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Spermie
2022-11-14
Nice report
SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?
Spermie
2022-12-15
Sooner or later he will be kicked out of Tesla
Elon Musk Sells Tesla Shares Worth $3.58 Billion
Spermie
2022-12-21
Wow $50? Then next drop will make Tesla ajunk stock?
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Spermie
2022-12-01
Hopefully there is a big spike in price
Was Wednesday's Stock Market Surge Premature?
Spermie
2022-10-21
I definitely hope it will
Spermie
2022-12-23
Who will believe the boy crying wolf anymore?
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Spermie
2023-07-18
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Spermie
2023-05-23
Omg seeking alpha cannot be trusted.
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Spermie
2023-04-18
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Shd I buy or short Tesla before the earning announcement?
Spermie
2023-01-12
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
@LMSunshine:12/1 CPI Preview🕵🏻♀️🕵🏻♂️ Will Market Close 📈/📉❓
Spermie
2022-10-27
Good for stock market?
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Spermie
2022-10-18
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Spermie
2022-10-18
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Spermie
2022-10-18
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Spermie
2022-01-31
Happy Chinese New Year
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/199237572997264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970414692,"gmtCreate":1684815482417,"gmtModify":1684823798293,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Omg seeking alpha cannot be trusted. ","listText":"Omg seeking alpha cannot be trusted. ","text":"Omg seeking alpha cannot be trusted.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970414692","repostId":"2337622107","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2337622107","pubTimestamp":1684798085,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2337622107?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-23 07:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Sell Signals Confirmed (Technical Analysis, Downgrade)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2337622107","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"As the electric vehicle (\"EV\") battle heats up and the pawns take on the king, in this case the auto","content":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e6eef20058b6f3e1b90fc3390b88ea4\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p>As the electric vehicle ("EV") battle heats up and the pawns take on the king, in this case the auto industry taking on Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), we can expect TSLA's growth and profitability to suffer. That means that TSLA's P/E and PEG likely will come down. The way that is accomplished is by a falling price for TSLA stock. That is exactly what is happening, as you can see on the chart below.</p><p>Tesla is in a bear market looking for a bottom, not unlike the overall market, as represented by SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). The overvaluation of the mega-cap stocks that move the SPY higher continues. When the recession comes, these overvalued stocks should drop to the levels of last October, if not lower, especially TSLA with a Beta of 2. You can see the SPY breakout on the chart below, and we think this is the last hurrah for the October bounce. When the SPY turns down, it should take TSLA with it.</p><p>Everyone knows the growth cycle. The new company is growing like crazy and then the competition comes alive. The growth begins to slow, especially as the company becomes larger and larger. Finally it morphs from growth to value, a blue chip paying dividends. TSLA has moved from being aggressive growth to slower growth, but with a long runway still ahead of it. The only problem with that picture is that it is overvalued and price has to come down. Then there was the dumping of stock on the market so Elon could buy Twitter. Increased supply brings price down. Plus, institutional ownership of TSLA stock is a very low 44%.</p><p>All of this is well known by the market and can be seen in price trends. The short, intermediate, and long-term price trends are down and price is continuing a downward movement. You can see this on the chart below. The 200-day moving average, long-term trend is down. So is the intermediate 50-day trend and the short term 20-day trend moving average. TSLA is underperforming the market, and portfolio managers are dumping it because it is hurting their performance. You cannot beat the Index by holding underperforming stocks. However, bottom fishers do buy underperforming stocks like TSLA if the price is low enough.</p><p>Now, if TSLA could beat all the competition and maintain its aggressive growth in the future, that would change the downtrends. If its earnings revisions improved dramatically, that would change the downtrends. However, the market right now does not see that happening for TSLA and that is why price continues to drop. Great company, great profits, ahead of the competition, but how long will that last in such a competitive industry? TSLA is going to lose market share and the market is trying to compute how fast that is going to happen and how to value TSLA stock accordingly. Right now it thinks the price is too high. The charts show price dropping for that reason.</p><p>In our previous article, we showed the downtrends and the sell signal after earnings. When price gapped down after earnings, the bargain hunters came in and took the price back up, filling the gap down. This is classical technical movement of price. TSLA is in a downtrend, but it is not going to dive to the bottom. It is moving down in a very orderly manner to the next support level and then bouncing as the bargain hunters come in again. Then it goes down lower than before, forming the classical lower-high and lower-low in price until it finally hits bottom.</p><p>You can see the last bottom was $102 and you can see price moving in a slow, and orderly manner, back down to retest that price. As noted above, any improvement in growth, earnings revisions and profit margins would change the outcome. We don't think that happens. We see the growing competition taking market share from TSLA. The competition has shown that they are willing to lose money to catch up with TSLA.</p><p>Technically, we look for bounces in prices to change our Sell Signals. In the case of TSLA, we can see that the current bounce has not changed our Sell Signal, which uses both technicals and fundamentals. When this happens on a bounce, that becomes a confirmation of the Sell Signal and we expect the stock to move lower. That is what you can see on this weekly chart below:</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e4ff653f9f3ba4cd18dd5631fbee0fd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"884\"/></p><p>TSLA bounce fails to change sell signals. (stockcharts.com)</p><p></p><p>Meanwhile the market has recently helped the TSLA stock price, along with the Musk interview. As you can see on the SPY chart below, there is a positive breakout above $420. This was caused by positive, no-default talk, but on Friday negotiations broke down and the SPY dropped below $420 looking for support at $415. On Sunday, Biden was on TV about negotiations and in touch with McCarthy.</p><p>Here is the daily SPY chart, and it still is holding on to our vertical, blue line buy signal. That could change with further bad news on the debt ceiling negotiations.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52f9df72b2ae7c46d56ee78d1efbb69\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"784\"/></p><p>SPY drops on debt ceiling news (stockcharts.com)</p><p></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Sell Signals Confirmed (Technical Analysis, Downgrade)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Sell Signals Confirmed (Technical Analysis, Downgrade)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-05-23 07:28 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4606449-tesla-sell-signals-confirmed-technical-analysis-downgrade><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As the electric vehicle (\"EV\") battle heats up and the pawns take on the king, in this case the auto industry taking on Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), we can expect TSLA's growth and profitability to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4606449-tesla-sell-signals-confirmed-technical-analysis-downgrade\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","BK4588":"碎股","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","TSLA":"特斯拉","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A(离岸)美元","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","BK4555":"新能源车","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4527":"明星科技股"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4606449-tesla-sell-signals-confirmed-technical-analysis-downgrade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2337622107","content_text":"As the electric vehicle (\"EV\") battle heats up and the pawns take on the king, in this case the auto industry taking on Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), we can expect TSLA's growth and profitability to suffer. That means that TSLA's P/E and PEG likely will come down. The way that is accomplished is by a falling price for TSLA stock. That is exactly what is happening, as you can see on the chart below.Tesla is in a bear market looking for a bottom, not unlike the overall market, as represented by SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). The overvaluation of the mega-cap stocks that move the SPY higher continues. When the recession comes, these overvalued stocks should drop to the levels of last October, if not lower, especially TSLA with a Beta of 2. You can see the SPY breakout on the chart below, and we think this is the last hurrah for the October bounce. When the SPY turns down, it should take TSLA with it.Everyone knows the growth cycle. The new company is growing like crazy and then the competition comes alive. The growth begins to slow, especially as the company becomes larger and larger. Finally it morphs from growth to value, a blue chip paying dividends. TSLA has moved from being aggressive growth to slower growth, but with a long runway still ahead of it. The only problem with that picture is that it is overvalued and price has to come down. Then there was the dumping of stock on the market so Elon could buy Twitter. Increased supply brings price down. Plus, institutional ownership of TSLA stock is a very low 44%.All of this is well known by the market and can be seen in price trends. The short, intermediate, and long-term price trends are down and price is continuing a downward movement. You can see this on the chart below. The 200-day moving average, long-term trend is down. So is the intermediate 50-day trend and the short term 20-day trend moving average. TSLA is underperforming the market, and portfolio managers are dumping it because it is hurting their performance. You cannot beat the Index by holding underperforming stocks. However, bottom fishers do buy underperforming stocks like TSLA if the price is low enough.Now, if TSLA could beat all the competition and maintain its aggressive growth in the future, that would change the downtrends. If its earnings revisions improved dramatically, that would change the downtrends. However, the market right now does not see that happening for TSLA and that is why price continues to drop. Great company, great profits, ahead of the competition, but how long will that last in such a competitive industry? TSLA is going to lose market share and the market is trying to compute how fast that is going to happen and how to value TSLA stock accordingly. Right now it thinks the price is too high. The charts show price dropping for that reason.In our previous article, we showed the downtrends and the sell signal after earnings. When price gapped down after earnings, the bargain hunters came in and took the price back up, filling the gap down. This is classical technical movement of price. TSLA is in a downtrend, but it is not going to dive to the bottom. It is moving down in a very orderly manner to the next support level and then bouncing as the bargain hunters come in again. Then it goes down lower than before, forming the classical lower-high and lower-low in price until it finally hits bottom.You can see the last bottom was $102 and you can see price moving in a slow, and orderly manner, back down to retest that price. As noted above, any improvement in growth, earnings revisions and profit margins would change the outcome. We don't think that happens. We see the growing competition taking market share from TSLA. The competition has shown that they are willing to lose money to catch up with TSLA.Technically, we look for bounces in prices to change our Sell Signals. In the case of TSLA, we can see that the current bounce has not changed our Sell Signal, which uses both technicals and fundamentals. When this happens on a bounce, that becomes a confirmation of the Sell Signal and we expect the stock to move lower. That is what you can see on this weekly chart below:TSLA bounce fails to change sell signals. (stockcharts.com)Meanwhile the market has recently helped the TSLA stock price, along with the Musk interview. As you can see on the SPY chart below, there is a positive breakout above $420. This was caused by positive, no-default talk, but on Friday negotiations broke down and the SPY dropped below $420 looking for support at $415. On Sunday, Biden was on TV about negotiations and in touch with McCarthy.Here is the daily SPY chart, and it still is holding on to our vertical, blue line buy signal. That could change with further bad news on the debt ceiling negotiations.SPY drops on debt ceiling news (stockcharts.com)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944688799,"gmtCreate":1681826983712,"gmtModify":1681826986849,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>Shd I buy or short Tesla before the earning announcement?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>Shd I buy or short Tesla before the earning announcement?","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Shd I buy or short Tesla before the earning announcement?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944688799","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951558481,"gmtCreate":1673527793143,"gmtModify":1676538851024,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951558481","repostId":"9951517132","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9951517132,"gmtCreate":1673518408527,"gmtModify":1676538849631,"author":{"id":"4113904591642392","authorId":"4113904591642392","name":"LMSunshine","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0ad636f2490d8428fcee9da6d669e46c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113904591642392","authorIdStr":"4113904591642392"},"themes":[],"title":"12/1 CPI Preview🕵🏻♀️🕵🏻♂️ Will Market Close 📈/📉❓","htmlText":"The 🇺🇸 Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for Dec tonight 12/1, at SG⏰ 9.30pm‼️ Fellow 🐯🐯🐯 as we get closer to the release ⏰, let’s check out the forecasts by the economists & researchers of some major banks together🕵🏻🕵🏻♂️ ⭐️ Annual CPI is expected to decline to 6.5% from 7.1% in Nov ⭐️⭐️ Core CPI (excludes volatile food & energy prices) is expected to lower to 5.7% from 6% ⭐️⭐️⭐️ On a monthly basis, the CPI is forecast to stay unchanged while the Core CPI is projected to rise 0.3%. (1) Wells Fargo ➡️ “We estimate CPI fell 0.2% in December, bringing the YoY rate down to a 14-month low of 6.3%. We expect another sizable decline in energy prices to weigh on the headline and offset further gains in food and core services prices. But the","listText":"The 🇺🇸 Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for Dec tonight 12/1, at SG⏰ 9.30pm‼️ Fellow 🐯🐯🐯 as we get closer to the release ⏰, let’s check out the forecasts by the economists & researchers of some major banks together🕵🏻🕵🏻♂️ ⭐️ Annual CPI is expected to decline to 6.5% from 7.1% in Nov ⭐️⭐️ Core CPI (excludes volatile food & energy prices) is expected to lower to 5.7% from 6% ⭐️⭐️⭐️ On a monthly basis, the CPI is forecast to stay unchanged while the Core CPI is projected to rise 0.3%. (1) Wells Fargo ➡️ “We estimate CPI fell 0.2% in December, bringing the YoY rate down to a 14-month low of 6.3%. We expect another sizable decline in energy prices to weigh on the headline and offset further gains in food and core services prices. But the","text":"The 🇺🇸 Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for Dec tonight 12/1, at SG⏰ 9.30pm‼️ Fellow 🐯🐯🐯 as we get closer to the release ⏰, let’s check out the forecasts by the economists & researchers of some major banks together🕵🏻🕵🏻♂️ ⭐️ Annual CPI is expected to decline to 6.5% from 7.1% in Nov ⭐️⭐️ Core CPI (excludes volatile food & energy prices) is expected to lower to 5.7% from 6% ⭐️⭐️⭐️ On a monthly basis, the CPI is forecast to stay unchanged while the Core CPI is projected to rise 0.3%. (1) Wells Fargo ➡️ “We estimate CPI fell 0.2% in December, bringing the YoY rate down to a 14-month low of 6.3%. We expect another sizable decline in energy prices to weigh on the headline and offset further gains in food and core services prices. But the","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5e04331363259aed0755134bcca050e3","width":"1125","height":"624"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951517132","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922249199,"gmtCreate":1671784101312,"gmtModify":1676538593019,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Who will believe the boy crying wolf anymore?","listText":"Who will believe the boy crying wolf anymore?","text":"Who will believe the boy crying wolf anymore?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922249199","repostId":"2293558389","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2293558389","pubTimestamp":1671751384,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2293558389?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-23 07:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk Says He Will Not Sell More Tesla Stock for Another Two Years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2293558389","media":"Reuters","summary":"Tesla Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk said on Thursday he will not sell any more Tesla stock for about another two years.While speaking in a Twitter Spaces audio chat, Musk said he foresees the economy will be in a \"serious recession\" in 2023 and consumer demand will be lower.Musk has previously made promises about not selling Tesla stock before subsequently selling it.Shares of Tesla rose 3% to $129.23 in after-hours trading on Thursday following an 11% drop in regular trading hours.Asked whe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk said on Thursday he will not sell any more Tesla stock for about another two years.</p><p>While speaking in a Twitter Spaces audio chat, Musk said he foresees the economy will be in a "serious recession" in 2023 and consumer demand will be lower.</p><p>Musk has previously made promises about not selling Tesla stock before subsequently selling it.</p><p>Shares of Tesla rose 3% to $129.23 in after-hours trading on Thursday following an 11% drop in regular trading hours.</p><p>Asked whether he would bring in someone such as venture capitalist David Sacks to run Twitter to allow him to focus on Tesla, Musk dodged the question and said Twitter was a relatively simple business.</p><p>"(Twitter) is maybe 10% of the complexity of Tesla," Musk said.</p><p>Musk has increasingly used Twitter's live audio platform to weigh in on his product and strategic decisions at the social media company he took private in October in a $44 billion deal.</p><p>Some of his appearances have turned contentious including an exchange with a former Twitter engineer who was challenging his apparent plan to rewrite significant amounts of the company's source code.</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk Says He Will Not Sell More Tesla Stock for Another Two Years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk Says He Will Not Sell More Tesla Stock for Another Two Years\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-23 07:23 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-elon-musk-says-not-231103089.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk said on Thursday he will not sell any more Tesla stock for about another two years.While speaking in a Twitter Spaces audio chat, Musk said he foresees the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-elon-musk-says-not-231103089.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-elon-musk-says-not-231103089.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2293558389","content_text":"Tesla Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk said on Thursday he will not sell any more Tesla stock for about another two years.While speaking in a Twitter Spaces audio chat, Musk said he foresees the economy will be in a \"serious recession\" in 2023 and consumer demand will be lower.Musk has previously made promises about not selling Tesla stock before subsequently selling it.Shares of Tesla rose 3% to $129.23 in after-hours trading on Thursday following an 11% drop in regular trading hours.Asked whether he would bring in someone such as venture capitalist David Sacks to run Twitter to allow him to focus on Tesla, Musk dodged the question and said Twitter was a relatively simple business.\"(Twitter) is maybe 10% of the complexity of Tesla,\" Musk said.Musk has increasingly used Twitter's live audio platform to weigh in on his product and strategic decisions at the social media company he took private in October in a $44 billion deal.Some of his appearances have turned contentious including an exchange with a former Twitter engineer who was challenging his apparent plan to rewrite significant amounts of the company's source code.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926420726,"gmtCreate":1671611656165,"gmtModify":1676538563766,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow $50? Then next drop will make Tesla ajunk stock?","listText":"Wow $50? Then next drop will make Tesla ajunk stock?","text":"Wow $50? Then next drop will make Tesla ajunk stock?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926420726","repostId":"1165724734","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165724734","pubTimestamp":1671595280,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165724734?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-21 12:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla In Line For An Additional Significant Drop (Technical Analysis)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165724734","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Now we will move to the monthly chart and delve into the bearish wave structure that has yet to complete.Tesla current monthly chart We can see the wave one $414 to $233 with the wave two making its way from that price region to circa $390.The wave three then becomes confirmed with the drop from circa $390 to below the $233 support.We can see Tesla currently surging it's way south towards the next technical stop of $122. This is the Fibonacci 161 from the three-wave structure and in bearish case","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Tesla appears to be facing headwinds on a number of fronts.</li><li>With clear bearish targets outlined, we will look at what price region Tesla may be arriving at next.</li><li>First, we will cover some of the latest news before moving to technical analysis.</li></ul><p>In this article we will examine why there appears to be no end in sight for Tesla's (NASDAQ: TSLA) share price drop before we move to the technicals to see where the price may be going next and if that will potentially be a bottom.</p><p>Tesla stock isn't having a great run of late touching into the mid $150 region as 2022 trading looks to come to a close.</p><p>The Twitter takeover by Tesla CEO Elon Musk has investors nervy about where he is focusing his already tight time schedule and it is reflected in the stock price with my much-coveted Tesla $176 article from April this year now clearly being bypassed for a lower price region.</p><p>As competition for the EV market in the US hots up, investors may be swayed to look to other manufactures considered on the rise for a greater portion of the market albeit Tesla clearly remains king with the largest market portion by far.</p><p>China also remains an issue with concerns over strict protracted lockdown policies weighing on demand for Tesla vehicles as the new year looms.</p><p>We will start the technical analysis by looking into what happened once $176 was achieved and how Tesla very nearly formed a three-wave pattern on the weekly chart suggesting an attempt to breakout higher from that region but as the old saying goes, "nearly didn't get there".</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a8406981721aaea089524d3b3506225\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"938\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla weekly (C Trader)</p><p>We can see above bypassing $176, the stock actually dropped a further ten dollars to $166 before forming two bullish candles from that low which topped out circa $200, additionally a bearish rejection candle was then formed with the following opening week to make its decision, break above $200 or break below $166, the latter was clearly chosen.</p><p>So where could this share price be headed next? Now we will move to the monthly chart and delve into the bearish wave structure that has yet to complete.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae99117506e3bc18e2da921ba39675df\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"1000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla current monthly chart (C Trader)</p><p>We can see the wave one $414 to $233 with the wave two making its way from that price region to circa $390.</p><p>The wave three then becomes confirmed with the drop from circa $390 to below the $233 support.</p><p>We can see Tesla currently surging it's way south towards the next technical stop of $122. This is the Fibonacci 161 from the three-wave structure and in bearish cases, equities have been known to turn around at this level, this is one scenario should Tesla arrive at that price region.</p><p>The second scenario is that there is no bullish pattern formed if Tesla does get there and looks to then head towards a numerical copy of the wave one and land at $51.</p><p>To finalize I would expect Tesla to firstly arrive at $122 within the next 30-90 days where I will be looking for turn around signals by way of a three-wave pattern if this equity reaches that price area. Should no bullish pattern emerge a significant drop it will be for Tesla as all eyes turn to the $50 region.</p><p><b>About the Three Wave Theory</b></p><p>The three-wave theory was designed to be able to identify exact probable price action of a financial instrument. A financial market cannot navigate it's way significantly higher or lower without making waves. Waves are essentially a mismatch between buyers and sellers and print a picture of a probable direction and target for a financial instrument. When waves one and two have been formed, it is the point of higher high/lower low that gives the technical indication of the future direction. A wave one will continue from a low to a high point before it finds significant enough rejection to then form the wave two. When a third wave breaks into a higher high/lower low the only probable numerical target bearing available on a financial chart is the equivalent of the wave one low to high point. It is highly probable that the wave three will look to numerically replicate wave one before it makes its future directional decision. It may continue past its third wave target but it is only the wave one evidence that a price was able to continue before rejection that is available to look to as a probable target for a third wave.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla In Line For An Additional Significant Drop (Technical Analysis)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla In Line For An Additional Significant Drop (Technical Analysis)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-21 12:01 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565403-tesla-in-line-for-an-additional-significant-drop-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla appears to be facing headwinds on a number of fronts.With clear bearish targets outlined, we will look at what price region Tesla may be arriving at next.First, we will cover some of the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565403-tesla-in-line-for-an-additional-significant-drop-technical-analysis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565403-tesla-in-line-for-an-additional-significant-drop-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165724734","content_text":"SummaryTesla appears to be facing headwinds on a number of fronts.With clear bearish targets outlined, we will look at what price region Tesla may be arriving at next.First, we will cover some of the latest news before moving to technical analysis.In this article we will examine why there appears to be no end in sight for Tesla's (NASDAQ: TSLA) share price drop before we move to the technicals to see where the price may be going next and if that will potentially be a bottom.Tesla stock isn't having a great run of late touching into the mid $150 region as 2022 trading looks to come to a close.The Twitter takeover by Tesla CEO Elon Musk has investors nervy about where he is focusing his already tight time schedule and it is reflected in the stock price with my much-coveted Tesla $176 article from April this year now clearly being bypassed for a lower price region.As competition for the EV market in the US hots up, investors may be swayed to look to other manufactures considered on the rise for a greater portion of the market albeit Tesla clearly remains king with the largest market portion by far.China also remains an issue with concerns over strict protracted lockdown policies weighing on demand for Tesla vehicles as the new year looms.We will start the technical analysis by looking into what happened once $176 was achieved and how Tesla very nearly formed a three-wave pattern on the weekly chart suggesting an attempt to breakout higher from that region but as the old saying goes, \"nearly didn't get there\".Tesla weekly (C Trader)We can see above bypassing $176, the stock actually dropped a further ten dollars to $166 before forming two bullish candles from that low which topped out circa $200, additionally a bearish rejection candle was then formed with the following opening week to make its decision, break above $200 or break below $166, the latter was clearly chosen.So where could this share price be headed next? Now we will move to the monthly chart and delve into the bearish wave structure that has yet to complete.Tesla current monthly chart (C Trader)We can see the wave one $414 to $233 with the wave two making its way from that price region to circa $390.The wave three then becomes confirmed with the drop from circa $390 to below the $233 support.We can see Tesla currently surging it's way south towards the next technical stop of $122. This is the Fibonacci 161 from the three-wave structure and in bearish cases, equities have been known to turn around at this level, this is one scenario should Tesla arrive at that price region.The second scenario is that there is no bullish pattern formed if Tesla does get there and looks to then head towards a numerical copy of the wave one and land at $51.To finalize I would expect Tesla to firstly arrive at $122 within the next 30-90 days where I will be looking for turn around signals by way of a three-wave pattern if this equity reaches that price area. Should no bullish pattern emerge a significant drop it will be for Tesla as all eyes turn to the $50 region.About the Three Wave TheoryThe three-wave theory was designed to be able to identify exact probable price action of a financial instrument. A financial market cannot navigate it's way significantly higher or lower without making waves. Waves are essentially a mismatch between buyers and sellers and print a picture of a probable direction and target for a financial instrument. When waves one and two have been formed, it is the point of higher high/lower low that gives the technical indication of the future direction. A wave one will continue from a low to a high point before it finds significant enough rejection to then form the wave two. When a third wave breaks into a higher high/lower low the only probable numerical target bearing available on a financial chart is the equivalent of the wave one low to high point. It is highly probable that the wave three will look to numerically replicate wave one before it makes its future directional decision. It may continue past its third wave target but it is only the wave one evidence that a price was able to continue before rejection that is available to look to as a probable target for a third wave.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921228504,"gmtCreate":1671070414708,"gmtModify":1676538484869,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sooner or later he will be kicked out of Tesla ","listText":"Sooner or later he will be kicked out of Tesla ","text":"Sooner or later he will be kicked out of Tesla","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921228504","repostId":"1145285433","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965901382,"gmtCreate":1669864868846,"gmtModify":1676538259566,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hopefully there is a big spike in price ","listText":"Hopefully there is a big spike in price ","text":"Hopefully there is a big spike in price","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965901382","repostId":"2288612530","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969378600,"gmtCreate":1668381023800,"gmtModify":1676538045777,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice report","listText":"Nice report","text":"Nice report","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969378600","repostId":"1190456060","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986943675,"gmtCreate":1666879944497,"gmtModify":1676537822882,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good for stock market?","listText":"Good for stock market?","text":"Good for stock market?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986943675","repostId":"1176371401","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176371401","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1666873879,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176371401?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-27 20:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. GDP Increases By 2.6% Annual Rate in Third Quarter, Above Forecast","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176371401","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The U.S. economy posted its first period of positive growth for 2022 in the third quarter, at least ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. economy posted its first period of positive growth for 2022 in the third quarter, at least temporarily easing inflation fears, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Thursday.</p><p>GDP, a sum of all the goods and services produced from July through September, increased at a 2.6% annualized pace for the period, against the Dow Jones estimate for 2.3%.</p><p>That reading follows consecutive negative quarters to start the year, meeting a commonly accepted definition of recession, though the National Bureau of Economic Research is generally considered the arbiter of downturns and expansions.</p><p>U.S. initial jobless claims rise 3,000 to 217,000 in October 22 week; U.S. core durable goods orders fall 0.7% in September; Continuing jobless claims rise 55,000 to 1.44 million.</p><p>Stock-index futures higher after GDP, other economic data.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. GDP Increases By 2.6% Annual Rate in Third Quarter, Above Forecast</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. GDP Increases By 2.6% Annual Rate in Third Quarter, Above Forecast\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-27 20:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. economy posted its first period of positive growth for 2022 in the third quarter, at least temporarily easing inflation fears, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Thursday.</p><p>GDP, a sum of all the goods and services produced from July through September, increased at a 2.6% annualized pace for the period, against the Dow Jones estimate for 2.3%.</p><p>That reading follows consecutive negative quarters to start the year, meeting a commonly accepted definition of recession, though the National Bureau of Economic Research is generally considered the arbiter of downturns and expansions.</p><p>U.S. initial jobless claims rise 3,000 to 217,000 in October 22 week; U.S. core durable goods orders fall 0.7% in September; Continuing jobless claims rise 55,000 to 1.44 million.</p><p>Stock-index futures higher after GDP, other economic data.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176371401","content_text":"The U.S. economy posted its first period of positive growth for 2022 in the third quarter, at least temporarily easing inflation fears, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Thursday.GDP, a sum of all the goods and services produced from July through September, increased at a 2.6% annualized pace for the period, against the Dow Jones estimate for 2.3%.That reading follows consecutive negative quarters to start the year, meeting a commonly accepted definition of recession, though the National Bureau of Economic Research is generally considered the arbiter of downturns and expansions.U.S. initial jobless claims rise 3,000 to 217,000 in October 22 week; U.S. core durable goods orders fall 0.7% in September; Continuing jobless claims rise 55,000 to 1.44 million.Stock-index futures higher after GDP, other economic data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981907468,"gmtCreate":1666362817254,"gmtModify":1676537747213,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I definitely hope it will ","listText":"I definitely hope it will ","text":"I definitely hope it will","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981907468","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989770760,"gmtCreate":1666099943051,"gmtModify":1676537705801,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989770760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989770438,"gmtCreate":1666099932524,"gmtModify":1676537705800,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989770438","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989770570,"gmtCreate":1666099919390,"gmtModify":1676537705798,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989770570","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9093218818,"gmtCreate":1643637933051,"gmtModify":1676533838484,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Happy Chinese New Year ","listText":"Happy Chinese New Year ","text":"Happy Chinese New Year","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9093218818","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":97,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9969378600,"gmtCreate":1668381023800,"gmtModify":1676538045777,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice report","listText":"Nice report","text":"Nice report","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969378600","repostId":"1190456060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190456060","pubTimestamp":1668302284,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190456060?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-13 09:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190456060","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean?","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Large 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.</li><li>Major bottoms require a policy change.</li><li>The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d234d2c3a6fdd66410e8c4fdc86a25\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>gonin/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><h2>The top 20: daily returns for S&P500</h2><p>The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let's first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&P500:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a00554a6ad210b0ab26216de0667def\" tg-width=\"927\" tg-height=\"1314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>As you can see from the list above,</p><ul><li>12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.</li><li>8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.</li><li>2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.</li></ul><p>Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.</p><h2>The major bottom thesis</h2><p>The major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.</p><p>The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.</p><p>As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed's monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed's tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.</p><p>The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It's true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.</p><p>However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether "something will break" during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.</p><h2>The recessionary selloff</h2><p>The S&P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.</p><p>Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.</p><p>Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ef81e28bf62d769ca5f75f29feb339\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>FRED</span></p><p>Based on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.</p><h2>Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?</h2><p>The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.</p><p>The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.</p><p>But don't count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.</p><p>But don't expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it's more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it's more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.</p><h2>It's a bear market rally</h2><p>We are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of "things breaking" like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.</p><p>Bear market rallies happen during the "in-between periods", so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don't think anybody expects this over the near term. Don't fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.</p><h2>SPY sector analysis</h2><p>AllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d11bae7fc6e9bba3dee9e588bd902bb1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SelectSectorSPDR</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-13 09:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190456060","content_text":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let's first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&P500:As you can see from the list above,12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.The major bottom thesisThe major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed's monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed's tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It's true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether \"something will break\" during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.The recessionary selloffThe S&P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:FREDBased on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.But don't count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.But don't expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it's more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it's more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.It's a bear market rallyWe are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of \"things breaking\" like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.Bear market rallies happen during the \"in-between periods\", so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don't think anybody expects this over the near term. Don't fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.SPY sector analysisAllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.SelectSectorSPDR","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921228504,"gmtCreate":1671070414708,"gmtModify":1676538484869,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sooner or later he will be kicked out of Tesla ","listText":"Sooner or later he will be kicked out of Tesla ","text":"Sooner or later he will be kicked out of Tesla","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921228504","repostId":"1145285433","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1145285433","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1671070064,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145285433?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-15 10:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk Sells Tesla Shares Worth $3.58 Billion","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145285433","media":"Reuters","summary":"Dec 14 - Tesla IncChief Executive Officer Elon Musk has sold 22 million shares worth $3.58 billion in the electric-vehicle maker this week, a U.S. securities filing showed on Wednesday.The latest sale, Musk's second since his $44 billion purchase of Twitter in October, brings the total Tesla stocks sold by the billionaire to nearly $40 billion over the past year.He now owns 13.4% of the world's most valuable carmaker, according to Refinitiv data.Investor concerns that Musk's purchase of Twitter","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Dec 14 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk has sold 22 million shares worth $3.58 billion in the electric-vehicle maker this week, a U.S. securities filing showed on Wednesday.</p><p>The latest sale, Musk's second since his $44 billion purchase of Twitter in October, brings the total Tesla stocks sold by the billionaire to nearly $40 billion over the past year.</p><p>He now owns 13.4% of the world's most valuable carmaker, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Investor concerns that Musk's purchase of Twitter could divert his time away from Tesla have driven down shares of the company more than 60% in 2022, making it one of the worst-performing stocks among major automakers and tech firms this year.</p><p>The stock hit its lowest in over two years last night.</p><p>Musk, who recently lost his title as the world's richest person, unloaded shares over three days between Monday and Wednesday, according to the filing.</p><p>Tesla did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment outside business hours.</p><p>The latest share sale comes a month after Musk sold shares worth $4 billion in Tesla days after he closed the Twitter deal.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk Sells Tesla Shares Worth $3.58 Billion</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk Sells Tesla Shares Worth $3.58 Billion\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-15 10:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Dec 14 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk has sold 22 million shares worth $3.58 billion in the electric-vehicle maker this week, a U.S. securities filing showed on Wednesday.</p><p>The latest sale, Musk's second since his $44 billion purchase of Twitter in October, brings the total Tesla stocks sold by the billionaire to nearly $40 billion over the past year.</p><p>He now owns 13.4% of the world's most valuable carmaker, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Investor concerns that Musk's purchase of Twitter could divert his time away from Tesla have driven down shares of the company more than 60% in 2022, making it one of the worst-performing stocks among major automakers and tech firms this year.</p><p>The stock hit its lowest in over two years last night.</p><p>Musk, who recently lost his title as the world's richest person, unloaded shares over three days between Monday and Wednesday, according to the filing.</p><p>Tesla did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment outside business hours.</p><p>The latest share sale comes a month after Musk sold shares worth $4 billion in Tesla days after he closed the Twitter deal.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145285433","content_text":"Dec 14 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk has sold 22 million shares worth $3.58 billion in the electric-vehicle maker this week, a U.S. securities filing showed on Wednesday.The latest sale, Musk's second since his $44 billion purchase of Twitter in October, brings the total Tesla stocks sold by the billionaire to nearly $40 billion over the past year.He now owns 13.4% of the world's most valuable carmaker, according to Refinitiv data.Investor concerns that Musk's purchase of Twitter could divert his time away from Tesla have driven down shares of the company more than 60% in 2022, making it one of the worst-performing stocks among major automakers and tech firms this year.The stock hit its lowest in over two years last night.Musk, who recently lost his title as the world's richest person, unloaded shares over three days between Monday and Wednesday, according to the filing.Tesla did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment outside business hours.The latest share sale comes a month after Musk sold shares worth $4 billion in Tesla days after he closed the Twitter deal.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926420726,"gmtCreate":1671611656165,"gmtModify":1676538563766,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow $50? Then next drop will make Tesla ajunk stock?","listText":"Wow $50? Then next drop will make Tesla ajunk stock?","text":"Wow $50? Then next drop will make Tesla ajunk stock?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926420726","repostId":"1165724734","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965901382,"gmtCreate":1669864868846,"gmtModify":1676538259566,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hopefully there is a big spike in price ","listText":"Hopefully there is a big spike in price ","text":"Hopefully there is a big spike in price","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965901382","repostId":"2288612530","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2288612530","pubTimestamp":1669861884,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2288612530?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-01 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Was Wednesday's Stock Market Surge Premature?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2288612530","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What the Federal Reserve chair said wasn't any big surprise, but Wall Street heard what it wanted to hear.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>Markets surged after Fed chair Jerome Powell gave a speech on monetary policy.</li><li>Investors focused on the idea that the Fed will moderate the pace of future rate increases.</li><li>That, however, doesn't mean that the central bank won't keep monetary policy at restrictive levels for an extended period.</li></ul><p>Stock market participants had been looking forward to Wednesday for quite a while, as they anticipated getting valuable insight when Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell gave a speech about his views on monetary policy. As it turned out, Powell's comments were well-received by investors, and that resulted in solid gains of more than 2% for the <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b> and even bigger advances for the <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> and <b>S&P 500</b>.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a315992249cfa713089395a7fa48663d\" tg-width=\"1216\" tg-height=\"290\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data source: Yahoo! Finance.</span></p><p>Until Powell began speaking in the afternoon, major market indexes were flat to slightly lower on the day. Yet even though what Powell said didn't really come as any big surprise to those who followed the relevant financial markets, it nevertheless seemed to give investors more confidence that their reading on the situation facing stock markets was correct.</p><p>That doesn't necessarily mean that the immediate future won't remain volatile, but it nevertheless led some to conclude that eventual victory over inflation and recessionary pressures was inevitable.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a9308e7ec2ef77edad00c41db7fc50\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"367\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Federal Reserve building. Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>What Powell said</h2><p>Powell continued to emphasize that there are two key components to Federal Reserve policy that some will find contradictory but that nevertheless apply. First and most important, the Fed is still concerned about the uncomfortably high level of inflation in the market.</p><p>That came at the beginning of Powell's speech, and the Fed chair emphasized that higher prices are causing substantial hardship for tens of millions of people across the nation. Such levels of price instability are fundamentally incompatible with a working economy, and current estimates of inflation, as measured by the Fed's preferred personal consumption expenditure metric, is coming in at 6%.</p><p>That left Powell to conclude that there's still a lot of work to do before inflation comes under control, let alone before it gets back to the 2% long-term target that the Fed prefers to see. Indeed, Powell warned that he believes the eventual level at which interest rates will rise sufficiently to get inflation under control will likely be higher than he thought at the time of the Federal Open Market Committee's meeting in September.</p><p>Yet at the same time, Powell acknowledged that using interest-rate increases to moderate inflationary pressures is an imprecise science. He also said there are definite lags between the time the central bank boosts rates and when the effects of tighter monetary policy actually show up in economic data, particularly concerning inflation.</p><p>Therefore, Powell said, "It makes sense to moderate the pace of our rate increases as we approach the level of restraint that will be sufficient to bring inflation down." In addressing the timing of such moderation, the Fed chair said that a slowing of rate increases could come as soon as its December meeting.</p><p>Market watchers immediately took that comment to mean that the Fed would likely raise interest rates by just half a percentage point in December, slowing from the 0.75 percentage-point boosts that the central bank has made at its last four consecutive meetings. That, in turn, ignited the massive stock market rally, and longer-term interest rates also moved lower on the news, as bond investors foresaw a shorter period of time to fight inflation.</p><h2>Not a shocker</h2><p>Those watching the credit markets shouldn't have been surprised by what Powell said because it was already largely reflected in certain securities prices. As early as four weeks ago, federal funds rate futures showed that investors thought it more likely than not that the Fed would do a December increase of only half a percentage point.</p><p>Moreover, the short-term jump in stocks seemingly ignored the rest of Powell's monetary-policy comments. The chair repeated that restrictively high interest rates could be necessary for a significant period of time, and the central bank remains extremely wary of being premature in reversing course. Indeed, Powell pointed to several data points that remain worrisome, including above-normal wage growth, rising prices for housing services, and continued disruptions in labor markets that began with the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>Of course, it's possible that stock markets have overreacted in falling so far from their record levels in late 2021, so a reversal -- in light of things going mostly as expected -- is actually warranted. Regardless, investors need to be prepared for it to take more time than they might think for the Fed's inflation-fighting saga to play out to the bitter end.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Was Wednesday's Stock Market Surge Premature?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWas Wednesday's Stock Market Surge Premature?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-01 10:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/30/was-wednesdays-stock-market-surge-premature/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSMarkets surged after Fed chair Jerome Powell gave a speech on monetary policy.Investors focused on the idea that the Fed will moderate the pace of future rate increases.That, however, doesn'...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/30/was-wednesdays-stock-market-surge-premature/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/30/was-wednesdays-stock-market-surge-premature/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2288612530","content_text":"KEY POINTSMarkets surged after Fed chair Jerome Powell gave a speech on monetary policy.Investors focused on the idea that the Fed will moderate the pace of future rate increases.That, however, doesn't mean that the central bank won't keep monetary policy at restrictive levels for an extended period.Stock market participants had been looking forward to Wednesday for quite a while, as they anticipated getting valuable insight when Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell gave a speech about his views on monetary policy. As it turned out, Powell's comments were well-received by investors, and that resulted in solid gains of more than 2% for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and even bigger advances for the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500.Data source: Yahoo! Finance.Until Powell began speaking in the afternoon, major market indexes were flat to slightly lower on the day. Yet even though what Powell said didn't really come as any big surprise to those who followed the relevant financial markets, it nevertheless seemed to give investors more confidence that their reading on the situation facing stock markets was correct.That doesn't necessarily mean that the immediate future won't remain volatile, but it nevertheless led some to conclude that eventual victory over inflation and recessionary pressures was inevitable.Federal Reserve building. Image source: Getty Images.What Powell saidPowell continued to emphasize that there are two key components to Federal Reserve policy that some will find contradictory but that nevertheless apply. First and most important, the Fed is still concerned about the uncomfortably high level of inflation in the market.That came at the beginning of Powell's speech, and the Fed chair emphasized that higher prices are causing substantial hardship for tens of millions of people across the nation. Such levels of price instability are fundamentally incompatible with a working economy, and current estimates of inflation, as measured by the Fed's preferred personal consumption expenditure metric, is coming in at 6%.That left Powell to conclude that there's still a lot of work to do before inflation comes under control, let alone before it gets back to the 2% long-term target that the Fed prefers to see. Indeed, Powell warned that he believes the eventual level at which interest rates will rise sufficiently to get inflation under control will likely be higher than he thought at the time of the Federal Open Market Committee's meeting in September.Yet at the same time, Powell acknowledged that using interest-rate increases to moderate inflationary pressures is an imprecise science. He also said there are definite lags between the time the central bank boosts rates and when the effects of tighter monetary policy actually show up in economic data, particularly concerning inflation.Therefore, Powell said, \"It makes sense to moderate the pace of our rate increases as we approach the level of restraint that will be sufficient to bring inflation down.\" In addressing the timing of such moderation, the Fed chair said that a slowing of rate increases could come as soon as its December meeting.Market watchers immediately took that comment to mean that the Fed would likely raise interest rates by just half a percentage point in December, slowing from the 0.75 percentage-point boosts that the central bank has made at its last four consecutive meetings. That, in turn, ignited the massive stock market rally, and longer-term interest rates also moved lower on the news, as bond investors foresaw a shorter period of time to fight inflation.Not a shockerThose watching the credit markets shouldn't have been surprised by what Powell said because it was already largely reflected in certain securities prices. As early as four weeks ago, federal funds rate futures showed that investors thought it more likely than not that the Fed would do a December increase of only half a percentage point.Moreover, the short-term jump in stocks seemingly ignored the rest of Powell's monetary-policy comments. The chair repeated that restrictively high interest rates could be necessary for a significant period of time, and the central bank remains extremely wary of being premature in reversing course. Indeed, Powell pointed to several data points that remain worrisome, including above-normal wage growth, rising prices for housing services, and continued disruptions in labor markets that began with the COVID-19 pandemic.Of course, it's possible that stock markets have overreacted in falling so far from their record levels in late 2021, so a reversal -- in light of things going mostly as expected -- is actually warranted. Regardless, investors need to be prepared for it to take more time than they might think for the Fed's inflation-fighting saga to play out to the bitter end.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981907468,"gmtCreate":1666362817254,"gmtModify":1676537747213,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I definitely hope it will ","listText":"I definitely hope it will ","text":"I definitely hope it will","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981907468","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922249199,"gmtCreate":1671784101312,"gmtModify":1676538593019,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Who will believe the boy crying wolf anymore?","listText":"Who will believe the boy crying wolf anymore?","text":"Who will believe the boy crying wolf anymore?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922249199","repostId":"2293558389","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199237572997264,"gmtCreate":1689678249802,"gmtModify":1689678252774,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/199237572997264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970414692,"gmtCreate":1684815482417,"gmtModify":1684823798293,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Omg seeking alpha cannot be trusted. ","listText":"Omg seeking alpha cannot be trusted. ","text":"Omg seeking alpha cannot be trusted.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970414692","repostId":"2337622107","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944688799,"gmtCreate":1681826983712,"gmtModify":1681826986849,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>Shd I buy or short Tesla before the earning announcement?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>Shd I buy or short Tesla before the earning announcement?","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Shd I buy or short Tesla before the earning announcement?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944688799","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951558481,"gmtCreate":1673527793143,"gmtModify":1676538851024,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951558481","repostId":"9951517132","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9951517132,"gmtCreate":1673518408527,"gmtModify":1676538849631,"author":{"id":"4113904591642392","authorId":"4113904591642392","name":"LMSunshine","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0ad636f2490d8428fcee9da6d669e46c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113904591642392","authorIdStr":"4113904591642392"},"themes":[],"title":"12/1 CPI Preview🕵🏻♀️🕵🏻♂️ Will Market Close 📈/📉❓","htmlText":"The 🇺🇸 Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for Dec tonight 12/1, at SG⏰ 9.30pm‼️ Fellow 🐯🐯🐯 as we get closer to the release ⏰, let’s check out the forecasts by the economists & researchers of some major banks together🕵🏻🕵🏻♂️ ⭐️ Annual CPI is expected to decline to 6.5% from 7.1% in Nov ⭐️⭐️ Core CPI (excludes volatile food & energy prices) is expected to lower to 5.7% from 6% ⭐️⭐️⭐️ On a monthly basis, the CPI is forecast to stay unchanged while the Core CPI is projected to rise 0.3%. (1) Wells Fargo ➡️ “We estimate CPI fell 0.2% in December, bringing the YoY rate down to a 14-month low of 6.3%. We expect another sizable decline in energy prices to weigh on the headline and offset further gains in food and core services prices. But the","listText":"The 🇺🇸 Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for Dec tonight 12/1, at SG⏰ 9.30pm‼️ Fellow 🐯🐯🐯 as we get closer to the release ⏰, let’s check out the forecasts by the economists & researchers of some major banks together🕵🏻🕵🏻♂️ ⭐️ Annual CPI is expected to decline to 6.5% from 7.1% in Nov ⭐️⭐️ Core CPI (excludes volatile food & energy prices) is expected to lower to 5.7% from 6% ⭐️⭐️⭐️ On a monthly basis, the CPI is forecast to stay unchanged while the Core CPI is projected to rise 0.3%. (1) Wells Fargo ➡️ “We estimate CPI fell 0.2% in December, bringing the YoY rate down to a 14-month low of 6.3%. We expect another sizable decline in energy prices to weigh on the headline and offset further gains in food and core services prices. But the","text":"The 🇺🇸 Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for Dec tonight 12/1, at SG⏰ 9.30pm‼️ Fellow 🐯🐯🐯 as we get closer to the release ⏰, let’s check out the forecasts by the economists & researchers of some major banks together🕵🏻🕵🏻♂️ ⭐️ Annual CPI is expected to decline to 6.5% from 7.1% in Nov ⭐️⭐️ Core CPI (excludes volatile food & energy prices) is expected to lower to 5.7% from 6% ⭐️⭐️⭐️ On a monthly basis, the CPI is forecast to stay unchanged while the Core CPI is projected to rise 0.3%. (1) Wells Fargo ➡️ “We estimate CPI fell 0.2% in December, bringing the YoY rate down to a 14-month low of 6.3%. We expect another sizable decline in energy prices to weigh on the headline and offset further gains in food and core services prices. But the","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5e04331363259aed0755134bcca050e3","width":"1125","height":"624"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951517132","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986943675,"gmtCreate":1666879944497,"gmtModify":1676537822882,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good for stock market?","listText":"Good for stock market?","text":"Good for stock market?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986943675","repostId":"1176371401","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989770760,"gmtCreate":1666099943051,"gmtModify":1676537705801,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989770760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989770438,"gmtCreate":1666099932524,"gmtModify":1676537705800,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989770438","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989770570,"gmtCreate":1666099919390,"gmtModify":1676537705798,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989770570","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9093218818,"gmtCreate":1643637933051,"gmtModify":1676533838484,"author":{"id":"4087307622838700","authorId":"4087307622838700","name":"Spermie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2c84d8ec1f93474462e8a38c16416b7","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087307622838700","authorIdStr":"4087307622838700"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Happy Chinese New Year ","listText":"Happy Chinese New Year ","text":"Happy Chinese New Year","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9093218818","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":97,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}