NewbieCK personal page - To The Moon

NewbieCK

NewbieCK

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06-12

Predict maintain the same interest rates

02-25

Certainly will beat the forecast! Confident in NVDA stock and management!

02-24

Certainly will grow higher 💪 I have faith in NVDA

02-06

A good buy and bear market is coming

2025-10-16

Let's invest wisely

2025-09-25

Pick Nvidia! Apple is over price

2025-09-17

Definitely some stocks will surge, but not now. Be patient

2025-09-15

It's time to sell Alibaba...

2025-09-15

Definitely will go up! Tesla is the best with plenty of innovation

2025-09-12

Definitely bull market is coming!

2025-08-27

NVIDIA is expected to release its financial report for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 on Wednesday, August 27, 2025, after the market closes. It's going to be a good 👍 result

2025-08-25

Potential great news for NVIDIA!

2025-07-25

Long run is still a good buy, but not short term gains

Tesla Plans To Launch Robotaxis In San Francisco This Weekend

2025-07-25

Sharp dropped and it will recover again! Just don't panic

2025-07-23

Go go STI

@Tiger_SG:STI Rises for 12-Days! Earnings Season Approaches, New Highs or a Pullback Looms?

2025-07-22

Definitely a buy and full of potential as compared with NVIDIA

2025-07-22

$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ The general sentiment among analysts and industry participants appears to be optimistic.

2025-07-22

The AI boom continues to be a major driver. Companies involved in AI software, data infrastructure, and especially the manufacture of advanced semiconductors, have seen significant gains.🚀🚀🚀

2025-07-22

The AI boom continues to be a major driver. Companies involved in AI software, data infrastructure, and especially the manufacture of advanced semiconductors, have seen significant gains. 🚀🚀🚀

2025-07-21

Definitely will bounce back after mew launch

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Apple is over price&nbsp;","listText":"Pick Nvidia! Apple is over price&nbsp;","text":"Pick Nvidia! Apple is over price","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/482103760937504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":479623890403832,"gmtCreate":1758119819710,"gmtModify":1758119823491,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Definitely some stocks will surge, but not now. Be patient&nbsp;","listText":"Definitely some stocks will surge, but not now. Be patient&nbsp;","text":"Definitely some stocks will surge, but not now. Be patient","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/479623890403832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":478936461087552,"gmtCreate":1757948314790,"gmtModify":1758184069813,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"It's time to sell Alibaba...","listText":"It's time to sell Alibaba...","text":"It's time to sell Alibaba...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/478936461087552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":478935067533336,"gmtCreate":1757948296070,"gmtModify":1757948299741,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Definitely will go up! Tesla is the best with plenty of innovation&nbsp;","listText":"Definitely will go up! Tesla is the best with plenty of innovation&nbsp;","text":"Definitely will go up! Tesla is the best with plenty of innovation","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/478935067533336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":477937003799248,"gmtCreate":1757690141243,"gmtModify":1757690144904,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Definitely bull market is coming!","listText":"Definitely bull market is coming!","text":"Definitely bull market is coming!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/477937003799248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":472142638293816,"gmtCreate":1756304970943,"gmtModify":1756304975599,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"NVIDIA is expected to release its financial report for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 on Wednesday, August 27, 2025, after the market closes. It's going to be a good 👍 result&nbsp;","listText":"NVIDIA is expected to release its financial report for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 on Wednesday, August 27, 2025, after the market closes. It's going to be a good 👍 result&nbsp;","text":"NVIDIA is expected to release its financial report for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 on Wednesday, August 27, 2025, after the market closes. It's going to be a good 👍 result","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/472142638293816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":471418482372896,"gmtCreate":1756129783971,"gmtModify":1756129788995,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Potential great news for NVIDIA!","listText":"Potential great news for NVIDIA!","text":"Potential great news for NVIDIA!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/471418482372896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2082,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":460545830257088,"gmtCreate":1753456577427,"gmtModify":1753456581064,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Long run is still a good buy, but not short term gains&nbsp;","listText":"Long run is still a good buy, but not short term gains&nbsp;","text":"Long run is still a good buy, but not short term gains","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/460545830257088","repostId":"2554764708","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2554764708","kind":"live","pubTimestamp":1753452519,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2554764708?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-07-25 22:08","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Tesla Plans To Launch Robotaxis In San Francisco This Weekend","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2554764708","media":"THOMSON REUTERS","summary":"Tesla is preparing to launch its robotaxi service in San Francisco as soon as this weekend, Business","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla is preparing to launch its robotaxi service in San Francisco as soon as this weekend, Business Insider reported on Friday, citing an internal staff memo.</p><p>Tesla shares rose 2.6% in morning trading.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/518d578d6dc06f60fa3b828ec40607db\" tg-width=\"783\" tg-height=\"833\"/></p><p>Tesla said its timeline for the launch had been moved up and the service could launch as soon as Friday, the report said, adding that some Tesla owners will receive invites to use the service.</p><p>Chief Executive Elon Musk has shifted Tesla’s focus toward robots and self-driving taxis to counter declining sales of the company’s aging vehicle lineup.</p><p>Tesla’s robotaxi business is still in its early stages, having only conducted a controlled test run in Austin, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCBIL\">Texas</a>, earlier this year.</p><p>The geofenced area where Tesla&#39;s robotaxi service will operate covers a large swath of the Bay Area, including Marin, much of the East Bay, San Francisco and stretching south to San Jose, the report said.</p><p>Reuters could not independently verify the Business Insider report. Tesla did not immediately respond to Reuters&#39; request for comment.</p><p>During the company&#39;s earnings call this week, Musk said Tesla is getting regulatory permission to launch robotaxis in several states, including California, Nevada, Arizona and Florida.</p><p>California regulators told Reuters on Wednesday that Tesla had not yet applied for permits needed to pick up and charge passengers for rides in fully autonomous vehicles.</p><p>Companies need a series of permits from both the California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) and the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) in order to test and deploy autonomous vehicles in the state.</p><p>The DMV and CPUC did not immediately respond to a request for comment.</p><p>Regulatory hurdles pose a challenge to Tesla as it must gain the trust of safety officials before launching fully autonomous services.</p></body></html>","source":"reuters_en_live","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Plans To Launch Robotaxis In San Francisco This Weekend</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Plans To Launch Robotaxis In San Francisco This Weekend\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-07-25 22:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://api.refinitiv.com/data/news/v1/stories/urn:newsml:reuters.com:20250725:nL4N3TM0YA:1><strong>THOMSON REUTERS</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is preparing to launch its robotaxi service in San Francisco as soon as this weekend, Business Insider reported on Friday, citing an internal staff memo.Tesla shares rose 2.6% in morning trading...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://api.refinitiv.com/data/news/v1/stories/urn:newsml:reuters.com:20250725:nL4N3TM0YA:1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) 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Insider reported on Friday, citing an internal staff memo.Tesla shares rose 2.6% in morning trading.Tesla said its timeline for the launch had been moved up and the service could launch as soon as Friday, the report said, adding that some Tesla owners will receive invites to use the service.Chief Executive Elon Musk has shifted Tesla’s focus toward robots and self-driving taxis to counter declining sales of the company’s aging vehicle lineup.Tesla’s robotaxi business is still in its early stages, having only conducted a controlled test run in Austin, Texas, earlier this year.The geofenced area where Tesla's robotaxi service will operate covers a large swath of the Bay Area, including Marin, much of the East Bay, San Francisco and stretching south to San Jose, the report said.Reuters could not independently verify the Business Insider report. Tesla did not immediately respond to Reuters' request for comment.During the company's earnings call this week, Musk said Tesla is getting regulatory permission to launch robotaxis in several states, including California, Nevada, Arizona and Florida.California regulators told Reuters on Wednesday that Tesla had not yet applied for permits needed to pick up and charge passengers for rides in fully autonomous vehicles.Companies need a series of permits from both the California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) and the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) in order to test and deploy autonomous vehicles in the state.The DMV and CPUC did not immediately respond to a request for comment.Regulatory hurdles pose a challenge to Tesla as it must gain the trust of safety officials before launching fully autonomous services.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"TSLL":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":460587772002536,"gmtCreate":1753453921772,"gmtModify":1753453925653,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Sharp dropped and it will recover again! Just don't panic&nbsp;","listText":"Sharp dropped and it will recover again! Just don't panic&nbsp;","text":"Sharp dropped and it will recover again! Just don't panic","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/460587772002536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":459887070777640,"gmtCreate":1753280936997,"gmtModify":1753280940696,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Go go STI","listText":"Go go STI","text":"Go go STI","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/459887070777640","repostId":"459487702654992","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":459487702654992,"gmtCreate":1753198753675,"gmtModify":1753354202355,"author":{"id":"4106547232749330","authorId":"4106547232749330","name":"Tiger_SG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9eb57a835b72d997d1941fb6605d80a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106547232749330","idStr":"4106547232749330"},"themes":[],"title":"STI Rises for 12-Days! Earnings Season Approaches, New Highs or a Pullback Looms?","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> rose for the 12th straight trading day on Tuesday, marking its longest winning streak in history. The rally has been driven by gains in banking, telecommunications, and industrial stocks.Singapore’s market has become a relative safe haven amid rising global risks.With ample liquidity, a strong domestic currency, and low interest rates, dividend-yielding stocks are increasingly attractive. DBS Bank analysts noted, “Low interest rates and a lack of alternative income-generating assets may continue to support activity in the Singapore market.”Some analysts attribute the STI's strong performance to inflows of safe-haven capital. One fund management company even launched the first-ever unit trust specifically designed to","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> rose for the 12th straight trading day on Tuesday, marking its longest winning streak in history. The rally has been driven by gains in banking, telecommunications, and industrial stocks.Singapore’s market has become a relative safe haven amid rising global risks.With ample liquidity, a strong domestic currency, and low interest rates, dividend-yielding stocks are increasingly attractive. DBS Bank analysts noted, “Low interest rates and a lack of alternative income-generating assets may continue to support activity in the Singapore market.”Some analysts attribute the STI's strong performance to inflows of safe-haven capital. One fund management company even launched the first-ever unit trust specifically designed to","text":"$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ rose for the 12th straight trading day on Tuesday, marking its longest winning streak in history. The rally has been driven by gains in banking, telecommunications, and industrial stocks.Singapore’s market has become a relative safe haven amid rising global risks.With ample liquidity, a strong domestic currency, and low interest rates, dividend-yielding stocks are increasingly attractive. DBS Bank analysts noted, “Low interest rates and a lack of alternative income-generating assets may continue to support activity in the Singapore market.”Some analysts attribute the STI's strong performance to inflows of safe-haven capital. One fund management company even launched the first-ever unit trust specifically designed to","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c76388bfba829c5f53e4c0aa896b269b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/459487702654992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":459386633511240,"gmtCreate":1753191920745,"gmtModify":1753191924631,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Definitely a buy and full of potential as compared with NVIDIA&nbsp;","listText":"Definitely a buy and full of potential as compared with NVIDIA&nbsp;","text":"Definitely a buy and full of potential as compared with NVIDIA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/459386633511240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2507,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":459486323204272,"gmtCreate":1753191887860,"gmtModify":1753191890867,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ </a> The general sentiment among analysts and industry participants appears to be optimistic.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ </a> The general sentiment among analysts and industry participants appears to be optimistic.&nbsp;","text":"$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ The general sentiment among analysts and industry participants appears to be optimistic.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/459486323204272","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":459501729411544,"gmtCreate":1753191730701,"gmtModify":1753191734011,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"The AI boom continues to be a major driver. Companies involved in AI software, data infrastructure, and especially the manufacture of advanced semiconductors, have seen significant gains.🚀🚀🚀","listText":"The AI boom continues to be a major driver. Companies involved in AI software, data infrastructure, and especially the manufacture of advanced semiconductors, have seen significant gains.🚀🚀🚀","text":"The AI boom continues to be a major driver. Companies involved in AI software, data infrastructure, and especially the manufacture of advanced semiconductors, have seen significant gains.🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/459501729411544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1979,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":459386936508784,"gmtCreate":1753191716466,"gmtModify":1753191720528,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"The AI boom continues to be a major driver. Companies involved in AI software, data infrastructure, and especially the manufacture of advanced semiconductors, have seen significant gains. 🚀🚀🚀","listText":"The AI boom continues to be a major driver. Companies involved in AI software, data infrastructure, and especially the manufacture of advanced semiconductors, have seen significant gains. 🚀🚀🚀","text":"The AI boom continues to be a major driver. Companies involved in AI software, data infrastructure, and especially the manufacture of advanced semiconductors, have seen significant gains. 🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/459386936508784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":459043302863240,"gmtCreate":1753074822251,"gmtModify":1753074826123,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Definitely will bounce back after mew launch&nbsp;","listText":"Definitely will bounce back after mew launch&nbsp;","text":"Definitely will bounce back after mew launch","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/459043302863240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":418538479022376,"gmtCreate":1743178148158,"gmtModify":1743178151047,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> despite current situation , I'm confident NVDA will bounce back&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> despite current situation , I'm confident NVDA will bounce back&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ despite current situation , I'm confident NVDA will bounce back","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/418538479022376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":388399639703792,"gmtCreate":1735866640476,"gmtModify":1735866645669,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Keppel DC REIT Analyst Ratings: Consensus estimates as of January 1, 2025, suggest a share price target of $2.335, representing an upside potential of 5.7% based on the current share price of $2.21.","listText":"Keppel DC REIT Analyst Ratings: Consensus estimates as of January 1, 2025, suggest a share price target of $2.335, representing an upside potential of 5.7% based on the current share price of $2.21.","text":"Keppel DC REIT Analyst Ratings: Consensus estimates as of January 1, 2025, suggest a share price target of $2.335, representing an upside potential of 5.7% based on the current share price of $2.21.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/388399639703792","repostId":"388396012740968","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":388396012740968,"gmtCreate":1735865757945,"gmtModify":1735865762302,"author":{"id":"4145577437639082","authorId":"4145577437639082","name":"Star in the Sky","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37e252252b1b80ac71983f2ee5cfe8fb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4145577437639082","idStr":"4145577437639082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AJBU.SI\">$Keppel DC Reit(AJBU.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; Keppel DC REIT divesting Basis Bay Data Centre in Malaysia at 2.6% above valuation for&nbsp; $16.9 million. The divestment is expected to be completed around 3Q2025. The divestment is not expected to have any material impact on Keppel DC REIT’s net asset value and distribution per unit of Keppel DC REIT for the financial year ending Dec 31, 2025","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AJBU.SI\">$Keppel DC Reit(AJBU.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; Keppel DC REIT divesting Basis Bay Data Centre in Malaysia at 2.6% above valuation for&nbsp; $16.9 million. The divestment is expected to be completed around 3Q2025. The divestment is not expected to have any material impact on Keppel DC REIT’s net asset value and distribution per unit of Keppel DC REIT for the financial year ending Dec 31, 2025","text":"$Keppel DC Reit(AJBU.SI)$ Keppel DC REIT divesting Basis Bay Data Centre in Malaysia at 2.6% above valuation for $16.9 million. The divestment is expected to be completed around 3Q2025. The divestment is not expected to have any material impact on Keppel DC REIT’s net asset value and distribution per unit of Keppel DC REIT for the financial year ending Dec 31, 2025","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/388396012740968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":388403140829512,"gmtCreate":1735867497235,"gmtModify":1736307976270,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/V03.SI\">$Venture(V03.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> According to DBS, the consensus target price for Venture Corp is approximately S$15.10, indicating potential upside from its current trading price.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/V03.SI\">$Venture(V03.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> According to DBS, the consensus target price for Venture Corp is approximately S$15.10, indicating potential upside from its current trading price.","text":"$Venture(V03.SI)$ According to DBS, the consensus target price for Venture Corp is approximately S$15.10, indicating potential upside from its current trading price.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/388403140829512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382617247510640,"gmtCreate":1734447422076,"gmtModify":1734447425722,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> NVIDIA is certainly a promising stock, but its recent significant drop is puzzling. It's experiencing a substantial decline. Come on NVIDIA!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> NVIDIA is certainly a promising stock, but its recent significant drop is puzzling. It's experiencing a substantial decline. Come on NVIDIA!","text":"$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA is certainly a promising stock, but its recent significant drop is puzzling. It's experiencing a substantial decline. Come on NVIDIA!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/382617247510640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4195358770054372","authorId":"4195358770054372","name":"pittuArya","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4195358770054372","idStr":"4195358770054372"},"content":"is it panick profit booking by small investors","text":"is it panick profit booking by small investors","html":"is it panick profit booking by small investors"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382737317142720,"gmtCreate":1734449953914,"gmtModify":1734449959167,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"NVIDIA is definitely a good buy and a good 👍 company. Please ignore this article&nbsp;","listText":"NVIDIA is definitely a good buy and a good 👍 company. Please ignore this article&nbsp;","text":"NVIDIA is definitely a good buy and a good 👍 company. Please ignore this article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/382737317142720","repostId":"1128864584","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1128864584","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1734416177,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128864584?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-12-17 14:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: This Could Be The Top","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128864584","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryA rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA's share price.At","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_1885097578\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>A rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA&#39;s share price.</p></li><li><p>At this point, Nvidia’s stock could be considered overvalued and overhyped at the same time.</p></li><li><p>Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1cd66fb76fb9c3656779aa6ac145d6d\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p><strong>Nvidia Corporation </strong>(NASDAQ:NVDA) stock is up 14% since we last covered it a couple of months ago, but also down 7% since the release of its Q3 earnings report last month. Although the earnings report was successful, the market is not satisfied with the guidance that the management announced.</p><p>In our previous coverage on Nvidia, we said that the company’s stock is priced for perfection and the inability of the management to constantly increase the outlook significantly above the consensus could kill Nvidia’s momentum. That is precisely what is happening right now. We believe that because of the rising challenges that the company is facing, the future guidance for the upcoming quarters might disappoint as well and lead to a further depreciation of Nvidia’s share price.</p><h2 id=\"id_3690589756\">Reality Fails To Meet Expectations</h2><p>The Q3 numbers themselves weren’t that bad. The revenues were up 93.6% Y/Y to $35.08 billion, above the consensus by nearly $2 billion. The bottom-line performance was also relatively good, as it was above the consensus as well. But because Nvidia was priced for perfection already, the relatively weak guidance killed the stock’s momentum, and the share price is currently on a downward trend.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b9d4491fd0ada5a07d412d888f3a9fae\" alt=\"Nvidia’s stock price\" title=\"Nvidia’s stock price\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\"/><span>Nvidia’s stock price</span></p><p>In Q4, the management expects Nvidia to make $37.5 billion in revenues, which is not that far away from the street consensus of $37.1 billion. Some analysts guided for the revenue goal of as high as $41 billion before the management’s outlook was released. But overall, the guidance mainly disappointed Wall Street and became one of the main reasons behind the latest depreciation. At the same time, Nvidia faces some major challenges that could prevent the company from aggressively increasing the outlook that could impress Wall Street in the upcoming quarters as well.</p><p>The AI accelerators from the Blackwell series are currently one of the most talked about accelerators in the world, with an insane demand according to Nvidia’s management. However, some issues associated with them have already affected Nvidia’s release plans. In October, Blackwell encountered a design flaw that resulted in lower yield rates and delayed their shipping to first clients. Then last month, it was reported that Blackwell chips were overheating in servers.</p><p>Although it appears that those issues have now been fixed and the ramp-up of Blackwell is expected in Q4, Nvidia’s guidance suggests that revenue of $37.5 billion for the upcoming quarter will translate to a Q/Q growth rate of only 7%. This might indicate that despite all the hype surrounding Blackwell, the AI chip buying cycle could be coming off the peak right now. That doesn’t mean that the growth will disappear. However, the growth rate itself should normalize and the aggressive double and triple-digit revenue growth rate that fueled the rise of Nvidia’s stock could become a thing of the past.</p><p>The ramp-up of Blackwell in the upcoming quarters is also expected to affect Nvidia’s margins and could result in a poorer bottom-line performance. The gross margins are expected to decline to the low 70s, and the margin pressure could persist throughout the first part of FY26. This creates additional pressure on Nvidia, as Blackwell needs to perform well for the company to not release another relatively disappointing guidance that further kills the stock of its momentum. Considering that the networking revenues were down sequentially in Q3, and the gaming revenues in Q4 are expected to be down sequentially as well, Nvidia’s upside could be limited in the foreseeable future if Blackwell doesn’t perform well.</p><p>Nvidia also faces additional pressure from hyperscalers, who at the same time are its major clients. They are currently in the middle of designing their own AI chips for their data centers, which over time could undermine Nvidia’s dominant position in the AI accelerator market. We already know that Amazon (AMZN) is working with Intel (INTC) to produce a fabric AI chip, while Apple (AAPL) recently confirmed that it now also uses Amazon’s custom AI chips. Other companies like Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), Google (GOOGL, GOOG), Tesla (TSLA) and OpenAI are also in the middle of designing their own AI chips and could become direct competitors of Nvidia over time.</p><p>All of those developments make us question Nvidia’s market capitalization of $3.4 trillion. The whole generative AI market is not expected to generate as much revenue over the following years. Thus, it doesn’t make a lot of sense for Nvidia to be worth so much today, given the number of issues that it faces.</p><p>The geopolitical issues are also not going anywhere away. The implementation of Trump’s protectionist tariff policy next year could damage global growth, which could result in lower demand for AI chips since businesses could be forced to hoard resources in the face of macroeconomic uncertainty. Nvidia already suffers from the ongoing chip war between China and the United States, as its revenues in China are currently below historically high levels due to chip export restrictions. An uncertain macro environment will only make it harder for it to aggressively increase its outlook to satisfy the market’s needs.</p><h3 id=\"id_211129166\">The Intrinsic Value of Nvidia</h3><p>At the current market price, we also believe that Nvidia is overvalued. Our valuation model from the previous article showed that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $79.33 per share. Since Nvidia released a new outlook last month, we decided to update our model and make several revisions.</p><p>In the model, we decrease Nvidia’s effective tax rate from 21% to 15%. The 15% is closer to Nvidia’s current rate, and there’s a possibility that the standard corporate tax rate in the United States will be decreased under the Trump administration. The perpetual growth rate remains at 3%, and our valuation model forecasts Nvidia’s performance for the next five years. The long-term debt and cash data have been taken from the latest earnings report, and we update this model when Nvidia is trading at $134.25 per share.</p><p>The discount rate in our valuation model is 9.84%. We figured it out by calculating Nvidia’s after-tax cost of debt and cost of equity. To figure out the cost of debt, we mostly used Nvidia’s TTM data. To figure out the cost of equity, we used the risk-free rate of 4.40%, beta of 1.66, and the market-return rate of 7.69%. We then weighted Nvidia’s debt and equity to arrive at the discount rate.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a6bea708b99e09c85b15fd4405208555\" alt=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" title=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"182\"/><span>Nvidia’s valuation model</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Nvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)</strong></p><p></p><p>For the forecast table below, we updated the sales growth rate, which is now similar to the overall expectations for the next couple of years. As the table shows, we expect a normalization of the sales growth rate in the following years. The EBIT rate remained the same as before and is similar to the current TTM rate. The tax rate was decreased, and the bottom part of the forecast table mostly remained the same.</p><p>The assumptions in our forecast table helped us to figure out Nvidia’s enterprise value, which in our case is $2.23 trillion. We then added cash and subtracted debt to arrive at the equity value of $2.26 trillion. Thereafter, we divided Nvidia’s equity value by the number of its outstanding shares and figured out that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $91.20 per share. The lower tax rate in this updated model is one of the main reasons why the intrinsic value has been higher in comparison to our previous model. However, under the new assumptions, Nvidia’s stock is overvalued by around 32%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5c46e9d52e3bae0f74e46a337968e78d\" alt=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" title=\"Nvidia’s valuation model\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"228\"/><span>Nvidia’s valuation model</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Nvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)</strong></p><p></p><h3 id=\"id_4292459600\">Risks To Our Bearish Thesis</h3><p>Although we believe that Nvidia’s stock has likely reached its top for now, there are still a couple of potential developments that can undermine our bearish outlook for the company. While we are unlikely to see an aggressive Y/Y growth of sales in the future since the base for comparison has been significantly raised in the last year and a half, that doesn’t mean that the growth will stop. Since there’s a possibility that a chip shortage could last for the next couple of years, there’s a potential that the demand for AI chips will remain for a while. This could result in sales that are higher than the current consensus once the production of Blackwell is ramped up. This could push Nvidia’s stock price higher, like it was a year ago, even if the Y/Y growth rate won’t be as impressive as before.</p><p>The macro risks could also be overblown, and there’s a possibility that the American economy will grow next year despite the geopolitical uncertainty. This could result in a boost in demand for AI chips and also lead to the growth of Nvidia’s share price.</p><h2 id=\"id_2596097235\">Final Thoughts</h2><p>Is Nvidia a great business? Yes. Will it continue to grow for years to come? Most likely yes. But the biggest issue at this point is that the rate at which Nvidia is growing is unlikely to be as impressive as before. We believe that a rather tepid forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline of Nvidia’s share price.</p><p>Considering that the stock is already overvalued while challenges for Nvidia continue to increase, it would be tough for the stock to continue to trade at the current relatively high multiples. That is why Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1728464409321","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: This Could Be The Top</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: This Could Be The Top\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-12-17 14:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744616-nvidia-this-could-be-the-top><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA's share price.At...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744616-nvidia-this-could-be-the-top\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744616-nvidia-this-could-be-the-top","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128864584","content_text":"SummaryA rather tepid Nvidia Corporation forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline in NVDA's share price.At this point, Nvidia’s stock could be considered overvalued and overhyped at the same time.Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock is up 14% since we last covered it a couple of months ago, but also down 7% since the release of its Q3 earnings report last month. Although the earnings report was successful, the market is not satisfied with the guidance that the management announced.In our previous coverage on Nvidia, we said that the company’s stock is priced for perfection and the inability of the management to constantly increase the outlook significantly above the consensus could kill Nvidia’s momentum. That is precisely what is happening right now. We believe that because of the rising challenges that the company is facing, the future guidance for the upcoming quarters might disappoint as well and lead to a further depreciation of Nvidia’s share price.Reality Fails To Meet ExpectationsThe Q3 numbers themselves weren’t that bad. The revenues were up 93.6% Y/Y to $35.08 billion, above the consensus by nearly $2 billion. The bottom-line performance was also relatively good, as it was above the consensus as well. But because Nvidia was priced for perfection already, the relatively weak guidance killed the stock’s momentum, and the share price is currently on a downward trend.Nvidia’s stock priceIn Q4, the management expects Nvidia to make $37.5 billion in revenues, which is not that far away from the street consensus of $37.1 billion. Some analysts guided for the revenue goal of as high as $41 billion before the management’s outlook was released. But overall, the guidance mainly disappointed Wall Street and became one of the main reasons behind the latest depreciation. At the same time, Nvidia faces some major challenges that could prevent the company from aggressively increasing the outlook that could impress Wall Street in the upcoming quarters as well.The AI accelerators from the Blackwell series are currently one of the most talked about accelerators in the world, with an insane demand according to Nvidia’s management. However, some issues associated with them have already affected Nvidia’s release plans. In October, Blackwell encountered a design flaw that resulted in lower yield rates and delayed their shipping to first clients. Then last month, it was reported that Blackwell chips were overheating in servers.Although it appears that those issues have now been fixed and the ramp-up of Blackwell is expected in Q4, Nvidia’s guidance suggests that revenue of $37.5 billion for the upcoming quarter will translate to a Q/Q growth rate of only 7%. This might indicate that despite all the hype surrounding Blackwell, the AI chip buying cycle could be coming off the peak right now. That doesn’t mean that the growth will disappear. However, the growth rate itself should normalize and the aggressive double and triple-digit revenue growth rate that fueled the rise of Nvidia’s stock could become a thing of the past.The ramp-up of Blackwell in the upcoming quarters is also expected to affect Nvidia’s margins and could result in a poorer bottom-line performance. The gross margins are expected to decline to the low 70s, and the margin pressure could persist throughout the first part of FY26. This creates additional pressure on Nvidia, as Blackwell needs to perform well for the company to not release another relatively disappointing guidance that further kills the stock of its momentum. Considering that the networking revenues were down sequentially in Q3, and the gaming revenues in Q4 are expected to be down sequentially as well, Nvidia’s upside could be limited in the foreseeable future if Blackwell doesn’t perform well.Nvidia also faces additional pressure from hyperscalers, who at the same time are its major clients. They are currently in the middle of designing their own AI chips for their data centers, which over time could undermine Nvidia’s dominant position in the AI accelerator market. We already know that Amazon (AMZN) is working with Intel (INTC) to produce a fabric AI chip, while Apple (AAPL) recently confirmed that it now also uses Amazon’s custom AI chips. Other companies like Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), Google (GOOGL, GOOG), Tesla (TSLA) and OpenAI are also in the middle of designing their own AI chips and could become direct competitors of Nvidia over time.All of those developments make us question Nvidia’s market capitalization of $3.4 trillion. The whole generative AI market is not expected to generate as much revenue over the following years. Thus, it doesn’t make a lot of sense for Nvidia to be worth so much today, given the number of issues that it faces.The geopolitical issues are also not going anywhere away. The implementation of Trump’s protectionist tariff policy next year could damage global growth, which could result in lower demand for AI chips since businesses could be forced to hoard resources in the face of macroeconomic uncertainty. Nvidia already suffers from the ongoing chip war between China and the United States, as its revenues in China are currently below historically high levels due to chip export restrictions. An uncertain macro environment will only make it harder for it to aggressively increase its outlook to satisfy the market’s needs.The Intrinsic Value of NvidiaAt the current market price, we also believe that Nvidia is overvalued. Our valuation model from the previous article showed that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $79.33 per share. Since Nvidia released a new outlook last month, we decided to update our model and make several revisions.In the model, we decrease Nvidia’s effective tax rate from 21% to 15%. The 15% is closer to Nvidia’s current rate, and there’s a possibility that the standard corporate tax rate in the United States will be decreased under the Trump administration. The perpetual growth rate remains at 3%, and our valuation model forecasts Nvidia’s performance for the next five years. The long-term debt and cash data have been taken from the latest earnings report, and we update this model when Nvidia is trading at $134.25 per share.The discount rate in our valuation model is 9.84%. We figured it out by calculating Nvidia’s after-tax cost of debt and cost of equity. To figure out the cost of debt, we mostly used Nvidia’s TTM data. To figure out the cost of equity, we used the risk-free rate of 4.40%, beta of 1.66, and the market-return rate of 7.69%. We then weighted Nvidia’s debt and equity to arrive at the discount rate.Nvidia’s valuation modelNvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)For the forecast table below, we updated the sales growth rate, which is now similar to the overall expectations for the next couple of years. As the table shows, we expect a normalization of the sales growth rate in the following years. The EBIT rate remained the same as before and is similar to the current TTM rate. The tax rate was decreased, and the bottom part of the forecast table mostly remained the same.The assumptions in our forecast table helped us to figure out Nvidia’s enterprise value, which in our case is $2.23 trillion. We then added cash and subtracted debt to arrive at the equity value of $2.26 trillion. Thereafter, we divided Nvidia’s equity value by the number of its outstanding shares and figured out that Nvidia’s intrinsic value is $91.20 per share. The lower tax rate in this updated model is one of the main reasons why the intrinsic value has been higher in comparison to our previous model. However, under the new assumptions, Nvidia’s stock is overvalued by around 32%.Nvidia’s valuation modelNvidia’s valuation model (Bears of Wall Street)Risks To Our Bearish ThesisAlthough we believe that Nvidia’s stock has likely reached its top for now, there are still a couple of potential developments that can undermine our bearish outlook for the company. While we are unlikely to see an aggressive Y/Y growth of sales in the future since the base for comparison has been significantly raised in the last year and a half, that doesn’t mean that the growth will stop. Since there’s a possibility that a chip shortage could last for the next couple of years, there’s a potential that the demand for AI chips will remain for a while. This could result in sales that are higher than the current consensus once the production of Blackwell is ramped up. This could push Nvidia’s stock price higher, like it was a year ago, even if the Y/Y growth rate won’t be as impressive as before.The macro risks could also be overblown, and there’s a possibility that the American economy will grow next year despite the geopolitical uncertainty. This could result in a boost in demand for AI chips and also lead to the growth of Nvidia’s share price.Final ThoughtsIs Nvidia a great business? Yes. Will it continue to grow for years to come? Most likely yes. But the biggest issue at this point is that the rate at which Nvidia is growing is unlikely to be as impressive as before. We believe that a rather tepid forecast for Q4, which failed to meet Wall Street’s relatively high expectations, is one of the main reasons behind the recent decline of Nvidia’s share price.Considering that the stock is already overvalued while challenges for Nvidia continue to increase, it would be tough for the stock to continue to trade at the current relatively high multiples. That is why Nvidia remains a SELL for us, since we believe that its stock has more room to fall.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":392122503959032,"gmtCreate":1736777231376,"gmtModify":1736777235925,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"NVIDIA will definitely jump after Q1. Time will reveal the truth&nbsp;","listText":"NVIDIA will definitely jump after Q1. Time will reveal the truth&nbsp;","text":"NVIDIA will definitely jump after Q1. Time will reveal the truth","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/392122503959032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":574539277590968,"gmtCreate":1781276638176,"gmtModify":1781276641161,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Predict maintain the same interest rates","listText":"Predict maintain the same interest rates","text":"Predict maintain the same interest rates","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/574539277590968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":472142638293816,"gmtCreate":1756304970943,"gmtModify":1756304975599,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"NVIDIA is expected to release its financial report for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 on Wednesday, August 27, 2025, after the market closes. It's going to be a good 👍 result&nbsp;","listText":"NVIDIA is expected to release its financial report for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 on Wednesday, August 27, 2025, after the market closes. It's going to be a good 👍 result&nbsp;","text":"NVIDIA is expected to release its financial report for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 on Wednesday, August 27, 2025, after the market closes. It's going to be a good 👍 result","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/472142638293816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":457300731339456,"gmtCreate":1752682674362,"gmtModify":1752682677873,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great news to Nvidia&nbsp;","listText":"Great news to Nvidia&nbsp;","text":"Great news to Nvidia","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/457300731339456","repostId":"456951285367376","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":456951285367376,"gmtCreate":1752582399032,"gmtModify":1752667807411,"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559581955535845","idStr":"3559581955535845"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great news! 🎉🎉🎉<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ </a> CEO Jensen Huang is currently in China and Nvidia&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> will soon get the green light to resume selling chips to China.&nbsp; Tencent&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00700\">$TENCENT(00700)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> and Byte Dance are in talks to place new orders.&nbsp; That is great news for Nvidia.&nbsp; It is not surprising that Nvidia's shares are up 4% pre market. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3527667618000160\">@CaptainTiger </a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3501196737273098\">@Tiger_comments </a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4106547232749330\">@Tiger_SG </a>&nbsp;","listText":"Great news! 🎉🎉🎉<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ </a> CEO Jensen Huang is currently in China and Nvidia&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> will soon get the green light to resume selling chips to China.&nbsp; Tencent&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00700\">$TENCENT(00700)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> and Byte Dance are in talks to place new orders.&nbsp; That is great news for Nvidia.&nbsp; It is not surprising that Nvidia's shares are up 4% pre market. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3527667618000160\">@CaptainTiger </a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3501196737273098\">@Tiger_comments </a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4106547232749330\">@Tiger_SG </a>&nbsp;","text":"Great news! 🎉🎉🎉$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ CEO Jensen Huang is currently in China and Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ will soon get the green light to resume selling chips to China. Tencent $TENCENT(00700)$ and Byte Dance are in talks to place new orders. That is great news for Nvidia. It is not surprising that Nvidia's shares are up 4% pre market. @CaptainTiger @Tiger_comments @Tiger_SG","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2962fcca1144740bf28b7a54f497e21c","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/456951285367376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":457347634065984,"gmtCreate":1752680780430,"gmtModify":1753931465864,"author":{"id":"3586432095771080","authorId":"3586432095771080","name":"NewbieCK","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b953fc843bdd7ce75ce4b9eec86319","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586432095771080","idStr":"3586432095771080"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I believe it will go up despite the stock is at all time high!","listText":"I believe it will go up despite the stock is at all time high!","text":"I believe it will go up despite the stock is at all time high!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/457347634065984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}