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jxxlxx
2022-11-15
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Analysts remain optimistic on Genting Singapore; expect earnings momentum to sustain
jxxlxx
2022-05-20
Yes
Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside
jxxlxx
2022-05-20
Good
Why Did Lucid Soar 11% on Thursday
jxxlxx
2022-03-19
Ok
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jxxlxx
2022-03-18
👍
Apple Stock: Look Up Above, Is $3 Trillion Next?
jxxlxx
2022-03-18
👍
What Does Tesla's Delay of Bond Issue Mean for its Stock?
jxxlxx
2022-03-17
Felt lost
Why the Fed's First Rate Hike since 2018 Sent Stocks and Other Markets on a Wild Ride
jxxlxx
2022-03-14
Oh
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jxxlxx
2022-03-14
😁
EV Stocks Slipped in Morning Trading
jxxlxx
2022-03-10
Good
Semiconductor Stocks Jumped in Morning Trading
jxxlxx
2022-03-09
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jxxlxx
2022-03-08
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Intel Mobileye IPO: 10 Things to Know as the Self-Driving Unit Files to Come Public
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","listText":"Good ","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969527354","repostId":"2283234968","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2283234968","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1668361455,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2283234968?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-14 01:44","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Analysts remain optimistic on Genting Singapore; expect earnings momentum to sustain","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2283234968","media":"Khairani Afifi Noordin","summary":"Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising. ","content":"<html><body><p><img src=\"https://edgemarkets-transferred.s3-ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com/LEI_RESORTS_WORLD_SENTOSA_01_SIC.jpeg\"/> Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising. </p><p>Analysts at UOB Kay Hian, Maybank Securities and DBS Group Research are optimistic on Genting Singapore, following the announcement of its 3QFY2022 results ended September. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">UOBKH analysts Vincent Khoo and Jack Goh have kept their “buy” call and target price of $1.08. They note Genting Singapore’s “remarkable” earnings recovery in 3QFY2022, with Resorts World Sentosa (RWS) charting strong revenue and EBITDA recoveries at 107% and 143% y-o-y respectively. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">“Despite 3QFY2022’s adjusted EBITDA of $249 million predictably still underperformed rival Marina Bay Sands due to lower gross gaming revenue market share, RWS recorded the best quarter since Covid-19 with revenue and net profit recovering to about 87% and 85% of 3QFY2019’s. 9MFY2022 EBITDA represented 67% and 72% of our and consensus full-year forecasts, which we deem largely in line as we anticipate a sequentially stronger 4Q22 performance,” the analysts add. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Genting Singapore’s 3QFY2022 gaming revenue recovered by 59% q-o-q, representing 106% of pre-pandemic level. This is mainly due to an exceptionally strong VIP win percentage and better operating capacity, following the gradual resolve of earlier labour shortage issues. Non-gaming revenue also recovered by 37% q-o-q, reflecting Singapore’s overall pent-up tourism demand which lifted hotel occupancy and average room rates. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">UOBKH expects the recovery trend to sustain in upcoming quarters. It also believes that the reopening of Festive Hotel in 1QFY2023 will further elevate Genting Singapore’s earnings.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Meanwhile, Maybank analyst Yin Shao Yang says Genting Singapore’s 3QFY2022 earnings were within his expectations and appear to be sustainable in the future. “This is because we gather that the 3QFY2022 VIP win rate was within the theoretical range as the 3Q22 EBITDA margin of 48% is largely in-line with our long term EBITDA margin forecast of 51%-52%,” he adds.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">The analyst has maintained his “hold” call on Genting Singapore, raising his target price slightly to 88 cents from 86 cents previously. Yin expects Genting Singapore to report quarterly results similar to that of 3QFY2022 going forward.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">DBS analyst Jason Sum concurs, adding that Genting Singapore is well positioned to recover with Singapore’s Vaccinated Travel Framework and synchronised reopening of borders in the region. He adds that the imminent return of foreign tourists — which accounted for 75%-80% of total attendance prior to the pandemic and higher average spending per visitor — will give a significant boost to Genting Singapore’s earnings over the next two years. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Sum points out that Genting Singapore has a robust balance sheet and strong operating cash flows to enhance shareholder returns. “We believe there may be an upside to our dividend-per-share projections as the management has signalled that they will be more generous going forward so as to reward shareholders.”</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising, although a strong Singapore dollar could have a slight negative impact on inbound tourism, says Sum. Overall indicators suggest that it will be some time before the substantial pent-up demand subsides, particularly as countries in the region continue to reopen. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">“Nonetheless, Genting Singapore is insulated against rising interest rates because of its robust balance sheet, a stark contrast to most other gaming operators in the region,” says Sum.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">He maintains his “buy” call with an unchanged target price of $1, raising his FY2022 and FY2023 earnings estimates by 10% and 2% respectively to reflect stronger gaming volumes and healthier operating margins on greater economies of scale.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">UOBKH analysts expect the stock to re-rate in reaction to Singapore’s tourism recovery. With the world eventually fully unwinding Covid-19 curbs which presumably includes China by 4QFY2022 to 1QFY2023, the analysts forecast Genting Singapore’s EBITDA to claw back to the pre-pandemic level of $1.2 billion in FY2023 as “the worst is likely over”.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">“Theoretically, our target price for Genting Singapore would rise to $1.22 once our valuation horizon rolls over to 2023, assuming EBITDA recovers to $1.2 billion and historical mean EV/EBITDA valuation of 10x,” they add.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">As at 9.37am, shares in Genting Singapore are trading 2 cents higher or 2.41% up at 85 cents. </p>\n</body></html>","source":"edge_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Analysts remain optimistic on Genting Singapore; expect earnings momentum to sustain</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnalysts remain optimistic on Genting Singapore; expect earnings momentum to sustain\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-14 01:44 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/analysts-remain-optimistic-genting-singapore-expect-earnings-momentum-sustain?utm_source=Blog&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=Tiger_Brokers_app_RSS><strong>Khairani Afifi Noordin</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising. Analysts at UOB Kay Hian, Maybank Securities and DBS Group Research are optimistic on Genting Singapore, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/analysts-remain-optimistic-genting-singapore-expect-earnings-momentum-sustain?utm_source=Blog&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=Tiger_Brokers_app_RSS\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"G13.SI":"云顶新加坡"},"source_url":"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/analysts-remain-optimistic-genting-singapore-expect-earnings-momentum-sustain?utm_source=Blog&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=Tiger_Brokers_app_RSS","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2283234968","content_text":"Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising. Analysts at UOB Kay Hian, Maybank Securities and DBS Group Research are optimistic on Genting Singapore, following the announcement of its 3QFY2022 results ended September. \nUOBKH analysts Vincent Khoo and Jack Goh have kept their “buy” call and target price of $1.08. They note Genting Singapore’s “remarkable” earnings recovery in 3QFY2022, with Resorts World Sentosa (RWS) charting strong revenue and EBITDA recoveries at 107% and 143% y-o-y respectively. \n“Despite 3QFY2022’s adjusted EBITDA of $249 million predictably still underperformed rival Marina Bay Sands due to lower gross gaming revenue market share, RWS recorded the best quarter since Covid-19 with revenue and net profit recovering to about 87% and 85% of 3QFY2019’s. 9MFY2022 EBITDA represented 67% and 72% of our and consensus full-year forecasts, which we deem largely in line as we anticipate a sequentially stronger 4Q22 performance,” the analysts add. \nGenting Singapore’s 3QFY2022 gaming revenue recovered by 59% q-o-q, representing 106% of pre-pandemic level. This is mainly due to an exceptionally strong VIP win percentage and better operating capacity, following the gradual resolve of earlier labour shortage issues. Non-gaming revenue also recovered by 37% q-o-q, reflecting Singapore’s overall pent-up tourism demand which lifted hotel occupancy and average room rates. \nUOBKH expects the recovery trend to sustain in upcoming quarters. It also believes that the reopening of Festive Hotel in 1QFY2023 will further elevate Genting Singapore’s earnings.\nMeanwhile, Maybank analyst Yin Shao Yang says Genting Singapore’s 3QFY2022 earnings were within his expectations and appear to be sustainable in the future. “This is because we gather that the 3QFY2022 VIP win rate was within the theoretical range as the 3Q22 EBITDA margin of 48% is largely in-line with our long term EBITDA margin forecast of 51%-52%,” he adds.\nThe analyst has maintained his “hold” call on Genting Singapore, raising his target price slightly to 88 cents from 86 cents previously. Yin expects Genting Singapore to report quarterly results similar to that of 3QFY2022 going forward.\nDBS analyst Jason Sum concurs, adding that Genting Singapore is well positioned to recover with Singapore’s Vaccinated Travel Framework and synchronised reopening of borders in the region. He adds that the imminent return of foreign tourists — which accounted for 75%-80% of total attendance prior to the pandemic and higher average spending per visitor — will give a significant boost to Genting Singapore’s earnings over the next two years. \nSum points out that Genting Singapore has a robust balance sheet and strong operating cash flows to enhance shareholder returns. “We believe there may be an upside to our dividend-per-share projections as the management has signalled that they will be more generous going forward so as to reward shareholders.”\nDespite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising, although a strong Singapore dollar could have a slight negative impact on inbound tourism, says Sum. Overall indicators suggest that it will be some time before the substantial pent-up demand subsides, particularly as countries in the region continue to reopen. \n“Nonetheless, Genting Singapore is insulated against rising interest rates because of its robust balance sheet, a stark contrast to most other gaming operators in the region,” says Sum.\nHe maintains his “buy” call with an unchanged target price of $1, raising his FY2022 and FY2023 earnings estimates by 10% and 2% respectively to reflect stronger gaming volumes and healthier operating margins on greater economies of scale.\nUOBKH analysts expect the stock to re-rate in reaction to Singapore’s tourism recovery. With the world eventually fully unwinding Covid-19 curbs which presumably includes China by 4QFY2022 to 1QFY2023, the analysts forecast Genting Singapore’s EBITDA to claw back to the pre-pandemic level of $1.2 billion in FY2023 as “the worst is likely over”.\n“Theoretically, our target price for Genting Singapore would rise to $1.22 once our valuation horizon rolls over to 2023, assuming EBITDA recovers to $1.2 billion and historical mean EV/EBITDA valuation of 10x,” they add.\nAs at 9.37am, shares in Genting Singapore are trading 2 cents higher or 2.41% up at 85 cents.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021146420,"gmtCreate":1653017611660,"gmtModify":1676535209454,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021146420","repostId":"2236338440","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236338440","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653014957,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236338440?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-20 10:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236338440","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.</li><li>Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.</li><li>Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.</li><li>With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.</li><li>Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22457c73fde6bb9452530e03e739c60\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>agawa288/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:</p><blockquote>To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir's current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.</blockquote><p>In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company's Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.</p><p>Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir's stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir's share price.</p><p><b>Risk/Reward Rating: Positive</b></p><p>While taking notes during Palantir's Q1 2022 earnings conference call, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: "What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next."</p><p>Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir's future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon's (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir's current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.</p><p><b>Growth Trajectory</b></p><p>In terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir's stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management's 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir's growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):</p><blockquote>Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result<b>, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20%</b> than the company's 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.</blockquote><p>Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir's segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6014209021f3fa2f8092daf4a26dba11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.</p><p>I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.</p><p>As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir's sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a7b062d439185403c6bcd0841413601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir's growth trajectory.</p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.</p><p>In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company's 30% sales growth guidance.</p><p>If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir's growth deceleration.</p><p>Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management's discussion of Palantir's near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): <i>"We have visibility into the upside,</i> and the upside is quite large."</p><p><b>Upside Visibility</b></p><p>The bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir's share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir's revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir's growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.</p><p>With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.</p><p>The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cde3ec929a5825c2fbed7e6a378b108a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"135\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>The US government represented 42% of Palantir's total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir's total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir's rest of world revenue.</p><p>There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir's capabilities.</p><p>Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: "The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media."</p><p>The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir's products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world's governments and enterprises alike.</p><p>The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: "Literally every function of every business is breaking."</p><p>In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company's deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.</p><p><b>Consensus Growth Estimates</b></p><p>Interestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir's collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company's 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796c39436a333158793cf93601e3da5f\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c561c18fb35635a76c9ce58f477db0\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.</p><p>Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.</p><p><b>Profitability Trends</b></p><p>There remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company's various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir's profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company's adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6c7104e38d18395dea8d8d4d8aa3b03\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"132\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While Palantir's GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir's cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4643407d0c54c1abe4e12ae6e9a370de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Importantly, Palantir's Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir's investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir's declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.</p><p><b>Key Business Measure</b></p><p>Palantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.</p><p>The following tables display Palantir's Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company's Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1976698261d14d8ba419b33b43766a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"423\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1eb3259f5f1b0ee57573816b7dd3484e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir's business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir's Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.</p><p>In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.</p><p>As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir's Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.</p><p><b>Research and Development</b></p><p>In my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir's unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir's unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:</p><blockquote>The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.</blockquote><p>The following passage from Palantir's 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir's stagnant research and development investment.</p><blockquote>We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…</blockquote><p>In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir's potential return spectrum.</p><p><b>Technicals</b></p><p>The technical backdrop provides an excellent bird's eye view of Palantir's upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir's IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7a15fef920f0c09c71a9d697b708eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/806868dae1d9a75949a30a224137e08e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.</p><p>Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94142f6bc2a59a08e88cd3e3422a9c12\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.</p><p><b>Potential Return Spectrum</b></p><p>The upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (CRM), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDAY\">Workday</a> (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir's 2022 EPS estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69450b8413221d5ba42faa5de2a4591f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"402\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.</p><p>The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir's growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>All told, Palantir's risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.</p><p>If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: "We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large."</p><p><b>Investee Details</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54e74788c15daaafe35356e42375e00c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"474\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Visibility Into The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-20 10:49 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236338440","content_text":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.agawa288/iStock via Getty ImagesI am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir's current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company's Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir's stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir's share price.Risk/Reward Rating: PositiveWhile taking notes during Palantir's Q1 2022 earnings conference call, one line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: \"What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.\"Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir's future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon's (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir's current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.Growth TrajectoryIn terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir's stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management's 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir's growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the company's 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir's segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir's sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir's growth trajectory.I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company's 30% sales growth guidance.If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir's growth deceleration.Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management's discussion of Palantir's near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Upside VisibilityThe bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir's share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir's revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir's growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxThe US government represented 42% of Palantir's total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir's total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir's rest of world revenue.There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir's capabilities.Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: \"The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.\"The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir's products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world's governments and enterprises alike.The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: \"Literally every function of every business is breaking.\"In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company's deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.Consensus Growth EstimatesInterestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir's collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company's 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.Profitability TrendsThere remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company's various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir's profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company's adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile Palantir's GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir's cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxImportantly, Palantir's Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir's investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir's declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.Key Business MeasurePalantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.The following tables display Palantir's Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company's Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir's business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir's Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir's Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.Research and DevelopmentIn my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir's unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir's unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.The following passage from Palantir's 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir's stagnant research and development investment.We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir's potential return spectrum.TechnicalsThe technical backdrop provides an excellent bird's eye view of Palantir's upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir's IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.Potential Return SpectrumThe upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: Salesforce (CRM), Workday (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir's 2022 EPS estimate.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir's growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.SummaryAll told, Palantir's risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Investee DetailsCreated by Brian Kapp, stoxdox","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021146032,"gmtCreate":1653017491026,"gmtModify":1676535209446,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021146032","repostId":"1177657542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177657542","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1653013105,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177657542?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-20 10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Did Lucid Soar 11% on Thursday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177657542","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID) has announced plans to open a production facility in Saudi ArabiaThe country wil","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Lucid</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>LCID</u></b>) has announced plans to open a production facility in Saudi Arabia</li><li>The country will provide Lucid with $3.4 billion in financing and incentives</li><li>Saudi Arabia’s investment fund owns a 60% stake in LCID stock</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c0d9e05d06ca3d8f95aa751595119af\" tg-width=\"1600\" tg-height=\"900\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Tada Images / Shutterstock</span></p><p>Lucid is in the spotlight today after unveiling plans for a production facility in Saudi Arabia. Year-to-date (YTD), the electric vehicle (EV) stock has lost about 50% of its market capitalization. Shares of LCID rose 11% on Thursday.</p><p>Upon completion, Lucid’s new facility will be capable of manufacturing 155,000 vehicles a year. The facility will also initially only serve the Saudi Arabian market. Over the next 15 years, Lucid is expected to receive up to $3.4 billion in financing and incentives from Saudi Arabia.</p><p>Lucid has a tight-knit relationship with Saudi Arabia, as the country’s <b>Public Investment Fund</b> (PIF) has a 60% stake in the company. PIF acquired this stake back when Lucid was still a private entity. Last month, the EV company reached an agreement with Saudi Arabia for the country to purchase 100,000 vehicles over the next 10 years.</p><p>While it may not immediately affect production output, this new facility is still huge news for the EV maker. Let’s get into the details.</p><p><b>LCID Stock: Lucid Discloses Saudi Expansion Plans</b></p><p>Lucid’s production facility in Arizona will eventually have an output of 350,000 EVs per year. So, coupled with the Saudi facility, the company now expects a capacity of 500,000 cars per year by 2025. That estimate is five years ahead of the previous estimate of 500,000 vehicles by 2030.</p><p>During its first-quarter earnings, Lucid gave 2022 production guidance of between 12,000 to 14,000 vehicles. This figure was reduced from a previous estimate of 20,000 vehicles due to component shortages.</p><p>Looking forward, Saudi Arabia has big plans to “turn the region on the west coast near Jeddah into a hub for manufacturing cars.” Last October, Industry and Minerals Resources Minister Bandar Alkhorayef said the country was seeking to establish relationships with other automakers and EV battery companies as well.</p><p>Minister of Investment Khalid al-Falih has also said the country is open to working with more EV companies. “[O]ur intent is not to stop with Lucid,” he said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Did Lucid Soar 11% on Thursday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Did Lucid Soar 11% on Thursday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-20 10:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/05/lcid-stock-climbs-9-as-lucid-motors-ramps-up-saudi-expansion-plans/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID) has announced plans to open a production facility in Saudi ArabiaThe country will provide Lucid with $3.4 billion in financing and incentivesSaudi Arabia’s investment fund owns a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/lcid-stock-climbs-9-as-lucid-motors-ramps-up-saudi-expansion-plans/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/lcid-stock-climbs-9-as-lucid-motors-ramps-up-saudi-expansion-plans/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177657542","content_text":"Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID) has announced plans to open a production facility in Saudi ArabiaThe country will provide Lucid with $3.4 billion in financing and incentivesSaudi Arabia’s investment fund owns a 60% stake in LCID stockSource: Tada Images / ShutterstockLucid is in the spotlight today after unveiling plans for a production facility in Saudi Arabia. Year-to-date (YTD), the electric vehicle (EV) stock has lost about 50% of its market capitalization. Shares of LCID rose 11% on Thursday.Upon completion, Lucid’s new facility will be capable of manufacturing 155,000 vehicles a year. The facility will also initially only serve the Saudi Arabian market. Over the next 15 years, Lucid is expected to receive up to $3.4 billion in financing and incentives from Saudi Arabia.Lucid has a tight-knit relationship with Saudi Arabia, as the country’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) has a 60% stake in the company. PIF acquired this stake back when Lucid was still a private entity. Last month, the EV company reached an agreement with Saudi Arabia for the country to purchase 100,000 vehicles over the next 10 years.While it may not immediately affect production output, this new facility is still huge news for the EV maker. Let’s get into the details.LCID Stock: Lucid Discloses Saudi Expansion PlansLucid’s production facility in Arizona will eventually have an output of 350,000 EVs per year. So, coupled with the Saudi facility, the company now expects a capacity of 500,000 cars per year by 2025. That estimate is five years ahead of the previous estimate of 500,000 vehicles by 2030.During its first-quarter earnings, Lucid gave 2022 production guidance of between 12,000 to 14,000 vehicles. This figure was reduced from a previous estimate of 20,000 vehicles due to component shortages.Looking forward, Saudi Arabia has big plans to “turn the region on the west coast near Jeddah into a hub for manufacturing cars.” Last October, Industry and Minerals Resources Minister Bandar Alkhorayef said the country was seeking to establish relationships with other automakers and EV battery companies as well.Minister of Investment Khalid al-Falih has also said the country is open to working with more EV companies. “[O]ur intent is not to stop with Lucid,” he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035451159,"gmtCreate":1647659164522,"gmtModify":1676534256639,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035451159","repostId":"1123762152","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035877775,"gmtCreate":1647571616613,"gmtModify":1676534246173,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035877775","repostId":"1145367741","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145367741","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647522542,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145367741?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-17 21:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: Look Up Above, Is $3 Trillion Next?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145367741","media":"TheStreet","summary":"The Apple Maven explores these two topics below.What sent AAPL soaringThe year has been tough for AAPL and the market at large. Apple stock nearly entered bear market earlier this week, after having dipped 17%-plus from the all-time high of January.But there have been signs lately that investors might be ready to start buying this dip.It is hard to tell exactly why this vicious recovery began to take shape. On March 15, Apple’s nearly $5-per-share spike looked a lot like a volatility-driven reb","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple stock has been having a tough 2022, but shares bounced strongly in the past couple of days. Here is what happened, and what investors could expect to see next.</p><p>What a recovery it has been. From the 2022 lows of around $150 reached on March 14, Apple stock skyrocketed by over 6% in only two days to close the March 16 session priced at almost $160 a piece.</p><p>Why did shares of the Cupertino company spike so suddenly? And could this be a sign that the $3 trillion market cap could be reached again soon?</p><p>The Apple Maven explores these two topics below.</p><p><b>What sent AAPL soaring</b></p><p>The year has been tough for AAPL and the market at large. Apple stock nearly entered bear market earlier this week, after having dipped 17%-plus from the all-time high of January.</p><p>But there have been signs lately that investors might be ready to start buying this dip.</p><p>It is hard to tell exactly why this vicious (but still very incipient) recovery began to take shape. On March 15, Apple’s nearly $5-per-share spike looked a lot like a volatility-driven rebound from the previous few days’ sharp declines.</p><p>But on Wednesday, another similar jump could be better explained by one key event: the Federal Reserve’sfirst move to raise short-term interest rates in years. The 25-basis point increase has been widely anticipated, and is nearly guaranteed to be only the first of many.</p><p>While this was clearly the catalyst that sent AAPL to nearly $160, at the same time it is tough to explain why the monetary policy announcement created $75 billion in market cap for Apple investors in a day. Shouldn’t higher interest rates be a negative for tech and growth stocks?</p><p>I believe that economic and business fundamentals have nothing to do with this. Instead, the Tuesday and Wednesday price movements seem to be a classic case of “relief rally”.</p><p>Investors had been dreading monetary policy tightening for months. Now that it is finally here, it may be time for everyone to just move on.</p><p><b>Is $3 trillion next?</b></p><p>I believe it is still way too early to project Apple $3 trillion once again — that is, a 12.5% gain that leads the share price to roughly $180. For now, AAPL’s recent $10 recovery could be a dead cat bounce in disguise, as mini-rallies are a feature of soft market conditions.</p><p>From the point of view of a long-term investor, however, I would still be interested in accumulating AAPL shares at less than $160.As I explained recently, Apple stock returns have historically been better after shares sink at least 10% to 15% from the peak.</p><p>I have little doubt that, eventually (timing here is a big question mark), AAPL will reclaim $180 per share and $3 trillion in market cap. I would rather ride the upside from current levels than wait until shares have climbed much higher to, only then, join the party.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: Look Up Above, Is $3 Trillion Next?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: Look Up Above, Is $3 Trillion Next?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-17 21:09 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-premarket-look-up-above-is-3-trillion-next><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple stock has been having a tough 2022, but shares bounced strongly in the past couple of days. Here is what happened, and what investors could expect to see next.What a recovery it has been. From ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-premarket-look-up-above-is-3-trillion-next\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-premarket-look-up-above-is-3-trillion-next","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145367741","content_text":"Apple stock has been having a tough 2022, but shares bounced strongly in the past couple of days. Here is what happened, and what investors could expect to see next.What a recovery it has been. From the 2022 lows of around $150 reached on March 14, Apple stock skyrocketed by over 6% in only two days to close the March 16 session priced at almost $160 a piece.Why did shares of the Cupertino company spike so suddenly? And could this be a sign that the $3 trillion market cap could be reached again soon?The Apple Maven explores these two topics below.What sent AAPL soaringThe year has been tough for AAPL and the market at large. Apple stock nearly entered bear market earlier this week, after having dipped 17%-plus from the all-time high of January.But there have been signs lately that investors might be ready to start buying this dip.It is hard to tell exactly why this vicious (but still very incipient) recovery began to take shape. On March 15, Apple’s nearly $5-per-share spike looked a lot like a volatility-driven rebound from the previous few days’ sharp declines.But on Wednesday, another similar jump could be better explained by one key event: the Federal Reserve’sfirst move to raise short-term interest rates in years. The 25-basis point increase has been widely anticipated, and is nearly guaranteed to be only the first of many.While this was clearly the catalyst that sent AAPL to nearly $160, at the same time it is tough to explain why the monetary policy announcement created $75 billion in market cap for Apple investors in a day. Shouldn’t higher interest rates be a negative for tech and growth stocks?I believe that economic and business fundamentals have nothing to do with this. Instead, the Tuesday and Wednesday price movements seem to be a classic case of “relief rally”.Investors had been dreading monetary policy tightening for months. Now that it is finally here, it may be time for everyone to just move on.Is $3 trillion next?I believe it is still way too early to project Apple $3 trillion once again — that is, a 12.5% gain that leads the share price to roughly $180. For now, AAPL’s recent $10 recovery could be a dead cat bounce in disguise, as mini-rallies are a feature of soft market conditions.From the point of view of a long-term investor, however, I would still be interested in accumulating AAPL shares at less than $160.As I explained recently, Apple stock returns have historically been better after shares sink at least 10% to 15% from the peak.I have little doubt that, eventually (timing here is a big question mark), AAPL will reclaim $180 per share and $3 trillion in market cap. I would rather ride the upside from current levels than wait until shares have climbed much higher to, only then, join the party.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035877643,"gmtCreate":1647571583682,"gmtModify":1676534246154,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035877643","repostId":"1160440619","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160440619","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647529518,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160440619?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-17 23:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Does Tesla's Delay of Bond Issue Mean for its Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160440619","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Tesla has delayed issuance of $1 billion of bonds backed by its vehicle leases amid market volatility.When you think about the impact of raging inflation on electric-vehicle maker Tesla(TSLA), it’s na","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla has delayed issuance of $1 billion of bonds backed by its vehicle leases amid market volatility.</p><p>When you think about the impact of raging inflation on electric-vehicle maker Tesla (<b>TSLA</b>), it’s natural to think about the prices of its autos. The 7.9% surge in consumer inflation for the 12 months ended in February pushed Tesla to raise its car prices recently.</p><p>But another effect of rising inflation -- and the turmoil created by the Russia-Ukraine war -- has emerged tor Tesla. It has delayed a $1 billion-plus sale of bonds backed by its vehicle leases, thanks to volatility in the bond market, knowledgeable sources told Bloomberg.</p><p>Bond yields have surged recently, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising 35 basis points in the last 10 days, to 2.16%.</p><p>While $1 billion of bonds sounds like a lot, it’s really not that big a deal for Tesla,Barron’s notes. As of Dec. 31, Tesla had $18 billion of cash. And it’s seen producing more than $15 billion of cash flow this year, excluding capital spending. That would top last year’s total of $12 billion.</p><p>This may explain why the bond news seems to be having little impact on Tesla’s stock, perhaps your biggest concern. The company’s shares dipped 0.63% in recent trading, not far from the 0.60% decline for the Nasdaq Composite index.</p><p>Tesla has executed seven asset-backed bond packages in the last four years, Bloomberg reports. Despite the company’s “limited experience” in this area, the bonds have done well, according to Fitch Ratings analysts.</p><p>In other Tesla news,a recent lawsuit claims that the company’s driver assist system, Autopilot, constantly monitors drivers, violating their privacy rights.</p><p>Autopilot uses eight cameras around the vehicle to gather a full 360-degree view, facilitating the technology that allows the car to navigate through traffic hands-free.</p><p>However, in May 2021 Tesla released a driver monitoring system software update that turned on a cabin-facing camera already built into its vehicles that would detect the attention of a driver while autopilot was in use.</p><p>This monitoring is a violation of the Illinois Biometric Privacy Act, according to a class action lawsuit filed March 10.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Does Tesla's Delay of Bond Issue Mean for its Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Does Tesla's Delay of Bond Issue Mean for its Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-17 23:05 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/lifestyle/cars/teslay-delay-bond-issue-stock><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla has delayed issuance of $1 billion of bonds backed by its vehicle leases amid market volatility.When you think about the impact of raging inflation on electric-vehicle maker Tesla (TSLA), it’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/lifestyle/cars/teslay-delay-bond-issue-stock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/lifestyle/cars/teslay-delay-bond-issue-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160440619","content_text":"Tesla has delayed issuance of $1 billion of bonds backed by its vehicle leases amid market volatility.When you think about the impact of raging inflation on electric-vehicle maker Tesla (TSLA), it’s natural to think about the prices of its autos. The 7.9% surge in consumer inflation for the 12 months ended in February pushed Tesla to raise its car prices recently.But another effect of rising inflation -- and the turmoil created by the Russia-Ukraine war -- has emerged tor Tesla. It has delayed a $1 billion-plus sale of bonds backed by its vehicle leases, thanks to volatility in the bond market, knowledgeable sources told Bloomberg.Bond yields have surged recently, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising 35 basis points in the last 10 days, to 2.16%.While $1 billion of bonds sounds like a lot, it’s really not that big a deal for Tesla,Barron’s notes. As of Dec. 31, Tesla had $18 billion of cash. And it’s seen producing more than $15 billion of cash flow this year, excluding capital spending. That would top last year’s total of $12 billion.This may explain why the bond news seems to be having little impact on Tesla’s stock, perhaps your biggest concern. The company’s shares dipped 0.63% in recent trading, not far from the 0.60% decline for the Nasdaq Composite index.Tesla has executed seven asset-backed bond packages in the last four years, Bloomberg reports. Despite the company’s “limited experience” in this area, the bonds have done well, according to Fitch Ratings analysts.In other Tesla news,a recent lawsuit claims that the company’s driver assist system, Autopilot, constantly monitors drivers, violating their privacy rights.Autopilot uses eight cameras around the vehicle to gather a full 360-degree view, facilitating the technology that allows the car to navigate through traffic hands-free.However, in May 2021 Tesla released a driver monitoring system software update that turned on a cabin-facing camera already built into its vehicles that would detect the attention of a driver while autopilot was in use.This monitoring is a violation of the Illinois Biometric Privacy Act, according to a class action lawsuit filed March 10.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035951170,"gmtCreate":1647491462388,"gmtModify":1676534237204,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Felt lost","listText":"Felt lost","text":"Felt lost","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035951170","repostId":"2220816791","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220816791","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1647476527,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2220816791?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-17 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why the Fed's First Rate Hike since 2018 Sent Stocks and Other Markets on a Wild Ride","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220816791","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Who's afraid of a hawkish Federal Reserve? Apparently not stock-market investors, who sent the Dow J","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Who's afraid of a hawkish Federal Reserve? Apparently not stock-market investors, who sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average up more than 500 points on the day after an initial dip into negative territory after the central bank delivered a well-expected quarter-point rate hike.</p><p>Indeed, it was a day of big swings across major assets, including Treasurys and the U.S. dollar, as the Fed penciled in the equivalent of quarter-point rate increases at each of its remaining meetings this year. In the end, investor appetite for risky assets like stocks appeared intact, while demand was lacking for traditional havens, like Treasurys and the U.S. dollar.</p><p>While the Fed's statement and economic projections were initially viewed as skewed more to the hawkish end of the spectrum, there weren't any extraordinary measures. That made for more of a "business as usual" approach to kicking off the rate-hike cycle, said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird, in a phone interview.</p><p>"Picking how the market is going to react in those situations is tricky," he said.</p><p>Here's a look at how stocks and other important assets performed:</p><p>The Dow , which was trading with a gain north of 200 points when the Fed's policy announcement hit the tape, initially dipped into negative territory. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite trimmed gains. But the pressure didn't last long, with major indexes recovering during Powell's news conference and gaining steam in the final minutes of trading.</p><p>The Fed's rate move, which was telegraphed with unusual detail by Powell a few weeks ago in congressional testimony, also comes after a stock-market slide that had already seen the Dow and S&P 500 enter correction territory, each dropping more than 10% from early January highs, while the Nasdaq had entered a bear market, dropping more than 20% from its November record finish.</p><p>Expect investors to remain glued to developments around the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which sent indexes to 2022 intraday lows in late February.</p><p>"Certainly the near-term catalyst is any development in Ukraine," Mayfield said, because it's tied to the economic outlook. Progress toward a cessation of fighting would be a boon to Fed policy makers because it would help bring oil prices down.</p><p>Coming consumer-price index readings will also be important. While the Fed has laid out a hawkish timeline, investors will be jittery about any upside inflation surprises that stirs talk of an outsize half-point rate increase or an intermeeting move, Mayfield said.</p><p>Treasury yields, which move the opposite direction of prices, surged higher following the Fed announcement, then trimmed their rise as they continued to trade at levels last seen in 2019.</p><p>The Fed's hawkish tilt ensured that yields on shorter-dated maturities, which are more sensitive to near-term central bank expectations, rose the most. That resulted in a flattening of the yield curve, a line plotting yields across all maturities. The spread between 2- and 10-year note yields narrowed to less than 25 basis points, around its flattest since March 2020, according to FactSet. Meanwhile, the 5-year rate rose above the 10-year yield, inverting that part of the curve.</p><p>Investors keep a close eye on the 2- vs. 10-year part of the curve. Inversions of that measure of the curve have a record as precursors to recessions. With the Fed penciling in an aggressive series of rate increases, some strategists see scope for an inversion to occur in a matter of months.</p><p>"Given risks to outlook to both the upside and the downside, the combination of policy makers aiming to become restrictive and remaining overly optimistic about the growth outlook seems like a recipe for the Treasury curve to remain flat," said Alex Pelle, U.S. economist at Mizuho, in a note.</p><p>While Powell "seemed to concede that the Fed made an error in waiting so long to remove policy accommodation despite high inflation, our view that the probability of another policy error and growth mishap going forward has increased," he wrote.</p><p>And then there was the dollar. While the greenback popped higher on the statement, it soon gave up gains. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index , a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was down 0.7% in late afternoon trade, failing to build on the Fed's hawkish tilt or the jump in short-term Treasury yields, which would typically be supportive of the currency.</p><p>It may have been another case of buy the rumor, sell the fact, analysts said. The index last week rose to its highest level since May 2020, buoyed in part by haven-related buying tied to war-related jitters.</p><p>A sharp upward revision to the Fed's so-called dot plot of interest rate projections was a likely catalyst for the dollar's initial jump, said Matthew Ryan, senior market analyst at Ebury, in emailed comments.</p><p>"The median dot now shows seven rate hikes in 2022, up sharply on the three penciled in back in December and more than the five that we had anticipated," he wrote. "This hawkish turn in the dot plot can largely explain the move higher in the dollar, although with the market already pricing in seven hikes this year prior to the meeting, the rally in the greenback has so far been rather fleeting."</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the Fed's First Rate Hike since 2018 Sent Stocks and Other Markets on a Wild Ride</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the Fed's First Rate Hike since 2018 Sent Stocks and Other Markets on a Wild Ride\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-17 08:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-wild-ride-how-markets-reacted-to-the-first-federal-reserve-rate-hike-since-2018-11647470196?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1647476175><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Who's afraid of a hawkish Federal Reserve? Apparently not stock-market investors, who sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average up more than 500 points on the day after an initial dip into negative ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-wild-ride-how-markets-reacted-to-the-first-federal-reserve-rate-hike-since-2018-11647470196?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1647476175\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-wild-ride-how-markets-reacted-to-the-first-federal-reserve-rate-hike-since-2018-11647470196?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1647476175","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2220816791","content_text":"Who's afraid of a hawkish Federal Reserve? Apparently not stock-market investors, who sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average up more than 500 points on the day after an initial dip into negative territory after the central bank delivered a well-expected quarter-point rate hike.Indeed, it was a day of big swings across major assets, including Treasurys and the U.S. dollar, as the Fed penciled in the equivalent of quarter-point rate increases at each of its remaining meetings this year. In the end, investor appetite for risky assets like stocks appeared intact, while demand was lacking for traditional havens, like Treasurys and the U.S. dollar.While the Fed's statement and economic projections were initially viewed as skewed more to the hawkish end of the spectrum, there weren't any extraordinary measures. That made for more of a \"business as usual\" approach to kicking off the rate-hike cycle, said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird, in a phone interview.\"Picking how the market is going to react in those situations is tricky,\" he said.Here's a look at how stocks and other important assets performed:The Dow , which was trading with a gain north of 200 points when the Fed's policy announcement hit the tape, initially dipped into negative territory. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite trimmed gains. But the pressure didn't last long, with major indexes recovering during Powell's news conference and gaining steam in the final minutes of trading.The Fed's rate move, which was telegraphed with unusual detail by Powell a few weeks ago in congressional testimony, also comes after a stock-market slide that had already seen the Dow and S&P 500 enter correction territory, each dropping more than 10% from early January highs, while the Nasdaq had entered a bear market, dropping more than 20% from its November record finish.Expect investors to remain glued to developments around the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which sent indexes to 2022 intraday lows in late February.\"Certainly the near-term catalyst is any development in Ukraine,\" Mayfield said, because it's tied to the economic outlook. Progress toward a cessation of fighting would be a boon to Fed policy makers because it would help bring oil prices down.Coming consumer-price index readings will also be important. While the Fed has laid out a hawkish timeline, investors will be jittery about any upside inflation surprises that stirs talk of an outsize half-point rate increase or an intermeeting move, Mayfield said.Treasury yields, which move the opposite direction of prices, surged higher following the Fed announcement, then trimmed their rise as they continued to trade at levels last seen in 2019.The Fed's hawkish tilt ensured that yields on shorter-dated maturities, which are more sensitive to near-term central bank expectations, rose the most. That resulted in a flattening of the yield curve, a line plotting yields across all maturities. The spread between 2- and 10-year note yields narrowed to less than 25 basis points, around its flattest since March 2020, according to FactSet. Meanwhile, the 5-year rate rose above the 10-year yield, inverting that part of the curve.Investors keep a close eye on the 2- vs. 10-year part of the curve. Inversions of that measure of the curve have a record as precursors to recessions. With the Fed penciling in an aggressive series of rate increases, some strategists see scope for an inversion to occur in a matter of months.\"Given risks to outlook to both the upside and the downside, the combination of policy makers aiming to become restrictive and remaining overly optimistic about the growth outlook seems like a recipe for the Treasury curve to remain flat,\" said Alex Pelle, U.S. economist at Mizuho, in a note.While Powell \"seemed to concede that the Fed made an error in waiting so long to remove policy accommodation despite high inflation, our view that the probability of another policy error and growth mishap going forward has increased,\" he wrote.And then there was the dollar. While the greenback popped higher on the statement, it soon gave up gains. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index , a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was down 0.7% in late afternoon trade, failing to build on the Fed's hawkish tilt or the jump in short-term Treasury yields, which would typically be supportive of the currency.It may have been another case of buy the rumor, sell the fact, analysts said. The index last week rose to its highest level since May 2020, buoyed in part by haven-related buying tied to war-related jitters.A sharp upward revision to the Fed's so-called dot plot of interest rate projections was a likely catalyst for the dollar's initial jump, said Matthew Ryan, senior market analyst at Ebury, in emailed comments.\"The median dot now shows seven rate hikes in 2022, up sharply on the three penciled in back in December and more than the five that we had anticipated,\" he wrote. \"This hawkish turn in the dot plot can largely explain the move higher in the dollar, although with the market already pricing in seven hikes this year prior to the meeting, the rally in the greenback has so far been rather fleeting.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9036748761,"gmtCreate":1647222772849,"gmtModify":1676534204616,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh ","listText":"Oh ","text":"Oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9036748761","repostId":"1115884948","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9036748559,"gmtCreate":1647222731971,"gmtModify":1676534204608,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😁","listText":"😁","text":"😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9036748559","repostId":"1115884948","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115884948","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1647011216,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115884948?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-11 23:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks Slipped in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115884948","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks slipped in morning trading. Tesla, Rivian, Nio, Li Auto, XPeng, Canoo, Nikola, Arrival and","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>EV stocks slipped in morning trading. Tesla, Rivian, Nio, Li Auto, XPeng, Canoo, Nikola, Arrival and Fisker fell between 1% and 9%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/266f2c21868afc18e8e415176c7033f7\" tg-width=\"491\" tg-height=\"527\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fd8eeabe752ad89f2430de6fd07982\" tg-width=\"493\" tg-height=\"125\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks Slipped in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks Slipped in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-11 23:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>EV stocks slipped in morning trading. Tesla, Rivian, Nio, Li Auto, XPeng, Canoo, Nikola, Arrival and Fisker fell between 1% and 9%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/266f2c21868afc18e8e415176c7033f7\" tg-width=\"491\" tg-height=\"527\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fd8eeabe752ad89f2430de6fd07982\" tg-width=\"493\" tg-height=\"125\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115884948","content_text":"EV stocks slipped in morning trading. Tesla, Rivian, Nio, Li Auto, XPeng, Canoo, Nikola, Arrival and Fisker fell between 1% and 9%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038592122,"gmtCreate":1646867615944,"gmtModify":1676534170484,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038592122","repostId":"1191382252","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191382252","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1646838671,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191382252?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-09 23:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Semiconductor Stocks Jumped in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191382252","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Semiconductor stocks jumped in morning trading. Nvidia, TSMC, ASML, AMD, Micron and STMicroelectroni","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Semiconductor stocks jumped in morning trading. Nvidia, TSMC, ASML, AMD, Micron and STMicroelectronics rose between 1% and 6%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed3dd711ba6a8dbf6968cd95fa3c4191\" tg-width=\"326\" tg-height=\"428\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Semiconductor Stocks Jumped in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSemiconductor Stocks Jumped in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-09 23:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Semiconductor stocks jumped in morning trading. Nvidia, TSMC, ASML, AMD, Micron and STMicroelectronics rose between 1% and 6%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed3dd711ba6a8dbf6968cd95fa3c4191\" tg-width=\"326\" tg-height=\"428\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","QCOM":"高通","NVDA":"英伟达","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191382252","content_text":"Semiconductor stocks jumped in morning trading. Nvidia, TSMC, ASML, AMD, Micron and STMicroelectronics rose between 1% and 6%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":656,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038676340,"gmtCreate":1646829652216,"gmtModify":1676534167084,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile] ok","listText":"[smile] ok","text":"[smile] ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038676340","repostId":"1146059842","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038927664,"gmtCreate":1646718410216,"gmtModify":1676534154920,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😁","listText":"😁","text":"😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038927664","repostId":"1197753178","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197753178","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1646706435,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1197753178?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-08 10:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel Mobileye IPO: 10 Things to Know as the Self-Driving Unit Files to Come Public","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197753178","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Mobileye is expected to IPO during the second half of this year","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of <b>Intel</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>INTC</u></b>) are basically flat on the day despite a <b>Mobileye</b> initial public offering (IPO) update. The chipmaker announced today that its Mobileye unit has filed paperwork to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for an IPO. However, the filing is not yet available to the public because Intel utilized the confidential filing provision.</p><p>Mobileye is an Israeli-based self-driving technology company that was acquired by Intel in 2017 for $15.3 billion. Last year, the company reported revenue of $1.4 billion, up about 40% year-over-year. According to people familiar with the matter, Mobileye is likely to IPO at a valuation near $50 billion.</p><p>In the past, Mobileye has collaborated with companies such as <b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>),<b>General Motors</b> (NYSE:<b><u>GM</u></b>) and <b>BMW</b>(OTCMKTS:<b><u>BMWYY</u></b>). The company ended its partnership with Tesla in 2016 due to “disagreements about how the technology was deployed.”</p><p>In addition, Intel expects the IPO to occur sometime during the second half of this year. The company announced last December that it had plans to take the self-driving company public.</p><p>So, what else should investors know about the Mobileye IPO? Let’s jump right in.</p><p><b>INTC Stock: What to Know About the Mobileye IPO</b></p><ol><li>Mobileye’s philosophy is that “if a human can drive a car based on vision alone — so can a computer.”</li><li>Intel has not yet disclosed the price range for the IPO or the number of shares it plans to offer.</li><li>Mobileye was previously listed on the <b>New York Stock Exchange</b> before Intel’s acquisition took it private.</li><li>After the IPO, Intel expects to retain a majority stake in Mobileye.</li><li>Mobileye’s team of 1,700 employees develops advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) for other automakers or original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).</li><li>The company also produces cameras, software and computer chips for OEMs. However, Mobileye’s core business focuses on creating camera-based systems to assist in self-driving and safety precautions.</li><li>More than 100 million vehicles worldwide are “equipped with Mobileye technology.” In addition, more than 300 car models utilize the company’s technology.</li><li>Furthermore, more than 25 global automakers collaborate with Mobileye to aid self-driving safety.</li><li>Last year, the company tested self-driving car prototypes in several major cities, which included Shanghai, Paris and Detroit.</li><li>Looking ahead, Mobileye plans on building its own light detection and ranging (LiDAR) system. The Israeli-based company currently uses LiDAR technology from <b>Luminar Technologies</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>LAZR</u></b>).</li></ol></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel Mobileye IPO: 10 Things to Know as the Self-Driving Unit Files to Come Public</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel Mobileye IPO: 10 Things to Know as the Self-Driving Unit Files to Come Public\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-08 10:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/03/intel-mobileye-ipo-10-things-to-know-as-the-self-driving-unit-files-to-come-public/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of Intel(NASDAQ:INTC) are basically flat on the day despite a Mobileye initial public offering (IPO) update. The chipmaker announced today that its Mobileye unit has filed paperwork to the U.S....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/03/intel-mobileye-ipo-10-things-to-know-as-the-self-driving-unit-files-to-come-public/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/03/intel-mobileye-ipo-10-things-to-know-as-the-self-driving-unit-files-to-come-public/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197753178","content_text":"Shares of Intel(NASDAQ:INTC) are basically flat on the day despite a Mobileye initial public offering (IPO) update. The chipmaker announced today that its Mobileye unit has filed paperwork to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for an IPO. However, the filing is not yet available to the public because Intel utilized the confidential filing provision.Mobileye is an Israeli-based self-driving technology company that was acquired by Intel in 2017 for $15.3 billion. Last year, the company reported revenue of $1.4 billion, up about 40% year-over-year. According to people familiar with the matter, Mobileye is likely to IPO at a valuation near $50 billion.In the past, Mobileye has collaborated with companies such as Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA),General Motors (NYSE:GM) and BMW(OTCMKTS:BMWYY). The company ended its partnership with Tesla in 2016 due to “disagreements about how the technology was deployed.”In addition, Intel expects the IPO to occur sometime during the second half of this year. The company announced last December that it had plans to take the self-driving company public.So, what else should investors know about the Mobileye IPO? Let’s jump right in.INTC Stock: What to Know About the Mobileye IPOMobileye’s philosophy is that “if a human can drive a car based on vision alone — so can a computer.”Intel has not yet disclosed the price range for the IPO or the number of shares it plans to offer.Mobileye was previously listed on the New York Stock Exchange before Intel’s acquisition took it private.After the IPO, Intel expects to retain a majority stake in Mobileye.Mobileye’s team of 1,700 employees develops advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) for other automakers or original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).The company also produces cameras, software and computer chips for OEMs. However, Mobileye’s core business focuses on creating camera-based systems to assist in self-driving and safety precautions.More than 100 million vehicles worldwide are “equipped with Mobileye technology.” In addition, more than 300 car models utilize the company’s technology.Furthermore, more than 25 global automakers collaborate with Mobileye to aid self-driving safety.Last year, the company tested self-driving car prototypes in several major cities, which included Shanghai, Paris and Detroit.Looking ahead, Mobileye plans on building its own light detection and ranging (LiDAR) system. The Israeli-based company currently uses LiDAR technology from Luminar Technologies(NASDAQ:LAZR).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9038676340,"gmtCreate":1646829652216,"gmtModify":1676534167084,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile] ok","listText":"[smile] ok","text":"[smile] ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038676340","repostId":"1146059842","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146059842","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1646796089,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146059842?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-09 11:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla, Lucid, and Nikola Stocks Popped Tuesday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146059842","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Higher gas prices mean more consumer interest in electric cars.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><ul><li>Biden cuts off Russian oil</li></ul><ul><li>Gas prices are rising.</li></ul><ul><li>Electricity is looking like a cheaper way to fuel a car.</li></ul><ul><li>But there's a risk to electric car stocks that you need to be aware of: raw material costs.</li></ul><p><b>What happened</b></p><p>U.S. ban on Russian oil imports and Britain's plan to phase them out by year end raised concerns of tighter global supply.</p><p>Gas prices continue to surge, andelectric carstocks remain red hot on Tuesday.</p><p>As of closed, shares of <b>Tesla</b> had tacked onyet another 2.5%, while Lucid stock jumped 4.6%, and <b>Nikola</b> -- surprise! -- was leading the pack higher with a 13.7% gain.</p><p><b>So what</b></p><p>What news is driving investors' decisions Tuesday? The answer is kind of curious, I have to admit -- because the news actually isn't all good.</p><p>On the one hand, yes,rising gas prices have people thinking that now's a great time to buy both electric cars and electric car stocks. According to the latest data from GasBuddy.com, gas prices have topped $5 a gallon in California, are getting close to $5 in Hawaii, and have already passed $4 in much of the Pacific Northwest and Northeast. Meanwhile,<b>Twitter</b> is starting to fill up with posts from Tesla-owners bragging about how much cheaper it is to "fill up" their vehicles with electrons rather than hydrocarbons.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7785b38088f870d3ad611b476f9e9477\" tg-width=\"418\" tg-height=\"592\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>At the same time, though, worries are starting to emerge about how many electric car companies can really be winners in a world where some of the key components needed to build those cars seem to be in short supply.</p><p><b>Now what</b></p><p>Consider: In a note covered by TheFly.com Tuesday morning, investment banker Morgan Stanley says it is "increasingly concerned" by an "ever widening gap" between car companies' promises to produce X number of electric cars annually ... and the production capacity of battery makers to make all the batteries needed to run them.</p><p>In this regard, Morgan Stanley is most confident that Tesla and certain Chinese automakers (read: "Nio") are "locking up" sufficient manufacturing capacity to ensure they will be able to hit their production targets. But every battery that goes into a Tesla or Nio is one that won't be available to power an electric car from <b>Ford</b>, for example -- or an electric truck from Nikola, for that matter. Accordingly, Morgan Stanley is cautioning investors to apply a "generous" discount to any production promises that companies not named Tesla or Nio make -- and assume they will not, in fact, hit the numbers they are promising.</p><p>Also worth keeping in mind: The potential for interruptions in supplies of raw materials needed to build batteries -- nickel from Russia in particular -- has some analysts predicting that prices of electric cars will be going up. Morgan Stanley estimates that nickel shortages alone might raise the cost of an average electric car by as much as $1,000.</p><p>Long story short: Electric cars might well become more popular in an era of high gasoline prices. They might also become more expensive, depressing demand, keeping sales in check, and squeezing profit margins for the companies that manufacture them.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla, Lucid, and Nikola Stocks Popped Tuesday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla, Lucid, and Nikola Stocks Popped Tuesday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-09 11:21 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/08/why-tesla-nio-and-nikola-stocks-popped-today/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSBiden cuts off Russian oilGas prices are rising.Electricity is looking like a cheaper way to fuel a car.But there's a risk to electric car stocks that you need to be aware of: raw material ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/08/why-tesla-nio-and-nikola-stocks-popped-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","NKLA":"Nikola Corporation","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/08/why-tesla-nio-and-nikola-stocks-popped-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146059842","content_text":"KEY POINTSBiden cuts off Russian oilGas prices are rising.Electricity is looking like a cheaper way to fuel a car.But there's a risk to electric car stocks that you need to be aware of: raw material costs.What happenedU.S. ban on Russian oil imports and Britain's plan to phase them out by year end raised concerns of tighter global supply.Gas prices continue to surge, andelectric carstocks remain red hot on Tuesday.As of closed, shares of Tesla had tacked onyet another 2.5%, while Lucid stock jumped 4.6%, and Nikola -- surprise! -- was leading the pack higher with a 13.7% gain.So whatWhat news is driving investors' decisions Tuesday? The answer is kind of curious, I have to admit -- because the news actually isn't all good.On the one hand, yes,rising gas prices have people thinking that now's a great time to buy both electric cars and electric car stocks. According to the latest data from GasBuddy.com, gas prices have topped $5 a gallon in California, are getting close to $5 in Hawaii, and have already passed $4 in much of the Pacific Northwest and Northeast. Meanwhile,Twitter is starting to fill up with posts from Tesla-owners bragging about how much cheaper it is to \"fill up\" their vehicles with electrons rather than hydrocarbons.At the same time, though, worries are starting to emerge about how many electric car companies can really be winners in a world where some of the key components needed to build those cars seem to be in short supply.Now whatConsider: In a note covered by TheFly.com Tuesday morning, investment banker Morgan Stanley says it is \"increasingly concerned\" by an \"ever widening gap\" between car companies' promises to produce X number of electric cars annually ... and the production capacity of battery makers to make all the batteries needed to run them.In this regard, Morgan Stanley is most confident that Tesla and certain Chinese automakers (read: \"Nio\") are \"locking up\" sufficient manufacturing capacity to ensure they will be able to hit their production targets. But every battery that goes into a Tesla or Nio is one that won't be available to power an electric car from Ford, for example -- or an electric truck from Nikola, for that matter. Accordingly, Morgan Stanley is cautioning investors to apply a \"generous\" discount to any production promises that companies not named Tesla or Nio make -- and assume they will not, in fact, hit the numbers they are promising.Also worth keeping in mind: The potential for interruptions in supplies of raw materials needed to build batteries -- nickel from Russia in particular -- has some analysts predicting that prices of electric cars will be going up. Morgan Stanley estimates that nickel shortages alone might raise the cost of an average electric car by as much as $1,000.Long story short: Electric cars might well become more popular in an era of high gasoline prices. They might also become more expensive, depressing demand, keeping sales in check, and squeezing profit margins for the companies that manufacture them.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038592122,"gmtCreate":1646867615944,"gmtModify":1676534170484,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038592122","repostId":"1191382252","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191382252","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1646838671,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191382252?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-09 23:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Semiconductor Stocks Jumped in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191382252","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Semiconductor stocks jumped in morning trading. Nvidia, TSMC, ASML, AMD, Micron and STMicroelectroni","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Semiconductor stocks jumped in morning trading. Nvidia, TSMC, ASML, AMD, Micron and STMicroelectronics rose between 1% and 6%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed3dd711ba6a8dbf6968cd95fa3c4191\" tg-width=\"326\" tg-height=\"428\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Semiconductor Stocks Jumped in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSemiconductor Stocks Jumped in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-09 23:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Semiconductor stocks jumped in morning trading. Nvidia, TSMC, ASML, AMD, Micron and STMicroelectronics rose between 1% and 6%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed3dd711ba6a8dbf6968cd95fa3c4191\" tg-width=\"326\" tg-height=\"428\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","QCOM":"高通","NVDA":"英伟达","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191382252","content_text":"Semiconductor stocks jumped in morning trading. Nvidia, TSMC, ASML, AMD, Micron and STMicroelectronics rose between 1% and 6%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":656,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021146420,"gmtCreate":1653017611660,"gmtModify":1676535209454,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021146420","repostId":"2236338440","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236338440","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653014957,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236338440?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-20 10:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236338440","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.</li><li>Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.</li><li>Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.</li><li>With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.</li><li>Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22457c73fde6bb9452530e03e739c60\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>agawa288/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:</p><blockquote>To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir's current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.</blockquote><p>In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company's Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.</p><p>Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir's stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir's share price.</p><p><b>Risk/Reward Rating: Positive</b></p><p>While taking notes during Palantir's Q1 2022 earnings conference call, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: "What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next."</p><p>Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir's future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon's (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir's current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.</p><p><b>Growth Trajectory</b></p><p>In terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir's stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management's 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir's growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):</p><blockquote>Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result<b>, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20%</b> than the company's 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.</blockquote><p>Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir's segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6014209021f3fa2f8092daf4a26dba11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.</p><p>I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.</p><p>As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir's sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a7b062d439185403c6bcd0841413601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir's growth trajectory.</p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.</p><p>In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company's 30% sales growth guidance.</p><p>If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir's growth deceleration.</p><p>Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management's discussion of Palantir's near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): <i>"We have visibility into the upside,</i> and the upside is quite large."</p><p><b>Upside Visibility</b></p><p>The bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir's share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir's revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir's growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.</p><p>With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.</p><p>The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cde3ec929a5825c2fbed7e6a378b108a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"135\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>The US government represented 42% of Palantir's total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir's total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir's rest of world revenue.</p><p>There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir's capabilities.</p><p>Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: "The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media."</p><p>The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir's products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world's governments and enterprises alike.</p><p>The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: "Literally every function of every business is breaking."</p><p>In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company's deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.</p><p><b>Consensus Growth Estimates</b></p><p>Interestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir's collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company's 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796c39436a333158793cf93601e3da5f\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c561c18fb35635a76c9ce58f477db0\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.</p><p>Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.</p><p><b>Profitability Trends</b></p><p>There remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company's various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir's profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company's adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6c7104e38d18395dea8d8d4d8aa3b03\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"132\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While Palantir's GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir's cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4643407d0c54c1abe4e12ae6e9a370de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Importantly, Palantir's Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir's investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir's declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.</p><p><b>Key Business Measure</b></p><p>Palantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.</p><p>The following tables display Palantir's Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company's Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1976698261d14d8ba419b33b43766a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"423\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1eb3259f5f1b0ee57573816b7dd3484e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir's business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir's Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.</p><p>In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.</p><p>As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir's Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.</p><p><b>Research and Development</b></p><p>In my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir's unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir's unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:</p><blockquote>The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.</blockquote><p>The following passage from Palantir's 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir's stagnant research and development investment.</p><blockquote>We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…</blockquote><p>In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir's potential return spectrum.</p><p><b>Technicals</b></p><p>The technical backdrop provides an excellent bird's eye view of Palantir's upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir's IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7a15fef920f0c09c71a9d697b708eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/806868dae1d9a75949a30a224137e08e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.</p><p>Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94142f6bc2a59a08e88cd3e3422a9c12\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.</p><p><b>Potential Return Spectrum</b></p><p>The upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (CRM), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDAY\">Workday</a> (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir's 2022 EPS estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69450b8413221d5ba42faa5de2a4591f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"402\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.</p><p>The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir's growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>All told, Palantir's risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.</p><p>If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: "We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large."</p><p><b>Investee Details</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54e74788c15daaafe35356e42375e00c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"474\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Visibility Into The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-20 10:49 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236338440","content_text":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.agawa288/iStock via Getty ImagesI am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir's current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company's Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir's stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir's share price.Risk/Reward Rating: PositiveWhile taking notes during Palantir's Q1 2022 earnings conference call, one line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: \"What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.\"Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir's future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon's (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir's current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.Growth TrajectoryIn terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir's stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management's 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir's growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the company's 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir's segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir's sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir's growth trajectory.I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company's 30% sales growth guidance.If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir's growth deceleration.Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management's discussion of Palantir's near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Upside VisibilityThe bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir's share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir's revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir's growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxThe US government represented 42% of Palantir's total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir's total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir's rest of world revenue.There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir's capabilities.Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: \"The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.\"The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir's products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world's governments and enterprises alike.The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: \"Literally every function of every business is breaking.\"In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company's deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.Consensus Growth EstimatesInterestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir's collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company's 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.Profitability TrendsThere remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company's various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir's profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company's adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile Palantir's GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir's cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxImportantly, Palantir's Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir's investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir's declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.Key Business MeasurePalantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.The following tables display Palantir's Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company's Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir's business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir's Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir's Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.Research and DevelopmentIn my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir's unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir's unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.The following passage from Palantir's 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir's stagnant research and development investment.We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir's potential return spectrum.TechnicalsThe technical backdrop provides an excellent bird's eye view of Palantir's upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir's IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.Potential Return SpectrumThe upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: Salesforce (CRM), Workday (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir's 2022 EPS estimate.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir's growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.SummaryAll told, Palantir's risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Investee DetailsCreated by Brian Kapp, stoxdox","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035451159,"gmtCreate":1647659164522,"gmtModify":1676534256639,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035451159","repostId":"1123762152","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1123762152","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647654380,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123762152?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-19 09:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Lucid Stock Is a ‘Wait-and-See’ Investment Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123762152","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Lucid could be a good investment decision down the roadSource: T. Schneider / ShutterstockLucid is d","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Lucid could be a good investment decision down the road</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22b1398e9c83df53349b7237411c102\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"576\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: T. Schneider / Shutterstock</span></p><ul><li>Lucid is down 54% from its November high price, wiping over $40 billion off its cheery valuation in the process.</li><li>Its recent fourth-quarter earnings release lowered the company’s electric vehicle (EV) production target dramatically for 2022 from manufacturing issues.</li><li>Investors should be careful here and take a wait-and-see attitude, especially as LCID stock still has a very high valuation.</li></ul><p><b>LucidGroup</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>LCID</u></b>) has fallen dramatically since peaking at $57.75 on Nov. 17. Now, though, LCID stock is down more than 50% from those levels and trades near $25.50 per share.</p><p>In short, investors are worried about the upstart luxury EV manufacturer and its production ramp during 2022. The bottom line is that its market value has taken a huge hit. And it could keep on falling if Lucid can’t get things back on track.</p><table><tbody><tr><td>LCID</td><td>Lucid Motors</td><td>$25.52</td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Lucid’s Difficult Outlook</b></p><p>On Feb. 28, Lucid reported that it delivered just 125 EVs in Q4 and 300 deliveries to date, and produced revenue of $26.4 million. That said, in September, the company indicated it was on track to make 577 luxury EVs for the year. Additionally,<i>Barron’s</i> wrote that Wall Street analysts were expecting 250 cars to be made in Q4. Thus, the results being well below forecasts was a major letdown.</p><p>Moreover, the company’s revised outlook for 2022 disappointed investors. Lucid said that its outlook for 2022 production is for a range of 12,000 to 14,000 vehicles. That is significantly lower than its original estimate in July 2021 of 20,000 EVs produced during 2022.</p><p>That is a slashing of 30% to 40% from its original expectations presented to investors prior to the initial public offering (IPO) in late July 2021. The company said that its lower expectations were due to “extraordinary supply chain and logistics challenges.”</p><p>Furthermore,<i>CNBC</i> reported that this has to do with the commodities that go into its trim, including glass quality; Not the semiconductor chip shortage. Peter Rawlinson, CEO of Lucid Motors, told<i>CNBC</i>it wants to make sure that its EVs have the absolute highest quality.</p><p>Analysts have not given the stock much leeway as a result. The average price target for five analysts prior to the results was more than $40 per share. Now, it has dropped to $34.75, and it looks to be still falling.</p><p>Additionally, these analysts now project just $1.31 billion in revenue for 2022. And given its market cap of nearly $42 billion, LCID stock trades for a very high price-sales (P/S) multiple of more than 31 times.</p><p><b>Where This Leaves Investors In LCID Stock</b></p><p>Overall, LCID stock’s high valuation metrics could be vulnerable to another leg down if Q1 results disappoint investors as they did in Q4. For example, analysts forecast just $53.4 million in Q1 revenue, implying that the bulk of the $1.31 billion in sales for 2022 will occur in the second half. If sales come in lower than this, there could be a huge levered effect on expectations for Q2.</p><p>With this in mind, a host of additional headwinds could be buffeting its production efficiency and EV consumer demand. For example, inflation pressures could force the company to raise prices as <b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) has been doing recently.</p><p>In addition, concerns about economic growth in the second half due to increasing Federal Reserve interest rate hikes could lead to a lower number of reservations and customer orders. And lastly, the jury is still out on whether the company can profitably scale up a large EV manufacturing operation.</p><p><b>Bottom Line on LCID Stock</b></p><p>As a result, investors might want to take a “wait-and-see” attitude about the valuation of LCID stock. The best approach is probably to purchase more shares on days when the stock hits new lows. This will allow existing investors to average down their costs.</p><p>The risk here is that at 31 times 2022 sales, it could still be significantly too high. There could be another huge disappointment waiting in the wings. And with no margin of safety here in the valuation, most value investors will likely stay away from LCID stock.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Lucid Stock Is a ‘Wait-and-See’ Investment Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Lucid Stock Is a ‘Wait-and-See’ Investment Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-19 09:46 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/03/lcid-stock-wait-and-see-investment-right-now/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Lucid could be a good investment decision down the roadSource: T. Schneider / ShutterstockLucid is down 54% from its November high price, wiping over $40 billion off its cheery valuation in the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/03/lcid-stock-wait-and-see-investment-right-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/03/lcid-stock-wait-and-see-investment-right-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123762152","content_text":"Lucid could be a good investment decision down the roadSource: T. Schneider / ShutterstockLucid is down 54% from its November high price, wiping over $40 billion off its cheery valuation in the process.Its recent fourth-quarter earnings release lowered the company’s electric vehicle (EV) production target dramatically for 2022 from manufacturing issues.Investors should be careful here and take a wait-and-see attitude, especially as LCID stock still has a very high valuation.LucidGroup(NASDAQ:LCID) has fallen dramatically since peaking at $57.75 on Nov. 17. Now, though, LCID stock is down more than 50% from those levels and trades near $25.50 per share.In short, investors are worried about the upstart luxury EV manufacturer and its production ramp during 2022. The bottom line is that its market value has taken a huge hit. And it could keep on falling if Lucid can’t get things back on track.LCIDLucid Motors$25.52Lucid’s Difficult OutlookOn Feb. 28, Lucid reported that it delivered just 125 EVs in Q4 and 300 deliveries to date, and produced revenue of $26.4 million. That said, in September, the company indicated it was on track to make 577 luxury EVs for the year. Additionally,Barron’s wrote that Wall Street analysts were expecting 250 cars to be made in Q4. Thus, the results being well below forecasts was a major letdown.Moreover, the company’s revised outlook for 2022 disappointed investors. Lucid said that its outlook for 2022 production is for a range of 12,000 to 14,000 vehicles. That is significantly lower than its original estimate in July 2021 of 20,000 EVs produced during 2022.That is a slashing of 30% to 40% from its original expectations presented to investors prior to the initial public offering (IPO) in late July 2021. The company said that its lower expectations were due to “extraordinary supply chain and logistics challenges.”Furthermore,CNBC reported that this has to do with the commodities that go into its trim, including glass quality; Not the semiconductor chip shortage. Peter Rawlinson, CEO of Lucid Motors, toldCNBCit wants to make sure that its EVs have the absolute highest quality.Analysts have not given the stock much leeway as a result. The average price target for five analysts prior to the results was more than $40 per share. Now, it has dropped to $34.75, and it looks to be still falling.Additionally, these analysts now project just $1.31 billion in revenue for 2022. And given its market cap of nearly $42 billion, LCID stock trades for a very high price-sales (P/S) multiple of more than 31 times.Where This Leaves Investors In LCID StockOverall, LCID stock’s high valuation metrics could be vulnerable to another leg down if Q1 results disappoint investors as they did in Q4. For example, analysts forecast just $53.4 million in Q1 revenue, implying that the bulk of the $1.31 billion in sales for 2022 will occur in the second half. If sales come in lower than this, there could be a huge levered effect on expectations for Q2.With this in mind, a host of additional headwinds could be buffeting its production efficiency and EV consumer demand. For example, inflation pressures could force the company to raise prices as Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) has been doing recently.In addition, concerns about economic growth in the second half due to increasing Federal Reserve interest rate hikes could lead to a lower number of reservations and customer orders. And lastly, the jury is still out on whether the company can profitably scale up a large EV manufacturing operation.Bottom Line on LCID StockAs a result, investors might want to take a “wait-and-see” attitude about the valuation of LCID stock. The best approach is probably to purchase more shares on days when the stock hits new lows. This will allow existing investors to average down their costs.The risk here is that at 31 times 2022 sales, it could still be significantly too high. There could be another huge disappointment waiting in the wings. And with no margin of safety here in the valuation, most value investors will likely stay away from LCID stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035951170,"gmtCreate":1647491462388,"gmtModify":1676534237204,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Felt lost","listText":"Felt lost","text":"Felt lost","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035951170","repostId":"2220816791","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220816791","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1647476527,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2220816791?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-17 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why the Fed's First Rate Hike since 2018 Sent Stocks and Other Markets on a Wild Ride","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220816791","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Who's afraid of a hawkish Federal Reserve? Apparently not stock-market investors, who sent the Dow J","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Who's afraid of a hawkish Federal Reserve? Apparently not stock-market investors, who sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average up more than 500 points on the day after an initial dip into negative territory after the central bank delivered a well-expected quarter-point rate hike.</p><p>Indeed, it was a day of big swings across major assets, including Treasurys and the U.S. dollar, as the Fed penciled in the equivalent of quarter-point rate increases at each of its remaining meetings this year. In the end, investor appetite for risky assets like stocks appeared intact, while demand was lacking for traditional havens, like Treasurys and the U.S. dollar.</p><p>While the Fed's statement and economic projections were initially viewed as skewed more to the hawkish end of the spectrum, there weren't any extraordinary measures. That made for more of a "business as usual" approach to kicking off the rate-hike cycle, said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird, in a phone interview.</p><p>"Picking how the market is going to react in those situations is tricky," he said.</p><p>Here's a look at how stocks and other important assets performed:</p><p>The Dow , which was trading with a gain north of 200 points when the Fed's policy announcement hit the tape, initially dipped into negative territory. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite trimmed gains. But the pressure didn't last long, with major indexes recovering during Powell's news conference and gaining steam in the final minutes of trading.</p><p>The Fed's rate move, which was telegraphed with unusual detail by Powell a few weeks ago in congressional testimony, also comes after a stock-market slide that had already seen the Dow and S&P 500 enter correction territory, each dropping more than 10% from early January highs, while the Nasdaq had entered a bear market, dropping more than 20% from its November record finish.</p><p>Expect investors to remain glued to developments around the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which sent indexes to 2022 intraday lows in late February.</p><p>"Certainly the near-term catalyst is any development in Ukraine," Mayfield said, because it's tied to the economic outlook. Progress toward a cessation of fighting would be a boon to Fed policy makers because it would help bring oil prices down.</p><p>Coming consumer-price index readings will also be important. While the Fed has laid out a hawkish timeline, investors will be jittery about any upside inflation surprises that stirs talk of an outsize half-point rate increase or an intermeeting move, Mayfield said.</p><p>Treasury yields, which move the opposite direction of prices, surged higher following the Fed announcement, then trimmed their rise as they continued to trade at levels last seen in 2019.</p><p>The Fed's hawkish tilt ensured that yields on shorter-dated maturities, which are more sensitive to near-term central bank expectations, rose the most. That resulted in a flattening of the yield curve, a line plotting yields across all maturities. The spread between 2- and 10-year note yields narrowed to less than 25 basis points, around its flattest since March 2020, according to FactSet. Meanwhile, the 5-year rate rose above the 10-year yield, inverting that part of the curve.</p><p>Investors keep a close eye on the 2- vs. 10-year part of the curve. Inversions of that measure of the curve have a record as precursors to recessions. With the Fed penciling in an aggressive series of rate increases, some strategists see scope for an inversion to occur in a matter of months.</p><p>"Given risks to outlook to both the upside and the downside, the combination of policy makers aiming to become restrictive and remaining overly optimistic about the growth outlook seems like a recipe for the Treasury curve to remain flat," said Alex Pelle, U.S. economist at Mizuho, in a note.</p><p>While Powell "seemed to concede that the Fed made an error in waiting so long to remove policy accommodation despite high inflation, our view that the probability of another policy error and growth mishap going forward has increased," he wrote.</p><p>And then there was the dollar. While the greenback popped higher on the statement, it soon gave up gains. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index , a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was down 0.7% in late afternoon trade, failing to build on the Fed's hawkish tilt or the jump in short-term Treasury yields, which would typically be supportive of the currency.</p><p>It may have been another case of buy the rumor, sell the fact, analysts said. The index last week rose to its highest level since May 2020, buoyed in part by haven-related buying tied to war-related jitters.</p><p>A sharp upward revision to the Fed's so-called dot plot of interest rate projections was a likely catalyst for the dollar's initial jump, said Matthew Ryan, senior market analyst at Ebury, in emailed comments.</p><p>"The median dot now shows seven rate hikes in 2022, up sharply on the three penciled in back in December and more than the five that we had anticipated," he wrote. "This hawkish turn in the dot plot can largely explain the move higher in the dollar, although with the market already pricing in seven hikes this year prior to the meeting, the rally in the greenback has so far been rather fleeting."</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the Fed's First Rate Hike since 2018 Sent Stocks and Other Markets on a Wild Ride</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the Fed's First Rate Hike since 2018 Sent Stocks and Other Markets on a Wild Ride\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-17 08:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-wild-ride-how-markets-reacted-to-the-first-federal-reserve-rate-hike-since-2018-11647470196?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1647476175><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Who's afraid of a hawkish Federal Reserve? Apparently not stock-market investors, who sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average up more than 500 points on the day after an initial dip into negative ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-wild-ride-how-markets-reacted-to-the-first-federal-reserve-rate-hike-since-2018-11647470196?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1647476175\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-wild-ride-how-markets-reacted-to-the-first-federal-reserve-rate-hike-since-2018-11647470196?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1647476175","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2220816791","content_text":"Who's afraid of a hawkish Federal Reserve? Apparently not stock-market investors, who sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average up more than 500 points on the day after an initial dip into negative territory after the central bank delivered a well-expected quarter-point rate hike.Indeed, it was a day of big swings across major assets, including Treasurys and the U.S. dollar, as the Fed penciled in the equivalent of quarter-point rate increases at each of its remaining meetings this year. In the end, investor appetite for risky assets like stocks appeared intact, while demand was lacking for traditional havens, like Treasurys and the U.S. dollar.While the Fed's statement and economic projections were initially viewed as skewed more to the hawkish end of the spectrum, there weren't any extraordinary measures. That made for more of a \"business as usual\" approach to kicking off the rate-hike cycle, said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird, in a phone interview.\"Picking how the market is going to react in those situations is tricky,\" he said.Here's a look at how stocks and other important assets performed:The Dow , which was trading with a gain north of 200 points when the Fed's policy announcement hit the tape, initially dipped into negative territory. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite trimmed gains. But the pressure didn't last long, with major indexes recovering during Powell's news conference and gaining steam in the final minutes of trading.The Fed's rate move, which was telegraphed with unusual detail by Powell a few weeks ago in congressional testimony, also comes after a stock-market slide that had already seen the Dow and S&P 500 enter correction territory, each dropping more than 10% from early January highs, while the Nasdaq had entered a bear market, dropping more than 20% from its November record finish.Expect investors to remain glued to developments around the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which sent indexes to 2022 intraday lows in late February.\"Certainly the near-term catalyst is any development in Ukraine,\" Mayfield said, because it's tied to the economic outlook. Progress toward a cessation of fighting would be a boon to Fed policy makers because it would help bring oil prices down.Coming consumer-price index readings will also be important. While the Fed has laid out a hawkish timeline, investors will be jittery about any upside inflation surprises that stirs talk of an outsize half-point rate increase or an intermeeting move, Mayfield said.Treasury yields, which move the opposite direction of prices, surged higher following the Fed announcement, then trimmed their rise as they continued to trade at levels last seen in 2019.The Fed's hawkish tilt ensured that yields on shorter-dated maturities, which are more sensitive to near-term central bank expectations, rose the most. That resulted in a flattening of the yield curve, a line plotting yields across all maturities. The spread between 2- and 10-year note yields narrowed to less than 25 basis points, around its flattest since March 2020, according to FactSet. Meanwhile, the 5-year rate rose above the 10-year yield, inverting that part of the curve.Investors keep a close eye on the 2- vs. 10-year part of the curve. Inversions of that measure of the curve have a record as precursors to recessions. With the Fed penciling in an aggressive series of rate increases, some strategists see scope for an inversion to occur in a matter of months.\"Given risks to outlook to both the upside and the downside, the combination of policy makers aiming to become restrictive and remaining overly optimistic about the growth outlook seems like a recipe for the Treasury curve to remain flat,\" said Alex Pelle, U.S. economist at Mizuho, in a note.While Powell \"seemed to concede that the Fed made an error in waiting so long to remove policy accommodation despite high inflation, our view that the probability of another policy error and growth mishap going forward has increased,\" he wrote.And then there was the dollar. While the greenback popped higher on the statement, it soon gave up gains. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index , a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was down 0.7% in late afternoon trade, failing to build on the Fed's hawkish tilt or the jump in short-term Treasury yields, which would typically be supportive of the currency.It may have been another case of buy the rumor, sell the fact, analysts said. The index last week rose to its highest level since May 2020, buoyed in part by haven-related buying tied to war-related jitters.A sharp upward revision to the Fed's so-called dot plot of interest rate projections was a likely catalyst for the dollar's initial jump, said Matthew Ryan, senior market analyst at Ebury, in emailed comments.\"The median dot now shows seven rate hikes in 2022, up sharply on the three penciled in back in December and more than the five that we had anticipated,\" he wrote. \"This hawkish turn in the dot plot can largely explain the move higher in the dollar, although with the market already pricing in seven hikes this year prior to the meeting, the rally in the greenback has so far been rather fleeting.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038927664,"gmtCreate":1646718410216,"gmtModify":1676534154920,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😁","listText":"😁","text":"😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038927664","repostId":"1197753178","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197753178","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1646706435,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1197753178?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-08 10:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel Mobileye IPO: 10 Things to Know as the Self-Driving Unit Files to Come Public","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197753178","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Mobileye is expected to IPO during the second half of this year","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of <b>Intel</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>INTC</u></b>) are basically flat on the day despite a <b>Mobileye</b> initial public offering (IPO) update. The chipmaker announced today that its Mobileye unit has filed paperwork to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for an IPO. However, the filing is not yet available to the public because Intel utilized the confidential filing provision.</p><p>Mobileye is an Israeli-based self-driving technology company that was acquired by Intel in 2017 for $15.3 billion. Last year, the company reported revenue of $1.4 billion, up about 40% year-over-year. According to people familiar with the matter, Mobileye is likely to IPO at a valuation near $50 billion.</p><p>In the past, Mobileye has collaborated with companies such as <b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>),<b>General Motors</b> (NYSE:<b><u>GM</u></b>) and <b>BMW</b>(OTCMKTS:<b><u>BMWYY</u></b>). The company ended its partnership with Tesla in 2016 due to “disagreements about how the technology was deployed.”</p><p>In addition, Intel expects the IPO to occur sometime during the second half of this year. The company announced last December that it had plans to take the self-driving company public.</p><p>So, what else should investors know about the Mobileye IPO? Let’s jump right in.</p><p><b>INTC Stock: What to Know About the Mobileye IPO</b></p><ol><li>Mobileye’s philosophy is that “if a human can drive a car based on vision alone — so can a computer.”</li><li>Intel has not yet disclosed the price range for the IPO or the number of shares it plans to offer.</li><li>Mobileye was previously listed on the <b>New York Stock Exchange</b> before Intel’s acquisition took it private.</li><li>After the IPO, Intel expects to retain a majority stake in Mobileye.</li><li>Mobileye’s team of 1,700 employees develops advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) for other automakers or original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).</li><li>The company also produces cameras, software and computer chips for OEMs. However, Mobileye’s core business focuses on creating camera-based systems to assist in self-driving and safety precautions.</li><li>More than 100 million vehicles worldwide are “equipped with Mobileye technology.” In addition, more than 300 car models utilize the company’s technology.</li><li>Furthermore, more than 25 global automakers collaborate with Mobileye to aid self-driving safety.</li><li>Last year, the company tested self-driving car prototypes in several major cities, which included Shanghai, Paris and Detroit.</li><li>Looking ahead, Mobileye plans on building its own light detection and ranging (LiDAR) system. The Israeli-based company currently uses LiDAR technology from <b>Luminar Technologies</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>LAZR</u></b>).</li></ol></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel Mobileye IPO: 10 Things to Know as the Self-Driving Unit Files to Come Public</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel Mobileye IPO: 10 Things to Know as the Self-Driving Unit Files to Come Public\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-08 10:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/03/intel-mobileye-ipo-10-things-to-know-as-the-self-driving-unit-files-to-come-public/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of Intel(NASDAQ:INTC) are basically flat on the day despite a Mobileye initial public offering (IPO) update. The chipmaker announced today that its Mobileye unit has filed paperwork to the U.S....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/03/intel-mobileye-ipo-10-things-to-know-as-the-self-driving-unit-files-to-come-public/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/03/intel-mobileye-ipo-10-things-to-know-as-the-self-driving-unit-files-to-come-public/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197753178","content_text":"Shares of Intel(NASDAQ:INTC) are basically flat on the day despite a Mobileye initial public offering (IPO) update. The chipmaker announced today that its Mobileye unit has filed paperwork to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for an IPO. However, the filing is not yet available to the public because Intel utilized the confidential filing provision.Mobileye is an Israeli-based self-driving technology company that was acquired by Intel in 2017 for $15.3 billion. Last year, the company reported revenue of $1.4 billion, up about 40% year-over-year. According to people familiar with the matter, Mobileye is likely to IPO at a valuation near $50 billion.In the past, Mobileye has collaborated with companies such as Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA),General Motors (NYSE:GM) and BMW(OTCMKTS:BMWYY). The company ended its partnership with Tesla in 2016 due to “disagreements about how the technology was deployed.”In addition, Intel expects the IPO to occur sometime during the second half of this year. The company announced last December that it had plans to take the self-driving company public.So, what else should investors know about the Mobileye IPO? Let’s jump right in.INTC Stock: What to Know About the Mobileye IPOMobileye’s philosophy is that “if a human can drive a car based on vision alone — so can a computer.”Intel has not yet disclosed the price range for the IPO or the number of shares it plans to offer.Mobileye was previously listed on the New York Stock Exchange before Intel’s acquisition took it private.After the IPO, Intel expects to retain a majority stake in Mobileye.Mobileye’s team of 1,700 employees develops advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) for other automakers or original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).The company also produces cameras, software and computer chips for OEMs. However, Mobileye’s core business focuses on creating camera-based systems to assist in self-driving and safety precautions.More than 100 million vehicles worldwide are “equipped with Mobileye technology.” In addition, more than 300 car models utilize the company’s technology.Furthermore, more than 25 global automakers collaborate with Mobileye to aid self-driving safety.Last year, the company tested self-driving car prototypes in several major cities, which included Shanghai, Paris and Detroit.Looking ahead, Mobileye plans on building its own light detection and ranging (LiDAR) system. The Israeli-based company currently uses LiDAR technology from Luminar Technologies(NASDAQ:LAZR).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9036748761,"gmtCreate":1647222772849,"gmtModify":1676534204616,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh ","listText":"Oh ","text":"Oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9036748761","repostId":"1115884948","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9036748559,"gmtCreate":1647222731971,"gmtModify":1676534204608,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😁","listText":"😁","text":"😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9036748559","repostId":"1115884948","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969527354,"gmtCreate":1668477809478,"gmtModify":1676538062867,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good ","listText":"Good ","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969527354","repostId":"2283234968","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2283234968","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1668361455,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2283234968?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-14 01:44","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Analysts remain optimistic on Genting Singapore; expect earnings momentum to sustain","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2283234968","media":"Khairani Afifi Noordin","summary":"Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising. ","content":"<html><body><p><img src=\"https://edgemarkets-transferred.s3-ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com/LEI_RESORTS_WORLD_SENTOSA_01_SIC.jpeg\"/> Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising. </p><p>Analysts at UOB Kay Hian, Maybank Securities and DBS Group Research are optimistic on Genting Singapore, following the announcement of its 3QFY2022 results ended September. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">UOBKH analysts Vincent Khoo and Jack Goh have kept their “buy” call and target price of $1.08. They note Genting Singapore’s “remarkable” earnings recovery in 3QFY2022, with Resorts World Sentosa (RWS) charting strong revenue and EBITDA recoveries at 107% and 143% y-o-y respectively. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">“Despite 3QFY2022’s adjusted EBITDA of $249 million predictably still underperformed rival Marina Bay Sands due to lower gross gaming revenue market share, RWS recorded the best quarter since Covid-19 with revenue and net profit recovering to about 87% and 85% of 3QFY2019’s. 9MFY2022 EBITDA represented 67% and 72% of our and consensus full-year forecasts, which we deem largely in line as we anticipate a sequentially stronger 4Q22 performance,” the analysts add. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Genting Singapore’s 3QFY2022 gaming revenue recovered by 59% q-o-q, representing 106% of pre-pandemic level. This is mainly due to an exceptionally strong VIP win percentage and better operating capacity, following the gradual resolve of earlier labour shortage issues. Non-gaming revenue also recovered by 37% q-o-q, reflecting Singapore’s overall pent-up tourism demand which lifted hotel occupancy and average room rates. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">UOBKH expects the recovery trend to sustain in upcoming quarters. It also believes that the reopening of Festive Hotel in 1QFY2023 will further elevate Genting Singapore’s earnings.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Meanwhile, Maybank analyst Yin Shao Yang says Genting Singapore’s 3QFY2022 earnings were within his expectations and appear to be sustainable in the future. “This is because we gather that the 3QFY2022 VIP win rate was within the theoretical range as the 3Q22 EBITDA margin of 48% is largely in-line with our long term EBITDA margin forecast of 51%-52%,” he adds.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">The analyst has maintained his “hold” call on Genting Singapore, raising his target price slightly to 88 cents from 86 cents previously. Yin expects Genting Singapore to report quarterly results similar to that of 3QFY2022 going forward.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">DBS analyst Jason Sum concurs, adding that Genting Singapore is well positioned to recover with Singapore’s Vaccinated Travel Framework and synchronised reopening of borders in the region. He adds that the imminent return of foreign tourists — which accounted for 75%-80% of total attendance prior to the pandemic and higher average spending per visitor — will give a significant boost to Genting Singapore’s earnings over the next two years. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Sum points out that Genting Singapore has a robust balance sheet and strong operating cash flows to enhance shareholder returns. “We believe there may be an upside to our dividend-per-share projections as the management has signalled that they will be more generous going forward so as to reward shareholders.”</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising, although a strong Singapore dollar could have a slight negative impact on inbound tourism, says Sum. Overall indicators suggest that it will be some time before the substantial pent-up demand subsides, particularly as countries in the region continue to reopen. </p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">“Nonetheless, Genting Singapore is insulated against rising interest rates because of its robust balance sheet, a stark contrast to most other gaming operators in the region,” says Sum.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">He maintains his “buy” call with an unchanged target price of $1, raising his FY2022 and FY2023 earnings estimates by 10% and 2% respectively to reflect stronger gaming volumes and healthier operating margins on greater economies of scale.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">UOBKH analysts expect the stock to re-rate in reaction to Singapore’s tourism recovery. With the world eventually fully unwinding Covid-19 curbs which presumably includes China by 4QFY2022 to 1QFY2023, the analysts forecast Genting Singapore’s EBITDA to claw back to the pre-pandemic level of $1.2 billion in FY2023 as “the worst is likely over”.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">“Theoretically, our target price for Genting Singapore would rise to $1.22 once our valuation horizon rolls over to 2023, assuming EBITDA recovers to $1.2 billion and historical mean EV/EBITDA valuation of 10x,” they add.</p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">As at 9.37am, shares in Genting Singapore are trading 2 cents higher or 2.41% up at 85 cents. </p>\n</body></html>","source":"edge_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Analysts remain optimistic on Genting Singapore; expect earnings momentum to sustain</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnalysts remain optimistic on Genting Singapore; expect earnings momentum to sustain\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-14 01:44 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/analysts-remain-optimistic-genting-singapore-expect-earnings-momentum-sustain?utm_source=Blog&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=Tiger_Brokers_app_RSS><strong>Khairani Afifi Noordin</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising. Analysts at UOB Kay Hian, Maybank Securities and DBS Group Research are optimistic on Genting Singapore, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/analysts-remain-optimistic-genting-singapore-expect-earnings-momentum-sustain?utm_source=Blog&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=Tiger_Brokers_app_RSS\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"G13.SI":"云顶新加坡"},"source_url":"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/analysts-remain-optimistic-genting-singapore-expect-earnings-momentum-sustain?utm_source=Blog&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=Tiger_Brokers_app_RSS","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2283234968","content_text":"Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising. Analysts at UOB Kay Hian, Maybank Securities and DBS Group Research are optimistic on Genting Singapore, following the announcement of its 3QFY2022 results ended September. \nUOBKH analysts Vincent Khoo and Jack Goh have kept their “buy” call and target price of $1.08. They note Genting Singapore’s “remarkable” earnings recovery in 3QFY2022, with Resorts World Sentosa (RWS) charting strong revenue and EBITDA recoveries at 107% and 143% y-o-y respectively. \n“Despite 3QFY2022’s adjusted EBITDA of $249 million predictably still underperformed rival Marina Bay Sands due to lower gross gaming revenue market share, RWS recorded the best quarter since Covid-19 with revenue and net profit recovering to about 87% and 85% of 3QFY2019’s. 9MFY2022 EBITDA represented 67% and 72% of our and consensus full-year forecasts, which we deem largely in line as we anticipate a sequentially stronger 4Q22 performance,” the analysts add. \nGenting Singapore’s 3QFY2022 gaming revenue recovered by 59% q-o-q, representing 106% of pre-pandemic level. This is mainly due to an exceptionally strong VIP win percentage and better operating capacity, following the gradual resolve of earlier labour shortage issues. Non-gaming revenue also recovered by 37% q-o-q, reflecting Singapore’s overall pent-up tourism demand which lifted hotel occupancy and average room rates. \nUOBKH expects the recovery trend to sustain in upcoming quarters. It also believes that the reopening of Festive Hotel in 1QFY2023 will further elevate Genting Singapore’s earnings.\nMeanwhile, Maybank analyst Yin Shao Yang says Genting Singapore’s 3QFY2022 earnings were within his expectations and appear to be sustainable in the future. “This is because we gather that the 3QFY2022 VIP win rate was within the theoretical range as the 3Q22 EBITDA margin of 48% is largely in-line with our long term EBITDA margin forecast of 51%-52%,” he adds.\nThe analyst has maintained his “hold” call on Genting Singapore, raising his target price slightly to 88 cents from 86 cents previously. Yin expects Genting Singapore to report quarterly results similar to that of 3QFY2022 going forward.\nDBS analyst Jason Sum concurs, adding that Genting Singapore is well positioned to recover with Singapore’s Vaccinated Travel Framework and synchronised reopening of borders in the region. He adds that the imminent return of foreign tourists — which accounted for 75%-80% of total attendance prior to the pandemic and higher average spending per visitor — will give a significant boost to Genting Singapore’s earnings over the next two years. \nSum points out that Genting Singapore has a robust balance sheet and strong operating cash flows to enhance shareholder returns. “We believe there may be an upside to our dividend-per-share projections as the management has signalled that they will be more generous going forward so as to reward shareholders.”\nDespite macroeconomic headwinds, Genting Singapore’s outlook continues to be promising, although a strong Singapore dollar could have a slight negative impact on inbound tourism, says Sum. Overall indicators suggest that it will be some time before the substantial pent-up demand subsides, particularly as countries in the region continue to reopen. \n“Nonetheless, Genting Singapore is insulated against rising interest rates because of its robust balance sheet, a stark contrast to most other gaming operators in the region,” says Sum.\nHe maintains his “buy” call with an unchanged target price of $1, raising his FY2022 and FY2023 earnings estimates by 10% and 2% respectively to reflect stronger gaming volumes and healthier operating margins on greater economies of scale.\nUOBKH analysts expect the stock to re-rate in reaction to Singapore’s tourism recovery. With the world eventually fully unwinding Covid-19 curbs which presumably includes China by 4QFY2022 to 1QFY2023, the analysts forecast Genting Singapore’s EBITDA to claw back to the pre-pandemic level of $1.2 billion in FY2023 as “the worst is likely over”.\n“Theoretically, our target price for Genting Singapore would rise to $1.22 once our valuation horizon rolls over to 2023, assuming EBITDA recovers to $1.2 billion and historical mean EV/EBITDA valuation of 10x,” they add.\nAs at 9.37am, shares in Genting Singapore are trading 2 cents higher or 2.41% up at 85 cents.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035877775,"gmtCreate":1647571616613,"gmtModify":1676534246173,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035877775","repostId":"1145367741","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145367741","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647522542,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145367741?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-17 21:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: Look Up Above, Is $3 Trillion Next?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145367741","media":"TheStreet","summary":"The Apple Maven explores these two topics below.What sent AAPL soaringThe year has been tough for AAPL and the market at large. Apple stock nearly entered bear market earlier this week, after having dipped 17%-plus from the all-time high of January.But there have been signs lately that investors might be ready to start buying this dip.It is hard to tell exactly why this vicious recovery began to take shape. On March 15, Apple’s nearly $5-per-share spike looked a lot like a volatility-driven reb","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple stock has been having a tough 2022, but shares bounced strongly in the past couple of days. Here is what happened, and what investors could expect to see next.</p><p>What a recovery it has been. From the 2022 lows of around $150 reached on March 14, Apple stock skyrocketed by over 6% in only two days to close the March 16 session priced at almost $160 a piece.</p><p>Why did shares of the Cupertino company spike so suddenly? And could this be a sign that the $3 trillion market cap could be reached again soon?</p><p>The Apple Maven explores these two topics below.</p><p><b>What sent AAPL soaring</b></p><p>The year has been tough for AAPL and the market at large. Apple stock nearly entered bear market earlier this week, after having dipped 17%-plus from the all-time high of January.</p><p>But there have been signs lately that investors might be ready to start buying this dip.</p><p>It is hard to tell exactly why this vicious (but still very incipient) recovery began to take shape. On March 15, Apple’s nearly $5-per-share spike looked a lot like a volatility-driven rebound from the previous few days’ sharp declines.</p><p>But on Wednesday, another similar jump could be better explained by one key event: the Federal Reserve’sfirst move to raise short-term interest rates in years. The 25-basis point increase has been widely anticipated, and is nearly guaranteed to be only the first of many.</p><p>While this was clearly the catalyst that sent AAPL to nearly $160, at the same time it is tough to explain why the monetary policy announcement created $75 billion in market cap for Apple investors in a day. Shouldn’t higher interest rates be a negative for tech and growth stocks?</p><p>I believe that economic and business fundamentals have nothing to do with this. Instead, the Tuesday and Wednesday price movements seem to be a classic case of “relief rally”.</p><p>Investors had been dreading monetary policy tightening for months. Now that it is finally here, it may be time for everyone to just move on.</p><p><b>Is $3 trillion next?</b></p><p>I believe it is still way too early to project Apple $3 trillion once again — that is, a 12.5% gain that leads the share price to roughly $180. For now, AAPL’s recent $10 recovery could be a dead cat bounce in disguise, as mini-rallies are a feature of soft market conditions.</p><p>From the point of view of a long-term investor, however, I would still be interested in accumulating AAPL shares at less than $160.As I explained recently, Apple stock returns have historically been better after shares sink at least 10% to 15% from the peak.</p><p>I have little doubt that, eventually (timing here is a big question mark), AAPL will reclaim $180 per share and $3 trillion in market cap. I would rather ride the upside from current levels than wait until shares have climbed much higher to, only then, join the party.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: Look Up Above, Is $3 Trillion Next?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: Look Up Above, Is $3 Trillion Next?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-17 21:09 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-premarket-look-up-above-is-3-trillion-next><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple stock has been having a tough 2022, but shares bounced strongly in the past couple of days. Here is what happened, and what investors could expect to see next.What a recovery it has been. From ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-premarket-look-up-above-is-3-trillion-next\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-premarket-look-up-above-is-3-trillion-next","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145367741","content_text":"Apple stock has been having a tough 2022, but shares bounced strongly in the past couple of days. Here is what happened, and what investors could expect to see next.What a recovery it has been. From the 2022 lows of around $150 reached on March 14, Apple stock skyrocketed by over 6% in only two days to close the March 16 session priced at almost $160 a piece.Why did shares of the Cupertino company spike so suddenly? And could this be a sign that the $3 trillion market cap could be reached again soon?The Apple Maven explores these two topics below.What sent AAPL soaringThe year has been tough for AAPL and the market at large. Apple stock nearly entered bear market earlier this week, after having dipped 17%-plus from the all-time high of January.But there have been signs lately that investors might be ready to start buying this dip.It is hard to tell exactly why this vicious (but still very incipient) recovery began to take shape. On March 15, Apple’s nearly $5-per-share spike looked a lot like a volatility-driven rebound from the previous few days’ sharp declines.But on Wednesday, another similar jump could be better explained by one key event: the Federal Reserve’sfirst move to raise short-term interest rates in years. The 25-basis point increase has been widely anticipated, and is nearly guaranteed to be only the first of many.While this was clearly the catalyst that sent AAPL to nearly $160, at the same time it is tough to explain why the monetary policy announcement created $75 billion in market cap for Apple investors in a day. Shouldn’t higher interest rates be a negative for tech and growth stocks?I believe that economic and business fundamentals have nothing to do with this. Instead, the Tuesday and Wednesday price movements seem to be a classic case of “relief rally”.Investors had been dreading monetary policy tightening for months. Now that it is finally here, it may be time for everyone to just move on.Is $3 trillion next?I believe it is still way too early to project Apple $3 trillion once again — that is, a 12.5% gain that leads the share price to roughly $180. For now, AAPL’s recent $10 recovery could be a dead cat bounce in disguise, as mini-rallies are a feature of soft market conditions.From the point of view of a long-term investor, however, I would still be interested in accumulating AAPL shares at less than $160.As I explained recently, Apple stock returns have historically been better after shares sink at least 10% to 15% from the peak.I have little doubt that, eventually (timing here is a big question mark), AAPL will reclaim $180 per share and $3 trillion in market cap. I would rather ride the upside from current levels than wait until shares have climbed much higher to, only then, join the party.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035877643,"gmtCreate":1647571583682,"gmtModify":1676534246154,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035877643","repostId":"1160440619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021146032,"gmtCreate":1653017491026,"gmtModify":1676535209446,"author":{"id":"4089270830521530","authorId":"4089270830521530","name":"jxxlxx","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089270830521530","authorIdStr":"4089270830521530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021146032","repostId":"1177657542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177657542","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1653013105,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177657542?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-20 10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Did Lucid Soar 11% on Thursday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177657542","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID) has announced plans to open a production facility in Saudi ArabiaThe country wil","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Lucid</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>LCID</u></b>) has announced plans to open a production facility in Saudi Arabia</li><li>The country will provide Lucid with $3.4 billion in financing and incentives</li><li>Saudi Arabia’s investment fund owns a 60% stake in LCID stock</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c0d9e05d06ca3d8f95aa751595119af\" tg-width=\"1600\" tg-height=\"900\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Tada Images / Shutterstock</span></p><p>Lucid is in the spotlight today after unveiling plans for a production facility in Saudi Arabia. Year-to-date (YTD), the electric vehicle (EV) stock has lost about 50% of its market capitalization. Shares of LCID rose 11% on Thursday.</p><p>Upon completion, Lucid’s new facility will be capable of manufacturing 155,000 vehicles a year. The facility will also initially only serve the Saudi Arabian market. Over the next 15 years, Lucid is expected to receive up to $3.4 billion in financing and incentives from Saudi Arabia.</p><p>Lucid has a tight-knit relationship with Saudi Arabia, as the country’s <b>Public Investment Fund</b> (PIF) has a 60% stake in the company. PIF acquired this stake back when Lucid was still a private entity. Last month, the EV company reached an agreement with Saudi Arabia for the country to purchase 100,000 vehicles over the next 10 years.</p><p>While it may not immediately affect production output, this new facility is still huge news for the EV maker. Let’s get into the details.</p><p><b>LCID Stock: Lucid Discloses Saudi Expansion Plans</b></p><p>Lucid’s production facility in Arizona will eventually have an output of 350,000 EVs per year. So, coupled with the Saudi facility, the company now expects a capacity of 500,000 cars per year by 2025. That estimate is five years ahead of the previous estimate of 500,000 vehicles by 2030.</p><p>During its first-quarter earnings, Lucid gave 2022 production guidance of between 12,000 to 14,000 vehicles. This figure was reduced from a previous estimate of 20,000 vehicles due to component shortages.</p><p>Looking forward, Saudi Arabia has big plans to “turn the region on the west coast near Jeddah into a hub for manufacturing cars.” Last October, Industry and Minerals Resources Minister Bandar Alkhorayef said the country was seeking to establish relationships with other automakers and EV battery companies as well.</p><p>Minister of Investment Khalid al-Falih has also said the country is open to working with more EV companies. “[O]ur intent is not to stop with Lucid,” he said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Did Lucid Soar 11% on Thursday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Did Lucid Soar 11% on Thursday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-20 10:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/05/lcid-stock-climbs-9-as-lucid-motors-ramps-up-saudi-expansion-plans/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID) has announced plans to open a production facility in Saudi ArabiaThe country will provide Lucid with $3.4 billion in financing and incentivesSaudi Arabia’s investment fund owns a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/lcid-stock-climbs-9-as-lucid-motors-ramps-up-saudi-expansion-plans/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/lcid-stock-climbs-9-as-lucid-motors-ramps-up-saudi-expansion-plans/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177657542","content_text":"Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID) has announced plans to open a production facility in Saudi ArabiaThe country will provide Lucid with $3.4 billion in financing and incentivesSaudi Arabia’s investment fund owns a 60% stake in LCID stockSource: Tada Images / ShutterstockLucid is in the spotlight today after unveiling plans for a production facility in Saudi Arabia. Year-to-date (YTD), the electric vehicle (EV) stock has lost about 50% of its market capitalization. Shares of LCID rose 11% on Thursday.Upon completion, Lucid’s new facility will be capable of manufacturing 155,000 vehicles a year. The facility will also initially only serve the Saudi Arabian market. Over the next 15 years, Lucid is expected to receive up to $3.4 billion in financing and incentives from Saudi Arabia.Lucid has a tight-knit relationship with Saudi Arabia, as the country’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) has a 60% stake in the company. PIF acquired this stake back when Lucid was still a private entity. Last month, the EV company reached an agreement with Saudi Arabia for the country to purchase 100,000 vehicles over the next 10 years.While it may not immediately affect production output, this new facility is still huge news for the EV maker. Let’s get into the details.LCID Stock: Lucid Discloses Saudi Expansion PlansLucid’s production facility in Arizona will eventually have an output of 350,000 EVs per year. So, coupled with the Saudi facility, the company now expects a capacity of 500,000 cars per year by 2025. That estimate is five years ahead of the previous estimate of 500,000 vehicles by 2030.During its first-quarter earnings, Lucid gave 2022 production guidance of between 12,000 to 14,000 vehicles. This figure was reduced from a previous estimate of 20,000 vehicles due to component shortages.Looking forward, Saudi Arabia has big plans to “turn the region on the west coast near Jeddah into a hub for manufacturing cars.” Last October, Industry and Minerals Resources Minister Bandar Alkhorayef said the country was seeking to establish relationships with other automakers and EV battery companies as well.Minister of Investment Khalid al-Falih has also said the country is open to working with more EV companies. “[O]ur intent is not to stop with Lucid,” he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}