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patly
2022-09-07
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patly
2022-09-04
……
俄罗斯“断气”阀门拧紧,欧洲能源危机何解?
patly
2022-08-02
1
@investboy:、近期,一項“700億美元芯片法案”的推進將佩洛西這個“美國最具權勢的女人”拖下了水——因爲其丈夫的每一次投資都精準又及時地趕在了衆議院釋放相關行業利好消息前。目前,佩洛西夫婦涉嫌“內幕交易”的消息不斷髮酵,正愈演愈烈;2、雖然佩洛西本人名下沒有披露任何股票投資交易(也不被法律允許),但其夫婦二人的淨資產超過 1.14 億美元。其丈夫保羅·佩洛西在2019年至2021年間披露了61筆交易。美媒Business Insider報道稱,“這對夫婦的絕大多數財富來自保羅·佩洛西的股票、期權和投資。”3、數據顯示,佩洛西夫婦在2019年和2020年分別以5%和14%的速度跑贏了標準普爾500指數的平均投資回報率,並且其投資組合的市值在2019年至2021年第四季度的幾年間增長了96%,獲得超6200萬美元的收益,被民衆直呼“國會山股神”;4、關於美國議員們“內幕交易”的質疑已經由來已久,甚至有人開發出一款名爲“內幕投資組合”的產品來跟蹤議員的投資動向,只是一向嚴苛的美國法律面前,在指控這些立法機構的成員們卻十分艱難,甚至會遭到衆議院議長佩洛西的掣肘。
patly
2022-06-15
1
@Value_investing:New Oriental Up 41%- a New Success Brought By Bilingual Live Stream
patly
2022-06-08
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2022-06-04
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patly
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patly
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2022-05-28
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08:29","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"俄罗斯“断气”阀门拧紧,欧洲能源危机何解?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100144627","media":"格隆汇","summary":"“阵痛”来袭?俄欧的能源博弈在反反复复的断、供中,又双叒叕升级了。俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司宣布将完全暂停其天然气输送,欧洲或即将迎来一个最为艰难的凛冬。北溪-1无限期关闭当地时间周五(9月2日)晚间,","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>“阵痛”来袭?</blockquote><p>俄欧的能源博弈在反反复复的断、供中,又双叒叕升级了。俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司宣布将完全暂停其天然气输送,欧洲或即将迎来一个最为艰难的凛冬。</p><p><b>北溪-1无限期关闭</b></p><p>当地时间周五(9月2日)晚间,俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司表示,<b>在进行的例行维护工作中,涡轮机被发现存在漏油,</b>所以其通往欧洲的关键天然气管道无法在周六按计划重启。</p><p><b>至此,北溪管道的天然气运输具体重启时间变成了未知数。</b>俄气也在公告中强调,北溪管道的天然气运输已经完全停止,直到故障能够完全消除。</p><p>据悉,“北溪-1”天然气管道2011年建成,东起俄罗斯维堡,经由波罗的海海底通往德国。目前也是俄罗斯对欧洲主要输气管道。</p><p>回看今年以来,北溪1号管道已经停停启启多次。</p><p>早在7月,围绕“北溪1号”的涡轮机检修而上演的俄欧相互博弈就引发了全球瞩目,同时也加大了俄罗斯输欧天然气的变数,彼时,欧洲对俄罗斯彻底“断供”的担忧就已经极具强烈了。</p><p>虽然后来俄气的输送得以恢复,但输气量已被削减至其产能的20%。</p><p>8月底,俄气公司宣布进行为期三天的维护,就此到昨天的声明发出,北溪-1的恢复变成了遥遥无期。</p><p>虽然,西门子能源公司最新发声表示称,作为北溪涡轮机的制造商,其认为漏油故障并不构成涡轮机停止运行的技术原因。此类泄漏通常不会影响涡轮机的运行,可在现场进行密封,这是维护工作范围内的常规程序。在过去,这类泄漏故障并未导致运行中断。西门子能源当前没有对涡轮机进行维护的合同义务,但处于待命状态。即便发生这样的故障,Portovaya压缩机站仍有足够的涡轮机供北溪1号运行。</p><p><b>其实无论漏油也好,修复也罢。问题的本身并不在这些方面上。</b></p><p>此前,俄罗斯方面曾表示,北溪管道供应天然气的唯一障碍就是制裁问题,制裁妨碍了正常的维护和维修工作,也妨碍了关键部件的送回。不过欧盟则认为这只是一个借口,俄罗斯正在利用天然气作为经济武器进行报复。</p><p><b>欧洲“气荒”愈演愈烈</b></p><p>面对俄气的“断供”危机,虽然欧洲一直在努力寻找替代供应,以防今年冬天俄罗斯全面切断天然气供应。但就目前看来欧洲有些力不从心。</p><p>据国际能源署(IEA)估计,今年冬天,欧盟至少需要90%的天然气储量才能保证安全。而能源监测网站Energy Monitor的数据显示,当前欧洲的储气量才达到其最大容量的67%。</p><p>虽然日前,欧盟委员会宣布欧盟的天然气储量已经超过了80%,然而数据审查却显示,各国之间的储气量存在差异。其中,有些国家的确已经成功地储存了足够的天然气,而其他一些国家则需要在即将到来的冬季内苦苦支撑。</p><p>据跟踪全球天然气库存的网站“AGSI”报道,欧洲主要国家的储量已经达到了令人放心的水平,例如法国、德国和意大利,而东欧国家的情况则截然不同,它们面临着严重的天然气储量短缺。</p><p>其中欧洲多国的储气量比例:</p><blockquote><b>德国:</b>84%(这是德国在切断来自俄罗斯的天然气之前追求达到的目标)</blockquote><blockquote><b>法国:</b>91%(欧洲最大的天然气储备量之一)</blockquote><blockquote><b>比利时:</b>88.5%</blockquote><blockquote><b>丹麦:</b>88%</blockquote><blockquote><b>意大利:</b>82%</blockquote><blockquote><b>波兰:</b>99%</blockquote><p>另一方面,东欧国家则面临着天然气储量短缺的问题:</p><blockquote><b>保加利亚:</b>66%</blockquote><blockquote><b>匈牙利:</b>63%</blockquote><blockquote><b>拉脱维亚:</b>53%</blockquote><p>对于“断气”一事,部分欧洲国家相关机构组织发出预警。意大利工业家联合会主席博诺米近日表示,如果俄罗斯完全中断向意大利供应天然气,或将导致该国五分之一的工业生产停产。</p><p>欧盟机构“欧洲稳定机制”分析称,如果俄罗斯停止天然气供应,将可能导致欧元区国家于年底耗尽天然气储备,意大利和德国两个风险最大国的国内生产总值或损失2.5%。</p><p><b>影响几何?</b></p><p>可以预见,俄罗斯部分断供天然气已对欧洲的经济增长造成了影响;如果全面断供,影响可能还要严重得多。</p><p>此前,IMF在三份最新工作论文研究了这些重要问题。三篇论文研究的问题包括:碎片化的市场和价格传导的延迟如何加剧了影响;全球液化天然气市场缓和这种影响的作用;以及这些因素可在欧洲最大经济体德国发挥何种作用。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98457c0d03101f4ec2081708e7523c8d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>据研究表明<b>,在中欧、东欧一些受影响最严重的国家(匈牙利、斯洛伐克共和国和捷克共和国),天然气消费缺口可能高达40%,而GDP的降幅可能高达6%</b>。然而,有关国家可通过一系列措施减轻上述影响,如确保其他供应源和能源,减少基础设施瓶颈,鼓励节能并保护弱势家庭,扩大“团结协议”以在各国之间共享天然气等。</p><p>那风险敞口有哪些决定因素?各国对俄罗斯天然气和其他能源的依赖程度各异。</p><p>2021年6月至今,俄罗斯的天然气供应量已经下降了60%,但到目前为止,欧洲的基础设施和来自全球的供应尚能应对。第一季度,欧洲的天然气总消耗量比去年同期下降了9%;同时,欧洲已在使用其他的供应来源,尤其是来自全球市场的液化天然气。</p><p>研究显示,通过使用其他供应来源和能源,以及由于先前高价格导致的需求减少,欧洲可以在短期内应对俄罗斯高达70%的天然气断供。这解释了为何一些国家能够单方面停止进口俄罗斯天然气。</p><p>但若俄罗斯完全断供,上述分散化策略的难度将大幅提升。由于进口能力不足或输气能力有限,基础设施瓶颈可能降低欧洲在境内改道天然气的能力。这些因素可能导致中欧、东欧部分国家的年天然气消费缺口达到15%至40%。</p><p><b>而对于带来的经济影响。IMF表示,若假设市场是一体化的(市场维持如此),则欧盟经济活动可能在2022年上半年萎缩0.2%。</b></p><p>中金研究此前也表示,极端情形下,假设俄乌冲突持续时间比预期更久,俄罗斯明显甚至完全削减对欧元区的能源出口。届时或将看到欧洲天然气价格继续大幅上升,全球能源价格中枢维持高位或进一步冲高。</p><p>对此,部分欧洲国家可能采取限量配给,并大幅压制工业生产,特别是在能源密集型行业。生产减少也将抑制欧元区出口,贸易账户或进一步恶化。该情形下,<b>预计2022年欧元区实际GDP增速至0.5%,下半年经济将陷入衰退,而2023年GDP或进一步降至-1%。</b></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n俄罗斯“断气”阀门拧紧,欧洲能源危机何解?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/3\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/24397cd0a72f485e9734d658c5a0841d);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">格隆汇 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-04 08:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>“阵痛”来袭?</blockquote><p>俄欧的能源博弈在反反复复的断、供中,又双叒叕升级了。俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司宣布将完全暂停其天然气输送,欧洲或即将迎来一个最为艰难的凛冬。</p><p><b>北溪-1无限期关闭</b></p><p>当地时间周五(9月2日)晚间,俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司表示,<b>在进行的例行维护工作中,涡轮机被发现存在漏油,</b>所以其通往欧洲的关键天然气管道无法在周六按计划重启。</p><p><b>至此,北溪管道的天然气运输具体重启时间变成了未知数。</b>俄气也在公告中强调,北溪管道的天然气运输已经完全停止,直到故障能够完全消除。</p><p>据悉,“北溪-1”天然气管道2011年建成,东起俄罗斯维堡,经由波罗的海海底通往德国。目前也是俄罗斯对欧洲主要输气管道。</p><p>回看今年以来,北溪1号管道已经停停启启多次。</p><p>早在7月,围绕“北溪1号”的涡轮机检修而上演的俄欧相互博弈就引发了全球瞩目,同时也加大了俄罗斯输欧天然气的变数,彼时,欧洲对俄罗斯彻底“断供”的担忧就已经极具强烈了。</p><p>虽然后来俄气的输送得以恢复,但输气量已被削减至其产能的20%。</p><p>8月底,俄气公司宣布进行为期三天的维护,就此到昨天的声明发出,北溪-1的恢复变成了遥遥无期。</p><p>虽然,西门子能源公司最新发声表示称,作为北溪涡轮机的制造商,其认为漏油故障并不构成涡轮机停止运行的技术原因。此类泄漏通常不会影响涡轮机的运行,可在现场进行密封,这是维护工作范围内的常规程序。在过去,这类泄漏故障并未导致运行中断。西门子能源当前没有对涡轮机进行维护的合同义务,但处于待命状态。即便发生这样的故障,Portovaya压缩机站仍有足够的涡轮机供北溪1号运行。</p><p><b>其实无论漏油也好,修复也罢。问题的本身并不在这些方面上。</b></p><p>此前,俄罗斯方面曾表示,北溪管道供应天然气的唯一障碍就是制裁问题,制裁妨碍了正常的维护和维修工作,也妨碍了关键部件的送回。不过欧盟则认为这只是一个借口,俄罗斯正在利用天然气作为经济武器进行报复。</p><p><b>欧洲“气荒”愈演愈烈</b></p><p>面对俄气的“断供”危机,虽然欧洲一直在努力寻找替代供应,以防今年冬天俄罗斯全面切断天然气供应。但就目前看来欧洲有些力不从心。</p><p>据国际能源署(IEA)估计,今年冬天,欧盟至少需要90%的天然气储量才能保证安全。而能源监测网站Energy Monitor的数据显示,当前欧洲的储气量才达到其最大容量的67%。</p><p>虽然日前,欧盟委员会宣布欧盟的天然气储量已经超过了80%,然而数据审查却显示,各国之间的储气量存在差异。其中,有些国家的确已经成功地储存了足够的天然气,而其他一些国家则需要在即将到来的冬季内苦苦支撑。</p><p>据跟踪全球天然气库存的网站“AGSI”报道,欧洲主要国家的储量已经达到了令人放心的水平,例如法国、德国和意大利,而东欧国家的情况则截然不同,它们面临着严重的天然气储量短缺。</p><p>其中欧洲多国的储气量比例:</p><blockquote><b>德国:</b>84%(这是德国在切断来自俄罗斯的天然气之前追求达到的目标)</blockquote><blockquote><b>法国:</b>91%(欧洲最大的天然气储备量之一)</blockquote><blockquote><b>比利时:</b>88.5%</blockquote><blockquote><b>丹麦:</b>88%</blockquote><blockquote><b>意大利:</b>82%</blockquote><blockquote><b>波兰:</b>99%</blockquote><p>另一方面,东欧国家则面临着天然气储量短缺的问题:</p><blockquote><b>保加利亚:</b>66%</blockquote><blockquote><b>匈牙利:</b>63%</blockquote><blockquote><b>拉脱维亚:</b>53%</blockquote><p>对于“断气”一事,部分欧洲国家相关机构组织发出预警。意大利工业家联合会主席博诺米近日表示,如果俄罗斯完全中断向意大利供应天然气,或将导致该国五分之一的工业生产停产。</p><p>欧盟机构“欧洲稳定机制”分析称,如果俄罗斯停止天然气供应,将可能导致欧元区国家于年底耗尽天然气储备,意大利和德国两个风险最大国的国内生产总值或损失2.5%。</p><p><b>影响几何?</b></p><p>可以预见,俄罗斯部分断供天然气已对欧洲的经济增长造成了影响;如果全面断供,影响可能还要严重得多。</p><p>此前,IMF在三份最新工作论文研究了这些重要问题。三篇论文研究的问题包括:碎片化的市场和价格传导的延迟如何加剧了影响;全球液化天然气市场缓和这种影响的作用;以及这些因素可在欧洲最大经济体德国发挥何种作用。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98457c0d03101f4ec2081708e7523c8d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>据研究表明<b>,在中欧、东欧一些受影响最严重的国家(匈牙利、斯洛伐克共和国和捷克共和国),天然气消费缺口可能高达40%,而GDP的降幅可能高达6%</b>。然而,有关国家可通过一系列措施减轻上述影响,如确保其他供应源和能源,减少基础设施瓶颈,鼓励节能并保护弱势家庭,扩大“团结协议”以在各国之间共享天然气等。</p><p>那风险敞口有哪些决定因素?各国对俄罗斯天然气和其他能源的依赖程度各异。</p><p>2021年6月至今,俄罗斯的天然气供应量已经下降了60%,但到目前为止,欧洲的基础设施和来自全球的供应尚能应对。第一季度,欧洲的天然气总消耗量比去年同期下降了9%;同时,欧洲已在使用其他的供应来源,尤其是来自全球市场的液化天然气。</p><p>研究显示,通过使用其他供应来源和能源,以及由于先前高价格导致的需求减少,欧洲可以在短期内应对俄罗斯高达70%的天然气断供。这解释了为何一些国家能够单方面停止进口俄罗斯天然气。</p><p>但若俄罗斯完全断供,上述分散化策略的难度将大幅提升。由于进口能力不足或输气能力有限,基础设施瓶颈可能降低欧洲在境内改道天然气的能力。这些因素可能导致中欧、东欧部分国家的年天然气消费缺口达到15%至40%。</p><p><b>而对于带来的经济影响。IMF表示,若假设市场是一体化的(市场维持如此),则欧盟经济活动可能在2022年上半年萎缩0.2%。</b></p><p>中金研究此前也表示,极端情形下,假设俄乌冲突持续时间比预期更久,俄罗斯明显甚至完全削减对欧元区的能源出口。届时或将看到欧洲天然气价格继续大幅上升,全球能源价格中枢维持高位或进一步冲高。</p><p>对此,部分欧洲国家可能采取限量配给,并大幅压制工业生产,特别是在能源密集型行业。生产减少也将抑制欧元区出口,贸易账户或进一步恶化。该情形下,<b>预计2022年欧元区实际GDP增速至0.5%,下半年经济将陷入衰退,而2023年GDP或进一步降至-1%。</b></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3faadc006e67e6ac130a7b171f263b4d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100144627","content_text":"“阵痛”来袭?俄欧的能源博弈在反反复复的断、供中,又双叒叕升级了。俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司宣布将完全暂停其天然气输送,欧洲或即将迎来一个最为艰难的凛冬。北溪-1无限期关闭当地时间周五(9月2日)晚间,俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司表示,在进行的例行维护工作中,涡轮机被发现存在漏油,所以其通往欧洲的关键天然气管道无法在周六按计划重启。至此,北溪管道的天然气运输具体重启时间变成了未知数。俄气也在公告中强调,北溪管道的天然气运输已经完全停止,直到故障能够完全消除。据悉,“北溪-1”天然气管道2011年建成,东起俄罗斯维堡,经由波罗的海海底通往德国。目前也是俄罗斯对欧洲主要输气管道。回看今年以来,北溪1号管道已经停停启启多次。早在7月,围绕“北溪1号”的涡轮机检修而上演的俄欧相互博弈就引发了全球瞩目,同时也加大了俄罗斯输欧天然气的变数,彼时,欧洲对俄罗斯彻底“断供”的担忧就已经极具强烈了。虽然后来俄气的输送得以恢复,但输气量已被削减至其产能的20%。8月底,俄气公司宣布进行为期三天的维护,就此到昨天的声明发出,北溪-1的恢复变成了遥遥无期。虽然,西门子能源公司最新发声表示称,作为北溪涡轮机的制造商,其认为漏油故障并不构成涡轮机停止运行的技术原因。此类泄漏通常不会影响涡轮机的运行,可在现场进行密封,这是维护工作范围内的常规程序。在过去,这类泄漏故障并未导致运行中断。西门子能源当前没有对涡轮机进行维护的合同义务,但处于待命状态。即便发生这样的故障,Portovaya压缩机站仍有足够的涡轮机供北溪1号运行。其实无论漏油也好,修复也罢。问题的本身并不在这些方面上。此前,俄罗斯方面曾表示,北溪管道供应天然气的唯一障碍就是制裁问题,制裁妨碍了正常的维护和维修工作,也妨碍了关键部件的送回。不过欧盟则认为这只是一个借口,俄罗斯正在利用天然气作为经济武器进行报复。欧洲“气荒”愈演愈烈面对俄气的“断供”危机,虽然欧洲一直在努力寻找替代供应,以防今年冬天俄罗斯全面切断天然气供应。但就目前看来欧洲有些力不从心。据国际能源署(IEA)估计,今年冬天,欧盟至少需要90%的天然气储量才能保证安全。而能源监测网站Energy Monitor的数据显示,当前欧洲的储气量才达到其最大容量的67%。虽然日前,欧盟委员会宣布欧盟的天然气储量已经超过了80%,然而数据审查却显示,各国之间的储气量存在差异。其中,有些国家的确已经成功地储存了足够的天然气,而其他一些国家则需要在即将到来的冬季内苦苦支撑。据跟踪全球天然气库存的网站“AGSI”报道,欧洲主要国家的储量已经达到了令人放心的水平,例如法国、德国和意大利,而东欧国家的情况则截然不同,它们面临着严重的天然气储量短缺。其中欧洲多国的储气量比例:德国:84%(这是德国在切断来自俄罗斯的天然气之前追求达到的目标)法国:91%(欧洲最大的天然气储备量之一)比利时:88.5%丹麦:88%意大利:82%波兰:99%另一方面,东欧国家则面临着天然气储量短缺的问题:保加利亚:66%匈牙利:63%拉脱维亚:53%对于“断气”一事,部分欧洲国家相关机构组织发出预警。意大利工业家联合会主席博诺米近日表示,如果俄罗斯完全中断向意大利供应天然气,或将导致该国五分之一的工业生产停产。欧盟机构“欧洲稳定机制”分析称,如果俄罗斯停止天然气供应,将可能导致欧元区国家于年底耗尽天然气储备,意大利和德国两个风险最大国的国内生产总值或损失2.5%。影响几何?可以预见,俄罗斯部分断供天然气已对欧洲的经济增长造成了影响;如果全面断供,影响可能还要严重得多。此前,IMF在三份最新工作论文研究了这些重要问题。三篇论文研究的问题包括:碎片化的市场和价格传导的延迟如何加剧了影响;全球液化天然气市场缓和这种影响的作用;以及这些因素可在欧洲最大经济体德国发挥何种作用。据研究表明,在中欧、东欧一些受影响最严重的国家(匈牙利、斯洛伐克共和国和捷克共和国),天然气消费缺口可能高达40%,而GDP的降幅可能高达6%。然而,有关国家可通过一系列措施减轻上述影响,如确保其他供应源和能源,减少基础设施瓶颈,鼓励节能并保护弱势家庭,扩大“团结协议”以在各国之间共享天然气等。那风险敞口有哪些决定因素?各国对俄罗斯天然气和其他能源的依赖程度各异。2021年6月至今,俄罗斯的天然气供应量已经下降了60%,但到目前为止,欧洲的基础设施和来自全球的供应尚能应对。第一季度,欧洲的天然气总消耗量比去年同期下降了9%;同时,欧洲已在使用其他的供应来源,尤其是来自全球市场的液化天然气。研究显示,通过使用其他供应来源和能源,以及由于先前高价格导致的需求减少,欧洲可以在短期内应对俄罗斯高达70%的天然气断供。这解释了为何一些国家能够单方面停止进口俄罗斯天然气。但若俄罗斯完全断供,上述分散化策略的难度将大幅提升。由于进口能力不足或输气能力有限,基础设施瓶颈可能降低欧洲在境内改道天然气的能力。这些因素可能导致中欧、东欧部分国家的年天然气消费缺口达到15%至40%。而对于带来的经济影响。IMF表示,若假设市场是一体化的(市场维持如此),则欧盟经济活动可能在2022年上半年萎缩0.2%。中金研究此前也表示,极端情形下,假设俄乌冲突持续时间比预期更久,俄罗斯明显甚至完全削减对欧元区的能源出口。届时或将看到欧洲天然气价格继续大幅上升,全球能源价格中枢维持高位或进一步冲高。对此,部分欧洲国家可能采取限量配给,并大幅压制工业生产,特别是在能源密集型行业。生产减少也将抑制欧元区出口,贸易账户或进一步恶化。该情形下,预计2022年欧元区实际GDP增速至0.5%,下半年经济将陷入衰退,而2023年GDP或进一步降至-1%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906014441,"gmtCreate":1659453357485,"gmtModify":1705980516079,"author":{"id":"4088815494354440","authorId":"4088815494354440","name":"patly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47c0d6ec5a8eb2e404c9da0051582bb7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088815494354440","idStr":"4088815494354440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906014441","repostId":"9906034658","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9906034658,"gmtCreate":1659452190577,"gmtModify":1705980499423,"author":{"id":"4087293837756560","authorId":"4087293837756560","name":"investboy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/468da7a5f10e20c7df2b48e7c8ee52aa","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087293837756560","idStr":"4087293837756560"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"、近期,一項“700億美元芯片法案”的推進將佩洛西這個“美國最具權勢的女人”拖下了水——因爲其丈夫的每一次投資都精準又及時地趕在了衆議院釋放相關行業利好消息前。目前,佩洛西夫婦涉嫌“內幕交易”的消息不斷髮酵,正愈演愈烈;2、雖然佩洛西本人名下沒有披露任何股票投資交易(也不被法律允許),但其夫婦二人的淨資產超過 1.14 億美元。其丈夫保羅·佩洛西在2019年至2021年間披露了61筆交易。美媒Business Insider報道稱,“這對夫婦的絕大多數財富來自保羅·佩洛西的股票、期權和投資。”3、數據顯示,佩洛西夫婦在2019年和2020年分別以5%和14%的速度跑贏了標準普爾500指數的平均投資回報率,並且其投資組合的市值在2019年至2021年第四季度的幾年間增長了96%,獲得超6200萬美元的收益,被民衆直呼“國會山股神”;4、關於美國議員們“內幕交易”的質疑已經由來已久,甚至有人開發出一款名爲“內幕投資組合”的產品來跟蹤議員的投資動向,只是一向嚴苛的美國法律面前,在指控這些立法機構的成員們卻十分艱難,甚至會遭到衆議院議長佩洛西的掣肘。","listText":"、近期,一項“700億美元芯片法案”的推進將佩洛西這個“美國最具權勢的女人”拖下了水——因爲其丈夫的每一次投資都精準又及時地趕在了衆議院釋放相關行業利好消息前。目前,佩洛西夫婦涉嫌“內幕交易”的消息不斷髮酵,正愈演愈烈;2、雖然佩洛西本人名下沒有披露任何股票投資交易(也不被法律允許),但其夫婦二人的淨資產超過 1.14 億美元。其丈夫保羅·佩洛西在2019年至2021年間披露了61筆交易。美媒Business Insider報道稱,“這對夫婦的絕大多數財富來自保羅·佩洛西的股票、期權和投資。”3、數據顯示,佩洛西夫婦在2019年和2020年分別以5%和14%的速度跑贏了標準普爾500指數的平均投資回報率,並且其投資組合的市值在2019年至2021年第四季度的幾年間增長了96%,獲得超6200萬美元的收益,被民衆直呼“國會山股神”;4、關於美國議員們“內幕交易”的質疑已經由來已久,甚至有人開發出一款名爲“內幕投資組合”的產品來跟蹤議員的投資動向,只是一向嚴苛的美國法律面前,在指控這些立法機構的成員們卻十分艱難,甚至會遭到衆議院議長佩洛西的掣肘。","text":"、近期,一項“700億美元芯片法案”的推進將佩洛西這個“美國最具權勢的女人”拖下了水——因爲其丈夫的每一次投資都精準又及時地趕在了衆議院釋放相關行業利好消息前。目前,佩洛西夫婦涉嫌“內幕交易”的消息不斷髮酵,正愈演愈烈;2、雖然佩洛西本人名下沒有披露任何股票投資交易(也不被法律允許),但其夫婦二人的淨資產超過 1.14 億美元。其丈夫保羅·佩洛西在2019年至2021年間披露了61筆交易。美媒Business Insider報道稱,“這對夫婦的絕大多數財富來自保羅·佩洛西的股票、期權和投資。”3、數據顯示,佩洛西夫婦在2019年和2020年分別以5%和14%的速度跑贏了標準普爾500指數的平均投資回報率,並且其投資組合的市值在2019年至2021年第四季度的幾年間增長了96%,獲得超6200萬美元的收益,被民衆直呼“國會山股神”;4、關於美國議員們“內幕交易”的質疑已經由來已久,甚至有人開發出一款名爲“內幕投資組合”的產品來跟蹤議員的投資動向,只是一向嚴苛的美國法律面前,在指控這些立法機構的成員們卻十分艱難,甚至會遭到衆議院議長佩洛西的掣肘。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906034658","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055427701,"gmtCreate":1655304573103,"gmtModify":1676535608908,"author":{"id":"4088815494354440","authorId":"4088815494354440","name":"patly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47c0d6ec5a8eb2e404c9da0051582bb7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088815494354440","idStr":"4088815494354440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055427701","repostId":"9055593334","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9055593334,"gmtCreate":1655287468177,"gmtModify":1676535604751,"author":{"id":"3527667626267411","authorId":"3527667626267411","name":"Value_investing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":0,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667626267411","idStr":"3527667626267411"},"themes":[],"title":"New Oriental Up 41%- a New Success Brought By Bilingual Live Stream","htmlText":"Thanks to a live stream, New Oriental Online's stock price doubled in three days.Its founder, Yu Minhong, announced the transformation of agricultural products live six months ago, meanwhile, had a large increase in share holdings. The stock of New Oriental Online had also doubled in a month in response to these news.If the last doubling was the capital market paying for Yu Minhong's ambition, this time is that investors really see the hope.It all come from when New Oriental had promoted goods in the live stream with the combination of Chinese and English delivery, which beat netizens’ expectation that they could learn a lot by buying goods.The“Oriental selection”, a broadcast platform, was on the hot topic because of the novelty of the liv","listText":"Thanks to a live stream, New Oriental Online's stock price doubled in three days.Its founder, Yu Minhong, announced the transformation of agricultural products live six months ago, meanwhile, had a large increase in share holdings. The stock of New Oriental Online had also doubled in a month in response to these news.If the last doubling was the capital market paying for Yu Minhong's ambition, this time is that investors really see the hope.It all come from when New Oriental had promoted goods in the live stream with the combination of Chinese and English delivery, which beat netizens’ expectation that they could learn a lot by buying goods.The“Oriental selection”, a broadcast platform, was on the hot topic because of the novelty of the liv","text":"Thanks to a live stream, New Oriental Online's stock price doubled in three days.Its founder, Yu Minhong, announced the transformation of agricultural products live six months ago, meanwhile, had a large increase in share holdings. The stock of New Oriental Online had also doubled in a month in response to these news.If the last doubling was the capital market paying for Yu Minhong's ambition, this time is that investors really see the hope.It all come from when New Oriental had promoted goods in the live stream with the combination of Chinese and English delivery, which beat netizens’ expectation that they could learn a lot by buying goods.The“Oriental selection”, a broadcast platform, was on the hot topic because of the novelty of the 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