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2022-06-15

For mid to long term investor

NIO Could Fail In FQ2 2022 - But The Patient May Be Rewarded By H2 2022

2022-05-25

Like

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2022-04-01

On my watchlist

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2022-04-06

$$$ to invest in Twitter?

Re-Evaluating Twitter After Massive Elon Musk Buy-In

2022-03-14

🤣

Alibaba Shares Fell Nearly 10% in Hong Kong Market, Tencent Fell Nearly 7%

2022-06-20

Agreed.Long term investors are less likely to be affected by market sentiment

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2022-05-23

Good article to read and stay optimistic in times of Bear market

How To Invest In A Bear Market

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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offers opportunity for long-term investors.</li><li>It’s important to look at each individual company&#39;s future prospects and valuation.</li></ul><p>When the stock market is soaring, it&#39;s easy to get into the buying mood. That&#39;s because we actually see investments bearing fruit right away. Even if some share prices are high, the sheer momentum of the whole market offers us confidence that those prices could climb even higher.</p><p>But when the stock market stumbles, our eagerness to get in on the action may disappear -- and quickly. All at once we ask ourselves how long the downturn will last. We even might doubt the recovery of certain stocks that, in better market conditions, seemed like sure winners.</p><p>This scenario is probably playing out for a lot of us right now. The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> Index slipped into a bear market this week, inflation has been galloping higher, and interest rates are on the rise around the world. Now the question is: Should you really buy stocks right now? Or is it best to wait a while longer? Let&#39;s find out.</p><p><b>The advantages of buying now</b></p><p>First, let&#39;s talk about the advantages of buying stocks now. A huge one is valuation. Many solid stocks have dropped to incredibly low levels. I&#39;m talking bargain basement.</p><p>For example, high-growth electric-vehicle maker <b>Tesla</b> is trading at 56 times forward earnings estimates -- down from more than 160 just six months ago. That&#39;s as measures like return on invested capital and free cash flow are climbing.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c79471685dde54defe572e75f5d83a5\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TSLA PE RATIO (FORWARD) DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p>Another example is coronavirus vaccine giant <b>Moderna</b>. The company continues to bring in billions in revenue and profit, and today it&#39;s trading at only 4.6 times forward earnings estimates. That&#39;s down from more than 16 a year ago.</p><p>There are plenty of other examples across industries. Today, those stocks that were trading at much higher valuations a short time ago now are available at very reasonable prices.</p><p>Another reason to buy now is you avoid the risk of missing out on the eventual rebound.History tells us markets always bounce back. It&#39;s just a question of time. So your favorite players could rise at any moment.</p><p>Now let&#39;s talk about the one big disadvantage of buying stocks today -- and that&#39;s the risk that the market may fall even more. You might be able to get that stock you&#39;re interested in for<i>an even lower</i> valuation.</p><p>And what if stocks remain at this undervalued level for a while? Then you&#39;ll really have to wait to benefit from your investment. This is the reason some investors are hesitating to buy stocks right now.</p><p><b>The importance of long-term investing</b></p><p>Considering these points, what should you do? First, it&#39;s important to note that you only should buy stocks right now if you plan on investing for the long term. By this I mean at least five years.</p><p>This doesn&#39;t mean the downturn will last this long. This is the time horizon I always favor. That&#39;s because it gives a company time to recover -- if it happens to go through challenging times such as a period of high inflation. And it gives a company time to grow -- no matter what the economic situation.</p><p>As always, it&#39;s important to invest what you can afford to invest. That means you should also set aside funds for use in an emergency -- so you don&#39;t have to dip into your investments.</p><p>As for buying stocks, here&#39;s what I say: When you feel that a company&#39;s business is strong, future prospects are bright, and the price is fair, it&#39;s probably time to get in on that story. So right now could be the perfect time to buy certain stocks.</p><p>As mentioned above, share prices could decline further. It&#39;s nearly impossible to grab a stock at its lowest price. But if you invest for the long term, that won&#39;t really matter. You&#39;ll still benefit from your favorite stock&#39;s recovery -- and growth in the years to come.</p><p>All of this means we shouldn&#39;t fear bear markets. And any day can be the right moment to invest.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Really Buy Stocks Now Or Wait a While Longer?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Really Buy Stocks Now Or Wait a While Longer?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-20 23:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com.au/2022/06/20/should-you-really-buy-stocks-now-or-wait-a-while-longer-usfeed/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSInvesting during a bear market may seem scary -- but this kind of market offers opportunity for long-term investors.It’s important to look at each individual company's future prospects and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com.au/2022/06/20/should-you-really-buy-stocks-now-or-wait-a-while-longer-usfeed/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com.au/2022/06/20/should-you-really-buy-stocks-now-or-wait-a-while-longer-usfeed/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2244493940","content_text":"KEY POINTSInvesting during a bear market may seem scary -- but this kind of market offers opportunity for long-term investors.It’s important to look at each individual company's future prospects and valuation.When the stock market is soaring, it's easy to get into the buying mood. That's because we actually see investments bearing fruit right away. Even if some share prices are high, the sheer momentum of the whole market offers us confidence that those prices could climb even higher.But when the stock market stumbles, our eagerness to get in on the action may disappear -- and quickly. All at once we ask ourselves how long the downturn will last. We even might doubt the recovery of certain stocks that, in better market conditions, seemed like sure winners.This scenario is probably playing out for a lot of us right now. The S&P 500 Index slipped into a bear market this week, inflation has been galloping higher, and interest rates are on the rise around the world. Now the question is: Should you really buy stocks right now? Or is it best to wait a while longer? Let's find out.The advantages of buying nowFirst, let's talk about the advantages of buying stocks now. A huge one is valuation. Many solid stocks have dropped to incredibly low levels. I'm talking bargain basement.For example, high-growth electric-vehicle maker Tesla is trading at 56 times forward earnings estimates -- down from more than 160 just six months ago. That's as measures like return on invested capital and free cash flow are climbing.TSLA PE RATIO (FORWARD) DATA BY YCHARTS.Another example is coronavirus vaccine giant Moderna. The company continues to bring in billions in revenue and profit, and today it's trading at only 4.6 times forward earnings estimates. That's down from more than 16 a year ago.There are plenty of other examples across industries. Today, those stocks that were trading at much higher valuations a short time ago now are available at very reasonable prices.Another reason to buy now is you avoid the risk of missing out on the eventual rebound.History tells us markets always bounce back. It's just a question of time. So your favorite players could rise at any moment.Now let's talk about the one big disadvantage of buying stocks today -- and that's the risk that the market may fall even more. You might be able to get that stock you're interested in foran even lower valuation.And what if stocks remain at this undervalued level for a while? Then you'll really have to wait to benefit from your investment. This is the reason some investors are hesitating to buy stocks right now.The importance of long-term investingConsidering these points, what should you do? First, it's important to note that you only should buy stocks right now if you plan on investing for the long term. By this I mean at least five years.This doesn't mean the downturn will last this long. This is the time horizon I always favor. That's because it gives a company time to recover -- if it happens to go through challenging times such as a period of high inflation. And it gives a company time to grow -- no matter what the economic situation.As always, it's important to invest what you can afford to invest. That means you should also set aside funds for use in an emergency -- so you don't have to dip into your investments.As for buying stocks, here's what I say: When you feel that a company's business is strong, future prospects are bright, and the price is fair, it's probably time to get in on that story. So right now could be the perfect time to buy certain stocks.As mentioned above, share prices could decline further. It's nearly impossible to grab a stock at its lowest price. But if you invest for the long term, that won't really matter. You'll still benefit from your favorite stock's recovery -- and growth in the years to come.All of this means we shouldn't fear bear markets. And any day can be the right moment to invest.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055476714,"gmtCreate":1655306936938,"gmtModify":1676535609587,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For mid to long term investor","listText":"For mid to long term investor","text":"For mid to long term investor","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055476714","repostId":"2243494679","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243494679","pubTimestamp":1655306454,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243494679?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 23:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Could Fail In FQ2 2022 - But The Patient May Be Rewarded By H2 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243494679","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Investment ThesisIt is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2><b>Investment Thesis</b></h2><p>It is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from FQ2&#39;22 onwards, given the massive impact of China&#39;s ongoing Zero Covid Policy in Shanghai. The company would need to go above and beyond the impossible to achieve its delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles in FQ2&#39;22, given that Tesla (TSLA) had also struggled to reach pre-lockdown deliveries in May 2022. Given the complexity of auto supply chains, it is unlikely that NIO would be able to report an impressive YoY comparison in FQ2&#39;22, thus suggesting a stagnant stock valuation and prices moving forward, if not a retracement. As a result, we would advise interested investors to wait and observe a little longer before adding more NIO stock to their portfolios.</p><p>Risk-averse investors would be well advised of NIO&#39;s potential delisting from the NYSE stock market, though it is also apparent that a secondary listing in Singapore has been completed.</p><p>Nonetheless, despite the multiple uncertainties, we reiterate our stand since our previous analysis, that NIO remains a promising EV stock with an interesting battery swap concept. As <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the leading companies in China, the company stands to gain critical market share from Tesla in China, in the EU market, and potentially in the US market, upon its eventual entry in the future.</p><p>Therefore, NIO stock is highly suitable for speculative long-term investors, despite its current lack of profitability and the political uncertainty in China.</p><h2><b>NIO Reported Slowing Revenue Growth And Sustained Un-Profitability</b></h2><p><b>NIO Revenue and Gross Income</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5626d65bcd14ea9e68ba8f4282a46d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>NIO reported revenues of $1.56B in FQ1&#39;22, representing a YoY increase of 27.8%, though in line sequentially. The deceleration in revenue growth is partly attributed to supply chain production capacity for now, though we expect to see improvements by H2&#39;22. However, it is also apparent that there is increasing pressure on its gross margins, given that the company reports YoY lower gross margin of 14.6% in FQ1&#39;22 compared to 19.5% in FQ1&#39;21. With rising battery and chip costs, we expect NIO&#39;s gross margins to continue declining in FQ2&#39;22 before potentially recovering once the price hikes kick in by FQ3&#39;22.</p><p>In FQ1&#39;22, NIO also delivered 25.7K vehicles for the quarter, representing in line sequentially and an exemplary increase of 37.6% YoY. NIO CEO William Bin Li said:</p><blockquote>Despite the volatilities of the supply chain and the challenges in vehicle delivery resulting from the recent COVID-19 resurgence, we witnessed robust demand for our complementary products and achieved an all-time high order inflow in May 2022. (Seeking Alpha)</blockquote><p><b>NIO Net Income and Net Income Margin</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/704aba7cd5e743697335b2ee75e16612\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>NIO reported net incomes of -$287.8 and net income margins of -18.4% in FQ1&#39;22, thereby highlighting its lack of profitability since its incorporation in 2014. The company has also been increasing its operational costs exponentially with a total of $595.6M expenses by FQ1&#39;22, representing 38.1% of its revenues and an increase of 207.1% YoY. Nonetheless, given that NIO has kept its operating expenses relatively stable at an average of 33.6% in the past eight quarters, it is apparent that the management has been rather disciplined in cost control as well.</p><p><b>NIO R&amp;D and Selling General &amp; Admin Expenses</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b76193ccef6cf51d6ce1cb26b52b84e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p><b>NIO Long-Term Debt, Cash/ Equivalent, and Share Dilution</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beb728a98a6a79d4c7cf83ca56b7a370\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Due to its lack of profitability, it is evident that NIO will likely rely on a combination of long-term debt and share-based compensation (SBC) for its expanding operations. By FQ1&#39;22, the company had increased its reliance on debt by over 11-fold from $0.15B to $1.75B, while also diluting its shareholder by 55.5% since its IPO in September 2018. In FY2021 alone, NIO spent $158.5M in SBC, while drastically increasing the expenses to $74.6M by FQ1&#39;22, representing an increase of 390.2% YoY. Assuming a similar rate of SBC expenses, we may expect the company to report up to $300M for FY2022. That would be a concern for many early investors, given that the company is not expected to report net income profitability until FY2024.</p><h2>NIO Will Most Likely Fail To Deliver In FQ2&#39;22</h2><p><b>NIO Projected Revenue and Net Income</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e431100e75de1993cf165583a915cbb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Over the next three years, NIO is projected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 55.36% while also achieving profitability by FY2024 with a net income of $0.34B. For FY2022, consensus estimates that the company will report revenues of $9.15B with net incomes of -$0.88B, representing impressive YoY growth of 61% and 50%, respectively.</p><p>Nonetheless, given the ongoing Zero Covid Policy in China, there is a likelihood of a downwards re-rating for NIO&#39;s FY2022 revenue, given Shanghai&#39;s continuous lockdowns. The company itself had guided FQ2&#39;22 revenues in the range of $1.47B to $1.59B against consensus estimates of $1.79B, representing up to a 5.7% decline QoQ though a 12.2% growth YoY. We are also not convinced of NIO&#39;s delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles for FQ2&#39;22, given that the company had only delivered 5.074K and 7.042K vehicles in April and May 2022 respectively, thereby requiring an ambitious delivery of 10.884K vehicles in June 2022. Though rather unlikely, we shall anticipate its delivery update by early July 2022.</p><p>In contrast, we may expect improvement by H2&#39;22 once NIO successfully expands its production capacity while also entering the auto market in Germany, The Netherlands, Sweden, and Denmark. Nonetheless, it is also important to note that these require an easing of China&#39;s Covid policy while a stabling of the global supply chain issues. We shall continue to monitor the situation.</p><p>In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on NIO, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.</p><ul><li>NIO: Down 55% With Supercharged Growth - Time To Buy Now</li></ul><h2><b>So, Is NIO Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></h2><h2><b> </b></h2><p><b>NIO 3Y EV/Revenue and P/E Valuations</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2d07698f9480734680a03d86b698970\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"225\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>NIO is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 2.58x and NTM P/E of -47.22x, lower than its 3Y mean of 7.12x and -83.60x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $18.14, down 67% from its 52 weeks high of $55.13, though at a 55.4% premium from its 52 weeks low of $11.67. It is apparent that the NIO stock has been on sideways price action since our last analysis in April 2022.</p><p><b>NIO 3Y Stock Price</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad1ad9132060d18429ffb22f39607a5a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"217\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Given the macro issues and China&#39;s unrelenting Zero Covid Policy, we are of the opinion that pain will not be ending anytime soon. Therefore, NIO&#39;s delivery would likely continue to be impacted until then, further reducing any chances of stock recovery in the short term.</p><p>Though consensus estimates had rated NIO as an attractive buy with a price target of $38.33, we are of a more conservative opinion of a potential retracement by early July 2022, assuming that the company could not deliver on its FQ2&#39;23 vehicle target. As a result, we encourage investors to wait for a deeper retracement before adding to their portfolio.</p><p>Therefore, we <i>rate NIO stock as a Hold for now.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Could Fail In FQ2 2022 - But The Patient May Be Rewarded By H2 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Could Fail In FQ2 2022 - But The Patient May Be Rewarded By H2 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 23:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518234-nio-could-fail-q2-2022-but-patience-rewarded-h2-2022><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investment ThesisIt is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from FQ2'22 onwards, given the massive impact of China's ongoing Zero Covid Policy in Shanghai. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518234-nio-could-fail-q2-2022-but-patience-rewarded-h2-2022\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO.SI":"蔚来","NIO":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518234-nio-could-fail-q2-2022-but-patience-rewarded-h2-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243494679","content_text":"Investment ThesisIt is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from FQ2'22 onwards, given the massive impact of China's ongoing Zero Covid Policy in Shanghai. The company would need to go above and beyond the impossible to achieve its delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles in FQ2'22, given that Tesla (TSLA) had also struggled to reach pre-lockdown deliveries in May 2022. Given the complexity of auto supply chains, it is unlikely that NIO would be able to report an impressive YoY comparison in FQ2'22, thus suggesting a stagnant stock valuation and prices moving forward, if not a retracement. As a result, we would advise interested investors to wait and observe a little longer before adding more NIO stock to their portfolios.Risk-averse investors would be well advised of NIO's potential delisting from the NYSE stock market, though it is also apparent that a secondary listing in Singapore has been completed.Nonetheless, despite the multiple uncertainties, we reiterate our stand since our previous analysis, that NIO remains a promising EV stock with an interesting battery swap concept. As one of the leading companies in China, the company stands to gain critical market share from Tesla in China, in the EU market, and potentially in the US market, upon its eventual entry in the future.Therefore, NIO stock is highly suitable for speculative long-term investors, despite its current lack of profitability and the political uncertainty in China.NIO Reported Slowing Revenue Growth And Sustained Un-ProfitabilityNIO Revenue and Gross IncomeS&P Capital IQNIO reported revenues of $1.56B in FQ1'22, representing a YoY increase of 27.8%, though in line sequentially. The deceleration in revenue growth is partly attributed to supply chain production capacity for now, though we expect to see improvements by H2'22. However, it is also apparent that there is increasing pressure on its gross margins, given that the company reports YoY lower gross margin of 14.6% in FQ1'22 compared to 19.5% in FQ1'21. With rising battery and chip costs, we expect NIO's gross margins to continue declining in FQ2'22 before potentially recovering once the price hikes kick in by FQ3'22.In FQ1'22, NIO also delivered 25.7K vehicles for the quarter, representing in line sequentially and an exemplary increase of 37.6% YoY. NIO CEO William Bin Li said:Despite the volatilities of the supply chain and the challenges in vehicle delivery resulting from the recent COVID-19 resurgence, we witnessed robust demand for our complementary products and achieved an all-time high order inflow in May 2022. (Seeking Alpha)NIO Net Income and Net Income MarginS&P Capital IQNIO reported net incomes of -$287.8 and net income margins of -18.4% in FQ1'22, thereby highlighting its lack of profitability since its incorporation in 2014. The company has also been increasing its operational costs exponentially with a total of $595.6M expenses by FQ1'22, representing 38.1% of its revenues and an increase of 207.1% YoY. Nonetheless, given that NIO has kept its operating expenses relatively stable at an average of 33.6% in the past eight quarters, it is apparent that the management has been rather disciplined in cost control as well.NIO R&D and Selling General & Admin ExpensesS&P Capital IQNIO Long-Term Debt, Cash/ Equivalent, and Share DilutionS&P Capital IQDue to its lack of profitability, it is evident that NIO will likely rely on a combination of long-term debt and share-based compensation (SBC) for its expanding operations. By FQ1'22, the company had increased its reliance on debt by over 11-fold from $0.15B to $1.75B, while also diluting its shareholder by 55.5% since its IPO in September 2018. In FY2021 alone, NIO spent $158.5M in SBC, while drastically increasing the expenses to $74.6M by FQ1'22, representing an increase of 390.2% YoY. Assuming a similar rate of SBC expenses, we may expect the company to report up to $300M for FY2022. That would be a concern for many early investors, given that the company is not expected to report net income profitability until FY2024.NIO Will Most Likely Fail To Deliver In FQ2'22NIO Projected Revenue and Net IncomeS&P Capital IQOver the next three years, NIO is projected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 55.36% while also achieving profitability by FY2024 with a net income of $0.34B. For FY2022, consensus estimates that the company will report revenues of $9.15B with net incomes of -$0.88B, representing impressive YoY growth of 61% and 50%, respectively.Nonetheless, given the ongoing Zero Covid Policy in China, there is a likelihood of a downwards re-rating for NIO's FY2022 revenue, given Shanghai's continuous lockdowns. The company itself had guided FQ2'22 revenues in the range of $1.47B to $1.59B against consensus estimates of $1.79B, representing up to a 5.7% decline QoQ though a 12.2% growth YoY. We are also not convinced of NIO's delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles for FQ2'22, given that the company had only delivered 5.074K and 7.042K vehicles in April and May 2022 respectively, thereby requiring an ambitious delivery of 10.884K vehicles in June 2022. Though rather unlikely, we shall anticipate its delivery update by early July 2022.In contrast, we may expect improvement by H2'22 once NIO successfully expands its production capacity while also entering the auto market in Germany, The Netherlands, Sweden, and Denmark. Nonetheless, it is also important to note that these require an easing of China's Covid policy while a stabling of the global supply chain issues. We shall continue to monitor the situation.In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on NIO, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.NIO: Down 55% With Supercharged Growth - Time To Buy NowSo, Is NIO Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold? NIO 3Y EV/Revenue and P/E ValuationsS&P Capital IQNIO is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 2.58x and NTM P/E of -47.22x, lower than its 3Y mean of 7.12x and -83.60x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $18.14, down 67% from its 52 weeks high of $55.13, though at a 55.4% premium from its 52 weeks low of $11.67. It is apparent that the NIO stock has been on sideways price action since our last analysis in April 2022.NIO 3Y Stock PriceSeeking AlphaGiven the macro issues and China's unrelenting Zero Covid Policy, we are of the opinion that pain will not be ending anytime soon. Therefore, NIO's delivery would likely continue to be impacted until then, further reducing any chances of stock recovery in the short term.Though consensus estimates had rated NIO as an attractive buy with a price target of $38.33, we are of a more conservative opinion of a potential retracement by early July 2022, assuming that the company could not deliver on its FQ2'23 vehicle target. As a result, we encourage investors to wait for a deeper retracement before adding to their portfolio.Therefore, we rate NIO stock as a Hold for now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9022042259,"gmtCreate":1653447123371,"gmtModify":1676535284429,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9022042259","repostId":"1139099159","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139099159","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1653444320,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139099159?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-25 10:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tiger Chart | A History of S&P 500 Bear Markets Since 1929","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139099159","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The S&P 500 has experienced 25 bear markets since 1929. Among them, the worst one from 1929 to 1932 ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 has experienced 25 bear markets since 1929. Among them, the worst one from 1929 to 1932 experienced the longest duration in history, and its loss reached 86.2%, while the latest one occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.</p><p>On average, each bear market faced a loss of 33.4% and experienced about 331 days. Moreover, it would occur nearly every four years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e320175f3c959df19d6e36f9c45e64bd\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"1889\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Chart | A History of S&P 500 Bear Markets Since 1929</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Chart | A History of S&P 500 Bear Markets Since 1929\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-25 10:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 has experienced 25 bear markets since 1929. Among them, the worst one from 1929 to 1932 experienced the longest duration in history, and its loss reached 86.2%, while the latest one occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.</p><p>On average, each bear market faced a loss of 33.4% and experienced about 331 days. Moreover, it would occur nearly every four years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e320175f3c959df19d6e36f9c45e64bd\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"1889\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139099159","content_text":"The S&P 500 has experienced 25 bear markets since 1929. Among them, the worst one from 1929 to 1932 experienced the longest duration in history, and its loss reached 86.2%, while the latest one occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.On average, each bear market faced a loss of 33.4% and experienced about 331 days. Moreover, it would occur nearly every four years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9026930546,"gmtCreate":1653310983485,"gmtModify":1676535257867,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article to read and stay optimistic in times of Bear market","listText":"Good article to read and stay optimistic in times of Bear market","text":"Good article to read and stay optimistic in times of Bear market","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9026930546","repostId":"2237884509","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9016539598,"gmtCreate":1649205622891,"gmtModify":1676534469763,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$$$ to invest in Twitter?","listText":"$$$ to invest in Twitter?","text":"$$$ to invest in Twitter?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016539598","repostId":"2225585478","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9013467930,"gmtCreate":1648770551009,"gmtModify":1676534393651,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"On my watchlist","listText":"On my watchlist","text":"On my watchlist","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9013467930","repostId":"2223033801","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2223033801","pubTimestamp":1648709994,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2223033801?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-31 14:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Smartest Stocks to Buy With $300 on the Dip","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2223033801","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"A stock market correction is the perfect time for investors to buy high-quality companies at a discount.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investing in the stock market has been a bit of an adventure in 2022. Over the past three months, all three major U.S. indexes have undergone their steepest corrections in two years. In fact, the technology-dependent <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> briefly entered bear market territory.</p><p>While the velocity of moves lower in the broad-market indexes can, at times, be scary, the key thing to remember is that pullbacks are always an opportunity for patient investors to go on the offensive. That&#39;s because every single crash or correction throughout history has eventually been placed into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F672138%2Frolled-up-cash-money-invest-save-three-hundred-dollars-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p>Just as important, you don&#39;t need a mountain of cash to take advantage of these dips in the stock market. Since most online brokerages ditched commission fees and minimum deposit requirements, any amount of money -- even $300 -- can be the perfect amount to invest.</p><p>If you have $300 at the ready, which won&#39;t be needed for bills or to cover emergencies, here are some of the smartest stocks you can buy on the dip.</p><h2>Teladoc Health</h2><p>The first beaten-down stock to buy with $300 is the kingpin of telemedicine, <b>Teladoc Health</b>.</p><p>Skeptics have had two big issues with Teladoc over the past year. To begin with, they believe the company has enjoyed a pandemic-related benefit and its growth will slow dramatically when we exit the pandemic. Second, skeptics are concerned about Teladoc&#39;s back-to-back years of larger-than-expected losses following the pricey acquisition of Livongo Health. While I understand where this opposing view is coming from, neither of these headwinds has legs to stand on.</p><p>Although Teladoc did benefit nicely during the initial stages of the pandemic, investors need to recognize that this shift to virtual visit healthcare platforms began well before 2020. In the six years leading up to the pandemic, Teladoc&#39;s sales grew by an average annual rate of 74%! That&#39;s not a fluke. It&#39;s a sign that the way personalized care is administered in the U.S. is changing.</p><p>Telehealth is a win for all parties up and down the healthcare treatment chain. It&#39;s often more convenient for patients to connect with physicians from their homes, while virtual visits allow physicians to keep better tabs on chronically ill patients. The end result should be improved patient outcomes and less money out of the pockets of health insurers.</p><p>As for Teladoc&#39;s larger losses, these should be a thing of the past. With Livongo&#39;s integration costs and stock-based compensation expected to decline significantly in 2022, the company has a pretty clear path to profitability by 2024, if not sooner.</p><p>Furthermore, don&#39;t overlook the importance of Teladoc and Livongo being able to cross-sell on each other&#39;s platforms. Though the Livongo deal was pricey in hindsight, it&#39;s going to fuel sustainable sales growth of 20% to 30% throughout the decade. This makes the nearly 80% retracement in Teladoc&#39;s shares since February 2021 an ideal buying opportunity.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F672138%2F5g-wireless-network-circuit-telecom-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Qorvo</h2><p>Another smart stock that&#39;s begging to be bought with $300 is semiconductor solutions company <b>Qorvo</b>. Shares have retraced by roughly 35% over the past nine months, which doesn&#39;t make much sense given how well Qorvo has been executing.</p><p>There are three core catalysts that should have investors excited about the discount they can nab on Qorvo right now.</p><p>To start with, it should be a prime beneficiary of the 5G wireless revolution. It&#39;s been about a decade since wireless download speeds were meaningfully improved. Upgrading 5G wireless infrastructure should encourage a steady device replacement cycle that lasts for years. Qorvo is responsible for providing a variety of connectivity solutions used in next-generation smartphones. Thus, the more smartphones that are manufactured and sold, the more opportunity the company has to get its solutions into 5G-capable devices.</p><p>The second catalyst, which effectively builds on the first, is Qorvo&#39;s tight-knit relationship with <b>Apple</b>. Last year, Apple was responsible for approximately 30% of Qorvo&#39;s annual sales.  There may not be a company in the world with a more loyal customer base than Apple, meaning the 5G-capable iPhone, and its many variations, should continue to drive revenue and profit growth for Qorvo.</p><p>The third upside impetus is the company&#39;s ancillary revenue opportunities outside of smartphones. For instance, Qorvo provides advanced antennas that allow next-gen automobiles to connect to the cloud. While these ancillary revenue streams take a back seat to smartphones in terms of total sales, they&#39;ll likely be a faster growth opportunity throughout the decade.</p><p>With Qorvo offering low double-digit sales growth and a forward-year price-to-earnings ratio of just 10, it looks to be a perfect blend of growth and value.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F672138%2Fwoman-talk-smartphone-city-wireless-5g-4g-data-voicemail-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>AT&amp;T</h2><p>For you value investors, telecom stock <b>AT&amp;T</b> might just be one of the smartest places to put $300 to work right now. Shares of the widely followed company have retraced by 30% since hitting a 52-week high back in May 2021.</p><p>The big knock against AT&amp;T in recent years has been its lack of growth and the high debt levels that have somewhat constrained its financial flexibility. The good news is AT&amp;T has a way to address both of these concerns in the coming years.</p><p>To echo what was said about Qorvo, AT&amp;T should notably benefit from the ongoing rollout of 5G wireless infrastructure. Even though it&#39;ll be costly and time-consuming for AT&amp;T to upgrade its network, faster download speeds will encourage the company&#39;s wireless subscribers to use more data. Since data consumption drives the company&#39;s juicy wireless margin, it&#39;s a no-brainer way to boost its organic growth rate.</p><p>The other significant growth catalyst for AT&amp;T is the coming spin-off of its content arm, WarnerMedia, and the subsequent merging of WarnerMedia with <b>Discovery</b> to create a new media entity. This new company, WarnerMedia-Discovery (no points awarded for originality), should recognize more than $3 billion in annual cost savings and have in the neighborhood of 94 million streaming customers (on a pro forma basis).</p><p>Following the spinoff, AT&amp;T will be focused on debt reduction. Even though its dividend will be slightly more than halved in order to reduce cash outflow and pay down debt, the company will maintain its high-yield status. This superior yield can come in especially handy in a high-inflation environment.</p><p>Compared to Teladoc and Qorvo, AT&amp;T is a turtle on the growth front. But its telecom and media operations are highly profitable and very predictable from a cash flow perspective. This makes AT&amp;T&#39;s shares an absolute steal at less than 8 times forecast earnings for 2022.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Smartest Stocks to Buy With $300 on the Dip</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Smartest Stocks to Buy With $300 on the Dip\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-31 14:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/30/the-smartest-stocks-to-buy-with-300-on-the-dip/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investing in the stock market has been a bit of an adventure in 2022. Over the past three months, all three major U.S. indexes have undergone their steepest corrections in two years. In fact, the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/30/the-smartest-stocks-to-buy-with-300-on-the-dip/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4167":"医疗保健技术","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4115":"综合电信业务","QRVO":"Qorvo, Inc.","T":"美国电话电报","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/30/the-smartest-stocks-to-buy-with-300-on-the-dip/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2223033801","content_text":"Investing in the stock market has been a bit of an adventure in 2022. Over the past three months, all three major U.S. indexes have undergone their steepest corrections in two years. In fact, the technology-dependent Nasdaq Composite briefly entered bear market territory.While the velocity of moves lower in the broad-market indexes can, at times, be scary, the key thing to remember is that pullbacks are always an opportunity for patient investors to go on the offensive. That's because every single crash or correction throughout history has eventually been placed into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally.Image source: Getty Images.Just as important, you don't need a mountain of cash to take advantage of these dips in the stock market. Since most online brokerages ditched commission fees and minimum deposit requirements, any amount of money -- even $300 -- can be the perfect amount to invest.If you have $300 at the ready, which won't be needed for bills or to cover emergencies, here are some of the smartest stocks you can buy on the dip.Teladoc HealthThe first beaten-down stock to buy with $300 is the kingpin of telemedicine, Teladoc Health.Skeptics have had two big issues with Teladoc over the past year. To begin with, they believe the company has enjoyed a pandemic-related benefit and its growth will slow dramatically when we exit the pandemic. Second, skeptics are concerned about Teladoc's back-to-back years of larger-than-expected losses following the pricey acquisition of Livongo Health. While I understand where this opposing view is coming from, neither of these headwinds has legs to stand on.Although Teladoc did benefit nicely during the initial stages of the pandemic, investors need to recognize that this shift to virtual visit healthcare platforms began well before 2020. In the six years leading up to the pandemic, Teladoc's sales grew by an average annual rate of 74%! That's not a fluke. It's a sign that the way personalized care is administered in the U.S. is changing.Telehealth is a win for all parties up and down the healthcare treatment chain. It's often more convenient for patients to connect with physicians from their homes, while virtual visits allow physicians to keep better tabs on chronically ill patients. The end result should be improved patient outcomes and less money out of the pockets of health insurers.As for Teladoc's larger losses, these should be a thing of the past. With Livongo's integration costs and stock-based compensation expected to decline significantly in 2022, the company has a pretty clear path to profitability by 2024, if not sooner.Furthermore, don't overlook the importance of Teladoc and Livongo being able to cross-sell on each other's platforms. Though the Livongo deal was pricey in hindsight, it's going to fuel sustainable sales growth of 20% to 30% throughout the decade. This makes the nearly 80% retracement in Teladoc's shares since February 2021 an ideal buying opportunity.Image source: Getty Images.QorvoAnother smart stock that's begging to be bought with $300 is semiconductor solutions company Qorvo. Shares have retraced by roughly 35% over the past nine months, which doesn't make much sense given how well Qorvo has been executing.There are three core catalysts that should have investors excited about the discount they can nab on Qorvo right now.To start with, it should be a prime beneficiary of the 5G wireless revolution. It's been about a decade since wireless download speeds were meaningfully improved. Upgrading 5G wireless infrastructure should encourage a steady device replacement cycle that lasts for years. Qorvo is responsible for providing a variety of connectivity solutions used in next-generation smartphones. Thus, the more smartphones that are manufactured and sold, the more opportunity the company has to get its solutions into 5G-capable devices.The second catalyst, which effectively builds on the first, is Qorvo's tight-knit relationship with Apple. Last year, Apple was responsible for approximately 30% of Qorvo's annual sales.  There may not be a company in the world with a more loyal customer base than Apple, meaning the 5G-capable iPhone, and its many variations, should continue to drive revenue and profit growth for Qorvo.The third upside impetus is the company's ancillary revenue opportunities outside of smartphones. For instance, Qorvo provides advanced antennas that allow next-gen automobiles to connect to the cloud. While these ancillary revenue streams take a back seat to smartphones in terms of total sales, they'll likely be a faster growth opportunity throughout the decade.With Qorvo offering low double-digit sales growth and a forward-year price-to-earnings ratio of just 10, it looks to be a perfect blend of growth and value.Image source: Getty Images.AT&TFor you value investors, telecom stock AT&T might just be one of the smartest places to put $300 to work right now. Shares of the widely followed company have retraced by 30% since hitting a 52-week high back in May 2021.The big knock against AT&T in recent years has been its lack of growth and the high debt levels that have somewhat constrained its financial flexibility. The good news is AT&T has a way to address both of these concerns in the coming years.To echo what was said about Qorvo, AT&T should notably benefit from the ongoing rollout of 5G wireless infrastructure. Even though it'll be costly and time-consuming for AT&T to upgrade its network, faster download speeds will encourage the company's wireless subscribers to use more data. Since data consumption drives the company's juicy wireless margin, it's a no-brainer way to boost its organic growth rate.The other significant growth catalyst for AT&T is the coming spin-off of its content arm, WarnerMedia, and the subsequent merging of WarnerMedia with Discovery to create a new media entity. This new company, WarnerMedia-Discovery (no points awarded for originality), should recognize more than $3 billion in annual cost savings and have in the neighborhood of 94 million streaming customers (on a pro forma basis).Following the spinoff, AT&T will be focused on debt reduction. Even though its dividend will be slightly more than halved in order to reduce cash outflow and pay down debt, the company will maintain its high-yield status. This superior yield can come in especially handy in a high-inflation environment.Compared to Teladoc and Qorvo, AT&T is a turtle on the growth front. But its telecom and media operations are highly profitable and very predictable from a cash flow perspective. This makes AT&T's shares an absolute steal at less than 8 times forecast earnings for 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032997544,"gmtCreate":1647255158883,"gmtModify":1676534208277,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤣","listText":"🤣","text":"🤣","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032997544","repostId":"1102124745","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102124745","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1647242442,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102124745?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-14 15:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Shares Fell Nearly 10% in Hong Kong Market, Tencent Fell Nearly 7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102124745","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alibaba shares fell nearly 10% in Hong Kong market, Tencent fell nearly 7%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Alibaba shares fell nearly 10% in Hong Kong market, Tencent fell nearly 7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32d17c1f972ae53eaeeb6618759c77cd\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Shares Fell Nearly 10% in Hong Kong Market, Tencent Fell Nearly 7%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Shares Fell Nearly 10% in Hong Kong Market, Tencent Fell Nearly 7%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-14 15:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Alibaba shares fell nearly 10% in Hong Kong market, Tencent fell nearly 7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32d17c1f972ae53eaeeb6618759c77cd\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR","BABA":"阿里巴巴","00700":"腾讯控股","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102124745","content_text":"Alibaba shares fell nearly 10% in Hong Kong market, Tencent fell nearly 7%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9055476714,"gmtCreate":1655306936938,"gmtModify":1676535609587,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For mid to long term investor","listText":"For mid to long term investor","text":"For mid to long term investor","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055476714","repostId":"2243494679","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243494679","pubTimestamp":1655306454,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243494679?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 23:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Could Fail In FQ2 2022 - But The Patient May Be Rewarded By H2 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243494679","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Investment ThesisIt is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2><b>Investment Thesis</b></h2><p>It is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from FQ2&#39;22 onwards, given the massive impact of China&#39;s ongoing Zero Covid Policy in Shanghai. The company would need to go above and beyond the impossible to achieve its delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles in FQ2&#39;22, given that Tesla (TSLA) had also struggled to reach pre-lockdown deliveries in May 2022. Given the complexity of auto supply chains, it is unlikely that NIO would be able to report an impressive YoY comparison in FQ2&#39;22, thus suggesting a stagnant stock valuation and prices moving forward, if not a retracement. As a result, we would advise interested investors to wait and observe a little longer before adding more NIO stock to their portfolios.</p><p>Risk-averse investors would be well advised of NIO&#39;s potential delisting from the NYSE stock market, though it is also apparent that a secondary listing in Singapore has been completed.</p><p>Nonetheless, despite the multiple uncertainties, we reiterate our stand since our previous analysis, that NIO remains a promising EV stock with an interesting battery swap concept. As <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the leading companies in China, the company stands to gain critical market share from Tesla in China, in the EU market, and potentially in the US market, upon its eventual entry in the future.</p><p>Therefore, NIO stock is highly suitable for speculative long-term investors, despite its current lack of profitability and the political uncertainty in China.</p><h2><b>NIO Reported Slowing Revenue Growth And Sustained Un-Profitability</b></h2><p><b>NIO Revenue and Gross Income</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5626d65bcd14ea9e68ba8f4282a46d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>NIO reported revenues of $1.56B in FQ1&#39;22, representing a YoY increase of 27.8%, though in line sequentially. The deceleration in revenue growth is partly attributed to supply chain production capacity for now, though we expect to see improvements by H2&#39;22. However, it is also apparent that there is increasing pressure on its gross margins, given that the company reports YoY lower gross margin of 14.6% in FQ1&#39;22 compared to 19.5% in FQ1&#39;21. With rising battery and chip costs, we expect NIO&#39;s gross margins to continue declining in FQ2&#39;22 before potentially recovering once the price hikes kick in by FQ3&#39;22.</p><p>In FQ1&#39;22, NIO also delivered 25.7K vehicles for the quarter, representing in line sequentially and an exemplary increase of 37.6% YoY. NIO CEO William Bin Li said:</p><blockquote>Despite the volatilities of the supply chain and the challenges in vehicle delivery resulting from the recent COVID-19 resurgence, we witnessed robust demand for our complementary products and achieved an all-time high order inflow in May 2022. (Seeking Alpha)</blockquote><p><b>NIO Net Income and Net Income Margin</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/704aba7cd5e743697335b2ee75e16612\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>NIO reported net incomes of -$287.8 and net income margins of -18.4% in FQ1&#39;22, thereby highlighting its lack of profitability since its incorporation in 2014. The company has also been increasing its operational costs exponentially with a total of $595.6M expenses by FQ1&#39;22, representing 38.1% of its revenues and an increase of 207.1% YoY. Nonetheless, given that NIO has kept its operating expenses relatively stable at an average of 33.6% in the past eight quarters, it is apparent that the management has been rather disciplined in cost control as well.</p><p><b>NIO R&amp;D and Selling General &amp; Admin Expenses</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b76193ccef6cf51d6ce1cb26b52b84e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p><b>NIO Long-Term Debt, Cash/ Equivalent, and Share Dilution</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beb728a98a6a79d4c7cf83ca56b7a370\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Due to its lack of profitability, it is evident that NIO will likely rely on a combination of long-term debt and share-based compensation (SBC) for its expanding operations. By FQ1&#39;22, the company had increased its reliance on debt by over 11-fold from $0.15B to $1.75B, while also diluting its shareholder by 55.5% since its IPO in September 2018. In FY2021 alone, NIO spent $158.5M in SBC, while drastically increasing the expenses to $74.6M by FQ1&#39;22, representing an increase of 390.2% YoY. Assuming a similar rate of SBC expenses, we may expect the company to report up to $300M for FY2022. That would be a concern for many early investors, given that the company is not expected to report net income profitability until FY2024.</p><h2>NIO Will Most Likely Fail To Deliver In FQ2&#39;22</h2><p><b>NIO Projected Revenue and Net Income</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e431100e75de1993cf165583a915cbb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Over the next three years, NIO is projected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 55.36% while also achieving profitability by FY2024 with a net income of $0.34B. For FY2022, consensus estimates that the company will report revenues of $9.15B with net incomes of -$0.88B, representing impressive YoY growth of 61% and 50%, respectively.</p><p>Nonetheless, given the ongoing Zero Covid Policy in China, there is a likelihood of a downwards re-rating for NIO&#39;s FY2022 revenue, given Shanghai&#39;s continuous lockdowns. The company itself had guided FQ2&#39;22 revenues in the range of $1.47B to $1.59B against consensus estimates of $1.79B, representing up to a 5.7% decline QoQ though a 12.2% growth YoY. We are also not convinced of NIO&#39;s delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles for FQ2&#39;22, given that the company had only delivered 5.074K and 7.042K vehicles in April and May 2022 respectively, thereby requiring an ambitious delivery of 10.884K vehicles in June 2022. Though rather unlikely, we shall anticipate its delivery update by early July 2022.</p><p>In contrast, we may expect improvement by H2&#39;22 once NIO successfully expands its production capacity while also entering the auto market in Germany, The Netherlands, Sweden, and Denmark. Nonetheless, it is also important to note that these require an easing of China&#39;s Covid policy while a stabling of the global supply chain issues. We shall continue to monitor the situation.</p><p>In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on NIO, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.</p><ul><li>NIO: Down 55% With Supercharged Growth - Time To Buy Now</li></ul><h2><b>So, Is NIO Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></h2><h2><b> </b></h2><p><b>NIO 3Y EV/Revenue and P/E Valuations</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2d07698f9480734680a03d86b698970\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"225\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>NIO is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 2.58x and NTM P/E of -47.22x, lower than its 3Y mean of 7.12x and -83.60x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $18.14, down 67% from its 52 weeks high of $55.13, though at a 55.4% premium from its 52 weeks low of $11.67. It is apparent that the NIO stock has been on sideways price action since our last analysis in April 2022.</p><p><b>NIO 3Y Stock Price</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad1ad9132060d18429ffb22f39607a5a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"217\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Given the macro issues and China&#39;s unrelenting Zero Covid Policy, we are of the opinion that pain will not be ending anytime soon. Therefore, NIO&#39;s delivery would likely continue to be impacted until then, further reducing any chances of stock recovery in the short term.</p><p>Though consensus estimates had rated NIO as an attractive buy with a price target of $38.33, we are of a more conservative opinion of a potential retracement by early July 2022, assuming that the company could not deliver on its FQ2&#39;23 vehicle target. As a result, we encourage investors to wait for a deeper retracement before adding to their portfolio.</p><p>Therefore, we <i>rate NIO stock as a Hold for now.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Could Fail In FQ2 2022 - But The Patient May Be Rewarded By H2 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Could Fail In FQ2 2022 - But The Patient May Be Rewarded By H2 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 23:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518234-nio-could-fail-q2-2022-but-patience-rewarded-h2-2022><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investment ThesisIt is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from FQ2'22 onwards, given the massive impact of China's ongoing Zero Covid Policy in Shanghai. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518234-nio-could-fail-q2-2022-but-patience-rewarded-h2-2022\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO.SI":"蔚来","NIO":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518234-nio-could-fail-q2-2022-but-patience-rewarded-h2-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243494679","content_text":"Investment ThesisIt is evident that NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) will face a challenging YoY comparison from FQ2'22 onwards, given the massive impact of China's ongoing Zero Covid Policy in Shanghai. The company would need to go above and beyond the impossible to achieve its delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles in FQ2'22, given that Tesla (TSLA) had also struggled to reach pre-lockdown deliveries in May 2022. Given the complexity of auto supply chains, it is unlikely that NIO would be able to report an impressive YoY comparison in FQ2'22, thus suggesting a stagnant stock valuation and prices moving forward, if not a retracement. As a result, we would advise interested investors to wait and observe a little longer before adding more NIO stock to their portfolios.Risk-averse investors would be well advised of NIO's potential delisting from the NYSE stock market, though it is also apparent that a secondary listing in Singapore has been completed.Nonetheless, despite the multiple uncertainties, we reiterate our stand since our previous analysis, that NIO remains a promising EV stock with an interesting battery swap concept. As one of the leading companies in China, the company stands to gain critical market share from Tesla in China, in the EU market, and potentially in the US market, upon its eventual entry in the future.Therefore, NIO stock is highly suitable for speculative long-term investors, despite its current lack of profitability and the political uncertainty in China.NIO Reported Slowing Revenue Growth And Sustained Un-ProfitabilityNIO Revenue and Gross IncomeS&P Capital IQNIO reported revenues of $1.56B in FQ1'22, representing a YoY increase of 27.8%, though in line sequentially. The deceleration in revenue growth is partly attributed to supply chain production capacity for now, though we expect to see improvements by H2'22. However, it is also apparent that there is increasing pressure on its gross margins, given that the company reports YoY lower gross margin of 14.6% in FQ1'22 compared to 19.5% in FQ1'21. With rising battery and chip costs, we expect NIO's gross margins to continue declining in FQ2'22 before potentially recovering once the price hikes kick in by FQ3'22.In FQ1'22, NIO also delivered 25.7K vehicles for the quarter, representing in line sequentially and an exemplary increase of 37.6% YoY. NIO CEO William Bin Li said:Despite the volatilities of the supply chain and the challenges in vehicle delivery resulting from the recent COVID-19 resurgence, we witnessed robust demand for our complementary products and achieved an all-time high order inflow in May 2022. (Seeking Alpha)NIO Net Income and Net Income MarginS&P Capital IQNIO reported net incomes of -$287.8 and net income margins of -18.4% in FQ1'22, thereby highlighting its lack of profitability since its incorporation in 2014. The company has also been increasing its operational costs exponentially with a total of $595.6M expenses by FQ1'22, representing 38.1% of its revenues and an increase of 207.1% YoY. Nonetheless, given that NIO has kept its operating expenses relatively stable at an average of 33.6% in the past eight quarters, it is apparent that the management has been rather disciplined in cost control as well.NIO R&D and Selling General & Admin ExpensesS&P Capital IQNIO Long-Term Debt, Cash/ Equivalent, and Share DilutionS&P Capital IQDue to its lack of profitability, it is evident that NIO will likely rely on a combination of long-term debt and share-based compensation (SBC) for its expanding operations. By FQ1'22, the company had increased its reliance on debt by over 11-fold from $0.15B to $1.75B, while also diluting its shareholder by 55.5% since its IPO in September 2018. In FY2021 alone, NIO spent $158.5M in SBC, while drastically increasing the expenses to $74.6M by FQ1'22, representing an increase of 390.2% YoY. Assuming a similar rate of SBC expenses, we may expect the company to report up to $300M for FY2022. That would be a concern for many early investors, given that the company is not expected to report net income profitability until FY2024.NIO Will Most Likely Fail To Deliver In FQ2'22NIO Projected Revenue and Net IncomeS&P Capital IQOver the next three years, NIO is projected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 55.36% while also achieving profitability by FY2024 with a net income of $0.34B. For FY2022, consensus estimates that the company will report revenues of $9.15B with net incomes of -$0.88B, representing impressive YoY growth of 61% and 50%, respectively.Nonetheless, given the ongoing Zero Covid Policy in China, there is a likelihood of a downwards re-rating for NIO's FY2022 revenue, given Shanghai's continuous lockdowns. The company itself had guided FQ2'22 revenues in the range of $1.47B to $1.59B against consensus estimates of $1.79B, representing up to a 5.7% decline QoQ though a 12.2% growth YoY. We are also not convinced of NIO's delivery guidance of at least 23K vehicles for FQ2'22, given that the company had only delivered 5.074K and 7.042K vehicles in April and May 2022 respectively, thereby requiring an ambitious delivery of 10.884K vehicles in June 2022. Though rather unlikely, we shall anticipate its delivery update by early July 2022.In contrast, we may expect improvement by H2'22 once NIO successfully expands its production capacity while also entering the auto market in Germany, The Netherlands, Sweden, and Denmark. Nonetheless, it is also important to note that these require an easing of China's Covid policy while a stabling of the global supply chain issues. We shall continue to monitor the situation.In the meantime, we encourage you to read our previous article on NIO, which would help you better understand its position and market opportunities.NIO: Down 55% With Supercharged Growth - Time To Buy NowSo, Is NIO Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold? NIO 3Y EV/Revenue and P/E ValuationsS&P Capital IQNIO is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 2.58x and NTM P/E of -47.22x, lower than its 3Y mean of 7.12x and -83.60x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $18.14, down 67% from its 52 weeks high of $55.13, though at a 55.4% premium from its 52 weeks low of $11.67. It is apparent that the NIO stock has been on sideways price action since our last analysis in April 2022.NIO 3Y Stock PriceSeeking AlphaGiven the macro issues and China's unrelenting Zero Covid Policy, we are of the opinion that pain will not be ending anytime soon. Therefore, NIO's delivery would likely continue to be impacted until then, further reducing any chances of stock recovery in the short term.Though consensus estimates had rated NIO as an attractive buy with a price target of $38.33, we are of a more conservative opinion of a potential retracement by early July 2022, assuming that the company could not deliver on its FQ2'23 vehicle target. As a result, we encourage investors to wait for a deeper retracement before adding to their portfolio.Therefore, we rate NIO stock as a Hold for now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9022042259,"gmtCreate":1653447123371,"gmtModify":1676535284429,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9022042259","repostId":"1139099159","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9013467930,"gmtCreate":1648770551009,"gmtModify":1676534393651,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"On my watchlist","listText":"On my watchlist","text":"On my watchlist","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9013467930","repostId":"2223033801","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9016539598,"gmtCreate":1649205622891,"gmtModify":1676534469763,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$$$ to invest in Twitter?","listText":"$$$ to invest in Twitter?","text":"$$$ to invest in Twitter?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016539598","repostId":"2225585478","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2225585478","pubTimestamp":1649149417,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2225585478?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-05 17:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Re-Evaluating Twitter After Massive Elon Musk Buy-In","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2225585478","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"peepo/E+ via Getty ImagesShares of Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) are back in play after billionaire and Tesla ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1313253634/image_1313253634.jpg?io=getty-c-w750\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>peepo/E+ via Getty Images</p><p></p><p>Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> (NYSE:TWTR) are back in play after billionaire and Tesla founder Elon Musk disclosed a massive 9.2% stake in the micro-blogging platform yesterday. Despite a large increase in the valuation of Twitter, I believe the firm&#39;s commercial growth is still cheap and the risk profile remains heavily skewed to the upside.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/4/5/saupload_2df5cd4e9dcbe76f0e948a2631ccc59c.png\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><h2><b>Previous position on Twitter</b></h2><p>Months ago, I presented Twitter as a potential investment due to the firm&#39;s undervalued ad business, strong user growth and significant free cash flow generation of the platform. While Twitter may be a controversial investment for some, I do not take political sides and have been focused solely on the firm&#39;s strong platform metrics, especially with respect to average monetizable daily active usage.</p><p>Twitter&#39;s mDAUs soared to 217M in Q4&#39;21 with growth especially pronounced in the platform&#39;s international business. International mDAUs surged 24M in Q4&#39;21, year over year, to a record of 179M. In percentage terms, the international business grew at a 15% year over year rate. While growth is much more modest in the U.S., Twitter is still growing in its domestic market: the micro-blogging platform added 1M new mDAUs to its business in the last quarter, which calculates to a 2% year over year growth rate.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/4/53926820_16491397057597_rId4.png\" tg-width=\"733\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Twitter</p><p></p><h2><b>Elon Musk&#39;s investment in Twitter is a potential game-changer for the micro-blogging platform</b></h2><p>It was revealed yesterday that Elon Musk acquired a 9.2% stake in Twitter, sending shares of the platform soaring more than 27%. The Tesla chief acquired 73,486,938 shares in the social media company on March 14. The purchase immediately made Elon Musk the single largest shareholder of Twitter and raised speculation as to how &#34;passive&#34; the out-spoken billionaire is going to be. While Elon Musk&#39;s ultimate ambition regarding Twitter is not known, the market has been electrified by the acquisition, which could translate to additional valuation gains. Twitter has often been criticized for violating principles of free speech and a more activist role of Elon Musk could result in some positive change on Twitter&#39;s platform.</p><h2><b>Significant free cash flow value</b></h2><p>The acquisition of a 9.2% stake in Twitter has been a strong catalyst for shares of Twitter so far, but the real value of the social media company is its large user base and potential for material advertising revenue and free cash flow growth in the coming years. Twitter&#39;s free cash flow margins decreased in FY 2021, but this is chiefly due to higher capital expenditures and a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time litigation-related net charge of $766M in the third-quarter. If it wasn&#39;t for the settlement of a shareholder class action lawsuit, Twitter&#39;s free cash flow would have been positive in FY 2021.</p><p>Twitter&#39;s ad business shows a lot of promise as well. The ad business recovered strongly in FY 2021 and total advertising revenues surged 40% year over year to $4.5B. Twitter&#39;s ad revenues in the fourth-quarter soared 22% year over year to $1.41B.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/4/53926820_16491397057597_rId5.png\" tg-width=\"467\" tg-height=\"502\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Twitter</p><p></p><p>I believe Twitter could generate up to $600M in free cash flow in FY 2022 which would calculate to a free cash flow margin of around 10%. Because Twitter already settled its shareholder class action lawsuit in FY 2021, the firm&#39;s free cash flow margins are set to turn positive again in FY 2022.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>$ in 000&#39;s</p></td><td><p><b>FY 2018</b></p></td><td><p><b>FY 2019</b></p></td><td><p><b>FY 2020</b></p></td><td><p><b>FY 2021</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Revenues</p></td><td><p>$3,042,359</p></td><td><p>$3,459,329</p></td><td><p>$3,716,349</p></td><td><p>$5,077,482</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Cash Flow From Operating Activities</p></td><td><p>$1,339,711</p></td><td><p>$1,303,364</p></td><td><p>$992,870</p></td><td><p>$632,689</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Purchases of PPE</p></td><td><p>-$486,950</p></td><td><p>-$534,530</p></td><td><p>-$864,184</p></td><td><p>-$1,003,084</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Free Cash Flow</p></td><td><p>$852,761</p></td><td><p>$768,834</p></td><td><p>$128,686</p></td><td><p>-$370,395</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Free Cash Flow Margin</p></td><td><p>28.0%</p></td><td><p>22.2%</p></td><td><p>3.5%</p></td><td><p>-7.3%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>(Source: Author)</p><h2><b>Risks with Twitter</b></h2><p>There are a couple of risks that affect an investment in Twitter. The social media company is growing its user and revenue bases, but there is a risk of new messaging platforms popping up and stealing away users. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> (FB) reported its first-ever DAU decline last quarter and the stock reacted sensitively to this announcement. Should Twitter also start to lose users to other platforms, shares of Twitter may be up for a major revaluation.</p><p>Another risk I see is slowing platform revenue and free cash flow growth. Twitter&#39;s revenues soared 22% in the last quarter to $1.57B, but if revenue growth slowed, Twitter&#39;s valuation could come under increasing pressure.</p><h2><b>Final thoughts</b></h2><p>Elon Musk&#39;s engagement with Twitter is a potentially big deal for investors if he turned activist or increased his investment in the social media company.. which I believe is not out of the question. While Tesla&#39;s founder has said that he sees his stake in the micro-blogging platform as a passive investment, it won&#39;t take much for him to get more actively involved in Twitter&#39;s business. Besides Elon Musk&#39;s investment, the best reasons to buy Twitter are possibly the firm&#39;s strongly growing ad business as well as the firm&#39;s material free cash flow ramp that I expect for FY 2022!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Re-Evaluating Twitter After Massive Elon Musk Buy-In</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRe-Evaluating Twitter After Massive Elon Musk Buy-In\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-05 17:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4499792-reevaluating-twitter-after-elon-musk-buy-in><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>peepo/E+ via Getty ImagesShares of Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) are back in play after billionaire and Tesla founder Elon Musk disclosed a massive 9.2% stake in the micro-blogging platform yesterday. Despite a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4499792-reevaluating-twitter-after-elon-musk-buy-in\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4499792-reevaluating-twitter-after-elon-musk-buy-in","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2225585478","content_text":"peepo/E+ via Getty ImagesShares of Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) are back in play after billionaire and Tesla founder Elon Musk disclosed a massive 9.2% stake in the micro-blogging platform yesterday. Despite a large increase in the valuation of Twitter, I believe the firm's commercial growth is still cheap and the risk profile remains heavily skewed to the upside.Data by YChartsPrevious position on TwitterMonths ago, I presented Twitter as a potential investment due to the firm's undervalued ad business, strong user growth and significant free cash flow generation of the platform. While Twitter may be a controversial investment for some, I do not take political sides and have been focused solely on the firm's strong platform metrics, especially with respect to average monetizable daily active usage.Twitter's mDAUs soared to 217M in Q4'21 with growth especially pronounced in the platform's international business. International mDAUs surged 24M in Q4'21, year over year, to a record of 179M. In percentage terms, the international business grew at a 15% year over year rate. While growth is much more modest in the U.S., Twitter is still growing in its domestic market: the micro-blogging platform added 1M new mDAUs to its business in the last quarter, which calculates to a 2% year over year growth rate.TwitterElon Musk's investment in Twitter is a potential game-changer for the micro-blogging platformIt was revealed yesterday that Elon Musk acquired a 9.2% stake in Twitter, sending shares of the platform soaring more than 27%. The Tesla chief acquired 73,486,938 shares in the social media company on March 14. The purchase immediately made Elon Musk the single largest shareholder of Twitter and raised speculation as to how \"passive\" the out-spoken billionaire is going to be. While Elon Musk's ultimate ambition regarding Twitter is not known, the market has been electrified by the acquisition, which could translate to additional valuation gains. Twitter has often been criticized for violating principles of free speech and a more activist role of Elon Musk could result in some positive change on Twitter's platform.Significant free cash flow valueThe acquisition of a 9.2% stake in Twitter has been a strong catalyst for shares of Twitter so far, but the real value of the social media company is its large user base and potential for material advertising revenue and free cash flow growth in the coming years. Twitter's free cash flow margins decreased in FY 2021, but this is chiefly due to higher capital expenditures and a one-time litigation-related net charge of $766M in the third-quarter. If it wasn't for the settlement of a shareholder class action lawsuit, Twitter's free cash flow would have been positive in FY 2021.Twitter's ad business shows a lot of promise as well. The ad business recovered strongly in FY 2021 and total advertising revenues surged 40% year over year to $4.5B. Twitter's ad revenues in the fourth-quarter soared 22% year over year to $1.41B.TwitterI believe Twitter could generate up to $600M in free cash flow in FY 2022 which would calculate to a free cash flow margin of around 10%. Because Twitter already settled its shareholder class action lawsuit in FY 2021, the firm's free cash flow margins are set to turn positive again in FY 2022.$ in 000'sFY 2018FY 2019FY 2020FY 2021Revenues$3,042,359$3,459,329$3,716,349$5,077,482Cash Flow From Operating Activities$1,339,711$1,303,364$992,870$632,689Purchases of PPE-$486,950-$534,530-$864,184-$1,003,084Free Cash Flow$852,761$768,834$128,686-$370,395Free Cash Flow Margin28.0%22.2%3.5%-7.3%(Source: Author)Risks with TwitterThere are a couple of risks that affect an investment in Twitter. The social media company is growing its user and revenue bases, but there is a risk of new messaging platforms popping up and stealing away users. Meta Platforms (FB) reported its first-ever DAU decline last quarter and the stock reacted sensitively to this announcement. Should Twitter also start to lose users to other platforms, shares of Twitter may be up for a major revaluation.Another risk I see is slowing platform revenue and free cash flow growth. Twitter's revenues soared 22% in the last quarter to $1.57B, but if revenue growth slowed, Twitter's valuation could come under increasing pressure.Final thoughtsElon Musk's engagement with Twitter is a potentially big deal for investors if he turned activist or increased his investment in the social media company.. which I believe is not out of the question. While Tesla's founder has said that he sees his stake in the micro-blogging platform as a passive investment, it won't take much for him to get more actively involved in Twitter's business. Besides Elon Musk's investment, the best reasons to buy Twitter are possibly the firm's strongly growing ad business as well as the firm's material free cash flow ramp that I expect for FY 2022!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032997544,"gmtCreate":1647255158883,"gmtModify":1676534208277,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤣","listText":"🤣","text":"🤣","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032997544","repostId":"1102124745","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102124745","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1647242442,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102124745?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-14 15:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Shares Fell Nearly 10% in Hong Kong Market, Tencent Fell Nearly 7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102124745","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alibaba shares fell nearly 10% in Hong Kong market, Tencent fell nearly 7%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Alibaba shares fell nearly 10% in Hong Kong market, Tencent fell nearly 7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32d17c1f972ae53eaeeb6618759c77cd\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Shares Fell Nearly 10% in Hong Kong Market, Tencent Fell Nearly 7%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Shares Fell Nearly 10% in Hong Kong Market, Tencent Fell Nearly 7%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-14 15:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Alibaba shares fell nearly 10% in Hong Kong market, Tencent fell nearly 7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32d17c1f972ae53eaeeb6618759c77cd\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR","BABA":"阿里巴巴","00700":"腾讯控股","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102124745","content_text":"Alibaba shares fell nearly 10% in Hong Kong market, Tencent fell nearly 7%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049029070,"gmtCreate":1655724651790,"gmtModify":1676535693017,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agreed.Long term investors are less likely to be&nbsp;affected by market sentiment","listText":"Agreed.Long term investors are less likely to be&nbsp;affected by market sentiment","text":"Agreed.Long term investors are less likely to be affected by market sentiment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049029070","repostId":"2244493940","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9026930546,"gmtCreate":1653310983485,"gmtModify":1676535257867,"author":{"id":"4088659364279290","authorId":"4088659364279290","name":"TX3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088659364279290","authorIdStr":"4088659364279290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article to read and stay optimistic in times of Bear market","listText":"Good article to read and stay optimistic in times of Bear market","text":"Good article to read and stay optimistic in times of Bear market","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9026930546","repostId":"2237884509","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2237884509","pubTimestamp":1653291757,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2237884509?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-23 15:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How To Invest In A Bear Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2237884509","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is in a bear market, ~20% off its peak.Many high-quality businesses have their st","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 is in a bear market, ~20% off its peak.</li><li>Many high-quality businesses have their stock down more than 50%.</li><li>Bear markets feel like a risk as we go through them, but they appear as an opportunity in retrospect.</li><li>Emotions run high, but fortune favors the patient.</li><li>Let&#39;s review the playbook to go through a bear market unscathed.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/170860a23786e0a4eea90ff2945b8176\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"585\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>pictafolio/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p>Being an optimist is a superpower.</p><p>That&#39;s particularly true in times like these.</p><p>After another week in the house of pain, the Nasdaq (QQQ) is down 30% from its previous high. Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 5000 (SPY) is 20% off its peak, a threshold that would characterize a bear market.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3413a72f37c75d776401480b027f03e\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>If this sell-off is a typical market correction like we&#39;ve seen in 2018 or 2020, we may be near the bottom. However, if this is the start of a prolonged bear market, watch below.</p><p>Ben Carlson shared on his blog (A Wealth Of Common Sense) the history of S&amp;P 500 bear markets since 1950:</p><blockquote><i>Over 15 bear markets, the average downturn is a loss of 30%, lasting just under a year to reach the bottom and taking a little more than <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-and-a-half years to break even.</i></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5a634d10eb4b4e139377eb46ea1f56f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"447\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>S&amp;P Bear Markets Since 1950 (A Wealth Of Common Sense)</span></p><p>So if we are currently going through an average bear market, we&#39;ll reach the bottom toward the end of 2022, and we&#39;ll be back at the previous high by July 2023. It could be shorter, or it could be longer. There is no way to know.</p><p>It&#39;s important to note that only three bear markets took significantly longer to recover: 1973, 2000, and 2008. These were outliers (3 out of 15 bear markets). Each time, it took more than four years to get back to even. As a result, I would never invest money in stocks that I don&#39;t plan to keep invested for at least five years.</p><p>A temporary 20% or 30% sell-off doesn&#39;t sound bad on paper because the premise assumes it&#39;s temporary. But in the middle of a bear market, our brains tend to extrapolate and think it will get worse (which may or may not be true). Morgan Housel explained in a blog post:</p><blockquote><i>All past declines look like opportunities and all future declines look like risks. It’s one of the great ironies in investing. But it happens for a reason: When studying history you know how the story ends, and it’s impossible to un-remember what you know today when thinking about the past. So it’s hard to imagine alternative outcomes when looking backward, but when looking ahead you know there are a thousand different paths we could end up on.</i></blockquote><p>Today, chances are you care more about whether stocks will fall <i>another</i> 20% or start rebounding soon. However, many years from now, what will matter is probably to have been a net buyer of stocks throughout this entire period.</p><p>If you are in the wealth accumulation phase of your life, with a regular paycheck and monthly savings to invest, a bear market is something to celebrate. However, it certainly doesn&#39;t feel good, particularly when your existing portfolio shrinks by the day. Shelby Cullom Davis said:</p><blockquote><i>You make most of your money in a bear market, you just don’t realize it at the time.</i></blockquote><p>The greatest challenge in moments like these is to stay the course and not blow up your brokerage account. To do so, being an optimist goes a long way.</p><p>You&#39;ll come across perma-bears who believe the stock market is about to enter the worst period ever seen. They&#39;ll say that earnings are about to fall, and we may enter a recession like no other. Peter Lynch explained:</p><blockquote><i>“This one is different,” is the doomsayer’s litany, and, in fact, every recession is different, but that doesn’t mean it’s going to ruin us.</i></blockquote><p>Ultimately, market downturns are a great time to buy stocks. Valuations have cooled off, and future returns look better today than in many years. So having a buyer&#39;s mentality in the face of a market meltdown is essential. Warren Buffett explained:</p><blockquote><i>A market downturn doesn’t bother us. It is an opportunity to increase our ownership of great companies with great management at good prices.</i></blockquote><p>Easier said than done?</p><p>Let&#39;s review the playbook to go through a bear market unscathed.</p><p><b>1) Zoom out.</b></p><p>Great long-term investing is 1% buying and 99% waiting.</p><p>Unfortunately, many investors feel lazy if they don&#39;t tinker with their portfolios regularly. Instead, a disciplined investor should look beyond the short-term concerns.</p><p>The past few decades had their fair share of inflation, rising interest rates, wars, and recessions. Yet, looking at the performance of the MSCI World Index in the past 50 years can help gain some perspective. One dollar invested in 1970 would have grown to $68 by 2018. And the journey to get there was filled with bear markets of all kinds. Yet, staying invested through thick and thin led to an excellent outcome.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ab81195eb2e3587a7819d6957fa36be\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Growth of $1 in the past 70 years (WealthSmart)</span></p><p>Many investors believe they can time in and out of the market based on macro factors. However, the market is forward-looking and tends to rebound long before an individual investor would feel ready to get back in. Peter Lynch explained:</p><blockquote><i>[...] every economic recovery since World War II has been preceded by a stock market rally. And these rallies often start when conditions are grim.</i></blockquote><p>On average, recessions last 11 months (vs. 67 months for economic expansions). The take-away from the chart below should be obvious. Why would you spend your time preparing for recessions? They are relatively short and unpredictable. And even with perfect information about the economy, you wouldn&#39;t be able to predict how the stock market will react.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c2ef9e05a6b3ae4e0c025e213670a60\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"735\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Recessions &amp; Expansions (Visual Capitalist)</span></p><p>Despite history telling us that trading in and out of stocks is a weapon of alpha destruction, some investors can&#39;t help themselves. Again, market timing is a lovely idea in concept. But nobody can predict market tops and bottoms repeatedly with accuracy.</p><p>As explained in my article about 5 Ways To Prepare for The Next Stock Market Crash, recognizing how often market crashes happen can give you a better idea of what you are getting into when investing in equities. Here is the historical frequency of pullbacks identified since 1928:</p><table><tbody><tr><td><b>Market drawdown</b></td><td><b>Historical Frequency</b></td></tr><tr><td>10%</td><td>Every 11 months</td></tr><tr><td>15%</td><td>Every 24 months</td></tr><tr><td>20%</td><td>Every four years</td></tr><tr><td>30%</td><td>Every decade</td></tr><tr><td>40%</td><td>Every few decades</td></tr><tr><td>50%</td><td>2-3 times per century</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Again, the S&amp;P 500 is already 20% off its peak. And it would be silly to expect all market sell-offs will turn into the Great Depression. We have already had two bear markets of epic proportion in the past two decades, and our instinct is to assume more of the same. History tells us that it&#39;s possible but also unlikely. We just don&#39;t know.</p><p>That&#39;s why great investing starts with humility. Once we accept that the future is uncertain and that trying to predict it is a fool&#39;s errand, we are more likely to adapt our strategy for <i>sustainability</i> and <i>survivability</i>.</p><p><b>2) Document your decisions.</b></p><p>In his book <i>The Money Game</i>, Adam Smith explained:</p><blockquote><i>If you don&#39;t know who you are, [the stock market] is an expensive place to find out.</i></blockquote><p>Despite our best intentions, we can still fail. That&#39;s true of most things in life. Being married or parenting are perfect examples. Many of us can fail when it matters the most to have everything under control. Investing is no different.</p><p>The biggest challenge in a market contraction is to manage our emotions. I shared with App Economy Portfolio members a version of the &#34;cycle of emotions&#34; that comes with the market&#39;s ups and downs. It feels like we are likely somewhere between panic and capitulation (though you could suggest I&#39;m in denial).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73d884d2790a7a799b1fbbb5aecbbd42\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"794\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Psychology of Market Cycle (Wall St. Cheat Sheet)</span></p><p>I covered before how your temperament is the single greatest factor in your portfolio&#39;s returns. There are many ways to fight our natural flaws and avoid the pitfalls we can easily fall for. I believe the most potent tool is journaling.</p><p>Journaling is the closest thing you&#39;ll ever have to a drill in investing. While NBA players can shoot free throws all day long, the only way you can practice is by writing down your strategy, goals, and rationale.</p><ul><li>Why do you invest?</li><li>What is your time horizon?</li><li>What is your investment philosophy?</li><li>Why are you bullish about this company?</li><li>Is there something that would break your thesis?</li><li>What will you do if the market falls and your portfolio along with it?</li></ul><p>Success comes with homework and preparation. These are not questions you want to answer after the fact. The more you set yourself up with the right mindset ingrained in your brain, the higher your chance of averting a crisis in the heat of the moment.</p><p>We are already in a downturn, so you don&#39;t have this luxury anymore. But it&#39;s not too late. If you feel the urge to tinker with your portfolio on a big red day, can you first write down what compels you to do so? Is there truly a call to action, or are you reacting to headlines and market movements?</p><p>In a down market, investors tend to trade too much. They buy too much too fast in the early phase of a downturn and end up with no dry powder when the market continues to fall. Or they put their entire investment process &#34;on hold&#34; because red days take a toll on them.</p><p>Documenting the reasoning behind your investment decisions and keeping score is a fantastic way to stay honest with yourself. To do so, keeping an investment log or trading journal is the easiest way. I use free apps like Google Keep and Google Sheet that sync between all my devices (desktop and mobile). It can help you identify a pattern, not only with what you&#39;re doing wrong, but also with what you&#39;re doing right.</p><p>Another instant benefit of journaling is to learn about yourself. You will see when you were wrong and why and will be more likely to accept blame for it. You are also more likely to see your performance for what it truly is, identifying luck and brilliance wherever they apply.</p><p>Relying on your feelings is a common investment mistake in a volatile market. And unless you are willing to identify it and address them, your emotions will eventually get in the way. We are influenced by fear and greed, often better described as <i>fear of joining in</i> or <i>missing out</i> (another topic I&#39;ve covered more in-depth here).</p><p>As someone managing an investment marketplace, I&#39;ve seen many members come to me and tell me that they had sold a position because they &#34;felt&#34; like there wasn&#39;t much upside to a stock. In investing, the less your feelings are involved, the better off you are. As perfectly put by Peter Lynch:</p><blockquote><i>The trick is not to learn to trust your gut feelings, but rather to discipline yourself to ignore them. Stand by your stocks as long as the fundamental story of the company hasn’t changed.</i></blockquote><p>If your decision to buy or sell cannot wait for a few days, you are likely making an emotional decision. However, a great long-term investment decision should not require perfect timing. Unless you are in the business of day trading, you should always be able to &#34;sleep on it&#34; and let a day go by before you pull the trigger on your investment decision.</p><p>There is no rush to make investment decisions. A thesis should not depend on what could happen within hours or minutes. If bad news comes out and a stock you own is down 50%, you don&#39;t have to sell that day, even if your bullish thesis is broken. Instead, you might want to digest the news and make sure you grasp the ins and outs of a new situation. If your intentions are intact after a good night&#39;s sleep, your decision is more likely to be sensible and grounded as opposed to a knee-jerk reaction.</p><p><b>3) Automate and stick to your plan.</b></p><p>Your performance as an investor depends primarily on what you do during periods of high volatility. As a result, using a systematic investment strategy can be a powerful tool.</p><p>I use 4 Simple Rules to protect my portfolio:</p><ol><li>I invest a fixed amount monthly (consistency).</li><li>I don&#39;t add to losers (fighting prospect theory).</li><li>I don&#39;t sell winners (staying the course).</li><li>I invest for no less than five years (time horizon).</li></ol><p>I get to decide every month which stocks represent the best opportunities based on fundamentals and valuations. Still, the day I invest, and the amount I invest are already pre-determined based on my rules and process.</p><p>These safeguards make my investment journey incredibly easy to maintain in all market conditions. And it helps me maintain a balanced approach under all circumstances:</p><ul><li>It limits the maximum amount I can add to an individual stock (diversification over several positions).</li><li>It <i>forces me to invest</i> every month of the year, even when everyone else is in panic mode.</li><li>It limits the total amount I can invest in a single month, <i>easing my way</i> in the market (spreading investments over time).</li><li>It keeps me invested through the vicissitudes of the market.</li></ul><p>I tried to answer a simple question in a previous article: How many stocks should you own? I tried to explain that the right number is different for everyone.</p><p>In his book <i>The Psychology of Money</i>, Morgan Housel explained the difference between being <i>rational</i> vs. <i>reasonable</i>. A <i>rational</i> decision means making a decision strictly based on what the facts and the numbers say. It all sounds great in concept. The implication is that you let the data decide for you.</p><p>However, being rational is not always a realistic approach. We all have emotions at play that can get in the way of a sound plan. Sometimes, what would make the most sense for you will differ from the most rational decision. So, instead, you need to define what is <i>reasonable</i> for you.</p><p>The proper diversification is the one that keeps you in the game over multiple market cycles. That&#39;s why portfolio suitability is so essential.</p><p>Once you have defined a plan that suits you and have an automated system to keep it in place, you are unstoppable.</p><p>Not everyone has the luxury of having capital available to invest every month, so I want to touch on cash deployment strategies. Maybe you have cash on the sidelines, and you wonder when or how to put it to use. Unfortunately, many investors go all-in at first sight of a market pullback of a few percentage points, only to feel buyer&#39;s remorse when the market continues to fall.</p><p>I love this blog post from Morgan Housel covering his cash deployment strategy in the context of a market drawdown. He shows how much of a theoretical $1,000 in cash set aside for investing he would deploy based on how much the market has sold off.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4a94ee08348304e119c97815f86b055\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"195\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Morgan Housel Cash Deployment Strategy (The Motley Fool)</span></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is down 20%, so Morgan would invest ~60% of his cash reserve (keeping the remaining 40% in case of a more significant sell-off).</p><p>It doesn&#39;t matter what exact number you use. What matters is to define a plan and stick to it. In investing, consistency wins the game.</p><p><b>4) Be selective and focus on quality</b></p><p>A bear market is a perfect opportunity to invest in a stock you&#39;ve wanted to own for a long time but couldn&#39;t because of valuation concerns or because it was running away from you. I believe that&#39;s where your focus should be.</p><p>Again, I wouldn&#39;t bet the farm and invest all at once (as explained above), but it doesn&#39;t get better than slowly accumulating shares of great businesses while they are on sale.</p><p>Of course, we have to hold our noses. Stocks could have more to fall in a highly volatile and unpredictable environment. As a result, it wouldn&#39;t be shocking to see a stock fall <i>another</i> 30% right after you buy it. That&#39;s the cost of doing business. If you don&#39;t have the stomach for it, you are better off focusing exclusively on index funds or letting someone else manage it for you.</p><p>Since the market tends to sell indiscriminately during a bear market, it gives us a fantastic opportunity to invest in high-quality businesses.</p><p><b>What is a high-quality business, you ask?</b></p><p>I modernized Philip Fisher&#39;s Scuttlebutt common-stock checklist:</p><ol><li>Large addressable market.</li><li>Future growth initiatives.</li><li>Effective research and development.</li><li>Effective sales &amp; marketing.</li><li>Worthwhile profit margins.</li><li>Improving profit margins.</li><li>Strong culture.</li><li>High insider ownership.</li><li>Management team depth.</li><li>Consistent reporting.</li><li>Sustainable competitive advantages.</li><li>Long-term vision.</li><li>Financial fortitude.</li><li>Transparent management.</li><li>Ethical management.</li></ol><p>I would emphasize financial fortitude and cash flow in the current macro environment, given the potential for a liquidity crisis.</p><p>The largest companies driving the US indices higher in the past decade have been incredible cash-flow machines. Apple (AAPL) crossed $100B in free cash flow in the past 12 months. Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) are not far behind.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d506ce6743c74db3df117a557fac5019\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Our north star is finding the businesses that can follow a similar path in the decades ahead. And only companies that can survive and thrive in a crisis will be able to get there.</p><p>It&#39;s essential to understand what you invest in to stay invested when the inevitable setback occurs. Borrowing from Peter Lynch, I realized I had a clear advantage through my experience at PwC and my decade-long tenure as a financial executive in the gaming industry. That&#39;s why my focus has been on the App Economy in the past decade.</p><p>I recently shared on Seeking Alpha why I like companies like Airbnb (ABNB), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Block</a> (SQ), and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDOG\">Datadog</a> (DDOG), particularly after their massive sell-offs in the past few months. Of course, these are only examples, but they check most of the boxes listed above.</p><p>I believe this bear market is an excellent opportunity to reflect on what you&#39;ve had on your watch list for a very long time. However, I would be mindful of not falling for the &#34;flavor of the month.&#34; For example, I see many articles about investing in energy stocks these days, which are cyclical and represent a tiny portion of the economy. There is also a risk of investing in specific stocks because they are expected to do well &#34;now&#34; or in the next few weeks. If you invest in companies solely based on how they might perform in the here and now, you are likely shortening your time horizon, leading to overtrading and unnecessary tax inefficiencies.</p><p>Building up positions in your winners is also a sound investment philosophy during a downturn. I covered the art of adding to your winners when I explained why I was adding to my position in MongoDB (MDB) in 2019.</p><p>The great businesses that sit at the top of your portfolio are the same as before any market meltdown, and they will still be the same after the storm passes. In the short term, stock performance can be detached from the underlying business, both in up and down markets.</p><p>In my article about 7 Rules For An Antifragile Portfolio, I discuss the importance of seeking low-downside, high-upside payoffs. Borrowing from Peter Thiel in his book Zero to One, I discussed the idea of only investing in companies that have the potential to beat all of your other investments combined. While this idea may sound romantic at first, it can be very effective. By setting the expectation that your next pick needs to have the potential to beat the performance of all your other investments combined, you are setting the bar extremely high and challenging your own goal. Most stocks won&#39;t pass this filter. And that&#39;s a good thing.</p><p><b>5) Be patient. This too shall pass.</b></p><p>It&#39;s not fun to watch a portfolio collapse in real-time. Whenever a new sell-off occurs, we are all back in the grind, trying to get our accounts to all-time highs. While setbacks always feel painful, rising to the challenge is critical.</p><p>What prevents many investors from keeping a steady hand in a time of hardship is the daunting thought of waiting for years before the portfolio has a shot at hitting a new high again. But that&#39;s what investing is all about. As American economist Paul Samuelson wrote:</p><blockquote><i>Investing should be more like watching paint dry or grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas.</i></blockquote><p>As Charlie Munger explained:</p><blockquote><i>It&#39;s waiting that helps you as an investor, and a lot of people just can&#39;t stand to wait. If you didn&#39;t get the deferred-gratification gene, you&#39;ve got to work very hard to overcome that.</i></blockquote><p>So before you re-balance your portfolio or throw in the towel on what may become a significant missed opportunity, you want to ask yourself if you&#39;ve genuinely given enough time for your investments to flourish. Unless my bullish thesis is broken, I don&#39;t sell until I&#39;ve held a position for at least five years since my last purchase. It&#39;s an effective safeguard to ignore the noise of missed guidances, lower target prices from analysts, or negative headlines of the day.</p><p>Because emotions run high after a series of red days, the best course of action is often to sit on your hands. That&#39;s right, doing nothing at all.</p><p>Only with the discipline of staying invested through thick and thin will you benefit from the power of compounding over the years. Even the best-performing portfolios don&#39;t go up in a straight line. Investing is all about grinding through good and bad times with a mindset that remains onward and upward.</p><p>You&#39;ll often hear about how it took almost 16 years for Microsoft (MSFT) to regain its 1999 high. This stretch was the worst in the US stock market history (two of the longest bear markets ever, almost back to back). So I don&#39;t find it particularly insightful. It&#39;s the ultimate cherry-picking, if you will.</p><p>There <i>are</i> periods of 10 years with negative stock returns in the stock market. However, your portfolio wouldn&#39;t suffer from such misfortune unless you invested all of your life&#39;s savings at the market top in 2000.</p><p>Recognizing that there is no urgency to act is essential. As I pointed out in many articles, if your next trade cannot wait for a few days, you are likely making an emotional decision. An investment should not depend on perfect timing or finding the exact bottom.</p><p><b>Final Word</b></p><p>A bear market is a unique opportunity to invest for the long term. The key is to give yourself the best chance to stay calm and make the best decisions:</p><ol><li><b>Zoom out</b>. Market sell-offs are part of the investing process.</li><li><b>Document your decisions</b>. Are you reacting to the news cycle? Journaling and keeping score can help you work through your emotions.</li><li><b>Automate and stick to your plan</b>. A rule-based approach can help. Consistency wins, particularly in challenging times.</li><li><b>Be selective</b>. Focus on high-quality companies that can sustain the test of time and rarely offer a decent entry point.</li><li><b>Be patient. This too shall pass</b>. Sell-offs are part of the grind, and we&#39;ll all come out stronger on the other side.</li></ol><p><b>What about you?</b></p><ul><li>How are you holding up in the recent sell-off?</li><li>Have you been watching your cash deployment with caution?</li><li>Are you focusing on the best-of-breed businesses or chasing bargains?</li></ul><p>Let me know in the comments!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How To Invest In A Bear Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow To Invest In A Bear Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-23 15:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513563-how-to-invest-in-a-bear-market><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 is in a bear market, ~20% off its peak.Many high-quality businesses have their stock down more than 50%.Bear markets feel like a risk as we go through them, but they appear as an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513563-how-to-invest-in-a-bear-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513563-how-to-invest-in-a-bear-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2237884509","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 is in a bear market, ~20% off its peak.Many high-quality businesses have their stock down more than 50%.Bear markets feel like a risk as we go through them, but they appear as an opportunity in retrospect.Emotions run high, but fortune favors the patient.Let's review the playbook to go through a bear market unscathed.pictafolio/E+ via Getty ImagesBeing an optimist is a superpower.That's particularly true in times like these.After another week in the house of pain, the Nasdaq (QQQ) is down 30% from its previous high. Meanwhile, the S&P 5000 (SPY) is 20% off its peak, a threshold that would characterize a bear market.Data by YChartsIf this sell-off is a typical market correction like we've seen in 2018 or 2020, we may be near the bottom. However, if this is the start of a prolonged bear market, watch below.Ben Carlson shared on his blog (A Wealth Of Common Sense) the history of S&P 500 bear markets since 1950:Over 15 bear markets, the average downturn is a loss of 30%, lasting just under a year to reach the bottom and taking a little more than one-and-a-half years to break even.S&P Bear Markets Since 1950 (A Wealth Of Common Sense)So if we are currently going through an average bear market, we'll reach the bottom toward the end of 2022, and we'll be back at the previous high by July 2023. It could be shorter, or it could be longer. There is no way to know.It's important to note that only three bear markets took significantly longer to recover: 1973, 2000, and 2008. These were outliers (3 out of 15 bear markets). Each time, it took more than four years to get back to even. As a result, I would never invest money in stocks that I don't plan to keep invested for at least five years.A temporary 20% or 30% sell-off doesn't sound bad on paper because the premise assumes it's temporary. But in the middle of a bear market, our brains tend to extrapolate and think it will get worse (which may or may not be true). Morgan Housel explained in a blog post:All past declines look like opportunities and all future declines look like risks. It’s one of the great ironies in investing. But it happens for a reason: When studying history you know how the story ends, and it’s impossible to un-remember what you know today when thinking about the past. So it’s hard to imagine alternative outcomes when looking backward, but when looking ahead you know there are a thousand different paths we could end up on.Today, chances are you care more about whether stocks will fall another 20% or start rebounding soon. However, many years from now, what will matter is probably to have been a net buyer of stocks throughout this entire period.If you are in the wealth accumulation phase of your life, with a regular paycheck and monthly savings to invest, a bear market is something to celebrate. However, it certainly doesn't feel good, particularly when your existing portfolio shrinks by the day. Shelby Cullom Davis said:You make most of your money in a bear market, you just don’t realize it at the time.The greatest challenge in moments like these is to stay the course and not blow up your brokerage account. To do so, being an optimist goes a long way.You'll come across perma-bears who believe the stock market is about to enter the worst period ever seen. They'll say that earnings are about to fall, and we may enter a recession like no other. Peter Lynch explained:“This one is different,” is the doomsayer’s litany, and, in fact, every recession is different, but that doesn’t mean it’s going to ruin us.Ultimately, market downturns are a great time to buy stocks. Valuations have cooled off, and future returns look better today than in many years. So having a buyer's mentality in the face of a market meltdown is essential. Warren Buffett explained:A market downturn doesn’t bother us. It is an opportunity to increase our ownership of great companies with great management at good prices.Easier said than done?Let's review the playbook to go through a bear market unscathed.1) Zoom out.Great long-term investing is 1% buying and 99% waiting.Unfortunately, many investors feel lazy if they don't tinker with their portfolios regularly. Instead, a disciplined investor should look beyond the short-term concerns.The past few decades had their fair share of inflation, rising interest rates, wars, and recessions. Yet, looking at the performance of the MSCI World Index in the past 50 years can help gain some perspective. One dollar invested in 1970 would have grown to $68 by 2018. And the journey to get there was filled with bear markets of all kinds. Yet, staying invested through thick and thin led to an excellent outcome.Growth of $1 in the past 70 years (WealthSmart)Many investors believe they can time in and out of the market based on macro factors. However, the market is forward-looking and tends to rebound long before an individual investor would feel ready to get back in. Peter Lynch explained:[...] every economic recovery since World War II has been preceded by a stock market rally. And these rallies often start when conditions are grim.On average, recessions last 11 months (vs. 67 months for economic expansions). The take-away from the chart below should be obvious. Why would you spend your time preparing for recessions? They are relatively short and unpredictable. And even with perfect information about the economy, you wouldn't be able to predict how the stock market will react.Recessions & Expansions (Visual Capitalist)Despite history telling us that trading in and out of stocks is a weapon of alpha destruction, some investors can't help themselves. Again, market timing is a lovely idea in concept. But nobody can predict market tops and bottoms repeatedly with accuracy.As explained in my article about 5 Ways To Prepare for The Next Stock Market Crash, recognizing how often market crashes happen can give you a better idea of what you are getting into when investing in equities. Here is the historical frequency of pullbacks identified since 1928:Market drawdownHistorical Frequency10%Every 11 months15%Every 24 months20%Every four years30%Every decade40%Every few decades50%2-3 times per centuryAgain, the S&P 500 is already 20% off its peak. And it would be silly to expect all market sell-offs will turn into the Great Depression. We have already had two bear markets of epic proportion in the past two decades, and our instinct is to assume more of the same. History tells us that it's possible but also unlikely. We just don't know.That's why great investing starts with humility. Once we accept that the future is uncertain and that trying to predict it is a fool's errand, we are more likely to adapt our strategy for sustainability and survivability.2) Document your decisions.In his book The Money Game, Adam Smith explained:If you don't know who you are, [the stock market] is an expensive place to find out.Despite our best intentions, we can still fail. That's true of most things in life. Being married or parenting are perfect examples. Many of us can fail when it matters the most to have everything under control. Investing is no different.The biggest challenge in a market contraction is to manage our emotions. I shared with App Economy Portfolio members a version of the \"cycle of emotions\" that comes with the market's ups and downs. It feels like we are likely somewhere between panic and capitulation (though you could suggest I'm in denial).Psychology of Market Cycle (Wall St. Cheat Sheet)I covered before how your temperament is the single greatest factor in your portfolio's returns. There are many ways to fight our natural flaws and avoid the pitfalls we can easily fall for. I believe the most potent tool is journaling.Journaling is the closest thing you'll ever have to a drill in investing. While NBA players can shoot free throws all day long, the only way you can practice is by writing down your strategy, goals, and rationale.Why do you invest?What is your time horizon?What is your investment philosophy?Why are you bullish about this company?Is there something that would break your thesis?What will you do if the market falls and your portfolio along with it?Success comes with homework and preparation. These are not questions you want to answer after the fact. The more you set yourself up with the right mindset ingrained in your brain, the higher your chance of averting a crisis in the heat of the moment.We are already in a downturn, so you don't have this luxury anymore. But it's not too late. If you feel the urge to tinker with your portfolio on a big red day, can you first write down what compels you to do so? Is there truly a call to action, or are you reacting to headlines and market movements?In a down market, investors tend to trade too much. They buy too much too fast in the early phase of a downturn and end up with no dry powder when the market continues to fall. Or they put their entire investment process \"on hold\" because red days take a toll on them.Documenting the reasoning behind your investment decisions and keeping score is a fantastic way to stay honest with yourself. To do so, keeping an investment log or trading journal is the easiest way. I use free apps like Google Keep and Google Sheet that sync between all my devices (desktop and mobile). It can help you identify a pattern, not only with what you're doing wrong, but also with what you're doing right.Another instant benefit of journaling is to learn about yourself. You will see when you were wrong and why and will be more likely to accept blame for it. You are also more likely to see your performance for what it truly is, identifying luck and brilliance wherever they apply.Relying on your feelings is a common investment mistake in a volatile market. And unless you are willing to identify it and address them, your emotions will eventually get in the way. We are influenced by fear and greed, often better described as fear of joining in or missing out (another topic I've covered more in-depth here).As someone managing an investment marketplace, I've seen many members come to me and tell me that they had sold a position because they \"felt\" like there wasn't much upside to a stock. In investing, the less your feelings are involved, the better off you are. As perfectly put by Peter Lynch:The trick is not to learn to trust your gut feelings, but rather to discipline yourself to ignore them. Stand by your stocks as long as the fundamental story of the company hasn’t changed.If your decision to buy or sell cannot wait for a few days, you are likely making an emotional decision. However, a great long-term investment decision should not require perfect timing. Unless you are in the business of day trading, you should always be able to \"sleep on it\" and let a day go by before you pull the trigger on your investment decision.There is no rush to make investment decisions. A thesis should not depend on what could happen within hours or minutes. If bad news comes out and a stock you own is down 50%, you don't have to sell that day, even if your bullish thesis is broken. Instead, you might want to digest the news and make sure you grasp the ins and outs of a new situation. If your intentions are intact after a good night's sleep, your decision is more likely to be sensible and grounded as opposed to a knee-jerk reaction.3) Automate and stick to your plan.Your performance as an investor depends primarily on what you do during periods of high volatility. As a result, using a systematic investment strategy can be a powerful tool.I use 4 Simple Rules to protect my portfolio:I invest a fixed amount monthly (consistency).I don't add to losers (fighting prospect theory).I don't sell winners (staying the course).I invest for no less than five years (time horizon).I get to decide every month which stocks represent the best opportunities based on fundamentals and valuations. Still, the day I invest, and the amount I invest are already pre-determined based on my rules and process.These safeguards make my investment journey incredibly easy to maintain in all market conditions. And it helps me maintain a balanced approach under all circumstances:It limits the maximum amount I can add to an individual stock (diversification over several positions).It forces me to invest every month of the year, even when everyone else is in panic mode.It limits the total amount I can invest in a single month, easing my way in the market (spreading investments over time).It keeps me invested through the vicissitudes of the market.I tried to answer a simple question in a previous article: How many stocks should you own? I tried to explain that the right number is different for everyone.In his book The Psychology of Money, Morgan Housel explained the difference between being rational vs. reasonable. A rational decision means making a decision strictly based on what the facts and the numbers say. It all sounds great in concept. The implication is that you let the data decide for you.However, being rational is not always a realistic approach. We all have emotions at play that can get in the way of a sound plan. Sometimes, what would make the most sense for you will differ from the most rational decision. So, instead, you need to define what is reasonable for you.The proper diversification is the one that keeps you in the game over multiple market cycles. That's why portfolio suitability is so essential.Once you have defined a plan that suits you and have an automated system to keep it in place, you are unstoppable.Not everyone has the luxury of having capital available to invest every month, so I want to touch on cash deployment strategies. Maybe you have cash on the sidelines, and you wonder when or how to put it to use. Unfortunately, many investors go all-in at first sight of a market pullback of a few percentage points, only to feel buyer's remorse when the market continues to fall.I love this blog post from Morgan Housel covering his cash deployment strategy in the context of a market drawdown. He shows how much of a theoretical $1,000 in cash set aside for investing he would deploy based on how much the market has sold off.Morgan Housel Cash Deployment Strategy (The Motley Fool)The S&P 500 is down 20%, so Morgan would invest ~60% of his cash reserve (keeping the remaining 40% in case of a more significant sell-off).It doesn't matter what exact number you use. What matters is to define a plan and stick to it. In investing, consistency wins the game.4) Be selective and focus on qualityA bear market is a perfect opportunity to invest in a stock you've wanted to own for a long time but couldn't because of valuation concerns or because it was running away from you. I believe that's where your focus should be.Again, I wouldn't bet the farm and invest all at once (as explained above), but it doesn't get better than slowly accumulating shares of great businesses while they are on sale.Of course, we have to hold our noses. Stocks could have more to fall in a highly volatile and unpredictable environment. As a result, it wouldn't be shocking to see a stock fall another 30% right after you buy it. That's the cost of doing business. If you don't have the stomach for it, you are better off focusing exclusively on index funds or letting someone else manage it for you.Since the market tends to sell indiscriminately during a bear market, it gives us a fantastic opportunity to invest in high-quality businesses.What is a high-quality business, you ask?I modernized Philip Fisher's Scuttlebutt common-stock checklist:Large addressable market.Future growth initiatives.Effective research and development.Effective sales & marketing.Worthwhile profit margins.Improving profit margins.Strong culture.High insider ownership.Management team depth.Consistent reporting.Sustainable competitive advantages.Long-term vision.Financial fortitude.Transparent management.Ethical management.I would emphasize financial fortitude and cash flow in the current macro environment, given the potential for a liquidity crisis.The largest companies driving the US indices higher in the past decade have been incredible cash-flow machines. Apple (AAPL) crossed $100B in free cash flow in the past 12 months. Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) are not far behind.Data by YChartsOur north star is finding the businesses that can follow a similar path in the decades ahead. And only companies that can survive and thrive in a crisis will be able to get there.It's essential to understand what you invest in to stay invested when the inevitable setback occurs. Borrowing from Peter Lynch, I realized I had a clear advantage through my experience at PwC and my decade-long tenure as a financial executive in the gaming industry. That's why my focus has been on the App Economy in the past decade.I recently shared on Seeking Alpha why I like companies like Airbnb (ABNB), Block (SQ), and Datadog (DDOG), particularly after their massive sell-offs in the past few months. Of course, these are only examples, but they check most of the boxes listed above.I believe this bear market is an excellent opportunity to reflect on what you've had on your watch list for a very long time. However, I would be mindful of not falling for the \"flavor of the month.\" For example, I see many articles about investing in energy stocks these days, which are cyclical and represent a tiny portion of the economy. There is also a risk of investing in specific stocks because they are expected to do well \"now\" or in the next few weeks. If you invest in companies solely based on how they might perform in the here and now, you are likely shortening your time horizon, leading to overtrading and unnecessary tax inefficiencies.Building up positions in your winners is also a sound investment philosophy during a downturn. I covered the art of adding to your winners when I explained why I was adding to my position in MongoDB (MDB) in 2019.The great businesses that sit at the top of your portfolio are the same as before any market meltdown, and they will still be the same after the storm passes. In the short term, stock performance can be detached from the underlying business, both in up and down markets.In my article about 7 Rules For An Antifragile Portfolio, I discuss the importance of seeking low-downside, high-upside payoffs. Borrowing from Peter Thiel in his book Zero to One, I discussed the idea of only investing in companies that have the potential to beat all of your other investments combined. While this idea may sound romantic at first, it can be very effective. By setting the expectation that your next pick needs to have the potential to beat the performance of all your other investments combined, you are setting the bar extremely high and challenging your own goal. Most stocks won't pass this filter. And that's a good thing.5) Be patient. This too shall pass.It's not fun to watch a portfolio collapse in real-time. Whenever a new sell-off occurs, we are all back in the grind, trying to get our accounts to all-time highs. While setbacks always feel painful, rising to the challenge is critical.What prevents many investors from keeping a steady hand in a time of hardship is the daunting thought of waiting for years before the portfolio has a shot at hitting a new high again. But that's what investing is all about. As American economist Paul Samuelson wrote:Investing should be more like watching paint dry or grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas.As Charlie Munger explained:It's waiting that helps you as an investor, and a lot of people just can't stand to wait. If you didn't get the deferred-gratification gene, you've got to work very hard to overcome that.So before you re-balance your portfolio or throw in the towel on what may become a significant missed opportunity, you want to ask yourself if you've genuinely given enough time for your investments to flourish. Unless my bullish thesis is broken, I don't sell until I've held a position for at least five years since my last purchase. It's an effective safeguard to ignore the noise of missed guidances, lower target prices from analysts, or negative headlines of the day.Because emotions run high after a series of red days, the best course of action is often to sit on your hands. That's right, doing nothing at all.Only with the discipline of staying invested through thick and thin will you benefit from the power of compounding over the years. Even the best-performing portfolios don't go up in a straight line. Investing is all about grinding through good and bad times with a mindset that remains onward and upward.You'll often hear about how it took almost 16 years for Microsoft (MSFT) to regain its 1999 high. This stretch was the worst in the US stock market history (two of the longest bear markets ever, almost back to back). So I don't find it particularly insightful. It's the ultimate cherry-picking, if you will.There are periods of 10 years with negative stock returns in the stock market. However, your portfolio wouldn't suffer from such misfortune unless you invested all of your life's savings at the market top in 2000.Recognizing that there is no urgency to act is essential. As I pointed out in many articles, if your next trade cannot wait for a few days, you are likely making an emotional decision. An investment should not depend on perfect timing or finding the exact bottom.Final WordA bear market is a unique opportunity to invest for the long term. The key is to give yourself the best chance to stay calm and make the best decisions:Zoom out. Market sell-offs are part of the investing process.Document your decisions. Are you reacting to the news cycle? Journaling and keeping score can help you work through your emotions.Automate and stick to your plan. A rule-based approach can help. Consistency wins, particularly in challenging times.Be selective. Focus on high-quality companies that can sustain the test of time and rarely offer a decent entry point.Be patient. This too shall pass. Sell-offs are part of the grind, and we'll all come out stronger on the other side.What about you?How are you holding up in the recent sell-off?Have you been watching your cash deployment with caution?Are you focusing on the best-of-breed businesses or chasing bargains?Let me know in the comments!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}