Data Source: Reelgood</p>\n<p>In the SVOD space, we could clearly observe NFLX's importance to subscribers even if they subscribed to other services, which definitely helps to downplay the significance of increasing competitive threats to NFLX. In fact, NFLX was the most important service among these subscribers as the subscribers of the company's competitors also subscribed to NFLX: Peacock Premium (90%), HBO Max (90%), Amazon Prime (84%), Disney+ (87%), Hulu (85%) and Apple TV+ (92%), demonstrating clearly the importance and dominance of NFLX to its competitors' subscribers.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2c1e2c429e015e113242ffeac4d3f07\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Netflix Video Content Budget. Data Source: eMarketer</p>\n<p>Many critics also pointed to NFLX's increasing need to dedicate huge amounts of investments to drive its engagement levels, protect its moat, grow its revenue. In fact, I think unless NFLX is working on a model like Roku, whose business model I havediscussed recently here, having a high quality slate of original content is important in order to maintain its competitive edge, especially when we have witnessed a series of industry consolidation where NFLX may lose more and more access to high quality licensed content, so NFLX's committed investments in original content a few years ago led by Co-CEO Ted Sarandos has certainly been a masterstroke that has helped maintain the company's competitive edge. In addition, NFLX has been getting more and more efficient in producing original content over time, certainly helped by the large and growing paying membership base, which as I mentioned in itself is a strong moat.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e592ee98fcd2477f5e9332e664c74afa\" tg-width=\"1153\" tg-height=\"712\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Other Operating Activities [LTM] as a % of Revenue [LTM]. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>NFLX's other operating activities segment mainly include the company's investments in content assets which are classified as a cash outflow in the company's Cash from Operations [CFO]. If we observed clearly, despite the company's increasing video content budget, these investments have been forming a smaller and smaller component of the company's revenue from 2018 (even if we were to exclude the skewed figures from recent quarters due to reduced original content being produced as a result of COVID-19 delays), demonstrating the company's improved CFO position that has driven results towards FCF profitability. As a result, this allowed the company to confidently declare to investors that: \"So we expect to be about cash flow breakeven this year and then sustainably free cash flow positive and growing thereafter.\" This is definitely a highly important development, as that means NFLX now has more and more cash flow flexibility to invest in content to further drive its competitive edge against its closest rivals. The company's expected FCF profitability has also given the company confidence to announce a $5B share buyback in order to return excess cash to investors.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee2072e791610e16b97ed6d432f1fcb9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"750\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Projected Revenue Consensus Estimates, Projected Revenue Growth, Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>In fact, when I factored in NFLX's growth assumptions into its forecast model, NFLX is expected to consistently improve its FCF margin in the years ahead, while maintaining a steady revenue growth over time. NFLX is fast becoming a FCF driver that is capable of sustaining its growth and protecting its competitive moat strongly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67cbb70240f511c861aa1e4fd5b8c00d\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"552\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">SVOD market share in Japan. Data Source: GEM Partners</p>\n<p>Turning to NFLX's fastest growing region: APAC (shortsighted investors seemed to ignore NFLX's dominance in this region). There's absolutely no doubt who was the clear leader in the SVOD market in Japan with NFLX holding a 19.5% market share. In fact, Japan was expected to take over Australia as APAC'slargest market by the end of 2021. Japan's revenue is expected to grow at about 37% YoY from $2.4B to $3.3B, and subscriptions from 25.5M to 33.3M, which would represent a 30.6% increase YoY.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02d5751919369a578902516e76f5793a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Most popular OTT in Korea. Data Source: IGAWorks</p>\n<p>In its third largest APAC market: Korea, NFLX is also the well-established leader with a market share well ahead of the other OTT services, allowing the company a lot of leverage in producing top quality original Korean content. Korean content is very popular in Asia, and Netflix relies heavily on the Korean Wave (Hallyu) as the main gateway to audiences in Asia and has committed$500M to invest in Korean content in 2021 alone, from $700M spent between 2015 to 2020. Co-CEO Ted Sarandos summed up the company's approach in Korean content:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Over the last two years, we've seen the world falling in love with incredible Korean content</b>, made in Korea and watched by the world on Netflix. Our commitment towards Korea is strong. We will continue to invest and collaborate with Korean storytellers across a wealth of genres and formats.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06889e84d7faf18b5d1a8da1b4542895\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Popular OTT for accessing Korean Dramas Worldwide. Data Source: Korean Foundation for International Cultural Exchange; MCST Korea</p>\n<p>Netflix's commitment to build up its investments in Korean content has allowed it to maintain a strong position as the second ranked OTT platform behind YouTube for worldwide access to Korean dramas mainly because in my opinion, AVOD-based YouTube is free. However, Netflix has produced a lot of Original Series Korean dramas that have often quickly become a hit, and which were not available for distribution on YouTube.</p>\n<p>The Elephant in the Room: Disney</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2eb61cee21092f710c0e1446f1d598d2\" tg-width=\"1207\" tg-height=\"746\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Estimated number of SVOD subscribers worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research</p>\n<p>Disney (DIS) perhaps represents the largest threat in terms of subscribers growth as it's expected to take over NFLX as the largest SVOD player worldwide by 2026 with 294M subscribers as compared to NFLX's 286M subscribers.</p>\n<p>DIS has grown its subscribers base impressively as it reached103.6M subscribers in Q2'21. DIS's Hotstar platform is the dominant platform in two of Asia's most populated countries: Indonesia and India. This is expected to continue driving strong subscribers growth that would help it to exceed NFLX's subscriber base eventually.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30f463be13597df4819879aa4b894285\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>DIS+ ARPU. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>However, DIS's ARPU is also substantially lower than NFLX as Hotstar is very much a lower-priced offering and therefore skewing DIS's ARPU to the downside even as it adds more users. However, Hotstar looks like the better equipped option for growth in these two important Asian markets for DIS and I think DISpossesses the edge over here.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63f805876a22e4da556a27db39e6cdc8\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Estimated penetration rate. Data Source: The Motley Fool, Stifel</p>\n<p>However, NFLX is still expected to make inroads in all its segments, and particularly in APAC and EMEA as it continues to drive content growth to cater to the markets where it has the lead. l certainly think NFLX can't win in all markets, and in some markets the company definitely has to spend a lot more time and resources to develop them such as in APAC where its penetration is still very low, therefore offering huge potential for growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20878384ca9242ab35b248fb2b73ff6f\" tg-width=\"951\" tg-height=\"588\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>OTT Revenue Worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research</p>\n<p>Most importantly, the whole market still offers a lot of opportunities for growth for well positioned players in both the AVOD and the SVOD space. In the SVOD market, it is expected to grow at about 10.16% CAGR from 2020 to 2025, which although not as fast as the AVOD market, it's still expected to grow at a highly respectable rate.</p>\n<p><b>Valuations are Not Expensive</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d390f14679f74fb62a364d0921d5923\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"733\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue CAGR and Revenue Multiples. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>NFLX's projected growth (5Y CAGR of 15.1%) is definitely expected to slow as it matures, and turn FCF profitable. I don't think it's a bad thing. NFLX is still the dominant player in SVOD and expected to be so. In addition, it's still expected to grow faster than the SVOD market growth of 10.1%, thus further reinforcing NFLX's market leadership expectation. In addition, it's also trading at a slight discount on its EV / FY+1 Rev of 7.8x as compared to its 5Y Av. EV / LTM Rev of 8.8x.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becc49bc5dfbfa222226bd7426fd4e9e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"707\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>CapEX Margin &amp; Projected CapEx Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c44673eb90f5086b3eeae98397e1115f\" tg-width=\"1276\" tg-height=\"1122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>5Y Av. EV / EBITDA &amp; EV / Fwd EBITDA. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>Given that its CapEX margins (see above) are expected to be largely consistent over time as compared to the last few years, I also find it useful to consider its cash flow generating capacity and value it accordingly. When we consider NFLX's EV / Fwd EBITDA (see above), we could see the company's improved FCF generating capability has now made NFLX a lot more undervalued than when we compared it against its revenue growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e39e44f4f13ac6efc0b91aed6045771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"716\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>EV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>In fact, NFLX is expected to continue generating a high level FCF moving forward which would thus further support the NFLX's competitive valuation from the FCF point of view.</p>\n<p>Price Action and Technical Analysis</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2da4bd6973d2fa92a51a7b159b05efce\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Source: TradingView</p>\n<p>The current price level at $489 is a possible entry point, with a more conservative entry point at $458. The \"Buy more\" entry point is at $398, which is also supported above the key 200W MA. Avoid buying near $563 and $593 in the near term as they look to be key resistance levels.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping it all up</b></p>\n<p>Netflix's \"loss of competitiveness\" and \"weak fundamentals\" that were called into question recently are largely unfounded. The company enjoys strong dominance and competitive advantages in the SVOD market that is still expected to grow at double digit growth rates of which NFLX is expected to exploit in the years ahead.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 17:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.\nHowever, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1193778475","content_text":"Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.\nHowever, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s overall game to evaluate the strength of its moat.\nNetflix looks attractively-priced now, and should be a worthy addition to both value and growth investors.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nNetflix (NFLX) has come under the weather recently, as the company had to face increased competitive pressure from the growth of Disney+, recent industry consolidation fromWarner Bros. Discovery(T,DISCA) and Amazon's (AMZN)acquisition of MGM's deep content IP. Furthermore, the company also reported an\"underwhelming\" Q1'21results that saw the company even missing its own net membership adds estimates by 2m. In short, there seems to be no shortage of bad news for NFLX recently.\n\nSource: TradingView\nTherefore, it's not surprising to me at all that Mr. Market reacted somewhat negatively to all these competitive headwinds as NFLX remains about 18% off its January high, while QQQ is withintouching distance of its all time high. As a price-action, momentum based investor, seeing a stock that has demonstrated strong medium term and long term uptrend bias is of paramount importance to me and NFLX certainly checks all of that from this perspective. Although there are other growth stocks that have demonstrated a better uptrend bias profile, NFLX is not a slouch either. It has only lost its medium term 50W MA dynamic support only twice in the last 5 years: 2018 bear market decline of 45%, and Jul-Sep 19 decline of 35%. Even though the stock momentarily lost its 50W support level then, NFLX quickly regained its medium term support level, and during the COVID-19 bear market, NFLX never lost support of its medium term uptrend. Therefore, the 50W MA has proven to be a consistently strong medium term dynamic support level for NFLX over the last 5 years.\nNFLX's price has now approached its 50W support level again thanks to the weak market sentiments lately which makes it appropriate to discuss whether NFLX represents a good buying opportunity now for long term investors.\nSo What Happened to Netflix's Paid Adds?\n\nAverage Paying Membership by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nAverage Paying Membership YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nAs we could observe clearly from the charts above, the market reacted negatively to NFLX's Q1'21 results, sending the stock down 8.21% the day after the release. It added just 3.98M net paid members in Q1'21, which was significantly weaker than the previous quarters as can be seen from its YoY Growth. The management mainly attributed this to the strong pull forward growth in membership during Q1'20 that has somewhat skewed the base upwards and may have disproportionately affected its growth in Q1'21. Although I think there is a reasonable basis for that line of argument, however we did not observe such a drastic decline in Roku, Inc. (ROKU) in its active accounts in Q1'21 (see charts below).\n\nRoku Active Accounts. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nRoku Active Accounts YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nWe could clearly observe Roku's Active accounts YoY growth of 34.7% in Q1'21 to be still largely in line with 2019's growth even though Roku also experienced pull forward growth from COVID-19 last year. Therefore, I think there is a reasonable basis to infer that NFLX's paid adds growth seemed to have slowed down pretty dramatically even though it should be noted that NFLX's net paid membership of 208M significantly outnumbered Roku's 53.6M active accounts and that was not a small difference.\nNow, if you are a short term trader or an \"investor\" with a horizon of 1 quarter, then perhaps it may be a reasonable basis to get out of the stock. However, for long term investors, many of whom NFLX has handsomely rewarded over the last ten years, we need to dig deeper to investigate whether there has been a significant change in its long term competitive moat from the latest quarter's aberration that may significantly change NFLX's ability to compete effectively and weaken the competitive dynamics of its business model.\nRevenue Growth Looks Good\n\nRevenue by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nRevenue by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nFirst up, let's take a look at its revenue by region performance. We could observe clearly that the company's most important revenue drivers: UCAN and EMEA had YoY revenue growth of 17.3% and 36% in Q1'21, respectively, as compared to 19.8% and 39.7% in Q1'20, respectively. Sure, there was a slight blip in its YoY growth rate in Q1'21, but it was still very much in line with Q4'20 YoY numbers (which Mr. Market cheered by pushing the stock up 17.74% the day after earnings release), so it was nothing too significant that warranted a serious look into its competitiveness. Moreover, its fastest growing region: APAC also looked to have performed well with a 57.6% YoY growth rate that was even better than Q1'20's YoY growth rate of 51.3%.\n\nARPU by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nARPU by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nNFLX also performed admirably well in its ARPU. ARPU was up in all the regions except for LATAM where the growth was flat on a QoQ basis. Although ARPU growth was quite volatile between quarters, ARPU in UCAN, EMEA and APAC went up by 8.4%, 11.5% and 9% in Q1'21, respectively. Even though LATAM's ARPU was down YoY, but on a QoQ basis it was flat, so there was nothing materially serious to take note here. Therefore, NFLX's ARPU performance looked really good in Q1'21.\n\nTimeline of NFLX Price Hikes. Source:Variety\nIf NFLX had faced intense competitive pressure in the past that forced it into a price war with competing platforms as it acquired more users, we would have seen the company forced to reduce its prices over time. On the contrary, NFLX has been increasing its prices steadily over time, with the latest round of price hikes on October 20. Even though there were some knee-jerk cancellations from some subscribers in the short term over the price hikes, over the long term it has never affected the company's ability to attract more users. This shows NFLX's strong competitive moat that gives it a huge ability to raise prices over time without losing its subscribers. In fact,NFLX well encapsulatedits strong ability to retain its subscribers despite the price hikes:\n\n Our churn is actually below pre-price change levels already in the U.S. and in most of the markets and where we have adjusted prices and just some of the newer ones haven't come all the way back down, but they're rapidly getting there.\n\nThese well-planned price increases are extremely beneficial to NFLX's topline, given NFLX's growing subscriber base as the recent price increase is expected toadd $500Mto NFLX's revenue in FY 21 (consensus: $29.72B). Even though it's not a significant sum as compared to the revenue base, however more importantly it demonstrated clearly that NFLX has considerable pricing power in a highly competitive SVOD segment.\n\nTop Reasons for Video Streaming Subscription Cancellations. Source:Variety\nWhen we consider that the single most important reason for subscribers to cancel their streaming subscriptions is: \"If the subscription price increased\", then investors should now be able to really understand how Mr. Market has significantly underestimated NFLX's pricing power, which is extremely important to NFLX's business model to introduce more and more high quality content as its subscriber base gets larger over time.\nIf we revisit NFLX's ARPU by region again, we could certainly see a generally healthy trend of ARPU over time even as the company increased its prices. It's important to note that increasing subscriptions prices is the primary way for it to further monetize its growing user base (although the company has also recently introduced more monetization methods such asNetflix shop, as well as thegaming market, so investors are highly encouraged to continue monitoring these developments). The price increases will help to bolster the consistency of the ARPU such that it would help with times when the company has found some difficulty in adding more users such as in Q1'21, while YoY revenue growth was still very healthy.\nInvestors should take note that NFLX's growing membership base of 208M paying members is a formidable moat for it to keep producing its slate of high quality original content.\nStrong Content Pipeline\n\nContent Assets. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nProduced Content YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nNFLX has been growing its original content base rapidly over the last few years, although the COVID-19 crisis has somewhat slowed down its growth. Thecompany emphasized:\n\n [W]e think we'll get back to a much steadier state in the back half of the year and certainly in Q4, where we've got the returning seasons of some of our most popular shows like The Witcher and You and Cobra Kai as well as some big tempo movies that came to market a little slower than we'd hoped, like Red Notes with The Rock and Ryan Reynolds and Gaga, and Escape From Spiderhead with Chris Hemsworth, big event content.\n\nTherefore, the company is not resting on its laurels and would keep on its record of producing high quality content to keep engagement at a high level with its viewers.\n\nRanking of original streaming series titles in the U.S. Data Source: Nielsen, Media Play News\nIn this survey conducted in early May, NFLX's slate of original series took home 7 out of the top 10 slots for the most watched series, demonstrating the high quality and appeal of its content with viewers. In fact, there were many other surveys that also showed Netflix's dominance in viewership over time.\nNetflix's original content didn't just dominate hours watched, but also award nominations. The company highlighted its recent achievements:\n\n Netflix led all studios for recent award nominations including the Oscars, Golden Globes, SAG Awards, BAFTA and the NAACP Image Awards, among others. Heading into the Academy Awards this weekend, we have 36 nominations across 17 films including two nominees in each of the Best Picture (Mank, The Trial of the Chicago 7), Best Documentary Feature (Crip Camp, My Octopus Teacher), and Best Animated Feature (Over the Moon, A Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon) categories. Mank led all films with 10 nominations.\n\n\nReasons for subscribing to SVOD services in the U.S. Data Source: Vorhaus Advisors\nAs we could observe from the above, high quality original series (35%) and specific TV series or movies (43%) ranked very highly on the reasons for subscribing to SVOD services, and investors can rest assured that NFLX is certainly leading in these areas.\n\nShare of SVOD subscribers, who also subscribe to other services. Data Source: Reelgood\nIn the SVOD space, we could clearly observe NFLX's importance to subscribers even if they subscribed to other services, which definitely helps to downplay the significance of increasing competitive threats to NFLX. In fact, NFLX was the most important service among these subscribers as the subscribers of the company's competitors also subscribed to NFLX: Peacock Premium (90%), HBO Max (90%), Amazon Prime (84%), Disney+ (87%), Hulu (85%) and Apple TV+ (92%), demonstrating clearly the importance and dominance of NFLX to its competitors' subscribers.\n\nNetflix Video Content Budget. Data Source: eMarketer\nMany critics also pointed to NFLX's increasing need to dedicate huge amounts of investments to drive its engagement levels, protect its moat, grow its revenue. In fact, I think unless NFLX is working on a model like Roku, whose business model I havediscussed recently here, having a high quality slate of original content is important in order to maintain its competitive edge, especially when we have witnessed a series of industry consolidation where NFLX may lose more and more access to high quality licensed content, so NFLX's committed investments in original content a few years ago led by Co-CEO Ted Sarandos has certainly been a masterstroke that has helped maintain the company's competitive edge. In addition, NFLX has been getting more and more efficient in producing original content over time, certainly helped by the large and growing paying membership base, which as I mentioned in itself is a strong moat.\n\nOther Operating Activities [LTM] as a % of Revenue [LTM]. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nNFLX's other operating activities segment mainly include the company's investments in content assets which are classified as a cash outflow in the company's Cash from Operations [CFO]. If we observed clearly, despite the company's increasing video content budget, these investments have been forming a smaller and smaller component of the company's revenue from 2018 (even if we were to exclude the skewed figures from recent quarters due to reduced original content being produced as a result of COVID-19 delays), demonstrating the company's improved CFO position that has driven results towards FCF profitability. As a result, this allowed the company to confidently declare to investors that: \"So we expect to be about cash flow breakeven this year and then sustainably free cash flow positive and growing thereafter.\" This is definitely a highly important development, as that means NFLX now has more and more cash flow flexibility to invest in content to further drive its competitive edge against its closest rivals. The company's expected FCF profitability has also given the company confidence to announce a $5B share buyback in order to return excess cash to investors.\n\nProjected Revenue Consensus Estimates, Projected Revenue Growth, Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nIn fact, when I factored in NFLX's growth assumptions into its forecast model, NFLX is expected to consistently improve its FCF margin in the years ahead, while maintaining a steady revenue growth over time. NFLX is fast becoming a FCF driver that is capable of sustaining its growth and protecting its competitive moat strongly.\nSVOD market share in Japan. Data Source: GEM Partners\nTurning to NFLX's fastest growing region: APAC (shortsighted investors seemed to ignore NFLX's dominance in this region). There's absolutely no doubt who was the clear leader in the SVOD market in Japan with NFLX holding a 19.5% market share. In fact, Japan was expected to take over Australia as APAC'slargest market by the end of 2021. Japan's revenue is expected to grow at about 37% YoY from $2.4B to $3.3B, and subscriptions from 25.5M to 33.3M, which would represent a 30.6% increase YoY.\n\nMost popular OTT in Korea. Data Source: IGAWorks\nIn its third largest APAC market: Korea, NFLX is also the well-established leader with a market share well ahead of the other OTT services, allowing the company a lot of leverage in producing top quality original Korean content. Korean content is very popular in Asia, and Netflix relies heavily on the Korean Wave (Hallyu) as the main gateway to audiences in Asia and has committed$500M to invest in Korean content in 2021 alone, from $700M spent between 2015 to 2020. Co-CEO Ted Sarandos summed up the company's approach in Korean content:\n\nOver the last two years, we've seen the world falling in love with incredible Korean content, made in Korea and watched by the world on Netflix. Our commitment towards Korea is strong. We will continue to invest and collaborate with Korean storytellers across a wealth of genres and formats.\n\n\nPopular OTT for accessing Korean Dramas Worldwide. Data Source: Korean Foundation for International Cultural Exchange; MCST Korea\nNetflix's commitment to build up its investments in Korean content has allowed it to maintain a strong position as the second ranked OTT platform behind YouTube for worldwide access to Korean dramas mainly because in my opinion, AVOD-based YouTube is free. However, Netflix has produced a lot of Original Series Korean dramas that have often quickly become a hit, and which were not available for distribution on YouTube.\nThe Elephant in the Room: Disney\n\nEstimated number of SVOD subscribers worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research\nDisney (DIS) perhaps represents the largest threat in terms of subscribers growth as it's expected to take over NFLX as the largest SVOD player worldwide by 2026 with 294M subscribers as compared to NFLX's 286M subscribers.\nDIS has grown its subscribers base impressively as it reached103.6M subscribers in Q2'21. DIS's Hotstar platform is the dominant platform in two of Asia's most populated countries: Indonesia and India. This is expected to continue driving strong subscribers growth that would help it to exceed NFLX's subscriber base eventually.\n\nDIS+ ARPU. Data Source: Company Filings\nHowever, DIS's ARPU is also substantially lower than NFLX as Hotstar is very much a lower-priced offering and therefore skewing DIS's ARPU to the downside even as it adds more users. However, Hotstar looks like the better equipped option for growth in these two important Asian markets for DIS and I think DISpossesses the edge over here.\n\nEstimated penetration rate. Data Source: The Motley Fool, Stifel\nHowever, NFLX is still expected to make inroads in all its segments, and particularly in APAC and EMEA as it continues to drive content growth to cater to the markets where it has the lead. l certainly think NFLX can't win in all markets, and in some markets the company definitely has to spend a lot more time and resources to develop them such as in APAC where its penetration is still very low, therefore offering huge potential for growth.\n\nOTT Revenue Worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research\nMost importantly, the whole market still offers a lot of opportunities for growth for well positioned players in both the AVOD and the SVOD space. In the SVOD market, it is expected to grow at about 10.16% CAGR from 2020 to 2025, which although not as fast as the AVOD market, it's still expected to grow at a highly respectable rate.\nValuations are Not Expensive\n\nRevenue CAGR and Revenue Multiples. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nNFLX's projected growth (5Y CAGR of 15.1%) is definitely expected to slow as it matures, and turn FCF profitable. I don't think it's a bad thing. NFLX is still the dominant player in SVOD and expected to be so. In addition, it's still expected to grow faster than the SVOD market growth of 10.1%, thus further reinforcing NFLX's market leadership expectation. In addition, it's also trading at a slight discount on its EV / FY+1 Rev of 7.8x as compared to its 5Y Av. EV / LTM Rev of 8.8x.\n\nCapEX Margin & Projected CapEx Margin. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\n\n5Y Av. EV / EBITDA & EV / Fwd EBITDA. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nGiven that its CapEX margins (see above) are expected to be largely consistent over time as compared to the last few years, I also find it useful to consider its cash flow generating capacity and value it accordingly. When we consider NFLX's EV / Fwd EBITDA (see above), we could see the company's improved FCF generating capability has now made NFLX a lot more undervalued than when we compared it against its revenue growth.\n\nEV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nIn fact, NFLX is expected to continue generating a high level FCF moving forward which would thus further support the NFLX's competitive valuation from the FCF point of view.\nPrice Action and Technical Analysis\n\nSource: TradingView\nThe current price level at $489 is a possible entry point, with a more conservative entry point at $458. The \"Buy more\" entry point is at $398, which is also supported above the key 200W MA. Avoid buying near $563 and $593 in the near term as they look to be key resistance levels.\nWrapping it all up\nNetflix's \"loss of competitiveness\" and \"weak fundamentals\" that were called into question recently are largely unfounded. The company enjoys strong dominance and competitive advantages in the SVOD market that is still expected to grow at double digit growth rates of which NFLX is expected to exploit in the years ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160334413,"gmtCreate":1623771916532,"gmtModify":1703819017638,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How does that work&nbsp;","listText":"How does that work&nbsp;","text":"How does that work","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160334413","repostId":"1129954811","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129954811","pubTimestamp":1623757841,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129954811?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 19:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Royal Caribbean is issuing $650 million of five-year junk bonds","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129954811","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Royal Caribbean Group RCL, -2.38% said Tuesday it has commenced a private offering of $650 million o","content":"<p>Royal Caribbean Group RCL, -2.38% said Tuesday it has commenced a private offering of $650 million of five-year, high-yield bonds. </p>\n<p>Proceeds of the deal will be used to fund the redemption of about $619.8 million of 7.25% notes that mature in 2025 that were issued by Silversea Cruise Finance Ltd., the cruise operator said in a statement. The remaining funds will be used for general corporate purposes. </p>\n<p>Shares were up 0.51% premarket and have gained 18% in the year to date, while the S&amp;P 500 SPX, +0.18% has gained 13%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7be375c5b14bd0e88066699dea19c74\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\"></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Royal Caribbean is issuing $650 million of five-year junk bonds</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRoyal Caribbean is issuing $650 million of five-year junk bonds\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 19:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/royal-caribbean-is-issuing-650-million-of-five-year-junk-bonds-2021-06-15?siteid=rss&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+marketwatch%2Fmarketpulse+%28MarketWatch.com+-+MarketPulse%29&utm_medium=feed&utm_source=feedburner><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Royal Caribbean Group RCL, -2.38% said Tuesday it has commenced a private offering of $650 million of five-year, high-yield bonds. \nProceeds of the deal will be used to fund the redemption of about $...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/royal-caribbean-is-issuing-650-million-of-five-year-junk-bonds-2021-06-15?siteid=rss&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+marketwatch%2Fmarketpulse+%28MarketWatch.com+-+MarketPulse%29&utm_medium=feed&utm_source=feedburner\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RCL":"皇家加勒比邮轮"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/royal-caribbean-is-issuing-650-million-of-five-year-junk-bonds-2021-06-15?siteid=rss&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+marketwatch%2Fmarketpulse+%28MarketWatch.com+-+MarketPulse%29&utm_medium=feed&utm_source=feedburner","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1129954811","content_text":"Royal Caribbean Group RCL, -2.38% said Tuesday it has commenced a private offering of $650 million of five-year, high-yield bonds. \nProceeds of the deal will be used to fund the redemption of about $619.8 million of 7.25% notes that mature in 2025 that were issued by Silversea Cruise Finance Ltd., the cruise operator said in a statement. The remaining funds will be used for general corporate purposes. \nShares were up 0.51% premarket and have gained 18% in the year to date, while the S&P 500 SPX, +0.18% has gained 13%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160332091,"gmtCreate":1623771793413,"gmtModify":1703819013599,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>nooo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>nooo","text":"$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$nooo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60d6b4fef383c03a7bd23cf26ebdcadf","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160332091","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160336894,"gmtCreate":1623771765418,"gmtModify":1703819013115,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow?&nbsp;","listText":"Wow?&nbsp;","text":"Wow?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160336894","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p>\n<p>So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p>\n<p>As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p>","source":"lsy1583725640930","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 21:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160331846,"gmtCreate":1623771713585,"gmtModify":1703819009891,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"New vaxx?&nbsp;","listText":"New vaxx?&nbsp;","text":"New vaxx?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160331846","repostId":"1167457915","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167457915","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1623750756,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167457915?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167457915","media":"Benzinga","summary":"It was \"better late than never\" for Novavax, Inc.NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announ","content":"<p>It was \"better late than never\" for&nbsp;<b>Novavax, Inc.</b>NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.</p>\n<p>Here's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namely<b>Pfizer Inc.</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>Moderna, Inc.</b>MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Type:</b>&nbsp;Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.</p>\n<p>The Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern&nbsp;vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.</p>\n<p>This spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.</p>\n<p>Novavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle&nbsp;that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.</p>\n<p><b>The Vaccine Doses:</b>&nbsp;The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.</p>\n<p>The interval between the two doses —&nbsp;the priming and booster dose —&nbsp;is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.</p>\n<p><b>The Target Population:</b>&nbsp;The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants&nbsp;ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.</p>\n<p>Moderna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants&nbsp;ages 18 years and up.</p>\n<p>Since then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.</p>\n<p>Bothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.</p>\n<p>Novavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants&nbsp;18 years of age and older&nbsp;across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Logistics:</b>&nbsp;Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.</p>\n<p>Previously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five&nbsp;days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.</p>\n<p>NVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Efficacy:</b>&nbsp;Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven&nbsp;days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.</p>\n<p>The vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.</p>\n<p>Moderna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.</p>\n<p>Novavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.</p>\n<p>Against variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.</p>\n<p>Overall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.</p>\n<p><b>Cantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:</b>A differentiating factor for NVX-2373&nbsp;is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.</p>\n<p>\"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.</p>\n<p>Showing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.</p>\n<p>This profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Safety Data:</b>Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from&nbsp;BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.</p>\n<p>For Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.</p>\n<p>Preliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.</p>\n<p>In assessing reactogenicity seven&nbsp;days after dose one&nbsp;and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-15 17:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It was \"better late than never\" for&nbsp;<b>Novavax, Inc.</b>NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.</p>\n<p>Here's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namely<b>Pfizer Inc.</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>Moderna, Inc.</b>MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Type:</b>&nbsp;Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.</p>\n<p>The Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern&nbsp;vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.</p>\n<p>This spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.</p>\n<p>Novavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle&nbsp;that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.</p>\n<p><b>The Vaccine Doses:</b>&nbsp;The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.</p>\n<p>The interval between the two doses —&nbsp;the priming and booster dose —&nbsp;is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.</p>\n<p><b>The Target Population:</b>&nbsp;The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants&nbsp;ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.</p>\n<p>Moderna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants&nbsp;ages 18 years and up.</p>\n<p>Since then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.</p>\n<p>Bothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.</p>\n<p>Novavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants&nbsp;18 years of age and older&nbsp;across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Logistics:</b>&nbsp;Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.</p>\n<p>Previously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five&nbsp;days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.</p>\n<p>NVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Efficacy:</b>&nbsp;Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven&nbsp;days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.</p>\n<p>The vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.</p>\n<p>Moderna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.</p>\n<p>Novavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.</p>\n<p>Against variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.</p>\n<p>Overall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.</p>\n<p><b>Cantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:</b>A differentiating factor for NVX-2373&nbsp;is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.</p>\n<p>\"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.</p>\n<p>Showing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.</p>\n<p>This profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Safety Data:</b>Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from&nbsp;BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.</p>\n<p>For Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.</p>\n<p>Preliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.</p>\n<p>In assessing reactogenicity seven&nbsp;days after dose one&nbsp;and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","PFE":"辉瑞"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167457915","content_text":"It was \"better late than never\" for Novavax, Inc.NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.\nHere's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namelyPfizer Inc.PFE 0.05%-BioNTech SEBNTXandModerna, Inc.MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.\nVaccine Type: Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.\nThe Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.\nThis spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.\nNovavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.\nThe Vaccine Doses: The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.\nThe interval between the two doses — the priming and booster dose — is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.\nThe Target Population: The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.\nModerna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants ages 18 years and up.\nSince then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.\nBothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.\nNovavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants 18 years of age and older across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.\nVaccine Logistics: Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.\nPreviously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.\nNVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.\nVaccine Efficacy: Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.\nThe vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.\nModerna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.\nNovavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.\nAgainst variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.\nOverall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.\nCantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:A differentiating factor for NVX-2373 is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.\n\"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.\nShowing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.\nThis profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.\nVaccine Safety Data:Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.\nFor Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.\nPreliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.\nIn assessing reactogenicity seven days after dose one and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160333430,"gmtCreate":1623771693120,"gmtModify":1703819008922,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yikes&nbsp;","listText":"Yikes&nbsp;","text":"Yikes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160333430","repostId":"1100476757","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100476757","pubTimestamp":1623767613,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100476757?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 22:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Senators face roadblocks to passing bipartisan infrastructure plan as opposition mounts","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100476757","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nTen Democratic and Republican senators who crafted a bipartisan infrastructure plan are ","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nTen Democratic and Republican senators who crafted a bipartisan infrastructure plan are having trouble winning liberal senators to their cause.\nRob Portman, one of the Senate negotiators, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/infrastructure-bipartisan-senate-plan-faces-opposition-from-democrats.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Senators face roadblocks to passing bipartisan infrastructure plan as opposition mounts</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSenators face roadblocks to passing bipartisan infrastructure plan as opposition mounts\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 22:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/infrastructure-bipartisan-senate-plan-faces-opposition-from-democrats.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nTen Democratic and Republican senators who crafted a bipartisan infrastructure plan are having trouble winning liberal senators to their cause.\nRob Portman, one of the Senate negotiators, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/infrastructure-bipartisan-senate-plan-faces-opposition-from-democrats.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/infrastructure-bipartisan-senate-plan-faces-opposition-from-democrats.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1100476757","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nTen Democratic and Republican senators who crafted a bipartisan infrastructure plan are having trouble winning liberal senators to their cause.\nRob Portman, one of the Senate negotiators, said he hopes the group can garner enough Republican votes to offset any Democratic losses.\nThe talks on a bipartisan plan continue as Democrats set the groundwork to try to pass legislation on their own.\n\nThe Democratic and Republican senators pitching an infrastructure deal face early hurdles in pushingtheir roughly $1 trillion planthrough Congress.\nThe bipartisan proposal crafted by 10 senators would focus on transportation, broadband and water, and would not raise taxes to offset costs. A handful of Democrats who seek a broader plan that addresses climate change and social programs, paid for by increasing taxes on corporations or the wealthy, have opposed the framework.\nSenators have to walk a fine line as concessions to win over one party jeopardizes support from the other. Despite growing opposition from liberals, one Republican who worked on the plan hopes the group can gain support from enough GOP senators to overcome a loss of Democratic votes.\n“There certainly should be,” Sen. Rob Portman, R-Ohio, told CNBC on Tuesday when asked whether there would be enough Republican support to pass the plan. “I mean, this is a proposal for infrastructure that Republicans have traditionally supported. It’s also a proposal without raising income taxes. … I think it’s something that’s going to get a lot of support on both sides of the aisle.”\nPresidentJoe Bidenproposeda $2.3 trillion infrastructure and economic recovery planas his second major legislative initiative. After histalks with Republicans collapsedamid disagreements over what to include in a bill and how to pay for it, lawmakers pushed ahead with a last-ditch effort to craft a bipartisan plan.\nAs the 10 senators try to win support for their proposal, Democrats have set the groundwork to approve a bill on their own through budget reconciliation. However, the path appears blocked for now as at least one Democrat involved in the talks, Joe Manchin of West Virginia, insists he wants to pass a plan with bipartisan support.\nCongressional leaders have a math problem. To get through the evenly split Senate under the normal process, legislation would need support from all of the Democratic caucus and at least 10 Republicans — or more if any Democrats defect. If Democrats try to approve legislation on their own using budget reconciliation, they cannot lose a single vote.\nThe bipartisan strategy faces its share of skeptics. Sen. Bernie Sanders, a Vermont independent who caucuses with Democrats, told reporters Monday he will not vote for the plan.\n“The bottom line is, there are a lot of needs facing this country,” he said. “Now is the time to address those needs, and it has to be paid for in a progressive way, given the fact that we have massive income and wealth inequality in America.”\nAt least two other Democrats — Sens. Ed Markey of Massachusetts and Jeff Merkley of Oregon — have signaled they will oppose an infrastructure deal unless it invests more in fighting climate change.\nPassing a bill in the Senate will also depend on whether the bipartisan group can win over Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky. Neither senator has endorsed the framework.\nMcConnell is “open minded, as he’s said to the media. ... I think Democrats are talking to Sen. Schumer as well, and I think he’s also open minded,” Portman told CNBC.\nWhile McConnell has said he hopes to reach a bipartisan infrastructure deal, he has also vowed to fight Biden’s economic agenda.\nSchumer said Monday that “discussions about infrastructure investments are progressing on two tracks.” The Democrat added that as bipartisan talks take place, Senate committees are also working on a plan based around Biden’s proposal, “which will be considered even if it does not have bipartisan support.”\nHe also signaled he wants to see a larger investment in climate action.\n“And as a reminder to the Senate, a reminder to the Senate: as I’ve said from the start that in order to move forward on infrastructure, we must include bold action on climate,” he said.\nThe challenges are not limited to the Senate. House progressives have started to come out against a bipartisan plan smaller than the one Biden proposed. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., also said a provision to index the gas tax to inflation would not get the White House’s blessing.\n“The president of the United States is a major factor in this, and he has said he would not support any taxes on people making under $400,000 a year, and that includes increasing the gas tax,” she told CNN on Sunday.\nPortman said Tuesday that the bipartisan framework would include a “slight increase” to the tax.\nPelosi on Sunday did not rule out her caucus supporting a more narrow infrastructure package. She said Democrats would likely need assurances they will next pass a broader bill that includes more party priorities.\n“If [a bipartisan deal] is something that can be agreed upon, I don’t know how we can possibly sell it to our caucus unless we know there is more to come,” she said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":136,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160339700,"gmtCreate":1623771666500,"gmtModify":1703819007954,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huh&nbsp;","listText":"Huh&nbsp;","text":"Huh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160339700","repostId":"1142697857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142697857","pubTimestamp":1623752468,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142697857?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 18:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Poised to Crawl Onto ‘Knife Edge’ to Rein In Record Largesse","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142697857","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Fed wants to normalize relations with Congress, markets\nPolicy makers may begin months-long talks on","content":"<ul>\n <li>Fed wants to normalize relations with Congress, markets</li>\n <li>Policy makers may begin months-long talks on taper Tuesday</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The Federal Reserve is inching toward the start of a long road to normalizing its relationship with the rest of Washington and Wall Street.</p>\n<p>After spending the past 15 months providing unprecedented help to the federal government and investors via trillions of dollars of bond purchases, it could start preliminary discussions about scaling back that support at a pivotal two-day policy meeting that kicks off on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Even so, actual steps in that direction by Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues are likely still months off.</p>\n<p>Weaning Wall Street and Washington off the Fed’s extraordinary largesse won’t be easy. Since Covid-19 struck the U.S. in March 2020, the central bank has brought more than $2.5 trillion of U.S. Treasury debt, effectively covering more than half of the federal government’s red ink over that time.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f845f5d5fa4baccad7e30207df549d71\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\">That buying -- together with about $870 billion in purchases of mortgage-backed securities -- has flooded the financial markets with liquidity, contributing to a doubling of the stock market from its pandemic low.</p>\n<p>“It will be like crawling along a knife-edge ridge,” former Bank of England policy maker Charles Goodhart said of the task facing the Fed. “If you do too little you’ll find inflation will just go on accelerating. If you do too much you get into a financial crisis and a recession.”</p>\n<p>Fed officials have said they want to see “substantial further progress” toward their goals of maximum employment and average 2% inflation before reducing current asset purchases of $120 billion per month. None are suggesting that they’re close to achieving that, though some have pressed for discussions to begin on a plan for tapering that buying.</p>\n<p>As Powell has pointed out more than once, payrolls are still substantially below where they were pre-pandemic -- some 7.6 million jobs short, according to the May employment report. And while inflation recently has proven surprisingly rapid -- consumer prices climbed 5% in May from a year earlier -- Powell and other Fed officials have argued that the rise is mostly transitory, the result of temporary bottlenecks as the economy reopens and low readings a year ago when it shut down.</p>\n<p><b>Price Pressures Heat Up</b></p>\n<p>U.S. core and headline inflation both increased more than forecast in May</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/320b6b6419ac9bcbe999007f7786196f\" tg-width=\"643\" tg-height=\"330\">“Why would the Fed try to fix bottleneck-driven inflation by signaling earlier rate hikes and hitting demand?” Julia Coronado, president of MacroPolicy Perspectives, asked in a June 14 tweet.</p>\n<p>Instead, after years of falling short of their inflation goal, policy makers will “err on the side of patience” in scaling back stimulus, said former Fed official David Wilcox, who is now at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.</p>\n<p>Powell’s past and potential future also argue for patience. As a Fed governor in 2013, he was among those pushing then-Chairman Ben Bernanke to roll back quantitative easing, only to see the financial markets throw a “taper tantrum” at the mere suggestion such a policy shift was coming.</p>\n<p>With his own term as Fed chair up next February, Powell has an extra incentive to avoid a repeat of such turbulence.</p>\n<p>“While the Fed is an independent institution, its leadership, up for reappointment next year, could not totally ignore the dim view the administration and Democratic Congress would take toward a shift to a more pre-emptive policy stance,” Deutsche Bank chief economist David Folkerts-Landau and colleagues wrote in a June 7 report.</p>\n<p>Some three-quarters of economists surveyed by Bloomberg last week said they expect the Fed to announce between August and year-end that it will begin paring its purchases, with one-third forecasting it won’t fire the starting gun until December.</p>\n<p>It’s not just the timing of the taper that’s up for discussion. So too are its composition and pace.</p>\n<p>The Fed has faced criticism from within and outside the organization for continuing to buy $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities per month while house prices are surging. Vice Chair Randal Quarles said last month that the Fed would “certainly” look at that issue in the context of its taper discussions.</p>\n<p><b>Steady Pace</b></p>\n<p>The last time the Fed wound up a quantitative easing program, in 2014, it shrank its asset purchases at a steady pace.</p>\n<p>“Investors may be lulled into a false sense of security by that experience,” former Fed official William English told a June 8 Deutsche Bank webinar. Given all the uncertainty surrounding the post pandemic economy, “it’s not necessarily going to be the case that the Fed is going to taper in steady steps.”</p>\n<p>Much may depend on the financial markets. American Enterprise Institute resident fellow Desmond Lachman said the ultra-easy monetary policy being pursued by the Fed and other major central banks has led to an “everything asset price bubble,” with stock, credit and housing markets all frothy.</p>\n<p>“The chance of the bubble bursting is all the greater if the Fed is behind the curve,” he said.</p>\n<p>English, who is now at the Yale School of Management, said it’s going to be politically hard for the Fed to wind up its asset purchases and increase interest rates because that will boost the government’s borrowing costs.</p>\n<p>“The Fed is going to come under a lot of criticism for raising rates and making budget choices for the Congress considerably tougher,” he said, adding, “At some level, the Fed needs to both normalize policy but also normalize its relationship with the government.”</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Poised to Crawl Onto ‘Knife Edge’ to Rein In Record Largesse</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Poised to Crawl Onto ‘Knife Edge’ to Rein In Record Largesse\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 18:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/fed-poised-to-crawl-onto-knife-edge-to-rein-in-record-largesse><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed wants to normalize relations with Congress, markets\nPolicy makers may begin months-long talks on taper Tuesday\n\nThe Federal Reserve is inching toward the start of a long road to normalizing its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/fed-poised-to-crawl-onto-knife-edge-to-rein-in-record-largesse\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/fed-poised-to-crawl-onto-knife-edge-to-rein-in-record-largesse","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142697857","content_text":"Fed wants to normalize relations with Congress, markets\nPolicy makers may begin months-long talks on taper Tuesday\n\nThe Federal Reserve is inching toward the start of a long road to normalizing its relationship with the rest of Washington and Wall Street.\nAfter spending the past 15 months providing unprecedented help to the federal government and investors via trillions of dollars of bond purchases, it could start preliminary discussions about scaling back that support at a pivotal two-day policy meeting that kicks off on Tuesday.\nEven so, actual steps in that direction by Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues are likely still months off.\nWeaning Wall Street and Washington off the Fed’s extraordinary largesse won’t be easy. Since Covid-19 struck the U.S. in March 2020, the central bank has brought more than $2.5 trillion of U.S. Treasury debt, effectively covering more than half of the federal government’s red ink over that time.\nThat buying -- together with about $870 billion in purchases of mortgage-backed securities -- has flooded the financial markets with liquidity, contributing to a doubling of the stock market from its pandemic low.\n“It will be like crawling along a knife-edge ridge,” former Bank of England policy maker Charles Goodhart said of the task facing the Fed. “If you do too little you’ll find inflation will just go on accelerating. If you do too much you get into a financial crisis and a recession.”\nFed officials have said they want to see “substantial further progress” toward their goals of maximum employment and average 2% inflation before reducing current asset purchases of $120 billion per month. None are suggesting that they’re close to achieving that, though some have pressed for discussions to begin on a plan for tapering that buying.\nAs Powell has pointed out more than once, payrolls are still substantially below where they were pre-pandemic -- some 7.6 million jobs short, according to the May employment report. And while inflation recently has proven surprisingly rapid -- consumer prices climbed 5% in May from a year earlier -- Powell and other Fed officials have argued that the rise is mostly transitory, the result of temporary bottlenecks as the economy reopens and low readings a year ago when it shut down.\nPrice Pressures Heat Up\nU.S. core and headline inflation both increased more than forecast in May\n“Why would the Fed try to fix bottleneck-driven inflation by signaling earlier rate hikes and hitting demand?” Julia Coronado, president of MacroPolicy Perspectives, asked in a June 14 tweet.\nInstead, after years of falling short of their inflation goal, policy makers will “err on the side of patience” in scaling back stimulus, said former Fed official David Wilcox, who is now at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.\nPowell’s past and potential future also argue for patience. As a Fed governor in 2013, he was among those pushing then-Chairman Ben Bernanke to roll back quantitative easing, only to see the financial markets throw a “taper tantrum” at the mere suggestion such a policy shift was coming.\nWith his own term as Fed chair up next February, Powell has an extra incentive to avoid a repeat of such turbulence.\n“While the Fed is an independent institution, its leadership, up for reappointment next year, could not totally ignore the dim view the administration and Democratic Congress would take toward a shift to a more pre-emptive policy stance,” Deutsche Bank chief economist David Folkerts-Landau and colleagues wrote in a June 7 report.\nSome three-quarters of economists surveyed by Bloomberg last week said they expect the Fed to announce between August and year-end that it will begin paring its purchases, with one-third forecasting it won’t fire the starting gun until December.\nIt’s not just the timing of the taper that’s up for discussion. So too are its composition and pace.\nThe Fed has faced criticism from within and outside the organization for continuing to buy $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities per month while house prices are surging. Vice Chair Randal Quarles said last month that the Fed would “certainly” look at that issue in the context of its taper discussions.\nSteady Pace\nThe last time the Fed wound up a quantitative easing program, in 2014, it shrank its asset purchases at a steady pace.\n“Investors may be lulled into a false sense of security by that experience,” former Fed official William English told a June 8 Deutsche Bank webinar. Given all the uncertainty surrounding the post pandemic economy, “it’s not necessarily going to be the case that the Fed is going to taper in steady steps.”\nMuch may depend on the financial markets. American Enterprise Institute resident fellow Desmond Lachman said the ultra-easy monetary policy being pursued by the Fed and other major central banks has led to an “everything asset price bubble,” with stock, credit and housing markets all frothy.\n“The chance of the bubble bursting is all the greater if the Fed is behind the curve,” he said.\nEnglish, who is now at the Yale School of Management, said it’s going to be politically hard for the Fed to wind up its asset purchases and increase interest rates because that will boost the government’s borrowing costs.\n“The Fed is going to come under a lot of criticism for raising rates and making budget choices for the Congress considerably tougher,” he said, adding, “At some level, the Fed needs to both normalize policy but also normalize its relationship with the government.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160395425,"gmtCreate":1623771523267,"gmtModify":1703819001647,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tesla?&nbsp;","listText":"Tesla?&nbsp;","text":"Tesla?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160395425","repostId":"1179958588","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179958588","pubTimestamp":1623766192,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179958588?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 22:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Going Through A \"Rather Dry Spell\", Says Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179958588","media":"zerohedge","summary":"In most respects, the latest note from Adam Jonas at Morgan Stanley on Tesla has been more of the sa","content":"<p>In most respects, the latest note from Adam Jonas at Morgan Stanley on Tesla has been more of the same.</p>\n<p>You've got your bona fide comedy, as Jonas starts his note&nbsp;by saying \"Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for&nbsp;the stock,\" before defending his $900 price target on the name...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9cc9bfba9fba1bf3593b4b6f4e20dbf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"198\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>You've got your \"pie in the sky\" style lofty estimates about a SaaS revenue stream that doesn't exist and that the company likely doesn't even have the infrastructure for...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e525d8ff30b02cefbdc8daecdcfcca7b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"246\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">You've got your insane valuation for Tesla's insurance business...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67267c0686d45416d0cb73fda3e253c7\" tg-width=\"516\" tg-height=\"648\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">...and finally, you've got your proclamation that Tesla is going to exceed its timelines for autonomous productions. You know, because the company has been so masterful with handling timelines in the past.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7526beef593477f8a494eac3cd07e6f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"97\"></p>\n<p>All told, it was a pretty standard Adam Jonas ticker tape parade for the company.</p>\n<p>But tucked into what can only be described as the \"endless optimism\" of Jonas' note was an interesting point that the analyst made.<b>Namely, he appears to make the suggestion that CEO Elon Musk's latest obsession with bitcoin is indicative that Tesla's underlying business could be going through a \"dry spell\".</b></p>\n<p><b>\"Over the past couple of months, incoming client interest on Tesla is focused mostly on Chinese sales/production data and Elon Musk’s tweets regarding Bitcoin. Might Tesla-Bitcoin fever may be telling us something about the lull in Tesla sentiment?</b>\" Jonas asks toward the beginning of his note.</p>\n<p>He continues:<b>\"You just know it’s a rather dry spell for Tesla when Bitcoin is the dominant new story and dominant driver of investor discussion day in, day out.</b>In our opinion, what’s considerably more interesting than ‘decoding’ the TSLA-Bitcoin relationship is the fact that there is a virtual ‘vacuum’ of developments and news related to other areas of technological and commercial progress that the company is involved with on renewable energy, storage networking and transportation.\"</p>\n<p>He begrudgingly concludes&nbsp;about Tesla's underwhelming Model S Plaid unveil: \"<b>Yes, the Model S Plaid unveil was fun, but where’s the next ‘big’ development to move the company forward?\"</b></p>\n<p>The lines even stood out CNBC's Carl Quintanilla who pointed it out early this morning.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec9ba5f7279aee4c62994fd1495bdcec\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"530\">It's interesting to note this level of what appears to just be bemusement and exhaustion from Jonas. But whether or not it sticks out to the \"sophisticated investors\" buying Tesla stock remains another question...</p>","source":"lsy1583725640930","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Going Through A \"Rather Dry Spell\", Says Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Going Through A \"Rather Dry Spell\", Says Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 22:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tesla-going-through-rather-dry-spell-says-morgan-stanleys-adam-jonas><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In most respects, the latest note from Adam Jonas at Morgan Stanley on Tesla has been more of the same.\nYou've got your bona fide comedy, as Jonas starts his note by saying \"Let’s begin with a healthy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tesla-going-through-rather-dry-spell-says-morgan-stanleys-adam-jonas\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tesla-going-through-rather-dry-spell-says-morgan-stanleys-adam-jonas","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179958588","content_text":"In most respects, the latest note from Adam Jonas at Morgan Stanley on Tesla has been more of the same.\nYou've got your bona fide comedy, as Jonas starts his note by saying \"Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,\" before defending his $900 price target on the name...\n\nYou've got your \"pie in the sky\" style lofty estimates about a SaaS revenue stream that doesn't exist and that the company likely doesn't even have the infrastructure for...\nYou've got your insane valuation for Tesla's insurance business...\n...and finally, you've got your proclamation that Tesla is going to exceed its timelines for autonomous productions. You know, because the company has been so masterful with handling timelines in the past.\n\nAll told, it was a pretty standard Adam Jonas ticker tape parade for the company.\nBut tucked into what can only be described as the \"endless optimism\" of Jonas' note was an interesting point that the analyst made.Namely, he appears to make the suggestion that CEO Elon Musk's latest obsession with bitcoin is indicative that Tesla's underlying business could be going through a \"dry spell\".\n\"Over the past couple of months, incoming client interest on Tesla is focused mostly on Chinese sales/production data and Elon Musk’s tweets regarding Bitcoin. Might Tesla-Bitcoin fever may be telling us something about the lull in Tesla sentiment?\" Jonas asks toward the beginning of his note.\nHe continues:\"You just know it’s a rather dry spell for Tesla when Bitcoin is the dominant new story and dominant driver of investor discussion day in, day out.In our opinion, what’s considerably more interesting than ‘decoding’ the TSLA-Bitcoin relationship is the fact that there is a virtual ‘vacuum’ of developments and news related to other areas of technological and commercial progress that the company is involved with on renewable energy, storage networking and transportation.\"\nHe begrudgingly concludes about Tesla's underwhelming Model S Plaid unveil: \"Yes, the Model S Plaid unveil was fun, but where’s the next ‘big’ development to move the company forward?\"\nThe lines even stood out CNBC's Carl Quintanilla who pointed it out early this morning.\nIt's interesting to note this level of what appears to just be bemusement and exhaustion from Jonas. But whether or not it sticks out to the \"sophisticated investors\" buying Tesla stock remains another question...","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160395997,"gmtCreate":1623771495319,"gmtModify":1703819000839,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reddit again&nbsp;","listText":"Reddit again&nbsp;","text":"Reddit again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160395997","repostId":"1134275605","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134275605","pubTimestamp":1623768168,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134275605?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 22:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Troubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134275605","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last y","content":"<ul>\n <li>Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale</li>\n <li>Company was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Transocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares, taking advantage of a surge in its stock price driven by the meme-stock frenzy and rising oil prices.</p>\n<p>The company, which operates rigs for offshore oil and gas drilling, plans to issue as much as $400 million of equity through an agreement with Jefferies LLC, according to a filing Tuesday. Itsshareshave gained 75% this year to around $4, from a low of 67 cents last October, alongside oil prices, which have risen more than 40%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab59e9db38c4f9d3f9e68d0cb2facbf\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p>\n<p>Transocean’s planned share sale is the latest in a series ofmaneuversto improve its balance sheet, including multiple debt exchanges, after itwona key default trial late last year that had put it at risk offiling for bankruptcyif it wasn’t successful. The company has also caught the eye of day traders on Reddit’s speculative discussion platform WallStreetBets. It was one of the heavily shorted stocks they converged on in January that drove up share prices as short-sellers rushed in to cover their positions.</p>\n<p>A user called 12xLevered who highlighted the short interest on the shares amid rising oil prices and long runway to address its high debt load inlate Januarywas still touting the stock as recently as four days ago. Some have also pointed out that Transocean has avoided bankruptcy while other rig operators were forced to file last year because of the downturn in commodities amid the pandemic.</p>\n<p>A representative for Steinhausen, Switzerland-based Transocean didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>The company’s long-term unsecured bonds led high-yield gains Tuesday on the filing. Its 11.5% notes due 2027 jumped 4 cents on the dollar to 105 cents, yielding 9.8%. Transocean’s 6.8% bonds due 2038 gained 4 cents to 61.6 cents, yielding 12%.</p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Troubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTroubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 22:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial\n\nTransocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIG":"Transocean Ltd."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134275605","content_text":"Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial\n\nTransocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares, taking advantage of a surge in its stock price driven by the meme-stock frenzy and rising oil prices.\nThe company, which operates rigs for offshore oil and gas drilling, plans to issue as much as $400 million of equity through an agreement with Jefferies LLC, according to a filing Tuesday. Itsshareshave gained 75% this year to around $4, from a low of 67 cents last October, alongside oil prices, which have risen more than 40%.\n\nTransocean’s planned share sale is the latest in a series ofmaneuversto improve its balance sheet, including multiple debt exchanges, after itwona key default trial late last year that had put it at risk offiling for bankruptcyif it wasn’t successful. The company has also caught the eye of day traders on Reddit’s speculative discussion platform WallStreetBets. It was one of the heavily shorted stocks they converged on in January that drove up share prices as short-sellers rushed in to cover their positions.\nA user called 12xLevered who highlighted the short interest on the shares amid rising oil prices and long runway to address its high debt load inlate Januarywas still touting the stock as recently as four days ago. Some have also pointed out that Transocean has avoided bankruptcy while other rig operators were forced to file last year because of the downturn in commodities amid the pandemic.\nA representative for Steinhausen, Switzerland-based Transocean didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.\nThe company’s long-term unsecured bonds led high-yield gains Tuesday on the filing. Its 11.5% notes due 2027 jumped 4 cents on the dollar to 105 cents, yielding 9.8%. Transocean’s 6.8% bonds due 2038 gained 4 cents to 61.6 cents, yielding 12%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160396280,"gmtCreate":1623771442240,"gmtModify":1703818999057,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Hmm interesting&nbsp;","text":"Hmm interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160396280","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p>\n<p>So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p>\n<p>As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p>","source":"lsy1583725640930","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 21:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":19,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110494292,"gmtCreate":1622476942516,"gmtModify":1704184952305,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110494292","repostId":"1113386303","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113386303","pubTimestamp":1622472571,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113386303?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-31 22:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Turkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113386303","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar","content":"<ul>\n <li>SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year</li>\n <li>It follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053dca0f1785d519785d4a999349c38c\" tg-width=\"4000\" tg-height=\"2546\"><span>Hepsiburada.com home page.</span></p>\n<p>Turkey’s second biggest online shopping platform by market share applied tolist its shareson Nasdaq amid a flurry of investor interest in the nation’s burgeoningstart-upscene.</p>\n<p>Hepsiburada.com, formally known as D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret AS, plans to sell shares on the tech-heavy U.S. equity gauge, according to the company’s&nbsp;prospectus&nbsp;filed to Securities and Exchange Commission on May 28. The company didn’t specify how many shares it plans to sell or when.</p>\n<p>The filing comes as revenue more than doubled last year as coronavirus measures led to a surge in online shopping. And it follows a string of Turkish tech deals that have attracted strong international interest in recent years, with valuations reaching billions of dollars.</p>\n<p>Peak, a Turkish casual games maker, was&nbsp;sold&nbsp;to&nbsp;Zynga Inc.for $1.8 billion last year while Getir, a quick grocery delivery app, is seeking funds in a round that may raise its&nbsp;value&nbsp;to more than $7 billion from $2.6 billion in February. Trendyol, the biggest e-commerce marketplace in Turkey backed by Chinese online giant&nbsp;Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., is in talks with investors for new funds that could see its value rise to more than $15 billion from $9.4 billion earlier this year.</p>\n<p>Hepsiburada.com hired Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Bank of America Securities, UBS Investment Bank and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to arrange the deal.</p>\n<p>The company is 75% owned by the four daughters of businessman Aydin Dogan, founder of Dogan Sirketler Grubu Holding AS, 24.6% of which is held by founder Hanzade Dogan Boyner.Franklin Resources Inc.&nbsp;owns the remaining 25%.</p>\n<p><b>Highlights from the company prospectus:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Revenue rose to 6.4 billion liras ($750 million) in 2020 from 2.6 billion liras a year ago. The company reported a total loss of 476 million liras last year, up from 133 million liras in 2019</li>\n <li>Gross merchandise value, a measure of total value of products and orders through its marketplace platform, rose to 17 billion liras from 9 million customers in 2020 from 8 billion liras from 6.5 million users a year ago</li>\n <li>The company said its market share was around 17% last year, citing data from&nbsp;Arthur D Little Inc.</li>\n <li>Liabilities rose to 2.7 billion liras in 2020, including 2 billion liras in payables and 347 million liras in bank loans, from 1.2 billion liras in 2019</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Turkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTurkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-31 22:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey\n\nHepsiburada.com home page.\nTurkey’s second biggest online shopping platform ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113386303","content_text":"SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey\n\nHepsiburada.com home page.\nTurkey’s second biggest online shopping platform by market share applied tolist its shareson Nasdaq amid a flurry of investor interest in the nation’s burgeoningstart-upscene.\nHepsiburada.com, formally known as D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret AS, plans to sell shares on the tech-heavy U.S. equity gauge, according to the company’s prospectus filed to Securities and Exchange Commission on May 28. The company didn’t specify how many shares it plans to sell or when.\nThe filing comes as revenue more than doubled last year as coronavirus measures led to a surge in online shopping. And it follows a string of Turkish tech deals that have attracted strong international interest in recent years, with valuations reaching billions of dollars.\nPeak, a Turkish casual games maker, was sold to Zynga Inc.for $1.8 billion last year while Getir, a quick grocery delivery app, is seeking funds in a round that may raise its value to more than $7 billion from $2.6 billion in February. Trendyol, the biggest e-commerce marketplace in Turkey backed by Chinese online giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., is in talks with investors for new funds that could see its value rise to more than $15 billion from $9.4 billion earlier this year.\nHepsiburada.com hired Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Securities, UBS Investment Bank and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to arrange the deal.\nThe company is 75% owned by the four daughters of businessman Aydin Dogan, founder of Dogan Sirketler Grubu Holding AS, 24.6% of which is held by founder Hanzade Dogan Boyner.Franklin Resources Inc. owns the remaining 25%.\nHighlights from the company prospectus:\n\nRevenue rose to 6.4 billion liras ($750 million) in 2020 from 2.6 billion liras a year ago. The company reported a total loss of 476 million liras last year, up from 133 million liras in 2019\nGross merchandise value, a measure of total value of products and orders through its marketplace platform, rose to 17 billion liras from 9 million customers in 2020 from 8 billion liras from 6.5 million users a year ago\nThe company said its market share was around 17% last year, citing data from Arthur D Little Inc.\nLiabilities rose to 2.7 billion liras in 2020, including 2 billion liras in payables and 347 million liras in bank loans, from 1.2 billion liras in 2019","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110494837,"gmtCreate":1622476896429,"gmtModify":1704184951814,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110494837","repostId":"1113386303","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113386303","pubTimestamp":1622472571,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113386303?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-31 22:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Turkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113386303","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar","content":"<ul>\n <li>SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year</li>\n <li>It follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053dca0f1785d519785d4a999349c38c\" tg-width=\"4000\" tg-height=\"2546\"><span>Hepsiburada.com home page.</span></p>\n<p>Turkey’s second biggest online shopping platform by market share applied tolist its shareson Nasdaq amid a flurry of investor interest in the nation’s burgeoningstart-upscene.</p>\n<p>Hepsiburada.com, formally known as D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret AS, plans to sell shares on the tech-heavy U.S. equity gauge, according to the company’s&nbsp;prospectus&nbsp;filed to Securities and Exchange Commission on May 28. The company didn’t specify how many shares it plans to sell or when.</p>\n<p>The filing comes as revenue more than doubled last year as coronavirus measures led to a surge in online shopping. And it follows a string of Turkish tech deals that have attracted strong international interest in recent years, with valuations reaching billions of dollars.</p>\n<p>Peak, a Turkish casual games maker, was&nbsp;sold&nbsp;to&nbsp;Zynga Inc.for $1.8 billion last year while Getir, a quick grocery delivery app, is seeking funds in a round that may raise its&nbsp;value&nbsp;to more than $7 billion from $2.6 billion in February. Trendyol, the biggest e-commerce marketplace in Turkey backed by Chinese online giant&nbsp;Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., is in talks with investors for new funds that could see its value rise to more than $15 billion from $9.4 billion earlier this year.</p>\n<p>Hepsiburada.com hired Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Bank of America Securities, UBS Investment Bank and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to arrange the deal.</p>\n<p>The company is 75% owned by the four daughters of businessman Aydin Dogan, founder of Dogan Sirketler Grubu Holding AS, 24.6% of which is held by founder Hanzade Dogan Boyner.Franklin Resources Inc.&nbsp;owns the remaining 25%.</p>\n<p><b>Highlights from the company prospectus:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Revenue rose to 6.4 billion liras ($750 million) in 2020 from 2.6 billion liras a year ago. The company reported a total loss of 476 million liras last year, up from 133 million liras in 2019</li>\n <li>Gross merchandise value, a measure of total value of products and orders through its marketplace platform, rose to 17 billion liras from 9 million customers in 2020 from 8 billion liras from 6.5 million users a year ago</li>\n <li>The company said its market share was around 17% last year, citing data from&nbsp;Arthur D Little Inc.</li>\n <li>Liabilities rose to 2.7 billion liras in 2020, including 2 billion liras in payables and 347 million liras in bank loans, from 1.2 billion liras in 2019</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Turkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTurkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-31 22:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey\n\nHepsiburada.com home page.\nTurkey’s second biggest online shopping platform ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113386303","content_text":"SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey\n\nHepsiburada.com home page.\nTurkey’s second biggest online shopping platform by market share applied tolist its shareson Nasdaq amid a flurry of investor interest in the nation’s burgeoningstart-upscene.\nHepsiburada.com, formally known as D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret AS, plans to sell shares on the tech-heavy U.S. equity gauge, according to the company’s prospectus filed to Securities and Exchange Commission on May 28. The company didn’t specify how many shares it plans to sell or when.\nThe filing comes as revenue more than doubled last year as coronavirus measures led to a surge in online shopping. And it follows a string of Turkish tech deals that have attracted strong international interest in recent years, with valuations reaching billions of dollars.\nPeak, a Turkish casual games maker, was sold to Zynga Inc.for $1.8 billion last year while Getir, a quick grocery delivery app, is seeking funds in a round that may raise its value to more than $7 billion from $2.6 billion in February. Trendyol, the biggest e-commerce marketplace in Turkey backed by Chinese online giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., is in talks with investors for new funds that could see its value rise to more than $15 billion from $9.4 billion earlier this year.\nHepsiburada.com hired Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Securities, UBS Investment Bank and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to arrange the deal.\nThe company is 75% owned by the four daughters of businessman Aydin Dogan, founder of Dogan Sirketler Grubu Holding AS, 24.6% of which is held by founder Hanzade Dogan Boyner.Franklin Resources Inc. owns the remaining 25%.\nHighlights from the company prospectus:\n\nRevenue rose to 6.4 billion liras ($750 million) in 2020 from 2.6 billion liras a year ago. The company reported a total loss of 476 million liras last year, up from 133 million liras in 2019\nGross merchandise value, a measure of total value of products and orders through its marketplace platform, rose to 17 billion liras from 9 million customers in 2020 from 8 billion liras from 6.5 million users a year ago\nThe company said its market share was around 17% last year, citing data from Arthur D Little Inc.\nLiabilities rose to 2.7 billion liras in 2020, including 2 billion liras in payables and 347 million liras in bank loans, from 1.2 billion liras in 2019","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":110494292,"gmtCreate":1622476942516,"gmtModify":1704184952305,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110494292","repostId":"1113386303","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113386303","pubTimestamp":1622472571,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113386303?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-31 22:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Turkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113386303","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar","content":"<ul>\n <li>SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year</li>\n <li>It follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053dca0f1785d519785d4a999349c38c\" tg-width=\"4000\" tg-height=\"2546\"><span>Hepsiburada.com home page.</span></p>\n<p>Turkey’s second biggest online shopping platform by market share applied tolist its shareson Nasdaq amid a flurry of investor interest in the nation’s burgeoningstart-upscene.</p>\n<p>Hepsiburada.com, formally known as D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret AS, plans to sell shares on the tech-heavy U.S. equity gauge, according to the company’s&nbsp;prospectus&nbsp;filed to Securities and Exchange Commission on May 28. The company didn’t specify how many shares it plans to sell or when.</p>\n<p>The filing comes as revenue more than doubled last year as coronavirus measures led to a surge in online shopping. And it follows a string of Turkish tech deals that have attracted strong international interest in recent years, with valuations reaching billions of dollars.</p>\n<p>Peak, a Turkish casual games maker, was&nbsp;sold&nbsp;to&nbsp;Zynga Inc.for $1.8 billion last year while Getir, a quick grocery delivery app, is seeking funds in a round that may raise its&nbsp;value&nbsp;to more than $7 billion from $2.6 billion in February. Trendyol, the biggest e-commerce marketplace in Turkey backed by Chinese online giant&nbsp;Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., is in talks with investors for new funds that could see its value rise to more than $15 billion from $9.4 billion earlier this year.</p>\n<p>Hepsiburada.com hired Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Bank of America Securities, UBS Investment Bank and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to arrange the deal.</p>\n<p>The company is 75% owned by the four daughters of businessman Aydin Dogan, founder of Dogan Sirketler Grubu Holding AS, 24.6% of which is held by founder Hanzade Dogan Boyner.Franklin Resources Inc.&nbsp;owns the remaining 25%.</p>\n<p><b>Highlights from the company prospectus:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Revenue rose to 6.4 billion liras ($750 million) in 2020 from 2.6 billion liras a year ago. The company reported a total loss of 476 million liras last year, up from 133 million liras in 2019</li>\n <li>Gross merchandise value, a measure of total value of products and orders through its marketplace platform, rose to 17 billion liras from 9 million customers in 2020 from 8 billion liras from 6.5 million users a year ago</li>\n <li>The company said its market share was around 17% last year, citing data from&nbsp;Arthur D Little Inc.</li>\n <li>Liabilities rose to 2.7 billion liras in 2020, including 2 billion liras in payables and 347 million liras in bank loans, from 1.2 billion liras in 2019</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Turkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTurkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-31 22:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey\n\nHepsiburada.com home page.\nTurkey’s second biggest online shopping platform ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113386303","content_text":"SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey\n\nHepsiburada.com home page.\nTurkey’s second biggest online shopping platform by market share applied tolist its shareson Nasdaq amid a flurry of investor interest in the nation’s burgeoningstart-upscene.\nHepsiburada.com, formally known as D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret AS, plans to sell shares on the tech-heavy U.S. equity gauge, according to the company’s prospectus filed to Securities and Exchange Commission on May 28. The company didn’t specify how many shares it plans to sell or when.\nThe filing comes as revenue more than doubled last year as coronavirus measures led to a surge in online shopping. And it follows a string of Turkish tech deals that have attracted strong international interest in recent years, with valuations reaching billions of dollars.\nPeak, a Turkish casual games maker, was sold to Zynga Inc.for $1.8 billion last year while Getir, a quick grocery delivery app, is seeking funds in a round that may raise its value to more than $7 billion from $2.6 billion in February. Trendyol, the biggest e-commerce marketplace in Turkey backed by Chinese online giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., is in talks with investors for new funds that could see its value rise to more than $15 billion from $9.4 billion earlier this year.\nHepsiburada.com hired Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Securities, UBS Investment Bank and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to arrange the deal.\nThe company is 75% owned by the four daughters of businessman Aydin Dogan, founder of Dogan Sirketler Grubu Holding AS, 24.6% of which is held by founder Hanzade Dogan Boyner.Franklin Resources Inc. owns the remaining 25%.\nHighlights from the company prospectus:\n\nRevenue rose to 6.4 billion liras ($750 million) in 2020 from 2.6 billion liras a year ago. The company reported a total loss of 476 million liras last year, up from 133 million liras in 2019\nGross merchandise value, a measure of total value of products and orders through its marketplace platform, rose to 17 billion liras from 9 million customers in 2020 from 8 billion liras from 6.5 million users a year ago\nThe company said its market share was around 17% last year, citing data from Arthur D Little Inc.\nLiabilities rose to 2.7 billion liras in 2020, including 2 billion liras in payables and 347 million liras in bank loans, from 1.2 billion liras in 2019","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169165504,"gmtCreate":1623822402508,"gmtModify":1703820551637,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/169165504","repostId":"1182315358","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182315358","pubTimestamp":1623814338,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182315358?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 11:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182315358","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.\nIt takes brains and brawn","content":"<p>If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/724d1ea0bb18bddb367c79abf08c1af9\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"841\"><span>It takes brains and brawn to be an investor these days. (Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p>\n<p>I don’t know when what I call the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market will end.</p>\n<p>After 12 years being long and strong and having diamond hands without even knowing that term existed, maybe I’m wrong to turn more cautious.</p>\n<p>Maybe the economy will reopen and rejuvenate the country in such a strong manner that corporate earnings in 2022 and 2023 will make today’s prices seem like bargains.</p>\n<p>But I simply don’t think that’s the most likely outcome.</p>\n<p>And if I’m right that we’re in the throes of the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market, I do not want to be overly long and on the wrong side of the great unwind when it does start.</p>\n<p>I’m not calling for a near-term crash. I am saying that it’s likely going to be hard for the bulls to make as much money this year as they did last year.</p>\n<p>Trading and investing are tough. There’s always someone on the other side of every trade you make. Always think about who that is and why they are willing to take the other side of your transaction. When you buy, why are they selling it to you at that price? When you sell, who is buying it from you and what are their motivations? Remember, I’ve talked before about how&nbsp;good analysis starts with empathy.</p>\n<p><b>If I’m selling, who’s buying — and why?</b></p>\n<p>So let’s answer this question right now. Who is buying stocks and cryptos from me when I’ve trimmed and sold for the past month or so? Sure, there are banks and institutions and hedge funds and family offices investing and trading, just as always. On the other hand, remember two years ago when I got back from a hedge fund investment conference&nbsp;in Abu Dhabi and everybody was desperate for returns:</p>\n<p>Amid low interest rates and other investors’ focus on options, credit and currencies, “the lack of focus on traditional stocks and funds that invest in publicly traded stocks makes me think that there is probably more opportunity in such assets than people realize. I certainly see some very compelling long ideas in Revolutionary companies like WORK and TWTR and TSLA.”</p>\n<p>Since that post, back a year and a half ago, Slack&nbsp;went from $21 to being bought out at $45, Twitter&nbsp;went from $27 to $61, and Tesla&nbsp;went from $81 to $616. And funds that were looking everywhere but in the stock market for big gains are … well, pretty much in the markets now and long a bunch of stocks and even long a few cryptos.</p>\n<p>And now that those stocks and cryptos and most other assets have gone parabolic in the past year — coming on top of the 10-year bull market — the billion-dollar fund managers are joined by&nbsp;23-year-old TikTok influencers&nbsp;doing bitcoin&nbsp;trading astrology.</p>\n<p>Yes, for real, and she’s very popular. She’s even been right about some of bitcoin’s action in the past few months! If you’re selling cryptos and fintech stocks right now, you’re selling to her and her followers. And also to my friend’s son, who just graduated from a tiny, rural school and whose unemployed uncle gave him $500 to “buy some cryptos. And make sure you get some fintech. I don’t know the symbol, but just look it up and you’ll do fine over the long run.”&nbsp;Bearish anecdotes everywhere I look, as I wrote recently.</p>\n<p><b>Mr. Market</b></p>\n<p>The other thing to remember about who’s on the other side of your trade is always to remember that there are smart, cutthroat traders and investors who went to the best schools and have access to more research and real-time data and instant trading access to all kinds of derivatives to layer into their bets. And the only thing they do all day, every day, is figure out how to take your money in mostly legal ways. They’re not playing around. They have no sympathy for you, even if they might empathize with you to better understand your motivations to better take your money.</p>\n<p>Mr. Market is mean. He’s not nice. He can be cruel. He can force liquidations that create other liquidations. He can shut off access to capital. He can take down 200-year-old banks in a day. In one day.</p>\n<p>Sometimes the markets lead the economy and not the other way around. Ironically, when we were young, we were taught that the Great Depression started when the stock market crashed on Black Friday in 1929. But then when we get older, we were taught that it wasn’t actually the crash that created the Great Depression, rather the economy was already crashing and the stock market just didn’t realize it as it continued on its merry way toward a terrible Blow-Off Top of a nine-year Bubble-Blowing Bull Market that culminated with the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;up 400% from the 1921 lows to the 1929 highs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a6516337aacc614d83584ea90e174f2\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"870\"></p>\n<p><b>Learning from Soros</b></p>\n<p>But looking back, it’s clear that both theories are equally right and wrong — the market crashed because the economy wasn’t as good as the market thought it was,<i>and</i>the economy crashed because the markets shut down access to capital for investment and growth.</p>\n<p>It was “reflexive,” to borrow a term from the great hedge fund manager&nbsp;George Soros.</p>\n<p>He wrote, and the concept is important to understand:</p>\n<p>“I continued to consider myself a failed philosopher. All this changed as a result of the financial crisis of 2008. My conceptual framework enabled me both to anticipate the crisis and to deal with it when it finally struck…</p>\n<p>“I can state the core idea in two relatively simple propositions. One is that in situations that have thinking participants, the participants’ view of the world is always partial and distorted. That is the principle of fallibility. The other is that these distorted views can influence the situation to which they relate because false views lead to inappropriate actions. That is the principle of reflexivity…</p>\n<p>“Recognizing reflexivity has been sacrificed to the vain pursuit of certainty in human affairs, most notably in economics, and yet, uncertainty is the key feature of human affairs. Economic theory is built on the concept of equilibrium, and that concept is in direct contradiction with the concept of reflexivity…</p>\n<p>“A positive feedback process is self-reinforcing. It cannot go on forever because eventually the participants’ views would become so far removed from objective reality that the participants would have to recognize them as unrealistic. Nor can the iterative process occur without any change in the actual state of affairs, because it is in the nature of positive feedback that it reinforces whatever tendency prevails in the real world. Instead of equilibrium, we are faced with a dynamic disequilibrium or what may be described as far-from-equilibrium conditions. Usually in far-from-equilibrium situations the divergence between perceptions and reality leads to a climax which sets in motion a positive feedback process in the opposite direction. Such initially self-reinforcing but eventually self-defeating boom-bust processes or bubbles are characteristic of financial markets, but they can also be found in other spheres. There, I call them fertile fallacies—interpretations of reality that are distorted, yet produce results which reinforce the distortion.”</p>\n<p>Stay flexible</p>\n<p>Far-from-equilibrium conditions was what we had in 2010-2013 when we loaded up on Revolutionary stocks and started buying cryptos like bitcoin. Far-from-equilibrium conditions might be what we have in front of us right now when I suggest getting cautious instead.</p>\n<p>We don’t want to be permabulls. (You for sure don’t want to be a permabear!) We have to be flexible. We have to let our analysis and risk/reward scenarios dictate how much risk we’re taking and when. We have to pay attention to the cycles, the self-reinforcing cycles that drive economies and markets and valuations and earnings and societal interactions and bailouts and financial crises and bubbles and busts and, heaven forbid, just simple stagnation.</p>\n<p>It’s as if everybody forgets that markets can bubble and crash and stagnate. They forget that markets can grind for years on end without making new highs, or without even making higher highs. Do you not remember telling your money manager sometime in 2010-2012 that “If I’d just handled the Great Financial Crisis (and/or the Dot-Com Crash) a little better, I’d be in better shape.” I used to hear people say that to me all the time. I haven’t heard anybody say that lately. Everybody’s having fun in this market … at least for now.</p>\n<p>Most traders will tell you that they are “just trading the market that is in front of them.” Well, I don’t know when the bubble will pop, but I do know that I don’t want to be on the wrong side of this market when it does. And I do know that we won’t know the bubble has really popped until the self-reinforcing reflexive feedback loop has made it painful for the vast majority of people who are right now feeling wealthy, feeling secure, feeling like they’ve got this trading and investing thing all figured out.</p>\n<p>We are all fallible. Be careful while it’s fun. Be bold when it’s painful. That’s how I’ve done it for the last 25 years. We were boldly buying these assets when it was painful for others. I’m careful right now because everybody else is having fun.</p>\n<p>I spend a lot of time looking for new ideas and I won’t let my overall market outlook deter me from buying a new name or two. But I want to remain overall cautious and less aggressive than I have been for most of the last decade.</p>\n<p>As a matter of fact,&nbsp;I might have at least a couple Trade Alerts that I’ll be sending out this week, one long and one short idea. Being flexible, see?</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s time to be smart like Soros in the ‘blow-off’ stage of the bull market in stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 11:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.\nIt takes brains and brawn to be an investor these days. (Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)\nI don’t know when what...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-be-smart-like-soros-in-the-blow-off-stage-of-the-bull-market-in-stocks-11623788897?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182315358","content_text":"If you’re an investor, you need to be flexible, neither a bull nor a bear.\nIt takes brains and brawn to be an investor these days. (Photo by Isaac Lawrence/AFP via Getty Images)\nI don’t know when what I call the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market will end.\nAfter 12 years being long and strong and having diamond hands without even knowing that term existed, maybe I’m wrong to turn more cautious.\nMaybe the economy will reopen and rejuvenate the country in such a strong manner that corporate earnings in 2022 and 2023 will make today’s prices seem like bargains.\nBut I simply don’t think that’s the most likely outcome.\nAnd if I’m right that we’re in the throes of the Blow-Off Top of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market, I do not want to be overly long and on the wrong side of the great unwind when it does start.\nI’m not calling for a near-term crash. I am saying that it’s likely going to be hard for the bulls to make as much money this year as they did last year.\nTrading and investing are tough. There’s always someone on the other side of every trade you make. Always think about who that is and why they are willing to take the other side of your transaction. When you buy, why are they selling it to you at that price? When you sell, who is buying it from you and what are their motivations? Remember, I’ve talked before about how good analysis starts with empathy.\nIf I’m selling, who’s buying — and why?\nSo let’s answer this question right now. Who is buying stocks and cryptos from me when I’ve trimmed and sold for the past month or so? Sure, there are banks and institutions and hedge funds and family offices investing and trading, just as always. On the other hand, remember two years ago when I got back from a hedge fund investment conference in Abu Dhabi and everybody was desperate for returns:\nAmid low interest rates and other investors’ focus on options, credit and currencies, “the lack of focus on traditional stocks and funds that invest in publicly traded stocks makes me think that there is probably more opportunity in such assets than people realize. I certainly see some very compelling long ideas in Revolutionary companies like WORK and TWTR and TSLA.”\nSince that post, back a year and a half ago, Slack went from $21 to being bought out at $45, Twitter went from $27 to $61, and Tesla went from $81 to $616. And funds that were looking everywhere but in the stock market for big gains are … well, pretty much in the markets now and long a bunch of stocks and even long a few cryptos.\nAnd now that those stocks and cryptos and most other assets have gone parabolic in the past year — coming on top of the 10-year bull market — the billion-dollar fund managers are joined by 23-year-old TikTok influencers doing bitcoin trading astrology.\nYes, for real, and she’s very popular. She’s even been right about some of bitcoin’s action in the past few months! If you’re selling cryptos and fintech stocks right now, you’re selling to her and her followers. And also to my friend’s son, who just graduated from a tiny, rural school and whose unemployed uncle gave him $500 to “buy some cryptos. And make sure you get some fintech. I don’t know the symbol, but just look it up and you’ll do fine over the long run.” Bearish anecdotes everywhere I look, as I wrote recently.\nMr. Market\nThe other thing to remember about who’s on the other side of your trade is always to remember that there are smart, cutthroat traders and investors who went to the best schools and have access to more research and real-time data and instant trading access to all kinds of derivatives to layer into their bets. And the only thing they do all day, every day, is figure out how to take your money in mostly legal ways. They’re not playing around. They have no sympathy for you, even if they might empathize with you to better understand your motivations to better take your money.\nMr. Market is mean. He’s not nice. He can be cruel. He can force liquidations that create other liquidations. He can shut off access to capital. He can take down 200-year-old banks in a day. In one day.\nSometimes the markets lead the economy and not the other way around. Ironically, when we were young, we were taught that the Great Depression started when the stock market crashed on Black Friday in 1929. But then when we get older, we were taught that it wasn’t actually the crash that created the Great Depression, rather the economy was already crashing and the stock market just didn’t realize it as it continued on its merry way toward a terrible Blow-Off Top of a nine-year Bubble-Blowing Bull Market that culminated with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 400% from the 1921 lows to the 1929 highs.\n\nLearning from Soros\nBut looking back, it’s clear that both theories are equally right and wrong — the market crashed because the economy wasn’t as good as the market thought it was,andthe economy crashed because the markets shut down access to capital for investment and growth.\nIt was “reflexive,” to borrow a term from the great hedge fund manager George Soros.\nHe wrote, and the concept is important to understand:\n“I continued to consider myself a failed philosopher. All this changed as a result of the financial crisis of 2008. My conceptual framework enabled me both to anticipate the crisis and to deal with it when it finally struck…\n“I can state the core idea in two relatively simple propositions. One is that in situations that have thinking participants, the participants’ view of the world is always partial and distorted. That is the principle of fallibility. The other is that these distorted views can influence the situation to which they relate because false views lead to inappropriate actions. That is the principle of reflexivity…\n“Recognizing reflexivity has been sacrificed to the vain pursuit of certainty in human affairs, most notably in economics, and yet, uncertainty is the key feature of human affairs. Economic theory is built on the concept of equilibrium, and that concept is in direct contradiction with the concept of reflexivity…\n“A positive feedback process is self-reinforcing. It cannot go on forever because eventually the participants’ views would become so far removed from objective reality that the participants would have to recognize them as unrealistic. Nor can the iterative process occur without any change in the actual state of affairs, because it is in the nature of positive feedback that it reinforces whatever tendency prevails in the real world. Instead of equilibrium, we are faced with a dynamic disequilibrium or what may be described as far-from-equilibrium conditions. Usually in far-from-equilibrium situations the divergence between perceptions and reality leads to a climax which sets in motion a positive feedback process in the opposite direction. Such initially self-reinforcing but eventually self-defeating boom-bust processes or bubbles are characteristic of financial markets, but they can also be found in other spheres. There, I call them fertile fallacies—interpretations of reality that are distorted, yet produce results which reinforce the distortion.”\nStay flexible\nFar-from-equilibrium conditions was what we had in 2010-2013 when we loaded up on Revolutionary stocks and started buying cryptos like bitcoin. Far-from-equilibrium conditions might be what we have in front of us right now when I suggest getting cautious instead.\nWe don’t want to be permabulls. (You for sure don’t want to be a permabear!) We have to be flexible. We have to let our analysis and risk/reward scenarios dictate how much risk we’re taking and when. We have to pay attention to the cycles, the self-reinforcing cycles that drive economies and markets and valuations and earnings and societal interactions and bailouts and financial crises and bubbles and busts and, heaven forbid, just simple stagnation.\nIt’s as if everybody forgets that markets can bubble and crash and stagnate. They forget that markets can grind for years on end without making new highs, or without even making higher highs. Do you not remember telling your money manager sometime in 2010-2012 that “If I’d just handled the Great Financial Crisis (and/or the Dot-Com Crash) a little better, I’d be in better shape.” I used to hear people say that to me all the time. I haven’t heard anybody say that lately. Everybody’s having fun in this market … at least for now.\nMost traders will tell you that they are “just trading the market that is in front of them.” Well, I don’t know when the bubble will pop, but I do know that I don’t want to be on the wrong side of this market when it does. And I do know that we won’t know the bubble has really popped until the self-reinforcing reflexive feedback loop has made it painful for the vast majority of people who are right now feeling wealthy, feeling secure, feeling like they’ve got this trading and investing thing all figured out.\nWe are all fallible. Be careful while it’s fun. Be bold when it’s painful. That’s how I’ve done it for the last 25 years. We were boldly buying these assets when it was painful for others. I’m careful right now because everybody else is having fun.\nI spend a lot of time looking for new ideas and I won’t let my overall market outlook deter me from buying a new name or two. But I want to remain overall cautious and less aggressive than I have been for most of the last decade.\nAs a matter of fact, I might have at least a couple Trade Alerts that I’ll be sending out this week, one long and one short idea. Being flexible, see?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160332091,"gmtCreate":1623771793413,"gmtModify":1703819013599,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>nooo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>nooo","text":"$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$nooo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60d6b4fef383c03a7bd23cf26ebdcadf","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160332091","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9043364292,"gmtCreate":1655874773816,"gmtModify":1676535723696,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9043364292","repostId":"9022524674","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9022524674,"gmtCreate":1653552819200,"gmtModify":1676535303082,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"Time Travel with Tiger, Join the Memorabilia Adventure Now!!!","htmlText":"\n \n \n  Happy Birthday to TIGER!!! This year, we have prepared a time machine to go on an adventure with you. Come and find surprising gifts as we stroll down memory lane!There are so many wonderful little stories in our Tiger Quest. Collect as many coins as you can in the game, these will be your basic points of this game. Apart from one mini-game mission for SG/AU/NZ, the games will be open every week, and there are endless treasures waiting for you to discover. Points can be redeemed for multiple rewards, and you can win a share of up to USD 200,000 worth of prizes! Want to win extra points? Check out these mini-games, try them, stay with us and be PAWSITIVE!Remember to collect the cards and spell out \"T.I.G.E.R\" during your journey for a chance to receive the limited edition 8th Anniversary Gi\n \n","listText":"Happy Birthday to TIGER!!! This year, we have prepared a time machine to go on an adventure with you. Come and find surprising gifts as we stroll down memory lane!There are so many wonderful little stories in our Tiger Quest. Collect as many coins as you can in the game, these will be your basic points of this game. Apart from one mini-game mission for SG/AU/NZ, the games will be open every week, and there are endless treasures waiting for you to discover. Points can be redeemed for multiple rewards, and you can win a share of up to USD 200,000 worth of prizes! Want to win extra points? Check out these mini-games, try them, stay with us and be PAWSITIVE!Remember to collect the cards and spell out \"T.I.G.E.R\" during your journey for a chance to receive the limited edition 8th Anniversary Gi","text":"Happy Birthday to TIGER!!! This year, we have prepared a time machine to go on an adventure with you. Come and find surprising gifts as we stroll down memory lane!There are so many wonderful little stories in our Tiger Quest. Collect as many coins as you can in the game, these will be your basic points of this game. Apart from one mini-game mission for SG/AU/NZ, the games will be open every week, and there are endless treasures waiting for you to discover. Points can be redeemed for multiple rewards, and you can win a share of up to USD 200,000 worth of prizes! Want to win extra points? Check out these mini-games, try them, stay with us and be PAWSITIVE!Remember to collect the cards and spell out \"T.I.G.E.R\" during your journey for a chance to receive the limited edition 8th Anniversary Gi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9022524674","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"97af7069aa6440eab7c85601f72b41b1","tweetId":"9022524674","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/5836ee3f387702302012189230/1IRQdazMc4YA.mp4","poster":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2462b20b2a9a2483ae56cbb54dcb2a7"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":47,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160100809,"gmtCreate":1623773803201,"gmtModify":1703819114547,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why though","listText":"Why though","text":"Why though","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160100809","repostId":"1109511555","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109511555","pubTimestamp":1623727571,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109511555?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Plans Faster Watch, Future Temperature and Glucose Sensors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109511555","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Updated screens and performance this year, new functions later. New entry-level and extreme sports models planned for 2022. A customer tries on an Apple watch at a store in Palo Alto, California. Photographer: Nina Riggio/Bloomberg. Apple Inc. is working on new Apple Watch models and health features, spanning display and speed upgrades, an extreme sports edition and body temperature and blood sugar sensors.The Cupertino, California-based tech giant is planning to refresh the line this year -- wi","content":"<ul>\n <li>Updated screens and performance this year, new functions later</li>\n <li>New entry-level and extreme sports models planned for 2022</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86dd58655f96500dda750d2b1350121\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>A customer tries on an Apple watch at a store in Palo Alto, California. Photographer: Nina Riggio/Bloomberg</span></p>\n<p>Apple Inc.&nbsp;is working on new Apple Watch models and health features, spanning display and speed upgrades, an extreme sports edition and body temperature and blood sugar sensors.</p>\n<p>The Cupertino, California-based tech giant is planning to refresh the line this year -- with a model likely dubbed the Apple Watch Series 7 -- by adding a faster processor, improved wireless connectivity and an updated screen, according to people with knowledge of the plans. Next year the company plans to update the main Apple Watch alongside a successor for the lower-end Apple Watch SE and a new version targeting extreme sports athletes.</p>\n<p>Apple had previously aimed to put a body temperature sensor in this year’s model, but that is now more likely to be included in the 2022 update. The blood-sugar sensor, which would help diabetics monitor their glucose levels, is unlikely to be ready for commercial launch for several more years.</p>\n<p>For this year’s model, Apple has tested thinner display borders and a new lamination technique that brings the display closer to the front cover. The new Watch is likely to be slightly thicker overall, but not in a way that’s noticeable to the user.</p>\n<p>The model will include updated ultra-wideband functionality, the same underlying technology in the Apple AirTag item finder. At its developer conference in early June, Apple previewed the upcoming watchOS 8 software update that will let the device unlock door and hotel rooms.</p>\n<p>The extreme sports model, described by some inside Apple as either an “explorer” or “adventure” edition, was in development for release as early as this year, but it is now more likely to launch in 2022. That new model would help Apple compete with rugged offerings from players like&nbsp;Garmin Ltd.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Casio Computer Co.</p>\n<p>An Apple spokeswoman declined to comment. The company’s plans remain fluid and could change, the people said.</p>\n<p>Luxshare Precision Industry Co.&nbsp;is the primary assembler for the main Apple Watch, while&nbsp;Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., or Foxconn, shares some of those orders in addition to splitting assembly of the Apple Watch SE with Taiwan’s&nbsp;Compal Electronics Inc.</p>\n<p>Measuring body temperature became an essential part of Covid-19 detection, prompting a&nbsp;surge&nbsp;in demand for gadgets such as the&nbsp;Withings Thermo. Some companies offer small digital thermometers that plug into a smartphone’s charging port. Adding the functionality into its watch would help Apple match other smartwatches and fitness bands, including products from&nbsp;Alphabet Inc.-owned&nbsp;Fitbit.</p>\n<p>Blood sugar monitoring has been long in the works at Apple and would be a feature thus far unrivaled by competitors. Apple and others currently rely on apps that let users input their glucose levels manually, while medical device companies like&nbsp;Dexcom Inc.&nbsp;offer blood sugar monitors that share data with the Apple Watch. Users typically need to prick their finger to draw blood for an accurate glucose test, but Apple is aiming for a non-invasive solution that can analyze blood through the skin.</p>\n<p>Since going on sale in 2015, the Apple Watch has grown into a key part of Apple’s product portfolio. Along with the iPhone and iPad, it fills out the company’s hardware ecosystem and helped Apple’s broader wearables, home and accessories category generate more than $30 billion last fiscal year.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Plans Faster Watch, Future Temperature and Glucose Sensors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Plans Faster Watch, Future Temperature and Glucose Sensors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 11:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/apple-plans-faster-watch-future-temperature-and-glucose-sensors><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Updated screens and performance this year, new functions later\nNew entry-level and extreme sports models planned for 2022\n\nA customer tries on an Apple watch at a store in Palo Alto, California. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/apple-plans-faster-watch-future-temperature-and-glucose-sensors\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/apple-plans-faster-watch-future-temperature-and-glucose-sensors","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109511555","content_text":"Updated screens and performance this year, new functions later\nNew entry-level and extreme sports models planned for 2022\n\nA customer tries on an Apple watch at a store in Palo Alto, California. Photographer: Nina Riggio/Bloomberg\nApple Inc. is working on new Apple Watch models and health features, spanning display and speed upgrades, an extreme sports edition and body temperature and blood sugar sensors.\nThe Cupertino, California-based tech giant is planning to refresh the line this year -- with a model likely dubbed the Apple Watch Series 7 -- by adding a faster processor, improved wireless connectivity and an updated screen, according to people with knowledge of the plans. Next year the company plans to update the main Apple Watch alongside a successor for the lower-end Apple Watch SE and a new version targeting extreme sports athletes.\nApple had previously aimed to put a body temperature sensor in this year’s model, but that is now more likely to be included in the 2022 update. The blood-sugar sensor, which would help diabetics monitor their glucose levels, is unlikely to be ready for commercial launch for several more years.\nFor this year’s model, Apple has tested thinner display borders and a new lamination technique that brings the display closer to the front cover. The new Watch is likely to be slightly thicker overall, but not in a way that’s noticeable to the user.\nThe model will include updated ultra-wideband functionality, the same underlying technology in the Apple AirTag item finder. At its developer conference in early June, Apple previewed the upcoming watchOS 8 software update that will let the device unlock door and hotel rooms.\nThe extreme sports model, described by some inside Apple as either an “explorer” or “adventure” edition, was in development for release as early as this year, but it is now more likely to launch in 2022. That new model would help Apple compete with rugged offerings from players like Garmin Ltd. and Casio Computer Co.\nAn Apple spokeswoman declined to comment. The company’s plans remain fluid and could change, the people said.\nLuxshare Precision Industry Co. is the primary assembler for the main Apple Watch, while Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., or Foxconn, shares some of those orders in addition to splitting assembly of the Apple Watch SE with Taiwan’s Compal Electronics Inc.\nMeasuring body temperature became an essential part of Covid-19 detection, prompting a surge in demand for gadgets such as the Withings Thermo. Some companies offer small digital thermometers that plug into a smartphone’s charging port. Adding the functionality into its watch would help Apple match other smartwatches and fitness bands, including products from Alphabet Inc.-owned Fitbit.\nBlood sugar monitoring has been long in the works at Apple and would be a feature thus far unrivaled by competitors. Apple and others currently rely on apps that let users input their glucose levels manually, while medical device companies like Dexcom Inc. offer blood sugar monitors that share data with the Apple Watch. Users typically need to prick their finger to draw blood for an accurate glucose test, but Apple is aiming for a non-invasive solution that can analyze blood through the skin.\nSince going on sale in 2015, the Apple Watch has grown into a key part of Apple’s product portfolio. Along with the iPhone and iPad, it fills out the company’s hardware ecosystem and helped Apple’s broader wearables, home and accessories category generate more than $30 billion last fiscal year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160324292,"gmtCreate":1623773204716,"gmtModify":1703819073386,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3555919365787050\">@XanderC</a>: like","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3555919365787050\">@XanderC</a>: like","text":"//@XanderC: like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160324292","repostId":"1134275605","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134275605","pubTimestamp":1623768168,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134275605?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 22:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Troubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134275605","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last y","content":"<ul>\n <li>Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale</li>\n <li>Company was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Transocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares, taking advantage of a surge in its stock price driven by the meme-stock frenzy and rising oil prices.</p>\n<p>The company, which operates rigs for offshore oil and gas drilling, plans to issue as much as $400 million of equity through an agreement with Jefferies LLC, according to a filing Tuesday. Itsshareshave gained 75% this year to around $4, from a low of 67 cents last October, alongside oil prices, which have risen more than 40%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab59e9db38c4f9d3f9e68d0cb2facbf\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p>\n<p>Transocean’s planned share sale is the latest in a series ofmaneuversto improve its balance sheet, including multiple debt exchanges, after itwona key default trial late last year that had put it at risk offiling for bankruptcyif it wasn’t successful. The company has also caught the eye of day traders on Reddit’s speculative discussion platform WallStreetBets. It was one of the heavily shorted stocks they converged on in January that drove up share prices as short-sellers rushed in to cover their positions.</p>\n<p>A user called 12xLevered who highlighted the short interest on the shares amid rising oil prices and long runway to address its high debt load inlate Januarywas still touting the stock as recently as four days ago. Some have also pointed out that Transocean has avoided bankruptcy while other rig operators were forced to file last year because of the downturn in commodities amid the pandemic.</p>\n<p>A representative for Steinhausen, Switzerland-based Transocean didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>The company’s long-term unsecured bonds led high-yield gains Tuesday on the filing. Its 11.5% notes due 2027 jumped 4 cents on the dollar to 105 cents, yielding 9.8%. Transocean’s 6.8% bonds due 2038 gained 4 cents to 61.6 cents, yielding 12%.</p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Troubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTroubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 22:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial\n\nTransocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIG":"Transocean Ltd."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134275605","content_text":"Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial\n\nTransocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares, taking advantage of a surge in its stock price driven by the meme-stock frenzy and rising oil prices.\nThe company, which operates rigs for offshore oil and gas drilling, plans to issue as much as $400 million of equity through an agreement with Jefferies LLC, according to a filing Tuesday. Itsshareshave gained 75% this year to around $4, from a low of 67 cents last October, alongside oil prices, which have risen more than 40%.\n\nTransocean’s planned share sale is the latest in a series ofmaneuversto improve its balance sheet, including multiple debt exchanges, after itwona key default trial late last year that had put it at risk offiling for bankruptcyif it wasn’t successful. The company has also caught the eye of day traders on Reddit’s speculative discussion platform WallStreetBets. It was one of the heavily shorted stocks they converged on in January that drove up share prices as short-sellers rushed in to cover their positions.\nA user called 12xLevered who highlighted the short interest on the shares amid rising oil prices and long runway to address its high debt load inlate Januarywas still touting the stock as recently as four days ago. Some have also pointed out that Transocean has avoided bankruptcy while other rig operators were forced to file last year because of the downturn in commodities amid the pandemic.\nA representative for Steinhausen, Switzerland-based Transocean didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.\nThe company’s long-term unsecured bonds led high-yield gains Tuesday on the filing. Its 11.5% notes due 2027 jumped 4 cents on the dollar to 105 cents, yielding 9.8%. Transocean’s 6.8% bonds due 2038 gained 4 cents to 61.6 cents, yielding 12%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160328070,"gmtCreate":1623773113590,"gmtModify":1703819067390,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160328070","repostId":"1193778475","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193778475","pubTimestamp":1623749978,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193778475?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193778475","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive e","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Netflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.</li>\n <li>However, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s overall game to evaluate the strength of its moat.</li>\n <li>Netflix looks attractively-priced now, and should be a worthy addition to both value and growth investors.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Netflix (NFLX) has come under the weather recently, as the company had to face increased competitive pressure from the growth of Disney+, recent industry consolidation fromWarner Bros. Discovery(T,DISCA) and Amazon's (AMZN)acquisition of MGM's deep content IP. Furthermore, the company also reported an\"underwhelming\" Q1'21results that saw the company even missing its own net membership adds estimates by 2m. In short, there seems to be no shortage of bad news for NFLX recently.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d9e43b35cbdb0cbc2330837c796371\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Source: TradingView</p>\n<p>Therefore, it's not surprising to me at all that Mr. Market reacted somewhat negatively to all these competitive headwinds as NFLX remains about 18% off its January high, while QQQ is withintouching distance of its all time high. As a price-action, momentum based investor, seeing a stock that has demonstrated strong medium term and long term uptrend bias is of paramount importance to me and NFLX certainly checks all of that from this perspective. Although there are other growth stocks that have demonstrated a better uptrend bias profile, NFLX is not a slouch either. It has only lost its medium term 50W MA dynamic support only twice in the last 5 years: 2018 bear market decline of 45%, and Jul-Sep 19 decline of 35%. Even though the stock momentarily lost its 50W support level then, NFLX quickly regained its medium term support level, and during the COVID-19 bear market, NFLX never lost support of its medium term uptrend. Therefore, the 50W MA has proven to be a consistently strong medium term dynamic support level for NFLX over the last 5 years.</p>\n<p>NFLX's price has now approached its 50W support level again thanks to the weak market sentiments lately which makes it appropriate to discuss whether NFLX represents a good buying opportunity now for long term investors.</p>\n<p><b>So What Happened to Netflix's Paid Adds?</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17d1ce1d66e99396f67725dcfdaf3db8\" tg-width=\"769\" tg-height=\"476\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Average Paying Membership by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ca327a13d9645fce263565653d4e390\" tg-width=\"827\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Average Paying Membership YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>As we could observe clearly from the charts above, the market reacted negatively to NFLX's Q1'21 results, sending the stock down 8.21% the day after the release. It added just 3.98M net paid members in Q1'21, which was significantly weaker than the previous quarters as can be seen from its YoY Growth. The management mainly attributed this to the strong pull forward growth in membership during Q1'20 that has somewhat skewed the base upwards and may have disproportionately affected its growth in Q1'21. Although I think there is a reasonable basis for that line of argument, however we did not observe such a drastic decline in Roku, Inc. (ROKU) in its active accounts in Q1'21 (see charts below).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6e96b19f4b3eef87be93ecce3953a19\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"543\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Roku Active Accounts. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04f4053e2022d4c90e8b8ec51c1fc295\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Roku Active Accounts YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>We could clearly observe Roku's Active accounts YoY growth of 34.7% in Q1'21 to be still largely in line with 2019's growth even though Roku also experienced pull forward growth from COVID-19 last year. Therefore, I think there is a reasonable basis to infer that NFLX's paid adds growth seemed to have slowed down pretty dramatically even though it should be noted that NFLX's net paid membership of 208M significantly outnumbered Roku's 53.6M active accounts and that was not a small difference.</p>\n<p>Now, if you are a short term trader or an \"investor\" with a horizon of 1 quarter, then perhaps it may be a reasonable basis to get out of the stock. However, for long term investors, many of whom NFLX has handsomely rewarded over the last ten years, we need to dig deeper to investigate whether there has been a significant change in its long term competitive moat from the latest quarter's aberration that may significantly change NFLX's ability to compete effectively and weaken the competitive dynamics of its business model.</p>\n<p><b>Revenue Growth Looks Good</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8c6ed8cb94d2134ca5d0d79660ece07\" tg-width=\"1184\" tg-height=\"732\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee95424dd68c5abe3591347f9dd9fad\" tg-width=\"1010\" tg-height=\"624\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>First up, let's take a look at its revenue by region performance. We could observe clearly that the company's most important revenue drivers: UCAN and EMEA had YoY revenue growth of 17.3% and 36% in Q1'21, respectively, as compared to 19.8% and 39.7% in Q1'20, respectively. Sure, there was a slight blip in its YoY growth rate in Q1'21, but it was still very much in line with Q4'20 YoY numbers (which Mr. Market cheered by pushing the stock up 17.74% the day after earnings release), so it was nothing too significant that warranted a serious look into its competitiveness. Moreover, its fastest growing region: APAC also looked to have performed well with a 57.6% YoY growth rate that was even better than Q1'20's YoY growth rate of 51.3%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/298a4247dfc847726b87f80e24cc874f\" tg-width=\"876\" tg-height=\"542\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARPU by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce59d0df25c1a8b2fde74a772c918433\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"632\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARPU by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>NFLX also performed admirably well in its ARPU. ARPU was up in all the regions except for LATAM where the growth was flat on a QoQ basis. Although ARPU growth was quite volatile between quarters, ARPU in UCAN, EMEA and APAC went up by 8.4%, 11.5% and 9% in Q1'21, respectively. Even though LATAM's ARPU was down YoY, but on a QoQ basis it was flat, so there was nothing materially serious to take note here. Therefore, NFLX's ARPU performance looked really good in Q1'21.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee3698456324209ed6c9cf58bed58da\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"995\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Timeline of NFLX Price Hikes. Source:Variety</p>\n<p>If NFLX had faced intense competitive pressure in the past that forced it into a price war with competing platforms as it acquired more users, we would have seen the company forced to reduce its prices over time. On the contrary, NFLX has been increasing its prices steadily over time, with the latest round of price hikes on October 20. Even though there were some knee-jerk cancellations from some subscribers in the short term over the price hikes, over the long term it has never affected the company's ability to attract more users. This shows NFLX's strong competitive moat that gives it a huge ability to raise prices over time without losing its subscribers. In fact,NFLX well encapsulatedits strong ability to retain its subscribers despite the price hikes:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Our churn is actually below pre-price change levels already in the U.S. and in most of the markets and where we have adjusted prices and just some of the newer ones haven't come all the way back down, but they're rapidly getting there.\n</blockquote>\n<p>These well-planned price increases are extremely beneficial to NFLX's topline, given NFLX's growing subscriber base as the recent price increase is expected toadd $500Mto NFLX's revenue in FY 21 (consensus: $29.72B). Even though it's not a significant sum as compared to the revenue base, however more importantly it demonstrated clearly that NFLX has considerable pricing power in a highly competitive SVOD segment.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42059a78e3a3f7dc656556dc27761343\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"958\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Top Reasons for Video Streaming Subscription Cancellations. Source:Variety</p>\n<p>When we consider that the single most important reason for subscribers to cancel their streaming subscriptions is: \"If the subscription price increased\", then investors should now be able to really understand how Mr. Market has significantly underestimated NFLX's pricing power, which is extremely important to NFLX's business model to introduce more and more high quality content as its subscriber base gets larger over time.</p>\n<p>If we revisit NFLX's ARPU by region again, we could certainly see a generally healthy trend of ARPU over time even as the company increased its prices. It's important to note that increasing subscriptions prices is the primary way for it to further monetize its growing user base (although the company has also recently introduced more monetization methods such asNetflix shop, as well as thegaming market, so investors are highly encouraged to continue monitoring these developments). The price increases will help to bolster the consistency of the ARPU such that it would help with times when the company has found some difficulty in adding more users such as in Q1'21, while YoY revenue growth was still very healthy.</p>\n<p>Investors should take note that NFLX's growing membership base of 208M paying members is a formidable moat for it to keep producing its slate of high quality original content.</p>\n<p>Strong Content Pipeline</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02eea9bd487d52b352dd3894f2563edf\" tg-width=\"1043\" tg-height=\"646\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Content Assets. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a49a1facb41f2c4e848cced7724c68d\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Produced Content YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>NFLX has been growing its original content base rapidly over the last few years, although the COVID-19 crisis has somewhat slowed down its growth. Thecompany emphasized:</p>\n<blockquote>\n [W]e think we'll get back to a much steadier state in the back half of the year and certainly in Q4, where we've got the returning seasons of some of our most popular shows like The Witcher and You and Cobra Kai as well as some big tempo movies that came to market a little slower than we'd hoped, like Red Notes with The Rock and Ryan Reynolds and Gaga, and Escape From Spiderhead with Chris Hemsworth, big event content.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Therefore, the company is not resting on its laurels and would keep on its record of producing high quality content to keep engagement at a high level with its viewers.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4aaf52a7c9c18a4fc5664c9000282d1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"781\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Ranking of original streaming series titles in the U.S. Data Source: Nielsen, Media Play News</p>\n<p>In this survey conducted in early May, NFLX's slate of original series took home 7 out of the top 10 slots for the most watched series, demonstrating the high quality and appeal of its content with viewers. In fact, there were many other surveys that also showed Netflix's dominance in viewership over time.</p>\n<p>Netflix's original content didn't just dominate hours watched, but also award nominations. The company highlighted its recent achievements:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Netflix led all studios for recent award nominations including the Oscars, Golden Globes, SAG Awards, BAFTA and the NAACP Image Awards, among others. Heading into the Academy Awards this weekend, we have 36 nominations across 17 films including two nominees in each of the Best Picture (Mank, The Trial of the Chicago 7), Best Documentary Feature (Crip Camp, My Octopus Teacher), and Best Animated Feature (Over the Moon, A Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon) categories. Mank led all films with 10 nominations.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a756085b63c0d9b1e40d39f3fd21609\" tg-width=\"764\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Reasons for subscribing to SVOD services in the U.S. Data Source: Vorhaus Advisors</p>\n<p>As we could observe from the above, high quality original series (35%) and specific TV series or movies (43%) ranked very highly on the reasons for subscribing to SVOD services, and investors can rest assured that NFLX is certainly leading in these areas.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afa2be3ca5cfa415aee98a9c45f8e6c9\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Share of SVOD subscribers, who also subscribe to other services. Data Source: Reelgood</p>\n<p>In the SVOD space, we could clearly observe NFLX's importance to subscribers even if they subscribed to other services, which definitely helps to downplay the significance of increasing competitive threats to NFLX. In fact, NFLX was the most important service among these subscribers as the subscribers of the company's competitors also subscribed to NFLX: Peacock Premium (90%), HBO Max (90%), Amazon Prime (84%), Disney+ (87%), Hulu (85%) and Apple TV+ (92%), demonstrating clearly the importance and dominance of NFLX to its competitors' subscribers.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2c1e2c429e015e113242ffeac4d3f07\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Netflix Video Content Budget. Data Source: eMarketer</p>\n<p>Many critics also pointed to NFLX's increasing need to dedicate huge amounts of investments to drive its engagement levels, protect its moat, grow its revenue. In fact, I think unless NFLX is working on a model like Roku, whose business model I havediscussed recently here, having a high quality slate of original content is important in order to maintain its competitive edge, especially when we have witnessed a series of industry consolidation where NFLX may lose more and more access to high quality licensed content, so NFLX's committed investments in original content a few years ago led by Co-CEO Ted Sarandos has certainly been a masterstroke that has helped maintain the company's competitive edge. In addition, NFLX has been getting more and more efficient in producing original content over time, certainly helped by the large and growing paying membership base, which as I mentioned in itself is a strong moat.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e592ee98fcd2477f5e9332e664c74afa\" tg-width=\"1153\" tg-height=\"712\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Other Operating Activities [LTM] as a % of Revenue [LTM]. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>NFLX's other operating activities segment mainly include the company's investments in content assets which are classified as a cash outflow in the company's Cash from Operations [CFO]. If we observed clearly, despite the company's increasing video content budget, these investments have been forming a smaller and smaller component of the company's revenue from 2018 (even if we were to exclude the skewed figures from recent quarters due to reduced original content being produced as a result of COVID-19 delays), demonstrating the company's improved CFO position that has driven results towards FCF profitability. As a result, this allowed the company to confidently declare to investors that: \"So we expect to be about cash flow breakeven this year and then sustainably free cash flow positive and growing thereafter.\" This is definitely a highly important development, as that means NFLX now has more and more cash flow flexibility to invest in content to further drive its competitive edge against its closest rivals. The company's expected FCF profitability has also given the company confidence to announce a $5B share buyback in order to return excess cash to investors.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee2072e791610e16b97ed6d432f1fcb9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"750\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Projected Revenue Consensus Estimates, Projected Revenue Growth, Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>In fact, when I factored in NFLX's growth assumptions into its forecast model, NFLX is expected to consistently improve its FCF margin in the years ahead, while maintaining a steady revenue growth over time. NFLX is fast becoming a FCF driver that is capable of sustaining its growth and protecting its competitive moat strongly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67cbb70240f511c861aa1e4fd5b8c00d\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"552\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">SVOD market share in Japan. Data Source: GEM Partners</p>\n<p>Turning to NFLX's fastest growing region: APAC (shortsighted investors seemed to ignore NFLX's dominance in this region). There's absolutely no doubt who was the clear leader in the SVOD market in Japan with NFLX holding a 19.5% market share. In fact, Japan was expected to take over Australia as APAC'slargest market by the end of 2021. Japan's revenue is expected to grow at about 37% YoY from $2.4B to $3.3B, and subscriptions from 25.5M to 33.3M, which would represent a 30.6% increase YoY.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02d5751919369a578902516e76f5793a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Most popular OTT in Korea. Data Source: IGAWorks</p>\n<p>In its third largest APAC market: Korea, NFLX is also the well-established leader with a market share well ahead of the other OTT services, allowing the company a lot of leverage in producing top quality original Korean content. Korean content is very popular in Asia, and Netflix relies heavily on the Korean Wave (Hallyu) as the main gateway to audiences in Asia and has committed$500M to invest in Korean content in 2021 alone, from $700M spent between 2015 to 2020. Co-CEO Ted Sarandos summed up the company's approach in Korean content:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Over the last two years, we've seen the world falling in love with incredible Korean content</b>, made in Korea and watched by the world on Netflix. Our commitment towards Korea is strong. We will continue to invest and collaborate with Korean storytellers across a wealth of genres and formats.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06889e84d7faf18b5d1a8da1b4542895\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Popular OTT for accessing Korean Dramas Worldwide. Data Source: Korean Foundation for International Cultural Exchange; MCST Korea</p>\n<p>Netflix's commitment to build up its investments in Korean content has allowed it to maintain a strong position as the second ranked OTT platform behind YouTube for worldwide access to Korean dramas mainly because in my opinion, AVOD-based YouTube is free. However, Netflix has produced a lot of Original Series Korean dramas that have often quickly become a hit, and which were not available for distribution on YouTube.</p>\n<p>The Elephant in the Room: Disney</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2eb61cee21092f710c0e1446f1d598d2\" tg-width=\"1207\" tg-height=\"746\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Estimated number of SVOD subscribers worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research</p>\n<p>Disney (DIS) perhaps represents the largest threat in terms of subscribers growth as it's expected to take over NFLX as the largest SVOD player worldwide by 2026 with 294M subscribers as compared to NFLX's 286M subscribers.</p>\n<p>DIS has grown its subscribers base impressively as it reached103.6M subscribers in Q2'21. DIS's Hotstar platform is the dominant platform in two of Asia's most populated countries: Indonesia and India. This is expected to continue driving strong subscribers growth that would help it to exceed NFLX's subscriber base eventually.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30f463be13597df4819879aa4b894285\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>DIS+ ARPU. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>However, DIS's ARPU is also substantially lower than NFLX as Hotstar is very much a lower-priced offering and therefore skewing DIS's ARPU to the downside even as it adds more users. However, Hotstar looks like the better equipped option for growth in these two important Asian markets for DIS and I think DISpossesses the edge over here.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63f805876a22e4da556a27db39e6cdc8\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Estimated penetration rate. Data Source: The Motley Fool, Stifel</p>\n<p>However, NFLX is still expected to make inroads in all its segments, and particularly in APAC and EMEA as it continues to drive content growth to cater to the markets where it has the lead. l certainly think NFLX can't win in all markets, and in some markets the company definitely has to spend a lot more time and resources to develop them such as in APAC where its penetration is still very low, therefore offering huge potential for growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20878384ca9242ab35b248fb2b73ff6f\" tg-width=\"951\" tg-height=\"588\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>OTT Revenue Worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research</p>\n<p>Most importantly, the whole market still offers a lot of opportunities for growth for well positioned players in both the AVOD and the SVOD space. In the SVOD market, it is expected to grow at about 10.16% CAGR from 2020 to 2025, which although not as fast as the AVOD market, it's still expected to grow at a highly respectable rate.</p>\n<p><b>Valuations are Not Expensive</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d390f14679f74fb62a364d0921d5923\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"733\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue CAGR and Revenue Multiples. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>NFLX's projected growth (5Y CAGR of 15.1%) is definitely expected to slow as it matures, and turn FCF profitable. I don't think it's a bad thing. NFLX is still the dominant player in SVOD and expected to be so. In addition, it's still expected to grow faster than the SVOD market growth of 10.1%, thus further reinforcing NFLX's market leadership expectation. In addition, it's also trading at a slight discount on its EV / FY+1 Rev of 7.8x as compared to its 5Y Av. EV / LTM Rev of 8.8x.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becc49bc5dfbfa222226bd7426fd4e9e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"707\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>CapEX Margin &amp; Projected CapEx Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c44673eb90f5086b3eeae98397e1115f\" tg-width=\"1276\" tg-height=\"1122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>5Y Av. EV / EBITDA &amp; EV / Fwd EBITDA. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>Given that its CapEX margins (see above) are expected to be largely consistent over time as compared to the last few years, I also find it useful to consider its cash flow generating capacity and value it accordingly. When we consider NFLX's EV / Fwd EBITDA (see above), we could see the company's improved FCF generating capability has now made NFLX a lot more undervalued than when we compared it against its revenue growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e39e44f4f13ac6efc0b91aed6045771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"716\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>EV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>In fact, NFLX is expected to continue generating a high level FCF moving forward which would thus further support the NFLX's competitive valuation from the FCF point of view.</p>\n<p>Price Action and Technical Analysis</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2da4bd6973d2fa92a51a7b159b05efce\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Source: TradingView</p>\n<p>The current price level at $489 is a possible entry point, with a more conservative entry point at $458. The \"Buy more\" entry point is at $398, which is also supported above the key 200W MA. Avoid buying near $563 and $593 in the near term as they look to be key resistance levels.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping it all up</b></p>\n<p>Netflix's \"loss of competitiveness\" and \"weak fundamentals\" that were called into question recently are largely unfounded. The company enjoys strong dominance and competitive advantages in the SVOD market that is still expected to grow at double digit growth rates of which NFLX is expected to exploit in the years ahead.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 17:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.\nHowever, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1193778475","content_text":"Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.\nHowever, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s overall game to evaluate the strength of its moat.\nNetflix looks attractively-priced now, and should be a worthy addition to both value and growth investors.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nNetflix (NFLX) has come under the weather recently, as the company had to face increased competitive pressure from the growth of Disney+, recent industry consolidation fromWarner Bros. Discovery(T,DISCA) and Amazon's (AMZN)acquisition of MGM's deep content IP. Furthermore, the company also reported an\"underwhelming\" Q1'21results that saw the company even missing its own net membership adds estimates by 2m. In short, there seems to be no shortage of bad news for NFLX recently.\n\nSource: TradingView\nTherefore, it's not surprising to me at all that Mr. Market reacted somewhat negatively to all these competitive headwinds as NFLX remains about 18% off its January high, while QQQ is withintouching distance of its all time high. As a price-action, momentum based investor, seeing a stock that has demonstrated strong medium term and long term uptrend bias is of paramount importance to me and NFLX certainly checks all of that from this perspective. Although there are other growth stocks that have demonstrated a better uptrend bias profile, NFLX is not a slouch either. It has only lost its medium term 50W MA dynamic support only twice in the last 5 years: 2018 bear market decline of 45%, and Jul-Sep 19 decline of 35%. Even though the stock momentarily lost its 50W support level then, NFLX quickly regained its medium term support level, and during the COVID-19 bear market, NFLX never lost support of its medium term uptrend. Therefore, the 50W MA has proven to be a consistently strong medium term dynamic support level for NFLX over the last 5 years.\nNFLX's price has now approached its 50W support level again thanks to the weak market sentiments lately which makes it appropriate to discuss whether NFLX represents a good buying opportunity now for long term investors.\nSo What Happened to Netflix's Paid Adds?\n\nAverage Paying Membership by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nAverage Paying Membership YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nAs we could observe clearly from the charts above, the market reacted negatively to NFLX's Q1'21 results, sending the stock down 8.21% the day after the release. It added just 3.98M net paid members in Q1'21, which was significantly weaker than the previous quarters as can be seen from its YoY Growth. The management mainly attributed this to the strong pull forward growth in membership during Q1'20 that has somewhat skewed the base upwards and may have disproportionately affected its growth in Q1'21. Although I think there is a reasonable basis for that line of argument, however we did not observe such a drastic decline in Roku, Inc. (ROKU) in its active accounts in Q1'21 (see charts below).\n\nRoku Active Accounts. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nRoku Active Accounts YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nWe could clearly observe Roku's Active accounts YoY growth of 34.7% in Q1'21 to be still largely in line with 2019's growth even though Roku also experienced pull forward growth from COVID-19 last year. Therefore, I think there is a reasonable basis to infer that NFLX's paid adds growth seemed to have slowed down pretty dramatically even though it should be noted that NFLX's net paid membership of 208M significantly outnumbered Roku's 53.6M active accounts and that was not a small difference.\nNow, if you are a short term trader or an \"investor\" with a horizon of 1 quarter, then perhaps it may be a reasonable basis to get out of the stock. However, for long term investors, many of whom NFLX has handsomely rewarded over the last ten years, we need to dig deeper to investigate whether there has been a significant change in its long term competitive moat from the latest quarter's aberration that may significantly change NFLX's ability to compete effectively and weaken the competitive dynamics of its business model.\nRevenue Growth Looks Good\n\nRevenue by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nRevenue by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nFirst up, let's take a look at its revenue by region performance. We could observe clearly that the company's most important revenue drivers: UCAN and EMEA had YoY revenue growth of 17.3% and 36% in Q1'21, respectively, as compared to 19.8% and 39.7% in Q1'20, respectively. Sure, there was a slight blip in its YoY growth rate in Q1'21, but it was still very much in line with Q4'20 YoY numbers (which Mr. Market cheered by pushing the stock up 17.74% the day after earnings release), so it was nothing too significant that warranted a serious look into its competitiveness. Moreover, its fastest growing region: APAC also looked to have performed well with a 57.6% YoY growth rate that was even better than Q1'20's YoY growth rate of 51.3%.\n\nARPU by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nARPU by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nNFLX also performed admirably well in its ARPU. ARPU was up in all the regions except for LATAM where the growth was flat on a QoQ basis. Although ARPU growth was quite volatile between quarters, ARPU in UCAN, EMEA and APAC went up by 8.4%, 11.5% and 9% in Q1'21, respectively. Even though LATAM's ARPU was down YoY, but on a QoQ basis it was flat, so there was nothing materially serious to take note here. Therefore, NFLX's ARPU performance looked really good in Q1'21.\n\nTimeline of NFLX Price Hikes. Source:Variety\nIf NFLX had faced intense competitive pressure in the past that forced it into a price war with competing platforms as it acquired more users, we would have seen the company forced to reduce its prices over time. On the contrary, NFLX has been increasing its prices steadily over time, with the latest round of price hikes on October 20. Even though there were some knee-jerk cancellations from some subscribers in the short term over the price hikes, over the long term it has never affected the company's ability to attract more users. This shows NFLX's strong competitive moat that gives it a huge ability to raise prices over time without losing its subscribers. In fact,NFLX well encapsulatedits strong ability to retain its subscribers despite the price hikes:\n\n Our churn is actually below pre-price change levels already in the U.S. and in most of the markets and where we have adjusted prices and just some of the newer ones haven't come all the way back down, but they're rapidly getting there.\n\nThese well-planned price increases are extremely beneficial to NFLX's topline, given NFLX's growing subscriber base as the recent price increase is expected toadd $500Mto NFLX's revenue in FY 21 (consensus: $29.72B). Even though it's not a significant sum as compared to the revenue base, however more importantly it demonstrated clearly that NFLX has considerable pricing power in a highly competitive SVOD segment.\n\nTop Reasons for Video Streaming Subscription Cancellations. Source:Variety\nWhen we consider that the single most important reason for subscribers to cancel their streaming subscriptions is: \"If the subscription price increased\", then investors should now be able to really understand how Mr. Market has significantly underestimated NFLX's pricing power, which is extremely important to NFLX's business model to introduce more and more high quality content as its subscriber base gets larger over time.\nIf we revisit NFLX's ARPU by region again, we could certainly see a generally healthy trend of ARPU over time even as the company increased its prices. It's important to note that increasing subscriptions prices is the primary way for it to further monetize its growing user base (although the company has also recently introduced more monetization methods such asNetflix shop, as well as thegaming market, so investors are highly encouraged to continue monitoring these developments). The price increases will help to bolster the consistency of the ARPU such that it would help with times when the company has found some difficulty in adding more users such as in Q1'21, while YoY revenue growth was still very healthy.\nInvestors should take note that NFLX's growing membership base of 208M paying members is a formidable moat for it to keep producing its slate of high quality original content.\nStrong Content Pipeline\n\nContent Assets. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nProduced Content YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nNFLX has been growing its original content base rapidly over the last few years, although the COVID-19 crisis has somewhat slowed down its growth. Thecompany emphasized:\n\n [W]e think we'll get back to a much steadier state in the back half of the year and certainly in Q4, where we've got the returning seasons of some of our most popular shows like The Witcher and You and Cobra Kai as well as some big tempo movies that came to market a little slower than we'd hoped, like Red Notes with The Rock and Ryan Reynolds and Gaga, and Escape From Spiderhead with Chris Hemsworth, big event content.\n\nTherefore, the company is not resting on its laurels and would keep on its record of producing high quality content to keep engagement at a high level with its viewers.\n\nRanking of original streaming series titles in the U.S. Data Source: Nielsen, Media Play News\nIn this survey conducted in early May, NFLX's slate of original series took home 7 out of the top 10 slots for the most watched series, demonstrating the high quality and appeal of its content with viewers. In fact, there were many other surveys that also showed Netflix's dominance in viewership over time.\nNetflix's original content didn't just dominate hours watched, but also award nominations. The company highlighted its recent achievements:\n\n Netflix led all studios for recent award nominations including the Oscars, Golden Globes, SAG Awards, BAFTA and the NAACP Image Awards, among others. Heading into the Academy Awards this weekend, we have 36 nominations across 17 films including two nominees in each of the Best Picture (Mank, The Trial of the Chicago 7), Best Documentary Feature (Crip Camp, My Octopus Teacher), and Best Animated Feature (Over the Moon, A Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon) categories. Mank led all films with 10 nominations.\n\n\nReasons for subscribing to SVOD services in the U.S. Data Source: Vorhaus Advisors\nAs we could observe from the above, high quality original series (35%) and specific TV series or movies (43%) ranked very highly on the reasons for subscribing to SVOD services, and investors can rest assured that NFLX is certainly leading in these areas.\n\nShare of SVOD subscribers, who also subscribe to other services. Data Source: Reelgood\nIn the SVOD space, we could clearly observe NFLX's importance to subscribers even if they subscribed to other services, which definitely helps to downplay the significance of increasing competitive threats to NFLX. In fact, NFLX was the most important service among these subscribers as the subscribers of the company's competitors also subscribed to NFLX: Peacock Premium (90%), HBO Max (90%), Amazon Prime (84%), Disney+ (87%), Hulu (85%) and Apple TV+ (92%), demonstrating clearly the importance and dominance of NFLX to its competitors' subscribers.\n\nNetflix Video Content Budget. Data Source: eMarketer\nMany critics also pointed to NFLX's increasing need to dedicate huge amounts of investments to drive its engagement levels, protect its moat, grow its revenue. In fact, I think unless NFLX is working on a model like Roku, whose business model I havediscussed recently here, having a high quality slate of original content is important in order to maintain its competitive edge, especially when we have witnessed a series of industry consolidation where NFLX may lose more and more access to high quality licensed content, so NFLX's committed investments in original content a few years ago led by Co-CEO Ted Sarandos has certainly been a masterstroke that has helped maintain the company's competitive edge. In addition, NFLX has been getting more and more efficient in producing original content over time, certainly helped by the large and growing paying membership base, which as I mentioned in itself is a strong moat.\n\nOther Operating Activities [LTM] as a % of Revenue [LTM]. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nNFLX's other operating activities segment mainly include the company's investments in content assets which are classified as a cash outflow in the company's Cash from Operations [CFO]. If we observed clearly, despite the company's increasing video content budget, these investments have been forming a smaller and smaller component of the company's revenue from 2018 (even if we were to exclude the skewed figures from recent quarters due to reduced original content being produced as a result of COVID-19 delays), demonstrating the company's improved CFO position that has driven results towards FCF profitability. As a result, this allowed the company to confidently declare to investors that: \"So we expect to be about cash flow breakeven this year and then sustainably free cash flow positive and growing thereafter.\" This is definitely a highly important development, as that means NFLX now has more and more cash flow flexibility to invest in content to further drive its competitive edge against its closest rivals. The company's expected FCF profitability has also given the company confidence to announce a $5B share buyback in order to return excess cash to investors.\n\nProjected Revenue Consensus Estimates, Projected Revenue Growth, Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nIn fact, when I factored in NFLX's growth assumptions into its forecast model, NFLX is expected to consistently improve its FCF margin in the years ahead, while maintaining a steady revenue growth over time. NFLX is fast becoming a FCF driver that is capable of sustaining its growth and protecting its competitive moat strongly.\nSVOD market share in Japan. Data Source: GEM Partners\nTurning to NFLX's fastest growing region: APAC (shortsighted investors seemed to ignore NFLX's dominance in this region). There's absolutely no doubt who was the clear leader in the SVOD market in Japan with NFLX holding a 19.5% market share. In fact, Japan was expected to take over Australia as APAC'slargest market by the end of 2021. Japan's revenue is expected to grow at about 37% YoY from $2.4B to $3.3B, and subscriptions from 25.5M to 33.3M, which would represent a 30.6% increase YoY.\n\nMost popular OTT in Korea. Data Source: IGAWorks\nIn its third largest APAC market: Korea, NFLX is also the well-established leader with a market share well ahead of the other OTT services, allowing the company a lot of leverage in producing top quality original Korean content. Korean content is very popular in Asia, and Netflix relies heavily on the Korean Wave (Hallyu) as the main gateway to audiences in Asia and has committed$500M to invest in Korean content in 2021 alone, from $700M spent between 2015 to 2020. Co-CEO Ted Sarandos summed up the company's approach in Korean content:\n\nOver the last two years, we've seen the world falling in love with incredible Korean content, made in Korea and watched by the world on Netflix. Our commitment towards Korea is strong. We will continue to invest and collaborate with Korean storytellers across a wealth of genres and formats.\n\n\nPopular OTT for accessing Korean Dramas Worldwide. Data Source: Korean Foundation for International Cultural Exchange; MCST Korea\nNetflix's commitment to build up its investments in Korean content has allowed it to maintain a strong position as the second ranked OTT platform behind YouTube for worldwide access to Korean dramas mainly because in my opinion, AVOD-based YouTube is free. However, Netflix has produced a lot of Original Series Korean dramas that have often quickly become a hit, and which were not available for distribution on YouTube.\nThe Elephant in the Room: Disney\n\nEstimated number of SVOD subscribers worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research\nDisney (DIS) perhaps represents the largest threat in terms of subscribers growth as it's expected to take over NFLX as the largest SVOD player worldwide by 2026 with 294M subscribers as compared to NFLX's 286M subscribers.\nDIS has grown its subscribers base impressively as it reached103.6M subscribers in Q2'21. DIS's Hotstar platform is the dominant platform in two of Asia's most populated countries: Indonesia and India. This is expected to continue driving strong subscribers growth that would help it to exceed NFLX's subscriber base eventually.\n\nDIS+ ARPU. Data Source: Company Filings\nHowever, DIS's ARPU is also substantially lower than NFLX as Hotstar is very much a lower-priced offering and therefore skewing DIS's ARPU to the downside even as it adds more users. However, Hotstar looks like the better equipped option for growth in these two important Asian markets for DIS and I think DISpossesses the edge over here.\n\nEstimated penetration rate. Data Source: The Motley Fool, Stifel\nHowever, NFLX is still expected to make inroads in all its segments, and particularly in APAC and EMEA as it continues to drive content growth to cater to the markets where it has the lead. l certainly think NFLX can't win in all markets, and in some markets the company definitely has to spend a lot more time and resources to develop them such as in APAC where its penetration is still very low, therefore offering huge potential for growth.\n\nOTT Revenue Worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research\nMost importantly, the whole market still offers a lot of opportunities for growth for well positioned players in both the AVOD and the SVOD space. In the SVOD market, it is expected to grow at about 10.16% CAGR from 2020 to 2025, which although not as fast as the AVOD market, it's still expected to grow at a highly respectable rate.\nValuations are Not Expensive\n\nRevenue CAGR and Revenue Multiples. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nNFLX's projected growth (5Y CAGR of 15.1%) is definitely expected to slow as it matures, and turn FCF profitable. I don't think it's a bad thing. NFLX is still the dominant player in SVOD and expected to be so. In addition, it's still expected to grow faster than the SVOD market growth of 10.1%, thus further reinforcing NFLX's market leadership expectation. In addition, it's also trading at a slight discount on its EV / FY+1 Rev of 7.8x as compared to its 5Y Av. EV / LTM Rev of 8.8x.\n\nCapEX Margin & Projected CapEx Margin. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\n\n5Y Av. EV / EBITDA & EV / Fwd EBITDA. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nGiven that its CapEX margins (see above) are expected to be largely consistent over time as compared to the last few years, I also find it useful to consider its cash flow generating capacity and value it accordingly. When we consider NFLX's EV / Fwd EBITDA (see above), we could see the company's improved FCF generating capability has now made NFLX a lot more undervalued than when we compared it against its revenue growth.\n\nEV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nIn fact, NFLX is expected to continue generating a high level FCF moving forward which would thus further support the NFLX's competitive valuation from the FCF point of view.\nPrice Action and Technical Analysis\n\nSource: TradingView\nThe current price level at $489 is a possible entry point, with a more conservative entry point at $458. The \"Buy more\" entry point is at $398, which is also supported above the key 200W MA. Avoid buying near $563 and $593 in the near term as they look to be key resistance levels.\nWrapping it all up\nNetflix's \"loss of competitiveness\" and \"weak fundamentals\" that were called into question recently are largely unfounded. The company enjoys strong dominance and competitive advantages in the SVOD market that is still expected to grow at double digit growth rates of which NFLX is expected to exploit in the years ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160334413,"gmtCreate":1623771916532,"gmtModify":1703819017638,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How does that work&nbsp;","listText":"How does that work&nbsp;","text":"How does that work","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160334413","repostId":"1129954811","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160336894,"gmtCreate":1623771765418,"gmtModify":1703819013115,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow?&nbsp;","listText":"Wow?&nbsp;","text":"Wow?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160336894","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p>\n<p>So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p>\n<p>As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p>","source":"lsy1583725640930","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 21:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160331846,"gmtCreate":1623771713585,"gmtModify":1703819009891,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"New vaxx?&nbsp;","listText":"New vaxx?&nbsp;","text":"New vaxx?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160331846","repostId":"1167457915","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167457915","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1623750756,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167457915?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167457915","media":"Benzinga","summary":"It was \"better late than never\" for Novavax, Inc.NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announ","content":"<p>It was \"better late than never\" for&nbsp;<b>Novavax, Inc.</b>NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.</p>\n<p>Here's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namely<b>Pfizer Inc.</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>Moderna, Inc.</b>MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Type:</b>&nbsp;Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.</p>\n<p>The Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern&nbsp;vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.</p>\n<p>This spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.</p>\n<p>Novavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle&nbsp;that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.</p>\n<p><b>The Vaccine Doses:</b>&nbsp;The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.</p>\n<p>The interval between the two doses —&nbsp;the priming and booster dose —&nbsp;is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.</p>\n<p><b>The Target Population:</b>&nbsp;The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants&nbsp;ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.</p>\n<p>Moderna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants&nbsp;ages 18 years and up.</p>\n<p>Since then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.</p>\n<p>Bothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.</p>\n<p>Novavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants&nbsp;18 years of age and older&nbsp;across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Logistics:</b>&nbsp;Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.</p>\n<p>Previously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five&nbsp;days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.</p>\n<p>NVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Efficacy:</b>&nbsp;Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven&nbsp;days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.</p>\n<p>The vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.</p>\n<p>Moderna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.</p>\n<p>Novavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.</p>\n<p>Against variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.</p>\n<p>Overall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.</p>\n<p><b>Cantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:</b>A differentiating factor for NVX-2373&nbsp;is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.</p>\n<p>\"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.</p>\n<p>Showing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.</p>\n<p>This profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Safety Data:</b>Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from&nbsp;BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.</p>\n<p>For Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.</p>\n<p>Preliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.</p>\n<p>In assessing reactogenicity seven&nbsp;days after dose one&nbsp;and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-15 17:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It was \"better late than never\" for&nbsp;<b>Novavax, Inc.</b>NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.</p>\n<p>Here's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namely<b>Pfizer Inc.</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>Moderna, Inc.</b>MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Type:</b>&nbsp;Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.</p>\n<p>The Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern&nbsp;vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.</p>\n<p>This spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.</p>\n<p>Novavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle&nbsp;that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.</p>\n<p><b>The Vaccine Doses:</b>&nbsp;The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.</p>\n<p>The interval between the two doses —&nbsp;the priming and booster dose —&nbsp;is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.</p>\n<p><b>The Target Population:</b>&nbsp;The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants&nbsp;ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.</p>\n<p>Moderna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants&nbsp;ages 18 years and up.</p>\n<p>Since then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.</p>\n<p>Bothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.</p>\n<p>Novavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants&nbsp;18 years of age and older&nbsp;across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Logistics:</b>&nbsp;Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.</p>\n<p>Previously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five&nbsp;days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.</p>\n<p>NVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Efficacy:</b>&nbsp;Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven&nbsp;days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.</p>\n<p>The vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.</p>\n<p>Moderna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.</p>\n<p>Novavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.</p>\n<p>Against variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.</p>\n<p>Overall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.</p>\n<p><b>Cantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:</b>A differentiating factor for NVX-2373&nbsp;is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.</p>\n<p>\"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.</p>\n<p>Showing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.</p>\n<p>This profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.</p>\n<p><b>Vaccine Safety Data:</b>Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from&nbsp;BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.</p>\n<p>For Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.</p>\n<p>Preliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.</p>\n<p>In assessing reactogenicity seven&nbsp;days after dose one&nbsp;and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","PFE":"辉瑞"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167457915","content_text":"It was \"better late than never\" for Novavax, Inc.NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.\nHere's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namelyPfizer Inc.PFE 0.05%-BioNTech SEBNTXandModerna, Inc.MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.\nVaccine Type: Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.\nThe Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.\nThis spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.\nNovavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.\nThe Vaccine Doses: The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.\nThe interval between the two doses — the priming and booster dose — is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.\nThe Target Population: The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.\nModerna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants ages 18 years and up.\nSince then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.\nBothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.\nNovavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants 18 years of age and older across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.\nVaccine Logistics: Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.\nPreviously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.\nNVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.\nVaccine Efficacy: Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.\nThe vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.\nModerna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.\nNovavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.\nAgainst variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.\nOverall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.\nCantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:A differentiating factor for NVX-2373 is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.\n\"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.\nShowing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.\nThis profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.\nVaccine Safety Data:Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.\nFor Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.\nPreliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.\nIn assessing reactogenicity seven days after dose one and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160333430,"gmtCreate":1623771693120,"gmtModify":1703819008922,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yikes&nbsp;","listText":"Yikes&nbsp;","text":"Yikes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160333430","repostId":"1100476757","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":136,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160339700,"gmtCreate":1623771666500,"gmtModify":1703819007954,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huh&nbsp;","listText":"Huh&nbsp;","text":"Huh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160339700","repostId":"1142697857","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160395425,"gmtCreate":1623771523267,"gmtModify":1703819001647,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tesla?&nbsp;","listText":"Tesla?&nbsp;","text":"Tesla?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160395425","repostId":"1179958588","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179958588","pubTimestamp":1623766192,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179958588?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 22:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Going Through A \"Rather Dry Spell\", Says Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179958588","media":"zerohedge","summary":"In most respects, the latest note from Adam Jonas at Morgan Stanley on Tesla has been more of the sa","content":"<p>In most respects, the latest note from Adam Jonas at Morgan Stanley on Tesla has been more of the same.</p>\n<p>You've got your bona fide comedy, as Jonas starts his note&nbsp;by saying \"Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for&nbsp;the stock,\" before defending his $900 price target on the name...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9cc9bfba9fba1bf3593b4b6f4e20dbf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"198\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>You've got your \"pie in the sky\" style lofty estimates about a SaaS revenue stream that doesn't exist and that the company likely doesn't even have the infrastructure for...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e525d8ff30b02cefbdc8daecdcfcca7b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"246\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">You've got your insane valuation for Tesla's insurance business...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67267c0686d45416d0cb73fda3e253c7\" tg-width=\"516\" tg-height=\"648\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">...and finally, you've got your proclamation that Tesla is going to exceed its timelines for autonomous productions. You know, because the company has been so masterful with handling timelines in the past.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7526beef593477f8a494eac3cd07e6f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"97\"></p>\n<p>All told, it was a pretty standard Adam Jonas ticker tape parade for the company.</p>\n<p>But tucked into what can only be described as the \"endless optimism\" of Jonas' note was an interesting point that the analyst made.<b>Namely, he appears to make the suggestion that CEO Elon Musk's latest obsession with bitcoin is indicative that Tesla's underlying business could be going through a \"dry spell\".</b></p>\n<p><b>\"Over the past couple of months, incoming client interest on Tesla is focused mostly on Chinese sales/production data and Elon Musk’s tweets regarding Bitcoin. Might Tesla-Bitcoin fever may be telling us something about the lull in Tesla sentiment?</b>\" Jonas asks toward the beginning of his note.</p>\n<p>He continues:<b>\"You just know it’s a rather dry spell for Tesla when Bitcoin is the dominant new story and dominant driver of investor discussion day in, day out.</b>In our opinion, what’s considerably more interesting than ‘decoding’ the TSLA-Bitcoin relationship is the fact that there is a virtual ‘vacuum’ of developments and news related to other areas of technological and commercial progress that the company is involved with on renewable energy, storage networking and transportation.\"</p>\n<p>He begrudgingly concludes&nbsp;about Tesla's underwhelming Model S Plaid unveil: \"<b>Yes, the Model S Plaid unveil was fun, but where’s the next ‘big’ development to move the company forward?\"</b></p>\n<p>The lines even stood out CNBC's Carl Quintanilla who pointed it out early this morning.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec9ba5f7279aee4c62994fd1495bdcec\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"530\">It's interesting to note this level of what appears to just be bemusement and exhaustion from Jonas. But whether or not it sticks out to the \"sophisticated investors\" buying Tesla stock remains another question...</p>","source":"lsy1583725640930","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Going Through A \"Rather Dry Spell\", Says Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Going Through A \"Rather Dry Spell\", Says Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 22:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tesla-going-through-rather-dry-spell-says-morgan-stanleys-adam-jonas><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In most respects, the latest note from Adam Jonas at Morgan Stanley on Tesla has been more of the same.\nYou've got your bona fide comedy, as Jonas starts his note by saying \"Let’s begin with a healthy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tesla-going-through-rather-dry-spell-says-morgan-stanleys-adam-jonas\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tesla-going-through-rather-dry-spell-says-morgan-stanleys-adam-jonas","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179958588","content_text":"In most respects, the latest note from Adam Jonas at Morgan Stanley on Tesla has been more of the same.\nYou've got your bona fide comedy, as Jonas starts his note by saying \"Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,\" before defending his $900 price target on the name...\n\nYou've got your \"pie in the sky\" style lofty estimates about a SaaS revenue stream that doesn't exist and that the company likely doesn't even have the infrastructure for...\nYou've got your insane valuation for Tesla's insurance business...\n...and finally, you've got your proclamation that Tesla is going to exceed its timelines for autonomous productions. You know, because the company has been so masterful with handling timelines in the past.\n\nAll told, it was a pretty standard Adam Jonas ticker tape parade for the company.\nBut tucked into what can only be described as the \"endless optimism\" of Jonas' note was an interesting point that the analyst made.Namely, he appears to make the suggestion that CEO Elon Musk's latest obsession with bitcoin is indicative that Tesla's underlying business could be going through a \"dry spell\".\n\"Over the past couple of months, incoming client interest on Tesla is focused mostly on Chinese sales/production data and Elon Musk’s tweets regarding Bitcoin. Might Tesla-Bitcoin fever may be telling us something about the lull in Tesla sentiment?\" Jonas asks toward the beginning of his note.\nHe continues:\"You just know it’s a rather dry spell for Tesla when Bitcoin is the dominant new story and dominant driver of investor discussion day in, day out.In our opinion, what’s considerably more interesting than ‘decoding’ the TSLA-Bitcoin relationship is the fact that there is a virtual ‘vacuum’ of developments and news related to other areas of technological and commercial progress that the company is involved with on renewable energy, storage networking and transportation.\"\nHe begrudgingly concludes about Tesla's underwhelming Model S Plaid unveil: \"Yes, the Model S Plaid unveil was fun, but where’s the next ‘big’ development to move the company forward?\"\nThe lines even stood out CNBC's Carl Quintanilla who pointed it out early this morning.\nIt's interesting to note this level of what appears to just be bemusement and exhaustion from Jonas. But whether or not it sticks out to the \"sophisticated investors\" buying Tesla stock remains another question...","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160395997,"gmtCreate":1623771495319,"gmtModify":1703819000839,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reddit again&nbsp;","listText":"Reddit again&nbsp;","text":"Reddit again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160395997","repostId":"1134275605","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134275605","pubTimestamp":1623768168,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134275605?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 22:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Troubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134275605","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last y","content":"<ul>\n <li>Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale</li>\n <li>Company was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Transocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares, taking advantage of a surge in its stock price driven by the meme-stock frenzy and rising oil prices.</p>\n<p>The company, which operates rigs for offshore oil and gas drilling, plans to issue as much as $400 million of equity through an agreement with Jefferies LLC, according to a filing Tuesday. Itsshareshave gained 75% this year to around $4, from a low of 67 cents last October, alongside oil prices, which have risen more than 40%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab59e9db38c4f9d3f9e68d0cb2facbf\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p>\n<p>Transocean’s planned share sale is the latest in a series ofmaneuversto improve its balance sheet, including multiple debt exchanges, after itwona key default trial late last year that had put it at risk offiling for bankruptcyif it wasn’t successful. The company has also caught the eye of day traders on Reddit’s speculative discussion platform WallStreetBets. It was one of the heavily shorted stocks they converged on in January that drove up share prices as short-sellers rushed in to cover their positions.</p>\n<p>A user called 12xLevered who highlighted the short interest on the shares amid rising oil prices and long runway to address its high debt load inlate Januarywas still touting the stock as recently as four days ago. Some have also pointed out that Transocean has avoided bankruptcy while other rig operators were forced to file last year because of the downturn in commodities amid the pandemic.</p>\n<p>A representative for Steinhausen, Switzerland-based Transocean didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>The company’s long-term unsecured bonds led high-yield gains Tuesday on the filing. Its 11.5% notes due 2027 jumped 4 cents on the dollar to 105 cents, yielding 9.8%. Transocean’s 6.8% bonds due 2038 gained 4 cents to 61.6 cents, yielding 12%.</p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Troubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTroubled Driller Transocean Latest Reddit Darling to Sell Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 22:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial\n\nTransocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIG":"Transocean Ltd."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/troubled-driller-transocean-latest-reddit-darling-to-sell-shares?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134275605","content_text":"Transocean’s 75% share rally spurs $400 million equity sale\nCompany was at risk of bankruptcy last year amid default trial\n\nTransocean Ltd.is planning to raise cash and cut debt by selling new shares, taking advantage of a surge in its stock price driven by the meme-stock frenzy and rising oil prices.\nThe company, which operates rigs for offshore oil and gas drilling, plans to issue as much as $400 million of equity through an agreement with Jefferies LLC, according to a filing Tuesday. Itsshareshave gained 75% this year to around $4, from a low of 67 cents last October, alongside oil prices, which have risen more than 40%.\n\nTransocean’s planned share sale is the latest in a series ofmaneuversto improve its balance sheet, including multiple debt exchanges, after itwona key default trial late last year that had put it at risk offiling for bankruptcyif it wasn’t successful. The company has also caught the eye of day traders on Reddit’s speculative discussion platform WallStreetBets. It was one of the heavily shorted stocks they converged on in January that drove up share prices as short-sellers rushed in to cover their positions.\nA user called 12xLevered who highlighted the short interest on the shares amid rising oil prices and long runway to address its high debt load inlate Januarywas still touting the stock as recently as four days ago. Some have also pointed out that Transocean has avoided bankruptcy while other rig operators were forced to file last year because of the downturn in commodities amid the pandemic.\nA representative for Steinhausen, Switzerland-based Transocean didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.\nThe company’s long-term unsecured bonds led high-yield gains Tuesday on the filing. Its 11.5% notes due 2027 jumped 4 cents on the dollar to 105 cents, yielding 9.8%. Transocean’s 6.8% bonds due 2038 gained 4 cents to 61.6 cents, yielding 12%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160396280,"gmtCreate":1623771442240,"gmtModify":1703818999057,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Hmm interesting&nbsp;","text":"Hmm interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160396280","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p>\n<p>So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p>\n<p>As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p>","source":"lsy1583725640930","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 21:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":19,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110494837,"gmtCreate":1622476896429,"gmtModify":1704184951814,"author":{"id":"3585186355263019","authorId":"3585186355263019","name":"Saintmist","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06fa01841f135b940d5f272f076f184","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110494837","repostId":"1113386303","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113386303","pubTimestamp":1622472571,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113386303?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-31 22:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Turkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113386303","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar","content":"<ul>\n <li>SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year</li>\n <li>It follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053dca0f1785d519785d4a999349c38c\" tg-width=\"4000\" tg-height=\"2546\"><span>Hepsiburada.com home page.</span></p>\n<p>Turkey’s second biggest online shopping platform by market share applied tolist its shareson Nasdaq amid a flurry of investor interest in the nation’s burgeoningstart-upscene.</p>\n<p>Hepsiburada.com, formally known as D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret AS, plans to sell shares on the tech-heavy U.S. equity gauge, according to the company’s&nbsp;prospectus&nbsp;filed to Securities and Exchange Commission on May 28. The company didn’t specify how many shares it plans to sell or when.</p>\n<p>The filing comes as revenue more than doubled last year as coronavirus measures led to a surge in online shopping. And it follows a string of Turkish tech deals that have attracted strong international interest in recent years, with valuations reaching billions of dollars.</p>\n<p>Peak, a Turkish casual games maker, was&nbsp;sold&nbsp;to&nbsp;Zynga Inc.for $1.8 billion last year while Getir, a quick grocery delivery app, is seeking funds in a round that may raise its&nbsp;value&nbsp;to more than $7 billion from $2.6 billion in February. Trendyol, the biggest e-commerce marketplace in Turkey backed by Chinese online giant&nbsp;Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., is in talks with investors for new funds that could see its value rise to more than $15 billion from $9.4 billion earlier this year.</p>\n<p>Hepsiburada.com hired Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Bank of America Securities, UBS Investment Bank and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to arrange the deal.</p>\n<p>The company is 75% owned by the four daughters of businessman Aydin Dogan, founder of Dogan Sirketler Grubu Holding AS, 24.6% of which is held by founder Hanzade Dogan Boyner.Franklin Resources Inc.&nbsp;owns the remaining 25%.</p>\n<p><b>Highlights from the company prospectus:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Revenue rose to 6.4 billion liras ($750 million) in 2020 from 2.6 billion liras a year ago. The company reported a total loss of 476 million liras last year, up from 133 million liras in 2019</li>\n <li>Gross merchandise value, a measure of total value of products and orders through its marketplace platform, rose to 17 billion liras from 9 million customers in 2020 from 8 billion liras from 6.5 million users a year ago</li>\n <li>The company said its market share was around 17% last year, citing data from&nbsp;Arthur D Little Inc.</li>\n <li>Liabilities rose to 2.7 billion liras in 2020, including 2 billion liras in payables and 347 million liras in bank loans, from 1.2 billion liras in 2019</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Turkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTurkey’s Second Biggest E-Commerce Platform Files for Nasdaq IPO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-31 22:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey\n\nHepsiburada.com home page.\nTurkey’s second biggest online shopping platform ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-31/turkey-s-second-biggest-e-commerce-platform-files-for-nasdaq-ipo?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113386303","content_text":"SEC filing comes after revenue more than doubled last year\nIt follows string of multi-billion dollar tech deals in Turkey\n\nHepsiburada.com home page.\nTurkey’s second biggest online shopping platform by market share applied tolist its shareson Nasdaq amid a flurry of investor interest in the nation’s burgeoningstart-upscene.\nHepsiburada.com, formally known as D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret AS, plans to sell shares on the tech-heavy U.S. equity gauge, according to the company’s prospectus filed to Securities and Exchange Commission on May 28. The company didn’t specify how many shares it plans to sell or when.\nThe filing comes as revenue more than doubled last year as coronavirus measures led to a surge in online shopping. And it follows a string of Turkish tech deals that have attracted strong international interest in recent years, with valuations reaching billions of dollars.\nPeak, a Turkish casual games maker, was sold to Zynga Inc.for $1.8 billion last year while Getir, a quick grocery delivery app, is seeking funds in a round that may raise its value to more than $7 billion from $2.6 billion in February. Trendyol, the biggest e-commerce marketplace in Turkey backed by Chinese online giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., is in talks with investors for new funds that could see its value rise to more than $15 billion from $9.4 billion earlier this year.\nHepsiburada.com hired Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Securities, UBS Investment Bank and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to arrange the deal.\nThe company is 75% owned by the four daughters of businessman Aydin Dogan, founder of Dogan Sirketler Grubu Holding AS, 24.6% of which is held by founder Hanzade Dogan Boyner.Franklin Resources Inc. owns the remaining 25%.\nHighlights from the company prospectus:\n\nRevenue rose to 6.4 billion liras ($750 million) in 2020 from 2.6 billion liras a year ago. The company reported a total loss of 476 million liras last year, up from 133 million liras in 2019\nGross merchandise value, a measure of total value of products and orders through its marketplace platform, rose to 17 billion liras from 9 million customers in 2020 from 8 billion liras from 6.5 million users a year ago\nThe company said its market share was around 17% last year, citing data from Arthur D Little Inc.\nLiabilities rose to 2.7 billion liras in 2020, including 2 billion liras in payables and 347 million liras in bank loans, from 1.2 billion liras in 2019","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}