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05-05

$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$

2023-04-14

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@ToughCoyote:Yu Weiwen, president of the HKMA, meets leaders in the banking and financial circles in New York today (NY 12th). After staying in New York, he will go to Washington to attend the Spring Meeting of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund. He said at a luncheon co-organized by the Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office in New York and the National Committee of the U.S.-China Relations that Hong Kong's banking and financial system$HSBC HOLDINGS(00005)$ is stable and tough, and is ready to meet various challenges. Hong Kong is linked to the US dollar. Monetary policy has provided the most critical stability for Hong Kong's opening and export-oriented economy. The government has also launched different measures to drive domes

2023-04-12

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2023-02-26

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Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills

2023-02-25

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2022-11-30

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2022-11-28

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2022-11-26

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Amazon Settlement With EU Antitrust Regulators Possible By Year End

2022-11-22

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Top Calls on Wall Street: Disney, Amazon, Microsoft, Nio, Intel, Coinbase and More

2022-11-21

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The Fed Minutes May Deliver A Massive Blow To The Stock Market

2022-11-12

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SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?

2022-11-09

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Midterm Elections: What to Watch in Markets As America Votes

2022-11-05

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US STOCKS-Wall St Rallies to Close Out Soft Week After Jobs Report

2022-10-29

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Down 32%, Is Disney a Buy?

2022-10-29

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Intel Upgrades, Meta Platforms Downgrade: Top Calls on Wall Street

2022-10-27

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Qualcomm Fights Back Against Arm in Dispute Over Chip Technology

2022-10-26

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Apple: You Have Been Warned

2022-10-25

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Yellen Says Taking Steps to Enhance Treasury Market, Funds Resilience

2022-10-25

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Which Stocks Are Most Likely to Thrive in a Recession? Here's What History Shows

2022-10-23

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3 Spectacular Stocks Down 58% to 82% to Buy on the Dip

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Weiwen, president of the HKMA, meets leaders in the banking and financial circles in New York today (NY 12th). After staying in New York, he will go to Washington to attend the Spring Meeting of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund. He said at a luncheon co-organized by the Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office in New York and the National Committee of the U.S.-China Relations that Hong Kong's banking and financial system<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00005\">$HSBC HOLDINGS(00005)$&nbsp;</a>is stable and tough, and is ready to meet various challenges.&nbsp; Hong Kong is linked to the US dollar. Monetary policy has provided the most critical stability for Hong Kong's opening and export-oriented economy. The government has also launched different measures to drive domes","listText":"Yu Weiwen, president of the HKMA, meets leaders in the banking and financial circles in New York today (NY 12th). After staying in New York, he will go to Washington to attend the Spring Meeting of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund. 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He said at a luncheon co-organized by the Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office in New York and the National Committee of the U.S.-China Relations that Hong Kong's banking and financial system$HSBC HOLDINGS(00005)$ is stable and tough, and is ready to meet various challenges. Hong Kong is linked to the US dollar. Monetary policy has provided the most critical stability for Hong Kong's opening and export-oriented economy. The government has also launched different measures to drive domes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945170114","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942505328,"gmtCreate":1681249369864,"gmtModify":1681249371593,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942505328","repostId":"2326772196","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957597108,"gmtCreate":1677375098905,"gmtModify":1677375102377,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957597108","repostId":"1117520516","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117520516","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1677334099,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1117520516?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-25 22:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117520516","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Warren Buffett is still betting on America.Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks rais","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett is still betting on America.</p><p>Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.</p><p>Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.</p><p>The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.</p><p>As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.</p><p>“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.</p><p>The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.</p><p>Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.</p><p>Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.</p><p>“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.</p><h2>Read the full letter here:</h2><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.</p><p>A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.</p><p>Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.</p><p>The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.</p><p>Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?</p><h2>What We Do</h2><p>Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.</p><p>In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.</p><p>Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”</p><p>One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.</p><p>Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)</p><p>Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.</p><h2>The Secret Sauce</h2><p>In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.</p><p>The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.</p><p>American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.</p><p>These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.</p><p>Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.</p><p>The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.</p><h2>The Past Year in Brief</h2><p>Berkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e74650656620f9fa3f1e55c15a90e5\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"207\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.</p><p>A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.</p><p>Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.</p><p>The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.</p><p>Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?</p><p>When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).</p><p>Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.</p><p>And that is a promise we can make.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.</p><p>That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.</p><h2>58 Years – and a Few Figures</h2><p>In 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.</p><p>And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.</p><p>Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.</p><p>Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&amp;P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.</p><p>In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.</p><p>At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.</p><p>In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and</p><p>$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.</p><p>As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.</p><p>At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.</p><h2>Some Surprising Facts About Federal Taxes</h2><p>During the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.</p><p>Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.</p><p>The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.</p><p>And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:</p><p>- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.</p><p>- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.</p><p>- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.</p><p>When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.</p><p>I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.</p><h2>Nothing Beats Having a Great Partner</h2><p>Charlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.</p><p>Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:</p><p>- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.</p><p>- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.</p><p>- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.</p><p>- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.</p><p>- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.</p><p>- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.</p><p>- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.</p><p>- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.</p><p>- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.</p><p>- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.</p><p>- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.</p><p>- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.</p><p>- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.</p><p>- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.</p><p>- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”</p><p>And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.</p><h2>A Family Gathering in Omaha</h2><p>Charlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.</p><p>From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?</p><p>I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.</p><p>On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.</p><p>Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.</p><p>February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett </p><p>Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-25 22:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett is still betting on America.</p><p>Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.</p><p>Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.</p><p>The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.</p><p>As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.</p><p>“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.</p><p>The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.</p><p>Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.</p><p>Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.</p><p>“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.</p><h2>Read the full letter here:</h2><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.</p><p>A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.</p><p>Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.</p><p>The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.</p><p>Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?</p><h2>What We Do</h2><p>Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.</p><p>In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.</p><p>Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”</p><p>One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.</p><p>Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)</p><p>Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.</p><h2>The Secret Sauce</h2><p>In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.</p><p>The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.</p><p>American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.</p><p>These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.</p><p>Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.</p><p>The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.</p><h2>The Past Year in Brief</h2><p>Berkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e74650656620f9fa3f1e55c15a90e5\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"207\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.</p><p>A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.</p><p>Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.</p><p>The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.</p><p>Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?</p><p>When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).</p><p>Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.</p><p>And that is a promise we can make.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.</p><p>That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.</p><h2>58 Years – and a Few Figures</h2><p>In 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.</p><p>And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.</p><p>Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.</p><p>Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&amp;P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.</p><p>In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.</p><p>At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.</p><p>In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and</p><p>$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.</p><p>As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.</p><p>At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.</p><h2>Some Surprising Facts About Federal Taxes</h2><p>During the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.</p><p>Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.</p><p>The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.</p><p>And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:</p><p>- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.</p><p>- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.</p><p>- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.</p><p>When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.</p><p>I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.</p><h2>Nothing Beats Having a Great Partner</h2><p>Charlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.</p><p>Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:</p><p>- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.</p><p>- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.</p><p>- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.</p><p>- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.</p><p>- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.</p><p>- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.</p><p>- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.</p><p>- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.</p><p>- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.</p><p>- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.</p><p>- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.</p><p>- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.</p><p>- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.</p><p>- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.</p><p>- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”</p><p>And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.</p><h2>A Family Gathering in Omaha</h2><p>Charlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.</p><p>From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?</p><p>I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.</p><p>On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.</p><p>Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.</p><p>February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett </p><p>Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117520516","content_text":"Warren Buffett is still betting on America.Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.Read the full letter here:To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?What We DoCharlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.* * * * * * * * * * * *At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.The Secret SauceIn August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.The Past Year in BriefBerkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.* * * * * * * * * * * *A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.And that is a promise we can make.* * * * * * * * * * * *Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.58 Years – and a Few FiguresIn 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.Some Surprising Facts About Federal TaxesDuring the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.* * * * * * * * * * * *Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”* * * * * * * * * * * *At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.Nothing Beats Having a Great PartnerCharlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.* * * * * * * * * * * *I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.A Family Gathering in OmahaCharlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.* * * * * * * * * * * *Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the 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07:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Settlement With EU Antitrust Regulators Possible By Year End","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286262317","media":"Reuters","summary":"U.S. online retail giant Amazon may be able to end two EU antitrust investigations by the end of the","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. online retail giant Amazon may be able to end two EU antitrust investigations by the end of the year after tweaking concessions to address concerns over its use of sellers&#39; data, two people familiar with the matter said on Friday.</p><p>Settling the EU investigations means the company will avoid a fine of as much as 10% of its global turnover.</p><p>Faced with charges of using its size, power and data to push its own products to gain an unfair advantage over rival merchants that also use its platform, Amazon in July offered to refrain from using sellers&#39; data for its own competing retail business and its private label products.</p><p>The European Commission then sought feedback from rivals and customers and subsequently said the company needed to improve its concession.</p><p>Amazon has increased the range of data which it cannot use, one of the people said.</p><p>&#34;It is possible an EU decision will come by the end of the year,&#34; the person said.</p><p>The EU competition enforcer declined to comment.</p><p>Asked for comment, Amazon reiterated that it had engaged constructively with the Commission to address their concerns.</p><p>The company&#39;s other concession is equal treatment of sellers when ranking their offers for the &#34;buy box&#34; on its website that generates the bulk of its sales.</p><p>It has offered to set up a second buy box for a rival product if it differs substantially in price and delivery from the product in the first box.</p><p>Bloomberg was the first to report the possibility of an EU decision by the end of the year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Settlement With EU Antitrust Regulators Possible By Year End</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Settlement With EU Antitrust Regulators Possible By Year End\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-26 07:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-amazon-settlement-eu-antitrust-194217350.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. online retail giant Amazon may be able to end two EU antitrust investigations by the end of the year after tweaking concessions to address concerns over its use of sellers' data, two people ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-amazon-settlement-eu-antitrust-194217350.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-amazon-settlement-eu-antitrust-194217350.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286262317","content_text":"U.S. online retail giant Amazon may be able to end two EU antitrust investigations by the end of the year after tweaking concessions to address concerns over its use of sellers' data, two people familiar with the matter said on Friday.Settling the EU investigations means the company will avoid a fine of as much as 10% of its global turnover.Faced with charges of using its size, power and data to push its own products to gain an unfair advantage over rival merchants that also use its platform, Amazon in July offered to refrain from using sellers' data for its own competing retail business and its private label products.The European Commission then sought feedback from rivals and customers and subsequently said the company needed to improve its concession.Amazon has increased the range of data which it cannot use, one of the people said.\"It is possible an EU decision will come by the end of the year,\" the person said.The EU competition enforcer declined to comment.Asked for comment, Amazon reiterated that it had engaged constructively with the Commission to address their concerns.The company's other concession is equal treatment of sellers when ranking their offers for the \"buy box\" on its website that generates the bulk of its sales.It has offered to set up a second buy box for a rival product if it differs substantially in price and delivery from the product in the first box.Bloomberg was the first to report the possibility of an EU decision by the end of the year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961768634,"gmtCreate":1669066168329,"gmtModify":1676538145181,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961768634","repostId":"1103039715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103039715","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1669043830,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103039715?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-21 23:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Top Calls on Wall Street: Disney, Amazon, Microsoft, Nio, Intel, Coinbase and More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103039715","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Here are Monday’s biggest calls on Wall Street:MoffettNathanson upgrades Disney to outperform from m","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Here are Monday’s biggest calls on Wall Street:</p><h2>MoffettNathanson upgrades Disney to outperform from market perform</h2><p>Moffett upgraded Disney shares after the entertainment giant announced it was bringing back former CEO Bob Iger.</p><blockquote>“We applaudDisney’s Board for the courage to make this change.”</blockquote><h2>Loop downgrades Workday to hold from buy</h2><p>Loop said it’s concerned about slowing growth for the the human capital software company.</p><blockquote>“Our most recent checks indicate that its core HCM (human capital management) business is slowing, which we believe could lead the company to issue a conservative 24-month subscription revenue growth guidance for next year (FY24) that could be well below our/Street estimate of 20%.”</blockquote><h2>JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as top idea</h2><p>JPMorgan said the e-commerce giant is well positioned heading into the holiday season.</p><blockquote>“AMZN remains our best idea, but of course it is also subject to macro headwinds, as evident in the company’s 4Q revenue outlook.”</blockquote><h2>JPMorgan names Target and Costco top holiday picks</h2><p>JPMorgan said Target and Costco are well positioned heading into the holiday shopping season.</p><blockquote>“Third, from a category perspective, we see festive apparel (not athletic) and beauty (TGT, ULTA) as the biggest winners along with food (BJ, COST, TGT, WMT) driven by inflation and the ongoing shift back to experiences (entertaining and travel) vs. goods wallet normalization, as we’ve long discussed.”</blockquote><h2>Raymond James upgrades Comerica to outperform from market perform</h2><p>Raymond James said the bank is well positioned for a recession.</p><blockquote>“We are upgrading CMA shares to Outperform and establishing an $85 price target following the recent selloff in the stock post earnings juxtaposed with its relatively solid fundamental positioning heading into a potential recession.”</blockquote><h2>Wells Fargo upgrades Silvergate to equal weight from underweight</h2><p>Wells said shares are at a “fundamental floor.”</p><blockquote>“Our downside scenario played out faster than expected, and crypto winter has morphed into an existential question of survival. This is difficult for SI, as all current and future growth engines are essentially on hold.”</blockquote><h2>Goldman Sachs upgrades On Holding to buy from neutral</h2><p>Goldman said the footwear and sports apparel company has an “attractive business model.”</p><blockquote>“We expect On’s strong product proposition centred on innovation to drive continued rapid growth and best-in-class gross margins.”</blockquote><h2>Raymond James downgrades Cigna and UnitedHealth to outperform from strong buy</h2><p>Raymond James downgraded several insurers on Monday and said it still likes the stocks but that it sees some near-term headwinds.</p><blockquote>“While we are moving our ratings on UNH and CI down a notch, we remain generally constructive on these names. In the case of CI, we note the relatively low exposure to MA (medicare advantage) and continued strong performance of the PBM with 2023 upside from biosimilars. In the case of UNH, we note the offsets from its diverse revenue streams, the tail effect from $20B of YTD M&amp;A, and some offset from its fee for service exposure in Optum Health.”</blockquote><h2>Argus downgrades Carvana to sell from hold</h2><p>Argus said in its downgrade of the used car company that it thinks Carvana will struggle to be profitable.</p><blockquote>“Carvana appears to have lost some of its competitive advantage as many traditional dealerships have expanded online sales.”</blockquote><h2>UBS initiates American Express as neutral</h2><p>UBS said American Express has “limited upside potential.”</p><blockquote>“But, we think consumer-sensitive stocks like AXP may have limited absolute upside potential as investors anticipate a recession, and deteriorating credit drives our ’23E EPS 12% below consensus, and our ’24E is 11% below.”</blockquote><h2>Morgan Stanley initiates Las Vegas Sands as overweight and names DraftKings as a top pick</h2><p>Morgan Stanley said in its initiation of Las Vegas Sands that it sees an attractive risk/reward. After a change in analyst coverage, the firm also called DraftKings a top “secular growth story.”</p><blockquote>“DraftKings (DKNG.O, Top Pick - 34% Upside): Best Secular Growth Story Poised for Profit Inflection. Las Vegas Sands (LVS.N - 11% Upside): Leader in Macau Mass + best balance sheet = attractive risk-reward.”</blockquote><h2>Goldman Sachs initiates Mobileye as buy</h2><p>Goldman says the autonomous vehicle company is a market leader in the race to autonomous vehicle technology.</p><blockquote>“We believe that Mobileye is the leading auto tech enabler for ADAS (advanced driver assistance systems) and AV (autonomous vehicle) applications, and we view the company as well positioned for growth given its vision/AI capabilities that are applicable for both ADAS and AVs, its ability to provide full solutions, and its strong market share.”</blockquote><h2>Morgan Stanley downgrades MongoDB to equal weight from overweight</h2><p>Morgan Stanley said in its downgrade of the database platform company that it’s concerned about slowing growth for MongoDB.</p><blockquote>“While still a favorite LT growth story, a challenging spend environment will likely weigh on growth for the next few quarters resulting in FY24 cons expectations that may be too high.”</blockquote><h2>Cowen downgrades Intel to market perform from outperform</h2><p>Cowen reinstated coverage of Intel and downgraded the stock, saying it sees “tough fundamentals.”</p><blockquote>“Reinstating At Market Perform As Tough Fundamentals In 2023/24 To Be Offset By A Protected Dividend, Opportunities In 2025.”</blockquote><h2>Barclays downgrades RH and Williams-Sonoma to equal weight from overweight</h2><p>Barclays said in its downgrade of the stocks’ that it’s concerned about a “weakening housing cycle.”</p><blockquote>“We are downgrading both WSM and RH on a weakening housing cycle that we believe will have a trickle-down impact on home furnishing spending over the next 12 to 24 months and high-end wallet pressure.</blockquote><h2>UBS reiterates Microsoft as buy</h2><p>UBS said it likes that Microsoft is relying on price increases to drive greater revenue.</p><p>“Combined with the big O365/M365 (and other) price increases earlier this year, Microsoft is now clearly leaning far more heavily on price as a revs driver than it has in many years.”</p><h2>JPMorgan reiterates Charles Schwab as overweight</h2><p>JPMorgan said Charles Schwab is well positioned as one of the biggest “distributors of third-party mutual funds.”</p><blockquote>“We see Schwab continuing to better monetize its platform, leveraging its position as one of the largest distributors of third-party mutual funds.”</blockquote><h2>Deutsche Bank reiterates Nio</h2><p>Deutsche said it thinks the worst operational issues for Nio may be over.</p><blockquote>“NIO continues to frustrate us/investors with another round of operational issues which are holding back volume in 4Q but we are optimistic that the worse may finally be over, further supported by the government’s gradual pivot away from COVID zero.”</blockquote><h2>Morgan Stanley upgrades Restaurant Brands to equal weight from underweight</h2><p>Morgan Stanley said it likes that the owner of brands such as Burger King appointed the former Domino’s CEO as executive chairman.</p><blockquote>“We are upgrading the shares of QSR to EW, PT to $71; the appointment of Patrick Doyle, former CEO of DPZ, as executive chairman is the catalyst.”</blockquote><h2>Cowen reiterates Coinbase as outperform</h2><p>Cowen said trading volumes for the crypto company remain “above pre-FTX turmoil levels.”</p><blockquote>“An updated analysis suggests COIN avg. daily spot trading volumes remain above pre-FTX turmoil levels, albeit at a smaller margin than our prior analysis from 11/14.”</blockquote><h2>Goldman Sachs reiterates Salesforce as buy</h2><p>Goldman Sachs said it’s bullish heading into Salesforce earnings next week.</p><blockquote>“Adjusting estimates to reﬂect trough top-line growth in FY24; remain constructive on path to proﬁtability.”</blockquote></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top Calls on Wall Street: Disney, Amazon, Microsoft, Nio, Intel, Coinbase and More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop Calls on Wall Street: Disney, Amazon, Microsoft, Nio, Intel, Coinbase and More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-21 23:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Here are Monday’s biggest calls on Wall Street:</p><h2>MoffettNathanson upgrades Disney to outperform from market perform</h2><p>Moffett upgraded Disney shares after the entertainment giant announced it was bringing back former CEO Bob Iger.</p><blockquote>“We applaudDisney’s Board for the courage to make this change.”</blockquote><h2>Loop downgrades Workday to hold from buy</h2><p>Loop said it’s concerned about slowing growth for the the human capital software company.</p><blockquote>“Our most recent checks indicate that its core HCM (human capital management) business is slowing, which we believe could lead the company to issue a conservative 24-month subscription revenue growth guidance for next year (FY24) that could be well below our/Street estimate of 20%.”</blockquote><h2>JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as top idea</h2><p>JPMorgan said the e-commerce giant is well positioned heading into the holiday season.</p><blockquote>“AMZN remains our best idea, but of course it is also subject to macro headwinds, as evident in the company’s 4Q revenue outlook.”</blockquote><h2>JPMorgan names Target and Costco top holiday picks</h2><p>JPMorgan said Target and Costco are well positioned heading into the holiday shopping season.</p><blockquote>“Third, from a category perspective, we see festive apparel (not athletic) and beauty (TGT, ULTA) as the biggest winners along with food (BJ, COST, TGT, WMT) driven by inflation and the ongoing shift back to experiences (entertaining and travel) vs. goods wallet normalization, as we’ve long discussed.”</blockquote><h2>Raymond James upgrades Comerica to outperform from market perform</h2><p>Raymond James said the bank is well positioned for a recession.</p><blockquote>“We are upgrading CMA shares to Outperform and establishing an $85 price target following the recent selloff in the stock post earnings juxtaposed with its relatively solid fundamental positioning heading into a potential recession.”</blockquote><h2>Wells Fargo upgrades Silvergate to equal weight from underweight</h2><p>Wells said shares are at a “fundamental floor.”</p><blockquote>“Our downside scenario played out faster than expected, and crypto winter has morphed into an existential question of survival. This is difficult for SI, as all current and future growth engines are essentially on hold.”</blockquote><h2>Goldman Sachs upgrades On Holding to buy from neutral</h2><p>Goldman said the footwear and sports apparel company has an “attractive business model.”</p><blockquote>“We expect On’s strong product proposition centred on innovation to drive continued rapid growth and best-in-class gross margins.”</blockquote><h2>Raymond James downgrades Cigna and UnitedHealth to outperform from strong buy</h2><p>Raymond James downgraded several insurers on Monday and said it still likes the stocks but that it sees some near-term headwinds.</p><blockquote>“While we are moving our ratings on UNH and CI down a notch, we remain generally constructive on these names. In the case of CI, we note the relatively low exposure to MA (medicare advantage) and continued strong performance of the PBM with 2023 upside from biosimilars. In the case of UNH, we note the offsets from its diverse revenue streams, the tail effect from $20B of YTD M&amp;A, and some offset from its fee for service exposure in Optum Health.”</blockquote><h2>Argus downgrades Carvana to sell from hold</h2><p>Argus said in its downgrade of the used car company that it thinks Carvana will struggle to be profitable.</p><blockquote>“Carvana appears to have lost some of its competitive advantage as many traditional dealerships have expanded online sales.”</blockquote><h2>UBS initiates American Express as neutral</h2><p>UBS said American Express has “limited upside potential.”</p><blockquote>“But, we think consumer-sensitive stocks like AXP may have limited absolute upside potential as investors anticipate a recession, and deteriorating credit drives our ’23E EPS 12% below consensus, and our ’24E is 11% below.”</blockquote><h2>Morgan Stanley initiates Las Vegas Sands as overweight and names DraftKings as a top pick</h2><p>Morgan Stanley said in its initiation of Las Vegas Sands that it sees an attractive risk/reward. After a change in analyst coverage, the firm also called DraftKings a top “secular growth story.”</p><blockquote>“DraftKings (DKNG.O, Top Pick - 34% Upside): Best Secular Growth Story Poised for Profit Inflection. Las Vegas Sands (LVS.N - 11% Upside): Leader in Macau Mass + best balance sheet = attractive risk-reward.”</blockquote><h2>Goldman Sachs initiates Mobileye as buy</h2><p>Goldman says the autonomous vehicle company is a market leader in the race to autonomous vehicle technology.</p><blockquote>“We believe that Mobileye is the leading auto tech enabler for ADAS (advanced driver assistance systems) and AV (autonomous vehicle) applications, and we view the company as well positioned for growth given its vision/AI capabilities that are applicable for both ADAS and AVs, its ability to provide full solutions, and its strong market share.”</blockquote><h2>Morgan Stanley downgrades MongoDB to equal weight from overweight</h2><p>Morgan Stanley said in its downgrade of the database platform company that it’s concerned about slowing growth for MongoDB.</p><blockquote>“While still a favorite LT growth story, a challenging spend environment will likely weigh on growth for the next few quarters resulting in FY24 cons expectations that may be too high.”</blockquote><h2>Cowen downgrades Intel to market perform from outperform</h2><p>Cowen reinstated coverage of Intel and downgraded the stock, saying it sees “tough fundamentals.”</p><blockquote>“Reinstating At Market Perform As Tough Fundamentals In 2023/24 To Be Offset By A Protected Dividend, Opportunities In 2025.”</blockquote><h2>Barclays downgrades RH and Williams-Sonoma to equal weight from overweight</h2><p>Barclays said in its downgrade of the stocks’ that it’s concerned about a “weakening housing cycle.”</p><blockquote>“We are downgrading both WSM and RH on a weakening housing cycle that we believe will have a trickle-down impact on home furnishing spending over the next 12 to 24 months and high-end wallet pressure.</blockquote><h2>UBS reiterates Microsoft as buy</h2><p>UBS said it likes that Microsoft is relying on price increases to drive greater revenue.</p><p>“Combined with the big O365/M365 (and other) price increases earlier this year, Microsoft is now clearly leaning far more heavily on price as a revs driver than it has in many years.”</p><h2>JPMorgan reiterates Charles Schwab as overweight</h2><p>JPMorgan said Charles Schwab is well positioned as one of the biggest “distributors of third-party mutual funds.”</p><blockquote>“We see Schwab continuing to better monetize its platform, leveraging its position as one of the largest distributors of third-party mutual funds.”</blockquote><h2>Deutsche Bank reiterates Nio</h2><p>Deutsche said it thinks the worst operational issues for Nio may be over.</p><blockquote>“NIO continues to frustrate us/investors with another round of operational issues which are holding back volume in 4Q but we are optimistic that the worse may finally be over, further supported by the government’s gradual pivot away from COVID zero.”</blockquote><h2>Morgan Stanley upgrades Restaurant Brands to equal weight from underweight</h2><p>Morgan Stanley said it likes that the owner of brands such as Burger King appointed the former Domino’s CEO as executive chairman.</p><blockquote>“We are upgrading the shares of QSR to EW, PT to $71; the appointment of Patrick Doyle, former CEO of DPZ, as executive chairman is the catalyst.”</blockquote><h2>Cowen reiterates Coinbase as outperform</h2><p>Cowen said trading volumes for the crypto company remain “above pre-FTX turmoil levels.”</p><blockquote>“An updated analysis suggests COIN avg. daily spot trading volumes remain above pre-FTX turmoil levels, albeit at a smaller margin than our prior analysis from 11/14.”</blockquote><h2>Goldman Sachs reiterates Salesforce as buy</h2><p>Goldman Sachs said it’s bullish heading into Salesforce earnings next week.</p><blockquote>“Adjusting estimates to reﬂect trough top-line growth in FY24; remain constructive on path to proﬁtability.”</blockquote></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","CVNA":"Carvana Co.","ONON":"On Holding AG","LVS":"金沙集团","COST":"好市多","MSFT":"微软","NIO":"蔚来","WSM":"Williams-Sonoma Inc","SCHW":"嘉信理财","MDB":"MongoDB Inc.","UNH":"联合健康","TGT":"塔吉特","RSTRF":"Restaurant Brands International  Limited Partnership","MBLY":"Mobileye Global Inc.","AXP":"美国运通","DIS":"迪士尼","RH":"Restoration Hardware Holdings","AMZN":"亚马逊","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","CRM":"赛富时","WDAY":"Workday","CMA":"联信银行","CI":"信诺保险","INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103039715","content_text":"Here are Monday’s biggest calls on Wall Street:MoffettNathanson upgrades Disney to outperform from market performMoffett upgraded Disney shares after the entertainment giant announced it was bringing back former CEO Bob Iger.“We applaudDisney’s Board for the courage to make this change.”Loop downgrades Workday to hold from buyLoop said it’s concerned about slowing growth for the the human capital software company.“Our most recent checks indicate that its core HCM (human capital management) business is slowing, which we believe could lead the company to issue a conservative 24-month subscription revenue growth guidance for next year (FY24) that could be well below our/Street estimate of 20%.”JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as top ideaJPMorgan said the e-commerce giant is well positioned heading into the holiday season.“AMZN remains our best idea, but of course it is also subject to macro headwinds, as evident in the company’s 4Q revenue outlook.”JPMorgan names Target and Costco top holiday picksJPMorgan said Target and Costco are well positioned heading into the holiday shopping season.“Third, from a category perspective, we see festive apparel (not athletic) and beauty (TGT, ULTA) as the biggest winners along with food (BJ, COST, TGT, WMT) driven by inflation and the ongoing shift back to experiences (entertaining and travel) vs. goods wallet normalization, as we’ve long discussed.”Raymond James upgrades Comerica to outperform from market performRaymond James said the bank is well positioned for a recession.“We are upgrading CMA shares to Outperform and establishing an $85 price target following the recent selloff in the stock post earnings juxtaposed with its relatively solid fundamental positioning heading into a potential recession.”Wells Fargo upgrades Silvergate to equal weight from underweightWells said shares are at a “fundamental floor.”“Our downside scenario played out faster than expected, and crypto winter has morphed into an existential question of survival. This is difficult for SI, as all current and future growth engines are essentially on hold.”Goldman Sachs upgrades On Holding to buy from neutralGoldman said the footwear and sports apparel company has an “attractive business model.”“We expect On’s strong product proposition centred on innovation to drive continued rapid growth and best-in-class gross margins.”Raymond James downgrades Cigna and UnitedHealth to outperform from strong buyRaymond James downgraded several insurers on Monday and said it still likes the stocks but that it sees some near-term headwinds.“While we are moving our ratings on UNH and CI down a notch, we remain generally constructive on these names. In the case of CI, we note the relatively low exposure to MA (medicare advantage) and continued strong performance of the PBM with 2023 upside from biosimilars. In the case of UNH, we note the offsets from its diverse revenue streams, the tail effect from $20B of YTD M&A, and some offset from its fee for service exposure in Optum Health.”Argus downgrades Carvana to sell from holdArgus said in its downgrade of the used car company that it thinks Carvana will struggle to be profitable.“Carvana appears to have lost some of its competitive advantage as many traditional dealerships have expanded online sales.”UBS initiates American Express as neutralUBS said American Express has “limited upside potential.”“But, we think consumer-sensitive stocks like AXP may have limited absolute upside potential as investors anticipate a recession, and deteriorating credit drives our ’23E EPS 12% below consensus, and our ’24E is 11% below.”Morgan Stanley initiates Las Vegas Sands as overweight and names DraftKings as a top pickMorgan Stanley said in its initiation of Las Vegas Sands that it sees an attractive risk/reward. After a change in analyst coverage, the firm also called DraftKings a top “secular growth story.”“DraftKings (DKNG.O, Top Pick - 34% Upside): Best Secular Growth Story Poised for Profit Inflection. Las Vegas Sands (LVS.N - 11% Upside): Leader in Macau Mass + best balance sheet = attractive risk-reward.”Goldman Sachs initiates Mobileye as buyGoldman says the autonomous vehicle company is a market leader in the race to autonomous vehicle technology.“We believe that Mobileye is the leading auto tech enabler for ADAS (advanced driver assistance systems) and AV (autonomous vehicle) applications, and we view the company as well positioned for growth given its vision/AI capabilities that are applicable for both ADAS and AVs, its ability to provide full solutions, and its strong market share.”Morgan Stanley downgrades MongoDB to equal weight from overweightMorgan Stanley said in its downgrade of the database platform company that it’s concerned about slowing growth for MongoDB.“While still a favorite LT growth story, a challenging spend environment will likely weigh on growth for the next few quarters resulting in FY24 cons expectations that may be too high.”Cowen downgrades Intel to market perform from outperformCowen reinstated coverage of Intel and downgraded the stock, saying it sees “tough fundamentals.”“Reinstating At Market Perform As Tough Fundamentals In 2023/24 To Be Offset By A Protected Dividend, Opportunities In 2025.”Barclays downgrades RH and Williams-Sonoma to equal weight from overweightBarclays said in its downgrade of the stocks’ that it’s concerned about a “weakening housing cycle.”“We are downgrading both WSM and RH on a weakening housing cycle that we believe will have a trickle-down impact on home furnishing spending over the next 12 to 24 months and high-end wallet pressure.UBS reiterates Microsoft as buyUBS said it likes that Microsoft is relying on price increases to drive greater revenue.“Combined with the big O365/M365 (and other) price increases earlier this year, Microsoft is now clearly leaning far more heavily on price as a revs driver than it has in many years.”JPMorgan reiterates Charles Schwab as overweightJPMorgan said Charles Schwab is well positioned as one of the biggest “distributors of third-party mutual funds.”“We see Schwab continuing to better monetize its platform, leveraging its position as one of the largest distributors of third-party mutual funds.”Deutsche Bank reiterates NioDeutsche said it thinks the worst operational issues for Nio may be over.“NIO continues to frustrate us/investors with another round of operational issues which are holding back volume in 4Q but we are optimistic that the worse may finally be over, further supported by the government’s gradual pivot away from COVID zero.”Morgan Stanley upgrades Restaurant Brands to equal weight from underweightMorgan Stanley said it likes that the owner of brands such as Burger King appointed the former Domino’s CEO as executive chairman.“We are upgrading the shares of QSR to EW, PT to $71; the appointment of Patrick Doyle, former CEO of DPZ, as executive chairman is the catalyst.”Cowen reiterates Coinbase as outperformCowen said trading volumes for the crypto company remain “above pre-FTX turmoil levels.”“An updated analysis suggests COIN avg. daily spot trading volumes remain above pre-FTX turmoil levels, albeit at a smaller margin than our prior analysis from 11/14.”Goldman Sachs reiterates Salesforce as buyGoldman Sachs said it’s bullish heading into Salesforce earnings next week.“Adjusting estimates to reﬂect trough top-line growth in FY24; remain constructive on path to proﬁtability.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961545930,"gmtCreate":1669003065620,"gmtModify":1676538137966,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961545930","repostId":"1117170787","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117170787","pubTimestamp":1669002303,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1117170787?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-21 11:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Minutes May Deliver A Massive Blow To The Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117170787","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe November Fed Minutes will be released Wednesday afternoon.The bond and currency markets a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The November Fed Minutes will be released Wednesday afternoon.</li><li>The bond and currency markets are already preparing for very hawkish minutes.</li><li>Fed board members appear to think rates may head towards 5%.</li></ul><p>It will be a holiday-shortened trading week, but it will not be short on news events. The massive news event will come on Wednesday at 2 PM with the release of the November Fed minutes. These minutes will likely reverse the equity market&#39;s celebration following a lower-than-expected October CPI report, as the Fed has a different view and is already pushing back hard.</p><p>Since the release of that CPI report on November 10, Fed-speak has been crystal clear - slower rate hikes do not mean a lower terminal rate, and one better-than-expected CPI report isn&#39;t going to change the path of monetary policy. Ultimately, these speakers seem to think rates are going even higher.</p><p>St. Louis Fed Governor James Bullard suggested dovish assumptions about monetary policy justified additional rate hikes.</p><p>The November FOMC statement indicated the likelihood of a slower pace of rate hikes coming, while the FOMC press conference indicated that the terminal rate was likely to be higher than previously expected in September. Since the FOMC meeting, a strong case has been laid out by many FOMC members for the overnight rate to head over 5% and potentially to go as high as 5.25% in 2023.</p><p>If this message of higher rates is correctly delivered in the FOMC minutes, then it seems more likely than not that the equity market rally since the October CPI report in mid-November should not only pause but reverse.</p><p><b>VIX Positioning</b></p><p>Additionally, the VIX should rise sharply heading into the FOMC meeting on December 14. Not on worries over a 50 or 75 bps rate hike but due to concerns over the Fed&#39;s Summary of Economic Projections and the committee&#39;s dot plot for terminal rate for the end of 2023.</p><p>In fact, throughout 2022, there has been a pattern of the VIX rising or falling into the FOMC meeting following the market&#39;s perception of the Fed minutes. Currently, the VIX is trading towards the lower end of its trading range, around 23. The last time the VIX was this low heading into the release of the FOMC minutes came back on August 17, which also marked the end of the August rally and was followed by a sharp rise in the VIX and a very sharp decline in the S&amp;P 500. The same thing also happened at the beginning of April, which also marked the end of the March rally, and early January, which marked the market peak.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2eb742a0f644a317b0c584c79d197735\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TradingView</p><p><b>Rates And The Dollar</b></p><p>The bond market is already anticipating the more hawkish commentary out of the Fed minutes to be released this week. The Fed funds rates again call for the peak rate to be above 5% and back to levels seen immediately following the November FOMC meeting. Additionally, that peak rate is now seen coming in July instead of May, incorporating smaller rate hikes.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/085a10f01649229138206ef78793ac66\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The view of higher rates has also helped lift the 2-year yield, moving it back above 4.5%, and stopped the bleeding of the dollar index. These are critical signs that the bond and currency markets are listening to what the FOMC members are saying and taking the calls for higher rates very seriously. The Fed minutes should enforce the view of the Fed officials and should only help to push the dollar and rates even higher.</p><p>Higher rates and a strong dollar should help financial conditions tighten, pushing stock prices lower and increasing implied volatility levels.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d88b54ba9843396edf02be5023d2da16\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TradingView</p><p><b>Fall Back Plan</b></p><p>Just in case the market doesn&#39;t respond appropriately to these minutes. The Fed is taking no chances heading into the FOMC meeting this time and will ensure that there will be no mix-ups from a potential article drop heading into the December meeting. There will be no repeat of the October version of the dovish pivot.</p><p>This time Jay Powell will take things into his own hands and talk for an hour at the Brookings Institute on November 30, starting at 1:30 PM ET. The talk is even more critical because it will come one day before the official FOMC blackout period starts heading into the December 14 FOMC meeting. It will be Powell&#39;s chance to make sure the market does not veer off course over those two weeks.</p><p>The Fed has been telling the market all year that it intended to raise rates aggressively and wanted financial conditions to tighten. Yes, there have been countertrend rallies along the way, but if one thing is clear, the Fed has been committed to higher rates. If the minutes do not deliver that message this week, Powell will be sure to do on November 30 what he did on August 26 at Jackson Hole, putting the hammer down on the equity market again.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Minutes May Deliver A Massive Blow To The Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Minutes May Deliver A Massive Blow To The Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-21 11:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559258-fed-minutes-may-deliver-massive-blow-to-stock-market><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe November Fed Minutes will be released Wednesday afternoon.The bond and currency markets are already preparing for very hawkish minutes.Fed board members appear to think rates may head ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559258-fed-minutes-may-deliver-massive-blow-to-stock-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559258-fed-minutes-may-deliver-massive-blow-to-stock-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117170787","content_text":"SummaryThe November Fed Minutes will be released Wednesday afternoon.The bond and currency markets are already preparing for very hawkish minutes.Fed board members appear to think rates may head towards 5%.It will be a holiday-shortened trading week, but it will not be short on news events. The massive news event will come on Wednesday at 2 PM with the release of the November Fed minutes. These minutes will likely reverse the equity market's celebration following a lower-than-expected October CPI report, as the Fed has a different view and is already pushing back hard.Since the release of that CPI report on November 10, Fed-speak has been crystal clear - slower rate hikes do not mean a lower terminal rate, and one better-than-expected CPI report isn't going to change the path of monetary policy. Ultimately, these speakers seem to think rates are going even higher.St. Louis Fed Governor James Bullard suggested dovish assumptions about monetary policy justified additional rate hikes.The November FOMC statement indicated the likelihood of a slower pace of rate hikes coming, while the FOMC press conference indicated that the terminal rate was likely to be higher than previously expected in September. Since the FOMC meeting, a strong case has been laid out by many FOMC members for the overnight rate to head over 5% and potentially to go as high as 5.25% in 2023.If this message of higher rates is correctly delivered in the FOMC minutes, then it seems more likely than not that the equity market rally since the October CPI report in mid-November should not only pause but reverse.VIX PositioningAdditionally, the VIX should rise sharply heading into the FOMC meeting on December 14. Not on worries over a 50 or 75 bps rate hike but due to concerns over the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections and the committee's dot plot for terminal rate for the end of 2023.In fact, throughout 2022, there has been a pattern of the VIX rising or falling into the FOMC meeting following the market's perception of the Fed minutes. Currently, the VIX is trading towards the lower end of its trading range, around 23. The last time the VIX was this low heading into the release of the FOMC minutes came back on August 17, which also marked the end of the August rally and was followed by a sharp rise in the VIX and a very sharp decline in the S&P 500. The same thing also happened at the beginning of April, which also marked the end of the March rally, and early January, which marked the market peak.TradingViewRates And The DollarThe bond market is already anticipating the more hawkish commentary out of the Fed minutes to be released this week. The Fed funds rates again call for the peak rate to be above 5% and back to levels seen immediately following the November FOMC meeting. Additionally, that peak rate is now seen coming in July instead of May, incorporating smaller rate hikes.BloombergThe view of higher rates has also helped lift the 2-year yield, moving it back above 4.5%, and stopped the bleeding of the dollar index. These are critical signs that the bond and currency markets are listening to what the FOMC members are saying and taking the calls for higher rates very seriously. The Fed minutes should enforce the view of the Fed officials and should only help to push the dollar and rates even higher.Higher rates and a strong dollar should help financial conditions tighten, pushing stock prices lower and increasing implied volatility levels.TradingViewFall Back PlanJust in case the market doesn't respond appropriately to these minutes. The Fed is taking no chances heading into the FOMC meeting this time and will ensure that there will be no mix-ups from a potential article drop heading into the December meeting. There will be no repeat of the October version of the dovish pivot.This time Jay Powell will take things into his own hands and talk for an hour at the Brookings Institute on November 30, starting at 1:30 PM ET. The talk is even more critical because it will come one day before the official FOMC blackout period starts heading into the December 14 FOMC meeting. It will be Powell's chance to make sure the market does not veer off course over those two weeks.The Fed has been telling the market all year that it intended to raise rates aggressively and wanted financial conditions to tighten. Yes, there have been countertrend rallies along the way, but if one thing is clear, the Fed has been committed to higher rates. If the minutes do not deliver that message this week, Powell will be sure to do on November 30 what he did on August 26 at Jackson Hole, putting the hammer down on the equity market again.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960708580,"gmtCreate":1668240655940,"gmtModify":1676538033480,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960708580","repostId":"1190456060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190456060","pubTimestamp":1668302284,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190456060?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-13 09:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190456060","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF  that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday  - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean?","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Large 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.</li><li>Major bottoms require a policy change.</li><li>The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d234d2c3a6fdd66410e8c4fdc86a25\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>gonin/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><h2>The top 20: daily returns for S&amp;P500</h2><p>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&amp;P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&amp;P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let&#39;s first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&amp;P500:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a00554a6ad210b0ab26216de0667def\" tg-width=\"927\" tg-height=\"1314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>As you can see from the list above,</p><ul><li>12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.</li><li>8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.</li><li>2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.</li></ul><p>Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&amp;P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.</p><h2>The major bottom thesis</h2><p>The major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.</p><p>The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.</p><p>As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed&#39;s monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed&#39;s tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.</p><p>The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It&#39;s true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.</p><p>However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether &#34;something will break&#34; during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.</p><h2>The recessionary selloff</h2><p>The S&amp;P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.</p><p>Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.</p><p>Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ef81e28bf62d769ca5f75f29feb339\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>FRED</span></p><p>Based on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.</p><h2>Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?</h2><p>The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.</p><p>The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.</p><p>But don&#39;t count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.</p><p>But don&#39;t expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it&#39;s more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it&#39;s more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.</p><h2>It&#39;s a bear market rally</h2><p>We are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of &#34;things breaking&#34; like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.</p><p>Bear market rallies happen during the &#34;in-between periods&#34;, so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don&#39;t think anybody expects this over the near term. Don&#39;t fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.</p><h2>SPY sector analysis</h2><p>AllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d11bae7fc6e9bba3dee9e588bd902bb1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SelectSectorSPDR</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-13 09:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190456060","content_text":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let's first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&P500:As you can see from the list above,12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.The major bottom thesisThe major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed's monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed's tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It's true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether \"something will break\" during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.The recessionary selloffThe S&P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:FREDBased on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.But don't count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.But don't expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it's more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it's more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.It's a bear market rallyWe are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of \"things breaking\" like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.Bear market rallies happen during the \"in-between periods\", so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don't think anybody expects this over the near term. Don't fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.SPY sector analysisAllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.SelectSectorSPDR","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987241752,"gmtCreate":1667943502676,"gmtModify":1676537986255,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987241752","repostId":"1147745884","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147745884","pubTimestamp":1667921777,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147745884?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-08 23:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Midterm Elections: What to Watch in Markets As America Votes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147745884","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"It's midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong id","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It&#39;s midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong ideas about how it will play out, increasing uncertainty around polling (and a contentious electorate) suggest anything might happen.</p><p>Midterm elections typically go against the party of the president - and if that holds, and Republicans take over even just the House (let alone the currently split Senate), it effectively would mean a sidelining of the vast majority of President Biden&#39;s agenda for the remaining two years in his term.</p><p>That&#39;s not always bad for securities markets (NYSEARCA:SPY), where &#34;gridlock&#34; has often been received by investors as &#34;status quo&#34; - or, more specifically, the lack of any broad or shocking changes on tap that tend to spook investors and spur market declines.</p><p>&#34;History suggests the midterms are a big influence on markets as they always seem to rally once midterms (or presidential elections) are out of the way,&#34; Deutsche Bank&#39;s Jim Reid said. &#34;Our economists&#39; base case is that Republicans will take the House but Democrats will maintain their slim majority in the Senate,&#34; he added.</p><p>For what it&#39;s worth, the world&#39;s richest man Elon Musk is now Twitter&#39;s CEO and sole director, and urged his more than 100 million followers on the service to go GOP: &#34;I recommend voting for a Republican Congress, given that the Presidency is Democratic.&#34;</p><p>While the issues at stake in the election&#39;s various races are numerous - including gun control, abortion and immigration - investors will be focused on a few that have risen to the fore as election season has rumbled on, notably the broader economic slowdown and this year&#39;s historic inflation.</p><p>And while party polarization seems to be at historic highs, when it comes to business and investing, there are areas where the two parties are closer together than others. For example, where the parties agree on infrastructure spending, real estate, construction and utilities could benefit.</p><p>ESG investing (Environmental, Social and Governance) is indirectly on the ballot, as Republicans increasingly tap the issue as a political talking point. If the GOP makes a strong showing, you can expect the pressure on ESG investing to increase. Some of the popular ESG-themed exchange-traded funds: Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF (ERTH), ALPS Clean Energy ETF (ACES), Fidelity Clean Energy ETF (FRNW), KraneShares MSCI China Environment Index (KGRN), Invesco MSCI Green Building ETF (GBLD), iShares S&amp;P Global Clean Energy Index ETF (ICLN), Invesco Solar Portfolio ETF (TAN), Global X Wind Energy ETF (WNDY), CleanTech ETF (CTEC), Global X Solar ETF (RAYS), ProShares S&amp;P Kensho Cleantech ETF (CTEX), First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF (FAN), iShares ESG Aware MSCI USA ETF (ESGU), Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV), and the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ESG ETF (EFIV).</p><p>And conversely, the &#34;anti-ESG&#34; fund God Bless America ETF (YALL) launched last month, with a focus on screening out companies it considers activist.</p><p>Still, clean energy subsidies aren&#39;t as contentious as other issues, so it may be unlikely that President Biden&#39;s signature achievement on climate legislation will be unwound. Oil may be another matter: The idea floated by Biden for a windfall tax on Big Oil will be essentially dead if Republicans gain power. (By the by, the U.S. oil rig count has more than doubled during the Biden administration.)</p><p>Technology is another area where the parties have diverged more in recent years, though perhaps more on style: Both parties have argued for more regulation on tech, for different reasons. The Biden administration has been concerned with concentrated power and antitrust action against the tech giants, including Meta Platforms (META), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) and Amazon.com (AMZN), while Republicans have targeted social media on speech-related issues, and say they won&#39;t back some currently stalled antitrust bills - which could be a boon for those giants currently in the crosshairs.</p><p>Cannabis is on the ballot: Recreational marijuana use is a question in five states(Arkansas, Maryland, Missouri, North Dakota and South Dakota), and outside of Maryland, whether the measures will get adopted is an open question. Watch multistate operators including Cresco Labs (OTCQX: CRLBF); Columbia Care (OTCQX: CCHWF); Trulieve Cannabis (OTCQX: TCNNF); Green Thumb Industries (OTCQX: GTBIF); Curaleaf Holdings (OTCPK: CURLF); MedMen Enterprises (OTCQB: MMNFF); Acreage Holdings (OTCQX: ACRHF); Ayr Wellness (OTCQX: AYRWF); Verano Holdings (OTCQX: VRNOF); and Jushi Holdings (OTCQX: JUSHF), as well as ETFs: AdvisorShares Pure Cannabis ETF (YOLO), Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS), ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ), AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS), and Global X Cannabis ETF (POTX).</p><p>And of course, closely following on election night&#39;s news will be Thursday&#39;s CPI report, where new data on inflation might amplify the impact of any Tuesday ballot-related effect on markets.</p><p>One thing important for election observers to remember: It&#39;s extremely unlikely we&#39;ll know the results of every race during election night, as many states with more mail-in ballots will likely need more time or even much more time to count them (particularly in the number of states that disallow counting mail-in votes until Election Day arrives, including Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). And that means even knowing who controls part of Congress might still be in question on Wednesday or beyond.</p><p>Also, control of the extremely close Senate may depend on such factors as automatic recounts, or another Georgia run-off that could delay knowing the answer into December.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Midterm Elections: What to Watch in Markets As America Votes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMidterm Elections: What to Watch in Markets As America Votes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-08 23:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3903249-election-day-what-to-watch-in-markets-as-america-votes><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It's midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong ideas about how it will play out, increasing uncertainty around polling (and a contentious electorate)...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3903249-election-day-what-to-watch-in-markets-as-america-votes\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3903249-election-day-what-to-watch-in-markets-as-america-votes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147745884","content_text":"It's midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong ideas about how it will play out, increasing uncertainty around polling (and a contentious electorate) suggest anything might happen.Midterm elections typically go against the party of the president - and if that holds, and Republicans take over even just the House (let alone the currently split Senate), it effectively would mean a sidelining of the vast majority of President Biden's agenda for the remaining two years in his term.That's not always bad for securities markets (NYSEARCA:SPY), where \"gridlock\" has often been received by investors as \"status quo\" - or, more specifically, the lack of any broad or shocking changes on tap that tend to spook investors and spur market declines.\"History suggests the midterms are a big influence on markets as they always seem to rally once midterms (or presidential elections) are out of the way,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid said. \"Our economists' base case is that Republicans will take the House but Democrats will maintain their slim majority in the Senate,\" he added.For what it's worth, the world's richest man Elon Musk is now Twitter's CEO and sole director, and urged his more than 100 million followers on the service to go GOP: \"I recommend voting for a Republican Congress, given that the Presidency is Democratic.\"While the issues at stake in the election's various races are numerous - including gun control, abortion and immigration - investors will be focused on a few that have risen to the fore as election season has rumbled on, notably the broader economic slowdown and this year's historic inflation.And while party polarization seems to be at historic highs, when it comes to business and investing, there are areas where the two parties are closer together than others. For example, where the parties agree on infrastructure spending, real estate, construction and utilities could benefit.ESG investing (Environmental, Social and Governance) is indirectly on the ballot, as Republicans increasingly tap the issue as a political talking point. If the GOP makes a strong showing, you can expect the pressure on ESG investing to increase. Some of the popular ESG-themed exchange-traded funds: Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF (ERTH), ALPS Clean Energy ETF (ACES), Fidelity Clean Energy ETF (FRNW), KraneShares MSCI China Environment Index (KGRN), Invesco MSCI Green Building ETF (GBLD), iShares S&P Global Clean Energy Index ETF (ICLN), Invesco Solar Portfolio ETF (TAN), Global X Wind Energy ETF (WNDY), CleanTech ETF (CTEC), Global X Solar ETF (RAYS), ProShares S&P Kensho Cleantech ETF (CTEX), First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF (FAN), iShares ESG Aware MSCI USA ETF (ESGU), Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV), and the SPDR S&P 500 ESG ETF (EFIV).And conversely, the \"anti-ESG\" fund God Bless America ETF (YALL) launched last month, with a focus on screening out companies it considers activist.Still, clean energy subsidies aren't as contentious as other issues, so it may be unlikely that President Biden's signature achievement on climate legislation will be unwound. Oil may be another matter: The idea floated by Biden for a windfall tax on Big Oil will be essentially dead if Republicans gain power. (By the by, the U.S. oil rig count has more than doubled during the Biden administration.)Technology is another area where the parties have diverged more in recent years, though perhaps more on style: Both parties have argued for more regulation on tech, for different reasons. The Biden administration has been concerned with concentrated power and antitrust action against the tech giants, including Meta Platforms (META), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) and Amazon.com (AMZN), while Republicans have targeted social media on speech-related issues, and say they won't back some currently stalled antitrust bills - which could be a boon for those giants currently in the crosshairs.Cannabis is on the ballot: Recreational marijuana use is a question in five states(Arkansas, Maryland, Missouri, North Dakota and South Dakota), and outside of Maryland, whether the measures will get adopted is an open question. Watch multistate operators including Cresco Labs (OTCQX: CRLBF); Columbia Care (OTCQX: CCHWF); Trulieve Cannabis (OTCQX: TCNNF); Green Thumb Industries (OTCQX: GTBIF); Curaleaf Holdings (OTCPK: CURLF); MedMen Enterprises (OTCQB: MMNFF); Acreage Holdings (OTCQX: ACRHF); Ayr Wellness (OTCQX: AYRWF); Verano Holdings (OTCQX: VRNOF); and Jushi Holdings (OTCQX: JUSHF), as well as ETFs: AdvisorShares Pure Cannabis ETF (YOLO), Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS), ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ), AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS), and Global X Cannabis ETF (POTX).And of course, closely following on election night's news will be Thursday's CPI report, where new data on inflation might amplify the impact of any Tuesday ballot-related effect on markets.One thing important for election observers to remember: It's extremely unlikely we'll know the results of every race during election night, as many states with more mail-in ballots will likely need more time or even much more time to count them (particularly in the number of states that disallow counting mail-in votes until Election Day arrives, including Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). And that means even knowing who controls part of Congress might still be in question on Wednesday or beyond.Also, control of the extremely close Senate may depend on such factors as automatic recounts, or another Georgia run-off that could delay knowing the answer into December.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984887661,"gmtCreate":1667604761653,"gmtModify":1676537942399,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍&nbsp;","listText":"👍&nbsp;","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984887661","repostId":"2281680644","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2281680644","pubTimestamp":1667603225,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2281680644?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-05 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Rallies to Close Out Soft Week After Jobs Report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2281680644","media":"Reuters","summary":"Data shows strong jobs growth, uptick in jobless rateStarbucks, DoorDash jump on upbeat resultsU.S-listed China firms rise on reopening hopesDow up 1.26%, S&P 500 up 1.36%, Nasdaq up 1.28%U.S. stocks ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Data shows strong jobs growth, uptick in jobless rate</li><li>Starbucks, DoorDash jump on upbeat results</li><li>U.S-listed China firms rise on reopening hopes</li><li>Dow up 1.26%, S&amp;P 500 up 1.36%, Nasdaq up 1.28%</li></ul><p>U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday in volatile trade to snap a four-session losing streak as investors wrestled with a mixed jobs report and comments from Federal Reserve officials on the pace of interest rate hikes.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq each rose as much as 2% in the early stages of trading while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed as much as 1.9% on the heels of the closely watched labor market report, before paring gains and briefly falling into negative territory. The report showed an uptick in the unemployment rate in October, indicating some signs of slack may finally be starting to emerge in the job market and give the Fed room to downsize its rate hikes beginning in December.</p><p>But the data also showed average hourly earnings rose slightly more than expected, as did job growth, pointing to a labor market that largely remains on firm footing.</p><p>Labor market data has been a primary focus for markets as the Fed has repeatedly stated it is looking for some cooling before considering a pause in hikes. Hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday increased worries the central bank could keep boosting interest rates for longer than previously expected and put further pressure on stocks.</p><p>&#34;This was not a report that shows the rate hikes are starting to take hold,&#34; said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago.</p><p>&#34;You could maybe justify some of this move as this selling got a little overdone after what Powell said at the meeting, so maybe you already had the sellers flushed out.&#34;</p><p>On Friday, Fed officials echoed Powell&#39;s comments about potentially decreasing the size of rate hikes in the future, but needing to continue to raise rates for a longer period of time and potentially above the 4.6% level the central bank penciled in at its September meeting.</p><p>Equities got a boost late in the session after Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said it was possible for the Fed to be &#34;thinking&#34; about pausing even if it&#39;s a year from now.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 401.97 points, or 1.26%, to 32,403.22, the S&amp;P 500 gained 50.66 points, or 1.36%, to 3,770.55 and the Nasdaq Composite added 132.31 points, or 1.28%, to 10,475.25.</p><p>For the week, the Dow fell 1.39% to snap a four-week winning streak, the S&amp;P dropped 3.34% and the Nasdaq slid 5.65% for its biggest weekly percentage decline since January.</p><p>The non-farm payrolls report comes after a conflicting set of data this week that pointed to a slowdown in certain parts of the economy but also underscored the resilience of the U.S. labor market despite aggressive rate hikes to tame inflation.</p><p>Traders&#39; expectations of a 75 basis point rate hike in December had briefly jumped after the jobs report but were now pricing in about a 62% chance of a 50 basis point hike, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch Tool.</p><p>Market focus will now turn to a key consumer inflation reading due next week as well as the U.S. midterm elections on Nov. 8, where control of Congress is at stake.</p><p>Meanwhile, hopes of an easing in China&#39;s tough COVID-19 curbs supported some areas of the market, with U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies including Alibaba, which finished up 7.05% and JD.com, up 9.74%.</p><p>Those hopes also helped boost prices of commodities such as copper, which in turn lifted the materials sector 3.41% as the best performing of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors.</p><p>Starbucks Corp jumped 8.48% after it topped Wall Street estimates for quarterly comparable sales and profit, while DoorDash Inc&#39;s revenue beat boosted the food delivery firm&#39;s shares by 8.32%.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.31 billion shares, compared with the 11.74 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.56-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.41-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and 27 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 81 new highs and 278 new lows.</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Rallies to Close Out Soft Week After Jobs Report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Rallies to Close Out Soft Week After Jobs Report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-05 07:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-st-rallies-202354523.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Data shows strong jobs growth, uptick in jobless rateStarbucks, DoorDash jump on upbeat resultsU.S-listed China firms rise on reopening hopesDow up 1.26%, S&P 500 up 1.36%, Nasdaq up 1.28%U.S. stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-st-rallies-202354523.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-st-rallies-202354523.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2281680644","content_text":"Data shows strong jobs growth, uptick in jobless rateStarbucks, DoorDash jump on upbeat resultsU.S-listed China firms rise on reopening hopesDow up 1.26%, S&P 500 up 1.36%, Nasdaq up 1.28%U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday in volatile trade to snap a four-session losing streak as investors wrestled with a mixed jobs report and comments from Federal Reserve officials on the pace of interest rate hikes.The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq each rose as much as 2% in the early stages of trading while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed as much as 1.9% on the heels of the closely watched labor market report, before paring gains and briefly falling into negative territory. The report showed an uptick in the unemployment rate in October, indicating some signs of slack may finally be starting to emerge in the job market and give the Fed room to downsize its rate hikes beginning in December.But the data also showed average hourly earnings rose slightly more than expected, as did job growth, pointing to a labor market that largely remains on firm footing.Labor market data has been a primary focus for markets as the Fed has repeatedly stated it is looking for some cooling before considering a pause in hikes. Hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday increased worries the central bank could keep boosting interest rates for longer than previously expected and put further pressure on stocks.\"This was not a report that shows the rate hikes are starting to take hold,\" said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago.\"You could maybe justify some of this move as this selling got a little overdone after what Powell said at the meeting, so maybe you already had the sellers flushed out.\"On Friday, Fed officials echoed Powell's comments about potentially decreasing the size of rate hikes in the future, but needing to continue to raise rates for a longer period of time and potentially above the 4.6% level the central bank penciled in at its September meeting.Equities got a boost late in the session after Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said it was possible for the Fed to be \"thinking\" about pausing even if it's a year from now.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 401.97 points, or 1.26%, to 32,403.22, the S&P 500 gained 50.66 points, or 1.36%, to 3,770.55 and the Nasdaq Composite added 132.31 points, or 1.28%, to 10,475.25.For the week, the Dow fell 1.39% to snap a four-week winning streak, the S&P dropped 3.34% and the Nasdaq slid 5.65% for its biggest weekly percentage decline since January.The non-farm payrolls report comes after a conflicting set of data this week that pointed to a slowdown in certain parts of the economy but also underscored the resilience of the U.S. labor market despite aggressive rate hikes to tame inflation.Traders' expectations of a 75 basis point rate hike in December had briefly jumped after the jobs report but were now pricing in about a 62% chance of a 50 basis point hike, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.Market focus will now turn to a key consumer inflation reading due next week as well as the U.S. midterm elections on Nov. 8, where control of Congress is at stake.Meanwhile, hopes of an easing in China's tough COVID-19 curbs supported some areas of the market, with U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies including Alibaba, which finished up 7.05% and JD.com, up 9.74%.Those hopes also helped boost prices of commodities such as copper, which in turn lifted the materials sector 3.41% as the best performing of the 11 major S&P sectors.Starbucks Corp jumped 8.48% after it topped Wall Street estimates for quarterly comparable sales and profit, while DoorDash Inc's revenue beat boosted the food delivery firm's shares by 8.32%.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.31 billion shares, compared with the 11.74 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.56-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.41-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and 27 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 81 new highs and 278 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986542951,"gmtCreate":1666999134873,"gmtModify":1676537845618,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986542951","repostId":"2278500004","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2278500004","pubTimestamp":1666969180,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2278500004?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-28 22:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Down 32%, Is Disney a Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2278500004","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"With iconic media properties, Disney is a household name. But is it a name worth buying after a steep sell-off?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Walt Disney</b> is an iconic name with worldwide recognition value. It owns a powerful collection of entertainment properties. And yet the stock has fallen by over 45% since peaking in early 2021. The shares are down by 32% in 2022 alone. However, there&#39;s a lot to unpack here before you hit the buy button.</p><h2>This makes sense, that doesn&#39;t</h2><p>Stock markets are often considered rational, but that&#39;s really when you look at the long term. Over short periods of time, Wall Street can make some pretty strange choices.</p><p>For example, when the coronavirus pandemic first hit in 2020, Disney&#39;s stock fell sharply. That was pretty logical, given that its amusement parks were shut down and the movies it made couldn&#39;t be released to theaters shut down by government fiat. Not shockingly, earnings were ugly. It got so bad that Disney eliminated its dividend.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23ccba8ca3eb29e65ff75123790d57eb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p>And then something unusual happened. The stock took off like a rocket ship, more than doubling in value between its pandemic lows and its early 2021 highs. The big story was the company&#39;s streaming business, which latched onto the digital theme driving many stocks as people worked from home and social distanced from each other.</p><p>The company did achieve notable success as it sought to compete with streaming giants like <b>Netflix</b> and <b>Amazon</b>. However, Disney&#39;s financial results didn&#39;t recover back to pre-pandemic levels, so the price spike appeared more emotionally driven than fundamentally sound.</p><p>Not surprisingly, as the euphoria wore off, and things like financial results started to gain more sway, the stock started to sell off again. Now, the shares are back to about where they were when the pandemic first hit. Is that a second chance to buy this iconic name, or just a reflection of reality?</p><h2>Positive and negative signs</h2><p>As noted, Disney&#39;s earnings are not back to pre-pandemic levels. So while the entertainment giant&#39;s business is recovering, it has not fully recovered. There are some notable reasons for this, including the fact that people have shifted the way they consume media. Cable television and movie theaters are both facing pressures and are core parts of Disney&#39;s business.</p><p>Notably, streaming has proven to be a cost-intensive and competitive business. In fact, Disney&#39;s &#34;direct to consumer&#34; segment lost over $1 billion in the third quarter of 2022 alone. That&#39;s a brutal cash drain for any company.</p><p>Overall, despite materially improved results, Disney&#39;s Q3 adjusted earnings only came in at $1.09 per share. Sure, that&#39;s up from $0.80 per share in 2021, but it&#39;s well below the $1.35 it earned in Q3 2019. Perhaps the big price drop makes sense, given that backdrop and the uncertainty around media consumption trends.</p><p>One particularly telling factor, meanwhile, is the dividend -- or, in this case, the lack of a dividend. It&#39;s perfectly understandable that Disney eliminated the dividend in 2020. But it has no plans to pay one in 2022 and hasn&#39;t given any direction about what investors should expect in the future.</p><p>If Disney&#39;s board of directors doesn&#39;t think the business has recovered enough to reinstate the dividend, perhaps it hasn&#39;t recovered enough to merit owning, either. Certainly dividend investors shouldn&#39;t buy it, but this nuance should probably be seen as a warning to other types of investors as well. The recovery story here is perhaps more complex than it seems.</p><h2>Not bad, but still plenty of uncertainty</h2><p>Disney is not a bad company by any stretch of the imagination. And it is clearly recovering from the pandemic hit. Investor sentiment, however, has been hard to predict and often looked unsupported by fundamentals. That&#39;s especially troubling given the push into the money-draining streaming space.</p><p>If you can stomach uncertainty, perhaps Disney is worth owning at current levels, even though the stock&#39;s price-to-earnings ratio is well above pre-COVID norms. This fact suggests that a recovery may already be priced into the shares.</p><p>Conservative investors, meanwhile, will probably be better off waiting for either a more developed recovery (perhaps highlighted by a dividend) or a clearer view of the future in the streaming space.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Down 32%, Is Disney a Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDown 32%, Is Disney a Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-28 22:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/28/down-32-is-disney-a-buy/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Walt Disney is an iconic name with worldwide recognition value. It owns a powerful collection of entertainment properties. And yet the stock has fallen by over 45% since peaking in early 2021. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/28/down-32-is-disney-a-buy/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/28/down-32-is-disney-a-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2278500004","content_text":"Walt Disney is an iconic name with worldwide recognition value. It owns a powerful collection of entertainment properties. And yet the stock has fallen by over 45% since peaking in early 2021. The shares are down by 32% in 2022 alone. However, there's a lot to unpack here before you hit the buy button.This makes sense, that doesn'tStock markets are often considered rational, but that's really when you look at the long term. Over short periods of time, Wall Street can make some pretty strange choices.For example, when the coronavirus pandemic first hit in 2020, Disney's stock fell sharply. That was pretty logical, given that its amusement parks were shut down and the movies it made couldn't be released to theaters shut down by government fiat. Not shockingly, earnings were ugly. It got so bad that Disney eliminated its dividend.Image source: Getty Images.And then something unusual happened. The stock took off like a rocket ship, more than doubling in value between its pandemic lows and its early 2021 highs. The big story was the company's streaming business, which latched onto the digital theme driving many stocks as people worked from home and social distanced from each other.The company did achieve notable success as it sought to compete with streaming giants like Netflix and Amazon. However, Disney's financial results didn't recover back to pre-pandemic levels, so the price spike appeared more emotionally driven than fundamentally sound.Not surprisingly, as the euphoria wore off, and things like financial results started to gain more sway, the stock started to sell off again. Now, the shares are back to about where they were when the pandemic first hit. Is that a second chance to buy this iconic name, or just a reflection of reality?Positive and negative signsAs noted, Disney's earnings are not back to pre-pandemic levels. So while the entertainment giant's business is recovering, it has not fully recovered. There are some notable reasons for this, including the fact that people have shifted the way they consume media. Cable television and movie theaters are both facing pressures and are core parts of Disney's business.Notably, streaming has proven to be a cost-intensive and competitive business. In fact, Disney's \"direct to consumer\" segment lost over $1 billion in the third quarter of 2022 alone. That's a brutal cash drain for any company.Overall, despite materially improved results, Disney's Q3 adjusted earnings only came in at $1.09 per share. Sure, that's up from $0.80 per share in 2021, but it's well below the $1.35 it earned in Q3 2019. Perhaps the big price drop makes sense, given that backdrop and the uncertainty around media consumption trends.One particularly telling factor, meanwhile, is the dividend -- or, in this case, the lack of a dividend. It's perfectly understandable that Disney eliminated the dividend in 2020. But it has no plans to pay one in 2022 and hasn't given any direction about what investors should expect in the future.If Disney's board of directors doesn't think the business has recovered enough to reinstate the dividend, perhaps it hasn't recovered enough to merit owning, either. Certainly dividend investors shouldn't buy it, but this nuance should probably be seen as a warning to other types of investors as well. The recovery story here is perhaps more complex than it seems.Not bad, but still plenty of uncertaintyDisney is not a bad company by any stretch of the imagination. And it is clearly recovering from the pandemic hit. Investor sentiment, however, has been hard to predict and often looked unsupported by fundamentals. That's especially troubling given the push into the money-draining streaming space.If you can stomach uncertainty, perhaps Disney is worth owning at current levels, even though the stock's price-to-earnings ratio is well above pre-COVID norms. This fact suggests that a recovery may already be priced into the shares.Conservative investors, meanwhile, will probably be better off waiting for either a more developed recovery (perhaps highlighted by a dividend) or a clearer view of the future in the streaming space.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986550488,"gmtCreate":1666996900544,"gmtModify":1676537845203,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986550488","repostId":"1124585892","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124585892","pubTimestamp":1666965905,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124585892?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-28 22:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel Upgrades, Meta Platforms Downgrade: Top Calls on Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124585892","media":"The Fly","summary":"Top 5 Upgrades:Barclays analyst Blayne Curtis upgraded Intel (INTC) to Equal Weight from Underweight","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Top 5 Upgrades:</b></p><ul><li>Barclays analyst Blayne Curtis upgraded <b>Intel</b> (INTC) to Equal Weight from Underweight with an unchanged price target of $30. The analyst sees a &#34;bottom in sight&#34; for the shares with PCs closer to a bottom and cost cuts &#34;an important sober step after two years of unrealistic optimism.&#34; Summit Insights analyst KinNgai Chan also upgraded Intel to Buy from Hold, telling investors after the company&#39;s Q3 earnings report that he thinks the company&#39;s Q4 outlook and qualitative 2023 view &#34;encapsulate most, if not all, the current challenges for the company.&#34;</li><li>Piper Sandler analyst Do Kim upgraded <b>Gilead Sciences</b> (GILD) to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $96, up from $79. The analyst says &#34;multiple roadblocks have cleared&#34; for the company&#39;s HIV and oncology franchises, providing greater visibility on future revenue growth.</li><li>Roth Capital analyst John White upgraded <b>Amplify Energy</b> (AMPY) to Buy from Neutral with a $12 price target. White believes the litigation/lawsuits surrounding the Southern California Pipeline Incident have reached a satisfactory stage, the analyst tells investors in a research note. He believes that the criminal fines not covered by insurance will be easily met with Amplify&#39;s cash on hand and free cash flow.</li><li>Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan upgraded <b>Ubisoft</b> (UBSFY) to Neutral from Sell with a price target of EUR 37, down from EUR 41. The analyst sees a more balanced risk/reward at current share levels.</li><li>Wolfe Research analyst Steve Fleishman upgraded <b>First Solar</b> (FSLR) to Outperform from Peer Perform with a $170 price target. The company had &#34;another surge of bookings&#34; in Q3 at even higher rates, Fleishman tells investors in a research note.</li></ul><p><b>Top 5 Downgrades:</b></p><ul><li>Edward Jones analyst David Heger downgraded <b>Meta Platforms</b> (META) to Hold from Buy following the Q3 earnings report. While Meta is executing relatively well in the difficult macroeconomic environment and continues to steadily grow users across its platforms, Heger is concerned about how long the growing metaverse investment will take to deliver a sufficient return, the analyst tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Deutsche Bank analyst Nicole Deblase downgraded <b>Caterpillar</b> (CAT) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $221, up from $196. &#34;There is simply not enough upside potential left vs. the current stock price to maintain a Buy rating,&#34; Deblase tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Raymond James analyst Brian Gesuale downgraded <b>L3Harris Technologies</b> (LHX) to Market Perform from Outperform without a price target. The stock&#39;s year to date outperformance, coupled with what he views as a downward bias to 2023 models and tense risk/reward debate on the 2023 guidance, no longer supports outperformance despite L3Harris remaining one of the higher quality defense names in the firm&#39;s coverage space, Gesuale tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Credit Suisse analyst Benjamin Chaiken downgraded <b>Travel + Leisure</b> (TNL) to Underperform from Outperform with a price target of $31, down from $77. While Chaiken feels Travel + Leisure is a &#34;quality&#34; company, he thinks they will underperform peers due to its plans to move up the FICO spectrum, which should cause tour flow to come in lower than expected, the analyst tells investors in a research note.</li><li>UBS analyst Rayna Kumar downgraded <b>Western Union</b> (WU) to Sell from Neutral with a $12 price target, reflecting 14% downside. The provided a &#34;lackluster&#34; outlook for a 2%-4% adjusted revenue decline in 2023 and a potential recession provides incremental risk given that management indicated its 2023 forecast does not include deterioration from current macro trends, Kumar tells investors in a research note.</li></ul><p><b>Top 5 Initiations:</b></p><ul><li>Wedbush analyst Robert Driscoll initiated coverage of <b>Geron</b> (GERN) with an Outperform rating and $5 price target. The company is developing telomerase inhibitor imetelstat for the treatment of a number of hematological diseases, including lower-risk myelodysplatic syndrome and myelofibrosis, Driscoll tells investors in a research note. The analyst anticipates positive top-line data from the ongoing Phase 3 study in LRMDS in early 2023, allowing for approval and initial launch in the first half of 2024 &#34;in a large commercial market.&#34;</li><li>BTIG analyst Jonathan DeCourcey assumed coverage of <b>Green Thumb Industries</b> (GTBIF) with a Buy rating and C$28 price target as part of a broader research note expanding coverage of the Cannabis industry. The analyst cites the company having posted its 8th consecutive quarter of profitable earnings results, adding that he is confident that positive results will continue through his forecast period and beyond even in the face of macro headwinds.</li><li>BTIG analyst Jonathan DeCourcey assumed coverage of <b>Trulieve Cannabis</b> (TCNNF) with a Buy rating and C$26 price target as part of a broader research note expanding coverage of the Cannabis industry. The analyst states that further upside for Trulieve will come with greater clarity on Florida&#39;s hurricane impact as well as the anticipated timing of potential Connecticut and Pennsylvania recreational cannabis launches.</li><li>B. Riley analyst Kalpit Patel initiated coverage of <b>Mirati Therapeutics</b> (MRTX) with a Neutral rating and $72 price target. Despite a belief that Mirati is likely to gain accelerated approval for adagrasib in second-line metastatic non-small cell lung cancer by the December FDA action date date, a recent disappointment in the field, Amgen&#39;s (AMGN) weak data from its confirmatory trial in a similar setting, may limit commercial uptake relative to Street expectations, Patel tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Raymond James analyst David Feaster assumed coverage of <b>Coastal Financial Corporation</b> (CCB) with a Strong Buy rating and $57 price target. Coastal&#39;s Q3 results exceeded Street forecasts, and its growth outlook remains robust as it continues to add new partners, where it maintains a solid pipeline of new potential partners, Feaster tells investors in a research note.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1649979459173","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel Upgrades, Meta Platforms Downgrade: Top Calls on Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel Upgrades, Meta Platforms Downgrade: Top Calls on Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-28 22:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3605198&headline=META;CAT;LHX;TNL;GERN;AMPY;UBSFY;GILD;FSLR;INTC;WU;GTBIF;TCNNF;MRTX;CCB-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations><strong>The Fly</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Top 5 Upgrades:Barclays analyst Blayne Curtis upgraded Intel (INTC) to Equal Weight from Underweight with an unchanged price target of $30. The analyst sees a \"bottom in sight\" for the shares with PCs...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3605198&headline=META;CAT;LHX;TNL;GERN;AMPY;UBSFY;GILD;FSLR;INTC;WU;GTBIF;TCNNF;MRTX;CCB-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TNL":"Travel Plus Leisure Co.","UBSFY":"UbiSoft Entertainment Inc.","GILD":"吉利德科学","TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation","GERN":"杰龙","LHX":"哈里斯公司","AMPY":"Amplify Energy Corp.","CAT":"卡特彼勒","FSLR":"第一太阳能","WU":"西联汇款","INTC":"英特尔","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","GTBIF":"Green Thumb Industries Inc.","CCB":"Coastal Financial Corp","MRTX":"Mirati Therapeutics Inc."},"source_url":"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3605198&headline=META;CAT;LHX;TNL;GERN;AMPY;UBSFY;GILD;FSLR;INTC;WU;GTBIF;TCNNF;MRTX;CCB-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124585892","content_text":"Top 5 Upgrades:Barclays analyst Blayne Curtis upgraded Intel (INTC) to Equal Weight from Underweight with an unchanged price target of $30. The analyst sees a \"bottom in sight\" for the shares with PCs closer to a bottom and cost cuts \"an important sober step after two years of unrealistic optimism.\" Summit Insights analyst KinNgai Chan also upgraded Intel to Buy from Hold, telling investors after the company's Q3 earnings report that he thinks the company's Q4 outlook and qualitative 2023 view \"encapsulate most, if not all, the current challenges for the company.\"Piper Sandler analyst Do Kim upgraded Gilead Sciences (GILD) to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $96, up from $79. The analyst says \"multiple roadblocks have cleared\" for the company's HIV and oncology franchises, providing greater visibility on future revenue growth.Roth Capital analyst John White upgraded Amplify Energy (AMPY) to Buy from Neutral with a $12 price target. White believes the litigation/lawsuits surrounding the Southern California Pipeline Incident have reached a satisfactory stage, the analyst tells investors in a research note. He believes that the criminal fines not covered by insurance will be easily met with Amplify's cash on hand and free cash flow.Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan upgraded Ubisoft (UBSFY) to Neutral from Sell with a price target of EUR 37, down from EUR 41. The analyst sees a more balanced risk/reward at current share levels.Wolfe Research analyst Steve Fleishman upgraded First Solar (FSLR) to Outperform from Peer Perform with a $170 price target. The company had \"another surge of bookings\" in Q3 at even higher rates, Fleishman tells investors in a research note.Top 5 Downgrades:Edward Jones analyst David Heger downgraded Meta Platforms (META) to Hold from Buy following the Q3 earnings report. While Meta is executing relatively well in the difficult macroeconomic environment and continues to steadily grow users across its platforms, Heger is concerned about how long the growing metaverse investment will take to deliver a sufficient return, the analyst tells investors in a research note.Deutsche Bank analyst Nicole Deblase downgraded Caterpillar (CAT) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $221, up from $196. \"There is simply not enough upside potential left vs. the current stock price to maintain a Buy rating,\" Deblase tells investors in a research note.Raymond James analyst Brian Gesuale downgraded L3Harris Technologies (LHX) to Market Perform from Outperform without a price target. The stock's year to date outperformance, coupled with what he views as a downward bias to 2023 models and tense risk/reward debate on the 2023 guidance, no longer supports outperformance despite L3Harris remaining one of the higher quality defense names in the firm's coverage space, Gesuale tells investors in a research note.Credit Suisse analyst Benjamin Chaiken downgraded Travel + Leisure (TNL) to Underperform from Outperform with a price target of $31, down from $77. While Chaiken feels Travel + Leisure is a \"quality\" company, he thinks they will underperform peers due to its plans to move up the FICO spectrum, which should cause tour flow to come in lower than expected, the analyst tells investors in a research note.UBS analyst Rayna Kumar downgraded Western Union (WU) to Sell from Neutral with a $12 price target, reflecting 14% downside. The provided a \"lackluster\" outlook for a 2%-4% adjusted revenue decline in 2023 and a potential recession provides incremental risk given that management indicated its 2023 forecast does not include deterioration from current macro trends, Kumar tells investors in a research note.Top 5 Initiations:Wedbush analyst Robert Driscoll initiated coverage of Geron (GERN) with an Outperform rating and $5 price target. The company is developing telomerase inhibitor imetelstat for the treatment of a number of hematological diseases, including lower-risk myelodysplatic syndrome and myelofibrosis, Driscoll tells investors in a research note. The analyst anticipates positive top-line data from the ongoing Phase 3 study in LRMDS in early 2023, allowing for approval and initial launch in the first half of 2024 \"in a large commercial market.\"BTIG analyst Jonathan DeCourcey assumed coverage of Green Thumb Industries (GTBIF) with a Buy rating and C$28 price target as part of a broader research note expanding coverage of the Cannabis industry. The analyst cites the company having posted its 8th consecutive quarter of profitable earnings results, adding that he is confident that positive results will continue through his forecast period and beyond even in the face of macro headwinds.BTIG analyst Jonathan DeCourcey assumed coverage of Trulieve Cannabis (TCNNF) with a Buy rating and C$26 price target as part of a broader research note expanding coverage of the Cannabis industry. The analyst states that further upside for Trulieve will come with greater clarity on Florida's hurricane impact as well as the anticipated timing of potential Connecticut and Pennsylvania recreational cannabis launches.B. Riley analyst Kalpit Patel initiated coverage of Mirati Therapeutics (MRTX) with a Neutral rating and $72 price target. Despite a belief that Mirati is likely to gain accelerated approval for adagrasib in second-line metastatic non-small cell lung cancer by the December FDA action date date, a recent disappointment in the field, Amgen's (AMGN) weak data from its confirmatory trial in a similar setting, may limit commercial uptake relative to Street expectations, Patel tells investors in a research note.Raymond James analyst David Feaster assumed coverage of Coastal Financial Corporation (CCB) with a Strong Buy rating and $57 price target. Coastal's Q3 results exceeded Street forecasts, and its growth outlook remains robust as it continues to add new partners, where it maintains a solid pipeline of new potential partners, Feaster tells investors in a research note.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986394969,"gmtCreate":1666883701957,"gmtModify":1676537824108,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986394969","repostId":"1108902681","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108902681","pubTimestamp":1666883457,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1108902681?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-27 23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Qualcomm Fights Back Against Arm in Dispute Over Chip Technology","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108902681","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"UK firm’s suit intended to “strong-arm” Qualcomm, suit saysLegal fight centers on technology acquire","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>UK firm’s suit intended to “strong-arm” Qualcomm, suit says</li><li>Legal fight centers on technology acquired in Nuvia buyout</li></ul><p>Qualcomm Inc. countersued Arm Ltd. over claims the chipmaker violated its licensing agreements and trademarks tied to a 2021 acquisition, saying the UK-based tech firm doesn’t have a legitimate basis for its allegations.</p><p>San Diego-based Qualcomm wants a federal judge in Delaware to conclude it didn’t trample on Arm’s licensing contracts as part of Qualcomm’s $1.4 billion buyout of chip startupNuvia Inc., according to a court filing Wednesday.</p><p>The dispute focuses on Arm’s licenses with Nuvia for technology used in chip designs. Arm, owned by SoftBank Group Corp., sued Qualcomm for breach of contract and trademark infringement in September, accusing the firm of using the proprietary innovations without permission. In the past, Qualcomm had been one of Arm’s biggest customers.</p><p>Qualcomm’s lawyers allege Arm’s goal is to “strong-arm Qualcomm into renegotiating the financial terms of the parties’ longstanding license agreements, using this baseless lawsuit as leverage.”</p><p>Since Qualcomm and Arm are two of the world’s most influential chip companies, the case has drawn attention in the tech industry. Qualcomm is the biggest maker of the processors and modems used in smartphones.</p><p>Representatives of Arm didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.</p><p>Qualcomm acquired Nuvia last year to beef up its technology and allow it to field more powerful chips. It’s part of a broader strategy by Qualcomm chief executive officer, Cristiano Amon, to decrease his company’s reliance on the smartphone industry and grab a share of the laptop chip market and the lucrative server processor business.</p><p>Arm’s suit is designed to hamper Qualcomm’s plans, the US company’s attorneys argued.</p><p>“With this lawsuit, Arm makes clear to the marketplace it will act recklessly and opportunistically, threatening the development of new and innovative products as a negotiating tactic, not because it has valid license and trademark claims,” according to the filing.</p><p>The case is Arm Ltd v. Qualcomm Inc., No. 22-1146, US District Court for the District of Delaware (Wilmington)</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Qualcomm Fights Back Against Arm in Dispute Over Chip Technology</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQualcomm Fights Back Against Arm in Dispute Over Chip Technology\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-27 23:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-27/qualcomm-fights-back-at-arm-in-dispute-over-chip-technology?srnd=technology-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>UK firm’s suit intended to “strong-arm” Qualcomm, suit saysLegal fight centers on technology acquired in Nuvia buyoutQualcomm Inc. countersued Arm Ltd. over claims the chipmaker violated its licensing...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-27/qualcomm-fights-back-at-arm-in-dispute-over-chip-technology?srnd=technology-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QCOM":"高通"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-27/qualcomm-fights-back-at-arm-in-dispute-over-chip-technology?srnd=technology-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108902681","content_text":"UK firm’s suit intended to “strong-arm” Qualcomm, suit saysLegal fight centers on technology acquired in Nuvia buyoutQualcomm Inc. countersued Arm Ltd. over claims the chipmaker violated its licensing agreements and trademarks tied to a 2021 acquisition, saying the UK-based tech firm doesn’t have a legitimate basis for its allegations.San Diego-based Qualcomm wants a federal judge in Delaware to conclude it didn’t trample on Arm’s licensing contracts as part of Qualcomm’s $1.4 billion buyout of chip startupNuvia Inc., according to a court filing Wednesday.The dispute focuses on Arm’s licenses with Nuvia for technology used in chip designs. Arm, owned by SoftBank Group Corp., sued Qualcomm for breach of contract and trademark infringement in September, accusing the firm of using the proprietary innovations without permission. In the past, Qualcomm had been one of Arm’s biggest customers.Qualcomm’s lawyers allege Arm’s goal is to “strong-arm Qualcomm into renegotiating the financial terms of the parties’ longstanding license agreements, using this baseless lawsuit as leverage.”Since Qualcomm and Arm are two of the world’s most influential chip companies, the case has drawn attention in the tech industry. Qualcomm is the biggest maker of the processors and modems used in smartphones.Representatives of Arm didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.Qualcomm acquired Nuvia last year to beef up its technology and allow it to field more powerful chips. It’s part of a broader strategy by Qualcomm chief executive officer, Cristiano Amon, to decrease his company’s reliance on the smartphone industry and grab a share of the laptop chip market and the lucrative server processor business.Arm’s suit is designed to hamper Qualcomm’s plans, the US company’s attorneys argued.“With this lawsuit, Arm makes clear to the marketplace it will act recklessly and opportunistically, threatening the development of new and innovative products as a negotiating tactic, not because it has valid license and trademark claims,” according to the filing.The case is Arm Ltd v. Qualcomm Inc., No. 22-1146, US District Court for the District of Delaware (Wilmington)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988884345,"gmtCreate":1666734296787,"gmtModify":1676537795491,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988884345","repostId":"2278020272","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2278020272","pubTimestamp":1666700972,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2278020272?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-25 20:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: You Have Been Warned","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2278020272","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWhile iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the dem","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>While iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the demand for the two high-end models has been declining relative to the prior year.</li><li>The low-end models bring increasing risk that the production numbers for 2023 may be revised downwards, especially if demand continues to weaken further.</li><li>China will likely disappoint as consumer sentiment worsens given the soft iPhone shipments to China and weakening retail sales data as the country continues to be challenging for Apple.</li><li>My 1-year target price for Apple is $135. This represents an 8% downside from current levels.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40f69d8740cc2bafe8656b09f1d0bcff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Ivan-balvan</span></p><p>In my previous article for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), I warned that the demand for iPhone 14&#39;s low-end models was weaker than expected, and this turned out to be true as mainstream media subsequently reported that Apple decided to reduceproduction numbers in the near term.</p><p>In this article, I provide an update to show that the demand for the newest iPhone 14 models continues to fall, even for the high-end models, and highlight the increasing worries for the company in the run-up to its next quarter&#39;s earnings report.</p><h2>Investment thesis</h2><p>I continue to take the view that Apple has a great business model, excellent products with strong brand equity and run by a solid management team. However, I think that this is a challenging environment for Apple as there are increasing risks and uncertainties for the company. I think that the weakening demand for its newest iPhone 14 models is worrying as even the high-end models seem to have lost interest and demand continues to fall for these products. On the other hand, the weak low-end iPhone 14 models have been disappointing and could provide near-term headwinds to production unit numbers as Apple could revise the number downwards if demand falls.</p><p>Another concern that Apple investors need to consider is China, which saw smartphone shipments decline recently, along with weakening retail sales for the third quarter, as consumer sentiment continues to be weak given the tough covid policies taken by the Chinese authorities and the impact of the property and technology sectors on the Chinese economy.</p><p>All in all, I would advise investors to hold the course for Apple as it remains not a good time to be adding to the shares given that the risk-reward perspective is skewed more to the downside, in my view.</p><h2>Demand for iPhones falling off after the initial strong response</h2><p>According to the UBS Evidence Lab data, their analysis showed that the initial strong demand that we saw for the high-end iPhone Pro Max is starting to wane. The UBS Evidence Lab data looks at the availability for the iPhone across more than 30 countries and also analyzed the supply chains and wait times for the iPhones.</p><p>We have seen wait times continue to weaken in recent days relative to post-launch while the US is the only market that continues to be an outlier in terms of wait times. For the US, the wait time for the iPhone 14 Pro Max is now at 27 days, higher than that for China which is at 23 days and the rest of the world at 21 days. As a result, the US region&#39;s strength has actually resulted in an almost 30% sell-through for the iPhone.</p><p>As can be seen below, the trends for the US remain that the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max are the two preferred by consumers, while the demand for the low-end models like iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Plus is actually quite disappointing, in my view.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9509834e5f505bcb3a9da3aa70fc47f\" tg-width=\"536\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>iPhone availability in the US (UBS)</span></p><p>However, when we look at the relative trends for the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max, their demand has really declined over the past few weeks, while the iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max held up their demand over the same period. This does indicate to me a worrying trend even for the high-end models as the demand does seem to be weaker than last year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0450e3eda6b8a53cacc483158a045d03\" tg-width=\"524\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max compared to iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max in the US (UBS)</span></p><h2>Declining demand and the implications for near-term results</h2><p>As I have stated in my previous article that the low-end iPhone 14 demands have been rather weak, the demand for the iPhone 14 is heavily skewed towards to high-end iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max. While this does give a boost in terms of increasing the average selling price for the September as well as the December quarters, I think that the high availability of the low-end iPhones poses a risk to the second half of 2022 and 2023. This risk comes in the form of Apple missing on their units as they scale back production of the low-end models. In fact, just last month, Apple announced that they will be scaling back plans to increase production of the iPhone 14 by 6 million units. Instead, it will be producing a similar number of units as in the last year with an aim of 90 million handsets for the period.</p><p>While I think that Apple will likely shift production focus from the low-end handsets to the high-end handsets, there could be a further risk that the iPhone 14 low-end models continue to miss on the units sold, which could drive production numbers down further than expected.</p><p>As a result, I take the view that there is relatively low upside to the unit forecast of 48 million in September and 83 million in December as the early indicators are showing that we are seeing demand creeping downwards post-launch. In fact, there is a greater risk to the production consensus numbers for the second half of 2022 as well as for calendar year 2023, which is currently at 84 million and 244 million respectively, according to Visible Alpha. The bigger risk, in my view, will be the 244 million units for the calendar year 2023 as there is a risk that the low-end production could continue to be reduced in time to come as demand continues to weaken.</p><h2>China weakness remains a near-term headwind</h2><p>There are worrying trends for Apple&#39;s iPhone business in China as the country is struggling with multiple troubles internally. The July smartphone shipments in China were down 31% in July. While this is partly attributable to the lack of new models, I think that the decline in smartphone shipments also signal increasing troubles for the iPhone demand in China, at least in the near term.</p><p>This is because China&#39;s economy seems to be faltering, as Covid-19 restrictions and lockdowns in cities across China have dampened demand in July. In my view, this will likely continue to cause softness in the near term as China continues to take a zero covid policy approach. While the direct impact of the zero covid policy approach and lockdowns in the cities is that there is lower foot traffic in the malls and Apple stores, the indirect impact is resulting in a heavy toll on the Chinese economy.</p><p>Recently, retail sales in China weakened in the third quarter, which implies weakening consumer sentiment and for Apple, there could be a risk that this might imply lower demand for the high-end iPhone models.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>My 1-year target price for Apple is based on an equal weight of a P/E multiple method, as well as a DCF method. For the P/E multiple method, I apply a 25x P/E multiple to the average of Apple&#39;s FY2023F and FY2024F earnings per share forecasts. While Apple is merely growing at 6% earnings per share CAGR over the next 2 years, I think that the 25x forward multiple is justified given the strong management team, solid brand reputation, as well as the competitive advantages that Apple will continue to enjoy in the future due to its leadership position in the industry. For the DCF method, I apply a terminal multiple of 20x and discount rate of 8%. I have taken into account the near-term weakness in my near-term financial forecasts for Apple as I incorporate in my forecasts some of the risks that arise from the weakening macroeconomic environment. That said, I have yet to price in a full recession scenario in my model for Apple.</p><p>Based on the two valuation methodologies, I arrived at a target price of $135 for Apple. This represents an 8% downside from current levels. While there is potential downside to come in the near term, as well as increasing risks that unit forecasts may miss expectations and demand from China may fall, I maintain my neutral rating for Apple as it continues to look good for the long-term. Apple continues to reap the benefits from the strong brand reputation, solid demand globally, stellar management execution and a long track record of success.</p><h2>Risks</h2><h3>Weakening macroeconomic environment</h3><p>The global macroeconomic environment is facing an increasingly uncertain and gloomy period as global growth seems to be stalling as central banks globally increase interest rates to tackle rising global inflation. TheIMFcontinues to see global challenges that will challenge growth forecasts in the near term.</p><p>For Apple, while its products can be argued to be an essential good for the digital world we live in today, it is still not immune to a global macro slowdown. In particular, Apple could see consumers less willing to change handsets and holding on to current handsets for a longer time during weak economic periods, while also trading down from higher-priced and high-end iPhone models to lower-end models. If the demand for Apple&#39;s products falls more than expected given further weakening of the global economy, this will result in downward revisions for the stock price.</p><h3>China demand</h3><p>As the next growth driver for Apple given the relatively lower penetration in the country as well as increasing affluence, China is an important market for Apple. As a result of tough covid 19 policies as well as the clampdown on the technology sector and the troubles facing the real estate sector, consumer sentiment in the country is rather weak at the current moment. As a result, I think that the demand in China poses one of the bigger risks for Apple as it may fall drastically as the economy worsens given the many challenges the country is facing today.</p><h3>Market share loss in smartphone markets</h3><p>I continue to take the view that Apple has one of the best and strongest competitive moats in the world given that they have a strong brand name globally and they continue to strive to be at the forefront of technological innovation. The risk remains that Apple needs to continue to innovate to maintain this leading position. While there are many other smartphone players in both the low-end and high-end markets, these players currently do not enjoy the same brand recognition and equity that Apple does. However, if its competitors are able to come up with better features or better software, this may undermine Apple&#39;s current dominant position in the industry.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>To sum things up, Apple continues to face near-term headwinds as uncertainties and risks mount for the company. The recently launched iPhone 14 models have seen demand waning, for both the low-end and high-end models. This might signal demand, in general, is falling as consumers become increasingly cost-sensitive as the global economic situation worsens. In particular, there is a risk that Apple may reduce its production numbers if the low-end iPhone 14 models continue to disappoint. In China, Apple has a risk that demand for its products may fall in the near term as the Chinese economy is hurt by the zero-covid policies as well as the impact of the technology and real estate sectors on the Chinese economy. My 1-year target price is $135 for Apple, implying an 8% downside from current levels. As such, I maintain my neutral rating as I continue to think that this is not yet the time to be adding to Apple.</p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>Simple Investing</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: You Have Been Warned</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: You Have Been Warned\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-25 20:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548545-apple-stock-you-have-been-warned><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWhile iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the demand for the two high-end models has been declining relative to the prior year.The low-end models ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548545-apple-stock-you-have-been-warned\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548545-apple-stock-you-have-been-warned","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2278020272","content_text":"SummaryWhile iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max have seen relative strength after the initial launch, the demand for the two high-end models has been declining relative to the prior year.The low-end models bring increasing risk that the production numbers for 2023 may be revised downwards, especially if demand continues to weaken further.China will likely disappoint as consumer sentiment worsens given the soft iPhone shipments to China and weakening retail sales data as the country continues to be challenging for Apple.My 1-year target price for Apple is $135. This represents an 8% downside from current levels.Ivan-balvanIn my previous article for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), I warned that the demand for iPhone 14's low-end models was weaker than expected, and this turned out to be true as mainstream media subsequently reported that Apple decided to reduceproduction numbers in the near term.In this article, I provide an update to show that the demand for the newest iPhone 14 models continues to fall, even for the high-end models, and highlight the increasing worries for the company in the run-up to its next quarter's earnings report.Investment thesisI continue to take the view that Apple has a great business model, excellent products with strong brand equity and run by a solid management team. However, I think that this is a challenging environment for Apple as there are increasing risks and uncertainties for the company. I think that the weakening demand for its newest iPhone 14 models is worrying as even the high-end models seem to have lost interest and demand continues to fall for these products. On the other hand, the weak low-end iPhone 14 models have been disappointing and could provide near-term headwinds to production unit numbers as Apple could revise the number downwards if demand falls.Another concern that Apple investors need to consider is China, which saw smartphone shipments decline recently, along with weakening retail sales for the third quarter, as consumer sentiment continues to be weak given the tough covid policies taken by the Chinese authorities and the impact of the property and technology sectors on the Chinese economy.All in all, I would advise investors to hold the course for Apple as it remains not a good time to be adding to the shares given that the risk-reward perspective is skewed more to the downside, in my view.Demand for iPhones falling off after the initial strong responseAccording to the UBS Evidence Lab data, their analysis showed that the initial strong demand that we saw for the high-end iPhone Pro Max is starting to wane. The UBS Evidence Lab data looks at the availability for the iPhone across more than 30 countries and also analyzed the supply chains and wait times for the iPhones.We have seen wait times continue to weaken in recent days relative to post-launch while the US is the only market that continues to be an outlier in terms of wait times. For the US, the wait time for the iPhone 14 Pro Max is now at 27 days, higher than that for China which is at 23 days and the rest of the world at 21 days. As a result, the US region's strength has actually resulted in an almost 30% sell-through for the iPhone.As can be seen below, the trends for the US remain that the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max are the two preferred by consumers, while the demand for the low-end models like iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Plus is actually quite disappointing, in my view.iPhone availability in the US (UBS)However, when we look at the relative trends for the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max, their demand has really declined over the past few weeks, while the iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max held up their demand over the same period. This does indicate to me a worrying trend even for the high-end models as the demand does seem to be weaker than last year.iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max compared to iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max in the US (UBS)Declining demand and the implications for near-term resultsAs I have stated in my previous article that the low-end iPhone 14 demands have been rather weak, the demand for the iPhone 14 is heavily skewed towards to high-end iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max. While this does give a boost in terms of increasing the average selling price for the September as well as the December quarters, I think that the high availability of the low-end iPhones poses a risk to the second half of 2022 and 2023. This risk comes in the form of Apple missing on their units as they scale back production of the low-end models. In fact, just last month, Apple announced that they will be scaling back plans to increase production of the iPhone 14 by 6 million units. Instead, it will be producing a similar number of units as in the last year with an aim of 90 million handsets for the period.While I think that Apple will likely shift production focus from the low-end handsets to the high-end handsets, there could be a further risk that the iPhone 14 low-end models continue to miss on the units sold, which could drive production numbers down further than expected.As a result, I take the view that there is relatively low upside to the unit forecast of 48 million in September and 83 million in December as the early indicators are showing that we are seeing demand creeping downwards post-launch. In fact, there is a greater risk to the production consensus numbers for the second half of 2022 as well as for calendar year 2023, which is currently at 84 million and 244 million respectively, according to Visible Alpha. The bigger risk, in my view, will be the 244 million units for the calendar year 2023 as there is a risk that the low-end production could continue to be reduced in time to come as demand continues to weaken.China weakness remains a near-term headwindThere are worrying trends for Apple's iPhone business in China as the country is struggling with multiple troubles internally. The July smartphone shipments in China were down 31% in July. While this is partly attributable to the lack of new models, I think that the decline in smartphone shipments also signal increasing troubles for the iPhone demand in China, at least in the near term.This is because China's economy seems to be faltering, as Covid-19 restrictions and lockdowns in cities across China have dampened demand in July. In my view, this will likely continue to cause softness in the near term as China continues to take a zero covid policy approach. While the direct impact of the zero covid policy approach and lockdowns in the cities is that there is lower foot traffic in the malls and Apple stores, the indirect impact is resulting in a heavy toll on the Chinese economy.Recently, retail sales in China weakened in the third quarter, which implies weakening consumer sentiment and for Apple, there could be a risk that this might imply lower demand for the high-end iPhone models.ValuationMy 1-year target price for Apple is based on an equal weight of a P/E multiple method, as well as a DCF method. For the P/E multiple method, I apply a 25x P/E multiple to the average of Apple's FY2023F and FY2024F earnings per share forecasts. While Apple is merely growing at 6% earnings per share CAGR over the next 2 years, I think that the 25x forward multiple is justified given the strong management team, solid brand reputation, as well as the competitive advantages that Apple will continue to enjoy in the future due to its leadership position in the industry. For the DCF method, I apply a terminal multiple of 20x and discount rate of 8%. I have taken into account the near-term weakness in my near-term financial forecasts for Apple as I incorporate in my forecasts some of the risks that arise from the weakening macroeconomic environment. That said, I have yet to price in a full recession scenario in my model for Apple.Based on the two valuation methodologies, I arrived at a target price of $135 for Apple. This represents an 8% downside from current levels. While there is potential downside to come in the near term, as well as increasing risks that unit forecasts may miss expectations and demand from China may fall, I maintain my neutral rating for Apple as it continues to look good for the long-term. Apple continues to reap the benefits from the strong brand reputation, solid demand globally, stellar management execution and a long track record of success.RisksWeakening macroeconomic environmentThe global macroeconomic environment is facing an increasingly uncertain and gloomy period as global growth seems to be stalling as central banks globally increase interest rates to tackle rising global inflation. TheIMFcontinues to see global challenges that will challenge growth forecasts in the near term.For Apple, while its products can be argued to be an essential good for the digital world we live in today, it is still not immune to a global macro slowdown. In particular, Apple could see consumers less willing to change handsets and holding on to current handsets for a longer time during weak economic periods, while also trading down from higher-priced and high-end iPhone models to lower-end models. If the demand for Apple's products falls more than expected given further weakening of the global economy, this will result in downward revisions for the stock price.China demandAs the next growth driver for Apple given the relatively lower penetration in the country as well as increasing affluence, China is an important market for Apple. As a result of tough covid 19 policies as well as the clampdown on the technology sector and the troubles facing the real estate sector, consumer sentiment in the country is rather weak at the current moment. As a result, I think that the demand in China poses one of the bigger risks for Apple as it may fall drastically as the economy worsens given the many challenges the country is facing today.Market share loss in smartphone marketsI continue to take the view that Apple has one of the best and strongest competitive moats in the world given that they have a strong brand name globally and they continue to strive to be at the forefront of technological innovation. The risk remains that Apple needs to continue to innovate to maintain this leading position. While there are many other smartphone players in both the low-end and high-end markets, these players currently do not enjoy the same brand recognition and equity that Apple does. However, if its competitors are able to come up with better features or better software, this may undermine Apple's current dominant position in the industry.ConclusionTo sum things up, Apple continues to face near-term headwinds as uncertainties and risks mount for the company. The recently launched iPhone 14 models have seen demand waning, for both the low-end and high-end models. This might signal demand, in general, is falling as consumers become increasingly cost-sensitive as the global economic situation worsens. In particular, there is a risk that Apple may reduce its production numbers if the low-end iPhone 14 models continue to disappoint. In China, Apple has a risk that demand for its products may fall in the near term as the Chinese economy is hurt by the zero-covid policies as well as the impact of the technology and real estate sectors on the Chinese economy. My 1-year target price is $135 for Apple, implying an 8% downside from current levels. As such, I maintain my neutral rating as I continue to think that this is not yet the time to be adding to Apple.This article is written by Simple Investing for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988047230,"gmtCreate":1666647944020,"gmtModify":1676537781632,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988047230","repostId":"1100014243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100014243","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1666624489,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100014243?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-24 23:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Yellen Says Taking Steps to Enhance Treasury Market, Funds Resilience","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100014243","media":"Reuters","summary":"Oct 24 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Monday the U.S. financial system rem","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Oct 24 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Monday the U.S. financial system remains resilient amid global volatility, but the Treasury is taking steps to mitigate potential risks in the Treasury market and private money market and bond funds.</p><p>Yellen, in remarks prepared for delivery to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association&#39;s (SIFMA) annual meeting in New York, said Treasury was closely monitoring the financial sector.</p><p>&#34;To date, the U.S. financial system has not been a source of economic instability. While we continue to watch for emerging risks, our system remains resilient and continues to operate well through uncertainties,&#34; Yellen said.</p><p>The U.S. Treasury market is currently reflecting greater uncertainty about the economic outlook, but trading volumes are &#34;robust&#34; and transactions are being executed, she said. But Yellen added that recent episodes of stress in the Treasury market pointed to the need to take steps to enhance its resilience.</p><p>&#34;Treasury is working with financial regulators to advance reforms that improve the Treasury market&#39;s ability to absorb shocks and disruptions, rather than to amplify them,&#34; Yellen said.</p><p>An index of near-term volatility in the Treasury market from ICE/Bank of America Merrill Lynch is near the highest level since the spring of 2020 when market dislocations during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic forced the Federal Reserve to step in to restore order.</p><p>Higher market volatility also could expose vulnerabilities in non-bank financial intermediation, Yellen said. She added that Treasury and financial regulators are working to better monitor leverage in private funds and to &#34;develop policies to reduce the first-mover advantage that could lead to investor runs in money market funds and open-end bond funds.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Yellen Says Taking Steps to Enhance Treasury Market, Funds Resilience</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYellen Says Taking Steps to Enhance Treasury Market, Funds Resilience\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-24 23:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Oct 24 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Monday the U.S. financial system remains resilient amid global volatility, but the Treasury is taking steps to mitigate potential risks in the Treasury market and private money market and bond funds.</p><p>Yellen, in remarks prepared for delivery to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association&#39;s (SIFMA) annual meeting in New York, said Treasury was closely monitoring the financial sector.</p><p>&#34;To date, the U.S. financial system has not been a source of economic instability. While we continue to watch for emerging risks, our system remains resilient and continues to operate well through uncertainties,&#34; Yellen said.</p><p>The U.S. Treasury market is currently reflecting greater uncertainty about the economic outlook, but trading volumes are &#34;robust&#34; and transactions are being executed, she said. But Yellen added that recent episodes of stress in the Treasury market pointed to the need to take steps to enhance its resilience.</p><p>&#34;Treasury is working with financial regulators to advance reforms that improve the Treasury market&#39;s ability to absorb shocks and disruptions, rather than to amplify them,&#34; Yellen said.</p><p>An index of near-term volatility in the Treasury market from ICE/Bank of America Merrill Lynch is near the highest level since the spring of 2020 when market dislocations during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic forced the Federal Reserve to step in to restore order.</p><p>Higher market volatility also could expose vulnerabilities in non-bank financial intermediation, Yellen said. She added that Treasury and financial regulators are working to better monitor leverage in private funds and to &#34;develop policies to reduce the first-mover advantage that could lead to investor runs in money market funds and open-end bond funds.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100014243","content_text":"Oct 24 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Monday the U.S. financial system remains resilient amid global volatility, but the Treasury is taking steps to mitigate potential risks in the Treasury market and private money market and bond funds.Yellen, in remarks prepared for delivery to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association's (SIFMA) annual meeting in New York, said Treasury was closely monitoring the financial sector.\"To date, the U.S. financial system has not been a source of economic instability. While we continue to watch for emerging risks, our system remains resilient and continues to operate well through uncertainties,\" Yellen said.The U.S. Treasury market is currently reflecting greater uncertainty about the economic outlook, but trading volumes are \"robust\" and transactions are being executed, she said. But Yellen added that recent episodes of stress in the Treasury market pointed to the need to take steps to enhance its resilience.\"Treasury is working with financial regulators to advance reforms that improve the Treasury market's ability to absorb shocks and disruptions, rather than to amplify them,\" Yellen said.An index of near-term volatility in the Treasury market from ICE/Bank of America Merrill Lynch is near the highest level since the spring of 2020 when market dislocations during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic forced the Federal Reserve to step in to restore order.Higher market volatility also could expose vulnerabilities in non-bank financial intermediation, Yellen said. She added that Treasury and financial regulators are working to better monitor leverage in private funds and to \"develop policies to reduce the first-mover advantage that could lead to investor runs in money market funds and open-end bond funds.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":53,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988047113,"gmtCreate":1666647894332,"gmtModify":1676537781624,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988047113","repostId":"2277240299","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2277240299","pubTimestamp":1666685056,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2277240299?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-25 16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Which Stocks Are Most Likely to Thrive in a Recession? Here's What History Shows","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2277240299","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Recession-proof stocks must offer something that makes investors want to buy them even when the economy is tanking.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>We won&#39;t officially be in a recession until the National Bureau of Economic Research says so. However, you can nearly throw a rock in any direction and find an economist who thinks a recession is probably on the way.</p><p>For example, Johns Hopkins economics professor Steve Hanke stated a month ago that he believes there&#39;s at least an 80% chance of a recession. Non-profit research group The Conference Board recently pegged the probability at 96%. The latest Bloomberg economic model projects a 100% chance of a recession by October 2023.</p><p>These forecasts don&#39;t guarantee that a recession is coming. But it&#39;s possible that the current bear market will continue for a while longer. That doesn&#39;t mean that every stock will be a big loser, though. Which stocks are most likely to thrive in a recession? Here&#39;s what history shows.</p><h2>Some bad news</h2><p>The SPDR Select Sector exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are good proxies for gauging how different sectors perform during recessions. One primary downside of using them is that most of these ETFs have only been around since the late 1990s. However, the U.S. has experienced three recessions during that period, so the SPDR Select Sector ETFs should be able to help in determining which stocks historically thrive in a recession.</p><p>I&#39;ve got some bad news, though. None of the SPDR Select Sector ETFs performed well in all three recessions that occurred over the past 25 years.</p><p>The <b>Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund</b> held up well during the recession of 2001. However, it still slid a little. The <b>Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF</b> performed similarly during the first recession of this century. (The shaded area in the charts below indicates the period when the U.S. economy was in recession.)</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853673b3d7036f65675cb75460619a54\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>XLP data by YCharts</span></p><p>However, both of these ETFs plunged during the Great Recession that began in late 2007 and went through mid-2009. So did every other sector ETF -- including (perhaps surprisingly) the <b>Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund</b>.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02a98d572e35a8953471c6c7828d2061\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>XLP data by YCharts</span></p><p>All of the sector ETFs also tanked during the brief coronavirus-fueled recession of 2020. However, the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund didn&#39;t fall nearly as much as the others did.</p><h2>Looking for exceptions</h2><p>The cold, hard truth is that no category of stocks thrives in all recessions. But it&#39;s clear from examining the past that consumer staples stocks tend to perform better than most. Your best bet, though, is to look for exceptions. I&#39;m referring to stocks that have factors working to their advantage so much that investors want to buy them even when the overall economy stinks.</p><p><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b> stood out as this kind of stock during the recession of 2001. The healthcare giant continued to deliver revenue and earnings growth throughout the period. It completed the $10.5 billion acquisition of ALZA Corporation. The blue-chip stock was also viewed as a safe haven for investors worried about the dot-com bubble bursting.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f6c443d5d4b1ad723b683769a5fdc5f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>JNJ data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>Walmart</b> performed exceptionally well during the Great Recession, especially considering how most stocks plunged. Investors realized that the serious economic downturn would mean that consumers would have to tighten their purse strings. That worked to the advantage of the big discount retailer.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55b80d8bd9dda516f36e873284c8ef2e\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>WMT data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>Moderna</b>&#39;s share price skyrocketed during the quick recession of 2020. That&#39;s not surprising. The company was one of the early leaders in developing coronavirus vaccines. Moderna was a natural choice for investors to flock to during the uncertain times at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0182e88d0371524d986b304119608277\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>MRNA data by YCharts</span></p><h2>Likely outliers in the next recession</h2><p>Which stocks might be outliers in the next recession, assuming it isn&#39;t too far off? I think we can learn from history.</p><p>Walmart could again defy gravity if the U.S. economy enters into a recession. My view is that another discount retailer, <b>Dollar General</b>, should do so as well.</p><p>Dollar General is outperforming Walmart so far this year. The company continues to build new stores. It&#39;s also expanding its frozen and refrigerated goods offerings. Dollar General should benefit as consumers increasingly try to stretch their dollars.</p><p>Just as Johnson &amp; Johnson and Moderna performed well during two previous recessions, I suspect another drug stock will do so during the next recession -- <b>Vertex Pharmaceuticals</b>. Vertex&#39;s revenue and earnings will almost certainly grow robustly even amid an economic downturn.</p><p>The big biotech also has a pipeline with multiple potential blockbusters likely on the way. Vertex expects to file for regulatory approvals for one of them (gene-editing therapy exa-cel) before year-end. With fears of a recession increasing, I think that Vertex is arguably the best stock to buy right now.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Which Stocks Are Most Likely to Thrive in a Recession? Here's What History Shows</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhich Stocks Are Most Likely to Thrive in a Recession? Here's What History Shows\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-25 16:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/23/stocks-most-likely-to-thrive-in-recession/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We won't officially be in a recession until the National Bureau of Economic Research says so. However, you can nearly throw a rock in any direction and find an economist who thinks a recession is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/23/stocks-most-likely-to-thrive-in-recession/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JNJ":"强生","XLB":"材料ETF","WMT":"沃尔玛","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","DG":"美国达乐公司","XLU":"公共事业指数ETF-SPDR","VRTX":"福泰制药","XLP":"消费品指数ETF-SPDR主要消费品"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/23/stocks-most-likely-to-thrive-in-recession/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2277240299","content_text":"We won't officially be in a recession until the National Bureau of Economic Research says so. However, you can nearly throw a rock in any direction and find an economist who thinks a recession is probably on the way.For example, Johns Hopkins economics professor Steve Hanke stated a month ago that he believes there's at least an 80% chance of a recession. Non-profit research group The Conference Board recently pegged the probability at 96%. The latest Bloomberg economic model projects a 100% chance of a recession by October 2023.These forecasts don't guarantee that a recession is coming. But it's possible that the current bear market will continue for a while longer. That doesn't mean that every stock will be a big loser, though. Which stocks are most likely to thrive in a recession? Here's what history shows.Some bad newsThe SPDR Select Sector exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are good proxies for gauging how different sectors perform during recessions. One primary downside of using them is that most of these ETFs have only been around since the late 1990s. However, the U.S. has experienced three recessions during that period, so the SPDR Select Sector ETFs should be able to help in determining which stocks historically thrive in a recession.I've got some bad news, though. None of the SPDR Select Sector ETFs performed well in all three recessions that occurred over the past 25 years.The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund held up well during the recession of 2001. However, it still slid a little. The Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF performed similarly during the first recession of this century. (The shaded area in the charts below indicates the period when the U.S. economy was in recession.)XLP data by YChartsHowever, both of these ETFs plunged during the Great Recession that began in late 2007 and went through mid-2009. So did every other sector ETF -- including (perhaps surprisingly) the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund.XLP data by YChartsAll of the sector ETFs also tanked during the brief coronavirus-fueled recession of 2020. However, the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund didn't fall nearly as much as the others did.Looking for exceptionsThe cold, hard truth is that no category of stocks thrives in all recessions. But it's clear from examining the past that consumer staples stocks tend to perform better than most. Your best bet, though, is to look for exceptions. I'm referring to stocks that have factors working to their advantage so much that investors want to buy them even when the overall economy stinks.Johnson & Johnson stood out as this kind of stock during the recession of 2001. The healthcare giant continued to deliver revenue and earnings growth throughout the period. It completed the $10.5 billion acquisition of ALZA Corporation. The blue-chip stock was also viewed as a safe haven for investors worried about the dot-com bubble bursting.JNJ data by YChartsWalmart performed exceptionally well during the Great Recession, especially considering how most stocks plunged. Investors realized that the serious economic downturn would mean that consumers would have to tighten their purse strings. That worked to the advantage of the big discount retailer.WMT data by YChartsModerna's share price skyrocketed during the quick recession of 2020. That's not surprising. The company was one of the early leaders in developing coronavirus vaccines. Moderna was a natural choice for investors to flock to during the uncertain times at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic.MRNA data by YChartsLikely outliers in the next recessionWhich stocks might be outliers in the next recession, assuming it isn't too far off? I think we can learn from history.Walmart could again defy gravity if the U.S. economy enters into a recession. My view is that another discount retailer, Dollar General, should do so as well.Dollar General is outperforming Walmart so far this year. The company continues to build new stores. It's also expanding its frozen and refrigerated goods offerings. Dollar General should benefit as consumers increasingly try to stretch their dollars.Just as Johnson & Johnson and Moderna performed well during two previous recessions, I suspect another drug stock will do so during the next recession -- Vertex Pharmaceuticals. Vertex's revenue and earnings will almost certainly grow robustly even amid an economic downturn.The big biotech also has a pipeline with multiple potential blockbusters likely on the way. Vertex expects to file for regulatory approvals for one of them (gene-editing therapy exa-cel) before year-end. With fears of a recession increasing, I think that Vertex is arguably the best stock to buy right now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981615520,"gmtCreate":1666490771960,"gmtModify":1676537761290,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981615520","repostId":"2277744230","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2277744230","pubTimestamp":1666489360,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2277744230?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-23 09:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Spectacular Stocks Down 58% to 82% to Buy on the Dip","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2277744230","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Investors looking for long-term growth in this challenging market might want to consider these three stocks.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Bear markets are never easy to navigate, and the <b>Nasdaq 100</b> technology index is on pace for the worst annual decline since the 2008 global financial crisis. But one hallmark of every market downturn is opportunity: High-quality stocks often overshoot to the downside amid broader declines which are driven largely by fear.</p><p>A panel of Motley Fool contributors have identified <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">Advanced Micro Devices </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDOG\">Datadog</a> (DDOG), and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\">Shopify</a> as three opportunities investors should consider buying on the dip, as each stock is trading at a steep discount to its all-time high. Let&#39;s explore the details.</p><h2>A best-in-class semiconductor stock trading at a 65% discount</h2><p><b>Anthony Di Pizio (Advanced Micro Devices):</b> Semiconductors are the advanced computer chips essential to our most prized electronics, and the cloud computing technology that hosts our online experiences. Advanced Micro Devices is a world-class semiconductor producer, and it&#39;s one of the most diverse in the entire industry.</p><p>The company makes hardware for both the <b>Sony</b> PlayStation 5 and the <b>Microsoft</b> Xbox gaming consoles, and its chips are responsible for powering the infotainment systems in <b>Tesla</b>&#39;s electric vehicles. But that&#39;s not all: It also works with all the top providers of cloud services, from <b>Amazon</b> Web Services to Microsoft Azure to <b>Alphabet</b>&#39;s Google Cloud.</p><p>Now, AMD is set to take a leadership position in high-performance computing thanks to its $49 billion acquisition of Xilinx earlier this year. Xilinx is a pioneer in adaptive computing, which could be the future for advanced technologies like artificial intelligence (AI). Mainstream semiconductors are often in a solid state, meaning they need to be swapped out for new ones when it&#39;s time to upgrade. But adaptive chips can adjust to the user&#39;s needs in real time and can be reconfigured even after the manufacturing process -- shortening the upgrade cycle.</p><p>AMD just reported disappointing preliminary results for the third quarter of 2022, booking $5.6 billion in revenue, for growth of just 29% year over year. However, the data center segment continued to shine with $1.6 billion in revenue and a growth rate of 45%. The company&#39;s greatest opportunities over the long run could be in the data center, especially when it comes to applying adaptive technologies, so it&#39;s promising to see the segment remaining strong.</p><p>Plus, according to analysts&#39; expectations, the company remains on track to grow total sales by 45% for the whole of 2022, to $23.8 billion. With AMD stock down 65% from its all-time high, this could be a prime opportunity to take a position.</p><h2>An appealing balance between growth and profitability, now at a 58% discount</h2><p><b>Jamie Louko (Datadog):</b> Technology and software companies have fallen out of favor with investors lately, but that doesn&#39;t mean there aren&#39;t high-quality businesses in the space. While many investors have fled from the tech sector, companies like Datadog have continued to post stellar adoption rates and profits.</p><p>Datadog operates application observability and performance monitoring software, which helps customers ensure that their digital applications and tech infrastructure are running smoothly and effectively. This is a must-have service for customers, so it makes sense that demand has remained relatively stable this year, despite the concerning economic backdrop. According to <b>Gartner</b>, Datadog is a leader in the space; this helped the company achieve 74% year-over-year top-line growth in Q2, reaching $406 million in revenue.</p><p>Importantly, Datadog has profit and cash flow coming in, signaling that it isn&#39;t sacrificing profits to achieve artificially higher growth rates. Over the trailing 12 months, Datadog generated almost $354 million in free cash flow -- for a 26% margin -- while keeping net income at $6.5 million.</p><p>This cash flow can help the company do something critical to continue thriving in this space: innovate. Competition is fierce in the application performance monitoring space, with immense pressure from established rivals like <b>Dynatrace</b>. For Datadog to maintain its leadership status, it must continue to build and release new products for customers, and the company has done that. As of August, Datadog had announced the rollout of six products in 2022, and it expects to roll out even more by year&#39;s end.</p><p>With shares down 58% from all-time highs, Datadog&#39;s valuation has fallen from an egregious multiple to a much more acceptable one; shares trade at 74 times free cash flow. While that&#39;s still expensive on an absolute basis, it&#39;s far lower than earlier this year, when the stock was valued as high as 200 times free cash flow.</p><p>Considering the company&#39;s leadership and flawless execution in an industry expected to be worth $53 billion in 2025, Datadog looks worth paying up for.</p><h2>The market leader in e-commerce software, at an 82% discount</h2><p><b>Trevor Jennewine (Shopify):</b> Shopify makes it easy for merchants to manage an omnichannel business. Its software helps sellers build direct-to-consumer (D2C) websites, and it also integrates with online marketplaces like Amazon and social media like Alphabet&#39;s YouTube. Shopify sweetens the deal with adjacent services including discounted shipping, financing, and payment processing.</p><p>The comprehensive nature of its offerings has made it popular with small businesses, though Shopify Plus -- a more customizable option for larger businesses -- is also gaining traction. In fact, Shopify and Shopify Plus rank as the top two e-commerce platforms in terms of market presence, according to G2 Grid, and Shopify powered 10.3% of online retail sales in the U.S. last year, second only to Amazon.</p><p>Despite that strong market position, Shopify has struggled with high inflation this year, as evidenced by its disappointing financial results. Revenue climbed just 16% in the second quarter, and the company posted a non-GAAP (adjusted) loss of $0.03 per diluted share, down from a non-GAAP profit of $0.22 per diluted share in the prior year. As a result, Shopify has seen its share price plunge 82% since last peaking in November 2021.</p><p>However, investors need to focus on the big picture. Shopify actually continued to gain market share in U.S. retail, both online and offline, through the first half of 2022. Moreover, temporary economic headwinds leave the long-term investment thesis unchanged: Shopify is the leading e-commerce software vendor, and it has a particularly strong foothold in the U.S. That bodes well for the future, as online retail sales in the U.S. will grow faster than 12% annually to approach $1.7 trillion by 2026.</p><p>But Shopify is also working to strengthen its position and expand its market opportunity. For instance, it recently added business-to-business (B2B) commerce tools to Shopify Plus, so Plus merchants can now sell D2C and B2B from the same platform. That could be a game changer for a couple of reasons. First, it makes Shopify a more compelling option for larger sellers. In fact, management says more than half of existing Plus merchants could utilize B2B tools. Second, it should allow Shopify to capitalize on the massive B2B market. For context, global B2B e-commerce sales are expected to grow at nearly 20% annually to reach $33 trillion by 2030, according to Grand View Research.</p><p>Currently, Shopify is bouncing off a 52-week low, and shares trade at an inexpensive 7.5 times sales. That&#39;s why this beaten-down growth stock is worth buying now.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Spectacular Stocks Down 58% to 82% to Buy on the Dip</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Spectacular Stocks Down 58% to 82% to Buy on the Dip\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-23 09:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/22/3-spectacular-stocks-down-58-to-82-to-buy-on-dip/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Bear markets are never easy to navigate, and the Nasdaq 100 technology index is on pace for the worst annual decline since the 2008 global financial crisis. But one hallmark of every market downturn ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/22/3-spectacular-stocks-down-58-to-82-to-buy-on-dip/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SHOP":"Shopify Inc","AMD":"美国超微公司","DDOG":"Datadog"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/22/3-spectacular-stocks-down-58-to-82-to-buy-on-dip/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2277744230","content_text":"Bear markets are never easy to navigate, and the Nasdaq 100 technology index is on pace for the worst annual decline since the 2008 global financial crisis. But one hallmark of every market downturn is opportunity: High-quality stocks often overshoot to the downside amid broader declines which are driven largely by fear.A panel of Motley Fool contributors have identified Advanced Micro Devices , Datadog (DDOG), and Shopify as three opportunities investors should consider buying on the dip, as each stock is trading at a steep discount to its all-time high. Let's explore the details.A best-in-class semiconductor stock trading at a 65% discountAnthony Di Pizio (Advanced Micro Devices): Semiconductors are the advanced computer chips essential to our most prized electronics, and the cloud computing technology that hosts our online experiences. Advanced Micro Devices is a world-class semiconductor producer, and it's one of the most diverse in the entire industry.The company makes hardware for both the Sony PlayStation 5 and the Microsoft Xbox gaming consoles, and its chips are responsible for powering the infotainment systems in Tesla's electric vehicles. But that's not all: It also works with all the top providers of cloud services, from Amazon Web Services to Microsoft Azure to Alphabet's Google Cloud.Now, AMD is set to take a leadership position in high-performance computing thanks to its $49 billion acquisition of Xilinx earlier this year. Xilinx is a pioneer in adaptive computing, which could be the future for advanced technologies like artificial intelligence (AI). Mainstream semiconductors are often in a solid state, meaning they need to be swapped out for new ones when it's time to upgrade. But adaptive chips can adjust to the user's needs in real time and can be reconfigured even after the manufacturing process -- shortening the upgrade cycle.AMD just reported disappointing preliminary results for the third quarter of 2022, booking $5.6 billion in revenue, for growth of just 29% year over year. However, the data center segment continued to shine with $1.6 billion in revenue and a growth rate of 45%. The company's greatest opportunities over the long run could be in the data center, especially when it comes to applying adaptive technologies, so it's promising to see the segment remaining strong.Plus, according to analysts' expectations, the company remains on track to grow total sales by 45% for the whole of 2022, to $23.8 billion. With AMD stock down 65% from its all-time high, this could be a prime opportunity to take a position.An appealing balance between growth and profitability, now at a 58% discountJamie Louko (Datadog): Technology and software companies have fallen out of favor with investors lately, but that doesn't mean there aren't high-quality businesses in the space. While many investors have fled from the tech sector, companies like Datadog have continued to post stellar adoption rates and profits.Datadog operates application observability and performance monitoring software, which helps customers ensure that their digital applications and tech infrastructure are running smoothly and effectively. This is a must-have service for customers, so it makes sense that demand has remained relatively stable this year, despite the concerning economic backdrop. According to Gartner, Datadog is a leader in the space; this helped the company achieve 74% year-over-year top-line growth in Q2, reaching $406 million in revenue.Importantly, Datadog has profit and cash flow coming in, signaling that it isn't sacrificing profits to achieve artificially higher growth rates. Over the trailing 12 months, Datadog generated almost $354 million in free cash flow -- for a 26% margin -- while keeping net income at $6.5 million.This cash flow can help the company do something critical to continue thriving in this space: innovate. Competition is fierce in the application performance monitoring space, with immense pressure from established rivals like Dynatrace. For Datadog to maintain its leadership status, it must continue to build and release new products for customers, and the company has done that. As of August, Datadog had announced the rollout of six products in 2022, and it expects to roll out even more by year's end.With shares down 58% from all-time highs, Datadog's valuation has fallen from an egregious multiple to a much more acceptable one; shares trade at 74 times free cash flow. While that's still expensive on an absolute basis, it's far lower than earlier this year, when the stock was valued as high as 200 times free cash flow.Considering the company's leadership and flawless execution in an industry expected to be worth $53 billion in 2025, Datadog looks worth paying up for.The market leader in e-commerce software, at an 82% discountTrevor Jennewine (Shopify): Shopify makes it easy for merchants to manage an omnichannel business. Its software helps sellers build direct-to-consumer (D2C) websites, and it also integrates with online marketplaces like Amazon and social media like Alphabet's YouTube. Shopify sweetens the deal with adjacent services including discounted shipping, financing, and payment processing.The comprehensive nature of its offerings has made it popular with small businesses, though Shopify Plus -- a more customizable option for larger businesses -- is also gaining traction. In fact, Shopify and Shopify Plus rank as the top two e-commerce platforms in terms of market presence, according to G2 Grid, and Shopify powered 10.3% of online retail sales in the U.S. last year, second only to Amazon.Despite that strong market position, Shopify has struggled with high inflation this year, as evidenced by its disappointing financial results. Revenue climbed just 16% in the second quarter, and the company posted a non-GAAP (adjusted) loss of $0.03 per diluted share, down from a non-GAAP profit of $0.22 per diluted share in the prior year. As a result, Shopify has seen its share price plunge 82% since last peaking in November 2021.However, investors need to focus on the big picture. Shopify actually continued to gain market share in U.S. retail, both online and offline, through the first half of 2022. Moreover, temporary economic headwinds leave the long-term investment thesis unchanged: Shopify is the leading e-commerce software vendor, and it has a particularly strong foothold in the U.S. That bodes well for the future, as online retail sales in the U.S. will grow faster than 12% annually to approach $1.7 trillion by 2026.But Shopify is also working to strengthen its position and expand its market opportunity. For instance, it recently added business-to-business (B2B) commerce tools to Shopify Plus, so Plus merchants can now sell D2C and B2B from the same platform. That could be a game changer for a couple of reasons. First, it makes Shopify a more compelling option for larger sellers. In fact, management says more than half of existing Plus merchants could utilize B2B tools. Second, it should allow Shopify to capitalize on the massive B2B market. For context, global B2B e-commerce sales are expected to grow at nearly 20% annually to reach $33 trillion by 2030, according to Grand View Research.Currently, Shopify is bouncing off a 52-week low, and shares trade at an inexpensive 7.5 times sales. That's why this beaten-down growth stock is worth buying now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9957597108,"gmtCreate":1677375098905,"gmtModify":1677375102377,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957597108","repostId":"1117520516","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117520516","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1677334099,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1117520516?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-25 22:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117520516","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Warren Buffett is still betting on America.Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks rais","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett is still betting on America.</p><p>Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.</p><p>Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.</p><p>The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.</p><p>As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.</p><p>“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.</p><p>The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.</p><p>Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.</p><p>Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.</p><p>“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.</p><h2>Read the full letter here:</h2><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.</p><p>A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.</p><p>Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.</p><p>The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.</p><p>Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?</p><h2>What We Do</h2><p>Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.</p><p>In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.</p><p>Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”</p><p>One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.</p><p>Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)</p><p>Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.</p><h2>The Secret Sauce</h2><p>In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.</p><p>The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.</p><p>American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.</p><p>These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.</p><p>Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.</p><p>The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.</p><h2>The Past Year in Brief</h2><p>Berkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e74650656620f9fa3f1e55c15a90e5\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"207\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.</p><p>A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.</p><p>Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.</p><p>The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.</p><p>Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?</p><p>When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).</p><p>Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.</p><p>And that is a promise we can make.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.</p><p>That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.</p><h2>58 Years – and a Few Figures</h2><p>In 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.</p><p>And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.</p><p>Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.</p><p>Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&amp;P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.</p><p>In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.</p><p>At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.</p><p>In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and</p><p>$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.</p><p>As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.</p><p>At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.</p><h2>Some Surprising Facts About Federal Taxes</h2><p>During the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.</p><p>Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.</p><p>The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.</p><p>And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:</p><p>- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.</p><p>- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.</p><p>- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.</p><p>When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.</p><p>I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.</p><h2>Nothing Beats Having a Great Partner</h2><p>Charlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.</p><p>Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:</p><p>- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.</p><p>- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.</p><p>- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.</p><p>- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.</p><p>- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.</p><p>- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.</p><p>- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.</p><p>- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.</p><p>- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.</p><p>- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.</p><p>- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.</p><p>- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.</p><p>- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.</p><p>- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.</p><p>- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”</p><p>And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.</p><h2>A Family Gathering in Omaha</h2><p>Charlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.</p><p>From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?</p><p>I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.</p><p>On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.</p><p>Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.</p><p>February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett </p><p>Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-25 22:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett is still betting on America.</p><p>Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.</p><p>Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.</p><p>The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.</p><p>As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.</p><p>“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.</p><p>The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.</p><p>Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.</p><p>Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.</p><p>“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.</p><h2>Read the full letter here:</h2><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.</p><p>A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.</p><p>Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.</p><p>The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.</p><p>Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?</p><h2>What We Do</h2><p>Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.</p><p>In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.</p><p>Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”</p><p>One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.</p><p>Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)</p><p>Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.</p><h2>The Secret Sauce</h2><p>In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.</p><p>The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.</p><p>American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.</p><p>These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.</p><p>Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.</p><p>The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.</p><h2>The Past Year in Brief</h2><p>Berkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e74650656620f9fa3f1e55c15a90e5\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"207\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.</p><p>A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.</p><p>Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.</p><p>The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.</p><p>Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?</p><p>When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).</p><p>Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.</p><p>And that is a promise we can make.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.</p><p>That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.</p><h2>58 Years – and a Few Figures</h2><p>In 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.</p><p>And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.</p><p>Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.</p><p>Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&amp;P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.</p><p>In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.</p><p>At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.</p><p>In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and</p><p>$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.</p><p>As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.</p><p>At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.</p><h2>Some Surprising Facts About Federal Taxes</h2><p>During the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.</p><p>Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.</p><p>The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.</p><p>And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:</p><p>- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.</p><p>- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.</p><p>- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.</p><p>When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.</p><p>I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.</p><h2>Nothing Beats Having a Great Partner</h2><p>Charlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.</p><p>Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:</p><p>- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.</p><p>- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.</p><p>- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.</p><p>- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.</p><p>- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.</p><p>- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.</p><p>- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.</p><p>- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.</p><p>- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.</p><p>- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.</p><p>- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.</p><p>- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.</p><p>- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.</p><p>- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.</p><p>- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”</p><p>And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.</p><h2>A Family Gathering in Omaha</h2><p>Charlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.</p><p>From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?</p><p>I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.</p><p>On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.</p><p>Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.</p><p>February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett </p><p>Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117520516","content_text":"Warren Buffett is still betting on America.Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.Read the full letter here:To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?What We DoCharlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.* * * * * * * * * * * *At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.The Secret SauceIn August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.The Past Year in BriefBerkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.* * * * * * * * * * * *A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.And that is a promise we can make.* * * * * * * * * * * *Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.58 Years – and a Few FiguresIn 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.Some Surprising Facts About Federal TaxesDuring the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.* * * * * * * * * * * *Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”* * * * * * * * * * * *At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.Nothing Beats Having a Great PartnerCharlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.* * * * * * * * * * * *I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.A Family Gathering in OmahaCharlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.* * * * * * * * * * * *Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957218669,"gmtCreate":1677282588451,"gmtModify":1677282591811,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957218669","repostId":"2314343613","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2314343613","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1677280410,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2314343613?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-25 07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Further Fed Hikes Expected After Data Dashes \"Disinflation\" Hopes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2314343613","media":"Reuters","summary":"Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will need to push interest rates higher and keep them ele","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will need to push interest rates higher and keep them elevated longer than previously projected rose on Friday after data showed a key inflation gauge accelerated last month.</p><p>Even so, Fed policymakers speaking on Friday did not push for a return to the kind of aggressive action that marked last year&#39;s interest-rate hikes, suggesting that for now central bankers are content to stick to a gradual tightening path despite signs that inflation is not cooling as they had hoped.</p><p>The Commerce Department reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the metric by which the Fed measures its 2% inflation target, rose 5.4% last month from a year earlier, a pickup from an upwardly revised 5.3% annual pace in December.</p><p>Underlying &#34;core&#34; inflation climbed a faster-than-expected 4.7% from a year earlier, compared to December&#39;s upwardly revised 4.6% pace.</p><p>The report &#34;is another indication that the impulse of inflation and price pressures is still with us,&#34; Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told Reuters on the sidelines of a conference in New York. &#34;It&#39;s going to take more effort on the part of the Fed to get inflation on that sustainable downward path to 2%.&#34;</p><p>Even so, Mester -- who had wanted a half-point hike at the Fed&#39;s last meeting -- said she could not yet say if she would support such a large hike at the Fed&#39;s upcoming meeting.</p><p>She is among the minority of Fed policymakers who in December thought they would need to lift the policy rate to 5.4% to stop inflation, while most believed 5.1% would suffice. Earlier on Friday she said she had not revised her view.</p><p>Similarly, none of the other Fed policymakers who spoke on Friday, including the normally hawkish Governor Christopher Waller and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, focused on the fresh inflation data to argue for a more muscular Fed response. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said more rate hikes will be needed, but did not specify a particular stopping point.</p><p>Implied yields on federal funds futures contracts rose on Friday as traders firmed up expectations for at least three more rate hikes through June, a path that would push the U.S. central bank&#39;s benchmark overnight interest rate to the 5.25%-5.50% range, from the current 4.50%-4.75% range.</p><p>Pricing also now puts about a 40% chance of an even higher stopping point for that rate, up from about 30% prior to the release of the PCE data.</p><p>And traders largely erased what had been consistent bets on Fed rate cuts toward the end of the year, pricing in a year-end Fed policy rate of 5.26%.</p><p>&#34;There are inflationary pressures in the economy, the level of inflation is still too high, and it&#39;s going to take more on the monetary policy side to get inflation down, Mester said.</p><p>Economic data in recent weeks has generally come in stronger than expected, with job growth still robust and wage gains exceeding what Fed Governor Phillip Jefferson said on Friday was consistent with a timely return to 2% inflation.</p><p>Revisions to data from prior months in Friday&#39;s Commerce Department report showed inflation did not cool in November and December as much as had been thought, and spending in January rose more than expected even as the savings rate increased.</p><p>All told, the economic readings may throw doubt on Fed Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s assessment this month that the &#34;disinflationary process&#34; had begun, a view that seemed to justify the central bank&#39;s decision at its Jan. 31-Feb. 1 policy meeting to deliver a quarter-percentage-point rate increase after a string of bigger hikes in 2022.</p><p>&#34;If the Fed had this data at the last meeting, they probably would&#39;ve raised by 50 (basis points) and the tone from the press conference would&#39;ve been a lot different,&#34; said Gene Goldman, chief investment officer at Cetera Investment Management.</p><p>Goldman said he expects the next round of Fed projections, to be published in March, to signal rates will rise father and stay there longer than previously thought.</p><p>&#34;It looks like the Fed will have to be more aggressive,&#34; said Yelena Shulyatyeva, an economist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNPQF\">BNP Paribas</a>. &#34;They will probably overdo it, in our view, and that will eventually lead to a recession; the question is more like when, not whether, it will be a recession.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Further Fed Hikes Expected After Data Dashes \"Disinflation\" Hopes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFurther Fed Hikes Expected After Data Dashes \"Disinflation\" Hopes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-25 07:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will need to push interest rates higher and keep them elevated longer than previously projected rose on Friday after data showed a key inflation gauge accelerated last month.</p><p>Even so, Fed policymakers speaking on Friday did not push for a return to the kind of aggressive action that marked last year&#39;s interest-rate hikes, suggesting that for now central bankers are content to stick to a gradual tightening path despite signs that inflation is not cooling as they had hoped.</p><p>The Commerce Department reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the metric by which the Fed measures its 2% inflation target, rose 5.4% last month from a year earlier, a pickup from an upwardly revised 5.3% annual pace in December.</p><p>Underlying &#34;core&#34; inflation climbed a faster-than-expected 4.7% from a year earlier, compared to December&#39;s upwardly revised 4.6% pace.</p><p>The report &#34;is another indication that the impulse of inflation and price pressures is still with us,&#34; Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told Reuters on the sidelines of a conference in New York. &#34;It&#39;s going to take more effort on the part of the Fed to get inflation on that sustainable downward path to 2%.&#34;</p><p>Even so, Mester -- who had wanted a half-point hike at the Fed&#39;s last meeting -- said she could not yet say if she would support such a large hike at the Fed&#39;s upcoming meeting.</p><p>She is among the minority of Fed policymakers who in December thought they would need to lift the policy rate to 5.4% to stop inflation, while most believed 5.1% would suffice. Earlier on Friday she said she had not revised her view.</p><p>Similarly, none of the other Fed policymakers who spoke on Friday, including the normally hawkish Governor Christopher Waller and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, focused on the fresh inflation data to argue for a more muscular Fed response. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said more rate hikes will be needed, but did not specify a particular stopping point.</p><p>Implied yields on federal funds futures contracts rose on Friday as traders firmed up expectations for at least three more rate hikes through June, a path that would push the U.S. central bank&#39;s benchmark overnight interest rate to the 5.25%-5.50% range, from the current 4.50%-4.75% range.</p><p>Pricing also now puts about a 40% chance of an even higher stopping point for that rate, up from about 30% prior to the release of the PCE data.</p><p>And traders largely erased what had been consistent bets on Fed rate cuts toward the end of the year, pricing in a year-end Fed policy rate of 5.26%.</p><p>&#34;There are inflationary pressures in the economy, the level of inflation is still too high, and it&#39;s going to take more on the monetary policy side to get inflation down, Mester said.</p><p>Economic data in recent weeks has generally come in stronger than expected, with job growth still robust and wage gains exceeding what Fed Governor Phillip Jefferson said on Friday was consistent with a timely return to 2% inflation.</p><p>Revisions to data from prior months in Friday&#39;s Commerce Department report showed inflation did not cool in November and December as much as had been thought, and spending in January rose more than expected even as the savings rate increased.</p><p>All told, the economic readings may throw doubt on Fed Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s assessment this month that the &#34;disinflationary process&#34; had begun, a view that seemed to justify the central bank&#39;s decision at its Jan. 31-Feb. 1 policy meeting to deliver a quarter-percentage-point rate increase after a string of bigger hikes in 2022.</p><p>&#34;If the Fed had this data at the last meeting, they probably would&#39;ve raised by 50 (basis points) and the tone from the press conference would&#39;ve been a lot different,&#34; said Gene Goldman, chief investment officer at Cetera Investment Management.</p><p>Goldman said he expects the next round of Fed projections, to be published in March, to signal rates will rise father and stay there longer than previously thought.</p><p>&#34;It looks like the Fed will have to be more aggressive,&#34; said Yelena Shulyatyeva, an economist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNPQF\">BNP Paribas</a>. &#34;They will probably overdo it, in our view, and that will eventually lead to a recession; the question is more like when, not whether, it will be a recession.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2314343613","content_text":"Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will need to push interest rates higher and keep them elevated longer than previously projected rose on Friday after data showed a key inflation gauge accelerated last month.Even so, Fed policymakers speaking on Friday did not push for a return to the kind of aggressive action that marked last year's interest-rate hikes, suggesting that for now central bankers are content to stick to a gradual tightening path despite signs that inflation is not cooling as they had hoped.The Commerce Department reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the metric by which the Fed measures its 2% inflation target, rose 5.4% last month from a year earlier, a pickup from an upwardly revised 5.3% annual pace in December.Underlying \"core\" inflation climbed a faster-than-expected 4.7% from a year earlier, compared to December's upwardly revised 4.6% pace.The report \"is another indication that the impulse of inflation and price pressures is still with us,\" Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told Reuters on the sidelines of a conference in New York. \"It's going to take more effort on the part of the Fed to get inflation on that sustainable downward path to 2%.\"Even so, Mester -- who had wanted a half-point hike at the Fed's last meeting -- said she could not yet say if she would support such a large hike at the Fed's upcoming meeting.She is among the minority of Fed policymakers who in December thought they would need to lift the policy rate to 5.4% to stop inflation, while most believed 5.1% would suffice. Earlier on Friday she said she had not revised her view.Similarly, none of the other Fed policymakers who spoke on Friday, including the normally hawkish Governor Christopher Waller and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, focused on the fresh inflation data to argue for a more muscular Fed response. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said more rate hikes will be needed, but did not specify a particular stopping point.Implied yields on federal funds futures contracts rose on Friday as traders firmed up expectations for at least three more rate hikes through June, a path that would push the U.S. central bank's benchmark overnight interest rate to the 5.25%-5.50% range, from the current 4.50%-4.75% range.Pricing also now puts about a 40% chance of an even higher stopping point for that rate, up from about 30% prior to the release of the PCE data.And traders largely erased what had been consistent bets on Fed rate cuts toward the end of the year, pricing in a year-end Fed policy rate of 5.26%.\"There are inflationary pressures in the economy, the level of inflation is still too high, and it's going to take more on the monetary policy side to get inflation down, Mester said.Economic data in recent weeks has generally come in stronger than expected, with job growth still robust and wage gains exceeding what Fed Governor Phillip Jefferson said on Friday was consistent with a timely return to 2% inflation.Revisions to data from prior months in Friday's Commerce Department report showed inflation did not cool in November and December as much as had been thought, and spending in January rose more than expected even as the savings rate increased.All told, the economic readings may throw doubt on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's assessment this month that the \"disinflationary process\" had begun, a view that seemed to justify the central bank's decision at its Jan. 31-Feb. 1 policy meeting to deliver a quarter-percentage-point rate increase after a string of bigger hikes in 2022.\"If the Fed had this data at the last meeting, they probably would've raised by 50 (basis points) and the tone from the press conference would've been a lot different,\" said Gene Goldman, chief investment officer at Cetera Investment Management.Goldman said he expects the next round of Fed projections, to be published in March, to signal rates will rise father and stay there longer than previously thought.\"It looks like the Fed will have to be more aggressive,\" said Yelena Shulyatyeva, an economist at BNP Paribas. \"They will probably overdo it, in our view, and that will eventually lead to a recession; the question is more like when, not whether, it will be a recession.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189263539,"gmtCreate":1623276836521,"gmtModify":1704199734175,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/877ce291b367da106dfbfb52d2c2e27f","width":"1080","height":"2007"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189263539","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3586075672152504","authorId":"3586075672152504","name":"PangBC","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3586075672152504","idStr":"3586075672152504"},"content":"Great stock","text":"Great stock","html":"Great stock"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180371041,"gmtCreate":1623192622783,"gmtModify":1704197856840,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/180371041","repostId":"1166056944","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166056944","pubTimestamp":1623160615,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1166056944?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-08 21:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 High-Octane Growth Stocks With 54% to 94% Upside, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166056944","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"If analysts are correct, this assortment of rapidly growing companies could deliver big-time returns","content":"<blockquote><b>If analysts are correct, this assortment of rapidly growing companies could deliver big-time returns over the next year.</b></blockquote><p>For the past 12 years, growth stocks have been the key to sending the broader market higher. Even though value stocks have been the better performer of the two categories over the very long-term, historically low lending rates and trillions of dollars being pumped into the U.S. economy have created a perfect storm for growth stocks to thrive.</p><p>Yet according to Wall Street's one-year consensus price targets, somegrowth stocksaren't anywhere near realizing their full potential. If analysts' consensus price targets prove accurate, the following five high-octane growth stocks offer upside ranging from 54% to 94% over the next year.</p><p><b>Vaxart: Implied upside of 94%</b></p><p>The supercharged growth stock on this list with thegreatest implied upsideover the coming 12 months is clinical-stagebiotech stock<b>Vaxart</b>(NASDAQ:VXRT). If you're wondering why I've included a clinical-stage drug developer, it's because all of the analysts covering it are forecasting recurring sales for the company, beginning in 2022. If Wall Street's estimates are correct, Vaxart's stock could nearly double from where it closed this past week.</p><p>What makes Vaxart such a unique drug developer is its approach to developing treatments. Specifically, it develops oral recombinant vaccines, rather than vaccines administered by injection. It should be a lot easier to dispense and administer pills than injections, which could resolve factors like shot hesitancy and vaccine access.</p><p>Even though it has multiple treatments in the works, most of the buzz surrounding Vaxart has to do with its work in the lab on VXA-CoV2-1, an experimental oral tablet to treat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Data from a phase 1 study in February showed VXA-CoV2-1 met all of its primary and secondary safety and immunogenicity endpoints. The data also signaled that Vaxart's oral treatment may be effective against COVID-19 variants.</p><p>Though it's probablya bit too earlyto get overly excited about Vaxart, it's a name worth closely monitoring.</p><p><b>Trulieve Cannabis: Implied upside of 88%</b></p><p>It's no secret that cannabis is set to be one of North America's fastest-growing industries this decade. But amongmarijuana stocks, U.S. multistate operator (MSO)<b>Trulieve Cannabis</b>(OTC:TCNNF)offers some of the most robust upside. If Wall Street's consensus price target of a little over $72 is correct, Trulieve could gallop higher by 88% over the coming year.</p><p>There are a lot of unique growth strategies among MSOs, but none hasproved more successful than Trulieve's blueprint. At the moment, Trulieve has 88 operational dispensaries. But here's the kicker: 82 of them are located in medical marijuana-legal Florida. By focusing its efforts on a single big-dollar state, Trulieve has been able to saturate the market, effectively build up its brand, and keep its marketing costs down. The company has been profitable for 13 consecutive quarters, and as of the end of 2020 controlled 53% of the Sunshine State's dried flower market and 49% of its high-margin cannabinoid oils market.</p><p>Equally intriguing is Trulieve's recently announced all-stock deal to acquire MSO<b>Harvest Health &amp; Recreation</b>(OTC:HRVSF)for $2.1 billion. Harvest has a focus on five states, one of which happens to be Florida. Aside from solidifying an even bigger presence in the Sunshine State, Trulieve will gain access to Harvest's state-leading 15 dispensaries in Arizona. The Grand Canyon State legalized recreational weed in November. There's a good chance Trulieve can use Harvest's infrastructure to duplicate its success in Arizona.</p><p><b>Magnite: Implied upside of 59%</b></p><p>Another high-octane growth stock with significant upside potential, according to Wall Street, is sell-side advertising technology platform<b>Magnite</b>(NASDAQ:MGNI). If analysts are correct about Magnite hitting nearly $46 a share in 12 months, it would represent upside potential of 59%.</p><p>Magnite finds itself at the center of a double-digit growth trend that should last for a long time to come. As consumers cut the cord to traditional cable and shift to other forms of entertainment and content consumption, businesseswill be more likely to shift their advertising dollarsonline, to apps, and to streaming/connected TV (CTV). Although mobile platforms accounted for almost half of Magnite's revenue last year, it's CTV that looks to be the most intriguing long-term growth driver.</p><p>One of thebiggest boostsfor Magnite should come from its recently closed cash-and-stock acquisition of SpotX. SpotX generated $31.2 million in sales (less traffic acquisition costs) in the first quarter, with $19.7 million of this net revenue attributable to CTV. That was up 70% from the prior-year period. The now-combined company has sell-side ad platform exposure to the likes of<b>fuboTV</b>,<b>Roku</b>,<b>Disney</b>, and WarnerMedia, to name a few leading platforms.</p><p>With Magnite profitable on a recurring basis and fully capable of sustainable double-digit growth, a 59% 12-month return isn't out of the question.</p><p><b>Teladoc Health: Implied upside of 56%</b></p><p>Transformativehealthcare stock<b>Teladoc Health</b>(NYSE:TDOC)is also expected to offer abundant upside potential. Based on Wall Street's consensus price target of around $229, Teladoc could rise by a cool 56% over the next 12 months.</p><p>A lot of folks view Teladoc asone of the biggest winners during the COVID-19 pandemic. With doctors wanting to keep high-risk people and infected patients out of their offices, many turned to virtual visits. Teladoc ultimately handled 10.59 million telehealth visits last year, up from 4.14 million in 2019. But these folks are probably overlooking that Teladoc grew sales by an annual average of 74% in the six years leading up to the pandemic.</p><p>What makes telemedicine such a winning trend is that itoffers advantages up and down the treatment chain. Telehealth allows patients to stay home for consultations, and it's a tool physicians can use to keep closer tabs on their chronically ill patients. This ease of oversight could result in improved patient outcomes. It also doesn't hurt that virtual visits are billed at a lower rate than office visits.</p><p>Following its acquisition of leading applied health signals company Livongo Health in the fourth quarter, Teladoc has all the tools needed to provide next-level personalized care. In other words, this price target looks very realistic over the next year.</p><p>Plug Power: Implied upside of 54%</p><p>Finally, hydrogen fuel-cell solutions company<b>Plug Power</b>(NASDAQ:PLUG)is a (pardon the irony) high-octane growth stock with ample upside. If analysts are correct about its price target of almost $47 in a year, Plug could deliver a 54% return to its shareholders.</p><p>The big buzz with Plug Power is the push by developed countries, including the U.S., to renewable sources of energy. President Biden has proposed a massive infrastructure bill tailored to renewable energy projects, which signals the federal government's willingness to invest in clean-energy solutions.</p><p>Since the year began, Plug Power landed two major joint venture partners. South Korea's SK Group took a 10% equity stake in Plug and will work with the company to develop hydrogen fuel-cell solutions for vehicles and refilling stations. Meanwhile, French auto company<b>Renault</b>formed a joint venture with Plug to tackle Europe's light commercial vehicle market. Following these joint venture announcements, the companyintroduced a gross billings target of $1.7 billion by 2024, which would almost quadruple its forecasted sales for 2021.</p><p>Whether it'll be smooth sailingremains to be seen. The company recently restated years' worth of its income statements, and history hasn't always been kind to the introduction of new automotive technology.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 High-Octane Growth Stocks With 54% to 94% Upside, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 High-Octane Growth Stocks With 54% to 94% Upside, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-08 21:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/08/5-high-octane-growth-stocks-with-54-to-94-upside/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If analysts are correct, this assortment of rapidly growing companies could deliver big-time returns over the next year.For the past 12 years, growth stocks have been the key to sending the broader ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/08/5-high-octane-growth-stocks-with-54-to-94-upside/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLUG":"普拉格能源","VXRT":"Vaxart, Inc","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","MGNI":"Magnite, Inc.","TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/08/5-high-octane-growth-stocks-with-54-to-94-upside/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166056944","content_text":"If analysts are correct, this assortment of rapidly growing companies could deliver big-time returns over the next year.For the past 12 years, growth stocks have been the key to sending the broader market higher. Even though value stocks have been the better performer of the two categories over the very long-term, historically low lending rates and trillions of dollars being pumped into the U.S. economy have created a perfect storm for growth stocks to thrive.Yet according to Wall Street's one-year consensus price targets, somegrowth stocksaren't anywhere near realizing their full potential. If analysts' consensus price targets prove accurate, the following five high-octane growth stocks offer upside ranging from 54% to 94% over the next year.Vaxart: Implied upside of 94%The supercharged growth stock on this list with thegreatest implied upsideover the coming 12 months is clinical-stagebiotech stockVaxart(NASDAQ:VXRT). If you're wondering why I've included a clinical-stage drug developer, it's because all of the analysts covering it are forecasting recurring sales for the company, beginning in 2022. If Wall Street's estimates are correct, Vaxart's stock could nearly double from where it closed this past week.What makes Vaxart such a unique drug developer is its approach to developing treatments. Specifically, it develops oral recombinant vaccines, rather than vaccines administered by injection. It should be a lot easier to dispense and administer pills than injections, which could resolve factors like shot hesitancy and vaccine access.Even though it has multiple treatments in the works, most of the buzz surrounding Vaxart has to do with its work in the lab on VXA-CoV2-1, an experimental oral tablet to treat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Data from a phase 1 study in February showed VXA-CoV2-1 met all of its primary and secondary safety and immunogenicity endpoints. The data also signaled that Vaxart's oral treatment may be effective against COVID-19 variants.Though it's probablya bit too earlyto get overly excited about Vaxart, it's a name worth closely monitoring.Trulieve Cannabis: Implied upside of 88%It's no secret that cannabis is set to be one of North America's fastest-growing industries this decade. But amongmarijuana stocks, U.S. multistate operator (MSO)Trulieve Cannabis(OTC:TCNNF)offers some of the most robust upside. If Wall Street's consensus price target of a little over $72 is correct, Trulieve could gallop higher by 88% over the coming year.There are a lot of unique growth strategies among MSOs, but none hasproved more successful than Trulieve's blueprint. At the moment, Trulieve has 88 operational dispensaries. But here's the kicker: 82 of them are located in medical marijuana-legal Florida. By focusing its efforts on a single big-dollar state, Trulieve has been able to saturate the market, effectively build up its brand, and keep its marketing costs down. The company has been profitable for 13 consecutive quarters, and as of the end of 2020 controlled 53% of the Sunshine State's dried flower market and 49% of its high-margin cannabinoid oils market.Equally intriguing is Trulieve's recently announced all-stock deal to acquire MSOHarvest Health & Recreation(OTC:HRVSF)for $2.1 billion. Harvest has a focus on five states, one of which happens to be Florida. Aside from solidifying an even bigger presence in the Sunshine State, Trulieve will gain access to Harvest's state-leading 15 dispensaries in Arizona. The Grand Canyon State legalized recreational weed in November. There's a good chance Trulieve can use Harvest's infrastructure to duplicate its success in Arizona.Magnite: Implied upside of 59%Another high-octane growth stock with significant upside potential, according to Wall Street, is sell-side advertising technology platformMagnite(NASDAQ:MGNI). If analysts are correct about Magnite hitting nearly $46 a share in 12 months, it would represent upside potential of 59%.Magnite finds itself at the center of a double-digit growth trend that should last for a long time to come. As consumers cut the cord to traditional cable and shift to other forms of entertainment and content consumption, businesseswill be more likely to shift their advertising dollarsonline, to apps, and to streaming/connected TV (CTV). Although mobile platforms accounted for almost half of Magnite's revenue last year, it's CTV that looks to be the most intriguing long-term growth driver.One of thebiggest boostsfor Magnite should come from its recently closed cash-and-stock acquisition of SpotX. SpotX generated $31.2 million in sales (less traffic acquisition costs) in the first quarter, with $19.7 million of this net revenue attributable to CTV. That was up 70% from the prior-year period. The now-combined company has sell-side ad platform exposure to the likes offuboTV,Roku,Disney, and WarnerMedia, to name a few leading platforms.With Magnite profitable on a recurring basis and fully capable of sustainable double-digit growth, a 59% 12-month return isn't out of the question.Teladoc Health: Implied upside of 56%Transformativehealthcare stockTeladoc Health(NYSE:TDOC)is also expected to offer abundant upside potential. Based on Wall Street's consensus price target of around $229, Teladoc could rise by a cool 56% over the next 12 months.A lot of folks view Teladoc asone of the biggest winners during the COVID-19 pandemic. With doctors wanting to keep high-risk people and infected patients out of their offices, many turned to virtual visits. Teladoc ultimately handled 10.59 million telehealth visits last year, up from 4.14 million in 2019. But these folks are probably overlooking that Teladoc grew sales by an annual average of 74% in the six years leading up to the pandemic.What makes telemedicine such a winning trend is that itoffers advantages up and down the treatment chain. Telehealth allows patients to stay home for consultations, and it's a tool physicians can use to keep closer tabs on their chronically ill patients. This ease of oversight could result in improved patient outcomes. It also doesn't hurt that virtual visits are billed at a lower rate than office visits.Following its acquisition of leading applied health signals company Livongo Health in the fourth quarter, Teladoc has all the tools needed to provide next-level personalized care. In other words, this price target looks very realistic over the next year.Plug Power: Implied upside of 54%Finally, hydrogen fuel-cell solutions companyPlug Power(NASDAQ:PLUG)is a (pardon the irony) high-octane growth stock with ample upside. If analysts are correct about its price target of almost $47 in a year, Plug could deliver a 54% return to its shareholders.The big buzz with Plug Power is the push by developed countries, including the U.S., to renewable sources of energy. President Biden has proposed a massive infrastructure bill tailored to renewable energy projects, which signals the federal government's willingness to invest in clean-energy solutions.Since the year began, Plug Power landed two major joint venture partners. South Korea's SK Group took a 10% equity stake in Plug and will work with the company to develop hydrogen fuel-cell solutions for vehicles and refilling stations. Meanwhile, French auto companyRenaultformed a joint venture with Plug to tackle Europe's light commercial vehicle market. Following these joint venture announcements, the companyintroduced a gross billings target of $1.7 billion by 2024, which would almost quadruple its forecasted sales for 2021.Whether it'll be smooth sailingremains to be seen. The company recently restated years' worth of its income statements, and history hasn't always been kind to the introduction of new automotive technology.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":136,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942505328,"gmtCreate":1681249369864,"gmtModify":1681249371593,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942505328","repostId":"2326772196","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2326772196","pubTimestamp":1681211478,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2326772196?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-11 19:11","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"3 Cash Cows to Buy for Passive Income in Retirement","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2326772196","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"These three passive income generating stocks are great for those nearing retirement.Realty Income (O","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>These three passive income generating stocks are great for those nearing retirement.</p></li><li><p><strong>Realty Income</strong> (<strong>O</strong>): This corporation stands out as one of the most reliable providers of dividends in the financial markets.</p></li><li><p><strong>McDonald’s</strong> (<strong>MCD</strong>): The fast-food chain is likely to thrive during an economic downturn– whenever it may happen.</p></li><li><p><strong>Coca-Cola</strong> (<strong>KO</strong>): Third quarter earnings report of this beverage company reaffirmed that it is resistant to economic downturns.</p></li></ul><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4cc525f1a2f0c1af11759ba0fde1f9\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"/></p><p></p><p>Source: iQoncept/shutterstock.com</p><p>We all dream of retiring with a steady income and financial security. Discovering passive income streams is one of the ideal outcomes for those heading into, or already in, retirement. </p><p>Indeed, the flexibility self-created monthly or quarterly income provides is precious. Who knows how long social security benefits will remain funded? We’re now nearing a funding cliff for many major programs, and there appear to be calls to cut certain programs, eventually. Essentially, the system as it is right now is unsustainable. Many investors know this, and many are looking to great their own passive income for retirement.</p><p>Thus, for those seeking to do so in the stock market, this task can be daunting. Plenty of high-yield companies also offer relatively high risk. Conversely, a wide swath of growth stocks offer no yield at all.</p><p>Here are three dividend stocks I think provide defensiveness, value and stability, alongside meaningful and consistent income. These are all companies I’d stick with until retirement.</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>O</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Realty Income</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$61.85</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>MCD</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>McDonald’s</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$282.23</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>KO</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Coca-Cola</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$62.41</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h2>Realty Income (O)</h2><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40d6b0f5de2972f4461ff4ad61b490fd\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\"/></p><p></p><p>Source: ImageFlow/shutterstock.com</p><p>First on this list of cash cows to buy for those seeking a passive income stream is <strong>Realty Income </strong>(NYSE:<strong>O</strong>).</p><p>Realty Income is a real estate investment trust (<strong>REIT</strong>) specializing in obtaining and overseeing individual freestanding commercial properties leased to clients for extended periods. The properties are leased to retail and industrial clients with a service, low-price, or non-discretionary focus. The corporation has real estate holdings in all 50 US states, Puerto Rico, Spain, Italy, and the UK.</p><p>Realty Income has gained immense popularity for its monthly dividends, a concept it championed, earning the moniker “Monthly Dividend Company” many years ago. As a triple-net lease real estate investment trust, Realty Income benefits from tenants covering significant expenses like utilities and taxes, making these leases more attractive options for investors.</p><p>With that said, Realty Income makes a great passive income source for retirement investors because of its reliable and consistent dividends. Realty Income is navigating the current economic conditions as well.</p><p>The prospect of increased interest rates presents a potential challenge, as the company may have to pay more to cover its debt in the coming years. However, inflation can also work in Realty Income’s favor by boosting the value of its assets and allowing for more flexibility in raising rental prices.</p><h2>McDonald’s (MCD)</h2><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9af23a7600ef373a81e4c8171aff8b8\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\"/></p><p></p><p>Source: 8th.creator / Shutterstock.com</p><p><strong>McDonald’s</strong> (NYSE:<strong>MCD</strong>) is a renowned fast-food brand offering diverse fundamentals.</p><p>It falls under the consumer discretionary industry, as customers can choose from other food chains.</p><p>McDonald’s is a reliable choice for investors as it consistently performs well in the market, making it a suitable investment during difficult economic times. Indeed, MCD stock is a stable and unexciting equity to purchase.</p><p>McDonald’s is a global leader in terms of quick service restaurant brands. Thus, if the expected economic downturn (or recession) takes place in 2023, those looking to dine out may choose toward a lower-priced option, such as McDonald’s.</p><p>If a recession doesn’t take place, those who frequent these establishments may increase their dining frequency, also boosting this company’s stock.</p><p>McDonald’s business model is ideal for those who believe the economy will improve, but are still determining the timing. The fast-food chain has a robust financial structure and can sustain steady demand during prosperous and challenging economic times, making it a practical and cautious option.</p><p>Ultimately, McDonald’s is the perfect “play-it-safe” choice, with its balance sheet rated as investment grade. While having a solid financial foundation is essential in a challenging economic climate, it is equally beneficial during prosperous times.</p><h2>Coca-Cola (KO)</h2><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1d8e72e7d7e3202117d709804d99c4a\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\"/></p><p></p><p>Source: Fotazdymak / Shutterstock.com</p><p><strong>Coca-Cola</strong> (NYSE:<strong>KO</strong>) is a solid investment for those seeking a reliable dividend stock.</p><p>Currently, KO stock offers a dividend yield of 3% and has expanded beyond beverages into healthy snacks. While it may not see significant growth in the short term, Coca-Cola is a trusted brand that will stabilize any portfolio.</p><p>According to the company’s most recent Q3 earnings report, Coca-Cola has shown that the company’s resilient strategy against economic downturns is still effective. Despite facing significant currency challenges and increased expenses, the famous beverage company achieved 10% growth in revenue, reaching $11.1 billion. These results also allowed the company to revise its full-year forecast upwards.</p><p>One appealing characteristic of KO stock to consider is its potential to thrive in times of doubt. If the general economic situation worsens, Coca-Cola has a few advantages. First, their flagship products have a captivating quality that keeps customers returning. Second, they can draw customers away from other providers of caffeinated drinks and gain a more significant market share.</p><p>It’s worth mentioning that KO stock is only one hold rating away from earning a complete strong buy recommendation from analysts. It’s no surprise that analysts are optimistic about the company’s future. Along with its revenue growth, Coca-Cola has impressive profit margins. For instance, its net margin is 23.44%, higher than more than 94% of its competitors.</p><p>In essence, KO stock is well-positioned to handle any changes in the economy. If the market experiences an upswing, Coca-Cola’s focus on millennials should yield significant profits. Conversely, if a recession arises, the company’s products compelling appeal should keep it afloat.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Cash Cows to Buy for Passive Income in Retirement</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Cash Cows to Buy for Passive Income in Retirement\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-11 19:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/04/3-cash-cows-to-buy-for-passive-income-in-retirement/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>These three passive income generating stocks are great for those nearing retirement.Realty Income (O): This corporation stands out as one of the most reliable providers of dividends in the financial ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/04/3-cash-cows-to-buy-for-passive-income-in-retirement/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SG9999014575.USD":"UOB UNITED INCOME FOCUS TRUST FUND (USDHDG) INC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","LU1988902786.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS GLOBAL ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU2237443382.USD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A MIncA USD","KO":"可口可乐","LU2237443549.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A MIncA SGD-H","BK4177":"软饮料","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU2237443622.USD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A Acc USD","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","SG9999011175.SGD":"Nikko AM Global Dividend Equity Dis SGD-H","LU2237443978.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A Acc SGD-H","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","SG9999002232.USD":"Allianz Global High Payout USD","BK4080":"零售业房地产投资信托","BK4566":"资本集团","SG9999004303.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Global Opportunities SGD","SG9999002224.SGD":"Allianz Global High Payout SGD","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","SG9999014559.SGD":"United Income Focus Trust Dis SGD","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","O":"Realty Income Corp","MCD":"麦当劳","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SG9999003800.SGD":"Nikko AM Global Dividend Equity Acc SGD-H","BK4588":"碎股","SG9999014567.USD":"UOB UNITED INCOME FOCUS TRUST FUND (USD) ACC","SG9999015358.SGD":"United Income Focus Trust Dis SGD-H","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc USD","SGXZ23171101.USD":"NIKKO AM SHENTON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES (USD) ACC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU1718418525.SGD":"JPMorgan Investment Funds - Global Select Equity A (acc) SGD","SG9999015341.SGD":"United Income Focus Trust Acc SGD-H","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4209":"餐馆","LU2133065610.SGD":"JPMorgan Investment Funds - Global Dividend A (mth) SGD","LU0957791311.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"ZU\" (USD) ACC","SG9999014542.SGD":"United Income Focus Trust Acc SGD","LU1815333072.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"AUP\" (USD) INC","IE00BLSP4239.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis USD Plus","IE00BLSP4452.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis SGD-H Plus"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/04/3-cash-cows-to-buy-for-passive-income-in-retirement/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2326772196","content_text":"These three passive income generating stocks are great for those nearing retirement.Realty Income (O): This corporation stands out as one of the most reliable providers of dividends in the financial markets.McDonald’s (MCD): The fast-food chain is likely to thrive during an economic downturn– whenever it may happen.Coca-Cola (KO): Third quarter earnings report of this beverage company reaffirmed that it is resistant to economic downturns.Source: iQoncept/shutterstock.comWe all dream of retiring with a steady income and financial security. Discovering passive income streams is one of the ideal outcomes for those heading into, or already in, retirement. Indeed, the flexibility self-created monthly or quarterly income provides is precious. Who knows how long social security benefits will remain funded? We’re now nearing a funding cliff for many major programs, and there appear to be calls to cut certain programs, eventually. Essentially, the system as it is right now is unsustainable. Many investors know this, and many are looking to great their own passive income for retirement.Thus, for those seeking to do so in the stock market, this task can be daunting. Plenty of high-yield companies also offer relatively high risk. Conversely, a wide swath of growth stocks offer no yield at all.Here are three dividend stocks I think provide defensiveness, value and stability, alongside meaningful and consistent income. These are all companies I’d stick with until retirement.ORealty Income$61.85MCDMcDonald’s$282.23KOCoca-Cola$62.41Realty Income (O)Source: ImageFlow/shutterstock.comFirst on this list of cash cows to buy for those seeking a passive income stream is Realty Income (NYSE:O).Realty Income is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in obtaining and overseeing individual freestanding commercial properties leased to clients for extended periods. The properties are leased to retail and industrial clients with a service, low-price, or non-discretionary focus. The corporation has real estate holdings in all 50 US states, Puerto Rico, Spain, Italy, and the UK.Realty Income has gained immense popularity for its monthly dividends, a concept it championed, earning the moniker “Monthly Dividend Company” many years ago. As a triple-net lease real estate investment trust, Realty Income benefits from tenants covering significant expenses like utilities and taxes, making these leases more attractive options for investors.With that said, Realty Income makes a great passive income source for retirement investors because of its reliable and consistent dividends. Realty Income is navigating the current economic conditions as well.The prospect of increased interest rates presents a potential challenge, as the company may have to pay more to cover its debt in the coming years. However, inflation can also work in Realty Income’s favor by boosting the value of its assets and allowing for more flexibility in raising rental prices.McDonald’s (MCD)Source: 8th.creator / Shutterstock.comMcDonald’s (NYSE:MCD) is a renowned fast-food brand offering diverse fundamentals.It falls under the consumer discretionary industry, as customers can choose from other food chains.McDonald’s is a reliable choice for investors as it consistently performs well in the market, making it a suitable investment during difficult economic times. Indeed, MCD stock is a stable and unexciting equity to purchase.McDonald’s is a global leader in terms of quick service restaurant brands. Thus, if the expected economic downturn (or recession) takes place in 2023, those looking to dine out may choose toward a lower-priced option, such as McDonald’s.If a recession doesn’t take place, those who frequent these establishments may increase their dining frequency, also boosting this company’s stock.McDonald’s business model is ideal for those who believe the economy will improve, but are still determining the timing. The fast-food chain has a robust financial structure and can sustain steady demand during prosperous and challenging economic times, making it a practical and cautious option.Ultimately, McDonald’s is the perfect “play-it-safe” choice, with its balance sheet rated as investment grade. While having a solid financial foundation is essential in a challenging economic climate, it is equally beneficial during prosperous times.Coca-Cola (KO)Source: Fotazdymak / Shutterstock.comCoca-Cola (NYSE:KO) is a solid investment for those seeking a reliable dividend stock.Currently, KO stock offers a dividend yield of 3% and has expanded beyond beverages into healthy snacks. While it may not see significant growth in the short term, Coca-Cola is a trusted brand that will stabilize any portfolio.According to the company’s most recent Q3 earnings report, Coca-Cola has shown that the company’s resilient strategy against economic downturns is still effective. Despite facing significant currency challenges and increased expenses, the famous beverage company achieved 10% growth in revenue, reaching $11.1 billion. These results also allowed the company to revise its full-year forecast upwards.One appealing characteristic of KO stock to consider is its potential to thrive in times of doubt. If the general economic situation worsens, Coca-Cola has a few advantages. First, their flagship products have a captivating quality that keeps customers returning. Second, they can draw customers away from other providers of caffeinated drinks and gain a more significant market share.It’s worth mentioning that KO stock is only one hold rating away from earning a complete strong buy recommendation from analysts. It’s no surprise that analysts are optimistic about the company’s future. Along with its revenue growth, Coca-Cola has impressive profit margins. For instance, its net margin is 23.44%, higher than more than 94% of its competitors.In essence, KO stock is well-positioned to handle any changes in the economy. If the market experiences an upswing, Coca-Cola’s focus on millennials should yield significant profits. Conversely, if a recession arises, the company’s products compelling appeal should keep it afloat.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":302509477744800,"gmtCreate":1714874276630,"gmtModify":1714874281015,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BRK.B\">$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BRK.B\">$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/71d20fa9c72a6bc9e8ad618c0ecb8258","width":"906","height":"1406"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/302509477744800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945896257,"gmtCreate":1681422140979,"gmtModify":1681422144469,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945896257","repostId":"9945170114","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9945170114,"gmtCreate":1681407760439,"gmtModify":1681421053781,"author":{"id":"4098573842489750","authorId":"4098573842489750","name":"ToughCoyote","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58563f63b7e52669e57762bb4ebee968","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098573842489750","idStr":"4098573842489750"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yu Weiwen, president of the HKMA, meets leaders in the banking and financial circles in New York today (NY 12th). After staying in New York, he will go to Washington to attend the Spring Meeting of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund. He said at a luncheon co-organized by the Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office in New York and the National Committee of the U.S.-China Relations that Hong Kong's banking and financial system<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00005\">$HSBC HOLDINGS(00005)$&nbsp;</a>is stable and tough, and is ready to meet various challenges.&nbsp; Hong Kong is linked to the US dollar. Monetary policy has provided the most critical stability for Hong Kong's opening and export-oriented economy. The government has also launched different measures to drive domes","listText":"Yu Weiwen, president of the HKMA, meets leaders in the banking and financial circles in New York today (NY 12th). After staying in New York, he will go to Washington to attend the Spring Meeting of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund. He said at a luncheon co-organized by the Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office in New York and the National Committee of the U.S.-China Relations that Hong Kong's banking and financial system<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00005\">$HSBC HOLDINGS(00005)$&nbsp;</a>is stable and tough, and is ready to meet various challenges.&nbsp; Hong Kong is linked to the US dollar. Monetary policy has provided the most critical stability for Hong Kong's opening and export-oriented economy. The government has also launched different measures to drive domes","text":"Yu Weiwen, president of the HKMA, meets leaders in the banking and financial circles in New York today (NY 12th). After staying in New York, he will go to Washington to attend the Spring Meeting of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund. He said at a luncheon co-organized by the Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office in New York and the National Committee of the U.S.-China Relations that Hong Kong's banking and financial system$HSBC HOLDINGS(00005)$ is stable and tough, and is ready to meet various challenges. Hong Kong is linked to the US dollar. Monetary policy has provided the most critical stability for Hong Kong's opening and export-oriented economy. The government has also launched different measures to drive domes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945170114","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884588738,"gmtCreate":1631919520824,"gmtModify":1676530667674,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/884588738","repostId":"2168885573","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2168885573","pubTimestamp":1631892652,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2168885573?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-17 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Dow Jones Stock Could Double Your Money","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2168885573","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The iconic blue-chip index has made some big changes in recent years to better reflect the modern marketplace.","content":"<p>The 30 names that make up the <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b> (DJINDICES:^DJI) are certainly well-respected blue chips. But potential doublers? That seems unlikely -- at least in the foreseeable future. After all, the Dow is a collection of the market's oldest, stodgiest, and slowest-moving companies meant for your grandmother's portfolio, right?</p>\n<p>If that's your perception of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, you might want to take another look. In recent years, the DJIA has been tweaked and modernized for the current tech-driven era. More than that, though, it includes a handful of companies that are anything but old school. One of these stocks even has the potential to double its value (again) in less than five years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/631cf3238264bad315f43eda4132590c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>It's not yesteryear's Dow Jones Industrial Average</h2>\n<p>The Dow component that has this potential: <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a>.com</b> (NYSE:CRM).</p>\n<p>Yes, the provider of a cloud-based, customer relationship management platform is, in fact, a DJIA component. It was added to the index in August 2020 (in the midst of the pandemic) along with <b>Amgen</b> (NASDAQ:AMGN) and <b>Honeywell</b> (NASDAQ:HON), replacing more-traditional stocks like <b>ExxonMobil</b>, <b>Pfizer</b>, and <b>Raytheon Technologies</b>.</p>\n<p>That round of swapping was the latest in a bigger effort to bring the index further into the 21st century. Unsurprisingly, it has juiced the Dow's returns just a bit. It's up more than 90% for the past five years despite the early 2020 swoon linked to the onset of COVID-19, and higher by 200% for the past 10 years.</p>\n<p>Salesforce didn't contribute to most of that bullish effort, but don't be surprised if it's a key driver of similar gains in the Dow over the next five- and 10-year stretches.</p>\n<h2>Salesforce's bright future</h2>\n<p>If you're not familiar with it, Salesforce is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the original companies to commercialize cloud computing, before the term even began to be widely used. Its online customer database and customer-management platform were launched in 1999, and there was nothing else quite like it at the time.</p>\n<p>That's certainly changed in the meantime. Not only is the customer relationship management (CRM) space now relatively crowded with competitors, but after 22 years of availability, the whole CRM thing has seemingly run most of its course. What's left?</p>\n<p>As it turns out, for Salesforce, quite a lot.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70402b628ff39aa410477caa22af642c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p>The best days for basic CRM offerings might be in the rearview mirror, but what lies ahead are all sorts of revenue-bearing integrations with Salesforce's existing platform. For instance, earlier this week <b>FedEx</b> announced a partnership with Salesforce that will offer e-commerce and supply chain tools to business clients with such a need. In July, Salesforce completed its acquisition of intra-enterprise communication platform Slack, and by August had integrated its CRM tools with Slack's user interface. Salesforce-owned Tableau, which helps organizations collect and analyze all sorts of data, unveiled changes to its service earlier this month that will make it more secure, yet also easier to use at a greater scale.</p>\n<p>And this is just a recent sampling of how the company continues to improve its suite of services. Others have yet to be imagined. They're coming, though, spurred by the emerging new norm in workplaces: working from home (or at least working there more often).</p>\n<h2>Capitalizing on the new norm</h2>\n<p>This wasn't exactly the plan a year ago. Most organizations that expected employees to regularly report to an office before the pandemic similarly expected them to return to the office once the pandemic had passed. Working from home has worked out better than most organizations could have hoped, however, and given that the coronavirus has yet to fully pass (and might never really do so), at least some companies are rethinking their office-attendance policies altogether.</p>\n<p>Take researcher Omdia's recent Future of Work survey as an example. It indicates that more than two-thirds of all U.S. employers believe overall productivity has improved since workers were allowed to do their jobs outside of a centralized office. The same survey suggests more than half of all employees will be doing at least some work from home for the indefinite future.</p>\n<p>In this vein, PwC reports that 72% of U.S. executives currently plan to increase their investment in virtual (online) collaboration tools. Technology market researcher IDC forecasts that spending on work-based software -- including cloud-based collaboration and analytics tools -- will grow more than 21% per year through 2024.</p>\n<p>It all plays right into Salesforce's hands, setting the stage for the stock to move from its current price near $257 to a value in excess of $500.</p>\n<h2>Bottom line</h2>\n<p>There's still something of a wait before we see that move fully pan out, to be clear.</p>\n<p>Salesforce is in the right place at the right time, and it's poised for more double-digit percentage growth for the next several years. But there are limits. This company's clients are other companies, for example, which tend to move slowly when making purchases and entering new service contracts no matter how great the need.</p>\n<p>Compared to any other Dow component, though, Salesforce is still easily the company that's best positioned for strong, reliable growth for the next several years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3348cbed1f7f70f45b84749230a42902\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"441\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data source: Thomson Reuters. Chart by author. Revenue data is in millions of dollars.</span></p>\n<p>It's also worth noting that last year's pandemic-prompted profit surge isn't expected to be repeated, but easily could be repeated now that corporations have had time to think about and better plan their IT budgets.</p>\n<p>In other words, CRM is absolutely worth the wait, although investors shouldn't have to wait too long before starting to make progress toward a doubling of the stock's price.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Dow Jones Stock Could Double Your Money</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Dow Jones Stock Could Double Your Money\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-17 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/17/dow-jones-stock-could-double-your-money-crm/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The 30 names that make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) are certainly well-respected blue chips. But potential doublers? That seems unlikely -- at least in the foreseeable future. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/17/dow-jones-stock-could-double-your-money-crm/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRM":"赛富时"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/17/dow-jones-stock-could-double-your-money-crm/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2168885573","content_text":"The 30 names that make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) are certainly well-respected blue chips. But potential doublers? That seems unlikely -- at least in the foreseeable future. After all, the Dow is a collection of the market's oldest, stodgiest, and slowest-moving companies meant for your grandmother's portfolio, right?\nIf that's your perception of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, you might want to take another look. In recent years, the DJIA has been tweaked and modernized for the current tech-driven era. More than that, though, it includes a handful of companies that are anything but old school. One of these stocks even has the potential to double its value (again) in less than five years.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nIt's not yesteryear's Dow Jones Industrial Average\nThe Dow component that has this potential: Salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM).\nYes, the provider of a cloud-based, customer relationship management platform is, in fact, a DJIA component. It was added to the index in August 2020 (in the midst of the pandemic) along with Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN) and Honeywell (NASDAQ:HON), replacing more-traditional stocks like ExxonMobil, Pfizer, and Raytheon Technologies.\nThat round of swapping was the latest in a bigger effort to bring the index further into the 21st century. Unsurprisingly, it has juiced the Dow's returns just a bit. It's up more than 90% for the past five years despite the early 2020 swoon linked to the onset of COVID-19, and higher by 200% for the past 10 years.\nSalesforce didn't contribute to most of that bullish effort, but don't be surprised if it's a key driver of similar gains in the Dow over the next five- and 10-year stretches.\nSalesforce's bright future\nIf you're not familiar with it, Salesforce is one of the original companies to commercialize cloud computing, before the term even began to be widely used. Its online customer database and customer-management platform were launched in 1999, and there was nothing else quite like it at the time.\nThat's certainly changed in the meantime. Not only is the customer relationship management (CRM) space now relatively crowded with competitors, but after 22 years of availability, the whole CRM thing has seemingly run most of its course. What's left?\nAs it turns out, for Salesforce, quite a lot.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nThe best days for basic CRM offerings might be in the rearview mirror, but what lies ahead are all sorts of revenue-bearing integrations with Salesforce's existing platform. For instance, earlier this week FedEx announced a partnership with Salesforce that will offer e-commerce and supply chain tools to business clients with such a need. In July, Salesforce completed its acquisition of intra-enterprise communication platform Slack, and by August had integrated its CRM tools with Slack's user interface. Salesforce-owned Tableau, which helps organizations collect and analyze all sorts of data, unveiled changes to its service earlier this month that will make it more secure, yet also easier to use at a greater scale.\nAnd this is just a recent sampling of how the company continues to improve its suite of services. Others have yet to be imagined. They're coming, though, spurred by the emerging new norm in workplaces: working from home (or at least working there more often).\nCapitalizing on the new norm\nThis wasn't exactly the plan a year ago. Most organizations that expected employees to regularly report to an office before the pandemic similarly expected them to return to the office once the pandemic had passed. Working from home has worked out better than most organizations could have hoped, however, and given that the coronavirus has yet to fully pass (and might never really do so), at least some companies are rethinking their office-attendance policies altogether.\nTake researcher Omdia's recent Future of Work survey as an example. It indicates that more than two-thirds of all U.S. employers believe overall productivity has improved since workers were allowed to do their jobs outside of a centralized office. The same survey suggests more than half of all employees will be doing at least some work from home for the indefinite future.\nIn this vein, PwC reports that 72% of U.S. executives currently plan to increase their investment in virtual (online) collaboration tools. Technology market researcher IDC forecasts that spending on work-based software -- including cloud-based collaboration and analytics tools -- will grow more than 21% per year through 2024.\nIt all plays right into Salesforce's hands, setting the stage for the stock to move from its current price near $257 to a value in excess of $500.\nBottom line\nThere's still something of a wait before we see that move fully pan out, to be clear.\nSalesforce is in the right place at the right time, and it's poised for more double-digit percentage growth for the next several years. But there are limits. This company's clients are other companies, for example, which tend to move slowly when making purchases and entering new service contracts no matter how great the need.\nCompared to any other Dow component, though, Salesforce is still easily the company that's best positioned for strong, reliable growth for the next several years.\nData source: Thomson Reuters. Chart by author. Revenue data is in millions of dollars.\nIt's also worth noting that last year's pandemic-prompted profit surge isn't expected to be repeated, but easily could be repeated now that corporations have had time to think about and better plan their IT budgets.\nIn other words, CRM is absolutely worth the wait, although investors shouldn't have to wait too long before starting to make progress toward a doubling of the stock's price.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182779775,"gmtCreate":1623624883197,"gmtModify":1704207000790,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/423d293ca1c36bcfa8d21c41d4429aca","width":"1080","height":"2007"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182779775","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045648446,"gmtCreate":1656624982885,"gmtModify":1676535863182,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01288\">$ABC(01288)$</a>great","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01288\">$ABC(01288)$</a>great","text":"$ABC(01288)$great","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2ff2da378f6269932927757cff51421f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045648446","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9042880408,"gmtCreate":1656461190104,"gmtModify":1676535832683,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01288\">$ABC(01288)$</a>great","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01288\">$ABC(01288)$</a>great","text":"$ABC(01288)$great","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2ff2da378f6269932927757cff51421f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9042880408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9056189535,"gmtCreate":1654982410827,"gmtModify":1676535540757,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01288\">$ABC(01288)$</a>great","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01288\">$ABC(01288)$</a>great","text":"$ABC(01288)$great","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5c6febf03c5b0ad9992621f9fca027a0","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9056189535","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":136,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171171653,"gmtCreate":1626730398872,"gmtModify":1703763980852,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/171171653","repostId":"1158140412","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1158140412","pubTimestamp":1626706707,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158140412?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-19 22:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Stock’s Surge Makes Chip Maker 10th-Biggest U.S. Listed Company","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158140412","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Company’s shares are up nearly 80% over the past year.\n\nThe post-pandemic boom in the semiconductor ","content":"<blockquote>\n Company’s shares are up nearly 80% over the past year.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The post-pandemic boom in the semiconductor business has powered&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA Corp</a> into the top 10 U.S. public companies, joining the likes of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc. and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co.</p>\n<p>Shares of the Santa Clara, Calif., firm have risen nearly 80% over the past year, giving it a market value of around $453 billion. That is more than rivalsIntelCorp.andBroadcomInc.combined.</p>\n<p>Nvidia makes processors that power gaming and cryptocurrency mining. Chip shares have risen in part thanks to a pandemic-inducedglobal shortage of semiconductorsthat has driven up the prices of everything from laptops to automobiles.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a2dfc657a7a2e2a9bbe106b6235acdf\" tg-width=\"709\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37536c1394d6d2abff0e5bf16fac38f7\" tg-width=\"743\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>One reason for Nvidia’s outperformance, analysts say, is that its chips’ parallel-computing capabilities make them better than rivals’ for artificial-intelligence performance and mining cryptocurrencies. Nvidia’s graphics processors areused for mining ethereumand the cryptocurrency’s value has soared this year, even after a recent correction.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b124d7af03a69e8f3ff5c70dee93ee\" tg-width=\"755\" tg-height=\"519\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>That surge has exacerbated the shortage of gaming chips. Nvidia plans to sell cards aimed at the crypto market and has employed technical adjustments to make gaming processors less useful to miners. Analysts also expect Nvidia to get a boost from tech and autonomous-vehicle companies using its chips to navigate traffic or track online behavior.</p>\n<p>“The company is the biggest and best supplier of parallel computing,” said Ambrish Srivastava, analyst at BMO Capital Markets. “It’s hard to compete against that.”</p>\n<p>While Nvidia has a leg up in the data-center industry, competitors are catching up, analysts said. The recent slide in crypto also could spur miners to dump their chips on the secondary market, as happened when a previous ethereum skidhit revenue in 2018.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Stock’s Surge Makes Chip Maker 10th-Biggest U.S. Listed Company</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Stock’s Surge Makes Chip Maker 10th-Biggest U.S. Listed Company\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 22:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/nvidia-stocks-surge-makes-chip-maker-10th-biggest-u-s-listed-company-11626696001?mod=markets_lead_pos11><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Company’s shares are up nearly 80% over the past year.\n\nThe post-pandemic boom in the semiconductor business has powered NVIDIA Corp into the top 10 U.S. public companies, joining the likes of Apple ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/nvidia-stocks-surge-makes-chip-maker-10th-biggest-u-s-listed-company-11626696001?mod=markets_lead_pos11\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/nvidia-stocks-surge-makes-chip-maker-10th-biggest-u-s-listed-company-11626696001?mod=markets_lead_pos11","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158140412","content_text":"Company’s shares are up nearly 80% over the past year.\n\nThe post-pandemic boom in the semiconductor business has powered NVIDIA Corp into the top 10 U.S. public companies, joining the likes of Apple Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co.\nShares of the Santa Clara, Calif., firm have risen nearly 80% over the past year, giving it a market value of around $453 billion. That is more than rivalsIntelCorp.andBroadcomInc.combined.\nNvidia makes processors that power gaming and cryptocurrency mining. Chip shares have risen in part thanks to a pandemic-inducedglobal shortage of semiconductorsthat has driven up the prices of everything from laptops to automobiles.\n\n\nOne reason for Nvidia’s outperformance, analysts say, is that its chips’ parallel-computing capabilities make them better than rivals’ for artificial-intelligence performance and mining cryptocurrencies. Nvidia’s graphics processors areused for mining ethereumand the cryptocurrency’s value has soared this year, even after a recent correction.\n\nThat surge has exacerbated the shortage of gaming chips. Nvidia plans to sell cards aimed at the crypto market and has employed technical adjustments to make gaming processors less useful to miners. Analysts also expect Nvidia to get a boost from tech and autonomous-vehicle companies using its chips to navigate traffic or track online behavior.\n“The company is the biggest and best supplier of parallel computing,” said Ambrish Srivastava, analyst at BMO Capital Markets. “It’s hard to compete against that.”\nWhile Nvidia has a leg up in the data-center industry, competitors are catching up, analysts said. The recent slide in crypto also could spur miners to dump their chips on the secondary market, as happened when a previous ethereum skidhit revenue in 2018.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962832345,"gmtCreate":1669758284487,"gmtModify":1676538235562,"author":{"id":"3586040086982725","authorId":"3586040086982725","name":"LIMKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586040086982725","idStr":"3586040086982725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sweet game","listText":"Sweet game","text":"Sweet 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16:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Why I Bought More At $140","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273803113","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryI placed a limit buy order for Apple at $140 in September. The order was triggered last Frida","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>I placed a limit buy order for Apple at $140 in September. The order was triggered last Friday thanks to market volatility, and now I own more shares.</li><li>There is no doubt that the business faces many short-term challenges.</li><li>However, as Buffett commented, if you have to closely follow the day-to-day stuff, you should not own it in the first place.</li><li>This wisdom is true for Apple more than anything else in my mind.</li><li>Moreover, the market underestimates (or misunderstands) its SaaS potential and creates a mispricing.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14d264625dbfe4fe0a4446b0ae1cf349\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seremin</span></p><h2>Investment thesis</h2><p>During the last week of September (September 25 to be exact), I sent an alert to our marketplace members. The alert informed them that I placed a limit buy order for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) at $140 and mythought process (the stock price then was about $150.5). A price of $140 corresponds to about 22x of its FW PE. To me, any valuation near 20x is very attractive for a stock with ROCE (return on capital employed) near 100% like AAPL. At about 100% ROCE, a 5% investment rate would provide 5% organic real growth rates (i.e., before inflation adjustments). And a 22x PE would provide about 5% owners earnings yield, leading to a total return close to double digits. For a stock like AAPL, I am always happy to buy/add when the total annual return is close to 10% or above. A 10% return is healthy enough to start with. Once you adjust for the risks (and I consider the risks from AAPL similar to treasury bonds), a 10% annual return is almost 3x of what you can get from bonds in the long term.</p><p>Also, to put things under historical perspective, a valuation around 22x is also below the historical average of 24.7x in recent years by about 10% (11% to be exact), leaving a comfortable margin of safety. And also, bear in mind that the stock was so obviously before 2021 and those levels are outliers in my mind. So, the historical average of 24.75x is already biased.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0abaa433019690a8212d9df8d71726d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha data</span></p><p>All told, thanks to market volatility, the stock price dipped below $140 a few days later on Sept 30. The order is triggered, and now I own more AAPL shares. I of course do not want to pretend that I have any idea that its price would actually dip below $140 or not. However, I do have a good sense of its intrinsic value and the magnitude of market gyrations. And as a long-term and patient investor, I do know that 22x PE is a good deal for a stock like AAPL.</p><h2>Near-term challenges</h2><p>There is no shortage of external challenges in the near term. And these challenges can be substantial, too. They will continue to weigh on performance over the near term. These challenges include new variants of COVID-19, the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, unfavorable currency exchange rates, and high inflation and rising interest rates. In particular, you can see the effects that these headwinds have exerted on its margins. Over the past few quarters, its gross margin shrank by more than 200 basis points from a peak of 43.76% to 41.04%. Net profit margin shrank even more, by more than 450 basis points from a peak of 27.9% to 23.4%. China, its key market, had to lock down several of its key cities in the H1 of the year due to COVID-19, and the ongoing pandemic situation probably would lead to more lockdowns, which have impacted its sales and production and would very likely continue to in the near future.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f2a9e2475e37539082fb89230bb995b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha data</span></p><h2>AAPL and Buffettism</h2><p>However, as Buffett commented, if you have to closely follow the day-to-day stuff of a stock, you should not own it in the first place. He was once asked about his AAPL position during a Yahoo! Finance interview. You can see the full interview here, full of typical Buffett-style wisdom and highly recommended. The following is an excerpt and the highlights are added by me.</p><blockquote><i>Yahoo Finance: how closely do you follow the company? You know, people are concerned they really have not introduced any new products.</i></blockquote><blockquote><i>Buffett:</i> <i><b>Well, if you have to closely follow the company, you should not own it in the first place. If you buy a business, say you buy a farm, do you go up and look every couple of weeks to see how far the corn has grown up?</b></i> <i>Do you worry too much about whether somebody says this year is going to be a year of low corn prices because exports are being affected or something? You know, it does not grow faster if I go and stare at it…</i><i><b>AlthoughI do care over the years that it is well tended to in terms of rotating crops. And I hope yields get better.</b></i></blockquote><p>In my mind, this wisdom is truer for Apple than anything else. A high-yield farm is what exactly it is. As a high-yield farm, investors should have the perspective to overlook its daily (or even yearly) noises and focus on the long term, as detailed next.</p><h2>Business outlook and projected returns</h2><p>I am optimistic about its future. The company has displayed remarkable resilience in the face of the difficult operating backdrop in the past. And I am certain that this time is no different. The inflation or drag from foreign exchange rates may worsen in the near term. But remember, Buffett&#39;s other wisdom is<i>not</i>to pick stocks based on macroeconomic parameters - which are totally unpredictable and out of anyone&#39;s control.</p><p>Altogether, consensus estimates look for share net to come in around $6.46 in 2023. And again, at a price of $140, the PE would be about 22x. Based on the consensus estimates, the growth rate would be about 4.6% CAGR in the next few years, which agrees with my back-of-envelope estimate closely. As aforementioned, at about 100% ROCE, a 5% investment rate would provide 5% organic real growth rates.</p><p>All told, a 22x entry PE, combined with a ~5% growth rate, should provide about 10% total return for a long-term business owner.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d4adcc41419bcccde9ab540b89f003c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"260\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha data</span></p><p>Notably, services-related revenues should continue to advance and represent a strong engine for future growth. In this sense, AAPL is transitioning (or you can argue it has successfully transitioned already) from a hardware business into a subscription-based SaaS business.</p><p>According to this report, it added ~30 million paid subscriptions in 2022 alone. Total revenues from services have been growing steadily and rapidly over the years and have reached $19.8 billion. In Q2 2022. Compared to $17.0 billion raked in from services during Q2 2021, this represented an annual growth rate of 16.5%, far outpacing the growth rates of its total revenue. Broadening the timeframe a bit, the growth in its revenues from services has grown more than 230% since 2017, also far outpacing the growth of its product sales (which increased by about 160%). In its latest earnings report, Tim Cook reported a mind-boggling total of 816 million paid subscriptions across its various services ranging from Apple Music, iCloud, and Apple TV+.</p><p>Going forward, I see such a large user base to further grow given Apple&#39;s popularity and premium status. In my view, the market underestimates (or misunderstands) its SaaS potential. As seen from the chart below, it is trading at a sizeable discount relative to other more &#34;standard&#34; SaaS stocks. To wit, in terms of FY1 PE, it is trading slightly below Microsoft Corporation by about 4%, about 20% below Intuit Inc, and more than 27% below Salesforce Inc.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/267e4208372cf220c56b8cfcab38cd7c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"206\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha data</span></p><h2>Risks and final thoughts</h2><p>To recap, there is no doubt that the business faces many short-term challenges. These challenges include the veritable list of the COVID-19 pandemic, the ongoing Russian/Ukraine situation, currency exchange rates, high inflation, and global supply chain disruptions. It also faces its own unique challenges such as margin pressure, cost control, and disruptions in its key China market.</p><p>However, the whole point of owning a stock like AAPL is that you do not have to worry about the quarterly noises. If you do, you defeat the purpose completely and should not own it in the first place. To me, any valuation near 20x is very attractive for a stock with ROCE and financial strength like AAPL. A ~20x PE provides about 5% owner&#39;s earnings yield. And an ROCE near 100% easily leads to 5% growth rates with minimal reinvestments, resulting in a double-digit return potential already.</p><p>Finally, specific to AAPL, the revenues and growth composition are also shifting to service and subscription, further augmenting its stickiness and profitability. The market underestimates (or misunderstands) its SaaS potential and most likely will regret it.</p><p><i>This article is written by Envision Research for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Why I Bought More At $140</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Why I Bought More At $140\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-07 16:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544974-apple-why-i-bought-more-140><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryI placed a limit buy order for Apple at $140 in September. The order was triggered last Friday thanks to market volatility, and now I own more shares.There is no doubt that the business faces ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544974-apple-why-i-bought-more-140\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544974-apple-why-i-bought-more-140","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273803113","content_text":"SummaryI placed a limit buy order for Apple at $140 in September. The order was triggered last Friday thanks to market volatility, and now I own more shares.There is no doubt that the business faces many short-term challenges.However, as Buffett commented, if you have to closely follow the day-to-day stuff, you should not own it in the first place.This wisdom is true for Apple more than anything else in my mind.Moreover, the market underestimates (or misunderstands) its SaaS potential and creates a mispricing.SereminInvestment thesisDuring the last week of September (September 25 to be exact), I sent an alert to our marketplace members. The alert informed them that I placed a limit buy order for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) at $140 and mythought process (the stock price then was about $150.5). A price of $140 corresponds to about 22x of its FW PE. To me, any valuation near 20x is very attractive for a stock with ROCE (return on capital employed) near 100% like AAPL. At about 100% ROCE, a 5% investment rate would provide 5% organic real growth rates (i.e., before inflation adjustments). And a 22x PE would provide about 5% owners earnings yield, leading to a total return close to double digits. For a stock like AAPL, I am always happy to buy/add when the total annual return is close to 10% or above. A 10% return is healthy enough to start with. Once you adjust for the risks (and I consider the risks from AAPL similar to treasury bonds), a 10% annual return is almost 3x of what you can get from bonds in the long term.Also, to put things under historical perspective, a valuation around 22x is also below the historical average of 24.7x in recent years by about 10% (11% to be exact), leaving a comfortable margin of safety. And also, bear in mind that the stock was so obviously before 2021 and those levels are outliers in my mind. So, the historical average of 24.75x is already biased.Source: Seeking Alpha dataAll told, thanks to market volatility, the stock price dipped below $140 a few days later on Sept 30. The order is triggered, and now I own more AAPL shares. I of course do not want to pretend that I have any idea that its price would actually dip below $140 or not. However, I do have a good sense of its intrinsic value and the magnitude of market gyrations. And as a long-term and patient investor, I do know that 22x PE is a good deal for a stock like AAPL.Near-term challengesThere is no shortage of external challenges in the near term. And these challenges can be substantial, too. They will continue to weigh on performance over the near term. These challenges include new variants of COVID-19, the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, unfavorable currency exchange rates, and high inflation and rising interest rates. In particular, you can see the effects that these headwinds have exerted on its margins. Over the past few quarters, its gross margin shrank by more than 200 basis points from a peak of 43.76% to 41.04%. Net profit margin shrank even more, by more than 450 basis points from a peak of 27.9% to 23.4%. China, its key market, had to lock down several of its key cities in the H1 of the year due to COVID-19, and the ongoing pandemic situation probably would lead to more lockdowns, which have impacted its sales and production and would very likely continue to in the near future.Source: Seeking Alpha dataAAPL and BuffettismHowever, as Buffett commented, if you have to closely follow the day-to-day stuff of a stock, you should not own it in the first place. He was once asked about his AAPL position during a Yahoo! Finance interview. You can see the full interview here, full of typical Buffett-style wisdom and highly recommended. The following is an excerpt and the highlights are added by me.Yahoo Finance: how closely do you follow the company? You know, people are concerned they really have not introduced any new products.Buffett: Well, if you have to closely follow the company, you should not own it in the first place. If you buy a business, say you buy a farm, do you go up and look every couple of weeks to see how far the corn has grown up? Do you worry too much about whether somebody says this year is going to be a year of low corn prices because exports are being affected or something? You know, it does not grow faster if I go and stare at it…AlthoughI do care over the years that it is well tended to in terms of rotating crops. And I hope yields get better.In my mind, this wisdom is truer for Apple than anything else. A high-yield farm is what exactly it is. As a high-yield farm, investors should have the perspective to overlook its daily (or even yearly) noises and focus on the long term, as detailed next.Business outlook and projected returnsI am optimistic about its future. The company has displayed remarkable resilience in the face of the difficult operating backdrop in the past. And I am certain that this time is no different. The inflation or drag from foreign exchange rates may worsen in the near term. But remember, Buffett's other wisdom isnotto pick stocks based on macroeconomic parameters - which are totally unpredictable and out of anyone's control.Altogether, consensus estimates look for share net to come in around $6.46 in 2023. And again, at a price of $140, the PE would be about 22x. Based on the consensus estimates, the growth rate would be about 4.6% CAGR in the next few years, which agrees with my back-of-envelope estimate closely. As aforementioned, at about 100% ROCE, a 5% investment rate would provide 5% organic real growth rates.All told, a 22x entry PE, combined with a ~5% growth rate, should provide about 10% total return for a long-term business owner.Source: Seeking Alpha dataNotably, services-related revenues should continue to advance and represent a strong engine for future growth. In this sense, AAPL is transitioning (or you can argue it has successfully transitioned already) from a hardware business into a subscription-based SaaS business.According to this report, it added ~30 million paid subscriptions in 2022 alone. Total revenues from services have been growing steadily and rapidly over the years and have reached $19.8 billion. In Q2 2022. Compared to $17.0 billion raked in from services during Q2 2021, this represented an annual growth rate of 16.5%, far outpacing the growth rates of its total revenue. Broadening the timeframe a bit, the growth in its revenues from services has grown more than 230% since 2017, also far outpacing the growth of its product sales (which increased by about 160%). In its latest earnings report, Tim Cook reported a mind-boggling total of 816 million paid subscriptions across its various services ranging from Apple Music, iCloud, and Apple TV+.Going forward, I see such a large user base to further grow given Apple's popularity and premium status. In my view, the market underestimates (or misunderstands) its SaaS potential. As seen from the chart below, it is trading at a sizeable discount relative to other more \"standard\" SaaS stocks. To wit, in terms of FY1 PE, it is trading slightly below Microsoft Corporation by about 4%, about 20% below Intuit Inc, and more than 27% below Salesforce Inc.Source: Seeking Alpha dataRisks and final thoughtsTo recap, there is no doubt that the business faces many short-term challenges. These challenges include the veritable list of the COVID-19 pandemic, the ongoing Russian/Ukraine situation, currency exchange rates, high inflation, and global supply chain disruptions. It also faces its own unique challenges such as margin pressure, cost control, and disruptions in its key China market.However, the whole point of owning a stock like AAPL is that you do not have to worry about the quarterly noises. If you do, you defeat the purpose completely and should not own it in the first place. To me, any valuation near 20x is very attractive for a stock with ROCE and financial strength like AAPL. A ~20x PE provides about 5% owner's earnings yield. And an ROCE near 100% easily leads to 5% growth rates with minimal reinvestments, resulting in a double-digit return potential already.Finally, specific to AAPL, the revenues and growth composition are also shifting to service and subscription, further augmenting its stickiness and profitability. The market underestimates (or misunderstands) its SaaS potential and most likely will regret it.This article is written by Envision Research for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}