+Follow
Skk1955
No personal profile
1
Follow
0
Followers
0
Topic
0
Badge
Posts
Hot
Skk1955
11-08
Share your opinion about this news…
China Unveils $1.4 Trillion Package to Boost Economy. Investors Wanted More
Go to Tiger App to see more news
{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3585193447633929","uuid":"3585193447633929","gmtCreate":1622099605210,"gmtModify":1622099605210,"name":"Skk1955","pinyin":"skk1955","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":1,"tweetSize":1,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":0,"name":"","nameTw":"","represent":"","factor":"","iconColor":"","bgColor":""},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-2","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Senior Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 1000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.03.14","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":1,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":368729211326720,"gmtCreate":1731063324297,"gmtModify":1731070108793,"author":{"id":"3585193447633929","authorId":"3585193447633929","name":"Skk1955","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585193447633929","authorIdStr":"3585193447633929"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/368729211326720","repostId":"2481125556","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2481125556","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1731059737,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2481125556?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-08 17:55","market":"nz","language":"en","title":"China Unveils $1.4 Trillion Package to Boost Economy. Investors Wanted More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2481125556","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Chinese authorities unveiled details of a fiscal stimulus package Friday, in a continued bid to stabilize the world's second-largest economy.The task has become more urgent now given how the trade war","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Chinese authorities unveiled details of a fiscal stimulus package Friday, in a continued bid to stabilize the world's second-largest economy.</p><p>The task has become more urgent now given how the trade war could escalate if President-elect Donald Trump follows through on his proposals to hit China with higher tariffs.</p><p>China announced it will raise the ceiling on local government debt by 6 trillion yuan ($840 billion) to replace existing hidden debts, according to a press conference Friday, the Xinhua News Agency reported.</p><p>Local governments will also be able to tap another 4 trillion yuan in a new local bond quota over the next five years.</p><p>Markets were seemingly not impressed by the measures. Futures on the Hang Seng fell 2.1% after the news Friday, while the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> China Large-Cap ETF is down 4% in the U.S. premarket. The Hang Seng index had closed 1.1% lower ahead of the announcement.</p><p>Beijing had already taken coordinated steps to stabilize its struggling property market, rebuild consumer and business confidence, and revive an economy that has been gripped by deflationary pressures. But the leadership had made it clear that more was on the way</p><p>Friday's National People's Congress Standing Committee meeting had initially been scheduled for late October. The meeting was delayed, some analysts said, so that Chinese authorities could get a read on the U.S. election and adjust accordingly.</p><p>Expectations about how much spending the government would unleash have increased in recent weeks, rising from about four trillion renminbi ($561 billion) to as much as 14 trillion renminbi. Much of that spending is expected in the form of bond issuance to shore up debt-laden local governments that have struggled as revenue from land sales dried up. Also possible are capital injections into banks to nudge them to lend more: A cushion of some extra money would help banks to deal with nonperforming loans piling up from the property bust.</p><p>Chinese stocks soared when authorities initially pledged aid, but the market returned some of those gains. Details have been slow to materialize and some measures have fallen short of expectations.</p><p>But now, optimism that Beijing will do more to aid the economy in the wake of Trump's re-election are lifting shares again. The iShares MSCI China exchange-traded fund rose 5.2% to $52.33 on Thursday, though that leaves it well below its October highs.</p><p>Beijing spent four trillion renminbi after the 2008-2009 global financial crisis -- a far greater share of its economy than anything currently on the table given that gross domestic product has quadrupled in nominal terms since then. While investors have been hoping for a similar "bazooka" like package, Beijing has been much more incremental this time around, in part because of the mountain of debt it has been trying to chip away at.</p><p>Investors may be too optimistic. Gavekal analyst Arthur Kroeber is looking for five million to six million renminbi, along with likely comments from officials that they will do more if needed.</p><p>Chinese authorities may hold some of their firepower for the tariff fight analysts widely expect with the U.S. shortly after Trump is sworn in, Kroeber adds.</p><p>And with good reason: Exports accounted for 42% of China's economic growth last quarter and a 60% tariff by the U.S. on all Chinese exports could shave two percentage points from growth next year, according to TS Lombard. That is the last thing China needs, given that the measures promised so far are seen as likely to only stabilize growth, rather than revive it.</p><p>China is likely to retaliate for any tariff increase, in part by allowing its currency to depreciate to offset the hit. It could also enforce export controls on components or rare earths the U.S. tech sector needs, cut back on its agricultural purchases from the U.S., or make life harder for Tesla CEO Elon Musk, a Trump supporter.</p><p>For investors, the stimulus measures may put a floor under Chinese stocks, especially as Beijing is focused on boosting the domestic stock market to revive consumer confidence. But though Beijing may succeed in engineering a higher domestic stock market by allowing banks and others to borrow to invest in the market, Kroeber says that for sustained gains, Beijing needs stronger nominal growth to bolster corporate profits and make equities more attractive. It also would help if Chinese authorities clearly commit to fight the deflation that is taking hold in the domestic economy.</p><p>Money managers have been taking advantage of the volatility as a chance to add to their holdings of beaten-up stocks, especially those linked to the consumer, as a way to benefit from any economic improvement.</p><p>But Chinese stocks are likely to stay volatile until more clarity emerges on what type of people are staffing another Trump administration. Also uncertain is how the trade war could play out and whether an initial salvo of tariffs could make way for a possible truce, given that Trump sees himself as a dealmaker.</p><p>Trump took a similar approach in the first administration. He began by levying tariffs on China and then reached a "Phase One" trade deal in which China agreed to buy a certain amount of U.S. goods, such as soybeans. Although Beijing didn't ultimately didn't fulfill that commitment, the deal cheered markets and created a respite from the trade-war concerns.</p><p>One possibility now is that Chinese authorities delay some stimulus spending until a full meeting of the National People's Congress in March. That would allow them to use fiscal spending plans to bolster consumption as a tool in negotiating with Washington. Trump and U.S. officials want China to bolster domestic consumption rather than relying on exports that send a flood of cheap goods to the U.S. to compete with domestic manufacturers stateside.</p><p>Investors may need to readjust expectations -- and practice patience.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Unveils $1.4 Trillion Package to Boost Economy. Investors Wanted More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Unveils $1.4 Trillion Package to Boost Economy. Investors Wanted More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-08 17:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Chinese authorities unveiled details of a fiscal stimulus package Friday, in a continued bid to stabilize the world's second-largest economy.</p><p>The task has become more urgent now given how the trade war could escalate if President-elect Donald Trump follows through on his proposals to hit China with higher tariffs.</p><p>China announced it will raise the ceiling on local government debt by 6 trillion yuan ($840 billion) to replace existing hidden debts, according to a press conference Friday, the Xinhua News Agency reported.</p><p>Local governments will also be able to tap another 4 trillion yuan in a new local bond quota over the next five years.</p><p>Markets were seemingly not impressed by the measures. Futures on the Hang Seng fell 2.1% after the news Friday, while the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> China Large-Cap ETF is down 4% in the U.S. premarket. The Hang Seng index had closed 1.1% lower ahead of the announcement.</p><p>Beijing had already taken coordinated steps to stabilize its struggling property market, rebuild consumer and business confidence, and revive an economy that has been gripped by deflationary pressures. But the leadership had made it clear that more was on the way</p><p>Friday's National People's Congress Standing Committee meeting had initially been scheduled for late October. The meeting was delayed, some analysts said, so that Chinese authorities could get a read on the U.S. election and adjust accordingly.</p><p>Expectations about how much spending the government would unleash have increased in recent weeks, rising from about four trillion renminbi ($561 billion) to as much as 14 trillion renminbi. Much of that spending is expected in the form of bond issuance to shore up debt-laden local governments that have struggled as revenue from land sales dried up. Also possible are capital injections into banks to nudge them to lend more: A cushion of some extra money would help banks to deal with nonperforming loans piling up from the property bust.</p><p>Chinese stocks soared when authorities initially pledged aid, but the market returned some of those gains. Details have been slow to materialize and some measures have fallen short of expectations.</p><p>But now, optimism that Beijing will do more to aid the economy in the wake of Trump's re-election are lifting shares again. The iShares MSCI China exchange-traded fund rose 5.2% to $52.33 on Thursday, though that leaves it well below its October highs.</p><p>Beijing spent four trillion renminbi after the 2008-2009 global financial crisis -- a far greater share of its economy than anything currently on the table given that gross domestic product has quadrupled in nominal terms since then. While investors have been hoping for a similar "bazooka" like package, Beijing has been much more incremental this time around, in part because of the mountain of debt it has been trying to chip away at.</p><p>Investors may be too optimistic. Gavekal analyst Arthur Kroeber is looking for five million to six million renminbi, along with likely comments from officials that they will do more if needed.</p><p>Chinese authorities may hold some of their firepower for the tariff fight analysts widely expect with the U.S. shortly after Trump is sworn in, Kroeber adds.</p><p>And with good reason: Exports accounted for 42% of China's economic growth last quarter and a 60% tariff by the U.S. on all Chinese exports could shave two percentage points from growth next year, according to TS Lombard. That is the last thing China needs, given that the measures promised so far are seen as likely to only stabilize growth, rather than revive it.</p><p>China is likely to retaliate for any tariff increase, in part by allowing its currency to depreciate to offset the hit. It could also enforce export controls on components or rare earths the U.S. tech sector needs, cut back on its agricultural purchases from the U.S., or make life harder for Tesla CEO Elon Musk, a Trump supporter.</p><p>For investors, the stimulus measures may put a floor under Chinese stocks, especially as Beijing is focused on boosting the domestic stock market to revive consumer confidence. But though Beijing may succeed in engineering a higher domestic stock market by allowing banks and others to borrow to invest in the market, Kroeber says that for sustained gains, Beijing needs stronger nominal growth to bolster corporate profits and make equities more attractive. It also would help if Chinese authorities clearly commit to fight the deflation that is taking hold in the domestic economy.</p><p>Money managers have been taking advantage of the volatility as a chance to add to their holdings of beaten-up stocks, especially those linked to the consumer, as a way to benefit from any economic improvement.</p><p>But Chinese stocks are likely to stay volatile until more clarity emerges on what type of people are staffing another Trump administration. Also uncertain is how the trade war could play out and whether an initial salvo of tariffs could make way for a possible truce, given that Trump sees himself as a dealmaker.</p><p>Trump took a similar approach in the first administration. He began by levying tariffs on China and then reached a "Phase One" trade deal in which China agreed to buy a certain amount of U.S. goods, such as soybeans. Although Beijing didn't ultimately didn't fulfill that commitment, the deal cheered markets and created a respite from the trade-war concerns.</p><p>One possibility now is that Chinese authorities delay some stimulus spending until a full meeting of the National People's Congress in March. That would allow them to use fiscal spending plans to bolster consumption as a tool in negotiating with Washington. Trump and U.S. officials want China to bolster domestic consumption rather than relying on exports that send a flood of cheap goods to the U.S. to compete with domestic manufacturers stateside.</p><p>Investors may need to readjust expectations -- and practice patience.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","CWEB":"两倍做多沪深中国互联网股票ETF-Direxion","BK4588":"碎股","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","KWEB":"中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","YINN":"三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","BK4555":"新能源车","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4211":"区域性银行","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","CHAU":"二倍做多沪深300(Direxion)","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2481125556","content_text":"Chinese authorities unveiled details of a fiscal stimulus package Friday, in a continued bid to stabilize the world's second-largest economy.The task has become more urgent now given how the trade war could escalate if President-elect Donald Trump follows through on his proposals to hit China with higher tariffs.China announced it will raise the ceiling on local government debt by 6 trillion yuan ($840 billion) to replace existing hidden debts, according to a press conference Friday, the Xinhua News Agency reported.Local governments will also be able to tap another 4 trillion yuan in a new local bond quota over the next five years.Markets were seemingly not impressed by the measures. Futures on the Hang Seng fell 2.1% after the news Friday, while the iShares China Large-Cap ETF is down 4% in the U.S. premarket. The Hang Seng index had closed 1.1% lower ahead of the announcement.Beijing had already taken coordinated steps to stabilize its struggling property market, rebuild consumer and business confidence, and revive an economy that has been gripped by deflationary pressures. But the leadership had made it clear that more was on the wayFriday's National People's Congress Standing Committee meeting had initially been scheduled for late October. The meeting was delayed, some analysts said, so that Chinese authorities could get a read on the U.S. election and adjust accordingly.Expectations about how much spending the government would unleash have increased in recent weeks, rising from about four trillion renminbi ($561 billion) to as much as 14 trillion renminbi. Much of that spending is expected in the form of bond issuance to shore up debt-laden local governments that have struggled as revenue from land sales dried up. Also possible are capital injections into banks to nudge them to lend more: A cushion of some extra money would help banks to deal with nonperforming loans piling up from the property bust.Chinese stocks soared when authorities initially pledged aid, but the market returned some of those gains. Details have been slow to materialize and some measures have fallen short of expectations.But now, optimism that Beijing will do more to aid the economy in the wake of Trump's re-election are lifting shares again. The iShares MSCI China exchange-traded fund rose 5.2% to $52.33 on Thursday, though that leaves it well below its October highs.Beijing spent four trillion renminbi after the 2008-2009 global financial crisis -- a far greater share of its economy than anything currently on the table given that gross domestic product has quadrupled in nominal terms since then. While investors have been hoping for a similar \"bazooka\" like package, Beijing has been much more incremental this time around, in part because of the mountain of debt it has been trying to chip away at.Investors may be too optimistic. Gavekal analyst Arthur Kroeber is looking for five million to six million renminbi, along with likely comments from officials that they will do more if needed.Chinese authorities may hold some of their firepower for the tariff fight analysts widely expect with the U.S. shortly after Trump is sworn in, Kroeber adds.And with good reason: Exports accounted for 42% of China's economic growth last quarter and a 60% tariff by the U.S. on all Chinese exports could shave two percentage points from growth next year, according to TS Lombard. That is the last thing China needs, given that the measures promised so far are seen as likely to only stabilize growth, rather than revive it.China is likely to retaliate for any tariff increase, in part by allowing its currency to depreciate to offset the hit. It could also enforce export controls on components or rare earths the U.S. tech sector needs, cut back on its agricultural purchases from the U.S., or make life harder for Tesla CEO Elon Musk, a Trump supporter.For investors, the stimulus measures may put a floor under Chinese stocks, especially as Beijing is focused on boosting the domestic stock market to revive consumer confidence. But though Beijing may succeed in engineering a higher domestic stock market by allowing banks and others to borrow to invest in the market, Kroeber says that for sustained gains, Beijing needs stronger nominal growth to bolster corporate profits and make equities more attractive. It also would help if Chinese authorities clearly commit to fight the deflation that is taking hold in the domestic economy.Money managers have been taking advantage of the volatility as a chance to add to their holdings of beaten-up stocks, especially those linked to the consumer, as a way to benefit from any economic improvement.But Chinese stocks are likely to stay volatile until more clarity emerges on what type of people are staffing another Trump administration. Also uncertain is how the trade war could play out and whether an initial salvo of tariffs could make way for a possible truce, given that Trump sees himself as a dealmaker.Trump took a similar approach in the first administration. He began by levying tariffs on China and then reached a \"Phase One\" trade deal in which China agreed to buy a certain amount of U.S. goods, such as soybeans. Although Beijing didn't ultimately didn't fulfill that commitment, the deal cheered markets and created a respite from the trade-war concerns.One possibility now is that Chinese authorities delay some stimulus spending until a full meeting of the National People's Congress in March. That would allow them to use fiscal spending plans to bolster consumption as a tool in negotiating with Washington. Trump and U.S. officials want China to bolster domestic consumption rather than relying on exports that send a flood of cheap goods to the U.S. to compete with domestic manufacturers stateside.Investors may need to readjust expectations -- and practice patience.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":368729211326720,"gmtCreate":1731063324297,"gmtModify":1731070108793,"author":{"id":"3585193447633929","authorId":"3585193447633929","name":"Skk1955","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585193447633929","authorIdStr":"3585193447633929"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/368729211326720","repostId":"2481125556","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2481125556","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1731059737,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2481125556?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-08 17:55","market":"nz","language":"en","title":"China Unveils $1.4 Trillion Package to Boost Economy. Investors Wanted More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2481125556","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Chinese authorities unveiled details of a fiscal stimulus package Friday, in a continued bid to stabilize the world's second-largest economy.The task has become more urgent now given how the trade war","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Chinese authorities unveiled details of a fiscal stimulus package Friday, in a continued bid to stabilize the world's second-largest economy.</p><p>The task has become more urgent now given how the trade war could escalate if President-elect Donald Trump follows through on his proposals to hit China with higher tariffs.</p><p>China announced it will raise the ceiling on local government debt by 6 trillion yuan ($840 billion) to replace existing hidden debts, according to a press conference Friday, the Xinhua News Agency reported.</p><p>Local governments will also be able to tap another 4 trillion yuan in a new local bond quota over the next five years.</p><p>Markets were seemingly not impressed by the measures. Futures on the Hang Seng fell 2.1% after the news Friday, while the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> China Large-Cap ETF is down 4% in the U.S. premarket. The Hang Seng index had closed 1.1% lower ahead of the announcement.</p><p>Beijing had already taken coordinated steps to stabilize its struggling property market, rebuild consumer and business confidence, and revive an economy that has been gripped by deflationary pressures. But the leadership had made it clear that more was on the way</p><p>Friday's National People's Congress Standing Committee meeting had initially been scheduled for late October. The meeting was delayed, some analysts said, so that Chinese authorities could get a read on the U.S. election and adjust accordingly.</p><p>Expectations about how much spending the government would unleash have increased in recent weeks, rising from about four trillion renminbi ($561 billion) to as much as 14 trillion renminbi. Much of that spending is expected in the form of bond issuance to shore up debt-laden local governments that have struggled as revenue from land sales dried up. Also possible are capital injections into banks to nudge them to lend more: A cushion of some extra money would help banks to deal with nonperforming loans piling up from the property bust.</p><p>Chinese stocks soared when authorities initially pledged aid, but the market returned some of those gains. Details have been slow to materialize and some measures have fallen short of expectations.</p><p>But now, optimism that Beijing will do more to aid the economy in the wake of Trump's re-election are lifting shares again. The iShares MSCI China exchange-traded fund rose 5.2% to $52.33 on Thursday, though that leaves it well below its October highs.</p><p>Beijing spent four trillion renminbi after the 2008-2009 global financial crisis -- a far greater share of its economy than anything currently on the table given that gross domestic product has quadrupled in nominal terms since then. While investors have been hoping for a similar "bazooka" like package, Beijing has been much more incremental this time around, in part because of the mountain of debt it has been trying to chip away at.</p><p>Investors may be too optimistic. Gavekal analyst Arthur Kroeber is looking for five million to six million renminbi, along with likely comments from officials that they will do more if needed.</p><p>Chinese authorities may hold some of their firepower for the tariff fight analysts widely expect with the U.S. shortly after Trump is sworn in, Kroeber adds.</p><p>And with good reason: Exports accounted for 42% of China's economic growth last quarter and a 60% tariff by the U.S. on all Chinese exports could shave two percentage points from growth next year, according to TS Lombard. That is the last thing China needs, given that the measures promised so far are seen as likely to only stabilize growth, rather than revive it.</p><p>China is likely to retaliate for any tariff increase, in part by allowing its currency to depreciate to offset the hit. It could also enforce export controls on components or rare earths the U.S. tech sector needs, cut back on its agricultural purchases from the U.S., or make life harder for Tesla CEO Elon Musk, a Trump supporter.</p><p>For investors, the stimulus measures may put a floor under Chinese stocks, especially as Beijing is focused on boosting the domestic stock market to revive consumer confidence. But though Beijing may succeed in engineering a higher domestic stock market by allowing banks and others to borrow to invest in the market, Kroeber says that for sustained gains, Beijing needs stronger nominal growth to bolster corporate profits and make equities more attractive. It also would help if Chinese authorities clearly commit to fight the deflation that is taking hold in the domestic economy.</p><p>Money managers have been taking advantage of the volatility as a chance to add to their holdings of beaten-up stocks, especially those linked to the consumer, as a way to benefit from any economic improvement.</p><p>But Chinese stocks are likely to stay volatile until more clarity emerges on what type of people are staffing another Trump administration. Also uncertain is how the trade war could play out and whether an initial salvo of tariffs could make way for a possible truce, given that Trump sees himself as a dealmaker.</p><p>Trump took a similar approach in the first administration. He began by levying tariffs on China and then reached a "Phase One" trade deal in which China agreed to buy a certain amount of U.S. goods, such as soybeans. Although Beijing didn't ultimately didn't fulfill that commitment, the deal cheered markets and created a respite from the trade-war concerns.</p><p>One possibility now is that Chinese authorities delay some stimulus spending until a full meeting of the National People's Congress in March. That would allow them to use fiscal spending plans to bolster consumption as a tool in negotiating with Washington. Trump and U.S. officials want China to bolster domestic consumption rather than relying on exports that send a flood of cheap goods to the U.S. to compete with domestic manufacturers stateside.</p><p>Investors may need to readjust expectations -- and practice patience.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Unveils $1.4 Trillion Package to Boost Economy. Investors Wanted More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Unveils $1.4 Trillion Package to Boost Economy. Investors Wanted More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-08 17:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Chinese authorities unveiled details of a fiscal stimulus package Friday, in a continued bid to stabilize the world's second-largest economy.</p><p>The task has become more urgent now given how the trade war could escalate if President-elect Donald Trump follows through on his proposals to hit China with higher tariffs.</p><p>China announced it will raise the ceiling on local government debt by 6 trillion yuan ($840 billion) to replace existing hidden debts, according to a press conference Friday, the Xinhua News Agency reported.</p><p>Local governments will also be able to tap another 4 trillion yuan in a new local bond quota over the next five years.</p><p>Markets were seemingly not impressed by the measures. Futures on the Hang Seng fell 2.1% after the news Friday, while the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> China Large-Cap ETF is down 4% in the U.S. premarket. The Hang Seng index had closed 1.1% lower ahead of the announcement.</p><p>Beijing had already taken coordinated steps to stabilize its struggling property market, rebuild consumer and business confidence, and revive an economy that has been gripped by deflationary pressures. But the leadership had made it clear that more was on the way</p><p>Friday's National People's Congress Standing Committee meeting had initially been scheduled for late October. The meeting was delayed, some analysts said, so that Chinese authorities could get a read on the U.S. election and adjust accordingly.</p><p>Expectations about how much spending the government would unleash have increased in recent weeks, rising from about four trillion renminbi ($561 billion) to as much as 14 trillion renminbi. Much of that spending is expected in the form of bond issuance to shore up debt-laden local governments that have struggled as revenue from land sales dried up. Also possible are capital injections into banks to nudge them to lend more: A cushion of some extra money would help banks to deal with nonperforming loans piling up from the property bust.</p><p>Chinese stocks soared when authorities initially pledged aid, but the market returned some of those gains. Details have been slow to materialize and some measures have fallen short of expectations.</p><p>But now, optimism that Beijing will do more to aid the economy in the wake of Trump's re-election are lifting shares again. The iShares MSCI China exchange-traded fund rose 5.2% to $52.33 on Thursday, though that leaves it well below its October highs.</p><p>Beijing spent four trillion renminbi after the 2008-2009 global financial crisis -- a far greater share of its economy than anything currently on the table given that gross domestic product has quadrupled in nominal terms since then. While investors have been hoping for a similar "bazooka" like package, Beijing has been much more incremental this time around, in part because of the mountain of debt it has been trying to chip away at.</p><p>Investors may be too optimistic. Gavekal analyst Arthur Kroeber is looking for five million to six million renminbi, along with likely comments from officials that they will do more if needed.</p><p>Chinese authorities may hold some of their firepower for the tariff fight analysts widely expect with the U.S. shortly after Trump is sworn in, Kroeber adds.</p><p>And with good reason: Exports accounted for 42% of China's economic growth last quarter and a 60% tariff by the U.S. on all Chinese exports could shave two percentage points from growth next year, according to TS Lombard. That is the last thing China needs, given that the measures promised so far are seen as likely to only stabilize growth, rather than revive it.</p><p>China is likely to retaliate for any tariff increase, in part by allowing its currency to depreciate to offset the hit. It could also enforce export controls on components or rare earths the U.S. tech sector needs, cut back on its agricultural purchases from the U.S., or make life harder for Tesla CEO Elon Musk, a Trump supporter.</p><p>For investors, the stimulus measures may put a floor under Chinese stocks, especially as Beijing is focused on boosting the domestic stock market to revive consumer confidence. But though Beijing may succeed in engineering a higher domestic stock market by allowing banks and others to borrow to invest in the market, Kroeber says that for sustained gains, Beijing needs stronger nominal growth to bolster corporate profits and make equities more attractive. It also would help if Chinese authorities clearly commit to fight the deflation that is taking hold in the domestic economy.</p><p>Money managers have been taking advantage of the volatility as a chance to add to their holdings of beaten-up stocks, especially those linked to the consumer, as a way to benefit from any economic improvement.</p><p>But Chinese stocks are likely to stay volatile until more clarity emerges on what type of people are staffing another Trump administration. Also uncertain is how the trade war could play out and whether an initial salvo of tariffs could make way for a possible truce, given that Trump sees himself as a dealmaker.</p><p>Trump took a similar approach in the first administration. He began by levying tariffs on China and then reached a "Phase One" trade deal in which China agreed to buy a certain amount of U.S. goods, such as soybeans. Although Beijing didn't ultimately didn't fulfill that commitment, the deal cheered markets and created a respite from the trade-war concerns.</p><p>One possibility now is that Chinese authorities delay some stimulus spending until a full meeting of the National People's Congress in March. That would allow them to use fiscal spending plans to bolster consumption as a tool in negotiating with Washington. Trump and U.S. officials want China to bolster domestic consumption rather than relying on exports that send a flood of cheap goods to the U.S. to compete with domestic manufacturers stateside.</p><p>Investors may need to readjust expectations -- and practice patience.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","CWEB":"两倍做多沪深中国互联网股票ETF-Direxion","BK4588":"碎股","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","KWEB":"中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","YINN":"三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","BK4555":"新能源车","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4211":"区域性银行","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","CHAU":"二倍做多沪深300(Direxion)","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2481125556","content_text":"Chinese authorities unveiled details of a fiscal stimulus package Friday, in a continued bid to stabilize the world's second-largest economy.The task has become more urgent now given how the trade war could escalate if President-elect Donald Trump follows through on his proposals to hit China with higher tariffs.China announced it will raise the ceiling on local government debt by 6 trillion yuan ($840 billion) to replace existing hidden debts, according to a press conference Friday, the Xinhua News Agency reported.Local governments will also be able to tap another 4 trillion yuan in a new local bond quota over the next five years.Markets were seemingly not impressed by the measures. Futures on the Hang Seng fell 2.1% after the news Friday, while the iShares China Large-Cap ETF is down 4% in the U.S. premarket. The Hang Seng index had closed 1.1% lower ahead of the announcement.Beijing had already taken coordinated steps to stabilize its struggling property market, rebuild consumer and business confidence, and revive an economy that has been gripped by deflationary pressures. But the leadership had made it clear that more was on the wayFriday's National People's Congress Standing Committee meeting had initially been scheduled for late October. The meeting was delayed, some analysts said, so that Chinese authorities could get a read on the U.S. election and adjust accordingly.Expectations about how much spending the government would unleash have increased in recent weeks, rising from about four trillion renminbi ($561 billion) to as much as 14 trillion renminbi. Much of that spending is expected in the form of bond issuance to shore up debt-laden local governments that have struggled as revenue from land sales dried up. Also possible are capital injections into banks to nudge them to lend more: A cushion of some extra money would help banks to deal with nonperforming loans piling up from the property bust.Chinese stocks soared when authorities initially pledged aid, but the market returned some of those gains. Details have been slow to materialize and some measures have fallen short of expectations.But now, optimism that Beijing will do more to aid the economy in the wake of Trump's re-election are lifting shares again. The iShares MSCI China exchange-traded fund rose 5.2% to $52.33 on Thursday, though that leaves it well below its October highs.Beijing spent four trillion renminbi after the 2008-2009 global financial crisis -- a far greater share of its economy than anything currently on the table given that gross domestic product has quadrupled in nominal terms since then. While investors have been hoping for a similar \"bazooka\" like package, Beijing has been much more incremental this time around, in part because of the mountain of debt it has been trying to chip away at.Investors may be too optimistic. Gavekal analyst Arthur Kroeber is looking for five million to six million renminbi, along with likely comments from officials that they will do more if needed.Chinese authorities may hold some of their firepower for the tariff fight analysts widely expect with the U.S. shortly after Trump is sworn in, Kroeber adds.And with good reason: Exports accounted for 42% of China's economic growth last quarter and a 60% tariff by the U.S. on all Chinese exports could shave two percentage points from growth next year, according to TS Lombard. That is the last thing China needs, given that the measures promised so far are seen as likely to only stabilize growth, rather than revive it.China is likely to retaliate for any tariff increase, in part by allowing its currency to depreciate to offset the hit. It could also enforce export controls on components or rare earths the U.S. tech sector needs, cut back on its agricultural purchases from the U.S., or make life harder for Tesla CEO Elon Musk, a Trump supporter.For investors, the stimulus measures may put a floor under Chinese stocks, especially as Beijing is focused on boosting the domestic stock market to revive consumer confidence. But though Beijing may succeed in engineering a higher domestic stock market by allowing banks and others to borrow to invest in the market, Kroeber says that for sustained gains, Beijing needs stronger nominal growth to bolster corporate profits and make equities more attractive. It also would help if Chinese authorities clearly commit to fight the deflation that is taking hold in the domestic economy.Money managers have been taking advantage of the volatility as a chance to add to their holdings of beaten-up stocks, especially those linked to the consumer, as a way to benefit from any economic improvement.But Chinese stocks are likely to stay volatile until more clarity emerges on what type of people are staffing another Trump administration. Also uncertain is how the trade war could play out and whether an initial salvo of tariffs could make way for a possible truce, given that Trump sees himself as a dealmaker.Trump took a similar approach in the first administration. He began by levying tariffs on China and then reached a \"Phase One\" trade deal in which China agreed to buy a certain amount of U.S. goods, such as soybeans. Although Beijing didn't ultimately didn't fulfill that commitment, the deal cheered markets and created a respite from the trade-war concerns.One possibility now is that Chinese authorities delay some stimulus spending until a full meeting of the National People's Congress in March. That would allow them to use fiscal spending plans to bolster consumption as a tool in negotiating with Washington. Trump and U.S. officials want China to bolster domestic consumption rather than relying on exports that send a flood of cheap goods to the U.S. to compete with domestic manufacturers stateside.Investors may need to readjust expectations -- and practice patience.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
