SpaceX's $60 Billion Acquisition of Cursor Says AI Coding Is Real. Who Wins Next? AI coding is one of the most easily monetizable segments in the broader AI value chain. The recent completion of $Space Exploration Technologies Corp(SPCX)$ 's acquisition of Cursor on August 14 underscores strong capital interest in this space. Cursor has already achieved an annualized revenue of over $4 billion as of June this year, with a significantly higher share of enterprise customers. According to Battery Ventures' 2026 Enterprise Survey, Cursor's "any-use" adoption rate among enterprises stands at approximately 60%. Following the transaction, Anysphere's existing shareholders received a total of roughly 389.3 million shares of SpaceX Class A common sto
Memory Stocks Swing Wildly: Can AI and HBM Break the Traditional Cycle? Memory stocks rebounded broadly on Thursday, with $SK hynix (SKHY.US)$, $Seagate Technology (STX.US)$, $SanDisk (SNDK.US)$, $Western Digital(WDC)$ , and $Micron Technology(MU)$ all moving higher. The sector had been under pressure in recent sessions. On Wednesday, Treasury yields fell sharply and SK Hynix announced a massive share buyback, yet memory stocks still gave up early gains. The muted response to positive catalysts has brought one key question back into focus: Is the memory cycle approaching a peak, or are AI and HBM extending the traditional memory
Marvell Bears Spar With Bulls as Google Deal Bolsters Outlook $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ bulls battled it out with bears looking to fade Wednesday’s gains that were fueled by a major commercial partnership with $Alphabet(GOOG)$ 's Google. Shares of the chipmaker swung between gains and losses Thursday after its 8% the previous session pushed eight of the 15 most commonly used technical indicators to flash warnings of a divergence or oversold conditions that could disrupt the rally. After yesterday's gains, the stock is now up 44% from its low on July 29. That could mean near-term caution or consolidation risk is elevated
QQQ Pulls Back as Whales Sell Over $70M in Puts: Is the Bottom Near? $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ continued to pull back on Thursday, falling about 1% intraday to around $709. Long-term Treasury yields moved higher again, keeping valuation pressure on technology stocks. Meanwhile, QQQ's options market saw a cluster of large put-selling trades. Traders are taking advantage of the pullback to sell downside risk while showing a willingness to take on QQQ exposure at lower levels. Over $70 Million in Put-Selling Activity Several large QQQ put sales appeared on Thursday: – Sep. 18 $685 Put: 37,000 contracts, about $29.42 million in premium – Sep. 18 $660 Put: 37,000 contracts, about $15.17 million – Sep. 18 $682 Put: 17,
Memory: Up to 10% Share Reduction, CPO Adds New Optionality Memory makers are no longer just printing profits — they are starting to retire serious amounts of stock. SK hynix could ultimately shrink its share base by nearly 10%, while Sandisk’s remaining authorization equals roughly 6.7%. Sandisk Fired First. SK hynix Just Raised the Stakes $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ kicked things off by adding $14B to its repurchase authorization, leaving $15.5B available. At its Aug. 19 closing price, that is equivalent to roughly 6.6% of the share base. The company had already repurchased $4.5B of stock in the prior quarter. $SK hynix(SKHY)$ then raised the stakes. Its KRW40T ($28.7B) program will bu
Marvell's Google Win Reveals the Real AI ASIC War $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ disclosed an expanded agreement with $Alphabet(GOOG)$ covering a broad range of custom products tied to the TPU ecosystem, including AI inference accelerators, NICs, storage controllers, memory interface controllers and near memory compute products. $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ also received warrants tied largely to future purchases of Marvell custom silicon. The market quickly interpreted the deal as a threat to Broadcom's historically dominant position around Google TPUs, sending Marvell higher and Broadcom lower. However,
Nvidia Earnings Preview: What Will It Take to Beat the Bar? $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , the world's leading AI chip maker, is set to release its FY27Q2 earnings after market close on August 26. Being the last among the "Mag7" to report this season, the release has drawn global attention. Investors are primarily focused on the ramp up pace of Vera Rubin's revenue contribution and updated guidance regarding the China market. With numerous semiconductor firms recently beating estimates yet still declining because results missed the market's most bullish expectations, this report poses a significant test for Nvidia. FY27Q2 Core Financial Indicators – Revenue consensus estimate is $91.9 billion, up 97% YoY and 13%
Memory Stocks Rally Again: Is U.S. Policy Becoming the Next Big Catalyst? Memory chip stocks rallied again on Monday, extending their strong rebound from last week. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ surged 10.2%, $Western Digital(WDC)$ gained 6.8%, $Micron Technology(MU)$ rose 5.7%, and $SK hynix (SKHY.US)$ climbed 6.3%. Strong AI demand, rising memory prices, and a shift in the U.S. policy stance toward Chinese memory chips are all supporting the rally. U.S. Policy Adds to Supply Chain Reshuffling Recent reports indicate that the U.S. government is urging $Apple (AAPL.US)$ to seek
SanDisk's 80% Gross Margin Plan Turns Short Sellers Into Rally Fuel $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ 's Investor Day blueprint for a sustained 80% adjusted gross margins triggered an immediate wave of short selling—only for those positions to get steamrolled by institutional buying. As management outlined mid-to-high teens revenue growth through fiscal 2030, an enterprise flash total addressable market (TAM) of 1.2 zettabytes by 2030, and adjusted operating margins near 75%, daily short volume more than doubled to 2.34 million shares, the highest since April 17. Traders positioned against the long-term targets. Institutional block buyers responded in force, driving more than $400 million in net inflows and sending the stock jumping 14%. The order flow
NVIDIA's Q2 Portfolio Adds SpaceX as Second-Largest Holding $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 's 13F filing for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, reveals a highly concentrated equity portfolio. The primary update this quarter is the first-time disclosure of $SpaceX (SPCX.US)$ , which enters the portfolio as the second-largest holding. Together with $Intel(INTC)$ , these two positions account for over 80% of NVIDIA's disclosed equities. The SpaceX Entry: xAI Stake Conversion This new position stems from corporate restructuring rather than open-market purchases. In January 2026, NVIDIA invested $10 billion into the AI startup xAI. After SpaceX acquired x
AMAT Earnings Preview: AI‑sector Optimism Points to Opportunities for Semiconductor Equipment $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ is expected to release its earnings report after the market closes on August 13th. Recently, traditional cloud giants and Neoclouds' AI CapEx have seen better-than-expected returns on their investments. Continued order increases from cloud vendors will indirectly lead to upward revisions of their forward guidance for wafer fab equipment procurement. I. Core Outlook Market expectations for AMAT's FY26-Q3 (quarter ending July 2026) call for revenue of $9.004 billion, corresponding to year-over-year growth of +23.3%, a significant acceleration from the prior quarter's 11.4% YoY growth. EPS
The AI Bear Case Is Cracking: Faster Cloud ROI Keeps the Hardware Boom Alive For much of the past year, the cleanest AI bear case was not that AI demand was fake. It was this: the spending is real, but where is the return? Hyperscalers and AI clouds were pouring tens of billions of dollars into GPUs and data centers. Bears argued that cloud free cash flow would eventually crack, GPU depreciation would be too fast, and some of the demand might simply reflect easy financing or “circular” capital flowing around the AI ecosystem. AI CapEx Is Paying Back Faster Than Bears Expected The latest disclosures are striking: SpaceX is the most aggressive example. Its AI segment spent $15.8 billion of CapEx in Q2, yet CFO Bret Johnsen said the current economics of new compute deployments imply a payback
All Eyes on Optics and Neoclouds. But Who Led the Flow? Yesterday's session looked like a conviction rally on the surface. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ finished up 34%. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ gained 19%. $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ added 19%. But flip to the trading data and the picture shifts. The stock with the highest buy/sell ratio on our platform yesterday — 4.95 — was $Apple(AAPL)$ . On a day it barely moved. We believe that's not rotation. That's a crowd with more than one idea at once. Short Memory, Long Op
NBIS Q2 Earnings Review: Orders Explode, 2027 Visibility Improves, More Room to Run? $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ surged more than 21% after reporting its second-quarter 2026 results. Revenue and adjusted EBITDA both beat expectations, while new contract wins accelerated sharply, customer commitments topped $40 billion, and the company raised its year-end contracted power target to 5 GW. Strong order momentum is extending Nebius' growth visibility further into 2027. With more large contracts set to come online starting in Q4, can a new Revenue Ramp drive another leg of valuation re-rating for NBIS? Key Financial Results – Revenue: Q2 revenue reached $582.3 million, up 454% YoY, above the $572.75 million consensus and about 46% higher sequentially.&n
NVIDIA's $500B AI Deal: The Market May Be Reading It Backwards $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ came under pressure after announcing MOUs with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to mobilize $500 billion+ of third-party capital for AI infrastructure. The headline sounds like NVIDIA is taking on another huge financing commitment, and Nvidia's 5Y CDS jumps by almost 6 bps after the news. The $500B Is Mainly Someone Else's Capital The key distinction is between stimulating demand and funding demand with NVIDIA’s own balance sheet. NVIDIA has already invested heavily across its ecosystem, including AI labs, neoclouds and infrastructure partners. That raised a legitimate concern: if NVIDIA increasingly has to finance its own customers, AI demand becomes more circular and more of
NVDA Pulls Back to a Key Gap: 4 Price Levels to Watch Before Earnings After surging 11.6% last week, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ fell 2.9% on Monday to $217.55, with the intraday low reaching $216.77—almost exactly the upper edge of last week's gap. The gap remains technically unfilled, making the latest pullback an important test of whether NVDA's breakout structure is still intact. With earnings due August 26, here are the price levels and fundamental signals worth watching. The first test has arrived: the $213–216 gap Last week's rally left a clear gap on the chart: NVDA's August 4 high was $213.06, while its August 5 low was $216.40. Monday's selloff brought the stock down to $216.77, just $0.37 above the upper ed
NBIS Earnings Preview: Can 2026 Guidance Move Higher Again? $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ is set to report 2Q26 earnings on August 12. The focus is on how much of that demand can translate into higher 2026 revenue, faster capacity monetization, and better visibility into 2027. The Biggest Question: Can 2026 Guidance Move Higher Again? Nebius currently guides to $3.0–3.4 billion in 2026 revenue, while Visible Alpha consensus is already at $3.36 billion, effectively sitting at the top end of the range. Goldman Sachs is even more bullish, modeling roughly $3.59 billion. Why are expectations already so high? At 1Q26 earnings, Nebius said AI infrastructure demand remained extremely strong and that capacity had effectively sold out even at high
TSMC Hits Record Revenue: How Much Upside Is Left? $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ saw two call trades worth more than $10 million each, with near-term positioning pointing to further upside while a longer-dated call sale puts a notable upside monetization level roughly 30% above the current share price. Record July revenue provides additional fundamental support. What Do the Two Million-Dollar Call Trades Signal? A large Sept. 4 $370 call sweep hit TSM, with 2,050 contracts traded for roughly $11.56 million in premium. The trade was executed near the ask with a delta of around 0.87, suggesting aggressive near-term bullish exposure through deep-ITM calls. Another large trade involved the op