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rlllim
2021-06-23
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2021-06-22
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2021-06-22
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Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day
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days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.03.30","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a 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19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195130148","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Powell testifies, Russia wants to open the taps, and a Bitcoin death cross.\nTransitory\nFederal Reser","content":"<p>Powell testifies, Russia wants to open the taps, and a Bitcoin death cross.</p>\n<p><b>Transitory</b></p>\n<p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’swritten remarks prepared for today’s appearancebefore the House Select Subcommittee on the coronavirus crisis show him sticking to the position that the pickup in inflation is transitory.Investors will be watching from 2:00 p.m. Eastern Time as Powell’s answers to questions from lawmakers may shed more light on his view on thepace of the economic rebound. The appearance comes after regional Fed presidents yesterday expressed mixed views on when the central bank should start talking abouttapering asset purchases.</p>\n<p><b>Pump</b></p>\n<p>Brent crude, the international oil benchmark,traded above $75 a barrelfor the first time in two years this morning. The rise in prices is due to trader expectations of further supply tightness in the coming quarters. In the U.S., the spread between the third and fourth month West Texas Intermediate futures contracts, hit the widest in seven years. Russia, however, is considering proposing that OPEC and allies will increase outputat the next meeting on July 1 with the global oil market currently estimated to be have a3 million barrels per daydeficit. That news was enough to cap today’s rally, with Brent slipping to $74.40 and WTI dropping to $73.08 a barrel.</p>\n<p><b>Technical signal</b></p>\n<p>The average price of Bitcoin over the past 50 days has fallen below its average price over the past 200 days — a move called a “death cross” by chartists and analysts. While the original cryptocurrency has formed the pattern before and recovered strongly, there is concern about the coindropping below $30,000, with such a move expected to trigger further selling. Bitcoin fell as much as 4.3% overnight and was trading at $31,550 by 5:50 a.m. Eastern Time.</p>\n<p><b>Markets mixed</b></p>\n<p>Global equities are mostly quiet ahead of Powell’s testimony. Overnight the MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 0.8% while Japan’s Topix index closed 3.2% higher with the gauge posting its biggest rise in a year after Monday’s selloff. In Europe the Stoxx 600 Index was 0.2% lower at 5:50 a.m. S&P 500 futures were pointing to asmall move into the redat the open, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 1.478% andgold slipped.</p>\n<p><b>Coming up...</b></p>\n<p>U.S. existing home sales data for May and June Richmond Fed Manufacturing are at 10:00 a.m. New York City holdsmayoral primary elections. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speak at separate events before Powell’s testimony to Congress begins at 2:00 p.m. Plug Power Inc. reports earnings.</p>\n<p><b>What we've been reading</b></p>\n<p><i>Here's what caught our eye over the last 24 hours.</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The world’s financial centersstruggle back to the office.</li>\n <li>Delta variant gains steam inunder-vaccinated U.S. counties.</li>\n <li>Supreme Court allowsmore compensation for student-athletes.</li>\n <li>Kim’s sister says U.S. has “wrong” views on talks with Pyongyang.</li>\n <li>Tesla unveils supercharging route alongChina’s Silk Road.</li>\n <li>U.K. stilldeeply split on Brexitfive years after referendum.</li>\n <li>Thelithium mine versus the wildflower.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>And finally, here’s what Joe’s interested in this morning</b></p>\n<p>The rise of crypto has brought new awareness to fiat currency. It makes sense. The first time in a fish's life where it ever thinks about water is when it's flapping around on a boat deck gasping for oxygen. It's only through the introduction of some seemingly oppositional force that we become aware of the world we're immersed in.</p>\n<p>And this isn't just conjecture. You can see it in the data. AGoogle Trendschart for Bitcoin looks almost exactly like the chart for Fiat Currency.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a21c0bc64fadb423d71e7abd80f10295\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"298\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/471986c0226279332829bd5fb79d9dd7\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"303\">We've been swimming all this time in the world of dollars and yen and francs and pounds, and so we haven't had the chance to really think about fiat currencies. And it shows.</p>\n<p>So many people's mental models of money are rooted in gold-standard thinking. People talk all the time, for example, about how we're going to \"debase\" the currency. But that word makes no sense in the fiat realm, as it logically relates to the concept of making a gold coin less pure bydegrading or adulterating its substance, as if the dollar were old Roman coins thathad less and less silver contentover time.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f84a6f21a18c65383599405a3ca9f1c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"440\">Numerous conversations about \"money printing\" or \"how are we going to pay for it?\" have an implied basis in gold standard thinking. Like somehow we're going to run out or be forced to go cap in hand around the world looking for generous donors.</p>\n<p>With any luck the surge in interest in fiat currency -- which again, we have to thank crypto for -- gets us to think more deeply about it and how currencies whose value is rooted in law and public convention have different characteristics than what came before, and what's come after.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFive Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 19:28 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2021-06-22/five-things-you-need-to-know-to-start-your-day?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Powell testifies, Russia wants to open the taps, and a Bitcoin death cross.\nTransitory\nFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’swritten remarks prepared for today’s appearancebefore the House Select ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2021-06-22/five-things-you-need-to-know-to-start-your-day?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2021-06-22/five-things-you-need-to-know-to-start-your-day?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195130148","content_text":"Powell testifies, Russia wants to open the taps, and a Bitcoin death cross.\nTransitory\nFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’swritten remarks prepared for today’s appearancebefore the House Select Subcommittee on the coronavirus crisis show him sticking to the position that the pickup in inflation is transitory.Investors will be watching from 2:00 p.m. Eastern Time as Powell’s answers to questions from lawmakers may shed more light on his view on thepace of the economic rebound. The appearance comes after regional Fed presidents yesterday expressed mixed views on when the central bank should start talking abouttapering asset purchases.\nPump\nBrent crude, the international oil benchmark,traded above $75 a barrelfor the first time in two years this morning. The rise in prices is due to trader expectations of further supply tightness in the coming quarters. In the U.S., the spread between the third and fourth month West Texas Intermediate futures contracts, hit the widest in seven years. Russia, however, is considering proposing that OPEC and allies will increase outputat the next meeting on July 1 with the global oil market currently estimated to be have a3 million barrels per daydeficit. That news was enough to cap today’s rally, with Brent slipping to $74.40 and WTI dropping to $73.08 a barrel.\nTechnical signal\nThe average price of Bitcoin over the past 50 days has fallen below its average price over the past 200 days — a move called a “death cross” by chartists and analysts. While the original cryptocurrency has formed the pattern before and recovered strongly, there is concern about the coindropping below $30,000, with such a move expected to trigger further selling. Bitcoin fell as much as 4.3% overnight and was trading at $31,550 by 5:50 a.m. Eastern Time.\nMarkets mixed\nGlobal equities are mostly quiet ahead of Powell’s testimony. Overnight the MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 0.8% while Japan’s Topix index closed 3.2% higher with the gauge posting its biggest rise in a year after Monday’s selloff. In Europe the Stoxx 600 Index was 0.2% lower at 5:50 a.m. S&P 500 futures were pointing to asmall move into the redat the open, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 1.478% andgold slipped.\nComing up...\nU.S. existing home sales data for May and June Richmond Fed Manufacturing are at 10:00 a.m. New York City holdsmayoral primary elections. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speak at separate events before Powell’s testimony to Congress begins at 2:00 p.m. Plug Power Inc. reports earnings.\nWhat we've been reading\nHere's what caught our eye over the last 24 hours.\n\nThe world’s financial centersstruggle back to the office.\nDelta variant gains steam inunder-vaccinated U.S. counties.\nSupreme Court allowsmore compensation for student-athletes.\nKim’s sister says U.S. has “wrong” views on talks with Pyongyang.\nTesla unveils supercharging route alongChina’s Silk Road.\nU.K. stilldeeply split on Brexitfive years after referendum.\nThelithium mine versus the wildflower.\n\nAnd finally, here’s what Joe’s interested in this morning\nThe rise of crypto has brought new awareness to fiat currency. It makes sense. The first time in a fish's life where it ever thinks about water is when it's flapping around on a boat deck gasping for oxygen. It's only through the introduction of some seemingly oppositional force that we become aware of the world we're immersed in.\nAnd this isn't just conjecture. You can see it in the data. AGoogle Trendschart for Bitcoin looks almost exactly like the chart for Fiat Currency.\nWe've been swimming all this time in the world of dollars and yen and francs and pounds, and so we haven't had the chance to really think about fiat currencies. And it shows.\nSo many people's mental models of money are rooted in gold-standard thinking. People talk all the time, for example, about how we're going to \"debase\" the currency. But that word makes no sense in the fiat realm, as it logically relates to the concept of making a gold coin less pure bydegrading or adulterating its substance, as if the dollar were old Roman coins thathad less and less silver contentover time.\nNumerous conversations about \"money printing\" or \"how are we going to pay for it?\" have an implied basis in gold standard thinking. Like somehow we're going to run out or be forced to go cap in hand around the world looking for generous donors.\nWith any luck the surge in interest in fiat currency -- which again, we have to thank crypto for -- gets us to think more deeply about it and how currencies whose value is rooted in law and public convention have different characteristics than what came before, and what's come after.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":129375589,"gmtCreate":1624362427141,"gmtModify":1703834385172,"author":{"id":"3586848923635947","authorId":"3586848923635947","name":"rlllim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7479c18e0b4579a6960f2e1162ee935b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586848923635947","authorIdStr":"3586848923635947"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good stuff","listText":"Good stuff","text":"Good stuff","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129375589","repostId":"1152615512","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152615512","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624360383,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152615512?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 19:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Confused by the Fed? So Are Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152615512","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Swings in bond yields reveal deep confusion among investors about the Fed’s intentions and the stren","content":"<blockquote>\n Swings in bond yields reveal deep confusion among investors about the Fed’s intentions and the strength of the post-pandemic recovery.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The bond market is supposed to be the smart older cousin that keeps its head while the flighty stock market zooms about all over the place. Not so much in the past week.</p>\n<p>Instead of a calm response to the Federal Reserve’sslightly more hawkish tone, the 10-year yield first leapt by the most in months, then plunged. On Monday, it dropped during Asian trading hours to the lowest since February, before bouncing all the way back and then some.</p>\n<p>The moves reveal deep confusion among investors about the Fed’s intentions and the strength ofthe post-pandemic recovery, as well as the extraordinary desperation for safe yields.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5911d5e0ad74414b1b88185c2769f99\" tg-width=\"336\" tg-height=\"410\">Before stock traders get too smug, bond-market volatility is mirrored by similar swings below the surface of the stock market.</p>\n<p>For me, the most extraordinary shift was the $235 billion depositedin the Fed’s reverse repurchase facilityafter it raised the rate it pays from zero to 0.05%, because it was concerned that it was losing control of the lower bound of rates.</p>\n<p>This is a true tightening of monetary policy, not the mere technicality the Fed presented it as. For monetarists who care about the amount of money in circulation, in one day it drained reserves equivalent to two months of quantitative easing, and showed just how much cash is sloshing around the system looking for even the tiniest yield.</p>\n<p>For those, including me, who prefer to focus on the price of money, it is now higher—albeit not very much, it is a tightening. Secured overnight rates in the money market had been stuck on the floor of 0.01% since March, according to the New York Fed, with some borrowing at negative rates. It rose to 0.05% after the Fed’s announcement, and negative rates vanished.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1707a50e4704c3c16d8d2eac7a0204f9\" tg-width=\"317\" tg-height=\"419\">After the initial volatility, the bond market’s considered reaction was in the right direction for tighter policy: Higher short-term real rates reduced the longer-term inflation threat and so led to lower 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields—until the reflation trade returned on Monday. Higher rates pulled down stocks most sensitive to the economy—cyclicals and cheap value stocks—until Monday’s reverse. Growth stocks did fine thanks to lower long-term rates, before lagging on Monday.</p>\n<p>Yet, 0.05% is a very small tightening, to put it mildly. Usually, the Fed moves in 0.25-percentage-point increments, so this was equivalent to one-fifth of a normal rate increase. What mattered for Treasurys wasn’t the immediate shift in the price of money, but the prospect of a bigger change by the Fed.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bacd47e561e9d7ffdb95d180913fadf\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"418\">Much of the focus was on the “dots,” the projections of individual Fed policy makers. The median prediction for 2023 was for two 0.25-point increases that year, having previously been for no move. Again, in normal times this wouldn’t be terribly significant, as the predictions aren’t binding, have been a terrible guide to future policy and anyway are still two years away. They were even dismissed by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in his news conference on Wednesday.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5df90890ee96402b8d5375020d3c135\" tg-width=\"353\" tg-height=\"454\">The reason the market cared so much isn’t the specifics, but the shift in tone from super-dovish to a hint of hawk. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard emphasized this—and the market moved further—on Friday when he said the first increase could even come next year. Seven of the 18 dots had one or two rises penciled in for 2022, so the news here was merely that Mr. Bullard was one of them.</p>\n<p>Having previously been careful not to say anything that could possibly be interpreted as worrying about inflation, the Fed suddenly seemed to be concerned.</p>\n<p>We will have to wait for more from Mr. Powell and other Fed members to find out if this is the interpretation they wanted. They might well be taken aback by the scale of the market moves, which on Friday briefly pushed five-year Treasury yields—the base for much corporate borrowing—up to where they stood in February last year, before the first lockdown. It wouldn’t surprise me if Mr. Powell tries to talk the market back.</p>\n<p>The problem is that investors are supersensitive to the Fed’s views. They think the real economy will be hit much harder than it usually is by higher rates. The Fed also has spent the past year convincing investors that low rates are here pretty much forever.</p>\n<p>The threat of higher rates holding back the economy pushed investors toward the post-2010 playbook, at least for a few days: Buy long-dated bonds, buy Big Tech and other growth stocks, steer clear of anything dependent on a strong expansion.</p>\n<p>The shift from thinking there is no risk of rate rises to thinking there is some risk of increases marks a major change of mindset. But I urge caution: Don’t assume the Treasury market is right about inflation, let alone that the wildly swinging yield is anything more than a best guess at what the Fed plans.</p>\n<p>But just as withthe taper tantrum of 2013, when investors start to price in Fed action, they can overdo it as everyone tries to adjust their portfolio to the new reality at once.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Confused by the Fed? So Are Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nConfused by the Fed? So Are Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 19:13 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/confused-by-the-fed-so-are-markets-11624352991><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Swings in bond yields reveal deep confusion among investors about the Fed’s intentions and the strength of the post-pandemic recovery.\n\nThe bond market is supposed to be the smart older cousin that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/confused-by-the-fed-so-are-markets-11624352991\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/confused-by-the-fed-so-are-markets-11624352991","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152615512","content_text":"Swings in bond yields reveal deep confusion among investors about the Fed’s intentions and the strength of the post-pandemic recovery.\n\nThe bond market is supposed to be the smart older cousin that keeps its head while the flighty stock market zooms about all over the place. Not so much in the past week.\nInstead of a calm response to the Federal Reserve’sslightly more hawkish tone, the 10-year yield first leapt by the most in months, then plunged. On Monday, it dropped during Asian trading hours to the lowest since February, before bouncing all the way back and then some.\nThe moves reveal deep confusion among investors about the Fed’s intentions and the strength ofthe post-pandemic recovery, as well as the extraordinary desperation for safe yields.\nBefore stock traders get too smug, bond-market volatility is mirrored by similar swings below the surface of the stock market.\nFor me, the most extraordinary shift was the $235 billion depositedin the Fed’s reverse repurchase facilityafter it raised the rate it pays from zero to 0.05%, because it was concerned that it was losing control of the lower bound of rates.\nThis is a true tightening of monetary policy, not the mere technicality the Fed presented it as. For monetarists who care about the amount of money in circulation, in one day it drained reserves equivalent to two months of quantitative easing, and showed just how much cash is sloshing around the system looking for even the tiniest yield.\nFor those, including me, who prefer to focus on the price of money, it is now higher—albeit not very much, it is a tightening. Secured overnight rates in the money market had been stuck on the floor of 0.01% since March, according to the New York Fed, with some borrowing at negative rates. It rose to 0.05% after the Fed’s announcement, and negative rates vanished.\nAfter the initial volatility, the bond market’s considered reaction was in the right direction for tighter policy: Higher short-term real rates reduced the longer-term inflation threat and so led to lower 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields—until the reflation trade returned on Monday. Higher rates pulled down stocks most sensitive to the economy—cyclicals and cheap value stocks—until Monday’s reverse. Growth stocks did fine thanks to lower long-term rates, before lagging on Monday.\nYet, 0.05% is a very small tightening, to put it mildly. Usually, the Fed moves in 0.25-percentage-point increments, so this was equivalent to one-fifth of a normal rate increase. What mattered for Treasurys wasn’t the immediate shift in the price of money, but the prospect of a bigger change by the Fed.\nMuch of the focus was on the “dots,” the projections of individual Fed policy makers. The median prediction for 2023 was for two 0.25-point increases that year, having previously been for no move. Again, in normal times this wouldn’t be terribly significant, as the predictions aren’t binding, have been a terrible guide to future policy and anyway are still two years away. They were even dismissed by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in his news conference on Wednesday.\nThe reason the market cared so much isn’t the specifics, but the shift in tone from super-dovish to a hint of hawk. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard emphasized this—and the market moved further—on Friday when he said the first increase could even come next year. Seven of the 18 dots had one or two rises penciled in for 2022, so the news here was merely that Mr. Bullard was one of them.\nHaving previously been careful not to say anything that could possibly be interpreted as worrying about inflation, the Fed suddenly seemed to be concerned.\nWe will have to wait for more from Mr. Powell and other Fed members to find out if this is the interpretation they wanted. They might well be taken aback by the scale of the market moves, which on Friday briefly pushed five-year Treasury yields—the base for much corporate borrowing—up to where they stood in February last year, before the first lockdown. It wouldn’t surprise me if Mr. Powell tries to talk the market back.\nThe problem is that investors are supersensitive to the Fed’s views. They think the real economy will be hit much harder than it usually is by higher rates. The Fed also has spent the past year convincing investors that low rates are here pretty much forever.\nThe threat of higher rates holding back the economy pushed investors toward the post-2010 playbook, at least for a few days: Buy long-dated bonds, buy Big Tech and other growth stocks, steer clear of anything dependent on a strong expansion.\nThe shift from thinking there is no risk of rate rises to thinking there is some risk of increases marks a major change of mindset. But I urge caution: Don’t assume the Treasury market is right about inflation, let alone that the wildly swinging yield is anything more than a best guess at what the Fed plans.\nBut just as withthe taper tantrum of 2013, when investors start to price in Fed action, they can overdo it as everyone tries to adjust their portfolio to the new reality at once.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121192572,"gmtCreate":1624456109196,"gmtModify":1703837238773,"author":{"id":"3586848923635947","authorId":"3586848923635947","name":"rlllim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7479c18e0b4579a6960f2e1162ee935b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586848923635947","authorIdStr":"3586848923635947"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great!","listText":"Great!","text":"Great!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121192572","repostId":"1141331644","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141331644","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624455055,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1141331644?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141331644","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high","content":"<p>(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&P 500 closed just shy of one.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.</p>\n<p>Energy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.</p>\n<p>At last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>EV stocks rose in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8984f8ae7b74f7b0dab8ee0db778efca\" tg-width=\"281\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Big tech stocks mixed in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed5f54b77d44997d7bc777dfccf313\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.</p>\n<p>\"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"</p>\n<p>For June the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.</p>\n<p>Looking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.</p>\n<p>\"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-23 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&P 500 closed just shy of one.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.</p>\n<p>Energy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.</p>\n<p>At last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>EV stocks rose in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8984f8ae7b74f7b0dab8ee0db778efca\" tg-width=\"281\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Big tech stocks mixed in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed5f54b77d44997d7bc777dfccf313\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.</p>\n<p>\"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"</p>\n<p>For June the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.</p>\n<p>Looking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.</p>\n<p>\"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141331644","content_text":"(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&P 500 closed just shy of one.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.\nEnergy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.\nBitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.\nAt last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.\nEV stocks rose in morning trading.Big tech stocks mixed in morning trading.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.\n\"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"\nFor June the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.\nLooking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.\n\"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129372658,"gmtCreate":1624362336974,"gmtModify":1703834383390,"author":{"id":"3586848923635947","authorId":"3586848923635947","name":"rlllim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7479c18e0b4579a6960f2e1162ee935b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586848923635947","authorIdStr":"3586848923635947"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129372658","repostId":"1195130148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
