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05-07

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ thought of taking profit and changing stock to....

01-11

Anyone playing Bitcoin etf?

01-09

Sp500 still going up?

2022-11-21

Thanks for sharing

SPX: A Rallying Stock Market Is Bearish

2022-11-13

Ok

SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?

2022-05-04

Last time growth stocks have potential so before the split, the price rises. Now? Same climate?

Dear TSLA Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for Aug. 4

2022-03-15

Tx

Peloton Shares Surged over 12% in Morning Trading

2022-08-28

Ok..thanks

Why Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News

2022-12-17

Just buy both :)

Better Buy: Amazon vs. Apple

2022-10-30

$THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO LTD(Y92.SI)$Bullish.

2022-10-24

Thanks

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-07-15

🤣 "JPMorgan warned that there's uncertainty in the market, but if you're alive and breathing you know there’s uncertainty in the market."

US STOCKS-S&P 500, Dow Close Lower After Bank Earnings, Inflation Data

2022-06-26

$Invesco DB Agriculture Fund(DBA)$....

2022-06-25

Suddenly all become bullish hahahah

Get Ready for a Rally in S&P 500

2022-04-05

$Novavax(NVAX)$not sure still good to go ...UP?

2022-11-15

If you are having long term, these are noises that provides you time to take position in tesla....

Will Elon Musk Tank Tesla Stock?

2022-11-15

Good if so....

Brainard Says Fed Should Probably "Soon" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes

2022-10-22

Ok

Fed's Rate Debate Shifts to How, and When, to Slow Down

2022-09-12

Interesting week

Inflation Sets the Scene for the Fed: What to Know This Week

2022-08-06

Strong job market is good 👍...buyers will come.back on mon :)

S&P 500 Ends Down As Jobs Data Rekindles Rate Hike Fear

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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etf?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/261883105452096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":261559562625160,"gmtCreate":1704867664715,"gmtModify":1704867668517,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Any big event for tonight?","listText":"Any big event for tonight?","text":"Any big event for tonight?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/261559562625160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":261176931418392,"gmtCreate":1704774263435,"gmtModify":1704774267551,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sp500 still going up?","listText":"Sp500 still going up?","text":"Sp500 still going up?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/261176931418392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260901994733808,"gmtCreate":1704707140135,"gmtModify":1704708317192,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bank earnings this week?&nbsp;","listText":"Bank earnings this week?&nbsp;","text":"Bank earnings this week?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260901994733808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260403896606952,"gmtCreate":1704585658057,"gmtModify":1704585681931,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Leaving another valid post to myself","listText":"Leaving another valid post to myself","text":"Leaving another valid post to myself","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260403896606952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260102889128008,"gmtCreate":1704512144887,"gmtModify":1704512149342,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok ok ok let's play again","listText":"Ok ok ok let's play again","text":"Ok ok ok let's play again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260102889128008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":259904926740680,"gmtCreate":1704463713777,"gmtModify":1704463717968,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good evening posting is valid too&nbsp;","listText":"Good evening posting is valid too&nbsp;","text":"Good evening posting is valid too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/259904926740680","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":259365685608512,"gmtCreate":1704334364152,"gmtModify":1704334368191,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Do leave a valid post to gain 1","listText":"Do leave a valid post to gain 1","text":"Do leave a valid post to gain 1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/259365685608512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258889093779504,"gmtCreate":1704239336130,"gmtModify":1704239340094,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Repost the theme post","listText":"Repost the theme post","text":"Repost the theme 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Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? 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Fastest finge","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/248312805347464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258888534757432,"gmtCreate":1704239242589,"gmtModify":1704247434583,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"title":"Tiger Tycoon","htmlText":"Share share share&nbsp;Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/5ObzDD\">Tiger Tycoon</a> Get ready to WIN up to $888!","listText":"Share 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changing stock to....","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ </a> thought of taking profit and changing stock to....","text":"$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ thought of taking profit and changing stock to....","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ed7234b045d46567b3720d29dbe1ec95","width":"898","height":"1475"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/303124696133760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":745,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":261883105452096,"gmtCreate":1704955040838,"gmtModify":1704956905740,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Anyone playing Bitcoin etf?","listText":"Anyone playing Bitcoin etf?","text":"Anyone playing Bitcoin etf?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/261883105452096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":261176931418392,"gmtCreate":1704774263435,"gmtModify":1704774267551,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sp500 still going up?","listText":"Sp500 still going up?","text":"Sp500 still going up?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/261176931418392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961427868,"gmtCreate":1669029563255,"gmtModify":1676538141789,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing","listText":"Thanks for sharing","text":"Thanks for sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961427868","repostId":"2284891180","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284891180","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1669017887,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2284891180?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-21 16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPX: A Rallying Stock Market Is Bearish","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284891180","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryStocks rallied viciously due to lower inflation data.I believe this bear market rally has som","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Stocks rallied viciously due to lower inflation data.</li><li>I believe this bear market rally has some more room to go, but I wouldn’t bet on it.</li><li>The root cause of falling inflation isn’t bullish for stocks.</li><li>In 2023, bad news will be bad news again, and a rallying stock market is bearish.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41fe2c4feaba1c36352e0d9664de24f3\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>blewisphotography/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><h2>“Hopium” is back again</h2><p>It doesn’t take much for investors to be optimistic about the markets again. Last week the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) rallied ~6%, and the Nasdaq ~8% after the inflation print came in lower than expected at 7.7% YoY or 0.4% MoM. The PPI data should come in lower too, reflecting the symptoms of a slowing economy and weakening consumer spending.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8830de04b6cb31c02f372c43e213054\" tg-width=\"1275\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>CPI &amp; PPI YoY Percentage Change (Author Excel with Data from fred.stlouisfed.org)</span></p><p>So far, so unsurprising – not for the market, though. The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq made the bulk of their gains last week right after the CPI report was published. Markets played the pivot book: The Dollar (DXY) withdrew sharply as Yields collapsed, and assets appreciated. The market priced in a higher probability of relative monetary easing of the Federal Reserve due to lower-than-expected inflation. Naturally, the most interest-rate sensitive assets appreciated the most, hence the outperformance of the Nasdaq. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) rose over 10% on that day. Although that gain has to be taken with a caveat because the CPI print followed the day that FTX went bankrupt and Crypto assets collapsed. Therefore, a rebound seemed natural.</p><p>On Thursday, the Nasdaq (NDX) had its best trading day since April 2020. I don’t believe a new bull market has started, however. Huge upswings and short squeezes are characteristic of bear market rallies. The underlying macroeconomic circumstances have not changed enough to put an end to this bear market. I believe this rally is one of the bigger ones, like the bear market rally starting in June 2022. I believe the market can feed off of big short exposure and the narrative that inflation has finally peaked.</p><p>I also believe inflation has peaked, as I cannot imagine that the economy will be able to healthily operate with the immense burden of the sharply risen cost of capital. The previously raised interest rates start to feed into the economy gradually. As Jerome Powell always reminds us: “Monetary Policy works with long and variable lags.” That counts for monetary easing and monetary tightening. Additionally, the basis effect should help keep the YoY inflation rate comparatively low.</p><p>The financial stress that the economy will have to endure during the first half of 2023 seems too high to be bullish at the current valuation level. While analysts have lowered their expectations for 2023 earnings, they are still around ~$220 for the S&amp;P 500 (0% growth), which currently reflects a P/E FWD of 18x. Given the macroeconomic and geopolitical circumstances I believe that is still way too high.</p><p>In the event of a recession, which is my base case, earnings should fall and not only stay flat for 2023. Assuming the earnings multiple for the S&amp;P 500 goes back to its mean of 16x and earnings depreciate by 10% in 2023 (basically guaranteed if a real recession hits), the fair value of the S&amp;P should be around 3,200 points. Of course, the P/E FWD ratio estimate is only for constructing a framework about where the fair value<i>should</i> be. There are many more factors at play.</p><p>After all, the alternative to equities is an investment in basically risk-free US government bonds, which now have moved into the positive real-rate territory across the yield curve. During the last 20 years, expansive monetary policy has moved even the most risk-averse investors into the equity space. Now that risk-free rates have risen, these risk-averse players are attracted by the risk-free yield, especially when compared to equity premiums. This is why I believe that the current drawdown in equities only accounts for the yield rise and not for earnings depreciation. I make the speculation of largely not being invested while waiting until the other shoe drops, most likely in H1/2023.</p><h2>Searching for historical bottoms</h2><p>Usually, the market is forward-looking and doesn’t reflect the economy. However, historically trying to front-run the pivot didn’t work:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8447327903f174e95c5886662c788efe\" tg-width=\"1278\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Fed Funds &amp; SP500 (Excel from Author using data from fred.stlouisfed.org)</span></p><p>That’s because of the circumstances of the previous pivot points.</p><p>When the Federal Reserve raised rates during the 2000’s it was because the economy was overheating, and the labor market was tight. While rates were rising, the stock market appreciated because of strong fundamentals (rising GDP). After some time, the monetary tightening worked itself into the economy, and the market fundamentals started to worsen. After a period of plateauing rates, the stock market tumbled, and the Federal Reserve was quick to cut rates. While the Federal Reserve was cutting rates the stock market fell even further. Historically, the bottom of the stock market was in only<i>after</i> the Federal Reserve had already cut rates significantly and the liquidity cycle started to move upwards again.</p><p>In 2022, however, we have a different situation. The Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy, and the stock market depreciated <i>because of it</i>. That fundamental difference exists because of inflation.</p><p>During the last 40 years, the overarching trend of inflation was down. Especially in the last 20 years, global Central Banks struggled to create inflation with loose monetary policy. If the economy and the financial markets start to struggle while there is no concern about material inflation or even fear of deflation, then the playbook of Central Banks becomes very easy: stimulate the economy to raise inflation and decrease unemployment.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93089c2daa2b2a46fe64342b4a9c84db\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"659\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Taylor-Rule (Author)</span></p><p>According to the Taylor Rule, the Federal Reserve had to lower interest rates (1-h) so often in the past because inflation was below the long-term inflation rate goal,<i>and</i> (1-g) GDP was also below the long-term production potential. Both parts of the formula demanded monetary easing.</p><p>During 2020-2022 the macroeconomic circumstances changed 180 degrees. Because of several shortages, and most importantly massive fiscal stimulus, which was fully financed by expansive monetary policy, demand exploded while goods were scarce. After inflation came in hot quarter after quarter, the Federal Reserve had to raise rates into a falling stock market for the first time in 20+ years.</p><p>Because of the traditionally backward-looking indicators of Central Banks (i.e. unemployment), the economy appeared red hot while inflation was clearly above the 2% target. These two macroeconomic circumstances basically guaranteed monetary tightening. A falling stock market is appreciated by the Federal Reserve because it resembles tightening financial conditions. Tightening financial conditions should decrease inflation and raise unemployment – the goals of the central bank policy during times like these.</p><h2>Trying to time the pivot?</h2><p>We are in a different situation now, though. Inflation is still way above the 2% target. But the slowdown of the global economy is getting more and more clear by the day. And many of the bubbles fueled by monetary excesses [i.e. Meme-Tech-stocks like Peleton (PTON), Palantir (PLTR), Nikola (NKLA), or Crypto (BTC) / (ETH)] have deflated 80-90% from their highs.</p><p>Many investors ask themselves now: If inflation has peaked and the economy is materially slowing down, why not buy the dip in risk assets? Won’t the Fed Put be back after inflation comes down MoM?</p><p>That sounds like an attractive argument. Hence, I believe the current rally could sustain for the remainder of 2022. There are finally positive news for the stock market to rally. Ultimately, however, I believe the current stock price action is nothing more than a rather violent bear market rally because of the following reasons:</p><h3>1. The Federal Reserve wants to make sure that inflation is dealt with</h3><p>During the speculation mania that followed the March 2020 Covid crash, any doubt about valuation levels was quickly dismissed with the “don’t fight the Fed” mantra. And speculators were right back then. If the liquidity cycle makes a big upswing, you don’t want to be caught off guard shorting stocks because of their stretched valuations. Tesla (TSLA) perma bears painfully had to learn that. But the same counts for when the liquidity cycle is in a downturn and investors are recklessly holding on to their overvalued tech stocks. Fighting the Fed in 2022 means staying invested in long-duration, high-growth, high-valuation equities. Just last week, Powell reiterated the Federal Reserve’s stance to tighten policy until something breaks. Powell seemed confident that it would be easier to put the economy into recession and then rescue it after they overtighten financial conditions. After all, nothing kills inflation like a recession.</p><h3>2. Unemployment is too low</h3><p>Without the labor market breaking and unemployment sharply rising, there is no reason for global Central Banks to meaningfully change the direction of their policy to an accommodative level. During the FOMC meeting, Powell made it clear that rates will likely stay higher for longer than the market currently expects. The Federal Reserve has given up on its attempt of engineering a “softish landing”. Inflation becoming entrenched in the economy is their worst fear, and with the low levels of unemployment, the Central Bank doesn’t have to balance its efforts to slow down inflation. Even after the rate hikes are over, quantitative tightening will worsen financial conditions and be a great hurdle for the stock market.</p><p>Some layoffs have already started. To my belief, tech companies will be able to raise productivity by removing some unnecessary workforce from recent years, where revenue growth was highly monetarily valued, but profitability wasn’t. Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN), and Twitter (TWTR) have already started. Alphabet (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL) are likely to follow. If high-paid workers lose their steady income stream, they are likely to sell off some of their accumulated assets in order to have a safety cushion to rely upon. It would be typical that this selling coincides with retail capitulation and a final rise in volatility, which usually marks the low of the bear market. I don’t believe we’re at the end yet, but I don’t want to dismiss the rather orderly decline of stock prices in 2022.</p><h3>3. Bad news will be bad news again</h3><p>I think 2023 will be about the labor market and the effects of higher rates for the housing market and less about the Federal Reserve monetary policy. After all, the bulk of the rate hikes are done, and now it is about how long they can stay this elevated. That’s not as interesting for the stock market as hiking 50-75 basis points per month, at least in terms of forward pricing. As seen last week, the current market is still heavily focused on inflation and the resulting change of the Federal Reserve policy. That’s why bad news about an economic slowdown were bullish. Inflation expectations would decrease, and as a function of that, the Federal Reserve was expected to be less tight.</p><p>I don’t expect the Federal Reserve to immediately cut rates if the labor market eases. Because of that consistency and resilience to lower rates, I think that bad news will be bad news again in 2023. The housing market should come under pressure too, as more and more mortgages have to be refinanced. As of now, the illiquidity of the housing market makes it seem somewhat resilient. But I don’t believe that resiliency will hold in 2023 if rates stay elevated.</p><p>Hiking interest rates for fewer percentage points is less bearish but still not bullish, given how elevated rates already are. The liquidity cycle is still in a downturn, albeit less quickly, and Quantitative Tightening still continues linearly. Until now, much of the Quantitative Tightening got neutralized by a rundown of the US Treasury General account:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ecc783a2e50ff641e9c70d6bfcb9101\" tg-width=\"1169\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>M2 &amp; US Treasury General Account (fred.stlouisfed.org)</span></p><p>In 2023, the softening impact of decreasing the treasury account in line with Quantitative Easing will still be possible for some time, but not forever. The likelihood of excessive fiscal policy stimulating the economy has decreased too, given the results of the US midterm elections.</p><h3>4. A stock-market rally is bearish</h3><p>Something has to break for the Fed to pivot. If the market reaches previous highs, it only increases the probability that Central banks tighten monetary policy even further. That’s because financial conditions usually ease during stock market rallies. Bond yields usually fall because the market expects accommodative monetary policy, which makes it possible for the Federal Reserve to conduct more Quantitative Tightening because investors buy them, trying to front-run a pivot. To me that seems self-defeating.</p><h2>Summary</h2><p>I believe that in 2023, bad news will be bad news again. Plunging earnings and layoffs will ultimately be bearish for the stock market. The Federal Reserve can only pivot if something breaks. The process of “breaking” usually isn’t bullish for the stock market. Bear markets often end with capitulation, but long-only ETF DCA retail still makes their monthly investments in the S&amp;P 500. Unemployment has to rise to turn these inflows into outflows. Bad news will be bad news, and a rallying stock market will be bearish.</p><p><i>This article is written by Nikolai Galozi for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPX: A Rallying Stock Market Is Bearish</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPX: A Rallying Stock Market Is Bearish\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-21 16:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559201-spx-a-rallying-stock-market-is-bearish><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryStocks rallied viciously due to lower inflation data.I believe this bear market rally has some more room to go, but I wouldn’t bet on it.The root cause of falling inflation isn’t bullish for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559201-spx-a-rallying-stock-market-is-bearish\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559201-spx-a-rallying-stock-market-is-bearish","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284891180","content_text":"SummaryStocks rallied viciously due to lower inflation data.I believe this bear market rally has some more room to go, but I wouldn’t bet on it.The root cause of falling inflation isn’t bullish for stocks.In 2023, bad news will be bad news again, and a rallying stock market is bearish.blewisphotography/iStock via Getty Images“Hopium” is back againIt doesn’t take much for investors to be optimistic about the markets again. Last week the S&P 500 (SPX) rallied ~6%, and the Nasdaq ~8% after the inflation print came in lower than expected at 7.7% YoY or 0.4% MoM. The PPI data should come in lower too, reflecting the symptoms of a slowing economy and weakening consumer spending.CPI & PPI YoY Percentage Change (Author Excel with Data from fred.stlouisfed.org)So far, so unsurprising – not for the market, though. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq made the bulk of their gains last week right after the CPI report was published. Markets played the pivot book: The Dollar (DXY) withdrew sharply as Yields collapsed, and assets appreciated. The market priced in a higher probability of relative monetary easing of the Federal Reserve due to lower-than-expected inflation. Naturally, the most interest-rate sensitive assets appreciated the most, hence the outperformance of the Nasdaq. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) rose over 10% on that day. Although that gain has to be taken with a caveat because the CPI print followed the day that FTX went bankrupt and Crypto assets collapsed. Therefore, a rebound seemed natural.On Thursday, the Nasdaq (NDX) had its best trading day since April 2020. I don’t believe a new bull market has started, however. Huge upswings and short squeezes are characteristic of bear market rallies. The underlying macroeconomic circumstances have not changed enough to put an end to this bear market. I believe this rally is one of the bigger ones, like the bear market rally starting in June 2022. I believe the market can feed off of big short exposure and the narrative that inflation has finally peaked.I also believe inflation has peaked, as I cannot imagine that the economy will be able to healthily operate with the immense burden of the sharply risen cost of capital. The previously raised interest rates start to feed into the economy gradually. As Jerome Powell always reminds us: “Monetary Policy works with long and variable lags.” That counts for monetary easing and monetary tightening. Additionally, the basis effect should help keep the YoY inflation rate comparatively low.The financial stress that the economy will have to endure during the first half of 2023 seems too high to be bullish at the current valuation level. While analysts have lowered their expectations for 2023 earnings, they are still around ~$220 for the S&P 500 (0% growth), which currently reflects a P/E FWD of 18x. Given the macroeconomic and geopolitical circumstances I believe that is still way too high.In the event of a recession, which is my base case, earnings should fall and not only stay flat for 2023. Assuming the earnings multiple for the S&P 500 goes back to its mean of 16x and earnings depreciate by 10% in 2023 (basically guaranteed if a real recession hits), the fair value of the S&P should be around 3,200 points. Of course, the P/E FWD ratio estimate is only for constructing a framework about where the fair valueshould be. There are many more factors at play.After all, the alternative to equities is an investment in basically risk-free US government bonds, which now have moved into the positive real-rate territory across the yield curve. During the last 20 years, expansive monetary policy has moved even the most risk-averse investors into the equity space. Now that risk-free rates have risen, these risk-averse players are attracted by the risk-free yield, especially when compared to equity premiums. This is why I believe that the current drawdown in equities only accounts for the yield rise and not for earnings depreciation. I make the speculation of largely not being invested while waiting until the other shoe drops, most likely in H1/2023.Searching for historical bottomsUsually, the market is forward-looking and doesn’t reflect the economy. However, historically trying to front-run the pivot didn’t work:Fed Funds & SP500 (Excel from Author using data from fred.stlouisfed.org)That’s because of the circumstances of the previous pivot points.When the Federal Reserve raised rates during the 2000’s it was because the economy was overheating, and the labor market was tight. While rates were rising, the stock market appreciated because of strong fundamentals (rising GDP). After some time, the monetary tightening worked itself into the economy, and the market fundamentals started to worsen. After a period of plateauing rates, the stock market tumbled, and the Federal Reserve was quick to cut rates. While the Federal Reserve was cutting rates the stock market fell even further. Historically, the bottom of the stock market was in onlyafter the Federal Reserve had already cut rates significantly and the liquidity cycle started to move upwards again.In 2022, however, we have a different situation. The Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy, and the stock market depreciated because of it. That fundamental difference exists because of inflation.During the last 40 years, the overarching trend of inflation was down. Especially in the last 20 years, global Central Banks struggled to create inflation with loose monetary policy. If the economy and the financial markets start to struggle while there is no concern about material inflation or even fear of deflation, then the playbook of Central Banks becomes very easy: stimulate the economy to raise inflation and decrease unemployment.Taylor-Rule (Author)According to the Taylor Rule, the Federal Reserve had to lower interest rates (1-h) so often in the past because inflation was below the long-term inflation rate goal,and (1-g) GDP was also below the long-term production potential. Both parts of the formula demanded monetary easing.During 2020-2022 the macroeconomic circumstances changed 180 degrees. Because of several shortages, and most importantly massive fiscal stimulus, which was fully financed by expansive monetary policy, demand exploded while goods were scarce. After inflation came in hot quarter after quarter, the Federal Reserve had to raise rates into a falling stock market for the first time in 20+ years.Because of the traditionally backward-looking indicators of Central Banks (i.e. unemployment), the economy appeared red hot while inflation was clearly above the 2% target. These two macroeconomic circumstances basically guaranteed monetary tightening. A falling stock market is appreciated by the Federal Reserve because it resembles tightening financial conditions. Tightening financial conditions should decrease inflation and raise unemployment – the goals of the central bank policy during times like these.Trying to time the pivot?We are in a different situation now, though. Inflation is still way above the 2% target. But the slowdown of the global economy is getting more and more clear by the day. And many of the bubbles fueled by monetary excesses [i.e. Meme-Tech-stocks like Peleton (PTON), Palantir (PLTR), Nikola (NKLA), or Crypto (BTC) / (ETH)] have deflated 80-90% from their highs.Many investors ask themselves now: If inflation has peaked and the economy is materially slowing down, why not buy the dip in risk assets? Won’t the Fed Put be back after inflation comes down MoM?That sounds like an attractive argument. Hence, I believe the current rally could sustain for the remainder of 2022. There are finally positive news for the stock market to rally. Ultimately, however, I believe the current stock price action is nothing more than a rather violent bear market rally because of the following reasons:1. The Federal Reserve wants to make sure that inflation is dealt withDuring the speculation mania that followed the March 2020 Covid crash, any doubt about valuation levels was quickly dismissed with the “don’t fight the Fed” mantra. And speculators were right back then. If the liquidity cycle makes a big upswing, you don’t want to be caught off guard shorting stocks because of their stretched valuations. Tesla (TSLA) perma bears painfully had to learn that. But the same counts for when the liquidity cycle is in a downturn and investors are recklessly holding on to their overvalued tech stocks. Fighting the Fed in 2022 means staying invested in long-duration, high-growth, high-valuation equities. Just last week, Powell reiterated the Federal Reserve’s stance to tighten policy until something breaks. Powell seemed confident that it would be easier to put the economy into recession and then rescue it after they overtighten financial conditions. After all, nothing kills inflation like a recession.2. Unemployment is too lowWithout the labor market breaking and unemployment sharply rising, there is no reason for global Central Banks to meaningfully change the direction of their policy to an accommodative level. During the FOMC meeting, Powell made it clear that rates will likely stay higher for longer than the market currently expects. The Federal Reserve has given up on its attempt of engineering a “softish landing”. Inflation becoming entrenched in the economy is their worst fear, and with the low levels of unemployment, the Central Bank doesn’t have to balance its efforts to slow down inflation. Even after the rate hikes are over, quantitative tightening will worsen financial conditions and be a great hurdle for the stock market.Some layoffs have already started. To my belief, tech companies will be able to raise productivity by removing some unnecessary workforce from recent years, where revenue growth was highly monetarily valued, but profitability wasn’t. Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN), and Twitter (TWTR) have already started. Alphabet (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL) are likely to follow. If high-paid workers lose their steady income stream, they are likely to sell off some of their accumulated assets in order to have a safety cushion to rely upon. It would be typical that this selling coincides with retail capitulation and a final rise in volatility, which usually marks the low of the bear market. I don’t believe we’re at the end yet, but I don’t want to dismiss the rather orderly decline of stock prices in 2022.3. Bad news will be bad news againI think 2023 will be about the labor market and the effects of higher rates for the housing market and less about the Federal Reserve monetary policy. After all, the bulk of the rate hikes are done, and now it is about how long they can stay this elevated. That’s not as interesting for the stock market as hiking 50-75 basis points per month, at least in terms of forward pricing. As seen last week, the current market is still heavily focused on inflation and the resulting change of the Federal Reserve policy. That’s why bad news about an economic slowdown were bullish. Inflation expectations would decrease, and as a function of that, the Federal Reserve was expected to be less tight.I don’t expect the Federal Reserve to immediately cut rates if the labor market eases. Because of that consistency and resilience to lower rates, I think that bad news will be bad news again in 2023. The housing market should come under pressure too, as more and more mortgages have to be refinanced. As of now, the illiquidity of the housing market makes it seem somewhat resilient. But I don’t believe that resiliency will hold in 2023 if rates stay elevated.Hiking interest rates for fewer percentage points is less bearish but still not bullish, given how elevated rates already are. The liquidity cycle is still in a downturn, albeit less quickly, and Quantitative Tightening still continues linearly. Until now, much of the Quantitative Tightening got neutralized by a rundown of the US Treasury General account:M2 & US Treasury General Account (fred.stlouisfed.org)In 2023, the softening impact of decreasing the treasury account in line with Quantitative Easing will still be possible for some time, but not forever. The likelihood of excessive fiscal policy stimulating the economy has decreased too, given the results of the US midterm elections.4. A stock-market rally is bearishSomething has to break for the Fed to pivot. If the market reaches previous highs, it only increases the probability that Central banks tighten monetary policy even further. That’s because financial conditions usually ease during stock market rallies. Bond yields usually fall because the market expects accommodative monetary policy, which makes it possible for the Federal Reserve to conduct more Quantitative Tightening because investors buy them, trying to front-run a pivot. To me that seems self-defeating.SummaryI believe that in 2023, bad news will be bad news again. Plunging earnings and layoffs will ultimately be bearish for the stock market. The Federal Reserve can only pivot if something breaks. The process of “breaking” usually isn’t bullish for the stock market. Bear markets often end with capitulation, but long-only ETF DCA retail still makes their monthly investments in the S&P 500. Unemployment has to rise to turn these inflows into outflows. Bad news will be bad news, and a rallying stock market will be bearish.This article is written by Nikolai Galozi for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969922523,"gmtCreate":1668324515862,"gmtModify":1676538041614,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969922523","repostId":"1190456060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190456060","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668302284,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190456060?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-13 09:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190456060","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF  that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday  - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean?","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Large 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.</li><li>Major bottoms require a policy change.</li><li>The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d234d2c3a6fdd66410e8c4fdc86a25\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>gonin/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><h2>The top 20: daily returns for S&amp;P500</h2><p>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&amp;P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&amp;P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let&#39;s first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&amp;P500:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a00554a6ad210b0ab26216de0667def\" tg-width=\"927\" tg-height=\"1314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>As you can see from the list above,</p><ul><li>12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.</li><li>8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.</li><li>2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.</li></ul><p>Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&amp;P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.</p><h2>The major bottom thesis</h2><p>The major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.</p><p>The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.</p><p>As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed&#39;s monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed&#39;s tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.</p><p>The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It&#39;s true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.</p><p>However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether &#34;something will break&#34; during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.</p><h2>The recessionary selloff</h2><p>The S&amp;P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.</p><p>Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.</p><p>Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ef81e28bf62d769ca5f75f29feb339\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>FRED</span></p><p>Based on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.</p><h2>Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?</h2><p>The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.</p><p>The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.</p><p>But don&#39;t count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.</p><p>But don&#39;t expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it&#39;s more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it&#39;s more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.</p><h2>It&#39;s a bear market rally</h2><p>We are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of &#34;things breaking&#34; like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.</p><p>Bear market rallies happen during the &#34;in-between periods&#34;, so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don&#39;t think anybody expects this over the near term. Don&#39;t fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.</p><h2>SPY sector analysis</h2><p>AllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d11bae7fc6e9bba3dee9e588bd902bb1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SelectSectorSPDR</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-13 09:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190456060","content_text":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let's first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&P500:As you can see from the list above,12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.The major bottom thesisThe major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed's monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed's tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It's true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether \"something will break\" during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.The recessionary selloffThe S&P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:FREDBased on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.But don't count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.But don't expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it's more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it's more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.It's a bear market rallyWe are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of \"things breaking\" like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.Bear market rallies happen during the \"in-between periods\", so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don't think anybody expects this over the near term. Don't fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.SPY sector analysisAllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.SelectSectorSPDR","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9061264121,"gmtCreate":1651629419986,"gmtModify":1676534939458,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Last time growth stocks have potential so before the split, the price rises. Now? Same climate?","listText":"Last time growth stocks have potential so before the split, the price rises. Now? Same climate?","text":"Last time growth stocks have potential so before the split, the price rises. Now? Same climate?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9061264121","repostId":"1105560074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105560074","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1651623449,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105560074?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-04 08:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dear TSLA Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for Aug. 4","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105560074","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Tesla has big news for investors today. Since rumors of a proposed TSLA stock splitfirst brokein March, many have been waiting for confirmation. Now, theelectric vehicle leader has announced that its 2022 Annual Shareholder Meeting will take place on Aug. 4 in Austin, Texas.Today, TSLA stock is rising following the news. This morning, Tesla announced both the date and location for the shareholder meeting. At the meeting, shareholders will vote on the potential stock split. Although the vote is e","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) has big news for investors today. Since rumors of a proposed TSLA stock splitfirst brokein March, many have been waiting for confirmation. Now, the electric vehicle(EV) leader has announced that its 2022 Annual Shareholder Meeting will take place on Aug. 4 in Austin, Texas.</p><p>Today, TSLA stock is rising following the news. This morning, Tesla announced both the date and location for the shareholder meeting. At the meeting, shareholders will vote on the potential stock split. Although the vote is expected to swing in favor of the split, the split cannot proceed without majority shareholder approval.</p><blockquote>Tesla&#39;s 2022 Annual Shareholder Meeting will be on August 4th in Austin, TX. Thank you for your support of Tesla!</blockquote><blockquote>— Tesla (@Tesla)May 3, 2022</blockquote><p>Of course, this Tuesday has been turbulent for many stocks, but TSLA is rising nevertheless. Shares shot up some 2% and, despite a dip, have since rebounded. The stock is up by about 1% today.</p><p>What’s Happening with TSLA Stock?</p><p>It’s not surprising that TSLA stock is rising on this stock split update. Last time Teslaenacted a stock split, shares soared more than 80%. In the ensuing year, its price more than doubled. All told, the first split was excellent for both investors and the company.</p><p>Now, Tesla wants to split the stock again — and shareholders have the power to make it happen. So far, there’s little reason to expect a resounding “no” on the split, either. What’s more, while another doubling in price is not guaranteed, the second stock split should still help shares rise. Companies typically split their stock to make it more accessible to small-scale investors. Given the high levels at which TSLA stock currently trades, opening shares up to new group of investors should prove very beneficial.</p><p>Wall Street often regards stock splits as signals that management has positive expectations. To that end, CEO Elon Musk has made it clear he has no intentions of slowing Tesla down.</p><p>The company hasn’t released many other details about the upcoming stock split. As we’re seeing today, though, even small updates can generate buzz.</p><p>What It Means</p><p>While investors wait for more details on the Tesla stock split, shares can be expected to continue rising. Stock splits have worked well for other high-growth tech stocks; <b>Alphabet</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOG</u></b>, NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOGL</u></b>) and <b>Amazon</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>AMZN</u></b>) both enacted splits in the past year, leading to significant gains.</p><p>Now, Tesla is following in their footsteps, also standing to benefit. The upcoming TSLA stock split will likely go through — and when it does, investors will be happy with the results. In the months leading up to the shareholder meeting, investors can also expect TSLA stock to climb in anticipation.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dear TSLA Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for Aug. 4</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDear TSLA Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for Aug. 4\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-04 08:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/05/dear-tsla-stock-fans-mark-your-calendars-for-aug-4/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) has big news for investors today. Since rumors of a proposed TSLA stock splitfirst brokein March, many have been waiting for confirmation. Now, the electric vehicle(EV) leader has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/dear-tsla-stock-fans-mark-your-calendars-for-aug-4/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/dear-tsla-stock-fans-mark-your-calendars-for-aug-4/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105560074","content_text":"Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) has big news for investors today. Since rumors of a proposed TSLA stock splitfirst brokein March, many have been waiting for confirmation. Now, the electric vehicle(EV) leader has announced that its 2022 Annual Shareholder Meeting will take place on Aug. 4 in Austin, Texas.Today, TSLA stock is rising following the news. This morning, Tesla announced both the date and location for the shareholder meeting. At the meeting, shareholders will vote on the potential stock split. Although the vote is expected to swing in favor of the split, the split cannot proceed without majority shareholder approval.Tesla's 2022 Annual Shareholder Meeting will be on August 4th in Austin, TX. Thank you for your support of Tesla!— Tesla (@Tesla)May 3, 2022Of course, this Tuesday has been turbulent for many stocks, but TSLA is rising nevertheless. Shares shot up some 2% and, despite a dip, have since rebounded. The stock is up by about 1% today.What’s Happening with TSLA Stock?It’s not surprising that TSLA stock is rising on this stock split update. Last time Teslaenacted a stock split, shares soared more than 80%. In the ensuing year, its price more than doubled. All told, the first split was excellent for both investors and the company.Now, Tesla wants to split the stock again — and shareholders have the power to make it happen. So far, there’s little reason to expect a resounding “no” on the split, either. What’s more, while another doubling in price is not guaranteed, the second stock split should still help shares rise. Companies typically split their stock to make it more accessible to small-scale investors. Given the high levels at which TSLA stock currently trades, opening shares up to new group of investors should prove very beneficial.Wall Street often regards stock splits as signals that management has positive expectations. To that end, CEO Elon Musk has made it clear he has no intentions of slowing Tesla down.The company hasn’t released many other details about the upcoming stock split. As we’re seeing today, though, even small updates can generate buzz.What It MeansWhile investors wait for more details on the Tesla stock split, shares can be expected to continue rising. Stock splits have worked well for other high-growth tech stocks; Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) both enacted splits in the past year, leading to significant gains.Now, Tesla is following in their footsteps, also standing to benefit. The upcoming TSLA stock split will likely go through — and when it does, investors will be happy with the results. In the months leading up to the shareholder meeting, investors can also expect TSLA stock to climb in anticipation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572923586954779","authorId":"3572923586954779","name":"LimLS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/217b03b0c4808fb537070ba4e8f9d83f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3572923586954779","authorIdStr":"3572923586954779"},"content":"last time the market is flood with cash with all the QE. Now is QT. This do not mean there is no chance for Tesla to go up, but it do mean the chance is much lower. Be cautious. Good luck.","text":"last time the market is flood with cash with all the QE. Now is QT. This do not mean there is no chance for Tesla to go up, but it do mean the chance is much lower. Be cautious. Good luck.","html":"last time the market is flood with cash with all the QE. Now is QT. This do not mean there is no chance for Tesla to go up, but it do mean the chance is much lower. Be cautious. Good luck."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032629905,"gmtCreate":1647357196531,"gmtModify":1676534220325,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tx","listText":"Tx","text":"Tx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032629905","repostId":"1114720092","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114720092","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1647355752,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114720092?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-15 22:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Peloton Shares Surged over 12% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114720092","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Peloton shares surged over 12% in morning trading.Morgan Stanley started off coverage Peloton Intera","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Peloton shares surged over 12% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/500e66bea294db135aabc1efa739813a\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Morgan Stanley started off coverage Peloton Interactive with an Equal Weight rating. The firm took the stance that Pelotonwill remain the clear leader in connected fitness based off its industry-leading content and low churn rate, although a lack of visibility and conviction in the company&#39;s medium-term outlook kept it cautious with the rating.</p><p>Analyst Lauren Schenk&#39;s breakdown: &#34;We introduce a proprietary toolkit to frame the wide range of potential outcomes across five key inputs: churn, bike unit sales, bike price, new modality unit sales, and subscription price. We lean bullish, with 50% upside to our price target, but lack near-term visibility.&#34;</p><p>Schenk and team plan to wait for more details around new CEO Barry McCarthy&#39;s go-forward strategy before issuing an Overweight rating.</p><p>Morgan Stanley assigned a price target of $32 to Peloton Interactive(NASDAQ:PTON)vs. the 52-week range of $20.44 to $129.70.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Peloton Shares Surged over 12% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPeloton Shares Surged over 12% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-15 22:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Peloton shares surged over 12% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/500e66bea294db135aabc1efa739813a\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Morgan Stanley started off coverage Peloton Interactive with an Equal Weight rating. The firm took the stance that Pelotonwill remain the clear leader in connected fitness based off its industry-leading content and low churn rate, although a lack of visibility and conviction in the company&#39;s medium-term outlook kept it cautious with the rating.</p><p>Analyst Lauren Schenk&#39;s breakdown: &#34;We introduce a proprietary toolkit to frame the wide range of potential outcomes across five key inputs: churn, bike unit sales, bike price, new modality unit sales, and subscription price. We lean bullish, with 50% upside to our price target, but lack near-term visibility.&#34;</p><p>Schenk and team plan to wait for more details around new CEO Barry McCarthy&#39;s go-forward strategy before issuing an Overweight rating.</p><p>Morgan Stanley assigned a price target of $32 to Peloton Interactive(NASDAQ:PTON)vs. the 52-week range of $20.44 to $129.70.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114720092","content_text":"Peloton shares surged over 12% in morning trading.Morgan Stanley started off coverage Peloton Interactive with an Equal Weight rating. The firm took the stance that Pelotonwill remain the clear leader in connected fitness based off its industry-leading content and low churn rate, although a lack of visibility and conviction in the company's medium-term outlook kept it cautious with the rating.Analyst Lauren Schenk's breakdown: \"We introduce a proprietary toolkit to frame the wide range of potential outcomes across five key inputs: churn, bike unit sales, bike price, new modality unit sales, and subscription price. We lean bullish, with 50% upside to our price target, but lack near-term visibility.\"Schenk and team plan to wait for more details around new CEO Barry McCarthy's go-forward strategy before issuing an Overweight rating.Morgan Stanley assigned a price target of $32 to Peloton Interactive(NASDAQ:PTON)vs. the 52-week range of $20.44 to $129.70.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994712167,"gmtCreate":1661695161961,"gmtModify":1676536562107,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok..thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Ok..thanks&nbsp;","text":"Ok..thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994712167","repostId":"2262977847","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2262977847","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661561509,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2262977847?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-27 08:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262977847","media":"TheStreet","summary":"The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that in","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that interest rates may continue to rise to combat inflation, the Dow and Nasdaq generally drop -- unless they don&#39;t because people expected worse or assume that the news was already priced into the market.</p><p>It&#39;s an inexact science where people make reactionary moves that send markets up or down based on some sort of prevailing wisdom. Basically, people take short-term news and conflate it to have long-term meaning.</p><p>The media -- of which I have been a member for roughly 30 years -- do not generally help calm the short-term hysteria.</p><p>People don&#39;t get paid to go on cable-news channels to express<b> </b>reasoned long-term opinions. They&#39;re supposed to fire off hot takes, which make it seem as if the Fed&#39;s rate move or the monthly jobs number has a huge<b> </b>impact on the stock market.</p><p>In reality, broader economic conditions clearly have an impact on individual stocks, but that&#39;s not nearly as simple as people would have you believe.</p><p>For example, a weakening economy might be worse for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>  because people might be wary of buying expensive new phones. Or the same economy could benefit Apple because consumers will hold back on vacations, new cars, and other expensive purchases and spend on more-affordable luxuries like streaming TV, music, and fitness, or maybe even a new phone, which is a lot cheaper than many vacations.</p><h2>Short-Term Stock Market Moves Don&#39;t Much Matter</h2><p>A lot of people day-trade and try to guess how the market might perform day-to-day or even hour-to-hour. Long-term investors buy good companies and hold them for years. That&#39;s how the average person can build wealth, and it&#39;s a strategy that does not depend on you trying to figure out what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell&#39;s comment or any Fed move means at a micro level.</p><p>Instead, every news report is a piece of a bigger puzzle. Yes, the country&#39;s long-term financial health tells you things about how various companies will perform, but isolated data points generally mean very little.</p><p>If we go back to looking at Apple, for example, the company&#39;s quarterly earnings reports often show double-digit growth in every category -- and the stock price falls after the report. Sometimes that&#39;s because investors expected more or analysts didn&#39;t like the outlook management described. But you can&#39;t judge companies based on one quarter.</p><p>When you assess an earnings report, you have to compare it with the company&#39;s long-term road map. Did Apple, for example, grow service revenue, something the tech giant has been working on for years? Are long-term sales goals being met even if they&#39;re not happening in exactly the way the company thought they might?</p><p>For example, when Apple introduces the new iPhone, in September, sales may be front-loaded or people may wait a few weeks, until the holiday season, before they buy. In a broader sense, many customers may wait until their current phone gets paid off. It&#39;s a 12-month cycle where the destination, not how you get there, matters.</p><h2>So Much Noise, So Little News</h2><p>It&#39;s a 24-hour/7-day-a-week news cycle, and media outlets tied to that wheel can&#39;t tell you that what&#39;s happening in the moment is one data point of many, not a meaningful, actionable item on its own.</p><p>Higher interest rates, for example, mean higher mortgage rates, which in turn could slow the housing market and bring prices down (or at least slow their growth).</p><p>That&#39;s not a simple equation. Cheaper sale prices with higher mortgage rates might increase affordability for buyers but they also slow wealth creation for sellers.</p><p>Both are interesting data points when you look at lots of different stocks, but evaluating a company&#39;s prospects is much more about how its management executes a plan while adjusting for economic conditions.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTON\">Peloton</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>, for example, have taken very different approaches to the end of the pandemic-driven boom.</p><p>Netflix always talked about how it was pulling growth forward, warning that at some point there would be quarters with slight drops. The company explained how it would get more efficient with its content spending and focus on new areas like video games to drive growth.</p><p>You can believe that strategy will work -- I&#39;m bullish on more focused content spending and I think games are lighting money on fire. But how the company executes on its clearly explained strategy means a lot more to its future than an interest rate move or whether <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Disney</a> has an Avengers movie in theaters at this exact moment.</p><p>Peloton, for its part, has never really articulated a plan for a return to growth after the pandemic pushed forward its customer acquisition. Yes, the broader economy matters more to Peloton than it does to Netflix, but you should buy, sell, or ignore the company&#39;s stock based on whether you believe in its long-term business plan, not because the cost of financing a bike just got marginally more expensive.</p><p>The media want to keep things simple. That&#39;s why the weatherperson tells you it&#39;s going to snow, how much may fall, and what the temperature will be, not the underlying science that leads to those things happening.</p><p>It&#39;s easy to conflate single data points to stock market moves because when we get data, the market moves, but those moves don&#39;t actually speak to long-term performance.</p><p>When you consider investing in a company or selling a stock you own, look at as many data points as you can, and don&#39;t make blanket assumptions that higher interest rates or a weaker economy are bad (or good) for that company.</p><p>Remember that charts, numbers, expert opinions, and everything else are tools to help you understand the bigger picture. No one of them is the last word.</p></body></html>","source":"thestreet_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Investors Should Ignore the Fed, Interest Rates, and Most News\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-27 08:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-investors-should-ignore-the-fed-interest-rates-and-most-news><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that interest rates may continue to rise to combat inflation, the Dow and Nasdaq generally drop -- unless ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-investors-should-ignore-the-fed-interest-rates-and-most-news\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-investors-should-ignore-the-fed-interest-rates-and-most-news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262977847","content_text":"The stock market often makes big moves based on short-term news. When Jerome Powell mentions that interest rates may continue to rise to combat inflation, the Dow and Nasdaq generally drop -- unless they don't because people expected worse or assume that the news was already priced into the market.It's an inexact science where people make reactionary moves that send markets up or down based on some sort of prevailing wisdom. Basically, people take short-term news and conflate it to have long-term meaning.The media -- of which I have been a member for roughly 30 years -- do not generally help calm the short-term hysteria.People don't get paid to go on cable-news channels to express reasoned long-term opinions. They're supposed to fire off hot takes, which make it seem as if the Fed's rate move or the monthly jobs number has a huge impact on the stock market.In reality, broader economic conditions clearly have an impact on individual stocks, but that's not nearly as simple as people would have you believe.For example, a weakening economy might be worse for Apple  because people might be wary of buying expensive new phones. Or the same economy could benefit Apple because consumers will hold back on vacations, new cars, and other expensive purchases and spend on more-affordable luxuries like streaming TV, music, and fitness, or maybe even a new phone, which is a lot cheaper than many vacations.Short-Term Stock Market Moves Don't Much MatterA lot of people day-trade and try to guess how the market might perform day-to-day or even hour-to-hour. Long-term investors buy good companies and hold them for years. That's how the average person can build wealth, and it's a strategy that does not depend on you trying to figure out what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's comment or any Fed move means at a micro level.Instead, every news report is a piece of a bigger puzzle. Yes, the country's long-term financial health tells you things about how various companies will perform, but isolated data points generally mean very little.If we go back to looking at Apple, for example, the company's quarterly earnings reports often show double-digit growth in every category -- and the stock price falls after the report. Sometimes that's because investors expected more or analysts didn't like the outlook management described. But you can't judge companies based on one quarter.When you assess an earnings report, you have to compare it with the company's long-term road map. Did Apple, for example, grow service revenue, something the tech giant has been working on for years? Are long-term sales goals being met even if they're not happening in exactly the way the company thought they might?For example, when Apple introduces the new iPhone, in September, sales may be front-loaded or people may wait a few weeks, until the holiday season, before they buy. In a broader sense, many customers may wait until their current phone gets paid off. It's a 12-month cycle where the destination, not how you get there, matters.So Much Noise, So Little NewsIt's a 24-hour/7-day-a-week news cycle, and media outlets tied to that wheel can't tell you that what's happening in the moment is one data point of many, not a meaningful, actionable item on its own.Higher interest rates, for example, mean higher mortgage rates, which in turn could slow the housing market and bring prices down (or at least slow their growth).That's not a simple equation. Cheaper sale prices with higher mortgage rates might increase affordability for buyers but they also slow wealth creation for sellers.Both are interesting data points when you look at lots of different stocks, but evaluating a company's prospects is much more about how its management executes a plan while adjusting for economic conditions.Peloton and Netflix, for example, have taken very different approaches to the end of the pandemic-driven boom.Netflix always talked about how it was pulling growth forward, warning that at some point there would be quarters with slight drops. The company explained how it would get more efficient with its content spending and focus on new areas like video games to drive growth.You can believe that strategy will work -- I'm bullish on more focused content spending and I think games are lighting money on fire. But how the company executes on its clearly explained strategy means a lot more to its future than an interest rate move or whether Disney has an Avengers movie in theaters at this exact moment.Peloton, for its part, has never really articulated a plan for a return to growth after the pandemic pushed forward its customer acquisition. Yes, the broader economy matters more to Peloton than it does to Netflix, but you should buy, sell, or ignore the company's stock based on whether you believe in its long-term business plan, not because the cost of financing a bike just got marginally more expensive.The media want to keep things simple. That's why the weatherperson tells you it's going to snow, how much may fall, and what the temperature will be, not the underlying science that leads to those things happening.It's easy to conflate single data points to stock market moves because when we get data, the market moves, but those moves don't actually speak to long-term performance.When you consider investing in a company or selling a stock you own, look at as many data points as you can, and don't make blanket assumptions that higher interest rates or a weaker economy are bad (or good) for that company.Remember that charts, numbers, expert opinions, and everything else are tools to help you understand the bigger picture. No one of them is the last word.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928629166,"gmtCreate":1671268130455,"gmtModify":1676538517874,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just buy both :)","listText":"Just buy both :)","text":"Just buy both :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928629166","repostId":"2291076952","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2291076952","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1671260506,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2291076952?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-17 15:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Better Buy: Amazon vs. Apple","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2291076952","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Both of these stocks have excellent long-term outlooks, but one is unquestionably the better buy.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A stock market sell-off in 2022 has tanked the share prices of some of the world&#39;s most valuable companies, creating an excellent time to invest in growth stocks like <b>Amazon</b> (AMZN) and <b>Apple</b> (AAPL). These companies are known as leaders of their respective industries, yet have watched their stocks suffer double-digit declines over the past year.</p><p>Regardless, Amazon and Apple continue to have great long-term outlooks, making both of their stocks worth an investment. However, if you&#39;re only looking to add one stock to your portfolio, you might wonder which is the better buy. So, let&#39;s assess.</p><h2>1. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a></h2><p>Amazon has come a long way since starting out as an online book retailer in 1994, expanding into several lucrative industries. The company&#39;s stock has plummeted 46% since January amid macroeconomic headwinds. However, its diverse business has continued to see revenue growth in 2022, a promising sign for its future.</p><p>In the third quarter of 2022, Amazon&#39;s revenue rose 14.7% year over year to $127.1 billion, with operating income coming in at $2.5 billion.</p><p>In its e-commerce business, the company&#39;s North American segment increased by 20% to $78.8 billion, and its international revenue decreased by 5% to $27.7 billion. However, its earnings abroad primarily suffered from changes in foreign exchange rates, resulting in a strong dollar. Thus, Amazon&#39;s international revenue rose 12%, excluding exchange fluctuations.</p><p>The bright spot of Amazon&#39;s year amid an economic downturn has, no doubt, been its cloud computing business, Amazon Web Services (AWS). The platform&#39;s segment made up 100% of the company&#39;s operating income in Q3 2022, with revenue increasing 27% year over year to $20.5 billion.</p><p>While a potential recession in 2023 could lead to further declines in its e-commerce business, AWS&#39;s continued growth over the last year proves it will likely continue flourishing no matter the economic climate and prop the company up through a possibly challenging year.</p><p>However, according to the Federal Reserve, consumer spending has risen for the last three quarters. If this continues on its current trajectory, Amazon could see a return to operating income in its e-commerce business next year, along with continued growth in AWS.</p><h2>2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></h2><p>Despite falling 21% year to date, Apple stock has risen 228% over the last five years, making it one of the best growth companies out there. By comparison, Amazon&#39;s stock has increased by 55% in five years.</p><p>In a year plagued by tech industry declines, Apple has reported strong sales for its products. In the fourth quarter of 2022, the company&#39;s iPhone revenue increased by 9.6% to $42.6 billion despite worldwide smartphone shipments decreasing by 9.7%, according to IDC.</p><p>Similarly, the company&#39;s Mac segment reported growth of 25.3% year over year, hitting $11.5 billion, while worldwide PC shipments fell 15%.</p><p>Apple has attracted investor concern over the last month because of its dependence on China for iPhone production as the smartphones made up 52% of the company&#39;s revenue in its fiscal 2022. COVID-19 restrictions in the country have strained production and motivated Apple to begin diversifying its iPhone manufacturing.</p><p>The company is now making a portion of its iPhone 14s in India, with <b>JP Morgan Chase </b>estimating that about 25% of all Apple&#39;s products will be produced there by 2025. It could take years for Apple to move out of China completely; however, that doesn&#39;t dampen its long-term prospects.</p><p>In addition to diversifying its product manufacturing, the company has a swiftly growing services business that could alleviate pressure from its iPhone segment. As Apple&#39;s second-biggest segment in its fiscal 2022, services revenue rose 14% year over year to $78.1 billion. By contrast, iPhone revenue increased by 7% during the year.</p><p>Regarding key metrics for Amazon and Apple, Amazon&#39;s price-to-earnings ratio is at 84, rising 27% in the last year. Meanwhile, Apple&#39;s is about 23 after declining 24% since last December.</p><p>In terms of free cash flow, Amazon&#39;s stood at a negative 26.3 billion as of Sept. 30, while Apple&#39;s came in at $111.44 billion.</p><p>Amazon continues to have an excellent outlook over the long term. However, Apple has fared far better in 2022, and the stock currently offers more value. Additionally, the company&#39;s ability to keep up stellar demand for its products in a poor economic climate makes its stock undoubtedly a more reliable and better buy.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Better Buy: Amazon vs. Apple</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBetter Buy: Amazon vs. Apple\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-17 15:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/16/better-buy-amazon-vs-apple/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A stock market sell-off in 2022 has tanked the share prices of some of the world's most valuable companies, creating an excellent time to invest in growth stocks like Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL). ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/16/better-buy-amazon-vs-apple/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/16/better-buy-amazon-vs-apple/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2291076952","content_text":"A stock market sell-off in 2022 has tanked the share prices of some of the world's most valuable companies, creating an excellent time to invest in growth stocks like Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL). These companies are known as leaders of their respective industries, yet have watched their stocks suffer double-digit declines over the past year.Regardless, Amazon and Apple continue to have great long-term outlooks, making both of their stocks worth an investment. However, if you're only looking to add one stock to your portfolio, you might wonder which is the better buy. So, let's assess.1. AmazonAmazon has come a long way since starting out as an online book retailer in 1994, expanding into several lucrative industries. The company's stock has plummeted 46% since January amid macroeconomic headwinds. However, its diverse business has continued to see revenue growth in 2022, a promising sign for its future.In the third quarter of 2022, Amazon's revenue rose 14.7% year over year to $127.1 billion, with operating income coming in at $2.5 billion.In its e-commerce business, the company's North American segment increased by 20% to $78.8 billion, and its international revenue decreased by 5% to $27.7 billion. However, its earnings abroad primarily suffered from changes in foreign exchange rates, resulting in a strong dollar. Thus, Amazon's international revenue rose 12%, excluding exchange fluctuations.The bright spot of Amazon's year amid an economic downturn has, no doubt, been its cloud computing business, Amazon Web Services (AWS). The platform's segment made up 100% of the company's operating income in Q3 2022, with revenue increasing 27% year over year to $20.5 billion.While a potential recession in 2023 could lead to further declines in its e-commerce business, AWS's continued growth over the last year proves it will likely continue flourishing no matter the economic climate and prop the company up through a possibly challenging year.However, according to the Federal Reserve, consumer spending has risen for the last three quarters. If this continues on its current trajectory, Amazon could see a return to operating income in its e-commerce business next year, along with continued growth in AWS.2. AppleDespite falling 21% year to date, Apple stock has risen 228% over the last five years, making it one of the best growth companies out there. By comparison, Amazon's stock has increased by 55% in five years.In a year plagued by tech industry declines, Apple has reported strong sales for its products. In the fourth quarter of 2022, the company's iPhone revenue increased by 9.6% to $42.6 billion despite worldwide smartphone shipments decreasing by 9.7%, according to IDC.Similarly, the company's Mac segment reported growth of 25.3% year over year, hitting $11.5 billion, while worldwide PC shipments fell 15%.Apple has attracted investor concern over the last month because of its dependence on China for iPhone production as the smartphones made up 52% of the company's revenue in its fiscal 2022. COVID-19 restrictions in the country have strained production and motivated Apple to begin diversifying its iPhone manufacturing.The company is now making a portion of its iPhone 14s in India, with JP Morgan Chase estimating that about 25% of all Apple's products will be produced there by 2025. It could take years for Apple to move out of China completely; however, that doesn't dampen its long-term prospects.In addition to diversifying its product manufacturing, the company has a swiftly growing services business that could alleviate pressure from its iPhone segment. As Apple's second-biggest segment in its fiscal 2022, services revenue rose 14% year over year to $78.1 billion. By contrast, iPhone revenue increased by 7% during the year.Regarding key metrics for Amazon and Apple, Amazon's price-to-earnings ratio is at 84, rising 27% in the last year. Meanwhile, Apple's is about 23 after declining 24% since last December.In terms of free cash flow, Amazon's stood at a negative 26.3 billion as of Sept. 30, while Apple's came in at $111.44 billion.Amazon continues to have an excellent outlook over the long term. However, Apple has fared far better in 2022, and the stock currently offers more value. Additionally, the company's ability to keep up stellar demand for its products in a poor economic climate makes its stock undoubtedly a more reliable and better buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982175566,"gmtCreate":1667134476855,"gmtModify":1676537865426,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Y92.SI\">$THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO LTD(Y92.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Bullish.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Y92.SI\">$THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO LTD(Y92.SI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Bullish.","text":"$THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO LTD(Y92.SI)$Bullish.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982175566","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981430345,"gmtCreate":1666578163987,"gmtModify":1676537770548,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981430345","repostId":"1191487461","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9076602729,"gmtCreate":1657842434461,"gmtModify":1676536069293,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤣&nbsp;\"JPMorgan warned that there's uncertainty in the market, but if you're alive and breathing you know there’s uncertainty in the market.\"","listText":"🤣&nbsp;\"JPMorgan warned that there's uncertainty in the market, but if you're alive and breathing you know there’s uncertainty in the market.\"","text":"🤣 \"JPMorgan warned that there's uncertainty in the market, but if you're alive and breathing you know there’s uncertainty in the market.\"","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9076602729","repostId":"2251179244","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2251179244","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1657830605,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2251179244?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-15 04:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-S&P 500, Dow Close Lower After Bank Earnings, Inflation Data","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2251179244","media":"Reuters","summary":"JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley report profit missPPI surges more than expected in JuneConagra Brands falls","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley report profit miss</li><li>PPI surges more than expected in June</li><li>Conagra Brands falls on downbeat forecast</li><li>Dow down 0.46%, S&amp;P off 0.30%, Nasdaq up 0.03%</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 pared early losses to close modestly lower on Thursday after investors digested disappointing quarterly results from two large U.S. banks and hotter-than-expected inflation data.</p><p>Initially, all three major U.S. stock indexes sold off sharply in the wake of second-quarter earnings from JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co and Morgan Stanley. Both reported slumping profits and warned of impending economic slowdown.</p><p>Losses narrowed as the session wore on, with advancing microchip stocks    helping nudge the Nasdaq Composite Index to a nominal gain.</p><p>&#34;There was an irrational response to the JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley results,&#34; said Jay Hatfield, chief executive and portfolio manager at InfraCap in New York. &#34;It wasn&#39;t a surprise that investment banking was weak.&#34;</p><p>&#34;JPMorgan warned that there&#39;s uncertainty in the market, but if you&#39;re alive and breathing you know there’s uncertainty in the market.&#34;</p><p>JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon struck a cautious note on the global economy while Morgan Stanley&#39;s investment banking unit struggled to cope with a slump in global dealmaking.</p><p>Shares of JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley fell 3.5% and 0.4%, respectively, while the S&amp;P Banks index shed 2.4%.</p><p>Slowdown worries were exacerbated as the Labor Department&#39;s Producer Price Index report echoed Wednesday&#39;s Consumer Price Index data, showing hotter-than-expected inflation in June.</p><p>The sell-off began to ease after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he supported another 75 basis point interest rate increase in July, easing jitters over an even bigger, 100 basis point hike.</p><p>&#34;The Fed is going to rise rates by 75 but they shouldn&#39;t,&#34; Hatfield said. &#34;The Fed has already done a lot to reduce inflation but they&#39;re not going to realize that until they see it in the rear view mirror.&#34;</p><p>&#34;The thing to remember about the Fed is it&#39;s almost as if their third mandate is to be behind the curve,&#34; Hatfield added.</p><p>On Wednesday, the odds of a larger hike grew after the CPI report, considering the central bank&#39;s intention to aggressively tackle decades-high inflation - a prospect which increases chances of an economic contraction.</p><p>&#34;There will be a recession but a mild one,&#34; Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. &#34;The key component is continued strength in the labor market. Given where we are in the employment picture, that&#39;s not an immediate threat.&#34;</p><p>Core inflation, which strips out food and energy prices, continues to ease from the March peak, although it remains well above the central bank&#39;s average annual 2% target:</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 142.62 points, or 0.46%, to 30,630.17, the S&amp;P 500 lost 11.4 points, or 0.30%, at 3,790.38 and the Nasdaq Composite added 3.60 points, or 0.03%, at 11,251.19.</p><p>Eight of the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500 ended the day in negative territory, with financials    suffering the largest percentage loss, dropping 1.9%.</p><p>Tech was the biggest gainer.</p><p>With earnings season officially underway, analysts expect aggregate S&amp;P 500 second-quarter year-on-year profit growth of 5.1%, far less than the 6.8% estimate at the beginning of the quarter, according to Refinitiv.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</p><p>rose 2.9% following the chipmaker&#39;s upbeat revenue guidance.</p><p>Conagra Brands    tumbled 7.2% after issuing an annual earnings forecast that came in below estimates.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 3.11-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 44 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded nine new highs and 294 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.86 billion shares, compared with the 12.48 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-S&P 500, Dow Close Lower After Bank Earnings, Inflation Data</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-S&P 500, Dow Close Lower After Bank Earnings, Inflation Data\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-15 04:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley report profit miss</li><li>PPI surges more than expected in June</li><li>Conagra Brands falls on downbeat forecast</li><li>Dow down 0.46%, S&amp;P off 0.30%, Nasdaq up 0.03%</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 pared early losses to close modestly lower on Thursday after investors digested disappointing quarterly results from two large U.S. banks and hotter-than-expected inflation data.</p><p>Initially, all three major U.S. stock indexes sold off sharply in the wake of second-quarter earnings from JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co and Morgan Stanley. Both reported slumping profits and warned of impending economic slowdown.</p><p>Losses narrowed as the session wore on, with advancing microchip stocks    helping nudge the Nasdaq Composite Index to a nominal gain.</p><p>&#34;There was an irrational response to the JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley results,&#34; said Jay Hatfield, chief executive and portfolio manager at InfraCap in New York. &#34;It wasn&#39;t a surprise that investment banking was weak.&#34;</p><p>&#34;JPMorgan warned that there&#39;s uncertainty in the market, but if you&#39;re alive and breathing you know there’s uncertainty in the market.&#34;</p><p>JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon struck a cautious note on the global economy while Morgan Stanley&#39;s investment banking unit struggled to cope with a slump in global dealmaking.</p><p>Shares of JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley fell 3.5% and 0.4%, respectively, while the S&amp;P Banks index shed 2.4%.</p><p>Slowdown worries were exacerbated as the Labor Department&#39;s Producer Price Index report echoed Wednesday&#39;s Consumer Price Index data, showing hotter-than-expected inflation in June.</p><p>The sell-off began to ease after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he supported another 75 basis point interest rate increase in July, easing jitters over an even bigger, 100 basis point hike.</p><p>&#34;The Fed is going to rise rates by 75 but they shouldn&#39;t,&#34; Hatfield said. &#34;The Fed has already done a lot to reduce inflation but they&#39;re not going to realize that until they see it in the rear view mirror.&#34;</p><p>&#34;The thing to remember about the Fed is it&#39;s almost as if their third mandate is to be behind the curve,&#34; Hatfield added.</p><p>On Wednesday, the odds of a larger hike grew after the CPI report, considering the central bank&#39;s intention to aggressively tackle decades-high inflation - a prospect which increases chances of an economic contraction.</p><p>&#34;There will be a recession but a mild one,&#34; Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. &#34;The key component is continued strength in the labor market. Given where we are in the employment picture, that&#39;s not an immediate threat.&#34;</p><p>Core inflation, which strips out food and energy prices, continues to ease from the March peak, although it remains well above the central bank&#39;s average annual 2% target:</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 142.62 points, or 0.46%, to 30,630.17, the S&amp;P 500 lost 11.4 points, or 0.30%, at 3,790.38 and the Nasdaq Composite added 3.60 points, or 0.03%, at 11,251.19.</p><p>Eight of the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500 ended the day in negative territory, with financials    suffering the largest percentage loss, dropping 1.9%.</p><p>Tech was the biggest gainer.</p><p>With earnings season officially underway, analysts expect aggregate S&amp;P 500 second-quarter year-on-year profit growth of 5.1%, far less than the 6.8% estimate at the beginning of the quarter, according to Refinitiv.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</p><p>rose 2.9% following the chipmaker&#39;s upbeat revenue guidance.</p><p>Conagra Brands    tumbled 7.2% after issuing an annual earnings forecast that came in below estimates.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 3.11-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 44 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded nine new highs and 294 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.86 billion shares, compared with the 12.48 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2251179244","content_text":"JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley report profit missPPI surges more than expected in JuneConagra Brands falls on downbeat forecastDow down 0.46%, S&P off 0.30%, Nasdaq up 0.03%(Reuters) - The S&P 500 pared early losses to close modestly lower on Thursday after investors digested disappointing quarterly results from two large U.S. banks and hotter-than-expected inflation data.Initially, all three major U.S. stock indexes sold off sharply in the wake of second-quarter earnings from JPMorgan Chase & Co and Morgan Stanley. Both reported slumping profits and warned of impending economic slowdown.Losses narrowed as the session wore on, with advancing microchip stocks    helping nudge the Nasdaq Composite Index to a nominal gain.\"There was an irrational response to the JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley results,\" said Jay Hatfield, chief executive and portfolio manager at InfraCap in New York. \"It wasn't a surprise that investment banking was weak.\"\"JPMorgan warned that there's uncertainty in the market, but if you're alive and breathing you know there’s uncertainty in the market.\"JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon struck a cautious note on the global economy while Morgan Stanley's investment banking unit struggled to cope with a slump in global dealmaking.Shares of JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley fell 3.5% and 0.4%, respectively, while the S&P Banks index shed 2.4%.Slowdown worries were exacerbated as the Labor Department's Producer Price Index report echoed Wednesday's Consumer Price Index data, showing hotter-than-expected inflation in June.The sell-off began to ease after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he supported another 75 basis point interest rate increase in July, easing jitters over an even bigger, 100 basis point hike.\"The Fed is going to rise rates by 75 but they shouldn't,\" Hatfield said. \"The Fed has already done a lot to reduce inflation but they're not going to realize that until they see it in the rear view mirror.\"\"The thing to remember about the Fed is it's almost as if their third mandate is to be behind the curve,\" Hatfield added.On Wednesday, the odds of a larger hike grew after the CPI report, considering the central bank's intention to aggressively tackle decades-high inflation - a prospect which increases chances of an economic contraction.\"There will be a recession but a mild one,\" Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. \"The key component is continued strength in the labor market. Given where we are in the employment picture, that's not an immediate threat.\"Core inflation, which strips out food and energy prices, continues to ease from the March peak, although it remains well above the central bank's average annual 2% target:The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 142.62 points, or 0.46%, to 30,630.17, the S&P 500 lost 11.4 points, or 0.30%, at 3,790.38 and the Nasdaq Composite added 3.60 points, or 0.03%, at 11,251.19.Eight of the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 ended the day in negative territory, with financials    suffering the largest percentage loss, dropping 1.9%.Tech was the biggest gainer.With earnings season officially underway, analysts expect aggregate S&P 500 second-quarter year-on-year profit growth of 5.1%, far less than the 6.8% estimate at the beginning of the quarter, according to Refinitiv.U.S.-listed shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturingrose 2.9% following the chipmaker's upbeat revenue guidance.Conagra Brands    tumbled 7.2% after issuing an annual earnings forecast that came in below estimates.Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 3.11-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.12-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 44 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded nine new highs and 294 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.86 billion shares, compared with the 12.48 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048267940,"gmtCreate":1656213434480,"gmtModify":1676535786361,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DBA\">$Invesco DB Agriculture Fund(DBA)$</a>....","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DBA\">$Invesco DB Agriculture Fund(DBA)$</a>....","text":"$Invesco DB Agriculture Fund(DBA)$....","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9f4552ad3d927eaba969f4ae967be890","width":"1080","height":"3326"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048267940","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041773461,"gmtCreate":1656115354153,"gmtModify":1676535769229,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Suddenly all become bullish hahahah","listText":"Suddenly all become bullish hahahah","text":"Suddenly all become bullish hahahah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041773461","repostId":"1192265091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192265091","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656114377,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1192265091?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-25 07:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Get Ready for a Rally in S&P 500","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192265091","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"Equity strategists at Stifel think the S&P 500 could surge higher this summer, led by cyclical growt","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Equity strategists at Stifel think the S&amp;P 500 could surge higher this summer, led by cyclical growth stocks including tech, despite being in a secular or long-term bear market. Analysts are calling for a roughly surge that could take the index to 4,150. The prediction isn&#39;t for a new bull market, but a medium-term &#34;relief rally.&#34;</p><p>Barry Bannister, Stifel’s Chief Equity Strategist, explained, &#34;We have described the way in which the S&amp;P 500 in 2022 likely entered a &#39;secular bear market&#39; although the process is not linear, and we see a relief rally led by Cyclical Growth to 4,150 for the S&amp;P 500 in summer 2022 as oil prices fall and the market looks ahead to a possible Fed rate pause at their Dec-2022 meeting.&#34;</p><p>The strategist sees the PMI Manufacturing index pulling back to a low-50s level soon, indicating slower GDP growth but not a 2022 recession. This could set up a classic case of sell the rumor buy the fact for investors.</p><p>Bannister also thinks Ukraine’s cost to the West has become untenable as GDP slows with inflation, and there could be a ceasefire that could result in much lower oil prices, $85 per barrel by December of this year. Investors could also get even more relief if the Fed pauses rate hikes around the same time.</p><p>“…this stock market is looking for good inflation news, which is oil,” wrote Bannister, adding, “We see Core PCE inflation slowing to the Fed’s view of 2.7% by 2023, which we expect to prompt a Dec-2022 Fed pause.”</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is down 18% since the start of the year amid fears of a recession, and investors have sold cyclicals in favor of defense, setting the stage for a bounce higher in technology stocks and similar areas of the market.</p><p>“The S&amp;P 500 already reflects a steep EPS recession, but our earnings estimates do not, for now, corroborate that fear,” said Bannister. “The S&amp;P 500 has removed all COVID froth, but we see no U.S. recession in 6 months and a summer rally to 4,150.”</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Get Ready for a Rally in S&P 500</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGet Ready for a Rally in S&P 500\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-25 07:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20252249><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Equity strategists at Stifel think the S&P 500 could surge higher this summer, led by cyclical growth stocks including tech, despite being in a secular or long-term bear market. Analysts are calling ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20252249\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20252249","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192265091","content_text":"Equity strategists at Stifel think the S&P 500 could surge higher this summer, led by cyclical growth stocks including tech, despite being in a secular or long-term bear market. Analysts are calling for a roughly surge that could take the index to 4,150. The prediction isn't for a new bull market, but a medium-term \"relief rally.\"Barry Bannister, Stifel’s Chief Equity Strategist, explained, \"We have described the way in which the S&P 500 in 2022 likely entered a 'secular bear market' although the process is not linear, and we see a relief rally led by Cyclical Growth to 4,150 for the S&P 500 in summer 2022 as oil prices fall and the market looks ahead to a possible Fed rate pause at their Dec-2022 meeting.\"The strategist sees the PMI Manufacturing index pulling back to a low-50s level soon, indicating slower GDP growth but not a 2022 recession. This could set up a classic case of sell the rumor buy the fact for investors.Bannister also thinks Ukraine’s cost to the West has become untenable as GDP slows with inflation, and there could be a ceasefire that could result in much lower oil prices, $85 per barrel by December of this year. Investors could also get even more relief if the Fed pauses rate hikes around the same time.“…this stock market is looking for good inflation news, which is oil,” wrote Bannister, adding, “We see Core PCE inflation slowing to the Fed’s view of 2.7% by 2023, which we expect to prompt a Dec-2022 Fed pause.”The S&P 500 is down 18% since the start of the year amid fears of a recession, and investors have sold cyclicals in favor of defense, setting the stage for a bounce higher in technology stocks and similar areas of the market.“The S&P 500 already reflects a steep EPS recession, but our earnings estimates do not, for now, corroborate that fear,” said Bannister. “The S&P 500 has removed all COVID froth, but we see no U.S. recession in 6 months and a summer rally to 4,150.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":35,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9016345101,"gmtCreate":1649134608490,"gmtModify":1676534457661,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVAX\">$Novavax(NVAX)$</a>not sure still good to go ...UP?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVAX\">$Novavax(NVAX)$</a>not sure still good to go ...UP?","text":"$Novavax(NVAX)$not sure still good to go ...UP?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7cb55d7a03f52eee5a24c23852882316","width":"1080","height":"3326"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016345101","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969405238,"gmtCreate":1668484485724,"gmtModify":1676538064408,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If you are having long term, these are noises that provides you time to take position in tesla....","listText":"If you are having long term, these are noises that provides you time to take position in tesla....","text":"If you are having long term, these are noises that provides you time to take position in tesla....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969405238","repostId":"1131632356","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131632356","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668478135,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131632356?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-15 10:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Elon Musk Tank Tesla Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131632356","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Elon Musk taking over Twitter hasn’t gone well for Tesla  stock.The company that made him a billiona","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Elon Musk taking over Twitter hasn’t gone well for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla </a> stock.</li><li>The company that made him a billionaire is tanking hard.</li><li>As shares fall, experts wonder if the electric vehicle (EV) leader can recover.</li></ul><p>Since Elon Musk finalized his acquisition of Twitter, operations at the social media platform have spiraled out of control. After implementing large-scale layoffs, he has had to walk some back all while dealing with advertisers taking their business elsewhere. More recently, he floated the possibility of a Twitter bankruptcy, sending more negative shockwaves down Wall Street.</p><p>While the social media company is now private, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is not and while its CEO is otherwise occupied, it has been trending downward. Andy Wu of the Harvard Business School recently speculated that Musk may sell more TSLA stock in order to bail out Twitter. But given how Tesla has been performing lately, that may not be a good idea. Since Musk assumed control of Twitter, TSLA has fallen more than 16% and shows no signs of slowing down.</p><p>Let’s take a look at what investors can expect from Musk and from Tesla.</p><h3>What’s Happening With TSLA Stock</h3><p>This week is off to a rocky start for TSLA stock as Musk shows no signs of shifting focus. Shares fell on Monday and although they have rebounded slightly, the stock closed 2.56% lower. TSLA enjoyed a slight boost as markets rebounded last week but it remains in the red by almost 7% for the month. There’s no getting around the fact that so far, Tesla has been the biggest loser of Musk’s Twitter acquisition.</p><p>Wall Street was never excited about Musk taking over another very different company. His plans to create one overarching company to encompass Tesla, Twitter and his other non-public ventures was exactly what investors didn’t want to see. And as InvestorPlace pointed out, plenty of experts agreed that Musk taking over Twitter would sink Tesla stock.</p><p>Now that list has grown as Musk’s handling of Twitter has generated considerable speculation as to his ability to run two sector-leading companies. InvestorPlace Markets Analyst Thomas Yeung recently laid out several reasons why Musk may have inadvertently pushed TSLA stock into a race to the bottom. While he acknowledges that a turnaround is possible, Yeung acknowledges the many obstacles that Musk is facing. As he notes:</p><blockquote>“Musk’s strategy still comes with big risks. Studies by U.S. research firm Strategic Vision found that 39% of car buyers now say they wouldn’t consider a Tesla. That’s a product of Musk’s divisive approach. Recently, researchers at MIT also concluded that Twitter may have lost more than 1 million users since Elon Musk took over. The social media platform has since released opposing figures.”</blockquote><h3>The Uncertain Road Ahead</h3><p>As Yeung highlights, the future of Twitter remains uncertain but it is already pushing TSLA stock down. And for the investors watching closely, it’s hard not to be concerned. The fact that Tesla shares hit a two-year low last week doesn’t help inspire confidence in Musk or his company. Experts knew that shares would fall after Musk sold off some TSLA stock holdings to help finance the Twitter acquisition. But since then, the stock hasn’t rebounded and has been steadily trending downward.</p><p>Musk doesn’t seem too concerned, even as TSLA stock continues to fall. While his nature is highly unpredictable, it is clear that unless he takes action soon, TSLA stock will keep falling.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Elon Musk Tank Tesla Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Elon Musk Tank Tesla Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-15 10:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/11/will-elon-musk-tank-tesla-tsla-stock/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Elon Musk taking over Twitter hasn’t gone well for Tesla  stock.The company that made him a billionaire is tanking hard.As shares fall, experts wonder if the electric vehicle (EV) leader can recover....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/will-elon-musk-tank-tesla-tsla-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/will-elon-musk-tank-tesla-tsla-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131632356","content_text":"Elon Musk taking over Twitter hasn’t gone well for Tesla  stock.The company that made him a billionaire is tanking hard.As shares fall, experts wonder if the electric vehicle (EV) leader can recover.Since Elon Musk finalized his acquisition of Twitter, operations at the social media platform have spiraled out of control. After implementing large-scale layoffs, he has had to walk some back all while dealing with advertisers taking their business elsewhere. More recently, he floated the possibility of a Twitter bankruptcy, sending more negative shockwaves down Wall Street.While the social media company is now private, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is not and while its CEO is otherwise occupied, it has been trending downward. Andy Wu of the Harvard Business School recently speculated that Musk may sell more TSLA stock in order to bail out Twitter. But given how Tesla has been performing lately, that may not be a good idea. Since Musk assumed control of Twitter, TSLA has fallen more than 16% and shows no signs of slowing down.Let’s take a look at what investors can expect from Musk and from Tesla.What’s Happening With TSLA StockThis week is off to a rocky start for TSLA stock as Musk shows no signs of shifting focus. Shares fell on Monday and although they have rebounded slightly, the stock closed 2.56% lower. TSLA enjoyed a slight boost as markets rebounded last week but it remains in the red by almost 7% for the month. There’s no getting around the fact that so far, Tesla has been the biggest loser of Musk’s Twitter acquisition.Wall Street was never excited about Musk taking over another very different company. His plans to create one overarching company to encompass Tesla, Twitter and his other non-public ventures was exactly what investors didn’t want to see. And as InvestorPlace pointed out, plenty of experts agreed that Musk taking over Twitter would sink Tesla stock.Now that list has grown as Musk’s handling of Twitter has generated considerable speculation as to his ability to run two sector-leading companies. InvestorPlace Markets Analyst Thomas Yeung recently laid out several reasons why Musk may have inadvertently pushed TSLA stock into a race to the bottom. While he acknowledges that a turnaround is possible, Yeung acknowledges the many obstacles that Musk is facing. As he notes:“Musk’s strategy still comes with big risks. Studies by U.S. research firm Strategic Vision found that 39% of car buyers now say they wouldn’t consider a Tesla. That’s a product of Musk’s divisive approach. Recently, researchers at MIT also concluded that Twitter may have lost more than 1 million users since Elon Musk took over. The social media platform has since released opposing figures.”The Uncertain Road AheadAs Yeung highlights, the future of Twitter remains uncertain but it is already pushing TSLA stock down. And for the investors watching closely, it’s hard not to be concerned. The fact that Tesla shares hit a two-year low last week doesn’t help inspire confidence in Musk or his company. Experts knew that shares would fall after Musk sold off some TSLA stock holdings to help finance the Twitter acquisition. But since then, the stock hasn’t rebounded and has been steadily trending downward.Musk doesn’t seem too concerned, even as TSLA stock continues to fall. While his nature is highly unpredictable, it is clear that unless he takes action soon, TSLA stock will keep falling.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969405989,"gmtCreate":1668484385742,"gmtModify":1676538064393,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good if so....","listText":"Good if so....","text":"Good if so....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969405989","repostId":"1194306738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194306738","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668468992,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194306738?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-15 07:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194306738","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg eve","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: Brainard</li><li>Fed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in Washington</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.</p><p>“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”</p><p>The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.</p><p>“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”</p><p>At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.</p><p>Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.</p><p>“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a914d734b43a247afac724dfa23589\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.</p><p>That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.</p><p>But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.</p><p>“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”</p><p>The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.</p><p>“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.</p><p>“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”</p><p>The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.</p><p>“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”</p><p>Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.</p><p>Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.</p><p>“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBrainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-15 07:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194306738","content_text":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981346905,"gmtCreate":1666406083307,"gmtModify":1676537753216,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981346905","repostId":"2277025934","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2277025934","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1666400250,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2277025934?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-22 08:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Rate Debate Shifts to How, and When, to Slow Down","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2277025934","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve, set to approve another large interest rate increase early next mont","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve, set to approve another large interest rate increase early next month, is shifting to a debate over how much higher it can safely push borrowing costs and how and when to slow the pace of future increases.</p><p>The U.S. central bank is likely to provide a signal at its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting as officials weigh what some see as growing risks to economic growth against a lack of obvious progress in lowering inflation from its pandemic-related surge.</p><p>&#34;This debate about exactly where we should go, and then become more data-dependent, is going to heat up in the last part of the year here,&#34; St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said in a Reuters interview last week.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly added her voice to that debate on Friday during an event in Monterey, California. While acknowledging that high inflation made it &#34;really challenging&#34; for the central bank to step down from its rate hikes, Daly said &#34;the time is now to start talking about stepping down. The time is now to start planning for stepping down.&#34;</p><p>Investors widely expect the Fed next month to raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth consecutive time, lifting it to a range of 3.75% to 4.00%.</p><p>Yet even as markets point to another large increase at the final policy meeting of the year in December, sentiment is building within the Fed to take a breather. While the process of raising interest rates is not yet finished, policymakers feel they may be at the point where further increases can be smaller in size, and are close to where they can pause altogether in order to take stock as the economy adjusts to the rapid change in credit conditions the central bank has set in motion.</p><p>That advice has been subtle: In a speech earlier this month, Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard offered a list of reasons to be cautious about further tightening without overtly calling for a slowdown or pause.</p><p>It also has been blunt: In comments this week in Virginia, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans warned of outsized &#34;nonlinear&#34; risks to the economy if the federal funds rate is lifted much beyond the 4.6% level officials projected in September that they would reach next year.</p><p>&#34;It really does begin to weigh on the economy,&#34; Evans said. Even with the existing rate outlook, it was a &#34;closer call than normal&#34; whether recession can be avoided.</p><p>With that view becoming more full-throated, and more economists saying a U.S. recession is likely next year, the November meeting may well be when the Fed signals it is time to slow down - a moment Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in a Sept. 21 news conference would be approaching &#34;at some point.&#34;</p><p>Powell has not spoken publicly about monetary policy since then.</p><p><b>INFLATION SURPRISES</b></p><p>Data on inflation has offered little relief to the Fed. Headline consumer prices rose in September at an 8.2% annual rate. The U.S. central bank uses a different inflation measure for its 2% inflation target, but that remains roughly three times the target.</p><p>Job growth continues to be strong, with a still-outsized number of vacancies compared to the number of jobseekers. Employers say it remains difficult to find workers.</p><p>Yet even some of the Fed&#39;s most hawkish voices appear ready to let the economy have time to catch up with the monetary tightening already underway.</p><p>Bullard told Reuters he also sees a federal funds rate of around 4.6% as a point to pause and take stock, though he&#39;d prefer to get there by the end of this year with two more 75-basis-point increases and then let policy evolve in 2023 based on how inflation behaves.</p><p>Expectations at the Fed about inflation have begun to settle around three key points that both buttress the calls for caution on further rate hikes, but also leave policymakers wanting to keep their options open.</p><p>Inflation, officials acknowledge, has become broader and more persistent than anticipated, and may be slow to decline. Consumer prices are weighted towards rents, which are slow to change, and much of the current inflation is coming from service industries where price changes are harder to influence.</p><p>In economic projections released by the Fed in September, a version of policymakers&#39; preferred measure of inflation was seen ending 2023 above 3%. Recent staff estimates, recounted in the minutes of the last Fed meeting, indicated the economy may be much &#34;tighter&#34; than anticipated as high demand strains against potential output that may be more limited than thought.</p><p>But policymakers also agree the full impact of their rate hikes may not become clear for months, even as data is starting to show the seeds of an inflation slowdown taking root. Vehicle prices that drove the inflation surge in the early part of the pandemic are falling, and industry executives expect more; month-to-month data show rents are coming down and the housing industry, a barometer of other household spending, is slowing rapidly as the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage nears 7%.</p><p>Yet, in another point of agreement, risk sentiment among Fed officials is almost uniformly tilted towards the likelihood of more inflation surprises to come, putting the group on what some have described as a hope-for-the-best-prepare-for-the-worst footing. In September, 17 of 19 officials saw inflation risks as &#34;weighted to the upside.&#34;</p><p>In that situation, even if policymakers are ready to be done with the 75-basis-point rate increases, they won&#39;t want the public to equate smaller future hikes with a true policy &#34;pivot&#34; or a softened stance on inflation - a tricky point to communicate.</p><p>Even more dovish officials like Evans agree monetary policy needs to hit a more restrictive level and stay there until the back of inflation is broken. Others agree even if the Fed slows to half-percentage-point increases after next month&#39;s meeting, that remains fast by recent standards and could quickly push the federal funds rate to a level of 5% or higher, more in line with rate-hiking cycles since the 1990s and a level some economists see as needed before the Fed&#39;s work is done.</p><p>&#34;How do you step down without giving external observers, financial markets, the wrong impression?&#34; Evans said. &#34;I think that puts a premium on explaining where we think we are, what we&#39;re expecting inflation to be doing, and when you&#39;re going to be willing to say &#39;I think I&#39;ve got the level of the funds rate that is adequately restrictive in order to be consistent with inflation coming down.&#39; It&#39;s hard. That&#39;s a hard discussion.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Rate Debate Shifts to How, and When, to Slow Down</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Rate Debate Shifts to How, and When, to Slow Down\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-22 08:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve, set to approve another large interest rate increase early next month, is shifting to a debate over how much higher it can safely push borrowing costs and how and when to slow the pace of future increases.</p><p>The U.S. central bank is likely to provide a signal at its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting as officials weigh what some see as growing risks to economic growth against a lack of obvious progress in lowering inflation from its pandemic-related surge.</p><p>&#34;This debate about exactly where we should go, and then become more data-dependent, is going to heat up in the last part of the year here,&#34; St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said in a Reuters interview last week.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly added her voice to that debate on Friday during an event in Monterey, California. While acknowledging that high inflation made it &#34;really challenging&#34; for the central bank to step down from its rate hikes, Daly said &#34;the time is now to start talking about stepping down. The time is now to start planning for stepping down.&#34;</p><p>Investors widely expect the Fed next month to raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth consecutive time, lifting it to a range of 3.75% to 4.00%.</p><p>Yet even as markets point to another large increase at the final policy meeting of the year in December, sentiment is building within the Fed to take a breather. While the process of raising interest rates is not yet finished, policymakers feel they may be at the point where further increases can be smaller in size, and are close to where they can pause altogether in order to take stock as the economy adjusts to the rapid change in credit conditions the central bank has set in motion.</p><p>That advice has been subtle: In a speech earlier this month, Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard offered a list of reasons to be cautious about further tightening without overtly calling for a slowdown or pause.</p><p>It also has been blunt: In comments this week in Virginia, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans warned of outsized &#34;nonlinear&#34; risks to the economy if the federal funds rate is lifted much beyond the 4.6% level officials projected in September that they would reach next year.</p><p>&#34;It really does begin to weigh on the economy,&#34; Evans said. Even with the existing rate outlook, it was a &#34;closer call than normal&#34; whether recession can be avoided.</p><p>With that view becoming more full-throated, and more economists saying a U.S. recession is likely next year, the November meeting may well be when the Fed signals it is time to slow down - a moment Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in a Sept. 21 news conference would be approaching &#34;at some point.&#34;</p><p>Powell has not spoken publicly about monetary policy since then.</p><p><b>INFLATION SURPRISES</b></p><p>Data on inflation has offered little relief to the Fed. Headline consumer prices rose in September at an 8.2% annual rate. The U.S. central bank uses a different inflation measure for its 2% inflation target, but that remains roughly three times the target.</p><p>Job growth continues to be strong, with a still-outsized number of vacancies compared to the number of jobseekers. Employers say it remains difficult to find workers.</p><p>Yet even some of the Fed&#39;s most hawkish voices appear ready to let the economy have time to catch up with the monetary tightening already underway.</p><p>Bullard told Reuters he also sees a federal funds rate of around 4.6% as a point to pause and take stock, though he&#39;d prefer to get there by the end of this year with two more 75-basis-point increases and then let policy evolve in 2023 based on how inflation behaves.</p><p>Expectations at the Fed about inflation have begun to settle around three key points that both buttress the calls for caution on further rate hikes, but also leave policymakers wanting to keep their options open.</p><p>Inflation, officials acknowledge, has become broader and more persistent than anticipated, and may be slow to decline. Consumer prices are weighted towards rents, which are slow to change, and much of the current inflation is coming from service industries where price changes are harder to influence.</p><p>In economic projections released by the Fed in September, a version of policymakers&#39; preferred measure of inflation was seen ending 2023 above 3%. Recent staff estimates, recounted in the minutes of the last Fed meeting, indicated the economy may be much &#34;tighter&#34; than anticipated as high demand strains against potential output that may be more limited than thought.</p><p>But policymakers also agree the full impact of their rate hikes may not become clear for months, even as data is starting to show the seeds of an inflation slowdown taking root. Vehicle prices that drove the inflation surge in the early part of the pandemic are falling, and industry executives expect more; month-to-month data show rents are coming down and the housing industry, a barometer of other household spending, is slowing rapidly as the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage nears 7%.</p><p>Yet, in another point of agreement, risk sentiment among Fed officials is almost uniformly tilted towards the likelihood of more inflation surprises to come, putting the group on what some have described as a hope-for-the-best-prepare-for-the-worst footing. In September, 17 of 19 officials saw inflation risks as &#34;weighted to the upside.&#34;</p><p>In that situation, even if policymakers are ready to be done with the 75-basis-point rate increases, they won&#39;t want the public to equate smaller future hikes with a true policy &#34;pivot&#34; or a softened stance on inflation - a tricky point to communicate.</p><p>Even more dovish officials like Evans agree monetary policy needs to hit a more restrictive level and stay there until the back of inflation is broken. Others agree even if the Fed slows to half-percentage-point increases after next month&#39;s meeting, that remains fast by recent standards and could quickly push the federal funds rate to a level of 5% or higher, more in line with rate-hiking cycles since the 1990s and a level some economists see as needed before the Fed&#39;s work is done.</p><p>&#34;How do you step down without giving external observers, financial markets, the wrong impression?&#34; Evans said. &#34;I think that puts a premium on explaining where we think we are, what we&#39;re expecting inflation to be doing, and when you&#39;re going to be willing to say &#39;I think I&#39;ve got the level of the funds rate that is adequately restrictive in order to be consistent with inflation coming down.&#39; It&#39;s hard. That&#39;s a hard discussion.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2277025934","content_text":"(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve, set to approve another large interest rate increase early next month, is shifting to a debate over how much higher it can safely push borrowing costs and how and when to slow the pace of future increases.The U.S. central bank is likely to provide a signal at its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting as officials weigh what some see as growing risks to economic growth against a lack of obvious progress in lowering inflation from its pandemic-related surge.\"This debate about exactly where we should go, and then become more data-dependent, is going to heat up in the last part of the year here,\" St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said in a Reuters interview last week.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly added her voice to that debate on Friday during an event in Monterey, California. While acknowledging that high inflation made it \"really challenging\" for the central bank to step down from its rate hikes, Daly said \"the time is now to start talking about stepping down. The time is now to start planning for stepping down.\"Investors widely expect the Fed next month to raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth consecutive time, lifting it to a range of 3.75% to 4.00%.Yet even as markets point to another large increase at the final policy meeting of the year in December, sentiment is building within the Fed to take a breather. While the process of raising interest rates is not yet finished, policymakers feel they may be at the point where further increases can be smaller in size, and are close to where they can pause altogether in order to take stock as the economy adjusts to the rapid change in credit conditions the central bank has set in motion.That advice has been subtle: In a speech earlier this month, Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard offered a list of reasons to be cautious about further tightening without overtly calling for a slowdown or pause.It also has been blunt: In comments this week in Virginia, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans warned of outsized \"nonlinear\" risks to the economy if the federal funds rate is lifted much beyond the 4.6% level officials projected in September that they would reach next year.\"It really does begin to weigh on the economy,\" Evans said. Even with the existing rate outlook, it was a \"closer call than normal\" whether recession can be avoided.With that view becoming more full-throated, and more economists saying a U.S. recession is likely next year, the November meeting may well be when the Fed signals it is time to slow down - a moment Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in a Sept. 21 news conference would be approaching \"at some point.\"Powell has not spoken publicly about monetary policy since then.INFLATION SURPRISESData on inflation has offered little relief to the Fed. Headline consumer prices rose in September at an 8.2% annual rate. The U.S. central bank uses a different inflation measure for its 2% inflation target, but that remains roughly three times the target.Job growth continues to be strong, with a still-outsized number of vacancies compared to the number of jobseekers. Employers say it remains difficult to find workers.Yet even some of the Fed's most hawkish voices appear ready to let the economy have time to catch up with the monetary tightening already underway.Bullard told Reuters he also sees a federal funds rate of around 4.6% as a point to pause and take stock, though he'd prefer to get there by the end of this year with two more 75-basis-point increases and then let policy evolve in 2023 based on how inflation behaves.Expectations at the Fed about inflation have begun to settle around three key points that both buttress the calls for caution on further rate hikes, but also leave policymakers wanting to keep their options open.Inflation, officials acknowledge, has become broader and more persistent than anticipated, and may be slow to decline. Consumer prices are weighted towards rents, which are slow to change, and much of the current inflation is coming from service industries where price changes are harder to influence.In economic projections released by the Fed in September, a version of policymakers' preferred measure of inflation was seen ending 2023 above 3%. Recent staff estimates, recounted in the minutes of the last Fed meeting, indicated the economy may be much \"tighter\" than anticipated as high demand strains against potential output that may be more limited than thought.But policymakers also agree the full impact of their rate hikes may not become clear for months, even as data is starting to show the seeds of an inflation slowdown taking root. Vehicle prices that drove the inflation surge in the early part of the pandemic are falling, and industry executives expect more; month-to-month data show rents are coming down and the housing industry, a barometer of other household spending, is slowing rapidly as the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage nears 7%.Yet, in another point of agreement, risk sentiment among Fed officials is almost uniformly tilted towards the likelihood of more inflation surprises to come, putting the group on what some have described as a hope-for-the-best-prepare-for-the-worst footing. In September, 17 of 19 officials saw inflation risks as \"weighted to the upside.\"In that situation, even if policymakers are ready to be done with the 75-basis-point rate increases, they won't want the public to equate smaller future hikes with a true policy \"pivot\" or a softened stance on inflation - a tricky point to communicate.Even more dovish officials like Evans agree monetary policy needs to hit a more restrictive level and stay there until the back of inflation is broken. Others agree even if the Fed slows to half-percentage-point increases after next month's meeting, that remains fast by recent standards and could quickly push the federal funds rate to a level of 5% or higher, more in line with rate-hiking cycles since the 1990s and a level some economists see as needed before the Fed's work is done.\"How do you step down without giving external observers, financial markets, the wrong impression?\" Evans said. \"I think that puts a premium on explaining where we think we are, what we're expecting inflation to be doing, and when you're going to be willing to say 'I think I've got the level of the funds rate that is adequately restrictive in order to be consistent with inflation coming down.' It's hard. That's a hard discussion.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932544849,"gmtCreate":1662964449581,"gmtModify":1676537172816,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting week","listText":"Interesting week","text":"Interesting week","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932544849","repostId":"1103698697","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103698697","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662937645,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103698697?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-12 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Sets the Scene for the Fed: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103698697","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The week ahead will be all about inflation.Tuesday morning will bring investors the closely-watched ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The week ahead will be all about inflation.</p><p>Tuesday morning will bring investors the closely-watched Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, which will likely solidify in investors&#39; minds whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 0.50% or 0.75% at its policy meeting later this month.</p><p>Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected headline CPI rose 8.1% over the prior year in August, a moderation from from 8.5% increase seen in July. On a month-over-month basis, CPI is expected to show prices fell 0.1% from July to August, primarily due to continued easing in energy prices. If realized, this would mark the first monthly decline since May 2020.</p><p>Core CPI, which strips out the volatile food and energy components of the report and is closely tracked by the Fed, is likely to have inched higher in August, rising 6.1% over the same month last year, more than the 5.9% year-on-year increase seen in July.</p><p>“In the run-up to the Fed’s next policy announcement on September 21, the release of August’s consumer price data could still be pivotal in determining whether the Fed will follow the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada with a 75 basis point hike or opt instead for a smaller 50 basis points,” Capital Economics Chief U.S. Economist Paul Ashworth wrote in a note.</p><p>Markets will also closely track Wednesday&#39;s Producer Price Index (PPI), a reading on inflation from the production side of the economy.</p><p>PPI — which measures the change in the prices paid to U.S. producers of goods and services — is also expected to have cooled on an annual basis last month, rising 8.9% in August, down from 9.8% in July. The month-over-month headline reading is expected to fall for a second-straight month, dropping 0.1% in August after a 0.5% decline in July.</p><p>U.S. stocks enjoyed a broad-based rally last week, logging weekly gains for the first time in three weeks. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq both rose more than 4% during the holiday-shortened week, while the Dow rose 3.2%.</p><p>Despite some signs inflation is abating, Federal Reserve officials have acknowledged continued tightening is likely needed to restore price stability to the central bank’s target rate.</p><p>“While the moderation in monthly inflation is welcome, it will be necessary to see several months of low monthly inflation readings to be confident that inflation is moving back down to 2 percent,” Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said Wednesday during a speech in New York.</p><p>“Monetary policy will need to be restrictive for some time to provide confidence that inflation is moving down to target,” she said, adding: “We are in this for as long as it takes to get inflation down.”</p><p>While some market participants remain hopeful that a cooler-than-expected August CPI figure may still sway the Fed toward a half-point interest rate hike this month, much of Wall Street appears convinced a third-straight 0.75% increase is on tap.</p><p>Economists at Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Nomura all upwardly revised their projections last week to 75 basis points in September from previous forecasts for a half percentage-point hike.</p><p>“In our view, unchanged guidance about when the pace of rate hikes may slow suggests that Chair Powell and the Fed are comfortable with current market pricing,” Bank of America&#39;s chief U.S. economist Michael Gapen wrote in a note to clients. “We strongly believe that history suggests that the Fed is willing to surprise financial markets when it comes to policy rate cuts but not when it comes to rate hikes.”</p><p>Fedspeak will hit a pause in the week ahead as central bankers enter a blackout period ahead of their policy-setting meeting Sept. 20-21.</p><p>Outside of inflation data, investors will also get a gauge of consumer spending when the Commerce Department releases its monthly retail sales report for August on Thursday. Economists expect the headline figure was flat during the month, while sales excluding autos and gas likely rose 0.8%, according to Bloomberg estimates.</p><p>Things will be quiet on the earnings front in coming days, but some reports are still due out from companies, notably Oracle (ORCL) and Adobe (ADBE).</p><p>Some major corporate events are on the calendar next week, including Starbucks’ (SBUX) investor day and the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference.</p><p>Skybridge Capital and Anthony Scaramucci’s hedge fund confab SALT will also take place in New York on the heels of a deal by Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX Ventures to acquire a 30% stake in SkyBridge.</p><p>—</p><p>Economic Calendar</p><p>Monday: No notable reports scheduled for release.</p><p>Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, August (90.0 expected, 89.9 during prior month); Consumer Price Index, month-over-month, August (-0.1% expected, 1.3% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); CPI, year-over-year, August (8.1% expected, 8.5% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, August (6.1% expected, 5.9% during prior month)</p><p>Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 9 (-0.8% during prior week); PPI final demand, month-over-month, August (-0.1% expected, -0.5% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.1% during prior month); PPI final demand, year-over-year, August (8.8% expected, 9.8% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, August (7.1% expected, 7.6% during prior month)</p><p>Thursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended September 10 (227,000 expected, 222,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 3 (1.478 million expected, 1.473 during prior week); Empire Manufacturing, September (-15.0 expected, -31.3 during prior month); Retail Sales, month-over-month, August (0.0% expected, 0.0% during prior month); Retail Sales excluding autos, month-over-month, August (0.1% expected, 0.4% during prior month); Retail Sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, August (0.8% expected, 0.7% during prior month); Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook, September (3.0 expected, 6.2 during prior month); Import Price Index, month-over-month, August (-1.2% expected, -1.4% during prior month); Export Price Index, month-over-month, August (-1.1% expected, -3.3% during prior month); Industrial Production, month-over-month, August (0.1% expected, 0.6% during prior month); Capacity Utilization, August (-0.1% expected, 0.7% during prior month); Manufacturing (SIC) Production, August (-0.1% expected, 0.7% during prior month); Business Inventories, July (0.6% expected, 1.4% during prior month)</p><p>Friday: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, September preliminary (59.5 expected, 58.2 during prior month)</p><p>—</p><p>Earnings Calendar</p><p>Monday: Oracle (ORCL)</p><p>Tuesday: Core &amp; Main (CNM)</p><p>Wednesday: BRP (DOOO)</p><p>Thursday: Adobe (ADBE)</p><p>Friday: Manchester United (MANU)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Sets the Scene for the Fed: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Sets the Scene for the Fed: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-12 07:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-cpi-inflation-preview-september-11-191408801.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The week ahead will be all about inflation.Tuesday morning will bring investors the closely-watched Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, which will likely solidify in investors' minds whether the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-cpi-inflation-preview-september-11-191408801.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-cpi-inflation-preview-september-11-191408801.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103698697","content_text":"The week ahead will be all about inflation.Tuesday morning will bring investors the closely-watched Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, which will likely solidify in investors' minds whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 0.50% or 0.75% at its policy meeting later this month.Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected headline CPI rose 8.1% over the prior year in August, a moderation from from 8.5% increase seen in July. On a month-over-month basis, CPI is expected to show prices fell 0.1% from July to August, primarily due to continued easing in energy prices. If realized, this would mark the first monthly decline since May 2020.Core CPI, which strips out the volatile food and energy components of the report and is closely tracked by the Fed, is likely to have inched higher in August, rising 6.1% over the same month last year, more than the 5.9% year-on-year increase seen in July.“In the run-up to the Fed’s next policy announcement on September 21, the release of August’s consumer price data could still be pivotal in determining whether the Fed will follow the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada with a 75 basis point hike or opt instead for a smaller 50 basis points,” Capital Economics Chief U.S. Economist Paul Ashworth wrote in a note.Markets will also closely track Wednesday's Producer Price Index (PPI), a reading on inflation from the production side of the economy.PPI — which measures the change in the prices paid to U.S. producers of goods and services — is also expected to have cooled on an annual basis last month, rising 8.9% in August, down from 9.8% in July. The month-over-month headline reading is expected to fall for a second-straight month, dropping 0.1% in August after a 0.5% decline in July.U.S. stocks enjoyed a broad-based rally last week, logging weekly gains for the first time in three weeks. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both rose more than 4% during the holiday-shortened week, while the Dow rose 3.2%.Despite some signs inflation is abating, Federal Reserve officials have acknowledged continued tightening is likely needed to restore price stability to the central bank’s target rate.“While the moderation in monthly inflation is welcome, it will be necessary to see several months of low monthly inflation readings to be confident that inflation is moving back down to 2 percent,” Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said Wednesday during a speech in New York.“Monetary policy will need to be restrictive for some time to provide confidence that inflation is moving down to target,” she said, adding: “We are in this for as long as it takes to get inflation down.”While some market participants remain hopeful that a cooler-than-expected August CPI figure may still sway the Fed toward a half-point interest rate hike this month, much of Wall Street appears convinced a third-straight 0.75% increase is on tap.Economists at Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Nomura all upwardly revised their projections last week to 75 basis points in September from previous forecasts for a half percentage-point hike.“In our view, unchanged guidance about when the pace of rate hikes may slow suggests that Chair Powell and the Fed are comfortable with current market pricing,” Bank of America's chief U.S. economist Michael Gapen wrote in a note to clients. “We strongly believe that history suggests that the Fed is willing to surprise financial markets when it comes to policy rate cuts but not when it comes to rate hikes.”Fedspeak will hit a pause in the week ahead as central bankers enter a blackout period ahead of their policy-setting meeting Sept. 20-21.Outside of inflation data, investors will also get a gauge of consumer spending when the Commerce Department releases its monthly retail sales report for August on Thursday. Economists expect the headline figure was flat during the month, while sales excluding autos and gas likely rose 0.8%, according to Bloomberg estimates.Things will be quiet on the earnings front in coming days, but some reports are still due out from companies, notably Oracle (ORCL) and Adobe (ADBE).Some major corporate events are on the calendar next week, including Starbucks’ (SBUX) investor day and the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference.Skybridge Capital and Anthony Scaramucci’s hedge fund confab SALT will also take place in New York on the heels of a deal by Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX Ventures to acquire a 30% stake in SkyBridge.—Economic CalendarMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release.Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, August (90.0 expected, 89.9 during prior month); Consumer Price Index, month-over-month, August (-0.1% expected, 1.3% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); CPI, year-over-year, August (8.1% expected, 8.5% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, August (6.1% expected, 5.9% during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 9 (-0.8% during prior week); PPI final demand, month-over-month, August (-0.1% expected, -0.5% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.1% during prior month); PPI final demand, year-over-year, August (8.8% expected, 9.8% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, August (7.1% expected, 7.6% during prior month)Thursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended September 10 (227,000 expected, 222,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 3 (1.478 million expected, 1.473 during prior week); Empire Manufacturing, September (-15.0 expected, -31.3 during prior month); Retail Sales, month-over-month, August (0.0% expected, 0.0% during prior month); Retail Sales excluding autos, month-over-month, August (0.1% expected, 0.4% during prior month); Retail Sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, August (0.8% expected, 0.7% during prior month); Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook, September (3.0 expected, 6.2 during prior month); Import Price Index, month-over-month, August (-1.2% expected, -1.4% during prior month); Export Price Index, month-over-month, August (-1.1% expected, -3.3% during prior month); Industrial Production, month-over-month, August (0.1% expected, 0.6% during prior month); Capacity Utilization, August (-0.1% expected, 0.7% during prior month); Manufacturing (SIC) Production, August (-0.1% expected, 0.7% during prior month); Business Inventories, July (0.6% expected, 1.4% during prior month)Friday: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, September preliminary (59.5 expected, 58.2 during prior month)—Earnings CalendarMonday: Oracle (ORCL)Tuesday: Core & Main (CNM)Wednesday: BRP (DOOO)Thursday: Adobe (ADBE)Friday: Manchester United (MANU)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":35,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9902479929,"gmtCreate":1659749716362,"gmtModify":1703748783044,"author":{"id":"4092282490520410","authorId":"4092282490520410","name":"Jontrade","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5767f142105b88991718ef0695bf89df","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092282490520410","authorIdStr":"4092282490520410"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Strong job market is good 👍...buyers will come.back on mon :)","listText":"Strong job market is good 👍...buyers will come.back on mon :)","text":"Strong job market is good 👍...buyers will come.back on mon :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9902479929","repostId":"1153913928","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153913928","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659741524,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1153913928?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-06 07:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 Ends Down As Jobs Data Rekindles Rate Hike Fear","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153913928","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"TheS&P500 ended lower on Friday, weighed down by Tesla and other technology-related stocks after a s","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>TheS&amp;P500 ended lower on Friday, weighed down by Tesla and other technology-related stocks after a solid jobs report torpedoed recent optimism that the Federal Reserve might let up its aggressive campaign to reign in decades-high inflation.</p><p>Data showed U.S. employers hired far more workers than expected in July, the 19th straight month of payrolls expansion, with the unemployment rate falling to a pre-pandemic low of 3.5%.</p><p>The report added to recent data painting an upbeat picture of the world&#39;s largest economy after it contracted in the first half of the year. That deflated investors&#39; expectations that the Fed might let up in its series of rate hikes aimed at cooling the economy.</p><p>&#34;This is all about the Fed. A very strong jobs report like we had puts pressure on the Fed to tighten for longer,&#34; said Adam Sarhan, chief executive of 50 Park Investments. &#34;The market is scared the Fed is going to overshoot again. If they tighten too sharply and too long, that&#39;s going to cause a hard landing, a deep recession.&#34;</p><p>Tesla tumbled 6.6% and weighed heavily on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq. Facebook-owner Meta Platforms lost 2% and Amazon fell 1.2%, also pulling down the index.</p><p>U.S. Treasury yields climbed as odds increased of a 75-basis-point interest rate hike in September. That helped bank stocks, withJPMorganrising 3%, and helping the Dow Jones Industrial Average stay in positive territory.</p><p>Focus now shifts to inflation data due next week, with U.S. annual consumer prices expected to jump by 8.7% in July after a 9.1% rise in June.</p><p>Several policymakers have this week stuck to an aggressive policy tightening stance until they see strong and long-lasting evidence that inflation was trending toward the Fed&#39;s 2% goal.</p><p>Surging inflation, the war in Ukraine, Europe&#39;s energy crisis and COVID-19 flare-ups in China have rattled investors this year.</p><p>A largely upbeat second-quarter earnings season has helped the S&amp;P 500 bounce back by about 13% from its mid-June lows after a rough first-half performance.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.16% to end the session at 4,145.19 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq declined 0.50% to 12,657.56 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.23% to 32,803.47 points.</p><p>For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.4%, the Dow fell 0.1% and the Nasdaq added 2.2%.</p><p>Lyft Inc surged almost 17% after the ride-hailing firm forecast an adjusted operating profit of $1 billion for 2024 after posting record quarterly earnings.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 1.3-to-1 ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted four new highs and 30 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 60 new highs and 38 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 10.6 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 10.8 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 Ends Down As Jobs Data Rekindles Rate Hike Fear</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 Ends Down As Jobs Data Rekindles Rate Hike Fear\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-06 07:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/ETFs/S%26P+500+ends+down+as+jobs+data+rekindles+rate+hike+fear/20422400.html><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>TheS&P500 ended lower on Friday, weighed down by Tesla and other technology-related stocks after a solid jobs report torpedoed recent optimism that the Federal Reserve might let up its aggressive ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/ETFs/S%26P+500+ends+down+as+jobs+data+rekindles+rate+hike+fear/20422400.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/ETFs/S%26P+500+ends+down+as+jobs+data+rekindles+rate+hike+fear/20422400.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153913928","content_text":"TheS&P500 ended lower on Friday, weighed down by Tesla and other technology-related stocks after a solid jobs report torpedoed recent optimism that the Federal Reserve might let up its aggressive campaign to reign in decades-high inflation.Data showed U.S. employers hired far more workers than expected in July, the 19th straight month of payrolls expansion, with the unemployment rate falling to a pre-pandemic low of 3.5%.The report added to recent data painting an upbeat picture of the world's largest economy after it contracted in the first half of the year. That deflated investors' expectations that the Fed might let up in its series of rate hikes aimed at cooling the economy.\"This is all about the Fed. A very strong jobs report like we had puts pressure on the Fed to tighten for longer,\" said Adam Sarhan, chief executive of 50 Park Investments. \"The market is scared the Fed is going to overshoot again. If they tighten too sharply and too long, that's going to cause a hard landing, a deep recession.\"Tesla tumbled 6.6% and weighed heavily on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Facebook-owner Meta Platforms lost 2% and Amazon fell 1.2%, also pulling down the index.U.S. Treasury yields climbed as odds increased of a 75-basis-point interest rate hike in September. That helped bank stocks, withJPMorganrising 3%, and helping the Dow Jones Industrial Average stay in positive territory.Focus now shifts to inflation data due next week, with U.S. annual consumer prices expected to jump by 8.7% in July after a 9.1% rise in June.Several policymakers have this week stuck to an aggressive policy tightening stance until they see strong and long-lasting evidence that inflation was trending toward the Fed's 2% goal.Surging inflation, the war in Ukraine, Europe's energy crisis and COVID-19 flare-ups in China have rattled investors this year.A largely upbeat second-quarter earnings season has helped the S&P 500 bounce back by about 13% from its mid-June lows after a rough first-half performance.The S&P 500 declined 0.16% to end the session at 4,145.19 points.The Nasdaq declined 0.50% to 12,657.56 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.23% to 32,803.47 points.For the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.4%, the Dow fell 0.1% and the Nasdaq added 2.2%.Lyft Inc surged almost 17% after the ride-hailing firm forecast an adjusted operating profit of $1 billion for 2024 after posting record quarterly earnings.Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&P 500 by a 1.3-to-1 ratio.The S&P 500 posted four new highs and 30 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 60 new highs and 38 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 10.6 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 10.8 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":67,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}