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TO66
2022-11-26
thanks
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TO66
2022-07-11
go BABA go
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TO66
2021-07-31
uh oh
Wall Street declines with Amazon; S&P 500 posts gains for month
TO66
2022-11-03
wow
Apple Now Valued at More Than Amazon, Alphabet and Meta — Combined
TO66
2022-09-21
hope
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TO66
2022-06-24
Go
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TO66
2022-09-08
funny
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TO66
2022-09-01
oh no
"Prepare for an Epic Finale": Jeremy Grantham Warns "Tragedy" Looms as "Superbubble" May Burst
TO66
2022-08-22
hmmmm..
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TO66
2022-08-02
all gloom
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TO66
2022-07-25
good warning
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TO66
2022-06-25
Hope it will not be slump
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TO66
2022-09-07
good try
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TO66
2022-09-06
thanks
Where Will the Bear Market Bottom? History Offers a Very Clear Clue
TO66
2022-07-07
go go go
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TO66
2022-06-26
will consider investing in Silver
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TO66
2022-06-18
oh man [Sad]
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TO66
2022-06-17
oh man....
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Go to Tiger App to see more news
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08:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Now Valued at More Than Amazon, Alphabet and Meta — Combined","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124568203","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f49e61e893d9c472d02d149b2fa866b5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and that’s helped the company to a staggering feat: The smartphone giant is now worth more than Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc. combined.</p><p>Apple finished Wednesday’s session with a $2.307 trillion market capitalization, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Alphabet, Amazon and Meta were worth a combined $2.306 trillion.</p><p>The comparison was flagged on Twitter by financial YouTuber Joseph Carlson.</p><p>The contrast illustrates the sharp comedown in technology shares this year. Apple was worth $2.913 trillion to close out 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The grouping of Alphabet, Amazon and Meta was worth $4.410 trillion at that time.</p><p>Apple’s stock has outperformed those of its three tech peers over both the past month and the course of 2022.</p><p>Shares of Apple are up 4.9% in the past month, while shares of Alphabet are down 9.1%, shares of Amazon are off 18.5% and shares of Meta are down 33.3%. On a year-to-date basis, Apple’s stock has lost 18.3%, while Alphabet’s has declined 40.5%, Amazon’s has fallen 44.7% and Meta’s has plunged 73.1%.</p><p>Apple’s stock has also had a better start to the week than any of those other three Big Tech names, though all four are down.</p><p>The four companies each reported earnings last week, and only Apple’s numbers were met with a positive stock reaction. Since then, Meta fell below a $300 billion valuation for the first time since February 2016. It was valued at $240 billion as of Wednesday’s close.</p><p>Meanwhile, Amazon’s stock has declined in each of the past six trading sessions, and the company on Tuesday fell out of trillion-dollar territory for the first time since April 2020.</p><p>Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik recently highlighted the challenges facing the big internet companies in what he called an “autopsy” of their latest results. He noted that Alphabet, Amazon and Meta now have to show “perfection” as they all have diversified businesses and investors are more prone to nitpicking signs of weakness in any one of those area amid this choppy market climate.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Now Valued at More Than Amazon, Alphabet and Meta — Combined</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Now Valued at More Than Amazon, Alphabet and Meta — Combined\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-03 08:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-now-valued-at-more-than-amazon-alphabet-and-meta-combined-11667430617?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and that’s helped the company to a staggering feat: The smartphone giant is now worth more than Alphabet...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-now-valued-at-more-than-amazon-alphabet-and-meta-combined-11667430617?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","GOOGL":"谷歌A","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-now-valued-at-more-than-amazon-alphabet-and-meta-combined-11667430617?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124568203","content_text":"Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and that’s helped the company to a staggering feat: The smartphone giant is now worth more than Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc. combined.Apple finished Wednesday’s session with a $2.307 trillion market capitalization, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Alphabet, Amazon and Meta were worth a combined $2.306 trillion.The comparison was flagged on Twitter by financial YouTuber Joseph Carlson.The contrast illustrates the sharp comedown in technology shares this year. Apple was worth $2.913 trillion to close out 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The grouping of Alphabet, Amazon and Meta was worth $4.410 trillion at that time.Apple’s stock has outperformed those of its three tech peers over both the past month and the course of 2022.Shares of Apple are up 4.9% in the past month, while shares of Alphabet are down 9.1%, shares of Amazon are off 18.5% and shares of Meta are down 33.3%. On a year-to-date basis, Apple’s stock has lost 18.3%, while Alphabet’s has declined 40.5%, Amazon’s has fallen 44.7% and Meta’s has plunged 73.1%.Apple’s stock has also had a better start to the week than any of those other three Big Tech names, though all four are down.The four companies each reported earnings last week, and only Apple’s numbers were met with a positive stock reaction. Since then, Meta fell below a $300 billion valuation for the first time since February 2016. It was valued at $240 billion as of Wednesday’s close.Meanwhile, Amazon’s stock has declined in each of the past six trading sessions, and the company on Tuesday fell out of trillion-dollar territory for the first time since April 2020.Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik recently highlighted the challenges facing the big internet companies in what he called an “autopsy” of their latest results. He noted that Alphabet, Amazon and Meta now have to show “perfection” as they all have diversified businesses and investors are more prone to nitpicking signs of weakness in any one of those area amid this choppy market climate.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9966130642,"gmtCreate":1669433529686,"gmtModify":1676538196974,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thanks","listText":"thanks","text":"thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966130642","repostId":"2286650311","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071871041,"gmtCreate":1657513156683,"gmtModify":1676536018305,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"go BABA go","listText":"go BABA go","text":"go BABA go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071871041","repostId":"2250787776","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802056322,"gmtCreate":1627701285666,"gmtModify":1703494951234,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"uh oh","listText":"uh oh","text":"uh oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/802056322","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2155001152","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627675228,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2155001152?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-31 04:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street declines with Amazon; S&P 500 posts gains for month","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155001152","media":"Reuters","summary":"U.S. consumer spending rises in June, inflation increases . NEW YORK, July 30 - U.S. stocks fell on Friday with Amazon.com shares declining after the company forecast lower sales growth, but the S&P 500 still posted a sixth straight month of gains.Amazon.com Inc shares sank after it reported late on Thursday revenue for the second quarter that was shy of analysts' average estimate and said sales growth would ease in the next few quarters as customers ventured more outside the home.Shares of oth","content":"<ul>\n <li>Pinterest sinks on stalled U.S. user growth</li>\n <li>U.S. consumer spending rises in June, inflation increases (Updates to close)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 30 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Friday with Amazon.com shares declining after the company forecast lower sales growth, but the S&P 500 still posted a sixth straight month of gains.</p>\n<p>Amazon.com Inc shares sank after it reported late on Thursday revenue for the second quarter that was shy of analysts' average estimate and said sales growth would ease in the next few quarters as customers ventured more outside the home.</p>\n<p>Shares of other internet and tech giants that did well during the lockdowns of last year, including Google parent Alphabet Inc and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc, were mostly lower.</p>\n<p>\"Overall earnings have been good. But Amazon ... and some of last year's winners are taking some of the air out of the market today,\" said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive officer of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. \"This market has been driven by big tech and when tech does well, the market seems to go right along with it, and when it doesn't,\" it falls.</p>\n<p>Data on Friday showed U.S. consumer spending rose more than expected in June, although annual inflation accelerated further above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.</p>\n<p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 146.36 points, or 0.42%, to 34,938.17, the S&P 500 lost 23.58 points, or 0.53%, to 4,395.57 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 101.51 points, or 0.69%, to 14,676.76.</p>\n<p>Strong earnings and the continued rebound in the U.S. economy have helped to support stocks this month, but the rapid spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus and rising inflation have been concerns.</p>\n<p>\"There are still some distant jitters, whispers about the Delta variant, about cases rising, and I think some underlying worries about a slowdown of the reopenings and possible reversal,\" Dollarhide said.</p>\n<p>Also on the earnings front, Pampers maker Procter & Gamble Co rose as it forecast higher core earnings for this year, and U.S.-listed shares of Canada's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QSR\">Restaurant Brands International Inc</a> jumped after the Burger King owner beat estimates for quarterly profit.</p>\n<p>Pinterest Inc, however, plunged after saying U.S. user growth was decelerating as people who used the platform for crafts and DIY projects during the height of the pandemic were stepping out more.</p>\n<p>Caterpillar Inc shares also fell, even though the company posted a rise in second-quarter adjusted profit on the back of a recovery in global economic activity.</p>\n<p>Results on the quarter overall have been much stronger than expected, with about 89% of the reports beating analysts' estimates on earnings, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. Earnings are now expected to have climbed 89.8% in the second quarter versus forecasts of 65.4% at the start of July. (Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch in New York Additional reporting by Sagarika Jaisinghani in Bengaluru Editing by Arun Koyyur and Matthew Lewis)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street declines with Amazon; S&P 500 posts gains for month</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street declines with Amazon; S&P 500 posts gains for month\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-31 04:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>Pinterest sinks on stalled U.S. user growth</li>\n <li>U.S. consumer spending rises in June, inflation increases (Updates to close)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 30 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Friday with Amazon.com shares declining after the company forecast lower sales growth, but the S&P 500 still posted a sixth straight month of gains.</p>\n<p>Amazon.com Inc shares sank after it reported late on Thursday revenue for the second quarter that was shy of analysts' average estimate and said sales growth would ease in the next few quarters as customers ventured more outside the home.</p>\n<p>Shares of other internet and tech giants that did well during the lockdowns of last year, including Google parent Alphabet Inc and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc, were mostly lower.</p>\n<p>\"Overall earnings have been good. But Amazon ... and some of last year's winners are taking some of the air out of the market today,\" said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive officer of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. \"This market has been driven by big tech and when tech does well, the market seems to go right along with it, and when it doesn't,\" it falls.</p>\n<p>Data on Friday showed U.S. consumer spending rose more than expected in June, although annual inflation accelerated further above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.</p>\n<p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 146.36 points, or 0.42%, to 34,938.17, the S&P 500 lost 23.58 points, or 0.53%, to 4,395.57 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 101.51 points, or 0.69%, to 14,676.76.</p>\n<p>Strong earnings and the continued rebound in the U.S. economy have helped to support stocks this month, but the rapid spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus and rising inflation have been concerns.</p>\n<p>\"There are still some distant jitters, whispers about the Delta variant, about cases rising, and I think some underlying worries about a slowdown of the reopenings and possible reversal,\" Dollarhide said.</p>\n<p>Also on the earnings front, Pampers maker Procter & Gamble Co rose as it forecast higher core earnings for this year, and U.S.-listed shares of Canada's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QSR\">Restaurant Brands International Inc</a> jumped after the Burger King owner beat estimates for quarterly profit.</p>\n<p>Pinterest Inc, however, plunged after saying U.S. user growth was decelerating as people who used the platform for crafts and DIY projects during the height of the pandemic were stepping out more.</p>\n<p>Caterpillar Inc shares also fell, even though the company posted a rise in second-quarter adjusted profit on the back of a recovery in global economic activity.</p>\n<p>Results on the quarter overall have been much stronger than expected, with about 89% of the reports beating analysts' estimates on earnings, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. Earnings are now expected to have climbed 89.8% in the second quarter versus forecasts of 65.4% at the start of July. (Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch in New York Additional reporting by Sagarika Jaisinghani in Bengaluru Editing by Arun Koyyur and Matthew Lewis)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","CAT":"卡特彼勒","SPY":"标普500ETF","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","AMZN":"亚马逊","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155001152","content_text":"Pinterest sinks on stalled U.S. user growth\nU.S. consumer spending rises in June, inflation increases (Updates to close)\n\nNEW YORK, July 30 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Friday with Amazon.com shares declining after the company forecast lower sales growth, but the S&P 500 still posted a sixth straight month of gains.\nAmazon.com Inc shares sank after it reported late on Thursday revenue for the second quarter that was shy of analysts' average estimate and said sales growth would ease in the next few quarters as customers ventured more outside the home.\nShares of other internet and tech giants that did well during the lockdowns of last year, including Google parent Alphabet Inc and Facebook Inc, were mostly lower.\n\"Overall earnings have been good. But Amazon ... and some of last year's winners are taking some of the air out of the market today,\" said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive officer of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. \"This market has been driven by big tech and when tech does well, the market seems to go right along with it, and when it doesn't,\" it falls.\nData on Friday showed U.S. consumer spending rose more than expected in June, although annual inflation accelerated further above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.\nUnofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 146.36 points, or 0.42%, to 34,938.17, the S&P 500 lost 23.58 points, or 0.53%, to 4,395.57 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 101.51 points, or 0.69%, to 14,676.76.\nStrong earnings and the continued rebound in the U.S. economy have helped to support stocks this month, but the rapid spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus and rising inflation have been concerns.\n\"There are still some distant jitters, whispers about the Delta variant, about cases rising, and I think some underlying worries about a slowdown of the reopenings and possible reversal,\" Dollarhide said.\nAlso on the earnings front, Pampers maker Procter & Gamble Co rose as it forecast higher core earnings for this year, and U.S.-listed shares of Canada's Restaurant Brands International Inc jumped after the Burger King owner beat estimates for quarterly profit.\nPinterest Inc, however, plunged after saying U.S. user growth was decelerating as people who used the platform for crafts and DIY projects during the height of the pandemic were stepping out more.\nCaterpillar Inc shares also fell, even though the company posted a rise in second-quarter adjusted profit on the back of a recovery in global economic activity.\nResults on the quarter overall have been much stronger than expected, with about 89% of the reports beating analysts' estimates on earnings, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. Earnings are now expected to have climbed 89.8% in the second quarter versus forecasts of 65.4% at the start of July. (Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch in New York Additional reporting by Sagarika Jaisinghani in Bengaluru Editing by Arun Koyyur and Matthew Lewis)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":120,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985402787,"gmtCreate":1667435705449,"gmtModify":1676537917074,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985402787","repostId":"1124568203","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124568203","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667433606,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124568203?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-03 08:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Now Valued at More Than Amazon, Alphabet and Meta — Combined","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124568203","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f49e61e893d9c472d02d149b2fa866b5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and that’s helped the company to a staggering feat: The smartphone giant is now worth more than Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc. combined.</p><p>Apple finished Wednesday’s session with a $2.307 trillion market capitalization, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Alphabet, Amazon and Meta were worth a combined $2.306 trillion.</p><p>The comparison was flagged on Twitter by financial YouTuber Joseph Carlson.</p><p>The contrast illustrates the sharp comedown in technology shares this year. Apple was worth $2.913 trillion to close out 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The grouping of Alphabet, Amazon and Meta was worth $4.410 trillion at that time.</p><p>Apple’s stock has outperformed those of its three tech peers over both the past month and the course of 2022.</p><p>Shares of Apple are up 4.9% in the past month, while shares of Alphabet are down 9.1%, shares of Amazon are off 18.5% and shares of Meta are down 33.3%. On a year-to-date basis, Apple’s stock has lost 18.3%, while Alphabet’s has declined 40.5%, Amazon’s has fallen 44.7% and Meta’s has plunged 73.1%.</p><p>Apple’s stock has also had a better start to the week than any of those other three Big Tech names, though all four are down.</p><p>The four companies each reported earnings last week, and only Apple’s numbers were met with a positive stock reaction. Since then, Meta fell below a $300 billion valuation for the first time since February 2016. It was valued at $240 billion as of Wednesday’s close.</p><p>Meanwhile, Amazon’s stock has declined in each of the past six trading sessions, and the company on Tuesday fell out of trillion-dollar territory for the first time since April 2020.</p><p>Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik recently highlighted the challenges facing the big internet companies in what he called an “autopsy” of their latest results. He noted that Alphabet, Amazon and Meta now have to show “perfection” as they all have diversified businesses and investors are more prone to nitpicking signs of weakness in any one of those area amid this choppy market climate.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Now Valued at More Than Amazon, Alphabet and Meta — Combined</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Now Valued at More Than Amazon, Alphabet and Meta — Combined\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-03 08:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-now-valued-at-more-than-amazon-alphabet-and-meta-combined-11667430617?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and that’s helped the company to a staggering feat: The smartphone giant is now worth more than Alphabet...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-now-valued-at-more-than-amazon-alphabet-and-meta-combined-11667430617?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","GOOGL":"谷歌A","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-now-valued-at-more-than-amazon-alphabet-and-meta-combined-11667430617?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124568203","content_text":"Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and that’s helped the company to a staggering feat: The smartphone giant is now worth more than Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc. combined.Apple finished Wednesday’s session with a $2.307 trillion market capitalization, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Alphabet, Amazon and Meta were worth a combined $2.306 trillion.The comparison was flagged on Twitter by financial YouTuber Joseph Carlson.The contrast illustrates the sharp comedown in technology shares this year. Apple was worth $2.913 trillion to close out 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The grouping of Alphabet, Amazon and Meta was worth $4.410 trillion at that time.Apple’s stock has outperformed those of its three tech peers over both the past month and the course of 2022.Shares of Apple are up 4.9% in the past month, while shares of Alphabet are down 9.1%, shares of Amazon are off 18.5% and shares of Meta are down 33.3%. On a year-to-date basis, Apple’s stock has lost 18.3%, while Alphabet’s has declined 40.5%, Amazon’s has fallen 44.7% and Meta’s has plunged 73.1%.Apple’s stock has also had a better start to the week than any of those other three Big Tech names, though all four are down.The four companies each reported earnings last week, and only Apple’s numbers were met with a positive stock reaction. Since then, Meta fell below a $300 billion valuation for the first time since February 2016. It was valued at $240 billion as of Wednesday’s close.Meanwhile, Amazon’s stock has declined in each of the past six trading sessions, and the company on Tuesday fell out of trillion-dollar territory for the first time since April 2020.Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik recently highlighted the challenges facing the big internet companies in what he called an “autopsy” of their latest results. He noted that Alphabet, Amazon and Meta now have to show “perfection” as they all have diversified businesses and investors are more prone to nitpicking signs of weakness in any one of those area amid this choppy market climate.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919916229,"gmtCreate":1663719426761,"gmtModify":1676537321580,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hope","listText":"hope","text":"hope","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919916229","repostId":"2269909745","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041635758,"gmtCreate":1656040461374,"gmtModify":1676535757027,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041635758","repostId":"1140503177","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938841747,"gmtCreate":1662596868189,"gmtModify":1676537095889,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"funny","listText":"funny","text":"funny","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938841747","repostId":"1119363305","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930439547,"gmtCreate":1661991948491,"gmtModify":1676536618891,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"oh no","listText":"oh no","text":"oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930439547","repostId":"2264232068","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264232068","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1661990277,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264232068?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264232068","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and fin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A "superbubble" appears dangerously near its "final act" after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential "tragedy," according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that "superbubbles are events unlike any others" and share some common features.</p><p>"One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst," said Grantham. "This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market's initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer's rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern."</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month's gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>"The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time," Grantham said. "But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January."</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a "superbubble" spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said "the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness."</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a "setback" in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize "perfection" won't last, he said. "Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally," before finally "fundamentals deteriorate" and the market drops to a low.</p><p>"Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies," he said. "Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap."</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was "eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles."</p><p>For example, "from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak," he said.</p><p>He also highlighted the "speed and scale" of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>"In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&P 500's total loss from the high," he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that "the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months."</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.9%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 0.6%.</p><p>"Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy," said Grantham. "To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards."</p><p>"It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs," he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have "paused between the third and final act," according to Grantham.</p><p>"Prepare for an epic finale," he said. "If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one."</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-01 07:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A "superbubble" appears dangerously near its "final act" after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential "tragedy," according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that "superbubbles are events unlike any others" and share some common features.</p><p>"One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst," said Grantham. "This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market's initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer's rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern."</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month's gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>"The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time," Grantham said. "But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January."</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a "superbubble" spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said "the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness."</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a "setback" in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize "perfection" won't last, he said. "Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally," before finally "fundamentals deteriorate" and the market drops to a low.</p><p>"Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies," he said. "Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap."</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was "eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles."</p><p>For example, "from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak," he said.</p><p>He also highlighted the "speed and scale" of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>"In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&P 500's total loss from the high," he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that "the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months."</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.9%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 0.6%.</p><p>"Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy," said Grantham. "To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards."</p><p>"It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs," he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have "paused between the third and final act," according to Grantham.</p><p>"Prepare for an epic finale," he said. "If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one."</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264232068","content_text":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.A \"superbubble\" appears dangerously near its \"final act\" after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential \"tragedy,\" according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that \"superbubbles are events unlike any others\" and share some common features.\"One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,\" said Grantham. \"This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market's initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer's rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.\"The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month's gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.\"The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,\" Grantham said. \"But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.\"Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a \"superbubble\" spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said \"the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.\"The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.First the bubble forms and then a \"setback\" in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize \"perfection\" won't last, he said. \"Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,\" before finally \"fundamentals deteriorate\" and the market drops to a low.\"Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,\" he said. \"Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.\"At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was \"eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.\"For example, \"from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,\" he said.He also highlighted the \"speed and scale\" of other bear-market rallies.\"In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&P 500's total loss from the high,\" he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that \"the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.\"U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.9%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 0.6%.\"Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,\" said Grantham. \"To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.\"\"It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,\" he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have \"paused between the third and final act,\" according to Grantham.\"Prepare for an epic finale,\" he said. \"If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996376098,"gmtCreate":1661128379117,"gmtModify":1676536457097,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hmmmm..","listText":"hmmmm..","text":"hmmmm..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996376098","repostId":"1179601714","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4105682868479180","authorId":"4105682868479180","name":"mac0racle","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/4dc37b66a531fcae6a5c31754d48f122","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4105682868479180","authorIdStr":"4105682868479180"},"content":"What if Apple buys Netflix?","text":"What if Apple buys Netflix?","html":"What if Apple buys Netflix?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908571978,"gmtCreate":1659408021595,"gmtModify":1705980054513,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"all gloom","listText":"all gloom","text":"all gloom","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908571978","repostId":"2256264695","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900670009,"gmtCreate":1658710119001,"gmtModify":1676536195060,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good warning","listText":"good warning","text":"good 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please"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048942850,"gmtCreate":1656130604070,"gmtModify":1676535774327,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope it will not be slump","listText":"Hope it will not be slump","text":"Hope it will not be slump","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048942850","repostId":"2246375209","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931734777,"gmtCreate":1662510803199,"gmtModify":1676537075889,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good try","listText":"good try","text":"good try","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931734777","repostId":"2265019006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931162511,"gmtCreate":1662423798534,"gmtModify":1676537055665,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thanks","listText":"thanks","text":"thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931162511","repostId":"2264710715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264710715","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662421459,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264710715?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-06 07:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will the Bear Market Bottom? History Offers a Very Clear Clue","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264710715","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Two indicators with a successful history of calling bottoms provide a range of where the S&P 500 could eventually bounce.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>You probably don't need me to tell you this, but 2022 has been one of the most challenging years on record for everyone from Wall Street professionals to everyday investors. The first half of the year saw the benchmark <b>S&P 500</b>, which is the broadest barometer of stock-market health, produce its worst return in 52 years. The growth-dependent <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> fared even worse, with the index losing as much as a third of its value on a peak-to-trough basis.</p><p>With two of Wall Street's big three indexes falling into bear market territory -- the timeless <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b> maxed out at a peak decline of 19% -- and testing the resolve of investors, the critical question has become: "Where will the bear market bottom?"</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F698954%2Fstock-market-crash-plunge-dollar-newspaper-invest-dow-sp-500-getty.jpg&w=700&op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p>While the official answer is that we don't know with any certainty, history offers a number of very clear clues as to where the S&P 500 could trough. In particular, two indicators provide a range of where we can expect the bear market to bottom.</p><h2>Valuation plays a key role during bear markets</h2><p>Whereas Wall Street is willing to tolerate higher valuations when the U.S. and global economy are firing on all cylinders, analysts and investors become much more critical of stock valuations when corrections and bear markets arise. That's why the S&P 500's forward-year price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio can come in handy.</p><p>The S&P 500's forward P/E divides the aggregate point value of the S&P 500 Index into the consensus earnings-per-share forecast for Wall Street in the upcoming year (in this instance, 2023).</p><p>With two exceptions -- the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009, where valuations were truly depressed given the uncertain state of the U.S. financial system, and the double-digit percentage pullback for the broader market in 2011 -- the S&P 500's forward P/E has accurately predicted the bottom of every other notable decline since the mid-1990s. Specifically, we've witnessed the benchmark index's forward-year P/E bottom between 13 and 14. This is where the S&P 500 found its bottom following the dot-com bubble in 2002, during the nearly 20% pullback in the fourth quarter of 2018, and following the coronavirus crash.</p><p>As of Aug. 31, the S&P 500's forward-year P/E stood at 16.8. Based on the noted range of 13 to 14, this would imply further downside to the S&P 500 of 16.7% to 22.6%. In other words, as long as the earnings component of the benchmark index doesn't drastically change, this indicator would imply a bear-market bottom between 3,061 and 3,296.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F698954%2Fmoney-under-chain-and-lock-debt-getty.jpg&w=700&op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"469\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Margin debt tells a grimmer story</h2><p>While the S&P 500's forward-year P/E ratio provides an upper bound of where history would suggest the bear market is headed, outstanding margin debt tells a more worrisome story.</p><p>"Margin debt" describes the amount of money being borrowed, with interest, by investors to purchase or short-sell securities. Although it's perfectly normal for margin debt to increase over time as the value of U.S. equities grows, it's anything but normal to see margin debt rise significantly, on a percentage basis, over a short period.</p><p>Since 1995, there have only been three instances where margin debt increased by 60% or more on a trailing-12-month basis. It occurred immediately prior to the dot-com bubble bursting in 2000, just months prior to the financial crisis taking shape in 2007, and once more in 2021. Following the previous two instances where margin debt skyrocketed in excess of 60% in the trailing-12-month period, the S&P 500 lost 49% and 57% of its respective value before finding a bottom.</p><p>If we simplify this to a general loss of 50% of the S&P 500's value, the bottom range for the index, based on what margin debt history tells us, is 2,409 (half of the 4,818 intra-day high).</p><p>In other words, two leading indicators with a history of successfully calling a number of bear-market bottoms suggest the S&P 500 could fall to 2,409 in a worst-case scenario, or bounce up to 3,296 if corporate earnings hold up better than expected.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f32133e82b0cc864931cf2557b7c93cd\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>^SPX data by YCharts.</span></p><h2>The one figure more powerful than any bear-market-bottom indicator</h2><p>Obviously, these indicators could be wrong, and the June 2022 bear-market low of 3,636 could hold firm for the S&P 500. If there were indicators that were right 100% of the time, every Wall Street professional and retail investor would be using them by now.</p><p>Regardless of whether the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones industrial Average have already found their respective bottoms or still have additional downside, one figure does offer a practical guarantee -- and all it requires is your patience.</p><p>Every year, stock-market analytics provider Crestmont Research publishes data highlighting the 20-year rolling total returns (which include dividends paid) for the S&P 500 since 1919. In other words, Crestmont is looking at the average annual total return investors would have made by buying and holding an S&P 500 tracking index for 20 years over each of the past 103 end years (1919-2021).</p><p>The result? Investors made money 103 out of 103 times if they purchased an S&P 500 tracking index and held it for 20 years. What's more, approximately 40% of these 103 end years produced an average annual total return of at least 10.9%. Investors weren't just scraping by holding an S&P 500 index. They were doubling their money about every seven years in roughly 40% of all rolling 20-year periods.</p><p>That means that investors shouldn't be afraid to put money to work on Wall Street either now or in the future. If you're a long-term investor, time is a far more powerful ally than any bear-market bottom indicator.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will the Bear Market Bottom? History Offers a Very Clear Clue</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will the Bear Market Bottom? History Offers a Very Clear Clue\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-06 07:44 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/where-will-bear-market-bottom-history-offers-clue/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You probably don't need me to tell you this, but 2022 has been one of the most challenging years on record for everyone from Wall Street professionals to everyday investors. The first half of the year...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/where-will-bear-market-bottom-history-offers-clue/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/04/where-will-bear-market-bottom-history-offers-clue/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264710715","content_text":"You probably don't need me to tell you this, but 2022 has been one of the most challenging years on record for everyone from Wall Street professionals to everyday investors. The first half of the year saw the benchmark S&P 500, which is the broadest barometer of stock-market health, produce its worst return in 52 years. The growth-dependent Nasdaq Composite fared even worse, with the index losing as much as a third of its value on a peak-to-trough basis.With two of Wall Street's big three indexes falling into bear market territory -- the timeless Dow Jones Industrial Average maxed out at a peak decline of 19% -- and testing the resolve of investors, the critical question has become: \"Where will the bear market bottom?\"Image source: Getty Images.While the official answer is that we don't know with any certainty, history offers a number of very clear clues as to where the S&P 500 could trough. In particular, two indicators provide a range of where we can expect the bear market to bottom.Valuation plays a key role during bear marketsWhereas Wall Street is willing to tolerate higher valuations when the U.S. and global economy are firing on all cylinders, analysts and investors become much more critical of stock valuations when corrections and bear markets arise. That's why the S&P 500's forward-year price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio can come in handy.The S&P 500's forward P/E divides the aggregate point value of the S&P 500 Index into the consensus earnings-per-share forecast for Wall Street in the upcoming year (in this instance, 2023).With two exceptions -- the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009, where valuations were truly depressed given the uncertain state of the U.S. financial system, and the double-digit percentage pullback for the broader market in 2011 -- the S&P 500's forward P/E has accurately predicted the bottom of every other notable decline since the mid-1990s. Specifically, we've witnessed the benchmark index's forward-year P/E bottom between 13 and 14. This is where the S&P 500 found its bottom following the dot-com bubble in 2002, during the nearly 20% pullback in the fourth quarter of 2018, and following the coronavirus crash.As of Aug. 31, the S&P 500's forward-year P/E stood at 16.8. Based on the noted range of 13 to 14, this would imply further downside to the S&P 500 of 16.7% to 22.6%. In other words, as long as the earnings component of the benchmark index doesn't drastically change, this indicator would imply a bear-market bottom between 3,061 and 3,296.Image source: Getty Images.Margin debt tells a grimmer storyWhile the S&P 500's forward-year P/E ratio provides an upper bound of where history would suggest the bear market is headed, outstanding margin debt tells a more worrisome story.\"Margin debt\" describes the amount of money being borrowed, with interest, by investors to purchase or short-sell securities. Although it's perfectly normal for margin debt to increase over time as the value of U.S. equities grows, it's anything but normal to see margin debt rise significantly, on a percentage basis, over a short period.Since 1995, there have only been three instances where margin debt increased by 60% or more on a trailing-12-month basis. It occurred immediately prior to the dot-com bubble bursting in 2000, just months prior to the financial crisis taking shape in 2007, and once more in 2021. Following the previous two instances where margin debt skyrocketed in excess of 60% in the trailing-12-month period, the S&P 500 lost 49% and 57% of its respective value before finding a bottom.If we simplify this to a general loss of 50% of the S&P 500's value, the bottom range for the index, based on what margin debt history tells us, is 2,409 (half of the 4,818 intra-day high).In other words, two leading indicators with a history of successfully calling a number of bear-market bottoms suggest the S&P 500 could fall to 2,409 in a worst-case scenario, or bounce up to 3,296 if corporate earnings hold up better than expected.^SPX data by YCharts.The one figure more powerful than any bear-market-bottom indicatorObviously, these indicators could be wrong, and the June 2022 bear-market low of 3,636 could hold firm for the S&P 500. If there were indicators that were right 100% of the time, every Wall Street professional and retail investor would be using them by now.Regardless of whether the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones industrial Average have already found their respective bottoms or still have additional downside, one figure does offer a practical guarantee -- and all it requires is your patience.Every year, stock-market analytics provider Crestmont Research publishes data highlighting the 20-year rolling total returns (which include dividends paid) for the S&P 500 since 1919. In other words, Crestmont is looking at the average annual total return investors would have made by buying and holding an S&P 500 tracking index for 20 years over each of the past 103 end years (1919-2021).The result? Investors made money 103 out of 103 times if they purchased an S&P 500 tracking index and held it for 20 years. What's more, approximately 40% of these 103 end years produced an average annual total return of at least 10.9%. Investors weren't just scraping by holding an S&P 500 index. They were doubling their money about every seven years in roughly 40% of all rolling 20-year periods.That means that investors shouldn't be afraid to put money to work on Wall Street either now or in the future. If you're a long-term investor, time is a far more powerful ally than any bear-market bottom indicator.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079355781,"gmtCreate":1657153678943,"gmtModify":1676535959487,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"go go go","listText":"go go go","text":"go go go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079355781","repostId":"1139451367","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048535995,"gmtCreate":1656220849517,"gmtModify":1676535788150,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"will consider investing in Silver","listText":"will consider investing in Silver","text":"will consider investing in Silver","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048535995","repostId":"2246847517","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9057277034,"gmtCreate":1655521974528,"gmtModify":1676535656804,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"oh man [Sad] ","listText":"oh man [Sad] ","text":"oh man [Sad]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9057277034","repostId":"2244110681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":63,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9057036327,"gmtCreate":1655433985169,"gmtModify":1676535639166,"author":{"id":"4087197474175730","authorId":"4087197474175730","name":"TO66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa25134a200a2b8236288a0bf2afb8b4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087197474175730","authorIdStr":"4087197474175730"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"oh man....","listText":"oh man....","text":"oh man....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9057036327","repostId":"2244153409","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}