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2023-12-02

Haha money money come

2022-08-16

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TSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split

2022-09-23

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The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up

2022-09-28

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Pre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Fall Over 100 Points; Apple Worsens Selloff in Growth Stocks

2022-09-24

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Why I'm Not Worried About the Stock Market

2022-07-25

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Fed, Tech Earnings, GDP Data: What to Know Ahead of the Busiest Week of the Year

2022-09-05

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GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week

2022-08-26

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Tesla's Stock Split Has Taken Effect. Now What?

2022-08-24

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Tesla's Thin Model Pipeline

2022-09-26

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If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”

2022-09-18

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Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards

2022-09-07

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US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Busy Post-Summer Session in the Red

2022-08-25

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Nvidia: Disaster Guidance

2022-08-23

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SPY: Time To Get Out, Weak Short Sale Volumes Indicate Reversal

2022-08-17

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Tiger Chart｜Buffett Cut Verizon While Soros Bet Big on Amazon and Google: Top 10 Institutional Investors Q2 Holding

2022-09-14

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Stock Sell-Off Deepens, Dow Drops 800 Points Following Hot Inflation Report

2022-09-09

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US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Higher, Gains Driven By Banks, Healthcare

2022-08-31

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3 Terrible Stocks to Avoid

2022-08-20

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3 Top Stocks to Buy During a Sell-Off

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On the contrary, with the change of news, the traditional mode of risky assets and safe-haven assets dancing together has intensified. Among them, Nvidia, which was affected by Sino-US chip relations, was accidentally shot. The technical risk of breaking the position also brought greater downward pressure to the US stock index.In the middle of last week, the news about restricting the sale of high-end graphics cards came out, which not only made the domestic graphics card scalpers who had been silent for many years eager to move, but also made NVIDIA, a hot US AI concept stock in the first half of the year, fall continuously. Although the follow-up \"rumor-dispelling\" retail is not","listText":"In the past two weeks, the chaotic fighting mode among major assets in the financial market has not subsided. On the contrary, with the change of news, the traditional mode of risky assets and safe-haven assets dancing together has intensified. Among them, Nvidia, which was affected by Sino-US chip relations, was accidentally shot. The technical risk of breaking the position also brought greater downward pressure to the US stock index.In the middle of last week, the news about restricting the sale of high-end graphics cards came out, which not only made the domestic graphics card scalpers who had been silent for many years eager to move, but also made NVIDIA, a hot US AI concept stock in the first half of the year, fall continuously. Although the follow-up \"rumor-dispelling\" retail is not","text":"In the past two weeks, the chaotic fighting mode among major assets in the financial market has not subsided. On the contrary, with the change of news, the traditional mode of risky assets and safe-haven assets dancing together has intensified. Among them, Nvidia, which was affected by Sino-US chip relations, was accidentally shot. The technical risk of breaking the position also brought greater downward pressure to the US stock index.In the middle of last week, the news about restricting the sale of high-end graphics cards came out, which not only made the domestic graphics card scalpers who had been silent for many years eager to move, but also made NVIDIA, a hot US AI concept stock in the first half of the year, fall continuously. Although the follow-up \"rumor-dispelling\" retail is not","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dce2f3827248adc784cbb87e8852428f","width":"1124","height":"608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234266386657328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918752776,"gmtCreate":1664461452796,"gmtModify":1676537459991,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Fall become 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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>Down","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$Down","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93458fc0deb90c71c7b003ff99e75b0b","width":"1125","height":"2043"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918758192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918758098,"gmtCreate":1664461161415,"gmtModify":1676537459896,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PDD\">$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$</a>Ops no&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PDD\">$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$</a>Ops no&nbsp;","text":"$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$Ops no","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e81eef20c748f72f6d0537653804a5ea","width":"1125","height":"2472"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918758098","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918751916,"gmtCreate":1664461105036,"gmtModify":1676537459867,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PDD\">$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$</a>So Low&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PDD\">$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$</a>So Low&nbsp;","text":"$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$So Low","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/943b4c77555c1437a133dc52d38adb78","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918751916","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918549196,"gmtCreate":1664420363015,"gmtModify":1676537451742,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>Ops&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>Ops&nbsp;","text":"$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$Ops","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9005467b69ce27dc01b3bcfdc8f4840b","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918549196","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918549377,"gmtCreate":1664420330199,"gmtModify":1676537451719,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a> Down&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a> Down&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ Down","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c071a4f5476e59576f005cdb90f52cc9","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918549377","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918676053,"gmtCreate":1664402322173,"gmtModify":1676537445582,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Ops&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Ops&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Ops","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ab4cb540df13d5726c75bcfa054abba2","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918676053","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918678435,"gmtCreate":1664402291328,"gmtModify":1676537445577,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PDD\">$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$</a>Up here&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PDD\">$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$</a>Up here&nbsp;","text":"$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$Up here","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5edf5afe7c52bdac73ae63e06479e5a7","width":"1125","height":"2580"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918678435","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918678648,"gmtCreate":1664402231284,"gmtModify":1676537445569,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918678648","repostId":"1102244542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102244542","pubTimestamp":1664378284,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102244542?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-28 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: A Bearish Sign For The First Time","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102244542","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple has been a solid company with solid fundamentals for the better part of the past 20 yea","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Apple has been a solid company with solid fundamentals for the better part of the past 20 years, but there&#39;s a recent sign that has me worried.</li><li>With the lack of new or innovative technologies, it can become a problem for the tech behemoth in the coming years.</li><li>As a result, I shift my bullish stance to a neutral to a slightly bearish one.</li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> has been one of the best and most solid investments for the better part of the past 20 years. As it released the iPhone in 2007, it began raking in amounts of money most other companies can only dream of and now they bring in billions from things like their Services segments, which is larger than some other companies bring in altogether.</p><p>But this past year there&#39;s been a warning sign I was looking out for a long time - as they shed their cash reserves for share buybacks and other compensation, they&#39;re losing their edge in the amount of investment and interest income they generate and now, for the very first time, they are paying more in interest expense than they&#39;re bringing in.</p><p>This in and of itself isn&#39;t all that bad considering they rake in about $100 billion in net income while paying just shy of $3 billion annually in interest expense. But with the lack of new innovative products, they&#39;ve been relying more on telecom companies&#39; incentive to sell their new iPhone than organic excitement.</p><p>Let&#39;s dive into the issues I see.</p><h3>Debt Load &amp; Interest Expense</h3><p>Beginning in 2013, the company started taking on long-term and short-term debt while interest rates were near zero to finance their operations while conserving cash overseas and investing it to bring in interest, which more than covered the interest expense on the low-interest debt. Since then, the debt has ballooned from about $16 billion to just shy of $110 billion, which was down to about $95 billion as of their latest financial reporting.</p><p>But then the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates and the company began paying more in interest expense. After the repatriation holiday in 2017, Apple brought back a big amount of their overseas cash which was being invested and spent the vast majority of it for share buybacks and other shareholder-friendly activities, which lowered their interest income.</p><p>Even though, as I mentioned earlier, the company has reduced their debt from $110 billion to $95 billion, their interest expense for the same time period increased from $2.6 billion to $2.8 billion. Although these numbers pale in comparison to their income and revenue generation, it&#39;s somewhat concerning in the long run given where interest rates are headed and the lower cash reserves the company has.</p><h3>Cash, Investments and Interest Income</h3><p>The company&#39;s cash and equivalents and short-term investments have been rising for the longest time as the company accumulated cash, but over the past few years, the company announced that it intended at getting to a cash-neutral position and spending it to fund share buybacks and other shareholder-friendly activities.</p><p>Apple had more than $100 billion in cash and short-term investment in September 2017, which decreased to under $50 billion as of today.</p><p>The more interesting part of this is the company&#39;s investments have been shrinking after the repatriation holiday back in 2017 allowed companies to bring back cash at record low tax rates, which were mostly used for share buybacks.</p><p>Apple had almost $200 billion of long-term investments in September 2017, which then slowly went down and hovers around $100 billion.</p><h3>The Result: All About The Interest Rates</h3><p>This resulted in the company&#39;s interest income to fall as their interest expense is expected to continue and climb:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9209feae93f89b97d8170d6ae749a21d\" tg-width=\"647\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>During the COVID-19 pandemic, interest rates went back to zero due to control measures by the Federal Reserve. But now, interest rates are expected to climb to records as the Federal Reserve tries to stem inflation. This means, I believe, that as the company&#39;s debt load has been increasing, they will be paying a big chunk more in expenses this year relative to last.</p><p>In the most recent reporting quarter, the company saw an 8.12% increase in interest expense relative to the same period last year as a result of the federal funds rate increasing from 0% to 0.75% in 2 stages throughout their reporting time period.</p><p>Given the fact that the federal funds rate has increased to 3% since then, I expect the company&#39;s interest expense to be higher by about 35% relative to last year, leading them to potentially pay over $3.5 billion for fiscal 2022.</p><p>On the face of it, this isn&#39;t all that bad, considering the fact that the company made about $100 billion last year in net income. But then there&#39;s the whole sales growth thing, which has me slightly more concerned than last time.</p><h3>Sales Growth To Underperform</h3><p>There are a few factors that make it hard for me to see Apple meeting the current sales growth projections.</p><p>The first is that they&#39;re way too reliant on telecom companies. These offer a free iPhone with a trade-in and some plan commitments, which is one of the major incentives that folks use in order to upgrade since the new iPhone has little improvement over the one before it, which was little improved over the one before it and so on.</p><p>While there&#39;s little to make me believe that telecom companies will stop this incentive altogether, I do think that there&#39;s a limit to the amount of cycles they&#39;ll do this as they shift to focus on customer retention and not only customer transfers or initiation. We&#39;ve seen this with other incentives - they take place for a business cycle or two and then shift to offering other services in place. If, and it&#39;s a big if, the iPhone 15 is to the iPhone 14 as the iPhone 14 is to the iPhone 13, I don&#39;t think the reception will be as good without these incentives to give Apple millions and millions of sales.</p><p>This is somewhat confirmed by the reception the phone had in China. New iPhone sales had a lukewarm reception in the company&#39;s second-largest market, where it&#39;s relying on for future sales growth, which doesn&#39;t have as many free upgrade offers. This is a result of individuals not wanting to spend all that money to upgrade for the sake of upgrading as there&#39;s little improvement outside the camera, which is already pro-level quality.</p><p>With these 2 main factors, I just don&#39;t see the company generating any meaningful revenues for the next 2-3 years. The added fact that they&#39;re spending more and more on research &amp; development each year with little to show for it (so far) is added to this underperformance projection by me.</p><h3>By The Numbers: Sales &amp; EPS</h3><p>The aforementioned factors lead me to believe that the company will likely underperform their current sales and EPS projections, which leads to them being fairly to slightly overvalued. This on its own means that the company may constitute a poor investment choice, but especially since we may be heading into a recession - the company&#39;s shares can underperform the broader market during that time period, which can be bad for investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea69a11622481942c2d350d262e0d8ec\" tg-width=\"632\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>With these figures not yet accounting for the already-lackluster reception in China of the new iPhone, I believe that and the aforementioned overall future underperformance means that the company will be seeing a sub-3% average annual growth rate throughout the 2025 time period.</p><p>Given my earlier points about,</p><p>1 - Increased sales through telecom companies&#39; incentives means lower gross margins.</p><p>2 - Increased interest expense, lower interest income, SG&amp;A expenses and R&amp;D expenses means that the profit margin will be lower than in previous years.</p><p>3 - Lower than projected sales growth on the higher margin iPhones means margins will be lower.</p><p>I believe that the company&#39;s EPS growth rate will be lower than sales growth rate. Here are the current projections for reference:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68dcaf536e8ffc6aff7dc94c35e43c21\" tg-width=\"636\" tg-height=\"205\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Comparing these EPS figures to the growth in sales and slightly overall lower margins means that, I believe, the company is likely to report low single-digit EPS growth over the coming time period through 2025 and is likely to report, if all else remains the same, a negative EPS growth rate in 2025.</p><h3>Conclusion - Avoiding</h3><p>The company, based on the aforementioned EPS projections, is trading at a forward price to earnings multiple of between 21x to 25x over the time period. This is overvaluing the company if their true growth rate is around the 2% to 3% mark through 2025, in my opinion.</p><p>This means that the company is likely slightly overvalued at current levels, and we shouldn&#39;t expect them to make any material gains in share price over the next 2-3 years. Since I believe this will be the case, I am shifting my bullish long-term stance on the company to a neutral one and have been shedding shares over the past few days and will continue to do so throughout the coming weeks.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: A Bearish Sign For The First Time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: A Bearish Sign For The First Time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-28 23:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543468-apple-for-the-first-time-a-bearish-sign><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple has been a solid company with solid fundamentals for the better part of the past 20 years, but there's a recent sign that has me worried.With the lack of new or innovative technologies, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543468-apple-for-the-first-time-a-bearish-sign\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543468-apple-for-the-first-time-a-bearish-sign","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102244542","content_text":"SummaryApple has been a solid company with solid fundamentals for the better part of the past 20 years, but there's a recent sign that has me worried.With the lack of new or innovative technologies, it can become a problem for the tech behemoth in the coming years.As a result, I shift my bullish stance to a neutral to a slightly bearish one.Apple has been one of the best and most solid investments for the better part of the past 20 years. As it released the iPhone in 2007, it began raking in amounts of money most other companies can only dream of and now they bring in billions from things like their Services segments, which is larger than some other companies bring in altogether.But this past year there's been a warning sign I was looking out for a long time - as they shed their cash reserves for share buybacks and other compensation, they're losing their edge in the amount of investment and interest income they generate and now, for the very first time, they are paying more in interest expense than they're bringing in.This in and of itself isn't all that bad considering they rake in about $100 billion in net income while paying just shy of $3 billion annually in interest expense. But with the lack of new innovative products, they've been relying more on telecom companies' incentive to sell their new iPhone than organic excitement.Let's dive into the issues I see.Debt Load & Interest ExpenseBeginning in 2013, the company started taking on long-term and short-term debt while interest rates were near zero to finance their operations while conserving cash overseas and investing it to bring in interest, which more than covered the interest expense on the low-interest debt. Since then, the debt has ballooned from about $16 billion to just shy of $110 billion, which was down to about $95 billion as of their latest financial reporting.But then the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates and the company began paying more in interest expense. After the repatriation holiday in 2017, Apple brought back a big amount of their overseas cash which was being invested and spent the vast majority of it for share buybacks and other shareholder-friendly activities, which lowered their interest income.Even though, as I mentioned earlier, the company has reduced their debt from $110 billion to $95 billion, their interest expense for the same time period increased from $2.6 billion to $2.8 billion. Although these numbers pale in comparison to their income and revenue generation, it's somewhat concerning in the long run given where interest rates are headed and the lower cash reserves the company has.Cash, Investments and Interest IncomeThe company's cash and equivalents and short-term investments have been rising for the longest time as the company accumulated cash, but over the past few years, the company announced that it intended at getting to a cash-neutral position and spending it to fund share buybacks and other shareholder-friendly activities.Apple had more than $100 billion in cash and short-term investment in September 2017, which decreased to under $50 billion as of today.The more interesting part of this is the company's investments have been shrinking after the repatriation holiday back in 2017 allowed companies to bring back cash at record low tax rates, which were mostly used for share buybacks.Apple had almost $200 billion of long-term investments in September 2017, which then slowly went down and hovers around $100 billion.The Result: All About The Interest RatesThis resulted in the company's interest income to fall as their interest expense is expected to continue and climb:During the COVID-19 pandemic, interest rates went back to zero due to control measures by the Federal Reserve. But now, interest rates are expected to climb to records as the Federal Reserve tries to stem inflation. This means, I believe, that as the company's debt load has been increasing, they will be paying a big chunk more in expenses this year relative to last.In the most recent reporting quarter, the company saw an 8.12% increase in interest expense relative to the same period last year as a result of the federal funds rate increasing from 0% to 0.75% in 2 stages throughout their reporting time period.Given the fact that the federal funds rate has increased to 3% since then, I expect the company's interest expense to be higher by about 35% relative to last year, leading them to potentially pay over $3.5 billion for fiscal 2022.On the face of it, this isn't all that bad, considering the fact that the company made about $100 billion last year in net income. But then there's the whole sales growth thing, which has me slightly more concerned than last time.Sales Growth To UnderperformThere are a few factors that make it hard for me to see Apple meeting the current sales growth projections.The first is that they're way too reliant on telecom companies. These offer a free iPhone with a trade-in and some plan commitments, which is one of the major incentives that folks use in order to upgrade since the new iPhone has little improvement over the one before it, which was little improved over the one before it and so on.While there's little to make me believe that telecom companies will stop this incentive altogether, I do think that there's a limit to the amount of cycles they'll do this as they shift to focus on customer retention and not only customer transfers or initiation. We've seen this with other incentives - they take place for a business cycle or two and then shift to offering other services in place. If, and it's a big if, the iPhone 15 is to the iPhone 14 as the iPhone 14 is to the iPhone 13, I don't think the reception will be as good without these incentives to give Apple millions and millions of sales.This is somewhat confirmed by the reception the phone had in China. New iPhone sales had a lukewarm reception in the company's second-largest market, where it's relying on for future sales growth, which doesn't have as many free upgrade offers. This is a result of individuals not wanting to spend all that money to upgrade for the sake of upgrading as there's little improvement outside the camera, which is already pro-level quality.With these 2 main factors, I just don't see the company generating any meaningful revenues for the next 2-3 years. The added fact that they're spending more and more on research & development each year with little to show for it (so far) is added to this underperformance projection by me.By The Numbers: Sales & EPSThe aforementioned factors lead me to believe that the company will likely underperform their current sales and EPS projections, which leads to them being fairly to slightly overvalued. This on its own means that the company may constitute a poor investment choice, but especially since we may be heading into a recession - the company's shares can underperform the broader market during that time period, which can be bad for investors.With these figures not yet accounting for the already-lackluster reception in China of the new iPhone, I believe that and the aforementioned overall future underperformance means that the company will be seeing a sub-3% average annual growth rate throughout the 2025 time period.Given my earlier points about,1 - Increased sales through telecom companies' incentives means lower gross margins.2 - Increased interest expense, lower interest income, SG&A expenses and R&D expenses means that the profit margin will be lower than in previous years.3 - Lower than projected sales growth on the higher margin iPhones means margins will be lower.I believe that the company's EPS growth rate will be lower than sales growth rate. Here are the current projections for reference:Comparing these EPS figures to the growth in sales and slightly overall lower margins means that, I believe, the company is likely to report low single-digit EPS growth over the coming time period through 2025 and is likely to report, if all else remains the same, a negative EPS growth rate in 2025.Conclusion - AvoidingThe company, based on the aforementioned EPS projections, is trading at a forward price to earnings multiple of between 21x to 25x over the time period. This is overvaluing the company if their true growth rate is around the 2% to 3% mark through 2025, in my opinion.This means that the company is likely slightly overvalued at current levels, and we shouldn't expect them to make any material gains in share price over the next 2-3 years. Since I believe this will be the case, I am shifting my bullish long-term stance on the company to a neutral one and have been shedding shares over the past few days and will continue to do so throughout the coming weeks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918608706,"gmtCreate":1664371675805,"gmtModify":1676537442207,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918608706","repostId":"1108273783","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108273783","pubTimestamp":1664368419,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108273783?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-28 20:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla’s AI Day Offers a Glimpse of Just How Sentient Its Bots Have Become","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108273783","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Elon Musk retakes the stage a year after an unforgettably strange stunt was performed in a spandex s","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Elon Musk retakes the stage a year after an unforgettably strange stunt was performed in a spandex suit.</p><p>Tesla has long staged splashy events to generate buzz and media coverage of forthcoming — and sometimes aspirational — products. Part revival meeting, part recruiting event, the faithful get to see CEO Elon Musk speak, and investors get updates on priorities and progress.</p><p>On Friday, Musk will host Tesla’s second AI Day in Palo Alto, California, formerly the home to its global headquarters. The invitations that went out recently promised the latest developments in the company’s artificial intelligence efforts, including:</p><ul><li>Full Self-Driving, or FSD, the in-beta system that still needs an attentive human driver minding the wheel at all times;</li><li>Tesla Bot, aka Optimus, the humanoid Musk has said will one day take over dangerous, repetitive and boring tasks from humans;</li><li>and Dojo, the supercomputer Musk has said Tesla’s FSD team may utilize to improve the “brains” behind its driving systems, using the massive volume of video footage that the company’s cars capture.</li></ul><p>The show-stopper of Tesla’s first AI Day, held in August of last year, was the humanoid bot that, at that time, was actually entirely human. After engineers gave detailed, highly technical presentations on the company’s driving-system development work, a person dressed in a skintight white suit and black helmet took to the stage to perform a jerky dance and presage an announcement from Musk.</p><p>“Tesla is arguably the world’s biggest robotics company,” he said, explaining the rationale behind the automaker working on a bot. “Our cars are basically semi-sentient robots on wheels.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62861b3f062c97800caff3e12d119465\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"436\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Just how sentient Tesla’s cars actually are is the subject of more than just debate. Days before Musk made those comments, the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration opened an investigation into whether the company’s Autopilot system is defective, after drivers using it repeatedly collided with vehicles at crash scenes, including emergency responders. NHTSA opened a second defect probe in February.</p><p>Earlier this month, a California man filed a proposed class action suit in San Francisco federal court, claiming the carmaker has “deceptively and misleadingly” marketed its driver-assistance systems and strung consumers along by suggesting for years that it’s on the cusp of mastering the technology.</p><p>Musk has nonetheless extended access of FSD to about 160,000 owners in the US and Canada. When one of those owners posted videos last month showing the latest beta version struggling with right turns, the CEO told the customer not to complain. When another Twitter fan suggested the world’s richest man may have been having a bad day and should apologize, Musk wrote back no — the owner was in the wrong.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61b29be839cc69211fde706ab76c94e2\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"680\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The mood will surely be more jovial during AI Day, which Musk postponed back in June to give Tesla time to develop a working Optimus prototype. On its website and in job listings, the company refers to work on a bi-pedal humanoid for manufacturing, logistics and general purposes.</p><p>“The code you will write will at term run in millions of humanoid robots across the world, and will therefore be held to high quality standards,” a posting for a controls engineer says.</p><p>Tesla employs more than 20,000 people just at its auto plant in Fremont, California. How many of those jobs will be eliminated by bots is far from certain. An attempt to extensively automate the facility when the Model 3 first went into production ended in disaster. The CEO took ownership of the calamity back in 2018, saying it was his mistake.</p><p>“Humans are underrated,” Musk quipped.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla’s AI Day Offers a Glimpse of Just How Sentient Its Bots Have Become</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla’s AI Day Offers a Glimpse of Just How Sentient Its Bots Have Become\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-28 20:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-28/tesla-ai-day-offers-glimpse-of-just-how-sentient-its-bots-have-become><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Elon Musk retakes the stage a year after an unforgettably strange stunt was performed in a spandex suit.Tesla has long staged splashy events to generate buzz and media coverage of forthcoming — and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-28/tesla-ai-day-offers-glimpse-of-just-how-sentient-its-bots-have-become\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-28/tesla-ai-day-offers-glimpse-of-just-how-sentient-its-bots-have-become","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108273783","content_text":"Elon Musk retakes the stage a year after an unforgettably strange stunt was performed in a spandex suit.Tesla has long staged splashy events to generate buzz and media coverage of forthcoming — and sometimes aspirational — products. Part revival meeting, part recruiting event, the faithful get to see CEO Elon Musk speak, and investors get updates on priorities and progress.On Friday, Musk will host Tesla’s second AI Day in Palo Alto, California, formerly the home to its global headquarters. The invitations that went out recently promised the latest developments in the company’s artificial intelligence efforts, including:Full Self-Driving, or FSD, the in-beta system that still needs an attentive human driver minding the wheel at all times;Tesla Bot, aka Optimus, the humanoid Musk has said will one day take over dangerous, repetitive and boring tasks from humans;and Dojo, the supercomputer Musk has said Tesla’s FSD team may utilize to improve the “brains” behind its driving systems, using the massive volume of video footage that the company’s cars capture.The show-stopper of Tesla’s first AI Day, held in August of last year, was the humanoid bot that, at that time, was actually entirely human. After engineers gave detailed, highly technical presentations on the company’s driving-system development work, a person dressed in a skintight white suit and black helmet took to the stage to perform a jerky dance and presage an announcement from Musk.“Tesla is arguably the world’s biggest robotics company,” he said, explaining the rationale behind the automaker working on a bot. “Our cars are basically semi-sentient robots on wheels.”Just how sentient Tesla’s cars actually are is the subject of more than just debate. Days before Musk made those comments, the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration opened an investigation into whether the company’s Autopilot system is defective, after drivers using it repeatedly collided with vehicles at crash scenes, including emergency responders. NHTSA opened a second defect probe in February.Earlier this month, a California man filed a proposed class action suit in San Francisco federal court, claiming the carmaker has “deceptively and misleadingly” marketed its driver-assistance systems and strung consumers along by suggesting for years that it’s on the cusp of mastering the technology.Musk has nonetheless extended access of FSD to about 160,000 owners in the US and Canada. When one of those owners posted videos last month showing the latest beta version struggling with right turns, the CEO told the customer not to complain. When another Twitter fan suggested the world’s richest man may have been having a bad day and should apologize, Musk wrote back no — the owner was in the wrong.The mood will surely be more jovial during AI Day, which Musk postponed back in June to give Tesla time to develop a working Optimus prototype. On its website and in job listings, the company refers to work on a bi-pedal humanoid for manufacturing, logistics and general purposes.“The code you will write will at term run in millions of humanoid robots across the world, and will therefore be held to high quality standards,” a posting for a controls engineer says.Tesla employs more than 20,000 people just at its auto plant in Fremont, California. How many of those jobs will be eliminated by bots is far from certain. An attempt to extensively automate the facility when the Model 3 first went into production ended in disaster. The CEO took ownership of the calamity back in 2018, saying it was his mistake.“Humans are underrated,” Musk quipped.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918608213,"gmtCreate":1664371622332,"gmtModify":1676537442192,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918608213","repostId":"1179029261","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179029261","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664366506,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179029261?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-28 20:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Fall Over 100 Points; Apple Worsens Selloff in Growth Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179029261","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures fell Wednesday as traders struggle to find their footing after the S&P 500 notche","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures fell Wednesday as traders struggle to find their footing after the S&amp;P 500 notched a fresh bear market low in the previous session.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 96 points, or 0.33%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 21.25 points, or 0.58%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 117.5 points, or 1.04%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb3a480535ae6d186c662b67d204871\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIIB\">Biogen</a> – Biogen soared 45.6% in premarket trading after Biogen and Japanese partnerEisaisaid their experimental Alzheimer’s drug dramatically slowed the disease’s progression in a study, reducing cognitive and functional decline by 27%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/THO\">Thor Industries</a> – Thor Industries gained 3.6% in the premarket after the recreational vehicle maker reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter. Thor saw particular strength in its motorized RV segment, with a 24.5% gain over the prior year.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">Lyft</a> – Lyft said it would freeze hiring through the end of this year. That follows the ride-hailing company’s previous statement that it would slow hiring “dramatically” as it seeks to cut costs. Lyft slid 2.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> – Apple is said to be backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhone 14 line, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. That comes after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize. Apple declined 3.7% in premarket action.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">Ocugen</a> – Ocugen surged 8.2% in premarket trading after the drug maker announced a licensing agreement with Washington University in St. Louis to develop, commercialize and manufacture its intranasal Covid-19 vaccine.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> – Walt Disney is shutting its four Florida theme parks and related properties as the state braces for Hurricane Ian, which was upgraded to a Category 4 storm this morning.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">BlackBerry</a> – BlackBerry reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss and revenue that exceeded analyst forecasts, but the communications software company’s cybersecurity revenue fell amid cautious spending by customers.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CGC\">Canopy Growth</a> – Canopy Growth announced plans to divest its retail operations in Canada, selling stores to partner OEG Retail Cannabis and cannabis retailer 420 Investments. The sales come after the cannabis producer announced earlier this year that it was extending its time frame to achieve profitability. Canopy Growth shares slipped 1.8% in the premarket.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><h3>Apple Ditches iPhone Production Increase After Demand Falters</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc.</a> is backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhones this year after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p>The Cupertino, California-based electronics maker has told suppliers to pull back from efforts to increase assembly of the iPhone 14 product family by as many as 6 million units in the second half of this year, said the people, asking not to be named as the plans are not public. Instead, the company will aim to produce 90 million handsets for the period, roughly the same level as the prior year andin linewith Apple’s original forecast this summer, the people said.</p><h3>Eisai, Biogen Say Alzheimer&#39;s Drug Succeeds in Slowing Cognitive Decline</h3><p>An experimental Alzheimer&#39;s drug developed by Eisai Co Ltd and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIIB\">Biogen Inc</a> significantly slowed cognitive and functional decline in a large trial of patients in the early stages of the disease, the companies said on Tuesday.</p><p>The injected drug, lecanemab, slowed progress of the brain-wasting disease by 27% compared to a placebo, meeting the study&#39;s main goal, and offering an apparent win for the companies and potentially for patients and their families desperate for an effective treatment.</p><h3>Ocugen Announces Agreement With Washington University</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">Ocugen, Inc.</a>, a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies and vaccines, today announced that the company has entered into an exclusive license agreement with Washington University in St. Louis, MO for the rights to develop, manufacture and commercialize its proprietary, intranasally delivered COVID-19 vaccine in the United States, Europe, and Japan. This vaccine is already authorized for emergency use in India and is an important addition to Ocugen’s COVID-19 vaccine portfolio.</p><h3>Lyft to Freeze Hiring Through Year-End on Economic Uncertainty</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">Lyft Inc.</a> said it will freeze hiring in the US at least until next year, amid economic instability that’s rattled the ride-hail giant’s stock price.</p><p>The move is an extension of Lyft’s decision toslow hiringin May. The San Francisco-based company has been focused on reining in costs and maintaining profitability in the face of a deteriorating economic outlook.</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Fall Over 100 Points; Apple Worsens Selloff in Growth Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Fall Over 100 Points; Apple Worsens Selloff in Growth Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-28 20:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures fell Wednesday as traders struggle to find their footing after the S&amp;P 500 notched a fresh bear market low in the previous session.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 96 points, or 0.33%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 21.25 points, or 0.58%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 117.5 points, or 1.04%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb3a480535ae6d186c662b67d204871\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIIB\">Biogen</a> – Biogen soared 45.6% in premarket trading after Biogen and Japanese partnerEisaisaid their experimental Alzheimer’s drug dramatically slowed the disease’s progression in a study, reducing cognitive and functional decline by 27%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/THO\">Thor Industries</a> – Thor Industries gained 3.6% in the premarket after the recreational vehicle maker reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter. Thor saw particular strength in its motorized RV segment, with a 24.5% gain over the prior year.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">Lyft</a> – Lyft said it would freeze hiring through the end of this year. That follows the ride-hailing company’s previous statement that it would slow hiring “dramatically” as it seeks to cut costs. Lyft slid 2.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> – Apple is said to be backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhone 14 line, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. That comes after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize. Apple declined 3.7% in premarket action.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">Ocugen</a> – Ocugen surged 8.2% in premarket trading after the drug maker announced a licensing agreement with Washington University in St. Louis to develop, commercialize and manufacture its intranasal Covid-19 vaccine.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> – Walt Disney is shutting its four Florida theme parks and related properties as the state braces for Hurricane Ian, which was upgraded to a Category 4 storm this morning.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">BlackBerry</a> – BlackBerry reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss and revenue that exceeded analyst forecasts, but the communications software company’s cybersecurity revenue fell amid cautious spending by customers.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CGC\">Canopy Growth</a> – Canopy Growth announced plans to divest its retail operations in Canada, selling stores to partner OEG Retail Cannabis and cannabis retailer 420 Investments. The sales come after the cannabis producer announced earlier this year that it was extending its time frame to achieve profitability. Canopy Growth shares slipped 1.8% in the premarket.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><h3>Apple Ditches iPhone Production Increase After Demand Falters</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc.</a> is backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhones this year after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p>The Cupertino, California-based electronics maker has told suppliers to pull back from efforts to increase assembly of the iPhone 14 product family by as many as 6 million units in the second half of this year, said the people, asking not to be named as the plans are not public. Instead, the company will aim to produce 90 million handsets for the period, roughly the same level as the prior year andin linewith Apple’s original forecast this summer, the people said.</p><h3>Eisai, Biogen Say Alzheimer&#39;s Drug Succeeds in Slowing Cognitive Decline</h3><p>An experimental Alzheimer&#39;s drug developed by Eisai Co Ltd and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIIB\">Biogen Inc</a> significantly slowed cognitive and functional decline in a large trial of patients in the early stages of the disease, the companies said on Tuesday.</p><p>The injected drug, lecanemab, slowed progress of the brain-wasting disease by 27% compared to a placebo, meeting the study&#39;s main goal, and offering an apparent win for the companies and potentially for patients and their families desperate for an effective treatment.</p><h3>Ocugen Announces Agreement With Washington University</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">Ocugen, Inc.</a>, a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies and vaccines, today announced that the company has entered into an exclusive license agreement with Washington University in St. Louis, MO for the rights to develop, manufacture and commercialize its proprietary, intranasally delivered COVID-19 vaccine in the United States, Europe, and Japan. This vaccine is already authorized for emergency use in India and is an important addition to Ocugen’s COVID-19 vaccine portfolio.</p><h3>Lyft to Freeze Hiring Through Year-End on Economic Uncertainty</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">Lyft Inc.</a> said it will freeze hiring in the US at least until next year, amid economic instability that’s rattled the ride-hail giant’s stock price.</p><p>The move is an extension of Lyft’s decision toslow hiringin May. The San Francisco-based company has been focused on reining in costs and maintaining profitability in the face of a deteriorating economic outlook.</p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179029261","content_text":"U.S. stock futures fell Wednesday as traders struggle to find their footing after the S&P 500 notched a fresh bear market low in the previous session.Market SnapshotAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 96 points, or 0.33%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 21.25 points, or 0.58%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 117.5 points, or 1.04%.Pre-Market MoversBiogen – Biogen soared 45.6% in premarket trading after Biogen and Japanese partnerEisaisaid their experimental Alzheimer’s drug dramatically slowed the disease’s progression in a study, reducing cognitive and functional decline by 27%.Thor Industries – Thor Industries gained 3.6% in the premarket after the recreational vehicle maker reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter. Thor saw particular strength in its motorized RV segment, with a 24.5% gain over the prior year.Lyft – Lyft said it would freeze hiring through the end of this year. That follows the ride-hailing company’s previous statement that it would slow hiring “dramatically” as it seeks to cut costs. Lyft slid 2.5% in premarket trading.Apple – Apple is said to be backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhone 14 line, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. That comes after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize. Apple declined 3.7% in premarket action.Ocugen – Ocugen surged 8.2% in premarket trading after the drug maker announced a licensing agreement with Washington University in St. Louis to develop, commercialize and manufacture its intranasal Covid-19 vaccine.Walt Disney – Walt Disney is shutting its four Florida theme parks and related properties as the state braces for Hurricane Ian, which was upgraded to a Category 4 storm this morning.BlackBerry – BlackBerry reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss and revenue that exceeded analyst forecasts, but the communications software company’s cybersecurity revenue fell amid cautious spending by customers.Canopy Growth – Canopy Growth announced plans to divest its retail operations in Canada, selling stores to partner OEG Retail Cannabis and cannabis retailer 420 Investments. The sales come after the cannabis producer announced earlier this year that it was extending its time frame to achieve profitability. Canopy Growth shares slipped 1.8% in the premarket.Market NewsApple Ditches iPhone Production Increase After Demand FaltersApple Inc. is backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhones this year after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize, according to people familiar with the matter.The Cupertino, California-based electronics maker has told suppliers to pull back from efforts to increase assembly of the iPhone 14 product family by as many as 6 million units in the second half of this year, said the people, asking not to be named as the plans are not public. Instead, the company will aim to produce 90 million handsets for the period, roughly the same level as the prior year andin linewith Apple’s original forecast this summer, the people said.Eisai, Biogen Say Alzheimer's Drug Succeeds in Slowing Cognitive DeclineAn experimental Alzheimer's drug developed by Eisai Co Ltd and Biogen Inc significantly slowed cognitive and functional decline in a large trial of patients in the early stages of the disease, the companies said on Tuesday.The injected drug, lecanemab, slowed progress of the brain-wasting disease by 27% compared to a placebo, meeting the study's main goal, and offering an apparent win for the companies and potentially for patients and their families desperate for an effective treatment.Ocugen Announces Agreement With Washington UniversityOcugen, Inc., a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies and vaccines, today announced that the company has entered into an exclusive license agreement with Washington University in St. Louis, MO for the rights to develop, manufacture and commercialize its proprietary, intranasally delivered COVID-19 vaccine in the United States, Europe, and Japan. This vaccine is already authorized for emergency use in India and is an important addition to Ocugen’s COVID-19 vaccine portfolio.Lyft to Freeze Hiring Through Year-End on Economic UncertaintyLyft Inc. said it will freeze hiring in the US at least until next year, amid economic instability that’s rattled the ride-hail giant’s stock price.The move is an extension of Lyft’s decision toslow hiringin May. The San Francisco-based company has been focused on reining in costs and maintaining profitability in the face of a deteriorating economic outlook.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918608852,"gmtCreate":1664371588977,"gmtModify":1676537442184,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Ops down here&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Ops down here&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Ops down here","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/69bba8762559a5cdadebaab46997584f","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918608852","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918608303,"gmtCreate":1664371568806,"gmtModify":1676537442184,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PDD\">$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$</a>See upOr&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PDD\">$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$</a>See upOr&nbsp;","text":"$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$See upOr","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c0e527b9ceac272fa245d45b9ed3ca69","width":"1125","height":"2325"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918608303","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918095463,"gmtCreate":1664280763952,"gmtModify":1676537424366,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918095463","repostId":"2270210341","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2270210341","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664279500,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2270210341?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-27 19:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bed Bath & Beyond's Turnaround Plan Leaves \"Questions That Have Really Not Been Answered to Any Degree\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270210341","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"When Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. reports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Thursday, analysts will have o","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>When <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc.</a> reports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Thursday, analysts will have one big question on their minds: When will turnaround efforts pay off?</p><p>The results for the home-goods retailer, which sells items like bedsheets, towels and cookware, will arrive after an epic rise and fall for the &#34;meme stock&#34; amid moves by an activist investor, aggressive cutbacks and the death of an executive that was ruled a suicide. Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">$(BBBY)$</a> turnaround efforts will be the focus of this report, and analysts already have their doubts about executives&#39; plans coming to fruition anytime soon.</p><p>Morningstar analyst Jaime Katz said she would be looking for more specifics on the second half of the company&#39;s fiscal year on Thursday, as well as what executives&#39; efforts to right the ship mean longer term for operating margins. For now, she said, the plan lacks &#34;newness&#34; -- returning to selling national brands that don&#39;t provide the retailer with pricing power, after walking back plans to sell cheaper, private-label fare that had unfocused messaging, is unlikely to be enough.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s this duration fatigue,&#34; Katz said in an interview with MarketWatch. &#34;When does it find its footing?&#34;</p><p>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond has pruned executives, slashed jobs, product offerings and spending, and announced plans to close dozens of stores. The company last month said it secured $500 million in new financing. It ended its fiscal first quarter with cash and equivalents of around $108 million, down from around $1.1 billion in the year-earlier period.</p><p>While those cuts seem like a start to the plan, the full course is still in question, Katz said, and the end appears to be nowhere in sight. Executives will attempt to give more clarity in a conference call Thursday morning following the release of the results.</p><p>&#34;Whenever you think you&#39;re sort of that the bottom, we haven&#39;t really found it yet,&#34; Katz said. &#34;Are we there? What does that look like? Those are questions that have really not been answered to any degree.&#34;</p><h3>What to expect</h3><p>Earnings: Analysts polled by FactSet on average expect Bed Bath&amp; Beyond to lose $1.80 a share on an adjusted basis, compared with a 4 cents a share in earnings a year ago. That would mark the retailer&#39;s fourth consecutive per-share loss, according to FactSet.</p><p>Contributors to Estimize -- a crowdsourcing platform that gathers estimates from Wall Street analysts as well as buy-side analysts, fund managers, company executives, academics and others -- on average are expecting a bigger loss of $1.99 a share.</p><p>Revenue: Bed Bath &amp; Beyond is expected to report sales of $1.447 billion on average, FactSet reports, compared with $1.985 billion in the year-earlier period. Estimize contributors predict $1.435 billion on average.</p><p>Stock Price: Bed Bath &amp; Beyond stock finished 4.5% lower on Monday, and is down 56% so far this year. By comparison, the S&amp;P 500  is down 23% in 2022.</p><p>Earlier in the year, activist investor Ryan Cohen -- the chairman of fellow meme stock GameStop Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a> and the founder of online pet-supplies retailer Chewy Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHWY\">$(CHWY)$</a>-- disclosed a large stake in Bed Bath &amp; Beyond. But Cohen last month unloaded that position, selling off what amounted to 11.8% of the company&#39;s shares outstanding. Shares nosedived, not long after meme traders banded together to drive the stock higher.</p><h3>What to watch for</h3><p>Katz also noted that Bed Bath &amp; Beyond reports as higher interest rates eat into demand on the housing market, and, potentially, the home furnishings sold at retailers. Analysts say the company, considered a &#34;category killer&#34; in decades past, was late on building its e-commerce infrastructure, and it has faced tougher competition from other big-box retailers and Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> .</p><p>A rushed rollout of cheaper private-label offerings through the pandemic ran up against supply-chain snarls and lukewarm consumer enthusiasm, the Wall Street Journal reported. The pandemic&#39;s stay-at-home boom gave way to the return of travel and entertainment and higher prices.</p><p>Mark Tritton, the chief executive who oversaw that private-label rollout, departed in June. Chief Financial Officer Gustavo Arnal died early this month after falling from a skyscraper in Manhattan, not long after a lawsuit alleging he and Cohen engaged in a pump-and-dump scheme involving the retailer&#39;s stock.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bed Bath & Beyond's Turnaround Plan Leaves \"Questions That Have Really Not Been Answered to Any Degree\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBed Bath & Beyond's Turnaround Plan Leaves \"Questions That Have Really Not Been Answered to Any Degree\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-27 19:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>When <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc.</a> reports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Thursday, analysts will have one big question on their minds: When will turnaround efforts pay off?</p><p>The results for the home-goods retailer, which sells items like bedsheets, towels and cookware, will arrive after an epic rise and fall for the &#34;meme stock&#34; amid moves by an activist investor, aggressive cutbacks and the death of an executive that was ruled a suicide. Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">$(BBBY)$</a> turnaround efforts will be the focus of this report, and analysts already have their doubts about executives&#39; plans coming to fruition anytime soon.</p><p>Morningstar analyst Jaime Katz said she would be looking for more specifics on the second half of the company&#39;s fiscal year on Thursday, as well as what executives&#39; efforts to right the ship mean longer term for operating margins. For now, she said, the plan lacks &#34;newness&#34; -- returning to selling national brands that don&#39;t provide the retailer with pricing power, after walking back plans to sell cheaper, private-label fare that had unfocused messaging, is unlikely to be enough.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s this duration fatigue,&#34; Katz said in an interview with MarketWatch. &#34;When does it find its footing?&#34;</p><p>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond has pruned executives, slashed jobs, product offerings and spending, and announced plans to close dozens of stores. The company last month said it secured $500 million in new financing. It ended its fiscal first quarter with cash and equivalents of around $108 million, down from around $1.1 billion in the year-earlier period.</p><p>While those cuts seem like a start to the plan, the full course is still in question, Katz said, and the end appears to be nowhere in sight. Executives will attempt to give more clarity in a conference call Thursday morning following the release of the results.</p><p>&#34;Whenever you think you&#39;re sort of that the bottom, we haven&#39;t really found it yet,&#34; Katz said. &#34;Are we there? What does that look like? Those are questions that have really not been answered to any degree.&#34;</p><h3>What to expect</h3><p>Earnings: Analysts polled by FactSet on average expect Bed Bath&amp; Beyond to lose $1.80 a share on an adjusted basis, compared with a 4 cents a share in earnings a year ago. That would mark the retailer&#39;s fourth consecutive per-share loss, according to FactSet.</p><p>Contributors to Estimize -- a crowdsourcing platform that gathers estimates from Wall Street analysts as well as buy-side analysts, fund managers, company executives, academics and others -- on average are expecting a bigger loss of $1.99 a share.</p><p>Revenue: Bed Bath &amp; Beyond is expected to report sales of $1.447 billion on average, FactSet reports, compared with $1.985 billion in the year-earlier period. Estimize contributors predict $1.435 billion on average.</p><p>Stock Price: Bed Bath &amp; Beyond stock finished 4.5% lower on Monday, and is down 56% so far this year. By comparison, the S&amp;P 500  is down 23% in 2022.</p><p>Earlier in the year, activist investor Ryan Cohen -- the chairman of fellow meme stock GameStop Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a> and the founder of online pet-supplies retailer Chewy Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHWY\">$(CHWY)$</a>-- disclosed a large stake in Bed Bath &amp; Beyond. But Cohen last month unloaded that position, selling off what amounted to 11.8% of the company&#39;s shares outstanding. Shares nosedived, not long after meme traders banded together to drive the stock higher.</p><h3>What to watch for</h3><p>Katz also noted that Bed Bath &amp; Beyond reports as higher interest rates eat into demand on the housing market, and, potentially, the home furnishings sold at retailers. Analysts say the company, considered a &#34;category killer&#34; in decades past, was late on building its e-commerce infrastructure, and it has faced tougher competition from other big-box retailers and Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> .</p><p>A rushed rollout of cheaper private-label offerings through the pandemic ran up against supply-chain snarls and lukewarm consumer enthusiasm, the Wall Street Journal reported. The pandemic&#39;s stay-at-home boom gave way to the return of travel and entertainment and higher prices.</p><p>Mark Tritton, the chief executive who oversaw that private-label rollout, departed in June. Chief Financial Officer Gustavo Arnal died early this month after falling from a skyscraper in Manhattan, not long after a lawsuit alleging he and Cohen engaged in a pump-and-dump scheme involving the retailer&#39;s stock.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"3B家居"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2270210341","content_text":"When Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. reports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Thursday, analysts will have one big question on their minds: When will turnaround efforts pay off?The results for the home-goods retailer, which sells items like bedsheets, towels and cookware, will arrive after an epic rise and fall for the \"meme stock\" amid moves by an activist investor, aggressive cutbacks and the death of an executive that was ruled a suicide. Bed Bath & Beyond's $(BBBY)$ turnaround efforts will be the focus of this report, and analysts already have their doubts about executives' plans coming to fruition anytime soon.Morningstar analyst Jaime Katz said she would be looking for more specifics on the second half of the company's fiscal year on Thursday, as well as what executives' efforts to right the ship mean longer term for operating margins. For now, she said, the plan lacks \"newness\" -- returning to selling national brands that don't provide the retailer with pricing power, after walking back plans to sell cheaper, private-label fare that had unfocused messaging, is unlikely to be enough.\"There's this duration fatigue,\" Katz said in an interview with MarketWatch. \"When does it find its footing?\"Bed Bath & Beyond has pruned executives, slashed jobs, product offerings and spending, and announced plans to close dozens of stores. The company last month said it secured $500 million in new financing. It ended its fiscal first quarter with cash and equivalents of around $108 million, down from around $1.1 billion in the year-earlier period.While those cuts seem like a start to the plan, the full course is still in question, Katz said, and the end appears to be nowhere in sight. Executives will attempt to give more clarity in a conference call Thursday morning following the release of the results.\"Whenever you think you're sort of that the bottom, we haven't really found it yet,\" Katz said. \"Are we there? What does that look like? Those are questions that have really not been answered to any degree.\"What to expectEarnings: Analysts polled by FactSet on average expect Bed Bath& Beyond to lose $1.80 a share on an adjusted basis, compared with a 4 cents a share in earnings a year ago. That would mark the retailer's fourth consecutive per-share loss, according to FactSet.Contributors to Estimize -- a crowdsourcing platform that gathers estimates from Wall Street analysts as well as buy-side analysts, fund managers, company executives, academics and others -- on average are expecting a bigger loss of $1.99 a share.Revenue: Bed Bath & Beyond is expected to report sales of $1.447 billion on average, FactSet reports, compared with $1.985 billion in the year-earlier period. Estimize contributors predict $1.435 billion on average.Stock Price: Bed Bath & Beyond stock finished 4.5% lower on Monday, and is down 56% so far this year. By comparison, the S&P 500  is down 23% in 2022.Earlier in the year, activist investor Ryan Cohen -- the chairman of fellow meme stock GameStop Inc. $(GME)$ and the founder of online pet-supplies retailer Chewy Inc. $(CHWY)$-- disclosed a large stake in Bed Bath & Beyond. But Cohen last month unloaded that position, selling off what amounted to 11.8% of the company's shares outstanding. Shares nosedived, not long after meme traders banded together to drive the stock higher.What to watch forKatz also noted that Bed Bath & Beyond reports as higher interest rates eat into demand on the housing market, and, potentially, the home furnishings sold at retailers. Analysts say the company, considered a \"category killer\" in decades past, was late on building its e-commerce infrastructure, and it has faced tougher competition from other big-box retailers and Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$ .A rushed rollout of cheaper private-label offerings through the pandemic ran up against supply-chain snarls and lukewarm consumer enthusiasm, the Wall Street Journal reported. The pandemic's stay-at-home boom gave way to the return of travel and entertainment and higher prices.Mark Tritton, the chief executive who oversaw that private-label rollout, departed in June. Chief Financial Officer Gustavo Arnal died early this month after falling from a skyscraper in Manhattan, not long after a lawsuit alleging he and Cohen engaged in a pump-and-dump scheme involving the retailer's stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":37,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911947036,"gmtCreate":1664136084725,"gmtModify":1676537393776,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911947036","repostId":"2269490734","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269490734","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664066508,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2269490734?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-25 08:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269490734","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-25 08:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269490734","content_text":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market's decline this past week following the Federal Reserve's most recent interest-rate hike announcement.To show why higher interest rates aren't necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model's track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market's subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University's finance professor Robert Shiller.In other words, the ability to predict the stock market's five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.Money illusionThese results are so surprising that it's important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years' corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it's only half the story.The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as \"inflation illusion\" -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.According to research conducted by Warr, inflation's impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed's latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.None of this means that the bear market shouldn't continue, or that equities aren't overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913493504,"gmtCreate":1664035056608,"gmtModify":1676537382007,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913493504","repostId":"1143184962","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143184962","pubTimestamp":1663946413,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143184962?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-23 23:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: A Word Of Caution From Tim Cook And iPhone 14 Pre-Orders","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143184962","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryA revenue beat from 3Q22 results came from better than expected supply side factors rather th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>A revenue beat from 3Q22 results came from better than expected supply side factors rather than from the demand side.</li><li>Tim Cook did not see any impact on demand for iPhones so far, although there were pockets of weakness in other parts of the business due to macroeconomic impacts.</li><li>There were incremental improvements made for the iPhone, AirPods and Apple Watch in the September 7 event.</li><li>Early data from pre-orders of the new iPhone 14 shows weakness in some models while the iPhone 14 Pro Max demand was strong.</li><li>My 1 year target price for Apple is $128, implying a 17% downside from current levels.</li></ul><p>Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL)has held the status as the most valuable company in the world for some time now and for good reasons. I have written about the positives as well as the negatives for the investment case for and against Apple in my previous article. In this article, I look for early warning signs that demand for Apple products may be less than expected as the global economy starts to weaken.</p><p><b>Investment thesis</b></p><p>While I continue to see Apple as an excellent company with great products and a strong brand with strong competitive moats, I do think that the current price levels are not the right levels for investors to add to Apple. The premium multiple it is commanding today comes with a high level of risk as the market is pricing in mid single digit EPS growth in the next 2 years. With the heightened risk of slowing of the macroeconomic environment and potentially a recession, demand for Apple&#39;s products could start to wane as consumers become more sensitive in their spending.</p><p>As such, I think that the current premium multiple is not warranted given the possibility of further downward revisions to the mid single digit EPS that is priced in today. Even with the competitive moat that Apple has today, with a hefty price tag of 24x 2023 P/E with 6% EPS growth from 2023 to 2024, I think that there could be more downside to come for Apple.</p><p><b>3Q22 revenue beat came from supply side</b></p><p>In the current 3Q22 quarter, the company posted a revenue beat of $2.8 billion. Given that management guided that they expect a supply chain impact of about $4 billion to $8 billion for the current quarter, the approximately $3.5 billion in supply chain impact brought a positive impact of about $2.5 billion to the average of $6 billion supply chain impacts that would be expected for the quarter. As a result, the revenue beat did come from better than expected supply side factors, which is of course, positive news given that supply chain issues have been a major constraint for some of its products.</p><p>That said, I take a more cautious view on the demand side of things for Apple until I start to see demand driving the beat. I would look at the sales of the newest iPhone 14 models to gauge for demand since, as highlighted in my previous article, the iPhone takes up more than50%of Apple&#39;s total revenues.</p><p><b>Weak guidance</b></p><p>Although Apple does not usually give a specific numeric guidance, the fourth quarter guidance was less clear than normally provided. In terms of how the macroeconomic environment and higher inflation is affecting the business, I think that it is encouraging that management cleared the air that for the iPhone in particular, there were no obvious signs that macroeconomic factors were affecting the business.</p><p>However, it is also worth pointing out that CEO Tim Cook did acknowledge pockets of weakness in Wearables and Services as these businesses seem to be experiencing the impacts of weakening macroeconomic environment. Mac and iPad were constrained by supply which were not enough to test the demand. Also, there are headwinds coming from the foreign exchange as there were 300 basis points that had an impact on growth rates in the current quarter coming from these FX headwinds.</p><p>All in all, while there are pockets of weakness, I think that it is not all doom for Apple as consumer demand for the iPhone still looks to be holding up. Should there be any signs of weakness in demand for the iPhone 14, I think that this may spell near-term trouble for the company. However, I think management is currently being cautious about expectations rather than management signaling that consumer demand is waning. Furthermore, I think that the uncertain global environment does make it relatively more difficult for a clearer guidance.</p><p><b>Apple&#39;s 7 Sept event</b></p><p>As usual, Apple&#39;s biggest event of the calendar year was met with much enthusiasm. It was great to see incremental improvements, in my view, for their launches of the new iPhone, Watch and AirPods during the 7 September event.</p><p>Firstly, I would highlight the pricing for all models of its iPhones remain unchanged. In my view, this is necessary given that Apple could see a shift in demand from iPhone Pro to its non-Pro models if there were a price increase. Apple&#39;s iPhone Pro mix was abnormally higher during the pandemic and an increase in prices for the iPhone 14 Pro might have risked a more drastic normalization of the iPhone mix.</p><p>Apple did release other features like the Emergency SOS service that uses satellite connectivity which will be free for 2 years for all the new phones that allow for the service, as well as the Dynamic Island that is meant as a clever use of the cutout in the iPhone Pro model for showing alerts. The iPhone Pro model also has an updated 48MP quad-pixel sensor and up from the previous model&#39;s 12MP. Action mode was also launched for videos to look more smooth in videos with significant motion.</p><p>Targeting the fitness and outdoor enthusiasts that currently use watches from companies like Garmin, Apple launched the Apple Ultra Watch. It is a new premium watch with a 49mm titanium case and the watch has improved multi band GPS and the new L5frequency, with a pricing of $799. Furthermore, the company eliminated the Apple Watch Series 3 while reducing the price of the Apple Watch SE by $30 to $249. This means that the most affordable Apple Watch is now the Apple Watch SE.</p><p>Other upgrades include an upgrade to the AirPods Pro, with a new H2 chip that is said to have better sound quality, almost 2x better noise cancellation as well as a longer battery life of6 hours compared to the 4.5 hours in the previous version. Also, the pricing of the new AirPods Pro remains unchanged at $249.</p><p>All in all, while there were incremental improvements during the event for the new iPhone, Watch and AirPods, I take the view that these will not make meaningful improvements to the company&#39;s business or growth. With the event now behind us, this also leaves one less catalyst for the Apple stock in the near term and since this event does not move the needle much, most of the upside or downside in the near term will still come from the higher or lower demand for Apple&#39;s products in the current uncertain economic environment.</p><p><b>Early signs of demand from iPhone 14 launch</b></p><p>While it may be premature to gauge how the sales of the newest iPhone 14 will be in the next year, the data from the launch can be a good leading indicator of what we can expect moving forward. Furthermore, typically the more loyal Apple fans will be the ones buying the latest model near launch date and may not be a good representation of what the true demand is going forward.</p><p>An analyst from TF Securities has done the good work of analyzing and providing data on the pre-orders of Apple&#39;s newest iPhone 14 models. What he found was that for the top end model, iPhone 14 Pro Max, this surpassed the demand that was seen in the same period last year, for which the analyst rated good. The iPhone 14 Pro saw the same demand as the iPhone 13 Pro one year before and thus, was labeled as neutral. The iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 plus were rated a bad rating.</p><p>I think what this means is that we will see a shift in the mix towards the higher end model and thus a higher average selling price given the strong numbers for the iPhone 14 Pro Max. Furthermore, it does imply that the higher end consumers continue to be willing to spend and that iPhone 14 Pro Max&#39;s features and upgrades are the most attractive relative to the other 3 models.</p><p>The iPhone 14 plus had a weaker demand than that of the iPhone 13 mini launched last year, and the two models of iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 plus made up 45% of total shipments.</p><p>It remains to be seen whether the relatively stronger demand for the iPhone 14 Pro Max will be sustained past the early pre-order phase as we might see demand wane if the less loyal Apple consumers may not have the same enthusiasm for the iPhone 14 Pro Max as those who made the pre-order.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Apple is currently trading at 24x 2023 P/E and 23x 2024 P/E. Embedded in this P/E is the pricing in of 6% growth on average in these 2 years. Even though I acknowledge Apple has one of the best businesses and competitive moats, I think that Apple still looks expensive to me at current levels.</p><p>I think that Apple&#39;s premium multiple makes it difficult for me to justify investment into the company at current levels because of the risks of macro economy weakening going into 2023, bringing downside to the current 6% average growth expected over the next 2 years. Furthermore, paying 24x 2023 P/E for 6% growth rate does not make sense to me as I see better opportunities out there.</p><p>I apply a 20x P/E multiple to my 2023F EPS estimate of $6.40. As such, my 1 year target price for Apple is $128, implying 17% downside from current levels. While I have not priced in a recession scenario in my EPS estimates for 2023F, I think that my estimates are relatively de-risked from that of Wall Street and my lower P/E multiple takes into account the higher risk we are seeing today with regard to the weakening macro situation.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>Macroeconomic environment</p><p>While it can be argued that Apple has the most loyal fans, the uncertainty around the global macroeconomic environment now means that there are heightened risks that demand could fade if the economy makes a turn for the worse. I think that the main risk for Apple right now both for the upside and the downside is how demand plays out in the near-term. If demand holds up better than expected, we could see further upside in the stock price. However, if the recession scenario does occur and demand falls, there could be substantial downside to come.</p><p>Market share loss in high end smartphone markets</p><p>While Apple has one of the best competitive moats in the world, sometimes, the bigger they come, the harder they may fall. As such, I think it is crucial Apple maintains this competitive advantage. If Apple is unable to maintain its competitive advantage as an ecosystem leader, other high end smartphone players may take up market share and this will negatively affect share price.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Although Apple&#39;s strong platform creates optionality longer term we see this as offset by a premium multiple and both macro and normalization risks to numbers heading into 2023. We believe there are better options for investors wishing to weather deteriorating macro elsewhere in our coverage.</p><p>I prefer to be on the sidelines with Apple at the current levels, and maintain my neutral rating. There are warning signs for the business appearing as Tim Cook has mentioned some pockets of weakness in the business in the 2Q22 call, supply side factors driving the revenue beat in 2Q22, and iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 plus models not being well received in the pre-order stage. That said, I continue to like Apple as a business for the long-term with a great management running the show with best-in-class products and strong brand reputation. The premium valuation is not justified with the heightened risks that we are seeing going into 2023 with risks of weakening of consumer sentiment and potentially a recession. As such, I think that market has not yet priced in these risks for Apple. My 1 year target price for Apple is $128, implying 17% downside from current levels.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: A Word Of Caution From Tim Cook And iPhone 14 Pre-Orders</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: A Word Of Caution From Tim Cook And iPhone 14 Pre-Orders\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-23 23:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542569-apple-a-word-of-caution-from-tim-cook-and-iphone-14-pre-orders?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A7><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA revenue beat from 3Q22 results came from better than expected supply side factors rather than from the demand side.Tim Cook did not see any impact on demand for iPhones so far, although there...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542569-apple-a-word-of-caution-from-tim-cook-and-iphone-14-pre-orders?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A7\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542569-apple-a-word-of-caution-from-tim-cook-and-iphone-14-pre-orders?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A7","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143184962","content_text":"SummaryA revenue beat from 3Q22 results came from better than expected supply side factors rather than from the demand side.Tim Cook did not see any impact on demand for iPhones so far, although there were pockets of weakness in other parts of the business due to macroeconomic impacts.There were incremental improvements made for the iPhone, AirPods and Apple Watch in the September 7 event.Early data from pre-orders of the new iPhone 14 shows weakness in some models while the iPhone 14 Pro Max demand was strong.My 1 year target price for Apple is $128, implying a 17% downside from current levels.Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL)has held the status as the most valuable company in the world for some time now and for good reasons. I have written about the positives as well as the negatives for the investment case for and against Apple in my previous article. In this article, I look for early warning signs that demand for Apple products may be less than expected as the global economy starts to weaken.Investment thesisWhile I continue to see Apple as an excellent company with great products and a strong brand with strong competitive moats, I do think that the current price levels are not the right levels for investors to add to Apple. The premium multiple it is commanding today comes with a high level of risk as the market is pricing in mid single digit EPS growth in the next 2 years. With the heightened risk of slowing of the macroeconomic environment and potentially a recession, demand for Apple's products could start to wane as consumers become more sensitive in their spending.As such, I think that the current premium multiple is not warranted given the possibility of further downward revisions to the mid single digit EPS that is priced in today. Even with the competitive moat that Apple has today, with a hefty price tag of 24x 2023 P/E with 6% EPS growth from 2023 to 2024, I think that there could be more downside to come for Apple.3Q22 revenue beat came from supply sideIn the current 3Q22 quarter, the company posted a revenue beat of $2.8 billion. Given that management guided that they expect a supply chain impact of about $4 billion to $8 billion for the current quarter, the approximately $3.5 billion in supply chain impact brought a positive impact of about $2.5 billion to the average of $6 billion supply chain impacts that would be expected for the quarter. As a result, the revenue beat did come from better than expected supply side factors, which is of course, positive news given that supply chain issues have been a major constraint for some of its products.That said, I take a more cautious view on the demand side of things for Apple until I start to see demand driving the beat. I would look at the sales of the newest iPhone 14 models to gauge for demand since, as highlighted in my previous article, the iPhone takes up more than50%of Apple's total revenues.Weak guidanceAlthough Apple does not usually give a specific numeric guidance, the fourth quarter guidance was less clear than normally provided. In terms of how the macroeconomic environment and higher inflation is affecting the business, I think that it is encouraging that management cleared the air that for the iPhone in particular, there were no obvious signs that macroeconomic factors were affecting the business.However, it is also worth pointing out that CEO Tim Cook did acknowledge pockets of weakness in Wearables and Services as these businesses seem to be experiencing the impacts of weakening macroeconomic environment. Mac and iPad were constrained by supply which were not enough to test the demand. Also, there are headwinds coming from the foreign exchange as there were 300 basis points that had an impact on growth rates in the current quarter coming from these FX headwinds.All in all, while there are pockets of weakness, I think that it is not all doom for Apple as consumer demand for the iPhone still looks to be holding up. Should there be any signs of weakness in demand for the iPhone 14, I think that this may spell near-term trouble for the company. However, I think management is currently being cautious about expectations rather than management signaling that consumer demand is waning. Furthermore, I think that the uncertain global environment does make it relatively more difficult for a clearer guidance.Apple's 7 Sept eventAs usual, Apple's biggest event of the calendar year was met with much enthusiasm. It was great to see incremental improvements, in my view, for their launches of the new iPhone, Watch and AirPods during the 7 September event.Firstly, I would highlight the pricing for all models of its iPhones remain unchanged. In my view, this is necessary given that Apple could see a shift in demand from iPhone Pro to its non-Pro models if there were a price increase. Apple's iPhone Pro mix was abnormally higher during the pandemic and an increase in prices for the iPhone 14 Pro might have risked a more drastic normalization of the iPhone mix.Apple did release other features like the Emergency SOS service that uses satellite connectivity which will be free for 2 years for all the new phones that allow for the service, as well as the Dynamic Island that is meant as a clever use of the cutout in the iPhone Pro model for showing alerts. The iPhone Pro model also has an updated 48MP quad-pixel sensor and up from the previous model's 12MP. Action mode was also launched for videos to look more smooth in videos with significant motion.Targeting the fitness and outdoor enthusiasts that currently use watches from companies like Garmin, Apple launched the Apple Ultra Watch. It is a new premium watch with a 49mm titanium case and the watch has improved multi band GPS and the new L5frequency, with a pricing of $799. Furthermore, the company eliminated the Apple Watch Series 3 while reducing the price of the Apple Watch SE by $30 to $249. This means that the most affordable Apple Watch is now the Apple Watch SE.Other upgrades include an upgrade to the AirPods Pro, with a new H2 chip that is said to have better sound quality, almost 2x better noise cancellation as well as a longer battery life of6 hours compared to the 4.5 hours in the previous version. Also, the pricing of the new AirPods Pro remains unchanged at $249.All in all, while there were incremental improvements during the event for the new iPhone, Watch and AirPods, I take the view that these will not make meaningful improvements to the company's business or growth. With the event now behind us, this also leaves one less catalyst for the Apple stock in the near term and since this event does not move the needle much, most of the upside or downside in the near term will still come from the higher or lower demand for Apple's products in the current uncertain economic environment.Early signs of demand from iPhone 14 launchWhile it may be premature to gauge how the sales of the newest iPhone 14 will be in the next year, the data from the launch can be a good leading indicator of what we can expect moving forward. Furthermore, typically the more loyal Apple fans will be the ones buying the latest model near launch date and may not be a good representation of what the true demand is going forward.An analyst from TF Securities has done the good work of analyzing and providing data on the pre-orders of Apple's newest iPhone 14 models. What he found was that for the top end model, iPhone 14 Pro Max, this surpassed the demand that was seen in the same period last year, for which the analyst rated good. The iPhone 14 Pro saw the same demand as the iPhone 13 Pro one year before and thus, was labeled as neutral. The iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 plus were rated a bad rating.I think what this means is that we will see a shift in the mix towards the higher end model and thus a higher average selling price given the strong numbers for the iPhone 14 Pro Max. Furthermore, it does imply that the higher end consumers continue to be willing to spend and that iPhone 14 Pro Max's features and upgrades are the most attractive relative to the other 3 models.The iPhone 14 plus had a weaker demand than that of the iPhone 13 mini launched last year, and the two models of iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 plus made up 45% of total shipments.It remains to be seen whether the relatively stronger demand for the iPhone 14 Pro Max will be sustained past the early pre-order phase as we might see demand wane if the less loyal Apple consumers may not have the same enthusiasm for the iPhone 14 Pro Max as those who made the pre-order.ValuationApple is currently trading at 24x 2023 P/E and 23x 2024 P/E. Embedded in this P/E is the pricing in of 6% growth on average in these 2 years. Even though I acknowledge Apple has one of the best businesses and competitive moats, I think that Apple still looks expensive to me at current levels.I think that Apple's premium multiple makes it difficult for me to justify investment into the company at current levels because of the risks of macro economy weakening going into 2023, bringing downside to the current 6% average growth expected over the next 2 years. Furthermore, paying 24x 2023 P/E for 6% growth rate does not make sense to me as I see better opportunities out there.I apply a 20x P/E multiple to my 2023F EPS estimate of $6.40. As such, my 1 year target price for Apple is $128, implying 17% downside from current levels. While I have not priced in a recession scenario in my EPS estimates for 2023F, I think that my estimates are relatively de-risked from that of Wall Street and my lower P/E multiple takes into account the higher risk we are seeing today with regard to the weakening macro situation.RisksMacroeconomic environmentWhile it can be argued that Apple has the most loyal fans, the uncertainty around the global macroeconomic environment now means that there are heightened risks that demand could fade if the economy makes a turn for the worse. I think that the main risk for Apple right now both for the upside and the downside is how demand plays out in the near-term. If demand holds up better than expected, we could see further upside in the stock price. However, if the recession scenario does occur and demand falls, there could be substantial downside to come.Market share loss in high end smartphone marketsWhile Apple has one of the best competitive moats in the world, sometimes, the bigger they come, the harder they may fall. As such, I think it is crucial Apple maintains this competitive advantage. If Apple is unable to maintain its competitive advantage as an ecosystem leader, other high end smartphone players may take up market share and this will negatively affect share price.ConclusionAlthough Apple's strong platform creates optionality longer term we see this as offset by a premium multiple and both macro and normalization risks to numbers heading into 2023. We believe there are better options for investors wishing to weather deteriorating macro elsewhere in our coverage.I prefer to be on the sidelines with Apple at the current levels, and maintain my neutral rating. There are warning signs for the business appearing as Tim Cook has mentioned some pockets of weakness in the business in the 2Q22 call, supply side factors driving the revenue beat in 2Q22, and iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 plus models not being well received in the pre-order stage. That said, I continue to like Apple as a business for the long-term with a great management running the show with best-in-class products and strong brand reputation. The premium valuation is not justified with the heightened risks that we are seeing going into 2023 with risks of weakening of consumer sentiment and potentially a recession. As such, I think that market has not yet priced in these risks for Apple. My 1 year target price for Apple is $128, implying 17% downside from current levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913493046,"gmtCreate":1664034963385,"gmtModify":1676537381992,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913493046","repostId":"2269657466","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269657466","pubTimestamp":1663980236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2269657466?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-24 08:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why I'm Not Worried About the Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269657466","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A lot of scary words have been floating around with \"recession\" and \"inflation\" at the top of the li","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A lot of scary words have been floating around with &#34;recession&#34; and &#34;inflation&#34; at the top of the list. People are worried about the economy and the Federal Reserve has not been helping as it steadily raises interest rates. That, in theory, acts as a check on inflation, but mostly makes money more expensive which impacts mortgage rates, credit card interest, and really any money people borrow going forward.</p><p>That has driven the Dow Jones Industrial Average steadily downward. The index fell by nearly 500 points on Sept. 23 sending it to a low for 2022. In a broad sense. it&#39;s not just the Dow as the Nasdaq has steadily fallen as well.</p><p>We all know the story and understand the fears, but market fears about what might happen don&#39;t actually track with what&#39;s actually happening in the U.S. economy.</p><h2>The U.S. Economy Has Been Strong</h2><p>Obviously, inflation has hit many lower-income Americans hard. But the employment market remains strong with the unemployment rate sitting at 3.7%. That&#39;s not quite a historical low, but it&#39;s in that range. In addition, there&#39;s exactly one-half of an available job seeker for every available job opening, That actually is a historical low since the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been tracking that data.</p><p>Job openings, however, don&#39;t always mean good jobs, but wages have also been rising in the service industry and even fast food jobs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YUM\">Yum! Brands</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">Starbucks</a>, and a number of other retailers have embraced a $15 minimum wage.</p><p>And, while the employment market remains strong, the flip side of that is rising housing costs coupled with higher mortgage rates. That&#39;s not great news for people buying a house (even if history suggests they still should) but it has a flip side. If you own a house, it has become a fast-rising asset that increases your net worth.</p><p>The economy is, of course, personal. If you can&#39;t find a job or afford to live where you want to, that&#39;s very real. Broadly, however, there are a lot of signs that the economy remains strong and that many of the issues we&#39;re having relate to what might be called a pandemic hangover.</p><h2>Market Drops Are the Best Times to Invest</h2><p>Many of my favorite companies have dropped by 30% or more. I don&#39;t stop believing in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a>, or <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>  (just to name a few) because their share prices have fallen. In fact, I look at all three of these companies and how they handled the pandemic and prepared for the future and feel better about them.</p><p>Stock price does not always equate to performance in the short term. Disney, for example, has the best intellectual property (IP) of any entertainment company and has endless pricing power. In fact, if you were offered &#34;every other companies&#39; IP&#34; or Disney&#39;s, you can make  a case to take Disney.</p><p>Costco just delivered one of its highest renewal rates ever (over 92%) and continues to add members, Microsoft has only gotten stronger as it pivots more fully to a software as a service model, yet all three of those companies have seen double digit stock drops this year.</p><p>In a bad market, I cling to the mantra &#34;time in the market beats timing the market.&#34; Now is the time to add to your holdings in really strong companies. Consider that good companies are now on sale, really big sales in some cases, and add strategically to your long-term holdings.</p><p>After you do that, remember that long-term means years. Check in on the companies you own to make sure they have stayed on course, but don&#39;t check your portfolio everyday. A market drop feels bad, but historically, it means nothing. Good companies will recover and investing in them, plus time (maybe a lot of time) is what makes investors rich.</p><p>BY DANIEL KLINE</p></body></html>","source":"thestreet_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why I'm Not Worried About the Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy I'm Not Worried About the Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-24 08:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-im-not-worried-about-the-stock-market><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A lot of scary words have been floating around with \"recession\" and \"inflation\" at the top of the list. People are worried about the economy and the Federal Reserve has not been helping as it steadily...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-im-not-worried-about-the-stock-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4567":"ESG概念","WMT":"沃尔玛","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4114":"综合货品商店","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4577":"网络游戏","COST":"好市多","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4538":"云计算","BK4579":"人工智能","MSFT":"微软","DIS":"迪士尼","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4136":"纸材料包装","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4155":"大卖场与超市","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","TGT":"塔吉特","BK4209":"餐馆","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","YUM":"百胜餐饮集团","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","SBUX":"星巴克","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4576":"AR"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-im-not-worried-about-the-stock-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269657466","content_text":"A lot of scary words have been floating around with \"recession\" and \"inflation\" at the top of the list. People are worried about the economy and the Federal Reserve has not been helping as it steadily raises interest rates. That, in theory, acts as a check on inflation, but mostly makes money more expensive which impacts mortgage rates, credit card interest, and really any money people borrow going forward.That has driven the Dow Jones Industrial Average steadily downward. The index fell by nearly 500 points on Sept. 23 sending it to a low for 2022. In a broad sense. it's not just the Dow as the Nasdaq has steadily fallen as well.We all know the story and understand the fears, but market fears about what might happen don't actually track with what's actually happening in the U.S. economy.The U.S. Economy Has Been StrongObviously, inflation has hit many lower-income Americans hard. But the employment market remains strong with the unemployment rate sitting at 3.7%. That's not quite a historical low, but it's in that range. In addition, there's exactly one-half of an available job seeker for every available job opening, That actually is a historical low since the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been tracking that data.Job openings, however, don't always mean good jobs, but wages have also been rising in the service industry and even fast food jobs. Walmart, Target, Yum! Brands, Starbucks, and a number of other retailers have embraced a $15 minimum wage.And, while the employment market remains strong, the flip side of that is rising housing costs coupled with higher mortgage rates. That's not great news for people buying a house (even if history suggests they still should) but it has a flip side. If you own a house, it has become a fast-rising asset that increases your net worth.The economy is, of course, personal. If you can't find a job or afford to live where you want to, that's very real. Broadly, however, there are a lot of signs that the economy remains strong and that many of the issues we're having relate to what might be called a pandemic hangover.Market Drops Are the Best Times to InvestMany of my favorite companies have dropped by 30% or more. I don't stop believing in Costco, Walt Disney, or Microsoft  (just to name a few) because their share prices have fallen. In fact, I look at all three of these companies and how they handled the pandemic and prepared for the future and feel better about them.Stock price does not always equate to performance in the short term. Disney, for example, has the best intellectual property (IP) of any entertainment company and has endless pricing power. In fact, if you were offered \"every other companies' IP\" or Disney's, you can make  a case to take Disney.Costco just delivered one of its highest renewal rates ever (over 92%) and continues to add members, Microsoft has only gotten stronger as it pivots more fully to a software as a service model, yet all three of those companies have seen double digit stock drops this year.In a bad market, I cling to the mantra \"time in the market beats timing the market.\" Now is the time to add to your holdings in really strong companies. Consider that good companies are now on sale, really big sales in some cases, and add strategically to your long-term holdings.After you do that, remember that long-term means years. Check in on the companies you own to make sure they have stayed on course, but don't check your portfolio everyday. A market drop feels bad, but historically, it means nothing. Good companies will recover and investing in them, plus time (maybe a lot of time) is what makes investors rich.BY DANIEL KLINE","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":247442125238336,"gmtCreate":1701448587239,"gmtModify":1701448591824,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Haha money money come&nbsp;","listText":"Haha money money come&nbsp;","text":"Haha money money come","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/247442125238336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993825574,"gmtCreate":1660664435601,"gmtModify":1676536374866,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993825574","repostId":"2259839211","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2259839211","pubTimestamp":1660659198,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2259839211?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-16 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259839211","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Tesla(TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares pri","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Tesla</b> (<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.</li><li>Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.</li><li>Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares prior to the split.</li></ul><p><b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) stock hasn’t looked this good in a while.</p><p>Not long ago, the company revealed that the electric vehicle (or EV) manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.</p><p>For these reasons, or just because Tesla is a premier business and a pioneer in vehicle electrification, you should consider owning TSLA stock now.</p><p>Make no mistake about it: Musk is a controversial figure. Everybody and his uncle has been talking about how Musk sold nearly $7 billion worth of Tesla shares recently. Yet, you don’t have to let this distract you from the more important developments surrounding Tesla.</p><p>Musk is, among other things, a master of using the media to generate attention for Tesla. He teased a couple of new vehicle models recently, and this could generate investor interest in Tesla. Besides, the upcoming share split will likely entice more people into the trade.</p><table border=\"1\"><tbody><tr><td><b><u>TSLA</u></b></td><td><b>Tesla</b></td><td>$927.96</td></tr></tbody></table><h2>What’s Happening with TSLA Stock?</h2><p>Throughout 2022 so far, TSLA stock has achieved $1,000 on more than one occasion but couldn’t hold that level. The buyers will have to put in some work to reclaim $1,000 and keep the Tesla share price there.</p><p>However, soon $1,000 won’t be the near-term objective anymore. That’s because Tesla’s board of directors approved a three-for-one share split, which will apply to shareholders of record on Aug. 17.</p><p>So, if you’re serious about investing in Tesla and making the most of this situation, you can buy some TSLA stock shares prior to Aug. 17. Also, mark Aug. 25 on your calendar, as that’s when the stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis.</p><p>As the shares become more affordable, traders will smaller account sizes will probably be enticed to invest in Tesla. And of course, when there are more buyers involved, this should put upward price pressure on the stock.</p><h2>Musk Teases <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> New Tesla Vehicle Models</h2><p>As I mentioned before, Musk is masterful when it comes to using the media to generate buzz for Tesla. That’s exactly what he did when he recently tweeted, “Tesla 500 mile range Semi Truck starts shipping this year, Cybertruck next year.”</p><p>This tweet immediately made the financial headlines, so Musk can say, “Mission accomplished.” The Cybertruck is Tesla’s version of a pickup truck, so truckers who’ve hesitated to join the vehicle electrification movement might now be persuaded to give Tesla’s electric truck a try.</p><p>Along with all of this, you can simply hold TSLA stock because the company is an EV-market powerhouse. As you may recall, Tesla’s revenue jumped 42% year over year in 2022’s second quarter. Figures like this should remind us all that Musk’s company was, and still remains, an EV pioneer.</p><h2>What You Can Do Now</h2><p>For all of the reasons discussed here, feel free to add to your share position in Tesla prior to Aug. 17. And if you don’t have a position already, now’s a great time to start one.</p><p>Otherwise, you may regret it as stock-split mania could push TSLA stock much higher. Eventually, even after the split, the stock might reach $1,000 and then some.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSLA Is a Must-Buy Ahead of the Aug. 17 Tesla Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-16 22:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla (TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-is-a-must-buy-ahead-of-the-aug-17-tesla-stock-split/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2259839211","content_text":"Tesla (TSLA) will enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17.Also, Tesla CEO Elon Musk teased the upcoming release of two new vehicle models.Investors should hold at least a few TSLA stock shares prior to the split.Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock hasn’t looked this good in a while.Not long ago, the company revealed that the electric vehicle (or EV) manufacturer plans to enact a three-for-one share split on Aug. 17. Furthermore, CEO Elon Musk tweeted a hint that two new EV models will be shipped out.For these reasons, or just because Tesla is a premier business and a pioneer in vehicle electrification, you should consider owning TSLA stock now.Make no mistake about it: Musk is a controversial figure. Everybody and his uncle has been talking about how Musk sold nearly $7 billion worth of Tesla shares recently. Yet, you don’t have to let this distract you from the more important developments surrounding Tesla.Musk is, among other things, a master of using the media to generate attention for Tesla. He teased a couple of new vehicle models recently, and this could generate investor interest in Tesla. Besides, the upcoming share split will likely entice more people into the trade.TSLATesla$927.96What’s Happening with TSLA Stock?Throughout 2022 so far, TSLA stock has achieved $1,000 on more than one occasion but couldn’t hold that level. The buyers will have to put in some work to reclaim $1,000 and keep the Tesla share price there.However, soon $1,000 won’t be the near-term objective anymore. That’s because Tesla’s board of directors approved a three-for-one share split, which will apply to shareholders of record on Aug. 17.So, if you’re serious about investing in Tesla and making the most of this situation, you can buy some TSLA stock shares prior to Aug. 17. Also, mark Aug. 25 on your calendar, as that’s when the stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis.As the shares become more affordable, traders will smaller account sizes will probably be enticed to invest in Tesla. And of course, when there are more buyers involved, this should put upward price pressure on the stock.Musk Teases Two New Tesla Vehicle ModelsAs I mentioned before, Musk is masterful when it comes to using the media to generate buzz for Tesla. That’s exactly what he did when he recently tweeted, “Tesla 500 mile range Semi Truck starts shipping this year, Cybertruck next year.”This tweet immediately made the financial headlines, so Musk can say, “Mission accomplished.” The Cybertruck is Tesla’s version of a pickup truck, so truckers who’ve hesitated to join the vehicle electrification movement might now be persuaded to give Tesla’s electric truck a try.Along with all of this, you can simply hold TSLA stock because the company is an EV-market powerhouse. As you may recall, Tesla’s revenue jumped 42% year over year in 2022’s second quarter. Figures like this should remind us all that Musk’s company was, and still remains, an EV pioneer.What You Can Do NowFor all of the reasons discussed here, feel free to add to your share position in Tesla prior to Aug. 17. And if you don’t have a position already, now’s a great time to start one.Otherwise, you may regret it as stock-split mania could push TSLA stock much higher. Eventually, even after the split, the stock might reach $1,000 and then some.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919725960,"gmtCreate":1663874487650,"gmtModify":1676537352946,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919725960","repostId":"1152785107","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152785107","pubTimestamp":1663860360,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152785107?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-22 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152785107","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>While fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.</li><li>We believe SPY remains on course to make new all-time highs in the coming year or so.</li><li>Our evidence for this?  Basic pattern recognition coupled with a high-octane dose of cynicism.</li></ul><p><i>DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer</i> <i>to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note&#39;s date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.</i></p><p>It&#39;s Not Going To Zero. Really It Isn&#39;t.</p><p>As everyone knows the whole market is going to zero, fast, or if not zero then maybe 3000 on the S&amp;P and 10000 on the Nasdaq or whatever. The just desserts of an economy over-fattened by Fed helicopter money with a workforce that would rather buy-pumpkin-spice-latte-pay-later-when-mom-lends-me-the-money than get down to a hard day&#39;s work from dawn to dusk. The decadence of the end of empire. America the Great is Finished. Finished, I tell you!</p><p>This garbage is all over FinTwit right now and in truth it&#39;s not worth reading. The market will go up or it will go down but it has nothing to do with whether Chad makes his Klarna payment or not. It has to do with the institutional dynamic of moving money around in order to generate gains whether the weather be good or whether the weather be bad. And no more so than around key dates such as quarterly options expiry and FOMC prints.</p><p><b>Let&#39;s Talk About SPY</b></p><p>OK folks, let&#39;s just take a step back and zoom out onNYSEARCA:SPY. Using absolutely standard technical analysis pattern-recognition tools (we like the Elliott Wave / Fibonacci method, but, other methods also are available) we can say that in the larger degree, SPY has been carving out a 5-wave up cycle since its 2015 lows. Like this</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca80a46b6ff8f158873974f116b4ad7f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Chart I(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p>Wave 1 moves up from the 2015 lows to the 2019 high, adding around $158/share on the way up.</p><p>Wave 2 moves from the pre-Covid high to the crisis low, in a Yikes Cat type move as befits a Wave 2, troughs at the 0.786 retrace for a $122/share correction.</p><p>Then Wave 3, adding $283/share to peak a little above the 1.618 extension of Wave 1 (the share price movement in W1 multiplied by 1.618 and placed at the Wave 2 low), right at the end of 2021.</p><p>And along comes the will-it-ever-end Wave 4 selloff of 2022 which despite the apparent unrelented selling - just ask anyone on FinTwit, they&#39;ll tell you! - troughed in June at between the 0.5 and 0.618 retrace of that big Wave 3 high.</p><p>So now the standard Elliott Wave pattern tells us that SPY can make a new high in a final Wave 5 up, peaking sometime in 2023 most likely. A minimum target of $480 or better, enough to just peak above that Wave 3 high.</p><p>Yes, we&#39;re saying SPY can climb to never-before-conquered levels despite inflation and recession and 75bps and labor market and blah. Why? Because SPY has traded <i>so</i> well to this standard pattern for so long that we believe it more likely than not that it sees the pattern through to the end.</p><p>But don&#39;t take our word for it. Let&#39;s zoom in. As you know, if SPY has commenced its climb up from the June lows towards its final resting place in the sky, it ought to be showing wave progress in the smaller degree too.</p><p>And is it ever. Today&#39;s close was actually funny, so perfectly did the ETF kiss the 0.618 retraces of Wave 3 on the way up then the 0.786 retrace on the way down. But even after this dump the stock remains perfectly positioned to move up. This is the Wave 1 and Wave 2 in the smaller degree up off of the June lows. That is one picture-perfect Wave 2 low right there. We shall see what happens but to us that&#39;s thus far confirming evidence that SPY will be moving up.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65bfa539e75474ecde04800d17b63585\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Chart II(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p><b>What The Fed Is Going On Then?</b></p><p>Today was a very strange day if you look closely. The index ETFs SPY and QQQ both did exactly the same thing - the two charts above are in essence carbon copies whether you look at the QQQ or the SPY. Up then down, to close down, at a level suggesting that the next big move is up. But still bright red on the day.</p><p>Whereas ostensibly more scary stocks like Cloudflare (NET), Palantir (PLTR), DataDog (DDOG) and so on - were ...<i>up</i>? Huh?</p><p>We may be able to shed some light on this. Now, we hate to come over all FinTwit once more and be shouting about <i>manipulation</i> and so forth. Because that&#39;s just naive. In the Great Online Game of traded securities, the game is in fact that all the other players are trying to take all your money off of you. That is Rule 1. The basic rule. The constitution upon which all other rules are founded. And further, while we don&#39;t doubt that there are some bad apples in the virtual Big Apple that&#39;s rather quaintly still referred to as The Street, most times Big Money is just doing its job which is, being good at taking money off of Chad and not letting Chad take money off of it, or at least not for very long.</p><p>You see in the index ETFs there&#39;s a hugely powerful force at work - not Jerome Powell, not Redditors, but the options market. The capital sloshing around in options way exceeds the capital in equities, and as a result it&#39;s to some degree true that options are the primary security class, equities the derivatives. As a simple illustration, here you can see how the major reversal points in SPY in recent years have coincided with major options expiry dates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1de0c0082c1ca0ce7a2e248d7d64ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Chart III(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p>Options markets love FOMC days because the emotion - the volatility - is running high. And you have a wall of capital in SPY and QQQ puts and calls sat driving the ETF stocks around all day. It&#39;s no surprise on that basis that the closing price - the place where the option probability surface collapses to a singularity - hit a key technical level in both the SPY and the QQQ with such precision. Now, if you want to go deeper into the options-are-primary, stocks-are-derivatives rabbit hole - and it&#39;s a doozy - we suggest you take a look at our friends over at SpotGamma who are expert on the topic. For us, we&#39;ll just observe that the wall of option money pushing the ETFs around is not in place at scary high-beta names such as NET or PLTR and so on. So the market reaction today may look like genuine fear, but it isn&#39;t. Because if it was widespread genuine fear, all these high beta names would be getting dumped. And they&#39;re not.</p><p>So we say: SPY is setting up in a smaller degree 1,2 for a smaller degree 3 which will represent a material push up toward that new all time high. We think the next big move for SPY is, up, and we think the June low was the low for the Wave 4 just passed. You&#39;ll know soon enough if we&#39;re right or wrong. If right, SPY won&#39;t spend long at the $377 zip code but will instead move up and out; if wrong, SPY will plunge down through that $377 level to continue the larger-degree Wave 4 down. This will happen soon, either way.</p><p>For now we remain bullish on SPY and assign an Accumulate rating to the name.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-22 23:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.We believe SPY ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152785107","content_text":"SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.We believe SPY remains on course to make new all-time highs in the coming year or so.Our evidence for this?  Basic pattern recognition coupled with a high-octane dose of cynicism.DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.It's Not Going To Zero. Really It Isn't.As everyone knows the whole market is going to zero, fast, or if not zero then maybe 3000 on the S&P and 10000 on the Nasdaq or whatever. The just desserts of an economy over-fattened by Fed helicopter money with a workforce that would rather buy-pumpkin-spice-latte-pay-later-when-mom-lends-me-the-money than get down to a hard day's work from dawn to dusk. The decadence of the end of empire. America the Great is Finished. Finished, I tell you!This garbage is all over FinTwit right now and in truth it's not worth reading. The market will go up or it will go down but it has nothing to do with whether Chad makes his Klarna payment or not. It has to do with the institutional dynamic of moving money around in order to generate gains whether the weather be good or whether the weather be bad. And no more so than around key dates such as quarterly options expiry and FOMC prints.Let's Talk About SPYOK folks, let's just take a step back and zoom out onNYSEARCA:SPY. Using absolutely standard technical analysis pattern-recognition tools (we like the Elliott Wave / Fibonacci method, but, other methods also are available) we can say that in the larger degree, SPY has been carving out a 5-wave up cycle since its 2015 lows. Like thisSPY Chart I(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Wave 1 moves up from the 2015 lows to the 2019 high, adding around $158/share on the way up.Wave 2 moves from the pre-Covid high to the crisis low, in a Yikes Cat type move as befits a Wave 2, troughs at the 0.786 retrace for a $122/share correction.Then Wave 3, adding $283/share to peak a little above the 1.618 extension of Wave 1 (the share price movement in W1 multiplied by 1.618 and placed at the Wave 2 low), right at the end of 2021.And along comes the will-it-ever-end Wave 4 selloff of 2022 which despite the apparent unrelented selling - just ask anyone on FinTwit, they'll tell you! - troughed in June at between the 0.5 and 0.618 retrace of that big Wave 3 high.So now the standard Elliott Wave pattern tells us that SPY can make a new high in a final Wave 5 up, peaking sometime in 2023 most likely. A minimum target of $480 or better, enough to just peak above that Wave 3 high.Yes, we're saying SPY can climb to never-before-conquered levels despite inflation and recession and 75bps and labor market and blah. Why? Because SPY has traded so well to this standard pattern for so long that we believe it more likely than not that it sees the pattern through to the end.But don't take our word for it. Let's zoom in. As you know, if SPY has commenced its climb up from the June lows towards its final resting place in the sky, it ought to be showing wave progress in the smaller degree too.And is it ever. Today's close was actually funny, so perfectly did the ETF kiss the 0.618 retraces of Wave 3 on the way up then the 0.786 retrace on the way down. But even after this dump the stock remains perfectly positioned to move up. This is the Wave 1 and Wave 2 in the smaller degree up off of the June lows. That is one picture-perfect Wave 2 low right there. We shall see what happens but to us that's thus far confirming evidence that SPY will be moving up.SPY Chart II(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)What The Fed Is Going On Then?Today was a very strange day if you look closely. The index ETFs SPY and QQQ both did exactly the same thing - the two charts above are in essence carbon copies whether you look at the QQQ or the SPY. Up then down, to close down, at a level suggesting that the next big move is up. But still bright red on the day.Whereas ostensibly more scary stocks like Cloudflare (NET), Palantir (PLTR), DataDog (DDOG) and so on - were ...up? Huh?We may be able to shed some light on this. Now, we hate to come over all FinTwit once more and be shouting about manipulation and so forth. Because that's just naive. In the Great Online Game of traded securities, the game is in fact that all the other players are trying to take all your money off of you. That is Rule 1. The basic rule. The constitution upon which all other rules are founded. And further, while we don't doubt that there are some bad apples in the virtual Big Apple that's rather quaintly still referred to as The Street, most times Big Money is just doing its job which is, being good at taking money off of Chad and not letting Chad take money off of it, or at least not for very long.You see in the index ETFs there's a hugely powerful force at work - not Jerome Powell, not Redditors, but the options market. The capital sloshing around in options way exceeds the capital in equities, and as a result it's to some degree true that options are the primary security class, equities the derivatives. As a simple illustration, here you can see how the major reversal points in SPY in recent years have coincided with major options expiry dates.S&P Chart III(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Options markets love FOMC days because the emotion - the volatility - is running high. And you have a wall of capital in SPY and QQQ puts and calls sat driving the ETF stocks around all day. It's no surprise on that basis that the closing price - the place where the option probability surface collapses to a singularity - hit a key technical level in both the SPY and the QQQ with such precision. Now, if you want to go deeper into the options-are-primary, stocks-are-derivatives rabbit hole - and it's a doozy - we suggest you take a look at our friends over at SpotGamma who are expert on the topic. For us, we'll just observe that the wall of option money pushing the ETFs around is not in place at scary high-beta names such as NET or PLTR and so on. So the market reaction today may look like genuine fear, but it isn't. Because if it was widespread genuine fear, all these high beta names would be getting dumped. And they're not.So we say: SPY is setting up in a smaller degree 1,2 for a smaller degree 3 which will represent a material push up toward that new all time high. We think the next big move for SPY is, up, and we think the June low was the low for the Wave 4 just passed. You'll know soon enough if we're right or wrong. If right, SPY won't spend long at the $377 zip code but will instead move up and out; if wrong, SPY will plunge down through that $377 level to continue the larger-degree Wave 4 down. This will happen soon, either way.For now we remain bullish on SPY and assign an Accumulate rating to the name.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918608213,"gmtCreate":1664371622332,"gmtModify":1676537442192,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918608213","repostId":"1179029261","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179029261","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664366506,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179029261?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-28 20:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Fall Over 100 Points; Apple Worsens Selloff in Growth Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179029261","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures fell Wednesday as traders struggle to find their footing after the S&P 500 notche","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures fell Wednesday as traders struggle to find their footing after the S&amp;P 500 notched a fresh bear market low in the previous session.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 96 points, or 0.33%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 21.25 points, or 0.58%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 117.5 points, or 1.04%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb3a480535ae6d186c662b67d204871\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIIB\">Biogen</a> – Biogen soared 45.6% in premarket trading after Biogen and Japanese partnerEisaisaid their experimental Alzheimer’s drug dramatically slowed the disease’s progression in a study, reducing cognitive and functional decline by 27%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/THO\">Thor Industries</a> – Thor Industries gained 3.6% in the premarket after the recreational vehicle maker reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter. Thor saw particular strength in its motorized RV segment, with a 24.5% gain over the prior year.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">Lyft</a> – Lyft said it would freeze hiring through the end of this year. That follows the ride-hailing company’s previous statement that it would slow hiring “dramatically” as it seeks to cut costs. Lyft slid 2.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> – Apple is said to be backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhone 14 line, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. That comes after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize. Apple declined 3.7% in premarket action.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">Ocugen</a> – Ocugen surged 8.2% in premarket trading after the drug maker announced a licensing agreement with Washington University in St. Louis to develop, commercialize and manufacture its intranasal Covid-19 vaccine.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> – Walt Disney is shutting its four Florida theme parks and related properties as the state braces for Hurricane Ian, which was upgraded to a Category 4 storm this morning.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">BlackBerry</a> – BlackBerry reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss and revenue that exceeded analyst forecasts, but the communications software company’s cybersecurity revenue fell amid cautious spending by customers.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CGC\">Canopy Growth</a> – Canopy Growth announced plans to divest its retail operations in Canada, selling stores to partner OEG Retail Cannabis and cannabis retailer 420 Investments. The sales come after the cannabis producer announced earlier this year that it was extending its time frame to achieve profitability. Canopy Growth shares slipped 1.8% in the premarket.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><h3>Apple Ditches iPhone Production Increase After Demand Falters</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc.</a> is backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhones this year after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p>The Cupertino, California-based electronics maker has told suppliers to pull back from efforts to increase assembly of the iPhone 14 product family by as many as 6 million units in the second half of this year, said the people, asking not to be named as the plans are not public. Instead, the company will aim to produce 90 million handsets for the period, roughly the same level as the prior year andin linewith Apple’s original forecast this summer, the people said.</p><h3>Eisai, Biogen Say Alzheimer&#39;s Drug Succeeds in Slowing Cognitive Decline</h3><p>An experimental Alzheimer&#39;s drug developed by Eisai Co Ltd and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIIB\">Biogen Inc</a> significantly slowed cognitive and functional decline in a large trial of patients in the early stages of the disease, the companies said on Tuesday.</p><p>The injected drug, lecanemab, slowed progress of the brain-wasting disease by 27% compared to a placebo, meeting the study&#39;s main goal, and offering an apparent win for the companies and potentially for patients and their families desperate for an effective treatment.</p><h3>Ocugen Announces Agreement With Washington University</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">Ocugen, Inc.</a>, a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies and vaccines, today announced that the company has entered into an exclusive license agreement with Washington University in St. Louis, MO for the rights to develop, manufacture and commercialize its proprietary, intranasally delivered COVID-19 vaccine in the United States, Europe, and Japan. This vaccine is already authorized for emergency use in India and is an important addition to Ocugen’s COVID-19 vaccine portfolio.</p><h3>Lyft to Freeze Hiring Through Year-End on Economic Uncertainty</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">Lyft Inc.</a> said it will freeze hiring in the US at least until next year, amid economic instability that’s rattled the ride-hail giant’s stock price.</p><p>The move is an extension of Lyft’s decision toslow hiringin May. The San Francisco-based company has been focused on reining in costs and maintaining profitability in the face of a deteriorating economic outlook.</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Fall Over 100 Points; Apple Worsens Selloff in Growth Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜Nasdaq Futures Fall Over 100 Points; Apple Worsens Selloff in Growth Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-28 20:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures fell Wednesday as traders struggle to find their footing after the S&amp;P 500 notched a fresh bear market low in the previous session.</p><h2><b>Market Snapshot</b></h2><p>At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 96 points, or 0.33%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 21.25 points, or 0.58%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 117.5 points, or 1.04%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb3a480535ae6d186c662b67d204871\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIIB\">Biogen</a> – Biogen soared 45.6% in premarket trading after Biogen and Japanese partnerEisaisaid their experimental Alzheimer’s drug dramatically slowed the disease’s progression in a study, reducing cognitive and functional decline by 27%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/THO\">Thor Industries</a> – Thor Industries gained 3.6% in the premarket after the recreational vehicle maker reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter. Thor saw particular strength in its motorized RV segment, with a 24.5% gain over the prior year.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">Lyft</a> – Lyft said it would freeze hiring through the end of this year. That follows the ride-hailing company’s previous statement that it would slow hiring “dramatically” as it seeks to cut costs. Lyft slid 2.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> – Apple is said to be backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhone 14 line, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. That comes after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize. Apple declined 3.7% in premarket action.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">Ocugen</a> – Ocugen surged 8.2% in premarket trading after the drug maker announced a licensing agreement with Washington University in St. Louis to develop, commercialize and manufacture its intranasal Covid-19 vaccine.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> – Walt Disney is shutting its four Florida theme parks and related properties as the state braces for Hurricane Ian, which was upgraded to a Category 4 storm this morning.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">BlackBerry</a> – BlackBerry reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss and revenue that exceeded analyst forecasts, but the communications software company’s cybersecurity revenue fell amid cautious spending by customers.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CGC\">Canopy Growth</a> – Canopy Growth announced plans to divest its retail operations in Canada, selling stores to partner OEG Retail Cannabis and cannabis retailer 420 Investments. The sales come after the cannabis producer announced earlier this year that it was extending its time frame to achieve profitability. Canopy Growth shares slipped 1.8% in the premarket.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><h3>Apple Ditches iPhone Production Increase After Demand Falters</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc.</a> is backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhones this year after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p>The Cupertino, California-based electronics maker has told suppliers to pull back from efforts to increase assembly of the iPhone 14 product family by as many as 6 million units in the second half of this year, said the people, asking not to be named as the plans are not public. Instead, the company will aim to produce 90 million handsets for the period, roughly the same level as the prior year andin linewith Apple’s original forecast this summer, the people said.</p><h3>Eisai, Biogen Say Alzheimer&#39;s Drug Succeeds in Slowing Cognitive Decline</h3><p>An experimental Alzheimer&#39;s drug developed by Eisai Co Ltd and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIIB\">Biogen Inc</a> significantly slowed cognitive and functional decline in a large trial of patients in the early stages of the disease, the companies said on Tuesday.</p><p>The injected drug, lecanemab, slowed progress of the brain-wasting disease by 27% compared to a placebo, meeting the study&#39;s main goal, and offering an apparent win for the companies and potentially for patients and their families desperate for an effective treatment.</p><h3>Ocugen Announces Agreement With Washington University</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">Ocugen, Inc.</a>, a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies and vaccines, today announced that the company has entered into an exclusive license agreement with Washington University in St. Louis, MO for the rights to develop, manufacture and commercialize its proprietary, intranasally delivered COVID-19 vaccine in the United States, Europe, and Japan. This vaccine is already authorized for emergency use in India and is an important addition to Ocugen’s COVID-19 vaccine portfolio.</p><h3>Lyft to Freeze Hiring Through Year-End on Economic Uncertainty</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">Lyft Inc.</a> said it will freeze hiring in the US at least until next year, amid economic instability that’s rattled the ride-hail giant’s stock price.</p><p>The move is an extension of Lyft’s decision toslow hiringin May. The San Francisco-based company has been focused on reining in costs and maintaining profitability in the face of a deteriorating economic outlook.</p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179029261","content_text":"U.S. stock futures fell Wednesday as traders struggle to find their footing after the S&P 500 notched a fresh bear market low in the previous session.Market SnapshotAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 96 points, or 0.33%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 21.25 points, or 0.58%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 117.5 points, or 1.04%.Pre-Market MoversBiogen – Biogen soared 45.6% in premarket trading after Biogen and Japanese partnerEisaisaid their experimental Alzheimer’s drug dramatically slowed the disease’s progression in a study, reducing cognitive and functional decline by 27%.Thor Industries – Thor Industries gained 3.6% in the premarket after the recreational vehicle maker reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter. Thor saw particular strength in its motorized RV segment, with a 24.5% gain over the prior year.Lyft – Lyft said it would freeze hiring through the end of this year. That follows the ride-hailing company’s previous statement that it would slow hiring “dramatically” as it seeks to cut costs. Lyft slid 2.5% in premarket trading.Apple – Apple is said to be backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhone 14 line, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. That comes after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize. Apple declined 3.7% in premarket action.Ocugen – Ocugen surged 8.2% in premarket trading after the drug maker announced a licensing agreement with Washington University in St. Louis to develop, commercialize and manufacture its intranasal Covid-19 vaccine.Walt Disney – Walt Disney is shutting its four Florida theme parks and related properties as the state braces for Hurricane Ian, which was upgraded to a Category 4 storm this morning.BlackBerry – BlackBerry reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss and revenue that exceeded analyst forecasts, but the communications software company’s cybersecurity revenue fell amid cautious spending by customers.Canopy Growth – Canopy Growth announced plans to divest its retail operations in Canada, selling stores to partner OEG Retail Cannabis and cannabis retailer 420 Investments. The sales come after the cannabis producer announced earlier this year that it was extending its time frame to achieve profitability. Canopy Growth shares slipped 1.8% in the premarket.Market NewsApple Ditches iPhone Production Increase After Demand FaltersApple Inc. is backing off plans to increase production of its new iPhones this year after an anticipated surge in demand failed to materialize, according to people familiar with the matter.The Cupertino, California-based electronics maker has told suppliers to pull back from efforts to increase assembly of the iPhone 14 product family by as many as 6 million units in the second half of this year, said the people, asking not to be named as the plans are not public. Instead, the company will aim to produce 90 million handsets for the period, roughly the same level as the prior year andin linewith Apple’s original forecast this summer, the people said.Eisai, Biogen Say Alzheimer's Drug Succeeds in Slowing Cognitive DeclineAn experimental Alzheimer's drug developed by Eisai Co Ltd and Biogen Inc significantly slowed cognitive and functional decline in a large trial of patients in the early stages of the disease, the companies said on Tuesday.The injected drug, lecanemab, slowed progress of the brain-wasting disease by 27% compared to a placebo, meeting the study's main goal, and offering an apparent win for the companies and potentially for patients and their families desperate for an effective treatment.Ocugen Announces Agreement With Washington UniversityOcugen, Inc., a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies and vaccines, today announced that the company has entered into an exclusive license agreement with Washington University in St. Louis, MO for the rights to develop, manufacture and commercialize its proprietary, intranasally delivered COVID-19 vaccine in the United States, Europe, and Japan. This vaccine is already authorized for emergency use in India and is an important addition to Ocugen’s COVID-19 vaccine portfolio.Lyft to Freeze Hiring Through Year-End on Economic UncertaintyLyft Inc. said it will freeze hiring in the US at least until next year, amid economic instability that’s rattled the ride-hail giant’s stock price.The move is an extension of Lyft’s decision toslow hiringin May. The San Francisco-based company has been focused on reining in costs and maintaining profitability in the face of a deteriorating economic outlook.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913493046,"gmtCreate":1664034963385,"gmtModify":1676537381992,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913493046","repostId":"2269657466","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269657466","pubTimestamp":1663980236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2269657466?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-24 08:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why I'm Not Worried About the Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269657466","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A lot of scary words have been floating around with \"recession\" and \"inflation\" at the top of the li","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A lot of scary words have been floating around with &#34;recession&#34; and &#34;inflation&#34; at the top of the list. People are worried about the economy and the Federal Reserve has not been helping as it steadily raises interest rates. That, in theory, acts as a check on inflation, but mostly makes money more expensive which impacts mortgage rates, credit card interest, and really any money people borrow going forward.</p><p>That has driven the Dow Jones Industrial Average steadily downward. The index fell by nearly 500 points on Sept. 23 sending it to a low for 2022. In a broad sense. it&#39;s not just the Dow as the Nasdaq has steadily fallen as well.</p><p>We all know the story and understand the fears, but market fears about what might happen don&#39;t actually track with what&#39;s actually happening in the U.S. economy.</p><h2>The U.S. Economy Has Been Strong</h2><p>Obviously, inflation has hit many lower-income Americans hard. But the employment market remains strong with the unemployment rate sitting at 3.7%. That&#39;s not quite a historical low, but it&#39;s in that range. In addition, there&#39;s exactly one-half of an available job seeker for every available job opening, That actually is a historical low since the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been tracking that data.</p><p>Job openings, however, don&#39;t always mean good jobs, but wages have also been rising in the service industry and even fast food jobs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YUM\">Yum! Brands</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">Starbucks</a>, and a number of other retailers have embraced a $15 minimum wage.</p><p>And, while the employment market remains strong, the flip side of that is rising housing costs coupled with higher mortgage rates. That&#39;s not great news for people buying a house (even if history suggests they still should) but it has a flip side. If you own a house, it has become a fast-rising asset that increases your net worth.</p><p>The economy is, of course, personal. If you can&#39;t find a job or afford to live where you want to, that&#39;s very real. Broadly, however, there are a lot of signs that the economy remains strong and that many of the issues we&#39;re having relate to what might be called a pandemic hangover.</p><h2>Market Drops Are the Best Times to Invest</h2><p>Many of my favorite companies have dropped by 30% or more. I don&#39;t stop believing in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a>, or <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>  (just to name a few) because their share prices have fallen. In fact, I look at all three of these companies and how they handled the pandemic and prepared for the future and feel better about them.</p><p>Stock price does not always equate to performance in the short term. Disney, for example, has the best intellectual property (IP) of any entertainment company and has endless pricing power. In fact, if you were offered &#34;every other companies&#39; IP&#34; or Disney&#39;s, you can make  a case to take Disney.</p><p>Costco just delivered one of its highest renewal rates ever (over 92%) and continues to add members, Microsoft has only gotten stronger as it pivots more fully to a software as a service model, yet all three of those companies have seen double digit stock drops this year.</p><p>In a bad market, I cling to the mantra &#34;time in the market beats timing the market.&#34; Now is the time to add to your holdings in really strong companies. Consider that good companies are now on sale, really big sales in some cases, and add strategically to your long-term holdings.</p><p>After you do that, remember that long-term means years. Check in on the companies you own to make sure they have stayed on course, but don&#39;t check your portfolio everyday. A market drop feels bad, but historically, it means nothing. Good companies will recover and investing in them, plus time (maybe a lot of time) is what makes investors rich.</p><p>BY DANIEL KLINE</p></body></html>","source":"thestreet_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why I'm Not Worried About the Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy I'm Not Worried About the Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-24 08:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-im-not-worried-about-the-stock-market><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A lot of scary words have been floating around with \"recession\" and \"inflation\" at the top of the list. People are worried about the economy and the Federal Reserve has not been helping as it steadily...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-im-not-worried-about-the-stock-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4567":"ESG概念","WMT":"沃尔玛","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4114":"综合货品商店","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4577":"网络游戏","COST":"好市多","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4538":"云计算","BK4579":"人工智能","MSFT":"微软","DIS":"迪士尼","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4136":"纸材料包装","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4155":"大卖场与超市","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","TGT":"塔吉特","BK4209":"餐馆","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","YUM":"百胜餐饮集团","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","SBUX":"星巴克","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4576":"AR"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-im-not-worried-about-the-stock-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269657466","content_text":"A lot of scary words have been floating around with \"recession\" and \"inflation\" at the top of the list. People are worried about the economy and the Federal Reserve has not been helping as it steadily raises interest rates. That, in theory, acts as a check on inflation, but mostly makes money more expensive which impacts mortgage rates, credit card interest, and really any money people borrow going forward.That has driven the Dow Jones Industrial Average steadily downward. The index fell by nearly 500 points on Sept. 23 sending it to a low for 2022. In a broad sense. it's not just the Dow as the Nasdaq has steadily fallen as well.We all know the story and understand the fears, but market fears about what might happen don't actually track with what's actually happening in the U.S. economy.The U.S. Economy Has Been StrongObviously, inflation has hit many lower-income Americans hard. But the employment market remains strong with the unemployment rate sitting at 3.7%. That's not quite a historical low, but it's in that range. In addition, there's exactly one-half of an available job seeker for every available job opening, That actually is a historical low since the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been tracking that data.Job openings, however, don't always mean good jobs, but wages have also been rising in the service industry and even fast food jobs. Walmart, Target, Yum! Brands, Starbucks, and a number of other retailers have embraced a $15 minimum wage.And, while the employment market remains strong, the flip side of that is rising housing costs coupled with higher mortgage rates. That's not great news for people buying a house (even if history suggests they still should) but it has a flip side. If you own a house, it has become a fast-rising asset that increases your net worth.The economy is, of course, personal. If you can't find a job or afford to live where you want to, that's very real. Broadly, however, there are a lot of signs that the economy remains strong and that many of the issues we're having relate to what might be called a pandemic hangover.Market Drops Are the Best Times to InvestMany of my favorite companies have dropped by 30% or more. I don't stop believing in Costco, Walt Disney, or Microsoft  (just to name a few) because their share prices have fallen. In fact, I look at all three of these companies and how they handled the pandemic and prepared for the future and feel better about them.Stock price does not always equate to performance in the short term. Disney, for example, has the best intellectual property (IP) of any entertainment company and has endless pricing power. In fact, if you were offered \"every other companies' IP\" or Disney's, you can make  a case to take Disney.Costco just delivered one of its highest renewal rates ever (over 92%) and continues to add members, Microsoft has only gotten stronger as it pivots more fully to a software as a service model, yet all three of those companies have seen double digit stock drops this year.In a bad market, I cling to the mantra \"time in the market beats timing the market.\" Now is the time to add to your holdings in really strong companies. Consider that good companies are now on sale, really big sales in some cases, and add strategically to your long-term holdings.After you do that, remember that long-term means years. Check in on the companies you own to make sure they have stayed on course, but don't check your portfolio everyday. A market drop feels bad, but historically, it means nothing. Good companies will recover and investing in them, plus time (maybe a lot of time) is what makes investors rich.BY DANIEL KLINE","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900270405,"gmtCreate":1658719919507,"gmtModify":1676536197454,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900270405","repostId":"2254296074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2254296074","pubTimestamp":1658713622,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2254296074?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-25 09:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed, Tech Earnings, GDP Data: What to Know Ahead of the Busiest Week of the Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2254296074","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The busiest week of the year for investors is here.A jam-packed week of market-moving developments a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The busiest week of the year for investors is here.</p><p>A jam-packed week of market-moving developments awaits investors in the coming days, headlined by the Fed, tech earnings, and key economic data.</p><p>The Federal Reserve&#39;s latest policy meeting is set to take place this coming Tuesday and Wednesday, July 26-27, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates another 75 basis points.</p><p>On the earnings side, some of the most S&amp;P 500’s most heavily-weighted components — including Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta Platforms (FB), Apple (AAPL), and Amazon (AMZN) — are among more than 170 companies scheduled to report second-quarter results through Friday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ada7b243e14854832b5370b492cab57\" tg-width=\"2044\" tg-height=\"1448\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Also on spotlight will be Thursday&#39;s advance estimate of second quarter GDP, as market participants continue to debate whether a recession is already underway. Economists expect this report to show the economy grew at an annualized pace of 0.5% last quarter, according to estimates from Bloomberg.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0257c07b94036425ca0041e05623685c\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Logo of an Apple store is seen as Apple Inc. reports fourth quarter earnings in Washington, U.S., January 27, 2022. REUTERS/Joshua Roberts</span></p><p>All three major U.S. indexes logged gains last week after broad-based advances across sectors. On Tuesday, 98% of stocks in the benchmark S&amp;P 500 advanced, the most since December 26, 2018, the first trading day after the market bottom that occurred on December 24, 2018, according to data from LPL Financial.</p><p>Recent gains have pushed up the index by roughly 6% since June 16, stoking optimism among some investors that the worst of the recent market downturn is over.</p><p>“While breadth has been rather unimpressive during the market’s rally since the June lows, days like Tuesday are exactly what we are looking for, and can go a long way towards changing the character of this market,” LPL strategist Scott Brown said in a note. “To be clear, the S&amp;P 500 is not out of the woods yet.”</p><p>Tuesday pushed the index to a close above the 50-day moving average for the first time since April 20, but it remained just short of the late-June intraday highs, Brown pointed out.</p><p>If the Federal Reserve proceeds with hiking rates three quarters of a percentage point later this week, the Federal funds rate will have moved from near 0% less than five months ago to a range of 2.25%-2.5% — a level in line with most officials’ estimates of the long-run neutral.</p><p>“The Fed has told us they’re unlikely to let up on the brakes until they see a convincing shift in the trajectory of monthly inflation readings that would signal progress towards the Fed’s 2% target,” PGIM Fixed Income lead economist Ellen Gaske said in emailed comments. “We expect Powell will likely reiterate that message at his post-meeting press conference.”</p><p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to deliver remarks at 2:30 p.m. ET Wednesday, shortly after the U.S. central bank’s policy decision comes out at 2:00 p.m. ET.</p><p>“We suspect it’s likely too soon for the Fed to convey a much more forward-looking point of view, as the most recent inflation readings still showed high and widespread price pressures,” Gaske said. “But with each additional hike from here, the lagged effects of the Fed’s tightening measures will be increasingly important to consider.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59626e18211886e9fe5f70ddf13a84e5\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 23: Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System testifies before the House Committee on Financial Services June 23, 2022 in Washington, DC. Powell testified on monetary policy and the state of the U.S. economy. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)</span></p><p>Last month, U.S. consumer prices again accelerated at the fastest annual pace since November 1981. The Bureau of Labor Statistics&#39; Consumer Price Index (CPI) reflected a year-over-year increase of 9.1% in June’s reading, marking the highest print of the inflation cycle.</p><p>Economists at Goldman Sachs said in a note last week that inflation expectations have notably softened since the FOMC last met in June, referencing downward revisions to the University of Michigan’s final read on 5-10 year inflation expectations, a decline in the survey’s preliminary July figure, and a “material” downtrend in market-based measures of inflation.</p><p>“This softening of inflation expectations is one reason why we expect the FOMC will not accelerate the near-term hiking pace and will deliver a 75bp hike at the July FOMC meeting,” Goldman economists led by Jan Hatzius said.</p><p>In addition to the Fed and earnings, investors will closely watch the government’s first estimate of gross domestic product – the broadest measure of economic activity — for the second quarter, set for release Thursday morning.</p><p>The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s latest GDPNow estimate for Q2 GDP on July 19, showed the economy likely shrank 1.6% last quarter. If realized, this decline would mark the second-consecutive quarter of negative economic growth and affirm to some strategists that the economy has entered a recession.</p><p>According to data from Bloomberg, Wall Street economists expect GDP grew at an annualized pace of 0.5% last quarter.</p><p>On the earnings front, results from the mega-caps will be closely watched, though hundreds of other names will draw investor attention during one of the busiest weeks for corporate results of the year. In addition to performance for the most recent three-month periods, remarks from tech heavyweights on hiring plans or other adjustments to their outlooks related to macroeconomic headwinds will be closely tracked.</p><p>In recent weeks, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Meta have all said they would scale back on hiring across certain areas.</p><p>According to FactSet Research, 21% of companies in the S&amp;P 500 have reported second-quarter earnings through Friday, with only 68% presenting actual earnings per share above estimates — below the five-year average of 77%. Any earnings beats have also, in aggregate, been only 3.6% above estimates, less than half of the five-year average of 8.8%.</p><p>—</p><h2>Economics calendar:</h2><h2></h2><p><b>Monday: </b>Chicago Fed national activity index (June), Dallas Fed manufacturing business index (June)</p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> House price index (May), S&amp;P Case-Shiller national home price index (May), Conference Board consumer confidence index (July), New home sales (June), Richmond manufacturing index (June)</p><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA mortgage applications (week ended July 22)<b>, </b>Durable goods orders (June), Retail inventories (June), Wholesale inventories (June), Pending home sales (June), FOMC statement, Fed interest rate decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell press conference</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> GDP (Q2 advance estimate), Initial jobless claims (week ended July 22), Continuing claims (week ended July 15), Kansas City Fed composite index (July)</p><p><b>Friday:</b> Core PCE price index (June), PCE price index (June), Personal income (June), Personal spending (June), Real personal consumption (June), Chicago PMI (July), UMich consumer sentiment index (July preliminary), UMich 5-year inflation expectations (July preliminary)</p><p>—</p><h2>Earnings Calendar:</h2><h2></h2><p><b>Monday: </b>Whirlpool (WHR), Squarespace (SQSP), TrueBlue (TBI), F5 (FFIV), Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE), Ryanair (RYAAY), NXP Semiconductor (NXPI), Newmont Corporation (NEM)</p><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Coca-Cola (KO), McDonald’s (MCD), General Motors (GM), Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG), Mondelez International (MDLZ), UPS (UPS), 3M (MMM), PulteGroup (PHM), Texas Instruments (TXN), General Electric (GE), Ameriprise Financial (AMP), Raytheon Technologies (RTX), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Chubb (CB), Canadian National Railway, Pentair (CNI), Paccar (PCAR), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Albertsons (ACI), Teradyne (TER), Ashland (ASH), Boston Properties (BXP), FirstEnergy (FE), Visa (V)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> Meta Platforms (META), Boeing (BA), Ford (F), Etsy (ETSY), Qualcomm (QCOM), T-Mobile (TMUS), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Kraft Heinz (KH), Hilton Worldwide (HLT), Boston Scientific (BSX), Sherwin-Williams (SHW), Fortune Brands (FBH), Flex (FLEX), Hess Corporation (HES), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC), Netgear (NTGR), Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), American Water Works (AWK), Ryder System (R), Genuine Parts (GPC), Waste Management (WM), Community Health Systems (CYH), Molina Healthcare (MOH), Owens Corning (OC)</p><p><b>Thursday:</b> Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Pfizer (PFE), Honeywell (HON), Mastercard (MA), Comcast (CMCSA), Intel (INTC), Roku (ROKU), Merck (MRK), Keurig Dr. Pepper (KDP), Hertz Global (HTZ), T.Rowe Price (TROW), Valero Energy (VLO), Northrop Grumman (NOC), V.F. Corporation (VFC), Frontier Group (ULCC), Southwest Air (LUV), Harley-Davidson (HOG), Shell (SHEL), Stanley Black and Decker (SWK), Carlyle Group (CG), Lazard (LAZ), International Paper (IP), Sirius XM (SIRI), Hershey (HSY), PG&amp;E (PCG), Hartford Financial (HIG), Celanese (CE)</p><p><b>Friday: </b>AstraZeneca (AZN), Sony (SON), Aon (AON), BNP Paribas (BNPQY)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed, Tech Earnings, GDP Data: What to Know Ahead of the Busiest Week of the Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed, Tech Earnings, GDP Data: What to Know Ahead of the Busiest Week of the Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-25 09:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-tech-earnings-weekly-preview-july-25-194451575.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The busiest week of the year for investors is here.A jam-packed week of market-moving developments awaits investors in the coming days, headlined by the Fed, tech earnings, and key economic data.The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-tech-earnings-weekly-preview-july-25-194451575.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RYAAY":"Ryanair Holdings plc","CMCSA":"康卡斯特","GE":"GE航空航天","AAPL":"苹果","NXPI":"恩智浦",".DJI":"道琼斯","UPS":"联合包裹","MCD":"麦当劳",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BA":"波音","MSFT":"微软","GOOGL":"谷歌A","QCOM":"高通","V":"Visa","F":"福特汽车","AMZN":"亚马逊","META":"Meta Platforms","KO":"可口可乐","TXN":"德州仪器","GOOG":"谷歌","INTC":"英特尔","ROKU":"Roku Inc"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-tech-earnings-weekly-preview-july-25-194451575.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2254296074","content_text":"The busiest week of the year for investors is here.A jam-packed week of market-moving developments awaits investors in the coming days, headlined by the Fed, tech earnings, and key economic data.The Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting is set to take place this coming Tuesday and Wednesday, July 26-27, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates another 75 basis points.On the earnings side, some of the most S&P 500’s most heavily-weighted components — including Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta Platforms (FB), Apple (AAPL), and Amazon (AMZN) — are among more than 170 companies scheduled to report second-quarter results through Friday.Also on spotlight will be Thursday's advance estimate of second quarter GDP, as market participants continue to debate whether a recession is already underway. Economists expect this report to show the economy grew at an annualized pace of 0.5% last quarter, according to estimates from Bloomberg.Logo of an Apple store is seen as Apple Inc. reports fourth quarter earnings in Washington, U.S., January 27, 2022. REUTERS/Joshua RobertsAll three major U.S. indexes logged gains last week after broad-based advances across sectors. On Tuesday, 98% of stocks in the benchmark S&P 500 advanced, the most since December 26, 2018, the first trading day after the market bottom that occurred on December 24, 2018, according to data from LPL Financial.Recent gains have pushed up the index by roughly 6% since June 16, stoking optimism among some investors that the worst of the recent market downturn is over.“While breadth has been rather unimpressive during the market’s rally since the June lows, days like Tuesday are exactly what we are looking for, and can go a long way towards changing the character of this market,” LPL strategist Scott Brown said in a note. “To be clear, the S&P 500 is not out of the woods yet.”Tuesday pushed the index to a close above the 50-day moving average for the first time since April 20, but it remained just short of the late-June intraday highs, Brown pointed out.If the Federal Reserve proceeds with hiking rates three quarters of a percentage point later this week, the Federal funds rate will have moved from near 0% less than five months ago to a range of 2.25%-2.5% — a level in line with most officials’ estimates of the long-run neutral.“The Fed has told us they’re unlikely to let up on the brakes until they see a convincing shift in the trajectory of monthly inflation readings that would signal progress towards the Fed’s 2% target,” PGIM Fixed Income lead economist Ellen Gaske said in emailed comments. “We expect Powell will likely reiterate that message at his post-meeting press conference.”Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to deliver remarks at 2:30 p.m. ET Wednesday, shortly after the U.S. central bank’s policy decision comes out at 2:00 p.m. ET.“We suspect it’s likely too soon for the Fed to convey a much more forward-looking point of view, as the most recent inflation readings still showed high and widespread price pressures,” Gaske said. “But with each additional hike from here, the lagged effects of the Fed’s tightening measures will be increasingly important to consider.”WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 23: Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System testifies before the House Committee on Financial Services June 23, 2022 in Washington, DC. Powell testified on monetary policy and the state of the U.S. economy. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)Last month, U.S. consumer prices again accelerated at the fastest annual pace since November 1981. The Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index (CPI) reflected a year-over-year increase of 9.1% in June’s reading, marking the highest print of the inflation cycle.Economists at Goldman Sachs said in a note last week that inflation expectations have notably softened since the FOMC last met in June, referencing downward revisions to the University of Michigan’s final read on 5-10 year inflation expectations, a decline in the survey’s preliminary July figure, and a “material” downtrend in market-based measures of inflation.“This softening of inflation expectations is one reason why we expect the FOMC will not accelerate the near-term hiking pace and will deliver a 75bp hike at the July FOMC meeting,” Goldman economists led by Jan Hatzius said.In addition to the Fed and earnings, investors will closely watch the government’s first estimate of gross domestic product – the broadest measure of economic activity — for the second quarter, set for release Thursday morning.The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s latest GDPNow estimate for Q2 GDP on July 19, showed the economy likely shrank 1.6% last quarter. If realized, this decline would mark the second-consecutive quarter of negative economic growth and affirm to some strategists that the economy has entered a recession.According to data from Bloomberg, Wall Street economists expect GDP grew at an annualized pace of 0.5% last quarter.On the earnings front, results from the mega-caps will be closely watched, though hundreds of other names will draw investor attention during one of the busiest weeks for corporate results of the year. In addition to performance for the most recent three-month periods, remarks from tech heavyweights on hiring plans or other adjustments to their outlooks related to macroeconomic headwinds will be closely tracked.In recent weeks, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Meta have all said they would scale back on hiring across certain areas.According to FactSet Research, 21% of companies in the S&P 500 have reported second-quarter earnings through Friday, with only 68% presenting actual earnings per share above estimates — below the five-year average of 77%. Any earnings beats have also, in aggregate, been only 3.6% above estimates, less than half of the five-year average of 8.8%.—Economics calendar:Monday: Chicago Fed national activity index (June), Dallas Fed manufacturing business index (June)Tuesday: House price index (May), S&P Case-Shiller national home price index (May), Conference Board consumer confidence index (July), New home sales (June), Richmond manufacturing index (June)Wednesday: MBA mortgage applications (week ended July 22), Durable goods orders (June), Retail inventories (June), Wholesale inventories (June), Pending home sales (June), FOMC statement, Fed interest rate decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell press conferenceThursday: GDP (Q2 advance estimate), Initial jobless claims (week ended July 22), Continuing claims (week ended July 15), Kansas City Fed composite index (July)Friday: Core PCE price index (June), PCE price index (June), Personal income (June), Personal spending (June), Real personal consumption (June), Chicago PMI (July), UMich consumer sentiment index (July preliminary), UMich 5-year inflation expectations (July preliminary)—Earnings Calendar:Monday: Whirlpool (WHR), Squarespace (SQSP), TrueBlue (TBI), F5 (FFIV), Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE), Ryanair (RYAAY), NXP Semiconductor (NXPI), Newmont Corporation (NEM)Tuesday: Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Coca-Cola (KO), McDonald’s (MCD), General Motors (GM), Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG), Mondelez International (MDLZ), UPS (UPS), 3M (MMM), PulteGroup (PHM), Texas Instruments (TXN), General Electric (GE), Ameriprise Financial (AMP), Raytheon Technologies (RTX), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Chubb (CB), Canadian National Railway, Pentair (CNI), Paccar (PCAR), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Albertsons (ACI), Teradyne (TER), Ashland (ASH), Boston Properties (BXP), FirstEnergy (FE), Visa (V)Wednesday: Meta Platforms (META), Boeing (BA), Ford (F), Etsy (ETSY), Qualcomm (QCOM), T-Mobile (TMUS), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Kraft Heinz (KH), Hilton Worldwide (HLT), Boston Scientific (BSX), Sherwin-Williams (SHW), Fortune Brands (FBH), Flex (FLEX), Hess Corporation (HES), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC), Netgear (NTGR), Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), American Water Works (AWK), Ryder System (R), Genuine Parts (GPC), Waste Management (WM), Community Health Systems (CYH), Molina Healthcare (MOH), Owens Corning (OC)Thursday: Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Pfizer (PFE), Honeywell (HON), Mastercard (MA), Comcast (CMCSA), Intel (INTC), Roku (ROKU), Merck (MRK), Keurig Dr. Pepper (KDP), Hertz Global (HTZ), T.Rowe Price (TROW), Valero Energy (VLO), Northrop Grumman (NOC), V.F. Corporation (VFC), Frontier Group (ULCC), Southwest Air (LUV), Harley-Davidson (HOG), Shell (SHEL), Stanley Black and Decker (SWK), Carlyle Group (CG), Lazard (LAZ), International Paper (IP), Sirius XM (SIRI), Hershey (HSY), PG&E (PCG), Hartford Financial (HIG), Celanese (CE)Friday: AstraZeneca (AZN), Sony (SON), Aon (AON), BNP Paribas (BNPQY)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":27,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931035865,"gmtCreate":1662356931758,"gmtModify":1676537044622,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931035865","repostId":"2265749449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265749449","pubTimestamp":1662332817,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2265749449?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-05 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265749449","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earning","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It&#39;s a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases should grab plenty of attention.</p><p>Results this week will come from GameStop and NIO on Wednesday, DocuSign and Zscaler on Thursday, and Kroger on Friday. Apple will also host a product launch event on Wednesday, when it is expected to unveil a new lineup of iPhones and Apple Watches.</p><p>Economic data releases next week include the Institute for Supply Management&#39;s Services Purchasing Managers&#39; Index for August on Tuesday. The consensus estimate is for the index to decline by about three points, to 54.</p><p>Other data for investors and economists to watch next week will be the Federal Reserve&#39;s sixth beige book of the year on Wednesday and the Department of Labor&#39;s initial jobless claims for the latest week on Thursday.</p><p>The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday. Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB&#39;s benchmark interest-rate target to 0.75%.</p><p><b>Monday 9/5</b></p><p>Equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p><p><b>Tuesday 9/6</b></p><p>The Institute for Supply Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers&#39; Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 54 reading, about three points lower than in July. The index is well off its record high of 68.4 from November, but still above the expansionary level of 50.</p><p><b>Wednesday 9/7</b></p><p>Appleholds a launch event, titled &#34;Far Out,&#34; at its headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The company is expected to unveil four new iPhone 14 models and three new Apple Watches, along with other products.</p><p>GameStop and NIO report quarterly results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions with anecdotal data collected by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.</p><p>The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its mortgage application survey for the week ending on Sept. 2. Mortgage applications have dropped for three consecutive weeks and are at a multidecade low amid record-high home prices and surging mortgage rates.</p><p><b>Thursday 9/8</b></p><p>DocuSign and Zscaler hold conference calls to discuss quarterly earnings.</p><p>Moderna hosts a research and development day, with presentations from its executive leadership, including CEO Stéphane Bancel.</p><p>The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 60% chance of a jumbo-size 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB&#39;s deposit facility rate to 0.75%. At its last meeting, in July, the central bank lifted its key interest rate by half a percentage point, from negative 0.5% to zero. It has been just over a decade since the deposit facility rate was last above zero.</p><p>The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 3. Claims averaged 241,500 in August, and have risen steadily this year from historically low levels.</p><p><b>Friday 9/9</b></p><p>Kroger reports second-quarter fiscal-2023 results.</p><p>Tapestry, the parent company of fashion brands Coach and Kate Spade, holds an investor day at its headquarters in New York. The company will discuss its long-term strategic initiatives and update its financial outlook.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the United States for the second quarter. The report gives a snapshot of the nation&#39;s household net worth and debt. In the first quarter, household net worth fell by $544 billion, to $149.3 trillion. It was the first decline since the first quarter of 2020. With the S&amp;P 500 index plunging more than 16% in the second quarter, it&#39;s very likely that the report will show another decrease.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 07:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","GME":"游戏驿站",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","KR":"克罗格","DOCU":"Docusign",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ZS":"Zscaler Inc.","AAPL":"苹果","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265749449","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases should grab plenty of attention.Results this week will come from GameStop and NIO on Wednesday, DocuSign and Zscaler on Thursday, and Kroger on Friday. Apple will also host a product launch event on Wednesday, when it is expected to unveil a new lineup of iPhones and Apple Watches.Economic data releases next week include the Institute for Supply Management's Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August on Tuesday. The consensus estimate is for the index to decline by about three points, to 54.Other data for investors and economists to watch next week will be the Federal Reserve's sixth beige book of the year on Wednesday and the Department of Labor's initial jobless claims for the latest week on Thursday.The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday. Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's benchmark interest-rate target to 0.75%.Monday 9/5Equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.Tuesday 9/6The Institute for Supply Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 54 reading, about three points lower than in July. The index is well off its record high of 68.4 from November, but still above the expansionary level of 50.Wednesday 9/7Appleholds a launch event, titled \"Far Out,\" at its headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The company is expected to unveil four new iPhone 14 models and three new Apple Watches, along with other products.GameStop and NIO report quarterly results.The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions with anecdotal data collected by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its mortgage application survey for the week ending on Sept. 2. Mortgage applications have dropped for three consecutive weeks and are at a multidecade low amid record-high home prices and surging mortgage rates.Thursday 9/8DocuSign and Zscaler hold conference calls to discuss quarterly earnings.Moderna hosts a research and development day, with presentations from its executive leadership, including CEO Stéphane Bancel.The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 60% chance of a jumbo-size 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's deposit facility rate to 0.75%. At its last meeting, in July, the central bank lifted its key interest rate by half a percentage point, from negative 0.5% to zero. It has been just over a decade since the deposit facility rate was last above zero.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 3. Claims averaged 241,500 in August, and have risen steadily this year from historically low levels.Friday 9/9Kroger reports second-quarter fiscal-2023 results.Tapestry, the parent company of fashion brands Coach and Kate Spade, holds an investor day at its headquarters in New York. The company will discuss its long-term strategic initiatives and update its financial outlook.The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the United States for the second quarter. The report gives a snapshot of the nation's household net worth and debt. In the first quarter, household net worth fell by $544 billion, to $149.3 trillion. It was the first decline since the first quarter of 2020. With the S&P 500 index plunging more than 16% in the second quarter, it's very likely that the report will show another decrease.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995790566,"gmtCreate":1661512103457,"gmtModify":1676536532813,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995790566","repostId":"2262954967","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2262954967","pubTimestamp":1661502632,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2262954967?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-26 16:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla's Stock Split Has Taken Effect. Now What?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262954967","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split is now live, but investors should be focusing on the company itself.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>Tesla stock just became two-thirds cheaper to buy, which is a bonus for smaller investors.</li><li>Investors should be focused on the company&#39;s goal to produce 20 million cars per year by 2030.</li><li>Tesla has plenty of cash and is highly profitable, so it can continue to invest in growth.</li></ul><p>Electric vehicle powerhouse <b>Tesla</b> is the latest in a string of high-profile technology companies to execute a stock split this year. At the close of trading on Aug. 24, the company&#39;s 3-for-1 split went into effect.</p><p>It means the number of Tesla shares in circulation increased threefold, which has cut the price of each share by two-thirds, from $891.30 to $297.10. The move is designed to make Tesla stock more accessible to smaller investors, which could broaden the company&#39;s shareholder base.</p><p>It&#39;s important to remember the stock split is entirely cosmetic and that it doesn&#39;t add any value to the company itself. Instead, investors should remain focused on Tesla&#39;s long-term potential -- especially since there&#39;s so much of it.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9a1113bc9e4112192c3d71615dbc9f4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>The road to 20 million electric vehicles</h2><p>Tesla is the world&#39;s leading manufacturer of electric vehicles. Its success comes not only from the popularity of its cars but also the precision of its production processes, which has allowed the company to rapidly scale and remain dominant even while expanding into new countries.</p><p>In 2017, Tesla delivered 101,312 electric cars. In 2021 that number was more than nine times higher, at 936,172. And thanks to two brand-new gigafactories in Austin, Texas, and Berlin, Germany, the company will have the capacity to manufacture 2 million cars per year by the end of 2022.</p><p>For investors, that growth has coincided with a more than 1,100% gain in Tesla stock over the past five years. Therefore, when Tesla CEO Elon Musk says the company aims to grow production 10-fold from here by the end of the current decade, it might be a signal that the stock is set for another long-term run as well. The recent stock split will truly be a distant memory by then -- in fact, it&#39;s possible the company will need another one!</p><p>By 2030, Tesla thinks it will be producing 20 million electric vehicles after adding another 10 to 12 gigafactories between now and then to reach that capacity. It&#39;s an ambitious goal, but history proves that sort of growth is well within the company&#39;s wheelhouse, and it has the financial performance to deliver it.</p><h2>Tesla could cross $100 billion in revenue next year</h2><p>Naturally, Tesla&#39;s revenue growth has been just as impressive as its growth in production and deliveries. Between 2017 and 2021, the metric expanded at a compound annual rate of 46% and based on analysts&#39; estimates of $83.9 billion in 2022 sales, that growth rate will accelerate to 56% this year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d868ee67b65fd3a3dd53adc0b4b64fe\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"421\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In 2023, the company is expected to generate over $100 billion in annual revenue for the very first time, but there&#39;s an even more exciting story beneath the surface of that number.</p><p>For the 2021 full year, Tesla had a gross profit margin of 29.3% on its electric vehicles. It was a big jump from 25.6% in 2020 and 21.2% in 2019. The figure has increased even further to 30.4% in the first half of 2022. Why does that matter? The company&#39;s gross margin has steadily climbed alongside the number of cars it has produced, which means as Tesla grows larger and makes more cars, it&#39;s also becoming even more profitable.</p><p>A higher gross margin typically gives the company more money to invest in initiatives like new gigafactories, or it could simply result in more money flowing to its bottom line, which would add to the $18.3 billion cash pile Tesla is currently sitting on.</p><h2>Buy Tesla stock for the company, not the stock split</h2><p>For all of the reasons mentioned above, investors should focus on Tesla as a company rather than inconsequential factors like its stock split. But there is one caveat to buying the stock for investors who have shorter-term goals.</p><p>Over the past four quarters, Tesla has generated non-GAAP (adjusted) net income (profit) of $11.3 billion, which translates to $9.89 in earnings per share. That places the stock at a price-to-earnings multiple of 90, which is three-times higher than the <b>Nasdaq 100</b> technology index&#39;s multiple of 27.2, for example. In other words, Tesla is relatively expensive right now.</p><p>But if the company manages to add a dozen gigafactories and can produce 20 million cars each year by 2030, then it should be worth well beyond its presently lofty valuation, so there will likely be gains on the table for long-term investors in that scenario.</p><p>For smaller investors, the stock split does offer an opportunity to buy Tesla stock now for significantly less outlay than was previously required.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's Stock Split Has Taken Effect. Now What?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla's Stock Split Has Taken Effect. Now What?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-26 16:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/teslas-stock-split-has-taken-effect-now-what/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSTesla stock just became two-thirds cheaper to buy, which is a bonus for smaller investors.Investors should be focused on the company's goal to produce 20 million cars per year by 2030.Tesla ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/teslas-stock-split-has-taken-effect-now-what/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/teslas-stock-split-has-taken-effect-now-what/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262954967","content_text":"KEY POINTSTesla stock just became two-thirds cheaper to buy, which is a bonus for smaller investors.Investors should be focused on the company's goal to produce 20 million cars per year by 2030.Tesla has plenty of cash and is highly profitable, so it can continue to invest in growth.Electric vehicle powerhouse Tesla is the latest in a string of high-profile technology companies to execute a stock split this year. At the close of trading on Aug. 24, the company's 3-for-1 split went into effect.It means the number of Tesla shares in circulation increased threefold, which has cut the price of each share by two-thirds, from $891.30 to $297.10. The move is designed to make Tesla stock more accessible to smaller investors, which could broaden the company's shareholder base.It's important to remember the stock split is entirely cosmetic and that it doesn't add any value to the company itself. Instead, investors should remain focused on Tesla's long-term potential -- especially since there's so much of it.Image source: Getty Images.The road to 20 million electric vehiclesTesla is the world's leading manufacturer of electric vehicles. Its success comes not only from the popularity of its cars but also the precision of its production processes, which has allowed the company to rapidly scale and remain dominant even while expanding into new countries.In 2017, Tesla delivered 101,312 electric cars. In 2021 that number was more than nine times higher, at 936,172. And thanks to two brand-new gigafactories in Austin, Texas, and Berlin, Germany, the company will have the capacity to manufacture 2 million cars per year by the end of 2022.For investors, that growth has coincided with a more than 1,100% gain in Tesla stock over the past five years. Therefore, when Tesla CEO Elon Musk says the company aims to grow production 10-fold from here by the end of the current decade, it might be a signal that the stock is set for another long-term run as well. The recent stock split will truly be a distant memory by then -- in fact, it's possible the company will need another one!By 2030, Tesla thinks it will be producing 20 million electric vehicles after adding another 10 to 12 gigafactories between now and then to reach that capacity. It's an ambitious goal, but history proves that sort of growth is well within the company's wheelhouse, and it has the financial performance to deliver it.Tesla could cross $100 billion in revenue next yearNaturally, Tesla's revenue growth has been just as impressive as its growth in production and deliveries. Between 2017 and 2021, the metric expanded at a compound annual rate of 46% and based on analysts' estimates of $83.9 billion in 2022 sales, that growth rate will accelerate to 56% this year.In 2023, the company is expected to generate over $100 billion in annual revenue for the very first time, but there's an even more exciting story beneath the surface of that number.For the 2021 full year, Tesla had a gross profit margin of 29.3% on its electric vehicles. It was a big jump from 25.6% in 2020 and 21.2% in 2019. The figure has increased even further to 30.4% in the first half of 2022. Why does that matter? The company's gross margin has steadily climbed alongside the number of cars it has produced, which means as Tesla grows larger and makes more cars, it's also becoming even more profitable.A higher gross margin typically gives the company more money to invest in initiatives like new gigafactories, or it could simply result in more money flowing to its bottom line, which would add to the $18.3 billion cash pile Tesla is currently sitting on.Buy Tesla stock for the company, not the stock splitFor all of the reasons mentioned above, investors should focus on Tesla as a company rather than inconsequential factors like its stock split. But there is one caveat to buying the stock for investors who have shorter-term goals.Over the past four quarters, Tesla has generated non-GAAP (adjusted) net income (profit) of $11.3 billion, which translates to $9.89 in earnings per share. That places the stock at a price-to-earnings multiple of 90, which is three-times higher than the Nasdaq 100 technology index's multiple of 27.2, for example. In other words, Tesla is relatively expensive right now.But if the company manages to add a dozen gigafactories and can produce 20 million cars each year by 2030, then it should be worth well beyond its presently lofty valuation, so there will likely be gains on the table for long-term investors in that scenario.For smaller investors, the stock split does offer an opportunity to buy Tesla stock now for significantly less outlay than was previously required.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":55,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992250280,"gmtCreate":1661322739642,"gmtModify":1676536497313,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992250280","repostId":"1188636834","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188636834","pubTimestamp":1661302880,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188636834?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-24 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla's Thin Model Pipeline","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188636834","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla has only one new model with an announced launch date.This contrasts with others in the luxury end of the automotive market.It matters because autos are a highly differentiated consumer go","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Tesla has only one new model with an announced launch date.</li><li>This contrasts with others in the luxury end of the automotive market.</li><li>It matters because autos are a highly differentiated consumer good; no single model in the US, China, or Europe gets even 3% of the market.</li><li>Unless Tesla changes its behavior, it cannot continue to demonstrate that growth that its valuation demands.</li></ul><p><b>Preamble</b></p><p>Sometimes I think I&#39;ll scream if I see yet another white Model 3; the limited range of color options accentuates already dated styling. I&#39;m not alone in this, except that most readers of this article are more enamored of Tesla&#39;s styling thanI. It&#39;s not just Tesla. A dealer friend had a customer who always bought two identical cars, his and hers, differing only in color because neither could stand to be seen driving their spouse&#39;s preferred one. There were the buyers who presented a nicely boxed set of keys to a new car for their other half&#39;s birthday. Sometimes it went well, but one time the color was unacceptable, another time, despite carefully soliciting comments, it was one they really didn&#39;t want. There are &#34;pink flamingoes&#34;, cars the dealer can&#39;t imagine anyone being seen in, yet ultimately someone buys them. Consumers are fickle, tastes are inexplicable and varied. That has important implications for thinking about Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) as an investment.</p><p><b>Overview</b></p><p>Passenger vehicles are differentiated durable consumer goods. (Yeh, I&#39;m an economist.) I look at data from China, Europe, and the US to emphasize the extent to which this results in highly fragmented markets. I then sketch the added competition from used cars. This leads to the third piece of my argument, that car companies provide a portfolio of products, and regularly update it - in the case of BMW, with 3 product launches a year, year in and year out. I conclude by looking at Tesla&#39;s product pipeline in light of the above.</p><p>My bottom line is simple: without new product, by 2023 Tesla will hit a growth ceiling. Since the stock is priced for growth, this implies that the company is currently overvalued.</p><p><b>I. Product Differentiation </b></p><p><i>China</i></p><p>In July 2022, some 542 distinct passenger vehicles were sold in China. The actual model count is higher, because this is only domestically assembled vehicles - in 2022H1, there were 446,000 imports or about 150,000 a month, including many high-end models. The best-selling Nissan Sunny (OTCPK:NSANY) (OTCPK:NSANF) (Sentra in the US, Sylphy in Japan) sold 493,000 in CY2021 and 217,000 in CY2022H1.</p><p>Most models sell in very low volumes; only 208 sold over 2,000 units. More important, no model has a large market share. The top-selling Nissan Sunny holds but 2.16% of the market, and only two others - the BYD Song Plus (OTCPK:BYDDF) and the GM Wuling Hongguang (GM) - had over a 2% share. Twelve other models had 1%-2%; fifty had between 0.5% and 1%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3be454d00c3db761ce3004be22b6f76b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author database</p><p>Europe is much the same. UsingJATOdata for CY2021, I compiled a spreadsheet of model-level sales data. Counting &#34;other&#34; lines as but a single model, consumers bought 404 different vehicles in CY2021. Compared to China, per-model sales are even more diffuse: no single vehicle hit even 2% of the overall market of 11.4 million units. Some 25 models had between 1.0% and 1.8%; another 44 had between 0.5% and 1.0%. As in China, the market is comprised of highly differentiated vehicles, none of which achieves more than a small share.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39479367d7c991d0c2580d395b055018\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Authors calculations from JATO data</p><p><i>The USMCA</i></p><p>I don&#39;t have similar detailed data for the USMCA (US-Mexico-Canada), so I focus on the leading model: the Ford F-series (F). Ford sold an amazing 851,813 of those in CY2021, seemingly giving a much higher market share than the top vehicles in China and Europe (4.5% of USMCA CY2021 sales of 18,160,120 units).</p><p>That is misleading, because Ford&#39;s Dearborn Truck Plant assembles F-150s with 3 different length beds and assorted cab configurations (0&#39;, 5½&#39;, and 6½&#39; beds with 3 different cabs). The F-150 Lightning has its own assembly line in the same complex, sharing stampings, frame welding, and paint shop with ICE versions. Dearborn, though, doesn&#39;t assemble versions with 8 foot beds, those are done in the Kentucky Truck Plant, again with multiple variations. Kansas City does additional variations, such as the Transit vans built on the &#34;F&#34; chassis. To those, we must add F-250s, F-350s, stripped chassis versions sold to up-fitters and &#34;dually&#34; versions. Each has its own customer base. Talking to plant managers, that variety makes full-sized pickup truck plants the most difficult-to-run operations in the industry. But it hides that volumes for any single version of the F series are a fraction of the headline number.</p><p>In sum, only a handful of vehicles ever reach 2% of the market in the US, China, and Europe. None today hold 3% or more. In order for Tesla to grab more than a small slice of any market, they need 8-10 models.</p><p><b>II. Used Cars</b></p><p>In the US, there are roughly 280 million registered vehicles. In normal times, there are almost 3x more used cars sold than new. Indeed, most drivers will never have the income to purchase a new vehicle. More important, of those who do purchase new – such as my son, who just took delivery of a Subaru Legacy - many are on the borderline, and shop both new and used.</p><p>The prototypical case is the Model T. Even though Henry Ford kept lowering the price, eventually to $350, by the early 1920s, sales stalled. Why? - a used Model T could be had for less than that and was readily repairable. Indeed, even today, you can get any part needed to fix one delivered overnight, except for the engine block, with perhaps a half-million still in operating condition. In other words, cars are durable goods, and by focusing exclusively on the Model T, Henry almost put himself out of business. [<i>Aside: the original Model T factory survives, unlike the subsequent Highland Park Plant of assembly line fame. It&#39;s now the Ford Piquette Avenue Museum, with 2 floors of Model Ts, from treaded &#34;snowcats&#34; to pickup trucks and leather-fitted versions for social climbers.</i>]</p><p>Do not make the mistake of reading current market conditions into the general story. During the pandemic, rental car fleets unloaded cars - Hertz didn&#39;t do it fast enough and went bankrupt - but when business and vacation travel resumed, rental companies could not &#34;refleet&#34; due to the chip shortage. In a normal year, Enterprise purchases 1 million units, and sells a like number of used units. Now they and their rivals are straining to renew their fleets, to the point of becoming net purchasers of used cars. Similarly, lease returns are normally an additional input into the used vehicle stream, but with prices above the contracted &#34;residual&#34; price at lease-end, that source has likewise dried up. As a result, when my son went car shopping, he discovered that low-mileage used inventory was priced above sticker, whereas he could wait and have a new car at MSRP. Not all car shoppers can wait, so even such high-priced used cars quickly disappear from dealership lots. My son, fortunately, could and did wait. [<i>Aside: when the balance shifts, both new and used car prices will decline precipitously. That will be enough to push the US CPI from inflation to deflation, at least briefly.</i>]</p><p>The bottom line remains that as time passes, competition from like-model used vehicles becomes significant. The average sedan on the road is now over 12 years old, and pickup trucks even older. A critical long-run issue with cars (and other durable goods) is to limit competition from the used car market.</p><p>The one set of studies I know that is specific to automotive (Adam Copeland of the NY Fed, with various co-authors) estimates that as a result of this competition, new car prices fall at an annual average of 9.2% per annum, reflected in increasing rebates and fewer sales of high-trim versions. That is, at the end of a standard 4-year model cycle, prices are almost 30% lower than at launch. Furthermore, later purchasers are lower in income. That is, competition from like-model used cars increases over time, eroding margins as car sellers dip lower down the income profile. No one can avoid that, not even Tesla.</p><p><b>III. Product Portfolio and Product Pipeline</b></p><p>Car companies respond to the above pressures in two ways. First, they offer a portfolio of products from a smaller number of platforms. That helps them increase platform-level economies of scale. (The irony is that the ease of engineering &#34;top hats&#34; for a platform, enabled by the ability to digitally engineer a vehicle - even to modeling assembly-line ergonomics before the first prototype is made - exacerbates the number of models and lowers sales per model.) The key work here is &#34;portfolio&#34;, with a car for every pocket, and a brand hierarchy differentiated by social status.</p><p>The second response is the regular redesign of models, with a typical cadence of a &#34;refresh&#34; every 2 years (fascia and interior) and a redesign every 4 years (with new sheet metal). As a result, cars that launch in 2023 are already a &#34;done&#34; deal, and a lot of the work on 2024 models is complete. Engineers are now turning their attention to cars set to launch in 2025.</p><p>I present a summary below, drawn from <i>Automotive News</i>, focused on a number of the luxury brands with which Tesla competes. Now car companies vary in the extent to which they detail new product plans in public. They are inconsistent in distinguishing whether their plans are on a model year or a calendar year basis. I don&#39;t know individual models, to distinguish whether a &#34;GT&#34; version is a distinct model, so there&#39;s some potential error on my end. Audi (OTC:AUDVF) and Porsche (OTCPK:POAHY) share engineering resources, and it&#39;s likely that there&#39;s overlap between Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF) and Polestar (PSNY). And so on. It&#39;s an indicative table using soft data.</p><p>I use only AN&#39;s coverage and have not modified them against the more reliable product pipelines that suppliers have shared with me under an NDA, which includes the month of launch. What I can share from years of presentations by suppliers on new technologies they&#39;re bringing to market is that launch dates are &#34;hard&#34;. They not only tie into marketing, assembly line upgrades, and supplier production/engineering schedules, but missing a launch target ties up engineers slated to move to other projects. It&#39;s unusual if launch dates slip by more than a few weeks, even though they are set 2 or more years ahead of time.</p><p>With those caveats, here is my summary, excluding model names, and not reporting models with a scheduled end of life.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef5537a42658ca05dded032f18aa6042\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"483\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72a51243c74aaf0e76d9b235157cc762\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"402\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15c14bceea4eacf94d9444cb18953f15\" tg-width=\"617\" tg-height=\"406\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6043da38b1eba04208c52222bf31173\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"302\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>What this table does not show is that this pattern of refreshes, renewals, and new models extends back in time. Audi, Porsche, BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Mercedes (OTCPK:MBGAF), and Lexus have a constant stream of new products in their pipeline, so that over the course of a decade, each model is replaced or refreshed 2-3 times. That is the only way to avoid cannibalization by used cars, plus of course, it&#39;s necessary to keep up with styling trends and to incorporate the constant stream of better components and improved functionality that require new hardware and not just new software.</p><p><b>IV. Tesla&#39;s Pipeline</b></p><p>It&#39;s 10 years since the launch of the Model S, Tesla&#39;s first proper model. Since then, it has launched only 3 new products, and carried out a minor refresh of the interior of the Model S. None of the other models has been refreshed, much less renewed with new sheet metal. Yet the Model S is 10 years old, the Model X is 7 years old, and the Model 3 is 5 years old; only the Model Y, launched in 2020, is fresh. That understates the issue: because of the many delays in both development and launch, the styling of these models is older than those of competitors who launched on time after a short period of development and engineering. In a style-conscious industry, Tesla has chosen to rely on each new model hitting a home run, that is, setting trends rather than adapting to trends. That&#39;s a high-risk strategy, amplified as its lineup ages.</p><p>Two rumored future products, the Semi and the Roadster, do not yet have clear timelines - maybe 2023, maybe a bit later. In any case, both are niche vehicles that will not generate sufficient top line revenue or bottom line profits to move the needle.</p><p>That leaves a single model in the pipeline: the Tesla Cybertruck. It begins production by summer 2023 and goes on sale sometime thereafter. It&#39;s all still vague, and the initial $39,999 price is DOA. More to the point, it&#39;s a quintessential California/Texas vehicle: a performance pickup with only a single cab-bed variant. That is in stark contrast to the multiple products hiding behind the F-150 moniker. Worse, Tesla needs global vehicles if it is to grow.</p><p>Unfortunately for the Cybertruck, full-sized pickups are a North American thing. Despite a market 40% larger than the USMCA, fewer pickups sell in China than Ford sells in the US - only 259,000 in 2022H1. Great Wall (OTCPK:GWLLF) has 45% of the market, followed by the truckmakers Jiangling (OTCPK:JGLMY) (15%), Zhengzhou Nissan (10%), and Jiangxi Isuzu. Unlike the US, pickups are not an offspring of the passenger car market. Furthermore, only 14% of pickups are sold in the Tier I and Tier II cities that are the core market for Tesla (see Wikipediaherefor a list of major cities). In contrast, 19% are sold in Tier III cities, 24% in Tier IV cities, and 42% in rural areas. (Source:CPCAA data.) To sell the Cybertruck in those markets would require Tesla to more than double its sales and service center network, because farmers and rural construction firms can&#39;t wait for repairs. Of course, there&#39;s no rural charging network, either, but unlike urban apartment dwellers, most truck drivers would have access to overnight charging. But who would want to use a Cybertruck to haul manure?</p><p>Europe is worse - in CY2020, the most recent data I found, sales were only 116,000, in a market about the size of the USMCA. Nissan, Renault (OTCPK:RNSDF), and Mercedes have all exited the market. [Source:Automotive News June 14, 2021] In addition, most are compact pickups - in 2020, the Ford Ranger held over a third of the pickup market. [Source:carsalesbase] Even in the US, the Cybertruck is both idiosyncratic and late to market, well behind Ford and Rivian (RIVN). It will certainly find a following among Tesla aficionados, but it is unclear that it will gain much traction among current pickup truck owners. Ford dominates there. The contractors who lease them have the local dealership service desk on speed-dial - work trucks take a beating, and a history of reliable service keeps them loyal.</p><p>In any case, the Cybertruck is not one of the global models that Tesla needs.</p><p><b><i>Summary</i></b></p><p>Quite simply, Tesla is not spending enough on new products, and lacks a clear product strategy. R&amp;D expenditures have risen from $825 million in 2020Q2 to $2,632 million in 2022Q2, so product development shouldn&#39;t be starved for resources. [<i>As a data point, the GM-Honda Cruise autonomous driving joint venture spent $496 million in 2022Q2, a spend rate that would eat up 19% of Tesla&#39;s R&amp;D.</i>]</p><p>Tesla has too many irons in the fire: autonomous vehicle development, solar and energy products, service and sales centers, charging stations, and pet projects of Elon Musk such as robots. It needs to fill its product pipeline and communicate about what it is doing with investors.</p><p><b>V. Conclusion</b></p><p>Tesla has tremendous brand value. Without new models, however, they will not be able to monetize it, and will instead start to see sales stagnate and margins compress. As the many projections on Seeking Alpha make clear, its stock market valuation is based on continued high growth. New factories support growth only if there is a new product to fill them. Unfortunately, management is providing no guidance to suggest they are bringing a product portfolio to market in a systematic, disciplined, and timely manner.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's Thin Model Pipeline</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla's Thin Model Pipeline\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-24 09:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536322-tesla-stock-thin-model-pipeline?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A41><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla has only one new model with an announced launch date.This contrasts with others in the luxury end of the automotive market.It matters because autos are a highly differentiated consumer ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536322-tesla-stock-thin-model-pipeline?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A41\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536322-tesla-stock-thin-model-pipeline?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A41","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188636834","content_text":"SummaryTesla has only one new model with an announced launch date.This contrasts with others in the luxury end of the automotive market.It matters because autos are a highly differentiated consumer good; no single model in the US, China, or Europe gets even 3% of the market.Unless Tesla changes its behavior, it cannot continue to demonstrate that growth that its valuation demands.PreambleSometimes I think I'll scream if I see yet another white Model 3; the limited range of color options accentuates already dated styling. I'm not alone in this, except that most readers of this article are more enamored of Tesla's styling thanI. It's not just Tesla. A dealer friend had a customer who always bought two identical cars, his and hers, differing only in color because neither could stand to be seen driving their spouse's preferred one. There were the buyers who presented a nicely boxed set of keys to a new car for their other half's birthday. Sometimes it went well, but one time the color was unacceptable, another time, despite carefully soliciting comments, it was one they really didn't want. There are \"pink flamingoes\", cars the dealer can't imagine anyone being seen in, yet ultimately someone buys them. Consumers are fickle, tastes are inexplicable and varied. That has important implications for thinking about Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) as an investment.OverviewPassenger vehicles are differentiated durable consumer goods. (Yeh, I'm an economist.) I look at data from China, Europe, and the US to emphasize the extent to which this results in highly fragmented markets. I then sketch the added competition from used cars. This leads to the third piece of my argument, that car companies provide a portfolio of products, and regularly update it - in the case of BMW, with 3 product launches a year, year in and year out. I conclude by looking at Tesla's product pipeline in light of the above.My bottom line is simple: without new product, by 2023 Tesla will hit a growth ceiling. Since the stock is priced for growth, this implies that the company is currently overvalued.I. Product Differentiation ChinaIn July 2022, some 542 distinct passenger vehicles were sold in China. The actual model count is higher, because this is only domestically assembled vehicles - in 2022H1, there were 446,000 imports or about 150,000 a month, including many high-end models. The best-selling Nissan Sunny (OTCPK:NSANY) (OTCPK:NSANF) (Sentra in the US, Sylphy in Japan) sold 493,000 in CY2021 and 217,000 in CY2022H1.Most models sell in very low volumes; only 208 sold over 2,000 units. More important, no model has a large market share. The top-selling Nissan Sunny holds but 2.16% of the market, and only two others - the BYD Song Plus (OTCPK:BYDDF) and the GM Wuling Hongguang (GM) - had over a 2% share. Twelve other models had 1%-2%; fifty had between 0.5% and 1%.Author databaseEurope is much the same. UsingJATOdata for CY2021, I compiled a spreadsheet of model-level sales data. Counting \"other\" lines as but a single model, consumers bought 404 different vehicles in CY2021. Compared to China, per-model sales are even more diffuse: no single vehicle hit even 2% of the overall market of 11.4 million units. Some 25 models had between 1.0% and 1.8%; another 44 had between 0.5% and 1.0%. As in China, the market is comprised of highly differentiated vehicles, none of which achieves more than a small share.Authors calculations from JATO dataThe USMCAI don't have similar detailed data for the USMCA (US-Mexico-Canada), so I focus on the leading model: the Ford F-series (F). Ford sold an amazing 851,813 of those in CY2021, seemingly giving a much higher market share than the top vehicles in China and Europe (4.5% of USMCA CY2021 sales of 18,160,120 units).That is misleading, because Ford's Dearborn Truck Plant assembles F-150s with 3 different length beds and assorted cab configurations (0', 5½', and 6½' beds with 3 different cabs). The F-150 Lightning has its own assembly line in the same complex, sharing stampings, frame welding, and paint shop with ICE versions. Dearborn, though, doesn't assemble versions with 8 foot beds, those are done in the Kentucky Truck Plant, again with multiple variations. Kansas City does additional variations, such as the Transit vans built on the \"F\" chassis. To those, we must add F-250s, F-350s, stripped chassis versions sold to up-fitters and \"dually\" versions. Each has its own customer base. Talking to plant managers, that variety makes full-sized pickup truck plants the most difficult-to-run operations in the industry. But it hides that volumes for any single version of the F series are a fraction of the headline number.In sum, only a handful of vehicles ever reach 2% of the market in the US, China, and Europe. None today hold 3% or more. In order for Tesla to grab more than a small slice of any market, they need 8-10 models.II. Used CarsIn the US, there are roughly 280 million registered vehicles. In normal times, there are almost 3x more used cars sold than new. Indeed, most drivers will never have the income to purchase a new vehicle. More important, of those who do purchase new – such as my son, who just took delivery of a Subaru Legacy - many are on the borderline, and shop both new and used.The prototypical case is the Model T. Even though Henry Ford kept lowering the price, eventually to $350, by the early 1920s, sales stalled. Why? - a used Model T could be had for less than that and was readily repairable. Indeed, even today, you can get any part needed to fix one delivered overnight, except for the engine block, with perhaps a half-million still in operating condition. In other words, cars are durable goods, and by focusing exclusively on the Model T, Henry almost put himself out of business. [Aside: the original Model T factory survives, unlike the subsequent Highland Park Plant of assembly line fame. It's now the Ford Piquette Avenue Museum, with 2 floors of Model Ts, from treaded \"snowcats\" to pickup trucks and leather-fitted versions for social climbers.]Do not make the mistake of reading current market conditions into the general story. During the pandemic, rental car fleets unloaded cars - Hertz didn't do it fast enough and went bankrupt - but when business and vacation travel resumed, rental companies could not \"refleet\" due to the chip shortage. In a normal year, Enterprise purchases 1 million units, and sells a like number of used units. Now they and their rivals are straining to renew their fleets, to the point of becoming net purchasers of used cars. Similarly, lease returns are normally an additional input into the used vehicle stream, but with prices above the contracted \"residual\" price at lease-end, that source has likewise dried up. As a result, when my son went car shopping, he discovered that low-mileage used inventory was priced above sticker, whereas he could wait and have a new car at MSRP. Not all car shoppers can wait, so even such high-priced used cars quickly disappear from dealership lots. My son, fortunately, could and did wait. [Aside: when the balance shifts, both new and used car prices will decline precipitously. That will be enough to push the US CPI from inflation to deflation, at least briefly.]The bottom line remains that as time passes, competition from like-model used vehicles becomes significant. The average sedan on the road is now over 12 years old, and pickup trucks even older. A critical long-run issue with cars (and other durable goods) is to limit competition from the used car market.The one set of studies I know that is specific to automotive (Adam Copeland of the NY Fed, with various co-authors) estimates that as a result of this competition, new car prices fall at an annual average of 9.2% per annum, reflected in increasing rebates and fewer sales of high-trim versions. That is, at the end of a standard 4-year model cycle, prices are almost 30% lower than at launch. Furthermore, later purchasers are lower in income. That is, competition from like-model used cars increases over time, eroding margins as car sellers dip lower down the income profile. No one can avoid that, not even Tesla.III. Product Portfolio and Product PipelineCar companies respond to the above pressures in two ways. First, they offer a portfolio of products from a smaller number of platforms. That helps them increase platform-level economies of scale. (The irony is that the ease of engineering \"top hats\" for a platform, enabled by the ability to digitally engineer a vehicle - even to modeling assembly-line ergonomics before the first prototype is made - exacerbates the number of models and lowers sales per model.) The key work here is \"portfolio\", with a car for every pocket, and a brand hierarchy differentiated by social status.The second response is the regular redesign of models, with a typical cadence of a \"refresh\" every 2 years (fascia and interior) and a redesign every 4 years (with new sheet metal). As a result, cars that launch in 2023 are already a \"done\" deal, and a lot of the work on 2024 models is complete. Engineers are now turning their attention to cars set to launch in 2025.I present a summary below, drawn from Automotive News, focused on a number of the luxury brands with which Tesla competes. Now car companies vary in the extent to which they detail new product plans in public. They are inconsistent in distinguishing whether their plans are on a model year or a calendar year basis. I don't know individual models, to distinguish whether a \"GT\" version is a distinct model, so there's some potential error on my end. Audi (OTC:AUDVF) and Porsche (OTCPK:POAHY) share engineering resources, and it's likely that there's overlap between Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF) and Polestar (PSNY). And so on. It's an indicative table using soft data.I use only AN's coverage and have not modified them against the more reliable product pipelines that suppliers have shared with me under an NDA, which includes the month of launch. What I can share from years of presentations by suppliers on new technologies they're bringing to market is that launch dates are \"hard\". They not only tie into marketing, assembly line upgrades, and supplier production/engineering schedules, but missing a launch target ties up engineers slated to move to other projects. It's unusual if launch dates slip by more than a few weeks, even though they are set 2 or more years ahead of time.With those caveats, here is my summary, excluding model names, and not reporting models with a scheduled end of life.What this table does not show is that this pattern of refreshes, renewals, and new models extends back in time. Audi, Porsche, BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Mercedes (OTCPK:MBGAF), and Lexus have a constant stream of new products in their pipeline, so that over the course of a decade, each model is replaced or refreshed 2-3 times. That is the only way to avoid cannibalization by used cars, plus of course, it's necessary to keep up with styling trends and to incorporate the constant stream of better components and improved functionality that require new hardware and not just new software.IV. Tesla's PipelineIt's 10 years since the launch of the Model S, Tesla's first proper model. Since then, it has launched only 3 new products, and carried out a minor refresh of the interior of the Model S. None of the other models has been refreshed, much less renewed with new sheet metal. Yet the Model S is 10 years old, the Model X is 7 years old, and the Model 3 is 5 years old; only the Model Y, launched in 2020, is fresh. That understates the issue: because of the many delays in both development and launch, the styling of these models is older than those of competitors who launched on time after a short period of development and engineering. In a style-conscious industry, Tesla has chosen to rely on each new model hitting a home run, that is, setting trends rather than adapting to trends. That's a high-risk strategy, amplified as its lineup ages.Two rumored future products, the Semi and the Roadster, do not yet have clear timelines - maybe 2023, maybe a bit later. In any case, both are niche vehicles that will not generate sufficient top line revenue or bottom line profits to move the needle.That leaves a single model in the pipeline: the Tesla Cybertruck. It begins production by summer 2023 and goes on sale sometime thereafter. It's all still vague, and the initial $39,999 price is DOA. More to the point, it's a quintessential California/Texas vehicle: a performance pickup with only a single cab-bed variant. That is in stark contrast to the multiple products hiding behind the F-150 moniker. Worse, Tesla needs global vehicles if it is to grow.Unfortunately for the Cybertruck, full-sized pickups are a North American thing. Despite a market 40% larger than the USMCA, fewer pickups sell in China than Ford sells in the US - only 259,000 in 2022H1. Great Wall (OTCPK:GWLLF) has 45% of the market, followed by the truckmakers Jiangling (OTCPK:JGLMY) (15%), Zhengzhou Nissan (10%), and Jiangxi Isuzu. Unlike the US, pickups are not an offspring of the passenger car market. Furthermore, only 14% of pickups are sold in the Tier I and Tier II cities that are the core market for Tesla (see Wikipediaherefor a list of major cities). In contrast, 19% are sold in Tier III cities, 24% in Tier IV cities, and 42% in rural areas. (Source:CPCAA data.) To sell the Cybertruck in those markets would require Tesla to more than double its sales and service center network, because farmers and rural construction firms can't wait for repairs. Of course, there's no rural charging network, either, but unlike urban apartment dwellers, most truck drivers would have access to overnight charging. But who would want to use a Cybertruck to haul manure?Europe is worse - in CY2020, the most recent data I found, sales were only 116,000, in a market about the size of the USMCA. Nissan, Renault (OTCPK:RNSDF), and Mercedes have all exited the market. [Source:Automotive News June 14, 2021] In addition, most are compact pickups - in 2020, the Ford Ranger held over a third of the pickup market. [Source:carsalesbase] Even in the US, the Cybertruck is both idiosyncratic and late to market, well behind Ford and Rivian (RIVN). It will certainly find a following among Tesla aficionados, but it is unclear that it will gain much traction among current pickup truck owners. Ford dominates there. The contractors who lease them have the local dealership service desk on speed-dial - work trucks take a beating, and a history of reliable service keeps them loyal.In any case, the Cybertruck is not one of the global models that Tesla needs.SummaryQuite simply, Tesla is not spending enough on new products, and lacks a clear product strategy. R&D expenditures have risen from $825 million in 2020Q2 to $2,632 million in 2022Q2, so product development shouldn't be starved for resources. [As a data point, the GM-Honda Cruise autonomous driving joint venture spent $496 million in 2022Q2, a spend rate that would eat up 19% of Tesla's R&D.]Tesla has too many irons in the fire: autonomous vehicle development, solar and energy products, service and sales centers, charging stations, and pet projects of Elon Musk such as robots. It needs to fill its product pipeline and communicate about what it is doing with investors.V. ConclusionTesla has tremendous brand value. Without new models, however, they will not be able to monetize it, and will instead start to see sales stagnate and margins compress. As the many projections on Seeking Alpha make clear, its stock market valuation is based on continued high growth. New factories support growth only if there is a new product to fill them. Unfortunately, management is providing no guidance to suggest they are bringing a product portfolio to market in a systematic, disciplined, and timely manner.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911947036,"gmtCreate":1664136084725,"gmtModify":1676537393776,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911947036","repostId":"2269490734","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269490734","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664066508,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2269490734?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-25 08:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269490734","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-25 08:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269490734","content_text":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market's decline this past week following the Federal Reserve's most recent interest-rate hike announcement.To show why higher interest rates aren't necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model's track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market's subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University's finance professor Robert Shiller.In other words, the ability to predict the stock market's five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.Money illusionThese results are so surprising that it's important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years' corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it's only half the story.The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as \"inflation illusion\" -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.According to research conducted by Warr, inflation's impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed's latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.None of this means that the bear market shouldn't continue, or that equities aren't overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937679512,"gmtCreate":1663431190936,"gmtModify":1676537269801,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937679512","repostId":"1129633132","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129633132","pubTimestamp":1663378125,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129633132?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-17 09:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129633132","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “m","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.</li><li>Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for Nvidia’s fiscal Q2 results.</li><li>The impact of the Merge on Nvidia’s sales will be, at best, ugly.</li><li>How will the Merge affect Nvidia’s expected RTX 40 series launch?</li><li>Investor takeaways: Will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f531f7b392a181968ec72c4a8f89f8e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>vzphotos/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p>The Ethereum Foundation, which manages the Ether cryptocurrency, has announced completion of what it calls the Merge, whereby validation of new blocks of transactions no longer takes place by &#34;mining&#34;. The millions of high-end graphics cards that are used for this will no longer beneeded for the new &#34;proof-of-stake&#34; approach, so that most of these will likely find their way into the used card market. This will depress demand for new graphics cards just when Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to announce its next-generation GeForce 40 series.</p><p><b>Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy consuming &#34;mining&#34;</b></p><p>The transition of Ethereum to proof-of-stake was called the Merge because it involved combining the parallel block chain that was already using proof-of-stake experimentally with the main block chain that was using traditional mining, called proof-of-work. This is shown below in this diagram from the Ethereum Foundation:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4872c823bfeb3e06182d2d3f6ab87879\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"574\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Ethereum.org</span></p><p>Mining was really just transaction processing, in which a number of Ethereum transactions would be bundled into a block and encrypted. But the encryption process was made artificially difficult, requiring millions of high end graphics cards in the mining pool to process a block in a reasonable period of time.</p><p>In the new proof-of-stake approach, the artificial difficulty is removed, so that hardware requirements can be met by almost any computer, ending the need for graphics card processing and the attendant energy consumption. Ethereum claims this will reduce energy consumption by 99.95%.</p><p>Some miners may go to work on a &#34;hard fork&#34; of Ethereum, in effect, a secession of the currency into a new one called EthereumPOW. This currency will continue to use proof-of-work, but it&#39;s unclear whether mining this will be profitable.</p><p>Probably, the vast majority of cards will go on the used card market and be sold on venues such as eBay.</p><p><b>Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales</b></p><p>Following Nvidia&#39;s revised guidance for its fiscal 2023 Q2, I realized that I needed to revise my model of Ethereum-related sales of graphics cards. I had published an article detailing the model in July.</p><p>The problem with the model was that it only accounted for sales into the Ethereum mining pool when the pool was adding capacity, i.e., adding new cards to the pool. It worked fine as long as the pool was still growing.</p><p>However, starting in mid-May, the Ethereum mining pool hash rate, a measure of mining capacity, started to decline, as shown in the following chart from BitInfoCharts:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe36f2d53f47c0d7e5cdf964d09c67fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BinInfoCharts</span></p><p>This implied that a substantial number of graphics cards were being removed from the pool. If I assumed that these cards were comparable to current generation Nvidia and AMD (AMD) cards, then it was reasonable to assume that every used card sold was a lost new card sale.</p><p>This turned out to account very well for Nvidia&#39;s fiscal Q2 results, if we assume that a normal quarterly revenue in Nvidia&#39;s Gaming segment is about $2.5 billion. During the Fiscal Q2 conference call, Nvidia specifically claimed that this would be their normal average Gaming segment revenue without crypto. In my spreadsheet calculations, it was easy to calculate the used card effect simply by allowing the change in mining pool cards to go negative, with a negative net revenue for the cards:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8223bcd7d3f44c30f5c60970c616fe0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>Note that the revenue impact doesn&#39;t only fall on Nvidia, but the timing of Nvidia&#39;s fiscal Q2 lined up better with the fall in Ethereum mining capacity and likely release of cards into the used card market. AMD will likely feel the impact in its Q3 results.</p><p><b>The impact of the Merge on Nvidia&#39;s sales will be, at best, ugly</b></p><p>The model provides a means of anticipating what happens when the Ethereum hash rate effectively goes to zero, post Merge. And it&#39;s not pretty. In an article on August 21, I gave my subscribers a heads-up concerning the impact of the Merge, and I further revised my model results on September 11.</p><p>If we assume that the entire mining pool consists of newer graphics cards released since September 2020 (RTX 30 series for Nvidia), then Nvidia&#39;s RTX 30 series sales for Q3 are completely wiped out, as shown in the spreadsheet calculations extended to Q3:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c00465fed542c67659f55786fcdf366b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>The model deducts the hash rate contribution due to Nvidia Crypto Mining Processors (CMP). These cannot be sold into the used graphics cards market, since they lack display outputs.</p><p>This amounts to assuming that all of the cards used in mining before September 2020 (about when the RTX 30 series launched) were replaced with newer cards. This probably isn&#39;t absolutely correct, and the mining pool has consisted of a mixture of older and newer cards.</p><p>As a lower bound, we can assume that none of the older cards were replaced. These cards would not impact new card sales, since they aren&#39;t comparable to current generation cards. The model can deduct these cards from the calculated revenue impact by simply deducting the pre-September 2020 hash rate of 228.2361 terahash/sec (THASH) for the mining pool:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac0a909d1edae7870adea14e3f987d28\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>So the lost revenue impact for Nvidia looks to be in the range of $2-3 billion, and it probably won&#39;t fall all in Q3 but be distributed over several quarters. The effect of the Merge is to effectively zero out Nvidia&#39;s crypto revenue over time. The revenue made during Ethereum&#39;s mining pool expansion is negated by lost revenue post Merge, with the exception of CMP revenue and revenue from older graphics cards that might still have been in the pool at the time of the Merge.</p><p><b>How will the Merge affect Nvidia&#39;s expected RTX 40 series launch?</b></p><p>Nvidia has been expected to announce its GeForce RTX 40 series cards for some time, and Nvidia posted this announcement on its website:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c5990337b62c49447e21da39a199e14\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Nvidia</span></p><p>Various tech pundits are claiming that this is the worst time for Nvidia to launch a new generation of gaming graphics cards. One important feature expected of the RTX 40 series is support for PCIE 5.0. This could be important in reducing the impact of the Ethereum Merge.</p><p>The current generation of Nvidia and AMD cards only support PCIE 4.0, the prevailing standard at the time of their introduction in late 2020. PCIE 5.0 will double the communication bandwidth compared to 4.0. It&#39;s not clear how critical that will be to gaming performance, but it should eliminate PCIE as a bottleneck, if it ever was.</p><p>Just as important, new generation CPUs will have to support PCIE 5.0, since the GPU is typically linked directly to the CPU through a built in PCIE 16 lane (x16) interface. This is the preferred architecture for maximum gaming performance, and all modern CPUs provide at least 16 lanes of PCIE for this purpose.</p><p>Intel (INTC) already supports PCIE 5.0 in its latest Alder Lake 12th generation Core series of desktop CPUs. Since Alder Lake launched early this year, there have been no PCIE 5.0 graphics cards to take advantage of the interface, but the current installed base of Alder Lake systems represents a waiting market for the new PCIE 5.0 cards.</p><p>Unfortunately, I don&#39;t have an estimate of Alder Lake sales, so I have no idea what the size of that market might be. Current generation AMD Ryzen 5000 series desktop CPUs only offer PCIE 4.0, but the Ryzen 7000 series has been announced with support for PCIE 5.0, with a launch expected in October. AMD&#39;s next-generation GPUs have only been &#34;teased&#34; but are expected to support PCIE 5.0 as well.</p><p>The performance desktop market (mostly gamers) is moving rapidly to PCIE 5.0, and Nvidia will have, at least for a few months, the only graphics cards that support it. Gamers tend to be early adopters and favor the highest performance technology.</p><p>Since<i>none</i>of the used cards released from the Merge will support PCIE 5.0, this may serve to somewhat isolate the RTX 40 series launch from the impact of the Merge. How much isolation is still unclear.</p><p>Most of the current population of gaming systems will only support PCIE 4.0, so this part of the market would probably not buy RTX 40 series in any case. Most 40 series sales will go into new system builds.</p><p>Certainly, the impact of the Merge will be to weaken sales of the RTX 40 series at launch. However, overall sales in the Gaming segment will probably benefit from the launch. The 40 series launch will give the segment a revenue stream it would not have had otherwise.</p><p><b>Investor takeaways: will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?</b></p><p>Nvidia guided to revenue of $5.9 billion for fiscal Q3 during the Q2 conference call, and this implies revenue in the gaming segment of about $1 billion. Did Nvidia account for the Merge in their guidance?</p><p>When asked specifically about the impact of the Merge, Nvidia management had no comment, and professed an inability to account for the crypto impact. The guidance was claimed to be due to a retail channel inventory glut.</p><p>If Nvidia really wasn&#39;t accounting for the Merge, then almost certainly it will need to restate guidance for Q3. Probably, the RTX 40 series launch will not be enough to provide the roughly $1 billion in Gaming segment revenue.</p><p>In my Nvidia integrated financial model, I&#39;m assuming a $3 billion hit due to the Merge and another $1 billion due to inventory correction. In the model, this is distributed over the next four quarters from fiscal 2023 Q3 to fiscal 2024 Q2, with Gaming segment sales only starting to recover in fiscal 2024 Q3.</p><p>Despite this, I&#39;m still modeling growth in the all-important Data Center segment. Nvidia&#39;s next-generation data center accelerator, the Hopper H100, is testing out to be very impressive and is in production now with deliveries expected by the end of the calendar year.</p><p>Hopper should ensure continued growth in the Data Center segment, and the advent of Grace, Nvidia&#39;s ARM architecture CPU for the data center, should further enhance growth. Data Center growth largely compensates for revenue declines expected in Gaming for this year and next, according to the model:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8026f845d3af92219bdc2bb1bc67be19\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>According to my long-term Discounted Cash Flow model, Nvidia has a fair value of $192. I consider Nvidia&#39;s future to be very bright, despite the impact of crypto in the near term.</p><p>Currently, I have Nvidia rated at Hold, and Nvidia has been a relatively small part of the Rethink Technology portfolio since selling most of my Nvidia shares (at a substantial profit) in April. I&#39;m pretty close to upgrading Nvidia to Buy, but I&#39;m waiting to see if the Merge (and possible guidance restatement) will drive Nvidia&#39;s price even lower.</p><p>Also, I&#39;m waiting to see what Nvidia has to offer in its new 40 series on September 20. Nvidia has consistently set the performance bar in the desktop graphics card market. Most likely, Nvidia is already undervalued.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-17 09:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129633132","content_text":"SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for Nvidia’s fiscal Q2 results.The impact of the Merge on Nvidia’s sales will be, at best, ugly.How will the Merge affect Nvidia’s expected RTX 40 series launch?Investor takeaways: Will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?vzphotos/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesThe Ethereum Foundation, which manages the Ether cryptocurrency, has announced completion of what it calls the Merge, whereby validation of new blocks of transactions no longer takes place by \"mining\". The millions of high-end graphics cards that are used for this will no longer beneeded for the new \"proof-of-stake\" approach, so that most of these will likely find their way into the used card market. This will depress demand for new graphics cards just when Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to announce its next-generation GeForce 40 series.Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy consuming \"mining\"The transition of Ethereum to proof-of-stake was called the Merge because it involved combining the parallel block chain that was already using proof-of-stake experimentally with the main block chain that was using traditional mining, called proof-of-work. This is shown below in this diagram from the Ethereum Foundation:Ethereum.orgMining was really just transaction processing, in which a number of Ethereum transactions would be bundled into a block and encrypted. But the encryption process was made artificially difficult, requiring millions of high end graphics cards in the mining pool to process a block in a reasonable period of time.In the new proof-of-stake approach, the artificial difficulty is removed, so that hardware requirements can be met by almost any computer, ending the need for graphics card processing and the attendant energy consumption. Ethereum claims this will reduce energy consumption by 99.95%.Some miners may go to work on a \"hard fork\" of Ethereum, in effect, a secession of the currency into a new one called EthereumPOW. This currency will continue to use proof-of-work, but it's unclear whether mining this will be profitable.Probably, the vast majority of cards will go on the used card market and be sold on venues such as eBay.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card salesFollowing Nvidia's revised guidance for its fiscal 2023 Q2, I realized that I needed to revise my model of Ethereum-related sales of graphics cards. I had published an article detailing the model in July.The problem with the model was that it only accounted for sales into the Ethereum mining pool when the pool was adding capacity, i.e., adding new cards to the pool. It worked fine as long as the pool was still growing.However, starting in mid-May, the Ethereum mining pool hash rate, a measure of mining capacity, started to decline, as shown in the following chart from BitInfoCharts:BinInfoChartsThis implied that a substantial number of graphics cards were being removed from the pool. If I assumed that these cards were comparable to current generation Nvidia and AMD (AMD) cards, then it was reasonable to assume that every used card sold was a lost new card sale.This turned out to account very well for Nvidia's fiscal Q2 results, if we assume that a normal quarterly revenue in Nvidia's Gaming segment is about $2.5 billion. During the Fiscal Q2 conference call, Nvidia specifically claimed that this would be their normal average Gaming segment revenue without crypto. In my spreadsheet calculations, it was easy to calculate the used card effect simply by allowing the change in mining pool cards to go negative, with a negative net revenue for the cards:Mark HibbenNote that the revenue impact doesn't only fall on Nvidia, but the timing of Nvidia's fiscal Q2 lined up better with the fall in Ethereum mining capacity and likely release of cards into the used card market. AMD will likely feel the impact in its Q3 results.The impact of the Merge on Nvidia's sales will be, at best, uglyThe model provides a means of anticipating what happens when the Ethereum hash rate effectively goes to zero, post Merge. And it's not pretty. In an article on August 21, I gave my subscribers a heads-up concerning the impact of the Merge, and I further revised my model results on September 11.If we assume that the entire mining pool consists of newer graphics cards released since September 2020 (RTX 30 series for Nvidia), then Nvidia's RTX 30 series sales for Q3 are completely wiped out, as shown in the spreadsheet calculations extended to Q3:Mark HibbenThe model deducts the hash rate contribution due to Nvidia Crypto Mining Processors (CMP). These cannot be sold into the used graphics cards market, since they lack display outputs.This amounts to assuming that all of the cards used in mining before September 2020 (about when the RTX 30 series launched) were replaced with newer cards. This probably isn't absolutely correct, and the mining pool has consisted of a mixture of older and newer cards.As a lower bound, we can assume that none of the older cards were replaced. These cards would not impact new card sales, since they aren't comparable to current generation cards. The model can deduct these cards from the calculated revenue impact by simply deducting the pre-September 2020 hash rate of 228.2361 terahash/sec (THASH) for the mining pool:Mark HibbenSo the lost revenue impact for Nvidia looks to be in the range of $2-3 billion, and it probably won't fall all in Q3 but be distributed over several quarters. The effect of the Merge is to effectively zero out Nvidia's crypto revenue over time. The revenue made during Ethereum's mining pool expansion is negated by lost revenue post Merge, with the exception of CMP revenue and revenue from older graphics cards that might still have been in the pool at the time of the Merge.How will the Merge affect Nvidia's expected RTX 40 series launch?Nvidia has been expected to announce its GeForce RTX 40 series cards for some time, and Nvidia posted this announcement on its website:NvidiaVarious tech pundits are claiming that this is the worst time for Nvidia to launch a new generation of gaming graphics cards. One important feature expected of the RTX 40 series is support for PCIE 5.0. This could be important in reducing the impact of the Ethereum Merge.The current generation of Nvidia and AMD cards only support PCIE 4.0, the prevailing standard at the time of their introduction in late 2020. PCIE 5.0 will double the communication bandwidth compared to 4.0. It's not clear how critical that will be to gaming performance, but it should eliminate PCIE as a bottleneck, if it ever was.Just as important, new generation CPUs will have to support PCIE 5.0, since the GPU is typically linked directly to the CPU through a built in PCIE 16 lane (x16) interface. This is the preferred architecture for maximum gaming performance, and all modern CPUs provide at least 16 lanes of PCIE for this purpose.Intel (INTC) already supports PCIE 5.0 in its latest Alder Lake 12th generation Core series of desktop CPUs. Since Alder Lake launched early this year, there have been no PCIE 5.0 graphics cards to take advantage of the interface, but the current installed base of Alder Lake systems represents a waiting market for the new PCIE 5.0 cards.Unfortunately, I don't have an estimate of Alder Lake sales, so I have no idea what the size of that market might be. Current generation AMD Ryzen 5000 series desktop CPUs only offer PCIE 4.0, but the Ryzen 7000 series has been announced with support for PCIE 5.0, with a launch expected in October. AMD's next-generation GPUs have only been \"teased\" but are expected to support PCIE 5.0 as well.The performance desktop market (mostly gamers) is moving rapidly to PCIE 5.0, and Nvidia will have, at least for a few months, the only graphics cards that support it. Gamers tend to be early adopters and favor the highest performance technology.Sincenoneof the used cards released from the Merge will support PCIE 5.0, this may serve to somewhat isolate the RTX 40 series launch from the impact of the Merge. How much isolation is still unclear.Most of the current population of gaming systems will only support PCIE 4.0, so this part of the market would probably not buy RTX 40 series in any case. Most 40 series sales will go into new system builds.Certainly, the impact of the Merge will be to weaken sales of the RTX 40 series at launch. However, overall sales in the Gaming segment will probably benefit from the launch. The 40 series launch will give the segment a revenue stream it would not have had otherwise.Investor takeaways: will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?Nvidia guided to revenue of $5.9 billion for fiscal Q3 during the Q2 conference call, and this implies revenue in the gaming segment of about $1 billion. Did Nvidia account for the Merge in their guidance?When asked specifically about the impact of the Merge, Nvidia management had no comment, and professed an inability to account for the crypto impact. The guidance was claimed to be due to a retail channel inventory glut.If Nvidia really wasn't accounting for the Merge, then almost certainly it will need to restate guidance for Q3. Probably, the RTX 40 series launch will not be enough to provide the roughly $1 billion in Gaming segment revenue.In my Nvidia integrated financial model, I'm assuming a $3 billion hit due to the Merge and another $1 billion due to inventory correction. In the model, this is distributed over the next four quarters from fiscal 2023 Q3 to fiscal 2024 Q2, with Gaming segment sales only starting to recover in fiscal 2024 Q3.Despite this, I'm still modeling growth in the all-important Data Center segment. Nvidia's next-generation data center accelerator, the Hopper H100, is testing out to be very impressive and is in production now with deliveries expected by the end of the calendar year.Hopper should ensure continued growth in the Data Center segment, and the advent of Grace, Nvidia's ARM architecture CPU for the data center, should further enhance growth. Data Center growth largely compensates for revenue declines expected in Gaming for this year and next, according to the model:Mark HibbenAccording to my long-term Discounted Cash Flow model, Nvidia has a fair value of $192. I consider Nvidia's future to be very bright, despite the impact of crypto in the near term.Currently, I have Nvidia rated at Hold, and Nvidia has been a relatively small part of the Rethink Technology portfolio since selling most of my Nvidia shares (at a substantial profit) in April. I'm pretty close to upgrading Nvidia to Buy, but I'm waiting to see if the Merge (and possible guidance restatement) will drive Nvidia's price even lower.Also, I'm waiting to see what Nvidia has to offer in its new 40 series on September 20. Nvidia has consistently set the performance bar in the desktop graphics card market. Most likely, Nvidia is already undervalued.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":65,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938012309,"gmtCreate":1662520994401,"gmtModify":1676537079877,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938012309","repostId":"2265011839","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265011839","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1662504960,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2265011839?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-07 06:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Busy Post-Summer Session in the Red","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265011839","media":"Reuters","summary":"* ISM services sector data beats estimates* Bed Bath & Beyond shares sink after CFO's death* Wall St","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* ISM services sector data beats estimates</p><p>* Bed Bath &amp; Beyond shares sink after CFO&#39;s death</p><p>* Wall St coming off three straight week of declines</p><p>* Dow down 0.55%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.41%, Nasdaq down 0.74%</p><p>NEW YORK, Sept 6 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes closed lower on Tuesday, the first session after the U.S. Labor Day holiday and summer vacations, as traders assessed fresh economic data in volatile trading.</p><p>A survey from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed the U.S. services industry picked up in August for the second straight month amid stronger order growth and employment, while supply bottlenecks and price pressures eased.</p><p>However, numbers from S&amp;P Global showed the services sector Purchasing Managers&#39; Index fell short of flash estimates for August.</p><p>A stronger-than-expected reading on the U.S. services sector fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates to tame inflation.</p><p>&#34;The Fed has relegated us to being very data dependent, so every piece of information that comes out investors are going to look not only at the absolute level, but try to infer what that means for when the Fed meets,&#34; said Carol Schleif, deputy chief investment officer at BMO Family Office.</p><p>&#34;One of the things that is disconcerting to investors is that there&#39;s really little to propel markets either up solidly or down solidly,&#34; she added.</p><p>Concerns over the supply of energy to Europe and how COVID-19 lockdowns will impact China&#39;s economy also drove markets down on Tuesday, said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade. &#34;A lot of uncertainty and volatility is not coming from the U.S.; it&#39;s actually coming from overseas.&#34;</p><p>The tech-heavy Nasdaq suffered its seventh consecutive day of losses, its longest losing streak since November 2016.</p><p>Rate-sensitive shares of Amazon.com Inc and Microsoft Corp fell about 1% as benchmark U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest levels since June. Apple Inc , which will launch new iPhones next Wednesday, lost 0.8.</p><p>Traders see a 74% chance of a third consecutive 75-basis-point rate hike at the Fed&#39;s policy meeting later this month, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch Tool.</p><p>The focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s speech on Thursday as well U.S. consumer price data next week for clues on the path of monetary policy.</p><p>Markets started September on a weak note, extending a slide that started at the end of August, as hawkish comments from Fed policymakers and data signaling U.S. economic momentum raised fears of aggressive interest rate hikes.</p><p>The S&amp;P is down nearly 18% so far this year, while the Nasdaq has shed over 26% as rising interest rates hurt megacap technology and growth stocks.</p><p>Among the major S&amp;P sectors, energy and communication services were the worst performers, while defensive utilities and real estate rose.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 173.14 points, or 0.55%, to 31,145.3; the S&amp;P 500 lost 16.07 points, or 0.41%, to 3,908.19; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 85.96 points, or 0.74%, to 11,544.91.</p><p>The CBOE Volatility index, known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, touched a near two-month high of 27.80 before closing at 26.91.</p><p>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc tumbled 18.4% after Chief Financial Officer Gustavo Arnal fell to his death from New York&#39;s Tribeca skyscraper.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DWAC\">Digital World Acquisition Corp</a> fell 11.4% after Reuters reported the blank-check acquisition firm that had agreed to merge with former U.S. President Donald Trump&#39;s social media company failed to secure enough shareholder support for an extension to complete the deal.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.71 billion shares, compared with the 10.46 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 2.46-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 19 new highs and 317 new lows. (Reporting by Carolina Mandl, in New York, and additional reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Maju Samuel and Richard Chang)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Busy Post-Summer Session in the Red</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Busy Post-Summer Session in the Red\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-07 06:56</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* ISM services sector data beats estimates</p><p>* Bed Bath &amp; Beyond shares sink after CFO&#39;s death</p><p>* Wall St coming off three straight week of declines</p><p>* Dow down 0.55%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.41%, Nasdaq down 0.74%</p><p>NEW YORK, Sept 6 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes closed lower on Tuesday, the first session after the U.S. Labor Day holiday and summer vacations, as traders assessed fresh economic data in volatile trading.</p><p>A survey from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed the U.S. services industry picked up in August for the second straight month amid stronger order growth and employment, while supply bottlenecks and price pressures eased.</p><p>However, numbers from S&amp;P Global showed the services sector Purchasing Managers&#39; Index fell short of flash estimates for August.</p><p>A stronger-than-expected reading on the U.S. services sector fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates to tame inflation.</p><p>&#34;The Fed has relegated us to being very data dependent, so every piece of information that comes out investors are going to look not only at the absolute level, but try to infer what that means for when the Fed meets,&#34; said Carol Schleif, deputy chief investment officer at BMO Family Office.</p><p>&#34;One of the things that is disconcerting to investors is that there&#39;s really little to propel markets either up solidly or down solidly,&#34; she added.</p><p>Concerns over the supply of energy to Europe and how COVID-19 lockdowns will impact China&#39;s economy also drove markets down on Tuesday, said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade. &#34;A lot of uncertainty and volatility is not coming from the U.S.; it&#39;s actually coming from overseas.&#34;</p><p>The tech-heavy Nasdaq suffered its seventh consecutive day of losses, its longest losing streak since November 2016.</p><p>Rate-sensitive shares of Amazon.com Inc and Microsoft Corp fell about 1% as benchmark U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest levels since June. Apple Inc , which will launch new iPhones next Wednesday, lost 0.8.</p><p>Traders see a 74% chance of a third consecutive 75-basis-point rate hike at the Fed&#39;s policy meeting later this month, according to CME&#39;s FedWatch Tool.</p><p>The focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s speech on Thursday as well U.S. consumer price data next week for clues on the path of monetary policy.</p><p>Markets started September on a weak note, extending a slide that started at the end of August, as hawkish comments from Fed policymakers and data signaling U.S. economic momentum raised fears of aggressive interest rate hikes.</p><p>The S&amp;P is down nearly 18% so far this year, while the Nasdaq has shed over 26% as rising interest rates hurt megacap technology and growth stocks.</p><p>Among the major S&amp;P sectors, energy and communication services were the worst performers, while defensive utilities and real estate rose.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 173.14 points, or 0.55%, to 31,145.3; the S&amp;P 500 lost 16.07 points, or 0.41%, to 3,908.19; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 85.96 points, or 0.74%, to 11,544.91.</p><p>The CBOE Volatility index, known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, touched a near two-month high of 27.80 before closing at 26.91.</p><p>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc tumbled 18.4% after Chief Financial Officer Gustavo Arnal fell to his death from New York&#39;s Tribeca skyscraper.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DWAC\">Digital World Acquisition Corp</a> fell 11.4% after Reuters reported the blank-check acquisition firm that had agreed to merge with former U.S. President Donald Trump&#39;s social media company failed to secure enough shareholder support for an extension to complete the deal.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.71 billion shares, compared with the 10.46 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 2.46-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 19 new highs and 317 new lows. (Reporting by Carolina Mandl, in New York, and additional reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Maju Samuel and Richard Chang)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4007":"制药","BK4196":"保健护理服务","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BBBY":"3B家居","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4082":"医疗保健设备","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","LABP":"Landos Biopharma, Inc.","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPGI":"标普全球","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SANA":"Sana Biotechnology, Inc.","LHDX":"Lucira Health, Inc.","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","CGEM":"Cullinan Therapeutics","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","MSFT":"微软","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","AMZN":"亚马逊","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4139":"生物科技","META":"Meta Platforms"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265011839","content_text":"* ISM services sector data beats estimates* Bed Bath & Beyond shares sink after CFO's death* Wall St coming off three straight week of declines* Dow down 0.55%, S&P 500 down 0.41%, Nasdaq down 0.74%NEW YORK, Sept 6 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes closed lower on Tuesday, the first session after the U.S. Labor Day holiday and summer vacations, as traders assessed fresh economic data in volatile trading.A survey from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed the U.S. services industry picked up in August for the second straight month amid stronger order growth and employment, while supply bottlenecks and price pressures eased.However, numbers from S&P Global showed the services sector Purchasing Managers' Index fell short of flash estimates for August.A stronger-than-expected reading on the U.S. services sector fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates to tame inflation.\"The Fed has relegated us to being very data dependent, so every piece of information that comes out investors are going to look not only at the absolute level, but try to infer what that means for when the Fed meets,\" said Carol Schleif, deputy chief investment officer at BMO Family Office.\"One of the things that is disconcerting to investors is that there's really little to propel markets either up solidly or down solidly,\" she added.Concerns over the supply of energy to Europe and how COVID-19 lockdowns will impact China's economy also drove markets down on Tuesday, said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade. \"A lot of uncertainty and volatility is not coming from the U.S.; it's actually coming from overseas.\"The tech-heavy Nasdaq suffered its seventh consecutive day of losses, its longest losing streak since November 2016.Rate-sensitive shares of Amazon.com Inc and Microsoft Corp fell about 1% as benchmark U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest levels since June. Apple Inc , which will launch new iPhones next Wednesday, lost 0.8.Traders see a 74% chance of a third consecutive 75-basis-point rate hike at the Fed's policy meeting later this month, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.The focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech on Thursday as well U.S. consumer price data next week for clues on the path of monetary policy.Markets started September on a weak note, extending a slide that started at the end of August, as hawkish comments from Fed policymakers and data signaling U.S. economic momentum raised fears of aggressive interest rate hikes.The S&P is down nearly 18% so far this year, while the Nasdaq has shed over 26% as rising interest rates hurt megacap technology and growth stocks.Among the major S&P sectors, energy and communication services were the worst performers, while defensive utilities and real estate rose.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 173.14 points, or 0.55%, to 31,145.3; the S&P 500 lost 16.07 points, or 0.41%, to 3,908.19; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 85.96 points, or 0.74%, to 11,544.91.The CBOE Volatility index, known as Wall Street's fear gauge, touched a near two-month high of 27.80 before closing at 26.91.Bed Bath & Beyond Inc tumbled 18.4% after Chief Financial Officer Gustavo Arnal fell to his death from New York's Tribeca skyscraper.Digital World Acquisition Corp fell 11.4% after Reuters reported the blank-check acquisition firm that had agreed to merge with former U.S. President Donald Trump's social media company failed to secure enough shareholder support for an extension to complete the deal.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.71 billion shares, compared with the 10.46 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 2.46-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 19 new highs and 317 new lows. (Reporting by Carolina Mandl, in New York, and additional reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Maju Samuel and Richard Chang)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995391666,"gmtCreate":1661403691958,"gmtModify":1676536512910,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995391666","repostId":"1172569376","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172569376","pubTimestamp":1661399948,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1172569376?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-25 11:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Disaster Guidance","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172569376","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.Nvidia's Q3 guidance is more i","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Nvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.</li><li>Nvidia&#39;s Q3 guidance is more important, however. Unfortunately, that guidance was horrendous.</li><li>Nvidia is a quality company and well-positioned in the long run. But near-term issues and a too-high valuation make me stay away for now.</li></ul><p><b>Article Thesis</b></p><p>Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) has just reported its most recent quarterly results. Profits were below expectations, but overall, results were more or less in line with what the market had anticipated, as Nvidia had pre-announced some of its results not too long ago.</p><p>The company&#39;s guidance for the current quarter is much worse than expected, however. Nvidia is clearly feeling hefty pressure from the current crypto winter, and it seems questionable to pay $170 or more per share of Nvidia in the current environment.</p><p><b>Q2 Was Worse Than Expected</b></p><p>Nvidia had pre-announced its revenue results for the second quarter earlier, thus there was no major surprise there - analysts adjusted their models accordingly, and Nvidia met the consensus estimate:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c716ed40d45d1089f6ca834756f1e12\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"123\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>But the company nevertheless missed estimates, as margin compression was worse than expected. In fact, Nvidia saw its gross margin drop massively, showcased by the following table:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7f7f877afef390846c2b1ff5b54cef9\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>The company&#39;s gross margin dropped from a very attractive 67% to a much less attractive 46% over the last year, almost being cut in half. A 46% gross margin isn&#39;t disastrous in absolute terms, but the hefty margin drop naturally has a huge impact on Nvidia&#39;s profitability.</p><p>Nvidia was widely regarded as a high-end semiconductor company that was able to generate very strong margins due to its excellent product quality. But at least for now, that has apparently ended, as its gross margin is far lower than what we have gotten used to in recent years.</p><p>At the same time, Nvidia also saw its operating expenses explode upwards. This includes research and development, sales, but also administrative costs. WhileNvidia was able to grow its revenue by 3% year over year, operating expenses somehow rose by almost 40% - or around<i>13x as much</i> as the company&#39;s revenue. That is pretty bad, and it is not clear why that happened. Higher R&amp;D expenses aren&#39;t bad per se, at least if those result in strong products that improve the longer-term growth outlook.</p><p>But for a growth company like Nvidia, investors generally want to see operating leverage, meaning operating expenses grow less than revenue and gross profit, as this allows a company to grow its profits faster than its sales. The complete opposite of that happened here, as gross margins dropped severely while operating costs rose much more than Nvidia&#39;s sales and gross profit. The steep profit decline of more than 50% is the logical consequence of that ill-timed increase in Nvidia&#39;s operating expenses.</p><p>With earnings per share at $0.50 for the quarter, Nvidia&#39;s EPS is running at a $2 annual rate. That will most likely drop even further in Q3, as indicated by the pretty weak forward guidance (more on that later). Profits are now back at the level seen in early 2020 when earnings per share were in the $0.50 range as well. It&#39;s important to note that Nvidia was trading at as low as $50 back then, whereas Nvidia is trading at $170 right here -- or more than 80x the Q2 earnings run rate.</p><p>These areNvidia&#39;s non-GAAP results, where items such as share-based compensation are already backed out. GAAP profitability was even worse, as GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.26 -- or around $1 annualized, for a 170x earnings multiple. That&#39;s quite expensive for a company with a 3% top-line growth rate.</p><p><b>Nvidia&#39;s Forward Guidance Is Horrendous</b></p><p>I want to note first that I do believe that Nvidia is a quality company with a positive long-term outlook, thanks to its strong position in growth markets such as AI, autonomous driving, etc. I also want to note that I have been a bull on Nvidia in the past, and shares are up since my last bullish article. But when the facts change and the underlying performance is much worse than previously thought, then it makes sense to reflect one&#39;s formerly bullish stance.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s guidance for the current quarter, Q3, was very bad. The company is forecasting revenues of $5.9 billion for the period, which is not only $1 billion or 15% below the current consensus estimate, but which also indicates a revenue decline of 16.9% versus last year&#39;s Q3 revenue of $7.1 billion. That is comparable to Intel&#39;s (INTC) revenue decline during the most recent quarter, as Intel reported a drop of 17.3% in its top line for the period. In other words, Nvidia is forecasting a revenue drop that is comparable to the one Intel has just reported -- the huge difference is that Intel trades at 2.1x forward sales, whereas Nvidia trades at 15x forward sales, which is a 600% premium relative to how Intel is valued.</p><p>There are good arguments for Nvidia to trade at a premium versus Intel, such as its stronger position in the fast-growing data center market, where Nvidia saw its revenue rise by 60% in Q2, while Intel&#39;s data center dropped. But whether it makes sense for Nvidia to trade at a 600% premium on a sales basis, relative to Intel, while both are seeing their revenues drop, is highly questionable, I believe.</p><p>What&#39;s the explanation for the hefty revenue decline that Nvidia forecasts for the current quarter? It&#39;s not the overall semiconductor market, that&#39;s pretty clear, as the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics, or WSTS, has just announced that overall semiconductor revenues would climb 14% in 2022. WhenNvidia&#39;s revenues are falling by double-digits, while the broad semiconductor industry is growing by double-digits, then there must be other factors at work. In Nvidia&#39;s case, that&#39;s the current crypto winter. WhileNvidia&#39;s chips were useless for Bitcoin mining, they were excellent for Ethereum mining due to the algorithm Ethereum uses, which is very GPU-friendly. With crypto prices plunging in 2022, Nvidia is feeling pressure due to two reasons.</p><p>First, the company can sell fewer chips to crypto miners, as Ethereum mining has become less profitable, which is why demand dropped. At the same time, less demand by crypto miners results in a looser supply-demand picture, which leads to price declines for GPUs. This is further accelerated by the fact that some crypto miners are selling the GPUs they own on secondary markets, which further pressures pricing for new GPUs.</p><p>Due to the current crypto winter, Nvidia is thus feeling a double hit from lower sales volumes and lower average margins. That&#39;s luckily partially made up by the strong performance in other areas, such as data centers. But as the weak guidance for the current quarter shows, Nvidia is not able to fully offset the headwinds from the weak crypto environment. It thus looks like investors have to come to terms with the fact that Nvidia&#39;s strong underlying performance was at least partially driven by crypto enthusiasm. Now that crypto has been in a downtrend for some time, that former tailwind is turning into a headwind.</p><p><b>What&#39;s The Outlook?</b></p><p>In the very long term, Nvidia will still be a solid growth company, I believe. Data center demand will continue to grow. Autonomous driving is a long-term megatrend that will lead to rising demand for Nvidia&#39;s Hyperion platform and similar products. But in the near term, the outlook is far from great.</p><p>SinceNvidia is trading at a pretty high valuation of 46x forward earnings, even before those earnings estimates have declined due to the weaker-than-expected Q3 guidance, I do not believe that Nvidia is a great investment at current prices. There are other semiconductor companies with way better near-term growth outlooks that trade at less than halfNvidia&#39;s earnings multiple, such as AMD (AMD), Broadcom (AVGO), Qualcomm (QCOM), and so on. With those picks being available today, I do not see a great reason to buy Nvidia right now. The long-term outlook is positive, but the near-term issues and too-high valuation make me stay away for now.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Disaster Guidance</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Disaster Guidance\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-25 11:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536839-nvidia-disaster-guidance?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.Nvidia's Q3 guidance is more important, however. Unfortunately, that guidance was horrendous.Nvidia is a quality company and well-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536839-nvidia-disaster-guidance?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536839-nvidia-disaster-guidance?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172569376","content_text":"SummaryNvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.Nvidia's Q3 guidance is more important, however. Unfortunately, that guidance was horrendous.Nvidia is a quality company and well-positioned in the long run. But near-term issues and a too-high valuation make me stay away for now.Article ThesisNvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) has just reported its most recent quarterly results. Profits were below expectations, but overall, results were more or less in line with what the market had anticipated, as Nvidia had pre-announced some of its results not too long ago.The company's guidance for the current quarter is much worse than expected, however. Nvidia is clearly feeling hefty pressure from the current crypto winter, and it seems questionable to pay $170 or more per share of Nvidia in the current environment.Q2 Was Worse Than ExpectedNvidia had pre-announced its revenue results for the second quarter earlier, thus there was no major surprise there - analysts adjusted their models accordingly, and Nvidia met the consensus estimate:Seeking AlphaBut the company nevertheless missed estimates, as margin compression was worse than expected. In fact, Nvidia saw its gross margin drop massively, showcased by the following table:Seeking AlphaThe company's gross margin dropped from a very attractive 67% to a much less attractive 46% over the last year, almost being cut in half. A 46% gross margin isn't disastrous in absolute terms, but the hefty margin drop naturally has a huge impact on Nvidia's profitability.Nvidia was widely regarded as a high-end semiconductor company that was able to generate very strong margins due to its excellent product quality. But at least for now, that has apparently ended, as its gross margin is far lower than what we have gotten used to in recent years.At the same time, Nvidia also saw its operating expenses explode upwards. This includes research and development, sales, but also administrative costs. WhileNvidia was able to grow its revenue by 3% year over year, operating expenses somehow rose by almost 40% - or around13x as much as the company's revenue. That is pretty bad, and it is not clear why that happened. Higher R&D expenses aren't bad per se, at least if those result in strong products that improve the longer-term growth outlook.But for a growth company like Nvidia, investors generally want to see operating leverage, meaning operating expenses grow less than revenue and gross profit, as this allows a company to grow its profits faster than its sales. The complete opposite of that happened here, as gross margins dropped severely while operating costs rose much more than Nvidia's sales and gross profit. The steep profit decline of more than 50% is the logical consequence of that ill-timed increase in Nvidia's operating expenses.With earnings per share at $0.50 for the quarter, Nvidia's EPS is running at a $2 annual rate. That will most likely drop even further in Q3, as indicated by the pretty weak forward guidance (more on that later). Profits are now back at the level seen in early 2020 when earnings per share were in the $0.50 range as well. It's important to note that Nvidia was trading at as low as $50 back then, whereas Nvidia is trading at $170 right here -- or more than 80x the Q2 earnings run rate.These areNvidia's non-GAAP results, where items such as share-based compensation are already backed out. GAAP profitability was even worse, as GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.26 -- or around $1 annualized, for a 170x earnings multiple. That's quite expensive for a company with a 3% top-line growth rate.Nvidia's Forward Guidance Is HorrendousI want to note first that I do believe that Nvidia is a quality company with a positive long-term outlook, thanks to its strong position in growth markets such as AI, autonomous driving, etc. I also want to note that I have been a bull on Nvidia in the past, and shares are up since my last bullish article. But when the facts change and the underlying performance is much worse than previously thought, then it makes sense to reflect one's formerly bullish stance.Nvidia's guidance for the current quarter, Q3, was very bad. The company is forecasting revenues of $5.9 billion for the period, which is not only $1 billion or 15% below the current consensus estimate, but which also indicates a revenue decline of 16.9% versus last year's Q3 revenue of $7.1 billion. That is comparable to Intel's (INTC) revenue decline during the most recent quarter, as Intel reported a drop of 17.3% in its top line for the period. In other words, Nvidia is forecasting a revenue drop that is comparable to the one Intel has just reported -- the huge difference is that Intel trades at 2.1x forward sales, whereas Nvidia trades at 15x forward sales, which is a 600% premium relative to how Intel is valued.There are good arguments for Nvidia to trade at a premium versus Intel, such as its stronger position in the fast-growing data center market, where Nvidia saw its revenue rise by 60% in Q2, while Intel's data center dropped. But whether it makes sense for Nvidia to trade at a 600% premium on a sales basis, relative to Intel, while both are seeing their revenues drop, is highly questionable, I believe.What's the explanation for the hefty revenue decline that Nvidia forecasts for the current quarter? It's not the overall semiconductor market, that's pretty clear, as the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics, or WSTS, has just announced that overall semiconductor revenues would climb 14% in 2022. WhenNvidia's revenues are falling by double-digits, while the broad semiconductor industry is growing by double-digits, then there must be other factors at work. In Nvidia's case, that's the current crypto winter. WhileNvidia's chips were useless for Bitcoin mining, they were excellent for Ethereum mining due to the algorithm Ethereum uses, which is very GPU-friendly. With crypto prices plunging in 2022, Nvidia is feeling pressure due to two reasons.First, the company can sell fewer chips to crypto miners, as Ethereum mining has become less profitable, which is why demand dropped. At the same time, less demand by crypto miners results in a looser supply-demand picture, which leads to price declines for GPUs. This is further accelerated by the fact that some crypto miners are selling the GPUs they own on secondary markets, which further pressures pricing for new GPUs.Due to the current crypto winter, Nvidia is thus feeling a double hit from lower sales volumes and lower average margins. That's luckily partially made up by the strong performance in other areas, such as data centers. But as the weak guidance for the current quarter shows, Nvidia is not able to fully offset the headwinds from the weak crypto environment. It thus looks like investors have to come to terms with the fact that Nvidia's strong underlying performance was at least partially driven by crypto enthusiasm. Now that crypto has been in a downtrend for some time, that former tailwind is turning into a headwind.What's The Outlook?In the very long term, Nvidia will still be a solid growth company, I believe. Data center demand will continue to grow. Autonomous driving is a long-term megatrend that will lead to rising demand for Nvidia's Hyperion platform and similar products. But in the near term, the outlook is far from great.SinceNvidia is trading at a pretty high valuation of 46x forward earnings, even before those earnings estimates have declined due to the weaker-than-expected Q3 guidance, I do not believe that Nvidia is a great investment at current prices. There are other semiconductor companies with way better near-term growth outlooks that trade at less than halfNvidia's earnings multiple, such as AMD (AMD), Broadcom (AVGO), Qualcomm (QCOM), and so on. With those picks being available today, I do not see a great reason to buy Nvidia right now. The long-term outlook is positive, but the near-term issues and too-high valuation make me stay away for now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":28,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992937865,"gmtCreate":1661241173159,"gmtModify":1676536481443,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992937865","repostId":"1113960584","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113960584","pubTimestamp":1661237527,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113960584?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-23 14:52","market":"other","language":"en","title":"SPY: Time To Get Out, Weak Short Sale Volumes Indicate Reversal","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113960584","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe base effect was the fundamental reason why inflation had peaked. It will be challenging t","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The base effect was the fundamental reason why inflation had peaked. It will be challenging to stop the most lagged part of inflation.</li><li>The markets don&#39;t realize that fed members are in full hawkish mode. Although the market is certain about a soft-landing, the fed indicator suggests a recession.</li><li>Short-covering contributed to the latest bear market rally significantly. As there are very low short sales volumes right now, the reversion could be next.</li><li>SPY significantly deviated from real yields (strong inverse correlation) and this exemption won&#39;t last long.</li><li>The macroeconomic outlook could worsen with additional rate hikes, which is not supportive for EPS.</li></ul><p>In my most recent bond analysis, which focused on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), inflation, and monetary outlook, we predicted that the YoY and MoM inflation peaks would both occur in the months of July - September. I wagered that commodity prices would decline and that other leading indicators would also dramatically deteriorate. However the Fed responds to the most lagging inflation parts, the CPI/PCE/core CPI report from July is not initially bullish. Lower commodities prices had a significant impact on the MoM&#39;s &#34;stabilization,&#34; but the most lagging drivers to the CPI - shelter and services are still quite high and are still increasing. The necessary items, which the Fed wants to stabilize, are not stabilizing.</p><p>On first glance, the market rallied due to strong data from inflation prints, but in our breakdown, the data has not been strong at all. SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) deviated from the long-term inverse correlation between real yields and SPY&#39;s price mainly due to a &#34;strong fundamental week.&#34; However, I&#39;m firmly convinced this was another bear market rally. Medium-term inflation expectations rose, which is not a good case for stocks. In summary, we can await more rate hikes to come, more than the market currently prices in.</p><p><b>Inflation breakdown</b></p><p>The CPI&#39;s YoY growth was still high at 8.5% and rose in July by zero percent. However, the core CPI rose &#34;only&#34; by 0.2%, which was lower than the consensus. Nevertheless, if you make an inflation breakdown, you will see the drivers. Motor fuel (oil &amp; gas) has contributed very negatively to the overall CPI monthly change. This item is the most current in the lagged CPI. However, the most lagging components of the CPI are housing, food prices, medical care services, and other services, and it will take some time for these inputs to stabilize or decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32fb983d571f92f960166b97b1eb1e09\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"502\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CPI monthly change(@MacroAlf)</p><p>As I stated in my previous analysis on TLT, the consumer destruction will take place in 2-3 months. The issue is that supply-side inflation (mainly oil, gas, and other commodities) can be impacted only indirectly - mainly by lowered demand. That is what we see in the commodity market right now. Industrial commodities and the ones that have a great impact on overall CPI started to decline. But it does not reflect only demand destruction but also the quite strong economic slowdown (forward-looking). I still believe inflation will go down, but mainly due to the strong base effect caused by the measured style-YoY comparison. The much more important figure will be core inflation on a monthly basis.</p><p>Still, if inflation were to be zero on a monthly basis till the end of the year, it would still be at 6.5%, and if it were to be longer, it would be at 3.3% in March. Still significantly above the fed&#39;s medium-term target. I am confident that inflation will fall, and that we will see a significant slowdown in 4Q2022, but this must be accompanied by a continued reduction in consumption and GDP growth forecasts.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16abe6e1dd19cfbe7ada120183feb6d6\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"906\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Projecting CPI at Year-End(BLS, Cleveland Federal Reserve Nowcast)</p><p><b>Outlook on the monetary policy</b></p><p>I&#39;m strongly convinced that inflation will go down on a YoY basis. On the other hand, I&#39;m a little bit less convinced by the MoM point of view. To support this scenario, the fed will need to be very hawkish to convince the market that it will do so. Despite still having a very inverted yield curve, the market started to price in fewer rate cuts than anticipated 2-3 weeks ago. And this is all on the back of lower-than-expected inflation figures from a week ago. The spread between Fed funds futures rates in Dec 2022 and Dec 2023 is reaching less than -0.2, thus implying market expectations of almost only one rate cut till Dec 2023.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8a4b790ae098a035c35b830ca03c865\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Spread between FFF 12/2022 and 12/2023(Author´s calculation via Tradingview)</p><p>Despite the fact that the market began slightly repeating the FOMC member&#39;s rhetoric, the stocks rallied significantly. It is because the market believed the narrative of &#34;soft-landing&#34; to be more probable than before inflation prints. However, the inflation fight is still not over. I consider this rally unsustainable and not supported by the macro fundamentals. After the inflation print, rates expectations measured by Fed funds futures rose quite significantly.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33f3f05a2f5ce92a0dc8992ced3b6a53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Rates expectations measured by FFF(Author´s calculations via Tradingview)</p><p>Thus, retail investors are fairly misled by inflation print and soft-landing. This scenario does not support the thesis of being bullish at current levels. However, for me, the very strong narrative stands behind the real yields and SPY. There is a very strong negative correlation among the variables, which the market fully ignored until Friday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fed22002670360778cb46af429c3e6fd\" tg-width=\"767\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Real Yields vs. S&amp;P500(Bloomberg, Morgan Stanley Research)</p><p><b>The key driver of the latest rally was short-covering</b></p><p>As many investors / traders followed the inflation print and saw a market rally, they massively closed their short positions or bets, which led to a significant rally from the bottom. That&#39;s the true reason why the market rallied in the previous weeks. And it only makes sense to me because macro fundamentals such as real yields and other leading indicators have all worsened, just hand in hand with a strong labor market. Despite the rise in real yields, the market rallied in recent weeks, their negative correlation deviated significantly from normal conditions, giving me no reason to be bullish from a macro perspective.</p><p>On the contrary, as I said, the rally was caused mainly by short covering (the closing of short position) and it was the 3rd most aggressive short-covering in the latest ten years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4500679330262cedb633a0fba418e7ad\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Short covering / Short selling(GS Prime Book via Investro)</p><p>And also a great chart from @MacroCharts, which measures the sum of (QQQ) deltas, indicated that this massive rally was caused by a full switch of position. As there are monitored deltas for QQQ, I believe it will be similar for the S&amp;P 500 or SPY, because major stocks from QQQ are also integrated with significant weights in SPY. From the extremely short to the extremely long ones. For me, it is absolutely unsustainable to remain at such levels, and the rising probability of further downturn, combined with macro fundamentals, gives me quite strong confidence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/984923367a1ab56eb4804dde1f6a5a07\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Sum of QQQ Deltas(Charlie Mcelligott / Nomura via @MacroCharts)</p><p>Another very important measure, which I highly recommend, is to follow short sale volumes for SPY/QQQ and others. The chart below just implies there is a lack of shorts or very low activity in short selling, which is a great contrarian indicator. The 10-day moving average of short sale volume, measured by FINRA, indicates there is a lack of short sale volume, indicates the market is probably exhausted. It also confirms the thesis of short-covering rally in the previous weeks as well. Just look at the significant numbers of short selling in mid June, in hand with the market bottom. There should be no surprises about the following market squeeze or strong short-covering activity. Currently, I see a strong reversal situation, thus giving room for another leg down in SPY. However, I also could be wrong, but combined with the real yields narrative, the worsening economic situation, and the strong contrarian indicator of short sale volume, I am firmly convinced this was another bear market rally.</p><p><b>The Fed believes a soft landing is less likely than the market</b></p><p>The reason why I believe such a narrative is caused by FOMC members&#39; statements as well as by the data-driven approach. First of all, there are leading indicators that are screaming to us that inflation as well as economic growth will slow down. However, as previously stated, the YoY will slow, and the MoM will most likely stabilize. However, even if there is a 0% MoM change until the end of the year, inflation will still be significantly above the medium term horizon and above the fed&#39;s key target. With so strong numbers from the labor market, the fed can be calm to focus really on inflation and to tame it. The sacrifice would be economic growth. This is the reason why I believe rate hikes will continue until the fed sees a portion of lagging core CPI MoM moving around -0.2% to 0.1% in the medium term.</p><p>Now, let&#39;s summarize some of the latest statements from FOMC members.</p><p>Fed&#39;s Bullard, according to Reuters:</p><blockquote><i>St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who was among the central bank&#39;s earliest advocates last year of a more muscular response to fast-building price pressures, said that given the strength of the economy he is currently leaning toward supporting a third straight 75-basis-point interest rate hike in September.</i></blockquote><p>Also, Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve,stated earlier on Thursday that raising rates by 50 or 75 basis points at the fed&#39;s upcoming policy meeting on September 20-21 would be a &#34;reasonable&#34; way to raise short-term borrowing costs to slightly above 3% by the end of this year and put them on a path to a little bit higher in 2023.</p><p>Also a kindly hawkish note from the Fed&#39;s Kashkari:</p><blockquote><i>So the question right now is, can we bring inflation down without triggering a recession? And my answer to that question is: I don’t know. Fed has more work to do in raising interest rates to bring inflation down.</i></blockquote><p>Despite the better than expected inflation print, the fight is not over and there must be a clear indication of tightening conditions that will continue to bring inflation down. Until then, the market still hopes for a soft-landing as in 2019, but this is really different story. I&#39;m firmly convinced it will bring a bigger economic slowdown than the current one, but I don&#39;t know if it will be a big recession. Probably not. But it will be harder than soft-landing. Kashkari is one of the first FOMC members to admit that they are unsure whether it will cause the recession or not. They just can&#39;t tell you, &#34;for sure we will cause a recession.&#34; However, in the previous months, when the yield curve started to be inverted, the fed screamed that it was not an appropriate indicator of recession. The opposite is the truth.</p><p>However, the fed released its own indicator of forecasting recession, slightly different than the classic yield curve, which had not been inverted before. It is now fully inverted, which, according to previous fed papers, should clearly indicate a recession going forward. A great chart from@MacroAlfcalculated the development of this indicator, and as it was almost one month ago, it started to be inverted, thus confirming that the fed knows and is aware of the ongoing recession. Regardless of what they say. It was the only opinion as the yield curve started to be inverted that it was better to monitor the &#34;near-term spread,&#34; calculated as 18m forward 3m yields minus 3m yields, as it is a much more precise predictor of the upcoming recession.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aced83130fc7620517eccea36b9a2d28\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"650\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Fed´s preferred yield curve indicator(@MacroAlf)</p><p><b>Earnings are lagged, CPI too</b></p><p>However, I&#39;m convinced that CPI will go down and the fed will tame inflation. The issue is that there will be an EPS drop as well. To tame inflation rapidly, it is necessary to cause an economic slowdown. However, it is happening right now, and many leading indicators are confirming this thesis. Companies are oversupplied (with inventories), commodity prices are falling, and PMI and new orders are dropping too. Oil is falling; however, natural gas recovered from the total drawdown seen in July. Nevertheless, the macro indicators tell me that inflation will calm down, but the fed needs to continue doing its job and focus on inflation. I also believe that it can cause a mild recession and then we could see slight rate cuts in 2023. The next chart shows the leading indicator - G5 Credit Impulse and its impact on S&amp;P 500 EPS as well as CPI YoY. Both are well lagged vs. their leading indicator, which leads by 4-5 quarters. This also supports our thesis, thus giving room for EPS decline as well as for CPI decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f434d630603e9b6a62684bdcc200676\" tg-width=\"832\" tg-height=\"699\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>G5 Credit impluse as leading indicator(@MacroAlf)</p><p><b>Risks and Summary</b></p><p>Let&#39;s start with the risk to our thesis. The first risk can be that I have wrongly detected another bear market rally and where a bull market started. I do not say we will find the new bottom. Currently, I&#39;m convinced that under current macro circumstances, followed by sale volumes and short-covering narrative, the market is overbought and should decline 5-15% from its current levels. The next risk to this thesis is that inflation will fall fast with a soft-landing. Although I see a little probability, it is still a kind of scenario. When inflation, mainly core inflation, drops significantly, it could cause the fed to stop the tightening cycle and, after 2-3 quarters, to ease conditions rapidly. And that&#39;s all without economic damage, with a strong labor market and slight economic growth. Currently, I&#39;m not convinced that is the case.</p><p>In my opinion, the short scenario has significantly bigger odds right now for plenty of reasons: Real yields and the SPY correlation have significantly deteriorated and deviated, which is unsustainable in my opinion. Additionally, we saw that due to strong short-covering rally - the 3rd largest in the last 10 years. Next reason is that there is a lack of short sellers right now, which could indicate a short-term market peak. The market rally could be exhausted because there are no short sellers. The next indicator is the still and tireless statements from FOMC&#39;s members, which are still very hawkish, and the best case is to DO NOT FIGHT THE FED. The most recent narrative remains focused on inflation print. Very volatile figures and the most current ones as motor fuel, transportation, and others are down, but it depends on prices (on the market). However, the fed wants to see the most lagging parts as a shelter, services, and demand side inflation to cool down. It will take some time, and I believe we will see that. But also, it will have a negative impact on EPS. Also, I can be wrong, but these are the key reasons why I firmly believe that the market is exhausted (upwards) and a short-term rally downwards could continue.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Time To Get Out, Weak Short Sale Volumes Indicate Reversal</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Time To Get Out, Weak Short Sale Volumes Indicate Reversal\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-23 14:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536168-spy-time-to-get-out-weak-short-sale-volumes-indicate-reversal><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe base effect was the fundamental reason why inflation had peaked. It will be challenging to stop the most lagged part of inflation.The markets don't realize that fed members are in full ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536168-spy-time-to-get-out-weak-short-sale-volumes-indicate-reversal\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536168-spy-time-to-get-out-weak-short-sale-volumes-indicate-reversal","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113960584","content_text":"SummaryThe base effect was the fundamental reason why inflation had peaked. It will be challenging to stop the most lagged part of inflation.The markets don't realize that fed members are in full hawkish mode. Although the market is certain about a soft-landing, the fed indicator suggests a recession.Short-covering contributed to the latest bear market rally significantly. As there are very low short sales volumes right now, the reversion could be next.SPY significantly deviated from real yields (strong inverse correlation) and this exemption won't last long.The macroeconomic outlook could worsen with additional rate hikes, which is not supportive for EPS.In my most recent bond analysis, which focused on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), inflation, and monetary outlook, we predicted that the YoY and MoM inflation peaks would both occur in the months of July - September. I wagered that commodity prices would decline and that other leading indicators would also dramatically deteriorate. However the Fed responds to the most lagging inflation parts, the CPI/PCE/core CPI report from July is not initially bullish. Lower commodities prices had a significant impact on the MoM's \"stabilization,\" but the most lagging drivers to the CPI - shelter and services are still quite high and are still increasing. The necessary items, which the Fed wants to stabilize, are not stabilizing.On first glance, the market rallied due to strong data from inflation prints, but in our breakdown, the data has not been strong at all. SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) deviated from the long-term inverse correlation between real yields and SPY's price mainly due to a \"strong fundamental week.\" However, I'm firmly convinced this was another bear market rally. Medium-term inflation expectations rose, which is not a good case for stocks. In summary, we can await more rate hikes to come, more than the market currently prices in.Inflation breakdownThe CPI's YoY growth was still high at 8.5% and rose in July by zero percent. However, the core CPI rose \"only\" by 0.2%, which was lower than the consensus. Nevertheless, if you make an inflation breakdown, you will see the drivers. Motor fuel (oil & gas) has contributed very negatively to the overall CPI monthly change. This item is the most current in the lagged CPI. However, the most lagging components of the CPI are housing, food prices, medical care services, and other services, and it will take some time for these inputs to stabilize or decline.CPI monthly change(@MacroAlf)As I stated in my previous analysis on TLT, the consumer destruction will take place in 2-3 months. The issue is that supply-side inflation (mainly oil, gas, and other commodities) can be impacted only indirectly - mainly by lowered demand. That is what we see in the commodity market right now. Industrial commodities and the ones that have a great impact on overall CPI started to decline. But it does not reflect only demand destruction but also the quite strong economic slowdown (forward-looking). I still believe inflation will go down, but mainly due to the strong base effect caused by the measured style-YoY comparison. The much more important figure will be core inflation on a monthly basis.Still, if inflation were to be zero on a monthly basis till the end of the year, it would still be at 6.5%, and if it were to be longer, it would be at 3.3% in March. Still significantly above the fed's medium-term target. I am confident that inflation will fall, and that we will see a significant slowdown in 4Q2022, but this must be accompanied by a continued reduction in consumption and GDP growth forecasts.Projecting CPI at Year-End(BLS, Cleveland Federal Reserve Nowcast)Outlook on the monetary policyI'm strongly convinced that inflation will go down on a YoY basis. On the other hand, I'm a little bit less convinced by the MoM point of view. To support this scenario, the fed will need to be very hawkish to convince the market that it will do so. Despite still having a very inverted yield curve, the market started to price in fewer rate cuts than anticipated 2-3 weeks ago. And this is all on the back of lower-than-expected inflation figures from a week ago. The spread between Fed funds futures rates in Dec 2022 and Dec 2023 is reaching less than -0.2, thus implying market expectations of almost only one rate cut till Dec 2023.Spread between FFF 12/2022 and 12/2023(Author´s calculation via Tradingview)Despite the fact that the market began slightly repeating the FOMC member's rhetoric, the stocks rallied significantly. It is because the market believed the narrative of \"soft-landing\" to be more probable than before inflation prints. However, the inflation fight is still not over. I consider this rally unsustainable and not supported by the macro fundamentals. After the inflation print, rates expectations measured by Fed funds futures rose quite significantly.Rates expectations measured by FFF(Author´s calculations via Tradingview)Thus, retail investors are fairly misled by inflation print and soft-landing. This scenario does not support the thesis of being bullish at current levels. However, for me, the very strong narrative stands behind the real yields and SPY. There is a very strong negative correlation among the variables, which the market fully ignored until Friday.Real Yields vs. S&P500(Bloomberg, Morgan Stanley Research)The key driver of the latest rally was short-coveringAs many investors / traders followed the inflation print and saw a market rally, they massively closed their short positions or bets, which led to a significant rally from the bottom. That's the true reason why the market rallied in the previous weeks. And it only makes sense to me because macro fundamentals such as real yields and other leading indicators have all worsened, just hand in hand with a strong labor market. Despite the rise in real yields, the market rallied in recent weeks, their negative correlation deviated significantly from normal conditions, giving me no reason to be bullish from a macro perspective.On the contrary, as I said, the rally was caused mainly by short covering (the closing of short position) and it was the 3rd most aggressive short-covering in the latest ten years.Short covering / Short selling(GS Prime Book via Investro)And also a great chart from @MacroCharts, which measures the sum of (QQQ) deltas, indicated that this massive rally was caused by a full switch of position. As there are monitored deltas for QQQ, I believe it will be similar for the S&P 500 or SPY, because major stocks from QQQ are also integrated with significant weights in SPY. From the extremely short to the extremely long ones. For me, it is absolutely unsustainable to remain at such levels, and the rising probability of further downturn, combined with macro fundamentals, gives me quite strong confidence.Sum of QQQ Deltas(Charlie Mcelligott / Nomura via @MacroCharts)Another very important measure, which I highly recommend, is to follow short sale volumes for SPY/QQQ and others. The chart below just implies there is a lack of shorts or very low activity in short selling, which is a great contrarian indicator. The 10-day moving average of short sale volume, measured by FINRA, indicates there is a lack of short sale volume, indicates the market is probably exhausted. It also confirms the thesis of short-covering rally in the previous weeks as well. Just look at the significant numbers of short selling in mid June, in hand with the market bottom. There should be no surprises about the following market squeeze or strong short-covering activity. Currently, I see a strong reversal situation, thus giving room for another leg down in SPY. However, I also could be wrong, but combined with the real yields narrative, the worsening economic situation, and the strong contrarian indicator of short sale volume, I am firmly convinced this was another bear market rally.The Fed believes a soft landing is less likely than the marketThe reason why I believe such a narrative is caused by FOMC members' statements as well as by the data-driven approach. First of all, there are leading indicators that are screaming to us that inflation as well as economic growth will slow down. However, as previously stated, the YoY will slow, and the MoM will most likely stabilize. However, even if there is a 0% MoM change until the end of the year, inflation will still be significantly above the medium term horizon and above the fed's key target. With so strong numbers from the labor market, the fed can be calm to focus really on inflation and to tame it. The sacrifice would be economic growth. This is the reason why I believe rate hikes will continue until the fed sees a portion of lagging core CPI MoM moving around -0.2% to 0.1% in the medium term.Now, let's summarize some of the latest statements from FOMC members.Fed's Bullard, according to Reuters:St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who was among the central bank's earliest advocates last year of a more muscular response to fast-building price pressures, said that given the strength of the economy he is currently leaning toward supporting a third straight 75-basis-point interest rate hike in September.Also, Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve,stated earlier on Thursday that raising rates by 50 or 75 basis points at the fed's upcoming policy meeting on September 20-21 would be a \"reasonable\" way to raise short-term borrowing costs to slightly above 3% by the end of this year and put them on a path to a little bit higher in 2023.Also a kindly hawkish note from the Fed's Kashkari:So the question right now is, can we bring inflation down without triggering a recession? And my answer to that question is: I don’t know. Fed has more work to do in raising interest rates to bring inflation down.Despite the better than expected inflation print, the fight is not over and there must be a clear indication of tightening conditions that will continue to bring inflation down. Until then, the market still hopes for a soft-landing as in 2019, but this is really different story. I'm firmly convinced it will bring a bigger economic slowdown than the current one, but I don't know if it will be a big recession. Probably not. But it will be harder than soft-landing. Kashkari is one of the first FOMC members to admit that they are unsure whether it will cause the recession or not. They just can't tell you, \"for sure we will cause a recession.\" However, in the previous months, when the yield curve started to be inverted, the fed screamed that it was not an appropriate indicator of recession. The opposite is the truth.However, the fed released its own indicator of forecasting recession, slightly different than the classic yield curve, which had not been inverted before. It is now fully inverted, which, according to previous fed papers, should clearly indicate a recession going forward. A great chart from@MacroAlfcalculated the development of this indicator, and as it was almost one month ago, it started to be inverted, thus confirming that the fed knows and is aware of the ongoing recession. Regardless of what they say. It was the only opinion as the yield curve started to be inverted that it was better to monitor the \"near-term spread,\" calculated as 18m forward 3m yields minus 3m yields, as it is a much more precise predictor of the upcoming recession.Fed´s preferred yield curve indicator(@MacroAlf)Earnings are lagged, CPI tooHowever, I'm convinced that CPI will go down and the fed will tame inflation. The issue is that there will be an EPS drop as well. To tame inflation rapidly, it is necessary to cause an economic slowdown. However, it is happening right now, and many leading indicators are confirming this thesis. Companies are oversupplied (with inventories), commodity prices are falling, and PMI and new orders are dropping too. Oil is falling; however, natural gas recovered from the total drawdown seen in July. Nevertheless, the macro indicators tell me that inflation will calm down, but the fed needs to continue doing its job and focus on inflation. I also believe that it can cause a mild recession and then we could see slight rate cuts in 2023. The next chart shows the leading indicator - G5 Credit Impulse and its impact on S&P 500 EPS as well as CPI YoY. Both are well lagged vs. their leading indicator, which leads by 4-5 quarters. This also supports our thesis, thus giving room for EPS decline as well as for CPI decline.G5 Credit impluse as leading indicator(@MacroAlf)Risks and SummaryLet's start with the risk to our thesis. The first risk can be that I have wrongly detected another bear market rally and where a bull market started. I do not say we will find the new bottom. Currently, I'm convinced that under current macro circumstances, followed by sale volumes and short-covering narrative, the market is overbought and should decline 5-15% from its current levels. The next risk to this thesis is that inflation will fall fast with a soft-landing. Although I see a little probability, it is still a kind of scenario. When inflation, mainly core inflation, drops significantly, it could cause the fed to stop the tightening cycle and, after 2-3 quarters, to ease conditions rapidly. And that's all without economic damage, with a strong labor market and slight economic growth. Currently, I'm not convinced that is the case.In my opinion, the short scenario has significantly bigger odds right now for plenty of reasons: Real yields and the SPY correlation have significantly deteriorated and deviated, which is unsustainable in my opinion. Additionally, we saw that due to strong short-covering rally - the 3rd largest in the last 10 years. Next reason is that there is a lack of short sellers right now, which could indicate a short-term market peak. The market rally could be exhausted because there are no short sellers. The next indicator is the still and tireless statements from FOMC's members, which are still very hawkish, and the best case is to DO NOT FIGHT THE FED. The most recent narrative remains focused on inflation print. Very volatile figures and the most current ones as motor fuel, transportation, and others are down, but it depends on prices (on the market). However, the fed wants to see the most lagging parts as a shelter, services, and demand side inflation to cool down. It will take some time, and I believe we will see that. But also, it will have a negative impact on EPS. Also, I can be wrong, but these are the key reasons why I firmly believe that the market is exhausted (upwards) and a short-term rally downwards could continue.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993766191,"gmtCreate":1660736493715,"gmtModify":1676536388964,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993766191","repostId":"1179977459","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179977459","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1660726295,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179977459?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-17 16:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tiger Chart｜Buffett Cut Verizon While Soros Bet Big on Amazon and Google: Top 10 Institutional Investors Q2 Holding","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179977459","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"For the latest 13F reporting period ended in June 2022, Apple, Microsoft and Amazon are held by 6 in","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>For the latest 13F reporting period ended in June 2022, Apple, Microsoft and Amazon are held by 6 institutions, United Health is mostly favored by 4 institutions, while Nvidia is sold off by 3 institutions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d406d9d3c5c6055dff2de41385216cc5\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"1844\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Buffett’s Berkshire Cuts Verizon, Keeps Other Equity Stakes Mostly Unchanged</b></p><p>Berkshire Hathaway eliminated a Verizon Communications stake inQ2 as the conglomerate run by Warren Buffett made tweaks to its portfolio and dialed back on stock purchases.</p><p>Berkshire boosted other bets in Q2. Its stake in Paramount Global is currently valued at about $2.1 billion, and an investment in Celanese is at almost $1.1 billion.</p><p>Buffett’s firm made $3.8 billion in net stock purchases in Q2, down from $41 billion in the prior period. The company also spent less on share repurchases in Q2.</p><p><b>Ray Dalio&#39;s Bridgewater Takes Fresh Stakes in Rivian, Amazon, Exits Alibaba, JD.Com</b></p><p>Ray Dalio&#39;s Bridgewater Associates took new stakes in Rivian, acquiring 62.8K shares, Amazon, buying 149.2K shares and Sea with 459.2K shares in Q2. The fund exited stakes in Alibaba and JD.com.</p><p>It boosted its holdings in Meta Platforms to 586.6K shares from 10.9K shares, Alphabet to 49.1K shares from 1.7K shares, CVS Health to 3.14M shares from 1.21M shares, and Mastercard to 485.2K shares from 36.1K shares, and trimmed down its positions in PepsiCo to 3.81M shares from 4.17M shares, Linde to 52.5K shares from 276.3K shares, and Procter &amp; Gamble to 6.74M shares from 6.82M shares.</p><p><b>Goldman Sachs Bought Microsoft and Amazon, Sold S&amp;P Global and Meta</b></p><p>It included $443,378,724,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 16.44%. The top 5 holdings are Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Alibaba, the top 5 buys are Microsoft, Amazon, Alibaba, Google and United Health, while the top 5 sells are Apple, Google, S&amp;P Global, JPMorgan and Meta.</p><p><b>JPMorgan Bought Microsoft and Amazon, Sold Apple and Lyft</b></p><p>It included $717,859,299,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 19.12%. Its largest holding is Microsoft with shares held of 91,034,485. The other top 4 holdings are Apple, Amazon, United Health and Google, the top 5 buys are Microsoft, Amazon, United Health, Google and Abbvie, while the top 5 sells are Apple, Lyft, NextEra, Texas Instruments and Analog Devices.</p><p><b>Blackrock Bought United Health and Johnson&amp;Johnson, Sold Nvidia and Netflix</b></p><p>It included $3,117,359,647,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 18.91%.Its largest holding is Apple with shares held of 1,028,688,317. The other top 4 holdings are Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Tesla, the top 5 buys are United Health, Johnson&amp;Johnson, Merck, Exxon Mobil and Pfizer, while the top 5 sells are Nvidia, Netflix, Google, Disney and Paypal.</p><p><b>Tiger Global Slashes Portfolio Amid Losses</b></p><p>Tiger Global Management, which lost billions of dollars in this year&#39;s technology meltdown, slashed or completely exited most of its holdings inQ2, potentially cutting its exposure to a recent stock rally.</p><p>Among the companies in which Tiger reduced positions are Carvana, Crowdstrike, Snowflake, Nu Holdings, JD.com, Doordash, Coinbase and Microsoft.</p><p>It also dissolved its investments in Robinhood, Zoom Video Communications and Docusign.</p><p><b>Renaissance Technologies Bought Microsoft and Meta, Sold Novo-Nordisk and Gilead Sciences</b></p><p>It included $84,467,497,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 10.97%. The largest holding is Novo-Nordisk A/S ADS with shares held of 17,529,671. The other top 4 holdings are Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Chevron, the top 5 buys are Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Chevron and Kroger, while the top 5 sells are Novo-Nordisk, Gilead Sciences, Zoom Video Communications, Verizon and Monster Beverage.</p><p><b>Invesco Bought Heico and Verizon, Sold Amazon and Nvidia</b></p><p>It included $330,037,936,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 11.32%.The largest holding is Microsoft with shares held of 31,448,141. The other top 4 holdings are Apple, Google, Amazon and United Health, the top 5 buys are Heico, Verizon, United Health, Exxon Mobil and JD.com, while the top 5 sells are Amazon, Nvidia, Apple, Google and HCA.</p><p><b>Legendary Financier George Soros Bets Big on Amazon and Alphabet</b></p><p>Soros began betting heavily on Amazon. As of June 30, his firm Soros Fund Management held 2,004,500 Amazon shares worth about $213 million, compared to 70,717 Amazon shares as of March 31.</p><p>The firm also boosted its Alphabet shares by 10.4% compared to March 31. Soros Fund Management held 53,175 Alphabet shares as of June 30 worth $5.8 million.</p><p>Besides Alphabet and Amazon, Soros also acquired additional shares in Salesforce and Qualcomm. Soros Fund Management holds 627,509 Salesforce shares, up 138.3% from March 31, and 229,582 Qualcomm shares, up 49% from three months earlier.</p><p>The value of Soros&#39; U.S. equity portfolio rose 5.3% quarter over quarter to $5.6 billion.</p><p><b>Baillie Gifford Bought NIO and Royalty Pharma, Sold Illumina and Cloudflare</b></p><p>It included $97,508,008,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 35.7%.The largest holding is Moderna with shares held of 45,559,791. The other top 4 holdings are Tesla, Amazon, Illumina and MercadoLibre, the top 5 buys are NIO, Royalty Pharma, Service Corp., BioNTech SE and Wix.com, while the top 5 sells are Illumina, Cloudflare, Tesla, Nvidia and Netflix.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Chart｜Buffett Cut Verizon While Soros Bet Big on Amazon and Google: Top 10 Institutional Investors Q2 Holding</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Chart｜Buffett Cut Verizon While Soros Bet Big on Amazon and Google: Top 10 Institutional Investors Q2 Holding\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-17 16:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>For the latest 13F reporting period ended in June 2022, Apple, Microsoft and Amazon are held by 6 institutions, United Health is mostly favored by 4 institutions, while Nvidia is sold off by 3 institutions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d406d9d3c5c6055dff2de41385216cc5\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"1844\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Buffett’s Berkshire Cuts Verizon, Keeps Other Equity Stakes Mostly Unchanged</b></p><p>Berkshire Hathaway eliminated a Verizon Communications stake inQ2 as the conglomerate run by Warren Buffett made tweaks to its portfolio and dialed back on stock purchases.</p><p>Berkshire boosted other bets in Q2. Its stake in Paramount Global is currently valued at about $2.1 billion, and an investment in Celanese is at almost $1.1 billion.</p><p>Buffett’s firm made $3.8 billion in net stock purchases in Q2, down from $41 billion in the prior period. The company also spent less on share repurchases in Q2.</p><p><b>Ray Dalio&#39;s Bridgewater Takes Fresh Stakes in Rivian, Amazon, Exits Alibaba, JD.Com</b></p><p>Ray Dalio&#39;s Bridgewater Associates took new stakes in Rivian, acquiring 62.8K shares, Amazon, buying 149.2K shares and Sea with 459.2K shares in Q2. The fund exited stakes in Alibaba and JD.com.</p><p>It boosted its holdings in Meta Platforms to 586.6K shares from 10.9K shares, Alphabet to 49.1K shares from 1.7K shares, CVS Health to 3.14M shares from 1.21M shares, and Mastercard to 485.2K shares from 36.1K shares, and trimmed down its positions in PepsiCo to 3.81M shares from 4.17M shares, Linde to 52.5K shares from 276.3K shares, and Procter &amp; Gamble to 6.74M shares from 6.82M shares.</p><p><b>Goldman Sachs Bought Microsoft and Amazon, Sold S&amp;P Global and Meta</b></p><p>It included $443,378,724,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 16.44%. The top 5 holdings are Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Alibaba, the top 5 buys are Microsoft, Amazon, Alibaba, Google and United Health, while the top 5 sells are Apple, Google, S&amp;P Global, JPMorgan and Meta.</p><p><b>JPMorgan Bought Microsoft and Amazon, Sold Apple and Lyft</b></p><p>It included $717,859,299,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 19.12%. Its largest holding is Microsoft with shares held of 91,034,485. The other top 4 holdings are Apple, Amazon, United Health and Google, the top 5 buys are Microsoft, Amazon, United Health, Google and Abbvie, while the top 5 sells are Apple, Lyft, NextEra, Texas Instruments and Analog Devices.</p><p><b>Blackrock Bought United Health and Johnson&amp;Johnson, Sold Nvidia and Netflix</b></p><p>It included $3,117,359,647,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 18.91%.Its largest holding is Apple with shares held of 1,028,688,317. The other top 4 holdings are Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Tesla, the top 5 buys are United Health, Johnson&amp;Johnson, Merck, Exxon Mobil and Pfizer, while the top 5 sells are Nvidia, Netflix, Google, Disney and Paypal.</p><p><b>Tiger Global Slashes Portfolio Amid Losses</b></p><p>Tiger Global Management, which lost billions of dollars in this year&#39;s technology meltdown, slashed or completely exited most of its holdings inQ2, potentially cutting its exposure to a recent stock rally.</p><p>Among the companies in which Tiger reduced positions are Carvana, Crowdstrike, Snowflake, Nu Holdings, JD.com, Doordash, Coinbase and Microsoft.</p><p>It also dissolved its investments in Robinhood, Zoom Video Communications and Docusign.</p><p><b>Renaissance Technologies Bought Microsoft and Meta, Sold Novo-Nordisk and Gilead Sciences</b></p><p>It included $84,467,497,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 10.97%. The largest holding is Novo-Nordisk A/S ADS with shares held of 17,529,671. The other top 4 holdings are Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Chevron, the top 5 buys are Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Chevron and Kroger, while the top 5 sells are Novo-Nordisk, Gilead Sciences, Zoom Video Communications, Verizon and Monster Beverage.</p><p><b>Invesco Bought Heico and Verizon, Sold Amazon and Nvidia</b></p><p>It included $330,037,936,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 11.32%.The largest holding is Microsoft with shares held of 31,448,141. The other top 4 holdings are Apple, Google, Amazon and United Health, the top 5 buys are Heico, Verizon, United Health, Exxon Mobil and JD.com, while the top 5 sells are Amazon, Nvidia, Apple, Google and HCA.</p><p><b>Legendary Financier George Soros Bets Big on Amazon and Alphabet</b></p><p>Soros began betting heavily on Amazon. As of June 30, his firm Soros Fund Management held 2,004,500 Amazon shares worth about $213 million, compared to 70,717 Amazon shares as of March 31.</p><p>The firm also boosted its Alphabet shares by 10.4% compared to March 31. Soros Fund Management held 53,175 Alphabet shares as of June 30 worth $5.8 million.</p><p>Besides Alphabet and Amazon, Soros also acquired additional shares in Salesforce and Qualcomm. Soros Fund Management holds 627,509 Salesforce shares, up 138.3% from March 31, and 229,582 Qualcomm shares, up 49% from three months earlier.</p><p>The value of Soros&#39; U.S. equity portfolio rose 5.3% quarter over quarter to $5.6 billion.</p><p><b>Baillie Gifford Bought NIO and Royalty Pharma, Sold Illumina and Cloudflare</b></p><p>It included $97,508,008,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 35.7%.The largest holding is Moderna with shares held of 45,559,791. The other top 4 holdings are Tesla, Amazon, Illumina and MercadoLibre, the top 5 buys are NIO, Royalty Pharma, Service Corp., BioNTech SE and Wix.com, while the top 5 sells are Illumina, Cloudflare, Tesla, Nvidia and Netflix.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UNH":"联合健康","NVDA":"英伟达","MSFT":"微软","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179977459","content_text":"For the latest 13F reporting period ended in June 2022, Apple, Microsoft and Amazon are held by 6 institutions, United Health is mostly favored by 4 institutions, while Nvidia is sold off by 3 institutions.Buffett’s Berkshire Cuts Verizon, Keeps Other Equity Stakes Mostly UnchangedBerkshire Hathaway eliminated a Verizon Communications stake inQ2 as the conglomerate run by Warren Buffett made tweaks to its portfolio and dialed back on stock purchases.Berkshire boosted other bets in Q2. Its stake in Paramount Global is currently valued at about $2.1 billion, and an investment in Celanese is at almost $1.1 billion.Buffett’s firm made $3.8 billion in net stock purchases in Q2, down from $41 billion in the prior period. The company also spent less on share repurchases in Q2.Ray Dalio's Bridgewater Takes Fresh Stakes in Rivian, Amazon, Exits Alibaba, JD.ComRay Dalio's Bridgewater Associates took new stakes in Rivian, acquiring 62.8K shares, Amazon, buying 149.2K shares and Sea with 459.2K shares in Q2. The fund exited stakes in Alibaba and JD.com.It boosted its holdings in Meta Platforms to 586.6K shares from 10.9K shares, Alphabet to 49.1K shares from 1.7K shares, CVS Health to 3.14M shares from 1.21M shares, and Mastercard to 485.2K shares from 36.1K shares, and trimmed down its positions in PepsiCo to 3.81M shares from 4.17M shares, Linde to 52.5K shares from 276.3K shares, and Procter & Gamble to 6.74M shares from 6.82M shares.Goldman Sachs Bought Microsoft and Amazon, Sold S&P Global and MetaIt included $443,378,724,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 16.44%. The top 5 holdings are Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Alibaba, the top 5 buys are Microsoft, Amazon, Alibaba, Google and United Health, while the top 5 sells are Apple, Google, S&P Global, JPMorgan and Meta.JPMorgan Bought Microsoft and Amazon, Sold Apple and LyftIt included $717,859,299,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 19.12%. Its largest holding is Microsoft with shares held of 91,034,485. The other top 4 holdings are Apple, Amazon, United Health and Google, the top 5 buys are Microsoft, Amazon, United Health, Google and Abbvie, while the top 5 sells are Apple, Lyft, NextEra, Texas Instruments and Analog Devices.Blackrock Bought United Health and Johnson&Johnson, Sold Nvidia and NetflixIt included $3,117,359,647,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 18.91%.Its largest holding is Apple with shares held of 1,028,688,317. The other top 4 holdings are Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Tesla, the top 5 buys are United Health, Johnson&Johnson, Merck, Exxon Mobil and Pfizer, while the top 5 sells are Nvidia, Netflix, Google, Disney and Paypal.Tiger Global Slashes Portfolio Amid LossesTiger Global Management, which lost billions of dollars in this year's technology meltdown, slashed or completely exited most of its holdings inQ2, potentially cutting its exposure to a recent stock rally.Among the companies in which Tiger reduced positions are Carvana, Crowdstrike, Snowflake, Nu Holdings, JD.com, Doordash, Coinbase and Microsoft.It also dissolved its investments in Robinhood, Zoom Video Communications and Docusign.Renaissance Technologies Bought Microsoft and Meta, Sold Novo-Nordisk and Gilead SciencesIt included $84,467,497,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 10.97%. The largest holding is Novo-Nordisk A/S ADS with shares held of 17,529,671. The other top 4 holdings are Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Chevron, the top 5 buys are Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Chevron and Kroger, while the top 5 sells are Novo-Nordisk, Gilead Sciences, Zoom Video Communications, Verizon and Monster Beverage.Invesco Bought Heico and Verizon, Sold Amazon and NvidiaIt included $330,037,936,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 11.32%.The largest holding is Microsoft with shares held of 31,448,141. The other top 4 holdings are Apple, Google, Amazon and United Health, the top 5 buys are Heico, Verizon, United Health, Exxon Mobil and JD.com, while the top 5 sells are Amazon, Nvidia, Apple, Google and HCA.Legendary Financier George Soros Bets Big on Amazon and AlphabetSoros began betting heavily on Amazon. As of June 30, his firm Soros Fund Management held 2,004,500 Amazon shares worth about $213 million, compared to 70,717 Amazon shares as of March 31.The firm also boosted its Alphabet shares by 10.4% compared to March 31. Soros Fund Management held 53,175 Alphabet shares as of June 30 worth $5.8 million.Besides Alphabet and Amazon, Soros also acquired additional shares in Salesforce and Qualcomm. Soros Fund Management holds 627,509 Salesforce shares, up 138.3% from March 31, and 229,582 Qualcomm shares, up 49% from three months earlier.The value of Soros' U.S. equity portfolio rose 5.3% quarter over quarter to $5.6 billion.Baillie Gifford Bought NIO and Royalty Pharma, Sold Illumina and CloudflareIt included $97,508,008,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 35.7%.The largest holding is Moderna with shares held of 45,559,791. The other top 4 holdings are Tesla, Amazon, Illumina and MercadoLibre, the top 5 buys are NIO, Royalty Pharma, Service Corp., BioNTech SE and Wix.com, while the top 5 sells are Illumina, Cloudflare, Tesla, Nvidia and Netflix.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935656198,"gmtCreate":1663085739114,"gmtModify":1676537200159,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935656198","repostId":"1189570916","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189570916","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1663080528,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189570916?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-13 22:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Sell-Off Deepens, Dow Drops 800 Points Following Hot Inflation Report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189570916","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after a keyAugust inflation reportcame in hotter than expected, hurting investor optimism for cooling prices and a less aggressive Federal Reserve.The Dow Jones Industri","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after a keyAugust inflation reportcame in hotter than expected, hurting investor optimism for cooling prices and a less aggressive Federal Reserve.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 818 points, or 2.5%. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 2.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite sank 3.6%.</p><p>More than 490 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 fell, with Facebook-parent Meta dropping 7.6% and Caesars Entertainment losing 6.7%.</p><p>The August consumer price index report showed a higher-than-expected reading for inflation. Headline inflation rose 0.1% month over month, even with falling gas prices. Core inflation rose 0.6% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, inflation was 8.3%.</p><p>Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a decline of 0.1% for overall inflation, with a rise of 0.3% for core inflation.</p><p>The report is one of the last the Fed will see ahead of their Sept. 20-21 meeting, where the central bank is expected to deliver theirthird consecutive 0.75 percentage point interest rate hiketo tamp down inflation. The unexpectedly high August report could lead the Fed to continue its aggressive hikes longer than some investors anticipated.</p><p>The moves comes after four straight positive sessions for U.S. stocks, which were bolstered in part by the belief of many investors that inflation had already peaked.</p><p>“The CPI report was an unequivocal negative for equity markets. The hotter than expected report means we will get continued pressure from Fed policy via rate hikes,” said Matt Peron, director of research at Janus Henderson Investors. “It also pushes back any ‘Fed pivot’ that the markets were hopeful for in the near term. As we have cautioned over the past months, we are not out of the woods yet and would maintain a defensive posture with equity and sector allocations.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Sell-Off Deepens, Dow Drops 800 Points Following Hot Inflation Report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Sell-Off Deepens, Dow Drops 800 Points Following Hot Inflation Report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-13 22:48</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after a keyAugust inflation reportcame in hotter than expected, hurting investor optimism for cooling prices and a less aggressive Federal Reserve.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 818 points, or 2.5%. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 2.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite sank 3.6%.</p><p>More than 490 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 fell, with Facebook-parent Meta dropping 7.6% and Caesars Entertainment losing 6.7%.</p><p>The August consumer price index report showed a higher-than-expected reading for inflation. Headline inflation rose 0.1% month over month, even with falling gas prices. Core inflation rose 0.6% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, inflation was 8.3%.</p><p>Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a decline of 0.1% for overall inflation, with a rise of 0.3% for core inflation.</p><p>The report is one of the last the Fed will see ahead of their Sept. 20-21 meeting, where the central bank is expected to deliver theirthird consecutive 0.75 percentage point interest rate hiketo tamp down inflation. The unexpectedly high August report could lead the Fed to continue its aggressive hikes longer than some investors anticipated.</p><p>The moves comes after four straight positive sessions for U.S. stocks, which were bolstered in part by the belief of many investors that inflation had already peaked.</p><p>“The CPI report was an unequivocal negative for equity markets. The hotter than expected report means we will get continued pressure from Fed policy via rate hikes,” said Matt Peron, director of research at Janus Henderson Investors. “It also pushes back any ‘Fed pivot’ that the markets were hopeful for in the near term. As we have cautioned over the past months, we are not out of the woods yet and would maintain a defensive posture with equity and sector allocations.”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189570916","content_text":"Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after a keyAugust inflation reportcame in hotter than expected, hurting investor optimism for cooling prices and a less aggressive Federal Reserve.The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 818 points, or 2.5%. The S&P 500 dropped 2.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite sank 3.6%.More than 490 stocks in the S&P 500 fell, with Facebook-parent Meta dropping 7.6% and Caesars Entertainment losing 6.7%.The August consumer price index report showed a higher-than-expected reading for inflation. Headline inflation rose 0.1% month over month, even with falling gas prices. Core inflation rose 0.6% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, inflation was 8.3%.Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a decline of 0.1% for overall inflation, with a rise of 0.3% for core inflation.The report is one of the last the Fed will see ahead of their Sept. 20-21 meeting, where the central bank is expected to deliver theirthird consecutive 0.75 percentage point interest rate hiketo tamp down inflation. The unexpectedly high August report could lead the Fed to continue its aggressive hikes longer than some investors anticipated.The moves comes after four straight positive sessions for U.S. stocks, which were bolstered in part by the belief of many investors that inflation had already peaked.“The CPI report was an unequivocal negative for equity markets. The hotter than expected report means we will get continued pressure from Fed policy via rate hikes,” said Matt Peron, director of research at Janus Henderson Investors. “It also pushes back any ‘Fed pivot’ that the markets were hopeful for in the near term. As we have cautioned over the past months, we are not out of the woods yet and would maintain a defensive posture with equity and sector allocations.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":69,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936333210,"gmtCreate":1662702469130,"gmtModify":1676537123026,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936333210","repostId":"2266813339","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2266813339","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1662677960,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2266813339?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-09 06:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Higher, Gains Driven By Banks, Healthcare","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266813339","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Powell reaffirms hawkish stance* Weekly jobless claims fall to 3-month low* Regeneron soars on positive trial update* Dow up 0.61%, S&P 500 up 0.66%, Nasdaq up 0.60%Sept 8 (Reuters) - Wall Street's ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Powell reaffirms hawkish stance</p><p>* Weekly jobless claims fall to 3-month low</p><p>* Regeneron soars on positive trial update</p><p>* Dow up 0.61%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.66%, Nasdaq up 0.60%</p><p>Sept 8 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes posted gains on Thursday mainly lifted by financial institutions and healthcare companies, as investors digested hawkish remarks from policymakers that cemented bets of a large interest rate hike later this month.</p><p>Indexes bounced back and forth in a choppy trading as concerns over Federal Reserve&#39;s next steps to tame a surging inflation remain.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s just a lot of uncertainty and I think people aren&#39;t going to really make up their minds for longer than five minutes or five seconds, you know, until there&#39;s a little bit more clarity or light at the end of the tunnel,&#34; said Grace Lee, an equity income senior portfolio manager at Boston-based Columbia Threadneedle Investments.</p><p>Money market traders see 87% odds that the Fed will hike rates by 75 basis points at this month&#39;s meeting.</p><p>Bank of America, Barclays and Jefferies said they now see a 75-basis points interest rate hike. Before Barclays had said it could be a 50- or 75-basis point increase, while Bank of America and Jefferies were betting on a 50-basis point rise.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is &#34;strongly committed&#34; to bringing inflation down and needs to keep going until it gets the job done.</p><p>Chicago Fed President Charles Evans joined his fellow policymakers in saying that reining in inflation is &#34;job one.&#34;</p><p>Investors are also awaiting the U.S. August inflation report next week for fresh clues on whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates by half or three-quarters of a percentage point at the next policy meeting due Sept. 20-21.</p><p>Worries over aggressive monetary tightening across the globe stalled equity markets on Thursday after the European Central Bank hiked interest rates by an unprecedented 75 basis points and signaled further hikes.</p><p>Meanwhile, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to a three-month low, underscoring the robustness of the labor market even as the Fed raises interest rates.</p><p>With increasing odds of another outsized rate hike, both the rate-sensitive S&amp;P 500 bank index and the S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector rose 2.8% and 1.8%, respectively.</p><p>The healthcare sector was boosted by news that Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc&#39;s anti-blindness treatment Eylea was shown to work as well when given at a higher dose at a longer interval between injections. The drugmaker&#39;s shares jumped 18.8%.</p><p>&#34;People are embracing safety. Healthcare is a very safe sector and it&#39;s still fairly cheap, the same way with the broader financial sector,&#34; said Lee.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 193.24 points, or 0.61%, to 31,774.52, the S&amp;P 500 gained 26.31 points, or 0.66%, to 4,006.18 and the Nasdaq Composite added 70.23 points, or 0.6%, to 11,862.13.</p><p>GameStop Corp surged 7.4% after the video game retailer reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss.</p><p>American Eagle Outfitters Inc tumbled 8.7% after the apparel maker missed second-quarter profit estimates and said it would pause quarterly dividend as it fortifies its finances against a hit from inflation.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.19 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>On Wednesday, Wall Street&#39;s main indexes climbed the most in about a month as bond yields retreated after a recent surge that was driven by expectations of higher interest rates. Still, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 is down over 16% year-to-date.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.34-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.48-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 7 new 52-week highs and 8 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 37 new highs and 153 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Higher, Gains Driven By Banks, Healthcare</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Higher, Gains Driven By Banks, Healthcare\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-09 06:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Powell reaffirms hawkish stance</p><p>* Weekly jobless claims fall to 3-month low</p><p>* Regeneron soars on positive trial update</p><p>* Dow up 0.61%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.66%, Nasdaq up 0.60%</p><p>Sept 8 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes posted gains on Thursday mainly lifted by financial institutions and healthcare companies, as investors digested hawkish remarks from policymakers that cemented bets of a large interest rate hike later this month.</p><p>Indexes bounced back and forth in a choppy trading as concerns over Federal Reserve&#39;s next steps to tame a surging inflation remain.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s just a lot of uncertainty and I think people aren&#39;t going to really make up their minds for longer than five minutes or five seconds, you know, until there&#39;s a little bit more clarity or light at the end of the tunnel,&#34; said Grace Lee, an equity income senior portfolio manager at Boston-based Columbia Threadneedle Investments.</p><p>Money market traders see 87% odds that the Fed will hike rates by 75 basis points at this month&#39;s meeting.</p><p>Bank of America, Barclays and Jefferies said they now see a 75-basis points interest rate hike. Before Barclays had said it could be a 50- or 75-basis point increase, while Bank of America and Jefferies were betting on a 50-basis point rise.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is &#34;strongly committed&#34; to bringing inflation down and needs to keep going until it gets the job done.</p><p>Chicago Fed President Charles Evans joined his fellow policymakers in saying that reining in inflation is &#34;job one.&#34;</p><p>Investors are also awaiting the U.S. August inflation report next week for fresh clues on whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates by half or three-quarters of a percentage point at the next policy meeting due Sept. 20-21.</p><p>Worries over aggressive monetary tightening across the globe stalled equity markets on Thursday after the European Central Bank hiked interest rates by an unprecedented 75 basis points and signaled further hikes.</p><p>Meanwhile, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to a three-month low, underscoring the robustness of the labor market even as the Fed raises interest rates.</p><p>With increasing odds of another outsized rate hike, both the rate-sensitive S&amp;P 500 bank index and the S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector rose 2.8% and 1.8%, respectively.</p><p>The healthcare sector was boosted by news that Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc&#39;s anti-blindness treatment Eylea was shown to work as well when given at a higher dose at a longer interval between injections. The drugmaker&#39;s shares jumped 18.8%.</p><p>&#34;People are embracing safety. Healthcare is a very safe sector and it&#39;s still fairly cheap, the same way with the broader financial sector,&#34; said Lee.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 193.24 points, or 0.61%, to 31,774.52, the S&amp;P 500 gained 26.31 points, or 0.66%, to 4,006.18 and the Nasdaq Composite added 70.23 points, or 0.6%, to 11,862.13.</p><p>GameStop Corp surged 7.4% after the video game retailer reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss.</p><p>American Eagle Outfitters Inc tumbled 8.7% after the apparel maker missed second-quarter profit estimates and said it would pause quarterly dividend as it fortifies its finances against a hit from inflation.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.19 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>On Wednesday, Wall Street&#39;s main indexes climbed the most in about a month as bond yields retreated after a recent surge that was driven by expectations of higher interest rates. Still, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 is down over 16% year-to-date.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.34-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.48-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 7 new 52-week highs and 8 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 37 new highs and 153 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COMP":"Compass, Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","AEO":"美鹰服饰","REGN":"再生元制药公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266813339","content_text":"* Powell reaffirms hawkish stance* Weekly jobless claims fall to 3-month low* Regeneron soars on positive trial update* Dow up 0.61%, S&P 500 up 0.66%, Nasdaq up 0.60%Sept 8 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes posted gains on Thursday mainly lifted by financial institutions and healthcare companies, as investors digested hawkish remarks from policymakers that cemented bets of a large interest rate hike later this month.Indexes bounced back and forth in a choppy trading as concerns over Federal Reserve's next steps to tame a surging inflation remain.\"There's just a lot of uncertainty and I think people aren't going to really make up their minds for longer than five minutes or five seconds, you know, until there's a little bit more clarity or light at the end of the tunnel,\" said Grace Lee, an equity income senior portfolio manager at Boston-based Columbia Threadneedle Investments.Money market traders see 87% odds that the Fed will hike rates by 75 basis points at this month's meeting.Bank of America, Barclays and Jefferies said they now see a 75-basis points interest rate hike. Before Barclays had said it could be a 50- or 75-basis point increase, while Bank of America and Jefferies were betting on a 50-basis point rise.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is \"strongly committed\" to bringing inflation down and needs to keep going until it gets the job done.Chicago Fed President Charles Evans joined his fellow policymakers in saying that reining in inflation is \"job one.\"Investors are also awaiting the U.S. August inflation report next week for fresh clues on whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates by half or three-quarters of a percentage point at the next policy meeting due Sept. 20-21.Worries over aggressive monetary tightening across the globe stalled equity markets on Thursday after the European Central Bank hiked interest rates by an unprecedented 75 basis points and signaled further hikes.Meanwhile, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to a three-month low, underscoring the robustness of the labor market even as the Fed raises interest rates.With increasing odds of another outsized rate hike, both the rate-sensitive S&P 500 bank index and the S&P 500 healthcare sector rose 2.8% and 1.8%, respectively.The healthcare sector was boosted by news that Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc's anti-blindness treatment Eylea was shown to work as well when given at a higher dose at a longer interval between injections. The drugmaker's shares jumped 18.8%.\"People are embracing safety. Healthcare is a very safe sector and it's still fairly cheap, the same way with the broader financial sector,\" said Lee.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 193.24 points, or 0.61%, to 31,774.52, the S&P 500 gained 26.31 points, or 0.66%, to 4,006.18 and the Nasdaq Composite added 70.23 points, or 0.6%, to 11,862.13.GameStop Corp surged 7.4% after the video game retailer reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss.American Eagle Outfitters Inc tumbled 8.7% after the apparel maker missed second-quarter profit estimates and said it would pause quarterly dividend as it fortifies its finances against a hit from inflation.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.19 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.On Wednesday, Wall Street's main indexes climbed the most in about a month as bond yields retreated after a recent surge that was driven by expectations of higher interest rates. Still, the benchmark S&P 500 is down over 16% year-to-date.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.34-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.48-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 7 new 52-week highs and 8 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 37 new highs and 153 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930078107,"gmtCreate":1661894416240,"gmtModify":1676536595665,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930078107","repostId":"2263460679","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2263460679","pubTimestamp":1661872861,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2263460679?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-30 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Terrible Stocks to Avoid","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2263460679","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Big problems plague these beaten-down stocks.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investing is as much about avoiding costly mistakes as it is about finding winning stocks. In a market like this one, pummeled by sky-high inflation, interest rate concerns, and recession fears, staying away from stocks that are unlikely to produce decent returns in the long run is particularly important.</p><p>There are bad stocks, and then there are <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYND\">Beyond Meat</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTON\">Peloton</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a>. All three companies are struggling with plunging demand, losing heaps of money, and dependent on fads or frenzies. It&#39;s best to keep your distance.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYND\">Beyond Meat</a></h2><p>As inflation puts pressure on consumers, fake meat products have been tossed out of the grocery cart. Overall sales of refrigerated plant-based meat products in the U.S. are contracting at a double-digit rate as people become unwilling to pay a hefty premium.</p><p>Beyond Meat is gaining market share against a deluge of competition, but that doesn&#39;t matter much in a shrinking market. The company reported a 1.6% revenue decline in the second quarter, and that was the good news.</p><p>Demand has tumbled by so much that Beyond Meat was forced to unload a bunch of its inventory through liquidation channels. Gross margin was negative in the second quarter thanks to this fake meat fire sale and the effect of the Beyond Meat Jerky launch, which has underperformed the company&#39;s expectations.</p><p>Beyond Meat posted a net loss of $97.1 million on $147 million of revenue in the second quarter, and it slashed its revenue outlook for the full year. Layoffs will help bring down costs, but the company is likely to need to raise additional capital at some point. The balance sheet has $455 million in cash and $1.1 billion in debt -- that cash won&#39;t last long if business doesn&#39;t improve. Beyond Meat posted a free cash flow loss of $476 million through the first six months of the year.</p><p>If fake meat turns out to be a fad, Beyond Meat is in major trouble. And even if the category has staying power, intense competition will make it difficult for Beyond Meat to earn enough in profit to justify its $1.6 billion market cap. Just as customers are staying away from Beyond Meat&#39;s products in the grocery store, investors should stay away from the stock.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTON\">Peloton</a></h2><p>Connected fitness company Peloton is the quintessential example of what happens when a company mistakenly believes a temporary tailwind will become permanent. Demand for the company&#39;s expensive exercise bikes was intense during the worst of the pandemic, and Peloton scaled up under the assumption that it was the new normal. It was not.</p><p>As people head back to gyms and workout classes, demand for Peloton&#39;s equipment has imploded. Sales of equipment plunged 55% year over year in the company&#39;s fiscal fourth quarter. Peloton has outsourced manufacturing, turned to selling on <b>Amazon</b>, laid off employees, and given customers a self-assembly option as it aims to cut costs and boost sales.</p><p>Even more concerning is the subscription business. Peloton&#39;s bikes and treadmills require a pricey $44 monthly subscription to access video content and enable real-time performance tracking features. The company faced little churn during most of the pandemic, but that&#39;s starting to change. Churn nearly doubled in the fourth quarter, and members cut down on usage by more than 20% on average. All this points to a sizable chunk of the install base that may be considering cancellation.</p><p>Under new CEO Barry McCarthy, Peloton has set an ambitious goal of someday reaching 100 million members. After a disastrous quarter that makes a strong argument that Peloton&#39;s popularity is fading, that target looks downright impossible. Fitness fads come and go, and it will take a herculean effort to save Peloton from suffering the same fate as so many other once-popular fitness brands. This is a turnaround story that likely doesn&#39;t have a happy ending.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a></h2><p>It turns out it&#39;s easy to make money as a cryptocurrency exchange when cryptocurrency is in a bubble and FOMO has taken hold of millions. Once the bubble pops, it&#39;s a very different story.</p><p>Coinbase has over 100 million verified users, and over $200 billion in transactions are processed on its platform each quarter. The problem is that trading volume is way down from its peak last year. Coinbase processed over $500 billion worth of trades in the fourth quarter of 2021.</p><p>As trading volume has come down, so has revenue, since Coinbase makes most of its money from transaction fees on retail trades. Revenue plunged 61% year over year in the second quarter to $803 million, and net income swung to a $1.1 billion loss. Even adjusted EBITDA, which is a nonsense metric, turned negative.</p><p>Coinbase is still valued at around $15 billion. The company is turning to subscription products as competition intensifies, and subscriptions and services now account for 18% of revenue. Unfortunately, that&#39;s mostly a reflection of plunging transaction revenue. Subscription and services revenue was down 30% in the second quarter from its peak in the fourth quarter of 2021.</p><p>Is Coinbase a business that&#39;s still going to exist 20 years from now? I honestly have no idea. That&#39;s a good enough reason for me to avoid the stock.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Terrible Stocks to Avoid</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Terrible Stocks to Avoid\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-30 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/30/3-terrible-stocks-to-avoid/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investing is as much about avoiding costly mistakes as it is about finding winning stocks. In a market like this one, pummeled by sky-high inflation, interest rate concerns, and recession fears, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/30/3-terrible-stocks-to-avoid/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","BYND":"Beyond Meat, Inc.","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/30/3-terrible-stocks-to-avoid/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2263460679","content_text":"Investing is as much about avoiding costly mistakes as it is about finding winning stocks. In a market like this one, pummeled by sky-high inflation, interest rate concerns, and recession fears, staying away from stocks that are unlikely to produce decent returns in the long run is particularly important.There are bad stocks, and then there are Beyond Meat, Peloton, and Coinbase. All three companies are struggling with plunging demand, losing heaps of money, and dependent on fads or frenzies. It's best to keep your distance.Beyond MeatAs inflation puts pressure on consumers, fake meat products have been tossed out of the grocery cart. Overall sales of refrigerated plant-based meat products in the U.S. are contracting at a double-digit rate as people become unwilling to pay a hefty premium.Beyond Meat is gaining market share against a deluge of competition, but that doesn't matter much in a shrinking market. The company reported a 1.6% revenue decline in the second quarter, and that was the good news.Demand has tumbled by so much that Beyond Meat was forced to unload a bunch of its inventory through liquidation channels. Gross margin was negative in the second quarter thanks to this fake meat fire sale and the effect of the Beyond Meat Jerky launch, which has underperformed the company's expectations.Beyond Meat posted a net loss of $97.1 million on $147 million of revenue in the second quarter, and it slashed its revenue outlook for the full year. Layoffs will help bring down costs, but the company is likely to need to raise additional capital at some point. The balance sheet has $455 million in cash and $1.1 billion in debt -- that cash won't last long if business doesn't improve. Beyond Meat posted a free cash flow loss of $476 million through the first six months of the year.If fake meat turns out to be a fad, Beyond Meat is in major trouble. And even if the category has staying power, intense competition will make it difficult for Beyond Meat to earn enough in profit to justify its $1.6 billion market cap. Just as customers are staying away from Beyond Meat's products in the grocery store, investors should stay away from the stock.PelotonConnected fitness company Peloton is the quintessential example of what happens when a company mistakenly believes a temporary tailwind will become permanent. Demand for the company's expensive exercise bikes was intense during the worst of the pandemic, and Peloton scaled up under the assumption that it was the new normal. It was not.As people head back to gyms and workout classes, demand for Peloton's equipment has imploded. Sales of equipment plunged 55% year over year in the company's fiscal fourth quarter. Peloton has outsourced manufacturing, turned to selling on Amazon, laid off employees, and given customers a self-assembly option as it aims to cut costs and boost sales.Even more concerning is the subscription business. Peloton's bikes and treadmills require a pricey $44 monthly subscription to access video content and enable real-time performance tracking features. The company faced little churn during most of the pandemic, but that's starting to change. Churn nearly doubled in the fourth quarter, and members cut down on usage by more than 20% on average. All this points to a sizable chunk of the install base that may be considering cancellation.Under new CEO Barry McCarthy, Peloton has set an ambitious goal of someday reaching 100 million members. After a disastrous quarter that makes a strong argument that Peloton's popularity is fading, that target looks downright impossible. Fitness fads come and go, and it will take a herculean effort to save Peloton from suffering the same fate as so many other once-popular fitness brands. This is a turnaround story that likely doesn't have a happy ending.CoinbaseIt turns out it's easy to make money as a cryptocurrency exchange when cryptocurrency is in a bubble and FOMO has taken hold of millions. Once the bubble pops, it's a very different story.Coinbase has over 100 million verified users, and over $200 billion in transactions are processed on its platform each quarter. The problem is that trading volume is way down from its peak last year. Coinbase processed over $500 billion worth of trades in the fourth quarter of 2021.As trading volume has come down, so has revenue, since Coinbase makes most of its money from transaction fees on retail trades. Revenue plunged 61% year over year in the second quarter to $803 million, and net income swung to a $1.1 billion loss. Even adjusted EBITDA, which is a nonsense metric, turned negative.Coinbase is still valued at around $15 billion. The company is turning to subscription products as competition intensifies, and subscriptions and services now account for 18% of revenue. Unfortunately, that's mostly a reflection of plunging transaction revenue. Subscription and services revenue was down 30% in the second quarter from its peak in the fourth quarter of 2021.Is Coinbase a business that's still going to exist 20 years from now? I honestly have no idea. That's a good enough reason for me to avoid the stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998638987,"gmtCreate":1660975810151,"gmtModify":1676536434404,"author":{"id":"3587098041366260","authorId":"3587098041366260","name":"VNYH","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/afb594e8301149ac7ad52d0c8a5b9b05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998638987","repostId":"2260323630","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260323630","pubTimestamp":1660952700,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2260323630?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-20 07:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Top Stocks to Buy During a Sell-Off","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260323630","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Oracle, General Mills, and LVMH are all good defensive plays.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> has rallied about 10% over the past month as declining gas prices and signs of supply chain improvements have suggested that brighter days are ahead. However, the benchmark index remains down about 10% year to date -- and rising interest rates could still trigger even steeper declines.</p><p>So instead of going all-in on the market&#39;s wobbly rebound, investors should still keep an eye on defensive stocks that can withstand its next downturn. I believe three resilient stocks fit that description: <b>Oracle</b>, <b>General Mills</b>, and <b>LVMH</b>.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48194a71051ee875b3af642e7fd4455\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>1. Oracle</h2><p>Oracle, the world&#39;s top database management software company, had once been considered an also-ran of the tech sector. Its sales of on-premise software had been cooling off across the saturated market, and cloud-based challengers like <b>Amazon</b> and <b>Microsoft </b>were threatening to disrupt its aging business.</p><p>But instead of sitting still and becoming obsolete, Oracle transformed its on-premise software into cloud-based services. It also expanded that sticky ecosystem with enterprise resource planning (ERP) tools through several big acquisitions. Those efforts were costly, but they enabled Oracle to consistently grow its revenues again and avoid becoming the next <b>IBM</b>.</p><p>Oracle&#39;s revenue growth stalled out in fiscal 2019 and 2020 (which ended in May of the calendar year) as it implemented those turnaround strategies. But its revenue subsequently rose 4% in fiscal 2021 and 5% in fiscal 2022. It expects its cloud revenues to grow 30% organically in fiscal 2023, accelerating from its 22% growth in fiscal 2022, while analysts expect its total revenue (including its recent acquisition of Cerner) to rise 17%.</p><p>Oracle&#39;s earnings per share have also risen consistently, partly driven by buybacks, and analysts expect its earnings (including Cerner) to grow 67% this year. That&#39;s an impressive growth rate for a stock that trades at less than 20 times forward earnings. It&#39;s also reduced its share count by 45% over the past 10 years and pays a decent forward dividend yield of 1.6%.</p><h2>2. General Mills</h2><p>General Mills sells over 100 brands of packaged food products, including Cheerios, Yoplait, Häagen-Dazs, Betty Crocker, Green Giant, and Pillsbury. It also sells premium pet products through its Blue Buffalo subsidiary.</p><p>General Mills is a great stock to own during a downturn for three reasons. First, its business is resistant to inflation, recessions, and other macroeconomic headwinds because people (and their pets) need to eat. For fiscal 2023 (which started this May), General Mills expects its organic sales to increase 4% to 5% and for its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to grow 0% to 3% in constant currency terms. That stable outlook suggests it can comfortably pass on some of its inflationary costs to consumers with price hikes while protecting its bottom-line growth with tighter cost-cutting measures.</p><p>Second, it&#39;s firmly profitable and pays out nearly half its earnings to fund its forward dividend yield of 2.8%. The company and its predecessor have also paid out uninterrupted dividends for more than a century. Lastly, General Mills&#39; stock is still cheap at 19 times forward earnings. That low valuation arguably makes it more attractive than comparable packaged foods stalwarts like <b>Coca-Cola</b> and <b>PepsiCo</b>, which currently trade at 26 and 27 times forward earnings, respectively.</p><h2>3. LVMH</h2><p>Lastly, high-end luxury stocks are good defensive plays during market downturns because affluent customers are more resistant to macro headwinds. My favorite play in that sector is LVMH, the world&#39;s largest luxury company. The French conglomerate owns 75 houses across five markets -- wines and spirits, fashion and leather goods, perfumes and cosmetics, watches and jewelry, and selective retailing -- and its top brands include Louis Vuitton, Dior, Fendi, Loewe, Bvlgari, Tiffany &amp; Co., Hennessy, and Sephora.</p><p>LVMH experienced a slowdown during the pandemic as it temporarily closed many of its stores. But in 2021, its revenue surged 44% as its net profit soared 156%. Relative to 2019 (which skips the pandemic-related disruptions), its revenue and profit rose 20% and 68%, respectively.</p><p>LVMH faces some near-term challenges -- including supply chain disruptions, the Russo-Ukrainian war, and intermittent COVID lockdowns in China -- but inflation shouldn&#39;t pose much of a threat because it can easily pass on its higher costs to its well-heeled consumers.</p><p>That&#39;s why analysts expect LVMH&#39;s revenue and net profit to rise 18% and 17%, respectively, this year. Its stock is reasonably valued at 25 times next year&#39;s earnings -- especially considering that its rival <b>Hermès</b> trades at 50 times forward earnings -- and it pays a decent forward yield of 1.7%.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Top Stocks to Buy During a Sell-Off</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Top Stocks to Buy During a Sell-Off\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-20 07:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/3-top-stocks-to-buy-during-a-sell-off/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 has rallied about 10% over the past month as declining gas prices and signs of supply chain improvements have suggested that brighter days are ahead. However, the benchmark index remains ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/3-top-stocks-to-buy-during-a-sell-off/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GIS":"通用磨坊","LVMUY":"路易威登","ORCL":"甲骨文"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/3-top-stocks-to-buy-during-a-sell-off/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260323630","content_text":"The S&P 500 has rallied about 10% over the past month as declining gas prices and signs of supply chain improvements have suggested that brighter days are ahead. However, the benchmark index remains down about 10% year to date -- and rising interest rates could still trigger even steeper declines.So instead of going all-in on the market's wobbly rebound, investors should still keep an eye on defensive stocks that can withstand its next downturn. I believe three resilient stocks fit that description: Oracle, General Mills, and LVMH.Image source: Getty Images.1. OracleOracle, the world's top database management software company, had once been considered an also-ran of the tech sector. Its sales of on-premise software had been cooling off across the saturated market, and cloud-based challengers like Amazon and Microsoft were threatening to disrupt its aging business.But instead of sitting still and becoming obsolete, Oracle transformed its on-premise software into cloud-based services. It also expanded that sticky ecosystem with enterprise resource planning (ERP) tools through several big acquisitions. Those efforts were costly, but they enabled Oracle to consistently grow its revenues again and avoid becoming the next IBM.Oracle's revenue growth stalled out in fiscal 2019 and 2020 (which ended in May of the calendar year) as it implemented those turnaround strategies. But its revenue subsequently rose 4% in fiscal 2021 and 5% in fiscal 2022. It expects its cloud revenues to grow 30% organically in fiscal 2023, accelerating from its 22% growth in fiscal 2022, while analysts expect its total revenue (including its recent acquisition of Cerner) to rise 17%.Oracle's earnings per share have also risen consistently, partly driven by buybacks, and analysts expect its earnings (including Cerner) to grow 67% this year. That's an impressive growth rate for a stock that trades at less than 20 times forward earnings. It's also reduced its share count by 45% over the past 10 years and pays a decent forward dividend yield of 1.6%.2. General MillsGeneral Mills sells over 100 brands of packaged food products, including Cheerios, Yoplait, Häagen-Dazs, Betty Crocker, Green Giant, and Pillsbury. It also sells premium pet products through its Blue Buffalo subsidiary.General Mills is a great stock to own during a downturn for three reasons. First, its business is resistant to inflation, recessions, and other macroeconomic headwinds because people (and their pets) need to eat. For fiscal 2023 (which started this May), General Mills expects its organic sales to increase 4% to 5% and for its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to grow 0% to 3% in constant currency terms. That stable outlook suggests it can comfortably pass on some of its inflationary costs to consumers with price hikes while protecting its bottom-line growth with tighter cost-cutting measures.Second, it's firmly profitable and pays out nearly half its earnings to fund its forward dividend yield of 2.8%. The company and its predecessor have also paid out uninterrupted dividends for more than a century. Lastly, General Mills' stock is still cheap at 19 times forward earnings. That low valuation arguably makes it more attractive than comparable packaged foods stalwarts like Coca-Cola and PepsiCo, which currently trade at 26 and 27 times forward earnings, respectively.3. LVMHLastly, high-end luxury stocks are good defensive plays during market downturns because affluent customers are more resistant to macro headwinds. My favorite play in that sector is LVMH, the world's largest luxury company. The French conglomerate owns 75 houses across five markets -- wines and spirits, fashion and leather goods, perfumes and cosmetics, watches and jewelry, and selective retailing -- and its top brands include Louis Vuitton, Dior, Fendi, Loewe, Bvlgari, Tiffany & Co., Hennessy, and Sephora.LVMH experienced a slowdown during the pandemic as it temporarily closed many of its stores. But in 2021, its revenue surged 44% as its net profit soared 156%. Relative to 2019 (which skips the pandemic-related disruptions), its revenue and profit rose 20% and 68%, respectively.LVMH faces some near-term challenges -- including supply chain disruptions, the Russo-Ukrainian war, and intermittent COVID lockdowns in China -- but inflation shouldn't pose much of a threat because it can easily pass on its higher costs to its well-heeled consumers.That's why analysts expect LVMH's revenue and net profit to rise 18% and 17%, respectively, this year. Its stock is reasonably valued at 25 times next year's earnings -- especially considering that its rival Hermès trades at 50 times forward earnings -- and it pays a decent forward yield of 1.7%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}