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claire0215

claire0215

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2021-07-27

Keep ask me.leave comment. After left, nvr give me coin?

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-07-27

Comment at where?

Hershey Earnings: What to Watch

2021-07-27

What is this?

China Evergrande hits 4-1/2-year low after co cancels special dividend proposal

2021-07-27

What will happen?

Goldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services

2021-07-27

What.does.it.mean

Indexes notch closing record highs as key earnings, Fed meet eyed

2021-07-27

gogogo$MICRO-MECHANICS (HOLDINGS) LTD(5DD.SI)$

2021-07-27

Share my.position

2021-07-27

Gogogo

2021-07-16

$Apple(AAPL)$ go go go

2021-07-16

Go go go

2021-07-16

Like please

Investors Feel Almost No Risk Of Long-Term U.S. Stock Market Downside

2021-07-15

Why

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2021-07-15

Crash that last for how long? 1 day?

The Big Crash Is Imminent

2021-07-13

Gogogo

2021-07-11

Roblox

Will Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?

2021-07-11

Help like please

XPeng: Leader Of Chinese Vehicle Electrification Efforts

2021-07-11

Nice future

2021-07-11

Help like please???

The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.

2021-07-11

Yessss

Could The iPad Be Apple’s Best Performer in Fiscal Q3?

2021-07-11

Nice

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After left, nvr give me coin?","listText":"Keep ask me.leave comment. After left, nvr give me coin?","text":"Keep ask me.leave comment. After left, nvr give me coin?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809662961","repostId":"2154309969","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809860340,"gmtCreate":1627358314580,"gmtModify":1703488327508,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment at where?","listText":"Comment at where?","text":"Comment at where?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809860340","repostId":"1124522176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124522176","pubTimestamp":1627355553,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124522176?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-27 11:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hershey Earnings: What to Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124522176","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Hershey(NYSE:HSY)shareholders are in for a treat. The confectioner is set to announce earnings resul","content":"<p><b>Hershey</b>(NYSE:HSY)shareholders are in for a treat. The confectioner is set to announce earnings results for the second quarter on Thursday, July 29. And if its recent momentum is any guide, that report might include strong sales and earnings growth, along with another upgrade to management's 2021 forecast.</p>\n<p>Let's take a closer look.</p>\n<p>More mobility</p>\n<p>There's every reason to expect big sales numbers in Thursday's announcement. Hershey said back in April that its portfolio was resonating with consumers, especially as they increased mobility following the lifting of COVID-19 social distancing efforts. Its baking products continued to sell well through early April, but on-the-go purchases like candies, mints, and gums started booming. Overall organic sales were up 13% last quarter.</p>\n<p>Look for slower, but still impressive, gains on Thursday. Most investors who follow the stock are expecting sales to rise about 5% to $1.8 billion. That performance would keep Hershey near the top of the snack food niche.<b>PepsiCo</b>, for context, just announced a6% boostin its U.S. snack segment through mid-June.</p>\n<p>Beyond that headline sales figure, watch for Hershey's comments on market share and on the balance between rising sales volumes and prices. Ideally, volume will lead the way higher even as prices increase.</p>\n<p>Profit check-in</p>\n<p>Most globalconsumer staplespeers, including PepsiCo, are posting higher margins right now, but Hershey hasn't yet cashed in on that trend. Gross profit dipped slightly in the second quarter, in fact, which held bottom-line profitability in check.</p>\n<p>That situation likely improved in recent months thanks to rising prices and a demand tilt toward higher-margin, on-the-go candies and snacks. Most packaged food peers, from<b>Coca-Cola</b>, to<b>McCormick</b>, are seeing a lift from these shifts. Hershey won't be left out of the party.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f8a32471591d4b0092cce99e3766887\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"482\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>HSY OPERATING MARGIN (TTM)DATA BYYCHARTS</span></p>\n<p>Most investors are looking for earnings to jump to $1.44 per share from $1.31 per share a year ago. But the bigger question is whether Hershey can return to setting record operating margins by late 2021.</p>\n<p>The new outlook</p>\n<p>Heading into this report, CEO Michele Buck and her team's outlook is calling for sales to rise by between 4% and 6% this year, up from their prior forecast of a 2% to 4% uptick. A strong Q2 outing for the business might spur another modest increase to that prediction on Thursday.</p>\n<p>The earnings outlook was also lifted in April and might get another boost this week, especially if consumers don't balk at Hershey's latest round of price increases.</p>\n<p>Looking further out, the company can reasonably target accelerating sales and earnings growth this year following modest increases during the COVID-19 pandemic. Hershey isn't the cheapest or fastest-growing stock in its niche with those kinds of prospects. McCormick and PepsiCo have lower valuations even though they're expanding sales and earnings at a faster clip.</p>\n<p>But investors still might want to follow Hershey's report this week for signs that the business is on a sustainably stronger path. That's the surest way the company can earn the stock price rally that's seen it outperform most of its rivals over the past year.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hershey Earnings: What to Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHershey Earnings: What to Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-27 11:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/26/hershey-earnings-what-to-watch/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hershey(NYSE:HSY)shareholders are in for a treat. The confectioner is set to announce earnings results for the second quarter on Thursday, July 29. And if its recent momentum is any guide, that report...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/26/hershey-earnings-what-to-watch/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSY":"好时"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/26/hershey-earnings-what-to-watch/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124522176","content_text":"Hershey(NYSE:HSY)shareholders are in for a treat. The confectioner is set to announce earnings results for the second quarter on Thursday, July 29. And if its recent momentum is any guide, that report might include strong sales and earnings growth, along with another upgrade to management's 2021 forecast.\nLet's take a closer look.\nMore mobility\nThere's every reason to expect big sales numbers in Thursday's announcement. Hershey said back in April that its portfolio was resonating with consumers, especially as they increased mobility following the lifting of COVID-19 social distancing efforts. Its baking products continued to sell well through early April, but on-the-go purchases like candies, mints, and gums started booming. Overall organic sales were up 13% last quarter.\nLook for slower, but still impressive, gains on Thursday. Most investors who follow the stock are expecting sales to rise about 5% to $1.8 billion. That performance would keep Hershey near the top of the snack food niche.PepsiCo, for context, just announced a6% boostin its U.S. snack segment through mid-June.\nBeyond that headline sales figure, watch for Hershey's comments on market share and on the balance between rising sales volumes and prices. Ideally, volume will lead the way higher even as prices increase.\nProfit check-in\nMost globalconsumer staplespeers, including PepsiCo, are posting higher margins right now, but Hershey hasn't yet cashed in on that trend. Gross profit dipped slightly in the second quarter, in fact, which held bottom-line profitability in check.\nThat situation likely improved in recent months thanks to rising prices and a demand tilt toward higher-margin, on-the-go candies and snacks. Most packaged food peers, fromCoca-Cola, toMcCormick, are seeing a lift from these shifts. Hershey won't be left out of the party.\nHSY OPERATING MARGIN (TTM)DATA BYYCHARTS\nMost investors are looking for earnings to jump to $1.44 per share from $1.31 per share a year ago. But the bigger question is whether Hershey can return to setting record operating margins by late 2021.\nThe new outlook\nHeading into this report, CEO Michele Buck and her team's outlook is calling for sales to rise by between 4% and 6% this year, up from their prior forecast of a 2% to 4% uptick. A strong Q2 outing for the business might spur another modest increase to that prediction on Thursday.\nThe earnings outlook was also lifted in April and might get another boost this week, especially if consumers don't balk at Hershey's latest round of price increases.\nLooking further out, the company can reasonably target accelerating sales and earnings growth this year following modest increases during the COVID-19 pandemic. Hershey isn't the cheapest or fastest-growing stock in its niche with those kinds of prospects. McCormick and PepsiCo have lower valuations even though they're expanding sales and earnings at a faster clip.\nBut investors still might want to follow Hershey's report this week for signs that the business is on a sustainably stronger path. That's the surest way the company can earn the stock price rally that's seen it outperform most of its rivals over the past year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809887055,"gmtCreate":1627358278277,"gmtModify":1703488325404,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What is this?","listText":"What is this?","text":"What is this?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809887055","repostId":"2154998458","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2154998458","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627353851,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2154998458?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-27 10:44","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"China Evergrande hits 4-1/2-year low after co cancels special dividend proposal","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2154998458","media":"Reuters","summary":"** Shares of China Evergrande Group fall 11.9% to HK$5.91, their lowest since March 2017, and on cou","content":"<p>** Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EGRNF\">China Evergrande Group</a> fall 11.9% to HK$5.91, their lowest since March 2017, and on course for a third straight session of losses</p>\n<p>** Stock is second-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the seventh-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng Composite Index</p>\n<p>** China's most indebted property developer said on Tuesday it would cancel a special dividend proposal, citing the current market environment, the rights of shareholders and creditors, and the long-term development of its various businesses</p>\n<p>** Shares of its unit Evergrande Property Services fall 4% to HK$5.55, their lowest since listing on Dec 2, 2020</p>\n<p>** China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle drops 6.3% to HK$11.80, the lowest since July 3, 2020</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng Composite Index falls 1.2%, while the Hang Seng sub-index, tracking property firms , gains 0.3%</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index slides 1.5%, and the benchmark index slips 1%</p>\n<p>** As of last close, China Evergrande down 55% this year</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Evergrande hits 4-1/2-year low after co cancels special dividend proposal</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Evergrande hits 4-1/2-year low after co cancels special dividend proposal\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-27 10:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>** Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EGRNF\">China Evergrande Group</a> fall 11.9% to HK$5.91, their lowest since March 2017, and on course for a third straight session of losses</p>\n<p>** Stock is second-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the seventh-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng Composite Index</p>\n<p>** China's most indebted property developer said on Tuesday it would cancel a special dividend proposal, citing the current market environment, the rights of shareholders and creditors, and the long-term development of its various businesses</p>\n<p>** Shares of its unit Evergrande Property Services fall 4% to HK$5.55, their lowest since listing on Dec 2, 2020</p>\n<p>** China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle drops 6.3% to HK$11.80, the lowest since July 3, 2020</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng Composite Index falls 1.2%, while the Hang Seng sub-index, tracking property firms , gains 0.3%</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index slides 1.5%, and the benchmark index slips 1%</p>\n<p>** As of last close, China Evergrande down 55% this year</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"03333":"中国恒大","00708":"恒大汽车","06666":"恒大物业"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2154998458","content_text":"** Shares of China Evergrande Group fall 11.9% to HK$5.91, their lowest since March 2017, and on course for a third straight session of losses\n** Stock is second-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the seventh-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng Composite Index\n** China's most indebted property developer said on Tuesday it would cancel a special dividend proposal, citing the current market environment, the rights of shareholders and creditors, and the long-term development of its various businesses\n** Shares of its unit Evergrande Property Services fall 4% to HK$5.55, their lowest since listing on Dec 2, 2020\n** China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle drops 6.3% to HK$11.80, the lowest since July 3, 2020\n** The Hang Seng Composite Index falls 1.2%, while the Hang Seng sub-index, tracking property firms , gains 0.3%\n** The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index slides 1.5%, and the benchmark index slips 1%\n** As of last close, China Evergrande down 55% this year","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809882423,"gmtCreate":1627358119362,"gmtModify":1703488321846,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What will happen?","listText":"What will happen?","text":"What will happen?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809882423","repostId":"1103996297","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103996297","pubTimestamp":1627357394,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103996297?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-27 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103996297","media":"CNN","summary":"New York Goldman Sachs  slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.During the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.That's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said G","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p>\n<p>During the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.</p>\n<p>But in normal times, consumers spend much more on services like concerts or dining out —and the big spending on goods that has defined the pandemic recovery so far isn't sustainable to keep the US economy growing.</p>\n<p>That's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker on Monday in a note to clients. But fears around the Delta variant are keeping services spending down.</p>\n<p>\"The services categories where spending remains depressed are generally either associated with high virus risk, such as live entertainment events, or connected to office-based work, such as ground transportation or dry cleaners,\" Walker wrote.</p>\n<p>In response, Goldman slashed its gross domestic product growth forecast, the widest measure of economic activity, by one percentage point in both the third and fourth quarters.</p>\n<p>Between July and September, the Wall Street bank expected 8.5% annualized growth, before dropping to 5% in the last three months of the year. For the full year, Goldman predicts 6.6% GDP growth.</p>\n<p>From 2022 on, the pace of expansion will slow further, trending back toward the 1.5% to 2% annualized growth what the nation typically saw before the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Even though roughly half of Americans are fully vaccinated, cases are rising. In 48 states, the rate of new Covid-19 cases in the past week jumped by at least 10% compared to the previous week, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In 34 of those states, the rate of new cases increased by more than 50%.</p>\n<p>The rise of infections through the variant is coming at an inopportune time: The economy is still not back to normal, and the resurgence of infections could keep people from fully participating in the economy.</p>\n<p>\"While most consumers appear to be comfortable returning to high-contact services, some are still hesitant,\" said Walker. \"They are likely to remain cautious for now as the spread of the Delta variant keeps Covid fears alive, delaying a full recovery.\"</p>\n<p>At the same time, Goldman's economists believe the Delta variant's impact on the economy will be somewhat limited: \"Appetite for new government-mandated restrictions appears low; early state-level evidence shows little impact on consumer spending so far; and the virus situation already appears to be improving in the United Kingdom and other countries where it spread earliest,\" Walker wrote.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-27 11:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/26/economy/goldman-sachs-services-economy-delta/index.html><strong>CNN</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/26/economy/goldman-sachs-services-economy-delta/index.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/26/economy/goldman-sachs-services-economy-delta/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103996297","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.\nDuring the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.\nBut in normal times, consumers spend much more on services like concerts or dining out —and the big spending on goods that has defined the pandemic recovery so far isn't sustainable to keep the US economy growing.\nThat's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker on Monday in a note to clients. But fears around the Delta variant are keeping services spending down.\n\"The services categories where spending remains depressed are generally either associated with high virus risk, such as live entertainment events, or connected to office-based work, such as ground transportation or dry cleaners,\" Walker wrote.\nIn response, Goldman slashed its gross domestic product growth forecast, the widest measure of economic activity, by one percentage point in both the third and fourth quarters.\nBetween July and September, the Wall Street bank expected 8.5% annualized growth, before dropping to 5% in the last three months of the year. For the full year, Goldman predicts 6.6% GDP growth.\nFrom 2022 on, the pace of expansion will slow further, trending back toward the 1.5% to 2% annualized growth what the nation typically saw before the pandemic.\nEven though roughly half of Americans are fully vaccinated, cases are rising. In 48 states, the rate of new Covid-19 cases in the past week jumped by at least 10% compared to the previous week, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In 34 of those states, the rate of new cases increased by more than 50%.\nThe rise of infections through the variant is coming at an inopportune time: The economy is still not back to normal, and the resurgence of infections could keep people from fully participating in the economy.\n\"While most consumers appear to be comfortable returning to high-contact services, some are still hesitant,\" said Walker. \"They are likely to remain cautious for now as the spread of the Delta variant keeps Covid fears alive, delaying a full recovery.\"\nAt the same time, Goldman's economists believe the Delta variant's impact on the economy will be somewhat limited: \"Appetite for new government-mandated restrictions appears low; early state-level evidence shows little impact on consumer spending so far; and the virus situation already appears to be improving in the United Kingdom and other countries where it spread earliest,\" Walker wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809882671,"gmtCreate":1627358092693,"gmtModify":1703488321523,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What.does.it.mean","listText":"What.does.it.mean","text":"What.does.it.mean","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809882671","repostId":"2154964378","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2154964378","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627332217,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2154964378?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-27 04:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Indexes notch closing record highs as key earnings, Fed meet eyed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2154964378","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, July 26 (Reuters) - All three major U.S. stock indexes eked out record closing highs for a","content":"<p>NEW YORK, July 26 (Reuters) - All three major U.S. stock indexes eked out record closing highs for a second straight session on Monday as investors were optimistic heading into a slew of earnings from heavyweight technology and internet names this week, while caution ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting kept the market in check.</p>\n<p>More than <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-third of the S&amp;P 500 was set to report quarterly results this week, including Apple Inc , Microsoft Corp , Amazon.com Inc and Google parent Alphabet Inc , the four largest U.S. companies by market value. Apple rose 0.3%.</p>\n<p>Shares of Tesla Inc, which reported quarterly results after the market close, were up about 1% in after-hours trading. The stock ended the regular session up 2.2%.</p>\n<p>The vast majority of second-quarter earnings have handily beaten analysts' expectations so far, bumping up the already huge projected growth for the second quarter, according to Refinitiv data.</p>\n<p>\"We continue to see positive surprises, and even with a lot of optimism and increased estimates going into earnings season, we're still seeing companies exceed those expectations,\" said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York, New York.</p>\n<p>\"As we get into the heart of (the earnings season) and we get industrials and more cyclical names, it will be interesting to see not only how much there is in terms of recovery but also is there any impact from some of these issues, meaning inflation, the spike in prices.\"</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a> Co, up 0.6%, is due to report on Tuesday while Boeing Co, up 2%, is set to report on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>A two-day meeting of the Fed starts on Tuesday, and all eyes may be on whether the central bank expresses any new concerns about high inflation when it concludes its gathering on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>In June, the Fed indicated it may start raising rates two times in 2023, which was sooner than previously expected.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;rose 82.76 points, or 0.24%, to 35,144.31, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;gained 10.51 points, or 0.24%, to 4,422.3 and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;added 3.72 points, or 0.03%, to 14,840.71.</p>\n<p>Continued optimism over second-quarter earnings has helped offset recent concerns over the market impact of the Delta variant of COVID-19.</p>\n<p>U.S.-listed Chinese shares fell after Beijing last week announced new rules on private tutoring and online education firms, the latest in a series of crackdowns on the technology sector that have roiled financial markets.</p>\n<p>E-commerce company Alibaba Group &nbsp;and search engine Baidu Inc&nbsp;, two of the largest Chinese stocks listed in the United States, were lower. Alibaba fell 7.2% and Baidu dropped 6%.</p>\n<p>Recent losses in Chinese stocks have been steeper than those recorded during the height of the Sino-U.S. trade war in 2018, mainly due to Beijing's targeting of large technology firms.</p>\n<p>Among other decliners, weapons maker Lockheed Martin Corp</p>\n<p>fell 3.3% after a classified aeronautics development program caused the firm to miss profit estimates.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.77 billion shares, compared with the 9.82 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.30-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.28-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 47 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 77 new highs and 160 new lows.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Indexes notch closing record highs as key earnings, Fed meet eyed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIndexes notch closing record highs as key earnings, Fed meet eyed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-27 04:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 26 (Reuters) - All three major U.S. stock indexes eked out record closing highs for a second straight session on Monday as investors were optimistic heading into a slew of earnings from heavyweight technology and internet names this week, while caution ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting kept the market in check.</p>\n<p>More than <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-third of the S&amp;P 500 was set to report quarterly results this week, including Apple Inc , Microsoft Corp , Amazon.com Inc and Google parent Alphabet Inc , the four largest U.S. companies by market value. Apple rose 0.3%.</p>\n<p>Shares of Tesla Inc, which reported quarterly results after the market close, were up about 1% in after-hours trading. The stock ended the regular session up 2.2%.</p>\n<p>The vast majority of second-quarter earnings have handily beaten analysts' expectations so far, bumping up the already huge projected growth for the second quarter, according to Refinitiv data.</p>\n<p>\"We continue to see positive surprises, and even with a lot of optimism and increased estimates going into earnings season, we're still seeing companies exceed those expectations,\" said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York, New York.</p>\n<p>\"As we get into the heart of (the earnings season) and we get industrials and more cyclical names, it will be interesting to see not only how much there is in terms of recovery but also is there any impact from some of these issues, meaning inflation, the spike in prices.\"</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a> Co, up 0.6%, is due to report on Tuesday while Boeing Co, up 2%, is set to report on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>A two-day meeting of the Fed starts on Tuesday, and all eyes may be on whether the central bank expresses any new concerns about high inflation when it concludes its gathering on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>In June, the Fed indicated it may start raising rates two times in 2023, which was sooner than previously expected.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;rose 82.76 points, or 0.24%, to 35,144.31, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;gained 10.51 points, or 0.24%, to 4,422.3 and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;added 3.72 points, or 0.03%, to 14,840.71.</p>\n<p>Continued optimism over second-quarter earnings has helped offset recent concerns over the market impact of the Delta variant of COVID-19.</p>\n<p>U.S.-listed Chinese shares fell after Beijing last week announced new rules on private tutoring and online education firms, the latest in a series of crackdowns on the technology sector that have roiled financial markets.</p>\n<p>E-commerce company Alibaba Group &nbsp;and search engine Baidu Inc&nbsp;, two of the largest Chinese stocks listed in the United States, were lower. Alibaba fell 7.2% and Baidu dropped 6%.</p>\n<p>Recent losses in Chinese stocks have been steeper than those recorded during the height of the Sino-U.S. trade war in 2018, mainly due to Beijing's targeting of large technology firms.</p>\n<p>Among other decliners, weapons maker Lockheed Martin Corp</p>\n<p>fell 3.3% after a classified aeronautics development program caused the firm to miss profit estimates.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.77 billion shares, compared with the 9.82 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.30-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.28-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 47 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 77 new highs and 160 new lows.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2154964378","content_text":"NEW YORK, July 26 (Reuters) - All three major U.S. stock indexes eked out record closing highs for a second straight session on Monday as investors were optimistic heading into a slew of earnings from heavyweight technology and internet names this week, while caution ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting kept the market in check.\nMore than one-third of the S&P 500 was set to report quarterly results this week, including Apple Inc , Microsoft Corp , Amazon.com Inc and Google parent Alphabet Inc , the four largest U.S. companies by market value. Apple rose 0.3%.\nShares of Tesla Inc, which reported quarterly results after the market close, were up about 1% in after-hours trading. The stock ended the regular session up 2.2%.\nThe vast majority of second-quarter earnings have handily beaten analysts' expectations so far, bumping up the already huge projected growth for the second quarter, according to Refinitiv data.\n\"We continue to see positive surprises, and even with a lot of optimism and increased estimates going into earnings season, we're still seeing companies exceed those expectations,\" said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York, New York.\n\"As we get into the heart of (the earnings season) and we get industrials and more cyclical names, it will be interesting to see not only how much there is in terms of recovery but also is there any impact from some of these issues, meaning inflation, the spike in prices.\"\n3M Co, up 0.6%, is due to report on Tuesday while Boeing Co, up 2%, is set to report on Wednesday.\nA two-day meeting of the Fed starts on Tuesday, and all eyes may be on whether the central bank expresses any new concerns about high inflation when it concludes its gathering on Wednesday.\nIn June, the Fed indicated it may start raising rates two times in 2023, which was sooner than previously expected.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 82.76 points, or 0.24%, to 35,144.31, the S&P 500 gained 10.51 points, or 0.24%, to 4,422.3 and the Nasdaq Composite added 3.72 points, or 0.03%, to 14,840.71.\nContinued optimism over second-quarter earnings has helped offset recent concerns over the market impact of the Delta variant of COVID-19.\nU.S.-listed Chinese shares fell after Beijing last week announced new rules on private tutoring and online education firms, the latest in a series of crackdowns on the technology sector that have roiled financial markets.\nE-commerce company Alibaba Group  and search engine Baidu Inc , two of the largest Chinese stocks listed in the United States, were lower. Alibaba fell 7.2% and Baidu dropped 6%.\nRecent losses in Chinese stocks have been steeper than those recorded during the height of the Sino-U.S. trade war in 2018, mainly due to Beijing's targeting of large technology firms.\nAmong other decliners, weapons maker Lockheed Martin Corp\nfell 3.3% after a classified aeronautics development program caused the firm to miss profit estimates.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.77 billion shares, compared with the 9.82 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.30-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.28-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 47 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 77 new highs and 160 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809886207,"gmtCreate":1627358044109,"gmtModify":1703488319909,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"gogogo<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5DD.SI\">$MICRO-MECHANICS (HOLDINGS) LTD(5DD.SI)$</a>","listText":"gogogo<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5DD.SI\">$MICRO-MECHANICS (HOLDINGS) LTD(5DD.SI)$</a>","text":"gogogo$MICRO-MECHANICS (HOLDINGS) LTD(5DD.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809886207","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809888515,"gmtCreate":1627357969637,"gmtModify":1703488318937,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share my.position","listText":"Share my.position","text":"Share my.position","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4a9340b2802cf884500a76a04f5be30","width":"1080","height":"3472"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809888515","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809883516,"gmtCreate":1627357882735,"gmtModify":1703488316350,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gogogo","listText":"Gogogo","text":"Gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/561200ff6baa37ded13699408aaadb9f","width":"1080","height":"3373"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809883516","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170568051,"gmtCreate":1626442970873,"gmtModify":1703760265295,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>&nbsp;go go go&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>&nbsp;go go go&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ go go go","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6e385f87068d8c1d90a89e344491fa8","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170568051","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170563854,"gmtCreate":1626442912378,"gmtModify":1703760262819,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go go go&nbsp;","listText":"Go go go&nbsp;","text":"Go go go","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cee45cada8ffc4e053230d494d6a02a7","width":"1080","height":"3290"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170563854","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170560562,"gmtCreate":1626442866156,"gmtModify":1703760260321,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please&nbsp;","listText":"Like please&nbsp;","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170560562","repostId":"1171115394","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171115394","pubTimestamp":1626441684,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171115394?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 21:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors Feel Almost No Risk Of Long-Term U.S. Stock Market Downside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171115394","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1990. This gives most value investors pause, but momentum investors are following this trend.</li>\n <li>Any investor who believes in the concept of reversion to the mean will be terrified by how clearly overvalued the US is.</li>\n <li>The current long-term US government bond rate of 1.5% is clearly supporting share prices. Suppose it was to reverse that, it would spell the end of this current market peak.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In apoll of my followers on LinkedInand Twitter, I asked, \"What US S&amp;P500 average annual return do you expect over the next 10 years?\" At the most extremes, 18% expected greater than 10%, while only 7% said less than zero percent. The majority said from 5-10%. In fact, most people see strong positive returns going forward.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ad66b8ae3f6ba781bf8dc6539440157\" tg-width=\"654\" tg-height=\"406\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>But EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is way above average</span></p>\n<p>But EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is way above average</p>\n<p>The current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1990. This gives most value investors pause, but momentum investors are following this trend. Any investor who believes in the concept of reversion to the mean will be terrified by how clearly overvalued the US is.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/455b1c6e46a203eac21cf1558f19a8b6\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The market hasn't touched the Shiller CAPE 2000 peak</p>\n<p>Robert Shiller's cyclically adjusted PE ratio (CAPE) is now approaching 35x. It was only higher when it hit 42x during the dot com bubble in 2000. Consider that in 2000, US government long-term bonds were yielding about 5%, versus the current 1.5%. From this chart, you can see that the US market has been in a long bull run since the 1979 interest rate peak.</p>\n<p>A fundamental investor knows that the value of a stock is largely dependent on the discount rate, which depends on the US bond rates. The current long-term US government bond rate of 1.5% is clearly supporting share prices. Suppose it was to reverse that, it would spell the end of this current market peak. Based on this chart, a fundamental investor would say that the US market is now significantly overvalued.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fadd296792cb1ac8c32a0fd2505f479\" tg-width=\"648\" tg-height=\"404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Though expensive, we are not in uncharted territory</p>\n<p>We calculated the US stock market EV/EBITDA for each month from 1990 to today. We then broke those into ten deciles from cheapest month to most expensive. After that, we asked, \"How often was the market trading in that state?\" We found that 20% of the time, the US market traded in the decile of 8.1x to 8.8x EV/EBITA. Twelve percent of the time, the market traded below 8.1x, and 14% of the time, the market was trading above the most expensive decile &gt;12.3x. At 17.2x EV/EBITDA multiple, the US market is clearly expensive.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afb8b967176a977c3e3aae8221fd54c9\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Today's buyers may not see positive returns</p>\n<p>We next asked, \"What were the forward returns earned if an investor were to buy the market at each decile?\" The results show that if you invested at the most common decile (8.1x to 8.8), you would have earned a 15% return over one year and 35% over five years.</p>\n<p>Those subsequent returns start to fall once the EV/EBTIDA rises above this decile (buying an expensive market means less gain). And most importantly, when the market trades in the most expensive decile (where we are now), subsequent 1, 2, and 3 returns were negative. An investor would have to wait five years to get a return only slightly above zero. A fundamental investor would consider this information and have a relatively negative view of the stock market.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee9eb026eb46cdd09709d7677a5ae00b\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee9eb026eb46cdd09709d7677a5ae00b\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Recent EPS collapse has been much shorter time</p>\n<p>The next chart considers the five main falls in earnings per share since 1900. One conclusion is that the fall in EPS has become less protracted. The Great Depression saw a four-year decline in earnings, while earnings fell for only 2 years from the 2000 peak and the 2007 peak. It is also fascinating to see that there was only a 20% fall in earnings in 2020, and that fall only happened over one year (2021 earnings are recovering).</p>\n<p>A fundamental investor could look at this chart and think that the recent crisis was quite minimal. This is partly because some sectors (info tech), some quality (high cash companies) and some size (large) companies did very well during this recent crisis. In addition, since many small or weak companies got destroyed, the supply of products and services has been reduced, which leads to strong pricing power for those that remain.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/445a232da0f6b76431ae38194fde2e22\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Margin recovery is in place</p>\n<p>The net margins of corporate America have been on the rise since 1990. Over the past decade, they have averaged about 8%. The shaded areas on this chart show the period from peak to trough of net margin. The most significant thing about this chart is that the margin collapse is done and the margin recovery is underway. It is debatable whether the margin can recover to the prior peaks, but it is not unreasonable to say that the margin recovery has further to go. This could be positive for the US stock market.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbe8d0714e329dbc65b118f09f807e3f\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors Feel Almost No Risk Of Long-Term U.S. Stock Market Downside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors Feel Almost No Risk Of Long-Term U.S. Stock Market Downside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 21:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439518-investors-feel-almost-no-risk-of-long-term-u-s-stock-market-downside><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1990. This gives most value investors pause, but momentum investors are following this trend.\nAny ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439518-investors-feel-almost-no-risk-of-long-term-u-s-stock-market-downside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439518-investors-feel-almost-no-risk-of-long-term-u-s-stock-market-downside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1171115394","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1990. This gives most value investors pause, but momentum investors are following this trend.\nAny investor who believes in the concept of reversion to the mean will be terrified by how clearly overvalued the US is.\nThe current long-term US government bond rate of 1.5% is clearly supporting share prices. Suppose it was to reverse that, it would spell the end of this current market peak.\n\nIn apoll of my followers on LinkedInand Twitter, I asked, \"What US S&P500 average annual return do you expect over the next 10 years?\" At the most extremes, 18% expected greater than 10%, while only 7% said less than zero percent. The majority said from 5-10%. In fact, most people see strong positive returns going forward.\nBut EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is way above average\nBut EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is way above average\nThe current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1990. This gives most value investors pause, but momentum investors are following this trend. Any investor who believes in the concept of reversion to the mean will be terrified by how clearly overvalued the US is.\n\nThe market hasn't touched the Shiller CAPE 2000 peak\nRobert Shiller's cyclically adjusted PE ratio (CAPE) is now approaching 35x. It was only higher when it hit 42x during the dot com bubble in 2000. Consider that in 2000, US government long-term bonds were yielding about 5%, versus the current 1.5%. From this chart, you can see that the US market has been in a long bull run since the 1979 interest rate peak.\nA fundamental investor knows that the value of a stock is largely dependent on the discount rate, which depends on the US bond rates. The current long-term US government bond rate of 1.5% is clearly supporting share prices. Suppose it was to reverse that, it would spell the end of this current market peak. Based on this chart, a fundamental investor would say that the US market is now significantly overvalued.\n\nThough expensive, we are not in uncharted territory\nWe calculated the US stock market EV/EBITDA for each month from 1990 to today. We then broke those into ten deciles from cheapest month to most expensive. After that, we asked, \"How often was the market trading in that state?\" We found that 20% of the time, the US market traded in the decile of 8.1x to 8.8x EV/EBITA. Twelve percent of the time, the market traded below 8.1x, and 14% of the time, the market was trading above the most expensive decile >12.3x. At 17.2x EV/EBITDA multiple, the US market is clearly expensive.\n\nToday's buyers may not see positive returns\nWe next asked, \"What were the forward returns earned if an investor were to buy the market at each decile?\" The results show that if you invested at the most common decile (8.1x to 8.8), you would have earned a 15% return over one year and 35% over five years.\nThose subsequent returns start to fall once the EV/EBTIDA rises above this decile (buying an expensive market means less gain). And most importantly, when the market trades in the most expensive decile (where we are now), subsequent 1, 2, and 3 returns were negative. An investor would have to wait five years to get a return only slightly above zero. A fundamental investor would consider this information and have a relatively negative view of the stock market.\n.\n\nRecent EPS collapse has been much shorter time\nThe next chart considers the five main falls in earnings per share since 1900. One conclusion is that the fall in EPS has become less protracted. The Great Depression saw a four-year decline in earnings, while earnings fell for only 2 years from the 2000 peak and the 2007 peak. It is also fascinating to see that there was only a 20% fall in earnings in 2020, and that fall only happened over one year (2021 earnings are recovering).\nA fundamental investor could look at this chart and think that the recent crisis was quite minimal. This is partly because some sectors (info tech), some quality (high cash companies) and some size (large) companies did very well during this recent crisis. In addition, since many small or weak companies got destroyed, the supply of products and services has been reduced, which leads to strong pricing power for those that remain.\n\nMargin recovery is in place\nThe net margins of corporate America have been on the rise since 1990. Over the past decade, they have averaged about 8%. The shaded areas on this chart show the period from peak to trough of net margin. The most significant thing about this chart is that the margin collapse is done and the margin recovery is underway. It is debatable whether the margin can recover to the prior peaks, but it is not unreasonable to say that the margin recovery has further to go. This could be positive for the US stock market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147257757,"gmtCreate":1626360913279,"gmtModify":1703758729006,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why","listText":"Why","text":"Why","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/147257757","repostId":"2151522777","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147257359,"gmtCreate":1626360886871,"gmtModify":1703758727712,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crash that last for how long? 1 day?&nbsp;","listText":"Crash that last for how long? 1 day?&nbsp;","text":"Crash that last for how long? 1 day?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/147257359","repostId":"1155093230","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155093230","pubTimestamp":1626359281,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155093230?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-15 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Big Crash Is Imminent","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155093230","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe continuous easing of monetary policy inflated various stocks to levels last seen during","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The continuous easing of monetary policy inflated various stocks to levels last seen during the dot.com bubble in 2000.</li>\n <li>The bubble is relatively concentrated and doesn't necessarily pose threats to the market as a whole.</li>\n <li>While it is clear that there is a strong deviation from historical valuation norms, valuations could continue to rise (at least in the short term).</li>\n <li>This article is not meant as fear-mongering, and I may very possibly be wrong about my hypothesis.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>It seems that the talk about whether we are in another Tech bubble has been going on for many years. Articles and news calling for the 'crash of the decade' have been condemned as fear-mongering with little substance to them. After all, technology stocks kept on rising, and those who listened missed out on impressive gains. Now, generally speaking, neither have I been too worried about valuations in the best, as fundamentals towards Technology in our society are simply too strong.</p>\n<p>However, a lot has changed over the course of the pandemic, which has led me to rethink my perspective. As the global pandemic shut down economies around the world and caused substantial economic contraction, federal banks counteracted by injecting trillions of dollars into the economy in the form of stimulus checks, grants, loans, etc. As a result, fresh liquidity immediately reflected itself in stocks and other market instruments.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c688f97bd5e513daa2e0c76d5ace6a1c\" tg-width=\"1845\" tg-height=\"651\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p>\n<p>Throughout this article, I want to demonstrate a few graphs to strengthen my argument, with the chart above being the first one. The Nasdaq 100 is perhaps the most common index to track the technology market, although it only includes profitable and large-cap Tech stocks. On average, the index currently holds a Price to Sales ratio of 5.7x, levels that the Index last saw in early 2001 after the dot.com bubble began to bust.</p>\n<p>It is important to note that at the height of the bubble, the ratio stood at 7.5x, around 30% higher than it is right now. Still, the median valuation has been trailing significantly lower, at around 3.5x over the last 20 years. Of course, it can be argued that Technology deserves a higher valuation these days due to the increased use of Technology and perhaps higher growth rates. However, should Technology valuations be nearly 100% higher than just 5 years ago, in 2016, where Technology integration was pretty much at the same level as today?</p>\n<p>Profitability</p>\n<p>In recent years, unprofitable but growing companies have been favored over mature and profitable companies. Usually, rotations from Growth to Value or the other way around occur every 2-5 years, which is totally unsurprising. Historically, in terms of performance, there has been no significant difference in terms of returns on a risk-adjusted basis - it really does depend on the time period of investing. That said, in the last 5 years, growth outperformed value by a wide margin - by 105% to be exact. I derived this from the 5-year performance chart of Vanguard's Growth ETF vs. Vanguard's Value ETF. This compares with an expected anomaly of 5% annually or a 28% expected anomaly for a 5-year time period.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02ae7e7ebc11fdc907d363cb5da38576\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Leuthold Group</span></p>\n<p>Unsurprisingly, the number and market value of unprofitable companies has skyrocketed throughout the last couple of years. Here, the total number of unprofitable firms has skyrocketed to over 200, while their combined value handily beats 2000 levels, reaching nearly $2.5 trillion (3 times higher than in 2000). Of course, there is more money in circulation today, so when accounting for the dollar's real value, they are at comparable levels. Again, either way you twist it, there is a significant anomaly in the value of unprofitable companies in the stock market.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5804bc535329d20e013417a7e3f95614\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: FT</span></p>\n<p>As a result, startups have utilized the opportunity to raise as much money as possible by going public. In total, nearly 900 companies in the U.S. have gone public in 2021, raising over $202 billion collectively. Before, the previous record was set in 2000, when around 600 companies rang the bell. What's even more frightening is the fact that a large portion of IPOs went public through special-purpose acquisition companies (SPACs). Many of these companies were acquired early on, with the only objective to go public as soon as possible. Here, various blank-check companies generate little or no revenues and face a rockier path to raising money through traditional IPOs.</p>\n<p>Today's Bubble</p>\n<p>Frankly, today's bubble is fundamentally different from the 2000 bubble, although there are striking similarities. Arguably, the dot.com bubble revolved purely around Internet stocks. Today, the bubble is much broader, ranging from old written-off industries to Consumer Tech, being concentrated on Cybersecurity. This makes sense, considering Cybersecurity is a quickly evolving industry with potentially billions of earnings for future winners in the space. The same applies to E-commerce, Fintech, Cloud Computing, Gene Editing, and other major future industries.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68b42d04a15d16c506a4abf4feb58df0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"518\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>This brings me to my next chart: High-flying stars of the early Internet era traded at similar multiples to cloud computing stars of today (when adjusted for monetary changes). However, early market leaders tend to lose competitive advantages in rising industries, in what someresearchersrefer to as \"First to Market First to Fail.\" Here, early entrants typically bury the greatest market and technological uncertainties.</p>\n<p>In other words, no one knows yet how our new industries will look like and how consumer trends will evolve. For instance, Facebook(NASDAQ:FB)was the 10th social networking company, Google(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)the 12th search engine, etc. Thus, today's most promising companies are unlikely to be the most promising companies 10 years from now. It is therefore questionable if current valuations can be supported in the long term.</p>\n<p>This is where I want to introduce Cisco's(NASDAQ:CSCO)example from 1999. At the time, the dominating Internet company briefly became the world's mostvaluablecompany, boasting a market cap of $569 billion. Certainly, the market wasn't being crazy at the time, considering Cisco's impressive growth rates and a trillion dollars industry ahead that was changing the world. An extract from Cisco's annual report in 1999:</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Cisco predicted that the Internet would change the way we work, live, play, and learn. For the fiscal year ending July 31, 1999, Cisco reported revenue of $12.15 billion, a 43 percent increase compared with revenue of $8.49 billion in fiscal 1998. Net income for the year was $2.10 billion or $0.62 per common share, compared with fiscal 1998 net income of $1.35 billion or $0.42 per common share. - CiscoAnnual Report1999\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>Now, at the height of Cisco's valuation, the stock was trading at around 35 times Price to Sales, which is comparable to today's valuations, considering gross margins and growth rates. As with every new industry, competition eventually took market share from Cisco and crushed growth rates, leading to a sequential 87% drop in its share price. Although shares somewhat recovered, Cisco is still trading some 33% below all-time highs 22 years later.</p>\n<p><b>\"Cisco Could Be Safest Net Play Around\" -Bloomberg 1999</b></p>\n<p>Again, that does not necessarily mean that the same will happen to today's stars. After all, early winners like Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)eventually recovered and are now trading well above dot.com levels. However, it is quite unlikely that all of today's stars will also be tomorrow's stars.</p>\n<p>Inflation...</p>\n<p>Arguably, inflation serves as one of the biggest investment risks in today's market. It was somewhat expected that inflation would tick up once the economy starts to recover with consumer spending skyrocketing. In this regard, the consumer price index rose by 5.4% in June, the highest since August 2008. That is well above the 5% rise reported in May and higher than the 4.9% increase that economists initially forecast. This challenges the Federal Reserve's hopes that the burst of inflationary pressures accompanying the economic reopening will be of temporary nature. Earlier, investors and economists have scrutinized the Federal Reserve's aggressive fiscal and monetary policy.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f507c5687771a8a8de99a914be11665\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"411\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Twitter</span></p>\n<p>Fiscal and monetary policy usually serve as driving factors for the creation of bubbles and are simultaneously responsible for their destruction. For instance, in 2000, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates several times; these actions are believed to have caused the bursting of the dot-com bubble. Interestingly, after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, stocks initially rallied. If we draw comparisons, a similar price movement can be observed today in Tech stocks, particularly growth stocks. Here, prominent names have been rising by 50% or more since May, despite the Fedwarningof higher interest rates and the potential for 'significant declines' in asset prices as valuations continue to climb.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a305d90c1f4751d0267c01347a54a33\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>That said, Fed President Jim Bullard expects the first interest rate hike coming as soon as 2022, which would be even faster than the consensusexpectationfor the first increase to happen in 2023. Earlier in March, officials initially indicated that they see no increase happening until at least 2024. In other words, in a matter of months, the timeline for a rate hike has shifted forward by 2 years. Thus, the next few months will be crucial to determine which way the timeline will shift; for now, it appears that the prior date is more likely.</p>\n<p>What about Big Tech?</p>\n<p>The question remains whether Big Tech stocks will be as severely affected during a notable pullback. Interestingly, except Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)and Microsoft, FAANG members, including Facebook, Amazon, and Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX), have been trailing behind in terms of performance, being reflected in the given valuations. Only Apple and Microsoft saw a notable valuation expansion in every significant metric out of the prominent Big Tech names. Here, Apple's P/E and P/S ratio nearly tripled over the last 5 years from 10x to 32x and 2.5x to 7.5x, respectively. These are historical valuation levels and dwarf the valuation expansions of Microsoft and Alphabet, which are supported by growing profitability over the years. However, it should be noticed that Apple's Price to Book Value disproportionately increased as a result of share buybacks.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/596471096e40e42abea97e9ed5a0a6d6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>On the other hand, Facebook and Amazon observed no significant valuation expansion, which can be tied back to regulatory scrutiny and an overall rotation towards high-growth stocks. Thus, since their market betas are lower than other Tech stocks mentioned earlier, these stocks can serve as a safe haven, at least to some extent. However, an overall drop in the market will lead to short-term weakness in every Technology stock, undervalued or not. Nevertheless, stocks that have underperformed in the rally over the last five years are more likely to outperform during a downturn. Moreover, large Tech companies are less sensitive to higher inflation as they will earn higher interest on their cash reserves.</p>\n<p>So What?</p>\n<p>The stock market is always driven by two contradicting emotions: Fear and Optimism. Over the last couple of years, optimism has clearly dominated the Growth/Technology market, yielding impressive returns and widely outperforming stable but profitable companies. However, valuation growth exceeded business growth for many high-growth companies, making various stocks appear increasingly overvalued. While higher valuations can be supported by the acceleration of Technology in the future, striking similarities of the Tech bubble in 2000 make me increasingly cautious of today's market environment.</p>\n<p>Bubble or not, many graphs point to a significant anomaly in valuations, and it will be difficult for companies to justify these sorts of valuations in the long term. More importantly, a heating economy with rising inflation will pressure the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to prevent an economic contraction.</p>\n<p>Nonetheless, investors can protect themselves by rotating back into stable value stocks or Big Tech companies that have underperformed on a relative basis. The issue with every insurance is that you are only being paid in the case of a crash, quite literally. After all, valuations of high-growth stocks could continue rising and those not invested miss out on potential gains. Another viable option could be to rotate back into cash, but the same prior issue applies here. Even those who decide to short stocks have to be careful since an upside ceiling doesn't exist in the market.</p>\n<p>This is the point where I would like to address the risks of my thesis: First, inflation may stabilize quicker than expected, which would push a potential interest rate hike back to 2024 or later. In this case, money will continue to be cheap, which will support higher valuations and the growth market in general. Secondly, companies can scale somewhat faster today, making a historical valuation comparison to early years less relevant. Lastly, I could be underappreciating given growth rates and the ability of management to shake off competition in the long run. Still, given the various uncertainties around valuations, I am more fearful than optimistic at the moment.</p>\n<p>In either way, if you have a different opinion or any counterarguments to my thesis, I'm happy to hear about it in the comment section!</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Big Crash Is Imminent</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Big Crash Is Imminent\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-15 22:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439223-the-big-crash-is-imminent><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe continuous easing of monetary policy inflated various stocks to levels last seen during the dot.com bubble in 2000.\nThe bubble is relatively concentrated and doesn't necessarily pose ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439223-the-big-crash-is-imminent\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439223-the-big-crash-is-imminent","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1155093230","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe continuous easing of monetary policy inflated various stocks to levels last seen during the dot.com bubble in 2000.\nThe bubble is relatively concentrated and doesn't necessarily pose threats to the market as a whole.\nWhile it is clear that there is a strong deviation from historical valuation norms, valuations could continue to rise (at least in the short term).\nThis article is not meant as fear-mongering, and I may very possibly be wrong about my hypothesis.\n\nIt seems that the talk about whether we are in another Tech bubble has been going on for many years. Articles and news calling for the 'crash of the decade' have been condemned as fear-mongering with little substance to them. After all, technology stocks kept on rising, and those who listened missed out on impressive gains. Now, generally speaking, neither have I been too worried about valuations in the best, as fundamentals towards Technology in our society are simply too strong.\nHowever, a lot has changed over the course of the pandemic, which has led me to rethink my perspective. As the global pandemic shut down economies around the world and caused substantial economic contraction, federal banks counteracted by injecting trillions of dollars into the economy in the form of stimulus checks, grants, loans, etc. As a result, fresh liquidity immediately reflected itself in stocks and other market instruments.\nSource: Bloomberg\nThroughout this article, I want to demonstrate a few graphs to strengthen my argument, with the chart above being the first one. The Nasdaq 100 is perhaps the most common index to track the technology market, although it only includes profitable and large-cap Tech stocks. On average, the index currently holds a Price to Sales ratio of 5.7x, levels that the Index last saw in early 2001 after the dot.com bubble began to bust.\nIt is important to note that at the height of the bubble, the ratio stood at 7.5x, around 30% higher than it is right now. Still, the median valuation has been trailing significantly lower, at around 3.5x over the last 20 years. Of course, it can be argued that Technology deserves a higher valuation these days due to the increased use of Technology and perhaps higher growth rates. However, should Technology valuations be nearly 100% higher than just 5 years ago, in 2016, where Technology integration was pretty much at the same level as today?\nProfitability\nIn recent years, unprofitable but growing companies have been favored over mature and profitable companies. Usually, rotations from Growth to Value or the other way around occur every 2-5 years, which is totally unsurprising. Historically, in terms of performance, there has been no significant difference in terms of returns on a risk-adjusted basis - it really does depend on the time period of investing. That said, in the last 5 years, growth outperformed value by a wide margin - by 105% to be exact. I derived this from the 5-year performance chart of Vanguard's Growth ETF vs. Vanguard's Value ETF. This compares with an expected anomaly of 5% annually or a 28% expected anomaly for a 5-year time period.\nSource: Leuthold Group\nUnsurprisingly, the number and market value of unprofitable companies has skyrocketed throughout the last couple of years. Here, the total number of unprofitable firms has skyrocketed to over 200, while their combined value handily beats 2000 levels, reaching nearly $2.5 trillion (3 times higher than in 2000). Of course, there is more money in circulation today, so when accounting for the dollar's real value, they are at comparable levels. Again, either way you twist it, there is a significant anomaly in the value of unprofitable companies in the stock market.\nSource: FT\nAs a result, startups have utilized the opportunity to raise as much money as possible by going public. In total, nearly 900 companies in the U.S. have gone public in 2021, raising over $202 billion collectively. Before, the previous record was set in 2000, when around 600 companies rang the bell. What's even more frightening is the fact that a large portion of IPOs went public through special-purpose acquisition companies (SPACs). Many of these companies were acquired early on, with the only objective to go public as soon as possible. Here, various blank-check companies generate little or no revenues and face a rockier path to raising money through traditional IPOs.\nToday's Bubble\nFrankly, today's bubble is fundamentally different from the 2000 bubble, although there are striking similarities. Arguably, the dot.com bubble revolved purely around Internet stocks. Today, the bubble is much broader, ranging from old written-off industries to Consumer Tech, being concentrated on Cybersecurity. This makes sense, considering Cybersecurity is a quickly evolving industry with potentially billions of earnings for future winners in the space. The same applies to E-commerce, Fintech, Cloud Computing, Gene Editing, and other major future industries.\nData by YCharts\nThis brings me to my next chart: High-flying stars of the early Internet era traded at similar multiples to cloud computing stars of today (when adjusted for monetary changes). However, early market leaders tend to lose competitive advantages in rising industries, in what someresearchersrefer to as \"First to Market First to Fail.\" Here, early entrants typically bury the greatest market and technological uncertainties.\nIn other words, no one knows yet how our new industries will look like and how consumer trends will evolve. For instance, Facebook(NASDAQ:FB)was the 10th social networking company, Google(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)the 12th search engine, etc. Thus, today's most promising companies are unlikely to be the most promising companies 10 years from now. It is therefore questionable if current valuations can be supported in the long term.\nThis is where I want to introduce Cisco's(NASDAQ:CSCO)example from 1999. At the time, the dominating Internet company briefly became the world's mostvaluablecompany, boasting a market cap of $569 billion. Certainly, the market wasn't being crazy at the time, considering Cisco's impressive growth rates and a trillion dollars industry ahead that was changing the world. An extract from Cisco's annual report in 1999:\n\n \"Cisco predicted that the Internet would change the way we work, live, play, and learn. For the fiscal year ending July 31, 1999, Cisco reported revenue of $12.15 billion, a 43 percent increase compared with revenue of $8.49 billion in fiscal 1998. Net income for the year was $2.10 billion or $0.62 per common share, compared with fiscal 1998 net income of $1.35 billion or $0.42 per common share. - CiscoAnnual Report1999\"\n\nNow, at the height of Cisco's valuation, the stock was trading at around 35 times Price to Sales, which is comparable to today's valuations, considering gross margins and growth rates. As with every new industry, competition eventually took market share from Cisco and crushed growth rates, leading to a sequential 87% drop in its share price. Although shares somewhat recovered, Cisco is still trading some 33% below all-time highs 22 years later.\n\"Cisco Could Be Safest Net Play Around\" -Bloomberg 1999\nAgain, that does not necessarily mean that the same will happen to today's stars. After all, early winners like Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)eventually recovered and are now trading well above dot.com levels. However, it is quite unlikely that all of today's stars will also be tomorrow's stars.\nInflation...\nArguably, inflation serves as one of the biggest investment risks in today's market. It was somewhat expected that inflation would tick up once the economy starts to recover with consumer spending skyrocketing. In this regard, the consumer price index rose by 5.4% in June, the highest since August 2008. That is well above the 5% rise reported in May and higher than the 4.9% increase that economists initially forecast. This challenges the Federal Reserve's hopes that the burst of inflationary pressures accompanying the economic reopening will be of temporary nature. Earlier, investors and economists have scrutinized the Federal Reserve's aggressive fiscal and monetary policy.\nSource: Twitter\nFiscal and monetary policy usually serve as driving factors for the creation of bubbles and are simultaneously responsible for their destruction. For instance, in 2000, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates several times; these actions are believed to have caused the bursting of the dot-com bubble. Interestingly, after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, stocks initially rallied. If we draw comparisons, a similar price movement can be observed today in Tech stocks, particularly growth stocks. Here, prominent names have been rising by 50% or more since May, despite the Fedwarningof higher interest rates and the potential for 'significant declines' in asset prices as valuations continue to climb.\nData by YCharts\nThat said, Fed President Jim Bullard expects the first interest rate hike coming as soon as 2022, which would be even faster than the consensusexpectationfor the first increase to happen in 2023. Earlier in March, officials initially indicated that they see no increase happening until at least 2024. In other words, in a matter of months, the timeline for a rate hike has shifted forward by 2 years. Thus, the next few months will be crucial to determine which way the timeline will shift; for now, it appears that the prior date is more likely.\nWhat about Big Tech?\nThe question remains whether Big Tech stocks will be as severely affected during a notable pullback. Interestingly, except Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)and Microsoft, FAANG members, including Facebook, Amazon, and Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX), have been trailing behind in terms of performance, being reflected in the given valuations. Only Apple and Microsoft saw a notable valuation expansion in every significant metric out of the prominent Big Tech names. Here, Apple's P/E and P/S ratio nearly tripled over the last 5 years from 10x to 32x and 2.5x to 7.5x, respectively. These are historical valuation levels and dwarf the valuation expansions of Microsoft and Alphabet, which are supported by growing profitability over the years. However, it should be noticed that Apple's Price to Book Value disproportionately increased as a result of share buybacks.\nData by YCharts\nOn the other hand, Facebook and Amazon observed no significant valuation expansion, which can be tied back to regulatory scrutiny and an overall rotation towards high-growth stocks. Thus, since their market betas are lower than other Tech stocks mentioned earlier, these stocks can serve as a safe haven, at least to some extent. However, an overall drop in the market will lead to short-term weakness in every Technology stock, undervalued or not. Nevertheless, stocks that have underperformed in the rally over the last five years are more likely to outperform during a downturn. Moreover, large Tech companies are less sensitive to higher inflation as they will earn higher interest on their cash reserves.\nSo What?\nThe stock market is always driven by two contradicting emotions: Fear and Optimism. Over the last couple of years, optimism has clearly dominated the Growth/Technology market, yielding impressive returns and widely outperforming stable but profitable companies. However, valuation growth exceeded business growth for many high-growth companies, making various stocks appear increasingly overvalued. While higher valuations can be supported by the acceleration of Technology in the future, striking similarities of the Tech bubble in 2000 make me increasingly cautious of today's market environment.\nBubble or not, many graphs point to a significant anomaly in valuations, and it will be difficult for companies to justify these sorts of valuations in the long term. More importantly, a heating economy with rising inflation will pressure the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to prevent an economic contraction.\nNonetheless, investors can protect themselves by rotating back into stable value stocks or Big Tech companies that have underperformed on a relative basis. The issue with every insurance is that you are only being paid in the case of a crash, quite literally. After all, valuations of high-growth stocks could continue rising and those not invested miss out on potential gains. Another viable option could be to rotate back into cash, but the same prior issue applies here. Even those who decide to short stocks have to be careful since an upside ceiling doesn't exist in the market.\nThis is the point where I would like to address the risks of my thesis: First, inflation may stabilize quicker than expected, which would push a potential interest rate hike back to 2024 or later. In this case, money will continue to be cheap, which will support higher valuations and the growth market in general. Secondly, companies can scale somewhat faster today, making a historical valuation comparison to early years less relevant. Lastly, I could be underappreciating given growth rates and the ability of management to shake off competition in the long run. Still, given the various uncertainties around valuations, I am more fearful than optimistic at the moment.\nIn either way, if you have a different opinion or any counterarguments to my thesis, I'm happy to hear about it in the comment section!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145900624,"gmtCreate":1626184874668,"gmtModify":1703755063175,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gogogo","listText":"Gogogo","text":"Gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bae718174bc04db24105a1144ac1b2d9","width":"1080","height":"3290"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/145900624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148507067,"gmtCreate":1625984326359,"gmtModify":1703751659303,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Roblox","listText":"Roblox","text":"Roblox","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148507067","repostId":"2150463301","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2150463301","pubTimestamp":1625971562,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2150463301?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-11 10:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2150463301","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Could this tween-oriented gaming platform be the next tech giant?","content":"<p>Only a handful of tech companies have ever become $1 trillion companies. <b>Apple</b>&nbsp;and <b>Amazon</b> crossed that milestone in 2018, <b>Microsoft</b>&nbsp;followed suit in 2019, and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a></b>&nbsp;joined the club earlier this year.</p>\n<p>Many other tech stocks could join that elite group within the next decade -- and investors who hop on board today could reap massive multibagger gains. Could <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of those stocks be <b>Roblox</b>, the gaming company which gained millions of new users during the pandemic?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F632887%2Fshowcase_filmstrip_1920x1080.png&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\"><span>Image source: Roblox.</span></p>\n<h2>How much is Roblox worth today?</h2>\n<p>Roblox went public via a direct listing this March with a reference price of $45. The stock opened at $64.50, and currently trades in the high $80s -- which gives it a market capitalization of nearly $50 billion. For Roblox to become a $1 trillion company by 2030, the stock would need to rise about 20 times.</p>\n<p>No pure-play video game company has crossed the $1 trillion mark yet. <b>Activision Blizzard </b>and <b>Electronic Arts</b>, two of the world's largest video game publishers, are currently worth about $70 billion and $40 billion, respectively. <b>Unity</b>, which indirectly competes against Roblox in the game engine and development space, is worth roughly $30 billion.</p>\n<p>If we compare these four companies' price-to-sales ratios, we'll notice the market is paying a much higher premium for game creation engines like Roblox and Unity than traditional video game publishers.</p>\n<table border=\"1\" width=\"596\">\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <th width=\"176\"><p>Company</p></th>\n   <th width=\"189\"><p>P/S Ratio (Current FY)</p></th>\n   <th width=\"187\"><p>P/S Ratio (Next FY)</p></th>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Roblox (NYSE:RBLX)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>20</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>16</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>8</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>7</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>6</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>5</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Unity (NYSE:U)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>30</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>23</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: Yahoo Finance, July 7. FY = fiscal year.</p>\n<h2>But is Roblox a fad or a new content platform?</h2>\n<p>However, there are some key differences between Roblox and Unity.</p>\n<p>Roblox is a platform that enables younger users, many of whom don't have any coding experience, to build simple block-based games and share them with other players. Unity is an advanced game development engine that powers over half of the world's mobile, PC, and console games.</p>\n<p>Roblox encourages users to monetize their games with an in-app currency called Robux within its walled garden. Unity offers developers more flexible tools for integrating in-app ads, in-app purchases, and other features into their games.</p>\n<p>The bulls claim Roblox's self-sustaining cycle of content creation, self-promotion, and monetization will fuel its long-term growth. The bears will point out that half of the platform's daily active users (DAUs) are under the age of 13, and they might eventually grow out of Roblox's simple experiences or graduate to a more advanced game development engine like Unity.</p>\n<p>The bulls will point to Roblox's growth rates. Between the first quarters of 2018 and 2021, Roblox's DAUs more than quadrupled from 10.3 million to 42.1 million, its total hours engaged surged from 2.1 billion to 9.7 billion, and its average bookings per DAU jumped from $11.62 to $15.48.</p>\n<p>Roblox's revenue rose 56% in 2019, soared 82% in 2020, and analysts expect 167% growth this year. But next year, they expect its revenue to rise just 26% after the pandemic ends and more students return to school.</p>\n<p>The bears will point out Roblox isn't profitable, and it probably can't achieve profitability without reducing its exchange rate between U.S. dollars and Robux for developers. However, doing so could alienate its developers and throttle the platform's output of new content.</p>\n<h2>Why Roblox probably can't hit $1 trillion by 2030</h2>\n<p>Even if Roblox maintains a premium price-to-sales ratio of 20 through 2030, it would need to generate $50 billion in annual sales to hit the $1 trillion mark. Roblox generated just $933 million in revenues in 2020, so it would need to generate a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 50% to hit $50 billion by 2030.</p>\n<p>If Roblox's valuations cool off, as they'll likely do over the years, it will need to generate an ever higher CAGR to become a $1 trillion company. By comparison, Amazon grew its revenues at a CAGR of 27.4% over the past decade -- and it currently trades at just four times this year's sales. Therefore, it seems highly unlikely Roblox will become a $1 trillion company within the next decade.</p>\n<p>But that doesn't mean Roblox won't generate multibagger gains over the next decade. It could remain popular long after the pandemic passes, attract a new generation of younger users, and launch more powerful tools for advanced users. As it continues to expand, economies of scale should kick in and strengthen its earnings growth. Therefore, Roblox could still have plenty of room to run -- just don't expect it to join the 12-zero club anytime soon.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-11 10:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/will-roblox-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Only a handful of tech companies have ever become $1 trillion companies. Apple and Amazon crossed that milestone in 2018, Microsoft followed suit in 2019, and Facebook joined the club earlier this ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/will-roblox-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/will-roblox-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2150463301","content_text":"Only a handful of tech companies have ever become $1 trillion companies. Apple and Amazon crossed that milestone in 2018, Microsoft followed suit in 2019, and Facebook joined the club earlier this year.\nMany other tech stocks could join that elite group within the next decade -- and investors who hop on board today could reap massive multibagger gains. Could one of those stocks be Roblox, the gaming company which gained millions of new users during the pandemic?\nImage source: Roblox.\nHow much is Roblox worth today?\nRoblox went public via a direct listing this March with a reference price of $45. The stock opened at $64.50, and currently trades in the high $80s -- which gives it a market capitalization of nearly $50 billion. For Roblox to become a $1 trillion company by 2030, the stock would need to rise about 20 times.\nNo pure-play video game company has crossed the $1 trillion mark yet. Activision Blizzard and Electronic Arts, two of the world's largest video game publishers, are currently worth about $70 billion and $40 billion, respectively. Unity, which indirectly competes against Roblox in the game engine and development space, is worth roughly $30 billion.\nIf we compare these four companies' price-to-sales ratios, we'll notice the market is paying a much higher premium for game creation engines like Roblox and Unity than traditional video game publishers.\n\n\n\n\nCompany\nP/S Ratio (Current FY)\nP/S Ratio (Next FY)\n\n\nRoblox (NYSE:RBLX)\n20\n16\n\n\nActivision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI)\n8\n7\n\n\nElectronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA)\n6\n5\n\n\nUnity (NYSE:U)\n30\n23\n\n\n\nSource: Yahoo Finance, July 7. FY = fiscal year.\nBut is Roblox a fad or a new content platform?\nHowever, there are some key differences between Roblox and Unity.\nRoblox is a platform that enables younger users, many of whom don't have any coding experience, to build simple block-based games and share them with other players. Unity is an advanced game development engine that powers over half of the world's mobile, PC, and console games.\nRoblox encourages users to monetize their games with an in-app currency called Robux within its walled garden. Unity offers developers more flexible tools for integrating in-app ads, in-app purchases, and other features into their games.\nThe bulls claim Roblox's self-sustaining cycle of content creation, self-promotion, and monetization will fuel its long-term growth. The bears will point out that half of the platform's daily active users (DAUs) are under the age of 13, and they might eventually grow out of Roblox's simple experiences or graduate to a more advanced game development engine like Unity.\nThe bulls will point to Roblox's growth rates. Between the first quarters of 2018 and 2021, Roblox's DAUs more than quadrupled from 10.3 million to 42.1 million, its total hours engaged surged from 2.1 billion to 9.7 billion, and its average bookings per DAU jumped from $11.62 to $15.48.\nRoblox's revenue rose 56% in 2019, soared 82% in 2020, and analysts expect 167% growth this year. But next year, they expect its revenue to rise just 26% after the pandemic ends and more students return to school.\nThe bears will point out Roblox isn't profitable, and it probably can't achieve profitability without reducing its exchange rate between U.S. dollars and Robux for developers. However, doing so could alienate its developers and throttle the platform's output of new content.\nWhy Roblox probably can't hit $1 trillion by 2030\nEven if Roblox maintains a premium price-to-sales ratio of 20 through 2030, it would need to generate $50 billion in annual sales to hit the $1 trillion mark. Roblox generated just $933 million in revenues in 2020, so it would need to generate a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 50% to hit $50 billion by 2030.\nIf Roblox's valuations cool off, as they'll likely do over the years, it will need to generate an ever higher CAGR to become a $1 trillion company. By comparison, Amazon grew its revenues at a CAGR of 27.4% over the past decade -- and it currently trades at just four times this year's sales. Therefore, it seems highly unlikely Roblox will become a $1 trillion company within the next decade.\nBut that doesn't mean Roblox won't generate multibagger gains over the next decade. It could remain popular long after the pandemic passes, attract a new generation of younger users, and launch more powerful tools for advanced users. As it continues to expand, economies of scale should kick in and strengthen its earnings growth. Therefore, Roblox could still have plenty of room to run -- just don't expect it to join the 12-zero club anytime soon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148509675,"gmtCreate":1625983791297,"gmtModify":1703751647494,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help like please","listText":"Help like please","text":"Help like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148509675","repostId":"1184476863","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184476863","pubTimestamp":1625967744,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184476863?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:42","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"XPeng: Leader Of Chinese Vehicle Electrification Efforts","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184476863","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters.</li>\n <li>By being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation.</li>\n <li>We continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you’re a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ebea80a575c2b5a2b022a046308936\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Robert Way/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>The aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng (XPEV) to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters. In addition, by being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng also has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. Considering this, we continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you're a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.</p>\n<p><b>Firing On All Cylinders</b></p>\n<p>XPeng is one of the biggest EV manufacturers in China. Currently, it produces an SUV that goes under the name G3 and a sedan that's called P7. In addition, the company plans to release an upgraded version of its SUV called G3i in September and a new family-friendly sedan P5 by the end of the year. Overall, XPeng's stock showed decent results in recent months, as it has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 Index for most of the last year, and is currently up ~5% since our latest&nbsp;article&nbsp;about its business was published in June.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51f7c530182ce2c7abde426fcff7f474\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>Chart: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>One of the biggest achievements of XPeng is that it has managed to successfully navigate through the initial stages of the chip shortage crisis and made a lot of progress on improving its deliveries. The latestdatasuggests that there's still a strong demand for its offerings among tech-savvy Chinese consumers, as in June alone the company delivered a record 6,565 vehicles, an increase of 617% Y/Y. In addition, its Q2 deliveries were 17,398, up 439% Y/Y, while its 1H deliveries were 30,738 vehicles, up 459% Y/Y. Another good news is that the company's Q2 deliveries beat its projections of 15,500 - 16,000 units despite the pandemic and there's every reason to believe that the momentum is very likely to hold until the end of the year at the very least.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0479a72617e0ff9759beb7f820fc0494\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"445\"><span>Source:InsideEVs</span></p>\n<p>The biggest advantage of XPeng is that it operates in China, which is considered to be the biggest EV market in the world. Thanks to it, XPeng doesn't need to outsource its manufacturing or sales to other countries as it has a huge local market to sell to back at home. What's more important is that it also has strong governmental support, as some of its manufacturing facilities that are currently being built were co-financed by Chinese local governments. By receiving such help, XPeng is now on track to complete its third manufacturing facility in Wuhan, which will help it to reach an annual capacity of at least 300,000 vehicles. For comparison, Tesla (TSLA) in 2020 sold only 137,000 Model 3s in China. Therefore, an increase of the capacity to such substantial numbers signals that XPeng is ready to tackle the competition and increase its traction across the mainland going forward.</p>\n<p>Another important fact is that XPeng is more technologically advanced in China than Tesla and others. Almost half of its R&amp;D workforce works on autonomous driving software, and as a result, the company has managed to develop one of the most advanced navigation systems, which should help it to become one of the first to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. On top of that, over 5 million kilometers were alreadydrivenwith the help of the navigation system since its launch earlier this year, and the latest version of the software can now automaticallyparkthe car in garages without human help if it remembers the spot in which the vehicle was parked before.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>As for the risks, we see a couple of them. First of all, XPengtradesat a price-to-sales ratio of ~16x and could be considered richly valued at its current market cap of around $37 billion. For that reason, it's not a good investment for long-term value shareholders, and for those who don't want to expose their portfolios to Chinese assets.</p>\n<p>In addition, there's a risk that the start of the potential China-US trade war could prevent XPeng from accessing the US capital markets, as its current shares could be delisted. To tackle this issue, the company just recentlyraisednearly $2 billion by executing another IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange with a double main listing structure. This will help the company not only to have an access to the major capital market, but it will also give the Chinese mainland investors the ability to buy the stock through the Hong Kong Stock Connect, which should boost XPeng's valuation in the near future. On top of that, since XPeng's business doesn't have major exposure to outside markets, the blowback from the potential trade war will be minimal.</p>\n<p><b>Takeaway</b></p>\n<p>Despite those risks, we should not forget that China is on track to significantly decrease its carbon footprint in the next four decades. Therefore, it's safe to assume that the penetration rate of electric vehicles on Chinese roads is only going to increase in the following decades. As a result, we believe that there's plenty of room for XPeng to drive growth at this stage, and considering its great performance in Q2, we also believe that it has all the chances to become one of the biggest EV manufacturers in the region.</p>\n<p>The latest forecast suggests that XPeng could increase its revenues by 364% from $0.9 million in FY20 to $4.18 billion in FY22, while its EPS loss is also expected todecreasefrom -$0.33 in Q2'21 to only -$0.06 in Q3 and Q4. On top of that, the companyhad$5.12 billion in cash at the end of Q1, only $497 million in long-term debt, and thanks to the recent Honk Kong offering its liquidity position is already around $7 billion. As a result, XPeng doesn't have an overleveraged balance sheet, and thanks to the influx of new cash it's very unlikely that it'll be required to raise new debt or dilute its shareholders by offering new shares to fund its expansion. Therefore, we believe that its stock could be considered a growth play, especially since it has beenaddedto FTSE's indexes recently, which should help it to attract more attention from institutional investors.</p>\n<p>With all of this in mind, we also think that right now is a good entry point to purchase the company's shares, as the likely increase in deliveries and capacity along with the launch of the upcoming P5 sedan in the following months could push its stock to higher levels. For that reason, we have no plans to cover our long position in XPeng anytime soon.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>XPeng: Leader Of Chinese Vehicle Electrification Efforts</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXPeng: Leader Of Chinese Vehicle Electrification Efforts\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-11 09:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438413-xpeng-leader-of-chinese-vehicle-electrification-efforts><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters.\nBy being one ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438413-xpeng-leader-of-chinese-vehicle-electrification-efforts\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","09868":"小鹏汽车-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438413-xpeng-leader-of-chinese-vehicle-electrification-efforts","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184476863","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters.\nBy being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation.\nWe continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you’re a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.\n\nRobert Way/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng (XPEV) to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters. In addition, by being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng also has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. Considering this, we continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you're a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.\nFiring On All Cylinders\nXPeng is one of the biggest EV manufacturers in China. Currently, it produces an SUV that goes under the name G3 and a sedan that's called P7. In addition, the company plans to release an upgraded version of its SUV called G3i in September and a new family-friendly sedan P5 by the end of the year. Overall, XPeng's stock showed decent results in recent months, as it has outperformed the S&P 500 Index for most of the last year, and is currently up ~5% since our latest article about its business was published in June.\nChart: Seeking Alpha\nOne of the biggest achievements of XPeng is that it has managed to successfully navigate through the initial stages of the chip shortage crisis and made a lot of progress on improving its deliveries. The latestdatasuggests that there's still a strong demand for its offerings among tech-savvy Chinese consumers, as in June alone the company delivered a record 6,565 vehicles, an increase of 617% Y/Y. In addition, its Q2 deliveries were 17,398, up 439% Y/Y, while its 1H deliveries were 30,738 vehicles, up 459% Y/Y. Another good news is that the company's Q2 deliveries beat its projections of 15,500 - 16,000 units despite the pandemic and there's every reason to believe that the momentum is very likely to hold until the end of the year at the very least.\nSource:InsideEVs\nThe biggest advantage of XPeng is that it operates in China, which is considered to be the biggest EV market in the world. Thanks to it, XPeng doesn't need to outsource its manufacturing or sales to other countries as it has a huge local market to sell to back at home. What's more important is that it also has strong governmental support, as some of its manufacturing facilities that are currently being built were co-financed by Chinese local governments. By receiving such help, XPeng is now on track to complete its third manufacturing facility in Wuhan, which will help it to reach an annual capacity of at least 300,000 vehicles. For comparison, Tesla (TSLA) in 2020 sold only 137,000 Model 3s in China. Therefore, an increase of the capacity to such substantial numbers signals that XPeng is ready to tackle the competition and increase its traction across the mainland going forward.\nAnother important fact is that XPeng is more technologically advanced in China than Tesla and others. Almost half of its R&D workforce works on autonomous driving software, and as a result, the company has managed to develop one of the most advanced navigation systems, which should help it to become one of the first to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. On top of that, over 5 million kilometers were alreadydrivenwith the help of the navigation system since its launch earlier this year, and the latest version of the software can now automaticallyparkthe car in garages without human help if it remembers the spot in which the vehicle was parked before.\nRisks\nAs for the risks, we see a couple of them. First of all, XPengtradesat a price-to-sales ratio of ~16x and could be considered richly valued at its current market cap of around $37 billion. For that reason, it's not a good investment for long-term value shareholders, and for those who don't want to expose their portfolios to Chinese assets.\nIn addition, there's a risk that the start of the potential China-US trade war could prevent XPeng from accessing the US capital markets, as its current shares could be delisted. To tackle this issue, the company just recentlyraisednearly $2 billion by executing another IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange with a double main listing structure. This will help the company not only to have an access to the major capital market, but it will also give the Chinese mainland investors the ability to buy the stock through the Hong Kong Stock Connect, which should boost XPeng's valuation in the near future. On top of that, since XPeng's business doesn't have major exposure to outside markets, the blowback from the potential trade war will be minimal.\nTakeaway\nDespite those risks, we should not forget that China is on track to significantly decrease its carbon footprint in the next four decades. Therefore, it's safe to assume that the penetration rate of electric vehicles on Chinese roads is only going to increase in the following decades. As a result, we believe that there's plenty of room for XPeng to drive growth at this stage, and considering its great performance in Q2, we also believe that it has all the chances to become one of the biggest EV manufacturers in the region.\nThe latest forecast suggests that XPeng could increase its revenues by 364% from $0.9 million in FY20 to $4.18 billion in FY22, while its EPS loss is also expected todecreasefrom -$0.33 in Q2'21 to only -$0.06 in Q3 and Q4. On top of that, the companyhad$5.12 billion in cash at the end of Q1, only $497 million in long-term debt, and thanks to the recent Honk Kong offering its liquidity position is already around $7 billion. As a result, XPeng doesn't have an overleveraged balance sheet, and thanks to the influx of new cash it's very unlikely that it'll be required to raise new debt or dilute its shareholders by offering new shares to fund its expansion. Therefore, we believe that its stock could be considered a growth play, especially since it has beenaddedto FTSE's indexes recently, which should help it to attract more attention from institutional investors.\nWith all of this in mind, we also think that right now is a good entry point to purchase the company's shares, as the likely increase in deliveries and capacity along with the launch of the upcoming P5 sedan in the following months could push its stock to higher levels. For that reason, we have no plans to cover our long position in XPeng anytime soon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":93,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148509391,"gmtCreate":1625983752413,"gmtModify":1703751646364,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice future","listText":"Nice future","text":"Nice future","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a4c9e07ae3a50f60ea7bc6277afbe91","width":"1080","height":"3699"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148509391","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148277211,"gmtCreate":1625983697233,"gmtModify":1703751644260,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help like please???","listText":"Help like please???","text":"Help like please???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148277211","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1112201050?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p>\n<p>When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p>\n<p>It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p>\n<p>The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p>\n<p>That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p>\n<p>While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p>\n<p>Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p>\n<p>A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p>\n<p>“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p>\n<p>The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p>\n<p>Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p>\n<p>The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p>\n<p>Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p>\n<p>These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p>\n<p>To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p>\n<p>But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p>\n<p>“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p>\n<p>“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p>\n<p>Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p>\n<p>Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p>\n<p>But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p>\n<p>“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p>\n<p>The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p>\n<p>— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p>\n<p>It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p>\n<p>Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p>\n<p>With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p>\n<p>“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p>\n<p>Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p>\n<p>AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p>\n<p>Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p>\n<p>Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p>\n<p>In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p>\n<p>There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p>\n<p>For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p>\n<p>For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p>\n<p>New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p>\n<p>“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p>\n<p>Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p>\n<p>Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p>\n<p>The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p>\n<p>The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p>\n<p>Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p>\n<p>As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p>\n<p>To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p>\n<p>Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p>\n<p>Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p>\n<p>“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p>\n<p>“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p>\n<p>The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p>\n<p>Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p>\n<p>Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p>\n<p>In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p>\n<p>Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p>\n<p>Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-11 09:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"3B家居","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","BB":"黑莓","SCHW":"嘉信理财","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","MRIN":"Marin Software Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148814348,"gmtCreate":1625966738384,"gmtModify":1703751274230,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yessss","listText":"Yessss","text":"Yessss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148814348","repostId":"1176789091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176789091","pubTimestamp":1625966668,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176789091?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Could The iPad Be Apple’s Best Performer in Fiscal Q3?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176789091","media":"TheStreet","summary":"The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.\nTh","content":"<p>The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.</p>\n<p>The Apple Maven continues its preview of the Cupertino company’s fiscal third quarter earnings day. So far, we have discussed (1)Wall Street’s expectationsfor revenues and earnings and (2) the expected performance of the iPhone in the quarter.</p>\n<p>Today, we address what could be Apple’s most successful product category in the third fiscal period of 2021: the iPad.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/544b629337019373222b755bf493104b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"630\"><span>Figure 1: The latest iPad Pro model.</span></p>\n<p>The 2020 pandemic has made winners of tech companies that managed to capitalize on shifting consumer behavior – also known as the “stay at home” trends. This partially explains why iPad revenues have shot through the roof in the past several quarters: growth of at least 30% since fiscal Q2 last year.</p>\n<p>For starters,it has become increasingly obviousthat consumers are not returning to old spending habits, even as the COVID-19 crisis gets closer to an end. Therefore, I see no reason to doubt that iPad sales will impress once again this time, although the growth rate will be partially eclipsed by tough 2020 comps.</p>\n<p>But the story does not end with the effects of the pandemic. The chart below shows that, since around 2017, Apple has been able to reignite demand for its tablets. Even in 2019, before the pandemic turned the world upside down, iPad sales had already been growing at a respectable 13% pace.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b463e314374d0f90f3cedbd13430a0ae\" tg-width=\"631\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Figure 2: iPad revenue in millions U.S dollars.</span></p>\n<p>The rebirth of the tablet business, I will be frank,caught me by surprise. The phenomenon can be probably attributed to technological advancements allowing products like the iPad to better replace personal computers (more storage, better graphics, fast processor speed) and even smartphones (wider range of screen sizes, better cameras, introduction of 5G capability).</p>\n<p>Case in point, Research and Marketsbelievesthat tablet revenues across the industry will continue to grow at a CAGR of over 10% through 2023. This is quite an improvement from the days that iPad sales were declining sharply, between 2014 and 2018.</p>\n<p>Lastly, Apple may have performed even better than its tablet competitors in the most recent quarter. First, the company has provenmore capable of managing its supply chain, which could be a plus during times of component shortages.</p>\n<p>But also, Applereleased its new M1-equipped iPad Pro in April. Consumers have been more willing to pay up for better mobile devices lately, which might bode well for Apple’s top-of-the-line tablet. In fact, the iPad’s two percentage pointgainin market share in June could be explained by this product launch.</p>\n<p>With the most recent tablet release, the entire iPad lineup (except for the less relevant mini version) is only about nine months old today. On the back of a strong product portfolio, the iPad could very well be the brightest star on Apple’s fiscal third quarter earnings day.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Could The iPad Be Apple’s Best Performer in Fiscal Q3?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCould The iPad Be Apple’s Best Performer in Fiscal Q3?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-11 09:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/other-products/could-the-ipad-be-apples-best-performer-in-fiscal-q3><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.\nThe Apple Maven continues its preview of the Cupertino company’s fiscal third quarter earnings day. So...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/other-products/could-the-ipad-be-apples-best-performer-in-fiscal-q3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/other-products/could-the-ipad-be-apples-best-performer-in-fiscal-q3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176789091","content_text":"The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.\nThe Apple Maven continues its preview of the Cupertino company’s fiscal third quarter earnings day. So far, we have discussed (1)Wall Street’s expectationsfor revenues and earnings and (2) the expected performance of the iPhone in the quarter.\nToday, we address what could be Apple’s most successful product category in the third fiscal period of 2021: the iPad.\nFigure 1: The latest iPad Pro model.\nThe 2020 pandemic has made winners of tech companies that managed to capitalize on shifting consumer behavior – also known as the “stay at home” trends. This partially explains why iPad revenues have shot through the roof in the past several quarters: growth of at least 30% since fiscal Q2 last year.\nFor starters,it has become increasingly obviousthat consumers are not returning to old spending habits, even as the COVID-19 crisis gets closer to an end. Therefore, I see no reason to doubt that iPad sales will impress once again this time, although the growth rate will be partially eclipsed by tough 2020 comps.\nBut the story does not end with the effects of the pandemic. The chart below shows that, since around 2017, Apple has been able to reignite demand for its tablets. Even in 2019, before the pandemic turned the world upside down, iPad sales had already been growing at a respectable 13% pace.\nFigure 2: iPad revenue in millions U.S dollars.\nThe rebirth of the tablet business, I will be frank,caught me by surprise. The phenomenon can be probably attributed to technological advancements allowing products like the iPad to better replace personal computers (more storage, better graphics, fast processor speed) and even smartphones (wider range of screen sizes, better cameras, introduction of 5G capability).\nCase in point, Research and Marketsbelievesthat tablet revenues across the industry will continue to grow at a CAGR of over 10% through 2023. This is quite an improvement from the days that iPad sales were declining sharply, between 2014 and 2018.\nLastly, Apple may have performed even better than its tablet competitors in the most recent quarter. First, the company has provenmore capable of managing its supply chain, which could be a plus during times of component shortages.\nBut also, Applereleased its new M1-equipped iPad Pro in April. Consumers have been more willing to pay up for better mobile devices lately, which might bode well for Apple’s top-of-the-line tablet. In fact, the iPad’s two percentage pointgainin market share in June could be explained by this product launch.\nWith the most recent tablet release, the entire iPad lineup (except for the less relevant mini version) is only about nine months old today. On the back of a strong product portfolio, the iPad could very well be the brightest star on Apple’s fiscal third quarter earnings day.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148815195,"gmtCreate":1625966675617,"gmtModify":1703751272935,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148815195","repostId":"1113530069","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":148277211,"gmtCreate":1625983697233,"gmtModify":1703751644260,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help like please???","listText":"Help like please???","text":"Help like please???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148277211","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147257359,"gmtCreate":1626360886871,"gmtModify":1703758727712,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crash that last for how long? 1 day?&nbsp;","listText":"Crash that last for how long? 1 day?&nbsp;","text":"Crash that last for how long? 1 day?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/147257359","repostId":"1155093230","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155093230","pubTimestamp":1626359281,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155093230?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-15 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Big Crash Is Imminent","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155093230","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe continuous easing of monetary policy inflated various stocks to levels last seen during","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The continuous easing of monetary policy inflated various stocks to levels last seen during the dot.com bubble in 2000.</li>\n <li>The bubble is relatively concentrated and doesn't necessarily pose threats to the market as a whole.</li>\n <li>While it is clear that there is a strong deviation from historical valuation norms, valuations could continue to rise (at least in the short term).</li>\n <li>This article is not meant as fear-mongering, and I may very possibly be wrong about my hypothesis.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>It seems that the talk about whether we are in another Tech bubble has been going on for many years. Articles and news calling for the 'crash of the decade' have been condemned as fear-mongering with little substance to them. After all, technology stocks kept on rising, and those who listened missed out on impressive gains. Now, generally speaking, neither have I been too worried about valuations in the best, as fundamentals towards Technology in our society are simply too strong.</p>\n<p>However, a lot has changed over the course of the pandemic, which has led me to rethink my perspective. As the global pandemic shut down economies around the world and caused substantial economic contraction, federal banks counteracted by injecting trillions of dollars into the economy in the form of stimulus checks, grants, loans, etc. As a result, fresh liquidity immediately reflected itself in stocks and other market instruments.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c688f97bd5e513daa2e0c76d5ace6a1c\" tg-width=\"1845\" tg-height=\"651\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p>\n<p>Throughout this article, I want to demonstrate a few graphs to strengthen my argument, with the chart above being the first one. The Nasdaq 100 is perhaps the most common index to track the technology market, although it only includes profitable and large-cap Tech stocks. On average, the index currently holds a Price to Sales ratio of 5.7x, levels that the Index last saw in early 2001 after the dot.com bubble began to bust.</p>\n<p>It is important to note that at the height of the bubble, the ratio stood at 7.5x, around 30% higher than it is right now. Still, the median valuation has been trailing significantly lower, at around 3.5x over the last 20 years. Of course, it can be argued that Technology deserves a higher valuation these days due to the increased use of Technology and perhaps higher growth rates. However, should Technology valuations be nearly 100% higher than just 5 years ago, in 2016, where Technology integration was pretty much at the same level as today?</p>\n<p>Profitability</p>\n<p>In recent years, unprofitable but growing companies have been favored over mature and profitable companies. Usually, rotations from Growth to Value or the other way around occur every 2-5 years, which is totally unsurprising. Historically, in terms of performance, there has been no significant difference in terms of returns on a risk-adjusted basis - it really does depend on the time period of investing. That said, in the last 5 years, growth outperformed value by a wide margin - by 105% to be exact. I derived this from the 5-year performance chart of Vanguard's Growth ETF vs. Vanguard's Value ETF. This compares with an expected anomaly of 5% annually or a 28% expected anomaly for a 5-year time period.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02ae7e7ebc11fdc907d363cb5da38576\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Leuthold Group</span></p>\n<p>Unsurprisingly, the number and market value of unprofitable companies has skyrocketed throughout the last couple of years. Here, the total number of unprofitable firms has skyrocketed to over 200, while their combined value handily beats 2000 levels, reaching nearly $2.5 trillion (3 times higher than in 2000). Of course, there is more money in circulation today, so when accounting for the dollar's real value, they are at comparable levels. Again, either way you twist it, there is a significant anomaly in the value of unprofitable companies in the stock market.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5804bc535329d20e013417a7e3f95614\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: FT</span></p>\n<p>As a result, startups have utilized the opportunity to raise as much money as possible by going public. In total, nearly 900 companies in the U.S. have gone public in 2021, raising over $202 billion collectively. Before, the previous record was set in 2000, when around 600 companies rang the bell. What's even more frightening is the fact that a large portion of IPOs went public through special-purpose acquisition companies (SPACs). Many of these companies were acquired early on, with the only objective to go public as soon as possible. Here, various blank-check companies generate little or no revenues and face a rockier path to raising money through traditional IPOs.</p>\n<p>Today's Bubble</p>\n<p>Frankly, today's bubble is fundamentally different from the 2000 bubble, although there are striking similarities. Arguably, the dot.com bubble revolved purely around Internet stocks. Today, the bubble is much broader, ranging from old written-off industries to Consumer Tech, being concentrated on Cybersecurity. This makes sense, considering Cybersecurity is a quickly evolving industry with potentially billions of earnings for future winners in the space. The same applies to E-commerce, Fintech, Cloud Computing, Gene Editing, and other major future industries.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68b42d04a15d16c506a4abf4feb58df0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"518\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>This brings me to my next chart: High-flying stars of the early Internet era traded at similar multiples to cloud computing stars of today (when adjusted for monetary changes). However, early market leaders tend to lose competitive advantages in rising industries, in what someresearchersrefer to as \"First to Market First to Fail.\" Here, early entrants typically bury the greatest market and technological uncertainties.</p>\n<p>In other words, no one knows yet how our new industries will look like and how consumer trends will evolve. For instance, Facebook(NASDAQ:FB)was the 10th social networking company, Google(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)the 12th search engine, etc. Thus, today's most promising companies are unlikely to be the most promising companies 10 years from now. It is therefore questionable if current valuations can be supported in the long term.</p>\n<p>This is where I want to introduce Cisco's(NASDAQ:CSCO)example from 1999. At the time, the dominating Internet company briefly became the world's mostvaluablecompany, boasting a market cap of $569 billion. Certainly, the market wasn't being crazy at the time, considering Cisco's impressive growth rates and a trillion dollars industry ahead that was changing the world. An extract from Cisco's annual report in 1999:</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Cisco predicted that the Internet would change the way we work, live, play, and learn. For the fiscal year ending July 31, 1999, Cisco reported revenue of $12.15 billion, a 43 percent increase compared with revenue of $8.49 billion in fiscal 1998. Net income for the year was $2.10 billion or $0.62 per common share, compared with fiscal 1998 net income of $1.35 billion or $0.42 per common share. - CiscoAnnual Report1999\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>Now, at the height of Cisco's valuation, the stock was trading at around 35 times Price to Sales, which is comparable to today's valuations, considering gross margins and growth rates. As with every new industry, competition eventually took market share from Cisco and crushed growth rates, leading to a sequential 87% drop in its share price. Although shares somewhat recovered, Cisco is still trading some 33% below all-time highs 22 years later.</p>\n<p><b>\"Cisco Could Be Safest Net Play Around\" -Bloomberg 1999</b></p>\n<p>Again, that does not necessarily mean that the same will happen to today's stars. After all, early winners like Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)eventually recovered and are now trading well above dot.com levels. However, it is quite unlikely that all of today's stars will also be tomorrow's stars.</p>\n<p>Inflation...</p>\n<p>Arguably, inflation serves as one of the biggest investment risks in today's market. It was somewhat expected that inflation would tick up once the economy starts to recover with consumer spending skyrocketing. In this regard, the consumer price index rose by 5.4% in June, the highest since August 2008. That is well above the 5% rise reported in May and higher than the 4.9% increase that economists initially forecast. This challenges the Federal Reserve's hopes that the burst of inflationary pressures accompanying the economic reopening will be of temporary nature. Earlier, investors and economists have scrutinized the Federal Reserve's aggressive fiscal and monetary policy.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f507c5687771a8a8de99a914be11665\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"411\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Twitter</span></p>\n<p>Fiscal and monetary policy usually serve as driving factors for the creation of bubbles and are simultaneously responsible for their destruction. For instance, in 2000, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates several times; these actions are believed to have caused the bursting of the dot-com bubble. Interestingly, after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, stocks initially rallied. If we draw comparisons, a similar price movement can be observed today in Tech stocks, particularly growth stocks. Here, prominent names have been rising by 50% or more since May, despite the Fedwarningof higher interest rates and the potential for 'significant declines' in asset prices as valuations continue to climb.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a305d90c1f4751d0267c01347a54a33\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>That said, Fed President Jim Bullard expects the first interest rate hike coming as soon as 2022, which would be even faster than the consensusexpectationfor the first increase to happen in 2023. Earlier in March, officials initially indicated that they see no increase happening until at least 2024. In other words, in a matter of months, the timeline for a rate hike has shifted forward by 2 years. Thus, the next few months will be crucial to determine which way the timeline will shift; for now, it appears that the prior date is more likely.</p>\n<p>What about Big Tech?</p>\n<p>The question remains whether Big Tech stocks will be as severely affected during a notable pullback. Interestingly, except Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)and Microsoft, FAANG members, including Facebook, Amazon, and Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX), have been trailing behind in terms of performance, being reflected in the given valuations. Only Apple and Microsoft saw a notable valuation expansion in every significant metric out of the prominent Big Tech names. Here, Apple's P/E and P/S ratio nearly tripled over the last 5 years from 10x to 32x and 2.5x to 7.5x, respectively. These are historical valuation levels and dwarf the valuation expansions of Microsoft and Alphabet, which are supported by growing profitability over the years. However, it should be noticed that Apple's Price to Book Value disproportionately increased as a result of share buybacks.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/596471096e40e42abea97e9ed5a0a6d6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>On the other hand, Facebook and Amazon observed no significant valuation expansion, which can be tied back to regulatory scrutiny and an overall rotation towards high-growth stocks. Thus, since their market betas are lower than other Tech stocks mentioned earlier, these stocks can serve as a safe haven, at least to some extent. However, an overall drop in the market will lead to short-term weakness in every Technology stock, undervalued or not. Nevertheless, stocks that have underperformed in the rally over the last five years are more likely to outperform during a downturn. Moreover, large Tech companies are less sensitive to higher inflation as they will earn higher interest on their cash reserves.</p>\n<p>So What?</p>\n<p>The stock market is always driven by two contradicting emotions: Fear and Optimism. Over the last couple of years, optimism has clearly dominated the Growth/Technology market, yielding impressive returns and widely outperforming stable but profitable companies. However, valuation growth exceeded business growth for many high-growth companies, making various stocks appear increasingly overvalued. While higher valuations can be supported by the acceleration of Technology in the future, striking similarities of the Tech bubble in 2000 make me increasingly cautious of today's market environment.</p>\n<p>Bubble or not, many graphs point to a significant anomaly in valuations, and it will be difficult for companies to justify these sorts of valuations in the long term. More importantly, a heating economy with rising inflation will pressure the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to prevent an economic contraction.</p>\n<p>Nonetheless, investors can protect themselves by rotating back into stable value stocks or Big Tech companies that have underperformed on a relative basis. The issue with every insurance is that you are only being paid in the case of a crash, quite literally. After all, valuations of high-growth stocks could continue rising and those not invested miss out on potential gains. Another viable option could be to rotate back into cash, but the same prior issue applies here. Even those who decide to short stocks have to be careful since an upside ceiling doesn't exist in the market.</p>\n<p>This is the point where I would like to address the risks of my thesis: First, inflation may stabilize quicker than expected, which would push a potential interest rate hike back to 2024 or later. In this case, money will continue to be cheap, which will support higher valuations and the growth market in general. Secondly, companies can scale somewhat faster today, making a historical valuation comparison to early years less relevant. Lastly, I could be underappreciating given growth rates and the ability of management to shake off competition in the long run. Still, given the various uncertainties around valuations, I am more fearful than optimistic at the moment.</p>\n<p>In either way, if you have a different opinion or any counterarguments to my thesis, I'm happy to hear about it in the comment section!</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Big Crash Is Imminent</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Big Crash Is Imminent\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-15 22:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439223-the-big-crash-is-imminent><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe continuous easing of monetary policy inflated various stocks to levels last seen during the dot.com bubble in 2000.\nThe bubble is relatively concentrated and doesn't necessarily pose ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439223-the-big-crash-is-imminent\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439223-the-big-crash-is-imminent","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1155093230","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe continuous easing of monetary policy inflated various stocks to levels last seen during the dot.com bubble in 2000.\nThe bubble is relatively concentrated and doesn't necessarily pose threats to the market as a whole.\nWhile it is clear that there is a strong deviation from historical valuation norms, valuations could continue to rise (at least in the short term).\nThis article is not meant as fear-mongering, and I may very possibly be wrong about my hypothesis.\n\nIt seems that the talk about whether we are in another Tech bubble has been going on for many years. Articles and news calling for the 'crash of the decade' have been condemned as fear-mongering with little substance to them. After all, technology stocks kept on rising, and those who listened missed out on impressive gains. Now, generally speaking, neither have I been too worried about valuations in the best, as fundamentals towards Technology in our society are simply too strong.\nHowever, a lot has changed over the course of the pandemic, which has led me to rethink my perspective. As the global pandemic shut down economies around the world and caused substantial economic contraction, federal banks counteracted by injecting trillions of dollars into the economy in the form of stimulus checks, grants, loans, etc. As a result, fresh liquidity immediately reflected itself in stocks and other market instruments.\nSource: Bloomberg\nThroughout this article, I want to demonstrate a few graphs to strengthen my argument, with the chart above being the first one. The Nasdaq 100 is perhaps the most common index to track the technology market, although it only includes profitable and large-cap Tech stocks. On average, the index currently holds a Price to Sales ratio of 5.7x, levels that the Index last saw in early 2001 after the dot.com bubble began to bust.\nIt is important to note that at the height of the bubble, the ratio stood at 7.5x, around 30% higher than it is right now. Still, the median valuation has been trailing significantly lower, at around 3.5x over the last 20 years. Of course, it can be argued that Technology deserves a higher valuation these days due to the increased use of Technology and perhaps higher growth rates. However, should Technology valuations be nearly 100% higher than just 5 years ago, in 2016, where Technology integration was pretty much at the same level as today?\nProfitability\nIn recent years, unprofitable but growing companies have been favored over mature and profitable companies. Usually, rotations from Growth to Value or the other way around occur every 2-5 years, which is totally unsurprising. Historically, in terms of performance, there has been no significant difference in terms of returns on a risk-adjusted basis - it really does depend on the time period of investing. That said, in the last 5 years, growth outperformed value by a wide margin - by 105% to be exact. I derived this from the 5-year performance chart of Vanguard's Growth ETF vs. Vanguard's Value ETF. This compares with an expected anomaly of 5% annually or a 28% expected anomaly for a 5-year time period.\nSource: Leuthold Group\nUnsurprisingly, the number and market value of unprofitable companies has skyrocketed throughout the last couple of years. Here, the total number of unprofitable firms has skyrocketed to over 200, while their combined value handily beats 2000 levels, reaching nearly $2.5 trillion (3 times higher than in 2000). Of course, there is more money in circulation today, so when accounting for the dollar's real value, they are at comparable levels. Again, either way you twist it, there is a significant anomaly in the value of unprofitable companies in the stock market.\nSource: FT\nAs a result, startups have utilized the opportunity to raise as much money as possible by going public. In total, nearly 900 companies in the U.S. have gone public in 2021, raising over $202 billion collectively. Before, the previous record was set in 2000, when around 600 companies rang the bell. What's even more frightening is the fact that a large portion of IPOs went public through special-purpose acquisition companies (SPACs). Many of these companies were acquired early on, with the only objective to go public as soon as possible. Here, various blank-check companies generate little or no revenues and face a rockier path to raising money through traditional IPOs.\nToday's Bubble\nFrankly, today's bubble is fundamentally different from the 2000 bubble, although there are striking similarities. Arguably, the dot.com bubble revolved purely around Internet stocks. Today, the bubble is much broader, ranging from old written-off industries to Consumer Tech, being concentrated on Cybersecurity. This makes sense, considering Cybersecurity is a quickly evolving industry with potentially billions of earnings for future winners in the space. The same applies to E-commerce, Fintech, Cloud Computing, Gene Editing, and other major future industries.\nData by YCharts\nThis brings me to my next chart: High-flying stars of the early Internet era traded at similar multiples to cloud computing stars of today (when adjusted for monetary changes). However, early market leaders tend to lose competitive advantages in rising industries, in what someresearchersrefer to as \"First to Market First to Fail.\" Here, early entrants typically bury the greatest market and technological uncertainties.\nIn other words, no one knows yet how our new industries will look like and how consumer trends will evolve. For instance, Facebook(NASDAQ:FB)was the 10th social networking company, Google(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL)the 12th search engine, etc. Thus, today's most promising companies are unlikely to be the most promising companies 10 years from now. It is therefore questionable if current valuations can be supported in the long term.\nThis is where I want to introduce Cisco's(NASDAQ:CSCO)example from 1999. At the time, the dominating Internet company briefly became the world's mostvaluablecompany, boasting a market cap of $569 billion. Certainly, the market wasn't being crazy at the time, considering Cisco's impressive growth rates and a trillion dollars industry ahead that was changing the world. An extract from Cisco's annual report in 1999:\n\n \"Cisco predicted that the Internet would change the way we work, live, play, and learn. For the fiscal year ending July 31, 1999, Cisco reported revenue of $12.15 billion, a 43 percent increase compared with revenue of $8.49 billion in fiscal 1998. Net income for the year was $2.10 billion or $0.62 per common share, compared with fiscal 1998 net income of $1.35 billion or $0.42 per common share. - CiscoAnnual Report1999\"\n\nNow, at the height of Cisco's valuation, the stock was trading at around 35 times Price to Sales, which is comparable to today's valuations, considering gross margins and growth rates. As with every new industry, competition eventually took market share from Cisco and crushed growth rates, leading to a sequential 87% drop in its share price. Although shares somewhat recovered, Cisco is still trading some 33% below all-time highs 22 years later.\n\"Cisco Could Be Safest Net Play Around\" -Bloomberg 1999\nAgain, that does not necessarily mean that the same will happen to today's stars. After all, early winners like Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)and Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)eventually recovered and are now trading well above dot.com levels. However, it is quite unlikely that all of today's stars will also be tomorrow's stars.\nInflation...\nArguably, inflation serves as one of the biggest investment risks in today's market. It was somewhat expected that inflation would tick up once the economy starts to recover with consumer spending skyrocketing. In this regard, the consumer price index rose by 5.4% in June, the highest since August 2008. That is well above the 5% rise reported in May and higher than the 4.9% increase that economists initially forecast. This challenges the Federal Reserve's hopes that the burst of inflationary pressures accompanying the economic reopening will be of temporary nature. Earlier, investors and economists have scrutinized the Federal Reserve's aggressive fiscal and monetary policy.\nSource: Twitter\nFiscal and monetary policy usually serve as driving factors for the creation of bubbles and are simultaneously responsible for their destruction. For instance, in 2000, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates several times; these actions are believed to have caused the bursting of the dot-com bubble. Interestingly, after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, stocks initially rallied. If we draw comparisons, a similar price movement can be observed today in Tech stocks, particularly growth stocks. Here, prominent names have been rising by 50% or more since May, despite the Fedwarningof higher interest rates and the potential for 'significant declines' in asset prices as valuations continue to climb.\nData by YCharts\nThat said, Fed President Jim Bullard expects the first interest rate hike coming as soon as 2022, which would be even faster than the consensusexpectationfor the first increase to happen in 2023. Earlier in March, officials initially indicated that they see no increase happening until at least 2024. In other words, in a matter of months, the timeline for a rate hike has shifted forward by 2 years. Thus, the next few months will be crucial to determine which way the timeline will shift; for now, it appears that the prior date is more likely.\nWhat about Big Tech?\nThe question remains whether Big Tech stocks will be as severely affected during a notable pullback. Interestingly, except Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)and Microsoft, FAANG members, including Facebook, Amazon, and Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX), have been trailing behind in terms of performance, being reflected in the given valuations. Only Apple and Microsoft saw a notable valuation expansion in every significant metric out of the prominent Big Tech names. Here, Apple's P/E and P/S ratio nearly tripled over the last 5 years from 10x to 32x and 2.5x to 7.5x, respectively. These are historical valuation levels and dwarf the valuation expansions of Microsoft and Alphabet, which are supported by growing profitability over the years. However, it should be noticed that Apple's Price to Book Value disproportionately increased as a result of share buybacks.\nData by YCharts\nOn the other hand, Facebook and Amazon observed no significant valuation expansion, which can be tied back to regulatory scrutiny and an overall rotation towards high-growth stocks. Thus, since their market betas are lower than other Tech stocks mentioned earlier, these stocks can serve as a safe haven, at least to some extent. However, an overall drop in the market will lead to short-term weakness in every Technology stock, undervalued or not. Nevertheless, stocks that have underperformed in the rally over the last five years are more likely to outperform during a downturn. Moreover, large Tech companies are less sensitive to higher inflation as they will earn higher interest on their cash reserves.\nSo What?\nThe stock market is always driven by two contradicting emotions: Fear and Optimism. Over the last couple of years, optimism has clearly dominated the Growth/Technology market, yielding impressive returns and widely outperforming stable but profitable companies. However, valuation growth exceeded business growth for many high-growth companies, making various stocks appear increasingly overvalued. While higher valuations can be supported by the acceleration of Technology in the future, striking similarities of the Tech bubble in 2000 make me increasingly cautious of today's market environment.\nBubble or not, many graphs point to a significant anomaly in valuations, and it will be difficult for companies to justify these sorts of valuations in the long term. More importantly, a heating economy with rising inflation will pressure the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to prevent an economic contraction.\nNonetheless, investors can protect themselves by rotating back into stable value stocks or Big Tech companies that have underperformed on a relative basis. The issue with every insurance is that you are only being paid in the case of a crash, quite literally. After all, valuations of high-growth stocks could continue rising and those not invested miss out on potential gains. Another viable option could be to rotate back into cash, but the same prior issue applies here. Even those who decide to short stocks have to be careful since an upside ceiling doesn't exist in the market.\nThis is the point where I would like to address the risks of my thesis: First, inflation may stabilize quicker than expected, which would push a potential interest rate hike back to 2024 or later. In this case, money will continue to be cheap, which will support higher valuations and the growth market in general. Secondly, companies can scale somewhat faster today, making a historical valuation comparison to early years less relevant. Lastly, I could be underappreciating given growth rates and the ability of management to shake off competition in the long run. Still, given the various uncertainties around valuations, I am more fearful than optimistic at the moment.\nIn either way, if you have a different opinion or any counterarguments to my thesis, I'm happy to hear about it in the comment section!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148509675,"gmtCreate":1625983791297,"gmtModify":1703751647494,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help like please","listText":"Help like please","text":"Help like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148509675","repostId":"1184476863","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184476863","pubTimestamp":1625967744,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184476863?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:42","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"XPeng: Leader Of Chinese Vehicle Electrification Efforts","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184476863","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters.</li>\n <li>By being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation.</li>\n <li>We continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you’re a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ebea80a575c2b5a2b022a046308936\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Robert Way/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>The aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng (XPEV) to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters. In addition, by being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng also has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. Considering this, we continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you're a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.</p>\n<p><b>Firing On All Cylinders</b></p>\n<p>XPeng is one of the biggest EV manufacturers in China. Currently, it produces an SUV that goes under the name G3 and a sedan that's called P7. In addition, the company plans to release an upgraded version of its SUV called G3i in September and a new family-friendly sedan P5 by the end of the year. Overall, XPeng's stock showed decent results in recent months, as it has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 Index for most of the last year, and is currently up ~5% since our latest&nbsp;article&nbsp;about its business was published in June.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51f7c530182ce2c7abde426fcff7f474\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>Chart: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>One of the biggest achievements of XPeng is that it has managed to successfully navigate through the initial stages of the chip shortage crisis and made a lot of progress on improving its deliveries. The latestdatasuggests that there's still a strong demand for its offerings among tech-savvy Chinese consumers, as in June alone the company delivered a record 6,565 vehicles, an increase of 617% Y/Y. In addition, its Q2 deliveries were 17,398, up 439% Y/Y, while its 1H deliveries were 30,738 vehicles, up 459% Y/Y. Another good news is that the company's Q2 deliveries beat its projections of 15,500 - 16,000 units despite the pandemic and there's every reason to believe that the momentum is very likely to hold until the end of the year at the very least.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0479a72617e0ff9759beb7f820fc0494\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"445\"><span>Source:InsideEVs</span></p>\n<p>The biggest advantage of XPeng is that it operates in China, which is considered to be the biggest EV market in the world. Thanks to it, XPeng doesn't need to outsource its manufacturing or sales to other countries as it has a huge local market to sell to back at home. What's more important is that it also has strong governmental support, as some of its manufacturing facilities that are currently being built were co-financed by Chinese local governments. By receiving such help, XPeng is now on track to complete its third manufacturing facility in Wuhan, which will help it to reach an annual capacity of at least 300,000 vehicles. For comparison, Tesla (TSLA) in 2020 sold only 137,000 Model 3s in China. Therefore, an increase of the capacity to such substantial numbers signals that XPeng is ready to tackle the competition and increase its traction across the mainland going forward.</p>\n<p>Another important fact is that XPeng is more technologically advanced in China than Tesla and others. Almost half of its R&amp;D workforce works on autonomous driving software, and as a result, the company has managed to develop one of the most advanced navigation systems, which should help it to become one of the first to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. On top of that, over 5 million kilometers were alreadydrivenwith the help of the navigation system since its launch earlier this year, and the latest version of the software can now automaticallyparkthe car in garages without human help if it remembers the spot in which the vehicle was parked before.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>As for the risks, we see a couple of them. First of all, XPengtradesat a price-to-sales ratio of ~16x and could be considered richly valued at its current market cap of around $37 billion. For that reason, it's not a good investment for long-term value shareholders, and for those who don't want to expose their portfolios to Chinese assets.</p>\n<p>In addition, there's a risk that the start of the potential China-US trade war could prevent XPeng from accessing the US capital markets, as its current shares could be delisted. To tackle this issue, the company just recentlyraisednearly $2 billion by executing another IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange with a double main listing structure. This will help the company not only to have an access to the major capital market, but it will also give the Chinese mainland investors the ability to buy the stock through the Hong Kong Stock Connect, which should boost XPeng's valuation in the near future. On top of that, since XPeng's business doesn't have major exposure to outside markets, the blowback from the potential trade war will be minimal.</p>\n<p><b>Takeaway</b></p>\n<p>Despite those risks, we should not forget that China is on track to significantly decrease its carbon footprint in the next four decades. Therefore, it's safe to assume that the penetration rate of electric vehicles on Chinese roads is only going to increase in the following decades. As a result, we believe that there's plenty of room for XPeng to drive growth at this stage, and considering its great performance in Q2, we also believe that it has all the chances to become one of the biggest EV manufacturers in the region.</p>\n<p>The latest forecast suggests that XPeng could increase its revenues by 364% from $0.9 million in FY20 to $4.18 billion in FY22, while its EPS loss is also expected todecreasefrom -$0.33 in Q2'21 to only -$0.06 in Q3 and Q4. On top of that, the companyhad$5.12 billion in cash at the end of Q1, only $497 million in long-term debt, and thanks to the recent Honk Kong offering its liquidity position is already around $7 billion. As a result, XPeng doesn't have an overleveraged balance sheet, and thanks to the influx of new cash it's very unlikely that it'll be required to raise new debt or dilute its shareholders by offering new shares to fund its expansion. Therefore, we believe that its stock could be considered a growth play, especially since it has beenaddedto FTSE's indexes recently, which should help it to attract more attention from institutional investors.</p>\n<p>With all of this in mind, we also think that right now is a good entry point to purchase the company's shares, as the likely increase in deliveries and capacity along with the launch of the upcoming P5 sedan in the following months could push its stock to higher levels. For that reason, we have no plans to cover our long position in XPeng anytime soon.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>XPeng: Leader Of Chinese Vehicle Electrification Efforts</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXPeng: Leader Of Chinese Vehicle Electrification Efforts\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-11 09:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438413-xpeng-leader-of-chinese-vehicle-electrification-efforts><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters.\nBy being one ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438413-xpeng-leader-of-chinese-vehicle-electrification-efforts\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","09868":"小鹏汽车-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438413-xpeng-leader-of-chinese-vehicle-electrification-efforts","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184476863","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters.\nBy being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation.\nWe continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you’re a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.\n\nRobert Way/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng (XPEV) to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters. In addition, by being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng also has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. Considering this, we continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you're a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.\nFiring On All Cylinders\nXPeng is one of the biggest EV manufacturers in China. Currently, it produces an SUV that goes under the name G3 and a sedan that's called P7. In addition, the company plans to release an upgraded version of its SUV called G3i in September and a new family-friendly sedan P5 by the end of the year. Overall, XPeng's stock showed decent results in recent months, as it has outperformed the S&P 500 Index for most of the last year, and is currently up ~5% since our latest article about its business was published in June.\nChart: Seeking Alpha\nOne of the biggest achievements of XPeng is that it has managed to successfully navigate through the initial stages of the chip shortage crisis and made a lot of progress on improving its deliveries. The latestdatasuggests that there's still a strong demand for its offerings among tech-savvy Chinese consumers, as in June alone the company delivered a record 6,565 vehicles, an increase of 617% Y/Y. In addition, its Q2 deliveries were 17,398, up 439% Y/Y, while its 1H deliveries were 30,738 vehicles, up 459% Y/Y. Another good news is that the company's Q2 deliveries beat its projections of 15,500 - 16,000 units despite the pandemic and there's every reason to believe that the momentum is very likely to hold until the end of the year at the very least.\nSource:InsideEVs\nThe biggest advantage of XPeng is that it operates in China, which is considered to be the biggest EV market in the world. Thanks to it, XPeng doesn't need to outsource its manufacturing or sales to other countries as it has a huge local market to sell to back at home. What's more important is that it also has strong governmental support, as some of its manufacturing facilities that are currently being built were co-financed by Chinese local governments. By receiving such help, XPeng is now on track to complete its third manufacturing facility in Wuhan, which will help it to reach an annual capacity of at least 300,000 vehicles. For comparison, Tesla (TSLA) in 2020 sold only 137,000 Model 3s in China. Therefore, an increase of the capacity to such substantial numbers signals that XPeng is ready to tackle the competition and increase its traction across the mainland going forward.\nAnother important fact is that XPeng is more technologically advanced in China than Tesla and others. Almost half of its R&D workforce works on autonomous driving software, and as a result, the company has managed to develop one of the most advanced navigation systems, which should help it to become one of the first to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. On top of that, over 5 million kilometers were alreadydrivenwith the help of the navigation system since its launch earlier this year, and the latest version of the software can now automaticallyparkthe car in garages without human help if it remembers the spot in which the vehicle was parked before.\nRisks\nAs for the risks, we see a couple of them. First of all, XPengtradesat a price-to-sales ratio of ~16x and could be considered richly valued at its current market cap of around $37 billion. For that reason, it's not a good investment for long-term value shareholders, and for those who don't want to expose their portfolios to Chinese assets.\nIn addition, there's a risk that the start of the potential China-US trade war could prevent XPeng from accessing the US capital markets, as its current shares could be delisted. To tackle this issue, the company just recentlyraisednearly $2 billion by executing another IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange with a double main listing structure. This will help the company not only to have an access to the major capital market, but it will also give the Chinese mainland investors the ability to buy the stock through the Hong Kong Stock Connect, which should boost XPeng's valuation in the near future. On top of that, since XPeng's business doesn't have major exposure to outside markets, the blowback from the potential trade war will be minimal.\nTakeaway\nDespite those risks, we should not forget that China is on track to significantly decrease its carbon footprint in the next four decades. Therefore, it's safe to assume that the penetration rate of electric vehicles on Chinese roads is only going to increase in the following decades. As a result, we believe that there's plenty of room for XPeng to drive growth at this stage, and considering its great performance in Q2, we also believe that it has all the chances to become one of the biggest EV manufacturers in the region.\nThe latest forecast suggests that XPeng could increase its revenues by 364% from $0.9 million in FY20 to $4.18 billion in FY22, while its EPS loss is also expected todecreasefrom -$0.33 in Q2'21 to only -$0.06 in Q3 and Q4. On top of that, the companyhad$5.12 billion in cash at the end of Q1, only $497 million in long-term debt, and thanks to the recent Honk Kong offering its liquidity position is already around $7 billion. As a result, XPeng doesn't have an overleveraged balance sheet, and thanks to the influx of new cash it's very unlikely that it'll be required to raise new debt or dilute its shareholders by offering new shares to fund its expansion. Therefore, we believe that its stock could be considered a growth play, especially since it has beenaddedto FTSE's indexes recently, which should help it to attract more attention from institutional investors.\nWith all of this in mind, we also think that right now is a good entry point to purchase the company's shares, as the likely increase in deliveries and capacity along with the launch of the upcoming P5 sedan in the following months could push its stock to higher levels. For that reason, we have no plans to cover our long position in XPeng anytime soon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":93,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170560562,"gmtCreate":1626442866156,"gmtModify":1703760260321,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please&nbsp;","listText":"Like please&nbsp;","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170560562","repostId":"1171115394","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171115394","pubTimestamp":1626441684,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171115394?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 21:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors Feel Almost No Risk Of Long-Term U.S. Stock Market Downside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171115394","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1990. This gives most value investors pause, but momentum investors are following this trend.</li>\n <li>Any investor who believes in the concept of reversion to the mean will be terrified by how clearly overvalued the US is.</li>\n <li>The current long-term US government bond rate of 1.5% is clearly supporting share prices. Suppose it was to reverse that, it would spell the end of this current market peak.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In apoll of my followers on LinkedInand Twitter, I asked, \"What US S&amp;P500 average annual return do you expect over the next 10 years?\" At the most extremes, 18% expected greater than 10%, while only 7% said less than zero percent. The majority said from 5-10%. In fact, most people see strong positive returns going forward.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ad66b8ae3f6ba781bf8dc6539440157\" tg-width=\"654\" tg-height=\"406\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>But EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is way above average</span></p>\n<p>But EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is way above average</p>\n<p>The current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1990. This gives most value investors pause, but momentum investors are following this trend. Any investor who believes in the concept of reversion to the mean will be terrified by how clearly overvalued the US is.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/455b1c6e46a203eac21cf1558f19a8b6\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The market hasn't touched the Shiller CAPE 2000 peak</p>\n<p>Robert Shiller's cyclically adjusted PE ratio (CAPE) is now approaching 35x. It was only higher when it hit 42x during the dot com bubble in 2000. Consider that in 2000, US government long-term bonds were yielding about 5%, versus the current 1.5%. From this chart, you can see that the US market has been in a long bull run since the 1979 interest rate peak.</p>\n<p>A fundamental investor knows that the value of a stock is largely dependent on the discount rate, which depends on the US bond rates. The current long-term US government bond rate of 1.5% is clearly supporting share prices. Suppose it was to reverse that, it would spell the end of this current market peak. Based on this chart, a fundamental investor would say that the US market is now significantly overvalued.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fadd296792cb1ac8c32a0fd2505f479\" tg-width=\"648\" tg-height=\"404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Though expensive, we are not in uncharted territory</p>\n<p>We calculated the US stock market EV/EBITDA for each month from 1990 to today. We then broke those into ten deciles from cheapest month to most expensive. After that, we asked, \"How often was the market trading in that state?\" We found that 20% of the time, the US market traded in the decile of 8.1x to 8.8x EV/EBITA. Twelve percent of the time, the market traded below 8.1x, and 14% of the time, the market was trading above the most expensive decile &gt;12.3x. At 17.2x EV/EBITDA multiple, the US market is clearly expensive.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afb8b967176a977c3e3aae8221fd54c9\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Today's buyers may not see positive returns</p>\n<p>We next asked, \"What were the forward returns earned if an investor were to buy the market at each decile?\" The results show that if you invested at the most common decile (8.1x to 8.8), you would have earned a 15% return over one year and 35% over five years.</p>\n<p>Those subsequent returns start to fall once the EV/EBTIDA rises above this decile (buying an expensive market means less gain). And most importantly, when the market trades in the most expensive decile (where we are now), subsequent 1, 2, and 3 returns were negative. An investor would have to wait five years to get a return only slightly above zero. A fundamental investor would consider this information and have a relatively negative view of the stock market.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee9eb026eb46cdd09709d7677a5ae00b\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee9eb026eb46cdd09709d7677a5ae00b\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Recent EPS collapse has been much shorter time</p>\n<p>The next chart considers the five main falls in earnings per share since 1900. One conclusion is that the fall in EPS has become less protracted. The Great Depression saw a four-year decline in earnings, while earnings fell for only 2 years from the 2000 peak and the 2007 peak. It is also fascinating to see that there was only a 20% fall in earnings in 2020, and that fall only happened over one year (2021 earnings are recovering).</p>\n<p>A fundamental investor could look at this chart and think that the recent crisis was quite minimal. This is partly because some sectors (info tech), some quality (high cash companies) and some size (large) companies did very well during this recent crisis. In addition, since many small or weak companies got destroyed, the supply of products and services has been reduced, which leads to strong pricing power for those that remain.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/445a232da0f6b76431ae38194fde2e22\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Margin recovery is in place</p>\n<p>The net margins of corporate America have been on the rise since 1990. Over the past decade, they have averaged about 8%. The shaded areas on this chart show the period from peak to trough of net margin. The most significant thing about this chart is that the margin collapse is done and the margin recovery is underway. It is debatable whether the margin can recover to the prior peaks, but it is not unreasonable to say that the margin recovery has further to go. This could be positive for the US stock market.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbe8d0714e329dbc65b118f09f807e3f\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors Feel Almost No Risk Of Long-Term U.S. Stock Market Downside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors Feel Almost No Risk Of Long-Term U.S. Stock Market Downside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 21:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439518-investors-feel-almost-no-risk-of-long-term-u-s-stock-market-downside><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1990. This gives most value investors pause, but momentum investors are following this trend.\nAny ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439518-investors-feel-almost-no-risk-of-long-term-u-s-stock-market-downside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439518-investors-feel-almost-no-risk-of-long-term-u-s-stock-market-downside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1171115394","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1990. This gives most value investors pause, but momentum investors are following this trend.\nAny investor who believes in the concept of reversion to the mean will be terrified by how clearly overvalued the US is.\nThe current long-term US government bond rate of 1.5% is clearly supporting share prices. Suppose it was to reverse that, it would spell the end of this current market peak.\n\nIn apoll of my followers on LinkedInand Twitter, I asked, \"What US S&P500 average annual return do you expect over the next 10 years?\" At the most extremes, 18% expected greater than 10%, while only 7% said less than zero percent. The majority said from 5-10%. In fact, most people see strong positive returns going forward.\nBut EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is way above average\nBut EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is way above average\nThe current trailing US EV/EBITDA at 17.2x is very high compared to its 10x average since 1990. This gives most value investors pause, but momentum investors are following this trend. Any investor who believes in the concept of reversion to the mean will be terrified by how clearly overvalued the US is.\n\nThe market hasn't touched the Shiller CAPE 2000 peak\nRobert Shiller's cyclically adjusted PE ratio (CAPE) is now approaching 35x. It was only higher when it hit 42x during the dot com bubble in 2000. Consider that in 2000, US government long-term bonds were yielding about 5%, versus the current 1.5%. From this chart, you can see that the US market has been in a long bull run since the 1979 interest rate peak.\nA fundamental investor knows that the value of a stock is largely dependent on the discount rate, which depends on the US bond rates. The current long-term US government bond rate of 1.5% is clearly supporting share prices. Suppose it was to reverse that, it would spell the end of this current market peak. Based on this chart, a fundamental investor would say that the US market is now significantly overvalued.\n\nThough expensive, we are not in uncharted territory\nWe calculated the US stock market EV/EBITDA for each month from 1990 to today. We then broke those into ten deciles from cheapest month to most expensive. After that, we asked, \"How often was the market trading in that state?\" We found that 20% of the time, the US market traded in the decile of 8.1x to 8.8x EV/EBITA. Twelve percent of the time, the market traded below 8.1x, and 14% of the time, the market was trading above the most expensive decile >12.3x. At 17.2x EV/EBITDA multiple, the US market is clearly expensive.\n\nToday's buyers may not see positive returns\nWe next asked, \"What were the forward returns earned if an investor were to buy the market at each decile?\" The results show that if you invested at the most common decile (8.1x to 8.8), you would have earned a 15% return over one year and 35% over five years.\nThose subsequent returns start to fall once the EV/EBTIDA rises above this decile (buying an expensive market means less gain). And most importantly, when the market trades in the most expensive decile (where we are now), subsequent 1, 2, and 3 returns were negative. An investor would have to wait five years to get a return only slightly above zero. A fundamental investor would consider this information and have a relatively negative view of the stock market.\n.\n\nRecent EPS collapse has been much shorter time\nThe next chart considers the five main falls in earnings per share since 1900. One conclusion is that the fall in EPS has become less protracted. The Great Depression saw a four-year decline in earnings, while earnings fell for only 2 years from the 2000 peak and the 2007 peak. It is also fascinating to see that there was only a 20% fall in earnings in 2020, and that fall only happened over one year (2021 earnings are recovering).\nA fundamental investor could look at this chart and think that the recent crisis was quite minimal. This is partly because some sectors (info tech), some quality (high cash companies) and some size (large) companies did very well during this recent crisis. In addition, since many small or weak companies got destroyed, the supply of products and services has been reduced, which leads to strong pricing power for those that remain.\n\nMargin recovery is in place\nThe net margins of corporate America have been on the rise since 1990. Over the past decade, they have averaged about 8%. The shaded areas on this chart show the period from peak to trough of net margin. The most significant thing about this chart is that the margin collapse is done and the margin recovery is underway. It is debatable whether the margin can recover to the prior peaks, but it is not unreasonable to say that the margin recovery has further to go. This could be positive for the US stock market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148814348,"gmtCreate":1625966738384,"gmtModify":1703751274230,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yessss","listText":"Yessss","text":"Yessss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148814348","repostId":"1176789091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176789091","pubTimestamp":1625966668,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176789091?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Could The iPad Be Apple’s Best Performer in Fiscal Q3?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176789091","media":"TheStreet","summary":"The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.\nTh","content":"<p>The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.</p>\n<p>The Apple Maven continues its preview of the Cupertino company’s fiscal third quarter earnings day. So far, we have discussed (1)Wall Street’s expectationsfor revenues and earnings and (2) the expected performance of the iPhone in the quarter.</p>\n<p>Today, we address what could be Apple’s most successful product category in the third fiscal period of 2021: the iPad.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/544b629337019373222b755bf493104b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"630\"><span>Figure 1: The latest iPad Pro model.</span></p>\n<p>The 2020 pandemic has made winners of tech companies that managed to capitalize on shifting consumer behavior – also known as the “stay at home” trends. This partially explains why iPad revenues have shot through the roof in the past several quarters: growth of at least 30% since fiscal Q2 last year.</p>\n<p>For starters,it has become increasingly obviousthat consumers are not returning to old spending habits, even as the COVID-19 crisis gets closer to an end. Therefore, I see no reason to doubt that iPad sales will impress once again this time, although the growth rate will be partially eclipsed by tough 2020 comps.</p>\n<p>But the story does not end with the effects of the pandemic. The chart below shows that, since around 2017, Apple has been able to reignite demand for its tablets. Even in 2019, before the pandemic turned the world upside down, iPad sales had already been growing at a respectable 13% pace.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b463e314374d0f90f3cedbd13430a0ae\" tg-width=\"631\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Figure 2: iPad revenue in millions U.S dollars.</span></p>\n<p>The rebirth of the tablet business, I will be frank,caught me by surprise. The phenomenon can be probably attributed to technological advancements allowing products like the iPad to better replace personal computers (more storage, better graphics, fast processor speed) and even smartphones (wider range of screen sizes, better cameras, introduction of 5G capability).</p>\n<p>Case in point, Research and Marketsbelievesthat tablet revenues across the industry will continue to grow at a CAGR of over 10% through 2023. This is quite an improvement from the days that iPad sales were declining sharply, between 2014 and 2018.</p>\n<p>Lastly, Apple may have performed even better than its tablet competitors in the most recent quarter. First, the company has provenmore capable of managing its supply chain, which could be a plus during times of component shortages.</p>\n<p>But also, Applereleased its new M1-equipped iPad Pro in April. Consumers have been more willing to pay up for better mobile devices lately, which might bode well for Apple’s top-of-the-line tablet. In fact, the iPad’s two percentage pointgainin market share in June could be explained by this product launch.</p>\n<p>With the most recent tablet release, the entire iPad lineup (except for the less relevant mini version) is only about nine months old today. On the back of a strong product portfolio, the iPad could very well be the brightest star on Apple’s fiscal third quarter earnings day.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Could The iPad Be Apple’s Best Performer in Fiscal Q3?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCould The iPad Be Apple’s Best Performer in Fiscal Q3?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-11 09:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/other-products/could-the-ipad-be-apples-best-performer-in-fiscal-q3><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.\nThe Apple Maven continues its preview of the Cupertino company’s fiscal third quarter earnings day. So...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/other-products/could-the-ipad-be-apples-best-performer-in-fiscal-q3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/other-products/could-the-ipad-be-apples-best-performer-in-fiscal-q3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176789091","content_text":"The Apple Maven believes that the iPad could be Apple’s best performer in fiscal Q3. Here is why.\nThe Apple Maven continues its preview of the Cupertino company’s fiscal third quarter earnings day. So far, we have discussed (1)Wall Street’s expectationsfor revenues and earnings and (2) the expected performance of the iPhone in the quarter.\nToday, we address what could be Apple’s most successful product category in the third fiscal period of 2021: the iPad.\nFigure 1: The latest iPad Pro model.\nThe 2020 pandemic has made winners of tech companies that managed to capitalize on shifting consumer behavior – also known as the “stay at home” trends. This partially explains why iPad revenues have shot through the roof in the past several quarters: growth of at least 30% since fiscal Q2 last year.\nFor starters,it has become increasingly obviousthat consumers are not returning to old spending habits, even as the COVID-19 crisis gets closer to an end. Therefore, I see no reason to doubt that iPad sales will impress once again this time, although the growth rate will be partially eclipsed by tough 2020 comps.\nBut the story does not end with the effects of the pandemic. The chart below shows that, since around 2017, Apple has been able to reignite demand for its tablets. Even in 2019, before the pandemic turned the world upside down, iPad sales had already been growing at a respectable 13% pace.\nFigure 2: iPad revenue in millions U.S dollars.\nThe rebirth of the tablet business, I will be frank,caught me by surprise. The phenomenon can be probably attributed to technological advancements allowing products like the iPad to better replace personal computers (more storage, better graphics, fast processor speed) and even smartphones (wider range of screen sizes, better cameras, introduction of 5G capability).\nCase in point, Research and Marketsbelievesthat tablet revenues across the industry will continue to grow at a CAGR of over 10% through 2023. This is quite an improvement from the days that iPad sales were declining sharply, between 2014 and 2018.\nLastly, Apple may have performed even better than its tablet competitors in the most recent quarter. First, the company has provenmore capable of managing its supply chain, which could be a plus during times of component shortages.\nBut also, Applereleased its new M1-equipped iPad Pro in April. Consumers have been more willing to pay up for better mobile devices lately, which might bode well for Apple’s top-of-the-line tablet. In fact, the iPad’s two percentage pointgainin market share in June could be explained by this product launch.\nWith the most recent tablet release, the entire iPad lineup (except for the less relevant mini version) is only about nine months old today. On the back of a strong product portfolio, the iPad could very well be the brightest star on Apple’s fiscal third quarter earnings day.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809882423,"gmtCreate":1627358119362,"gmtModify":1703488321846,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What will happen?","listText":"What will happen?","text":"What will happen?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809882423","repostId":"1103996297","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103996297","pubTimestamp":1627357394,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103996297?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-27 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103996297","media":"CNN","summary":"New York Goldman Sachs  slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.During the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.That's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said G","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p>\n<p>During the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.</p>\n<p>But in normal times, consumers spend much more on services like concerts or dining out —and the big spending on goods that has defined the pandemic recovery so far isn't sustainable to keep the US economy growing.</p>\n<p>That's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker on Monday in a note to clients. But fears around the Delta variant are keeping services spending down.</p>\n<p>\"The services categories where spending remains depressed are generally either associated with high virus risk, such as live entertainment events, or connected to office-based work, such as ground transportation or dry cleaners,\" Walker wrote.</p>\n<p>In response, Goldman slashed its gross domestic product growth forecast, the widest measure of economic activity, by one percentage point in both the third and fourth quarters.</p>\n<p>Between July and September, the Wall Street bank expected 8.5% annualized growth, before dropping to 5% in the last three months of the year. For the full year, Goldman predicts 6.6% GDP growth.</p>\n<p>From 2022 on, the pace of expansion will slow further, trending back toward the 1.5% to 2% annualized growth what the nation typically saw before the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Even though roughly half of Americans are fully vaccinated, cases are rising. In 48 states, the rate of new Covid-19 cases in the past week jumped by at least 10% compared to the previous week, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In 34 of those states, the rate of new cases increased by more than 50%.</p>\n<p>The rise of infections through the variant is coming at an inopportune time: The economy is still not back to normal, and the resurgence of infections could keep people from fully participating in the economy.</p>\n<p>\"While most consumers appear to be comfortable returning to high-contact services, some are still hesitant,\" said Walker. \"They are likely to remain cautious for now as the spread of the Delta variant keeps Covid fears alive, delaying a full recovery.\"</p>\n<p>At the same time, Goldman's economists believe the Delta variant's impact on the economy will be somewhat limited: \"Appetite for new government-mandated restrictions appears low; early state-level evidence shows little impact on consumer spending so far; and the virus situation already appears to be improving in the United Kingdom and other countries where it spread earliest,\" Walker wrote.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-27 11:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/26/economy/goldman-sachs-services-economy-delta/index.html><strong>CNN</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/26/economy/goldman-sachs-services-economy-delta/index.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/26/economy/goldman-sachs-services-economy-delta/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103996297","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.\nDuring the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.\nBut in normal times, consumers spend much more on services like concerts or dining out —and the big spending on goods that has defined the pandemic recovery so far isn't sustainable to keep the US economy growing.\nThat's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker on Monday in a note to clients. But fears around the Delta variant are keeping services spending down.\n\"The services categories where spending remains depressed are generally either associated with high virus risk, such as live entertainment events, or connected to office-based work, such as ground transportation or dry cleaners,\" Walker wrote.\nIn response, Goldman slashed its gross domestic product growth forecast, the widest measure of economic activity, by one percentage point in both the third and fourth quarters.\nBetween July and September, the Wall Street bank expected 8.5% annualized growth, before dropping to 5% in the last three months of the year. For the full year, Goldman predicts 6.6% GDP growth.\nFrom 2022 on, the pace of expansion will slow further, trending back toward the 1.5% to 2% annualized growth what the nation typically saw before the pandemic.\nEven though roughly half of Americans are fully vaccinated, cases are rising. In 48 states, the rate of new Covid-19 cases in the past week jumped by at least 10% compared to the previous week, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In 34 of those states, the rate of new cases increased by more than 50%.\nThe rise of infections through the variant is coming at an inopportune time: The economy is still not back to normal, and the resurgence of infections could keep people from fully participating in the economy.\n\"While most consumers appear to be comfortable returning to high-contact services, some are still hesitant,\" said Walker. \"They are likely to remain cautious for now as the spread of the Delta variant keeps Covid fears alive, delaying a full recovery.\"\nAt the same time, Goldman's economists believe the Delta variant's impact on the economy will be somewhat limited: \"Appetite for new government-mandated restrictions appears low; early state-level evidence shows little impact on consumer spending so far; and the virus situation already appears to be improving in the United Kingdom and other countries where it spread earliest,\" Walker wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809662961,"gmtCreate":1627366581553,"gmtModify":1703488476817,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep ask me.leave comment. After left, nvr give me coin?","listText":"Keep ask me.leave comment. After left, nvr give me coin?","text":"Keep ask me.leave comment. After left, nvr give me coin?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809662961","repostId":"2154309969","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809860340,"gmtCreate":1627358314580,"gmtModify":1703488327508,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment at where?","listText":"Comment at where?","text":"Comment at where?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809860340","repostId":"1124522176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124522176","pubTimestamp":1627355553,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124522176?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-27 11:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hershey Earnings: What to Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124522176","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Hershey(NYSE:HSY)shareholders are in for a treat. The confectioner is set to announce earnings resul","content":"<p><b>Hershey</b>(NYSE:HSY)shareholders are in for a treat. The confectioner is set to announce earnings results for the second quarter on Thursday, July 29. And if its recent momentum is any guide, that report might include strong sales and earnings growth, along with another upgrade to management's 2021 forecast.</p>\n<p>Let's take a closer look.</p>\n<p>More mobility</p>\n<p>There's every reason to expect big sales numbers in Thursday's announcement. Hershey said back in April that its portfolio was resonating with consumers, especially as they increased mobility following the lifting of COVID-19 social distancing efforts. Its baking products continued to sell well through early April, but on-the-go purchases like candies, mints, and gums started booming. Overall organic sales were up 13% last quarter.</p>\n<p>Look for slower, but still impressive, gains on Thursday. Most investors who follow the stock are expecting sales to rise about 5% to $1.8 billion. That performance would keep Hershey near the top of the snack food niche.<b>PepsiCo</b>, for context, just announced a6% boostin its U.S. snack segment through mid-June.</p>\n<p>Beyond that headline sales figure, watch for Hershey's comments on market share and on the balance between rising sales volumes and prices. Ideally, volume will lead the way higher even as prices increase.</p>\n<p>Profit check-in</p>\n<p>Most globalconsumer staplespeers, including PepsiCo, are posting higher margins right now, but Hershey hasn't yet cashed in on that trend. Gross profit dipped slightly in the second quarter, in fact, which held bottom-line profitability in check.</p>\n<p>That situation likely improved in recent months thanks to rising prices and a demand tilt toward higher-margin, on-the-go candies and snacks. Most packaged food peers, from<b>Coca-Cola</b>, to<b>McCormick</b>, are seeing a lift from these shifts. Hershey won't be left out of the party.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f8a32471591d4b0092cce99e3766887\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"482\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>HSY OPERATING MARGIN (TTM)DATA BYYCHARTS</span></p>\n<p>Most investors are looking for earnings to jump to $1.44 per share from $1.31 per share a year ago. But the bigger question is whether Hershey can return to setting record operating margins by late 2021.</p>\n<p>The new outlook</p>\n<p>Heading into this report, CEO Michele Buck and her team's outlook is calling for sales to rise by between 4% and 6% this year, up from their prior forecast of a 2% to 4% uptick. A strong Q2 outing for the business might spur another modest increase to that prediction on Thursday.</p>\n<p>The earnings outlook was also lifted in April and might get another boost this week, especially if consumers don't balk at Hershey's latest round of price increases.</p>\n<p>Looking further out, the company can reasonably target accelerating sales and earnings growth this year following modest increases during the COVID-19 pandemic. Hershey isn't the cheapest or fastest-growing stock in its niche with those kinds of prospects. McCormick and PepsiCo have lower valuations even though they're expanding sales and earnings at a faster clip.</p>\n<p>But investors still might want to follow Hershey's report this week for signs that the business is on a sustainably stronger path. That's the surest way the company can earn the stock price rally that's seen it outperform most of its rivals over the past year.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hershey Earnings: What to Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHershey Earnings: What to Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-27 11:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/26/hershey-earnings-what-to-watch/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hershey(NYSE:HSY)shareholders are in for a treat. The confectioner is set to announce earnings results for the second quarter on Thursday, July 29. And if its recent momentum is any guide, that report...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/26/hershey-earnings-what-to-watch/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSY":"好时"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/26/hershey-earnings-what-to-watch/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124522176","content_text":"Hershey(NYSE:HSY)shareholders are in for a treat. The confectioner is set to announce earnings results for the second quarter on Thursday, July 29. And if its recent momentum is any guide, that report might include strong sales and earnings growth, along with another upgrade to management's 2021 forecast.\nLet's take a closer look.\nMore mobility\nThere's every reason to expect big sales numbers in Thursday's announcement. Hershey said back in April that its portfolio was resonating with consumers, especially as they increased mobility following the lifting of COVID-19 social distancing efforts. Its baking products continued to sell well through early April, but on-the-go purchases like candies, mints, and gums started booming. Overall organic sales were up 13% last quarter.\nLook for slower, but still impressive, gains on Thursday. Most investors who follow the stock are expecting sales to rise about 5% to $1.8 billion. That performance would keep Hershey near the top of the snack food niche.PepsiCo, for context, just announced a6% boostin its U.S. snack segment through mid-June.\nBeyond that headline sales figure, watch for Hershey's comments on market share and on the balance between rising sales volumes and prices. Ideally, volume will lead the way higher even as prices increase.\nProfit check-in\nMost globalconsumer staplespeers, including PepsiCo, are posting higher margins right now, but Hershey hasn't yet cashed in on that trend. Gross profit dipped slightly in the second quarter, in fact, which held bottom-line profitability in check.\nThat situation likely improved in recent months thanks to rising prices and a demand tilt toward higher-margin, on-the-go candies and snacks. Most packaged food peers, fromCoca-Cola, toMcCormick, are seeing a lift from these shifts. Hershey won't be left out of the party.\nHSY OPERATING MARGIN (TTM)DATA BYYCHARTS\nMost investors are looking for earnings to jump to $1.44 per share from $1.31 per share a year ago. But the bigger question is whether Hershey can return to setting record operating margins by late 2021.\nThe new outlook\nHeading into this report, CEO Michele Buck and her team's outlook is calling for sales to rise by between 4% and 6% this year, up from their prior forecast of a 2% to 4% uptick. A strong Q2 outing for the business might spur another modest increase to that prediction on Thursday.\nThe earnings outlook was also lifted in April and might get another boost this week, especially if consumers don't balk at Hershey's latest round of price increases.\nLooking further out, the company can reasonably target accelerating sales and earnings growth this year following modest increases during the COVID-19 pandemic. Hershey isn't the cheapest or fastest-growing stock in its niche with those kinds of prospects. McCormick and PepsiCo have lower valuations even though they're expanding sales and earnings at a faster clip.\nBut investors still might want to follow Hershey's report this week for signs that the business is on a sustainably stronger path. That's the surest way the company can earn the stock price rally that's seen it outperform most of its rivals over the past year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809882671,"gmtCreate":1627358092693,"gmtModify":1703488321523,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What.does.it.mean","listText":"What.does.it.mean","text":"What.does.it.mean","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809882671","repostId":"2154964378","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2154964378","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627332217,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2154964378?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-27 04:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Indexes notch closing record highs as key earnings, Fed meet eyed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2154964378","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, July 26 (Reuters) - All three major U.S. stock indexes eked out record closing highs for a","content":"<p>NEW YORK, July 26 (Reuters) - All three major U.S. stock indexes eked out record closing highs for a second straight session on Monday as investors were optimistic heading into a slew of earnings from heavyweight technology and internet names this week, while caution ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting kept the market in check.</p>\n<p>More than <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-third of the S&amp;P 500 was set to report quarterly results this week, including Apple Inc , Microsoft Corp , Amazon.com Inc and Google parent Alphabet Inc , the four largest U.S. companies by market value. Apple rose 0.3%.</p>\n<p>Shares of Tesla Inc, which reported quarterly results after the market close, were up about 1% in after-hours trading. The stock ended the regular session up 2.2%.</p>\n<p>The vast majority of second-quarter earnings have handily beaten analysts' expectations so far, bumping up the already huge projected growth for the second quarter, according to Refinitiv data.</p>\n<p>\"We continue to see positive surprises, and even with a lot of optimism and increased estimates going into earnings season, we're still seeing companies exceed those expectations,\" said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York, New York.</p>\n<p>\"As we get into the heart of (the earnings season) and we get industrials and more cyclical names, it will be interesting to see not only how much there is in terms of recovery but also is there any impact from some of these issues, meaning inflation, the spike in prices.\"</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a> Co, up 0.6%, is due to report on Tuesday while Boeing Co, up 2%, is set to report on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>A two-day meeting of the Fed starts on Tuesday, and all eyes may be on whether the central bank expresses any new concerns about high inflation when it concludes its gathering on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>In June, the Fed indicated it may start raising rates two times in 2023, which was sooner than previously expected.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;rose 82.76 points, or 0.24%, to 35,144.31, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;gained 10.51 points, or 0.24%, to 4,422.3 and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;added 3.72 points, or 0.03%, to 14,840.71.</p>\n<p>Continued optimism over second-quarter earnings has helped offset recent concerns over the market impact of the Delta variant of COVID-19.</p>\n<p>U.S.-listed Chinese shares fell after Beijing last week announced new rules on private tutoring and online education firms, the latest in a series of crackdowns on the technology sector that have roiled financial markets.</p>\n<p>E-commerce company Alibaba Group &nbsp;and search engine Baidu Inc&nbsp;, two of the largest Chinese stocks listed in the United States, were lower. Alibaba fell 7.2% and Baidu dropped 6%.</p>\n<p>Recent losses in Chinese stocks have been steeper than those recorded during the height of the Sino-U.S. trade war in 2018, mainly due to Beijing's targeting of large technology firms.</p>\n<p>Among other decliners, weapons maker Lockheed Martin Corp</p>\n<p>fell 3.3% after a classified aeronautics development program caused the firm to miss profit estimates.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.77 billion shares, compared with the 9.82 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.30-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.28-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 47 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 77 new highs and 160 new lows.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Indexes notch closing record highs as key earnings, Fed meet eyed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIndexes notch closing record highs as key earnings, Fed meet eyed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-27 04:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 26 (Reuters) - All three major U.S. stock indexes eked out record closing highs for a second straight session on Monday as investors were optimistic heading into a slew of earnings from heavyweight technology and internet names this week, while caution ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting kept the market in check.</p>\n<p>More than <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-third of the S&amp;P 500 was set to report quarterly results this week, including Apple Inc , Microsoft Corp , Amazon.com Inc and Google parent Alphabet Inc , the four largest U.S. companies by market value. Apple rose 0.3%.</p>\n<p>Shares of Tesla Inc, which reported quarterly results after the market close, were up about 1% in after-hours trading. The stock ended the regular session up 2.2%.</p>\n<p>The vast majority of second-quarter earnings have handily beaten analysts' expectations so far, bumping up the already huge projected growth for the second quarter, according to Refinitiv data.</p>\n<p>\"We continue to see positive surprises, and even with a lot of optimism and increased estimates going into earnings season, we're still seeing companies exceed those expectations,\" said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York, New York.</p>\n<p>\"As we get into the heart of (the earnings season) and we get industrials and more cyclical names, it will be interesting to see not only how much there is in terms of recovery but also is there any impact from some of these issues, meaning inflation, the spike in prices.\"</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a> Co, up 0.6%, is due to report on Tuesday while Boeing Co, up 2%, is set to report on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>A two-day meeting of the Fed starts on Tuesday, and all eyes may be on whether the central bank expresses any new concerns about high inflation when it concludes its gathering on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>In June, the Fed indicated it may start raising rates two times in 2023, which was sooner than previously expected.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;rose 82.76 points, or 0.24%, to 35,144.31, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;gained 10.51 points, or 0.24%, to 4,422.3 and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;added 3.72 points, or 0.03%, to 14,840.71.</p>\n<p>Continued optimism over second-quarter earnings has helped offset recent concerns over the market impact of the Delta variant of COVID-19.</p>\n<p>U.S.-listed Chinese shares fell after Beijing last week announced new rules on private tutoring and online education firms, the latest in a series of crackdowns on the technology sector that have roiled financial markets.</p>\n<p>E-commerce company Alibaba Group &nbsp;and search engine Baidu Inc&nbsp;, two of the largest Chinese stocks listed in the United States, were lower. Alibaba fell 7.2% and Baidu dropped 6%.</p>\n<p>Recent losses in Chinese stocks have been steeper than those recorded during the height of the Sino-U.S. trade war in 2018, mainly due to Beijing's targeting of large technology firms.</p>\n<p>Among other decliners, weapons maker Lockheed Martin Corp</p>\n<p>fell 3.3% after a classified aeronautics development program caused the firm to miss profit estimates.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.77 billion shares, compared with the 9.82 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.30-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.28-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 47 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 77 new highs and 160 new lows.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2154964378","content_text":"NEW YORK, July 26 (Reuters) - All three major U.S. stock indexes eked out record closing highs for a second straight session on Monday as investors were optimistic heading into a slew of earnings from heavyweight technology and internet names this week, while caution ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting kept the market in check.\nMore than one-third of the S&P 500 was set to report quarterly results this week, including Apple Inc , Microsoft Corp , Amazon.com Inc and Google parent Alphabet Inc , the four largest U.S. companies by market value. Apple rose 0.3%.\nShares of Tesla Inc, which reported quarterly results after the market close, were up about 1% in after-hours trading. The stock ended the regular session up 2.2%.\nThe vast majority of second-quarter earnings have handily beaten analysts' expectations so far, bumping up the already huge projected growth for the second quarter, according to Refinitiv data.\n\"We continue to see positive surprises, and even with a lot of optimism and increased estimates going into earnings season, we're still seeing companies exceed those expectations,\" said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York, New York.\n\"As we get into the heart of (the earnings season) and we get industrials and more cyclical names, it will be interesting to see not only how much there is in terms of recovery but also is there any impact from some of these issues, meaning inflation, the spike in prices.\"\n3M Co, up 0.6%, is due to report on Tuesday while Boeing Co, up 2%, is set to report on Wednesday.\nA two-day meeting of the Fed starts on Tuesday, and all eyes may be on whether the central bank expresses any new concerns about high inflation when it concludes its gathering on Wednesday.\nIn June, the Fed indicated it may start raising rates two times in 2023, which was sooner than previously expected.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 82.76 points, or 0.24%, to 35,144.31, the S&P 500 gained 10.51 points, or 0.24%, to 4,422.3 and the Nasdaq Composite added 3.72 points, or 0.03%, to 14,840.71.\nContinued optimism over second-quarter earnings has helped offset recent concerns over the market impact of the Delta variant of COVID-19.\nU.S.-listed Chinese shares fell after Beijing last week announced new rules on private tutoring and online education firms, the latest in a series of crackdowns on the technology sector that have roiled financial markets.\nE-commerce company Alibaba Group  and search engine Baidu Inc , two of the largest Chinese stocks listed in the United States, were lower. Alibaba fell 7.2% and Baidu dropped 6%.\nRecent losses in Chinese stocks have been steeper than those recorded during the height of the Sino-U.S. trade war in 2018, mainly due to Beijing's targeting of large technology firms.\nAmong other decliners, weapons maker Lockheed Martin Corp\nfell 3.3% after a classified aeronautics development program caused the firm to miss profit estimates.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.77 billion shares, compared with the 9.82 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.30-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.28-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 47 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 77 new highs and 160 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148815195,"gmtCreate":1625966675617,"gmtModify":1703751272935,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148815195","repostId":"1113530069","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113530069","pubTimestamp":1625965241,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1113530069?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla CEO Elon Musk goes to trial Monday to defend $2.6 billion SolarCity acquisition","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113530069","media":"CNBC","summary":"Tesla CEO Elon Musk is expected in court on Monday to defend his role in Tesla’s $2.6 billion acquisition of SolarCity in 2016.Shareholders have sued Musk alleging that the deal amounted to a SolarCity bailout that enriched Musk and his family more than it did Tesla, among other things.If shareholders win their case, Musk may have to pay upwards of $2 billion from his considerable personal wealth.Tesla CEO Elon Musk is expected in court on Monday, and the stakes are high — if he loses he could h","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nTesla CEO Elon Musk is expected in court on Monday to defend his role in Tesla’s $2.6 billion acquisition of SolarCity in 2016.\nShareholders have sued Musk alleging that the deal amounted ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/10/tesla-ceo-musk-goes-to-trial-monday-on-2point6-billion-solarcity-deal.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla CEO Elon Musk goes to trial Monday to defend $2.6 billion SolarCity acquisition</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla CEO Elon Musk goes to trial Monday to defend $2.6 billion SolarCity acquisition\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-11 09:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/10/tesla-ceo-musk-goes-to-trial-monday-on-2point6-billion-solarcity-deal.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nTesla CEO Elon Musk is expected in court on Monday to defend his role in Tesla’s $2.6 billion acquisition of SolarCity in 2016.\nShareholders have sued Musk alleging that the deal amounted ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/10/tesla-ceo-musk-goes-to-trial-monday-on-2point6-billion-solarcity-deal.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/10/tesla-ceo-musk-goes-to-trial-monday-on-2point6-billion-solarcity-deal.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1113530069","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nTesla CEO Elon Musk is expected in court on Monday to defend his role in Tesla’s $2.6 billion acquisition of SolarCity in 2016.\nShareholders have sued Musk alleging that the deal amounted to a SolarCity bailout that enriched Musk and his family more than it did Tesla, among other things.\nIf shareholders win their case, Musk may have to pay upwards of $2 billion from his considerable personal wealth.\n\nTesla CEO Elon Musk is expected in court on Monday, and the stakes are high — if he loses he could have to pay upwards of $2 billion from his considerable personal wealth.\nMusk will be the first witness in a trial to defend his role in Tesla’s $2.6 billion acquisition of SolarCity. Shareholders have sued Musk and members of the Tesla board, alleging that the 2016 deal amounted to a SolarCity bailout.\nThey also allege that it unfairly enriched the Musk family, who were among the largest shareholders, and that Musk and others failed to disclose all pertinent details and breached their fiduciary responsibilities. Musk has insisted he was “fully recused” from negotiations over the deal.\nLast year, the board members named in the suit settled with the Tesla shareholders for $60 million with no admission of wrongdoing. Musk, the second-richest person in the world, was the only defendant who chose to take the fight to court.\nThere’s no jury to persuade in this matter. His fate will be determined by the Delaware Chancery Court’s judge, Vice-Chancellor Joseph Slights III.\nDays in court\nMusk has had his share of legal problems beyond SolarCity.\nFor example, the SEC sued him in 2018 for fraud, with Musk and Tesla settling, paying $20 million each. The charges came after Musk tweeted about taking Tesla private for $420 a share, a move that sent Tesla’s stock price soaring. Musk had to temporarily relinquish his chairman role at Tesla as one of the terms of the settlement.\nIn a separate case, he emerged victorious after caving expert Vernon Unsworth said Musk had defamed him when the Tesla CEO called him a “pedo guy” on twitter. His attorneys argued that “pedo guy” was heated rhetoric and not meant as statement of fact.\nTesla and Musk are facing many other lawsuits, including one over Musk’s unprecedented CEO compensation package, and a number of federal probes according to the company’s own financial filings.\nIn the SolarCity case, the judge will have to decide whether Musk was a conflicted controlling shareholder who met the “entire fairness” standard in his handling of the SolarCity acquisition.\nIn other words, was Musk acting in Tesla shareholders’ best interest? And did Musk tell shareholders everything they deserved to know?\nKnown as a shareholder derivative action, this kind of lawsuit is filed by investors on behalf of a corporation, rather than the individuals or funds themselves. If the plaintiffs win, proceeds may go to Tesla and not to the stakeholders who brought the suit.\nCompany connections\nAccording to a filing with the chancery court, Musk owned 22.1% of Tesla common stock at the time of the deal, and 21.9% of SolarCity. SolarCity was a troubled asset that was bleeding cash in the capital-intensive market of residential solar deployment.\nMusk’s attorneys are expected to argue that the SolarCity deal hasn’t harmed shareholders at all and that they voted overwhelmingly to approve the acquisition. After all, Tesla shares have skyrocketed from a closing price of $43.92 on June 21, 2016 — when Tesla announced it would bid for SolarCity — to a closing price of $656.95 on July 9, 2021 (Friday) after a five-for-one stock split last year.\nThe company is also part of the S&P 500 now, and reports profits regularly.\nSolarCity was founded and run by Musk’s cousins, Lyndon and Peter Rive, but backed by Musk who served as chairman of the board. Meanwhile, he also was CEO of Tesla, as well as the company’s chairman.\nThat wasn’t his only potential conflict. SpaceX, Musk’s aerospace venture, had invested $255 million in SolarCity bonds from March 2015 to March 2016. Four members of Tesla’s board directly or indirectly owned SolarCity stock at the time the acquisition was under consideration. And some Tesla board members also held shares in SpaceX and were on its board.\nHow he pitched it\nTo Musk and many of his supporters, the acquisition of SolarCity in 2016 represented a natural combination of his companies and a way for Tesla to pursue its environmental mission with a broader array of products. Homeowners would be able to finance and install solar rooftop panels from the same company that provided their electric vehicle, home charging station and backup battery for energy storage.\nTesla had already launched an energy division in late 2015, with a home battery dubbed the Powerwall and other big batteries for use by businesses and utilities.\nBy June 2016, Musk said Tesla would bid $2.8 billion to buy SolarCity. “I don’t think this creates additional financial risk for Tesla,” he said at that time, and called a merger “blindingly obvious.” But Tesla investors were skeptical, with the stock price plunging more than 10% on the announcement.\nIn July 2016, Musk presented his vision of Tesla as an automotive innovator and renewable energy titan in his famous “Master Plan Part Deux.”\nAs CNBC previously reported, unsealed court documents, including emails between Musk and SolarCity execs, would later reveal that he knew SolarCity was facing a “liquidity crisis” even as Tesla pursued the acquisition.\n“Three things need to happen to change investor sentiment: SolarCity solving its liquidity crisis, an LOI with Panasonic to address solar cell production risk, and a joint product demo,” Musk wrote to SolarCity execs in September that year. “Should be able to do all those before the shareholder vote.”\nIn October 2018, Tesla and SolarCity jointly announced a combined solar roof and battery pack. Musk showed off what looked like a solar panel, miniaturized and sleek enough to be mistaken for high-end roofing materials, at the Hollywood set of Desperate Housewives.\nAfter the deal\nThe hype event did help him to turn investor sentiment. In November, the deal was approved in a vote by 85% of shareholders. But after it closed, Tesla’s SolarCity business would falter.\nThrough the years, the company repeatedly delayed mass manufacturing its Solarglass roof tiles. The ones Musk presented as a production-ready prototype in 2016 were actually a non-functional design prototype.\nWalmart sued Tesla after fires broke out on panels the company had installed atop their facilities. A former Tesla Energy employee filed a whistleblower complaint to federal agencies about the fire risks of Tesla’s solar rooftops. And Panasonic exited from the Buffalo plant that Tesla took over, once it was clear Tesla was not going to manufacture its solar roof tiles there.\nWhile the Tesla solar roof tiles have not taken off, the company’s energy storage products are on a tear, as demand for lower-cost electricity from renewable sources picks up worldwide.\nIn the trial starting Monday in Wilmington, Delaware, Musk will be represented by attorneys with Ross Aronstam & Moritz (David E. Ross, Garrett B. Moritz and Benjamin Z. Grossberg). The trial is expected to run until July 23, 2021, unless the entities seek a settlement before it’s done.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809886207,"gmtCreate":1627358044109,"gmtModify":1703488319909,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"gogogo<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5DD.SI\">$MICRO-MECHANICS (HOLDINGS) LTD(5DD.SI)$</a>","listText":"gogogo<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5DD.SI\">$MICRO-MECHANICS (HOLDINGS) LTD(5DD.SI)$</a>","text":"gogogo$MICRO-MECHANICS (HOLDINGS) LTD(5DD.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809886207","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148507067,"gmtCreate":1625984326359,"gmtModify":1703751659303,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Roblox","listText":"Roblox","text":"Roblox","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148507067","repostId":"2150463301","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2150463301","pubTimestamp":1625971562,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2150463301?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-11 10:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2150463301","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Could this tween-oriented gaming platform be the next tech giant?","content":"<p>Only a handful of tech companies have ever become $1 trillion companies. <b>Apple</b>&nbsp;and <b>Amazon</b> crossed that milestone in 2018, <b>Microsoft</b>&nbsp;followed suit in 2019, and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a></b>&nbsp;joined the club earlier this year.</p>\n<p>Many other tech stocks could join that elite group within the next decade -- and investors who hop on board today could reap massive multibagger gains. Could <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of those stocks be <b>Roblox</b>, the gaming company which gained millions of new users during the pandemic?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F632887%2Fshowcase_filmstrip_1920x1080.png&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\"><span>Image source: Roblox.</span></p>\n<h2>How much is Roblox worth today?</h2>\n<p>Roblox went public via a direct listing this March with a reference price of $45. The stock opened at $64.50, and currently trades in the high $80s -- which gives it a market capitalization of nearly $50 billion. For Roblox to become a $1 trillion company by 2030, the stock would need to rise about 20 times.</p>\n<p>No pure-play video game company has crossed the $1 trillion mark yet. <b>Activision Blizzard </b>and <b>Electronic Arts</b>, two of the world's largest video game publishers, are currently worth about $70 billion and $40 billion, respectively. <b>Unity</b>, which indirectly competes against Roblox in the game engine and development space, is worth roughly $30 billion.</p>\n<p>If we compare these four companies' price-to-sales ratios, we'll notice the market is paying a much higher premium for game creation engines like Roblox and Unity than traditional video game publishers.</p>\n<table border=\"1\" width=\"596\">\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <th width=\"176\"><p>Company</p></th>\n   <th width=\"189\"><p>P/S Ratio (Current FY)</p></th>\n   <th width=\"187\"><p>P/S Ratio (Next FY)</p></th>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Roblox (NYSE:RBLX)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>20</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>16</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>8</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>7</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>6</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>5</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"176\"><p>Unity (NYSE:U)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"189\"><p>30</p></td>\n   <td width=\"187\"><p>23</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: Yahoo Finance, July 7. FY = fiscal year.</p>\n<h2>But is Roblox a fad or a new content platform?</h2>\n<p>However, there are some key differences between Roblox and Unity.</p>\n<p>Roblox is a platform that enables younger users, many of whom don't have any coding experience, to build simple block-based games and share them with other players. Unity is an advanced game development engine that powers over half of the world's mobile, PC, and console games.</p>\n<p>Roblox encourages users to monetize their games with an in-app currency called Robux within its walled garden. Unity offers developers more flexible tools for integrating in-app ads, in-app purchases, and other features into their games.</p>\n<p>The bulls claim Roblox's self-sustaining cycle of content creation, self-promotion, and monetization will fuel its long-term growth. The bears will point out that half of the platform's daily active users (DAUs) are under the age of 13, and they might eventually grow out of Roblox's simple experiences or graduate to a more advanced game development engine like Unity.</p>\n<p>The bulls will point to Roblox's growth rates. Between the first quarters of 2018 and 2021, Roblox's DAUs more than quadrupled from 10.3 million to 42.1 million, its total hours engaged surged from 2.1 billion to 9.7 billion, and its average bookings per DAU jumped from $11.62 to $15.48.</p>\n<p>Roblox's revenue rose 56% in 2019, soared 82% in 2020, and analysts expect 167% growth this year. But next year, they expect its revenue to rise just 26% after the pandemic ends and more students return to school.</p>\n<p>The bears will point out Roblox isn't profitable, and it probably can't achieve profitability without reducing its exchange rate between U.S. dollars and Robux for developers. However, doing so could alienate its developers and throttle the platform's output of new content.</p>\n<h2>Why Roblox probably can't hit $1 trillion by 2030</h2>\n<p>Even if Roblox maintains a premium price-to-sales ratio of 20 through 2030, it would need to generate $50 billion in annual sales to hit the $1 trillion mark. Roblox generated just $933 million in revenues in 2020, so it would need to generate a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 50% to hit $50 billion by 2030.</p>\n<p>If Roblox's valuations cool off, as they'll likely do over the years, it will need to generate an ever higher CAGR to become a $1 trillion company. By comparison, Amazon grew its revenues at a CAGR of 27.4% over the past decade -- and it currently trades at just four times this year's sales. Therefore, it seems highly unlikely Roblox will become a $1 trillion company within the next decade.</p>\n<p>But that doesn't mean Roblox won't generate multibagger gains over the next decade. It could remain popular long after the pandemic passes, attract a new generation of younger users, and launch more powerful tools for advanced users. As it continues to expand, economies of scale should kick in and strengthen its earnings growth. Therefore, Roblox could still have plenty of room to run -- just don't expect it to join the 12-zero club anytime soon.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Roblox Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-11 10:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/will-roblox-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Only a handful of tech companies have ever become $1 trillion companies. Apple and Amazon crossed that milestone in 2018, Microsoft followed suit in 2019, and Facebook joined the club earlier this ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/will-roblox-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/will-roblox-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2150463301","content_text":"Only a handful of tech companies have ever become $1 trillion companies. Apple and Amazon crossed that milestone in 2018, Microsoft followed suit in 2019, and Facebook joined the club earlier this year.\nMany other tech stocks could join that elite group within the next decade -- and investors who hop on board today could reap massive multibagger gains. Could one of those stocks be Roblox, the gaming company which gained millions of new users during the pandemic?\nImage source: Roblox.\nHow much is Roblox worth today?\nRoblox went public via a direct listing this March with a reference price of $45. The stock opened at $64.50, and currently trades in the high $80s -- which gives it a market capitalization of nearly $50 billion. For Roblox to become a $1 trillion company by 2030, the stock would need to rise about 20 times.\nNo pure-play video game company has crossed the $1 trillion mark yet. Activision Blizzard and Electronic Arts, two of the world's largest video game publishers, are currently worth about $70 billion and $40 billion, respectively. Unity, which indirectly competes against Roblox in the game engine and development space, is worth roughly $30 billion.\nIf we compare these four companies' price-to-sales ratios, we'll notice the market is paying a much higher premium for game creation engines like Roblox and Unity than traditional video game publishers.\n\n\n\n\nCompany\nP/S Ratio (Current FY)\nP/S Ratio (Next FY)\n\n\nRoblox (NYSE:RBLX)\n20\n16\n\n\nActivision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI)\n8\n7\n\n\nElectronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA)\n6\n5\n\n\nUnity (NYSE:U)\n30\n23\n\n\n\nSource: Yahoo Finance, July 7. FY = fiscal year.\nBut is Roblox a fad or a new content platform?\nHowever, there are some key differences between Roblox and Unity.\nRoblox is a platform that enables younger users, many of whom don't have any coding experience, to build simple block-based games and share them with other players. Unity is an advanced game development engine that powers over half of the world's mobile, PC, and console games.\nRoblox encourages users to monetize their games with an in-app currency called Robux within its walled garden. Unity offers developers more flexible tools for integrating in-app ads, in-app purchases, and other features into their games.\nThe bulls claim Roblox's self-sustaining cycle of content creation, self-promotion, and monetization will fuel its long-term growth. The bears will point out that half of the platform's daily active users (DAUs) are under the age of 13, and they might eventually grow out of Roblox's simple experiences or graduate to a more advanced game development engine like Unity.\nThe bulls will point to Roblox's growth rates. Between the first quarters of 2018 and 2021, Roblox's DAUs more than quadrupled from 10.3 million to 42.1 million, its total hours engaged surged from 2.1 billion to 9.7 billion, and its average bookings per DAU jumped from $11.62 to $15.48.\nRoblox's revenue rose 56% in 2019, soared 82% in 2020, and analysts expect 167% growth this year. But next year, they expect its revenue to rise just 26% after the pandemic ends and more students return to school.\nThe bears will point out Roblox isn't profitable, and it probably can't achieve profitability without reducing its exchange rate between U.S. dollars and Robux for developers. However, doing so could alienate its developers and throttle the platform's output of new content.\nWhy Roblox probably can't hit $1 trillion by 2030\nEven if Roblox maintains a premium price-to-sales ratio of 20 through 2030, it would need to generate $50 billion in annual sales to hit the $1 trillion mark. Roblox generated just $933 million in revenues in 2020, so it would need to generate a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 50% to hit $50 billion by 2030.\nIf Roblox's valuations cool off, as they'll likely do over the years, it will need to generate an ever higher CAGR to become a $1 trillion company. By comparison, Amazon grew its revenues at a CAGR of 27.4% over the past decade -- and it currently trades at just four times this year's sales. Therefore, it seems highly unlikely Roblox will become a $1 trillion company within the next decade.\nBut that doesn't mean Roblox won't generate multibagger gains over the next decade. It could remain popular long after the pandemic passes, attract a new generation of younger users, and launch more powerful tools for advanced users. As it continues to expand, economies of scale should kick in and strengthen its earnings growth. Therefore, Roblox could still have plenty of room to run -- just don't expect it to join the 12-zero club anytime soon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809887055,"gmtCreate":1627358278277,"gmtModify":1703488325404,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What is this?","listText":"What is this?","text":"What is this?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809887055","repostId":"2154998458","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2154998458","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627353851,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2154998458?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-27 10:44","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"China Evergrande hits 4-1/2-year low after co cancels special dividend proposal","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2154998458","media":"Reuters","summary":"** Shares of China Evergrande Group fall 11.9% to HK$5.91, their lowest since March 2017, and on cou","content":"<p>** Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EGRNF\">China Evergrande Group</a> fall 11.9% to HK$5.91, their lowest since March 2017, and on course for a third straight session of losses</p>\n<p>** Stock is second-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the seventh-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng Composite Index</p>\n<p>** China's most indebted property developer said on Tuesday it would cancel a special dividend proposal, citing the current market environment, the rights of shareholders and creditors, and the long-term development of its various businesses</p>\n<p>** Shares of its unit Evergrande Property Services fall 4% to HK$5.55, their lowest since listing on Dec 2, 2020</p>\n<p>** China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle drops 6.3% to HK$11.80, the lowest since July 3, 2020</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng Composite Index falls 1.2%, while the Hang Seng sub-index, tracking property firms , gains 0.3%</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index slides 1.5%, and the benchmark index slips 1%</p>\n<p>** As of last close, China Evergrande down 55% this year</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Evergrande hits 4-1/2-year low after co cancels special dividend proposal</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Evergrande hits 4-1/2-year low after co cancels special dividend proposal\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-27 10:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>** Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EGRNF\">China Evergrande Group</a> fall 11.9% to HK$5.91, their lowest since March 2017, and on course for a third straight session of losses</p>\n<p>** Stock is second-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the seventh-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng Composite Index</p>\n<p>** China's most indebted property developer said on Tuesday it would cancel a special dividend proposal, citing the current market environment, the rights of shareholders and creditors, and the long-term development of its various businesses</p>\n<p>** Shares of its unit Evergrande Property Services fall 4% to HK$5.55, their lowest since listing on Dec 2, 2020</p>\n<p>** China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle drops 6.3% to HK$11.80, the lowest since July 3, 2020</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng Composite Index falls 1.2%, while the Hang Seng sub-index, tracking property firms , gains 0.3%</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index slides 1.5%, and the benchmark index slips 1%</p>\n<p>** As of last close, China Evergrande down 55% this year</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"03333":"中国恒大","00708":"恒大汽车","06666":"恒大物业"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2154998458","content_text":"** Shares of China Evergrande Group fall 11.9% to HK$5.91, their lowest since March 2017, and on course for a third straight session of losses\n** Stock is second-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the seventh-biggest percentage decliner in the Hang Seng Composite Index\n** China's most indebted property developer said on Tuesday it would cancel a special dividend proposal, citing the current market environment, the rights of shareholders and creditors, and the long-term development of its various businesses\n** Shares of its unit Evergrande Property Services fall 4% to HK$5.55, their lowest since listing on Dec 2, 2020\n** China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle drops 6.3% to HK$11.80, the lowest since July 3, 2020\n** The Hang Seng Composite Index falls 1.2%, while the Hang Seng sub-index, tracking property firms , gains 0.3%\n** The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index slides 1.5%, and the benchmark index slips 1%\n** As of last close, China Evergrande down 55% this year","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147257757,"gmtCreate":1626360913279,"gmtModify":1703758729006,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why","listText":"Why","text":"Why","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/147257757","repostId":"2151522777","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809888515,"gmtCreate":1627357969637,"gmtModify":1703488318937,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share my.position","listText":"Share my.position","text":"Share my.position","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4a9340b2802cf884500a76a04f5be30","width":"1080","height":"3472"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809888515","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809883516,"gmtCreate":1627357882735,"gmtModify":1703488316350,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gogogo","listText":"Gogogo","text":"Gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/561200ff6baa37ded13699408aaadb9f","width":"1080","height":"3373"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809883516","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170568051,"gmtCreate":1626442970873,"gmtModify":1703760265295,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>&nbsp;go go go&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>&nbsp;go go go&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ go go go","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6e385f87068d8c1d90a89e344491fa8","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170568051","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170563854,"gmtCreate":1626442912378,"gmtModify":1703760262819,"author":{"id":"3586937406888157","authorId":"3586937406888157","name":"claire0215","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ec84f369b7613e51135c8c6dd29252","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586937406888157","authorIdStr":"3586937406888157"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go go go&nbsp;","listText":"Go go 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